Prospects of Fine-Mapping Trait-Associated Genomic Regions by Using Summary Statistics from Genome-wide Association Studies

Toward whole-genome inference of polygenic scores with fast and memory-efficient algorithms

With improved whole-genome sequencing and variant imputation techniques, modern genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have enriched our understanding of the landscape of genetic associations for thousands of disease phenotypes. However, translating the marginal associations for millions of genetic variants to integrated polygenic risk scores (PRSs) that capture their joint effects on the phenotype remains a major challenge. Due to technical and statistical constraints, commonly used PRS methods in this setting either perform heuristic pruning and thresholding or overlook most genetic association signals by restricting inference to small variant sets, such as HapMap3. Here, we present a set of algorithmic improvements and compact data structures that enable scaling summary-statistics-based PRS inference to tens of millions of variants while avoiding numerical instabilities common in such high-dimensional settings. These enhancements consist of highly compressed linkage-disequilibrium (LD) matrix format, which integrates with streamlined and parallel coordinate-ascent updating schemes. When incorporated into our existing PRS method (VIPRS), the proposed algorithms yield over 50-fold reductions in storage requirements and lead to orders-of-magnitude improvements in runtime and memory efficiency. The updated VIPRS software can now perform variational Bayesian regression over 1.1 million HapMap3 variants in under a minute. Using this scalable implementation, we applied VIPRS to 75 of the most heritable, continuous phenotypes in the UK Biobank, leveraging marginal associations for up to 18 million bi-allelic variants. These experiments demonstrated that VIPRS is 1-2 orders of magnitude more efficient than popular baselines while being competitive with the best-performing methods in terms of prediction accuracy.

Role of X chromosome and dosage-compensation mechanisms in complex trait genetics

The X chromosome (chrX) is often excluded from genome-wide association studies due to its unique biology complicating the analysis and interpretation of genetic data. Consequently, the influence of chrX on human complex traits remains debated. Here, we systematically assessed the relevance of chrX and the effect of its biology on complex traits by analyzing 48 quantitative traits in 343,695 individuals in UK Biobank with replication in 412,181 individuals from FinnGen. We show that, in the general population, chrX contributes to complex trait heritability at a rate of 3% of the autosomal heritability, consistent with the amount of genetic variation observed in chrX. We find that a pronounced male bias in chrX heritability supports the presence of near-complete dosage compensation between sexes through X chromosome inactivation (XCI). However, we also find subtle yet plausible evidence of escape from XCI contributing to human height. Assuming full XCI, the observed chrX contribution to complex trait heritability in both sexes is greater than expected given the presence of only a single active copy of chrX, mirroring potential dosage compensation between chrX and the autosomes. We find this enhanced contribution attributable to systematically larger active allele effects from chrX compared to autosomes in both sexes, independent of allele frequency and variant deleteriousness. Together, these findings support a model in which the two dosage-compensation mechanisms work in concert to balance the influence of chrX across the population while preserving sex-specific differences at a manageable level. Overall, our study advocates for more comprehensive locus discovery efforts in chrX.

Rare genetic variation in PTPRB is associated with central serous chorioretinopathy, varicose veins and glaucoma

Central serous chorioretinopathy is an eye disease characterized by fluid buildup under the central retina whose etiology is not well understood. Abnormal choroidal veins in central serous chorioretinopathy patients have been shown to have similarities with varicose veins. To identify potential mechanisms, we analyzed genotype data from 1,477 patients and 455,449 controls in FinnGen. We identified an association for a low-frequency (allele frequency = 0.5%) missense variant (rs113791087) in PTPRB, the gene encoding vascular endothelial protein tyrosine phosphatase (odds ratio=2.85, P = 4.5 × 10-9). This was confirmed in a meta-analysis of 2,452 patients and 865,767 controls from 4 studies (odds ratio=3.06, P = 7.4 × 10-15). Rs113791087 was associated with a 56% higher prevalence of retinal abnormalities (35.3% vs 22.6%, P = 8.0 × 10-4) in 708 UK Biobank participants and, surprisingly, with increased risk of varicose veins (odds ratio=1.31, P = 2.3 × 10-11) and reduced risk of glaucoma (odds ratio=0.82, P = 6.9 × 10-9). Predicted loss-of-function variants in PTPRB, though rare in number, were associated with central serous chorioretinopathy in All of Us (odds ratio=17.09, P = 0.018). These findings highlight the significance of vascular endothelial protein tyrosine phosphatase in diverse ocular and systemic veno-vascular diseases.

Fine-mapping in admixed populations using CARMA-X, with applications to Latin American studies

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) in ancestrally diverse populations are rapidly expanding, opening up unique opportunities for novel gene discoveries and increased utility of genetic findings in non-European individuals. A popular technique to identify putative causal variants at GWAS loci is via statistical fine-mapping. Despite tremendous efforts, fine-mapping remains a very challenging task, even in the relatively simple scenario of studies with a single, homogeneous population. For studies with admixed individuals, such as within Latin America and the Caribbean, methods for gene discovery are still limited. Here, we propose a Bayesian model for fine-mapping in admixed populations, CARMA-X, that addresses some of the unique challenges of admixed individuals. The proposed method includes an estimation method for the linkage disequilibrium (LD) matrix that accounts for small reference panels for admixed individuals, heterogeneity across populations and cross-ancestry LD, and a Bayesian hypothesis test that leads to robust fine-mapping when relying on external reference panels of modest size for LD estimation. Using simulations, we compare performance with recently proposed fine-mapping methods for multi-ancestry studies and show that the proposed model provides higher power while controlling false discoveries, especially when using an out-of-sample LD matrix. We further illustrate our approach through applications to two Latin American genetic studies, the Estudio Familiar de Influencia Genética en Alzheimer (EFIGA) study in the Dominican Republic and the Mexican Biobank, where we show the benefit of modeling ancestry-specific effects by prioritizing putative causal variants and genes, including several findings driven by ancestry-specific effects in the African and Native American ancestries.

Monoallelic TYROBP deletion is a novel risk factor for Alzheimer's disease

Biallelic loss-of-function variants in TYROBP and TREM2 cause autosomal recessive presenile dementia with bone cysts known as Nasu-Hakola disease (NHD, alternatively polycystic lipomembranous osteodysplasia with sclerosing leukoencephalopathy, PLOSL). Some other TREM2 variants contribute to the risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and frontotemporal dementia, while deleterious TYROBP variants are globally extremely rare and their role in neurodegenerative diseases remains unclear. The population history of Finns has favored the enrichment of deleterious founder mutations, including a 5.2 kb deletion encompassing exons 1-4 of TYROBP and causing NHD in homozygous carriers. We used here a proxy marker to identify monoallelic TYROBP deletion carriers in the Finnish biobank study FinnGen combining genome and health registry data of 520,210 Finns. We show that monoallelic TYROBP deletion associates with an increased risk and earlier onset age of AD and dementia when compared to noncarriers. In addition, we present the first reported case of a monoallelic TYROBP deletion carrier with NHD-type bone cysts. Mechanistically, monoallelic TYROBP deletion leads to decreased levels of DAP12 protein (encoded by TYROBP) in myeloid cells. Using transcriptomic and proteomic analyses of human monocyte-derived microglia-like cells, we show that upon lipopolysaccharide stimulation monoallelic TYROBP deletion leads to the upregulation of the inflammatory response and downregulation of the unfolded protein response when compared to cells with two functional copies of TYROBP. Collectively, our findings indicate TYROBP deletion as a novel risk factor for AD and suggest specific pathways for therapeutic targeting.

An ancient regulatory variant of ACSF3 influences the coevolution of increased human height and basal metabolic rate via metabolic homeostasis

Anatomically modern humans (AMHs) exhibit a significant increase in basal metabolic rate (BMR) and height compared to non-human apes. This study investigates the genetic basis underlying these traits. Our analyses reveal a strong genetic correlation between height and BMR. A regulatory mutation, rs34590044-A, was found to be associated with the increased height and BMR in AMHs. rs34590044-A upregulates the expression of ACSF3 by increasing its enhancer activity, leading to increased body length and BMR in mice fed essential amino acids which are characteristic of meat-based diets. In the British population, rs34590044-A has been under positive selection over the past 20,000 years, with a particularly strong signal in the last 5,000 years, as also evidenced by ancient DNA analysis. These results suggest that the emergence of rs34590044-A may have facilitated the adaptation to a meat-enriched diet in AMHs, with increased height and BMR as consequences of this dietary shift.

Cross-ancestry and sex-stratified genome-wide association analyses of amygdala and subnucleus volumes

The amygdala is a small but critical multi-nucleus structure for emotion, cognition and neuropsychiatric disorders. Although genetic associations with amygdala volumetric traits have been investigated in sex-combined European populations, cross-ancestry and sex-stratified analyses are lacking. Here we conducted cross-ancestry and sex-stratified genome-wide association analyses for 21 amygdala volumetric traits in 6,923 Chinese and 48,634 European individuals. We identified 191 variant-trait associations (P < 2.38 × 10-9), including 47 new associations (12 new loci) in sex-combined univariate analyses and seven additional new loci in sex-combined and sex-stratified multivariate analyses. We identified 12 ancestry-specific and two sex-specific associations. The identified genetic variants include 16 fine-mapped causal variants and regulate amygdala and fetal brain gene expression. The variants were enriched for brain development and colocalized with mood, cognition and neuropsychiatric disorders. These results indicate that cross-ancestry and sex-stratified genetic association analyses may provide insight into the genetic architectures of amygdala and subnucleus volumes.

Examining the link between 179 lipid species and 7 diseases using genetic predictors

BACKGROUND

Genome-wide association studies of lipid species have identified several loci shared with various diseases, however, the relationship between lipid species and disease risk remains poorly understood. Here we investigated whether the plasma levels of lipid species are causally linked to disease risk.

METHODS

We built genetic predictors of 179 lipid species, measured in 7174 Finnish individuals, by utilising either 11 high-impact genomic loci or genome-wide polygenic scores (PGS). We assessed the impact of the lipid species on seven diseases by performing disease association across FinnGen (n = 500,348), UK Biobank (n = 420,531), and Generation Scotland (n = 20,032). We performed univariable Mendelian randomisation (MR) and multivariable MR (MVMR) analyses to examine whether lipid species impact disease risk independently of standard lipids.

FINDINGS

PGS explained >4% of the variance for 34 lipid species but variants outside the high-impact loci had only a marginal contribution. Variants within the high-impact loci showed association with all seven diseases. MVMR supported a causal role of ApoB in ischaemic heart disease after accounting for lipid species. Phosphatidylethanolamine-increasing LIPC variants seemed to lower age-related macular degeneration risk independently of HDL-cholesterol. MVMR suggested a protective effect of four lipid species containing arachidonic acid on cholelithiasis risk independently of Total Cholesterol.

INTERPRETATION

Our study demonstrates how genetic predictors of lipid species can be utilised to gain insights into disease risk. We report potential links between lipid species and age-related macular degeneration and cholelithiasis risk, which can be explored for their utility in disease risk prediction and therapy.

FUNDING

The funders had no role in the study design, data analyses, interpretation, or writing of this article.

Combining evidence from human genetic and functional screens to identify pathways altering obesity and fat distribution

Overall adiposity and body fat distribution are heritable traits associated with altered risk of cardiometabolic disease and mortality. Performing rare variant (minor allele frequency<1%) association testing using exome-sequencing data from 402,375 participants in the UK Biobank (UKB) for nine overall and tissue-specific fat distribution traits, we identified 19 genes where putatively damaging rare variation associated with at least one trait (Bonferroni-adjusted P <1.58×10 -7 ) and 50 additional genes at FDR≤1% ( P ≤4.37×10 -5 ). These 69 genes exhibited significantly higher (one-sided t -test P =3.58×10 -18 ) common variant prioritisation scores than genes not significantly enriched for rare putatively damaging variation, with evidence of monotonic allelic series (dose-response relationships) among ultra-rare variants (minor allele count≤10) in 22 genes. Combining rare and common variation evidence, allelic series and longitudinal analysis, we selected 14 genes for CRISPR knockdown in human white adipose tissue cell lines. In three previously uncharacterised target genes, knockdown increased (two-sided t -test P <0.05) lipid accumulation, a cellular phenotype relevant for fat mass traits, compared to Cas9-empty negative controls: COL5A3 (fold change [FC]=1.72, P =0.0028), EXOC7 (FC=1.35, P =0.0096), and TRIP10 (FC=1.39, P =0.0157); furthermore, knockdown of PPARG (FC=0.25, P =5.52×10 -7 ) and SLTM (FC=0.51, P =1.91×10 -4 ) resulted in reduced lipid accumulation. Integrating across population-based genetic and in vitro functional evidence, we highlight therapeutic avenues for altering obesity and body fat distribution by modulating lipid accumulation.

Fine-mapping the CYP2A6 regional association with nicotine metabolism among African American smokers

The nicotine metabolite ratio (NMR; 3'hydroxycotinine/cotinine) is a stable biomarker for CYP2A6 enzyme activity and nicotine clearance, with demonstrated clinical utility in personalizing smoking cessation treatment. Common genetic variation in the CYP2A6 region is strongly associated with NMR in smokers. Here, we investigated this regional association in more detail. We evaluated the association of CYP2A6 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and * alleles with NMR among African American smokers (N = 953) from two clinical trials of smoking cessation. Stepwise conditional analysis and Bayesian fine-mapping were undertaken. Putative causal variants were incorporated into an existing African ancestry-specific genetic risk score (GRS) for NMR, and the performance of the updated GRS was evaluated in both African American (n = 953) and European ancestry smokers (n = 933) from these clinical trials. Five independent associations with NMR in the CYP2A6 region were identified using stepwise conditional analysis, including the deletion variant CYP2A6*4 (beta = -0.90, p = 1.55 × 10-11). Six putative causal variants were identified using Bayesian fine-mapping (posterior probability, PP = 0.67), with the top causal configuration including CYP2A6*4, rs116670633, CYP2A6*9, rs28399451, rs8192720, and rs10853742 (PP = 0.09). Incorporating these putative causal variants into an existing ancestry-specific GRS resulted in comparable prediction of NMR within African American smokers, and improved trans-ancestry portability of the GRS to European smokers. Our findings suggest that both * alleles and SNPs underlie the association of the CYP2A6 region with NMR among African American smokers, identify a shortlist of variants that may causally influence nicotine clearance, and suggest that portability of GRSs across populations can be improved through inclusion of putative causal variants.

Prioritizing effector genes at trait-associated loci using multimodal evidence

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) yield large numbers of genetic loci associated with traits and diseases. Predicting the effector genes that mediate these locus-trait associations remains challenging. Here we present the FLAMES (fine-mapped locus assessment model of effector genes) framework, which predicts the most likely effector gene in a locus. FLAMES creates machine learning predictions from biological data linking single-nucleotide polymorphisms to genes, and then evaluates these scores together with gene-centric evidence of convergence of the GWAS signal in functional networks. We benchmark FLAMES on gene-locus pairs derived by expert curation, rare variant implication and domain knowledge of molecular traits. We demonstrate that combining single-nucleotide-polymorphism-based and convergence-based modalities outperforms prioritization strategies using a single line of evidence. Applying FLAMES, we resolve the FSHB locus in the GWAS for dizygotic twinning and further leverage this framework to find schizophrenia risk genes that converge with rare coding evidence and are relevant in different stages of life.

Improving polygenic prediction from summary data by learning patterns of effect sharing across multiple phenotypes

Polygenic prediction of complex trait phenotypes has become important in human genetics, especially in the context of precision medicine. Recently, mr.mash, a flexible and computationally efficient method that models multiple phenotypes jointly and leverages sharing of effects across such phenotypes to improve prediction accuracy, was introduced. However, a drawback of mr.mash is that it requires individual-level data, which are often not publicly available. In this work, we introduce mr.mash-rss, an extension of the mr.mash model that requires only summary statistics from Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) and linkage disequilibrium (LD) estimates from a reference panel. By using summary data, we achieve the twin goal of increasing the applicability of the mr.mash model to data sets that are not publicly available and making it scalable to biobank-size data. Through simulations, we show that mr.mash-rss is competitive with, and often outperforms, current state-of-the-art methods for single- and multi-phenotype polygenic prediction in a variety of scenarios that differ in the pattern of effect sharing across phenotypes, the number of phenotypes, the number of causal variants, and the genomic heritability. We also present a real data analysis of 16 blood cell phenotypes in the UK Biobank, showing that mr.mash-rss achieves higher prediction accuracy than competing methods for the majority of traits, especially when the data set has smaller sample size.

Refining fine-mapping: Effect sizes and regional heritability

Recent statistical approaches have shown that the set of all available genetic variants explains considerably more phenotypic variance of complex traits and diseases than the individual variants that are robustly associated with these phenotypes. However, rapidly increasing sample sizes constantly improve detection and prioritization of individual variants driving the associations between genomic regions and phenotypes. Therefore, it is useful to routinely estimate how much phenotypic variance the detected variants explain for each region by taking into account the correlation structure of variants and the uncertainty in their causal status. Here we extend the FINEMAP software to estimate the effect sizes and regional heritability under the probabilistic model that assumes a handful of causal variants per region. Using the UK Biobank (UKB) data to simulate genomic regions, we demonstrate that FINEMAP provides higher precision and enables more detailed decomposition of regional heritability into individual variants than the variance component model implemented in BOLT or the fixed-effect model implemented in HESS, particularly when there are only a few causal variants in the fine-mapped region. Using data from 2,940 plasma proteins from the UKB study, we observed that on average FINEMAP identified 2.5 causal variants at an association signal and captured 36% more regional heritability than the variant with the lowest P-value. We estimate that in genomic regions with notable contribution to the total heritability, FINEMAP captures on average 13% and 40% more heritability than BOLT and HESS respectively. Our analysis shows how FINEMAP, BOLT and HESS relate to each other in cases where inference of a variant-level picture of the regional genetic architecture is possible.

FABIO: TWAS fine-mapping to prioritize causal genes for binary traits

Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) have emerged as a powerful tool for identifying gene-trait associations by integrating gene expression mapping studies with genome-wide association studies (GWAS). While most existing TWAS approaches focus on marginal analyses through examining one gene at a time, recent developments in TWAS fine-mapping methods enable the joint modeling of multiple genes to refine the identification of potentially causal ones. However, these fine-mapping methods have primarily focused on modeling quantitative traits and examining local genomic regions, leading to potentially suboptimal performance. Here, we present FABIO, a TWAS fine-mapping method specifically designed for binary traits that is capable of modeling all genes jointly on an entire chromosome. FABIO employs a probit model to directly link the genetically regulated expression (GReX) of genes to binary outcomes while taking into account the GReX correlation among all genes residing on a chromosome. As a result, FABIO effectively controls false discoveries while offering substantial power gains over existing TWAS fine-mapping approaches. We performed extensive simulations to evaluate the performance of FABIO and applied it for in-depth analyses of six binary disease traits in the UK Biobank. In the real datasets, FABIO significantly reduced the size of the causal gene sets by 27.9%-36.9% over existing approaches across traits. Leveraging its improved power, FABIO successfully prioritized multiple potentially causal genes associated with the diseases, including GATA3 for asthma, ABCG2 for gout, and SH2B3 for hypertension. Overall, FABIO represents an effective tool for TWAS fine-mapping of disease traits.

Molecular convergence of risk variants for congenital heart defects leveraging a regulatory map of the human fetal heart

Congenital heart defects (CHD) arise in part due to inherited genetic variants that alter genes and noncoding regulatory elements in the human genome. These variants are thought to act during fetal development to influence the formation of different heart structures. However, identifying the genes, pathways, and cell types that mediate these effects has been challenging due to the immense diversity of cell types involved in heart development as well as the superimposed complexities of interpreting noncoding sequences. As such, understanding the molecular functions of both noncoding and coding variants remains paramount to our fundamental understanding of cardiac development and CHD. Here, we created a gene regulation map of the healthy human fetal heart across developmental time, and applied it to interpret the functions of variants associated with CHD and quantitative cardiac traits. We collected single-cell multiomic data from 734,000 single cells sampled from 41 fetal hearts spanning post-conception weeks 6 to 22, enabling the construction of gene regulation maps in 90 cardiac cell types and states, including rare populations of cardiac conduction cells. Through an unbiased analysis of all 90 cell types, we find that both rare coding variants associated with CHD and common noncoding variants associated with valve traits converge to affect valvular interstitial cells (VICs). VICs are enriched for high expression of known CHD genes previously identified through mapping of rare coding variants. Eight CHD genes, as well as other genes in similar molecular pathways, are linked to common noncoding variants associated with other valve diseases or traits via enhancers in VICs. In addition, certain common noncoding variants impact enhancers with activities highly specific to particular subanatomic structures in the heart, illuminating how such variants can impact specific aspects of heart structure and function. Together, these results implicate new enhancers, genes, and cell types in the genetic etiology of CHD, identify molecular convergence of common noncoding and rare coding variants on VICs, and suggest a more expansive view of the cell types instrumental in genetic risk for CHD, beyond the working cardiomyocyte. This regulatory map of the human fetal heart will provide a foundational resource for understanding cardiac development, interpreting genetic variants associated with heart disease, and discovering targets for cell-type specific therapies.

Fine-mapping and molecular characterisation of primary sclerosing cholangitis genetic risk loci

Genome-wide association studies of primary sclerosing cholangitis have identified 23 susceptibility loci. The majority of these loci reside in non-coding regions of the genome and are thought to exert their effect by perturbing the regulation of nearby genes. Here, we aim to identify these genes to improve the biological understanding of primary sclerosing cholangitis, and nominate potential drug targets. We first build an eQTL map for six primary sclerosing cholangitis-relevant T-cell subsets obtained from the peripheral blood of primary sclerosing cholangitis and ulcerative colitis patients. These maps identify 10,459 unique eGenes, 87% of which are shared across all six primary sclerosing cholangitis T-cell types. We then search for colocalisations between primary sclerosing cholangitis loci and eQTLs and undertake Bayesian fine-mapping to identify disease-causing variants. In this work, colocalisation analyses nominate likely primary sclerosing cholangitis effector genes and biological mechanisms at five non-coding (UBASH3A, PRKD2, ETS2 and AP003774.1/CCDC88B) and one coding (SH2B3) primary sclerosing cholangitis loci. Through fine-mapping we identify likely causal variants for a third of all primary sclerosing cholangitis-associated loci, including two to single variant resolution.

Identifying genetic variants associated with chromatin looping and genome function

Here we present a comprehensive HiChIP dataset on naïve CD4 T cells (nCD4) from 30 donors and identify QTLs that associate with genotype-dependent and/or allele-specific variation of HiChIP contacts defining loops between active regulatory regions (iQTLs). We observe a substantial overlap between iQTLs and previously defined eQTLs and histone QTLs, and an enrichment for fine-mapped QTLs and GWAS variants. Furthermore, we describe a distinct subset of nCD4 iQTLs, for which the significant variation of chromatin contacts in nCD4 are translated into significant eQTL trends in CD4 T cell memory subsets. Finally, we define connectivity-QTLs as iQTLs that are significantly associated with concordant genotype-dependent changes in chromatin contacts over a broad genomic region (e.g., GWAS SNP in the RNASET2 locus). Our results demonstrate the importance of chromatin contacts as a complementary modality for QTL mapping and their power in identifying previously uncharacterized QTLs linked to cell-specific gene expression and connectivity.

Fine-mapping across diverse ancestries drives the discovery of putative causal variants underlying human complex traits and diseases

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of human complex traits or diseases often implicate genetic loci that span hundreds or thousands of genetic variants, many of which have similar statistical significance. While statistical fine-mapping in individuals of European ancestry has made important discoveries, cross-population fine-mapping has the potential to improve power and resolution by capitalizing on the genomic diversity across ancestries. Here we present SuSiEx, an accurate and computationally efficient method for cross-population fine-mapping. SuSiEx integrates data from an arbitrary number of ancestries, explicitly models population-specific allele frequencies and linkage disequilibrium patterns, accounts for multiple causal variants in a genomic region and can be applied to GWAS summary statistics. We comprehensively assessed the performance of SuSiEx using simulations. We further showed that SuSiEx improves the fine-mapping of a range of quantitative traits available in both the UK Biobank and Taiwan Biobank, and improves the fine-mapping of schizophrenia-associated loci by integrating GWAS across East Asian and European ancestries.

Hierarchical joint analysis of marginal summary statistics-Part I: Multipopulation fine mapping and credible set construction

Recent advancement in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) comes from not only increasingly larger sample sizes but also the shift in focus towards underrepresented populations. Multipopulation GWAS increase power to detect novel risk variants and improve fine-mapping resolution by leveraging evidence and differences in linkage disequilibrium (LD) from diverse populations. Here, we expand upon our previous approach for single-population fine-mapping through Joint Analysis of Marginal SNP Effects (JAM) to a multipopulation analysis (mJAM). Under the assumption that true causal variants are common across studies, we implement a hierarchical model framework that conditions on multiple SNPs while explicitly incorporating the different LD structures across populations. The mJAM framework can be used to first select index variants using the mJAM likelihood with different feature selection approaches. In addition, we present a novel approach leveraging the ideas of mediation to construct credible sets for these index variants. Construction of such credible sets can be performed given any existing index variants. We illustrate the implementation of the mJAM likelihood through two implementations: mJAM-SuSiE (a Bayesian approach) and mJAM-Forward selection. Through simulation studies based on realistic effect sizes and levels of LD, we demonstrated that mJAM performs well for constructing concise credible sets that include the underlying causal variants. In real data examples taken from the most recent multipopulation prostate cancer GWAS, we showed several practical advantages of mJAM over other existing multipopulation methods.

Fast and flexible joint fine-mapping of multiple traits via the Sum of Single Effects model

We introduce mvSuSiE, a multi-trait fine-mapping method for identifying putative causal variants from genetic association data (individual-level or summary data). mvSuSiE learns patterns of shared genetic effects from data, and exploits these patterns to improve power to identify causal SNPs. Comparisons on simulated data show that mvSuSiE is competitive in speed, power and precision with existing multi-trait methods, and uniformly improves on single-trait fine-mapping (SuSiE) in each trait separately. We applied mvSuSiE to jointly fine-map 16 blood cell traits using data from the UK Biobank. By jointly analyzing the traits and modeling heterogeneous effect sharing patterns, we discovered a much larger number of causal SNPs (>3,000) compared with single-trait fine-mapping, and with narrower credible sets. mvSuSiE also more comprehensively characterized the ways in which the genetic variants affect one or more blood cell traits; 68% of causal SNPs showed significant effects in more than one blood cell type.

Fine-mapping causal tissues and genes at disease-associated loci

Heritable diseases often manifest in a highly tissue-specific manner, with different disease loci mediated by genes in distinct tissues or cell types. We propose Tissue-Gene Fine-Mapping (TGFM), a fine-mapping method that infers the posterior probability (PIP) for each gene-tissue pair to mediate a disease locus by analyzing GWAS summary statistics (and in-sample LD) and leveraging eQTL data from diverse tissues to build cis-predicted expression models; TGFM also assigns PIPs to causal variants that are not mediated by gene expression in assayed genes and tissues. TGFM accounts for both co-regulation across genes and tissues and LD between SNPs (generalizing existing fine-mapping methods), and incorporates genome-wide estimates of each tissue's contribution to disease as tissue-level priors. TGFM was well-calibrated and moderately well-powered in simulations; unlike previous methods, TGFM was able to attain correct calibration by modeling uncertainty in cis-predicted expression models. We applied TGFM to 45 UK Biobank diseases/traits (average N = 316K) using eQTL data from 38 GTEx tissues. TGFM identified an average of 147 PIP > 0.5 causal genetic elements per disease/trait, of which 11% were gene-tissue pairs. Implicated gene-tissue pairs were concentrated in known disease-critical tissues, and causal genes were strongly enriched in disease-relevant gene sets. Causal gene-tissue pairs identified by TGFM recapitulated known biology (e.g., TPO-thyroid for Hypothyroidism), but also included biologically plausible novel findings (e.g., SLC20A2-artery aorta for Diastolic blood pressure). Further application of TGFM to single-cell eQTL data from 9 cell types in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC), analyzed jointly with GTEx tissues, identified 30 additional causal gene-PBMC cell type pairs at PIP > 0.5-primarily for autoimmune disease and blood cell traits, including the biologically plausible example of CD52 in classical monocyte cells for Monocyte count. In conclusion, TGFM is a robust and powerful method for fine-mapping causal tissues and genes at disease-associated loci.

ON BLOCKWISE AND REFERENCE PANEL-BASED ESTIMATORS FOR GENETIC DATA PREDICTION IN HIGH DIMENSIONS

Genetic prediction holds immense promise for translating genetic discoveries into medical advances. As the high-dimensional covariance matrix (or the linkage disequilibrium (LD) pattern) of genetic variants often presents a block-diagonal structure, numerous methods account for the dependence among variants in predetermined local LD blocks. Moreover, due to privacy considerations and data protection concerns, genetic variant dependence in each LD block is typically estimated from external reference panels rather than the original training data set. This paper presents a unified analysis of blockwise and reference panel-based estimators in a high-dimensional prediction framework without sparsity restrictions. We find that, surprisingly, even when the covariance matrix has a block-diagonal structure with well-defined boundaries, blockwise estimation methods adjusting for local dependence can be substantially less accurate than methods controlling for the whole covariance matrix. Further, estimation methods built on the original training data set and external reference panels are likely to have varying performance in high dimensions, which may reflect the cost of having only access to summary level data from the training data set. This analysis is based on novel results in random matrix theory for block-diagonal covariance matrix. We numerically evaluate our results using extensive simulations and real data analysis in the UK Biobank.

Fine-mapping a genome-wide meta-analysis of 98,374 migraine cases identifies 181 sets of candidate causal variants

Migraine is a highly prevalent neurovascular disorder for which genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified over one hundred risk loci, yet the causal variants and genes remain mostly unknown. Here, we meta-analyzed three migraine GWAS including 98,374 cases and 869,160 controls and identified 122 independent risk loci of which 35 were new. Fine-mapping of a meta-analysis is challenging because some variants may be missing from some participating studies and accurate linkage disequilibrium (LD) information of the variants is often not available. Here, using the exact in-sample LD, we first investigated which statistics could reliably capture the quality of fine-mapping when only reference LD was available. We observed that the posterior expected number of causal variants best distinguished between the high- and low-quality results. Next, we performed fine-mapping for 102 autosomal risk regions using FINEMAP. We produced high-quality fine-mapping for 93 regions and defined 181 distinct credible sets. Among the high-quality credible sets were 7 variants with very high posterior inclusion probability (PIP > 0.9) and 2 missense variants with PIP > 0.5 (rs6330 in NGF and rs1133400 in INPP5A). For 35 association signals, we managed to narrow down the set of potential risk variants to at most 5 variants.

MultiSuSiE improves multi-ancestry fine-mapping in All of Us whole-genome sequencing data

Leveraging data from multiple ancestries can greatly improve fine-mapping power due to differences in linkage disequilibrium and allele frequencies. We propose MultiSuSiE, an extension of the sum of single effects model (SuSiE) to multiple ancestries that allows causal effect sizes to vary across ancestries based on a multivariate normal prior informed by empirical data. We evaluated MultiSuSiE via simulations and analyses of 14 quantitative traits leveraging whole-genome sequencing data in 47k African-ancestry and 94k European-ancestry individuals from All of Us. In simulations, MultiSuSiE applied to Afr47k+Eur47k was well-calibrated and attained higher power than SuSiE applied to Eur94k; interestingly, higher causal variant PIPs in Afr47k compared to Eur47k were entirely explained by differences in the extent of LD quantified by LD 4th moments. Compared to very recently proposed multi-ancestry fine-mapping methods, MultiSuSiE attained higher power and/or much lower computational costs, making the analysis of large-scale All of Us data feasible. In real trait analyses, MultiSuSiE applied to Afr47k+Eur94k identified 579 fine-mapped variants with PIP > 0.5, and MultiSuSiE applied to Afr47k+Eur47k identified 44% more fine-mapped variants with PIP > 0.5 than SuSiE applied to Eur94k. We validated MultiSuSiE results for real traits via functional enrichment of fine-mapped variants. We highlight several examples where MultiSuSiE implicates well-studied or biologically plausible fine-mapped variants that were not implicated by other methods.

Synergizing drug repurposing and target identification for neurodegenerative diseases

Despite dedicated research efforts, the absence of disease-curing remedies for neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs) continues to jeopardize human society and stands as a challenge. Drug repurposing is an attempt to find new functionality of existing drugs and take it as an opportunity to discourse the clinically unmet need to treat neurodegeneration. However, despite applying this approach to rediscover a drug, it can also be used to identify the target on which a drug could work. The primary objective of target identification is to unravel all the possibilities of detecting a new drug or repurposing an existing drug. Lately, scientists and researchers have been focusing on specific genes, a particular site in DNA, a protein, or a molecule that might be involved in the pathogenesis of the disease. However, the new era discusses directing the signaling mechanism involved in the disease progression, where receptors, ion channels, enzymes, and other carrier molecules play a huge role. This review aims to highlight how target identification can expedite the whole process of drug repurposing. Here, we first spot various target-identification methods and drug-repositioning studies, including drug-target and structure-based identification studies. Moreover, we emphasize various drug repurposing approaches in NDDs, namely, experimental-based, mechanism-based, and in silico approaches. Later, we draw attention to validation techniques and stress on drugs that are currently undergoing clinical trials in NDDs. Lastly, we underscore the future perspective of synergizing drug repurposing and target identification in NDDs and present an unresolved question to address the issue.

Genetic determinants of plasma protein levels in the Estonian population

The proteome holds great potential as an intermediate layer between the genome and phenome. Previous protein quantitative trait locus studies have focused mainly on describing the effects of common genetic variations on the proteome. Here, we assessed the impact of the common and rare genetic variations as well as the copy number variants (CNVs) on 326 plasma proteins measured in up to 500 individuals. We identified 184 cis and 94 trans signals for 157 protein traits, which were further fine-mapped to credible sets for 101 cis and 87 trans signals for 151 proteins. Rare genetic variation contributed to the levels of 7 proteins, with 5 cis and 14 trans associations. CNVs were associated with the levels of 11 proteins (7 cis and 5 trans), examples including a 3q12.1 deletion acting as a hub for multiple trans associations; and a CNV overlapping NAIP, a sensor component of the NAIP-NLRC4 inflammasome which is affecting pro-inflammatory cytokine interleukin 18 levels. In summary, this work presents a comprehensive resource of genetic variation affecting the plasma protein levels and provides the interpretation of identified effects.

A multi-ancestry genetic study of pain intensity in 598,339 veterans

Chronic pain is a common problem, with more than one-fifth of adult Americans reporting pain daily or on most days. It adversely affects the quality of life and imposes substantial personal and economic costs. Efforts to treat chronic pain using opioids had a central role in precipitating the opioid crisis. Despite an estimated heritability of 25-50%, the genetic architecture of chronic pain is not well-characterized, in part because studies have largely been limited to samples of European ancestry. To help address this knowledge gap, we conducted a cross-ancestry meta-analysis of pain intensity in 598,339 participants in the Million Veteran Program, which identified 126 independent genetic loci, 69 of which are new. Pain intensity was genetically correlated with other pain phenotypes, level of substance use and substance use disorders, other psychiatric traits, education level and cognitive traits. Integration of the genome-wide association studies findings with functional genomics data shows enrichment for putatively causal genes (n = 142) and proteins (n = 14) expressed in brain tissues, specifically in GABAergic neurons. Drug repurposing analysis identified anticonvulsants, β-blockers and calcium-channel blockers, among other drug groups, as having potential analgesic effects. Our results provide insights into key molecular contributors to the experience of pain and highlight attractive drug targets.

Adjusting for genetic confounders in transcriptome-wide association studies improves discovery of risk genes of complex traits

Many methods have been developed to leverage expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) data to nominate candidate genes from genome-wide association studies. These methods, including colocalization, transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) and Mendelian randomization-based methods; however, all suffer from a key problem-when assessing the role of a gene in a trait using its eQTLs, nearby variants and genetic components of other genes' expression may be correlated with these eQTLs and have direct effects on the trait, acting as potential confounders. Our extensive simulations showed that existing methods fail to account for these 'genetic confounders', resulting in severe inflation of false positives. Our new method, causal-TWAS (cTWAS), borrows ideas from statistical fine-mapping and allows us to adjust all genetic confounders. cTWAS showed calibrated false discovery rates in simulations, and its application on several common traits discovered new candidate genes. In conclusion, cTWAS provides a robust statistical framework for gene discovery.

A Bayesian fine-mapping model using a continuous global-local shrinkage prior with applications in prostate cancer analysis

The aim of fine mapping is to identify genetic variants causally contributing to complex traits or diseases. Existing fine-mapping methods employ Bayesian discrete mixture priors and depend on a pre-specified maximum number of causal variants, which may lead to sub-optimal solutions. In this work, we propose a Bayesian fine-mapping method called h2-D2, utilizing a continuous global-local shrinkage prior. We also present an approach to define credible sets of causal variants in continuous prior settings. Simulation studies demonstrate that h2-D2 outperforms current state-of-the-art fine-mapping methods such as SuSiE and FINEMAP in accurately identifying causal variants and estimating their effect sizes. We further applied h2-D2 to prostate cancer analysis and discovered some previously unknown causal variants. In addition, we inferred 369 target genes associated with the detected causal variants and several pathways that were significantly over-represented by these genes, shedding light on their potential roles in prostate cancer development and progression.

A cross-ancestry genome-wide meta-analysis, fine-mapping, and gene prioritization approach to characterize the genetic architecture of adiponectin

Previous genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for adiponectin, a complex trait linked to type 2 diabetes and obesity, identified >20 associated loci. However, most loci were identified in populations of European ancestry, and many of the target genes underlying the associations remain unknown. We conducted a cross-ancestry adiponectin GWAS meta-analysis in ≤46,434 individuals from the Metabolic Syndrome in Men (METSIM) cohort and the ADIPOGen and AGEN consortiums. We combined study-specific association summary statistics using a fixed-effects, inverse variance-weighted approach. We identified 22 loci associated with adiponectin (p < 5×10-8), including 15 known and seven previously unreported loci. Among individuals of European ancestry, Genome-wide Complex Traits Analysis joint conditional analysis (GCTA-COJO) identified 14 additional distinct signals at the ADIPOQ, CDH13, HCAR1, and ZNF664 loci. Leveraging the cross-ancestry data, FINEMAP + SuSiE identified 45 causal variants (PP > 0.9), which also exhibited potential pleiotropy for cardiometabolic traits. To prioritize target genes at associated loci, we propose a combinatorial likelihood scoring formalism (Gene Priority Score [GPScore]) based on measures derived from 11 gene prioritization strategies and the physical distance to the transcription start site. With GPScore, we prioritize the 30 most probable target genes underlying the adiponectin-associated variants in the cross-ancestry analysis, including well-known causal genes (e.g., ADIPOQ, CDH13) and additional genes (e.g., CSF1, RGS17). Functional association networks revealed complex interactions of prioritized genes, their functionally connected genes, and their underlying pathways centered around insulin and adiponectin signaling, indicating an essential role in regulating energy balance in the body, inflammation, coagulation, fibrinolysis, insulin resistance, and diabetes. Overall, our analyses identify and characterize adiponectin association signals and inform experimental interrogation of target genes for adiponectin.

Defining type 2 diabetes polygenic risk scores through colocalization and network-based clustering of metabolic trait genetic associations

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a heterogeneous and polygenic disease. Previous studies have leveraged the highly polygenic and pleiotropic nature of T2D variants to partition the heterogeneity of T2D, in order to stratify patient risk and gain mechanistic insight. We expanded on these approaches by performing colocalization across GWAS traits while assessing the causality and directionality of genetic associations.

METHODS

We applied colocalization between T2D and 20 related metabolic traits, across 243 loci, to obtain inferences of shared casual variants. Network-based unsupervised hierarchical clustering was performed on variant-trait associations. Partitioned polygenic risk scores (PRSs) were generated for each cluster using T2D summary statistics and validated in 21,742 individuals with T2D from 3 cohorts. Inferences of directionality and causality were obtained by applying Mendelian randomization Steiger's Z-test and further validated in a pediatric cohort without diabetes (aged 9-12 years old, n = 3866).

RESULTS

We identified 146 T2D loci that colocalized with at least one metabolic trait locus. T2D variants within these loci were grouped into 5 clusters. The clusters corresponded to the following pathways: obesity, lipodystrophic insulin resistance, liver and lipid metabolism, hepatic glucose metabolism, and beta-cell dysfunction. We observed heterogeneity in associations between PRSs and metabolic measures across clusters. For instance, the lipodystrophic insulin resistance (Beta - 0.08 SD, 95% CI [- 0.10-0.07], p = 6.50 × 10-32) and beta-cell dysfunction (Beta - 0.10 SD, 95% CI [- 0.12, - 0.08], p = 1.46 × 10-47) PRSs were associated to lower BMI. Mendelian randomization Steiger analysis indicated that increased T2D risk in these pathways was causally associated to lower BMI. However, the obesity PRS was conversely associated with increased BMI (Beta 0.08 SD, 95% CI 0.06-0.10, p = 8.0 × 10-33). Analyses within a pediatric cohort supported this finding. Additionally, the lipodystrophic insulin resistance PRS was associated with a higher odds of chronic kidney disease (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.02-1.62, p = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

We successfully partitioned T2D genetic variants into phenotypic pathways using a colocalization first approach. Partitioned PRSs were associated to unique metabolic and clinical outcomes indicating successful partitioning of disease heterogeneity. Our work expands on previous approaches by providing stronger inferences of shared causal variants, causality, and directionality of GWAS variant-trait associations.

Improving fine-mapping by modeling infinitesimal effects

Fine-mapping aims to identify causal genetic variants for phenotypes. Bayesian fine-mapping algorithms (for example, SuSiE, FINEMAP, ABF and COJO-ABF) are widely used, but assessing posterior probability calibration remains challenging in real data, where model misspecification probably exists, and true causal variants are unknown. We introduce replication failure rate (RFR), a metric to assess fine-mapping consistency by downsampling. SuSiE, FINEMAP and COJO-ABF show high RFR, indicating potential overconfidence in their output. Simulations reveal that nonsparse genetic architecture can lead to miscalibration, while imputation noise, nonuniform distribution of causal variants and quality control filters have minimal impact. Here we present SuSiE-inf and FINEMAP-inf, fine-mapping methods modeling infinitesimal effects alongside fewer larger causal effects. Our methods show improved calibration, RFR and functional enrichment, competitive recall and computational efficiency. Notably, using our methods' posterior effect sizes substantially increases polygenic risk score accuracy over SuSiE and FINEMAP. Our work improves causal variant identification for complex traits, a fundamental goal of human genetics.

Identification of constrained sequence elements across 239 primate genomes

Noncoding DNA is central to our understanding of human gene regulation and complex diseases1,2, and measuring the evolutionary sequence constraint can establish the functional relevance of putative regulatory elements in the human genome3-9. Identifying the genomic elements that have become constrained specifically in primates has been hampered by the faster evolution of noncoding DNA compared to protein-coding DNA10, the relatively short timescales separating primate species11, and the previously limited availability of whole-genome sequences12. Here we construct a whole-genome alignment of 239 species, representing nearly half of all extant species in the primate order. Using this resource, we identified human regulatory elements that are under selective constraint across primates and other mammals at a 5% false discovery rate. We detected 111,318 DNase I hypersensitivity sites and 267,410 transcription factor binding sites that are constrained specifically in primates but not across other placental mammals and validate their cis-regulatory effects on gene expression. These regulatory elements are enriched for human genetic variants that affect gene expression and complex traits and diseases. Our results highlight the important role of recent evolution in regulatory sequence elements differentiating primates, including humans, from other placental mammals.

Pervasive correlations between causal disease effects of proximal SNPs vary with functional annotations and implicate stabilizing selection

The genetic architecture of human diseases and complex traits has been extensively studied, but little is known about the relationship of causal disease effect sizes between proximal SNPs, which have largely been assumed to be independent. We introduce a new method, LD SNP-pair effect correlation regression (LDSPEC), to estimate the correlation of causal disease effect sizes of derived alleles between proximal SNPs, depending on their allele frequencies, LD, and functional annotations; LDSPEC produced robust estimates in simulations across various genetic architectures. We applied LDSPEC to 70 diseases and complex traits from the UK Biobank (average N=306K), meta-analyzing results across diseases/traits. We detected significantly nonzero effect correlations for proximal SNP pairs (e.g., -0.37±0.09 for low-frequency positive-LD 0-100bp SNP pairs) that decayed with distance (e.g., -0.07±0.01 for low-frequency positive-LD 1-10kb), varied with allele frequency (e.g., -0.15±0.04 for common positive-LD 0-100bp), and varied with LD between SNPs (e.g., +0.12±0.05 for common negative-LD 0-100bp) (because we consider derived alleles, positive-LD and negative-LD SNP pairs may yield very different results). We further determined that SNP pairs with shared functions had stronger effect correlations that spanned longer genomic distances, e.g., -0.37±0.08 for low-frequency positive-LD same-gene promoter SNP pairs (average genomic distance of 47kb (due to alternative splicing)) and -0.32±0.04 for low-frequency positive-LD H3K27ac 0-1kb SNP pairs. Consequently, SNP-heritability estimates were substantially smaller than estimates of the sum of causal effect size variances across all SNPs (ratio of 0.87±0.02 across diseases/traits), particularly for certain functional annotations (e.g., 0.78±0.01 for common Super enhancer SNPs)-even though these quantities are widely assumed to be equal. We recapitulated our findings via forward simulations with an evolutionary model involving stabilizing selection, implicating the action of linkage masking, whereby haplotypes containing linked SNPs with opposite effects on disease have reduced effects on fitness and escape negative selection.

Pervasive correlations between causal disease effects of proximal SNPs vary with functional annotations and implicate stabilizing selection

The genetic architecture of human diseases and complex traits has been extensively studied, but little is known about the relationship of causal disease effect sizes between proximal SNPs, which have largely been assumed to be independent. We introduce a new method, LD SNP-pair effect correlation regression (LDSPEC), to estimate the correlation of causal disease effect sizes of derived alleles between proximal SNPs, depending on their allele frequencies, LD, and functional annotations; LDSPEC produced robust estimates in simulations across various genetic architectures. We applied LDSPEC to 70 diseases and complex traits from the UK Biobank (average N=306K), meta-analyzing results across diseases/traits. We detected significantly nonzero effect correlations for proximal SNP pairs (e.g., -0.37±0.09 for low-frequency positive-LD 0-100bp SNP pairs) that decayed with distance (e.g., -0.07±0.01 for low-frequency positive-LD 1-10kb), varied with allele frequency (e.g., -0.15±0.04 for common positive-LD 0-100bp), and varied with LD between SNPs (e.g., +0.12±0.05 for common negative-LD 0-100bp) (because we consider derived alleles, positive-LD and negative-LD SNP pairs may yield very different results). We further determined that SNP pairs with shared functions had stronger effect correlations that spanned longer genomic distances, e.g., -0.37±0.08 for low-frequency positive-LD same-gene promoter SNP pairs (average genomic distance of 47kb (due to alternative splicing)) and -0.32±0.04 for low-frequency positive-LD H3K27ac 0-1kb SNP pairs. Consequently, SNP-heritability estimates were substantially smaller than estimates of the sum of causal effect size variances across all SNPs (ratio of 0.87±0.02 across diseases/traits), particularly for certain functional annotations (e.g., 0.78±0.01 for common Super enhancer SNPs)-even though these quantities are widely assumed to be equal. We recapitulated our findings via forward simulations with an evolutionary model involving stabilizing selection, implicating the action of linkage masking, whereby haplotypes containing linked SNPs with opposite effects on disease have reduced effects on fitness and escape negative selection.

Accurate and efficient estimation of local heritability using summary statistics and the linkage disequilibrium matrix

Existing SNP-heritability estimators that leverage summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are much less efficient (i.e., have larger standard errors) than the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimators which require access to individual-level data. We introduce a new method for local heritability estimation-Heritability Estimation with high Efficiency using LD and association Summary Statistics (HEELS)-that significantly improves the statistical efficiency of summary-statistics-based heritability estimator and attains comparable statistical efficiency as REML (with a relative statistical efficiency >92%). Moreover, we propose representing the empirical LD matrix as the sum of a low-rank matrix and a banded matrix. We show that this way of modeling the LD can not only reduce the storage and memory cost, but also improve the computational efficiency of heritability estimation. We demonstrate the statistical efficiency of HEELS and the advantages of our proposed LD approximation strategies both in simulations and through empirical analyses of the UK Biobank data.

SparsePro: An efficient fine-mapping method integrating summary statistics and functional annotations

Identifying causal variants from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) is challenging due to widespread linkage disequilibrium (LD) and the possible existence of multiple causal variants in the same genomic locus. Functional annotations of the genome may help to prioritize variants that are biologically relevant and thus improve fine-mapping of GWAS results. Classical fine-mapping methods conducting an exhaustive search of variant-level causal configurations have a high computational cost, especially when the underlying genetic architecture and LD patterns are complex. SuSiE provided an iterative Bayesian stepwise selection algorithm for efficient fine-mapping. In this work, we build connections between SuSiE and a paired mean field variational inference algorithm through the implementation of a sparse projection, and propose effective strategies for estimating hyperparameters and summarizing posterior probabilities. Moreover, we incorporate functional annotations into fine-mapping by jointly estimating enrichment weights to derive functionally-informed priors. We evaluate the performance of SparsePro through extensive simulations using resources from the UK Biobank. Compared to state-of-the-art methods, SparsePro achieved improved power for fine-mapping with reduced computation time. We demonstrate the utility of SparsePro through fine-mapping of five functional biomarkers of clinically relevant phenotypes. In summary, we have developed an efficient fine-mapping method for integrating summary statistics and functional annotations. Our method can have wide utility in understanding the genetics of complex traits and increasing the yield of functional follow-up studies of GWAS. SparsePro software is available on GitHub at https://github.com/zhwm/SparsePro.

East Asian-specific and cross-ancestry genome-wide meta-analyses provide mechanistic insights into peptic ulcer disease

Peptic ulcer disease (PUD) refers to acid-induced injury of the digestive tract, occurring mainly in the stomach (gastric ulcer (GU)) or duodenum (duodenal ulcer (DU)). In the present study, we conducted a large-scale, cross-ancestry meta-analysis of PUD combining genome-wide association studies with Japanese and European studies (52,032 cases and 905,344 controls), and discovered 25 new loci highly concordant across ancestries. An examination of GU and DU genetic architecture demonstrated that GUs shared the same risk loci as DUs, although with smaller genetic effect sizes and higher polygenicity than DUs, indicating higher heterogeneity of GUs. Helicobacter pylori (HP)-stratified analysis found an HP-related host genetic locus. Integrative analyses using bulk and single-cell transcriptome profiles highlighted the genetic factors of PUD being enriched in the highly expressed genes in stomach tissues, especially in somatostatin-producing D cells. Our results provide genetic evidence that gastrointestinal cell differentiations and hormone regulations are critical in PUD etiology.

Leveraging information between multiple population groups and traits improves fine-mapping resolution

Statistical fine-mapping helps to pinpoint likely causal variants underlying genetic association signals. Its resolution can be improved by (i) leveraging information between traits; and (ii) exploiting differences in linkage disequilibrium structure between diverse population groups. Using association summary statistics, MGflashfm jointly fine-maps signals from multiple traits and population groups; MGfm uses an analogous framework to analyse each trait separately. We also provide a practical approach to fine-mapping with out-of-sample reference panels. In simulation studies we show that MGflashfm and MGfm are well-calibrated and that the mean proportion of causal variants with PP > 0.80 is above 0.75 (MGflashfm) and 0.70 (MGfm). In our analysis of four lipids traits across five population groups, MGflashfm gives a median 99% credible set reduction of 10.5% over MGfm. MGflashfm and MGfm only require summary level data, making them very useful fine-mapping tools in consortia efforts where individual-level data cannot be shared.

Genome-wide association analysis of plasma lipidome identifies 495 genetic associations

The human plasma lipidome captures risk for cardiometabolic diseases. To discover new lipid-associated variants and understand the link between lipid species and cardiometabolic disorders, we perform univariate and multivariate genome-wide analyses of 179 lipid species in 7174 Finnish individuals. We fine-map the associated loci, prioritize genes, and examine their disease links in 377,277 FinnGen participants. We identify 495 genome-trait associations in 56 genetic loci including 8 novel loci, with a considerable boost provided by the multivariate analysis. For 26 loci, fine-mapping identifies variants with a high causal probability, including 14 coding variants indicating likely causal genes. A phenome-wide analysis across 953 disease endpoints reveals disease associations for 40 lipid loci. For 11 coronary artery disease risk variants, we detect strong associations with lipid species. Our study demonstrates the power of multivariate genetic analysis in correlated lipidomics data and reveals genetic links between diseases and lipid species beyond the standard lipids.

Genome-wide association study identifies novel susceptibilities to adult moyamoya disease

Genome-wide association study has limited to discover single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in several ethnicities. Here, we investigated an initial GWAS to identify genetic modifiers predicting with adult moyamoya disease (MMD) in Koreans. GWAS was performed in 216 patients with MMD and 296 controls using the large-scale Asian-specific Axiom Precision Medicine Research Array. A subsequent fine-mapping analysis was conducted to assess the causal variants associated with adult MMD. A total of 489,966 out of 802,688 SNPs were subjected to quality control analysis. Twenty-one SNPs reached a genome-wide significance threshold (p = 5 × 10-8) after pruning linkage disequilibrium (r2 < 0.8) and mis-clustered SNPs. Among these variants, the 17q25.3 region including TBC1D16, CCDC40, GAA, RNF213, and ENDOV genes was broadly associated with MMD (p = 3.1 × 10-20 to 4.2 × 10-8). Mutations in RNF213 including rs8082521 (Q1133K), rs10782008 (V1195M), rs9913636 (E1272Q), rs8074015 (D1331G), and rs9674961 (S2334N) showed a genome-wide significance (1.9 × 10-8 < p < 4.3 × 10-12) and were also replicated in the East-Asian populations. In subsequent analysis, RNF213 mutations were validated in a fine-mapping outcome (log10BF > 7). Most of the loci associated with MMD including 17q25.3 regions were detected with a statistical power greater than 80%. This study identifies several novel and known variations predicting adult MMD in Koreans. These findings may good biomarkers to evaluate MMD susceptibility and its clinical outcomes.

Identifying genetic regulatory variants that affect transcription factor activity

Genetic variants affecting gene expression levels in humans have been mapped in the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) project. Trans-acting variants impacting many genes simultaneously through a shared transcription factor (TF) are of particular interest. Here, we developed a generalized linear model (GLM) to estimate protein-level TF activity levels in an individual-specific manner from GTEx RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) profiles. It uses observed differential gene expression after TF perturbation as a predictor and, by analyzing differential expression within pairs of neighboring genes, controls for the confounding effect of variation in chromatin state along the genome. We inferred genotype-specific activities for 55 TFs across 49 tissues. Subsequently performing genome-wide association analysis on this virtual trait revealed TF activity quantitative trait loci (aQTLs) that, as a set, are enriched for functional features. Altogether, the set of tools we introduce here highlights the potential of genetic association studies for cellular endophenotypes based on a network-based multi-omics approach. The transparent peer review record is available.

Extremely sparse models of linkage disequilibrium in ancestrally diverse association studies

Linkage disequilibrium (LD) is the correlation among nearby genetic variants. In genetic association studies, LD is often modeled using large correlation matrices, but this approach is inefficient, especially in ancestrally diverse studies. In the present study, we introduce LD graphical models (LDGMs), which are an extremely sparse and efficient representation of LD. LDGMs are derived from genome-wide genealogies; statistical relationships among alleles in the LDGM correspond to genealogical relationships among haplotypes. We published LDGMs and ancestry-specific LDGM precision matrices for 18 million common variants (minor allele frequency >1%) in five ancestry groups, validated their accuracy and demonstrated order-of-magnitude improvements in runtime for commonly used LD matrix computations. We implemented an extremely fast multiancestry polygenic prediction method, BLUPx-ldgm, which performs better than a similar method based on the reference LD correlation matrix. LDGMs will enable sophisticated methods that scale to ancestrally diverse genetic association data across millions of variants and individuals.

Colocalization of corneal resistance factor GWAS loci with GTEx e/sQTLs highlights plausible candidate causal genes for keratoconus postnatal corneal stroma weakening

Background: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for corneal resistance factor (CRF) have identified 100s of loci and proved useful to uncover genetic determinants for keratoconus, a corneal ectasia of early-adulthood onset and common indication of corneal transplantation. In the current absence of studies to probe the impact of candidate causal variants in the cornea, we aimed to fill some of this knowledge gap by leveraging tissue-shared genetic effects. Methods: 181 CRF signals were examined for evidence of colocalization with genetic signals affecting steady-state gene transcription and splicing in adult, non-eye, tissues of the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) project. Expression of candidate causal genes thus nominated was evaluated in single cell transcriptomes from adult cornea, limbus and conjunctiva. Fine-mapping and colocalization of CRF and keratoconus GWAS signals was also deployed to support their sharing causal variants. Results and discussion: 26.5% of CRF causal signals colocalized with GTEx v8 signals and nominated genes enriched in genes with high and specific expression in corneal stromal cells amongst tissues examined. Enrichment analyses carried out with nearest genes to all 181 CRF GWAS signals indicated that stromal cells of the limbus could be susceptible to signals that did not colocalize with GTEx's. These cells might not be well represented in GTEx and/or the genetic associations might have context specific effects. The causal signals shared with GTEx provide new insights into mediation of CRF genetic effects, including modulation of splicing events. Functionally relevant roles for several implicated genes' products in providing tensile strength, mechano-sensing and signaling make the corresponding genes and regulatory variants prime candidates to be validated and their roles and effects across tissues elucidated. Colocalization of CRF and keratoconus GWAS signals strengthened support for shared causal variants but also highlighted many ways into which likely true shared signals could be missed when using readily available GWAS summary statistics.

Exploring opportunities for drug repurposing and precision medicine in cannabis use disorder using genetics

Cannabis use disorder (CUD) remains a significant public health issue globally, affecting up to one in five adults who use cannabis. Despite extensive research into the molecular underpinnings of the condition, there are no effective pharmacological treatment options available. Therefore, we sought to further explore genetic analyses to prioritise opportunities to repurpose existing drugs for CUD. Specifically, we aimed to identify druggable genes associated with the disorder, integrate transcriptomic/proteomic data and estimate genetic relationships with clinically actionable biochemical traits. Aggregating variants to genes based on genomic position, prioritised the phosphodiesterase gene PDE4B as an interesting target for drug repurposing in CUD. Credible causal PDE4B variants revealed by probabilistic finemapping in and around this locus demonstrated an association with inflammatory and other substance use phenotypes. Gene and protein expression data integrated with the GWAS data revealed a novel CUD associated gene, NPTX1, in whole blood and supported a role for hyaluronidase, a key enzyme in the extracellular matrix in the brain and other tissues. Finally, genetic correlation with biochemical traits revealed a genetic overlap between CUD and immune-related markers such as lymphocyte count, as well as serum triglycerides.

Leveraging polygenic enrichments of gene features to predict genes underlying complex traits and diseases

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) are a valuable tool for understanding the biology of complex human traits and diseases, but associated variants rarely point directly to causal genes. In the present study, we introduce a new method, polygenic priority score (PoPS), that learns trait-relevant gene features, such as cell-type-specific expression, to prioritize genes at GWAS loci. Using a large evaluation set of genes with fine-mapped coding variants, we show that PoPS and the closest gene individually outperform other gene prioritization methods, but observe the best overall performance by combining PoPS with orthogonal methods. Using this combined approach, we prioritize 10,642 unique gene-trait pairs across 113 complex traits and diseases with high precision, finding not only well-established gene-trait relationships but nominating new genes at unresolved loci, such as LGR4 for estimated glomerular filtration rate and CCR7 for deep vein thrombosis. Overall, we demonstrate that PoPS provides a powerful addition to the gene prioritization toolbox.

Fine-mapping across diverse ancestries drives the discovery of putative causal variants underlying human complex traits and diseases

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of human complex traits or diseases often implicate genetic loci that span hundreds or thousands of genetic variants, many of which have similar statistical significance. While statistical fine-mapping in individuals of European ancestries has made important discoveries, cross-population fine-mapping has the potential to improve power and resolution by capitalizing on the genomic diversity across ancestries. Here we present SuSiEx, an accurate and computationally efficient method for cross-population fine-mapping, which builds on the single-population fine-mapping framework, Sum of Single Effects (SuSiE). SuSiEx integrates data from an arbitrary number of ancestries, explicitly models population-specific allele frequencies and LD patterns, accounts for multiple causal variants in a genomic region, and can be applied to GWAS summary statistics. We comprehensively evaluated SuSiEx using simulations, a range of quantitative traits measured in both UK Biobank and Taiwan Biobank, and schizophrenia GWAS across East Asian and European ancestries. In all evaluations, SuSiEx fine-mapped more association signals, produced smaller credible sets and higher posterior inclusion probability (PIP) for putative causal variants, and captured population-specific causal variants.

Genetic fine-mapping from summary data using a nonlocal prior improves the detection of multiple causal variants

MOTIVATION

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have been successful in identifying genomic loci associated with complex traits. Genetic fine-mapping aims to detect independent causal variants from the GWAS-identified loci, adjusting for linkage disequilibrium patterns.

RESULTS

We present "FiniMOM" (fine-mapping using a product inverse-moment prior), a novel Bayesian fine-mapping method for summarized genetic associations. For causal effects, the method uses a nonlocal inverse-moment prior, which is a natural prior distribution to model non-null effects in finite samples. A beta-binomial prior is set for the number of causal variants, with a parameterization that can be used to control for potential misspecifications in the linkage disequilibrium reference. The results of simulations studies aimed to mimic a typical GWAS on circulating protein levels show improved credible set coverage and power of the proposed method over current state-of-the-art fine-mapping method SuSiE, especially in the case of multiple causal variants within a locus.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

https://vkarhune.github.io/finimom/.

Locus for severity implicates CNS resilience in progression of multiple sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune disease of the central nervous system (CNS) that results in significant neurodegeneration in the majority of those affected and is a common cause of chronic neurological disability in young adults1,2. Here, to provide insight into the potential mechanisms involved in progression, we conducted a genome-wide association study of the age-related MS severity score in 12,584 cases and replicated our findings in a further 9,805 cases. We identified a significant association with rs10191329 in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus, the risk allele of which is associated with a shortening in the median time to requiring a walking aid of a median of 3.7 years in homozygous carriers and with increased brainstem and cortical pathology in brain tissue. We also identified suggestive association with rs149097173 in the DNM3-PIGC locus and significant heritability enrichment in CNS tissues. Mendelian randomization analyses suggested a potential protective role for higher educational attainment. In contrast to immune-driven susceptibility3, these findings suggest a key role for CNS resilience and potentially neurocognitive reserve in determining outcome in MS.

Leveraging family data to design Mendelian randomization that is provably robust to population stratification

Mendelian randomization (MR) has emerged as a powerful approach to leverage genetic instruments to infer causality between pairs of traits in observational studies. However, the results of such studies are susceptible to biases owing to weak instruments, as well as the confounding effects of population stratification and horizontal pleiotropy. Here, we show that family data can be leveraged to design MR tests that are provably robust to confounding from population stratification, assortative mating, and dynastic effects. We show in simulations that our approach, MR-Twin, is robust to confounding from population stratification and is not affected by weak instrument bias, whereas standard MR methods yield inflated false positive rates. We then conduct an exploratory analysis of MR-Twin and other MR methods applied to 121 trait pairs in the UK Biobank data set. Our results suggest that confounding from population stratification can lead to false positives for existing MR methods, whereas MR-Twin is immune to this type of confounding, and that MR-Twin can help assess whether traditional approaches may be inflated owing to confounding from population stratification.