Sarcopenia, adiposity and large discordance between cystatin C and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate in patients with cancer

BACKGROUND

Creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRCRE) may overestimate kidney function in patients with sarcopenia. While cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRCYS) is less affected by muscle mass, it may underestimate kidney function in patients with obesity. We sought to evaluate the relationship between body composition defined by computed tomography (CT) scans and discordance between creatinine, eGFRCRE and eGFRCYS in adult patients with cancer.

METHODS

This study is a cross-sectional study of consecutive adults with cancer with an abdominal CT scan performed within 90 days of simultaneous eGFRCRE and eGFRCYS measurements between May 2010 and January 2022. Muscle and adipose tissue cross-sectional areas were measured at the level of the third lumbar vertebral body using a validated deep-learning pipeline. CT-defined sarcopenia was defined using independent sex-specific cut-offs for skeletal muscle index (<39 cm2/m2 for women and <55 cm2/m2 for men). High adiposity was defined as the highest sex-specific quartile of the total (visceral plus subcutaneous) adiposity index in the cohort. The primary outcome was eGFR discordance, defined by eGFRCYS > 30% lower than eGFRCRE; the secondary outcome was eGFRCYS > 50% lower than eGFRCRE. The odds of eGFR discordance were estimated using multivariable logistic regression modelling. Unadjusted spline regression was used to evaluate the relationship between skeletal muscle index and the difference between eGFRCYS and eGFRCRE.

RESULTS

Of the 545 included patients (mean age 63 ± 14 years, 300 [55%] females, 440 [80.7%] non-Hispanic white), 320 (58.7%) met the criteria for CT-defined sarcopenia, and 136 (25%) had high adiposity. A total of 259 patients (48%) had >30% eGFR discordance, and 122 (22.4%) had >50% eGFR discordance. After adjustment for potential confounders, CT-defined sarcopenia and high adiposity were both associated with >30% eGFR discordance (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-3.24; aOR 2.01, 95% CI 1.15-3.52, respectively) and >50% eGFR discordance (aOR 2.34, 95% CI 1.21-4.51; aOR 2.23, 95% CI 1.19-4.17, respectively). A spline model demonstrated that as skeletal muscle index decreases, the predicted difference between eGFRCRE and eGFRCYS widens considerably.

CONCLUSIONS

CT-defined sarcopenia and high adiposity are both independently associated with large eGFR discordance. Incorporating valuable information from body composition analysis derived from CT scans performed as a part of routine cancer care can impact the interpretation of GFR estimates.

Derivation and external validation of a simple risk score for predicting severe acute kidney injury after intravenous cisplatin: cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To develop and externally validate a prediction model for severe cisplatin associated acute kidney injury (CP-AKI).

DESIGN

Multicenter cohort study.

SETTING

Six geographically diverse major academic cancer centers across the US.

PARTICIPANTS

Adults (≥18 years) receiving their first dose of intravenous cisplatin, 2006-22.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was CP-AKI, defined as a twofold or greater increase in serum creatinine or kidney replacement therapy within 14 days of a first dose of intravenous cisplatin. Independent predictors of CP-AKI were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model, which was developed in a derivation cohort and tested in an external validation cohort. For the primary model, continuous variables were examined using restricted cubic splines. A simple risk model was also generated by converting the odds ratios from the primary model into risk points. Finally, a multivariable Cox model was used to examine the association between severity of CP-AKI and 90 day survival.

RESULTS

A total of 24 717 adults were included, with 11 766 in the derivation cohort (median age 59 (interquartile range (IQR) 50-67)) and 12 951 in the validation cohort (median age 60 (IQR 50-67)). The incidence of CP-AKI was 5.2% (608/11 766) in the derivation cohort and 3.3% (421/12 951) in the validation cohort. Each of the following factors were independently associated with CP-AKI in the derivation cohort: age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, serum creatinine level, hemoglobin level, white blood cell count, platelet count, serum albumin level, serum magnesium level, and cisplatin dose. A simple risk score consisting of nine covariates was shown to predict a higher risk of CP-AKI in a monotonic fashion in both the derivation cohort and the validation cohort. Compared with patients in the lowest risk category, those in the highest risk category showed a 24.00-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 13.49-fold to 42.78-fold) higher odds of CP-AKI in the derivation cohort and a 17.87-fold (10.56-fold to 29.60-fold) higher odds in the validation cohort. The primary model had a C statistic of 0.75 and showed better discrimination for CP-AKI than previously published models, the C statistics for which ranged from 0.60 to 0.68 (DeLong P<0.001 for each comparison). Greater severity of CP-AKI was monotonically associated with shorter 90 day survival (adjusted hazard ratio 4.63 (95% CI 3.56 to 6.02) for stage 3 CP-AKI versus no CP-AKI).

CONCLUSION

This study found that a simple risk score based on readily available variables from patients receiving intravenous cisplatin could predict the risk of severe CP-AKI, the occurrence of which is strongly associated with death.

AKI treated with kidney replacement therapy in critically Ill allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant recipients

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent complication following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), but few studies have focused on AKI treated with kidney replacement therapy (AKI-KRT), particularly among critically ill patients. We investigated the incidence, risk factors, and 90-day mortality associated with AKI-KRT in 529 critically ill adult allo-HSCT recipients admitted to the ICU within 1-year post-transplant at two academic medical centers between 2011 and 2021. AKI-KRT occurred in 111 of the 529 patients (21.0%). Lower baseline eGFR, veno-occlusive disease, thrombotic microangiopathy, admission to an ICU within 90 days post-transplant, and receipt of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), total bilirubin ≥5.0 mg/dl, and arterial pH <7.40 on ICU admission were each associated with a higher risk of AKI-KRT. Of the 111 patients with AKI-KRT, 97 (87.4%) died within 90 days. Ninety-day mortality was 100% in each of the following subgroups: serum albumin ≤2.0 g/dl, total bilirubin ≥7.0 mg/dl, arterial pH ≤7.20, IMV with moderate-to-severe hypoxemia, and ≥3 vasopressors/inotropes at KRT initiation. AKI-KRT was associated with a 6.59-fold higher adjusted 90-day mortality in critically ill allo-HSCT vs. non-transplanted patients. Short-term mortality remains exceptionally high among critically ill allo-HSCT patients with AKI-KRT, highlighting the importance of multidisciplinary discussions prior to KRT initiation.

Iron as an emerging therapeutic target in critically ill patients

The multiple roles of iron in the body have been known for decades, particularly its involvement in iron overload diseases such as hemochromatosis. More recently, compelling evidence has emerged regarding the critical role of non-transferrin bound iron (NTBI), also known as catalytic iron, in the care of critically ill patients in intensive care units (ICUs). These trace amounts of iron constitute a small percentage of the serum iron, yet they are heavily implicated in the exacerbation of diseases, primarily by catalyzing the formation of reactive oxygen species, which promote oxidative stress. Additionally, catalytic iron activates macrophages and facilitates the growth of pathogens. This review aims to shed light on this underappreciated phenomenon and explore the various common sources of NTBI in ICU patients, which lead to transient iron dysregulation during acute phases of disease. Iron serves as the linchpin of a vicious cycle in many ICU pathologies that are often multifactorial. The clinical evidence showing its detrimental impact on patient outcomes will be outlined in the major ICU pathologies. Finally, different therapeutic strategies will be reviewed, including the targeting of proteins involved in iron metabolism, conventional chelation therapy, and the combination of renal replacement therapy with chelation therapy.

High-dose IV magnesium in mesothelioma patients receiving surgery with hyperthermic intraoperative cisplatin: Pilot studies and design of a phase II randomized clinical trial

INTRODUCTION

Hyperthermic intraoperative cisplatin (HIOC) is associated with acute kidney injury (AKI). Administration of high-dose magnesium attenuates cisplatin-induced AKI (CP-AKI) in animal models but has not been rigorously examined in humans.

METHODS

We tested the feasibility and safety of different doses of magnesium in mesothelioma patients receiving HIOC. In Pilot Study 1, we administered a 36-h continuous infusion of magnesium at 0.5 g/h, targeting serum magnesium levels between 3 and 4.8 mg/dL. In Pilot Study 2A, we administered a 6 g bolus followed by an infusion starting at 2 g/h, titrated to achieve levels between 4 and 6 mg/dL. We eliminated the bolus in Pilot Study 2B.

RESULTS

In Pilot Study 1, all five patients enrolled completed the study; however, median postoperative Mg levels were only 2.4 mg/dL. In Pilot Study 2A, two of four patients (50%) were withdrawn due to bradycardia during the bolus. In Pilot Study 2B, two patients completed the study whereas two developed postoperative bradycardia attributed to the magnesium.

CONCLUSIONS

A 0.5 g/h infusion for 36 h did not achieve therapeutic magnesium levels, while an infusion at 2 g/h was associated with bradycardia. These studies informed the design of a randomized clinical trial testing whether intravenously Mg attenuates HIOC-associated AKI.

Platelet Factor 4 Antibodies and Severe AKI

Key Points

Patients testing positive for platelet factor 4 antibodies have a >50% higher odds of developing severe AKI compared with those who test negative. The relationship between platelet factor 4 antibodies and severe AKI was independent of demographics, comorbidities, laboratory values, and severity-of-illness characteristics.

Background

Heparin-induced thrombocytopenia, which results from production of antibodies that bind to heparin-platelet factor 4 (PF4) complexes, is a hypercoagulable state associated with considerable morbidity and mortality due to thrombotic complications. We investigated whether PF4 antibodies are associated with an increased risk of AKI.

Methods

We conducted a cohort study of hospitalized adults who underwent testing for PF4 antibodies at two large medical centers in Boston between 2015 and 2021. The primary exposure was PF4 test positivity. The primary outcome was severe AKI, defined by Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes stage 3 as a ≥3-fold increase in serum creatinine or receipt of KRT within 7 days after the PF4 test. We used multivariable logistic regression to adjust for potential confounders.

Results

A total of 4224 patients were included in our analysis, 469 (11.1%) of whom had a positive PF4 test. Severe AKI occurred in 50 of 469 patients (10.7%) with a positive PF4 test and in 235 of 3755 patients (6.3%) with a negative test (unadjusted odds ratio, 1.79 [95% confidence interval, 1.30 to 2.47]). In multivariable analyses adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, laboratory values, and severity-of-illness characteristics, PF4 test positivity remained associated with a higher risk of severe AKI (adjusted odds ratio, 1.56 [95% confidence interval, 1.10 to 2.20]).

Conclusions

Among hospitalized adults, the presence of PF4 antibodies is independently associated with a 56% higher odds of developing severe AKI. Additional studies are needed to investigate potential mechanisms that may underlie these findings, such as pathogenic effects of PF4 antibodies on the microvasculature of the kidneys.

Effect of therapeutic-dose heparin on severe acute kidney injury and death in noncritically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19: a prespecified secondary analysis of the ACTIV4a and ATTACC randomized trial

Background

Acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with COVID-19 is partly mediated by thromboinflammation. In noncritically ill patients with COVID-19, therapeutic-dose anticoagulation with heparin increased the probability of survival to hospital discharge with reduced use of cardiovascular or respiratory organ support.

Objectives

We investigated whether therapeutic-dose heparin reduces the incidence of AKI or death in noncritically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19.

Methods

We report a prespecified secondary analysis of the ACTIV4a and ATTACC open-label, multiplatform randomized trial of therapeutic-dose heparin vs usual-care pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis on the incidence of severe AKI (≥2-fold increase in serum creatinine or initiation of kidney replacement therapy (KDIGO stage 2 or 3) or all-cause mortality in noncritically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19. Bayesian statistical models were adjusted for age, sex, D-dimer, enrollment period, country, site, and platform.

Results

Among 1922 enrolled, 23 were excluded due to pre-existing end stage kidney disease and 205 were missing baseline or follow-up creatinine measurements. Severe AKI or death occurred in 4.4% participants assigned to therapeutic-dose heparin and 5.5% assigned to thromboprophylaxis (adjusted relative risk [aRR]: 0.72; 95% credible interval (CrI): 0.47, 1.10); the posterior probability of superiority for therapeutic-dose heparin (relative risk < 1.0) was 93.6%. Therapeutic-dose heparin was associated with a 97.7% probability of superiority to reduce the composite of stage 3 AKI or death (3.1% vs 4.6%; aRR: 0.64; 95% CrI: 0.40, 0.99) compared to thromboprophylaxis.

Conclusion

Therapeutic-dose heparin was associated with a high probability of superiority to reduce the incidence of in-hospital severe AKI or death in patients hospitalized for COVID-19.

Medication-Related Adverse Events and Discordancies in Cystatin C-Based vs Serum Creatinine-Based Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate in Patients With Cancer

Importance

Serum creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcr) may overestimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in patients with cancer. Cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) is an alternative marker of GFR.

Objective

To determine whether the therapeutic drug levels and adverse events (AEs) associated with renally cleared medications were higher in patients with cancer whose eGFRcys was more than 30% lower than their eGFRcr.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study analyzed adult patients with cancer at 2 major academic cancer centers in Boston, Massachusetts. These patients had their creatinine and cystatin C measured on the same day between May 2010 and January 2022. The date of the first simultaneous eGFRcr and eGFRcys measurement was considered to be the baseline date.

Exposure

The primary exposure was eGFR discordance, defined as an eGFRcys that was more than 30% lower than the eGFRcr.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was risk of the following medication-related AEs within 90 days of the baseline date: (1) supratherapeutic vancomycin trough level greater than 30 μg/mL, (2) trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole-related hyperkalemia (>5.5 mEq/L), (3) baclofen toxic effect, and (4) supratherapeutic digoxin level (>2.0 ng/mL). For the secondary outcome, a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to compare 30-day survival of those with vs without eGFR discordance.

Results

A total of 1869 adult patients with cancer (mean [SD] age, 66 [14] years; 948 males [51%]) had simultaneous eGFRcys and eGFRcr measurement. There were 543 patients (29%) with an eGFRcys that was more than 30% lower than their eGFRcr. Patients with an eGFRcys that was more than 30% lower than their eGFRcr were more likely to experience medication-related AEs compared with patients with concordant eGFRs (defined as eGFRcys within 30% of eGFRcr), including vancomycin levels greater than 30 μg/mL (43 of 179 [24%] vs 7 of 77 [9%]; P = .01), trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole-related hyperkalemia (29 of 129 [22%] vs 11 of 92 [12%]; P = .07), baclofen toxic effects (5 of 19 [26%] vs 0 of 11; P = .19), and supratherapeutic digoxin levels (7 of 24 [29%] vs 0 of 10; P = .08). The adjusted odds ratio for vancomycin levels more than 30 μg/mL was 2.59 (95% CI, 1.08-7.03; P = .04). Patients with an eGFRcys more than 30% lower than their eGFRcr had an increased 30-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.26-3.11; P = .003).

Conclusions and relevance

Results of this study suggest that among patients with cancer with simultaneous assessment of eGFRcys and eGFRcr, supratherapeutic drug levels and medication-related AEs occurred more commonly in those with an eGFRcys more than 30% lower than their eGFRcr. Future prospective studies are needed to improve and personalize GFR estimation and medication dosing in patients with cancer.

Timing of invasive mechanical ventilation and death in critically ill adults with COVID-19: A multicenter cohort study

PURPOSE

To investigate if the timing of initiation of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) for critically ill patients with COVID-19 is associated with mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data for this study were derived from a multicenter cohort study of critically ill adults with COVID-19 admitted to ICUs at 68 hospitals across the US from March 1 to July 1, 2020. We examined the association between early (ICU days 1-2) versus late (ICU days 3-7) initiation of IMV and time-to-death. Patients were followed until the first of hospital discharge, death, or 90 days. We adjusted for confounding using a multivariable Cox model.

RESULTS

Among the 1879 patients included in this analysis (1199 male [63.8%]; median age, 63 [IQR, 53-72] years), 1526 (81.2%) initiated IMV early and 353 (18.8%) initiated IMV late. A total of 644 of the 1526 patients (42.2%) in the early IMV group died, and 180 of the 353 (51.0%) in the late IMV group died (adjusted HR 0.77 [95% CI, 0.65-0.93]).

CONCLUSIONS

In critically ill adults with respiratory failure from COVID-19, early compared to late initiation of IMV is associated with reduced mortality.

Effect of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitor and Angiotensin Receptor Blocker Initiation on Organ Support-Free Days in Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19: A Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Overactivation of the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) may contribute to poor clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19.

Objective

To determine whether angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) initiation improves outcomes in patients hospitalized for COVID-19.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In an ongoing, adaptive platform randomized clinical trial, 721 critically ill and 58 non-critically ill hospitalized adults were randomized to receive an RAS inhibitor or control between March 16, 2021, and February 25, 2022, at 69 sites in 7 countries (final follow-up on June 1, 2022).

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were randomized to receive open-label initiation of an ACE inhibitor (n = 257), ARB (n = 248), ARB in combination with DMX-200 (a chemokine receptor-2 inhibitor; n = 10), or no RAS inhibitor (control; n = 264) for up to 10 days.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was organ support-free days, a composite of hospital survival and days alive without cardiovascular or respiratory organ support through 21 days. The primary analysis was a bayesian cumulative logistic model. Odds ratios (ORs) greater than 1 represent improved outcomes.

RESULTS

On February 25, 2022, enrollment was discontinued due to safety concerns. Among 679 critically ill patients with available primary outcome data, the median age was 56 years and 239 participants (35.2%) were women. Median (IQR) organ support-free days among critically ill patients was 10 (-1 to 16) in the ACE inhibitor group (n = 231), 8 (-1 to 17) in the ARB group (n = 217), and 12 (0 to 17) in the control group (n = 231) (median adjusted odds ratios of 0.77 [95% bayesian credible interval, 0.58-1.06] for improvement for ACE inhibitor and 0.76 [95% credible interval, 0.56-1.05] for ARB compared with control). The posterior probabilities that ACE inhibitors and ARBs worsened organ support-free days compared with control were 94.9% and 95.4%, respectively. Hospital survival occurred in 166 of 231 critically ill participants (71.9%) in the ACE inhibitor group, 152 of 217 (70.0%) in the ARB group, and 182 of 231 (78.8%) in the control group (posterior probabilities that ACE inhibitor and ARB worsened hospital survival compared with control were 95.3% and 98.1%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this trial, among critically ill adults with COVID-19, initiation of an ACE inhibitor or ARB did not improve, and likely worsened, clinical outcomes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02735707.

Clinical Features of AKI in the Early Post-Transplant Period Following Reduced Intensity Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HCT) is a potentially curative therapy for patients with hematologic malignancies but is associated with acute kidney injury (AKI). Few studies have examined risk factors for AKI at engraftment, or its relationship with clinical outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to examine the incidence and risk factors for peri-engraftment AKI, as well as the association between AKI and overall survival and non-relapse mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of adult patients receiving reduced intensity conditioning (RIC) allogeneic HCT at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute between 2012 and 2019. Peri-engraftment (day 0 to day 30) AKI incidence and severity was defined using modified Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. Factors associated with peri-engraftment AKI risk were examined using Cox regression analysis. The impact of peri-engraftment AKI on overall survival and non-relapse mortality (defined as death without recurrent disease after HCT), was evaluated using Cox regression and Fine and Gray's competing risk model, respectively. Kidney recovery, defined as a return of serum creatinine within 25% of baseline or liberation from kidney replacement therapy (KRT), was examined at day 90 in relation to HCT.

RESULTS

Peri-engraftment AKI occurred in 330 of 987 patients (33.4%) at a median of 13 days [IQR 4-30] post-transplant. Factors associated with a higher multivariable-adjusted risk of AKI were supratherapeutic rapamycin (HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.20-2.03; p<0.001), fludarabine/melphalan conditioning (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.01-1.81; p=0.05; compared to fludarabine/busulfan and fludarabine, cyclophosphamide, total body irradiation), HCT-Comorbidity Index ≥4 (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.14-1.79; p=0.002), albumin <3.4 g/dl (HR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.33-3.12; p=0.001), hemoglobin ≤12 (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.38-2.78; p<0.001), supratherapeutic tacrolimus (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.07 - 1.95; p=0.02), and baseline serum creatinine >1.1 mg/dl (HR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.48-2.35; p<0.001). Peri-engraftment AKI was associated with worse overall survival (HR 1.40, 95% CI: 1.16-1.71; p<0.001) and non-relapse mortality (subdistribution HR 2.10, 95% CI: 1.52-2.89; p<0.001). Kidney recovery occurred in 18%, 15%, and 30% of patients with stage 1, 2, and 3 AKI without KRT, respectively, and 4 of 16 (25%) patients were liberated from KRT.

CONCLUSION

Peri-engraftment AKI is common among RIC allogeneic HCT recipients. We identified several important risk factors for peri-engraftment AKI. Peri-engraftment AKI is associated with worse overall survival and non-relapse morality, highlighting the importance of timely recognition and management of AKI.

Safety of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients With Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Clinical trials of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) often do not include patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). We aimed to determine the safety of ICIs in patients with cancer and advanced CKD (stages 4-5 CKD, estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <30 mL/minute/1.73 m2).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with advanced CKD from the Mass General Brigham network who received ICIs (n = 91) were compared against those receiving nephrotoxic (n = 113) and non-nephrotoxic (n = 130) antineoplastic therapies, respectively. Rates of new-onset kidney failure (end-stage kidney disease or sustained eGFR ≤10 mL/minute/1.73 m2) and AKI were compared. Among ICI-treated patients, we modeled Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards to compare immune-related adverse event (irAE) risk and used Kaplan-Meier analysis to compare overall survival in patients with advanced CKD to those with eGFR ≥30 mL/minute/1.73 m2.

RESULTS

Rates of new-onset kidney failure were similar at 1 year following initiation of ICIs (10.0%), nephrotoxic (6.2%), and non-nephrotoxic antineoplastic therapies (9.3%) (P = .28). AKI rates were also similar: 17.5%, 17.6%, and 20% of patients in each cohort, respectively (P = .87). Advanced CKD did not increase the risk of developing irAEs (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.28, 95% CI, 0.91-1.81). However, patients with advanced CKD who received ICIs had a decreased overall survival compared with patients with eGFR ≥30 mL/minute/1.73 m2 (HR 1.30 for death, 95% CI, 1.02-1.66, P = .03).

CONCLUSION

ICIs are not associated with increased risk of AKI or new-onset kidney failure compared with other antineoplastic therapies in patients with advanced CKD. Advanced CKD did not increase the risk of extra-renal irAEs, although these patients suffered from lower overall survival.

Medication-related adverse events in patients with cancer and discrepancies in cystatin C- versus creatinine-based eGFR

Background

Creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRCRE) may overestimate kidney function in patients with cancer. Cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRCYS) is an alternative marker of kidney function. We investigated whether patients with an eGFR discrepancy, defined as eGFRCYS >30% lower than the concurrent eGFRCRE, had an increased risk of adverse events resulting from renally-cleared medications.

Patients and Methods

We conducted a cohort study of adult patients with cancer who had serum creatinine and cystatin C measured on the same day between May 2010 and January 2022 at two academic cancer centers in Boston, MA. The primary outcome was the incidence of each of the following medication-related adverse events: 1) supratherapeutic vancomycin levels (>30μg/mL); 2) trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole-related hyperkalemia (>5.5mEq/L); 3) baclofen-induced neurotoxicity; and 4) supratherapeutic digoxin levels (>2.0ng/mL).

Results

1988 patients with cancer had simultaneous eGFRCYS and eGFRCRE. The mean age was 66 years (SD±14), 965 (49%) were female, and 1555 (78%) were non-Hispanic white. eGFR discrepancy occurred in 579 patients (29%). Patients with eGFR discrepancy were more likely to experience medication-related adverse events compared to those without eGFR discrepancy: vancomycin levels >30μg/mL (24% vs. 10%, p=0.004), trimethoprim- sulfamethoxazole-related hyperkalemia (24% vs. 12%, p=0.013), baclofen-induced neurotoxicity (25% vs. 0%, p=0.13), and supratherapeutic digoxin levels (38% vs. 0%, p=0.03). The adjusted OR for vancomycin levels >30μg/mL was 2.30 (95% CI 1.05 - 5.51, p = 0.047).

Conclusion

Among patients with cancer with simultaneous assessment of eGFRCYS and eGFRCRE, medication-related adverse events occur more commonly in those with eGFR discrepancy. These findings underscore the importance of accurate assessment of kidney function and appropriate dosing of renally-cleared medications in patients with cancer.

Target Trial Emulation: A Framework for Causal Inference From Observational Data

This Guide to Statistics and Methods describes the use of target trial emulation to design an observational study so it preserves the advantages of a randomized clinical trial, points out the limitations of the method, and provides an example of its use.

Relationship Between Preexisting Cardiovascular Disease and Death and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Preexisting cardiovascular disease (CVD) is perceived as a risk factor for poor outcomes in patients with COVID-19. We sought to determine whether CVD is associated with in-hospital death and cardiovascular events in critically ill patients with COVID-19.

METHODS

This study used data from a multicenter cohort of adults with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to intensive care units at 68 centers across the United States from March 1 to July 1, 2020. The primary exposure was CVD, defined as preexisting coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, or atrial fibrillation/flutter. Myocardial injury on intensive care unit admission defined as a troponin I or T level above the 99th percentile upper reference limit of normal was a secondary exposure. The primary outcome was 28-day in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included cardiovascular events (cardiac arrest, new-onset arrhythmias, new-onset heart failure, myocarditis, pericarditis, or stroke) within 14 days.

RESULTS

Among 5133 patients (3231 male [62.9%]; mean age 61 years [SD, 15]), 1174 (22.9%) had preexisting CVD. A total of 1178 (34.6%) died, and 920 (17.9%) had a cardiovascular event. After adjusting for age, sex, race, body mass index, history of smoking, and comorbidities, preexisting CVD was associated with a 1.15 (95% CI, 0.98-1.34) higher odds of death. No independent association was observed between preexisting CVD and cardiovascular events. Myocardial injury on intensive care unit admission was associated with higher odds of death (adjusted odds ratio, 1.93 [95% CI, 1.61-2.31]) and cardiovascular events (adjusted odds ratio, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.47-2.24]), regardless of the presence of CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

CVD risk factors, rather than CVD itself, were the major contributors to outcomes in critically ill patients with COVID-19. The occurrence of myocardial injury, regardless of CVD, and its association with outcomes suggests it is likely due to multiorgan injury related to acute inflammation rather than exacerbation of preexisting CVD.

REGISTRATION

NCT04343898; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04343898.

Diagnosis and management of immune checkpoint inhibitor-associated acute kidney injury

Since their introduction into clinical practice a decade ago, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have had an overwhelming impact on cancer treatment. Use of these agents in oncology continues to grow; however, the increased use of these agents has been associated with a parallel increase in ICI-associated immune-related adverse events, which can affect virtually any organ, including the kidneys. ICI-associated acute kidney injury (ICI-AKI) occurs in 2-5% of patients treated with ICIs. Its occurrence can have important consequences, including the temporary or permanent discontinuation of ICIs or other concomitant anticancer therapies and the need for prolonged treatment with corticosteroids. Various mechanisms have been proposed to underlie the development of ICI-AKI, including loss of tolerance to self-antigens, reactivation of drug-specific effector T cells, and the production of kidney-specific autoantibodies. ICI-AKI most commonly manifests as acute tubulo-interstitial nephritis on kidney biopsy and generally shows a favourable response to early initiation of corticosteroids, with complete or partial remission achieved in most patients. The evaluation of patients with suspected ICI-AKI requires careful diagnostic work-up and kidney biopsy for patients with moderate-to-severe ICI-AKI to ensure accurate diagnosis and inform appropriate treatment.

Modulation of the Association Between Age and Death by Risk Factor Burden in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19

Older age is a key risk factor for adverse outcomes in critically ill patients with COVID-19. However, few studies have investigated whether preexisting comorbidities and acute physiologic ICU factors modify the association between age and death.

DESIGN

Multicenter cohort study.

SETTING

ICUs at 68 hospitals across the United States.

PATIENTS

A total of 5,037 critically ill adults with COVID-19 admitted to ICUs between March 1, 2020, and July 1, 2020.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary exposure was age, modeled as a continuous variable. The primary outcome was 28-day inhospital mortality. Multivariable logistic regression tested the association between age and death. Effect modification by the number of risk factors was assessed through a multiplicative interaction term in the logistic regression model. Among the 5,037 patients included (mean age, 60.9 yr [± 14.7], 3,179 [63.1%] male), 1,786 (35.4%) died within 28 days. Age had a nonlinear association with 28-day mortality (p for nonlinearity <0.001) after adjustment for covariates that included demographics, preexisting comorbidities, acute physiologic ICU factors, number of ICU beds, and treatments for COVID-19. The number of preexisting comorbidities and acute physiologic ICU factors modified the association between age and 28-day mortality (p for interaction <0.001), but this effect modification was modest as age still had an exponential relationship with death in subgroups stratified by the number of risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large population of critically ill patients with COVID-19, age had an independent exponential association with death. The number of preexisting comorbidities and acute physiologic ICU factors modified the association between age and death, but age still had an exponential association with death in subgroups according to the number of risk factors present. Additional studies are needed to identify the mechanisms underpinning why older age confers an increased risk of death in critically ill patients with COVID-19.

Shorter versus longer corticosteroid duration and recurrent immune checkpoint inhibitor-associated AKI

BACKGROUND

Corticosteroids are the mainstay of treatment for immune checkpoint inhibitor-associated acute kidney injury (ICPi-AKI), but the optimal duration of therapy has not been established. Prolonged use of corticosteroids can cause numerous adverse effects and may decrease progression-free survival among patients treated with ICPis. We sought to determine whether a shorter duration of corticosteroids was equally efficacious and safe as compared with a longer duration.

METHODS

We used data from an international multicenter cohort study of patients diagnosed with ICPi-AKI from 29 centers across nine countries. We examined whether a shorter duration of corticosteroids (28 days or less) was associated with a higher rate of recurrent ICPi-AKI or death within 30 days following completion of corticosteroid treatment as compared with a longer duration (29-84 days).

RESULTS

Of 165 patients treated with corticosteroids, 56 (34%) received a shorter duration of treatment and 109 (66%) received a longer duration. Patients in the shorter versus longer duration groups were similar with respect to baseline and ICPi-AKI characteristics. Five of 56 patients (8.9%) in the shorter duration group and 12 of 109 (11%) in the longer duration group developed recurrent ICPi-AKI or died (p=0.90). Nadir serum creatinine in the first 14, 28, and 90 days following completion of corticosteroid treatment was similar between groups (p=0.40, p=0.56, and p=0.89, respectively).

CONCLUSION

A shorter duration of corticosteroids (28 days or less) may be safe for patients with ICPi-AKI. However, the findings may be susceptible to unmeasured confounding and further research from randomized clinical trials is needed.

Hispanic ethnicity and mortality among critically ill patients with COVID-19

Background

Hispanic persons living in the United States (U.S.) are at higher risk of infection and death from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) compared with non-Hispanic persons. Whether this disparity exists among critically ill patients with COVID-19 is unknown.

Objective

To evaluate ethnic disparities in mortality among critically ill adults with COVID-19 enrolled in the Study of the Treatment and Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19 (STOP-COVID).

Methods

Multicenter cohort study of adults with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to intensive care units (ICU) at 67 U.S. hospitals from March 4 to May 9, 2020. Multilevel logistic regression was used to evaluate 28-day mortality across racial/ethnic groups.

Results

A total of 2153 patients were included (994 [46.2%] Hispanic and 1159 [53.8%] non-Hispanic White). The median (IQR) age was 62 (51–71) years (non-Hispanic White, 66 [57–74] years; Hispanic, 56 [46–67] years), and 1462 (67.9%) were men. Compared with non-Hispanic White patients, Hispanic patients were younger; were less likely to have hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, coronary artery disease, or heart failure; and had longer duration of symptoms prior to ICU admission. During median (IQR) follow-up of 14 (7–24) days, 785 patients (36.5%) died. In analyses adjusted for age, sex, clinical characteristics, and hospital size, Hispanic patients had higher odds of death compared with non-Hispanic White patients (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.12–1.84).

Conclusions

Among critically ill adults with COVID-19, Hispanic patients were more likely to die than non-Hispanic White patients, even though they were younger and had lower comorbidity burden. This finding highlights the need to provide earlier access to care to Hispanic individuals with COVID-19, especially given our finding of longer duration of symptoms prior to ICU admission among Hispanic patients. In addition, there is a critical need to address ongoing disparities in post hospital discharge care for patients with COVID-19.

Controlled Study of Decision-Making Algorithms for Kidney Replacement Therapy Initiation in Acute Kidney Injury

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

AKI requiring KRT is associated with high mortality and utilization. We evaluated the use of an AKI Standardized Clinical Assessment and Management Plan (SCAMP) on patient outcomes, including mortality, hospital length of stay, and intensive care unit length of stay.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We conducted a 12-month controlled study in the intensive care units of a large academic tertiary medical center. We alternated use of the AKI-SCAMP with use of a "sham" control form in 4- to 6-week blocks. The primary outcome was risk of inpatient mortality. Prespecified secondary outcomes included 30- and 60-day mortality, hospital length of stay, and intensive care unit length of stay. Generalized estimating equations were used to estimate the effect of the AKI-SCAMP on mortality and length of stay.

RESULTS

There were 122 patients in the AKI-SCAMP group and 102 patients in the control group. There was no significant difference in inpatient mortality associated with AKI-SCAMP use (41% versus 47% control). AKI-SCAMP use was associated with significantly reduced intensive care unit length of stay (mean, 8; 95% confidence interval, 8 to 9 days versus mean, 12; 95% confidence interval, 10 to 13 days; P<0.001) and hospital length of stay (mean, 25; 95% confidence interval, 22 to 29 days versus mean, 30; 95% confidence interval, 27 to 34 days; P=0.02). Patients in the AKI-SCAMP group were less likely to receive KRT in the context of physician-perceived treatment futility than those in the control group (2% versus 7%; P=0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Use of the AKI-SCAMP tool for AKI KRT was not significantly associated with inpatient mortality, but was associated with reduced intensive care unit length of stay, hospital length of stay, and use of KRT in cases of physician-perceived treatment futility.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NAME AND REGISTRATION NUMBER

Acute Kidney Injury Standardized Clinical Assessment and Management Plan for Renal Replacement Initiation, NCT03368183.

PODCAST

This article contains a podcast at https://www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2022_02_07_CJN02060221.mp3.

Association of Surge Conditions with Mortality Among Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19

Objective

To determine whether surge conditions were associated with increased mortality.

Design

Multicenter cohort study.

Setting

U.S. ICUs participating in STOP-COVID.

Patients

Consecutive adults with COVID-19 admitted to participating ICUs between March 4 and July 1, 2020.

Interventions

None

Measurements and Main Results

The main outcome was 28-day in-hospital mortality. To assess the association between admission to an ICU during a surge period and mortality, we used two different strategies: (1) an inverse probability weighted difference-in-differences model limited to appropriately matched surge and non-surge patients and (2) a meta-regression of 50 multivariable difference-in-differences models (each based on sets of randomly matched surge- and non-surge hospitals). In the first analysis, we considered a single surge period for the cohort (March 23 – May 6). In the second, each surge hospital had its own surge period (which was compared to the same time periods in matched non-surge hospitals).

Our cohort consisted of 4342 ICU patients (average age 60.8 [sd 14.8], 63.5% men) in 53 U.S. hospitals. Of these, 13 hospitals encountered surge conditions. In analysis 1, the increase in mortality seen during surge was not statistically significant (odds ratio [95% CI]: 1.30 [0.47-3.58], p = .6). In analysis 2, surge was associated with an increased odds of death (odds ratio 1.39 [95% CI, 1.34-1.43], p < .001).

Conclusions

Admission to an ICU with COVID-19 in a hospital that is experiencing surge conditions may be associated with an increased odds of death. Given the high incidence of COVID-19, such increases would translate into substantial excess mortality.

Sex-related differences in mortality, acute kidney injury, and respiratory failure among critically ill patients with COVID-19

Although the number of deaths due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is higher in men than women, prior studies have provided limited sex-stratified clinical data.We evaluated sex-related differences in clinical outcomes among critically ill adults with COVID-19.Multicenter cohort study of adults with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to intensive care units at 67 U.S. hospitals from March 4 to May 9, 2020. Multilevel logistic regression was used to evaluate 28-day in-hospital mortality, severe acute kidney injury (AKI requiring kidney replacement therapy), and respiratory failure occurring within 14 days of intensive care unit admission.A total of 4407 patients were included (median age, 62 years; 2793 [63.4%] men; 1159 [26.3%] non-Hispanic White; 1220 [27.7%] non-Hispanic Black; 994 [22.6%] Hispanic). Compared with women, men were younger (median age, 61 vs 64 years, less likely to be non-Hispanic Black (684 [24.5%] vs 536 [33.2%]), and more likely to smoke (877 [31.4%] vs 422 [26.2%]). During median follow-up of 14 days, 1072 men (38.4%) and 553 women (34.3%) died. Severe AKI occurred in 590 men (21.8%), and 239 women (15.5%), while respiratory failure occurred in 2255 men (80.7%) and 1234 women (76.5%). After adjusting for age, race/ethnicity and clinical variables, compared with women, men had a higher risk of death (OR, 1.50, 95% CI, 1.26-1.77), severe AKI (OR, 1.92; 95% CI 1.57-2.36), and respiratory failure (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.11-1.80).In this multicenter cohort of critically ill adults with COVID-19, men were more likely to have adverse outcomes compared with women.

Kidney Recovery and Death in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19-Associated Acute Kidney Injury Treated With Dialysis: The STOP-COVID Cohort Study

Rationale & Objective

Acute kidney injury treated with kidney replacement therapy (AKI-KRT) occurs frequently in critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We examined the clinical factors that determine kidney recovery in this population.

Study Design

Multicenter cohort study.

Setting & Participants

4,221 adults not receiving KRT who were admitted to intensive care units at 68 US hospitals with COVID-19 from March 1 to June 22, 2020 (the “ICU cohort”). Among these, 876 developed AKI-KRT after admission to the ICU (the “AKI-KRT subcohort”).

Exposure

The ICU cohort was analyzed using AKI severity as the exposure. For the AKI-KRT subcohort, exposures included demographics, comorbidities, initial mode of KRT, and markers of illness severity at the time of KRT initiation.

Outcome

The outcome for the ICU cohort was estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at hospital discharge. A 3-level outcome (death, kidney nonrecovery, and kidney recovery at discharge) was analyzed for the AKI-KRT subcohort.

Analytical Approach

The ICU cohort was characterized using descriptive analyses. The AKI-KRT subcohort was characterized with both descriptive analyses and multinomial logistic regression to assess factors associated with kidney nonrecovery while accounting for death.

Results

Among a total of 4,221 patients in the ICU cohort, 2,361 (56%) developed AKI, including 876 (21%) who received KRT. More severe AKI was associated with higher mortality. Among survivors, more severe AKI was associated with an increased rate of kidney nonrecovery and lower kidney function at discharge. Among the 876 patients with AKI-KRT, 588 (67%) died, 95 (11%) had kidney nonrecovery, and 193 (22%) had kidney recovery by the time of discharge. The odds of kidney nonrecovery was greater for lower baseline eGFR, with ORs of 2.09 (95% CI, 1.09-4.04), 4.27 (95% CI, 1.99-9.17), and 8.69 (95% CI, 3.07-24.55) for baseline eGFR 31-60, 16-30, ≤15 mL/min/1.73 m², respectively, compared with eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m². Oliguria at the time of KRT initiation was also associated with nonrecovery (ORs of 2.10 [95% CI, 1.14-3.88] and 4.02 [95% CI, 1.72-9.39] for patients with 50-499 and <50 mL/d of urine, respectively, compared to ≥500 mL/d of urine).

Limitations

Later recovery events may not have been captured due to lack of postdischarge follow-up.

Conclusions

Lower baseline eGFR and reduced urine output at the time of KRT initiation are each strongly and independently associated with kidney nonrecovery among critically ill patients with COVID-19.

Acute kidney injury in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

Background

Immune checkpoint inhibitor-associated acute kidney injury (ICPi-AKI) has emerged as an important toxicity among patients with cancer.

Methods

We collected data on 429 patients with ICPi-AKI and 429 control patients who received ICPis contemporaneously but who did not develop ICPi-AKI from 30 sites in 10 countries. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of ICPi-AKI and its recovery. A multivariable Cox model was used to estimate the effect of ICPi rechallenge versus no rechallenge on survival following ICPi-AKI.

Results

ICPi-AKI occurred at a median of 16 weeks (IQR 8–32) following ICPi initiation. Lower baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate, proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use, and extrarenal immune-related adverse events (irAEs) were each associated with a higher risk of ICPi-AKI. Acute tubulointerstitial nephritis was the most common lesion on kidney biopsy (125/151 biopsied patients [82.7%]). Renal recovery occurred in 276 patients (64.3%) at a median of 7 weeks (IQR 3–10) following ICPi-AKI. Treatment with corticosteroids within 14 days following ICPi-AKI diagnosis was associated with higher odds of renal recovery (adjusted OR 2.64; 95% CI 1.58 to 4.41). Among patients treated with corticosteroids, early initiation of corticosteroids (within 3 days of ICPi-AKI) was associated with a higher odds of renal recovery compared with later initiation (more than 3 days following ICPi-AKI) (adjusted OR 2.09; 95% CI 1.16 to 3.79). Of 121 patients rechallenged, 20 (16.5%) developed recurrent ICPi-AKI. There was no difference in survival among patients rechallenged versus those not rechallenged following ICPi-AKI.

Conclusions

Patients who developed ICPi-AKI were more likely to have impaired renal function at baseline, use a PPI, and have extrarenal irAEs. Two-thirds of patients had renal recovery following ICPi-AKI. Treatment with corticosteroids was associated with improved renal recovery.

Obesity, inflammatory and thrombotic markers, and major clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with COVID-19 in the US

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine whether obesity is independently associated with major adverse clinical outcomes and inflammatory and thrombotic markers in critically ill patients with COVID-19.

METHODS

The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality in adults with COVID-19 admitted to intensive care units across the US. Secondary outcomes were acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), acute kidney injury requiring renal replacement therapy (AKI-RRT), thrombotic events, and seven blood markers of inflammation and thrombosis. Unadjusted and multivariable-adjusted models were used.

RESULTS

Among the 4,908 study patients, mean (SD) age was 60.9 (14.7) years, 3,095 (62.8%) were male, and 2,552 (52.0%) had obesity. In multivariable models, BMI was not associated with mortality. Higher BMI beginning at 25 kg/m² was associated with a greater risk of ARDS and AKI-RRT but not thrombosis. There was no clinically significant association between BMI and inflammatory or thrombotic markers.

CONCLUSIONS

In critically ill patients with COVID-19, higher BMI was not associated with death or thrombotic events but was associated with a greater risk of ARDS and AKI-RRT. The lack of an association between BMI and circulating biomarkers calls into question the paradigm that obesity contributes to poor outcomes in critically ill patients with COVID-19 by upregulating systemic inflammatory and prothrombotic pathways.

Severe autoimmune hemolytic anemia following receipt of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine

Background

Large clinical trials have demonstrated the overall safety of vaccines for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2). However, reports have emerged of autoimmune phenomena, including vaccine‐associated myocarditis, immune thrombocytopenia, and immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia.

Case Presentation

Here we present a novel case of a young woman who developed life‐threatening autoimmune hemolytic anemia (AIHA) after her first dose of a SARS‐CoV‐2 mRNA vaccine. Notably, initial direct antiglobulin testing was negative using standard anti‐IgG reagents, which are “blind” to certain immunoglobulin (IgG) isotypes. Further testing using an antiglobulin reagent that detects all IgG isotypes was strongly positive and confirmed the diagnosis of AIHA. The patient required transfusion with 13 units of red blood cells, as well as treatment with corticosteroids, rituximab, mycophenolate mofetil, and immune globulin.

Conclusion

As efforts to administer SARS‐CoV‐2 vaccines continue globally, clinicians must be aware of potential autoimmune sequelae of these therapies.

Immune-related adverse events and kidney function decline in patients with genitourinary cancers treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

BACKGROUND

In patients with genitourinary cancers, the effect of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) on kidney function is unknown.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and urothelial carcinoma who received ICIs at two major cancer centers between 2012 and 2018. Cumulative incidence and Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard models were performed to determine predictors of the co-primary outcomes, (1) acute kidney injury (AKI) and (2) sustained estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) loss, defined as a >20% decline in eGFR sustained ≥90 days. We also determined the association between immune-related adverse events (irAE) and adverse kidney outcomes among patients surviving ≥1 year.

RESULTS

637 patients were included; 320 (50%) patients had RCC and 317 (50%) patients had urothelial carcinoma. Half of the cohort had eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m² at baseline. irAEs, AKI, and sustained eGFR loss were common, occurring in 33%, 25% and 16%, respectively. Compared to patients with urothelial carcinoma, patients with RCC were more likely to develop irAEs (aHR 1.61, 95% CI 1.20-2.18) and sustained eGFR loss (aHR 1.97, 95% CI 1.24-3.12), but not AKI (aHR 1.53, 95% CI 0.97-2.41). Among patients surviving ≥1 years, experiencing a non-renal irAE was associated with a significantly higher risk of sustained eGFR loss (aHR 1.71, 95% CI 1.14-2.57).

CONCLUSION

AKI and sustained eGFR loss are common in patients with genitourinary cancers receiving ICIs. irAEs may be a novel risk factor for kidney function decline among patients receiving ICIs.

Hospital-Level Variation in Death for Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19

RATIONALE

Variation in hospital mortality has been described for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), but the factors that explain these differences remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to utilize a large, nationally representative dataset of critically ill adults with COVID-19 to determine which factors explain mortality variability.

METHODS

In this multicenter cohort study, we examined adults hospitalized in intensive care units with COVID-19 at 70 United States hospitals between March and June 2020. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. We examined patient-level and hospital-level variables. Mixed-effects logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with interhospital variation. The median odds ratio (OR) was calculated to compare outcomes in higher- vs. lower-mortality hospitals. A gradient boosted machine algorithm was developed for individual-level mortality models.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

A total of 4,019 patients were included, 1537 (38%) of whom died by 28 days. Mortality varied considerably across hospitals (0-82%). After adjustment for patient- and hospital-level domains, interhospital variation was attenuated (OR decline from 2.06 [95% CI, 1.73-2.37] to 1.22 [95% CI, 1.00-1.38]), with the greatest changes occurring with adjustment for acute physiology, socioeconomic status, and strain. For individual patients, the relative contribution of each domain to mortality risk was: acute physiology (49%), demographics and comorbidities (20%), socioeconomic status (12%), strain (9%), hospital quality (8%), and treatments (3%).

CONCLUSION

There is considerable interhospital variation in mortality for critically ill patients with COVID-19, which is mostly explained by hospital-level socioeconomic status, strain, and acute physiologic differences. Individual mortality is driven mostly by patient-level factors. This article is open access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives License 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Machine Learning Prediction of Death in Critically Ill Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019

OBJECTIVES

Critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 have variable mortality. Risk scores could improve care and be used for prognostic enrichment in trials. We aimed to compare machine learning algorithms and develop a simple tool for predicting 28-day mortality in ICU patients with coronavirus disease 2019.

DESIGN

This was an observational study of adult patients with coronavirus disease 2019. The primary outcome was 28-day inhospital mortality. Machine learning models and a simple tool were derived using variables from the first 48 hours of ICU admission and validated externally in independent sites and temporally with more recent admissions. Models were compared with a modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, National Early Warning Score, and CURB-65 using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration.

SETTING

Sixty-eight U.S. ICUs.

PATIENTS

Adults with coronavirus disease 2019 admitted to 68 ICUs in the United States between March 4, 2020, and June 29, 2020.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The study included 5,075 patients, 1,846 (36.4%) of whom died by day 28. eXtreme Gradient Boosting had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in external validation (0.81) and was well-calibrated, while k-nearest neighbors were the lowest performing machine learning algorithm (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.69). Findings were similar with temporal validation. The simple tool, which was created using the most important features from the eXtreme Gradient Boosting model, had a significantly higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in external validation (0.78) than the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (0.69), National Early Warning Score (0.60), and CURB-65 (0.65; p < 0.05 for all comparisons). Age, number of ICU beds, creatinine, lactate, arterial pH, and Pao2/Fio2 ratio were the most important predictors in the eXtreme Gradient Boosting model.

CONCLUSIONS

eXtreme Gradient Boosting had the highest discrimination overall, and our simple tool had higher discrimination than a modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, National Early Warning Score, and CURB-65 on external validation. These models could be used to improve triage decisions and clinical trial enrichment.

Identification of Distinct Clinical Subphenotypes in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19

Background

Subphenotypes have been identified in patients with sepsis and ARDS and are associated with different outcomes and responses to therapies.

Research Question

Can unique subphenotypes be identified among critically ill patients with COVID-19?

Study Design and Methods

Using data from a multicenter cohort study that enrolled critically ill patients with COVID-19 from 67 hospitals across the United States, we randomly divided centers into discovery and replication cohorts. We used latent class analysis independently in each cohort to identify subphenotypes based on clinical and laboratory variables. We then analyzed the associations of subphenotypes with 28-day mortality.

Results

Latent class analysis identified four subphenotypes (SP) with consistent characteristics across the discovery (45 centers; n = 2,188) and replication (22 centers; n = 1,112) cohorts. SP1 was characterized by shock, acidemia, and multiorgan dysfunction, including acute kidney injury treated with renal replacement therapy. SP2 was characterized by high C-reactive protein, early need for mechanical ventilation, and the highest rate of ARDS. SP3 showed the highest burden of chronic diseases, whereas SP4 demonstrated limited chronic disease burden and mild physiologic abnormalities. Twenty-eight-day mortality in the discovery cohort ranged from 20.6% (SP4) to 52.9% (SP1). Mortality across subphenotypes remained different after adjustment for demographics, comorbidities, organ dysfunction and illness severity, regional and hospital factors. Compared with SP4, the relative risks were as follows: SP1, 1.67 (95% CI, 1.36-2.03); SP2, 1.39 (95% CI, 1.17-1.65); and SP3, 1.39 (95% CI, 1.15-1.67). Findings were similar in the replication cohort.

Interpretation

We identified four subphenotypes of COVID-19 critical illness with distinct patterns of clinical and laboratory characteristics, comorbidity burden, and mortality.

d-dimer and Death in Critically Ill Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019

OBJECTIVES

Hypercoagulability may be a key mechanism for acute organ injury and death in patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019, but the relationship between elevated plasma levels of d-dimer, a biomarker of coagulation activation, and mortality has not been rigorously studied. We examined the independent association between d-dimer and death in critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019.

DESIGN

Multicenter cohort study.

SETTING

ICUs at 68 hospitals across the United States.

PATIENTS

Critically ill adults with coronavirus disease 2019 admitted to ICUs between March 4, 2020, and May 25, 2020, with a measured d-dimer concentration on ICU day 1 or 2.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary exposure was the highest normalized d-dimer level (assessed in four categories: < 2×, 2-3.9×, 4-7.9×, and ≥ 8× the upper limit of normal) on ICU day 1 or 2. The primary endpoint was 28-day mortality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to adjust for confounders. Among 3,418 patients (63.1% male; median age 62 yr [interquartile range, 52-71 yr]), 3,352 (93.6%) had a d-dimer concentration above the upper limit of normal. A total of 1,180 patients (34.5%) died within 28 days. Patients in the highest compared with lowest d-dimer category had a 3.11-fold higher odds of death (95% CI, 2.56-3.77) in univariate analyses, decreasing to a 1.81-fold increased odds of death (95% CI, 1.43-2.28) after multivariable adjustment for demographics, comorbidities, and illness severity. Further adjustment for therapeutic anticoagulation did not meaningfully attenuate this relationship (odds ratio, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.36-2.19).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large multicenter cohort study of critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019, higher d-dimer levels were independently associated with a greater risk of death.

Thrombosis, Bleeding, and the Observational Effect of Early Therapeutic Anticoagulation on Survival in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Hypercoagulability may be a key mechanism of death in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and major bleeding in critically ill patients with COVID-19 and examine the observational effect of early therapeutic anticoagulation on survival.

DESIGN

In a multicenter cohort study of 3239 critically ill adults with COVID-19, the incidence of VTE and major bleeding within 14 days after intensive care unit (ICU) admission was evaluated. A target trial emulation in which patients were categorized according to receipt or no receipt of therapeutic anticoagulation in the first 2 days of ICU admission was done to examine the observational effect of early therapeutic anticoagulation on survival. A Cox model with inverse probability weighting to adjust for confounding was used.

SETTING

67 hospitals in the United States.

PARTICIPANTS

Adults with COVID-19 admitted to a participating ICU.

MEASUREMENTS

Time to death, censored at hospital discharge, or date of last follow-up.

RESULTS

Among the 3239 patients included, the median age was 61 years (interquartile range, 53 to 71 years), and 2088 (64.5%) were men. A total of 204 patients (6.3%) developed VTE, and 90 patients (2.8%) developed a major bleeding event. Independent predictors of VTE were male sex and higher D-dimer level on ICU admission. Among the 2809 patients included in the target trial emulation, 384 (11.9%) received early therapeutic anticoagulation. In the primary analysis, during a median follow-up of 27 days, patients who received early therapeutic anticoagulation had a similar risk for death as those who did not (hazard ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.92 to 1.35]).

LIMITATION

Observational design.

CONCLUSION

Among critically ill adults with COVID-19, early therapeutic anticoagulation did not affect survival in the target trial emulation.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

None.

Acute kidney injury in renal transplant recipients undergoing cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a key risk factor for chronic kidney disease in the general population, but has not been investigated in detail among renal transplant recipients (RTRs). We investigated the incidence, severity and risk factors for AKI following cardiac surgery among RTRs compared with non-RTRs with otherwise similar clinical characteristics.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of RTRs (n = 83) and non-RTRs (n = 83) who underwent cardiac surgery at two major academic medical centers. Non-RTRs were matched 1:1 to RTRs by age, preoperative (preop) estimated glomerular filtration rate and type of cardiac surgery. We defined AKI according to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria.

RESULTS

RTRs had a higher rate of AKI following cardiac surgery compared with non-RTRs [46% versus 28%; adjusted odds ratio 2.77 (95% confidence interval 1.36-5.64)]. Among RTRs, deceased donor (DD) versus living donor (LD) status, as well as higher versus lower preop calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) trough levels, were associated with higher rates of AKI (57% versus 33% among DD-RTRs versus LD-RTRs; P = 0.047; 73% versus 36% among RTRs with higher versus lower CNI trough levels, P = 0.02). The combination of both risk factors (DD status and higher CNI trough level) had an additive effect (88% AKI incidence among patients with both risk factors versus 25% incidence among RTRs with neither risk factor, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

RTRs have a higher risk of AKI following cardiac surgery compared with non-RTRs with otherwise similar characteristics. Among RTRs, DD-RTRs and those with higher preop CNI trough levels are at the highest risk.

Intraoperative Oxygen Concentration and Neurocognition after Cardiac Surgery

BACKGROUND

Despite evidence suggesting detrimental effects of perioperative hyperoxia, hyperoxygenation remains commonplace in cardiac surgery. Hyperoxygenation may increase oxidative damage and neuronal injury leading to potential differences in postoperative neurocognition. Therefore, this study tested the primary hypothesis that intraoperative normoxia, as compared to hyperoxia, reduces postoperative cognitive dysfunction in older patients having cardiac surgery.

METHODS

A randomized double-blind trial was conducted in patients aged 65 yr or older having coronary artery bypass graft surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. A total of 100 patients were randomized to one of two intraoperative oxygen delivery strategies. Normoxic patients (n = 50) received a minimum fraction of inspired oxygen of 0.35 to maintain a Pao2 above 70 mmHg before and after cardiopulmonary bypass and between 100 and 150 mmHg during cardiopulmonary bypass. Hyperoxic patients (n = 50) received a fraction of inspired oxygen of 1.0 throughout surgery, irrespective of Pao2 levels. The primary outcome was neurocognitive function measured on postoperative day 2 using the Telephonic Montreal Cognitive Assessment. Secondary outcomes included neurocognitive function at 1, 3, and 6 months, as well as postoperative delirium, mortality, and durations of mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit stay, and hospital stay.

RESULTS

The median age was 71 yr (interquartile range, 68 to 75), and the median baseline neurocognitive score was 17 (16 to 19). The median intraoperative Pao2 was 309 (285 to 352) mmHg in the hyperoxia group and 153 (133 to 168) mmHg in the normoxia group (P < 0.001). The median Telephonic Montreal Cognitive Assessment score on postoperative day 2 was 18 (16 to 20) in the hyperoxia group and 18 (14 to 20) in the normoxia group (P = 0.42). Neurocognitive function at 1, 3, and 6 months, as well as secondary outcomes, were not statistically different between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In this randomized controlled trial, intraoperative normoxia did not reduce postoperative cognitive dysfunction when compared to intraoperative hyperoxia in older patients having cardiac surgery. Although the optimal intraoperative oxygenation strategy remains uncertain, the results indicate that intraoperative hyperoxia does not worsen postoperative cognition after cardiac surgery.

EDITOR’S PERSPECTIVE

Characteristics and Outcomes of Individuals With Pre-existing Kidney Disease and COVID-19 Admitted to Intensive Care Units in the United States

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Underlying kidney disease is an emerging risk factor for more severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) illness. We examined the clinical courses of critically ill COVID-19 patients with and without pre-existing chronic kidney disease (CKD) and investigated the association between the degree of underlying kidney disease and in-hospital outcomes.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTINGS & PARTICIPANTS

4,264 critically ill patients with COVID-19 (143 patients with pre-existing kidney failure receiving maintenance dialysis; 521 patients with pre-existing non-dialysis-dependent CKD; and 3,600 patients without pre-existing CKD) admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) at 68 hospitals across the United States.

PREDICTOR(S)

Presence (vs absence) of pre-existing kidney disease.

OUTCOME(S)

In-hospital mortality (primary); respiratory failure, shock, ventricular arrhythmia/cardiac arrest, thromboembolic events, major bleeds, and acute liver injury (secondary).

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

We used standardized differences to compare patient characteristics (values>0.10 indicate a meaningful difference between groups) and multivariable-adjusted Fine and Gray survival models to examine outcome associations.

RESULTS

Dialysis patients had a shorter time from symptom onset to ICU admission compared to other groups (median of 4 [IQR, 2-9] days for maintenance dialysis patients; 7 [IQR, 3-10] days for non-dialysis-dependent CKD patients; and 7 [IQR, 4-10] days for patients without pre-existing CKD). More dialysis patients (25%) reported altered mental status than those with non-dialysis-dependent CKD (20%; standardized difference=0.12) and those without pre-existing CKD (12%; standardized difference=0.36). Half of dialysis and non-dialysis-dependent CKD patients died within 28 days of ICU admission versus 35% of patients without pre-existing CKD. Compared to patients without pre-existing CKD, dialysis patients had higher risk for 28-day in-hospital death (adjusted HR, 1.41 [95% CI, 1.09-1.81]), while patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD had an intermediate risk (adjusted HR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.08-1.44]).

LIMITATIONS

Potential residual confounding.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings highlight the high mortality of individuals with underlying kidney disease and severe COVID-19, underscoring the importance of identifying safe and effective COVID-19 therapies in this vulnerable population.

Association Between Early Treatment With Tocilizumab and Mortality Among Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19

IMPORTANCE

Therapies that improve survival in critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are needed. Tocilizumab, a monoclonal antibody against the interleukin 6 receptor, may counteract the inflammatory cytokine release syndrome in patients with severe COVID-19 illness.

OBJECTIVE

To test whether tocilizumab decreases mortality in this population.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The data for this study were derived from a multicenter cohort study of 4485 adults with COVID-19 admitted to participating intensive care units (ICUs) at 68 hospitals across the US from March 4 to May 10, 2020. Critically ill adults with COVID-19 were categorized according to whether they received or did not receive tocilizumab in the first 2 days of admission to the ICU. Data were collected retrospectively until June 12, 2020. A Cox regression model with inverse probability weighting was used to adjust for confounding.

EXPOSURES

Treatment with tocilizumab in the first 2 days of ICU admission.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Time to death, compared via hazard ratios (HRs), and 30-day mortality, compared via risk differences.

RESULTS

Among the 3924 patients included in the analysis (2464 male [62.8%]; median age, 62 [interquartile range {IQR}, 52-71] years), 433 (11.0%) received tocilizumab in the first 2 days of ICU admission. Patients treated with tocilizumab were younger (median age, 58 [IQR, 48-65] vs 63 [IQR, 52-72] years) and had a higher prevalence of hypoxemia on ICU admission (205 of 433 [47.3%] vs 1322 of 3491 [37.9%] with mechanical ventilation and a ratio of partial pressure of arterial oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen of <200 mm Hg) than patients not treated with tocilizumab. After applying inverse probability weighting, baseline and severity-of-illness characteristics were well balanced between groups. A total of 1544 patients (39.3%) died, including 125 (28.9%) treated with tocilizumab and 1419 (40.6%) not treated with tocilizumab. In the primary analysis, during a median follow-up of 27 (IQR, 14-37) days, patients treated with tocilizumab had a lower risk of death compared with those not treated with tocilizumab (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.56-0.92). The estimated 30-day mortality was 27.5% (95% CI, 21.2%-33.8%) in the tocilizumab-treated patients and 37.1% (95% CI, 35.5%-38.7%) in the non-tocilizumab-treated patients (risk difference, 9.6%; 95% CI, 3.1%-16.0%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among critically ill patients with COVID-19 in this cohort study, the risk of in-hospital mortality in this study was lower in patients treated with tocilizumab in the first 2 days of ICU admission compared with patients whose treatment did not include early use of tocilizumab. However, the findings may be susceptible to unmeasured confounding, and further research from randomized clinical trials is needed.