The efficacy and effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccines in reducing infection, severity, hospitalization, and mortality: a systematic review

Comprehensive insights into COVID-19 vaccine-associated multiple evanescent white dot syndrome (MEWDS): A systematic analysis of reported cases

Considering the widespread use of COVID-19 vaccines as a preventive measure against the spread of the virus, it's necessary to direct attention to the adverse effects associated with vaccines in a limited group of populations. Multiple evanescent white dot syndrome (MEWDS) following COVID-19 vaccination is a rare adverse reaction associated with COVID-19 vaccines. In this systematic review, we collected 19 articles with 27 patients up to November 1, 2023, summarizing the basic information, clinical manifestations, examinations, treatments, and recoveries of the 27 patients. The 27 enrolled patients (6 males, 21 females) had a median age of 34.1 years (15-71 years old) and were mainly from 5 regions: Asia (8), the Mediterranean region (8), North America (7), Oceania (3) and Brazil (1). Symptoms occurred post-first dose in 9 patients, post-second dose in 14 (1 with symptoms after both), post-third dose in 1, and both post-second and booster doses in 1, while details on 2 cases were not disclosed. Treatments included tapered oral steroids (6), topical steroids (3), tapered prednisone with antiviral drugs and vitamins (1), and valacyclovir and acetazolamide (1), while 16 received no treatment. All patients experienced symptom improvement, and nearly all patients ultimately recovered. Moreover, we summarized possible hypotheses concerning the mechanism of COVID-19 vaccine-associated MEWDS. The findings provide insights into the clinical aspects of COVID-19 vaccine-associated MEWDS. More attention should be given to patients with vaccine-associated MEWDS, and necessary treatment should be provided to patients experiencing a substantial decline in visual acuity to improve their quality of life.

Death Risk Response of High-Altitude Resident Populations to COVID-19 Vaccine: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Vásquez-Velásquez, Cinthya, Diego Fano-Sizgorich, and Gustavo F Gonzales. Death risk response of high-altitude resident populations to COVID-19 vaccine: Retrospective cohort study. High Alt Med Biol. 00:00-00, 2024. Background: Peru had one of the highest mortality rates caused by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic worldwide. Vaccination significantly reduces mortality. However, the effectiveness of vaccination might differ at different altitudinal levels. The study aimed to evaluate the effect modification of altitude on the association between vaccination and COVID-19 mortality in Peru. Methodology: A retrospective cohort, using open access databases of deaths, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and vaccination was obtained from the Peruvian Ministry of Health. Deaths due to COVID-19 were evaluated in vaccinated and nonvaccinated patients. Crude (RR) and adjusted relative risks (aRR) were calculated using generalized linear models of Poisson family with robust variances. Models were adjusted for age, sex, pandemic wave, and Human Development Index. To evaluate the interaction by altitude, a stratified analysis by this variable was performed. The variable altitude was categorized as, 0-499 m (828,298 cases), 500-1,499 m (64,735 cases), 1,500-2,499 m (106,572 cases), and ≥2,500 m (179,004 cases). The final sample studied included 1,362,350 cases. Results: The vaccine showed a considerable reduction of death risk with the second (aRR: 0.41, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.38-0.44) and third doses (aRR: 0.21, 95% CI: 0.20-0.23). In the adjusted and interaction model, it can be observed that medium and high altitude present a higher risk of death compared to sea level (aRR: 2.58 and 2.03, respectively). Likewise, the two doses' group presents an aRR:1.22 for medium altitude (1,500-2,499 m) and 1.6 for high altitude (≥2,500 m), compared with low-altitude population, suggesting that the action of vaccination at high altitude is altered by the effect of the altitude itself. Conclusions: Altitude might modify the protective effect of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine against COVID-19 death.

A viral vaccine design harnessing prior BCG immunization confers protection against Ebola virus

Previous studies have demonstrated the efficacy and feasibility of an anti-viral vaccine strategy that takes advantage of pre-existing CD4+ helper T (Th) cells induced by Mycobacterium bovis bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination. This strategy uses immunization with recombinant fusion proteins comprised of a cell surface expressed viral antigen, such as a viral envelope glycoprotein, engineered to contain well-defined BCG Th cell epitopes, thus rapidly recruiting Th cells induced by prior BCG vaccination to provide intrastructural help to virus-specific B cells. In the current study, we show that Th cells induced by BCG were localized predominantly outside of germinal centers and promoted antibody class switching to isotypes characterized by strong Fc receptor interactions and effector functions. Furthermore, BCG vaccination also upregulated FcγR expression to potentially maximize antibody-dependent effector activities. Using a mouse model of Ebola virus (EBOV) infection, this vaccine strategy provided sustained antibody levels with strong IgG2c bias and protection against lethal challenge. This general approach can be easily adapted to other viruses, and may be a rapid and effective method of immunization against emerging pandemics in populations that routinely receive BCG vaccination.

Pregnancy-related and Neonatal Outcomes during Omicron Variant-Dominant COVID-19 Pandemic among the Black-Dominant Population

OBJECTIVE

 This study aimed to determine the effect of the Omicron variant on pregnancy-related and neonatal outcomes among the Black-dominant population.

STUDY DESIGN

 We performed a single-center, retrospective cohort study during the prepandemic period from December 1, 2019, to February 29, 2020, and the Omicron surging period from December 1, 2021, to February 28, 2022. A total of 518 pregnant women were admitted for delivery during the study period. Multiple gestations (n = 21) and deliveries at less than 20 weeks of gestation (n = 5) were excluded. We analyzed and compared the sociodemographic and clinical data from mothers and their neonates between the two cohorts as well as between severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) positive and negative mothers during the Omicron surge. Subgroup analyses were also conducted specifically among the Black-only population.

RESULTS

 The cohorts were predominantly Black (88.6%), with smaller proportions of Hispanic (8.9%), Asian (0.8%), White (0.8%), and other ethnicities (0.8%). Of 492 singleton deliveries, 275 live births, 8 (2.8%) stillbirths, and 31 (11.3%) preterm births (PTBs) occurred during the prepandemic period, and 207 live births, 2 (1%) stillbirths, and 33 (15.9%) PTBs occurred during the Omicron wave. There was no statistically significant difference in the rates of PTBs, stillbirths, medically indicated PTBs, and cesarean delivery between the two cohorts. SARS-CoV-2-positive mothers were not at an increased risk of adverse outcomes. However, neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission rate significantly increased among neonates born to SARS-CoV-2 positive mothers compared with negative mothers (32.3 vs. 16.5%, p = 0.038). In subgroup analyses among Black individuals, this difference was not observed.

CONCLUSION

 There was no significant difference in pregnancy-related or neonatal outcomes in the Black-dominant population between the two cohorts. SARS-CoV-2 infection did not alter these findings except for an increased NICU admission rate among neonates born to SARS-CoV-2-positive mothers.

KEY POINTS

· Most pregnant women infected with SARS-CoV-2 during the Omicron wave were asymptomatic.. · The Omicron wave did not increase the risk of pregnancy-related or neonatal adverse outcomes when compared with the prepandemic period.. · Maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection increased NICU admission rate.. · Among Black individuals, no significant increase in adverse outcomes was observed during the Omicron pandemic..

The impact of COVID-19 and vaccination status on outcomes in veterans with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The impact of both COVID-19 infection and vaccination status on patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the impact of COVID-19 infection and vaccination status on 60-day mortality, cardiovascular, and respiratory complications in patients with a prior diagnosis of HNSCC.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study through the Veterans Affairs (VA) Corporate Data Warehouse of Veterans with HNSCC who were tested for COVID-19 during any inpatient VA medical center admission. A cohort of patients was created of Veterans with a diagnosis of HNSCC of the oral cavity,oropharynx, hypopharynx, larynx, and nasopharynx based on International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes. Data collected included clinical/demographic data, vaccination status, and incidence of 60-day mortality, 60-day cardiovascular complication (including myocardial infarction, venous thromboembolism, cerebrovascular accident), and 60-day respiratory complication (including acute respiratory failure, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and pneumonia). The interactions between COVID-19 infection, vaccination status, morbidity and mortality were investigated.

RESULTS

Of the 14 262 patients with HNSCC who were tested for COVID-19 during inpatient admission, 4754 tested positive (33.3%), and 9508 (67.7%) tested negative. Patients who tested positive demonstrated increased 60-day mortality (4.7% vs. 2.0%, respectively; p < 0.001), acute respiratory failure (ARF; 15.4% vs. 7.1%, p < 0.001), acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS; 0.9% vs. 0.2%, p < 0.001), and pneumonia (PNA; 20.0% vs. 6.4%, p < 0.001) compared to those who never tested positive, respectively. Patients who received COVID-19 vaccination between 2 weeks and 6 months prior to a positive test demonstrated decreased rates of ARF (13.2% vs. 16.0%, p = 0.034) and PNA (16.7% vs. 20.9%, p = 0.003) compared to the unvaccinated group. A logistic regression of patients with COVID-19 infections who died within 60 days was performed, with no significant survival advantage among patients vaccinated between 2 weeks and 6 months prior to the positive test.

CONCLUSION

COVID-19 infection may significantly increase rates of 60-day mortality and respiratory complications in patients with HNSCC. COVID-19 vaccination between 2 weeks and 6 months prior to infection may decrease severity of respiratory complications but did not show significant mortality benefits in this study. These data highlight the need for surveillance of respiratory infection and vaccination in this vulnerable population.

Does COVID-19 vaccination increase the risk of interstitial lung disease at a population level?

This study showed a significantly lower incidence of ILD among COVID-19 vaccinated individuals compared to unvaccinated, suggesting that the risk of COVID-19 vaccine-related ILD is not as high as previously reported https://bit.ly/3TWzzxP.

Pharmacovigilance in Vaccines: Importance, Main Aspects, Perspectives, and Challenges-A Narrative Review

Pharmacovigilance plays a central role in safeguarding public health by continuously monitoring the safety of vaccines, being critical in a climate of vaccine hesitancy, where public trust is paramount. Pharmacovigilance strategies employed to gather information on adverse events following immunization (AEFIs) include pre-registration data, media reports, clinical trials, and societal reporting. Early detection of AEFIs during clinical trials is crucial for thorough safety analysis and preventing serious reactions once vaccines are deployed. This review highlights the importance of societal reporting, encompassing contributions from community members, healthcare workers, and pharmaceutical companies. Technological advancements such as quick response (QR) codes can facilitate prompt AEFI reporting. While vaccines are demonstrably safe, the possibility of adverse events necessitates continuous post-marketing surveillance. However, underreporting remains a challenge, underscoring the critical role of public engagement in pharmacovigilance. This narrative review comprehensively examines and synthesizes key aspects of virus vaccine pharmacovigilance, with special considerations for specific population groups. We explore applicable legislation, the spectrum of AEFIs associated with major vaccines, and the unique challenges and perspectives surrounding pharmacovigilance in this domain.

An Overview of the Strategies to Boost SARS-CoV-2-Specific Immunity in People with Inborn Errors of Immunity

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has heightened concerns about immunological protection, especially for individuals with inborn errors of immunity (IEI). While COVID-19 vaccines elicit strong immune responses in healthy individuals, their effectiveness in IEI patients remains unclear, particularly against new viral variants and vaccine formulations. This uncertainty has led to anxiety, prolonged self-isolation, and repeated vaccinations with uncertain benefits among IEI patients. Despite some level of immune response from vaccination, the definition of protective immunity in IEI individuals is still unknown. Given their susceptibility to severe COVID-19, strategies such as immunoglobulin replacement therapy (IgRT) and monoclonal antibodies have been employed to provide passive immunity, and protection against both current and emerging variants. This review examines the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines and antibody-based therapies in IEI patients, their capacity to recognize viral variants, and the necessary advances required for the ongoing protection of people with IEIs.

Prior COVID-19 Diagnosis, Severe Outcomes, and Long COVID among U.S. Adults, 2022

Given the increase in COVID-19 emergency department visits and hospitalizations during the winter of 2023-2024, identifying groups that have a high prevalence of COVID-19 cases, severity, and long-term symptoms can help increase efforts toward reducing disparities and prevent severe COVID-19 outcomes. Using data from the 2022 National Health Interview Survey (n = 27,651), we assessed the prevalence of COVID-19 outcomes (prior diagnosis, moderate/severe COVID-19, and long COVID) by sociodemographic characteristics and factors associated with each COVID-19 outcome. Approximately one third of adults reported a prior COVID-19 diagnosis (30.7%), while one half (51.6%) who had COVID-19 reported moderate or severe symptoms, and one fifth (19.7%) who had COVID-19 symptoms reported long COVID. The following were associated with higher odds of moderate/severe COVID-19 and long COVID: havinga high-risk condition (aOR = 1.20, OR = 1.52); having anxiety or depression (OR = 1.46, OR = 1.49); having a disability (OR = 1.41, OR = 1.60); and having a food insecurity (OR = 1.37, OR = 1.50) compared to a lack of these conditions. Having two or more COVID-19 vaccinations was associated with lower odds of a COVID-19 diagnosis (OR = 0.75), moderate/severe COVID-19 (OR = 0.86), and long COVID (OR = 0.82). Improving vaccination coverage and reducing disparities in COVID-19 outcomes could advance health equities and protect against future resurgence of disease.

Associations between obesity, a composite risk score for probable long COVID, and sleep problems in SARS-CoV-2 vaccinated individuals

BACKGROUND

Preliminary data suggests that obesity might hasten the decline in mRNA vaccine-induced immunity against SARS-CoV-2. However, whether this renders individuals with obesity more susceptible to long COVID symptoms post-vaccination remains uncertain. Given sleep's critical role in immunity, exploring the associations between obesity, probable long COVID symptoms, and sleep disturbances is essential.

METHODS

We analyzed data from a survey of 5919 adults aged 18 to 89, all of whom received two SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccinations. Participants were categorized into normal weight, overweight, and obesity groups based on ethnicity-specific BMI cutoffs. The probability of long COVID was evaluated using the Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC) score, as our survey did not permit confirmation of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection through methods such as antibody testing. Additionally, sleep patterns were assessed through questionnaires.

RESULTS

Participants with obesity exhibited a significantly higher adjusted odds ratio (OR) of having a PASC score of 12 or higher, indicative of probable long COVID in our study, compared to those with normal weight (OR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.05, 2.28). No significant difference was observed for overweight individuals (OR: 0.92 [95% CI: 0.63, 1.33]). Both obesity and probable long COVID were associated with increased odds of experiencing a heightened sleep burden, such as the presence of obstructive sleep apnea or insomnia (P < 0.001). However, no significant interaction between BMI and probable long COVID status was found.

CONCLUSIONS

Even post-vaccination, individuals with obesity may encounter a heightened risk of experiencing prolonged COVID-19 symptoms. However, confirming our observations necessitates comprehensive studies incorporating rigorous COVID infection testing, such as antibody assays - unavailable in our anonymous survey. Additionally, it is noteworthy that the correlation between probable long COVID and sleep disturbances appears to be independent of BMI.

Relative efficacy of masks and respirators as source control for viral aerosol shedding from people infected with SARS-CoV-2: a controlled human exhaled breath aerosol experimental study

BACKGROUND

Tight-fitting masks and respirators, in manikin studies, improved aerosol source control compared to loose-fitting masks. Whether this translates to humans is not known.

METHODS

We compared efficacy of masks (cloth and surgical) and respirators (KN95 and N95) as source control for SARS-CoV-2 viral load in exhaled breath of volunteers with COVID-19 using a controlled human experimental study. Volunteers (N = 44, 43% female) provided paired unmasked and masked breath samples allowing computation of source-control factors.

FINDINGS

All masks and respirators significantly reduced exhaled viral load, without fit tests or training. A duckbill N95 reduced exhaled viral load by 98% (95% CI: 97%-99%), and significantly outperformed a KN95 (p < 0.001) as well as cloth and surgical masks. Cloth masks outperformed a surgical mask (p = 0.027) and the tested KN95 (p = 0.014).

INTERPRETATION

These results suggest that N95 respirators could be the standard of care in nursing homes and healthcare settings when respiratory viral infections are prevalent in the community and healthcare-associated transmission risk is elevated.

FUNDING

Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and The Flu Lab.

Risk of Seizure Aggravation after COVID-19 Vaccinations in Patients with Epilepsy

Although Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccinations are generally recommended for persons with epilepsy (PwE), a significant vaccination gap remains due to patient concerns over the risk of post-vaccination seizure aggravation (PVSA). In this single-centre, retrospective cohort study, we aimed to determine the early (7-day) and delayed (30-day) risk of PVSA, and to identify clinical predictors of PVSA among PwE. Adult epilepsy patients aged ≥18 years without a history of COVID-19 infection were recruited from a specialty epilepsy clinic in early 2022. Demographic, epilepsy characteristics, and vaccination data were extracted from a centralized electronic patient record. Seizure frequency before and after vaccination, vaccination-related adverse effects, and reasons for or against vaccination were obtained by a structured questionnaire. A total of 786 PwEs were included, of which 27.0% were drug-resistant. At the time of recruitment, 74.6% had at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine. Subjects with higher seizure frequency (p < 0.0005), on more anti-seizure medications (p = 0.004), or had drug-resistant epilepsy (p = 0.001) were less likely to be vaccinated. No significant increase in seizure frequency was observed in the early (7 days) and delayed phases (30 days) after vaccination in our cohort. On the contrary, there was an overall significant reduction in seizure frequency 30 days after vaccination (1.31 vs. 1.89, t = 3.436; p = 0.001). This difference was seen in both types of vaccine (BNT162b2 and CoronaVac) and drug-resistant epilepsy, but just missed significance for the second dose (1.13 vs. 1.87, t = 1.921; p = 0.055). Only 5.3% had PVSA after either dose of vaccine. Higher pre-vaccination seizure frequency of ≥1 per week (OR 3.01, 95% CI 1.05-8.62; p = 0.04) and drug-resistant status (OR 3.32, 95% CI 1.45-249 7.61; p = 0.005) were predictive of PVSA. Meanwhile, seizure freedom for 3 months before vaccination was independently associated with a lower risk of PVSA (OR 0.11, 95% CI 0.04-0.28; p < 0.0005). This may guide epilepsy treatment strategies to achieve better seizure control for at least 3 months prior to vaccination. As COVID-19 shifts to an endemic phase, this study provides important data demonstrating the overall safety of COVID-19 vaccinations among PwE. Identification of high-risk patients with subsequent individualized approaches in treatment and monitoring strategies may alleviate vaccination hesitancy among PwE.

A viral vaccine design harnessing prior BCG immunization confers protection against Ebola virus

Previous studies have demonstrated the efficacy and feasibility of an anti-viral vaccine strategy that takes advantage of pre-existing CD4 + helper T (Th) cells induced by Mycobacterium bovis bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination. This strategy uses immunization with recombinant fusion proteins comprised of a cell surface expressed viral antigen, such as a viral envelope glycoprotein, engineered to contain well-defined BCG Th cell epitopes, thus rapidly recruiting Th cells induced by prior BCG vaccination to provide intrastructural help to virus-specific B cells. In the current study, we show that Th cells induced by BCG were localized predominantly outside of germinal centers and promoted antibody class switching to isotypes characterized by strong Fc receptor interactions and effector functions. Furthermore, BCG vaccination also upregulated FcγR expression to potentially maximize antibody-dependent effector activities. Using a mouse model of Ebola virus (EBOV) infection, this vaccine strategy provided sustained antibody levels with strong IgG2c bias and protection against lethal challenge. This general approach can be easily adapted to other viruses, and may be a rapid and effective method of immunization against emerging pandemics in populations that routinely receive BCG vaccination.

Impacts of COVID-19 on Intimate Partner Violence Service Provision

COVID-19 policies like stay-at-home orders impacted intimate partner violence (IPV) service provision in Alberta. Using intersectionality and qualitative semi-structured interviews, this article situates IPV and access to services and supports within multiple overlapping factors such as race, gender, class, and ethnic minority status. Two main themes were identified. First, the challenges within IPV service provision reflect the sectors' traditional and binary understanding and response to violence. Second, the move to virtual services brought challenges related to access to telecommunication facilities and zoom fatigue. Thematic analysis also shows the impact of the pandemic in a sector with existing structural/institutional challenges. We conclude by recommending a multi-level intersectional approach to IPV service provision in Alberta.

Antibody longevity and waning following COVID-19 vaccination in a 1-year longitudinal cohort in Bangladesh

COVID-19 vaccines have been effective in preventing severe illness, hospitalization and death, however, the effectiveness diminishes with time. Here, we evaluated the longevity of antibodies generated by COIVD-19 vaccines and the risk of (re)infection in Bangladeshi population. Adults receiving two doses of AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Moderna or Sinopharm vaccines were enrolled at 2-4 weeks after second dosing and followed-up at 4-monthly interval for 1 year. Data on COVID-like symptoms, confirmed COVID-19 infection, co-morbidities, and receipt of booster dose were collected; blood was collected for measuring spike (S)- and nucleocapsid (N)-specific antibodies. S-specific antibody titers reduced by ~ 50% at 1st follow-up visit and continued to decline unless re-stimulated by booster vaccine dose or (re)infection. Individuals infected between follow-up visits showed significantly lower S-antibody titers at preceding visits compared to the uninfected individuals. Pre-enrolment infection between primary vaccination dosing exhibited 60% and 50% protection against reinfection at 5 and 9 months, respectively. mRNA vaccines provided highest odds of protection from (re)infection up to 5 months (Odds Ratio (OR) = 0.08), however, protection persisted for 9 months in AstraZeneca vaccine recipients (OR = 0.06). In conclusion, vaccine-mediated protection from (re)infection is partially linked to elevated levels of S-specific antibodies. AstraZeneca vaccine provided the longest protection.

Non-specific protection against severe COVID-19 associated to typhoid fever and DTP vaccination

Trained immunity (TRAIM) or the enhanced non-specific immune response after primary stimulation by infection or vaccination is a recent but well-recognized concept. To verify its predictions, our objective was to determine the effects of two bacterial vaccines, typhoid fever (TFV) and diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP) on the infection, hospitalization and death frequencies associated to COVID-19 in a retrospective study on subjects vaccinated or not with TFV and DTP in the 4 years prior to the start of COVID-19 pandemia in the Basque Country (Spain). The studied outcome records were split into two periods according to COVID-19 vaccination, the pre-vaccination (ACV) from March to December 2020 and the post-vaccination (PCV) from September 2021 to June 2022). In total, 13,673 subjects were vaccinated against TFV and 42,997 against DTP. A total of 2,005,084 individual records were studied in the ACV period and 1,436,693 in the PCV period. The proportion of infection, hospitalization and death associated to COVID-19 among controls in ACV was 4.97 %, 7.14 % and 3.54 %, respectively vs. 7.20 %, 2.24 % and 0.10 % among TFV subjects. Regarding DTP, the proportions were 4.97 %, 7.12 % and 3.58 % for controls and 5.79 %, 5.79 % and 0.80 % for vaccinees. In the PCV period, the proportion of infection, hospitalization and death among controls was 21.89 %, 2.62 % and 0.92 %, respectively vs. 31.19 %, 0.76 %, 0.00 % among TFV. For DTP, infection, hospitalization and death proportions were 21.89 %, 2.62 % and 0.92 %, respectively, among controls vs. 32.03 %, 1.85 % and 0.24 % among vaccinated subjects. The corresponding combined ACV and PCV odds ratios (OR) for SARS-CoV2 infection were 1.505 (95%CI 1.455-1.558; p < 0.0001; reduction -41.85 %) and 1.633 (95%CI 1.603-1.662; p < 0.0001; reduction -51.74 %), for TFV and DTP, respectively. Regarding COVID-19 associated hospitalization, the OR were 0.295 (95%CI 0.220-0.396; p = 0.0001; reduction 69.74 %) and 0.667 (95%CI 0.601-0.741; p = 0.0001; reduction 32.44 %), for TFV and DTP, respectively). COVID-19 associated death OR were 0.016 (95%CI 0.002-0.113, p < 0.0001; reduction 98.38 %) and 0.212 (95%CI 0.161-0.280; p = 0.0001; reduction 78.52 %), for TFV and DTP, respectively. We conclude that TRAIM effects by TFV and DTP vaccination in the four years prior to the pandemic SARS-CoV2 were supported by slightly increased infection rates, but strongly reduced COVID-19 associated hospitalization and death rates.

COVID-19 vaccination uptake and determinants of booster vaccination among persons who inject drugs in New York City

BACKGROUND

Persons who inject drugs (PWID) may be unengaged with healthcare services and face an elevated risk of severe morbidity and mortality associated with COVID-19 due to chronic diseases and structural inequities. However, data on COVID-19 vaccine uptake, particularly booster vaccination, among PWID are limited. We examined COVID-19 vaccine uptake and factors associated with booster vaccination among PWID in New York City (NYC).

METHODS

We recruited PWID using respondent-driven sampling from October 2021 to November 2023 in a survey that included HIV and SARS-CoV-2 antibodies testing. The questionnaire included demographics, COVID-19 vaccination and attitudes, and drug use behaviors.

RESULTS

Of 436 PWID, 80% received at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose. Among individuals who received at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose, 95% were fully vaccinated. After excluding participants recruited before booster authorization for general adults started in NYC, and those who had never received an initial vaccination, 41% reported having received a COVID-19 booster vaccine dose. COVID-19 booster vaccination was significantly associated with having a high school diploma or GED (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.93; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09, 3.48), ever received the hepatitis A/B vaccine (aOR 2.23; 95% CI 1.27, 3.96), main drug use other than heroin/speedball, fentanyl and stimulants (aOR 14.4; 95% CI 2.32, 280), number of non-fatal overdoses (aOR 0.35; 95% CI 0.16, 0.70), and mean vaccination attitude score (aOR 0.94; 95% CI 0.89, 0.98).

CONCLUSIONS

We found a suboptimal level of COVID-19 booster vaccination among PWID, which was consistent with the rates observed in the general population in NYC and the U.S. Community-based interventions are needed to improve COVID-19 booster vaccination access and uptake among PWID. Attitudes towards vaccination were significant predictors of both primary and booster vaccination uptake. Outreach efforts focusing on improving attitudes towards vaccination and educational programs are essential for reducing hesitancy and increasing booster vaccination uptake among PWID.

Association between COVID-19 Booster Vaccination and COVID-19 Outcomes among U.S. Adults

Understanding the association between booster vaccination and COVID-19 outcomes can help strengthen post-pandemic messaging and strategies to increase vaccination and reduce severe and long-term consequences of COVID-19. Using the Household Pulse Survey data collected from U.S. adults from 9 December 2022 to 13 February 2023 (n = 214,768), this study assessed the relationship between COVID-19 booster vaccination and COVID-19 outcomes (testing positive for COVID-19, moderate/severe COVID-19, and long COVID). Disparities were found in COVID-19 outcomes (e.g., testing positive for COVID-19, moderate/severe COVID-19, and long COVID) by sociodemographic characteristics, region of residence, food insecurity status, mental health status, disability status, and housing type. Receipt of a COVID-19 booster vaccination was negatively associated with testing positive for COVID-19 (aOR = 0.75, 95%CI: 0.72,0.79), having moderate/severe COVID-19 (aOR = 0.92, 95%CI: 0.88, 0.97), or having long COVID (aOR = 0.86 (0.80, 0.91)). Even among those who tested positive for COVID-19, those who received the booster vaccine were less likely to have moderate/severe COVID-19 and less likely to have long COVID. Communicating the benefits of COVID-19 booster vaccination, integrating vaccination in patient visits, and reducing access barriers can increase vaccination uptake and confidence for all individuals and protect them against the severe negative outcomes of COVID-19.

Statistical Assessment of the Effectiveness of Multiple COVID-19 Vaccinations on Daily Confirmed Cases in Seoul City

This study investigates the effectiveness of multiple COVID-19 vaccinations on daily confirmed cases in Seoul City. Utilizing comprehensive data on vaccinated individuals and confirmed cases sourced from the official website of the Korean Ministry of the Interior and Safety, we conducted detailed statistical analyses to assess the impact of each vaccination dose. The study covers data from April 21, 2021, to September 29, 2022. Statistical multiple linear regression was employed to analyze the relationship between daily confirmed cases (positive outcomes from PCR tests) and multiple vaccine doses, using p-values as the criteria for determining the effectiveness of each dose. The analysis included data from four vaccination doses. The analysis reveals that the first, second, and third doses of the COVID-19 vaccines have a statistically significant positive effect associated with the daily confirmed cases. However, the study finds that the fourth dose does not show a statistically significant impact on the reduction of daily confirmed cases. This suggests that while the initial three doses are crucial for establishing and maintaining high levels of immunity, the incremental benefit of subsequent doses may diminish.

Demographics, comorbidities and risk factors for severe disease from the early SARS-CoV-2 infection cases in Queensland, Australia

BACKGROUND

Demographics and comorbidities associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity differs between subpopulations and should be determined to aid future pandemic planning and preparedness.

AIM

To describe the demographics and comorbidities of patients diagnosed with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in Queensland (QLD), Australia, between January 2020 and May 2021. Also, to determine the relationship between these characteristics and disease severity based on the highest level of care.

METHODS

A retrospective case series analysis was conducted using data obtained from the Notifiable Conditions System. Data on patients confirmed with SARS-CoV-2 infection in QLD were included in this analysis. Descriptive statistics and logistic regression modelling were used to analyse factors that contributed to disease severity.

RESULTS

One thousand six hundred twenty-five patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection were diagnosed in the study period and analysed. The median age was 41 years and 54.3% (n = 882) were males. A total of 550 patients were hospitalised and 20 patients were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). In those admitted to the ICU, 95% (n = 19) were older than 45 years and 95% (n = 19) were male. Comorbidities significantly associated with hospitalisation were chronic cardiac disease (excluding hypertension) and diabetes, and for ICU admission were morbid obesity, chronic respiratory disease and chronic cardiac disease. No demographic factors were shown to be significantly associated with disease severity.

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidities associated with the highest level of COVID-19 disease severity were morbid obesity, chronic respiratory disease and cardiac disease. These data can assist with identifying high-risk patients susceptible to severe COVID-19 and can be used to facilitate preparations for future pandemics.

Influence of grandchildren on COVID-19 vaccination uptake among older adults in China: a parallel-group, cluster-randomized controlled trial

The uptake of COVID-19 booster vaccination among older adults in China is suboptimal. Here, we report the results of a parallel-group cluster-randomized controlled trial evaluating the efficacy of promoting COVID-19 booster vaccination among grandparents (≥60 years) through a health education intervention delivered to their grandchildren (aged ≥16 years) in a Chinese cohort (Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR2200063240 ). The primary outcome was the uptake rate of COVID-19 booster dose among grandparents. Secondary outcomes include grandparents' attitude and intention to get a COVID-19 booster dose. A total of 202 college students were randomized 1:1 to either the intervention arm of web-based health education and 14 daily reminders (n = 188 grandparents) or control arm (n = 187 grandparents) and reported their grandparents' COVID-19 booster vaccination status at baseline and 21 days. Grandparents in the intervention arm were more likely to receive COVID-19 booster vaccination compared to control cohort (intervention, 30.6%; control, 16.9%; risk ratio = 2.00 (95% CI, 1.09 to 3.66)). Grandparents in the intervention arm also had greater attitude change (β = 0.28 (95% CI, 0.04 to 0.52)) and intention change (β = 0.32 (95% CI, 0.12 to 0.52)) to receive a COVID-19 booster dose. Our results show that an educational intervention targeting college students increased COVID-19 booster vaccination uptake among grandparents in China.

Estimated public health impact of concurrent mask mandate and vaccinate-or-test requirement in Illinois, October to December 2021

BACKGROUND

Facing a surge of COVID-19 cases in late August 2021, the U.S. state of Illinois re-enacted its COVID-19 mask mandate for the general public and issued a requirement for workers in certain professions to be vaccinated against COVID-19 or undergo weekly testing. The mask mandate required any individual, regardless of their vaccination status, to wear a well-fitting mask in an indoor setting.

METHODS

We used Illinois Department of Public Health's COVID-19 confirmed case and vaccination data and investigated scenarios where masking and vaccination would have been reduced to mimic what would have happened had the mask mandate or vaccine requirement not been put in place. The study examined a range of potential reductions in masking and vaccination mimicking potential scenarios had the mask mandate or vaccine requirement not been enacted. We estimated COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations averted by changes in masking and vaccination during the period covering October 20 to December 20, 2021.

RESULTS

We find that the announcement and implementation of a mask mandate are likely to correlate with a strong protective effect at reducing COVID-19 burden and the announcement of a vaccinate-or-test requirement among frontline professionals is likely to correlate with a more modest protective effect at reducing COVID-19 burden. In our most conservative scenario, we estimated that from the period of October 20 to December 20, 2021, the mask mandate likely prevented approximately 58,000 cases and 1,175 hospitalizations, while the vaccinate-or-test requirement may have prevented at most approximately 24,000 cases and 475 hospitalizations.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that mask mandates and vaccine-or-test requirements are vital in mitigating the burden of COVID-19 during surges of the virus.

What makes SARS-CoV-2 unique? Focusing on the spike protein

Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seriously threatens public health and safety. Genetic variants determine the expression of SARS-CoV-2 structural proteins, which are associated with enhanced transmissibility, enhanced virulence, and immune escape. Vaccination is encouraged as a public health intervention, and different types of vaccines are used worldwide. However, new variants continue to emerge, especially the Omicron complex, and the neutralizing antibody responses are diminished significantly. In this review, we outlined the uniqueness of SARS-CoV-2 from three perspectives. First, we described the detailed structure of the spike (S) protein, which is highly susceptible to mutations and contributes to the distinct infection cycle of the virus. Second, we systematically summarized the immunoglobulin G epitopes of SARS-CoV-2 and highlighted the central role of the nonconserved regions of the S protein in adaptive immune escape. Third, we provided an overview of the vaccines targeting the S protein and discussed the impact of the nonconserved regions on vaccine effectiveness. The characterization and identification of the structure and genomic organization of SARS-CoV-2 will help elucidate its mechanisms of viral mutation and infection and provide a basis for the selection of optimal treatments. The leaps in advancements regarding improved diagnosis, targeted vaccines and therapeutic remedies provide sound evidence showing that scientific understanding, research, and technology evolved at the pace of the pandemic.

Comparative Effectiveness of mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 Vaccines Among Older Adults: Systematic Literature Review and Meta-Analysis Using the GRADE Framework

INTRODUCTION

The mRNA vaccines mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2 demonstrated high efficacy against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in phase 3 clinical trials, including among older adults. To inform coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine selection, this systematic literature review (SLR) and meta-analysis assessed the comparative effectiveness of mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 in older adults.

METHODS

We systematically searched for relevant studies reporting COVID-19 outcomes with mRNA vaccines in older adults aged ≥ 50 years by first cross-checking relevant published SLRs. Based on the cutoff date from a previous similar SLR, we then searched the WHO COVID-19 Research Database for relevant articles published between April 9, 2022, and June 2, 2023. Outcomes of interest were SARS-CoV-2 infection, symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19-related hospitalization, and COVID-19-related death following ≥ 2 vaccine doses. Random effects meta-analysis models were used to pool risk ratios (RRs) across studies. Heterogeneity was evaluated using chi-square testing. Evidence certainty was assessed per GRADE framework.

RESULTS

Twenty-four non-randomized real-world studies reporting clinical outcomes with mRNA vaccines in individuals aged ≥ 50 years were included in the meta-analysis. Vaccination with mRNA-1273 was associated with significantly lower risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection (RR 0.72 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.64‒0.80]), symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection (RR 0.72 [95% CI 0.62‒0.83]), severe SARS-CoV-2 infection (RR 0.67 [95% CI 0.57‒0.78]), and COVID-19-related hospitalization (RR 0.65 [95% CI 0.53‒0.79]) but not COVID-19-related death (RR 0.80 [95% CI 0.64‒1.00]) compared with BNT162b2. There was considerable heterogeneity between studies for all outcomes (I2 > 75%) except death (I2 = 0%). Multiple subgroup and sensitivity analyses excluding specific studies generally demonstrated consistent results. Certainty of evidence across outcomes was rated as low (type 3) or very low (type 4), reflecting the lack of randomized controlled trial data.

CONCLUSION

Meta-analysis of 24 observational studies demonstrated significantly lower risk of asymptomatic, symptomatic, and severe infections and hospitalizations with the mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 vaccine in older adults aged ≥ 50 years.

Immunogenicity Assessment of the SARS-CoV-2 Protein Subunit Recombinant Vaccine (CoV2-IB 0322) in a Substudy of a Phase 3 Trial in Indonesia

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 is one of the most devastating pandemics of the 21st century. Vaccination is one of the most effective prevention methods in combating COVID-19, and one type of vaccine being developed was the protein subunit recombinant vaccine. We evaluated the efficacy of the CoV2-IB 0322 vaccine in Depok, Indonesia.

METHODS

This study aimed to assess the humoral and cellular immune response of the CoV2-IB 0322 vaccine compared to an active control vaccine (COVOVAX™ Vaccine). A total of 120 subjects were enrolled and randomized into two groups, with 60 subjects in each group. Participants received either two doses of the CoV2-IB 0322 vaccine or two doses of the control vaccine with a 28-day interval between doses. Safety assessments were conducted through onsite monitoring and participant-reported adverse events. Immunogenicity was evaluated by measuring IgG anti-RBD SARS-CoV-2 and IgG-neutralizing antibodies. Cellular immunity was assessed by specific T-cell responses. Whole blood samples were collected at baseline, 14 days, 6 months, and 12 months after the second dose for cellular immunity evaluation.

RESULTS

Both vaccines showed high seropositive rates, with neutralizing antibody and IgG titers peaking 14 days after the second dose and declining by 12 months. The seroconversion rate of anti-S IgG was 100% in both groups, but the rate of neutralizing antibody seroconversion was lower in the CoV2-IB 0322 vaccine group at 14 days after the second dose (p = 0.004). The CoV2-IB 0322 vaccine showed higher IgG GMT levels 6 and 12 months after the second dose (p < 0.001 and p = 0.01). T-cell responses, evaluated by IFN-γ, IL-2, and IL-4 production by CD4+ and CD8+ T-cells, showed similar results without significant differences between both groups, except for %IL-2/CD4+ cells 6 months after the second dose (p = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

Both vaccines showed comparable B- and T-cell immunological response that diminish over time.

SARS-CoV-2 infection of endothelial cells, dependent on flow-induced ACE2 expression, drives hypercytokinemia in a vascularized microphysiological system

Background

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), responsible for COVID-19, has caused nearly 7 million deaths worldwide. Severe cases are marked by an aggressive inflammatory response known as hypercytokinemia, contributing to endothelial damage. Although vaccination has reduced hospitalizations, hypercytokinemia persists in breakthrough infections, emphasizing the need for disease models mimicking this response. Using a 3D microphysiological system (MPS), we explored the vascular role in SARS-CoV-2-induced hypercytokinemia.

Methods

The vascularized micro-organ (VMO) MPS, consisting of human-derived primary endothelial cells (ECs) and stromal cells within an extracellular matrix, was used to model SARS-CoV-2 infection. A non-replicative pseudotyped virus fused to GFP was employed, allowing visualization of viral entry into human ECs under physiologic flow conditions. Expression of ACE2, TMPRSS2, and AGTR1 was analyzed, and the impact of viral infection on ACE2 expression, vascular inflammation, and vascular morphology was assessed.

Results

The VMO platform facilitated the study of COVID-19 vasculature infection, revealing that ACE2 expression increased significantly in direct response to shear stress, thereby enhancing susceptibility to infection by pseudotyped SARS-CoV-2. Infected ECs secreted pro-inflammatory cytokines, including IL-6 along with coagulation factors. Cytokines released by infected cells were able to activate downstream, non-infected EC, providing an amplification mechanism for inflammation and coagulopathy.

Discussion

Our findings highlight the crucial role of vasculature in COVID-19 pathogenesis, emphasizing the significance of flow-induced ACE2 expression and subsequent inflammatory responses. The VMO provides a valuable tool for studying SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics and evaluating potential therapeutics.

Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 using dynamic artificial neural networks

Global efforts in vaccination have led to a decrease in COVID-19 mortality but a high circulation of SARS-CoV-2 is still observed in several countries, resulting in some cases of severe lockdowns. In this sense, wastewater-based epidemiology remains a powerful tool for supporting regional health administrations in assessing risk levels and acting accordingly. In this work, a dynamic artificial neural network (DANN) has been developed for predicting the number of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in hospitals in Valladolid (Spain). This model takes as inputs a wastewater epidemiology indicator for COVID-19 (concentration of RNA from SARS-CoV-2 N1 gene reported from Valladolid Wastewater Treatment Plant), vaccination coverage, and past data of hospitalizations. The model considered both the instantaneous values of these variables and their historical evolution. Two study periods were selected (from May 2021 until September 2022 and from September 2022 to July 2023). During the first period, accurate predictions of hospitalizations (with an overall range between 6 and 171) were favored by the correlation of this indicator with N1 concentrations in wastewater (r = 0.43, p < 0.05), showing accurate forecasting for 1 day ahead and 5 days ahead. The second period's retraining strategy maintained the overall accuracy of the model despite lower hospitalizations. Furthermore, risk levels were assigned to each 1 day ahead prediction during the first and second periods, showing agreement with the level measured and reported by regional health authorities in 95 % and 93 % of cases, respectively. These results evidenced the potential of this novel DANN model for predicting COVID-19 hospitalizations based on SARS-CoV-2 wastewater concentrations at a regional scale. The model architecture herein developed can support regional health authorities in COVID-19 risk management based on wastewater-based epidemiology.

Barriers to COVID-19 Vaccination in a Troop of Fleet Antiterrorism Security Team Marines: Observational Study

BACKGROUND

In 2019, the World Health Organization declared the reluctance to vaccinate despite the availability of vaccination services as one of the top 10 threats to global health. In early 2021, self-reported reluctance to vaccinate among military personnel might have been considered a significant threat to national security. Having a choice architecture that made COVID-19 vaccination optional rather than required for military personnel could have inadvertently undermined military readiness if vaccination uptake did not reach an acceptable threshold.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this observational study was to examine Marines' self-reported reasons for planning to decline the COVID-19 vaccine to understand their barriers to vaccination.

METHODS

As the vaccination became available to 1 company of Fleet Antiterrorism Security Team (FAST) Marines in early 2021, company command required those planning to decline vaccination to write an essay with up to 5 reasons for their choice. These essays provided the data for this study. Qualitative descriptive analysis with elements from grounded theory was used to thematically categorize FAST Marines' written reasons for planning to decline the COVID-19 vaccine into a codebook describing 8 key behavioral determinants. Interrater agreement among 2 qualitatively trained researchers was very good (κ=0.81).

RESULTS

A troop of 47 Marines provided 235 reasons why they planned to decline the COVID-19 vaccine. The most frequent reasons were difficulty understanding health information (105/235, 45%), low estimates of risk (33/235, 14%), and fear of physical discomfort (29/235, 12%). Resulting interventions directly targeted Marines' self-reported reasons by reducing barriers (eg, normalized getting the vaccine), increasing vaccine benefits (eg, improved access to base gyms and recreational facilities), and increasing nonvaccine friction (eg, required in writing 5 reasons for declining the vaccine).

CONCLUSIONS

Understanding the barriers military personnel experience toward COVID-19 vaccination remains critical as vaccine acquisition and availability continue to protect military personnel. Insights from subpopulations like FAST Marines can enhance our ability to identify barriers and appropriate intervention techniques to influence COVID-19 vaccination behaviors.

Vaccines reduced hospital length of stay and fraction of inspired oxygen of COVID-19 patients: A retrospective cohort study

Few studies have focused on the evaluation of vaccine effectiveness (VE) in mainland China. This study was to characterize the VE including the frequent symptoms, laboratory indices, along with endotracheal intubation, hospital length of stay (LoS), and survival status. This retrospective cohort study included patients with COVID-19 admitted to our hospital. Statistical comparisons of continuous variables were carried out with an independent Student's t-test or Mann-Whitney U test. For categorical variables, the Chi-square test and Fisher exact test were used. Multivariable regression analysis was performed to adjust the confounding factors such as age, gender, body mass index (BMI), residential area, smoking status, the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score, followed by investigating the effects of vaccination on critical ill prevention, reduced mortality and endotracheal intubation, LoS and inspired oxygen. This study included 549 hospitalized patients with COVID-19, including 222 (40.43 %) vaccinated participants and 327 (59.57 %) unvaccinated counterparts. There was no obvious difference between the two groups in typical clinical symptoms of COVID-19, clinical laboratory results and mortality. Multivariable analysis showed that COVID-19 vaccine obviously reduced LoS by 1.2 days (lnLoS = -0.14, 95 %CI[-0.24,-0.04]; P = 0.005) and decreased fraction of inspired oxygen by 40 % (OR: 0.60; 95 %CI[0.40,0.90]; P = 0.013) after adjusting age, gender, BMI, residential area, smoking status and CCI score. In contrast, vaccination induced reduction in the critically ill, mortality, and endotracheal intubation compared with the unvaccinated counterparts, but with no statistical differences. Vaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 have a reduced LoS and fraction of inspired oxygen compared to unvaccinated cases in China.

Impact of Pre-Infection COVID-19 Vaccination on the Incidence and Severity of Post-COVID Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

This systematic review critically evaluated the impact of a pre-infection COVID-19 vaccination on the incidence and severity of post-COVID-19 syndrome and aimed to assess the potential protective effect across different vaccines and patient demographics. This study hypothesized that vaccination before infection substantially reduces the risk and severity of post-COVID-19 syndrome. In October 2023, a comprehensive literature search was conducted across three databases, PubMed, Embase, and Scopus, focusing on studies published up to that date. Utilizing a wide array of keywords, the search strategy adhered to the PRISMA guidelines and was registered in the Open Science Framework. The inclusion criteria comprised studies focusing on patients with a breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection who developed post-COVID-19 syndrome. We included a total of 13 articles that met the inclusion criteria, analyzing more than 10 million patients with a mean age of 50.6 years, showing that the incidence of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions post-vaccination was as low as 2.4%, with a significant reduction in mortality risk (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.58-0.74). The prevalence of post-COVID-19 syndrome symptoms was lower in vaccinated individuals (9.5%) compared to unvaccinated (14.6%), with a notable decrease in activity-limiting symptoms (adjusted OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.48-0.73). Vaccinated patients also showed a quicker recovery and return to work (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.04-1.79). The pooled odds ratio of 0.77 indicates that vaccination is associated with a 23% reduction in the risk of developing post-COVID-19 syndrome (95% CI 0.75-0.79). Despite the protective effects observed, a substantial heterogeneity among the studies was noted. In conclusion, a pre-infection COVID-19 vaccination is associated with a significant reduction in the risk and severity of post-COVID-19 syndrome. However, the observed heterogeneity across studies suggests a need for further research with standardized methods to fully comprehend vaccine efficacy against long COVID.

The Western Australian experience of COVID-19 after the borders reopened: evaluation of public health modelling predictions

BACKGROUND

Western Australia (WA) serves as a unique global case study on the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on an isolated, prepared and highly vaccinated population. This study builds upon the study performed by House et al. through an extended data set.

AIM

To examine the impact of COVID-19 at the only quaternary hospital in WA following the border opening from 3 March to 17 July 2022.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 257 adults were admitted with COVID-19 under either respiratory or the intensive care unit (ICU).

OUTCOMES

Admission numbers, disease severity, ICU admission, prevalence of COVID-19 deterioration risk factors, length of stay and mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 257 patients were admitted with COVID-19, under respiratory (81.7%) and ICU (18.3%). COVID-19 was the primary reason for admission for 67.7%. Ten patients died during the study, with seven deaths attributed to COVID pneumonitis. COVID-19 severity was 37.4% mild, 37.0% moderate, 18.3% severe and 7.4% critical. Risk factors for requiring ICU included incomplete immunisation status (P = 0.011), chronic kidney disease (P = 0.008) and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (ATSI) ethnicity. The WA Department of Health predicted that the number of hospitalisations and ICU cases were significantly higher than the actual number of cases.

CONCLUSION

The number of hospitalisations and ICU COVID-19 cases were significantly less than predicted, likely due to high population vaccination rates prior to border opening. The main risk factors for COVID-19 severity were incomplete immunisation and ATSI ethnicity.

Type 1 diabetes: A new vision of the disease based on endotypes

Diagnosis and management of type 1 diabetes (T1D) have remained largely unchanged for the last several years. The management of the disease remains primarily focused on its phenotypical presentation and less on endotypes, namely the specific biological mechanisms behind the development of the disease. Furthermore, the treatment of T1D is essentially universal and indiscriminate-with patients administering insulin at varying dosages and frequencies to maintain adequate glycaemic control. However, it is now well understood that T1D is a heterogeneous disease with many different biological mechanisms (i.e. endotypes) behind its complex pathophysiology. A range of factors, including age of onset, immune system regulation, rate of β-cell destruction, autoantibodies, body weight, genetics and the exposome are recognised to play a role in the development of the condition. Patients can be classified into distinct diabetic subtypes based on these factors, which can be used to categorise patients into specific endotypes. The classification of patients into endotypes allows for a greater understanding of the natural progression of the disease, giving rise to more accurate and patient-centred therapies and follow-up monitoring, specifically for other autoimmune diseases. This review proposes 6 unique endotypes of T1D based on the current literature. The recognition of these endotypes could then be used to direct therapeutic modalities based on patients' individual pathophysiology.

Covid 19 and diabetes in children: advances and strategies

BACKGROUND

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a notable increase in the incidence of new-onset diabetes and diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA). Simultaneously, children diagnosed with type 1 diabetes (T1D) have encountered difficulties in maintaining optimal blood glucose levels. The mechanisms underpinning these correlations still remain a puzzle. We reviewed the studies that examined changes in incidence during the pandemic. These studies utilized various metrics for comparison, which encompassed the timing of data collection, diagnostic criteria, as well as the numbers and incidence rates of diabetes and DKA. We found the incidence of diabetes and DKA was higher during the pandemic. As to mechanisms, the invivo and invitro study revealed the factors such as direct viral damage, metabolic dysfunction, and immune responses all attribute to the process of T1D after suffering from COVID-19. Furthermore, we provide some useful strategies to prevent and treat children suffering from diabetes and COVID-19.

CONCLUSIONS

Strong correlations have been observed between new-onset diabetes and COVID-19. Insights gleaned from clinical descriptions and basic research can offer valuable experience and recommendations for the treatment and prevention of diabetes during future pandemics.

The Nigerian youth knowledge, Attitude and Practice (KAP) towards the national drive against the Spread of COVID-19: An online cross-sectional Survey

Background

The global impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)has led to the need to prioritise public health campaign by all stakeholders among diverse population groups. This study investigated the dispositions of Nigerian adolescents towards the prevention of the spread of COVID-19.

Methods

The young adolescents (n=1,529) included in this study, were between the ages of 15 and 26 years from Afe Babalola University. Students were contacted through their various colleges and residential hostels to complete the questionnaire via a shared link. All students included, voluntarily participated in this cross-sectional study by completing the adapted COVID-19 knowledge, attitude and practice (KAP) questionnaire. The collected data were analysed to show the level of knowledge, attitude and preventative practices and also to test for significant association between gender and variables for the study. The study was conducted between March 23-April 25, 2021.

Results

The outcome of the findings showed that students with families with 5-10 members showed significant association with knowledge accuracy on COVID-19 (χ 2 = 6.077, p = 0.044). There was a significant association between gender and the need to report the suspected case of COVID-19 infection to the health authorities (χ 2 = 14.075, p = 0.001) with more females likely to report a suspected case. More females (59.2%) were significantly (χ 2 = 8.904, p = 0.012) involved in the practice of social distancing or home quarantine as a preventive measure.

Conclusions

This study showed evidence of high prevalence of knowledge related to COVID-19 in majority of the study participants. This is a pointer to the efficacy and success of present public health campaigns in Nigeria.

Single-cell RNA sequencing reveals characteristics of myeloid cells in post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 patients with persistent respiratory symptoms

Background

Although our understanding of the immunopathology and subsequent risk and severity of COVID-19 disease is evolving, a detailed account of immune responses that contribute to the long-term consequences of pulmonary complications in COVID-19 infection remains unclear. Few studies have detailed the immune and cytokine profiles associated with post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) with persistent pulmonary symptoms. The dysregulation of the immune system that drives pulmonary sequelae in COVID-19 survivors and PASC sufferers remains largely unknown.

Results

To characterize the immunological features of pulmonary PASC (PPASC), we performed droplet-based single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) to study the transcriptomic profiles of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from a participant naïve to SARS-CoV-2 (Control) (n=1) and infected with SARS-CoV-2 with chronic pulmonary symptoms (PPASC) (n=2). After integrating scRNA-seq data with a naïve participant from a published dataset, 11 distinct cell populations were identified based on the expression of canonical markers. The proportion of myeloid-lineage cells ([MLCs]; CD14+/CD16+monocytes, and dendritic cells) was increased in PPASC (n=2) compared to controls (n=2). MLCs from PPASC displayed up-regulation of genes associated with pulmonary symptoms/fibrosis, while glycolysis metabolism-related genes were downregulated. Similarly, pathway analysis showed that fibrosis-related (VEGF, WNT, and SMAD) and cell death pathways were up-regulated, but immune pathways were down-regulated in PPASC. Further comparison of PPASC with scRNA-seq data with Severe COVID-19 (n=4) data demonstrated enrichment of fibrotic transcriptional signatures. In PPASC, we observed interactive VEGF ligand-receptor pairs among MLCs, and network modules in CD14+ (cluster 4) and CD16+ (Cluster 5) monocytes displayed a significant enrichment for biological pathways linked to adverse COVID-19 outcomes, fibrosis, and angiogenesis. Further analysis revealed a distinct metabolic alteration in MLCs with a down-regulation of glycolysis/gluconeogenesis in PPASC compared to SARS-CoV-2 naïve samples.

Conclusion

Analysis of a small scRNA-seq dataset demonstrated alterations in the immune response and cellular landscape in PPASC. The presence of elevated MLC levels and their corresponding gene signatures associated with fibrosis, immune response suppression, and altered metabolic states suggests a potential role in PPASC development.

Efficacy and safety of antiviral treatments for symptomatic COVID-19 outpatients: Systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Remdesivir, molnupiravir, and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir are three antiviral agents approved by FDA emergency authorization for treating mild to moderate symptomatic COVID-19 adult outpatients at high risk for hospitalization and death.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the efficacy and safety of these antivirals based on updated published RCT and real-world data.

STUDY DESIGN

This systematic review followed the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis framework guidelines. We searched all publications up to January 2023. RRs and 95% CIs for death, hospitalization, and adverse events were calculated.

RESULTS

Six RCTs and seven cohort studies were included, with 1,456,523 participants, of whom 50,979 were treated with antivirals. Remdesivir was associated with the lowest probability of hospitalization and death compared to nirmatrelvir/ritonavir and molnupiravir (P-scores 0.99 and 0.90, respectively, for remdesivir, 0.64 and 0.55, respectively for nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, and 0.26 and 0.49, respectively for molnupiravir). Based on indirect comparisons, remdesivir was associated with a statistically significant decreased risk for hospitalization compared to molnupiravir (RR 0.09; 95% CI 0.02-0.40) and to nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (RR 0.11; 95% CI 0.03-0.73). No statistically significant difference was found between antivirals in the mortality risk reduction and the risk for side effects.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the most comprehensive network meta-analysis integrating RCTs and real-world data. In our indirect comparison, remdesivir was associated with the highest efficacy in preventing hospitalization among high risk symptomatic COVID-19 outpatients, compared to nirmatrelvir/ritonavir and molnupiravir. This finding supports current guidelines, and may have importance when deciding which antiviral to use, together with other important factors.

Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Support and Critically Ill COVID-19 Patient Outcomes: A Population-Based Cohort Study

We selected critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) who were receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) support and had been transferred to experienced centers. Thus, we aimed to evaluate factors that were associated with receiving ECMO support and factors that were associated with patient mortality. Using data from the National Health Insurance Service and Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency in South Korea, adult patients admitted to an intensive care unit from October 8, 2020, to December 31, 2021, with a main diagnosis of COVID-19 were included. They were divided into two groups: ECMO group (n = 455) and non-ECMO group (n = 12,648). Receiving ECMO support was less associated with old age [odds ratio (OR), 0.95; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.94-0.96; p  < 0.001], underlying severe disabilities (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.29-0.83; p  = 0.008), and booster vaccination status (second: OR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.39-0.94; p  = 0.024; third: OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.25-0.65; p  < 0.001). In addition, after adjusting for various variables, low mortality in patients with ECMO support was associated with having previously received a second booster vaccination (OR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.14-0.77; p  = 0.010). Vaccination and booster therapy may lower the need for ECMO support and lower mortality among critically ill patients with COVID-19 with ECMO support.

When the answer is a maybe: a retrospective review of indeterminate SARS-CoV-2 results and their associations

Testing for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) using reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) may generate indeterminate results (with a cycle threshold ≥30), requiring further investigation to determine the clinical significance. Patient variables which could predict a definitive result ('Detected'/'Not detected') post indeterminate result would aid in optimization of bed management and utilization of limited resources. A retrospective observational study of indeterminate SARS-CoV-2 results in an Irish tertiary hospital from March 2020 to March 2022 was performed to determine whether demographics, comorbidities and immunosuppression were associated with a definitive result upon subsequent investigation. Data was obtained from patient and laboratory records. Analysis of association was explored using Fisher's exact test, and predictability was tested using logistic regression. Of 411 patients with an initial indeterminate test, investigation showed that 299 (72.2%) patients had a subsequent definitive result; 29 were Detected and 270 were Not detected. In the Detected group, a prior diagnosis of COVID-19 was associated with a reduced risk of becoming Detected (crude odds ratio (COR) = 0.10, 95% CI 0.03-0.35). In the Not detected group, vaccinated patients were less likely to have a Not detected result on subsequent testing (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 0.57, 95% CI 0.34-0.94). Patients with previous COVID-19 infection were less likely to have a Detected result and vaccinated patients were less likely to have a Not detected result upon investigation of an indeterminate result. This study emphasizes the need for a good clinical and medical history in the management of SARS-CoV-2.

Longitudinal dynamic clinical phenotypes of in-hospital COVID-19 patients across three dominant virus variants in New York

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 is a challenging disease to characterize given its wide-ranging heterogeneous symptomatology. Several studies have attempted to extract clinical phenotypes but often relied on data from small patient cohorts, usually limited to only one viral variant and utilizing a static snapshot of patient data.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify clinical phenotypes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients and investigate their longitudinal dynamics throughout the pandemic, with the goal to relate these phenotypes to clinical outcomes and treatment strategies.

METHODS

We utilized routinely collected demographic and clinical data throughout the hospitalization of 38,077 patients admitted between 3/2020 to 5/2022, in 12 New York hospitals. Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection and agglomerative hierarchical clustering were used to derive the clusters, followed by exploratory data analysis to compare the prevalence of comorbidities and treatments per cluster.

RESULTS

4 distinct clinical phenotypes remained robust in multi-site validation and were associated with different mortality rates. The temporal progression of these phenotypes throughout the COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated increased variability across the waves of the three dominant viral variants (alpha, delta, omicron). Longitudinal analysis evaluating changes in clinical phenotypes of each patient throughout the course of a 4-week hospital stay exemplified the dynamic nature of the disease progression. Factors such as sex, race/ethnicity and specific treatment modalities revealed significant and clinically relevant differences between the observed phenotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our proposed methodology has the potential of enabling clinicians and policy makers to draw evidence-based conclusions for guiding treatment modalities in a dynamic fashion.

Vaccinating against a Novel Pathogen: A Critical Review of COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness Evidence

We study the experience with COVID-19 vaccination of an initially naïve population, which can inform planning for vaccination against the next novel, highly transmissible pathogen. We focus on the first two pandemic years (wild strain through Delta), because after the Omicron wave in early 2022, very few people were still SARS-CoV-2-naïve. Almost all were vaccinated, infected, or often both. We review the evidence on COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) and waning effectiveness over time and the relative effectiveness of the four principal vaccines used in developed Western countries: BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech), mRNA1273 (Moderna), Ad26.CoV2.S (Johnson&Johnson), and ChAdOx1-S (AstraZeneca). As a basis for our analysis, we conducted a PRISMA-compliant review of all studies on PubMed through 15 August 2022, reporting VE against four endpoints for these four vaccines: any infection, symptomatic infection, hospitalization, and death. The mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2, mRNA1273) had high initial VE against all endpoints but protection waned after approximately six months, with BNT162b2 declining faster than mRNA1273. Both mRNA vaccines outperformed the viral vector vaccines (Ad26.CoV2.S and ChAdOx1-S). A third "booster" dose, roughly six months after the initial doses, substantially reduced symptomatic infection, hospitalization, and death. In hindsight, a third dose should be seen as part of the normal vaccination schedule. Our analysis highlights the importance of the real-time population-level surveillance needed to assess evidence for waning, and the need for rapid regulatory response to this evidence.

Inhibition of furin-like enzymatic activities and SARS-CoV-2 infection by osthole and phenolic compounds with aryl side chains

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), spread as a pandemic and caused damage to people's lives and countries' economies. The spike (S) protein of SARS-CoV-2 contains a cleavage motif, Arg-X-X-Arg, for furin and furin-like enzymes at the boundary of the S1/S2 subunits. Given that cleavage plays a crucial role in S protein activation and viral entry, the cleavage motif was selected as the target. Our previous fluorogenic substrate study showed that osthole, a coumarin compound, inhibits furin-like enzyme activity. In this study, we examined the potential activities of 15 compounds with a structure-activity relationship with osthole, and evaluated their protective ability against SARS-CoV-2 infection. Of the 15 compounds tested, compounds C1 and C2 exhibited the inhibitory effects of osthole against furin-like enzymatic activity; however, little or no inhibitory effects against furin activity were observed. We further examined the inhibition of SARS-CoV-2 activity by compounds C1 and C2 using a Vero E6 cell line that expresses the transmembrane protease serine 2 (TMPRSS2). Compounds C1, C2, and osthole effectively inhibited SARS-CoV-2 infection. Therefore, osthole and its derivatives can potentially be used as therapeutic agents against SARS-CoV-2.

Effectiveness of the pre-Omicron COVID-19 vaccines against Omicron in reducing infection, hospitalization, severity, and mortality compared to Delta and other variants: A systematic review

Despite widespread mass rollout programs, the rapid spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant called into question the effectiveness of the existing vaccines against infection, hospitalization, severity, and mortality compared to previous variants. This systematic review summarizes and compares the effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccines, with respect to the above outcomes in adults, children, and adolescents. A comprehensive literature search was undertaken on several databases. Only 51 studies met our inclusion criteria, revealing that the protection from primary vaccination against Omicron infection is inferior to protection against Delta and Alpha infections and wanes faster over time. However, mRNA vaccine boosters were reported to reestablish effectiveness, although to a lower extent against Omicron. Nonetheless, primary vaccination was shown to preserve strong protection against Omicron-associated hospitalization, severity, and death, even months after last dose. However, boosters provide more robust and longer-lasting protection against hospitalizations due to Omicron as compared to only primary series.

The association between COVID-19 vaccination and confirmed patients with hospitalization in Omicron era: A retrospective study

With the emergence of Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, Taiwan has encountered the greatest coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic since 2022 spring. We analyzed the characteristics, vaccinations, and outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients quarantined in a dedicated ward. This retrospective study enrolled hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the dedicated wards of a district hospital in southern Taiwan from May 2022 to July 2022. We assessed in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), and dedicated ward LOS. Among 209 COVID-19 patients, the in-hospital mortality rates were 20.7% and 29.7% (P = .145) in patients with and without vaccination. A shorter dedicated ward LOS was noted in the vaccination group, with marginal statistical significance. Age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score were recognized as strong prognostic indicators for mortality in multivariable analysis. Vaccination demonstrated significant lower odds of death among relatively young populations in subgroup analysis. COVID-19 vaccination had significant efficacy in hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the relatively young group, and the effect may decline among individuals with advanced age and multiple comorbidities.

Evaluation of the humoral response to the third dose of SARS-COV-2 vaccines in liver transplant recipients

Solid organ transplant recipients (SOTR) commonly develop an unsatisfactory humoral response to vaccines compared to immunocompetent individuals (IC). We have previously evaluated the humoral response in liver transplant recipients (LTR) who received two-dose vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 and reported that 38 % of LTR did not produce anti-Spike antibodies. Thus, we set out to evaluate the humoral response after the third dose of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. For this purpose, samples from a cohort of 81 LTR and 27 IC were extracted between 21 and 90 days after the third dose. Serology for anti-Spike IgG antibodies and neutralizing antibodies against Wuhan, Delta and Omicron variants were evaluated. We found that 73.5 % of LTR were responders for anti-Spike IgG, while all the IC mounted a measurable response. LTR who responded to the third dose showed significantly lower anti-Spike IgG levels and neutralizing antibodies than IC. We found that there is less neutralization in LTR compared to IC across all variants. Specifically, the neutralization titers in both groups decrease when encountering the Delta variant, and this decline is even more pronounced with the Omicron variant, compared to the Wuhan variant. Furthermore, we identified that the use of high doses of mycophenolate and advanced age were factors that negatively affected the development of anti-Spike IgG antibodies. Regarding vaccine regimes, the regime viral vector/mRNA/mRNA elicited significantly higher responses in LTR compared to other vaccine schemes. In addition to the recommended and necessary booster doses in this population, strategies that achieve adequate immunization should be evaluated.

Clinical-epidemiological characteristics and survival of cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) due to COVID-19, according to the COVID-19 vaccination schedule in Brazil, 2021-2022: a prospective study

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the clinical and sociodemographic characteristics and survival of individuals with severe acute respiratory syndrome due to COVID-19 according to the COVID-19 vaccination schedule, Brazil, 2021-2022.

METHODS

This was a cohort study based on data from the Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System; the Kaplan-Meier and Survival Tree methods were used to analyze survival.

RESULTS

Among the 559,866 hospitalized cases, a higher proportion of vaccinated individuals was found among female (15.0%), elderly people aged ≥ 80 (34.5%), people from the Southeast region (15.7%), those who did not undergo respiratory support (21.2%) and those who did progress to death (15.2%); the survival curve showed that risk of death for unvaccinated individuals was higher in all age groups (p-value < 0.001); elderly people aged ≥ 80, who did not undergo mechanical ventilation and who had a booster dose had lower risk when compared to their peers who had two doses or were unvaccinated (hazard ratio = 0.64; 95%CI 0.62;0.67).

CONCLUSION

Lowest risk of death was found in vaccinated individuals, especially those who had two doses or a booster dose as well.

MAIN RESULTS

Prevalence was found to be high among unvaccinated individuals. Risk of death was lower among those vaccinated with a booster dose, compared to those not vaccinated, in all age groups analyzed.

IMPLICATIONS FOR SERVICES

The number of hospitalizations of unvaccinated individuals with severe acute respiratory syndrome was high, which increases the demand for health services to care for these individuals.

PERSPECTIVES

It is necessary to promote widespread vaccination of the entire population of Brazil, in addition to the regular provision of booster doses for the different population groups.

COVID-19 breakthrough infections and sleep disorders: A population-based propensity matched analysis

Objectives

Examine risks for breakthrough COVID-19 infections in vaccinated patients with selected sleep disorders.

Methods

Real-time search and analysis using the TriNetX platform to evaluate risk of COVID-19 breakthrough infections (BTI) for patients having ICD-10 diagnoses relating to insomnia, circadian rhythm disorders, and inadequate sleep. The sleep disorder and control cohorts underwent propensity matching including factors for age, gender, race, ethnicity, and multiple co-morbid conditions.

Results

Of 24,720 patients identified as having a sleep disturbance relating to insomnia, circadian rhythm disorder, or inadequate sleep, 815 (3.2 %) were found to have a developed a BTI. There was a significant increased risk of BTI noted between the sleep disorder and control cohorts (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 1.40, 95 % confidence interval (CI) of 1.23-1.58). Subgroup analysis showed an elevated risk for BTI receiving two doses (aOR 1.53, 95 % CI 1.24-1.89) versus three doses (aOR 1.45, 95 % CI 1.24-1.69). Patients with the sleep disturbance were not found to be at an increased risk of hospitalization, intubation, death, or composite outcome of death and intubation.

Conclusion

The presence of having a diagnosis of insomnia, circadian rhythm disorder, or inadequate sleep was associated with increased risk of COVID-19 breakthrough infection.

Model-informed health and socio-economic benefits of enhancing global equity and access to Covid-19 vaccines

We take a model-informed approach to the view that a global equitable access (GEA) to Covid-19 vaccines is the key to bring this pandemic to an end. We show that the equitable redistribution (proportional to population size) of the currently available vaccines is not sufficient to stop the pandemic, whereas a 60% increase in vaccine access (the global share of vaccinated people) would have allowed the current distribution to stop the pandemic in about a year of vaccination, saving millions of people in poor countries. We then investigate the interplay between access to vaccines and their distribution among rich and poor countries, showing that the access increase to stop the pandemic gets minimized at + 32% by the equitable distribution (- 36% in rich countries and + 60% in poor ones). To estimate the socio-economic benefits of a vaccination campaign with enhanced global equity and access (eGEA), we compare calibrated simulations of the current scenario with a hypothetical, vaccination-intensive scenario that assumes high rollouts (shown however by many rich and poor countries during the 2021-2022 vaccination campaign) and an improved equity from the current 2.5:1 to a 2:1 rich/poor-ratio of the population fractions vaccinated per day. Assuming that the corresponding + 130% of vaccine production is made possible by an Intellectual Property waiver, we show that the money saved on vaccines globally by the selected eGEA scenario overcomes the 5-year profit of the rights holders in the current situation. This justifies compensation mechanisms in exchange for the necessary licensing agreements. The good news is that the benefits of this eGEA scenario are still relevant, were we ready to implement it now.