Metabolic risk factors and primary liver cancer in a prospective study of 578,700 adults

Changing Etiological Spectrum of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in India-A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Background

Recent studies from both India and outside India have shown a change in the etiological profile of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to analyze the etiological spectrum and changing trends of HCC etiology in India using a systematic review of current literature and meta-analysis.

Methods

Electronic databases of PubMed/Medline, Scopus, and Embase were searched from inception to July 2023 for studies reporting the data on the etiology of HCC from India. The pooled proportions with 95% confidence interval were calculated using summative statistics.

Results

A total of 60 studies (n = 12,327) were included in the final analysis. The pooled proportions of HCC cases with at least one positive and negative viral marker were 56.0 (49.5-62.6) and 43.1% (36.5-49.8), respectively. The pooled proportion of HCC cases with positive hepatitis B virus (HBV) markers was 41.0 (35.8-46.1), while those with positive markers for hepatitis C virus were 20.3 (17.0-23.6). The pooled proportion of cases with HCC with significant alcohol intake was 19.0% (15.6-22.4), and those related to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were 16.9% (12.1-21.7). Around 7.9% (5.8-10.0) of the cases had HCC with multiple etiologies. Subgroup analysis showed a significant variation with the location of the study based on zone. Meta-regression analysis based on publication year (1990-2023) showed a significant reduction in the proportion of cases with HBV and an increase in cases with NAFLD. In contrast, the proportion of cases with hepatitis C virus and alcohol did not change significantly.

Conclusion

Viral hepatitis is the most common etiology of HCC in India, predominantly HBV. The proportions of cases with HCC related to NAFLD are increasing, and those related to HBV are declining.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Association between blood lipid levels and the risk of liver cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

The association between blood lipid levels and the risk of developing liver cancer remains a subject of ongoing debate. To elucidate this association, we conducted a meta-analysis by systematically incorporating data from all relevant prospective cohort studies.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search of the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases covering studies published from database inception through July 2023. This study included prospective cohort studies related to lipid profiles (e.g., total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels) that reported hazard ratios (HRs) or relative risks (RRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) to investigate their association with the risk of liver cancer. During the analysis process, we used fixed-effects or random-effects models based on the level of heterogeneity among the studies and obtained pooled risk ratios using these models. To ensure the robustness and reliability of the study findings, we also conducted sensitivity analyses and publication bias analyses.

RESULTS

After conducting a systematic search, 12 studies were identified from a total of 11,904 articles and were included in the meta-analysis. These studies included a combined population of 10,765,221 participants, among whom 31,055 cases of liver cancer were reported. The analysis revealed that the pooled HR for the serum TC concentration (highest versus lowest) was 0.45 (95% CI = 0.35-0.58, I2 = 78%). For TGs, the HR was 0.67 (95% CI = 0.46-0.96, I2 = 86%), while for HDL-C, the HR was 0.72 (95% CI = 0.58-0.90, I2 = 65%). The HR for LDL-C was 0.51 (95% CI = 0.23-1.13, I2 = 93%).

CONCLUSION

The findings of this study indicate that serum TC, TG, and HDL-C levels are negatively associated with liver cancer risk, suggesting that higher concentrations of these lipids are associated with a reduced risk of liver cancer. However, no significant association has been found between LDL-C levels and liver cancer risk.

Burden of liver cancer attributable to high fasting plasma glucose: a global analysis based on the global burden of disease study 2019

OBJECTIVE

Liver cancer is the world's sixth most prevalent cancer and the third most frequent cause of cancer-related mortality. Glucose metabolic disorders, indicated by a high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) concentration, is a contributor to the etiology of liver cancer. With the rising prevalence of glucose metabolic disorders, an assessment of the global burden of liver cancer attributable to HFPG is warranted to inform global liver cancer prevention and control strategies.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We evaluated the global death and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of liver cancer and its subtypes attributable to HFPG at global, regional, and country level. The temporal trend and disparity across geographic regions, social development level, age groups and sex were assessed.

RESULTS

In 2019, HFPG-attributable liver cancer was estimated to have caused 4,729.49 deaths and to be responsible for 99,302.25 DALYs. The age-standardized mortality and DALY rate were 0.06 and 1.20 per 100,000 population, and displayed a significantly increasing temporal trend from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized mortality rate of patients with liver cancer that was attributable to HFPG was higher in men than women. Sex-based disparity narrowed after the women reached menopause, but increased between 1990 and 2019.

CONCLUSION

The burden of liver cancer that are attributable to HFPG has been influenced by longitudinal changes in lifestyle, the etiology of liver disease, age demographics, and hormonal status in women. These findings suggest that comprehensive strategies could be implemented, especially for patients with NASH and hyperglycemia, to prevent liver cancer.

Bile acids mediate fructose-associated liver tumour growth in mice

High fructose diets are associated with an increased risk of liver cancer. Previous studies in mice suggest increased lipogenesis is a key mechanism linking high fructose diets to liver tumour growth. However, these studies administered fructose to mice at supraphysiological levels. The aim of this study was to determine whether liver tumour growth and lipogenesis were altered in mice fed fructose at physiological levels. To test this, we injected male C57BL/6 mice with the liver carcinogen diethylnitrosamine and then fed them diets without fructose or fructose ranging from 10 to 20 % total calories. Results showed mice fed diets with ≥15 % fructose had significantly increased liver tumour numbers (2-4-fold) and total tumour burden (∼7-fold) vs mice fed no-fructose diets. However, fructose-associated tumour burden was not associated with lipogenesis. Conversely, unbiased metabolomic analyses revealed bile acids were elevated in the sera of mice fed a 15 % fructose diet vs mice fed a no-fructose diet. Using a syngeneic ectopic liver tumour model, we show that ursodeoxycholic acid, which decreases systemic bile acids, significantly reduced liver tumour growth in mice fed the 15 % fructose diet but not mice fed a no-fructose diet. These results point to a novel role for systemic bile acids in mediating liver tumour growth associated with a high fructose diet. Overall, our study shows fructose intake at or above normal human consumption (≥15 %) is associated with increased liver tumour numbers and growth and that modulating systemic bile acids inhibits fructose-associated liver tumour growth in mice.

Cholesterol modulates type I/II TGF-β receptor complexes and alters the balance between Smad and Akt signaling in hepatocytes

Cholesterol mediates membrane compartmentalization, affecting signaling via differential distribution of receptors and signaling mediators. While excessive cholesterol and aberrant transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) signaling characterize multiple liver diseases, their linkage to canonical vs. non-canonical TGF-β signaling remained unclear. Here, we subjected murine hepatocytes to cholesterol depletion (CD) or enrichment (CE), followed by biophysical studies on TGF-β receptor heterocomplex formation, and output to Smad2/3 vs. Akt pathways. Prior to ligand addition, raft-dependent preformed heteromeric receptor complexes were observed. Smad2/3 phosphorylation persisted following CD or CE. CD enhanced phospho-Akt (pAkt) formation by TGF-β or epidermal growth factor (EGF) at 5 min, while reducing it at later time points. Conversely, pAkt formation by TGF-β or EGF was inhibited by CE, suggesting a direct effect on the Akt pathway. The modulation of the balance between TGF-β signaling to Smad2/3 vs. pAkt (by TGF-β or EGF) has potential implications for hepatic diseases and malignancies.

Anthropometric indicators of adiposity and risk of primary liver cancer: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Adiposity is associated with an increased risk of primary liver cancer (PLC). As the most commonly used indicator of adiposity, the body mass index (BMI) has been questioned for its limitations in reflecting visceral fat. This study aimed to investigate the role of different anthropometric indicators in identifying the risk of PLC by accounting for potential non-linear associations.

METHODS

Systematic searches were conducted in the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Sinomed, Web of Science, and CNKI databases. Hazard ratios (HRs) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to assess the pooled risk. The dose-response relationship was assessed using a restricted cubic spline model.

RESULTS

Sixty-nine studies involving more than 30 million participants were included in the final analysis. Regardless of the indicator used, adiposity was strongly associated with an increased risk of PLC. When comparing the HRs per 1-standard deviation increment across indicators of adiposity, the association was strongest for waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) (HR = 1.39), followed by waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) (HR = 1.22), BMI (HR = 1.13), waist circumference (WC) (HR = 1.12), and hip circumference (HC) (HR = 1.12). A strong non-linear association was observed between each anthropometric parameter and the risk of PLC, regardless of whether the original or decentralised value was used. The positive association between WC and PLC risk remained substantial after adjusting for BMI. The incidence of PLC was higher with central adiposity (52.89 per 100,000 person-years, 95% CI = 50.33-55.44) than general adiposity (39.01 per 100,000 person-years, 95% CI = 37.26-40.75).

CONCLUSION

Central adiposity seems to contribute more to the development of PLC than general adiposity. A larger WC, independent of BMI, was strongly associated with the risk of PLC and might be a more promising predictive indicator than BMI.

Risk prediction of hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancers in elderly Chinese: The Dongfeng-Tongji cohort

AIM

Hepatobiliary and pancreatic (HBP) cancers are among the deadliest malignancies. The objective of the study is to build cost-effective models to identify high-risk individuals for early diagnosis and substantially to reduce the burden of HBP cancers.

METHODS

Based on the prospective Dongfeng-Tongji cohort with ∼6 years follow-up, we identified 162 incident cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), 53 of biliary tract cancer (BTC), and 58 of pancreatic cancer (PC). We matched three controls to each case by age, sex, and hospital. We applied conditional logistic regression to identify predictive clinical variables, from which we constructed clinical risk scores (CRSs). We evaluated the utility of CRSs in stratifying high-risk individuals by 10-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

Among 50 variables we screened, 6 were independent predictors of HCC, with the top ones being hepatitis (OR = 8.51, 95% CI (3.83, 18.9)), plateletcrit (OR = 0.57, 95% CI (0.42, 0.78)), and alanine aminotransferase (OR = 2.06, 95% CI (1.39, 3.06)). Gallstone (OR = 2.70, 95% CI (1.17, 6.24)) and direct bilirubin (OR = 1.58, 95% CI (1.08, 2.31)) were predictive of BTC, while hyperlipidemia (OR = 2.56, 95% CI (1.12, 5.82)) and fasting blood glucose (OR = 2.00, 95% CI (1.26, 3.15)) were predictive of PC. The CRSs achieved AUCs of 0.784 for HCC, 0.648 for BTC, and 0.666 for PC, respectively. When applying to the full cohort with age and sex included as predictors, the AUCs were increased to 0.818, 0.704, and 0.699, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Disease history and routine clinical variables are predictive of incident HBP cancers in elderly Chinese.

NAFLD-related hepatocellular carcinoma: The growing challenge

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common cause of cancer-related mortality and morbidity worldwide. With the obesity pandemic, NAFLD-related HCC is contributing to the burden of disease exponentially. Genetic predisposition and clinical risk factors for NAFLD-related HCC have been identified. Cirrhosis is a well-known and major risk factor for NAFLD-related HCC. However, the occurrence of NAFLD-related HCC in patients without cirrhosis is increasingly recognized and poses a significant challenge regarding cancer surveillance. It is of paramount importance to develop optimal risk stratification scores and models to identify subsets of the population at high risk so they can be enrolled in surveillance programs. In this review, we will discuss the risks and prediction models for NAFLD-related HCC.

Alcohol consumption and metabolic syndrome: Clinical and epidemiological impact on liver disease

Alcohol use and metabolic syndrome are highly prevalent in the population and frequently co-exist. Both are implicated in a large range of health problems, including chronic liver disease, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver-related outcomes (i.e. decompensation or liver transplantation). Studies have yielded mixed results regarding the effects of mild-moderate alcohol consumption on the risk of metabolic syndrome and fatty liver disease, possibly due to methodological differences. The few available prospective studies have indicated that mild-moderate alcohol use is associated with an increase in liver-related outcomes. This conclusion was substantiated by systems biology analyses suggesting that alcohol and metabolic syndrome may play a similar role in fatty liver disease, potentiating an already existing dysregulation of common vital homeostatic pathways. Alcohol and metabolic factors are independently and jointly associated with liver-related outcomes. Indeed, metabolic syndrome increases the risk of liver-related outcomes, regardless of alcohol intake. Moreover, the components of metabolic syndrome appear to have additive effects when it comes to the risk of liver-related outcomes. A number of population studies have implied that measures of central/abdominal obesity, such as the waist-to-hip ratio, can predict liver-related outcomes more accurately than BMI, including in individuals who consume harmful quantities of alcohol. Many studies even point to synergistic interactions between harmful alcohol use and many metabolic components. This accumulating evidence showing independent, combined, and modifying effects of alcohol and metabolic factors on the onset and progression of chronic liver disease highlights the multifactorial background of liver disease in the population. The available evidence suggests that more holistic approaches could be useful for risk prediction, diagnostics and treatment planning.

Impact of diabetes, obesity, and dyslipidemia on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic liver diseases

Despite the increasing prevalence of metabolic disorders, the potential effects of metabolic factors on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in individuals with chronic liver diseases (CLDs) are not well understood. For a metabolic factor to be identified as a risk factor for HCC in patients with CLDs, such as hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, there should be a strong synergistic interaction between the carcinogenic mechanisms of the metabolic factor and the CLD itself. This review aims to comprehensively summarize the published data on the relationship between metabolic factors such as diabetes mellitus (DM), obesity, and blood lipids and the risk of HCC in patients with CLDs. DM consistently increases the risk of HCC in patients with CLD. When associated with DM, the risk of HCC seems to be highest in HCV and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), followed by alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and HBV. Obesity may increase the risk of HCC. Among CLDs, the evidence is relatively consistent and clear for ALD, while clear evidence is limited in other CLDs including HBV, HCV, and NAFLD. Total cholesterol, potentially low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglyceride, seems to have strong inverse associations with HCC in individuals with CLDs. Despite evidence from observational studies, statins had no effect in preventing HCC in randomized controlled trials. Whether statins have a preventive effect against HCC is unclear. A better understanding and management of metabolic factors may be beneficial to reduce the risk of HCC in patients with CLDs.

Distinctive Metabolism-Associated Gene Clusters That Are Also Prognostic in Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma and Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective

To offer new prognostic evaluations by exploring potentially distinctive genetic features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).

Methods

There were 12 samples for gene expression profiling processes in this study. These included three HCC lesion samples and their matched adjacent nontumor liver tissues obtained from patients with HCC, as well as three ICC samples and their controls collected similarly. In addition to the expression matrix generated on our own, profiles of other cohorts from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) program and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) were also employed in later bioinformatical analyses. Differential analyses, functional analyses, protein interaction network analyses, and gene set variation analyses were used to identify key genes. To establish the prognostic models, univariate/multivariate Cox analyses and subsequent stepwise regression were applied, with the Akaike information criterion evaluating the goodness of fitness.

Results

The top three pathways enriched in HCC were all metabolism-related; they were fatty acid degradation, retinol metabolism, and arachidonic acid metabolism. In ICC, on the other hand, additional pathways related to fat digestion and absorption and cholesterol metabolism were identified. Consistent characteristics of such a metabolic landscape were observed across different cohorts. A prognostic risk score model for calculating HCC risk was constructed, consisting of ADH4, ADH6, CYP2C9, CYP4F2, and RDH16. This signature predicts the 3-year survival with an AUC area of 0.708 (95%CI = 0.644 to 0.772). For calculating the risk of ICC, a prognostic risk score model was built upon the expression levels of CYP26A1, NAT2, and UGT2B10. This signature predicts the 3-year survival with an AUC area of 0.806 (95% CI = 0.664 to 0.947).

Conclusion

HCC and ICC share commonly abrupted pathways associated with the metabolism of fatty acids, retinol, arachidonic acids, and drugs, indicating similarities in their pathogenesis as primary liver cancers. On the flip side, these two types of cancer possess distinctive promising biomarkers for predicting overall survival or potential targeted therapies.

Association between arterial hypertension and liver outcomes using polygenic risk scores: a population-based study

Arterial hypertension (HTA) is associated with liver disease, but causality remains unclear. We investigated whether genetic predisposition to HTA is associated with liver disease in the population, and if antihypertensive medication modifies this association. Participants of the Finnish health-examination surveys, FINRISK 1992–2012 and Health 2000 (n = 33,770), were linked with national electronic healthcare registers for liver-related outcomes (K70-K77, C22.0) and with the drug reimbursement registry for new initiation of antihypertensive medication during follow-up. Genetic predisposition to HTA was defined by polygenic risk scores (PRSs). During a median 12.9-year follow-up (409,268.9 person-years), 441 liver-related outcomes occurred. In the fully-adjusted Cox-regression models, both measured systolic blood pressure and clinically defined HTA were associated with liver-related outcomes. PRSs for systolic and diastolic blood pressure were significantly associated with liver-related outcomes (HR/SD 1.19, 95% CI 1.01–1.24, and 1.12, 95% CI 1.01–1.25, respectively). In the highest quintile of the systolic blood pressure PRS, new initiation of antihypertensive medication was associated with reduced rates of liver-related outcomes (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.31–0.97). HTA and a genetic predisposition for HTA are associated with liver-related outcomes in the population. New initiation of antihypertensive medication attenuates this association in persons with high genetic risk for HTA.

Blood glucose levels and the risk of HPV multiple infections in high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions: A retrospective cross-sectional study of Chinese patients

Besides the controversy of the association of high glycemic index and glycemic load with precancerous cervical lesions, only a few studies have examined the impact of fasting blood glucose levels on human papillomavirus (HPV) multiple infections. In the present study, we appraised the relationship between blood glucose levels and multiple HPV infections in a population of HPV-positive women with cervical high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL). The present study was designed as a cross-sectional correlative analysis. A total of 560 participants with a pathologically confirmed HSIL with HPV infection were included from a hospital in China during January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019. The target variables and the outcome variables were the glucose levels at the baseline and HPV multiplicity, respectively. The odds ratio and 95% confidence intervals were calculated to estimate the risk of multiple infections via logistic regression analysis. The average age of the 560 participants was 44.63 ± 10.61 years; the nonlinear relationship was detected between the glucose levels and multiplicity of HPV, with an inflection point at 5.4. After adjusting for the full range of variables, the effect sizes and confidence intervals for the left and right sides of the inflection points were found to be 0.379 (0.196-0.732) and 5.083 (1.592-16.229), respectively. In this cross-sectional study, both high and low blood glucose levels increased the risk of multiple HPV infections, demonstrating a U-shaped relationship between the blood glucose levels and multiple HPV infections.

Association between metabolic syndrome, C-reactive protein, and the risk of primary liver cancer: a large prospective study

Background and aims

High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels and metabolic syndrome (MetS) are known to be associated with an increased incidence of different cancers. We aimed to evaluate the effect of MetS combined with high hs-CRP levels on the risk of primary liver cancer (PLC).

Methods

Participants were recruited from the Kailuan cohort study and were classified into four groups according to the presence or absence of MetS and inflammation (hs-CRP ≥ 3 or < 3 mg/L). The associations of MetS and inflammation with the risk of PLC were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

This study included 92,770 participants. The mean age was 51.4 years old. Over a median follow-up of 13.02 years, 395 participants were diagnosed as PLC. Compared to the control participants without inflammation (hs-CRP < 3 mg/L) and MetS (n = 69,413), participants with high hs-CRP levels combined with MetS (n = 2,269) had a higher risk of PLC [hazard ratios (HR) 2.91; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.77–4.81], and participants with high hs-CRP levels and without MetS (n = 14,576) had the same trend (HR, 1.36; 95%CI, 1.05–1.75). However, participants with low hs-CRP levels and MetS (n = 6,512) had no significant association with an elevated risk of PLC (HR, 1.18; 95%CI, 0.76–1.82). After excluding participants who had cancer during the first year of follow-up, sensitivity analysis showed the same trend. In addition, co-occurrence of MetS and high hs-CRP levels had significant interactive effects on the risk of PLC between the sexes (P < 0.001) and the patients with HBV infection (P = 0.012).

Conclusions

Participants with co-occurrence of MetS and high hs-CRP levels have an elevated risk of PLC.

Trial registration

Kailuan study, ChiCTR–TNRC–11001489. Registered 24 August, 2011-Retrospectively registered, http://www.chictr.org.cn/showprojen.aspx?proj=8050

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-09939-w.

Statin Use Reduces the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Updated Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary tumor of the liver resulting in approximately 800,000 deaths annually. A growing body of research investigating statin use and HCC risk has shown conflicting results. We aim to evaluate the current evidence of statin impact on HCC risk.

We performed a comprehensive literature search in PubMed, PubMed Central, Embase, and ScienceDirect databases from inception through May 2019 to identify all studies that evaluated the association between statin use and HCC. We included studies that presented an odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) or presented data sufficient to calculate the OR with a 95% CI. Statistical analysis was performed using the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis (CMA), Version 3 software, and a Forrest plot was generated. We assessed for publication bias using conventional techniques.

Twenty studies (three randomized controlled trials, six cohorts, and 11 case-controls) with 2,668,497 patients including 24,341 cases of HCC were included in the meta-analysis. Our findings indicate a significant risk reduction of HCC among all statin users with a pooled odds ratio of 0.573 (95% CI: 0.491-0.668, I2= 86.57%) compared to non-users. No publication bias was found using Egger’s regression test or on visual inspection of the generated Funnel plot.

The results indicate that statin use was associated with a 43% lower risk of HCC compared to statin non-users. Further prospective randomized research is needed to confirm the association.

Association of metabolic health phenotypes, obesity, and hepatocellular carcinoma risk

BACKGROUND

The obesity and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk association may differ by individuals' metabolic health status.

AIM

To investigate the association between obesity categories and HCC risk among individuals with different metabolic health phenotypes.

METHODS

A case-control study among 518 HCC cases and 1,036 frequency-matched controls was conducted. Body mass index (BMI) was assessed before diagnosis. Pre-diagnosis data on dyslipidemia, hypertension, and diabetes were used to categorize participants as metabolically healthy or metabolically unhealthy. Participants were further categorized into metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), metabolically healthy overweight (MHOW), metabolically healthy obese (MHO), metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW), metabolically unhealthy overweight (MUOW), and metabolically unhealthy obese (MHO). We used logistic regression to calculate multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Being overweight (OR=1.68, 95%CI=1.21-2.34) or obese (OR=1.49, 95%CI=1.11-1.89) was associated with higher HCC risk. Among metabolically healthy participants, no association was found between being overweight or obese and HCC risk. However, among the metabolically unhealthy participants, being overweight (OR=1.89, 95%CI=1.31-2.72) or obese (OR=1.50, 95%CI=1.07-2.09) was associated with higher HCC risk. Compared to the MHNW phenotype, no association was found between the MHOW and MHO phenotypes and HCC risk, but the MUNW (OR=1.94, 95%CI=1.09-3.43), MUOW (OR=3.78, 95%CI=2.15-6.65), and MUO (OR=2.93, 95%CI=1.70-5.05) phenotypes were associated with higher HCC risk.

CONCLUSION

The association between BMI and HCC appears to be restricted to individuals with underlying metabolic abnormalities.

Impact of overweight and obesity on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective cohort study in 14.3 million Koreans

BACKGROUND

Whether obesity and being overweight, defined by body mass index (BMI), increase hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been less apparent in Asian populations.

METHODS

Overall, 14,265,822 Korean adults who underwent routine health examinations during 2003-2006 were followed up for HCC. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) associated with BMI were calculated.

RESULTS

During 13.7 years (mean) of follow-up, 47,308 individuals developed HCC. HRs of HCC associated with BMIs of 25.0-26.4, 26.5-27.9, 28.0-29.4, 29.5-30.9 and ≥31 kg/m² compared to those for 23.5-24.9 kg/m² were 1.05, 1.20, 1.39, 1.59 and 2.13, respectively. For BMI < 25 kg/m², linear associations were not apparent. For BMI ≥ 25 kg/m², the HR per 5 kg/m² increase in BMI was 1.60 (total), 1.60 (men), and 1.59 (women). The corresponding HRs were 1.56, 1.61 and 1.60 for individuals aged <45, 45-64 and ≥65 years, respectively. Further adjustment for alanine transaminase (ALT) levels substantially reduced the HRs for high BMI, especially in men and younger adults.

CONCLUSIONS

Overweight and obesity clearly increase HCC risk in Koreans. ALT levels are a mediator of the impact of obesity, but it may not accurately predict high BMI-induced liver damage that can potentially progress to HCC, especially in women and older adults.

Understanding the Role of Metabolic Syndrome as a Risk Factor for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) have a rising prevalence worldwide. The relationship between these two entities has long been studied and understanding it has become a public health and clinical priority. This association follows, in most patients, the path through non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), cirrhosis and finally HCC. Nonetheless, increasing evidence has been found, that shows MetS as an independent risk factor for the development of HCC. This review brings together the clinical evidence of the relationship between these highly prevalent diseases, with a particular interest in the impact of each component of MetS on HCC; It aims to summarize the complex physiopathological pathways that explain this relationship, and to shed light on the different clinical scenarios of this association, the impact of treating the different components of MetS on the risk of HCC and what is known about screening for HCC in patients with MetS. By doing so, it hopes to improve awareness on this topic.

Metabolic Syndrome and Risk of Gastrointestinal Cancers: An Investigation Using Large-scale Molecular Data

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Gastrointestinal cancer risk is influenced by the presence of metabolic syndrome (MetS). However, previous epidemiologic studies lacked full serological biomarker data for the classification of MetS, and the interaction of MetS with germline cancer risk variants is unknown.

METHODS

We investigated the associations between MetS and gastrointestinal cancer risk (overall, colorectal, pancreatic, esophageal adenocarcinoma, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, stomach cardia, stomach non-cardia, hepatocellular carcinoma, and intrahepatic bile duct cancer) in 366,016 United Kingdom Biobank participants with comprehensive serum biomarker and genotype data. MetS status was determined by 3 different definitions at baseline, and, in 15,152 participants, at a repeat assessment after a median of 4.3 years of follow-up. Multivariable hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for cancer outcomes were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Analyses stratified by polygenic risk score were conducted for colorectal and pancreatic cancers.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 7.1 years, 4238 incident cases of a gastrointestinal cancer occurred. MetS at baseline was associated with higher risk of overall gastrointestinal cancer by any definition (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.29, harmonized definition). MetS was associated with increased risks of colorectal cancer, colon cancer, rectal cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, pancreatic cancer in women, and esophageal adenocarcinoma in men. Associations for colorectal cancer and pancreatic cancer did not differ by polygenic risk score strata (P-heterogeneity 0.70 and 0.69, respectively), and 80% of participants with MetS at baseline retained this status at the repeat assessment.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings underscore the importance of maintaining good metabolic health in reducing the burden of gastrointestinal cancers, irrespective of genetic predisposition.

The Importance of Metabolic Syndrome Status for the Risk of Non-Viral Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Nationwide Population-Based Study

The positive association between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been suggested. However, no studies have yet looked at how the risk of developing HCC varies with changes in MetS status. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association between changes in MetS and subsequent HCC development. Data were obtained from the Korean National Health Insurance Service. In this study, 5,975,308 individuals who participated in health screenings both in 2009-2010 and 2011-2012 were included. Individuals with preexisting viral hepatitis, liver cirrhosis, or cancer diagnoses were excluded. Subjects were divided into four groups according to change in MetS status during the 2-year interval screening (from 2009 to 2011): sustained non-MetS, transition to MetS, transition to non-MetS, and sustained MetS. Cox regression analysis was used to examine the hazard ratios of HCC. The subjects were followed through December 31, 2018. During a median of 7.3 years of follow-up, 25,880 incident HCCs were identified. Compared to the sustained non-MetS group, age, sex, smoking, alcohol, regular exercise, and body mass index-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for HCC development were 1.01 (0.97-1.05) for the transition to MetS group, 1.05 (1.003-1.09) for the transition to non-MetS group, and 1.07 (1.03-1.10) for the sustained MetS group. Stratified analyses according to age, sex, smoking, alcohol intake, exercise, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease showed similar results. A significantly increased HCC risk was observed in the sustained MetS and transition to non-MetS groups. The baseline status of MetS was associated with the risk of HCC development. Strategies to improve MetS, especially targeting insulin resistance, might prevent HCC development.

Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review, Meta-analysis, and Meta-regression

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) may be a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the extent of this association still needs to be addressed. Pooled incidence rates of HCC across the disease spectrum of NAFLD have never been estimated by meta-analysis.

METHODS

In this systematic review, we searched Web of Science, Embase, PubMed, and the Cochrane Library from January 1, 1950 through July 30, 2020. We included studies reporting on HCC incidence in patients with NAFLD. The main outcomes were pooled HCC incidences in patients with NAFLD at distinct severity stages. Summary estimates were calculated with random-effects models. Sensitivity analyses and meta-regression analyses were carried out to address heterogeneity.

RESULTS

We included 18 studies involving 470,404 patients. In patients with NAFLD at a stage earlier than cirrhosis, the incidence rate of HCC was 0.03 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.01-0.07; I² = 98%). In patients with cirrhosis, the incidence rate was 3.78 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 2.47-5.78; I² = 93%). Patients with cirrhosis undergoing regular screening for HCC had an incidence rate of 4.62 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 2.77-7.72; I² = 77%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis have a risk of developing HCC similar to that reported for patients with cirrhosis from other etiologies. Evidence documenting the risk in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis or simple steatosis is limited, but the incidence of HCC in these populations may lie below thresholds used to recommend a screening. Well-designed prospective studies in these subpopulations are needed. The protocol for this systematic review is registered in the Prospero database (registration number CRD42018092861).

Relationship between self-reported sleep duration during week-/work-days and metabolic syndrome from NHANES 2013 to 2016

PURPOSE

This research aimed at determining the relationship between self-reported sleep duration during week-/work-days and metabolic syndrome (MetS) from NHANES 2013 to 2016.

METHODS

This study analyzed data from 11,181 people aged 16 or older who took part in the NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys) from 2013 to 2016. A standard questionnaire was used to define self-reported sleep duration, and MetS was defined on the basis of the NCEP (National Cholesterol Education Program)/ATP III revised diagnostic criteria. Logistic regression and restricted cubic splines (RCS) models were used to assess the relationship between self-reported sleep duration and MetS.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of MetS in the study cohort was 26.1%, with 24.8% for males and 27.3% for females. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, MetS was significantly associated with self-reported short sleep duration (odds ratio = 1.16, 95% confidence interval = 1.03-1.31, P = 0.013) but not with long sleep duration (P = 0.117). RCS regression revealed that self-reported sleep duration was nonlinearly related to MetS (P for nonlinearity = 0.0026). The risk of MetS decreased with increased sleep duration for durations of less than 7 h/day, while there was no association for longer sleep durations.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that self-reported short sleep duration is a risk factor for MetS, while long sleep duration is not.

Metabolic syndrome and its component traits present gender-specific association with liver cancer risk: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Little is known on the gender-specific effect and potential role of non-linear associations between metabolic syndrome (MetS) components and liver cancer risk. We evaluated these associations based on the UK Biobank cohort.

METHODS

We included 474,929 individuals without previous cancer based on the UK Biobank cohort. Gender-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CIs) were calculated by Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusting for potential confounders. Non-linear associations for individual MetS components were assessed by the restricted cubic spline method.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 6.6 years, we observed 276 cases of liver cancer (175 men, 101 women). MetS [HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.27-1.72] and central obesity [HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.18-2.31] were associated with higher risk of liver cancer in men but not in women. Participants with hyperglycaemia has higher risk of liver cancer. High waist circumference and blood glucose were dose-dependently associated with increased liver cancer risk in both genders. For high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (both genders) and blood pressure (women), U-shaped associations were observed. Low HDL cholesterol (< 1.35 mmol/L) in men and high HDL cholesterol in women (> 1.52 mmol/L) were associated with increased liver cancer risk.

CONCLUSIONS

MetS components showed gender-specific linear or U- shaped associations with the risk of liver cancer. Our study might provide evidence for individualized management of MetS for preventing liver cancer.

Impact of Obesity and Heavy Alcohol Consumption on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development after HCV Eradication with Antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It remains unclear whether obesity increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) with antiviral therapy.

METHODS

In this multicenter cohort study, we enrolled patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved SVR with interferon (IFN)-based therapy (IFN group) or direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy (DAA group) between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2018. The patients underwent regular surveillance for HCC. Cumulative incidence of and the risk factors for HCC development after SVR were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, respectively.

RESULTS

Among 2,055 patients (840 in the IFN group and 1,215 in the DAA group), 75 developed HCC (41 in the IFN group and 34 in the DAA group) during the mean observation period of 4.1 years. The incidence rates of HCC at 1, 2, and 3 years were 1.2, 1.9, and 3.0%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that in addition to older age, lower albumin level, lower platelet count, higher alpha-fetoprotein level, and absence of dyslipidemia, obesity (body mass index ≥25 kg/m²) and heavy alcohol consumption (≥60 g/day) were independent risk factors for HCC development, with adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.53 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.51-4.25) and 2.56 (95% CI: 1.14-5.75), respectively. The adjusted HR was not significant between the 2 groups (DAA vs. IFN; HR 1.19, 95% CI: 0.61-2.33).

CONCLUSIONS

Obesity and heavy alcohol consumption increased the risk of HCC development after SVR.

Dietary Fats, Serum Cholesterol and Liver Cancer Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies

Simple Summary

Due to the rapid increase of primary liver cancer incidence and the poor prognosis, it is imperative to identify new modifiable factors such as diet and nutrition for the prevention of liver cancer. Diet high in saturated fatty acids (SFA) has been hypothesized to be associated with increased risk of cancers. However, the associations between dietary fatty acids and liver cancer are not consistent. We aimed to examine the association between dietary total fat, its major components, serum cholesterol, and risk of liver cancer combining current evidence from prospective studies. Our meta-analyses provided new evidence on associations between dietary fats, serum cholesterol, and liver cancer risk. Higher intake of dietary SFA was associated with higher risk of liver cancer while higher serum levels of cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) were associated with a lower risk of liver cancer with high between-studies variability. Based on our findings, reducing dietary SFA may help to prevent the development of liver cancer.

Abstract

To quantify the associations between dietary fats and their major components, as well as serum levels of cholesterol, and liver cancer risk, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies. We searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science up to October 2020 for prospective studies that reported the risk estimates of dietary fats and serum cholesterol for liver cancer risk. We carried out highest versus lowest intake or level and dose-response analyses. Higher intake of dietary saturated fatty acids (SFA) was associated with a higher liver cancer risk in both category analysis (relative risk [RR]_{highest vs. lowest intake} = 1.34, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06, 1.69) and dose-response analysis (RR_{1% energy} = 1.04, 95%CI: 1.01, 1.07). Higher serum total cholesterol was inversely associated with liver cancer but with large between-studies variability (RR_{1 mmol/L} = 0.72, 95%CI: 0.69, 0.75, I² = 75.3%). The inverse association was more pronounced for serum high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (RR_{1 mmol/L} = 0.42, 95%CI: 0.27, 0.64). Higher intake of dietary SFA was associated with higher risk of liver cancer while higher serum levels of cholesterol and HDL were associated with a lower risk of liver cancer with high between-studies variability.

Metabolic syndrome and persistent cervical human papillomavirus infection

OBJECTIVE

Few studies have been conducted on the relationship between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and persistent human papillomavirus (HPV) infection. We investigated whether MetS and associated factors can predict the persistence of HPV infection.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of 80,993 female cases undergoing general medical screenings at Samsung Medical Center and 51,140 cases were included in final analysis. MetS and associated factors were used to develop a model predicting the persistence of HPV infection which was defined as HPV positivity for at least one year. The performance of the model was internally validated using bootstrapping and externally validated by testing the risk score against the test set.

RESULTS

Of the 51,140 cases, there were 5833 (11.4%) cases diagnosed with MetS and 7682 (15.0%) cases diagnosed with HPV infection at baseline. The 12- to 24-month persistence rates of HPV were 50.0% (2846/5691). MetS (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.04-1.71), globulin (by quintile; OR 1.70, 95% CI 1.25-2.30), fibrinogen (x100 value by quintile; OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.14), total protein (by quintile; OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.99) and prothrombin time (by quintile; OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.89-0.99) were significantly associated with the persistence of HPV in multivariate analysis. For validation, a prediction model showed good performance for a range of risk scores and categorized cases into low-, intermediate- and high-risk, which were also correlated with HPV persistence (45.8%, 51.9%, and 60.2% respectively, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

MetS and associated factors were associated with an increased risk of persistent HPV infection.

Diabetes and liver cancer risk: A stronger effect in Whites than Blacks?

BACKGROUND

Both diabetes and liver cancer are overrepresented among African Americans, but limited information is available on the interrelationship of these two diseases among African Americans. We examined the association of diabetes with the incidence of liver cancer and whether this varied by participant self-reported race/ethnicity.

METHODS

Using the Southern Community Cohort Study, we conducted a cancer follow up (2002-2016) of a cohort of mostly low-income participants aged 40-79 with diabetes (n = 15,879) and without diabetes (n = 59,077) at study baseline. Cox regression was used to compute Hazard Ratios (HR) and 95% CIs for the risk of incident liver cancer.

RESULTS

With 790,132 person years of follow up, 320 incident cases of liver cancer were identified. In analyses controlling for age, sex, race, BMI, current and former smoking, total alcohol consumption, family history of liver cancer, any hepatitis infection, hyperlipidemia and socioeconomic factors, the association between diabetes and risk of liver cancer differed significantly (p_interaction = 0.0001) between participants identifying as Black/African American (AA) or White/European American (EA). Diabetes was associated with 5.3-fold increased cancer risk among EAs (HR 5.4, 95% CI 3.2-9.3) vs an 80% increase (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.3-2.5) among AAs. Furthermore, controlling for diabetes greatly attenuated the higher risk of liver cancer among AAs; indeed, while the cancer risk among those without diabetes was twice as high among AAs than EAs (HR = 2.0, 95% CI = 1.4-2.9), no excess in AAs was observed among those with diabetes (HR = 0.7, 95% CI = 0.4-1.1).

CONCLUSION

While liver cancer risk in general is greater in AAs than EAs and diabetes increases this risk in both racial/ethnic groups, diabetes appears to impact liver cancer to a much greater extent among EAs. The findings raise the possibility of racially different mechanisms and impacts of diabetes on this often fatal cancer among AAs and EAs.

Risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading contributors to cancer mortality worldwide and is a leading cause of death in individuals with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. It is uncertain how the presence of other metabolic factors and comorbidities influences HCC risk in HBV. Therefore, we performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to seek evidence for significant associations. MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web of Science databases were searched from 1 January 2000 to 24 June 2020 for studies investigating associations of metabolic factors and comorbidities with HCC risk in individuals with chronic HBV infection, written in English. We extracted data for meta-analysis and generated pooled effect estimates from a fixed-effects model. Pooled estimates from a random-effects model were also generated if significant heterogeneity was present. We identified 40 observational studies reporting on associations of diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension, dyslipidaemia and obesity with HCC risk. Only DM had a sufficient number of studies for meta-analysis. DM was associated with >25% increase in hazards of HCC (fixed-effects hazards ratio [HR] 1.26, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-1.32, random-effects HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.23-1.49). This association was attenuated towards the null in a sensitivity analysis restricted to studies adjusted for metformin use. In conclusion, in adults with chronic HBV infection, DM is a significant risk factor for HCC, but further investigation of the influence of antidiabetic drug use and glycaemic control on this association is needed. Enhanced screening of individuals with HBV and diabetes may be warranted.

NAFLD and MAFLD as emerging causes of HCC: A populational study

Background & Aims

There are conflicting data regarding the epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) arising in the context of non-alcoholic and metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (NAFLD and MAFLD). We aimed to examine the changing contribution of NAFLD and MAFLD, stratified by sex, in a well-defined geographical area and highly characterised HCC population between 1990 and 2014.

Methods

We identified all patients with HCC resident in the canton of Geneva, Switzerland, diagnosed between 1990 and 2014 from the prospective Geneva Cancer Registry and assessed aetiology-specific age-standardised incidence. NAFLD-HCC was diagnosed when other causes of liver disease were excluded in cases with type 2 diabetes, metabolic syndrome, or obesity. Criteria for MAFLD included one or more of the following criteria: overweight/obesity, presence of type 2 diabetes mellitus, or evidence of metabolic dysregulation.

Results

A total of 76/920 (8.3%) of patients were diagnosed with NAFLD-HCC in the canton of Geneva between 1990 and 2014. Between the time periods 1990–1994 and 2010–2014, there was a significant increase in HCC incidence in women (standardised incidence ratio [SIR] 1.83, 95% CI 1.08–3.13, p = 0.026) but not in men (SIR 1.10, 95% CI 0.85–1.43, p = 0.468). In the same timeframe, the proportion of NAFLD-HCC increased more in women (0–29%, p = 0.037) than in men (2–12%, p = 0.010) while the proportion of MAFLD increased from 21% to 68% in both sexes and from 7% to 67% in women (p <0.001). From 2000–2004 to 2010–2014, the SIR of NAFLD-HCC increased to 1.92 (95% CI 0.77–5.08) for men and 12.7 (95% CI 1.63–545) in women, whereas it decreased or remained stable for other major aetiologies of HCC.

Conclusions

In a populational cohort spanning 25 years, the burden of NAFLD and MAFLD associated HCCs increased significantly, driving an increase in HCC incidence, particularly in women.

Lay summary

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of liver cancer, increasingly arising in patients with liver disease caused by metabolic syndrome, termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). We assessed all patients with HCC between 1990 and 2014 in the canton of Geneva (western Switzerland) and found an increase in all HCC cases in this timeframe, particularly in women. In addition, we found that HCC caused by NAFLD or MAFLD significantly increased over the years, particularly in women, possibly driving the increase in overall HCC cases.

•

The burden of HCC arising in the context of non-alcoholic and metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (NAFLD and MAFLD) remains unclear.

•

We assessed all HCC cases between 1990 and 2014 in an area of western Switzerland.

•

We found a significant increase in overall HCC incidence in women but not in men.

•

The proportion of NAFLD- and MAFLD-HCC increased in both sexes, particularly in women.

•

Liver function of MAFLD patients was intermediate between ‘pure’ NAFLD and non-MAFLD individuals.

Metabolic Profiling Identified a Novel Biomarker Panel for Metabolic Syndrome-Positive Hepatocellular Cancer

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is an independent risk factor for hepatocellular cancer (HCC). Currently, there is no highly sensitive and specific biomarkers for HCC surveillance in MetS population. Metabolomics has been reported as a powerful technology for biomarker discovery. In the present study, we aimed to explore novel biomarkers with high sensitivity and specificity for MetS-positive [MetS(+)] HCC by metabolomic analysis. At first, many serum metabolites were found dysregulated in MetS(+) HCC individuals. Validation of the dysregulated metabolites by targeted metabolite analyses revealed that serum L-glutamic acid (L-glu), pipecolic acid (PA) and 7-methylguanine (7-mG) were increased in MetS(+) HCC compared to MetS group. Then a biomarker panel including L-glu, PA and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was identified as a novel biomarker for the diagnosis of MetS(+) HCC. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.87 for discriminating MetS(+) HCC from MetS group. The biomarker panel was capable of detecting small (AUC = 0.82) and early-stage (AUC = 0.78) tumors as well. Moreover, it exhibited great diagnostic performance (AUC = 0.93) for discriminating MetS(+) HCC from other MetS-associated cancers, including colorectal cancer and gastric cancer. Collectively, our study establishes a novel diagnostic tool for MetS(+) HCC.

Obesity and the risk of primary liver cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background/Aims

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to clarify the effect of obesity on the occurrence of and mortality from primary liver cancer.

Methods

This study was conducted using a systematic literature search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library until November 2018 using the primary keywords “obesity,” “overweight,” “body mass index (BMI),” “body weight,” “liver,” “cancer,” “hepatocellular carcinoma,” “liver cancer,” “risk,” and “mortality.” Studies assessing the relationship between BMI and occurrence of or mortality from primary liver cancer in prospective cohorts and those reporting hazard ratios (HRs) or data that allow HR estimation were included.

Results

A total of 28 prospective cohort studies with 8,135,906 subjects were included in the final analysis. These included 22 studies with 6,059,561 subjects for cancer occurrence and seven studies with 2,077,425 subjects for cancer-related mortality. In the meta-analysis, an increase in BMI was associated with the occurrence of primary liver cancer (HR, 1.69; 95% confidence interval, 1.50–1.90, I²=56%). A BMI-dependent increase in the risk of occurrence of primary liver cancer was reported. HRs were 1.36 (95% CI, 1.02–1.81), 1.77 (95% CI, 1.56–2.01), and 3.08 (95% CI, 1.21–7.86) for BMI >25 kg/m², >30 kg/m², and >35 kg/m², respectively. Furthermore, increased BMI resulted in enhanced liver cancer-related mortality (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.14–2.27, I²=80%).

Conclusions

High BMI increases liver cancer mortality and occurrence of primary liver cancer. Obesity is an independent risk factor for the occurrence of and mortality from primary liver cancer.

Serum concentrations of selected adipokines in virus-related liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma

Aim of the study

Hepatotropic viruses cause metabolic disturbances such as insulin resistance and hepatosteatosis. Moreover, metabolic factors, such as insulin resistance, obesity, and type 2 diabetes mellitus, increase the risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with virus-related liver cirrhosis. Cytokines secreted by the adipose tissue (adipokines) may be implicated in these metabolic disturbances, but there is little evidence regarding the role of adipokines in virus-related cirrhosis and HCC. Thus, we studied whether serum concentrations of selected adipokines were altered in patients with virus-related liver cirrhosis, including patients with HCC.

Material and methods

We included 43 patients with liver cirrhosis due to chronic hepatitis B or chronic hepatitis C. Of these patients, 36 had HCC and 7 did not have any malignant lesions. In addition to routine clinical and laboratory variables, we analyzed serum concentrations of betatrophin, insulin, vaspin, visfatin, and irisin.

Results

Compared with healthy controls, patients with HCC had significantly increased vaspin concentrations and significantly reduced irisin concentrations. Compared with controls, patients with virus-related cirrhosis, with or without HCC, had significantly increased concentrations of insulin and betatrophin. The serum visfatin concentration was non-significantly higher in patients with virus-related cirrhosis than in controls. None of the studied adipokines was a significant predictor of HCC. Serum concentrations of the studied adipokines were not related to cirrhosis severity or HCC stage.

Conclusions

Metabolic parameters, including serum adipokine concentrations, are altered in patients with virus-related liver cirrhosis. Adipokines might be related to the HCC risk in these patients.

A Call to Action: Now Is the Time to Screen Elderly and Treat Osteosarcopenia, a Position Paper of the Italian College of Academic Nutritionists MED/49 (ICAN-49)

Aging is a risk factor for the development of multiple chronic diseases, including cardiovascular disease, cancer and dementia. Life expectancy has increased in certain countries but this phenomenon is associated with a reduction of years of healthy life. Aging is associated with a number of physical and functional changes, especially sarcopenia. Sarcopenia is a clinical condition associated with a decrease in skeletal muscle and muscle strength, however, sarcopenia is a reversible condition. On the basis of the current scientific literature, sarcopenia could more appropriately capture an individual's vulnerability to negative health-related outcomes since it represents an early form of the chronic diseases. Recognition of this clinical condition can improve the management of older individuals in many different clinical settings. Despite the limitations of the indirect methods used to study body composition, the Italian College of the Academic Nutritionists ME/49 recommends that health authorities and health professionals around the world should make a greater effort to diagnose sarcopenia earlier and to manage it more effectively. In line with the development of cancer screening, the use of two diagnostic tools for sarcopenia (BIA and DXA) should be implemented.

Immunological distinctions between nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and hepatocellular carcinoma

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the most common cause of chronic liver disease, ranges from simple hepatic steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), which is a more aggressive form characterized by hepatocyte injury, inflammation, and fibrosis. Increasing evidence suggests that NASH is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which is the fifth most common cancer worldwide and the second most common cause of cancer-related death. Recent studies support a strong mechanistic link between the NASH microenvironment and HCC development. The liver has a large capacity to remove circulating pathogens and gut-derived microbial compounds. Thus, the liver is a central player in immunoregulation. Altered immune responses are tightly associated with the development of NASH and HCC. The objective of this study was to differentiate the roles of specific immune cell subsets in NASH and HCC pathogenesis.

Clarifying the role of specific cells in the immune system in the transition from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to liver cancer will help to understand disease progression and may open avenues towards new preventive and therapeutic strategies. NAFLD is the most common chronic liver disease. Growing evidence suggests that its most aggressive form, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), can promote the development of liver cancer, the second most common cause of cancer deaths worldwide. Chang-Woo Lee and colleagues at Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, South Korea review the immunological distinction between NASH and liver cancer, focusing on the levels and activities of six key types of immune system cells. Chronic inflammation mediated by the immune system can create conditions for NAFLD, NASH and liver cancer to develop and worsen.

Emerging risk factors for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease associated hepatocellular carcinoma

Worldwide, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has reached epidemic proportions and in parallel, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has become one of the fastest growing cancers. Epidemiological studies have not only shed light on the prevalence and incidence of the disease but have also unmasked important environmental risk factors, including the role of diabetes and dyslipidemia in disease pathogenesis. Genetic association studies have identified single nucleotide polymorphisms implicated in NAFLD-HCC, many of which are part of lipid metabolism pathways. Through these clinical studies and subsequently, translational and basic research, the role of statins as a chemoprotective agent has also emerged with ongoing clinical trials assessing their utility in HCC prevention and treatment. In this review, we summarize the recent epidemiological studies describing the burden of NAFLD-HCC in different patient populations and countries. We discuss the genetic and environmental risk factors for NAFLD-HCC and highlight the chemoprotective role of statins and aspirin. We also summarize what is known about NAFLD-HCC in the cirrhosis and non-cirrhosis populations and briefly address the role of surveillance in NAFLD-HCC patients.

Gender Difference in the Association Between Metabolic Factors and Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

A gender difference in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that men have higher incidence than women has long been noted and can be explained by the cross-talk between sex hormones and hepatitis B virus/hepatitis C virus (HBV/HCV). Whether metabolic factors yield similar sexual difference in non-HBV/HCV-HCC remains elusive.

Methods

There were 74 782 hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)/antibody to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) negative residents who participated in the Keelung Community-Based Integrated Screening program and were followed in 2000-2007. Incident HCC was identified by linkage to the Taiwan Cancer Registry. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the association between metabolic factors and HCC stratified by sex. All statistical tests were 2-sided.

Results

With 320 829 follow-up person-years, 99 residents developed HCC. The adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) were 2.10 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.07 to 4.13) and 3.71 (95% CI = 2.01 to 6.86) for prediabetes and diabetes, respectively, in men. The corresponding adjusted hazard ratios were 1.16 (95% CI = 0.48 to 2.83) and 1.47 (95% CI = 0.65 to 3.34) in women. Compared with normal weight (body mass index [BMI] = 23-25), underweight (BMI < 21, HR = 3.56, 95% CI = 1.18 to 10.8) and overweight (BMI = 25 to <27.3, HR = 3.81, 95% CI = 1.43 to 10.2) were associated with an elevated risk in men. The statistically significant gradient relationship per advanced BMI category was noted in women (aHR = 1.41, 95% CI = 1.07 to 1.87). The HCC–fasting glucose (P = .046) and HCC-BMI (P = .03) associations were statistically significantly modified by sex. Elevated aspartate aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet index and fibrosis index, and habitual alcohol consumption were related to HCC only in men, whereas increased alanine aminotransferase and lower platelet levels predicted HCC risk in women.

Conclusions

We found that BMI-HCC associations were U-shape for men and linear for women, and the elevated HCC risk began from glucose impairment in men only. Whether good glycemic and weight control can reduce HCC risk warrants further investigation.

Prevalence of metabolic syndrome in primary health settings in Qatar: a cross sectional study

BACKGROUND

In Qatar, prevalence of metabolic components is significantly higher compared to other countries. It is therefore urgent to understand the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) with the goal of identifying etiologic factors in Qatar. This study was undertaken to estimate the prevalence of MetS, by age, gender and nationality within primary care settings in Qatar. In addition, it determined the independent effects of risk factors on the prevalence of MetS.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study design was used. Data for individuals aged ≥18 and who visited a publicly funded primary health centre in Qatar during 2017 were extracted from electronic medical records and analysed.

RESULTS

The findings showed that the prevalence of individual MetS components ranged between 48.5-60.3%. Overall prevalence of MetS was 48.8% (N = 62,492) in the study population. Prevalence of MetS increased with age. 50.3% of the population within the 40-49 year age group had MetS. In this age band, individuals were 5.1 times more likely of having MetS compared to the 18-29 year age group. MetS was slightly more prevalent in men (56 .7%) compared to women (42.5%). However, men were 1.33 times more likely of having MetS compared to women. The prevalence of MetS ranged between 20.6 - 60% across nationalities. It was most prevalent in Southern Asians (60%), followed by Northern Africans (50.7%) and Western Asians (excluding Qatar) (46.8%). Prevalence of MetS in Qataris was 43%. Southern Asians, Northern African and Western Asians were 1.73, 1.38 and 1.17 more likely to have MetS compared to Qataris.

CONCLUSIONS

The study provides essential epidemiological information required by decision makers. Although not nationally representative, this study is suggestive of a higher prevalence of MetS among a younger population, men and in Southern Asian, Northern African and Western Asian nationalities. Prevention, treatment and control of MetS is a public health problem in Qatar. More studies are needed to establish which public health interventions are likely to be effective in Qatar.

Statin use and risk of liver cancer: Evidence from two population-based studies

Epidemiological studies of statin use and liver cancer risk have produced conflicting results. We examined the association between statin use and risk of primary liver cancer in two large independent study populations taking account of important covariates and main indications of statins such as high cholesterol and chronic liver disease. We performed a nested case-control study within the Scottish Primary Care Clinical Informatics Unit (PCCIU) database. Five controls were matched to cases with primary liver cancer and we used conditional logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations with statin use. We also conducted a prospective cohort study within the UK Biobank using self-reported statin use and cancer-registry recorded primary liver cancer outcomes. Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. In the PCCIU case-control analysis, 434 liver cancer cases were matched to 2,103 controls. In the UK Biobank cohort, 182 out of 475,768 participants developed incident liver cancer. Statin use was associated with 39% lower risk of liver cancer in the PCCIU (adjusted OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.43-0.87). When we examined specific subtypes of liver cancer in the UK Biobank, statin use was associated with lower risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC; adjusted HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.24-0.94) but not intrahepatic bile duct carcinoma (IBDC; adjusted HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.45-2.64). In conclusion, we found a consistent inverse relationship between statin use and risk of primary liver cancer which was only seen for HCC but not IBDC.

Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the northeast of the United States: results of a case-control study

PURPOSE

HCC incidence has been continuously rising in the US for the past 30 years. To understand the increase in HCC risk, we conducted a case-control study in Connecticut, New Jersey and part of New York City.

METHODS

Through rapid case ascertainment and random digit dialing, we recruited 673 incident HCC patients and 1,166 controls. Information on demographic and anthropometric characteristics, lifestyle factors, medical and family cancer histories, were ascertained through telephone interviews using a structured questionnaire. Saliva specimens were collected for testing hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibodies. Unconditional logistic regression models were utilized to calculate odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) to determine HCC associations with risk factors.

RESULTS

The study confirmed that HCV infection and obesity were important risk factors for HCC, ORs 110 (95% CI 59.2-204) and 2.13 (95% CI 1.52-3.00), respectively. High BMI and HCV infection had synergy in association with elevated HCC risk. Patients both obese and infected with HCV had HCC detected on average nearly 10 years earlier than those with neither factor. Diabetes, cigarette smoking and heavy alcohol intake were all associated with increased risk of HCC, whereas aspirin and other NSAID use were associated with reduced risk. HCC cases tended to attain less education, with lower household incomes, unmarried, and to have had more sexual partners than the controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals at risk of HCC in the US comprise a unique population with low socioeconomic status and unhealthy lifestyle choices. Given the multifactorial nature, a comprehensive approach is needed in HCC prevention.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in alcoholic and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease-one of a kind or two different enemies?

Hepatocellular cancer (HCC) is a cancer with an overall poor prognosis and an alarming globally rising incidence. While viral etiology of chronic liver disease and HCC is down-trending, alcohol and excess calorie intake have emerged as major culprits. Alcohol related liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) share similar pathogenetic mechanism of hepatic injury and in promoting development of HCC; yet some genetic and epigenetic features are distinct and may promise clinical utility. Population based intervention are urgently needed to reduce alcohol use and improve metabolic factors such as obesity and diabetes. The goal is to identify at-risk patients, to link these patients to care and to provide effective management of chronic liver disease and HCC. This review focuses on the epidemiology, pathophysiology including genetic and epigenetic altercation as well as clinical aspects of ALD and NAFLD associated HCC.

Excess Body Weight and the Risk of Liver Cancer: Systematic Review and a Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies

Objective: To update and expand the previous meta-analysis including all prospective studies on the issue of the associations between overweight, obesity, and liver cancer risk. We also performed a meta-regression to investigate a potential nonlinear and/or linear association between body mass index (BMI) and liver cancer risk.Methods: Literature search was conducted in four libraries from the beginning of indexing for each database to 1st September, 2018.Results: The summary risk estimate was statistically significant on the association between overweight and the risk of liver cancer incidence (relative ratio [RR] = 1.19). The RRs were significantly stronger in people with known liver disease with overweight than in the general population with overweight (RR = 1.50 vs. RR = 1.10; P_difference = .02). The meta-analysis showed an increase by 87% on the risk of liver cancer incidence in obesity categories, relative to categories of normal BMI (RR = 1.87, P < .01). Moreover, the results showed that, overweight was associated with 9% increased and obesity with 66% increased for risk of liver cancer mortality. In linear model, the relative risks of liver cancer were 1.32 for continuous BMI per 5 kg/m² increase.Conclusion: This meta-analysis supports the hypothesis that overweight, obesity may significantly increase liver cancer risk.

Elevated fasting serum glucose levels increase the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma: A prospective cohort study

Previous studies have demonstrated a positive relationship between liver cancer and diabetes mellitus. However, elevated fasting blood glucose (FBG) itself may be a risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) rather than diabetes, and during the follow-up period, death is an event that may occur before the occurrence of HCC, which should be dealt with competing risk models. Our study aims to investigate the relationship between FBG and new-onset HCC by using competing risk regression models.We prospectively studied the relationship between FBG concentrations and risk of HCC in a cohort of 93,447 participants who were free of prior HCC, and whose demographic characteristics and biochemical parameters were recorded. Cox proportional hazards regression models and competing risk regression models were used to evaluate the association between FBG concentrations and risk of incident HCC.A total of 302 participants were diagnosed with HCC among 93,447 subjects during 810,499 person-years of follow-up. The multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) [95% confidence interval (95% CI)] for the association of FBG and log(FBG) with HCC were 1.07 (1.01∼1.12), 1.84 (1.23∼2.74) in an analysis adjusted for other potential variables. In the multivariable adjusted analysis, participants who were in 4.82 mmol/L≤FBG≤5.49 mmol/L group and FBG >5.49 mmol/L group would have increased the risk of HCC by 47% and 69%, respectively. In a cause-specific hazard model (CS model), the multivariable HRs (95% CI) for the association of FBG with HCC were 1.46 (1.09∼1.98), 1.69 (1.27∼2.27) in the multivariable adjusted analysis. Similar results were also observed in sub-distribution hazard function model (SD model) with corresponding multivariate HRs (95% CI) of 1.46 (1.09∼2.00), 1.69 (1.25∼2.27) in 4.82 mmol/L≤FBG≤5.49 mmol/L group and FBG >5.49 mmol/L group, respectively.Higher FBG concentrations itself were positively associated with new-onset HCC in the Cox proportional hazards regression models and competing risk models. FBG concentrations can be used as a scientific and important way to identify individuals with a higher risk of HCC and control of FBG concentrations might serve as a possible way to decrease the risk of HCC among Chinese population.Trial registration: ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489. Registered August 24, 2011 (retrospectively registered).

Association of a genetic variant in the angiopoietin-like protein 4 gene with metabolic syndrome

Background

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is characterized by a clustering of cardiovascular risk factors that include: abdominal obesity, dyslipidemia, hypertension and glucose intolerance. Angiopoietin-like protein 4 (ANGPTL4) is a circulating peptide that is an inhibitor of lipoprotein lipase, a key enzyme in lipid metabolism. The objective of this study was to investigate the association of ANGPTL4 gene variants (E40K) with fasting serum triglyceride levels and with cardiovascular risk factors, that included the presence of MetS in 817 subjects recruited from the Mashhad stroke and heart Atherosclerosis Disorders (MASHAD) cohort Study.

Method

ANGPTL4 genotypes were determined using a TaqMan genotyping based real time PCR method. The association of the genetic variant with the risk of metabolic syndrome and its relationship with lipid profile were determined.

Result

The frequency of GG, GA and AA genotypes were 96.9, 2.7 and 0.4% in individuals with MetS, and 78.8, 20.8, 0.4%, in those without MetS. The GA genotype of the rs116843064 polymorphism was associated with a lower risk for MetS (e.g., OR in Codominant genetic model: 0.14, 95% CI: (0.06–0.33), p < 0.0001). Subject with an A allele had a higher risk for MetS (OR: 6.72, 95% CI: (3.05–14.82), p < 0.0001). There was a significant difference in fasted lipid profiles across the genotypes for ANGPTL4. Carriers of the AG genotype had higher levels of serum HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C) and lower TG, compared to the GG homozygotes genotype.

Conclusion

The G allele at the rs116843064 polymorphic locus of the ANGPTL4 gene was associated with a lower prevalence of MetS.

Metabolic syndrome and liver-related events: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have suggested that metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its component conditions are linked to the development of many benign or malignant diseases. Some studies have described relationships among metabolic syndrome or diabetes and liver cancer, but not many articles described the relationships between MetS and cirrhosis, acute hepatic failure, end-stage liver disease, and even death. However, liver cancers, cirrhosis, acute hepatic failure, end-stage liver disease, and liver-related mortality-collectively described as liver-related events (LREs)-may have different relationships with MetS. We undertook this meta-analysis to examine the association between MetS and LREs, and to determine whether geographic region or hepatitis B virus (HBV) positivity might influence the association.

METHODS

Relevant studies were identified from PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane database. Two reviewers independently searched records from January 1980 to December 2017. The search terms included 'metabolic syndrome', 'diabetes mellitus', 'insulin resistance syndrome', and 'metabolic abnormalities', combined with 'cirrhosis', 'hepatic fibrosis ', 'hepatocellular carcinoma', 'complication', 'LRE', 'HCC', 'liver-related events', and 'liver cancer'. No language restriction was applied to the search. We chose the studies reporting an association between MetS and LREs. We used Begg's and Egger's tests and visually examined a funnel plot to assess publication bias. All analyses were conducted in Stata 14.0 software.

RESULTS

There were 19 studies (18 cohort and 1 case-control) included in the analysis, with a total of 1,561,457 participants. The subjects' ages ranged from 18 to 84 years. The combined analysis showed an overall 86% increase risk of LREs in cases with MetS (RR: 1.86,95% CI: 1.56-2.23). The funnel plot was asymmetrical, and the Egger's test p values showed a publication bias in this meta analysis. However, through the trim and fill method, we obtained a new RR value for LREs with MetS of 1.49 (95% CI: 1.40-1.58, p = 0.000). There was no obvious difference with the two answers, so we concluded that the results were robust. For hepatitis B positive patients, the RR for MetS and LREs was 2.15 (95% CI:1.02-4.53, p = 0.038), but for the hepatitis B negative patients, the RR was 1.85 (95% CI:1.53-2.24, p = 0.000). And for non-Asians, the RR for MetS and LREs was 2.21 (95% CI: 1.66-2.69, p = 0.000), while for Asians, the RR was 1.73 (95% CI: 1.35-2.22, p = 0.000).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis showed that MetS is associated with a moderately increased risk of LREs prevalence. Patients with MetS together with hepatitis B are more likely to develop hepatic events. For non-Asians, MetS is more likely to increase the incidence of LREs.

Obesity and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: From pathophysiology to therapeutics

The obesity epidemic is closely associated with the rising prevalence and severity of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD): obesity has been linked not only with simple steatosis (SS), but also with advanced disease, i.e., nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), NASH-related cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. As a consequence, apart from increasing all-cause mortality, obesity seems to increase liver-specific mortality in NAFLD patients. Given the lack of approved pharmacological interventions for NAFLD, targeting obesity is a rational option for its management. As the first step, lifestyle modification (diet and exercise) is recommended, although it is difficult to achieve and sustain. When the first step fails, adding pharmacotherapy is recommended. Several anti-obesity medications have been investigated in NAFLD (e.g., orlistat, glucagon-like peptide-1 analogs), other anti-obesity medications have not been investigated (e.g., lorcaserin, phentermine hydrochloric, phentermine/topiramate and naltrexone/bupropion), whereas some medications with weight-lowering efficacy have not been approved for obesity (e.g., sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors, farnesoid X receptor ligands). If the combination of lifestyle modification and pharmacotherapy also fails, then bariatric surgery should be considered in selected morbidly obese individuals. This review summarizes best evidence linking obesity with NAFLD and presents related therapeutic options.

Trends in hepatocellular carcinoma due to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide and is associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most frequent malignant liver tumor. The increasing prevalence of obesity and diabetes is influencing the epidemiology of HCC with the most dramatic increases in NAFLD-related HCC seen in Western countries. Although cirrhosis is the major risk factor for HCC in NAFLD, there is increasing recognition that NAFLD-HCC occurs in the absence of cirrhosis. Areas covered: The epidemiology of NAFLD related HCC and its impact on changing the incidence of HCC globally. We overview risk factors for NAFLD-HCC in the presence and absence of cirrhosis and examine trends in liver transplantation (LT) related to NAFLD-HCC. Expert commentary: The incidence of NAFLD-related cirrhosis will continue to rise globally in parallel with risk factors of obesity and diabetes. Consequently, NAFLD-related HCC will become an increasingly important cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality and a common indication for LT worldwide. Further identification of risk factors for NAFLD-HCC and effective treatments for NAFLD are required to reduce this future burden of disease.

Overweight in midlife and risk of cancer in late life: A nationwide Swedish twin study

Our study examined whether midlife overweight (body mass index [BMI] ≥25) is associated with late-life cancer risk and explored the role of genetic and early-life environmental factors in this association. The study included 14,766 individuals from the Swedish Twin Registry, whose midlife (30-50 years) height and weight were recorded. Information on cancer diagnoses in late life (>65 years) was derived from the National Patient Registry and Cancer Registry. Generalized estimating equation (GEE) models were used to analyze unmatched case-control data (controlled for the clustering of twins within a pair). A co-twin matched case-control analysis used conditional logistic regression to compare cancer-discordant twins. Of all participants, 3968 (26.9%) were overweight and 4253 (28.8%) had cancer. In multi-adjusted GEE models using normal-weight (BMI 18.5-24.9) participants as the reference group, overweight was related to higher risk of colon cancer (OR 1.36, 95% CI: 1.00-1.84, p = 0.049), liver cancer (OR 2.00, 95% CI: 1.11-3.62), cervix uteri cancer (OR 2.86, 95% CI: 1.19-6.91) and corpus uteri cancer (OR 1.78, 95% CI: 1.14-2.78) but lower risk of nonmelanoma skin cancer (OR 0.77, 95% CI: 0.66-0.90). In conditional logistic regression analysis, these associations were attenuated becoming nonsignificance. The difference in ORs from the unmatched and matched analyses was not significant. In conclusion, midlife overweight is associated with increased risk of late-life colon, liver and uterine cancer but reduced risk of late-life nonmelanoma skin cancer. Further investigations are warranted to explore the role of genetic and early-life environmental factors in these associations.