BMI and Mortality in Patients With New-Onset Type 2 Diabetes: A Comparison With Age- and Sex-Matched Control Subjects From the General Population

Differences in the impact of newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes on cardiovascular mortality between normotensive and hypertensive individuals

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the interrelationship between hyperglycemia and hypertension on cardiovascular mortality in the middle-aged and elderly people.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study that used data from the Hiroshima Study on Glucose Metabolism and Cardiovascular Diseases, we included 16,564 participants without cardiovascular disease (mean age: 65.8 years; 6179 normoglycemic people, 3017 people with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes, and 7368 people with prediabetes per the 75-g oral glucose tolerance test). Hypertension was defined as the use of antihypertensive medications and/or having a systolic/diastolic blood pressure of at least 140/90 mm Hg.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 12.4 years, a total of 1513 cardiovascular death occurred. Cardiovascular death rates per 1000 participant-years were 4.01, 4.98, 8.33, 8.22, 8.81, and 11.1 among normotensive participants with normal glycemia, prediabetes, and diabetes and hypertensive participants with normal glycemia, prediabetes, and diabetes, respectively. Prediabetes was significantly associated with a high risk of cardiovascular mortality in normotensive individuals [hazard ratio: 1.24, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.02-1.50] but not in hypertensive individuals. Type 2 diabetes was associated with a high risk of cardiovascular mortality in both normotensive (hazard ratio: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.55-2.43) and hypertensive individuals (hazard ratio: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.13-1.62). Stratified analyses revealed no significant impact of type 2 diabetes on cardiovascular mortality in hypertensive individuals aged at least 65 years.

CONCLUSION

The effect of hyperglycemia on cardiovascular death differed with age and the presence or absence of hypertension, demonstrating the clinical importance of case-specific risk assessments.

Food and Nutrient Intake in Children and Adolescents with or without Overweight/Obesity

OBJECTIVE

To explore the food and nutrient characteristics of children and adolescents with or without overweight/obesity and to provide scientific basis for the development of prevention strategies on overweight/obesity.

METHODS

This study included children and adolescents aged 6-17 years who participated in provincial nutrition surveillance which included 90 counties (cities and districts) in Zhejiang Province with a provincial representative. Food consumption was assessed using three consecutive days of 24 h dietary recall, and nutrient intake was calculated using dietary recall in conjunction with the China Food Composition Table. Overweight/obesity was also investigated. Associations were evaluated using ordinal regression models.

RESULTS

The analysis included a total of 1827 children and adolescents. The overweight prevalence was 14.0% and the obesity prevalence was 10.1%. Children and adolescents with overweight/obesity were observed to have a higher intake of carbohydrates, iron, sodium, potassium, and magnesium (F = 3.464, 5.232, 5.619, 3.469, 3.934, p < 0.05), as well as having a higher intake of the food group of cereals, tubers and beans, snacks, and salt (F = 7.348, 6.797, 3.413, p < 0.05) compared to children and adolescents without overweight/obesity. After adjusting for potential confounders via ordinal regression models, children and adolescents with overweight/obesity were observed to have a higher intake of carbohydrates (Wald χ2 = 4.325, p < 0.05). There were significant differences concerning the daily energy provided by snacks, the daily carbohydrate intake provided by snacks, the daily sodium intake provided by snacks, and the proportion of snacks to the food group of cereals, tubers, and beans (F = 8.305 6.316, 13.955, 3.692, p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Children and adolescents with overweight/obesity have presented a high consumption of carbohydrates, which is associated with the food group of cereals, tubers, and beans. Snacks are the main factor leading to the high intake of the food group of cereals, tubers, and beans among children and adolescents with overweight/obesity.

Age-specific population attributable risk factors for all-cause and cause-specific mortality in type 2 diabetes: An analysis of a 6-year prospective cohort study of over 360,000 people in Hong Kong

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes has increased in both young and old people. We examined age-specific associations and population attributable fractions (PAFs) of risk factors for all-cause and cause-specific mortality in people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We analysed data from 360,202 Chinese with type 2 diabetes who participated in a territory-wide diabetes complication screening programme in Hong Kong between January 2000 and December 2019. We compared the hazard ratios and PAFs of eight risk factors, including three major comorbidities (cardiovascular disease [CVD], chronic kidney disease [CKD], all-site cancer) and five modifiable risk factors (suboptimal HbA1c, suboptimal blood pressure, suboptimal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, and suboptimal weight), for mortality across four age groups (18 to 54, 55 to 64, 65 to 74, and ≥75 years). During a median 6.0 years of follow-up, 44,396 people died, with cancer, CVD, and pneumonia being the leading causes of death. Despite a higher absolute mortality risk in older people (crude all-cause mortality rate: 59.7 versus 596.2 per 10,000 person-years in people aged 18 to 54 years versus those aged ≥75 years), the relative risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality associated with most risk factors was higher in younger than older people, after mutually adjusting for the eight risk factors and other potential confounders including sex, diabetes duration, lipid profile, and medication use. The eight risk factors explained a larger proportion of mortality events in the youngest (PAF: 51.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] [39.1%, 64.0%], p < 0.001) than the oldest (PAF: 35.3%, 95% CI [27.2%, 43.4%], p < 0.001) age group. Suboptimal blood pressure (PAF: 16.9%, 95% CI [14.7%, 19.1%], p < 0.001) was the leading attributable risk factor for all-cause mortality in the youngest age group, while CKD (PAF: 15.2%, 95% CI [14.0%, 16.4%], p < 0.001) and CVD (PAF: 9.2%, 95% CI [8.3%, 10.1%], p < 0.001) were the leading attributable risk factors in the oldest age group. The analysis was restricted to Chinese, which might affect the generalisability to the global population with differences in risk profiles. Furthermore, PAFs were estimated under the assumption of a causal relationship between risk factors and mortality. However, reliable causality was difficult to establish in the observational study.

CONCLUSIONS

Major comorbidities and modifiable risk factors were associated with a greater relative risk for mortality in younger than older people with type 2 diabetes and their associations with population mortality burden varied substantially by age. These findings highlight the importance of early control of blood pressure, which could reduce premature mortality in young people with type 2 diabetes and prevent the onset of later CKD and related mortality at older ages.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2022 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2022 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population and an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, adverse pregnancy outcomes, vascular contributions to brain health, and the global burden of cardiovascular disease and healthy life expectancy.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Adult-onset diabetes in Middle Eastern immigrants to Sweden: Novel subgroups and diabetic complications-The All New Diabetes in Scania cohort diabetic complications and ethnicity

BACKGROUND

Middle Eastern immigrants to Europe represent a high risk population for type 2 diabetes. We compared prevalence of novel subgroups and assessed risk of diabetic macro- and microvascular complications between diabetes patients of Middle Eastern and European origin.

METHODS

This study included newly diagnosed diabetes patients born in Sweden (N = 10641) or Iraq (N = 286), previously included in the All New Diabetes in Scania cohort. The study was conducted between January 2008 and August 2016. Patients were followed to April 2017. Incidence rates in diabetic macro- and microvascular complications were assessed using cox-regression adjusting for the confounding effect of age at onset, sex, anthropometrics, glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and HbA1c.

FINDINGS

In Iraqi immigrants versus native Swedes, severe insulin-deficient diabetes was almost twice as common (27.9 vs. 16.2% p < 0.001) but severe insulin-resistant diabetes was less prevalent. Patients born in Iraq had higher risk of coronary events (hazard ratio [HR] 1.84, 95% CI 1.06-3.12) but considerably lower risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) than Swedes (HR 0.19; 0.05-0.76). The lower risk in Iraqi immigrants was partially attributed to better eGFR. Genetic risk scores (GRS) showed more genetic variants associated with poor insulin secretion but lower risk of insulin resistance in the Iraqi than native Swedish group.

INTERPRETATION

People with diabetes, born in the Middle East present with a more insulin-deficient phenotype and genotype than native Swedes. They have a higher risk of coronary events but lower risk of CKD. Ethnic differences should be considered in the preventive work towards diabetes and its complications.

Effect of empagliflozin on cardiorenal outcomes and mortality according to body mass index: A subgroup analysis of the EMPA-REG OUTCOME trial with a focus on Asia

AIM

To investigate whether the cardiorenal benefits of the sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor empagliflozin are affected by body mass index (BMI) in type 2 diabetes patients with established cardiovascular (CV) disease, including Asians.

METHODS

In this exploratory analysis of the EMPA-REG OUTCOME trial, we used Cox regression to evaluate the effects of empagliflozin on all-cause mortality, hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) or CV death, and incident or worsening nephropathy by baseline BMI category.

RESULTS

Of the 7020 participants (1517 Asians [21.6%]), 934 (13.3%), 2465 (35.1%) and 3621 (51.6%) had a BMI of less than 25, 25 to less than 30, and 30 kg/m² or higher, respectively. Overall, hazard ratios for empagliflozin versus placebo for all-cause mortality, HHF or CV death, and incident or worsening nephropathy were 0.68 (95% CI 0.57, 0.82), 0.66 (0.55, 0.79) and 0.61 (0.53, 0.70), respectively, and were consistent across BMI categories (P values for interaction between treatment and BMI were .6772, .3087 and .6265, respectively). Results were similar in Asians using these BMI categories and categories of less than 24, 24 to less than 28, and 28 kg/m² or higher.

CONCLUSION

Empagliflozin reduced cardiorenal and mortality risk regardless of BMI at baseline, including in Asians with a lower BMI.

Effects of Body Mass Index and Pay-for-Performance Program on Risk of Death in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Background: The diabetes patients enrolled in the pay-for-performance (P4P) program demonstrate reduced risk of death. Body mass index (BMI) is a risk factor of all-cause death. This study investigates the effects of BMI and P4P on the risk of death in type 2 diabetes patients. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study. The study population includes the 3-wave National Health Interview Survey in Taiwan. A total of 6354 patients with diabetes aged ≥ 20 years were enrolled and followed up until the end of 2014. Results: The highest mortality rate per 1000 person-years was 61.05 in the underweight patients with diabetes. A lower crude death rate was observed in the P4P participants than non-P4P participants. The risk of death was 1.86 times higher in the underweight patients with diabetes than that in the normal weight group (95% CI: 1.37–2.53) and was lower in the P4P participants, as compared to the non-participants (HR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.44–0.69). The most significant effect of joining the P4P program in reducing death risk was found in the underweight patients with diabetes (HR: 0.11, 95% CI: 0.04–0.38), followed by the obesity group (HR: 0.30, 95% CI: 0.17–0.52). Conclusions: Different effects of joining the P4P program on reducing death risk were observed in the underweight and obesity groups. We strongly recommend that patients with diabetes and without healthy BMIs participate in the P4P program.

A potential role for insulin treatment during pregnancy in reducing postpartum psychological distress in maternal obesity: an administrative population health study

BACKGROUND

Studies have found an association between obesity and an increased risk for peripartum depression, which has also been linked to decreased placental lactogen levels. In addition, women with obesity treated for gestational diabetes with insulin were found to have increased levels of placental lactogen. Treatment options exist for perinatal and postpartum depression however they pose a risk to the developing offspring. Thus, prevention as well as markers for early identification of peripartum depression are needed. Therefore, our study objective is to identify the association between insulin treatment in pregnancy and the risk of postpartum psychological distress (abbreviated here as PPD) among cohorts of women with and without obesity.

METHODS

Administrative health data (2002/03-2018/19) were used to identify a cohort of women (age 15+ years) who gave birth (N = 250,746) and had no pre-existing mood/anxiety disorders or diabetes (N = 222,863 excluded). Women were then divided into two groups: lean (N = 17,975) and with obesity (N = 9908), which was identified by a recorded maternal weight of > 38 to < 65.6 kg and ≥ 85 to < 186 kg (respectively). The risk of PPD within one year after delivery with and without insulin treatment was assessed by Poisson regression analysis. Models were adjusted for maternal age group (at pregnancy start date) and area-level income (at delivery).

RESULTS

The unadjusted risk of PPD was higher in the obesity group (8.56%; 95% CI 8.00-9.15) than in the lean group (6.93%; 95% CI 6.56-7.33). When no insulin treatment was given during pregnancy, mothers with obesity had a significantly higher risk of PPD than the lean group (aRR 1.27; 95% CI 1.17-1.39; p < 0.0001). However, when women with obesity and insulin treatment were compared to the lean group with no insulin treatment, no significant difference in the risk of PPD was observed between the groups (aRR 1.30; 95% CI 0.83-2.02; p = 0.248).

CONCLUSION

This is the first study to demonstrate a positive association between insulin treatment in pregnancy among women with obesity and reduced PPD rates, suggesting insulin as a possible preventative measure. However, the biological mechanism behind the observed positive effect of insulin on PPD rates remains to be investigated.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2021 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2021 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, adverse pregnancy outcomes, vascular contributions to brain health, the global burden of cardiovascular disease, and further evidence-based approaches to changing behaviors related to cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

Each of the 27 chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policy makers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Long-term impact of bariatric surgery on glycemic control and glucose-lowering therapy for people with type 2 diabetes: population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated that bariatric surgery improves glycemic control among people with diabetes. However, evidence from RCTs may not be generalizable to real-world clinical care with unselected patients in routine clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES

To examine long-term glycemic control and glucose-lowering drug regimens following bariatric surgery for people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) in unselected patients in routine clinical practice.

SETTING

Population-based cohort study using linked routinely collected real-world data from Ontario, Canada.

METHODS

Individuals with T2D who were assessed for bariatric surgery at any referral center in the province between February 2010 and November 2016 were identified and divided into those who received surgery within 2 years of the initial assessment and those who did not.

RESULTS

There were 3674 people who had bariatric surgery and 1335 who did not. By 2 years, people who had undergone surgery had a significantly lower HbA1C (6.3 ± 1.2 % versus 7.8 ± 1.8 %, P < .0001), and this difference persisted at 3, 4, 5, and 6 years. Even by 6 years, half of those who had undergone surgery remained on no glucose-lowering drugs, and they were nearly 6 times less likely to be on insulin than those who had not undergone surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

In real-world clinical care, bariatric surgery was associated with large and sustained improvements in glycemic control.

Mortality in first- and second-generation immigrants to Sweden diagnosed with type 2 diabetes: a 10 year nationwide cohort study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Non-Western immigrants to Europe are at high risk for type 2 diabetes. In this nationwide study including incident cases of type 2 diabetes, the aim was to compare all-cause mortality (ACM) and cause-specific mortality (CSM) rates in first- and second-generation immigrants with native Swedes.

METHODS

People living in Sweden diagnosed with new-onset pharmacologically treated type 2 diabetes between 2006 and 2012 were identified through the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register. They were followed until 31 December 2016 for ACM and until 31 December 2012 for CSM. Analyses were adjusted for age at diagnosis, sex, socioeconomic status, education, treatment and region. Associations were assessed using Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 138,085 individuals were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes between 2006 and 2012 and fulfilled inclusion criteria. Of these, 102,163 (74.0%) were native Swedes, 28,819 (20.9%) were first-generation immigrants and 7103 (5.1%) were second-generation immigrants with either one or both parents born outside Sweden. First-generation immigrants had lower ACM rate (HR 0.80 [95% CI 0.76, 0.84]) compared with native Swedes. The mortality rates were particularly low in people born in non-Western regions (0.46 [0.42, 0.50]; the Middle East, 0.41 [0.36, 0.47]; Asia, 0.53 [0.43, 0.66]; Africa, 0.47 [0.38, 0.59]; and Latin America, 0.53 [0.42, 0.68]). ACM rates decreased with older age at migration and shorter stay in Sweden. Compared with native Swedes, first-generation immigrants with ≤ 24 years in Sweden (0.55 [0.51, 0.60]) displayed lower ACM rates than those spending >24 years in Sweden (0.92 [0.87, 0.97]). Second-generation immigrants did not have better survival rates than native Swedes but rather displayed higher ACM rates for people with both parents born abroad (1.28 [1.05, 1.56]).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

In people with type 2 diabetes, the lower mortality rate in first-generation non-Western immigrants compared with native Swedes was reduced over time and was equalised in second-generation immigrants. These findings suggest that acculturation to Western culture may impact ACM and CSM in immigrants with type 2 diabetes but further investigation is needed. Graphical abstract.

Healthcare outcomes for patients with type 2 diabetes with and without comorbid obesity

AIMS

Examine the burden of comorbid obesity associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODS

The IBM® MarketScan® Explorys Claims Electronic Medical Records Data were used to identify adults with T2D, two recorded body mass index (BMI) values, and continuous insurance coverage from 1 year prior through 1 year post index date. Patients with index BMI ≥18 kg/m² and <30 kg/m² (normal/overweight) were matched to patients with index BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² (obese) using propensity score matching (PSM). Using the PSM cohort, multivariable analyses examined the association between obesity and patient comorbidities, healthcare costs, and resource utilization.

RESULTS

In the matched cohort (16,006 normal/overweight; 16,006 obese), multivariable analyses showed that obesity, compared to normal/overweight, was associated with increased odds of a diabetes-related comorbidity (Odds Ratio [OR] = 1.29; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.21-1.38) and an obesity-related comorbidity (OR = 1.42; 95% CI 1.29-1.56). Obesity was also associated with significantly higher annual diabetes-related and all-cause total costs and resource utilization.

CONCLUSIONS

This research increases the knowledge of how patients with T2D and obesity should be of greater concern for healthcare providers compared to T2D patients without comorbid obesity, given their worse comorbidity profile, increased resource utilization, and higher healthcare costs.

Control of Adipose Cell Browning and Its Therapeutic Potential

Adipose tissue is the largest endocrine organ in humans and has an important influence on many physiological processes throughout life. An increasing number of studies have described the different phenotypic characteristics of fat cells in adults. Perhaps one of the most important properties of fat cells is their ability to adapt to different environmental and nutritional conditions. Hypothalamic neural circuits receive peripheral signals from temperature, physical activity or nutrients and stimulate the metabolism of white fat cells. During this process, changes in lipid inclusion occur, and the number of mitochondria increases, giving these cells functional properties similar to those of brown fat cells. Recently, beige fat cells have been studied for their potential role in the regulation of obesity and insulin resistance. In this context, it is important to understand the embryonic origin of beige adipocytes, the response of adipocyte to environmental changes or modifications within the body and their ability to transdifferentiate to elucidate the roles of these cells for their potential use in therapeutic strategies for obesity and metabolic diseases. In this review, we discuss the origins of the different fat cells and the possible therapeutic properties of beige fat cells.

A comparison of obesity indices in relation to mortality in type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

This prospective association study aimed to compare the relationship between each of four obesity indices and mortality risk in people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

The associations of BMI, waist circumference, WHR and A Body Shape Index (ABSI) with all-cause mortality were analysed in 1282 participants of the Fremantle Diabetes Study, followed for up to 20 years after baseline assessment. Models were adjusted for age and other confounders; assessments as continuous measures and by quintile were carried out for men and women separately. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to minimise reverse causality.

RESULTS

When indices were assessed as continuous variables, there were significant bivariate associations with mortality for: ABSI, which was greater in both men and women who died (p < 0.001); WHR, which was greater in women only (p = 0.033); and BMI, which was lower in women only (p < 0.001). When assessed by quintile, there were significant bivariate associations with mortality for ABSI in men and women (p < 0.001) and BMI in women only (p = 0.002). In Cox models of time to death, adjusted for age, diabetes duration, ethnicity and smoking, ABSI quintiles showed a linear trend for both men (p = 0.003) and women (p = 0.035). Men in the fifth ABSI quintile had an increased mortality risk compared with those in the first quintile (HR [95% CI]: 1.74 [1.24, 2.44]) and women in the fifth ABSI quintile had an increased mortality risk that approached statistical significance (1.42 [0.97, 2.08], p = 0.08). Men in the fifth WHR quintile had an increased mortality risk (1.47 [1.05, 2.06]). There was no association between mortality and BMI or waist circumference in either sex.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

ABSI was the obesity index most strongly associated with all-cause mortality in Australians with type 2 diabetes. There was no evidence for an obesity paradox with any of the assessed indices. ABSI may be a better index of central obesity than waist circumference, BMI or WHR when assessing mortality risk in type 2 diabetes.

Association of BMI, Fitness, and Mortality in Patients With Diabetes: Evaluating the Obesity Paradox in the Henry Ford Exercise Testing Project (FIT Project) Cohort

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effect of fitness on the association between BMI and mortality among patients with diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We identified 8,528 patients with diabetes (self-report, medication use, or electronic medical record diagnosis) from the Henry Ford Exercise Testing Project (FIT Project). Patients with a BMI <18.5 kg/m² or cancer were excluded. Fitness was measured as the METs achieved during a physician-referred treadmill stress test and categorized as low (<6), moderate (6-9.9), or high (≥10). Adjusted hazard ratios for mortality were calculated using standard BMI (kilograms per meter squared) cutoffs of normal (18.5-24.9), overweight (25-29.9), and obese (≥30). Adjusted splines centered at 22.5 kg/m² were used to examine BMI as a continuous variable.

RESULTS

Patients had a mean age of 58 ± 11 years (49% women) with 1,319 deaths over a mean follow-up of 10.0 ± 4.1 years. Overall, obese patients had a 30% lower mortality hazard (P < 0.001) compared with normal-weight patients. In adjusted spline modeling, higher BMI as a continuous variable was predominantly associated with a lower mortality risk in the lowest fitness group and among patients with moderate fitness and BMI ≥30 kg/m². Compared with the lowest fitness group, patients with higher fitness had an ∼50% (6-9.9 METs) and 70% (≥10 METs) lower mortality hazard regardless of BMI (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with diabetes, the obesity paradox was less pronounced for patients with the highest fitness level, and these patients also had the lowest risk of mortality.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2020 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports on the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2020 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, metrics to assess and monitor healthy diets, an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, a focus on the global burden of cardiovascular disease, and further evidence-based approaches to changing behaviors, implementation strategies, and implications of the American Heart Association's 2020 Impact Goals.

RESULTS

Each of the 26 chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policy makers, media professionals, clinicians, healthcare administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

From carbohydrates to fat: Trends in food intake among Swedish nutrition students from 2002 to 2017

Earlier studies have implied a change in dietary habits of the Swedish population towards a low carbohydrate, high fat diet. Questions have been raised about the development in recent years and potential health effects. We have investigated the dietary intake of Swedish female students enrolled in a university nutrition course between 2002 and 2017. The students carried out self-reporting of all food and drink intake over one weekday and one weekend day. Intake of macronutrients (E%) and micronutrients were calculated for the whole period while statistical analysis was performed for changes between 2009 and 2017 (729 women). Results showed significant changes in carbohydrate intake (from 47.0 to 41.4 E%) and fat intake (from 31.7 to 37.5 E%). Carbohydrate intake was significantly lower than the Nordic Nutrition Recommendations (45–60 E%). However, daily fiber intake remains high (3.0 g/MJ) in a national context, and intake of vitamin D and folate appears to increase during the period. The results suggest that the observed national transition from carbohydrate to fat intake persists, and that it might be especially evident among individuals interested in food and nutrition. Considering the fiber and micronutrient intake, the change is not necessarily unfavorable for this particular group.

Influence of Diabetic Retinopathy on the Relationship Between Body Mass Index and Mortality in Patients with Poorly Controlled Type 2 Diabetes

PURPOSE

An "obesity paradox" has been observed in patients with type 2 diabetes. However, the optimal body mass index (BMI) for survival may be influenced by the stage of diabetes. We examined the relationship between BMI and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes and the influence of diabetic retinopathy (DR).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort composing patients with type 2 diabetes who were admitted due to poor glucose control. Presence of DR was confirmed by ophthalmologists. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. The association between BMI and mortality was assessed using a Cox proportional hazards model with adjustment for age, sex, and traditional risk factors.

RESULTS

A total of 2053 patients were enrolled. Over median follow-up of 6.7 years, there were 1060 deaths. Patients were classified into five categories based on admission BMI (kg/m²): <18.5, 18.5‒23, 23‒25, 25‒27 (reference), 25‒30 and >30. Mortality risk was significantly higher in the <18.5 kg/m², 18.5-23 kg/m², and 23-25 kg/m² categories than in the reference category (P <0.001). The similar obesity paradox was observed in the subgroup of patients without DR. However, in patients with DR, only patients with BMI <18.5 kg/m² had significantly increased mortality than those in the reference category. The presence of DR significantly modified the shape of the association between BMI and mortality (P = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

The obesity paradox exists in patients with poorly controlled type 2 diabetes. The presence of DR appears to significantly influence the shape of the association between BMI and mortality.

Contrasting Associations of Body Mass Index and Hemoglobin A1c on the Excess Risk of Acute Myocardial Infarction and Heart Failure in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Background Body mass index (BMI) may be a stronger risk factor for heart failure than for coronary heart disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus, but prior studies have not been powered to investigate the relative and absolute risks for acute myocardial infarction and heart failure in type 2 diabetes mellitus by BMI and glycemic level combined as compared with age- and sex-matched general population comparators. Methods and Results We identified 181 045 patients from The Swedish National Diabetes Registry, registered during 1998 to 2012 and 1538 434 general population comparators without diabetes mellitus, matched for age, sex, and county, all without prior major cardiovascular disease. Cases and comparators were followed with respect to the outcomes through linkage to the Swedish Inpatient Registry. Over a median follow-up time of 5.7 years, there were 28 855 acute myocardial infarction and 33 060 heart failure cases among patients and comparators. Excess risk (above that of comparators in whom no data on hemoglobin A1c and BMI was available), incidence rates and hazard ratios for heart failure were substantially higher among the obese patients compared with those with low BMI, where very obese patients (BMI ≥40 kg/m2) who also had poor glycemic control, suffered a 7-fold risk of heart failure versus comparators (reference level). By contrast, for acute myocardial infarction, the highest absolute and relative risks were found among patients with poor glycemic control, with no additional risk conferred by increasing BMI. Conclusions BMI is a strong independent risk factor for heart failure but not for acute myocardial infarction among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Association of Body Mass Index and Outcome in Acutely Ill Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease Requiring Intensive Care Therapy

OBJECTIVE

An association of body mass index (BMI) and outcome, the "obesity paradox," has been described in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease. We sought to assess whether a potential beneficial effect of a high body mass is also seen in CKD patients with critical illness.

METHODS

In a retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected database of 123,416 patients from 107 Austrian intensive care units (ICUs) in whom BMI was available, the association of 6 groups of BMI and hospital mortality was assessed in 12,206 patients with CKD 3-5 by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Patients with CKD were sicker, had a longer ICU stay, and had a higher ICU and hospital mortality than those without. The association of BMI and outcome in CKD patients indicated a U-shaped curve with the highest mortality in patients with BMI <20 and ≥40, and the lowest with a BMI between ≥25 and <40. This relationship was also significant in a multivariate analysis adjusted for severity of illness assessed by Simplified Acute Physiology Score III score, age, gender, admission diagnosis, and pre-existing comorbidities. It was not found in patients with CKD 5 on renal replacement therapy, in patients below 60 years of age, and those with diabetes mellitus requiring insulin treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

BMI is associated with better outcomes in CKD 3-5 patients who have acquired acute intermittent diseases and are admitted to an ICU, but not those requiring renal replacement therapy. This higher tolerance to acute disease processes may in part explain the "obesity paradox" observed in CKD patients.

Body Mass Index and Prognosis in Ischemic Stroke Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Background: Overweight contributes to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) development. Although the obesity paradox has been suggested in many vascular diseases, little information is available about stroke patients with T2DM. We investigated whether body mass index (BMI) has a differential impact on the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with ischemic stroke and T2DM.

Methods: This retrospective study used a prospective cohort of patients with acute ischemic stroke and included consecutive patients with T2DM after excluding those with active cancer or who died within 1 month of an index stroke. We investigated the long-term risk of MACE (stroke, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, coronary revascularization procedure, and death) according to BMI.

Results: Among the 1,338 patients, MACE occurred in 415 patients (31.1%) during a median follow-up of 3.6 years. Compared to the normal weight group, MACE occurred more frequently in the underweight group [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.55, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01–2.38], but less frequently in the overweight group (adjusted HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.70–1.08) and obese group (adjusted HR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.41–0.86) group. In analyses of association between BMI and each component of MACE, stroke and cardiovascular mortality indicated an L- and a U-shaped pattern, respectively. However, fatal or non-fatal stroke showed an inverse pattern, and fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular events showed a reversed J-shaped pattern.

Discussions: This study showed the overall presence of the obesity paradox in stroke patients with T2DM. However, obese patients had different risks of cardiovascular events and stroke.

Cardiovascular disease in diabetes type 2: current concepts

Type 2 diabetes is a major and accelerating public health challenge. Between 1980 and 2014, a period of just 35 years, the number of adults with diabetes globally is estimated to have increased from 108 to 422 million, due not only to sharply rising obesity rates, but also to increasing population size, longer life expectancy, and rising prevalence of diabetes worldwide. Overall, worldwide age-standardized adult diabetes prevalence doubled from 4.3% to 9.0% in men and from 5.0% to 7.9% in women. The largest increases in diabetes type 2 have been demonstrated in low- and middle-income countries, whilst rises in high-income countries have been less marked, or even flat. Diabetes type 2 rates in low- and middle-income countries now in many instances surpass those in high-income countries, in response to changes in lifestyle. One factor of particular concern are the large relative increases in type 2 diabetes amongst young individuals observed in many countries, their higher overall risk factor burden, long exposure to hyperglycaemia and greater risk of complications over the life course. Type 2 diabetes is increasingly found to be a heterogeneous condition, where risk of cardiovascular disease that traditionally has been estimated at 2-4 times that of the nondiabetic population varies substantially with diabetes phenotype and accordingly diabetes does not confer the same increase in relative or absolute risk in all people. New research shows that excess risk varies substantially with type of outcome, age, glycaemic control, the presence of renal complications and other factors. Heart failure, previously less recognized that other cardiovascular conditions, is increasingly coming into focus, because of strong links with poor glycaemic control and obesity. The knowledge about risk of cardiovascular disease in diabetes is almost entirely derived from high-income countries, whereas there is comparatively very little data from low- and middle income countries, where the majority of persons with type 2 diabetes live, and where management in many cases is far from optimal. The reductions in cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality now observed in high-income countries are encouraging, because this reinforces the fact that improvement is possible and that a near-normal, or even normal life-expectancy can be achieved in subtypes of type 2 diabetes.

The Evidence for an Obesity Paradox in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Although overweight/obesity is a major risk factor for the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus, there is increasing evidence that overweight or obese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus experience lower mortality compared with patients of normal weight. This paradoxical finding, known as the "obesity paradox," occurs in other chronic diseases, and in type 2 diabetes mellitus is particularly perplexing given that lifestyle intervention with one goal being weight reduction is an important feature of the management of this condition. We summarize in this review the findings from clinical and epidemiologic studies that have investigated the association between overweight and obesity (usually assessed using body mass index [BMI]) and mortality in type 2 diabetes mellitus and discuss potential causes of the obesity paradox. We conclude that most studies show evidence of an obesity paradox, but important conflicting findings still exist. We also evaluate if potential bias might explain the obesity paradox in diabetes, including, for example, the presence of confounding factors, measurement error due to use of BMI as an index of obesity, and reverse causation.