Japanese Legacy Cohort Studies: The Hisayama Study

Association between hypothalamic Alzheimer's disease pathology and body mass index: The Hisayama study

The hypothalamus is the region of the brain that integrates the neuroendocrine system and whole-body metabolism. Patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD) have been reported to exhibit pathological changes in the hypothalamus, such as neurofibrillary tangles (NFTs) and amyloid plaques (APs). However, few studies have investigated whether hypothalamic AD pathology is associated with clinical factors. We investigated the association between AD-related pathological changes in the hypothalamus and clinical pictures using autopsied brain samples obtained from deceased residents of a Japanese community. A total of 85 autopsied brain samples were semi-quantitatively analyzed for AD pathology, including NFTs and APs. Our histopathological studies showed that several hypothalamic nuclei, such as the tuberomammillary nucleus (TBM) and lateral hypothalamic area (LHA), are vulnerable to AD pathologies. NFTs are observed in various neuropathological states, including normal cognitive cases, whereas APs are predominantly observed in AD. Regarding the association between hypothalamic AD pathologies and clinical factors, the degree of APs in the TBM and LHA was associated with a lower body mass index while alive, after adjusting for sex and age at death. However, we found no significant association between hypothalamic AD pathology and the prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, or dyslipidemia. Our study showed that a lower BMI, which is a poor prognostic factor of AD, might be associated with hypothalamic AP pathology and highlighted new insights regarding the disruption of the brain-whole body axis in AD.

Risk stratification for cardiovascular disease based on prior coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease and type 2 diabetes mellitus

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

History of coronary artery disease (CAD), cerebrovascular disease (CeVD), type 2 diabetes and their combined effect on cardiovascular disease are essential for cardiovascular risk management. We investigated the association of prior CAD, prior CeVD, type 2 diabetes and their combination with the risk of cardiovascular disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a historical cohort study including 342,033 participants (aged 18-72 years) followed up for ≥5 years between 2008 and 2016. Participants were classified into eight groups (with or without prior CAD, prior CeVD and type 2 diabetes). Type 2 Diabetes was defined by fasting plasma glucose and glycated hemoglobin levels, and antidiabetic drug prescription. Prior and subsequent CAD and CeVD were identified according to claims using International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision codes, medical procedures and questionnaires. Cox regression models were used to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 6.4 years. The incidence of composite cardiovascular events of CAD and CeVD in the CAD-/CeVD-, CAD+/CeVD-, CAD-/CeVD+ and CAD+/CeVD+ groups were 1.92 and 6.94, 25.14 and 31.98 per 1,000 person-years in non-diabetes participants, and 8.66, 18.04, 39.98 and 60.72 in type 2 diabetes patients, respectively. Hazard ratios of cardiovascular events compared with CAD-/CeVD-/non-diabetes were 1.66 (95% confidence interval 1.55-1.78) in CAD-/CeVD-/type 2 diabetes and 1.84 (1.56-2.18) in CAD+/CeVD-/non-diabetes. CeVD+ was linked to a 4-7-fold increase in the risk of cardiovascular events regardless of CAD+ or type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Type 2 diabetes increased the risk of cardiovascular disease as high as a history of CAD, whereas prior CeVD alone increased the risk of future CeVD without additional effects by type 2 diabetes.

Skin carotenoid scores and metabolic syndrome in a general Japanese population: the Hisayama study

BACKGROUND

Higher vegetable intake is being promoted as an initiative to prevent lifestyle-related diseases. Carotenoids are yellow or red pigment components and are widely present in vegetables. Since ingested carotenoids accumulate in the skin, skin carotenoid levels are a quantitative indicator of vegetable intake. Recently, noninvasive optical sensors for assessing skin carotenoid levels were developed. We here examined the association between skin carotenoid scores measured using optical sensors and the presence of metabolic syndrome.

METHODS

A total of 1618 individuals (604 men and 1014 women) aged ≥ 40 years (mean age 63.1 years) participated in the study. Skin carotenoid scores were determined using a noninvasive optical sensor based on multiple spatially resolved reflectance spectroscopy. Metabolic syndrome was defined based on the Joint Scientific Statement criteria developed by six international scientific societies. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models were used.

RESULTS

The prevalence of metabolic syndrome was 31.3% (n = 506). A remarkably strong association was found between higher skin carotenoid scores and lower prevalence of metabolic syndrome after adjusting for confounders. The multivariable-adjusted odds ratio for the presence of metabolic syndrome in individuals with the highest quartile of skin carotenoid scores was 0.39 (95% confidence interval, 0.28-0.55) compared to those with the lowest quartile.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that higher skin carotenoid scores measured by non-invasive optimal sensors are significantly associated with a lower likelihood of having metabolic syndrome in the general Japanese population.

Progress Report of the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-based Cohort Study: Study Profile of the Repeated Center-based Survey During Second Period in Miyagi Prefecture

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to report the basic profile of the Miyagi Prefecture part of a repeated center-based survey during the second period of the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-Based Cohort Study (TMM CommCohort Study), as well as the participants' characteristics based on their participation type in the baseline survey.

METHODS

The second period survey, conducted from June 2017 to March 2021, included participants of the TMM CommCohort Study (May 2013 to March 2016). In addition to the questionnaire, blood, urine, and physiological function tests were performed during the second period survey. There were three main ways of participation in the baseline survey: Type 1, Type 1 additional, or Type 2 survey. The second period survey was conducted in the same manner as the Type 2 survey, which was based on the community support center (CSC).

RESULTS

In Miyagi Prefecture, 29,383 (57.7%) of 50,967 participants participated in the second period survey. The participation rate among individuals who had visited the CSC was approximately 80%. Although some factors differed depending on the participation type in the baseline survey, the second period survey respondents in the Type 1 and Type 2 survey groups at baseline had similar traits.

CONCLUSION

The second period survey of the TMM CommCohort Study provided detailed follow-up information. Following up on the health conditions of the participants will clarify the long-term effects of disasters and contribute to personalized prevention.

Association between corneal hysteresis and glaucoma in a Japanese population: the Hisayama Study

AIMS

To investigate the association between corneal hysteresis and the presence of glaucoma and its subtypes in a general Japanese population.

METHODS

We analysed the data of 2338 Japanese community-dwellers aged ≥40 years (1059 men, 1279 women) who underwent an eye examination in 2018 as part of the population-based, cross-sectional Hisayama Study. Participants were divided into quartile levels of corneal hysteresis, which had been measured with an ocular response analyzer. Glaucoma was defined based on the International Society of Geographical and Epidemiological Ophthalmology criteria. We conducted a logistic regression analysis to determine the ORs and their 95% CIs for the presence of outcomes according to the corneal hysteresis quartiles.

RESULTS

Glaucoma was diagnosed in 154 participants: primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG), n=115; primary angle-closure glaucoma, n=17; exfoliation glaucoma, n=21 and secondary glaucoma without exfoliation glaucoma, n=1. After adjustment for confounders, the OR for prevalent glaucoma was significantly increased in the participants in the first corneal-hysteresis quartile compared with those in the fourth quartile (OR: 1.80; 95% CI: 1.03 to 3.17). Regarding glaucoma subtypes, the first-quartile participants had significantly greater likelihoods of the presence of POAG (OR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.02 to 2.61) and exfoliation glaucoma (OR: 6.49; 95% CI: 1.44 to 29.30) compared with those in the third and fourth quartiles after adjustment for potential confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

These results demonstrated a significant inverse association between corneal hysteresis and the likelihood of glaucoma, suggesting that the measurement of corneal hysteresis would provide useful information for elucidating the aetiology of glaucoma.

Association of sarcopenia with regional brain atrophy and white matter lesions in a general older population: the Hisayama Study

Sarcopenia has been reported to be associated with cognitive decline and the risk of dementia. However, few studies have addressed the association between sarcopenia and brain morphological changes in the general population. A total of 1373 community-dwelling participants aged ≥ 65 years underwent brain MRI. Sarcopenia was defined based on the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia's criteria. The pattern of regional gray matter volume loss associated with sarcopenia were assessed using a voxel-based morphometry (VBM) analysis. Regional brain volumes, intracranial volumes (ICV), and white matter lesions volumes (WMLV) were also measured using FreeSurfer. An analysis of covariance was used to examine the associations of sarcopenia with regional brain volumes in proportion to ICV. Of the participants, 112 had sarcopenia. The participants with sarcopenia had significantly lower total brain volume/ICV and total gray matter volume/ICV and higher WMLV/ICV than those without sarcopenia after adjusting for confounders. In VBM, sarcopenia was associated with lower gray matter volume in the frontal lobe, insula, cingulate gyrus, hippocampus, amygdala, and basal ganglia. Using FreeSurfer, we confirmed that the participants with sarcopenia had significantly lower frontal, insular, cingulate, and hippocampal volumes than those without sarcopenia. The current study showed that participants with sarcopenia had significantly lower volume in the frontal lobe, insula, cingulate, and hippocampus and higher WMLV than participants without sarcopenia. As these brain regions are likely to play an important role in cognitive function, these changes may suggest a shared underlying mechanism for the progression of sarcopenia and cognitive decline.

Day-to-day home blood pressure variability and risk of atrial fibrillation in a general Japanese population: the Hisayama Study

AIMS

Several prospective studies have reported that higher visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, no studies have investigated the association between day-to-day BPV assessed by home blood pressure measurement and the development of AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 2829 community-dwelling Japanese aged ≥40 years without prior AF were followed up for 10 years (2007-17). Day-to-day home BPV [defined as coefficient of variation (CoV) of home systolic blood pressure (SBP) for 28 days] was categorized into four groups according to the quartiles: Q1, ≤ 4.64%; Q2, 4.65-5.70%; Q3, 5.71-7.01%; Q4, ≥ 7.02%. The hazard ratios for developing AF were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up period, 134 participants developed new-onset AF. The crude incidence rates of AF increased significantly with higher CoV levels of home SBP: 2.1, 4.9, 5.2, and 8.8 per 1000 person-years in the first, second, third, and fourth quartiles, respectively (P for trend < 0.01). After adjusting for potential confounders, increased CoV levels of home SBP were associated significantly with a higher risk of AF (P for trend = 0.02). The participants in the highest quartile of CoV had a 2.20-fold (95% confidence intervals: 1.18-4.08) increased risk of developing AF compared with those in the lowest quartile.

CONCLUSION

The present findings suggest that increased day-to-day home BPV levels are associated with a higher risk of the development of AF in a general Japanese population.

Risks of Dementia in a General Japanese Older Population With Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry: The Hisayama Study

BACKGROUND

Studies on the association between preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) and dementia are limited. Indeed, PRISm has often been overlooked or ignored as an index of lung function impairment. Therefore, we investigated the association of PRISm with the risk for the development of dementia in an older Japanese population.

METHODS

A total of 1,202 community-dwelling, older Japanese participants aged ≥65 years without dementia were followed up for a median of 5.0 years. Participants were categorized by spirometry as follows: normal spirometry (FEV1/FVC ≥0.70 and FEV1 ≥80% predicted), PRISm (≥0.70 and <80%), airflow limitation (AFL) Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 1 (<0.70 and ≥80%), and AFL GOLD 2 to 4 (<0.70 and <80%). Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed using a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, 122 participants developed dementia. The age- and sex-adjusted incidences of dementia in the participants with normal spirometry, PRISm, AFL GOLD 1, and AFL GOLD 2 to 4 were 20.5, 37.0, 18.4, and 28.6 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. Participants with PRISm had a higher risk of dementia (HR 2.04; 95% CI, 1.19-3.49) than those with normal spirometry after adjusting for confounders. Moreover, both reduced FEV1% predicted values and FVC% predicted values were associated with the risk of dementia.

CONCLUSION

PRISm was associated with an increased risk of dementia in a general older Japanese population.

Lifestyle Medicine and Japan's Longevity Miracle

With Japan's economic growth, its life expectancy increased from 1965, and since 1980, Japan has become one of the longest-lived countries in the world. Strong government-led initiatives such as low-cost health insurance, widely distributed health screenings, a new law to prevent non-communicable diseases established in 1956, Shokuiku (Japanese culinary education), and stress-measuring systems in the workplace contributed to the population's longevity. In addition to these public initiatives, Japan has benefited from evolving lifestyle practices over its long history. These include Washoku (Japanese traditional food), which utilizes the complex interaction of individual nutrients unique to Japan as well as numerous metabolically active compounds, the interrelation of Japan's population levels with its plant-dominant diet, a mindful culture connected with nature, and the principle of hara-hachi-bu (Confucianism-based caloric restriction habit; "eat until 80% full"), and so on. In 2002, Japan took the remarkable action of stipulating by law that citizens must deepen their interest in and understanding of the importance of healthy lifestyle habits, be aware of their own health status, and strive to improve their health throughout their lives. Today, to protect its future, Japan must face a new challenge: a population that is declining and is the world's fastest-aging.

Association between retinopathy and risk of dementia in a general Japanese population: the Hisayama Study

We investigated the association of retinopathy with the risk of dementia in a general older Japanese population. A total of 1709 population-based residents aged 60 years or older without dementia were followed prospectively for 10 years (2007-2017). They underwent color fundus photography in 2007. Retinopathy was graded according to the Modified Airlie House Classification. Main outcome was the Incidence of dementia. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of dementia by the presence of retinopathy. During the follow-up period, 374 participants developed all-cause dementia. The cumulative incidence of dementia was significantly higher in those with retinopathy than those without (p < 0.05). Individuals with retinopathy had significantly higher risk of developing dementia than those without after adjustment for potential confounding factors (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.19-2.25). Regarding the components of retinopathy, the presence of microaneurysms was significantly associated with a higher multivariable-adjusted HR for incident dementia (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.37-2.74). Our findings suggest that, in addition to systemic risk factors, retinal microvascular signs from fundus photography provide valuable information for estimating the risk of developing dementia.

Autonomic nervous system function assessed by heart rate variability and the presence of symptoms affecting activities of daily living in community-dwelling residents with chronic pain: The Hisayama Study

BACKGROUND

Autonomic nervous system dysfunction has been reported to be associated with impaired activities of daily living (ADL) among patients with chronic pain, but the association has not been fully addressed in general populations. This study cross-sectionally investigated the association between autonomic nervous system function and the presence of subjective symptoms affecting ADL in community-dwelling residents with chronic pain.

METHODS

A total of 888 residents with chronic pain, aged 40-79 years, who underwent a health examination in 2017-2018 were included. Based on heart rate variability measured by fingertip pulse wave, the standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals (SDNN), root mean square of successive RR interval differences (RMSSD), low frequency (LF) power, and high frequency (HF) power were calculated. Symptoms affecting ADL were defined as those scoring ≥1 on the modified Rankin Scale. Odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for symptoms affecting ADL were estimated using a logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of symptoms affecting ADL was 39.4%. The ORs for symptoms affecting ADL increased significantly per 1-standard-deviation decrement in log-transformed SDNN (OR 1.23 [95% CI 1.06-1.44]), RMSSD (1.25 [1.08-1.45]), LF power (1.29 [1.11-1.52]), and HF power (1.29 [1.11-1.51]) after adjusting for age, sex, education, hypertension, diabetes, serum total cholesterol level, body mass index, past medical history, current smoking, current drinking, exercise, depressive symptoms, and pain intensity.

CONCLUSIONS

Decreased heart rate variability was associated with the presence of symptoms affecting ADL among individuals with chronic pain in a Japanese community.

SIGNIFICANCE

Decrease in heart rate variability was associated with the presence of symptoms affecting ADL among individuals with chronic pain in a Japanese community. This article could help scientists understand the significance of autonomic nervous system dysfunction in the pathology of chronic pain. Approaches that target autonomic nervous system dysfunction may be an option to relieve or prevent symptoms affecting ADL for chronic pain sufferers.

Association of abnormalities in electrocardiography and ultrasonic echocardiography with the occurrence of cardiovascular disease in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

In patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) increases with disease progression. CVD screening tests in those with CKD were researched to determine whether abnormalities observed in electrocardiography (ECG) and ultrasonic echocardiography (UCG) were risk factors associated with the development of CVD.

METHODS

This study included 604 patients with CKD G4 and G5, for whom both ECG and UCG were performed. They were divided into four groups: those without ECG- and UCG-indicated abnormalities (group A, n = 333), with only ECG abnormalities (group B, n = 106), with only UCG abnormalities (group C, n = 75), and with both ECG and UCG abnormalities (group D, n = 90). Multivariate analysis using Cox regression analysis of the occurrence of CVD was performed during a follow-up period.

RESULTS

During the observation period, 124 patients had clinical events. Among them, 45 patients (13.5%) were in Group A, 25 patients (23.6%) in Group B, 19 patients (25.3%) in Group C, and 35 patients (38.9%) in Group D, respectively. CVD event occurrence was highest in Group D. The results of the multivariate analysis also showed that the CVD event rates were significantly higher in Group C (HR: 2.96, P = < .001) and D (HR: 4.22, P < .001) than in Group A.

CONCLUSION

In patients with advanced CKD, there was a significant correlation of ECG and UCG abnormalities with CVD events. Additionally, those having both types of abnormalities may have a higher risk of coronary artery disease than other groups.

Milk-based culture of Penicillium camemberti and its component oleamide affect cognitive function in healthy elderly Japanese individuals: a multi-arm randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study

Dairy products and fermented foods have a reported association with maintained cognitive function. Camembert cheese, a dairy product fermented by the white mold Penicillium camemberti, has also been shown to enhance cognitive function in vivo. Oleamide, derived from the fermentation of the white mold, is a candidate for an active component, and expected to improve both cognitive function and sleep conditions. Thus, this study investigated whether the milk-based culture of white mold (MCW), and oleamide, could improve cognitive function and sleep state clinically. A multi-arm randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial was conducted in Tokyo, Japan. 60 healthy Japanese individuals aged 50-75 who were aware of their cognitive decline were randomly and equally divided into three groups of 20 participants using computer-generated random numbers. Participants took either MCW (equivalent to 60 μg/day of oleamide), 60 μg/day of oleamide, or placebo capsules for 12 weeks. Serum BDNF, cognitive function by Cognitrax as primary and MCI Screen as secondary outcome, and sleep status using the Japanese version of the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI-J) were assessed before and after intervention. The participants, outcome assessors and analysts, and research assistants were blinded to the group assignment. Of the 60 participants, 58 completed the study and were analyzed. No adverse events related to test foods were observed. The placebo group showed a negative rate of change in serum BDNF (-10.5% ± 19.7%), whereas the MCW and oleamide groups showed positive changes (2.0% ± 27.1% and 1.3% ± 13.5%, respectively). Cognitrax scores increased after 12 weeks in all groups. Conversely, the MPI score of the MCI Screen demonstrated a significant improvement in the MCW and oleamide groups compared to the placebo group (p = 0.013 and p < 0.001, respectively). The subscales, immediate free recall and delayed free recall, also significantly increased in them compared to the placebo group. Although PSQI-J revealed no significant differences among groups, the MCW and oleamide groups showed significant improvement after intervention in overall score, subjective sleep quality, and sleep latency. Our results suggest that MCW and its component, oleamide, are safe and contribute to maintaining cognitive functions, particularly short-term and working memory, and improving sleep state. Clinical trial registration: https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000054792, identifier UMIN-CTR UMIN000048084.

Serum Lipopolysaccharide-binding Protein Levels and the Incidence of Metabolic Syndrome in a General Japanese Population: the Hisayama Study

BACKGROUND

The association between chronic lipopolysaccharide exposure and the development of metabolic syndrome (MetS) is unclear. In this study we examined the association between serum lipopolysaccharide-binding protein (LBP) levels, an indicator of lipopolysaccharide exposure, and the development of MetS in a general Japanese population.

METHODS

1,869 community-dwelling Japanese individuals aged ≥40 years without MetS at baseline examination in 2002-2003 were followed up by repeated examination in 2007-2008. MetS was defined according to the Japanese criteria. Serum LBP levels were classified into quartiles (quartiles 1-4: 2.20-9.56, 9.57-10.78, 10.79-12.18, and 12.19-24.34 µg/mL, respectively). Odds ratios (ORs) for developing MetS were calculated using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

At the follow-up survey, 159 participants had developed MetS. Higher serum LBP levels were associated with greater risk of developing MetS after multivariable adjustment for age, sex, smoking, drinking, and exercise habits (OR [95% confidence interval] for quartiles 1-4: 1.00 [reference], 2.92 [1.59-5.37], 3.48 [1.91-6.35], and 3.86 [2.12-7.03], respectively; P for trend <0.001). After additional adjustment for homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, this association was attenuated but remained significant (P for trend = 0.007). On the other hand, no significant association was observed after additional adjustment for serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (P for trend = 0.07).

CONCLUSION

In the general Japanese population, our findings suggest that higher serum LBP levels are associated with elevated risk of developing MetS. Low-grade endotoxemia could play a role in the development of MetS through systemic chronic inflammation and insulin resistance.

Association Between Choroidal Thickness and Myopic Maculopathy in a Japanese Population: The Hisayama Study

Purpose

To examine the association between choroidal thickness and myopic maculopathy in a general Japanese population.

Design

Population-based cross-sectional study.

Participants

A total of 2841 residents of a Japanese community aged ≥ 40 years, who consented to participate and had available data of choroidal thickness and fundus photographs, were enrolled in this study.

Methods

The choroidal thickness was measured by swept-source OCT. Participants were divided into quartiles of choroidal thickness. Myopic maculopathy was defined according to the classification system of the Meta-analysis of Pathologic Myopia Study Group. Main outcome measures were odds ratios (ORs) of choroidal thickness for prevalent myopic maculopathy. The ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using a logistic regression model.

Main Outcome Measures

Prevalent myopic maculopathy.

Results

Eighty-one participants had myopic maculopathy (45 diffuse chorioretinal atrophy, 31 patchy chorioretinal atrophy, and 5 macular atrophy). Individuals in the lowest quartile of choroidal thickness had a significantly greater OR for the presence of myopic maculopathy than those in the highest quartile of choroidal thickness (OR: 4.78 [95% CI: 1.78-16.72]) after adjusting for confounders, including axial length. The sensitivity analysis among the 1176 myopic individuals with axial length of ≥ 24.0 mm also showed that thinner choroidal thickness was significantly associated with prevalent myopic maculopathy.

Conclusions

The present study demonstrated the significant inverse association between choroidal thickness and the likelihood of myopic maculopathy, suggesting that the measurement of choroidal thickness in addition to axial length would be useful for assessing the risk of myopic maculopathy and elucidating its pathogenesis.

Financial Disclosures

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Inadequate care and excessive overprotection during childhood are associated with the presence of diabetes mellitus in adulthood in a general Japanese population: a cross-sectional analysis from the Hisayama Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate associations between parenting styles during childhood and diabetes in adulthood in a Japanese community.

METHODS

In 2011, 710 community-dwelling Japanese residents aged ≥ 40 years were assessed for the presence of diabetes and for their perceptions of the parenting style of their parents, as measured using the "care" and "overprotection" scales of the Parental Bonding Instrument. Care and overprotection scores for each parent were dichotomized by age-specific median values. Diabetes mellitus was defined as a fasting plasma glucose level of ≥ 7.0 mmol/L, a 2-h post-loaded glucose level of ≥ 11.1 mmol/L, HbA1c ≥ 6.5%, and/or the current use of insulin or oral glucose-lowering agents. The odds ratios (ORs) for prevalent diabetes were calculated using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

The prevalence of diabetes was 14.9%. Subjects with a high paternal overprotection score had a significantly greater likelihood of prevalent diabetes than those with a low paternal overprotection score after adjusting for confounders (OR 1.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06-2.77), while there was no significant association between paternal care and diabetes. Additionally, the multivariable-adjusted ORs for the presence of diabetes were significantly higher in subjects with a low maternal care score (OR 1.61, 95%CI 1.00-2.60) or in subjects with a high maternal overprotection score (OR 1.73, 95%CI 1.08-2.80). Moreover, the subjects with a low care score and high overprotection score for both their father and mother had a significantly higher multivariable-adjusted OR of diabetes than those with a high care score and low overprotection score for both parents (OR 2,12, 95%CI 1.14-3.95).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that inadequate care and excessive overprotection during childhood may contribute to the development of diabetes in adulthood.

Insights into the pathological basis of dementia from population-based neuropathology studies

The epidemiological neuropathology perspective of population and community-based studies allows unbiased assessment of the prevalence of various pathologies and their relationships to late-life dementia. In addition, this approach provides complementary insights to conventional case-control studies, which tend to be more representative of a younger clinical cohort. The Cognitive Function and Ageing Study (CFAS) is a longitudinal study of cognitive impairment and frailty in the general United Kingdom population. In this review, we provide an overview of the major findings from CFAS, alongside other studies, which have demonstrated a high prevalence of pathology in the ageing brain, particularly Alzheimer's disease neuropathological change and vascular pathology. Increasing burdens of these pathologies are the major correlates of dementia, especially neurofibrillary tangles, but there is substantial overlap in pathology between those with and without dementia, particularly at intermediate burdens of pathology and also at the oldest ages. Furthermore, additional pathologies such as limbic-predominant age-related TDP-43 encephalopathy, ageing-related tau astrogliopathy and primary age-related tauopathies contribute to late-life dementia. Findings from ageing population-representative studies have implications for the understanding of dementia pathology in the community. The high prevalence of pathology and variable relationship to dementia status has implications for disease definition and indicate a role for modulating factors on cognitive outcome. The complexity of late-life dementia, with mixed pathologies, indicates a need for a better understanding of these processes across the life-course to direct the best research for reducing risk in later life of avoidable clinical dementia syndromes.

Continuous intake of quercetin-rich onion powder may improve emotion but not regional cerebral blood flow in subjects with cognitive impairment

Depression in later life is associated with dementia. Changes in motivated behavior are an important mechanism contributing to dysfunctional cognitive control in depression. Although continuous intake of quercetin-rich onion suppresses cognitive decline in aged people by improving their emotional condition, the effect of quercetin-rich onion on emotional condition in people living with cognitive impairment remains unclear. In this randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of subjects with cognitive impairment, we found that subjects wrote more adjectives and adverbs per sentence on the Mini-Mental State Examination after intake of quercetin-rich onion powder than before intake, although regional cerebral blood flow on n-isopropyl-4-[123]iodoamphetamine hydrochloride single-photon emission computed tomography was not changed. In the EPM, mice that had received a quercetin-supplemented chow diet made a significantly increased number of exploratory head dips from the open arms of the maze. Moreover, the 3-methoxycarbonyl-2,2,5,5-tetramethyl-pyrrolidine-1-oxyl decay rate, reflecting redox activity, was increased in mice fed a quercetin-added diet. These results indicate that quercetin-rich onion may affect motivated behavior in subjects with cognitive impairment, for whom quercetin intake may preserve redox homeostasis in the brain.

Accelerometer-Measured Physical Activity Data Sets (Global Physical Activity Data Set Catalogue) That Include Markers of Cardiometabolic Health: Systematic Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease accounts for 17.9 million deaths globally each year. Many research study data sets have been collected to answer questions regarding the relationship between cardiometabolic health and accelerometer-measured physical activity. This scoping review aimed to map the available data sets that have collected accelerometer-measured physical activity and cardiometabolic health markers. These data were then used to inform the development of a publicly available resource, the Global Physical Activity Data set (GPAD) catalogue.

OBJECTIVE

This review aimed to systematically identify data sets that have measured physical activity using accelerometers and cardiometabolic health markers using either an observational or interventional study design.

METHODS

Databases, trial registries, and gray literature (inception until February 2021; updated search from February 2021 to September 2022) were systematically searched to identify studies that analyzed data sets of physical activity and cardiometabolic health outcomes. To be eligible for inclusion, data sets must have measured physical activity using an accelerometric device in adults aged ≥18 years; a sample size >400 participants (unless recruited participants in a low- and middle-income country where a sample size threshold was reduced to 100); used an observational, longitudinal, or trial-based study design; and collected at least 1 cardiometabolic health marker (unless only body mass was measured). Two reviewers screened the search results to identify eligible studies, and from these, the unique names of each data set were recorded, and characteristics about each data set were extracted from several sources.

RESULTS

A total of 17,391 study reports were identified, and after screening, 319 were eligible, with 122 unique data sets in these study reports meeting the review inclusion criteria. Data sets were found in 49 countries across 5 continents, with the most developed in Europe (n=53) and the least in Africa and Oceania (n=4 and n=3, respectively). The most common accelerometric brand and device wear location was Actigraph and the waist, respectively. Height and body mass were the most frequently measured cardiometabolic health markers in the data sets (119/122, 97.5% data sets), followed by blood pressure (82/122, 67.2% data sets). The number of participants in the included data sets ranged from 103,712 to 120. Once the review processes had been completed, the GPAD catalogue was developed to house all the identified data sets.

CONCLUSIONS

This review identified and mapped the contents of data sets from around the world that have collected potentially harmonizable accelerometer-measured physical activity and cardiometabolic health markers. The GPAD catalogue is a web-based open-source resource developed from the results of this review, which aims to facilitate the harmonization of data sets to produce evidence that will reduce the burden of disease from physical inactivity.

Epidemiology of Stroke in a General Japanese Population: The Hisayama Study

The Hisayama Study is an ongoing epidemiological study of stroke, coronary artery disease (CAD), and other noncommunicable diseases in a general Japanese population established in 1961. According to the longitudinal data from the Hisayama Study, average levels of systolic blood pressure among hypertensive individuals have decreased with time since 1961. In contrast, the prevalence of metabolic risk factors such as obesity, hypercholesterolemia, and glucose intolerance has increased with time. The incidence rates of ischemic stroke in this population have declined significantly as a result of improvement in hypertension management, but the proportion of atherothrombotic brain infarction (ATBI) and embolic stroke among the total ischemic stroke cases have increased probably due to the increased prevalence of metabolic risk factors and the increased number of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) with super-aging population. Therefore, a strategy to reduce the risks of ATBI and embolic stroke by comprehensive management of their risk factors is necessary.In this review, we first show the secular trends in the incidence of stroke and the prevalence of its risk factors using the data from the Hisayama Study. Then, the studies for the association of traditional risk factors with stroke development in the Hisayama Study are introduced. Finally, we developed risk prediction models to estimate the absolute risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD; including ATBI and CAD) and AF, that may be used for the stratification of future risk of ATBI and AF-related stroke in clinical practice or health examination.

Family dysfunction is associated with chronic pain in a community-dwelling Japanese population: The Hisayama study

BACKGROUND

Poor family functioning has been reported to be associated with the severity of chronic pain in outpatients, but the association has not been fully addressed in general populations. The present study aimed to examine the association between family dysfunction levels and the presence of chronic pain in a community-dwelling Japanese population.

METHODS

A total of 2598 participants aged ≥40 years were classified as having healthy, borderline or unhealthy family functioning. Chronic pain was defined as subjective pain for three months or longer, and further classified by pain intensity, the number of chronic pain sites, pain duration and the extent of pain spread. A logistic regression model was used to compute the odds ratios (ORs) for chronic pain outcomes.

RESULTS

The prevalence of chronic pain was 49%. The age- and sex-adjusted prevalence of total and severe chronic pain were increased significantly with increasing family dysfunction levels (all p for trend <0.01). After adjusting for sociodemographic, physical, social and family structure factors, the ORs (95% confidence intervals [CI]) for having chronic pain among borderline and unhealthy groups were 1.20 (1.01-1.44) and 1.43 (1.15-1.79), respectively, as compared with a healthy family function group. The association was stronger among people who were employed and those who were living with their children. In addition, the ORs for severe chronic pain increased significantly with increasing levels of family dysfunction.

CONCLUSIONS

The family dysfunction level was positively associated with the presence as well as the severity of chronic pain in a community-dwelling population.

SIGNIFICANCE

A biopsychosocial burden due to family relationships could worsen the clinical presentation of pain. Social support or family therapy for dysfunctional families would be a potential initiative for the prevention or management of chronic pain.

Association of gait speed with regional brain volumes and risk of dementia in older Japanese: The Hisayama study

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association of gait speed with regional brain volumes and the risk of incident dementia.

METHODS

A total of 1112 dementia-free Japanese residents aged ≥65 years who underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging were followed for 5.0 years (median). The participants were classified into the age- and sex-specific quartile levels of maximum gait speed. Regional gray matter volumes (GMV) and white matter hyperintensities volumes (WMHV) were measured by applying voxel-based morphometry methods. The cross-sectional association of maximum gait speed with regional GMV was examined using an analysis of covariance. We also estimated the association between maximum gait speed level and the risk of developing dementia using a Cox proportional hazards model. Mediation analyses were conducted to determine the contribution of regional brain volumes to the association between maximum gait speed and dementia.

RESULTS

Lower maximum gait speed was significantly associated with lower GMV of the total brain, frontal lobe, temporal lobe, cingulate gyrus, insula, hippocampus, amygdala, basal ganglia, thalamus, and cerebellum, and increased WMHV at baseline. During the follow-up, 108 participants developed dementia. The incidence rate of all dementias increased significantly with decreasing maximum gait speed after adjusting for potential confounders (P for trend = 0.03). The mediating effects of the GMV of the hippocampus, GMV of the insula, and WMHV were significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower maximum gait speed was significantly associated with an increased risk of dementia. Reduced GMV of the hippocampus or insula, and an increase in WMHV was likely to be involved in this association.

The Association Between Adult Height and Stroke Incidence in Japanese Men and Women: A Population-based Case-Control Study

BACKGROUND

No studies have examined the associations between adult height and ischemic stroke subtypes.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based case-control study that included 2,451 thrombotic and 687 embolic stroke cases, as well as 1,623 intracerebral and 768 subarachnoid hemorrhage cases without history of stroke aged 40-79 years, and the same number of sex- and age-matched controls. Cases and controls were grouped according to the quintile cut-off values of height in controls, and the third quintile, which was approximately the average height group, was used as the reference group. Height divided by one standard deviation of height in controls was also examined as a continuous variable. The analyses were carried out separately for participants aged 40-59 years and 60-79 years.

RESULTS

In both younger and older men, height was linearly inversely associated with total and thrombotic strokes, and the shortest quintile compared to the reference group was associated with increased risks of these strokes. Although height was linearly inversely associated with embolic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage in younger men, the shortest quintile did not show increased risks of these strokes. Height did not seem to be associated with total stroke and any stroke subtypes in younger women. In contrast, the tallest quintile was significantly associated with increased risks of total stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage, and height tended to be positively associated with these strokes in older women.

CONCLUSION

We reported the associations between adult height and ischemic stroke subtypes for the first time, which differed according to sex and age group.

Long-Term Trends in The 5-Year Risk of Recurrent Stroke over A Half Century in A Japanese Community: The Hisayama Study

AIM

Secular trends in the risk of recurrent stroke have been reported in several epidemiological studies worldwide, but this issue has not been investigated in general Japanese populations. We examined the trends in the 5-year risk of recurrent stroke over a half century using community-based prospective data in Japan.

METHODS

We established 4 cohort studies in 1961, 1974, 1988, and 2002. To examine the risk of recurrent stroke, participants who developed stroke during a 10-year follow-up period in each cohort were followed-up for 5 years from the date of first onset. A total of 154 (first sub-cohort: 1961-1971), 144 (second sub-cohort: 1974-1984), 172 (third sub-cohort: 1988-1998), and 146 (fourth sub-cohort: 2002-2012) participants from each cohort were enrolled in the present study. The 5-year cumulative risk of recurrent stroke was compared among the sub-cohorts using the Kaplan-Meier method and the age- and sex-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The risks of recurrent stroke after any stroke and ischemic stroke decreased significantly from the first to the third sub-cohort, but they did not clearly change from the third to the fourth sub-cohort. The risk of recurrent stroke after hemorrhagic stroke decreased mainly from the first to the second sub-cohort and there was no apparent decrease from the second to the fourth sub-cohort. These trends were substantially unchanged after adjusting for age and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

In the Japanese community, the risk of recurrent stroke decreased mainly from the 1960s to 1990s, but there was no apparent decrease in recent years.

Day-to-Day Blood Pressure Variability and Risk of Incident Chronic Kidney Disease in a General Japanese Population

Background Several longitudinal studies have reported that higher visit-to-visit blood pressure variability is associated with greater risk for developing chronic kidney disease. However, no population-based studies have investigated the association between day-to-day home blood pressure variability and incident chronic kidney disease. Methods and Results A total of 2342 Japanese community-dwelling residents aged ≥40 years without chronic kidney disease at baseline were followed up by annual health examinations for 10 years. Home blood pressure was measured 3 times every morning for 28 days. Day-to-day coefficients of variation of home systolic blood pressure levels were categorized into quintiles. Chronic kidney disease was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min per 1.73 m² or the presence of proteinuria. The hazard ratios for developing chronic kidney disease were estimated with a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up period, 772 participants developed chronic kidney disease. Increased coefficients of variation of home systolic blood pressure were associated significantly with higher risk of chronic kidney disease after adjusting for confounders (P for trend <0.001): Individuals in the highest quintile of coefficients of variation had a 1.50-fold (95% CI, 1.17-1.94) greater risk of developing chronic kidney disease than those in the lowest quintile. The combination of higher coefficients of variation and higher mean value of home systolic blood pressure was associated with the multivariable-adjusted risk of developing chronic kidney disease. Conclusions These findings suggest that increased day-to-day blood pressure variability is a significant risk factor for developing chronic kidney disease in a general Japanese population.

Changes in the Eicosapentaenoic Acid to Arachidonic Acid Ratio in Serum over 10 Years in a Japanese Community: The Hisayama Study

AIM

Circulating omega-3 and omega-6 polyunsaturated fatty acids may to contribute to cardiovascular health at the population level. Over a decade, we investigated changes in the serum eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) to arachidonic acid (AA) ratio, and in serum concentrations of the individual fatty acids, in a Japanese community.

METHODS

Community surveys took place in 2002-2003 and 2012-2013 in a rural area of Japan. The community surveys included 3,194 and 3,220 community dwellers aged ≥ 40 years who did not take EPA medication in 2002-2003 and 2012-2013, respectively. Fatty acid fractionations in serum were measured using a gas chromatography method. Changes in the serum EPA/AA ratio over time were examined using linear mixed models.

RESULTS

Overall, the average serum EPA/AA ratio decreased over the 10 years. A decreasing trend in the serum EPA/AA ratio occurred in all age groups except participants aged ≥ 80 years, with larger decreases in the younger age groups. A similar decline in serum EPA/AA ratio occurred in participants with and those without lipid-lowering therapy. Serum EPA concentrations were slightly increased in the whole population but remained stable or even decreased in participants aged 40-69. In contrast, the average serum AA concentrations increased in all age groups.

CONCLUSION

In a Japanese community, the serum EPA/AA ratio decreased over 10 years at the population level, especially in middle-aged participants.

Non-lesional late-onset epilepsy in the elderly Japanese patients: Presenting characteristics and seizure outcomes with regard to comorbid dementia

The objective of the present retrospective study was analysis of clinical, radiological, and electrophysiological characteristics of the non-lesional late-onset epilepsy (NLLOE) in the elderly Japanese patients, and comparison of the seizure outcomes in this population with regard to presence of comorbid dementia. The study cohort comprised 89 consecutive patients with NLLOE aged ≥ 65 years. In 49 cases (55%), NLLOE manifested with a single type of seizure. Focal impaired awareness seizures (FIAS) were encountered most often (in 69 patients; 78%). Ten patients (11%) had a history of the status epilepticus. Comorbid dementia was diagnosed in 31 patients (35%). Localized or diffuse white matter hyperintensity was the most common imaging finding (66 cases). Epileptiform discharges in the temporal area represented the most frequent abnormality on interictal EEG (24 cases). Seizure-free status for ≥ 12 months was attained in 46 out of 64 patients (72%), who were followed for ≥ 12 months (range, 12 - 110 months), and 42 of them received monotherapy, mainly with levetiracetam (21 patients), carbamazepine (10 patients), or lacosamide (8 patients). In comparison to their counterparts, the rate of seizure-free status for ≥ 12 months was significantly lower in patients with comorbid dementia (81% vs. 52%; P = 0.0205). In conclusion, the NLLOE among Japanese patients aged ≥ 65 years has variable presenting characteristics, and comorbid dementia is diagnosed in one-third of cases. Seizure-free status for ≥ 12 months may be attained in more than two-thirds of treated patients, but comorbid dementia is associated with significantly worse response to antiseizure therapy.

The Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence (LIFE) Study: Overview of the Study Design and Baseline Participant Profile

BACKGROUND

The Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence (LIFE) Study, which was launched in 2019, is a multi-region community-based database project that aims to generate evidence toward extending healthy life expectancy and reducing health disparities in Japan. Herein, we describe the LIFE Study's design and baseline participant profile.

METHODS

Municipalities participating in the LIFE Study provide data from government-administered health insurance enrollees and public assistance recipients. These participants cover all disease types and age groups. Centered on healthcare claims data, the project also collects long-term care claims data, health checkup data, vaccination records, residence-related information, and income-related information. The different data types are converted into a common data model containing five modules (health care, long-term care, health checkup, socioeconomic status, and health services). We calculated the descriptive statistics of participants at baseline in 2018.

RESULTS

The LIFE Study currently stores data from 1,420,437 residents of 18 municipalities. The health care module contains 1,280,756 participants (mean age: 65.2 years), the long-term care module contains 189,069 participants (mean age: 84.3 years), and the health checkup module contains 274,375 participants (mean age: 69.0 years). Although coverage and follow-up rates were lower among younger persons, the health care module includes 74,151 children (0-19 years), 273,157 working-age adults (20-59 years), and 933,448 older persons (≥60 years).

CONCLUSION

The LIFE Study provides data from over 1 million participants and can facilitate a wide variety of life-course research and cohort studies. This project is expected to be a useful platform for generating real-world evidence from Japan.

The Palma Echo Platform: Rationale and Design of an Echocardiography Core Lab

Background

The metabolic syndrome (MetS) is associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Characterization of cardiac structural and functional abnormalities due to the MetS can help recognize individuals who would benefit the most from preventive interventions. Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) provides an opportunity to identify those abnormalities in a reproducible and cost-efficient manner. In research settings, implementation of protocols for the acquisition and analysis of TTE images are key to ensure validity and reproducibility, thus facilitating answering relevant questions about the association of the MetS with cardiac alterations.

Methods and Results

The Palma Echo Platform (PEP) is a coordinated network that is built up to evaluate the underlying structural and functional cardiac substrate of participants with MetS. Repeated TTE will be used to evaluate 5-year changes in the cardiac structure and function in a group of 565 individuals participating in a randomized trial of a lifestyle intervention for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease. The echocardiographic studies will be performed at three study sites, and will be centrally evaluated at the PEP core laboratory. Planned analyses will involve evaluating the effect of the lifestyle intervention on cardiac structure and function, and the association of the MetS and its components with changes in cardiac structure and function. Particular emphasis will be placed on evaluating parameters of left atrial structure and function, which have received more limited attention in past investigations. This PEP will be available for future studies addressing comparable questions.

Conclusion

In this article we describe the protocol of a central echocardiography laboratory for the study of functional and structural alterations of the MetS.

Risks of Mortality and Airflow Limitation in Japanese with Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry

RATIONALE

Several Western studies have reported that participants with preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) have higher risks of airflow limitation (AFL) and death. However, evidence in East Asian populations is limited.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the relation between PRISm and the risks of death and incident AFL in a Japanese population.

METHODS

A total of 3,032 community-dwelling Japanese participants aged ≥40 years were followed up for a median of 5.3 years by annual spirometry examinations. Participants were classified into lung function categories at baseline as follows: normal spirometry (forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) ≥0.70 and FEV1 ≥80% predicted), PRISm (≥0.70 and <80%), AFL Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 1 (<0.70 and ≥80%), and AFL GOLD 2-4 (<0.70 and <80%). Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed using a Cox proportional hazard model.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

During the follow-up period, 131 participants died, 22 of whom died from cardiovascular disease, and 218 participants developed AFL. When examining the prognosis of each baseline pulmonary function category, participants with PRISm had higher risks of all-cause death (HR 2.20 [95%CI: 1.35 to 3.59]) and cardiovascular death (HR 4.07 [1.07 to 15.42]) than those with normal spirometry after adjusting for confounders. Moreover, the multivariable-adjusted risk of incident AFL was greater in participants with PRISm than in those with normal spirometry (HR 2.48 [1.83 to 3.36]).

CONCLUSIONS

PRISm was associated with higher risks of all-cause and cardiovascular death and a greater risk of the development of AFL in a Japanese community.

Co-occurrence of relapsing polychondritis and autoimmune thyroid diseases

BACKGROUND

Relapsing polychondritis (RP) is a rare inflammatory disease characterized by recurrent inflammation and destruction of cartilaginous tissues. RP has characteristics of autoimmune disease and some reports have noted co-occurrence with autoimmune thyroid disease (AITD), consisting of Graves' disease (GD) and Hashimoto thyroiditis (HT). However, there have been no detailed studies on the co-occurrence of RP and AITD. In this study, we aimed to determine whether patients with RP tend to be complicated with AITD. We also analyzed the clinical and genetic profiles of patients in whom these diseases co-occur.

METHODS

We recruited 117 patients with RP and reviewed their medical records. Furthermore, we genotyped Human Leucocyte Antigen (HLA)-A, B Cw, DRB1, DQB1, and DPB1 alleles for 93 of the 117 patients. The prevalence of AITD among the patients with RP was compared with that among the general Japanese population. We also analyzed the clinical and genetic features of the patients with both RP and AITD.

RESULTS

The prevalence of GD among the patients with RP was 4.3% (5 among 117 patients), significantly higher than that among Japanese (0.11%) (p = 2.44 × 10-7, binomial test). RP patients with GD tended to have nasal involvement (p = 0.023) (odds ratio (OR) 2.58) and HLA-DPB1*02:02 (p = 0.035, OR 10.41). We did not find significant enrichment of HT in patients with RP.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with RP appear to be at elevated risk of GD. Nasal involvement and HLA-DPB1*02:02 characterize the subset of RP patients with GD, which may guide attempts to characterize a distinct subtype of RP for precision medicine.

Long-term association of vegetable and fruit intake with risk of dementia in Japanese older adults: the Hisayama study

Background

Several prospective Western studies have reported an inverse association of vegetable and fruit intake with dementia risk. However, there is limited epidemiologic evidence in Asians. This study investigated the association of intakes of vegetables, fruits, and their nutrients on the risk of incident dementia and its subtypes in a Japanese community.

Methods

A total of 1071 participants (452 men and 619 women) aged ≥60 years without dementia at baseline were prospectively followed up for 24 years. Intakes of vegetables, fruits, and nutrients were evaluated using a 70-item semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire at baseline and were categorized into quartiles separately by gender. The outcome measure was the development of dementia and its subtypes—namely, Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD). The risk estimates of incident dementia were computed using a Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

During the long-term follow-up period, 464 subjects developed dementia, of whom 286 had AD and 144 had VaD. Higher vegetable intake was associated gradually with lower risk of developing dementia and AD (both P-trend < 0.05), but not VaD, after adjusting for confounders. Subjects allocated the highest quartile of vegetable intake had 27 and 31% lower risk of dementia and AD, respectively, than those with the lowest quartile. The risk of dementia decreased significantly with higher intakes of vitamin A, riboflavin, vitamin C, magnesium, calcium, and potassium (all P-trend < 0.05). Subjects with higher total dietary fiber intake tended to be at decreased risk for total dementia (P-trend = 0.07). Meanwhile, there were no significant associations between fruit intake and the risk of dementia and its subtypes.

Conclusion

Higher intakes of vegetables and their constituent nutrients were associated with a lower risk of dementia in Japanese older adults. A diet rich in vegetables may be beneficial in reducing the dementia risk in Asians.

Plasma folate levels in relation to cognitive impairment: a community-based cohort of older adults in China

PURPOSE

Lower plasma level of folate has been associated with an increased risk of age-related cognitive impairment. However, studies that examined this relation have yielded mixed results. We aimed to examine the prospective association of plasma folate level with risk of cognitive impairment in a community-based prospective cohort of older adults in China.

METHODS

This study included 615 participants (mean age: 76.3 years) without baseline cognitive impairment from the Rugao Longevity and Ageing Study (RuLAS). We used logistic regression to examine the prospective association between baseline plasma folate and risk of cognitive impairment in the next two years. Fasting blood samples were collected and assayed for plasma folate level at baseline. Cognitive impairment was defined as Hasegawa Dementia Scale (HDS) score ≤ 21.5 points.

RESULTS

During two years' follow-up, 20.7% of the participants developed cognitive impairment. After controlled for age, gender, and plasma homocysteine, a higher level of plasma folate was associated with lower odds of cognitive impairment. The corresponding odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval was 0.41 (0.19-0.89) comparing participants at extreme quintiles of plasma folate (median level 17.2 vs. 6.3 nmol/L). The associations were similar after further adjustment for major demographic and lifestyle factors (OR = 0.42, 0.18-0.98). Moreover, the inverse association was particularly stronger among males (OR = 0.12, 0.03-0.52) but was non-significant among females.

CONCLUSION

Our findings support a potential beneficial role of higher plasma folate levels in cognitive function in older Chinese adults, particularly among males. Future studies with larger sample size and longer follow-up are warranted to confirm these findings and to identify the optimal plasma folate level for cognitive function.

Association between chronic low back pain and regional brain atrophy in a Japanese older population: the Hisayama Study

ABSTRACT

Chronic low back pain (CLBP) is the leading cause of years lived with disability. Recently, it has been reported that CLBP is associated with alterations in the central nervous system. The present study aimed to investigate the association between CLBP and regional brain atrophy in an older Japanese population. A total of 1106 community-dwelling participants aged ≥65 years underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging scans and a health examination in 2017 to 2018. We used the FreeSurfer software for the analysis of brain magnetic resonance imaging. Chronic pain was defined as subjective pain for ≥3 months. Participants were divided into 3 groups according to the presence or absence of chronic pain and the body part that mainly suffered from pain: a "no chronic pain (NCP)" group (n = 541), "CLBP" group (n = 189), and "chronic pain in body parts other than the lower back (OCP)" group (n = 376). The brain volumes of the ventrolateral and dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, the posterior cingulate gyrus, and the amygdala were significantly lower in the CLBP group than in the NCP group after adjustment for sociodemographic, physical, and lifestyle factors and depressive symptoms. In addition, the left superior frontal gyrus was identified as a significant cluster by the Query, Design, Estimate, Contrast interface. There were no significant differences in the brain volumes of pain-related regions between the NCP and the OCP groups. The present study suggests that CLBP is associated with lower brain volumes of pain-related regions in a general older population of Japanese.

Development and Validation of a Risk Prediction Model for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in Japanese Adults: The Hisayama Study

AIM

To develop and validate a new risk prediction model for predicting the 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in Japanese adults.

METHODS

A total of 2,454 participants aged 40-84 years without a history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) were prospectively followed up for 24 years. An incident ASCVD event was defined as the first occurrence of coronary heart disease or atherothrombotic brain infarction. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to construct the prediction model. In addition, a simplified scoring system was translated from the developed prediction model. The model performance was evaluated using Harrell's C statistics, a calibration plot with the Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino test, and a bootstrap validation procedure.

RESULTS

During a median of a 24-year follow-up, 270 participants experienced the first ASCVD event. The predictors of the ASCVD events in the multivariable Cox model included age, sex, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, proteinuria, smoking habits, and regular exercise. The developed models exhibited good discrimination with negligible evidence of overfitting (Harrell's C statistics: 0.786 for the multivariable model and 0.789 for the simplified score) and good calibrations (the Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino test: P=0.29 for the multivariable model, 0.52 for the simplified score).

CONCLUSION

We constructed a risk prediction model for the development of ASCVD in Japanese adults. This prediction model exhibits great potential as a tool for predicting the risk of ASCVD in clinical practice by enabling the identification of specific risk factors for ASCVD in individual patients.

Serum Uric Acid Levels and Nephrosclerosis in a Population-Based Autopsy Study: The Hisayama Study

INTRODUCTION

Information regarding the influence of serum uric acid (SUA) levels on pathological changes in the kidney is limited. In this study, we examined the association between SUA levels and pathological findings of nephrosclerosis in population-based autopsy samples.

METHODS

A total of 923 deceased individuals in a Japanese community underwent autopsy examinations between 1974 and 1994. Of these, 547 individuals with available kidney tissues and health examination data within a median of 3 years before death were eligible for the present study. SUA levels were categorized into quintiles (Q1, 107-237; Q2, 238-279; Q3, 280-326; Q4, 327-380; Q5, 381-755 μmol/L). Advanced degrees of glomerular sclerosis, kidney arteriolar hyalinosis, and kidney arteriosclerosis were defined as the 90th percentile or more of a glomerular sclerosis index and an arteriolar hyalinosis index, and the 10th percentile or less of a wall-lumen ratio, respectively. A logistic regression model was used to evaluate odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of SUA levels on each kidney lesion.

RESULTS

Higher SUA levels were significantly associated with higher values of the age- and sex-adjusted glomerular sclerosis index and lower values of the wall-lumen ratio (both p for trend <0.01). Individuals in the Q5 group had a significantly greater likelihood of advanced glomerular sclerosis (OR 7.19, 95% CI 2.42-21.38) and advanced kidney arteriosclerosis (OR 5.28, 95% CI 1.77-15.80) than individuals in the Q1 group after adjusting for potential covariates. There was no evidence of significant associations of SUA levels with either the arteriolar hyalinosis index or the presence of advanced arteriolar hyalinosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated SUA levels were significantly associated with advanced glomerular sclerosis and advanced kidney arteriosclerosis, but not with advanced arteriolar hyalinosis in community-based autopsy samples of Japanese.

Human genetics and its impact on cardiovascular disease

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of death worldwide. Given that CVD is a highly heritable trait, researchers have attempted to fully understand the genetic basis of CVD for a long time. The human genome comprises 3,100 Mbp per haploid genome and 6,200 Mbp in total (diploid genome). However, there is a tendency for rare genetic variations to exhibit a large effect size, whereas common genetic variations have a small effect on diseases, because of natural selection. In this sense, dividing genetic variations into two groups based on allele frequency (and effect sizes on diseases) is a good idea. We know there are several important genes (especially lipid-related genes) in which rare genetic variations are apparently associated with CVD risk, while a polygenic risk score comprising common genetic variations appears to work quite well among general populations. That information can be used not only for risk stratification but also for discoveries for novel pharmacologic targets. In this review article, we provide the important and simple idea that human genetics is important for CVD because it is a highly heritable trait, and we believe that it will lead to precision medicine in this field.

Changes in Body Weight and Concurrent Changes in Cardiovascular Risk Profiles in Community Residents in Japan: the Hisayama Study

AIM

We investigated the influence of weight change on concurrent changes in predicted cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and individual CVD risk factors over time.

METHODS

A total of 2,140 community-dwellers aged 40-74 years participated in both 2002 and 2007 health examinations. Obesity was defined as body mass index ≥ 25 kg/m2. Weight trajectories were classified as: "stable obese" (obese at both examinations), "obese to nonobese" (obese in 2002 but nonobese in 2007), "nonobese to obese" (nonobese in 2002 but obese in 2007), or "stable nonobese" (nonobese at both examinations). We compared changes in the model-predicted risk for CVD and individual CVD risk factors across weight-change categories.

RESULTS

The predicted risk for CVD increased during 5 years in all groups; the increment in the predicted risk for CVD was smallest in the obese to nonobese participants and steepest in the nonobese to obese subjects. Compared with the stable obese participants, the obese to nonobese participants had greater favorable changes in waist circumferences, blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose, serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, serum triglycerides, and liver enzymes. For all these parameters, opposite trends were observed when comparing the nonobese to obese participants with the stable nonobese group.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated the favorable association of losing weight in obese people and avoiding excessive weight gain in nonobese people with global risk of future CVD and individual CVD risk factors in a real-world setting. The findings could improve behavioral lifestyle interventions that provide information on the health consequences of weight change at health checkups.

Pathologic Diabetic Nephropathy in Autopsied Diabetic Cases With Normoalbuminuria From a Japanese Community-Based Study

Introduction

Albuminuria is a clinical hallmark of diabetic nephropathy (DN). Nevertheless, it is controversial whether pathologic DN lesions exist in individuals with diabetes with normoalbuminuria. We investigated the association between albuminuria levels and the frequency of DN lesions in autopsied diabetic cases from a Japanese community.

Methods

A total of 106 autopsied cases with diabetes mellitus (mean age = 76 years, 43.4% male) who died within 6 years after their last health examination were included in the study. Urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) levels were divided into the following 3 groups: <30.0, 30.0 to 299.9, and ≥300.0 mg/g. The kidney specimens were evaluated with light microscopy. Glomerular DN lesions were categorized into class 0 to I, IIa, IIb, and III glomerular DN lesions according to the criteria of the Renal Pathology Society. A Cochran-Armitage test was used to evaluate the association between the UACR levels and the presence of class IIa or higher glomerular DN lesions.

Results

The frequency of class IIa or higher glomerular DN lesions was 63.2% (IIa, 36.8%; IIb, 3.8%; and III, 22.6%) among overall cases. The frequencies increased significantly with higher UACR levels (P for trend = 0.02). The frequency of class IIa or higher glomerular DN lesions was 51.2%, even in individuals with UACR < 30 mg/g.

Conclusion

This study revealed a positive association of the UACR levels with the presence of class IIa or higher glomerular DN lesions, which were also frequently found even in the normal range of UACR levels, among autopsied diabetic cases from a Japanese community.

Emotional Loneliness Is Associated With a Risk of Dementia in a General Japanese Older Population: The Hisayama Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association of loneliness and its component subscales with the risk of dementia in a general Japanese older population.

METHOD

A total of 1,141 community-dwelling Japanese residents aged ≥65 years without dementia were prospectively followed up for a median 5.0 years. We evaluated any loneliness and its component subscales-namely, social and emotional loneliness-by using the 6-item de Jong Gierveld Loneliness Scale. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of each loneliness type on the risk of dementia controlling for demographic factors, lifestyle factors, physical factors, social isolation factors, and depression.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, 114 participants developed dementia. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate of dementia was significantly greater in participants with any loneliness and emotional loneliness than those without. The multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% confidence intervals) of participants with any loneliness and emotional loneliness on incident dementia were 1.61 (1.08-2.40) and 1.65 (1.07-2.54), respectively, as compared to those without. However, there was no significant association between social loneliness and dementia risk. In subgroup analyses of social isolation factors, excess risks of dementia associated with emotional loneliness were observed in participants who had a partner, lived with someone, or rarely communicated with relatives or friends, but such association was not significant in participants who had no partner, lived alone, or frequently communicated with friends or relatives.

DISCUSSION

The present study suggested that loneliness, especially emotional loneliness, was a significant risk factor for the development of dementia in the general older population in Japan.

Baseline periodontal status and modifiable risk factors are associated with tooth loss over a 10-year period: estimates of population attributable risk in a Japanese community

Background

This study aimed to examine whether modifiable risk factors can predict tooth loss over 10 years and estimate population attributable risk (PAR) for a combination of modifiable factors.

Methods

This longitudinal study included 1466 participants who underwent dental examinations in 2007 and 2017 and were aged 40 to 79 years at baseline. Periodontal conditions were assessed using the 2018 periodontal classification. Incident tooth loss was defined as ≥4 teeth lost over a 10‐year period. We calculated the partial PAR (pPAR%) for tooth loss to estimate the combined effect of modifiable risk factors.

Results

Incidence of tooth loss was 17.5%. Directed acyclic graphs were used to identify risk factors for tooth loss. A logistic regression model showed that baseline periodontitis, dental caries experience, no regular dental visit, periodontal treatment, smoking, and obesity were associated with tooth loss after adjusting for covariates; pPAR% was 55.5% (95% confidence interval: 31.1% to 73.0%) in periodontitis Stage III to IV and 87.6% (50.4% to 97.4%) in the combination of all factors, respectively. The sex‐stratified analysis showed that smoking and no regular dental visit in men and obesity in women were identified as potential risk factors for tooth loss.

Conclusions

Modifiable factors accounted for most cases of incident tooth loss. Risk factors for tooth loss might differ by sex, suggesting that the appropriate approach for preventing tooth loss base on sex.

10-year trend of tooth loss and associated factors in a Japanese population-based longitudinal study

OBJECTIVES

We examined the trend in the number of missing teeth in a Japanese community over a 10-year period and the potential associated explanatory factors.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

A population-based study conducted in 2007, 2012 and 2017 in Japan (Hisayama Study).

PARTICIPANTS

Residents of a Japanese community aged 40-79 years undergoing dental examination in 2007 (n=2665), 2012 (n=2325) and 2017 (n=2285).

OUTCOME MEASURES

The number of missing teeth, periodontal condition, dental caries experience, dental plaque index and oral health behaviours were evaluated each year. The longitudinal analysis of variation in these factors were assessed using mixed models.

RESULTS

The age-adjusted and sex-adjusted mean number of missing teeth decreased with time (6.80 in 2007, 6.01 in 2012 and 4.99 in 2017). The mean clinical attachment level (CAL), prevalence of periodontitis and dental plaque index decreased over the study period, while dental caries experience slightly increased. The level of oral health behaviour increased over time. Poisson mixed models showed that changes in mean CAL and dental caries experience were positively associated with the change in the number of missing teeth over time. Linear mixed models showed that changes in dental plaque index and no regular dental visit were positively associated with changes in mean CAL.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that a decreasing trend regarding the number of missing teeth in Japan might be associated with improvements in the periodontal condition due to changes in oral hygiene level and oral health behaviour.

Development of a dementia prediction model for primary care: The Hisayama Study

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to develop a risk prediction model for incident dementia using predictors that are available in primary-care settings.

METHODS

A total of 795 subjects aged 65 years or over were prospectively followed-up from 1988 to 2012. A Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to develop a multivariable prediction model. The developed model was translated into a simplified scoring system based on the beta-coefficient. The discrimination of the model was assessed by Harrell's C statistic, and the calibration was assessed by a calibration plot.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, 364 subjects developed dementia. In the multivariable model, age, female sex, low education, leanness, hypertension, diabetes, history of stroke, current smoking, and sedentariness were selected as predictors. The developed model and simplified score showed good discrimination and calibration.

DISCUSSION

The developed risk prediction model is feasible and practically useful in primary-care settings to identify individuals at high risk for future dementia.

Risk Prediction Model for Incident Atrial Fibrillation in a General Japanese Population - The Hisayama Study

BACKGROUND

The risk prediction of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is useful to prevent AF and its complications. The aim of this study is to develop a new risk prediction model for incident AF using the prospective longitudinal data from a general Japanese population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 2,442 community-dwelling AF-free residents aged ≥40 years were followed up from 1988 to 2012 (46,422 person-years). The development of AF was confirmed by a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram at repeated health examinations and by medical records at clinics or hospitals. The risk prediction model for incident AF was developed using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow up, 230 AF events were confirmed. Age, sex, systolic blood pressure, waist circumference, estimated glomerular filtration rate, abnormal cardiac murmur, high R-wave amplitude, and arrhythmia other than AF were selected for inclusion in the model. This model showed good discrimination (Harrell's c statistics: 0.785) and calibration (Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino test: P=0.87) for AF risk at 10 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The new risk prediction model showed good performance on the individual risk assessment of the future onset of AF in a general Japanese population. As this model included commonly used clinical parameters, it may be useful for determining the requirements for the careful evaluation of AF, such as frequent electrocardiogram examinations in clinical settings, and subsequent reductions in the risk of AF-related complications.

Associations of coprescribed medications for chronic comorbid conditions in very old adults with clinical dementia: a retrospective cohort study using insurance claims data

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of coprescribed medications for chronic comorbid conditions with clinical dementia in older adults, as indicated by the initiation of a new prescription of antidementia medication (NPADM).

DESIGN

Retrospective enumeration cohort study.

SETTING

A Japanese city in Tokyo Metropolitan Area.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 42 024 adults aged ≥77 years residing in Kashiwa City, a suburban city of Tokyo Metropolitan Area, who did not have any prscription of antidementia medication from 1 April to 30 June 2012.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

The primary outcome was NPADM during follow-up period until 31 March 2015 (35 months). Subjects were categorised into four age groups: group 1 (77-81 years), group 2 (82-86 years), group 3 (87-91 years) and group 4 (≥92 years). In addition to age and sex, 14 sets of medications prescribed during the initial background period (from 1 April 2012 and 31 June 2012) were used as covariates in a Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

In a follow-up period of 1 345 457 person-months (mean=32.0±7.5 months, median 35 months), NPADM occurred in 2365 subjects. NPADM incidence at 12 months was 1.9%±0.1% (group 1: 0.9%±0.1%, group 2: 2.1%±0.1%, group 3: 3.2%±0.2% and group 4: 3.6%±0.3%; p<0.0001). In addition to older age and female sex, use of the following medications was significantly associated with NPADM: statins (HR: 0.82, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.92; p=0.001), antihypertensives (HR: 0.80, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.85; p<0.0001), non-steroidal bronchodilators (HR: 0.72, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.88; p=0.002), antidepressants (HR: 1.79, 95% CI 1.47 to 2.18; p<0.0001), poststroke medications (HR: 1.45, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.82; p=0.002), insulin (HR: 1.34, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.78; p=0.046) and antineoplastics (HR: 1.12, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.24; p=0.035).

CONCLUSIONS

This retrospective cohort study identified the associations of coprescribed medications for chronic comorbid conditions with NPADM in older adults. These findings would be helpful in understanding the current clinical practice for dementia in real-world setting and potentially contribute to healthcare policymaking.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

UMIN000039040.

Development of a risk prediction model for incident hypertension in Japanese individuals: the Hisayama Study

The identification of individuals at high risk of developing hypertension can be of great value to improve the efficiency of primary prevention strategies for hypertension. The objective of this study was to develop a risk prediction model for incident hypertension based on prospective longitudinal data from a general Japanese population. A total of 982 subjects aged 40-59 years without hypertension at baseline were followed up for 10 years (2002-12) for the incidence of hypertension. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥ 90 mmHg, or the use of antihypertensive agents. The risk prediction model was developed using a Cox proportional hazards model. A simple risk scoring system was also established based on the developed model. During the follow-up period (median 10 years, interquartile range 5-10 years), 302 subjects (120 men and 182 women) developed new-onset hypertension. The risk prediction model for hypertension consisted of age, sex, SBP, DBP, use of glucose-lowering agents, body mass index (BMI), parental history of hypertension, moderate-to-high alcohol intake, and the interaction between age and BMI. The developed model demonstrated good discrimination (Harrell's C statistic=0.812 [95% confidence interval, 0.791-0.834]; optimism-corrected C statistic based on 200 bootstrap samples=0.804) and calibration (Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino χ² statistic=12.2). This risk prediction model is a useful guide for estimating an individual's absolute risk for hypertension and could facilitate the management of Japanese individuals at high risk of developing hypertension in the future.

Airflow limitation and tongue microbiota in community-dwelling elderly individuals

Numerous oral indigenous microorganisms are constantly introduced into the stomach via the laryngopharynx, and a portion of these microorganisms irregularly reaches the lower airways and lungs. This study investigated the association between airflow limitation and the status of tongue microbiota, which is a primary source of ingested oral bacterial populations.

The study population consisted of 484 community-dwelling adults aged 70–80 years inhabiting Hisayama town, Japan, who underwent a regular health examination including dental examination and spirometry test in 2016. The bacterial density and composition of their tongue microbiota were determined using a previously used 16S rRNA gene to understand their relationship with oral health conditions. The present cross-sectional study compared the tongue microbiota status between elderly individuals with airflow limitation and those with normal airflow.

The total bacterial density of the tongue microbiota of individuals with airflow limitation was significantly higher than that of individuals with normal airflow. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that a high-biomass tongue microbiota was significantly associated with airflow limitation after adjustment for smoking intensity and other covariates (adjusted OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.01–2.60). Of the predominant commensals, higher amounts of Prevotella melaninogenica and Actinomyces odontolyticus were associated with a higher prevalence of airflow limitation.

These results indicate that increased bacterial burden in the tongue microbiota is associated with a higher prevalence of airflow limitation.

Bacterial enrichment in the tongue microbiota is associated with airflow limitation characterising COPD in community-dwelling elderly adultshttps://bit.ly/36qMf6G

Increased availability of drugs is correlated with the number of patients diagnosed thereafter: Data analysis of 45 intractable diseases

WHAT IS KNOWN

Estimates of the prevalence of diseases can be affected by non-biological factors such as change in diagnostic criteria and change in awareness of the diseases. The launch of a new drug is a potential contributory factor to the estimated prevalence of the target disease, but there appears to be no reports on this possible relationship.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between the change in the number of patients diagnosed and factors such as the number of drugs indicated and the number of relevant scientific articles, focused on 45 intractable diseases in Japan.

METHODS

The number of patients with 1 of 45 intractable diseases from 2004 to 2013 was collected from publicly available data. The number of drugs indicated, the number of scientific articles, and diagnostic and certificate criteria for the disease were collected from publicly available sources from 2004 to 2013. Using these data, the correlation coefficient was calculated, and linear regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The rate of increase in the number of drugs and the increase rate of the number of articles were found to be associated with an increase in the number of patients from 2004 to 2013. Linear regression analysis showed that the increase rate of the number of drugs available (2004-2008) was a statistically significant factor correlated with the rate of increase in the number of patients diagnosed in the following period (2009-2013). However, the increase rate of the number of patients (2004-2008) was not associated with the rate of increase in the number of drugs (2009-2013). One possible reason as to why the number of new drugs was correlated with the patient diagnosis numbers thereafter was proposed to be due to an increased awareness of diseases among physicians.

WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION

This is the first study to investigate the relationship between the number of new drugs and the number of patients diagnosed based on data from multiple diseases. The investigation of data on 45 intractable diseases in Japan indicated that the increased availability of drugs was correlated with the increase in the number of patients in the future.

Urinary N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide as a biomarker for cardiovascular events in a general Japanese population: the Hisayama Study

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological evidence has shown that serum N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentrations, a diagnostic biomarker for heart failure, are positively associated with cardiovascular risk. Since NT-proBNP in serum is excreted in urine, it is hypothesized that urinary NT-proBNP concentrations are correlated with serum concentrations and linked with cardiovascular risk in the general population.

METHODS

A total of 3060 community-dwelling residents aged ≥ 40 years without history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) were followed up for a median of 8.3 years (2007-2015). Serum and urinary concentrations of NT-proBNP at baseline were compared. The hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between NT-proBNP concentrations and the risk of developing CVD were computed using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The median values (interquartile ranges) of serum and urinary NT-proBNP concentrations at baseline were 56 (32-104) pg/mL and 20 (18-25) pg/mL, respectively. There was a strong quadratic correlation between the serum and urinary concentrations of NT-proBNP (coefficient of determination [R²] = 0.72): urinary concentrations of 20, 27, and 43 pg/mL were equivalent to serum concentrations of 55, 125, and 300 pg/mL, respectively. During the follow-up period, 170 subjects developed CVD. The age- and sex-adjusted risk of CVD increased significantly with higher urinary NT-proBNP levels (P for trend < 0.001). This association remained significant after adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors (P for trend = 0.009). The multivariable-adjusted risk of developing CVD almost doubled in subjects with urinary NT-proBNP of ≥ 43 pg/mL as compared to those with urinary NT-proBNP of ≤ 19 pg/mL (HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.20-3.56).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study demonstrated that urinary NT-proBNP concentrations were well-correlated with serum concentrations and were positively associated with cardiovascular risk. Given that urine sampling is noninvasive and does not require specially trained personnel, urinary NT-proBNP concentrations have the potential to be an easy and useful biomarker for detecting people at higher cardiovascular risk.

Risk prediction for new-onset atrial fibrillation using the Minnesota code electrocardiography classification system

Background

Few risk models are available to predict future onset of atrial fibrillation (AF) in workers. We aimed to develop risk prediction models for new-onset AF, using annual health checkup (HC) data with electrocardiogram findings.

Methods and Results

We retrospectively included 56,288 factory or office workers (mean age = 51.5 years, 33.0% women) who underwent a HC at a medical center and fulfilled the following criteria; age ≥ 40 years, no history of AF, and greater than 1 annual follow-up HC in 2013–2016. Using Cox models with the Akaike information criterion, we developed and compared prediction models for new-onset AF with and without the Minnesota code information. We externally validated the discrimination accuracy of the models in a general Japanese population cohort, the Hisayama cohort. During the median 3.0-year follow-up, 209 (0.37%) workers developed AF. Age, sex, waist circumference, blood pressure, LDL cholesterol, and γ-GTP were associated with new-onset of AF. Using the Minnesota code information, the AUC significantly improved from 0.82 to 0.84 in the derivation cohort and numerically improved from 0.78 to 0.79 in the validation cohort, and from 0.77 to 0.79 in the Hisayama cohort. The NRI and IDI significantly improved in all and male subjects in both the derivation and validation cohorts, and in female subjects in both the validation and the Hisayama cohorts.

Conclusions

We developed useful risk model with Minnesota code information for predicting new-onset AF from large worker population validated in the original and external cohorts, although study interpretation is limited by small improvement of AUC.