AHA/ACCF/HRS Recommendations for the Standardization and Interpretation of the Electrocardiogram

Malignant left ventricular hypertrophy and risk of cognitive impairment in SPRINT MIND trial

BACKGROUND

The association of malignant left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), a specific subphenotype of LVH characterized by elevated levels of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTnT) or N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), with cognitive decline remains understudied.

METHODS

This post-hoc analysis included a total of 8,027 (67.9 ± 9.3 years) SPRINT MIND trial participants who had with at least 1 follow-up cognitive assessment. Participants were classified into 6 groups on the basis of LVH status on electrocardiogram (ECG), and elevations in levels of hs-cTnT ≥14 ng/L or NT-proBNP ≥125 pg/mL at baseline visit. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of LVH/biomarker groups with incident probable dementia, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and a composite of MCI/probable dementia.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 5 years, there were 306, 597, and 818 incidents of MCI, probable dementia and a composite of MCI/probable dementia, respectively. Compared with participants without LVH and normal biomarker levels, those with concomitant LVH and elevated levels of both biomarkers were associated with a higher risk of probable dementia (HR, 2.50; 95% CI (1.26-4.95), MCI (HR, 1.78; 95% CI (0.99-3.23) and the composite of MCI/ probable dementia (HR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.16-3.10).

CONCLUSIONS

Among SPRINT participants, malignant LVH is associated with incident probable dementia and mild cognitive impairment. These findings underscore the potential utility of measuring hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP levels when LVH is detected on ECG, aiding in the differentiation of individuals with a favorable risk for cognitive impairment from those with a higher risk.

Prognostic value of the electrocardiogram in patients with bicuspid aortic valve disease

BACKGROUND

Identifying bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) patients at risk for cardiac events remains challenging and the role of the electrocardiogram (ECG) has not yet been described. Therefore, this study aims to describe ECG parameters in BAV patients, and investigate their prognostic value.

METHODS

In this single-center prospective study patients with BAV without a prior aortic valve replacement (AVR) were included. Transthoracic echocardiogram and 12‑lead resting-ECG were obtained. Associations between ECG parameters and the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and AVR were assessed using Cox-proportional hazard analysis.

RESULTS

120 patients with BAV were included (median age 30 years, 61% male). Median aortic jet velocity was 2.4 m/s [IQR: 1.7-3.4] and 5 patients (4%) had severe aortic regurgitation. All patients were in sinus rhythm. Any ECG abnormality was present in 57 patients (48%). Median PR-interval was 156 [IQR: 138-170] msec. A deviating QRS axis was found in 17 patients (14%) and Cornell criteria for LVH were fulfilled in 20 patients (17%). Repolarization abnormalities were present in 12 patients (10%). Median follow-up duration was 7.0 [6.3-9.8] years, during which 23 patients underwent AVR and 2 patients died. After adjusting for age, a longer PR-interval was associated with worse intervention-free survival (HR 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.04).

CONCLUSION

Almost half of the patients with BAV had abnormalities on their ECG. Moreover, the PR-interval may be an interesting prognostic marker for intervention-free survival in BAV patients.

Evaluation of electrocardiographic criteria for predicting left ventricular hypertrophy and dilation in presence of left bundle branch block

BACKGROUND

The utility of standard published electrocardiographic (ECG) criteria for left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) in patients with left bundle branch block (LBBB) is not established. We have previously shown that in ECGs demonstrating LBBB, QRS duration outperforms vectorcardiographic X, Y, Z lead and root-mean-squared (3D) amplitudes and voltage-time-integrals in diagnosing LVH and dilation. We sought to evaluate diagnostic yields of published LVH criteria versus QRS duration for ECG based diagnosis of LVH and dilation in presence of LBBB.

METHODS

We included adult patients with typical LBBB having ECG and transthoracic echocardiogram performed within 3 months of each other in 2010-2020. We obtained area under receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC) for QRS duration and each of the published ECG LVH criteria to predict increased LV mass indexed (↑LVMi, women >95 g/m2, men >115 g/m2) and LV end diastolic volume indexed (↑LVEDVi, women >61 mL/m2, men >74 mL/m2).

RESULTS

Among 413 adults (53 % women, age 73 ± 12 yr) with LBBB, the traditional LVH criteria performed poorly to detect ↑LVMi or ↑LVEDVi. Cornell voltage-duration product had the highest AUCs (↑LVMi 0.634, ↑LVEDVi 0.580). QRS duration had a higher AUC for diagnosing ↑LVMi (women 0.657, men 0.703) and ↑LVEDVi (women 0.668, men 0.699) compared to any other criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with LBBB, prolonged QRS duration (women ≥150 ms, men ≥160 ms) is a superior predictor of LVH and dilation than traditional ECG-based LVH criteria.

Association between P-wave terminal force in lead V1 and extent of left atrial low-voltage substrate in older patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (PTFV1) is a marker of cardiomyopathy and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Low-voltage area (LVA) in the left atrium (LA), which indicates underlying atrial fibrosis, could predict AF recurrence. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between PTFV1 and LVA in older patients with paroxysmal AF.

METHODS

From May 1, 2020, to October 31, 2021, a total of 162 patients aged 65-80 years with paroxysmal AF who underwent index ablation procedures were enrolled. PTFV1 was measured in sinus rhythm (SR) using 12-lead electrocardiograms prior to the ablation. Abnormal PTFV1 was defined as a ≥ 4 mVms depression. Additional LVA ablation beyond circumferential pulmonary vein isolation (CPVI) was performed if LVAs were found.

RESULTS

Among the 162 patients, 88 had a normal PTFV1 and 74 had an abnormal PTFV1 prior to ablation. There was a significant difference in LVA in patients with and without an abnormal PTFV1 (LVA, 11.0 vs. 5.1 cm2, P < 0.001; LVA burden, 8.9% vs. 4.5%, P < 0.001). PTFV1 and PTAV1 were highest in the upper tertile with extensive LVAs (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that abnormal PTFV1 was an independent predictor of LVAs (β = 4.961; 95% CI, 2.135-7.788; P < 0.001). After a median follow-up of 23 months, the AF-free survival rate was similar between the normal PTFV1 group and the abnormal PTFV1 group (13/88 vs. 12/74, hazard ratio [HR], 0.933 [95% CI, 0.425-2.047]; P = 0.861).

CONCLUSIONS

Abnormal PTFV1 at baseline was independently associated with the extent of LVA in older patients with paroxysmal AF.

Early detection of low QRS voltage and its association with mortality in patients with sepsis

Various electrocardiographic changes occur during sepsis, but data on the clinical importance of a low QRS voltage in sepsis are still limited. We aimed to evaluate the association between low QRS voltage identified early in sepsis and mortality in patients with sepsis. Between September 2019 and December 2020, all consecutive adult patients diagnosed with sepsis in the emergency room or general ward at Samsung Medical Center were enrolled. Patients without a 12-lead electrocardiogram recorded within 48 h of recognition of sepsis were excluded. In 432 eligible patients, 12-lead electrocardiogram was recorded within the median of 24 min from the first recognition of sepsis, and low QRS voltage was identified in 115 (26.6%) patients. The low QRS group showed more severe organ dysfunction and had higher levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide. The hospital mortality was significantly higher in the low QRS voltage group than in the normal QRS voltage group (49.6% vs. 28.1%, p < 0.001). Similarly, among the 160 patients who required intensive care unit admission, significantly more patients in the low QRS group died in the intensive care unit (35.9% vs. 18.2%, p = 0.021). Low QRS voltage was associated with increased hospital mortality in patients with sepsis.

Role of the Electrocardiogram for Identifying the Development of Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF), a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, is associated with increased morbidity and mortality worldwide. Stroke, the leading cause of serious disability in the United States, is among the important complications of this arrhythmia. Recent studies have demonstrated that certain clinical variables can be useful in the prediction of AF development in the future. The electrocardiogram (ECG) is a simple and cost-effective technology that is widely available in various healthcare settings. An emerging body of evidence has suggested that ECG tracings preceding the development of AF can be useful in predicting this arrhythmia in the future. Various variables on ECG especially different P wave parameters have been investigated in the prediction of new-onset AF and found to be useful. Several risk models were also introduced using these variables along with the patient's clinical data. However, current guidelines do not provide a clear consensus regarding implementing these prediction models in clinical practice for identifying patients at risk of AF. Also, the role of intensive screening via ECG or implantable devices based on this scoring system is unclear. The purpose of this review is to summarize AF and various related terminologies and explain the pathophysiology and electrocardiographic features of this tachyarrhythmia. We also discuss the predictive electrocardiographic features of AF, review some of the existing risk models and scoring system, and shed light on the role of monitoring device for screening purposes.

Evaluating convolutional neural network-enhanced electrocardiography for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy detection in a specialized cardiovascular setting

The efficacy of convolutional neural network (CNN)-enhanced electrocardiography (ECG) in detecting hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) and dilated HCM (dHCM) remains uncertain in real-world applications. This retrospective study analyzed data from 19,170 patients (including 140 HCM or dHCM) in the Shinken Database (2010-2017). We evaluated the sensitivity, positive predictive rate (PPR), and F1 score of CNN-enhanced ECG in a ''basic diagnosis'' model (total disease label) and a ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model (including disease subtypes). Using all-lead ECG in the "basic diagnosis" model, we observed a sensitivity of 76%, PPR of 2.9%, and F1 score of 0.056. These metrics improved in cases with a diagnostic probability of ≥ 0.9 and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on ECG: 100% sensitivity, 8.6% PPR, and 0.158 F1 score. The ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model further enhanced these figures to 100%, 13.0%, and 0.230, respectively. Performance was broadly consistent across CNN models using different lead configurations, particularly when including leads viewing the lateral walls. While the precision of CNN models in detecting HCM or dHCM in real-world settings is initially low, it improves by targeting specific patient groups and integrating disease subtype models. The use of ECGs with fewer leads, especially those involving the lateral walls, appears comparably effective.

Electrocardiographic Abnormalities in Nigerian Hypertensives With Echocardiographic Left Ventricular Hypertrophy

Introduction To enhance the diagnosis of anatomic left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) using electrocardiography (ECG), we aimed to identify common ECG amplitude and non-amplitude abnormalities in Nigerian patients with hypertensive echocardiographic LVH. Method The study included 1,765 patients with essential hypertension aged 18 years and older from the Federal Medical Centre Abuja Hypertension Registry (FMCAHR). Participants underwent echocardiography and ECG following the American College of Cardiology and the American Society of Echocardiography guidelines. Results The prevalence of overall ECG LVH amplitude criteria (43.8%) and individual criteria of Cornell voltage (27.1%), Sokolow-Lyon voltage (23.2%), and Gubner-Ungerleider (13.9%) were higher than non-amplitude ECG abnormalities among patients with echocardiographic LVH. The sensitivity and specificity of LVH criteria were 43.8% and 79.5% for overall ECG LVH, 23.2% and 87.2% for Sokolow-Lyon voltage, 27.1% and 93.3% for Cornell voltage, and 13.9% and 95.4% for Gubner-Ungerleider criteria, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, non-amplitude ECG changes, including prolonged corrected QT (QTc) (odds ratio (OR): 1.68, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-2.66), left ventricular (LV) strain pattern (OR: 1.83, CI: 1.23-2.72), left axis deviation (OR: 1.56, CI: 1.09-2.24), poor R wave progression (OR: 2.36, CI: 1.40-3.97), premature ventricular contractions (OR: 1.80, CI: 1.10-2.91), premature atrial contractions (OR: 2.06, CI: 1.10-3.87), atrial fibrillation (OR: 2.40, CI: 1.20-4.82), and left atrial abnormality (OR: 8.43, CI: 2.95-24.05), were associated with echocardiographic LVH (p < 0.05). Conclusion In our cohort of hypertensive patients, ECG LVH amplitude criteria were the most frequently observed abnormalities associated with echocardiographic LVH. Our findings suggest that despite the low sensitivity, ECG LVH amplitude criteria may remain valuable in diagnosing echocardiographic LVH.

Electrocardiographic Changes after Endovascular Mechanical Thrombectomy in a Patient with Pulmonary Embolism-A Case Report and Literature Review

Background: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a common disease with an annual incidence of about 1/1000 persons. About every sixth patient dies within the first 30 days after diagnosis. The electrocardiogram (ECG) is one of the first diagnostic tests performed, and is able to confirm the suspicion of PE with typical electrocardiographic signs. Some ECG signs and their regression are also prognostically relevant. Endovascular mechanical thrombectomy is one option for PE treatment, and aims to relieve right heart strain immediately. The first studies on endovascular mechanical thrombectomy using a dedicated device (FlowTriever System, Inari Medical, Irvine, CA, USA) yielded promising results. Methods: In the following, we report the case of a 66-year-old male patient who presented with New York Heart Association III dyspnea in our emergency department. Among typical clinical and laboratory results, he displayed very impressive electrocardiographic and radiological findings at the time of PE diagnosis. Results: After endovascular mechanical thrombectomy, the patient's complaints and pulmonary hemodynamics improved remarkably. In contrast, the ECG worsened paradoxically 18 h after intervention. Nevertheless, control echocardiography 4 days after the intervention no longer showed any signs of right heart strain, and dyspnea had disappeared completely. At a 4-month follow-up visit, the patient presented as completely symptom-free with a high quality of life. His ECG and echocardiography were normal and excluded recurrent right heart strain. Conclusions: Overall, the patient benefitted remarkably from endovascular mechanical thrombectomy, resulting in an almost complete resolution of electrocardiographic PE signs at the 4-month follow-up after exhibiting multiple typical electrocardiographic PE signs at time of diagnosis and initial electrocardiographic worsening 18 h post successful intervention.

The Danish Nationwide Electrocardiogram (ECG) Cohort

The electrocardiogram (ECG) is a non-invasive diagnostic tool holding significant clinical importance in the diagnosis and risk stratification of cardiac disease. However, access to large-scale, population-based digital ECG data for research purposes remains limited and challenging. Consequently, we established the Danish Nationwide ECG Cohort to provide data from standard 12-lead digital ECGs in both pre- and in-hospital settings, which can be linked to comprehensive Danish nationwide administrative registers on health and social data with long-term follow-up. The Danish Nationwide ECG Cohort is an open real-world cohort including all patients with at least one digital pre- or in-hospital ECG in Denmark from January 01, 2000, to December 31, 2021. The cohort includes data on standardized and uniform ECG diagnostic statements and ECG measurements including global parameters as well as lead-specific measures of waveform amplitudes, durations, and intervals. Currently, the cohort comprises 2,485,987 unique patients with a median age at the first ECG of 57 years (25th-75th percentiles, 40-71 years; males, 48%), resulting in a total of 11,952,430 ECGs. In conclusion, the Danish Nationwide ECG Cohort represents a novel and extensive population-based digital ECG dataset for cardiovascular research, encompassing both pre- and in-hospital settings. The cohort contains ECG diagnostic statements and ECG measurements that can be linked to various nationwide health and social registers without loss to follow-up.

Do We Need New Electrocardiographic Criteria for Left Ventricular Hypertrophy? The Case of the Peguero-Lo Presti Criterion. A Narrative Review

The cardiovascular risk associated with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) in the community and, particularly, in the hypertensive fraction of the general population, represents the rationale for its timely and accurate identification in order to implement adequate preventive strategies. Although electrocardiography (ECG) is the first-line and most economical method of diagnosing LVH its accuracy is largely suboptimal. Over the last 70 years, dozens of different ECG criteria, mostly based on measurements of QRS voltages, have been proposed. In this long journey, a few years ago Peguero et al. developed a novel ECG voltage criterion, currently recognized as Peguero-Lo Presti (PLP) suggesting that it has greater sensitivity than traditional ECG-LVH criteria. Considering that in the last 5 years numerous studies have investigated the diagnostic value of this new index, this review aimed to summarize the data published so far on this topic focusing both on the accuracy in identifying the presence of LVH compared with imaging techniques such as echocardiography (ECHO) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and the value in predicting hard outcomes. The evidence in favor of the greater diagnostic accuracy of the PLP criterion in detecting LVH, phenotyped by ECHO or MRI, and in the stratification of hard outcomes compared with traditional ECG criteria does not appear to be sufficiently proven. Given that the diagnosis of LVH by all ECG criteria (including the PLP) exclusively based on the QRS amplitude is largely imprecise, the development of new multiparametric ECG criteria based on artificial intelligence could represent a real improvement in the diagnostic capacity of the ECG.

Right Atrial Enlargement on Electrocardiogram in Previously Healthy Young Patients

OBJECTIVES

To assess whether right atrial enlargement (RAE) on electrocardiogram (ECG) correlates with true RAE on echocardiogram in previously healthy young patients and to understand which patients with RAE on ECG may warrant additional testing.

STUDY DESIGN

A single-center, retrospective review of previously healthy young patients with (1) ECGs that were read as RAE by a pediatric cardiologist and (2) echocardiograms obtained within 90 days of the ECG. ECGs were reviewed to confirm RAE and determine which leads met criteria. The echocardiograms were then reviewed and RA measurements with z scores obtained. A z score >2 was considered positive for RAE on echocardiogram.

RESULTS

In total, 162 patients with median age 10.8 years were included in the study. A total of 23 patients had true RAE on echocardiogram, giving a positive predictive value (PPV) of 14%. In patients <1 year of age, the PPV increased to 35%. In patients older than 1 year, the PPV was low at 7%. Patients with true RAE were more likely to meet criteria for RAE in the anterior precordial leads (V1-V3) (48% vs 5%, P < .001) and meet criteria for right ventricular hypertrophy (22% vs 6%, P = .023).

CONCLUSION

Our findings show that RAE on ECG has a low PPV for RAE on echocardiogram in previously healthy young patients. The highest yield for RAE on echocardiogram was observed in patients who were <1 year of age, had RAE in the anterior precordial leads, or displayed right ventricular hypertrophy on ECG.

Prevalence of electrocardiographic abnormalities among Iranian children and adolescents and associations with blood pressure and obesity: findings from the SHED LIGHT study

BACKGROUND

There are few studies for detecting rhythm abnormalities among healthy children and adolescents. The aim of the study was to investigate the prevalence of abnormal electrocardiographic findings in the young Iranian population and its association with blood pressure and obesity.

METHODS

A total of 15084 children and adolescents were examined in a randomly selected population of Tehran city, Iran, between October 2017 and December 2018. Anthropometric values and blood pressure measurements were also assessed. A standard 12-lead electrocardiogram was recorded by a unique recorder, and those were examined by electrophysiologists.

RESULTS

All students mean age was 12.3 ± 3.1 years (6-18 years), and 52% were boys. A total of 2900 students (192.2/1000 persons; 95% confidence interval 186-198.6) had electrocardiographic abnormalities. The rate of electrocardiographic abnormalities was higher in boys than girls (p < 0.001). Electrocardiographic abnormalities were significantly higher in thin than obese students (p < 0.001), and there was a trend towards hypertensive individuals to have more electrocardiographic abnormalities compared to normotensive individuals (p = 0.063). Based on the multivariable analysis, individuals with electrocardiographic abnormalities were less likely to be girls (odds ratio 0.745, 95% confidence interval 0.682-0.814) and had a lower body mass index (odds ratio 0.961, 95% confidence interval 0.944-0.979).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large-scale study, there was a high prevalence of electrocardiographic abnormalities among young population. In addition, electrocardiographic findings were significantly influenced by increasing age, sex, obesity, and blood pressure levels. This community-based study revealed the implications of electrocardiographic screening to improve the care delivery by early detection.

Quantitative Prediction of Right Ventricular Size and Function From the ECG

BACKGROUND

Right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) and end-diastolic volume (RVEDV) are not readily assessed through traditional modalities. Deep learning-enabled ECG analysis for estimation of right ventricular (RV) size or function is unexplored.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We trained a deep learning-ECG model to predict RV dilation (RVEDV >120 mL/m2), RV dysfunction (RVEF ≤40%), and numerical RVEDV and RVEF from a 12-lead ECG paired with reference-standard cardiac magnetic resonance imaging volumetric measurements in UK Biobank (UKBB; n=42 938). We fine-tuned in a multicenter health system (MSHoriginal [Mount Sinai Hospital]; n=3019) with prospective validation over 4 months (MSHvalidation; n=115). We evaluated performance with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for categorical and mean absolute error for continuous measures overall and in key subgroups. We assessed the association of RVEF prediction with transplant-free survival with Cox proportional hazards models. The prevalence of RV dysfunction for UKBB/MSHoriginal/MSHvalidation cohorts was 1.0%/18.0%/15.7%, respectively. RV dysfunction model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for UKBB/MSHoriginal/MSHvalidation cohorts was 0.86/0.81/0.77, respectively. The prevalence of RV dilation for UKBB/MSHoriginal/MSHvalidation cohorts was 1.6%/10.6%/4.3%. RV dilation model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for UKBB/MSHoriginal/MSHvalidation cohorts was 0.91/0.81/0.92, respectively. MSHoriginal mean absolute error was RVEF=7.8% and RVEDV=17.6 mL/m2. The performance of the RVEF model was similar in key subgroups including with and without left ventricular dysfunction. Over a median follow-up of 2.3 years, predicted RVEF was associated with adjusted transplant-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.40 for each 10% decrease; P=0.031).

CONCLUSIONS

Deep learning-ECG analysis can identify significant cardiac magnetic resonance imaging RV dysfunction and dilation with good performance. Predicted RVEF is associated with clinical outcome.

ISE/ISHNE expert consensus statement on the ECG diagnosis of left ventricular hypertrophy: The change of the paradigm

The ECG diagnosis of LVH is predominantly based on the QRS voltage criteria. The classical paradigm postulates that the increased left ventricular mass generates a stronger electrical field, increasing the leftward and posterior QRS forces, reflected in the augmented QRS amplitude. However, the low sensitivity of voltage criteria has been repeatedly documented. We discuss possible reasons for this shortcoming and proposal of a new paradigm. The theoretical background for voltage measured at the body surface is defined by the solid angle theorem, which relates the measured voltage to spatial and non-spatial determinants. The spatial determinants are represented by the extent of the activation front and the distance of the recording electrodes. The non-spatial determinants comprise electrical characteristics of the myocardium, which are comparatively neglected in the interpretation of the QRS patterns. Various clinical conditions are associated with LVH. These conditions produce considerable diversity of electrical properties alterations thereby modifying the resultant QRS patterns. The spectrum of QRS patterns observed in LVH patients is quite broad, including also left axis deviation, left anterior fascicular block, incomplete and complete left bundle branch blocks, Q waves, and fragmented QRS. Importantly, the QRS complex can be within normal limits. The new paradigm stresses the electrophysiological background in interpreting QRS changes, i.e., the effect of the non-spatial determinants. This postulates that the role of ECG is not to estimate LV size in LVH, but to understand and decode the underlying electrical processes, which are crucial in relation to cardiovascular risk assessment.

The electrocardiographic manifestations of pectus excavatum before and after surgical correction

BACKGROUND

Pectus excavatum (PEx) can cause cardiopulmonary limitations due to cardiac compression and displacement. There is limited data on electrocardiogram (ECG) alterations before and after PEx surgical repair, and ECG findings suggesting cardiopulmonary limitations have not been reported. The aim of this study is to explore ECG manifestations of PEx before and after surgery including associations with exercise capacity.

METHODS

A retrospective review of PEx patients who underwent primary repair was performed. ECGs before and after surgical correction were evaluated and the associations between preoperative ECG abnormalities and cardiopulmonary function were investigated.

RESULTS

In total, 310 patients were included (mean age 35.1 ± 11.6 years). Preoperative ECG findings included a predominant negative P wave morphology in V1, and this abnormal pattern significantly decreased from 86.9% to 57.4% (p < 0.001) postoperatively. The presence of abnormal P wave amplitude in lead II (>2.5 mm) significantly decreased from 7.1% to 1.6% postoperatively (p < 0.001). Right bundle branch block (RBBB) (9.4% versus 3.9%, p < 0.001), rsr' patterns (40.6% versus 12.9%, p < 0.001), and T wave inversion in leads V1-V3 (62.3% vs 37.7%, p < 0.001) were observed less frequently after surgery. Preoperative presence of RBBB (OR = 4.8; 95%CI 1.1-21.6) and T wave inversion in leads V1-3 (OR = 2.3; 95%CI 1.3-4.2) were associated with abnormal results in cardiopulmonary exercise testings.

CONCLUSION

Electrocardiographic abnormalities in PEx are frequent and can revert to normal following surgery. Preoperative RBBB and T wave inversion in leads V1-3 suggested a reduction in exercise capacity, serving as a marker for the need for further cardiovascular evaluation of these patients.

Integrative review of electrocardiographic characteristics in patients with reduced, mildly reduced, and preserved heart failure

INTRODUCTION

Electrocardiographic (ECG) changes in heart failure with reduced, mildly reduced, and preserved ejection fractions can be critical in clinical assessment while waiting to perform echocardiograms or when it is unavailable. This integrative review aimed to identify ECG characteristics among hospitalized patients demonstrating three types of heart failure during acute decompensation.

METHODS

We searched an electronic database of PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Scopus, Google Scholar, and ClinicalTrials.gov using medical subject headings (MeSH) terms and keywords. Sixteen studies were synthesized and reported.

RESULTS

Heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) was more common in men, comorbid with coronary artery diseases and diabetes mellitus, higher BNP/Pro-BNP, wide QRS, and left bundle branch block on ECG. On average, clients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) were older and more likely to have a history of atrial fibrillation, valvular heart diseases, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary, and atrial fibrillation (AF) on ECG. Patients with mildly reduced (HFmrEF) were more similar to HFpEF in older patients, comorbid with hypertension, AF and valvular diseases, and AF on ECG.

CONCLUSIONS

ECG characteristics might be related to left ventricular ejection fraction. Demographics, BNP/Pro-BNP, and ECG changes might help differentiate different heart failure types. Therefore, ECG might be a prognostic tool while caring for heart failure patients when highly skilled resources are unavailable. These identified ECG characteristics help generate research hypotheses and warrant validation in future research.

ECG left ventricular hypertrophy in aortic stenosis: Relationship with cardiac structure, invasive hemodynamics, and long-term mortality

BACKGROUND

In aortic stenosis (AS), left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is the response to pressure overload and represents the substrate for a maladaptive cascade, the so-called AS-related cardiac damage. We hypothesized that in AS patients electrocardiogram (ECG) LVH not only predicts echocardiography LVH but also other noninvasive and invasive markers of cardiac damage and prognosis after aortic valve replacement (AVR).

METHODS

In 279 patients with severe AS undergoing ECG, echocardiography, and cardiac catheterization before AVR, the Sokolow-Lyon index, the Cornell product, the Romhilt-Estes score, and the Peguero-Lo Presti score were assessed.

RESULTS

The mean left ventricular mass index was 109 ± 34 g/m2 , and 131 (47%) patients had echocardiography LVH. The areas under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC) for the Sokolow-Lyon index, the Cornell product, the Romhilt-Estes score, and the Peguero-Lo Presti score for the prediction of echocardiography LVH were 0.59, 0.70, 0.63, and 0.65. The Peguero-Lo Presti score had the numerically greatest AUC for the prediction of left ventricular end-diastolic pressure >15 mmHg, mean pulmonary artery wedge pressure >15 mmHg, pulmonary vascular resistance >3 Wood units, mean right atrial pressure >14 mmHg, and stroke volume index <31 mL/m2 . After a median follow-up of 1365 (interquartile range: 931-1851) days after AVR only the Peguero-Lo Presti score was significantly associated with all-cause mortality [hazard ratio: 1.24 (95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.54); per 1 mV increase; p = .045].

CONCLUSIONS

Among severe AS patients, the Peguero-Lo Presti score is associated with abnormalities in cardiac structure including LVH, invasive measures of cardiac damage, and long-term mortality after AVR.

Electrocardiographic Z-axis QRS-T voltage-time-integral in patients with typical right bundle branch block - Correlation with echocardiographic right ventricular size and function

BACKGROUND

Right bundle branch block (RBBB) can be benign or associated with right ventricular (RV) functional and structural abnormalities. Our aim was to evaluate QRS-T voltage-time-integral (VTI) compared to QRS duration and lead V1 R' as markers for RV abnormalities.

METHODS

We included adults with an ECG demonstrating RBBB and echocardiogram obtained within 3 months of each other, between 2010 and 2020. VTIQRS and VTIQRST were obtained for 12 standard ECG leads, reconstructed vectorcardiographic X, Y, Z leads and root-mean-squared (3D) ECG. Age, sex and BSA-adjusted linear regressions were used to assess associations of QRS duration, amplitudes, VTIs and lead V1 R' duration/VTI with echocardiographic tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), RV tissue Doppler imaging S', basal and mid diameter, and systolic pressure (RVSP).

RESULTS

Among 782 patients (33% women, age 71 ± 14 years) with RBBB, R' duration in lead V1 was modestly associated with RV S', RV diameters and RVSP (all p ≤ 0.03). QRS duration was more strongly associated with RV diameters (both p < 0.0001). AmplitudeQRS-Z was modestly correlated with all 5 RV echocardiographic variables (all p ≤ 0.02). VTIR'-V1 was more strongly associated with TAPSE, RV S' and RVSP (all p ≤ 0.0003). VTIQRS-Z and VTIQRST-Z were among the strongest correlates of the 5 RV variables (all p < 0.0001). VTIQRST-Z.√BSA cutoff of ≥62 μVsm had sensitivity 62.7% and specificity 65.7% for predicting ≥3 of 5 abnormal RV variables (AUC 0.66; men 0.71, women 0.60).

CONCLUSION

In patients with RBBB, VTIQRST-Z is a stronger predictor of RV dysfunction and adverse remodeling than QRS duration and lead V1 R'.

Predicting 1-, 3-, 5-, and 8-year all-cause mortality in a community-dwelling older adult cohort: relevance for predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine

BACKGROUND

Population aging is a global public health issue involving increased prevalence of age-related diseases, and concomitant burden on medical resources and the economy. Ninety-two diseases have been identified as age-related, accounting for 51.3% of the global adult disease burden. The economic cost per capita for older people over 60 years is 10 times that of the younger population. From the aspects of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM), developing a risk-prediction model can help identify individuals at high risk for all-cause mortality and provide an opportunity for targeted prevention through personalized intervention at an early stage. However, there is still a lack of predictive models to help community-dwelling older adults do well in healthcare.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to develop an accurate 1-, 3-, 5-, and 8-year all-cause mortality risk-prediction model by using clinical multidimensional variables, and investigate risk factors for 1-, 3-, 5-, and 8-year all-cause mortality in community-dwelling older adults to guide primary prevention.

METHODS

This is a two-center cohort study. Inclusion criteria: (1) community-dwelling adult, (2) resided in the districts of Chaonan or Haojiang for more than 6 months in the past 12 months, and (3) completed a health examination. Exclusion criteria: (1) age less than 60 years, (2) more than 30 incomplete variables, (3) no signed informed consent. The primary outcome of the study was all-cause mortality obtained from face-to-face interviews, telephone interviews, and the medical death database from 2012 to 2021. Finally, we enrolled 5085 community-dwelling adults, 60 years and older, who underwent routine health screening in the Chaonan and Haojiang districts, southern China, from 2012 to 2021. Of them, 3091 participants from Chaonan were recruited as the primary training and internal validation study cohort, while 1994 participants from Haojiang were recruited as the external validation cohort. A total of 95 clinical multidimensional variables, including demographics, lifestyle behaviors, symptoms, medical history, family history, physical examination, laboratory tests, and electrocardiogram (ECG) data were collected to identify candidate risk factors and characteristics. Risk factors were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) models and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. A nomogram predictive model for 1-, 3-, 5- and 8-year all-cause mortality was constructed. The accuracy and calibration of the nomogram prediction model were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), integrated Brier score (IBS), receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and calibration curves. The clinical validity of the model was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Nine independent risk factors for 1-, 3-, 5-, and 8-year all-cause mortality were identified, including increased age, male, alcohol status, higher daily liquor consumption, history of cancer, elevated fasting glucose, lower hemoglobin, higher heart rate, and the occurrence of heart block. The acquisition of risk factor criteria is low cost, easily obtained, convenient for clinical application, and provides new insights and targets for the development of personalized prevention and interventions for high-risk individuals. The areas under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model were 0.767, 0.776, and 0.806, and the C-indexes were 0.765, 0.775, and 0.797, in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. The IBS was less than 0.25, which indicates good calibration. Calibration and decision curves showed that the predicted probabilities were in good agreement with the actual probabilities and had good clinical predictive value for PPPM.

CONCLUSION

The personalized risk prediction model can identify individuals at high risk of all-cause mortality, help offer primary care to prevent all-cause mortality, and provide personalized medical treatment for these high-risk individuals from the PPPM perspective. Strict control of daily liquor consumption, lowering fasting glucose, raising hemoglobin, controlling heart rate, and treatment of heart block could be beneficial for improving survival in elderly populations.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13167-023-00342-4.

Comparison of Machine Learning Algorithms Using Manual/Automated Features on 12-Lead Signal Electrocardiogram Classification: A Large Cohort Study on Students Aged Between 6 to 18 Years Old

PROPOSE

An electrocardiogram (ECG) has been extensively used to detect rhythm disturbances. We sought to determine the accuracy of different machine learning in distinguishing abnormal ECGs from normal ones in children who were examined using a resting 12-Lead ECG machine, and we also compared the manual and automated measurement using the modular ECG Analysis System (MEANS) algorithm of ECG features.

METHODS

Altogether, 10745 ECGs were recorded for students aged 6 to 18. Manual and automatic ECG features were extracted for each participant. Features were normalized using Z-score normalization and went through the student's t-test and chi-squared test to measure their relevance. We applied the Boruta algorithm for feature selection and then implemented eight classifier algorithms. The dataset was split into training (80%) and test (20%) partitions. The performance of the classifiers was evaluated on the test data (unseen data) by 1000 bootstrap, and sensitivity (SEN), specificity (SPE), AUC, and accuracy (ACC) were reported.

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, the highest performance was heart rate and RR interval in the manual dataset and heart rate in an automated dataset with AUC of 0.72 and 0.71, respectively. The best classifiers in the manual dataset were random forest (RF) and quadratic-discriminant-analysis (QDA) with AUC, ACC, SEN, and SPE equal to 0.93, 0.98, 0.69, 0.99, and 0.90, 0.95, 0.75, 0.96, respectively. In the automated dataset, QDA (AUC: 0.89, ACC:0.92, SEN:0.71, SPE:0.93) and stack learning (SL) (AUC:0.89, ACC:0.96, SEN:0.61, SPE:0.99) reached best performances.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that the manual measurement of 12-Lead ECG features had better performance than the automated measurement (MEANS algorithm), but some classifiers had promising results in discriminating between normal and abnormal cases. Further studies can help us evaluate the applicability and efficacy of machine-learning approaches for distinguishing abnormal ECGs in community-based investigations in both adults and children.

ISE/ISHNE Expert Consensus Statement on ECG Diagnosis of Left Ventricular Hypertrophy: The Change of the Paradigm. The joint paper of the International Society of Electrocardiology and the International Society for Holter Monitoring and Noninvasive Electrocardiology

The ECG diagnosis of LVH is predominantly based on the QRS voltage criteria, i.e. the increased QRS complex amplitude in defined leads. The classical ECG diagnostic paradigm postulates that the increased left ventricular mass generates a stronger electrical field, increasing the leftward and posterior QRS forces. These increased forces are reflected in the augmented QRS amplitude in the corresponding leads. However, the clinical observations document increased QRS amplitude only in the minority of patients with LVH. The low sensitivity of voltage criteria has been repeatedly documented. We discuss possible reasons for this shortcoming and proposal of a new paradigm.

Right and left ventricular mass development in early infancy: Correlation of electrocardiographic changes with echocardiographic measurements

BACKGROUND

Right ventricular mass indexed to body surface area (RVMI) decreases and left ventricular mass index (LVMI) increases rapidly and substantially during early infancy. The relationship between these sizeable mass transformations and simultaneous electrocardiographic changes have not been previously delineated.

METHODS

Normal term infants (#45 initially enrolled) were prospectively evaluated at 2 days and at 2-week, 2-month, and 4-month clinic visits. Ventricular masses were estimated with 2D echocardiographic methods. QRS voltages were measured in leads V1, V6, I and aVF.

RESULTS

Mean QRS axis shifted from 135 (95%CI 124, 146) to 65 degrees (95%CI 49, 81) and correlated with both RVMI decrease and LVMI increase (R = 0.46⁎ vs. 0.25†, respectively. *p < 0.01, †p < 0.05). As RVMI decreased from mean 28.1 (95%CI 27.1, 29.1) to 23.3 g/m2 (95%CI 21.4, 25.2) so did V1R and V6S voltages. RVMI changes correlated with V1R, V6S, and V1R + V6S voltages (R = 0.29*, 0.23† and 0.35*, respectively. *p < 0.01, †p < 0.05) but not with V1R/S ratio. As LVMI increased from 44.6 (95%CI 42.9, 46.3) to 55.4 g/m2 (95%CI 52.3, 58.5) V6R and V6Q increased but V1S voltage did not. LVMI changes correlated with V6R, V6R-S, and V6(Q + R)-S voltages (R = 0.31*, 0.34*, and 0.38* respectively. *p < 0.01) but not with V1S or V6R/S (R = 0.01 and 0.18 respectively, p = NS).

CONCLUSIONS

During early infancy the RVMI decrease correlates best with the QRS axis shift and V1R + V6S voltage, and the LVMI increase correlates best with V6R-S and V6(Q + R)-S voltages.

Electrocardiographic R wave amplitude in V6 lead as a predictive marker of cardiac dysfunction in Duchenne muscular dystrophy

PURPOSE

Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is an inherited muscular disease characterized by progressive and fatal muscle weakness. Electrocardiographic (ECG) abnormalities, including abnormal R wave amplitudes are frequently observed in DMD. However, clinical implications of abnormal R wave amplitudes remain unclear. Hence, DMD patients were examined for changes in R wave amplitude over time using synthesized 18-lead ECG and the relationship between R wave amplitude and cardiac function.

METHODS

The results of 969 ECG examinations of 193 patients with DMD who underwent electrocardiography and echocardiography on the same day were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

A negative correlation was observed between R wave amplitude and age. Positive correlations between R wave amplitude and left ventricular ejection fraction were observed in leads V4, V5, V6, syn-V7, syn-V8, and syn-V9, with V6 showing the strongest correlation (r = 0.52). Mean R wave amplitude during cardiac dysfunction was lower than that observed with preserved cardiac function in leads V6 to syn-V9. Patients had preserved R wave amplitude up to three years before the onset of cardiac dysfunction, with a sharp decrease two years before cardiac dysfunction in leads V6 to syn-V9.

CONCLUSIONS

In DMD patients, the R wave amplitude decreases with age. The sharp decline in R amplitude two years before cardiac dysfunction indicates that electrophysiological damage to the myocardium of the left ventricle lateral to the posterior wall precedes the finding of cardiac dysfunction. The R amplitude in V6 of the standard 12-lead ECG is a convenient predictive marker of cardiac dysfunction, similar to that of the 18-lead ECG.

Electrocardiographic prediction of left ventricular hypertrophy in women and men with left bundle branch block - Comparison of QRS duration, amplitude and voltage-time-integral

BACKGROUND

Standard ECG criteria for left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy rely on QRS amplitudes. However, in the setting of left bundle branch block (LBBB), ECG correlates of LV hypertrophy are not well established. We sought to evaluate quantitative ECG predictors of LV hypertrophy in the presence of LBBB.

METHODS

We included adult patients with typical LBBB having ECG and transthoracic echocardiogram performed within 3 months of each other in 2010-2020. Orthogonal X, Y, Z leads were reconstructed from digital 12‑lead ECGs using Kors's matrix. In addition to QRS duration, we evaluated QRS amplitudes and voltage-time-integrals (VTIs) from all 12 leads, X, Y, Z leads and 3D (root-mean-squared) ECG. We used age, sex and BSA-adjusted linear regressions to predict echocardiographic LV calculations (mass, end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes, ejection fraction) from ECG, and separately generated ROC curves for predicting echocardiographic abnormalities.

RESULTS

We included 413 patients (53% women, age 73 ± 12 years). All 4 echocardiographic LV calculations were most strongly correlated with QRS duration (all p < 0.00001). In women, QRS duration ≥ 150 ms had sensitivity/specificity 56.3%/64.4% for increased LV mass and 62.7%/67.8% for increased LV end-diastolic volume. In men, QRS duration ≥ 160 ms had a sensitivity/specificity 63.1%/72.1% for increased LV mass and 58.3%/74.5% for increased LV end-diastolic volume. QRS duration was best able to discriminate eccentric hypertrophy (area under ROC curve 0.701) and increased LV end-diastolic volume (0.681).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with LBBB, QRS duration (≥ 150 in women and ≥ 160 in men) is a superior predictor of LV remodeling esp. eccentric hypertrophy and dilation.

Interrelations between albuminuria, electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality, and incident atrial fibrillation in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort

BACKGROUND

The objective of the study was to examine the joint associations of albuminuria and electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality (ECG-LAA) with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and whether this relationship varies by race.

METHODS

This analysis included 6670 participants free of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), including atrial fibrillation (AF), from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. ECG-LAA was defined as P-wave terminal force in V1 [PTFV1] >5000 μV × ms. Albuminuria was defined as urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) ≥30 mg/g. Incident AF events through 2015 were ascertained from hospital discharge records and study-scheduled electrocardiograms. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of "no albuminuria + no ECG-LAA (reference)", "isolated albuminuria", "isolated ECG-LAA" and "albuminuria + ECG-LAA" with incident AF.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 13.8 years, 979 incident cases of AF occurred. In adjusted models, the concomitant presence of ECG-LAA and albuminuria was associated with a higher risk of AF than either ECG-LAA or albuminuria in isolation (HR (95% CI): 2.43 (1.65-3.58), 1.33 (1.05-1.69), and 1.55 (1.27-1.88), respectively (interaction p-value = 0.50). Effect modification by race was observed with a 4-fold greater AF risk in Black participants with albuminuria + ECG-LAA (HR (95%CI): 4.37 (2.38-8.01) but no significant association in White participants (HR (95% CI) 0.60 (0.19-1.92) respectively; (interaction p-value for race x albuminuria-ECG-LAA combination = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Concomitant presence of ECG-LAA and albuminuria confers a higher risk of AF compared to either one in isolation with a stronger association in Blacks than Whites.

Identification of patients with dilated phase of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy using a convolutional neural network applied to multiple, dual, and single lead electrocardiograms

Background

This study sought to develop an artificial intelligence-derived model to detect the dilated phase of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (dHCM) on digital electrocardiography (ECG) and to evaluate the performance of the model applied to multiple-lead or single-lead ECG.

Methods

This is a retrospective analysis using a single-center prospective cohort study (Shinken Database 2010-2017, n = 19,170). After excluding those without a normal P wave on index ECG (n = 1,831) and adding dHCM patients registered before 2009 (n = 39), 17,378 digital ECGs were used. Totally 54 dHCM patients were identified of which 11 diagnosed at baseline, 4 developed during the time course, and 39 registered before 2009. The performance of the convolutional neural network (CNN) model for detecting dHCM was evaluated using eight-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead (I, II) ECGs with the five-fold cross validation method.

Results

The area under the curve (AUC) of the CNN model to detect dHCM (n = 54) with eight-lead ECG was 0.929 (standard deviation [SD]: 0.025) and the odds ratio was 38.64 (SD 9.10). Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the AUC was highest with the single lead of V5 (0.953 [SD: 0.038]), with an odds ratio of 58.89 (SD:68.56).

Conclusion

Compared with the performance of eight-lead ECG, the most similar performance was achieved with the model with a single V5 lead, suggesting that this single-lead ECG can be an alternative to eight-lead ECG for the screening of dHCM.

Comparing the effectiveness of asynchronous e-modules and didactic lectures to teach electrocardiogram interpretation to first year US medical students

BACKGROUND

Medical students are expected to be competent in interpreting electrocardiograms (ECGs) by the time they graduate, but many are unable to master this skill. Studies suggest that e-modules are an effective way to teach ECG interpretation, however they are typically evaluated for use during clinical clerkships. We sought to determine if an e-module could replace a didactic lecture to teach ECG interpretation during a preclinical cardiology course.

METHODS

We developed an asynchronous, interactive e-module that consisted of narrated videos, pop-up questions and quizzes with feedback. Participants were first year medical students who were either taught ECG interpretation during a 2-hour didactic lecture (control group) or were given unlimited access to the e-module (e-module group). First-year internal medicine residents (PGY1 group) were included to benchmark where ECG interpretation skills should be at graduation. At three time-points (pre-course, post-course, and 1-year follow-up), participants were evaluated for ECG knowledge and confidence. A mixed-ANOVA was used to compare groups over time. Students were also asked to describe what additional resources they used to learn ECG interpretation throughout the study.

RESULTS

Data was available for 73 (54%) students in the control group, 112 (81%) in the e-module group and 47 (71%) in the PGY1 group. Pre-course scores did not differ between the control and e-module groups (39% vs. 38%, respectively). However, the e-module group performed significantly better than the control group on the post-course test (78% vs. 66%). In a subsample with 1-year follow-up data, the e-module group's performance decreased, and the control group remained the same. The PGY1 groups' knowledge scores were stable over time. Confidence in both medical student groups increased by the end of the course, however only pre-course knowledge and confidence were significantly correlated. Most students relied on textbooks and course materials for learning ECG, however online resources were also utilized.

CONCLUSIONS

An asynchronous, interactive e-module was more effective than a didactic lecture for teaching ECG interpretation, however continued practice is needed regardless of how students learn to interpret ECGs. Various ECG resources are available to students to support their self-regulated learning.

Giant T-wave Inversion in an Older Patient With Sudden Loss of Consciousness

This case report describes a patient in their 60s with long-term uncontrolled hypertension and possible hip fracture followed by loss of consciousness.

Electrocardiographic markers of atrial cardiomyopathy and risk of heart failure in the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort

Background

The association of electrocardiographic (ECG) markers of atrial cardiomyopathy with heart failure (HF) and its subtypes is unclear.

Methods

This analysis included 6,754 participants free of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), including atrial fibrillation (AF), from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Five ECG markers of atrial cardiomyopathy (P-wave terminal force in V1 [PTFV1], deep-terminal negativity in V1 [DTNV1], P-wave duration [PWD], P-wave axis [PWA], advanced intra-atrial block [aIAB]) were derived from digitally recorded electrocardiograms. Incident HF events through 2018 were centrally adjudicated. An ejection fraction (EF) of 50% at the time of HF was used to classify HF as HF with reduced EF (HFrEF), HF with preserved EF (HFpEF), or unclassified HF. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the associations of markers of atrial cardiomyopathy with HF. The Lunn-McNeil method was used to compare the associations in HFrEF vs. HFpEF.

Results

413 HF events occurred over a median follow-up of 16 years. In adjusted models, abnormal PTFV1 (HR (95%CI): 1.56(1.15-2.13), abnormal PWA (HR (95%CI):1.60(1.16-2.22), aIAB (HR (95%CI):2.62(1.47-4.69), DTNPV1 (HR (95%CI): 2.99(1.63-7.33), and abnormal PWD (HR (95%CI): 1.33(1.02-1.73), were associated with increased HF risk. These associations persisted after further adjustments for intercurrent AF events. No significant differences in the strength of association of each ECG predictor with HFrEF and HFpEF were noted.

Conclusions

Atrial cardiomyopathy defined by ECG markers is associated with HF, with no differences in the strength of association between HFrEF and HFpEF. Markers of atrial Cardiomyopathy may help identify individuals at risk of developing HF.

Temporal trends in overweight and obesity and chronic disease risks among adolescents and young adults: A ten-year review at a tertiary institution in Nigeria

There is an increasing prevalence of obesity among college/university students in low- and middle-income countries, similar to the trend observed in high-income countries. This study aimed to describe the trend and burden of overweight/obesity and emerging associated chronic disease risks among students at the University of Ibadan (UI), Nigeria. This is a ten-year retrospective review of medical records of students (undergraduate and post-graduate) admitted between 2009 and 2018 at UI. Records of 60,168 participants were analysed. The Body Mass Index (BMI) categories were determined according to WHO standard definitions, and blood pressure was classified according to the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC7). The mean age of the participants was 24.8, SD 8.4 years. The majority were ≤ 40 years (95.1%). There was a slight male preponderance (51.5%) with a male-to-female ratio of 1.1:1; undergraduate students constituted 51.9%. The prevalence of underweight, overweight, and obesity were 10.5%, 18.7% and 7.2%, respectively. We found a significant association between overweight/obesity and older age, being female and undergoing postgraduate study (p = 0.001). Furthermore, females had a higher burden of coexisting abnormal BMI characterised by underweight (11.7%), overweight (20.2%) and obese (10.4%). Hypertension was the most prevalent obesity-associated non-communicable disease in the study population, with a prevalence of 8.1%. Also, a third of the study population (35.1%) had prehypertension. Hypertension was significantly associated with older age, male sex, overweight/obesity and family history of hypertension (p = 0.001). This study identified a higher prevalence of overweight and obesity than underweight among the participants, a double burden of malnutrition and the emergence of non-communicable disease risks with potential lifelong implications on their health and the healthcare system. To address these issues, cost-effective interventions are urgently needed at secondary and tertiary-level educational institutions.

Effects of balloon pulmonary angioplasty procedure on electrocardiographic parameters in patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

AIM

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the value of electrocardiography (ECG) in predicting postoperative hemodynamic improvement in patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) undergoing balloon pulmonary angioplasty (BPA).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 32 patients were included in the study. During ECG analysis, parameters that have been suggested to be related to right ventricular hypertrophy and/or dilatation were evaluated. The significance of the change in each parameter obtained at the pre-BPA visit and at the scheduled control visit 6 months after BPA was tested. In addition to ECG analysis, data related to right heart catheterization (RHC) and echocardiography, B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels and World Health Organization (WHO) functional classifications of all patients were also recorded. The relationship between the amount of possible change in ECG parameters and the amount of possible change in hemodynamic parameters was investigated.

RESULTS

The Daniel score, which has been suggested to have prognostic value in acute pulmonary embolism, decreased from 8.22 ± 5.68 to 6.56 ± 5.55 after the BPA procedure (p: 0.035). Among all parameters studied, only T wave height (V₂ t) in V₂ derivation changed significantly from -0.77 ± 2.39 to 1.27 ± 2.58 mm (p: 0.036). The amount of change in V₂ T was found to significantly correlate with the amount of change in systolic right ventricular pressure, mean pulmonary artery pressure, pulmonary vascular resistance, and systemic vascular resistance.

CONCLUSION

Postprocedural T wave changes in lead V2 might serve as a marker of hemodynamic improvement in patients with CTEPH who undergo BPA.

New electrocardiographic aspects of the P wave: Its value in clinical cardiology

In this article, we will comment on new aspects of P-wave morphology that help us to better diagnose atrial blocks and atrial enlargement, and their clinical implications. These include: (1) Atypical ECG patterns of advanced interatrial block; (2) The ECG diagnosis of left atrial enlargement versus interatrial block; (3) Atrial fibrillation and advanced interatrial block: The two sides of the same coin; and (4) P-wave parameters: Clinical implications.

Prognosis and subtype analysis of left ventricular noncompaction in adults: A retrospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) is a heterogeneous myocardial disorder with an uncertain prognosis. There was a lack of studies on LVNC subtypes at present. This study sought to identify the prognosis of the overall population of LVNC and to describe the distribution of different subtypes and compare their prognosis.

HYPOTHESIS

Patients with different subtypes of LVNC may have different prognoses.

METHODS

Patients who fulfilled the Jenni criteria and/or Petersen criteria were included. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were defined as a combination of heart failure (HF) hospitalization and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 200 patients from four hospitals were included. The mean age at diagnosis was 48.2 years, and 61.5% of the patients were male. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% was present in 54% of the patients. Over a mean retrospective time period of 22.2 months, 47 (23.5%) patients experienced MACE. Age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.06; p = .004), LVEF < 50% (HR 2.32; 95% CI 1.09-4.91; p = .028) and ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation (HR 2.17; 95% CI 1.08-4.37; p = .03) were significantly associated with the risk of MACE. The most common subtype was dilated LVNC (51.3%), followed by benign LVNC (21.3%) and LVNC with arrhythmias (10.5%). Patients with dilated LVNC had significantly increased cumulative incidence of MACE, HF hospitalization, and all-cause mortality (p < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Age, LVEF < 50%, and ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation were independent risk factors for prognosis of LVNC. The most common subtype was dilated LVNC, which had a worse prognosis.

Role of the electrocardiogram in the risk stratification of pulmonary hypertension

INTRODUCTION

The prognosis of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) remains dismal. Better risk prediction is needed. This study investigated the prognostic value of ECG characteristics.

METHODS

In this single-centre prospective study, consecutive treatment-naïve patients with PAH or CTEPH were included at time of diagnosis. From the 12-lead ECG, obtained at baseline, the following parameters were collected: heart rate (HR), rhythm, QRS axis, conduction times, P-top amplitudes in II, R-top and S-wave amplitudes in V1 and V5 and repolarisation disorders. Associations between the ECG and transplant-free survival was assessed by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox-proportional hazard regressions.

RESULTS

In total, 140 patients were included (median age: 60.7 years, 63.6% female). The ECG was abnormal in 86.2%: sinus rhythm was not present in 9.3%, right QRS axis was observed in 47.8%, mean QRS duration was 101±17 ms. Only 42.5% of the patients had normal repolarisation, 34.5% had right ventricular strain and 14.4% non-specific repolarisation disorders. Over a median follow-up time of 3.49 (IQR: 1.37-6.42) years, 45 patients (32.5%) died or underwent lung transplantation. Transplant-free survival was worse in patients presenting with an abnormal ECG (64.0% vs 86.0%; p=0.037). The following ECG characteristics were associated with all-cause mortality or lung transplantation: heart rate (HR 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.05), QRS duration >120 ms (HR 2.61, 95% CI: 1.01 to 6.71) and S-wave amplitude in V5 (HR 1.10, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.17).

CONCLUSION

Only 13.8% of patients with PAH and CTEPH presented with a normal ECG, which is associated with favourable outcome. The ECG provides additional prognostic value to current clinical parameters and should be considered in risk prediction.

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Model for Early Detection of Left Ventricular Hypertrophy and Mortality Prediction in Young to Middle-Aged Adults

BACKGROUND

Concealed left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is a prevalent condition that is correlated with a substantial risk of cardiovascular events and mortality, especially in young to middle-aged adults. Early identification of LVH is warranted. In this work, we aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled model for early detection and risk stratification of LVH using 12-lead ECGs.

METHODS

By deep learning techniques on the ECG recordings from 28 745 patients (20-60 years old), the AI model was developed to detect verified LVH from transthoracic echocardiography and evaluated on an independent cohort. Two hundred twenty-five patients from Japan were externally validated. Cardiologists' diagnosis of LVH was based on conventional ECG criteria. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity were applied to evaluate the model performance. A Cox regression model estimated the independent effects of AI-predicted LVH on cardiovascular or all-cause death.

RESULTS

The AUC of the AI model in diagnosing LVH was 0.89 (sensitivity: 90.3%, specificity: 69.3%), which was significantly better than that of the cardiologists' diagnosis (AUC, 0.64). In the second independent cohort, the diagnostic performance of the AI model was consistent (AUC, 0.86; sensitivity: 85.4%, specificity: 67.0%). After a follow-up of 6 years, AI-predicted LVH was independently associated with higher cardiovascular or all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.91 [1.04-3.49] and 1.54 [1.20-1.97], respectively). The predictive power of the AI model for mortality was consistently valid among patients of different ages, sexes, and comorbidities, including hypertension, diabetes, stroke, heart failure, and myocardial infarction. Last, we also validated the model in the international independent cohort from Japan (AUC, 0.83).

CONCLUSIONS

The AI model improved the detection of LVH and mortality prediction in the young to middle-aged population and represented an attractive tool for risk stratification. Early identification by the AI model gives every chance for timely treatment to reverse adverse outcomes.

Deep learning assessment of left ventricular hypertrophy based on electrocardiogram

Background

Current electrocardiogram (ECG) criteria of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) have low sensitivity. Deep learning (DL) techniques have been widely used to detect cardiac diseases due to its ability of automatic feature extraction of ECG. However, DL was rarely applied in LVH diagnosis. Our study aimed to construct a DL model for rapid and effective detection of LVH using 12-lead ECG.

Methods

We built a DL model based on convolutional neural network-long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) to detect LVH using 12-lead ECG. The echocardiogram and ECG of 1,863 patients obtained within 1 week after hospital admission were analyzed. Patients were evenly allocated into 3 sets at 3:1:1 ratio: the training set (n = 1,120), the validation set (n = 371) and the test set 1 (n = 372). In addition, we recruited 453 hospitalized patients into the internal test set 2. Different DL model of each subgroup was developed according to gender and relative wall thickness (RWT).

Results

The LVH was predicted by the CNN-LSTM model with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.62 (sensitivity 68%, specificity 57%) in the test set 1, which outperformed Cornell voltage criteria (AUC: 0.57, sensitivity 48%, specificity 72%) and Sokolow-Lyon voltage (AUC: 0.51, sensitivity 14%, specificity 96%). In the internal test set 2, the CNN-LSTM model had a stable performance in predicting LVH with an AUC of 0.59 (sensitivity 65%, specificity 57%). In the subgroup analysis, the CNN-LSTM model predicted LVH by 12-lead ECG with an AUC of 0.66 (sensitivity 72%, specificity 60%) for male patients, which performed better than that for female patients (AUC: 0.59, sensitivity 50%, specificity 71%).

Conclusion

Our study established a CNN-LSTM model to diagnose LVH by 12-lead ECG with higher sensitivity than current ECG diagnostic criteria. This CNN-LSTM model may be a simple and effective screening tool of LVH.

The Atrium in Atrial Fibrillation - A Clinical Review on How to Manage Atrial Fibrotic Substrates

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in the population and is associated with a significant clinical and economic burden. Rigorous assessment of the presence and degree of an atrial arrhythmic substrate is essential for determining treatment options, predicting long-term success after catheter ablation, and as a substrate critical in the pathophysiology of atrial thrombogenesis. Catheter ablation of AF has developed into an essential rhythm-control strategy. Nowadays is one of the most common cardiac ablation procedures performed worldwide, with its success inversely related to the extent of atrial structural disease. Although atrial substrate evaluation remains complex, several diagnostic resources allow for a more comprehensive assessment and quantification of the extent of left atrial structural remodeling and the presence of atrial fibrosis. In this review, we summarize the current knowledge on the pathophysiology, etiology, and electrophysiological aspects of atrial substrates promoting the development of AF. We also describe the risk factors for its development and how to diagnose its presence using imaging, electrocardiograms, and electroanatomic voltage mapping. Finally, we discuss recent data regarding fibrosis biomarkers that could help diagnose atrial fibrotic substrates.

Demographic and Methodological Heterogeneity in Electrocardiogram Signals From Guinea Pigs

Electrocardiograms (ECG) are universally used to measure the electrical activity of the heart; however, variations in recording techniques and/or subject demographics can affect ECG interpretation. In this study, we investigated variables that are likely to influence ECG metric measurements in cardiovascular research, including recording technique, use of anesthesia, and animal model characteristics. Awake limb lead ECG recordings were collected in vivo from adult guinea pigs using a platform ECG system, while recordings in anesthetized animals were performed using both a platform and needle ECG system. We report significant heterogeneities in ECG metric values that are attributed to methodological differences (e.g., ECG lead configuration, ECG recording platform, presence or absence of anesthesia) that persist even within the same cohort of animals. Further, we report that variability in animal demographics is preserved in vivo ECG recordings—with animal age serving as a significant contributor, while sex-specific influences were less pronounced. Methodological approaches and subject demographics should be fully considered when interpreting ECG values in animal models, comparing datasets between studies, or developing artificial intelligence algorithms that utilize an ECG database.

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiogram Predicted Left Ventricle Diameter as an Independent Risk Factor of Long-Term Cardiovascular Outcome in Patients With Normal Ejection Fraction

Background

Heart failure (HF) is a global disease with increasing prevalence in an aging society. However, the survival rate is poor despite the patient receiving standard treatment. Early identification of patients with a high risk of HF is important but challenging. Left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LV-D) increase was an independent risk factor of HF and adverse cardiovascular (CV) outcomes. In this study, we aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) system to detect LV-D increase early.

Objective

We developed a deep learning model (DLM) to predict left ventricular end-diastolic and end-systolic diameter (LV-D and LV-S) with internal and external validations and investigated the relationship between ECG-LV-D and echocardiographic LV-D and explored the contributions of ECG-LV-D on future CV outcomes.

Methods

Electrocardiograms and corresponding echocardiography data within 7 days were collected and paired for DLM training with 99,692 ECGs in the development set and 20,197 ECGs in the tuning set. The other 7,551 and 11,644 ECGs were collected from two different hospitals to validate the DLM performance in internal and external validation sets. We analyzed the association and prediction ability of ECG-LVD for CV outcomes, including left ventricular (LV) dysfunction, CV mortality, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and coronary artery disease (CAD).

Results

The mean absolute errors (MAE) of ECG-LV-D were 5.25/5.29, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUCs) were 0.8297/0.8072 and 0.9295/0.9148 for the detection of mild (56 ≦ LV-D < 65 mm) and severe (LV-D ≧ 65 mm) LV-D dilation in internal/external validation sets, respectively. Patients with normal ejection fraction (EF) who were identified as high ECHO-LV-D had the higher hazard ratios (HRs) of developing new onset LV dysfunction [HR: 2.34, 95% conference interval (CI): 1.78–3.08], CV mortality (HR 2.30, 95% CI 1.05–5.05), new-onset AMI (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.36–3.29), and CAD (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.26–2.00) in the internal validation set. In addition, the ECG-LV-D presents a 1.88-fold risk (95% CI 1.47–2.39) on new-onset LV dysfunction in the external validation set.

Conclusion

The ECG-LV-D not only identifies high-risk patients with normal EF but also serves as an independent risk factor of long-term CV outcomes.

Atrial cardiopathy and non-stenotic intracranial complicated atherosclerotic plaque in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source

OBJECTIVE

To assess (1) the association between atrial cardiopathy (AC) and non-stenotic intracranial complicated atherosclerotic plaque (NICAP) in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) or small-vessel disease (SVD), and (2) the performance of previously proposed biomarkers to identify AC as the underlying aetiology in ESUS.

METHODS

Based on our high-resolution MRI (HR-MRI) cohort, 403 subjects (243 ESUS and 160 SVD) were enrolled in the final analysis. All patients underwent intracranial HR-MRI to assess the presence of ipsilateral NICAP. Biomarkers of AC (ie, P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (PTFV1) on ECG, N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and left atrial diameter) were collected within 24 hours after admission.

RESULTS

Among patients without ipsilateral NICAP, we found an association between the presence of AC (adjusted OR (aOR): 4.76, 95% CI 2.48 to 9.14), increased PTFV1 (aOR: 5.70, 95% CI: 2.43 to 13.39) and NT-proBNP (aOR: 1.65, 95% CI: 1.16 to 2.35) with ESUS. This association was not evident among patients with ipsilateral NICAP. The discrimination between ESUS versus SVD by AC/AC-related biomarkers was significantly improved after excluding ipsilateral NICAP. Similarly, the discrimination between ESUS and SVD by ipsilateral NICAP was notably augmented after excluding AC, PTFV1 and NT-proBNP.

INTERPRETATION

AC is more prevalent in patients who had ESUS without ipsilateral NICAP compared with patients with, implying that AC and ipsilateral NICAP are two distinct, competing aetiologies of ESUS. Among the AC biomarkers studied in this analysis, PTFV1 seems to be the most informative.

Prevalence and long-term prognostic implications of prolonged QRS duration in left ventricular hypertrophy: a population-based observational cohort study

OBJECTIVES

ECG left ventricular hypertrophy (ECG-LVH) has been associated with left ventricular dysfunction and adverse prognosis, but little is known about the prevalence and prognostic significance of different levels of QRS duration in the presence of ECG-LVH in a general population.

DESIGN

Population-based observational prospective cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

Nationally representative random cluster of Finnish adult population.

METHODS

We assessed the prevalence and long-term (median 15.9 years) prognostic significance of QRS duration in ECG-LVH, and compared the risk to individuals without ECG-LVH in a predominantly middle-aged random sample of 6033 Finnish subjects aged over 30 years (mean age 52.2, SD 14.6 years), who participated in a health examination including a 12-lead ECG.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, incidence of heart failure (HF).

RESULTS

ECG-LVH was present in 1337 (22.2%) subjects; 403 of these (30.1%) had QRS duration ≥100 ms and 100 (7.5%) had ≥110 ms. The increased risk of mortality in ECG-LVH became evident after a QRS threshold of ≥100 ms. After controlling for known clinical risk factors, QRS 100-109 ms was associated with increased cardiovascular (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.88, p=0.045) and QRS≥110 ms with cardiovascular (1.74, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.82, p=0.025) and all-cause mortality (1.52, 95% CI 1.02 to 2.25, p=0.039) in ECG-LVH. The risk of new-onset HF was two-fold in subjects with QRS 100-109 ms and threefold in subjects with QRS ≥110 ms, even after adjustment for incident myocardial infarction within the follow-up. When the prognosis was compared with subjects without ECG-LVH, subjects with ECG-LVH but QRS duration <100 ms displayed similar mortality rates with or without ECG-LVH but higher rates of incident HF.

CONCLUSIONS

In ECG-LVH, the risk of excess mortality and new-onset HF markedly increases with longer QRS duration, but even QRS duration within normal limits in ECG-LVH carried a risk of HF compared with the risk in individuals without ECG-LVH.

Implication of Different ECG Left Ventricular Hypertrophy in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Background

Various ECG criteria for left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) have been proposed, but their association with clinical outcomes in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement is unknown. We investigated the prevalence of ECG LVH according to different criteria and its prognostic impact on clinical outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

Methods and Results

In this prospective observational cohort, we evaluated 700 patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement between March 2010 and December 2019. Baseline preprocedural LVH was defined by 3 ECG criteria—Sokolow‐Lyon, Romhilt‐Estes, and Cornell voltage criteria. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular event (MACCE; composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or rehospitalization from cardiovascular cause); the key secondary outcome was all‐cause and cardiovascular mortality. Among 596 eligible patients, the prevalence of LVH was determined as 56.3% by Sokolow‐Lyon, 31.1% by Romhilt‐Estes, and 48.1% by Cornell criteria. Regardless of the criteria, patients with ECG LVH had more severe aortic stenosis hemodynamics and higher left ventricular mass index. After multivariate adjustment, the presence of LVH by the Cornell criteria was significantly associated with lower risks of MACCE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.68; 95% CI, 0.51–0.91; P=0.009), all‐cause mortality (adjusted HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.34–0.90 [P=0.017]), and cardiovascular mortality (adjusted HR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.20–0.79 [P=0.008]). However, this association was absent with the Sokolow‐Lyon and Romhilt‐Estes criteria.

Conclusions

ECG LVH by Cornell criteria only was significantly associated with lower risks of MACCE and all‐cause or cardiovascular mortality.

Registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03298178.

CineECG: A novel method to image the average activation sequence in the heart from the 12-lead ECG

The standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is a diagnostic tool to asses cardiac electrical activity. The vectorcardiogram is a related tool that represents that activity as the direction of a vector. In this work we investigate CineECG, a new 12-lead ECG based analysis method designed to directly estimate the average cardiac anatomical location of activation over time. We describe CineECG calculation and a novel comparison parameter, the average isochrone position (AIP). In a model study, fourteen different activation sequences were simulated and corresponding 12-lead ECGs were computed. The CineECG was compared to AIP in terms of location and direction. In addition, 67-lead body surface potential maps from ten patients were used to study the sensitivity of CineECG to electrode mispositioning and anatomical model selection. Epicardial activation maps from four patients were used for further evaluation. The average distance between CineECG and AIP across the fourteen sequences was 23.7 ± 2.4 mm, with significantly better agreement in the terminal (27.3 ± 5.7 mm) versus the initial QRS segment (34.2 ± 6.1 mm). Up to four cm variation in electrode positioning produced an average distance of 6.5 ± 4.5 mm between CineECG trajectories, while substituting a generic heart/torso model for a patient-specific one produced an average difference of 6.1 ± 4.8 mm. Dominant epicardial activation map features were recovered. Qualitatively, CineECG captured significant features of activation sequences and was robust to electrode misplacement. CineECG provides a realistic representation of the average cardiac activation in normal and diseased hearts. In particular, the terminal segment of the CineECG might be useful to detect pathology.

Prognostic value of initial electrocardiography in predicting long-term all-cause mortality in COVID-19

BACKGROUND

The electrocardiography (ECG) has short-term prognostic value in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), yet its ability to predict long-term mortality is unknown. This study aimed to elucidate the predictive role of initial ECG on long-term all-cause mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, adults with COVID-19 who underwent ECG testing within a 17-hospital health system in Northeast Ohio and Florida between 03/2020-06/2020 were identified. An expert ECG reader analyzed all studies blinded to patient status. The associations of ECG characteristics with long-term all-cause mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression model and multivariable logistic regression models, respectively. Status of long-term mortality was adjudicated on 01/07/2022.

RESULTS

Of 837 patients (median age 65 years, 51% female, 44% Black), 683 (81.6%) were hospitalized, 281 (33.6%) required ICU admission, 67 (8.0%) died in-hospital, and 206 (24.6%) died at final follow-up after a median (IQR) of 21 (9-103) days after ECG. Overall, 179 (20.7%) patients presented with sinus tachycardia, 12 (1.4%) with atrial flutter, and 45 (5.4%) with atrial fibrillation (AF). After multivariable adjustment, sinus tachycardia (E-value for HR=3.09, lower CI=2.2) and AF (E-value for HR=3.13, lower CI=2.03) each independently predicted all-cause mortality. At final follow-up, patients with AF had 64.5% probability of death compared with 20.5% for those with normal sinus rhythm (P<.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Sinus tachycardia and AF on initial ECG strongly predict long-term all-cause mortality in COVID-19. The ECG can serve as a powerful long-term prognostic tool in COVID-19.

Optimizing ECG to detect echocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy with computer-based ECG data and machine learning

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular hypertrophy detected by echocardiography (Echo-LVH) is an independent predictor of mortality. Integration of the Philips DXL-16 algorithm into the electrocardiogram (ECG) extensively analyses the electricity of the heart. Machine learning techniques such as the C5.0 could lead to a new decision tree criterion to detect Echo-LVH.

OBJECTIVES

To search for a new combination of ECG parameters predictive of Echo-LVH. The final model is called the Cardiac Hypertrophy Computer-based model (CHCM).

METHODS

We extracted the 458 ECG parameters provided by the Philips DXL-16 algorithm in patients with Echo-LVH and controls. We used the C5.0 ML algorithm to train, test, and validate the CHCM. We compared its diagnostic performance to validate state-of-the-art criteria in our patient cohort.

RESULTS

We included 439 patients and considered an alpha value of 0.05 and a power of 99%. The CHCM includes T voltage in I (≤0.055 mV), peak-to-peak QRS distance in aVL (>1.235 mV), and peak-to-peak QRS distance in aVF (>0.178 mV). The CHCM had an accuracy of 70.5% (CI95%, 65.2-75.5), a sensitivity of 74.3%, and a specificity of 68.7%. In the external validation cohort (n = 156), the CHCM had an accuracy of 63.5% (CI95%, 55.4-71), a sensitivity of 42%, and a specificity of 82.9%. The accuracies of the most relevant state-of-the-art criteria were: Romhilt-Estes (57.4%, CI95% 49-65.5), VDP Cornell (55.7%, CI95%47.6-63.7), Cornell (59%, CI95%50.8-66.8), Dalfó (62.9%, CI95%54.7-70.6), Sokolow Lyon (53.9%, CI95%45.7-61.9), and Philips DXL-16 algorithm (54.5%, CI95%46.3-62.5).

CONCLUSION

ECG computer-based data and the C5.0 determined a new set of ECG parameters to predict Echo-LVH. The CHCM classifies patients as Echo-LVH with repolarization abnormalities or LVH with increased voltage. The CHCM has a similar accuracy, and is slightly more sensitive than the state-of-the-art criteria.

Usefulness of ECG criteria to rule out left ventricular hypertrophy in older individuals with true left bundle branch block: an observational study

Background

Advanced age is associated with both left bundle branch block (LBBB) and hypertension and the usefulness of ECG criteria to detect left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) in patients with LBBB is still unclear. The diagnostic performance and clinical applicability of ECG-based LVH criteria in patients with LBBB defined by stricter ECG criteria is unknown. The aim of this study was to compare diagnostic accuracy and clinical utility of ECG criteria in patients with advanced age and strict LBBB criteria.

Methods

Retrospective single-center study conducted from Jan/2017 to Mar/2018. Patients undergoing both ECG and echocardiogram examinations were included. Ten criteria for ECG-based LVH were compared using LVH defined by the echocardiogram as the gold standard. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, AUC, and the Brier score were used to compare diagnostic performance and a decision curve analysis was performed.

Results

From 4621 screened patients, 68 were included, median age was 78.4 years, (IQR 73.3–83.4), 73.5% with hypertension. All ECG criteria failed to provide accurate discrimination of LVH with AUC range between 0.54 and 0.67, and no ECG criteria had a balanced tradeoff between sensitivity and specificity. No ECG criteria consistently improved the net benefit compared to the strategy of performing routine echocardiogram in all patients in the decision curve analysis within the 10–60% probability threshold range.

Conclusion

ECG-based criteria for LVH in patients with advanced age and true LBBB lack diagnostic accuracy or clinical usefulness and should not be routinely assessed.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-021-02332-8.

Repolarization abnormalities on admission predict 1-year outcome in COVID-19 patients

Background

ECG abnormalities in COVID-19 have been widely reported, however data after discharge is limited. The aim was to describe ECG abnormalities on admission and following recovery of COVID-19, and their associated mortality.

Methods

All patients hospitalized in a tertiary care hospital between March 7th and July 1st 2020 with COVID-19 were included in a retrospective registry. The first ECG on admission was collected, together with an ECG after hospital discharge in the absence of acute pathology. Automated measures and clinical ECG interpretations were collected. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to predict 1-year all-cause mortality.

Results

In total 420 patients were included, of which 83 patients (19.8%) died during the 1-year follow-up period. Repolarization abnormalities were present in 189 patients (45.0%). The extent of repolarization abnormalities was an independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality (HR per region 1.30, 95%CI 1.04–1.64) together with age (/year HR 1.06, 95%CI 1.04–1.08), heart rate (/bpm HR 1.02, 95%CI 1.01–1.03), neurological disorders (HR 2.41, 95%CI 1.47–3.93), active cancer (HR 2.75, 95%CI 1.57–4.82), CRP (per 10 mg/L HR 1.05, 95%CI 1.02–1.08) and eGFR (per 10 mg/L HR 0.90, 95%CI 0.83–0.98).

In 245 patients (68.1%) an ECG post discharge was available. New repolarization abnormalities were more frequent in patients who died after discharge (4.7% versus 41.7%, p < 0.001) and 8 (3.3%) had new ventricular conduction defects, none of whom died during follow-up.

Conclusions

The presence and extent of repolarization abnormalities predicted outcome in patients with COVID-19. New repolarization abnormalities after discharge were associated with post-discharge mortality.