Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity predicts all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events in patients with diabetes: the Kyushu Prevention Study of Atherosclerosis

Hypertension combined with atherosclerosis increases the risk of heart failure in patients with diabetes

The increase in heart failure risk in the diabetic population when hypertension and atherosclerosis are both present is still inconclusive. The aim of this study was to explore the effects of hypertension combined with atherosclerosis in diabetic population on the risk of heart failure. We selected 10,711 patients with diabetes who participated in the Kailuan study and completed brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) testing for statistical analysis. The subjects were divided into the non-hypertensive non-atherosclerotic, hypertensive, atherosclerotic, and hypertensive atherosclerotic groups based on their history of hypertension and atherosclerosis. At a median follow-up of 4.15 years, 227 cases of heart failure occurred. Compared with the non-hypertensive non-atherosclerotic group, the multifactorial Cox proportional risk regression model showed that the hazard ratio (HR) for heart failure in the hypertensive atherosclerotic group was 3.08 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32-7.16), whereas the HR decreased to 2.38 (95% CI: 1.01-5.63) after gradual correction of lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering, and antihypertensive drugs. The subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were consistent with that of total population. In conclusion, patients with diabetes exposed to both hypertension and atherosclerosis had an increased heart failure risk, which was attenuated by the use of lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering, and antihypertensive drugs.

Comparison of arterial stiffness indices measured by pulse wave velocity and pulse wave analysis for predicting cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in a Chinese population

Arterial stiffness measured by pulse wave velocity and pulse wave analysis has been widely studied in different populations in terms of its correlation with cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. It remains unknown which arterial stiffness index is better for risk stratification in the general population. We included 4129 participants from Gaoyou County, Jiangsu Province, China, with a median follow-up of 11 years. The primary endpoint was cardiovascular mortality, and the secondary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Harrell's C-index, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) based on the Cox proportional hazards regression model were evaluated to assess predictive discrimination and accuracy. The associations between the 4 indices and cardiovascular mortality remained significant after adjusting for the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and/or associated risk factors. Considering reclassification based on the newly integrated models (FRS model combined with the 4 indices), NRI for cardiovascular mortality showed that haPWV and baPWV had more significant improvement in reclassification compared with C1 and C2 [NRI with 95% CI: haPWV 0.410 (0.293, 0.523); baPWV 0.447 (0.330, 0.553); C1 0.312 (0.182, 0.454); C2 0.328 (0.159, 0.463); all P < 0.05]. This study showed that pulse wave velocity (haPWV and baPWV) provides better discrimination of long-term risk than arterial elasticity indices (C1 and C2) in the general population.

Estimated glucose disposal rate and risk of arterial stiffness and long-term all-acuse mortality: a 10-year prospective study

BACKGROUND

To assess the applicability of the association between estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) and all-cause mortality in the elderly population, and the mediating role of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV).

METHODS

This was a follow-up cohort study based on the cross-sectional survey of community-dwelling elderly. All participants in the study were included between September 2009 and June 2010, and the follow-up time was December 2020. Participants included 1862 Chinese community-dwelling elderly aged 60 years and above. Insulin resistance assessed by eGDR and arterial stiffness assessed by baPWV were the primary exposures of interest. Mortality, which was followed up until December 2020, was the primary outcome. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the association of eGDR with mortality. The mediating effect of baPWV in this association was assessed by mediation analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1826 participants with a mean age of 71.03 years old were included in the study. During the median follow-up of 10.75 years, 334 participants died. The adjusted HR comparing the highest versus the lowest eGDR quartile was 0.22 (95% CI 0.09 to 0.54; p<0.001) in the Cox proportional hazards model. The results of mediation analysis showed that baPWV had a significant mediation impact on the link between eGDR and all-cause mortality both as continuous or categorical variables.

CONCLUSION

eGDR is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in the elderly population. baPWV partially mediated the association of eGDR and long-term all-cause mortality as a mediator factor.

Lack of Association between Serum Chitotriosidase Activity and Arterial Stiffness in Type 2 Diabetes without Cardiovascular Complications

Chitotriosidase (CHIT), a mammalian chitinase secreted by neutrophils and activated macrophages, is increased in both cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes (T2D). Arterial stiffness rises early in T2D and increases the risk of CVD. The aim of this study is to evaluate CHIT activity as an early biomarker of arterial stiffness in people with T2D free from overt vascular complications. In this cross-sectional study, arterial stiffness as measured using standard pulse wave velocity (PWV) was evaluated in 174 people with T2D without overt vascular disease. Then, we measured CHIT serum activity with an electrochemiluminescence assay in two subgroups of participants: 35 with the highest (high-PWV) and 40 with the lowest (low-PWV) PWV values. CHIT activity was no different between the low-PVW and high-PWV groups (12.7 [9.6-17.9] vs. 11.4 [8.8-15.0] nmol/mL/h, respectively). Compared with the low-PWV group, the high-PWV participants were older (p < 0.001); had a longer duration of diabetes (p = 0.03); higher ankle-brachial index ABI (p = 0.04), systolic blood pressure (p = 0.002), diastolic blood pressure (p = 0.005), fasting blood glucose (p = 0.008), and HbA1c (p = 0.005); and lower eGFR (p = 0.03) and body mass index (BMI) (p = 0.01). No association was present with sex, duration of diabetes, age, BMI, peripheral blood pressure, laboratory parameters, and glucose-lowering medications or ongoing antihypertensive therapy. Although no association was found, this study provides novel data about the association of CHIT activity with CVD, focusing on a specific outcome (arterial stiffness) in a well-defined population of subjects with T2D without established CVD.

Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity is a stronger predictor than blood pressure for atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases and all-cause mortality: a cohort study

Whether brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) is a better predictive indicator than blood pressure (BP) for atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD) events and all-cause mortality in the general population has not yet been established. The current study included 47,659 participants from the Kailuan cohort in China, who underwent the baPWV test and were free of ASCVD, atrial fibrillation, and cancer at baseline. The hazard ratios (HRs) of ASCVD and all-cause mortality were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards model. The predictive ability of baPWV, systolic BP (SBP), and diastolic BP (DBP) for ASCVD and all-cause mortality was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) and concordance index (C-index). Within the median follow-up period of 3.27 and 3.32 person-years, 885 ASCVD events and 259 deaths occurred, respectively. The HRs of ASCVD and all-cause mortality increased with the increase of baPWV, SBP, and DBP. When baPWV, SBP, and DBP were analyzed as continuous variables, the adjusted HRs were 1.29 (95% CI, 1.22-1.37), 1.28 (95% CI, 1.20-1.37), and 1.26 (95% CI, 1.17-1.34) for each standard deviation increase, respectively. The AUC and C-index for baPWV in predicting ASCVD and all-cause mortality were 0.744 and 0.750, respectively, while those for SBP were 0.697 and 0.620, those for DBP were 0.666 and 0.585. The AUC and C-index of baPWV were higher than those of SBP and DBP (P < 0.001). Therefore, baPWV is an independent predictor of ASCVD and all-cause mortality in the general Chinese population, and its predictive ability is superior to that of BP. baPWV is a more ideal screening method for ASCVD in large-scale population.

Long Sleep Duration and Stroke-Highly Linked, Poorly Understood

Stroke is one of the leading causes of disability and mortality. Both short and long sleep durations are associated with adverse health outcomes. Cross-sectional studies have shown an increased prevalence of stroke in long sleepers. Long sleep duration increases stroke incidence and mortality in prospective epidemiological studies. Accumulating evidence suggests that the magnitude of the association between sleep and stroke appears to be stronger for longer sleep than shorter sleep, yielding a J-shaped curve. Potential links between long sleep duration and stroke include increased incidence of diabetes and atrial fibrillation, elevated levels of inflammation, arterial stiffness, and blood pressure variability. Long sleep duration is a strong marker and a plausible risk factor for stroke and should be considered in future scoring for risk stratification and stroke prevention.

Increased arterial stiffness elevates the risk of heart failure in diabetic patients

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown that arterial stiffness (AS) was a risk factor for heart failure (HF) in nondiabetic patients. We aimed to analyze this impact in a community-based diabetic population.

METHODS

Our study excluded those who had HF before brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurement and included 9041 participants finally. Subjects were divided into the normal (<14 m/s), intermediate (14-18 m/s), and elevated baPWV groups (>18 m/s) based on baPWV values. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was used to analyze the effect of AS on HF risk.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up of 4.19 years, 213 patients had HF. The results of Cox model showed that HF risk in the elevated baPWV group was 2.25 times higher than that in the normal baPWV group (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24-4.11). HF risk increased by 18% (95% CI:1.03-1.35) for every 1 additional standard deviation(SD)of baPWV. Restricted cubic spline results showed statistically significant overall and non-linear associations between AS and HF risk (P < 0.05). The subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were consistent with that of total population.

CONCLUSIONS

AS is an independent risk factor for developing HF in the diabetic population, and AS exhibits a dose-response relationship with HF risk.

Association between arterial stiffness and fat mass in patients with obesity

OBJECTIVE

The aim is to observe whether body composition in patients with high-risk obesity (body mass index >35 or between 30 and 34.9kg/m² with a waist circumference greater than 102cm in men or greater than 88cm in women) is related with vascular disease.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study of patients with high-risk obesity. Their fat mass was measured through bioimpedance and arterial stiffness through pulse wave velocity (PWV). Tertiles of patients were analyzed according to PWV distribution.

RESULTS

A total of 59 patients were analyzed. As PWV increased, BMI (p=0.02) and fat mass content (p<0.00) increased. There was also a significant increase in inflammation indicators.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with high-risk obesity, there were differences in their body composition which were associated with changes in arterial stiffness and inflammatory burden.

Association of the visceral adiposity index with arterial stiffness in elderly Chinese population

BACKGROUND

The visceral adiposity index (VAI) is a new marker of adipose dysfunction and related with cardiometabolic risk. The aim of this study is to investigate the association of VAI with arterial stiffness in elderly Chinese population.

METHODS

A total of 1,707 elderly individuals over 60 years of age were recruited for this cross-sectional study. We measured body composition, anthropometrics, blood pressure, and lipid parameters. The arterial stiffness was measured by brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and defined as baPWV ≥ 1400 cm/s. VAI‬ was calculated based on body mass index, waist circumference, triglyceride and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Multivariable regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between VAI and baPWV.

RESULTS

There were significant differences in VAI tertiles between low-baPWV and high-baPWV group (p = 0.008). Univariate analysis demonstrated that age, history of hypertension, SBP, DBP, total cholesterol, fasting glucose, the higher VAI tertiles were correlated with the existence of high-baPWV (p < 0.05). Participants in the higher VAI tertiles had higher OR (1.0 ≤ VAI < 1.74: OR= 2.89, 95% CI [1.44, 5.80]; VAI ≥ 1.75: OR = 4.23, 95% CI [1.45, 12.37], p for trend: 0.004) comparing with the lowest VAI tertile. Non-linear relationship was detected between VAI and baPWV. VAI was positively correlated with baPWV when VAI < 2.10.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that VAI is independently associated with the risk of arterial stiffness in elderly population.

Longitudinal association of remnant cholesterol with joint arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis progression beyond LDL cholesterol

BACKGROUND

Arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis are closely related with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Remnant cholesterol (RC) could predict CVD. However, its effect on joint arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis progression remains unclear. This study aims to evaluate the association of RC with joint arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis progression trajectories in the general population.

METHODS

This study collected data across five biennial surveys of the Beijing Health Management Cohort from 2010 to 2019. Multi-trajectory model was used to determine the joint arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis progression patterns by brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and ankle brachial index (ABI). We also performed discordance analyses for RC vs. low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) using ordinal logistics model.

RESULTS

A total of 3186 participants were included, with three clusters following distinct arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis progression patterns identified using a multi-trajectory model. In the multivariable-adjusted ordinal logistics analyses, RC was significantly associated with baPWV and ABI progression (OR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.13-1.28, per 10 mg/dL). For the discordance analyses, the discordant low RC group was associated with decreased risk compared to the concordant group (OR: 0.73; 95% CI: 0.60-0.89). People with a high RC level were at an increased risk of joint arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis progression, even with optimal LDL-C.

CONCLUSIONS

RC is independently associated with joint arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis progression beyond LDL-C. RC could be an earlier risk factor than LDL-C of arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis in the general population.

Association of decreases in PM2.5 levels due to the implementation of environmental protection policies with the incidence of obesity in adolescents: A prospective cohort study

AIMS

To explore the association between decreased levels of particulate matter (≤2.5 µm; PM_2.5) due to the implementation of environmental protection policies and the incidence of obesity in adolescents in Chongqing, China through a prospective cohort study.

METHODS

A total of 2105 children (52.02% male; aged 7.33 ± 0.60 years at baseline) were enrolled from the Chongqing Children's Health Cohort. A mixed linear regression model was used to analyse the relationships of PM_2.5 levels with obesity indicators after adjusting for covariates. Additionally, a Poisson regression model was used to determine the relationship between PM_2.5 exposure and the incidence of overweight/obesity.

RESULTS

The average PM_2.5 exposure levels from participant conception to 2014, from 2015 to 2017, and from 2018 to 2019 were 66.64 ± 5.33 μg/m³, 55.49 ± 3.78 μg/m³, and 42.50 ± 1.87 μg/m³, respectively; these levels significantly decreased over time (P < 0.001). Throughout the entire follow-up period, the incidence of overweight/obesity after a ≥ 25 μg/m³ decrease in the PM_2.5 level was 4.57% among females; this incidence was the lowest among females who experienced remarkable decreases in PM_2.5 exposure. A 1-µg/m³ decrease in the PM_2.5 level significantly decreased the body mass index (BMI), BMI z score (BMI_z), and weight of adolescents (all P < 0.001). Compared with a < 20-μg/m³ decrease in the PM_2.5 level, a ≥ 25-μg/m³ decrease protected against increased BMI (net difference= -0.93; 95% confidence interval [CI]: (-1.23,-0.63) kg/m²), BMI_z (-0.28 (-0.39, -0.17)), weight (-1.59 (-2.44, -0.74) kg), and incidence of overweight/obesity (0.48 (0.37, 0.62), P < 0.001). Moreover, compared with a < 20-μg/m³ decrease in the PM_2.5 level, a ≥ 25-μg/m³ decrease resulted in significant absolute differences in BMI (-1.26 (-1.56, -0.96) kg/m²), BMI_z (-0.53 (-0.65, -0.40)) and weight (-3.01 (-3.8, -2.19) kg) (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed the etiological relevance of declining PM_2.5 concentrations for the incidence of obesity in children and adolescents, suggesting that controlling ambient air pollutants may prevent the development of obesity in this age group. Continuous implementation of environmental protection policies in China has led to substantial health benefits.

Combined evaluation of arterial stiffness, glycemic control and hypertension for macrovascular complications in type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Arterial stiffness, glycemic control and blood pressure are risk factors of macrovascular complications in type 2 diabetes. This study aimed to investigate the combined association of arterial stiffness, glycemic control and hypertension status with the occurrence of diabetic macrovascular complication.

METHODS

A total of 1870 patients of diabetes were enrolled from Beijing Health Management Cohort between 2008 and 2018 as baseline, and then followed for macrovascular complication onset. We proposed a composite risk score (0-4) by arterial stiffness severity, pool glycemic control and hypertension status. Cox model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

The mean age (SD) of this population was 59.90 (12.29) years. During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, 359 (19.2%) patients developed macrovascular complication. Compared to the normal arterial stiffness and good glycemic control group, patients with severe arterial stiffness and pool glycemic control had the highest risk of macrovascular complications (HR: 2.73; 95% CI: 1.42-5.25). Similarly, those of severe arterial stiffness and hypertension had the highest risk (HR: 2.69; 95% CI: 1.61-4.50). Patients of the composite score > 2 had a significantly increased risk of macrovascular complication.

CONCLUSION

This study suggested the clinical importance of combined evaluation of arterial stiffness, glycemic control and hypertension status for the risk stratification and management of macrovascular complication of type 2 diabetes.

Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity as a predictor of long-term cardiovascular events in 2174 subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A retrospective cohort study

The prognostic value of arterial stiffness in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and the occurrence of cardiovascular events in people with DM. A total of 2714 subjects (mean age, 63.6 years; males, 59.3%) with type 2 DM and without documented cardiovascular disease and stroke were analyzed. The primary end-point of this study was composite cardiovascular events of cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization and stroke. There were 118 composite events (4.3%) during a median follow-up period of 3.84 years (interquartile range, 1.60-5.52 years). In multivariable Cox regression analysis, higher baPWV (≥1672 cm/s) was associated with composite events even after controlling for potential confounders (hazard ratio [HR], 2.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.31-3.07; P = .001). Compared to the lowest baPWV tertile, both middle (HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.03-3.27; P = .037) and the highest (HR, 2.97; 95% CI, 1.69-5.22; P < .001) tertile of baPWV were associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events in the same multivariable model. In conclusion, the baPWV was associated with cardiovascular events in people with type 2 DM. Considering the simplicity and convenience of baPWV measurement, baPWV may be useful for risk stratification of people with type 2 DM.

Effects of ankle-brachial index and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity on all-cause mortality in a community-based elderly population

Background

Ankle-brachial index (ABI) and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) are both important indicators of arterial stiffness and vascular injury. At present, most studies on the relationship between ABI and baPWV and all-cause mortality in community-based elderly are analyzing ABI or baPWV alone, and will focus on a single special population such as diabetes and stroke. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between ABI and baPWV in a Chinese community-based elderly population, and to analyze their impact on all-cause mortality in a community-based population through a follow-up of nearly 10 years.

Methods

Participants were residents of the Wanshou Road community in Beijing, China. A total of 2,162 people in the community were included, with an average age of 71.48 years. During a mean follow-up period of 9.87 years, 1,826 subjects completed follow-up. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and different Cox regression models were used to verify the association of ABI and baPWV with all-cause mortality. The selected subjects were divided into two groups according to ABI and baPWV, and ABI was divided into two groups with 0.90 as the cut-off point (group 1: 0.9 < ABI ≤ 1.3; group 2: ABI ≤ 0.9); according to the level of baPWV, they were divided into three groups (Tertile 1: baPWV <1761.5 cm/s; Tertile 2: 1761.5 ≤ baPWV <2121.5 cm/s; Tertile 3: baPWV ≥2121.5 cm/s).

Results

1,826 people were included in the statistical analysis, and the total mortality rate was 181.3/1000. The 10-year all-cause mortality rate of the abnormal ABI group (group 2) was 44.7%, and that of the normal ABI group (group 1) was 17.0%; The 10-year all-cause mortality rates from low to high in the baPWV tertile were 10.0%, 18.7%, and 26.4%. In the Cox proportional hazards model, after adjusting for possible confounders, the effect of baPWV on all-cause mortality was significant, with the 3rd tertile having a 1.647-fold higher risk of all-cause mortality than the 1st tertile (P = 0.014 ).

Conclusions

ABI and baPWV are risk factors affecting all-cause mortality in the elderly community population, and baPWV is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in the elderly community population.

Prediction of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality using ankle-brachial index and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity in patients with type 2 diabetes

Ankle-brachial index (ABI) and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) are used as non-invasive indicators for detecting atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness, two well-known predictors of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). ABI and baPWV have independent associations with mortality; however, their joint and interactive effects on mortality have not been assessed in patients with T2DM. This work aims to evaluate the independent, joint, and interactive associations of ABI and baPWV with all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in patients with T2DM. This observational study included 2160 patients with T2DM enlisted in the Diabetes Care Management Program database of China Medical University Hospital from 2001 to 2016 and then followed their death status until August 2021. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the independent, joint, and interactive effects of ABI and baPWV on the risk of all-cause and expanded CVD mortality. A total of 474 patient deaths occurred after a mean follow-up of 8.4 years, and 268 of which were attributed to cardiovascular events. Abnormal ABI (≤ 0.9) and highest baPWV quartile were independently associated with increased risks of all-cause [ABI: hazard ratio (HR) 1.67, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.30–2.11; baPWV: 1.63, 1.16–2.27] and expanded CVD mortality (ABI: 2.21, 1.62–3.02; baPWV: 1.75, 1.09–2.83). The combination of abnormal ABI (≤ 0.9) and highest baPWV quartile was associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause (4.51, 2.50–8.11) and expanded CVD mortality (9.74, 4.21–22.51) compared with that of the combination of normal ABI and lowest baPWV quartile. Significant interactions were observed between ABI and baPWV in relation to all-cause and expand CVD mortality (both p for interaction < 0.001). Through their independent, joint, and interactive effects, ABI and baPWV are significant parameters that can improve the prediction of all-cause and expanded CVD mortality in patients with T2DM and help identify high-risk patients who may benefit from diabetes care.

Association between Brachial-Ankle Pulse Wave Velocity as a Marker of Arterial Stiffness and Body Mass Index in a Chinese Population

Objectives: Arterial stiffness is widely accepted as an important predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD) development. While obesity is generally associated with increased CVD risk, there is evidence that overweight patients with existing CVD may have better clinical outcomes than their lean counterparts. Our study sought to observe any potential association between brachial−ankle pulse wave velocity (BAPWV), a marker of arterial stiffness related to CVD risk, and Body Mass Index (BMI), a crude and widely used measure of obesity. Methods: Adult individuals (n = 857) assessed for routine CV risk were included and grouped according to their BMI (<25 kg/m2: normal; 25−30 kg/m2: overweight, ≥30 kg/m2: obese). Their anthropometric parameters, brachial cuff pressures, and BAPWV were measured. Results: Brachial pressure was significantly higher as BMI increased. BAPWV showed a positive linear association with systolic (r = 0.66, p < 0.01), mean (r = 0.60, p < 0.01), diastolic (r = 0.51, p < 0.01), and pulse (r = 0.53, p < 0.01) pressures. However, a linear relationship between BMI and BAPWV was only apparent in males aged <50 years (p = 0.01) and in females aged ≥50 years (p < 0.01). In individuals with similar brachial systolic pressure, BAPWV was higher in normal-weight subjects compared to overweight−obese ones. Conclusions: This conflicting finding is attributed to an overestimation of the degree of arterial stiffness as a measure of CVD risk in individuals with a less ‘healthy’ BMI. This suggests that BMI may not the appropriate obesity indicator to assess CV risk. Our finding emphasizes the importance of establishing a non-linear relationship between CVD risk, age, and BMI, taking into account apparent sex differences, to predict future CV events. While this finding may suggest a lower degree of stiffness in large arteries of overweight−obese subjects compared to their normal-weight counterparts, the potential implications for individuals with higher BMI need be explored further.

Interaction between arteriosclerosis and the APOE4 gene in cognitive decline in older adults: a cross-sectional study in rural minority areas in western China

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have confirmed that the apolipoprotein E4 allele (APOE4) gene and arteriosclerosis (AS) have a combined effect on the occurrence of cognitive function impairment, and dyslipidaemia levels are significantly correlated with APOE4 levels and AS. Few studies have focused on the combined effect of the APOE4 gene and AS on cognitive function. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the effect of APOE4 gene and AS acting together on cognitive function through dyslipidaemia levels, which could provide certain scientific research value for future studies.

METHODS

A multi-stage cluster sampling method was used to investigate older adults aged 60 years and above in rural areas of Guizhou, China. The demographic sociological characteristics were collected, and laboratory tests, blood lipid measurements, and physical examinations were performed. Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) was used to determine cognitive function. Analysis of variance with two-factor factorial design was used to analyse the interaction between the APOE4 gene and AS on cognitive function and its domains.

RESULTS

A total of 549 elderly subjects were eligible for this study. The result of the factorial design analysis revealed there was a significant interaction between the APOE4 gene and AS in terms of attention and numeracy (F = 6.878, P = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of the APOE4 gene and AS leads to a decrease in the level of attention and numeracy domains, and certain attention should be focused on such populations in the future.

Identifying peripheral arterial disease in the elderly patients using machine-learning algorithms

BACKGROUND

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a common syndrome in elderly people. Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms, in particular machine-learning algorithms, have been increasingly used in disease diagnosis.

AIM

In this study, we designed an effective diagnostic model of PAD in the elderly patients using artificial intelligence.

METHODS

The study was performed with 539 participants, all over 80 years in age, who underwent the measurements of Doppler ultrasonography and ankle-brachial pressure index (ABI). Blood samples were collected. ABI and two machine-learning algorithms (MLAs)-logistic regression and a random forest (RF) model-were established to diagnose PAD. The sensitivity and specificity of the models were analyzed. An additional RF model was designed based on the most significant features of the original RF model and a prospective study was conducted to demonstrate its external validity.

RESULTS

Thirteen of the 28 features introduced to the MLAs differed significantly between PAD and non-PAD participants. The respective sensitivities and specificities of logistic regression, RF, and ABI were as follows: logistic regression (81.5%, 83.8%), RF (89.3%, 91.6%) and ABI (85.1%, 84.5%). In the prospective study, the newly designed RF model based on the most significant seven features exhibited an acceptable performance rate for the diagnosis of PAD with 100.0% sensitivity and 90.3% specificity.

CONCLUSIONS

An RF model was a more effective method than the logistic regression and ABI for the diagnosis of PAD in an elderly cohort.

Beat-to-beat Estimation of Peripheral Arterial Stiffness from Local PWV for Quantitative Evaluation of Sympathetic Nervous System Activity

Sympathetic nervous system activity (SNSA) can rapidly modulate arterial stiffness, thus making it an important biomarker for SNSA evaluation. Pulse wave velocity (PWV) is a well-known quantitative indicator of arterial stiffness, but its functional responsivity to SNSA has not been elucidated. This paper reports a method to estimate rapid changes in peripheral arterial stiffness induced by SNSA using local PWV (LPWV) and to further quantify SNSA based on the estimated stiffness. LPWV was measured from the artery near the wrist to the artery near the forefinger using a biodegradable piezoelectric sensor and a photoplethysmography sensor in an electrocutaneous stimulus experiment in which pain indicts the SNSA. The relationship between LPWV, simultaneously measured peripheral arterial stiffness index, and self-reported pain intensity was quantified. The stiffness estimated by LPWV alone and the stiffness estimated by LPWV and arterial pressure both approximate the peripheral arterial stiffness index (R² = 0.9775 and 0.9719). Pain intensity can be quantitatively evaluated in a sigmoidal relationship by either the estimated stiffness based on LPWV alone (r = 0.8594) or the estimated stiffness based on LPWV and arterial pressure (r = 0.9738). Our results demonstrated the validity of LPWV in the quantitative evaluation of SNSA and the optionality of blood pressure correction depending on application scenarios. This study advances the understanding of sympathetic innervation of peripheral arteries through the sympathetic responsivity of LPWV and contributes a quantitative biomarker for SNSA evaluation.

Relationship Between the Lipid Accumulation Product Index and Arterial Stiffness in the Chinese Population With Hypertension: A Report From the China H-Type Hypertension Registry Study

Background

Lipid accumulation product (LAP) index, as a new index to predict cardiovascular disease (CVD), has attracted the attention of many researchers. The relation of the LAP index with brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) has been evaluated in several previous studies and yielded inconsistent results. This study aimed to investigate the association between the LAP index and arterial stiffness in the Chinese population with hypertension.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis in 4,926 Chinese population with hypertension (aged 64.42 ± 9.44 years). The LAP index was developed from population-based frequency plots of adult waist circumferences and circulating triglyceride concentrations according to men and women. Arterial stiffness was determined by measuring baPWV.

Results

The multivariate linear regression analyses showed that the LAP index was independently and positively associated with baPWV [beta coefficients (β), 24.10 cm/s; 95% CI: 5.72, 42.49 cm/s]. Consistently, the multivariate logistic regression analyses showed a positive association between the LAP index risk of elevated baPWV (>75th percentile) [odds ratio (OR), 1.19; 95% CI 1.01, 1.41]. A restricted cubic spline showed that a significant linear association existed between the LAP index and baPWV. In different subgroups of diastolic blood pressure (DBP), there is interaction between the LAP index and baPWV (DBP <90, 90–99, ≥100 mm Hg; p-interaction = 0.006).

Conclusion

LAP is significantly positively associated with baPWV and elevated baPWV in Chinese hypertensive adults and especially among participants with DBP ≤ 99 mm Hg.

Effect of parental arterial stiffness in offspring: the Kailuan study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to examine effect of parental arterial stiffness in offspring.

METHODS

The individuals who participated in the second or subsequent follow-up and had parent-offspring relationship and completed measurements of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) from the Kailuan study were recruited. The individuals were divided into groups by the 10-year intervals and sex. Arterial stiffness was defined as the 75th percentiles in each age category. Multivariable generalized estimating equations was used to analyse the effect of parental baPWV and blood pressure in offspring. Multivariable logistic regression using generalized estimating equations was used to analyse the effect of parental arterial stiffness in offspring.

RESULTS

A total of 4514 parents and offspring who met the inclusion criteria, including 1785 paternal offspring and 625 maternal offspring was recruited. Mean age of paternal offspring and maternal offspring were 36.26 (SD 7.86) and 36.42 (SD 7.57) years, while their mean baPWV were 1294.40 (SD 225.32) and 1270.74 (SD 241.42) cm/s, respectively. In multivariate linear regression analyses, after adjusted for the covariate risk factors, an increase of 1 cm/s in the paternal and maternal baPWV of resulted in an increase of 0.05 and 0.30 cm/s in offspring, respectively. In multivariate logistic regression analyses, the risk of arterial stiffness in the offspring of paternal and maternal arterial stiffness increased by 50 and 77%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Paternal and maternal baPWV are linear positively correlated with baPWV in offspring. Parental arterial stiffness is a risk factor for arterial stiffness of offspring and is independent of traditional risk factors of offspring arterial stiffness.

Time in range, assessed with continuous glucose monitoring, is associated with brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity in type 2 diabetes: A retrospective single-center analysis

AIMS

The aim of this retrospective single-center is to research the relationship between time in range(TIR), an important novel metric of glycemic control, assessed with continuous glucose monitoring(CGM) and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity(BaPWV), a unique index of systemic arterial stiffness in type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Study participants included 469 hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes and no history of serious cardiovascular disease who underwent CGM and BaPWV measurements. TIR of 3.9-10.0 mmol/L was evaluated with CGM. BaPWV was measured by non-invasive arteriosclerosis detector and high baPWV was defined as a mean baPWV≧1800m/s. The spearman correlation and the partial correlation analysis were applied to analyze the correlation between TIR and baPWV. The binary logistic regression was used to examine the independent association of TIR and high BaPWV.

RESULTS

The presence of high baPWV was 32.2%. Compared with patients of low baPWV, those with high baPWV had significantly reduced TIR(P<0.001). With the increase of TIR tertiles, the prevalence of high BaPWV progressively decreased. Correlation analysis showed that TIR is inversely correlated with BaPWV. In a fully adjusted model controlling for traditional risk factor of CVD, TIR is associated with the presence of high BaPWV independent of HbA1c.

CONCLUSION

TIR is correlated with BaPWV independent of HbA1c in patients with type 2 diabetes, confirming a link between TIR and arterial stiffness.

Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity and prognosis in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Arterial stiffness has been suggested as an independent cardiovascular risk factor. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to quantify the association between brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and prognosis in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) patients. The PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for cohort studies examining the association of high baPWV with prognosis in ASCVD patients. High baPWV was defined by the cutoffs provided by each study. The outcomes of interest were cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were combined using the random-effects model with inverse variance weighting. We identified 15 studies that were eligible for inclusion in the meta-analysis. The overall HRs and 95% CIs of cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality for high baPWV were 2.55 (1.61-4.03), 2.66 (1.88-3.76), and 1.77 (1.09-2.87), respectively. The association between baPWV and cardiovascular events remained significant, irrespective of determination methods for cutoffs of baPWV, classification of ASCVD, outcome definitions, Newcastle-Ottawa Scale score and average age, independent of age and hypertension. Significantly higher HRs were observed in the subgroups of >3 years follow-up duration (p for interaction: 0.04), cutoff points by ROC curves (p for interaction: 0.04) and an average age of <65 years (p for interaction: 0.01). A 1 standard deviation increase in baPWV was associated with a 1.41-fold (1.24-1.60) increase in the risk of cardiovascular events. High baPWV is independently associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality in ASCVD patients.

Predictive Performance and Optimal Cut-Off Points of Blood Pressure for Identifying Arteriosclerosis among Adults in Eastern China

This study aimed to assess the predictive performance and establish optimal cut-off points of blood pressure for identifying arteriosclerosis in eastern Chinese adults. Brachial–ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) was utilized to evaluate arteriosclerosis. The predictive performance of blood pressure for arteriosclerosis was determined by the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics; the optimal blood pressure cut-off points were determined by Youden’s index. A logistic regression model was used to acquire the odds ratio (OR) of blood pressure for arteriosclerosis. The AUCs of blood pressure for identifying arteriosclerosis were 0.868 (95%CI: 0.860–0.875) for systolic blood pressure (SBP) and 0.835 (95%CI: 0.827–0.843) for diastolic blood pressure (DBP), both p < 0.01. The AUCs of women were higher than that of men (0.903 vs. 0.819 for SBP; 0.847 vs. 0.806 for DBP; Z test p < 0.05). The AUCs in the 18–39.9-years group were higher than that in the 40–59.9-years and 60–84-years groups (0.894 vs. 0.842 and 0.818 for SBP; 0.889 vs. 0.818 and 0.759 for DBP; Z test p < 0.05). The total optimal cut-off points of blood pressure for predicting arteriosclerosis were 123.5/73.5 mmHg (SBP/DBP) overall; 123.5/73.5 and 126.5/79.5 mmHg for women and men, respectively; and 120.5/73.5, 123.5/76.5, and 126.5/75.5 mmHg for 18–39.9-years, 40–59.9-years, and 60–84-years groups, respectively. Blood pressure indexes had a high predictive performance for identifying arteriosclerosis with the optimal cut-off point of 123.5/73.5 mmHg (SBP/DBP) in eastern Chinese adults. Women or the younger population have a higher predictive performance and lower cut-off points to identify arteriosclerosis.

Increased pulse wave velocity in patients with an orthostatic blood pressure rise independent of other cardiovascular risk factors

BACKGROUND

Positional changes in blood pressure (BP) have been shown to have effects on long-term outcomes. Although a BP drop with upright posture is frequently observed, an orthostatic rise in BP can also occur. Here, we aimed to investigate whether the phenotype of orthostatic hypertension is associated with more pronounced vascular hypertension-mediated organ damage (HMOD) and whether this is associated with other cardiovascular risk factors.

METHODS

In a cohort of 200 patients referred to our tertiary hypertension clinic, we prospectively assessed unattended seated automated office BP and the response to 1 min of upright posture. The difference in BP after standing up was calculated and pulse wave velocity (PWV) was assessed as a marker of vascular HMOD. Routine clinical cardiovascular risk markers were also assessed. Regression models were used to assess the association between orthostatic BP changes and pulse wave velocity.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics and clinic cardiovascular risk factors were similar between orthostatic BP response groups. A U-shaped association was evident between PWV and orthostatic BP changes with elevated PWV in patients with either a fall or a rise in BP in response to upright posture. The regression models remained significant after adjusting for other cardiovascular risk factors, including 24 h ambulatory BP.

CONCLUSION

Both an orthostatic BP drop and rise were associated with elevated PWV. Although standing BP is commonly measured in elderly hypertensive patients to exclude significant orthostatic hypotension, this simple measurement may provide an additional independent risk factor for vascular HMOD at any age.

Effect of Brachial-Ankle Pulse Wave Velocity Combined with Waist-to-Hip Ratio on Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events

BACKGROUND

Abdominal obesity and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) are indicators of atherosclerosis. But few studies have shown the relationship between baPWV combined with waist-hip ratio (WHR) and cardiac-cerebrovascular events (CCVEs).

METHODS

A total of 18944 subjects from Kailuan study were enrolled in this study. Follow-up was conducted three times over 4.82±1.92 years. All the participants were divided into 4 groups according to baPWV and WHR status on baseline: Q1 (normal baPWV, normal WHR), Q2 (normal baPWV, increased WHR), Q3 (increased baPWV, normal WHR) and Q4 (increased baPWV, increased WHR). The incidence and risk factors and further analysis of hypertension subgroups were analyzed.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 88 myocardial infarctions (MI), 278 cerebral ischemic strokes (CI), 285 strokes and 371 CCVEs occurred, with the cumulative incidence of 0.46%, 1.47%, 1.50%, and 1.96%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed the risk of CI, stroke and CCVEs was higher in patients with increased baPWV and increased WHR than in the other three groups, followed by the Q3 group (increased baPWV, normal WHR) and Q2 group (normal baPWV, increased WHR) group (all adjusted P<0.01). Further hypertension subgroups analysis showed similar results, but differences were more significant among hypertensive patients. Accordingly, the combination of baPWV and WHR increased the risk of total CCVEs, especially in hypertensive patients.

CONCLUSIONS

BaPWV and WHR were important risk factors for CCVEs and had synergistic effects. When baPWV increased, WHR may contribute more to the risk of CCVEs in hypertensive patients.

Lower intake of saturated fatty acids is associated with persistently higher arterial stiffness in patients with type 2 diabetes

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

There are few studies to investigate the relationship between macronutrients and longitudinal changes in arterial stiffness in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. This exploratory study sought to determine whether macronutrients were correlated with increased arterial stiffness independently of conventional atherosclerotic risk factors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study participants comprised 733 type 2 diabetes outpatients who had no apparent history of cardiovascular diseases. The dietary schedule was assessed with a validated, brief, self-administered diet history questionnaire. At baseline and at years 2 and 5, brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity was measured. A multivariable linear mixed-effects model was used to determine the predictive values of macronutrients and atherosclerotic risk factors for longitudinal changes in brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity.

RESULTS

There was a significant increase in brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity values over the 5-year follow-up period. In a multivariable linear mixed-effects model that adjusted for age and sex, lower saturated fatty acid intake was significantly correlated with persistently higher brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity, independently of other atherosclerotic risk factors. Lower intake of dairy products in particular showed this correlation.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data showed that lower saturated fatty acids intake was correlated with persistently higher brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity in type 2 diabetes patients. Among food sources of saturated fatty acids, lower dairy products specifically were correlated with elevated brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity. This might be because the consumption of dairy products in Japan is much lower than in Western countries.

Arterial stiffness and microvascular disease in type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

The clustering of arterial stiffness with microvascular disease (MD) and their effects on the clinical outcome of patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) remains not fully clarified.

METHODS

In a prospective study of 414 patients with T2D, we investigated the prognostic value of arterial stiffness and MD for clinical outcomes. Participants were assessed for the presence of MD (ie diabetic retinopathy, nephropathy and neuropathy) and arterial stiffness by pulse wave velocity (PWV) and followed-up for a median of 30 (range 1-60) months. The primary endpoint of the study was the composite endpoint of major adverse cardiovascular events, that is, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality and non-fatal myocardial infarction/stroke.

RESULTS

A total of 146 (35.3%) patients had evidence of MD at baseline. In cox regression models, MD and PWV were independently associated with the composite clinical endpoint; for MD hazard ratio (HR), 3.24, 95%CI, 1.10-9.54, P=.032, and for PWV HR, 1.20, 95%CI, 1.06-1.36, P=.004) after adjustment for traditional risk factors, and enhanced risk discrimination and reclassification. The subgroup of patients with MD and high PWV was associated with increased incidence of the composite clinical endpoint (20.9% vs 1.8% in those with no MD & low PWV, P=.001). Importantly, absence of MD at baseline was associated with no mortality events during the follow-up period. PWV at baseline was not associated with MD progression during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings support that screening for arterial stiffness and MD in the routine clinical assessment of patients with T2D may enhance prognostication and cardiovascular risk reclassification.

Use of lipid parameters to identify apparently healthy men at high risk of arterial stiffness progression

Background

Dyslipidemia contributes to the development and progression of arterial stiffness. We aimed to identify the most informative measures of serum lipids and their calculated ratios in terms of arterial stiffness progression risk.

Methods

Total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) of 659 healthy males (47.4 ± 10.7 years) were measured at baseline. Values for non-HDL-C, TC/HDL-C, TG/HDL-C, LDL-C/HDL-C, and non-HDL-C/HDL-C were calculated. BaPWV was re-performed after 4.1 years follow-up. Elevated baPWV was defined as baPWV ≥ 1400 cm/s.

Results

Over the follow-up period, the mean baPWV value increased from 1340 cm/s to 1410 cm/s, and 331 individuals increased/persisted with high baPWV (outcome 1). Among the 448 subjects who had normal baseline baPWV, 100 incident elevated baPWV occurred (outcome 2). Only baseline logTG (OR 1.64 [95% CI: 1.14–2.37] for outcome 1; 1.89 [1.14–3.17] for outcome 2) and logTG/HDL-C (1.54 [1.15–2.10] for outcome 1; 1.60 [1.05–2.45] for outcome 2) were significantly associated with arterial stiffness progression after adjusting for confounding factors. Adding logTG or logTG/HDL-C to age and blood pressure improved the accuracy of risk predictions for arterial stiffness progression. These associations remained significant when lipids were analyzed as categorical variables.

Conclusions

Baseline serum TG and TG/HDL-C were independently associated with increases in/persistently high baPWV and incident elevated baPWV, and they performed more effectively than other lipid variables in identifying healthy men at high risk of arterial stiffness progression.

Associations between continuous glucose monitoring-derived metrics and arterial stiffness in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have suggested that high mean glucose levels and glycemic abnormalities such as glucose fluctuation and hypoglycemia accelerate the progression of atherosclerosis in patients with type 2 diabetes. Although continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) that could evaluate such glycemic abnormalities has been rapidly adopted, the associations between CGM-derived metrics and arterial stiffness are not entirely clear.

METHODS

This exploratory cross-sectional study used baseline data from an ongoing prospective, multicenter, observational study with 5 years of follow-up. Study participants included 445 outpatients with type 2 diabetes and no history of apparent cardiovascular disease who underwent CGM and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurement at baseline. Associations between CGM-derived metrics and baPWV were analyzed using multivariate regression models.

RESULTS

In a linear regression model, all CGM-derived metrics were significantly associated with baPWV, but HbA1c was not. Some CGM-derived metrics related to intra-day glucose variability, hyperglycemia, and hypoglycemia remained significantly associated with baPWV after adjusting for possible atherosclerotic risk factors, including HbA1c. Based on baPWV ≥ 1800 cm/s as indicative of high arterial stiffness, multivariate logistic regression found that some CGM-derived metrics related to intra-day glucose variability and hyperglycemia are significantly associated with high arterial stiffness even after adjusting for possible atherosclerotic risk factors, including HbA1c.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple CGM-derived metrics are significantly associated with baPWV and high arterial stiffness in patients with type 2 diabetes who have no history of apparent cardiovascular disease. These metrics might be useful for identifying patients at high risk of developing cardiovascular disease.

Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity is associated with the risk of osteoporosis: a cross-sectional evidence from a Chinese community-based cohort

Background

Association of arterial stiffness and osteoporosis has been well documented in elderly population. However, it is not clear whether they co-progress from the early stages through common mechanisms. The object of this study was to evaluate possible associations between arterial stiffness and osteoporosis by measuring brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and the Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool for Asia (OSTA) index among a healthy population of Chinese aged 40 years and older. Whether baPWV can be used as a predictor of osteoporosis on OSTA was further assessed.

Methods

This study was cross-sectional in design. Of 3984 adults aged 40 years and older in the Yunyan district of Guiyang (Guizhou, China) who underwent both OSTA and baPWV measurements within 1 month, 1407 were deemed eligible for inclusion (women, 1088; men, 319).

Results

The mean baPWV was 1475 ± 302 cm/s (range,766–3459 cm/s). baPWV in 110 individuals with high risk of osteoporosis (OSTA index < − 4) was higher than that of individuals with non-high risk (1733 ± 461 cm/s vs. 1447 ± 304 cm/s, P < 0.001). OSTA index was negatively correlated with baPWV(ρ = − 0.296, P < 0.001) after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, waist circumference, diastolic blood pressure, and creatinine clearance rate. baPWV was an independent predictor for the presence of high risk of osteoporosis (β = − 0.001, P < 0.001) and was consistent across age and sex subgroups, and the optimal baPWV cutoff value for predicting the presence of high risk of osteoporosis and fracture was 1693 cm/s. The AUC was 0.722 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.667–0.777; P < 0.001, sensitivity of 52.8% and specificity of 83.6%).

Conclusions

We conclude that arterial stiffness measured by baPWV is well correlated with the severity of osteoporosis evaluated by OSTA. baPWV index may be a valuable tool for identifying individuals with risk of developing osteoporosis.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13018-020-02125-3.

Long-Term Glycemic Variability Is Associated With Arterial Stiffness in Chinese Adults

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to investigate the association between the visit-to-visit variability (VVV) of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and arterial stiffness in Chinese adults.

METHODS

We performed a cohort study involving 2002 Chinese adults with no history of myocardial infarction or stroke. All the participants attended three visits (the baseline visit in 2008, the 2^nd visit in 2009 and the 3^rd visit in 2013). We used four measures to define the VVV of FPG across the three visits: the standard deviation (SD), the coefficient of variation (CV), the average successive variability (ASV) and the variability independent of the mean (VIM). We used brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (ba-PWV) to measure arterial stiffness at the 2^nd and the 3^rd visits.

RESULTS

Compared with the lowest tertile of all the four measurements of VVV of FPG, significantly increased levels of ba-PWV change, ratio of ba-PWV change and the occurrence of the elevated ba-PWV were found in the highest tertile. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) comparing participants in the highest tertile vs. the lowest tertile of FPG-SD was 1.37 (1.01-1.86) for risks of having elevated ba-PWV, even after adjustment for covariates including the mean FPG. Similar results were found for FPG-CV and FPG-VIM.

CONCLUSION

Greater long-term variability of FPG was associated with an increased risk of arterial stiffness, suggesting that the VVV of FPG could be used for an early detection of subclinical atherosclerosis.

Arterial stiffness is an independent predictor for risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: the REBOUND study

Background

This study aimed to evaluate the benefit of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) as a noninvasive marker of arterial stiffness for the prediction of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Methods

This multicenter prospective observational study analyzed 2308 patients with type 2 diabetes between 2008 and 2018. The patients were categorized according to the quartiles of baPWV. Cause of mortality was determined using death certificates and patient clinical records. We estimated proportional mortality rates from all causes, cardiovascular, cancer, and other causes among adults with diabetic status according to their baPWV. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs).

Results

There were 199 deaths (8.6%) in the study population during a median follow-up duration of 8.6 years. When baPWV was assessed as quartiles, a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 5.39, P < 0.001), cardiovascular-mortality (HR = 14.89, P < 0.001), cancer-mortality (HR = 5.42, P < 0.001), and other-cause mortality (HR = 4.12, P < 0.001) was found in quartile 4 (Q4, ≥ 1830 cm/s) than in quartiles 1–3 (Q1–3). Adding baPWV to baseline model containing conventional risk factors such as age, sex, diabetes duration, body mass index, glycated hemoglobin, systolic blood pressure, glomerular filtration rate, smoking, and insulin improved the risk prediction for all-cause (net reclassification index (NRI) = 49%, P < 0.001) and cause-specific (cardiovascular NRI = 28%, P = 0.030; cancer NRI = 55%, P < 0.001; other-cause NRI 51%, P < 0.001) mortality.

Conclusion

This long-term, large-scale, multicenter prospective observational cohort study provide evidence that increased arterial stiffness, as measured by baPWV, predicts the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in type 2 diabetes, supporting the prognostic utility of baPWV.

Trial registration Clinical Research Information Service (CRIS), KCT 0005010. Retrospectively Registered May 12, 2020. https://cris.nih.go.kr/cris/search/search_result_st01.jsp?seq=16677

Long sleep duration and risk of increased arterial stiffness in a Chinese population

To examine the relationship between self-reported sleep duration and arterial stiffness in a large Chinese population from Kailuan.From July 2010 to December 2015, a total of 17,018 participants aged 18 to 98 years were enrolled after excluding those with a history of cerebrovascular events and coronary artery disease. Participants were divided into 5 categories according to self-reported night sleep duration: ≤5.0, 6.0, 7 (ref), 8, and ≥9.0 hours. A brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity ≥1400 cm/s was considered to represent arterial stiffness. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and confidence interval (CI) for arterial stiffness according to the sleep duration.Using 7 hours of sleep as the reference group, the multivariable adjusted ORs (95% CI) for arterial stiffness were 1.00 (0.87-1.16), 1.00 (0.90-1.11), 1.0 (ref), 1.03 (0.93-1.14), and 1.48 (1.05-2.08) from the lowest to highest category of sleep duration, respectively. Secondary analysis showed no evidence of interactions between sleep duration and age/sex on the risk of arterial stiffness (P-interaction = .390/.198).A long night sleep duration was associated with increased arterial stiffness.

Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity is independently associated with urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio in a Chinese community-based cohort

PURPOSE

Arterial stiffness is important in the development of albuminuria. The brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) acts as an indicator of arterial stiffness and may be associated with cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality. The urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) is a metric used to diagnose albuminuria and has also been shown to be associated with cardiovascular disease. Here, we aim to elucidate the relationship between the baPWV and UACR in the Chinese community.

METHODS

A community-based cohort of 3669 subjects was selected for the analysis. The BaPWV and UACR were measured from each subject. UACR ≥ 30 mg/g was defined as pathological albuminuria.

RESULTS

The mean baPWV was 1536.59 ± 305.89 cm/s, and the median UACR value was 6.11 mg/g (interquartile range 4.17, 10.68). A threshold-effect analysis was conducted, and the results showed that the cut-off value for the baPWV was 1269 cm/s. In subjects with baPWV values lower than 1269 cm/s, the prevalence of microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria was not significantly associated with the baPWV (odds ratio 0.77, 95% confidence interval 0.57-1.03, P = 0.08). However, in participants with baPWV ≥ 1269 cm/s, the prevalence of microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria increased with increasing baPWV 100 cm/s (odds ratio 1.16, 95% confidence interval 1.11-1.22, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that, in this Chinese community-based cohort, elevated baPWV is independently associated with pathological albuminuria with a cut-off value of 1269 cm/s as determined by threshold-effect analysis.

Positive correlation of serum fibroblast growth factor 23 with peripheral arterial stiffness in kidney transplantation patients

BACKGROUND

Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) has a role in arterial stiffness (AS) apart from regulating mineral metabolism. We investigated the association between FGF-23 concentration and peripheral AS in renal transplantation (RT) recipients.

METHODS

The fasting blood samples of RT recipients (n = 66) were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 29 (43.9%) RT recipients were classified under the peripheral AS group. The RT recipients in this group had a higher prevalence of diabetes (P < 0.001), hypertension (P = 0.001), and metabolic syndrome (P = 0.023); longer post-RT duration (P = 0.006); higher systolic blood pressure (P < 0.001) and diastolic blood pressure (P = 0.024); and higher fasting glucose (P = 0.002), total cholesterol (P = 0.049), blood urea nitrogen (P = 0.027), phosphorus (P = 0.047), and FGF-23 concentrations (P = 0.003) and FGF-23/α-klotho ratio (P < 0.001) but lower klotho concentrations (P = 0.025) than those in the control group. Moreover, FGF-23 concentration (adjusted odds ratio: 1.057, 95% confidence interval: 1.011-1.105, P = 0.015) was found to be an independent predictor of peripheral AS in RT recipients.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum FGF-23 concentration was a significant predictor of peripheral AS in RT recipients.

Total White Blood Cell Count Mediated the Association Between Increased Arterial Stiffness and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Chinese Adults

OBJECTIVE

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is known to be related to increased arterial stiffness. However, little is known about the risk of T2DM due to accelerated arterial stiffness and the underlying mechanism involved. We aimed to examine arterial stiffness, as determined by brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV), in relation to T2DM among a community-based population and whether the association was mediated by white blood cell (WBC) counts. Approach and results: A total of 1036 Chinese adults aged 64.3 years with complete data were qualified in the present study. The dose-response association between baPWV levels, WBC counts, and risk of T2DM were explored using generalized linear models or multivariate logistic regression models. A mediation analysis was conducted to investigate the role of WBC counts on the association between baPWV and T2DM. After multivariate adjustments, we observed a dose-responsive relationship between increased baPWV and elevated risk of T2DM: comparing extreme tertiles of baPWV, the adjusted odds ratio for T2DM risk was 2.29 (95% CI, 1.32-3.98; P for trend =0.005). In addition, significant dose-dependent relationships were found across baPWV tertiles with increasing total or differential WBC counts, which in turn, were positively related to higher risk of T2DM (all P for trend <0.05). Mediation analyses indicated that total WBC count mediated 4.5% of the association between increased baPWV and elevated T2DM risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased arterial stiffness might increase T2DM risk among middle-aged and older Chinese adults, which was partially mediated by total WBC count.

Improvement in arterial stiffness (pOpmètre®) after bariatric surgery. Results from a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Arterial stiffness (AS) is an independent predictor of cardiovascular risk, and could be used as a surrogate marker of improvement in cardiovascular risk following bariatric surgery. The aim of this study was to compare AS before and after surgery.

METHODS

One hundred and thirty-four patients undergoing bariatric surgery between May 2016 and January 2019 were prospectively included. AS was measured on pulse wave velocity (PWV) with the pOpmètre® device pre- and postoperatively. The main endpoint was change in PWV between baseline and 3 months post-surgery.

RESULTS

Overall, mean PWV was 6.87m/s preoperatively and 6.71m/s at 3 months (P=0.7148). Patients with pathologic PWV (>2 standard deviations from expected value for age) showed significant improvement at 3 months (31 patients; 10.1m/s preoperatively vs 7.5m/s at 3 months; P=0.007). These results did not correlate with improvement in other clinical or biological parameters following surgery (excess weight loss, mean blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, waist circumference, body composition).

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that pathological arterial stiffness may resolve following bariatric surgery independently of the other factors influencing cardiovascular risk in obesity.

Breakfast skipping is associated with persistently increased arterial stiffness in patients with type 2 diabetes

OBJECTIVE

While certain lifestyle habits may be associated with arterial stiffness, there is limited literature investigating the relationship between lifestyle habits and longitudinal changes in arterial stiffness in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This is an exploratory study to determine whether lifestyle habits, in addition to conventional atherosclerotic risk factors, are associated with increased arterial stiffness.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The study participants comprised 734 Japanese outpatients with T2DM and no history of apparent cardiovascular diseases. Lifestyle habits were analyzed using self-reported questionnaires, and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) was measured at baseline, and at years 2 and 5. A multivariable linear mixed-effects model was used to determine the predictive value of lifestyle habits and possible atherosclerotic risk factors for longitudinal change in baPWV.

RESULTS

Over 5 years of follow-up, baPWV values significantly increased. In a multivariable linear mixed-effects model that adjusted for age and gender, a low frequency of breakfast intake was significantly associated with persistently high baPWV, independently of other lifestyle habits. Furthermore, in a multivariable linear mixed-effects model that included both lifestyle habits and possible atherosclerotic risk factors, a low frequency of breakfast intake remained the only independent predictive factor for persistently high baPWV. Subjects who ate breakfast less frequently tended to have additional unhealthy lifestyle habits and atherosclerotic risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analyses suggest that breakfast skipping is an independent lifestyle habit that is associated with persistently increased arterial stiffness in patients with T2DM.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

UMIN000010932.

Effect of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity combined with blood pressure on cardio-cerebrovascular events

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the effect of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) combined with blood pressure (BP) on cardio-cerebrovascular events. Participants who received health examinations during the periods 2010-2011, 2012-2013 and 2014-2015 were recruited. The participants were divided into four groups according to their BP and baPWV levels as follows: Normotension + low baPWV, normotension + high baPWV, hypertension + low baPWV, and hypertension + high baPWV. The cumulative incidence of cardio-cerebrovascular events was calculated using life-table analysis, and the associations of BP and baPWV with cardio-cerebrovascular events were analyzed using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to calculate the predictive values of baPWV combined with BP, baPWV alone or BP alone for cardio-cerebrovascular events by comparing their area under the curve (AUC) using the normal approximation method. There were 20,310 participants with a mean age of 50.13±0.09 years in the present study, including 13,240 males. A total of 278 participants developed a cardio-cerebrovascular event after a mean follow-up period of 3.34±1.82 years. The cumulative incidence of cardio-cerebrovascular events in the normotension + low baPWV, normotension + high baPWV, hypertension + low baPWV and hypertension + high baPWV groups was 0.2, 0.9, 0.8 and 3.1%. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that compared with the normotension + low baPWV group, the risks of cardio-cerebrovascular events in the normotension + high baPWV, hypertension + low baPWV and hypertension + high baPWV groups were increased after adjusting for confounding factors, and their hazard ratios (95% CI) were 4.18 (2.23-7.83), 3.00 (1.39-6.47) and 9.34 (5.14-16.96), respectively. The AUC values for the predictive values of baPWV combined with BP, baPWV alone and BP alone on cardio-cerebrovascular events were calculated to be 0.744, 0.677 and 0.698, respectively. In conclusion, high baPWV accompanied by hypertension could increase the risk of cardio-cerebrovascular events. The predictive value of baPWV combined with BP on cardio-cerebrovascular events is superior compared with that of either baPWV or BP alone.

Association of low serum Meteorin like (Metrnl) concentrations with worsening of glucose tolerance, impaired endothelial function and atherosclerosis

OBJECTIVE

Meteorin-like (Metrnl) is a novel secreted protein that has a beneficial effect on glucose homeostasis with anti-inflammatory properties. Our goal is to determine whether low serum Metrnl levels are associated with worsening of glucose tolerance, impaired endothelial function, and atherosclerosis.

METHODS

This study included 260 adults, 89 of whom had normal oral glucose tolerance (nOGT), 77 with glucose tolerance impairment (GTI) and 94 with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Insulin resistance was assessed by evaluating the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). Serum Metrnl level, proinflammatory, biochemical, endothelial and atherosclerosis parameters were measured.

RESULTS

Serum Metrnl levels decreased significantly in patients with T2DM versus subjects with nOGT (P < 0.001). Metrnl levels were negatively correlated with fasting blood glucose, 2-h postload glucose (2 h-PLG), fasting insulin, HOMA-IR, HbA1c, high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), Carotid intima media thickness (CIMT), brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV), intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1), vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (VCAM-1) and E-selectin. High serum Metrnl level was significantly correlated with reduced risk of T2DM as revealed by multivariate logistic regression analysis after control of potential risk factors for diabetes. Furthermore, the association remains significant after further adjustment for IL-6, TNF-α, hs-CRP, CIMT, baPWV, ICAM-1, VCAM-1 and E-selectin.

CONCLUSIONS

Low Serum Metrnl may be associated with worsening of glucose tolerance, impaired endothelial function and atherosclerosis. It may also be considered a possible surrogate marker of endothelial dysfunction, and atherosclerosis and an independent risk factor of T2DM.

Determinants of pulse wave velocity trajectories from youth to young adulthood: the Georgia Stress and Heart Study

OBJECTIVE

Increased arterial stiffness measured by pulse wave velocity (PWV) has been shown to be an important parameter of cardiovascular risk. Longitudinal development of PWV from youth to early adulthood and its possible sociodemographic, anthropometric, hemodynamic and behavioral moderators will be illustrated.

METHODS

Individual growth curves of carotid-distal PWV across age were created for 559 African American and European American men and women with a maximum of five assessments over an average of 7-year follow-up (mean age at participants' first assessment, 22.3 ± 3.4).

RESULTS

African Americans and men had significantly higher PWV than did European Americans and women (Ps < 0.01), respectively. A three-way interaction (P < 0.001) between age, sex and ethnicity was observed with African American men displaying a larger rate of increase in PWV with age than the other three ethnic and sex groups. The ethnicity and sex effects on PWV persisted when controlling for other moderators. Waist circumference was the strongest anthropometric predictor but its effect on PWV was only significant in women. Mean arterial pressure was the strongest hemodynamic predictor, marital status of parents was the strongest socioeconomic predictor and marijuana use was the strongest behavioral predictor of PWV. The best-fitting full model explained in total 59.4% of the between-subject variance in PWV with ethnicity, sex and age explaining 25.6%.

CONCLUSION

We observed significant ethnic and sex differences in longitudinal trajectories of PWV in youth and young adults. In addition, individual differences in PWV growth can largely be explained by mean arterial pressure, waist, marital status of parents and marijuana use.

Association of aortic stiffness, carotid intima-media thickness and endothelial function with cardiovascular events in metabolic syndrome subjects

PURPOSE

The objective of this study was to assess predictive value of various arterial markers for cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with metabolic syndrome (MetS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A longitudinal study with the follow-up period of 3.9 ± 1.7 years investigated 2728 middle-aged (53.9 ± 6.2 years old, 63% women) MetS subjects without overt CV disease. The study cohort was comprised of the participants of the Lithuanian High Cardiovascular Risk primary prevention program. The baseline assessment included the evaluation of brachial flow-mediated dilatation (FMD), carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), carotid stiffness index, aortic pulse wave velocity (aPWV), aortic augmentation index (AIx), and cardio-ankle vascular index). The data on the cardiovascular outcome (fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke) was collected by using the databases of the two major national registries.

RESULTS

Over the follow-up period, 83 (3%) patients had at least one cardiovascular event. In a univariate analysis, occurrence of CV events was associated with the following parameters: higher mean blood pressure, aPWV, AIx and cIMT, and lower FMD (all p < .05). In Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, the occurrence of CV event was associated with an increase in aPWV (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.04-1.60, p = .019), AIx (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.16-2.02, p = .003), and cIMT (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.14-1.50, p < .001), and with the decrease in FMD (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.71-0.97, p = .016) even after the adjustment for age, gender, and common cardiometabolic risk factors. In a two-level survival trees analysis, we established that patients with cIMT > 794 mcm had higher CV risk (p < .001) and their prognosis was further compromised by aPWV > 11.1 m/s (p = .023). Meanwhile, in patients with cIMT ≤ 794mcm, the FMD cut-off point of 6.5% further stratified the risk (p = .003).

CONCLUSIONS

In our prospective study, CV risk in the middle-aged patients with MetS was associated with an increase in cIMT and aPWV, and with a decrease in FMD.

Low Bone Mineral Density Is Not Associated with Subclinical Atherosclerosis: A Population-Based Study in Rural China

OBJECTIVES

Loss of bone mass may affect the progression of atherosclerosis. We investigated the relationship between low bone mineral density (BMD) and subclinical atherosclerosis in rural China.

METHODS

In total, 333 men and 421 postmenopausal women aged 55-65 years were enrolled. BMD was measured in the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total hip using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Subclinical atherosclerosis was defined as increased carotid artery intima-media thickness (CIMT ≥0.9 mm), the presence of carotid plaques, high brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV ≥1,400 cm/s), and low ankle-brachial index (ABI ≤1). Binary logistic regression analyses were used to estimate the association between low BMD and subclinical atherosclerosis.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in BMD between the normal group and the subclinical atherosclerosis group. After full adjustment for the relevant covariates, a boundary significant association was found between low BMD in the femoral neck and baPWV in postmenopausal women (odds ratio = 1.77, p = 0.049). After full adjustment, neither BMD nor low BMD were significantly associated with subclinical atherosclerosis in men or postmenopausal women.

CONCLUSIONS

Low BMD is not associated with subclinical atherosclerosis in Chinese individuals aged 55-65 years resident in rural China.

A body shape index and vascular structure and function in Spanish adults (MARK study): A cross-sectional study

A body shape index (ABSI) has been introduced as a marker of the relationship between body composition and all-cause mortality. However, until now, the relationships between ABSI and vascular structure and function have not been evaluated. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of ABSI with vascular structure and function in Spanish adults with intermediate cardiovascular risk. This cross-sectional study analyzed the data of 2354 subjects [age, 35-74 years (median, 62.0 years [range, 56.0-67.0 years]), 61.9% men] enrolled into the MediAte Risk management (MARK) study. ABSI was calculated by using the following formula: ABSI = waist circumference (m)/[body mass index × height (m))]. Vascular function was assessed by measuring cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) with the VaSera device and brachial ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) by using a validated equation. Vascular structure was assessed by measuring carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) by ultrasonography. Median value of ABSI was 0.083 (range, 0.081-0.090), mean CAVI was (8.5 ± 1.2), and median IMT was 0.727 (range, 0.672-0.799). The values of ABSI and CAVI were higher in men. After adjusting for confounders, ABSI was positively associated with CAVI, baPWV, and average mean IMT. Thus, for each unit increase in ABSI, CAVI increased by 0.16 units, baPWV by 0.25 m/s, and IMT by 0.033 mm. In the logistic regression analysis, the odds ratio of ABSI was > 1 for high CAVI ≥ 9, baPWV ≥ 15 m/s, and IMT ≥ 0.90 mm in the overall subject group, and in the sex- and age-specific (> 62 years, ≤ 62 years) subgroups, after adjusting for confounders. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of the ABSI was 0.631 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.608-0.654) for CAVI ≥ 9, and 0.617 (95% CI, 0.593-0.641) for high baPWV ≥ 15 m/s. ABSI showed a positive association with vascular structure and function, independent of other confounders that might influence weight and fat mass distribution in Spanish subjects at intermediate cardiovascular risk.Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01428934 (registered: September 2, 2011; last updated: September 8, 2016).

Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity, cardio-ankle vascular index, and prognosis

Background

Brachial–ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) are indices of arterial stiffness, and several studies have used these indices. However, there is no comprehensive review of these parameters in the prognostic significance.

Methods

The aim of this study was to review the articles exploring the prognostic significance of these parameters. Articles demonstrating independent significance after multivariate analysis on the Cox proportional hazards model were defined as “successful.” The success rate was compared using Fisher’s exact test. In addition, multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to explore the independent determinants of the success of prognostic prediction.

Results

The success rate of the baPWV articles (65.7% [46/70]) tended to be higher than that of the CAVI articles (40.0% [6/15]; P=0.083). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that log (number of patients) (OR 11.20, 95% CI 2.45–51.70, P=0.002) and dialysis population (OR 0.28, 95% CI 0.08–0.94, P=0.039) were positive and negative independent determinants of the success of prognostic prediction, respectively. In addition, after redefining two studies as the absence of arteriosclerosis obliterans (ASO) exclusion, baPWV (OR 3.36, 95% CI 0.86–13.20, P=0.083) and the existence of exclusion criteria of ASO (OR 3.08, 95% CI 0.96–9.93, P=0.060) exhibited statistical tendency in the multivariate analysis.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated that the number of study participants and dialysis population were the independent determinants of the success of prognostic prediction. This study also showed the importance of exclusion criteria of ASO when using these indices. In addition, a prospective large-scale study to confirm the superiority in the prognostic prediction of these indices is warranted.