The global burden of atrial fibrillation and stroke: a systematic review of the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation in regions outside North America and Europe

Quality of care among patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation in Greenland

This cross-sectional study sought to assess the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis in Greenland among various age groups and examine the corresponding quality of care. We collected data from Greenland's electronic medical records and evaluated the quality of care using six internationally recommended indicators, which are: percentage of AF patients with an assessment of smoking status within the previous year, an assessment of body mass index within the previous year, assessment of blood pressure within the previous year, measurement of thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), treatment with an anticoagulant and percentage of patients with a measurement of serum-creatinine. We found the prevalence of AF among patients aged 20 years or older in Greenland to be 1.75% (95% CI 1.62-1.88). We found an increasing prevalence of AF with age and a greater proportion of men than women until the age of 74 years. Our study suggests that the associated quality of care could be higher as the requirement of only one of the six quality indicators was met. A lack of registration may partly explain this, and initiatives to improve the quality of care are recommended.

Atrial fibrillation and flutter and ocular diseases. The Ural eye and medical study and the Ural very old study

PURPOSE

To assess associations between atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF) and ocular parameters and diseases.

METHODS

The population-based Ural Eye and Medical Study (UEMS) and the Ural Very Old Study (UVOS) included 4894 individuals (age: 40+ years) and 835 individuals (age: 85+ years), respectively.

RESULTS

In the UEMS, AF prevalence (80/4894; 1.6%; 95% CI: 1.3, 2.0) increased from 1/1029 (0.1%) in the age group of 40 to <50 years to 29/619 (4.7%) and 12/159 (7.5%) in the age groups of 70 to <80 years and 80+ years, respectively. Higher AF prevalence correlated with older age (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.12; p < 0.001), urban region of habitation (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.12; p < 0.001), higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease/stroke (OR: 2.50; 95% CI: 1.32, 4.72; p < 0.001) and lower prevalence of neck pain (OR: 0.35; 95% CI: 0.14, 0.85; p = 0.02), higher serum concentration of bilirubin (OR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.05; p < 0.001) and lower prothrombin index (OR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.93, 0.99; p = 0.003), higher stage of arterial hypertension (OR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.01, 2.28; p = 0.04) and higher ankle-brachial index (OR: 22.1; 95% CI: 4.45, 1.10; p < 0.001). In that model, AF prevalence was not associated with ocular parameters such as intraocular pressure (p = 0.52), retinal nerve fibre layer thickness (p = 0.70), refractive error (p = 0.13), axial length (p = 0.14), nuclear cataract degree (p = 0.50) and prevalence (p = 0.40), cortical cataract degree (p = 0.43) and presence (p = 0.17), lens pseudoexfoliation (p = 0.58), status after cataract surgery (p = 0.38), age-related macular degeneration prevalence (p = 0.63), open-angle glaucoma presence (p = 0.90) and stage (p = 0.55), angle-closure glaucoma prevalence (p = 0.99) and stage (p = 0.99), diabetic retinopathy prevalence presence (p = 0.37) and stage (p = 0.32), and myopic macular degeneration (p = 0.98). In the UVOS, similar results were obtained.

CONCLUSIONS

In these multi-ethnic populations from Russia, AF prevalence was not associated with any major ocular disease and may not play a major role in the pathogenesis of these disorders.

Impact of prior use of antiplatelet agents and non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants on stroke outcomes among endovascular-treated patients with high pre-stroke CHA2DS2-VASc score

BACKGROUND

We assessed the influence of prior non-vitamin K antagonist (NOAC) use on stroke outcomes after endovascular treatment (EVT) in patients at a high risk of stroke based on their pre-stroke CHA2DS2-VASc score, and compared them with those who did not use any antithrombotic (NAU) or antiplatelet (APT) agents.

METHODS

Data were collected from a multicenter database comprising consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients who underwent EVT during a span of 103 months. We evaluated pre-stroke CHA2DS2-VASc scores in enrolled patients and measured instances of successful reperfusion and symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation (SHT) following EVT as the main outcome measures.

RESULTS

Among 12 807 patients with acute ischemic stroke, 3765 (29.4%) had a history of atrial fibrillation. Of these, 418 patients with CHA2DS2-VASc scores ≥2 received EVT alone. The prior NOAC group showed higher successful reperfusion rates compared with the prior NAU and APT groups (p=0.04). Multivariate analysis revealed that prior NOAC use increased the likelihood of successful reperfusion after EVT (OR [95% CI] 2.54 [1.34 to 4.83], p=0.004) and improved stroke outcomes, while the prior APT group did not. Furthermore, the prior NOAC use group was not associated with SHT after EVT. Propensity score matching confirmed these findings.

CONCLUSION

Prior use of NOAC is associated with improved outcomes in high-risk stroke patients (pre-stroke CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2) undergoing EVT.

Association Between Oral Anticoagulant Adherence and Serious Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Long-Term Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with atrial fibrillation are frequently nonadherent to oral anticoagulants (OACs) prescribed for stroke and systemic embolism (SSE) prevention. We quantified the relationship between OAC adherence and atrial fibrillation clinical outcomes using methods not previously applied to this problem.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Retrospective observational cohort study of incident cases of atrial fibrillation from population-based administrative data over 23 years. The exposure of interest was proportion of days covered during 90 days before an event or end of follow-up. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate time to first SSE and the composite of SSE, transient ischemic attack, or death and several secondary outcomes. A total of 44 172 patients were included with median follow-up of 6.7 years. For direct OACs (DOACs), each 10% decrease in adherence was associated with a 14% increased hazard of SSE and 5% increased hazard of SSE, transient ischemic attack, or death. For vitamin K antagonist (VKA) the corresponding increase in SSE hazard was 3%. Receiving DOAC or VKA was associated with primary outcome hazard reduction across most the proportion of days covered spectrum. Differences between VKA and DOAC were statistically significant for all efficacy outcomes and at most adherence levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Even small reductions in OAC adherence in patients with atrial fibrillation were associated with significant increases in risk of stroke, with greater magnitudes for DOAC than VKA. DOAC recipients may be more vulnerable than VKA recipients to increased risk of stroke and death even with small reductions in adherence. The worsening efficacy outcomes associated with decreasing adherence occurred without the benefit of major bleeding reduction.

Warfarin Adherence and Its Associated Factors in Thai Older Adults with Atrial Fibrillation

Introduction

Older people mostly found unable to adhere with warfarin treatment guidelines. The health service system is challenged in order to improve medication adherence in older population under limited health resources. The purpose of this study was to explore health systems factors on warfarin adherence in older population, particularly in resources constraint setting.

Methods

This study was a cross-sectional predictive study that enrolled older people who experienced atrial fibrillation (AF) and treated by warfarin, aged 60 years and over, and followed up at the warfarin clinic.

Results

A total of 197 participants with the mean age of 72.03 years (SD = 8.84) was recruited. Almost of them (85.8%) reported adhered to warfarin prescription. More than a half (60.5%) were able to report their targeted INR. Participants who stayed with the family had 5.54 times (95% CI 1.79-19.33), took regular daily dose warfarin had 5.07 times (95% CI 1.05-24.49), perceived targeted INR had 2.94 times (95% CI 1.04-8.29), and received family support had 1.33 times (95% CI 1.11-1.60) increased odds of warfarin adherence than those who did not. Participants who perceived a barrier to taking medication had 0.93 times decreased odds of warfarin adherence than those who did not (95% CI 0.86-0.99).

Conclusion

Healthcare system should encourage family to support the older population with AF in order to increase warfarin adherence. Future research should develop intervention combining family support to promote warfarin adherence.

The impact of peri-procedural imaging on safety and efficacy of atrial fibrillation ablation: insights from the Israeli AF Catheter Ablation Registry (ICAR)

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is the most effective therapy to achieve rhythm control in atrial fibrillation (AF). Peri-procedural imaging is used in many but not all centers. However, the impact of imaging on safety and efficacy of PVI is not clear. The Israeli Catheter Ablation Registry (ICAR) is a great opportunity to explore this issue in real-world practice.

AIM

To describe the real-world utilization of peri-procedural imaging technologies in a large cohort of patients undergoing ablation for AF.

METHODS

A prospective-multicenter cohort of AF patients who underwent PVI during the years 2019-2021. Peri-procedural imaging (CT, ICE, TEE) was utilized based on the center and operator discretion. The study endpoints were peri-procedural complications and AF recurrence at 12 months follow-up among patients with and without peri-procedural imaging.

RESULTS

Between January 2019 and December 2021, a total of 921 patients underwent PVI. Peri-procedural imaging (at least 1 modality of CT, TEE, and or ICE) was utilized in 753 (81.8%) and no imaging among 168 (18.2%) patients. Cryoablation was the dominant energy used for PVI in both groups (92.3% of the non-imaging group, and 95.3% among imaging group), while RF was used in the rest of the patients. Fluoroscopy time was not different between the 2 groups; however, procedure duration was longer among the imaging group (90 min) compared to the non-imaging group (74.5 min, p = 0.006). By 12 months, the incidence of AF recurrence and repeated ablation were not different between the groups. Complications and re-hospitalization for cardiocerebrovascular reasons were not different among the 2 groups. Cox regression model demonstrated no association between preprocedural imaging and the risk of AF recurrence after ablation.

CONCLUSION

This real-world multicenter prospective registry study demonstrated that the rate of complications and the rate of recurrence of AF during 1 year follow-up were not different among patients who had PVI either with or without peri-procedural imaging.

Cardiac arrhythmia detection using artificial neural network

This paper outlines the development of the 'Cardiac Abnormality Monitoring' wearable medical device, aimed at creating a compact safety monitor integrating advanced Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithms. Given power consumption constraints and cost-effectiveness, a strategy combining sophisticated instruments with neural network algorithms is proposed to enhance performance. This approach aims to compete with high-end wearable devices, utilizing innovative manufacturing techniques. The paper evaluates the feasibility of employing the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) ANN algorithm in power-conscious wearable devices, considering its potential for offline embedded systems or IoT gadgets capable of cloud-based data uploading. The Levenberg-Marquardt ANN is chosen primarily for its practicality in prototype development, with other neural network algorithms also explored to identify potential alternatives. We have compared the six neural network models and determined the model that has the potential to replace the primary neural network model. We found that the 'Kernelized SVC with PCA' can test accuracy. To be specific, in this paper, we will evaluate the performance of the ANN model and also check its feasibility and practicality by integrating it with a constructed prototypical working model.

Tapping into Nature's Arsenal: Harnessing the Potential of Natural Antioxidants for Human Health and Disease Prevention

Numerous natural antioxidants commonly found in our daily diet have demonstrated significant benefits for human health and various diseases by counteracting the impact of reactive oxygen and nitrogen species. Their chemical properties enable a range of biological actions, including antihypertensive, antimicrobial, anti-inflammatory, anti-fibrotic, and anticancer effects. Despite promising outcomes from preclinical studies, ongoing debate persists regarding their reproducibility in human clinical models. This controversy largely stems from a lack of understanding of the pharmacokinetic properties of these compounds, coupled with the predominant focus on monotherapies in research, neglecting potential synergistic effects arising from combining different antioxidants. This study aims to provide an updated overview of natural antioxidants, operating under the hypothesis that a multitherapeutic approach surpasses monotherapy in efficacy. Additionally, this study underscores the importance of integrating these antioxidants into the daily diet, as they have the potential to prevent the onset and progression of various diseases. To reinforce this perspective, clinical findings pertaining to the treatment and prevention of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and conditions associated with ischemia and reperfusion phenomena, including myocardial infarction, postoperative atrial fibrillation, and stroke, are presented as key references.

Triglyceride-Glucose Index Predicts Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

This study aimed to explore the relationship between the trajectory of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).This prospective study included 1979 patients with AF, who were initially selected from the Kailuan study. Patients of AF were split into four groups according to the value of TyG index. The clinical endpoint was MACCE, including myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke. Cox proportional hazard models were employed to examine the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for MACCE in various trajectory groups.The mean age of all patients with AF was 67.65 ± 11.15 years, and 1752 (88.53%) were male. Over a median follow-up duration of 5.31 years, in total 227 MACCE were recorded. MACCE cumulative incidence in Quartile 4 (26.96%) was significantly higher than those in other quartiles (P = 0.023). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that a higher TyG index (Quartile 4) was significantly and positively linked to MACCE in patients with AF (P = 0.023, HR: 2.103; 95% CI: 1.107-3.994).The evaluated TyG index is significantly associated with an increased risk of MACCE in patients with AF.

Secondary stroke prevention in people with atrial fibrillation: treatments and trials

Atrial fibrillation is one of the most common cardiac arrhythmias and is a major cause of ischaemic stroke. Recent findings indicate the importance of atrial fibrillation burden (device-detected, subclinical, or paroxysmal and persistent or permanent) and whether atrial fibrillation was known before stroke onset or diagnosed after stroke for the risk of recurrence. Secondary prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation and stroke aims to reduce the risk of recurrent ischaemic stroke. Findings from randomised controlled trials assessing the optimal timing to introduce direct oral anticoagulant therapy after a stroke show that early start (ie, within 48 h for minor to moderate strokes and within 4-5 days for large strokes) seems safe and could reduce the risk of early recurrence. Other promising developments regarding early rhythm control, left atrial appendage occlusion, and novel factor XI inhibitor oral anticoagulants suggest that these therapies have the potential to further reduce the risk of stroke. Secondary prevention strategies in patients with atrial fibrillation who have a stroke despite oral anticoagulation therapy is an unmet medical need. Research advances suggest a heterogeneous spectrum of causes, and ongoing trials are investigating new approaches for secondary prevention in this vulnerable patient group. In patients with atrial fibrillation and a history of intracerebral haemorrhage, the latest data from randomised controlled trials on stroke prevention shows that oral anticoagulation reduces the risk of ischaemic stroke but more data are needed to define the safety profile.

Screening for Atrial Fibrillation by Digital Health Technology in Older People in Homecare Settings: A Feasibility Trial

Aims

Users of homecare services are often excluded from clinical trials due to advanced age, multimorbidity, and frailty. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common and frequently undiagnosed arrhythmia in the elderly and is associated with severe mortality, morbidity, and healthcare costs. Timely identification prevents associated complications through evidence-based treatment. This study is aimed at assessing the feasibility of AF screening using new digital health technology in older people in a homecare setting.

Methods

Users of homecare services ≥ 65 years old with at least one additional risk factor for stroke in two Norwegian municipalities were assessed for study participation by nurses. Participants performed a continuous prolonged ECG recording using a patch ECG device (ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor).

Results

A total of 144 individuals were assessed for study participation, but only 18 (13%) were included. The main reasons for noninclusion were known AF and/or anticoagulation therapy (25%), severe cognitive impairment (26%), and lack of willingness to participate (36%). The mean age of participants performing the ECG test was 81 (SD ± 7) years, and 9 (50%) were women. All ECG tests were interpretable; the mean ECG monitoring time was 104 hours (IQR 34-338 hours). AF was detected in one individual (6%).

Conclusion

This feasibility study highlights the challenges of enrolling older people receiving homecare services in clinical trials. However, all included participants performed an interpretable and prolonged continuous ECG recording with a digital ECG patch device. This trial is registered with NCT04700865.

Adherence to direct or vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation: a long-term observational study

Our objectives were to measure long-term adherence to oral anticoagulants (OACs) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and to identify patient factors associated with adherence. Using linked, population-based administrative data from British Columbia, Canada, an incident cohort of adults prescribed OACs for AF was identified. We calculated the proportion of days covered (PDC) as a time-dependent covariate for each 90-day window from OAC initiation until the end of follow-up. Associations between patient attributes and adherence were assessed using generalized mixed effect linear regression models. 30,264 patients were included. Mean PDC was 0.69 (SD 0.28) over a median follow-up of 6.7 years. 54% of patients were non-adherent (PDC < 0.8). After controlling for confounders, factors positively associated with adherence were number of drug class switches, history of stroke or transient ischemic attack, history of vascular disease, time since initiation, and age. Age > 75 years at initiation, polypharmacy (among VKA users only), and receiving DOAC (vs. VKA) were negatively associated with adherence. PDC decreased over time for VKA users and increased for DOAC users. Over half of AF patients studied were, on average, nonadherent to OAC therapy and missed 32% of their doses. Several patient factors were associated with higher or lower adherence, and adherence to VKA declined during therapy while DOAC adherence increased slightly over time. To min im ize the risk stroke, adherence-supporting interventions are needed for all patients with AF, particularly those aged > 75 years, those with prior stroke or vascular disease, VKA users with polypharmacy, and DOAC recipients.

High Diagnostic Accuracy of Long-Term Electrocardiogram Interpretation by General Practitioners

Aims

Traditional long-term ECG monitoring systems have primarily been used by cardiologist. New remote and wearable easy-to-use devices have led to increased use of ECG recordings also outside cardiology clinics. The aims of this study were to assess the feasibility and diagnostic accuracy of interpretation of the one-lead ECG recordings from a patch ECG device (ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor system) by general practitioners (GP).

Methods

Norwegian GPs were invited to digitally assess 10 long-term ECG recordings with different arrhythmias performed by the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor system. For all ECG examinations, the presence/absence of different arrhythmias was registered.

Results

A total of 40 GPs accepted the invitation and assessed all the 10 long-term ECG recordings. All the tests were assessed as interpretable by all the GPs. Arrhythmias (atrial fibrillation/flutter, supraventricular tachycardia, and ventricular tachycardia) were correctly identified in most cases, with sensitivity of 98% (95% CI 95-99%), specificity of 75% (95% CI 68-82%), and diagnostic accuracy of 89% (85-92%). Incorrect automatic system algorithm interpretations were rarely corrected by the GPs.

Conclusion

GPs interpreted one-lead recordings by the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor system with high diagnostic accuracy for common arrhythmias. However, in cases with rare arrhythmias, we recommend consulting a cardiologist to confirm the diagnosis before treatment is initiated. This trial is registered with NCT04700865.

Emergency medicine updates: Atrial fibrillation with rapid ventricular response

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) may lead to stroke, heart failure, and death. When AF occurs in the context of a rapid ventricular rate/response (RVR), this can lead to complications, including hypoperfusion and cardiac ischemia. Emergency physicians play a key role in the diagnosis and management of this dysrhythmia.

OBJECTIVE

This paper evaluates key evidence-based updates concerning AF with RVR for the emergency clinician.

DISCUSSION

Differentiating primary and secondary AF with RVR and evaluating hemodynamic stability are vital components of ED assessment and management. Troponin can assist in determining the risk of adverse outcomes, but universal troponin testing is not required in patients at low risk of acute coronary syndrome or coronary artery disease - especially patients with recurrent episodes of paroxysmal AF that are similar to their prior events. Emergent cardioversion is indicated in hemodynamically unstable patients. Rate or rhythm control should be pursued in hemodynamically stable patients. Elective cardioversion is a safe option for select patients and may reduce AF symptoms and risk of AF recurrence. Rate control using beta blockers or calcium channel blockers should be pursued in those with AF with RVR who do not undergo cardioversion. Anticoagulation is an important component of management, and several tools (e.g., CHA2DS2-VASc) are available to assist with this decision. Direct oral anticoagulants are the first-line medication class for anticoagulation. Disposition can be challenging, and several risk assessment tools (e.g., RED-AF, AFFORD, and the AFTER (complex, modified, and pragmatic) scores) are available to assist with disposition decisions.

CONCLUSION

An understanding of the recent updates in the literature concerning AF with RVR can assist emergency clinicians in the care of these patients.

lncRNA LENGA sponges miR-378 to promote myocardial fibrosis in atrial fibrillation

miR-378 is known to suppress myocardial fibrosis, while its upstream regulators have not been identified. lncRNA LENGA is a recently identified lncRNA in cancer biology. We observed the altered expression of LENGA in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients and predicted its interaction with miR-378. We then explored the interaction between LENGA and miR-378 in AF. Angiotensin-II (Ang-II)-induced human atrial cardiac fibroblasts and human atrial muscle tissues were collected and the expression of LENGA and miR-378 was determined by RT-qPCR. The interaction between LENGA and miR-378 was analyzed through bioinformatics analysis and confirmed by RNA pulldown assay. Cell proliferation and collagen production were analyzed through in vitro assay to analyze the role of LENGA and miR-378 in MF. AF patients showed increased expression of LENGA and deceased expression of miR-378 compared to the sinus rhythm group. LENGA and miR-378 interacted with each other, while they are not closely correlated with each other. Overexpression assay showed that LENGA and miR-378 overexpression failed to affect each other's expression. LENGA promoted collagen production and proliferation of Ang-II-induced atrial fibroblasts, while miR-378 played opposite roles. Moreover, LENGA suppressed the function of miR-378. Therefore, LENGA may sponge miR-378 to promote MF in AF.

Fully digital self-screening for atrial fibrillation with patch electrocardiogram

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia worldwide. The AF is associated with severe mortality, morbidity, and healthcare costs, and guidelines recommend screening people at risk. However, screening methods and organization still need to be clarified. The current study aimed to assess the feasibility of a fully digital self-screening procedure and to assess the prevalence of undetected AF using a continuous patch electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring system.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Individuals ≥65 years old with at least one additional risk factor for stroke from the general population of Norway were invited to a fully digital continuous self-screening for AF using a patch ECG device (ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor). Participants self-reported clinical characteristics and usability online, and all participants received digital feedback of their results. A total of 2118 individuals with a mean CHA2DS2-VASc risk score of 2.6 (0.9) were enrolled in the study [74% women; mean age 70.1 years (4.2)]. Of these, 1849 (87.3%) participants completed the ECG self-screening test, while 215 (10.2%) did not try to start the test and 54 (2.5%) failed to start the test. The system usability score was 84.5. The mean ECG monitoring time was 153 h (87). Atrial fibrillation was detected in 41 (2.2%) individuals.

CONCLUSION

This fully digitalized self-screening procedure for AF demonstrated excellent feasibility. The number needed to screen was 45 to detect one unrecognized case of AF in subjects at risk for stroke. Randomized studies with long-term follow-up are needed to assess whether self-screening for AF can reduce the incidence of AF-related complications.

CLINICAL TRIALS

NCT04700865.

ANMCO-SIMEU consensus document: appropriate management of atrial fibrillation in the emergency department

Atrial fibrillation (AF) accounts for 2% of the total presentations to the emergency department (ED) and represents the most frequent arrhythmic cause for hospitalization. It steadily increases the risk of thromboembolic events and is often associated with several comorbidities that negatively affect patient's quality of life and prognosis. AF has a considerable impact on healthcare resources, making the promotion of an adequate and coordinated management of this arrhythmia necessary in order to avoid clinical complications and to implement the adoption of appropriate technological and pharmacological treatment options. AF management varies across regions and hospitals and there is also heterogeneity in the use of anticoagulation and electric cardioversion, with limited use of direct oral anticoagulants. The ED represents the first access point for early management of patients with AF. The appropriate management of this arrhythmia in the acute setting has a great impact on improving patient's quality of life and outcomes as well as on rationalization of the financial resources related to the clinical course of AF. Therefore, physicians should provide a well-structured clinical and diagnostic pathway for patients with AF who are admitted to the ED. This should be based on a tight and propositional collaboration among several specialists, i.e. the ED physician, cardiologist, internal medicine physician, anesthesiologist. The aim of this ANMCO-SIMEU consensus document is to provide shared recommendations for promoting an integrated, accurate, and up-to-date management of patients with AF admitted to the ED or Cardiology Department, in order to make it homogeneous across the national territory.

PI3K(p110α) as a determinant and gene therapy for atrial enlargement in atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an irregular heart rhythm, characterised by chaotic atrial activation, which is promoted by remodelling. Once initiated, AF can also propagate the progression of itself in the so-called ''AF begets AF''. Several lines of investigation have shown that signalling molecules, including reactive oxygen species, angiotensin II, and phosphoinositide 3-kinases (PI3Ks), in presence or absence of cardiovascular disease risk factors, stabilise and promote AF maintenance. In particular, reduced cardiac-specific PI3K activity that is not associated with oncology is cardiotoxic and increases susceptibility to AF. Atrial-specific PI3K(p110α) transgene can cause pathological atrial enlargement. Highlighting the crucial importance of the p110α protein in a clinical problem that currently challenges the professional health care practice, in over forty (40) transgenic mouse models of AF (Table1), currently existing, of which some of the models are models of human genetic disorders, including PI3K(p110α) transgenic mouse model, over 70% of them reporting atrial size showed enlarged, greater atrial size. Individuals with minimal to severely dilated atria develop AF more likely. Left atrial diameter and volume stratification are an assessment for follow-up surveillance to detect AF. Gene therapy to reduce atrial size will be associated with a reduction in AF burden. In this overview, PI3K(p110α), a master regulator of organ size, was investigated in atrial enlargement and in physiological determinants that promote AF.

Single-lead VDD pacing: a literature review on short-term and long-term performance

INTRODUCTION

VDD pacing system was introduced more than 30 years ago. Its use is considered by the 2021 European Society of Cardiology guidelines on cardiac pacing as a potential alternative to dual chambers system for patients with atrioventricular block and normal sinus node function.

AREAS COVERED

In this article, we performed a narrative review of current literature in order to identify the strengths and weaknesses of this pacing system. VDD system allows the maintenance of AV synchronous pacing and its hemodynamic advantages. Some disadvantages may be related to the non-negligible incidence of atrial undersensing and the possible subsequent need for upgrade to DDD system. On the other hand, shorter implantation time and lower complications rate may be advantages.

EXPERT OPINION

In the modern pacing era, VDD pacing system struggles to find its own space. However, it may still be considered as a valuable alternative to a dual-chamber pacemaker for selected patients, in specific clinical scenarios.

Immune infiltration and immunophenotyping in atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a relatively common arrhythmia in clinical practice. Although significant progress has been achieved in the treatment of AF and its associated complications, research on AF prevention lags behind, mainly due to the lack of a deep understanding of AF pathogenesis. In recent years, as our knowledge has grown, the role of the inflammatory/immune response in the occurrence and progression of AF has gradually gained attention. In this paper, based on existing gene expression data in the Gene Expression Omnibus database, a detailed description of immune infiltration status in AF is presented using a series of analytical methods, including differential analysis, Gene Ontology categorization, Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes enrichment analysis, and weighted gene coexpression network analysis, and analysis tools such as CIBERSORTx and Cytoscape. Several new AF/immune infiltrations-related signature genes were identified, and the AF/immune infiltration pathology was classified based on these immune signature genes, thus providing novel insights into the pathogenesis of AF based on the inflammatory response.

Global, regional, and national burden of disease study of atrial fibrillation/flutter, 1990-2019: results from a global burden of disease study, 2019

Background

Data from the Global Burden of Disease, Injury, and Risk Factor Study 2019 (GBD 2019) was used to assess the burden and change in prevalence, incidence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years, and risk factors for atrial fibrillation/flutter in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019.

Methods

Incidence, prevalence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and their age-standardized rates of AF/AFL were analyzed by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and human development index (HDI) using the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 (GBD2019) results，and risk factors for AF/AFL (mainly high systolic blood pressure, high body-mass index, alcohol use, smoking and diet high in sodium) were differentially analyzed.

Results

There are 59.70 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 45.73–75.29 million) AF/AFL patients worldwide in 2019, with 4.72 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 3.64–5.96 million) new cases and 0.315 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 0.268–0.361 million) and 8.39 million disability-adjusted years (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 6.69–10.54 million). The highest risk factor for deaths, DALYs attributable to AF/AFL in 2019 was high systolic blood pressure, high body-mass index, alcohol use, smoking, and diet high in sodium. It is estimated that between 2030 and 2034, the total incidence of male AF/ AFL will be 16.08 million, and the total number of deaths will be 1.01 million. For females, the total number of incidence is 16.85 million, and the total number of deaths is 1.49 million.

Conclusions

AF/AFL remains a major global public health problem, although the ASR of prevalence, incidence, and DALY at the worldwide level showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 2019(the ASR of deaths increased slightly). However, the unfavorable trend observed in this study in countries with lower SDI suggests that current prevention and treatment strategies should be reoriented. Some countries should develop more targeted and specific strategies to prevent the increase of AF/AFL.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-14403-2.

Identifying unmet antithrombotic therapeutic need, and implications for stroke and systemic embolism in atrial fibrillation patients: a population-scale longitudinal study

Aims

Guidelines recommend anticoagulation (AC) in atrial fibrillation (AF) to reduce stroke and systemic embolism (SSE) risk; however, implementation has been slow across many populations. This study aimed to quantify the potential impact of changing prevalence of AF, associated risk, and AC prescribing on SSE hospitalizations and death.

Methods and results

We evaluated temporal trends of AF, CHA2DS2-VASc, antithrombotic prescriptions, SSE hospitalizations, death, and their associations between 2012 and 2018 in a longitudinal cohort of AF patients in Wales UK. Multi-state Markov models were used to estimate expected SSE rates given the AC coverage, adjusting for CHA2DS2-VASc scores. SSE rates were modelled for various past and future AC scenarios. A total of 107 137 AF patients were evaluated (mean age = 74 years, 45% female). AF prevalence increased from 1.75 to 2.22% (P-value <0.001). SSE hospitalizations decreased by 18% (2.34-1.92%, P-value <0.001). Increased AC coverage from 50 to 70% was associated with a 37% lower SSE rate, after adjustment for individual time-dependent CHA2DS2VASc scores. The observed AC increase accounted for approximately 80 fewer SSE hospitalizations per 100 000/year. If 90% AC coverage had been achieved since 2012, an estimated 279 SSE per 100 000/year may have been prevented. Our model also predicts that improving AC coverage to 90% over the next 9 years could reduce annual SSE rates by 9%.

Conclusion

We quantified the relationship between observed AC coverage, estimating the potential impact of variation in the timing of large-scale implementation. These data emphasize the importance of timely implementation and the considerable opportunity to improve clinical outcomes in the Wales-AF population.

A novel murine model of atrial fibrillation by diphtheria toxin-induced injury

The treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF) continues to be a significant clinical challenge. While genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are beginning to identify AF susceptibility genes (Gudbjartsson et al., Nature, 2007, 448, 353-357; Choi et al., Circ. Res., 2020, 126, 200-209; van Ouwerkerk et al., Circ. Res., 2022, 127, 229-243), non-genetic risk factors including physical, chemical, and biological environments remain the major contributors to the development of AF. However, little is known regarding how non-genetic risk factors promote the pathogenesis of AF (Weiss et al., Heart Rhythm, 2016, 13, 1868-1877; Chakraborty et al., Heart Rhythm, 2020, 17, 1,398-1,404; Nattel et al., Circ. Res., 2020, 127, 51-72). This is, in part, due to the lack of a robust and reliable animal model induced by non-genetic factors. The currently available models using rapid pacing protocols fail to generate a stable AF phenotype in rodent models, often requiring additional genetic modifications that introduce potential sources of bias (Schüttler et al., Circ. Res., 2020, 127, 91-110). Here, we report a novel murine model of AF using an inducible and tissue-specific activation of diphtheria toxin (DT)-mediated cellular injury system. By the tissue-specific and inducible expression of human HB-EGF in atrial myocytes, we developed a reliable, robust and scalable murine model of AF that is triggered by a non-genetic inducer without the need for AF susceptibility gene mutations.

Sex and ethnicity modified high 1-year mortality in patients in Singapore with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

We investigated sex and ethnic differences in the incidence, clinical characteristics and 1-year mortality of patients with newly diagnosed AF in a multi-ethnic population.

METHOD

This retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with AF from 2008 to 2015 was based on medical claims, casemix and subvention data submitted to the Ministry of Health. Patients with AF were matched with controls without AF for age (3-year bands), sex and ethnicity, and categorised as middle-aged (45-64 years) or elderly (≥65 years) among major ethnic groups in Singapore (Chinese, Malay and Indian).

RESULTS

Among 40,602 adults with AF (elderly 74%), Malays had the highest age-standardised incidence rate of AF, followed by Chinese and Indians; and the rate was higher in men. Despite having the worst cardiovascular risk profile, Indians had the lowest prevalence and incidence of AF. The 1-year mortality rate after newly diagnosed AF was 22-26 deaths per 100 people. Newly diagnosed AF was independently associated with increased 1-year all-cause mortality among middle-aged (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 9.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 7.36-11.20) and elderly adults (AOR 3.60, 95% CI 3.40-3.80) compared with those without AF. Sex differences in mortality among patients with AF were limited to elderly adults (men: AOR 1.17, 95% CI 1.11-1.24), while Indians were associated with a 30% increased odds of mortality compared with Chinese regardless of age (middle-aged: AOR 1.27, 95% CI 1.09-1.548 elderly: AOR 1.33, 95% CI 1.22-1.45).

CONCLUSION

Variations in incidence, clinical profile and 1-year mortality of patients with AF in a nationwide cohort were influenced by sex and ethnicity. Newly diagnosed AF portends a worse prognosis and is a marker of high mortality within the first year.

Systemic immune inflammation index and system inflammation response index are potential biomarkers of atrial fibrillation among the patients presenting with ischemic stroke

Background

Chronic inflammatory disorders in atrial fibrillation (AF) contribute to the onset of ischemic stroke. Systemic immune inflammation index (SIII) and system inflammation response index (SIRI) are the two novel and convenient measurements that are positively associated with body inflammation. However, little is known regarding the association between SIII/SIRI with the presence of AF among the patients with ischemic stroke.

Methods

A total of 526 ischemic stroke patients (173 with AF and 353 without AF) were consecutively enrolled in our study from January 2017 to June 2019. SIII and SIRI were measured in both groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyse the potential association between SIII/SIRI and the presence of AF. Finally, the correlation between hospitalization expenses, changes in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores and SIII/SIRI values were measured.

Results

In patients with ischemic stroke, SIII and SIRI values were significantly higher in AF patients than in non-AF patients (all p < 0.001). Moreover, with increasing quartiles of SIII and SIRI in all patients, the proportion of patients with AF was higher than that of non-AF patients gradually. Logistic regression analyses demonstrated that log-transformed SIII and log-transformed SIRI were independently associated with the presence of AF in patients with ischemic stroke (log-transformed SIII: odds ratio [OR]: 1.047, 95% confidence interval CI = 0.322–1.105, p = 0.047; log-transformed SIRI: OR: 6.197, 95% CI = 2.196–17.484, p = 0.001). Finally, a positive correlation between hospitalization expenses, changes in the NIHSS scores and SIII/SIRI were found, which were more significant in patients with AF (all p < 0.05).

Conclusions

Our study suggests SIII and SIRI are convenient and effective measurements for predicting the presence of AF in patients with ischemic stroke. Moreover, they were correlated with increased financial burden and poor short-term prognosis in AF patients presenting with ischemic stroke.

The Chinese burden of atrial fibrillation review of atrial fibrillation studies in China

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common heart rate disorders, but most relevant studies are mainly focused on Europe and The United States, while information about AF in the Chinese population is scarce. The purpose of this study was to provide a review of the literature on atrial fibrillation in China.

METHODS

A literature search (Medline 2001-2021) identified studies reporting the prevalence or incidence of AF, risk factors for AF, comorbidities of AF, and use of antithrombotic therapy in China. This report focuses on descriptive analytical data.

RESULTS

Studies reported a wide variation in the prevalence of AF, with a range of community-based and hospital-based AF rates (from 0.49% to 8.8% and 4.4% to 35.7%). Aspirin and warfarin use was found to be particularly low in community-based studies in China, and warfarin and amiodarone use was higher in hospital-based studies than in other countries. Stroke is the most common complication of atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSIONS

More high-quality studies are needed to improve our understanding of the burden of atrial fibrillation in China. Efforts should be made to improve community delivery and monitoring of antithrombotic therapy after AF. Due to China's large population, the number of patients with untreated AF and the risk of accompanying complications can be high, so the impact on healthcare resources can be significant.

Epidemiology of atrial fibrillation in a representative sample of the European part of the Russian Federation. Analysis of EPOCH-CHF study

Aim    To study true prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in a representative sample from the European part of the Russian Federation; to describe characteristics of patients with AF; and to provide the frequency of anticoagulant treatment.Material and methods    Cross-sectional data of the EPOCH epidemiological study (2017) were used. Data were collected in 8 constituent entities of the Russian Federation; the sample size was 11 453 people. The sample included all respondents who had given their consent for participation and were older than 10 years. Statistical tests were performed in the R system for statistical data analysis.Results    The prevalence of AF in the representative sample from the European part of the Russian Federation was 2.04 %. The AF prevalence increased with age and reached a maximum value of 9.6% in the age group of 80 to 89 years. The AF prevalence among females was 1.5 times higher than among men. With age standardization, the AF prevalence was 18.95 and 21.33 per 1,000 people for men and women, respectively. The AF prevalence increased in the presence of concurrent cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) or diabetes mellitus as well as with an increased number of comorbidities in the same person and reached 70.3 and 60.0 % in patients with 4 and 5 comorbidities, respectively. Patients with AF had a greater number of comorbidities and higher CHA2DS2VASc scores (5.0 vs. 2.0, p&lt;0.001) compared to patients with CVDs without AF. Only 22.6 % of patients with CVD and AF took anticoagulants. Only 23.9% of patients with absolute indications for the anticoagulant treatment received anticoagulants.Conclusion    The AF prevalence in the European part of the Russian Federation was 2.04 %; it increased with age and in patients with concurrent CVDs or diabetes mellitus. Most of AF patients (93.2 %) required a mandatory treatment with oral anticoagulants.

Demographics and Risk Profile of Elderly Middle Eastern Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: The Jordan Atrial Fibrillation (JoFib) Study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia that is associated with high morbidity and mortality. The prevalence of AF increases with age and the elderly constitute a vulnerable cohort for higher stroke and bleeding complications.

Methods

A total of 2163 adult consecutive patients with AF in 19 hospitals and 11 outpatient clinics in Jordan were enrolled in the Jordan AF study from May 2019 to January 2021. The clinical characteristics, demographics, and risk profiles of the elderly patients (≥80 years old) were compared to the younger patients (<80 years old).

Results

Of 2163 patients, 379 (17.5%) constituted the elderly group. The elderly group had higher prevalence of hypertension (79.9% vs 73.5%, p=0.01), lower prevalence of smoking (5.0% vs 15.2%, p<0.001) and lower body mass index (28.1 ± 5.5 kg/m² vs 29.8 ± 6.2 kg/m², p<0.001) compared with younger patients. They also had more strokes or systemic emboli (25.6% vs 14.7%, p<0.001), heart failure (30.3% vs 22.9%, p=0.002), pulmonary hypertension (30.6% vs 24.8%, p=0.02), and chronic kidney disease (13.5% vs 8.3%, p=0.002). The elderly cohort had higher mean CHA2DS2-VASc (5.0 ± 1.5 vs 3.6 ± 1.8, p<0.001) and HAS-BLED scores (2.2 ± 1.1 vs 1.5 ± 1.1, p<0.001) compared to younger group. Among 370 elderly with non-valvular AF (NVAF), oral anticoagulant agents (OACs) were prescribed for 278 (84.2%) of eligible high-risk patients. Of the 1402 younger patients with NVAF, OACs were prescribed for 1133 (84.3%) of eligible patients. Direct oral anticoagulant agents (DOACs) were more frequently used in the elderly compared to the young (72.3% vs 62.3%, p<0.001).

Conclusion

Elderly Middle Eastern AF patients have worse baseline clinical profiles and higher risk scores compared to younger patients. The majority of the elderly were prescribed guideline directed OACs, with higher use of DOACs than the younger cohort.

Clinical Studies Registration

The study is registered on clinicaltrials.gov (unique identifier number NCT03917992).

Artificial Intelligence and Atrial Fibrillation

In the context of atrial fibrillation (AF), traditional clinical practices have thus far fallen short in several domains such as identifying patients at risk of incident AF or patients with concomitant undetected paroxysmal AF. Novel approaches leveraging artificial intelligence have the potential to provide new tools to deal with some of these old problems. In this review we focus on the roles of artificial intelligence-enabled ECG pertaining to AF, potential roles of deep learning (DL) models in the context of current knowledge gaps, as well as limitations of these models. One key area where DL models can translate to better patient outcomes is through automated ECG interpretation. Further, we overview some of the challenges facing AF screening and the harms and benefits of screening. In this context, a unique model was developed to detect underlying hidden AF from sinus rhythm and is discussed in detail with its potential uses. Knowledge gaps also remain regarding the best ways to monitor patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) and who would benefit most from oral anticoagulation. The AI-enabled AF model is one potential way to tackle this complex problem as it could be used to identify a subset of high-risk ESUS patients likely to benefit from empirical oral anticoagulation. Role of DL models assessing AF burden from long duration ECG data is also discussed as a way of guiding management. There is a trend towards the use of consumer-grade wristbands and watches to detect AF from photoplethysmography data. However, ECG currently remains the gold standard to detect arrythmias including AF. Lastly, role of adequate external validation of the models and clinical trials to study true performance is discussed. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Echocardiographic Assessment of Atrial Function: From Basic Mechanics to Specific Cardiac Diseases

The left and right atria serve as buffer chambers to control the flow of venous blood for ventricular filling. If an atrium is absent, blood does not flow effectively into the ventricle, leading to venous blood retention and low cardiac output. The importance of atrial function has become increasingly recognized, because left atrial (LA) function contributes to cardiac performance, and loss of LA function is associated with heart failure. LA volume change has been used for LA function assessment in experimental and clinical studies. In conjunction with LA pressure, the LA pressure–volume relationship provides a better understanding of LA mechanics. LA strain measurement by speckle tracking echocardiography was introduced to evaluate three components of LA function as a (booster) pump, reservoir and conduit. Furthermore, increasing evidence supports the theory that LA reservoir strain has prognostic utility in various cardiac diseases. In this review, we summarize LA contribution to maintain cardiac performance by evaluating LA function with echocardiography according to our experiences and previous reports. Furthermore, we discuss LA dysfunction in challenging cardiac diseases of cardiac amyloidosis and adult congenital heart disease.

Remote ECG Monitoring by ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor

Background

Heart rhythm disorders are common and may be associated with serious complications. The quality of the ECG signal is crucial to detect and classify arrhythmias. Most available devices for assessment arrhythmias do not allow for remote monitoring. The Norwegian ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor is a new remote patch monitor developed to simplify the assessment of arrhythmias. This study was aimed at evaluating the quality of the ECG signal from the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor compared to standard 12-lead ECG.

Methods

ECG recordings with ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor and a standard 12-lead ECG recorder were performed in 97 volunteers at Sorlandet Hospital, Arendal, Norway, in 2019. All ECGs were analysed by two independent cardiologists.

Results

A total of 97 participants (53% men, age 48 (±14) years) were included in the study. The ability for both systems to use recorded ECG data for arrhythmia detection was good (100%). The quality of the P-wave (mean score 1.1 vs. 1.5) and the QRS complex (mean score 1.0 vs. 1.0) from the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor and that from the 12-lead ECG were comparable (scale: 1: extremely good, 9: not accepted). Noise artefacts were a minor issue in all recordings.

Conclusions

The ECG quality from the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor was comparable to the ECG quality from the standard 12-lead ECG. The ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor may enable easy and remote diagnostics of heart rhythm disorders. This trial is registered with NCT04700865.

Younger age of stroke in low-middle income countries is related to healthcare access and quality

Stroke is the second leading cause of mortality globally with higher burden and younger age in low‐middle income countries (LMICs) than high‐income countries (HICs). However, it is unclear to what extent differences in healthcare access and quality (HAQ) and prevalence of risk factors between LMICs and HICs contribute to younger age of stroke in LMICs. In this systematic review, we conducted meta‐analysis of 67 articles and compared the mean age of stroke between LMICs and HICs, before and after adjusting for HAQ index. We also compared the prevalence of main stroke risk factors between HICs and LMICs. The unadjusted mean age of stroke in LMICs was significantly lower than HICs (63.1 vs. 68.6), regardless of gender (63.9 vs. 66.6 among men, and 65.6 vs. 70.7 among women) and whether data were collected in population‐ (64.7 vs. 69.5) or hospital‐based (62.6 vs. 65.9) studies (all p < 0.01). However, after adjusting for HAQ index, the difference in the mean age of stroke between LMICs and HICs was not significant (p ≥ 0.10), except among women (p = 0.048). In addition, while the median prevalence of hypertension in LMICs was 23.4% higher than HICs, the prevalence of all other risk factors was lower in LMICs than HICs. Our findings suggest a much larger contribution of HAQ to the younger mean age of stroke in LMICs, as compared with other potential factors. Additional studies on stroke care quality and accessibility are needed in LMICs.

The prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Greenland: a register-based cross-sectional study based on disease classifications and prescriptions of oral anticoagulants

   Previous studies of the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Greenland are based on either single-point electrocardiograms (ECGs) or patients admitted with stroke. This study estimates the prevalence of AF based on disease classifications in the electronic medical record system (EMR) and prescriptions of oral anticoagulants (OACs). Patients given a diagnose classification code for AF or atrial flutter or prescribed the vitamin K antagonist Warfarin or the direct-acting oral anticoagulant Rivaroxaban were identified in the EMR. Descriptive data and selected laboratory values were extracted, and a minimum CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was calculated for the 790 patients identified in the EMR (66% men). A total prevalence of AF of 1.4% was found in the general population (1.8% among men and 1.0% among women), with a significantly lower prevalence among women younger than 70 years. There was a significant increase in AF-prevalence with advancing age (p<0.001) for both men and women. A minimum CHA₂DS₂-VASc was estimated and app. 10% of the patients may be undertreated with OACs. The prevalence of AF found in this study is higher than that found in previous studies in Greenland and comparable to the prevalence found in other Western countries, indicating that AF is common in Greenland.

Choice of antithrombotic therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing carotid angioplasty and stenting: a nationwide population-based study

Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and carotid stenosis are important risk factors for stroke. Carotid angioplasty and stent placement (CAS) is recommended for patients with symptomatic high-grade carotid stenosis. The optimal medical management for patients with NVAF after CAS remains unclear. We aimed to clarify this issue using real-world data from the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). In total, 2116 consecutive NVAF patients who received CAS between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2016, from NHIRD were divided into groups based on post-procedure medication as follows: only antiplatelet agent (OAP, n = 587); only anticoagulation agent (OAC, n = 477); dual antiplatelet agents (DAP, n = 49); and a combination of antiplatelet and anticoagulation agents (CAPAC, n = 304). Mortality, vascular events, and major bleeding episodes were compared after matching with the Charlson comorbidity index and CHA2DS2-VASc score. The CAPAC and the OAC groups had lower mortality rates than the OAP group (P = 0.0219), with no statistical differences in major bleeding, ischemic stroke, or vascular events. Conclusively, OAC therapy after CAS appears suitable for NVAF patients. CAPAC therapy might be considered as initial therapy or when there is concern about vascular events.

Risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Cardiac arrhythmias have a strong association with pneumonia due to the cardiovascular response to infection. Electrocardiographic (ECG) changes in patients with pneumonia are associated with greater disease severity. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of cardiac arrhythmia.

OBJECTIVE

This population-based cohort study investigated the incidence of AF among Taiwanese adults with pneumonia using data from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan.

METHODS

A total of 34,883 patients with pneumonia and an equal number of individuals without pneumonia were eligible after excluding those with a previous diagnosis of AF and matching 1:1 by age, sex, and comorbidities. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate hazard ratios for AF in both groups.

RESULTS

Patients were more likely to develop AF throughout the 1-year follow-up period after the diagnosis of pneumonia. The incidence of AF was 1.2 (414/334,746) per 1000 person-months. Patients with pneumonia had a 4.08-fold (95% confidence interval 3.37-4.95) increased risk for AF compared to patients without pneumonia.

CONCLUSION

Patients with pneumonia exhibited an increased risk for AF, especially in the early period after diagnosis of pneumonia.

Cardiovascular Benefits With Favorable Renal, Amputation and Hypoglycemic Outcomes of SGLT-2 Inhibitors in Type 2 Diabetes From the Asian Perspective: A Population-Based Cohort Study and Systematic Review

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the effects of sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4is) in a large real-world Asian cohort with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and performed a systematic review with integrating the present study findings to provide up-to-date evidence from the Asian perspective.

METHODS

New users of SGLT2is or DPP4is were identified from the Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database and followed until 2018. Primary outcomes were hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) and three-point major adverse cardiovascular event (3P-MACE; namely, myocardial infarction [MI], stroke, or cardiovascular death). Other outcomes included all-cause death, chronic kidney disease (CKD), amputation, and hospitalized hypoglycemia. Subdistribution hazard models were employed to assess treatment-associated clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 21,329 SGLT2i and DPP4i propensity-score-matched pairs were analyzed. SGLT2is versus DPP4is showed lower risks of HHF (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 0.52 [0.45-0.59]), 3P-MACE (0.62 [0.55-0.70]), MI (0.63 [0.50-0.79]), stroke (0.60 [0.51-0.70]), all-cause death (0.57 [0.49-0.67]), CKD (0.46 [0.43-0.50]), amputation (0.64 [0.42-0.98]), and hospitalized hypoglycemia (0.54 [0.45-0.64]). Our results were consistent with findings from a systematic review.

CONCLUSION

Among Asian patients with T2D, SGLT2is versus DPP4is showed benefits for several clinical outcomes. More research is warranted to explore the heterogeneous treatment effects of SGLT2is and DPP4is by race/ethnicity.

Identification of undiagnosed atrial fibrillation using a machine learning risk prediction algorithm and diagnostic testing (PULsE-AI) in primary care: cost-effectiveness of a screening strategy evaluated in a randomized controlled trial in England

OBJECTIVE

The PULsE-AI trial sought to determine the effectiveness of a screening strategy that included a machine learning risk prediction algorithm in conjunction with diagnostic testing for identification of undiagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) in primary care. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of implementing the screening strategy in a real-world setting.

METHODS

Data from the PULsE-AI trial - a prospective, randomized, controlled trial conducted across six general practices in England from June 2019 to February 2021 - were used to inform a cost-effectiveness analysis that included a hybrid screening decision tree and Markov AF disease progression model. Model outcomes were reported at both individual- and population-level (estimated UK population ≥30 years of age at high-risk of undiagnosed AF) and included number of patients screened, number of AF cases identified, mean total and incremental costs (screening, events, treatment), quality-adjusted-life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

RESULTS

The screening strategy was estimated to result in 45,493 new diagnoses of AF across the high-risk population in the UK (3.3 million), and an estimated additional 14,004 lifetime diagnoses compared with routine care only. Per-patient costs for high-risk individuals who underwent the screening strategy were estimated at £1,985 (vs £1,888 for individuals receiving routine care only). At a population-level, the screening strategy was associated with a cost increase of approximately £322 million and an increase of 81,000 QALYs. The screening strategy demonstrated cost-effectiveness versus routine care only at an accepted ICER threshold of £20,000 per QALY-gained, with an ICER of £3,994/QALY.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with routine care only, it is cost-effective to target individuals at high risk of undiagnosed AF, through an AF risk prediction algorithm, who should then undergo diagnostic testing. This AF risk prediction algorithm can reduce the number of patients needed to be screened to identify undiagnosed AF, thus alleviating primary care burden.

Prognostic value of initial electrocardiography in predicting long-term all-cause mortality in COVID-19

BACKGROUND

The electrocardiography (ECG) has short-term prognostic value in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), yet its ability to predict long-term mortality is unknown. This study aimed to elucidate the predictive role of initial ECG on long-term all-cause mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, adults with COVID-19 who underwent ECG testing within a 17-hospital health system in Northeast Ohio and Florida between 03/2020-06/2020 were identified. An expert ECG reader analyzed all studies blinded to patient status. The associations of ECG characteristics with long-term all-cause mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression model and multivariable logistic regression models, respectively. Status of long-term mortality was adjudicated on 01/07/2022.

RESULTS

Of 837 patients (median age 65 years, 51% female, 44% Black), 683 (81.6%) were hospitalized, 281 (33.6%) required ICU admission, 67 (8.0%) died in-hospital, and 206 (24.6%) died at final follow-up after a median (IQR) of 21 (9-103) days after ECG. Overall, 179 (20.7%) patients presented with sinus tachycardia, 12 (1.4%) with atrial flutter, and 45 (5.4%) with atrial fibrillation (AF). After multivariable adjustment, sinus tachycardia (E-value for HR=3.09, lower CI=2.2) and AF (E-value for HR=3.13, lower CI=2.03) each independently predicted all-cause mortality. At final follow-up, patients with AF had 64.5% probability of death compared with 20.5% for those with normal sinus rhythm (P<.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Sinus tachycardia and AF on initial ECG strongly predict long-term all-cause mortality in COVID-19. The ECG can serve as a powerful long-term prognostic tool in COVID-19.

Longitudinal Oral Anticoagulant Adherence Trajectories in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Conventional adherence summary measures do not capture the dynamic nature of adherence.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to characterize distinct long-term oral anticoagulant adherence trajectories and the factors associated with them in patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

Adults with incident atrial fibrillation were identified using linked population-based administrative health data in British Columbia, Canada (1996-2019). Group-based trajectory modeling was used to model patients' 90-day proportions of days covered over time to identify distinct 5-year adherence trajectories. Multinomial regression analysis was used to assess the effect of various demographic and clinical factors on exhibiting each adherence trajectory.

RESULTS

The study cohort included 19,749 patients with AF (mean age: 70.6 ± 10.6 years), 56% male, mean CHA₂DS₂-VASc stroke risk score 2.8 ± 1.4. Group-based trajectory modeling identified 4 distinct oral anticoagulants adherence trajectories: "consistent adherence" (n = 14,631, 74% of the cohort), "rapid decline and discontinuation" (n = 2,327, 12%), "rapid decline and partial recovery" (n = 1,973, 10%), and "slow decline and discontinuation" (n = 819, 4%). Very few patient variables were found to be associated with specific adherence trajectories.

CONCLUSIONS

There is heterogeneity among nonadherent patients in the rate and timing of decline in their medication taking. Clinical and demographic characteristics were found to be inadequate to predict patients' adherence trajectories. Insights from this study could be used to inform the design and timing of adherence interventions, and qualitative studies may be needed to better understand the psychosocial determinants and reasons for the behaviors reflected in the identified trajectories.

Cardiovascular and major bleeding outcomes with antiplatelet and direct oral anticoagulants in patients with acute coronary syndrome and atrial fibrillation: A population-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are replacing warfarin for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effectiveness and safety of concomitant treatment with antiplatelet-DOAC compared to antiplatelet-warfarin in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and AF.

DESIGN

Retrospective propensity score-matched cohort study using United States-based commercial healthcare database from January 2016 to June 2019.

PARTICIPANTS

New-users of antiplatelet-DOAC and antiplatelet-warfarin who initiated the combined therapy within 30 days following incident ACS diagnosis.

MEASUREMENTS

Primary study outcomes were recurrent cardiovascular diseases (CVD) (ie, a composite of stroke and myocardial infarction) and major bleeding events identified via discharge diagnoses. We controlled for potential confounders via propensity score matching (PSM). We generated marginal hazard ratios (HRs) via Cox proportional hazards regression using a robust variance estimator while adjusting for calendar time.

RESULTS

After PSM, a total of 2,472 persons were included (1,236 users of antiplatelet-DOAC and 1,236 users of antiplatelet-warfarin). The use of antiplatelet-DOAC (vs. antiplatelet-warfarin) was associated with a reduced rate of recurrent CVD (adjusted HR 0.72, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56-0.92) and major bleeding events (adjusted HR, 0.49, 95% CI 0.33-0.72).

LIMITATIONS

Residual confounding.

CONCLUSIONS

In real-world data of AF patients with concurrent ACS, the use of antiplatelet-DOAC following ACS diagnosis was associated with a lower rate of recurrent CVD and major bleeding events compared with antiplatelet-warfarin. These findings highlight a potential promising role for DOACs in patients with ACS and AF requiring combined antiplatelet therapy.

Diagnostic Accuracy and Usability of the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor Compared to Conventional Holter Technology

Background

Heart rhythm disorders, especially atrial fibrillation (AF), are increasing global health challenges. Conventional diagnostic tools for assessment of rhythm disorders suffer from limited availability, limited test duration time, and usability challenges. There is also a need for out-of-hospital investigation of arrhythmias. Therefore, the Norwegian ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor has been developed to simplify the assessment of heart rhythm disorders. The current study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and usability of the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor compared to conventional Holter monitors.

Methods

Parallel tests with ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor and a Holter monitor were performed in 151 consecutive patients referred for out-of-hospital long-term ECG recording at Sorlandet Hospital Arendal, Norway. All ECG data were automatically analysed by both systems and evaluated by hospital physicians. Participants were asked to complete a questionnaire scoring usability parameters after the test.

Results

A total of 150 patients (62% men, age 54 (±17) years) completed the study. The ECG quality from both monitors was considered satisfactory for rhythm analysis in all patients. AF was identified in 9 (6%) patients during the period with parallel tests. The diagnostic accuracy for automatic AF detection was 95% (95% CI 91–98) for the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor and 81% (95% CI 74–87) for the Holter system. The proportion of false-positive AF was 4% in tests analysed by the ECG247 algorithm and 16% in tests analysed by the Holter algorithm. Other arrhythmias were absent/rare. The system usability score was significantly better for ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor compared to traditional Holter technology (score 87.4 vs. 67.5, p < 0.001).

Conclusions

The ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor showed at least comparable diagnostic accuracy for AF and improved usability compared to conventional Holter technology. ECG247 allows for prolonged monitoring and may improve detection of AF. This trial is registered with https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04700865.

Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation and Associated Mortality Among Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Epidemiological studies have shown that atrial fibrillation (AF) is a potential cardiovascular complication of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to clarify the prevalence and clinical impact of AF and new-onset AF in patients with COVID-19. Methods: PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and MedRxiv up to February 27, 2021, were searched to identify studies that reported the prevalence and clinical impact of AF and new-onset AF in patients with COVID-19. The study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021238423). Results: Nineteen eligible studies were included with a total of 21,653 hospitalized patients. The pooled prevalence of AF was 11% in patients with COVID-19. Older (≥60 years of age) patients with COVID-19 had a nearly 2.5-fold higher prevalence of AF than younger (<60 years of age) patients with COVID-19 (13 vs. 5%). Europeans had the highest prevalence of AF (15%), followed by Americans (11%), Asians (6%), and Africans (2%). The prevalence of AF in patients with severe COVID-19 was 6-fold higher than in patients with non-severe COVID-19 (19 vs. 3%). Furthermore, AF (OR: 2.98, 95% CI: 1.91 to 4.66) and new-onset AF (OR: 2.32, 95% CI: 1.60 to 3.37) were significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality among patients with COVID-19. Conclusion: AF is quite common among hospitalized patients with COVID-19, particularly among older (≥60 years of age) patients with COVID-19 and patients with severe COVID-19. Moreover, AF and new-onset AF were independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality among hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

MicroRNA-146b-5p promotes atrial fibrosis in atrial fibrillation by repressing TIMP4

Alteration of tissue inhibitors of matrix metalloproteinases (TIMP)/matrix metalloproteinases (MMP) associated with collagen upregulation has an important role in sustained atrial fibrillation (AF). The expression of miR-146b-5p, whose the targeted gene is TIMPs, is upregulated in atrial cardiomyocytes during AF. This study was to determine whether miR-146b-5p could regulate the gene expression of TIMP4 and the contribution of miRNA to atrial fibrosis in AF. Collagen synthesis was observed after miR-146b-5p transfection in human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived atrial cardiomyocytes (hiPSC-aCMs)-fibroblast co-culture cellular model in vitro. Furthermore, a myocardial infarction (MI) mouse model was used to confirm the protective effect of miR-146b-5p downregulation on atrial fibrosis. The expression level of miR-146b-5p was upregulated, while the expression level of TIMP4 was downregulated in the fibrotic atrium of canine with AF. miR-146b-5p transfection in hiPSC-aCMs-fibroblast co-culture cellular model increased collagen synthesis by regulating TIMP4/MMP9 mediated extracellular matrix proteins synthesis. The inhibition of miR-146b-5p expression reduced the phenotypes of cardiac fibrosis in the MI mouse model. Fibrotic marker MMP9, TGFB1 and COL1A1 were significantly downregulated, while TIMP4 was significantly upregulated (at both mRNA and protein levels) by miR-146b-5p inhibition in cardiomyocytes of MI heart. We concluded that collagen fibres were accumulated in extracellular space on miR-146b-5p overexpressed co-culture cellular model. Moreover, the cardiac fibrosis induced by MI was attenuated in antagomiR-146 treated mice by increasing the expression of TIMP4, which indicated that the inhibition of miR-146b-5p might become an effective therapeutic approach for preventing atrial fibrosis.

Persistence of left atrial abnormalities despite left atrial volume normalization after successful ablation of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Left atrial volume index (LAVI) of >34 mL/m2 is the cutoff value for identifying an enlarged left atrium. The definition of left atrial (LA) reverse remodeling after atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation is undetermined. We hypothesized that patients with LA dilatation who achieve normal LA volume (LAVI<34 mL/m2) after AF ablation have better long-term outcomes than those who do not. Furthermore, we investigated whether patients with a normal LA volume can also achieve normal LA function with AF ablation.

METHODS

We enrolled 140 AF patients with baseline LAVI of ≥34 mL/m2, without AF recurrence for 1 year after the initial AF ablation. We acquired conventional and speckle-tracking echocardiographic parameters within 24 hour and at 1 year after the procedure. To define the normal range of LA function, age- and sex-matched controls without a history of AF were also enrolled.

RESULTS

After restoration of sinus rhythm, LA structural and functional parameters significantly improved, and 75 patients (54%) had normal LA volume. During a median follow-up of 44 (31-61) months, 32 patients (23%) experienced a late recurrence of AF (AF recurrence >1 year). Patients who achieved normal LA volume after AF ablation had fewer late recurrences than those who did not (P < .01). However, LA abnormalities, especially LA dysfunction, persisted in AF patients even when the LA volume was normalized compared with controls.

CONCLUSION

Patients who achieved normal LA volume had better long-term outcomes of AF ablation than those who did not; however, LA abnormalities persisted even after successful ablation of AF.

The Association of Left Atrial Appendage Morphology to Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Radiofrequency Ablation

Objective: The probability of late recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) has not yet been fully clarified. This study aims to study the association of left atrial appendage (LAA) morphology with AF recurrence after RFA.

Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 84 patients (24 patients had persistent AF, 60 patients had paroxysmal AF) who underwent RFA in Shanghai East Hospital from June 2014 to May 2018. The mean follow-up of these patients was 618.6 days. According to preoperative transesophageal echocardiography (TEE), the morphology feature of LAA was classified and evaluated by two classification methods. The first method was divided into chicken-wing, windsock, cactus, and cauliflower, and the second method was divided into one lobe, two lobes, and multiple lobes. The correlation between morphological feature of LAA and the recurrence rate of AF after RFA was analyzed.

Results: During follow-up, 12 patients (50%) and 10 patients (16.7%) had AF recurrence in persistent and paroxysmal AF, respectively. The LAA morphology was associated with the recurrence of AF after RFA with the chicken-wing highest recurrence risk (68.2%). The structure type of LAA was also related to the AF recurrence rate (p < 0.01). Compared with one lobe and multiple lobes, two lobes (recurrence, 47.6%) were more likely associated with the recurrence of AF (p < 0.02). Logistic regression analysis showed that the chicken-wing group had a higher risk of recurrence after RFA (OR = 8.13, p = 0.004), and the windsock group had a lower risk of recurrence (OR = 0.17, p = 0.002).

Conclusion: The morphological feature of LAA is related to the recurrence risk of AF after RFA. LAA morphology assessment can predict the risk of AF recurrence.

Oral anticoagulation for patients with atrial fibrillation in the ED: RE-LY AF registry analysis

Oral anticoagulation (OAC) reduces stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to determine predictors of OAC initiation in AF patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). Secondary analysis of the RE-LY AF registry which enrolled individuals from 47 countries between 2007 and 2011 who presented to an ED with AF and followed them for 1 year. A total of 4149 patients with AF as their primary diagnosis who were not already taking OAC and had a CHA₂DS₂-VASc ≥ 1 for men or ≥ 2 for women were included in this analysis. Of these individuals, 26.8% were started on OAC (99.2% vitamin K antagonists) in the ED and 29.8% were using OAC one year later. Factors associated with initiating OAC in the ED included: specialist consultation (relative risk [RR] 1.84, 95%CI 1.44-2.36), rheumatic heart disease (RR 1.60, 95%CI 1.29-1.99), persistence of AF at ED discharge (RR 1.33, 95%CI 1.18-1.50), diabetes mellitus (RR 1.32, 95%CI 1.19-1.47), and hospital admission (RR 1.30, 95%CI 1.14-1.47). Heart failure (RR 0.83, 95%CI 0.74-0.94), antiplatelet agents (RR 0.77, 95%CI 0.69-0.84), and dementia (RR 0.61, 95%CI 0.40-0.94) were inversely associated with OAC initiation. Patients taking OAC when they left the ED were more likely using OAC at 1-year (RR 2.81, 95%CI 2.55-3.09) and had lower rates of death (RR 0.55, 95%CI 0.38-0.79) and stroke (RR 0.59, 95%CI 0.37-0.96). In patients with AF presenting to the ED, prompt initiation of OAC and specialist involvement are associated with a greater use of OAC 1 year later and may result in improved clinical outcomes.

Evaluation of the Risk of Stroke Without Anticoagulation Therapy in Men and Women With Atrial Fibrillation Aged 66 to 74 Years Without Other CHA2DS2-VASc Factors

Importance

There are limited clinical trial data and discrepant recommendations regarding use of anticoagulation therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) aged 65 to 74 years without other stroke risk factors.

Objectives

To evaluate the risk of stroke without anticoagulation therapy in men and women with AF aged 66 to 74 years without other CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, stroke, vascular disease, age 65-74 years, female sex) risk factors and examine the association of stroke incidence with patient age.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A population-based retrospective cohort study was conducted using linked administrative databases. The population included 16 351 individuals aged 66 to 74 years who were newly diagnosed with AF in Ontario, Canada, between April 1, 2007, and March 31, 2017. Exclusion criteria included long-term care residence, prior anticoagulation therapy, valvular disease, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, stroke, and vascular disease. The cumulative incidence function was used to estimate the 1-year incidence of stroke in patients who did not receive anticoagulation therapy. Fine-Gray regression was used to study the association of patient characteristics with stroke incidence and derive estimates of stroke risk at each age. Death was treated as a competing risk and patients were censored if they initiated anticoagulation therapy. Inverse probability of censoring weights was used to account for patient censoring. Data analysis was performed from May 26, 2019, to December 9, 2020.

Exposures

Atrial fibrillation and age.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Hospitalizations for stroke.

Results

Of the 16 351 individuals with AF (median [interquartile range] age, 70 [68-72] years), 8352 (51.1%) were men; 6314 individuals (38.6%) started anticoagulation therapy during follow-up. The overall 1-year stroke incidence among patients who did not receive anticoagulation therapy was 1.1% (95% CI, 1.0%-1.3%) and the incidence of death without stroke was 8.1% (95% CI, 7.7%-8.5%). The incidence of stroke was not significantly associated with sex. The estimated 1-year stroke risk increased with patient age from 66 years (0.7%; 95% CI, 0.5%-0.9%) to 74 years (1.7%; 95% CI, 1.3%-2.1%).

Conclusions and Relevance

The risk of stroke more than doubled in this study as men and women with AF but no other CHA2DS2-VASc risk factors aged from 66 to 74 years. These data suggest that anticoagulation therapy is more likely to benefit older individuals within this group of patients, whereas younger individuals are less likely to gain net clinical benefit from anticoagulation therapy.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Direct Oral Anticoagulants Vs. Vitamin K Antagonists in the Elderly With Atrial Fibrillation: Insights From the Evidence in a Real-World Setting

Background: In the clinical setting, the economic benefits of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remain unclear. This study aimed to estimate and compare the cost-effectiveness of DOACs (dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, and edoxaban) and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs; warfarin) in preventing stroke among AF patients aged >75 years in real-world practice. Methods: A Markov model with a 10-year span was constructed to estimate the long-term clinical and economic outcomes among AF patients aged >75 years treated with DOACs and warfarin. The study was populated with a hypothetical cohort of 10,000 AF patients aged >75 years. Probabilities of clinical outcomes were obtained from the pooled observational studies (OSs), comparing DOACs (dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, and edoxaban) with VKAs. Other model inputs, including the utilities and the costs, were all estimated from public sources and the published literature. The costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QAYLs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were estimated for each treatment strategy. Subgroup analyses of individual DOACs and the scenario analysis were performed. Uncertainty was evaluated by deterministic sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA). Results: Compared to warfarin, DOACs were associated with a gain of 0.36 QALY at an additional cost of $15,234.65, resulting in an ICER of $42,318.47 per QALY. Sensitivity analysis revealed that the ICER was sensitive to the cost of DOACs. Direct oral anticoagulants also shifted from dominating to dominated status When their annual costs of DOACs were over $3,802.84 or the risk ratio of death compared to warfarin was over 1.077%/year. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) suggested that DOACs had a 53.83 and 90.7% probability of being cost-effective when the willingness-to-pay threshold was set at $50,000 and $100,000, respectively. Among all the four individual DOACs, edoxaban treatment was revealed as the preferred treatment strategy for the AF patients aged over 75 years by yielding the most significant health gain with the relatively low total cost. Conclusions: Despite the high risk for major bleeding in elderly patients with AF, DOACs are more cost-effective treatment options than warfarin in real-world practice. Edoxaban was the preferred treatment strategy among four kinds of DOACs for AF patients aged over 75 years. Furthermore, beyond their safety profiles, the treatment benefits of DOACs assumed greater relevance and importance in older adults.