Global burden of primary liver cancer by five etiologies and global prediction by 2035 based on global burden of disease study 2019

Global Epidemiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer and a significant global health challenge due to its high mortality rate. The epidemiology of HCC is closely linked to the prevalence of chronic liver diseases, the predominant etiology being hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections, alcohol consumption, and metabolic disorders such as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). HCC incidence varies widely globally, with the highest rates observed in East Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. This geographic disparity is largely attributed to the endemicity of HBV and HCV in these regions. In Western countries, the incidence of HCC has been rising, driven by increasing rates of alcohol abuse and the presence of steatosis liver disease. MASLD-associated HCC has a higher body mass index, a higher rate of type 2 diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and association with cardiovascular diseases. Steatosis-associated HCC is also known to develop in the absence of cirrhosis, unlike alcohol-related liver disease and viral hepatitis. Prevention strategies vary by region, focusing on vaccination against HBV, antiviral treatments for HBV and HCV, alcohol moderation, and lifestyle interventions along with weight reduction to reduce obesity and incidence of MASLD-related HCC incidence.

The Changing Demographics and Epidemiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has shifted significantly in the last 2 decades with non-viral etiologies such as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and alcohol-associated liver disease on the rise. Key factors include the global obesity epidemic and the resurgence of alcohol use disorder, both of which were exacerbated by the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. While these non-viral etiologies of HCC are becoming the leading cause in developed countries, the potential impact of immigration patterns on Hepatitis B virus epidemiology cannot be ignored. The risk of HCC remains significant in individuals with cirrhosis and viral hepatitis after curative treatments.

Epidemiology of liver diseases: global disease burden and forecasted research trends

We assessed the global incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with various liver diseases, including alcohol-related liver disease (ALD), hepatitis B/C virus infections (HBV or HCV), liver cancer, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), and other chronic liver diseases, from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study. Additionally, we analyzed the global trends in hepatology research and drug development. From 2000 to 2019, prevalence rates increased for ALD, MASLD and other liver diseases, while they decreased for HBV, HCV, and liver cancer. Countries with a high socio-demographic index (SDI) exhibited the lowest mortality rates and DALYs. The burden of liver diseases varied due to factors like sex and region. In nine representative countries, MASLD, along with hepatobiliary cancer, showed highest increase in funding in hepatology research. Globally, the major research categories in hepatology papers from 2000 to 2019 were cancer, pathobiology, and MASLD. The United States (U.S.) was at the forefront of hepatology research, with China gradually increasing its influence over time. Hepatologists worldwide are increasingly focusing on studying the communication between the liver and other organs, while underestimating the research on ALD. Cancer, HCV, and MASLD were the primary diseases targeted for therapeutic development in clinical trials. However, the proportion of new drugs approved for the treatment of liver diseases was relatively low among all newly approved drugs in the U.S., China, Japan, and the European Union. Notably, there were no approved drug for the treatment of ALD in the world.

Burden of Liver Cancer Attributable to Hepatitis B and Alcohol Globally, in China, and for Five Sociodemographic Index Regions from 1990 to 2021: A Population-based Study

Background and Aims

Liver cancer is a digestive system malignancy that poses a significant public health challenge globally. This study aimed to analyze and compare the epidemiological trends of liver cancer attributed to hepatitis B (LCHB) and alcohol use (LCAL) over the past 32 years.

Methods

Data on mortality and disability-adjusted life years for LCHB and LCAL in China, globally, and across five sociodemographic index regions were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database and comprehensively analyzed.

Results

In 2021, the global and Chinese death counts and disability-adjusted life years attributed to LCHB and LCAL showed substantial increases compared to 1990. China had the highest number of deaths from LCHB and LCAL among 204 countries and regions. Gender and age disparities were notable, with males and those aged 40-75 years bearing a higher burden than females and other age groups. Global age-period-cohort analysis revealed an escalating risk of death from LCHB with age, alongside a lower risk in younger cohorts and more recent periods. The mortality risk for LCAL also increased with age but exhibited distinct cohort and period effects compared to LCHB. Decomposition analysis indicated that shifts in the global burden of LCHB and LCAL were influenced by population growth, with population aging playing a crucial role in China.

Conclusions

A significant burden of LCHB and LCAL persists, highlighting the need for tailored prevention, screening, and control strategies to mitigate their incidence, as well as the identification of advanced therapeutics to reduce mortality.

Global temporal trends and projections of hepatitis B-related cirrhosis among adolescents and young adults from 1990 to 2035: an analysis based on the global burden of disease study 2021

Background

Chronic hepatitis B and cirrhosis pose significant global health threats. Few studies have explored the disease burden and mortality trend of cirrhosis caused by hepatitis B virus infection among adolescents and young adults (AYAs, aged 15-39 years). This study aimed to assess the disease burden and trends.

Methods

Publicly available data were obtained from the 2021 GBD database. The rates of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years were calculated at the global, regional, and national levels. Temporal trends were assessed using joinpoint regression analysis, while the Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict future trends.

Results

From 1990 to 2021, the global incidence rate of hepatitis B-related cirrhosis decreased from 111.33 (95% uncertainty interval: 89.18 to 134.98) to 67.75 (54.06 to 82.71) per 100,000 with an average annual percentage change of -1.58 (95% confidence interval: -1.66 to -1.51, p < 0.001). However, between 1990 and 2021, the incidence numbers in the 30-34 and 35-39 age groups increased by 23.75 and 21.24%, respectively. The number of deaths in low and low-middle Socio-demographic Index (SDI) areas increased by 79.51 and 20.62%, respectively. Moreover, it is predicted that the numbers of incidences and deaths will continue to rise in areas with low SDI. At the regional level, Central Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest incidence and mortality rates. In 2021, Somalia and the Democratic Republic of Congo had the highest incidence rates, whereas Kiribati and Cambodia had the highest mortality rates.

Conclusion

The overall burden of hepatitis B-related cirrhosis among AYAs has decreased over the past three decades. Nevertheless, there was a slight increase in the incidence number among individuals aged 30-39 years. The substantial burden and predicted rise in the numbers of incidences and deaths in low SDI areas underscore the need for sustained and targeted public health interventions.

OncoSexome: the landscape of sex-based differences in oncologic diseases

The NIH policy on sex as biological variable (SABV) emphasized the importance of sex-based differences in precision oncology. Over 50% of clinically actionable oncology genes are sex-biased, indicating differences in drug efficacy. Research has identified sex differences in non-reproductive cancers, highlighting the need for comprehensive sex-based cancer data. We therefore developed OncoSexome, a multidimensional knowledge base describing sex-based differences in cancer (https://idrblab.org/OncoSexome/) across four key topics: antineoplastic drugs and responses (SDR), oncology-related biomarkers (SBM), risk factors (SRF) and microbial landscape (SML). SDR covers sex-based differences in 2051 anticancer drugs; SBM describes 12 551 sex-differential biomarkers; SRF illustrates 350 sex-dependent risk factors; SML demonstrates 1386 microbes with sex-differential abundances associated with cancer development. OncoSexome is unique in illuminating multifaceted influences of biological sex on cancer, providing both external and endogenous contributors to cancer development and describing sex-based differences for the broadest oncological classes. Given the increasing global research interest in sex-based differences, OncoSexome is expected to impact future precision oncology practices significantly.

Evolving Global Etiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC): Insights and Trends for 2024

The epidemiology of HCC is changing all over the world and the incidence of HCC is expected to continue increasing over the next 30 years. The changes are in the predisposing factors. Hepatitis B and hepatitis C as predisposing etiologies are decreasing while NAFLD/MAFLD is increasing. The increase in MAFLD is so great that despite the decrease in hepatitis B and C, the overall incidence of HCC is increasing. HCC in persons below the age of 20 years has distinct characteristics different from that of HCC in adults. The changing etiology of hepatocellular carcinoma has implications for the early detection, prevention, the stage of HCC at time of detection and in the treatment of HCC. The extent of these changes and their significance are discussed.

Ferroptosis in hepatocellular carcinoma: Mechanisms and therapeutic implications

Ferroptosis is a novel form of oxidative cell death, in which highly expressed unsaturated fatty acids on the cell membrane are catalyzed by divalent iron or ester oxygenase to promote liposome peroxidation. This process reduces cellular antioxidant capacity, increases lipid reactive oxygen species, and leads to the accumulation of intracellular ferrous ions, which disrupts intracellular redox homeostasis and ultimately causes oxidative cell death. Studies have shown that ferroptosis induces an immune response that has a dual role in liver disease, ferroptosis also offers a promising strategy for precise cancer therapy. Ferroptosis regulators are beneficial in maintaining cellular homeostasis and tissue health, have shown efficacy in treating diseases of the hepatic system. However, the mechanisms of action and molecular regulatory pathways of ferroptosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have not been fully elucidated. Therefore, deciphering the role of ferroptosis and its mechanisms in HCC progression is crucial for treating the disease. In this review, we introduce the morphological features and biochemical functions of ferroptosis, outline the molecular regulatory pathways of ferroptosis, and highlights the therapeutic potential of ferroptosis inhibitors and modulators to target it in HCC.

Global, regional, and national temporal trends in incidence and mortality for liver cancer due to hepatitis B, 1990-2021: a decomposition and age-period-cohort analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

OBJECTIVE

This study comprehensively assessed the burden of liver cancer due to hepatitis B (LCHB) from 1990 to 2021, analyzing temporal trends in disease burden and associations with age, period and birth cohort.

METHODS

Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of LCHB from 1990 to 2021 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021. Joinpoint regression analysis estimated long-term trends. Age-period-cohort analysis evaluated the independent effects of age, period and cohort. Decomposition analysis elucidated the impact of population growth, aging and epidemiological changes on the burden.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2019, the ASIR and ASMR of LCHB witnessed an overall declining trend worldwide, with a notably higher burden in males compared to females. The highest ASIR and ASMR were observed in the middle socio-demographic index (SDI) region, while the lowest were in the low-middle SDI region, with substantial differences across countries. Age-period-cohort analysis revealed an initial increase in risk followed by a decline with advancing age, with the burden primarily affecting the elderly. Decomposition analysis indicated that population growth and aging were the primary drivers of the increase in incident cases and deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

From 1990 to 2021, the ASIR and ASMR of LCHB decreased globally. However, population growth and aging contributed to an increase in the absolute numbers of incident cases and deaths. The risk burden increased with age, and favourable period and cohort effects were found in all SDI regions.

Development of a novel diagnostic model to monitor the progression of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease to hepatocellular carcinoma in females

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The onset of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (MASLD-HCC) is insidious and exhibits sex-specific variations. Effective methods for monitoring MASLD-HCC progression in females have not yet been developed.

METHODS

Transcriptomic data of female liver tissue samples were obtained from multiple public databases. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in MASLD-HCC were identified using differential expression and robust rank aggregation analyses. Diagnostic prediction models for MASLD (DP.MASLD) and HCC (DP.HCC) were developed and validated using elastic net analysis, and diagnostic performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Bioinformatics was used to assess the pathogenesis of MASLD-HCC.

RESULTS

Seven overlapping DEGs were identified in female patients with MASLD and HCC: AKR1B10, CLEC1B, CYP2C19, FREM2, MT1H, NRG1, and THBS1). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) values for the training and validation groups of the DP.MASLD model were 0.864 and 0.782, 0.932 and 1.000, and 0.920 and 0.969 when differentiating between the steatosis and normal liver, steatohepatitis and steatosis, and steatohepatitis and normal liver groups, respectively. The AUCs for DP.HCC were 0.980 and 0.997 in the training and validation groups, respectively. The oncogenesis of female MASLD-HCC is associated with molecular pathways, including cytochrome P450-associated drug metabolism, tyrosine metabolism, fatty acid degradation, focal adhesion, extracellular matrix receptor interactions, and protein digestion and absorption.

CONCLUSION

A novel and effective method to quantitatively assess the risk of MASLD-HCC progression in female patients was developed, and this method will aid in the generation of precise diagnostic, preventive, and therapeutic strategies.

Efficacy and Safety of Erzhu Jiedu Decoction Granules in Treating Mid-advanced Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Primary Liver Cancer Patients with Pi (Spleen)-Deficiency and Dampness-Heat Syndrome

OBJECTIVE

To assess the efficacy and safety of Erzhu Jiedu Decoction (EZJDD) Granules in treating mid-advanced hepatitis B virus-associated primary liver cancer (HBV-PLC) patients with Pi (Spleen)-deficiency and dampness-heat syndrome.

METHODS

From January 2021 to June 2023, a cohort of 132 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to a control group or a EZJDD group according to the random numbers, with 66 patients in each group. The patients in the control group received conventional treatment for 3 months, followed by a 3-month follow-up. In addition to the conventional treatment, patients in the EZJDD group were administered EZJDD Granules (10.9 g/pack, 2 packs twice per day) orally for same duration. Progression-free survival (PFS) as primary outcome was evaluated by Kaplan Meier method. Karnofsky performance status (KPS) scores were used to assess the quality of life in two groups before and after treatment, and survival rates were determined as well. The efficacy of Chinese medicine syndrome was calculated with Nimodipine method. Liver function, tumor indicators and T lymphocyte subsets were measured, respectively. Safety indicators were recorded and assessed.

RESULTS

Of the 116 patients who completed the study, 57 were in the control group and 59 in the EZJDD group. The median PFS was 3.53 months (106 days) in the EZJDD group compared to 2.33 months (70 days) in the control group (P=0.005). Six-month survival rate was 52.63% (30/57) in the control group and 69.49% (41/59) in the EZJDD group (P=0.039). The median KPS score in the EZJDD group [70(63, 90)] was higher than that in the control group [70(60, 80)] (P=0.013). The total effective rate of CM syndrome was 52.63% (30/57) in the control group and 77.97% (46/59) in the EZJDD group (P=0.005). The levels of alpha fetoprotein, alpha fetoprotein-L3, alpha-L-fucosidase and protein induced by Vitamin K absence or antagonist- II in the EZJDD group increased less than the control group (P>0.05). CD8+ levels were decreased, while CD3+ and CD4+ levels, as well as CD4+/CD8+ ratio were significantly increased in the EZZJD group (P<0.05). No treatment-related adverse reactions were observed during the study.

CONCLUSION

EZJDD Granules significantly prolonged the median PFS and improved 6-month survival rate in patients with mid-advanced HBV-PLC (Registration No. ChiCTR2200056922).

Global, regional, and national burden of gastrointestinal cancers among adolescents and young adults from 1990 to 2019, and burden prediction to 2040

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal (GI) cancers have heavily burdened public health. Few studies reported GI cancer burden among adolescents and young adults (AYA). To address this gap, we explored the burden of GI cancer among people aged 15-39.

METHODS

We retrieved data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 Data Resources. The average annual percent change (AAPC) of rates was calculated by linear regression analysis of the natural logarithm. Bayesian age-period-cohort model was applied to predict the future burden.

RESULTS

In 2019, there were 171,857 (95% uncertain interval [95% UI]: 157,092-187,974) new GI cancer cases with a rate of 5.79/100,000 (95% UI: 5.29-6.33) and 91,033 (95% UI: 83,156-99,399) deaths at a rate of 3.07/100,000 (95% UI: 2.80-3.35) among AYA. The number of prevalent cases and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were 722,573 (95% UI: 660,806-789,476) and 5,151,294 (95% UI: 4,706,065-56,188,77), with rates of 24.35/100,000 (95% UI: 22.27-26.60) and 173.57/100,000 (95% UI: 158.57-189.32) respectively. The overall rates of mortality (AAPC = -1.281, p < 0.001) and DALY (AAPC = -1.283, p < 0.001) of GI cancers declined during the past 30 years, while the incidence rate (AAPC = -0.270, p = 0.074) remained stable and the prevalence rate (AAPC = 1.066, p < 0.001) increased. The burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) and pancreatic cancer increased, while those of stomach cancer (SC) and liver cancer (LC) declined. Among the 21 GBD regions, East Asia exhibited the highest burden, while within the five SDI regions, high-middle SDI locations showed the highest rates across all four indicators. CRC, SC, and LC emerged as the primary culprits, attaining a position within the top ten absolute DALYs for all AYA cancers. There were predicted to be 315,792 new cases and 174,068 deaths of GI cancers among AYA in 2040.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the decrease in mortality and DALY rates of GI cancers among AYA, they remain prevalent. The burden varied with locations, SDI levels, sexes, and cancer types. Sufficient attention and multi-party cooperation are needed to control the widespread public health issue.

Older Age But Not Comorbidity is Associated with Worse Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Age and comorbidity are key factors in assessing patient prognosis and informing stopping rules for cancer screening eligibility, but their impact has not been rigorously evaluated in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with HCC at 2 health systems between January 2010 and February 2023. We used multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the associations between older age (≥65 years) and comorbidity burden (Charlson Comorbidity Index) with early-stage presentation, curative treatment receipt, and overall survival. We performed subgroup analyses in patients with early-stage HCC.

RESULTS

We identified 2002 patients with HCC (median age, 61 years; 76% male; 21% early-stage), with a median survival of 15.7 months. In adjusted analyses, curative treatment receipt was associated with higher comorbidity but not older age. Conversely, overall survival was significantly associated with older age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.47) but not high comorbidity (HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.77-1.09). Older age continued to be associated with worse survival among patients with early-stage HCC (HR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.45-2.73) and those who underwent curative treatment (HR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.10-2.10). Median survival for younger versus older individuals was 20 versus 14 months overall, 65 versus 49 months for patients with early-stage HCC, and 113 versus 60 months for those with curative treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Older age but not comorbidity burden is associated with worse survival, including among patients with early-stage HCC. Further studies are needed to define the role of comorbidity in HCC prognostication.

Lactiplantibacillus plantarum inhibited the growth of primary liver cancer by inducing early apoptosis and senescence, in vitro

Primary liver cancer (PLC), comprising hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), is a severe form of cancer associated with a high mortality and morbidity rate and increasing incidence worldwide. Current treatment options are limited and chemotherapeutics demonstrate strong side effects. New therapies are highly required. Lactobacilli represent the most diverse lactic acid-producing bacteria group and a prominent example of probiotics. Several studies have highlighted the anticancer efficacy of probiotics, especially of Lactiplantibacillus plantarum. However, there are limited studies on its activity on two PLC types, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cholangiocarcinoma (CCA). This study evaluated the inhibitory mechanism and properties of L. plantarum ONU 12 (Lp 12) and L. plantarum ONU 355 (Lp 355), isolated from grapes in Ukraine and France, in murine PLC cell lines, in vitro. Strain Lacticaseibacillus casei ATCC 393 (Lc 393) has been taken for a direct comparison, as the most studied probiotic strain. The three Lactobacillus species were used in three forms: as live and heat-killed suspensions, and as sonicated extracts, and tested either as a monotherapy or in combination with standard chemotherapeutics (sorafenib for HCC and gemcitabine for CCA). Cell proliferation and viability were assessed via crystal violet staining assay and cell counting kit-8 assay. The induction of senescence was investigated by senescence-associated β-galactosidase assay. Fluorescence-activated cell sorting analysis was used to determine the apoptotic mechanism behind the inhibitory property of lactobacilli. The results showed that the live suspensions and sonicated extracts of Lp 12, Lp 355, and Lc 393 demonstrated inhibitory properties in CCA and HCC cells after 48 h of incubation. In combinations with standard chemotherapeutics, lactobacilli treatments have shown strong synergistic effects. The combination therapy allowed to reduce the chemotherapeutic doses of gemcitabine from 50 μM to 0.1 and 0.05 μM and sorafenib from 13.8 μM to 6.9 and 3.45 μM. Successful treatment regimes induced early apoptosis and cellular senescence in PLC, as the mechanism of inhibition. Heat-killed suspensions showed no inhibitory effect in none of the cell lines. Both strains, Lp 12 and Lp 355, showed successful results and need further testing in vivo, using autochthonous HCC and CCA models.

HN1-mediated activation of lipogenesis through Akt-SREBP signaling promotes hepatocellular carcinoma cell proliferation and metastasis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with more than 800,000 deaths each year, and its 5-year survival rate is less than 12%. The role of the HN1 gene in HCC has remained elusive, despite its upregulation in various cancer types. In our investigation, we identified HN1's heightened expression in HCC tissues, which, upon overexpression, fosters cell proliferation, migration, and invasion, unveiling its role as an oncogene in HCC. In addition, silencing HN1 diminished the viability and metastasis of HCC cells, whereas HN1 overexpression stimulated their growth and invasion. Gene expression profiling revealed HN1 silencing downregulated 379 genes and upregulated 130 genes, and suppressive proteins associated with the lipogenic signaling pathway networks. Notably, suppressing HN1 markedly decreased the expression levels of SREBP1 and SREBP2, whereas elevating HN1 had the converse effect. This dual modulation of HN1 affected lipid formation, hindering it upon HN1 silencing and promoting it upon HN1 overexpression. Moreover, HN1 triggers the Akt pathway, fostering tumorigenesis via SREBP1-mediated lipogenesis and silencing HN1 effectively curbed HCC tumor growth in mouse xenograft models by deactivating SREBP-1, emphasizing the potential of HN1 as a therapeutic target, impacting both external and internal factors, it holds promise as an effective therapeutic strategy for HCC.

Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Subcentimeter Liver Nodules Identified on Surveillance Ultrasound: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Guidelines recommend that sub-centimeter nodules on ultrasound be followed with short-interval surveillance ultrasound, given assumed low risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and suboptimal diagnostic imaging performance in lesions <1 cm. We performed a systematic review to estimate HCC risk among patients with cirrhosis and sub-centimeter nodules detected on ultrasound.

METHODS

We systematically searched Ovid MEDLINE and EMBASE databases for relevant articles published between January 2005 and July 2024. A random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled proportion of incident HCC.

RESULTS

We identified 9 eligible studies, of which 5 provided both lesion- and patient-level data (n = 354 patients), 2 patient-level alone (n = 888 patients), and 2 lesion-level alone (n = 69 lesions). The pooled proportion of incident HCC was 31.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.7%-69.7%) on a lesion-level and 21.3% (95% CI, 6.0%-53.6%) on a patient-level; however, pooled estimates were limited by high heterogeneity (I2 >90%). Among 2 studies with study periods post-dating 2015, HCC developed in only ∼5% of patients during a median follow-up of 2 years. Risk factors associated with incident HCC were older age, male sex, elevated alpha-fetoprotein levels, thrombocytopenia, and Child Pugh B cirrhosis. Limitations of studies included small sample sizes, selection bias, ascertainment bias for HCC, and failure to report factors associated with HCC.

CONCLUSION

Up to one-fifth of patients with sub-centimeter nodules may develop HCC, although contemporary cohorts report a substantially lower risk. Older patients and those with elevated alpha-fetoprotein levels or poorer liver function are at greatest risk of HCC, highlighting an unmet need for better risk stratification models.

The landscape of etiological patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in Thailand

Thailand is among countries with the highest global incidence and mortality rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA). While viral hepatitis and liver fluke infections have been associated with HCC and iCCA, respectively, other environmental risk factors, overall risk factor commonality and combinatorial roles, and effects on survival have not been systematically examined. We conducted a TIGER-LC consortium-based population study covering all high-incidence areas of both malignancies across Thailand: 837 HCC, 1474 iCCA, and 1112 controls (2011-2019) were comprehensively queried on lifelong environmental exposures, lifestyle, and medical history. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to evaluate risk factors and associated survival patterns. Our models identified shared risk factors between HCC and iCCA, such as viral hepatitis infection, liver fluke infection, and diabetes, including novel and shared associations of agricultural pesticide exposure (OR range of 1.50; 95% CI: 1.06-2.11 to 2.91; 95% CI: 1.82-4.63) along with vulnerable sources of drinking water. Most patients had multiple risk factors, magnifying their risk considerably. Patients with lower risk levels had better survival in both HCC (HR 0.78; 95% CI: 0.64-0.96) and iCCA (HR 0.84; 95% CI: 0.70-0.99). Risk factor co-exposures and their common associations with HCC and iCCA in Thailand emphasize the importance for future prevention and control measures, especially in its large agricultural sector. The observed mortality patterns suggest ways to stratify patients for anticipated survivorship and develop plans to support medical care of longer-term survivors, including behavioral changes to reduce exposures.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the Global Burden of Disease database 2019

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million disability-adjusted life years in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010 and 2019. More than half of the countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.87%, 95% CI: 0.70%-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.21%, 95% CI: 0.01%-0.42%). The limitations of the Global Burden of Disease database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

Burden of alcohol use disorder and its consequences in Iran from 1990 to 2019: Findings from the global burden of disease study

Background

This study aimed to provide an up-to-date evaluation of the burden of alcohol use disorder and its consequences in Iran from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

We assessed the burden of alcohol use disorder and its three subsequent disorders, including cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases, liver cancer, and cardiomyopathy using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data. We retrieved data on incidence, prevalence, death, Years of Life Lost from mortality (YLL), Years of healthy life Lost due to Disability (YLD), and Disability-Adjusted Life Year (DALY), which is calculated by summing YLL and YLD values, indices, as well as sociodemographic index (SDI) values.

Results

Age-standardized DALY rate of alcohol use disorder reduced from 55.5 in 1990 to 41.8 per 100,000 in 2019 (-24.1 %). Similarly, age-standardized DALY rates of cirrhosis due to alcohol use (-28.7 %), liver cancer due to alcohol use (-20.9 %), and alcoholic cardiomyopathy (-36.3 %) decreased in Iran from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, alcohol use disorder had the highest DALY rate among individuals younger than 55 years, while cirrhosis due to alcohol use imposed the greatest burden on those older than 55. After adjusting for the year, SDI was negatively associated with the age-standardized DALY rate of liver cancer due to alcohol use (p < 0.001), positively associated with that of alcoholic cardiomyopathy (p = 0.002), and not significantly associated with the burden of other conditions (p > 0.05).

Conclusions

Despite reductions in the age-standardized DALY rate of alcohol use disorders and related consequences among Iranians, they remain a serious public health concern in Iran.

The burden of liver cancer in Mongolia from 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

Liver cancer remains the leading cause of death and public health threat among the Mongolian population. So far, there has been no in-depth analysis to describe the burden of common attributable factors to liver cancer in Mongolia. Therefore, we aimed to explore the most prevalent causes of liver cancer and its trends from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

We extracted the primary liver cancer data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 to examine the mortality and morbidity of liver cancer by its etiological types, which included alcohol, viral hepatitis B and C, and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). The data was extracted by sex and 5-year age intervals from 1990 to 2019. Data included mortality, incidence, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of liver cancer among the Mongolian population.

Results

Mongolia had the world's highest age-standardized DALYs for liver cancer (2558.1) in 2019. Alcohol-attributable DALYs (786.6) were 29 times higher than the global average (26.1), and liver cancer due to hepatitis C (752.6) and B (763.2) were 21.5 (35.0) and 10.9 (69.1) times higher, respectively. Over the past 30 years, there has been a steady increase in the incidence and number of deaths caused by liver cancer in Mongolia. In 2019, liver cancer incidence due to alcohol consumption was 3.1 times higher for males than females, and hepatitis B was 2.7 times higher for males than females. However, the incidence of hepatitis C and NASH were slightly higher for females. Deaths from liver cancer accounted for 9.51% (2365) of total deaths in Mongolia in 2019, with a continuously increasing trend in the fraction of death compared to 1990, which was 11 times higher than the global average (0.86%), particularly in females with a 319.6% (95% UI 234.9-435.7) increase observed during the study period. Liver cancer due to hepatitis B, C, and alcohol each shared about one-third of liver cancer deaths.

Conclusion

A comprehensive analysis of the burden of liver cancer in Mongolia reveals alcohol use as a primary cause of liver cancer mortality, particularly affecting men and significantly impacting the disease burden. Viral hepatitis continues to pose a major public health concern in the country. Although significant milestones have progressed, addressing the unique demographic and geographical challenges requires tailored approaches for specific target populations. The evidence generated from this analysis is crucial to support policy guidance, contribute to evidence-based decisions, guide public health prevention measures, and amplify population health promotion and disease prevention throughout Mongolia.

Long-Term Effect of Temperature Increase on Liver Cancer in Australia: A Bayesian Spatial Analysis

BACKGROUND

While some evidence has potentially linked climate change to carcinogenic factors, the long-term effect of climate change on liver cancer risk largely remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

Our objective is to evaluate the long-term relationship between temperature increase and liver cancer incidence in Australia.

METHODS

We mapped the spatial distribution of liver cancer incidence from 2001 to 2019 in Australia. A Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive (CAR) model was used to estimate the relationships between the increase in temperature at different lags and liver cancer incidence in Australia, after controlling for chronic hepatitis B prevalence, chronic hepatitis C prevalence, and the Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage. Spatial random effects obtained from the Bayesian CAR model were also mapped.

RESULTS

The research showed that the distribution of liver cancer in Australia is spatially clustered, most areas in Northern Territory and Northern Queensland have higher incidence and relative risk. The increase in temperature at the lag of 30 years was found to correlate with the increase in liver cancer incidence in Australia, with a posterior mean of 30.57 [95% Bayesian credible interval (CrI): 0.17, 58.88] for the univariate model and 29.50 (95% CrI: 1.27, 58.95) after controlling for confounders, respectively. The results were not highly credible for other lags.

DISCUSSION

Our Bayesian spatial analysis suggested a potential relationship between temperature increase and liver cancer. To our knowledge, this research marks the first attempt to assess the long-term effect of global warming on liver cancer. If the relationship is confirmed by other studies, these findings may inform the development of prevention and mitigation strategies based on climate change projections. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14574.

Changes in the epidemiological trends of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region

Primary liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality. The increasing prevalence of metabolic syndrome and alcohol consumption, along with the existing burden of viral hepatitis, could significantly heighten the impact of primary liver cancer. However, the specific effects of these factors in the Asia-Pacific region, which comprises more than half of the global population, remain largely unexplored. This study aims to analyze the epidemiology of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region. We evaluated regional and national data from the Global Burden of Disease study spanning 2010 to 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region. During the study period, there were an estimated 364,700 new cases of primary liver cancer and 324,100 deaths, accounting for 68 and 67% of the global totals, respectively. Upward trends were observed in the age-standardized incidence rates of primary liver cancer due to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MASLD) and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) in the Asia-Pacific region, as well as an increase in primary liver cancer from Hepatitis B virus infection in the Western Pacific region. Notably, approximately 17% of new cases occurred in individuals aged 15-49 years. Despite an overall decline in the burden of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region over the past decade, increases in incidence were noted for several etiologies, including MASLD and ALD. However, viral hepatitis remains the leading cause, responsible for over 60% of the total burden. These findings underscore the urgent need for comprehensive strategies to address the rising burden of primary liver cancer in the Asia-Pacific region.

Attributable liver cancer deaths and disability-adjusted life years in China and worldwide: profiles and changing trends

OBJECTIVE

Liver cancer is a major health concern globally and in China. This analysis investigated deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) with respect to etiologies and risk factors for liver cancer in China and worldwide.

METHODS

Global and China-specific data were collected on liver cancer deaths, DALYs, and age-standardized rates (ASRs) from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 database. Liver cancer etiologies were classified into five groups and risk factors were categorized into three levels. Each proportion of liver cancer burden was calculated in different geographic regions. The joinpoint regression model were used to assess the trends from 1990-2019.

RESULTS

Liver cancer accounted for 484,577 deaths worldwide in 2019 with an ASR of 5.9 per 100,000 population. China had an elevated liver cancer death ASR in 2019 and males had an ASR 1.7 times the global rate. The global ASR for DALYs peaked at 75-79 years of age but peaked earlier in China. Hepatitis B virus was the prominent etiology globally (39.5%) and in China (62.5%), followed by hepatitis C virus and alcohol consumption. In high sociodemographic index countries, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis has gained an increasing contribution as an etiologic factor. The liver cancer burden due to various etiologies has decreased globally in both genders. However, metabolic risk factors, particularly obesity, have had a growing contribution to the liver cancer burden, especially among males.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite an overall decreasing trend in the liver cancer burden in China and worldwide, there has been a rising contribution from metabolic risk factors, highlighting the importance of implementing targeted prevention and control strategies that address regional and gender disparities.

Impact of HBV Integration on Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Long-Term Antiviral Therapy

Purpose

Few studies have reported the integrated characteristics of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after long-term antiviral therapy. This study aimed to investigate the HBV integration features in HBV-HCC patients who had undergone long-term antiviral therapy, evaluate their impact on clinical indicators, and analyze the potential mechanisms involved.

Patients and Methods

We utilized genome-wide association study (GWAS) to analyze liver cancer tissues and detect the presence of HBV integration. Seventeen patients with HBV integration were included in the integration (Int) group, while the remaining five patients were included in the non-integration (N-int) group. Clinical indicators were regularly monitored and compared between the two groups. The characteristics of HBV integration patterns were analyzed, and differences between the groups were explored at the chromosome and genomic levels.

Results

After long-term antiviral therapy, although the frequency of HBV integration in HBV-HCC was reduced, residual HBV integration still accelerated the development of HCC. It affected the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of patients. HBV integration events led to changes in chromosome structure, which were closely related to HCC. Novel fusion genes were detected at a high frequency and had the potential to be specific detection sites for HBV-HCC.

Conclusion

HBV integration events are synergistically involved in the human genome and HBV, which can lead to chromosome structural instability, gene rearrangement events closely related to HCC production, and the formation of new specific fusion genes.

Global Burden and Trends of Primary Liver Cancer Attributable to Comorbid Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Among People Living with Hepatitis B: An Observational Trend Study from 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) increases the risk of liver cancer among people living with hepatitis B virus (HBV). Our study aimed to estimate the global burden and trends of liver cancer attributable to comorbid T2DM among people living with HBV from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

We calculated the population attributable fractions (PAFs) of liver cancer attributable to comorbid T2DM among the burden of HBV-related liver cancer. We applied the PAFs to the burden of HBV-related liver cancer derived from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database to obtain the burden of liver cancer attributable to HBV-T2DM comorbidity. The prevalence, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), and deaths of liver cancer attributable to the comorbidity were assessed at the global, regional, and country levels and then stratified by the sociodemographic index (SDI), sex, and age group. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the temporal trends.

RESULTS

In 2019, the global age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates of liver cancer attributable to HBV-T2DM comorbidity were 9.9 (8.4-11.5) and 182.4 (154.9-212.7) per 10,000,000 individuals, respectively. High-income Asia Pacific and East Asia had the highest age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates of liver cancer attributable to HBV-T2DM comorbidity, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates increased in 16 out of 21 GBD regions. High-income North America had the largest annual increases in both age-standardized prevalence rates (EAPC = 6.07; 95% UI, 5.59 to 6.56) and DALY rates (EAPC = 4.77; 95% UI, 4.35 to 5.20), followed by Australasia and Central Asia. Across all SDI regions, the high SDI region exhibited the most rapid increase in age-standardized prevalence and DALY rates from 1990 to 2019. Additionally, men had consistently higher disease burdens than women across all age groups. The patterns of mortality burden and trends are similar to those of DALYs.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of liver cancer attributable to comorbid T2DM among people living with HBV has exhibited an increasing trend across most regions over the last three decades. Tailored prevention strategies targeting T2DM should be implemented among individuals living with HBV.

A Retrospective Cohort Study From the National Inpatient Sample Database (2016-2019): Does Obesity Affect the Outcomes of Hospitalization Due to Hepatocellular Carcinoma?

INTRODUCTION

Obesity is commonly reported to be associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) along with higher risks of mortality. However, there is a significant research gap regarding the outcomes of hospitalization due to HCC among obese patients compared to those without obesity. This study compares the outcomes of hospitalization among those two groups.

METHODS

 A total of 50,845 patients admitted from 2016 to 2019 with a principal admission diagnosis of HCC were identified using the International Classification of Disease 10 (ICD-10) coding from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database. Patients with a body mass index (BMI) >30 were stratified into the obese cohort, and those with BMI ≤30 into the non-obese cohort as per the ICD-10 coding criteria for obesity based on BMI. The primary outcome of the study was mortality, whereas the length of stay, total hospitalization charges, acute kidney injury (AKI), sepsis, and shock were the secondary outcomes. We also compared additional complications such as ascites, portal hypertension, acute liver failure, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), hepatic encephalopathy, and hepatorenal syndrome between the two groups. A multivariate regression model was used to estimate the effect of obesity on outcomes of hospitalization due to HCC.

RESULTS

The obese cohort comprised 10.64% of the study population, whereas the non-obese cohort comprised 89.36% of the study population. Compared to the non-obese cohort, the obese cohort of patients with HCC were more likely to have a higher comorbidity index (CCI ≥4: 79.76% in the obese vs 71.17 % in the non-obese cohort). Obesity was found to be a protective factor for in-hospital mortality; that is, the odds of in-hospital mortality among the obese cohort was 0.713 times than that of the non-obese group of patients with HCC. The obese cohort had a higher mean length of stay (6.3 days vs 5.6 days; p value: <0.001) and total hospitalization charges (109,108$ vs 85,406$; p value: <0.001), which was further validated on multivariate analysis. The obese cohort had 1.26 times odds of developing AKI compared to the non-obese cohort (p value: 0.005). Sepsis, shock, and other complications such as acute liver failure, DIC, hepatic encephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome, and portal hypertension were not significantly different between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

 Obesity was associated with reduced in-hospital mortality among patients with HCC. However, obese patients with HCC were found to have higher healthcare resource utilization in terms of length of stay and total hospitalization charge along with the development of AKI. Clinicians should be mindful of the potential longer length of stay and associated complications such as AKI while managing obese patients with HCC. Contrary to commonly held notions, obesity and its relation with in-hospital mortality reported in this study warrants further explorative research.

Burden of liver cancer attributable to high fasting plasma glucose: a global analysis based on the global burden of disease study 2019

OBJECTIVE

Liver cancer is the world's sixth most prevalent cancer and the third most frequent cause of cancer-related mortality. Glucose metabolic disorders, indicated by a high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) concentration, is a contributor to the etiology of liver cancer. With the rising prevalence of glucose metabolic disorders, an assessment of the global burden of liver cancer attributable to HFPG is warranted to inform global liver cancer prevention and control strategies.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We evaluated the global death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of liver cancer and its subtypes attributable to HFPG at global, regional, and country level. The temporal trend and disparity across geographic regions, social development level, age groups and sex were assessed.

RESULTS

In 2019, HFPG-attributable liver cancer was estimated to have caused 4,729.49 deaths and to be responsible for 99,302.25 DALYs. The age-standardized mortality and DALY rate were 0.06 and 1.20 per 100,000 population, and displayed a significantly increasing temporal trend from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized mortality rate of patients with liver cancer that was attributable to HFPG was higher in men than women. Sex-based disparity narrowed after the women reached menopause, but increased between 1990 and 2019.

CONCLUSION

The burden of liver cancer that are attributable to HFPG has been influenced by longitudinal changes in lifestyle, the etiology of liver disease, age demographics, and hormonal status in women. These findings suggest that comprehensive strategies could be implemented, especially for patients with NASH and hyperglycemia, to prevent liver cancer.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma and the Multifaceted Relationship with Its Microenvironment: Attacking the Hepatocellular Carcinoma Defensive Fortress

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a malignant tumor that originates from hepatocytes in an inflammatory substrate due to different degrees of liver fibrosis up to cirrhosis. In recent years, there has been growing interest in the role played by the complex interrelationship between hepatocellular carcinoma and its microenvironment, capable of influencing tumourigenesis, neoplastic growth, and its progression or even inhibition. The microenvironment is made up of an intricate network of mesenchymal cells, immune system cells, extracellular matrix, and growth factors, as well as proinflammatory cytokines and translocated bacterial products coming from the intestinal microenvironment via the enterohepatic circulation. The aim of this paper is to review the role of the HCC microenvironment and describe the possible implications in the choice of the most appropriate therapeutic scheme in the prediction of tumor response or resistance to currently applied treatments and in the possible development of future therapeutic perspectives, in order to circumvent resistance and break down the tumor's defensive fort.

Management of Portal Hypertension in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma on Systemic Treatment: Current Evidence and Future Perspectives

The management of CSPH in patients undergoing systemic treatment for HCC has emerged as a critical concern due to the absence of reliable diagnostic criteria and uncertainties surrounding therapeutic approaches. This review aims to underscore the primary pathophysiological aspects linking HCC and PH, while also addressing the current and emerging clinical strategies for the management of portal hypertension. A review of studies from January 2003 to June 2023 was conducted using the PubMed database and employing MeSH terms, such as "hepatocellular carcinoma", "immune checkpoint inhibitors", "systemic therapy", "portal hypertension", "variceal bleeding" and "tyrosine kinase inhibitors". Despite promising results of tyrosine kinase inhibitors in animal models for PH and fibrosis, only Sorafenib has demonstrated similar effects in human studies, whereas Lenvatinib appears to promote PH development. The impact of Atezolizumab/Bevacizumab on PH remains uncertain, with an increasing risk of bleeding related to Bevacizumab in patients with prior variceal hemorrhage. Given the absence of specific guidelines, endoscopic surveillance during treatment is advisable, and primary and secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding should adhere to the Baveno VII recommendations. Furthermore, in patients with advanced HCC, refinement of diagnostic criteria for CSPH and guidelines for its surveillance are warranted.

Changes in the global epidemiological characteristics of cystic echinococcosis over the past 30 years and projections for the next decade: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

Despite ongoing changes in the global epidemiology of cystic echinococcosis (CE), there is a lack of research conducted to date.

Methods

We extracted data on incidence and disability-adjusted life years for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 to evaluate the epidemiological characteristics and burden of CE through the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. We used locally weighted linear regression to analyse the primary driving factors of the prevalence of CE at the national and regional levels and utilised a Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model to forecast the global incidence of CE in the next decade.

Results

Globally, the incidence of CE remained constantly high from 1990 (2.65 per 100 000 population) to 2019 (2.60 per 100 000 population), resulting in an estimated 207 368 new cases in 2019. We observed substantial variations in the disease burden regarding its spatiotemporal distribution, population demographics, and Socio-Demographic Index levels. According to established models, factors such as health care capacity, livestock husbandry, agricultural activities, rural populations, and education levels are likely to play significant roles in determining the prevalence of CE across different countries. By 2030, the worldwide number of CE cases could reach as high as 235 628, representing an increase of 13.63% compared to 2019.

Conclusions

Over the past three decades, the global burden of CE has persistently remained high, especially in Central Asia, as well as North Africa and the Middle East. Efforts should focus on more effective prevention and control measures in these key regions and should specifically target vulnerable populations to prevent the escalation of epidemics.

Progression of liver disease and associated risk of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the primary liver cancer type, often seen in individuals with chronic liver disease. Once the patient progresses to the cirrhotic stage, the annual incidence of HCC is approximately 2%-4%. As it exceeds the minimum threshold of 1.0%-1.5% per year, HCC screening every 6 months through abdominal ultrasound is indicated in the cirrhotic population. While the incidence of viral hepatitis-associated HCC is decreasing, there is a notable rise of HCC associated with metabolic dysfunction-related steatotic liver disease and alcohol-related liver disease, particularly in high-income countries. The most effective approach for oncological prevention remains addressing the cause of liver disease. The indications for HCC screening in patients without cirrhosis depend on the etiology of liver disease and the stage of fibrosis, assessed by liver biopsy or noninvasive tests such as FIB-4 or transient elastography. However, clear recommendations for HCC screening in patients without cirrhosis and for the different etiologies are currently unavailable. Research efforts should focus on identifying markers, or combinations thereof, to provide a more accurate estimate of HCC occurrence. Such advancements would enable the effective targeting of populations at the highest risk of HCC and the establishment of the correct timing to start the screening.

Whole-process case management effects on mental state and self-care ability in patients with liver cancer

BACKGROUND

Regarding the incidence of malignant tumors in China, the incidence of liver cancer ranks fourth, second only to lung, gastric, and esophageal cancers. The case fatality rate ranks third after lung and cervical cancer. In a previous study, the whole-process management model was applied to patients with breast cancer, which effectively reduced their negative emotions and improved treatment adherence and nursing satisfaction.

AIM

To explore Mental state and self-care ability in patients with liver cancer: effects of whole-process case management.

METHODS

In this single-center, randomized, controlled study, 60 randomly selected patients with liver cancer who had been admitted to our hospital from January 2021 to January 2022 were randomly divided into an observation group (n = 30), who received whole-process case management on the basis of routine nursing measures, and a control group (n = 30), who were given routine nursing measures. We compared differences between the two groups in terms of anxiety, depression, the level of hope, self-care ability, symptom distress, sleep quality, and quality of life.

RESULTS

Post-intervention, Hamilton anxiety scale, Hamilton depression scale, memory symptom assessment scale, and Pittsburgh sleep quality index scores in both groups were lower than those pre-intervention, and the observation group had lower scores than the control group (P < 0.05). Herth hope index, self-care ability assessment scale-revision in Chinese, and quality of life measurement scale for patients with liver cancer scores in both groups were higher than those pre-intervention, with higher scores in the observation group compared with the control group (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Whole-process case management can effectively reduce anxiety and depression in patients with liver cancer, alleviate symptoms and problems, and improve the level of hope, self-care ability, sleep quality, and quality of life, as well as provide feasible nursing alternatives for patients with liver cancer.

Hepatocellular and extrahepatic cancer risk in people with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. Much of the recognised health-care burden occurs in the minority of people with NAFLD who progress towards cirrhosis and require specialist follow-up, including risk stratification and hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance. NAFLD is projected to become the leading global cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, but the frequency of non-cirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma provides a challenge to existing surveillance strategies. Deaths from extrahepatic cancers far exceed those from hepatocellular carcinoma in NAFLD. Unlike hepatocellular carcinoma, the increased extrahepatic cancer risk in NAFLD is not dependent on liver fibrosis stage. Given that almost 30% of the world's adult population has NAFLD, extrahepatic cancer could represent a substantial health and economic issue. In this Review, we discuss current knowledge and controversies regarding hepatocellular carcinoma risk stratification and surveillance practices in people with NAFLD. We also assess the associations of extrahepatic cancers with NAFLD and their relevance both in the clinic and the wider community.

Application of the Human Amniotic Membrane as an Adjuvant Therapy for the Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related morbidity and mortality worldwide. Current therapeutic approaches suffer significant side effects and lack of clear understanding of their molecular targets. Recent studies reported the anticancer effects, immunomodulatory properties, and antiangiogenic effects of the human amniotic membrane (hAM). hAM is a transparent protective membrane that surrounds the fetus. Preclinical studies showed pro-apoptotic and antiproliferative properties of hAM treatment on cancer cells. Herein, we present the latest findings of the application of the hAM in combating HCC tumorigenesis and the underlying molecular pathogenies and the role of transforming growth factor-beta (TGFβ), P53, WNT/beta-catenin, and PI3K/AKT pathways. The emerging clinical applications of hAM in cancer therapy provide evidence for its diverse and unique features and suitability for the management of a wide range of pathological conditions.

Development and Validation of a Blood-Biomarker-Based Predictive Model for HBV-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to explore the optimal predictors of HBV-associated HCC using Lasso, and establish a prediction model.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent CBC and CRP testing between January 2016 and March 2024. The study population comprised 5441 cases divided into three cohorts: non-HBV-infected (1333 cases), HBV-infected (1023 cases), and HBV-associated HCC (3085 cases). A value of CRP <10 mg/L was used to exclude cases of acute bacterial infections. Baseline data and blood parameters were compared across the three groups (control group (n = 1049), the HBV-infected group (n = 789), and the HBV-associated HCC group (n = 1367)). HBV-infected group and the HBV-associated HCC group were used as modeling subjects which 70% were classified as training set (n = 1512) and 30% were classified as validation set (n = 644). Lasso regression and logistic regression were employed to identify the most effective predictors of HBV-associated HCC, which were subsequently incorporated into a predictive model by training set.

RESULTS

Significant variations in age, gender, and blood parameter indices were observed between individuals with acute bacterial infections and non-infections in the study population, and also between three groups. The optimal predictors identified for HBV-associated HCC included gender, age, MONO, EO%, MCHC, MPV, and PCT.

CONCLUSIONS

The study highlights the significant impact of acute bacterial infections on immune status, erythrocyte system, and platelet system. After excluding acute bacterial infections, factors such as gender, age, MONO, EO%, MCHC, MPV, and PCT are effective predictors for clinical prediction of HCC development in HBV-infected patients.

Hepatocellular carcinoma

An update on the management of Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is provided in the present article for those interested in the UEMS/EBSQ exam in Surgical Oncology. The most recent publications in HCC, including surveillance, guidelines, and indications for liver resection, liver transplantation, and locoregional or systemic therapies, are summarised. The objective is to yield a set of main points regarding HCC that are required in the core curriculum of hepatobiliary oncological surgery.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance: Evidence-Based Tailored Approach

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is recommended by professional society guidelines given a consistent association with reduced HCC-related mortality. HCC surveillance should be performed using semiannual abdominal ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein, although this combination has suboptimal sensitivity and can miss more than one-third of HCC at an early stage. There are promising emerging blood-based and imaging-based strategies, including abbreviated MRI and biomarker panels; however, these require further validation before routine use in clinical practice. HCC surveillance is underused in clinical practice due to patient-related and provider-related barriers, highlighting a need for interventions to improve surveillance utilization in clinical practice.

Life-Threatening Endocrinological Immune-Related Adverse Events of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapy

Malignant neoplasms are currently one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide, posing a major public health challenge. However, recent advances in research in cancer biology and immunity have led to the development of immunotherapy, which is now used on an everyday basis in cancer treatment in addition to surgical treatment, classical cytostatics, and radiotherapy. The efficacy of immunotherapy has promoted the great popularity of this treatment among patients, as well as significant research interest. The increasing number of patients being treated with immunotherapy not only reassures physicians of the efficacy of this technique but also shows the wide spectrum of side effects of this therapy, which has not been considered before. Immune-related adverse events may affect many systems and organs, such as digestive, cardiovascular, respiratory, skin, or endocrine organs. Most complications have a mild or moderate course, but there are life-threatening manifestations that are essential to be aware of because if they are not properly diagnosed and treated on time, they can have fatal consequences. The purpose of this paper was to present the results of a literature review on the current state of knowledge on life-threatening endocrine side effects (such as adrenal crisis, thyroid storm, myxoedema crisis, diabetic ketoacidosis, and severe hypocalcaemia) of immune checkpoint inhibitors to provide information on symptoms, diagnostics, and management strategies.

Global burden trends of MAFLD‐related liver cancer from 1990 to 2019

Aims

Metabolic dysfunction‐associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has become a serious public health challenge and is a cause of liver cancer. Reports on the global epidemiology of MAFLD‐related liver cancer remain limited. This study aimed to estimate the global burden trends of MAFLD‐related liver cancer between 1990 and 2019.

Methods

We estimated the numbers of global incident cases, deaths, and disability‐adjusted life years (DALYs) of MAFLD‐related liver cancer by analyzing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. We also analyzed the trends and regional and national differentials of MAFLD‐related liver cancer. Finally, we investigated the influential factors for the trends in MAFLD‐related liver cancer.

Results

Globally, there were 36,340 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 29,490–44,860) incident cases, 34,730 (95% UI: 28,390–43,180) deaths, and 795,810 (95% UI: 657,290–975,790) DALYs of MAFLD‐related liver cancer in 2019, representing increases of 205%, 195%, and 166% compared with 1990, respectively. The age‐standardized incidence, mortality, and DALY rates per 100,000 population in 2019 were 0.44, 0.43, and 9.64, respectively. The most pronounced increases in incidence, deaths, and DALYs were consistently observed in countries with a high sociodemographic index. Increasing trends were noted in these three measures since 2005, and the trends were much greater in men than in women.

Conclusions

MAFLD‐related liver cancer poses a substantial global burden that continues to grow. Undesirable trends were observed in countries with a high sociodemographic index.

Global, regional, and national burden of liver cancer due to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, 1990-2019: a decomposition and age-period-cohort analysis

BACKGROUND

Identifying past temporal trends in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-associated liver cancer (NALC) can increase public awareness of the disease and facilitate future policy development.

METHODS

Annual deaths and age-standardized death rates (ASDR) for NALC from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. The long-term trend and the critical inflection of mortality of NALC were detected by Joinpoint analysis. Age-period-cohort analysis was employed to evaluate the effects of age, period, and cohort. Last, decomposition analysis was used to reveal the aging and population growth effects for NALC burden.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2019, the ASDR of NALC witnessed an overall declining trend on a global scale, with a decrease in females and a stable trend in males. However, the global ASDR demonstrated a significant upward trend from 2010 to 2019. Southern sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia have the highest NALC burdens, while high socio-demographic index (SDI) region experienced the fastest escalation of NALC burdens over 30 years. The decomposition analysis revealed that population growth and aging were the primary catalysts behind the increase in global NALC deaths. Age-period-cohort analyses showed that NALC mortality declined the fastest among females aged 40-45 years in high SDI region, accompanied by a deteriorating period effect trend during the period of 2010-2019.

CONCLUSION

The global absolute deaths and ASDR of NALC have witnessed a rise in the past decade, with populations exhibiting considerable disparities based on sex, age, and region. Population growth, aging, and metabolism-related factors were the main factors behind the increase in global NALC deaths.

Global trends in hepatocellular carcinoma epidemiology: implications for screening, prevention and therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality rates are increasing globally, and particularly in the Western world. Cirrhosis remains the predominant risk factor for HCC. However, epidemiological shifts in the incidence of HCC from patients with virus-related liver disease to those with non-viral aetiologies, including alcohol-associated and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, have important implications for prevention, surveillance and treatment. Hepatitis B vaccination and antiviral therapy for hepatitis B and C are effective for primary prevention of virus-related HCCs, but chemoprevention strategies for non-viral liver disease remain an unmet need. Emerging data suggest associations between aspirin, statins, metformin and coffee and reduced HCC incidence, although none has been proved to be causally related. Secondary prevention of HCC via semi-annual surveillance is associated with improvements in early detection and thus reduced mortality; however, current tools, including abdominal ultrasonography, have suboptimal sensitivity for the detection of early stage HCC, particularly in patients with obesity and/or non-viral liver disease. Promising blood-based or imaging-based surveillance strategies are emerging, although these approaches require further validation before adoption in clinical practice. In the interim, efforts should be focused on maximizing use of the existing surveillance tools given their prevalent underuse globally. Remarkable advances have been made in the treatment of HCC, including expanded eligibility for surgical therapies, improved patient selection for locoregional treatments and increased systemic treatment options, including immune-checkpoint inhibitors. In this Review, we discuss trends in the epidemiology of HCC and their implications for screening, prevention and therapy.

Bioinformatics-based and multiscale convolutional neural network screening of herbal medicines for improving the prognosis of liver cancer: a novel approach

Background

Liver cancer is one of the major diseases threatening human life and health, and this study aims to explore new methods for treating liver cancer.

Methods

A deep learning model for the efficacy of clinical herbal medicines for liver cancer was constructed based on NDCNN, combined with the natural evolutionary rules of a genetic algorithm to obtain the herbal compound for liver cancer treatment. We obtained differential genes between liver cancer tissues and normal tissues from the analysis of TCGA database, screened the active ingredients and corresponding targets of the herbal compound using the TCMSP database, mapped the intersection to obtain the potential targets of the herbal compound for liver cancer treatment in the Venny platform, constructed a PPI network, and conducted GO analysis and KEGG analysis on the targets of the herbal compound for liver cancer treatment. Finally, the key active ingredients and important targets were molecularly docked.

Results

The accuracy of the NDCNN training set was 0.92, and the accuracy of the test set was 0.84. After combining with the genetic algorithm for 1,000 iterations, a set of Chinese herbal compound prescriptions was finally the output. A total of 86 targets of the herbal compound for liver cancer were obtained, mainly five core targets of IL-6, ESR1, JUN, IL1β, and MMP9. Among them, quercetin, kaempferol, and stigmasterol may be the key active ingredients in hepatocellular carcinoma, and the herbal compound may be participating in an inflammatory response and the immune regulation process by mediating the IL-17 signaling pathway, the TNF signaling pathway, and so on. The anticancer effects of the herbal compound may be mediated by the IL-17 signaling pathway, the TNF signaling pathway, and other signaling pathways involved in inflammatory response and immune regulation. Molecular docking showed that the three core target proteins produced stable binding to the two main active ingredients.

Conclusion

The screening of effective herbal compounds for the clinical treatment of liver cancer based on NDCNN and genetic algorithms is a feasible approach and will provide ideas for the development of herbal medicines for the treatment of liver cancer and other cancers.

Contribution of alcohol use to the global burden of cirrhosis and liver cancer from 1990 to 2019 and projections to 2044

BACKGROUND

Identifying the temporal trends of cirrhosis and liver cancer attributable to alcohol use in both the past and the future can formulate the control strategies.

METHODS

Data on cirrhosis and liver cancer attributable to alcohol use from 1990 to 2019, including mortality and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. To analyze the temporal trends, the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort model was applied.

RESULT

Deaths and DALY of cirrhosis and liver cancer attributable to alcohol use increased year by years, but the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and age-standardized DALY rate declined or remained stable from 1990 to 2019 in most regions of the world. The burden of cirrhosis attributable to alcohol increased in low-middle social-development index (SDI) regions, while the burden of liver cancer increased in high-SDI regions. Eastern Europe and Central Asia have the highest burden of cirrhosis and liver cancer caused by alcohol use. Deaths and DALYs are mainly distributed in people aged 40+ years, but there is an increasing trend in people aged under 40 years. New deaths from cirrhosis and liver cancer attributable to alcohol use are predicted to increase in the next 25 years, but the ASDR of cirrhosis in males will increase slightly.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the age-standardized rate of cirrhosis and liver cancer due to alcohol use have decreased, the absolute burden increased and will continue to increase. Therefore, alcohol control measures should be further strengthened and improved through effective national policies.

Gender Differences in the Pathogenesis and Risk Factors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Several chronic liver diseases are characterized by a clear gender disparity. Among them, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) shows significantly higher incidence rates in men than in women. The different epidemiological distribution of risk factors for liver disease and HCC only partially accounts for these gender differences. In fact, the liver is an organ with recognized sexual dysmorphism and is extremely sensitive to the action of androgens and estrogens. Sex hormones act by modulating the risk of developing HCC and influencing its aggressiveness, response to treatments, and prognosis. Furthermore, androgens and estrogens are able to modulate the action of other factors and cofactors of liver damage (e.g., chronic HBV infection, obesity), significantly influencing their carcinogenic power. The purpose of this review is to examine the factors related to the different gender distribution in the incidence of HCC as well as the pathophysiological mechanisms involved, with particular reference to the central role played by sex hormones.

The Global Burden of Liver Disease

Chronic liver disease (CLD) and its associated complications (cirrhosis and liver cancer) cause significant mortality, morbidity, and economic burden. Published data from the World Health Organization and/or the Global Burden of Disease show that the burden of CLD is large and increasing, primarily owing to the increasing burden of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). Middle Eastern, Northern African, and Asian regions of the globe are most affected by hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus. Furthermore, Middle Eastern and North African regions also are affected by nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, and Eastern European, West African, and Central Asian regions are affected by ALD. In this context, the rate of increase for cirrhosis is highest in the Middle East, as well as in middle high and high sociodemographic index (SDI) regions. On the other hand, the highest SDI countries are experiencing increasing rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Assessing HCC burden based on country and etiology shows that China, Korea, India, Japan, and Thailand have the highest hepatitis B virus-related HCC cases, while China, Japan, and the United States have the highest hepatitis C virus-related HCC cases. Additionally, the United States has the highest ALD-related HCC cases, while India, the United States, and Thailand have the highest nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-related HCC cases. Although the burden of CLD is increasing globally, regions of the world are impacted differently as a result of a number of sociodemographic factors.

Global trajectories of liver cancer burden from 1990 to 2019 and projection to 2035

BACKGROUND

Large disparities exist in liver cancer burden trends across countries but are poorly understood. We aimed to investigate the global trajectories of liver cancer burden, explore the driving forces, and predict future trends.

METHODS

Data on the liver cancer burden in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) trajectories were defined using growth mixture models. Five major risk factors contributing to changes in the ASIR or ASMR and socioeconomic determinants were explored using the identified trajectories. A Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict future trends through 2035.

RESULTS

Three trajectories of liver cancer burden were identified: increasing, stable, and decreasing groups. Almost half of the American countries were classified in the decreasing group (48.6% for ASIR and ASMR), and the increasing group was the most common in the European region (ASIR, 49.1%; ASMR, 37.7%). In the decreasing group, the decrease of liver cancer due to hepatitis B contributed 63.4% and 60.4% of the total decreases in ASIR and ASMR, respectively. The increase of liver cancer due to alcohol use, hepatitis C, and hepatitis B contributed the most to the increase in the increasing group (30.8%, 31.1%, and 24.2% for ASIR; 33.7%, 30.2%, and 22.2% for ASMR, respectively). The increasing group was associated with a higher sociodemographic index, gross domestic product per capita, health expenditure per capita, and universal health coverage (all P <0.05). Significant variations in disease burden are predicted to continue through 2035, with a disproportionate burden in the decreasing group.

CONCLUSION

Global disparities were observed in liver cancer burden trajectories. Hepatitis B, alcohol use, and hepatitis C were identified as driving forces in different regions.

Air pollution and liver cancer: A systematic review

Air pollution has previously been linked to several adverse health outcomes, but the potential association between air pollution and liver cancer remains unclear. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science from inception to 10 October 2021, and manually reviewed the references of relevant papers to further identify any related literature investigating possible associations between air pollution and liver cancer. Risk estimates values were represented by statistical associations based on quantitative analyses. A total of 13 cohort studies obtained from 11 articles were included, with 10,961,717 participants. PM_2.5 was the most frequently examined pollutant (included in 11 studies), followed by NO₂ and NO_x (included in 6 studies), and fewer studies focused on other pollutants (PM_{2.5 absorbance}, PM₁₀, PM_2.5-10, O₃, and BC). In all the 16 associations for liver cancer mortality, 14 associations reported the effect of PM_2.5 on liver cancer mortality. Eight associations on PM_2.5 were significant, showing a suggestive association between PM_2.5 and liver cancer mortality. Among 24 associations shown by risk estimates for liver cancer incidence, most associations were not statistically significant. For other air pollutants, no positive associations were presented in these studies. PM_2.5 was the most frequently examined pollutant, followed by NO₂ and NO_x, and fewer studies focused on other pollutants. PM_2.5 was associated with liver cancer mortality, but there was no association for other air pollutants. Future research should use advanced statistical methods to further assess the impact of multiple air pollutants on liver cancer in the changing socio-environmental context.

Raman Scattering-Based Optical Sensing Of Chronic Liver Diseases

Chronic liver diseases (CLDs) are a major public health problem. Despite the progress achieved in fighting against viral hepatitis, the emergence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease might pose a serious challenge to the public's health in the coming decades. Medical management of CLDs represents a substantial burden on the public health infrastructures. The health care cost of these diseases is an additional burden that weighs heavily on the economies of developing countries. Effective management of CLDs requires the adoption of reliable and cost-effective screening and diagnosing methods to ensure early detection and accurate clinical assessment of these diseases. Vibrational spectroscopies have emerged as universal analytical methods with promising applications in various industrial and biomedical fields. These revolutionary analytical techniques rely on analyzing the interaction between a light beam and the test sample to generate a spectral fingerprint. This latter is defined by the analyte's chemical structure and the molecular vibrations of its functional groups. Raman spectroscopy and surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy have been used in combination with various chemometric tests to diagnose a wide range of malignant, metabolic and infectious diseases. The aim of the current review is to cast light on the use of these optical sensing methods in the diagnosis of CLDs. The vast majority of research works that investigated the potential application of these spectroscopic techniques in screening and detecting CLDs were discussed here. The advantages and limitations of these modern analytical methods, as compared with the routine and gold standard diagnostic approaches, were also reviewed in details.

Burden of gastrointestinal cancers in China from 1990 to 2019 and projection through 2029

Although gastrointestinal (GI) cancers pose a great challenge to public health, data are scant for understanding the burden of GI cancers in China. We aimed to provide an updated estimate of the burden of major GI cancers in China over three decades. According to the GLOBOCAN 2020 database, 1,922,362 GI cancer cases were newly diagnosed and 1,497,388 deaths occurred in China in 2020, with the highest incidence in colorectal cancer (555,480 new cases; 23.90/100,000 age-standardized incidence rate [ASIR]) and the highest mortality in liver cancer (391,150 deaths; 17.20/100,000 age-standardized mortality rate [ASMR]). The age-standardized rates (ASRs) in incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates for esophageal, gastric, and liver cancers have declined overall (1990-2019, average annual perventage change [AAPC] < 0%, p < 0.001) but have become flattened or reversed in recent years, alarmingly. The spectrum of GI cancers in China will continue transitioning in the next decade, characterized by rapid increases in colorectal and pancreatic cancers in addition to a high burden of esophageal, gastric, and liver cancers. High body-mass index was found to be the fastest-growing risk factor for GI cancers (estimated annual perventage change [EAPC]: 2.35%-3.20%, all p < 0.001), whereas smoking and alcohol consumption remained the top contributors to GI cancer-related deaths in men. In conclusion, GI cancers in China are challenging the healthcare system with a growing burden and a transitioning pattern. Comprehensive strategies are needed to reach the Healthy China 2030 target.