Marriage to a smoker and lung cancer risk

Health effects associated with exposure to secondhand smoke: a Burden of Proof study

Despite a gradual decline in smoking rates over time, exposure to secondhand smoke (SHS) continues to cause harm to nonsmokers, who are disproportionately children and women living in low- and middle-income countries. We comprehensively reviewed the literature published by July 2022 concerning the adverse impacts of SHS exposure on nine health outcomes. Following, we quantified each exposure-response association accounting for various sources of uncertainty and evaluated the strength of the evidence supporting our analyses using the Burden of Proof Risk Function methodology. We found all nine health outcomes to be associated with SHS exposure. We conservatively estimated that SHS increases the risk of ischemic heart disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes and lung cancer by at least around 8%, 5%, 1% and 1%, respectively, with the evidence supporting these harmful associations rated as weak (two stars). The evidence supporting the harmful associations between SHS and otitis media, asthma, lower respiratory infections, breast cancer and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was weaker (one star). Despite the weak underlying evidence for these associations, our results reinforce the harmful effects of SHS on health and the need to prioritize advancing efforts to reduce active and passive smoking through a combination of public health policies and education initiatives.

Environmental tobacco smoke exposure and lung cancer: A systematic review

AIM: To review evidence relating passive smoking to lung cancer risk in never smokers, considering various major sources of bias.

METHODS: Epidemiological prospective or case-control studies were identified which provide estimates of relative risk (RR) and 95%CI for never smokers for one or more of seven different indices of exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS): The spouse; household; workplace; childhood; travel; social and other; and total. A wide range of study details were entered into a database, and the RRs for each study, including descriptions of the comparisons made, were entered into a linked database. RRs were derived where necessary. Results were entered, where available, for all lung cancer, and for squamous cell cancer and adenocarcinoma. “Most adjusted” results were entered based on results available, adjusted for the greatest number of potential confounding variables. “Least adjusted” results were also entered, with a preference for results adjusted at least for age for prospective studies. A pre-planned series of fixed-effects and random-effects meta-analyses were conducted. Overall analyses and analyses by continent were run for each exposure index, with results for spousal smoking given by sex, and results for childhood exposure given by source of ETS exposure. For spousal exposure, more extensive analyses provide results by various aspects of study design and definition of the RR. For smoking by the husband (or nearest equivalent), additional analyses were carried out both for overall risk, and for risk per 10 cigarettes per day smoked by the husband. These adjusted for uncontrolled confounding by four factors (fruit, vegetable and dietary fat consumption, and education), and corrected for misclassification of smoking status of the wife. For the confounding adjustment, estimates for never smoking women were derived from publications on the relationship of the four factors to both lung cancer risk and at home ETS exposure, and on the correlations between the factors. The bias due to misclassification was calculated on the basis that the proportion of ever smokers denying smoking is 10% in Asian studies and 2.5% elsewhere, and that those who deny smoking have the same risk as those who admit it. This approach, justified in previous work, balances higher true denial rates and lower risk in deniers compared to non-deniers.

RESULTS: One hundred and two studies were identified for inclusion, published in 1981 onwards, 45 in Asia, 31 in North America, 21 in Europe, and five elsewhere. Eighty-five were of case-control design and 17 were prospective. Significant (P < 0.05) associations were noted, with random-effects of (RR = 1.22, 95%CI: 1.14-1.31, n = 93) for smoking by the husband (RR = 1.14, 95%CI: 1.01-1.29, n = 45) for smoking by the wife (RR = 1.22, 95%CI: 1.15-1.30, n = 47) for workplace exposure (RR = 1.15, 95%CI: 1.02-1.29, n = 41) for childhood exposure, and (RR = 1.31, 95%CI: 1.19-1.45, n = 48) for total exposure. No significant association was seen for ETS exposure in travel (RR = 1.34, 95%CI: 0.94-1.93, n = 8) or in social situations (RR = 1.01, 95%CI: 0.82-1.24, n = 15). A significant negative association (RR = 0.78, 95%CI: 0.64-0.94, n = 8) was seen for ETS exposure in childhood, specifically from the parents. Significant associations were also seen for spousal smoking for both squamous cell carcinoma (RR = 1.44, 95%CI: 1.15-1.80, n = 24) and adenocarcinoma (RR = 1.33, 95%CI: 1.17-1.51, n = 30). Results generally showed marked heterogeneity between studies. For smoking by either the husband or wife, where 119 RR estimates gave an overall estimate of (RR = 1.21, 95%CI: 1.14-1.29), the heterogeneity was highly significant (P < 0.001), with evidence that the largest RRs were seen in studies published in 1981-89, in small studies (1-49 cases), and for estimates unadjusted by age. For smoking by the husband, the additional analyses showed that adjustment for the four factors reduced the overall (RR = 1.22, 95%CI: 1.14-1.31) based on 93 estimates to (RR = 1.14, 95%CI: 1.06-1.22), implying bias due to uncontrolled confounding of 7%. Further correction for misclassification reduced the estimate to a marginally non-significant (RR = 1.08, 95%CI: 0.999-1.16). In the fully adjusted and corrected analyses, there was evidence of an increase in Asia (RR = 1.18, 95%CI: 1.07-1.30, n = 44), but not in other regions (RR = 0.96, 95%CI: 0.86-1.07, n = 49). Studies published in the 1980’s, studies providing dose-response data, and studies only providing results unadjusted for age showed elevated RRs, but later published studies, studies not providing dose-response data, and studies adjusting for age did not. The pattern of results for RRs per 10 cigs/d was similar, with no significant association in the adjusted and corrected results (RR = 1.03, 95%CI: 0.994-1.07).

CONCLUSION: Most, if not all, of the ETS/lung cancer association can be explained by confounding adjustment and misclassification correction. Any causal relationship is not convincingly demonstrated.

Systematic review with meta-analysis of the epidemiological evidence in the 1900s relating smoking to lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Smoking is a known lung cancer cause, but no detailed quantitative systematic review exists. We summarize evidence for various indices.

METHODS

Papers published before 2000 describing epidemiological studies involving 100+ lung cancer cases were obtained from Medline and other sources. Studies were classified as principal, or subsidiary where cases overlapped with principal studies. Data were extracted on design, exposures, histological types and confounder adjustment. RRs/ORs and 95% CIs were extracted for ever, current and ex smoking of cigarettes, pipes and cigars and indices of cigarette type and dose-response. Meta-analyses and meta-regressions investigated how relationships varied by study and RR characteristics, mainly for outcomes exactly or closely equivalent to all lung cancer, squamous cell carcinoma ("squamous") and adenocarcinoma ("adeno").

RESULTS

287 studies (20 subsidiary) were identified. Although RR estimates were markedly heterogeneous, the meta-analyses demonstrated a relationship of smoking with lung cancer risk, clearly seen for ever smoking (random-effects RR 5.50, CI 5.07-5.96) current smoking (8.43, 7.63-9.31), ex smoking (4.30, 3.93-4.71) and pipe/cigar only smoking (2.92, 2.38-3.57). It was stronger for squamous (current smoking RR 16.91, 13.14-21.76) than adeno (4.21, 3.32-5.34), and evident in both sexes (RRs somewhat higher in males), all continents (RRs highest for North America and lowest for Asia, particularly China), and both study types (RRs higher for prospective studies). Relationships were somewhat stronger in later starting and larger studies. RR estimates were similar in cigarette only and mixed smokers, and similar in smokers of pipes/cigars only, pipes only and cigars only. Exceptionally no increase in adeno risk was seen for pipe/cigar only smokers (0.93, 0.62-1.40). RRs were unrelated to mentholation, and higher for non-filter and handrolled cigarettes. RRs increased with amount smoked, duration, earlier starting age, tar level and fraction smoked and decreased with time quit. Relationships were strongest for small and squamous cell, intermediate for large cell and weakest for adenocarcinoma. Covariate-adjustment little affected RR estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

The association of lung cancer with smoking is strong, evident for all lung cancer types, dose-related and insensitive to covariate-adjustment. This emphasises the causal nature of the relationship. Our results quantify the relationships more precisely than previously.

Clustering of concordant and discordant cancer types in Swedish couples is rare

BACKGROUND

Spouses are exposed to common environmental cancer risk factors during adulthood. Investigating the aggregation of cancer in couples might provide valuable insights into cancer development.

METHODS

The 2008 update of the Swedish Family-Cancer Database includes over 2 million couples with at least one child in common with one single partner. We quantified the contribution of shared adulthood environment by standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) and population attributable fractions (PAFs). Estimated SIRs were used to build an etiological map reflecting the similarity of cancers by adult environmental exposures.

RESULTS

Increased risks of concordant types amongst spouses were found for lung, upper aerodigestive tract and skin cancers (SIRs from 1.24 to 1.97),which are probably related to shared exposure to smoking and UV radiation. PAFs were low with the highest value of 1.46% for uterus cancer in wives of men affected by prostate cancer. Further analysis, based on all non-sex-specific concordant and discordant types, revealed a clustering of lung, stomach, pancreas and bladder cancers sharing smoking as a risk factor. This aggregation was used as a cut-point to identify further "novel" clusters.

CONCLUSION

Shared lifestyles including smoking and drinking habits as well as human papilloma virus infection (HPV) might be associated with an excess of cancer incidence amongst spouses. We observed significantly an increased risk for smoking-related cancers such as lung, upper aerodigestive tract and oesophageal cancers. The present population-based study confirms that the lifestyle shared by spouses plays a minor role in cancer causation. Only strong environmental risk factors such as smoking seem to influence cancer development in adulthood. The proposed etiological map based on 24 cancer types identifies novel clusters--for example, non-Hodgkin lymphoma and leukaemia, bone cancer and myeloma--that are not completely explained by established risk factors. Some of the identified clusters relied on reproduced associations between cancer risks amongst husband and wives; however, the role of chance cannot be excluded.

Meta-analysis of studies of passive smoking and lung cancer: effects of study type and continent

BACKGROUND

To calculate a pooled estimate of relative risk (RR) of lung cancer associated with exposure to passive smoking in never smoking women exposed to smoking spouses. This study is an updated meta-analysis that also assesses the differences between estimated risks according to continent and study type using meta-regression.

METHODS

From a total of 101 primary studies, 55 studies are included in this meta-analysis, of which, 7 are cohort studies, 25 population-based case-control and 23 non-population-based case-control studies. Twenty previously published meta-analyses are also reviewed. Fixed and random effect models and meta-regression are used to obtain pooled estimates of RR and P-value functions are used to demonstrate consistency of results.

RESULTS

The pooled RR for never-smoking women exposed to passive smoking from spouses is 1.27 (95% CI 1.17-1.37). The RR for North America is 1.15 (95% CI 1.03-1.28), Asia, 1.31 (95% CI 1.16-1.48) and Europe, 1.31 (1.24-1.52). Sequential cumulative meta-analysis shows no trend. There is no strong evidence of publication bias.

CONCLUSIONS

The abundance of evidence, consistency of finding across continent and study type, dose-response relationship and biological plausibility, overwhelmingly support the existence of a causal relationship between passive smoking and lung cancer.

Epidemiology of environmental tobacco smoke exposure

The health hazards due to exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) are increasingly established. ETS contains thousands of chemicals including 43 known carcinogens. One of the most important known health effects of ETS exposure is lung cancer in non-smokers, based on epidemiologic evidence and knowledge of the uptake and metabolism of ETS. Epidemiologic studies need to carefully take into account confounding and potential errors in exposure assessment. More research is needed to understand the genetic factors that influence ETS-induced lung cancer. Studies of the patterns of ETS exposure suggest higher rates of exposure in people employed as blue collar workers, in service occupations, earning lower incomes, and among the less educated. Certain racial/ethnic groups (e.g. Blacks, American Indians) may be at higher risk of ETS exposure. Despite substantial progress in protecting individuals from ETS exposure, additional efforts are needed in improving and enforcing policies to reduce exposure.

Passive smoking and lung cancer: a cumulative meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To review the epidemiological evidence for the association between passive smoking and lung cancer.

METHOD

Primary studies and meta-analyses examining the relationship between passive smoking and lung cancer were identified through a computerised literature search of Medline and Embase, secondary references, and experts in the field of passive smoking. Primary studies meeting the inclusion criteria were meta-analysed.

RESULTS

From 1981 to the end of 1999 there have been 76 primary epidemiological studies of passive smoking and lung cancer, and 20 meta-analyses. There were 43 primary studies that met the inclusion criteria for this meta-analysis; more studies than previous assessments. The pooled relative risk (RR) for never-smoking women exposed to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) from spouses, compared with unexposed never-smoking women was 1.29 (95% CI 1.17-1.43). Sequential cumulative meta-analysed results for each year from 1981 were calculated: since 1992 the RR has been greater than 1.25. For Western industrialised countries the RR for never-smoking women exposed to ETS compared with unexposed never-smoking women, was 1.21 (95% CI 1.10-1.33). Previously published international spousal meta-analyses have all produced statistically significant RRs greater than 1.17.

CONCLUSIONS

The abundance of evidence in this paper, and the consistency of findings across domestic and workplace primary studies, dosimetric extrapolations and meta-analyses, clearly indicates that non-smokers exposed to ETS are at increased risk of lung cancer.

IMPLICATIONS

The recommended public health policy is for a total ban on smoking in enclosed public places and work sites.

Exposure to environmental tobacco smoke and the risk of lung cancer: a meta-analysis

A meta-analysis was carried out to calculate a pooled estimate of relative risk of lung cancer following exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and to determine whether there was any heterogeneity in the pooled estimates according to selected characteristics of the studies. A total of 35 case-control and five cohort studies providing quantitative estimates of the association between lung cancer and exposure to ETS published between January 1981 and March 1999 were identified. Using fixed- and random-effects models, we calculated pooled estimates of relative risk for exposure to ETS from subjects' parents (during childhood), spouses, and coworkers. As well, we investigated whether the pooled estimates of relative risk varied by study location, degree of control of potential confounding variables, proportion of cases confirmed histologically, proportion of surrogate respondents, nonresponse rates, and year of publication. The relative risk of lung cancer among non smoking women ever exposed to ETS from their husbands' smoking was 1.20 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12-1.29). The pooled relative risk was 1.19 (95% CI: 1.10-1.29) for case-control studies and 1.29 (95% CI: 1.04-1.62) for cohort studies. In various subgroup and meta-regression analyses, we found no statistically significant differences by selected characteristics of the studies. In addition, we found that the risk of lung cancer increased consistently with increasing levels of exposure. The 11 studies reporting relative risks among male non smokers yielded a pooled relative risk of 1.48 (95% CI: 1.13-1.92) for ever exposed to ETS, and the relative risk of lung cancer for ever being exposed to ETS at work was a 1.16 (95% CI: 1.05-1.28). These results are consistent with the hypothesis that exposure to ETS increases the risk of lung cancer. While there may be alternative explanations to the data, it is more likely that the observed association is not an artifact and that ETS causes lung cancer in non smokers.

Lung cancer and environmental tobacco smoke: occupational risk to nonsmokers

The principal epidemiologic evidence that environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) increases the risk of lung cancer in (lifelong) nonsmokers is from studies of nonsmoking women married to smokers. This article estimates exposure-response curves for 14 studies (1, 249+ cases, 7 countries) with data on lung cancer categorized by the number of cigarettes/day smoked by the husband. The pooled results from the five U.S. studies alone are extrapolated to ETS levels in the workplace using measures of serum cotinine and nicotine samples from personal monitors as markers of exposure to ETS. It is predicted that the increase in lung cancer risk for nonsmoking women from average ETS exposure at work (among those exposed at work) is on the order of 25% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 8, 41) relative to background risk (i.e., with no ETS exposure from any source). This compares to an estimate of 39% (95% CI = 5, 65) for nonsmoking women whose husbands smoke at the adult male smoker's average of 25 cigarettes/day. At the 95th percentiles of exposure, the estimate from spousal smoking is 85% (95% CI = 32, 156), compared to 91% (95% CI = 34, 167) from workplace ETS exposure. Subject to the validity of the assumptions required in this approach, the outcome supports the conclusion that there is a significant excess risk from occupational exposure to ETS. The excess risk from ETS at work is typically lower than that from spousal smoking, but may be higher at the 95th percentiles of exposure.

Medium-sized business employees speak out about smoking

A health promotion study, funded by a state health department to meet objectives 3.4 and 3.11 of Healthy People 2000, was designed to: (1) identify tobacco use; (2) assess employees' beliefs on one's health and family member's health; and (3) assess the type of smoking policies favored. Using the Health Belief Model, it was hypothesized that there were differences in the health beliefs of tobacco users, former users, and never users. A 34-item questionnaire was administered to 1090 employees with a return rate of 603 (55%).

RESULTS

tobacco users perceived weight control and reduction of tension as benefits; they accepted warning label as hazardous but reported smokeless not as harmful; they perceived heart disease and cancer as related to tobacco use; and 62% had tried to quit smoking. Former and never users wanted "total ban policies" while, tobacco users wanted "designated areas" for smoking. All perceived their smoking and environmental tobacco smoke hazardous to their health and the health of family.

Long-term concentrations of ambient air pollutants and incident lung cancer in California adults: results from the AHSMOG study.Adventist Health Study on Smog

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship of long-term concentrations of ambient air pollutants and risk of incident lung cancer in nonsmoking California adults. A cohort study of 6,338 nonsmoking, non-Hispanic, white Californian adults, ages 27-95, was followed from 1977 to 1992 for newly diagnosed cancers. Monthly ambient air pollution data were interpolated to zip code centroids according to home and work location histories, cumulated, and then averaged over time. The increased relative risk (RR) of incident lung cancer in males associated with an interquartile range (IQR) increase in 100 ppb ozone (O3) was 3.56 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.35-9.42]. Incident lung cancer in males was also positively associated with IQR increases for mean concentrations of particulate matter <10 microm (PM10; RR = 5.21; CI, 1.94-13.99) and SO2 (RR = 2.66; CI, 1.62-4.39). For females, incident lung cancer was positively associated with IQR increases for SO2 (RR = 2.14; CI, 1.36-3.37) and IQR increases for PM10 exceedance frequencies of 50 microg/m3 (RR = 1.21; CI, 0.55-2.66) and 60 microg/m3 (RR = 1.25; CI, 0.57-2.71). Increased risks of incident lung cancer were associated with elevated long-term ambient concentrations of PM10 and SO2 in both genders and with O3 in males. The gender differences for the O3 and PM10 results appeared to be partially due to gender differences in exposure.

Long-term concentrations of ambient air pollutants and incident lung cancer in California adults: results from the AHSMOG study.Adventist Health Study on Smog

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship of long-term concentrations of ambient air pollutants and risk of incident lung cancer in nonsmoking California adults. A cohort study of 6,338 nonsmoking, non-Hispanic, white Californian adults, ages 27-95, was followed from 1977 to 1992 for newly diagnosed cancers. Monthly ambient air pollution data were interpolated to zip code centroids according to home and work location histories, cumulated, and then averaged over time. The increased relative risk (RR) of incident lung cancer in males associated with an interquartile range (IQR) increase in 100 ppb ozone (O3) was 3.56 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.35-9.42]. Incident lung cancer in males was also positively associated with IQR increases for mean concentrations of particulate matter <10 microm (PM10; RR = 5.21; CI, 1.94-13.99) and SO2 (RR = 2.66; CI, 1.62-4.39). For females, incident lung cancer was positively associated with IQR increases for SO2 (RR = 2.14; CI, 1.36-3.37) and IQR increases for PM10 exceedance frequencies of 50 microg/m3 (RR = 1.21; CI, 0.55-2.66) and 60 microg/m3 (RR = 1.25; CI, 0.57-2.71). Increased risks of incident lung cancer were associated with elevated long-term ambient concentrations of PM10 and SO2 in both genders and with O3 in males. The gender differences for the O3 and PM10 results appeared to be partially due to gender differences in exposure.

Difficulties in assessing the relationship between passive smoking and lung cancer

Since 1981, numerous epidemiological studies have investigated the relationship between passive smoking and lung cancer in nonsmokers. The overall evidence, predominantly relating to women, indicates a weak association with the husband's smoking and many reviewers have concluded that this demonstrates a causal effect of exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS). Interpreting weak associations is notoriously difficult, however, and this paper reviews problems specific to the ETS-lung cancer relationship. After describing how to select relevant studies and appropriate data, the methods for combining evidence together ('meta-analysis') are discussed, and the need to investigate sources of heterogeneity is emphasized. Separate consideration is given to various forms of bias that may affect overall relative risk estimates, including misclassification of active smoking status, confounding, systematic case-control differences, recall bias, diagnostic bias and publication bias. Sections on dose-response, multiple ETS exposure sources and other issues follow. The problems are illustrated from the available literature. It is shown there is no significant association of lung cancer with workplace, childhood or social ETS exposure or with smoking by the wife. Though statistically significant, the association with husband's smoking is weak and heterogeneous and varies widely according to various study characteristics. The association is markedly weakened by the adjustment for smoking misclassification bias and is likely to be affected by confounding and other sources of bias. While the precise extent of all the biases remains unclear, it seems impossible to conclude with any certainty that ETS causes lung cancer.

Lung cancer and passive smoking

The evidence from epidemiological studies, studies of biochemical markers of exposure and toxicological studies, confirm that there is a causal association between the risk of lung cancer and exposure to environmental tobacco smoke. Nonsmokers can inhale and metabolize carcinogens in tobacco smoke and other markers of environmental tobacco smoke inhalation (nicotine and cotinine) are raised in nonsmokers exposed to environmental tobacco smoke. In epidemiological studies of women who are lifelong nonsmokers, there is a statistically significant excess risk of lung cancer (24%, 95% confidence interval 13-36%) from exposure to environmental tobacco smoke from the spouse and this increases with the number of cigarettes smoked and duration of the marriage. Misclassification bias (women who smoke but claim to be lifelong nonsmokers) and dietary confounding are unlikely to explain the association; after adjustment for both, the risk of lung cancer from environmental tobacco smoke exposure was still statistically significant. In any event, their effects on the risk of lung cancer in the epidemiological studies are balanced out by allowing for background exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (that is, other than from the spouse) in the reference group; the excess risk after allowing for all three is an estimated 26% (95% confidence interval 7-47%), similar to the adjusted figure of 24%. In Britain, about one in every six nonsmokers are exposed to tobacco smoke from smokers in the home. Passive smoking is an avoidable cause of mortality and morbidity. Prevention strategies to reduce the amount of cigarette smoking in public places should be part of public health policy.

An alternative approach for investigating the carcinogenicity of indoor air pollution: pets as sentinels of environmental cancer risk

Traditionally, the cancer risks associated with radon,environmental tobacco smoke (ETS), and similar indoor residential exposures have been evaluated through either laboratory experiments in rodents or epidemiology studies in people. Laboratory studies have the advantage of being controlled experiments, but their utility as estimators of human risk is limited by the uncertainties of extrapolating from rodents to people and from high doses to those typically experienced in the home. These experiments also subject animals to noxious exposures, causing suffering that may be considered cruel. Traditional epidemiology studies evaluate human risk directly, at the exposure levels present in residences; however, these studies are limited by their potential for misclassification, biased recall, and uncontrolled confounding. The long time intervals involved between exposure and disease (often 30 years or more) make accurate recall particularly problematic. In this paper we discuss the limitations of these traditional approaches, especially as they relate to residential studies of radon and ETS. The problems associated with the maximum tolerated dose in rodent bioassays and exposure misclassification in traditional epidemiology are particularly examined. A third approach that supplements the traditional approaches and overcomes some of their limitations is suggested. This approach, dubbed pet epidemiology, estimates residential cancer risk by examining the exposure experience of pet dogs with naturally occurring cancers. The history of pet epidemiology is reviewed and its strengths and limitations are examined.

Environmental tobacco smoke: health effects and policies to reduce exposure

The health hazards due to exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) are increasingly established. ETS contains thousands of chemicals including 43 known carcinogens. Known health effects of ETS exposure are lung cancer in nonsmokers, childhood disorders such as bronchitis, and perhaps, heart disease. Workplace exposure to ETS is widespread and is influenced strongly by the type of smoking policy in the workplace. To decrease ETS exposure, efforts to restrict public smoking have proliferated over the past decade. These restrictions have emanated from government as well as voluntary measures by various private industries. Bans on public smoking are effective in reducing nonsmokers' exposure to ETS. Workplace smoking bans also influence the intensity of smoking among employees and may increase quit smoking rates. In addition to the health benefits from smoke-free workplaces, there are likely cost savings to employers who implement such policies.

Biological monitoring of exposure to cadmium, a human carcinogen, as a result of active and passive smoking

Cadmium (Cd), a known human carcinogen, is one of the components of tobacco and also has many industrial uses. Smoking Cd-contaminated cigarettes at work may cause an increase in blood levels and toxicity of Cd. For a population of nonexposed workers, we compared blood Cd and urine cotinine (Cot) levels as biological markers of exposure to cigarette smoke of active smokers (AS) and passive smokers (PS) with those of unexposed nonsmokers (UNS) in 158 workers. The mean Cd in AS (0.097 microgram%; ie, 0.097 microgram/100 mL whole blood) was significantly higher than in UNS (0.085 microgram%), and was very close to the mean Cd levels in PS (0.093 microgram%). Mean Cd levels in exposed past smokers (0.105 microgram% was higher than in nonexposed past smokers (P < 0.05) and in AS. The mean Cot level was significantly higher in AS than in PS or in UNS. Increased smoking was associated directly with increased blood Cd and urine Cot. Our results supported and proved quantitatively that exposure to cigarette smoke is harmful to both AS and PS, as we show that in both cases there is an increase in blood Cd. According to our results, exposure to cigarette smoke via active and passive smoking increases blood Cd by an average of 0.01 micrograms% over the background (UNS). We conclude that exposure to cigarette smoke is a confounder to be taken into account when carrying out epidemiological studies and surveillance programs on workers exposed to Cd at work.

An alternative explanation for the apparent elevated relative mortality and morbidity risks associated with exposure to environmental tobacco smoke

Insofar as industrial and other blue collar workers are more likely to bring home toxic materials on their person, and also are more likely to smoke than those in other occupations, members of a household are more likely to be subject to paraoccupational exposure and belong to lower socioeconomic strata if the household contains a smoker than if the household does not contain a smoker. Thus observed differences in risk of mortality or morbidity ascribed to ETS on the basis of a comparison of households with and without smokers may be partly or entirely due to differences in paraoccupational exposure and socioeconomic strata. Similarly, differences in mortality and morbidity ascribed to paraoccupational exposure may be partly or entirely due to differences in ETS exposure that are also related to social class and to types of occupation. Unfortunately, there are no data now in existence that could help determine separately the effects of these major confounded variables. There exists, then, a situation in which two explanations are advanced for respiratory diseases among members of a household, each based on similar study populations but focused on different major risk variables: ETS on the one hand, socioeconomic status and paraoccupational exposure on the other. Properly focused investigations need to be initiated.

Bayesian meta-analysis, with application to studies of ETS and lung cancer

Meta-analysis enables researchers to combine the results of several studies to assess the information they provide as a whole. It has been used to give a systematic overview of many areas in which data on a possible association between an exposure and an outcome have been collected in a number of studies but where the overall picture remains obscure, both as to the existence or size of the effect. This paper outlines some innovations in meta-analysis, based on using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques for implementing Bayesian hierarchical models, and compares these with a more well-known random effects (RE) model. The new techniques allow different aspects of variation to be incorporated into descriptions of the association, and in particular enable researchers to better quantify differences between studies. Both the classical and Bayesian methods are applied, in this paper, to the current collection of studies of the association between incidence of lung cancer in female never-smokers and exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS), both in the home through spousal smoking and in the workplace. In this paper it is demonstrated that compared with the RE model, the Bayesian methods: (a) allow more detailed modeling of study heterogeneity to be incorporated; (b) are relatively robust against a wide choice of specifications of such information on heterogeneity; (c) allow for more detailed and satisfactory statements to be made, not only about the overall risk but about the individual studies, on the basis of the combined information. For the workplace exposure data set, the Bayesian methods give a somewhat lower overall estimate of relative risk of lung cancer associated with ETS, indicating the care that needs to be taken in using point estimates based on any one method of analysis. On the larger spousal data set the methods give similar answers. Some of the other concerns with meta-analysis are also considered. These include: consistency between different geographic areas (Asia and the United States), and our studies show that Bayesian methods permit an account of the overall picture to be taken, thus improving the ability to estimate accurately in the subgroups; and publication bias which, as shown with the spousal exposure data, may lead to an inflated excess risk.

Passive smoking and lung cancer

Evidence that environmental tobacco smoke may be a risk factor for lung cancer among individuals who themselves have never smoked tobacco products has been the subject of expert review over the last decade by several United States and international agencies. The most recent comprehensive review, published in 1993 by the United States Environmental Protection Agency, concluded that environmental tobacco smoke is a Group A (known human) carcinogen. This report, coming in the midst of rapid social and political change in attitudes towards public policy implications for protecting human health, has been the subject of considerable discussion. Issues involved in these discussions, as well as more recently published studies on the topic, are reviewed with respect to current thinking about the risk of lung cancer in passive smokers, particularly women, who are lifetime never-smokers.

Meta-analytic approaches to dose-response relationships, with application in studies of lung cancer and exposure to environmental tobacco smoke

This paper outlines several meta-analytic approaches to the assessment of quantal dose-response relationships; that is, to the evaluation of an increase in the level of exposure to an agent and the associated relative risk of a disease when this is investigated over a number of different studies. Analysis is developed at two levels: first, a consistent method of evaluating the dose-response relationship is applied to each study, and second, an overall picture is obtained by comparing and combining these relationships. At the first stage, for an individual study, dose-response assessment involves choices of model and appropriate tests for trend, which are influenced by such issues as dose measurement and use of the unexposed group. At the second stage, different methods for pooling results across studies must be considered. These depend on the choices made in the first stage of analysis, with additional attention paid to heterogeneity, and possible bias due to studies included in meta-analysis. We describe these meta-analytic approaches for three methods of evaluating dose response. The approaches are illustrated by evaluating the relationship between lung cancer and levels of exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS). The strength of this relationship has been a point of debate in recent assessment of evidence for an overall carcinogenic effect of ETS exposure. We find little indication of a consistent dose response, a result explained in terms of recent models for cancer and passive smoking developed by Darby and Pike, the current meta-analysis results of overall risk-ratios of current studies in Tweedie and Mengersen, and misclassification models developed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

Meta-analysis of environmental health data

Most airborne contaminants have minimal health effects at typical ambient levels, and this is especially true for contaminant levels in the Arctic. Among multiple studies of similar health effects, usually only one or two of the studies show statistically significant effects. Only after an attempt to quantitatively combine the data might some consistency emerge or might the sources of inconsistency be explored. Methods for combining the data from such studies are presented. The methods include combining P-values, combining effect measures using fixed effects models, and combining effect measures using random effects models. Examples of the methods applied to several pollutants, including lead and oxides of nitrogen, are given. Some discussion of the implications of these findings to contaminant levels found in the Arctic is presented.

Respiratory health effects of passive smoking: EPA's weight-of-evidence analysis

After an extensive review and assessment of the scientific evidence on the respiratory health effects of passive smoking, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has determined that the widespread exposure to environmental tobacco smoke in the United States presents a serious and substantial public health impact. The Environmental Protection Agency concluded that environmental tobacco smoke causes lung cancer in adult nonsmokers and increases the risk for a variety of noncancer respiratory disorders, especially in children. This article reviews evidence presented in the Environmental Protection Agency's 1992 report on the respiratory health effects of passive smoking and responds to critical allegations levied by Gio Gori in his article "Science, policy, and ethics: the case of environmental tobacco smoke", appearing in the same issue of this journal. Several recent studies appearing since the cutoff date for inclusion in the EPA report are also discussed.

The etiology of lung cancer

The association between tobacco smoking and lung cancer has been noted for more than 50 years and continues to dominate the etiologic milieu of this malignant disease. Other agents, many discovered in the occupational setting, have also been substantiated as lung carcinogens. Inherent predisposition to the disease has long been suspected, and recent investigations suggest several potential mechanisms and a possible mode of inheritance. Considerable progress has been made in deciphiring the molecular defects present in lung cancer cells. These recent findings have been incorporated into two well-known models of lung carcinogenesis. As the details of the carcinogenic process are unraveled, one goal is to identify intermediate (preneoplastic) markers of exposure and inherent predisposition that will help assess the risk of lung cancer for individuals as well as for groups.

Environmental tobacco smoke and the risk of cancer in adults

The apparent effect of environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) exposure on cancer risk has become an important social and political issue. The risk of cancer in non-smokers is often the main reason for prohibiting or restricting smoking in public places. A number of epidemiological studies have shown an association between ETS exposure and lung cancer. However, the strength of this association has still to be estimated. Only a few studies have reported on ETS and cancer from sites other than the lung in adults. No definite conclusions can be drawn at present from a critical review of the epidemiological evidence, but the suggestion of an association is present for sinonasal cancer, while bladder cancer does not seem to be associated to ETS exposure. Positive studies are available for cancers from other sites, including the breast, the uterine cervix and the brain, but these are difficult to interpret.

Passive smoking and lung cancer in nonsmoking women

OBJECTIVES

The causes of lung cancer among nonsmokers are not clearly understood. To further evaluate the relation between passive smoke exposure and lung cancer in nonsmoking women, we conducted a population-based, case-control study.

METHODS

Case patients (n = 618), identified through the Missouri Cancer Registry for the period 1986 through 1991, included 432 lifetime nonsmokers and 186 ex-smokers who had stopped at least 15 years before diagnosis or who had smoked for less than 1 pack-year. Control subjects (n = 1402) were selected from driver's license and Medicare files.

RESULTS

No increased risk of lung cancer was associated with childhood passive smoke exposure. Adulthood analyses showed an increased lung cancer risk for lifetime nonsmokers with exposure of more than 40 pack-years from all household members (odds ratio [OR] = 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.0, 1.8) or from spouses only (OR = 1.3; 95% CI = 1.0, 1.7). When the time-weighted product of pack-years and average hours exposed per day was considered, a 30% excess risk was shown at the highest quartile of exposure among lifetime nonsmokers.

CONCLUSIONS

Ours and other recent studies suggest a small but consistent increased risk of lung cancer from passive smoking. Comprehensive actions to limit smoking in public places and worksites are well-advised.

Lung cancer and passive smoking: reconciling the biochemical and epidemiological approaches

The accurate determination of exposure to environmental tobacco smoke is notoriously difficult. There have been to date two approaches to determining this exposure in the study of association of passive smoking and lung cancer: the biochemical approach, using cotinine in the main as a marker, and the epidemiological approach. Typically results of the former have yielded much lower relative risk than the latter, and have tended to be ignored in favour of the latter, although there has been considerable debate as to the logical basis for this. We settle this question by showing that, using the epidemiologically based meta-analysis technique of Wald et al. (1986), and misclassification models in the EPA Draft Review (1990), one arrives using all current studies at a result which is virtually identical with the biochemically-based conclusions of Darby and Pike (1988) or Repace and Lowry (1990). The conduct of this meta-analysis itself raises a number of important methodological questions, including the validity of inclusion of studies, the use of estimates adjusted for covariates, and the statistical significance of estimates based on meta-analysis of the epidemiological data. The best estimate of relative risk from spousal smoking is shown to be approximately 1.05-1.10, based on either of these approaches; but it is suggested that considerable extra work is needed to establish whether this is significantly raised.

Environmental tobacco smoke. Medical and legal issues

Adequate information is available linking ETS to several medical problems, including respiratory illnesses in children and lung cancer in adults; nonetheless, continuing investigation is necessary to clarify several issues. Reliable information needs to be gathered on the quantity and fate of ETS chemicals in ordinary indoor environments; improved surveys quantifying passive smoke exposure should be tested along with the use of biologic markers to quantify exposure-dose relationships in nonsmokers. To date, legislation and private initiatives have been the most promising of the various measures to protect nonsmokers from ETS. While nonsmokers' judicial action has had variable success, it places the burden of challenging smoking on the nonsmoker, and it entails piecemeal, case-by-case resolution. On the other hand, legislation and private policies relieve the nonsmokers' burden to initiate the challenge, and they protect greater numbers of nonsmokers. Furthermore, legislation and policies may have a great number of direct and indirect effects. In the short term, legislation and policies that are adequately implemented and enforced alter the behavior of smokers in areas where smoking is prohibited and should result in a reduced concentration of tobacco smoke in those areas. In the long term, policies and legislation that restrict smoking in public places and the workplace help to reinforce nonsmoking as the normative behavior in society. Smoking restrictions increase public awareness and acceptance of health risks of tobacco smoke. The combination of altered social norms and reduced opportunities to smoke may encourage smokers to quit and nonsmokers, especially adolescents, not to start.

Meta-analysis in epidemiology, with special reference to studies of the association between exposure to environmental tobacco smoke and lung cancer: a critique

Meta-analysis, a set of statistical tools for combining and integrating the results of independent studies of a given scientific issue, can be useful when the stringent conditions under which such integration is valid are met. In this report we point out the difficulties in obtaining sound meta-analyses of either controlled clinical trials or epidemiological studies. We demonstrate that hastily or improperly designed meta-analyses can lead to results that may not be scientifically valid. We note that much care is typically taken when meta-analysis is applied to the results of clinical trials. The Food and Drug Administration, for example, requires strict adherence to the principles we discuss in this paper before it allows a drug's sponsor to use a meta-analysis of separate clinical studies in support of a New Drug Application. Such care does not always carry over to epidemiological studies, as demonstrated by the 1986 report of the National Research Council concerning the purported association between exposure to environmental tobacco smoke and the risk of lung cancer. On the basis of a meta-analysis of 13 studies, 10 of which were retrospective and the remaining 3 prospective in nature, the Council concluded that non-smokers who are exposed to environmental tobacco smoke are at greater risk of acquiring lung cancer than non-smokers not so exposed. In our opinion, this conclusion in unwarranted given the poor quality of the studies on which it is based.

Lung cancer and exposure to tobacco smoke in the household

BACKGROUND

The relation between passive smoking and lung cancer is of great public health importance. Some previous studies have suggested that exposure to environmental tobacco smoke in the household can cause lung cancer, but others have found no effect. Smoking by the spouse has been the most commonly used measure of this exposure.

METHODS

In order to determine whether lung cancer is associated with exposure to tobacco smoke within the household, we conducted a population-based case--control study of 191 patients with histologically confirmed primary lung cancer who had never smoked and an equal number of persons without lung cancer who had never smoked. Lifetime residential histories including information on exposure to environmental tobacco smoke were compiled and analyzed. Exposure was measured in terms of "smoker-years," determined by multiplying the number of years in each residence by the number of smokers in the household.

RESULTS

Household exposure to 25 or more smoker-years during childhood and adolescence doubled the risk of lung cancer (odds ratio, 2.07; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.16 to 3.68). Approximately 15 percent of the control subjects who had never smoked reported this level of exposure. Household exposure of less than 25 smoker-years during childhood and adolescence did not increase the risk of lung cancer. Exposure to a spouse's smoking, which constituted less than one third of total household exposure on average, was not associated with an increase in risk.

CONCLUSIONS

The possibility of recall bias and other methodologic problems may influence the results of case-control studies of environmental tobacco smoke. Nonetheless, our findings regarding exposure during early life suggest that approximately 17 percent of lung cancers among nonsmokers can be attributed to high levels of exposure to cigarette smoke during childhood and adolescence.

Significant changes in the distribution of histologic types of lung cancer. A review of 4928 cases

The histopathologic data for lung carcinoma were reviewed in 4928 patients between 1964 and 1985. The analysis of this data indicates that lung cancer is increasing in our region. Squamous carcinoma remains the most frequent type in men, followed by adenocarcinoma. Small cell carcinoma is the second most frequent type in women, after adenocarcinoma. Small cell carcinoma has increased over the past years and may become the most common type of lung cancer in women, a development that might result in increased numbers of deaths. Lung cancer data must be carefully analyzed in view of the impact on selection of therapy, patient management, and education.

Cotinine analytical workshop report: consideration of analytical methods for determining cotinine in human body fluids as a measure of passive exposure to tobacco smoke

A two-day technical workshop was convened November 10-11, 1986, to discuss analytical approaches for determining trace amounts of cotinine in human body fluids resulting from passive exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS). The workshop, jointly sponsored by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and Centers for Disease Control, was attended by scientists with expertise in cotinine analytical methodology and/or conduct of human monitoring studies related to ETS. The workshop format included technical presentations, separate panel discussions on chromatography and immunoassay analytical approaches, and group discussions related to the quality assurance/quality control aspects of future monitoring programs. This report presents a consensus of opinion on general issues before the workshop panel participants and also a detailed comparison of several analytical approaches being used by the various represented laboratories. The salient features of the chromatography and immunoassay analytical methods are discussed separately.

Is media information that smoking causes illness a self-fulfilling prophecy?

Of 528 men, those 72 who derived information from the media, showed a lower rate of survival, i.e., more deaths from cancer, coronary heart disease, etc. Stress increased by constant repetition of evil consequences of smoking might constitute a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Population burden of lung cancer due to environmental tobacco smoke

The population burden of lung cancer due to environmental tobacco smoke is significant because a large fraction of the population is exposed. The risks are, of course, lower than those to smokers themselves; but smoking is self-inflicted, passive smoking is involuntary. Making various assumptions, the proportion of lung cancer cases among non-smokers that could reasonably be attributed to environmental tobacco smoke can be calculated to be about 20-30% in western countries. Thus, non-smokers in the society could benefit considerably from diminishing exposures to other people's smoke.

Passive smoking and lung cancer: current evidence and ongoing studies at the International Agency for Research on Cancer

The evidence available from 3 cohort and 11 case-control studies investigating the relationship between exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and lung cancer in non-smokers is reviewed. While it appears most likely that a causal relationship exists, the size of the effect, under different circumstances of exposures, remains to be accurately estimated. This requires studies using valid instruments (e.g., questionnaires) to quantitate exposures, and free as far as possible from biases. An investigation addressing this point is in progress under the coordination of the International Agency for Research on Cancer.

The role of histopathology in the evaluation of risk of lung cancer from environmental tobacco smoke

Current clinical practice for treating lung cancer does not provide adequate histopathological evaluation for the clear distinction between primary and metastatic neoplasia. Reliance on such clinical diagnosis jeopardises the scientific validity of many epidemiological studies designed to assess the risk of inhalation of environmental tobacco smoke (ETS).

Cigarette smoking and lung cancer in New Mexico

We have used population-based data for the state of New Mexico to calculate cigarette-smoking-specific incidence rates for lung cancer, cumulative incidence rates for lung cancer, and estimates of the proportion of lung cancer cases attributable to smoking. For white New Mexicans, the incidence of lung cancer increased with age and was markedly higher in smokers than in nonsmokers. From 25 through 84 yr of age, the cumulative incidence of lung cancer was 0.9% in nonsmoking males and 0.5% in nonsmoking females. The cumulative incidence rates were much higher for smokers; for males who smoked 20 or more cigarettes daily from age 25, the cumulative risk of lung cancer through age 84 was 31.7%. For females with the same cigarette smoking history, the estimate of cumulative incidence through age 84 years was 15.3%. The population-attributable risks for lung cancer associated with cigarette smoking were 89.5% for males and 85.5% for females.

Health effects and sources of indoor air pollution. Part I

Since the early 1970s, the health effects of indoor air pollution have been investigated with increasing intensity. Consequently, a large body of literature is now available on diverse aspects of indoor air pollution: sources, concentrations, health effects, engineering, and policy. This review begins with a review of the principal pollutants found in indoor environments and their sources. Subsequently, exposure to indoor air pollutants and health effects are considered, with an emphasis on those indoor air quality problems of greatest concern at present: passive exposure to tobacco smoke, nitrogen dioxide from gas-fueled cooking stoves, formaldehyde exposure, radon daughter exposure, and the diverse health problems encountered by workers in newer sealed office buildings. The review concludes by briefly addressing assessment of indoor air quality, control technology, research needs, and clinical implications.