Long-Term Changes of HIV/AIDS Incidence Rate in China and the U.S. Population From 1994 to 2019: A Join-Point and Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Age-specific abnormal glucose metabolism in HIV-positive people on antiviral therapy in China: a multicenter case-control study

BACKGROUND

Update, the link between HIV infection and abnormal glucose metabolism (AGM) is still unclear. This study aims to investigate the impact of HIV infection on AGM, including insulin resistance (IR), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

A multicenter case-control study was conducted in Zhejiang province, China. After matching, the study included 1030 people living with HIV (PLWH) and 1030 people living without HIV (PLWTH). The age-specific incidence of AGM was compared between the two groups. Poisson regression models were used to calculate the relative risk (RR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) to assess the associations.

RESULTS

Compared to PLWTH, PLWH had a higher rate of IR, IFG and DM, and a higher risk of developing IR (RR: 1.83; 95% CI: 1.60-2.10), IFG (RR: 3.87; 95% CI: 2.55-6.07), and DM (RR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.09-2.12). In the 30-44 age group, the risk of IR, IFG, and DM was the highest, with RRs of 2.04 (95%CI: 1.69-2.48), 7.46 (95%CI: 2.91-25.27), and 1.88 (95%CI: 0.90-4.10). HIV acquisition and cART usage >5 years were associated with increased risks of DM.

CONCLUSION

HIV infection is associated with early onset and high prevalence of IR and IFG. Longer duration of HIV infection and cART usage increased the occurrence of DM. These findings contribute to a better understanding of age-specific AGM and the modified glucose monitor strategies in PLWH.

Understanding Awareness, Utilization, and the Awareness-Utilization Gap of HIV PrEP and nPEP Among Young MSM in China

HIV/AIDS remains a significant public health challenge in China, particularly among men who have sex with men (MSM). Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) and non-occupational post-exposure Prophylaxis (nPEP) are effective interventions to reduce HIV transmission in high-risk populations. This study assessed awareness and utilization levels of PrEP and nPEP among young MSM (YMSM) aged 18-29 in China and examined associated factors. A cross-sectional survey of 2,493 YMSM was conducted across six Chinese provinces in September 2022. Participants, recruited via facility-based sampling, completed self-administered online questionnaires distributed by MSM-oriented community-based organizations. Of all the participants, 2,278 (91.4%) were aware of PrEP, and 220 (8.8%) had ever used PrEP; 2,321 (93.1%) were aware of nPEP, and 209 (8.4%) had ever used nPEP. Education level and having recent male sexual partners were positively associated with awareness of PrEP and nPEP, while self-stigma was negatively associated with awareness for both. Among those who had head of PrEP or nPEP, age, having more than 2 male sex partners, and having a history of sexually transmitted diseases (STD) infection were positively associated with the utilization of PrEP and nPEP; inconsistent condom use was associated with less PrEP utilization; monthly income was positively associated with nPEP utilization. Despite high awareness levels, the low utilization of PrEP and nPEP highlights missed opportunities for HIV prevention. Strengthening education on their importance, promoting condom use alongside PrEP/nPEP, reducing stigma, and addressing financial barriers are critical steps toward improving HIV prevention strategies and empowering YMSM to engage with these life-saving interventions.

Limited restoration of T cell subset distribution and immune function in older people living with HIV-1 receiving HAART

BACKGROUND

Older people living with HIV-1 (PLWH) experience a dual burden from the combined effects of aging and HIV-1 infection, resulting in significant immune dysfunction. Despite receiving HAART, immune reconstitution is not fully optimized. The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of aging and HAART on T cell subsets and function in PLWH across different age groups, thereby providing novel insights into the prognosis of older PLWH.

METHOD

This study was conducted at Yunnan AIDS Care Center, China, to explore the immunological responses of old PLWH to HAART and compared with the middle-age and the younger. Blood samples were collected from 146 PLWH to analyze T cell subsets and their functions, with a particular emphasis on markers related to T cell differentiation, activation, exhaustion, inflammation, and cellular function, using multicolor flow cytometry analysis.

RESULTS

Older age may have a greater effect on long-term CD4+T cell recovery. Compared with young and middle-aged PLWH, older PLWH presented distinct alterations in their immune profile, including a decline in the Naïve CD4+T and CD8+T cell subsets, an expansion of effector memory cells, and other potential immune risk phenotypes, such as activation, exhaustion, and up-regulation of aging markers. In addition, we observed a significant association between the CD4 + EM3 subset and the CD8 + EM2 subset with HIV-1 progression, independent of age, suggesting their potential as reliable markers for assessing immune reconstitution in all PLWH.

CONCLUSION

Our study extends previous findings showing that older participants exhibit a wide range of late differentiation, senescence, or exhaustion phenotypes in cells, including all the CD4+T and CD8+T subsets, consistent with an immunosenescent phenotype. This may accelerate poor immune recovery in older PLWH. Identifying new strategies to improve the immune risk phenotypes of older PLWH may help improve their immune reconstitution outcomes. The CD4 + EM3 subset and the CD8 + EM2 subset should be studied as additional markers of late presentation.

HIV status of three mining districts of a tribal state in India: Evidence from ICTC data

Background

Integrated Counselling and Testing Centre (ICTC) diagnose HIV and STIs early, modifies behavior, reduces vulnerability, and data helps in understanding transmission. Despite having low HIV prevalence, Jharkhand is vulnerable. Post Covid19, HIV has increased. This study examined the prevalence of HIV at ICTC facilities in three mine rich districts of Jharkhand and HIV prevalence as per age, geography, regional, and consequences were examined.

Methods

Secondary data analysis was done for 2019-2022 accessible data of ICTC. Totally, 51,062 individual data were examined. Data analysis comprised parametricity testing while data was entered on Excel spreadsheet. Data were summarized using central tendency assessments and Chi-square tests. Logistic regression assessed HIV-positive outcomes and independent variables. P-value < 0.05 was statistically significant. SPSS 29.0 was used for data analysis.

Results

Over three years, we recorded 51,508 occurrences, 69% of which were female (35241). Both male and female participants had mean ages of 35.93 ± 14.92 and 27.89 ± 10.67 years, respectively. We found 1.19% HIV prevalence (504/42818) in the ICTC test data. The odds ratio (OR) for HIV positivity was greater in males (3.49, 95% CI: 2.92-4.18) compared to females. HIV prevalence in District Giridih was 4.2% (3.42%-5.26%) with a high risk of HIV positivity (OR 4.24, 95% CI 3.42-5.26). A drop in HIV testing occurred during the COVID-19 lockdown.

Conclusions

Since females are flooding ICTC, more targeted interventions, especially for younger women, are needed. Despite their lower numbers, men are at higher risk for HIV.

Uncovering spatiotemporal development patterns of AIDS in China: A study using panel data with Joinpoint Regression analysis and Spatial Clustering

The HIV/AIDS epidemic in China is severe and complex. Comprehensive spatiotemporal analysis provides valuable insights for intervention policy formulation. Previous studies often overlooked local changes in time trends and regional disease development patterns. In this study, we propose a new spatiotemporal analysis method based on the Joinpoint Regression (JPR) model and K-means clustering to refine the division of stages in China's AIDS epidemic and differentiate geographical areas based on development patterns. We then use hotspot analysis to describe the current status of AIDS, presenting a comprehensive view of the epidemic in China from 2004 to 2018. JPR results show China's AIDS incidence generally increased during 2004-2018 (AAPC = 23.2), with a significant turning point in 2012. Time series feature clustering classifies the country into three regions: Southwest, Central and Eastern, and the other region. Each region corresponds to different epidemic causes and transmission pathways, informing targeted interventions. Hotspot analysis reveals the Southwest region as the most severely affected area, requiring intensified prevention and control efforts. This study offers a novel from both time and space dimensions for understanding and combating the AIDS epidemic, furnishing valuable references for policymakers in the further development of strategies.

Current status, trends, and predictions in the burden of coal worker's pneumoconiosis in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019

Coal worker's pneumoconiosis (CWP), a pulmonary condition resulting from prolonged exposure to coal mining environments, not only leads to a high prevalence of morbidity and mortality among miners but also incurs substantial economic burdens and diminishes the labor force within society. In light of evolving trends in the global coal industry, the ramifications of CWP are anticipated to manifest in new patterns and variations. This study seeks to comprehensively assess the present landscape, trend dynamics, and future projections of the global CWP burden from 1990 to 2019. The objective is to provide a scientific framework for nations to develop and enhance pertinent policies and preventative strategies, thereby promoting the health and occupational safety of coal miners.

Examining the Effects of PrEP Use on Sexual Behaviors and Sexually Transmitted Infections Among Chinese Men who have Sex with Men: A Cross-Sectional Study

Men who have sex with men (MSM) is a high-risk population for HIV and sexually transmitted infections (STIs). Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is effective in HIV prevention. This study aims to examine the differences in sexual behaviors, STI prevalence and HIV/STI testing across subgroups of MSM with various PrEP use. Data were collected via a cross-sectional survey in an MSM community in Xi'an, Shaanxi, from 2022.01 to 2022.09. Participants were categorized as 'PrEP-naïve and unwilling to use', 'PrEP-naïve but willing to use', and 'current or former PrEP users'. Shannon index was used to assess sexual act diversity and multivariate logistic regression analyzed factors associated with PrEP use. Of the 1,131 MSM participants, 23.52% were PrEP-naïve and unwilling, 64.98% were PrEP-naïve but willing, and 11.49% were current or former PrEP users. The PrEP-naïve but willing group had the highest recent STI testing rates at 73.06% and showed greater sexual act diversity (Shannon index 1.61). This group also had the highest syphilis rates (7.49% vs. 6.47% and2.54%, p < 0.01). Younger age (18-30: OR = 0.39 (0.18-0.85); 31-40: OR = 0.43 (0.20-0.96)) and lower education (high school/vocational: OR = 0.15 (0.04-0.58); associate degree: OR = 0.21 (0.06-0.71)) were factors that negatively influenced PrEP use. Current or former PrEP users had the highest oropharyngeal gonorrhea (14.39% vs. 9.68% and 5.80%, p < 0.01) and overall gonorrhea rates (20.86% vs. 17.17% and 8.37%, p < 0.001). 'PrEP-naïve but willing' participants consistently demonstrated high-risk sexual behavior, increased STI testing, and more diverse sexual acts, whereas PrEP users had the highest STI prevalence.

Spatiotemporal Pattern and Its Determinants for Newly Reported HIV/AIDS Among Older Adults in Eastern China From 2004 to 2021: Retrospective Analysis Study

BACKGROUND

In recent years, the number and proportion of newly reported HIV/AIDS cases among older adults have increased dramatically. However, research on the pattern of temporal and spatial changes in newly reported HIV/AIDS among older adults remains limited.

OBJECTIVE

This study analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution of HIV/AIDS cases and its influencing factors among older adults in Eastern China from 2004 to 2021, with the goal of improving HIV/AIDS prevention and intervention.

METHODS

We extracted data on newly reported HIV/AIDS cases between 2004 and 2021 from a case-reporting system and used a Joinpoint regression model and an age-period-cohort model to analyze the temporal trends in HIV/AIDS prevalence. Spatial autocorrelation and geographically weighted regression models were used for spatial aggregation and influence factor analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 12,376 participants with HIV/AIDS were included in the study. The newly reported HIV infections among older adults increased from 0.13 cases per 100,000 people in 2004 to 7.00 cases per 100,000 people in 2021. The average annual percent change in newly reported HIV infections was 28.0% (95% CI -21.6% to 34.8%). The results of the age-period-cohort model showed that age, period, and cohort factors affected the newly reported HIV infections among older adults. The newly reported HIV/AIDS cases among men who have sex with men (MSM) had spatial clustering, and the hotspots were mainly concentrated in Hangzhou. The disposable income of urban residents, illiteracy rate among people aged 15 years or older, and number of hospital beds per 1000 residents showed a positive association with the newly reported HIV infections among older MSM in the Zhejiang province.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV/AIDS among older adults showed an increasing trend and was influenced by age, period, and cohort effects. Older MSM with HIV/AIDS showed regional clustering and was associated with factors such as the disposable income of urban residents, the illiteracy rate among people aged 15 years or older, and the number of hospital beds per 1000 people. Targeted prevention and control measures are needed to reduce HIV infection among those at higher risk.

Social support as a mediator between mental health and stigma among newly HIV-positive men who have sex with men

OBJECTIVES

The sociocultural context of China gives rise to unique experiences of HIV-related stigma and adverse impacts on mental health among men who have sex with men (MSM) living with HIV. However, few studies have explored the stigma among families in the cultural context of China and the role of social support as a mediator to explain how HIV-related stigma results in poor psychological well-being. This study aims to test the mediating effect of social support between HIV-related stigma and family stigma on the mental health of MSM.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study recruited newly MSM with HIV in two cities (Beijing and Wuhan) in China as participants from February 2021 to August 2022. A total of 257 MSM with HIV were recruited for the study. The mediating effects were examined using mediation models (SAS PROC CAUSALMED).

RESULTS

The overall total effect of HIV-related stigma on mental health was β = -1.483 (bootstrap 95% CI = -1.881, -1.104 p < 0.001), and the mediating effect of social support was β = -0.321 (bootstrap 95% CI = -0.571, -0.167 p = .001). A higher level of stigma from family predicts lower mental health with an overall total effect of β = -1.487 (bootstrap 95% CI = -1.823, -1.101 p < 0.001), while the indirect effect (mediation effect) of social support on mental health is β = -0.281 (bootstrap 95% CI = -0.477, -0.142 p = .003).

CONCLUSIONS

Given the mediating effect of social support on mental health, programs enhancing social support and decreasing stigmatization should be designed to improve the mental health of MSM with HIV, the interventions are needed at both the family and community levels. Public health campaigns in China that frame HIV and same-sex behavior as chronic issues and normal phenomena can correct misinformation related to HIV and MSM that leads to stigma and negative emotional reactions.

Loneliness and its correlates among older adults living with HIV: A multicenter cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

With the aging among people living with HIV, it is critical to understand the health needs of older adults (aged 50 years and above) living with HIV (OALHIV). Loneliness, as the next critical public health issue, was rarely mentioned among OALHIV.

METHODS

A multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted between April 2021 and April 2022. Participants were recruited from infectious diseases hospitals that provide HIV care in four cities in China. The associations with loneliness symptoms (measured by a three-item UCLA Loneliness Scale) were analyzed by logistic regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 680 OALHIV (500 men, 180 women, mean age 60.3 ± 7.8 years) were included in the analysis. About one-fifth (18.1 %) of OALHIV reported loneliness symptoms. Living in urban areas (aOR 3.50, 95 % CI 1.76-6.95), having children without close intergenerational relationships (2.85, 1.15-7.07), higher self-perceptions of aging (1.10, 1.06-1.15), being heterosexual (0.26, 0.13-0.52) or bisexual (0.37, 0.16-0.82), having children with whom they kept close intergenerational relationships (0.36, 0.14-0.98), and reporting life satisfaction (0.40, 0.24-0.66), were associated with loneliness symptoms.

LIMITATIONS

This study is a cross-sectional study and only included OALHIV who participated in antiretroviral therapy treatment for >18 months, which is not widely representative.

CONCLUSIONS

Loneliness was prevalent among OALHIV. Living in urban areas, being homosexual, having children with whom they kept fragile intergenerational relationships, being dissatisfied with life, and having higher self-perceptions of aging were independent risk factors for loneliness. Routine health management for OALHIV needs to incorporate the assessment of aging perceptions and loneliness.

Sexual dilemma among elderly men living with HIV/AIDS: a cross-sectional survey of the sexual needs and behaviours among HIV-positive men aged ≥50 years

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to explore the factors associated with the sexual needs and behaviours among elderly men living with HIV/AIDS in Chongqing, China.

STUDY DESIGN

The study used a cross-sectional design.

METHODS

Data were collected through face-to-face interviews using a structured questionnaire by convenience sampling from July to December 2021. The chi-squared test and logistic regression were conducted to identify factors associated with sexual needs and behaviours.

RESULTS

In total, 63.70% of participants (493/774) reported having sexual needs. Individuals aged 50-59 years (odds ratio [OR] = 7.257, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.620, 11.401) and those who were married or cohabiting (OR = 1.595, 95% CI: 1.133, 2.246) reported high sexual needs. Among those with sexual needs, 69.17% (341/493) reported having sex in the past year. In total, 11.37% (40/341) and 9.68% (33/341) reported having commercial and casual sex, respectively. Participants aged 60-69 years (OR = 2.175, 95% CI: 1.128, 4.193), those who were married or cohabiting (OR = 3.371, 95% CI: 2.192, 5.184) and individuals who were employed (OR = 2.301, 95% CI: 1.339, 3.954) had higher odds of engaging in sexual behaviour, while participants with an awareness of AIDS-related knowledge (OR = 0.504, 95% CI: 0.307, 0.829) and those who had ≥1 year of antiretroviral therapy (ART) (ART 1-2 years: OR = 0.374, 95% CI: 0.176, 0.795; ART ≥3 years: OR = 0.429, 95% CI: 0.218, 0.846) had a lower likelihood of engaging in sexual behaviour.

CONCLUSIONS

The sexual needs and behaviours of elderly men living with HIV/AIDS in Chongqing, China, remain at a high level. There was a discrepancy between sexual needs and behaviours among elderly men living with HIV/AIDS. Continuous dissemination of sexual health education and the promotion of condom use are necessary.

Trends in sexually transmitted and blood-borne infections in China from 2005 to 2021: a joinpoint regression model

BACKGROUND

Sexually transmitted and blood-borne infections (STBBIs) is a major public health concern in China. This study assessed the overall trends in STBBIs to improve the comprehensive understanding of the burden of STBBIs and provide evidence for their prevention and control.

METHODS

Data for the period from 2005 to 2021 were analyzed across China on infections with hepatitis B or C; syphilis; gonorrhea; and HIV infection. Trends, annual percent change (APC), and average annual percent change (AAPC) in diagnosis rate was analyzed using joinpoint regression models for the five STBBIs together or individually.

RESULTS

From 2005 to 2021, the overall diagnosis rate of all five STBBIs increased, with an AAPC of 1.3% [95% confidence interval (CI) -0.5% to 3.1%]. Diagnosis rates of HIV, syphilis and hepatitis C increased individually, but it decreased for infections of hepatitis B and gonorrhea. Joinpoint analysis identified four phases in diagnosis rate of hepatitis C; three phases in diagnosis rate of hepatitis B, HIV infection, and syphilis; two in diagnosis rate of gonorrhea infection.

CONCLUSION

Despite national efforts to prevent and control STBBIs, their overall diagnosis rate has continued to rise in China, and they remain an important public health challenge. Further efforts should be made to educate the general population about STBBIs, particularly HIV. Interventions targeting vulnerable groups should be adopted and their efficacy monitored through regular analysis of trends.

Efficacy and safety of ainuovirine versus efavirenz combination therapies with lamivudine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate for medication of treatment-naïve HIV-1-positive adults: week 48 results of a randomized controlled phase 3 clinical trial followed by an open-label setting until week 96

Background

Ainuovirine (ANV) is a new non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI), which was initially synthesized in Korea and later further developed in both Korea and China.

Methods

A randomized, double-blind, double-dummy, positive parallel group, non-inferiority, phase 3 trial was conducted in 7 sites across China. Eligible HIV-1-positive antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naïve adults aged 18-65 years were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and lamivudine (TDF+3TC) in combination with either ANV (ANV group) or efavirenz (EFV group) for up to 48 weeks. Subsequently, participants in both groups received one of the two drug combinations according to their choice until week 96 in an observational study under an open-label setting. The primary endpoint was the proportion of participants achieving HIV RNA <50 copies/mL at week 48, with non-inferiority pre-specified at a margin of 10%. The secondary efficacy endpoints were logarithmic changes in HIV RNA, percentage of participants with HIV RNA levels ≤400 copies/mL and changes in the CD4 T-cell count after 48 and 96 weeks of treatment, as well as the percentage of participants with HIV RNA levels <50 copies/mL at 96 weeks of treatment. Safety endpoints were the incidence of adverse events and laboratory abnormalities evaluated according to the Division of AIDS criteria. This study was registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (Registration number: ChiCTR1800019041).

Findings

Between November 27, 2018 and March 11, 2021, a total of 826 participants were screened, and 630 were finally enrolled and randomly assigned (1:1) to either ANV (n = 315) or EFV (n = 315) groups. The mean age was 30.6 ± 9.4 years and most participants were male (94.6%). At week 48, 274 (87.0%) of 315 participants in the ANV group and 288 (91.7%) of 314 in the EFV group achieved HIV-1 RNA <50 copies/mL and non-inferiority was established (difference: -4.7%, 95% CI: -9.6 to 0.1%). In the period, 293 participants continued to take the ANV regimen and 287 switched from the EFV to the ANV regimen. During the open-label period, 92.5% (271/293) of participants in the continued ANV group and 95.1% (273/287) in the ANV to EFV transfer group remained virologically suppressed (HIV-1 RNA <50 copies/mL) at week 96 (p = 0.189). The incidence of NNRTI treatment-related adverse events (TEAEs) at week 48 was 67.6% in 315 participants in the ANV group, which was significantly lower than in 91.4% of 314 participants in the EFV group (p < 0.001). The most common TEAEs (weeks 0-48) were dizziness (10.5%) and dyslipidemia (22.2%) in the ANV group vs. 51.0% and 34.4% in the EFV group, respectively, followed by transaminase elevation (9.2% vs. 29.0%), γ-glutamyl transferase elevation (8.3% vs. 19.1%), and rash (7.9% vs. 18.8%) (all p < 0.001). After switching from EFV to ANV, TEAEs in the former EFV participants were significantly reduced in the following observational period of 48-96 weeks.

Interpretation

The week 48 results indicated that the efficacy of ANV was non-inferior to EFV when combined with two NRTIs. The per-protocol risk difference at week 48 for the primary endpoint also supported non-inferiority. TEAEs in ANV treated participants were less frequent with regard to liver toxicity, dyslipidemia, neuropsychiatric symptoms and rash compared to the EFV group during the first 48 weeks of therapy. The effects were maintained during the 48-96 weeks of therapy.

Funding

Jiangsu Aidea Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Long-term trends of HIV/AIDS incidence in India: an application of joinpoint and age-period-cohort analyses: a gendered perspective

Background

Monitoring the transmission patterns of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in a population is fundamental for identifying the key population and designing prevention interventions. In the present study, we aimed to estimate the gender disparities in HIV incidence and the age, period, and cohort effects on the incidence of HIV in India for identifying the predictors that might have led to changes in the last three decades.

Data and methods

This study utilizes data from the Global Burden of Disease Study for the period 1990-2019. The joinpoint regression analysis was employed to identify the magnitude of the changes in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of HIV. The average annual percentage changes in the incidence were computed, and the age-period-cohort analysis was performed.

Results

A decreasing trend in the overall estimates of age-standardized HIV incidence rates were observed in the period 1990-2019. The joinpoint regression analysis showed that the age-standardized incidence significantly declined from its peak in 1997 to 2019 (38.0 and 27.6 among males and females per 100,000 in 1997 to 5.4 and 4.6, respectively, in 2019). The APC was estimated to be 2.12 among males and 1.24 among females for the period 1990-2019. In recent years, although the gender gap in HIV incidence has reduced, females were observed to bear a proportionately higher burden of HIV incidence. Age effect showed a decline in HIV incidence by 91.1 and 70.1% among males and females aged between 15-19 years and 75-79 years. During the entire period from 1990-1994 to 2015-2019, the RR of HIV incidence decreased by 36.2 and 33.7% among males and females, respectively.

Conclusion

India is experiencing a decline in new HIV infections in recent years. However, the decline is steeper for males than for females. Findings highlight the necessity of providing older women and young women at risk with effective HIV prevention. This study emphasizes the need for large-scale HIV primary prevention efforts for teenage girls and young women.

Impact of Social Media Use on HIV Testing and Related Mediator among Men Who Have Sex with Men in Shandong Province, China

In China, HIV testing is the important first step of HIV prevention and treatment cascades but is not widely adopted by men who have sex with men (MSM). However, social media has been increasingly used to promote and improve HIV testing. This study aimed to assess the impact of social media use on HIV testing and explore the mediator in the relationship between social media and HIV testing. The authors conducted a cross-sectional study among 935 MSM participants in 11 cities in Shandong Province from 14 September to 6 December 2020. Multivariable regression was conducted to assess the relationship between social media use and HIV testing uptake, and mediation analysis was used to assess the mediation effect of HIV testing self-efficacy in the relationship between social media use and HIV testing. The present study findings showed that social media use was related to HIV testing (aOR = 3.024, 95% CI: 1.869, 4.892) and HIV self-testing uptake (aOR = 1.894, 95% CI: 1.228, 2.922), but was not related to HIV facility-based testing (aOR = 1.709, 95% CI: 0.806, 3.625, p = 0.162). A mediation effect of HIV testing self-efficacy was found between social media use and HIV testing (indirect effect: 0.13, 95% CI: 0.01, 0.29), facility-based testing (indirect effect: 0.05, 95% CI: 0.003, 0.16), and self-testing uptake (indirect effect: 0.07, 95% CI: 0.01, 0.16). Social media could be an effective tool to improve HIV testing, and healthcare providers should pay more attention to HIV testing self-efficacy in HIV testing promotion.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the dynamic COVID-zero strategy on HIV incidence and mortality in China

BACKGROUND

In response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the Chinese government implemented the dynamic COVID-zero strategy. We hypothesized that pandemic mitigation measures might have reduced the incidence, mortality rates, and case fatality ratios (CFRs) of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in 2020-2022.

METHOD

We collected HIV incidence and mortality data from the website of the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China from January 2015 to December 2022. We compared the observed and predicted HIV values in 2020-2022 with those in 2015-2019 using a two-ratio Z-test.

RESULTS

From January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2022, a total of 480,747 HIV incident cases were reported in mainland China, of which 60,906 (per year) and 58,739 (per year) were reported in 2015-2019 (pre-COVID-19 stage) and 2020-2022 (post-COVID-19 stage), respectively. The average yearly HIV incidence decreased by 5.2450% (from 4.4143 to 4.1827 per 100,000 people, p <  0.001) in 2020-2022 compared with that in 2015-2019. However, the average yearly HIV mortality rates and CFRs increased by 14.1076 and 20.4238%, respectively (all p <  0.001), in 2020-2022 compared with those in 2015-2019. During the emergency phase in January 2020 to April 2020, the monthly incidence was significantly lower (23.7158%) than that during the corresponding period in 2015-2019, while the incidence during the routine stage in May 2020-December 2022 increased by 27.4334%, (all p <  0.001). The observed incidence and mortality rates for HIV decreased by 16.55 and 18.1052% in 2020, by 25.1274 and 20.2136% in 2021, and by 39.7921 and 31.7535% in 2022, respectively, compared with the predicted values, (all p <  0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that China's dynamic COVID-zero strategy may have partly disrupted HIV transmission and further slowed down its growth. Without China's dynamic COVID-zero strategy, HIV incidence and deaths in the country would have likely remained high in 2020-2022. There is an urgent need to expand and improve HIV prevention, care, and treatment, as well as surveillance in the future.

Patterns of HIV or AIDS Mortality Among Older People From 1990 to 2019 in China: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

BACKGROUND

With the increasing effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy and shifting demographics, the problem of older people with HIV or AIDS is increasingly grim in China, and neglecting infection among them may cause more serious social problems, exacerbate the difficulty of controlling HIV or AIDS transmission, and increase the risk of death.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the variations in the trends of Chinese mortality by age, period, and cohort, from 1990 to 2019, to reveal the relationship between age, period, cohort, and HIV burden, as well as providing guidance for resource allocation to prevent HIV-related deaths in vulnerable target populations.

METHODS

We extracted the HIV or AIDS mortality data from the Global Burden of Disease. The joinpoint regression model was applied to detect changes in HIV or AIDS trends. The age-period-cohort model was used to explore the age, period, and cohort effects.

RESULTS

The trends in age-standardized mortality rates in HIV or AIDS were increased in both genders, from 0.50 to 4.54/105 individuals for males, and from 0.19 to 1.43/105 individuals for females. Joinpoint regression model showed the average annual percentage change of age-standardized mortality rates was 7.0 for male and 6.4 for female individuals, showing an increasing trend. The age effect of male HIV or AIDS mortality showed a net increase of 0.59 (-0.21 to 0.38) from the ages 50-79 years. There is a gradual upward trend in the change in risk of death from HIV or AIDS for the period effect among the older population, lowest at ages 50-54 years (-0.80 for male and -0.78 for female individuals) and highest at ages 75-79 years (0.86 for male and 0.69 for female individuals). The variation of cohort effects was complex, but both genders had a nearly consistent tendency; people born in 1920-1929 had the lowest cohort effect, and those born in 1950-1954 had the highest values.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed a marked rise in HIV mortality for both genders in China from 1990 to 2019. Aging is an important issue in current HIV prevention and control. There is an urgent need to promote HIV testing and health education. Our findings will help predict future HIV or AIDS mortality changes and identify age-specific priority populations for intervention.

Temporal trends in prevalence and mortality for chronic kidney disease in China from 1990 to 2019: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

This study aimed to characterize the temporal trends of chronic kidney disease (CKD) burden in China during 1990-2019, evaluate their age, period and cohort effects, and predict the disease burden for the next 10 years.

Methods

Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. Join-point regression model was used to estimate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of CKD prevalence and mortality, and the age-period-cohort analysis was used to estimate the age, period and cohort effects. We extended the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to predict the disease burden of CKD in 2020-2029.

Results

In 2019, there were 150.5 million cases of (10.6%) and 196 726 deaths from (13.8 per 100 000 general population) CKD in China. Between 1990 and 2019, the prevalence and mortality rate of CKD increased significantly from 6.7% to 10.6%, and from 8.3/100 000 to 13.8/100 000. The AAPC was estimated as 1.6% and 1.8%, respectively. Females had a higher CKD prevalence of CKD but a lower mortality rate. Setting the mean level of age, period and cohort as reference groups, the risk of developing CKD increased with age [RR_age(15-19) = 0.18 to RR_age(85-89) = 2.45]. The cohort risk was significantly higher in the early birth cohort [RR_{cohort(1905-1909)} = 1.56]. In contrast, the increase in age-specific CKD mortality rate after 60-64 years was exponential [RR_age(60-64) = 1.24]. The cohort-based mortality risk remained high prior to the 1945-1949 birth cohorts (RR_cohort ranging from 1.69 to 1.89) and then declined in the 2000-2004 birth cohort [RR_{cohort(2000-2004)} = 0.22]. The CKD prevalence and mortality are projected to rise to 11.7% and 17.1 per 100 000, respectively, by 2029.

Conclusions

To reduce the disease burden of CKD, a comprehensive strategy that includes risk factors prevention at the primary care level, CKD screening among the elderly and high-risk population, and access to high-quality medical services is required.

Depression and Associated Factors Among Men Living with HIV/AIDS Aged 50 Years and Over in Chongqing, China

Purpose

This study aimed to assess the proportion of depression and its associated factors among men living with HIV/AIDS and aged 50 and over in Chongqing, China.

Methods

This cross-sectional study included 774 men diagnosed as HIV/AIDS and aged 50 and over in four regions. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews with a structured questionnaire. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with depression. A two-tailed P-value less than 0.05 was considered as statistical significance.

Results

A total of 293 participants (37.9%) reported depressive symptoms. Results from multivariate logistic regression suggested that individuals aged ≥70 (AOR = 1.99, 95% CI: 1.28-3.08) and those living in rural areas (AOR = 2.79, 95% CI: 1.96-3.97) were associated with higher odds of depression, while those being employed (AOR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.32-0.80) and with monthly income >3000 CNY (AOR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.30-3.74) had lower odds of depression.

Conclusion

Our findings indicate a high prevalence of depression among older men living with HIV/AIDS in Chongqing, China. Age, residence, employment, and income have been identified as potential risk factors of depressive symptoms. Mental-health intervention initiatives should be tailored to target adults with a higher risk of depression.

Epidemiology and Clinical Outcomes of HIV Infection in South-Central China: A Retrospective Study From 2003 to 2018

Objective

HIV epidemiology in South-Central China is rarely reported. This study aims to characterize epidemiological and clinical features of HIV-infected patients in Hunan Province, located in South-Central China, for better management of HIV infections.

Methods

This retrospective study retrieved multi-center records of laboratory-confirmed HIV-infected patients in Hunan province. Information on HIV-associated mortality and antiretroviral therapies was also collected.

Results

Among 34,297 patients diagnosed with HIV infections from 2003 to 2018, 73.9% were males, 41.3% were older adults (≥50 years), and 71.2% were infected by heterosexual transmission. Despite a slow growth of new HIV infections in the overall population, annual percentages of HIV infections increased in older males (85.3% through heterosexual transmission) and young patients <30 years (39.9% through homosexual transmission). At baseline, serum levels of CD4+ T-cell counts were lower in older adults (191.0 cells/μl) than in young patients (294.6 cells/μl, p-value < 0.0001). A large proportion (47.2%, N = 16,165) of HIV-infected patients had advanced HIV disease (CD4+ T-cell counts < 200 cells/μl) from 2003 to 2018. All-cause mortality (57.0% due to AIDS-related illnesses) was reported among 4411 HIV-infected patients, including 2619 older adults. The 10-year survival rate was significantly lower in elderly males than in other patients (59.0 vs. 78.4%, p-value < 0.05).

Conclusions

Elderly males are prone to HIV infections with a high risk of HIV-associated fatality. Our findings support early prevention and critical care for elderly populations to control HIV infections.