Association of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity With Mortality

Incidence, prevalence, and comorbidities of chronic pancreatitis: A 7-year population-based study

BACKGROUND

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a fibroinflammatory syndrome leading to reduced quality of life and shortened life expectancy. Population-based estimates of the incidence, prevalence, and comorbidities of CP in China are scarce.

AIM

To characterize the incidence, prevalence, and comorbidities of CP in Sichuan Province, China, with population-based data.

METHODS

Data on CP from 2015 to 2021 were obtained from the Health Information Center of Sichuan Province. During the study period, a total of 38090 individuals were diagnosed with CP in Sichuan Province. The yearly incidence rate and point prevalence rate (December 31, 2021) of CP were calculated. The prevalence of comorbid conditions in CP patients was estimated. The annual number of CP-related hospitalizations, hospital length of stay, and hospitalization costs for CP were evaluated. Yearly incidence rates were standardized for age by the direct method using the permanent population of Sichuan Province in the 2020 census as the standard population. An analysis of variance test for the linearity of scaled variables and the Cochran-Armitage trend test for categorical data were performed to investigate the yearly trends, and a two-sided test with P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The 38090 CP patients comprised 23280 males and 14810 females. The mean age of patients at CP diagnosis was 57.83 years, with male patients (55.87 years) being younger than female patients (60.11 years) (P < 0.001). The mean incidence rate of CP during the study period was 6.81 per 100000 person-years, and the incidence of CP increased each year, from 4.03 per 100000 person-years in 2015 to 8.27 per 100000 person-years in 2021 (P < 0.001). The point prevalence rate of CP in 2021 was 45.52 per 100000 individuals for the total population, with rates of 55.04 per 100000 individuals for men and 35.78 per 100000 individuals for women (P < 0.001). Individuals aged 65 years or older had the highest prevalence of CP (113.38 per 100000 individuals) (P < 0.001). Diabetes (26.32%) was the most common comorbidity in CP patients. The number of CP-related hospitalizations increased from 3739 in 2015 to 11009 in 2021. The total costs for CP-related hospitalizations for CP patients over the study period were 667.96 million yuan, with an average of 17538 yuan per patient.

CONCLUSION

The yearly incidence of CP is increasing, and the overall CP hospitalization cost has increased by 1.4 times during the last 7 years, indicating that CP remains a heavy health burden.

Impact of total intravenous anesthesia and total inhalation anesthesia as the anesthesia maintenance approaches on blood glucose level and postoperative complications in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a double-blind, randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus is a prevalent metabolic disease in the world. Previous studies have shown that anesthetics can affect perioperative blood glucose levels which related to adverse clinical outcomes. Few studies have explored the choice of general anesthetic protocol on perioperative glucose metabolism in diabetes patients. We aimed to compare total intravenous anesthesia (TIVA) with total inhalation anesthesia (TIHA) on blood glucose level and complications in type 2 diabetic patients undergoing general surgery.

METHODS

In this double-blind controlled trial, 116 type 2 diabetic patients scheduled for general surgery were randomly assigned to either the TIVA group or TIHA group (n = 56 and n = 60, respectively). The blood glucose level at different time points were measured and analyzed by the repeated-measures analysis of variance. The serum insulin and cortisol levels were measured and analyzed with t-test. The incidence of complications was followed up and analyzed with chi-square test or Fisher's exact test as appropriate. The risk factors for complications were analyzed using the logistic stepwise regression.

RESULTS

The blood glucose levels were higher in TIHA group than that in TIVA group at the time points of extubation, 1 and 2 h after the operation, 1 and 2 days after the operation, and were significantly higher at 1 day after the operation (10.4 ± 2.8 vs. 8.1 ± 2.1 mmol/L; P < 0.01). The postoperative insulin level was higher in TIVA group than that in TIHA group (8.9 ± 2.9 vs. 7.6 ± 2.4 IU/mL; P = 0.011). The postoperative cortisol level was higher in TIHA group than that in TIVA group (15.3 ± 4.8 vs. 12.2 ± 8.9 ug/dL ; P = 0.031). No significant difference regarding the incidence of complications between the two groups was found based on the current samples. Blood glucose level on postoperative day 1 was a risk factor for postoperative complications (OR: 1.779, 95%CI: 1.009 ~ 3.138).

CONCLUSIONS

TIVA has less impact on perioperative blood glucose level and a better inhibition of cortisol release in type 2 diabetic patients compared to TIHA. A future large trial may be conducted to find the difference of complications between the two groups.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The protocol registered on the Chinese Clinical Trials Registry on 20/01/2020 (ChiCTR2000029247).

Baseline Cardiovascular Risk Factor Control in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Coronary Disease Versus Stroke: Secondary Analysis of Cardiovascular Outcome Trials

BACKGROUND

Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease are at increased risk for recurrent ischemic events. Cardiovascular risk factor control is vital for secondary prevention, but how this compares among individuals with different T2D macrovascular complications is unknown. We aimed to determine if there might be differences in risk factor control in patients with T2D with previous stroke versus coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

Cross-sectional analyses were performed on 12 856 patients with T2D with prior history of stroke with or without CAD from 3 diabetes cardiovascular outcome trials: CARMELINA (The Cardiovascular and Renal Microvascular Outcome Study With Linagliptin), EMPA-REG OUTCOME (Empagliflozin Cardiovascular Outcome Event Trial in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients), and CAROLINA (The Cardiovascular Outcome Study of Linagliptin vs Glimepiride in Type 2 Diabetes). Risk factors at baseline assessed included dyslipidemia, hypertension, smoking, and current antiplatelet/anticoagulant therapy. Control, respectively, was defined as LDL (low-density lipoprotein)-C <100 mg/dL or statin use, systolic blood pressure <140 and diastolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg, not currently smoking, and use of an antiplatelet/anticoagulant medication. The odds ratio of 3 to 4 (or good) versus 0 to 2 (or suboptimal) risk factors controlled was analyzed by logistic regression models.

RESULTS

The odds for good versus suboptimal risk factor control in patients with CAD alone was higher than in those with stroke alone across all 3 trials odds ratios (95% CI): CARMELINA, 2.05 (1.67-2.51), EMPA-REG OUTCOME, 2.50 (2.10-2.99), and CAROLINA, 1.63 (1.21-2.20). The respective odds ratios were lower (and rendered nonsignificant in CAROLINA) when cardiovascular risk factor control in patients with both CAD and stroke were compared with those with stroke alone: CARMELINA, 1.45 (1.13-1.87); EMPA-REG OUTCOME, 1.62 (1.25-2.08); and CAROLINA, 1.16 (0.74-1.83).

CONCLUSIONS

In contemporary populations of patients with T2D, there was significant discordance in control of cardiovascular risk factors between patients with stroke versus CAD, with the former having less optimal control. The intermediate results in patients with both CAD and stroke suggest that these differences could be related at least in part to clinician factors.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifiers: NCT01243424, NCT01131676, NCT01897532.

Multimorbidity Patterns and Associations with Gait, Balance and Lower Extremity Muscle Function in the Elderly: A Cross-Sectional Study in Northwest China

Purpose

Fall is a common geriatric syndrome leading to various adverse outcomes in the elderly. Gait and balance disorders and decreased lower extremity muscle function are the major intrinsic risk factors of falls, and studies suggested that they were closely related to the underlying chronic conditions. This study aimed to explore the patterns of multimorbidity and determine the associations of these multimorbidity patterns with gait, balance and lower extremity muscle function.

Patients and Methods

A cross-sectional survey of 4803 participants aged ≥60 years in Shaanxi Province, China was conducted and the self-reported chronic conditions were investigated. The 6-m walk test, timed-up-and-go test (TUG) and 5-sit-to-stand test (5-STS) were conducted to evaluate gait, balance, and lower extremity muscle function respectively. Latent class analysis was used to explore patterns of multimorbidity, and multivariate regression analysis was used to determine the associations of multimorbidity patterns with gait, balance, and lower extremity muscle function.

Results

Five multimorbidity patterns were identified: Degenerative Disease Class, Cardio-metabolic Class, Stroke-Respiratory-Depression Class, Gastrointestinal Class, and Very sick Class, and they were differently associated with gait and balance disorders and decreased lower extremity muscle function. In particular, the multimorbidity patterns of Degenerative Disease Class and Stroke-Respiratory-Depression Class were closely associated with all the three risk factors of falls.

Conclusion

There are significant differences in the impact of different multimorbidity patterns on the major intrinsic risk factors of falls in the elderly population, and appropriate multimorbidity patterns are closely related to the prediction of falls and can help to develop fall prevention strategies in the elderly.

SCORE2-Diabetes: 10-year cardiovascular risk estimation in type 2 diabetes in Europe

AIMS

To develop and validate a recalibrated prediction model (SCORE2-Diabetes) to estimate the 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals with type 2 diabetes in Europe.

METHODS AND RESULTS

SCORE2-Diabetes was developed by extending SCORE2 algorithms using individual-participant data from four large-scale datasets comprising 229 460 participants (43 706 CVD events) with type 2 diabetes and without previous CVD. Sex-specific competing risk-adjusted models were used including conventional risk factors (i.e. age, smoking, systolic blood pressure, total, and HDL-cholesterol), as well as diabetes-related variables (i.e. age at diabetes diagnosis, glycated haemoglobin [HbA1c] and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR]). Models were recalibrated to CVD incidence in four European risk regions. External validation included 217 036 further individuals (38 602 CVD events), and showed good discrimination, and improvement over SCORE2 (C-index change from 0.009 to 0.031). Regional calibration was satisfactory. SCORE2-Diabetes risk predictions varied several-fold, depending on individuals' levels of diabetes-related factors. For example, in the moderate-risk region, the estimated 10-year CVD risk was 11% for a 60-year-old man, non-smoker, with type 2 diabetes, average conventional risk factors, HbA1c of 50 mmol/mol, eGFR of 90 mL/min/1.73 m2, and age at diabetes diagnosis of 60 years. By contrast, the estimated risk was 17% in a similar man, with HbA1c of 70 mmol/mol, eGFR of 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and age at diabetes diagnosis of 50 years. For a woman with the same characteristics, the risk was 8% and 13%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

SCORE2-Diabetes, a new algorithm developed, calibrated, and validated to predict 10-year risk of CVD in individuals with type 2 diabetes, enhances identification of individuals at higher risk of developing CVD across Europe.

Effect on life expectancy of temporal sequence in a multimorbidity cluster of psychosis, diabetes, and congestive heart failure among 1·7 million individuals in Wales with 20-year follow-up: a retrospective cohort study using linked data

BACKGROUND

To inform targeted public health strategies, it is crucial to understand how coexisting diseases develop over time and their associated impacts on patient outcomes and health-care resources. This study aimed to examine how psychosis, diabetes, and congestive heart failure, in a cluster of physical-mental health multimorbidity, develop and coexist over time, and to assess the associated effects of different temporal sequences of these diseases on life expectancy in Wales.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we used population-scale, individual-level, anonymised, linked, demographic, administrative, and electronic health record data from the Wales Multimorbidity e-Cohort. We included data on all individuals aged 25 years and older who were living in Wales on Jan 1, 2000 (the start of follow-up), with follow-up continuing until Dec 31, 2019, first break in Welsh residency, or death. Multistate models were applied to these data to model trajectories of disease in multimorbidity and their associated effect on all-cause mortality, accounting for competing risks. Life expectancy was calculated as the restricted mean survival time (bound by the maximum follow-up of 20 years) for each of the transitions from the health states to death. Cox regression models were used to estimate baseline hazards for transitions between health states, adjusted for sex, age, and area-level deprivation (Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation [WIMD] quintile).

FINDINGS

Our analyses included data for 1 675 585 individuals (811 393 [48·4%] men and 864 192 [51·6%] women) with a median age of 51·0 years (IQR 37·0-65·0) at cohort entry. The order of disease acquisition in cases of multimorbidity had an important and complex association with patient life expectancy. Individuals who developed diabetes, psychosis, and congestive heart failure, in that order (DPC), had reduced life expectancy compared with people who developed the same three conditions in a different order: for a 50-year-old man in the third quintile of the WIMD (on which we based our main analyses to allow comparability), DPC was associated with a loss in life expectancy of 13·23 years (SD 0·80) compared with the general otherwise healthy or otherwise diseased population. Congestive heart failure as a single condition was associated with mean a loss in life expectancy of 12·38 years (0·00), and with a loss of 12·95 years (0·06) when preceded by psychosis and 13·45 years (0·13) when followed by psychosis. Findings were robust in people of older ages, more deprived populations, and women, except that the trajectory of psychosis, congestive heart failure, and diabetes was associated with higher mortality in women than men. Within 5 years of an initial diagnosis of diabetes, the risk of developing psychosis or congestive heart failure, or both, was increased.

INTERPRETATION

The order in which individuals develop psychosis, diabetes, and congestive heart failure as combinations of conditions can substantially affect life expectancy. Multistate models offer a flexible framework to assess temporal sequences of diseases and allow identification of periods of increased risk of developing subsequent conditions and death.

FUNDING

Health Data Research UK.

Systolic Blood Pressure and Survival to Very Old Age. Results from the Women's Health Initiative

Background

The association between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and longevity is not fully understood. We aimed to determine survival probabilities to age 90 for various SBP levels among women aged ≥ 65 years with or without BP medication.

Methods

We analyzed blood pressure data from participants in the Women's Health Initiative (n=16,570) who were aged 65 or older and without history of cardiovascular disease, diabetes or cancer. Blood pressure was measured at baseline (1993-1998) and then annually through 2005. The outcome was defined as survival to age 90 with follow-up until February 28, 2020.

Results

During a follow-up of 18 years, 9,723 (59%) of 16,570 women survived to age 90. The SBP associated with the highest probability of survival was about 120mmHg regardless of age. Compared to an SBP between 110 and 130 mmHg, women with uncontrolled SBP had a lower survival probability across all age groups and with or without BP medication. A 65-year-old women on BP medication with an interpolated SBP between 110 and 130 mmHg in 80% of the first 5 years of follow-up had a 31% (95% confidence interval, 24%, 38%) absolute survival probability. For those with 20% time in range, the probability was 21% (95% confidence interval, 16%, 26%).

Conclusions

An SBP level below 130 mmHg was found to be associated with longevity among older women. The longer SBP was controlled at a level between 110 and 130 mmHg, the higher the survival probability to age 90. Preventing age-related rises in SBP and increasing the time with controlled BP levels constitute important measures for achieving longevity.

Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants

BACKGROUND

The association of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) with mortality risk is rarely studied, and neither are the durations of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). Whether the association patterns of CMD durations with mortality change as individuals progress from one CMD to CMM is unclear.

METHODS

Data from China Kadoorie Biobank of 512,720 participants aged 30-79 was used. CMM was defined as the simultaneous presence of two or more CMDs of interest, including diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the duration-dependent associations of CMDs and CMM with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. All information on exposures of interest was updated during follow-up.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 99,770 participants experienced at least one incident CMD, and 56,549 deaths were documented. Among 463,178 participants free of three CMDs at baseline, compared with no CMD during follow-up, the adjusted HRs (95% CIs) between CMM and all-cause mortality, mortality from circulatory system diseases, respiratory system diseases, cancer, and other causes were 2.93 (2.80-3.07), 5.05 (4.74-5.37), 2.72 (2.35-3.14), 1.30 (1.16-1.45), and 2.30 (2.02-2.61), respectively. All CMDs exhibited a high mortality risk in the first year of diagnosis. Subsequently, with prolonged disease duration, mortality risk increased for diabetes, decreased for IHD, and sustained at a high level for stroke. With the presence of CMM, the above association estimates inflated, but the pattern of which remained.

CONCLUSION

Among Chinese adults, mortality risk increased with the number of the CMDs and changed with prolonged disease duration, the patterns of which varied among the three CMDs.

Time trajectories of key cardiometabolic parameters and of cardiovascular risk in subjects with diabetes in a real world setting

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Diabetes is associated with increased cardiovascular risk. Glycated haemoglobin (HbA_1c), lipid parameters and blood pressure are known risk factors for adverse outcome. The aim of the study was to explore the time trajectories of these key parameters and of the associated cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

We linked the diabetes electronic health records to the laboratory information system so as to investigate the trajectories of key metabolic parameters from 3 years prior to the diagnosis of diabetes to 10 years after diagnosis. We calculated the cardiovascular risk at the different time points during this period using the United Kingdom Prospective Study (UKPDS) risk engine.

RESULTS

The study included 21,288 patients. The median age at diagnosis was 56 years and 55.3% were male. There was a sharp decrease in HbA_1c after diagnosis of diabetes, but there was a progressive rise thereafter. All lipid parameters after diagnosis also improved in the year of diagnosis, and these improvements persisted even up to 10 years post-diagnosis. There was no discernible trend in mean systolic or diastolic blood pressures following diagnosis of diabetes. There was a slight decrease in the UKPDS-estimated cardiovascular risk after diagnosis of diabetes followed by a progressive increase. Estimated glomerular filtration rate declined at an average rate of 1.33 ml/min/1.73 m²/year.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that lipid control should be tightened with increasing duration of diabetes since this is more readily achievable than HbA_1c lowering and since other factors such as age and duration of diabetes are unmodifiable.

Clustering of Cardiometabolic Risk Factors and Dementia Incidence in Older Adults: A Cross-Country Comparison in England, the United States, and China

BACKGROUND

There is mixed evidence for an association between cardiometabolic risk factors and dementia incidence. This study aimed to determine whether different latent classes of cardiometabolic conditions were associated with dementia risk in older adults across England, the United States, and China.

METHODS

A total of 4 511 participants aged 50 and older were drawn from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), 5 112 from Health and Retirement Study (HRS), and 9 022 from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Latent class analyses were performed across each data set utilizing 7 baseline cardiometabolic conditions: obesity, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, hyperglycemia, diabetes, and inflammation. Confounder-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regressions were conducted to estimate dementia incidence by cardiometabolic latent classes.

RESULTS

Three similar cardiometabolic classes were identified across all countries: (i) "relatively healthy/healthy obesity," (ii) "obesity-hypertension," and (iii) "complex cardiometabolic." Across the 3 samples, a total of 1 230 individuals developed dementia over a median of 6.8-12.2 years. Among ELSA and HRS participants, the "complex cardiometabolic" group had a higher dementia risk when compared to the "healthy obesity" groups (England: adjusted hazard ratio [AdjHR] = 1.62 [95% confidence interval {CI} = 1.11-2.37]; United States: AdjHR = 1.31 [95% CI = 1.02-1.68]). However, in CHARLS participants, the "obesity-hypertension" group had a greater risk of dementia when compared to the "relatively healthy" group (AdjHR = 1.28 [95% CI = 1.04-1.57]).

CONCLUSION

This study provides evidence that in western populations, complex cardiometabolic clusters are associated with higher rates of dementia incidence, whereas in a Chinese sample, a different cardiometabolic profile seems to be linked to an increased risk of dementia.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists in diabetic kidney disease: A review of their kidney and heart protection

Importance

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, testing for albuminuria among patients with T2D is substantially underutilized in clinical practice; many patients with CKD go unrecognized. For patients with T2D at high cardiovascular risk, or with established CVD, the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) have been shown to reduce ASCVD in cardiovascular outcome trials, while potential kidney outcomes are being explored.

Observations

A recent meta-analysis found that GLP1-RA reduced 3-point major adverse cardiovascular events by 14% [HR, 0.86 (95% CI, 0.80-0.93)] in patients with T2D. The benefits of GLP1-RA to reduce ASCVD were at least as large among people with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m². GLP1-RA also conferred a 21% reduction in the composite kidney outcome [HR, 0.79 (0.73-0.87)]; however, this result was achieved largely through reduction in albuminuria. It remains uncertain whether GLP1-RA would confer similar favorable results for eGFR decline and/or progression to end-stage kidney disease. Postulated mechanisms by which GLP1-RA confer protection against CVD and CKD include blood pressure lowering, weight loss, improved glucose control, and decreasing oxidative stress. Ongoing studies in T2D and CKD include a kidney outcome trial with semaglutide (FLOW, NCT03819153) and a mechanism of action study (REMODEL, NCT04865770) examining semaglutide's effect on kidney inflammation and fibrosis. Ongoing cardiovascular outcome studies are examining an oral GLP1-RA (NCT03914326), GLP1-RA in patients without T2D (NCT03574597), and dual GIP/GLP1-RA agonists (NCT04255433); the secondary kidney outcomes of these trials will be informative.

Conclusions and relevance

Despite their well-described ASCVD benefits and potential kidney protective mechanisms, GLP1-RA remain underutilized in clinical practice. This highlights the need for cardiovascular clinicians to influence and implement use of GLP1-RA in appropriate patients, including those with T2D and CKD at higher risk for ASCVD.

The impact of diabetes on the relationship of coronary artery disease and outcome: a study using multimodality imaging

BACKGROUND

Patients with prediabetes or diabetes are at increased risk of developing cardiovascular disease and adverse outcomes. First-line coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) followed by selective use of positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging is a feasible strategy to diagnose and risk-stratify patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). The aim of the present study was to study whether diabetes changes the relationship of CAD and long-term outcome.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified consecutive symptomatic patients who underwent coronary CTA for suspected CAD. In patients with suspected obstructive CAD on CTA, myocardial ischemia was evaluated by ¹⁵O-water PET myocardial perfusion imaging. The relationship of the phenotype of CAD and long-term outcome in patients with no diabetes, prediabetes, or type 2 diabetes was investigated. A composite endpoint included all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and unstable angina pectoris (UAP).

RESULTS

A total of 1743 patients were included: 1214 (70%) non-diabetic, 259 (15%) prediabetic, and 270 (16%) type 2 diabetic patients. During 6.43 years of median follow-up, 164 adverse events occurred (106 deaths, 41 MIs, 17 UAPs). The prevalence of normal coronary arteries on CTA was highest in the non-diabetic patients (39%). The prevalence of hemodynamically significant CAD (abnormal perfusion) increased from 14% in non-diabetic patients to 20% in prediabetic and 27% in diabetic patients. The event rate was lowest in patients with normal coronary arteries and highest in patients with concomitant type 2 diabetes and hemodynamically significant CAD (annual event rate 0.2% vs. 4.7%). However, neither prediabetes nor diabetes were independent predictors of the composite adverse outcome after adjustment for the clinical risk factors and imaging findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Coronary CTA followed by selective downstream use of PET myocardial perfusion imaging predicts long-term outcome similarly in non-diabetic and diabetic patients.

Guardians For Health: A Practical Approach to Improving Quality of Life and Longevity in People with Type 2 Diabetes

Type 2 diabetes is one of the fastest-growing health emergencies of the twenty-first century, in part due to its association with cardiovascular and renal disease. Successful implementation of evidence-based guidelines for the management of patients with diabetes and pre-diabetes has been shown to improve patient outcomes by controlling risk factors for cardiovascular and renal disease. Recommendations include the early introduction of lifestyle adjustments, supported by pharmacological tools. Despite the availability of regularly updated, evidence-based guidelines, guideline implementation in clinical practice is low. As a result, people living with type 2 diabetes are not consistently receiving ideal clinical care. Improving guideline adherence has the potential to improve quality of life and longevity in patients with type 2 diabetes. This article introduces Guardians For Health, a global initiative that aims to improve guideline adherence by simplifying patient management and encouraging patient participation in the implementation of guidelines for type 2 diabetes. Guardians For Health is supported by a global community of implementers, with tools to support decision-making and quality assurance. Through achieving better guideline adherence, Guardians For Health hopes to achieve its vision to "stop early mortality by reducing cardiovascular and kidney complications in people with type 2 diabetes".

Dietary Diversity and Inflammatory Diet Associated with All-Cause Mortality and Incidence and Mortality of Type 2 Diabetes: Two Prospective Cohort Studies

A higher dietary diversity score (DDS) and a lower energy-adjusted dietary inflammatory index (E-DII) may be associated with lower risks of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and mortality. This cohort study aimed to investigate the associations of DDS and E-DII with all-cause mortality, incidence of T2D, and mortality of T2D, as well as the joint effects of these two dietary factors. A total of 181,360 participants without all types of diabetes at baseline from the UK Biobank and 42,139 participants from the US NHANES were included. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the associations of DDS and E-DII with outcomes. In the UK Biobank data, 8338 deaths, 3416 incident T2D cases, and 353 T2D deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 12.5 years. In the US NHANES data, 6803 all-cause deaths and 248 T2D-specific deaths were recorded during a median follow-up of 9.6 years. We observed that higher DDS and lower E-DII were significantly associated with lower risks of total mortality and incident T2D. Compared with low DDS, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of high DDS were 0.69 (0.64, 0.74) for all-cause mortality, 0.79 (0.70, 0.88) for incident T2D in the UK Biobank, and 0.69 (0.61, 0.78) for all-cause mortality in the US NHANES. Compared with participants in tertile 3 of E-DII, those in tertile 1 had a lower risk of overall death [HR 0.86 (95% CI: 0.81, 0.91) in UK Biobank; 0.83 (0.77, 0.88) in US NHANES] and incident T2D [0.86 (0.79, 0.94)] in UK Biobank. No evidence was observed of the interactive effects of DDS and E-DII on either all-cause mortality or the incidence and mortality of T2D. There was no significant association found between any exposure and T2D mortality in this study. In conclusion, our results revealed that higher DDS and lower E-DII were associated with both total mortality and incident T2D in UK and US adults.

Longitudinal models for the progression of disease portfolios in a nationwide chronic heart disease population

BACKGROUND AND AIM

With multimorbidity becoming increasingly prevalent in the ageing population, addressing the epidemiology and development of multimorbidity at a population level is needed. Individuals subject to chronic heart disease are widely multimorbid, and population-wide longitudinal studies on their chronic disease trajectories are few.

METHODS

Disease trajectory networks of expected disease portfolio development and chronic condition prevalences were used to map sex and socioeconomic multimorbidity patterns among chronic heart disease patients. Our data source was all Danish individuals aged 18 years and older at some point in 1995-2015, consisting of 6,048,700 individuals. We used algorithmic diagnoses to obtain chronic disease diagnoses and included individuals who received a heart disease diagnosis. We utilized a general Markov framework considering combinations of chronic diagnoses as multimorbidity states. We analyzed the time until a possible new diagnosis, termed the diagnosis postponement time, in addition to transitions to new diagnoses. We modelled the postponement times by exponential models and transition probabilities by logistic regression models.

FINDINGS

Among the cohort of 766,596 chronic heart disease diagnosed individuals, the prevalence of multimorbidity was 84.36% and 88.47% for males and females, respectively. We found sex-related differences within the chronic heart disease trajectories. Female trajectories were dominated by osteoporosis and male trajectories by cancer. We found sex important in developing most conditions, especially osteoporosis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and diabetes. A socioeconomic gradient was observed where diagnosis postponement time increases with educational attainment. Contrasts in disease portfolio development based on educational attainment were found for both sexes, with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and diabetes more prevalent at lower education levels, compared to higher.

CONCLUSIONS

Disease trajectories of chronic heart disease diagnosed individuals are heavily complicated by multimorbidity. Therefore, it is essential to consider and study chronic heart disease, taking into account the individuals' entire disease portfolio.

Depressive symptoms and risk of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity in community-dwelling older adults: The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND

Depressive symptoms are associated with an increased risk of developing cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). However, the relationship between depressive symptoms and cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to examine whether depressive symptoms were associated with an increased risk of incident CMM in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 6663 participants who were free of CMM at baseline from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Depressive symptoms were assessed by the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale-10 (CESD-10). Incident CMM refers to the coexistence of ≥2 CMDs (heart disease, stroke, or diabetes). Multivariable logistic regressions and restricted cubic splines were performed to assess the association between depressive symptoms and incident CMM.

RESULTS

The median CESD-10 score at baseline was 7 (IQR: 3 to 12). Over 4 years of follow-up, 309 participants (4.6 %) developed CMM. After adjusting for sociodemographic, behavioral, and traditional clinical risk factors, a higher frequency of depressive symptoms was associated with an increased risk of incident CMM (per 9-point higher CESD-10 score OR: 1.73; 95 % CI: 1.48-2.03). The association between the CESD-10 score and incident CMM was more obvious in women (OR: 2.02; 95 % CI: 1.63-2.51) than in men (OR: 1.16; 95 % CI: 0.86-1.56) (P_interaction = 0.005).

LIMITATIONS

Heart diseases and stroke were determined based on self-reported physician diagnoses.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher frequency of depressive symptoms at baseline increased the risk of incident CMM within four years among middle-aged and older individuals in China.

Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and O3 with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: Evidence among Chinese elderly population from 462 cities

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) refers to the presence of multiple cardiovascular and metabolic diseases (CMDs), such as hypertension, diabetes, and cardio-cerebrovascular diseases (CCVD), in the same individual, and has emerge as a significant global health concern due to population aging. Although previous research has demonstrated the association between cardiovascular and metabolic diseases and air pollutants, evidence on the link between CMM and air pollution exposure among Chinese older adults is limited. To address this research gap, we conducted a national representative survey of 222,179 adults aged 60 and older to investigate the epidemiology of CMM and its association with long-term exposure to PM_2.5 and O₃ in China's elderly population. We found that the prevalence of CMM among Chinese older adults was 16.9%, and hypertension and CCVD were the most common CMM cluster (10.8%). After adjusting for confounding variables, we observed a significant positive association between PM_2.5 exposure and the prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, and CCVD, with a respective excess risk increase of 3.2%, 3.6%, and 5.5% for every 10-unit increase. Moreover, every 10-unit increase in PM_2.5 was linked to a higher risk of hypertension and diabetes (2.2%), hypertension and CCVD (5.4%), diabetes and CCVD (5.6%), and hypertension, diabetes, and CCVD combined (7.6%). We also found a U-shaped curve relationship between O₃ exposure and the occurrence of hypertension, diabetes, and CCVD, as well as different subtypes of CMM, with the lowest risk of O₃ exposure was observed near 75-80 μg/m³. Furthermore, we identified that female and rural residents are more vulnerable to the health risks of air pollution than male and urban residents. Given the increasing aging of the population and rising prevalence of multimorbidity, policymakers should focus more attention on the female and rural elderly population to prevent and control CMM. This study provides compelling evidence that reducing air pollution levels can be an effective strategy to prevent and manage CMM among older adults.

Associations of healthy lifestyle with depression and post-depression dementia: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Depressive symptoms may be a risk factor or prodrome of dementia, but the modifiable risk factors for dementia after onset of depression has not been fully elucidated. The current study aimed to investigate the associations of lifestyle factors with depression and post-depression dementia.

METHODS

Our analysis was based on data from the ongoing UK Biobank study, which included 497,533 participants (age 37-73 years) between 2006 and 2010, and thereafter followed up to 2020. High-risk lifestyle factors included current smoking, heavy alcohol intaking, poor diet pattern, physically inactive. Multistate models were used to estimate the transition-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

During a 14.8-year follow-up, 23,164 participants developed depression, and 989 developed post-depression dementia. The incidence rate of dementia in people with depression was far more than those who were free of depression. In multistate model, high-risk lifestyle factors were substantially associated with higher risks of incident depression (HR = 2.14, 95 % CI: 1.95-2.35), dementia (HR = 1.87, 95 % CI: 1.51-2.31), and post-depression dementia (HR = 1.72, 95 % CI: 1.13-2.62). When the analyses were divided by individual lifestyle factors, we found that only physically inactive contributed significantly to the development of dementia after the onset of depression (HR = 1.15, 95 % CI: 1.01-1.30).

CONCLUSION

Our study found that high-risk lifestyle factors were associated with higher risk of transition from depression to dementia, highlighting the great significance of integrating comprehensive behavioral interventions, particularly for regular physical activity, for prevention of both depression and post-depression dementia.

Cardiovascular Health and Life Expectancy Among Adults in the United States

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease may be the main reason for stagnant growth in life expectancy in the United States since 2010. The American Heart Association recently released an updated algorithm for evaluating cardiovascular health (CVH)-Life's Essential 8 (LE8) score. We aimed to quantify the associations of CVH levels, estimated by the LE8 score, with life expectancy in a nationally representative sample of US adults.

METHODS

We included 23 003 nonpregnant, noninstitutionalized participants aged 20 to 79 years who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2005 to 2018 and whose mortality was identified through linkage to the National Death Index through December 31, 2019. The overall CVH was evaluated by the LE8 score (range, 0-100), as well as the score for each component of diet, physical activity, tobacco/nicotine exposure, sleep duration, body mass index, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, blood glucose, and blood pressure. Life table method was used to estimate life expectancy by levels of the CVH.

RESULTS

During a median of 7.8 years of follow-up, 1359 total deaths occurred. The estimated life expectancy at age 50 years was 27.3 years (95% CI, 26.1-28.4), 32.9 years (95% CI, 32.3-33.4), and 36.2 years (95% CI, 34.2-38.2) in participants with low (LE8 score <50), moderate (50≤ LE8 score <80), and high (LE8 score ≥80) CVH, respectively. Equivalently, participants with high CVH had an average 8.9 (95% CI, 6.2-11.5) more years of life expectancy at age 50 years compared with those with low CVH. On average, 42.6% of the gained life expectancy at age 50 years from adhering to high CVH was attributable to reduced cardiovascular disease death. Similarly significant associations of CVH with life expectancy were observed in men and women, respectively. Similarly significant associations of CVH with life expectancy were observed in White participants and Black participants but not in Mexican participants.

CONCLUSIONS

Adhering to a high CVH, defined as the LE8 score, is related to a considerably increased life expectancy in US adults, but more research needs to be done in other races and ethnicities (eg, Hispanic and Asian).

The association between sleep characteristics and the risk of all-cause mortality among individuals with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: a prospective study of UK Biobank

STUDY OBJECTIVES

To investigate the implications of both sleep factors and sleep patterns on the prognosis of cardiometabolic multimorbidity.

METHODS

From UK Biobank, individuals with cardiometabolic multimorbidity , defined as the coincidence of at least 2 cardiometabolic diseases (hypertension, diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, and stroke) were included in this study. Four low-risk sleep factors, including early chronotype, sleep 7-8 h/d, free of insomnia, and no frequent excessive daytime sleepiness, were used to generate a healthy sleep score ranging from 0 to 4. Participants with a score of 0-1, 2, 3-4 were clustered into groups with poor, intermediate, and healthy sleep pattern, respectively. We assessed the adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for all-cause mortality using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Among included 35,757 participants, the mean age (standard deviation)) was 61.82 (6.3) years. After full adjustment, early chronotype, sleep 7-8 h/d, no frequent excessive daytime sleepiness, and free of insomnia were independently associated with 8%, 12%, 11%, and 8% lower risk of all-cause mortality among all persons with cardiometabolic multimorbidity. We found the fully adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for all-cause mortality was 0.90 (0.88-0.92) for a 1-point increase in the healthy sleep score. Compared with the reference group, participants with the intermediate and healthy sleep pattern had 9% and 23% lower risk of all-cause death, respectively, in the fully adjusted model.

CONCLUSIONS

A healthy sleep pattern combining 4 low-risk sleep factors could be regarded as a healthy lifestyle for individuals with cardiometabolic multimorbidity to lower the risk of all-cause mortality.

CITATION

He L, Ma T, Cheng X, Bai Y. The association between sleep characteristics and the risk of all-cause mortality among individuals with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: a prospective study of UK Biobank. J Clin Sleep Med. 2023;19(4):651-658.

Changes in the use of glucose-lowering drugs: A Danish nationwide study

AIM

To investigate changes in the pattern of drugs used to treat type 2 diabetes in Denmark from 2005 to 2021.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A nationwide, population-based drug utilization study based on medical databases covering the Danish population was conducted. We assessed incident and prevalent use patterns among all 441 205 individuals initiating at least one non-insulin, glucose-lowering drug.

RESULTS

The rate of new users of non-insulin, glucose-lowering drugs increased from 2005, peaked in 2011, decreased to stable levels during 2013 to 2019, then increased dramatically during 2020-2021. The prevalence of use increased from 2.1% (in 2005) to 5.0% (in 2021) of the entire adult population. In 2021, metformin comprised 39% of all glucose-lowering drug consumption, followed by insulin (17%), sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) (17%), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) (16%) and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (7.5%). Overall, 56% of users were on monotherapy, 28% used dual therapy, while 13% and 2.8% used three and four drug classes, respectively. Both the intensity and diversity of therapies increased substantially over time, with 15 different treatment regimens each covering more than 1% of users in 2021. General practitioners prescribed 88% of all glucose-lowering drugs. Marked shifts towards GLP-1RA initiation by general practitioners and SGLT-2i initiation by specialists were observed, and changing user profiles suggested increasing use for non-diabetes indications.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of new users of non-insulin, glucose-lowering drugs has increased in recent years and the prevalence of glucose-lowering drug use increases steadily. Glucose-lowering drugs are mainly prescribed by general practitioners, and the intensity, diversity and indications of glucose-lowering treatment are increasing.

Association of comorbid depression and obesity with cardiometabolic multimorbidity among middle-aged and older Chinese adults: A cohort study

PURPOSE

To evaluate the association of comorbid depression and obesity with the risk of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity among middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

METHODS

This cohort study extracted data from the 2011 and 2015 waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Depression was confirmed by the 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CESD-10) with a cut-off score ≥10. Obesity was defined as a body mass index ≥28 kg/m². Participants were categorized into four groups based on depression and obesity status at baseline, i.e., with neither condition, depression only, obesity only, and with both conditions. Cardiometabolic multimorbidity was defined as the coexistence of two or more of heart diseases, stroke, and diabetes mellitus. Logistic regression models were established to estimate the associations.

RESULTS

A total of 9,308 participants without cardiometabolic multimorbidity at baseline were included (mean [SD] age, 58.8 [9.0] years; 4,449 [47.8%] were males). During four-year of follow-up, 349 (3.8%) participants developed cardiometabolic multimorbidity. Compared to participants without depression or obesity, comorbid depression and obesity was associated with greater risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (adjusted OR: 4.79, 95% CI: 3.09-7.43) than that in participants with depression alone (adjusted OR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.37-2.46) or obesity alone (adjusted OR: 2.26, 95% CI: 1.48-3.45). The findings were consistent in different gender and age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbid depression and obesity was associated with excessive risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity. Intervention targeting at individuals with both depression and obesity might have substantial benefit in minimizing the risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity.

Multimorbidity, healthcare utilization, and quality of life for older patients undergoing surgery: A prospective study

Multimorbidity (≥2 chronic illnesses) is a worldwide healthcare challenge. Patients with multimorbidity have a reduced quality of life and higher mortality than healthy patients and use healthcare resources more intensively. This study investigated the prevalence of multimorbidity; examined the effects of multimorbidity on healthcare utilization; healthcare costs of multimorbidity; and compared the associations between the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of older patients undergoing surgery and multimorbidity, the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), the Simple Frailty Questionnaire (FRAIL), and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classifications. This prospective cohort study enrolled 360 patients aged > 65 years scheduled for surgery at a university hospital. Data were collected on their demographics, preoperative medical profiles, healthcare costs, and healthcare utilization (the quantification or description of the use of services, such as the number of preoperative visits, multiple-department consultations, surgery waiting time, and hospital length of stay). Preoperative-assessment data were collected via the CCI, FRAIL questionnaire, and ASA classification. HRQoL was derived using the EQ-5D-5L questionnaire. The 360 patients had a mean age of 73.9 ± 6.6 years, and 37.8% were men. Multimorbidity was found in 285 (79%) patients. The presence of multimorbidity had a significant effect on healthcare utilization (≥2 preoperative visits and consultations with ≥2 departments). However, there was no significant difference in healthcare costs between patients with and without multimorbidity. At the 3-month postoperative, patients without multimorbidity had significantly higher scores for HRQoL compared to those with multimorbidity (HRQoL = 1.00 vs 0.96; P < .007). While, patients with ASA Class > 2 had a significantly lower median HRQoL than patients with ASA Class ≤2 at postoperative day 5 (HRQoL = 0.76; P = .018), 1-month (HRQoL = 0.90; P = .001), and 3-months (HRQoL = 0.96; P < .001) postoperatively. Multimorbidity was associated with a significant increase in the healthcare utilization of the number of preoperative visits and a greater need for multiple-department consultations. In addition, multimorbidity resulted in a reduced HRQoL during hospital admission and 3-months postoperatively. In particular, the ASA classification > 2 apparently reduced postoperative HRQoL at day 5, 1-month, and 3-months lower than the ASA classification ≤2.

The Role of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors in Heart Failure Management: The Continuing Challenge of Clinical Outcome Endpoints in Heart Failure Trials

The introduction of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors in the management of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) may be regarded as the first effective treatment in these patients. However, this proposition must be evaluated from the perspective of the complexity of clinical outcome endpoints in heart failure. The major goals of heart failure treatment have been categorized as: (1) reduction in (cardiovascular) mortality, (2) prevention of recurrent hospitalizations due to worsening heart failure, and (3) improvement in clinical status, functional capacity, and quality of life. The use of the composite primary endpoint of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure in SGLT2 inhibitor HFpEF trials flowed from the assumption that hospitalization for heart failure is a proxy for subsequent cardiovascular death. The use of this composite endpoint was not justified since the effect of the intervention on both components was clearly distinct. Moreover, the lack of convincing and clinically meaningful effects of SGLT2 inhibitors on metrics of heart failure-related health status indicates that the effect of this class of drugs in HFpEF patients is essentially restricted to an effect on hospitalization for heart failure. In conclusion, SGLT2 inhibitors do not represent a substantial breakthrough in the management of HFpEF.

Aldose reductase inhibition alleviates diabetic cardiomyopathy and is associated with a decrease in myocardial fatty acid oxidation

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular diseases, including diabetic cardiomyopathy, are major causes of death in people with type 2 diabetes. Aldose reductase activity is enhanced in hyperglycemic conditions, leading to altered cardiac energy metabolism and deterioration of cardiac function with adverse remodeling. Because disturbances in cardiac energy metabolism can promote cardiac inefficiency, we hypothesized that aldose reductase inhibition may mitigate diabetic cardiomyopathy via normalization of cardiac energy metabolism.

METHODS

Male C57BL/6J mice (8-week-old) were subjected to experimental type 2 diabetes/diabetic cardiomyopathy (high-fat diet [60% kcal from lard] for 10 weeks with a single intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin (75 mg/kg) at 4 weeks), following which animals were randomized to treatment with either vehicle or AT-001, a next-generation aldose reductase inhibitor (40 mg/kg/day) for 3 weeks. At study completion, hearts were perfused in the isolated working mode to assess energy metabolism.

RESULTS

Aldose reductase inhibition by AT-001 treatment improved diastolic function and cardiac efficiency in mice subjected to experimental type 2 diabetes. This attenuation of diabetic cardiomyopathy was associated with decreased myocardial fatty acid oxidation rates (1.15 ± 0.19 vs 0.5 ± 0.1 µmol min-1 g dry wt-1 in the presence of insulin) but no change in glucose oxidation rates compared to the control group. In addition, cardiac fibrosis and hypertrophy were also mitigated via AT-001 treatment in mice with diabetic cardiomyopathy.

CONCLUSIONS

Inhibiting aldose reductase activity ameliorates diastolic dysfunction in mice with experimental type 2 diabetes, which may be due to the decline in myocardial fatty acid oxidation, indicating that treatment with AT-001 may be a novel approach to alleviate diabetic cardiomyopathy in patients with diabetes.

Multimorbidity patterns and mortality in older adults: Results from the KORA-Age study

The coexistence of several chronic diseases is very common in older adults, making it crucial to understand multimorbidity (MM) patterns and associated mortality. We aimed to determine the prevalence of MM and common chronic disease combinations, as well as their impact on mortality in men and women aged 65 years and older using the population-based KORA-Age study, based in South of Germany. The chronic disease status of the participants was determined in 2008/9, and mortality status was followed up until 2016. MM was defined as having at least two chronic diseases. We used Cox proportional hazard models to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and the 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between MM and all-cause mortality. During the study period 495 men (24.6%) and 368 women (17.4%) died. Although the MM prevalence was almost the same in men (57.7%) and women (60.0%), the overall effect of MM on mortality was higher in men (HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.47–2.24) than in women (HR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.01–1.64; p-value for interaction &lt;0.001). The type of disease included in the MM patterns had a significant impact on mortality risk. For example, when both heart disease and diabetes were included in the combinations of two and three diseases, the mortality risk was highest. The risk of premature death does not only depend on the number of diseases but also on the specific disease combinations. In this study, life expectancy depended strongly on a few diseases, such as diabetes, hypertension, and heart disease.

Competences of internal medicine specialists for the management of patients with multimorbidity. EFIM multimorbidity working group position paper

Patients with multimorbidity increasingly impact healthcare systems, both in primary care and in hospitals. This is particularly true in Internal Medicine. This population associates with higher mortality rates, polypharmacy, hospital readmissions, post-discharge syndrome, anxiety, depression, accelerated age-related functional decline, and development of geriatric syndromes, amongst others. Internists and Hospitalists, in one of their roles as Generalists, are increasingly asked to attend to these patients, both in their own Departments as well as in surgical areas. The management of polypathology and multimorbidity, however, is often complex, and requires specific clinical skills and corresponding experience. In addition, patients' needs, health-care environment, and routines have changed, so emerging and re-emerging specific competences and approaches are required to offer the best coordinated, continuous, and comprehensive integrated care to these populations, to achieve optimal health outcomes and satisfaction of patients, their relatives, and staff. This position paper proposes a set of emerging and re-emerging competences for internal medicine specialists, which are needed to optimally address multimorbidity now and in the future.

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity accelerates cognitive decline and dementia progression

INTRODUCTION

Cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) have been individually associated with adverse cognitive outcomes, but their combined effect has not been investigated.

METHODS

A total of 2577 dementia-free participants 60 years of age or older were followed for 12 years to observe changes in cognitive function and to detect incident cognitive impairment, no dementia (CIND) and dementia. CMDs (including type 2 diabetes, heart disease, and stroke) were assessed at baseline through medical records and clinical examinations. Cardiometabolic multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more CMDs. Data were analyzed using multi-adjusted linear mixed-effects models, Cox regression, and Laplace regression.

RESULTS

CMD multimorbidity was associated with cognitive decline, CIND (hazard ratio [HR] 1.73; 95% confidence interval CI 1.23 to 2.44), and its progression to dementia (HR 1.86; 95% CI 1.17 to 2.97). CMD multimorbidity accelerated the onset of CIND by 2.3 years and dementia by 1.8 years.

CONCLUSIONS

CMD multimorbidity accelerates cognitive decline and increases the risk of both CIND and its conversion to dementia.

HIGHLIGHTS

We explored the combined impact of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) on cognition. An increasing number of CMDs dose-dependently accelerated cognitive decline. CMD multimorbidity increased the risk of both cognitive impairment and dementia. Co-morbid CMDs could be ideal targets for interventions to protect cognitive health.

Social inequalities in all-cause mortality among adults with multimorbidity: a 10-year prospective study of 0.5 million Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Chinese individuals face an increase in multimorbidity, but little is known about the mortality gradients of multimorbid people in different socio-economic groups. This study measures relative and absolute socio-economic inequality in mortality among multimorbid Chinese.

METHODS

For this study, the prospective China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) enrolled 512 712 participants ages 30-79 y from 10 areas of China between 25 June 2004 and 15 July 2008. All-cause mortality was accessed with a mean follow-up period of 10 y (to 31 December 2016). Associations between multimorbidity and mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models, with the relative index of inequality (RII) and slope index of inequality (SII) in mortality calculated to measure disparities.

RESULTS

Mortality risk was highest for those who had not attended formal school and with four or more long-term conditions (LTCs) (hazard ratio 3.11 [95% confidence interval {CI} 2.75 to 3.51]). Relative educational inequality was lower in participants with four or more LTCs (RII 1.92 [95% CI 1.60 to 2.30]), especially in rural areas. Absolute disparities were greater in adults with more LTCs (SII 0.18 [95% CI 0.14 to 0.21] for rural participants with three LTCs).

CONCLUSIONS

Whereas the relative inequality in all-cause mortality was lower among multimorbid people, absolute inequality was greater among multimorbid men, especially in rural areas.

Ambient air pollution associated with incidence and progression trajectory of cardiometabolic diseases: A multi-state analysis of a prospective cohort

BACKGROUND

Previous studies on the association between ambient air pollution and cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) focused on a single disease, without considering cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and the progression trajectory of CMDs.

METHODS

Based on the UK Biobank cohort, we included 372,530 participants aged 37-73 years at baseline (2006-2010) with follow-up until September 2021. Incident CMDs cases were identified based on self-reported information and multiple health-related records in the UK Biobank. CMM was defined as the occurrence of at least two CMDs, including ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke and type 2 diabetes (T2D). Exposure to ambient air pollutants, including particulate matter (PM) with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm (PM_2.5), ≤10 μm (PM₁₀), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), and nitrogen oxides (NO_x) were estimated at participants' geocoded residential addresses based on the high-resolution (1 × 1 km) pollution data from 2001 to 2021 provided by UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. Multi-state models with adjustment for potential confounders were used to examine the impact of long-term exposure to ambient air pollution on transitions from healthy to first CMD (FCMD), subsequently to CMM, and further to death.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.6 years, 40,112 participants developed at least one CMD, 3896 developed CMM, and 21,739 died. Among the four pollutants, PM_2.5 showed the strongest associations with all transitions from healthy to FCMD, to CMM, and then to death [hazard ratios (95 % confidence intervals) per interquartile range (IQR) increment: 1.62 (1.60, 1.64) and 1.68 (1.61, 1.76) for transitions from healthy to FCMD and from FCMD to CMM, and 1.62 (1.59, 1.66), 1.67 (1.61, 1.73), and 1.52 (1.38, 1.67) for death risk from healthy, FCMD, and CMM, respectively]. After dividing FCMDs into three specific CMDs, we found that ambient air pollution had differential impacts on disease-specific transitions within the same transition phase.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that there is potential for air pollution mitigation in contributing to the prevention of the development and progression of CMDs.

Effects of the Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter Inhibitors on Cardiovascular Death and All-Cause Mortality: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Randomized Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trials

BACKGROUND

Patients with diabetes mellitus are at an increased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and all-cause mortality. Heart failure and type 2 diabetes often occur concomitantly, and each disease independently increases the risk for the other.

OBJECTIVE

Emerging data have revealed that some sodium-glucose cotransporter inhibitors (SGLTi) improve cardiovascular and renal outcomes, particularly in patients with type 2 diabetes. The magnitude of this effect in patients without any underlying condition remains unclear. As a result, we conducted a meta-analysis of the mortality outcomes of available SGLTi in patients with or without cardiovascular diseases, type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular risk factors, and heart failure.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized, placebo-controlled major cardiovascular outcome trials of SGLTi in patients regardless of their cardiovascular disease or risk status. PubMed, Cochrane, Google Scholar, MEDLINE, and EMBASE were searched for the relevant studies. Three reviewers extracted study data and three reviewers summarized the strength of the evidence. Efficacy outcomes included all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death), the composite of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, or hospitalization for heart failure. Odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were pooled across trials to calculate the overall effect size.

RESULTS

A total of 5043 all-cause mortality events were observed in the study groups. In 42,050 patients who received SGLTi, 2581 events were reported, and 2462 events were reported in 35,491 patients who received placebo (odds ratio = 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.80-0.93, p = 0.0003). The use of SGLTi significantly reduced cardiovascular mortality compared with control across the patients' population (odds ratio = 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.79-0.93, p = 0.0001). There was a consistent pattern of mortality beneficial estimates for all patients with different co-morbid conditions in the SGLTi-treated arm compared with the placebo-treated group. The presence or absence of significant cardiovascular disease risk factors (including a family history of premature coronary artery disease, baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate, dyslipidemia, hypertension, smoking, history of cardiovascular disease, and older age) did not affect the estimated mortality benefits.

CONCLUSIONS

Sodium-glucose cotransporter inhibitors significantly reduced major adverse cardiovascular events, including hospitalization and all-cause mortality in patients with or without established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. We observed a beneficial trend in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, and no benefits in patients with stroke or myocardial infarction.

Cardiorenal diseases in type 2 diabetes mellitus: clinical trials and real-world practice

Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) can have multiple comorbidities and premature mortality due to atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, hospitalization with heart failure and/or chronic kidney disease. Traditional drugs that lower glucose, such as metformin, or that treat high blood pressure and blood levels of lipids, such as renin-angiotensin-system inhibitors and statins, have organ-protective effects in patients with T2DM. Amongst patients with T2DM treated with these traditional drugs, randomized clinical trials have confirmed the additional cardiorenal benefits of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP1RA) and nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists. The cardiorenal benefits of SGLT2i extended to patients with heart failure and/or chronic kidney disease without T2DM, whereas incretin-based therapy (such as GLP1RA) reduced cardiovascular events in patients with obesity and T2DM. However, considerable care gaps exist owing to insufficient detection, therapeutic inertia and poor adherence to these life-saving medications. In this Review, we discuss the complex interconnections of cardiorenal-metabolic diseases and strategies to implement evidence-based practice. Furthermore, we consider the need to conduct clinical trials combined with registers in specific patient segments to evaluate existing and emerging therapies to address unmet needs in T2DM.

Long-Term Maintenance of Cardiorespiratory Fitness Gains After Cardiac Rehabilitation Reduces Mortality Risk in Patients With Multimorbidity

PURPOSE

The objective of this study was to characterize the impact of multimorbidity and cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) on mortality in patients completing cardiac rehabilitation (CR).

METHODS

This cohort study included data from patients with a history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) completing a 12-wk CR program between January 1996 and March 2016, with follow-up through March 2017. Patients were stratified by the presence of multimorbidity, which was defined as having a diagnosis of ≥2 noncommunicable diseases (NCDs). Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the effects of multimorbidity and CRF on mortality in patients completing CR. Symptom-limited exercise tests were completed at baseline, immediately following CR (12 wk), with a subgroup completing another test at 1-yr follow-up. Peak metabolic equivalents (METs) were determined from treadmill speed and grade.

RESULTS

Of the 8320 patients (61 ± 10 yr, 82% male) included in the analyses, 5713 (69%) patients only had CVD diagnosis, 2232 (27%) had CVD+1 NCD, and 375 (4%) had CVD+≥2 NCDs. Peak METs at baseline (7.8 ± 2.0, 6.9 ± 2.0, 6.1 ± 1.9 METs), change in peak METs immediately following CR (0.98 ± 0.98, 0.83 ± 0.95, 0.76 ± 0.95 METs), and change in peak METs 1 yr after CR (0.98 ± 1.27, 0.75 ± 1.17, 0.36 ± 1.24 METs) were different ( P < .001) among the subgroups. Peak METs at 12 wk and the presence of coexisting conditions were each predictors ( P < .001) of mortality. Improvements in CRF by ≥0.5 METS from baseline to 1-yr follow-up among patients with or without multimorbidity were associated with lower mortality rates.

CONCLUSION

Increasing CRF by ≥0.5 METs improves survival regardless of multimorbidity status.

SGLT2 Inhibitors: The Next Blockbuster Multifaceted Drug?

Sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) is a class of drugs that were originally intended for decreasing blood glucose in diabetes. However, recent trials have shown that there are other beneficial effects. Major clinical trials involving SGLT2i medications from 2015 to 2022 were reviewed using PUBMED search. Recent major SGLT2i landmark trials have demonstrated benefits for cardiovascular disease (reduce major adverse cardiovascular events (heart attack, stroke, cardiovascular death), hospitalization for heart failure, all-cause death), and renal disease (delay the onset of dialysis) regardless of diabetic status. The consistent cardiorenal benefits observed in major landmark trials have resulted in the rapid adoption of SGLT2i therapy not only in diabetes guidelines but also cardiovascular and renal guidelines.

The prevalence of cardiometabolic multimorbidity and its associations with health outcomes among women in China

Objective

In China, a limited number of studies focus on women and examine the effect of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (defined as the presence of two or more cardiometabolic diseases) on health outcomes. This research aims to investigate the epidemiology of cardiometabolic multimorbidity and the association of cardiometabolic multimorbidity with long-term mortality.

Methods

This study used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study between 2011 and 2018, which includes 4,832 women aged 45 years and older in China. Poisson-distributed Generalized Linear Models (GLM) were applied to examine the association of cardiometabolic multimorbidity with all-cause mortality.

Results

Overall, the prevalence of cardiometabolic multimorbidity was 33.1% among the total sample of 4,832 Chinese women, and increased with age, ranging from 28.5% (22.1%) for those aged 45-54 years to 65.3% (38.2%) for those aged ≥75 years in urban (rural) areas. Compared with the group of none and single disease, cardiometabolic multimorbidity was positively associated with all-cause death (RR = 1.509, 95% CI = 1.130, 2.017), after adjusting socio-demographic and lifestyle behavioral covariates. Stratified analyses revealed that the association between cardiometabolic multimorbidity and all-cause death was only statistically significant (RR = 1.473, 95% CI = 1.040, 2.087) in rural residents, but not significant in urban residents.

Conclusion

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity is common among women in China and has been associated with excess mortality. Targeted strategies and people-centered integrated primary care models must be considered to more effectively manage the cardiometabolic multimorbidity shift from focusing on single-disease.

Multimorbidity of cardiometabolic diseases: a cross-sectional study of patterns, clusters and associated risk factors in sub-Saharan Africa

OBJECTIVE

To determine the patterns of cardiometabolic multimorbidity and associated risk factors in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).

DESIGN

We used data from the WHO STEPwise approach to non-communicable disease risk factor surveillance cross-sectional surveys conducted between 2014 and 2017.

PARTICIPANTS

The participants comprised 39, 658 respondents aged 15-69 years randomly selected from nine SSA countries using a multistage stratified sampling design.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

Using latent class analysis and agglomerative hierarchical clustering algorithms, we analysed the clustering of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) including high blood sugar, hypercholesterolaemia, hypertension and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) such as heart attack, angina and stroke. Clusters of lifestyle risk factors: harmful salt intake, physical inactivity, obesity, tobacco and alcohol use were also computed. Prevalence ratios (PR) from modified Poisson regression were used to assess the association of cardiometabolic multimorbidity with sociodemographic and lifestyle risk factors.

RESULTS

Two distinct classes of CMDs were identified: relatively healthy group with minimal CMDs (95.2%) and cardiometabolic multimorbidity class comprising participants with high blood sugar, hypercholesterolaemia, hypertension and CVDs (4.8%). The clusters of lifestyle risk factors included alcohol, tobacco and harmful salt consumption (27.0%), and physical inactivity and obesity (5.8%). The cardiometabolic multimorbidity cluster exhibited unique sociodemographic and lifestyle risk profiles. Being female (PR=1.7, 95% CI (1.5 to 2.0), middle-aged (35-54 years) (3.9 (95% CI 3.2 to 4.8)), compared with age 15-34 years, employed (1.2 (95% CI 1.1 to 1.4)), having tertiary education (2.5 (95% CI 2.0 to 3.3)), vs no formal education and clustering of physical inactivity and obesity (2.4 (95% CI 2.0 to 2.8)) were associated with a higher likelihood of cardiometabolic multimorbidity.

CONCLUSION

Our findings show that cardiometabolic multimorbidity and lifestyle risk factors cluster in distinct patterns with a disproportionate burden among women, middle-aged, persons in high socioeconomic positions, and those with sedentary lifestyles and obesity. These results provide insights for health systems response in SSA to focus on these clusters as potential targets for integrated care.

Multimorbidity combinations and their association with functional disabilities among Indian older adults: evidence from Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI)

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to identify the unique multimorbidity combinations (MMCs) and their associations with the functional disability of Indian older adults. Moreover, the population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated to assess the potential impact of additional diseases in the nested groups on disability.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional data were analysed in this study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

The present study uses data from the first wave of the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (2017-2018). The sample for the study consists of 27 753 aged 60 years and over.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome variable was functional disability, measured by the combined activities of daily living (ADL)-instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) index.

RESULTS

Out of 197 uniquely identified MMCs, the combination of hypertension and high depressive symptoms (HDS) was the most prevalent (10.3%). Overall, all MMCs were associated with increased functional limitation. Specifically, the combination of hypertension, arthritis and HDS was associated with greater ADL-IADL disability than any other MMC. The addition of HDS in group 3 (hypertension and arthritis) (incidence rate ratios (IRR)=1.44; 95% CI 1.26 to 1.64) and the addition of arthritis in group 1 (hypertension, HDS) (IRR=1.48; 95% CI 1.28 to 1.71) and group 2 (hypertension, diabetes) (IRR=1.49; 95% CI 1.22 to 1.82) significantly increases the rates of ADL-IADL disability. The estimated PAFs of the group 1 (hypertension and HDS), group 3 (hypertension and arthritis) and group 4 (arthritis and HDS) for ADL-IADL disability were 22.5% (19.2-25.5), 21.6% (18.7-24.4) and 23.5% (20.6-26.3), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The findings from this study underscore the importance of addressing the morbidity combinations which are more disabling than the others in older adults. Understanding the somatic and psychological relevance of the morbidities in functional health is necessary and can help reduce disabilities among older adults.

Associations between Household Solid Fuel Use, Obesity, and Cardiometabolic Health in China: A Cohort Study from 2011 to 2018

This study aims to explore the longitudinal relationship between solid fuel use and CMD incidence based on a nationally representative follow-up cohort study. A total of 6038 participants of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) were enrolled in the study. CMD is a cluster of diseases that include heart disease, stroke, and type 2 diabetes. Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to examine the association between solid fuel use and the incidence or multimorbidity of CMD. The interactions between overweight or obesity and household air pollution on CMD incidence were also investigated. In the present study, solid fuel use from cooking or heating, separately or simultaneously, was positively associated with CMD incidence. Elevated solid fuel use was significantly associated with a higher risk of CMD incidence (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.09, 1.43 for cooking; HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.45 for heating). A statistically significant interaction between household solid fuel and OW/OB on the incidence of CMD and Cardiometabolic multimorbidity was also observed (p < 0.05). Our findings show that household solid fuel is a risk factor for the incidence of CMD. Therefore, reducing household solid fuel use and promoting clean energy may have great public health value for the prevention of CMD.

Evaluating the Effectiveness of Remote Behavioral Interventions Facilitated by Health Care Providers at Improving Medication Adherence in Cardiometabolic Conditions: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Although cardiometabolic conditions account for over 32% of all global deaths, nearly half of the patients with cardiometabolic conditions do not take medication as prescribed. Remote behavioral interventions have been shown to potentially improve adherence in these patients and further support cost effective clinical practice.

PURPOSE

To evaluate the effectiveness of remote behavioral interventions at improving treatment adherence and to explore behavioral intervention components associated with it.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), and Web of Science in April 2021. Random-effects meta-analyses were utilized.

RESULTS

In total, 40 studies, including 24,672 participants, were included. The overall quality of evidence, assessed using the RoB2 tool, was low. The intervention had a small (odds ratios [OR] = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.47, 1.96, N = 4823 p < .001) to moderate effect (SMD = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.38, 0.76, N = 20,271, p < .001) on the dichotomous and continuous outcomes, respectively. Systolic blood pressure (SBP) was reduced by 3.71 mmHg (95% CI: 3.99, 3.43, N = 6,527, p < .001) and participants receiving the intervention were twice more likely to achieve blood pressure (BP) control (OR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.61, 2.84, N = 1,172, p < .001). Generally, HBA1c decreased by 0.25% (95% CI: 0.33, 0.17, N = 6,734, p < .001), whereas low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol dropped by 6.82 mg/dL (95% CI: 8.33, 5.30, N = 4,550, p < .001) in favor of the intervention. There was a trend suggesting a potential positive effects on reducing visits to emergency department (OR=0.76, 95% CI: 0.57, 1.01, N = 4,182) and mortality rates (OR=0.78, 95% CI: 0.42, 1.42, N = 1,971), and no risk for hospital readmission (OR=1.00, 95% CI: 0.83, 1.20, N = 5,402), favoring the intervention.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite low quality of evidence, remote consultations are effective at improving medication adherence and clinical indicators, and potentially cost-effective solution for health care services.

Secondary prevention in diabetic and nondiabetic coronary heart disease patients: Insights from the German subset of the hospital arm of the EUROASPIRE IV and V surveys

BACKGROUND

Patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) with and without diabetes mellitus have an increased risk of recurrent events requiring multifactorial secondary prevention of cardiovascular risk factors. We compared prevalences of cardiovascular risk factors and its determinants including lifestyle, pharmacotherapy and diabetes mellitus among patients with chronic CHD examined within the fourth and fifth EUROASPIRE surveys (EA-IV, 2012-13; and EA-V, 2016-17) in Germany.

METHODS

The EA initiative iteratively conducts European-wide multicenter surveys investigating the quality of secondary prevention in chronic CHD patients aged 18 to 79 years. The data collection in Germany was performed during a comprehensive baseline visit at study centers in Würzburg (EA-IV, EA-V), Halle (EA-V), and Tübingen (EA-V).

RESULTS

384 EA-V participants (median age 69.0 years, 81.3% male) and 536 EA-IV participants (median age 68.7 years, 82.3% male) were examined. Comparing EA-IV and EA-V, no relevant differences in risk factor prevalence and lifestyle changes were observed with the exception of lower LDL cholesterol levels in EA-V. Prevalence of unrecognized diabetes was significantly lower in EA-V as compared to EA-IV (11.8% vs. 19.6%) while the proportion of prediabetes was similarly high in the remaining population (62.1% vs. 61.0%).

CONCLUSION

Between 2012 and 2017, a modest decrease in LDL cholesterol levels was observed, while no differences in blood pressure control and body weight were apparent in chronic CHD patients in Germany. Although the prevalence of unrecognized diabetes decreased in the later study period, the proportion of normoglycemic patients was low. As pharmacotherapy appeared fairly well implemented, stronger efforts towards lifestyle interventions, mental health programs and cardiac rehabilitation might help to improve risk factor profiles in chronic CHD patients.

Physical Activity Changes and the Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Nationwide Longitudinal Follow-up Cohort Study of 1.8 Million Subjects

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the association between alterations in regular physical activity (PA) and the risk of developing AF in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and the optimal PA range based on energy expenditure.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In a nationwide database, subjects who underwent health examinations twice at a 2-year interval between 2009 and 2012 were studied. After 1,815,330 patients with T2DM who did not have a history of AF were identified, they were followed until 2018. Regular PA alterations over time were used to divide individuals into four groups: persistent nonexercisers (n = 1,181,837), new exercisers (n = 242,968), exercise dropouts (n = 225,124), and exercise maintainers (n = 165,401).

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 5.6 ± 1.3 years, 46,589 cases (2.6%) of new-onset AF occurred. Compared with the persistent nonexerciser group, both the exercise dropout group (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.99) and new exerciser group (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.93-0.98) had lower risks of incident AF. The exercise maintainer group showed the lowest risk (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.89-0.94). When we stratified patients with T2DM according to energy expenditure, undergoing regular PA with ≥1,500 MET-min/week in new exercisers and ≥1,000 MET-min/week in exercise maintainers was associated with lower risks of incident AF than nonexercisers.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with T2DM, starting and maintaining regular PA were both associated with lower risk of incident AF. Optimal PA ranges based on energy expenditure, which were associated with lower risks of incident AF, can be defined.

Association between composite lifestyle factors and cardiometabolic multimorbidity in Chongqing, China: A cross-sectional exploratory study in people over 45 years and older

Introduction

Modifiable lifestyle factors are considered key to the control of cardiometabolic diseases. This study aimed to explore the association between multiple lifestyle factors and cardiometabolic multimorbidity.

Methods

A total of 14,968 participants were included in this cross-sectional exploratory study (mean age 54.33 years, range 45-91; 49.6% male). Pearson's Chi-square test, logistic regression, and latent class analysis were employed.

Results

We found that men with 4-5 high-risk lifestyle factors had a 2.54-fold higher risk (95% CI: 1.60-4.04) of developing multimorbidity compared to males with zero high-risk lifestyle factors. In an analysis of dietary behavior, we found that in women compared to men, over-eating (OR = 1.94, P < 0.001) and intra-meal water drinking (OR = 2.15, P < 0.001) were more likely to contribute to the development of cardiometabolic multimorbidity. In an analysis of taste preferences, men may be more sensitive to the effect of taste preferences and cardiometabolic multimorbidity risk, particularly for smoky (OR = 1.71, P < 0.001), hot (OR = 1.62, P < 0.001), and spicy (OR = 1.38, P < 0.001) tastes. Furthermore, "smoking and physical activity" and "physical activity and alcohol consumption" were men's most common high-risk lifestyle patterns. "Physical activity and dietary intake" were women's most common high-risk lifestyle patterns. A total of four common high-risk dietary behavior patterns were found in both males and females.

Conclusions

This research reveals that the likelihood of cardiometabolic multimorbidity increases as high-risk lifestyle factors accumulate. Taste preferences and unhealthy dietary behaviors were found to be associated with an increased risk of developing cardiometabolic multimorbidity and this association differed between genders. Several common lifestyle and dietary behavior patterns suggest that patients with cardiometabolic multimorbidity may achieve better health outcomes if those with certain high-risk lifestyle patterns are identified and managed.

Nailfold capillaroscopy and deep learning in diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether nailfold capillary images, acquired using video capillaroscopy, can provide diagnostic information about diabetes and its complications.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Nailfold video capillaroscopy was performed in 120 adult patients with and without type 1 or type 2 diabetes, and with and without cardiovascular disease. Nailfold images were analyzed using convolutional neural networks, a deep learning technique. Cross-validation was used to develop and test the ability of models to predict five5 prespecified states (diabetes, high glycosylated hemoglobin, cardiovascular event, retinopathy, albuminuria, and hypertension). The performance of each model for a particular state was assessed by estimating areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROC) and precision recall curves (AUPR).

RESULTS

A total of 5236 nailfold images were acquired from 120 participants (mean 44 images per participant) and were all available for analysis. Models were able to accurately identify the presence of diabetes, with AUROC 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76, 0.91) and AUPR 0.84 (95% CI 0.78, 0.93), respectively. Models were also able to predict a history of cardiovascular events in patients with diabetes, with AUROC 0.65 (95% CI 0.51, 0.78) and AUPR 0.72 (95% CI 0.62, 0.88) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This proof-of-concept study demonstrates the potential of machine learning for identifying people with microvascular capillary changes from diabetes based on nailfold images, and for possibly identifying those most likely to have diabetes-related complications.

Cardiometabolic diseases, polygenic risk score, APOE genotype, and risk of incident dementia: A population-based prospective cohort study

Objective We aimed to prospective investigate the association between cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) with dementia, and to examine whether genetic factors and CMDs jointly contribute to the incidence of dementia. Methods We used data from the UK biobank of 204,646 adults aged 37-73 free of dementia at baseline. Genetic risk for dementia including APOE ε4 status and polygenic risk score (PRS) categorized as low, intermediate, and high. CMDs including ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, and type 2 diabetes (T2D) were confirmed by touchscreen questionnaires, medical examinations, and hospital inpatient records. Results Over the follow-up (median: 12.5 years), 5,750 participants developed dementia. The HRs (95% CI) of those with APOE ε4 carriers and high PRS were 3.16 (3.00-3.33) and 1.50 (1.41-1.60), respectively. The risk of dementia was 70% higher among those with CMDs (HR: 1.70; 95% CI: 1.60-1.82). In joint effect analyses, compared to no CMDs and APOE ε4 non-carriers, the HRs (95% CIs) of dementia were 3.53 (3.31-3.76)/2.06 (1.89-2.23) in participants with only APOE ε4 carriers and CMDs, and 5.06 (4.64-5.53) for those with APOE ε4 carriers plus CMDs. Compared to no CMDs and low PRS, the HRs (95% CIs) of dementia were 1.29 (1.19-1.40)/1.60 (1.48-1.73) in participants with only intermediate and high PRS, and 2.00 (1.79-2.23)/2.63 (2.38-2.92) for those with intermediate, and high PRS plus CMDs. Moreover, there were significant additive and multiplication interactions between CMDs and APOE ε4 carriers of dementia, but only multiplication interaction was observed for PRS. Conclusions CMDs were associated with higher risk of dementia regardless of genetic risk for dementia.

Dysregulation of Krüppel-like Factor 2 and Myocyte Enhancer Factor 2D Drive Cardiac Microvascular Inflammation and Dysfunction in Diabetes

Cardiovascular complications are the main cause of morbidity and mortality from diabetes. Herein, vascular inflammation is a major pathological manifestation. We previously characterized the cardiac microvascular inflammatory phenotype in diabetic patients and highlighted micro-RNA 92a (miR-92a) as a driver of endothelial dysfunction. In this article, we further dissect the molecular underlying of these findings by addressing anti-inflammatory Krüppel-like factors 2 and 4 (KLF2 and KLF4). We show that KLF2 dysregulation in diabetes correlates with greater monocyte adhesion as well as migratory defects in cardiac microvascular endothelial cells. We also describe, for the first time, a role for myocyte enhancer factor 2D (MEF2D) in cardiac microvascular dysfunction in diabetes. We show that both KLFs 2 and 4, as well as MEF2D, are dysregulated in human and porcine models of diabetes. Furthermore, we prove a direct interaction between miR-92a and all three targets. Altogether, our data strongly qualify miR-92a as a potential therapeutic target for diabetes-associated cardiovascular disease.

Multimorbidity and Complexity Among Patients with Cancer in Ontario: A Retrospective Cohort Study Exploring the Clustering of 17 Chronic Conditions with Cancer

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity is a concern for people living with cancer, as over 90% have at least one other condition. Multimorbidity complicates care coming from multiple providers who work within separate, siloed systems. Information describing high-risk and high-cost disease combinations has potential to improve the experience, outcome, and overall cost of care by informing comprehensive care management frameworks. This study aimed to identify disease combinations among people with cancer and other conditions, and to assess the health burden associated with those combinations to help healthcare providers more effectively prioritize and coordinate care.

METHODS

We used a population-based retrospective cohort design including adults with a cancer diagnosis between March-2003 and April-2013, followed-up until March 2018. We used observed disease combinations defined by level of multimorbidity and partitive (k-means) clusters, ie groupings of similar diseases based on the prevalence of each condition. We assessed disease combination-associated health burden through health service utilization, including emergency department visits, primary care visits and hospital admissions during the follow-up period.

RESULTS

549,248 adults were included in the study. Anxiety, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and osteoarthritis co-occurred with cancer 1.1 to 5.3 times more often than expected by chance. Disease combinations varied by cancer type and age but were similar between sexes. The largest partitive cluster included cancer and anxiety, with at least 25% of individuals also having osteoarthritis. Cancer also tended to co-occur with hypertension (8.0%) or osteoarthritis (6.2%). There were differences between clusters in healthcare utilization, regardless of the number of disease combinations or clustering approach used.

CONCLUSION

Researchers, clinicians, policymakers, and other stakeholders can use the clustering information presented here to improve the healthcare system for people with cancer multimorbidity by developing cluster-specific care management and clinical guidelines for common disease combinations.

Household air pollution, adherence to a healthy lifestyle, and risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity: Results from the China health and retirement longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

The adverse health effects of household air pollution have been widely explored, but few studies have evaluated the effects of household air pollution on the risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM), a pressing public health concern worldwide. Thus, we aimed to investigate whether exposure to household use of polluting fuels is associated with morbid CMM and, if so, whether a healthy lifestyle could mitigate this association.

METHODS

In this prospective, nationwide representative cohort of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), participants free of CMM (defined as the coexistence of 2 or more of the following: heart disease, stroke, and diabetes or high blood sugar) were included in 2011-2012 and followed for CMM incidence until 2018. Household air pollution was measured as the use of solid fuels for cooking and heating. The healthy lifestyle score was determined by six factors, physical activity, smoking, body mass index, total cholesterol, blood glucose, and blood pressure, and categorized into three groups (unhealthy, 0-1 factors; intermediate, 2-4; and healthy, 5-6). Cox proportional hazards models investigated associations between household air pollution and incident CMM. The potential modifier effect of a healthy lifestyle score was tested through stratified analyses.

RESULTS

Among 7125 eligible participants, 239 incident cases of CMM were identified over a median follow-up of 7.0 years. After adjustment for potential confounders, the use of solid household fuels for heating was associated with more significant hazards of CMM (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.71, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.28 to 2.28), while use for cooking (HR, 1.14; 95 % CI, 0.85 to 1.52) was not. Compared with participants in the unhealthy group, those in the healthy and intermediate groups had considerably lower CMM risk, with adjusted HRs (95 % CI) of 0.17 (0.09 to 0.31) and 0.39 (0.29 to 0.53), respectively, regardless of the household air pollution category. Importantly, when participants adhered to a healthy lifestyle, exposure to household air pollution was no longer significantly associated with a higher risk of CMM (adjusted HR 1.77, 95 % CI 0.51 to 6.12; P = 0.369).

CONCLUSIONS

Household usage of polluting fuels was significantly associated with a higher risk of CMM, and adherence to a healthy lifestyle may mitigate this adverse effect. From a broader perspective, our findings underscore the importance of public health policies and interventions targeting multiple exposures (air pollution, physical activity, smoking, etc.) in enhancing the prevention of detrimental cardiometabolic health effect.

Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity Associated with Moderate and Severe Disabilities: Results from the Study on Global AGEing and Adult Health (SAGE) Wave 2 in Ghana and South Africa

Background

Integrated management of cardiometabolic diseases is crucial in improving the quality of life of older persons. The objective of the study was to identify clusters of cardiometabolic multimorbidity associated with moderate and severe disabilities in Ghana and South Africa.

Methods

Data were from the World Health Organization (WHO) study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE) Wave-2 (2015) conducted in Ghana and South Africa. We analysed the clustering of cardiometabolic diseases including angina, stroke, diabetes, obesity, and hypertension with unrelated conditions such as asthma, chronic lung disease, arthritis, cataracts, and depression. The WHO Disability Assessment Instrument version 2.0 was used to assess functional disability. We used latent class analysis to calculate the multimorbidity classes and disability severity levels. Ordinal logistic regression was used to identify the clusters of multimorbidity associated with moderate and severe disabilities.

Results

Data from 4,190 adults aged over 50 years were analysed. The prevalence of moderate and severe disabilities was 27.0% and 8.9% respectively. Four latent classes of multimorbidity were identified. These included a relatively healthy group with minimal cardiometabolic multimorbidity (63.5%), general and abdominal obesity (20.5%), hypertension, abdominal obesity, diabetes, cataracts, and arthritis (10.0%), and angina, chronic lung disease, asthma, and depression (6.0%). Compared to the participants with minimal cardiometabolic multimorbidity, the odds of moderate and severe disabilities were higher among participants with multimorbidity comprising hypertension, abdominal obesity, diabetes, cataract and arthritis [aOR = 3.0; 95% CI 1.6 to 5.6], and those with angina, chronic lung disease, asthma and depression [aOR = 2.7; 95% CI 1.6 to 4.5].

Conclusions

Cardiometabolic diseases among older persons in Ghana and South Africa cluster in distinct multimorbidity patterns that are significant predictors of functional disabilities. This evidence may be useful for defining disability prevention strategies and long-term care for older persons living with or at risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity in sub-Saharan Africa.