The Relationship Between Education and Pain Among Adults Aged 30-49 in the United States

Pain is a major health problem among U.S. adults. Surprisingly little, however, is known about educational disparities in pain, especially among the nonelderly. In this study, we analyze disparities in pain across levels of educational attainment. Using data from the 2010 to 2017 National Health Interview Survey among adults aged 30 to 49 (N = 74,051), we estimate logistic regression models of pain prevalence using a dichotomous summary pain index and its 5 constituent pain sites (low back, joint, neck, headache/migraine, and facial/jaw). We find a significant and steep pain gradient: greater levels of educational attainment are associated with less pain, with 2 important exceptions. First, adults with a high-school equivalency diploma (GED) and those with "some college" have significantly higher pain levels than high school graduates despite having an equivalent or higher attainment, respectively. Second, the education-pain gradient is absent for Hispanic adults. After taking into account important covariates including employment, economic resources, health behaviors, physical health conditions, and psychological wellbeing, educational disparities in pain are no longer statistically significant except for the GED and "some college" categories, which still show significantly higher pain levels than high school graduates. We thus document the overall education-pain gradient in most younger U.S. adult populations, and identify groups where pain is higher than expected (certain educational categories) or lower than expected (eg, less-educated Hispanics). Understanding the causes of these anomalous findings could clarify factors shaping pain prevalence and disparities therein. PERSPECTIVE: Over 50% of U.S. adults age 30 to 49 report pain. Overall, more educated Americans report substantially less pain than the less educated. However, adults with a GED and "some college" report more pain than other groups. Understanding the causes could help illuminate the mechanisms through which social factors influence pain.

Quality of life among patients with left ventricular assist device: Comparison of two populations

Background

This study aims to evaluate quality of life among patients with an implanted left ventricular assist device in two different populations.

Methods

This cross-sectional study included a total of 20 patients (15 males, 5 females; mean age 41.8±13.4 years; range, 20 to 65 years) from Turkey and 40 patients (33 males, 7 females; mean age 55.1±11.6 years; range, 21 to 76 years) from Germany who underwent left ventricular assist device implantation and reached their third month of treatment between January 2016 and August 2016. The Euro Quality of Life-5 Dimension Questionnaire and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 were used to assess quality of life of both groups.

Results

Sixty-five percent of the German patients returned to work, while none of the Turkish patients returned after implantation (p=0.000). The Turkish (70%) and German (40%) patients reported that they had difficulty in living with a left ventricular assist device (p=0.028). The mean Euro Quality of Life-5 Dimension Questionnaire visual analog scale scores of the Turkish and German patients were 70.50% and 62.38%, respectively. The mean Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 scores of the Turkish patients were significantly higher than those of the German patients (p=0.01).

Conclusion

Left ventricular assist device implantation improved the quality of life of both Turkish and German patients. Turkish patients with left ventricular assist device should be encouraged to adopt a more independent life, not to limit their lives to home and to return to work according to their functional capacity.

Antihypertensive Treatment in Elderly Frail Patients: Evidence From a Large Italian Database

Aim of our study was to assess the relationship between adherence with antihypertensive drugs and the risk of death in frail versus nonfrail old individuals. Using the database of the Lombardy Region (Italy), we identified 1 283 602 residents aged ≥65 years (mean age 76) who had ≥3 prescriptions of antihypertensive drugs between 2011 and 2012. A nested case-control design was applied, with cases being the cohort members who died during the observation period (7 years). Logistic regression was used to model the association of interest, with adjustment for potential confounders. Adherence was measured by the proportion of the follow-up covered by prescriptions, and the analysis was separately performed in patients with a good, medium, poor, and very poor clinical status, as assessed by a score that has been shown to be a sensitive predictor of death in the Italian population. The 7-year death probability increased from 16% (good) to 64% (very poor) clinical status. Compared with patients with very low adherence with antihypertensive treatment (<25% of follow-up time covered by prescriptions), those with high adherence (>75% of time covered by prescriptions) exhibited a lower risk of all-cause mortality in each group, the difference decreasing progressively (-44%, -43%, -40%, and -33%) from the good to the very poor clinical status. Adherence with antihypertensive drug treatment was also associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular mortality. Adherence with antihypertensive appears to be protective in frail old patients, but the benefit is less marked than in patients with a good clinical status.

The Genetic Regulation of Alternative Splicing in Populus deltoides

Alternative splicing (AS) is a mechanism of regulation of the proteome via enabling the production of multiple mRNAs from a single gene. To date, the dynamics of AS and its effects on the protein sequences of individuals in a large and genetically unrelated population of trees have not been investigated. Here we describe the diversity of AS events within a previously genotyped population of 268 individuals of Populus deltoides and their putative downstream functional effects. Using a robust bioinformatics pipeline, the AS events and resulting transcript isoforms were discovered and quantified for each individual in the population. Analysis of the AS revealed that, as expected, most AS isoforms are conserved. However, we also identified a substantial collection of new, unannotated splice junctions and transcript isoforms. Heritability estimates for the expression of transcript isoforms showed that approximately half of the isoforms are heritable. The genetic regulators of these AS isoforms and splice junction usage were then identified using a genome-wide association analysis. The expression of AS isoforms was predominately cis regulated while splice junction usage was generally regulated in trans. Additionally, we identified 696 genes encoding alternatively spliced isoforms that changed putative protein domains relative to the longest protein coding isoform of the gene, and 859 genes exhibiting this same phenomenon relative to the most highly expressed isoform. Finally, we found that 748 genes gained or lost micro-RNA binding sites relative to the longest protein coding isoform of a given gene, while 940 gained or lost micro-RNA binding sites relative to the most highly expressed isoform. These results indicate that a significant fraction of AS events are genetically regulated and that this isoform usage can result in protein domain architecture changes.

Serum Calcification Propensity and the Risk of Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality in the General Population: The PREVEND Study

OBJECTIVE

Vascular calcification contributes to the cause of cardiovascular disease. The calciprotein particle maturation time (T₅₀) in serum, a measure of calcification propensity, has been linked with adverse outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease, but its role in the general population is unclear. We investigated whether serum T₅₀ is associated with cardiovascular mortality in a large general population-based cohort. Approach and Results: The relationship between serum T₅₀ and cardiovascular mortality was studied in 6231 participants of the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease) cohort. All-cause mortality was the secondary outcome. Mean (±SD) age was 53±12 years, 50% were male, and mean serum T₅₀ was 329±58 minutes. A shorter serum T₅₀ is indicative of a higher calcification propensity. Serum T₅₀ was inversely associated with circulating phosphate, age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and alcohol consumption, whereas plasma magnesium was positively associated with serum T₅₀ (P<0.001, total multivariable model R²=0.281). During median (interquartile range) follow-up for 8.3 (7.8-8.9) years, 364 patients died (5.8%), of whom 95 (26.1%) died from a cardiovascular cause. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, each 60 minutes decrease in serum T₅₀ was independently associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular mortality (fully adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI], 1.22 [1.04-1.36], P=0.021). This association was modified by diabetes mellitus; stratified analysis indicated a more pronounced association in individuals with diabetes mellitus.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum T₅₀ is independently associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality in the general population and thus may be an early and potentially modifiable risk marker for cardiovascular mortality.

Bacillus subtilis and Bacillus velezensis population dynamics and quantification of spores after inoculation on ornamental plants

Bacillus subtilis and Bacillus velezensis are used in organic agriculture as an alternative to chemical pesticides to fight against phytopathogen organisms. These Gram-positive soil-dwelling bacteria are able to resist harsh conditions and survive by differentiating into endospores. Few studies have examined how bacterial populations change on plants over time, and whether they remain active or enter a dormant state. Nonetheless, these characteristics are strikingly important to determine the usage of B. subtilis and B. velezensis and their efficacy in environmental conditions. Here, we investigated the population dynamics of B. subtilis NCIB3610 and B. velezensis QST713 when applied as spores on different ornamental plants. We report that on all the plants studied (Echinacea purpurea 'Salsa red', Echinacea purpurea 'Fatal attraction', and Lavandula angustifolia 'Hidecote blue'), spores rapidly germinated and colonized the rhizoplane, maintaining a relatively low proportion of spores in the population over time, whereas the bacterial population on the leaves rapidly declined. Bacteria in the surrounding soil did not germinate and persisted as spores. Taken together, these results suggest that only cells found at the rhizosphere remain metabolically active to allow the formation of a lasting relationship with the plant, making possible beneficial effects from the inoculated bacteria.

Can Meals Outside Homes Impact Sodium Intake?

BACKGROUND

The WHO currently recommends a daily sodium intake of 2 g and has established the goal of a 30% reduction in mean salt intake by 2025.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to estimate sodium intake in study participants according to the locations of where they consumed meals and their demographic and socioeconomic characteristics and practices related to salt consumption.

METHODS

A population-based, cross-sectional study was conducted with a sample of 2574 individuals aged ≥10 y who answered the 2015 Campinas-Brazil Nutrition Survey. Mean sodium intake was estimated using a 24-h recall log and associations with the independent variables were tested using generalized regression analysis stratified by age group.

RESULTS

Sodium intake was higher in male participants as well as adolescents and adults who reported eating ≥1 meal outside the home (6.07% and 7.06% increase, respectively). Per meal, sodium was consumed more outside the home at breakfast, during an afternoon snack, and at dinner among adolescents. No significant differences were found in the analysis by type of meal among the adults and seniors.

CONCLUSIONS

Sodium intake exceeded the WHO recommendation in all age groups analyzed. Having ≥1 meal outside the home was associated with greater sodium intake among adolescents and adults. Measures to regulate the food industry and dietary/nutritional education strategies targeting consumers are important to reducing the sodium intake of the population.

Relative prevalence and distribution of knee, hand and foot symptomatic osteoarthritis subtypes in an English population

In this brief report, we used data from a series of three related cohorts on pain and osteoarthritis (OA) of the knee, hand and foot, which were conducted in North Staffordshire, England. We used a common approach for sampling, data collection and coding, to estimate the relative prevalence of 10 different symptomatic radiographic OA subtypes in the knee, hand and foot and to compare their association with age, sex, socioeconomic position and body mass index. Overall, symptomatic hand OA was more common than knee or foot OA (22.4% vs 17.4% vs 16.5%), due mainly to the high prevalence of nodal interphalangeal joint OA among women. The first carpometacarpal joint OA was the most frequent subtype, with patellofemoral, tibiofemoral, (nodal) interphalangeal and midfoot OA also common. Of the risk factors examined, the greatest differences between subtypes appeared to be their associations with sex and obesity: sex differences were noticeably greater for all forms of hand OA except non-nodal interphalangeal joint OA, while obesity appeared most strongly associated with forms of knee OA. The prevalence of all subtypes was higher among older ages, and among those with lower educational attainment.

Contextual Data in IPUMS DHS: Physical and Social Environment Variables linked to the Demographic and Health Surveys

The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) are the most important source of comparative information on the health of women and young children in low- and middle-income countries and are well-suited for studies of the relationship between environmental factors and health. However, barriers have limited the use of the DHS for these purposes. IPUMS DHS, an online data dissemination tool, overcomes these barriers, simplifying comparative analyses with DHS. IPUMS DHS recently incorporated environmental variables that can easily be attached to individual or household records, facilitating the use of DHS data for the study of population and environment issues. We provide a brief introduction to IPUMS DHS, describe the current and anticipated environmental variables and how to use them, and provide an example of the novel research possibilities facilitated by this latest IPUMS DHS development. IPUMS-DHS is available free online at dhs.ipums.org.

Descriptive epidemiology of energy expenditure in the UK: findings from the National Diet and Nutrition Survey 2008-15

Background

Little is known about population levels of energy expenditure, as national surveillance systems typically employ only crude measures. The National Diet and Nutrition Survey (NDNS) in the UK measured energy expenditure in a 10% subsample by gold-standard doubly labelled water (DLW).

Methods

DLW-subsample participants from the NDNS (383 males, 387 females) aged 4–91 years were recruited between 2008 and 2015 (rolling programme). Height and weight were measured and body-fat percentage estimated by deuterium dilution.

Results

Absolute total energy expenditure (TEE) increased steadily throughout childhood, ranging from 6.2 and 7.2 MJ/day in 4- to 7-year-olds to 9.7 and 11.7 MJ/day for 14- to 16-year-old girls and boys, respectively. TEE peaked in 17- to 27-year-old women (10.7 MJ/day) and 28- to 43-year-old men (14.4 MJ/day), before decreasing gradually in old age. Physical-activity energy expenditure (PAEE) declined steadily with age from childhood (87 kJ/day/kg in 4- to 7-year-olds) through to old age (38 kJ/day/kg in 71- to 91-year-olds). No differences were observed by time, region and macronutrient composition. Body-fat percentage was strongly inversely associated with PAEE throughout life, irrespective of expressing PAEE relative to body mass or fat-free mass. Compared with females with <30% body fat, females with >40% recorded 29 kJ/day/kg body mass and 18 kJ/day/kg fat-free mass less PAEE in analyses adjusted for age, geographical region and time of assessment. Similarly, compared with males with <25% body fat, males with >35% recorded 26 kJ/day/kg body mass and 10 kJ/day/kg fat-free mass less PAEE.

Conclusions

This first nationally representative study reports levels of human-energy expenditure as measured by gold-standard methodology; values may serve as a reference for other population studies. Age, sex and body composition are the main determinants of energy expenditure.

Key Messages

This is the first nationally representative study of human energy expenditure, covering the UK in the period 2008-2015.

Total energy expenditure (MJ/day) increases steadily with age throughout childhood and adolescence, peaks in the 3^rd decade of life in women and 4^th decade of life in men, before decreasing gradually in old age.

Physical activity energy expenditure (kJ/day/kg or kJ/day/kg fat-free mass) declines steadily with age from childhood to old age, more steeply so in males.

Body-fat percentage is strongly inversely associated with physical activity energy expenditure.

We found little evidence that energy expenditure varied by geographical region, over time, or by dietary macronutrient composition.

The growth trend of never-married elderly population in Iran in the third millennium

BACKGROUND

Statistics show that the age of the Iranian population is advancing, and the marriage age is increasing as well. Clearly, an increase in the number of never-married older adults is expected. The aim of this descriptive, analytical study was to determine the growth trend of never-married older population and its association with education level in Iran.

METHODS

Based on the raw data collected from the Statistical Center of Iran, we studied the population of never-married older adults in the past 25 years and evaluated the growth pattern in different parts of Iran, using ArcGIS software. We also examined the association of singlehood in late life with education in men and women residing in rural and urban areas, using the Chi-square test in SPSS version 22.

RESULTS

A sharp increase was observed in the population of never-married older adults, particularly women, in the past 10 years. Women with formal education from urban and rural areas were more likely to be never married in late life (χ2 = 10455.35, P < 0.001 and χ2 = 271.31, P < 0.001, respectively). Older men with formal education from urban areas were more likely to be never married (χ2 = 35.44, P < 0.001), while men with formal education from rural areas were less likely to be never married (χ2 = 179.13, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The rate of increase in the population of never-married older women was much higher than the overall growth of older population. Women with formal education, particularly those with university and pre-university degrees, were more likely to be single in late life. It is strongly suggested to determine the causes and process of singlehood in old age in future research, including qualitative studies.

Statistical Explorations and Univariate Timeseries Analysis on COVID-19 Datasets to Understand the Trend of Disease Spreading and Death

"Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)", the novel coronavirus, is responsible for the ongoing worldwide pandemic. "World Health Organization (WHO)" assigned an "International Classification of Diseases (ICD)" code-"COVID-19"-as the name of the new disease. Coronaviruses are generally transferred by people and many diverse species of animals, including birds and mammals such as cattle, camels, cats, and bats. Infrequently, the coronavirus can be transferred from animals to humans, and then propagate among people, such as with "Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS-CoV)", "Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS-CoV)", and now with this new virus, namely "SARS-CoV-2", or human coronavirus. Its rapid spreading has sent billions of people into lockdown as health services struggle to cope up. The COVID-19 outbreak comes along with an exponential growth of new infections, as well as a growing death count. A major goal to limit the further exponential spreading is to slow down the transmission rate, which is denoted by a "spread factor (f)", and we proposed an algorithm in this study for analyzing the same. This paper addresses the potential of data science to assess the risk factors correlated with COVID-19, after analyzing existing datasets available in "ourworldindata.org (Oxford University database)", and newly simulated datasets, following the analysis of different univariate "Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)" models for forecasting new cases and resulting deaths. The result shows that vanilla, stacked, and bidirectional LSTM models outperformed multilayer LSTM models. Besides, we discuss the findings related to the statistical analysis on simulated datasets. For correlation analysis, we included features, such as external temperature, rainfall, sunshine, population, infected cases, death, country, population, area, and population density of the past three months - January, February, and March in 2020. For univariate timeseries forecasting using LSTM, we used datasets from 1 January 2020, to 22 April 2020.

Historical comparisons of body size are sensitive to data availability and ecological context

Historical comparisons of body size often lack pertinent details, including information on the sampling protocol and relevant ecological covariates that influence body size. Moreover, historical estimates of body size that rely on museum specimens may be biased towards larger size classes because of collector preferences, and thus size thresholds have been used to focus attention on maximum body size. We tested the consequences of sampling design, ecological covariates, and size thresholds on inferences of body-size change using field-contextualized historical records, rather than museum specimens. In 2014-2015, we revisited historical (1947-1963) size-frequency distributions of three gastropods (Tegula funebralis, Lottia digitalis/L. austrodigitalis, Littorina keenae) in the context of population density and tidal height. In general, gastropods declined in size. However, our inferences regarding body-size decline were tempered when the variation between sampling units was taken into consideration, resulting in greater uncertainty around the estimate of proportional change in body size. Gastropod size was correlated with population density and tidal height, and these relationships varied over time. Finally, the magnitude and direction of body-size change varied with the amount of data available for analysis, demonstrating that the use of size thresholds can lead to incomplete conclusions.

Cigarette Smoking Is Associated with Increased Risk of Malignant Gliomas: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

The association between cigarette smoking and the risk of developing malignant glioma (MG) remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate this potential association in a large general population, using a well-established and validated longitudinal nationwide database. Using data from the Korean National Health Insurance System cohort, 9,811,768 people over 20 years old without any cancer history in 2009 were followed until the end of 2017. We documented 6100 MG cases (ICD-10 code C71) during the median follow-up period of 7.31 years. Current smokers had a higher risk of developing MG (HR = 1.22, CI: 1.13–1.32) compared with never-smokers, after adjusting for confounders. This association was stronger for those who smoked ≥ 20 cigarettes daily (HR = 1.50, CI: 1.36–1.64). Furthermore, having 30 or more pack-years of smoking over the course of one’s lifetime was associated with an increased risk of developing MG in a dose-dependent manner, compared with never-smokers (HR = 1.31, CI: 1.16–1.48 for 30–39 pack-years of smoking; HR = 1.36, CI: 1.17–1.59 for 40–49 pack-years of smoking; HR = 1.68; CI: 1.44–1.95 for ≥ 50 pack-years of smoking). These results suggest that cigarette smoking may be associated with developing MG. Further prospective studies could help elucidate this association.

Incentivised sterilisation: lessons from India and for the future

Family planning programmes in India have historically been target-driven and incentive-based with sterilisation seen as a key component of controlling population growth. This opinion paper uses India as the backcloth to examine the ethics of using incentive policy measures to promote and secure sterilisations within communities. Whilst we acknowledge that these measures have some value in reproductive health care, their use raises specific issues and wider concerns where the outcome is likely to be permanent and life changing for the acceptor.

Melanocortin-1 receptor (MC1R) genotypes do not correlate with size in two cohorts of medium-to-giant congenital melanocytic nevi

Congenital melanocytic nevi (CMN) are cutaneous malformations whose prevalence is inversely correlated with projected adult size. CMN are caused by somatic mutations, but epidemiological studies suggest that germline genetic factors may influence CMN development. In CMN patients from the U.K., genetic variants in MC1R, such as p.V92M and loss-of-function variants, have been previously associated with larger CMN. We analyzed the association of MC1R variants with CMN characteristics in two distinct cohorts of medium-to-giant CMN patients from Spain (N = 113) and from France, Norway, Canada, and the United States (N = 53), similar at the clinical and phenotypical level except for the number of nevi per patient. We found that the p.V92M or loss-of-function MC1R variants either alone or in combination did not correlate with CMN size, in contrast to the U.K. CMN patients. An additional case-control analysis with 259 unaffected Spanish individuals showed a higher frequency of MC1R compound heterozygous or homozygous variant genotypes in Spanish CMN patients compared to the control population (15.9% vs. 9.3%; p = .075). Altogether, this study suggests that MC1R variants are not associated with CMN size in these non-UK cohorts. Additional studies are required to define the potential role of MC1R as a risk factor in CMN development.

Simulation with RADinitio improves RADseq experimental design and sheds light on sources of missing data

Restriction-site associated DNA sequencing (RADseq) has become a powerful and versatile tool in modern population genomics, enabling large-scale evolutionary and genomic analyses in otherwise inaccessible biological systems. With its widespread use, different variants on the protocol have been developed to suit specific experimental needs. Researchers face the challenge of choosing the optimal molecular and sequencing protocols for their reduced representation experimental design, an often-complicated process. Strategic errors can lead to biased data generation that has reduced power to answer biological questions. Here, we present RADinitio, simulation software for the selection and optimization of RADseq experiments via the generation of sequencing data that behave similarly to empirical sources. RADinitio provides an evolutionary simulation of populations, implementation of various RADseq protocols with customizable parameters, and thorough assessment of missing data. We test the efficacy of the software using different RAD protocols across several organisms, highlighting the importance of protocol selection on the magnitude and quality of data acquired. Additionally, we test the effects of RAD library preparation and sequencing on allelic dropout, observing that library preparation and sequencing often contributes more to missing alleles than population-level variation.

Towards estimating the indigenous population in circumpolar regions

Despite the importance of indigenous people in the Arctic, there is no accurate estimate of their size and distribution. We defined indigenous people as those groups represented by the “permanent participants” of the Arctic Council. The census in Canada, Russia and the United States records status as an indigenous person. In Greenland, a proxy measure is place of birth supplemented by other information. For the Nordic countries we utilized a variety of sources including registered voters’ lists of the various Sami parliaments and research studies that established Sami cohorts. Overall, we estimated that there were about 1.13 million indigenous people in the northern regions of the 8 Member States of the Arctic Council. There were 8,100 Aleuts in Alaska and the Russian North; 32,400 Athabaskans in Alaska and northern Canada; 145,900 Inuit in Alaska, northern Canada and Greenland; 76,300 Sami in northern Norway, Sweden, Finland and Russia; and 866,400 people in northern Russia belonging to other indigenous groups. Different degrees and types of methodological problems are associated with estimates from different regions. Our study highlights the complexity and difficulty of the task and the considerable gaps in knowledge. We hope to spur discussion of this important issue which could ultimately affect strategies to improve the health of circumpolar peoples.

Incidence of community-onset extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae infections: an 11-year population-based study in Denmark

Background: Data elucidating trends of community-onset extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae infections remain sparse in low prevalence areas. We conducted a population-based study to determine the incidence, temporal trends and co-resistance of community-onset ESBL infections.Methods: We identified all recorded episodes of E. coli and K. pneumoniae bacteraemia and urinary tract infections in adult patients (>15 years) in the North Denmark Region between 2007-2017. Using population-based registries, we obtained information on demographics and place of acquisition, and investigated the standardized incidence rates and temporal trends of community-onset ESBL infections and the associated patterns of co-resistance.Results: A total of 3741 episodes of community-onset ESBL E. coli or K. pneumoniae infections were observed during the study period, with the annual standardized incidence rate increasing from 7.5 to 105 per 100,000 person-years between 2007-2017. The increase was conveyed primarily by a rise in E. coli urinary tract infections shifting from being mainly healthcare-associated to community-acquired. ESBL-producing isolates increased from 0.5 to 4.0% with considerable co-resistance.Conclusion: The proportion of E. coli and K. pneumoniae isolates producing ESBL have increased considerably in the North Denmark Region. The increasing incidence and frequent co-resistance should raise awareness among physicians responsible for empirical antibiotic treatment.

Advancing Value-Based Models for Heart Failure: A Call to Action From the Value in Healthcare Initiative's Value-Based Models Learning Collaborative

Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of hospitalizations and readmissions in the United States. Particularly among the elderly, its prevalence and costs continue to rise, making it a significant population health issue. Despite tremendous progress in improving HF care and examples of innovation in care redesign, the quality of HF care varies greatly across the country. One major challenge underpinning these issues is the current payment system, which is largely based on fee-for-service reimbursement, leads to uncoordinated, fragmented, and low-quality HF care. While the payment landscape is changing, with an increasing proportion of all healthcare dollars flowing through value-based payment models, no longitudinal models currently focus on chronic HF care. Episode-based payment models for HF hospitalization have yielded limited success and have little ability to prevent early chronic disease from progressing to later stages. The available literature suggests that primary care-based longitudinal payment models have indirectly improved HF care quality and cardiovascular care costs, but these models are not focused on addressing patients' longitudinal chronic disease needs. This article describes the efforts and vision of the multi-stakeholder Value-Based Models Learning Collaborative of The Value in Healthcare Initiative, a collaboration of the American Heart Association and the Robert J. Margolis, MD, Center for Health Policy at Duke University. The Learning Collaborative developed a framework for a HF value-based payment model with a longitudinal focus on disease management (to reduce adverse clinical outcomes and disease progression among patients with stage C HF) and prevention (an optional track to prevent high-risk stage B pre-HF from progressing to stage C). The model is designed to be compatible with prevalent payment models and reforms being implemented today. Barriers to success and strategies for implementation to aid payers, regulators, clinicians, and others in developing a pilot are discussed.

Population-Level Human Secretor Status Is Associated With Genogroup 2 Type 4 Norovirus Predominance

BACKGROUND

Noroviruses are a leading cause of acute gastroenteritis. Genogroup 2 type 4 (GII.4) has been the dominant norovirus genotype worldwide since its emergence in the mid-1990s. Individuals with a functional fucosyltransferase-2 gene, known as secretors, have increased susceptibility to GII.4 noroviruses. We hypothesized that this individual-level trait may drive GII.4 norovirus predominance at the human population level.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review for studies reporting norovirus outbreak or sporadic case genotypes and merged this with data on proportions of human secretor status in various countries from a separate systematic review. We used inverse variance-weighted linear regression to estimate magnitude of the population secretor-GII.4 proportion association.

RESULTS

Two hundred nineteen genotype and 112 secretor studies with data from 38 countries were included in the analysis. Study-level GII.4 proportion among all noroviruses ranged from 0% to 100%. Country secretor proportion ranged from 43.8% to 93.9%. We observed a 0.69% (95% confidence interval, 0.19-1.18) increase in GII.4 proportion for each percentage increase in human secretor proportion, controlling for Human Development Index.

CONCLUSIONS

Norovirus evolution and diversity may be driven by local population human host genetics. Our results may have vaccine development implications including whether specific antigenic formulations would be required for different populations.

Association of Genetic Variants With Moyamoya Disease in 13 000 Individuals: A Meta-Analysis

Background and Purpose- A growing body of evidence indicates genetic components play critical roles in moyamoya disease (MMD). Firm conclusions from studies of this disease have been stymied by small sample sizes and a lack of replicative results. This meta-analysis was conducted to determine whether these genetic polymorphisms are associated with MMD. Methods- PubMed, Google Scholar, Embase, Wanfang, Web of Science, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure databases were used to identify potentially relevant studies published until January 2020. The Review Manager 5.2 and Stata 15.0 software programs were used to perform the statistical analysis. Heterogeneity was assessed using the Cochran Q test and quantified using the I² test. Results- Four thousand seven hundred eleven MMD cases and 8704 controls in 24 studies were included, evaluating 7 polymorphisms in 6 genes. The fixed-effect odds ratios (95% CI) in allelic model of MMP-2 rs243865 were 0.60 (0.41-0.88) (P=0.008). In the country-based subgroup analysis, the fixed-effect odds ratios (95% CI) of RNF213 rs112735431 in allelic model were China, 39.74 (26.63-59.31), Japan, 74.65 (42.79-130.24) and Korea, 50.04 (28.83-86.88; all P<0.00001). In the sensitivity analysis, the fixed-effect odds ratios (95% CI) of allelic and dominant models were the RNF213 rs148731719 variant, 2.17 (1.36-3.48; P=0.001), 2.20 (1.35-3.61; P=0.002), the TIMP-2 rs8179090 variant, 0.33 (0.25-0.43; P<0.00001), 0.88 (0.65-1.21; P=0.440) and the MMP-3 rs3025058 variant, 0.61 (0.47-0.79; P=0.0002), 0.55 (0.41-0.75; P=0.0001), respectively. Conclusions- RNF213 rs112735431 and rs148731719 were positively, and TIMP-2 rs8179090, MMP-2 rs243865, and MMP-3 rs3025058 were inversely associated with MMD using multiple pathophysiologic pathways. Studies in larger population should be conducted to clarify whether and how these variants are associated with MMD.

Impaired glucose control is associated with multiple cardiovascular impairments

BACKGROUND

Impairments in several markers of the cardiovascular system have been described in impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and diabetes, but the relative importance of those is not known. We aimed to investigate which cardiovascular markers were most closely linked to an impaired glucose control.

METHOD

In a population-based study of individuals all aged 50 years, the Prospective study of Obesity, Energy and Metabolism (POEM), 502 subjects were thoroughly investigated regarding endothelial function, arterial compliance, heart rate variability, arterial blood flow and atherosclerosis, performance at an exercise test with gas exchange (VO₂ and VCO₂ ), left ventricular structure and function, lung function and multiple measurements of blood pressure. Based on an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), the participants were grouped into normal, IGT and diabetes.

RESULTS

Of all haemodynamic and structural variables analysed, an impaired glucose control was most closely related to resting heart rate (based on chi-square value at ANOVA). Heart rate was followed by maximal workload, VO₂ recovery 5 min following exercise, reflectance index at pulse wave analysis, manual systolic blood pressure, ambulatory pulse and pulse pressure, echogenicity of carotid intima-media complex at ultrasound, and pulse wave velocity (p < .0005 for all variables). All of these variables still showed p < .05 versus an impaired glucose control following adjustment for BMI.

CONCLUSION

Of multiple measured cardiovascular markers, resting heart rate was most closely related to an impaired glucose control. Also exercise capacity and the recovery in VO₂ following exercise were amongst the top-ranked cardiovascular impairments linked to an impaired glucose control.

Epidemic West Nile Virus Infection Rates and Endemic Population Dynamics Among South Dakota Mosquitoes: A 15-yr Study from the United States Northern Great Plains

Mosquito surveillance has been conducted across South Dakota (SD) to record and track potential West Nile virus (WNV) vectors since 2004. During this time, communities from 29 counties collected nearly 5.5 million mosquitoes, providing data from over 60,000 unique trapping nights. The nuisance mosquito, Aedes vexans (Meigen) was the most abundant species in the state (39.9%), and most abundant in most regions. The WNV vector, Culex tarsalis Coquillett (Diptera: Culicidae), was the second most abundant species (20.5%), and 26 times more abundant than the other Culex species that also transmit WNV. However, geographic variation did exist between WNV vector species, as well as relative abundance of vector and nuisance mosquitoes. The abundance of Ae. vexans decreased from east to west in South Dakota, resulting in an increase in the relative abundance of Cx. tarsalis. Other species are reported in this study, with various relative abundances throughout the different regions of South Dakota. WNV infection rates of mosquitoes showed that Cx. tarsalis had the most positive sampling pools and the highest vector index of all the species tested. This study addressed the need for an updated summary of the predominant mosquito species present in the United States Northern Great Plain and provides infection rate data for WNV among these predominant species.

CFAP300: Mutations in Slavic Patients with Primary Ciliary Dyskinesia and a Role in Ciliary Dynein Arms Trafficking

Primary ciliary dyskinesia (PCD) is a rare, genetically heterogeneous hereditary disease from a class of ciliopathies. In spite of the recent progress, the genetic basis of PCD in one-third of patients remains unknown. In search for new genes and/or mutations, whole-exome sequencing was performed in 120 unrelated Polish patients with PCD, in whom no genetic cause of PCD was earlier identified. Among a number of pathogenic variants in PCD genes, mutations in CFAP300 (alias C11orf70) were detected. Extended screening in the whole Polish PCD cohort revealed the relatively high frequency (3.6%) of otherwise rare c.[198_200 del_insCC] variant, indicating that it should be included in population-specific genetic tests for PCD in Slavic populations. Immunofluorescence analysis of the respiratory epithelial cells from patients with CFAP300 mutations revealed the absence or aberrant localization of outer and inner dynein arm markers, consistent with transmission electron microscope images indicating the lack of both dynein arms. Interestingly, the disparate localization of DNAH5 and DNALI1 proteins in patients with CFAP300 mutations suggested differential mechanisms for the trafficking of preassembled outer and inner dynein arms to the axoneme. The profile of CFAP300 expression during ciliogenesis in suspension culture was consistent with its role in cilia assembly. Gene silencing experiments, performed in a model organism, Schmidtea mediterranea (flatworm), pointed to the conserved role of CFAP300 in ciliary function.