Beyond the average patient: how neuroimaging models can address heterogeneity in dementia

AI-based differential diagnosis of dementia etiologies on multimodal data

Differential diagnosis of dementia remains a challenge in neurology due to symptom overlap across etiologies, yet it is crucial for formulating early, personalized management strategies. Here, we present an artificial intelligence (AI) model that harnesses a broad array of data, including demographics, individual and family medical history, medication use, neuropsychological assessments, functional evaluations and multimodal neuroimaging, to identify the etiologies contributing to dementia in individuals. The study, drawing on 51,269 participants across 9 independent, geographically diverse datasets, facilitated the identification of 10 distinct dementia etiologies. It aligns diagnoses with similar management strategies, ensuring robust predictions even with incomplete data. Our model achieved a microaveraged area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.94 in classifying individuals with normal cognition, mild cognitive impairment and dementia. Also, the microaveraged AUROC was 0.96 in differentiating the dementia etiologies. Our model demonstrated proficiency in addressing mixed dementia cases, with a mean AUROC of 0.78 for two co-occurring pathologies. In a randomly selected subset of 100 cases, the AUROC of neurologist assessments augmented by our AI model exceeded neurologist-only evaluations by 26.25%. Furthermore, our model predictions aligned with biomarker evidence and its associations with different proteinopathies were substantiated through postmortem findings. Our framework has the potential to be integrated as a screening tool for dementia in clinical settings and drug trials. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm its ability to improve patient care.

Dementia Subtypes Defined Through Neuropsychiatric Symptom-Associated Brain Connectivity Patterns

Importance

Understanding the heterogeneity of neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPSs) and associated brain abnormalities is essential for effective management and treatment of dementia.

Objective

To identify dementia subtypes with distinct functional connectivity associated with neuropsychiatric subsyndromes.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Using data from the Open Access Series of Imaging Studies-3 (OASIS-3; recruitment began in 2005) and Alzheimer Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI; recruitment began in 2004) databases, this cross-sectional study analyzed resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) scans, clinical assessments, and neuropsychological measures of participants aged 42 to 95 years. The fMRI data were processed from July 2022 to February 2024, with secondary analysis conducted from August 2022 to March 2024. Participants without medical conditions or medical contraindications for MRI were recruited.

Main Outcomes and Measures

A multivariate sparse canonical correlation analysis was conducted to identify functional connectivity-informed NPS subsyndromes, including behavioral and anxiety subsyndromes. Subsequently, a clustering analysis was performed on obtained latent connectivity profiles to reveal neurophysiological subtypes, and differences in abnormal connectivity and phenotypic profiles between subtypes were examined.

Results

Among 1098 participants in OASIS-3, 177 individuals who had fMRI and at least 1 NPS at baseline were included (78 female [44.1%]; median [IQR] age, 72 [67-78] years) as a discovery dataset. There were 2 neuropsychiatric subsyndromes identified: behavioral (r = 0.22; P = .002; P for permutation = .007) and anxiety (r = 0.19; P = .01; P for permutation = .006) subsyndromes from connectivity NPS-associated latent features. The behavioral subsyndrome was characterized by connections predominantly involving the default mode (within-network contribution by summed correlation coefficients = 54) and somatomotor (within-network contribution = 58) networks and NPSs involving nighttime behavior disturbance (R = -0.29; P < .001), agitation (R = -0.28; P = .001), and apathy (R = -0.23; P = .007). The anxiety subsyndrome mainly consisted of connections involving the visual network (within-network contribution = 53) and anxiety-related NPSs (R = 0.36; P < .001). By clustering individuals along these 2 subsyndrome-associated connectivity latent features, 3 subtypes were found (subtype 1: 45 participants; subtype 2: 43 participants; subtype 3: 66 participants). Patients with dementia of subtype 3 exhibited similar brain connectivity and cognitive behavior patterns to those of healthy individuals. However, patients with dementia of subtypes 1 and 2 had different dysfunctional connectivity profiles involving the frontoparietal control network (FPC) and somatomotor network (the difference by summed z values was 230 within the SMN and 173 between the SMN and FPC for subtype 1 and 473 between the SMN and visual network for subtype 2) compared with those of healthy individuals. These dysfunctional connectivity patterns were associated with differences in baseline dementia severity (eg, the median [IQR] of the total score of NPSs was 2 [2-7] for subtype 3 vs 6 [3-8] for subtype 1; P = .04 and 5.5 [3-11] for subtype 2; P = .03) and longitudinal progression of cognitive impairment and behavioral dysfunction (eg, the overall interaction association between time and subtypes to orientation was F = 4.88; P = .008; using the time × subtype 3 interaction item as the reference level: β = 0.05; t = 2.6 for time × subtype 2; P = .01). These findings were further validated using a replication dataset of 193 participants (127 female [65.8%]; median [IQR] age, 74 [69-77] years) consisting of 154 newly released participants from OASIS-3 and 39 participants from ADNI.

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings may provide a novel framework to disentangle the neuropsychiatric and brain functional heterogeneity of dementia, offering a promising avenue to improve clinical management and facilitate the timely development of targeted interventions for patients with dementia.

Analyzing heterogeneity in Alzheimer Disease using multimodal normative modeling on imaging-based ATN biomarkers

INTRODUCTION

Previous studies have applied normative modeling on a single neuroimaging modality to investigate Alzheimer Disease (AD) heterogeneity. We employed a deep learning-based multimodal normative framework to analyze individual-level variation across ATN (amyloid-tau-neurodegeneration) imaging biomarkers.

METHODS

We selected cross-sectional discovery (n = 665) and replication cohorts (n = 430) with available T1-weighted MRI, amyloid and tau PET. Normative modeling estimated individual-level abnormal deviations in amyloid-positive individuals compared to amyloid-negative controls. Regional abnormality patterns were mapped at different clinical group levels to assess intra-group heterogeneity. An individual-level disease severity index (DSI) was calculated using both the spatial extent and magnitude of abnormal deviations across ATN.

RESULTS

Greater intra-group heterogeneity in ATN abnormality patterns was observed in more severe clinical stages of AD. Higher DSI was associated with worse cognitive function and increased risk of disease progression.

DISCUSSION

Subject-specific abnormality maps across ATN reveal the heterogeneous impact of AD on the brain.

Normative modelling of molecular-based functional circuits captures clinical heterogeneity transdiagnostically in psychiatric patients

Advanced methods such as REACT have allowed the integration of fMRI with the brain's receptor landscape, providing novel insights transcending the multiscale organisation of the brain. Similarly, normative modelling has allowed translational neuroscience to move beyond group-average differences and characterise deviations from health at an individual level. Here, we bring these methods together for the first time. We used REACT to create functional networks enriched with the main modulatory, inhibitory, and excitatory neurotransmitter systems and generated normative models of these networks to capture functional connectivity deviations in patients with schizophrenia, bipolar disorder (BPD), and ADHD. Substantial overlap was seen in symptomatology and deviations from normality across groups, but these could be mapped into a common space linking constellations of symptoms through to underlying neurobiology transdiagnostically. This work provides impetus for developing novel biomarkers that characterise molecular- and systems-level dysfunction at the individual level, facilitating the transition towards mechanistically targeted treatments.

Constructing personalized characterizations of structural brain aberrations in patients with dementia using explainable artificial intelligence

Deep learning approaches for clinical predictions based on magnetic resonance imaging data have shown great promise as a translational technology for diagnosis and prognosis in neurological disorders, but its clinical impact has been limited. This is partially attributed to the opaqueness of deep learning models, causing insufficient understanding of what underlies their decisions. To overcome this, we trained convolutional neural networks on structural brain scans to differentiate dementia patients from healthy controls, and applied layerwise relevance propagation to procure individual-level explanations of the model predictions. Through extensive validations we demonstrate that deviations recognized by the model corroborate existing knowledge of structural brain aberrations in dementia. By employing the explainable dementia classifier in a longitudinal dataset of patients with mild cognitive impairment, we show that the spatially rich explanations complement the model prediction when forecasting transition to dementia and help characterize the biological manifestation of disease in the individual brain. Overall, our work exemplifies the clinical potential of explainable artificial intelligence in precision medicine.

Viscous dynamics associated with hypoexcitation and structural disintegration in neurodegeneration via generative whole-brain modeling

INTRODUCTION

Alzheimer's disease (AD) and behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD) lack mechanistic biophysical modeling in diverse, underrepresented populations. Electroencephalography (EEG) is a high temporal resolution, cost-effective technique for studying dementia globally, but lacks mechanistic models and produces non-replicable results.

METHODS

We developed a generative whole-brain model that combines EEG source-level metaconnectivity, anatomical priors, and a perturbational approach. This model was applied to Global South participants (AD, bvFTD, and healthy controls).

RESULTS

Metaconnectivity outperformed pairwise connectivity and revealed more viscous dynamics in patients, with altered metaconnectivity patterns associated with multimodal disease presentation. The biophysical model showed that connectome disintegration and hypoexcitability triggered altered metaconnectivity dynamics and identified critical regions for brain stimulation. We replicated the main results in a second subset of participants for validation with unharmonized, heterogeneous recording settings.

DISCUSSION

The results provide a novel agenda for developing mechanistic model-inspired characterization and therapies in clinical, translational, and computational neuroscience settings.

AI-based differential diagnosis of dementia etiologies on multimodal data

Differential diagnosis of dementia remains a challenge in neurology due to symptom overlap across etiologies, yet it is crucial for formulating early, personalized management strategies. Here, we present an AI model that harnesses a broad array of data, including demographics, individual and family medical history, medication use, neuropsychological assessments, functional evaluations, and multimodal neuroimaging, to identify the etiologies contributing to dementia in individuals. The study, drawing on 51,269 participants across 9 independent, geographically diverse datasets, facilitated the identification of 10 distinct dementia etiologies. It aligns diagnoses with similar management strategies, ensuring robust predictions even with incomplete data. Our model achieved a micro-averaged area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.94 in classifying individuals with normal cognition, mild cognitive impairment and dementia. Also, the micro-averaged AUROC was 0.96 in differentiating the dementia etiologies. Our model demonstrated proficiency in addressing mixed dementia cases, with a mean AUROC of 0.78 for two co-occurring pathologies. In a randomly selected subset of 100 cases, the AUROC of neurologist assessments augmented by our AI model exceeded neurologist-only evaluations by 26.25%. Furthermore, our model predictions aligned with biomarker evidence and its associations with different proteinopathies were substantiated through postmortem findings. Our framework has the potential to be integrated as a screening tool for dementia in various clinical settings and drug trials, with promising implications for person-level management.

A neuroimaging measure to capture heterogeneous patterns of atrophy in Parkinson's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies

INTRODUCTION

Parkinson's disease (PD) and Dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) show heterogeneous brain atrophy patterns which group-average analyses fail to capture. Neuroanatomical normative modelling overcomes this by comparing individuals to a large reference cohort. Patient-specific atrophy patterns are measured objectively and summarised to index overall neurodegeneration (the 'total outlier count'). We aimed to quantify patterns of neurodegenerative dissimilarity in participants with PD and DLB and evaluate the potential clinical relevance of total outlier count by testing its association with key clinical measures in PD and DLB.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included 108 participants with PD and 61 with DLB. PD participants were subclassified into high and low visual performers as this has previously been shown to stratify those at increased dementia risk. We generated z-scores from T1w-MRI scans for each participant relative to normative regional cortical thickness and subcortical volumes, modelled in a reference cohort (n = 58,836). Outliers (z < -1.96) were aggregated across 169 brain regions per participant. To measure dissimilarity, individuals' Hamming distance scores were calculated. We also examined total outlier counts between high versus low visual performance in PD; and PD versus DLB; and tested associations between these and cognition.

RESULTS

There was significantly greater inter-individual dissimilarity in brain-outlier patterns in PD poor compared to high visual performers (W = 522.5; p < 0.01) and in DLB compared to PD (W = 5649; p < 0.01). PD poor visual performers had significantly greater total outlier counts compared to high (β = -4.73 (SE = 1.30); t = -3.64; p < 0.01) whereas a conventional group-level GLM failed to identify differences. Higher total outlier counts were associated with poorer MoCA (β = -0.55 (SE = 0.27), t = -2.04, p = 0.05) and composite cognitive scores (β = -2.01 (SE = 0.79); t = -2.54; p = 0.02) in DLB, and visuoperception (β = -0.67 (SE = 0.19); t = -3.59; p < 0.01), in PD.

CONCLUSIONS

Neuroanatomical normative modelling shows promise as a clinically informative technique in PD and DLB, where patterns of atrophy are variable.

Cortical thickness modeling and variability in Alzheimer's disease and frontotemporal dementia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Alzheimer's disease (AD) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD) show different patterns of cortical thickness (CTh) loss compared with healthy controls (HC), even though there is relevant heterogeneity between individuals suffering from each of these diseases. Thus, we developed CTh models to study individual variability in AD, FTD, and HC.

METHODS

We used the baseline CTh measures of 379 participants obtained from the structural MRI processed with FreeSurfer. A total of 169 AD patients (63 ± 9 years, 65 men), 88 FTD patients (64 ± 9 years, 43 men), and 122 HC (62 ± 10 years, 47 men) were studied. We fitted region-wise temporal models of CTh using Support Vector Regression. Then, we studied associations of individual deviations from the model with cerebrospinal fluid levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL) and 14-3-3 protein and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Furthermore, we used real longitudinal data from 144 participants to test model predictivity.

RESULTS

We defined CTh spatiotemporal models for each group with a reliable fit. Individual deviation correlated with MMSE for AD and with NfL for FTD. AD patients with higher deviations from the trend presented higher MMSE values. In FTD, lower NfL levels were associated with higher deviations from the CTh prediction. For AD and HC, we could predict longitudinal visits with the presented model trained with baseline data. For FTD, the longitudinal visits had more variability.

CONCLUSION

We highlight the value of CTh models for studying AD and FTD longitudinal changes and variability and their relationships with cognitive features and biomarkers.

Data-driven modelling of neurodegenerative disease progression: thinking outside the black box

Data-driven disease progression models are an emerging set of computational tools that reconstruct disease timelines for long-term chronic diseases, providing unique insights into disease processes and their underlying mechanisms. Such methods combine a priori human knowledge and assumptions with large-scale data processing and parameter estimation to infer long-term disease trajectories from short-term data. In contrast to 'black box' machine learning tools, data-driven disease progression models typically require fewer data and are inherently interpretable, thereby aiding disease understanding in addition to enabling classification, prediction and stratification. In this Review, we place the current landscape of data-driven disease progression models in a general framework and discuss their enhanced utility for constructing a disease timeline compared with wider machine learning tools that construct static disease profiles. We review the insights they have enabled across multiple neurodegenerative diseases, notably Alzheimer disease, for applications such as determining temporal trajectories of disease biomarkers, testing hypotheses about disease mechanisms and uncovering disease subtypes. We outline key areas for technological development and translation to a broader range of neuroscience and non-neuroscience applications. Finally, we discuss potential pathways and barriers to integrating disease progression models into clinical practice and trial settings.

Association between structural brain MRI abnormalities and epilepsy in older adults

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between brain MRI abnormalities and incident epilepsy in older adults.

METHODS

Men and women (ages 45-64 years) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study were followed up from 1987 to 2018 with brain MRI performed between 2011 and 2013. We identified cases of incident late-onset epilepsy (LOE) with onset of seizures occurring after the acquisition of brain MRI. We evaluated the relative pattern of cortical thickness, subcortical volume, and white matter integrity among participants with incident LOE after MRI in comparison with participants without seizures. We examined the association between MRI abnormalities and incident LOE using Cox proportional hazards regression. Models were adjusted for demographics, hypertension, diabetes, smoking, stroke, and dementia status.

RESULTS

Among 1251 participants with brain MRI data, 27 (2.2%) developed LOE after MRI over a median of 6.4 years (25-75 percentile 5.8-6.9) of follow-up. Participants with incident LOE after MRI had higher levels of cortical thinning and white matter microstructural abnormalities before seizure onset compared to those without seizures. In longitudinal analyses, greater number of abnormalities was associated with incident LOE after controlling for demographic factors, risk factors for cardiovascular disease, stroke, and dementia (gray matter: hazard ratio [HR]: 2.3, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.0-4.9; white matter diffusivity: HR: 3.0, 95% CI: 1.2-7.3).

INTERPRETATION

This study demonstrates considerable gray and white matter pathology among individuals with LOE, which is present prior to the onset of seizures and provides important insights into the role of neurodegeneration, both of gray and white matter, and the risk of LOE.

Alzheimer's disease heterogeneity revealed by neuroanatomical normative modeling

INTRODUCTION

Overlooking the heterogeneity in Alzheimer's disease (AD) may lead to diagnostic delays and failures. Neuroanatomical normative modeling captures individual brain variation and may inform our understanding of individual differences in AD-related atrophy.

METHODS

We applied neuroanatomical normative modeling to magnetic resonance imaging from a real-world clinical cohort with confirmed AD (n = 86). Regional cortical thickness was compared to a healthy reference cohort (n = 33,072) and the number of outlying regions was summed (total outlier count) and mapped at individual- and group-levels.

RESULTS

The superior temporal sulcus contained the highest proportion of outliers (60%). Elsewhere, overlap between patient atrophy patterns was low. Mean total outlier count was higher in patients who were non-amnestic, at more advanced disease stages, and without depressive symptoms. Amyloid burden was negatively associated with outlier count.

DISCUSSION

Brain atrophy in AD is highly heterogeneous and neuroanatomical normative modeling can be used to explore anatomo-clinical correlations in individual patients.

Exploring individual fixel-based white matter abnormalities in epilepsy

Diffusion MRI has provided insight into the widespread structural connectivity changes that characterize epilepsies. Although syndrome-specific white matter abnormalities have been demonstrated, studies to date have predominantly relied on statistical comparisons between patient and control groups. For diffusion MRI techniques to be of clinical value, they should be able to detect white matter microstructural changes in individual patients. In this study, we apply an individualized approach to a technique known as fixel-based analysis, to examine fibre-tract-specific abnormalities in individuals with epilepsy. We explore the potential clinical value of this individualized fixel-based approach in epilepsy patients with differing syndromic diagnoses. Diffusion MRI data from 90 neurologically healthy control participants and 10 patients with epilepsy (temporal lobe epilepsy, progressive myoclonus epilepsy, and Dravet Syndrome, malformations of cortical development) were included in this study. Measures of fibre density and cross-section were extracted for all participants across brain white matter fixels, and mean values were computed within select tracts-of-interest. Scanner harmonized and normalized data were then used to compute Z-scores for individual patients with epilepsy. White matter abnormalities were observed in distinct patterns in individual patients with epilepsy, both at the tract and fixel level. For patients with specific epilepsy syndromes, the detected white matter abnormalities were in line with expected syndrome-specific clinical phenotypes. In patients with lesional epilepsies (e.g. hippocampal sclerosis, periventricular nodular heterotopia, and bottom-of-sulcus dysplasia), white matter abnormalities were spatially concordant with lesion location. This proof-of-principle study demonstrates the clinical potential of translating advanced diffusion MRI methodology to individual-patient-level use in epilepsy. This technique could be useful both in aiding diagnosis of specific epilepsy syndromes, and in localizing structural abnormalities, and is readily amenable to other neurological disorders. We have included code and data for this study so that individualized white matter changes can be explored robustly in larger cohorts in future work.

The neural substrates of transdiagnostic cognitive-linguistic heterogeneity in primary progressive aphasia

BACKGROUND

Clinical variants of primary progressive aphasia (PPA) are diagnosed based on characteristic patterns of language deficits, supported by corresponding neural changes on brain imaging. However, there is (i) considerable phenotypic variability within and between each diagnostic category with partially overlapping profiles of language performance between variants and (ii) accompanying non-linguistic cognitive impairments that may be independent of aphasia magnitude and disease severity. The neurobiological basis of this cognitive-linguistic heterogeneity remains unclear. Understanding the relationship between these variables would improve PPA clinical/research characterisation and strengthen clinical trial and symptomatic treatment design. We address these knowledge gaps using a data-driven transdiagnostic approach to chart cognitive-linguistic differences and their associations with grey/white matter degeneration across multiple PPA variants.

METHODS

Forty-seven patients (13 semantic, 15 non-fluent, and 19 logopenic variant PPA) underwent assessment of general cognition, errors on language performance, and structural and diffusion magnetic resonance imaging to index whole-brain grey and white matter changes. Behavioural data were entered into varimax-rotated principal component analyses to derive orthogonal dimensions explaining the majority of cognitive variance. To uncover neural correlates of cognitive heterogeneity, derived components were used as covariates in neuroimaging analyses of grey matter (voxel-based morphometry) and white matter (network-based statistics of structural connectomes).

RESULTS

Four behavioural components emerged: general cognition, semantic memory, working memory, and motor speech/phonology. Performance patterns on the latter three principal components were in keeping with each variant's characteristic profile, but with a spectrum rather than categorical distribution across the cohort. General cognitive changes were most marked in logopenic variant PPA. Regardless of clinical diagnosis, general cognitive impairment was associated with inferior/posterior parietal grey/white matter involvement, semantic memory deficits with bilateral anterior temporal grey/white matter changes, working memory impairment with temporoparietal and frontostriatal grey/white matter involvement, and motor speech/phonology deficits with inferior/middle frontal grey matter alterations.

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive-linguistic heterogeneity in PPA closely relates to individual-level variations on multiple behavioural dimensions and grey/white matter degeneration of regions within and beyond the language network. We further show that employment of transdiagnostic approaches may help to understand clinical symptom boundaries and reveal clinical and neural profiles that are shared across categorically defined variants of PPA.

Longitudinal amyloid and tau PET imaging in Alzheimer's disease: A systematic review of methodologies and factors affecting quantification

Deposition of amyloid and tau pathology can be quantified in vivo using positron emission tomography (PET). Accurate longitudinal measurements of accumulation from these images are critical for characterizing the start and spread of the disease. However, these measurements are challenging; precision and accuracy can be affected substantially by various sources of errors and variability. This review, supported by a systematic search of the literature, summarizes the current design and methodologies of longitudinal PET studies. Intrinsic, biological causes of variability of the Alzheimer's disease (AD) protein load over time are then detailed. Technical factors contributing to longitudinal PET measurement uncertainty are highlighted, followed by suggestions for mitigating these factors, including possible techniques that leverage shared information between serial scans. Controlling for intrinsic variability and reducing measurement uncertainty in longitudinal PET pipelines will provide more accurate and precise markers of disease evolution, improve clinical trial design, and aid therapy response monitoring.

Defining Dementia Subtypes Through Neuropsychiatric Symptom-Linked Brain Connectivity Patterns

BACKGROUND

Dementia is highly heterogeneous, with pronounced individual differences in neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) and neuroimaging findings. Understanding the heterogeneity of NPS and associated brain abnormalities is essential for effective management and treatment of dementia.

METHODS

Using large-scale neuroimaging data from the Open Access Series of Imaging Studies (OASIS-3), we conducted a multivariate sparse canonical correlation analysis to identify functional connectivity-informed symptom dimensions. Subsequently, we performed a clustering analysis on the obtained latent connectivity profiles to reveal neurophysiological subtypes and examined differences in abnormal connectivity and phenotypic profiles between subtypes.

RESULTS

We identified two reliable neuropsychiatric subsyndromes - behavioral and anxiety in the connectivity-NPS linked latent space. The behavioral subsyndrome was characterized by the connections predominantly involving the default mode and somatomotor networks and neuropsychiatric symptoms involving nighttime behavior disturbance, agitation, and apathy. The anxiety subsyndrome was mainly contributed by connections involving the visual network and the anxiety neuropsychiatric symptom. By clustering individuals along these two subsyndromes-linked connectivity latent features, we uncovered three subtypes encompassing both dementia patients and healthy controls. Dementia in one subtype exhibited similar brain connectivity and cognitive-behavior patterns to healthy individuals. However, dementia in the other two subtypes showed different dysfunctional connectivity profiles involving the default mode, frontoparietal control, somatomotor, and ventral attention networks, compared to healthy individuals. These dysfunctional connectivity patterns were associated with differences in baseline dementia severity and longitudinal progression of cognitive impairment and behavioral dysfunction.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings shed valuable insights into disentangling the neuropsychiatric and brain functional heterogeneity of dementia, offering a promising avenue to improve clinical management and facilitate the development of timely and targeted interventions for dementia patients.

The impact of regional heterogeneity in whole-brain dynamics in the presence of oscillations

Large variability exists across brain regions in health and disease, considering their cellular and molecular composition, connectivity, and function. Large-scale whole-brain models comprising coupled brain regions provide insights into the underlying dynamics that shape complex patterns of spontaneous brain activity. In particular, biophysically grounded mean-field whole-brain models in the asynchronous regime were used to demonstrate the dynamical consequences of including regional variability. Nevertheless, the role of heterogeneities when brain dynamics are supported by synchronous oscillating state, which is a ubiquitous phenomenon in brain, remains poorly understood. Here, we implemented two models capable of presenting oscillatory behavior with different levels of abstraction: a phenomenological Stuart-Landau model and an exact mean-field model. The fit of these models informed by structural- to functional-weighted MRI signal (T1w/T2w) allowed us to explore the implication of the inclusion of heterogeneities for modeling resting-state fMRI recordings from healthy participants. We found that disease-specific regional functional heterogeneity imposed dynamical consequences within the oscillatory regime in fMRI recordings from neurodegeneration with specific impacts on brain atrophy/structure (Alzheimer's patients). Overall, we found that models with oscillations perform better when structural and functional regional heterogeneities are considered, showing that phenomenological and biophysical models behave similarly at the brink of the Hopf bifurcation.

Personalising Alzheimer's Disease progression using brain atrophy markers

INTRODUCTION

Neuroanatomical normative modelling can capture individual variability in Alzheimer's Disease (AD). We used neuroanatomical normative modelling to track individuals' disease progression in people with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and patients with AD.

METHODS

Cortical thickness and subcortical volume neuroanatomical normative models were generated using healthy controls (n~58k). These models were used to calculate regional Z-scores in 4361 T1-weighted MRI time-series scans. Regions with Z-scores <-1.96 were classified as outliers and mapped on the brain, and also summarised by total outlier count (tOC).

RESULTS

Rate of change in tOC increased in AD and in people with MCI who converted to AD and correlated with multiple non-imaging markers. Moreover, a higher annual rate of change in tOC increased the risk of MCI progression to AD. Brain Z-score maps showed that the hippocampus had the highest rate of atrophy change.

CONCLUSIONS

Individual-level atrophy rates can be tracked by using regional outlier maps and tOC.

Revealing Individual Neuroanatomical Heterogeneity in Alzheimer Disease Using Neuroanatomical Normative Modeling

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Alzheimer disease (AD) is highly heterogeneous, with marked individual differences in clinical presentation and neurobiology. To explore this, we used neuroanatomical normative modeling to index regional patterns of variability in cortical thickness. We aimed to characterize individual differences and outliers in cortical thickness in patients with AD, people with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and controls. Furthermore, we assessed the relationships between cortical thickness heterogeneity and cognitive function, β-amyloid, phosphorylated-tau, and ApoE genotype. Finally, we examined whether cortical thickness heterogeneity was predictive of conversion from MCI to AD.

METHODS

Cortical thickness measurements across 148 brain regions were obtained from T1-weighted MRI scans from 62 sites of the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. AD was determined by clinical and neuropsychological examination with no comorbidities present. Participants with MCI had reported memory complaints, and controls were cognitively normal. A neuroanatomical normative model indexed cortical thickness distributions using a separate healthy reference data set (n = 33,072), which used hierarchical Bayesian regression to predict cortical thickness per region using age and sex, while adjusting for site noise. Z-scores per region were calculated, resulting in a Z-score brain map per participant. Regions with Z-scores <-1.96 were classified as outliers.

RESULTS

Patients with AD (n = 206) had a median of 12 outlier regions (out of a possible 148), with the highest proportion of outliers (47%) in the parahippocampal gyrus. For 62 regions, over 90% of these patients had cortical thicknesses within the normal range. Patients with AD had more outlier regions than people with MCI (n = 662) or controls (n = 159) (F(2, 1,022) = 95.39, p = 2.0 × 10-16). They were also more dissimilar to each other than people with MCI or controls (F(2, 1,024) = 209.42, p = 2.2 × 10-16). A greater number of outlier regions were associated with worse cognitive function, CSF protein concentrations, and an increased risk of converting from MCI to AD within 3 years (hazard ratio 1.028, 95% CI 1.016-1.039, p = 1.8 × 10-16).

DISCUSSION

Individualized normative maps of cortical thickness highlight the heterogeneous effect of AD on the brain. Regional outlier estimates have the potential to be a marker of disease and could be used to track an individual's disease progression or treatment response in clinical trials.

Performing arts as a non-pharmacological intervention for people with dementia and care-partners: a community case study

Participation in psychosocial enrichment activities, such as music and arts programming, have shown potential to delay or reduce functional decline - without adverse effects that can be associated with pharmaceuticals. The performing-arts programming described in this community case study was inspired by a community music program called B-Sharp Music Wellness, located in Phoenix, Arizona, which involved small groups of musicians who provided symphony performances for people with dementia. Our community programming sought to engage people with dementia and their informal care partner (typically a spouse) in existing performing-arts programs in their local community, providing social hours and season tickets for either symphony, dance (ballet), or non-musical theater performances. This case study describes the program history and design, including outcomes and lessons learned from the program evaluation of the last full season (2018-19) and partial season (2019-20), when the program was halted due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Program outcomes suggest strategies for, and benefits of, design for performing-arts programs as psychosocial interventions in other communities.

Individualised profiling of white matter organisation in moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury patients

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Approximately 65% of moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury (m-sTBI) patients present with poor long-term behavioural outcomes, which can significantly impair activities of daily living. Numerous diffusion-weighted MRI studies have linked these poor outcomes to decreased white matter integrity of several commissural tracts, association fibres and projection fibres in the brain. However, most studies have focused on group-based analyses, which are unable to deal with the substantial between-patient heterogeneity in m-sTBI. As a result, there is increasing interest and need in conducting individualised neuroimaging analyses.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Here, we generated a detailed subject-specific characterisation of microstructural organisation of white matter tracts in 5 chronic patients with m-sTBI (29 - 49y, 2 females), presented as a proof-of-concept. We developed an imaging analysis framework using fixel-based analysis and TractLearn to determine whether the values of fibre density of white matter tracts at the individual patient level deviate from the healthy control group (n = 12, 8F, M_age = 35.7y, age range 25 - 64y).

RESULTS

Our individualised analysis revealed unique white matter profiles, confirming the heterogenous nature of m-sTBI and the need of individualised profiles to properly characterise the extent of injury. Future studies incorporating clinical data, as well as utilising larger reference samples and examining the test-retest reliability of the fixel-wise metrics are warranted.

CONCLUSIONS

Individualised profiles may assist clinicians in tracking recovery and planning personalised training programs for chronic m-sTBI patients, which is necessary to achieve optimal behavioural outcomes and improved quality of life.

Model-based whole-brain perturbational landscape of neurodegenerative diseases

The treatment of neurodegenerative diseases is hindered by lack of interventions capable of steering multimodal whole-brain dynamics towards patterns indicative of preserved brain health. To address this problem, we combined deep learning with a model capable of reproducing whole-brain functional connectivity in patients diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD). These models included disease-specific atrophy maps as priors to modulate local parameters, revealing increased stability of hippocampal and insular dynamics as signatures of brain atrophy in AD and bvFTD, respectively. Using variational autoencoders, we visualized different pathologies and their severity as the evolution of trajectories in a low-dimensional latent space. Finally, we perturbed the model to reveal key AD- and bvFTD-specific regions to induce transitions from pathological to healthy brain states. Overall, we obtained novel insights on disease progression and control by means of external stimulation, while identifying dynamical mechanisms that underlie functional alterations in neurodegeneration.

Structural brain network deviations predict recovery after traumatic brain injury

OBJECTIVE

Traumatic brain injury results in diffuse axonal injury and the ensuing maladaptive alterations in network function are associated with incomplete recovery and persistent disability. Despite the importance of axonal injury as an endophenotype in TBI, there is no biomarker that can measure the aggregate and region-specific burden of axonal injury. Normative modeling is an emerging quantitative case-control technique that can capture region-specific and aggregate deviations in brain networks at the individual patient level. Our objective was to apply normative modeling in TBI to study deviations in brain networks after primarily complicated mild TBI and study its relationship with other validated measures of injury severity, burden of post-TBI symptoms, and functional impairment.

METHOD

We analyzed 70 T1-weighted and diffusion-weighted MRIs longitudinally collected from 35 individuals with primarily complicated mild TBI during the subacute and chronic post-injury periods. Each individual underwent longitudinal blood sampling to characterize blood protein biomarkers of axonal and glial injury and assessment of post-injury recovery in the subacute and chronic periods. By comparing the MRI data of individual TBI participants with 35 uninjured controls, we estimated the longitudinal change in structural brain network deviations. We compared network deviation with independent measures of acute intracranial injury estimated from head CT and blood protein biomarkers. Using elastic net regression models, we identified brain regions in which deviations present in the subacute period predict chronic post-TBI symptoms and functional status.

RESULTS

Post-injury structural network deviation was significantly higher than controls in both subacute and chronic periods, associated with an acute CT lesion and subacute blood levels of glial fibrillary acid protein (r = 0.5, p = 0.008) and neurofilament light (r = 0.41, p = 0.02). Longitudinal change in network deviation associated with change in functional outcome status (r = -0.51, p = 0.003) and post-concussive symptoms (BSI: r = 0.46, p = 0.03; RPQ: r = 0.46, p = 0.02). The brain regions where the node deviation index measured in the subacute period predicted chronic TBI symptoms and functional status corresponded to areas known to be susceptible to neurotrauma.

CONCLUSION

Normative modeling can capture structural network deviations, which may be useful in estimating the aggregate and region-specific burden of network changes induced by TAI. If validated in larger studies, structural network deviation scores could be useful for enrichment of clinical trials of targeted TAI-directed therapies.

Two Routes to Alzheimer's Disease Based on Differential Structural Changes in Key Brain Regions

BACKGROUND

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disorder with homogenous disease patterns. Neuropathological changes precede symptoms by up to two decades making neuroimaging biomarkers a prime candidate for early diagnosis, prognosis, and patient stratification.

OBJECTIVE

The goal of the study was to discern intermediate AD stages and their precursors based on neuroanatomical features for stratifying patients on their progression through different stages.

METHODS

Data include grey matter features from 14 brain regions extracted from longitudinal structural MRI and cognitive data obtained from 1,017 healthy controls and AD patients of ADNI. AD progression was modeled with a Hidden Markov Model, whose hidden states signify disease stages derived from the neuroanatomical data. To tie the progression in brain atrophy to a behavioral marker, we analyzed the ADAS-cog sub-scores in the stages.

RESULTS

The optimal model consists of eight states with differentiable neuroanatomical features, forming two routes crossing once at a very early point and merging at the final state. The cortical route is characterized by early and sustained atrophy in cortical regions. The limbic route is characterized by early decrease in limbic regions. Cognitive differences between the two routes are most noticeable in the memory domain with subjects from the limbic route experiencing stronger memory impairments.

CONCLUSION

Our findings corroborate that more than one pattern of grey matter deterioration with several discernable stages can be identified in the progression of AD. These neuroanatomical subtypes are behaviorally meaningful and provide a door into early diagnosis of AD and prognosis of the disease's progression.

Predictive Design and Analysis of Drug Transport by Multiscale Computational Models Under Uncertainty

Computational modeling of drug delivery is becoming an indispensable tool for advancing drug development pipeline, particularly in nanomedicine where a rational design strategy is ultimately sought. While numerous in silico models have been developed that can accurately describe nanoparticle interactions with the bioenvironment within prescribed length and time scales, predictive design of these drug carriers, dosages and treatment schemes will require advanced models that can simulate transport processes across multiple length and time scales from genomic to population levels. In order to address this problem, multiscale modeling efforts that integrate existing discrete and continuum modeling strategies have recently emerged. These multiscale approaches provide a promising direction for bottom-up in silico pipelines of drug design for delivery. However, there are remaining challenges in terms of model parametrization and validation in the presence of variability, introduced by multiple levels of heterogeneities in disease state. Parametrization based on physiologically relevant in vitro data from microphysiological systems as well as widespread adoption of uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis will help address these challenges.

Harmonizing Ethno-Regionally Diverse Datasets to Advance the Global Epidemiology of Dementia

Understanding dementia and cognitive impairment is a global effort needing data from multiple sources across diverse ethno-regional groups. Methodological heterogeneity means that these data often require harmonization to make them comparable before analysis. We discuss the benefits and challenges of harmonization, both retrospective and prospective, broadly and with a focus on data types that require particular sorts of approaches, including neuropsychological test scores and neuroimaging data. Throughout our discussion, we illustrate general principles and give examples of specific approaches in the context of contemporary research in dementia and cognitive impairment from around the world.

Mapping behavioural, cognitive and affective transdiagnostic dimensions in frontotemporal dementia

Two common clinical variants of frontotemporal dementia are the behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia, presenting with behavioural and personality changes attributable to prefrontal atrophy, and semantic dementia, displaying early semantic dysfunction primarily due to anterior temporal degeneration. Despite representing independent diagnostic entities, mounting evidence indicates overlapping cognitive-behavioural profiles in these syndromes, particularly with disease progression. Why such overlap occurs remains unclear. Understanding the nature of this overlap, however, is essential to improve early diagnosis, characterization and management of those affected. Here, we explored common cognitive-behavioural and neural mechanisms contributing to heterogeneous frontotemporal dementia presentations, irrespective of clinical diagnosis. This transdiagnostic approach allowed us to ascertain whether symptoms not currently considered core to these two syndromes are present in a significant proportion of cases and to explore the neural basis of clinical heterogeneity. Sixty-two frontotemporal dementia patients (31 behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia and 31 semantic dementia) underwent comprehensive neuropsychological, behavioural and structural neuroimaging assessments. Orthogonally rotated principal component analysis of neuropsychological and behavioural data uncovered eight statistically independent factors explaining the majority of cognitive-behavioural performance variation in behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia and semantic dementia. These factors included Behavioural changes, Semantic dysfunction, General Cognition, Executive function, Initiation, Disinhibition, Visuospatial function and Affective changes. Marked individual-level overlap between behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia and semantic dementia was evident on the Behavioural changes, General Cognition, Initiation, Disinhibition and Affective changes factors. Compared to behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia, semantic dementia patients displayed disproportionate impairment on the Semantic dysfunction factor, whereas greater impairment on Executive and Visuospatial function factors was noted in behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia. Both patient groups showed comparable magnitude of atrophy to frontal regions, whereas severe temporal lobe atrophy was characteristic of semantic dementia. Whole-brain voxel-based morphometry correlations with emergent factors revealed associations between fronto-insular and striatal grey matter changes with Behavioural, Executive and Initiation factor performance, bilateral temporal atrophy with Semantic dysfunction factor scores, parietal-subcortical regions with General Cognitive performance and ventral temporal atrophy associated with Visuospatial factor scores. Together, these findings indicate that cognitive-behavioural overlap (i) occurs systematically in frontotemporal dementia; (ii) varies in a graded manner between individuals and (iii) is associated with degeneration of different neural systems. Our findings suggest that phenotypic heterogeneity in frontotemporal dementia syndromes can be captured along continuous, multidimensional spectra of cognitive-behavioural changes. This has implications for the diagnosis of both syndromes amidst overlapping features as well as the design of symptomatic treatments applicable to multiple syndromes.

Multi-cohort and longitudinal Bayesian clustering study of stage and subtype in Alzheimer's disease

Understanding Alzheimer's disease (AD) heterogeneity is important for understanding the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms of AD. However, AD atrophy subtypes may reflect different disease stages or biologically distinct subtypes. Here we use longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging data (891 participants with AD dementia, 305 healthy control participants) from four international cohorts, and longitudinal clustering to estimate differential atrophy trajectories from the age of clinical disease onset. Our findings (in amyloid-β positive AD patients) show five distinct longitudinal patterns of atrophy with different demographical and cognitive characteristics. Some previously reported atrophy subtypes may reflect disease stages rather than distinct subtypes. The heterogeneity in atrophy rates and cognitive decline within the five longitudinal atrophy patterns, potentially expresses a complex combination of protective/risk factors and concomitant non-AD pathologies. By alternating between the cross-sectional and longitudinal understanding of AD subtypes these analyses may allow better understanding of disease heterogeneity.

The normative modeling framework for computational psychiatry

Normative modeling is an emerging and innovative framework for mapping individual differences at the level of a single subject or observation in relation to a reference model. It involves charting centiles of variation across a population in terms of mappings between biology and behavior, which can then be used to make statistical inferences at the level of the individual. The fields of computational psychiatry and clinical neuroscience have been slow to transition away from patient versus 'healthy' control analytic approaches, probably owing to a lack of tools designed to properly model biological heterogeneity of mental disorders. Normative modeling provides a solution to address this issue and moves analysis away from case-control comparisons that rely on potentially noisy clinical labels. Here we define a standardized protocol to guide users through, from start to finish, normative modeling analysis using the Predictive Clinical Neuroscience toolkit (PCNtoolkit). We describe the input data selection process, provide intuition behind the various modeling choices and conclude by demonstrating several examples of downstream analyses that the normative model may facilitate, such as stratification of high-risk individuals, subtyping and behavioral predictive modeling. The protocol takes ~1-3 h to complete.

Behavioral and neural responses during fear conditioning and extinction in a large transdiagnostic sample

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Behavioral and neural responses during Pavlovian fear learning were examined in a large sample of healthy and individuals with anxiety and depression.

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Latent profile models to threat were derived from behavioral and neural data.

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Demographic, cognitive, and psychological variables did not robustly characterize latent profiles.

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Neuroimaging data did not evidence functional role of amygdala in fear learning.

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Human fear learning recruited a distributed network of regions involved in interoceptive, cognitive, motivational, and psychomotor processes.

Background

Dysregulation of fear learning has been associated with psychiatric disorders that have altered positive and negative valence domain function. While amygdala-insula-prefrontal circuitry is considered important for fear learning, there have been inconsistencies in neural findings in healthy and clinical human samples. This study aimed to delineate the neural substrates and behavioral responses during fear learning in a large, transdiagnostic sample with predominantly depressive and/or anxious dysfunction.

Methods

Two-hundred and eighty-two individuals (52 healthy participants; 230 participants with depression and/or anxiety-related problems) from the Tulsa 1000 study, an ongoing, naturalistic longitudinal study based on a dimensional psychopathological framework, completed a Pavlovian fear learning task during functional magnetic resonance imaging. Linear mixed-effects analyses examined condition-by-time effects on brain activation (CS+, CS- across familiarization, conditioning, and extinction trials). A data-driven latent profile analysis (LPA) examined distinct patterns of behavioral and neural responses to threat across fear conditioning and extinction, while logistic regression analyses evaluated cognitive-affective predictors of latent profiles.

Results

Whole-brain analyses revealed a condition-by-time interaction in the anterior insula, postcentral gyrus, superior temporal gyrus, middle frontal gyrus, and cerebellum but not amygdala. The LPA identified distinct latent profiles across subjective and neural levels of measurement. Anterior insula profiles were characterized by marginal differences in age and state anxiety.

Conclusions

Our findings demonstrate that human fear learning recruits a distributed network of regions involved in interoceptive, cognitive, motivational, and psychomotor processes. Data-driven analyses identified distinct profiles of subjective and neural responses during fear learning that transcended clinical diagnoses, but no robust relationships to demographic or cognitive-affective variable were identified.

ADataViewer: exploring semantically harmonized Alzheimer's disease cohort datasets

BACKGROUND

Currently, Alzheimer's disease (AD) cohort datasets are difficult to find and lack across-cohort interoperability, and the actual content of publicly available datasets often only becomes clear to third-party researchers once data access has been granted. These aspects severely hinder the advancement of AD research through emerging data-driven approaches such as machine learning and artificial intelligence and bias current data-driven findings towards the few commonly used, well-explored AD cohorts. To achieve robust and generalizable results, validation across multiple datasets is crucial.

METHODS

We accessed and systematically investigated the content of 20 major AD cohort datasets at the data level. Both, a medical professional and a data specialist, manually curated and semantically harmonized the acquired datasets. Finally, we developed a platform that displays vital information about the available datasets.

RESULTS

Here, we present ADataViewer, an interactive platform that facilitates the exploration of 20 cohort datasets with respect to longitudinal follow-up, demographics, ethnoracial diversity, measured modalities, and statistical properties of individual variables. It allows researchers to quickly identify AD cohorts that meet user-specified requirements for discovery and validation studies regarding available variables, sample sizes, and longitudinal follow-up. Additionally, we publish the underlying variable mapping catalog that harmonizes 1196 unique variables across the 20 cohorts and paves the way for interoperable AD datasets.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, ADataViewer facilitates fast, robust data-driven research by transparently displaying cohort dataset content and supporting researchers in selecting datasets that are suited for their envisioned study. The platform is available at https://adata.scai.fraunhofer.de/ .

Advanced brain aging in multiple system atrophy compared to Parkinson's disease

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MSA, but not PD, exhibits advanced brain aging in gray matter and white matter.

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Brain age of gray matter is correlated with that of white matter in PD.

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Brain age measures can partly reveal associations with symptom severity.

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Brain features underlying brain age difference between MSA and PD are identified.

Multiple system atrophy (MSA) and Parkinson’s disease (PD) belong to alpha-synucleinopathy, but they have very different clinical courses and prognoses. An imaging biomarker that can differentiate between the two diseases early in the disease course is desirable for appropriate treatment. Neuroimaging-based brain age paradigm provides an individualized marker to differentiate aberrant brain aging patterns in neurodegenerative diseases. In this study, patients with MSA (N = 23), PD (N = 33), and healthy controls (N = 34; HC) were recruited. A deep learning approach was used to estimate brain-predicted age difference (PAD) of gray matter (GM) and white matter (WM) based on image features extracted from T1-weighted and diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance images, respectively. Spatial normative models of image features were utilized to quantify neuroanatomical impairments in patients, which were then used to estimate the contributions of image features to brain age measures. For PAD of GM (GM-PAD), patients with MSA had significantly older brain age (9.33 years) than those with PD (0.75 years; P = 0.002) and HC (-1.47 years; P < 0.001), and no significant difference was found between PD and HC (P = 1.000). For PAD of WM (WM-PAD), it was significantly greater in MSA (9.27 years) than that in PD (1.90 years; P = 0.037) and HC (-0.74 years; P < 0.001); there was no significant difference between PD and HC (P = 0.087). The most salient image features that contributed to PAD in MSA and PD were different. For GM, they were the orbitofrontal regions and the cuneus in MSA and PD, respectively, and for WM, they were the central corpus callosum and the uncinate fasciculus in MSA and PD, respectively. Our results demonstrated that MSA revealed significantly greater PAD than PD, which might be related to markedly different neuroanatomical contributions to brain aging. The image features with distinct contributions to brain aging might be of value in the differential diagnosis of MSA and PD.

Positive Effects of Education on Cognitive Functioning Depend on Clinical Status and Neuropathological Severity

Background: Variability in cognitive functions in healthy and pathological aging is often explained by educational attainment. However, it remains unclear to which extent different disease states alter protective effects of education. We aimed to investigate whether protective effects of education on cognition depend on (1) clinical diagnosis severity, and (2) the neuropathological burden within a diagnosis in a memory clinic setting. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, we included 108 patients with subjective cognitive decline [SCD, median age 71, IQR (66-78), 43% men], 190 with mild cognitive impairment [MCI, median age 78, IQR (73-82), 44% men], and 245 with Alzheimer's disease dementia (AD) [median age 80, IQR (76-84), 35% men]. We combined visual ratings of hippocampal atrophy, global atrophy, and white matter hyperintensities on MRI into a single neuropathology score. To investigate whether the contribution of education to cognitive performance differed across SCD, MCI, and AD, we employed several multiple linear regression models, stratified by diagnosis and adjusted for age, sex, and neurodegeneration. We re-ran each model with an additional interaction term to investigate whether these effects were influenced by neuropathological burden for each diagnostic group separately. False discovery rate (FDR) corrections for multiple comparisons were applied. Results: We observed significant positive associations between education and performance for global cognition and executive functions (all adjusted p-values < 0.05). As diagnosis became more severe, however, the strength of these associations decreased (all adjusted p-values < 0.05). Education related to episodic memory only at relatively lower levels of neuropathology in SCD (β = -0.23, uncorrected p = 0.02), whereas education related to episodic memory in those with higher levels of neuropathology in MCI (β = 0.15, uncorrected p = 0.04). However, these interaction effects did not survive FDR-corrections. Conclusions: Altogether, our results demonstrated that positive effects of education on cognitive functioning reduce with diagnosis severity, but the role of neuropathological burden within a particular diagnosis was small and warrants further investigation. Future studies may further unravel the extent to which different dimensions of an individual's disease severity contribute to the waxing and waning of protective effects in cognitive aging.

The Normative Modeling Framework for Computational Psychiatry.. [PMID: 35650452 PMCID: PMC7613648 DOI: 10.1101/2021.08.08.455583]

Normative modeling is an emerging and innovative framework for mapping individual differences at the level of a single subject or observation in relation to a reference model. It involves charting centiles of variation across a population in terms of mappings between biology and behavior which can then be used to make statistical inferences at the level of the individual. The fields of computational psychiatry and clinical neuroscience have been slow to transition away from patient versus “healthy” control analytic approaches, likely due to a lack of tools designed to properly model biological heterogeneity of mental disorders. Normative modeling provides a solution to address this issue and moves analysis away from case-control comparisons that rely on potentially noisy clinical labels. In this article, we define a standardized protocol to guide users through, from start to finish, normative modeling analysis using the Predictive Clinical Neuroscience toolkit (PCNtoolkit). We describe the input data selection process, provide intuition behind the various modeling choices, and conclude by demonstrating several examples of down-stream analyses the normative model results may facilitate, such as stratification of high-risk individuals, subtyping, and behavioral predictive modeling. The protocol takes approximately 1-3 hours to complete.