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Hayward G, Yu LM, Little P, Gbinigie O, Shanyinde M, Harris V, Dorward J, Saville BR, Berry N, Evans PH, Thomas NPB, Patel MG, Richards D, Hecke OV, Detry MA, Saunders C, Fitzgerald M, Robinson J, Latimer-Bell C, Allen J, Ogburn E, Grabey J, de Lusignan S, Hobbs FR, Butler CC. Ivermectin for COVID-19 in adults in the community (PRINCIPLE): An open, randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial of short- and longer-term outcomes. J Infect 2024; 88:106130. [PMID: 38431155 PMCID: PMC10981761 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2024.106130] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2023] [Revised: 02/20/2024] [Accepted: 02/22/2024] [Indexed: 03/05/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The evidence for whether ivermectin impacts recovery, hospital admissions, and longer-term outcomes in COVID-19 is contested. The WHO recommends its use only in the context of clinical trials. METHODS In this multicentre, open-label, multi-arm, adaptive platform randomised controlled trial, we included participants aged ≥18 years in the community, with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, and symptoms lasting ≤14 days. Participants were randomised to usual care, usual care plus ivermectin tablets (target 300-400 μg/kg per dose, once daily for 3 days), or usual care plus other interventions. Co-primary endpoints were time to first self-reported recovery, and COVID-19 related hospitalisation/death within 28 days, analysed using Bayesian models. Recovery at 6 months was the primary, longer term outcome. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN86534580. FINDINGS The primary analysis included 8811 SARS-CoV-2 positive participants (median symptom duration 5 days), randomised to ivermectin (n = 2157), usual care (n = 3256), and other treatments (n = 3398) from June 23, 2021 to July 1, 2022. Time to self-reported recovery was shorter in the ivermectin group compared with usual care (hazard ratio 1·15 [95% Bayesian credible interval, 1·07 to 1·23], median decrease 2.06 days [1·00 to 3·06]), probability of meaningful effect (pre-specified hazard ratio ≥1.2) 0·192). COVID-19-related hospitalisations/deaths (odds ratio 1·02 [0·63 to 1·62]; estimated percentage difference 0% [-1% to 0·6%]), serious adverse events (three and five respectively), and the proportion feeling fully recovered were similar in both groups at 6 months (74·3% and 71·2% respectively (RR = 1·05, [1·02 to 1·08]) and also at 3 and 12 months. INTERPRETATION Ivermectin for COVID-19 is unlikely to provide clinically meaningful improvement in recovery, hospital admissions, or longer-term outcomes. Further trials of ivermectin for SARS-Cov-2 infection in vaccinated community populations appear unwarranted. FUNDING UKRI/National Institute of Health Research (MC_PC_19079).
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Affiliation(s)
- Gail Hayward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Paul Little
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Oghenekome Gbinigie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Milensu Shanyinde
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Benjamin R Saville
- Berry Consultants, TX, USA; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, TN, USA
| | | | - Philip H Evans
- College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinical Research Network, National Institute for Health Research, London, UK
| | - Nicholas P B Thomas
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinical Research Network, National Institute for Health Research, London, UK
| | - Mahendra G Patel
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Duncan Richards
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK; Oxford Clinical Trials Research Unit, Botnar Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Oliver V Hecke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | | | - Jared Robinson
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Julie Allen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Ogburn
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jenna Grabey
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Fd Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
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2
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Creswell C, Taylor L, Giles S, Howitt S, Radley L, Whitaker E, Brooks E, Knight F, Raymont V, Hill C, van Santen J, Williams N, Mort S, Harris V, Yu S, Pollard J, Violato M, Waite P, Yu LM. Digitally augmented, parent-led CBT versus treatment as usual for child anxiety problems in child mental health services in England and Northern Ireland: a pragmatic, non-inferiority, clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness randomised controlled trial. Lancet Psychiatry 2024; 11:193-209. [PMID: 38335987 DOI: 10.1016/s2215-0366(23)00429-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2023] [Revised: 12/11/2023] [Accepted: 12/12/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Anxiety problems are common in children, yet few affected children access evidence-based treatment. Digitally augmented psychological therapies bring potential to increase availability of effective help for children with mental health problems. This study aimed to establish whether therapist-supported, digitally augmented, parent-led cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) could increase the efficiency of treatment without compromising clinical effectiveness and acceptability. METHODS We conducted a pragmatic, unblinded, two-arm, multisite, randomised controlled non-inferiority trial to evaluate the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of therapist-supported, parent-led CBT using the Online Support and Intervention (OSI) for child anxiety platform compared with treatment as usual for child (aged 5-12 years) anxiety problems in 34 Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services in England and Northern Ireland. We examined acceptability of OSI plus therapist support via qualitative interviews. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to OSI plus therapist support or treatment as usual, minimised by child age, gender, service type, and baseline child anxiety interference. Outcomes were assessed at week 14 and week 26 after randomisation. The primary clinical outcome was parent-reported interference caused by child anxiety at week 26 assessment, using the Child Anxiety Impact Scale-parent report (CAIS-P). The primary measure of health economic effect was quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Outcome analyses were conducted blind in the intention-to-treat (ITT) population with a standardised non-inferiority margin of 0·33 for clinical analyses. The trial was registered with ISRCTN, 12890382. FINDINGS Between Dec 5, 2020, and Aug 3, 2022, 706 families (706 children and their parents or carers) were referred to the study information. 444 families were enrolled. Parents reported 255 (58%) child participants' gender to be female, 184 (41%) male, three (<1%) other, and one (<1%) preferred not to report their child's gender. 400 (90%) children were White and the mean age was 9·20 years (SD 1·79). 85% of families for whom clinicians provided information in the treatment as usual group received CBT. OSI plus therapist support was non-inferior for parent-reported anxiety interference on the CAIS-P (SMD 0·01, 95% CI -0·15 to 0·17; p<0·0001) and all secondary outcomes. The mean difference in QALYs across trial arms approximated to zero, and OSI plus therapist support was associated with lower costs than treatment as usual. OSI plus therapist support was likely to be cost effective under certain scenarios, but uncertainty was high. OSI plus therapist support acceptability was good. No serious adverse events were reported. INTERPRETATION Digitally augmented intervention brought promising savings without compromising outcomes and as such presents a valuable tool for increasing access to psychological therapies and meeting the demand for treatment of child anxiety problems. FUNDING Department for Health and Social Care and United Kingdom Research and Innovation Research Grant, National Institute for Health and Care (NIHR) Research Policy Research Programme, Oxford and Thames Valley NIHR Applied Research Collaboration, Oxford Health NIHR Biomedical Research Centre.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cathy Creswell
- Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - Lucy Taylor
- Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sophie Giles
- Sussex Partnership NHS Foundation Trust, Worthing, UK
| | | | - Lucy Radley
- Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emily Whitaker
- Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Brooks
- Department of Psychiatry, Warneford Hospital, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Fauzia Knight
- Centre for Psychological Sciences, University of Westminster, London, UK
| | - Vanessa Raymont
- Department of Psychiatry, Warneford Hospital, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Claire Hill
- School of Psychology & Clinical Language Sciences, University of Reading, Reading, UK
| | - James van Santen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Nicola Williams
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sam Mort
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Shuye Yu
- Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jack Pollard
- Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mara Violato
- Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Polly Waite
- Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Standing JF, Buggiotti L, Guerra-Assuncao JA, Woodall M, Ellis S, Agyeman AA, Miller C, Okechukwu M, Kirkpatrick E, Jacobs AI, Williams CA, Roy S, Martin-Bernal LM, Williams R, Smith CM, Sanderson T, Ashford FB, Emmanuel B, Afzal ZM, Shields A, Richter AG, Dorward J, Gbinigie O, Van Hecke O, Lown M, Francis N, Jani B, Richards DB, Rahman NM, Yu LM, Thomas NPB, Hart ND, Evans P, Andersson M, Hayward G, Hood K, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Little P, Hobbs FDR, Khoo S, Butler C, Lowe DM, Breuer J. Randomized controlled trial of molnupiravir SARS-CoV-2 viral and antibody response in at-risk adult outpatients. Nat Commun 2024; 15:1652. [PMID: 38396069 PMCID: PMC10891158 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45641-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2023] [Accepted: 01/26/2024] [Indexed: 02/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Viral clearance, antibody response and the mutagenic effect of molnupiravir has not been elucidated in at-risk populations. Non-hospitalised participants within 5 days of SARS-CoV-2 symptoms randomised to receive molnupiravir (n = 253) or Usual Care (n = 324) were recruited to study viral and antibody dynamics and the effect of molnupiravir on viral whole genome sequence from 1437 viral genomes. Molnupiravir accelerates viral load decline, but virus is detectable by Day 5 in most cases. At Day 14 (9 days post-treatment), molnupiravir is associated with significantly higher viral persistence and significantly lower anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody titres compared to Usual Care. Serial sequencing reveals increased mutagenesis with molnupiravir treatment. Persistence of detectable viral RNA at Day 14 in the molnupiravir group is associated with higher transition mutations following treatment cessation. Viral viability at Day 14 is similar in both groups with post-molnupiravir treated samples cultured up to 9 days post cessation of treatment. The current 5-day molnupiravir course is too short. Longer courses should be tested to reduce the risk of potentially transmissible molnupiravir-mutated variants being generated. Trial registration: ISRCTN30448031.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joseph F Standing
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK.
- Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children NHS Trust, London, UK.
| | - Laura Buggiotti
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Jose Afonso Guerra-Assuncao
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Maximillian Woodall
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Samuel Ellis
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Akosua A Agyeman
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Charles Miller
- Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Mercy Okechukwu
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Emily Kirkpatrick
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Amy I Jacobs
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Charlotte A Williams
- Genetics and Genomic Medicine Department, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Sunando Roy
- Genetics and Genomic Medicine Department, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Luz M Martin-Bernal
- Genetics and Genomic Medicine Department, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Rachel Williams
- Genetics and Genomic Medicine Department, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Claire M Smith
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Fiona B Ashford
- Clinical Immunology Service, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Beena Emmanuel
- Clinical Immunology Service, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Zaheer M Afzal
- Clinical Immunology Service, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Adrian Shields
- Clinical Immunology Service, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Alex G Richter
- Clinical Immunology Service, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Oghenekome Gbinigie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Oliver Van Hecke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mark Lown
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Nick Francis
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Bhautesh Jani
- School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Duncan B Richards
- Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Najib M Rahman
- Respiratory Trials Unit and Oxford NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Nigel D Hart
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences. Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Philip Evans
- APEx (Exeter Collaboration for Academic Primary Care), University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK
- National Institute of Health and Care Research, Clinical Research Network, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | | | - Gail Hayward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Kerenza Hood
- Centre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Wales, UK
| | | | - Paul Little
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - F D Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Saye Khoo
- Department of Pharmacology, University of Liverpool and Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
| | - Christopher Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - David M Lowe
- Department of Clinical Immunology, Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Institute of Immunity and Transplantation, University College London, London, UK
| | - Judith Breuer
- Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, UK
- Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children NHS Trust, London, UK
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Toader AM, Campbell MK, Quint JK, Robling M, Sydes MR, Thorn J, Wright-Hughes A, Yu LM, Abbott TEF, Bond S, Caskey FJ, Clout M, Collinson M, Copsey B, Davies G, Driscoll T, Gamble C, Griffin XL, Hamborg T, Harris J, Harrison DA, Harji D, Henderson EJ, Logan P, Love SB, Magee LA, O'Brien A, Pufulete M, Ramnarayan P, Saratzis A, Smith J, Solis-Trapala I, Stubbs C, Farrin A, Williamson P. Using healthcare systems data for outcomes in clinical trials: issues to consider at the design stage. Trials 2024; 25:94. [PMID: 38287428 PMCID: PMC10823676 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-024-07926-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2023] [Accepted: 01/12/2024] [Indexed: 01/31/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Healthcare system data (HSD) are increasingly used in clinical trials, augmenting or replacing traditional methods of collecting outcome data. This study, PRIMORANT, set out to identify, in the UK context, issues to be considered before the decision to use HSD for outcome data in a clinical trial is finalised, a methodological question prioritised by the clinical trials community. METHODS The PRIMORANT study had three phases. First, an initial workshop was held to scope the issues faced by trialists when considering whether to use HSDs for trial outcomes. Second, a consultation exercise was undertaken with clinical trials unit (CTU) staff, trialists, methodologists, clinicians, funding panels and data providers. Third, a final discussion workshop was held, at which the results of the consultation were fed back, case studies presented, and issues considered in small breakout groups. RESULTS Key topics included in the consultation process were the validity of outcome data, timeliness of data capture, internal pilots, data-sharing, practical issues, and decision-making. A majority of consultation respondents (n = 78, 95%) considered the development of guidance for trialists to be feasible. Guidance was developed following the discussion workshop, for the five broad areas of terminology, feasibility, internal pilots, onward data sharing, and data archiving. CONCLUSIONS We provide guidance to inform decisions about whether or not to use HSDs for outcomes, and if so, to assist trialists in working with registries and other HSD providers to improve the design and delivery of trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alice-Maria Toader
- MRC-NIHR Trials Methodology Research Partnership, Department of Health Data Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
| | - Marion K Campbell
- Health Services Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB25 2ZD, UK
| | - Jennifer K Quint
- School of Public Health &, National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Michael Robling
- Centre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, CF14 4YS, UK
| | - Matthew R Sydes
- MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK
- BHF Data Science Centre, Health Data Research UK, London, UK
| | - Joanna Thorn
- Health Economics Bristol, Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Alexandra Wright-Hughes
- Clinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research,, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Oxford Primary Care CTU, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Tom E F Abbott
- William Harvey Research Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, EC1M 6BQ, UK
| | - Simon Bond
- Cambridge Clinical Trials Unit, Cambridge, UK
| | - Fergus J Caskey
- BHF Data Science Centre, Health Data Research UK, London, UK
| | - Madeleine Clout
- Bristol Trials Centre, Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2PS, UK
| | - Michelle Collinson
- Clinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research,, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
| | - Bethan Copsey
- Clinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research,, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
| | - Gwyneth Davies
- UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, WC1N 1EH, UK
| | | | - Carrol Gamble
- Liverpool Clinical Trials Centre, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Xavier L Griffin
- Barts Bone and Joint Health, Blizard Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Thomas Hamborg
- Pragmatic Clinical Trials Unit, Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, London, E1 2AB, UK
| | - Jessica Harris
- Bristol Trials Centre, Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2PS, UK
| | | | - Deena Harji
- Clinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research,, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Emily J Henderson
- Ageing and Movement Research Group, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
- Older People's Unit, Royal United Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Pip Logan
- School of Medicine, University of Nottingham and Nottingham City Care Partnership, Nottingham, UK
| | - Sharon B Love
- MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, UK
| | - Laura A Magee
- Department of Women and Children's Health, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Alastair O'Brien
- Division of Medicine, UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Campus, Upper 3Rd FloorRowland Hill Street, London, NW3 2PF, UK
| | - Maria Pufulete
- Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2PS, UK
| | | | - Athanasios Saratzis
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Jo Smith
- Keele Clinical Trials Unit, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK
| | - Ivonne Solis-Trapala
- Keele Clinical Trials Unit, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK
| | - Clive Stubbs
- Birmingham Clinical Trials Unit (BCTU), Institute of Applied Health Research College of Medical and Dental Sciences, The University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK
| | - Amanda Farrin
- Clinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research,, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK
| | - Paula Williamson
- MRC-NIHR Trials Methodology Research Partnership, Department of Health Data Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
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5
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Farmer AJ, Allen J, Bartlett YK, Bower P, Chi Y, French DP, Gudgin B, Holmes E, Horne R, Hughes DA, Jones L, Kenning C, Locock L, McSharry J, Miles L, Newhouse N, Rea R, Robinson S, Tarassenko L, Velardo C, Williams N, Yu LM. Supporting people with type 2 diabetes in effective use of their medicine through mobile health technology integrated with clinical care (SuMMiT-D pilot): results of a feasibility randomised trial. Pilot Feasibility Stud 2024; 10:15. [PMID: 38273420 PMCID: PMC10809651 DOI: 10.1186/s40814-023-01429-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2023] [Accepted: 12/19/2023] [Indexed: 01/27/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The purpose of this 6-month intervention pilot feasibility randomised trial was to test sending brief messages using mobile phones to promote self-management through taking medication as prescribed to people with type 2 diabetes. This was to inform the design and conduct of a future large-scale United Kingdom-based clinical trial and establish the feasibility of recruitment, the technology used, follow-up, and data collection. METHODS A multicentre individually randomised, controlled parallel group trial in primary care, recruiting adults (≥ 35 years) with type 2 diabetes in England. Consenting participants were randomly allocated to receive short message system text messages up to four times a week, or usual care, for a period of 6 months; messages contained behavioural change techniques targeting medication use. The primary outcome was the rate of recruitment to randomisation of participants to the trial with a planned rate of 22 participants randomised per month. The study also aimed to establish the feasibility of follow-up at 6 months, with an aim of retaining more than 80% of participants. Data, including patient-reported measures, were collected at baseline and the end of the 6-month follow-up period, and a notes review was completed at 24 months. RESULTS The trial took place between 26 November 2018 and 30 September 2019. In total 209 participants were randomly allocated to intervention (n = 103) or usual care (n = 106). The maximum rate of monthly recruitment to the trial was 60-80 participants per month. In total, 12,734 messages were sent to participants. Of these messages, 47 were identified as having failed to be sent by the service provider. Participants sent 2,864 messages to the automated messaging system. Baseline data from medical records were available for > 90% of participants with the exception of cholesterol (78.9%). At 6 months, a further HbA1c measurement was reported for 67% of participants. In total medical record data were available at 6 months for 207 (99.0%) of participants and completed self-report data were available for 177 (84.7%) of participants. CONCLUSION The feasibility of a large-scale randomised evaluation of brief message intervention for people with type 2 diabetes appears to be high using this efficient design. Failure rate of sending messages is low, rapid recruitment was achieved among people with type 2 diabetes, clinical data is available on participants from routine medical records and self-report of economic measures was acceptable. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISCTRN ISRCTN13404264. Registered on 10 October 2018.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew J Farmer
- University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK.
| | | | | | | | - Yuan Chi
- University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Lisa Miles
- University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Rustam Rea
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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6
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Png ME, Harris V, Grabey J, Hart ND, Jani BD, Butler D, Carson-Stevens A, Coates M, Cureton L, Dobson M, Dorward J, Evans P, Francis N, Gbinigie OA, Hayward G, Holmes J, Hood K, Khoo S, Ahmed H, Lown M, Mckenna M, Mort S, Nguyen-Van-Tam J, Rahman N, Richards DB, Thomas N, van Hecke O, Hobbs FR, Little P, Yu LM, Butler CC, Petrou S. Cost-utility analysis of molnupiravir plus usual care versus usual care alone as early treatment for community-based adults with COVID-19 and increased risk of adverse outcomes in the UK PANORAMIC trial. Br J Gen Pract 2024:BJGP.2023.0444. [PMID: 38228357 DOI: 10.3399/bjgp.2023.0444] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2023] [Accepted: 11/20/2023] [Indexed: 01/18/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The cost-effectiveness of molnupiravir, an oral antiviral for early treatment of SARS-CoV-2, has not been established in vaccinated populations. AIM To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of molnupiravir relative to usual care alone among mainly vaccinated community-based people at higher risk of severe outcomes from COVID-19 over six months. DESIGN AND SETTING Economic evaluation of the PANORAMIC trial in the UK. METHOD A cost-utility analysis that adopted a UK National Health Service and personal social services perspective and a six-month time horizon was performed using PANORAMIC trial data. Cost-effectiveness was expressed in terms of incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses assessed the impacts of uncertainty and heterogeneity. Threshold analysis explored the price for molnupiravir consistent with likely reimbursement. RESULTS In the base case analysis, molnupiravir had higher mean costs of £449 (95% confidence interval [CI] 445 to 453) and higher mean QALYs of 0.0055 (95% CI 0.004 to 0.007) than usual care (mean incremental cost per QALY of £81190). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses showed similar results, except those aged ≥75 years with a 55% probability of being cost-effective at a £30000 per QALY threshold. Molnupiravir would have to be priced around £147 per course to be cost-effective at a £15000 per QALY threshold. CONCLUSION Molnupiravir at the current cost of £513 per course is unlikely to be cost-effective relative to usual care over a six-month time horizon among mainly vaccinated COVID-19 patients at increased risk of adverse outcomes, except those aged ≥75 years.
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Affiliation(s)
- May Ee Png
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Victoria Harris
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Jenna Grabey
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Nigel David Hart
- Queen's University Belfast, Centre for Medical Education, Belfast, United Kingdom
| | - Bhautesh Dinesh Jani
- University of Glasgow College of Medical Veterinary and Life Sciences, Institute of Health and wellbeing, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Daniel Butler
- Queen's University Belfast, Centre for Medical Education, Belfast, United Kingdom
| | - Andrew Carson-Stevens
- Cardiff University, Division of Population Medicine, School of Medicine, Cardiff, United Kingdom
| | - Maria Coates
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy Cureton
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Melissa Dobson
- University of Oxford, Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Jienchi Dorward
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
- University of KwaZulu-Natal, Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), Durban, South Africa
| | - Philip Evans
- University of Exeter, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Exeter, United Kingdom
- University of Leeds, National Institute of Health and Care Research (NIHR) Clinical Research Network (CRN), Leeds, United Kingdom
| | - Nick Francis
- University of Southampton, Primary Care Research Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom
| | | | - Gail Hayward
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Jane Holmes
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Kerenza Hood
- Cardiff University, Centre for Trials Research, Cardiff, United Kingdom
| | - Saye Khoo
- University of Liverpool, Department of Pharmacology, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Haroon Ahmed
- Cardiff University, Division of Population Medicine, School of Medicine, Cardiff, United Kingdom
| | - Mark Lown
- University of Southampton, Primary Care Research Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom
| | - Micheal Mckenna
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Sam Mort
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | | | - Najib Rahman
- University of Oxford, Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, Oxford, United Kingdom
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, United Kingdom
- University of Oxford, Chinese Academy of Medicine Oxford Institute, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Duncan B Richards
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Nicholas Thomas
- Windrush Medical Practice, Witney, United Kingdom
- National Institute for Health and Care Research Applied Research Collaboration Oxford and Thames Valley, Oxford, United Kingdom
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, United Kingdom
| | - Oliver van Hecke
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Fd Richard Hobbs
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Paul Little
- University of Southampton, Primary Care Research Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Christopher C Butler
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Stavros Petrou
- University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford, United Kingdom
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7
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Armstrong S, Pattinson J, Siriwardena AN, Kyle SD, Bower P, Yu LM, Yang Y, Ogburn E, Begum N, Maurer L, Robinson B, Gardner C, Lee V, Gavriloff D, Espie CA, Aveyard P. Nurse-delivered sleep restriction therapy in primary care for adults with insomnia disorder: a mixed-methods process evaluation. Br J Gen Pract 2024; 74:e34-e40. [PMID: 38154945 PMCID: PMC10756002 DOI: 10.3399/bjgp.2023.0162] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2023] [Accepted: 07/14/2023] [Indexed: 12/30/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Sleep restriction therapy (SRT) is a behavioural therapy for insomnia. AIM To conduct a process evaluation of a randomised controlled trial comparing SRT delivered by primary care nurses plus a sleep hygiene booklet with the sleep hygiene booklet only for adults with insomnia disorder. DESIGN AND SETTING A mixed-methods process evaluation in a general practice setting. METHOD Semi-structured interviews were conducted in a purposive sample of patients receiving SRT, the practice nurses who delivered the therapy, and also GPs or practice managers at the participating practices. Qualitative data were explored using framework analysis, and integrated with nurse comments and quantitative data, including baseline Insomnia Severity Index score and serial sleep efficiency outcomes to investigate the relationships between these. RESULTS In total, 16 patients, 13 nurses, six practice managers, and one GP were interviewed. Patients had no previous experience of behavioural therapy, needed flexible appointment times, and preferred face-to-face consultations; nurses felt prepared to deliver SRT, accommodating patient concerns, tailoring therapy, and negotiating sleep timings despite treatment complexity and delays between training and intervention delivery. How the intervention produced change was explored, including patient and nurse interactions and patient responses to SRT. Difficulties maintaining SRT, negative attitudes towards treatment, and low self-efficacy were highlighted. Contextual factors, including freeing GP time, time constraints, and conflicting priorities for nurses, with suggestions for alternative delivery options, were raised. Participants who found SRT a positive process showed improvements in sleep efficiency, whereas those who struggled did not. CONCLUSION SRT was successfully delivered by practice nurses and was generally well received by patients, despite some difficulties delivering and applying the intervention in practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stephanie Armstrong
- Community and Health Research Unit, School of Health and Social Care, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK
| | - Julie Pattinson
- Community and Health Research Unit, School of Health and Social Care, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK
| | | | - Simon D Kyle
- Sleep and Circadian Neuroscience Institute, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Peter Bower
- National Institute for Health and Care Research School for Primary Care Research, Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Yaling Yang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Ogburn
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Nargis Begum
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Barbara Robinson
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Caroline Gardner
- Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Victoria Lee
- Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Dimitri Gavriloff
- Sleep and Circadian Neuroscience Institute, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Colin A Espie
- Sleep and Circadian Neuroscience Institute, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Paul Aveyard
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Freeman D, Freeman J, Rovira A, Miguel AL, Ward R, Bousfield M, Riffiod L, Leal J, Kabir T, Yu LM, Beckwith H, Waite F, Rosebrock L. Randomised controlled trial of automated VR therapy to improve positive self-beliefs and psychological well-being in young people diagnosed with psychosis: a study protocol for the Phoenix VR self-confidence therapy trial. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e076559. [PMID: 38149422 PMCID: PMC10711910 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2023] [Accepted: 11/08/2023] [Indexed: 12/28/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The confidence of young people diagnosed with psychosis is often low. Positive self-beliefs may be few and negative self-beliefs many. A sense of defeat and failure is common. Young people often withdraw from many aspects of everyday life. Psychological well-being is lowered. Psychological techniques can improve self-confidence, but a shortage of therapists means that very few patients ever receive such help. Virtual reality (VR) offers a potential route out of this impasse. By including a virtual coach, treatment can be automated. As such, delivery of effective therapy is no longer reliant on the availability of therapists. With young people with lived experience, we have developed a staff-assisted automated VR therapy to improve positive self-beliefs (Phoenix). The treatment is based on established cognitive behavioural therapy and positive psychology techniques. A case series indicates that this approach may lead to large improvements in positive self-beliefs and psychological well-being. We now aim to conduct the first randomised controlled evaluation of Phoenix VR. METHODS AND ANALYSIS 80 patients with psychosis, aged between 16 and 30 years old and with low levels of positive self-beliefs, will be recruited from National Health Service (NHS) secondary care services. They will be randomised (1:1) to the Phoenix VR self-confidence therapy added to treatment as usual or treatment as usual. Assessments will be conducted at 0, 6 (post-treatment) and 12 weeks by a researcher blind to allocation. The primary outcome is positive self-beliefs at 6 weeks rated with the Oxford Positive Self Scale. The secondary outcomes are psychiatric symptoms, activity levels and quality of life. All main analyses will be intention to treat. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION The trial has received ethical approval from the NHS Health Research Authority (22/LO/0273). A key output will be a high-quality VR treatment for patients to improve self-confidence and psychological well-being. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ISRCTN10250113.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Jason Freeman
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Aitor Rovira
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Rupert Ward
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Matthew Bousfield
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ludovic Riffiod
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jose Leal
- Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Population Health, Oxford, UK
| | - Thomas Kabir
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Helen Beckwith
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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9
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van der Velden AW, Shanyinde M, Bongard E, Böhmer F, Chlabicz S, Colliers A, García-Sangenís A, Malania L, Pauer J, Tomacinschii A, Yu LM, Loens K, Ieven M, Verheij TJ, Goossens H, Vellinga A, Butler CC. Clinical diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection: An observational study of respiratory tract infection in primary care in the early phase of the pandemic. Eur J Gen Pract 2023; 29:2270707. [PMID: 37870070 PMCID: PMC10990254 DOI: 10.1080/13814788.2023.2270707] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2022] [Accepted: 10/04/2023] [Indexed: 10/24/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, GPs had to distinguish SARS-CoV-2 from other aetiologies in patients presenting with respiratory tract infection (RTI) symptoms on clinical grounds and adapt management accordingly. OBJECTIVES To test the diagnostic accuracy of GPs' clinical diagnosis of a SARS-CoV-2 infection in a period when COVID-19 was a new disease. To describe GPs' management of patients presenting with RTI for whom no confirmed diagnosis was available. To investigate associations between patient and clinical features with a SARS-CoV-2 infection. METHODS In April 2020-March 2021, 876 patients (9 countries) were recruited when they contacted their GP with symptoms of an RTI of unknown aetiology. A swab was taken at baseline for later analysis. Aetiology (PCR), diagnostic accuracy of GPs' clinical SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis, and patient management were explored. Factors related to SARS-CoV-2 infection were determined by logistic regression modelling. RESULTS GPs suspected SARS-CoV-2 in 53% of patients whereas 27% of patients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. True-positive patients (23%) were more intensively managed for follow-up, antiviral prescribing and advice than true-negatives (42%). False negatives (5%) were under-advised, particularly for social distancing and isolation. Older age (OR: 1.02 (1.01-1.03)), male sex (OR: 1.68 (1.16-2.41)), loss of taste/smell (OR: 5.8 (3.7-9)), fever (OR: 1.9 (1.3-2.8)), muscle aches (OR: 2.1 (1.5-3)), and a known risk factor for COVID-19 (travel, health care worker, contact with proven case; OR: 2.7 (1.8-4)) were predictive of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Absence of loss of taste/smell, fever, muscle aches and a known risk factor for COVID-19 correctly excluded SARS-CoV-2 in 92.3% of patients, whereas presence of 3, or 4 of these variables correctly classified SARS-CoV-2 in 57.7% and 87.1%. CONCLUSION Correct clinical diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection, without POC-testing available, appeared to be complicated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alike W. van der Velden
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Milensu Shanyinde
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emily Bongard
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Femke Böhmer
- Institute of General Practice, Rostock University Medical Center, Rostock, Germany
| | - Slawomir Chlabicz
- Department of Family Medicine, Medical University of Bialystok, Bialystok, Poland
| | - Annelies Colliers
- Department of Family Medicine & Population Health, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Ana García-Sangenís
- Institut Universitari d‘Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Lile Malania
- National Center for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi and Arner Science Management LLC, Tbilisi, Georgia
| | | | - Angela Tomacinschii
- University Clinic of Primary Medical Assistance of State University of Medicine and Pharmacy “N. Testemițanu”, Chişinǎu, The Republic of Moldova
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Katherine Loens
- Laboratory of Medical Microbiology, Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Margareta Ieven
- Laboratory of Medical Microbiology, Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Theo J. Verheij
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Herman Goossens
- Laboratory of Medical Microbiology, Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Akke Vellinga
- School of Public Health, Physiotherapy and Sports Science, University College Dublin (UCD), Dublin, Ireland
| | - Christopher C. Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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10
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Hill M, Iro M, Sadarangani M, Absoud M, Cantrell L, Chong K, Clark C, Easton A, Gray V, Kneen R, Lim M, Liu X, Pike M, Solomon T, Vincent A, Willis L, Yu LM, Pollard AJ. Intravenous immunoglobulin treatment in childhood encephalitis (IgNiTE): a randomised controlled trial. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e072134. [PMID: 37945292 PMCID: PMC10649701 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-072134] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2023] [Accepted: 09/29/2023] [Indexed: 11/12/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate whether intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) improves neurological outcomes in children with encephalitis when administered early in the illness. DESIGN Phase 3b multicentre, double-blind, randomised placebo-controlled trial. SETTING Twenty-one hospitals in the UK. PARTICIPANTS Children aged 6 months to 16 years with a diagnosis of acute or subacute encephalitis, with a planned sample size of 308. INTERVENTION Two doses (1 g/kg/dose) of either IVIG or matching placebo given 24-36 hours apart, in addition to standard treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE The primary outcome was a 'good recovery' at 12 months after randomisation, defined as a score of≤2 on the Paediatric Glasgow Outcome Score Extended. SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES The secondary outcomes were clinical, neurological, neuroimaging and neuropsychological results, identification of the proportion of children with immune-mediated encephalitis, and IVIG safety data. RESULTS 18 participants were recruited from 12 hospitals and randomised to receive either IVIG (n=10) or placebo (n=8) between 23 December 2015 and 26 September 2017. The study was terminated early following withdrawal of funding due to slower than anticipated recruitment, and therefore did not reach the predetermined sample size required to achieve the primary study objective; thus, the results are descriptive. At 12 months after randomisation, 9 of the 18 participants (IVIG n=5/10 (50%), placebo n=4/8 (50%)) made a good recovery and 5 participants (IVIG n=3/10 (30%), placebo n=2/8 (25%)) made a poor recovery. Three participants (IVIG n=1/10 (10%), placebo n=2/8 (25%)) had a new diagnosis of epilepsy during the study period. Two participants were found to have specific autoantibodies associated with autoimmune encephalitis. No serious adverse events were reported in participants receiving IVIG. CONCLUSIONS The IgNiTE (ImmunoglobuliN in the Treatment of Encephalitis) study findings support existing evidence of poor neurological outcomes in children with encephalitis. However, the study was halted prematurely and was therefore underpowered to evaluate the effect of early IVIG treatment compared with placebo in childhood encephalitis. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER Clinical Trials.gov NCT02308982; ICRCTN registry ISRCTN15791925.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matilda Hill
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mildred Iro
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Manish Sadarangani
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Vaccine Evaluation Center, BC Children's Hospital Research Institute, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- Department of Pediatrics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Michael Absoud
- Children's Neurosciences, Evelina London Children's Hospital Neurosciences Department, London, UK
- Department of Womens and Childrens Health, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Liberty Cantrell
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Kling Chong
- UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK
| | | | - Ava Easton
- The Encephalitis Society, Malton, North Yorkshire, UK
- Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Victoria Gray
- Clinical Health Psychology, Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
| | - Rachel Kneen
- Department of Neurology, Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Ming Lim
- Children's Neurosciences, Evelina London Children's Hospital Neurosciences Department, London, UK
- Department of Womens and Childrens Health, Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Xinxue Liu
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Michael Pike
- Department of Paediatric Neurology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Tom Solomon
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging Zoonotic Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- Walton Centre NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
- The Pandemic Institute, Liverpool, UK
| | - Angela Vincent
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Weatherall Institute of Molecular Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Louise Willis
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew J Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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11
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Freeman D, Lister R, Waite F, Galal U, Yu LM, Lambe S, Beckley A, Bold E, Jenner L, Diamond R, Kirkham M, Twivy E, Causier C, Carr L, Saidel S, Day R, Beacco A, Rovira A, Ivins A, Nah R, Slater M, Clark DM, Rosebrock L. Automated virtual reality cognitive therapy versus virtual reality mental relaxation therapy for the treatment of persistent persecutory delusions in patients with psychosis (THRIVE): a parallel-group, single-blind, randomised controlled trial in England with mediation analyses. Lancet Psychiatry 2023; 10:836-847. [PMID: 37742702 DOI: 10.1016/s2215-0366(23)00257-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2023] [Revised: 07/12/2023] [Accepted: 07/14/2023] [Indexed: 09/26/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Persecutory delusions are a major psychiatric problem that often do not respond sufficiently to standard pharmacological or psychological treatments. We developed a new brief automated virtual reality (VR) cognitive treatment that has the potential to be used easily in clinical services. We aimed to compare VR cognitive therapy with an alternative VR therapy (mental relaxation), with an emphasis on understanding potential mechanisms of action. METHODS THRIVE was a parallel-group, single-blind, randomised controlled trial across four UK National Health Service trusts in England. Participants were included if they were aged 16 years or older, had a persistent (at least 3 months) persecutory delusion held with at least 50% conviction, reported feeling threatened when outside with other people, and had a primary diagnosis from the referring clinical team of a non-affective psychotic disorder. We randomly assigned (1:1) patients to either THRIVE VR cognitive therapy or VR mental relaxation, using a permuted blocks algorithm with randomly varying block size, stratified by severity of delusion. Usual care continued for all participants. Each VR therapy was provided in four sessions over approximately 4 weeks, supported by an assistant psychologist or clinical psychologist. Trial assessors were masked to group allocation. Outcomes were assessed at 0, 2 (therapy mid-point), 4 (primary endpoint, end of treatment), 8, 16, and 24 weeks. The primary outcome was persecutory delusion conviction, assessed by the Psychotic Symptoms Rating Scale (PSYRATS; rated 0-100%). Outcome analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population. We assessed the treatment credibility and expectancy of the interventions and the two mechanisms (defence behaviours and safety beliefs) that the cognitive intervention was designed to target. This trial is prospectively registered with the ISRCTN registry, ISRCTN12497310. FINDINGS From Sept 21, 2018, to May 13, 2021 (with a pause due to COVID-19 pandemic restrictions from March 16, 2020, to Sept 14, 2020), we recruited 80 participants with persistent persecutory delusions (49 [61%] men, 31 [39%] women, with a mean age of 40 years [SD 13, range 18-73], 64 [80%] White, six [8%] Black, one [1%] Indian, three [4%] Pakistani, and six [8%] other race or ethnicity). We randomly assigned 39 (49%) participants assigned to VR cognitive therapy and 41 (51%) participants to VR mental relaxation. 33 (85%) participants who were assigned to VR cognitive therapy attended all four sessions, and 35 (85%) participants assigned to VR mental relaxation attended all four sessions. We found no significant differences between the two VR interventions in participant ratings of treatment credibility (adjusted mean difference -1·55 [95% CI -3·68 to 0·58]; p=0·15) and outcome expectancy (-0·91 [-3·42 to 1·61]; p=0·47). 77 (96%) participants provided follow-up data at the primary timepoint. Compared with VR mental relaxation, VR cognitive therapy did not lead to a greater improvement in persecutory delusions (adjusted mean difference -2·16 [-12·77 to 8·44]; p=0·69). Compared with VR mental relaxation, VR cognitive therapy did not lead to a greater reduction in use of defence behaviours (adjusted mean difference -0·71 [-4·21 to 2·79]; p=0·69) or a greater increase in belief in safety (-5·89 [-16·83 to 5·05]; p=0·29). There were 17 serious adverse events unrelated to the trial (ten events in seven participants in the VR cognitive therapy group and seven events in five participants in the VR mental relaxation group). INTERPRETATION The two VR interventions performed similarly, despite the fact that they had been designed to affect different mechanisms. Both interventions had high uptake rates and were associated with large improvements in persecutory delusions but it cannot be determined that the treatments accounted for the change. Immersive technologies hold promise for the treatment of severe mental health problems. However, their use will likely benefit from experimental research on the application of different therapeutic techniques and the effects on a range of potential mechanisms of action. FUNDING Medical Research Council Developmental Pathway Funding Scheme and National Institute for Health and Care Research Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK.
| | - Rachel Lister
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Black Country Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Dudley, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sinéad Lambe
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ariane Beckley
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emily Bold
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Lucy Jenner
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rowan Diamond
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Miriam Kirkham
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Eve Twivy
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Chiara Causier
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Lydia Carr
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Simone Saidel
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rebecca Day
- Northamptonshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Kettering, UK
| | - Alejandro Beacco
- Event Lab, Faculty of Psychology Spain, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Aitor Rovira
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Annabel Ivins
- Northamptonshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Kettering, UK
| | - Ryan Nah
- Northamptonshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Kettering, UK; Central and North West London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Mel Slater
- Event Lab, Faculty of Psychology Spain, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Institute of Neurosciences, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - David M Clark
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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12
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Kyle SD, Siriwardena AN, Espie CA, Yang Y, Petrou S, Ogburn E, Begum N, Maurer LF, Robinson B, Gardner C, Lee V, Armstrong S, Pattinson J, Mort S, Temple E, Harris V, Yu LM, Bower P, Aveyard P. Clinical and cost-effectiveness of nurse-delivered sleep restriction therapy for insomnia in primary care (HABIT): a pragmatic, superiority, open-label, randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2023; 402:975-987. [PMID: 37573859 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(23)00683-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2022] [Revised: 02/22/2023] [Accepted: 03/28/2023] [Indexed: 08/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Insomnia is prevalent and distressing but access to the first-line treatment, cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT), is extremely limited. We aimed to assess the clinical and cost-effectiveness of sleep restriction therapy, a key component of CBT, which has the potential to be widely implemented. METHODS We did a pragmatic, superiority, open-label, randomised controlled trial of sleep restriction therapy versus sleep hygiene. Adults with insomnia disorder were recruited from 35 general practices across England and randomly assigned (1:1) using a web-based randomisation programme to either four sessions of nurse-delivered sleep restriction therapy plus a sleep hygiene booklet or a sleep hygiene booklet only. There was no restriction on usual care for either group. Outcomes were assessed at 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months. The primary endpoint was self-reported insomnia severity at 6 months measured with the insomnia severity index (ISI). The primary analysis included participants according to their allocated group and who contributed at least one outcome measurement. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated from the UK National Health Service and personal social services perspective and expressed in terms of incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. The trial was prospectively registered (ISRCTN42499563). FINDINGS Between Aug 29, 2018, and March 23, 2020 we randomly assigned 642 participants to sleep restriction therapy (n=321) or sleep hygiene (n=321). Mean age was 55·4 years (range 19-88), with 489 (76·2%) participants being female and 153 (23·8%) being male. 580 (90·3%) participants provided data for at least one outcome measurement. At 6 months, mean ISI score was 10·9 (SD 5·5) for sleep restriction therapy and 13·9 (5·2) for sleep hygiene (adjusted mean difference -3·05, 95% CI -3·83 to -2·28; p<0·0001; Cohen's d -0·74), indicating that participants in the sleep restriction therapy group reported lower insomnia severity than the sleep hygiene group. The incremental cost per QALY gained was £2076, giving a 95·3% probability that treatment was cost-effective at a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20 000. Eight participants in each group had serious adverse events, none of which were judged to be related to intervention. INTERPRETATION Brief nurse-delivered sleep restriction therapy in primary care reduces insomnia symptoms, is likely to be cost-effective, and has the potential to be widely implemented as a first-line treatment for insomnia disorder. FUNDING The National Institute for Health and Care Research Health Technology Assessment Programme.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simon D Kyle
- Sir Jules Thorn Sleep and Circadian Neuroscience Institute, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | | | - Colin A Espie
- Sir Jules Thorn Sleep and Circadian Neuroscience Institute, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Yaling Yang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Stavros Petrou
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Ogburn
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Nargis Begum
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Barbara Robinson
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Caroline Gardner
- NIHR School for Primary Care Research, Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Victoria Lee
- NIHR School for Primary Care Research, Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Julie Pattinson
- School of Health and Social Care, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK
| | - Sam Mort
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Eleanor Temple
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Peter Bower
- NIHR School for Primary Care Research, Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Paul Aveyard
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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13
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Armitage KF, Porter CE, Ahmed S, Cook J, Boards J, Bongard E, Butler CC, Corfield K, Davoudianfar M, Galal U, Howard P, Mujica-Mota R, Saman R, Santillo M, Savic S, Shinkins B, Tonkin-Crine S, Wanat M, West RM, Yu LM, Pavitt S, Sandoe JAT. Penicillin allergy status and its effect on antibiotic prescribing, patient outcomes and antimicrobial resistance (ALABAMA): protocol for a multicentre, parallel-arm, open-label, randomised pragmatic trial. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e072253. [PMID: 37666558 PMCID: PMC10481831 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-072253] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2023] [Accepted: 07/07/2023] [Indexed: 09/06/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Incorrect penicillin allergy records are recognised as an important barrier to the safe treatment of infection and affect an estimated 2.7 million people in England. Penicillin allergy records are associated with worse health outcome and antimicrobial resistance. The ALlergy AntiBiotics And Microbial resistAnce (ALABAMA) trial aims to determine if an intervention package, centred around a penicillin allergy assessment pathway (PAAP) initiated in primary care, is safe and effective in improving patient health outcomes and antibiotic prescribing. METHODS AND ANALYSIS The ALABAMA trial is a multicentre, parallel-arm, open-label, randomised pragmatic trial with a nested pilot study. Adults (≥18 years) with a penicillin allergy record and who have received antibiotics in the previous 24 months will be eligible for participation. Between 1592 and 2090 participants will be recruited from participating National Health Service general practices in England. Participants will be randomised to either usual care or intervention to undergo a pre-emptive PAAP using a 1:1 allocation ratio. The primary outcome measure is the percentage of treatment response failures within 28 days of an index prescription. 2090 and 1592 participants are estimated to provide 90% and 80% power, respectively, to detect a clinically important absolute difference of 7.9% in primary outcome at 1 year between groups. The trial includes a mixed-methods process evaluation and cost-effectiveness evaluation. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION This trial has been approved by London Bridge Research Ethics Committee (ref: 19/LO/0176). It will be conducted in compliance with Good Clinical Practice guidelines according to the Declaration of Helsinki. Informed consent will be obtained from all subjects involved in the study. The primary trial results will be submitted for publication to an international, peer-reviewed journal. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN20579216.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kelsey Fiona Armitage
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Catherine E Porter
- Dental Translational and Clinical Research Unit, School of Dentistry, University of Leeds, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
| | - Shadia Ahmed
- Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Leeds Institute of Medical Research, School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Johanna Cook
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jenny Boards
- Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Emily Bongard
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Kate Corfield
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mina Davoudianfar
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Philip Howard
- School of Healthcare, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- NHS England, Leeds, UK
| | - Ruben Mujica-Mota
- Academic Unit of Health Economics, Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Razan Saman
- Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Marta Santillo
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sinisa Savic
- Clinical Immunology and Allergy, University of Leeds Leeds Institute of Medical Research at St James's, Leeds, UK
| | - Bethany Shinkins
- Academic Unit of Health Economics, Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Sarah Tonkin-Crine
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Marta Wanat
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Robert M West
- Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sue Pavitt
- Dental Translational and Clinical Research Unit, School of Dentistry, University of Leeds, Leeds, West Yorkshire, UK
| | - Jonathan A T Sandoe
- Leeds Institute of Medical Research, School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
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14
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Waite F, Černis E, Kabir T, Iredale E, Johns L, Maughan D, Diamond R, Seddon R, Williams N, Yu LM, Freeman D. A targeted psychological treatment for sleep problems in young people at ultra-high risk of psychosis in England (SleepWell): a parallel group, single-blind, randomised controlled feasibility trial. Lancet Psychiatry 2023; 10:706-718. [PMID: 37562423 DOI: 10.1016/s2215-0366(23)00203-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2023] [Revised: 05/31/2023] [Accepted: 06/07/2023] [Indexed: 08/12/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Sleep disturbance is common and problematic for young people at ultra-high risk of psychosis. Sleep disruption is a contributory causal factor in the occurrence of mental health problems, including psychotic experiences, anxiety, and depression. The implication is that treating sleep problems might have additional benefits on mental health outcomes in individuals at high risk. The present study had two aims: first, to establish the feasibility and acceptability of a randomised controlled trial to treat sleep problems with the aim of reducing psychotic experiences in young people at ultra-high risk of psychosis; and second, to provide proof of concept of the clinical efficacy of the treatment. METHODS We did a parallel group, single-blind, randomised controlled feasibility trial in two National Health Service trusts in England. Eligible participants were aged 14-25 years, a patient of mental health services, assessed as being at ultra-high risk of psychosis on the Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States, and having current sleep problems (score of ≥15 on the self-report Insomnia Severity Index [ISI]). Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to either a targeted psychological therapy for sleep problems (SleepWell) plus usual care or usual care alone via an automated online system, with non-deterministic minimisation that balanced participants for ISI score and referring service. The SleepWell therapy was delivered on an individual basis in approximately eight 1-h sessions over 12 weeks. Assessments were done at 0, 3, and 9 months, with trial assessors masked to treatment allocation. The key feasibility outcomes were the numbers of patients identified, recruited, and retained, treatment uptake, and data completion. Treatment acceptability was measured with the Abbreviated Acceptability Rating Profile (AARP). In preliminary clinical assessments, the primary clinical outcome was insomnia at 3 and 9 months assessed with the ISI, reported by randomised group (intention-to-treat analysis). Safety was assessed in all randomly assigned participants. The trial was prospectively registered on ISRCTN, 85601537, and is completed. FINDINGS From Nov 18, 2020, to Jan 26, 2022, 67 young people were screened, of whom 40 (60%) at ultra-high risk of psychosis were recruited. Mean age was 16·9 years (SD 2·5; range 14-23), and most participants identified as female (n=19 [48%]) or male (n=19 [48%]) and as White (n=32 [80%]). 21 participants were randomly assigned to SleepWell therapy plus usual care and 19 to usual care alone. All participants provided data on at least one follow-up visit. 39 (98%) of 40 participants completed the primary outcome assessment at 3 and 9 months. 20 (95%) of 21 participants assigned to SleepWell therapy received the prespecified minimum treatment dose of at least four sessions. The median treatment acceptability score on the AARP was 48 (IQR 46 to 48; n=17; maximum possible score 48). At the post-intervention follow-up (3 months), compared with the usual care alone group, the SleepWell therapy group had a reduction in insomnia severity (ISI adjusted mean difference -8·12 [95% CI -11·60 to -4·63]; Cohen's d=-2·67 [95% CI -3·81 to -1·52]), which was sustained at 9 months (ISI adjusted mean difference -5·83 [-9·31 to -2·35]; Cohen's d=-1·91 [-3·06 to -0·77]). Among the 40 participants, eight adverse events were reported in six participants (two [11%] participants in the usual care group and four [19%] participants in the SleepWell therapy group). One serious adverse event involving hospital admission for a physical health problem was reported in the SleepWell therapy group, and one patient in the usual care alone group transitioned to psychosis. None of these events were classed as being related to trial treatment or procedures. INTERPRETATION A randomised controlled trial of a targeted psychological sleep therapy for young people at ultra-high risk of psychosis is feasible. Patients can be retained in the trial and assessments done by masked assessors. Uptake of the sleep therapy was high, and we found preliminary evidence of sustained reductions in sleep problems. A definitive multicentre trial is now needed. FUNDING NIHR Research for Patient Benefit and NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre.
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Affiliation(s)
- Felicity Waite
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK; Psychological Therapies Theme, NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK.
| | - Emma Černis
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Ellen Iredale
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Louise Johns
- Early Intervention in Psychosis Service, Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Daniel Maughan
- Early Intervention in Psychosis Service, Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Rowan Diamond
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Rebecca Seddon
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Nicola Williams
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Daniel Freeman
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK; Psychological Therapies Theme, NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
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15
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Gbinigie O, Ogburn E, Allen J, Dorward J, Dobson M, Madden TA, Yu LM, Lowe DM, Rahman N, Petrou S, Richards D, Hood K, Patel M, Saville BR, Marion J, Holmes J, Png ME, Hayward G, Lown M, Harris V, Jani B, Hart N, Khoo S, Rutter H, Chalk J, Standing JF, Breuer J, Lavallee L, Hadley E, Cureton L, Benysek M, Andersson MI, Francis N, Thomas NPB, Evans P, van Hecke O, Koshkouei M, Coates M, Barrett S, Bateman C, Davies J, Raymundo-Wood I, Ustianowski A, Nguyen-Van-Tam J, Carson-Stevens A, Hobbs R, Little P, Butler CC. Platform adaptive trial of novel antivirals for early treatment of COVID-19 In the community (PANORAMIC): protocol for a randomised, controlled, open-label, adaptive platform trial of community novel antiviral treatment of COVID-19 in people at increased risk of more severe disease. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e069176. [PMID: 37550022 PMCID: PMC10407406 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-069176] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2022] [Accepted: 07/03/2023] [Indexed: 08/09/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION There is an urgent need to determine the safety, effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of novel antiviral treatments for COVID-19 in vaccinated patients in the community at increased risk of morbidity and mortality from COVID-19. METHODS AND ANALYSIS PANORAMIC is a UK-wide, open-label, prospective, adaptive, multiarm platform, randomised clinical trial that evaluates antiviral treatments for COVID-19 in the community. A master protocol governs the addition of new antiviral treatments as they become available, and the introduction and cessation of existing interventions via interim analyses. The first two interventions to be evaluated are molnupiravir (Lagevrio) and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (Paxlovid). ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA community-dwelling within 5 days of onset of symptomatic COVID-19 (confirmed by PCR or lateral flow test), and either (1) aged 50 years and over, or (2) aged 18-49 years with qualifying comorbidities. Registration occurs via the trial website and by telephone. Recruitment occurs remotely through the central trial team, or in person through clinical sites. Participants are randomised to receive either usual care or a trial drug plus usual care. Outcomes are collected via a participant-completed daily electronic symptom diary for 28 days post randomisation. Participants and/or their Trial Partner are contacted by the research team after days 7, 14 and 28 if the diary is not completed, or if the participant is unable to access the diary. The primary efficacy endpoint is all-cause, non-elective hospitalisation and/or death within 28 days of randomisation. Multiple prespecified interim analyses allow interventions to be stopped for futility or superiority based on prespecified decision criteria. A prospective economic evaluation is embedded within the trial. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION Ethical approval granted by South Central-Berkshire REC number: 21/SC/0393; IRAS project ID: 1004274. Results will be presented to policymakers and at conferences, and published in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ISRCTN30448031; EudraCT number: 2021-005748-31.
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Affiliation(s)
- Oghenekome Gbinigie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Ogburn
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Julie Allen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Centre for the Aids Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Melissa Dobson
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - David M Lowe
- University College London, Institute of Immunity and Transplantation, London, UK
| | - Najib Rahman
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
- Chinese Academy of Medicine Oxford Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Stavros Petrou
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Duncan Richards
- Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences (NDORMS), University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Kerenza Hood
- Centre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
| | - Mahendra Patel
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Benjamin R Saville
- Berry Consultants, Austin, Texas, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA
| | | | - Jane Holmes
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - May Ee Png
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Gail Hayward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mark Lown
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Bhautesh Jani
- General Practice and Primary Care, School of Health and Wellbeing, MVLS, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Nigel Hart
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences - Centre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Saye Khoo
- Department of Pharmacology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Heather Rutter
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jem Chalk
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Joseph F Standing
- Infection Inflammation and Immunology, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health Population Policy and Practice, London, UK
- Department of Pharmacy, Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children, London, UK
| | - Judith Breuer
- Infection Inflammation and Immunology, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health Population Policy and Practice, London, UK
| | - Layla Lavallee
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Elizabeth Hadley
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Lucy Cureton
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Magdalena Benysek
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Monique I Andersson
- Department of Microbiology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Nick Francis
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Nicholas P B Thomas
- Windrush Medical Practice, Witney, UK
- Thames Valley and South Midlands Clinical Research Network, National Institute for Health and Care Research, Oxford, UK
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK
| | - Philip Evans
- Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
- National Institute for Health Research Clinical Research Network, London, UK
| | - Oliver van Hecke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mona Koshkouei
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Maria Coates
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sarah Barrett
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Clare Bateman
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jennifer Davies
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ivy Raymundo-Wood
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew Ustianowski
- Regional Infectious Diseases Unit, North Manchester General Hospital, Manchester, UK
| | - Jonathan Nguyen-Van-Tam
- Lifespan and Population Health Unit, University of Nottingham School of Medicine, Nottingham, UK
| | | | - Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Paul Little
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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16
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Kazmin D, Clutterbuck EA, Napolitani G, Wilkins AL, Tarlton A, Thompson AJ, Montomoli E, Lapini G, Bihari S, White R, Jones C, Snape MD, Galal U, Yu LM, Rappuoli R, Del Giudice G, Pollard AJ, Pulendran B. Memory-like innate response to booster vaccination with MF-59 adjuvanted influenza vaccine in children. NPJ Vaccines 2023; 8:100. [PMID: 37443176 DOI: 10.1038/s41541-023-00702-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2023] [Accepted: 06/29/2023] [Indexed: 07/15/2023] Open
Abstract
The pediatric population receives the majority of vaccines globally, yet there is a paucity of studies on the transcriptional response induced by immunization in this special population. In this study, we performed a systems-level analysis of immune responses to the trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine adjuvanted with MF-59 in children (15-24 months old) and in young, healthy adults. We analyzed transcriptional responses elicited by vaccination in peripheral blood, as well as cellular and antibody responses following primary and booster vaccinations. Our analysis revealed that primary vaccination induced a persistent transcriptional signature of innate immunity; booster vaccination induced a transcriptional signature of an enhanced memory-like innate response, which was consistent with enhanced activation of myeloid cells assessed by flow cytometry. Furthermore, we identified a transcriptional signature of type 1 interferon response post-booster vaccination and at baseline that was correlated with the local reactogenicity to vaccination and defined an early signature that correlated with the hemagglutinin antibody titers. These results highlight an adaptive behavior of the innate immune system in evoking a memory-like response to secondary vaccination and define molecular correlates of reactogenicity and immunogenicity in infants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dmitri Kazmin
- Institute for Immunology, Transplantation and Infection, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
| | - Elizabeth A Clutterbuck
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Giorgio Napolitani
- Medical Research Council (MRC), Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Amanda L Wilkins
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
- The Royal Children's Hospital Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Andrea Tarlton
- Medical Research Council (MRC), Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Amber J Thompson
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Emmanuele Montomoli
- VisMederi Srl, Via Fiorentina, Siena, Italy
- Department of Molecular and Developmental Medicine, University of Siena, Siena, Italy
| | | | - Smiti Bihari
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Rachel White
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Claire Jones
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Matthew D Snape
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rino Rappuoli
- GlaxoSmithKline, Siena, Italy
- Fondazione Biotecnopolo, Siena, Italy
| | | | - Andrew J Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK.
| | - Bali Pulendran
- Institute for Immunology, Transplantation and Infection, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
- Department of Pathology, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.
- Department of Pathology, and Microbiology & Immunology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
- Emory Vaccine Center, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
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17
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Nicholson BD, Oke J, Virdee PS, Harris DA, O'Doherty C, Park JE, Hamady Z, Sehgal V, Millar A, Medley L, Tonner S, Vargova M, Engonidou L, Riahi K, Luan Y, Hiom S, Kumar H, Nandani H, Kurtzman KN, Yu LM, Freestone C, Pearson S, Hobbs FR, Perera R, Middleton MR. Multi-cancer early detection test in symptomatic patients referred for cancer investigation in England and Wales (SYMPLIFY): a large-scale, observational cohort study. Lancet Oncol 2023; 24:733-743. [PMID: 37352875 DOI: 10.1016/s1470-2045(23)00277-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 28.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/25/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Analysis of circulating tumour DNA could stratify cancer risk in symptomatic patients. We aimed to evaluate the performance of a methylation-based multicancer early detection (MCED) diagnostic test in symptomatic patients referred from primary care. METHODS We did a multicentre, prospective, observational study at National Health Service (NHS) hospital sites in England and Wales. Participants aged 18 or older referred with non-specific symptoms or symptoms potentially due to gynaecological, lung, or upper or lower gastrointestinal cancers were included and gave a blood sample when they attended for urgent investigation. Participants were excluded if they had a history of or had received treatment for an invasive or haematological malignancy diagnosed within the preceding 3 years, were taking cytotoxic or demethylating agents that might interfere with the test, or had participated in another study of a GRAIL MCED test. Patients were followed until diagnostic resolution or up to 9 months. Cell-free DNA was isolated and the MCED test performed blinded to the clinical outcome. MCED predictions were compared with the diagnosis obtained by standard care to establish the primary outcomes of overall positive and negative predictive value, sensitivity, and specificity. Outcomes were assessed in participants with a valid MCED test result and diagnostic resolution. SYMPLIFY is registered with ISRCTN (ISRCTN10226380) and has completed follow-up at all sites. FINDINGS 6238 participants were recruited between July 7 and Nov 30, 2021, across 44 hospital sites. 387 were excluded due to staff being unable to draw blood, sample errors, participant withdrawal, or identification of ineligibility after enrolment. Of 5851 clinically evaluable participants, 376 had no MCED test result and 14 had no information as to final diagnosis, resulting in 5461 included in the final cohort for analysis with an evaluable MCED test result and diagnostic outcome (368 [6·7%] with a cancer diagnosis and 5093 [93·3%] without a cancer diagnosis). The median age of participants was 61·9 years (IQR 53·4-73·0), 3609 (66·1%) were female and 1852 (33·9%) were male. The MCED test detected a cancer signal in 323 cases, in whom 244 cancer was diagnosed, yielding a positive predictive value of 75·5% (95% CI 70·5-80·1), negative predictive value of 97·6% (97·1-98·0), sensitivity of 66·3% (61·2-71·1), and specificity of 98·4% (98·1-98·8). Sensitivity increased with increasing age and cancer stage, from 24·2% (95% CI 16·0-34·1) in stage I to 95·3% (88·5-98·7) in stage IV. For cases in which a cancer signal was detected among patients with cancer, the MCED test's prediction of the site of origin was accurate in 85·2% (95% CI 79·8-89·3) of cases. Sensitivity 80·4% (95% CI 66·1-90·6) and negative predictive value 99·1% (98·2-99·6) were highest for patients with symptoms mandating investigation for upper gastrointestinal cancer. INTERPRETATION This first large-scale prospective evaluation of an MCED diagnostic test in a symptomatic population demonstrates the feasibility of using an MCED test to assist clinicians with decisions regarding urgency and route of referral from primary care. Our data provide the basis for a prospective, interventional study in patients presenting to primary care with non-specific signs and symptoms. FUNDING GRAIL Bio UK.
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Affiliation(s)
- Brian D Nicholson
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jason Oke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Pradeep S Virdee
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | - John Es Park
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Zaed Hamady
- University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK
| | - Vinay Sehgal
- University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Andrew Millar
- North Middlesex Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Louise Medley
- Torbay and South Devon NHS Foundation Trust, Torquay, UK
| | - Sharon Tonner
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Monika Vargova
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Lazarina Engonidou
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Sarah Pearson
- Department of Oncology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Fd Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rafael Perera
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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18
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Freeman D, Rosebrock L, Waite F, Loe BS, Kabir T, Petit A, Dudley R, Chapman K, Morrison A, O'Regan E, Aynsworth C, Jones J, Murphy E, Powling R, Peel H, Walker H, Byrne R, Freeman J, Rovira A, Galal U, Yu LM, Clark DM, Lambe S. Virtual reality (VR) therapy for patients with psychosis: satisfaction and side effects. Psychol Med 2023; 53:4373-4384. [PMID: 35477837 PMCID: PMC10388321 DOI: 10.1017/s0033291722001167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2022] [Revised: 04/01/2022] [Accepted: 04/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Automated virtual reality therapies are being developed to increase access to psychological interventions. We assessed the experience with one such therapy of patients diagnosed with psychosis, including satisfaction, side effects, and positive experiences of access to the technology. We tested whether side effects affected therapy. METHODS In a clinical trial 122 patients diagnosed with psychosis completed baseline measures of psychiatric symptoms, received gameChange VR therapy, and then completed a satisfaction questionnaire, the Oxford-VR Side Effects Checklist, and outcome measures. RESULTS 79 (65.8%) patients were very satisfied with VR therapy, 37 (30.8%) were mostly satisfied, 3 (2.5%) were indifferent/mildly dissatisfied, and 1 (0.8%) person was quite dissatisfied. The most common side effects were: difficulties concentrating because of thinking about what might be happening in the room (n = 17, 14.2%); lasting headache (n = 10, 8.3%); and the headset causing feelings of panic (n = 9, 7.4%). Side effects formed three factors: difficulties concentrating when wearing a headset, feelings of panic using VR, and worries following VR. The occurrence of side effects was not associated with number of VR sessions, therapy outcomes, or psychiatric symptoms. Difficulties concentrating in VR were associated with slightly lower satisfaction. VR therapy provision and engagement made patients feel: proud (n = 99, 81.8%); valued (n = 97, 80.2%); and optimistic (n = 96, 79.3%). CONCLUSIONS Patients with psychosis were generally very positive towards the VR therapy, valued having the opportunity to try the technology, and experienced few adverse effects. Side effects did not significantly impact VR therapy. Patient experience of VR is likely to facilitate widespread adoption.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Bao Sheng Loe
- The Psychometrics Centre, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | | | - Ariane Petit
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Robert Dudley
- Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne, and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
- Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Kate Chapman
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership (AWP) NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Anthony Morrison
- Greater Manchester Mental Health Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
- Division of Psychology and Mental Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Eileen O'Regan
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Charlotte Aynsworth
- Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne, and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Julia Jones
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Elizabeth Murphy
- Greater Manchester Mental Health Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Rosie Powling
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership (AWP) NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Heather Peel
- Greater Manchester Mental Health Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Harry Walker
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership (AWP) NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Rory Byrne
- Greater Manchester Mental Health Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Jason Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Aitor Rovira
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - David M. Clark
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sinéad Lambe
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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19
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Beuthin O, Bhui K, Yu LM, Shahid S, Almidani L, Bilalaga MM, Hussein R, Harba A, Nasser Y. Culturally Adapting a Digital Intervention to Reduce Suicidal Ideation for Syrian Asylum Seekers and Refugees in the United Kingdom: Protocol for a Qualitative Study. JMIR Res Protoc 2023; 12:e47627. [PMID: 37347522 DOI: 10.2196/47627] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2023] [Revised: 05/04/2023] [Accepted: 05/23/2023] [Indexed: 06/23/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The conflict in Syria has produced the largest forced displacement crisis since the Second World War. As a result, Syrians have experienced various stressors across the migratory process, putting them at an increased risk of developing mental health issues, including, crucially, suicidal ideation (SI). Despite their high rates of SI across Europe, there remain various barriers to accessing treatment. One way to increase access is the use of culturally adapted digital interventions, which have already shown potential for other minority populations. To culturally adapt the intervention, further research is needed to better understand Syrian asylum seekers' and refugees' cultural conceptualizations, coping strategies, and help-seeking behavior for SI. To do so, this study will use a unique cultural adaptation framework to intervene at points of lived experience with the migratory process where Syrian culture and signs of psychopathology converge. Likewise, co-design events will be used to adapt points of experience with the intervention where Syrian culture and the intervention conflict. As the first cultural adaption of a digital SI intervention for Syrian asylum seekers and refugees, this study will hopefully encourage further development of culturally sensitive interventions for the largest refugee population in the United Kingdom and the world. OBJECTIVE The objective of the study is to increase access to mental health treatment for Syrian asylum seekers and refugees in the United Kingdom by culturally adapting a digital intervention to reduce SI. METHODS The study will use experience-based co-design, an action research method, to culturally adapt a digital intervention to reduce SI for Syrian asylum seekers and refugees in the United Kingdom. This will involve conducting 20-30 interviews to understand their lived experiences with the migratory process, cultural conceptualizations of mental health and SI, coping strategies, mental health help-seeking behavior, and perceptions of digital mental health interventions. In addition, 3 co-design events with 6 participants in each will be held to collaboratively adapt the intervention. Touchpoints and themes extracted from each phase will be prioritized by a community panel before adapting the intervention. RESULTS The study began in November 2022 and will continue until the last co-design event in August 2023. The results of the study will then be published by December 2023. CONCLUSIONS Access to treatment for some of the most severe mental health issues is still limited for Syrian asylum seekers and refugees in the United Kingdom. Cultural adaptations of digital interventions developed for general populations have the potential to increase access to treatment for this population. Specifically, adapting the intervention for Syrian asylum seekers' and refugees' experiences with SI in relation to their lived experience with the migratory process may enable greater recruitment and adherence for users of various cultural and ethnic subgroups and levels of SI. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID) DERR1-10.2196/47627.
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Affiliation(s)
- Oliver Beuthin
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Kamaldeep Bhui
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Sadiya Shahid
- Department of Theoretical and Applied Linguistics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - Louay Almidani
- Wilmer Eye Institute, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | | | | | - Alnarjes Harba
- Centre for Global Health, St George's, University of London, London, United Kingdom
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20
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Scragg J, Morris E, Wane S, Noreik M, Jerome D, Yu LM, Galal U, Dyson P, Tan GD, Fox R, Breeze P, Thomas C, Jebb SA, Aveyard P. Dietary approaches to the management of type 2 diabetes (DIAMOND) in primary care: A protocol for a cluster randomised trial. Contemp Clin Trials 2023; 129:107199. [PMID: 37094737 DOI: 10.1016/j.cct.2023.107199] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2023] [Revised: 04/13/2023] [Accepted: 04/14/2023] [Indexed: 04/26/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION There is strong evidence that type 2 diabetes (T2D) remission can be achieved by adopting a low-energy diet achieved through total dietary replacement products. There is promising evidence that low-carbohydrate diets can achieve remission of T2D. The Dietary Approaches to the Management of type 2 Diabetes (DIAMOND) programme combines both approaches in a behaviourally informed low-energy, low-carbohydrate diet for people with T2D, delivered by nurses in primary care. This trial compares the effectiveness of the DIAMOND programme to usual care in inducing remission of T2D and in reducing risk of cardiovascular disease. METHODS AND ANALYSIS We aim to recruit 508 people in 56 practices with T2D diagnosed within 6 years, who are demographically representative of the UK population. We will allocate general practices, based on ethnicity and socioeconomic status, to provide usual care for diabetes or offer the DIAMOND programme. Participants in practices offering DIAMOND will see the nurse seven times over 6 months. At baseline, 6 months, and 1 year we will measure weight, blood pressure, HbA1c, lipid profile and risk of fatty liver disease. The primary outcome is diabetes remission at 1 year, defined as HbA1c < 48 mmol/mol and off glucose-lowering medication for at least 6 months. Thereafter, we will assess whether people resume treatment for diabetes and the incidence of microvascular and macrovascular disease through the National Diabetes Audit. Data will be analysed using mixed-effects generalised linear models. This study has been approved by the National Health Service Health Research Authority Research Ethics Committee (Ref: 22/EM/0074). TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ISRCTN46961767.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jadine Scragg
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK.
| | - Elizabeth Morris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK
| | - Sarah Wane
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK
| | - Michaela Noreik
- Hochschule Niederrhein, Fachbereich Oecotrophologie, University of Applied Sciences, UK
| | - Derek Jerome
- PPI representative, the DIAMOND study, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Primary Care- Clinical trials unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Primary Care- Clinical trials unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Pamela Dyson
- Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Churchill Hospital, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Garry D Tan
- Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Churchill Hospital, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Robin Fox
- Bicester Health Centre, Bicester, UK
| | - Penny Breeze
- School of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, UK
| | - Chloe Thomas
- School of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, UK
| | - Susan A Jebb
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK
| | - Paul Aveyard
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, UK
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21
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Freeman D, Lambe S, Yu LM, Freeman J, Chadwick A, Vaccari C, Waite F, Rosebrock L, Petit A, Vanderslott S, Lewandowsky S, Larkin M, Innocenti S, McShane H, Pollard AJ, Loe BS. Injection fears and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. Psychol Med 2023; 53:1185-1195. [PMID: 34112276 PMCID: PMC8220023 DOI: 10.1017/s0033291721002609] [Citation(s) in RCA: 65] [Impact Index Per Article: 65.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2021] [Revised: 06/06/2021] [Accepted: 06/09/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND When vaccination depends on injection, it is plausible that the blood-injection-injury cluster of fears may contribute to hesitancy. Our primary aim was to estimate in the UK adult population the proportion of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy explained by blood-injection-injury fears. METHODS In total, 15 014 UK adults, quota sampled to match the population for age, gender, ethnicity, income and region, took part (19 January-5 February 2021) in a non-probability online survey. The Oxford COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy Scale assessed intent to be vaccinated. Two scales (Specific Phobia Scale-blood-injection-injury phobia and Medical Fear Survey-injections and blood subscale) assessed blood-injection-injury fears. Four items from these scales were used to create a factor score specifically for injection fears. RESULTS In total, 3927 (26.2%) screened positive for blood-injection-injury phobia. Individuals screening positive (22.0%) were more likely to report COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy compared to individuals screening negative (11.5%), odds ratio = 2.18, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.97-2.40, p < 0.001. The population attributable fraction (PAF) indicated that if blood-injection-injury phobia were absent then this may prevent 11.5% of all instances of vaccine hesitancy, AF = 0.11; 95% CI 0.09-0.14, p < 0.001. COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy was associated with higher scores on the Specific Phobia Scale, r = 0.22, p < 0.001, Medical Fear Survey, r = 0.23, p = <0.001 and injection fears, r = 0.25, p < 0.001. Injection fears were higher in youth and in Black and Asian ethnic groups, and explained a small degree of why vaccine hesitancy is higher in these groups. CONCLUSIONS Across the adult population, blood-injection-injury fears may explain approximately 10% of cases of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. Addressing such fears will likely improve the effectiveness of vaccination programmes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre (BRC), Oxford, UK
| | - Sinéad Lambe
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jason Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew Chadwick
- Department of Communication and Media, Online Civic Culture Centre, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Cristian Vaccari
- Department of Communication and Media, Online Civic Culture Centre, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre (BRC), Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ariane Petit
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Samantha Vanderslott
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Michael Larkin
- Department of Psychology, Life and Health Sciences, Aston University, Birmingham, UK
| | - Stefania Innocenti
- Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Helen McShane
- The Jenner Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre (BRC), Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew J. Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre (BRC), Oxford, UK
| | - Bao Sheng Loe
- The Psychometrics Centre, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
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22
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Lambe S, Bird JC, Loe BS, Rosebrock L, Kabir T, Petit A, Mulhall S, Jenner L, Aynsworth C, Murphy E, Jones J, Powling R, Chapman K, Dudley R, Morrison A, Regan EO, Yu LM, Clark D, Waite F, Freeman D. The Oxford Agoraphobic Avoidance Scale. Psychol Med 2023; 53:1233-1243. [PMID: 37010211 PMCID: PMC10009387 DOI: 10.1017/s0033291721002713] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2021] [Revised: 06/11/2021] [Accepted: 06/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Agoraphobic avoidance of everyday situations is a common feature in many mental health disorders. Avoidance can be due to a variety of fears, including concerns about negative social evaluation, panicking, and harm from others. The result is inactivity and isolation. Behavioural avoidance tasks (BATs) provide an objective assessment of avoidance and in situ anxiety but are challenging to administer and lack standardisation. Our aim was to draw on the principles of BATs to develop a self-report measure of agoraphobia symptoms. METHOD The scale was developed with 194 patients with agoraphobia in the context of psychosis, 427 individuals in the general population with high levels of agoraphobia, and 1094 individuals with low levels of agoraphobia. Factor analysis, item response theory, and receiver operating characteristic analyses were used. Validity was assessed against a BAT, actigraphy data, and an existing agoraphobia measure. Test-retest reliability was assessed with 264 participants. RESULTS An eight-item questionnaire with avoidance and distress response scales was developed. The avoidance and distress scales each had an excellent model fit and reliably assessed agoraphobic symptoms across the severity spectrum. All items were highly discriminative (avoidance: a = 1.24-5.43; distress: a = 1.60-5.48), indicating that small increases in agoraphobic symptoms led to a high probability of item endorsement. The scale demonstrated good internal reliability, test-retest reliability, and validity. CONCLUSIONS The Oxford Agoraphobic Avoidance Scale has excellent psychometric properties. Clinical cut-offs and score ranges are provided. This precise assessment tool may help focus attention on the clinically important problem of agoraphobic avoidance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sinead Lambe
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Jessica C. Bird
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Bao Sheng Loe
- The Psychometrics Centre, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Ariane Petit
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Sophie Mulhall
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Lucy Jenner
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Charlotte Aynsworth
- Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Elizabeth Murphy
- Greater Manchester Mental Health NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Julia Jones
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Rosie Powling
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Kate Chapman
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Robert Dudley
- Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
- Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Anthony Morrison
- Greater Manchester Mental Health NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
- Division of Psychology and Mental Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Eileen O. Regan
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - David Clark
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Daniel Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
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23
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Blagden SP, Yu LM, Ellis S, Hughes H, Shaaban A, Fennelly-Barnwell J, Lythgoe MP, Cooper AM, Maignen FM, Buckland SW, Kearns PR, Brown LC. Additional consensus recommendations for conducting complex innovative trials of oncology agents: a post-pandemic perspective. Br J Cancer 2023; 128:474-477. [PMID: 36434156 PMCID: PMC9702707 DOI: 10.1038/s41416-022-02051-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2022] [Revised: 10/23/2022] [Accepted: 10/27/2022] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
In our 2020 consensus paper, we devised ten recommendations for conducting Complex Innovative Design (CID) trials to evaluate cancer drugs. Within weeks of its publication, the UK was hit by the first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Large CID trials were prioritised to compare the efficacy of new and repurposed COVID-19 treatments and inform regulatory decisions. The unusual circumstances of the pandemic meant studies such as RECOVERY were opened almost immediately and recruited record numbers of participants. However, trial teams were required to make concessions and adaptations to these studies to ensure recruitment was rapid and broad. As these are relevant to cancer trials that enrol patients with similar risk factors, we have added three new recommendations to our original ten: employing pragmatism such as using focused information sheets and collection of only the most relevant data; minimising negative environmental impacts with paperless systems; and using direct-to-patient communication methods to improve uptake. These recommendations can be applied to all oncology CID trials to improve their inclusivity, uptake and efficiency. Above all, the success of CID studies during the COVID-19 pandemic underscores their efficacy as tools for rapid treatment evaluation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah P Blagden
- Department of Oncology, Old Road Campus Research Building, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Stephanie Ellis
- London Hampstead Research Ethics Committee, Health Research Authority, Elephant and Castle, London, UK
| | - Helen Hughes
- Cardiff and Vale University Local Health Board, University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, UK
| | - Abeer Shaaban
- Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham and the University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | | | - Mark P Lythgoe
- Imperial College London, Hammersmith Hospital, Du Cane Road, London, UK
| | - Alison M Cooper
- The Association of the British Pharmaceutical Industry, London, UK
| | | | | | - Pamela R Kearns
- Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit, NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Louise C Brown
- MRC Clinical Trials Unit at University College London, 90 High Holborn, London, UK
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24
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Butler CC, Hobbs FDR, Gbinigie OA, Rahman NM, Hayward G, Richards DB, Dorward J, Lowe DM, Standing JF, Breuer J, Khoo S, Petrou S, Hood K, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Patel MG, Saville BR, Marion J, Ogburn E, Allen J, Rutter H, Francis N, Thomas NPB, Evans P, Dobson M, Madden TA, Holmes J, Harris V, Png ME, Lown M, van Hecke O, Detry MA, Saunders CT, Fitzgerald M, Berry NS, Mwandigha L, Galal U, Mort S, Jani BD, Hart ND, Ahmed H, Butler D, McKenna M, Chalk J, Lavallee L, Hadley E, Cureton L, Benysek M, Andersson M, Coates M, Barrett S, Bateman C, Davies JC, Raymundo-Wood I, Ustianowski A, Carson-Stevens A, Yu LM, Little P. Molnupiravir plus usual care versus usual care alone as early treatment for adults with COVID-19 at increased risk of adverse outcomes (PANORAMIC): an open-label, platform-adaptive randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2023; 401:281-293. [PMID: 36566761 PMCID: PMC9779781 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(22)02597-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 141] [Impact Index Per Article: 141.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2022] [Revised: 11/21/2022] [Accepted: 11/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The safety, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness of molnupiravir, an oral antiviral medication for SARS-CoV-2, has not been established in vaccinated patients in the community at increased risk of morbidity and mortality from COVID-19. We aimed to establish whether the addition of molnupiravir to usual care reduced hospital admissions and deaths associated with COVID-19 in this population. METHODS PANORAMIC was a UK-based, national, multicentre, open-label, multigroup, prospective, platform adaptive randomised controlled trial. Eligible participants were aged 50 years or older-or aged 18 years or older with relevant comorbidities-and had been unwell with confirmed COVID-19 for 5 days or fewer in the community. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive 800 mg molnupiravir twice daily for 5 days plus usual care or usual care only. A secure, web-based system (Spinnaker) was used for randomisation, which was stratified by age (<50 years vs ≥50 years) and vaccination status (yes vs no). COVID-19 outcomes were tracked via a self-completed online daily diary for 28 days after randomisation. The primary outcome was all-cause hospitalisation or death within 28 days of randomisation, which was analysed using Bayesian models in all eligible participants who were randomly assigned. This trial is registered with ISRCTN, number 30448031. FINDINGS Between Dec 8, 2021, and April 27, 2022, 26 411 participants were randomly assigned, 12 821 to molnupiravir plus usual care, 12 962 to usual care alone, and 628 to other treatment groups (which will be reported separately). 12 529 participants from the molnupiravir plus usual care group, and 12 525 from the usual care group were included in the primary analysis population. The mean age of the population was 56·6 years (SD 12·6), and 24 290 (94%) of 25 708 participants had had at least three doses of a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. Hospitalisations or deaths were recorded in 105 (1%) of 12 529 participants in the molnupiravir plus usual care group versus 98 (1%) of 12 525 in the usual care group (adjusted odds ratio 1·06 [95% Bayesian credible interval 0·81-1·41]; probability of superiority 0·33). There was no evidence of treatment interaction between subgroups. Serious adverse events were recorded for 50 (0·4%) of 12 774 participants in the molnupiravir plus usual care group and for 45 (0·3%) of 12 934 in the usual care group. None of these events were judged to be related to molnupiravir. INTERPRETATION Molnupiravir did not reduce the frequency of COVID-19-associated hospitalisations or death among high-risk vaccinated adults in the community. FUNDING UK National Institute for Health and Care Research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - F D Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Oghenekome A Gbinigie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Najib M Rahman
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Oxford Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford National Institute for Health and Care Research Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Gail Hayward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Duncan B Richards
- Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - David M Lowe
- Institute of Immunity and Transplantation, University College London, London, UK
| | - Joseph F Standing
- Infection, Inflammation and Immunology, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK; Department of Pharmacy, Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children, London, UK
| | - Judith Breuer
- Infection, Inflammation and Immunology, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK
| | - Saye Khoo
- Department of Pharmacology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Stavros Petrou
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Kerenza Hood
- Centre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
| | | | - Mahendra G Patel
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Benjamin R Saville
- Berry Consultants, Austin, TX, USA; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA
| | | | - Emma Ogburn
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Julie Allen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Heather Rutter
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Nick Francis
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Nicholas P B Thomas
- Windrush Medical Practice, Witney, UK; National Institute for Health and Care Research Clinical Research Network: Thames Valley and South Midlands, Oxford, UK; Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK
| | - Philip Evans
- Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; National Institute for Health and Care Research Clinical Research Network, Leeds, UK
| | - Melissa Dobson
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Jane Holmes
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - May Ee Png
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mark Lown
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Oliver van Hecke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | | | | | - Lazaro Mwandigha
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sam Mort
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Bhautesh D Jani
- General Practice and Primary Care, School of Health and Wellbeing, College of Medical, Veterinary & Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Nigel D Hart
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Haroon Ahmed
- Division of Population Medicine, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
| | - Daniel Butler
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Micheal McKenna
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jem Chalk
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Layla Lavallee
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Elizabeth Hadley
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Lucy Cureton
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Magdalena Benysek
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Monique Andersson
- Department of Microbiology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Maria Coates
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sarah Barrett
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Clare Bateman
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jennifer C Davies
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ivy Raymundo-Wood
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew Ustianowski
- and Regional Infectious Diseases Unit, North Manchester General Hospital, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Paul Little
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
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25
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Hobbs R, Gbinigie O, Ogburn E, Yu LM, van Hecke O, Dorward J, Butler C, Saville B. Inhaled Budesonide for COVID-19 in People at Higher Risk of Complications in the Community: The UK National Community Randomi. Ann Fam Med 2023; 21:3859. [PMID: 36944089 PMCID: PMC10549521 DOI: 10.1370/afm.21.s1.3859] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/26/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The effectiveness of repurposed treatments with supportive evidence for higher risk individuals with COVID-19 in the community is unknown. In the UK PRINCIPLE national platform trial we aimed to determine whether 're-purposed medicines' (hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin, doxycycline, colchicine, inhaled budesonide, and other interventions) reduced time to recovery and COVID-19 related hospitalisations/deaths among people at higher risk of COVID-19 complications in the community. We mainly report the findings for budesonide arm here. Methods Participants in this multicentre, open-label, multi-arm, adaptive platform randomised controlled trial were aged ≥65, or ≥50 years with comorbidities, and unwell ≤14 days with suspected COVID-19 in the community, and were randomised to usual care, usual care plus inhaled budesonide (800μg twice daily for 14 days), or usual care plus other interventions. The co-primary endpoints are time to first self-reported recovery, and hospitalisation/death related to COVID-19, within 28 days, analysed using Bayesian models. Trial registration: ISRCTN86534580. Funded by United Kingdom Research Innovation (MC_PC_19079). Findings The trial opened on April 2, 2020, with the first 4 intervention arms stopped on futility grounds. Randomisation to the budesonide arm occurred from November 27, 2020 until March 31, 2021, when the pre-specified time to recovery superiority criterion was met. The primary analysis model includes 2530 SARS-CoV-2 positive participants, randomised to budesonide (n=787), usual care (n=1069), and other treatments (n=674). Time to first self-reported recovery was shorter in the budesonide group versus usual care (hazard ratio 1·21 [95% credible interval 1·08 to 1·36], probability of superiority >O·999, estimated benefit 2·94 [95% credible interval 1·19 to 5·12] days). An estimated 6·8% COVID-19 related hospitalisations/deaths occurred in the budesonide group versus 8·8% in usual care (estimated absolute difference, 2·0% [95% credible interval -0.2% to 4.5%], probability of superiority 0.963). In the main secondary analysis of admissions using only concurrent controls, admissions occurred in 6.6% (3.8 to 10.1%) in the budesonide group versus 8.8% (95% CI 5.2 to 13.1%), with an absolute difference of 2.2% (0.0 to 4.9%) and a hazard ratio of 0.73 (0.53 to 1.00), meeting the pre-specified superiority probability of 0.975. Three serious adverse events occurred in the budesonide group and three in usual care.
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26
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Freeman D, Lambe S, Galal U, Yu LM, Kabir T, Petit A, Rosebrock L, Dudley R, Chapman K, Morrison A, O'Regan E, Murphy E, Aynsworth C, Jones J, Powling R, Grabey J, Rovira A, Freeman J, Clark DM, Waite F. Agoraphobic avoidance in patients with psychosis: Severity and response to automated VR therapy in a secondary analysis of a randomised controlled clinical trial. Schizophr Res 2022; 250:50-59. [PMID: 36343472 PMCID: PMC10914663 DOI: 10.1016/j.schres.2022.10.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2022] [Revised: 10/13/2022] [Accepted: 10/27/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The social withdrawal of many patients with psychosis can be conceptualised as agoraphobic avoidance due to a range of long-standing fears. We hypothesised that greater severity of agoraphobic avoidance is associated with higher levels of psychiatric symptoms and lower levels of quality of life. We also hypothesised that patients with severe agoraphobic avoidance would experience a range of benefits from an automated virtual reality (VR) therapy that allows them to practise everyday anxiety-provoking situations in simulated environments. METHODS 345 patients with psychosis in a randomised controlled trial were categorised into average, moderate, high, and severe avoidance groups using the Oxford Agoraphobic Avoidance Scale. Associations of agoraphobia severity with symptom and functioning variables, and response over six months to brief automated VR therapy (gameChange), were tested. RESULTS Greater severity of agoraphobic avoidance was associated with higher levels of persecutory ideation, auditory hallucinations, depression, hopelessness, and threat cognitions, and lower levels of meaningful activity, quality of life, and perceptions of recovery. Patients with severe agoraphobia showed the greatest benefits with gameChange VR therapy, with significant improvements at end of treatment in agoraphobic avoidance, agoraphobic distress, ideas of reference, persecutory ideation, paranoia worries, recovering quality of life, and perceived recovery, but no significant improvements in depression, suicidal ideation, or health-related quality of life. CONCLUSIONS Patients with psychosis with severe agoraphobic avoidance, such as being unable to leave the home, have high clinical need. Automated VR therapy can deliver clinical improvement in agoraphobia for these patients, leading to a number of wider benefits.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK.
| | - Sinéad Lambe
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Ariane Petit
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Robert Dudley
- Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne, and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK; Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Kate Chapman
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership (AWP) NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Anthony Morrison
- Greater Manchester Mental Health Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK; Division of Psychology and Mental Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Eileen O'Regan
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Elizabeth Murphy
- Greater Manchester Mental Health Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Charlotte Aynsworth
- Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne, and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Julia Jones
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Rosie Powling
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership (AWP) NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Jenna Grabey
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Aitor Rovira
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Jason Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - David M Clark
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK; Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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27
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Taylor L, Giles S, Howitt S, Ryan Z, Brooks E, Radley L, Thomson A, Whitaker E, Knight F, Hill C, Violato M, Waite P, Raymont V, Yu LM, Harris V, Williams N, Creswell C. A randomised controlled trial to compare clinical and cost-effectiveness of an online parent-led treatment for child anxiety problems with usual care in the context of COVID-19 delivered in Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services in the UK (Co-CAT): a study protocol for a randomised controlled trial. Trials 2022; 23:942. [PMID: 36384704 PMCID: PMC9667839 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-022-06833-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2022] [Accepted: 10/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the context of COVID-19, NHS Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services (CAMHS) and other children's mental health services have faced major challenges in providing psychological treatments that (i) work when delivered remotely and (ii) can be delivered efficiently to manage increases in referrals as social distancing measures have been relaxed. Anxiety problems are a common reason for referral to CAMHS, children with pre-existing anxiety problems are particularly vulnerable in the context of COVID-19, and there were concerns about increases in childhood anxiety as schools reopened. The proposed research will evaluate the clinical and cost-effectiveness of a brief online parent-led cognitive behavioural treatment (CBT) delivered by the OSI (Online Support and Intervention for child anxiety) platform with remote support from a CAMHS therapist compared to 'COVID-19 treatment as usual' (C-TAU) in CAMHS and other children's mental health services throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS We will conduct a two-arm, multi-site, randomised controlled non-inferiority trial to evaluate the clinical and cost-effectiveness of OSI with therapist support compared to CAMHS and other child mental health services 'COVID-19 treatment as usual' (C-TAU) during the COVID-19 outbreak and to explore parent and therapists' experiences. DISCUSSION If non-inferiority is shown, the research will provide (1) a solution for efficient psychological treatment for child anxiety disorders while social distancing (for the COVID-19 context and future pandemics); (2) an efficient means of treatment delivery as 'normal service' resumes to enable CAMHS to cope with the anticipated increase in referrals; and (3) a demonstration of rapid, high-quality evaluation and application of online interventions within NHS CAMHS to drive forward much-needed further digital innovation and evaluation in CAMHS settings. The primary beneficiaries will be children with anxiety disorders and their families, NHS CAMHS teams, and commissioners who will access a potentially effective, cost-effective, and efficient treatment for child anxiety problems. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN ISRCTN12890382 . Registered prospectively on 23 October 2020.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lucy Taylor
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sophie Giles
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sophie Howitt
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Zoe Ryan
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Brooks
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Lucy Radley
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Abigail Thomson
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emily Whitaker
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Fauzia Knight
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Claire Hill
- grid.9435.b0000 0004 0457 9566School of Psychology and Clinical Language Sciences, University of Reading, Reading, UK
| | - Mara Violato
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Population Health, NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Polly Waite
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Vanessa Raymont
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Victoria Harris
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Nicola Williams
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Cathy Creswell
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Departments of Experimental Psychology and Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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28
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Freeman D, Loe BS, Chadwick A, Vaccari C, Waite F, Rosebrock L, Jenner L, Petit A, Lewandowsky S, Vanderslott S, Innocenti S, Larkin M, Giubilini A, Yu LM, McShane H, Pollard AJ, Lambe S. COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in the UK: the Oxford coronavirus explanations, attitudes, and narratives survey (Oceans) II. Psychol Med 2022; 52:3127-3141. [PMID: 33305716 PMCID: PMC7804077 DOI: 10.1017/s0033291720005188] [Citation(s) in RCA: 399] [Impact Index Per Article: 199.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2020] [Revised: 12/07/2020] [Accepted: 12/08/2020] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Our aim was to estimate provisional willingness to receive a coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, identify predictive socio-demographic factors, and, principally, determine potential causes in order to guide information provision. METHODS A non-probability online survey was conducted (24th September-17th October 2020) with 5,114 UK adults, quota sampled to match the population for age, gender, ethnicity, income, and region. The Oxford COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy scale assessed intent to take an approved vaccine. Structural equation modelling estimated explanatory factor relationships. RESULTS 71.7% (n=3,667) were willing to be vaccinated, 16.6% (n=849) were very unsure, and 11.7% (n=598) were strongly hesitant. An excellent model fit (RMSEA=0.05/CFI=0.97/TLI=0.97), explaining 86% of variance in hesitancy, was provided by beliefs about the collective importance, efficacy, side-effects, and speed of development of a COVID-19 vaccine. A second model, with reasonable fit (RMSEA=0.03/CFI=0.93/TLI=0.92), explaining 32% of variance, highlighted two higher-order explanatory factors: 'excessive mistrust' (r=0.51), including conspiracy beliefs, negative views of doctors, and need for chaos, and 'positive healthcare experiences' (r=-0.48), including supportive doctor interactions and good NHS care. Hesitancy was associated with younger age, female gender, lower income, and ethnicity, but socio-demographic information explained little variance (9.8%). Hesitancy was associated with lower adherence to social distancing guidelines. CONCLUSIONS COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy is relatively evenly spread across the population. Willingness to take a vaccine is closely bound to recognition of the collective importance. Vaccine public information that highlights prosocial benefits may be especially effective. Factors such as conspiracy beliefs that foster mistrust and erode social cohesion will lower vaccine up-take.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Bao S. Loe
- The Psychometrics Centre, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Andrew Chadwick
- Online Civic Culture Centre, Department of Communication and Media, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Cristian Vaccari
- Online Civic Culture Centre, Department of Communication and Media, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Lucy Jenner
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ariane Petit
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Samantha Vanderslott
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Stefania Innocenti
- Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Michael Larkin
- Department of Psychology, Life and Health Sciences, Aston University, Birmingham, UK
| | - Alberto Giubilini
- Oxford Uehiro Centre for Practical Ethics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Helen McShane
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, The Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew J. Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sinéad Lambe
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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Freeman D, Loe BS, Chadwick A, Vaccari C, Waite F, Rosebrock L, Jenner L, Petit A, Lewandowsky S, Vanderslott S, Innocenti S, Larkin M, Giubilini A, Yu LM, McShane H, Pollard AJ, Lambe S. COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in the UK: the Oxford coronavirus explanations, attitudes, and narratives survey (Oceans) II. Psychol Med 2022. [PMID: 33305716 DOI: 10.1017/s0033291720001890,1-13] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Our aim was to estimate provisional willingness to receive a coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, identify predictive socio-demographic factors, and, principally, determine potential causes in order to guide information provision. METHODS A non-probability online survey was conducted (24th September-17th October 2020) with 5,114 UK adults, quota sampled to match the population for age, gender, ethnicity, income, and region. The Oxford COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy scale assessed intent to take an approved vaccine. Structural equation modelling estimated explanatory factor relationships. RESULTS 71.7% (n=3,667) were willing to be vaccinated, 16.6% (n=849) were very unsure, and 11.7% (n=598) were strongly hesitant. An excellent model fit (RMSEA=0.05/CFI=0.97/TLI=0.97), explaining 86% of variance in hesitancy, was provided by beliefs about the collective importance, efficacy, side-effects, and speed of development of a COVID-19 vaccine. A second model, with reasonable fit (RMSEA=0.03/CFI=0.93/TLI=0.92), explaining 32% of variance, highlighted two higher-order explanatory factors: 'excessive mistrust' (r=0.51), including conspiracy beliefs, negative views of doctors, and need for chaos, and 'positive healthcare experiences' (r=-0.48), including supportive doctor interactions and good NHS care. Hesitancy was associated with younger age, female gender, lower income, and ethnicity, but socio-demographic information explained little variance (9.8%). Hesitancy was associated with lower adherence to social distancing guidelines. CONCLUSIONS COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy is relatively evenly spread across the population. Willingness to take a vaccine is closely bound to recognition of the collective importance. Vaccine public information that highlights prosocial benefits may be especially effective. Factors such as conspiracy beliefs that foster mistrust and erode social cohesion will lower vaccine up-take.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Bao S Loe
- The Psychometrics Centre, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Andrew Chadwick
- Online Civic Culture Centre, Department of Communication and Media, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Cristian Vaccari
- Online Civic Culture Centre, Department of Communication and Media, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Lucy Jenner
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ariane Petit
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Samantha Vanderslott
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Stefania Innocenti
- Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Michael Larkin
- Department of Psychology, Life and Health Sciences, Aston University, Birmingham, UK
| | - Alberto Giubilini
- Oxford Uehiro Centre for Practical Ethics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Helen McShane
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, The Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew J Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sinéad Lambe
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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Dorward J, Yu LM, Hayward G, Saville BR, Gbinigie O, Van Hecke O, Ogburn E, Evans PH, Thomas NP, Patel MG, Richards D, Berry N, Detry MA, Saunders C, Fitzgerald M, Harris V, Shanyinde M, de Lusignan S, Andersson MI, Butler CC, Hobbs FR. Colchicine for COVID-19 in the community (PRINCIPLE): a randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial. Br J Gen Pract 2022; 72:e446-e455. [PMID: 35440469 PMCID: PMC9037186 DOI: 10.3399/bjgp.2022.0083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2022] [Accepted: 03/02/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Colchicine has been proposed as a COVID-19 treatment. AIM To determine whether colchicine reduces time to recovery and COVID-19-related admissions to hospital and/or deaths among people in the community. DESIGN AND SETTING Prospective, multicentre, open-label, multi-arm, randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial (PRINCIPLE). METHOD Adults aged ≥65 years or ≥18 years with comorbidities or shortness of breath, and unwell for ≤14 days with suspected COVID-19 in the community, were randomised to usual care, usual care plus colchicine (500 µg daily for 14 days), or usual care plus other interventions. The co-primary endpoints were time to first self-reported recovery and admission to hospital/death related to COVID-19, within 28 days, analysed using Bayesian models. RESULTS The trial opened on 2 April 2020. Randomisation to colchicine started on 4 March 2021 and stopped on 26 May 2021 because the prespecified time to recovery futility criterion was met. The primary analysis model included 2755 participants who were SARS-CoV-2 positive, randomised to colchicine (n = 156), usual care (n = 1145), and other treatments (n = 1454). Time to first self-reported recovery was similar in the colchicine group compared with usual care with an estimated hazard ratio of 0.92 (95% credible interval (CrI) = 0.72 to 1.16) and an estimated increase of 1.4 days in median time to self-reported recovery for colchicine versus usual care. The probability of meaningful benefit in time to recovery was very low at 1.8%. COVID-19-related admissions to hospital/deaths were similar in the colchicine group versus usual care, with an estimated odds ratio of 0.76 (95% CrI = 0.28 to 1.89) and an estimated difference of -0.4% (95% CrI = -2.7 to 2.4). CONCLUSION Colchicine did not improve time to recovery in people at higher risk of complications with COVID-19 in the community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Gail Hayward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Benjamin R Saville
- Berry Consultants, Texas, TX, US; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Tennessee, TN, US
| | - Oghenekome Gbinigie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Oliver Van Hecke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Ogburn
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Philip H Evans
- College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinical Research Network, NIHR, London, UK
| | | | - Mahendra G Patel
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Duncan Richards
- Oxford Clinical Trials Research Unit, Botnar Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | | | | | - Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Milensu Shanyinde
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK
| | | | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Fd Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Chappell LC, Tucker KL, Galal U, Yu LM, Campbell H, Rivero-Arias O, Allen J, Band R, Chisholm A, Crawford C, Dougall G, Engonidou L, Franssen M, Green M, Greenfield S, Hinton L, Hodgkinson J, Lavallee L, Leeson P, McCourt C, Mackillop L, Sandall J, Santos M, Tarassenko L, Velardo C, Wilson H, Yardley L, McManus RJ. Effect of Self-monitoring of Blood Pressure on Blood Pressure Control in Pregnant Individuals With Chronic or Gestational Hypertension: The BUMP 2 Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA 2022; 327:1666-1678. [PMID: 35503345 PMCID: PMC9066282 DOI: 10.1001/jama.2022.4726] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2021] [Accepted: 03/11/2022] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
Importance Inadequate management of elevated blood pressure is a significant contributing factor to maternal deaths. The role of blood pressure self-monitoring in pregnancy in improving clinical outcomes for the pregnant individual and infant is unclear. Objective To evaluate the effect of blood pressure self-monitoring, compared with usual care alone, on blood pressure control and other related maternal and infant outcomes, in individuals with pregnancy hypertension. Design, Setting, and Participants Unblinded, randomized clinical trial that recruited between November 2018 and September 2019 in 15 hospital maternity units in England. Individuals with chronic hypertension (enrolled up to 37 weeks' gestation) or with gestational hypertension (enrolled between 20 and 37 weeks' gestation). Final follow-up was in May 2020. Interventions Participants were randomized to either blood pressure self-monitoring using a validated monitor and a secure telemonitoring system in addition to usual care (n = 430) or to usual care alone (n = 420). Usual care comprised blood pressure measured by health care professionals at regular antenatal clinics. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary maternal outcome was the difference in mean systolic blood pressure recorded by health care professionals between randomization and birth. Results Among 454 participants with chronic hypertension (mean age, 36 years; mean gestation at entry, 20 weeks) and 396 with gestational hypertension (mean age, 34 years; mean gestation at entry, 33 weeks) who were randomized, primary outcome data were available from 444 (97.8%) and 377 (95.2%), respectively. In the chronic hypertension cohort, there was no statistically significant difference in mean systolic blood pressure for the self-monitoring groups vs the usual care group (133.8 mm Hg vs 133.6 mm Hg, respectively; adjusted mean difference, 0.03 mm Hg [95% CI, -1.73 to 1.79]). In the gestational hypertension cohort, there was also no significant difference in mean systolic blood pressure (137.6 mm Hg compared with 137.2 mm Hg; adjusted mean difference, -0.03 mm Hg [95% CI, -2.29 to 2.24]). There were 8 serious adverse events in the self-monitoring group (4 in each cohort) and 3 in the usual care group (2 in the chronic hypertension cohort and 1 in the gestational hypertension cohort). Conclusions and Relevance Among pregnant individuals with chronic or gestational hypertension, blood pressure self-monitoring with telemonitoring, compared with usual care, did not lead to significantly improved clinic-based blood pressure control. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03334149.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lucy C. Chappell
- Department of Women and Children’s Health, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Katherine L. Tucker
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Ushma Galal
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Helen Campbell
- National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Oliver Rivero-Arias
- National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Julie Allen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Rebecca Band
- Department of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
| | - Alison Chisholm
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Carole Crawford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Greig Dougall
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Lazarina Engonidou
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Marloes Franssen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Marcus Green
- Action on Pre-eclampsia, The Stables, Evesham, Worcestershire, United Kingdom
| | - Sheila Greenfield
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Lisa Hinton
- The Healthcare Improvement Studies Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - James Hodgkinson
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Layla Lavallee
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Paul Leeson
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Facility, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Christine McCourt
- Centre for Maternal and Child Health Research, City, University of London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy Mackillop
- Nuffield Department of Women’s & Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Jane Sandall
- Department of Women and Children’s Health, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Mauro Santos
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Lionel Tarassenko
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Carmelo Velardo
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Hannah Wilson
- Department of Women and Children’s Health, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy Yardley
- Department of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
- School of Psychological Science, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Richard J. McManus
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
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Tucker KL, Mort S, Yu LM, Campbell H, Rivero-Arias O, Wilson HM, Allen J, Band R, Chisholm A, Crawford C, Dougall G, Engonidou L, Franssen M, Green M, Greenfield S, Hinton L, Hodgkinson J, Lavallee L, Leeson P, McCourt C, Mackillop L, Sandall J, Santos M, Tarassenko L, Velardo C, Yardley L, Chappell LC, McManus RJ. Effect of Self-monitoring of Blood Pressure on Diagnosis of Hypertension During Higher-Risk Pregnancy: The BUMP 1 Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA 2022; 327:1656-1665. [PMID: 35503346 PMCID: PMC9066279 DOI: 10.1001/jama.2022.4712] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Inadequate management of elevated blood pressure (BP) is a significant contributing factor to maternal deaths. Self-monitoring of BP in the general population has been shown to improve the diagnosis and management of hypertension; however, little is known about its use in pregnancy. OBJECTIVE To determine whether self-monitoring of BP in higher-risk pregnancies leads to earlier detection of pregnancy hypertension. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Unblinded, randomized clinical trial that included 2441 pregnant individuals at higher risk of preeclampsia and recruited at a mean of 20 weeks' gestation from 15 hospital maternity units in England between November 2018 and October 2019. Final follow-up was completed in April 2020. INTERVENTIONS Participating individuals were randomized to either BP self-monitoring with telemonitoring (n = 1223) plus usual care or usual antenatal care alone (n = 1218) without access to telemonitored BP. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was time to first recorded hypertension measured by a health care professional. RESULTS Among 2441 participants who were randomized (mean [SD] age, 33 [5.6] years; mean gestation, 20 [1.6] weeks), 2346 (96%) completed the trial. The time from randomization to clinic recording of hypertension was not significantly different between individuals in the self-monitoring group (mean [SD], 104.3 [32.6] days) vs in the usual care group (mean [SD], 106.2 [32.0] days) (mean difference, -1.6 days [95% CI, -8.1 to 4.9]; P = .64). Eighteen serious adverse events were reported during the trial with none judged as related to the intervention (12 [1%] in the self-monitoring group vs 6 [0.5%] in the usual care group). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Among pregnant individuals at higher risk of preeclampsia, blood pressure self-monitoring with telemonitoring, compared with usual care, did not lead to significantly earlier clinic-based detection of hypertension. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03334149.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katherine L. Tucker
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Sam Mort
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Helen Campbell
- National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Oliver Rivero-Arias
- National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Hannah M. Wilson
- Department of Women and Children’s Health, King’s College London, St Thomas’ Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Julie Allen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Rebecca Band
- Department of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
| | - Alison Chisholm
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Carole Crawford
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Greig Dougall
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Lazarina Engonidou
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Marloes Franssen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Marcus Green
- Action on Pre-eclampsia, The Stables, Evesham, Worcestershire, United Kingdom
| | - Sheila Greenfield
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Lisa Hinton
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
- The Healthcare Improvement Studies Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - James Hodgkinson
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Layla Lavallee
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Paul Leeson
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Facility, RDM Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Christine McCourt
- Centre for Maternal and Child Health Research, City, University of London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy Mackillop
- Nuffield Department of Women’s and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Jane Sandall
- Department of Women and Children’s Health, King’s College London, St Thomas’ Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Mauro Santos
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Lionel Tarassenko
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Carmelo Velardo
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy Yardley
- Department of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
- School of Psychological Science, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Lucy C. Chappell
- Department of Women and Children’s Health, King’s College London, St Thomas’ Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Richard J. McManus
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
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Freeman D, Lambe S, Kabir T, Petit A, Rosebrock L, Yu LM, Dudley R, Chapman K, Morrison A, O'Regan E, Aynsworth C, Jones J, Murphy E, Powling R, Galal U, Grabey J, Rovira A, Martin J, Hollis C, Clark DM, Waite F, Andleeb H, Bergin A, Bold E, Bond J, Bransby-Adams K, Brown S, Chan C, Chauhan N, Craven M, Freeman J, Geddes J, Goodsell A, Jenner L, Kenny A, Leal J, Mitchell J, Peel H, Pervez M, Prouten E, Roberts E, Robotham D, Walker H, West J. Automated virtual reality therapy to treat agoraphobic avoidance and distress in patients with psychosis (gameChange): a multicentre, parallel-group, single-blind, randomised, controlled trial in England with mediation and moderation analyses. Lancet Psychiatry 2022; 9:375-388. [PMID: 35395204 PMCID: PMC9010306 DOI: 10.1016/s2215-0366(22)00060-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2021] [Revised: 02/16/2022] [Accepted: 02/16/2022] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Automated delivery of psychological therapy using immersive technologies such as virtual reality (VR) might greatly increase the availability of effective help for patients. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of an automated VR cognitive therapy (gameChange) to treat avoidance and distress in patients with psychosis, and to analyse how and in whom it might work. METHODS We did a parallel-group, single-blind, randomised, controlled trial across nine National Health Service trusts in England. Eligible patients were aged 16 years or older, with a clinical diagnosis of a schizophrenia spectrum disorder or an affective diagnosis with psychotic symptoms, and had self-reported difficulties going outside due to anxiety. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to either gameChange VR therapy plus usual care or usual care alone, using a permuted blocks algorithm with randomly varying block size, stratified by study site and service type. gameChange VR therapy was provided in approximately six sessions over 6 weeks. Trial assessors were masked to group allocation. Outcomes were assessed at 0, 6 (primary endpoint), and 26 weeks after randomisation. The primary outcome was avoidance of, and distress in, everyday situations, assessed using the self-reported Oxford Agoraphobic Avoidance Scale (O-AS). Outcome analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population (ie, all participants who were assigned to a study group for whom data were available). We performed planned mediation and moderation analyses to test the effects of gameChange VR therapy when added to usual care. This trial is registered with the ISRCTN registry, 17308399. FINDINGS Between July 25, 2019, and May 7, 2021 (with a pause in recruitment from March 16, 2020, to Sept 14, 2020, due to COVID-19 pandemic restrictions), 551 patients were assessed for eligibility and 346 were enrolled. 231 (67%) patients were men and 111 (32%) were women, 294 (85%) were White, and the mean age was 37·2 years (SD 12·5). 174 patients were randomly assigned to the gameChange VR therapy group and 172 to the usual care alone group. Compared with the usual care alone group, the gameChange VR therapy group had significant reductions in agoraphobic avoidance (O-AS adjusted mean difference -0·47, 95% CI -0·88 to -0·06; n=320; Cohen's d -0·18; p=0·026) and distress (-4·33, -7·78 to -0·87; n=322; -0·26; p=0·014) at 6 weeks. Reductions in threat cognitions and within-situation defence behaviours mediated treatment outcomes. The greater the severity of anxious fears and avoidance, the greater the treatment benefits. There was no significant difference in the occurrence of serious adverse events between the gameChange VR therapy group (12 events in nine patients) and the usual care alone group (eight events in seven patients; p=0·37). INTERPRETATION Automated VR therapy led to significant reductions in anxious avoidance of, and distress in, everyday situations compared with usual care alone. The mediation analysis indicated that the VR therapy worked in accordance with the cognitive model by reducing anxious thoughts and associated protective behaviours. The moderation analysis indicated that the VR therapy particularly benefited patients with severe agoraphobic avoidance, such as not being able to leave the home unaccompanied. gameChange VR therapy has the potential to increase the provision of effective psychological therapy for psychosis, particularly for patients who find it difficult to leave their home, visit local amenities, or use public transport. FUNDING National Institute of Health Research Invention for Innovation programme, National Institute of Health Research Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK.
| | - Sinéad Lambe
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Ariane Petit
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Robert Dudley
- Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne, and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK; Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Kate Chapman
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Anthony Morrison
- Greater Manchester Mental Health Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK; Division of Psychology and Mental Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Eileen O'Regan
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Charlotte Aynsworth
- Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne, and Wear NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Julia Jones
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - Elizabeth Murphy
- Greater Manchester Mental Health Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Rosie Powling
- Avon and Wiltshire Mental Health Partnership NHS Trust, Bath, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jenna Grabey
- Oxford Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Aitor Rovira
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Jennifer Martin
- National Institute for Health Research MindTech MedTech Co-operative, Nottingham, UK; Mental Health and Clinical Neurosciences, School of Medicine, Institute of Mental Health, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK; National Institute for Health Research Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Mental Health & Technology Theme, Nottingham, UK
| | - Chris Hollis
- Nottinghamshire Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Nottingham, UK; National Institute for Health Research MindTech MedTech Co-operative, Nottingham, UK; Mental Health and Clinical Neurosciences, School of Medicine, Institute of Mental Health, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK; National Institute for Health Research Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Mental Health & Technology Theme, Nottingham, UK
| | - David M Clark
- Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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Farmer A, Jones L, Newhouse N, Kenning C, Williams N, Chi Y, Bartlett YK, Plumpton C, McSharry J, Cholerton R, Holmes E, Robinson S, Allen J, Gudgin B, Velardo C, Rutter H, Horne R, Tarassenko L, Williams V, Locock L, Rea R, Yu LM, Hughes D, Bower P, French D. Supporting People With Type 2 Diabetes in the Effective Use of Their Medicine Through Mobile Health Technology Integrated With Clinical Care to Reduce Cardiovascular Risk: Protocol for an Effectiveness and Cost-effectiveness Randomized Controlled Trial. JMIR Res Protoc 2022; 11:e32918. [PMID: 35188478 PMCID: PMC8902673 DOI: 10.2196/32918] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2021] [Revised: 11/12/2021] [Accepted: 11/17/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Type 2 diabetes is a common lifelong condition that affects over 400 million people worldwide. The use of effective medications and active self-management can reduce the risk of serious complications. However, people often have concerns when starting new medications and face difficulties in taking their medications regularly. Support provided by brief messages delivered through mobile phone-based SMS text messages can be effective in some long-term conditions. We have identified promising behavior change techniques (BCTs) to promote medication adherence in this population via a systematic review and developed SMS text messages that target these BCTs. Feasibility work has shown that these messages have fidelity to intended BCTs, are acceptable to patients, and are successful in changing the intended determinants of medication adherence. We now plan to test this intervention on a larger scale in a clinical trial. OBJECTIVE The aim of this trial is to determine the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of this intervention for reducing cardiovascular risk in people with type 2 diabetes by comparing it with usual care. METHODS The trial will be a 12-month, multicenter, individually randomized controlled trial in primary care and will recruit adults (aged ≥35 years) with type 2 diabetes in England. Consenting participants will be randomized to receive short SMS text messages intended to affect a change in medication adherence 3 to 4 times per week in addition to usual care. The aim is to test the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the intervention when it is added to usual care. The primary clinical outcome will be a composite cardiovascular risk measure. Data including patient-reported measures will be collected at baseline, at 13 and 26 weeks, and at the end of the 12-month follow-up period. With 958 participants (479 in each group), the trial is powered at 92.5% to detect a 4-percentage point difference in cardiovascular risk. The analysis will follow a prespecified plan. A nested quantitative and qualitative process analysis will be used to examine the putative mechanisms of behavior change and wider contextual influences. A health economic analysis will be used to assess the cost-effectiveness of the intervention. RESULTS The trial has completed the recruitment phase and is in the follow-up phase. The publication of results is anticipated in 2024. CONCLUSIONS This trial will provide evidence regarding the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of this intervention for people with type 2 diabetes. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN Registry ISRCTN15952379; https://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN15952379. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID) DERR1-10.2196/32918.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew Farmer
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Louise Jones
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Nikki Newhouse
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Cassandra Kenning
- Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | - Nicola Williams
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Yuan Chi
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Y Kiera Bartlett
- Manchester Centre for Health Psychology, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | - Catrin Plumpton
- Centre for Health Economics and Medicines Evaluation, Bangor University, Bangor, United Kingdom
| | - Jenny McSharry
- Health Behaviour Change Research Group, School of Psychology, National University of Ireland Galway, Galway, Ireland
| | - Rachel Cholerton
- Manchester Centre for Health Psychology, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | - Emily Holmes
- Centre for Health Economics and Medicines Evaluation, Bangor University, Bangor, United Kingdom
| | - Stephanie Robinson
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Julie Allen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Bernard Gudgin
- Patient Advocate, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Carmelo Velardo
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
- Sensyne Health plc, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Heather Rutter
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
- Oxford University Hospitals National Health Service Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Rob Horne
- Centre for Behavioural Medicine, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Lionel Tarassenko
- Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | | | - Louise Locock
- Health Services Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom
| | - Rustam Rea
- Oxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Oxford University Hospitals National Health Service Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals National Health Service Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Dyfrig Hughes
- Centre for Health Economics and Medicines Evaluation, Bangor University, Bangor, United Kingdom
| | - Peter Bower
- Centre for Primary Care and Health Services Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | - David French
- Manchester Centre for Health Psychology, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
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Homer V, Yap C, Bond S, Holmes J, Stocken D, Walker K, Robinson EJ, Wheeler G, Brown S, Hinsley S, Schipper M, Weir CJ, Rantell K, Prior T, Yu LM, Kirkpatrick J, Bedding A, Gamble C, Gaunt P. Early phase clinical trials extension to guidelines for the content of statistical analysis plans. BMJ 2022; 376:e068177. [PMID: 35131744 PMCID: PMC8819597 DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2021-068177] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/10/2022] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Victoria Homer
- Cancer Research Clinical Trials Unit, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Christina Yap
- Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, Institute for Cancer Research, London, UK
| | - Simon Bond
- Cambridge Clinical Trials Unit, Cambridge, UK
| | - Jane Holmes
- Oxford Clinical Trials Research Unit, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Deborah Stocken
- Clinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Katrina Walker
- Clinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Emily J Robinson
- Royal Marsden Clinical Trials Unit, Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Graham Wheeler
- Imperial Clinical Trials Unit, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Sarah Brown
- Clinical Trials Research Unit, Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Samantha Hinsley
- Cancer Research UK Glasgow Clinical Trials Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Matthew Schipper
- Departments of Radiation Oncology and Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Christopher J Weir
- Edinburgh Clinical Trials Unit, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Khadija Rantell
- Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency, London, UK
| | - Thomas Prior
- Early Development Oncology Statistics Department, Janssen Research and Development, Spring House, PA, USA
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | - Carrol Gamble
- Liverpool Clinical Trials Centre, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Piers Gaunt
- Cancer Research Clinical Trials Unit, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
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Hobbs FDR, Yu LM, Saville BR, Bafadhel M, Butler CC. High-dose budesonide for early COVID-19 - Authors' reply. Lancet 2021; 398:2147-2148. [PMID: 34895528 PMCID: PMC8660058 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)02449-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2021] [Accepted: 10/28/2021] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- F D Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK.
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
| | | | - Mona Bafadhel
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
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Au-Yeung SK, Griffiths J, Roberts S, Edwards C, Yu LM, Bogacz R, Rendell J, Attenburrow MJ, Watson S, Chan F, Cipriani A, Cleare A, Harmer CJ, Kessler D, Evans J, Lewis G, Singh I, Simon J, Harrison PJ, Cowen P, Shanyinde M, Geddes J, Browning M. PAX-D: study protocol for a randomised placebo-controlled trial evaluating the efficacy and mechanism of pramipexole as add-on treatment for people with treatment resistant depression. Evid Based Ment Health 2021; 25:77-83. [PMID: 34810175 PMCID: PMC9046747 DOI: 10.1136/ebmental-2021-300282] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
Introduction Clinical depression is usually treated in primary care with psychological therapies and antidepressant medication. However, when patients do not respond to at least two or more antidepressants within a depressive episode, they are considered to have treatment resistant depression (TRD). Previous small randomised controlled trials suggested that pramipexole, a dopamine D2/3 receptor agonist, may be effective for treating patients with unipolar and bipolar depression as it is known to influence motivational drive and reward processing. PAX-D will compare the effects of pramipexole vs placebo when added to current antidepressant medication for people with TRD. Additionally, PAX-D will investigate the mechanistic effect of pramipexole on reward sensitivity using a probabilistic decision-making task. Methods and analysis PAX-D will assess effectiveness in the short- term (during the first 12 weeks) and in the longer-term (48 weeks) in patients with TRD from the UK. The primary outcome will be change in self-reported depressive symptoms from baseline to week 12 post-randomisation measured using the Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology Self-Report (QIDS-SR16). Performance on the decision-making task will be measured at week 0, week 2 and week 12. Secondary outcomes include anhedonia, anxiety and health economic measures including quality of life, capability, well-being and costs. PAX-D will also assess the adverse effects of pramipexole including impulse control difficulties. Discussion Pramipexole is a promising augmentation agent for TRD and may be a useful addition to existing treatment regimes. PAX-D will assess its effectiveness and test for a potential mechanism of action in patients with TRD. Trial registration number ISRCTN84666271
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Sophie Roberts
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Chloe Edwards
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford Nuffield, Oxford, UK
| | - Rafal Bogacz
- Brain Network Dynamics Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jennifer Rendell
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Mary-Jane Attenburrow
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Stuart Watson
- Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.,Inpatient Services, Cumbria, Northumberland, Tyne and Wear NHS Mental Health Trust, Northumberland, UK
| | | | - Andrea Cipriani
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Anthony Cleare
- Centre for Affective Disorders, Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, Bristol, UK
| | | | - David Kessler
- Bristol Medical School, Bristol Population Health Science Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Jonathan Evans
- Bristol Medical School, Bristol Population Health Science Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Glyn Lewis
- Division of Psychiatry, Faculty of Brain Sciences, University College London, London, UK
| | - Ilina Singh
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Judit Simon
- Department of Health Economics, Medical University of Vienna, Wien, Austria
| | - Paul J Harrison
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Phil Cowen
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Milensu Shanyinde
- Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford Nuffield, Oxford, UK
| | - John Geddes
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Michael Browning
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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Yu LM, Bafadhel M, Dorward J, Hayward G, Saville BR, Gbinigie O, Van Hecke O, Ogburn E, Evans PH, Thomas NPB, Patel MG, Richards D, Berry N, Detry MA, Saunders C, Fitzgerald M, Harris V, Shanyinde M, de Lusignan S, Andersson MI, Barnes PJ, Russell REK, Nicolau DV, Ramakrishnan S, Hobbs FDR, Butler CC. Inhaled budesonide for COVID-19 in people at high risk of complications in the community in the UK (PRINCIPLE): a randomised, controlled, open-label, adaptive platform trial. Lancet 2021; 398:843-855. [PMID: 34388395 PMCID: PMC8354567 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)01744-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 165] [Impact Index Per Article: 55.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2021] [Revised: 07/13/2021] [Accepted: 07/20/2021] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A previous efficacy trial found benefit from inhaled budesonide for COVID-19 in patients not admitted to hospital, but effectiveness in high-risk individuals is unknown. We aimed to establish whether inhaled budesonide reduces time to recovery and COVID-19-related hospital admissions or deaths among people at high risk of complications in the community. METHODS PRINCIPLE is a multicentre, open-label, multi-arm, randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial done remotely from a central trial site and at primary care centres in the UK. Eligible participants were aged 65 years or older or 50 years or older with comorbidities, and unwell for up to 14 days with suspected COVID-19 but not admitted to hospital. Participants were randomly assigned to usual care, usual care plus inhaled budesonide (800 μg twice daily for 14 days), or usual care plus other interventions, and followed up for 28 days. Participants were aware of group assignment. The coprimary endpoints are time to first self-reported recovery and hospital admission or death related to COVID-19, within 28 days, analysed using Bayesian models. The primary analysis population included all eligible SARS-CoV-2-positive participants randomly assigned to budesonide, usual care, and other interventions, from the start of the platform trial until the budesonide group was closed. This trial is registered at the ISRCTN registry (ISRCTN86534580) and is ongoing. FINDINGS The trial began enrolment on April 2, 2020, with randomisation to budesonide from Nov 27, 2020, until March 31, 2021, when the prespecified time to recovery superiority criterion was met. 4700 participants were randomly assigned to budesonide (n=1073), usual care alone (n=1988), or other treatments (n=1639). The primary analysis model includes 2530 SARS-CoV-2-positive participants, with 787 in the budesonide group, 1069 in the usual care group, and 974 receiving other treatments. There was a benefit in time to first self-reported recovery of an estimated 2·94 days (95% Bayesian credible interval [BCI] 1·19 to 5·12) in the budesonide group versus the usual care group (11·8 days [95% BCI 10·0 to 14·1] vs 14·7 days [12·3 to 18·0]; hazard ratio 1·21 [95% BCI 1·08 to 1·36]), with a probability of superiority greater than 0·999, meeting the prespecified superiority threshold of 0·99. For the hospital admission or death outcome, the estimated rate was 6·8% (95% BCI 4·1 to 10·2) in the budesonide group versus 8·8% (5·5 to 12·7) in the usual care group (estimated absolute difference 2·0% [95% BCI -0·2 to 4·5]; odds ratio 0·75 [95% BCI 0·55 to 1·03]), with a probability of superiority 0·963, below the prespecified superiority threshold of 0·975. Two participants in the budesonide group and four in the usual care group had serious adverse events (hospital admissions unrelated to COVID-19). INTERPRETATION Inhaled budesonide improves time to recovery, with a chance of also reducing hospital admissions or deaths (although our results did not meet the superiority threshold), in people with COVID-19 in the community who are at higher risk of complications. FUNDING National Institute of Health Research and United Kingdom Research Innovation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mona Bafadhel
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Gail Hayward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Benjamin R Saville
- Berry Consultants, Austin, TX, USA; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Oghenekome Gbinigie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Oliver Van Hecke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Ogburn
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Philip H Evans
- College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; National Institute for Health Research Clinical Research Network, National Institute for Health Research, London, UK
| | - Nicholas P B Thomas
- National Institute for Health Research Clinical Research Network, National Institute for Health Research, London, UK; Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK
| | - Mahendra G Patel
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Duncan Richards
- Oxford Clinical Trials Research Unit, Botnar Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | | | | | - Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Milensu Shanyinde
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Peter J Barnes
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College, London, UK
| | | | - Dan V Nicolau
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; UQ Centre for Clinical Research, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Sanjay Ramakrishnan
- National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - F D Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
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Chappell LC, Tucker K, Yu LM, McManus RJ. P-094. Self-monitoring of blood pressure in women with pregnancy hypertension: The BUMP2 multicentre randomised controlled trial. Pregnancy Hypertens 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.preghy.2021.07.129] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
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Butler C, Ellis C, Folegatti PM, Swayze H, Allen J, Bussey L, Bellamy D, Lawrie A, Eagling-Vose E, Yu LM, Shanyinde M, Mair C, Flaxman A, Ewer K, Gilbert S, Evans TG. Efficacy and Safety of a Modified Vaccinia Ankara-NP+M1 Vaccine Combined with QIV in People Aged 65 and Older: A Randomised Controlled Clinical Trial (INVICTUS). Vaccines (Basel) 2021; 9:vaccines9080851. [PMID: 34451976 PMCID: PMC8402379 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines9080851] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2021] [Revised: 07/20/2021] [Accepted: 07/27/2021] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pre-existing T cell responses to influenza have been correlated with improved clinical outcomes in natural history and human challenge studies. We aimed to determine the efficacy, safety and immunogenicity of a T-cell directed vaccine in older people. METHODS This was a multicentre, participant- and safety assessor-blinded, randomised, placebo-controlled trial of the co-administration of Modified Vaccinia Ankara encoding nucleoprotein and matrix protein 1 (MVA-NP+M1) and annual influenza vaccine in participants ≥ 65. The primary outcome was the number of days with moderate or severe influenza-like symptoms (ILS) during the influenza season. RESULTS 846 of a planned 2030 participants were recruited in the UK prior to, and throughout, the 2017/18 flu season. There was no evidence of a difference in the reported rates of days of moderate or severe ILS during influenza-like illness episodes (unadjusted OR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.54-1.69; adjusted OR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.51-1.65). The trial was stopped after one season due to a change in the recommended annual flu vaccine, for which safety of the new combination had not been established. More participants in the MVA-NP+M1 group had transient moderate or severe pain, redness, and systemic responses in the first seven days. CONCLUSION The MVA-NP+M1 vaccine is well tolerated in those aged 65 years and over. Larger trials would be needed to determine potential efficacy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chris Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK; (C.B.); (H.S.); (J.A.); (L.-M.Y.); (M.S.)
| | - Chris Ellis
- Vaccitech Ltd., Oxford OX4 4GE, UK; (C.E.); (L.B.); (E.E.-V.)
| | - Pedro M. Folegatti
- Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7DQ, UK; (P.M.F.); (D.B.); (A.L.); (C.M.); (A.F.); (K.E.); (S.G.)
| | - Hannah Swayze
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK; (C.B.); (H.S.); (J.A.); (L.-M.Y.); (M.S.)
| | - Julie Allen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK; (C.B.); (H.S.); (J.A.); (L.-M.Y.); (M.S.)
| | - Louise Bussey
- Vaccitech Ltd., Oxford OX4 4GE, UK; (C.E.); (L.B.); (E.E.-V.)
| | - Duncan Bellamy
- Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7DQ, UK; (P.M.F.); (D.B.); (A.L.); (C.M.); (A.F.); (K.E.); (S.G.)
| | - Alison Lawrie
- Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7DQ, UK; (P.M.F.); (D.B.); (A.L.); (C.M.); (A.F.); (K.E.); (S.G.)
| | | | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK; (C.B.); (H.S.); (J.A.); (L.-M.Y.); (M.S.)
| | - Milensu Shanyinde
- Nuffield Department of Primary Health Care Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK; (C.B.); (H.S.); (J.A.); (L.-M.Y.); (M.S.)
| | - Catherine Mair
- Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7DQ, UK; (P.M.F.); (D.B.); (A.L.); (C.M.); (A.F.); (K.E.); (S.G.)
| | - Amy Flaxman
- Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7DQ, UK; (P.M.F.); (D.B.); (A.L.); (C.M.); (A.F.); (K.E.); (S.G.)
| | - Katie Ewer
- Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7DQ, UK; (P.M.F.); (D.B.); (A.L.); (C.M.); (A.F.); (K.E.); (S.G.)
| | - Sarah Gilbert
- Jenner Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7DQ, UK; (P.M.F.); (D.B.); (A.L.); (C.M.); (A.F.); (K.E.); (S.G.)
| | - Thomas G. Evans
- Vaccitech Ltd., Oxford OX4 4GE, UK; (C.E.); (L.B.); (E.E.-V.)
- Correspondence:
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Shepperd S, Butler C, Cradduck-Bamford A, Ellis G, Gray A, Hemsley A, Khanna P, Langhorne P, Mort S, Ramsay S, Schiff R, Stott DJ, Wilkinson A, Yu LM, Young J. Is Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment Admission Avoidance Hospital at Home an Alternative to Hospital Admission for Older Persons? : A Randomized Trial. Ann Intern Med 2021; 174:889-898. [PMID: 33872045 PMCID: PMC7612132 DOI: 10.7326/m20-5688] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Delivering hospital-level care with comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) in the home is one approach to deal with the increased demand for bed-based hospital care, but clinical effectiveness is uncertain. OBJECTIVE To assess the clinical effectiveness of admission avoidance hospital at home (HAH) with CGA for older persons. DESIGN Multisite randomized trial. (ISRCTN registry number: ISRCTN60477865). SETTING 9 hospital and community sites in the United Kingdom. PATIENTS 1055 older persons who were medically unwell, were physiologically stable, and were referred for a hospital admission. INTERVENTION Admission avoidance HAH with CGA versus hospital admission with CGA when available using 2:1 randomization. MEASUREMENTS The primary outcome of living at home was measured at 6 months. Secondary outcomes were new admission to long-term residential care, death, health status, delirium, and patient satisfaction. RESULTS Participants had a mean age of 83.3 years (SD, 7.0). At 6-month follow-up, 528 of 672 (78.6%) participants in the CGA HAH group versus 247 of 328 (75.3%) participants in the hospital group were living at home (relative risk [RR], 1.05 [95% CI, 0.95 to 1.15]; P = 0.36); 114 of 673 (16.9%) versus 58 of 328 (17.7%) had died (RR, 0.98 [CI, 0.65 to 1.47]; P = 0.92); and 37 of 646 (5.7%) versus 27 of 311 (8.7%) were in long-term residential care (RR, 0.58 [CI, 0.45 to 0.76]; P < 0.001). LIMITATION The findings are most applicable to older persons referred from a hospital short-stay acute medical assessment unit; episodes of delirium may have been undetected. CONCLUSION Admission avoidance HAH with CGA led to similar outcomes as hospital admission in the proportion of older persons living at home as well as a decrease in admissions to long-term residential care at 6 months. This type of service can provide an alternative to hospitalization for selected older persons. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE The National Institute for Health Research Health Services and Delivery Research Programme (12/209/66).
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Affiliation(s)
- Sasha Shepperd
- University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (S.S., C.B., A.C., A.G., S.M., L.Y.)
| | - Chris Butler
- University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (S.S., C.B., A.C., A.G., S.M., L.Y.)
| | | | - Graham Ellis
- University Hospital Monklands, Airdrie, United Kingdom (G.E.)
| | - Alastair Gray
- University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (S.S., C.B., A.C., A.G., S.M., L.Y.)
| | - Anthony Hemsley
- Royal Devon and Exeter NHS Foundation Trust, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom (A.H.)
| | - Pradeep Khanna
- Aneurin Bevan University Health Board, Newport, South Wales, United Kingdom (P.K.)
| | - Peter Langhorne
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom (P.L., D.J.S.)
| | - Sam Mort
- University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (S.S., C.B., A.C., A.G., S.M., L.Y.)
| | - Scott Ramsay
- St John's Hospital, NHS Lothian, Howden, Livingston, United Kingdom (S.R.)
| | - Rebekah Schiff
- Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom (R.S.)
| | - David J Stott
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom (P.L., D.J.S.)
| | | | - Ly-Mee Yu
- University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (S.S., C.B., A.C., A.G., S.M., L.Y.)
| | - John Young
- University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom (J.Y.)
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Hayward G, Butler CC, Yu LM, Saville BR, Berry N, Dorward J, Gbinigie O, van Hecke O, Ogburn E, Swayze H, Bongard E, Allen J, Tonner S, Rutter H, Tonkin-Crine S, Borek A, Judge D, Grabey J, de Lusignan S, Thomas NPB, Evans PH, Andersson MI, Llewelyn M, Patel M, Hopkins S, Hobbs FDR. Platform Randomised trial of INterventions against COVID-19 In older peoPLE (PRINCIPLE): protocol for a randomised, controlled, open-label, adaptive platform, trial of community treatment of COVID-19 syndromic illness in people at higher risk. BMJ Open 2021; 11:e046799. [PMID: 34145016 PMCID: PMC8214989 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-046799] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2020] [Accepted: 05/14/2021] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION There is an urgent need to idenfy treatments for COVID-19 that reduce illness duration and hospital admission in those at higher risk of a longer illness course and complications. METHODS AND ANALYSIS The Platform Randomised trial of INterventions against COVID-19 In older peoPLE trial is an open-label, multiarm, prospective, adaptive platform, randomised clinical trial to evaluate potential treatments for COVID-19 in the community. A master protocol governs the addition of new interventions as they become available, as well as the inclusion and cessation of existing intervention arms via frequent interim analyses. The first three interventions are hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin and doxycycline. Eligible participants must be symptomatic in the community with possible or confirmed COVID-19 that started in the preceding 14 days and either (1) aged 65 years and over or (2) aged 50-64 years with comorbidities. Recruitment is through general practice, health service helplines, COVID-19 'hot hubs' and directly through the trial website. Participants are randomised to receive either usual care or a study drug plus usual care, and outcomes are collected via daily online symptom diary for 28 days from randomisation. The research team contacts participants and/or their study partner following days 7, 14 and 28 if the online diary is not completed. The trial has two coprimary endpoints: time to first self-report of feeling recovered from possible COVID-19 and hospital admission or death from possible COVID-19 infection, both within 28 days from randomisation. Prespecified interim analyses assess efficacy or futility of interventions and to modify randomisation probabilities that allocate more participants to interventions with better outcomes. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION Ethical approval Ref: 20/SC/0158 South Central - Berkshire Research Ethics Committee; IRAS Project ID: 281958; EudraCT Number: 2020-001209-22. Results will be presented to policymakers and at conferences and published in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ISRCTN86534580.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gail Hayward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Benjamin R Saville
- Berry Consultants, Austin, Texas, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee, USA
| | | | - Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Centre for the Aids Programme of Research in South Africa, Durban, South Africa
| | - Oghenekome Gbinigie
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Oliver van Hecke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma Ogburn
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Hannah Swayze
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emily Bongard
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Julie Allen
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sharon Tonner
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Heather Rutter
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sarah Tonkin-Crine
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Aleksandra Borek
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - David Judge
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jenna Grabey
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Simon de Lusignan
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
| | - Nicholas P B Thomas
- Windrush Medical Practice, Witney, UK
- Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK
| | - Philip H Evans
- St Leonard's Research Practice, Exeter, UK
- University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK
| | | | - Martin Llewelyn
- Department of Microbiology and Infection, University Hospitals Sussex NHS Foundation Trust, Brighton, UK
- Department of Global Health and Infection, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, Brighton, UK
| | - Mahendra Patel
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - F D Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Affiliation(s)
- Mahendra G Patel
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK; School of Pharmacy and Medical Sciences, University of Bradford, Bradford, UK
| | - Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Fd Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6GG, UK.
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Freeman D, Loe BS, Yu LM, Freeman J, Chadwick A, Vaccari C, Shanyinde M, Harris V, Waite F, Rosebrock L, Petit A, Vanderslott S, Lewandowsky S, Larkin M, Innocenti S, Pollard AJ, McShane H, Lambe S. Effects of different types of written vaccination information on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in the UK (OCEANS-III): a single-blind, parallel-group, randomised controlled trial. Lancet Public Health 2021; 6:e416-e427. [PMID: 33991482 PMCID: PMC8116130 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(21)00096-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 140] [Impact Index Per Article: 46.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2021] [Revised: 04/07/2021] [Accepted: 04/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccination programme depends on mass participation: the greater the number of people vaccinated, the less risk to the population. Concise, persuasive messaging is crucial, particularly given substantial levels of vaccine hesitancy in the UK. Our aim was to test which types of written information about COVID-19 vaccination, in addition to a statement of efficacy and safety, might increase vaccine acceptance. METHODS For this single-blind, parallel-group, randomised controlled trial, we aimed to recruit 15 000 adults in the UK, who were quota sampled to be representative. Participants were randomly assigned equally across ten information conditions stratified by level of vaccine acceptance (willing, doubtful, or strongly hesitant). The control information condition comprised the safety and effectiveness statement taken from the UK National Health Service website; the remaining conditions addressed collective benefit, personal benefit, seriousness of the pandemic, and safety concerns. After online provision of vaccination information, participants completed the Oxford COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy Scale (outcome measure; score range 7-35) and the Oxford Vaccine Confidence and Complacency Scale (mediation measure). The primary outcome was willingness to be vaccinated. Participants were analysed in the groups they were allocated. p values were adjusted for multiple comparisons. The study was registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN37254291. FINDINGS From Jan 19 to Feb 5, 2021, 15 014 adults were recruited. Vaccine hesitancy had reduced from 26·9% the previous year to 16·9%, so recruitment was extended to Feb 18 to recruit 3841 additional vaccine-hesitant adults. 12 463 (66·1%) participants were classified as willing, 2932 (15·6%) as doubtful, and 3460 (18·4%) as strongly hesitant (ie, report that they will avoid being vaccinated for as long as possible or will never get vaccinated). Information conditions did not alter COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in those willing or doubtful (adjusted p values >0·70). In those strongly hesitant, COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy was reduced, in comparison to the control condition, by personal benefit information (mean difference -1·49, 95% CI -2·16 to -0·82; adjusted p=0·0015), directly addressing safety concerns about speed of development (-0·91, -1·58 to -0·23; adjusted p=0·0261), and a combination of all information (-0·86, -1·53 to -0·18; adjusted p=0·0313). In those strongly hesitant, provision of personal benefit information reduced hesitancy to a greater extent than provision of information on the collective benefit of not personally getting ill (-0·97, 95% CI -1·64 to -0·30; adjusted p=0·0165) or the collective benefit of not transmitting the virus (-1·01, -1·68 to -0·35; adjusted p=0·0150). Ethnicity and gender were found to moderate information condition outcomes. INTERPRETATION In the approximately 10% of the population who are strongly hesitant about COVID-19 vaccines, provision of information on personal benefit reduces hesitancy to a greater extent than information on collective benefits. Where perception of risk from vaccines is most salient, decision making becomes centred on the personal. As such, messaging that stresses the counterbalancing personal benefits is likely to prove most effective. The messaging from this study could be used in public health communications. Going forwards, the study highlights the need for future health campaigns to engage with the public on the terrain that is most salient to them. FUNDING National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre and NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK; NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK.
| | - Bao Sheng Loe
- The Psychometrics Centre, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care and Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jason Freeman
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew Chadwick
- Online Civic Culture Centre, Department of Communication and Media, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Cristian Vaccari
- Online Civic Culture Centre, Department of Communication and Media, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Milensu Shanyinde
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care and Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care and Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Felicity Waite
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK; NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Laina Rosebrock
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Ariane Petit
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Samantha Vanderslott
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Michael Larkin
- Department of Psychology, Life and Health Sciences, Aston University, Birmingham, UK
| | - Stefania Innocenti
- Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew J Pollard
- Oxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Helen McShane
- The Jenner Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Sinéad Lambe
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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Butler CC, Dorward J, Yu LM, Gbinigie O, Hayward G, Saville BR, Van Hecke O, Berry N, Detry M, Saunders C, Fitzgerald M, Harris V, Patel MG, de Lusignan S, Ogburn E, Evans PH, Thomas NPB, Hobbs FDR. Azithromycin for community treatment of suspected COVID-19 in people at increased risk of an adverse clinical course in the UK (PRINCIPLE): a randomised, controlled, open-label, adaptive platform trial. Lancet 2021; 397:1063-1074. [PMID: 33676597 PMCID: PMC7972318 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)00461-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 164] [Impact Index Per Article: 54.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2021] [Revised: 02/14/2021] [Accepted: 02/16/2021] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Azithromycin, an antibiotic with potential antiviral and anti-inflammatory properties, has been used to treat COVID-19, but evidence from community randomised trials is lacking. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of azithromycin to treat suspected COVID-19 among people in the community who had an increased risk of complications. METHODS In this UK-based, primary care, open-label, multi-arm, adaptive platform randomised trial of interventions against COVID-19 in people at increased risk of an adverse clinical course (PRINCIPLE), we randomly assigned people aged 65 years and older, or 50 years and older with at least one comorbidity, who had been unwell for 14 days or less with suspected COVID-19, to usual care plus azithromycin 500 mg daily for three days, usual care plus other interventions, or usual care alone. The trial had two coprimary endpoints measured within 28 days from randomisation: time to first self-reported recovery, analysed using a Bayesian piecewise exponential, and hospital admission or death related to COVID-19, analysed using a Bayesian logistic regression model. Eligible participants with outcome data were included in the primary analysis, and those who received the allocated treatment were included in the safety analysis. The trial is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN86534580. FINDINGS The first participant was recruited to PRINCIPLE on April 2, 2020. The azithromycin group enrolled participants between May 22 and Nov 30, 2020, by which time 2265 participants had been randomly assigned, 540 to azithromycin plus usual care, 875 to usual care alone, and 850 to other interventions. 2120 (94%) of 2265 participants provided follow-up data and were included in the Bayesian primary analysis, 500 participants in the azithromycin plus usual care group, 823 in the usual care alone group, and 797 in other intervention groups. 402 (80%) of 500 participants in the azithromycin plus usual care group and 631 (77%) of 823 participants in the usual care alone group reported feeling recovered within 28 days. We found little evidence of a meaningful benefit in the azithromycin plus usual care group in time to first reported recovery versus usual care alone (hazard ratio 1·08, 95% Bayesian credibility interval [BCI] 0·95 to 1·23), equating to an estimated benefit in median time to first recovery of 0·94 days (95% BCI -0·56 to 2·43). The probability that there was a clinically meaningful benefit of at least 1·5 days in time to recovery was 0·23. 16 (3%) of 500 participants in the azithromycin plus usual care group and 28 (3%) of 823 participants in the usual care alone group were hospitalised (absolute benefit in percentage 0·3%, 95% BCI -1·7 to 2·2). There were no deaths in either study group. Safety outcomes were similar in both groups. Two (1%) of 455 participants in the azothromycin plus usual care group and four (1%) of 668 participants in the usual care alone group reported admission to hospital during the trial, not related to COVID-19. INTERPRETATION Our findings do not justify the routine use of azithromycin for reducing time to recovery or risk of hospitalisation for people with suspected COVID-19 in the community. These findings have important antibiotic stewardship implications during this pandemic, as inappropriate use of antibiotics leads to increased antimicrobial resistance, and there is evidence that azithromycin use increased during the pandemic in the UK. FUNDING UK Research and Innovation and UK Department of Health and Social Care.
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Wang K, Semple MG, Moore M, Hay AD, Tonner S, Galal U, Grabey J, Carver T, Perera R, Yu LM, Mollison J, Little P, Farmer A, Butler CC, Harnden A. The early use of Antibiotics for at Risk CHildren with InfluEnza-like illness (ARCHIE): a double-blind randomised placebo-controlled trial. Eur Respir J 2021; 58:13993003.02819-2020. [PMID: 33737410 DOI: 10.1183/13993003.02819-2020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2020] [Accepted: 02/18/2021] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The UK government stockpiles co-amoxiclav to treat bacterial complications during influenza pandemics. This pragmatic trial examines whether early co-amoxiclav use reduces re-consultation due to clinical deterioration in "at risk" children presenting with influenza-like illness (ILI) in primary or ambulatory care. METHODS "At risk" children aged 6 months to 12 years presenting within f5 days of ILI onset were randomly assigned to oral co-amoxiclav 400/57 or placebo twice daily for 5 days (dosing based on age±weight). "At risk" groups included children with respiratory, cardiac, and neurological conditions. Randomisation was stratified by region and used a non-deterministic minimisation algorithm to balance age and current seasonal influenza vaccination status. Our target sample size was 650 children, which would have allowed us to detect a reduction in the proportion of children re-consulting due to clinical deterioration from 40% to 26% with 90% power and 5% two-tailed alpha error, including allowance for 25% loss to follow-up and an inflation factor of 1.041. Participants, caregivers and investigators were blinded to treatment allocation. Intention-to-treat analysis included all randomised participants with primary outcome data on re-consultation due to clinical deterioration within 28 days. Safety analysis included all randomised participants. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN 70714783. EudraCT 2013-002822-21. RESULTS We recruited 271 children between February 11, 2015 and April 20, 2018. Primary outcome data were available for 265 children. Only 61/265 children (23.0%) re-consulted due to clinical deterioration. No evidence of a treatment effect was observed for re-consultation due to clinical deterioration (co-amoxiclav 33/133 (24.8%), placebo 28/132 (21.2%), adjusted risk ratio [RR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.75 to 1.80). There was also no evidence of a difference between groups in the proportion of children for whom one or more adverse events were reported (co-amoxiclav 32/136 (23.5%), placebo 22/135 (16.3%), adjusted RR 1.45, 95% CI 0.90 to 2.34). Sixty-six adverse events were reported in total (co-amoxiclav n=37, placebo n=29). Nine serious adverse events were reported per group; none were considered related to study medication. CONCLUSION Our trial did not find evidence that treatment with co-amoxiclav reduces risk of re-consultation due to clinical deterioration in "at risk" children who present early with ILI during influenza season. Our findings therefore do not support early co-amoxiclav use in children with seasonal ILI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kay Wang
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.,Department of Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, Eaton Road, Liverpool, L12 2AP, UK
| | - Michael Moore
- Academic Unit, Primary Care and Population Sciences, University of Southampton, Aldermoor Health Centre, Aldermoor Close, Southampton, SO16 5ST, UK
| | - Alastair D Hay
- Centre for Academic Primary Care, Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, Canynge Hall, 39 Whatley Road, Bristol BS8 2PS, UK
| | - Sharon Tonner
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Ushma Galal
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Jenna Grabey
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Tricia Carver
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Rafael Perera
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Jill Mollison
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Paul Little
- Academic Unit, Primary Care and Population Sciences, University of Southampton, Aldermoor Health Centre, Aldermoor Close, Southampton, SO16 5ST, UK
| | - Andrew Farmer
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
| | - Anthony Harnden
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, Woodstock Road, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK
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Corcoran JP, Psallidas I, Gerry S, Piccolo F, Koegelenberg CF, Saba T, Daneshvar C, Fairbairn I, Heinink R, West A, Stanton AE, Holme J, Kastelik JA, Steer H, Downer NJ, Haris M, Baker EH, Everett CF, Pepperell J, Bewick T, Yarmus L, Maldonado F, Khan B, Hart-Thomas A, Hands G, Warwick G, De Fonseka D, Hassan M, Munavvar M, Guhan A, Shahidi M, Pogson Z, Dowson L, Popowicz ND, Saba J, Ward NR, Hallifax RJ, Dobson M, Shaw R, Hedley EL, Sabia A, Robinson B, Collins GS, Davies HE, Yu LM, Miller RF, Maskell NA, Rahman NM. Prospective validation of the RAPID clinical risk prediction score in adult patients with pleural infection: the PILOT study. Eur Respir J 2020; 56:2000130. [PMID: 32675200 DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00130-2020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2020] [Accepted: 06/06/2020] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Over 30% of adult patients with pleural infection either die and/or require surgery. There is no robust means of predicting at baseline presentation which patients will suffer a poor clinical outcome. A validated risk prediction score would allow early identification of high-risk patients, potentially directing more aggressive treatment thereafter. OBJECTIVES To prospectively assess a previously described risk score (the RAPID (Renal (urea), Age, fluid Purulence, Infection source, Dietary (albumin)) score) in adults with pleural infection. METHODS Prospective observational cohort study that recruited patients undergoing treatment for pleural infection. RAPID score and risk category were calculated at baseline presentation. The primary outcome was mortality at 3 months; secondary outcomes were mortality at 12 months, length of hospital stay, need for thoracic surgery, failure of medical treatment and lung function at 3 months. RESULTS Mortality data were available in 542 out of 546 patients recruited (99.3%). Overall mortality was 10% at 3 months (54 out of 542) and 19% at 12 months (102 out of 542). The RAPID risk category predicted mortality at 3 months. Low-risk mortality (RAPID score 0-2): five out of 222 (2.3%, 95% CI 0.9 to 5.7%); medium-risk mortality (RAPID score 3-4): 21 out of 228 (9.2%, 95% CI 6.0 to 13.7%); and high-risk mortality (RAPID score 5-7): 27 out of 92 (29.3%, 95% CI 21.0 to 39.2%). C-statistics for the scores at 3 months and 12 months were 0.78 (95% CI 0.71-0.83) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.72-0.82), respectively. CONCLUSIONS The RAPID score stratifies adults with pleural infection according to increasing risk of mortality and should inform future research directed at improving outcomes in this patient population.
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Affiliation(s)
- John P Corcoran
- Oxford Centre for Respiratory Medicine, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Joint first authors, with equal contribution to study recruitment and manuscript writing
| | - Ioannis Psallidas
- Oxford Centre for Respiratory Medicine, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Joint first authors, with equal contribution to study recruitment and manuscript writing
| | - Stephen Gerry
- Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Francesco Piccolo
- Dept of Respiratory Medicine, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, Australia
| | | | - Tarek Saba
- Blackpool Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Blackpool, UK
| | | | | | | | - Alex West
- Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | | | - Jayne Holme
- University Hospital of South Manchester NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Henry Steer
- Gloucestershire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cheltenham, UK
| | - Nicola J Downer
- Sherwood Forest Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Mansfield, UK
| | - Mohammed Haris
- University Hospitals of North Midlands NHS Trust, Stoke-on-Trent, UK
| | - Emma H Baker
- Institute of Infection and Immunity, St George's, University of London, London, UK
| | | | | | - Thomas Bewick
- Derby Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Derby, UK
| | - Lonny Yarmus
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Fabien Maldonado
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Burhan Khan
- Dartford and Gravesham NHS Trust, Dartford, UK
| | - Alan Hart-Thomas
- Calderdale and Huddersfield NHS Foundation Trust, Huddersfield, UK
| | | | | | | | - Maged Hassan
- Oxford Centre for Respiratory Medicine, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Chest Diseases Dept, Faculty of Medicine, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt
| | | | - Anur Guhan
- University Hospital Ayr, NHS Ayrshire and Arran, Ayr, UK
| | | | - Zara Pogson
- United Lincolnshire Hospitals NHS Trust, Lincoln, UK
| | - Lee Dowson
- Royal Wolverhampton Hospital NHS Trust, Wolverhampton, UK
| | - Natalia D Popowicz
- Dept of Respiratory Medicine, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, Australia
| | - Judith Saba
- Blackpool Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Blackpool, UK
| | - Neil R Ward
- University Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust, Plymouth, UK
| | - Rob J Hallifax
- Oxford Centre for Respiratory Medicine, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Melissa Dobson
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rachel Shaw
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Emma L Hedley
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Assunta Sabia
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Barbara Robinson
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Gary S Collins
- Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Robert F Miller
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Nick A Maskell
- Academic Respiratory Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Najib M Rahman
- Oxford Centre for Respiratory Medicine, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
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48
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Meuli L, Yu LM, Wyss TR, Schmidli J, Makaloski V. Development and internal validation of a prognostic model for mortality of patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms treated with endovascular aneurysm repair. VASA 2020; 50:125-131. [PMID: 33118475 DOI: 10.1024/0301-1526/a000921] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
Background: Morbidity and mortality associated with elective endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) must be balanced against the impending risk of aneurysm rupture and the estimated remaining lifetime. The aim of this study is to develop and validate a prognostic model for mortality of patients with AAA treated with EVAR. Methods: This retrospective observational study included 251 consecutive patients treated with EVAR for asymptomatic AAA between January 2001 and December 2012 at the University Hospital in Bern, Switzerland. Pre-selection of variables was based on a literature review; least absolute shrinkage and selection operator technique was used for the final variable selection. A Firth's bias reduced Cox proportional hazard model was developed and validated using 10,000 bootstrap samples to predict survival after EVAR. Results: The median follow-up time was 5.3 years (range 0.1 to 15.9). At the study closing date 95% of follow-up information was available. The mortality rates were 31.9% at 5 years and 50.5% at the study closing date, respectively. Identified predictors for overall mortality after EVAR were age, hazard ratio (HR) = 2.24 per 10-year increase (95% CI 1.64 to 3.09), the presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), HR = 2.22 (95% CI 1.48 to 3.31), and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, HR = 1.24 per 10 ml/min/1.73 m2 decrease (95% CI 1.12 to 1.39). The model showed good discrimination ability, Harrell's C = 0.722 (95% CI 0.667 to 0.778) and was very robust in the bootstrap in-sample validation Harrell's C = 0.726 (95% CI 0.662 to 0.788). Conclusion: Higher age, the presence of COPD and impaired kidney function are independent predictors for impaired survival after EVAR. The expected remaining lifetime should be considered in patients with AAA. This prognostic model can help improving patient care; however, external validation is needed prior to clinical implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lorenz Meuli
- Department of Vascular Surgery, University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland.,Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.,Department of Vascular Surgery, Kantonsspital St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Thomas R Wyss
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Switzerland
| | - Juerg Schmidli
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Switzerland
| | - Vladimir Makaloski
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Switzerland
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49
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Kapoor M, Storrar W, Balls L, Brown TP, Mansur A, Hedley E, Jones T, Roberts C, Shirkey B, Dutton S, Luengo-Fernandez R, Little M, Dewey A, Marshall S, Fogg C, Boughton K, Rahman N, Yu LM, Bradding P, Howarth P, Chauhan AJ. Nocturnal temperature-controlled laminar airflow device for adults with severe allergic asthma: the LASER RCT. Health Technol Assess 2020; 23:1-140. [PMID: 31232684 DOI: 10.3310/hta23290] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Severe asthma exacerbations are costly to patients and the NHS, and occur frequently in severely allergic patients. OBJECTIVE To ascertain whether or not nocturnal temperature-controlled laminar airflow (TLA) device usage over 12 months can reduce severe exacerbations and improve asthma control and quality of life compared with a placebo device, while being cost-effective and acceptable to adults with severe allergic asthma. DESIGN A pragmatic, multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, superiority trial with qualitative interviews. The trial included an internal pilot with qualitative focus groups. SETTING Fourteen hospitals in the UK that manage patients with severe asthma. PARTICIPANTS Adults (16-75 years) with severe, poorly controlled, exacerbation-prone asthma despite high-intensity treatment, and who are sensitised to a perennial indoor aeroallergen. INTERVENTION Nocturnal, home-based TLA treatment using an Airsonett® (Airsonett AB, Ängelholm, Sweden) device. The comparator was a placebo device that was identical to the active device except that it did not deliver the laminar airflow. Participants were allocated 1 : 1 to TLA therapy or placebo, minimised by site, origin of case, baseline severe exacerbation frequency, maintenance oral corticosteroid use and pre-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Primary outcome - frequency of severe asthma exacerbations occurring within the 12-month follow-up period, defined as worsening of asthma requiring systemic corticosteroids [≥ 30 mg of prednisolone or equivalent daily (or ≥ 50% increase in dose if on maintenance dose of ≥ 30 mg of prednisolone)] for ≥ 3 days. Secondary outcomes - changes in asthma control, lung function, asthma-specific and global quality of life for participants, adherence to the intervention, device acceptability, health-care resource use and cost-effectiveness. RESULTS Between May 2014 and January 2016, 489 patients consented to participate in the trial, of whom 249 failed screening and 240 were randomised (n = 119 in the treatment group and n = 121 in the placebo group); all were analysed. In total, 202 participants (84%) reported use of the device for 9-12 months. Qualitative analyses showed high levels of acceptability. The mean [standard deviation (SD)] rate of severe exacerbations did not differ between groups [active 1.39 (1.57), placebo 1.48 (2.03); risk ratio 0.92, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.27; p = 0.616]. There were no significant differences in secondary outcomes for lung function, except for a reduction in mean daily peak expiratory flow [mean (SD) difference 14.7 l/minute (7.35 l/minute), 95% CI 0.32 to 29.1 l/minute; p = 0.045) for those in the active device group. There were no differences in asthma control or airway inflammation and no serious harms related to the device. No significant difference between the groups in quality-adjusted life-years gained over 1 year was observed. In addition, there was no difference in generic or disease-specific health-related quality of life overall, although statistically significant higher quality of life at month 6 was observed. Increases in quality of life were not sufficient to offset the annual costs associated with use of the TLA device. LIMITATIONS Missing outcome data could have resulted in an underestimation of exacerbations and rendered the study inconclusive. CONCLUSIONS Within the limits of the data, no consistent benefits of the active device were demonstrated, and the differences observed were not sufficient to make the device cost-effective. The types of patients who may benefit from the TLA device, and the reasons for large reductions in exacerbation frequency in severe asthma trials, which also incorporate other methods of recording exacerbations, need to be explored. TRIAL REGISTRATION Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN46346208. FUNDING This project was funded by the NIHR Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 23, No. 29. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Will Storrar
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Lara Balls
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Thomas P Brown
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Adel Mansur
- Heartlands Hospital, Respiratory Department, Birmingham, UK
| | - Emma Hedley
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Tom Jones
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Claire Roberts
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Beverly Shirkey
- Oxford Clinical Trials Research Unit, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Susan Dutton
- Oxford Clinical Trials Research Unit, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Matthew Little
- Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ann Dewey
- School of Health Sciences and Social Work, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Sue Marshall
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Carole Fogg
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK.,School of Health Sciences and Social Work, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Keith Boughton
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK
| | - Najib Rahman
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Primary Care Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Peter Bradding
- Leicester Respiratory Biomedical Research Unit, Leicester, UK
| | - Peter Howarth
- University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Respiratory Department, Southampton, UK
| | - Anoop J Chauhan
- Portsmouth Hospitals NHS Trust, Respiratory Department, Portsmouth, UK.,School of Health Sciences and Social Work, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK
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50
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Wong HS, Curry NS, Davenport RA, Yu LM, Stanworth SJ. A Delphi study to establish consensus on a definition of major bleeding in adult trauma. Transfusion 2020; 60:3028-3038. [PMID: 32984985 DOI: 10.1111/trf.16055] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2020] [Accepted: 07/29/2020] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The majority of potentially preventable deaths in trauma are due to uncontrolled hemorrhage and occur early after injury. How major bleeding is defined is integral to early identification and treatment of this group of high-risk patients. However, there is no consensus on a definition of major bleeding in trauma. The aim of this Delphi study was to develop a consensus definition for research, with transfusion used as a surrogate marker of bleeding. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS Trauma experts from three international groups were invited to take part in an online Delphi survey. Over the course of four rounds, the group developed a number of definitions of major bleeding and reached consensus on a new definition. RESULTS Forty-four trauma experts agreed to become members of the Delphi panel, and 30 of 44 (68%) completed all four rounds. The panel agreed to exclude the historical massive transfusion definition (≥10 units of red blood cells within 24 hours). Consensus was reached on a new definition for use in clinical research: 4 or more units of any blood component within 2 hours of injury. CONCLUSION This Delphi process has yielded a pragmatic transfusion-based definition of major bleeding. The consensus definition differs from historical definitions: a shorter time frame to reflect the acuity of bleeding, and multiple blood components in keeping with a balanced approach to resuscitation. The definition developed may be best suited to mature trauma systems (reflecting the demographics of the expert panel), and could be used to guide registry data recording and to characterize patients at risk of major bleeding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Henna S Wong
- Nuffield Division of Clinical Laboratory Sciences, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK.,Department of Haematology, Oxford Haemophilia & Thrombosis Centre, Churchill Hospital, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Trust, Oxford, UK.,NIHR BRC Blood Theme, Oxford University, Oxford, UK
| | - Nicola S Curry
- Department of Haematology, Oxford Haemophilia & Thrombosis Centre, Churchill Hospital, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Trust, Oxford, UK.,NIHR BRC Blood Theme, Oxford University, Oxford, UK
| | - Ross A Davenport
- Centre for Trauma Sciences, Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Simon J Stanworth
- Nuffield Division of Clinical Laboratory Sciences, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK.,Department of Haematology, Oxford Haemophilia & Thrombosis Centre, Churchill Hospital, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Trust, Oxford, UK.,NIHR BRC Blood Theme, Oxford University, Oxford, UK.,NHS Blood and Transplant, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK
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