Severe hypoglycemia and the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in type 2 diabetes: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Estimating risk of consequences following hypoglycaemia exposure using the Hypo-RESOLVE cohort: a secondary analysis of pooled data from insulin clinical trials

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Whether hypoglycaemia increases the risk of other adverse outcomes in diabetes remains controversial, especially for hypoglycaemia episodes not requiring assistance from another person. An objective of the Hypoglycaemia REdefining SOLutions for better liVEs (Hypo-RESOLVE) project was to create and use a dataset of pooled clinical trials in people with type 1 or type 2 diabetes to examine the association of exposure to all hypoglycaemia episodes across the range of severity with incident event outcomes: death, CVD, neuropathy, kidney disease, retinal disorders and depression. We also examined the change in continuous outcomes that occurred following a hypoglycaemia episode: change in eGFR, HbA1c, blood glucose, blood glucose variability and weight.

METHODS

Data from 84 trials with 39,373 participants were pooled. For event outcomes, time-updated Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, diabetes duration and HbA1c were fitted to assess association between: (1) outcome and cumulative exposure to hypoglycaemia episodes; and (2) outcomes where an acute effect might be expected (i.e. death, acute CVD, retinal disorders) and any hypoglycaemia exposure within the last 10 days. Exposures to any hypoglycaemia episode and to episodes of given severity (levels 1, 2 and 3) were examined. Further adjustment was then made for a wider set of potential confounders. The within-person change in continuous outcomes was also summarised (median of 40.4 weeks for type 1 diabetes and 26 weeks for type 2 diabetes). Analyses were conducted separately by type of diabetes.

RESULTS

The maximally adjusted association analysis for type 1 diabetes found that cumulative exposure to hypoglycaemia episodes of any level was associated with higher risks of neuropathy, kidney disease, retinal disorders and depression, with risk ratios ranging from 1.55 (p=0.002) to 2.81 (p=0.002). Associations of a similar direction were found when level 1 episodes were examined separately but were significant for depression only. For type 2 diabetes cumulative exposure to hypoglycaemia episodes of any level was associated with higher risks of death, acute CVD, kidney disease, retinal disorders and depression, with risk ratios ranging from 2.35 (p<0.0001) to 3.00 (p<0.0001). These associations remained significant when level 1 episodes were examined separately. There was evidence of an association between hypoglycaemia episodes of any kind in the previous 10 days and death, acute CVD and retinal disorders in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes, with rate ratios ranging from 1.32 (p=0.017) to 2.68 (p<0.0001). These associations varied in magnitude and significance when examined separately by hypoglycaemia level. Within the range of hypoglycaemia defined by levels 1, 2 and 3, we could not find any evidence of a threshold at which risk of these consequences suddenly became pronounced.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

These data are consistent with hypoglycaemia being associated with an increased risk of adverse events across several body systems in diabetes. These associations are not confined to severe hypoglycaemia requiring assistance.

The association of glycaemic risk factors and diabetes duration with risk of heart failure in people with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

To conduct a systematic review in order to better understand the association of glycaemic risk factors and diabetes duration with risk of heart failure (HF) in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODS

We identified longitudinal studies investigating the association of glycaemic factors (glycated haemoglobin [HbA1c], HbA1c variability, and hypoglycaemia) and diabetes duration with HF in individuals with T2D. Hazard ratios and odds ratios were extracted and meta-analysed using a random-effects model where appropriate. Risk of bias assessment was carried out using a modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Egger's test along with the trim-and-fill method were used to assess and account for publication bias.

RESULTS

Forty studies representing 4 102 589 people met the inclusion criteria. The risk of developing HF significantly increased by 15% for each percentage point increase in HbA1c, by 2% for each additional year of diabetes duration, and by 43% for having a history of severe hypoglycaemia. Additionally, variability in HbA1c levels was associated with a 20%-26% increased risk of HF for each unit increase in the metrics of variability (HbA1c standard deviation, coefficient of variation, and average successive variability). All included studies scored high in the risk of bias assessment. Egger's test suggested publication bias, with trim-and-fill analyses revealing a significant 14% increased risk of HF per percentage point increase in HbA1c.

CONCLUSIONS

Glycaemic risk factors and diabetes duration significantly contribute to the heightened risk of HF among individuals with T2D. A reduction in risk of HF is anticipated with better management of glycaemic risk factors.

Personal and Social-Built Environmental Factors of Glucose Variability Among Multiethnic Groups of Adults With Type 2 Diabetes: Research Protocol Using Ecological Momentary Assessment, Continuous Glucose Monitoring, and Actigraphy

Glucose variability (GV)-the degree of fluctuation in glucose levels over a certain period of time-is emerging as an important parameter of dynamic glycemic control. Repeated glycemic oscillations have been reported to be the link to diabetes complications. This prospective observational study aims to: (1) identify multilevel risk factors (personal and social-built environmental factors) associated with high GV; (2) identify "within-person predictors" of high GV leveraging the intra-person data to inform future personalized diabetes interventions; and (3) examine which lifestyle factors either mediate or moderate the relationship between emotional well-being and GV among diverse adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We will recruit 200 adults with T2D from the community. All participants will complete baseline surveys assessing demographics, lifestyle, social-built environmental, and clinical factors. Real-time dynamic glucose levels will be measured using continuous glucose monitoring (CGM). Sleep, physical activity, diet/eating, and emotional well-being will be measured with an actigraphy device and a real-time self-report tool (ecological momentary assessment [EMA]) across 14 days. Two 24-h dietary recall data will be collected by online video calls. Generalized linear models, multilevel models, and structural equation models will be developed to achieve the study aims. The findings from the study will identify high-risk groups of high GV who would benefit from CGM to improve diabetes outcomes and inform the future development of personalized just-in-time interventions targeting lifestyle behaviors with an increased understanding of GV and by supporting healthcare providers' clinical decisions.

Holistic and Personalized Strategies for Managing in Elderly Type 2 Diabetes Patients

Due to increased life expectancy and lifestyle changes, the prevalence of diabetes among the elderly in Korea is continuously rising, as is the associated public health burden. Diabetes management in elderly patients is complicated by age-related physiological changes, sarcopenia characterized by loss of muscle mass and function, comorbidities, and varying levels of functional, cognitive, and mobility abilities that lead to frailty. Moreover, elderly patients with diabetes frequently face multiple chronic conditions that elevate their risk of cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and mortality; they are also prone to complications such as hyperglycemic hyperosmolar state, diabetic ketoacidosis, and severe hypoglycemia. This review examines the characteristics of and management approaches for diabetes in the elderly, and advocates for a comprehensive yet personalized strategy.

Association between METS-IR and heart failure: a cross-sectional study

Background

Prior research has indicated the importance of insulin resistance in the development of heart failure (HF). The metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR), a novel measure for assessing insulin resistance, has been found to be associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Nevertheless, the relationship between METS-IR and heart failure remains uncertain.

Methods

This cross-sectional study collected data from the 2007-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression analysis and smoothing curve fitting were performed to explore the relationship between METS-IR and the risk of heart failure. Subgroup analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were also conducted.

Results

A total of 14772 patients were included, of whom 485 (3.28%) had heart failure. We observed a significant positive association between METS-IR and the risk of heart failure in a fully adjusted model (per 1-unit increment in METS-IR: OR: 2.44; 95% CI: 1.38, 4.32). Subgroup analysis and interaction tests revealed no significant influence on this relationship. A saturation effect and nonlinear relationship between METS-IR and heart failure risk were found using a smoothing curve fitting analysis. The relationship was represented by a J-shaped curve with an inflection point at 40.966.

Conclusions

The results of our study indicated a J-shaped association between METS-IR and HF in adults in the United States. METS-IR may be a promising novel index for predicting the risk of heart failure. More longitudinal studies are needed to further verify causal relationships and validate the results in different classifications of heart failure populations.

Impacts of medication adherence and home healthcare on the associations between polypharmacy and the risk of severe hypoglycemia among elderly diabetic patients in Taiwan from 2002 to 2012: A nationwide case-crossover study

AIM

To assess how medication adherence and home healthcare support influence the role of polypharmacy in induced hypoglycemia events among elderly diabetic patients.

METHODS

This case-crossover study retrieved records on diabetic patients >=65 years with severe hypoglycemia from 2002 to 2012 in Taiwan. Case period defined as 1-3 days before severe hypoglycemia was compared with a preceding control period of the same length, with an all-washout period of 30 days. Moreover, the modifiable effects of medication adherence and home healthcare service use were evaluated by stratified analysis.

RESULTS

Totally 2,237 patients were identified. Polypharmacy use was associated with the risk of severe hypoglycemia. Patients receiving polypharmacy without home healthcare services (aOR: 1.34; 95 % CI: 1.16-1.54) and those with poor adherence to anti-diabetic medications (aOR: 1.48; 95 % CI: 1.24-1.77) were significantly associated with an elevated risk of severe hypoglycemia. In patients with good adherence, non-home healthcare users being prescribed with polypharmacy had a higher risk of severe hypoglycemia. In the group that received home healthcare services, patients with poor adherence using polypharmacy had a higher risk of severe hypoglycemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Good adherence and receiving home healthcare services were associated with a decreased odds of severe hypoglycemic events in elderly diabetic patients, regardless of the fact whether they were prescribed with polypharmacy.

Glycated Hemoglobin Variability Is Associated With Adverse Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure Irrespective of Diabetic Status

BACKGROUND

The effect of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) variability on adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF) is unclear. We aim to investigate the predictive value of HbA1c variability on the risks of all-cause death and HF rehospitalization in patients with HF irrespective of their diabetic status.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using a previously validated territory-wide clinical data registry, HbA1c variability was assessed by average successive variability (ASV) or SD of all HbA1c measurements after HF diagnosis. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% CI. A total of 65 950 patients with HF were included in the study. Over a median follow-up of 6.7 (interquartile range, 4.0-10.6) years, 34 508 patients died and 52 446 required HF rehospitalization. Every unit increment of variability in HbA1c was significantly associated with higher HF rehospitalization (HR ASV, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.18-1.23]) and all-cause death (HR ASV, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.47-1.53]). Diabetes significantly modified the association between HbA1c variability and outcomes (Pinteraction<0.001). HbA1c variability in patients with HF without diabetes conferred a higher risk of rehospitalization (HR ASV, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.70-2.17] versus HR ASV, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.17-1.21]), and all-cause death (HR ASV, 3.90 [95% CI, 3.31-4.61] versus HR ASV, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.43-1.50] compared with patients with diabetes).

CONCLUSIONS

HbA1c variability is significantly associated with greater risk of rehospitalization and all-cause death in patients with HF, irrespective of their diabetic status. These observations were more pronounced in patients with HF without diabetes.

Ongoing burden and recent trends in severe hospitalised hypoglycaemia events in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes in Scotland: A nationwide cohort study 2016-2022

AIMS

We examined severe hospitalised hypoglycaemia (SHH) rates in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes in Scotland during 2016-2022, stratifying by sociodemographics.

METHODS

Using the Scottish National diabetes register (SCI-Diabetes), we identified people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes alive anytime during 2016-2022. SHH events were determined through linkage to hospital admission and death registry data. We calculated annual SHH rates overall and by age, sex, and socioeconomic status. Summary estimates of time and stratum effects were obtained by fitting adjusted generalised additive models using R package mgcv.

RESULTS

Rates for those under 20 with type 1 diabetes reached their minimum at the 2020-2021 transition, 30% below the study period average. A gradual decline over time also occurred among 20-49-year-olds with type 1 diabetes. Overall, females had 15% higher rates than males with type 2 diabetes (rate ratio 1.15, 95% CI 1.08-1.22). People in the most versus least deprived quintile experienced 2.58 times higher rates (95% CI 2.27-2.93) in type 1 diabetes and 2.33 times higher (95% CI 2.08-2.62) in type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite advances in care, SHH remains a significant problem in diabetes. Future efforts must address the large socioeconomic disparities in SHH risks.

The role of basal insulins in the treatment of people with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease: A narrative review

The majority of cases of chronic kidney disease (CKD) worldwide are driven by the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D), resulting in an increase in CKD rates over the past few decades. The existence of CKD alongside diabetes is associated with increased burden of cardiovascular disease and increased risk of death. Optimal glycaemic control is essential to prevent progression of CKD, but achieving glycaemic targets in people with CKD and diabetes can be challenging because of increased risk of hypoglycaemia and limitations on glucose-lowering therapeutic options. This review considers the challenges in management of T2D in people with impaired kidney function and assesses evidence for use of basal insulin analogues in people with CKD.

Relationship between glycated hemoglobin levels and three-month outcomes in acute ischemic stroke patients with or without diabetes: a prospective Korean cohort study

OBJECTIVE

In patients experiencing acute ischemic stroke, there is ongoing debate surrounding the connection between chronic hyperglycemic status and their initial clinical outcomes. Our objective was to examine the connection between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and adverse clinical outcomes at both 3-months adverse clinical outcomes in individuals with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with and without diabetes.

METHODS

The present prospective cohort study involved 896 AIS patients without diabetes and 628 with diabetes treated at a South Korean hospital from January 2010 to December 2016. The target independent variable is HbA1c. The outcome variable is a modified Rankin scale score ≥ 3. A binary logistic regression model was applied to assess the connection between HbA1c levels and 3-month poor clinical outcomes in AIS patients with and without diabetes. Additionally, a generalized additive model and smoothed curve fitting were utilized to explore potential nonlinear associations between HbA1c levels and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with and without diabetes.

RESULTS

The binary logistic regression model could not identify any statistically significant connection between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients, both those with and without diabetes, after correcting for various factors. However, a nonlinear relationship emerged between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with diabetes. The inflection point for HbA1c was determined to be 6.1%. For HbA1c values ≤ 6.1%, an inverse association was observed between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in diabetic AIS patients, and each 1% increase in HbA1c in AIS patients with DM was associated with an 87% reduction in 3-month adverse clinical outcomes (OR = 0.13, 95% CI: 0.02-0.81). Conversely, when HbA1c exceeded 6.1%, a positive association between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes became apparent in diabetic AIS patients, and each 1% increase in HbA1c in AIS patients with DM was associated with a 23% increase in 3-month adverse clinical outcomes (OR = 1.23, 95%CI: 1.03-1.47). However, it's important to note that no significant linear or nonlinear relationships were observed between HbA1c levels and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients without diabetes.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest a nonlinear connection and threshold effect between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with diabetes. AIS patients with diabetes had a lower risk of 3-month adverse clinical outcomes when their HbA1c control was close to 6.1%. Our findings may aid treatment decision-making and potentially guide interventions to optimize glycemic control in AIS patients.

The optimal blood glucose is significantly associated with lower mortality in critically ill patients with cardiogenic shock: an analysis revealed with time series blood glucose records

BACKGROUND

The optimal blood glucose (BG) level for patients with cardiogenic shock in the intensive care unit (ICU) remains unclear. Studies have found that both excessively high and low BG levels contribute to adverse cardiovascular events. Our study aims to investigate the optimal BG level for critically ill patients with cardiogenic shock and evaluate the effects of optimal BG on the prognosis of patients.

METHODS

A total of 2013 patients with cardiogenic shock obtained from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) IV database were included in the final cohort for our retrospective observational study for data analysis. The exposure was time-weighted average BG (TWA-BG), which was calculated by the time-series BG records and corresponding time stamps of patients with cardiogenic shock during their stay in the ICU. The cut-off value of TWA-BG was identified by the restricted cubic spline curve and included patients were categorized into three groups: low TWA-BG group (TWA-BG ≤ 104 mg/dl), optimal TWA-BG group (104 < TWA-BG ≤ 138 mg/dl), and high TWA-BG group (TWA-BG > 138 mg/dl). The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, and the secondary outcomes were ICU and in-hospital mortality. We performed the log-rank test to detect whether there is a difference in mortality among different groups in the original cohort. Multiple distinct models were employed to validate the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

Our study revealed that the optimal BG level for critically ill patients with cardiogenic shock is 104-138 mg/dl. Compared to the optimal TWA-BG group, the low TWA-BG group (hazard ratio (HR): 1.67, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19-2.33, p = 0.002) and high TWA-BG group (HR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.46-2.03, p < 0.001) exhibited higher 28-day mortality. Similarly, the low TWA-BG group and high TWA-BG group demonstrated higher risks in terms of ICU mortality (low TWA-BG group: HR: 2.30, 95% CI: 1.40-3.79, p < 0.001; high TWA-BG group: HR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.45-2.17, p < 0.001) and in-hospital mortality (low TWA-BG group: HR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.19-2.51, p = 0.001; high TWA-BG group: HR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.38-1.95, p < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis conducted through propensity score matching and the subgroup analysis further substantiated the robustness of the results.

CONCLUSION

The optimal BG level for patients with cardiogenic shock is 104-138 mg/dl. BG levels below 104 mg/dl and above 138 mg/dl were associated with a less favorable prognosis.

The Current Place of DPP4 Inhibitors in the Evolving Landscape of Type 2 Diabetes Management: Is It Time to Bid Adieu?

During the last decade, the landscape of type 2 diabetes (T2D) management has been completely transformed, moving from a glucose-centric perspective to a holistic approach that also takes into account weight control and organ protection. Dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i) are oral agents that have been used for the treatment of T2D for almost 20 years. Although they present an excellent safety profile, including the risk of hypoglycemia, they lack the spectacular cardiorenal benefits and weight-loss effects of the newer antidiabetic agents. This poses the question of whether they still deserve a place in the arsenal of drugs against T2D. In this article, we use a hypothetical case scenario to illustrate possible patient profiles where DPP4i could prove useful in the clinical setting. We discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the category, focusing on glycemic control, weight management, and cardiorenal protection, which are the pillars of modern T2D management, also considering its safety profile and cost-effectiveness. We conclude that in most cases, DPP4i present a more favorable risk-benefit ratio compared to sulfonylureas, which are still widely prescribed throughout the world. We also suggest that future research should clarify the reasons behind the contradictory findings between human and animal studies on cardiorenal effects of the class and identify subgroups of patients who would derive most benefit with DPP4i treatment.

Cost-Effectiveness of Glucose-Lowering Therapies as Add-on to Standard Care for People With Type 2 Diabetes in Malaysia

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of various glucose-lowering therapies as add-on to standard care for people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) in Malaysia.

METHODS

A state-transition microsimulation model was developed to compare the clinical and economic outcomes of 4 treatments: standard care, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is), and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists. Cost-effectiveness was assessed from a healthcare provider's perspective over a lifetime horizon with 3% discount rate in a hypothetical cohort of people with T2D. Data input were informed from literature and local data when available. Outcome measures include costs, quality-adjusted life-years, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, and net monetary benefits. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess uncertainties.

RESULTS

Over a lifetime horizon, the costs to treat a person with T2D ranged from RM 12 494 to RM 41 250, whereas the QALYs gains ranged from 6.155 to 6.731, depending on the treatment. Based upon a willingness-to-pay threshold of RM 29 080 per QALY, we identified SGLT2i as the most cost-effective glucose-lowering treatment, as add-on to standard care over patient's lifetime, with the net monetary benefit of RM 176 173 and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of RM 12 279 per QALY gained. The intervention also added 0.577 QALYs and 0.809 LYs compared with standard care. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curve showed that SGLT2i had the highest probability of being cost-effective in Malaysia across varying willingness-to-pay threshold. The results were robust to various sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

SGLT2i was found to be the most cost-effective intervention to mitigate diabetes-related complications.

Precision subclassification of type 2 diabetes: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Heterogeneity in type 2 diabetes presentation and progression suggests that precision medicine interventions could improve clinical outcomes. We undertook a systematic review to determine whether strategies to subclassify type 2 diabetes were associated with high quality evidence, reproducible results and improved outcomes for patients.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Embase for publications that used 'simple subclassification' approaches using simple categorisation of clinical characteristics, or 'complex subclassification' approaches which used machine learning or 'omics approaches in people with established type 2 diabetes. We excluded other diabetes subtypes and those predicting incident type 2 diabetes. We assessed quality, reproducibility and clinical relevance of extracted full-text articles and qualitatively synthesised a summary of subclassification approaches.

RESULTS

Here we show data from 51 studies that demonstrate many simple stratification approaches, but none have been replicated and many are not associated with meaningful clinical outcomes. Complex stratification was reviewed in 62 studies and produced reproducible subtypes of type 2 diabetes that are associated with outcomes. Both approaches require a higher grade of evidence but support the premise that type 2 diabetes can be subclassified into clinically meaningful subtypes.

CONCLUSION

Critical next steps toward clinical implementation are to test whether subtypes exist in more diverse ancestries and whether tailoring interventions to subtypes will improve outcomes.

Mitophagy disorder mediates cardiac deterioration induced by severe hypoglycemia in diabetic mice

Severe hypoglycemia is closely related to adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with diabetes; however, the specific mechanism remains unclear. We previously found that severe hypoglycemia aggravated myocardial injury and cardiac dysfunction in diabetic mice, and that the mechanism of damage was related to mitochondrial oxidative stress and dysfunction. Based on the key regulatory role of mitophagy in mitochondrial quality control, this study aimed to further explore whether the myocardial damage caused by severe hypoglycemia is related to insufficient mitophagy and to clarify their underlying regulatory relationship. After severe hypoglycemia, mitochondrial reactive oxygen species increased, mitochondrial membrane potential and ATP content decreased, and pathological mitochondrial damage was aggravated in the myocardium of diabetic mice. This was accompanied by decreased mitochondrial biosynthesis, increased fusion, and downregulated PTEN-induced kinase 1 (PINK1)/Parkin-dependent mitophagy. Treating diabetic mice with the mitophagy activator and polyphenol metabolite urolithin A activated PINK1/Parkin-dependent mitophagy, reduced myocardial oxidative stress and mitochondrial damage associated with severe hypoglycemia, improved mitochondrial function, alleviated myocardial damage, and ultimately improved cardiac function. Thus, we provide insight into the prevention and treatment of diabetic myocardial injury caused by hypoglycemia to reduce adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with diabetes.

Association of hypoglycaemia with the risks of arrhythmia and mortality in individuals with diabetes - a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Hypoglycaemia has been linked to an increased risk of cardiac arrhythmias by causing autonomic and metabolic alterations, which may be associated with detrimental outcomes in individuals with diabetes(IWD), such as cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and mortality, especially in multimorbid or frail people. However, such relationships in this population have not been thoroughly investigated. For this reason, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Methods

Relevant papers published on PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Knowledge, Scopus, and CINHAL complete from inception to December 22, 2022 were routinely searched without regard for language. All of the selected articles included odds ratio, hazard ratio, or relative risk statistics, as well as data for estimating the connection of hypoglycaemia with cardiac arrhythmia, CVD-induced death, or total death in IWD. Regardless of the heterogeneity assessed by the I2 statistic, pooled relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were obtained using random-effects models.

Results

After deleting duplicates and closely evaluating all screened citations, we chose 60 studies with totally 5,960,224 participants for this analysis. Fourteen studies were included in the arrhythmia risk analysis, and 50 in the analysis of all-cause mortality. Hypoglycaemic patients had significantly higher risks of arrhythmia occurrence (RR 1.42, 95%CI 1.21-1.68), CVD-induced death (RR 1.59, 95% CI 1.24-2.04), and all-cause mortality (RR 1.68, 95% CI 1.49-1.90) compared to euglycaemic patients with significant heterogeneity.

Conclusion

Hypoglycaemic individuals are more susceptible to develop cardiac arrhythmias and die, but evidence of potential causal linkages beyond statistical associations must await proof by additional specifically well planned research that controls for all potential remaining confounding factors.

Different levels of hypoglycemia in patients with type 2 diabetes, their achieved mean HbA1c vs. all-cause and cardiovascular mortality

AIM

In patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), levels of hypoglycemia and their risk of mortality are not well understood. The aim of this study was to ascertain the correlation among disparate levels of hypoglycemia and patients with T2D's achieved mean glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

METHODS

27,932 T2D patients taking hypoglycemic medications at outpatient visits for more than 6 months between 2008 and 2018 were linked to Taiwan's National Death Registry. We determined the respective mortality rates with Poisson assumption, and explored the relative risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality according to dissimilar levels of hypoglycemia with their achieved mean HbA1c by Cox proportional hazard regression model with adjustment of potential confounders.

RESULTS

T2D patients with level 3 hypoglycemia had the highest rates of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Compared with those who never encountered hypoglycemia, study subjects with level 1 and level 2 hypoglycemia did not show excessive risks of either all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. Only those with level 3 hypoglycemia revealed marginal risk of all-cause (Hazard ratio [HR]: 1.18; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.04-1.33) but not cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.16; 95% CI 0.88-1.53). In T2D patients with hypoglycemia, only those with mean HbA1c ≥9.0% increased all-cause mortality in level 3 hypoglycemia, and cardiovascular mortality in level 1 hypoglycemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated risk of all-cause mortality was exclusively found in patients with level 3 hypoglycemia. In T2D patients with hypoglycemia, mean HbA1c ≥ 9% increased all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. Aggressive treatment of accompanying serious illness in severe hypoglycemia may help reduce mortality in patients with T2DM.

Systematic review of precision subclassification of type 2 diabetes

Heterogeneity in type 2 diabetes presentation, progression and treatment has the potential for precision medicine interventions that can enhance care and outcomes for affected individuals. We undertook a systematic review to ascertain whether strategies to subclassify type 2 diabetes are associated with improved clinical outcomes, show reproducibility and have high quality evidence. We reviewed publications that deployed 'simple subclassification' using clinical features, biomarkers, imaging or other routinely available parameters or 'complex subclassification' approaches that used machine learning and/or genomic data. We found that simple stratification approaches, for example, stratification based on age, body mass index or lipid profiles, had been widely used, but no strategy had been replicated and many lacked association with meaningful outcomes. Complex stratification using clustering of simple clinical data with and without genetic data did show reproducible subtypes of diabetes that had been associated with outcomes such as cardiovascular disease and/or mortality. Both approaches require a higher grade of evidence but support the premise that type 2 diabetes can be subclassified into meaningful groups. More studies are needed to test these subclassifications in more diverse ancestries and prove that they are amenable to interventions.

Effectiveness of the SUGAR intervention on hypoglycaemia in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes: A pragmatic randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

A pharmacist-led, individualised, educational intervention (SUGAR) was formulated to prevent hypoglycaemia among elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Jordan.

OBJECTIVE(S)

To evaluate the effectiveness of the SUGAR intervention added to usual care compared with usual care only in preventing hypoglycaemic attacks in elderly patients with T2DM in Jordan.

METHODS

A single-centre, pragmatic, open-label, randomised controlled trial with embedded process evaluation was conducted at the outpatient clinics of a hospital in Jordan. Elderly patients (≥65 years) with T2DM and on sulfonylurea, insulin, or at least three anti-diabetic medications were recruited and parallelly randomised to the SUGAR intervention with usual care or the control (usual care) groups. The primary outcome was the rate of total hypoglycaemic attacks per patient after 3 months from randomisation. Secondary outcomes included rate of hypoglycaemia subtypes, the incidence of any and subtypes of hypoglycaemia, hypoglycaemia-free survival probability, and incidence of fasting hyperglycaemia necessitating therapy modification. Outcomes were measured through glucose meters and diaries, assessed at 3 months, and analysed by intention to treat.

RESULTS

A total of 212 participants (mean age 68.98 years, 58.96% men) were randomly allocated (106 in each group), with 190 (89.62%) participants completing the study. The mean of total hypoglycaemic attacks was less in the intervention group compared with the control group (3.91 [SD 7.65] vs. 6.87 [SD 11.99]; p < 0.0001) at three months. The intervention significantly reduced the rate of hypoglycaemia subtypes; the odds to experience any, severe, and symptomatic hypoglycaemia; and increased hypoglycaemia-free survival probability compared with the control group at three months. Incidence of fasting hyperglycaemia necessitating therapy modification was similar between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The SUGAR intervention can prevent hypoglycaemia without increasing the risk of fasting hyperglycaemia warranting therapy adjustment in elderly Jordanians with T2DM.

Preclinical exploration of combined glucagon inhibition and liver-preferential insulin for treatment of diabetes using in vitro assays and rat and mouse models

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Normalisation of blood glucose in individuals with diabetes is recommended to reduce development of diabetic complications. However, risk of severe hypoglycaemia with intensive insulin therapy is a major obstacle that prevents many individuals with diabetes from obtaining the recommended reduction in HbA_1c. Inhibition of glucagon receptor signalling and liver-preferential insulin action have been shown individually to have beneficial effects in preclinical models and individuals with diabetes (i.e. improved glycaemic control), but also have effects that are potential safety risks (i.e. alpha cell hyperplasia in response to glucagon receptor antagonists and increased levels of liver triacylglycerols and plasma alanine aminotransferase activity in response to glucagon receptor antagonists and liver-preferential insulin). We hypothesised that a combination of glucagon inhibition and liver-preferential insulin action in a dual-acting molecule would widen the therapeutic window. By correcting two pathogenic mechanisms (dysregulated glucagon signalling and non-physiological distribution of conventional insulin administered s.c.), we hypothesised that lower doses of each component would be required to obtain sufficient reduction of hyperglycaemia, and that the undesirable effects that have previously been observed for monotreatment with glucagon antagonists and liver-preferential insulin could be avoided.

METHODS

A dual-acting glucagon receptor inhibitor and liver-preferential insulin molecule was designed and tested in rodent models (normal rats, rats with streptozotocin-induced hyperglycaemia, db/db mice and mice with diet-induced obesity and streptozotocin-induced hyperglycaemia), allowing detailed characterisation of the pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic properties of the dual-acting molecule and relevant control compounds, as well as exploration of how the dual-acting molecule influenced glucagon-induced recovery and spontaneous recovery from acute hypoglycaemia.

RESULTS

This molecule normalised blood glucose in diabetic models, and was markedly less prone to induce hypoglycaemia than conventional insulin treatment (approximately 4.6-fold less potent under hypoglycaemic conditions than under normoglycaemic conditions). However, compared to treatment with conventional long-acting insulin, this dual-acting molecule also increased triacylglycerol levels in the liver (approximately 60%), plasma alanine aminotransferase levels (approximately twofold) and alpha cell mass (approximately twofold).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

While the dual-acting glucagon receptor inhibitor and liver-preferential insulin molecule showed markedly improved regulation of blood glucose, effects that are potential safety concerns persisted in the pharmacologically relevant dose range.

Oral Health and Risk of Retinal Vascular Occlusions: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Retinal vascular occlusions are a common cause of visual loss. The association between oral health and the risk of retinal vascular occlusions remains unknown. We investigated whether oral health was associated with the risk of retinal vascular occlusions. We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 138,484 participants who completed a national health screening program with an oral health examination from the National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort (NHIS-HEALS) 2002-2015. Oral health markers, such as the presence of periodontitis, tooth loss, and dental caries, and the frequency of daily tooth brushing, were evaluated. The primary outcome was the occurrence of retinal vascular occlusions up to December 2015. In total, 2533 participants developed retinal vascular occlusions (215 with retinal artery occlusion, 1686 with retinal vein occlusion, 632 with unspecified retinal vascular occlusion). In the multivariable Cox regression analysis, periodontitis was an independent risk factor for retinal vascular occlusions (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.18; 95% confidence interval: 1.02-1.36; p = 0.024). Frequent tooth brushing was negatively associated with the risk of retinal vascular occlusions (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.89; 95% confidence interval: 0.80-0.98; p = 0.022). Improving oral hygiene may contribute to the attenuation of the risk of retinal vascular occlusions.

Hypoglycemia prevention practice and associated factors among diabetes mellitus patients in Ethiopia: Systematic review and meta-analyssis

BACKGROUND

Hypoglycemia is an urgent, life-threatening condition that requires prompt recognition and treatment for diabetes mellitus patients to prevent organ and brain damage. Hypoglycemia is one of the most important complications of diabetes mellitus patients around the globe. Hypoglycemia may increase vascular events and even death, in addition to other possible detrimental effects. In spite of the absence of other risk factors, patients receiving intensive insulin therapy are more likely to experience hypoglycemia. To reduce the risk of hypoglycemia and calculate the combined prevalence of hypoglycemia prevention practices among diabetes mellitus patients, recognition of hypoglycemia is critical.

OBJECTIVE

The main aim of this review was to evaluate the available data on Ethiopian diabetes mellitus patients' practices for preventing hypoglycemia and related factors.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This review was searched using PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Google, Google Scholar, and the Web of Sciences. Microsoft Excel was used to extract the data. All statistical analyses were done using STATA Version 14 software with a random-effects model. The funnel plot and heterogeneity of the studies were checked. Subgroup analysis was done with the study area and authors' names.

RESULTS

In this systematic review, 12 studies totaling 3,639 participants were included. The estimated overall practice for preventing hypoglycemia among diabetic patients in Ethiopia were 48.33% (95% CI (28.21%, 68.46%, I2 = 99.7%, p ≤ 0.001). According to the subgroup analysis based on region, the highest estimated prevalence of the prevention practice of hypoglycemia among diabetes patients in Addis Ababa was 90%, followed by SNNRP at 76.18% and in the Amhara region at 68.31% respectively. The least prevalent was observed in the Oromia region 6.10%. In this meta-analysis, diagnoses with type II diabetes (AOR = 2.53, 95%CI: 1.05, 4.04), duration (AOR = 5.49, 95%CI:3.27,7.70), taking insulin for a long time(AOR = 4.31,95%CI:2.60,6.02), having good prevention knowledge (AOR = 2.89, 95%CI: 1.15,4.23), and occupation (AOR = 4.17, 95%CI: 2.20, 6.15) were significantly associated with hypoglycemia prevention practice.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review revealed that diabetic patients in Ethiopia had poor hypoglycemia prevention practices. Being an employee, taking insulin for a long time, having a good prevention practice, and having a type of diabetes mellitus were strongly correlated with practicing hypoglycemia prevention. This review implied the subsequent need for educational interventions for an individualized patient.

Impact of hypoglycemia at the time of hospitalization for heart failure from emergency department on major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with and without type 2 diabetes

Background

Few studies have examined the association between hypoglycemic episodes among people with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) at the time of hospitalization for heart failure (HF) and cardiovascular outcomes.

Methods

From March 2016 to June 2018, we conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate hypoglycemia during HF hospitalization in the emergency department, three-point major adverse cardiovascular events (3P-MACE), and all-cause mortality; these were followed up through June 2021. HF hospitalization was defined according to American Heart Association criteria. Hypoglycemia was defined as a glucose level < 3.9 mmol/L at the time of HF hospitalization. We classified the enrolled patients into three groups (reference group, those without T2DM or hypoglycemia; those diagnosed with T2DM without hypoglycemia; and those with hypoglycemia and T2DM). We used Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to investigate the association between the three groups and the development of the first occurrence of 3P-MACE and all-cause mortality.

Results

During a median of 25 months of follow-up, a total of 783 patients admitted due to HF were analyzed. In total, 159 (20.3%) cases of 3P-MACE were identified, and the mortality rate was 20.2% (n = 158). The median age of patients was 76.0 (65.0–82.0) years, and 49.0% were men. Patients with 3P-MACE had a lower body mass index (22.6 [20.4–25.1] vs. 23.8 [21.3–26.7]), higher frequency of previous history of HF (24.5% vs. 15.7%), T2DM (64.2% vs. 47.3%), higher rates of hypoglycemia at the time of HF hospitalization (19.5% vs. 7.7%), and lower eGFR levels (61.1 [36.0–80.7] mL/min/1.73 m² vs. 69.2 [45.8–89.5] mL/min/1.73 m²) than those without 3P-MACE. The multivariable adjusted HR of 3P-MACE was as follows: group with hypoglycemia and T2DM: HR, 2.29; 95% CI: 1.04–5.06; group with T2DM without hypoglycemia: HR: 1.42; 95% CI: 0.86–2.33; and all-cause mortality group with hypoglycemia and T2DM: HR: 2.58; 95% CI: 1.26–5.31, group with T2DM without hypoglycemia: HR: 1.32; 95% CI: 0.81–2.16; compared to the reference group (group without T2DM or hypoglycemia).

Conclusions

T2DM and hypoglycemia are independent risk factors for 3P-MACE and all-cause mortality compared to those without hypoglycemia during HF hospitalization.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01651-0.

Physiological Mechanisms of Hypertension and Cardiovascular Disease in End-Stage Kidney Disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In this article, we summarize recent advances in understanding hypertension and cardiovascular disease in patients with end-stage kidney disease.

RECENT FINDINGS

Factors such as anemia, valvular and vascular calcification, vasoconstrictors, uremic toxins, hypoglycemia, carbamylated proteins, oxidative stress, and inflammation have all been associated with the progression of cardiovascular disease in end-stage kidney disease but the causality of these mechanisms has not been proven. The high risk of cardiovascular mortality has not improved as in the general population despite many advancements in cardiovascular care over the last two decades. Mechanisms that increase hypertension risk in these patients are centered on the control of extracellular fluid volume; however, over-correction of volume with dialysis can increase risks of intradialytic hypotension and death in these patients. This review presents both recent and classic work that increases our understanding of hypertension and cardiovascular disease in end-stage kidney disease.

Severe hypoglycemia and risk of hospitalization for heart failure in adults with diabetes treated with oral medications with or without insulin: A population-based study

AIMS

We aimed to determine if severe hypoglycemia (SH) independently increases the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (hHF) in type 2 diabetes, regardless of the prevalent or incident cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

This was a nationwide population-based propensity score-matched study using Korean National Health Insurance Service data (2002-2018). The hazards of hHF were compared in individuals who experienced SH (n = 8,965) and 1:3 matched controls, among adults with diabetes using oral anti-diabetes medications (OADs) with or without insulin and without previous hHF at baseline.

RESULTS

During 236,417 person-years, 1,189 cases of hHF occurred. The hazard of hHF was higher in individuals with SH compared to matched controls (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.503, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.324-1.707). The increase in aHR remained significant when excluding participants with prevalent or incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; aHR 1.352, 95 % CI 1.228-1.622) and any CVD (aHR 1.342, 95 % CI 1.025-1.756). Two or more SH events were associated with further increase in hHF risk.

CONCLUSION

SH was associated with increased risks of hHF among adults with diabetes using OAD with or without insulin. The increased risk was attenuated but remained significant in those without prevalent or incident MACE or CVDs.

Adherence to healthy lifestyle behaviors as a preventable risk factor for severe hypoglycemia in people with type 2 diabetes: A longitudinal nationwide cohort study

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

We investigated the associations between a combination of lifestyle factors and changes to these factors and the subsequent risk of severe hypoglycemia (SH) in type 2 diabetes patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Individuals with adult type 2 diabetes who underwent consecutive 2-year interval health screening programs from 2009 to 2012 from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database were included and followed up until 2018. Information on history of smoking status, alcohol consumption and physical activity, as well as changes to these factors, was obtained. The primary outcome was incident SH.

RESULTS

Of the 1,490,233 type 2 diabetes patients, 30,539 (2.1%) patients developed SH. Current smokers and heavy drinkers had increased risk of SH, compared with non-smokers and non-drinkers, respectively (hazard ratio 1.28, 95% confidence interval 1.23-1.34; hazard ratio 1.22, 95% confidence interval 1.15-1.30). However, regular physical activity was associated with reduced SH risk (hazard ratio 0.79, 95% confidence interval 0.77-0.82). A combination of unhealthy lifestyle habits was associated with increased SH risk in a dose-dependent fashion (P for trend <0.001). Compared with participants without changes in their unhealthy lifestyles, participants who improved lifestyles had decreased risk of SH.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater adherence to healthy lifestyle factors and any improvement in unhealthy lifestyle habits were associated with a substantially lower risk of SH in individuals with type 2 diabetes.

Trends of severe hypoglycemia in patients with type 2 diabetes in Korea: A longitudinal nationwide cohort study

To estimate the trends in the prevalence of severe hypoglycemia (SH) in patients with type 2 diabetes in Korea, we investigated the total number of SH episodes among type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥30 years who visited the emergency department between 2002 and 2019, using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. The prevalence of SH events increased from 2002 to 2012; however, it has decreased gradually since 2012. In 2019, the prevalence of SH was 0.6%, with an incidence rate of 4.43 per 1,000 person-years. Approximately 23,000 SH events occur every year in Korea. Although the incidence is steadily decreasing, there are a considerable number of SH events in type 2 diabetes patients. The decline in the incidence of SH seems to most likely be due to the increased prescription rate of hypoglycemic agents without hypoglycemia risk, less-strict treatment goals and the individualization of therapy.

Reproductive Life Span and Severe Hypoglycemia Risk in Postmenopausal Women with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

BACKGROUND

Estrogen promotes glucose homeostasis, enhances insulin sensitivity, and maintains counterregulatory responses in recurrent hypoglycemia in women of reproductive age. Postmenopausal women with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) might be more vulnerable to severe hypoglycemia (SH) events. However, the relationship between reproductive factors and SH occurrence in T2DM remains unelucidated.

METHODS

This study included data on 181,263 women with postmenopausal T2DM who participated in a national health screening program from January 1 to December 31, 2009, obtained using the Korean National Health Insurance System database. Outcome data were obtained until December 31, 2018. Associations between reproductive factors and SH incidence were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

During the mean follow-up of 7.9 years, 11,279 (6.22%) postmenopausal women with T2DM experienced SH episodes. A longer reproductive life span (RLS) (≥40 years) was associated with a lower SH risk compared to a shorter RLS (<30 years) (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.69 to 0.80; P for trend <0.001) after multivariable adjustment. SH risk decreased with every 5-year increment of RLS (with <30 years as a reference [adjusted HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.86 to 0.95; P=0.0001 for 30-34 years], [adjusted HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.76 to 0.84; P<0.001 for 35-39 years], [adjusted HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.68 to 0.81; P<0.001 for ≥40 years]). The use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) was associated with a lower SH risk than HRT nonuse.

CONCLUSION

Extended exposure to endogenous ovarian hormone during lifetime may decrease the number of SH events in women with T2DM after menopause.

Glucose-Lowering and the Risk of Cardiovascular Events With Antidiabetic Therapies: A Systematic Review and Additive-Effects Network Meta-Analysis

Aim

To assess the impact of the HbA1c levels achieved with antidiabetic therapies (ADTs) on the risk of MACE.

Methods

A systematic search was performed in PubMed, Cochrane, and ClinicalTrials. gov for RCTs published up to March 2022 reporting the occurrence of MACE and all-cause mortality in individuals with T2DM treated with all marketed ADTs, including a sample size ≥100 individuals in each study arm and follow-up ≥24 weeks. A systematic review and additive-effects network meta-analysis with random effects and a multivariate meta-regression were utilized to assess the impact of achieved HbA1c on incident MACE.

Results

We included 126 RCTs with 143 treatment arms, 270,874 individuals, and 740,295 individuals-years who were randomized to an active treatment vs. control group. Among all ADTs, only therapy with SGLT2i, GLP1-RA, or pioglitazone similarly reduced the risk of MACE compared to placebo. The achievement of HbA1c ≤ 7.0% in RCTs with the 3 drug classes in the active arm was associated with an adjusted HR of 0.91 (95% CI 0.80, 0.97; p = 0.017) compared with HbA1c&gt;7.0%, without affecting all-cause mortality. These results, however, were not maintained among all ADTs.

Conclusions

Achieving lower glucose levels with SGLT2i, GLP1-RA, or pioglitazone is linearly associated with a reduced risk of MACEs, without affecting all-cause mortality.

Systematic Review Registration

www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42020213127, identifier: CRD42020213127.

The Impact of the Stress Hyperglycemia Ratio on Short-term and Long-term Poor Prognosis in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome: Insight From a Large Cohort Study in Asia

OBJECTIVE

In recent years, some studies have indicated that a novel marker described as the stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) can reflect true acute hyperglycemic status and is associated with the short-term poor prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction. In the current study we evaluated the association of SHR with adverse cardiovascular events among patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We consecutively enrolled 5,562 ACS patients who underwent drug-eluting stent (DES) implantation. All subjects were divided into five groups according to SHR, which was determined by the following formula: ABG / [(28.7 × HbA1c %) - 46.7], where ABG is admission blood glucose level. The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) at the 2-year follow-up, and the secondary end point included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 2-year follow-up, cardiac death, and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) at 2-year follow-up and in-hospital cardiac death and nonfatal MI.

RESULTS

A total of 643 MACCE were recorded during a median follow-up of 28.3 months. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed the lowest MACCE incidence in quintile 3 (P < 0.001). Moreover, the outcomes of restricted cubic spline analysis suggested that there was a U-shaped or J-shaped association between the SHR and early and late cardiovascular outcomes even after adjustment for other confounding factors.

CONCLUSIONS

There were U-shaped associations of SHR with MACCE rate and MACE rate at 2-year follow-ups and J-shaped associations of SHR with in-hospital cardiac death and MI and that at 2-year follow-up in ACS patients who underwent DES implantation, and the inflection point of SHR for poor prognosis was 0.78.

Effect of early hypoglycaemia on hospitalization outcomes in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effect of early postoperative hypoglycaemia on hospitalization outcomes including major cardiovascular complications and in-hospital mortality among patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).

METHODS

Data from an observational study of 9583 patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) who underwent CABG were analyzed. Hypoglycaemia was defined as a nadir blood glucose level <70 mg/dL (3.9 mmol/L). One-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) was used to identify 251-balanced pairs of patients to compare outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 306 (3.2%) patients experienced hypoglycaemia, of whom, 133 had diabetes, 173 hadn't diabetes. Patients who were hypoglycaemia had higher incidences of compositeoutcomes than those without hypoglycaemia (12.1% versus 6.0%, P < 0.0001). Postoperative length of ICU stay was longer in patients with hypoglycaemia [2.8 (0.8-21.0) versus 2.0 (0.25-36.0) days, P < 0.0001]. After PSM, the compositeoutcomes and length of ICU stay remained significantly increased for the patients with hypoglycaemia [compositeoutcomes: odd ratio (OR) 2.78, 95% CI, 1.30-5.88, P = 0.01; length of ICU stay: OR 1.60, 95% CI, 1.14-2.26, P = 0.007].

CONCLUSION

Postoperative hypoglycaemia was an independent associated factor of adverse composite outcomes and a lengthened ICU stay after CABG. Hypoglycaemia should be avoided for both postoperative patients with and without diabetes.

Changes in Patterns of Physical Activity and Risk of Heart Failure in Newly Diagnosed Diabetes Mellitus Patients

BACKGROUND

Exercise is recommended for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients to prevent cardiovascular disease. However, the effects of physical activity (PA) for reducing the risk of heart failure (HF) has yet to be elucidated. We aimed to assess the effect of changes in patterns of PA on incident HF, especially in newly diagnosed diabetic patients.

METHODS

We examined health examination data and claims records of 294,528 participants from the Korean National Health Insurance Service who underwent health examinations between 2009 and 2012 and were newly diagnosed with T2DM. Participants were classified into the four groups according to changes in PA between before and after the diagnosis of T2DM: continuously inactive, inactive to active, active to inactive, and continuously active. The development of HF was analyzed until 2017.

RESULTS

As compared with those who were continuously inactive, those who became physically active after diagnosis showed a reduced risk for HF (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.66 to 0.93). Those who were continuously active had the lowest risk for HF (aHR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.96). As compared with those who were inactive, those who exercised regularly, either performing vigorous or moderate PA, had a lower HF risk (aHR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.69 to 0.91).

CONCLUSION

Among individuals with newly diagnosed T2DM, the risk of HF was reduced in those with higher levels of PA after diagnosis was made. Our results suggest either increasing or maintaining the frequency of PA after the diagnosis of T2DM may lower the risk of HF.

Severe Hypoglycemia and Incident Heart Failure Among Adults With Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

The association of severe hypoglycemia on the incidence of heart failure (HF) is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the association of severe hypoglycemia with incident HF among individuals with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We included participants with type 2 diabetes from the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) study. Severe hypoglycemia episodes were assessed during the initial 24 months following randomization and defined using 2 methods: (1) symptomatic, severe hypoglycemic event requiring medical assistance (first definition); or (2) requiring any assistance (second definition). Participants without HF at baseline and during the first 24 months of the study were prospectively followed for incident HF hospitalization. Multivariable Cox regression was used to generate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for the association of severe hypoglycemia and incident HF.

RESULTS

Among 9208 participants (mean age 63 years, 38% female, 62% White), 365 had ≥ 1 episode of severe hypoglycemic. Over a median follow-up duration of 3 years, there were 249 incident HF events. After multivariable adjustment for relevant confounders, participants with severe hypoglycemia requiring medical assistance had a 68% higher relative risk of incident HF (HR 1.68; 95% CI, 1.06-2.66), as compared with individuals who never experienced any episode of hypoglycemia. Severe hypoglycemia requiring any assistance was also associated with a 49% higher relative risk of HF (HR 1.49; 95% CI, 1.01-2.21).

CONCLUSION

In a large cohort of adults with type 2 diabetes, severe hypoglycemia was independently associated with greater risk of incident HF.

External validation and clinical application of the predictive model for severe hypoglycemia

OBJECTIVE

An internally validated, one-year risk prediction model for severe hypoglycemia (SH) in type 2 diabetes was evaluated in a general hospital setting to externally verify and validate its performance.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Between December 2017 to December 2019, 2,645 adult patients with type 2 diabetes who visited the diabetes center were enrolled. The receiver operating characteristics curve and Harrell C-statistics were compared to identify the discrimination of the model. The predicted and actual incidence of SH for one year in the development and validation cohorts were compared by ranking participants by deciles of predicted risk.

RESULTS

The concordance index was 0.878 in the external validation cohort. The sensitivity and specificity of the predictive model were 0.833 and 0.847, respectively. Based on the predicted risk, we stratified the groups into four categories: low (<0.05%), intermediate (0.05% to <0.5%), high (0.5% to <2.0%), and very high-risk group (≥2.0%). The actual annual incidence of SH gradually increased with the increased risk score level for the decile group (P for trend <0.001). The actual annual SH incidence significantly increased with increase in SH risk scores, which proportionately increased with age, duration of diabetes, glycated hemoglobin, and albuminuria and decreased with body mass index, renal function (p for trends <0.001 for all) in type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSION

On external validation, the novel one-year SH prediction model showed excellent discrimination in participants with type 2 diabetes and can effectively screen high-risk patients for SH, even in the general hospital setting.

Current trends in epidemiology of cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular risk management in type 2 diabetes

With the advances in diabetes care, the trend of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been decreasing over past decades. However, given that CVD is still a major cause of death in patients with diabetes and that the risk of CVD in patients with T2DM is more than twice that in those without DM, there are still considerable challenges to the prevention of CVD in diabetes. Accordingly, there have been several research efforts to decrease cardiovascular (CV) risk in T2DM. Large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and clinical cohort studies have investigated the effects of factors, such as genetic determinants, hypoglycaemia, and insulin resistance, on CVD and can account for the unexplained CV risk in T2DM. Lifestyle modification is a widely accepted cornerstone method to prevent CVD as the first-line strategy in T2DM. Recent reports from large CV outcome trials have proven the positive CV effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) in patients with high CVD risk. Overall, current practice guidelines for the management of CVD in T2DM are moving from a glucocentric strategy to a more individualised patient-centred approach. This review will discuss the current epidemiologic trends of CVD in T2DM and the risk factors linking T2DM to CVD, including genetic contribution, hypoglycaemia, and insulin resistance, and proper care strategies, including lifestyle and therapeutic approaches.

Risk of early mortality and cardiovascular disease according to the presence of recently diagnosed diabetes and requirement for insulin treatment: A nationwide study

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

We estimated the hazards of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and early all-cause mortality in Korean adults according to the presence of recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes (type 2 diabetes for <5 years) and insulin use.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used the Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort database (2002-2015) for this longitudinal population-based study. Among adults aged ≥40 years without baseline CVD, individuals without diabetes or with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes were selected (N = 363,919). The hazard ratios (HRs) for myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and all-cause mortality during follow-up were analyzed according to three groups categorized by the presence of type 2 diabetes and insulin use.

RESULTS

Within a mean 7.8 years, there were 5,275 MIs, 7,220 strokes, and 15,834 deaths. The hazards for outcomes were higher in the insulin-treated type 2 diabetes group than in the non-diabetes group [HR (95% CI): 2.344 (1.870-2.938) for MI, 2.420 (1.993-2.937) for stroke, and 3.037 (2.706-3.407) for death], higher in the non-insulin-treated type 2 diabetes group than in the non-diabetes group [HR (95% CI): 1.284 (1.159-1.423) for MI, 1.435 (1.320-1.561) for stroke, and 1.135 (1.067-1.206) for death], and higher in the insulin-treated type 2 diabetes group than in the non-insulin-treated type 2 diabetes group [HR (95% CI): 1.914 (1.502-2.441) for MI, 1.676 (1.363-2.060) for stroke, and 2.535 (2.232-2.880) for death].

CONCLUSIONS

Recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes patients showed increased risks of incident CVDs and premature mortality, and insulin-treated group demonstrated an additional increase in the risks of these outcomes in adults with recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes, suggesting the need for intensified cardio-protective interventions for adults with insulin-treated type 2 diabetes.

Risk stratification of cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients receiving insulin therapy: A population-based cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Metabolic abnormalities may exacerbate the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. The present study aims to assess the predictive value of HbA1c and lipid variability on the risks of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and incident atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

The retrospective observational study consists of type 2 diabetic patients prescribed with insulin, who went to publicly funded clinics and hospitals in Hong Kong between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2009. Variability in total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C), triglyceride, and HbA1c were assessed through their SD and coefficient of variation. The primary outcomes were incident (1) ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation, actual or aborted SCD and (2) AF.

RESULTS

A total of 23 329 patients (mean ± SD age: 64 ± 14 years old; 51% male; mean HbA1c 8.6 ± 1.3%) were included. On multivariable analysis, HbA1c, total cholesterol, LDL-C and triglyceride variability were found to be predictors of SCD (p < .05).

CONCLUSION

HbA1c and lipid variability were predictive of SCD. Therefore, poor glucose control and variability in lipid parameters in diabetic patients are associated with aborted or actual SCD. These observations suggest the need to re-evaluate the extent of glycemic control required for outcome optimization.

Insulin therapy and outcome from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): A Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis, and Meta-Regression

BACKGROUND

Currently, the relationship between insulin therapy and COVID-19 outcome is not yet established. Our study aims to evaluate the possible association between insulin and the poor composite development of COVID-19.

METHODS

We systematically searched the PubMed and Europe PMC database using specific keywords related to our aims until December 12th, 2020. All articles published on COVID-19 and insulin were retrieved. Statistical analysis was done using Review Manager 5.4 and Comprehensive Meta-Analysis version 3 software.

RESULTS

Our pooled analysis showed that insulin use was associated with poor composite development of COVID-19 [OR 2.06 (95% CI 1.70 - 2.48), p < 0.00001, I2 = 83%, random-effect modelling], and its subgroup which comprised of risk of COVID-19 [OR 1.70 (95% CI 1.40 - 2.08), p < 0.00001, I2 = 34%, random-effect modelling], severe COVID-19 [OR 2.30 (95% CI 1.60 - 3.30), p < 0.00001, I2 = 88%, random-effect modelling], and mortality [OR 2.14 (95% CI 1.47 - 3.10), p < 0.0001, I2 = 85%, random-effect modelling]. Meta-regression showed that the association was influenced by age (p = 0.008), but not by diabetes (p = 0.423), and cardiovascular disease (p = 0.086).

CONCLUSION

Physicians should be more aware and take extra precautions with diabetes patients who use insulin therapy.

History of Severe Hypoglycemia in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Unmasked Significant Atherosclerotic Coronary Artery Disease: A Comparative Case Control Study

Objectives

A history of severe hypoglycemia (SH) is associated with cardiovascular (CV) events among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). In this study, we compared the severity of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease (ACAD) in T2DM patients with and without a history of SH.

Methodology

We conducted a comparative case-control study involving 28 T2DM patients with a history of SH within the last 5 years with no documented ACAD, and matched them with 28 T2DM patients with no history of SH. All subjects underwent coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) with or without coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) to evaluate the severity of ACAD.

Results

A history of SH in T2DM was associated with a higher prevalence of significant ACAD (79% versus 46%, p=0.026). A high CACS (≥100) was seen in a greater number of patients with a history of SH compared to those without (75% versus 43%, p=0.029). Similarly, there was a higher prevalence of obstructive CAD in those with a history of SH compared to those without (72% versus 39%, p=0.036). Median C-reactive protein level was also higher among patients with a history of SH (0.41 mg/dL versus 0.16 mg/dL, p=0.029).

Conclusion

In patients with T2DM, a history of SH is significantly associated with ACAD compared to those without SH. A history of SH warrants screening for ACAD.

Severe hypoglycemia as a preventable risk factor for cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

Glucose-lowering medication and lifestyle modification are essential for optimal glycemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, glucose-lowering agents, particularly insulin and insulin secretagogues, may cause hypoglycemia, which has multiple negative effects on the cardiovascular (CV) system and may cause death. Previous studies using institutional data from the Korean Nationwide Health Insurance database have consistently found a causal relationship between severe hypoglycemia and CV outcomes and mortality. Screening for high-risk patients, appropriate management, and intensive individualized education are the most effective measures and essential for the prevention of harmful hypoglycemic events. Based on identified risk factors that predict severe hypoglycemia, we developed an 1-year risk prediction model for severe hypoglycemia that can be used in clinical settings. In this review, we describe the current understanding of severe hypoglycemia and the clinical implications in patients with T2DM. Furthermore, we highlight the importance of intensive individualized education for high-risk patients and the risk prediction model to reduce severe hypoglycemia.

Flash CGM Is Associated With Reduced Diabetes Events and Hospitalizations in Insulin-Treated Type 2 Diabetes

Purpose

Suboptimal glycemic control among individuals with diabetes is a leading cause of hospitalizations and emergency department utilization. Use of flash continuous glucose monitoring (flash CGM) improves glycemic control in type 1 and type 2 diabetes, which may result in lower risk for acute and chronic complications that require emergency services and/or hospitalizations.

Methods

In this retrospective, real-world study, we analyzed IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Medicare Supplemental databases to assess the impact of flash CGM on diabetes-related events and hospitalizations in a cohort of 2463 individuals with type 2 diabetes who were on short- or rapid-acting insulin therapy. Outcomes were changes in acute diabetes-related events (ADE) and all-cause inpatient hospitalizations (ACH), occurring during the first 6 months after acquiring the flash CGM system compared with event rates during the 6 months prior to system acquisition. ICD-10 codes were used to identify ADE for hypoglycemia, hypoglycemic coma, hyperglycemia, diabetic ketoacidosis, and hyperosmolarity.

Results

ADE rates decreased from 0.180 to 0.072 events/patient-year (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.39 [0.30, 0.51]; P < 0.001) and ACH rates decreased from 0.420 to 0.283 events/patient-year (HR: 0.68 [0.59 0.78]; P < 0.001). ADE reduction occurred regardless of age or gender.

Conclusions

Acquisition of the flash CGM system was associated with reductions in ADE and ACH. These findings provide support for the use of flash CGM in type 2 diabetes patients treated with short- or rapid-acting insulin therapy to improve clinical outcomes and potentially reduce costs.

Critical care management of the patient with an acute ischaemic stroke

Acute ischaemic stroke is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. In the UK alone, there are more than 100 000 strokes per year, causing 38 000 deaths. While the incidence remains high, there has been significant medical progress in reducing mortality following a stroke. Admission of patients to specialised stroke units has led to an improvement in clinical outcomes, but the role of intensive care is less well defined. This article reviews the current critical care management and neuro-therapeutic options after an acute ischaemic stroke.

Optimal blood pressure for patients with chronic kidney disease: a nationwide population-based cohort study

The effect of blood pressure (BP) on the incident cardiovascular events, progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and mortality were evaluated among chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients with and without antihypertensive treatment. This nationwide study used the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening Cohort data. The hazards of outcomes were analysed according to the systolic BP (SBP) or diastolic BP (DBP) among adults (aged ≥ 40 years) with CKD and without previous cardiovascular disease or ESRD (n = 22,278). The SBP and DBP were ≥ 130 mmHg and ≥ 80 mmHg in 10,809 (48.52%) and 11,583 (51.99%) participants, respectively. During a median 6.2 years, 1271 cardiovascular events, 201 ESRD incidents, and 1061 deaths were noted. Individuals with SBP ≥ 130 mmHg and DBP ≥ 80 mmHg had higher hazards of hypertension-related adverse outcomes compared to the references (SBP 120-129 mmHg and DBP 70-79 mmHg). SBP < 100 mmHg was associated with hazards of all-cause death, and composite of ESRD and all-cause death during follow-up only among the antihypertensive medication users suggesting that the BP should be < 130/80 mmHg and the SBP should not be < 100 mmHg with antihypertensive agents to prevent the adverse outcome risk of insufficient and excessive antihypertensive treatment in CKD patients.

Glucose variability and diabetes complications: Risk factor or biomarker? Can we disentangle the "Gordian Knot"?

« Variability in glucose homoeostasis » is a better description than « glycaemic variability » as it encompasses two categories of dysglycaemic disorders: i) the short-term daily glucose fluctuations and ii) long-term weekly, monthly or quarterly changes in either HbA1c, fasting or postprandial plasma glucose. Presently, the relationship between the "variability in glucose homoeostasis" and diabetes complications has never been fully clarified because studies are either observational or limited to retrospective analysis of trials not primarily designed to address this issue. Despite the absence of definitive evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs), it is most likely that acute and long-term glucose homoeostasis "cycling", akin to weight and blood pressure "cycling" in obese and hypertensive individuals, are additional risk factors for diabetes complications in the presence of sustained ambient hyperglycaemia. As hypoglycaemic events are strongly associated with short- and long-term glucose variability, two relevant messages can be formulated. Firstly, due consideration should be given to avoid within-day glucose fluctuations in excess of 36% (coefficient of variation) at least for minimizing the inconvenience and dangers associated with hypoglycaemia. Secondly, it seems appropriate to consider that variability in glucose homoeostasis is not only associated with cardiovascular events but is also a causative risk factor via hypoglycaemic episodes as intermediary step. Untangling the" Gordian Knot", to provide confirmation about the impact of variability in glucose homoeostasis and diabetes complications remains a daunting prospect.

Reduction in cardiovascular mortality following severe hypoglycemia in individuals with type 2 diabetes: the role of a pragmatic and structured intervention : Structured intervention for community hypoglycemia

Background

Mortality in individuals with diabetes with severe hypoglycemia requiring ambulance services intervention is high and it is unclear whether this is modifiable. Our aim was to characterise this high-risk group and assess the impact of nurse-led intervention on mortality.

Methods

In this single centre study, patients with diabetes and hypoglycemia requiring ambulance call out were randomized to nurse led support (intensive arm) or managed using existing pathways (standard arm). A third group agreed to have their data collected longitudinally (observational arm). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality comparing intensive with combined standard and observational arms as well as standard arm alone.

Results

Of 828 individuals identified, 323 agreed to participate with 132 assigned to intensive, 130 to standard and 61 to observational arms. Mean follow up period was 42.6 ± 15.6 months. Mortality in type 1 diabetes (n = 158) was similar across study arms but in type 2 diabetes (n = 160) this was reduced to 33% in the intensive arm compared with 51% in the combined arm (p = 0.025) and 50% in the standard arm (p = 0.06). Cardiovascular deaths, the leading cause of mortality, was lower in the intensive arm compared with combined and standard study arms (p < 0.01).

Conclusions

Medium-term mortality following severe hypoglycemia requiring the assistance of emergency services is high in those with type 2 diabetes. In individuals with type 2 diabetes, nurse-led individualized intervention reduces cardiovascular mortality compared with standard care. Large-scale multicentre studies are warranted to further investigate this approach.

Trial registration The trial was retrospectively registered on http://www.clinicaltrials.gov with reference NCT04422145

Diabetes and Endocrine Disorders (Hyperthyroidism/Hypothyroidism) as Risk Factors for Atrial Fibrillation

Risk factors including cardiometabolic and endocrine disorders have a significant impact on atrial remodeling causing atrial fibrillation (AF). Diabetes mellitus and hyperthyroidism are strong independent risk factors for AF and worsen outcomes of rhythm control strategies. An early diagnosis and intervention for these risk factors combined with rhythm control strategies may improve the overall cardiovascular mortality and morbidity. This review summarizes the current state of knowledge about the AF risk factors diabetes mellitus and thyroid disease, and discusses the impact of the modification of these risk factors on primary and secondary prevention of AF.

Single prognostic cut-off value for admission glycemia in acute myocardial infarction has been used although high-risk stems from hyperglycemia as well as from hypoglycemia (a narrative review)

All original articles and meta-analysis use the single cut-off value to distinguish high-risk hyperglycemic from other acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients. The mortality rate is 3.9 times higher in non-diabetic AMI patients with admission glycemia ≥6.1mmol compared to normoglycemic non-diabetic AMI patients. On the other hand, admission hypoglycemia in AMI is an important predictor of mortality. Because both admission hypo- and hyperglycemia correspond to higher in-hospital mortality, this graph is recognized as "J or U shaped curve". The review suggests two cut-off values for admission glycemia for risk assessment in AMI instead of single one because hypoglycemia as well as hyperglycemia represents a high-risk factor.

Heterogeneous Treatment Effects on Cardiovascular Diseases With Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 Inhibitors Versus Sulfonylureas in Type 2 Diabetes Patients

This study explored heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) of the real-world use of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4is) vs. sulfonylureas (SUs) on cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. Utilizing Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, 19,853 propensity score-matched pairs of DPP-4i and SU stable users were identified. Classification and regression tree analyses and Cox models were applied to explore HTEs, according to various patient characteristics, on the composite CVDs, three-point major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), and all-cause mortality. The absolute risk difference (ARD), hazard ratio (HR), and 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated for comparing treatment effects. CVD history, ischemic stroke, or transient ischemic attack (IS/TIA) history, and age at treatment initiation were significant treatment effect modifiers. Patients with prior IS/TIA but without any other prior CVDs benefited most in reduced risks of composite CVDs from using DPP-4i vs. SU (ARD -4.31%, 95% CI -7.48% to -1.14%, HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.69 ~ 0.95), followed by those without prior IS/TIA and CVDs and initiated with DPP-4i at age < 69.3 years (ARD -0.90%, 95% CI -1.47% to -0.32%, HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77 ~ 0.97). Patients with prior IS/TIA benefited most in reduced risks of three-point MACE from using DPP-4i vs. SU (ARD -4.22%, 95% CV -6.66% to -1.78%, HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69 ~ 0.93), followed by those without prior IS/TIA and initiated with DPP-4i at age < 69.3 years (ARD -0.68%, 95% CI -1.08% to -0.29%, HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70 ~ 0.93). Consideration of CVD and IS/TIA histories and age could facilitate individualized diabetes management of using DPP-4i vs. SU. Future studies are warranted given the hypothesis-generating nature in this exploratory research.

Severe hypoglycaemia and absolute risk of cause-specific mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes: a UK primary care observational study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Several pathophysiological mechanisms would suggest a causal link between hypoglycaemia and cardiovascular death; conversely, current knowledge would not support a causal relationship with other causes of death. To clarify the nature and the magnitude of the association between hypoglycaemia and death, we investigated the 5 year mortality risks for cardiovascular disease, cancer and other causes in individuals with type 2 diabetes admitted to hospital for a severe hypoglycaemic episode.

METHODS

We defined in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink database a prevalent cohort of adults with type 2 diabetes diagnosed between 1 January 1998 and 1 January 2011 (index date), with available linkage to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES). A hospital admission reporting hypoglycaemia as the underlying cause was identified before the index date in the HES; date and underlying cause of death were obtained from the ONS. We quantified the 5 year risk of cause-specific death in people with and without admission to hospital for severe hypoglycaemia, adjusting for potential confounders and accounting for competing risk.

RESULTS

Of the 74,610 subjects included in the cohort, 388 (0.5%) were admitted at least once for a severe hypoglycaemic episode; subjects admitted were older, with higher HbA_1c and a greater prevalence of multimorbidity. During a median follow-up of 7.1 years, 236 (60.8%) and 18,539 (25.0%) deaths occurred in subjects with and without a previous severe hypoglycaemia, respectively. Non-cardiovascular causes accounted for 71% of all deaths in both subjects with and without hypoglycaemia. In a 60-year-old person with severe hypoglycaemia, the 5 year absolute risk of death, adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, HbA_1c, BMI, eGFR, smoking status, alcohol consumption and deprivation (Townsend score), was 6.6%, 1.1% and 13.1% for cardiovascular, cancer and other causes, respectively, while the 5 year absolute risk difference compared with a subject without severe hypoglycaemia was 4.7% (95% CI 1.0, 8.3) for cardiovascular, -1.4% (-4.1, 1.4) for cancer and 11.1% (6.1, 16.1) for other causes of death. Results were consistent in models further adjusted for medications and comorbidities (myocardial infarction, stroke, peripheral artery disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, cancer), with sulfonylurea and insulin associated with increased mortality rates (from cause-specific hazard ratio of 1.06 [95% CI 0.99, 1.14] for cancer death with use of sulfonylurea to 1.42 [1.29, 1.56] for cardiovascular death with use of insulin). Results were robust to missing data.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

The results of this study indicate severe hypoglycaemia as a marker of, rather than causally linked to, an increased risk of long-term mortality. Regardless of the nature of the association, a severe hypoglycaemic episode represents a strong negative prognostic factor in patients with type 2 diabetes. Graphical abstract.

Hospitalization for heart failure incidence according to the transition in metabolic health and obesity status: a nationwide population-based study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to investigate the hazard of hospitalization for heart failure (hHF) according to the transitions in metabolic health and obesity status.

METHODS

The Korean National Health Insurance Service datasets from 2002 to 2017 were used for this nationwide, longitudinal, population-based study. The hazard of hHF was analyzed according to the eight groups stratified by stability in metabolic health and transition in obesity status among initially metabolically healthy adults who underwent two cycles of health examinations in 2009-2010 and 2013-2014 (N = 7,148,763).

RESULTS

During two examinations, 48.43% of the initially metabolically healthy obese (MHO) individuals and 20.94% of the initially metabolically healthy non-obese (MHNO) individuals showed changes in their metabolic health and obesity status. During a mean follow-up of 3.70 years, 3151 individuals were hospitalized for HF. When stable MHNO individuals were set as the reference, transition to metabolically unhealthy phenotype was associated with an increased hazard of hHF; the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) in the individuals who transformed from MHO to metabolically unhealthy non-obese was 2.033 (1.579-2.616). The constant MHO group had a 17.3% increased hazard of hHF compared with the stable MHNO group [HR (95% CI) 1.173 (1.039-1.325)]. Individuals who shifted from MHO to MHNO showed a 34.3% lower hazard of hHF compared with those who maintained the MHO category [HR (95% CI) 0.657 (0.508-0.849)].

CONCLUSION

Dynamic changes in metabolic health and obesity status were observed during a relatively short interval of 3-5 years. Loss of metabolic health was significantly associated with an increased hazard of hHF. Even if metabolic health was maintained, persistent obesity remained as a risk factor for hHF, and transition from MHO to MHNO had a protective effect against hHF. Therefore, the prevention and control of obesity while maintaining metabolic health would be crucial in preventing hHF.