Prediabetes and the risk of heart failure: A meta-analysis

Evidence of a bi-directional relationship between heart failure and diabetes: a strategy for the detection of glucose abnormalities and diabetes prevention in patients with heart failure

Prevalence of heart failure (HF) and diabetes are markedly increasing globally. In a population of HF patients, approximately 40% have diabetes which is associated with a more severe HF, poorer cardiovascular outcomes and higher hospitalization rates for HF than HF patients without diabetes. Similar trends were shown in HF patients with prediabetes. In addition, the association between HF and renal function decline was demonstrated in patients with or without diabetes. However, the exact prevalence of dysglycemia in HF patients requires further investigation aiming to clarify the most accurate test to detect dysglycemia in this population. The relationship between HF and diabetes is complex and probably bidirectional. In one way, patients with diabetes have a more than two-fold risk of developing incident HF with reduced or preserved ejection fraction than those without diabetes. In the other way, patients with HF, when compared with those without HF, show an increased risk for the onset of diabetes due to several mechanisms including insulin resistance (IR), which makes HF emerging as a precursor for diabetes development. This article provides epidemiological evidence of undetected dysglycemia (prediabetes or diabetes) in HF patients and reviews the pathophysiological mechanisms which favor the development of IR and the risks associated with these disorders in HF patients. This review also offers a discussion of various strategies for the prevention of diabetes in HF patients, based first on fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c measurement and if normal on an oral glucose tolerance test as diagnostic tools for prediabetes and unknown diabetes that should be performed more extensively in those patients. It discusses the implementation of diabetes prevention measures and well-structured management programs for HF patients who are generally overweight or obese, as well as current pharmacotherapeutic options for prediabetes, including sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors which are among the pillars of HF treatment and which recently showed a benefit in the reduction of incident diabetes in HF patients. Thus, there is an urgent need of routine screening for dysglycemia in all HF patients, which should contribute to reduce the incidence of diabetes and to treat earlier diabetes when already present.

Low Levels of Adropin Predict Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Outpatients with Newly Diagnosed Prediabetes after Acute Myocardial Infarction

Adropin-a multifunctional peptide with tissue-protective capacity that regulates energy homeostasis, sensitivity to insulin and inflammatory response-seems to show an inverse association with the presence of cardiovascular and renal diseases, obesity and diabetes mellitus in the general population. The purpose of the study is to elucidate whether adropin may be a plausible predictive biomarker for clinical outcomes in post-ST elevation of myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients with newly diagnosed prediabetes according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. A total of 1214 post-STEMI patients who received percutaneous coronary intervention were identified in a local database of the private hospital "Vita Center" (Zaporozhye, Ukraine). Between November 2020 and June 2024, we prospectively enrolled 498 patients with prediabetes in this open prospective cohort study and followed them for 3 years. The combined clinical endpoint at follow-up was defined as cardiovascular death due to acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, sudden death due to arrhythmia or cardiac surgery, and/or all-cause death. We identified 126 clinical events and found that serum levels of adropin < 2.15 ng/mL (area under the curve = 0.836; 95% confidence interval = 0.745-0.928; sensitivity = 84.9%; specificity = 72.7%; likelihood ratio = 3.11; p = 0.0001) predicted clinical outcomes. Multivariate logistic regression showed that a Gensini score ≥ 32 (Odds ratio [OR] = 1.07; p = 0.001), adropin ≤ 2.15 ng/mL (OR = 1.18; p = 0.001), use of SGLT2i (OR = 0.94; p = 0.010) and GLP-1 receptor agonist (OR = 0.95; p = 0.040) were independent predictors of clinical outcome. Kaplan-Meier plots showed that patients with lower adropin levels (≤2.15 ng/mL) had worse clinical outcomes compared to patients with higher adropin levels (>2.15 ng/mL). In conclusion, low levels of adropin (≤2.15 ng/mL) independently predicted clinical outcomes in post-STEMI patients with newly detected prediabetes and improved the discriminative ability of the Gensini score for 3-year follow-up events. Future clinical studies are needed to clarify whether adropin is a promising molecule to be incorporated into conventional risk scores for the prediction of MACCEs after STEMI.

Risk factors for prediabetes in community-dwelling adults: A generalized estimating equation logistic regression approach with natural language processing insights

The global prevalence of prediabetes is expected to reach 8.3% (587 million people) by 2045, with 70% of people with prediabetes developing diabetes during their lifetimes. We aimed to classify community-dwelling adults with a high risk for prediabetes based on prediabetes-related symptoms and to identify their characteristics, which might be factors associated with prediabetes. We analyzed homecare nursing records (n = 26,840) of 1628 patients aged over 20 years. Using a natural language processing algorithm, we classified each nursing episode as either low-risk or high-risk for prediabetes based on the detected number and category of prediabetes-symptom words. To identify differences between the risk groups, we employed t-tests, chi-square tests, and data visualization. Risk factors for prediabetes were identified using multiple logistic regression models with generalized estimating equations. A total of 3270 episodes (12.18%) were classified as potentially high-risk for prediabetes. There were significant differences in the personal, social, and clinical factors between groups. Results revealed that female sex, age, cancer coverage as part of homecare insurance coverage, and family caregivers were significantly associated with an increased risk of prediabetes. Although prediabetes is not a life-threatening disease, uncontrolled blood glucose can cause unfavorable outcomes for other major diseases. Thus, medical professionals should consider the associated symptoms and risk factors of prediabetes. Moreover, the proposed algorithm may support the detection of individuals at a high risk for prediabetes. Implementing this approach could facilitate proactive monitoring and early intervention, leading to reduced healthcare expenses and better health outcomes for community-dwelling adults.

Correlation between the triglyceride-glucose index and left ventricular global longitudinal strain in patients with chronic heart failure: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular global longitudinal strain (GLS) holds greater diagnostic and prognostic value than left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in the heart failure (HF) patients. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index serves as a reliable surrogate for insulin resistance (IR) and is strongly associated with several adverse cardiovascular events. However, there remains a research gap concerning the correlation between the TyG index and GLS among patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).

METHOD

427 CHF patients were included in the final analysis. Patient demographic information, along with laboratory tests such as blood glucose, lipids profiles, and echocardiographic data were collected. The TyG index was calculated as Ln [fasting triglyceride (TG) (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (FPG) (mg/dL)/2].

RESULTS

Among CHF patients, GLS was notably lower in the higher TyG index group compared to the lower TyG index group. Following adjustment for confounding factors, GLS demonstrated gradual decrease with increasing TyG index, regardless of the LVEF level and CHF classification.

CONCLUSION

Elevated TyG index may be independently associated with more severe clinical left ventricular dysfunction in patients with CHF.

Blood lipid profile, HbA1c, fasting glucose, and diabetes: a cohort study and a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis

PURPOSE

The prevalence of diabetes is increasing worldwide. The associations between the lipid profile and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), fasting glucose, and diabetes remain unclear, so we aimed to perform a cohort study and a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to investigate the causality between blood lipid profile and HbA1c, fasting glucose, and diabetes.

METHODS

A total of 25,171 participants from the Taiwan Biobank were enrolled. We applied a cohort study and an MR study to assess the association between blood lipid profile and HbA1c, fasting glucose, and diabetes. The summary statistics were obtained from the Asian Genetic Epidemiology Network (AGEN), and the estimates between the instrumental variables (IVs) and outcomes were calculated using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method. A series of sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

In the cohort study, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) was negatively associated with HbA1c, fasting glucose, and diabetes, while the causal associations between HDL-C and HbA1c (βIVW = - 0.098, p = 0.003) and diabetes (βIVW = - 0.594, p < 0.001) were also observed. Furthermore, there was no pleiotropy effect in this study using the MR-Egger intercept test and MR-PRESSO global test.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results support the hypothesis that a genetically determined increase in HDL-C is causally related to a reduction in HbA1c and a lower risk of diabetes.

Prognostic value of metabolic syndrome in patients with heart failure and malnutrition

BACKGROUND

Malnutrition is severely associated with worst prognosis of patients with heart failure (HF). Malnourished patients with the metabolic syndrome (MS) can result in a double burden of malnutrition. We aimed to investigate the impact of the MS on clinical outcomes in malnourished HF patients.

METHODS

We examined 529 HF patients at risk of malnutrition with a mean age of (66 ± 10) years and 78% (415) were male. Nutritional status defined primarily by the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), with PNI < 40 being defined as malnutrition. The follow-up endpoint was cardiovascular death or all-cause death.

RESULTS

During the 36-month follow-up, survival rates for cardiovascular and all-cause death were significantly lower in the MS group than in the non-MS group (log-rank P < 0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models showed that MS was independently associated with cardiovascular death (HR:1.759, 95%CI:1.351-2.291, p < 0.001) and all-cause death (HR:1.326, 95%CI:1.041-1.689, p = 0.022) in malnourished patients with HF. MS significantly increased the predictive value of cardiovascular death (AUC:0.669, 95%CI:0.623-0.715, p < 0.001) and all-cause death (AUC:0.636, 95%CI:0.585-0.687, p < 0.001) on the basis of established risk factors. The predictive effect of MS on cardiovascular death was independent of sex, age, functional class and left ventricular ejection fraction.

CONCLUSIONS

In malnourished patients with HF, MS is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. MS significantly enhance the predictive value for clinical events in patients.

Myocardial fibrosis and prognosis in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a pooled analysis of 12 cohort studies

OBJECTIVES

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a syndrome with significant clinical heterogeneity. Myocardial fibrosis has been considered a common pathological process in the development and progress of HFpEF. This study aimed to consolidate data on the prognostic effect of myocardial fibrosis, evaluated by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging in patients with HFpEF.

METHODS

Three medical databases were searched for potentially related articles up to February 28, 2023. Cohort studies reporting associations between myocardial fibrosis and risk of all-cause mortality or composite major adverse cardiac outcomes (MACE) were included. Cardiac fibrosis was evaluated by CMR metrics, including late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) or myocardial extracellular volume (ECV). The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the outcomes for higher myocardial fibrosis were calculated.

RESULTS

Twelve studies with 2787 patients with HFpEF were included for analysis. After a median follow-up duration of 31.2 months, a higher level of cardiac fibrosis was associated with a significant increase in the risk of MACE (HR = 1.34, 95% CI = 1.14-1.57) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.27-2.39), respectively. Furthermore, the increased risk of outcomes was both observed when cardiac fibrosis was defined according to LGE or ECV, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher burden of myocardial fibrosis evaluated by CMR can predict a poor prognosis in patients with HFpEF. Evaluation of LGE or ECV based on CMR could be recommended in these patients for risk stratification and guiding further treatment.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Inclusion of cardiovascular magnetic resonance examination in the diagnostic and risk-evaluation algorithms in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction should be considered in clinical practice and future studies.

KEY POINTS

• Myocardial fibrosis is a common pathological process in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. • A higher myocardial fibrosis burden on cardiac magnetic resonance predicts a poor prognosis in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. • Evaluation of myocardial fibrosis may be useful in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction for risk stratification and treatment guidance.

Prevalence of prediabetes and risk of CVD mortality in individuals with prediabetes alone or plus hypertension in Northeast China: insight from a population based cohort study

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the current prevalence of prediabetes in northeast China, and further determine the association between prediabetes alone or coexistent with hypertension and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

METHODS

In the prospective study, 15,557 participants without diabetes among aged ≥40 years in northeast China, were followed for a median of 5.5 years. Following the American Diabetes Association, prediabetes was defined as fasting plasma glucose (FPG) range of 5.6-6.9 mmol/L or glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) range of 5.7-6.4% in people without diabetes.

RESULTS

The prevalence of prediabetes was 44.3% among population aged ≥40 years in northeast China. Prediabetes alone did not promote risk of CVD mortality. However, when the subgroups were stratified by hypertension, the CVD mortality risk in prediabetes plus hypertension subjects increased significantly compared with population without prediabetes and hypertension. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios for CVD mortality in prediabetes subgroups plus hypertension were 2.28 (95% CI: 1.50, 3.47) for those diagnosed by FPG < 5.6 mmol/L & HbA1c 5.7-6.4%, 2.18 (95% CI: 1.53, 3.10) for those diagnosed by FPG 5.6-6.0 mmol/L & HbA1c < 6.5% and 2.35 (95% CI: 1.65, 3.35) for those diagnosed by FPG 6.1-6.9 & HbA1c < 6.5% compared with the reference group. Moreover, the percentage of hypertension in prediabetes subjects was high (60.4%), but the awareness, treatment and control rates were far from satisfactory (45.3, 35.1 and 4.8%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of prediabetes remains high in northeast China, and the CVD mortality was elevated significantly in prediabetes coexistent with hypertension. Considering the high percentage and low control rate of hypertension in prediabetes, strategies focused on HbA1c screening, FPG lowering and blood pressure management should be emphasized in northeast China.

Identification of claudin-2 as a promising biomarker for early diagnosis of pre-diabetes

Introduction: Pre-diabetes, a high-risk metabolic state, is situated between normal glucose homeostasis and diabetes. Early identification of pre-diabetes offers opportunities for intervention and diabetes reversal, highlighting the crucial need to investigate reliable biomarkers for this condition. Methods: We conducted an in-depth bioinformatics analysis of clinical samples from non-diabetic (ND), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) categories within the GSE164416 dataset. Thereafter the HFD and STZ treated mice were used for validation. Results: This analysis identified several codifferentially expressed genes (Co-DEGs) for IGT and T2DM, including CFB, TSHR, VNN2, APOC1, CLDN2, SLPI, LCN2, CXCL17, FAIM2, and REG3A. Validation of these genes and the determination of ROC curves were performed using the GSE76895 dataset. Thereafter, CLDN2 was selected for further verification. Gene expression analysis and immunofluorescence analysis revealed a significant upregulation of CLDN2 expression in the pancreas islets of mice in the high-fat diet and T2DM groups compared to the control group. Similarly, serum level of CLDN2 in patients with IGT and T2DM were significantly higher than those in the healthy group. Discussion: These results suggest that CLDN2 can serve as a novel biomarker for pre-diabetes, providing a new direction for future research in the prevention of type 2 diabetes.

Secreted frizzled-related protein 2 ameliorates diabetic cardiomyopathy by activating mitophagy

OBJECTIVES

Secreted frizzled-related protein 2 (SFRP2), a novel adipokine that used to be considered an inhibitor of the canonical Wnt pathway, may play a protective role in metabolic disorders. However, its effect on diabetic cardiomyopathy was still unclear. Accumulating evidence indicates that mitophagy can protect cardiac function in the diabetic heart. The present study aimed to explore the roles of SFRP2 on diabetic cardiomyopathy, focusing on the effects and mechanisms for regulating mitophagy.

METHODS

Wild-type H9c2 cells, Sfrp2 overexpression and knockdown H9c2 cells were exposed to a glucolipotoxic milieu. Reactive oxygen species (ROS) production, cell viability, apoptosis, mitophagy and lysosomal activity were detected. The interaction of SFRP2 with frizzled 5 (FZD5), and its effect on expression and intracellular localization of transcription factor EB (TFEB) and β-catenin were also explored. Diabetic rats and Sfrp2 overexpression diabetic rats were constructed to further document the findings from the in vitro study.

RESULTS

The expression of SFRP2 was low and mitophagy was inhibited in H9c2 cells in a glucolipotoxic milieu. Sfrp2 overexpression activated mitophagy and reduced H9c2 cells injury, whereas Sfrp2 deficiency inhibited mitophagy and worsened this injury. Consistent with the in vitro findings, Sfrp2 overexpression ameliorated the impairment in cardiac function of diabetic rats by activating mitophagy. Sfrp2 overexpression upregulated the expression of calcineurin and TFEB, but did not affect β-catenin in vitro and in vivo. The calcineurin inhibitor tacrolimus can inhibit mitophagy and worsen cell injury in Sfrp2 overexpression H9c2 cells. Furthermore, we found that FZD5 is required for the SFRP2-induced activation of the calcineurin/TFEB pathway and interacts with SFRP2 in H9c2 cells. Transfection with small interfering RNA targeting FZD5 opposed the effects of Sfrp2 overexpression on mitophagy and cell survival in a glucolipotoxic environment.

CONCLUSIONS

SFRP2 can protect the diabetic heart by interacting with FZD5 and activating the calcineurin/TFEB pathway to upregulate mitophagy in H9c2 cells.

Global research trends in prediabetes over the past decade: Bibliometric and visualized analysis

OBJECT

This study aimed to investigate global research advances and hot trends in prediabetes in the last decade based on a bibliometric analysis of publications. Publications from 2013 to 2022 were retrieved from the Web of Science Core Collection database through a topic search. With the use of CiteSpace, VOS viewer, and Bibliometrix R software packages, the number of publications, production categories, countries/regions, institutions, authors, journals, references, and keywords were comprehensively analyzed to sort out the hot spots and directions of prediabetes and predict the future research directions. A total of 13,223 papers were recruited for this study by the end of March 3, 2023. A generally increasing trend was observed in the number of annual publications. PLOS ONE (journal), USA (national), and the University of Copenhagen (institutional) published the most papers in this research area. The top 3 contributor authors were Tuomilehto Jaakko, Rathmann Wolfgang, and Peters Annette. "Intestinal microbiota" (2020-2022) was the most populated keyword in terms of intensity, and "biomarkers," "gut microbiota," and "metabolomics" were the most populated keywords in the last 3 years. "Prediabetes: a high-risk state for diabetes development-2012" was the strongest burst reference. This study summarized the research hotspots and trends in prediabetes research in the last decade. Frontier research can be found in the journal Diabetes Care and Journal of Clinical Endocrinology Metabolism. Prediabetes research focuses on preventing risk factors to reduce the prevalence of prediabetes, and current research hotspots focus on gut microbes and metabolism-related biomarkers.

Early insulin resistance in normoglycemic low-risk individuals is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Elevated glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is associated with a higher burden of subclinical atherosclerosis (SA). However, the association with SA of earlier insulin resistance markers is poorly understood. The study assessed the association between the homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR) and SA in addition to the effect of cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) in individuals with normal HbA1c.

METHODS

A cohort of 3,741 middle-aged individuals from the Progression of Early Subclinical Atherosclerosis (PESA) study with basal HbA1c < 6.0% (< 42 mmol/mol) and no known CV disease underwent extensive imaging (multiterritorial vascular ultrasound and coronary artery calcium score, CACS) to assess the presence, burden, and extent of SA.

RESULTS

Individuals with higher HOMA-IR values had higher rates of CVRFs. HOMA-IR showed a direct association with the multiterritorial extent of SA and CACS (p < 0.001) and with global plaque volume measured by 3-dimensional vascular ultrasound (p < 0.001). After adjusting for key CVRFs and HbA1c, HOMA-IR values ≥ 3 were associated with both the multiterritorial extent of SA (odds ratio 1.41; 95%CI: 1.01 to 1.95, p = 0.041) and CACS > 0 (odds ratio 1.74; 95%CI: 1.20 to 2.54, p = 0.004), as compared with the HOMA-IR < 2 (the reference HOMA-IR category). In a stratified analysis, this association remained significant in individuals with a low-to-moderate SCORE2 risk estimate (75.6% of the cohort) but not in high-risk individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of HOMA-IR identified low-risk individuals with a higher burden of SA, after adjusting for the effects of key traditional CVRFs and HbA1c. HOMA-IR is a simple measure that could facilitate earlier implementation of primary CV prevention strategies in clinical practice.

Prediabetes increases the risk of major limb and cardiovascular events

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes, an intermediate stage between normal blood sugar levels and a diabetes mellitus diagnosis, is increasing in prevalence. Severe prediabetes is associated with a similar risk of complications as diabetes, but its relationship with peripheral arterial disease remains underexplored.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 36,950 adult patients, utilizing electronic medical records from the National Taiwan University Hospital between 2014 and 2019. We employed multivariable Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test to analyze major adverse limb events (MALE) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in relation to normal glucose regulation (NGR) and prediabetes.

RESULTS

During the 131,783 person-years follow-up, 17,754 cases of prediabetes and 19,196 individuals with normal glucose regulation (NGR) were identified. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed an increased incidence of both MALE and MACE in individuals with prediabetes. (log-rank p = 0.024 and < 0.001). Prediabetes exhibited a significant association with an elevated risk of MALE (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.26 [95% CI 1.10-1.46], p = 0.001) and MACE (aHR 1.46 [1.27-1.67], p < 0.001). Furthermore, in individuals with prediabetes, the elevation in the risk of MALE commenced before HbA1c levels surpassed 5.0% (for HbA1c 5.0-5.5%: aHR 1.78 (1.04-3.04), p = 0.036; HbA1c 5.5-6.0%: aHR 1.29 [1.06-1.58], p = 0.012; aHbA1c 6.0-6.5%: aHR 1.39 [1.14-1.70], p < 0.001). Similarly, the onset of increased MACE risk was observed when HbA1c levels exceeded 5.5% (for HbA1c 5.5-6.0%: aHR 1.67 [1.39-2.01], p < 0.001; HbA1c 6.0-6.5%: HR 2.10 [1.76-2.51], p < 0.001). Factors associated with both MALE and MACE in prediabetes include advanced age, male gender, higher body mass index, and a history of heart failure or atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated higher susceptibility to MALE and MACE in prediabetes compared to normoglycemic counterparts, notwithstanding lower HbA1c levels. Complications may manifest at an earlier prediabetes trajectory. Intensive lifestyle modification may improve the prognosis of severe prediabetes.

Ethnic disparities of vascular complications in pre-diabetes, undiagnosed diabetes, and newly diagnosed diabetes

In the U.S., ethnic minorities with pre-diabetes, undiagnosed type 2 diabetes (T2D), and newly diagnosed T2D had a higher prevalence of microvascular complications than non-Hispanic Whites and exhibited distinct risk factors, whereas Whites had a higher rate of cardiovascular disease.

Prediabetes is an incremental risk factor for adverse cardiac events: A nationwide analysis

Background and aims

Prediabetes is defined as a state of impaired glucose metabolism with hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels that precede those of a diabetic state. There is increasing evidence that suggests that hyperglycemic derangement in prediabetes leads to microvascular and macrovascular complications even before progression to overt diabetes mellitus. We aim to identify the association of prediabetes with acute cardiovascular events.

Methods

We utilized the National inpatient sample 2018-2020 to identify adult hospitalizations with prediabetes after excluding all hospitalizations with diabetes. Demographics and prevalence of other cardiovascular risk factors were compared in hospitalizations with and without prediabetes using the chi-square test for categorical variables and the t-test for continuous variables. Multivariate regression analysis was further performed to study the impact of prediabetes on acute coronary syndrome, acute ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and acute heart failure.

Results

Hospitalizations with prediabetes had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors like hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and tobacco abuse. In addition, the adjusted analysis revealed that hospitalizations with prediabetes were associated with higher odds of developing acute coronary syndrome (OR-2.01; C.I:1.94-2.08; P<0.001), acute ischemic stroke (OR-2.21; 2.11-2.31; p<0.001), and acute heart failure (OR-1.41; C.I.: 1.29-1.55; p<0.001) as compared to hospitalizations without prediabetes.

Conclusions

Our study suggests that prediabetes is associated with a higher odds of major cardiovascular events. Further prospective studies should be conducted to identify prediabetes as an independent causative factor for these events. In addition, screening and lifestyle modifications for prediabetics should be encouraged to improve patient outcomes.

Association between the triglyceride-glucose index and left ventricular global longitudinal strain in patients with coronary heart disease in Jilin Province, China: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the association between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and left ventricular global longitudinal strain (GLS) in patients with coronary heart disease and to examine the role of left ventricular GLS in detecting early changes in cardiac function in patients with coronary heart disease in the subclinical stage.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study involving 178 participants with symptomatic coronary artery disease excluding myocardial infarction or left ventricular dysfunction was conducted in Jilin Province, China. Basic clinical, biochemical, and echocardiographic data were obtained from all participants. Myocardial strain parameters were compared between patients with higher TyG index and those with lower TyG index, and the association between the gradually elevated TyG index and on subclinical cardiac function in patients with coronary heart disease was evaluated.

RESULTS

The GLS of left ventricle was lower in the higher TyG index group than in the lower TyG index group. As the TyG index increases, the GLS progressively decreases. The results remained stable after adjusting for confounding factors.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher TyG index maybe independently associated with subclinical left ventricular dysfunction in patients with coronary heart disease.

Association between triglyceride glucose-body mass index and heart failure in subjects with diabetes mellitus or prediabetes mellitus: a cross-sectional study

Background

The triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) is a surrogate indicator of insulin resistance. However, the association of TyG-BMI with heart failure (HF) in individuals with diabetes mellitus or prediabetes mellitus is unknown.

Methods

This study included 7,472 participants aged 20-80 years old with prediabetes or diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2007-2018). The TyG-BMI was calculated as Ln [triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting blood glucose (mg/dL)/2] × BMI, and individuals were categorized into tertiles based on TyG-BMI levels. The relationship of TyG-BMI with HF was analyzed using multiple logistic regression models. Subgroup analyses were stratified by gender, age, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus status.

Results

This cross-sectional study had 7,472 participants (weighted n = 111,808,357), including 329 HF participants. Participants with a high TyG-BMI were prone to HF. The highest tertile group with a fully adjusted model was more likely to have HF compared to the lowest tertile group (odds ratio [OR], 2.645; 95% CI, 1.529-4.576). Restricted cubic spline analysis showed a significant dose-response relationship between TyG-BMI and HF (P < 0.001). In subgroup analyses, similar results were seen in terms of age (≥50 years old), gender, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus status.

Conclusion

A high TyG-BMI is significantly associated with HF risk in participants with diabetes mellitus or prediabetes mellitus.

A Systematic Approach to Treating Early Metabolic Disease and Prediabetes

At least 70% of US adults have metabolic disease. However, less is done to address early disease (e.g., overweight, obesity, prediabetes) versus advanced disease (e.g., type 2 diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease). Given the burden of advanced metabolic disease and the burgeoning pandemics of obesity and prediabetes a systematic response is required. To accomplish this, we offer several recommendations: (A) Patients with overweight, obesity, and/or prediabetes must be consistently diagnosed with these conditions in medical records to enable population health initiatives. (B) Patients with early metabolic disease should be offered in-person or virtual lifestyle interventions commensurate with the findings of the Diabetes Prevention Program. (C) Patients unable to participate in or otherwise failing lifestyle intervention must be screened to assess if they require pharmacotherapy. (D) Patients not indicated for, refusing, or failing pharmacotherapy must be screened to assess if they need bariatric surgery. (E) Regardless of treatment approach or lack of treatment, patients must be consistently screened for the progression of early metabolic disease to advanced disease to enable early control. Progression of metabolic disease from an overweight yet otherwise healthy person includes the development of prediabetes, obesity ± prediabetes, dyslipidemia, hypertension, type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease, coronary artery disease, and heart failure. Systematic approaches in health systems must be deployed with clear protocols and supported by streamlined technologies to manage their population's metabolic health from early through advanced metabolic disease. Additional research is needed to identify and validate optimal system-level interventions. Future research needs to identify strategies to roll out systematic interventions for the treatment of early metabolic disease and to improve the metabolic health among the progressively younger patients being impacted by obesity and diabetes.

Lipoprotein(a) as a Higher Residual Risk for Coronary Artery Disease in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus than without

Purpose

Lipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]) is well-known as a residual risk factor for coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the different adverse effects of Lp(a) about CAD in patients with or without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are unclear. This study aimed to investigate the Lp(a) thresholds for CAD diagnosis in T2DM and non-T2DM patients, and further compare the Lp(a) alarm values along with optimal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level.

Methods

This retrospective study consecutively enrolled patients with suspected CAD who underwent coronary angiography in Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital between September 2014 and July 2015. A logistic regression model was established to explore the association of Lp(a) and CAD in patients. Restricted cubic splines were used to compare the threshold values of Lp(a) for CAD in patients with and without T2DM, and further in optimal LDL-C level situation.

Results

There were 1522 patients enrolled finally. After multivariable adjustment, Lp(a) was an independent risk factor for CAD in patients with T2DM (odds ratio [OR]: 1.98, 95% CI]: 1.12-3.49, p = 0.019) and without T2DM (OR: 3.42, 95% CI: 2.36-4.95, p < 0.001). In the whole population, the Lp(a) threshold of CAD was 155, while 145 mg/L for T2DM and 162 mg/L for non-T2DM ones, respectively. In patients with LDL-C<1.8 mmol/l, the alarm value of Lp(a) was even lower in T2DM than non-T2DM patients (155 vs 174 mg/L).

Conclusion

Lp(a) was a significant residual risk for CAD in patients whether with T2DM or not. And Lp(a) had a lower alarm value in T2DM patients, especially in optimal LDL-C level.

Fasting and Post-Load Glucose and Non-Esterified Fatty Acids and Risk of Heart Failure and Its Subtypes in Older Adults

BACKGROUND

Glucose and non-esterified fatty acids (NEFA) are myocardial fuels whose fasting and post-prandial levels are under different homeostatic regulation. The relationships of fasting and post-load glucose and NEFA with incident heart failure (HF) remain incompletely defined.

METHODS

Serum glucose and NEFA were measured during fasting and 2 hours post-oral glucose tolerance test, performed in Cardiovascular Health Study participants not receiving hypoglycemic medication. Participants with prevalent HF or lacking relevant data were excluded. Outcomes were incident HF (primary), and HF with preserved (HFpEF) and reduced (HFrEF) ejection fraction (secondary).

RESULTS

Among 2 238 participants (age 78 ± 4) with a median follow-up of 9.9 years, there were 737 HF events. After adjustment for demographic and lifestyle factors, both fasting (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.11 per SD [95% confidence interval {CI} = 1.01-1.23], p = .040) and post-load (HR = 1.14 per SD [1.05-1.24], p = 0.002) glucose were significantly associated with incident HF. No association was seen for fasting or post-load NEFA. Upon mutual adjustment, only post-load glucose (HR = 1.11 [1.003-1.22], p = .044), but not fasting glucose (HR = 1.06 [0.94-1.20], p = .340), remained associated with HF. Further adjustment for cardiovascular disease and other risk factors in the causal pathway did not affect the association for post-load glucose, but eliminated that for fasting glucose. Associations for fasting and post-load glucose appeared stronger with higher adiposity and were observed specifically for HFrEF but not HFpEF.

CONCLUSIONS

Fasting and post-load glucose, but not NEFA, were associated with incident HF. The association was especially robust for post-load glucose, suggesting that pathways involved in post-prandial dysglycemia could offer new targets for HF prevention late in life.

Effect of onset of type 2 diabetes on risks of cardiovascular disease and heart failure among new Zealanders with impaired glucose tolerance over 25 years: tapered-matched landmark analysis

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to examine the association between the incident onset of T2DM and 5- and 10-year risks of CVD and HF in people with IGT identified in primary care in South and West Auckland, New Zealand (NZ) between 1994 and 2019.

METHODS

We compared CVD and HF risks in patients with IGT and with/without T2D newly diagnosed within the exposure window (1-5 years). Tapered matching and landmark analysis (to account for immortal bias) were used to control for potential effects of known confounders.

RESULTS

Among 26,794 patients enrolled with IGT, 845 had T2D newly diagnosed within 5 years from enrolment (landmark date) and 15,452 did not have T2D diagnosed. Patients progressing to T2D (vs. those not progressing) had a similar 5-year risk for CVD (hazard ratio 1.19; 95% CI 0.61-2.32) but significantly higher 10-year risk of CVD (2.45(1.40-4.29)), 5-year risk of HF (1.94(1.20-3.12)) and 10-year risk of HF (2.84(1.83-4.39). The association between the onset of T2D and risk of 10-year risk of CVD, 5-year and 10-year risk of HF was more likely among men, the socioeconomically deprived, those currently smoking, patients with higher metabolic measures and/or those with lower renal function. Patients of NZ European ethnicity had a lower 10-year risk of CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

The study suggests that the diagnosis of T2D mediates the risk of CVD and HF in people with IGT. The development of risk scores to identify and better manage individuals with IGT at high risk of T2D is warranted.

Predicting and preventing heart failure in type 2 diabetes

The burden of heart failure among people with type 2 diabetes is increasing globally. People with comorbid type 2 diabetes and heart failure often have worse outcomes than those with only one of these conditions-eg, higher hospitalisation and mortality rates. Therefore, it is essential to implement optimal heart failure prevention strategies for people with type 2 diabetes. A detailed understanding of the pathophysiology underlying the occurrence of heart failure in type 2 diabetes can aid clinicians in identifying relevant risk factors and lead to early interventions that can help prevent heart failure. In this Review, we discuss the pathophysiology and risk factors of heart failure in type 2 diabetes. We also review the risk assessment tools for predicting heart failure incidence in people with type 2 diabetes as well as the data from clinical trials that have assessed the efficacy of lifestyle and pharmacological interventions. Finally, we discuss the potential challenges in implementing new management approaches and offer pragmatic recommendations to help overcome these challenges.

Diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation-from pathophysiology to treatment

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a leading risk factor for cardiovascular complications around the globe and one of the most common medical conditions. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common supraventricular arrhythmia, with a rapidly increasing prevalence. T2DM has been closely associated with the risk of AF development, identified as an independent risk factor. Regarding cardio-vascular complications, both AF and T2DM have been linked with high mortality. The underlying pathophysiology has not been fully determined yet; however, it is multifactorial, including structural, electrical, and autonomic pathways. Novel therapies include pharmaceutical agents in sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors, as well as antiarrhythmic strategies, such as cardioversion and ablation. Of interest, glucose-lowering therapies may affect the prevalence of AF. This review presents the current evidence regarding the connection between the two entities, the pathophysiological pathways that link them, and the therapeutic options that exist.

Consensus Statements from the Diabetologists & Endocrinologists Alliance for the Management of People with Hypertension and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Hypertension and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are important, intertwined public health issues. People with both conditions face significantly elevated risks of cardiovascular (CV) and renal complications. To optimize patient care, a multidisciplinary expert panel met to review recent evidence on optimal blood pressure (BP) targets, implications of albuminuria, and treatment regimens for hypertensive patients with T2DM, with the aim of providing recommendations for physicians in Hong Kong. The panel reviewed the relevant literature, obtained by searching PubMed for the publication period from January 2015 to June 2021, to address five discussion areas: (i) BP targets based on CV/renal benefits; (ii) management of isolated systolic or diastolic hypertension; (iii) roles of angiotensin II receptor blockers; (iv) implications of albuminuria for CV/renal events and treatment choices; and (v) roles and tools of screening for microalbuminuria. The panel held three virtual meetings using a modified Delphi method to address the discussion areas. After each meeting, consensus statements were derived and anonymously voted on by every panelist. A total of 17 consensus statements were formulated based on recent evidence and expert insights regarding cardioprotection and renoprotection for hypertensive patients with T2DM.

Evaluation of SGLT-2 inhibitor treatment in type 2 diabetes patients with very high cardiovascular risk

AIMS

To evaluate whether the prescription of SGLT2-inhibitors in primary care patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and a very high risk was according to the newest updated Dutch general practitioners' practice guidelines on T2DM.

METHODS

This observational study with routine care data was conducted in a primary care setting in the Netherlands. The very high-risk population size was identified and analyzed via descriptive statistics. In this high-risk group the percentage of patients treated with SGLT2-inhibitors was assessed.

RESULTS

Of the 1492 T2DM patients managed in primary care, 475 (31.8%) were classified as very high-risk based on (a history of) ischemic cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, and/or heart failure. Of the very high-risk patients, 49 (10.3%) received SGLT2-inhibitors conform the guidelines. Of the remaining 426 high-risk patients 334 (70.3%) had no contraindication (eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73 m² or HbA1c <53 mmol/mol) for initiating SGLT2-i prescription according to the guidelines. None of these patients received an GLP-1 agonist as alternative.

CONCLUSIONS

The vast majority of very high-risk type 2 diabetes patients were not prescribed SGLT2-I. There is substantial room for improvement in the management of these critical T2DM patients because most of them had no contraindications for initiating SGLT2-I prescription.

Diabetic cardiomyopathy: The role of microRNAs and long non-coding RNAs

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is on the rise, necessitating the development of novel therapeutic and preventive strategies to mitigate the disease's debilitating effects. Diabetic cardiomyopathy (DCMP) is among the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in diabetic patients globally. DCMP manifests as cardiomyocyte hypertrophy, apoptosis, and myocardial interstitial fibrosis before progressing to heart failure. Evidence suggests that non-coding RNAs, such as long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) and microRNAs (miRNAs), regulate diabetic cardiomyopathy-related processes such as insulin resistance, cardiomyocyte apoptosis and inflammation, emphasizing their heart-protective effects. This paper reviewed the literature data from animal and human studies on the non-trivial roles of miRNAs and lncRNAs in the context of DCMP in diabetes and demonstrated their future potential in DCMP treatment in diabetic patients.

Nomogram model and risk score to predict 5-year risk of progression from prediabetes to diabetes in Chinese adults: Development and validation of a novel model

AIM

To develop a personalized nomogram and risk score to predict the 5-year risk of diabetes among Chinese adults with prediabetes.

METHODS

There were 26 018 participants with prediabetes at baseline in this retrospective cohort study. We randomly stratified participants into two cohorts for training (n = 12 947) and validation (n = 13 071). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) model was applied to select the most significant variables among candidate variables. And we further established a stepwise Cox proportional hazards model to screen out the risk factors based on the predictors chosen by the LASSO model. We presented the model with a nomogram. The model's discrimination, clinical use and calibration were assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve and calibration analysis. The associated risk factors were also categorized according to clinical cut-points or tertials to create the diabetes risk score model. Based on the total score, we divided it into four risk categories: low, middle, high and extremely high. We also evaluated our diabetes risk score model's performance.

RESULTS

We developed a simple nomogram and risk score that predicts the risk of prediabetes by using the variables age, triglyceride, fasting blood glucose, body mass index, alanine aminotransferase, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and family history of diabetes. The area under the ROC curve of the nomogram was 0.8146 (95% CI 0.8035-0.8258) and 0.8147 (95% CI 0.8035-0.8259) for the training and validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curve showed a perfect fit between predicted and observed diabetes risks at 5 years. Decision curve analysis presented the clinical use of the nomogram, and there was a wide range of alternative threshold probability spectrums. A total risk score of 0 to 2.5, 3 to 4.5, 5 to 7.5 and 8 to 13.5 is associated with low, middle, high and extremely high diabetes risk status, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a personalized prediction nomogram and risk score for 5-year diabetes risk among Chinese adults with prediabetes, identifying individuals at a high risk of developing diabetes. Doctors and other healthcare professionals can easily and quickly use our diabetes score model to assess the diabetes risk status in patients with prediabetes. In addition, the nomogram model and risk score we developed need to be validated in a prospective cohort study.

Associations Between Modifiable Risk Factors and Changes in Glycemic Status Among Individuals With Prediabetes

OBJECTIVE

To examine the associations between modifiable risk factors and glycemic status changes in individuals with prediabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A total of 10,358 individuals with prediabetes defined by their fasting blood glucose and HbA1c levels from the Health Examinees-Gem study were included in the present study. Modifiable factors, including BMI, abdominal obesity, smoking status, physical activity, alcohol consumption, diet quality, hypertension, and dyslipidemia, were examined to determine their associations with changes in glycemic status during follow-up. In addition, modifiable-factor scores were calculated, and their association with changes in glycemic status was also analyzed.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time for this study was 4 years (range, 1-7 years). BMI ≥25 kg/m2 (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.71 [95% CI 0.63-0.79]), abdominal obesity (OR 0.76 [95% CI 0.68-0.86]), heavy drinking (OR 0.74 [95% CI 0.60-0.91]), hypertension (OR 0.71 [95% CI 0.64-0.79]), and dyslipidemia (OR 0.78 [95% CI 0.70-0.85]) were associated with a lower possibility of normoglycemia reversion. BMI ≥25 kg/m2 (OR 1.58 [95% CI 1.29-1.94]), abdominal obesity (OR 1.31 [95% CI 1.11-1.55]), current smoking (OR 1.43 [95% CI 1.07-1.91]), and hypertension (OR 1.26 [95% CI 1.07-1.49]) were associated with a higher probability of type 2 diabetes progression. Having more favorable modifiable factors was also associated with normoglycemia reversion (OR 1.46 [95% CI 1.30-1.64]) and type 2 diabetes progression (OR 0.62 [95% CI 0.49-0.77]).

CONCLUSIONS

More favorable modifiable factors were related to a higher probability of returning to normoglycemia and a lower probability of progression to type 2 diabetes.

Identification of FGF13 as a Potential Biomarker and Target for Diagnosis of Impaired Glucose Tolerance

Early identification of pre-diabetes provides an opportunity for intervention and treatment to delay its progression to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We aimed to identify the biomarkers of impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) through bioinformatics analysis. The GSE76896 dataset, including non-diabetic (ND), IGT, and T2DM clinical samples, was deeply analyzed to identify 309 Co-DEGs for IGT and T2DM. Gene ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analyses indicated that inflammatory responses and the PI3K-AKT signaling pathway are important patho-physiological features of IGT and T2DM. Protein-protein interaction (PPI) network analysis and cytoHubba technolgy identified seven hub genes: namely, CCL2, CXCL1, CXCL8, EDN1, FGF13, MMP1, and NGF. The expression and ROC curves of these hub genes were validated using the GSE38642 dataset. Through an immunofluorescence assay, we found that the expression of FGF13 in islets of mice in the HFD and T2DM groups was significantly lower than in the control group. Similarly, the level of FGF13 in the sera of IGT and T2DM patients was lower than that in the healthy group. Together, these results suggest that FGF13 can be treated as a novel biomarker of IGT, which may provide new targets for the diagnosis and treatment of pre-diabetes and T2DM.

Association between aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio and the risk of diabetes in Chinese prediabetic population: A retrospective cohort study

Background

Accumulating evidence has revealed that the aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio is a promising novel biomarker for insulin resistance (IR) and metabolic diseases. However, research on the association between the AST/ALT ratio and the incidence of diabetes progressing from prediabetes remains lacking. Herein, this study aimed to evaluate the relationship between the baseline AST/ALT ratio and risks of diabetes in patients with prediabetes.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study involving a total of 82,683 participants across 32 regions and 11 cities in China from 2010 to 2016. Data was obtained based on the DATADRYAD database from the health check screening program. Participants were stratified according to the interquartile range of the AST/ALT ratio (groups Q1 to Q4). The Cox proportional hazard model and smooth curve fitting were used to explore the relationship between the baseline AST/ALT ratio and the risk of diabetes in prediabetic patients. In addition, subgroup analysis was used to further validate the stability of the results.

Results

The mean age of the selected participants was 49.9 ± 14.0 years, with 66.8% of them being male. During the follow-up period 1,273 participants (11.3%) developed diabetes progressing from prediabetes during the follow-up period. Participants who developed diabetes were older and were more likely to be male. The fully-adjusted Cox proportional hazard model revealed that the AST/ALT ratio was negatively associated with the risk of diabetes in prediabetic patients (HR = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.33 to 0.48, P < 0.001). Higher AST/ALT ratio groups (Q4) also presented with a lower risk of progressing into diabetes (HR = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.43, P < 0.001, respectively) compared with the lowest quintile group (Q1). Through subgroup analysis and interaction tests, it was found that the association stably existed in all subgroup variables, and there were a stronger interactive effects in people with age < 45 years, and TG ≤ 1.7 mmol/L in the association between AST/ALT ratio and diabetes incidences in patients with prediabetes (P for interaction < 0.05).

Conclusion

According to our study, a higher AST/ALT ratio is associated with a lower risk of progressing into diabetes from prediabetes. Regular monitoring of AST/ALT ratio dynamics and corresponding interventions can help prevent or slow prediabetes progression for diabetes.

Addressing the Continuum of Dysglycaemia and Vascular Complications in Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes: Need for Early and Intensive Treatment

The onset of type 2 diabetes increases the risk of vascular complications and death. We know now that that this risk begins long before the diabetes diagnosis. Prediabetes and type 2 diabetes are not separate entities in practice and exist within a continuum of dysglycaemia and vascular risk that increases in severity over time. This excess risk requires early intervention with lifestyle therapy supported with pharmacologic antidiabetic therapy, intensified promptly where necessary throughout the duration of the diabetes continuum. Metformin is an evidence-based treatment for preventing prediabetes and improves cardiovascular outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes from diagnosis onwards. Newer agents (SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 agonists) are appropriate for people presenting with type 2 diabetes and significant cardiovascular comorbidity. Additional therapies should be used without delay to achieve patients' individualised HbA1c goals and to minimise cardiovascular risk.

Cardiometabolic-based chronic disease: adiposity and dysglycemia drivers of heart failure

Heart failure (HF) is a complex clinical syndrome, associated with high rates of mortality, hospitalization, and impairment of quality of life. Obesity and type 2 diabetes are major cardiometabolic drivers, represented as distinct stages of adiposity- and dysglycemia-based chronic disease (ABCD, DBCD), respectively, and leading to cardiometabolic-based chronic disease (CMBCD). This review focuses on one aspect of the CMBCD model: how ABCD and DBCD influence genesis and progression of HF phenotypes. Specifically, the relationships of ABCD and DBCD stages with structural and functional heart disease, HF risk, and outcomes in overt HF are detailed. Also, evidence-based lifestyle, pharmacological, and procedural interventions that promote or reverse cardiac remodeling and outcomes in individuals at risk or with HF are discussed. In summary, driver-based chronic disease models for individuals at risk or with HF can expose prevention targets for more comprehensive interventions to improve clinical outcomes. Future randomized trials that investigate structured lifestyle, pharmacological, and procedural therapies specifically tailored for the CMBCD model are needed to develop personalized care plans to decrease HF susceptibility and improve outcomes.

Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonist Protects Against Diabetic Cardiomyopathy by Modulating microRNA-29b-3p/SLMAP

Purpose

Our aims were to investigate the pathogenesis of diabetic cardiomyopathy (DCM) and to explore the protective effect of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) on DCM.

Methods

After 12 weeks of treatment with exenatide-loaded microspheres, a long-acting GLP-1RA, in DCM mice, cardiac structure and function were evaluated by plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), echocardiography, H&E, oil red and Sirius staining. The expression of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor in mouse heart tissue was determined by immunofluorescence staining. The label-free proteomic analysis of cardiac proteins was conducted among control, DCM and DM+GLP-1RA groups. Then, quantitative real-time PCR, Western blotting and dual-luciferase reporter assay were performed to verify the regulation of target protein by the upstream microRNA (miRNA).

Results

GLP-1RA treatment obviously improved serum BNP, myocardial fibrosis, lipid deposition of the myocardium and echocardiography parameters in DCM mice. Sarcolemmal membrane-associated protein (SLMAP) was one of 61 differentially expressed cardiac proteins found in three groups by proteomic analysis. Up-regulation of microRNA-29b-3p (miR-29b-3p) and down-regulation of SLMAP were found in the ventricular myocardium of GLP-1RA-treated DCM mice. SLMAP was a target of miR-29b-3p, while GLP-1RA regulated SLMAP expression through miR-29b-3p. Furthermore, inhibition of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor (GLP-1R) in cardiomyocytes reversed the effects of GLP-1RA on miR-29b/SLMAP.

Conclusion

SLMAP may play roles in the pathogenesis of DCM and may be a target of GLP-1RA in protecting against DCM. After binding to myocardial GLP-1R, GLP-1RA can regulate the expression of myocardial SLMAP through miR-29b-3p.

Prediabetes Is Associated With Increased Risk of Heart Failure Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between prediabetes and heart failure (HF) and the association of HF with changes in glycemic status.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Patients newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF) between 2015 and 2018 were divided into three groups (normoglycemia, prediabetes, and type 2 diabetes) according to their baseline glycemic status. The primary outcome was incident HF. The Fine and Gray competing risks model was applied, with death defined as the competing event.

RESULTS

Among 17,943 patients with AF (mean age 75.5 years, 47% female), 3,711 (20.7%) had prediabetes, and 10,127 (56.4%) had diabetes at baseline. Over a median follow-up of 4.7 years, HF developed in 518 (14%) patients with normoglycemia, 646 (15.7%) with prediabetes, and 1,795 (17.7%) with diabetes. Prediabetes was associated with an increased risk of HF compared with normoglycemia (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 1.12, 95% CI 1.03-1.22). In patients with prediabetes at baseline, 403 (11.1%) progressed to diabetes, and 311 (8.6%) reversed to normoglycemia at 2 years. Compared with remaining prediabetic, progression to diabetes was associated with an increased risk of HF (SHR 1.50, 95% CI 1.13-1.97), whereas reversion to normoglycemia was associated with a decreased risk (SHR 0.61, 95% CI 0.42-0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Prediabetes was associated with an increased risk of HF in patients with AF. Compared with patients who remained prediabetic, those who progressed to diabetes at 2 years experienced an increased risk of HF, whereas those who reversed to normoglycemia incurred a lower risk of HF.

Interconnection between cardiovascular, renal and metabolic disorders: A narrative review with a focus on Japan

Insights from epidemiological, clinical and basic research are illuminating the interplay between metabolic disorders, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and kidney dysfunction, termed cardio-renal-metabolic (CRM) disease. Broadly defined, CRM disease involves multidirectional interactions between metabolic diseases such as type 2 diabetes (T2D), various types of CVD and chronic kidney disease (CKD). T2D confers increased risk for heart failure, which-although well known-has only recently come into focus for treatment, and may differ by ethnicity, whereas atherosclerotic heart disease is a well-established complication of T2D. Many people with T2D also have CKD, with a higher risk in Asians than their Western counterparts. Furthermore, CVD increases the risk of CKD and vice versa, with heart failure, notably, present in approximately half of CKD patients. Molecular mechanisms involved in CRM disease include hyperglycaemia, insulin resistance, hyperactivity of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system, production of advanced glycation end-products, oxidative stress, lipotoxicity, endoplasmic reticulum stress, calcium-handling abnormalities, mitochondrial malfunction and deficient energy production, and chronic inflammation. Pathophysiological manifestations of these processes include diabetic cardiomyopathy, vascular endothelial dysfunction, cardiac and renal fibrosis, glomerular hyperfiltration, renal hypoperfusion and venous congestion, reduced exercise tolerance leading to metabolic dysfunction, and calcification of atherosclerotic plaque. Importantly, recognition of the interaction between CRM diseases would enable a more holistic approach to CRM care, rather than isolated treatment of individual conditions, which may improve patient outcomes. Finally, aspects of CRM diseases may differ between Western and East Asian countries such as Japan, a super-ageing country, with potential differences in epidemiology, complications and prognosis that represent an important avenue for future research.

Association between serum cystatin C and early impairment of cardiac function and structure in type 2 diabetes patients with normal renal function

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients may have cardiac remodeling and dysfunction from the early stage of disease. This study aimed to determine the association between cystatin C (CysC) and early cardiac functional or structural impairment in T2DM patients without renal dysfunction.

METHODS

A total of 1135 T2DM patients without renal dysfunction and known heart diseases were included in our study. Cardiac function and structure were evaluated by echocardiography. Patients were diagnosed as left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), impaired left ventricular (LV) diastolic function, and categorized into four different LV geometry patterns including normal, concentric remodeling, concentric hypertrophy, and eccentric hypertrophy.

RESULTS

In multivariate linear regression analyses, CysC was positively associated with interventricular septum, LV mass index, left atrial volume index, E/e' ratio, and negatively associated with Tissue Doppler e', E/A ratio (p < .05). As a continuous variable, increasing CysC levels were associated with prevalence of LVH (OR: 1.47, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22-1.77), impaired LV diastolic function (OR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.33-1.87), concentric hypertrophy (OR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.23-1.93) and eccentric hypertrophy (OR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.00-1.80) according to multivariate logistic regression analyses. While as a categorical variable, the highest CysC quartile (CysC > 1.04 mg/L) was associated with LVH (OR: 2.95, 95% CI: 1.74-5.00), impaired LV diastolic function (OR: 4.09, 95% CI: 2.54-6.60), and concentric hypertrophy (OR: 3.26, 95% CI: 2.05-5.18).

CONCLUSIONS

CysC was significantly associated with early LV remodeling and cardiac functional impairment in T2DM patients with normal renal function. It could be a reliable and convenient biomarker detecting early impairment of cardiac function and structure in T2DM patients.

Association between triglyceride glucose index and worsening heart failure in significant secondary mitral regurgitation following percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index is an alternative to insulin resistance (IR) as an early indicator of worsening heart failure (HF). Patients with secondary mitral regurgitation (sMR) often experience progressive deterioration of cardiac function. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the TyG index and worsening of HF in significant sMR (grade  ≥ 2) following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

This study enrolled participants with significant sMR following PCI from a multicenter cohort study. The patients were divided into the following 3 groups according to tertiles of TyG index: T1, TyG ≤ 8.51; T2, TyG > 8.51 to ≤ 8.98; and T3, TyG > 8.98. The main clinical outcome was worsening HF including unplanned rehospitalization or unscheduled physician office/emergency department visit due to HF and unplanned mitral valve surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 922 patients (mean ± SD age, 64.1 ± 11.0 years; 79.6% male) were enrolled. The incidence of worsening HF was 15.5% in T1, 15.7% in T2, and 26.4% in T3. In the multivariable model, the highest TyG tertile (T3 group) was more strongly correlated with worsening HF than the lowest tertile (T1 group) after adjusting for confounders (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.59-3.72; P < 0.001). The addition of TyG to risk factors such as N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide and clinical models improved the predictive ability of TyG for worsening HF.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated preprocedural TyG index is a significant and independent risk factor for worsening HF in sMR following PCI that can be used for risk stratification.

Vascular complications in prediabetes and type 2 diabetes: a continuous process arising from a common pathology

The term, "prediabetes", describes a state of hyperglycaemia that is intermediate between true normoglycaemia and the diagnostic cut-offs for indices of glycaemia that are used to diagnose type 2 diabetes. The presence of prediabetes markedly increases the risk of developing type 2 diabetes. Numerous randomized, controlled evaluations of various agents have demonstrated significant prevention or delay of the onset of type 2 diabetes in subjects with prediabetes. Intensive lifestyle interventions and metformin have been studied most widely, with the lifestyle intervention being more effective in the majority of subjects. The application of therapeutic interventions at the time of prediabetes to preserve long-term outcomes has been controversial, however, due to a lack of evidence relating to the pathogenic effects of prediabetes and the effectiveness of interventions to produce a long-term clinical benefit. Recent studies have confirmed that prediabetes, however defined, is associated with a significantly increased risk of macrovascular and microvascular complications essentially identical to those of diabetes, and also with subclinical derangements of the function of microvasculature and neurons that likely signify increased risk of compilations in future. Normoglycaemia, prediabetes and type 2 diabetes appear to be part of a continuum of increased risk of adverse outcomes. Long-term (25-30 years) post-trial follow up of two major diabetes prevention trials have shown that short-term interventions to prevent diabetes lead to long-term reductions in the risk of complications. These findings support the concept of therapeutic intervention to preserve long-term health in people with prediabetes before type 2 diabetes becomes established.

Observation on clinical effect of Huoxue-Jiangtang decoction formula granules in treating prediabetes: a randomized prospective placebo-controlled double-blind trial protocol

Background

Prediabetes is a hypermetabolic syndrome with blood sugar levels falling between the normal and diabetes. People with prediabetes have a significantly increased chances of developing diabetes, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, tumors, dementia, and other diseases in the future when compared to the healthy population. However, prediabetes is mainly treated based on lifestyle intervention, currently without targeted drug treatment plan. Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), which has a longstanding experience, has been shown in clinical studies to be effective for the treatment of diabetes and its related complications. Furthermore, different dosage forms such as decoction and granule have developed gradually in clinical application. Preliminary studies have found that Huoxue-Jangtang Decoction (HJD), with good hypoglycemic and lipid-regulating effects, is potentially one of the complementary and alternative treatments for prediabetes. Therefore, this project intends to perform a prospective clinical study to observe the clinical effectiveness of HJD on prediabetes and the consistency of the efficacy of formula granules and the elixation.

Methods

This is a prospective, randomized, double-blind, and placebo-controlled clinical trial. A total of 183 participants are randomly assigned to HJD Formula Granules plus lifestyle intervention, HJD Elixation plus lifestyle intervention, and placebo plus lifestyle intervention. All subjects undergo 1 day of screening before participating in the study, followed by 84 days of drug intervention and observation. During and after treatment, the main outcome measures include fasting blood glucose and 2-hour postprandial blood glucose.

Discussion

This research attempts to verify the clinical efficacy and possible mechanism of HJD in the treatment of prediabetes, and prove the consistency of HJD Formula Granules with HJD Elixation. This study also aims to provide a treatment that is both effective and safe for prediabetic patients.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: ChiCTR2200060813, Registered 12 June 2022.

The association between heart failure and risk of fractures: Pool analysis comprising 260,410 participants

Background

HF and osteoporosis shared many common etiological risk factors. However, studies exploring whether patients with HF were associated with a higher risk of osteoporotic fracture resulted in inconsistent findings. This meta-analysis aimed to summarize the association between HF and the risk of incident fracture.

Methods

Following the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology group recommendations, we searched multiple electronic databases (PubMed, Cochran Library, and EMBASE) for related studies from inception to April 30, 2021. Studies evaluating the risk of incident fracture in patients with HF compared with those without HF were included for analysis. The random-effects models were used to combine the estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of incident fracture associated with HF.

Results

We included 8 observational studies for meta-analysis. The sample size ranged from 5,613 to 87,748 participants, with a total of 260,410 participants included. The median follow-up duration was 5.0 years. Random-effects model analyses showed that compared with control groups, patients with HF were associated with a higher risk of all incident fractures (HR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.30–2.16, P < 0.001) and hip fracture (HR = 2.20, 95% CI = 1.28–3.77, P < 0.001). The risk of all incident fractures was increased in all subgroup analyses according to age, sample size, sex, and follow-up duration.

Conclusions

Patients with HF were associated with a higher risk of incident fracture, as well as hip fracture.

Multi-omics insights into potential mechanism of SGLT2 inhibitors cardiovascular benefit in diabetic cardiomyopathy

Background

Metabolic and energy disorders are considered central to the etiology of diabetic cardiomyopathy (DCM). Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) can effectively reduce the risk of cardiovascular death and heart failure in patients with DCM. However, the underlying mechanism has not been elucidated.

Methods

We established a DCM rat model followed by treatment with empagliflozin (EMPA) for 12 weeks. Echocardiography, blood tests, histopathology, and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) were used to evaluate the phenotypic characteristics of the rats. The proteomics and metabolomics of the myocardium in the rat model were performed to identify the potential targets and signaling pathways associated with the cardiovascular benefit of SGLT2i.

Results

The diabetic rat showed pronounced DCM characterized by mitochondrial pleomorphic, impaired lipid metabolism, myocardial fibrosis, and associated diastolic and systolic functional impairments in the heart. To some extent, these changes were ameliorated after treatment with EMPA. A total of 43 proteins and 34 metabolites were identified as targets in the myocardium of diabetic rats treated with EMPA. The KEGG analysis showed that arachidonic acid is associated with the maximum number of related pathways and may be a potential target of EMPA treatment. Fatty acid (FA) metabolism was enhanced in diabetic hearts, and the perturbation of biosynthesis of unsaturated FAs and arachidonic acid metabolism was a potential enabler for the cardiovascular benefit of EMPA.

Conclusion

SGLT2i ameliorated lipid accumulation and mitochondrial damage in the myocardium of diabetic rats. The metabolomic and proteomic data revealed the potential targets and signaling pathways associated with the cardiovascular benefit of SGLT2i, which provides a valuable resource for the mechanism of SGLT2i.

Machine learning algorithms identifying the risk of new-onset ACS in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A retrospective cohort study

Background

In recent years, the prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has increased annually. The major complication of T2DM is cardiovascular disease (CVD). CVD is the main cause of death in T2DM patients, particularly those with comorbid acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Although risk prediction models using multivariate logistic regression are available to assess the probability of new-onset ACS development in T2DM patients, none have been established using machine learning (ML).

Methods

Between January 2019 and January 2020, we enrolled 521 T2DM patients with new-onset ACS or no ACS from our institution's medical information recording system and divided them into a training dataset and a testing dataset. Seven ML algorithms were used to establish models to assess the probability of ACS coupled with 5-cross validation.

Results

We established a nomogram to assess the probability of newly diagnosed ACS in T2DM patients with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.80 in the testing dataset and identified some key features: family history of CVD, history of smoking and drinking, aspartate aminotransferase level, age, neutrophil count, and Killip grade, which accelerated the development of ACS in patients with T2DM. The AUC values of the seven ML models were 0.70-0.96, and random forest model had the best performance (accuracy, 0.89; AUC, 0.96; recall, 0.83; precision, 0.91; F1 score, 0.87).

Conclusion

ML algorithms, especially random forest model (AUC, 0.961), had higher performance than conventional logistic regression (AUC, 0.801) for assessing new-onset ACS probability in T2DM patients with excellent clinical and diagnostic value.

Association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and risk of incident heart failure: a meta-analysis of observational studies

Background and aims:

Recent research has associated non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Previous studies that evaluated the association between NAFLD and risk of heart failure (HF) yielded inconsistent results, however. This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association between NAFLD and the risk of HF.

Methods:

We searched multiple electronic databases, including PubMed, Google Scholar, Embase and Web of Science for potential studies published from inception until 30 October 2021. Cohort studies reported multivariable-adjusted risks of incident HF in NAFLD patients comparing those without NAFLD were included.

Results:

Six cohort studies comprising 10,979,967 participants (women = 55.5%) were included in the study. The median prevalence of NAFLD in these studies was 22.2%. During a median follow-up duration of 7.0 years, 92,915 HF cases were detected. In the unadjusted model, patients with NAFLD had a greater risk of incident HF [random-effect hazard ratio (HR) = 1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.25–1.75, I² = 99%], compared with those without NAFLD. After multivariable adjustment of confounding risk factors, NAFLD was still linked with a higher risk of HF incidence (random-effect HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.16–1.58, I² = 98%). The risk of HF was increased not only in patients with progressive NAFLD severity but also in those with simple steatosis. The absolute risk difference of HF in NAFLD patients compared with those without NAFLD was 11.0 (95% CI = 4.9–17.7) per 10,000 person-years after multivariable adjustment.

Conclusion:

This meta-analysis suggests that NAFLD may be associated with an increased risk of incident HF. Owing to the high heterogeneity of the published studies, however, further high-quality studies are still needed.

Potential diabetic cardiomyopathy therapies targeting pyroptosis: A mini review

Pyroptosis is primarily considered a pro-inflammatory class of caspase-1- and gasdermin D (GSDMD)-dependent programmed cell death. Inflammasome activation promotes the maturation and release of interleukin (IL)-1β and IL-18, cleavage of GSDMD, and development of pyroptosis. Recent studies have reported that NLRP3 inflammasome activation-mediated pyroptosis aggravates the formation and development of diabetes cardiomyopathy (DCM). These studies provide theoretical mechanisms for exploring a novel approach to treat DCM-associated cardiac dysfunction. Accordingly, this review aims to summarize studies that investigated possible DCM therapies targeting pyroptosis and elucidate the molecular mechanisms underlying NLRP3 inflammasome-mediated pyroptosis, and its potential association with the pathogenesis of DCM. This review may serve as a basis for the development of potential pharmacological agents as novel and effective treatments for managing and treating DCM.

Prevalence and Characteristics of Prediabetes and Metabolic Syndrome in Seemingly Healthy Persons at a Health Check-Up Clinic

Purpose

This study investigated the prevalence and characteristics of prediabetes (PreDM) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) in seemingly healthy persons attending a health check-up clinic at a tertiary care hospital.

Patients and Methods

This was a cross-sectional study that enrolled 1213 subjects (339 male, 874 female) who underwent an annual health check-up at Siriraj Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand from 2009 to 2019. Factors that independently related to PreDM were analyzed using unconditional logistic regression analysis with adjustments for age, BMI, and gender.

Results

The prevalence of PreDM and MetS was 54.3% and 19.7% respectively. Participants with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and glycated hemoglobin (HbA_1c) 38.8–46.4 mmol/mol had significantly higher waist circumference (WC) and blood pressure (BP) compared to those with IFG or HbA_1c 38.8–46.4 mmol/mol alone (P < 0.05). Among three PreDM subgroups, the average age was lowest in the HbA_1c 38.8–46.4 mmol/mol subgroup (P < 0.001). PreDM participants with MetS were older (p = 0.03), had higher WC, BP, fasting plasma glucose and serum triglyceride level (all P < 0.001) but had lower serum high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol level (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed high MetS score, obesity, and low serum HDL cholesterol level to be independently associated with PreDM with odds ratios of 9.02 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.03–20.18), 1.8 (95% CI: 1.07–3.04), and 1.42 (95% CI: 1.02–1.96), respectively.

Conclusion

The prevalence of PreDM and MetS was relatively high in seemingly healthy persons. Distinct PreDM subgroups with or without MetS exhibited diverse clinical and biochemical features suggesting dissimilar pathogenesis.

Management of dyslipidemia and atherosclerotic cardiovascular risk in prediabetes

Prediabetes affects at least 1 in 3 adults in the U.S. and 1 in 5 in Europe. Although guidelines advocate aggressive management of lipid parameters in diabetes, most guidelines do not address treatment of dyslipidemia in prediabetes despite the increased atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. Several criteria are used to diagnose prediabetes: impaired fasting glucose (IFG), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and HbA1c of 5.7-6.4%. Individuals with prediabetes have a greater risk of diabetes, a higher prevalence of dyslipidemia with a more atherogenic lipid profile and an increased risk of ASCVD. In addition to calculating ASCVD risk using traditional methods, an OGTT may further stratify risk. Those with 1-hour plasma glucose ≥8.6 mmol/L (155 mg/dL) and/or 2-hour ≥7.8 mmol/L (140 mg/dL) (IGT) have a greater risk of ASCVD. Diet and lifestyle modification are fundamental in prediabetes. Statins, ezetimibe and PCSK9 inhibitors are recommended in people requiring pharmacotherapy. Although high-intensity statins may increase risk of diabetes, this is acceptable because of the greater reduction of ASCVD. The LDL-C goal in prediabetes should be individualized. In those with IGT and/or elevated 1-hour plasma glucose, the same intensive approach to dyslipidemia as recommended for diabetes should be considered, particularly if other ASCVD risk factors are present.

The controlling nutritional status score and clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure: Pool analysis of observational studies

Background and aims

Malnutrition is very common in patients with heart failure (HF) and is associated with a worse clinical outcome. The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score is an easily derived index for the evaluation of malnutrition. This study aimed to evaluate the association between the CONUT score and the prognosis in patients with HF.

Methods and results

Electronic databases were searched for potential studies from inception up to February 15, 2022. Observational cohort studies included adult participants with HF, and reported the associations between the CONUT score and the adjusted relative risk (RR) of all-cause mortality, and patients with composite major adverse cardiac outcomes (MACEs) were included. We finally included 18 studies comprising 12,532 participants with HF for analysis. The median age of the patients was 70.5 years old, and 35.4% were women. After a median follow-up duration of 32.5 months, patients with HF with a higher CONUT score were associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (per 1 increment of the CONUT score: RR, 1.21, 95% CI, 1.13–1.29, I² = 68%, P for heterogeneity = 0.002) and MACEs (per 1 increment of the CONUT score: RR, 1.14, 95% CI, 1.06–1.23, I² = 81%, P for heterogeneity <0.0001) after adjusting for other prognostic factors. When the CONUT score was divided into the normal nutritional status and malnourished status, malnourished patients with HF were associated with increased risks of all-cause death (RR, 1.61, 95% CI, 1.40–1.85, I² = 17%, P for heterogeneity = 0.29) and MACEs (RR, 2.12, 95% CI, 1.49–3.02, I² = 87%, P for heterogeneity <0.0001), compared with those with normal nutritional status.

Conclusions

The CONUT score is associated with the clinical outcomes in patients with HF, and can be used as a screening tool of nutritional status in HF to improve prognosis.

Development of Prediction Model to Estimate the Risk of Heart Failure in Diabetes Mellitus

Background

Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of mortality and disability in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM). The aim of the study is to predict the risk of HF incidence in patients with DM by developing a risk prediction model.

Methods

We constructed a regression model based on 270 inpatients with DM between February 2018 and January 2019. Binary logistic regression was applied to develop the final model incorporating the predictors selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. The nomogram was estimated with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve and calibration diagram and validated with the bootstrap method.

Results

Risk factors including age, coronary heart disease (CHD), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) were incorporated in the final model as predictors. Age ≥ 61 years old, LDL, and CHD were risk factors for DM with HF, with odds ratios (ORs) of 32.84 (95% CI: 6.74, 253.99), 1.33 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.72), and 3.94 (95% CI: 1.43, 13.43), respectively. HDL was a protective factor with an OR of 0.11 (95% CI: 0.04, 0.28). The area under curve of the model was 0.863 (95% confidence interval, 0.812∼0.913). The plot of the calibration showed that there was a good consistency between predicted probability and actual probability. Harrell’s C-index of the nomogram was 0.845, and the model showed satisfactory calibration in the internal validation cohort.

Conclusion

The prediction nomogram we developed can estimate the possibility of HF in patients with DM according the predictor items.

Predictive Value of Non-high-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio for Coronary Artery Vulnerable Plaques in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Background

Patients with diabetes have an increased risk of developing vulnerable plaques (VPs), in which dyslipidemia and chronic inflammation play important roles. Non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have emerged as potential markers of both coronary artery VPs and cardiovascular prognosis. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of non-HDL-C and NLR for coronary artery VPs in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 204 patients with T2DM who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography between January 2018 and June 2020. Clinical data including age, sex, hypertension, smoking, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, HDL-C, triglyceride, non-HDL-C, glycated hemoglobin, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, NLR, and platelet count were analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the association between non-HDL-C, NLR, and coronary artery VPs. Receiver operating curve analysis was performed to evaluate the value of non-HDL-C, NLR, and their combination in predicting coronary artery VPs.

Results

In our study, 67 patients (32.84%) were diagnosed with VPs, 75 (36.77%) with non-VP, and 62 (30.39%) with no plaque. Non-HDL-C and NLR were independent risk factors for coronary artery VPs in patients with T2DM. The areas under the ROC curve of non-HDL-C, NLR, and their combination were 0.748 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.676-0.818], 0.729 (95% CI: 0.650-0.800), and 0.825 (95% CI: 0.757-0.887), respectively.

Conclusion

Either non-HDL-C or NLR could be used as a predictor of coronary artery VPs in patients with T2DM, but the predictive efficiency and sensitivity of their combination would be better.