Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

Social isolation & loneliness among asylum-seeking parents with young children (0-5 years old)

I will present findings from a qualitative study in Montreal, that aimed to gain a better understanding of the experiences of social isolation and loneliness, key contributors to mental health problems, among asylum seeking families with young children. Using semi-structured interviews, we interviewed 14 families from 11 countries who had children ≤ 5 years old. Social isolation was largely linked to parents' asylum status which contributed to a number of their struggles (poverty, difficulty finding housing, challenges accessing healthcare, family separation, asylum process), and meant they were ineligible for certain benefits and services, particularly subsidized daycare, and as a result left families little time, financial or mental capacity, or support to engage in social interactions. A lack of access to daycare also limited integration of mothers into the workforce and their ability to participate in language courses. Mothers expressed feeling loneliness, which was tied to feelings of sadness and despair due to their precarious situation and uncertain future and having no one to share these worries with, while fathers felt frustrated and spoke about a sense of responsibility to keep moving forward and overcome the family's challenges. Due to parents' isolation, some children were spending lots of time at home, and consequently were being exposed to their parents' stress, which concerned parents as they felt it was affecting their children's well-being. In contrast, children provided a means for breaking families' isolation, either through their participation in recreational activities or because parents were motived to have their children integrated into their new society. Religion/religious organizations were also identified as sources of hope and assistance and contributed to families' well-being. Interventions at the policy, community and individual levels are needed to facilitate families' integration and promote social connectedness and belongingness.

The Long-Term Impact of Political Activism on Mental Wellbeing in the Context of Adult Immigrants Who Experienced Childhood Political Trauma

There is limited literature on the long-term impact of political activism on mental wellbeing in the context of childhood political trauma and subsequent forced migration. Such information is important for developing mental health services suitable to this population. This qualitative study contributes to this gap by exploring the experience of an understudied population: adult Jewish Argentinian immigrants to Israel, who as children experienced the military dictatorship in Argentina (1976-1983). Thematic textual analysis of narrative interviews revealed that in the case of participants who escaped with their parents as political exiles to Israel, political activism during childhood and adulthood can be both a risk and protective factor and affect a range of positive and negative long-term mental health outcomes including resilience and symptoms that appear as Complex Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder.

A manually annotated Actinidia chinensis var. chinensis (kiwifruit) genome highlights the challenges associated with draft genomes and gene prediction in plants

Background

Most published genome sequences are drafts, and most are dominated by computational gene prediction. Draft genomes typically incorporate considerable sequence data that are not assigned to chromosomes, and predicted genes without quality confidence measures. The current Actinidia chinensis (kiwifruit) ‘Hongyang’ draft genome has 164 Mb of sequences unassigned to pseudo-chromosomes, and omissions have been identified in the gene models.

Results

A second genome of an A. chinensis (genotype Red5) was fully sequenced. This new sequence resulted in a 554.0 Mb assembly with all but 6 Mb assigned to pseudo-chromosomes. Pseudo-chromosomal comparisons showed a considerable number of translocation events have occurred following a whole genome duplication (WGD) event some consistent with centromeric Robertsonian-like translocations. RNA sequencing data from 12 tissues and ab initio analysis informed a genome-wide manual annotation, using the WebApollo tool. In total, 33,044 gene loci represented by 33,123 isoforms were identified, named and tagged for quality of evidential support. Of these 3114 (9.4%) were identical to a protein within ‘Hongyang’ The Kiwifruit Information Resource (KIR v2). Some proportion of the differences will be varietal polymorphisms. However, as most computationally predicted Red5 models required manual re-annotation this proportion is expected to be small. The quality of the new gene models was tested by fully sequencing 550 cloned ‘Hort16A’ cDNAs and comparing with the predicted protein models for Red5 and both the original ‘Hongyang’ assembly and the revised annotation from KIR v2. Only 48.9% and 63.5% of the cDNAs had a match with 90% identity or better to the original and revised ‘Hongyang’ annotation, respectively, compared with 90.9% to the Red5 models.

Conclusions

Our study highlights the need to take a cautious approach to draft genomes and computationally predicted genes. Our use of the manual annotation tool WebApollo facilitated manual checking and correction of gene models enabling improvement of computational prediction. This utility was especially relevant for certain types of gene families such as the EXPANSIN like genes. Finally, this high quality gene set will supply the kiwifruit and general plant community with a new tool for genomics and other comparative analysis.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12864-018-4656-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

UK practice in the prevention of central venous catheter-associated thrombosis in adults on home parenteral nutrition

BACKGROUND

Maintaining central access is imperative for the delivery of home parenteral nutrition (HPN) in those with intestinal failure. Methods to reduce central venous catheter infection are well recognised; however, the prevention of line thrombosis is less well studied.

METHODS

This paper reviews the current evidence and reports a survey of current practice within the UK. Using an electronic survey, respondents were asked to detail their use of anticoagulation in different patient groups and the type of anticoagulation used.

RESULTS

41 replies were received from 31 centres. Only one responder used low-dose warfarin routinely; 80% however anticoagulated those with a previous line thrombosis and 65% anticoagulated those that had any deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolus. The most commonly used anticoagulant was dose-adjusted warfarin aiming for an international normalised ratio of 2-3.

CONCLUSIONS

The evidence from the current literature in both HPN and the wider field is that there is no clear evidence that anticoagulation is either beneficial or harmful in the prevention of line thrombosis. This survey suggested that practice is varied across the UK likely reflecting the lack of evidence within the current literature.

Supporting Pakistani and Chinese families with young children: perspectives of mothers and health visitors

BACKGROUND

In the UK, public health nurses (health visitors) provide support and advice to families with young children, including those from minority ethnic communities. While the need for cultural sensitivity is being increasingly recognized, the factors which contribute to this sensitivity are poorly understood. The Pakistani and Chinese communities constitute the two largest minority ethnic groups in Scotland. This study explored Pakistani and Chinese women's experience of motherhood and of the health visiting service and public health nurses' experiences of working with Chinese and Pakistani mothers.

METHODS

Semi-structured individual interviews were carried out with 16 Pakistani and 15 Chinese mothers. Eight health visitors took part in two focus groups. The study was undertaken in an urban area of Scotland. Data were analysed thematically.

FINDINGS

Chinese and Pakistani mothers negotiate complex processes in order to ensure that their children maintain their own ethnic identity while fitting in with their peers in their adopted country. Health visitors were seen as supportive, although sometimes advice and information given was culturally inappropriate, and their role was often poorly understood. Health visitors were anxious to be sensitive to families' religious and cultural beliefs.

CONCLUSIONS

Cultural sensitivity is an important factor in providing appropriate advice and help to Pakistani and Chinese families, and involves health visitors in considering views and practices on parenting which may differ across cultures, including their own. Family characteristics need to be understood on an individual basis, rather than making assumptions about clients' cultural norms and lifestyles. This is best achieved by exploring with mothers if they understand the advice and information they are being offered and also if it is appropriate to their cultural and religious beliefs.

Pregnancy-associated venous thrombosis

Pregnant women are at an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and the consequences of an acute event in pregnancy can be debilitating, long-lasting or fatal. Screening for risk factors early in pregnancy and the provision of thromboprophylaxis are useful ways of preventing VTE in some women, but even when performed diligently, acute events are likely to remain common for the foreseeable future. It is therefore important for obstetric and non-obstetric clinicians to recognize the symptoms and signs of deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism in pregnancy, to understand how a diagnosis can be reached in an effective yet safe manner and to be aware of the available treatment modalities.

Urinary bacterial pathogens and their antimicrobial susceptibility profile for the years 2005-2007 in St Kitts

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study is to review bacterial isolates from cases of urinary tract infection (UTI) and their antimicrobial susceptibility pattern for the years 2005-2007 in St Kitts. It is hoped that the study will be of use in the treatment of cases of UTI in St Kitts.

METHODS

The laboratory records at St Francis Hospital, Basseterre, St Kitts, for bacterial isolates from cases of urinary tract infection and their susceptibility profiles for three years, 2005-2007, were retrospectively reviewed and compared.

RESULTS

A total of 595 isolates of 13 species of pathogenic bacteria were recovered from cases of UTI. Escherichia coli was the predominant species recovered each year. Among the other species frequently recovered were Citrobacter spp, Enterobacter spp, Klebsiella pneumoniae and Pseudomonas aeruginosa.

CONCLUSION

This study, the first of its kind from St Kitts serves to emphasize that treatment of UTI should be instituted generally on the basis of antimicrobial susceptibility tests.

Hospice utilization by men dying of prostate cancer

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Background: The 25,000 American men who die of prostate cancer each year often suffer from fatigue, bone pain, and weight loss. Enrollment in hospice programs improves both the quality of life and the quality of death for this cohort. However, previous data suggest that hospice is often used inappropriately, either through underuse or through improperly timed referral. We sought to characterize sociodemographic and clinical factors that affect appropriate and inappropriate utilization of hospice services by men with metastatic prostate cancer in a population-based dataset. Methods: We used linked data from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results and Medicare data to identify a cohort of beneficiaries who died of prostate cancer between 1992 and 2005. We then evaluated the bivariate association between sociodemographic and clinical data and any hospice enrollment. Hospice referrals within 7 days of death or more than 180 days before dying were considered inappropriate. Results: Of the 14,521 men dying of prostate cancer, 7,646 (53%) utilized hospice resources. Enrollment within 7 days of death was noted in 1699 subjects (22% of hospice users), and enrollment more than 180 days prior to death was seen in 717 participants (9% of hospice users). Subjects who utilized hospice within the appropriate time frame were enrolled for a mean of 47 days (S.D. 41, range 7–180 days) prior to death, with a median of 31 days. In our bivariate analysis, white ethnicity, partnered status, and achieving at least a high school diploma were significantly associated with hospice use ( Table ). Conclusions: Hospice utilization rates in our cohort compared favorably with previous analyses, but the frequency of improperly timed hospice referrals was similar to prior reports and provides an opportunity for improvement.

[Table: see text]

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Rituximab and immune tolerance in severe hemophilia A: a consecutive national cohort

SUMMARY BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: he management of patients with severe hemophilia A and inhibitors to factor VIII (FVIII) resistant to standard immune tolerance is challenging. There have been recent case reports of the successful use of rituximab in up to 57% of patients as part of rescue immune tolerance regimens. Because case reports and small series are prone to the potential bias of reporting good outcomes and relatively short follow up, a consecutive cohort of all patients treated in the UK with prolonged follow up was analyzed.

METHODS

A national survey of all Comprehensive Care Haemophilia Center in the UK.

RESULTS

A total of 15 patients were reported of whom six (40%) achieved a negative inhibitor titer by Bethesda assay. Durable responses were unusual, observed in only 14% of cases. Clinically significant responses with either a negative inhibitor or an inhibitor titer < 5 BU mL(-1) and no spontaneous bleeding with FVIII replacement were observed in seven (47%) cases. Concomitant use of FVIII appeared to be important. Of the 12 patients treated with rituximab and FVIII, six (50%) achieved a negative inhibitor titer and seven (58%) had a clinically beneficial response. None of the three patients treated without FVIII responded.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest that the use of rituximab combined with FVIII is a potentially useful treatment for patients with inhibitors resistant to standard immune tolerance, although sustained inhibitor eradication is uncommon.

Driving experiences of disabled drivers

OBJECTIVE

To study the influence of non-standard controls on return to driving after disability, including prevalence of accidents/retraining difficulties.

DESIGN

Postal questionnaires sent within two years of assessment to 972 disabled drivers seen over a three-year period.

SETTING

Scottish Driving Assessment Service.

SUBJECTS

All patients considered capable of driving after assessment during the study period.

RESULTS

Five hundred and eighty-nine people (61 %) replied who were representative of the total population (mean age 55 years, range 19-87); 73% were male and 70% were disabled for up to two years. Overall 79% respondents had returned to driving (highest reported success with standard manual car (86%) and lowest using left foot to accelerate and brake (66%) (chi2 = 16.6, P = 0.005)). A significantly higher proportion of the 30 patients (6.5%) admitting to accidents and 25 (5.4%) to problems with retraining were using non-standard driving techniques, especially the use of hand controls.

CONCLUSION

Disabled drivers returning to drive using non-familiar controls had lower success and a higher proportion of accidents and/or problems with retraining than people using conventional controls. If confirmed in larger studies this may have implications for policy-makers as well as specialist practitioners.