Association of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity With Mortality

Influence of social deprivation on morbidity and all-cause mortality of cardiometabolic multi-morbidity: a cohort analysis of the UK Biobank cohort

BACKGROUND

The relation of social deprivation with single cardiometabolic disease (CMD) was widely investigated, whereas the association with cardiometabolic multi-morbidity (CMM), defined as experiencing more than two CMDs during the lifetime, is poorly understood.

METHODS

We analyzed 345,417 UK Biobank participants without any CMDs at recruitment to study the relation between social deprivation and four CMDs including type II diabetes (T2D), coronary artery disease (CAD), stroke and hypertension. Social deprivation was measured by Townsend deprivation index (TDI), and CMM was defined as occurrence of two or more of the above four diseases. Multivariable Cox models were performed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) per one standard deviation (SD) change and in quartile (Q1-Q4, with Q1 as reference), as well as 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).

RESULTS

During the follow up, 68,338 participants developed at least one CMD (median follow up of 13.2 years), 16,225 further developed CMM (median follow up of 13.4 years), and 18,876 ultimately died from all causes (median follow up of 13.4 years). Compared to Q1 of TDI (lowest deprivation), the multivariable adjusted HR (95%CIs) of Q4 (highest deprivation) among participants free of any CMDs was 1.23 (1.20 ~ 1.26) for developing one CMD, 1.42 (1.35 ~ 1.48) for developing CMM, and 1.34 (1.27 ~ 1.41) for all-cause mortality. Among participants with one CMD, the adjusted HR (95%CIs) of Q4 was 1.30 (1.27 ~ 1.33) for developing CMM and 1.34 (1.27 ~ 1.41) for all-cause mortality, with HR (95%CIs) = 1.11 (1.06 ~ 1.16) for T2D patients, 1.07 (1.03 ~ 1.11) for CAD patients, 1.07 (1.00 ~ 1.15) for stroke patients, and 1.24 (1.21 ~ 1.28) for hypertension patients. Among participants with CMM, TDI was also related to the risk of all-cause mortality (HR of Q4 = 1.35, 95%CIs 1.28 ~ 1.43).

CONCLUSIONS

We revealed that people living with high deprived conditions would suffer from higher hazard of CMD, CMM and all-cause mortality.

Relationship of triglyceride-glucose index with cardiometabolic multi-morbidity in China: evidence from a national survey

BACKGROUND

Cardiometabolic multi-morbidity (CMM) is emerging as a global healthcare challenge and a pressing public health concern worldwide. Previous studies have principally focused on identifying risk factors for individual cardiometabolic diseases, but reliable predictors of CMM have not been identified. In the present study, we aimed to characterize the relationship of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index with the incidence of CMM.

METHODS

We enrolled 7,970 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and placed them into groups according to quartile of TyG index. The endpoint of interest was CMM, defined as the presence of at least two of the following: stroke, heart disease, and diabetes mellitus. Cox regression models and multivariable-adjusted restricted cubic spline (RCS) curves were used to evaluate the relationship between TyG index and CMM.

RESULTS

In total, 638 (8.01%) incident cases of CMM were recorded among the participants who did not have CMM at baseline (2011) during a median follow-up of 84 months (interquartile range, 20‒87 months). The incidences of CMM for the participants in quartiles (Q) 1-4 of TyG index were 4.22%, 6.12%, 8.78%, and 12.60%, respectively. A fully adjusted Cox model showed that TyG index was closely associated with the incidence of CMM: the hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] for each 1.0-unit increment in TyG index for CMM was 1.54 (1.29-1.84); and the HRs (95% CIs) for Q3 and Q4 (Q1 as reference) of the TyG index for CMM were 1.41 (1.05-1.90) and 1.61 (1.18-2.20), respectively. The association of TyG index with the incidence of CMM was present in almost all the subgroups, and persisted in the sensitivity analyses and additional analyses. Multivariable-adjusted RCS analysis revealed a significant dose-response relationship of TyG index with the risk of CMM (overall P < 0.001; non-linear P = 0.129).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that a high TyG index is associated with a higher risk of incident CMM. This finding may have significance for clinical practice and facilitate the creation of a personalized prevention strategy that involves monitoring the TyG index.

Emerging Medical Therapies for the Treatment of Obesity in Women with Cardiovascular Diseases

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In this review, the impact of obesity on cardiovascular disease in women and emerging anti-obesity pharmacologic treatments are discussed.

RECENT FINDINGS

Robust evidence demonstrates the burden of obesity across the lifespan in women and links obesity to a diverse set of cardiovascular diseases. Female-specific risk factors including sex hormones and pregnancy factors intersect with obesity and cardiovascular risk. Sustained weight loss has potential for cardiovascular benefits. Recent trials demonstrate cardiovascular benefits of emerging agents with weight loss effects including GLP-1 RA and SGLT2 inhibitors in women. Treatment and prevention strategies for cardiovascular disease in obese women should include integration of weight management strategies including the targeted use of emerging pharmacologic therapies.

Association between coffee and incident heart failure: A prospective cohort study from the UK Biobank

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The relationship between coffee consumption and heart failure (HF) incidence is inconclusive. This study aimed to explore the association between time-varying coffee consumption and incident HF using a longitudinal study design.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data were obtained from the UK Biobank, comprising 497,503 adults (age, 56.5 ± 8.1 years; 54.6% women) who were free from HF at baseline in 2006-2010. The median follow-up time for the HF incidence was 11.9 years. Marginal structural models (MSM) were employed to adjust for potential time-varying confounders and account for bias caused by loss of follow-up. Furthermore, we used a restricted cubic spline to test and describe the nonlinear relationship between coffee consumption and HF risk. At baseline, 70.5% of participants reported drinking ≥1 cups/d coffee and 2.7% participants developed HF. After adjusting for potential confounders, we identified a nonlinear J-shaped association between coffee consumption and HF risk (P < 0.001). Compared with drinking coffee <1 cups/d, 1-2 cups/d (HR = 0.878; 95% CI: 0.838-0.920), 3-4 cups/d (HR = 0.920; 95% CI: 0.869-0.974) may be associated with a reduced risk of HF, while >6 cups/d (HR = 1.209; 95% CI: 1.056-1.385) may be associated with a higher risk of HF. However, sensitive analyses stratified by gender and smoking status indicated that >6 cups/d does not significantly increase the risk of HF. Additionally, the type of coffee was found to significant impact on the incidence of HF (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In this large cohort of UK adults, moderate coffee consumption may reduce risk of HF incidence.

Association of cognitive frailty and abdominal obesity with cardiometabolic multimorbidity among middle-aged and older adults: A longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

Cognitive frailty and abdominal obesity are deemed to be important targets for disease prevention. However, a possible cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) link with cognitive frailty and abdominal obesity is unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of cognitive frailty and abdominal obesity with CMM in the middle-aged and older people.

METHODS

The sample comprised 11,503 participants aged 45 and over from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) 2011. Cognitive frailty was defined as the coexisting cognitive impairment and physical frailty. Abdominal obesity was assessed using waist circumference. CMM was defined as the presence of two or more cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs), including diabetes, heart disease, and stroke. A total of 9177 participants without CMM recruited from CHARLS 2011 and were followed up in 2018.

RESULTS

Compared with 0 CMD, coexisting cognitive frailty and abdominal obesity was associated with the risk of 1 CMD (OR: 1.734, 95 % CI: 1.133-2.655), and ≥ 2 CMDs (OR: 7.218, 95%CI: 3.216-16.198). Longitudinal analysis showed that individuals with both cognitive frailty and abdominal obesity (HR: 2.162, 95%CI: 1.032-4.531) were more likely to have new onset CMM than cognitive frailty alone peers (HR: 1.667, 95 % CI: 0.721-3.853). Among the participants with first CMD, the likelihood of CMM was substantially higher in the co-existence of cognitive frailty and abdominal obesity (HR: 3.073, 95%CI: 1.254-7.527) than in the abdominal obesity alone (HR: 1.708, 95%CI: 1.201-2.427). Cognitive frailty alone was not significantly associated with CMM.

CONCLUSION

Cognitive frailty is not independently associated with the risk of CMM, but cognitive frailty and abdominal obesity together has a greater risk of CMM.

Targeting endothelial cells with golden spice curcumin: A promising therapy for cardiometabolic multimorbidity

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is an increasingly significant global public health concern. It encompasses the coexistence of multiple cardiometabolic diseases, including hypertension, stroke, heart disease, atherosclerosis, and T2DM. A crucial component to the development of CMM is the disruption of endothelial homeostasis. Therefore, therapies targeting endothelial cells through multi-targeted and multi-pathway approaches hold promise for preventing and treatment of CMM. Curcumin, a widely used dietary supplement derived from the golden spice Carcuma longa, has demonstrated remarkable potential in treatment of CMM through its interaction with endothelial cells. Numerous studies have identified various molecular targets of curcumin (such as NF-κB/PI3K/AKT, MAPK/NF-κB/IL-1β, HO-1, NOs, VEGF, ICAM-1 and ROS). These findings highlight the efficacy of curcumin as a therapeutic agent against CMM through the regulation of endothelial function. It is worth noting that there is a close relationship between the progression of CMM and endothelial damage, characterized by oxidative stress, inflammation, abnormal NO bioavailability and cell adhesion. This paper provides a comprehensive review of curcumin, including its availability, pharmacokinetics, pharmaceutics, and therapeutic application in treatment of CMM, as well as the challenges and future prospects for its clinical translation. In summary, curcumin shows promise as a potential treatment option for CMM, particularly due to its ability to target endothelial cells. It represents a novel and natural lead compound that may offer significant therapeutic benefits in the management of CMM.

Longitudinal associations between self-reported vision impairment and all-cause mortality: a nationally representative cohort study among older Chinese adults

OBJECTIVE

To compare the effects of pre-existing and new self-reported vision impairment (VI), and its correction, on all-cause mortality among Chinese adults aged 45 years and older.

METHODS

We used four waves of data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Our analytical cohort consists of 15 808 participants aged 45 years and older with an average follow-up of 6.4 years. Exposures included pre-existing self-reported VI and vision correction (time-independent exposures), new self-reported VI and vision correction (time-dependent exposures). Outcomes were measured as the risk of all-cause mortality and the risk stratification for pre-specified factors.

RESULTS

Compared with participants with normal vision, all-cause mortality was higher among those with pre-existing self-reported VI (crude HR (cHR)=1.29, 95% CI: 1.17 to 1.44; adjusted HR (aHR)=1.22, 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.37) and new self-reported VI (cHR=1.42, 95% CI: 1.28 to 1.58; aHR=1.36, 95% CI: 1.21 to 1.51). Mortality risk was lower among those with high school or higher education. Participants who were wearing eyeglasses/contact lenses or had cataract surgery at baseline did not have significantly higher all-cause mortality (eyeglasses: aHR=0.82, 95% CI: 0.65 to 1.02; cataract surgery: aHR=1.12, 95% CI: 0.74 to 1.69) compared with participants with normal vision. The same was true among participants with new correction of self-reported VI (glasses: aHR=1.01, 95% CI: 0.78 to 1.24; cataract surgery: aHR=0.95, 95% CI: 0.68 to 1.31).

CONCLUSIONS

Both pre-existing and new self-reported VI increase all-cause mortality among Chinese adults aged 45 years and older, though visual correction reduces this risk.

Protocol of the Berlin Long-term Observation of Vascular Events (BeLOVE): a prospective cohort study with deep phenotyping and long-term follow up of cardiovascular high-risk patients

INTRODUCTION

The Berlin Long-term Observation of Vascular Events is a prospective cohort study that aims to improve prediction and disease-overarching mechanistic understanding of cardiovascular (CV) disease progression by comprehensively investigating a high-risk patient population with different organ manifestations.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A total of 8000 adult patients will be recruited who have either suffered an acute CV event (CVE) requiring hospitalisation or who have not experienced a recent acute CVE but are at high CV risk. An initial study examination is performed during the acute treatment phase of the index CVE or after inclusion into the chronic high risk arm. Deep phenotyping is then performed after ~90 days and includes assessments of the patient's medical history, health status and behaviour, cardiovascular, nutritional, metabolic, and anthropometric parameters, and patient-related outcome measures. Biospecimens are collected for analyses including 'OMICs' technologies (e.g., genomics, metabolomics, proteomics). Subcohorts undergo MRI of the brain, heart, lung and kidney, as well as more comprehensive metabolic, neurological and CV examinations. All participants are followed up for up to 10 years to assess clinical outcomes, primarily major adverse CVEs and patient-reported (value-based) outcomes. State-of-the-art clinical research methods, as well as emerging techniques from systems medicine and artificial intelligence, will be used to identify associations between patient characteristics, longitudinal changes and outcomes.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study was approved by the Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin ethics committee (EA1/066/17). The results of the study will be disseminated through international peer-reviewed publications and congress presentations.

STUDY REGISTRATION

First study phase: Approved WHO primary register: German Clinical Trials Register: https://drks.de/search/de/trial/DRKS00016852; WHO International Clinical Registry Platform: http://apps.who.int/trialsearch/Trial2.aspx?TrialID=DRKS00016852. Recruitment started on July 18, 2017.Second study phase: Approved WHO primary register: German Clinical Trials Register DRKS00023323, date of registration: November 4, 2020, URL: http://www.drks.de/ DRKS00023323. Recruitment started on January 1, 2021.

Soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor type 1 predicts cardiorenal outcomes and better associated with distinct cardiovascular or renal outcomes than precedential renal or cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes mellitus

Background

Inflammations are the crucial pathogenesis of chronic complications of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Objectives

The timeline of cardiovascular and renal complications of T2DM and whether soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor type 1 (sTNFR1) levels predict cardiorenal outcomes were still elusive.

Design

Prospectively observational study.

Methods

Chinese patients with T2DM were enrolled. Cardiorenal composite events defined by either cardiovascular composite events (all-cause mortality, acute coronary syndrome, or non-fatal stroke) or renal composite events (a decline of >30% of renal function or worsening status of albuminuria) were followed. Associations of sTNFR1 levels and cardiovascular, renal, and cardiorenal composite events were analyzed in regression models presented by hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI).

Results

Among 370 subjects, 42 cardiovascular and 86 renal composite events occurred. Higher sTNFR1 levels were related to higher frequency and risks of cardiovascular composite events (HR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.13, p = 0.009) and renal composite events (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02-1.09, p < 0.001). Occurrences of cardiovascular composite events were not predicted by precedential renal composite events. sTNFR1 levels were proved to be associated with risks of cardiorenal composite events in Cox regression sequential models (adjusted HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00-1.08, p = 0.03). The results were consistent in all subgroup analyses.

Conclusion

Levels of sTNFR1 were associated with cardiorenal complications of T2DM and the predictabilities of TNFR1 levels were better than precedential cardiovascular or renal events.

Frailty, an Independent Risk Factor in Progression Trajectory of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity: A Prospective Study of UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Although frailty was associated with cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs, including coronary heart disease, stroke, and diabetes here), there was no systematic analyses estimating its role in incidence, progression, and prognosis of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM).

METHODS

We included 351 205 participants without CMDs at baseline in UK Biobank. Occurrences of first CMD, CMM, and death were recorded. We used multistate models to assess transition-specific role of baseline frailty measured by frailty phenotype and frailty index in CMM progression trajectory from no disease to single CMD, CMM, and death. Association between changes in frailty and outcomes was investigated among 17 264 participants.

RESULTS

Among 351 205 participants (44.0% male, mean age 56.55 years), 8 190 (2.3%) had frail phenotype, and 13 615 (3.9%) were moderate/severe frail according to the frailty index. During median follow-up of 13.11 years, 41 558 participants experienced ≥1 CMD, 4 952 had CMM, and 20 670 died. In multistate models, frail phenotype-related hazard ratios were 1.94 and 2.69 for transitions from no CMD to single disease and death, 1.63 and 1.67 for transitions from single CMD to CMM and death, and 1.57 for transitions from CMM to death (all p < .001). Consistent results were observed for frailty index. Improvement of frailty reduced the risk of CMD progression and death.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty is an independent risk factor for all transitions of CMM progression trajectory. Frailty-targeted management is a potential strategy for primary and secondary prevention of CMM beyond chronological age.

Association of adiposity indices with cardiometabolic multimorbidity among 101,973 chinese adults: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and obesity represent two major health problems. The relationship between adiposity indices and CMM, however, remains understudied. This study aimed to investigate the associations of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), a body shape index (ABSI), body roundness index (BRI), and conicity index (CI) with CMM among Chinese adults.

METHODS

Data of 101,973 participants were collected from a population-based screening project in Southern China. CMM was defined as having two or more of the following diseases: coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertension, and diabetes. The relationship between the six adiposity indices and CMM was investigated by multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic splines. Receiver operator characteristic curve, C-statistic and net reclassification index were used to estimate the discriminative and incremental values of adiposity indices on CMM.

RESULTS

Logistic regression models showed the six adiposity indices were all significantly associated with the odds of CMM with non-linear relationships. For per SD increment, WC (Odds ratio [OR]: 1.66; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.62-1.70) and WHtR (OR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.58-1.65) were more significantly associated with a higher prevalence of CMM than BMI (OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.52-1.58) (all P < 0.05). In addition, WC, WHtR, and BRI displayed significantly better performance in detecting CMM compared with BMI (all P < 0.05). Their respective area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.675 (95% CI: 0.670-0.680), 0.679 (95% CI: 0.675-0.684), and 0.679 (95% CI: 0.675-0.684), while BMI yielded an AUC of 0.637 (95% CI: 0.632-0.643). These findings hold true across all subgroups based on sex and age. When Adding WC, WHtR, or BRI to a base model, they all provided larger incremental values for the discrimination of CMM compared with BMI (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Adiposity indices were closely associated with the odds of CMM, with WC and WHtR demonstrating stronger associations than BMI. WC, WHtR, and BRI were superior to BMI in discriminative ability for CMM. Avoidance of obesity (especially abdominal obesity) may be the preferred primary prevention strategy for CMM while controlling for other major CMM risk factors.

Primary care physicians' work conditions and their confidence in managing multimorbidity: a quantitative analysis using Job Demands-Resources Model

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity is a global issue that presents complex challenges for physicians, patients, and health systems. However, there is a lack of research on the factors that influence physicians' confidence in managing multimorbidity within primary care settings, particularly regarding physicians' work conditions.

OBJECTIVES

Drawing on the Job Demands-Resources Model, this study aims to investigate the level of confidence among Chinese primary care physicians in managing multimorbidity and examine the predictors related to their confidence.

METHODS

Data were collected from 224 physicians working in 38 Community Healthcare Centres (CHCs) in Shanghai, Shenzhen, Tianjin, and Jinan, China. Work-family conflict (WFC) perceived organizational support (POS), self-directed learning (SDL), and burnout were measured. Physicians' confidence was assessed using a single item. Mediation effect analysis was conducted using the Baron and Kenny method.

RESULTS

The results showed that the mean confidence score for physicians managing multimorbidity was 3.63 out of 5, only 20.10% rating their confidence level as 5. WFC negatively related physicians' confidence and POS positively related physicians' confidence in multimorbid diagnosis and treatment. Burnout fully mediated the relationship between WFC and physicians' confidence, and SDL partially mediated the relationship between POS and physicians' confidence.

CONCLUSIONS

The confidence level of Chinese primary care physicians in managing multimorbidity needs improvement. To enhance physicians' confidence in managing multimorbid patients, CHCs in China should address WFC and burnout and promote POS and SDL.

Cardio-cerebrovascular Outcomes in MODY, Type 1 Diabetes, and Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study

CONTEXT

Cardio-cerebrovascular events are severe complications of diabetes.

OBJECTIVE

We aim to compare the incident risk of cardio-cerebrovascular events in maturity onset diabetes of the young (MODY), type 1 diabetes, and type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes, and MODY were diagnosed by whole exome sequencing. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of the first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), including acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, unstable angina pectoris, and cardio-cerebrovascular-related mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were applied and adjusted to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for the incident risk of MACE in type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes, MODY, and MODY subgroups compared with people without diabetes (control group).

RESULTS

Type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes, and MODY accounted for 2.7%, 68.1%, and 11.4% of 26 198 participants with diabetes from UK Biobank. During a median follow-up of 13 years, 1028 MACEs occurred in the control group, contrasting with 70 events in patients with type 1 diabetes (HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.69-2.74, P < .05), 5020 events in patients with type 2 diabetes (HR 7.02, 95% CI 6.56-7.51, P < .05), and 717 events in MODY (HR 5.79, 95% CI 5.26-6.37, P < .05). The hazard of MACE in HNF1B-MODY was highest among MODY subgroups (HR 11.00, 95% CI 5.47-22.00, P = 1.5 × 10-11).

CONCLUSION

MODY diagnosed by genetic analysis represents higher prevalence than the clinical diagnosis in UK Biobank. The risk of incident cardio-cerebrovascular events in MODY ranks between type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes.

Cardiometabolic risk management: insights from a European Society of Cardiology Cardiovascular Round Table

Metabolic comorbidities are common in patients with cardiorenal disease; they can cause atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), speed progression, and adversely affect prognosis. Common comorbidities are Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), obesity/overweight, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and chronic liver disease. The cardiovascular system, kidneys, and liver are linked to many of the same risk factors (e.g. dyslipidaemia, hypertension, tobacco use, diabetes, and central/truncal obesity), and shared metabolic and functional abnormalities lead to damage throughout these organs via overlapping pathophysiological pathways. The COVID-19 pandemic has further complicated the management of cardiometabolic diseases. Obesity, T2DM, CKD, and liver disease are associated with increased risk of poor outcomes of COVID-19 infection, and conversely, COVID-19 can lead to worsening of pre-existing ASCVD. The high rates of these comorbidities highlight the need to improve recognition and treatment of ASCVD in patients with obesity, insulin resistance or T2DM, chronic liver diseases, and CKD and equally, to improve recognition and treatment of these diseases in patients with ASCVD. Strategies to prevent and manage cardiometabolic diseases include lifestyle modification, pharmacotherapy, and surgery. There is a need for more programmes at the societal level to encourage a healthy diet and physical activity. Many pharmacotherapies offer mechanism-based approaches that can target multiple pathophysiological pathways across diseases. These include sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, selective mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and combined glucose-dependent insulinotropic peptide/glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist. Non-surgical and surgical weight loss strategies can improve cardiometabolic disorders in individuals living with obesity. New biomarkers under investigation may help in the early identification of individuals at risk and reveal new treatment targets.

Have We Been Underestimating Modifiable Dementia Risk? An Alternative Approach for Calculating the Combined Population Attributable Fraction for Modifiable Dementia Risk Factors

Estimating the fraction of dementia cases in a population attributable to a risk factor or combination of risk factors (the population attributable fraction (PAF)) informs the design and choice of dementia risk-reduction activities. It is directly relevant to dementia prevention policy and practice. Current methods employed widely in the dementia literature to combine PAFs for multiple dementia risk factors assume a multiplicative relationship between factors and rely on subjective criteria to develop weightings for risk factors. In this paper we present an alternative approach to calculating the PAF based on sums of individual risk. It incorporates individual risk factor interrelationships and enables a range of assumptions about the way in which multiple risk factors will combine to affect dementia risk. Applying this method to global data demonstrates that the previous estimate of 40% is potentially too conservative an estimate of modifiable dementia risk and would necessitate subadditive interaction between risk factors. We calculate a plausible conservative estimate of 55.7% (95% confidence interval: 55.2, 56.1) based on additive risk factor interaction.

Prospective associations between diet quality, dietary components, and risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity in older British men

PURPOSE

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is a major public health challenge. This study investigated the prospective relationships between diet quality, dietary components, and risk of CMM in older British men.

METHODS

We used data from the British Regional Heart Study of 2873 men aged 60-79 free of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and type 2 diabetes (T2D) at baseline. CMM was defined as the coexistence of two or more cardiometabolic diseases, including MI, stroke, and T2D. Sourcing baseline food frequency questionnaire, the Elderly Dietary Index (EDI), which was a diet quality score based on Mediterranean diet and MyPyramid for Older Adults, was generated. Cox proportional hazards regression and multi-state model were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 19.3 years, 891 participants developed first cardiometabolic disease (FCMD), and 109 developed CMM. Cox regression analyses found no significant association between baseline EDI and risk of CMM. However, fish/seafood consumption, a dietary component of the EDI score, was inversely associated with risk of CMM, with HR 0.44 (95% CI 0.26, 0.73) for consuming fish/seafood 1-2 days/week compared to less than 1 day/week after adjustment. Further analyses with multi-state model showed that fish/seafood consumption played a protective role in the transition from FCMD to CMM.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study did not find a significant association of baseline EDI with CMM but showed that consuming more fish/seafood per week was associated with a lower risk of transition from FCMD to CMM in older British men.

Life expectancy associated with different ages at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in high-income countries: 23 million person-years of observation

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes is increasing rapidly, particularly among younger age groups. Estimates suggest that people with diabetes die, on average, 6 years earlier than people without diabetes. We aimed to provide reliable estimates of the associations between age at diagnosis of diabetes and all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, and reductions in life expectancy.

METHODS

For this observational study, we conducted a combined analysis of individual-participant data from 19 high-income countries using two large-scale data sources: the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (96 cohorts, median baseline years 1961-2007, median latest follow-up years 1980-2013) and the UK Biobank (median baseline year 2006, median latest follow-up year 2020). We calculated age-adjusted and sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality according to age at diagnosis of diabetes using data from 1 515 718 participants, in whom deaths were recorded during 23·1 million person-years of follow-up. We estimated cumulative survival by applying age-specific HRs to age-specific death rates from 2015 for the USA and the EU.

FINDINGS

For participants with diabetes, we observed a linear dose-response association between earlier age at diagnosis and higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with participants without diabetes. HRs were 2·69 (95% CI 2·43-2·97) when diagnosed at 30-39 years, 2·26 (2·08-2·45) at 40-49 years, 1·84 (1·72-1·97) at 50-59 years, 1·57 (1·47-1·67) at 60-69 years, and 1·39 (1·29-1·51) at 70 years and older. HRs per decade of earlier diagnosis were similar for men and women. Using death rates from the USA, a 50-year-old individual with diabetes died on average 14 years earlier when diagnosed aged 30 years, 10 years earlier when diagnosed aged 40 years, or 6 years earlier when diagnosed aged 50 years than an individual without diabetes. Using EU death rates, the corresponding estimates were 13, 9, or 5 years earlier.

INTERPRETATION

Every decade of earlier diagnosis of diabetes was associated with about 3-4 years of lower life expectancy, highlighting the need to develop and implement interventions that prevent or delay the onset of diabetes and to intensify the treatment of risk factors among young adults diagnosed with diabetes.

FUNDING

British Heart Foundation, Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and Health Data Research UK.

Cardiometabolic risk in people under 40 years with severe mental illness: reading between the guidelines

People with severe mental illness (SMI) have a shorter life expectancy than the rest of the population. Multimorbidity and poorer physical health contribute to this health inequality. Cardiometabolic multimorbidity confers a significant mortality risk in this population. Multimorbidity is not restricted to older people and people with SMI present with multimorbidity earlier in life. Despite this, most screening, prevention and treatment strategies target older people. People under 40 years with SMI are underserved by current guidelines for cardiovascular risk assessment and reduction. Research is needed to develop and implement interventions to reduce cardiometabolic risk in this population.

Stage 1 hypertension defined by the 2017 ACC/AHA blood pressure guideline and cardiometabolic multimorbidity in Chinese adults

The association of blood pressure (BP) classification defined by the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) guideline with cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) remains unclear. The present study aimed to investigate this research gap in the Chinese adults. Cross-sectional data were collected from a population-based cohort conducted in Southern China. Participants were categorized as having normal BP, elevated BP, stage 1 hypertension, and stage 2 hypertension according to the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline. CMM was defined as having two or more of the following diseases: coronary heart disease, stroke, and diabetes. The relationship between the BP classifications and CMM was examined by multivariate logistic regression. A total of 95 649 participants (mean age: 54.3 ± 10.2 years, 60.7% were women) were enrolled in this study. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models revealed that stage 1 hypertension (odds ratio [OR], 1.35; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.78) and stage 2 hypertension (OR, 3.53; 95% CI, 2.82-4.47) were significantly associated with a higher prevalence of CMM compared with normal BP. The association between stage 1 hypertension and CMM were profound in women (OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.17-2.67) and in the middle-aged group (OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.02-2.35) compared with men and older individuals, respectively. Our study showed that among Chinese adults, stage 1 hypertension defined by the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline was already associated with higher odds of CMM compared with normal BP, particularly in women and middle-aged participants. Managing stage 1 hypertension may be an important measure to prevent CMM in Chinese adults.

Incretins and cardiovascular disease: to the heart of type 2 diabetes?

Major cardiovascular outcome trials and real-life observations have proven that glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), regardless of structural GLP-1 homology, exert clinically relevant cardiovascular protection. GLP-1RAs provide cardioprotective benefits through glycaemic and non-glycaemic effects, including improved insulin secretion and action, body-weight loss, blood-pressure lowering and improved lipid profile, as well as via direct effects on the heart and vasculature. These actions are likely combined with anti-inflammatory and antioxidant properties that translate into robust and consistent reductions in atherothrombotic events, particularly in people with type 2 diabetes and established atherosclerotic CVD. GLP-1RAs may also have an impact on obesity and chronic kidney disease, conditions for which cardiovascular risk-reducing options are limited. The available evidence has prompted professional and medical societies to recommend GLP-1RAs for mitigation of the cardiovascular risk in people with type 2 diabetes. This review summarises the clinical evidence for cardiovascular protection with use of GLP-1RAs and the main mechanisms underlying this effect. Moreover, it looks into how the availability of upcoming dual and triple incretin receptor agonists might expand the possibility for cardiovascular protection in people with type 2 diabetes.

Association of cardiometabolic multimorbidity with motoric cognitive risk syndrome in older adults

INTRODUCTION

Motoric cognitive risk syndrome (MCR) is a predementia syndrome that is characterized by cognitive complaints and slow gait. Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) is associated with an increased risk of dementia. However, the relationship between CMM and MCR is still unclear.

METHODS

We included 4744 participants (aged 65+ years) without MCR at baseline from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS), who were followed-up from 2011 to 2018. CMM was defined as the presence of two or more cardiometabolic diseases (including diabetes mellitus, heart disease, and stroke).

RESULTS

CMM was significantly associated with an increased risk of MCR (hazard ratio [HR] 1.41, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-1.75) in fully adjusted models. Consistent results were observed from stratified analyses of different subgroups. Increasing numbers of cardiometabolic diseases were dose-dependently associated with increased MCR risk (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.20-1.48).

DISCUSSION

CMM is associated with an increased risk of MCR in older adults.

HIGHLIGHTS

Motoric cognitive risk syndrome (MCR) is a predementia syndrome characterized by slow gait speed and cognitive complaints.Cardiometabolic multimorbidity was associated with an increased MCR risk.An increased number of cardiometabolic diseases were dose-dependently associated with increased MCR risk.

The Impact of Physical Activity Intensity on the Dynamic Progression of Cardiometabolic Multimorbidity: Prospective Cohort Study Using UK Biobank Data

BACKGROUND

Although many studies have reported on the associations between the amount of physical activity (PA) and the transitions of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM), the evidence for PA intensity has not been fully evaluated.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the impact of PA intensity on the dynamic progression of CMM.

METHODS

The prospective cohort of this study using data from the UK Biobank included 359,773 participants aged 37-73 years who were recruited from 22 centers between 2006 and 2010. The diagnoses of CMM, which included the copresence of type 2 diabetes (T2D), ischemic heart disease, and stroke, were obtained from first occurrence fields provided by the UK Biobank, which included data from primary care, hospital inpatient record, self-reported medical condition, and death registers. The PA intensity was assessed by the proportion of vigorous PA (VPA) to moderate to vigorous PA (MVPA). Multistate models were used to evaluate the effect of PA intensity on the dynamic progression of CMM. The first model (model A) included 5 transitions, namely free of cardiometabolic disease (CMD) to first occurrence of CMD (FCMD), free of CMD to death, FCMD to CMM, FCMD to mortality, and CMM to mortality. The other model (model B) used specific CMD, namely T2D, ischemic heart disease, and stroke, instead of FCMD and included 11 transitions in this study.

RESULTS

The mean age of the included participants (N=359,773) was 55.82 (SD 8.12) years at baseline, and 54.55% (196,271/359,773) of the participants were female. Compared with the participants with no VPA, participants with intensity levels of >0.75 to <1 for VPA to MVPA had a 13% and 27% lower risk of transition from free of CMD to FCMD (hazard ratio [HR] 0.87, 95% CI 0.83-0.91) and mortality (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.66-0.79) in model A, respectively. The HR for the participants with no moderate PA was 0.82 (95% CI 0.73-0.92) compared with no VPA. There was a substantially protective effect of higher PA intensity on the transitions from free of CMD to T2D and from T2D to mortality, which reveals the importance of PA intensity for the transitions of T2D. More PA and greater intensity had a synergistic effect on decreasing the risk of the transitions from free of CMD to FCMD and mortality. Male participants, younger adults, adults with a higher BMI, current or previous smokers, and excessive alcohol drinkers could obtain more benefits from higher PA intensity for the lower risk of at least 1 transition from free of CMD, then to CMM, and finally to mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that higher PA intensity is an effective measure for preventing CMM and mortality in the early period of CMM development. Relevant interventions related to higher PA intensity should be conducted.

Mitochondrial metabolites predict adverse cardiovascular events in individuals with diabetes

Metabolic mechanisms underlying the heterogeneity of major adverse cardiovascular (CV) event (MACE) risk in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) remain unclear. We hypothesized that circulating metabolites reflecting mitochondrial dysfunction predict incident MACE in T2D. Targeted mass-spectrometry profiling of 60 metabolites was performed on baseline plasma samples from the Trial Evaluating Cardiovascular Outcomes with Sitagliptin (TECOS; discovery cohort) and Exenatide Study of Cardiovascular Event Lowering (EXSCEL; validation cohort) biomarker substudy cohorts. A principal components analysis metabolite factor comprising medium-chain acylcarnitines (MCACs) was associated with MACE in TECOS and validated in EXSCEL, with higher levels associated with higher MACE risk. Meta-analysis showed that long-chain acylcarnitines (LCACs) and dicarboxylacylcarnitines were also associated with MACE. Metabolites remained associated with MACE in multivariate models and favorably changed with exenatide therapy. A third cohort (Cardiac Catheterization Genetics [CATHGEN]) with T2D was assessed to determine whether these metabolites improved discriminative capability of multivariate models for MACE. Nine metabolites (MCACs and LCACs and 1 dicarboxylacylcarnitine) were associated with time to MACE in the CATHGEN cohort. Addition of these metabolites to clinical models minimally improved the discriminative capability for MACE but did significantly down reclassify risk. Thus, metabolites reporting on dysregulated mitochondrial fatty acid oxidation are present in higher levels in individuals with T2D who experience subsequent MACE. These biomarkers may improve CV risk prediction models, be therapy responsive, and highlight emerging risk mechanisms.

Multimorbidity Patterns in the Urban Population in Poland

A number of studies have been conducted on multimorbidity; however, there are different patterns in various countries, ethnicities and social groups. The aim of this study is to estimate the prevalence of multimorbidity (physical diseases) in the urban population in Poland. In this population-based study, we examined multimorbidity stratified by sex, age, educational attainment and professional activity. Sixty-seven conditions were identified based on self-reported history (known conditions) and completed examinations (unknown conditions). Among the overall individuals aged 20-80 years, 1422 (88.2%) of the total 1612 individuals, 787 (88.9%) of 885 women and 635 (87.3%) of 727 men were diagnosed with at least two chronic conditions. On average, 5.25 ± 3.5 conditions occurred in the study population. The number of diagnosed conditions per individual increased with age and decreased with higher educational levels, with differing pathways in women and men. Women showed a higher number of conditions than men in the same age groups and educational levels. Only among students, the level of multimorbidity was lower in women than in men. In the other occupational activity categories, it was already higher in women. The level of multimorbidity in employed and unemployed individuals in a particular sex cluster was similar. We identified a high prevalence of multimorbidity in the urban population in Poland varying by age, sex, education attainment and professional activity. Our work may help in the selection of appropriate screening tests based on age, sex and educational attainment in order to recognise multimorbidity based on both known and unknown conditions. Ultimately, it may impact clinical practice, service delivery and study design.

Cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality associated with individual and combined cardiometabolic risk factors

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have investigated the association between cardiometabolic risk factors and cardiovascular disease (CVD), but evidence of the attributable burden of individual and combined cardiometabolic risk factors for CVD and mortality is limited. We aimed to investigate and quantify the associations and population attributable fraction (PAF) of cardiometabolic risk factors on CVD and all-cause mortality, and calculate the loss of CVD-free years and years of life lost in relation to the presence of cardiometabolic risk factors.

METHODS

Twenty-two thousand five hundred ninety-six participants aged ≥ 35 without CVD at baseline were included between October 2012 and December 2015. The outcomes were the composite of fatal and nonfatal CVD events and all-cause mortality, which were followed up in 2018 and 2019 and ascertained by hospital records and death certificates. Cox regression was applied to evaluate the association of individual and combined cardiometabolic risk factors (including hypertension, diabetes and high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C)) with CVD risk and all-cause mortality. We also described the PAF for CVD and reductions in CVD-free years and life expectancy associated with different combination of cardiometabolic conditions.

RESULTS

During the 4.92 years of follow-up, we detected 991 CVD events and 1126 deaths. Hazard ratio were 1.59 (95% confidential interval (CI) 1.37-1.85), 1.82 (95%CI 1.49-2.24) and 2.97 (95%CI 1.85-4.75) for CVD and 1.38 (95%CI 1.20-1.58), 1.66 (95%CI 1.37-2.02) and 2.97 (95%CI 1.88-4.69) for all-cause mortality, respectively, in participants with one, two or three cardiometabolic risk factors compared with participants without diabetes, hypertension, and high LDL-C. 21.48% of CVD and 15.38% of all-cause mortality were attributable to the combined effect of diabetes and hypertension. Participants aged between 40 and 60 years old, with three cardiometabolic disorders, had approximately 4.3-year reductions life expectancy compared with participants without any abnormalities of cardiometabolic disorders.

CONCLUSIONS

Cardiometabolic risk factors were associated with a multiplicative risk of CVD incidence and all-cause mortality, highlighting the importance of comprehensive management for hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia in the prevention of CVD.

Lifestyle Behaviors and Cardiometabolic Diseases by Race and Ethnicity and Social Risk Factors Among US Young Adults, 2011 to 2018

Background Cardiometabolic health has been worsening among young adults, but the prevalence of lifestyle risk factors and cardiometabolic diseases is unclear. Methods and Results Adults aged 18 to 44 years were included from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2011 to 2018. Age-standardized prevalence of lifestyle risk factors and cardiometabolic diseases was estimated overall and by demographic and social risk factors. A set of multivariable logistic regressions was sequentially performed by adjusting for age, sex, social risk factors, and lifestyle factors to determine whether racial and ethnic disparities in the prevalence of cardiometabolic diseases may be attributable to differences in social risk factors and lifestyle factors. Appropriate weights were used to ensure national representativeness of the estimates. A total of 10 405 participants were analyzed (median age, 30.3 years; 50.8% women; 32.3% non-Hispanic White). The prevalence of lifestyle risk factors ranged from 16.3% for excessive drinking to 49.3% for poor diet quality. The prevalence of cardiometabolic diseases ranged from 4.3% for diabetes to 37.3% for dyslipidemia. The prevalence of having ≥2 lifestyle risk factors was 45.2% and having ≥2 cardiometabolic diseases was 22.0%. Racial and ethnic disparities in many cardiometabolic diseases persisted but were attenuated after adjusting for social risk factors and lifestyle factors. Conclusions The prevalence of lifestyle risk factors and cardiometabolic diseases was high among US young adults and varied by race and ethnicity and social risk factors. Racial and ethnic disparities in the prevalence of cardiometabolic diseases were not fully explained by differences in social risk factors and lifestyle factors.

Inflammatory Markers Used as Predictors of Subclinical Atherosclerosis in Patients with Diabetic Polyneuropathy

BACKGROUND

peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is identified late in diabetic patients because, in the majority of cases, it is associated with diabetic peripheral neuropathy, resulting in little or no symptoms, or symptoms that are completely neglected.

METHODS

In this study were enrolled all patients over 18 years of age, with diabetes mellitus type II for more than a year with poor glycemic control, diagnosed with diabetic polyneuropathy admitted to the Diabetology Department, Emergency County Hospital of Targu Mures, Romania between January 2020 and March 2023. We divided the patients into two groups, based on the presence or absence of subclinical atherosclerosis in the lower limb, named "SA" and "non-SA".

RESULTS

Patients in the SA group were older (p = 0.01) and had a higher incidence of IHD (p = 0.03), history of MI (p = 0.02), and diabetic nephropathy (p = 0.01). Moreover, patients with subclinical atherosclerosis had a higher BMI (p < 0.0001) and a longer duration of diabetes (p < 0.0001). Among all patients, the systemic inflammatory markers, MLR (r = 0.331, p < 0.001), NLR (r = 0.517, p < 0.001), PLR (r = 0.296, p < 0.001), SII (r = 0.413, p < 0.001), as well as BMI (r = 0.241, p < 0.001) and HbA1C (r = 0.489, p < 0.001), demonstrated a strong positive correlation with the diabetes duration. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that older patients (OR: 2.58, p < 0.001), the male gender (OR: 2.30, p = 0.006), a higher baseline levels of BMI (OR: 7.71, p < 0.001), and the duration of diabetes (OR: 8.65, p < 0.001) are predictors of subclinical atherosclerosis in DN patients. Additionally, the high baseline levels of all systemic inflammatory markers (for all: p < 0.001) and poor diabetes management (OR: 10.4, p < 0.001 for HbA1C; OR: 10.78, p < 0.001 for admission glucose) are independent predictors of SA.

CONCLUSIONS

the inflammatory markers, NLR, MLR, PLR, and SII, being cheap and easy to collect in routine medical practice from the standard blood tests, could be an important step in predicting vascular outcomes in diabetic patients and the disease's progression, playing a key role in follow-up visits in type-2 diabetic patients and PAD patients.

Association between the insulin resistance and all-cause mortality in patients with moderate and severe aortic stenosis: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance (IR). However, whether the TyG index has prognostic value in patients with moderate to severe aortic stenosis (AS) remains unclear.

METHODS

This study enrolled 317 patients with moderate to severe AS at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University. The patients were grouped according to the cut-off value of the TyG index. Cox regression with Firth's penalized maximum likelihood method and restricted cubic splines regression were conducted to assess the association between the TyG index and all-cause mortality. The added value of the TyG index included in the traditional risk factors model for outcome prediction was also analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 317 patients (mean age 67.70 years, 62.8% male), there was 84 all-cause mortality during a median 38.07 months follow-up. After fully adjusting for confounders, a per-unit increase in the TyG index was associated with a 62% higher all-cause mortality risk (HR 1.622, 95% CI 1.086-2.416, p = 0.018). The restricted cubic splines regression model revealed a linear association between the TyG index and the risk of all-cause mortality (p for nonlinearity = 0.632). The addition of the TyG index in the basic risk model has an incremental effect on the prediction of mortality [C-statistic change from 0.755 to 0.768; continuous net reclassification improvement (95% CI): 0.299 (0.051-0.546), p = 0.017; integrated discrimination improvement: 0.017 (0.001-0.033), p = 0.044].

CONCLUSIONS

Higher IR assessed by the TyG index was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality in patients with moderate and severe AS.

Incidence, prevalence, and comorbidities of chronic pancreatitis: A 7-year population-based study

BACKGROUND

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is a fibroinflammatory syndrome leading to reduced quality of life and shortened life expectancy. Population-based estimates of the incidence, prevalence, and comorbidities of CP in China are scarce.

AIM

To characterize the incidence, prevalence, and comorbidities of CP in Sichuan Province, China, with population-based data.

METHODS

Data on CP from 2015 to 2021 were obtained from the Health Information Center of Sichuan Province. During the study period, a total of 38090 individuals were diagnosed with CP in Sichuan Province. The yearly incidence rate and point prevalence rate (December 31, 2021) of CP were calculated. The prevalence of comorbid conditions in CP patients was estimated. The annual number of CP-related hospitalizations, hospital length of stay, and hospitalization costs for CP were evaluated. Yearly incidence rates were standardized for age by the direct method using the permanent population of Sichuan Province in the 2020 census as the standard population. An analysis of variance test for the linearity of scaled variables and the Cochran-Armitage trend test for categorical data were performed to investigate the yearly trends, and a two-sided test with P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The 38090 CP patients comprised 23280 males and 14810 females. The mean age of patients at CP diagnosis was 57.83 years, with male patients (55.87 years) being younger than female patients (60.11 years) (P < 0.001). The mean incidence rate of CP during the study period was 6.81 per 100000 person-years, and the incidence of CP increased each year, from 4.03 per 100000 person-years in 2015 to 8.27 per 100000 person-years in 2021 (P < 0.001). The point prevalence rate of CP in 2021 was 45.52 per 100000 individuals for the total population, with rates of 55.04 per 100000 individuals for men and 35.78 per 100000 individuals for women (P < 0.001). Individuals aged 65 years or older had the highest prevalence of CP (113.38 per 100000 individuals) (P < 0.001). Diabetes (26.32%) was the most common comorbidity in CP patients. The number of CP-related hospitalizations increased from 3739 in 2015 to 11009 in 2021. The total costs for CP-related hospitalizations for CP patients over the study period were 667.96 million yuan, with an average of 17538 yuan per patient.

CONCLUSION

The yearly incidence of CP is increasing, and the overall CP hospitalization cost has increased by 1.4 times during the last 7 years, indicating that CP remains a heavy health burden.

Impact of total intravenous anesthesia and total inhalation anesthesia as the anesthesia maintenance approaches on blood glucose level and postoperative complications in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a double-blind, randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus is a prevalent metabolic disease in the world. Previous studies have shown that anesthetics can affect perioperative blood glucose levels which related to adverse clinical outcomes. Few studies have explored the choice of general anesthetic protocol on perioperative glucose metabolism in diabetes patients. We aimed to compare total intravenous anesthesia (TIVA) with total inhalation anesthesia (TIHA) on blood glucose level and complications in type 2 diabetic patients undergoing general surgery.

METHODS

In this double-blind controlled trial, 116 type 2 diabetic patients scheduled for general surgery were randomly assigned to either the TIVA group or TIHA group (n = 56 and n = 60, respectively). The blood glucose level at different time points were measured and analyzed by the repeated-measures analysis of variance. The serum insulin and cortisol levels were measured and analyzed with t-test. The incidence of complications was followed up and analyzed with chi-square test or Fisher's exact test as appropriate. The risk factors for complications were analyzed using the logistic stepwise regression.

RESULTS

The blood glucose levels were higher in TIHA group than that in TIVA group at the time points of extubation, 1 and 2 h after the operation, 1 and 2 days after the operation, and were significantly higher at 1 day after the operation (10.4 ± 2.8 vs. 8.1 ± 2.1 mmol/L; P < 0.01). The postoperative insulin level was higher in TIVA group than that in TIHA group (8.9 ± 2.9 vs. 7.6 ± 2.4 IU/mL; P = 0.011). The postoperative cortisol level was higher in TIHA group than that in TIVA group (15.3 ± 4.8 vs. 12.2 ± 8.9 ug/dL ; P = 0.031). No significant difference regarding the incidence of complications between the two groups was found based on the current samples. Blood glucose level on postoperative day 1 was a risk factor for postoperative complications (OR: 1.779, 95%CI: 1.009 ~ 3.138).

CONCLUSIONS

TIVA has less impact on perioperative blood glucose level and a better inhibition of cortisol release in type 2 diabetic patients compared to TIHA. A future large trial may be conducted to find the difference of complications between the two groups.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The protocol registered on the Chinese Clinical Trials Registry on 20/01/2020 (ChiCTR2000029247).

Baseline Cardiovascular Risk Factor Control in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Coronary Disease Versus Stroke: Secondary Analysis of Cardiovascular Outcome Trials

BACKGROUND

Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease are at increased risk for recurrent ischemic events. Cardiovascular risk factor control is vital for secondary prevention, but how this compares among individuals with different T2D macrovascular complications is unknown. We aimed to determine if there might be differences in risk factor control in patients with T2D with previous stroke versus coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

Cross-sectional analyses were performed on 12 856 patients with T2D with prior history of stroke with or without CAD from 3 diabetes cardiovascular outcome trials: CARMELINA (The Cardiovascular and Renal Microvascular Outcome Study With Linagliptin), EMPA-REG OUTCOME (Empagliflozin Cardiovascular Outcome Event Trial in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients), and CAROLINA (The Cardiovascular Outcome Study of Linagliptin vs Glimepiride in Type 2 Diabetes). Risk factors at baseline assessed included dyslipidemia, hypertension, smoking, and current antiplatelet/anticoagulant therapy. Control, respectively, was defined as LDL (low-density lipoprotein)-C <100 mg/dL or statin use, systolic blood pressure <140 and diastolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg, not currently smoking, and use of an antiplatelet/anticoagulant medication. The odds ratio of 3 to 4 (or good) versus 0 to 2 (or suboptimal) risk factors controlled was analyzed by logistic regression models.

RESULTS

The odds for good versus suboptimal risk factor control in patients with CAD alone was higher than in those with stroke alone across all 3 trials odds ratios (95% CI): CARMELINA, 2.05 (1.67-2.51), EMPA-REG OUTCOME, 2.50 (2.10-2.99), and CAROLINA, 1.63 (1.21-2.20). The respective odds ratios were lower (and rendered nonsignificant in CAROLINA) when cardiovascular risk factor control in patients with both CAD and stroke were compared with those with stroke alone: CARMELINA, 1.45 (1.13-1.87); EMPA-REG OUTCOME, 1.62 (1.25-2.08); and CAROLINA, 1.16 (0.74-1.83).

CONCLUSIONS

In contemporary populations of patients with T2D, there was significant discordance in control of cardiovascular risk factors between patients with stroke versus CAD, with the former having less optimal control. The intermediate results in patients with both CAD and stroke suggest that these differences could be related at least in part to clinician factors.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifiers: NCT01243424, NCT01131676, NCT01897532.

Multimorbidity Patterns and Associations with Gait, Balance and Lower Extremity Muscle Function in the Elderly: A Cross-Sectional Study in Northwest China

Purpose

Fall is a common geriatric syndrome leading to various adverse outcomes in the elderly. Gait and balance disorders and decreased lower extremity muscle function are the major intrinsic risk factors of falls, and studies suggested that they were closely related to the underlying chronic conditions. This study aimed to explore the patterns of multimorbidity and determine the associations of these multimorbidity patterns with gait, balance and lower extremity muscle function.

Patients and Methods

A cross-sectional survey of 4803 participants aged ≥60 years in Shaanxi Province, China was conducted and the self-reported chronic conditions were investigated. The 6-m walk test, timed-up-and-go test (TUG) and 5-sit-to-stand test (5-STS) were conducted to evaluate gait, balance, and lower extremity muscle function respectively. Latent class analysis was used to explore patterns of multimorbidity, and multivariate regression analysis was used to determine the associations of multimorbidity patterns with gait, balance, and lower extremity muscle function.

Results

Five multimorbidity patterns were identified: Degenerative Disease Class, Cardio-metabolic Class, Stroke-Respiratory-Depression Class, Gastrointestinal Class, and Very sick Class, and they were differently associated with gait and balance disorders and decreased lower extremity muscle function. In particular, the multimorbidity patterns of Degenerative Disease Class and Stroke-Respiratory-Depression Class were closely associated with all the three risk factors of falls.

Conclusion

There are significant differences in the impact of different multimorbidity patterns on the major intrinsic risk factors of falls in the elderly population, and appropriate multimorbidity patterns are closely related to the prediction of falls and can help to develop fall prevention strategies in the elderly.

SCORE2-Diabetes: 10-year cardiovascular risk estimation in type 2 diabetes in Europe

AIMS

To develop and validate a recalibrated prediction model (SCORE2-Diabetes) to estimate the 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals with type 2 diabetes in Europe.

METHODS AND RESULTS

SCORE2-Diabetes was developed by extending SCORE2 algorithms using individual-participant data from four large-scale datasets comprising 229 460 participants (43 706 CVD events) with type 2 diabetes and without previous CVD. Sex-specific competing risk-adjusted models were used including conventional risk factors (i.e. age, smoking, systolic blood pressure, total, and HDL-cholesterol), as well as diabetes-related variables (i.e. age at diabetes diagnosis, glycated haemoglobin [HbA1c] and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR]). Models were recalibrated to CVD incidence in four European risk regions. External validation included 217 036 further individuals (38 602 CVD events), and showed good discrimination, and improvement over SCORE2 (C-index change from 0.009 to 0.031). Regional calibration was satisfactory. SCORE2-Diabetes risk predictions varied several-fold, depending on individuals' levels of diabetes-related factors. For example, in the moderate-risk region, the estimated 10-year CVD risk was 11% for a 60-year-old man, non-smoker, with type 2 diabetes, average conventional risk factors, HbA1c of 50 mmol/mol, eGFR of 90 mL/min/1.73 m2, and age at diabetes diagnosis of 60 years. By contrast, the estimated risk was 17% in a similar man, with HbA1c of 70 mmol/mol, eGFR of 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and age at diabetes diagnosis of 50 years. For a woman with the same characteristics, the risk was 8% and 13%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

SCORE2-Diabetes, a new algorithm developed, calibrated, and validated to predict 10-year risk of CVD in individuals with type 2 diabetes, enhances identification of individuals at higher risk of developing CVD across Europe.

Effect on life expectancy of temporal sequence in a multimorbidity cluster of psychosis, diabetes, and congestive heart failure among 1·7 million individuals in Wales with 20-year follow-up: a retrospective cohort study using linked data

BACKGROUND

To inform targeted public health strategies, it is crucial to understand how coexisting diseases develop over time and their associated impacts on patient outcomes and health-care resources. This study aimed to examine how psychosis, diabetes, and congestive heart failure, in a cluster of physical-mental health multimorbidity, develop and coexist over time, and to assess the associated effects of different temporal sequences of these diseases on life expectancy in Wales.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we used population-scale, individual-level, anonymised, linked, demographic, administrative, and electronic health record data from the Wales Multimorbidity e-Cohort. We included data on all individuals aged 25 years and older who were living in Wales on Jan 1, 2000 (the start of follow-up), with follow-up continuing until Dec 31, 2019, first break in Welsh residency, or death. Multistate models were applied to these data to model trajectories of disease in multimorbidity and their associated effect on all-cause mortality, accounting for competing risks. Life expectancy was calculated as the restricted mean survival time (bound by the maximum follow-up of 20 years) for each of the transitions from the health states to death. Cox regression models were used to estimate baseline hazards for transitions between health states, adjusted for sex, age, and area-level deprivation (Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation [WIMD] quintile).

FINDINGS

Our analyses included data for 1 675 585 individuals (811 393 [48·4%] men and 864 192 [51·6%] women) with a median age of 51·0 years (IQR 37·0-65·0) at cohort entry. The order of disease acquisition in cases of multimorbidity had an important and complex association with patient life expectancy. Individuals who developed diabetes, psychosis, and congestive heart failure, in that order (DPC), had reduced life expectancy compared with people who developed the same three conditions in a different order: for a 50-year-old man in the third quintile of the WIMD (on which we based our main analyses to allow comparability), DPC was associated with a loss in life expectancy of 13·23 years (SD 0·80) compared with the general otherwise healthy or otherwise diseased population. Congestive heart failure as a single condition was associated with mean a loss in life expectancy of 12·38 years (0·00), and with a loss of 12·95 years (0·06) when preceded by psychosis and 13·45 years (0·13) when followed by psychosis. Findings were robust in people of older ages, more deprived populations, and women, except that the trajectory of psychosis, congestive heart failure, and diabetes was associated with higher mortality in women than men. Within 5 years of an initial diagnosis of diabetes, the risk of developing psychosis or congestive heart failure, or both, was increased.

INTERPRETATION

The order in which individuals develop psychosis, diabetes, and congestive heart failure as combinations of conditions can substantially affect life expectancy. Multistate models offer a flexible framework to assess temporal sequences of diseases and allow identification of periods of increased risk of developing subsequent conditions and death.

FUNDING

Health Data Research UK.

Systolic Blood Pressure and Survival to Very Old Age. Results from the Women's Health Initiative

Background

The association between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and longevity is not fully understood. We aimed to determine survival probabilities to age 90 for various SBP levels among women aged ≥ 65 years with or without BP medication.

Methods

We analyzed blood pressure data from participants in the Women's Health Initiative (n=16,570) who were aged 65 or older and without history of cardiovascular disease, diabetes or cancer. Blood pressure was measured at baseline (1993-1998) and then annually through 2005. The outcome was defined as survival to age 90 with follow-up until February 28, 2020.

Results

During a follow-up of 18 years, 9,723 (59%) of 16,570 women survived to age 90. The SBP associated with the highest probability of survival was about 120mmHg regardless of age. Compared to an SBP between 110 and 130 mmHg, women with uncontrolled SBP had a lower survival probability across all age groups and with or without BP medication. A 65-year-old women on BP medication with an interpolated SBP between 110 and 130 mmHg in 80% of the first 5 years of follow-up had a 31% (95% confidence interval, 24%, 38%) absolute survival probability. For those with 20% time in range, the probability was 21% (95% confidence interval, 16%, 26%).

Conclusions

An SBP level below 130 mmHg was found to be associated with longevity among older women. The longer SBP was controlled at a level between 110 and 130 mmHg, the higher the survival probability to age 90. Preventing age-related rises in SBP and increasing the time with controlled BP levels constitute important measures for achieving longevity.

Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants

BACKGROUND

The association of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) with mortality risk is rarely studied, and neither are the durations of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). Whether the association patterns of CMD durations with mortality change as individuals progress from one CMD to CMM is unclear.

METHODS

Data from China Kadoorie Biobank of 512,720 participants aged 30-79 was used. CMM was defined as the simultaneous presence of two or more CMDs of interest, including diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the duration-dependent associations of CMDs and CMM with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. All information on exposures of interest was updated during follow-up.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 99,770 participants experienced at least one incident CMD, and 56,549 deaths were documented. Among 463,178 participants free of three CMDs at baseline, compared with no CMD during follow-up, the adjusted HRs (95% CIs) between CMM and all-cause mortality, mortality from circulatory system diseases, respiratory system diseases, cancer, and other causes were 2.93 (2.80-3.07), 5.05 (4.74-5.37), 2.72 (2.35-3.14), 1.30 (1.16-1.45), and 2.30 (2.02-2.61), respectively. All CMDs exhibited a high mortality risk in the first year of diagnosis. Subsequently, with prolonged disease duration, mortality risk increased for diabetes, decreased for IHD, and sustained at a high level for stroke. With the presence of CMM, the above association estimates inflated, but the pattern of which remained.

CONCLUSION

Among Chinese adults, mortality risk increased with the number of the CMDs and changed with prolonged disease duration, the patterns of which varied among the three CMDs.

Time trajectories of key cardiometabolic parameters and of cardiovascular risk in subjects with diabetes in a real world setting

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Diabetes is associated with increased cardiovascular risk. Glycated haemoglobin (HbA_1c), lipid parameters and blood pressure are known risk factors for adverse outcome. The aim of the study was to explore the time trajectories of these key parameters and of the associated cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

We linked the diabetes electronic health records to the laboratory information system so as to investigate the trajectories of key metabolic parameters from 3 years prior to the diagnosis of diabetes to 10 years after diagnosis. We calculated the cardiovascular risk at the different time points during this period using the United Kingdom Prospective Study (UKPDS) risk engine.

RESULTS

The study included 21,288 patients. The median age at diagnosis was 56 years and 55.3% were male. There was a sharp decrease in HbA_1c after diagnosis of diabetes, but there was a progressive rise thereafter. All lipid parameters after diagnosis also improved in the year of diagnosis, and these improvements persisted even up to 10 years post-diagnosis. There was no discernible trend in mean systolic or diastolic blood pressures following diagnosis of diabetes. There was a slight decrease in the UKPDS-estimated cardiovascular risk after diagnosis of diabetes followed by a progressive increase. Estimated glomerular filtration rate declined at an average rate of 1.33 ml/min/1.73 m²/year.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that lipid control should be tightened with increasing duration of diabetes since this is more readily achievable than HbA_1c lowering and since other factors such as age and duration of diabetes are unmodifiable.

Clustering of Cardiometabolic Risk Factors and Dementia Incidence in Older Adults: A Cross-Country Comparison in England, the United States, and China

BACKGROUND

There is mixed evidence for an association between cardiometabolic risk factors and dementia incidence. This study aimed to determine whether different latent classes of cardiometabolic conditions were associated with dementia risk in older adults across England, the United States, and China.

METHODS

A total of 4 511 participants aged 50 and older were drawn from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), 5 112 from Health and Retirement Study (HRS), and 9 022 from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Latent class analyses were performed across each data set utilizing 7 baseline cardiometabolic conditions: obesity, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, hyperglycemia, diabetes, and inflammation. Confounder-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regressions were conducted to estimate dementia incidence by cardiometabolic latent classes.

RESULTS

Three similar cardiometabolic classes were identified across all countries: (i) "relatively healthy/healthy obesity," (ii) "obesity-hypertension," and (iii) "complex cardiometabolic." Across the 3 samples, a total of 1 230 individuals developed dementia over a median of 6.8-12.2 years. Among ELSA and HRS participants, the "complex cardiometabolic" group had a higher dementia risk when compared to the "healthy obesity" groups (England: adjusted hazard ratio [AdjHR] = 1.62 [95% confidence interval {CI} = 1.11-2.37]; United States: AdjHR = 1.31 [95% CI = 1.02-1.68]). However, in CHARLS participants, the "obesity-hypertension" group had a greater risk of dementia when compared to the "relatively healthy" group (AdjHR = 1.28 [95% CI = 1.04-1.57]).

CONCLUSION

This study provides evidence that in western populations, complex cardiometabolic clusters are associated with higher rates of dementia incidence, whereas in a Chinese sample, a different cardiometabolic profile seems to be linked to an increased risk of dementia.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists in diabetic kidney disease: A review of their kidney and heart protection

Importance

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, testing for albuminuria among patients with T2D is substantially underutilized in clinical practice; many patients with CKD go unrecognized. For patients with T2D at high cardiovascular risk, or with established CVD, the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) have been shown to reduce ASCVD in cardiovascular outcome trials, while potential kidney outcomes are being explored.

Observations

A recent meta-analysis found that GLP1-RA reduced 3-point major adverse cardiovascular events by 14% [HR, 0.86 (95% CI, 0.80-0.93)] in patients with T2D. The benefits of GLP1-RA to reduce ASCVD were at least as large among people with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m². GLP1-RA also conferred a 21% reduction in the composite kidney outcome [HR, 0.79 (0.73-0.87)]; however, this result was achieved largely through reduction in albuminuria. It remains uncertain whether GLP1-RA would confer similar favorable results for eGFR decline and/or progression to end-stage kidney disease. Postulated mechanisms by which GLP1-RA confer protection against CVD and CKD include blood pressure lowering, weight loss, improved glucose control, and decreasing oxidative stress. Ongoing studies in T2D and CKD include a kidney outcome trial with semaglutide (FLOW, NCT03819153) and a mechanism of action study (REMODEL, NCT04865770) examining semaglutide's effect on kidney inflammation and fibrosis. Ongoing cardiovascular outcome studies are examining an oral GLP1-RA (NCT03914326), GLP1-RA in patients without T2D (NCT03574597), and dual GIP/GLP1-RA agonists (NCT04255433); the secondary kidney outcomes of these trials will be informative.

Conclusions and relevance

Despite their well-described ASCVD benefits and potential kidney protective mechanisms, GLP1-RA remain underutilized in clinical practice. This highlights the need for cardiovascular clinicians to influence and implement use of GLP1-RA in appropriate patients, including those with T2D and CKD at higher risk for ASCVD.

The impact of diabetes on the relationship of coronary artery disease and outcome: a study using multimodality imaging

BACKGROUND

Patients with prediabetes or diabetes are at increased risk of developing cardiovascular disease and adverse outcomes. First-line coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) followed by selective use of positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging is a feasible strategy to diagnose and risk-stratify patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). The aim of the present study was to study whether diabetes changes the relationship of CAD and long-term outcome.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified consecutive symptomatic patients who underwent coronary CTA for suspected CAD. In patients with suspected obstructive CAD on CTA, myocardial ischemia was evaluated by ¹⁵O-water PET myocardial perfusion imaging. The relationship of the phenotype of CAD and long-term outcome in patients with no diabetes, prediabetes, or type 2 diabetes was investigated. A composite endpoint included all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and unstable angina pectoris (UAP).

RESULTS

A total of 1743 patients were included: 1214 (70%) non-diabetic, 259 (15%) prediabetic, and 270 (16%) type 2 diabetic patients. During 6.43 years of median follow-up, 164 adverse events occurred (106 deaths, 41 MIs, 17 UAPs). The prevalence of normal coronary arteries on CTA was highest in the non-diabetic patients (39%). The prevalence of hemodynamically significant CAD (abnormal perfusion) increased from 14% in non-diabetic patients to 20% in prediabetic and 27% in diabetic patients. The event rate was lowest in patients with normal coronary arteries and highest in patients with concomitant type 2 diabetes and hemodynamically significant CAD (annual event rate 0.2% vs. 4.7%). However, neither prediabetes nor diabetes were independent predictors of the composite adverse outcome after adjustment for the clinical risk factors and imaging findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Coronary CTA followed by selective downstream use of PET myocardial perfusion imaging predicts long-term outcome similarly in non-diabetic and diabetic patients.

Guardians For Health: A Practical Approach to Improving Quality of Life and Longevity in People with Type 2 Diabetes

Type 2 diabetes is one of the fastest-growing health emergencies of the twenty-first century, in part due to its association with cardiovascular and renal disease. Successful implementation of evidence-based guidelines for the management of patients with diabetes and pre-diabetes has been shown to improve patient outcomes by controlling risk factors for cardiovascular and renal disease. Recommendations include the early introduction of lifestyle adjustments, supported by pharmacological tools. Despite the availability of regularly updated, evidence-based guidelines, guideline implementation in clinical practice is low. As a result, people living with type 2 diabetes are not consistently receiving ideal clinical care. Improving guideline adherence has the potential to improve quality of life and longevity in patients with type 2 diabetes. This article introduces Guardians For Health, a global initiative that aims to improve guideline adherence by simplifying patient management and encouraging patient participation in the implementation of guidelines for type 2 diabetes. Guardians For Health is supported by a global community of implementers, with tools to support decision-making and quality assurance. Through achieving better guideline adherence, Guardians For Health hopes to achieve its vision to "stop early mortality by reducing cardiovascular and kidney complications in people with type 2 diabetes".

Dietary Diversity and Inflammatory Diet Associated with All-Cause Mortality and Incidence and Mortality of Type 2 Diabetes: Two Prospective Cohort Studies

A higher dietary diversity score (DDS) and a lower energy-adjusted dietary inflammatory index (E-DII) may be associated with lower risks of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and mortality. This cohort study aimed to investigate the associations of DDS and E-DII with all-cause mortality, incidence of T2D, and mortality of T2D, as well as the joint effects of these two dietary factors. A total of 181,360 participants without all types of diabetes at baseline from the UK Biobank and 42,139 participants from the US NHANES were included. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the associations of DDS and E-DII with outcomes. In the UK Biobank data, 8338 deaths, 3416 incident T2D cases, and 353 T2D deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 12.5 years. In the US NHANES data, 6803 all-cause deaths and 248 T2D-specific deaths were recorded during a median follow-up of 9.6 years. We observed that higher DDS and lower E-DII were significantly associated with lower risks of total mortality and incident T2D. Compared with low DDS, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of high DDS were 0.69 (0.64, 0.74) for all-cause mortality, 0.79 (0.70, 0.88) for incident T2D in the UK Biobank, and 0.69 (0.61, 0.78) for all-cause mortality in the US NHANES. Compared with participants in tertile 3 of E-DII, those in tertile 1 had a lower risk of overall death [HR 0.86 (95% CI: 0.81, 0.91) in UK Biobank; 0.83 (0.77, 0.88) in US NHANES] and incident T2D [0.86 (0.79, 0.94)] in UK Biobank. No evidence was observed of the interactive effects of DDS and E-DII on either all-cause mortality or the incidence and mortality of T2D. There was no significant association found between any exposure and T2D mortality in this study. In conclusion, our results revealed that higher DDS and lower E-DII were associated with both total mortality and incident T2D in UK and US adults.

Longitudinal models for the progression of disease portfolios in a nationwide chronic heart disease population

BACKGROUND AND AIM

With multimorbidity becoming increasingly prevalent in the ageing population, addressing the epidemiology and development of multimorbidity at a population level is needed. Individuals subject to chronic heart disease are widely multimorbid, and population-wide longitudinal studies on their chronic disease trajectories are few.

METHODS

Disease trajectory networks of expected disease portfolio development and chronic condition prevalences were used to map sex and socioeconomic multimorbidity patterns among chronic heart disease patients. Our data source was all Danish individuals aged 18 years and older at some point in 1995-2015, consisting of 6,048,700 individuals. We used algorithmic diagnoses to obtain chronic disease diagnoses and included individuals who received a heart disease diagnosis. We utilized a general Markov framework considering combinations of chronic diagnoses as multimorbidity states. We analyzed the time until a possible new diagnosis, termed the diagnosis postponement time, in addition to transitions to new diagnoses. We modelled the postponement times by exponential models and transition probabilities by logistic regression models.

FINDINGS

Among the cohort of 766,596 chronic heart disease diagnosed individuals, the prevalence of multimorbidity was 84.36% and 88.47% for males and females, respectively. We found sex-related differences within the chronic heart disease trajectories. Female trajectories were dominated by osteoporosis and male trajectories by cancer. We found sex important in developing most conditions, especially osteoporosis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and diabetes. A socioeconomic gradient was observed where diagnosis postponement time increases with educational attainment. Contrasts in disease portfolio development based on educational attainment were found for both sexes, with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and diabetes more prevalent at lower education levels, compared to higher.

CONCLUSIONS

Disease trajectories of chronic heart disease diagnosed individuals are heavily complicated by multimorbidity. Therefore, it is essential to consider and study chronic heart disease, taking into account the individuals' entire disease portfolio.

Depressive symptoms and risk of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity in community-dwelling older adults: The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

BACKGROUND

Depressive symptoms are associated with an increased risk of developing cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). However, the relationship between depressive symptoms and cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to examine whether depressive symptoms were associated with an increased risk of incident CMM in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 6663 participants who were free of CMM at baseline from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Depressive symptoms were assessed by the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale-10 (CESD-10). Incident CMM refers to the coexistence of ≥2 CMDs (heart disease, stroke, or diabetes). Multivariable logistic regressions and restricted cubic splines were performed to assess the association between depressive symptoms and incident CMM.

RESULTS

The median CESD-10 score at baseline was 7 (IQR: 3 to 12). Over 4 years of follow-up, 309 participants (4.6 %) developed CMM. After adjusting for sociodemographic, behavioral, and traditional clinical risk factors, a higher frequency of depressive symptoms was associated with an increased risk of incident CMM (per 9-point higher CESD-10 score OR: 1.73; 95 % CI: 1.48-2.03). The association between the CESD-10 score and incident CMM was more obvious in women (OR: 2.02; 95 % CI: 1.63-2.51) than in men (OR: 1.16; 95 % CI: 0.86-1.56) (P_interaction = 0.005).

LIMITATIONS

Heart diseases and stroke were determined based on self-reported physician diagnoses.

CONCLUSIONS

A higher frequency of depressive symptoms at baseline increased the risk of incident CMM within four years among middle-aged and older individuals in China.

Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and O3 with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: Evidence among Chinese elderly population from 462 cities

Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) refers to the presence of multiple cardiovascular and metabolic diseases (CMDs), such as hypertension, diabetes, and cardio-cerebrovascular diseases (CCVD), in the same individual, and has emerge as a significant global health concern due to population aging. Although previous research has demonstrated the association between cardiovascular and metabolic diseases and air pollutants, evidence on the link between CMM and air pollution exposure among Chinese older adults is limited. To address this research gap, we conducted a national representative survey of 222,179 adults aged 60 and older to investigate the epidemiology of CMM and its association with long-term exposure to PM_2.5 and O₃ in China's elderly population. We found that the prevalence of CMM among Chinese older adults was 16.9%, and hypertension and CCVD were the most common CMM cluster (10.8%). After adjusting for confounding variables, we observed a significant positive association between PM_2.5 exposure and the prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, and CCVD, with a respective excess risk increase of 3.2%, 3.6%, and 5.5% for every 10-unit increase. Moreover, every 10-unit increase in PM_2.5 was linked to a higher risk of hypertension and diabetes (2.2%), hypertension and CCVD (5.4%), diabetes and CCVD (5.6%), and hypertension, diabetes, and CCVD combined (7.6%). We also found a U-shaped curve relationship between O₃ exposure and the occurrence of hypertension, diabetes, and CCVD, as well as different subtypes of CMM, with the lowest risk of O₃ exposure was observed near 75-80 μg/m³. Furthermore, we identified that female and rural residents are more vulnerable to the health risks of air pollution than male and urban residents. Given the increasing aging of the population and rising prevalence of multimorbidity, policymakers should focus more attention on the female and rural elderly population to prevent and control CMM. This study provides compelling evidence that reducing air pollution levels can be an effective strategy to prevent and manage CMM among older adults.

Associations of healthy lifestyle with depression and post-depression dementia: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Depressive symptoms may be a risk factor or prodrome of dementia, but the modifiable risk factors for dementia after onset of depression has not been fully elucidated. The current study aimed to investigate the associations of lifestyle factors with depression and post-depression dementia.

METHODS

Our analysis was based on data from the ongoing UK Biobank study, which included 497,533 participants (age 37-73 years) between 2006 and 2010, and thereafter followed up to 2020. High-risk lifestyle factors included current smoking, heavy alcohol intaking, poor diet pattern, physically inactive. Multistate models were used to estimate the transition-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

During a 14.8-year follow-up, 23,164 participants developed depression, and 989 developed post-depression dementia. The incidence rate of dementia in people with depression was far more than those who were free of depression. In multistate model, high-risk lifestyle factors were substantially associated with higher risks of incident depression (HR = 2.14, 95 % CI: 1.95-2.35), dementia (HR = 1.87, 95 % CI: 1.51-2.31), and post-depression dementia (HR = 1.72, 95 % CI: 1.13-2.62). When the analyses were divided by individual lifestyle factors, we found that only physically inactive contributed significantly to the development of dementia after the onset of depression (HR = 1.15, 95 % CI: 1.01-1.30).

CONCLUSION

Our study found that high-risk lifestyle factors were associated with higher risk of transition from depression to dementia, highlighting the great significance of integrating comprehensive behavioral interventions, particularly for regular physical activity, for prevention of both depression and post-depression dementia.

Cardiovascular Health and Life Expectancy Among Adults in the United States

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease may be the main reason for stagnant growth in life expectancy in the United States since 2010. The American Heart Association recently released an updated algorithm for evaluating cardiovascular health (CVH)-Life's Essential 8 (LE8) score. We aimed to quantify the associations of CVH levels, estimated by the LE8 score, with life expectancy in a nationally representative sample of US adults.

METHODS

We included 23 003 nonpregnant, noninstitutionalized participants aged 20 to 79 years who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2005 to 2018 and whose mortality was identified through linkage to the National Death Index through December 31, 2019. The overall CVH was evaluated by the LE8 score (range, 0-100), as well as the score for each component of diet, physical activity, tobacco/nicotine exposure, sleep duration, body mass index, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, blood glucose, and blood pressure. Life table method was used to estimate life expectancy by levels of the CVH.

RESULTS

During a median of 7.8 years of follow-up, 1359 total deaths occurred. The estimated life expectancy at age 50 years was 27.3 years (95% CI, 26.1-28.4), 32.9 years (95% CI, 32.3-33.4), and 36.2 years (95% CI, 34.2-38.2) in participants with low (LE8 score <50), moderate (50≤ LE8 score <80), and high (LE8 score ≥80) CVH, respectively. Equivalently, participants with high CVH had an average 8.9 (95% CI, 6.2-11.5) more years of life expectancy at age 50 years compared with those with low CVH. On average, 42.6% of the gained life expectancy at age 50 years from adhering to high CVH was attributable to reduced cardiovascular disease death. Similarly significant associations of CVH with life expectancy were observed in men and women, respectively. Similarly significant associations of CVH with life expectancy were observed in White participants and Black participants but not in Mexican participants.

CONCLUSIONS

Adhering to a high CVH, defined as the LE8 score, is related to a considerably increased life expectancy in US adults, but more research needs to be done in other races and ethnicities (eg, Hispanic and Asian).

The association between sleep characteristics and the risk of all-cause mortality among individuals with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: a prospective study of UK Biobank

STUDY OBJECTIVES

To investigate the implications of both sleep factors and sleep patterns on the prognosis of cardiometabolic multimorbidity.

METHODS

From UK Biobank, individuals with cardiometabolic multimorbidity , defined as the coincidence of at least 2 cardiometabolic diseases (hypertension, diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, and stroke) were included in this study. Four low-risk sleep factors, including early chronotype, sleep 7-8 h/d, free of insomnia, and no frequent excessive daytime sleepiness, were used to generate a healthy sleep score ranging from 0 to 4. Participants with a score of 0-1, 2, 3-4 were clustered into groups with poor, intermediate, and healthy sleep pattern, respectively. We assessed the adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for all-cause mortality using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Among included 35,757 participants, the mean age (standard deviation)) was 61.82 (6.3) years. After full adjustment, early chronotype, sleep 7-8 h/d, no frequent excessive daytime sleepiness, and free of insomnia were independently associated with 8%, 12%, 11%, and 8% lower risk of all-cause mortality among all persons with cardiometabolic multimorbidity. We found the fully adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for all-cause mortality was 0.90 (0.88-0.92) for a 1-point increase in the healthy sleep score. Compared with the reference group, participants with the intermediate and healthy sleep pattern had 9% and 23% lower risk of all-cause death, respectively, in the fully adjusted model.

CONCLUSIONS

A healthy sleep pattern combining 4 low-risk sleep factors could be regarded as a healthy lifestyle for individuals with cardiometabolic multimorbidity to lower the risk of all-cause mortality.

CITATION

He L, Ma T, Cheng X, Bai Y. The association between sleep characteristics and the risk of all-cause mortality among individuals with cardiometabolic multimorbidity: a prospective study of UK Biobank. J Clin Sleep Med. 2023;19(4):651-658.

Changes in the use of glucose-lowering drugs: A Danish nationwide study

AIM

To investigate changes in the pattern of drugs used to treat type 2 diabetes in Denmark from 2005 to 2021.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A nationwide, population-based drug utilization study based on medical databases covering the Danish population was conducted. We assessed incident and prevalent use patterns among all 441 205 individuals initiating at least one non-insulin, glucose-lowering drug.

RESULTS

The rate of new users of non-insulin, glucose-lowering drugs increased from 2005, peaked in 2011, decreased to stable levels during 2013 to 2019, then increased dramatically during 2020-2021. The prevalence of use increased from 2.1% (in 2005) to 5.0% (in 2021) of the entire adult population. In 2021, metformin comprised 39% of all glucose-lowering drug consumption, followed by insulin (17%), sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) (17%), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) (16%) and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (7.5%). Overall, 56% of users were on monotherapy, 28% used dual therapy, while 13% and 2.8% used three and four drug classes, respectively. Both the intensity and diversity of therapies increased substantially over time, with 15 different treatment regimens each covering more than 1% of users in 2021. General practitioners prescribed 88% of all glucose-lowering drugs. Marked shifts towards GLP-1RA initiation by general practitioners and SGLT-2i initiation by specialists were observed, and changing user profiles suggested increasing use for non-diabetes indications.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of new users of non-insulin, glucose-lowering drugs has increased in recent years and the prevalence of glucose-lowering drug use increases steadily. Glucose-lowering drugs are mainly prescribed by general practitioners, and the intensity, diversity and indications of glucose-lowering treatment are increasing.