Impact of Longitudinal Alcohol Use Patterns on Long-Term Risk of Cirrhosis Among US Veterans With Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Conflicting data exist on the impact of alcohol use on risk of liver disease progression in patients with steatotic liver disease. We aimed to evaluate the effect of longitudinal alcohol use on risk of cirrhosis among veterans with steatotic liver disease.

METHODS

US veterans with steatotic liver disease were identified from January 2010 through December 2022. Alcohol use was assessed using documented Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Concise (AUDIT-C) scores and categorized as no alcohol (AUDIT-C = 0), low-risk alcohol use (AUDIT-C 1-2 for women and 1-3 for men), and high-risk alcohol (AUDIT-C ≥ 3 for women and ≥ 4 for men). Incidence of cirrhosis was evaluated with competing risks Nelson-Aalen methods. Adjusted multivariable regression models evaluated risks of cirrhosis associated with baseline alcohol use and changes in alcohol use during follow-up.

RESULTS

There were 1,156,189 veterans with steatotic liver disease identified (54.2% no alcohol, 34.6% low-risk alcohol, and 11.2% high-risk alcohol). Veterans with steatotic liver disease and high-risk alcohol have a 43% higher incidence of cirrhosis compared with patients reporting no alcohol use. Compared with patients with baseline high-risk alcohol who reported no change in alcohol use, those who decreased their alcohol use during follow-up experienced a 39% reduction in long-term risk of cirrhosis (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.45-0.83; P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

One in 9 veterans with steatotic liver disease report concurrent high-risk alcohol use, which is associated with 43% greater risk of cirrhosis compared with no alcohol use. However, reducing alcohol use lowers risk of cirrhosis, emphasizing the importance of timely alcohol use assessment and early interventions to address high-risk alcohol use in steatotic liver disease.

An updated assessment of hepatitis delta prevalence among adults in Canada: A meta-analysis

Foreign-born (FB) persons represent a large proportion of adults with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in Canada due to higher prevalence rates in countries of birth for FB persons. Suboptimal awareness and low rates of hepatitis delta virus (HDV) testing contribute to underdiagnosis and gaps in accurate estimates of Canada HDV prevalence. We aim to provide an assessment of CHB and HDV prevalence in Canada using a comprehensive literature review and meta-analysis. A comprehensive literature review of articles reporting HBsAg seroprevalence and anti-HDV prevalence was conducted to calculate country-specific rates and pooled prevalence of CHB and HDV using meta-analyses. Country-specific CHB and HDV rate estimates were combined with number of FB persons in Canada in 2021 from Statistics Canada to estimate total numbers of FB with CHB and HDV, respectively. These estimates were combined with estimates of Canada-born persons with CHB and HDV to yield the total number of persons with CHB and HDV. In 2021, we estimated 0.550 million (M) (95% CI 0.488-0.615) persons with CHB; 0.344 M (95% CI 0.288-0.401) were FB and 0.206 M (95% CI: 0.200-0.214) were Canada-born. The weighted average HDV prevalence among FB persons in Canada was 5.19% (17,848 [95% CI 9611-26,052] persons), among whom 50% emigrated from Asia and 31% from Africa. When combined with estimates of Canada-born persons with HDV, we estimate 35,059 (95% CI: 18,744-52,083) persons with HDV in Canada. In conclusion, we estimate 0.550 M and 35,059 persons living with CHB and HDV, respectively, in Canada in 2021.

Disparities in Antiviral Treatment Among Adults With Hepatitis B Cirrhosis: An Analysis of the National Veterans Affairs Cohort

Timely antiviral therapy is critical in chronic hepatitis B cirrhosis to prevent further liver complications. Among a national cohort of US Veterans with chronic hepatitis B cirrhosis, only 52% were initiated on antiviral therapy; treatment was significantly lower among patients of non-Asian ethnicity, high-risk alcohol use, and in rural settings.

Clinician-Level Knowledge and Barriers to Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance

Importance

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with cirrhosis is underused. Identifying potentially modifiable factors to address barriers in HCC surveillance is critical to improve patient outcomes.

Objective

To evaluate clinician-level factors contributing to underuse of HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This survey study included primary care clinicians (PCCs) and gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians at 5 safety-net health systems in the US. Clinicians were surveyed from March 15 to September 15, 2023, to assess knowledge, attitudes, beliefs, perceived barriers, and COVID-19-related disruptions in HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis. Data were analyzed from October to November 2023.

Main Outcome and Measures

HCC surveillance knowledge was assessed with 6 questions querying the respondent's ability to correctly identify appropriate use of HCC surveillance. Attitudes, perceived barriers, and beliefs regarding HCC surveillance and perceived impact of the COVID-19 pandemic-related disruptions with HCC surveillance were assessed with a series of statements using a 4-point Likert scale and compared PCCs and gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians.

Results

Overall, 347 of 1362 clinicians responded to the survey (25.5% response rate), among whom 142 of 237 (59.9%) were PCCs, 48 of 237 (20.3%) gastroenterology and hepatology, 190 of 236 (80.5%) were doctors of medicine and doctors of osteopathic medicine, and 46 of 236 (19.5%) were advanced practice clinicians. On HCC knowledge assessment, 144 of 270 (53.3%) scored 5 or more of 6 questions correctly, 37 of 48 (77.1%) among gastroenterology and hepatology vs 65 of 142 (45.8%) among PCCs (P < .001). Those with higher HCC knowledge scores were less likely to report barriers to HCC surveillance. PCCs were more likely to report inadequate time to discuss HCC surveillance (37 of 139 [26.6%] vs 2 of 48 [4.2%]; P = .001), difficulty identifying patients with cirrhosis (82 of 141 [58.2%] vs 5 of 48 [10.4%]; P < .001), and were not up-to-date with HCC surveillance guidelines (87 of 139 [62.6%] vs 5 of 48 [10.4%]; P < .001) compared with gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians. While most acknowledged delays during the COVID-19 pandemic, 62 of 136 PCCs (45.6%) and 27 of 45 gastroenterology and hepatology clinicians (60.0%) reported that patients with cirrhosis could currently complete HCC surveillance without delays.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this survey study, important gaps in knowledge and perceived barriers to HCC surveillance were identified. Effective delivery of HCC education to PCCs and health system-level interventions must be pursued in parallel to address the complex barriers affecting suboptimal HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis.

Prevalence and characteristics of hepatitis delta virus infection in patients with hepatitis B in the United States: An analysis of the All-Payer Claims Database

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

HDV leads to the most severe form of viral hepatitis; however, the prevalence of HDV is not well understood. Using real-world data from the All-Payer Claims Database, this study estimates the prevalence of HBV/HDV infection among the chronic HBV population and describes patient/clinical characteristics for adults with HBV/HDV infection in the United States.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Adults (≥18 years) with ≥1 inpatient claim or ≥2 outpatient claims for HDV infection or HBV in the All-Payer Claims Database from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2020, were identified. HDV prevalence was calculated as the proportion of patients with HBV/HDV infection among total patients with HBV infection. Patient characteristics, socioeconomic status, advanced liver complications (eg, cirrhosis, HCC), and comorbidities were assessed. A total of 6719 patients were diagnosed with HBV/HDV among 144,975 with HBV and 12 months of continuous data, for a prevalence of 4.6%. At diagnosis, 31.7% of patients with HBV/HDV had advanced liver complications, including compensated cirrhosis (16.3%) and decompensated cirrhosis (10.4%). Diabetes (50.5%), hypertension (49.8%), and HIV infection (30.9%) were the top 3 comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large database capturing approximately 80% of the US-insured population, HBV/HDV infection prevalence was 4.6% among adults infected with HBV. Patients infected with HDV had high rates of baseline liver complications and other comorbidities at the time of diagnosis, suggesting potentially delayed diagnosis and/or treatment. Earlier identification of HBV/HDV infection among the population with HBV may provide opportunities to improve linkage to care and treatment, thereby reducing the risk of liver-related morbidity and mortality.

Association of hepatitis delta virus with liver morbidity and mortality: A systematic literature review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Studies have suggested that patients with chronic hepatitis B, either co- or superinfected, have more aggressive liver disease progression than those with the HDV. This systematic literature review and meta-analysis examined whether HDV RNA status is associated with increased risk of advanced liver disease events in patients who are HBsAg and HDV antibody positive.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

A total of 12 publications were included. Relative rates of progression to advanced liver disease event for HDV RNA+/detectable versus HDV RNA-/undetectable were extracted for analysis. Reported OR and HRs with 95% CI were pooled using the Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman method for random-effects models. The presence of HDV RNA+ was associated with an increased risk of any advanced liver disease event [random effect (95% CI): risk ratio: 1.48 (0.93, 2.33); HR: 2.62 (1.55, 4.44)]. When compared to the patients with HDV RNA- status, HDV RNA+ was associated with a significantly higher risk of progressing to compensated cirrhosis [risk ratio: 1.74 (1.24, 2.45)] decompensated cirrhosis [HR: 3.82 (1.60, 9.10)], HCC [HR: 2.97 (1.87, 4.70)], liver transplantation [HR: 7.07 (1.61, 30.99)], and liver-related mortality [HR: 3.78 (2.18, 6.56)].

CONCLUSIONS

The patients with HDV RNA+ status have a significantly greater risk of liver disease progression than the patients who are HDV RNA-. These findings highlight the need for improved HDV screening and linkage to treatment to reduce the risk of liver-related morbidity and mortality.

Hepatic Encephalopathy: Clinical Manifestations

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) can occur as a complication of chronic liver disease as well as acute liver failure. HE is associated with significantly increased morbidity and worse patient outcomes. The clinical manifestation of HE ranges from early less-severe presentations that may only be accurately detected on dedicated psychomotor diagnostic testing to overt alterations in cognition and mental status to the most severe form of coma. Greater awareness of the clinical manifestations of HE across the spectrum of symptom severity is critical for early identification and timely initiation of appropriate therapy to improve patient outcomes.

Impact of HIV Infection on Liver and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Veterans With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

INTRODUCTION

Hepatic steatosis is highly prevalent in people living with HIV. It remains unclear whether HIV in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is associated with greater risks of liver disease progression and cardiovascular disease (CVD). We aim to evaluate the impact of HIV infection on risks of liver and CVD outcomes among US Veterans with MASLD.

METHODS

Using national Veterans Administration data from 2010 to 2022, we created a propensity score-matched cohort of MASLD patients with vs without HIV. Primary outcomes were incidence of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with vs without HIV and patients with MASLD-HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) vs not on ART. Secondary outcomes included incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events and overall survival.

RESULTS

The propensity-matched cohort included 920 MASLD patients with HIV and 920 MASLD patients without HIV and was similar in demographics and comorbidities. Compared with MASLD patients without HIV, incidences of cirrhosis and HCC were similar among MASLD with HIV. Compared with MASLD patients without HIV, incidence of major adverse cardiovascular event was higher among MASLD patients with HIV (5.18 vs 4.48 per 100 person-years, P = 0.03). Overall 5-year survival was significantly lower among MASLD patients with HIV and even lower among those not on ART.

DISCUSSION

Among US Veterans with MASLD, concurrent HIV infection, and particularly not being on ART, is associated with greater risks of CVD and decreased overall survival. No differences in risks of cirrhosis or HCC were observed.

Estimating the prevalence of hepatitis delta virus infection among adults in the United States: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Suboptimal awareness and low rates of hepatitis delta virus (HDV) testing contribute to underdiagnosis and gaps in accurate estimates of U.S. HDV prevalence. We aim to provide an updated assessment of HDV prevalence in the U.S. using a comprehensive literature review and meta-analysis approach.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature review of articles reporting HBsAg seroprevalence and anti-HDV prevalence was conducted to calculate country-specific rates and pooled prevalence of CHB and HDV using meta-analyses. Country-specific CHB and HDV rate estimates were combined with number of foreign-born (FB) persons in the U.S. in 2022 from U.S. Census Bureau to estimate total numbers of FB with CHB and HDV, respectively. These estimates were further combined with updated estimates of U.S.-born persons with CHB and HDV to yield the total number of persons with CHB and HDV.

RESULTS

In 2022, we estimated 1.971 million (M) (95% CI 1.547-2.508) persons with CHB; 1.547 M (95% CI 1.264-1.831) were FB and 0.424 M (95% CI: 0.282-0.678) were U.S.-born. The weighted average HDV prevalence among FB persons in the U.S. was 4.20% (64 938 [95% CI 33055-97 392] persons), among whom 45% emigrated from Asia, 25% from Africa, and 14% from Europe. When combined with updated estimates of U.S.-born persons with HDV, we estimate 75 005 (95% CI: 42187-108 393) persons with HDV in the U.S.

CONCLUSIONS

Including both FB and U.S.-born persons, we estimated that 1.971 M and 75 005 persons were living with CHB and HDV, respectively, in the U.S. in 2022.

Epidemiology and Treatment Outcomes of Tuberculosis with Chronic Hepatitis B Infection-California, 2016-2020

BACKGROUND

Improved epidemiologic and treatment data for active tuberculosis (TB) with chronic hepatitis B virus (cHBV) infection might inform and encourage screening and vaccination programs focused on persons at risk of having both conditions.

METHODS

We matched the California Department of Public Health TB registry during 2016-2020 to the cHBV registry using probabilistic matching algorithms. We used chi-square analysis to compare the characteristics of persons with TB and cHBV with those with TB only. We compared TB treatment outcomes between these groups using modified Poisson regression models. We calculated the time between reporting of TB and cHBV diagnoses for those with both conditions.

RESULTS

We identified 8,435 persons with TB, including 316 (3.7%) with cHBV.- Among persons with TB and cHBV, 256 (81.0%) were non-U.S.-born Asian vs 4,186 (51.6%) with TB only (P <0.0001). End-stage renal disease (26 [8.2%] vs 322 [4.0%]; P <0.001) and HIV (21 [6.7%] vs 247 [3.0%]; P value = 0.02) were more frequent among those with TB and cHBV compared with those with TB only. Among those with both conditions, 35 (11.1%) had TB diagnosed >60 days before cHBV (median 363 days) and 220 (69.6%) had TB diagnosed >60 days after cHBV (median 3,411 days).

CONCLUSION

Persons with TB and cHBV were found more frequently in certain groups compared with TB only, and infrequently had their conditions diagnosed together. This highlights an opportunity to improve screening and treatment of TB and cHBV in those at high risk for coinfection.

Alcohol Use Patterns During and After the COVID-19 Pandemic Among Veterans in the United States

BACKGROUND

Veterans may be especially susceptible to increased alcohol consumption following the COVID-19 pandemic. We aim to evaluate trends in alcohol use among US Veterans prior to, during, and following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

All US Veterans utilizing Veterans Affairs health care facilities in the United States from March 1, 2018 to February 28, 2023 with ≥1 AUDIT-C score were categorized into 1) No alcohol use (AUDIT-C = 0), 2) Low-risk alcohol use (AUDIT-C 1-2 for women, 1-3 for men), and 3) High-risk alcohol use (AUDIT-C ≥ 3 for women, ≥ 4 for men). Trends in the proportion of Veterans reporting high-risk alcohol use, stratified by sex, age, race/ethnicity, and urbanicity were evaluated.

RESULTS

Among a cohort of 2.15 to 2.60 million Veterans, 15.5% reported high-risk alcohol use during March 2018-February 2019, which decreased to 14.6% during the first year of the pandemic, increased to 15.2% in the second year, and then decreased to 14.9% from March 2022-February 2023. Among non-Hispanic whites, African Americans, Asians, and Hispanics, the proportion of women reporting high-risk alcohol use surpassed that of men during the onset of the pandemic and beyond. The greatest proportion of high-risk alcohol use was observed among young Veterans ages 18-39 years (17%-27%), which was consistent across all race/ethnic groups.

CONCLUSIONS

High-risk alcohol use among US Veterans has increased since the COVID-19 pandemic onset, and in the third year following pandemic onset, 15% of Veterans overall and over 20% of young Veterans ages 18-39 years reported high-risk alcohol use.

Screening Practices and Risk Factors for Co-Infection with Latent Tuberculosis and Hepatitis B Virus in an Integrated Healthcare System - California, 2008-2019

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) and latent tuberculosis infection are associated with a significant global burden, but both are underdiagnosed and undertreated. We described the screening patterns and risk factors for co-infection with latent tuberculosis and HBV within a large healthcare system.

METHODS

Using data from Kaiser Permanente Southern California during 2008-2019, we described HBV infections, defined as a positive HBV surface antigen, e-antigen, or DNA test, and latent tuberculosis, defined as a positive Mantoux tuberculin skin test or interferon-gamma release assay test. We estimated adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for co-infection among screened adults with either infection.

RESULTS

Among 1997 HBV patients screened for latent tuberculosis, 23.1% were co-infected, and among 35,820 patients with latent tuberculosis screened for HBV, 1.3% were co-infected. Among HBV patients, co-infection risk was highest among Asians compared with White race/ethnicity (29.4% vs 5.7%, aOR 4.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.75-8.31), and persons born in a high-incidence country compared with low-incidence countries (31.0% vs 6.6%; aOR 4.19; 95% CI, 2.61-6.73). For patients with latent tuberculosis, risk of co-infection was higher among Asian (aOR 9.99; 95% CI, 5.79-17.20), or Black race/ethnicity (aOR 3.33; 95% CI, 1.78-6.23) compared with White race/ethnicity. Persons born in high-incidence countries had elevated risk of co-infection compared with persons born in low-incidence countries (aOR 2.23; 95% CI, 1.42-3.50). However, Asians or persons born in high-incidence countries were screened at similar rates to other ethnicities or persons born in low-incidence countries.

CONCLUSIONS

Latent tuberculosis risk is elevated among HBV patients, and vice versa. Risk of co-infection was highest among persons born in high-incidence countries and Asians. These findings support recent guidelines to increase HBV and tuberculosis screening, particularly among persons with either infection.

Telehepatology Satisfaction Is Associated with Ethnicity: The Real-World Experience of a Vulnerable Population with Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

Since the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic began, telemedicine use has transformed healthcare delivery. Yet there is concern that telemedicine may widen care disparities for vulnerable populations, and patient experience data are limited.

AIMS

We aimed to assess patient satisfaction with hepatology-related telemedicine (telehepatology) for delivery of fatty liver disease (FLD) care in a safety-net healthcare system.

METHODS

Adult patients with FLD were surveyed regarding satisfaction with telehepatology. Clinical, demographic, resources, and social determinants of health (SDoH) data were collected to identify factors associated with satisfaction through multivariable modeling.

RESULTS

From June 2020 to March 2022, 220 participants were enrolled: the median age was 52 years, 37% were men, and 68% were Hispanic. One hundred nineteen (54%) had prior telehepatology experience. Overall, satisfaction was high; 70% reported being somewhat or very satisfied. On univariate analysis, Hispanic ethnicity (versus non-Hispanic, OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.1-0.9, p = 0.03) and limited access to personal cellphone/internet (OR 0.16, 95% CI 0.04-0.6, p = 0.01) were associated with lower satisfaction. On multivariable logistic regression modeling adjusted for pandemic duration, age, sex, severity of liver disease, and coexisting liver disease, Hispanic ethnicity and lack of personal cellphone/internet remained independently associated with lower telehepatology satisfaction (OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.07-0.9, p = 0.03 and OR 0.2, 95% CI 0.04-0.9, p = 0.04, respectively). The association remained statistically significant after inclusion of various SDoH in the multivariable model.

CONCLUSIONS

Satisfaction with telehepatology among FLD patients in a safety-net clinical setting was high overall. However, Hispanic ethnicity and lack of personal cellphone/internet were independently associated with lower telehepatology satisfaction. A better understanding of patients' experience with telehepatology is needed to identify reasons for dissatisfaction, and in-person visits should remain an option for patients to ensure equitable care.

Understanding the Natural History of Chronic Hepatitis D: Proposal of a Model for Cost-Effectiveness Studies

BACKGROUND

As new therapeutic options become available, better understanding the potential impact of emerging therapies on clinical outcomes of hepatits D virus (HDV) is critical.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to develop a natural history model for patients with hepatitis D virus.

METHODS

We developed a model (decision tree followed by a Markov cohort model) in adults with chronic HDV infection to assess the natural history and impact of novel treatments on disease progression versus best supportive care (BSC). The model time horizon was over a lifetime (up to 100 years of age); state transitions and health states were defined by responder status. Patients in fibrosis stages 0 through 4 received treatment; decompensated patients were not treated. Response was defined as the combined response endpoint of achievement of HDV-RNA undetectability/≥2-log10 decline and alanine aminotransferase normalization; response rates of 50% and 75% were explored. Health events associated with advanced liver disease were modeled as the number of events per 10,000 patients. Scenario analyses of early treatment, alternate treatment response, and no fibrosis regression for treatment responders were also explored.

RESULTS

The model was able to reflect disease progression similarly to published natural history studies for patients with HBV/HDV infection. In a hypothetical cohort of patients reflecting a population enrolled in a recent clinical trial, fewer advanced liver disease events were observed with a novel HDV treatment versus BSC. Fewer liver-related deaths were observed under 50% and 75% response (900 and 1,358 fewer deaths, respectively, per 10,000 patients). Scenario analyses showed consistently fewer advanced liver disease events with HDV treatment compared with BSC, with greater reductions observed with earlier treatment.

CONCLUSION

This HDV disease progression model replicated findings from natural history studies. Furthermore, it found that a hypothetical HDV treatment results in better clinical outcomes for patients versus BSC, with greater benefit observed when starting treatment early. This validated natural history model for HBV/HDV infection can serve as a foundation for future clinical and economic analyses of novel HDV treatments that can support healthcare stakeholders in the management of patients with chronic HDV.

Problematic alcohol use and its impact on liver disease quality of life in a multicenter study of patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Management of cirrhosis is challenging and has been complicated by the COVID-19 pandemic due to decreased access to care, increased psychological distress, and alcohol misuse. Recently, The National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism has broadened the definition of recovery from alcohol use disorder to include quality of life (QoL) as an indicator of recovery. This study examined the associations of alcohol-associated cirrhosis etiology and problematic drinking with liver disease QoL (LDQoL).

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis (N=329) were recruited from 3 sites (63% from 2 Veterans Affairs Health Care Systems and 37% from 1 safety net hospital) serving populations that are economically or socially marginalized. Cirrhosis etiology was ascertained by chart review of medical records. Problematic drinking was defined by ≥8 on the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test. Multivariable general linear modeling adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, site, pandemic-related stress, and history of anxiety/depressive disorder were conducted. Sensitivity analyses further adjusted for indicators of liver disease severity.

RESULTS

Participants were on average 64.6 years old, 17% female, 58% non-White, 44% with alcohol-associated cirrhosis, and 17% with problematic drinking. Problematic drinking was significantly associated with worse LDQoL scores in the overall scale and in the memory/concentration and health distress subscales. These associations remained significant after adjusting for indicators of liver disease severity, including Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium score and decompensated cirrhosis status.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with cirrhosis, problematic drinking was associated with worse LDQoL, especially in the domains of memory/concentration and health distress. Assessment and awareness of cognitive deficits and negative emotionality within the context of cirrhosis and problematic drinking may help clinicians provide better integrated care for this population.

ACG Clinical Guideline: Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease

ABSTRACT

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is the most common cause of advanced hepatic disease and frequent indication for liver transplantation worldwide. With harmful alcohol use as the primary risk factor, increasing alcohol use over the past decade has resulted in rapid growth of the ALD-related healthcare burden. The spectrum of ALD ranges from early asymptomatic liver injury to advanced disease with decompensation and portal hypertension. Compared with those with other etiologies of liver disease, patients with ALD progress faster and more often present at an advanced stage. A unique phenotype of advanced disease is alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) presenting with rapid onset or worsening of jaundice, and acute on chronic liver failure in severe forms conveying a 1-month mortality risk of 20%-50%. The model for end stage disease score is the most accurate score to stratify AH severity (>20 defined as severe disease). Corticosteroids are currently the only available therapeutic with proven efficacy for patients with severe AH, providing survival benefit at 1 month in 50%-60% of patients. Abstinence of alcohol use, a crucial determinant of long-term outcomes, is challenging to achieve in ALD patients with concurrent alcohol use disorder (AUD). As patients with ALD are rarely treated for AUD, strategies are needed to overcome barriers to AUD treatment in patients with ALD and to promote a multidisciplinary integrated care model with hepatology, addiction medicine providers, and social workers to comprehensively manage the dual pathologies of liver disease and of AUD. Liver transplantation, a definitive treatment option in patients with advanced cirrhosis, should be considered in selected patients with AH, who are unresponsive to medical therapy and have a low risk of relapse to posttransplant alcohol use. Level of evidence and strength of recommendations were evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations system. This guideline was developed under the American College of Gastroenterology Practice Parameters Committee.

Evaluation of computer aided detection during colonoscopy among Veterans: Randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

There has been significant interest in use of computer aided detection (CADe) devices in colonoscopy to improve polyp detection and reduce miss rate.

AIM

To investigate the use of CADe amongst veterans.

METHODS

Between September 2020 and December 2021, we performed a randomized controlled trial to evaluate the impact of CADe. Patients at Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System presenting for screening or low-risk surveillance were randomized to colonoscopy performed with or without CADe. Primary outcomes of interest included adenoma detection rate (ADR), adenomas per colonoscopy (APC), and adenomas per extraction. In addition, we measured serrated polyps per colonoscopy, non-adenomatous, non-serrated polyps per colonoscopy, serrated polyp detection rate, and procedural time.

RESULTS

A total of 244 patients were enrolled (124 with CADe), with similar patient characteristics (age, sex, body mass index, indication) between the two groups. Use of CADe was found to have decreased number of adenomas (1.79 vs 2.53, P = 0.030) per colonoscopy compared to without CADe. There was no significant difference in number of serrated polyps or non-adenomatous non-serrated polyps per colonoscopy between the two groups. Overall, use of CADe was found to have lower ADR (68.5% vs 80.0%, P = 0.041) compared to without use of CADe. Serrated polyp detection rate was lower with CADe (3.2% vs 7.5%) compared to without CADe, but this was not statistically significant (P = 0.137). There was no significant difference in withdrawal and procedure times between the two groups or in detection of adenomas per extraction (71.4% vs 73.1%, P = 0.613). No adverse events were identified.

CONCLUSION

While several randomized controlled trials have demonstrated improved ADR and APC with use of CADe, in this RCT performed at a center with high ADR, use of CADe was found to have decreased APC and ADR. Further studies are needed to understand the true impact of CADe on performance quality among endoscopists as well as determine criteria for endoscopists to consider when choosing to adopt CADe in their practices.

Nomogram to Predict Risk of Early Mortality Following Definitive or Adjuvant Radiation and Systemic Therapy for Head and Neck Cancer

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Tools to predict individual patient risk for early mortality in head and neck cancer patients receiving chemoradiation are lacking. We sought to create a nomogram to predict individual risk of early mortality, which may help identify patients who require interventions to prevent early death.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We included patients in the National Cancer Database with non-metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck who received radiation and systemic therapy between 2004 and 2017 in either the definitive or adjuvant setting. Covariates analyzed in the cohort include race, gender, income, age, T and N category, tumor site, insurance type, facility type, urban or rural environment, radiation modality, and comorbidity. Early mortality was defined as any death less than 90 days after the beginning of radiation. Chi-squared analysis was used for all categorical covariates and t-tests were used for continuous variables to test for associations with early mortality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between covariates and early mortality. Nomograms to predict the risk of early death were created for both the definitive and adjuvant settings.

RESULTS

The final cohorts included 84,563 patients in the definitive group and 18,514 patients in the adjuvant group. Rates of early mortality were 3.5% (95% CI 3.4-3.7%) and 2.2% (95% CI 1.9-2.4%) in the definitive and adjuvant cohorts, respectively. Patients above the age of 70 had an early mortality rate of 7.8% (95% CI 7.3-8.2%) in the definitive group and 4.4% (95% CI 3.6-5.4%) in the adjuvant group. In the multivariable analysis, age, comorbidity, T and N category, and tumor site were associated with early mortality in both cohorts (p<0.05 for all); while in the definitive group, radiation type, year of diagnosis, and insurance status were also statistically significant (p<0.05). In both cohorts, nomograms were created to predict the risk of early mortality that included age, comorbidity, T and N category and tumor site. The nomogram including age, comorbidity, T and N category and tumor site performed better than age alone at predicting early mortality (AUC for definitive group: 0.70 vs 0.66; AUC for adjuvant group: 0.71 vs 0.61).

CONCLUSION

Nomograms including age, comorbidity, T and N category and tumor site were developed to predict the risk of early death following definitive or adjuvant chemoradiation.

On-treatment risks of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma among a large cohort of predominantly non-Asian patients with non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B

Background & Aims

The vast majority of studies evaluating differences in on-treatment risks of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) have been conducted in Asia. Data on the course of CHB on antiviral therapy among predominantly non-Asian populations is less well described. We aimed to evaluate overall risks of cirrhosis and HCC and the influence of baseline factors on this risk among a predominantly non-Asian cohort of patients with CHB in the US.

Methods

Using longitudinal data from the national Veterans Affairs database, we evaluated the incidence of cirrhosis or HCC among adults with non-cirrhotic CHB on continuous antiviral therapy. Cumulative incidence functions and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models employed competing risks methods and evaluated overall risk and predictors of developing cirrhosis or HCC while on treatment.

Results

Among 2,496 patients with non-cirrhotic CHB (39.1% African American, 38.4% non-Hispanic White, 18.8% Asian, mean age 58.0 ± 13.4 years), the overall incidences of cirrhosis and HCC were 3.99 per 100 person-years (95% CI 3.66-4.35) and 0.43 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.33-0.54), respectively. The highest incidences of cirrhosis and HCC were observed in non-Hispanic White patients (5.74 and 0.52 per 100 person-years, respectively), which were significantly higher than in Asian patients (1.93 and 0.17 per 100 person-years, respectively, p <0.0001). On multivariate regression, only baseline FIB-4 score was consistently associated with long-term risk of cirrhosis or HCC.

Conclusions

Using a longitudinal cohort of predominantly non-Asian Veterans with non-cirrhotic CHB on antiviral therapy (an understudied population), we provide important epidemiological data to describe long-term risks of cirrhosis and HCC.

Impact and implications

In one of the largest studies to date of a predominantly non-Asian cohort of patients with non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B, we provide important epidemiological data describing the long-term risks of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma among patients on antiviral therapies. Among this understudied population, the overall incidence of cirrhosis was 3.99 per 100-person-years (95% CI 3.66-4.35) and of HCC was 0.43 per 100-person-years (95% CI 0.33-0.54). These data also emphasize the importance of continued monitoring and HCC surveillance among CHB patients who are maintained on antiviral therapies.

Incidence of Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Among Veterans With Noncirrhotic Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Despite the high prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), the long-term incidence of cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among adults with MAFLD is not well described. Using a national cohort of United States Veterans, we evaluated the overall incidence and predictors of cirrhosis and HCC among adults with noncirrhotic MAFLD.

METHODS

Data from the 2010 to 2022 Veterans Affairs database were used to identify adults with noncirrhotic MAFLD using established definitions. Five and 10-year incidence of cirrhosis and HCC were assessed and stratified by demographics and relevant clinical variables. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to determine predictors of cirrhosis and HCC.

RESULTS

Among 969,253 patients with noncirrhotic MAFLD (94.5% males, 70.2% non-Hispanic white, mean age of 62.7 ± 12.2 y), the 10-year incidence of cirrhosis and HCC was 3.70% (95% CI: 3.66-3.74) and 0.69% (95% CI: 0.67-0.70), respectively. When stratified by race/ethnicity, the 10-year incidence of cirrhosis was lowest among Asians (2.63%, 95% CI: 2.37-2.88) and highest among Hispanics (4.60%, 95% CI: 4.45-4.75), a pattern also observed with HCC. Significant disparities in risk of cirrhosis or HCC were observed when stratified by sex, substance use, and comorbidities. Risks of cirrhosis and HCC were highest in patients with baseline fibrosis-4 >2.67.

CONCLUSION

This large study provides important epidemiological data describing the natural history of adults with MAFLD. Disparities in risk of cirrhosis and HCC were observed by demographic and clinical characteristics, emphasizing the importance of early identification of MAFLD with modifiable high-risk features to implement earlier interventions to improve long-term outcomes.

Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis are Associated with Worse Outcomes Following SARS-CoV-2 Infection

Background and aims

Studies evaluating the impact of SARS-CoV-2 on chronic liver disease (CLD) are limited and have focused mostly on hospitalized patients or those with cirrhosis. We aim to evaluate the impact of underlying CLD on patient outcomes following COVID-19 using a one of the largest COVID-19+CLD cohorts to date.

Methods

Data from the COVID-19 Research Database (https://covid19researchdatabase.org) were evaluated from April 1, 2020, to August 31, 2021, to determine whether concurrent CLD was associated with worse outcomes within 30 day of COVID-19 diagnosis, including need for hospitalization, pneumonia, severe pneumonia, respiratory failure, and multiorgan failure. Among patients with COVID-19+CLD, risks of liver decompensation and acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) were evaluated, stratified by presence of cirrhosis. Adjusted multivariate logistic regression models evaluated the impact of CLD on COVID-19 outcomes.

Results

In total, 1,208,905 unique patients with COVID-19 were identified; 44,008 (3.6%) had concurrent CLD, among which 6515 (14.8%) had cirrhosis. Compared to patients without CLD, COVID-19+CLD patients were significantly more likely to require hospitalization (aOR 1.65, 95% CI 1.61-1.69), develop pneumonia (aOR 1.11, 95% CI 1.08-1.14), severe pneumonia (aOR 1.74, 95% CI 1.62-1.86), respiratory failure (aOR 1.14, 95% CI 1.10-1.17), and multiorgan failure (aOR 1.84, 95% CI 1.72-1.97), P < 0.0001 for all. Among COVID-19+CLD patients, underlying cirrhosis was associated with even higher risk of these poor outcomes, and higher risk of acute liver decompensation or ACLF.

Conclusions

Among one of the largest studies to date evaluating patients with COVID-19 and CLD, underlying CLD is associated with significantly greater risk of poor outcomes following SARS-CoV-2 infection, particularly among cirrhotic patients.

Acute Liver Failure Guidelines

Acute liver failure (ALF) is a rare, acute, potentially reversible condition resulting in severe liver impairment and rapid clinical deterioration in patients without preexisting liver disease. Due to the rarity of this condition, published studies are limited by the use of retrospective or prospective cohorts and lack of randomized controlled trials. Current guidelines represent the suggested approach to the identification, treatment, and management of ALF and represent the official practice recommendations of the American College of Gastroenterology. The scientific evidence was reviewed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation process to develop recommendations. When no robust evidence was available, expert opinions were summarized using Key Concepts. Considering the variety of clinical presentations of ALF, individualization of care should be applied in specific clinical scenarios.

Geographical disparities in hepatitis b virus related hepatocellular carcinoma mortality rates worldwide from 1990 to 2019

This study aims to evaluate global trends in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HBV-HCC) related mortality over the past 30 years. Despite improvements in the treatment of both HBV and HCC, disparities in access to care and treatment persist, and these disparities may have affected HBV-HCC outcomes across certain global regions disproportionately. Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injury, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) from 1990 to 2019, we evaluated overall mortality rates related to HBV-HCC. From 1990 to 2019, overall global HBV-HCC mortality rate decreased by 30.3%. While most world regions experienced declines in HBV-HCC mortality, several regions also experienced significant increases in mortality, including Australasia, Central Asia, and Eastern Europe. When stratified by age, all age groups demonstrated declines in HBV-HCC mortality from 1990 to 2019. Similar trends were observed for both men and women. When stratified by world regions, HBV-HCC mortality in 2019 was highest in East Asia, which was significantly higher than the region with the next highest HBV-HCC mortality, Southeast Asia. Significant disparities in HBV-HCC mortality are observed among global regions. We observed higher HBV-HCC mortality rates with older age, higher mortality in males, and highest mortality in East Asia. The clinical significance of these findings are to highlight those regions that need more targeted resources to improve HBV testing and treatment to reduce the long term consequences of untreated HBV, such as HCC.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Statin Use Among Adults with Metabolic Dysfunction Associated Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

A leading cause of mortality in fatty liver disease is cardiovascular disease. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is new terminology that classifies fatty liver due to metabolic dysfunction attributable to obesity and associated complications. We evaluated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk and statin use in adults with MAFLD.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of the 2011-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Adults with MAFLD were identified using established criteria: presence of hepatic steatosis (US Fatty Liver Index>30) plus ≥1 of the following: 1) body mass index >25 kg/m² in non-Asians or >23 kg/m² in Asians, 2) diabetes mellitus, and 3) ≥2 metabolic risk factors. Cardiovascular disease risk was estimated using the validated 10-year ASCVD risk score. Statin use was assessed in intermediate and high 10-year ASCVD risk groups.

RESULTS

Prevalence of MAFLD was 34.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 33.9%-35.8%), comprising 54.4% males, 27.9% aged 65 years and older, and 38.2% non-Hispanic white. Among adults with MAFLD, 23.3% and 23.0% had intermediate and high 10-year ASCVD risk, respectively. Compared with females, males were more likely to have high 10-year ASCVD risk (28.7% vs 16.1%, adjusted odds ratio 5.24, 95% CI, 3.87-7.10, P < .01). In intermediate and high ASCVD risk groups, overall statin use was 48.3% (95% CI, 46.1-51.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Over 46% of adults with MAFLD had intermediate or high 10-year ASCVD risk. Statin use was underutilized at 48.3% in those meeting statin criteria. These findings are alarming given the high cardiovascular disease risk and low statin use in this cohort.

Impact of COVID-19 on Liver Transplant Activity in the USA: Variation by Etiology and Cirrhosis Complications

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the care of patients with liver disease. We examined impact of COVID-19 on liver transplant (LT) activity in the USA.

METHODS

LT listings in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database (April 2018-May 2021) were analyzed to examine the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the LT activity based on etiology: hepatitis C virus (HCV), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), alcoholic hepatitis (AH), and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) complications: hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) grade 2 or 3) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. Joinpoint regression models assessed time trend changes on a log scale.

RESULTS

Of 23,871 recipients (8,995 in the COVID era, April 2018-February 2020), mean age 52 years, 62% men, 61% Caucasian, 32% ALD, 15% HCC, 30% ACLF grades 2-3, and mean MELD score 20.5), monthly LT changes were a decrease of 3.4% for overall LTs and 22% for HCC after September 2020, and increase of 4.5% for ALD since 11/2020 and 17% since 03/2021 for ACLF grade 2-3. Monthly MELD scores increased by 0.7 and 0.36 after June 2020 for HCV and HCC respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted LT activity, with a decrease of LTs especially for HCC, and an increase of LTs for ALD and severe ACLF. Strategies are needed to reorganize cirrhosis patients to overcome the aftereffects of COVID-19 pandemic.

Prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and latent tuberculosis co-infection and risk of drug-induced liver injury across two large HBV cohorts in the United States

The epidemiology of latent tuberculosis and hepatitis B virus (HBV-LTBI) co-infection among U.S. populations is not well studied. We aim to evaluate LTBI testing patterns and LTBI prevalence among two large U.S. cohorts of adults with chronic HBV (CHB). Adults with CHB in the Chronic Hepatitis Cohort Study (CHeCS) and Veterans Affairs national cohort were included in the analyses. Prevalence of HBV-LTBI co-infection was defined as the number of HBV patients with LTBI divided by the number of HBV patients in a cohort. Multivariable logistic regression evaluated odds of HBV-LTBI co-infection among CHB patients who underwent TB testing. Among 6019 CHB patients in the CHeCS cohort (44% female, 47% Asian), 9.1% were tested for TB, among whom 7.7% had HBV-LTBI co-infection. Among HBV-LTBI co-infected patient, only 16.7% (n = 7) received LTBI treatment, among whom 28.6% (n = 2) developed DILI. Among 12,928 CHB patients in the VA cohort (94% male, 42% African American, 39% non-Hispanic white), 14.7% were tested for TB, among whom 14.5% had HBV-LTBI. Among HBV-LTBI co-infected patient, 18.6% (n = 51) received LTBI treatment, among whom 3.9% (n = 3) developed DILI. Presence of cirrhosis, race/ethnicity, and country of birth were observed to be associated with odds of HBV-LTBI co-infection among CHB patients who received TB testing. In summary, among two large distinct U.S. cohorts of adults with CHB, testing for LTBI was infrequent despite relatively high prevalence of HBV-LTBI co-infection. Moreover, low rates of LTBI treatment were observed among those with HBV-LTBI co-infection.

Simplifying Treatment Criteria in Chronic Hepatitis B: Reducing Barriers to Elimination

BACKGROUND

Early, sustained hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA suppression reduces long-term risks of hepatocellular carcinoma. Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) treatment criteria are complex. Simplifying criteria will improve timely linkage to therapy. We evaluated treatment eligibility patterns among US patients with CHB and propose stepwise simplification of CHB treatment criteria.

METHODS

Using 2016-2020 Quest Diagnostics data, we evaluated treatment eligibility among patients with CHB (2 positive HBV tests [HBV surface antigen, HBV e antigen, or HBV DNA] ≥6 months apart) using American Association for the Study of Liver Disease (AASLD), European Association for Study of the Liver (EASL), Asian Pacific Association for Study of the Liver (APASL), and Asian American Treatment Algorithm (AATA) criteria.

RESULTS

Among 84 916 patients with CHB, 6.7%, 6.2%, 5.8%, and 16.4% met AASLD, EASL, APASL, and AATA criteria, respectively. Among treatment-ineligible patients with CHB, proportion with significant fibrosis (aspartate aminotransferase platelet ratio index >0.5) were 10.4%, 10.4%, 10.8%, and 7.7% based on AASLD, EASL, APASL, and AATA, respectively. In the proposed treatment simplification, the proportion of patients with CHB eligible for therapy increased from 10.3% for step 1 (HBV DNA >20 000 IU/mL, elevated alanine aminotransferase [ALT] level) to 14.1% for step 2 (HBV >2000 IU/mL, elevated ALT level), 33.5% for step 3 (HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL, any ALT level), and 87.2% for step 4 (detectable HBV DNA, any ALT level).

CONCLUSIONS

A large proportion of patients with CHB not meeting established treatment criteria have significant fibrosis. Simplifying criteria to treat all patients with detectable HBV DNA will reduce complexity and heterogeneity in assessing treatment eligibility, improving treatment rates and progress toward HBV elimination.

Risk of drug-induced liver injury in chronic hepatitis B and tuberculosis co-infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Patients with tuberculosis (TB) disease treated with multi-drug regimens are at risk of developing drug induced liver injury (DILI), and DILI risk might be even higher in patients with underlying liver disease. We aimed to evaluate whether underlying chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and TB co-infection are associated with a higher risk of TB therapy-related DILI. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis using MEDLINE/PubMed from inception to 31 December 2021. Primary outcome assessed was development of DILI following multi-drug TB treatment. Meta-analysis using random-effects models were utilized to evaluate whether underlying chronic HBV was associated with increased risk of DILI in patients undergoing active TB treatment. A total of 10 studies met inclusion criteria to be analysed, among which 520 patients had HBV-TB co-infection and 2988 patients had active TB disease without HBV. Prevalence of DILI was 21.9% in HBV-TB co-infected patients and 11.9% in TB patients without HBV. On meta-analysis, HBV-TB co-infected patients had significantly higher risk of DILI when treated with TB therapies compared with TB patients without HBV (pooled risk ratio 1.98, 95% CI 1.38-2.83, I²  = 68%). Sub-analysis of prospective cohort studies conducted after year 2000 detected a pooled risk ratio of 2.75 (95% CI 2.10-3.59, I²  = 0%). In conclusion, HBV-TB co-infected patients undergoing multi-drug TB therapy have 2-3 times higher risk of DILI compared with TB patients without HBV. Routine HBV screening prior to initiation of TB therapy is critical for early identification of HBV-TB co-infection, so that clinicians can modify TB and HBV treatment and management to reduce risks of DILI.

An Open-Access, Interactive Decision-Support Tool to Facilitate Guideline-Driven Care for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in incidence and is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Adherence to HCC surveillance guidelines and appropriate treatment triage of liver lesions may improve receipt of curative-intent treatment and improved survival. Late-stage HCC diagnosis reflects sub-optimal implementation of effective HCC surveillance, whereas inappropriate treatment triage or linkage to care accounts for the non-receipt of curative-intent in close to half of early-stage HCC in the USA. A free, open-access decision-support tool for liver lesions that incorporates current guideline recommendations in a user-friendly interface could improve appropriate and timely triage of patients to appropriate care. This review provides a summary of gaps and disparities in linkage to HCC care and introduces a free, internet-based, interactive decision-support tool for managing liver lesions. This tool has been developed by the HCC Steering Committee of the Chronic Liver Disease Foundation and is targeted toward clinicians across specialties who may encounter liver lesions during routine care or as part of dedicated HCC surveillance.

Barriers to Hepatitis C Virus Care and How Federally Qualified Health Centers Can Improve Patient Access to Treatment

Background

Despite the availability of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment, disparities in HCV care and treatment persist for underserved populations due to demographic-based and insurance-based barriers. We aim to examine the effect of barriers on HCV treatment access for a federally qualified health center (FQHC) population.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated medical records of adults diagnosed with chronic HCV at an FQHC clinic from 2016 to 2020 with follow-up through 2021. Univariate and bivariate analyses were used to describe the patient population and significant associations between predictors of linkage to HCV care and treatment access. Adjusted multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify predictors of starting HCV treatment.

Results

Of 279 total patients with chronic HCV, 162 patients started treatment (58%), 138 patients (50%) completed treatment, and 99 patients (35%) achieved sustained virological response (SVR). Of the total patients, 145 (52%) were seen by their primary care physician (PCP) for their HCV care and treatment, and 134 (48%) were seen by a provider that specializes in management and treatment of HCV (HCV provider). Patients seen by an HCV provider in addition to their PCP were more likely to have had their prior authorization requests for HCV treatment denied by their insurance providers than patients seen only by their PCP for HCV care (30% vs. 14%, P = 0.001). We believe that this discrepancy stems from two issues. One, prior authorizations are reviewed by insurance providers who are not specially trained in HCV management, so the verbiage used perplexes these reviewers, possibly causing them to issue denials. Two, insurance providers often require HCV genotype testing for DAA medication eligibility, and HCV providers order genotype tests for patients only when HCV treatments have failed to cure patients, so this requirement becomes another barrier to DAA medications. Patients who spoke a non-English language, lived in the USA for less than 10 years, and showed inability to pay for treatment had received treatment despite these characteristics being common barriers to HCV treatment. On multivariate regression, factors independently associated with patients starting treatment included prior denial for DAA medication (odds ratio (OR), 8.88; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.22 - 24.6; P < 0.001) and being seen by an HCV provider (OR, 24.8; 95% CI, 11.7 - 52.5; P < 0.001). However, the most significant barrier to HCV treatment access for the FQHC population was eligibility restrictions from insurance providers.

Conclusions

Demographic-based barriers (e.g., age, race, and income) often impede HCV care and treatment, but insurance-based barriers are the greatest challenge currently that affects treatment outcomes in our study population. Removing these restrictions would, in our opinion, help to increase treatment levels to underserved populations.

Global trends and the impact of chronic hepatitis B and C on disability-adjusted life years

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Advances in hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapies have improved morbidity and mortality, but global disparities in viral hepatitis outcomes remain. We evaluate global trends in the impact of HBV and HCV on disability-adjusted life years (DALYs).

METHODS

Using data from the 2010-2019 Global Burden of Diseases Study (GBD), overall all-cause DALYs for patients with acute HBV or HCV, HBV- or HCV-related cirrhosis, and HBV- or HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was calculated as the sum of years of life lost because of premature death and years lived with disability. DALYs were presented as age-standardized rates per 100 000 population stratified by age and sex.

RESULTS

From 2010 to 2019, the overall global impact of HBV on DALYs per 100 000 decreased from 27.6 to 20.9 for acute HBV and 168.6 to 129.8 for HBV-related cirrhosis but remained stable for HBV-related HCC. The impact of HCV on DALYs per 100 000 decreased from 5.23 to 3.3 for acute HCV, 159.2 to 146.2 for HCV-related cirrhosis, and 37.5 to 34.9 for HCV-related HCC. We observed significant differences in the impact of HBV and HCV on DALYs when stratified by world regions.

CONCLUSION

Decreases in HBV and HCV DALYs from 2010 to 2019 were observed. Disparities in DALY improvements across world regions suggest unequal access to viral hepatitis care and treatment. Achieving goals of viral hepatitis elimination will require enhanced prevention efforts and funding for high-burden regions and regions that have not had substantial reductions in DALYs because of HBV and HCV.

Review of Updated Hepatitis B Vaccine Recommendations and Potential Challenges With Implementation

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a vaccine-preventable disease associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Although safe and effective hepatitis B vaccines are available, an increased number of adults must receive the hepatitis B vaccine in order to reach the goal of the US Department of Health and Human Services for HBV elimination. Previous guidelines from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for hepatitis B vaccination among adults utilized a risk-based approach that may have contributed to decreased uptake of the vaccine because the recommendations were difficult to adopt into clinical practice and assumed patients would recognize and disclose their risk factors. Based on review of epidemiologic and cost-effectiveness data, the CDC now recommends that all adults 19 to 59 years old receive the hepatitis B vaccine; however, a risk-based approach to hepatitis B vaccination was retained among adults age 60 years and older because universal vaccination in this age group would not lead to substantial reductions in acute HBV cases and be cost-effective. Implementation of these expanded hepatitis B vaccination recommendations in clinical and public health practice may pose challenges, including ensuring effective HBV screening practices, quality measures to track coverage of the hepatitis B vaccine, utilization of hepatitis B vaccines that have the highest completion rates for the vaccine series in a real-world setting, and sustained efforts to vaccinate high-risk groups such as individuals experiencing incarceration, utilizing sexually transmitted disease clinics, and injecting illicit drugs.

High-risk liver transplant recipients with grade 3 acute on chronic liver failure should receive the good quality graft

BACKGROUND & AIM

We aimed to develop a risk score for LT recipients and donor selection among patients with ACLF-3.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 7166 adult LT recipients (mean age 53 years, 63% males, 56% Caucasians, 42% obese, median MELD score 36.5) using deceased donor grafts in the UNOS database (01/2002-06/2018) who were in ACLF-3 at LT as per EASL-CLIF criteria were analysed. Cox regression model on the derivation dataset (N = 3583) showed recipient age, non-alcohol aetiology, pulmonary failure, brain failure and cardiovascular failure to be associated with 1-year patient survival. Observed and expected post-transplant 1-year survival showed excellent correlation (R = .920). Risk score from cox model on derivation dataset stratified 3583 recipients in validation cohort using cut-off scores 7.55 and 11.57 to low (N = 1211), medium (N = 1168) and high risk (N = 1199), with 1-year patient survival of 89%, 82% and 80% respectively. Based on poor versus good quality graft (donor risk index cut-off at 1.50), 1-year patient survival for low, medium and high-risk categories were 90 versus 89% (p = .490), 83 versus 82% (p = .390) and 83 versus 78% (p = .038) respectively. Among recipients with a high-risk score, donor factors of age ≥60 years, grafts obtained from national sharing and macro-steatosis >15% were associated with 1-year patient survival below 66%.

CONCLUSION

Among ACLF-3 liver transplant recipients, those with high risk at the time of transplant receiving better quality graft will improve post-transplant outcomes. Prospective studies using additional characteristics are needed to derive an accurate risk score model in predicting post-transplant outcomes among recipients with ACLF-3.

Prevalence of Latent Tuberculosis Infection Among Persons with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) and chronic hepatitis B virus infection (HBV) can be prevented through latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) treatment and HBV vaccination, respectively. Prevalence of LTBI and HBV are six- and ninefold higher among non-US-born compared to US-born persons, respectively. Few studies have described the prevalence of LTBI-HBV co-infection.

AIMS

In this study, we estimated LTBI prevalence among persons with chronic HBV.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis using PubMed from inception through September 1, 2019, and identified and reviewed studies that provided data regarding LTBI prevalence among adults with chronic HBV. Pooled LTBI prevalence among adults with HBV was calculated using a random-effects meta-analysis model.

RESULTS

A total of 1,205 articles were identified by systematic review of the published literature. Six studies were included in the meta-analysis; five studies were conducted in North America, and one was in China. LTBI prevalence among adults with chronic HBV was estimated to be 34.25% (95% confidence interval: 17.88-50.62%).

CONCLUSION

LTBI prevalence among adults with chronic HBV was two times higher than the LTBI prevalence among all non-US-born persons. The high LTBI prevalence and increased risk of hepatotoxicity with TB medications among persons with chronic HBV may warrant consideration of routine screening for HBV among persons who are tested for LTBI. Reducing morbidity and mortality associated with TB and chronic HBV may require healthcare systems and public health to ensure that persons at risk of both infections are screened and treated for LTBI and chronic HBV.

Global incidence and mortality of hepatitis B and hepatitis C acute infections, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma from 2010 to 2019

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) contribute to significant healthcare burden globally. We aim to provide an updated and comprehensive analysis of global trends in the incidence and mortality of HBV and HCV related acute infections, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Estimates of annual cause-specific disease incidence and mortality for HBV and HCV were analysed using the 2010-2019 Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study database. Three distinct disease states were evaluated: acute infections, cirrhosis and HCC. Age-standardized disease incidence and mortality were presented per 100,000 population and stratified by age, sex, year and 21 world regions. From 2010 to 2019, overall incidence of acute HBV declined by 19.3% (95% CI 4.1-32.0, p < .05) and HBV cirrhosis declined by 15.0% (95% CI 9.8-20.7, p < .05). Incidence of HCV cirrhosis increased by 5.6% (95% CI 0.3-10.2, p < .05) and HCV HCC remained stable. Incidence of acute HCV declined until 2015, after which it began increasing. From 2010 to 2019, overall mortality for HBV cirrhosis and HCV cirrhosis declined, whereas mortality for acute infections and HCC remained stable. Major differences in HBV and HCV incidence and mortality trends were observed when stratified by world regions. In conclusion, while our analyses of global trends in HBV and HCV incidence and mortality demonstrate encouraging trends, disparities in disease epidemiology were observed across world regions. These observations will identify regions and populations where greater focus and resources are needed to continue progressing towards viral hepatitis elimination.

Trends in the Prevalence of Hepatitis C Virus Infection based on the Insurance Status in the United States from 2013 to 2018

BACKGROUND & AIMS

With the recent improvement in the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, a better understanding of the infection burden is needed. We aimed to (a) estimate the trends in the national prevalence of HCV infection based on the type of health insurance coverage and (b) identify at-risk populations for HCV infection in the United States (US) general population.

METHODS

Population-based analyses using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2013-2018) were performed with a focus on HCV infection. We analysed the prevalence of HCV infection based on the health insurance status before the direct-acting antiviral (DAA) era (2013-2014) and during the DAA era (2015-2018).

RESULTS

The age-adjusted prevalence of active HCV infection (HCV RNA [+]) was 0.92% (95% confidence interval, 0.71%-1.19%) in the US non-institutionalized civilian population. Although the prevalence of active HCV infection has remained stable, the prevalence of resolved HCV infection has increased after the introduction of DAA. In terms of health insurance coverage, the prevalence of active HCV infection decreased, and the prevalence of resolved HCV infection increased among individuals who had health insurance, especially private health insurance. The independent risk factors of active HCV infection were 40-69 years group, male, less than high school education, unmarried, below poverty status, being born in the US, history of blood transfusion and not having private health insurance.

CONCLUSION

The burden of active HCV infection has decreased among individuals who had health insurance, especially private health insurance, during the DAA era.

Ethnic Minorities and Low Socioeconomic Status Patients With Chronic Liver Disease Are at Greatest Risk of Being Uninsured

Background

Chronic liver disease (CLD) predominantly affects ethnic minorities and socially vulnerable populations, who have high prevalence of risk factors (e.g., suboptimal insurance coverage) predisposing to healthcare disparities. We evaluate prevalence and predictors of uninsured status among CLD adults, and secondarily, how this affects documented immunity or vaccination for hepatitis A virus (HAV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV).

Methods

Using 2011 - 2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data, self-reported insurance status was determined among adults with CLD. Prevalence of uninsured status was stratified by patient characteristics and evaluated using multivariable logistic regression models. Prevalence of self-reported completion of vaccination as well as laboratory value-based documented immunity to HAV and HBV was stratified by insurance status.

Results

Overall, 19.0% of adults with CLD reported having no insurance, which was highest among individuals of Hispanic ethnicity (33.5%), less than high school education (33.7%), and below poverty status (35.3%). On multivariable analyses, significantly lower odds of having any insurance coverage was observed in men, Hispanics, and individuals with lower education and lower household income. Prevalence of documented immunity or vaccination for HAV was low across all insurance categories, ranging from 46.5% to 54.0%. Prevalence of documented immunity or vaccination for HBV was similarly low across all insurance categories, ranging from 24.3% to 40.8%.

Conclusion

Prevalence of uninsured status among CLD was more than twice the US adult population, and lack of insurance particularly impacted Hispanics and individuals with low education and low household income. Low prevalence of documented immunity or vaccination for HAV and HBV across all insurance categories is concerning.

Cognitive Impairment and Cirrhosis in Older Patients: A Systematic Review

Prevalence of cirrhosis and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in older patients receiving care in long-term care settings is unknown. This systematic review aimed to identify potential factors associated with HE and cognitive impairment in older patients with cirrhosis. A PubMed search of English-language articles published between January 1, 2000, and November 3, 2021, was conducted to identify studies in adults with cirrhosis relevant to cognitive impairment and/or HE (e.g., fall, frailty, and sarcopenia). Of 2,879 English-language publications, 24 were included. In patients with cirrhosis, falls were increased in the presence of HE and were associated with increased injury risk. Frailty was associated with HE development and cognitive impairment in patients with cirrhosis. Further, cognitive impairment and frailty were predictive of HE-related hospitalizations. Sarcopenia increased the risk of developing HE. Furthermore, specific medications increased the risk of developing HE. Risk reduction and management of patients with HE are critical to prevent negative outcomes.

Prevalence of hepatitis E infection among adults with concurrent chronic liver disease

While hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection can increase the risk of liver decompensation and death in patients with underlying chronic liver disease (CLD), prevalence of HEV in this cohort is not well reported. Using data from the 2011-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, we aim to evaluate seroprevalence of HEV IgG among adults with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), alcoholic liver disease (ALD), chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV). HEV IgG seroprevalence between groups was evaluated with chi-square testing, and adjusted multivariate logistic regression models evaluated for predictors of seropositivity for HEV IgG. Seroprevalence of HEV IgG was 6.58% in ALD, 8.66% in HCV, 8.81% in NAFLD and 19.86% in HBV. We observed increasing HEV IgG seroprevalence over time in our study period, and in 2015-2018, seroprevalence was highest among the individuals with HCV (10.00%) and HBV (30.30%). Older age and being born outside of the United States were associated with seropositivity for HEV IgG in ALD, NAFLD, HBV, and for HCV, older age and being at or below poverty level were associated with seroprevalence for HEV IgG. In conclusion, we observed a relatively high prevalence of HEV among adults with CLD. These data highlight the need for greater awareness and education about the role of HEV in patients with underlying CLD, improving HEV test diagnostics, and revisiting the discussion about the potential role of HEV vaccines in CLD patients who are at higher risk of decompensation and death from acute HEV infection.

Real-world Comorbidity Burden, Health Care Utilization, and Costs of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Patients With Advanced Liver Diseases

GOALS

This study evaluates the real-world comorbidity burden, health care resource utilization (HRU), and costs among nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) patients with advanced liver diseases [compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), liver transplantation (LT), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)].

BACKGROUND

NAFLD/NASH is a leading cause of liver diseases.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adult NAFLD/NASH patients were identified retrospectively from MarketScan Commercial claims (2006-2016). Following initial NAFLD/NASH diagnosis, advanced liver diseases were identified using the first diagnosis as their index date. Mean annual all-cause HRU and costs (2016 USD) were reported. Adjusted costs were estimated through generalized linear models. Cumulative costs were illustrated for patient subsets with variable follow-up for each stage.

RESULTS

Within the database, 485,774 NAFLD/NASH patients met eligibility criteria. Of these, 93.4% (453,564) were NAFLD/NASH patients without advanced liver diseases, 1.6% (7665) with CC, 3.3% (15,833) with DCC, 0.1% (696) with LT, and 0.1% (428) with HCC. Comorbidity burden was high and increased as patients progressed through liver disease severity stages. Compared with NAFLD/NASH without advanced liver diseases (adjusted costs: $23,860), the annual cost of CC, DCC, LT, and HCC were 1.22, 5.64, 8.27, and 4.09 times higher [adjusted costs: $29,078, $134,448, $197,392, and $97,563 (P<0.0001)]. Inpatient admissions significantly drove increasing HRU.

CONCLUSION

Study findings suggest the need for early identification and effective management of NAFLD/NASH patients to minimize comorbidity burden, HRU, and costs in the privately insured US population.

Primary biliary cholangitis has the highest waitlist mortality in patients with cirrhosis and acute on chronic liver failure awaiting liver transplant

BACKGROUND

Data are sparse on etiology specific outcomes on waitlist (WL) and post-transplant outcomes among patients with acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

In a retrospective cohort of 14,774 adults from United network for organ sharing (UNOS) database listed for Liver transplantation (LT) with cirrhosis and ACLF (January 2013-June 2019), 40% were due to alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), followed by hepatitis C virus (HCV) at 20%, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (19%), cryptogenic cirrhosis (7%), autoimmune hepatitis (5%), primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) at 3%, and 2% each for hepatitis B, primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), and metabolic etiology. Using competing risk analysis, cumulative risk of WL mortality was highest for PBC at 20.5% and lowest for PSC at 13.3%, P < .001. Compared with ALD as reference, WL mortality was higher for PBC (1.45 [1.16-1.82]), and similar for other etiologies, P < .001. Of this cohort, 9650 (65.3%) patients received LT, with 1-year. patient survival of 91.6% for PBC, worst for cryptogenic cirrhosis (89.5%) and best for PSC and ALD (93.4%), P < .001.

CONCLUSION

Among listed candidates with ACLF, those with PBC have highest WL mortality 1-year. post-transplant survival was excellent among recipients for PBC. If these findings are validated in prospective studies, liver disease etiology should be considered for LT selection among patients in ACLF.

The Effect of Hospital Safety-Net Burden and Patient Ethnicity on In-Hospital Mortality Among Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Over 2.1 million individuals in the United Stats have cirrhosis, including 513,000 with decompensated cirrhosis. Hospitals with high safety-net burden disproportionately serve ethnic minorities and have reported worse outcomes in surgical literature. No studies to date have evaluated whether hospital safety-net burden negatively affects hospitalization outcomes in cirrhosis. We aim to evaluate the impact of hospitals' safety-net burden and patients' ethnicity on in-hospital mortality among cirrhosis patients.

METHODS

Using National Inpatient Sample data from 2012 to 2016, the largest United States all-payer inpatient health care claims database of hospital discharges, cirrhosis-related hospitalizations were stratified into tertiles of safety-net burden: high (HBH), medium (MBH), and low (LBH) burden hospitals. Safety-net burden was calculated as percentage of hospitalizations per hospital with Medicaid or uninsured payer status. Multivariable logistic regression evaluated factors associated with in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Among 322,944 cirrhosis-related hospitalizations (63.7% white, 9.9% black, 15.6% Hispanic), higher odds of hospitalization in HBHs versus MBH/LBHs was observed in blacks (OR, 1.26; 95%CI, 1.17-1.35; P<0.001) and Hispanics (OR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.50-1.78; P<0.001) versus whites. Cirrhosis-related hospitalizations in MBHs or HBHs were associated with greater odds of in-hospital mortality versus LBHs (HBH vs. LBH: OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.00-1.10; P=0.044). Greater odds of in-hospital mortality was observed in blacks (OR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.21-1.34; P<0.001) versus whites.

CONCLUSION

Cirrhosis patients hospitalized in HBH experienced 5% higher mortality than those in LBH, resulting in significantly greater deaths in cirrhosis patients. Even after adjusting for safety-net burden, blacks with cirrhosis had 27% higher in-hospital mortality compared with whites.

Alcohol-associated liver disease in the United States is associated with severe forms of disease among young, females and Hispanics

BACKGROUND

Alcohol use and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) burden are increasing in young individuals.

AIM

To assess host factors associated with this burden.

METHODS

National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Inpatient Sample (NIS), and United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) databases (2006-2016) were used to identify individuals with harmful alcohol use, ALD-related admissions, and ALD-related LT listings respectively.

RESULTS

Of 15 981 subjects in NHANES database, weighted prevalence of harmful alcohol use was 17.7%, 29.3% in <35 years (G1) versus 16.9% in 35-64 years (G2) versus 5.1% in ≥65 years (G3). Alcohol use was about 11 and 4.7 folds higher in G1 and G2 versus G3, respectively. Male gender and Hispanic race associated with harmful alcohol use. Of 593 600 ALD admissions (5%, 77%, and 18% in G1-G3 respectively), acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) occurred in 7.2%, (7.2 in G2 vs 6.7% in G1 and G3, P < 0.001). After controlling for other variables, ACLF development among ALD hospitalizations was higher by 14% and 10% in G1 and G2 versus G3, respectively. Female gender and Hispanic race were associated with increased ACLF risk by 8% and 17% respectively. Of 20,245 ALD LT listings (3.4%, 84.4%, and 12.2% in G1-G3 respectively), ACLF occurred in 28% candidates. Risk of severe (grade 2 or 3) ACLF was higher by about 1.7 fold in G1, 1.5 fold in females and 20% in Hispanics.

CONCLUSION

Young age, female gender, and Hispanic race are independently associated with ALD-related burden and ACLF in the United States. If these findings are validated in prospective studies, strategies will be needed to reduce alcohol use in high risk individuals to reduce burden from ALD.

An Updated Assessment of Chronic Hepatitis B Prevalence Among Foreign-Born Persons Living in the United States

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Although prevalence of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the USA includes 0.42 million (range, 0.28-0.67) U.S.-born persons, foreign-born (FB) persons contribute a substantially larger number to the burden of CHB in the USA. Over the past decade, patterns of U.S. immigration have changed and many countries have implemented HBV prevention programs. This study aims to estimate the number of FB persons with CHB in the USA by country of origin, updating our 2011 study.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We performed systematic searches for articles published in 2009-2019 reporting HBsAg seroprevalence in emigrants and in-country populations of 117 countries. Data meeting inclusion criteria were combined with data from our 2011 study to calculate pooled prevalence estimates for 99 countries using meta-analyses (total 2,800 surveys involving 112 million subjects). Combining country-specific CHB rate estimates with the number of FB in the USA in 2018, by country of origin from the U.S. Census Bureau, we estimate that the number of FB with CHB in the USA in 2018 was 1.47 million (95% CI, 1.21-1.73), substantially higher than previously reported. The weighted average CHB prevalence for all FB in the USA in 2018 was 3.07%. Approximately 59% of FB with CHB in the USA in 2018 emigrated from Asia, 19% from the Americas, and 15% from Africa. Subgroup analyses found that for many countries, CHB rates are higher in males than females and have declined over the past three decades, but no consistent pattern is observed between emigrant and in-country rates.

CONCLUSIONS

Including FB and U.S.-born persons, the total prevalence of CHB in the USA may be as high as 2.4 million.

Validating a novel score based on interaction between ACLF grade and MELD score to predict waitlist mortality

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Among candidates listed for liver transplant (LT), the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score may not capture acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) severity. Data on the interaction between ACLF and MELD score in predicting waitlist mortality are scarce.

METHODS

We analyzed the UNOS database (01/2002 to 06/2018) for LT listings in adults with cirrhosis and ACLF (without hepatocellular carcinoma). ACLF grades 1, 2, 3a, and 3b- were defined using the modified EASL-CLIF criteria.

RESULTS

Of 18,416 candidates with ACLF at listing (mean age 54 years, 69% males, 63% Caucasians), 90-day waitlist mortality (patient death or being too sick for LT) was 21.6% (18%, 20%, 25%, and 39% for ACLF grades 1, 2, 3a, and 3b, respectively). Using a Fine and Gray regression model, we identified an interaction between MELD and ACLF grade, with ACLF having a higher impact at lower MELD scores. Other variables included candidate's age, sex, liver disease etiology, listing MELD, ACLF grade, obesity, and performance status. A score developed using parameter estimates from the interaction model on the derivation cohort (n = 9,181) stratified the validation cohort (n = 9,235) into quartiles: Q1 (score <10.42), Q2 (10.42-12.81), Q3 (12.82-15.50), and Q4 (>15.50). Waitlist mortality increased with each quartile from 13%, 18%, 23%, and 36%, respectively. Observed vs. expected waitlist mortality deciles in the validation cohort showed good calibration (goodness of fit p = 0.98) and correlation (R = 0.99).

CONCLUSION

Among selected candidates who have ACLF at listing, MELD score and ACLF interact in predicting cumulative risk of 90-day waitlist mortality, with higher impact of ACLF grade at lower listing MELD score. Validating these findings in large prospective studies will support consideration of both MELD and ACLF when prioritizing transplant candidates and allocating liver grafts.

LAY SUMMARY

In patients with cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation, the presence of multiorgan failure, a condition referred to as acute-on-chronic liver failure, is associated with high waiting list mortality rates. Current organ allocation policy disadvantages patients with this condition. This study describes and validates a new scoring method that performs better than the currently available scoring systems. Further validation of this approach may reduce the deaths of patients with cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure on the transplant waiting list.

Acute on Chronic Liver Failure From Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Growing and Aging Cohort With Rising Mortality

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We assessed the burden of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) among transplant candidates in the United States, along with waitlist outcomes for this population.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We analyzed the United Network for Organ Sharing registry from 2005 to 2017. Patients with ACLF were identified using the European Association for the Study of the Liver/Chronic Liver Failure criteria and categorized into NAFLD, alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We used linear regression and Chow's test to determine significance in trends and evaluated waitlist outcomes using Fine and Gray's competing risks regression and Cox proportional hazards regression. Between 2005 and 2017, waitlist registrants for NAFLD-ACLF rose by 331.6% from 134 to 574 candidates (P < 0.001), representing the largest percentage increase in the study population. ALD-ACLF also increased by 206.3% (348-1,066 registrants; P < 0.001), whereas HCV-ACLF declined by 45.2% (P < 0.001). As of 2017, the NAFLD-ACLF population consisted primarily of persons aged ≥60 years (54.1%), and linear regression demonstrated a significant rise in the proportion of patients aged ≥65 in this group (β = 0.90; P = 0.011). Since 2014, NAFLD-ACLF grade 1 was associated with a greater risk of waitlist mortality relative to ALD-ACLF (subhazard ratio [SHR] = 1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.44) and HCV-ACLF (SHR = 1.35; 95% CI, 1.08-1.71), among patients aged ≥60 years. Mortality was similar among the three groups for patients with ACLF grade 2 or 3.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD is the fastest rising etiology of cirrhosis associated with ACLF among patients listed in the United States. As the NAFLD population continues to grow and age, patients with NAFLD-ACLF will likely have the highest risk of waitlist mortality.

Trends in mortality in hepatitis C infection and alcoholic liver disease based on drug overdose in the United States

We examined trends in mortality from hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and alcoholic liver disease (ALD) in the setting of drug overdose. Using US Census and national mortality records (2009-2018), we identified deaths with HCV infection, ALD and drug overdose. HCV-related mortality without drug overdose increased up to 2014, followed by a marked decrease. Mortality from HCV and drug overdose increased significantly. Whereas ALD-related mortality without drug overdose continued to rise, no significant trend from ALD with drug overdose was noted. HCV-related mortalities reduced after the introduction of DAA agents, while drug overdose-related mortality in HCV was constantly increased.