Data Linkages for Wildfire Exposures and Human Health Studies: A Scoping Review

Wildfires are increasing in frequency and intensity, with significant consequences that impact human health. A scoping review was conducted to: (a) understand wildfire-related health effects, (b) identify and describe environmental exposure and health outcome data sources used to research the impacts of wildfire exposures on health, and (c) identify gaps and opportunities to leverage exposure and health data to advance research. A literature search was conducted in PubMed and a sample of 83 articles met inclusion criteria. A majority of studies focused on respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes. Hospital administrative data was the most common health data source, followed by government data sources and health surveys. Wildfire smoke, specifically fine particulate matter (PM2.5), was the most common exposure measure and was predominantly estimated from monitoring networks and satellite data. Health data were not available in real-time, and they lacked spatial and temporal coverage to study health outcomes with longer latency periods. Exposure data were often available in real-time and provided better temporal and spatial coverage but did not capture the complex mixture of hazardous wildfire smoke pollutants nor exposures associated with non-air pathways such as soil, household dust, food, and water. This scoping review of the specific health and exposure data sources used to underpin these studies provides a framework for the research community to understand: (a) the use and value of various environmental and health data sources, and (b) the opportunities for improving data collection, integration, and accessibility to help inform our understanding of wildfires and other environmental exposures.

Childhood-Onset Lupus Nephritis in the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Registry: Short-Term Kidney Status and Variation in Care

OBJECTIVE

The goal was to characterize short-term kidney status and describe variation in early care utilization in a multicenter cohort of patients with childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE) and nephritis.

METHODS

We analyzed previously collected prospective data from North American patients with cSLE with kidney biopsy-proven nephritis enrolled in the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA) Registry from March 2017 through December 2019. We determined the proportion of patients with abnormal kidney status at the most recent registry visit and applied generalized linear mixed models to identify associated factors. We also calculated frequency of medication use, both during induction and ever recorded.

RESULTS

We identified 222 patients with kidney biopsy-proven nephritis, with 64% class III/IV nephritis on initial biopsy. At the most recent registry visit at median (interquartile range) of 17 (8-29) months from initial kidney biopsy, 58 of 106 patients (55%) with available data had abnormal kidney status. This finding was associated with male sex (odds ratio [OR] 3.88, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.21-12.46) and age at cSLE diagnosis (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.01-1.49). Patients with class IV nephritis were more likely than class III to receive cyclophosphamide and rituximab during induction. There was substantial variation in mycophenolate, cyclophosphamide, and rituximab ever use patterns across rheumatology centers.

CONCLUSION

In this cohort with predominately class III/IV nephritis, male sex and older age at cSLE diagnosis were associated with abnormal short-term kidney status. We also observed substantial variation in contemporary medication use for pediatric lupus nephritis between pediatric rheumatology centers. Additional studies are needed to better understand the impact of this variation on long-term kidney outcomes.

Cost-Effectiveness of Unrelated Umbilical Cord Blood vs. HLA Haploidentical Related Bone Marrow Transplant: Evidence from BMT CTN 1101

BACKGROUND

BMT CTN 1101 was a Phase III randomized controlled trial comparing reduced intensity conditioning followed by double unrelated umbilical cord blood (UCB) versus HLA-haploidentical related donor bone marrow (haplo-BM) transplantation for patients with high-risk hematologic malignancies.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to report the results of a parallel cost-effectiveness analysis.

STUDY DESIGN

Three hundred sixty-eight patients were randomized to unrelated UCB (n=186) or haplo-BM (n=182) transplant. We estimated healthcare utilization and costs using propensity score-matched BMT patients from the OptumLabs^Ⓡ Data Warehouse for trial participants <65 years and Medicare claims for participants ≥65 years. Weibull models were used to estimate 20-year survival. EQ-5D surveys by trial participants were used estimate Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs).

RESULTS

At 5-year follow-up, survival was 42% for haplo-BM versus 36% for UCB (P=.06). Over a 20-year time horizon, haplo-BM is expected to be more effective (+0.63 QALY) and more costly +$118,953) for persons under 65. For those over 65, haplo-BM is expected to be more effective and less costly. In one-way uncertainty analyses, for persons <65, the cost per QALY result was most sensitive to life years and health state utilities. For persons ≥65, life years were more influential than costs and health state utilities.

CONCLUSION

Compared to UCB, haplo-BM was moderately cost-effective for patients aged <65 years, and less costly and more effective for persons ≥65 years. Haplo-BM is a fair value choice for commercially insured patients with high-risk leukemia and lymphoma who require HCT. For Medicare enrollees, haplo-BM is a preferred choice when considering costs and outcomes.

Intraarticular steroids as DMARD-sparing agents for juvenile idiopathic arthritis flares: Analysis of the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Registry

BACKGROUND

Children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) who achieve a drug free remission often experience a flare of their disease requiring either intraarticular steroids (IAS) or systemic treatment with disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs). IAS offer an opportunity to recapture disease control and avoid exposure to side effects from systemic immunosuppression. We examined a cohort of patients treated with IAS after drug free remission and report the probability of restarting systemic treatment within 12 months.

METHODS

We analyzed a cohort of patients from the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA) Registry who received IAS for a flare after a period of drug free remission. Historical factors and clinical characteristics and of the patients including data obtained at the time of treatment were analyzed.

RESULTS

We identified 46 patients who met the inclusion criteria. Of those with follow up data available 49% had restarted systemic treatment 6 months after IAS injection and 70% had restarted systemic treatment at 12 months. The proportion of patients with prior use of a biologic DMARD was the only factor that differed between patients who restarted systemic treatment those who did not, both at 6 months (79% vs 35%, p < 0.01) and 12 months (81% vs 33%, p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

While IAS are an option for all patients who flare after drug free remission, it may not prevent the need to restart systemic treatment. Prior use of a biologic DMARD may predict lack of success for IAS. Those who previously received methotrexate only, on the other hand, are excellent candidates for IAS.

Social determinants of health influence disease activity and functional disability in Polyarticular Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis

BACKGROUND

Social determinants of health (SDH) greatly influence outcomes during the first year of treatment in rheumatoid arthritis, a disease similar to polyarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis (pJIA). We investigated the correlation of community poverty level and other SDH with the persistence of moderate to severe disease activity and functional disability over the first year of treatment in pJIA patients enrolled in the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Registry.

METHODS

In this cohort study, unadjusted and adjusted generalized linear mixed effects models analyzed the effect of community poverty and other SDH on disease activity, using the clinical Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score-10, and disability, using the Child Health Assessment Questionnaire, measured at baseline, 6, and 12 months.

RESULTS

One thousand six hundred eighty-four patients were identified. High community poverty (≥20% living below the federal poverty level) was associated with increased odds of functional disability (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.28-2.60) but was not statistically significant after adjustment (aOR 1.23, 95% CI 0.81-1.86) and was not associated with increased disease activity. Non-white race/ethnicity was associated with higher disease activity (aOR 2.48, 95% CI: 1.41-4.36). Lower self-reported household income was associated with higher disease activity and persistent functional disability. Public insurance (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.06-2.29) and low family education (aOR 1.89, 95% CI 1.14-3.12) was associated with persistent functional disability.

CONCLUSION

High community poverty level was associated with persistent functional disability in unadjusted analysis but not with persistent moderate to high disease activity. Race/ethnicity and other SDH were associated with persistent disease activity and functional disability.

Abstract P6-12-09: Association between cardiovascular risk factors and cardiac events among breast cancer patients enrolled in SWOG clinical trials

Background: Due to early detection and improved treatments, women with breast cancer are living longer. Breast cancer shares risk factors with cardiovascular disease (CVD), and its treatments have adverse cardiovascular effects. Less is known about the association between cardiac risk factors and long-term cardiac events among the patients enrolled in breast cancer trials, as most trials fail to collect this information.

Methods: We examined the SWOG database to identify phase II/III breast cancer trials from 1999-2011. Among patients over 65 years, we linked the SWOG clinical records to Medicare claims data according to social security number and date of birth. This analysis included patients with 6+ months of Medicare coverage prior to baseline and 12+ months of Medicare coverage at any point after baseline. The comorbidities investigated at baseline were diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, coronary artery/ischemic heart disease and obesity. A cardiac event was defined as an acute ischemic event or acute heart failure. Cox regression was used to calculate time-to-event, stratified by study ID and adjusted for baseline age, race, and prognostic risk score. Cox regression was performed separately for each CVD risk factor, and an additional analysis was performed to assess the impact of having multiple concurrent risk factors. Secondary analyses were performed separately by study type (Adjuvant, Advanced).

Results: Among patients linked to Medicare included in this cohort (N=742), the median age was 70, and median follow-up was 6 years. The majority of patients were non-Hispanic white. The most prevalent conditions were hypercholesterolemia (58%) and hypertension (73%). Only 13% had no baseline risk CVD factors. In a Cox regression, all baseline risk factors except hypercholesterolemia and obesity were statistically significantly or borderline statistically significantly associated with an increased risk of eventual cardiac event, and for ischemic heart disease the increased risk was more than two-fold (HR=2.27, 95% CI=1.46-3.54, p=0.0003) and for baseline diabetes nearly two-fold (HR=1.75, 95% CI=1.13-2.71, p=0.01). In addition, there was evidence of a linear association of number of concurrent risk factors and cardiac events (HR per additional risk factor = 1.35 (1.09-1.66), p=0.005). In the stratified analysis, the associations were statistically significant only for participants on adjuvant studies. No association between baseline cardiac risk factors and cardiovascular outcomes were seen among patients with advanced cancer.

Conclusions:In summary, we found that even among healthy breast cancer patients selected for clinical trials, baseline CVD risk factors are associated with an increased risk of cardiac events, however this association was not observed for patients with advanced disease, who are more likely to die from breast cancer before experiencing a cardiovascular event.

Citation Format: Hershman DL, Till C, Wright JD, Ramsey SD, Barlow WE, Unger JM. Association between cardiovascular risk factors and cardiac events among breast cancer patients enrolled in SWOG clinical trials [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-12-09.

A Historical Analysis of the Environmental Footprint of Peanut Production in the United States from 1980 to 2014

The last half century has seen a significant shift in agricultural practices, affecting productivity, resource use, and ultimately, environmental impacts. These increases have been the result of several developments, including increases in irrigation, the expanded application of fertilizers and pesticides, improved plant genetics, and the development of mechanized operations. Changes in production practices are highlighted here for peanut crops for the years 1980 to 2014. This study uses a resource efficiency methodology from cradle-to-farm gate to examine land use, energy efficiency, soil erosion (water and wind), irrigation water usage, and environmental/greenhouse gas emissions. During the historical period, yields increased from under 2000 kg/ha in the Southwest and an average of 3000 kg/ha in the Southeast and Virginia-Carolina regions to over 4000 kg/ha across all regions. Most of this increase occurred after the year 2000. Overall trends of nitrogen fertilizer applications per planted hectare were increasing; however, chemical protections, fuel use and electricity associated with cultivation, harvest, and drying declined. Energy utilization per hectare and kg of peanut showed steady declines over the last 40 years, particularly in the Southeast and Virginia-Carolina production regions. Results indicated that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have been on the decline across all production regions, from greater than 1 kg CO2e/kg peanut in the early 1980s to less than 0.6 kg CO2e/kg peanuts in 2013, a 40% decrease in GHG production.

Low Fuel Convergence Path to Direct-Drive Fusion Ignition

A new class of inertial fusion capsules is presented that combines multishell targets with laser direct drive at low intensity (2.8×10^{14}  W/cm^{2}) to achieve robust ignition. The targets consist of three concentric, heavy, metal shells, enclosing a volume of tens of μg of liquid deuterium-tritium fuel. Ignition is designed to occur well "upstream" from stagnation, with minimal pusher deceleration to mitigate interface Rayleigh-Taylor growth. Laser intensities below thresholds for laser plasma instability and cross beam energy transfer facilitate high hydrodynamic efficiency (∼10%).

Issues concerning spectral analysis of water samples for monitoring and treatment of public water resources

Experimental measurements conducted in the laboratory, involving hyperspectral analysis of water samples taken from public water resources, have motivated a re-evaluation of issues concerning the potential application of this type of analysis for water monitoring, treatment and evaluation prior to filtration. One issue concerns hyperspectral monitoring of contaminants with respect to types and relative concentrations. This implies a need to better understand the statistical profiles of water contaminants in terms of spatial-temporal distributions of electromagnetic absorption spectra ranging from the ultraviolet to infrared, which are associated with specific water resources. This issue also implies the need to establish correlations between hyperspectral signatures and types of contaminants to be found within specific water resources. Another issue concerns the use of absorption spectra to determine changes in chemical and physical characteristics of contaminants after application of water treatments, in order to determine levels of toxicity with respect to the environment. This paper presents a prototype spectral analysis showing various aspects relevant to water monitoring and discusses the use of basic theory for the interpretation of spectral features associated with water contaminants, as well as discussing inverse analysis of hyperspectral measurements.

Cortisol, obesity, and the metabolic syndrome: a cross-sectional study of obese subjects and review of the literature

OBJECTIVE

Circulating cortisol and psychosocial stress may contribute to the pathogenesis of obesity and metabolic syndrome (MS). To evaluate these relationships, a cross-sectional study of 369 overweight and obese subjects and 60 healthy volunteers was performed and reviewed the previous literature.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Overweight and obese subjects had at least two other features of Cushing's syndrome. They underwent measurements representing cortisol dynamics (24 h urine cortisol excretion (UFC), bedtime salivary cortisol, 1 mg dexamethasone suppression test) and metabolic parameters (BMI, blood pressure (BP); fasting serum triglycerides, HDL, insulin, and glucose). Subjects also completed the Perceived Stress Scale (PSS). UFC, salivary cortisol, and weight from 60 healthy volunteers were analyzed.

RESULTS

No subject had Cushing's syndrome. UFC and dexamethasone responses were not associated with BMI or weight. However, salivary cortisol showed a trend to increase as BMI increased (P < 0.0001), and correlated with waist circumference (WC) in men (rs = 0.28, P = 0.02) and systolic BP in women (rs = 0.24, P = 0.0008). Post-dexamethasone cortisol levels were weak to moderately correlated with fasting insulin (rs = -0.31, P = 0.01) and HOMA-IR (rs = -0.31, P = 0.01) in men and systolic (rs = 0.18, P = 0.02) and diastolic BP (rs = 0.20, P = 0.009) in women. PSS results were higher in obese subjects than controls, but were not associated with cortisol or metabolic parameters. As expected, WC correlated with fasting insulin, HOMA-IR, and systolic BP (adjusted for BMI and gender; P < 0.01). Literature showed inconsistent relationships between cortisol and metabolic parameters.

CONCLUSION

Taken together, these data do not support a strong relationship between systemic cortisol or stress and obesity or MS.

Patterns of blood product use among patients with myelodysplastic syndrome

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Most patients with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) require blood product support to manage the severe anaemias, which frequently accompany MDS. Our objective was to show the feasibility of linking the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database with records from Puget Sound Blood Center (PSBC) to characterize blood product use over time in successive cohorts of patients with MDS.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We identified patients with MDS in the SEER registry. The cohort was then linked to PSBC records to discern blood product use.

RESULTS

Included in the analysis were 783 patients with MDS entered in the SEER database from 2001 to 2007 for whom data were also available in the PSBC database. Among patients with MDS who received transfusions, 97% received packed red blood cells; 52% received platelets. The proportion of patients with MDS receiving blood products declined from 2001 to 2007.

CONCLUSION

These data show a recent decline in blood product use for patients with MDS. Future studies are needed to further evaluate the reasons for this finding, specifically exploring the impact of newer medications on blood product use in patients with MDS.

Survey of the prevalence, diagnosis and treatment of dermatological conditions in small animals in general practice

A survey was made of the prevalence, diagnosis and treatment of dermatological conditions in small animals in general practice in the UK. Out of 3707 small animal consultations in general practice that were observed and recorded, 795 (21.4 per cent) involved animals that had a dermatological problem. In dogs and exotic species, pruritus was the most common presenting sign, accounting for 30 to 40 per cent of the dermatological consultations. In cats, cutaneous swellings were the most common presentation (36 per cent). A diagnosis or recommendation for treatment was made on the basis of the presenting clinical signs and physical examination alone in 576 (72 per cent) of the cases, and various diagnostic tests were performed in the other cases. In dogs, parasitic infestations, bacterial infections and neoplasia accounted for the majority of the diagnoses. In cats, parasites and bacterial infections were the most common. In exotic species, parasites accounted for over 80 per cent of the dermatological diagnoses. In dogs, the most common final diagnoses were otitis, pyoderma, anal sac impaction, flea infestation and atopic dermatitis. In cats, abscesses, flea infestation, and otitis were the most common diagnoses. In exotic species, the most common diagnosis was an unspecified mite infestation. Systemic antibiotics were prescribed in 196 cases (25 per cent), systemic glucocorticoids were prescribed in 162 cases (20 per cent) and treatment with an ectoparasiticide was prescribed in 167 cases (21 per cent).

Helen Wingate: pioneering a woman's role in urology

When the British Association of Urological Surgeons was founded in 1945, 2 female founder members registered. One of these was Helen Wingate, Associate Specialist in Urology at Glasgow Royal Infirmary and Consultant Urologist and General Surgeon at Redlands Hospital for Women, and a pioneer of women in urology. The early days of urology as a specialty at Glasgow Royal Infirmary, and the pioneering role played by Dr Wingate as a female consultant in a new surgical speciality are described in this article.

The longitudinal relationship between circulating concentrations of C-reactive protein, interleukin-6 and interleukin-10 in patients undergoing resection for renal cancer

The systemic inflammatory response, as evidenced by elevated circulating concentrations of C-reactive protein, is a stage-independent prognostic factor in patients undergoing curative nephrectomy for localised renal cancer. However, it is not clear whether the systemic inflammatory response arises from the tumour per se or as a result of an impaired immune cytokine response. The aim of the present study was to examine C-reactive protein, interleukin-6 and interleukin-10 concentrations before and following curative resection of renal cancer. Sixty-four patients with malignant renal disease and 12 with benign disease, undergoing resection were studied. Preoperatively, a blood sample was collected for routine laboratory analysis with a further sample stored before analysis of interleukin-6 and interleukin-10 using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) technique. The blood sampling procedure and analyses were repeated at approximately 3 months following resection. Circulating concentrations of both interleukin-6 and interleukin (P⩽0.01) were higher and a greater proportion were elevated (P<0.05) in malignant compared with benign disease. The renal cancer patients were grouped according to whether they had evidence of a systemic inflammatory response. In the inflammatory group T stage was higher (P<0.01), both interleukin-6 and interleukin-10 concentrations were higher (P<0.001) and elevated (P<0.10) compared with the non-inflammatory group. Tumour volume was weakly correlated with C-reactive protein (r²=0.20, P=0.002), interleukin-6 (r²=0.20, P=0.002) and interleukin-10 (r²=0.24, P=0.001). Following nephrectomy the proportion of patients with elevated C-reactive protein, interleukin-6 and interleukin-10 concentrations did not alter significantly. An elevated preoperative C-reactive protein was associated with increased tumour stage, interleukin-6 and interleukin-10 concentrations. However, resection of the primary tumour did not appear to be associated with significant normalisation of circulating concentrations of C-reactive protein, interleukin-6 or interleukin-10. Therefore, the presence of systemic inflammatory response is unlikely to be solely be determined by the tumour itself, but may be as a result of an impaired immune cytokine response in patients with renal cancer.

Time from diagnosis to treatment initiation in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC): Time trends and racial differences

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Background: Historical survival evaluation of clinical trials for advanced NSCLC suggests that median survival improved by 0.4 months over a 22 year period. Survival in clinical trails is evaluated from treatment initiation and not from diagnosis. If treatment is initiated earlier over time, this may create a lead-time effect on survival analysis and thus may explain the apparent discrepancy between trial findings and outcomes in the community. Objective: Investigate if, over time, there has been a shortening of the time between the diagnosis of NSCLC and the initiation of chemotherapy. Methods: We evaluated patients with NSCLC stages IIIB and IV between 01/01/1994 and 12/31/1999. Date of diagnosis was obtained from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER). Treatment data was obtained from Medicare claims and is restricted to patients above age 65. Differences were compared using analysis of variance (ANOVA). Results: A total of 11,995 patients were identified. Patient’s characteristics: median age 74 years; 57% of patients were males; racial distribution: white (82.4%), black (9.4%), Asian (3.2%), Hispanics (1.2%), others (3.8%); stage distribution: IIIB (38%), IV (62%). Chemotherapy was given to 3,377 (28%) patients. There was an increase in chemotherapy utilization over time: 10% in 1994 to 35% in 1999. Over time there was a shortening from diagnosis to chemotherapy initiation from 1.6 months in 1994 to 1.3 months in 1999 (p = 0.0004). Among those receiving chemotherapy, median survival from diagnosis did not change over this time period. Black patients had a longer time between diagnosis and treatment initiation: 1.7 months vs. 1.4 months (p < 0.01). Conclusions: Over time, there has been a shortening of the time between diagnosis and chemotherapy initiation. This difference, although small, seems to account for much of the apparent historical survival benefit observed. This finding puts additional limitation on the historical comparisons of survival between trials. Racial differences may help explain, in part, observed differences in outcome.

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Induction chemotherapy + gefitinib followed by concurrent chemotherapy/radiation therapy/gefitinib for patients (pts) with locally advanced squamous carcinoma of the head and neck: A phase I/II trial of the Minnie Pearl Cancer Research Network

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Background: Concurrent chemotherapy/radiation therapy (RT) improves treatment outcome in pts with locally advanced unresectable squamous cancers of the head and neck. We previously reported a 51% 3-year disease-free survival with induction paclitaxel/carboplatin/5-FU followed by concurrent paclitaxel/carboplatin/RT. In this phase II trial, we added gefitinib, an EGFR inhibitor, to a similar chemoradiation regimen. Methods: All pts had squamous carcinoma of the head and neck, with at least one of the following: N1-N3 disease, T3 or T4 primary lesion, nasopharynx primary (except T1N0M0). Additional eligibility: no previous therapy, ECOG PS 0 or 1, adequate bone marrow, kidney, liver function; informed consent. All pts received initial docetaxel 60mg/m2 D1, 22; carboplatin AUC 5.0 D1, 22; 5-FU 200mg/m2, 24-hour CI, D1–43; gefitinib 250mg PO qd, D1–43. Beginning week 8, pts received RT, 1.8Gy single daily dose to total 68.4 Gy, and concurrent docetaxel 20mg/m2 weekly × 6 doses + gefitinib 250mg PO daily. At completion of therapy, pts were reevaluated with CT scans and endoscopy. Results: 45 pts entered this trial between 8/04 and 8/05. Pertinent clinical characteristics: clinical T3/T4, 17; N2/N3, 23. 42 pts (93%) completed induction chemotherapy. 34 pts (76%) have completed combined modality therapy and have been restaged. Response to treatment: 11 CR (32%); 18 PR (53%); 5 stable/progression (15%). After median follow-up 7 months, 9 patients (20%) have developed progressive cancer. Actuarial PFS and OS at 1 year are 68% and 86%, respectively. Grade 3/4 myelosuppression was common, and grade 3/4 mucositis occurred in all pts during combined modality therapy. One pt had a treatment-related death during combined modality therapy. The addition of gefitinib did not substantially increase toxicity. Conclusions: This combined modality regimen was feasible and produced high response rates in pts with locally advanced head and neck cancer. Toxicity was consistent with other effective combined modality regimens for these pts. Further follow-up is needed to better assess the benefit of this approach.

[Table: see text]

Transcriptional noise and cellular heterogeneity in mammalian macrophages

Transcriptional noise is known to play a crucial role in heterogeneity in bacteria and yeast. Mammalian macrophages are known to exhibit cell-to-cell variation in their responses to pathogens, but the source of this heterogeneity is not known. We have developed a detailed stochastic model of gene expression that takes into account scaling effects due to cell size and genome complexity. We report the results of applying this model to simulating gene expression variability in mammalian macrophages, demonstrating a possible molecular basis for heterogeneity in macrophage signalling responses. We note that the nature of predicted transcriptional noise in macrophages is different from that in yeast and bacteria. Some molecular interactions in yeast and bacteria are thought to have evolved to minimize the effects of the high-frequency noise observed in these species. Transcriptional noise in macrophages results in slow changes to gene expression levels and would not require the type of spike-filtering circuits observed in yeast and bacteria.

The relationship between the preoperative systemic inflammatory response and cancer-specific survival in patients undergoing potentially curative resection for renal clear cell cancer

The relationship between tumour stage, grade (Fuhrman), performance status (ECOG), a combined score (UCLA Integrated Staging System, UISS), systemic inflammatory response (elevated C-reactive protein concentration), and cancer-specific survival was examined in patients undergoing potentially curative resection for renal clear cell cancer (n=100). On univariate survival analysis, sex (P=0.050), tumour stage (P=0.001), Fuhrman grade (P<0.001), UISS (P<0.001), C-reactive protein (P=0.002) were significant predictors of survival. On multivariate analysis with sex, UISS and C-reactive protein entered as covariates, only UISS (HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.00-7.30, P=0.050) and C-reactive protein (HR 4.00, 95% CI 1.21-13.31, P=0.024) were significant independent predictors of survival. The presence of a preoperative systemic inflammatory response predicts poor cancer-specific survival in patients who have undergone potentially curative resection for renal clear cell cancer.

The Adults with Incapacity (Scotland) Act--Who knows? Who cares?

The Adults with Incapacity (Scotland) Act 2000 provides new guidelines on obtaining consent for adults who are incapable of providing informed consent. This article surveys current practice of health workers when obtaining consent from such individuals, and the results are compared to the Incapacity Act and local guidelines. The survey results suggest that practice of the guidelines is variable and often legally inadequate.

AIMS

To quantify awareness and practical application of the Adults with Incapacity (Scotland) Act in surgical wards in a central Glasgow teaching hospital, 2 years after the Act's introduction.

METHODS

An interviewer led anonymous questionnaire was presented to all degree educated staff encountered on random visits to acute and elective surgical and orthopaedic wards in a split site teaching hospital.

RESULTS

17 out of 50 staff approached (34%) had not heard of the Adults with Incapacity Act. There was a significantly higher level of awareness amongst staff based on acute wards (85%) when compared with those from elective wards (54%) (p < 0.05, chi-square) There was a complete absence offormal training in using the Act and knowledge was sometimes inaccurate or incorrect. Most staff that had heard of the Act could suggest causes of incapacity, but some included physical disability. There was a persistence of the belief that a relative can consentfor an incapable adult patient, and this was expressed by some of the staff despite knowledge of the Act.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that a significant number of ward staff have no knowledge of the Act; and understanding is variable amongst staff who have heard of it. The Adults with Incapacity (Scotland) Act 2000 is a unique piece of legislation to protect the interests of incapable patients, and doctors treating them; but is of no use if medical and nursing staff are unaware of its existence.

Evolution of design principles in biochemical networks

Computer modelling and simulation are commonly used to analyse engineered systems. Biological systems differ in that they often cannot be accurately characterised, so simulations are far from exact. Nonetheless, we argue in this paper that evolution results in recurring, dynamic organisational principles in biological systems, and that simulation can help to identify them and analyse their dynamic properties. As a specific example, we present a dynamic model of the galactose utilisation pathway in yeast, and highlight several features of the model that embody such 'design principles'.

Prevalence of pedigrees suggestive of hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer among a community sample of women eligible for screening mammography

OBJECTIVE

To determine from a large cohort of women eligible for screening mammography, the number who would meet criteria for genetic testing for hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer (HNPCC).

METHODS

Detailed personal and family cancer histories, obtained from 6,682 women aged 50-80 years randomly selected from communities in Washington State, were matched to the Amsterdam criteria, Bethesda guidelines, and Japanese criteria for HNPCC.

RESULTS

One (0.015%) respondent met the Amsterdam criteria, 2 (0.035%) met the Japanese criteria and 5 (0.075%) met the Bethesda guidelines.

CONCLUSION

Using the time of presentation for initial mammography as an opportunity to screen for HNPCC would detect very few families at high risk for this condition.

Implementation of ALARA radiation protection on the ISS through polyethylene shielding augmentation of the Service Module Crew Quarters

With 5-7 month long duration missions at 51.6 degrees inclination in Low Earth Orbit, the ionizing radiation levels to which International Space Station (ISS) crewmembers are exposed will be the highest planned occupational exposures in the world. Even with the expectation that regulatory dose limits will not be exceeded during a single tour of duty aboard the ISS, the "as low as reasonably achievable" (ALARA) precept requires that radiological risks be minimized when possible through a dose optimization process. Judicious placement of efficient shielding materials in locations where crewmembers sleep, rest, or work is an important means for implementing ALARA for spaceflight. Polyethylene (CnHn) is a relatively inexpensive, stable, and, with a low atomic number, an effective shielding material that has been certified for use aboard the ISS. Several designs for placement of slabs or walls of polyethylene have been evaluated for radiation exposure reduction in the Crew Quarters (CQ) of the Zvezda (Star) Service Module. Optimization of shield designs relies on accurate characterization of the expected primary and secondary particle environment and modeling of the predicted radiobiological responses of critical organs and tissues. Results of the studies shown herein indicate that 20% or more reduction in equivalent dose to the CQ occupant is achievable. These results suggest that shielding design and risk analysis are necessary measures for reducing long-term radiological risks to ISS inhabitants and for meeting legal ALARA requirements. Verification of shield concepts requires results from specific designs to be compared with onboard dosimetry.

The burden of illness and economic evaluation for COPD

In today's cost-conscious environment, understanding the economic implications associated with disease processes and their treatments is as important as understanding their clinical impact. Medical expenditures for treating chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and the indirect costs of morbidity can represent a substantial economic and social burden. Very little economic information concerning COPD is available, however, particularly outside of a few very well-developed Western nations. This article will provide an approach for conducting high-quality studies aimed at estimating the economic burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and for making economic evaluations of healthcare interventions aimed at preventing and treating this disease.

The role of hospital volume in coronary artery bypass grafting: is more always better?

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to determine whether outcomes of nonemergent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) differed between low- and high-volume hospitals in patients at different levels of surgical risk.

BACKGROUND

Regionalizing all CABG surgeries from low- to high-volume hospitals could improve surgical outcomes but reduce patient access and choice. "Targeted" regionalization could be a reasonable alternative, however, if subgroups of patients that would clearly benefit from care at high-volume hospitals could be identified.

METHODS

We assessed outcomes of CABG at 56 U.S. hospitals using 1997 administrative and clinical data from Solucient EXPLORE, a national outcomes benchmarking database. Predicted in-hospital mortality rates for subjects were calculated using a logistic regression model, and subjects were classified into five groups based on surgical risk: minimal (< 0.5%), low (0.5% to 2%), moderate (2% to 5%), high (5% to 20%), and severe (> or =20%). We assessed differences in in-hospital mortality, hospital costs and length of stay between low- and high-volume facilities (defined as > or =200 annual cases) in each of the five risk groups.

RESULTS

A total of 2,029 subjects who underwent CABG at 25 low-volume hospitals and 11,615 subjects who underwent CABG at 31 high-volume hospitals were identified. Significant differences in in-hospital mortality were seen between low- and high-volume facilities in subjects at moderate (5.3% vs. 2.2%; p = 0.007) and high risk (22.6% vs. 11.9%; p = 0.0026) but not in those at minimal, low or severe risk. Hospital costs and lengths of stay were similar across each of the five risk groups. Based on these results, targeted regionalization of subjects at moderate risk or higher to high-volume hospitals would have resulted in an estimated 370 transfers and avoided 16 deaths; in contrast, full regionalization would have led to 2,029 transfers and avoided 20 deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

Targeted regionalization might be a feasible strategy for balancing the clinical benefits of regionalization with patients' desires for choice and access.

Cost-effectiveness of microsatellite instability screening as a method for detecting hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The National Cancer Institute has published consensus guidelines for universal screening for hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer (HNPCC) in patients with newly diagnosed colorectal cancer.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the cost-effectiveness of screening compared with standard care in eligible patients with colorectal cancer and their siblings and children.

DESIGN

Cost-effectiveness analysis.

DATA SOURCES

National colorectal cancer registry data, the Creighton International Hereditary Colorectal Cancer Registry, Medicare claims records, and published literature.

TARGET POPULATION

Patients with newly diagnosed colorectal cancer and their siblings and children.

TIME HORIZON

Lifetime (varies depending on age at screening).

PERSPECTIVE

Societal.

INTERVENTIONS

Initial office-based screening to determine eligibility (based on personal and family cancer history), followed by tumor testing for microsatellite instability. Those with microsatellite instability were offered genetic testing for HNPCC. Siblings and children of patients with cancer and the HNPCC mutation were offered genetic testing, and those who were found to carry the mutation received lifelong colorectal cancer screening.

MEASUREMENTS

Life-years gained.

RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS

When only the patients with cancer were considered, cost-effectiveness of screening was $42 210 per life-year gained. When patients with cancer and their siblings and children were considered together, cost-effectiveness increased to $7556 per life-year gained.

RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

The model was most sensitive to the estimated survival gain from screening siblings and children, to the prevalence of HNPCC mutations among patients with newly diagnosed cancer, and to the discount rate. In probabilistic analysis, the 90% CI for the cost-effectiveness of screening patients with cancer plus their relatives was $4874 to $21 576 per life-year gained.

CONCLUSION

Screening patients with newly diagnosed colorectal cancer for HNPCC is cost-effective, especially if the benefits to their immediate relatives are considered.

Randomized trial of amplification strategies

BACKGROUND

Little is known about quality of life after the use of specific types of hearing aids, so it is difficult to determine whether technologies such as programmable circuits and directional microphones are worth the added expense.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the effectiveness of an assistive listening device, a nonprogrammable nondirectional microphone hearing aid, with that of a programmable directional microphone hearing aid against the absence of amplification.

DESIGN

Randomized controlled trial.

SETTING

Audiology clinic at the VA Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, Wash.

PATIENTS

Sixty veterans with bilateral moderate to severe sensorineural hearing loss completed the trial. Half the veterans (n = 30) had hearing loss that the Veterans Affairs clinic determined was rated as "service connected," which meant that they were eligible for Veterans Affairs-issued hearing aids.

INTERVENTION

Veterans with non-service-connected hearing loss, who were ineligible for Veterans Affairs-issued hearing aids, were randomly assigned to no amplification (control arm) or to receive an assistive listening device. Veterans with service-connected loss were randomly assigned to receive either the nonprogrammable hearing aid that is routinely issued ("conventional") or a programmable aid with a directional microphone ("programmable").

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Hearing-related quality of life, self-rated communication ability, adherence to use, and willingness to pay for the amplification devices (measured 3 months after fitting).

RESULTS

Clear distinctions were observed between all 4 arms. The mean improvement in hearing-related quality of life (Hearing Handicap Inventory for the Elderly) scores was small for control patients (2.2 points) and patients who received an assistive listening device (4.4 points), excellent for patients who received a conventional device (17.4 points), and substantial for patients who received a programmable device (31.1 points) (P<.001 by the analysis of variance test). Qualitative analyses of free-text diary entries, self-reported communication ability (Abbreviated Profile of Hearing Aid Benefit) scores, adherence to hearing aid use, and willingness to pay for replacement devices showed similar trends.

CONCLUSIONS

A programmable hearing aid with a directional microphone had the highest level of effectiveness in the veteran population. A nonprogrammable hearing aid with an omnidirectional microphone was also effective compared with an assistive listening device or no amplification.

Relative impact of patient and clinic factors on adherence to primary care preventive service guidelines: an exploratory study

BACKGROUND

Preventive care service use is commonly compared across health plans, clinics, or individual providers, yet little is known about the influence of the clinic versus patient factors on utilization of these services.

OBJECTIVES

To measure the relative influence of the facility (clinic) versus patient factors (demographic, behavioral and functional characteristics) on patients' utilization of mammography, Pap smears, cholesterol screening, and retinal exams for those with diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN

Retrospective analysis, using administrative and patient survey data.

SUBJECTS

Enrollees in 2 University-based clinics and a county hospital-based clinic serving a predominantly low-income population with limited access to health care. Eligibility for cervical cancer screening, screening mammography, cholesterol screening, or annual retinal exam (diabetes) was defined by age, sex, and diagnosis.

MEASURES

Multivariate models, one using readily available administrative data, and another using detailed health status and behavior data gathered from a clinics-wide survey.

RESULTS

Unadjusted screening rates for three of four procedures were significantly and substantially lower at the county hospital based clinic than the two University-based clinics. After adjusting for patient characteristics, utilization of three screening services at the county hospital remained significantly below the University-based clinics (Odds Ratios [95% CI]: mammogram 0.15 [0.06-0.35]; Pap smear 0.32 [0.21-0.50]; cholesterol 0.19 [0.09-0.38]; diabetes retinal exam10.68 [0.93-3.01]). The models with detailed survey data performed only marginally better than the models using only administrative data.

CONCLUSIONS

Patient characteristics were much less important than the clinic for predicting whether patients received primary care preventive services. Our results suggest that case mix adjustment is unlikely to explain away discrepancies in performance between clinics or provider groups.

Coronary artery bypass grafting in Native Americans: a higher risk of death compared to other ethnic groups?

BACKGROUND

While the efficacy and safety of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) has been established in several clinical trials, little is known about its outcomes in Native Americans.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We assessed clinical outcomes associated with CABG in 155 Native Americans using a national database of 18,061 patients from 25 nongovernmental, not-for-profit U.S. health care facilities. Patients were classified into five groups: 1) Native American, 2) white, 3) African American, 4) Hispanic, and 5) Asian. We evaluated for ethnic differences in in-hospital mortality and length of stay, and after adjusting for age, gender, surgical priority, case-mix severity, insurance status, and facility characteristics (volume, location, and teaching status). Overall, we found the adjusted risk for in-hospital death to be higher in Native Americans when compared to whites (odds ratio [OR], 3.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5 to 9.8), African Americans (OR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.1 to 9.9), Hispanics (OR, 7.1; 95% CI, 2.5 to 20.3), and Asians (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.1 to 7.0). No significant differences were found in length of stay after adjustment across ethnic groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of in-hospital death following CABG may be higher in Native Americans than in other ethnic groups. Given the small number of Native Americans in the database (n = 155), however, further research will be needed to confirm these findings.

Design issues for conducting cost-effectiveness analyses alongside clinical trials

In response to rising demands for timely economic data on new medical technologies, cost-effectiveness studies are increasingly being conducted alongside clinical trials. Because of the historical differences in perspective and methods between cost-effectiveness studies and clinical trials, the design phase of these hybrid trials requires special consideration. Cost-effectiveness studies require more comprehensive evaluations of outcomes than the endpoints typically measured in clinical trials. Often, these comprehensive outcome measures (such as quality of life) prove useful for interpreting the other endpoints measured in the trial, as well as for estimating the cost-effectiveness of the intervention. In this manuscript, we discuss several aspects related to the design of joint clinical/economic trials, including study perspective, hypothesis testing, sample size estimation, and methods for collecting cost and outcome data. We also discuss issues that may limit the external validity of the cost-effectiveness results of these trials. Many potential threats to external validity can be successfully addressed if they are identified and accounted for in the design phase of the study.

Randomized phase III trial of paclitaxel plus carboplatin versus vinorelbine plus cisplatin in the treatment of patients with advanced non--small-cell lung cancer: a Southwest Oncology Group trial

PURPOSE

This randomized trial was designed to determine whether paclitaxel plus carboplatin (PC) offered a survival advantage over vinorelbine plus cisplatin (VC) for patients with advanced non--small-cell lung cancer. Secondary objectives were to compare toxicity, tolerability, quality of life (QOL), and resource utilization.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Two hundred two patients received VC (vinorelbine 25 mg/m(2)/wk and cisplatin 100 mg/m(2)/d, day 1 every 28 days) and 206 patients received PC (paclitaxel 225 mg/m(2) over 3 hours with carboplatin area under the curve of 6, day 1 every 21 days). Patients completed QOL questionnaires at baseline, 13 weeks, and 25 weeks. Resource utilization forms were completed at five time points through 24 months.

RESULTS

Patient characteristics were similar between the groups. The objective response rate was 28% in the VC arm and 25% in the PC arm. Median survival was 8 months in both arms, with 1-year survival rates of 36% and 38%, respectively. Grade 3 and 4 leukopenia (P =.002) and neutropenia (P =.008) occurred more frequently on the VC arm. Grade 3 nausea and vomiting were higher on the VC arm (P =.001, P =.007), and grade 3 peripheral neuropathy was higher on the PC arm (P <.001). More patients on the VC arm discontinued therapy because of toxicity (P =.001). No difference in QOL was observed. Overall costs on the PC arm were higher than on the VC arm because of drug costs.

CONCLUSION

PC is equally efficacious as VC for the treatment of advanced non--small-cell lung cancer. PC is less toxic and better tolerated but more expensive than VC. New treatment strategies should be pursued.

Pharmaco-economic impact of HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors in type 2 diabetes

Dyslipidemia is very common in diabetics and substantially increases the risk of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease. Pharmacological therapy with 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitors ('statins') is effective for dyslipidemia, but the cost and efficacy of individual therapies vary. Therefore, the interest in cost-effective pharmacologic interventions for the prevention of cardiovascular disease events in diabetics has increased. In this article, the literature pertaining to the epidemiology, cost and efficacy of statins in preventing cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, in both the primary and secondary prevention settings, is reviewed. Cost-effectiveness studies of statins in the diabetic population are detailed, along with recommendations for further research.

Use of alternative therapies by older adults with osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

To examine the rates of use and expenditures on alternative therapies by adults with osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

Adults with OA recruited from the community to participate in a randomized clinical trial recorded alternative and traditional health care use on postcard diaries. General and arthritis-specific quality of life was assessed by questionnaires.

RESULTS

More than 47% of participants reported using at least one type of alternative care during the 20-week intervention period. Among alternative care consumers, the most commonly used treatments were massage therapy (57%), chiropractic services (20.7%), and nonprescribed alternative medications (17.2%). Four percent of subjects reported using only alternative care during the study period. Expenditures for alternative therapy averaged $1,127 per year, compared with $1,148 for traditional therapies.

CONCLUSION

Use of and expenditures for alternative care were high among this cohort of older adults with OA. Clinicians may want to inquire about use of these therapies before recommending treatments for this condition.

Economic evaluation of aquatic exercise for persons with osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVES

To estimate cost and outcomes of the Arthritis Foundation aquatic exercise classes from the societal perspective.

DESIGN

Randomized trial of 20-week aquatic classes. Cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained was estimated using trial data. Sample size was based on 80% power to reject the null hypothesis that the cost/QALY gained would not exceed $50,000.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Recruited 249 adults from Washington State aged 55 to 75 with a doctor-confirmed diagnosis of osteoarthritis to participate in aquatic classes. The Quality of Well-Being Scale (QWB) and Current Health Desirability Rating (CHDR) were used for economic evaluation, supplemented by the arthritis-specific Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ), Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression Scale (CES-D), and Perceived Quality of Life Scale (PQOL) collected at baseline and postclass. Outcome results applied to life expectancy tables were used to estimate QALYs. Use of health care facilities was assessed from diaries/questionnaires and Medicare reimbursement rates used to estimate costs. Nonparametric bootstrap sampling of costs/QALY ratios established the 95% CI around the estimates.

RESULTS

Aquatic exercisers reported equal (QWB) or better (CHDR, HAQ, PQOL) health-related quality of life compared with controls. Outcomes improved with regular class attendance. Costs/QALY gained discounted at 3% were $205,186 using the QWB and $32,643 using the CHRD.

CONCLUSION

Aquatic exercise exceeded $50,000 per QALY gained using the community-weighted outcome but fell below this arbitrary budget constraint when using the participant-weighted measure. Confidence intervals around these ratios suggested wide variability of cost effectiveness of aquatic exercise.