Short-term impacts of Universal Basic Income on population mental health inequalities in the UK: A microsimulation modelling study

BACKGROUND

Population mental health in the United Kingdom (UK) has deteriorated, alongside worsening socioeconomic conditions, over the last decade. Policies such as Universal Basic Income (UBI) have been suggested as an alternative economic approach to improve population mental health and reduce health inequalities. UBI may improve mental health (MH), but to our knowledge, no studies have trialled or modelled UBI in whole populations. We aimed to estimate the short-term effects of introducing UBI on mental health in the UK working-age population.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Adults aged 25 to 64 years were simulated across a 4-year period from 2022 to 2026 with the SimPaths microsimulation model, which models the effects of UK tax/benefit policies on mental health via income, poverty, and employment transitions. Data from the nationally representative UK Household Longitudinal Study were used to generate the simulated population (n = 25,000) and causal effect estimates. Three counterfactual UBI scenarios were modelled from 2023: "Partial" (value equivalent to existing benefits), "Full" (equivalent to the UK Minimum Income Standard), and "Full+" (retaining means-tested benefits for disability, housing, and childcare). Likely common mental disorder (CMD) was measured using the General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-12, score ≥4). Relative and slope indices of inequality were calculated, and outcomes stratified by gender, age, education, and household structure. Simulations were run 1,000 times to generate 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Sensitivity analyses relaxed SimPaths assumptions about reduced employment resulting from Full/Full+ UBI. Partial UBI had little impact on poverty, employment, or mental health. Full UBI scenarios practically eradicated poverty but decreased employment (for Full+ from 78.9% [95% UI 77.9, 79.9] to 74.1% [95% UI 72.6, 75.4]). Full+ UBI increased absolute CMD prevalence by 0.38% (percentage points; 95% UI 0.13, 0.69) in 2023, equivalent to 157,951 additional CMD cases (95% UI 54,036, 286,805); effects were largest for men (0.63% [95% UI 0.31, 1.01]) and those with children (0.64% [95% UI 0.18, 1.14]). In our sensitivity analysis assuming minimal UBI-related employment impacts, CMD prevalence instead fell by 0.27% (95% UI -0.49, -0.05), a reduction of 112,228 cases (95% UI 20,783, 203,673); effects were largest for women (-0.32% [95% UI -0.65, 0.00]), those without children (-0.40% [95% UI -0.68, -0.15]), and those with least education (-0.42% [95% UI -0.97, 0.15]). There was no effect on educational mental health inequalities in any scenario, and effects waned by 2026. The main limitations of our methods are the model's short time horizon and focus on pathways from UBI to mental health solely via income, poverty, and employment, as well as the inability to integrate macroeconomic consequences of UBI; future iterations of the model will address these limitations.

CONCLUSIONS

UBI has potential to improve short-term population mental health by reducing poverty, particularly for women, but impacts are highly dependent on whether individuals choose to remain in employment following its introduction. Future research modelling additional causal pathways between UBI and mental health would be beneficial.

Contraceptive use and pregnancy planning in Britain during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic: findings from a large, quasi-representative survey (Natsal-COVID)

BACKGROUND

Contraceptive services were significantly disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic in Britain. We investigated contraception-related health inequalities in the first year of the pandemic.

METHODS

Natsal-COVID Wave 2 surveyed 6658 adults aged 18-59 years between March and April 2021, using quotas and weighting to achieve quasi-representativeness. Our analysis included sexually active participants aged 18-44 years, described as female at birth. We analysed contraception use, contraceptive switching due to the pandemic, contraceptive service access, and pregnancy plannedness.

RESULTS

Of 1488 participants, 1619 were at risk of unplanned pregnancy, of whom 54.1% (51.0%-57.1%) reported routinely using effective contraception in the past year. Among all participants, 14.3% (12.5%-16.3%) reported switching or stopping contraception due to the pandemic. 3.2% (2.0%-5.1%) of those using effective methods pre-pandemic switched to less effective methods, while 3.8% (2.5%-5.9%) stopped. 29.3% (26.9%-31.8%) of at-risk participants reported seeking contraceptive services, of whom 16.4% (13.0%-20.4%) reported difficulty accessing services. Clinic closures and cancelled appointments were commonly reported pandemic-related reasons for difficulty accessing services. This unmet need was associated with younger age, diverse sexual identities and anxiety symptoms. Of 199 pregnancies, 6.6% (3.9%-11.1%) scored as 'unplanned'; less planning was associated with younger age, lower social grade and unemployment.

CONCLUSIONS

Just under a third of participants sought contraceptive services during the pandemic and most were successful, indicating resilience and adaptability of service delivery. However, one in six reported an unmet need due to the pandemic. COVID-induced inequalities in service access potentially exacerbated existing reproductive health inequalities. These should be addressed in the post-pandemic period and beyond.

Sexual and reproductive health in Britain during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic: cross-sectional population survey (Natsal-COVID-Wave 2) and national surveillance data

OBJECTIVES

To assess sexual behaviour, and sexual and reproductive health (SRH) outcomes, after 1 year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Britain.

METHODS

6658 participants aged 18-59 and resident in Britain completed a cross-sectional web-panel survey (Natsal-COVID-Wave 2, March-April 2021), 1 year after the first lockdown. Natsal-COVID-2 follows the Natsal-COVID-Wave 1 survey (July-August 2020) which captured impacts in the initial months. Quota-based sampling and weighting resulted in a quasi-representative population sample. Data were contextualised with reference to the most recent probability sample population data (Natsal-3; collected 2010-12; 15 162 participants aged 16-74) and national surveillance data on recorded sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing, conceptions, and abortions in England/Wales (2010-2020). The main outcomes were: sexual behaviour; SRH service use; pregnancy, abortion and fertility management; sexual dissatisfaction, distress and difficulties.

RESULTS

In the year from the first lockdown, over two-thirds of participants reported one or more sexual partners (women 71.8%; men 69.9%), while fewer than 20.0% reported a new partner (women 10.4%; men 16.8%). Median occasions of sex per month was two. Compared with 2010-12 (Natsal-3), we found less sexual risk behaviour (lower reporting of multiple partners, new partners, and new condomless partners), including among younger participants and those reporting same-sex behaviour. One in 10 women reported a pregnancy; pregnancies were fewer than in 2010-12 and less likely to be scored as unplanned. 19.3% of women and 22.8% of men were distressed or worried about their sex life, significantly more than in 2010-12. Compared with surveillance trends from 2010 to 2019, we found lower than expected use of STI-related services and HIV testing, lower levels of chlamydia testing, and fewer conceptions and abortions.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings are consistent with significant changes in sexual behaviour, SRH, and service uptake in the year following the first lockdown in Britain. These data are foundational to SRH recovery and policy planning.

Reversed Holocene temperature-moisture relationship in the Horn of Africa

Anthropogenic climate change is predicted to severely impact the global hydrological cycle1, particularly in tropical regions where agriculture-based economies depend on monsoon rainfall2. In the Horn of Africa, more frequent drought conditions in recent decades3,4 contrast with climate models projecting precipitation to increase with rising temperature5. Here we use organic geochemical climate-proxy data from the sediment record of Lake Chala (Kenya and Tanzania) to probe the stability of the link between hydroclimate and temperature over approximately the past 75,000 years, hence encompassing a sufficiently wide range of temperatures to test the 'dry gets drier, wet gets wetter' paradigm6 of anthropogenic climate change in the time domain. We show that the positive relationship between effective moisture and temperature in easternmost Africa during the cooler last glacial period shifted to negative around the onset of the Holocene 11,700 years ago, when the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration exceeded 250 parts per million and mean annual temperature approached modern-day values. Thus, at that time, the budget between monsoonal precipitation and continental evaporation7 crossed a tipping point such that the positive influence of temperature on evaporation became greater than its positive influence on precipitation. Our results imply that under continued anthropogenic warming, the Horn of Africa will probably experience further drying, and they highlight the need for improved simulation of both dynamic and thermodynamic processes in the tropical hydrological cycle.

Exploring the health and sociodemographic characteristics of people seeking advice with claiming universal credit: a cross-sectional analysis of UK citizens advice data, 2017-2021

BACKGROUND

The UK Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) administers Universal Credit (UC) - the main UK benefit for people in- and out-of-work. UC is being rolled out nationally from 2013 to 2024. Citizens Advice (CA) is an independent charity that provides advice and support to people making a claim for UC. The aim of this study is to understand who is seeking advice from CA when making a UC claim and how the types of people seeking advice are changing as the rollout of UC continues.

METHODS

Co-developed with Citizens Advice Newcastle and Citizens Advice Northumberland we performed longitudinal analysis of national data from Citizens Advice for England and Wales on the health (mental health and limiting long term conditions) and socio-demographic of 1,003,411 observations for people seeking advice with claiming UC over four financial years (2017/18 to 2020/21). We summarised population characteristics and estimated the differences between the four financial years using population-weighted t-tests. Findings were discussed with three people with lived experience of seeking advice to claim UC to help frame our interpretation and policy recommendations.

RESULTS

When comparing 2017/18 to 2018/19, there was a significantly higher proportion of people with limiting long term conditions seeking advice with claiming UC than those without (+ 2.40%, 95%CI: 1.31-3.50%). However, as the rollout continued between 2018/29 and 2019/20 (-6.75%, 95%CI: -9.62%--3.88%) and between 2019/20 and 2020/21 (-2.09%, 95%CI: -2.54%--1.64%), there were significantly higher proportions of those without a limiting long term condition seeking advice than with. When comparing 2018/19 to 2019/20 and 2019/20 to 2020/21, there was a significant increase in the proportion of self-employed compared to unemployed people seeking advice with claiming UC (5.64%, 95%CI: 3.79-7.49%) and (2.26%, 95%CI: 1.29-3.23%) respectively.

CONCLUSION

As the rollout for UC continues, it is important to understand how changes in eligibility for UC may impact on those who need help with applying for UC. Ensuring that the advice process and application process is responsive to a range of people with different needs can help to reduce the likelihood that the process of claiming UC will exacerbate health inequalities.

Evaluation of the mental health impacts of Universal Credit: protocol for a mixed methods study

INTRODUCTION

The UK social security system is being transformed by the implementation of Universal Credit (UC), which combines six existing benefits and tax credits into a single payment for low-income households. Despite extensive reports of hardship associated with the introduction of UC, no previous studies have comprehensively evaluated its impact on mental health. Because payments are targeted at low-income households, impacts on mental health will have important consequences for health inequalities.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We will conduct a mixed methods study. Work package (WP) 1 will compare health outcomes for new recipients of UC with outcomes for legacy benefit recipients in two large population surveys, using the phased rollout of UC as a natural experiment. We will also analyse the relationship between the proportion of UC claimants in small areas and a composite measure of mental health. WP2 will use data collected by Citizen's Advice to explore the sociodemographic and health characteristics of people who seek advice when claiming UC and identify features of the claim process that prompt advice-seeking. WP3 will conduct longitudinal in-depth interviews with up to 80 UC claimants in England and Scotland to explore reasons for claiming and experiences of the claim process. Up to 30 staff supporting claimants will also be interviewed. WP4 will use a dynamic microsimulation model to simulate the long-term health impacts of different implementation scenarios. WP5 will undertake cost-consequence analysis of the potential costs and outcomes of introducing UC and cost-benefit analyses of mitigating actions.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

We obtained ethical approval for the primary data gathering from the University of Glasgow, College of Social Sciences Research Ethics Committee, application number 400200244. We will use our networks to actively disseminate findings to UC claimants, the public, practitioners and policy-makers, using a range of methods and formats.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

The study is registered with the Research Registry: researchregistry6697.

Examining the sources of evidence in e-cigarette policy recommendations: A citation network analysis of international public health recommendations

BACKGROUND

Public health policies and recommendations aim to be informed by the best available evidence. Evidence underpinning e-cigarettes policy recommendations has been necessarily limited due to the novelty of the technology and the lack of long-term epidemiological studies and trials. Some public health bodies have actively encouraged e-cigarette use whilst others have raised concerns over introducing new health risks and renormalising tobacco smoking. Using citation network analysis we investigated the author conflicts of interest and study funding statements within sources of evidence used by public health bodies when making recommendations about e-cigarette policy.

METHODS

We conducted citation network analysis of public health recommendation documents across four purposively selected diverse jurisdictions: WHO, UK, Australia, and USA. We extracted all citations from 15 public health recommendation documents, with more detailed data collected for influential citations (used in 3+ recommendation documents). We analysed the relationships between the sources of evidence used across jurisdictions using block modelling to determine if similar groups of documents were used across different jurisdictions. We assessed the frequency and nature of conflicts of interest.

RESULTS

1700 unique citations were included across the 15 public health recommendation documents, with zero to 923 citations per document (median = 63, IQR = 7.5-132). The evidence base underpinning public health recommendations did not systematically differ across jurisdictions. Of the 1700 citations included, the majority were journal articles (n = 1179). Across 1081 journal articles published between 1998-2018, 200 declared a conflict of interest, 288 contained no mention of conflicts of interest, and 593 declared none. Conflicts of interest were reported with tobacco (3%; n = 37 journal articles of 1081), e-cigarette (7%; n = 72), and pharmaceutical companies (12%; n = 127), with such conflicts present even in the most recent years. There were 53 influential citations, the most common study type was basic science research without human subjects (e.g. examination of aerosols and e-liquids) (n = 18) followed by systematic review (n = 10); with randomised control trial being least common (n = 4). Network analysis identified clusters of highly-cited articles with a higher prevalence of conflicts of interest.

CONCLUSION

Public health bodies across different jurisdictions drew upon similar sources of evidence, despite articulating different policy approaches to e-cigarettes. The evidence drawn upon, including the most influential evidence, contained substantial conflicts of interest (including relationships with e-cigarette and tobacco industries). Processes to explicitly manage conflicts of interest arising from the underlying evidence base may be required when developing public health recommendations.

Effects of Housing First approaches on health and well-being of adults who are homeless or at risk of homelessness: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Homelessness is associated with poor health. A policy approach aiming to end homelessness across Europe and North America, the 'Housing First' (HF) model, provides rapid housing, not conditional on abstinence from substance use. We aimed to systematically review the evidence from randomised controlled trials for the effects of HF on health and well-being.

METHODS

We searched seven databases for randomised controlled trials of interventions providing rapid access to non-abstinence-contingent, permanent housing. We extracted data on the following outcomes: mental health; self-reported health and quality of life; substance use; non-routine use of healthcare services; housing stability. We assessed risk of bias and calculated standardised effect sizes.

RESULTS

We included four studies, all with 'high' risk of bias. The impact of HF on most short-term health outcomes was imprecisely estimated, with varying effect directions. No clear difference in substance use was seen. Intervention groups experienced fewer emergency department visits (incidence rate ratio (IRR)=0.63; 95% CI 0.48 to 0.82), fewer hospitalisations (IRR=0.76; 95% CI 0.70 to 0.83) and less time spent hospitalised (standardised mean difference (SMD)=-0.14; 95% CI -0.41 to 0.14) than control groups. In all studies intervention participants spent more days housed (SMD=1.24; 95% CI 0.86 to 1.62) and were more likely to be housed at 18-24 months (risk ratio=2.46; 95% CI 1.58 to 3.84).

CONCLUSION

HF approaches successfully improve housing stability and may improve some aspects of health. Implementation of HF would likely reduce homelessness and non-routine health service use without an increase in problematic substance use. Impacts on long-term health outcomes require further investigation.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42017064457.

The epidemiology and global burden of autism spectrum disorders

BACKGROUND

Autism spectrum disorders (ASDs) are persistent disabling neurodevelopmental disorders clinically evident from early childhood. For the first time, the burden of ASDs has been estimated for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 (GBD 2010). The aims of this study were to develop global and regional prevalence models and estimate the global burden of disease of ASDs.

METHOD

A systematic review was conducted for epidemiological data (prevalence, incidence, remission and mortality risk) of autistic disorder and other ASDs. Data were pooled using a Bayesian meta-regression approach while adjusting for between-study variance to derive prevalence models. Burden was calculated in terms of years lived with disability (YLDs) and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), which are reported here by world region for 1990 and 2010.

RESULTS

In 2010 there were an estimated 52 million cases of ASDs, equating to a prevalence of 7.6 per 1000 or one in 132 persons. After accounting for methodological variations, there was no clear evidence of a change in prevalence for autistic disorder or other ASDs between 1990 and 2010. Worldwide, there was little regional variation in the prevalence of ASDs. Globally, autistic disorders accounted for more than 58 DALYs per 100 000 population and other ASDs accounted for 53 DALYs per 100 000.

CONCLUSIONS

ASDs account for substantial health loss across the lifespan. Understanding the burden of ASDs is essential for effective policy making. An accurate epidemiological description of ASDs is needed to inform public health policy and to plan for education, housing and financial support services.

The global burden of anxiety disorders in 2010

BACKGROUND

Despite their high prevalence, the global burden of anxiety disorders has never been calculated comprehensively. The new Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study has estimated burden due to morbidity and mortality caused by any anxiety disorder.

METHOD

Prevalence was estimated using Bayesian meta-regression informed by data identified in a systematic review. Years of life lived with disability (YLDs) were calculated by multiplying prevalent cases by an average disability weight based on severity proportions (mild, moderate and severe). Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were then calculated and age standardized using global standard population figures. Estimates were also made for additional suicide mortality attributable to anxiety disorders. Findings are presented for YLDs, DALYs and attributable burden due to suicide for 21 world regions in 1990 and 2010.

RESULTS

Anxiety disorders were the sixth leading cause of disability, in terms of YLDs, in both high-income (HI) and low- and middle-income (LMI) countries. Globally, anxiety disorders accounted for 390 DALYs per 100,000 persons [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 191-371 DALYs per 100,000] in 2010, with no discernible change observed over time. Females accounted for about 65% of the DALYs caused by anxiety disorders, with the highest burden in both males and females experienced by those aged between 15 and 34 years. Although there was regional variation in prevalence, the overlap between uncertainty estimates means that substantive differences in burden between populations could not be identified.

CONCLUSIONS

Anxiety disorders are chronic, disabling conditions that are distributed across the globe. Future estimates of burden could be further improved by obtaining more representative data on severity state proportions.

Global prevalence of anxiety disorders: a systematic review and meta-regression

BACKGROUND

The literature describing the global prevalence of anxiety disorders is highly variable. A systematic review and meta-regression were undertaken to estimate the prevalence of anxiety disorders and to identify factors that may influence these estimates. The findings will inform the new Global Burden of Disease study. Method A systematic review identified prevalence studies of anxiety disorders published between 1980 and 2009. Electronic databases, reference lists, review articles and monographs were searched and experts then contacted to identify missing studies. Substantive and methodological factors associated with inter-study variability were identified through meta-regression analyses and the global prevalence of anxiety disorders was calculated adjusting for study methodology.

RESULTS

The prevalence of anxiety disorders was obtained from 87 studies across 44 countries. Estimates of current prevalence ranged between 0.9% and 28.3% and past-year prevalence between 2.4% and 29.8%. Substantive factors including gender, age, culture, conflict and economic status, and urbanicity accounted for the greatest proportion of variability. Methodological factors in the final multivariate model (prevalence period, number of disorders and diagnostic instrument) explained an additional 13% of variance between studies. The global current prevalence of anxiety disorders adjusted for methodological differences was 7.3% (4.8-10.9%) and ranged from 5.3% (3.5-8.1%) in African cultures to 10.4% (7.0-15.5%) in Euro/Anglo cultures.

CONCLUSIONS

Anxiety disorders are common and the substantive and methodological factors identified here explain much of the variability in prevalence estimates. Specific attention should be paid to cultural differences in responses to survey instruments for anxiety disorders.

Global variation in the prevalence and incidence of major depressive disorder: a systematic review of the epidemiological literature

BACKGROUND

Summarizing the epidemiology of major depressive disorder (MDD) at a global level is complicated by significant heterogeneity in the data. The aim of this study is to present a global summary of the prevalence and incidence of MDD, accounting for sources of bias, and dealing with heterogeneity. Findings are informing MDD burden quantification in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2010 Study.

METHOD

A systematic review of prevalence and incidence of MDD was undertaken. Electronic databases Medline, PsycINFO and EMBASE were searched. Community-representative studies adhering to suitable diagnostic nomenclature were included. A meta-regression was conducted to explore sources of heterogeneity in prevalence and guide the stratification of data in a meta-analysis.

RESULTS

The literature search identified 116 prevalence and four incidence studies. Prevalence period, sex, year of study, depression subtype, survey instrument, age and region were significant determinants of prevalence, explaining 57.7% of the variability between studies. The global point prevalence of MDD, adjusting for methodological differences, was 4.7% (4.4-5.0%). The pooled annual incidence was 3.0% (2.4-3.8%), clearly at odds with the pooled prevalence estimates and the previously reported average duration of 30 weeks for an episode of MDD.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide a comprehensive and up-to-date profile of the prevalence of MDD globally. Region and study methodology influenced the prevalence of MDD. This needs to be considered in the GBD 2010 study and in investigations into the ecological determinants of MDD. Good-quality estimates from low-/middle-income countries were sparse. More accurate data on incidence are also required.

Haemoperitoneum associated with ovulation in women with bleeding disorders: the case for conservative management and the role of the contraceptive pill

Haemoperitoneum secondary to ruptured corpus luteum is a rare complication for women on anticoagulants and with certain congenital bleeding disorders. A surgical approach is often taken, leading to oophorectomy in many cases. We describe three patients presenting with haemoperitoneum in association with factor VII deficiency, factor X deficiency and sitosterolaemia. In two of the patients, recurrent episodes occurred prior to introduction of the oral contraceptive pill. Conservative management with blood product and factor concentrate support was successful in avoiding surgery in three of the five episodes of bleeding. These cases demonstrate that preservation of ovarian function is possible with a conservative approach and recurrent episodes may be prevented by suppression of ovulation.

Beta blockers in older persons with heart failure: tolerability and impact on quality of life

OBJECTIVE

To determine tolerability and symptom changes associated with the introduction of bisoprolol treatment in older patients with heart failure.

DESIGN

Prospective observational cohort study.

SETTING

Geriatric medicine outpatient department of a university hospital.

PATIENTS

51 patients (mean age 78 years, range 70-89 years) with stable symptomatic heart failure caused by left ventricular systolic dysfunction.

INTERVENTIONS

Bisoprolol tablets, 1.25-10.0 mg.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Tolerability; changes in symptoms and exercise tolerance.

RESULTS

69% of patients tolerated bisoprolol. Mean tolerated dose was 7.6 mg. There was no change in symptoms or exercise capacity in those who tolerated bisoprolol. Perceived health status and symptoms of anxiety and depression improved during the titration period.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of withdrawal from bisoprolol treatment in older patients with congestive heart failure was twice that previously reported in younger patients. The mean tolerated dose was similar to that found in trials reporting clinical efficacy. There was no evidence of a negative impact on symptoms or exercise capacity in patients who tolerated bisoprolol.

Diastolic heart failure in older people--myth or lost tribe?

Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction occurs due to a variable combination of abnormal myocardial relaxation and reduced ventricular compliance. The diagnosis of diastolic congestive heart failure is controversial. Some studies suggest that up to one-third of older people with symptomatic congestive heart failure (CHF) have echocardiograph evidence of diastolic dysfunction. Other authors have suggested the comorbid diseases often found in persons with suspected diastolic CHF explain the patient's symptoms and hence diastolic CHF is a misdiagnosis in many cases. Many of the characteristic echo features of diastolic dysfunction occur in normal ageing hearts. Unlike in systolic CHF, evidence for disease modifying treatment is lacking. Clinical trials currently in progress to determine the effectiveness of ACE inhibitors and angiotensin II receptor antagonists in the management of diastolic CHF may clarify the prognosis and management of this condition.

Synthesis and antiviral activity of prodrugs of the nucleoside 1-[2',3'-dideoxy-3'-C-(hydroxymethyl)-beta-D-erythropentofuranosyl] cytosine

The synthesis and antiviral evaluation of 21 prodrugs of 1-[2',3'-dideoxy-3'-C-(hydroxymethyl)-beta-D-erythropentofuranosyl ] cytosine 1 is reported. Cytosine N4-imine analogues were prepared by condensation of 1 with selected formamide dimethyl acetals. Amino acid substituted prodrugs were prepared from 1 or imine prodrug 2 by coupling with either N-tert-butoxycarbonyl (t-Boc)-L-valine or N-t-Boc-L- phenylalanine in the presence of dicyclohexycarbodiimide (DCC) and 4-dimethylaminopyridine (4-DMAP). Deprotection of the t-Boc protecting group was achieved with trifluoroacetic acid (TFAA) in methylene chloride. Cytosine N4-amide analogues were prepared by reaction of 1 with appropriate anhydrides in aqueous dioxane. Triacylated analogue 22 was prepared by reaction of 1 with four equivalents of benzoyl chloride in pyridine. Prodrugs were evaluated for activity against duck hepatitis B virus, herpes simplex virus types 1 and 2, human cytomegalovirus, and human immunodeficiency virus. A number of analogues were found comparable in activity to 1 with the cytosine N4-imine series more active than the amino acid substituted and cytosine N4-amide prodrugs. Slight to moderate cellular toxicity was observed with some analogues.

Peptidomimetic aminomethylene ketone inhibitors of interleukin-1 beta-converting enzyme (ICE)

Pyridone-based peptidomimetic inhibitors of recombinant human Interleukin-1 beta-converting enzyme (ICE, caspase-1) with an aminomethylene ketone activating group in the P1' position are described. Several analogues with sub-nanomolar Ki's versus ICE and improved aqueous solubility are reported.

A single sequence change destabilizes the influenza virus neuraminidase tetramer

A single change (E119G) in the influenza A virus N9 neuraminidase (NA) results in resistance of the enzyme to the NA inhibitor 4-Guanidino-Neu5Ac2en (4-GuDANA). This change causes a salt link between Glu119, which sits in a pocket in the bottom of the active site of the enzyme, and the 4-guanidinium moiety of the inhibitor to be lost. NA "heads" of the resistant enzyme produced only a few small crystals under conditions in which the wild-type enzyme readily formed large crystals. These small crystals were of sufficient quality to yield X-ray crystallographic data which confirmed the E119G change and demonstrated the presence of electron density representing either a strong structural-water molecule or an anionic species in place of the glutamate carboxylate. NA heads of the resistant enzyme also have greatly reduced NA activity per milligram of total protein. We have now found that the mutant NA heads consist predominantly of monomers with a few dimers and tetramers, as determined by electron microscopic analysis of the protein. The low level of enzymatic activity as well as the small number of crystals obtained were probably from the few tetramers remaining intact in the preparation. The purified wild-type and 4-GuDANA-resistant enzymes were treated with the homobifunctional NHS-ester cross linker, DTSSP. SDS-PAGE analysis of the treated enzymes clearly revealed cross-linked dimers of the wild-type enzyme. In contrast, only a small proportion of the 4-GuDANA-resistant neuraminidase was cross-linked. An examination of the known X-ray crystallographic structure of the wild-type NA reveals a salt bridge between Glu119 and Arg156 of the same monomer. Arg156 is a conserved amino acid that is situated at the interface between monomers, and a salt link between this amino acid and Glu119 may contribute to the stability of enzyme tetramers. It is suggested that the E119G alteration in the 4-GuDANA-resistant NA leads to the abrogation of this interaction and thus to the instability of the NA tetramers.

Differential effects of the incorporation of 1-(2-deoxy-2-fluoro-beta-D-arabinofuranosyl)-5-iodouracil (FIAU) on the binding of the transcription factors, AP-1 and TFIID, to their cognate target DNA sequences

The thymidine analog, 1-(2-deoxy-2-fluoro-beta-D-arabino-furanosyl)-5-iodouracil (FIAU), is incorporated into DNA in cell culture and in vivo. To investigate the effect of incorporation of FIAU into DNA on the binding of transcription factors, oligonucleotide duplexes which bind specifically to activator protein 1 (AP-1) or to TFIID were synthesized and binding of these oligonucleotides to their respective proteins was studied using gel-shift analysis. When thymidine at position -3, -1, 1 or 7 (relative to the first thymidine of the core binding sequence) was replaced with FIAU, binding to AP-1 was approximately 82, 28, 86 and 51%, respectively, of the binding to the non-substituted oligonucleotide to AP-1. When thymidine at position 3 or 5 (each adjacent to the center of dyad symmetry) was replaced with FIAU, binding to AP-1 was abrogated. Oligonucleotides containing FIAU at positions -1, 3 or 5, were much less able to compete with radiolabeled wild-type oligonucleotides for binding to AP-1. In contrast, the presence of FIAU, depending on its location, resulted in the increased binding of TFIID to its consensus target DNA sequence. These results indicate that incorporation of FIAU into DNA may induce local conformational changes resulting in the altered ability of transcriptional factors to bind to their cognate DNA sequences. Additional studies demonstrated that the presence of FIAU at a position 5' to the cleavage site in the consensus sequence T*TAA (where * is the cleavage site) inhibited restriction of the oligomeric duplex by MseI.

Potent human immunodeficiency virus type 1 protease inhibitors that utilize noncoded D-amino acids as P2/P3 ligands

Noncoded D-amino acids have been designed to replace the quinaldic amide-asparaginyl moiety (P2/P3 ligand) found in several potent human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) protease inhibitors such as LY289612. The substituted nitrogen, optimally an N-methanesulfonyl moiety, served as a CH2CONH2 (asparagine side chain mimic), while the amino acid side chain became the backbone and P3 ligand of these novel inhibitors. Compounds derived from S-aryl-D-cysteine proved to be potent HIV protease inhibitors which also exhibited potent whole cell antiviral activity. Oxidation of the cysteines to the sulfoxide or sulfone oxidation states resulted in significant improvements in potency. For example, the compound derived from N-(methyl-sulfonyl)-2-S-naphthylcysteine sulfone, 17c, was a 3.5 nM inhibitor of HIV protease which inhibited the spread of virus in MT4 cells with an IC50 = 4.3 nM. Compounds 17c,g,i were found to be orally bioavailable in a rat model.

Molecular basis for the resistance of influenza viruses to 4-guanidino-Neu5Ac2en

We report the selection and characterization of influenza A/NWS-G70c and B/HK/8/73 (HG) viruses which are resistant to the potent influenza neuraminidase inhibitor, 4-guanidino-Neu5Ac2en. Viruses were selected which replicated in MDCK cells in the presence of 20 micrograms/ml inhibitor. The neuraminidase of resistant viruses was > 200-fold more resistant to 4-guanidino-Neu5Ac2en than was the neuraminidase of the parent viruses. Although amounts of neuraminidase protein were similar in resistant and parent viruses, the enzyme activity of the resistant neuraminidase heads was reduced by > 95% for the substrates used. Relative to parent viruses, the resistant viruses replicated to equal or greater titers in tissue culture and in embryonated chicken eggs. Sequence analysis revealed a single nucleotide mutation in the neuraminidase gene of each virus resulting in the change of the conserved Glu 119 (which lies in a pocket beneath the active site of the enzyme) to Gly thus eliminating an electrostatic interaction with the C-4 guanidinium moiety of the inhibitor. Mutations (Asn-->Ser) at amino acids 145 and 150 were also found in the hemagglutinin gene of the B/HK/8/73 (HG) virus resistant to 4-guanidino-Neu5Ac2en. No changes were found in the hemagglutinin gene of the resistant A/NWS-G70c virus.

Mechanisms of resistance to Onchocerca infection in blackflies

In this article Peter Ham, Hans Hagen, Andrea Baxter and Jorg Grunewald focus on the susceptibility of blackflies to parasitic filarial infection (particularly Onchocera spp, most of the vectors of which belong to the genus Simulium). They outline what is known about, as well as speculating on, the various defence mechanisms of these insects. Investigations have involved the use of natural and surrogate vectors of bovine onchocerciasis as models for the human vector-parasite relationship.

Approaches to vector control: new and trusted. 1. Humoral immune responses in blackfly and mosquito vectors of filariae

The vectors of filariasis, mosquitoes and blackflies, are capable of mounting a defence response to the infection. This selective review describes the molecules that are involved in these immune systems. Several antibacterial peptides are known to be induced and secreted into the haemolymph by the fat body and the circulating haemocytes. In addition, haemagglutinating lectins with carbohydrate specificities to the surface of the developing filarial larvae appear. Activation of a range of proteases occurs rapidly as does activation of the prophenoloxidase pathway. The possible roles of these and other molecules is discussed, together with mention of a working hypothesis as to how these molecules may be regulated.

Discovery and synthesis of methyl 2,5-dimethyl-4-[2- (phenylmethyl)benzoyl]-1H-pyrrole-3-carboxylate (FPL 64176) and analogues: the first examples of a new class of calcium channel activator

Methyl 2,5-dimethyl-4-[2-(phenylmethyl)benzoyl]-1H-pyrrole-3-carboxylate, FPL 64176 (1), is the first example of a new class of calcium channel activator (CCA) that does not act on any of the well-defined calcium channel modulator receptor sites, as typified by verapamil, diltiazem, and the dihydropyridines. The potent activity of 1, having the 2-(phenylmethyl)benzoyl substituent, was predicted using QSAR on an initial set of less potent benzoylpyrroles. When compared to the CCA Bay K 8644, 1 has similar potency on calcium uptake into GH3 cells (both have EC50 approximately 0.015 microM) but is appreciably more potent functionally at increasing contractility in a guinea pig atria preparation (1 has EC50 = 0.049 microM vs Bay K 8644 EC50 = 1.95 microM). 1 is an achiral, pharmacologically clean agonist with no demonstrable partial agonist properties and possesses appreciably higher efficacy than Bay K 8644. It should therefore become a useful biochemical and pharmacological tool for the study of calcium channels in many cell types.

Effect of bile acid on anorectal function in man

The effects of rectal infusions (500 ml) of deoxycholic acid (1 mmol/l, 3 mmol/l) or normal saline on basal anorectal motility and responses to rectal distension were studied in 11 normal volunteers. Deoxycholic acid (1 mmol/l) did not alter anorectal motor patterns under basal conditions but reduced the rectal volumes required to induce a desire to defecate (deoxycholic acid 76 (12) ml v saline 123 (12) ml; mean (SEM) p less than 0.01), and to produce anal relaxation (deoxycholic acid 83 (14) ml v saline 152 (24) ml; p less than 0.05) and perception of the rectal balloon (deoxycholic acid 56 (10) ml v saline 104 (17) ml; p less than 0.01) that were sustained for the period of distension (1 min). Seven of 10 subjects could not tolerate an infusion of 3 mmol/l deoxycholic acid. Between two and 30 minutes after the start of the infusion they experienced an extreme urge to defecate which was associated with large amplitude pressure waves in the rectal channels (amplitude 30 (5) mmHg, duration 0.7 (0.1) min, frequency 1.7 (0.4)/min). Such contractions were never seen during saline infusion. Thus, rectal infusion of deoxycholic acid at physiological concentrations increases the sensitivity of the rectum to distension, and promotes an urgent desire to defecate in normal subjects.

Evaluation of applied potential tomography as a new non-invasive gastric secretion test

Applied potential tomography (APT) is a new, non-invasive technique that can yield sequential images of changes in the resistivity of gastric contents. Studies were performed to investigate the application of APT to measure gastric acid secretion. Experiments in 20 normal volunteers showed that changes in gastric resistivity were closely correlated with changes in the volume (r = 0.80), the acidity (r = 0.83) and the total conductivity of gastric contents (r = 0.87). Studies in 13 patients referred for a pentagastrin test showed that changes in gastric resistivity before pentagastrin were closely correlated with basal acid output measured on a separate occasion (r = 0.85, p less than 0.001), while changes in gastric resistivity after pentagastrin were correlated with maximal acid output (r = 0.58, p less than 0.05). Ingestion of alcohol by six normal subjects decreased gastric resistivity markedly, probably due to alcohol induced gastric acid secretion as it was prevented by cimetidine. Applied potential tomography is a safe non-invasive method of measuring gastric acid secretion. The equipment is simple to use, and the test is comfortable and acceptable to patients.

The effect of two alpha 2-adrenoreceptor agonists and an antagonist on gastric emptying and mouth to caecum transit time in humans

Experiments were performed to investigate the effect of two alpha 2-adrenoreceptor agonists, clonidine and lidamidine, and a specific alpha 2-adrenoreceptor antagonist, idazoxan, on gastric emptying and mouth to caecum transit time (MCTT) of a radiolabelled meal in 27 healthy male subjects. Lidamidine (20 mg p.o.) and clonidine (0.3 mg p.o.), given alone had no significant effect on gastric emptying or MCTT suggesting that the anti-diarrhoeal action of clonidine and lidamidine are unlikely to be explained by a slowing of small intestinal transit. Idazoxan (20 mg p.o.) reversed the effect of clonidine in 10 subjects, who showed a delay in MCTT after taking clonidine, but did not alter MCTT under basal conditions. These results suggest that although the sympathetic nervous system can influence upper gastrointestinal motility by an action on alpha 2-adrenoreceptors, this action does not exert a tonic influence on upper gastrointestinal motility under basal conditions.

Applied potential tomography: a new non-invasive technique for assessing gastric function

Applied potential tomography is a new, non-invasive technique that yields sequential images of the resistivity of gastric contents after subjects have ingested a liquid or semi-solid meal. This study validates the technique as a means of measuring gastric emptying. Experiments in vitro showed an excellent correlation between measurements of resistivity and either the square of the radius of a glass rod or the volume of water in a spherical balloon when both were placed in an oval tank containing saline. Altering the lateral position of the rod in the tank did not alter the values obtained. Images of abdominal resistivity were also directly correlated with the volume of air in a gastric balloon. Profiles of gastric emptying of liquid meals obtained using APT were very similar to those obtained using scintigraphy or dye dilution techniques provided that acid secretion was inhibited by cimetidine. Profiles of emptying of a mashed potato meal using APT were also very similar to those obtained by scintigraphy. Measurements of the emptying of a liquid meal from the stomach were reproducible if acid secretion was inhibited by cimetidine. Thus, APT is an accurate and reproducible method of measuring gastric emptying of liquids and particulate food. It is inexpensive, well tolerated, easy to use and ideally suited for multiple studies in patients, even those who are pregnant. A preliminary study is also presented that assesses the technique as a means of measuring gastric acid secretion. Comparison of resistivity changes with measured acid secretion following the injection of pentagastrin shows good correlations. APT might offer a non-invasive alternative to the use of a nasogastric tube and acid collection.

Effect of naloxone, domperidone and idazoxan on the delay in gastric emptying induced by ileal lipid

Studies were carried out on 22 healthy male volunteers to investigate whether intravenous administration of either the opiate antagonist, naloxone, or the dopamine antagonist, domperidone, or the alpha 2-adrenoreceptor antagonist, idazoxan, could reverse the delay in gastric emptying induced by ileal infusion of lipid emulsion. Ileal infusion of 50% lipid emulsion significantly delayed the rate of gastric emptying compared with ileal infusion of isotonic saline (P less than 0.01). Intravenous infusion of naloxone (20 micrograms kg-1 hour-1) or prior administration of either intravenous domperidone (20 mg) or idazoxan (0.2 mg kg-1) did not inhibit the delay in gastric emptying induced by ileal infusion of lipid emulsion. These observations indicate that feedback regulation of gastric emptying by ileal lipid does not appear to be mediated by either dopaminergic or enkephalinergic neurons, nor by alpha 2-adrenoreceptors.

Swallowing food without chewing; a simple way to reduce postprandial glycaemia

1. The degree to which disruption by mastication affects the glycaemic response to four different carbohydrate foods was investigated in healthy human volunteers; each food was eaten by six subjects. 2. Subjects ate meals of sweetcorn, white rice, diced apple or potato on two occasions; on one occasion they chewed the food thoroughly, on the other occasion they swallowed each mouthful without chewing it. 3. When the foods were chewed the postprandial blood glucose levels rose to levels which varied according to the food ingested. 4. Swallowing without chewing reduced the glycaemic response to each food, achieving a similar effect as administration of viscous polysaccharides or 'slow-release' carbohydrates.