Algorithms for the Capture and Adjudication of Prevalent and Incident Diabetes in UK Biobank

Smoking timing, genetic susceptibility and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes: A cohort study from the UK Biobank

AIM

To prospectively assess the association of smoking timing with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and examine whether smoking amount or genetic susceptibility might modify the relationship.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 294 815 participants without diabetes from the UK Biobank, including non-smokers and smokers with data on the time from waking to first cigarette, were included. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between smoking timing and the risk of incident T2D.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up time of 12 years, a total of 9937 incident cases of T2D were documented. Compared with non-smokers, a shorter time from waking to first cigarette was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident T2D (P for trend < .001). In the fully adjusted model, the hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval) associated with smoking timing were 1.46 (1.17-1.81) for more than 2 hours, 1.51 (1.21-1.87) for 1-2 hours, 1.58 (1.34-1.85) for 30-60 minutes, 1.86 (1.57-2.21) for 5-15 minutes and 2.01 (1.60-2.54) for less than 5 minutes. We found that even among those who reported being light smokers, those with the shortest time from waking to first cigarette had a 105% higher risk of T2D with an HR of 2.05 (1.52-2.76), which was comparable with heavy smokers. The genetic risk score for T2D did not modify this association (P-interaction = .51).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that shorter time from waking to first cigarette is significantly associated with a higher risk of incident T2D.

Genetic Subtypes of Prediabetes, Healthy Lifestyle, and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes

Prediabetes is a heterogenous metabolic state with various risks for development of type 2 diabetes (T2D). In this study, we used genetic data on 7,227 US Hispanic/Latino participants without diabetes from the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL) and 400,149 non-Hispanic White participants without diabetes from the UK Biobank (UKBB) to calculate five partitioned polygenetic risk scores (pPRSs) representing various pathways related to T2D. Consensus clustering was performed in participants with prediabetes in HCHS/SOL (n = 3,677) and UKBB (n = 16,284) separately based on these pPRSs. Six clusters of individuals with prediabetes with distinctive patterns of pPRSs and corresponding metabolic traits were identified in the HCHS/SOL, five of which were confirmed in the UKBB. Although baseline glycemic traits were similar across clusters, individuals in cluster 5 and cluster 6 showed an elevated risk of T2D during follow-up compared with cluster 1 (risk ratios [RRs] 1.29 [95% CI 1.08, 1.53] and 1.34 [1.13, 1.60], respectively). Inverse associations between a healthy lifestyle score and risk of T2D were observed across different clusters, with a suggestively stronger association observed in cluster 5 compared with cluster 1. Among individuals with a healthy lifestyle, those in cluster 5 had a similar risk of T2D compared with those in cluster 1 (RR 1.03 [0.91, 1.18]). This study identified genetic subtypes of prediabetes that differed in risk of progression to T2D and in benefits from a healthy lifestyle.

ARTICLE HIGHLIGHTS

Cardiovascular health metrics defined by Life's Essential 8 scores and subsequent macrovascular and microvascular complications in individuals with type 2 diabetes: A prospective cohort study

AIM

To investigate the association between cardiovascular health metrics defined by Life's Essential 8 (LE8) scores and vascular complications among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This prospective study included 11 033 participants with T2D, all devoid of macrovascular diseases (including cardiovascular and peripheral artery disease) and microvascular complications (e.g. diabetic retinopathy, neuropathy and nephropathy) at baseline from the UK Biobank. The LE8 score comprised eight metrics: smoking, body mass index, physical activity, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, blood pressure, glycated haemoglobin, diet and sleep duration. Cox proportional hazards models were established to assess the associations of LE8 scores with incident macrovascular and microvascular complications.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, we identified 1975 cases of incident macrovascular diseases and 1797 cases of incident microvascular complications. After adjusting for potential confounders, each 10-point increase in the LE8 score was associated with an 18% lower risk of macrovascular diseases and a 15% lower risk of microvascular complications. Comparing individuals in the highest and lowest quartiles of LE8 scores revealed hazard ratios of 0.55 (95% confidence interval 0.47-0.62) for incident macrovascular diseases, and 0.61 (95% confidence interval 0.53-0.70) for incident microvascular complications. This association remained robust across a series of sensitivity analyses and nearly all subgroups.

CONCLUSION

Higher LE8 scores were associated with a lower risk of incident macrovascular and microvascular complications among individuals with T2D. These findings underscore the significance of adopting fundamental strategies to maintain optimal cardiovascular health and curtail the risk of developing diabetic vascular complications.

Association between new-onset atrial fibrillation and dementia among individuals with type 2 diabetes

AIM

To assess the association between new-onset atrial fibrillation and dementia among patients with type 2 diabetes, a group with a high prevalence of atrial fibrillation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This cohort study included 22 989 patients with type 2 diabetes from the UK Biobank. New-onset atrial fibrillation was ascertained from hospital admission records. We used an algorithm officially released by the UK Biobank to identify all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia. The algorithm was developed using multiple sources, including hospital admissions and the death registry. Time-varying Cox regression analyses were performed to investigate the association between new-onset atrial fibrillation and dementia.

RESULTS

A total of 2843 participants developed atrial fibrillation, whereas the remaining 20 146 did not. During the median of 12.3 years of follow-up, 844 all-cause dementia, 342 Alzheimer's disease and 246 vascular dementia cases occurred. Compared with participants without atrial fibrillation, those with atrial fibrillation had higher risks of all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR] 2.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.80-2.57), Alzheimer's disease (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.06-1.96) and vascular dementia (HR 3.11, 95% CI 2.32-4.17).

CONCLUSIONS

New-onset atrial fibrillation was associated with a substantially higher risk of all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia in patients with type 2 diabetes. Our findings highlight the significance of atrial fibrillation management in mitigating the risk of dementia in this demographic.

Characterization of genetic variants of GIPR reveals a contribution of β-arrestin to metabolic phenotypes

Incretin-based therapies are highly successful in combatting obesity and type 2 diabetes1. Yet both activation and inhibition of the glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) receptor (GIPR) in combination with glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor (GLP-1R) activation have resulted in similar clinical outcomes, as demonstrated by the GIPR-GLP-1R co-agonist tirzepatide2 and AMG-133 (ref. 3) combining GIPR antagonism with GLP-1R agonism. This underlines the importance of a better understanding of the GIP system. Here we show the necessity of β-arrestin recruitment for GIPR function, by combining in vitro pharmacological characterization of 47 GIPR variants with burden testing of clinical phenotypes and in vivo studies. Burden testing of variants with distinct ligand-binding capacity, Gs activation (cyclic adenosine monophosphate production) and β-arrestin 2 recruitment and internalization shows that unlike variants solely impaired in Gs signalling, variants impaired in both Gs and β-arrestin 2 recruitment contribute to lower adiposity-related traits. Endosomal Gs-mediated signalling of the variants shows a β-arrestin dependency and genetic ablation of β-arrestin 2 impairs cyclic adenosine monophosphate production and decreases GIP efficacy on glucose control in male mice. This study highlights a crucial impact of β-arrestins in regulating GIPR signalling and overall preservation of biological activity that may facilitate new developments in therapeutic targeting of the GIPR system.

Validity of European-centric cardiometabolic polygenic scores in multi-ancestry populations

Polygenic scores (PGSs) provide an individual level estimate of genetic risk for any given disease. Since most PGSs have been derived from genome wide association studies (GWASs) conducted in populations of White European ancestry, their validity in other ancestry groups remains unconfirmed. This is especially relevant for cardiometabolic diseases which are known to disproportionately affect people of non-European ancestry. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the performance of PGSs for glycaemic traits (glycated haemoglobin, and type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus), cardiometabolic risk factors (body mass index, hypertension, high- and low-density lipoproteins, and total cholesterol and triglycerides) and cardiovascular diseases (including stroke and coronary artery disease) in people of White European, South Asian, and African Caribbean ethnicity in the UK Biobank. Whilst PGSs incorporated some GWAS data from multi-ethnic populations, the vast majority originated from White Europeans. For most outcomes, PGSs derived mostly from European populations had an overall better performance in White Europeans compared to South Asians and African Caribbeans. Thus, multi-ancestry GWAS data are needed to derive ancestry stratified PGSs to tackle health inequalities.

Population incidence and associated mortality of urinary tract infection in people living with dementia

OBJECTIVES

Urinary tract infections (UTIs) frequently cause hospitalisation and death in people living with dementia (PLWD). We examine UTI incidence and associated mortality among PLWD relative to matched controls and people with diabetes and investigate whether delayed or withheld treatment further impacts mortality.

METHODS

Data were extracted for n = 2,449,814 people aged ≥ 50 in Wales from 2000-2021, with groups matched by age, sex, and multimorbidity. Poisson regression was used to estimate incidences of UTI and mortality. Cox regression was used to study the effects of treatment timing.

RESULTS

UTIs in dementia (HR=2.18, 95 %CI [1.88-2.53], p < .0) and diabetes (1.21[1.01-1.45], p = .035) were associated with high mortality, with the highest risk in individuals with diabetes and dementia (both) (2.83[2.40-3.34], p < .0) compared to matched individuals with neither dementia nor diabetes. 5.4 % of untreated PLWD died within 60 days of GP diagnosis-increasing to 5.9 % in PLWD with diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Incidences of UTI and associated mortality are high in PLWD, especially in those with diabetes and dementia. Delayed treatment for UTI is further associated with high mortality.

Association and Pathways between Dietary Manganese Intake and Incident Venous Thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

 The association between dietary manganese (Mn) intake and the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the associations of dietary Mn intake with incident VTE, and the underlying mediating roles of obesity markers (body mass index [BMI] and waist circumference), hemorheological parameters (red cell distribution width [RDW], platelet count [PLT], and mean platelet volume [MPV]), and inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein [CRP] and white blood cell count [WBC]) in this association.

METHODS

 A total of 202,507 adults from the UK Biobank with complete dietary data and without VTE at baseline were included. Dietary information was collected by the online 24-hour diet recall questionnaires (Oxford WebQ). The primary outcome was incident VTE, a composite of incident deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE).

RESULTS

 During a median follow-up of 11.6 years, 4,750 participants developed incident VTE. Overall, there were significantly inverse relationships of dietary Mn intake with incident VTE (per 1 mg/day increment; adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.92; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.90-0.95), incident DVT (per 1 mg/day increment; adjusted HR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0. 90-0.96), and incident PE (per 1 mg/day increment; adjusted HR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.88-0.95). BMI, waist circumference, RDW, CRP, and WBC significantly mediated the association between dietary Mn intake and incident VTE, with the mediated proportions of 36.0, 36.5, 4.2, 4.3, and 1.6%, respectively. However, MPV and PLT did not significantly mediate the association.

CONCLUSION

 Our study shows that dietary Mn intake was inversely associated with incident VTE. The inverse association was mainly mediated by obesity, followed by inflammatory biomarkers and RDW. Our findings are just hypothesis-generating, and further confirmation of our findings in more studies is essential.

Body mass index stratification optimizes polygenic prediction of type 2 diabetes in cross-biobank analyses

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) shows heterogeneous body mass index (BMI) sensitivity. Here, we performed stratification based on BMI to optimize predictions for BMI-related diseases. We obtained BMI-stratified datasets using data from more than 195,000 individuals (nT2D = 55,284) from BioBank Japan (BBJ) and UK Biobank. T2D heritability in the low-BMI group was greater than that in the high-BMI group. Polygenic predictions of T2D toward low-BMI targets had pseudo-R2 values that were more than 22% higher than BMI-unstratified targets. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) from low-BMI discovery outperformed PRSs from high BMI, while PRSs from BMI-unstratified discovery performed best. Pathway-specific PRSs demonstrated the biological contributions of pathogenic pathways. Low-BMI T2D cases showed higher rates of neuropathy and retinopathy. Combining BMI stratification and a method integrating cross-population effects, T2D predictions showed greater than 37% improvements over unstratified-matched-population prediction. We replicated findings in the Tohoku Medical Megabank (n = 26,000) and the second BBJ cohort (n = 33,096). Our findings suggest that target stratification based on existing traits can improve the polygenic prediction of heterogeneous diseases.

Evaluating the incidence of complications among people with diabetes according to age of onset: Findings from the UK Biobank

AIMS

To examine the impact of current age, age at diagnosis, and duration of diabetes on the incidence rate of complications among people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Baseline data from 19,327 individuals with type 2 diabetes in the UK Biobank were analysed. Poisson regression was used to model incidence rates by current age, age at diagnosis, and duration of diabetes for the following outcomes: myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), stroke, end-stage kidney diseases (ESKD), chronic kidney diseases (CKD), liver diseases, depression, and anxiety.

RESULTS

The mean age at baseline was 60.2 years, and median follow-up was 13.9 years. Diabetes duration was significantly longer among those with younger-onset type 2 diabetes (diagnosed at <40 years) compared to later-onset type 2 diabetes (diagnosed at ≥40 years), 16.2 and 5.3 years, respectively. Incidence rates of MI, HF, stroke, and CKD had strong positive associations with age and duration of diabetes, whereas incidence rates of ESKD liver diseases, and anxiety mainly depended on duration of diabetes. The incidence rates of depression showed minor variation by age and duration of diabetes and were highest among those diagnosed at earlier ages. No clear evidence of an effect of age of onset of diabetes on risk of complications was apparent after accounting for current age and duration of diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicates age at diagnosis of diabetes does not significantly impact the incidence of complications, independently of the duration of diabetes. Instead, complications are primarily influenced by current age and diabetes duration.

Association of combined healthy lifestyle factors with incident osteoporosis in patients with and without type 2 diabetes

PURPOSE

The association between type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), lifestyle factors, and the risk of osteoporosis (OP) is well-established. However, the impact of a healthy lifestyle on diabetes-related osteoporosis needs further investigation. Our objective was to explore if a combination of healthy lifestyle factors could mitigate the risk of OP in individuals with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

This longitudinal analysis included 237,725 middle-aged and older participants. An overall lifestyle score, ranging from 0 to 7, was calculated by assigning a point for each of the seven healthy lifestyle factors, including no current smoking, non-excessive alcohol consumption, regular physical activity, healthy diet, adequate sleep duration, less sedentary behavior, and adequate sunshine exposure.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up 12.21 years, 5760 OP cases were documented. Participants with T2DM showed a higher risk of OP than those without diabetes. Compared with participants without diabetes who had a lifestyle score of 6-7, the hazard ratios (HRs) for OP were 1.58 (95% CI 1.23-2.03), 1.62 (95% CI 1.16-2.25), and 2.58 (95% CI 1.64-4.05) for participants with T2DM who had a lifestyle score of 4, 3, and 0-2, respectively. There was a graded association between higher lifestyle scores and lower risks of incident OP among participants without diabetes as well as among those with T2DM. We estimated that the population attributable fraction for not adhering to 6-7 lifestyle behaviors was 15.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

Participants with T2DM who adhered to a variety of healthy lifestyle factors demonstrated a substantially reduced risk of developing OP.

Air pollution, life's essential 8, and risk of severe non-alcoholic fatty liver disease among individuals with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

The impacts of long-term exposure to air pollution on the risk of subsequent non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among participants with type 2 diabetes (T2D) is ambiguous. The modifying role of Life's Essential 8 (LE8) remains unknown.

METHODS

This study included 23,129 participants with T2D at baseline from the UK Biobank. Annual means of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and particulate matter (PM2.5, PM2.5-10, PM10) were estimated using the land-use regression model for each participant. The associations between exposure to air pollution and the risk of severe NAFLD were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. The effect modification of LE8 was assessed through stratified analyses.

RESULTS

During a median 13.6 years of follow-up, a total of 1,123 severe NAFLD cases occurred. After fully adjusting for potential covariates, higher levels of PM2.5 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.12, 95%CI:1.02, 1.23 per interquartile range [IQR] increment), NO2 (HR = 1.15, 95%CI:1.04, 1.27), and NOX (HR = 1.08, 95%CI:1.01, 1.17) were associated with an elevated risk of severe NAFLD. In addition, LE8 score was negatively associated with the risk of NAFLD (HR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.97, 0.98 per point increment). Compared with those who had low air pollution and high LE8, participants with a high air pollution exposure and low LE8 had a significantly higher risk of severe NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that long-term exposure to air pollution was associated with an elevated risk of severe NAFLD among participants with T2D. A lower LE8 may increase the adverse impacts of air pollution on NAFLD.

Tea Consumption, Milk or Sweeteners Addition, Genetic Variation in Caffeine Metabolism, and Incident Venous Thromboembolism

OBJECTIVE

 The association between tea consumption and venous thromboembolism (VTE) remains unknown. We aimed to evaluate the association between tea consumption with different additives (milk and/or sweeteners) and incident VTE, and the modifying effects of genetic variation in caffeine metabolism on the association.

METHODS

 A total of 190,189 participants with complete dietary information and free of VTE at baseline in the UK Biobank were included. The primary outcome was incident VTE, including incident deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism.

RESULTS

 During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 4,485 (2.4%) participants developed incident VTE. Compared with non-tea drinkers, tea drinkers who added neither milk nor sweeteners (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.85; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 0.76-0.94), only milk (HR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.80-0.93), and both milk and sweeteners to their tea (HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.81-0.99) had a lower risk of VTE, while those who added only sweeteners to their tea did not (HR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.75-1.17). Moreover, there was an L-shaped relationship between tea consumption and incident VTE among tea drinkers who added neither milk nor sweeteners, only milk, and both milk and sweeteners to their tea, respectively. However, a nonsignificant association was found among tea drinkers who added only sweeteners to their tea. Genetic variation in caffeine metabolism did not significantly modify the association (p-interaction = 0.659).

CONCLUSION

 Drinking unsweetened tea, with or without added milk, was associated with a lower risk of VTE. However, there was no significant association between drinking tea with sweeteners and incident VTE.

Determinants of plasma levels of proglucagon and the metabolic impact of glucagon receptor signalling: a UK Biobank study

AIMS/HYPOTHESES

Glucagon and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) are derived from the same precursor; proglucagon, and dual agonists of their receptors are currently being explored for the treatment of obesity and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Elevated levels of endogenous glucagon (hyperglucagonaemia) have been linked with hyperglycaemia in individuals with type 2 diabetes but are also observed in individuals with obesity and MASLD. GLP-1 levels have been reported to be largely unaffected or even reduced in similar conditions. We investigated potential determinants of plasma proglucagon and associations of glucagon receptor signalling with metabolic diseases based on data from the UK Biobank.

METHODS

We used exome sequencing data from the UK Biobank for ~410,000 white participants to identify glucagon receptor variants and grouped them based on their known or predicted signalling. Data on plasma levels of proglucagon estimated using Olink technology were available for a subset of the cohort (~40,000). We determined associations of glucagon receptor variants and proglucagon with BMI, type 2 diabetes and liver fat (quantified by liver MRI) and performed survival analyses to investigate if elevated proglucagon predicts type 2 diabetes development.

RESULTS

Obesity, MASLD and type 2 diabetes were associated with elevated plasma levels of proglucagon independently of each other. Baseline proglucagon levels were associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes development over a 14 year follow-up period (HR 1.13; 95% CI 1.09, 1.17; n=1562; p=1.3×10-12). This association was of the same magnitude across strata of BMI. Carriers of glucagon receptor variants with reduced cAMP signalling had elevated levels of proglucagon (β 0.847; 95% CI 0.04, 1.66; n=17; p=0.04), and carriers of variants with a predicted frameshift mutation had higher levels of liver fat compared with the wild-type reference group (β 0.504; 95% CI 0.03, 0.98; n=11; p=0.04).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Our findings support the suggestion that glucagon receptor signalling is involved in MASLD, that plasma levels of proglucagon are linked to the risk of type 2 diabetes development, and that proglucagon levels are influenced by genetic variation in the glucagon receptor, obesity, type 2 diabetes and MASLD. Determining the molecular signalling pathways downstream of glucagon receptor activation may guide the development of biased GLP-1/glucagon co-agonist with improved metabolic benefits.

DATA AVAILABILITY

All coding is available through https://github.com/nicwin98/UK-Biobank-GCG.

Functional gastrointestinal disorders, mental health, genetic susceptibility, and incident chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Whether functional gastrointestinal disorders (FGIDs) are associated with the long-term risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the prospective association of FGIDs with CKD and examine whether mental health mediated the association.

METHODS

About 416,258 participants without a prior CKD diagnosis enrolled in the UK Biobank between 2006 and 2010 were included. Participants with FGIDs (including irritable bowel syndrome [IBS], dyspepsia, and other functional intestinal disorders [FIDs; mainly composed of constipation]) were the exposure group, and non-FGID participants were the non-exposure group. The primary outcome was incident CKD, ascertained from hospital admission and death registry records. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to investigate the association between FGIDs and CKD, and the mediation analysis was performed to investigate the mediation proportions of mental health.

RESULTS

At baseline, 33,156 (8.0%) participants were diagnosed with FGIDs, including 21,060 (5.1%), 8262 (2.0%), and 6437 (1.6%) cases of IBS, dyspepsia, and other FIDs, respectively. During a mean follow-up period of 12.1 years, 11,001 (2.6%) participants developed CKD. FGIDs were significantly associated with a higher risk of incident CKD compared to the absence of FGIDs (hazard ratio [HR], 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-1.44). Similar results were observed for IBS (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.17-1.38), dyspepsia (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.17-1.44), and other FIDs (HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.43-1.79). Mediation analyses suggested that the mental health score significantly mediated 9.05% of the association of FGIDs with incident CKD and 5.63-13.97% of the associations of FGID subtypes with CKD. Specifically, the positive associations of FGIDs and FGID subtypes with CKD were more pronounced in participants with a high genetic risk of CKD.

CONCLUSION

Participants with FGIDs had a higher risk of incident CKD, which was partly explained by mental health scores and was more pronounced in those with high genetic susceptibility to CKD.

The use of potentially interacting supplement-drug pairs in adults with type 2 diabetes: A large population-based cohort study in the UK Biobank

AIMS

To examine the patterns of use of potentially interacting supplement-drug pairs in adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) in real-world settings, and to explore the impact of potentially interacting supplement-drug pairs on downstream outcomes.

METHODS

Potentially interacting supplement-drug pairs were identified from four tertiary databases. We categorized the potential pharmacodynamic interactions into different clinical types according to their related outcomes and explored their associations with incident outcomes using Cox models.

RESULTS

26,394 participants with T2D in the UK Biobank were included. Half (48.5 %) were supplement users, of whom 85.0 % were taking potentially interacting supplement-drug pairs. The potential pharmacodynamic interactions were related to various clinical outcomes, including reducing the effects of glucose-lowering drugs (50.7 %), hypotension (49.8 %), bleeding (50.4 %) and hepatotoxicity (34.8 %). Exploratory analyses found that the use of potentially interacting supplement-drug pairs was associated with incident hepatic diseases (hazard ratio = 1.26, 95 % confidence interval 1.10-1.44, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Real-world data suggests that most adults with T2D who concurrently used supplements and drugs were on potentially interacting supplement-drug combinations, with the potential of causing adverse outcomes such as incident hepatic diseases. Clinicians should communicate with patients and assess the potential risk of supplement-drug interactions in clinical settings.

iGWAS: Image-based genome-wide association of self-supervised deep phenotyping of retina fundus images

Existing imaging genetics studies have been mostly limited in scope by using imaging-derived phenotypes defined by human experts. Here, leveraging new breakthroughs in self-supervised deep representation learning, we propose a new approach, image-based genome-wide association study (iGWAS), for identifying genetic factors associated with phenotypes discovered from medical images using contrastive learning. Using retinal fundus photos, our model extracts a 128-dimensional vector representing features of the retina as phenotypes. After training the model on 40,000 images from the EyePACS dataset, we generated phenotypes from 130,329 images of 65,629 British White participants in the UK Biobank. We conducted GWAS on these phenotypes and identified 14 loci with genome-wide significance (p<5×10-8 and intersection of hits from left and right eyes). We also did GWAS on the retina color, the average color of the center region of the retinal fundus photos. The GWAS of retina colors identified 34 loci, 7 are overlapping with GWAS of raw image phenotype. Our results establish the feasibility of this new framework of genomic study based on self-supervised phenotyping of medical images.

Associations of birth weight, plasma metabolome in adulthood and risk of type 2 diabetes

AIMS

We aimed to examine the longitudinal associations of birth weight with plasma metabolites in adulthood, and further quantify the proportions of the links between birth weight and incident adult type 2 diabetes (T2D) that were mediated by plasma metabolites.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 62,033 participants with complete nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomics and birth weight data from the UK Biobank were included in this study. Linear regression was used to assess the associations between birth weight and metabolites. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios for T2D associated with metabolites. We further performed mediation analyses to estimate the extent to which metabolites might mediate the association between birth weight and T2D risk.

RESULTS

Low birth weight was associated with the adverse metabolic responses across multiple metabolic pathways, including lipoprotein subclasses, amino acids, fatty acids (FA), and inflammation. Metabolites associated with higher birth weight tended to be associated with a lower risk of T2D (Pearson correlation coefficient: -0.85). A total of 62 metabolites showed statistically significant mediation effects in the protective association of higher birth weight and T2D risk, including large-sized very low-density lipoprotein particles and triglyceride concentrations as well as saturated, and monounsaturated FA and glycoprotein acetyls.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified a range of metabolites that reflect the adult metabolic response to birth weight, some of which might lie on the pathway between birth weight and adult T2D risk.

Trajectories of social isolation and loneliness and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes mellitus across genetic risk score

AIM

This study aimed to investigate the association of social isolation, loneliness, and their trajectory with the risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) across genetic risk.

METHODS

We included 439,337 participants (mean age 56.3 ± 8.1 years) enrolled in the UK Biobank study who were followed up until May 31, 2021. Social isolation and loneliness were self-reported and were further categorized into never, transient, incident, and persistent patterns.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.7 years, 15,258 incident T2DM cases were documented. Social isolation (versus no social isolation: hazard ratio (HR) 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.04 [1.00;1.09]) and loneliness (versus no loneliness: 1.26 [1.19;1.34]) were associated with an increased T2DM risk, independent of the genetic risk for T2DM. The interactions existed between social isolation and loneliness (Pinteraction < 0.05); the increased T2DM risk associated with social isolation was only significant among participants without loneliness. In the longitudinal analysis, only persistent social isolation (versus never social isolation: 1.22 [1.02;1.45]) was associated with an increased T2DM risk, whereas incident loneliness (versus never loneliness: 1.95 [1.40;2.71]) and persistent loneliness (2.00 [1.31;3.04]) were associated with higher T2DM risks.

CONCLUSION

Social isolation and loneliness, especially their persistent pattern, were independently associated with an increased incident T2DM risk, irrespective of an individual's genetic risk. Loneliness modified the association between social isolation and incident T2DM.

Association of Ultraprocessed Food Consumption with Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Among Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes: Findings from the UK Biobank

SCOPE

Among patients with diabetes, who have modified nutritional behavior and a higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), the influence of ultraprocessed foods (UPFs) on CVD remains unknown. The study aims to evaluate the association between UPF intake and the risk of CVD among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and further examine the potential biological pathways linking the association.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study includes 5405 participants with T2D who provided at least one 24-h dietary recall from the UK Biobank study. In the fully adjusted models, a 10% increase in the proportion of UPFs is associated with higher hazards of overall CVD (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.10; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04, 1.15), coronary heart disease (HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.16), heart failure (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.25), but not stroke (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 0.90, 1.12). Cystatin C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), apolipoprotein A, C-reactive protein, and body mass index collectively explain 26.9% (12.8%, 48.5%) of the association between UPF intake and the risk of overall CVD.

CONCLUSION

Higher UPF intakes are associated with increased hazards of CVD among individuals with T2D, and the association is partly mediated through worsening biomarkers of renal function, lipid metabolism, inflammation, and body weight.

Spleen volume is independently associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, liver volume and liver fibrosis

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) can lead to irreversible liver damage manifesting in systemic effects (e.g., elevated portal vein pressure and splenomegaly) with increased risk of deadly outcomes. However, the association of spleen volume with NAFLD and related type 2-diabetes (T2D) is not fully understood. The UK Biobank contains comprehensive health-data of 500,000 participants, including clinical data and MR images of >40,000 individuals. The present study estimated the spleen volume of 37,066 participants through automated deep learning-based image segmentation of neck-to-knee MR images. The aim was to investigate the associations of spleen volume with NAFLD, T2D and liver fibrosis, while adjusting for natural confounders. The recent redefinition and new designation of NAFLD to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), promoted by major organisations of studies on liver disease, was not employed as introduced after the conduct of this study. The results showed that spleen volume decreased with age, correlated positively with body size and was smaller in females compared to males. Larger spleens were observed in subjects with NAFLD and T2D compared to controls. Spleen volume was also positively and independently associated with liver fat fraction, liver volume and the fibrosis-4 score, with notable volumetric increases already at low liver fat fractions and volumes, but not independently associated with T2D. These results suggest a link between spleen volume and NAFLD already at an early stage of the disease, potentially due to initial rise in portal vein pressure.

Association of age at diagnosis of diabetes with subsequent risk of age-related ocular diseases and vision acuity

BACKGROUND

The importance of age on the development of ocular conditions has been reported by numerous studies. Diabetes may have different associations with different stages of ocular conditions, and the duration of diabetes may affect the development of diabetic eye disease. While there is a dose-response relationship between the age at diagnosis of diabetes and the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality, whether the age at diagnosis of diabetes is associated with incident ocular conditions remains to be explored. It is unclear which types of diabetes are more predictive of ocular conditions.

AIM

To examine associations between the age of diabetes diagnosis and the incidence of cataract, glaucoma, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and vision acuity.

METHODS

Our analysis was using the UK Biobank. The cohort included 8709 diabetic participants and 17418 controls for ocular condition analysis, and 6689 diabetic participants and 13378 controls for vision analysis. Ocular diseases were identified using inpatient records until January 2021. Vision acuity was assessed using a chart.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 11.0 years, 3874, 665, and 616 new cases of cataract, glaucoma, and AMD, respectively, were identified. A stronger association between diabetes and incident ocular conditions was observed where diabetes was diagnosed at a younger age. Individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) diagnosed at < 45 years [HR (95%CI): 2.71 (1.49-4.93)], 45-49 years [2.57 (1.17-5.65)], 50-54 years [1.85 (1.13-3.04)], or 50-59 years of age [1.53 (1.00-2.34)] had a higher risk of AMD independent of glycated haemoglobin. T2D diagnosed < 45 years [HR (95%CI): 2.18 (1.71-2.79)], 45-49 years [1.54 (1.19-2.01)], 50-54 years [1.60 (1.31-1.96)], or 55-59 years of age [1.21 (1.02-1.43)] was associated with an increased cataract risk. T2D diagnosed < 45 years of age only was associated with an increased risk of glaucoma [HR (95%CI): 1.76 (1.00-3.12)]. HRs (95%CIs) for AMD, cataract, and glaucoma associated with type 1 diabetes (T1D) were 4.12 (1.99-8.53), 2.95 (2.17-4.02), and 2.40 (1.09-5.31), respectively. In multivariable-adjusted analysis, individuals with T2D diagnosed < 45 years of age [β 95%CI: 0.025 (0.009,0.040)] had a larger increase in LogMAR. The β (95%CI) for LogMAR associated with T1D was 0.044 (0.014, 0.073).

CONCLUSION

The younger age at the diagnosis of diabetes is associated with a larger relative risk of incident ocular diseases and greater vision loss.

Vitamin D status, vitamin D receptor polymorphisms, and risk of type 2 diabetes: A prospective cohort study

CONTEXT

Vitamin D status has been associated with risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but evidence is scarce regarding whether such relation differs by glycemic status.

OBJECTIVE

To prospectively investigate the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and risk of incident T2D across the glycemic spectrum and the modification effect of genetic variants in vitamin D receptor (VDR).

METHODS

This prospective study included 379,699 participants without T2D at baseline from the UK Biobank. Analyses were performed according to glycemic status and HbA1c levels. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

During a median of 14.1 years of follow-up, 6,315 participants with normoglycemia and 9,085 prediabetes patients developed T2D. Compared to individuals with 25(OH)D <25 nmol/L, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) of incident T2D for those with 25(OH)D ≥75 nmol/L was 0.62 (0.56, 0.70) among the normoglycemia and 0.64 (0.58, 0.70) among the prediabetes. A significant interaction was observed between 25(OH)D and VDR polymorphisms among participants with prediabetes (Pinteraction=0.017), whereby the reduced HR of T2D associated with higher 25(OH)D was more prominent in those carrying T allele of rs1544410. Triglycerides levels mediated 26% and 34% of the association between serum 25(OH)D and incident T2D among participants with normoglycemia and prediabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher serum 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with lower T2D risk across the glycemic spectrum below the threshold for diabetes, and the relations in prediabetes were modified by VDR polymorphisms. Improving lipid profile, mainly triglycerides, accounted for part of the favorable associations.

Risk factor control and incident cardiovascular disease in patients with diabetes: Sex-specific relations

AIM

Women with diabetes are at higher risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) than men with diabetes; however, the sex difference in the association between the degree of risk factor control and the risk of CVD in patients with diabetes is unclear.

METHODS

In total, 17 260 participants diagnosed with diabetes from the UK Biobank were included and matched with 86 300 non-diabetes controls based on age, sex and assessment centre. The main exposure was the number of risk factors within the target range, including glycated haemoglobin level <53 mol/mol (7%), blood pressure <140/90 mm/Hg, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol <100 mg/dl, non-current smoking and absence of microalbuminuria.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 13.3 years, a total of 3338 incident CVD cases, including 2807 ischaemic heart disease and 793 strokes, were documented. A more stringent control of risk factors was significantly associated with a lower risk of incident CVD, and such an association was significantly stronger in women than men. Compared with non-diabetes participants, the diabetes-related risk of CVD appeared to be eliminated if more than three risk factors were well controlled among women and men with diabetes. Moreover, clinical biomarkers (e.g. glycated haemoglobin and blood pressure) showed greater relative importance than other factors in women, whereas socio-economic and psychological factors (e.g. education and depression) exhibited similar relative importance to clinical biomarkers in men with diabetes.

CONCLUSION

Our findings highlighted the importance of raising awareness of sex differences in the management of CVD risk factors among patients with diabetes.

Associations between unilateral amblyopia in childhood and cardiometabolic disorders in adult life: a cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis of the UK Biobank

Background

Amblyopia is a common neurodevelopmental condition and leading cause of childhood visual impairment. Given the known association between neurodevelopmental impairment and cardiometabolic dysfunction in later life, we investigated whether children with amblyopia have increased risk of cardiometabolic disorders in adult life.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis of 126,399 United Kingdom Biobank cohort participants who underwent ocular examination. A subset of 67,321 of these received retinal imaging. Data analysis was conducted between November 1st 2021 and October 15th 2022. Our primary objective was to investigate the association between amblyopia and a number of components of metabolic syndrome and individual cardiometabolic diseases. Childhood amblyopia, dichotomised as resolved or persisting by adulthood, cardiometabolic disease and mortality were defined using ophthalmic assessment, self-reported, hospital admissions and death records. Morphological features of the optic nerve and retinal vasculature and sublayers were extracted from retinal photography and optical coherence tomography. Associations between amblyopia and cardiometabolic disorders as well as retinal markers were investigated in multivariable-adjusted regression models.

Findings

Individuals with persisting amblyopia (n = 2647) were more likely to be obese (adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval): 1.16 (1.05; 1.28)), hypertensive (1.25 (1.13; 1.38)) and diabetic (1.29 (1.04; 1.59)) than individuals without amblyopia (controls, (n = 18,481)). Amblyopia was also associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.38 (1.11; 1.72)) and death (1.36 (1.15; 1.60)). On retinal imaging, amblyopic eyes had significantly increased venular caliber (0.29 units (0.21; 0.36)), increased tortuosity (0.11 units (0.03; 0.19)), but lower fractal dimension (-0.23 units (-0.30; -0.16)) and thinner ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer (mGC-IPL, -2.85 microns (-3.47; -2.22)). Unaffected fellow eyes of individuals with amblyopia also had significantly lower retinal fractal dimension (-0.08 units (-0.15; -0.01)) and thinner mGC-IPL (-1.14 microns (-1.74; -0.54)). Amblyopic eyes with a persisting visual deficit had smaller optic nerve disc height (-0.17 units (-0.25; -0.08)) and width (-0.13 units (-0.21; -0.04)) compared to control eyes.

Interpretation

Although further research is needed to understand the basis of the observed associations, healthcare professionals should be cognisant of greater cardiometabolic dysfunction in adults who had childhood amblyopia. Differences in retinal features in both the amblyopic eye and the unaffected non-amblyopic suggest generalised versus local processes.

Funding

Medical Research Council (MR/T000953/1) and the National Institute for Health and Care Research.

Incorporating polygenic risk into the Leicester Risk Assessment score for 10-year risk prediction of type 2 diabetes

AIMS

We evaluated whether incorporating information on ethnic background and polygenic risk enhanced the Leicester Risk Assessment (LRA) score for predicting 10-year risk of type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

The sample included 202,529 UK Biobank participants aged 40-69 years. We computed the LRA score, and developed two new risk scores using training data (80% sample): LRArev, which incorporated additional information on ethnic background, and LRAprs, which incorporated polygenic risk for type 2 diabetes. We assessed discriminative and reclassification performance in a test set (20% sample). Type 2 diabetes was ascertained using primary care, hospital inpatient and death registry records.

RESULTS

Over 10 years, 7,476 participants developed type 2 diabetes. The Harrell's C indexes were 0.796 (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.785, 0.806), 0.802 (95% CI 0.792, 0.813), and 0.829 (95% CI 0.820, 0.839) for the LRA, LRArev and LRAprs scores, respectively. The LRAprs score significantly improved the overall reclassification compared to the LRA (net reclassification index [NRI] = 0.033, 95% CI 0.015, 0.049) and LRArev (NRI = 0.040, 95% CI 0.024, 0.055) scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Polygenic risk moderately improved the performance of the existing LRA score for 10-year risk prediction of type 2 diabetes.

Assessing the impact of type 2 diabetes on mortality and life expectancy according to the number of risk factor targets achieved: an observational study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with an increased risk of premature death. Whether multifactorial risk factor modification could attenuate T2D-related excess risk of death is unclear. We aimed to examine the association of risk factor target achievement with mortality and life expectancy among patients with T2D, compared with individuals without diabetes.

METHODS

In this longitudinal cohort study, we included 316 995 participants (14 162 with T2D and 302 833 without T2D) free from cardiovascular disease (CVD) or cancer at baseline between 2006 and 2010 from the UK Biobank. Participants with T2D were categorised according to the number of risk factors within target range (non-smoking, being physically active, healthy diet, guideline-recommended levels of glycated haemoglobin, body mass index, blood pressure, and total cholesterol). Survival models were applied to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality and predict life expectancy differences.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 13.8 (IQR 13.1-14.4) years, deaths occurred among 2105 (14.9%) participants with T2D and 18 505 (6.1%) participants without T2D. Compared with participants without T2D (death rate per 1000 person-years 4.51 [95% CI 4.44 to 4.57]), the risk of all-cause mortality among those with T2D decreased stepwise with an increasing number of risk factors within target range (0-1 risk factor target achieved: absolute rate difference per 1000 person-years 7.34 [4.91 to 9.78], HR 2.70 [2.25 to 3.25]; 6-7 risk factors target achieved: absolute rate difference per 1000 person-years 0.68 [-0.62 to 1.99], HR 1.16 [0.93 to 1.43]). A similar pattern was observed for CVD and cancer mortality. The association between risk factors target achievement and all-cause mortality was more prominent among participants younger than 60 years than those 60 years or older (P for interaction = 0.012). At age 50 years, participants with T2D who had 0-1 and 6-7 risk factors within target range had an average 7.67 (95% CI 6.15 to 9.19) and 0.99 (-0.59 to 2.56) reduced years of life expectancy, respectively, compared with those without T2D.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with T2D who achieved multiple risk factor targets had no significant excess mortality risk or reduction in life expectancy than those without diabetes. Early interventions aiming to promote risk factor modification could translate into improved long-term survival for patients with T2D.

Degree of joint risk factor control and hazard of mortality in diabetes patients: a matched cohort study in UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Diabetes patients are at higher risk for mortality than the general population; however, little is known about whether the excess mortality risk associated with diabetes could be mitigated or nullified via controlling for risk factors.

METHODS

We included 18,535 diabetes patients and 91,745 matched individuals without diabetes without baseline cancer or cardiovascular disease (CVD), followed up from 2006 to 2021. The main exposure was the number of optimized risk factors including glycated hemoglobin < 53 mmol/mole, systolic blood pressure < 140 mmHg and diastolic blood pressure < 90 mmHg, no albuminuria, non-current smoking and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) < 2.5 mmol/L. We used Cox proportional hazards models to explore the association of the degree of risk factor control with all-cause mortality, cancer mortality, CVD mortality and other mortality.

RESULTS

Each additional risk factor control was associated with a 16, 10, 21 and 15% lower risk of all-cause mortality, cancer mortality, CVD mortality and other mortality, respectively. Optimal risk factors control (controlling 5 risk factors) was associated with a 50% (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.41-0.62), 74% (HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.16-0.43) and 38% (HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.44-0.87) lower risk of all-cause mortality, CVD mortality and other mortality, respectively. Diabetes patients with 4, 3 and 5 or more controlled risk factors, respectively, showed no excess risk of all-cause mortality, cancer mortality and CVD mortality compared to matched non-diabetes patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The results from this study indicate that optimal risk factor control may eliminate diabetes-related excess risk of all-cause mortality, CVD mortality and other mortality.

Risk Assessment for Gastrointestinal Diseases via Clinical Dimension and Genome-Wide Polygenic Risk Scores of Type 2 Diabetes: A Population-Based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate whether individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were at higher risk of developing a wide range of gastrointestinal diseases based on a population-based cohort study.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This study included 374,125 participants free of gastrointestinal disorders at baseline; of them, 19,719 (5.27%) with T2D were followed-up by linking to multiple medical records to record gastrointestinal disease diagnoses. Multivariable Cox models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and CIs. Logistic models were used to examine the associations between polygenic risk scores (PRS) and clinical gastrointestinal phenotypes.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.0 years, we observed the new onset of 15 gastrointestinal diseases. Compared with nondiabetes, participants with T2D had an increased risk of gastritis and duodenitis (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.51-1.65), peptic ulcer (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.43-1.71), diverticular disease (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.14-1.24), pancreatitis (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.24-1.71), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (HR 2.46, 95% CI 2.25-2.69), liver cirrhosis (HR 2.92, 95% CI 2.58-3.30), biliary disease (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.10-1.26), gastrointestinal tract cancers (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.17-1.40), and hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancer (HR 2.32, 95% CI 2.01-2.67). Positive associations of PRS of T2D with gastritis, duodenitis, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease were also observed.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large cohort study, we found that T2D was associated with increased risks of a wide range of gastrointestinal outcomes. We suggest the importance of early detection and prevention of gastrointestinal disorders among patients with T2D.

Leisure-time physical activity and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease in adults with type 2 diabetes: Cross-country comparison of cohort studies

PURPOSE

This study aimed to quantify the dose-response association and the minimal effective dose of leisure-time physical activity (PA) to prevent mortality and cardiovascular disease in adults with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Cross-country comparison of 2 prospective cohort studies including 14,913 and 17,457 population-based adults with type 2 diabetes from the UK and China. Baseline leisure-time PA was self-reported and categorized by metabolic equivalent hours per week (MET-h/week) according to World Health Organization recommendations: none, below recommendation (>0-7.49 MET-h/week); at recommended level (7.5-14.9 MET-h/week); above recommendation (≥15 MET-h/week). Mortality and cardiovascular disease data were obtained from national registries.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.4 and 9.7 years, in the UK and China cohorts, repectively, higher levels of leisure-time PA were inversely associated with all-cause (1571 and 2351 events) and cardiovascular mortality (392 and 1060 events), mostly consistent with a linear dose-response relationship. PA below, at, and above recommendations, compared with no activity, yielded all-cause mortality hazard ratios of 0.94 (95% confidence interval (95%CI): 0.79-1.12), 0.90 (95%CI: 0.74-1.10), and 0.85 (95%CI: 0.70-1.02) in British adults and 0.87 (95%CI: 0.68-1.10), 0.88 (95%CI: 0.74-1.03), and 0.77 (95%CI: 0.70-0.85) in Chinese adults. Associations with cardiovascular mortality were more pronounced in British adults (0.80 (95%CI: 0.58-1.11), 0.75 (95%CI: 0.52-1.09), and 0.69 (95%CI: 0.48-0.97)) but less pronounced in Chinese adults (1.06 (95%CI: 0.76-1.47), 1.01 (95%CI: 0.80-1.28), and 0.79 (95%CI: 0.69-0.92)). PA at recommended levels was not associated with lower rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (2345 and 4458 events).

CONCLUSION

Leisure-time PA at the recommended levels was not convincingly associated with lower mortality and had no association with risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in British or Chinese adults with type 2 diabetes. Leisure-time PA above current recommendations may be needed to prevent cardiovascular disease and premature mortality in adults with type 2 diabetes.

Joint associations of device-measured physical activity and abdominal obesity with incident cardiovascular disease: a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To examine the joint associations between physical activity and abdominal obesity with the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events.

METHODS

We included 70 830 UK Biobank participants (mean age±SD=61.6 ± 7.9 years; 56.4% women) with physical activity measured by wrist-worn accelerometers and without major chronic diseases. Participants were jointly categorised into six groups based on their physical activity level (tertiles of total volume and specific intensity levels) and presence or absence of abdominal obesity based on measured waist circumference. Associations with incident CVD (fatal and non-fatal events) were determined using proportional subdistribution hazard models with multivariable adjustment.

RESULTS

After excluding events during the first 2 years of follow-up, participants were followed for a median of 6.8 years, during which 2795 CVD events were recorded. Compared with the low abdominal adiposity and highest tertile of physical activity, abdominal obesity was associated with higher risk of incident CVD, especially in those with low levels of vigorous-intensity physical activity (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.64). Approximately 500 min per week of moderate-to-vigorous intensity and approximately 30-35 min of vigorous-intensity physical activity offset the association of abdominal obesity and the risk of having a CVD event.

CONCLUSION

Physical activity equivalent to approximately 30-35 min of vigorous intensity per week appears to offset the association between abdominal obesity and incident CVD. About 15 times more physical activity of at least moderate intensity is needed to achieve similar results.

Assessing the importance of primary care diagnoses in the UK Biobank

The UK Biobank has made general practitioner (GP) data (censoring date 2016-2017) available for approximately 45% of the cohort, whilst hospital inpatient and death registry (referred to as "HES/Death") data are available cohort-wide through 2018-2022 depending on whether the data comes from England, Wales or Scotland. We assessed the importance of case ascertainment via different data sources in UKB for three diseases that are usually first diagnosed in primary care: Parkinson's disease (PD), type 2 diabetes (T2D), and all-cause dementia. Including GP data at least doubled the number of incident cases in the subset of the cohort with primary care data (e.g. from 619 to 1390 for dementia). Among the 786 dementia cases that were only captured in the GP data before the GP censoring date, only 421 (54%) were subsequently recorded in HES. Therefore, estimates of the absolute incidence or risk-stratified incidence are misleadingly low when based only on the HES/Death data. For incident cases present in both HES/Death and GP data during the full follow-up period (i.e. until the HES censoring date), the median time difference between an incident diagnosis of dementia being recorded in GP and HES/Death was 2.25 years (i.e. recorded 2.25 years earlier in the GP records). Similar lag periods were also observed for PD (median 2.31 years earlier) and T2D (median 2.82 years earlier). For participants with an incident GP diagnosis, only 65.6% of dementia cases, 69.0% of PD cases, and 58.5% of T2D cases had their diagnosis recorded in HES/Death within 7 years since GP diagnosis. The effect estimates (hazard ratios, HR) of established risk factors for the three health outcomes mostly remain in the same direction and with a similar strength of association when cases are ascertained either using HES only or further adding GP data. The confidence intervals of the HR became narrower when adding GP data, due to the increased statistical power from the additional cases. In conclusion, it is desirable to extend both the coverage and follow-up period of GP data to allow researchers to maximise case ascertainment of chronic health conditions in the UK.

Relationship of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D, obesity with new-onset obstructive sleep apnea

OBJECTIVE

The prospective association between vitamin D and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) remains uncertain. We aimed to assess the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D), a major circulating form of vitamin D, and new-onset OSA, and examine the modifying effect of obesity.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 444,975 participants from UK Biobank without prior OSA. The primary outcome was new-onset OSA.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up duration of 12.0 years, 6051 (1.4%) participants occurred new-onset OSA. Overall, there was an inverse relation of serum 25(OH)D concentrations with the risk of new-onset OSA (per SD increment, HR, 0.92; 95%CI: 0.89-0.95). In the analysis of the interactions of serum 25(OH)D with the combination of BMI (<25, 25- < 30, and ≥30 kg/m2) and waist circumference (WC) (<90 and ≥90 cm) categories on new-onset OSA, the significantly inverse association of serum 25(OH)D and new-onset OSA was mainly found in participants with both BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 and WC ≥ 90 cm (BMI 25-30 kg/m2 and WC ≥ 90 cm: per SD increment, HR, 0.90; 95%CI: 0.84-0.95; BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 and WC ≥ 90 cm: per SD increment, HR, 0.85; 95%CI: 0.81-0.88), but not in other four groups with BMI < 25 kg/m2 or WC < 90 cm (P -interaction = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

There was an inverse relation of serum 25(OH)D with the risk of new-onset OSA in participants with both BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 and WC ≥ 90 cm. Our findings suggest the importance of maintaining a higher serum 25(OH)D concentration for primary prevention of OSA in a population with obesity.

Association of handgrip strength and walking pace with incident Parkinson's disease

BACKGROUND

We aimed to quantify the association of handgrip strength and self-reported walking pace with incident Parkinson's disease (PD) in the general population.

METHODS

A total of 419 572 participants (54.1% females, mean age: 56.1 years [SD, 8.2]) without prior PD were included from UK Biobank. Handgrip strength was assessed by dynamometer. Walking pace was self-reported as slow, average or brisk. The study outcome was incident PD, determined by self-report data, hospital admission records or death records.

RESULTS

The mean handgrip strength was 23.5 (SD, 6.3) and 39.6 (SD, 8.9) kg for females and males, respectively. A total of 33 645 (8.0%), 221 682 (52.8%) and 164 245 (39.2%) participants reported slow, average and brisk walking pace, respectively. Over a median follow-up duration of 12.5 years, 2152 participants developed incident PD. When handgrip strength was assessed as sex-specific tertiles, compared with those in the third tertile, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval [CI]) of incident PD for participants in the second and first tertiles were 1.23 (1.09-1.39) and 1.60 (1.42-1.79), respectively. Compared with brisk walking pace, average (HR, 1.33; 95% CI: 1.20-1.47) or slow (HR, 1.84; 95% CI: 1.57-2.15) walking pace was associated with a higher risk of incident PD. A lower grip strength (Tertiles 1 and 2) and an average/slow walking pace accounted for 23.8% and 19.9% of PD cases, respectively. When handgrip strength and walking pace were considered together, the highest risk of incident PD was observed in participants with both lowest handgrip strength and slow walking pace (HR, 2.89; 95% CI: 2.30-3.64). Genetic risks of PD did not significantly modify the relation of handgrip strength (P for interaction = 0.371) or walking pace (P for interaction = 0.082) with new-onset PD.

CONCLUSIONS

Low handgrip strength and slow walking pace were significantly associated with a higher risk of incident PD, regardless of the individuals' genetic risk profile.

Associations of Habitual Calcium Supplementation With Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality in Individuals With and Without Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To prospectively examine the associations of habitual calcium supplementation with cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and mortality in individuals with and without diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The main analysis included 434,374 participants from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Interactions of calcium supplement use with diabetes status were tested on multiplicative and additive scales.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 8.1 and 11.2 years, 26,374 incident CVD events and 20,526 deaths were documented, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, habitual calcium supplementation was significantly associated with higher risks of CVD incidence (HR 1.34; 95% CI 1.14, 1.57), CVD mortality (HR 1.67; 95% CI 1.19, 2.33), and all-cause mortality (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.20, 1.72) in participants with diabetes, whereas no significant association was observed in participants without diabetes (HR 0.97 [95% CI 0.92, 1.03] for CVD incidence; HR 1.05 [95% CI 0.90, 1.23] for CVD mortality; HR 1.02 [95% CI 0.96, 1.09] for all-cause mortality). Significant multiplicative and additive interactions were found between habitual calcium supplementation and diabetes status on risks of CVD events and mortality (all Pinteraction < 0.05). In contrast, no significant interactions were observed between dietary or serum calcium and diabetes status.

CONCLUSIONS

Habitual use of calcium supplements was significantly associated with higher risk of CVD events and mortality in people with diabetes but not in people without diabetes. Further studies are needed to balance potentially adverse effects of calcium supplement against likely benefits, particularly among patients with diabetes.

Adding salt to foods and hazards of microvascular, cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases

BACKGROUND

We aimed to examine the association of the frequency of adding salt to foods and the hazards of the incidence and mortality risks for a range of vascular outcomes, including microvascular, cerebrovascular, and cardiovascular diseases.

METHODS

438,307 participants from the UK Biobank who completed the questionnaire on the frequency of adding salt to foods and were free of vascular disease at baseline were enrolled. Information on the frequency of adding salt to foods (do not include salt used in cooking) was collected at baseline through a touch-screen questionnaire. The primary outcomes included incident microvascular diseases, cerebrovascular diseases, and cardiovascular diseases, respectively. The secondary outcomes included: (1) each component of these vascular diseases (10 components in total), (2) first occurrence of fatal and non-fatal vascular diseases.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, a total of 17,169 (3.9%), 10,437 (2.4%), and 48,203 (11.0%) participants developed microvascular, cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases, respectively. Overall, the hazards of incident microvascular, cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases increased with the increasing frequency of adding salt to foods (all P for trend <0.001). Similar trends were found for the secondary outcomes. Moreover, the positive association of always adding salt to foods with hazard of cardiovascular diseases was stronger among current-smokers (P-interaction = 0.010), younger participants (P-interaction <0.001), and those with lower body mass index levels (P-interaction = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher frequency of adding salt to foods was associated with higher hazards of non-fatal and fatal microvascular, cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases, and each component of these vascular diseases.

Frequency of Adding Salt to Foods, Genetic Susceptibility, and Incident Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study

CONTEXT

Excessive salt consumption is known to increase the risk of hypertension and cardiovascular disease, but the association between salt intake and incident type 2 diabetes has not been extensively researched.

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we aimed to investigate the relationships between the frequency of adding salt to foods and incident type 2 diabetes, as well as any potential interactions with genetic predisposition.

METHODS

We included 368 137 eligible participants, aged 37 to 73 years, from the UK Biobank. The frequency of adding salt to foods was assessed via a food frequency questionnaire.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.6 years, we documented 10 981 incident type 2 diabetes cases. After adjustment for major confounders, participants who sometimes, usually, and always added salt to foods had 7% (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.12), 9% (HR: 1.09; 95% CI, 1.03-1.16), 28% (HR: 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38) higher risks of developing type 2 diabetes, respectively, than those that never/rarely added salt to foods (P for trend < .001). We found these associations to be consistent across stratified and sensitivity analyses. However, we did not observe any statistically significant multiplicative or additive interactions between the frequency of adding salt to foods and genetic predisposition regarding incident type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that consuming salt regularly, regardless of genetic susceptibility, may increase the risk of type 2 diabetes. Therefore, public health interventions aimed at reducing excessive salt consumption may help prevent the onset of type 2 diabetes.

The effect of metformin on urate metabolism: Findings from observational and Mendelian randomization analyses

AIM

To evaluate the effect of metformin on urate metabolism.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the UK Biobank, we first performed association analyses of metformin use with urate levels, risk of hyperuricaemia and incident gout in patients with diabetes. To explore the causal effect of metformin on urate and gout, we identified genetic variants proxying the glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c)-lowering effect of metformin targets and conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) utilizing the urate and gout genetic summary-level data from the CKDGen (n = 288 649) and the FinnGen cohort. We conducted two-step MR to explore the mediation effect of body mass index and systolic blood pressure. We also performed non-linear MR in the UK Biobank (n = 414 055) to show the results across HbA1c levels.

RESULTS

In 18 776 patients with type 2 diabetes in UK Biobank, metformin use was associated with decreased urate [β = -4.3 μmol/L, 95% confidence interval (CI) -7.0, -1.7, p = .001] and reduced hyperuricaemia risk (odds ratio = 0.87, 95% CI 0.79, 0.96, p = .004), but not gout. Genetically proxied averaged HbA1c-lowering effects of metformin targets, equivalent to a 0.62% reduction in HbA1c, was associated with reduced urate (β = -12.5 μmol/L, 95% CI -21.4, -4.2, p = .004). Body mass index significantly mediated this association (proportion mediated = 33.0%, p = .002). Non-linear MR results suggest a linear trend of the effect of metformin on urate reduction across various HbA1c levels.

CONCLUSIONS

The effect of metformin may reduce urate levels but not incident gout in the general population.

Habitual fish oil supplementation, genetic susceptibility of kidney stones and the risk of new-onset kidney stones

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess the association between habitual fish oil use and new-onset kidney stones in participants with different levels of genetic risks of kidney stones.

METHODS

477,311 participants free of kidney stones at baseline from the UK Biobank cohort were included. Fish oil use was collected by both food frequency questionnaires and 24-h dietary recalls. A genetic risk score (GRS) for kidney stones was calculated based on 20 single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with kidney stones. The primary outcome was new-onset kidney stones.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.0 years, 5,637 cases of kidney stones were documented. Participants with high genetic risks of kidney stones had a higher risk of new-onset kidney stones (vs. low or intermediate risks; adjusted HR, 1.52; 95 %CI:1.44-1.60). Compared with non-users, habitual use of fish oil was associated with a lower risk of new-onset kidney stones (adjusted HR, 0.84, 95 %CI, 0.78-0.92) in participants with low or intermediate genetic risks, but not in those with high genetic risks of kidney stones (adjusted HR, 1.02, 95 %CI, 0.93-1.12; P-interaction =0.001). Among those with low or intermediate genetic risks of kidney stones, compared with fish oil constant nonusers, the adjusted HRs (95 %CI) for kidney stones were 0.89 (0.75-1.06), 0.72 (0.58-0.90), and 0.79 (0.64-0.97), for fish oil occasional users, modestly constant users, and moderately and highly constant users (P for trend = 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Habitual fish oil use was associated with a lower risk of new-onset kidney stones in participants with low or intermediate genetic risk of kidney stones.

Variant of the lactase LCT gene explains association between milk intake and incident type 2 diabetes

Cow's milk is frequently included in the human diet, but the relationship between milk intake and type 2 diabetes (T2D) remains controversial. Here, using data from the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos, we show that in both sexes, higher milk intake is associated with lower risk of T2D in lactase non-persistent (LNP) individuals (determined by a variant of the lactase LCT gene, single nucleotide polymorphism rs4988235 ) but not in lactase persistent individuals. We validate this finding in the UK Biobank. Further analyses reveal that among LNP individuals, higher milk intake is associated with alterations in gut microbiota (for example, enriched Bifidobacterium and reduced Prevotella) and circulating metabolites (for example, increased indolepropionate and reduced branched-chain amino acid metabolites). Many of these metabolites are related to the identified milk-associated bacteria and partially mediate the association between milk intake and T2D in LNP individuals. Our study demonstrates a protective association between milk intake and T2D among LNP individuals and a potential involvement of gut microbiota and blood metabolites in this association.

Walking pace and microvascular complications among individuals with type 2 diabetes: A cohort study from the UK Biobank

INTRODUCTION

Walking pace is associated with various health-related outcomes. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between self-reported walking pace and the incidences of diabetic microvascular complications among participants with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODS

Self-reported walking pace was classified as brisk, average, or slow. The outcomes were the incidences of diabetic retinopathy, diabetic neuropathy, and diabetic nephropathy. COX proportional hazards models adjusted for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and health-related factors were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

A total of 14 518 participants with T2D in the UK Biobank (mean age 59.7 ± 7.0 years, 5028 [34.6%] women) were included. During a median follow-up of 12.5 (interquartile range: 11.6-13.4) years, 2980 participants developed diabetic microvascular complications. After adjusting for confounding factors, and compared with brisk walkers, slow walkers had a multivariable-adjusted HR of 1.98 (95% CI 1.58, 2.47) for composite diabetic microvascular complications, 1.54 (95% CI 1.11, 2.14) for diabetic retinopathy, 3.26 (95% CI 2.08, 5.11) for diabetic neuropathy, and 2.32 (95% CI 1.91, 2.82) for diabetic nephropathy. Average walking pace was associated with a higher risk for diabetic nephropathy (HR 1.51, 95 CI% 1.27-1.79) compared with brisk walking. Additionally, ≥1 diabetic microvascular complication occurred in 447 (14.7%) of participants with brisk walking pace, 1702 (19.5%) with average walking pace, and 831 (30.4%) with slow walking pace. Time from study recruitment to first diagnosis was shorter in participants who reported a slow walking pace, compared with brisk or average walkers. Among participants who had diabetic nephropathy as their first diagnosis, slow walking pace was associated with subsequent risk of a second diabetic microvascular complication (HR 3.88, 95 CI% 2.27-6.60).

CONCLUSIONS

Self-reported slow walking pace is associated with a higher risk of diabetic microvascular complications among participants with T2D in this population-based cohort study.

Diet-Wide Association Study for the Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Community-Dwelling Adults Using the UK Biobank Data

This longitudinal study used diet-wide association studies (DWAS) to investigate the association between diverse dietary food and nutrient intakes and the onset of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Out of 502,505 participants from the UK Biobank, 119,040 with dietary data free of T2DM at the baseline were included, and 3241 developed T2DM during a median follow-up of 11.7 years. The DWAS analysis, which is based on Cox regression models, was used to analyse the associations between dietary food or nutrient intake factors and T2DM risk. The study found that 10 out of 225 dietary factors were significantly associated with the T2DM risk. Total alcohol (HR = 0.86, 0.85-0.92, p = 1.26 × 10-32), red wine (HR = 0.89, 0.88-0.94, p = 7.95 × 10-19), and fresh tomatoes (HR = 0.92, 0.89-0.94, p = 2.3 × 10-11) showed a negative association with T2DM risk, whereas sliced buttered bread exhibited a positive association. Additionally, 5 out of 21 nutrient intake variables revealed significant associations with the T2DM risk, with iron having the highest protective effect and starch as a risk factor. In conclusion, DWAS is an effective method for discovering novel associations when exploring numerous dietary variables simultaneously and could provide valuable insight into future dietary guidance for T2DM.

Genetically predicted lifestyle factors, socioeconomic status and risk of coronary artery disease in individuals with diabetes: a Mendelian randomization study

Background

This study explores the causal links between genetically predicted lifestyle factors, socioeconomic status, and coronary artery disease (CAD) risk in individuals with diabetes using a bidirectional Mendelian-randomization approach.

Methods

This study explored the potential causal relationships of lifestyle factors and socioeconomic status with the risk of CAD in diabetes patients by a bidirectional, two-sample Mendelian-randomization (MR) analysis.

Results

Genetically predicted smoking initiation (p = 0.005, 95% CI: 1.08-1.55) and insomnia (p = 0.001, 95% CI: 1.06-1.29) were associated with a higher risk of CAD in individuals with diabetes, whereas educational attainment (p = 0.0001, 95% CI: 0.47-0.78) was associated with a lower risk of CAD. The lifetime smoking index (p = 0.016, 95% CI: 1.12-3.03) was suggestively associated with a higher risk of CAD, while household income before taxes (p = 0.048, 95% CI: 0.41-1.00) was suggestively associated with a lower risk of CAD. In addition, we observed a suggestive negative association between the genetically predicted risk of CAD and the lifetime smoking index (p = 0.016, 95% CI: 0.98-0.99) and a significant causal relationship between the risk of CAD and household income before taxes (p = 0.006, 95% CI: 0.97-0.99).

Conclusion

The results of this study provide evidence that smoking initiation, lifetime smoking index and insomnia are associated with an increased risk of CAD in individuals with diabetes, educational attainment and household income before taxes are associated with a reduced risk of CAD in individuals with diabetes, and the possible role of lifetime smoking index and household income before taxes on the risk of CAD in individuals with diabetes. It provides an opportunity for the prevention and management of CAD in individuals with diabetes.

Associations of Glucose Metabolism Status with Brain Macrostructure and Microstructure: Findings from the UK Biobank

CONTEXT

Evidence linking glucose metabolism status with brain macro- and microstructure is limited and inconsistent.

OBJECTIVE

We aim to investigate the associations of glucose metabolism status with brain macrostructure and microstructure, including brain volumes, subcortical gray matter volumes, and white matter microstructural metrics.

METHODS

This study enrolled 29 251 participants from the UK Biobank. Glucose metabolism status was classified into normal glucose metabolism (NGM), prediabetes, type 2 diabetes (T2D) with HbA1c <7%, and T2D with HbA1c ≥7%. Brain macrostructural metrics included volumes of total and subcortical gray matter, white matter, white matter hyperintensity (WMH), cerebrospinal fluid, and brain stem. Brain microstructural metrics included fractional anisotropy (FA) and mean diffusivity in white matter tracts. Multivariable linear regression models were used to estimate β values and 95% CI.

RESULTS

After multivariable adjustment including demographic and lifestyle factors, medical history, and total intracranial volume, those with prediabetes had smaller total and subcortical gray matter volumes than participants with NGM, while atrophy of total and subcortical gray matter was more pronounced in those with T2D (all P trend < .05). Moreover, participants with T2D had larger volumes of white matter and WMH (both P trend < .05). For brain microstructure, participants with prediabetes had lower FA values in commissural fibers (β -0.04; 95% CI -0.08, -0.003). Global and tract-specific microstructural abnormalities of white matter were observed in participants with T2D, especially for T2D with HbA1c ≥ 7% (all P trend < .05), except for FA values in projection fibers.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that interventions for hyperglycemia at an earlier stage may help protect brain health.

Causal Association Between Subtypes of Excessive Daytime Sleepiness and Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases

BACKGROUND

Excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS), experienced in 10% to 20% of the population, has been associated with cardiovascular disease and death. However, the condition is heterogeneous and is prevalent in individuals having short and long sleep duration. We sought to clarify the relationship between sleep duration subtypes of EDS with cardiovascular outcomes, accounting for these subtypes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We defined 3 sleep duration subtypes of excessive daytime sleepiness: normal (6-9 hours), short (<6 hours), and long (>9 hours), and compared these with a nonsleepy, normal-sleep-duration reference group. We analyzed their associations with incident myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke using medical records of 355 901 UK Biobank participants and performed 2-sample Mendelian randomization for each outcome. Compared with healthy sleep, long-sleep EDS was associated with an 83% increased rate of MI (hazard ratio, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.21-2.77]) during 8.2-year median follow-up, adjusting for multiple health and sociodemographic factors. Mendelian randomization analysis provided supporting evidence of a causal role for a genetic long-sleep EDS subtype in MI (inverse-variance weighted β=1.995, P=0.001). In contrast, we did not find evidence that other subtypes of EDS were associated with incident MI or any associations with stroke (P>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests the previous evidence linking EDS with increased cardiovascular disease risk may be primarily driven by the effect of its long-sleep subtype on higher risk of MI. Underlying mechanisms remain to be investigated but may involve sleep irregularity and circadian disruption, suggesting a need for novel interventions in this population.

Positive association between ambient air pollutants and incident kidney stones

We aimed to assess the association between exposure to various air pollutants, individually or jointly, and incident kidney stones, and examine whether genetic susceptibility for kidney stones may modify this association. 453,977 participants without prior kidney stones from the UK Biobank were included. Annual mean concentrations of PM2.5, PM2.5-10, PM10, NO2, and NOx were estimated with a land use regression model. A weighted air pollution score was constructed that incorporates the five pollutants mentioned above. A genetic risk score (GRS) was calculated based on 20 single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with kidney stones. The primary outcome was incident kidney stones. During a median follow-up of 11.9 years, 5,375 kidney stones were recorded. The adjusted HRs (95%CI) of incident kidney stones were 1.04 (1.01-1.07), 1.02 (1.00-1.05), 1.03 (1.01-1.06), 1.05 (1.02-1.08), and 1.04 (1.01-1.07), for per standard deviation (SD) increment in PM2.5 (SD:1.06 μg/m3), PM2.5-10 (SD:0.90 μg/m3), PM10 (SD:1.90 μg/m3), NO2 (SD:7.63 μg/m3), and NOx (SD: 15.63 μg/m3), respectively. Moreover, there was a significantly linear association between the air pollution score and incident kidney stones (per SD increment: HR, 1.05, 95%CI: 1.02-1.08), especially in those without diabetes (vs. participants with diabetes; P-interaction = 0.037). In addition, the association between air pollution and kidney stones was statistically significant only in participants within intermediate-high kidney stone GRS, but not in those with low GRS kidney stone, though the interaction was not significant (P-interaction = 0.385). In conclusion, exposure to air pollution was associated with a higher risk of incident kidney stones, calling for the need to improve air quality.

Adherence to a healthy sleep pattern and new-onset acute kidney injury

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prospective association of individual sleep characteristics and a healthy sleep pattern with new-onset acute kidney injury in general population.

METHODS

The UK Biobank enrolled over 500,000 participants, aged 37-73years, across the UK from 2006 to 2010. Of these, 375,216 participants were included in the current study. A healthy sleep score, ranging from 0 to 5 points, was created by combining five major sleep characteristics, including sleep duration, chronotype, insomnia, snoring, and daytime sleepiness. New-onset acute kidney injury was defined by ICD-10 code N17, ascertained by primary care data, hospital inpatient data, death register records, or self-reported medical conditions.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 12.0years, 14,492 (3.9%) participants developed acute kidney injury. Overall, the healthy sleep score was significantly inversely associated with the risk of new-onset acute kidney injury (per 1-point increment; hazards ratio, 0.95; 95%CI, 0.93-0.97), especially in nondiabetes (hazards ratio, 0.94; 95%CI, 0.92-0.96; vs. diabetes, hazards ratio, 1.01; 95%CI, 0.96-1.05; P-interaction=.008). The genetic predisposition of estimated glomerular filtration rate and acute kidney injury did not significantly modify the association between the healthy sleep score and acute kidney injury (both P-interactions >.05). Sleep 7-8 hours per day (vs. <7 hours or ≥9 hours; hazards ratio, 0.92; 95%CI, 0.88-0.96), early chronotype (vs. evening chronotype; hazards ratio, 0.93; 95%CI, 0.89-0.97), never or rarely insomnia (vs. sometimes/usually insomnia; hazards ratio, 0.93; 95%CI, 0.88-0.97) and no frequent daytime sleepiness (vs. often/always daytime sleepiness; hazards ratio, 0.90; 95%CI, 0.81-0.99) were significantly associated with a lower risk of new-onset acute kidney injury.

CONCLUSIONS

A healthy sleep pattern was significantly associated with a lower risk of new-onset acute kidney injury, regardless of the genetic risks.

Association of tea and coffee consumption with the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality among individuals with metabolic syndrome: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The relationship between tea and coffee consumption and mortality among patients with metabolic syndrome (MetS) remains barely explored. Herein, this study aimed to examine the association between tea and coffee consumption and the likelihood of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with MetS.

METHODS

A total of 118,872 participants with MetS at baseline from the UK Biobank cohort were included. Information on tea and coffee consumption was obtained during recruitment using a touchscreen questionnaire. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality were determined using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 13.87 years, 13,666 deaths were recorded, with 5913, 3362, and 994 deaths from cancer, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and respiratory disease (RD), respectively. This research showed a significant inverse association between tea intake and the risk of all-cause and cancer mortality, the respective HRs (95% CI) for consuming tea 2 vs. 0 cup/day were 0.89 (0.84-0.95), and 0.91 (0.83-0.99), and tea intake ≥ 4 cups/day could reduce CVD mortality by 11% (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.81-0.98). The U-shaped nonlinear association between coffee intake and all-cause/CVD mortality was examined (all p-nonlinear < 0.001). The HRs (95% CI) for coffee consumption 1 vs. 0 cup/day were 0.93 (0.89-0.98) and 0.89 (0.80-0.99), and for ≥ 4 vs. 0 cup/day were 1.05 (1.01-1.11) and 1.13 (1.03-1.25), respectively. Notably, the combined intake of tea and coffee presented a protective effect against all-cause mortality (HR < 1).

CONCLUSIONS

The importance of daily tea and moderate coffee consumption in individuals with MetS to optimise health benefits are highlighted.

Associations of lipoprotein subclasses with risk of all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes: A prospective cohort study

AIM

Although lipoproteins are well-established risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, conventional measurements failed to identify lipoprotein particle sizes. This study aimed to investigate associations of lipoprotein subclasses categorized by particle sizes with risk of all-cause and CVD mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

This study included 6575 individuals with type 2 diabetes from the UK Biobank. Concentrations of very low-, low-, intermediate- and high-density lipoprotein [very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), intermediate-density lipoprotein and high-density lipoprotein (HDL)] particles in 14 subclasses and lipid constituents within each subclass were measured by quantitative nuclear magnetic resonance. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional-hazard regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for per standard deviation increment of log-transformed lipoprotein subclasses with risk of mortality. All p-values were adjusted by the false discovery rate method.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 11.4 years, 943 deaths were documented, including 310 CVD deaths. Small HDL particles were inversely associated with CVD mortality, with HR (95% CI) of 0.78 (0.69, 0.87), whereas very large and large HDL particles were positively associated with CVD mortality with HR (95% CI) of 1.28 (1.12, 1.45) and 1.19 (1.05, 1.35), respectively. A similar pattern was observed for all-cause mortality [small HDL particle (HR, 95% CI): 0.79, 0.74-0.85; large HDL particle: 1.15, 1.07-1.24; very large HDL particle: 1.26, 1.17-1.36]. For VLDL and LDL, very small VLDL particle was positively, while medium LDL particle was inversely associated with all-cause mortality, but not associated with CVD mortality. The pattern of association with all-cause and CVD mortality for cholesterol and triglyceride within lipoprotein particles was similar to those for lipoprotein particles themselves.

CONCLUSIONS

The associations between lipoprotein particles, particularly HDL particles, with all-cause and CVD mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes were significantly varied by particle sizes, highlighting the importance of particle size as a lipoprotein metric in mortality risk discrimination.

Ethnic Differences in the Association Between Age at Natural Menopause and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Among Postmenopausal Women: A Pooled Analysis of Individual Data From 13 Cohort Studies

OBJECTIVE

To investigate associations between age at natural menopause, particularly premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) (natural menopause before age 40 years), and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) and identify any variations by ethnicity.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We pooled individual-level data of 338,059 women from 13 cohort studies without T2D before menopause from six ethnic groups: White (n = 177,674), Chinese (n = 146,008), Japanese (n = 9,061), South/Southeast Asian (n = 2,228), Black (n = 1,838), and mixed/other (n = 1,250). Hazard ratios (HRs) of T2D associated with age at menopause were estimated in the overall sample and by ethnicity, with study as a random effect. For each ethnic group, we further stratified the association by birth year, education level, and BMI.

RESULTS

Over 9 years of follow-up, 20,064 (5.9%) women developed T2D. Overall, POI (vs. menopause at age 50-51 years) was associated with an increased risk of T2D (HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.20-1.44), and there was an interaction between age at menopause and ethnicity (P < 0.0001). T2D risk associated with POI was higher in White (1.53; 1.36-1.73), Japanese (4.04; 1.97-8.27), and Chinese women born in 1950 or later (2.79; 2.11-3.70); although less precise, the risk estimates were consistent in women of South/Southeast Asian (1.46; 0.89-2.40), Black (1.72; 0.95-3.12), and mixed/other (2.16; 0.83-5.57) ethnic groups. A similar pattern, but with a smaller increased risk of T2D, was observed with early menopause overall (1.16; 1.10-1.23) and for White, Japanese, and Chinese women born in 1950 or later.

CONCLUSIONS

POI and early menopause are risk factors for T2D in postmenopausal women, with considerable variation across ethnic groups, and may need to be considered in risk assessments of T2D among women.