Rationale and design of a multicenter echocardiographic study to assess the relationship between cardiac structure and function and heart failure risk in a biracial cohort of community-dwelling elderly persons: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

Impact of Aficamten on Echocardiographic Cardiac Structure and Function in Symptomatic Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Aficamten, a next-in-class cardiac myosin inhibitor, improved peak oxygen uptake (pVO2) and lowered resting and Valsalva left ventricular outflow (LVOT) gradients in adults with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM) in SEQUOIA-HCM (Phase 3 Trial to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Aficamten Compared to Placebo in Adults With Symptomatic oHCM), a phase 3, multicenter, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled study.

OBJECTIVES

The authors sought to evaluate the effect of aficamten on echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function in SEQUOIA-HCM.

METHODS

Serial echocardiograms were performed over 28 weeks in patients randomized to receive placebo or aficamten in up to 4 individually titrated escalating doses (5-20 mg daily) over 24 weeks based on Valsalva LVOT gradients and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).

RESULTS

Among 282 patients (mean age 59 ± 13 years; 41% female, 79% White, 19% Asian), mean LVEF was 75% ± 6% with resting and Valsalva LVOT gradients of 55 ± 30 mm Hg and 83 ± 32 mm Hg, respectively. Over 24 weeks, aficamten significantly lowered resting and Valsalva LVOT gradients, and improved left atrial volume index, lateral and septal e' velocities, and lateral and septal E/e' (all P ≤ 0.001). LV end-systolic volume increased and wall thickness decreased (all P ≤ 0.003). Aficamten resulted in a mild reversible decrease in LVEF (-4.8% [95% CI: -6.4% to -3.3%]; P < 0.001) and absolute LV global circumferential strain (-3.7% [95% CI: 1.8%-5.6%]; P < 0.0010), whereas LV global longitudinal strain was unchanged. Several measures, including LVEF, LVOT gradients, and E/e' returned to baseline following washout. Among those treated with aficamten, improved pVO2 and reduction in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were associated with improvement in lateral e' velocity and septal and lateral E/e' (all P < 0.03), whereas improvement in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Scores (KCCQ-CSS) was associated with a decrease in both LVOT gradients (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with placebo, patients receiving aficamten demonstrated significant improvement in LVOT gradients and measures of LV diastolic function, and several of these measures were associated with improvements in pVO2, KCCQ-CSS, and NT-proBNP. A modest decrease in LVEF occurred yet remained within normal range. These findings suggest aficamten improved multiple structural and physiological parameters in oHCM without significant adverse changes in LV systolic function. (Phase 3 Trial to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Aficamten Compared to Placebo in Adults With Symptomatic oHCM [SEQUOIA-HCM]; NCT05186818).

Association of central arterial stiffness with atrial myopathy: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

Atrial myopathy-defined as abnormal left atrial (LA) size and function-is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and dementia. Central arterial stiffness is associated with increased atrial afterload and fibrosis and may be a risk factor for atrial myopathy. We examined the association of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) with LA function and assessed potential causal relationships. We included 2825 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants from Visit 5 (2011-2013). cfPWV was related to echocardiographic LA function continuously per 1-SD and categorically in quartiles. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed using U.K. Biobank-derived genetic variants associated with arterial stiffness index and cardiac magnetic resonance measures of LA function. When analyzed per SD increment (297.6 cm/s), higher cfPWV was significantly associated with lower LA reservoir and conduit strain (β = -0.53%, 95% CI [-0.81, -0.25] and β = -0.46%, 95% CI [-0.68, -0.25], respectively) after adjusting for demographics, clinical characteristics, systolic blood pressure, and left ventricular (LV) morphology and function. In MR analyses there was a non-significant inverse association of arterial stiffness index with LA total, passive, and active emptying fractions. Higher cfPWV is associated with lower LA reservoir and conduit strain, independent of systolic blood pressure and LV morphology and function. No evidence for a causal relationship between arterial stiffness index and alterations in LA function was found. Future studies should examine the prospective association of central arterial stiffness with LA function alterations.

Left Ventricular Wall Stress and Incident Heart Failure in Elderly Community-Dwelling Individuals

Background

Greater left ventricular (LV) wall stress is associated with adverse outcomes among patients with prevalent heart failure (HF). Less is known about the association between LV wall stress and incident HF.

Objectives

The purpose of the study was to identify clinical factors associated with wall stress and test the association between wall stress and incident HF.

Methods

We studied 4,601 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study participants without prevalent HF who underwent echocardiography between 2011 and 2013. LV end systolic and diastolic wall stress (LVESWS, LVEDWS) were calculated from chamber and wall thickness, systemic blood pressure, and transmitral Doppler E/e' as a surrogate for LV end diastolic pressure. Incident HF was ascertained by International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9/10 claims for hospitalized HF through December 31, 2016. We used Cox regression to test the association between wall stress and incident HF, adjusted for demographics, traditional cardiovascular risk factors, prevalent coronary artery disease and atrial fibrillation, creatinine, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, troponin, triglycerides, C-reactive protein, LV ejection fraction, and LV mass.

Results

The cohort had a median age of 75 years and 58% women, with 18% identifying as Black. Median LVESWS and LVEDWS were 48.8 (25th-75th percentile: 39.3-60.1) and 18.9 (25th-75th percentile: 15.8-22.5) kdynes/cm2, respectively. LVESWS and LVEDWS were modestly related (rho = 0.30, P < 0.001). Over 4.6 years of median follow-up (156 HF events), each 1 kdyne/cm2 greater LVEDWS was significantly associated with higher risk of incident HF (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.01-1.06), while LVESWS was not (HR: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.99-1.01).

Conclusions

Among community-dwelling elderly individuals, greater LVEDWS is associated with a higher risk for incident HF.

Association of left atrial function with frailty: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND

Frailty is common in people with cardiovascular disease. Worse left atrial (LA) function is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, whether worse LA function is associated with frailty is unclear.

METHODS

We included 3292 older adults from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study who were non-frail at baseline (visit 5, 2011-2013) and had LA function (reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain) measured from two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography. LA stiffness index was calculated as a ratio of E/e' to LA reservoir strain. Frailty was defined using the validated Fried frailty phenotype. Incident frailty was assessed between 2016 and 2019 during two follow-up visits. LA function was analyzed as quintiles. Multivariable logistic regression examined odds of incident frailty.

RESULTS

Median (interquartile range [IQR]) age was 74 (71-77) years, 58% were female, and 214 (7%) participants developed frailty during a median (IQR) follow-up of 6.3 (5.6-6.8) years. After adjusting for baseline confounders and incident cardiovascular events during follow-up, the odds of developing frailty was 2.42 (1.26-4.66) times greater among participants in the lowest (vs highest) quintile of LA reservoir strain and 2.41 (1.11-5.22) times greater among those in the highest (vs lowest) quintile of LA stiffness index. Worse LA function was significantly associated with the development of exhaustion, but not the other components of the Fried frailty phenotype.

CONCLUSIONS

Worse LA function is associated with higher incidence of frailty and exhaustion component independent of LA size and left ventricular function. Future studies are needed to elucidate the underlying mechanisms that drive the observed association.

Development and validation of a machine learning-based approach to identify high-risk diabetic cardiomyopathy phenotype

AIMS

Abnormalities in specific echocardiographic parameters and cardiac biomarkers have been reported among individuals with diabetes. However, a comprehensive characterization of diabetic cardiomyopathy (DbCM), a subclinical stage of myocardial abnormalities that precede the development of clinical heart failure (HF), is lacking. In this study, we developed and validated a machine learning-based clustering approach to identify the high-risk DbCM phenotype based on echocardiographic and cardiac biomarker parameters.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Among individuals with diabetes from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort who were free of cardiovascular disease and other potential aetiologies of cardiomyopathy (training, n = 1199), unsupervised hierarchical clustering was performed using echocardiographic parameters and cardiac biomarkers of neurohormonal stress and chronic myocardial injury (total 25 variables). The high-risk DbCM phenotype was identified based on the incidence of HF on follow-up. A deep neural network (DeepNN) classifier was developed to predict DbCM in the ARIC training cohort and validated in an external community-based cohort (Cardiovascular Health Study [CHS]; n = 802) and an electronic health record (EHR) cohort (n = 5071). Clustering identified three phenogroups in the derivation cohort. Phenogroup-3 (n = 324, 27% of the cohort) had significantly higher 5-year HF incidence than other phenogroups (12.1% vs. 4.6% [phenogroup 2] vs. 3.1% [phenogroup 1]) and was identified as the high-risk DbCM phenotype. The key echocardiographic predictors of high-risk DbCM phenotype were higher NT-proBNP levels, increased left ventricular mass and left atrial size, and worse diastolic function. In the CHS and University of Texas (UT) Southwestern EHR validation cohorts, the DeepNN classifier identified 16% and 29% of participants with DbCM, respectively. Participants with (vs. without) high-risk DbCM phenotype in the external validation cohorts had a significantly higher incidence of HF (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 1.61 [1.18-2.19] in CHS and 1.34 [1.08-1.65] in the UT Southwestern EHR cohort).

CONCLUSION

Machine learning-based techniques may identify 16% to 29% of individuals with diabetes as having a high-risk DbCM phenotype who may benefit from more aggressive implementation of HF preventive strategies.

Association of Cumulative Systolic Blood Pressure With Left Atrial Function in the Setting of Normal Left Atrial Size: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

Lower left atrial (LA) function is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease events; data on risk factors for impaired LA function are limited. We evaluated the effect of cumulative systolic blood pressure (cSBP) from midlife to older age on LA strain in adults with normal LA size.

METHODS

We included participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study with LA strain measured on the visit 5 echocardiogram (2011-13), excluding those with atrial fibrillation and LA volume index >34 mL/m2. The cSBP was calculated from visit 1 (1987-89) through visit 5. Linear regression models were used to evaluate associations between cSBP and LA strain measures.

RESULTS

A total of 3,859 participants with a mean (SD) age of 75.2 (5.0) years were included in the analysis; 725 (18.8%) were Black and 2,342 (60.7%) were women. After adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular disease risk factors, heart failure, and coronary heart disease, each 10 mm Hg increase in cSBP was associated with 0.32% (95% CI, -0.52%, -0.13%) and 0.37% (95% CI, -0.51%, -0.22%) absolute reduction in LA reservoir and conduit strain, respectively. Associations were attenuated after adjustment for left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function and mass (-0.12%: 95% CI, -0.31, 0.06 for reservoir strain; and -0.24%: 95% CI -0.38%, -0.10% for conduit strain). In subgroup analyses, the association of cSBP with conduit strain was statistically significant among those with normal LV systolic and diastolic function.

CONCLUSIONS

Cumulative exposure to elevated blood pressure from midlife to late life was modestly associated with lower LA reservoir and conduit strain in older adults with normal LA size, mostly related to the effect of blood pressure on LV function and mass. However, the association of cSBP and LA conduit strain in subgroups with normal LV function suggests that LA remodeling in response to hypertension occurs before LV dysfunction is detected on echocardiography.

Association of Left Atrial Function With Incident Chronic Kidney Disease in Older Adults

Objective

To examine the association of left atrial (LA) function with incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) and assess the clinical utility of adding LA function to a CKD risk prediction equation.

Patients and Methods

We included 4002 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants without prevalent CKD (mean ± SD age, 75±5 years; 58% female, 18% Black). Left atrial function (reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain) was evaluated by 2D-echocardiograms on 2011 to 2013. Chronic kidney disease was defined as greater than 25% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, end-stage kidney disease, or hospital records. Cox proportional hazards models were used. Risk prediction and decision curve analyses evaluated 5-year CKD risk by diabetes status.

Results

Median follow-up was 7.2 years, and 598 participants developed incident CKD. Incidence rate for CKD was 2.29 per 100 person-years. After multivariable adjustments, the lowest quintile of LA reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain (vs highest quintile) had a higher risk of CKD (hazard ratios [95% CIs]: 1.94 [1.42-2.64], 1.62 [1.19-2.20], and 1.49 [1.12-1.99]). Adding LA reservoir strain to the CKD risk prediction equation variables increased the C-index by 0.026 (95% CI: 0.005-0.051) and 0.031 (95% CI: 0.006-0.058) in participants without and with diabetes, respectively. Decision curve analysis found the model with LA reservoir strain had a higher net benefit than the model with CKD risk prediction equation variables alone.

Conclusion

Lower LA function is independently associated with incident CKD. Adding LA function to the CKD risk prediction enhances prediction and yields a higher clinical net benefit. These findings suggest that impaired LA function may be a novel risk factor for CKD.

Effect of Eplontersen on Cardiac Structure and Function in Patients With Hereditary Transthyretin Amyloidosis

BACKGROUND

Hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTRv) is associated with polyneuropathy, cardiomyopathy, or both. The effects of eplontersen on cardiac structure and function were assessed.

METHODS AND RESULTS

NEURO-TTRansform was an open-label trial involving 144 adults with ATTRv polyneuropathy (49 patients [34%] with cardiomyopathy) receiving eplontersen throughout and compared with a historical placebo group (n = 60; 30 patients [50%] with cardiomyopathy) from the NEURO-TTR trial at week 65. Treatment effect (eplontersen vs placebo), presented as mean difference (95% confidence interval) was analyzed after adjusting for age, sex, region, baseline value, ATTRv disease stage, previous ATTRv treatment, and V30M transthyretin variant. There were notable differences at baseline between the eplontersen group and historical placebo. In the cardiomyopathy subgroup, 65 weeks of eplontersen treatment was associated with improvement from baseline relative to placebo in left ventricular ejection fraction of 4.3% (95% confidence interval 1.40-21.01; P = .049) and stroke volume 10.64 mL (95% confidence interval 3.99-17.29; P = .002) while the remainder of echocardiographic parameters remained stable.

CONCLUSIONS

Eplontersen was associated with stable or improved measures of cardiac structure and function vs historical placebo in patients with ATTRv polyneuropathy and cardiomyopathy. Further investigation into eplontersen's effect on transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy is being conducted in the CARDIO-TTRansform trial.

Cardiac Mechanics and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in a Community-Based Cohort of Older Adults

BACKGROUND

Assessment of cardiac structure and function improves risk prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in different populations. We aimed to comprehensively compare standard and newer measures of cardiac structure and function in improving prediction of AF in a cohort of older adults without history of AF and stroke.

METHODS

We included 5050 participants without prevalent AF and stroke (mean age 75 ± 5 years, 59% women and 22% Black) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study who underwent complete 2-dimensional echocardiography, including speckle-tracking analysis of the left ventricle (LV) and left atrium (LA). We assessed the association of cardiac measures with incident AF (including atrial flutter) and quantified the extent to which these measures improved model discrimination and risk classification of AF compared with the CHARGE-AF score.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up time of 7 years, 676 participants developed AF (incidence rate, 2.13 per 100 person-years). LV mass index and wall thickness, E/e' and measures of LA structure and function, but not LV systolic function, were associated with incident AF, after accounting for confounders. Above all, LA reservoir strain, contraction strain, and LA minimal volume index (C-statistics [95%Confidence interval]: 0.73 [0.70,0.75], 0.72 [0.70,0.75] and 0.72 [0.69,0.75], respectively) significantly improved the risk discrimination of the CHARGE-AF score (baseline C-statistic: 0.68 [0.65,0.70]) and achieved the highest category-based net reclassification improvement (29%, 24% and 20%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large cohort of older adults without prevalent AF and stroke, measures of LA function improved the prediction of AF more than other conventional cardiac measures.

A deep patient-similarity learning framework for the assessment of diastolic dysfunction in elderly patients

AIMS

Age-related changes in cardiac structure and function are well recognized and make the clinical determination of abnormal left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) particularly challenging in the elderly. We investigated whether a deep neural network (DeepNN) model of LVDD, previously validated in a younger cohort, can be implemented in an older population to predict incident heart failure (HF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

A previously developed DeepNN was tested on 5596 older participants (66-90 years; 57% female; 20% Black) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. The association of DeepNN predictions with HF or all-cause death for the American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association Stage A/B (n = 4054) and Stage C/D (n = 1542) subgroups was assessed. The DeepNN-predicted high-risk compared with the low-risk phenogroup demonstrated an increased incidence of HF and death for both Stage A/B and Stage C/D (log-rank P < 0.0001 for all). In multi-variable analyses, the high-risk phenogroup remained an independent predictor of HF and death in both Stages A/B {adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)] 6.52 [4.20-10.13] and 2.21 [1.68-2.91], both P < 0.0001} and Stage C/D [6.51 (4.06-10.44) and 1.03 (1.00-1.06), both P < 0.0001], respectively. In addition, DeepNN showed incremental value over the 2016 American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging (ASE/EACVI) guidelines [net re-classification index, 0.5 (CI 0.4-0.6), P < 0.001; C-statistic improvement, DeepNN (0.76) vs. ASE/EACVI (0.70), P < 0.001] overall and maintained across stage groups.

CONCLUSION

Despite training with a younger cohort, a deep patient-similarity-based learning framework for assessing LVDD provides a robust prediction of all-cause death and incident HF for older patients.

Atrial Fibrillation and Clonal Hematopoiesis in TET2 and ASXL1

Importance

Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) may contribute to the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) through its association with inflammation and cardiac remodeling.

Objective

To determine whether CHIP was associated with AF, inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers, and cardiac structural changes.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a population-based, prospective cohort study in participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and UK Biobank (UKB) cohort. Samples were collected and echocardiography was performed from 2011 to 2013 in the ARIC cohort, and samples were collected from 2006 to 2010 in the UKB cohort. Included in this study were adults without hematologic malignancies, mitral valve stenosis, or previous mitral valve procedure from both the ARIC and UKB cohorts; additionally, participants without hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and congenital heart disease from the UKB cohort were also included. Data analysis was completed in 2023.

Exposures

CHIP (variant allele frequency [VAF] ≥2%), common gene-specific CHIP subtypes (DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1), large CHIP (VAF ≥10%), inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin 6 [IL-6], IL-18, high-sensitivity troponin T [hs-TnT] and hs-TnI, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), and echocardiographic indices.

Main Outcome Measure

Incident AF.

Results

A total of 199 982 adults were included in this study. In ARIC participants (4131 [2.1%]; mean [SD] age, 76 [5] years; 2449 female [59%]; 1682 male [41%]; 935 Black [23%] and 3196 White [77%]), 1019 had any CHIP (24.7%), and 478 had large CHIP (11.6%). In UKB participants (195 851 [97.9%]; mean [SD] age, 56 [8] years; 108 370 female [55%]; 87 481 male [45%]; 3154 Black [2%], 183 747 White [94%], and 7971 other race [4%]), 11 328 had any CHIP (5.8%), and 5189 had large CHIP (2.6%). ARIC participants were followed up for a median (IQR) period of 7.0 (5.3-7.7) years, and UKB participants were followed up for a median (IQR) period of 12.2 (11.3-13.0) years. Meta-analyzed hazard ratios for AF were 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01-1.25; P = .04) for participants with vs without large CHIP, 1.29 (95% CI, 1.05-1.59; P = .02) for those with vs without large TET2 CHIP (seen in 1340 of 197 209 [0.67%]), and 1.45 (95% CI, 1.02-2.07; P = .04) for those with vs without large ASXL1 CHIP (seen in 314 of 197 209 [0.16%]). Large TET2 CHIP was associated with higher IL-6 levels. Additionally, large ASXL1 was associated with higher hs-TnT level and increased left ventricular mass index.

Conclusions and Relevance

Large TET2 and ASXL1, but not DNMT3A, CHIP was associated with higher IL-6 level, indices of cardiac remodeling, and increased risk for AF. Future research is needed to elaborate on the mechanisms driving the associations and to investigate potential interventions to reduce the risk.

Deep terminal negative of the P wave in V1 and incidence of ischemic stroke: The atherosclerosis risk in communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND

Deep terminal negative of the P wave in V1 (DTNPV1) is a marker of left atrial remodeling. We aimed to evaluate the association of DTNPV1 with incident ischemic stroke.

METHODS

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study is a prospective community-based cohort study. All participants at visit 4 (1996-1998) except those with prevalent stroke, missing covariates, and missing or uninterpretable ECG were included. DTNPV1 was defined as the absolute value of the depth of the terminal negative phase >100 μV in the presence of biphasic P wave in V1. Association between DTNPV1 as a time-dependent exposure variable and incident ischemic stroke was evaluated. The accuracy of the prediction model consisting of DTNPV1 and CHA2DS2-VASc variables in predicting ischemic stroke was analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 10,605 participants (63 ± 6 years, 56% women, 20% Black), 803 cases of ischemic stroke occurred over a median follow-up of 20.19 years. After adjusting for demographics, DTNPV1 was associated with an increased risk of stroke (HR 1.96, [95% CI 1.39-2.77]). After further adjusting for stroke risk factors, use of aspirin and anticoagulants, and time-dependent atrial fibrillation, DTNPV1 was associated with a 1.50-fold (95% CI 1.06-2.13) increased risk of stroke. When added to the CHA2DS2-VASc variables, DTNPV1 did not significantly improve stroke prediction as assessed by C-statistic. However, there was improvement in risk classification for participants who did not develop stroke.

CONCLUSION

DTNPV1 is significantly associated with higher risk of ischemic stroke. Since DTNPV1 is a simplified electrocardiographic parameter, it may help stroke prediction, a subject for further research.

Association of diabetes and glycemic control with left atrial function: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Although glycemic status is associated with impaired cardiac structure and function, less is known on left atrial (LA) function across the glycemic spectrum. We evaluated the association of diabetes and glycemic control with LA function in a community-based cohort of older adults.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This cross-sectional analysis included 5075 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (mean age 75.5 years, 58 % women, and 20 % Black adults) with echocardiographic strain data for LA reservoir, conduit, and contractile function. Multivariable linear regression was used to assess associations of diabetes status and glycemic control with LA function. In participants without diabetes, we used ordinal linear regression to evaluate associations of fasting glucose and HbA1c with LA function. Compared to individuals with a normal fasting glucose, prevalent diabetes was associated with 0.68 % lower LA conduit function (95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.11 to -0.25) and prediabetes a 0.47 % reduction (95 % CI: 0.85 to -0.09) in fully adjusted analyses. Persons with diabetes and high HbA1c (HgbA1c ≥ 7 % vs <7 %) had 1.05 % lower LA conduit function (95 % CI: 1.63, -0.48). Among individuals without diagnosed diabetes, higher fasting glucose, but not HbA1c, was significantly associated with worse LA conduit function. No significant associations were observed for LA reservoir and contractile function.

CONCLUSIONS

A history of diabetes, prediabetes, and higher fasting glucose levels in persons without diabetes were associated with worse LA conduit function. Corroborative research is needed in prospective cohorts as well as studies that explore underlying mechanisms.

Plasma Ferritin Levels, Incident Heart Failure, and Cardiac Structure and Function: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

Whether iron deficiency contributes to incident heart failure (HF) and cardiac dysfunction has important implications given the prevalence of iron deficiency and the availability of several therapeutics for iron repletion.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to estimate the associations of plasma ferritin level with incident HF overall, HF phenotypes, and cardiac structure and function measures in older adults.

METHODS

Participants in the ongoing, longitudinal ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study who were free of prevalent HF and anemia were studied. The associations of plasma ferritin levels with incident HF overall and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Linear regression models estimated the cross-sectional associations of plasma ferritin with echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function.

RESULTS

The cohort included 3,472 individuals with a mean age of 75 ± 5 years (56% women, 14% Black individuals). In fully adjusted models, lower ferritin was associated with higher risk for incident HF overall (HR: 1.20 [95% CI: 1.08-1.34] per 50% lower ferritin level) and higher risk for incident HFpEF (HR: 1.28 [95% CI: 1.09-1.50]). Associations with incident HFrEF were not statistically significant. Lower ferritin levels were associated with higher E/e' ratio and higher pulmonary artery systolic pressure after adjustment for demographics and HF risk factors but not with measures of left ventricular structure or systolic function.

CONCLUSIONS

Among older adults without prevalent HF or anemia, lower plasma ferritin level is associated with a higher risk for incident HF, HFpEF, and higher measures of left ventricular filling pressure.

Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Early Heart Failure Study: Rationale, Design, and Baseline Characteristics

BACKGROUND

Current prevalence estimates of heart failure (HF) are primarily based on self-report or HF hospitalizations. There is an unmet need to define the prevalence and pathogenesis of early symptomatic HF, which may be undiagnosed and precedes HF hospitalization.

METHODS

The MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) Early HF study was conducted during MESA exam 6 to determine the prevalence of early HF and investigate the transition from risk factors to early HF in a diverse population-based cohort of older adults. Between 2016 and 2018, 3285 MESA participants from 6 field centers underwent comprehensive speckle-tracking echocardiography with passive leg raise maneuver, Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire, 6-minute walk test, arterial stiffness assessment, and proteomics (including NT-proBNP [N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide]).

RESULTS

Median age was 73 (25th-75th percentile 67-81) years, 53.2% were female, 25.6% were Black, 12.8% were Chinese, and 40.0% were White. The prevalence of HF risk factors was high: hypertension, 61.9%; former or current smoking, 53.7%; obesity 34.8%; diabetes; 24.7%; and chronic kidney disease; 22%. Overt cardiovascular disease, which ranged from 2.1% (HF) to 13.6% (atrial fibrillation), was less common. Of the 3285 participants, 96% underwent proteomics, 94% Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire, 93% speckle-tracking echocardiography with passive leg raise, 82% arterial stiffness exam, and 77% 6-minute walk test. Feasibility of resting speckle-tracking echocardiography (87%-99% across cardiac chambers) and passive leg raise Doppler/speckle-tracking echocardiography (>84%) measurements was high. A total of 120 unique echocardiographic indices were measured.

CONCLUSIONS

The MESA Early HF study is a key resource for cardiovascular researchers who are interested in improving the epidemiological and phenotypic characterization of early HF.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00005487.

Large-Scale Proteomics Identifies Novel Biomarkers and Circulating Risk Factors for Aortic Stenosis

BACKGROUND

Limited data exist regarding risk factors for aortic stenosis (AS). The plasma proteome is a promising phenotype for discovery of novel biomarkers and potentially causative mechanisms.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to discover novel biomarkers with potentially causal associations with AS.

METHODS

We measured 4,877 plasma proteins (SomaScan aptamer-affinity assay) among ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study participants in mid-life (visit 3 [V3]; n = 11,430; age 60 ± 6 years) and in late-life (V5; n = 4,899; age 76 ± 5 years). We identified proteins cross-sectionally associated with aortic valve (AV) peak velocity (AVmax) and dimensionless index by echocardiography at V5 and with incident AV-related hospitalization after V3 with the use of multivariable linear and Cox proportional hazard regression. We assessed associations of candidate proteins with changes in AVmax over 6 years and with AV calcification with the use of cardiac computed tomography, replicated analysis in an independent sample, performed Mendelian randomization, and evaluated gene expression in explanted human AV tissue.

RESULTS

Fifty-two proteins cross-sectionally were associated with AVmax and dimensionless index at V5 and with risk of incident AV-related hospitalization after V3. Among 3,413 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 6 of those proteins were significantly associated with adjudicated moderate or severe AS, including matrix metalloproteinase 12 (MMP12), complement C1q tumor necrosis factor-related protein 1 (C1QTNF1), and growth differentiation factor-15. MMP12 was also associated with greater increase in AVmax over 6 years, greater degree of AV calcification, and greater expression in calcific compared with normal or fibrotic AV tissue. C1QTNF1 had consistent potential causal effects on both AS and AVmax according to Mendelian randomization analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings identify MMP12 as a potential novel circulating biomarker of AS risk and C1QTNF1 as a new putative target to prevent AS progression.

Cardiac Abnormalities in Hispanic/Latina Women With Prior De Novo Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) are associated with long-term maternal risks for cardiovascular disease for reasons that remain incompletely understood.

METHODS

The HCHS/SOL (Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos), a multi-center community-based cohort of Hispanic/Latino adults recruited 2008 to 2011, was used to evaluate the associations of history of de novo HDP (gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, eclampsia) with echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function in Hispanic/Latina women with ≥1 prior pregnancy and the proportion of association mediated by current hypertension (>140/90 mm Hg or antihypertensive therapy).

RESULTS.

The study cohort included 5168 Hispanic/Latina women with an average age (SD) of 58.7 (9.7) years at time of echocardiogram. Prior de novo HDP was reported by 724 (14%) of the women studied and was associated with lower left ventricle (LV) ejection fraction -0.66 (95% confidence interval [CI], -1.21 to -0.11), higher LV relative wall thickness 0.09 (95% CI, 0-0.18), and 1.39 (95% CI, 1.02-1.89) higher risk of abnormal LV geometry after adjusting for blood pressure and other confounders. The proportion of the association mediated by current hypertension between HDP and LV ejection fraction was 0.09 (95% CI, 0.03-0.45), LV relative wall thickness was 0.28 (95% CI, 0.16-0.51), abnormal LV geometry was 0.14 (95% CI, 0.12-0.48), concentric left ventricular hypertrophy was 0.31 (95% CI, 0.19-0.86), and abnormal LV diastolic dysfunction was 0.58 (95% CI, 0.26-0.79).

CONCLUSIONS.

In a large cohort of Hispanic/Latina women those with history of de novo HDP had detectable and measurable subclinical alterations in cardiac structure and both systolic and diastolic dysfunction that were only partially mediated by current hypertension.

Large scale plasma proteomics identifies novel proteins and protein networks associated with heart failure development

Heart failure (HF) causes substantial morbidity and mortality but its pathobiology is incompletely understood. The proteome is a promising intermediate phenotype for discovery of novel mechanisms. We measured 4877 plasma proteins in 13,900 HF-free individuals across three analysis sets with diverse age, geography, and HF ascertainment to identify circulating proteins and protein networks associated with HF development. Parallel analyses in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants in mid-life and late-life and in Trøndelag Health Study participants identified 37 proteins consistently associated with incident HF independent of traditional risk factors. Mendelian randomization supported causal effects of 10 on HF, HF risk factors, or left ventricular size and function, including matricellular (e.g. SPON1, MFAP4), senescence-associated (FSTL3, IGFBP7), and inflammatory (SVEP1, CCL15, ITIH3) proteins. Protein co-regulation network analyses identified 5 modules associated with HF risk, two of which were influenced by genetic variants that implicated trans hotspots within the VTN and CFH genes.

Changes in Pulmonary Artery Pressure Late in Life: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

Although the prognostic implications of higher pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) are well established, few data exist regarding longitudinal change in pulmonary pressure in late life.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to quantify changes in PASP over 6 years and determine the relative contributions of cardiac and pulmonary dysfunction.

METHODS

Among 1,420 participants in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study with echocardiographic measures of PASP at both the fifth (2011-2013) and seventh (2018-2019) visits, longitudinal changes in PASP over about 6.5 years were quantified. Multivariable regression was used to determine the extent to which cardiac and pulmonary dysfunction were associated with changes in PASP and to define the relationship of changes in PASP with dyspnea development.

RESULTS

The mean age was 75 ± 5 years at visit 5 and 81 ± 5 years at visit 7, 24% of subjects were Black adults, and 68% were women. Over the 6.5 years, PASP increased by 5 ± 8 mm Hg, from 28 ± 5 to 33 ± 8 mm Hg. PASP increased more in older participants. Predictors of greater increases in PASP included worse left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function, pulmonary function, and renal function. Increases in PASP were associated with concomitant increases in measures of LV filling pressure, including E/e' ratio and left atrial volume index. Each 5 mm Hg increase was associated with 16% higher odds of developing dyspnea (OR: 1.16; 95% CI: 1.07-1.27; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Pulmonary pressure increased over 6.5 years in late life, was associated with concomitant increases in LV filling pressure, and predicted the development of dyspnea. Interventions targeting LV diastolic function may be effective at mitigating age-related increases in PASP.

MMP-2 Associates With Incident Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

MMP (matrix metalloproteinase)-2 participates in extracellular matrix regulation and may be involved in heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), and coronary heart disease.

METHODS

Among the 4693 ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) participants (mean age, 75±5 years; 42% women) without prevalent HF, multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate associations of plasma MMP-2 levels with incident HF, HF with preserved ejection fraction (≥50%), HF with reduced ejection fraction (<50%), AF, and coronary heart disease. Mediation of the association between MMP-2 and HF was assessed by censoring participants who developed AF or coronary heart disease before HF. Multivariable linear regression models were used to assess associations of MMP-2 with measures of left ventricular and left atrial structure and function.

RESULTS

Compared with the 3 lower quartiles, the highest MMP-2 quartile associated with greater risk of incident HF overall (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.21-1.81]), incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (1.44 [95% CI, 1.07-1.94]), incident heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (1.48 [95% CI, 1.08-2.02]), and incident AF (1.44 [95% CI, 1.18-1.77]) but not incident coronary heart disease (0.97 [95% CI, 0.71-1.34]). Censoring AF attenuated the MMP-2 association with HF with preserved ejection fraction. Higher plasma MMP-2 levels were associated with larger left ventricular end-diastolic volume index, greater left ventricular mass index, higher E/e' ratio, larger left atrial volume index, and worse left atrial reservoir and contractile strains (all P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher plasma MMP-2 levels associate with diastolic dysfunction, left atrial dysfunction, and a higher risk of incident HF and AF. AF is a mediator of MMP-2-associated HF with preserved ejection fraction risk.

Association between cognitive impairment and risk of atrial fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is reportedly a risk factor for cognitive impairment. Interestingly, recent studies have emphasized that impaired cognition is probably an initiating factor of cardiovascular disease. Thus, we aimed to explore the association between impaired cognition and the risk of AF, and clarify the potential mechanisms.

METHODS

Participants of visit 2 (1991-1993) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study were included. Global cognition z-scores and factor scores were calculated using the word fluency, delayed word recall, and digit symbol substitution tests. AF incidents were diagnosed by electrocardiography and inpatient records. The association of cognitive decline with AF risk and left atrial volume index (LAVI) was explored using Cox proportional hazards and linear regression models, respectively.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up of 18.2 ± 6.2 years, 2056/11,675 (17.6%) participants developed AF. Participants in the lowest quartile of global cognition z- and factor scores had a higher risk of AF (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.271, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.094-1.477, p = 0.002; HR: 1.305, 95% CI: 1.110-1.535, p = 0.001, respectively) than those in the highest quartile. Global cognition z- and factor scores were negatively correlated with the LAVI (B: -0.411, 95% CI: -0.749 to -0.074, p = 0.017; B: -0.425, 95% CI: -0.833 to -0.017, p = 0.041, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive decline is significantly associated with a higher risk of AF, with atrial remodeling being a potential mechanism. Our results extend previous findings of the brain-heart axis and indicate the effects of cognitive injury on cardiac function and structure.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; unique identifier: NCT00005131.

Visceral adiposity index and the risk of heart failure, late-life cardiac structure, and function in ARIC study

BACKGROUND

It is well established that obesity is associated with the risk of heart failure (HF). However, the data about relationship between visceral fat and the risk of HF are limited.

AIMS

We aim to evaluate the association between visceral obesity assessed by visceral adiposity index (VAI) and incident HF and left ventricular (LV) structure and function in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

METHODS

We included 12 161 participants (aged 54.1 ± 5.8 years) free of history of HF and coronary heart disease at baseline (1987-89) in ARIC study. We used multivariable Cox hazard regression models to assess the association between the VAI and incident HF. We further explored the effects of the VAI on LV geometry and function among 4817 participants with echocardiographic data using multivariable linear regression analysis and multinomial logistic regression.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 22.5 years, a total of 1904 (15.7%) participants developed HF. After adjustment for traditional HF risk factors, 1 unit increase in the baseline VAI was associated with an 8% higher risk of incident HF [hazard ratio (HR): 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-1.11]. Results were similar when participants were categorized by VAI tertiles. Compared with participants in the lowest tertile of VAI, those in the second tertile and third tertile had a greater risk of incident HF [HR (95% CI): 1.19 (1.05-1.34) and 1.42 (1.26-1.61), respectively]. For the analyses of the HF subtypes, the higher VAI was only associated with the risk of HF with preserved ejection fraction, not with HF with reduced ejection fraction. In addition, the greater VAI was associated with worse LV diastolic function and abnormal LV geometry including concentric remodelling, concentric hypertrophy, and eccentric hypertrophy.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that higher VAI was independently associated with the increased risk of incident HF and abnormal LV geometry and LV diastolic dysfunction.

Longitudinal Changes in Left Ventricular Diastolic Function in Late Life: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

There is limited data regarding longitudinal changes of diastolic function in the very old, who are at the highest risk for heart failure (HF).

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to quantify intraindividual longitudinal changes of diastolic function over 6 years in late life.

METHODS

The authors studied 2,524 older adult participants in the prospective community-based ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study who underwent protocol-based echocardiography at study visits 5 (2011-2013) and 7 (2018-2019). The primary diastolic measures were tissue Doppler e', E/e' ratio, and left atrial volume index (LAVI).

RESULTS

Mean age was 74 ± 4 years at visit 5 and 80 ± 4 at visit 7, 59% were women, and 24% were Black. At visit 5, mean e'septal was 5.8 ± 1.4 cm/s, E/e'septal 11.7 ± 3.5, and LAVI 24.3 ± 6.7 mL/m2. Over a mean of 6.6 ± 0.8 years, e'septal decreased by 0.6 ± 1.4 cm/s, E/e'septal increased by 3.1 ± 4.4, and LAVI increased by 2.3 ± 6.4 mL/m2. The proportion with 2 or more abnormal diastolic measures increased from 17% to 42% (P < 0.001). Compared with participants free of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors or diseases at visit 5 (n = 234), those with prevalent CV risk factors or diseases but without prevalent or incident HF (n = 2,150) demonstrated greater increases in E/e'septal and LAVI. Increases of E/e'septal and LAVI were both associated with the development of dyspnea between visits in analyses adjusted for CV risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Diastolic function generally deteriorates over 6.6 years in late life, particularly among persons with CV risk factors, and is associated with development of dyspnea. Further studies are necessary to determine if risk factor prevention or control will mitigate these changes.

Bidirectional Association Between Frailty and Cardiac Structure and Function: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Background Frailty and heart failure frequently coexist in late life. Limited data exist regarding the longitudinal associations of frailty and subclinical cardiac dysfunction. We aim to quantify the association of frailty with longitudinal changes in cardiac function and of cardiac function with progression in frailty status in older adults. Methods and Results Participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort underwent frailty assessments at Visit 5 (V5; 2011-2013), V6 (2016-2017), and V7 (2018-2019), and echocardiographic assessments at V5 and V7. We assessed the association between frailty status at V5 and changes in frailty status from V5 to V7 and changes in cardiac function over 6 years. We then evaluated the association of cardiac function measured at Visit 5 with progression in frailty status over 4 years. Multivariable regression models adjusted for demographics and comorbidities. Among 2574 participants free of heart failure at V5 and V7 (age 74±4 years at V5 and 81±4 years at V7), 3% (n=83) were frail. Frailty at V5 was associated with greater left atrial volume index and E/e' ratio at V5 and 7. Participants who transitioned from robust at V5 to frail at V7 demonstrated greater increases in left ventricular mass index, left atrial volume index, and E/e' over the same period. Among 1648 robust participants at Visit 5, greater left ventricular mass index and mean wall thickness, lower tissue Doppler imaging e', and higher E/e' ratio at Visit 5 were associated with progression in frailty status. Conclusions Among robust, older adults free of heart failure, progression in frailty and subclinical left ventricular remodeling and diastolic dysfunction are interrelated.

Association of Atrial Fibrillation With Stroke and Dementia Accounting for Left Atrial Function and Size

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with higher risks of ischemic stroke (IS) and dementia. Whether alterations in left atrial (LA) function or size-atrial myopathy-confound these associations remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to examine the association of prevalent and incident AF with ischemic stroke and dementia in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study, adjusting for LA function and size.

METHODS

Participants at visit 5 (2011-2013) with echocardiographic LA function (reservoir, conduit, contractile strain, and emptying fraction) and size (maximal, minimal volume index) data, and without prevalent stroke or dementia were followed through 2019. For analysis, we used time-varying Cox regression.

RESULTS

Among 5,458 participants (1,193 with AF, mean age of 76 years) in the stroke analysis and 5,461 participants (1,205 with AF, mean age of 75 years) in the dementia analysis, 209 participants developed ischemic stroke, and 773 developed dementia over 7.1 years (median). In a demographic and risk factor-adjusted model, AF was significantly associated with ischemic stroke (HR, 1.63; 95% CI: 1.11-2.37) and dementia (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.13-1.70). After additionally adjusting for LA reservoir strain, these associations were attenuated and no longer statistically significant (stroke [HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 0.88-2.00], dementia [HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 0.92-1.43]). Associations with ischemic stroke and dementia were also attenuated and not statistically significant after adjustment for LA contractile strain, emptying fraction, and minimal volume index.

CONCLUSIONS

AF-ischemic stroke and AF-dementia associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for measures of atrial myopathy. This proof-of-concept analysis does not support AF as an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke and dementia.

Risk score for coronary heart disease (CHD-RISK) and hemodynamically significant aortic valve stenosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Multiple studies have investigated the association between coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors and aortic valve stenosis (AS). However, limited studies have explored the relationship between CHD risk scores and AS. Whether incident risk scores for coronary heart disease (CHD-RISK) may be applied to predict AS remains unclear. We aim to investigate the association between AS and CHD-RISK.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included 4791 participants (age 54.6 ± 5.0 yrs, 58.7% women, 81% were of European origin), and CHD-RISK was estimated in 1990-1992. The participants were then followed-up until December 31, 2013. The primary outcome was hemodynamic significant AS identified by Doppler echocardiography in 2011-2013. We used multivariate-logistic regression models to assess the associations between CHD-RISK and AS. During follow-up, 963 (20.1%) cases of AS were identified. Per-standard deviation (6%) increase in CHD-RISK was associated with OR 95% Cl [1.194, 95% CI 1.068 to 1.335, p = 0.002] risk of AS in the fully adjusted models. Results were similar when stratified by quintiles of CHD-RISK, using the lowest quintiles <0.94% of CHD-RISK as the reference, 0.94%-2.26%, 2.26%-4.83%, 4.83%-9.21%, and >9.21% were; 1.33 (95% CI, 0.99-1.78, p = 0.055), 1.64 (95% CI, 1.17-2.29, p = 0.004), 2.23 (95% CI, 1.49-3.32, p = <0.001), 2.66 (95% CI, 1.65-4.31, p = <0.001) respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

CHD-RISK was associated with AS. CHD-RISK and AS were high in females, age ≥55 yrs, current smokers, and BMI ≥ 30 kg/m². This investigation suggests CHD-RISK may be applied to forecast AS risk similar to CHD. Future studies are required to detect, manage, and establish better treatment strategies in these high-risk subgroups.

Chronic Kidney Disease, Heart Failure, and Adverse Cardiac Remodeling in Older Adults: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

The associations of kidney dysfunction and damage with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), as well as adverse cardiac remodeling, in late-life remain incompletely understood.

OBJECTIVES

The authors sought to define the associations between kidney dysfunction and damage and incident HFrEF and HFpEF and cardiac structure and function in late-life.

METHODS

This study included 5,170 adults initially free of a heart failure (HF) diagnosis who had estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) measured at visit 5 (2011-2013) of the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the associations of eGFR and UACR with incident HF, HFrEF, and HFpEF through 2019. Multivariable linear regression models were used to investigate the associations of eGFR and UACR at visit 5 with changes in cardiac structure and function between visits 5 and 7 in 2,313 participants with available echocardiograms.

RESULTS

The mean age of participants was 76 ± 5 years, and 2,225 (43%) were men. The mean eGFR and median UACR were 66 ± 18 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 11 mg/g (25th, 75th percentile: 6, 22 mg/g), respectively. In fully adjusted models, both lower eGFR and higher UACR were associated with greater risk of any HF, HFrEF, and HFpEF. Lower eGFR was associated with larger increases in left ventricular end-diastolic volume index and worsening of diastolic measures. UACR did not associate with changes in cardiac structure or function.

CONCLUSIONS

Mild to moderate kidney dysfunction and damage associate with incident HF and adverse cardiac remodeling in late-life.

Effect of patisiran on stroke volume in hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis: insights from pressure-volume analysis of the APOLLO study

AIMS

Transthyretin-mediated (ATTR) amyloidosis is caused by deposition of transthyretin protein fibrils in the heart, nerves, and other organs. Patisiran, an RNA interference therapeutic that inhibits hepatic synthesis of transthyretin, was approved for the treatment of hereditary ATTR amyloidosis with polyneuropathy based on the phase 3 APOLLO study. We use left ventricular (LV) stroke volume (SV) to quantify LV function overtime and non-invasive pressure-volume techniques to delineate the effects of patisiran on LV mechanics in the pre-specified cardiac subpopulation of the APOLLO study.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Left ventricular SV was assessed by transthoracic echocardiography at baseline, and after 9 and 18 months of therapy. To determine the mechanisms underlying changes in LV SV, non-invasive pressure-volume parameters, including the end-systolic and end-diastolic pressure-volume relationship, were derived using single beat techniques. At baseline, the mean SV was 51 ± 14 ml. At 9 months, the least-squares mean change in SV was -0.3 ± 1.2 ml for patisiran and -5.4 ± 1.9 ml for placebo (p = 0.021). At 18 months, the least-squares mean change in SV was -1.7 ± 1.3 ml for patisiran and - 8.1 ± 2.3 ml for placebo (p = 0.016). Decline in LV SV was driven by diminished LV capacitance in placebo relative to patisiran.

CONCLUSIONS

Patisiran may delay progression of LV chamber dysfunction starting at 9 months of therapy. These data elucidate the mechanisms by which transthyretin-reducing therapies modulate progression of cardiac disease and need to be confirmed in ongoing phase 3 trials.

Reclassification of Pre-Heart Failure Stages Using Cardiac Biomarkers: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

The recent heart failure (HF) guideline recommends the inclusion of cardiac biomarkers in defining Stage B HF.

OBJECTIVES

The authors evaluated the impact of incorporating cardiac biomarkers to reclassify HF in 5,324 participants (mean age: 75.8 years) without prevalent HF enrolled in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study and assessed prognosis of Stage B using cardiac biomarkers.

METHODS

Using N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (<125 pg/mL or ≥125 pg/mL), high-sensitivity troponin T (<14 ng/L or ≥14 ng/L), and abnormal cardiac structure/function by echocardiography, individuals were classified as Stage Anew and Stage Bnew HF, respectively. Stage Bnew was further evaluated as elevated biomarker only, abnormal echocardiogram only, and abnormalities in both (echo + biomarker). The authors assessed risk for incident HF and all-cause death using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Overall, 4,326 (81.3%) individuals were classified as Stage Bnew with 1,123 (21.1%) meeting criteria for elevated biomarkers only. Compared with Stage Anew, Stage Bnew was associated with increased risk for incident HF (HR: 3.70 [95% CI: 2.58-5.30]) and death (HR: 1.94 [95% CI: 1.53-2.46]). Stage Bbiomarkers only and Stage Becho only were associated with increased HF risk, whereas Stage Bbiomarkers only was also associated with increased death. Stage Becho+biomarker had the highest risk for HF (HR: 6.34 [95% CI: 4.37-9.19]) and death (HR: 2.53 [95% CI: 1.98-3.23]).

CONCLUSIONS

Incorporating biomarkers based on the new HF guideline reclassified approximately 1 in 5 older adults without prevalent HF to Stage B. The routine measurement of biomarkers can help to identify individuals at higher HF risk who may benefit most from HF prevention efforts.

Stages of Valvular Heart Disease Among Older Adults in the Community: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

Limited data exist on American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association valvular heart disease (VHD) stage prevalence, progression, and association with incident cardiovascular diseases in late life.

METHODS

Participants in the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), a prospective community-based cohort study, underwent protocol echocardiography at ARIC visits 5 (2011-2013) and 7 (2018-2019), and their aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, and mitral regurgitation stage were defined according to American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines. The overall VHD stage prevalence at visit 5 was measured. The associations between VHD stages and incident adjudicated death, heart failure, coronary heart disease, stroke, and atrial fibrillation were assessed with Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age, sex, race, hypertension, diabetes, prior myocardial infarction, heart failure, body mass index, study center, systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and low-density lipoprotein at visit 5. Longitudinal changes in VHD stage prevalence over ≈6 years were estimated with inverse probability of attrition weights to account for participant attrition.

RESULTS

Among 6118 ARIC participants, the mean±SD age was 76±5 years, 42% were male, and 22% reported Black race. Stage A VHD was present in 39%, stage B in 17%, and stage C/D in 1.1%;, 0.7% had previously undergone valve replacement or repair. A graded association was observed between stage A, B, and C/D VHD and risk of all-cause mortality, incident heart failure, incident atrial fibrillation, and incident coronary heart disease, but not incident stroke. Similar findings were observed for stages of each valvular lesion individually. During the 6.6 years (interquartile range, 6.1-7.0 years) between visits 5 and 7 (mean age, 81±4 years), the prevalence of freedom from VHD stage decreased from 43% to 24%, whereas the prevalence of stage C/D VHD increased from 1% to 7%.

CONCLUSIONS

Subclinical VHD is common in older adults, with 39% at risk (stage A) and 17% with progressive VHD (stage B), and is independently associated with risk of incident cardiovascular events. VHD stages progress over 6 years in late life, with a several-fold increase in prevalence of severe VHD (stage C/D), highlighting the public health importance of interventions to mitigate VHD progression.

Left Atrial Mechanical Dysfunction and the Risk for Ischemic Stroke in People Without Prevalent Atrial Fibrillation or Stroke : A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Atrial myopathy-characterized by changes in left atrial function and size-may precede and promote atrial fibrillation (AF) and cardiac thromboembolism. In people without prior AF or stroke, whether analysis of left atrial function and size can improve ischemic stroke prediction is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of echocardiographic left atrial function (reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain) and left atrial size (left atrial volume index) with ischemic stroke and determine whether these measures can improve the stroke prediction achieved by CHA2DS2-VASc score variables.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study.

PARTICIPANTS

4917 ARIC participants without prevalent stroke or AF.

MEASUREMENTS

Ischemic stroke events (2011 to 2019) were adjudicated by physicians. Left atrial strain was measured using speckle-tracking echocardiography.

RESULTS

Over 5 years, the cumulative incidences of ischemic stroke in the lowest quintiles of left atrial reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain were 2.99% (95% CI, 1.89% to 4.09%), 3.18% (CI, 2.14% to 4.22%), and 2.15% (CI, 1.09% to 3.21%), respectively, and that of severe left atrial enlargement was 1.99% (CI, 0.23% to 3.75%). On the basis of the Akaike information criterion, left atrial reservoir strain plus CHA2DS2-VASc variables was the best predictive model. With the addition of left atrial reservoir strain to CHA2DS2-VASc variables, 11.6% of the 112 participants with stroke after 5 years were reclassified to higher risk categories and 1.8% to lower risk categories. Among the 4805 participants who did not develop stroke, 12.2% were reclassified to lower and 12.7% to higher risk categories. Decision curve analysis showed a predicted net benefit of 1.34 per 1000 people at a 5-year risk threshold of 5%.

LIMITATION

Underascertainment of subclinical AF.

CONCLUSION

In people without prior AF or stroke, when added to CHA2DS2-VASc variables, left atrial reservoir strain improves stroke prediction and yields a predicted net benefit, as shown by decision curve analysis.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health.

Circulating Levels of Ferritin, RDW, PTLs as Predictive Biomarkers of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Risk after Cardiac Surgery in Extracorporeal Circulation

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common arrhythmia after cardiac surgery in conventional extracorporeal circulation (CECC), with an incidence of 15-50%. The POAF pathophysiology is not known, and no blood biomarkers exist. However, an association between increased ferritin levels and increased AF risk, has been demonstrated. Based on such evidence, here, we evaluated the effectiveness of ferritin and other haematological parameters as POAF risk biomarkers in patients subjected to cardiac surgery. We enrolled 105 patients (mean age = 70.1 ± 7.1 years; 70 men and 35 females) with diverse heart pathologies and who were subjected to cardiothoracic surgery. Their blood samples were collected and used to determine hematological parameters. Electrocardiographic and echocardiographic parameters were also evaluated. The data obtained demonstrated significantly higher levels of serum ferritin, red cell distribution width (RDW), and platelets (PLTs) in POAF patients. However, the serum ferritin resulted to be the independent factor associated with the onset POAF risk. Thus, we detected the ferritin cut-off value, which, when ≥148.5 ng/mL, identifies the subjects at the highest POAF risk, and with abnormal ECG atrial parameters, such as PW indices, and altered structural heart disease variables. Serum ferritin, RDW, and PTLs represent predictive biomarkers of POAF after cardiothoracic surgery in CECC; particularly, serum ferritin combined with anormal PW indices and structural heart disease variables can represent an optimal tool for predicting not only POAF, but also the eventual stroke onset.

Impact of Sacubitril/Valsartan Compared With Ramipril on Cardiac Structure and Function After Acute Myocardial Infarction: The PARADISE-MI Echocardiographic Substudy

BACKGROUND

Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors attenuate left ventricular (LV) enlargement after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Preclinical data suggest similar benefits with combined angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibition, but human data are conflicting. The PARADISE-MI Echo Study (Prospective ARNI Versus ACE Inhibitor Trial to Determine Superiority in Reducing Heart Failure Events After Myocardial Infarction) tested the effect of sacubitril/valsartan compared with ramipril on LV function and adverse remodeling after high risk-AMI.

METHODS

In a prespecified substudy, 544 PARADISE-MI participants were enrolled in the Echo Study to undergo protocol echocardiography at randomization and after 8 months. Patients were randomized within 0.5 to 7 days of presentation with their index AMI to receive a target dose of sacubitril/valsartan 200 mg or ramipril 5 mg twice daily. Echocardiographic measures were performed at a core laboratory by investigators blinded to treatment assignment. The effect of treatment on change in echo measures was assessed with ANCOVA with adjustment for baseline value and enrollment region. The primary end points were change in LV ejection fraction (LVEF) and left atrial volume (LAV), and prespecified secondary end points included changes in LV end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes.

RESULTS

Mean age was 64±12 years; 26% were women; mean LVEF was 42±12%; and LAV was 49±17 mL. Of 544 enrolled patients, 457 (84%) had a follow-up echo at 8 months (228 taking sacubitril/valsartan, 229 taking ramipril). There was no significant difference in change in LVEF (P=0.79) or LAV (P =0.62) by treatment group. Patients randomized to sacubitril/valsartan demonstrated less increase in LV end-diastolic volume (P=0.025) and greater decline in LV mass index (P=0.037), increase in tissue Doppler e'lat (P=0.005), decrease in E/e'lat (P=0.045), and decrease in tricuspid regurgitation peak velocity (P=0.024) than patients randomized to ramipril. These differences remained significant after adjustment for differences in baseline characteristics. Baseline LVEF, LV end-diastolic volume, LV end-systolic volume, LV mass index, LAV, and Doppler-based diastolic indices were associated with risk of cardiovascular death or incident heart failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with sacubitril/valsartan compared with ramipril after AMI did not result in changes in LVEF or LAV at 8 months. Patients randomized to sacubitril/valsartan had less LV enlargement and greater improvement in filling pressure. Measures of LV size, systolic function, and diastolic properties were predictive of cardiovascular death and incident heart failure after AMI in this contemporary, well-treated cohort.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifier: NCT02924727.

Association of Right Ventricular Afterload With Atrial Fibrillation Risk in Older Adults: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is widely perceived to originate from the left atrium (LA). Whether increases in right ventricular (RV) afterload in older adults play an etiological role in AF genesis independent of LA and left ventricular (LV) remodeling is unknown.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is higher RV afterload associated with greater AF risk independent of LA and LV remodeling?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

In this observational prospective study, we included 2,246 community-dwelling older adults (mean age, 75 years) without known cardiovascular disease, with LV ejection fraction > 50%, LA volume index < 34 mL/m2, and E/e' ratio < 14 and a measurable functional tricuspid regurgitation jet velocity. From 2D-echocardiograms, we estimated pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) and pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR). We ascertained incident AF (through 2018) from hospital discharge codes and death certificates. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) by Cox regression.

RESULTS

During follow-up (median, 6.3 years; interquartile interval, 5.5-6.9 years), 215 participants developed AF. AF risk was significantly higher in the third (vs first) tertile of PASP (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.08-2.54) and PVR (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.00-2.08) independent of LA and LV structure and function, heart rate, BMI, prevalent sleep apnea, systemic BP, antihypertensive medications, and lung, kidney, and thyroid function. These associations persisted after further exclusion of participants with tricuspid regurgitation jet velocity > 2.8 m/s and lateral and septal mitral annular velocity above age- and sex-specific reference limits.

INTERPRETATION

In older adults, higher RV afterload is associated with greater AF risk independent of LA and LV remodeling. Future research should focus on confirming this novel association and elucidate underlying mechanisms.

Coronary Artery Disease and Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: The ARIC Study

Background Whether coronary artery disease (CAD) is a significant risk factor for heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is unclear. Methods and Results Among 9902 participants in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, we assessed the association of incident CAD with subsequent incident HFpEF (left ventricular ejection fraction [≥50%]) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; left ventricular ejection fraction <50%) using survival models with time-updated variables. We also assessed the extent to which echocardiographic correlates of prevalent CAD account for the relationship between CAD and incident HFpEF. Over 13-year follow-up, incident CAD developed in 892 participants and 178 subsequently developed HF (86 HFrEF, 71 HFpEF). Incident HFrEF and HFpEF risk were both greatest early after the CAD event. At >1 year post-CAD event, adjusted incidence of HFrEF and HFpEF were similar (7.2 [95% CI, 5.2-10.0] and 6.7 [4.8-9.2] per 1000 person-years, respectively) and CAD remained predictive of both (HFrEF: hazard ratio, 2.76 [95% CI, 1.99-3.84]; HFpEF: 1.85 [1.35-2.54]) after adjusting for demographics and common comorbidities. Among 4779 HF-free participants at Visit 5 (2011-2013), the 490 with prevalent CAD had lower left ventricular ejection fraction and higher left ventricular mass index, E/e', and left atrial volume index (all P<0.01). The association of prevalent CAD with incident HFpEF post-Visit 5 was not significant after adjusting for echocardiographic measures, with the greatest attenuation observed for left ventricular diastolic function. Conclusions CAD is a significant risk factor for incident HFpEF after adjustment for demographics and common comorbidities. This relationship is partially accounted for by echocardiographic alterations, particularly left ventricular diastolic function.

Cardiac Structure and Function Across the Spectrum of Aldosteronism: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

Aldosterone production and mineralocorticoid receptor activation are implicated in myocardial fibrosis and cardiovascular events.

METHODS

Cardiac structure and function were assessed in 4547 participants without prevalent heart failure (HF) in the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), with echocardiography, aldosterone, and plasma renin activity measurement (2011-2013). Subjects were characterized by plasma renin activity as suppressed (≤0.5 ng/mL per hour) or unsuppressed (>0.5 ng/mL per hour). Cross-sectional relationships with cardiac structure and function, and longitudinal relationships with outcomes (HF hospitalization; HF and all-cause death; HF, death, myocardial infarction, and stroke; and incident atrial fibrillation) were assessed. Models were adjusted for demographic and anthropometric characteristics and additively, for blood pressure and antihypertensives.

RESULTS

Evidence of primary aldosteronism physiology was prevalent (11.6% with positive screen) and associated with echocardiographic parameters. Renin suppression was associated with greater left ventricular mass, left ventricular volumes, and left atrial volume index, and a lower E/A ratio (adjusted P<0.001 for all). Higher aldosterone was associated with greater left ventricular mass and lower global longitudinal strain and lateral E'. The highest tertile of aldosterone was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.37 (95% CI, 1.06-1.77; 5.5-year follow-up) for incident atrial fibrillation relative to the lowest. Renin suppression was associated with HF (hazard ratio, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.05-1.72]; 7.3-year follow-up), although these relationships did not remain statistically significant after additional adjustment for hypertension.

CONCLUSIONS

Renin suppression and aldosterone excess, consistent with primary aldosteronism pathophysiology, were associated with cardiac structural and functional alterations and may represent an early target for mitigation of fibrosis with mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists.

Triglyceride-glucose index in the development of heart failure and left ventricular dysfunction: analysis of the ARIC study

AIMS

We aimed to investigate whether the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, an easy-calculated and reliable surrogate of insulin resistance, was associated with the development of heart failure (HF) and left ventricular (LV) dysfunction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 12 374 participants (mean age: 54.1 ± 5.7 years, male: 44.7%) free of history of HF and coronary heart disease at baseline from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study were included. The TyG index was calculated as ln[fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The long-term TyG index was calculated as the updated cumulative average TyG index using all available TyG index from baseline to the events of HF or the end of follow-up. We evaluated the associations of both the baseline and the long-term TyG index with incident HF using Cox regression analysis. We also analysed the effect of the TyG index on LV structure and function among 4889 participants with echocardiographic data using multivariable linear regression analysis. There were 1958 incident HF cases over a median follow-up of 22.5 years. After adjusting for potential confounders, 1-SD (0.60) increase in the baseline TyG index was associated with a 15% higher risk of HF development [hazard ratio (HR): 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10-1.21]. Compared with participants in the lowest quartile of the baseline TyG index, those in the highest quartile had a greater risk of incident HF [HR (95% CI): 1.25 (1.08-1.45)]. In terms of LV structure and function, a greater baseline TyG index was associated with adverse LV remodelling and LV dysfunction. Similar results were found for the long-term TyG index.

CONCLUSION

In a community-based cohort, we found that a greater TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident HF and impaired LV structure and function.

Association of Pulmonary Function With Late-Life Cardiac Function and Heart Failure Risk: The ARIC Study

Background Pulmonary and cardiac functions decline with age, but the associations of pulmonary dysfunction with cardiac function and heart failure (HF) risk in late life is not known. We aimed to determine the associations of percent predicted forced vital capacity (ppFVC) and the ratio of forced expired volume in 1 second (FEV₁) to forced vital capacity (FVC; FEV₁/FVC) with cardiac function and incident HF with preserved or reduced ejection fraction in late life. Methods and Results Among 3854 HF-free participants in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) cohort study who underwent echocardiography and spirometry at the fifth study visit (2011-2013), associations of FEV₁/FVC and ppFVC with echocardiographic measures, cardiac biomarkers, and risk of HF, HF with preserved ejection fraction, and HF with reduced ejection fraction were assessed. Multivariable linear and Cox regression models adjusted for demographics, body mass index, coronary disease, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, and diabetes. Mean age was 75±5 years, 40% were men, 19% were Black, and 61% were ever smokers. Mean FEV₁/FVC was 72±8%, and ppFVC was 98±17%. In adjusted analyses, lower FEV₁/FVC and ppFVC were associated with higher NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; both P<0.001) and pulmonary artery pressure (P<0.004). Lower ppFVC was also associated with higher left ventricular mass, left ventricular filling pressure, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (all P<0.01). Lower FEV₁/FVC was associated with a trend toward higher risk of incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (hazard ratio [HR] per 10-point decrease, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.98-1.74; P=0.07) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HR per 10-point decrease, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.91-1.70; P=0.18), but these associations did not reach statistical significance. Lower ppFVC was associated with incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HR per 10-unit decrease, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.04-1.41; P=0.013) but not with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HR per 10-unit decrease, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.76-1.07; P=0.24). Conclusions Subclinical reductions in FEV₁/FVC and ppFVC differentially associate with cardiac function and HF risk in late life.

Association of Pathogenic DNA Variants Predisposing to Cardiomyopathy With Cardiovascular Disease Outcomes and All-Cause Mortality

Importance

Pathogenic variants associated with inherited cardiomyopathy are recognized as important and clinically actionable when identified, leading some clinicians to recommend population-wide genomic screening.

Objective

To determine the prevalence and clinical importance of pathogenic variants associated with inherited cardiomyopathy within the context of contemporary clinical care.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a genetic association study of participants in Atherosclerosis in Risk Communities (ARIC), recruited from 1987 to 1989, with median follow-up of 27 years, and the UK Biobank, recruited from 2006 to 2010, with median follow-up of 10 years. ARIC participants were recruited from 4 sites across the US. UK Biobank participants were recruited from 22 sites across the UK. Participants in the US were of African and European ancestry; those in the UK were of African, East Asian, South Asian, and European ancestry. Statistical analyses were performed between August 1, 2021, and February 9, 2022.

Exposures

Rare genetic variants predisposing to inherited cardiomyopathy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Pathogenicity of observed DNA sequence variants in sequenced exomes of 13 genes (ACTC1, FLNC, GLA, LMNA, MYBPC3, MYH7, MYL2, MYL3, PRKAG2, TNNI3, TNNT2, TPM1, and TTN) associated with inherited cardiomyopathies were classified by a blinded clinical geneticist per American College of Medical Genetics recommendations. Incidence of all-cause mortality, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation were determined. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, echocardiography, and electrocardiogram measures were assessed in a subset of participants.

Results

A total of 9667 ARIC participants (mean [SD] age, 54.0 [5.7] years; 4232 women [43.8%]; 2658 African [27.5%] and 7009 European [72.5%] ancestry) and 49 744 UK Biobank participants (mean [SD] age, 57.1 [8.0] years; 27 142 women [54.5%]; 1006 African [2.0%], 173 East Asian [0.3%], 939 South Asian [1.9%], and 46 449 European [93.4%] European ancestry) were included in the study. Of those, 59 participants (0.61%) in ARIC and 364 participants (0.73%) in UK Biobank harbored an actionable pathogenic or likely pathogenic variant associated with dilated or hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Carriers of these variants were not reliably identifiable by imaging. However, the presence of these variants was associated with increased risk of heart failure (hazard ratio [HR], 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1-2.8), atrial fibrillation (HR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.9-4.5), and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.2) in ARIC. Similar risk patterns were observed in the UK Biobank.

Conclusions and Relevance

Results of this genetic association study suggest that approximately 0.7% of study participants harbored a pathogenic variant associated with inherited cardiomyopathy. These variant carriers would be challenging to identify within clinical practice without genetic testing but are at increased risk for cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality.

Apolipoprotein E Polymorphism, Cardiac Remodeling, and Heart Failure in the ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

β-Amyloid has recently been discovered in the myocardium of patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD). Whether genetic variation in apolipoprotein E (APOE) ɛ4, a common variant associated with Alzheimer's disease, is associated with incident heart failure (HF), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and cardiac structure and function is unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We studied 15,064 White and Black participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities, relating genotype status at visit 1 (1987-1989) to incident HF hospitalization using Cox regression. At visits 2, 4, and 5, we assessed NT-proBNP levels by genotype. At visits 3 and 5, we related Aβ peptides to incident HF. At visit 5 (2011-2013, n = 6251), we assessed the relationship of genotype with prevalent HF and echocardiographic parameters. The mean participant age was 54.7 ± 5.8 years, 45% were men, and 73% were White. At visit 5, there was no difference in prevalent HF by genotype. The APOE ε4 carriers did not have increased risk for HF hospitalization. The APOE ε4 genotype was not associated with cardiac structure and function or NT-proBNP levels. The Aβ peptides were not associated with incident HF after multivariable adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

A genetic predisposition to Alzheimer's disease through APOE ε4 is not associated with an increased prevalence of HF, HF hospitalization, myocardial remodeling, or biochemical evidence of HF.

Diabetes and Progression of Heart Failure: The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

The influence of diabetes on progression from preclinical heart failure (HF) stages to overt HF is poorly understood.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to characterize the influence of diabetes on the progression from preclinical HF stages (A or B based on the 2021 Universal Definition) to overt HF.

METHODS

We included 4,774 adults with preclinical HF (stage A [n = 1,551] or B [n = 3,223]) who attended the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study Visit 5 (2011-2013). Within each stage (A or B), we assessed the associations of diabetes and glycemic control (hemoglobin A1C [HbA1C] <7% vs ≥7%) with progression to HF, and of cross-categories of HF stages (A vs B), diabetes, and glycemic control with incident HF.

RESULTS

Among the participants (mean age 75.4 years, 58% women, 20% Black), there were 470 HF events during 8.6 years of follow-up. Stage B participants with HbA1C ≥7% experienced clinical HF at a younger age than those with controlled diabetes or without diabetes (mean age 80 years vs 83 years vs 82 years; P < 0.001). HbA1C ≥7% was more strongly associated with HF in stage B (HR: 1.83; 95% CI: 1.33-2.51) compared with stage A (HR: 1.52; 95% CI: 0.53-4.38). In cross-categories of preclinical HF stage and HbA1C, participants with stage B and HbA1C ≥7% had increased risk of HF progression compared with stage A without diabetes (HR: 7.56; 95% CI: 4.68-12.20).

CONCLUSIONS

Among older adults with preclinical HF stages, uncontrolled diabetes was associated with substantial risk of HF progression. Our results suggest that targeting diabetes early in the HF process is critical.

Midlife determinants of healthy cardiovascular aging: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Risk factor cutoffs are derived from associations with clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), but how these risk factors associate with preserved cardiovascular health into old age is not well studied. We investigated midlife determinants of healthy versus nonhealthy cardiovascular aging in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

METHODS

ARIC participants were categorized by cardiovascular status in older age (mean age 75.8 ± 5.3 years, range 66-90): healthy, subclinical disease (assessed by biomarkers and left ventricular function), clinical CVD (coronary heart disease, stroke, or heart failure), or prior death. We examined associations of midlife (mean age 52.1 ± 5.1 years) systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP, DBP), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), triglycerides, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and body mass index (BMI) with cardiovascular status in older age using multinomial logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Compared with healthy status, odds for subclinical disease (odds ratio [OR] 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-1.55) and clinical CVD (OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.53-2.29) at older age increased starting with midlife SBP 120-129 mmHg, whereas odds for death increased starting with SBP 110-119 mmHg (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.10-1.52); findings were similar for DBP. Odds for subclinical disease increased for HbA1c ≥ 6.5% and BMI starting at 30-<35 kg/m2; odds for clinical CVD or death increased starting at HbA1c 5.5-5.9%, LDL-C >160 mg/dL, and BMI 30-<35 kg/m2.

CONCLUSIONS

More-stringent levels of modifiable risk factors in midlife beyond current clinical practice and guidelines were associated with preserved cardiovascular health in older age.

Sex and Race Differences in N-Terminal Pro-B-type Natriuretic Peptide Concentration and Absolute Risk of Heart Failure in the Community

Importance

Sex- and race-based differences in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentrations are poorly understood. Clinical decisions are often informed by absolute-as opposed to relative-risk, but absolute risk of incident heart failure (HF) associated with NT-proBNP concentration across these important demographic categories is unclear.

Objective

To determine whether physiologic determinants of NT-proBNP concentrations account for sex and race differences, and to more uniformly predict HF risk using NT-proBNP in these demographic subgroups.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In the longitudinal Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities epidemiologic prospective community-based cohort study, the association of NT-proBNP concentration with relative and absolute risk of HF by sex- and race-based categories was assessed at study visit 2 (1990-1992) and study visit 5 (2011-2013) using Cox and Poisson regression. These data were analyzed from June 2018 to October 2021. The contribution of clinical, anthropometric, echocardiographic, and laboratory parameters to sex- and race-based differences in NT-proBNP concentration was assessed at visit 5 using linear regression. Participants included were free of HF in midlife (visit 2; a total of 12 750 participants) and late life (visit 5; a total of 5191 participants).

Exposures

NT-proBNP concentration.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incident HF or death.

Results

Among the 5191 HF-free participants at visit 5, the mean (SD) age was 76.0 (5.2) years, 2104 (41%) were male, 1043 (20%) were Black, and the median (IQR) NT-proBNP concentration was 124 (64-239) pg/. In both midlife and late life, NT-proBNP concentration was lowest in Black men (median [IQR] concentration: visit 2, 30 [14-67] pg/mL; visit 5, 74 [34-153] pg/mL) and highest in White women (median [IQR] concentration: visit 2, 70 [42-111] pg/mL; visit, 5, 154 [82-268] pg/mL). Sex and race differences in NT-proBNP concentration persisted after accounting for age, income, education, area deprivation index, cardiovascular diseases, left ventricular structure (LV), LV function, LV wall stress, weight and fat mass, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Substantial differences in the absolute risk of incident HF or death existed across the sex- and race-based categories at any NT-proBNP concentration (eg, 7-fold [rate ratio, 6.7; 95% CI, 4.6-9.9] and 3-fold [rate ratio, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.7-4.1] difference at visit 2 and visit 5, respectively, at guideline-recommended thresholds) with higher risk consistently observed among Black men and lower risk in White women. Results were replicated in a cohort of participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, sex- and race-based differences in NT-proBNP persisted after accounting for known physiologic determinants. Absolute risk associated with a given value of NT-proBNP varied substantially by sex and race. Consideration of NT-proBNP values in the context of sex and race allows for more uniform prediction of absolute risk across important demographic subgroups.

Changes in Cardiac Biomarkers in Association with Alterations in Cardiac Structure and Function, and Health Status in HFrEF: The EVALUATE-HF Trial

AIMS

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), cardiac troponin T (cTnT) and soluble ST2 (sST2) provide complementary prognostic information in HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We aimed to assess the association between changes in these markers with changes in cardiac structure, function and health status.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients in the EVALUATE-HF trial (N=464) were randomized to sacubitril/valsartan or enalapril for 12 weeks, followed by 12-week open-label sacubitril/valsartan. Cardiac biomarkers, echocardiography, and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaires (KCCQ) were completed at baseline, and after 12 and 24 weeks. A total of 410 patients (88%) had serial biomarker measurements available (mean age 67±9 years, 75% male and 75% white). After 24 weeks of treatment NT-proBNP, sST2 and cTnT decreased by median (Q1,Q3) -31% (-55%,+6%), -6% (-19%,+8%) and -3% (-13%,+8%), respectively (all P<0.001). Decreases in NT-proBNP were associated with reductions in cardiac volumes and improvements in systolic and diastolic function and health status. Decreases in cTnT were associated with reductions in LV mass, but not with changes in LV function or KCCQ. Decreases in sST2 were consistently associated with improvements in health status, but not with measures of cardiac structure or function. There were no effect modification from treatment on the associations investigated (P-for-interaction>0.05).

CONCLUSION

In HFrEF, serial changes in NT-proBNP correlate with changes in several key measures of cardiac structure and health status. cTnT changes correlate with changes in LV mass and sST2 with changes in health status. These data highlight possible complementary pathophysiologic implications of changes NT-proBNP, cTnT and sST2.

Left Atrial Remodeling and Stroke in Patients With Sinus Rhythm and Normal Ejection Fraction: ARIC-NCS

Background Age-related left atrial (LA) structural and functional abnormalities may be related to subclinical cerebral infarcts (SCIs) and stroke. We evaluated the association of 3-dimensional echocardiographic LA contractility parameters with SCIs and stroke across the spectrum of tertiles of age increment in elderly patients with sinus rhythm, normal ejection fraction, and no history of atrial fibrillation. Methods and Results We enrolled 407 participants (mean age, 76±8 years; 40% men) from ARIC-NCS (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study) undergoing a brain magnetic resonance imaging and 3-dimensional echocardiographic examinations in 2011 to 2013. The sample was analyzed among age tertiles and subgroups: no cerebral magnetic resonance imaging-detectable infarcts (n=315), magnetic resonance imaging-diagnosed SCIs (n=58), and clinically diagnosed stroke (n=34). The frequency of SCIs significantly increased over age tertiles (P trend 0.023). LA global longitudinal strain-a 3-dimensional echocardiographic index of LA reservoir function-and E/e' divided by LA global longitudinal strain-an index of LA stiffness-worsened across age tertiles (P trend 0.014 and 0.001, respectively), and only in the categories of SCIs (P trend <0.001 and 0.045, respectively) and stroke (P trend 0.001 and 0.011, respectively). LA global longitudinal strain was negatively associated with increased odds of SCIs (P=0.036, P=0.008, and P=0.001, respectively) and strokes (P=0.043, P=0.015, and P=0.001, respectively) over age tertiles, with a significant interaction between age tertiles (interaction P=0.043 and P=0.010, respectively). E/e' divided by LA global longitudinal strain was positively associated with the presence of SCIs (P=0.037, P=0.007, and P=0.001, respectively) and strokes (P=0.045, P=0.007, and P=0.003, respectively) over age tertiles, with a significant interaction only for SCIs (interaction P=0.040) and not for clinical stroke. Conclusions In a large cohort study of elderly patients, among participants with sinus rhythm, normal ejection fraction, and no history of atrial fibrillation, measures of worse age-related LA reservoir function and stiffness are associated with higher odds of SCIs and stroke.

Association of Left Atrial Structure and Function With Heart Failure in Older Adults

BACKGROUND

Limited data exist to characterize novel measures of left atrial (LA) structure and function in older adults without prevalent heart failure (HF).

OBJECTIVES

The aim was to assess reference range of LA measures, their associations with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic-peptide (NT-proBNP) and the related risk for incident HF or death.

METHODS

We analyzed LA structure (LA maximal [LAViMax] and minimal volume indexed by body surface area) and function (LA emptying fraction, LA reservoir, conduit, and contraction strain) in 4,901 participants from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study (mean age 75 ± 5 years, 40% male, and 19% Black) without prevalent HF. We assessed sex-specific 10th and 90th percentile ARIC-based reference limits in 301 participants free of prevalent cardiovascular disease, and related LA measures to NT-proBNP and incident HF or death (median follow-up of 5.5 years) in the whole ARIC cohort.

RESULTS

Approximately 20% of the overall population had LA abnormalities according to the ARIC-based reference limit. Each LA measure was associated with NT-proBNP and, except for LAViMax, with incident HF or death after multivariable adjustment (including left ventricular function and NT-proBNP). Results were consistent in participants with normal LAViMax (P for interaction > 0.05). LA measures were prognostic for both incident HF with preserved ejection fraction or death and incident HF with reduced ejection fraction or death. When added to HF risk factors and NT-proBNP (baseline C-statistics = 0.74) all LA measures, except for LAViMax, significantly enhanced the prognostic accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Novel measures of LA structure and function, but not standard assessment by LAViMax, are associated with increased risk of incident HF or death regardless of measures of left ventricular function and NT-proBNP.

Association of Echocardiographic Measures of Left Atrial Function and Size With Incident Dementia

IMPORTANCE

Atrial myopathy-characterized by alterations in left atrial (LA) function and size-is associated with ischemic stroke, independent of atrial fibrillation (AF). Electrocardiographic markers of atrial myopathy are associated with dementia, but it is unclear whether 2-dimensional echocardiographic (2DE)-defined LA function and size are associated with dementia.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of LA function and size with incident dementia.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study is a community-based prospective cohort. An exploratory, retrospective analysis was conducted. ARIC centers are located in Forsyth County, North Carolina; Jackson, Mississippi; Washington County, Maryland; and suburban Minneapolis, Minnesota. For this analysis, visit 5 (2011-2013) served as the baseline. Participants without prevalent AF and stroke and who had 2DEs in 2011-2013 were included and surveilled through December 31, 2019.

EXPOSURES

LA function (reservoir strain, conduit strain, contractile strain, emptying fraction, passive emptying fraction, and active emptying fraction), and LA size (maximal and minimal volume index) as evaluated by 2DE.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Dementia cases were identified using in-person and phone cognitive assessments, hospitalization codes, and death certificates. Cox proportional hazards models were used.

RESULTS

Among 4096 participants (mean [SD] age, 75 [5] years; 60% women; 22% Black individuals), 531 dementia cases were ascertained over a median follow-up of 6 years. Dementia incidence for the lowest LA quintile was 4.80 for reservoir strain, 3.94 for conduit strain, 3.29 for contractile strain, 4.20 for emptying fraction, 3.67 for passive emptying fraction, and 3.27 for active emptying fraction per 100 person-years. After full-model adjustments, there were statistically significant associations between measures of LA function and dementia; the hazard ratios (HRs) from the lowest vs highest quintile for reservoir strain were 1.98 (95% CI, 1.42-2.75); for conduit strain, 1.50 (95% CI, 1.09-2.06); for contractile strain, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.16-2.14); for emptying fraction, 1.87 (95% CI, 1.31-2.65); and for active emptying fraction, 1.43 (95% CI, 1.04-1.96). LA passive emptying fraction was not significantly associated with dementia (HR, 1.26 [95% CI, 0.93-1.71]). Dementia incidence for the highest LA maximal volume index quintile was 3.18 per 100 person-years (HR for highest vs lowest quintile, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.58-1.02]) and for the highest minimal volume index quintile was 3.50 per 100 person-years (HR for the highest vs lowest quintile, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.71-1.28]). Both measures were not significantly associated with dementia. These findings were robust to sensitivity analyses that excluded participants with incident AF or stroke.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this exploratory analysis of a US community-based cohort, several echocardiographic measures of lower LA function were significantly associated with an increased risk of subsequent dementia. Measures of LA size were not significantly associated with dementia risk. These findings suggest that impaired LA function may be a risk factor associated with dementia.

Cardiac Structure and Function and Diabetes-Related Risk of Death or Heart Failure in Older Adults

Background Whether cardiac structure and function abnormalities associated with dysglycemia are sufficient to explain the increased risk of death or heart failure (HF) remains unclear. Methods and Results We analyzed 6059 participants (mean age, 75±5 years; 58% women; and 22% Black individuals) who attended the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study visit 5 examination (2011-2013). Participants were categorized as no diabetes, pre-diabetes, and diabetes (on the basis of medical history and glycated hemoglobin values). We assessed whether diabetes modified the association between echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function and the composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization and then estimated the extent to which the increased risk of the composite outcome associated with diabetes was explained by cardiac structure and function. Diabetes was prevalent in 33.5% of the subjects. Death or HF occurred in 1111 (18%) at a rate of 3.6 per 100 person-years. Both measures of cardiac structure and function and diabetes status were significantly associated with worse prognosis after accounting for clinical confounders. While diabetes was consistently associated with a higher risk of events, it did not significantly modify the association between cardiac abnormalities and the risk of death or HF, except for subjects with higher left atrial volume who showed higher relative risk of events (P for interaction <0.001). Measures of cardiac structure and function accounted for ≈16% of the increased risk of death or HF associated with diabetes. Similar results were observed analyzing subjects without prevalent heart disease. Conclusions In a biracial cohort of older adults, the increased risk of events associated with diabetes was partially explained by cardiac structure and function abnormalities.

Race- and Gender-Based Differences in Cardiac Structure and Function and Risk of Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Although heart failure (HF) risk and cardiac structure/function reportedly differ according to race and gender, limited data exist in late life when risk of HF is highest.

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to evaluate race/gender-based differences in HF risk factors, cardiac structure/function, and incident HF in late life.

METHODS

This analysis included 5,149 HF-free participants from ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities), a prospective epidemiologic cohort study, who attended visit 5 (2011-2013) and underwent echocardiography. Participants were subsequently followed up for a median 5.5 years for incident HF/death.

RESULTS

Patients' mean age was 75 ± 5 years, 59% were women, and 20% were Black. Male gender and Black race were associated with lower mean left ventricular ejection fraction. Black race was also associated with greater left ventricular wall thickness and concentricity, differences that persisted after adjusting for cardiovascular comorbidities. After adjusting for cardiovascular comorbidities, men were at higher risk for HF and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in Black participants compared with White participants (HF: HR of 2.36 [95% CI: 1.37-4.08] vs 1.16 [95% CI: 0.89-1.51], interaction P = 0.016; HFrEF: HR of 3.70 [95% CI: 1.72-7.95] vs 1.55 [95% CI: 1.01-2.37] respectively, interaction P = 0.039). Black race was associated with a higher incidence of HF overall and HFrEF in men only (HF: 1.65 [95% CI: 1.07-2.53] vs 0.76 [95% CI: 0.49-1.17]; HFrEF: HR of 2.55 [95% CI: 1.46-4.44] vs 0.91 [95% CI: 0.46-1.83]). No race/gender-based differences were observed in risk of incident heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

CONCLUSIONS

Among older persons free of HF, men and Black participants exhibit worse systolic performance and are at heightened risk for HFrEF, whereas the risk of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is similar across gender and race groups.

Diabetes Status Modifies the Association Between Different Measures of Obesity and Heart Failure Risk Among Older Adults: A Pooled Analysis of Community-Based NHLBI Cohorts

BACKGROUND

Obesity and diabetes are associated with a higher risk of heart failure (HF). The interrelationships between different measures of adiposity-overall obesity, central obesity, fat mass (FM)-and diabetes status for HF risk are not well-established.

METHODS

Participant-level data from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; visit 5) and the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study; visit 1) cohorts were obtained from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Biologic Specimen and Data Repository Information Coordinating Center, harmonized, and pooled for the present analysis, excluding individuals with prevalent HF. FM was estimated in all participants using established anthropometric prediction equations additionally validated using the bioelectrical impedance-based FM in the ARIC subgroup. Incident HF events on follow-up were captured across both cohorts using similar adjudication methods. Multivariable-adjusted Fine-Gray models were created to evaluate the associations of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and FM with risk of HF in the overall cohort as well as among those with versus without diabetes at baseline. The population attributable risk of overall obesity (BMI≥30 kg/m²), abdominal obesity (WC>88 and 102 cm in women and men, respectively), and high FM (above sex-specific median) for incident HF was evaluated among participants with and without diabetes.

RESULTS

The study included 10 387 participants (52.9% ARIC; 25.1% diabetes; median age, 74 years). The correlation between predicted and bioelectrical impedance-based FM was high (R²=0.90; n=5038). During a 5-year follow-up, 447 participants developed HF (4.3%). Higher levels of each adiposity measure were significantly associated with higher HF risk (hazard ratio [95% CI] per 1 SD higher BMI=1.15 [1.05, 1.27], WC=1.22 [1.10, 1.36]; FM=1.13 [1.02, 1.25]). A significant interaction was noted between diabetes status and measures of BMI (P interaction=0.04) and WC (P interaction=0.004) for the risk of HF. In stratified analysis, higher measures of each adiposity parameter were significantly associated with higher HF risk in individuals with diabetes (hazard ratio [95% CI] per 1 SD higher BMI=1.29 [1.14-1.47]; WC=1.48 [1.29-1.70]; FM=1.25 [1.09-1.43]) but not those without diabetes, including participants with prediabetes and euglycemia. The population attributable risk percentage of overall obesity, abdominal obesity, and high FM for incident HF was higher among participants with diabetes (12.8%, 29.9%, and 13.7%, respectively) versus those without diabetes (≤1% for each).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher BMI, WC, and FM are strongly associated with greater risk of HF among older adults, particularly among those with prevalent diabetes.