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Dunay GA, Barroso M, Woidy M, Danecka MK, Engels G, Hermann K, Neumann FS, Paul K, Beime J, Escherich G, Fehse K, Grinstein L, Haniel F, Haupt LJ, Hecher L, Kehl T, Kemen C, Kemper MJ, Kobbe R, Kohl A, Klokow T, Nörz D, Olfe J, Schlenker F, Schmiesing J, Schrum J, Sibbertsen F, Stock P, Tiede S, Vettorazzi E, Zazara DE, Zapf A, Lütgehetmann M, Oh J, Mir TS, Muntau AC, Gersting SW. Long-Term Antibody Response to SARS-CoV-2 in Children. J Clin Immunol 2023; 43:46-56. [PMID: 36121535 PMCID: PMC9483535 DOI: 10.1007/s10875-022-01355-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2022] [Accepted: 08/18/2022] [Indexed: 01/21/2023]
Abstract
Almost 2 years into the pandemic and with vaccination of children significantly lagging behind adults, long-term pediatric humoral immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 are understudied. The C19.CHILD Hamburg (COVID-19 Child Health Investigation of Latent Disease) Study is a prospective cohort study designed to identify and follow up children and their household contacts infected in the early 2020 first wave of SARS-CoV-2. We screened 6113 children < 18 years by nasopharyngeal swab-PCR in a low-incidence setting after general lockdown, from May 11 to June 30, 2020. A total of 4657 participants underwent antibody testing. Positive tests were followed up by repeated PCR and serological testing of all household contacts over 6 months. In total, the study identified 67 seropositive children (1.44%); the median time after infection at first presentation was 83 days post-symptom onset (PSO). Follow-up of household contacts showed less than 100% seroprevalence in most families, with higher seroprevalence in families with adult index cases compared to pediatric index cases (OR 1.79, P = 0.047). Most importantly, children showed sustained seroconversion up to 9 months PSO, and serum antibody concentrations persistently surpassed adult levels (ratio serum IgG spike children vs. adults 90 days PSO 1.75, P < 0.001; 180 days 1.38, P = 0.01; 270 days 1.54, P = 0.001). In a low-incidence setting, SARS-CoV-2 infection and humoral immune response present distinct patterns in children including higher antibody levels, and lower seroprevalence in families with pediatric index cases. Children show long-term SARS-CoV-2 antibody responses. These findings are relevant to novel variants with increased disease burden in children, as well as for the planning of age-appropriate vaccination strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gabor A. Dunay
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Madalena Barroso
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Mathias Woidy
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Marta K. Danecka
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Geraldine Engels
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Katharina Hermann
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Friederike S. Neumann
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Kevin Paul
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Jan Beime
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Gabriele Escherich
- Department of Pediatric Hematology and Oncology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Kristin Fehse
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Lev Grinstein
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Franziska Haniel
- Department of Pediatric Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Luka J. Haupt
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Laura Hecher
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Torben Kehl
- Department of Pediatric Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Christoph Kemen
- Wilhelmstift Children’s Hospital, Liliencronstraße 130, 22149 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Markus J. Kemper
- Asklepios Klinik Nord – Heidberg, Tangstedter Landstraße 400, 22417 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Robin Kobbe
- Institute for Infection Research and Vaccine Development (IIRVD), University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Aloisa Kohl
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Thomas Klokow
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Dominik Nörz
- Institute of Medical Microbiology, Virology and Hygiene, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Jakob Olfe
- Department of Pediatric Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Friderike Schlenker
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Jessica Schmiesing
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Johanna Schrum
- Department of Pediatric Hematology and Oncology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Freya Sibbertsen
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Philippe Stock
- Altona Children’s Hospital, Bleickenallee 38, 22763 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Stephan Tiede
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Eik Vettorazzi
- Institute of Medical Biometry and Epidemiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Dimitra E. Zazara
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany ,Department of Obstetrics and Prenatal Medicine, Division for Experimental Feto-Maternal Medicine, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Antonia Zapf
- Institute of Medical Biometry and Epidemiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Marc Lütgehetmann
- Institute of Medical Microbiology, Virology and Hygiene, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Jun Oh
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Thomas S. Mir
- Department of Pediatric Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Ania C. Muntau
- Department of Pediatrics, Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
| | - Søren W. Gersting
- University Children’s Research, UCR@Kinder-UKE, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20251 Hamburg, Germany
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Merckx J, Crèvecoeur J, Proesmans K, Hammami N, Denys H, Hens N. COVID-19 surveillance in the Flemish school system: development of systematic data collection within the public health school system and descriptive analysis of cases reported between October 2020 and June 2021. BMC Public Health 2022; 22:1921. [PMID: 36243679 PMCID: PMC9568939 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-022-14250-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2021] [Accepted: 09/21/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The age-specific distribution of SARS-CoV-2 cases in schools is not well described. Reported statistics reflect the intensity of community transmission while being shaped by biases from age-dependent testing regimes, as well as effective age-specific interventions. A case surveillance system was introduced within the Flemish school and health-prevention network during the 2020–2021 school year. We present epidemiological data of in-school reported cases in pre-, primary and secondary schools identified by the case surveillance system, in conjunction with test data and community cases from October 2020 to June 2021. Methods We describe the development of the surveillance system and provide the number of reported cases and standardized rates per grade over time. We calculated absolute and relative differences in case incidence according to school grade (primary: grades 1–6, and secondary: grades 7–12) using grades 7–8 as a comparator, relating them to non-pharmaceutical infection prevention interventions. Cumulative population incidences (IP) stratified by age, province and socioeconomic status (SES) of the school population are presented with their 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results A total of 59,996 COVID-19 cases were reported in the school surveillance system, with the highest population adjusted IP in grade 11–12 of 7.39% (95%CI 7.24–7.53) and ranging from 2.23% to 6.25% from pre-school through grade 10. Age-specific reductions in mask introduction and in-person teaching were temporally associated with decreased case incidence, while lower pupil SES was associated with an increase in cumulative cases (excess 2,739/100,000 pupils compared to highest SES tertile). Community testing volumes varied more for children compared to adults, with overall higher child test-positivity. Holidays influence capturing of cases by the system, however efficiency increased to above 75% after further automation and integration in existing structures. Conclusion We demonstrate that effective integration of case surveillance within an electronic school health system is feasible, provides valuable data regarding the evolution of an epidemic among schoolchildren, and is an integral component of public health surveillance and pandemic preparedness. The relationship towards community transmission needs careful evaluation because of age-different testing regimens. In the Flemish region, case incidence within schools exhibited an age gradient that was mitigated through grade-specific interventions, though differences by SES remain. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-14250-1.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joanna Merckx
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Occupational Health, McGill University, 2001 McGill Street, Suite 1200, Montreal, QC, H3A 1G1, Canada.
| | - Jonas Crèvecoeur
- I-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium
| | | | - Naïma Hammami
- Agency for Care and Health, Infection Prevention and Control, Flemish Community, Brussels, Belgium
| | | | - Niel Hens
- I-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.,Centre for Health Economic Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases, Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
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Vardavas C, Nikitara K, Mathioudakis AG, Hilton Boon M, Phalkey R, Leonardi-Bee J, Pharris A, Deogan C, Suk JE. Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in educational settings in 2020: a review. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e058308. [PMID: 35383084 PMCID: PMC8983413 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-058308] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES School closures have been used as a core non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) during the COVID-19 pandemic. This review aims at identifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission in educational settings during the first waves of the pandemic. METHODS This literature review assessed studies published between December 2019 and 1 April 2021 in Medline and Embase, which included studies that assessed educational settings from approximately January 2020 to January 2021. The inclusion criteria were based on the PCC framework (P-Population, C-Concept, C-Context). The study Population was restricted to people 1-17 years old (excluding neonatal transmission), the Concept was to assess child-to-child and child-to-adult transmission, while the Context was to assess specifically educational setting transmission. RESULTS Fifteen studies met inclusion criteria, ranging from daycare centres to high schools and summer camps, while eight studies assessed the re-opening of schools in the 2020-2021 school year. In principle, although there is sufficient evidence that children can both be infected by and transmit SARS-CoV-2 in school settings, the SAR remain relatively low-when NPI measures are implemented in parallel. Moreover, although the evidence was limited, there was an indication that younger children may have a lower SAR than adolescents. CONCLUSIONS Transmission in educational settings in 2020 was minimal-when NPI measures were implemented in parallel. However, with an upsurge of cases related to variants of concern, continuous surveillance and assessment of the evidence is warranted to ensure the maximum protection of the health of students and the educational workforce, while also minimising the numerous negative impacts that school closures may have on children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Constantine Vardavas
- School of Medicine, University of Crete, Heraklion, Greece
- Department of Oral Health Policy and Epidemiology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Alexander G Mathioudakis
- Immunity and Respiratory Medicine, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - Michele Hilton Boon
- WISE Centre for Economic Justice, Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, UK
| | - Revati Phalkey
- Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Nottingham School of Medicine, Nottingham, UK
| | - Jo Leonardi-Bee
- Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Nottingham School of Medicine, Nottingham, UK
| | - Anastasia Pharris
- Epidemic Prone Diseases, Coronavirus and Influenza, Disease Programmes Unit, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden
| | - Charlotte Deogan
- Epidemic Prone Diseases, Coronavirus and Influenza, Disease Programmes Unit, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden
| | - Jonathan E Suk
- Emergency Preparedness and Response Support, Public Health Functions Unit, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden
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Silverberg SL, Zhang BY, Li SNJ, Burgert C, Shulha HP, Kitchin V, Sauvé L, Sadarangani M. Child transmission of SARS-CoV-2: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Pediatr 2022; 22:172. [PMID: 35365104 PMCID: PMC8975734 DOI: 10.1186/s12887-022-03175-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2021] [Accepted: 02/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Understanding of the role of children in COVID-19 transmission has significant implications for school and childcare policies, as well as appropriate targeting of vaccine campaigns. The objective of this systematic review was to identify the role of children in SARS-CoV-2 transmission to other children and adults. Methods MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Web of Science were electronically searched for articles published before March 31, 2021. Studies of child-to-child and child-to-adult transmission and quantified the incidence of index and resulting secondary attack rates of children and adults in schools, households, and other congregate pediatric settings were identified. All articles describing confirmed transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from a child were included. PRISMA guidelines for data abstraction were followed, with each step conducted by two reviewers. Results 40 of 6110 articles identified met inclusion criteria. Overall, there were 0.8 secondary cases per primary index case, with a secondary attack rate of 8.4% among known contacts. The secondary attack rate was 26.4% among adult contacts versus 5.7% amongst child contacts. The pooled estimate of a contact of a pediatric index case being infected as secondary case was 0.10 (95% CI 0.03-0.25). Conclusions Children transmit COVID-19 at a lower rate to children than to adults. Household adults are at highest risk of transmission from an infected child, more so than adults or children in other settings. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12887-022-03175-8.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah L Silverberg
- Department of Pediatrics, BC Children's Hospital, 4500 Oak Street, V6H 3N1, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
| | - Bei Yuan Zhang
- Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
| | | | - Conrad Burgert
- Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
| | - Hennady P Shulha
- Department of Pediatrics, BC Children's Hospital, 4500 Oak Street, V6H 3N1, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Vaccine Evaluation Center, BC Children's Hospital Research Institute, Vancouver, Canada.,BC Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada
| | | | - Laura Sauvé
- Department of Pediatrics, BC Children's Hospital, 4500 Oak Street, V6H 3N1, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Vaccine Evaluation Center, BC Children's Hospital Research Institute, Vancouver, Canada
| | - Manish Sadarangani
- Department of Pediatrics, BC Children's Hospital, 4500 Oak Street, V6H 3N1, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Vaccine Evaluation Center, BC Children's Hospital Research Institute, Vancouver, Canada
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5
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SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in children and their family members, July-October 2020, Brussels. Eur J Pediatr 2022; 181:1009-1016. [PMID: 34677664 PMCID: PMC8532097 DOI: 10.1007/s00431-021-04284-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2021] [Revised: 08/24/2021] [Accepted: 10/03/2021] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
The aim of this study was to estimate the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in a pediatric population after the first pandemic wave in Belgium. All patients requiring a blood sample between 1 July 2020 and 31 October 2020 in our institution were invited to participate. Their parents and siblings could also participate to estimate familial transmission and the congruence between serological statuses. A questionnaire was completed for each participant to identify symptoms consistent with COVID-19 in the previous months. Blood samples were tested for SARS-CoV-2-specific immunoglobulin G using ELISA. The final population included 112 children, 24 siblings of these children, and 36 adults. The seroprevalence of cases was 6.9% before 8 September, a date that corresponds to 1 week after the beginning of the second wave in Belgium and 22.5% afterwards (OR = 3.89, 95% CI (1.20; 12.58), p-value = 0.03). Twenty-five percent of children were asymptomatic, and none experienced severe disease. The symptoms associated with SARS-CoV-2-positive antibodies were diarrhoea (OR = 9.9, 95% CI [2.88; 33.87.65] p-value < 0.01), fever (OR = 3.8, 95% CI [1.44; 10.22] p-value < 0.01), rhinitis (OR = 3.9, 95% CI [1.38; 10.90] p-value = 0.01), or anosmia (OR = 31.5, 95% CI [1.45; 682.7], p-value = 0.02). A child was the first symptomatic household member in 50% of the familial clusters.Conclusion: Seroprevalence in children was comparable to that of the general population. Children could represent the source of infection in the household. What is Known: • COVID-19 infection is generally mild or asymptomatic in children and adolescents. • Belgian strategy of testing was focused on symptoms. • Adults are believed to be responsible for most of familial clusters. What is New: • Serological testing gives a more accurate view of the rate of infected children. • Based on serological results, children have been infected as frequently as adults during the first and second wave in Belgium. • Seventy-five percent of SARS-CoV-2 IgG-positive children presented a mild symptomatology, and 25% were totally asymptomatic. • Children could represent the source of infection within household.
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Rudan I, Adeloye D, Katikireddi SV, Murray J, Simpson C, Shah SA, Robertson C, Sheikh A. The COVID-19 pandemic in children and young people during 2020-2021: Learning about clinical presentation, patterns of spread, viral load, diagnosis and treatment. J Glob Health 2021; 11:01010. [PMID: 35047182 PMCID: PMC8763336 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.11.01010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Igor Rudan
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Davies Adeloye
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Josie Murray
- COVID-19 Surveillance Lead, Public Health Scotland, Fife, UK
| | - Colin Simpson
- School of Health, Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Chris Robertson
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK and Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - EAVE II collaboration
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit, Glasgow, UK
- COVID-19 Surveillance Lead, Public Health Scotland, Fife, UK
- School of Health, Wellington Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
- Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK and Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK
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7
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Gentilini F, Turba ME, Taddei F, Gritti T, Fantini M, Dirani G, Sambri V. Modelling RT-qPCR cycle-threshold using digital PCR data for implementing SARS-CoV-2 viral load studies. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0260884. [PMID: 34928966 PMCID: PMC8687578 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0260884] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2021] [Accepted: 11/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To exploit the features of digital PCR for implementing SARS-CoV-2 observational studies by reliably including the viral load factor expressed as copies/μL. METHODS A small cohort of 51 Covid-19 positive samples was assessed by both RT-qPCR and digital PCR assays. A linear regression model was built using a training subset, and its accuracy was assessed in the remaining evaluation subset. The model was then used to convert the stored cycle threshold values of a large dataset of 6208 diagnostic samples into copies/μL of SARS-CoV-2. The calculated viral load was used for a single cohort retrospective study. Finally, the cohort was randomly divided into a training set (n = 3095) and an evaluation set (n = 3113) to establish a logistic regression model for predicting case-fatality and to assess its accuracy. RESULTS The model for converting the Ct values into copies/μL was suitably accurate. The calculated viral load over time in the cohort of Covid-19 positive samples showed very low viral loads during the summer inter-epidemic waves in Italy. The calculated viral load along with gender and age allowed building a predictive model of case-fatality probability which showed high specificity (99.0%) and low sensitivity (21.7%) at the optimal threshold which varied by modifying the threshold (i.e. 75% sensitivity and 83.7% specificity). Alternative models including categorised cVL or raw cycle thresholds obtained by the same diagnostic method also gave the same performance. CONCLUSION The modelling of the cycle threshold values using digital PCR had the potential of fostering studies addressing issues regarding Sars-CoV-2; furthermore, it may allow setting up predictive tools capable of early identifying those patients at high risk of case-fatality already at diagnosis, irrespective of the diagnostic RT-qPCR platform in use. Depending upon the epidemiological situation, public health authority policies/aims, the resources available and the thresholds used, adequate sensitivity could be achieved with acceptable low specificity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fabio Gentilini
- Department of Veterinary Medical Sciences, University of Bologna, Ozzano dell’Emilia, Bologna, Italy
| | | | - Francesca Taddei
- Unit of Microbiology, The Great Romagna Hub Laboratory, Pievesestina, Italy
| | - Tommaso Gritti
- Unit of Microbiology, The Great Romagna Hub Laboratory, Pievesestina, Italy
| | - Michela Fantini
- Unit of Microbiology, The Great Romagna Hub Laboratory, Pievesestina, Italy
| | - Giorgio Dirani
- Unit of Microbiology, The Great Romagna Hub Laboratory, Pievesestina, Italy
| | - Vittorio Sambri
- Unit of Microbiology, The Great Romagna Hub Laboratory, Pievesestina, Italy
- Department of Experimental, Diagnostic and Specialty Medicine - DIMES, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
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8
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Weinert S, Thronicke A, Hinse M, Schad F, Matthes H. School Teachers' Self-Reported Fear and Risk Perception during the COVID-19 Pandemic-A Nationwide Survey in Germany. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:9218. [PMID: 34501807 PMCID: PMC8430488 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18179218] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/13/2021] [Revised: 08/23/2021] [Accepted: 08/27/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
With the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases peaking and health systems reaching their limits in winter 2020/21, schools remained closed in many countries. To better understand teachers' risk perception, we conducted a survey in Germany. Participants were recruited through various associations and invited to take part in a cross-sectional COVID-19-specific online survey. Descriptive statistical analysis was performed. Factors associated with teachers' fears of contracting the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) were evaluated with an adjusted multivariable regression analysis. The median age of the 6753 participating teachers was 43 years, and 77% were female. Most teachers worked in high schools (29%) and elementary schools (26%). The majority of participants (73%) feared contracting SARS-CoV-2 at school, while 77% intended to receive their COVID-19 vaccination. Ninety-eight percent considered students to pose the greatest risk. Female and younger teachers were significantly more anxious to get infected and teachers who opposed the re-opening of schools had significantly higher odds of being more anxious (p < 0.001). To the authors' knowledge, this is the first study to describe teachers' risk perception of COVID-19 and their attitudes towards vaccinations in a nationwide survey. The anxiety correlates with the COVID-19 protection measures demanded and appears to be a driving factor rather than rational logic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stefanie Weinert
- Institute of Social Medicine, Epidemiology and Health Economics, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany; (A.T.); (M.H.); (H.M.)
| | - Anja Thronicke
- Institute of Social Medicine, Epidemiology and Health Economics, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany; (A.T.); (M.H.); (H.M.)
- Research Institute Havelhöhe (FIH), Department Network Oncology, Kladower Damm 221, Berlin, Germany;
| | - Maximilian Hinse
- Institute of Social Medicine, Epidemiology and Health Economics, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany; (A.T.); (M.H.); (H.M.)
| | - Friedemann Schad
- Research Institute Havelhöhe (FIH), Department Network Oncology, Kladower Damm 221, Berlin, Germany;
- Interdisciplinary Oncology and Palliative Care, Hospital Gemeinschaftskrankenhaus Havelhöhe, Berlin, Germany
| | - Harald Matthes
- Institute of Social Medicine, Epidemiology and Health Economics, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany; (A.T.); (M.H.); (H.M.)
- Research Institute Havelhöhe (FIH), Department Network Oncology, Kladower Damm 221, Berlin, Germany;
- Medical Clinic for Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology CBF, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Irfan O, Li J, Tang K, Wang Z, Bhutta ZA. Risk of infection and transmission of SARS-CoV-2 among children and adolescents in households, communities and educational settings: A systematic review and meta-analysis. J Glob Health 2021; 11:05013. [PMID: 34326997 PMCID: PMC8285769 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.11.05013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is uncertainty with respect to SARS-CoV-2 transmission in children (0-19 years) with controversy on effectiveness of school-closures in controlling the pandemic. It is of equal importance to evaluate the risk of transmission in children who are often asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic carriers that may incidentally transmit SARS-CoV-2 in different settings. We conducted this review to assess transmission and risks for SARS-CoV-2 in children (by age-groups or grades) in community and educational-settings compared to adults. METHODS Data for the review were retrieved from PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, WHO COVID-19 Database, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) Database, WanFang Database, Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS), Google Scholar, and preprints from medRixv and bioRixv) covering a timeline from December 1, 2019 to April 1, 2021. Population-screening, contact-tracing and cohort studies reporting prevalence and transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in children were included. Data were extracted according to PRISMA guidelines. Meta-analyses were performed using Review Manager 5.3. RESULTS Ninety studies were included. Compared to adults, children showed comparable national (risk ratio (RR) = 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.71-1.060 and subnational (RR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.66-1.01) prevalence in population-screening studies, and lower odds of infection in community/household contact-tracing studies (odds ratio (OR) = 0.62, 95% CI = 0.46-0.84). On disaggregation, adolescents observed comparable risk (OR = 1.22, 95% CI = 0.74-2.04) with adults. In educational-settings, children attending daycare/preschools (OR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.38-0.72) were observed to be at lower-risk when compared to adults, with odds of infection among primary (OR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.55-1.31) and high-schoolers (OR = 1.30, 95% CI = 0.71-2.38) comparable to adults. Overall, children and adolescents had lower odds of infection in educational-settings compared to community and household clusters. CONCLUSIONS Children (<10 years) showed lower susceptibility to COVID-19 compared to adults, whereas adolescents in communities and high-schoolers had comparable risk. Risks of infection among children in educational-settings was lower than in communities. Evidence from school-based studies demonstrate it is largely safe for children (<10 years) to be at schools, however older children (10-19 years) might facilitate transmission. Despite this evidence, studies focusing on the effectiveness of mitigation measures in educational settings are urgently needed to support both public health and educational policy-making for school reopening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Omar Irfan
- Centre for Global Child Health, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Canada
| | - Jiang Li
- Centre for Global Child Health, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Canada
| | - Kun Tang
- Centre for Global Child Health, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Canada
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Zhicheng Wang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Zulfiqar A Bhutta
- Centre for Global Child Health, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Canada
- Institute for Global Health & Development, the Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
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10
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Diebig M, Gritzka S, Dragano N, Angerer P. Presentation of a participatory approach to develop preventive measures to reduce COVID-19 transmission in child care. J Occup Med Toxicol 2021; 16:26. [PMID: 34261512 PMCID: PMC8278174 DOI: 10.1186/s12995-021-00316-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2021] [Accepted: 07/01/2021] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Background It can be suspected that work in child care facilities is associated with an elevated exposure risk towards SARS-CoV-2 infections. It is still unclear under which conditions employees in those facilities can safely pursue their work. Preventive workplace-related measures to reduce transmission dynamics in this work environment need to be developed. These measures need to build on a solid scientific foundation and be ready for practical use at the same time. Therefore, the aim of the study is to present a participatory approach to identify, minimize, and eliminate workplace-specific COVID-19 transmission within child care. The approach presented combines quantitative as well as qualitative elements and includes a screening of critical workplace conditions and the development of preventive measures to foster a safe workplace design. Methods First, 428 employees of different child care facilities in a large German city reported their subjective risk of infection, fear of infection, and support received by the employer. Second, the participants commented in detail about high risk conditions during work. Third, employees provided suggestions for preventive measures. We conducted a qualitative analysis of free text answers to evaluate which aspects are perceived as critical from an employee perspective. Results Participants provided valuable and practicable ideas on how to design and improve preventive measures to reduce COVID-19 transmission in child care dealing with structural conditions, the interaction with the parents, the implementation of preventive measures and recommendations for policy makers. Conclusions These new insights help to organize pandemic risk management in order to align theoretical based measures with the practical realization. We encourage researchers to adapt the approach presented to other work areas in order to foster participation of employees in work design to reduce COVID-19 transmission. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12995-021-00316-0.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mathias Diebig
- Institute of Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Universitätsstr. 1, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
| | - Susan Gritzka
- Institute of Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Universitätsstr. 1, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany
| | - Nico Dragano
- Institute of Medical Sociology, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany
| | - Peter Angerer
- Institute of Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Universitätsstr. 1, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany
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11
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Goujon A, Natale F, Ghio D, Conte A. Demographic and territorial characteristics of COVID-19 cases and excess mortality in the European Union during the first wave. JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH 2021; 39:533-556. [PMID: 34093083 PMCID: PMC8164406 DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09263-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/15/2021] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
This article explores for a large number of countries in the European Union (plus the United Kingdom) the main demographic differentials in positive tested COVID-19 cases and excess mortality during the first wave in 2020, accounting for differences at territorial level, where population density and size play a main role in the diffusion and effects of the disease in terms of morbidity and mortality. This knowledge complements and refines the epidemiological information about the spread and impact of the virus. For this analysis, we rely on the descriptive exploration of (1) data from The European Surveillance System (TESSy) database developed at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) on the number of cases and fatality rates and (2) of weekly mortality data collected by Eurostat. The analysis at territorial level studies the changes in R0-the basic reproduction number-and median excess mortality, across territories with different levels of urbanization. The unique findings of this study encompassing most European Union Member States confirm and define the demographic and territorial differential impacts in terms of infections and fatalities during the first wave of the pandemic in 2020. The information is important for stakeholders at European Union, national and sub-national levels in charge of designing containment measures for COVID-19 and adaptation policies for the future by anticipating the rebound for certain segments of the population with differential medical and economic needs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anne Goujon
- European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
| | | | - Daniela Ghio
- European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
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12
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Soto JC, Barakat M, Hutter JA, Kiely M, Moreira S, Shapiro BJ, Murall CL, Parenteau N, Désilets J, Lessard R. Outbreak investigation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in an emergency childcare centre. Canadian Journal of Public Health 2021; 112:566-575. [PMID: 34047966 PMCID: PMC8161718 DOI: 10.17269/s41997-021-00544-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2021] [Accepted: 05/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
Objective To characterize SARS-CoV-2 transmission following a COVID-19 outbreak in an emergency childcare centre (ECCC) in April 2020 in Quebec, Canada. Methods The study population consisted of all the children and employees who attended the ECCC as well as household contacts of the confirmed COVID-19 cases. Of the 120 individuals in the study, five cases were confirmed by epidemiological link and 25 were identified as COVID-19 by RT-PCR among which 19 were analyzed by viral whole genome sequencing. Descriptive epidemiology, social network visualization, and phylogenetic analysis were used to characterize viral transmission. Results Phylogenetic analysis identified two separate introductions of distinct lineages of SARS-CoV-2 and estimated an average effective reproductive number of Re = 1.9 (range 0.9–4.9) with a mean doubling time of 3.2 days (range 2.1–5.2). The first and most prevalent lineage was introduced by two asymptomatic children who were likely infected by their parent, a confirmed COVID-19 case working in a long-term care centre. Among infected household adults, attack rates were significantly higher in mothers than in fathers (risk ratio = 4.5; 95% CI 1.1–18.7). The extent of transmission makes it one of the largest documented outbreaks in a daycare in Canada. Conclusion The analyses carried out showed the probable origin and direction of the transmission of the infection (adult-child, child-adult, and child-child), thus highlighting how asymptomatic children can efficiently transmit SARS-CoV-2. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.17269/s41997-021-00544-1.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julio C Soto
- Direction des risques biologiques et de la santé au travail, Institut national de santé publique du Québec, 190 boul. Crémazie Est, Montréal, Québec, H2P 1E2, Canada.
| | - Mireille Barakat
- Direction des risques biologiques et de la santé au travail, Institut national de santé publique du Québec, 190 boul. Crémazie Est, Montréal, Québec, H2P 1E2, Canada
| | - Juliana Ayres Hutter
- Direction des risques biologiques et de la santé au travail, Institut national de santé publique du Québec, 190 boul. Crémazie Est, Montréal, Québec, H2P 1E2, Canada
| | - Marilou Kiely
- Direction des risques biologiques et de la santé au travail, Institut national de santé publique du Québec, 190 boul. Crémazie Est, Montréal, Québec, H2P 1E2, Canada
| | - Sandrine Moreira
- Laboratoire de santé publique du Québec, Institut national de santé publique du Québec, Montréal, Québec, Canada
| | - B Jesse Shapiro
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, McGill University, Montréal, Québec, Canada
| | - Carmen Lia Murall
- Département de sciences biologiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada
| | - Nicolas Parenteau
- Direction de santé publique, Centre intégré de santé et de services sociaux de Lanaudière, Joliette, Québec, Canada
| | - Joane Désilets
- Direction de santé publique, Centre intégré de santé et de services sociaux de Lanaudière, Joliette, Québec, Canada
| | - Richard Lessard
- Direction de santé publique, Centre intégré de santé et de services sociaux de Lanaudière, Joliette, Québec, Canada
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8806 Russian patients demonstrate T cell count as better marker of COVID-19 clinical course severity than SARS-CoV-2 viral load. Sci Rep 2021; 11:9440. [PMID: 33941816 PMCID: PMC8093219 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-88714-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2021] [Accepted: 04/13/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
The article presents a comparative analysis of SARS-CoV-2 viral load (VL), T lymphocyte count and respiratory index PaO2:FiO2 ratio as prospective markers of COVID-19 course severity and prognosis. 8806 patients and asymptomatic carriers were investigated in time interval 15 March–19 December 2020. T cell count demonstrated better applicability as a marker of aggravating COVID-19 clinical course and unfavourable disease prognosis than SARS-CoV-2 VL or PaO2:FiO2 ratio taken alone. Using T cell count in clinical practice may provide an opportunity of early prediction of deteriorating a patient’s state.
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14
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Hommes F, van Loon W, Thielecke M, Abramovich I, Lieber S, Hammerich R, Gehrke-Beck S, Linzbach E, Schuster A, von dem Busche K, Theuring S, Gertler M, Equihua Martinez G, Richter J, Bergmann C, Bölke A, Böhringer F, Mall MA, Rosen A, Krannich A, Keller J, Bethke N, Kurzmann M, Kurth T, Kirchberger V, Seybold J, Mockenhaupt FP. SARS-CoV-2 Infection, Risk Perception, Behaviour and Preventive Measures at Schools in Berlin, Germany, during the Early Post-Lockdown Phase: A Cross-Sectional Study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph18052739. [PMID: 33800392 PMCID: PMC7967466 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18052739] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2020] [Revised: 02/20/2021] [Accepted: 03/04/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
Briefly before the first peak of the COVID-19 pandemic in Berlin, Germany, schools closed in mid-March 2020. Following re-opening, schools resumed operation at a reduced level for nine weeks. During this phase, we aimed at assessing, among students and teachers, infection status, symptoms, individual behaviour, and institutional infection prevention measures. Twenty-four primary and secondary school classes, randomly selected across Berlin, were examined. Oro-nasopharyngeal swabs and capillary blood samples were collected to determine SARS-CoV-2 infection (PCR) and specific IgG (ELISA), respectively. Medical history, household characteristics, leisure activities, fear of infection, risk perception, hand hygiene, facemask wearing, and institutional preventive measures were assessed. Descriptive analysis was performed. Among 535 participants (385 students, 150 staff), one teenager was found to be infected with SARS-CoV-2 (0.2%), and seven individuals exhibited specific IgG (1.3%). Compared to pre-pandemic times, screen time (e.g., TV, gaming, social media) increased, and the majority of primary school students reported reduced physical activity (42.2%). Fear of infection and risk perception were relatively low, acceptance of adapted health behaviors was high. In this post-lockdown period of low SARS-CoV-2 incidence in Berlin, individual and school-level infection prevention measures were largely adhered to. Nevertheless, vigilance and continued preventive measures are essential to cope with future pandemic activity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Franziska Hommes
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
- Correspondence:
| | - Welmoed van Loon
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Marlene Thielecke
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Igor Abramovich
- Clinic for Anesthesiology, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (I.A.); (S.L.)
| | - Sascha Lieber
- Clinic for Anesthesiology, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (I.A.); (S.L.)
- Medical Directorate, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (N.B.); (M.K.); (V.K.); (J.S.)
| | - Ralf Hammerich
- Clinical Quality and Risk Management, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany;
| | - Sabine Gehrke-Beck
- Institute of General Practice, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (S.G.-B.); (A.S.)
| | - Elisabeth Linzbach
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Angela Schuster
- Institute of General Practice, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (S.G.-B.); (A.S.)
| | - Katja von dem Busche
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany;
| | - Stefanie Theuring
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Maximilian Gertler
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Gabriela Equihua Martinez
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Joachim Richter
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Clara Bergmann
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Alisa Bölke
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
| | - Falko Böhringer
- Labor Berlin—Charité Vivantes Services GmbH, 13353 Berlin, Germany;
| | - Marcus A. Mall
- Department of Pediatric Pulmonology, Immunology and Critical Care Medicine, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (M.A.M.); (A.R.)
| | - Alexander Rosen
- Department of Pediatric Pulmonology, Immunology and Critical Care Medicine, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (M.A.M.); (A.R.)
| | - Alexander Krannich
- Clinical Study Center, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany;
| | - Jan Keller
- Department of Education and Psychology, Freie Universität Berlin, 14195 Berlin, Germany;
| | - Norma Bethke
- Medical Directorate, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (N.B.); (M.K.); (V.K.); (J.S.)
| | - Marco Kurzmann
- Medical Directorate, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (N.B.); (M.K.); (V.K.); (J.S.)
| | - Tobias Kurth
- Institute of Public Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany;
| | - Valerie Kirchberger
- Medical Directorate, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (N.B.); (M.K.); (V.K.); (J.S.)
| | - Joachim Seybold
- Medical Directorate, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (N.B.); (M.K.); (V.K.); (J.S.)
| | - Frank P. Mockenhaupt
- Institute of Tropical Medicine and International Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 13353 Berlin, Germany; (W.v.L.); (M.T.); (E.L.); (S.T.); (M.G.); (G.E.M.); (J.R.); (C.B.); (A.B.); (F.P.M.)
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Makhoul M, Chemaitelly H, Ayoub HH, Seedat S, Abu-Raddad LJ. Epidemiological Differences in the Impact of COVID-19 Vaccination in the United States and China. Vaccines (Basel) 2021; 9:223. [PMID: 33807647 PMCID: PMC8002114 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines9030223] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2021] [Revised: 02/04/2021] [Accepted: 03/02/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
This study forecasts Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination impact in two countries at different epidemic phases, the United States (US) and China. We assessed the impact of both a vaccine that prevents infection (VES of 95%) and a vaccine that prevents only disease (VEP of 95%) through mathematical modeling. For VES of 95% and gradual easing of restrictions, vaccination in the US reduced the peak incidence of infection, disease, and death by >55% and cumulative incidence by >32% and in China by >77% and >65%, respectively. Nearly three vaccinations were needed to avert one infection in the US, but only one was needed in China. For VEP of 95%, vaccination benefits were half those for VES of 95%. In both countries, impact of vaccination was substantially enhanced with rapid scale-up, vaccine coverage >50%, and slower or no easing of restrictions, particularly in the US. COVID-19 vaccination can flatten, delay, and/or prevent future epidemic waves. However, vaccine impact is destined to be heterogeneous across countries because of an underlying "epidemiologic inequity" that reduces benefits for countries already at high incidence, such as the US. Despite 95% efficacy, actual vaccine impact could be meager in such countries if vaccine scale-up is slow, acceptance is poor, or restrictions are eased prematurely.
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Affiliation(s)
- Monia Makhoul
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, Doha 24144, Qatar; (M.M.); (H.C.); (S.S.)
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation–Education City, Doha 24144, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY 10022, USA
| | - Hiam Chemaitelly
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, Doha 24144, Qatar; (M.M.); (H.C.); (S.S.)
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation–Education City, Doha 24144, Qatar
| | - Houssein H. Ayoub
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, Qatar University, Doha 2713, Qatar;
| | - Shaheen Seedat
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, Doha 24144, Qatar; (M.M.); (H.C.); (S.S.)
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation–Education City, Doha 24144, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY 10022, USA
| | - Laith J. Abu-Raddad
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation-Education City, Doha 24144, Qatar; (M.M.); (H.C.); (S.S.)
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine–Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation–Education City, Doha 24144, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY 10022, USA
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16
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Heudorf U, Steul K, Walczok A, Gottschalk R. [Children and COVID-19-Data from mandatory reporting and results of contact person testing in daycare centers and schools in Frankfurt am Main, Germany, August-December 2020]. Monatsschr Kinderheilkd 2021; 169:322-334. [PMID: 33678906 PMCID: PMC7922714 DOI: 10.1007/s00112-021-01134-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2021] [Accepted: 01/26/2021] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In face of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the question that children are also drivers of this pandemic and that groups, classes, or the entire facility should be closed when severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) occurs in schools or daycare centers is always implied. These questions were investigated using the mandatory reporting data in Frankfurt am Main and the extensive testing of contact persons (CP) in schools and daycare centers after the occurrence of an index case. METHOD The reporting data were taken from SurvStat. The index cases from daycare centers and schools were isolated and the CPs were offered PCR testing for SARS-CoV‑2 on a voluntary basis, regardless of whether symptoms suggestive of SARS-CoV‑2 had occurred or not. Deep nasal/pharyngeal swabs were collected by paramedics on behalf of the public health department of the city of Frankfurt am Main, Germany, and tested according to established standards at two accredited institutes. RESULTS From March to 31 December 2020, 22,715 COVID-19 cases were reported in Frankfurt, including 1588 (7.6%) SARS-CoV‑2 detections in children 14 years and younger. Thus, approximately half as many SARS-CoV‑2 detections were reported in children up to 14 years of age than would have corresponded to their proportion in the population. In autumn 2020, the increase in incidence in children over the weeks followed the increase in incidence in the general population, the age-related incidence of children remained below the incidence in the general population.From week 35 to week 52, index cases were reported from 143 daycare centers and 75 schools. As a result, 7915 CPs were tested. In daycare centers, SARS-CoV‑2 was detected in 4.5% of adult CPs and 2.5% of child CPs and in schools SARS-CoV‑2 was detected in 0.9% of adult CPs and 2.5% of student CPs tested. On average, less than 1 CP tested positive per index case. The rate of positive findings increased with increasing incidence in the overall population. No major outbreak occurred. DISCUSSION Regarding the level and timing of age-related incidences among children in Frankfurt am Main, there was no evidence that children were the drivers of the pandemic. Only a small percentage of the examined CPs in schools and daycare centers tested positive for SARS-CoV‑2. In the absence of evidence of intense transmission in the facilities, CP attendance can/should continue under hygiene conditions and there is no need to close entire groups, classes, or even facilities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ursel Heudorf
- MRE-Netz Rhein-Main, Frankfurt, c/o Gesundheitsamt Frankfurt am Main, Frankfurt, Deutschland
| | - Katrin Steul
- Gesundheitsamt Frankfurt am Main, Breite Gasse 28, 60313 Frankfurt, Deutschland
| | - Antoni Walczok
- Gesundheitsamt Frankfurt am Main, Breite Gasse 28, 60313 Frankfurt, Deutschland
| | - Rene Gottschalk
- Gesundheitsamt Frankfurt am Main, Breite Gasse 28, 60313 Frankfurt, Deutschland
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SARS-CoV-2 testing and infection control strategies in European paediatric emergency departments during the first wave of the pandemic. Eur J Pediatr 2021; 180:1299-1305. [PMID: 33051714 PMCID: PMC7553380 DOI: 10.1007/s00431-020-03843-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2020] [Revised: 09/01/2020] [Accepted: 10/09/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
Between February and May 2020, during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, paediatric emergency departments in 12 European countries were prospectively surveyed on their implementation of SARS-CoV-2 disease (COVID-19) testing and infection control strategies. All participating departments (23) implemented standardised case definitions, testing guidelines, early triage and infection control strategies early in the outbreak. Patient testing criteria initially focused on suspect cases and later began to include screening, mainly for hospital admissions. Long turnaround times for test results likely put additional strain on healthcare resources.Conclusion: Shortening turnaround times for SARS-CoV-2 tests should be a priority. Specific paediatric testing criteria are needed. What is Known: • WHO and public health authorities issued case definitions, testing and infection control recommendations for COVID-19 in January. • SARS-CoV-2 testing was made available across Europe in February. What is New: • Paediatric emergency departments implemented COVID-19-specific procedures rapidly, including case definitions, testing guidelines and early triage. • A third of surveyed departments waited more than 24 h for SARS-CoV-2 test to be reported, resulting in additional strain on resources.
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18
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Zapor M. Persistent Detection and Infectious Potential of SARS-CoV-2 Virus in Clinical Specimens from COVID-19 Patients. Viruses 2020; 12:E1384. [PMID: 33287245 PMCID: PMC7761721 DOI: 10.3390/v12121384] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2020] [Revised: 11/26/2020] [Accepted: 12/01/2020] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) that emerged in December 2019 as the causative agent of Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) and was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization in March 2020 has several distinctive features, including extensive multiorgan involvement with a robust systemic inflammatory response, significant associated morbidity and mortality, and prolonged persistence of viral RNA in the clinical specimens of infected individuals as detected by Reverse Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) amplification. This review begins with an overview of SARS-CoV-2 morphology and replication and summarizes what is known to date about the detection of the virus in nasal, oropharyngeal, and fecal specimens of patients who have recovered from COVID-19, with a focus on the factors thought to contribute to prolonged detection. This review also provides a discussion on the infective potential of this material from asymptomatic, pre-symptomatic, and convalescing individuals, to include a discussion of the relative persistence and infectious potential of virus in clinical specimens recovered from pediatric COVID-19 patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael Zapor
- Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Martinsburg, WV 25405, USA
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19
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Ayoub HH, Chemaitelly H, Mumtaz GR, Seedat S, Awad SF, Makhoul M, Abu-Raddad LJ. Characterizing key attributes of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in China's original outbreak: Model-based estimations. GLOBAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2020; 2:100042. [PMID: 33235991 PMCID: PMC7673212 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloepi.2020.100042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2020] [Revised: 11/03/2020] [Accepted: 11/16/2020] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
A novel coronavirus strain, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), emerged in China. This study aims to characterize key attributes of SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology as the infection emerged in China. An age-stratified mathematical model was constructed to describe transmission dynamics and estimate age-specific differences in biological susceptibility to infection, age-assortativeness in transmission mixing, and transition in rate of infectious contacts (and reproduction number R 0) following introduction of mass interventions. The model estimated the infectious contact rate in early epidemic at 0.59 contacts/day (95% uncertainty interval-UI = 0.48-0.71). Relative to those 60-69 years, susceptibility was 0.06 in those ≤19 years, 0.34 in 20-29 years, 0.57 in 30-39 years, 0.69 in 40-49 years, 0.79 in 50-59 years, 0.94 in 70-79 years, and 0.88 in ≥80 years. Assortativeness in transmission mixing by age was limited at 0.004 (95% UI = 0.002-0.008). R 0 rapidly declined from 2.1 (95% UI = 1.8-2.4) to 0.06 (95% UI = 0.05-0.07) following interventions' onset. Age appears to be a principal factor in explaining the transmission patterns in China. The biological susceptibility to infection seems limited among children but high among those >50 years. There was no evidence for differential contact mixing by age.
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Affiliation(s)
- Houssein H Ayoub
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Hiam Chemaitelly
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
| | - Ghina R Mumtaz
- Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Shaheen Seedat
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York City, NY, USA
| | - Susanne F Awad
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York City, NY, USA
| | - Monia Makhoul
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York City, NY, USA
| | - Laith J Abu-Raddad
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York City, NY, USA
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20
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Heudorf U, Steul K, Gottschalk R. Sars-Cov-2 in children - insights and conclusions from the mandatory reporting data in Frankfurt am Main, Germany, March-July 2020. GMS HYGIENE AND INFECTION CONTROL 2020; 15:Doc24. [PMID: 33214989 PMCID: PMC7656974 DOI: 10.3205/dgkh000359] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
Introduction: From the beginning of the corona pandemic until August 19, 2020, more than 21,989,366 cases have been reported worldwide - 228,495 in Germany alone, including 12,648 children aged 0-14. In many countries, the proportion of infected children in the total population is comparatively low; in addition, children often have no or milder symptoms and are less likely to transmit the pathogen to adults than the other way round. Based on the registration data in Frankfurt am Main, Germany, the symptoms of children in comparison with adults and the likely routes of transmission are presented below. Materials and methods: The documentation of the mandatory reports includes personal data (name, date of birth, gender, place of residence), disease characteristics (date of report, date of onset of the disease, symptoms), possible contact persons (family, others) and i.a. possible activity or care in children's community facilities. All reports were viewed, especially with regard to likely transmission routes. Results: From March 1 to July 31, 2020, 1,977 infected people were reported, including 138 children between the ages of 0 and 14 years. Children had fewer and milder symptoms than adults. None of the children experienced severe respiratory symptoms or the need for ventilation. 62% of the children had no symptoms at all (19% adults), 5% of the children were hospitalized (24% adults), and none of the children died (3.8% adults). After excluding a cluster of 34 children from refugee accommodations and 14 children from a parish, 78% of the remaining 90 children had been infected by an adult within the family, and only 4% were likely to have a reverse transmission route. In 5.5% of cases, transmission in a community facility was likely. Discussion: The results of the registration data from Frankfurt am Main, Germany confirm the results published in other countries: Children are less likely to become infected, and if infected, their symptoms are less severe than in adults, and they are apparently not the main drivers of virus transmission. Therefore, scientific medical associations strongly recommend reopening schools.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ursel Heudorf
- Public Health Department of the City of Frankfurt am Main, Germany
| | - Katrin Steul
- Public Health Department of the City of Frankfurt am Main, Germany
| | - René Gottschalk
- Public Health Department of the City of Frankfurt am Main, Germany
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21
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Root-Bernstein R. Possible Cross-Reactivity between SARS-CoV-2 Proteins, CRM197 and Proteins in Pneumococcal Vaccines May Protect Against Symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Disease and Death. Vaccines (Basel) 2020; 8:E559. [PMID: 32987794 PMCID: PMC7712751 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines8040559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2020] [Revised: 09/15/2020] [Accepted: 09/16/2020] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Various studies indicate that vaccination, especially with pneumococcal vaccines, protects against symptomatic cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection and death. This paper explores the possibility that pneumococcal vaccines in particular, but perhaps other vaccines as well, contain antigens that might be cross-reactive with SARS-CoV-2 antigens. Comparison of the glycosylation structures of SARS-CoV-2 with the polysaccharide structures of pneumococcal vaccines yielded no obvious similarities. However, while pneumococcal vaccines are primarily composed of capsular polysaccharides, some are conjugated to cross-reacting material CRM197, a modified diphtheria toxin, and all contain about three percent protein contaminants, including the pneumococcal surface proteins PsaA, PspA and probably PspC. All of these proteins have very high degrees of similarity, using very stringent criteria, with several SARS-CoV-2 proteins including the spike protein, membrane protein and replicase 1a. CRM197 is also present in Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) and meningitis vaccines. Equivalent similarities were found at lower rates, or were completely absent, among the proteins in diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, measles, mumps, rubella, and poliovirus vaccines. Notably, PspA and PspC are highly antigenic and new pneumococcal vaccines based on them are currently in human clinical trials so that their effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 disease is easily testable.
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