Epidemiology of forearm fractures in women and men in Norway 2008-2019

The purpose of this paper is to describe rates of forearm fractures in adults in Norway 2008-2019. Incidence rate of distal forearm fractures declined over time in both sexes. Forearm fracture constitute a significant health burden and prevention strategies are needed.

PURPOSE

To assess age- and sex-specific incidence rates, and time trends for forearm fractures in Norway, and compare these with incidence rates in other Nordic countries.

METHODS

Data on all patients aged 20-107 years with forearm fractures treated in Norwegian hospitals from 2008 to 2019 was retrieved from the Norwegian Patient Registry. Fractures were identified based on International Classification of Disease 10th revision code S52. Age- and sex-specific incidence rates and changes in incidence rates were calculated.

RESULTS

We identified 181,784 forearm fractures in 45,628,418 person-years. Mean annual forearm fracture incidence rates per 100,000 person-years were 398 (95% CI 390-407) for all, 565 (95% CI 550-580) for women, and 231 (95% CI 228-234) for men above 20 years. Mean annual number of forearm fractures was 15,148 (95% CI 14,575-15,722). From 2008 to 2019, age-adjusted total incidence rates of forearm fractures S52 diagnoses declined by 3.5% (incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 0.997 (95% CI 0.994-0.999)) in men. The corresponding decline in women was not significant (IRR: 0.999 (95% CI 0.997-1.002)). In the same period, the age-adjusted incidence rates of distal forearm fractures declined by 7.0% in men (IRR = 0.930; 95% CI 0.886-0.965) and 4.7% in women (IRR = 0.953; 95% CI 0.919-0.976). The incidence rates of distal forearm fractures were similar to rates in Sweden and Finland.

CONCLUSION

Age-adjusted incidence rates of distal forearm fractures in both sexes declined over time.

Short-term association between air temperature and mortality in seven cities in Norway: A time series analysis

BACKGROUND

The association between ambient air temperature and mortality has not been assessed in Norway. This study aimed to quantify for seven Norwegian cities (Oslo, Bergen, Stavanger, Drammen, Fredrikstad, Trondheim and Tromsø) the non-accidental, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases mortality burden due to non-optimal ambient temperatures.

METHODS

We used a historical daily dataset (1996-2018) to perform city-specific analyses with a distributed lag non-linear model with 14 days of lag, and pooled results in a multivariate meta-regression. We calculated attributable deaths for heat and cold, defined as days with temperatures above and below the city-specific optimum temperature. We further divided temperatures into moderate and extreme using cut-offs at the 1st and 99th percentiles.

RESULTS

We observed that 5.3% (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.0-8.3) of the non-accidental related deaths, 11.8% (95% CI 6.4-16.4) of the cardiovascular and 5.9% (95% CI -4.0 to 14.3) of the respiratory were attributable to non-optimal temperatures. Notable variations were found between cities and subgroups stratified by sex and age. The mortality burden related to cold dominated in all three health outcomes (5.1%, 2.0-8.1, 11.4%, 6.0-15.4, and 5.1%, -5.5 to 13.8 respectively). Heat had a more pronounced effect on the burden of respiratory deaths (0.9%, 0.2-1.0). Extreme cold accounted for 0.2% of non-accidental deaths and 0.3% of cardiovascular and respiratory deaths, while extreme heat contributed to 0.2% of non-accidental and to 0.3% of respiratory deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

Most of the burden could be attributed to the contribution of moderate cold. This evidence has significant implications for enhancing public-health policies to better address health consequences in the Norwegian setting.

Impact of the ESC Cardio-Oncology Guidelines Biomarker Criteria on Incidence of Cancer Therapy-Related Cardiac Dysfunction

Background

The impact of recent consensus definitions of cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD) from the European Society of Cardiology cardio-oncology guidelines on the reported incidence of CTRCD has not yet been assessed.

Objectives

The aim of this study was to assess the: 1) cumulative incidence; 2) point prevalence during and after adjuvant therapy; and 3) prognostic value of CTRCD as defined by different asymptomatic CTRCD guideline criteria.

Methods

The cumulative incidence and point prevalence of CTRCD were retrospectively assessed in 118 patients participating in the PRADA (Prevention of Cardiac Dysfunction During Adjuvant Breast Cancer Therapy) trial. Asymptomatic CTRCD was assessed using alternative cardiac troponin (cTn) 99th percentile upper reference limits (URLs) to define cTnT and cTnI elevation.

Results

The cumulative incidence of moderate or severe CTRCD was low (1.7%), whereas the cumulative incidence of mild asymptomatic CTRCD was higher and differed markedly according to the biomarker criteria applied, ranging from 49.2% of patients when cTnT greater than the sex-specific 99th percentile URL was used to define cTn elevation to 9.3% when sex-neutral cTnI was used. The point prevalence of CTRCD was highest at the end of anthracycline therapy (47.8%) and was driven primarily by asymptomatic cTn elevation. CTRCD during adjuvant therapy was not prognostic for CTRCD at extended follow-up of 24 months (Q1-Q3: 21-29 months) after randomization.

Conclusions

Mild asymptomatic CTRCD during adjuvant breast cancer therapy was frequent and driven mainly by cTn elevation and was not prognostic of subsequent CTRCD. The incidence of mild, asymptomatic CTRCD differed markedly depending on the cTn assay and whether sex-neutral or sex-dependent URLs were applied. (Prevention of Cardiac Dysfunction During Adjuvant Breast Cancer Therapy [PRADA]; NCT01434134).

The liver-heart axis in patients with severe obesity: The association between liver fibrosis and chronic myocardial injury may be explained by shared risk factors of cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

Severe obesity is associated with increased risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and cardiovascular disease. We hypothesized that liver fibrosis as quantified by the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test would be predictive of myocardial injury and fibrosis, expressed by higher concentrations of cardiac troponin T and I measured by high-sensitivity assays (hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI, respectively).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We performed cross-sectional analyses of baseline data from 136 patients (mean age 45 years, 38 % male) with severe obesity participating in the non-randomized clinical trial Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease in Morbidly Obese Patients (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00626964). Associations between ELF scores, hs-cTnT, and hs-cTnI concentrations were assessed using linear regression analysis.

RESULTS

ELF scores were associated with hs-cTnT in the unadjusted model (B 0.381, 95 % Confidence Interval [CI] 0.247, 0.514), but the association was attenuated upon adjustment for potential confounders (B -0.031, 95 % CI -0.155, 0.093). Similarly, for hs-cTnI, an observed association with ELF scores in the unadjusted model was attenuated upon adjustment for potential confounders ((B 0.432, 95 % CI 0.179, 0.685) and (B 0.069, 95 % CI -0.230, 0.367), respectively). Age, sex, hypertension, and estimated glomerular filtration rate were amongst the shared predictors of ELF score, hs-cTnT, and hs-cTnI that provided the univariable models with the highest R-squared and lowest Akaike Information Criterion values.

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to our hypothesis, ELF score did not predict myocardial injury and fibrosis, but we rather demonstrated an association between liver fibrosis and myocardial injury and fibrosis may be explained by shared risk factors of cardiovascular disease.

Completeness of medication information in admission notes from emergency departments

BACKGROUND

Medication lists prepared in the emergency department (ED) form the basis for diagnosing and treating patients during hospitalization. Since incomplete medication information may lead to patient harm, it is crucial to obtain a correct and complete medication list at hospital admission. In this cross-sectional retrospective study we wanted to explore medication information completeness in admission notes from Norwegian EDs and investigate which factors were associated with level of completeness.

METHODS

Medication information was assessed for completeness by applying five evaluation criteria; generic name, formulation, dose, frequency, and indication for use. A medication completeness score in percent was calculated per medication, per admission note and per criterion. Quantile regression analysis was applied to investigate which variables were associated with medication information completeness.

RESULTS

Admission notes for patients admitted between October 2018 and September 2019 and using at least one medication were included. A total of 1,080 admission notes, containing 8,604 medication orders, were assessed. The individual medications had a mean medication completeness score of 88.1% (SD 16.4), while admission notes had a mean medication completeness score of 86.3% (SD 16.2). Over 90% of all individual medications had information about generic name, formulation, dose and frequency stated, while indication for use was only present in 60%. The use of an electronic tool to prepare medication information had a significantly strong positive association with completeness. Hospital visit within the last 30 days, the patient's living situation, number of medications in use, and which hospital the patient was admitted to, were also associated with information completeness.

CONCLUSIONS

Medication information completeness in admission notes was high, but potential for improvement regarding documentation of indication for use was identified. Applying an electronic tool when preparing admission notes in EDs seems crucial to safeguard completeness of medication information.

The feasibility of a multidimensional intervention in lymphoma survivors with chronic fatigue

PURPOSE

Chronic fatigue (CF) affects 25-30% of lymphoma survivors, but interventions designed to reduce fatigue are lacking. The main aim of this study was to test the feasibility of a multidimensional intervention study in lymphoma survivors with CF. Secondary aims were to describe individual changes in fatigue, quality of life (QoL) and physical performance from pre (T0) to post (T1) intervention.

METHODS

This feasibility study was as a one-armed intervention study performed in 2021. Hodgkin or aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma survivors received mailed study information and Chalder Fatigue Questionnaire and were asked to respond if they suffered from fatigue. The 12-week intervention included patient education, physical exercise, a cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT)-based group program and nutritional counselling. Feasibility data included patient recruitment, completion of assessments, adherence to the intervention and patient-reported experience measures. Participants responded to questionnaires and underwent physical tests at T0 and T1.

RESULTS

Seven lymphoma survivors with CF were included. Of all assessments, 91% and 83% were completed at T0 and T1, respectively. Adherence to the interventional components varied from 69% to 91%. At T1, all participants rated exercise as useful, of whom five rated the CBT-based program and five rated individual nutritional counselling as useful. Five participants reported improved fatigue, QoL and physical performance.

CONCLUSION

Lymphoma survivors with CF participating in a multidimensional intervention designed to reduce the level of fatigue showed high assessment completion rate and intervention adherence rate. Most of the participants evaluated the program as useful and improved their level of fatigue, QoL and physical performance after the intervention.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT04931407. Registered 16. April 2021-Retrospectively registered. https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov/ct2/show/NCT04931407.

Educational patterns of health behaviors and body mass index: A longitudinal multiple correspondence analysis of a middle-aged general population, 2007-2016

Social differences in body mass index and health behaviors are a major public health challenge. The uneven distribution of unhealthy body mass index and of unhealthy behaviors such as smoking, physical inactivity, and harmful alcohol consumption has been shown to mediate social inequalities in chronic diseases. While differential exposures to these health variables have been investigated, the extent to which they vary over the lifetime in the same population and their relationship with level of education is not well understood. This study examines patterns of body mass index and multiple health behaviors (smoking, physical activity and alcohol consumption), and investigates their association with education level among adults living in Northern Norway. It presents findings from a longitudinal multiple correspondence analysis of the Tromsø Study. Longitudinal data from 8,906 adults aged 32-87 in 2007-2008, with repeated measurements in 2015-2016 were retrieved from the survey's sixth and seventh waves. The findings suggest that most in the study population remained in the same categories of body mass index and the three health behaviors at the follow-up, with a clear educational gradient in healthy patterns. That is, both healthy changes and maintained healthy categories were associated with the highest education levels. Estimating differential exposures to mediators of health inequalities could benefit policy priority setting for tackling inequalities in health.

Aiming toWards Evidence baSed inTerpretation of Cardiac biOmarkers in patients pResenting with chest pain using Point of Care Testing (WESTCOR-POC): study design

OBJECTIVES

Patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) contribute to a high workload and overcrowding in the Emergency Department (ED). Accelerated diagnostic protocols for non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction have proved challenging to implement. One obstacle is the turnaround time for analyzing high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn). In the WESTCOR-POC study (Clinical Trials number NCT05354804) we aim to evaluate safety and efficiency of a 0/1 h hs-cTn algorithm utilizing a hs-cTnI point of care (POC) instrument in comparison to central laboratory hs-cTnT measurements.

DESIGN

This is a prospective single-center randomized clinical trial aiming to include 1500 patients admitted to the ED with symptoms suggestive of ACS. Patients will receive standard investigations following the European Society of Cardiology 0/1h protocols for centralized hs-cTnT measurements or the intervention using a 0/1h POC hs-cTnI algorithm. Primary end-points are 1) Safety; death, myocardial infarction or acute revascularization within 30 days 2) Efficiency; length of stay in the ED, 3) Cost- effectiveness; total episode cost, 4) Patient satisfaction, 5) Patient symptom burden and 6) Patients quality of life. Secondary outcomes are 12-months death, myocardial infarction or acute revascularization, percentage discharged after 3 and 6 h, total length of hospital stay and all costs related to hospital contact within 12 months.

CONCLUSION

Results from this study may facilitate implementation of POC hs-cTn testing assays and accelerated diagnostic protocols in EDs, and may serve as a valuable resource for guiding future investigations for the use of POC high sensitivity troponin assays in outpatient clinics and prehospital settings.

Correction: Effects of Aerobic Exercise on Cardiorespiratory Fitness, Cardiovascular Risk Factors, and Patient-Reported Outcomes in Long-Term Breast Cancer Survivors: Protocol for a Randomized Controlled Trial

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.2196/45244.].

Validity of self-reported educational level in the Tromsø Study

BACKGROUND

Self-reported data on educational level have been collected for decades in the Tromsø Study, but their validity has yet to be established.

AIM

To investigate the completeness and correctness of self-reported educational level in the Tromsø Study, using data from Statistics Norway. In addition, we explored the consequence of using these two data sources on educational trends in cardiometabolic diseases.

METHODS

We compared self-reported and Statistics Norway-recorded educational level (primary, upper secondary, college/university <4 years, and college/university ⩾4 years) among 20,615 participants in the seventh survey of the Tromsø Study (Tromsø7, 2015-2016). Sensitivity, positive predictive value and weighted kappa were used to measure the validity of self-reported educational level in three age groups (40-52, 53-62, 63-99 years). Multivariable logistic regression was used to compare educational trends in cardiometabolic diseases between self-reported and Statistics Norway-recorded educational level.

RESULTS

Sensitivity of self-reported educational level was highest among those with a college/university education of 4 years or more (⩾97% in all age groups and both sexes). Sensitivity for primary educational level ranged from 67% to 92% (all age groups and both sexes). The lowest positive predictive value was observed among women with a college/university education of 4 years or more (29-46%). Weighted kappa was substantial (0.52-0.59) among men and moderate to substantial (0.41-0.51) among women. Educational trends in the risk of cardiometabolic diseases were less pronounced when self-reported educational level was used.

CONCLUSIONS

Self-reported educational level in Tromsø7 is adequately complete and correct. Self-reported data may produce weaker associations between educational level and cardiometabolic diseases than registry-based data.

Validation of forearm fracture diagnoses in administrative patient registers

The validity of forearm fracture diagnoses recorded in five Norwegian hospitals was investigated using image reports and medical records as gold standard. A relatively high completeness and correctness of the diagnoses was found. Algorithms used to define forearm fractures in administrative data should depend on study purpose.

PURPOSE

In Norway, forearm fractures are routinely recorded in the Norwegian Patient Registry (NPR). However, these data have not been validated. Data from patient administrative systems (PAS) at hospitals are sent unabridged to NPR. By using data from PAS, we aimed to examine (1) the validity of the forearm fracture diagnoses and (2) the usefulness of washout periods, follow-up codes, and procedure codes to define incident forearm fracture cases.

METHODS

This hospital-based validation study included women and men aged ≥ 19 years referred to five hospitals for treatment of a forearm fracture during selected periods in 2015. Administrative data for the ICD-10 forearm fracture code S52 (with all subgroups) in PAS and the medical records were reviewed. X-ray and computed tomography (CT) reports from examinations of forearms were reviewed independently and linked to the data from PAS. Sensitivity and positive predictive values (PPVs) were calculated using image reports and/or review of medical records as gold standard.

RESULTS

Among the 8482 reviewed image reports and medical records, 624 patients were identified with an incident forearm fracture during the study period. The sensitivity of PAS registrations was 90.4% (95% CI: 87.8-92.6). The PPV increased from 73.9% (95% CI: 70.6-77.0) in crude data to 90.5% (95% CI: 88.0-92.7) when using a washout period of 6 months. Using procedure codes and follow-up codes in addition to 6-months washout increased the PPV to 94.0%, but the sensitivity fell to 69.0%.

CONCLUSION

A relatively high sensitivity of forearm fracture diagnoses was found in PAS. PPV varied depending on the algorithms used to define cases. Choice of algorithm should therefore depend on study purposes. The results give useful measures of forearm fracture diagnoses from administrative patient registers. Depending on local coding practices and treatment pathways, we infer that the findings are relevant to other fracture diagnoses and registers.

Are relative educational inequalities in multiple health behaviors widening? A longitudinal study of middle-aged adults in Northern Norway

Introduction

Educational inequality in multiple health behaviors is rarely monitored using data from the same individuals as they age. The aim of this study is to research changes in relative educational inequality in multiple variables related to health behavior (smoking, physical activity, alcohol intake, and body mass index), separately and collectively (healthy lifestyle), among middle-aged adults living in Northern Norway.

Methods

Data from adult respondents aged 32-87 in 2008 with repeated measurements in 2016 (N = 8,906) were drawn from the sixth and seventh waves of the Tromsø Study. Logistic regression was used to assess the relative educational inequality in the variables related to health behavior. The analyses were performed for the total sample and separately for women and men at both baseline and follow-up.

Results

Educational inequality was observed in all the variables related to health behavior at baseline and follow-up, in both men and women. Higher levels of educational attainment were associated with healthier categories (non-daily smoking, physical activity, normal body mass index, and a healthy lifestyle), but also with high alcohol intake. The prevalence of daily smoking and physical inactivity decreased during the surveyed period, while high alcohol intake, having a body mass index outside of the normal range and adhering to multiple health recommendations simultaneously increased. The magnitude of relative educational inequality measured at baseline increased at the follow-up in all the variables related to health behavior. Differences were larger among women when compared to men, except in physical inactivity.

Conclusion

Persistent and increasing relative disparities in health behavior between the highest education level and lower education levels are found in countries with well-established and comprehensive welfare systems like Norway. Addressing these inequalities is essential for reducing both the chronic disease burden and educational disparities in health.

Perceived burden and need for support among caregivers of cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The aims of this study were to examine (1) the perceived burden among caregivers and identify those in risk of high burden and (2) the need for support among caregivers and identify associated factors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Cancer patients who participated in an educational program at the Montebello Center (MBC) in Norway between May 2021 and February 2022 were asked to invite a caregiver to answer a questionnaire. The caregiving burden was assessed with the Caregivers Reaction Assessment (CRA) that consists of 24 questions scored from 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree), covering five domains. A mean sum score was calculated for each domain. Higher subscale scores indicate higher levels of burden, except for caregiver esteem where a high score indicates a low burden. Need for support was assessed with 13 questions.

RESULTS

Of 464 invitations, 185 caregivers responded (response 40%), median age was 58.0 years and 58% were male. Caregiver burden mean scores were: 2.6 (SD 1.03) for Impact on schedule, 2.1 (SD 0.79) for Lack of family support, 2.1 (SD 0.76) for Impact on health, 2.0 (SD 0.86) for Impact on finances, and 4.2 (SD 0.47) for Caregiver esteem. Female caregivers, younger, higher education, having comorbidities, caring for patients having recurrence of cancer, and shorter time since diagnosis were associated with higher burden measured on individual subscales of the CRA. Most reported needs were information about: cancer, late effects and rehabilitation services and support from peers and professionals to cope with the new situation. Younger, caregiver comorbidity and recurrence of cancer of the patient were associated with more needs.

CONCLUSIONS

The results indicate that caregivers of cancer patients participating at the MBC report moderate caregiver burden, however, numerous caregivers reported need for support within several areas. Our findings need to be confirmed in a larger unselected group.

General-Purpose Methods for Simulating Survival Data for Expected Value of Sample Information Calculations

BACKGROUND

Expected value of sample information (EVSI) quantifies the expected value to a decision maker of reducing uncertainty by collecting additional data. EVSI calculations require simulating plausible data sets, typically achieved by evaluating quantile functions at random uniform numbers using standard inverse transform sampling (ITS). This is straightforward when closed-form expressions for the quantile function are available, such as for standard parametric survival models, but these are often unavailable when assuming treatment effect waning and for flexible survival models. In these circumstances, the standard ITS method could be implemented by numerically evaluating the quantile functions at each iteration in a probabilistic analysis, but this greatly increases the computational burden. Thus, our study aims to develop general-purpose methods that standardize and reduce the computational burden of the EVSI data-simulation step for survival data.

METHODS

We developed a discrete sampling method and an interpolated ITS method for simulating survival data from a probabilistic sample of survival probabilities over discrete time units. We compared the general-purpose and standard ITS methods using an illustrative partitioned survival model with and without adjustment for treatment effect waning.

RESULTS

The discrete sampling and interpolated ITS methods agree closely with the standard ITS method, with the added benefit of a greatly reduced computational cost in the scenario with adjustment for treatment effect waning.

CONCLUSIONS

We present general-purpose methods for simulating survival data from a probabilistic sample of survival probabilities that greatly reduce the computational burden of the EVSI data-simulation step when we assume treatment effect waning or use flexible survival models. The implementation of our data-simulation methods is identical across all possible survival models and can easily be automated from standard probabilistic decision analyses.

HIGHLIGHTS

Expected value of sample information (EVSI) quantifies the expected value to a decision maker of reducing uncertainty through a given data collection exercise, such as a randomized clinical trial. In this article, we address the problem of computing EVSI when we assume treatment effect waning or use flexible survival models, by developing general-purpose methods that standardize and reduce the computational burden of the EVSI data-generation step for survival data.We developed 2 methods for simulating survival data from a probabilistic sample of survival probabilities over discrete time units, a discrete sampling method and an interpolated inverse transform sampling method, which can be combined with a recently proposed nonparametric EVSI method to accurately estimate EVSI for collecting survival data.Our general-purpose data-simulation methods greatly reduce the computational burden of the EVSI data-simulation step when we assume treatment effect waning or use flexible survival models. The implementation of our data-simulation methods is identical across all possible survival models and can therefore easily be automated from standard probabilistic decision analyses.

Comparing the sociodemographic characteristics of participants and non-participants in the population-based Tromsø Study

BACKGROUND

Differences in the sociodemographic characteristics of participants and non-participants in population-based studies may introduce bias and reduce the generalizability of research findings. This study aimed to compare the sociodemographic characteristics of participants and non-participants of the seventh survey of the Tromsø Study (Tromsø7, 2015-16), a population-based health survey.

METHODS

A total of 32,591 individuals were invited to Tromsø7. We compared the sociodemographic characteristics of participants and non-participants by linking the Tromsø7 invitation file to Statistics Norway, and explored the association between these characteristics and participation using logistic regression. Furthermore, we created a geographical socioeconomic status (area SES) index (low-SES, medium-SES, and high-SES area) based on individual educational level, individual income, total household income, and residential ownership status. We then mapped the relationship between area SES and participation in Tromsø7.

RESULTS

Men, people aged 40-49 and 80-89 years, those who were unmarried, widowed, separated/divorced, born outside of Norway, had lower education, had lower income, were residential renters, and lived in a low-SES area had a lower probability of participation in Tromsø7.

CONCLUSIONS

Sociodemographic differences in participation must be considered to avoid biased estimates in research based on population-based studies, especially when the relationship between SES and health is being explored. Particular attention should be paid to the recruitment of groups with lower SES to population-based studies.

Muscle strength characteristics following megaprosthetic knee reconstruction for bone sarcoma

OBJECTIVE

To assess muscle strength characteristics in patients with resection and megaprosthetic reconstruction of the knee for bone sarcoma compared to age- and sex-matched controls.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional, case-control study. Muscle strength characteristics for knee extension and -flexion were assessed isokinetically at three different joint velocities: 60, 120 and 180°/s, and by the rate of force development (RDFmax) in knee extension. The Toronto Extremity Salvage Score (TESS) was used in patients.

RESULTS

Eighteen patients (91.6 months postop.) and 18 controls were included. Relative to controls, patients generated maximal torques of 19%, 23% and 23% in knee extension at 60, 120 and 180°/s, respectively. For knee flexion, patients generated maximal torques of 58%, 53% and 60% at 60, 120, and 180°/s, relative to the controls. RDFmax of the operated leg was 2.75 ± 2.13 N/ms, 7.16 ± 4.78 N/ms for the non-operated leg, and 7.95 ± 4.29 N/ms for the controls. The mean TESS score was 84.0.

CONCLUSION

Patients reached approximately 20% of the maximal knee extension torque. In isometric assessments, they used double the amount of time to generate one-third of the maximal force compared to the controls despite good TESS scores.

Effects of Aerobic Exercise on Cardiorespiratory Fitness, Cardiovascular Risk Factors, and Patient-Reported Outcomes in Long-Term Breast Cancer Survivors: Protocol for a Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

Anthracycline-based chemotherapy has been mainstay of adjuvant breast cancer therapy for decades. Although effective, anthracyclines place long-term breast cancer survivors at risk of late effects, such as reduced cardiorespiratory fitness and increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Previous research has shown beneficial effects of exercise training on cardiorespiratory fitness, but the effects of exercise on limiting factors for cardiorespiratory fitness, cardiovascular risk factors, and patient-reported outcomes in long-term survivors are less clear. Whether previous exposure to breast cancer therapy modulates the effects of exercise is also unknown.

OBJECTIVE

The primary aim of the CAUSE (Cardiovascular Survivors Exercise) trial is to examine the effect of aerobic exercise on cardiorespiratory fitness in anthracycline-treated long-term breast cancer survivors. Secondary aims are to examine effects of exercise training on limiting factors for cardiorespiratory fitness, cardiovascular risk factors, and patient-reported outcomes, and to compare baseline values and effects of exercise training between similar-aged women with and those without prior breast cancer. A third aim is to examine the 24-month postintervention effects of aerobic exercise on primary and secondary outcomes.

METHODS

The CAUSE trial is a 2-armed randomized controlled trial, where 140 long-term breast cancer survivors, 8-12 years post diagnosis, are assigned to a 5-month nonlinear aerobic exercise program with 3 weekly sessions or to standard care. Seventy similar-aged women with no history of cancer will undergo the same exercise program. Cardiorespiratory fitness measured as peak oxygen consumption (VO2peak), limiting factors for VO2peak (eg, cardiac function, pulmonary function, hemoglobin mass, blood volume, and skeletal muscle characteristics), cardiovascular risk factors (eg, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, obesity, physical activity level, and smoking status), and patient-reported outcomes (eg, body image, fatigue, mental health, and health-related quality of life) will be assessed at baseline, post intervention, and 24 months post intervention.

RESULTS

A total of 209 patients were included from October 2020 to August 2022, and postintervention assessments were completed in January 2023. The 24-month follow-up will be completed in February 2025.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings from the CAUSE trial will provide novel scientific understanding of the potential benefits of exercise training in long-term breast cancer survivors.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04307407; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04307407.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

DERR1-10.2196/45244.

Cost-effectiveness of a rule-out algorithm of acute myocardial infarction in low-risk patients: emergency primary care versus hospital setting

Aims

Hospital admissions of patients with chest pain considered as low risk for acute coronary syndrome contribute to increased costs and crowding in the emergency departments. This study aims to estimate the cost-effectiveness of assessing these patients in a primary care emergency setting, using the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/1-h algorithm for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, compared to routine hospital management.

Methods

A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted. For the primary care estimates, costs and health care expenditure from the observational OUT-ACS (One-hoUr Troponin in a low-prevalence population of Acute Coronary Syndrome) study were compared with anonymous extracted administrative data on low-risk patients at a large general hospital in Norway. Patients discharged home after the hs-cTnT assessment were defined as low risk in the primary care cohort. In the hospital setting, the low-risk group comprised patients discharged with a non-specific chest pain diagnosis (ICD-10 codes R07.4 and Z03.5). Loss of health related to a potential increase in acute myocardial infarctions the following 30-days was estimated. The primary outcome measure was the costs per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) of applying the ESC 0/1-h algorithm in primary care. The secondary outcomes were health care costs and length of stay in the two settings.

Results

Differences in costs comprise personnel and laboratory costs of applying the algorithm at primary care level (€192) and expenses related to ambulance transports and complete hospital costs for low-risk patients admitted to hospital (€1986). Additional diagnostic procedures were performed in 31.9% (181/567) of the low-risk hospital cohort. The estimated reduction in health care cost when using the 0/1-h algorithm outside of hospital was €1794 per low-risk patient, with a mean decrease in length of stay of 18.9 h. These numbers result in an average per-person QALY gain of 0.0005. Increased QALY and decreased costs indicate that the primary care approach is clearly cost-effective.

Conclusion

Using the ESC 0/1-h algorithm in low-risk patients in emergency primary care appears to be cost-effective compared to standard hospital management, with an extensive reduction in costs and length of stay per patient.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-022-08697-6.

An Efficient Method for Computing Expected Value of Sample Information for Survival Data from an Ongoing Trial

BACKGROUND

Decisions about new health technologies are increasingly being made while trials are still in an early stage, which may result in substantial uncertainty around key decision drivers such as estimates of life expectancy and time to disease progression. Additional data collection can reduce uncertainty, and its value can be quantified by computing the expected value of sample information (EVSI), which has typically been described in the context of designing a future trial. In this article, we develop new methods for computing the EVSI of extending an existing trial's follow-up, first for an assumed survival model and then extending to capture uncertainty about the true survival model.

METHODS

We developed a nested Markov Chain Monte Carlo procedure and a nonparametric regression-based method. We compared the methods by computing single-model and model-averaged EVSI for collecting additional follow-up data in 2 synthetic case studies.

RESULTS

There was good agreement between the 2 methods. The regression-based method was fast and straightforward to implement, and scales easily to include any number of candidate survival models in the model uncertainty case. The nested Monte Carlo procedure, on the other hand, was extremely computationally demanding when we included model uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

We present a straightforward regression-based method for computing the EVSI of extending an existing trial's follow-up, both where a single known survival model is assumed and where we are uncertain about the true survival model. EVSI for ongoing trials can help decision makers determine whether early patient access to a new technology can be justified on the basis of the current evidence or whether more mature evidence is needed.

HIGHLIGHTS

Decisions about new health technologies are increasingly being made while trials are still in an early stage, which may result in substantial uncertainty around key decision drivers such as estimates of life-expectancy and time to disease progression. Additional data collection can reduce uncertainty, and its value can be quantified by computing the expected value of sample information (EVSI), which has typically been described in the context of designing a future trial.In this article, we have developed new methods for computing the EVSI of extending a trial's follow-up, both where a single known survival model is assumed and where we are uncertain about the true survival model. We extend a previously described nonparametric regression-based method for computing EVSI, which we demonstrate in synthetic case studies is fast, straightforward to implement, and scales easily to include any number of candidate survival models in the EVSI calculations.The EVSI methods that we present in this article can quantify the need for collecting additional follow-up data before making an adoption decision given any decision-making context.

Distress, problems and unmet rehabilitation needs after treatment for gynecological cancer

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of distress, problems and need for rehabilitation among women treated for gynecological cancer is largely unknown. The aims of this study were to examine the prevalence of distress, problems and unmet rehabilitation needs in the first years after treatment for gynecological cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Women treated for gynecological cancer within the last 2 years were invited. Participants responded to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network Distress Thermometer and Problem List measuring distress and problems. They also answered a questionnaire regarding physical endurance, muscle strength, and need for rehabilitation services.

RESULTS

Of 114 eligible women, 92 (81%) agreed to participate. Mean time since last treatment was 7.6 months (range 0-24.5 months). A total of 57% of the participants reported distress. The four most common problems reported were fatigue (58%), tingling in hands/feet (54%), worry (53%), and problems with memory/concentration (50%). Problems associated with distress were: dealing with partner, all emotional problems (i.e. depression, fears, nervousness, sadness, worry, and loss of interest in usual activities), appearance, memory/concentration, pain, sex, sleep, and problems with physical endurance and muscle strength. Fifty-two per cent reported unmet needs for rehabilitation services. Women with distress reported more unmet rehabilitation needs than those in the non-distressed group.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of distress in this population of women treated for gynecological cancer was high. Having a high number of problems and having unmet needs for rehabilitation services were both associated with distress. Hence, measurement of distress seems to be helpful when assessing the need for rehabilitation services.

Integrating the clinical pharmacist into the emergency department interdisciplinary team: a study protocol for a multicentre trial applying a non-randomised stepped-wedge study design

INTRODUCTION

The 'emergency department (ED) pharmacist' is an integrated part of the ED interdisciplinary team in many countries, which have shown to improve medication safety and reduce costs related to hospitalisations. In Norway, few EDs are equipped with ED pharmacists, and research describing effects on patients has not been conducted. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of introducing clinical pharmacists to the interdisciplinary ED team. In this multicentre study, the intervention will be pragmatically implemented in the regular operation of three EDs in Northern Norway; Tromsø, Bodø and Harstad. Clinical pharmacists will work as an integrated part of the ED team, providing pharmaceutical care services such as medication reconciliation, review and/or counselling. The primary endpoint is 'time in hospital during 30 days after admission to the ED', combining (1) time in ED, (2) time in hospital (if hospitalised) and (3) time in ED and/or hospital if re-hospitalised during 30 days after admission. Secondary endpoints include time to rehospitalisation, length of stay in ED and hospital and rehospitalisation and mortality rates.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We will apply a non-randomised stepped-wedge study design, where we in a staggered way implement the ED pharmacists in all three EDs after a 3, 6 and 9 months control period, respectively. We will include all patients going through the three EDs during the 12-month study period. Patient data will be collected retrospectively from national data registries, the hospital system and from patient records.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The Regional Committee for Medical and Health Research Ethics and Local Patient Protection Officers in all hospitals have approved the study. Patients will be informed about the ongoing study on a general basis with ads on posters and flyers.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04722588.

Cost and health impact analysis of herpes zoster vaccination in Norway

BACKGROUND

A decision analytic model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of a national vaccination program against herpes zoster in Norway.

METHODS

The model analyzed six vaccination scenarios that included the live-attenuated zoster vaccine under different target ages of vaccination (60, 65, and 70 years) compared with no vaccination. A catch-up program implemented in the first year of the vaccination was included in three of the scenarios. The model followed the population of Norway over a 40-year time horizon to estimate costs and outcomes associated with vaccination. Immunization costs, costs related to herpes zoster (both healthcare sector and non-healthcare sector), the quality of life gains due to avoided cases of herpes zoster, and quality-of-life losses due to vaccine-related adverse events were estimated.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

A national vaccination program would result in reduction of the number of herpes zoster cases and decreased burden of illness. Vaccinating adults at 65 years of age with catch-up up to 70 years in the first year of the program was the most cost-effective strategy with the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained at NOK (Norwegian Krone) 245,459 from the societal perspective and NOK 248,637 from the health care system perspective.

Registry data for use in health technology assessments in Norway – Opportunities and challenges

Decisions on uptake of medicines and medical devices on health insurance schemes are increasingly based ona health technology assessment (HTA) process. In Norway, the process has included reimbursement of outpatientmedicines for two decades. During the past years, in-patient medicines, medical devices and morerecently vaccines are all included in the HTA system. In the present article, we outline the Norwegian HTAsystem including its central components and partners. HTA as a scientific approach puts evidence on efficacy,safety and value of interventions into a broader perspective, explicitly considering relevant factors, among theselegal, ethical and organisational aspects of the intervention. Although several combinations of aspects arepossible, the most common is an assessment of the relative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of theintervention. Randomised controlled trials have long been considered the mainstay for assessment of clinicaleffectiveness pre-launch, while registry data have been used to inform safety post-lunch, by pharmacovigilance.Recently, we have seen a move towards more use of “real world evidence”, i.e. data from non-RCT sources,mainly from registries. A model-based approach is often used to assess cost-effectiveness, in this context,different types of evidence from different sources are often synthesized. In this paper we describe the centralcomponents of HTA with special emphasis on different observational data sources, such as the unique Norwegianhealth registries. We finally speculate on future directions for use of observational data in HTA, both in aglobal and Norwegian setting.

Cost-effectiveness of meningococcal vaccination of Norwegian teenagers with a quadrivalent ACWY conjugate vaccine

In Norway, the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is higher among 16–19-year-olds than in the general population. Most IMD cases among teenagers are caused by serogroup Y. Since 2011, one dose of meningococcal ACWY conjugate vaccine (MCV4) has been recommended for teenagers with out-of-pocket payment. The teenagers are usually vaccinated through the school health service at age 18. This study aimed to estimate costs and health gains of introducing MCV4 to Norwegian teenagers through the national immunization program (NIP). A Markov model was used to analyze the cost-effectiveness of universal MCV4 vaccination of either 15-year-olds or 18-years-olds. Occurrences of IMD were simulated from 15 until 23 years of age. Costs were estimated from a healthcare perspective. Sensitivity analyses evaluated the impact of vaccine price, vaccination uptake, IMD incidence and discount rate. Compared to today’s practice of vaccinating 18-year-olds with out-of-pocket payment, introducing MCV4 to 15-year-olds in a NIP-setting, with 90% vaccine uptake and 50% rebate on vaccine price, prevented 3.2 hospitalizations, 0.20 sequelae and 0.47 deaths among 15–23-year-olds, annually. Total costs were reduced by €30,000 and 9.7 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were gained per birth cohort. The probability of cost-effectiveness was 99.0%, assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of €86,000/QALY for severe diseases in Norway. Cost-effectiveness was highly dependent on vaccine price. Vaccination of 18-year-olds in a NIP-setting was also cost-effective, but less than NIP-vaccination of 15-year-olds. Introduction of MCV4 to the 15-year-olds in the Norwegian NIP is likely to be cost-effective given a rebate on the vaccine price.

Lifestyle and Empowerment Techniques in Survivorship of Gynaecologic Oncology (LETSGO study): a study protocol for a multicentre longitudinal interventional study using mobile health technology and biobanking

INTRODUCTION

The number of gynaecological cancer survivors is increasing and there is a need for a more sustainable model of follow-up care. Today's follow-up model is time-consuming and patients have reported unmet needs regarding information about their cancer and strategies for managing the consequences of treatment. The main aim of this study is to assess health-related empowerment-in terms of patient education, psychosocial support, and promotion of physical activity-in a new follow-up model by comparing it to standard follow-up in a quasi-randomised study involving intervention hospitals and control hospitals.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

At the intervention hospitals, patients will be stratified by risk of recurrence and late effects to either 1 or 3 years' follow-up. Nurses will replace doctors in half of the follow-up visits and focus in particular on patient education, self-management and physical activity. They will provide patients with information and guide them in goal setting and action planning. These measures will be reinforced by a smartphone application for monitoring symptoms and promoting physical activity. At the control hospitals, patients will be included in the standard follow-up programme. All patients will be asked to complete questionnaires at baseline and after 3, 6, 12, 24 and 36 months. Blood samples will be collected for biobanking at 3, 12 and 36 months. The primary outcome is health-related empowerment. Secondary outcomes include health-related quality of life, adherence to physical activity recommendations, time to recurrence, healthcare costs and changes in biomarkers. Changes in these outcomes will be analysed using generalised linear mixed models for repeated measures. Type of hospital (intervention or control), time (measurement point), and possible confounders will be included as fixed factors.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study is approved by the Regional Committee for Medical Research Ethics (2019/11093). Dissemination of findings will occur at the local, national and international levels.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04122235.

Clinical and economic impact of universal varicella vaccination in Norway: A modeling study

BACKGROUND

Norway has not implemented universal varicella vaccination, despite the considerable clinical and economic burden of varicella disease.

METHODS

An existing dynamic transmission model of varicella infection was calibrated to age-specific seroprevalence rates in Norway. Six two-dose vaccination strategies were considered, consisting of combinations of two formulations each of a monovalent varicella vaccine (Varivax® or Varilrix®) and a quadrivalent vaccine against measles-mumps-rubella-varicella (ProQuad® or PriorixTetra®), with the first dose given with a monovalent vaccine at age 15 months, and the second dose with either a monovalent or quadrivalent vaccine at either 18 months, 7 or 11 years. Costs were considered from the perspectives of both the health care system and society. Quality-adjusted life-years saved and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios relative to no vaccination were calculated. A one-way sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the impact of vaccine efficacy, price, the costs of a lost workday and of inpatient and outpatient care, vaccination coverage, and discount rate.

RESULTS

In the absence of varicella vaccination, the annual incidence of natural varicella is estimated to be 1,359 per 100,000 population, and the cumulative numbers of varicella outpatient cases, hospitalizations, and deaths over 50 years are projected to be 1.81 million, 10,161, and 61, respectively. Universal varicella vaccination is projected to reduce the natural varicella incidence rate to 48-59 per 100,000 population, depending on the vaccination strategy, and to reduce varicella outpatient cases, hospitalizations, and deaths by 75-85%, 67-79%, and 75-79%, respectively. All strategies were cost-saving, with the most cost-saving as two doses of Varivax® at 15 months and 7 years (payer perspective) and two doses of Varivax® at 15 months and 18 months (societal perspective).

CONCLUSIONS

All modeled two-dose varicella vaccination strategies are projected to lead to substantial reductions in varicella disease and to be cost saving compared to no vaccination in Norway.

Estimating (quality-adjusted) life-year losses associated with deaths: With application to COVID-19

Many epidemiological models of the COVID-19 pandemic have focused on preventing deaths. Questions have been raised as to the frailty of those succumbing to the COVID-19 infection. In this paper we employ standard life table methods to illustrate how the potential quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) losses associated with COVID-19 fatalities could be estimated, while adjusting for comorbidities in terms of impact on both mortality and quality of life. Contrary to some suggestions in the media, we find that even relatively elderly patients with high levels of comorbidity can still lose substantial life years and QALYs. The simplicity of the method facilitates straightforward international comparisons as the pandemic evolves. In particular, we compare five different countries and show that differences in the average QALY losses for each COVID-19 fatality is driven mainly by differing age distributions for those dying of the disease.

Lifestyle among long-term survivors of cancers in young adulthood

PURPOSE

To investigate lifestyle in a population-based sample of long-term (≥ 5 years since diagnosis) young adult cancer survivors (YACSs), and explore factors associated with not meeting the lifestyle guidelines for physical activity (PA), body mass index (BMI), and smoking.

METHODS

YACSs (n = 3558) diagnosed with breast cancer (BC), colorectal cancer (CRC), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), or localized malignant melanoma (MM) between the ages of 19 and 39 years and treated between 1985 and 2009 were invited to complete a mailed questionnaire. Survivors of localized MM treated with limited skin surgery served as a reference group for treatment burden.

RESULTS

In total, 1488 YACSs responded (42%), and 1056 YACSs were evaluable and included in the present study (74% females, average age at survey 49 years, average 15 years since diagnosis). Forty-four percent did not meet PA guidelines, 50% reported BMI ≥ 25 and 20% smoked, with no statistically significant differences across diagnostic groups. Male gender, education ≤ 13 years, comorbidity, lymphedema, pain, chronic fatigue, and depressive symptoms were associated with not meeting single and/or an increasing number of lifestyle guidelines.

CONCLUSION

A large proportion of long-term YACSs do not meet the lifestyle guidelines for PA, BMI, and/or smoking. Non-adherence to guidelines is associated with several late effects and/or comorbidities that should be considered when designing lifestyle interventions for YACSs.

Thromboembolic events after high-intensity training during cisplatin-based chemotherapy for testicular cancer: Case reports and review of the literature

The randomized "Testicular cancer and Aerobic and Strength Training trial" (TAST-trial) aimed to evaluate the effect of high-intensity interval training (HIIT) on cardiorespiratory fitness during cisplatin-based chemotherapy (CBCT) for testicular cancer (TC). Here, we report on an unexpected high number of thromboembolic (TE) events among patients randomized to the intervention arm, and on a review of the literature on TE events in TC patients undergoing CBCT. Patients aged 18 to 60 years with a diagnosis of metastatic germ cell TC, planned for 3 to 4 CBCT cycles, were randomized to a 9 to 12 weeks exercise intervention, or to a single lifestyle counseling session. The exercise intervention included two weekly HIIT sessions, each with 2 to 4 intervals of 2 to 4 minutes at 85% to 95% of peak heart rate. The study was prematurely discontinued after inclusion of 19 of the planned 94 patients, with nine patients randomized to the intervention arm and 10 to the control arm. Three patients in the intervention arm developed TE complications; two with pulmonary embolism and one with myocardial infarction. All three patients had clinical stage IIA TC. No TE complications were observed among patients in the control arm. Our observations indicate that high-intensity aerobic training during CBCT might increase the risk of TE events in TC patients, leading to premature closure of the TAST-trial.

Is the Disease Burden from COPD in Norway Falling off? A Study of Time Trends in Three Different Data Sources

Background

Less smoking should lead to fewer COPD cases. We aimed at estimating time trends in the prevalence and burden of COPD in Norway from 2001 to 2017.

Methods

We used pre-bronchodilator spirometry and other health data from persons aged 40–84 years in three surveys of the Tromsø Study, 2001–2002, 2007–2008 and 2015–2016. We applied spirometry lower limits of normal (LLN) according to Global Lung Initiative 2012. Age-standardized prevalence was determined. We defined COPD as FEV₁/FVC<LLN in subjects reporting dyspnea or coughing, and moderate to severe COPD when FEV₁ <LLN was found in addition. We identified hospitalizations due to COPD exacerbations in the Norwegian Patient Registry 2010–2017, and retrieved the use of COPD medication from the Norwegian Prescription Database. Change in prevalence was analyzed by logistic regression.

Results

In the Tromsø Study, the age-standardized prevalence of daily smoking dropped from 29.9% to 14.1% among women and from 31.4% to 12.8% among men (P<0.0001). The age-standardized prevalence of COPD dropped from 7.6% to 5.6% among women (P=0.2) and from 7.3% to 5.6% among men (P=0.003) and of moderate to severe COPD from 5.2% to 2.7% among women (P=0.0003) and from 4.6% to 3.2% among men (P=0.0008). Among men, the yearly age-standardized prevalence of hospitalization due to COPD exacerbation decreased from 3.6 to 3.0 per 1000 inhabitants aged 40–84 years (P<0.0001). Correspondingly, dispensing oral corticosteroids or/and antibiotics for COPD exacerbations dropped from 6.6 to 5.8 per 1000 (P<0.0001), while dispensing maintenance treatment increased (P<0.0001).

Conclusion

COPD morbidity decreased between 2001 and 2017, which might partly be due to less smoking. The drop in smoking prevalence gives promise of a further substantial decrease in the coming decades.

Patient-reported outcome measures in the management of neovascular age-related macular degeneration: a 1-year prospective study

Objective

To prospectively explore the following patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) in the management of neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD): (1) self-reported visual function, (2) symptom-state, (3) general-health and (4) satisfaction of treatment.

Methods and analysis

Corresponding to the four PROMs, participants responded to the following questionnaires: (1) National Eye Institute Visual-Functioning-Questionnaire (NEI-VFQ-25), (2) Patient-Acceptable-Symptom-Status (PASS 5), (3) EuroQol-Group-Questionnaire (EQ-5D-3L) and (4) Dimensions of Importance in Treatment of nAMD (DITAMD). Data were collected at baseline and after 3, 6 and 12 months of intravitreal antivascular endothelial growth factor treatment. Results were evaluated with t-tests and mixed linear regression analyses.

Results

The study included 197 patients. At baseline NEI-VFQ-25 (79.53±14.52) and EQ-5D (0.74±0.28) had relatively high scores, whereas PASS 5 was below 'acceptable' (3.30±0.80). At 12 months NEI-VFQ-25 and PASS 5 showed significant improvement, whereas EQ-5D and DITAMD remained unchanged. At baseline patients receiving treatment of the better-seeing eye (BSE) (n=52) reported significantly worse NEI-VFQ-25 and PASS 5 than patients for whom treatment only involved the worse-seeing eye (WSE), (n=145). In contrast to BSE patients, there was no improvement of NEI-VFQ-25 for WSE patients at 12 months, despite a significant improvement in best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA). Two independent variables, treatment including the BSE and BCVA for the treated eye, were found to predict both NEI-VFQ-25 and PASS 5.

Conclusion

After 12 months of nAMD treatment, there was a significant improvement in PASS 5 and NEI-VFQ-25, the latter depending on whether therapy included BSE. EQ-5D and DITAMD remained unaltered.

Psychometric properties of the National Eye Institute Visual Function Questionnaire (NEI-VFQ 25) in a Norwegian population of patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration compared to a control population

Background

Although visual acuity and optical coherence tomography (OCT) are most widely used as outcomes in treatment of neovascular age-related Macular Degeneration (nAMD), patient reported outcome measures are increasingly recognized. National Eye Institute Visual Function Questionnaire (NEI-VFQ 25) was developed to capture the perceived visual function. Yet, evidence of psychometric performance in the target population is required. The aim of this study was to examine the psychometric properties of NEI-VFQ 25 in a Norwegian cohort of newly diagnosed nAMD patients followed with a Treat and Extend (T/E) protocol.

Methods

Patients receiving intravitreal anti–vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) injection treatment according to a T/E protocol completed a Norwegian translation of NEI-VFQ 25, EuroQoL Health Questionnaire (EQ-5D), and Patient acceptable symptom state (PASS 5) at baseline, 3, 6 and 12 months. In addition, a control population completed the same questionnaires. Visual acuity was assessed with LogMar for best/treated eye. Validity testing comprised face validity by a 0–10 numeric rating scale about relevance of NEI-VFQ 25 as well as regression analyses and correlations between NEI-VFQ 25 and other relevant variables. Reliability was examined with Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC) and Cronbach’s alpha for internal consistency were performed. Responsiveness, discriminatory power and predictive value were also explored.

Results

Number of respondents at baseline, after 3, 6 and 12 months was 197, 186, 176 and 168, respectively. The control population comprised 26 individuals. Face validity of NEI-VFQ 25 had a mean (SD) of 7.8 (1.7) (n = 84). NEI-VFQ was significantly correlated to visual acuity and PASS 5 as well as EQ-5D at baseline. Reliability (ICC) of the overall and sub scores for the patients/controls ranged from 0.49–0.97/0.59–0.97. Cronbach’s alpha was 0.61–0.85. Discriminatory power was confirmed by significant differences of the overall score between controls and patients (P < 0.001). NEI-VFQ 25 indicates responsiveness showing overall score improved significantly (P ≤ 0.001) from baseline to 3 months. NEI-VFQ 25, general health and visual acuity at baseline were the strongest predictors for how patients reported vision after 6 months follow-up.

Conclusion

NEI-VFQ 25 showed acceptable psychometric performance, which supports that the Norwegian version can be used to monitor patients treated for nAMD.

Economic evaluation of lipid lowering with PCSK9 inhibitors in patients with familial hypercholesterolemia: Methodological aspects

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors have proved to reduce low density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in numerous clinical trials. In two large clinical trials, PCSK9 inhibitor treatment reduced the risk of cardiovascular disease. Our aim was to explore the impact of varying assumptions about clinical effectiveness on health and economic outcomes for patients with familial hypercholesterolemia.

METHODS

We used a previously published and validated Norwegian model for cardiovascular disease. The model was updated with recent data from the world's second largest registry of patients with genetically confirmed familial hypercholesterolemia. We performed analyses for 24 different subgroups of patients based on age, gender, statin tolerance and previous history of cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

In 1 out of 24 subgroups, PCSK9 inhibitors were cost-effective when effectiveness was modelled using direct relative efficacy as reported in the FOURIER trial. When using assumptions, as suggested in a recent consensus statement from the European Atherosclerosis Society, 14 subgroups were cost-effective.

CONCLUSIONS

Cost-effectiveness of PCSK9 inhibitors depends highly on assumptions regarding effectiveness. Basing assumptions only on randomised controlled trials, and not taking into account varying effects based on baseline cholesterol level, results in much fewer groups being cost-effective.

The Screening Illustrator: separating the effects of lead-time and overdiagnosis in mammography screening

Background

Mammography screening increases incidence because cancers are detected earlier in time and because of overdiagnosis. We developed an Excel-based model to visualize the expected increase from lead-time amplified by increasing background incidence. Subsequently, we added overdiagnosis to the model.

Methods

We constructed two hypothetical populations of women aged 50-79 in 5-year age and calendar groups: one with screening for women aged 50-69 and one without. The user enters information on population at risk, number of breast cancers, trends in background incidence, average length of lead-time and, optionally, overdiagnosis. The model computes incidence rate ratios (IRRs) comparing incidence changes with screening to changes without in open and closed cohorts.

Results

We entered information from Norway from 1990 to 1994, the period preceding the gradual introduction of a national mammography screening programme. As expected, the Screening Illustrator showed prevalence peaks and compensatory drops. Only the closed cohort approach remained unaffected by increasing background incidence. The model showed a 20% sustained increase in incidence (IRR: 1.20) from lead-time and increasing background incidence in the open cohort approach for women aged 50-69. However, real life Norwegian data show a corresponding 38% increase. For the model to achieve the observed incidence, 10-14% overdiagnosis had to be added.

Conclusion

The observed breast cancer incidence increase in Norway after screening implementation could not be obtained from an average lead-time of 2.5 years and empirical background incidence trends, but had to incorporate overdiagnosis.

Exploring the potential cost-effectiveness of a vocational rehabilitation program for individuals with schizophrenia in a high-income welfare society

BACKGROUND

Over the past decades research has shown that employment has a positive impact on quality of life, global functioning and recovery in individuals with schizophrenia. However, access to vocational rehabilitation services for this group is limited and unemployment rates remain high. In this study we explore the potential cost-effectiveness of a novel vocational rehabilitation program (The Job Management Program - JUMP) earmarked for individuals with schizophrenia in Norway.

METHODS

The JUMP study was a vocational rehabilitation program augmented with either cognitive behaviour therapy or cognitive remediation. In addition to the JUMP protocol, we extracted treatment cost data from comprehensive and mandatory health and welfare registers. The costs over a two-year follow-up period were compared with the costs over the two-year period prior to inclusion in the study. We also compared the cost-effectiveness of JUMP with a treatment as usual group (TAU).

RESULTS

We identified significant reductions in inpatient services in the JUMP group, both for those who obtained employment and those who did not. Significant reductions were also found in the TAU group, but adjusted for baseline differences the total cost for JUMP participants were € 10,621 lower than in the TAU group during the follow-up period.

CONCLUSION

In addition to supporting individuals with schizophrenia obtain employment, JUMP appears to have reduced the reliance on mental health services, which should be of interest to stakeholders.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01139502 . Retrospectively registered on 6 February 2010.

Changes in fatigue, health-related quality of life and physical activity after a one-week educational program for cancer survivors

Background: Rehabilitation aims to improve function, but the effects of different programs are not clear. The aims of the present study were to: (1) compare the level of fatigue and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of cancer survivors admitted to a one-week inpatient educational program (IEP) to the general population (NORMS), (2) examine changes in fatigue, HRQOL and physical activity after the IEP and (3) examine the proportions of survivors for female and male separately with clinically relevant improvement (>10% of maximum scale). Methods: Cancer survivors ≥18 years, diagnosed with breast-, prostate- or gastrointestinal cancer within the last 10 years, about to attend a one-week IEP were invited to an observational study with a pre-post design. The IEP included lectures, group discussions and physical activity. The participants completed a questionnaire on the arrival day (T0) and three months after the stay (T1). Fatigue was assessed by the Fatigue Questionnaire and HRQOL by Short Form-36. Results: Compared to NORMS, both female and male participants had significantly higher mean levels of fatigue and poorer HRQOL at T0 and T1. From T0 to T1, among all participants physical fatigue was reduced from 12.6 (SD 3.9) to 11.8 (SD 3.8; p < .001), mental fatigue from 6.3 (SD 2.2) to 6.0 (SD 2.2; p = .044) and total fatigue from 19.0 (SD 5.3) to 17.8 (SD 5.4; p = .001). Among female participants, 30% experienced clinically relevant improvement in physical fatigue, 28% in total fatigue and 36% in general health. Of male participants, 31% displayed a clinically relevant improvement in role limitations physical. Conclusion: Participants in the IEP reduced their levels of fatigue and improved aspects of HRQOL, more often observed among female participants than among males. Because of the lack of a control group it is not possible to conclude whether the changes were due to the IEP.

Chronic fatigue and associated factors among long-term survivors of cancers in young adulthood

Background: Chronic fatigue (CF) is scarcely explored among young adult cancer survivors (YACSs), and more knowledge is needed to develop targeted interventions for YACSs with CF. The present study aimed to investigate the prevalence of CF and associated factors in YACSs. Also, the change of fatigue with time was explored. Material and methods: The present cross-sectional study is part of a nation-wide population based survey of Norwegian survivors of cancer in childhood, adolescence, and young adulthood (The NOR-CAYACS study).YACSs diagnosed at the age of 19-39 years with breast cancer stage ≤ III (BC), colorectal cancer (CRC), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), acute lymphoblastic leukemia, or non-metastatic malignant melanoma (MM) were included 5-30 years after diagnosis. Survivors of MM treated with limited surgery were included as a reference group. CF was assessed by the Fatigue Questionnaire. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with CF. Results: In total, 1488 survivors completed the questionnaire (a response rate of 42%), of which 1088 were eligible for the present study. Overall, 25% reported CF. CF was significantly more prevalent among survivors of BC (29%) (p < .001), CRC (29%) (p = .001) and NHL (27%) (p = .003) than among survivors of MM (15%). CF was associated with systemic treatment combined with surgery and/or radiotherapy (p = .018), comorbidity (p = .038), pain (p = .002), numbness in hands/feet (p = .046), and depressive symptoms (p < .001) in the multivariable model. Among survivors with CF, 60% reported that they had been tired since cancer treatment, and among these, 65% reported worsening or no change of fatigue with time. Conclusion: One of four YACSs reported CF 15 years from diagnosis (mean). CF was associated with several possibly treatable factors. Health professionals involved in the follow-up of YACSs should have knowledge of CF and approaches to manage it.

Modelling the cost-effectiveness of PCSK9 inhibitors vs. ezetimibe through LDL-C reductions in a Norwegian setting

Aims

Despite the success of statins, there remains unmet clinical need in cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention. New proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors reduce low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) by 55-65%. Two PCSK9 inhibitors, evolocumab, and alirocumab, were approved for use in Norway but not yet for reimbursement through public national insurance. We aim to explore the cost-effectiveness of these compared with available treatments in a Norwegian setting.

Methods and results

A state transition Markov model was developed to model the cost-effectiveness of PCSK9 inhibitors for prevention of coronary heart disease, ischaemic strokes, and death among high-risk patient subpopulations in Norway, in both primary and secondary settings. Evolocumab and alirocumab are compared against ezetimibe and standard treatment. Risk of CVD is based on population incidence rates and adjusted according to baseline risk factors. Preventative effect of treatment was modelled according to absolute reduction in LDL-C. PCSK9 inhibitors were never found to be cost-effective in primary prevention. In secondary prevention they were cost-effective only for older, high-risk patients. The lowest cost-effectiveness ratios were for heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia patients and high-risk diabetics, with €63 200 and €68 400 per quality-adjusted life-year, respectively.

Conclusion

High lifetime costs of PCSK9 inhibitors may not be offset by estimated health gains for most eligible patients. PCSK9 inhibitors are found in the model only to be cost-effective in secondary prevention for older patients with high absolute risk of CVD. This picture is likely to change as price decreases. Future research is needed to determine the long-term preventative effects of PCSK9 inhibitors.

Effect of a Fracture Liaison Service on the Rate of Subsequent Fracture Among Patients With a Fragility Fracture in the Norwegian Capture the Fracture Initiative (NoFRACT): A Trial Protocol

IMPORTANCE

Fragility fracture is a major health issue because of the accompanying morbidity, mortality, and financial cost. Despite the high cost to society and personal cost to affected individuals, secondary fracture prevention is suboptimal in Norway, mainly because most patients with osteoporotic fractures do not receive treatment with antiosteoporotic drugs after fracture repair.

OBJECTIVES

To improve secondary fracture prevention by introducing a standardized intervention program and to investigate the effect of the program on the rate of subsequent fractures.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Trial protocol of the Norwegian Capture the Fracture Initiative (NoFRACT), an ongoing, stepped wedge cluster randomized clinical trial in 7 hospitals in Norway. The participating hospitals were cluster randomized to an intervention starting date: May 1, 2015; September 1, 2015; and January 1, 2016. Follow-up is through December 31, 2019. The outcome data were merged from national registries of women and men 50 years and older with a recent fragility fracture treated at 1 of the 7 hospitals.

DISCUSSION

The NoFRACT trial is intended to enroll 82 000 patients (intervention period, 26 000 patients; control period, 56 000 patients), of whom 23 578 are currently enrolled by January 2018. Interventions include a standardized program for identification, assessment, and treatment of osteoporosis in patients with a fragility fracture that is led by a trained coordinating nurse. The primary outcome is rate of subsequent fracture (per 10 000 person-years) based on national registry data. Outcomes before (2008-2015; control period) and after (2015-2019; intervention period) the intervention will be compared, and each hospital will act as its own control. Use of outcomes from national registry data means that all patients are included in the analysis regardless of whether they are exposed to the intervention (intention to treat). A sensitivity analysis with a transition window will be performed to mitigate possible within-cluster contamination.

RESULTS

Results are planned to be disseminated through publications in peer-reviewed journals and presented at local, national, and international conferences.

CONCLUSIONS

By introducing a standardized intervention program for assessment and treatment of osteoporosis in patients with fragility fractures, we expect to document reduced rates of subsequent fractures and fracture-related mortality.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02536898.

Development and testing of a patient-derived questionnaire for treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration: dimensions of importance in treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration

PURPOSE

Studies reporting on patient perspectives during treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) are limited. Thus, the aim of this study was to develop and test psychometric performance of a patient-derived questionnaire to capture important experiences during intravitreal treatment.

METHODS

Patients (n = 44) with at least 3-month experience of intravitreal injection treatment for nAMD identified the dimensions of priority and also performed a weighting procedure to develop a score for comparison. The questionnaire comprised two versions: one focusing on the relative importance' of the dimensions and one on the experience of the 'management' during treatment. The questionnaire was then tested for psychometric performance in a longitudinal design in newly diagnosed patients at baseline (n = 197), after three (n = 184) and six (n = 150) months of treatment.

RESULTS

Of the 15 included dimensions, the following were most frequently reported: 'receive treatment to preserve vision', 'information', 'waiting time', 'trust' and 'accommodating staff. The psychometric testing showed moderate reliability (intraclass correlation coefficient: 0.65-0.67) for the two versions and high level of face validity (8.3). The dimensions, 'preserving vision', 'early access to treatment', 'pain relief', 'information about the treatment/diagnosis' and 'visual aids' were consistently reported higher in 'importance' than in 'management', at both 3 and 6 months, indicating a potential for improvement in clinical practice for these dimensions.

CONCLUSION

This study provides a brief patient-derived questionnaire, expressed with a score with good psychometric performance that can be used for monitoring during intravitreal injection treatment of nAMD patients.

Feasibility of reaching world health organization targets for hepatitis C and the cost-effectiveness of alternative strategies

New drugs for treating hepatitis C have considerably increased the probability of being cured. Treatment uptake, however, is still low. The objectives of this study were to analyse the impact of initiatives that may increase the proportion of infected people on treatment and interventions aimed at reducing the incidence of new infection among people who inject drugs. A compartmental model for Norway was used to simulate hepatitis C and related complications. We analysed 2 different screening initiatives aimed to increase the proportion of infected people on treatment. Interventions aiming at reducing the hepatitis C incidence analysed were opioid substitution therapy (OST), a clean needle and syringe programme and a combination of both. The most cost-effective strategy for increasing hepatitis C treatment uptake was screening by general practitioners while simultaneously allowing for all infected people to be treated. We estimated that this intervention reduces the incidence of hepatitis C by 2030 by 63% compared with the current incidence. The 2 harm reduction strategies both reduced the incidence of hepatitis C by about 70%. Combining an increase in the current clean needles and syringe programme with OST was clearly the most cost-effective option. This strategy would reduce the incidence of hepatitis C by 80% compared with the current incidence by 2030. Thus, interventions to reduce the burden and spread of hepatitis C are cost-effective. Reaching the WHO target of a 90% reduction in hepatitis C incidence by 2030 may be difficult without combining different initiatives.

Are PCSK9 Inhibitors Cost Effective?

The objective of this study was to review available health economic evaluations of PCSK9 (proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9) inhibitors. These drugs reduce low-density lipid cholesterol levels and cardiovascular risk, but their cost effectiveness has been questioned. We searched Medline and Embase for economic evaluations in any language at any time. Studies were included if they analysed any PCSK9 inhibitor compared with either statin alone or in combination with ezetimibe or any other therapy considered standard prior to the introduction of PCSK9 inhibitors. We found ten full health economic evaluations of PCSK9 inhibitors, two from Europe and eight from the United States (US). Six of the eight from the US were from two different consortia that analysed PCSK9 inhibitors at different stages through the development of evidence. All studies generally reported incremental cost-effectiveness ratios above suggested thresholds for cost effectiveness, except one study from Spain. The results of this review indicate that PCSK9 inhibitors in general are not cost effective at the current prices, but lower prices may change the results.

Economic Evaluation of Direct-Acting Antivirals for Hepatitis C in Norway

PURPOSE

New direct-acting antiviral (DAA) drugs have revolutionized the treatment of hepatitis C in recent years.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to analyse the cost effectiveness of combinations of different DAAs compared with ribavirin and peginterferon-α-2a, taking into account rebates from tender negotiations.

METHODS

We used a compartmental model specifically developed for Norway to simulate hepatitis C and complications with and without different DAAs. All costs were based on Norwegian fees and estimates, estimating healthcare sector costs for the year 2016. We performed Monte Carlo simulations on uncertain input parameters to facilitate probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

For patients diagnosed with genotype 1, the combination of paritaprevir, ritonavir, ombitasvir and dasabuvir was cost effective compared with eight other available alternatives, given a cost-effectiveness threshold of €70,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. For genotype 2, the combination of sofosbuvir and ribavirin was the most effective and cost-effective alternative for all patients. Among available alternatives for patients with genotype 3, sofosbuvir in combination with peginterferon and ribavirin was the most cost-effective alternative, although the combination of daclatasvir and sofosbuvir was somewhat more effective.

CONCLUSIONS

For each of the hepatitis C genotypes 1, 2 and 3, there were combinations of DAAs that were cost effective in a Norwegian setting. As a result of recent tender negotiations in Norway, treating all diagnosed patients with hepatitis C with the most cost-effective DAAs will result in lower total expenditure on these medications compared with 2015.