Life expectancy associated with different ages at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in high-income countries: 23 million person-years of observation

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes is increasing rapidly, particularly among younger age groups. Estimates suggest that people with diabetes die, on average, 6 years earlier than people without diabetes. We aimed to provide reliable estimates of the associations between age at diagnosis of diabetes and all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, and reductions in life expectancy.

METHODS

For this observational study, we conducted a combined analysis of individual-participant data from 19 high-income countries using two large-scale data sources: the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (96 cohorts, median baseline years 1961-2007, median latest follow-up years 1980-2013) and the UK Biobank (median baseline year 2006, median latest follow-up year 2020). We calculated age-adjusted and sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality according to age at diagnosis of diabetes using data from 1 515 718 participants, in whom deaths were recorded during 23·1 million person-years of follow-up. We estimated cumulative survival by applying age-specific HRs to age-specific death rates from 2015 for the USA and the EU.

FINDINGS

For participants with diabetes, we observed a linear dose-response association between earlier age at diagnosis and higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with participants without diabetes. HRs were 2·69 (95% CI 2·43-2·97) when diagnosed at 30-39 years, 2·26 (2·08-2·45) at 40-49 years, 1·84 (1·72-1·97) at 50-59 years, 1·57 (1·47-1·67) at 60-69 years, and 1·39 (1·29-1·51) at 70 years and older. HRs per decade of earlier diagnosis were similar for men and women. Using death rates from the USA, a 50-year-old individual with diabetes died on average 14 years earlier when diagnosed aged 30 years, 10 years earlier when diagnosed aged 40 years, or 6 years earlier when diagnosed aged 50 years than an individual without diabetes. Using EU death rates, the corresponding estimates were 13, 9, or 5 years earlier.

INTERPRETATION

Every decade of earlier diagnosis of diabetes was associated with about 3-4 years of lower life expectancy, highlighting the need to develop and implement interventions that prevent or delay the onset of diabetes and to intensify the treatment of risk factors among young adults diagnosed with diabetes.

FUNDING

British Heart Foundation, Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and Health Data Research UK.

Treatment target achievement after myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke: cardiovascular risk factors, medication use, and lifestyle: the Tromsø Study 2015-16

AIMS

To investigate European guideline treatment target achievement in cardiovascular risk factors, medication use, and lifestyle, after myocardial infarction (MI) or ischaemic stroke, in women and men living in Norway.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In the population-based Tromsø Study 2015-16 (attendance 65%), 904 participants had previous validated MI and/or stroke. Cross-sectionally, we investigated target achievement for blood pressure (<140/90 mmHg, <130/80 mmHg if diabetes), LDL cholesterol (<1.8 mmol/L), HbA1c (<7.0% if diabetes), overweight (body mass index (BMI) <25 kg/m2, waist circumference women <80 cm, men <94 cm), smoking (non-smoking), physical activity (self-reported >sedentary, accelerometer-measured moderate-to-vigorous ≥150 min/week), diet (intake of fruits ≥200 g/day, vegetables ≥200 g/day, fish ≥200 g/week, saturated fat <10E%, fibre ≥30 g/day, alcohol women ≤10 g/day, men ≤20 g/day), and medication use (antihypertensives, lipid-lowering drugs, antithrombotics, and antidiabetics), using regression models. Proportion of target achievement was for blood pressure 55.2%, LDL cholesterol 9.0%, HbA1c 42.5%, BMI 21.1%, waist circumference 15.7%, non-smoking 86.7%, self-reported physical activity 79%, objectively measured physical activity 11.8%, intake of fruit 64.4%, vegetables 40.7%, fish 96.7%, saturated fat 24.3%, fibre 29.9%, and alcohol 78.5%, use of antidiabetics 83.6%, lipid-lowering drugs 81.0%, antihypertensives 75.9%, and antithrombotics 74.6%. Only 0.7% achieved all cardiovascular risk factor targets combined. Largely, there was little difference between the sexes, and in characteristics, medication use, and lifestyle among target achievers compared to non-achievers.

CONCLUSION 

Secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease was suboptimal. A negligible proportion achieved the treatment target for all risk factors. Improvement in follow-up care and treatment after MI and stroke is needed.

Hypothetical interventions and risk of myocardial infarction in a general population: application of the parametric g-formula in a longitudinal cohort study-the Tromsø Study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to use the parametric g-formula to estimate the 19-year risk of myocardial infarction (MI) under hypothetical interventions on six cardiovascular risk factors.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A populations-based cohort study with repeated measurements, the Tromsø Study.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

Myocardial infarction.

PARTICIPANTS

We estimated the relative and absolute risk reduction under feasible and intensive risk reduction strategies for smoking, physical activity, alcohol drinking, body mass index, total serum cholesterol and systolic blood pressure in 14 965 men and women with 19 years of follow-up (1994-2013).

RESULTS

The estimated 19-year risk of MI under no intervention was 7.5% in individuals with baseline mean age 49.3 years (range 25-69). This risk was reduced by 30% (95% CI 19% to 39%) under joint feasible interventions on all risk factors, and 70% (60%, 78%) under a set of more intensive interventions. The most effective interventions were lowering of total cholesterol to 5.18 mmol/L and lowering of systolic blood pressure to 120 mm Hg (33% and 37% lower MI risk, respectively). The absolute risk reductions were significantly larger in men, in older participants, in smokers and in those with low education.

CONCLUSION

Modification of population levels of cardiovascular risk factors could have prevented close to one-third of the cases of MI in the municipality of Tromsø during 19 years of follow-up.

P6226Association of functional iron deficiency with incident cardiovascular diseases and mortality in the general population

Background

Functional iron deficiency (FID) has been established as a risk factor in patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVD). As opposed to absolute iron deficiency, it reflects stored iron as well as utilized iron and allows for a more accurate evaluation of individual iron status. However, evidence is scant on the relevance of FID to the incidence of CVD in the general population.

Aim

This study aimed to evaluate the association of FID with incident cardiovascular diseases and mortality endpoints in a large population-based cohort.

Methods

FID was defined as either ferritin below 100 μg/L or ferritin between 100 and 299 μg/L and transferrin saturation below 20%. Only individuals free of CVD at baseline from three population-based European cohorts were included. Multivariable-adjusted sex- and cohort-stratified Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association of functional iron deficiency with incident cardiovascular diseases (coronary heart disease, cerebral infarction, heart failure and atrial fibrillation) as well as with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Adjustments were performed for sex (as strata), age (as time scale), smoking, total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, body mass index and high-sensitive C-reactive protein.

Results

In total, N=12146 individuals were included in the analysis with a median age of 59.0 years (25thpercentile 45.0, 75thpercentile 68.0), and 45.2% men. Incidence of FID was 64.3%. Median follow-up times were 12.3 to 21.8 years, with an all-cause mortality rate of 18.2% and a cardiovascular mortality rate of 6.2%. Incident coronary heart disease, cerebral infarction, heart failure and atrial fibrillation were observed in 8.7%, 6.5%, 5.9% and 11.7%, respectively.

FID was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01–1.24, p=0.034), cardiovascular death (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.03–1.54, p=0.027) and incident coronary heart disease (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.06–1.43, p<0.01). There was no significant association with the other tested endpoints.

Conclusion

In our analysis of population-based cohorts, FID showed a significant positive association with all-cause as well as cardiovascular mortality and incident coronary heart disease. Further research is needed to validate the role of FID as a cardiovascular risk factor in the general population and to evaluate the impact of iron supplementation on gender and outcome.

Know Your Heart: Rationale, design and conduct of a cross-sectional study of cardiovascular structure, function and risk factors in 4500 men and women aged 35-69 years from two Russian cities, 2015-18

Russia has one of the highest rates of cardiovascular disease in the world. The International Project on Cardiovascular Disease in Russia (IPCDR) was set up to understand the reasons for this. A substantial component of this study was the Know Your Heart Study devoted to characterising the nature and causes of cardiovascular disease in Russia by conducting large cross-sectional surveys in two Russian cities Novosibirsk and Arkhangelsk. The study population was 4542 men and women aged 35-69 years recruited from the general population. Fieldwork took place between 2015-18. There were two study components: 1) a baseline interview to collect information on socio-demographic characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors, usually conducted at home, and 2) a comprehensive health check at a primary care clinic which included detailed examination of the cardiovascular system. In this paper we describe in detail the rationale for, design and conduct of these studies.

Know Your Heart: Rationale, design and conduct of a cross-sectional study of cardiovascular structure, function and risk factors in 4500 men and women aged 35-69 years from two Russian cities, 2015-18

Russia has one of the highest rates of cardiovascular disease in the world. The International Project on Cardiovascular Disease in Russia (IPCDR) was set up to understand the reasons for this. A substantial component of this study was the Know Your Heart Study devoted to characterising the nature and causes of cardiovascular disease in Russia by conducting large cross-sectional surveys in two Russian cities Novosibirsk and Arkhangelsk. The study population was 4542 men and women aged 35-69 years recruited from the general population. Fieldwork took place between 2015-18. There were two study components: 1) a baseline interview to collect information on socio-demographic characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors, usually conducted at home, and 2) a comprehensive health check at a primary care clinic which included detailed examination of the cardiovascular system. In this paper we describe in detail the rationale for, design and conduct of these studies.

Know Your Heart: Rationale, design and conduct of a cross-sectional study of cardiovascular structure, function and risk factors in 4500 men and women aged 35-69 years from two Russian cities, 2015-18

Russia has one of the highest rates of cardiovascular disease in the world. The International Project on Cardiovascular Disease in Russia (IPCDR) was set up to understand the reasons for this. A substantial component of this study was the Know Your Heart Study devoted to characterising the nature and causes of cardiovascular disease in Russia by conducting large cross-sectional surveys in two Russian cities Novosibirsk and Arkhangelsk. The study population was 4542 men and women aged 35-69 years recruited from the general population. Fieldwork took place between 2015-18. There were two study components: 1) a baseline interview to collect information on socio-demographic characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors, usually conducted at home, and 2) a comprehensive health check at a primary care clinic which included detailed examination of the cardiovascular system. In this paper we describe in detail the rationale for, design and conduct of these studies.

Increased thrombin generation in persons with echogenic carotid plaques

Echolucent carotid plaques are associated with higher risk for future ischemic cerebrovascular events (CVE) than echogenic plaques independent of the degree of stenosis.Elevated markers of thrombin generation are associated with atherosclerotic plaques and are increased in the acute and chronic phases of CVE. The present study was conducted to investigate the influence of plaque morphology on thrombin generation in persons with carotid stenosis. One hundred twenty-eight persons with carotid stenosis (≥35% lumen diameter reduction) and 136 matched controls without stenosis were recruited from the health survey of the Tromsø Study. Blood samples were collected and plaque morphology determined by ultrasonography. Thrombin generation was assessed by thrombin-antithrombin complexes (TAT) and by prothrombin fragment 1+2 (F1+2).Persons with echogenic plaques (n=63) had significantly higher levels of TAT (5.24 μg/l, 4.33–6.14) (mean, 95%CI) than persons with echolucent plaques (n=65) (3.44 μg/l, 2.91–3.96, p<0.001) and controls (n=136) (3.33 μg/l, 3.06–3.60, p<0.001).They also had significantly higher levels of F1+2 (2.14 nM, 1.83–2.45) than persons with echolucent plaques (1.54 nM, 1.38–1.71, p<0.001) and controls (1.49 nM, 1.40–1.58, p<0.001). TAT and F1+2 increased linearly with plaque echogenicity (p=0.002 and p=0.001, respectively) independent of the degree of stenosis. Increased thrombin generation was associated with a significant increase in plasma factorV levels among persons with echogenic plaques compared to echolucent plaques (p=0.049) and controls (p=0.025). The present findings indicate that increasing plaque echogenicity, rather than plaque echolucency and the degree of stenosis, is associated with thrombin generation in persons with carotid stenosis.

Sex Differences and Similarities in Atrial Fibrillation Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Mortality in Community Cohorts: Results From the BiomarCaRE Consortium (Biomarker for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe)

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac disease in aging populations with high comorbidity and mortality. Sex differences in AF epidemiology are insufficiently understood.

METHODS

In N=79 793 individuals without AF diagnosis at baseline (median age, 49.6 years; age range, 24.1-97.6 years; 51.7% women) from 4 community-based European studies (FINRISK, DanMONICA, Moli-sani Northern Sweden) of the BiomarCaRE consortium (Biomarker for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe), we examined AF incidence, its association with mortality, common risk factors, biomarkers, and prevalent cardiovascular disease, and their attributable risk by sex. Median follow-up time was 12.6 (to a maximum of 28.2) years.

RESULTS

Fewer AF cases were observed in women (N=1796; 4.4%), than in men (N=2465; 6.4%). Cardiovascular risk factor distribution and lipid profile at baseline were less beneficial in men than in women, and cardiovascular disease was more prevalent in men. Cumulative incidence increased markedly after the age of 50 years in men and after 60 years in women. The lifetime risk was similar (>30%) for both sexes. Subjects with incident AF had a 3.5-fold risk of death in comparison with those without AF. Multivariable-adjusted models showed sex differences for the association of body mass index and AF (hazard ratio per standard deviation increase, 1.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.23 in women versus 1.31; 95% CI 1.25-1.38 in men; interaction P value of 0.001). Total cholesterol was inversely associated with incident AF with a greater risk reduction in women (hazard ratio per SD, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.81-0.90 versus 0.92; 95% CI, 0.88-0.97 in men; interaction P value of 0.023). No sex differences were seen for C-reactive protein and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide. The population-attributable risk of all risk factors combined was 41.9% in women and 46.0% in men. About 20% of the risk was observed for body mass index.

CONCLUSIONS

Lifetime risk of AF was high, and AF was strongly associated with increased mortality both in women and men. Body mass index explained the largest proportion of AF risk. Observed sex differences in the association of body mass index and total cholesterol with AF need to be evaluated for underlying pathophysiology and relevance to sex-specific prevention strategies.

Carotid intima-media thickness progression and risk of vascular events in people with diabetes: results from the PROG-IMT collaboration

OBJECTIVE

Carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) is a marker of subclinical organ damage and predicts cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in the general population. It has also been associated with vascular risk in people with diabetes. However, the association of CIMT change in repeated examinations with subsequent CVD events is uncertain, and its use as a surrogate end point in clinical trials is controversial. We aimed at determining the relation of CIMT change to CVD events in people with diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In a comprehensive meta-analysis of individual participant data, we collated data from 3,902 adults (age 33-92 years) with type 2 diabetes from 21 population-based cohorts. We calculated the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation (SD) difference in mean common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) or in CCA-IMT progression, both calculated from two examinations on average 3.6 years apart, for each cohort, and combined the estimates with random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Average mean CCA-IMT ranged from 0.72 to 0.97 mm across cohorts in people with diabetes. The HR of CVD events was 1.22 (95% CI 1.12-1.33) per SD difference in mean CCA-IMT, after adjustment for age, sex, and cardiometabolic risk factors. Average mean CCA-IMT progression in people with diabetes ranged between -0.09 and 0.04 mm/year. The HR per SD difference in mean CCA-IMT progression was 0.99 (0.91-1.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite reproducing the association between CIMT level and vascular risk in subjects with diabetes, we did not find an association between CIMT change and vascular risk. These results do not support the use of CIMT progression as a surrogate end point in clinical trials in people with diabetes.

Associations of Body Mass Index (Maternal BMI) and Gestational Diabetes Mellitus with Neonatal and Maternal Pregnancy Outcomes in a Multicentre European Database (Diabetes and Pregnancy Vitamin D and Lifestyle Intervention for Gestational Diabetes Mellitus Prevention)

Objective. Assess the impact of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) and obesity on neonatal and maternal pregnancy outcomes. Methods. Cross-sectional data (3343 pregnancies) from seven European centres were included in a multilevel analysis of the association between GDM/obesity and caesarean section, macrosomia and neonatal morbidities. Results. Comparison of databases identified reporting differences between countries due to the inclusion of true population based samples or pregnancies from specialised tertiary centres, resulting in higher prevalences of GDM for some countries. The analysis showed that obesity and GDM were independent risk factors of perinatal complications. Only BMI had a dose-dependent effect on the risk of macrosomia and caesarean section. Both obesity (BMI > 30 kg/m²) and GDM were independent risk factors of neonatal morbidities. Conclusions. Obesity and GDM were independent risk factors of perinatal complications. The effect of the worldwide obesity and diabetes epidemic is extending to the next generation.

Osteoprotegerin is associated with hip fracture incidence: the Tromso Study

BACKGROUND

Osteoprotegerin (OPG) is a cytokine essential for the regulation of bone resorption, but large longitudinal studies on its relationship to fracture risk in humans are lacking. In this population-based study of 2740 men and 2857 post-menopausal women, it was examined whether serum OPG was associated with hip fracture incidence. The participants were followed for 15 years.

METHODS

Baseline measurements included height, weight and serum OPG, and information about lifestyle, prevalent diseases and use of medication.

RESULTS

Men with OPG in the highest quartile were 2.79-fold [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.34-5.82] more likely to have a hip fracture during follow-up, compared with those with OPG in the lowest quartile (P-trend over OPG quartiles ≤ 0.001, after adjustments for age and other confounders). In women not using post-menopausal hormone therapy (HT), the risk of hip fracture was 1.64-fold higher (95% CI 0.94-2.86) in the highest quartile compared with the lowest OPG quartile (P-trend over OPG quartiles = 0.05). No relationship was found in post-menopausal women using HT (P-trend over OPG quartiles = 0.23).

CONCLUSIONS

In men, OPG was positively associated with the incidence of hip fracture. In post-menopausal women not using HT a similar, but weaker, relationship was found.

Serum osteoprotegerin levels are related to height loss: the Tromsø Study

Severe loss of body height is often a consequence of osteoporotic vertebral fractures. Osteoprotegerin (OPG) and receptor activator of nuclear factor-kB ligand (RANKL) are cytokines essential for the regulation of bone resorption. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between the OPG/RANKL system and height loss. A total of 4,435 inhabitants from the municipality of Tromsø, Norway (2,169 men and 2,266 women) were followed for 6 years. Baseline measurements included height, weight, bone mineral density, OPG, RANKL, serum parathyroid hormone and information about lifestyle, prevalent diseases and use of medication. Height was measured again at follow-up, and the loss of height was categorized into 4 groups: ≤1, 1.1-2, 2.1-3, >3 cm. We found increasing height loss with increasing baseline OPG levels in both men and women (P trend = 0.02 and 0.001, respectively), after adjustments for age and other confounders. However, when the women were stratified according to menopausal status and use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT), a significant relationship was present only among postmenopausal women not using HRT (P trend = 0.02). No relations between OPG and height loss were found in post-menopausal HRT-users and premenopausal women (P trend ≥0.39). We conclude that height loss is positively associated with OPG in men and in postmenopausal women not using HRT. No relationship was found between RANKL and height loss.

Increased urinary orosomucoid excretion predicts preeclampsia in pregnant women with pregestational type 1 diabetes

AIMS

We evaluated the urinary orosomucoid excretion (UOE) as a biomarker of preeclampsia and preterm delivery in pregnant women with type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

Singleton pregnant women with pregestational type 1 diabetes were included provided one urine sample had been collected before 17 gestational weeks. Serum and urinary orosomucoid were analysed by immunoturbidimetry. Primary outcome measurements were development of preeclampsia (blood pressure>140/90mmHg and proteinuria) and preterm delivery before 37 weeks.

RESULTS

In total 173 women were included. The UOE increased during pregnancy. Preeclampsia developed in 20 women and 65 women delivered preterm. Using logistic regression analysis we found that UOE>1.37mg/l (OR: 6.85 (95% CI: 1.97-23.88; p<0.003)), nulliparity (3.88 (1.10-13.72); p<0.04), systolic blood pressure>120mmHg (4.12 (1.35-12.59); p<0.02) and duration of diabetes>20 years (3.69 (1.18-11.52); p<0.03) independently predicted the development of preeclampsia. Independent predictors of preterm delivery were duration of diabetes and HbA1c>7%. The remaining covariates included in the regression models were BMI, serum creatinine, smoking and microalbuminuria.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased UOE early in pregnancy predicted preeclampsia in women with pregestational type 1 diabetes independently of albuminuria and other known risk factors. No association to preterm delivery was found.

Cardiovascular risk estimation tailored to different clinical settings - the Tromsø study

OBJECTIVE

To develop a cardiovascular risk model simulating different clinical settings using a staged approach.

DESIGN

Using data from 27,477 men and women from the Norwegian Tromsø Study in 1986-1987 and 1994-1995, Cox regression models for either myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke combined with a similar model for the competing event a risk model that assess ten-year risk of MI and stroke was developed. Explanatory variables (questions, simple examinations and blood samples) were added gradually. The model was validated using Hosmer-Lemeshow test, the Brier score, c-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI).

RESULTS

In total, 1,298 events of MI and 769 events of stroke were registered. For MI the model showed excellent discrimination in each step with c-index from 0.833 to 0.946. For stroke the c-index ranged between 0.817 and 0.898. IDI showed significant increases in discrimination. The Brier scores and goodness of fit test showed well calibrated models in all steps for all sex- and end-point specific models (p>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Although the predictive and discriminative ability of the models increased with each step, even the simplest model containing only data from questions or blood samples alone yielded valid estimates of cardiovascular risk.

Bone loss in relation to serum levels of osteoprotegerin and nuclear factor-kappaB ligand: the Tromsø Study

SUMMARY

In this longitudinal study of 4,137 persons, bone mineral density was negatively associated with osteoprotegerin at baseline in both genders. In postmenopausal women not using hormone replacement therapy (HRT), bone-loss increased with increasing osteoprotegerin levels, whereas no relationship was found in men, premenopausal women, or postmenopausal women taking HRT.

INTRODUCTION

In a population-based study of 2,003 men and 2,134 women, the relationship between the osteoprotegerin (OPG)/factor-kappaB ligand (RANKL) system and bone mineral density (BMD) and changes in BMD was examined.

METHODS

Baseline measurements included height, weight, BMD of the forearm, OPG, RANKL, vitamin D, and serum parathyroid hormone (PTH) and information about lifestyle, prevalent diseases, and use of medication. BMD was remeasured at follow-up 6 years later.

RESULTS

BMD was negatively associated with OPG at baseline in both men and women (p trend over OPG levels = 0.01 and 0.007, respectively, after adjustments for age, and other confounders). In postmenopausal women not on hormone replacement therapy, bone loss increased with increasing OPG (p = 0.005), whereas no relationship was found in men, premenopausal women, or postmenopausal women on HRT (p >or= 0.28). BMD at baseline and BMD changes were not related to RANKL levels in any of the groups (p >or= 0.14).

CONCLUSIONS

In postmenopausal women not using HRT, bone loss associated positively with OPG. The results indicate that in women deficient in sex steroids, the OPG/RANKL system may play an important counter regulatory role in order to avoid bone loss and maintain BMD. In men and women replete in sex steroids, the OPG/RANKL system was not associated with BMD.

Study rationale and design of the CIMT trial: the Copenhagen Insulin and Metformin Therapy trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) have an increased mortality rate primarily because of macrovascular disease. Where T2DM patients cannot be managed sufficiently through diet, exercise and peroral antidiabetic drugs, that is when haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) is above 7.0%, it is yet unknown whether a combination of metformin and insulin analogues is superior to insulin analogues alone. Nor is it known which insulin analogue regimen is the optimal.

OBJECTIVE

The primary objective of this trial is to evaluate the effect of an 18-month treatment with metformin vs. placebo in combination with one of three insulin analogue regimens, the primary outcome measure being carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) in T2DM patients.

DESIGN

A randomized, stratified, multicentre trial having a 2 x 3 factorial design. The metformin part is double masked and placebo controlled. The insulin treatment is open. The intervention period is 18 months.

PATIENT POPULATION

Nine hundred and fifty patients with T2DM and HbA1c > or = 7.5% on treatment with oral hypoglycaemic agents or on insulin treatment and deemed able, by the investigator, to manage once-daily insulin therapy with a long-acting insulin analogue.

RANDOMIZATION

Central randomization stratified for age (above 65 years), previous insulin treatment and treatment centre.

INTERVENTIONS

Metformin 1 g x two times daily vs. placebo (approximately 475 patients vs. 475 patients) in combination with insulin detemir before bedtime (approximately 315 patients) or biphasic insulin aspart 30 before dinner with the possibility to increase to two or three injections daily (approximately 315 patients) or insulin aspart before the main meals (three times daily) and insulin detemir before bedtime (approximately 315 patients). Intervention follows a treat-to-target principle in all six arms aiming for an HbA1c < or = 7.0%.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome measure is the change in CIMT from baseline to 18 months. Secondary outcome measures comprises the composite outcome of death, acute myocardial infarction, stroke or amputation assessed by an adjudication committee blinded to intervention, other cardiovascular clinical outcomes, average postprandial glucose increment from 0 to 18 months, hypoglycaemia and any inadvertent medical episodes. In addition, change in plaque formation in the carotids, HbA1c, cardiovascular biomarkers, body composition, progression of microvascular complications and quality of life will be assessed as tertiary outcome measures. TIME SCHEDULE: Patient enrolment started May 2008. Follow-up is expected to finish in March 2011.

CONCLUSION

CIMT is designed to provide evidence as to whether metformin is advantageous even during insulin treatment and to provide evidence regarding which insulin analogue regimen is most advantageous with regard to cardiovascular disease.

The Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration: analysis of individual data on lipid, inflammatory and other markers in over 1.1 million participants in 104 prospective studies of cardiovascular diseases

Many long-term prospective studies have reported on associations of cardiovascular diseases with circulating lipid markers and/or inflammatory markers. Studies have not, however, generally been designed to provide reliable estimates under different circumstances and to correct for within-person variability. The Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration has established a central database on over 1.1 million participants from 104 prospective population-based studies, in which subsets have information on lipid and inflammatory markers, other characteristics, as well as major cardiovascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Information on repeat measurements on relevant characteristics has been collected in approximately 340,000 participants to enable estimation of and correction for within-person variability. Re-analysis of individual data will yield up to approximately 69,000 incident fatal or nonfatal first ever major cardiovascular outcomes recorded during about 11.7 million person years at risk. The primary analyses will involve age-specific regression models in people without known baseline cardiovascular disease in relation to fatal or nonfatal first ever coronary heart disease outcomes. This initiative will characterize more precisely and in greater detail than has previously been possible the shape and strength of the age- and sex-specific associations of several lipid and inflammatory markers with incident coronary heart disease outcomes (and, secondarily, with other incident cardiovascular outcomes) under a wide range of circumstances. It will, therefore, help to determine to what extent such associations are independent from possible confounding factors and to what extent such markers (separately and in combination) provide incremental predictive value.

Low testosterone levels are associated with carotid atherosclerosis in men

OBJECTIVE

To study the relationship between endogenous sex hormone levels and intima-media thickness (IMT) of the carotid artery measured by ultrasonography.

DESIGN

Population-based cross-sectional study.

METHODS

Sex hormone levels measured by immunoassay, anthropometric measurements and IMT was studied in 1482 men aged 25-84 years participating in the 1994-1995 Tromsø study. The data were analysed with partial correlation, multiple linear regression and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Linear regression models showed that total testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin levels, but not calculated free testosterone, serum oestradiol or dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate levels were inversely associated with the age-adjusted IMT (P = 0.008 and P < 0.001 respectively). These associations were independent of smoking, physical activity, blood pressure and lipid levels, but were not independent of body mass index (BMI). Excluding men with cardiovascular disease (CVD) did not materially change these results. In a logistic regression model adjusted for the confounding effect of CVD risk factors, men with testosterone levels in the lowest quintile (<9.0 nmol L(-1)) had an independent OR = 1.51 (P = 0.015) of being in the highest IMT quintile.

CONCLUSIONS

We found an inverse association between total testosterone levels and IMT of the carotid artery in men that was present also after excluding men with CVD, but was not independent of BMI. The clinical relevance of this, however, is uncertain and needs to be investigated in a clinical setting.

Pregnancy and progression of diabetic nephropathy

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Pregnancy could damage kidney function in diabetic nephropathy. We investigated the long-term impact of pregnancy on the progression of diabetic nephropathy.

METHODS

Our observational follow-up study included all women patients with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus who developed diabetic nephropathy between 1970 and 1989 at Steno Diabetes Center (n = 93). Follow-up lasted 16 years (range 3-28) from the onset of diabetic nephropathy until death or the year 2000. A total of 26 women became pregnant after the onset of diabetic nephropathy (group A). The remaining 67 served as control subjects (group B). All patients received aggressive antihypertensive treatment (blood pressure goal < 140/90 mmHg).

RESULTS

The two groups were comparable at onset of diabetic nephropathy regarding blood pressure, albuminuria, s-cholesterol, smoking, retinopathy and s-creatinine (mean 79(SD 23) micromol/l). The slopes of 1/s-creatinine (1000.l.micromol(-1).year(-1)) during the whole observation period were -0.39(0.40) compared with -0.41(0.70) (group A vs B-NS). The slopes of 1/s-creatinine before and after pregnancy were similar. Decline in creatinine clearance (ml/min/yr) was 3.2 (3.4) compared with 3.2 (5.1) (group A vs B -NS). At the end of follow-up, 35 % (95 %-CI:17-53) of the pregnant women had died and 19 % (7-39) had reached end stage renal disease compared to 34 % (23-45) and 24 %(14-34) of the control subjects, respectively(NS). Group A and B had similar blood pressure levels during the whole observation period: 136(13)/83(7) vs 139 (14)/85(7) mmHg (NS).

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

Pregnancy has no adverse long-term impact on kidney function and survival in Type I diabetic patients with well-preserved kidney function (normal serum creatinine) suffering from diabetic nephropathy.

Increase in serum prorenin precedes onset of microalbuminuria in patients with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The renin-angiotensin system is possibly involved in the pathogenesis of diabetic nephropathy. The most striking change in renin-angiotensin system components in blood of patients with diabetic nephropathy is an increased prorenin concentration. We investigated prospectively serum concentrations of renin-angiotensin system components and the time course of prorenin increase in normoalbuminuric diabetic patients developing microalbuminuria.

METHODS

Patients (n = 199) with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and normoalbuminuria at baseline were prospectively followed for 10 years. The prorenin concentrations and other variables possibly associated with the occurrence of microalbuminuria, were investigated by Cox-regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of the patients 29 developed microalbuminuria. Glycated haemoglobin values were higher at baseline in these patients. Serum prorenin was similar at baseline but rose in the 29 patients before the development of microalbuminuria and was stable in patients with stable albumin excretion. Renin, angiotensinogen and angiotensin converting enzyme serum concentrations were stable in both groups. Prorenin and glycated haemoglobin were independent prognostic factors for the development of microalbuminuria. A prognostic index, based on these variables, was constructed to estimate the relative risk of developing microalbuminuria.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Increase in serum prorenin precedes onset of microalbuminuria in normotensive patients with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. High concentrations of prorenin in combination with high values of glycated haemoglobin can be used as a predictor of development of microalbuminuria.

Cohort study of predictive value of urinary albumin excretion for atherosclerotic vascular disease in patients with insulin dependent diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether slightly elevated urinary albumin excretion precedes development of atherosclerotic vascular disease in patients with insulin dependent diabetes independently of conventional atherogenic risk factors and of diabetic nephropathy.

DESIGN

Cohort study with 11 year follow up.

SETTING

Diabetes centre in Denmark.

SUBJECTS

259 patients aged 19-51 with insulin dependent diabetes of 6-34 years' duration and without atherosclerotic vascular disease or diabetic nephropathy at baseline.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Baseline variables: urinary albumin excretion, blood pressure, smoking habits, and serum concentrations of total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, sialic acid, and von Willebrand factor.

END POINT

atherosclerotic vascular disease assessed by death certificates, mailed questionnaires, and hospital records.

RESULTS

Thirty patients developed atherosclerotic vascular disease during follow up of 2457 person year. Elevated urinary albumin excretion was significantly predictive of atherosclerotic vascular disease (hazard ratio 1.06 (95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.18) per 5 mg increase in 24 hour urinary albumin excretion, P = 0.002). Predictive effect was independent of age; sex; blood pressure; smoking; serum concentrations of total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, sialic acid, and von Willebrand factor; level of haemoglobin A(lc); insulin dose, duration of diabetes, and diabetic nephropathy (hazard ratio 1.04 (1.01 to 1.08) per 5 mg increase

Epilepsy in a mitochondrial disorder

In a large family with maternally inherited mitochondrial disease, a mild defect in the NADH-ubiquinone oxidoreductase step (complex 1) in the respiratory chain was found. Epilepsy was seen in nine (22%) of the 37 family members. Five of them, belonging to one branch of the family, had myoclonus epilepsy and EEG abnormalities consistent with this. The remaining four patients, belonging to other branches of the family tree, had partial epilepsy. Neurological symptoms also varied in different parts of the family. Possible explanations for the differences in phenotypic expressions are discussed.

The role of hypertension in the development of nephropathy in type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus

Which comes first when developing clinical diabetic nephropathy, the blood pressure rise or the increasing urinary albumin excretion? This issue is discussed based on recent literature of studies in humans with Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. We conclude that hypertension has a central role in the progression of diabetic nephropathy and has deleterious effects on the life expectancy of patients who already have signs of diabetic renal disease in terms of elevated urinary albumin excretion. However, blood pressure is preceded by small increments of urinary albumin excretion rates, an indicator of universally increased vascular leakiness, and thus does not seem to be the cause of diabetic nephropathy.

Pre-eclampsia--a mitochondrial disease?

Mitochondrial dysfunction is a newly found group of inborn errors of metabolism in which there is a failure in the aerobic energy production. Disorders of mitochondrial metabolism exhibit a wide range of clinical symptoms which are related to the nature, severity and tissue distribution of the metabolic defect. Most reported cases are published in the neurological literature. In this report we describe for the first time a family with mitochondrial dysfunction with a high incidence of pre-eclampsia/eclampsia. The diagnosis of a mitochondrial disorder is verified by electronmicroscopic, electromyographic, histochemical and biochemical examinations. During pregnancy, the energy demand is increased due to both fetal and maternal requirements. A mitochondrial dysfunction, clinically symptomless in the non-pregnant state, may therefore become manifest during pregnancy. Characteristic features of pre-eclampsia such as disturbed ion transport, disturbed prostaglandin synthesis, vasoconstriction, platelet aggregation and hyperuricemia may be explained by mitochondrial dysfunction.

Prevalence of microalbuminuria, arterial hypertension, retinopathy and neuropathy in patients with insulin dependent diabetes

Diabetic nephropathy is the main cause of the increased morbidity and mortality in patients with insulin dependent diabetes. The prevalence of microalbuminuria was determined in adults with insulin dependent diabetes of five or more years' duration that had started before the age of 41. All eligible patients (n = 982) attending a diabetes clinic were asked to collect a 24 hour urine sample for analysis of albumin excretion by radioimmunoassay; 957 patients complied. Normoalbuminuria was defined as urinary albumin excretion of less than or equal to 30 mg/24 h (n = 562), microalbuminuria as 31-299 mg/24 h (n = 215), and macroalbuminuria as greater than or equal to 300 mg/24 h (n = 180). The prevalence of microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria was significantly higher in patients whose diabetes had developed before rather than after the age of 20. The prevalence of arterial hypertension increased with increased albuminuria, being 19%, 30%, and 65% in patients with normoalbuminuria, microalbuminuria, and macroalbuminuria respectively. The prevalence of proliferative retinopathy and blindness rose with increasing albuminuria, being 12% and 1.4%, respectively, in patients with normoalbuminuria, 28% and 5.6% in those with microalbuminuria and 58% and 10.6% in those with macroalbuminuria. An abnormal vibratory perception threshold was more common in patients with microalbuminuria (31%) and macroalbuminuria (50%) than in those with normoalbuminuria (21%). This study found a high prevalence (22%) of microalbuminuria, which is predictive of the later development of diabetic nephropathy. Microalbuminuria is also characterised by an increased prevalence of arterial hypertension, proliferative retinopathy, blindness, and peripheral neuropathy. Thus, urinary excretion of albumin should be monitored routinely in patients with insulin dependent diabetes.

Effects of indomethacin on kidney function in type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetic patients with nephropathy

We investigated whether the glomerular synthesis of prostaglandins modulates the glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria in diabetic nephropathy. The urinary excretion of immunoreactive prostaglandin E2 (253 pg/min) was significantly elevated in eight Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetic women with nephropathy as compared with nine normoalbuminuric Type 1 diabetic women (95 pg/min) and 11 non-diabetic women (132 pg/min), respectively (p less than 0.01). Glomerular filtration rate (single bolus 51Cr-EDTA technique) and albuminuria (radioimmunoassay) were measured twice within two weeks in the eight Type 1 diabetic women with nephropathy. All eight patients were on a diabetic diet without sodium restriction. The study was performed as a randomized double-blind trial, with the patients receiving either indomethacin (150 mg/day) or placebo for three days prior to the kidney function studies. Indomethacin treatment induced a significant reduction in urinary prostaglandin E2 excretion (73%, p less than 0.01), glomerular filtration rate diminished from 120 +/- 18 to 106 +/- 17 ml/min/1.73 m2 (p less than 0.05), albuminuria declined from 148 to 69 micrograms/min (median and range) (p less than 0.05) and fractional clearance of albumin diminished 42% (p less than 0.05). Blood glucose concentrations were comparable during the placebo and indomethacin treatment, 13.4 +/- 4 versus 14.2 +/- 3 mmol/l, respectively. Our results suggest that glomerular filtration rate in early diabetic nephropathy is dependent on the enhanced glomerular synthesis of vasodilating prostaglandins.

Effect of captopril on kidney function in insulin-dependent diabetic patients with nephropathy

The influence of angiotensin II on kidney function in diabetic nephropathy was assessed by studying the effect of 12 weeks' monotherapy with captopril (25-50 mg twice a day) in 16 hypertensive insulin dependent diabetic patients with persistent albuminuria. In an initial one week randomised single blind trial of captopril versus placebo, captopril (for nine patients) reduced arterial blood pressure from 148/94 (SD11/6) to 135/88 (8/7) mm Hg (p less than 0.05) and albuminuria from 1549 (range 352-2238) to 1170 (297-2198) micrograms/min (p less than 0.05), while glomerular filtration rate remained stable. No significant changes occurred in seven patients treated with placebo. During the 12 weeks of captopril treatment arterial blood pressure in all patients fell from 147/94 (11/6) to 135/86 (13/7) mm Hg (p less than 0.01), albuminuria fell from 1589 (range 168-2588) to 1075 (35-2647) micrograms/min (p less than 0.01), and glomerular filtration rate fell from 99 (SD19) to 93 (25) ml/min/1.73 m2 (p less than 0.01). The renin-angiotensin system showed suppressed plasma concentrations of angiotensin II and increased concentrations of angiotensin I and renin. The study showed that glomerular filtration rate is not dependent on angiotensin II, that captopril reduces albuminuria, probably by lowering glomerular hypertension, and that captopril represents a valuable new drug for treating hypertension in diabetics dependent on insulin with nephropathy.

Acute reduction of arterial blood pressure reduces urinary albumin excretion in type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetic patients with incipient nephropathy

The effect of an acute reduction in arterial blood pressure upon kidney function was studied in 12 patients with Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes and incipient nephropathy (persistent microalbuminuria). Renal function was assessed by measurement of the glomerular filtration rate (single bolus 51Cr-EDTA technique) and by the urinary albumin excretion rate (radioimmunoassay). The study was performed twice within 2 weeks, with the patients receiving a slow intravenous injection of either clonidine (225 micrograms) or saline (154 mmol/l) in random order. Clonidine reduced arterial blood pressure from 125/79 +/- 13/8 to 104/68 +/- 9/7 mmHg (p less than 0.01), urinary albumin excretion rate from 68 (31-369) to 46 (6-200) micrograms/min (median and range) (p less than 0.01), and fractional clearance of albumin in all patients (median 29%) (p less than 0.01). Glomerular filtration rate was 110 +/- 11 before and 106 +/- 13 ml/min/1.73 m2 after clonidine injection. The blood glucose concentration was 15 +/- 4 mmol/l before and 14 +/- 5 mmol/l after clonidine injection. In agreement with findings in animal studies, our results suggest that microalbuminuria is to a large extent pressure-dependent, probably because of glomerular hypertension, and that autoregulation of glomerular filtration rate is normal in most patients with incipient diabetic nephropathy.

An artificial betacell: assessment of the glucose analyser, infusion system and optimization of constants for the algorithms

The glucose analyser and insulin infusion modules of the Biostator were tested. The infusion system was reliable since more than 99% of the computed volume of insulin solution was delivered by the infusion pump at infusion rates above 1/100 of maximum, and no insulin was adsorbed onto infusion bags or tubing. Blood glucose results from the Biostator were compared with routine laboratory methods during long-term feedback control. Both slope (0.73) and scatter (r=0.87) around the regression line were unsatisfactory when the recommended calibration procedure was used. Tests in fasting non-diabetic subjects showed a significant correlation between the variation in Biostator glucose read-out and the plasma protein concentration in the detector outflow. In diabetics the ratio between Biostator glucose read-out and laboratory glucose determinations declined significantly with time. These observations led to the introduction of a standardization procedure based on externally determined blood glucose concentrations. During long-term feedback experiments in diabetics this procedure resulted in a significant increase in slope (0.84) but no improvement in scatter around the regression line. Repeated OGTTs revealed a set of constants for the algorithms, which enabled normal glucose tolerance to be achieved with smaller amounts of insulin.

Comparison of 24-hour insulin requirements in IDDM patients during control by an artificial betacell and during conventional therapy

Insulin requirements were measured over 24 hours during feed-back control by an artificial betacell (Biostator) in 25 lean insulin-dependent diabetics with no endogenous insulin secretion. The set of constants selected for the algorithms was that which resulted in the minimum insulin infusion consistent with normal glucose tolerance during an OGTT. The results were compared with the daily dose of insulin chosen, using standard clinical criteria, by physicians with no knowledge of the experimental results. Plasma IRI remained within the normal range during Biostator control, and the insulin dose given over 24 hours was almost identical - 101 +/- 9% with that selected on clinical grounds. The reproducibility of insulin requirements established with the Biostator was tested over two consecutive days in nine patients; all required an increased amount of insulin (mean + 6.9%, range + 0.5 to + 12.2%) on the second day.