Plasma Biomarkers of Tubular Injury and Inflammation Are Associated with CKD Progression in Children

Urine Epidermal Growth Factor and Kidney Function Decline in Middle-Aged Adults

Rationale & Objective

The diagnosis and prognostication of chronic kidney disease (CKD) largely rely on glomerular measures that may not reflect tubular damage. We investigated the associations of urine kidney tubule biomarkers with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) change among middle-aged adults, when chronic diseases typically emerge.

Study Design

An observational cohort study.

Setting & Participants

A total of 1,145 participants of the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study without CKD, hypertension, or cardiovascular disease at the year 20 visit.

Exposures

Seven different biomarkers of tubular health: urine epidermal growth factor (EGF), alpha-1-microglobulin (α1m), interleukin-18, kidney injury molecule-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, uromodulin, and chitinase-3-like protein 1.

Outcomes

Ten-year eGFR change and incident reduced eGFR (new onset of eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2).

Analytical Approach

We examined associations of tubular health biomarkers with 10-year eGFR change and incident reduced eGFR with linear mixed models and interval-censored proportional hazards regression models, respectively. Both minimally and fully adjusted models were controlled for urine creatinine levels.

Results

The mean age of participants was 44.8 ± 3.7 years, with 39% African American and 56% female. The average 10-year change in eGFR was -18.6 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI, -19.4 to -17.8). In contrast to the other tubular biomarkers, which showed conflicting results, EGF demonstrated strong, consistent associations with both kidney outcomes. Each 1-standard deviation (SD) higher EGF was associated with a 2.37 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI, 0.64-4.10) smaller 10-year decrease in eGFR and a 42% (95% CI, 4%-64%) lower risk of incident reduced eGFR in the fully adjusted model.

Limitations

Observational design, measurements of eGFR were done only at 5-year intervals during follow-up.

Conclusions

In middle-aged, community-dwelling adults without hypertension, cardiovascular disease or CKD, higher urine EGF concentrations are associated with slower eGFR decline, whereas other kidney tubule biomarkers lacked a consistent association with kidney function decline.

Association of Integrated Proteomic and Metabolomic Modules with Risk of Kidney Disease Progression

Key Points

Background

Proteins and metabolites play crucial roles in various biological functions and are frequently interconnected through enzymatic or transport processes.

Methods

We present an integrated analysis of 4091 proteins and 630 metabolites in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study (N=1708; average follow-up for kidney failure, 9.5 years, with 537 events). Proteins and metabolites were integrated using an unsupervised clustering method, and we assessed associations between clusters and CKD progression and kidney failure using Cox proportional hazards models. Analyses were adjusted for demographics and risk factors, including the eGFR and urine protein–creatinine ratio. Associations were identified in a discovery sample (random two thirds, n=1139) and then evaluated in a replication sample (one third, n=569).

Results

We identified 139 modules of correlated proteins and metabolites, which were represented by their principal components. Modules and principal component loadings were projected onto the replication sample, which demonstrated a consistent network structure. Two modules, representing a total of 236 proteins and 82 metabolites, were robustly associated with both CKD progression and kidney failure in both discovery and validation samples. Using gene set enrichment, several transmembrane-related terms were identified as overrepresented in these modules. Transmembrane–ephrin receptor activity displayed the largest odds (odds ratio=13.2, P value = 5.5×10−5). A module containing CRIM1 and NPNT expressed in podocytes demonstrated particularly strong associations with kidney failure (P value = 2.6×10−5).

Conclusions

This study demonstrates that integration of the proteome and metabolome can identify functions of pathophysiologic importance in kidney disease.

Recently Updated Role of Chitinase 3-like 1 on Various Cell Types as a Major Influencer of Chronic Inflammation

Chitinase 3-like 1 (also known as CHI3L1 or YKL-40) is a mammalian chitinase that has no enzymatic activity, but has the ability to bind to chitin, the polymer of N-acetylglucosamine (GlcNAc). Chitin is a component of fungi, crustaceans, arthropods including insects and mites, and parasites, but it is completely absent from mammals, including humans and mice. In general, chitin-containing organisms produce mammalian chitinases, such as CHI3L1, to protect the body from exogenous pathogens as well as hostile environments, and it was thought that it had a similar effect in mammals. However, recent studies have revealed that CHI3L1 plays a pathophysiological role by inducing anti-apoptotic activity in epithelial cells and macrophages. Under chronic inflammatory conditions such as inflammatory bowel disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, many groups already confirmed that the expression of CHI3L1 is significantly induced on the apical side of epithelial cells, and activates many downstream pathways involved in inflammation and carcinogenesis. In this review article, we summarize the expression of CHI3L1 under chronic inflammatory conditions in various disorders and discuss the potential roles of CHI3L1 in those disorders on various cell types.

The role of PI3K/Akt signaling pathway in chronic kidney disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD), including chronic glomerulonephritis, IgA nephropathy and diabetic nephropathy, are common chronic diseases characterized by structural damage and functional decline of the kidneys. The current treatment of CKD is symptom relief. Several studies have reported that the phosphatidylinositol 3 kinases (PI3K)/protein kinase B (Akt) signaling pathway is a pathway closely related to the pathological process of CKD. It can ameliorate kidney damage by inhibiting this signal pathway which is involved with inflammation, oxidative stress, cell apoptosis, epithelial mesenchymal transformation (EMT) and autophagy. This review highlights the role of activating or inhibiting the PI3K/Akt signaling pathway in CKD-induced inflammatory response, apoptosis, autophagy and EMT. We also summarize the latest evidence on treating CKD by targeting the PI3K/Akt pathway, discuss the shortcomings and deficiencies of PI3K/Akt research in the field of CKD, and identify potential challenges in developing these clinical therapeutic CKD strategies, and provide appropriate solutions.

Secretory leukocyte protease inhibitor as a novel predictive biomarker in patients with diabetic kidney disease

Background

Secretory leukocyte protease inhibitor (SLPI) is a multifunctional protein involved in the chronic inflammatory process, implicated in the pathogenesis of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). However, its potential as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker of DKD has yet to be evaluated. This study explored the clinical utility of SLPI in the diagnosis and prognosis of renal endpoint events in patients with DKD.

Methods

A multi-center cross-sectional study comprised of 266 patients with DKD and a predictive cohort study comprised of 120 patients with stage IV DKD conducted between December 2016 and January 2022. The clinical parameters were collected for statistical analysis, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the independent risk factors for renal endpoints.

Results

Serum SLPI levels gradually increased with DKD progression (p<0.01). A significant correlation was observed between serum SLPI levels and renal function in patients with DKD. The mean follow-up duration in this cohort study was 2.32 ± 1.30 years. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed SLPI levels≥51.61ng/mL (HR=2.95, 95% CI[1.55, 5.60], p<0.01), 24h urinary protein levels≥3500 mg/24h (HR=3.02, 95% CI[1.66, 5.52], p<0.01), Alb levels<30g/l (HR=2.19, 95% CI[1.12, 4.28], p<0.05), HGB levels<13g/dl (HR=3.18, 95% CI[1.49, 6.80], p<0.01), and urea levels≥7.1 mmol/L (HR=8.27, 95% CI[1.96, 34.93], p<0.01) were the independent risk factors for renal endpoint events in DKD patients.

Conclusions

Serum SLPI levels increased with DKD progression and were associated with clinical parameters of DKD. Moreover, elevated SLPI levels showed potential prognostic value for renal endpoint events in individuals with DKD. These findings validate the results of previous studies on SLPI in patients with DKD and provide new insights into the role of SLPI as a biomarker for the diagnosis and prognosis of DKD that require validation.

Plasma Biomarkers and Incident CKD Among Individuals Without Diabetes

Rationale & Objective

Biomarkers of kidney disease progression have been identified in individuals with diabetes and underlying chronic kidney disease (CKD). Whether or not these markers are associated with the development of CKD in a general population without diabetes or CKD is not well established.

Study Design

Prospective observational cohort.

Setting & Participants

In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, 948 participants were studied.

Exposures

The baseline plasma biomarkers of kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (TNFR-1), tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 (TNFR-2), and human cartilage glycoprotein-39 (YKL-40) measured in 1996-1998.

Outcome

Incident CKD after 15 years of follow-up defined as ≥40% estimated glomerular filtration rate decline to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or dialysis dependence through United States Renal Data System linkage.

Analytical Approach

Logistic regression and C statistics.

Results

There were 523 cases of incident CKD. Compared with a random sample of 425 controls, there were greater odds of incident CKD per 2-fold higher concentration of KIM-1 (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.25-1.78), suPAR (OR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.74-3.84), TNFR-1 (OR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.58-3.09), TNFR-2 (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.37-3.04). After adjustment for all biomarkers, KIM-1 (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.19-1.71), and suPAR (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.18-2.92) remained associated with incident CKD. Compared with traditional risk factors, the addition of all 6 biomarkers improved the C statistic from 0.695-0.731 (P < 0.01) and using the observed risk of 12% for incident CKD, the predicted risk gradient changed from 5%-40% (for the 1st-5th quintile) to 4%-44%.

Limitations

Biomarkers and creatinine were measured at one time point.

Conclusions

Higher levels of KIM-1, suPAR, TNFR-1, and TNFR-2 were associated with higher odds of incident CKD among individuals without diabetes.

Plain-Language Summary

For people with diabetes or kidney disease, several biomarkers have been shown to be associated with worsening kidney disease. Whether these biomarkers have prognostic significance in people without diabetes or kidney disease is less studied. Using the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, we followed individuals without diabetes or kidney disease for an average of 15 years after biomarker measurement to see if these biomarkers were associated with the development of kidney disease. We found that elevated levels of KIM-1, suPAR, TNFR-1, and TNFR-2 were associated with the development of kidney disease. These biomarkers may help identify individuals who would benefit from interventions to prevent the development of kidney disease.

Time to Change Our Viewpoints to Assess Renal Risks in Patients with Solitary Kidneys beyond Traditional Approaches?

Solitary functioning kidney (SFK) can be defined as the absence or hypofunction of a kidney due to acquired or congenital reasons. A congenital solitary functioning kidney (cSFK) is more common than is an acquired one (aSFK) and is characterized by the anatomical absence (agenesis) or hypofunction (hypoplasia; hypodysplasia) of one kidney from birth. Among the acquired causes, the most important is nephrectomy (Nx) (due to the donor, trauma or mass resection). Patients with SFK are at risk for the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the long term. This risk potential is also significantly affected by hypertension. The relationship between hypertension and subclinical chronic inflammation is a connection that has not yet been fully clarified pathogenetically, but there are many studies highlighting this association. In recent years, studies examining different fibrosis and inflammation biomarkers in terms of the evaluation and prediction of renal risks have become increasingly popular in the literature. Oxidative stress is known to play an important role in homocysteine-induced endothelial dysfunction and has been associated with hypertension. In our study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) and urinary/serum fibrosis and inflammatory markers in patients with SFK. We prospectively investigated the relationship between ABPM results and soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), procollagen type III N-terminal peptide (PIIINP), homocysteine and other variables in 85 patients with SFK and compared them between cSFK and aSFK groups. In the etiology of SFK, a congenital or acquired origin may differ in terms of the significance of biomarkers. In particular, the serum homocysteine level may be associated with different clinical outcomes in patients with cSFK and aSFK.

Molecular mechanisms of metabolic disease-associated hepatic inflammation in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading chronic liver disease worldwide, with a progressive form of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). It may progress to advanced liver diseases, including liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. NAFLD/NASH is a comorbidity of many metabolic disorders such as obesity, insulin resistance, type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and chronic kidney disease. These metabolic diseases are often accompanied by systemic or extrahepatic inflammation, which plays an important role in the pathogenesis and treatment of NAFLD or NASH. Metabolites, such as short-chain fatty acids, impact the function, inflammation, and death of hepatocytes, the primary parenchymal cells in the liver tissue. Cholangiocytes, the epithelial cells that line the bile ducts, can differentiate into proliferative hepatocytes in chronic liver injury. In addition, hepatic non-parenchymal cells, including liver sinusoidal endothelial cells, hepatic stellate cells, and innate and adaptive immune cells, are involved in liver inflammation. Proteins such as fibroblast growth factors, acetyl-coenzyme A carboxylases, and nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 are involved in liver metabolism and inflammation, which are potential targets for NASH treatment. This review focuses on the effects of metabolic disease-induced extrahepatic inflammation, liver inflammation, and the cellular and molecular mechanisms of liver metabolism on the development and progression of NAFLD and NASH, as well as the associated treatments.

Kidney fibrosis: Emerging diagnostic and therapeutic strategies

An increasing number of patients worldwide suffers from chronic kidney disease (CKD). CKD is accompanied by kidney fibrosis, which affects all compartments of the kidney, i.e., the glomeruli, tubulointerstitium, and vasculature. Fibrosis is the best predictor of progression of kidney diseases. Currently, there is no specific anti-fibrotic therapy for kidney patients and invasive renal biopsy remains the only option for specific detection and quantification of kidney fibrosis. Here we review emerging diagnostic approaches and potential therapeutic options for fibrosis. We discuss how translational research could help to establish fibrosis-specific endpoints for clinical trials, leading to improved patient stratification and potentially companion diagnostics, and facilitating and optimizing development of novel anti-fibrotic therapies for kidney patients.

Acute Kidney Injury-Induced Circulating TNFR1/2 Elevations Correlate with Persistent Kidney Injury and Progression to Fibrosis

Elevated levels of circulating tumor necrosis factor receptors 1 and 2 (cTNFR1/2) predict chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression; however, the mechanisms of their release remain unknown. Whether acute kidney injury (AKI) drives cTNFR1/2 elevations and whether they predict disease outcomes after AKI remain unknown. In this study, we used AKI patient serum and urine samples, mouse models of kidney injury (ischemic, obstructive, and toxic), and progression to fibrosis, nephrectomy, and related single-cell RNA-sequencing datasets to experimentally test the role of kidney injury on cTNFR1/2 levels. We show that TNFR1/2 serum and urine levels are highly elevated in all of the mouse models of kidney injury tested, beginning within one hour post injury, and correlate with its severity. Consistent with this, serum and urine TNFR1/2 levels are increased in AKI patients and correlate with the severity of kidney failure. Kidney tissue expression of TNFR1/2 after AKI is only slightly increased and bilateral nephrectomies lead to strong cTNFR1/2 elevations, suggesting the release of these receptors by extrarenal sources. The injection of the uremic toxin indoxyl sulfate in healthy mice induces moderate cTNFR1/2 elevations. Moreover, TNF neutralization does not affect early cTNFR1/2 elevations after AKI. These data suggest that cTNFR1/2 levels in AKI do not reflect injury-induced TNF activity, but rather a rapid response to loss of kidney function and uremia. In contrast to traditional disease biomarkers, such as serum creatinine or BUN, cTNFR1/2 levels remain elevated for weeks after severe kidney injury. At these later timepoints, cTNFR1/2 levels positively correlate with remaining kidney injury. During the AKI-to-CKD transition, elevations of TNFR1/2 kidney expression and of cTNFR2 levels correlate with kidney fibrosis levels. In conclusion, our data demonstrate that kidney injury drives acute increases in cTNFR1/2 serum levels, which negatively correlate with kidney function. Sustained TNFR1/2 elevations after kidney injury during AKI-to-CKD transition reflect persistent tissue injury and progression to kidney fibrosis.

Associations of Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health, Injury, and Inflammation with Left Ventricular Hypertrophy in Children with CKD

Key Points

Higher plasma and urine kidney injury molecule-1, urine monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, and lower urine alpha-1-microglobulin were associated with left ventricular hypertrophy, even after adjustment for confounders. Biomarkers of tubular injury, dysfunction, and inflammation may indicate the severity of kidney pathology and are associated with left ventricular hypertrophy.

Background

Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is common in children with CKD and is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality. We have shown that several plasma and urine biomarkers are associated with increased risk of CKD progression. As CKD is associated with LVH, we sought to investigate the association between the biomarkers and LVH.

Methods

In the CKD in Children Cohort Study, children aged 6 months to 16 years with an eGFR of 30–90 ml/min per 1.73 m2 were enrolled at 54 centers in the United States and Canada. We measured plasma biomarkers kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), tumor necrosis factor receptor-1, tumor necrosis factor receptor-2, soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor and urine KIM-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), YKL-40, alpha-1-microglobulin (alpha-1m), and epidermal growth factor in stored plasma and urine collected 5 months after enrollment. Echocardiograms were performed 1 year after enrollment. We assessed the cross-sectional association between the log2 biomarker levels and LVH (left ventricular mass index greater than or equal to the 95th percentile) using a Poisson regression model, adjusted for age, sex, race, body mass index, hypertension, glomerular diagnosis, urine protein-to-creatinine ratio, and eGFR at study entry.

Results

Among the 504 children, LVH prevalence was 12% (n =59) 1 year after enrollment. In a multivariable-adjusted model, higher plasma and urine KIM-1 and urine MCP-1 concentrations were associated with a higher prevalence of LVH (plasma KIM-1 prevalence ratio [PR] per log2: 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 1.58; urine KIM-1 PR: 1.21, 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.48; and urine MCP-1 PR: 1.18, 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.34). After multivariable adjustment for covariates, lower urine alpha-1m was also associated with a higher prevalence of LVH (PR: 0.90, 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.99).

Conclusions

Higher plasma and urine KIM-1, urine MCP-1, and lower urine alpha-1m were each associated with LVH prevalence in children with CKD. These biomarkers may better inform risk and help elucidate the pathophysiology of LVH in pediatric CKD.

Protein Biomarkers in Chronic Kidney Disease in Children-What Do We Know So Far?

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) in children is a major concern of medical care and public health as it is related to high morbidity and mortality due to progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). It is essential to identify patients with a risk of developing CKD to implement therapeutic interventions. Unfortunately, conventional markers of CKD, such as serum creatinine, glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and proteinuria, have many limitations in serving as an early and specific diagnostic tool for this condition. Despite the above, they are still the most frequently utilized as we do not have better. Studies from the last decade identified multiple CKD blood and urine protein biomarkers but mostly assessed the adult population. This article outlines some recent achievements and new perspectives in finding a set of protein biomarkers that might improve our ability to prognose CKD progression in children, monitor the response to treatment, or even become a potential therapeutic target.

Proteomics: Progress and Promise of High-Throughput Proteomics in Chronic Kidney Disease

Current proteomic tools permit the high-throughput analysis of the blood proteome in large cohorts, including those enriched for chronic kidney disease (CKD) or its risk factors. To date, these studies have identified numerous proteins associated with cross-sectional measures of kidney function, as well as with the longitudinal risk of CKD progression. Representative signals that have emerged from the literature include an association between levels of testican-2 and favorable kidney prognosis and an association between levels of TNFRSF1A and TNFRSF1B and worse kidney prognosis. For these and other associations, however, understanding whether the proteins play a causal role in kidney disease pathogenesis remains a fundamental challenge, especially given the strong impact that kidney function can have on blood protein levels. Prior to investing in dedicated animal models or randomized trials, methods that leverage the availability of genotyping in epidemiologic cohorts-including Mendelian randomization, colocalization analyses, and proteome-wide association studies-can add evidence for causal inference in CKD proteomics research. In addition, integration of large-scale blood proteome analyses with urine and tissue proteomics, as well as improved assessment of posttranslational protein modifications (e.g., carbamylation), represent important future directions. Taken together, these approaches seek to translate progress in large-scale proteomic profiling into the promise of improved diagnostic tools and therapeutic target identification in kidney disease.

Current and Novel Biomarkers of Progression Risk in Children with Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Due to the complexity of chronic kidney disease (CKD) pathophysiology, biomarkers representing different mechanistic pathways have been targeted for the study and development of novel biomarkers. The discovery of clinically useful CKD biomarkers would allow for the identification of those children at the highest risk of kidney function decline for timely interventions and enrollment in clinical trials.

SUMMARY

Glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria are traditional biomarkers to classify and prognosticate CKD progression in clinical practice but have several limitations. Over the recent decades, novel biomarkers have been identified from blood or urine with metabolomic screening studies, proteomic screening studies, and an improved knowledge of CKD pathophysiology. This review highlights promising biomarkers associated with the progression of CKD that could potentially serve as future prognostic markers in children with CKD.

KEY MESSAGES

Further studies are needed in children with CKD to validate putative biomarkers, particularly candidate proteins and metabolites, for improving clinical management.

Urinary DKK3 as a biomarker for short-term kidney function decline in children with chronic kidney disease: an observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Childhood-onset chronic kidney disease is a progressive condition that can have a major effect on life expectancy and quality. We evaluated the usefulness of the kidney tubular cell stress marker urinary Dickkopf-related protein 3 (DKK3) in determining the short-term risk of chronic kidney disease progression in children and identifying those who will benefit from specific nephroprotective interventions.

METHODS

In this observational cohort study, we assessed the association between urinary DKK3 and the combined kidney endpoint (ie, the composite of 50% reduction of the estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or progression to end-stage kidney disease) or the risk of kidney replacement therapy (ie, dialysis or transplantation), and the interaction of the combined kidney endpoint with intensified blood pressure reduction in the randomised controlled ESCAPE trial. Moreover, urinary DKK3 and eGFR were quantified in children aged 3-18 years with chronic kidney disease and urine samples available enrolled in the prospective multicentre ESCAPE (NCT00221845; derivation cohort) and 4C (NCT01046448; validation cohort) studies at baseline and at 6-monthly follow-up visits. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, systolic blood pressure SD score (SDS), BMI SDS, albuminuria, and eGFR.

FINDINGS

659 children were included in the analysis (231 from ESCAPE and 428 from 4C), with 1173 half-year blocks in ESCAPE and 2762 in 4C. In both cohorts, urinary DKK3 above the median (ie, >1689 pg/mg creatinine) was associated with significantly greater 6-month eGFR decline than with urinary DKK3 at or below the median (-5·6% [95% CI -8·6 to -2·7] vs 1·0% [-1·9 to 3·9], p<0·0001, in ESCAPE; -6·2% [-7·3 to -5·0] vs -1·5% [-2·9 to -0·1], p<0·0001, in 4C), independently of diagnosis, eGFR, and albuminuria. In ESCAPE, the beneficial effect of intensified blood pressure control was limited to children with urinary DKK3 higher than 1689 pg/mg creatinine, in terms of the combined kidney endpoint (HR 0·27 [95% CI 0·14 to 0·55], p=0·0003, number needed to treat 4·0 [95% CI 3·7 to 4·4] vs 250·0 [66·9 to ∞]) and the need for kidney replacement therapy (HR 0·33 [0·13 to 0·85], p=0·021, number needed to treat 6·7 [6·1 to 7·2] vs 31·0 [27·4 to 35·9]). In 4C, inhibition of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system resulted in significantly lower urinary DKK3 concentrations (least-squares mean 12 235 pg/mg creatinine [95% CI 10 036 to 14 433] in patients not on angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin 2 receptor blockers vs 6861 pg/mg creatinine [5616 to 8106] in those taking angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin 2 receptor blockers, p<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

Urinary DKK3 indicates short-term risk of declining kidney function in children with chronic kidney disease and might allow a personalised medicine approach by identifying those who benefit from pharmacological nephroprotection, such as intensified blood pressure lowering.

FUNDING

None.

Biomarkers of eGFR decline after cardiac surgery in children: findings from the ASSESS-AKI study

BACKGROUND

Children who require surgery for congenital heart disease have increased risk for long-term chronic kidney disease (CKD). Clinical factors as well as urine biomarkers of tubular health and injury may help improve the prognostication of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline.

METHODS

We enrolled children from 1 month to 18 years old undergoing cardiac surgery in the ASSESS-AKI cohort. We used mixed-effect models to assess the association between urinary biomarkers (log2-transformed uromodulin, NGAL, KIM-1, IL-18, L-FABP) measured 3 months after cardiac surgery and cyanotic heart disease with the rate of eGFR decline at annual in-person visits over 4 years.

RESULTS

Of the 117 children enrolled, 30 (24%) had cyanotic heart disease. During 48 months of follow-up, the median eGFR in the subgroup of children with cyanotic heart disease was lower at all study visits as compared with children with acyanotic heart disease (p = 0.01). In the overall cohort, lower levels of both urine uromodulin and IL-18 after discharge were associated with eGFR decline. After adjustment for age, RACHS-1 surgical complexity score, proteinuria, and eGFR at the 3-month study visit, lower concentrations of urine uromodulin and IL-18 were associated with a monthly decline in eGFR (uromodulin β = 0.04 (95% CI: 0.00-0.09; p = 0.07) IL-18 β = 0.07 (95% CI: 0.01-0.13; p = 0.04), ml/min/1.73 m² per month).

CONCLUSIONS

At 3 months after cardiac surgery, children with lower urine uromodulin and IL-18 concentrations experienced a significantly faster decline in eGFR. Children with cyanotic heart disease had a lower median eGFR at all time points but did not experience faster eGFR decline. A higher-resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Cardiovascular Risks of Hypertension: Lessons from Children with Chronic Kidney Disease

Hypertension is the most common complication of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in children, having a strong association with subsequential cardiovascular disease (CVD). In pediatric CKD, a considerable percentage of children with hypertension are undiagnosed or undertreated. Prior research has evaluated structural and functional markers of subclinical CVD and biomarkers in adults with CKD, while ideal biomarkers in pediatrics are still insufficiently studied. The ultimate goal of this review is to summarize what is currently known about state of hypertension, cardiovascular risk factors, and potential CVD markers/biomarkers in children with pre-dialysis CKD. We discuss omics-related biomarkers and the pathophysiologic processes of endothelial dysfunction, kidney injury, oxidative stress and inflammation that are classified by specific biomarkers. Moreover, we illustrate the existing challenges and highlight the paucity of pediatric CKD research to evaluate these CVD biomarkers for future clinical pediatric practice. Thus, achieving clinical utility of CVD biomarkers for use in pediatric CKD remains a significant challenge requiring additional efforts.

Absence of long-term changes in urine biomarkers after AKI: findings from the CRIC study

BACKGROUND

Mechanisms by which AKI leads to CKD progression remain unclear. Several urine biomarkers have been identified as independent predictors of progressive CKD. It is unknown whether AKI may result in long-term changes in these urine biomarkers, which may mediate the effect of AKI on CKD progression.

METHODS

We selected 198 episodes of hospitalized AKI (defined as peak/nadir inpatient serum creatinine values ≥ 1.5) among adult participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. We matched the best non-AKI hospitalization (unique patients) for each AKI hospitalization using pre-hospitalization characteristics including eGFR and urine protein/creatinine ratio. Biomarkers were measured in banked urine samples collected at annual CRIC study visits.

RESULTS

Urine biomarker measurements occurred a median of 7 months before and 5 months after hospitalization. There were no significant differences in the change in urine biomarker-to-creatinine ratio between the AKI and non-AKI groups: KIM-1/Cr + 9% vs + 7%, MCP-1/Cr + 4% vs + 1%, YKL-40/Cr + 7% vs -20%, EGF/Cr -11% vs -8%, UMOD/Cr -2% vs -7% and albumin/Cr + 17% vs + 13% (all p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of adults with CKD, AKI did not associate with long-term changes in urine biomarkers.

High-throughput analysis of amniotic fluid proteins associated with histological chorioamnionitis in preterm premature rupture of membranes using an antibody-based microarray

PROBLEM

To identify potential proteins in the amniotic fluid (AF) that may be associated with histologic chorioamnionitis (HCA) in patients with preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM) using antibody-based microarray analysis.

METHOD OF STUDY

This was a retrospective cohort study involving 100 singleton pregnant women with PPROM at 24-34 weeks who underwent amniocentesis and delivered within 120 h of amniocentesis. First, the AF proteomes of 15 patients with PPROM and HCA were compared with those of 15 gestational age-matched patients without HCA using a protein microarray. Next, 12 candidate proteins associated with HCA were further validated in 100 consecutive patients with PPROM by ELISA.

RESULTS

Of 507 proteins assessed in the microarray analysis, 46 showed significant intergroup differences. Further quantification confirmed that the levels of EN-RAGE, IL-6, MMP-9, TNFR2, SPARC, TSP2, and uPA were higher in the AF of PPROM patients with HCA than in those without. Multivariate analyses also showed that elevated AF EN-RAGE, IL-6, MMP-9, and TNFR2 levels were independently associated with HCA when adjusted for baseline variables. The frequency of the highest quartile of the aforementioned proteins significantly increased as the total grade of HCA increased; the risk of HCA significantly increased with increasing AF levels of each protein (P for trend < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Using protein-antibody microarray technology, we discovered several potential AF proteins (EN-RAGE, IL-6, MMP-9, and TNFR2) independently associated with HCA in patients with PPROM. Furthermore, we demonstrated a direct correlation between the gradation of the intra-amniotic inflammatory response and HCA severity.

Plasma Biomarkers as Risk Factors for Incident CKD

Introduction

Earlier identification of individuals at high risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) may facilitate improved risk factor mitigation.

Methods

We evaluated the association of novel plasma biomarkers with incident CKD using a case-cohort design in participants without diabetes and with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) and Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohorts. Incident CKD was defined as development of eGFR < 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and ≥40% decline in eGFR from baseline. We measured plasma markers of inflammation/fibrosis-soluble tumor necrosis factor receptors (TNFRs) 1 and 2 (TNFR-1 and TNFR-2), monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1), chitinase 3-like protein 1 (YKL-40), and soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR)-and tubular injury (kidney injury molecule 1 [KIM-1]). Cox regression models weighted for the case-cohort design were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of incident CKD after adjustment for CKD risk factors, eGFR, and albuminuria.

Results

In MESA (median follow-up of 9.2 years), there were 497 individuals in the random subcohort and 163 incident CKD cases. In REGARDS (median follow-up of 9.4 years), there were 497 individuals in the random subcohort and 497 incident CKD cases. Each 2-fold higher plasma KIM-1 (adjusted HR 1.38 [95% CI 1.05-1.81]), suPAR (1.96 [1.10-3.49]), TNFR-1 (1.65 [1.04-2.62]), TNFR-2 (2.02 [1.21-3.38]), and YKL-40 (1.38 [1.09-1.75]) concentrations were associated with incident CKD in MESA. In REGARDS, TNFR-1 (1.99 [1.43-2.76]) and TNFR-2 (1.76 [1.22-2.54]) were associated with incident CKD.

Conclusion

Plasma concentrations of soluble TNFR-1 and TNFR-2 are consistently associated with incident CKD in nondiabetic community-living individuals in MESA and REGARDS.

1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D as Predictor of Renal Worsening Function in Chronic Kidney Disease. Results From the PASCaL-1,25D Study

Background

Heterogeneous progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) toward dialysis advocates improving in renal care management. Diagnosis and staging of CKD relies on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria. Tubular biomarkers emerged as new predictors of worsening renal function (WRF), due to partial inaccuracy of eGFR and existing WRF in non-proteinuric patients. Active vitamin D is synthesized in renal tubules and participates to mineral adaptation in CKD. Circulating 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D [1,25(OH)₂D] was poorly investigated as a biomarker of endocrine tubular function and predictor of WRF.

Objective

Investigate capability of 1,25(OH)₂D to predict parathormone (PTH) increase and WRF in CKD stage 3-4.

Methods

PASCaL-1,25D was an observational, prospective, monocentric study. Primary outcomes were absolute and 20% increase in PTH, and WRF defined as 20% reduction in eGFR or dialysis initiation at 6 months.

Results

Seventy-one patients completed follow up. Absolute increase in PTH (1-84) was independently predicted by lower 1,25(OH)₂D levels (p = 0.0134). No association was detected between 1,25(OH)₂D and iPTH increase. Higher 1,25(OH)₂D was associated with reduced risk of WRF at univariate analysis [OR 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.93), p = 0.006]. The 1,25(OH)₂D/PTH (1-84) ratio was associated with non-significant 84% risk reduction for WRF [OR 0.16 (95% CI 0.06-0.41), p = 0.05]. Low 1,25(OH)₂D reached 100% sensitivity in predicting WRF in CKD stage 3 (AUC 9.909, p < 0.0001) and non-elderly patients (AUC 0.883, p < 0.0001). Machine learning models retained 1,25(OH)₂D/PTH (1-84) as relevant predictor of WRF together with eGFR and albuminuria. Age influenced interaction between renal and mineral biomarkers.

Conclusion

1,25(OH)₂D deserves attention as biomarker of tubular health, and sensible predictor of WRF on the short run among non-elderly patients affected by stage 3 CKD. The 1,25(OH)₂D/PTH (1-84) ratio may represent a composite biomarker of tubular reserve/endocrine response to the transition from adaptive to maladaptive equilibrium in CKD-MBD.

The Signaling Pathway of TNF Receptors: Linking Animal Models of Renal Disease to Human CKD

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has been recognized as a global public health problem. Despite the current advances in medicine, CKD-associated morbidity and mortality remain unacceptably high. Several studies have highlighted the contribution of inflammation and inflammatory mediators to the development and/or progression of CKD, such as tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-related biomarkers. The inflammation pathway driven by TNF-α, through TNF receptors 1 (TNFR1) and 2 (TNFR2), involves important mediators in the pathogenesis of CKD. Circulating levels of TNFRs were associated with changes in other biomarkers of kidney function and injury, and were described as predictors of disease progression, cardiovascular morbidity, and mortality in several cohorts of patients. Experimental studies describe the possible downstream signaling pathways induced upon TNFR activation and the resulting biological responses. This review will focus on the available data on TNFR1 and TNFR2, and illustrates their contributions to the pathophysiology of kidney diseases, their cellular and molecular roles, as well as their potential as CKD biomarkers. The emerging evidence shows that TNF receptors could act as biomarkers of renal damage and as mediators of the disease. Furthermore, it has been suggested that these biomarkers could significantly improve the discrimination of clinical CKD prognostic models.

Soluble forms of cytokine and growth factor receptors: Mechanisms of generation and modes of action in the regulation of local and systemic inflammation

Cytokine and growth factor receptors are usually transmembrane proteins but they can also exist in soluble forms, either through cleavage and release of their ligand-binding extracellular domain, or through secretion of a soluble isoform. As an extension of this concept, transmembrane receptors on exosomes released into the circulation may act similarly to circulating soluble receptors. These soluble receptors add to the complexity of cytokine and growth factor signalling: they can function as decoy receptor that compete for ligand binding with their respective membrane-bound forms thereby attenuating signalling, or stabilize their ligands, or activate additional signalling events through interactions with other cell-surface proteins. Their soluble nature allows for a functional role away from the production sites, in remote cell types and organs. Accumulating evidence demonstrates that soluble receptors participate in the regulation and orchestration of various key cellular processes, particularly inflammatory responses. In this review, we will discuss release mechanisms of soluble cytokine and growth factor receptors, their mechanisms of action, as well as strategies for targeting their pathways in disease.

Plasma Kidney Injury Molecule 1 in CKD: Findings From the Boston Kidney Biopsy Cohort and CRIC Studies

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Plasma kidney injury molecule 1 (KIM-1) is a sensitive marker of proximal tubule injury, but its association with risks of adverse clinical outcomes across a spectrum of kidney diseases is unknown.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective, observational cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

524 individuals enrolled into the Boston Kidney Biopsy Cohort (BKBC) Study undergoing clinically indicated native kidney biopsy with biopsy specimens adjudicated for semiquantitative scores of histopathology by 2 kidney pathologists and 3,800 individuals with common forms of chronic kidney disease (CKD) enrolled into the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

EXPOSURE

Histopathologic lesions and clinicopathologic diagnosis in cross-sectional analyses, baseline plasma KIM-1 levels in prospective analyses.

OUTCOMES

Baseline plasma KIM-1 levels in cross-sectional analyses, kidney failure (defined as initiation of kidney replacement therapy) and death in prospective analyses.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multivariable-adjusted linear regression models tested associations of plasma KIM-1 levels with histopathologic lesions and clinicopathologic diagnoses. Cox proportional hazards models tested associations of plasma KIM-1 levels with future kidney failure and death.

RESULTS

In the BKBC Study, higher plasma KIM-1 levels were associated with more severe acute tubular injury, tubulointerstitial inflammation, and more severe mesangial expansion after multivariable adjustment. Participants with diabetic nephropathy, glomerulopathies, and tubulointerstitial disease had significantly higher plasma KIM-1 levels after multivariable adjustment. In the BKBC Study, CKD in 124 participants progressed to kidney failure and 85 participants died during a median follow-up time of 5 years. In the CRIC Study, CKD in 1,153 participants progressed to kidney failure and 1,356 participants died during a median follow-up time of 11.5 years. In both cohorts, each doubling of plasma KIM-1 level was associated with an increased risk of kidney failure after multivariable adjustment (hazard ratios of 1.19 [95% CI, 1.03-1.38] and 1.10 [95% CI, 1.06-1.15] for BKBC and CRIC, respectively). There was no statistically significant association of plasma KIM-1 levels with death in either cohort.

LIMITATIONS

Generalizability and unmeasured confounding.

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma KIM-1 is associated with underlying tubulointerstitial and mesangial lesions and progression to kidney failure in 2 cohort studies of individuals with kidney diseases.

Current Knowledge of Selected Cardiovascular Biomarkers in Pediatrics: Kidney Injury Molecule-1, Salusin-α and -β, Uromodulin, and Adropin

Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the modern world. Their common denominator is atherosclerosis, a process beginning in childhood. In pediatrics, the aim of preventive measures is to recognize children and adolescents at risk for accelerated atherosclerosis and possible premature cardiovascular events in adulthood. Several diagnostic procedures and biomarkers are available for cardiovascular risk assessment in adults. However, reliable markers in pediatrics are still insufficiently studied. In this contribution, we discuss five potential biomarkers of particular interest: kidney injury molecule-1, salusin-α and -β, uromodulin, and adropin. Studies regarding the pediatric population are scarce, but they support the evidence from studies in the adult population. These markers might entail both a prognostic and a therapeutic interest.

Clinical Utility of KidneyIntelX in Early Stages of Diabetic Kidney Disease in the CANVAS Trial

INTRODUCTION

KidneyIntelX is a composite risk score, incorporating biomarkers and clinical variables for predicting progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). The utility of this score in the context of sodium glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors and how changes in the risk score associate with future kidney outcomes are unknown.

METHODS

We measured soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR)-1, soluble TNFR-2, and kidney injury molecule 1 on banked samples from CANagliflozin cardioVascular Assessment Study (CANVAS) trial participants with baseline DKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] 30-59 mL/min/1.73 m2 or urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio [UACR] ≥30 mg/g) and generated KidneyIntelX risk scores at baseline and years 1, 3, and 6. We assessed the association of baseline and changes in KidneyIntelX with subsequent DKD progression (composite outcome of an eGFR decline of ≥5 mL/min/year [using the 6-week eGFR as the baseline in the canagliflozin group], ≥40% sustained decline in the eGFR, or kidney failure).

RESULTS

We included 1,325 CANVAS participants with concurrent DKD and available baseline plasma samples (mean eGFR 65 mL/min/1.73 m2 and median UACR 56 mg/g). During a mean follow-up of 5.6 years, 131 participants (9.9%) experienced the composite kidney outcome. Using risk cutoffs from prior validation studies, KidneyIntelX stratified patients to low- (42%), intermediate- (44%), and high-risk (15%) strata with cumulative incidence for the outcome of 3%, 11%, and 26% (risk ratio 8.4; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.0, 14.2) for the high-risk versus low-risk groups. The differences in eGFR slopes for canagliflozin versus placebo were 0.66, 1.52, and 2.16 mL/min/1.73 m2 in low, intermediate, and high KidneyIntelX risk strata, respectively. KidneyIntelX risk scores declined by 5.4% (95% CI: -6.9, -3.9) in the canagliflozin arm at year 1 versus an increase of 6.3% (95% CI: 3.8, 8.7) in the placebo arm (p < 0.001). Changes in the KidneyIntelX score at year 1 were associated with future risk of the composite outcome (odds ratio per 10 unit decrease 0.80; 95% CI: 0.77, 0.83; p < 0.001) after accounting for the treatment arm, without evidence of effect modification by the baseline KidneyIntelX risk stratum or by the treatment arm.

CONCLUSIONS

KidneyIntelX successfully risk-stratified a large multinational external cohort for progression of DKD, and greater numerical differences in the eGFR slope for canagliflozin versus placebo were observed in those with higher baseline KidneyIntelX scores. Canagliflozin treatment reduced KidneyIntelX risk scores over time and changes in the KidneyIntelX score from baseline to 1 year associated with future risk of DKD progression, independent of the baseline risk score and treatment arm.

Progranulin and Its Receptor Predict Kidney Function Decline in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

Progranulin (PGRN), a growth factor, is abundantly expressed in a broad range of tissues and cell types with pleiotropic functions including inflammation, neurodegeneration, and facilitating lysosome acidification. PGRN binds to TNF receptors (TNFR) and inhibits downstream inflammatory signaling pathways. TNFR is a well-known predictor of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline in a variety of diseases. Therefore, we measured circulating PGRN in addition to TNFR using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and explored whether it predicted renal prognosis in 201 Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes. During a median follow-up of 7.6 years, 21 participants reached primary renal endpoint, which involves a decline of at least 57% in eGFR from baseline, or the onset of end-stage renal disease. Univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that classical renal measures (GFR and albuminuria), two TNF-related biomarkers (PGRN and TNFR), and BMI were associated with this outcome. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that high levels of PGRN [HR 2.50 (95%CI 2.47-2.52)] or TNFR1 [HR 5.38 (95%CI 5.26-5.50)] were associated with this outcome after adjusting for relevant covariates. The high levels of PGRN as well as TNFR1 were associated with a risk of primary renal outcome in patients with type 2 diabetes after adjusting for established risk factors.

Plasma and urine biomarkers in chronic kidney disease: closer to clinical application

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a silent disease, causing significant health and economic burden worldwide. It is of strong clinical value to identify novel prognostic, predictive, and pharmacodynamic biomarkers of kidney function, as current available measures have limitations. We reviewed the advances in biomarkers in CKD over the preceding year.

RECENT FINDINGS

The most frequently studied prognostic plasma biomarkers during recent year were plasma TNFR1, TNFR2, KIM1 and urinary MCP-1 and EGF. New biomarkers such as plasma WFDC2, MMP-7, EFNA4, EPHA2 may also have potential to serve as prognostic biomarkers. There is a shortage of data on biomarkers that are predictive of response to treatments. Data on novel biomarkers to serve as pharmacodynamic biomarkers are limited, but there are emerging data that plasmaTNFR1, TNFR2, KIM-1 are not only prognostic at baseline, but can also contribute to time-updated response signals in response to therapy.

SUMMARY

Data continue to emerge on applicable biomarkers for prognostic clinical risk stratification, prediction of therapeutic response and assessment of early efficacy of interventions. Although more studies are needed for refinement and specific clinical utility, there seems to be sufficient data to support clinical implementation for some biomarkers.

The Promise of Tubule Biomarkers in Kidney Disease: A Review

For over 70 years, serum creatinine has remained the primary index for detection and monitoring of kidney disease. Tubulointerstitial damage and fibrosis are highly prognostic for subsequent kidney failure in biopsy studies, yet this pathology is invisible to the clinician in the absence of a biopsy. Recent discovery of biomarkers that reflect distinct aspects of kidney tubule disease have led to investigations of whether these markers can provide additional information on risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and associated adverse clinical end points, above and beyond estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria. These biomarkers can be loosely grouped into those that mark tubule cell injury (eg, kidney injury molecule 1, monocyte chemoattractant protein 1) and those that mark tubule cell dysfunction (eg, α1-microglobulin, uromodulin). These kidney tubule biomarkers provide new opportunities to monitor response to therapeutics used to treat CKD patients. In this review, we describe results from some unique contributions in this area and discuss the current challenges and requirements in the field to bring these markers to clinical practice. We advocate for a broader assessment of kidney health that moves beyond a focus on the glomerulus, and we highlight how such tools can improve diagnostic accuracy and earlier assessment of therapeutic efficacy or harm in CKD patients.

Variability in CKD Biomarker Studies: Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR) and Kidney Disease Progression in the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) Study

Rationale & Objective

Biomarker studies are important for generating mechanistic insight and providing clinically useful predictors of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. However, variability across studies can often muddy the evidence waters. Here we evaluated real-world variability in biomarker studies using two published studies, independently conducted, of the novel plasma marker soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) for predicting CKD progression in children with CKD.

Study Design

A comparison of 2 prospective cohort studies.

Setting & Participants

541 children from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) study, median age 12 years, median glomerular filtration rate (GFR) of 54 mL/min/1.73m².

Outcome

The first occurrence of either a 50% decline in GFR from baseline or incident end-stage kidney disease.

Analytical Approach

The suPAR plasma marker was measured using the Quantikine ELISA immunoassay in the first study and Meso Scale Discovery (MSD) platform in the second. The analytical approaches varied. We used suPAR data from the 2 assays and mimicked each analytical approach in an overlapping subset.

Results

We found that switching assays had the greatest impact on inferences, resulting in a 38% to 66% change in the magnitude of the effect estimates. Covariate and modeling choices resulted in an additional 8% to 40% variability in the effect estimate. The cumulative variability led to different inferences despite using a similar sample of CKiD participants and addressing the same question.

Limitations

The estimated variability does not represent optimal repeatability but instead illustrates real-world variability that may be present in the CKD biomarker literature.

Conclusions

Our results highlight the importance of validation, avoiding conclusions based on P value thresholds, and providing comparable metrics. Further transparency of data and equal weighting of negative and positive findings in explorations of novel biomarkers will allow investigators to more quickly weed out less promising biomarkers.

Associations between urinary cysteine-rich protein 61 excretion and kidney function decline in outpatients with chronic kidney disease: a prospective cohort study in Taiwan

OBJECTIVES

To examine whether urinary excretion of cysteine-rich protein 61 (Cyr61), an acknowledged proinflammatory factor in kidney pathologies, increases in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is associated with subsequent rapid kidney function decline.

DESIGN

An observational cohort study.

SETTING

In the nephrology outpatient clinics of a tertiary hospital in Taiwan.

PARTICIPANTS

We enrolled 138 adult CKD outpatients (n=12, 32, 18, 18, 29 and 29 in stages 1, 2, 3a, 3b, 4 and 5 CKD, respectively) between February and October 2014 and followed them for 1 year. Their mean age was 60.46±13.16 years, and 51 (37%) of them were women.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Urinary Cyr61 levels were measured by ELISA. Rapid kidney function decline was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline rate ≥ 4 mL/min/1.73 m²/year or developing end-stage renal disease during subsequent 3-month or 1-year follow-up period. Models were adjusted for demographic and clinical variables.

RESULTS

The urine Cyr61-to-creatinine ratio (UCyr61CR) increased significantly in patients with stage 4 or 5 CKD. Multivariable linear regression analysis showed that log(UCyr61CR) was positively correlated with log(urine protein-to-creatinine ratio) (p<0.001) but negatively correlated with baseline eGFR (p<0.001) and hypertension (p=0.007). Complete serum creatinine data during the follow-up were available for 112 patients (81.2%). Among them, multivariable logistic regression identified log(UCyr61CR) was independently associated with rapid kidney function decline (adjusted OR 2.29, 95% CI 1.27 to 4.15) during the subsequent 3 months. UCyr61CR improved the discriminative performance of clinical models to predict 3-month rapid kidney function decline. In contrast, log(UCyr61CR) was not associated with rapid eGFR decline during the entire 1-year follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated urinary Cyr61 excretion is associated with rapid short-term kidney function deterioration in patients with CKD. Measuring urinary Cyr61 excretion is clinically valuable for monitoring disease trajectory and may guide treatment planning.

Biomarkers During Recovery From AKI and Prediction of Long-term Reductions in Estimated GFR

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

The effects of acute kidney injury (AKI) on long-term kidney function, cardiovascular disease, and mortality are well documented. We aimed to identify biomarkers for estimating the risk of new or worsening chronic kidney disease (CKD) following AKI.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Adults from a single clinical center who developed AKI between May 2013 and May 2016, and survived until 3 years after the hospitalization during which AKI occurred. Participants included those with and without pre-existing CKD.

PREDICTORS

Panel of 11 plasma biomarkers measured 3-months after hospitalisation.

OUTCOME

Kidney disease progression, defined as a ≥25% decline in eGFR combined with a decline in CKD stage, assessed three years after the occurrence of AKI.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Associations between biomarkers and kidney disease progression were evaluated in multivariable logistic regression models. Importance of predictor variables was assessed by constructing multiple decision trees, with penalised Lasso logistic regression for variable selection used to produce multivariable models.

RESULTS

A total of 500 patients were studied. Soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1), sTNFR2, cystatin C, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), three-month eGFR and urine albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) were independently associated with kidney disease progression and were more important than AKI severity or duration. A multivariable model containing sTNFR1, sTNFR2, cystatin C and eGFR discriminated between those with and without kidney disease progression (AUC 0.79, 95% CI 0.7-0.83). Optimising the cut-point to maximise utility as a 'rule-out' test to identify those at low risk increased the sensitivity of the model to 95% and its negative predictive value to 92%.

LIMITATIONS

Lack of external validation cohort. Analyses limited to patients surviving for 3 years after AKI. Mixed population of patients with and without baseline CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

A panel of plasma biomarkers measured 3-months after discharge from a hospitalization complicated by AKI provides potential opportunity to identify patients who are at very low risk of incident or worsening CKD. Further study is required to determine its clinical utility through independent prospective validation.

Urine Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health, Injury, and Inflammation are Associated with Progression of CKD in Children

BACKGROUND

Novel urine biomarkers may improve identification of children at greater risk of rapid kidney function decline, and elucidate the pathophysiology of CKD progression.

METHODS

We investigated the relationship between urine biomarkers of kidney tubular health (EGF and α-1 microglobulin), tubular injury (kidney injury molecule-1; KIM-1), and inflammation (monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 [MCP-1] and YKL-40) and CKD progression. The prospective CKD in Children Study enrolled children aged 6 months to 16 years with an eGFR of 30-90ml/min per 1.73m². Urine biomarkers were assayed a median of 5 months [IQR: 4-7] after study enrollment. We indexed the biomarker to urine creatinine by dividing the urine biomarker concentration by the urine creatinine concentration to account for the concentration of the urine. The primary outcome was CKD progression (a composite of a 50% decline in eGFR or kidney failure) during the follow-up period.

RESULTS

Overall, 252 of 665 children (38%) reached the composite outcome over a median follow-up of 6.5 years. After adjustment for covariates, children with urine EGF concentrations in the lowest quartile were at a seven-fold higher risk of CKD progression versus those with concentrations in the highest quartile (fully adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 7.1; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 3.9 to 20.0). Children with urine KIM-1, MCP-1, and α-1 microglobulin concentrations in the highest quartile were also at significantly higher risk of CKD progression versus those with biomarker concentrations in the lowest quartile. Addition of the five biomarkers to a clinical model increased the discrimination and reclassification for CKD progression.

CONCLUSIONS

After multivariable adjustment, a lower urine EGF concentration and higher urine KIM-1, MCP-1, and α-1 microglobulin concentrations were each associated with CKD progression in children.

Plasma and Urine Biomarkers of CKD: A Review of Findings in the CKiD Study

Serum creatinine and level of proteinuria, as biomarkers of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression, inadequately explain the variability of glomerular filtration rate decline, and are late markers of glomerular filtration rate decline. Recent studies have identified plasma and urine biomarkers at higher levels in children with CKD and also associate independently with CKD progression, even after adjustment for serum creatinine and proteinuria. These novel biomarkers represent diverse biologic pathways of tubular injury, tubular dysfunction, inflammation, and tubular health, and can be used as a liquid biopsy to better characterize CKD in children. In this review, we highlight the biomarker findings from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children cohort, a large longitudinal study of children with CKD, and compare results with those from other pediatric CKD cohorts. The biomarkers in focus in this review include plasma kidney injury molecule-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, fibroblast growth factor-23, tumor necrosis factor receptor-1, tumor necrosis factor receptor-2, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, and chitinase-3-like protein 1, as well as urine epidermal growth factor, α-1 microglobulin, kidney injury molecule-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, and chitinase-3-like protein 1. Blood and urine biomarkers improve our ability to prognosticate CKD progression and may improve our understanding of CKD pathophysiology. Further research is required to establish how these biomarkers can be used in the clinical setting to improve the clinical management of CKD.

Prenatal blood lead levels and reduced preadolescent glomerular filtration rate: Modification by body mass index

BACKGROUND

For the developing kidney, the prenatal period may represent a critical window of vulnerability to environmental insults resulting in permanent nephron loss. Given that the majority of nephron formation is complete in the 3rd trimester, we set out to test whether 1) prenatal lead exposure is associated with decreased preadolescent kidney function and 2) whether preadolescent obesity acts synergistically with early life lead exposure to reduce kidney function.

METHODS

Our study included 453 mother-child pairs participating in the PROGRESS birth cohort. We assessed prenatal blood lead levels (BLLs) in samples collected in the 2nd and 3rd trimesters and at delivery, as well as tibial and patellar bone lead measures assessed one-month postpartum. Preadolescent estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was derived from serum levels of creatinine and/or cystatin C measured at age 8-12 years. We applied linear regression to assess the relationship between prenatal bone and BLL with preadolescent eGFR, and adjusted for covariates including age, sex, BMI z-score, indoor tobacco smoke exposure, and socioeconomic status. We also examined sex-specific associations and tested for effect modification by BMI status.

RESULTS

We observed null associations between prenatal lead exposure and eGFR. However, in interaction analyses we found that among overweight children, there was an inverse association between BLL (assessed at 2nd and 3rd trimester and at delivery) and preadolescent eGFR. For example, among overweight participants, a one ln-unit increase in 2nd trimester BLL was associated with a 10.5 unit decrease in cystatin C-based eGFR (95% CI: -18.1, -2.8; p = 0.008). Regardless of lead exposure, we also observed null relationships between BMI z-score and eGFR overall, as well as among overweight participants. However, among participants with preadolescent obesity, we observed a significant 5.9-unit decrease in eGFR. We observed no evidence of sex-specific effects.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings, if confirmed in other studies, suggest a complex interplay between the combined adverse effects of adiposity and perinatal lead exposure as they relate to adolescent kidney function. Future studies will assess kidney function and adiposity trajectories through adolescence to better understand environmental risk factors for kidney function decline.

Proteins Associated with Risk of Kidney Function Decline in the General Population

BACKGROUND

Proteomic profiling may allow identification of plasma proteins that associate with subsequent changesin kidney function, elucidating biologic processes underlying the development and progression of CKD.

METHODS

We quantified the association between 4877 plasma proteins and a composite outcome of ESKD or decline in eGFR by ≥50% among 9406 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study (visit 3; mean age, 60 years) who were followed for a median of 14.4 years. We performed separate analyses for these proteins in a subset of 4378 participants (visit 5), who were followed at a later time point, for a median of 4.4 years. For validation, we evaluated proteins with significant associations (false discovery rate <5%) in both time periods in 3249 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) and 703 participants in the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK). We also compared the genetic determinants of protein levels with those from a meta-analysis genome-wide association study of eGFR.

RESULTS

In models adjusted for multiple covariates, including baseline eGFR and albuminuria, we identified 13 distinct proteins that were significantly associated with the composite end point in both time periods, including TNF receptor superfamily members 1A and 1B, trefoil factor 3, and β-trace protein. Of these proteins, 12 were also significantly associated in CRIC, and nine were significantly associated in AASK. Higher levels of each protein associated with higher risk of 50% eGFR decline or ESKD. We found genetic evidence for a causal role for one protein, lectin mannose-binding 2 protein (LMAN2).

CONCLUSIONS

Large-scale proteomic analysis identified both known and novel proteomic risk factors for eGFR decline.

Fibrosis, the Bad Actor in Cardiorenal Syndromes: Mechanisms Involved

Cardiorenal syndrome is a term that defines the complex bidirectional nature of the interaction between cardiac and renal disease. It is well established that patients with kidney disease have higher incidence of cardiovascular comorbidities and that renal dysfunction is a significant threat to the prognosis of patients with cardiac disease. Fibrosis is a common characteristic of organ injury progression that has been proposed not only as a marker but also as an important driver of the pathophysiology of cardiorenal syndromes. Due to the relevance of fibrosis, its study might give insight into the mechanisms and targets that could potentially be modulated to prevent fibrosis development. The aim of this review was to summarize some of the pathophysiological pathways involved in the fibrotic damage seen in cardiorenal syndromes, such as inflammation, oxidative stress and endoplasmic reticulum stress, which are known to be triggers and mediators of fibrosis.

Association Between Kidney Function Decline and Baseline TNFR Levels or Change Ratio in TNFR by Febuxostat Chiefly in Non-diabetic CKD Patients With Asymptomatic Hyperuricemia

Background: The levels of circulating tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR) 1 and 2 help predict the future decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) chiefly in patients with diabetes. It has been recently reported that the change ratio in TNFR1 by SGLT2 inhibitor treatment is also related with future GFR decline in patients with diabetes. The aims of this study are to investigate the association between baseline TNFR levels and early change in TNFR levels by the non-purine selective xanthine oxidase inhibitor, febuxostat, and future eGFR decline chiefly in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients without diabetes.

Methods: We conducted a post-hoc analysis of the FEATHER study on patients with asymptomatic hyperuricemia and CKD stage 3, who were randomly assigned febuxostat 40 mg/day or matched placebo. This analysis included 426 patients in whom baseline stored samples were available. Serum TNFR levels at baseline were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Those levels were also measured using 12-week stored samples from 197 randomly selected patients.

Results: Compared with placebo, short-term febuxostat treatment significantly decreased the median percent change from baseline in serum uric acid (−45.05, 95% CI −48.90 to −41.24 mg/dL), TNFR1 (1.10, 95% CI−2.25 to 4.40), and TNFR2 (1.66, 95% CI −1.72 to 4.93), but not TNFR levels. Over a median follow-up of 105 weeks, 30 patients (7.0%) experienced 30% eGFR decline from baseline. In the Cox multivariate model, high levels of baseline TNFR predicted a 30% eGFR decline, even after adjusting for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, high sensitivity C-reactive protein, uric acid, and presence or absence of febuxostat treatment and diabetes, in addition to baseline albumin to creatinine ratio and eGFR.

Conclusion: Early change in circulating TNFR levels failed to predict future eGFR decline; however, regardless of febuxostat treatment, the elevated baseline level of TNFR was a strong predictor of 30% eGFR decline even in chiefly non-diabetic CKD patients with asymptomatic hyperuricemia.

Poor Glycemic Control Can Increase the Plasma Kidney Injury Molecule-1 Concentration in Normoalbuminuric Children and Adolescents with Diabetes Mellitus

Diabetic nephropathy (DN) is a serious microvascular complication in childhood diabetes and microalbuminuria has been a solid indicator in the assessment of DN. Nevertheless, renal injury may still occur in the presence of normoalbuminuria (NA) and various tubular injury biomarkers have been proposed to assess such damage. This case-controlled study aimed to evaluate plasma and urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin and kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) levels in diabetic children particularly in those with normo- and high-NA stages and determine their role in predicting DN. Fifty-four children/adolescents with type 1 and 2 diabetes and forty-four controls aged 7–18 years were included. The baseline clinical and laboratory characteristics including plasma and urinary biomarkers were compared. The plasma KIM-1 levels were significantly higher in diabetic children than in the controls and in high-NA children than normo-NA children. Glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) was identified as a significant risk factor for increased plasma KIM-1. The optimal cutoff for HbA1c when the plasma KIM-1 was > 23.10 pg/mL was 6.75% with an area under the curve of 0.77. For diabetic children with mildly increased albuminuria, the plasma KIM-1 complementary to MA may help increase the yield of detecting DN. Our findings also suggested an HbA1c cutoff of 6.75% correlated with increased plasma KIM-1.

Update on the Mechanisms of Tubular Cell Injury in Diabetic Kidney Disease

Increasing evidence supports a role of proximal tubular (PT) injury in the progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD), in patients with or without proteinuria. Research on the mechanisms of the PT injury in DKD could help us to identify potential new biomarkers and drug targets for DKD. A high glucose transport state and mismatched local hypoxia in the PT of diabetes patients may be the initiating factors causing PT injury. Other mechanism such as mitochondrial dysfunction, reactive oxygen species (ROS) overproduction, ER stress, and deficiency of autophagy interact with each other leading to more PT injury by forming a vicious circle. PT injury eventually leads to the development of tubulointerstitial inflammation and fibrosis in DKD. Many downstream signaling pathways have been demonstrated to mediate these diseased processes. This review focuses mostly on the novel mechanisms of proximal renal tubular injury in DKD and we believe such review could help us to better understand the pathogenesis of DKD and identify potential new therapies for this disease.

Acute Kidney Injury in Critically Ill Children Is Not all Acute: Lessons Over the Last 5 Years

Acute kidney injury (AKI) in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) is an important risk factor for increased morbidity and mortality during hospitalization. Over the past decade, accumulated data on children and young people indicates that acute episodes of kidney dysfunction can have lasting consequences on multiple organ systems and health outcomes. To date, there are no guidelines for follow-up of surviving children that may be at risk of long-term sequelae following AKI in the PICU. This narrative review aims to describe literature from the last 5 years on the risk of medium and long-term kidney and non-kidney outcomes after AKI in the PICU. More specifically, we will focus on outcomes in children and young people following AKI in the general PICU population and children undergoing cardiac surgery. These outcomes include mortality, hypertension, proteinuria, chronic kidney disease, and healthcare utilization. We also aim to highlight current gaps in knowledge in medium and long-term outcomes in this pediatric population. We suggest a framework for future research to develop evidence-based guidelines for follow-up of children surviving an episode of critical illness and AKI.

Evaluation of Urinary Biomarkers of Proximal Tubular Injury, Inflammation, and Fibrosis in Patients With Albuminuric and Nonalbuminuric Diabetic Kidney Disease

Introduction

Albuminuric and nonalbuminuric pathways contribute to diabetic kidney disease. Proximal tubule and inflammation play important roles in these processes. Urinary biomarker(s) to detect early kidney damage and predict progression are needed.

Methods

Nine urinary biomarkers were measured at baseline in 400 patients with diabetes. Correlation and multivariate logistic and linear regression analyses were performed to assess the association of biomarkers with chronic kidney disease and progression.

Results

In the albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR) <3 cohort, the only biomarker significantly associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min was N-acetyl-β-d-glucosaminidase. A combination of ACR and monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 (MCP1) were significantly associated with stage 2 chronic kidney disease in this cohort. Logistic models showed that in patients with all levels of albuminuria, ACR, retinol binding protein (RBP), and MCP1 were associated with progression. A model including MCP1, interleukin 6, and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin showed significant association with progression to chronic kidney disease 3/4 in the ACR <3 cohort. Linear mixed-model regression analyses demonstrated MCP1, RBP, and ACR as significant proteins associated with progression to stage 3 or worse, whereas MCP1 was the only significant biomarker in the ACR <3 cohort. Time-to-event and Cox proportional hazard models confirmed significant hazard ratios for progression for ACR, RBP, and MCP1, with significant differences noted between quantiles of biomarkers for ACR, RBP, and MCP1.

Conclusion

In this study of diabetic patients with single baseline measurements of urinary biomarkers, albumin, RBP, and MCP1 were significantly associated with chronic kidney disease progression at all levels of albuminuria. Inflammatory cytokines, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, and MCP1 were associated with progression in patients without albuminuria. N-acetyl-β-d-glucosaminidase demonstrated a significant association with an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min in the ACR <3 cohort.

The Associations of Plasma Biomarkers of Inflammation With Histopathologic Lesions, Kidney Disease Progression, and Mortality-The Boston Kidney Biopsy Cohort Study

Background

Soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor (sTNFR)-1, sTNFR-2, YKL-40, monocyte chemoattractant protein (MCP)-1, and soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) have emerged as promising biomarkers of inflammation but have not been evaluated across diverse types of kidney diseases.

Methods

We measured these plasma biomarkers in 523 individuals enrolled into a prospective, observational cohort study of patients undergoing clinically indicated native kidney biopsy at 3 tertiary care hospitals. Two kidney pathologists adjudicated biopsy specimens for semiquantitative scores of histopathology. Proportional hazard models tested associations between biomarkers and risks of kidney disease progression (composite of ≥40% estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] decline or end-stage kidney disease [ESKD]) and death.

Results

Mean eGFR was 56.4±36 ml/min per 1.73 m² and the median proteinuria (interquartile range) was 1.6 (0.4, 3.9) g/g creatinine. The most common primary clinicopathologic diagnoses were proliferative glomerulonephritis (29.2%), nonproliferative glomerulopathy (18.1%), advanced glomerulosclerosis (11.3%), and diabetic kidney disease (11.1%). sTNFR-1, sTNFR-2, MCP-1, and suPAR were associated with tubulointerstitial and glomerular lesions. YKL-40 was not associated with any histopathologic lesions after multivariable adjustment. During a median follow-up of 65 months, 182 participants suffered kidney disease progression and 85 participants died. After multivariable adjustment, each doubling of sTNFR-1, sTNFR-2, YKL-40, and MCP-1 was associated with increased risks of kidney disease progression, with hazard ratios ranging from 1.21 to 1.47. Each doubling of sTNFR-2, YKL-40, and MCP-1 was associated with increased risks of death, with hazard ratios ranging from 1.33 to 1.45. suPAR was not significantly associated with kidney disease progression or death.

Conclusions

sTNFR-1, sTNFR-2, YKL-40, MCP-1, and suPAR are associated with underlying histopathologic lesions and adverse clinical outcomes across a diverse set of kidney diseases.

Biomarkers of Immune Activation and Incident Kidney Failure With Replacement Therapy: Findings From the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Immune activation is fundamental to the pathogenesis of many kidney diseases. Innate immune molecules such as soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) have been linked to the incidence and progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Whether other biomarkers of immune activation are associated with incident kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) in African Americans with nondiabetic kidney disease is unclear.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK) participants with available baseline serum samples for biomarker measurement.

PREDICTORS

Baseline serum levels of soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1), sTNFR2, tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), and interferon γ (IFN-γ).

OUTCOMES

Incident KFRT, all-cause mortality.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Among 500 participants with available samples, mean glomerular filtration rate was 44.7mL/min/1.73m², and median urinary protein-creatinine ratio was 0.09g/g at baseline. Over a median follow up of 9.6 years, there were 161 (32%) KFRT and 113 (23%) death events. In models adjusted for demographic and clinical factors and baseline kidney function, each 2-fold higher baseline level of sTNFR1, sTNFR2, and TNF-α was associated with 3.66-fold (95% CI, 2.31-5.80), 2.29-fold (95% CI, 1.60-3.29), and 1.35-fold (95% CI, 1.07-1.71) greater risks of KFRT, respectively; in comparison, each doubling of baseline suPAR concentration was associated with 1.39-fold (95% CI, 1.04-1.86) greater risk of KFRT. sTNFR1, sTNFR2, and TNF-α were also significantly associated with death (up to 2.2-fold higher risks per 2-fold higher baseline levels; P≤0.01). IFN-γ was not associated with either outcome. None of the biomarkers modified the association of APOL1 high-risk status (genetic risk factors for kidney disease among individuals of African ancestry) with KFRT (P>0.05 for interaction).

LIMITATIONS

Limited generalizability to other ethnic groups or causes of CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

Among African Americans with CKD attributed to hypertension, baseline levels of sTNFR1, sTNFR2, and TNF-α but not IFN-γ were associated with KFRT and mortality.

Physiology and Pathophysiology of Compensatory Adaptations of a Solitary Functioning Kidney

Children born with a solitary functioning kidney (SFK) have an increased risk of hypertension and kidney disease from early in adulthood. In response to a reduction in kidney mass, the remaining kidney undergoes compensatory kidney growth. This is associated with both an increase in size of the kidney tubules and the glomeruli and an increase in single nephron glomerular filtration rate (SNGFR). The compensatory hypertrophy and increase in filtration at the level of the individual nephron results in normalization of total glomerular filtration rate (GFR). However, over time these same compensatory mechanisms may contribute to kidney injury and hypertension. Indeed, approximately 50% of children born with a SFK develop hypertension by the age of 18 and 20–40% require dialysis by the age of 30. The mechanisms that result in kidney injury are only partly understood, and early biomarkers that distinguish those at an elevated risk of kidney injury are needed. This review will outline the compensatory adaptations to a SFK, and outline how these adaptations may contribute to kidney injury and hypertension later in life. These will be based largely on the mechanisms we have identified from our studies in an ovine model of SFK, that implicate the renal nitric oxide system, the renin angiotensin system and the renal nerves to kidney disease and hypertension associated with SFK. This discussion will also evaluate current, and speculate on next generation, prognostic factors that may predict those children at a higher risk of future kidney disease and hypertension.