Body mass index at different adult ages, weight change, and colorectal cancer risk in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Cohort

Overweight and obesity significantly increase colorectal cancer risk: a meta-analysis of 66 studies revealing a 25-57% elevation in risk

The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) has been steadily rising, and obesity has been identified as a significant risk factor. Numerous studies suggest a strong correlation between excess body weight and increased risk of CRC, but comprehensive quantification through pooled analysis remains limited. This study aims to systematically review and meta-analyze the existing literature to evaluate the association between obesity and CRC risk, considering variations across sex and study designs. A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and Web of Science to identify randomized controlled trials and human clinical trials from 1992 to 2024. Statistical analysis was performed using the https://metaanalysisonline.com web application using a random effects model to estimate the pooled hazard rates (HR). Forest plots, funnel plots, and Z-score plots were utilized to visualize results. We identified 52 clinical trials and 14 case-control studies, encompassing a total of 83,251,050 and 236,877 subjects, respectively. The pooled analysis indicated that obesity significantly increased the prevalence of CRC (HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.24-1.48, p < 0.01). This effect was consistent across sexes, with HRs of 1.57 (95% CI = 1.38-1.78, p = 0.01) for males and 1.25 (95% CI = 1.14-1.38, p < 0.01) for females. Case-control studies specifically showed an effect, but with marginal significance only (HR = 1.27, 95% CI = 0.98-1.65, p = 0.07). The Z-score plot indicated the need for additional analysis in the case-control group. A significant heterogeneity was observed across studies in all four settings. This meta-analysis provides robust evidence that obesity is a significant risk factor for colorectal cancer, with an overall hazard rate indicating a 36% increased risk. The effect is pronounced across both sexes, with males showing a slightly higher risk compared to females. Although case-control studies showed a weaker association, the overall trend supports the link between obesity and CRC. These results underscore the importance of public health interventions aimed at reducing obesity to potentially lower the risk of colorectal cancer.

Different Metabolic Associations of Hepatitis C With Colon and Rectal Cancers: A 9-Year Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Whether HCV infection is associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) development remains inconclusive.

METHODS

A nationwide population-based cohort study of the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database was conducted.

RESULTS

From 2003 to 2012, 1:2:2 propensity score-matched HCV-treated [interferon-based therapy ≥ 6 months, surveys for CRC (n = 9017), colon cancer (CC) (n = 9,022) and rectal cancer (RC) (n = 9,033), HCV-untreated and HCV-uninfected cohorts CRC (n = 18034), CC (n = 18,044) and RC (n = 18,066) were enrolled. The HCV-uninfected cohort had the lowest cumulative incidence of CRC (0.117%; 95% CI: 0.062%-0.207%), whereas the HCV-treated (0.966%; 0.375-2.122%) and HCV-untreated (0.807%; 0.485%-1.280%) cohorts had similar incidences (P = .0662); HCV infection [reference: HCV-untreated cohort, HCV-treated: hazard ratio (HR): 0.598; 95% CI HR: 0.337-1.059; HCV-uninfected: 0.250; 0.138-0.456] and age ≥ 49 years (3.128;1.751-5.59) were associated with CRC development. The HCV-untreated cohort had the highest cumulative incidence of CC (0.883%; 0.371-1.839%), while HCV-treated (0.478%; 0.110-1.518%) and HCV-uninfected cohorts (0.147%; 0.071-0.284%) had similar incidences (P = .4853); HCV infection (HCV-treated: 0.474; 0.232-0.971; HCV-uninfected: 0.338; 0.184-0.62), male sex (2.18; 1.301-3.654), age≥ 49 years (4.818; 2.123-10.936) and diabetes (1.983; 1.205-3.262) were associated with CC development. A higher RC cumulative incidence was noted in the HCV-untreated cohort (0.332%; 0.151-0.664%) than in the HCV-uninfected cohort (0.116%; 0.054-0.232%) (P = .0352); HCV infection (HCV-treated: 0.691; 0.295-1.617; HCV-uninfected: 0.424; 0.207-0.867), age ≥ 49 years (3.745, 1.576-8.898) and stroke (3.162; 1.366-7.322) were associated with RC development.

CONCLUSIONS

The baseline associations were HCV infection and age ≥ 49 years with CRC; male sex and diabetes with CC; and stroke with RC. Anti-HCV therapy might reverse the risk of HCV-related CC but not RC.

Role of body mass index and weight change in the risk of cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 66 cohort studies

Background

This study was designed to evaluate the effects of body mass index (BMI) and weight change on the risk of developing cancer overall and cancer at different sites.

Methods

We searched PubMed and other databases up to July 2023 using the keywords related to 'risk', 'cancer', 'weight', 'overweight', and 'obesity'. We identified eligible studies, and the inclusion criteria encompassed cohort studies in English that focused on cancer diagnosis and included BMI or weight change as an exposure factor. Multiple authors performed data extraction and quality assessment, and statistical analyses were carried out using RevMan and R software. We used random- or fixed-effects models to calculate the pooled relative risk (RR) or hazard ratio along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We used the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale to assess study quality.

Results

Analysis included 66 cohort studies. Compared to underweight or normal weight, overweight or obesity was associated with an increased risk of endometrial cancer, kidney cancer, and liver cancer but a decreased risk of prostate cancer and lung cancer. Being underweight was associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer and lung cancer but not that of postmenopausal breast cancer or female reproductive cancer. In addition, weight loss of more than five kg was protective against overall cancer risk.

Conclusions

Overweight and obesity increase the risk of most cancers, and weight loss of >5 kg reduces overall cancer risk. These findings provide insights for cancer prevention and help to elucidate the mechanisms underlying cancer development.

Registration

Reviewregistry1786.

Association of High Body Mass Index in Early Life With the Development of Colorectal Cancer

SIGNIFICANCE

This study on the relationship between early life high BMI and the development of CRC reveals the role of high BMI during childhood and adolescence in the occurrence and progression of CRC. It suggests the importance of restoring normal weight or reducing weight in individuals with high BMI early in life for the prevention of colorectal cancer.

The underestimated impact of excess body weight on colorectal cancer risk: Evidence from the UK Biobank cohort

BACKGROUND

The association between excess weight and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk may have been underestimated due to potential weight loss during pre-clinical sojourn time of CRC. We aimed to investigate this association and the corresponding population attributable fraction (PAF), accounting for prediagnostic weight loss.

METHODS

Data from the UK Biobank prospective cohort were used. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) for various periods of follow-up and the corresponding PAF of excess weight were calculated.

RESULTS

During a median of 10.0 years of follow-up, of 453,049 participants, 4794 developed CRC. The excess weight-CRC association became substantially stronger with including increasing lengths of follow-up in the analyses and further excluding the initial years of follow-up. HRs (95% CIs) for overweight and obesity were 1.06 (0.97-1.16) and 1.14 (1.03-1.26) after 7 years of follow-up, 1.13 (1.05-1.21) and 1.23 (1.14-1.33) when including complete follow-up length, and 1.26 (1.12-1.43) and 1.42 (1.24-1.63) when excluding the initial 7 years of follow-up. The corresponding PAFs of excess weight were estimated as 6.8%, 11.3%, and 19.0%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Comprehensive consideration of the potential effect of prediagnostic weight loss discloses a much stronger impact of excess body weight on CRC risk than previously assumed.

Body size over the adult life course and the risk of colorectal cancer among postmenopausal women

OBJECTIVE

To assess the associations among several anthropometric measures, as well as BMI trajectories and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in older women.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Forty clinical centres in the USA.

PARTICIPANTS

Totally, 79 034 postmenopausal women in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study.

RESULTS

During an average of 15·8 years of follow-up, 1514 CRC cases were ascertained. Five BMI trajectories over 18-50 years of age were identified using growth mixture model. Compared with women who had a normal BMI at age 18, women with obesity at age 18 had a higher risk of CRC (HR 1·58, 95 % CI 1·02, 2·44). Compared with women who kept relatively low normal body size during adulthood, women who progressed from normal to obesity (HR 1·29, 95 % CI 1·09, 1·53) and women who progressed from overweight to obesity (HR 1·37, 95 % CI 1·13, 1·68) had higher CRC risks. A weight gain > 15 kg from age 18 to 50 (HR 1·20, 95 % CI 1·04, 1·40) and baseline waist circumference > 88 cm (HR 1·33, 95 % CI 1·19, 1·49) were associated with higher CRC risks, compared with stable weight and waist circumference ≤ 88 cm, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Women who have a normal weight in early adult life and gain substantial weight later, as well as those who are persistently heavy over adulthood, demonstrated a higher risk of developing CRC. Our study highlights the importance of maintaining a healthy body weight over the life course for reducing the risk of developing CRC in women.

Association of Overweight, Obesity, and Recent Weight Loss With Colorectal Cancer Risk

Importance

Overweight and obesity, conditions with rising prevalence in many countries, are associated with increased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. However, many patients with CRC lose weight before diagnosis, which may lead the association to be underestimated.

Objective

To evaluate the association of body mass index (BMI) and weight change with CRC risk when considering BMI at different time frames, with the intention to account for prediagnostic weight loss.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based case-control study was conducted in southwestern Germany between 2003 and 2021. Cases with a first diagnosis of CRC and controls (frequency matched by age, sex, and county) with comprehensive risk factor information and self-reported weight at different time points were included. Data were analyzed between October 2022 and March 2023.

Exposure

BMI and weight change at different time frames before the time of diagnosis (cases) or recruitment (controls).

Main Outcomes and Measures

Association of BMI and weight change at various points in time before and up to diagnosis with CRC, assessed by multivariable logistic regression with comprehensive confounder adjustment.

Results

A total of 11 887 participants (6434 CRC cases, 5453 controls; median [IQR] age, 69 [61-77] years; 7173 male [60.3%]) were included. At the time of diagnosis, 3998 cases (62.1%) and 3601 controls (66.0%) were overweight or obese, suggesting an inverse association between excess weight and CRC risk. Conversely, we found significant positive associations of overweight (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.27; 95% CI, 1.03-1.56), obesity (aOR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.61-2.70), and a 5-unit increase in BMI (aOR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.21-1.50) with CRC risk when using BMI measured 8 to 10 years before diagnosis. High BMI as a risk factor for CRC was increased as earlier periods before diagnosis were examined, with the association being particularly pronounced using BMI at least 8 years before diagnosis. An opposite trend was found for the association of weight loss (at or exceeding 2 kg) with CRC, with the greatest effect sizes occurring for weight loss within 2 years before diagnosis (aOR, 7.52; 95% CI, 5.61-10.09), and gradually decreased for earlier intervals.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this population-based case-control study, accounting for substantial prediagnostic weight loss further highlighted the association of overweight and obesity with CRC risk.

Is the association of overweight and obesity with colorectal cancer underestimated? An umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses

Although high body-mass index (BMI) is associated with increased risk of developing colorectal cancer (CRC), many CRC patients lose weight before diagnosis. BMI is often reported close to diagnosis, which may have led to underestimation or even reversal of direction of the BMI-CRC association. We aimed to assess if and to what extent potential bias from prediagnostic weight loss has been considered in available epidemiological evidence. We searched PubMed and Web of Science until May 2022 for systematic reviews and meta-analyses investigating the BMI-CRC association. Information on design aspects and results was extracted, including if and how the reviews handled prediagnostic weight loss as a potential source of bias. Additionally, we analyzed how individual cohort studies included in the latest systematic review handled the issue. Overall, 18 reviews were identified. None of them thoroughly considered or discussed prediagnostic weight loss as a potential source of bias. The majority (15/21) of cohorts included in the latest review did not exclude any initial years of follow-up from their main analysis. Although the majority of studies reported having conducted sensitivity analyses in which initial years of follow-up were excluded, results were reported very heterogeneously and mostly for additional exclusions of 1-2 years only. Where explicitly reported, effect estimates mostly increased with increasing length of exclusion. The impact of overweight and obesity on CRC risk may be larger than suggested by the existing epidemiological evidence.

Body Mass Index and Other Risk Factors Effects on Colon Cancer Prognosis in Pakistan

INTRODUCTION

Asian developing countries share the burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) with rising mortality rates. This prospective study aims to apprehend the clinical relevance of age, gender, lifestyle choices (dietary habits and addiction) and body mass index (BMI) to the occurrence and progression of colon cancer (CC).

METHODS

A cohort of non-cancer (NC) and CC patients of South-Central Asian origin registered for screening colonoscopy or surgery at Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre (SKMCH and RC), Lahore, Pakistan, from 2015 to 2020 was identified. BMI (Kg/m2) was classified according to the World Health Organization criteria as underweight (<18.5 Kg/m2), normal weight (18.5-24.9 Kg/m2) and overweight (≥25 Kg/m2).

RESULTS

Among 236 participants, 99 (41.9%) belonged to the NC group, and 137 (58.1 %) participants had CC Overall, participants included 74 women and 162 men aged 20-85 years (mean ± SD; 49.9 ± 14.9). Notably, 46.0% of cancer patients had a family history of cancer. There was a direct relationship between CC with abnormal BMI (underweight and overweight), positive smoking history and positive family history of cancer.

CONCLUSION

Being underweight or overweight is a potential risk factor for CC patients. The overall survival in patients with CC is clinically associated with lifestyle choices before CC diagnosis. A balanced diet, walking and other forms of exercise should be strongly recommended to the community and those undergoing screening colonoscopy.

Body Mass Index and Other Risk Factors Effects on Colon Cancer Prognosis in Pakistan

Introduction

Asian developing countries share the burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) with rising mortality rates. This prospective study aims to apprehend the clinical relevance of age, gender, lifestyle choices (dietary habits and addiction) and body mass index (BMI) to the occurrence and progression of colon cancer (CC).

Methods

A cohort of non-cancer (NC) and CC patients of South-Central Asian origin registered for screening colonoscopy or surgery at Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre (SKMCH and RC), Lahore, Pakistan, from 2015 to 2020 was identified. BMI (Kg/m2) was classified according to the World Health Organization criteria as underweight (<18.5 Kg/m2), normal weight (18.5-24.9 Kg/m2) and overweight (≥25 Kg/m2).

Results

Among 236 participants, 99 (41.9%) belonged to the NC group, and 137 (58.1 %) participants had CC Overall, participants included 74 women and 162 men aged 20-85 years (mean ± SD; 49.9 ± 14.9). Notably, 46.0% of cancer patients had a family history of cancer. There was a direct relationship between CC with abnormal BMI (underweight and overweight), positive smoking history and positive family history of cancer.

Conclusion

Being underweight or overweight is a potential risk factor for CC patients. The overall survival in patients with CC is clinically associated with lifestyle choices before CC diagnosis. A balanced diet, walking and other forms of exercise should be strongly recommended to the community and those undergoing screening colonoscopy.

Preoperative Neutrophil-BMI Ratio As a Promising New Marker for Predicting Tumor Outcomes in Colorectal Cancer

Background: Inflammation and nutritional status are highly associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) prognosis. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the preoperative neutrophil-BMI ratio (NBR) in patients with CRC. Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed on 2471 patients with CRC who underwent surgical resection between 2004 and 2019. Patients were divided into two groups based on the cutoff value for NBR. Cox regression and Kaplan–Meier curves were used to evaluate overall survival (OS). Results: High NBR was associated with female sex, low BMI, colon, right-sided CRC, poor differentiation, T3 to 4 stage, M1 to 2 stage, high carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, III-IV stage, microsatellite instability (MSI), and no adjuvant chemotherapy (all P < .05). The high NBR group had a shorter OS than the low NBR group. Female and right sided patients with CRC and with high NBR had a worse prognosis. Univariate Cox regression suggested that NBR was significantly associated with poor prognosis. Multivariate analysis confirmed that age (P = .019,HR:1.012), differentiation (P = .001,HR:1.306), TNM stage (P < .001,HR:2.432), CEA (P = .014,HR:1.001), and NBR (P < .001, HR: 3.309) were independent poor prognostic factors for OS. Subgroup univariate analysis indicated that female patients with high NBR had a worse prognosis. A nomogram composed of TNM stage, CEA, and NBR was developed, and internal validation was based on female patients with CRC. The nomogram provided good discrimination for both the training and validation sets, with area under the curve values of 0.79 and 0.769, respectively. Conclusions: High preoperative levels of NBR are indicators of poor prognosis in patients with CRC.

Gut microbiome and its role in colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is still one of the most common types of cancer in the world, and the gut microbiome plays an important role in its development. The microbiome is involved in the carcinogenesis, formation and progression of CRC as well as its response to different systemic therapies. The composition of bacterial strains and the influence of geography, race, sex, and diet on the composition of the microbiome serve as important information for screening, early detection and prediction of the treatment outcome of CRC.

Microbiome modulation is one of the most prospective new strategies in medicine to improve the health of individuals. Therefore, future research and clinical trials on the gut microbiome in oncology as well as in the treatment of CRC patients are warranted to determine the efficacy of systemic treatments for CRC, minimize adverse effects and increase survival rates.

Adiposity, Adulthood Weight Change, and Risk of Incident Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Prospective data are limited regarding dynamic adulthood weight changes and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk. We included 77,238 women (1980-2012) and 48,026 men (1986-2012), who recalled young-adult weight [age 18 years (women); 21 years (men)], and provided biennially updated information regarding weight, body mass index (BMI), and comorbidities. Overall adulthood weight change was defined as the difference in weight (kilograms) between young-adulthood and present. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we calculated multivariable adjusted HRs (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Over 3,676,549 person-years, we documented 158 incident HCC cases. Elevated HCC risk was observed with higher BMI in both young-adulthood and later-adulthood [continuous aHRs per each 1 unit = 1.05; 95% CI = 1.02-1.09 (P trend = 0.019), and 1.08; 95% CI = 1.06-1.10 (P trend = 0.004), respectively]. Moreover, overall adulthood weight gain was also significantly associated with increased HCC risk (aHR per each 1-kg increase = 1.03; 95% CI = 1.01-1.08; P trend = 0.010), including after further adjusting for young-adult BMI (P trend = 0.010) and later-adult BMI (P trend = 0.008). Compared with adults with stable weight (±5 kg), the multivariable-aHRs with weight gain of 5-<10 kg, 10-<20 kg, and ≥20 kg were, 1.40 (95% CI = 0.67-2.16), 2.09 (95% CI = 1.11-3.95), and 2.61 (95% CI = 1.42-5.22), respectively. In two prospective, nationwide cohorts, adulthood weight gain was significantly associated with increased HCC risk. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: Our data suggest that maintaining a stable weight during adulthood, specifically by preventing weight gain, could represent an important public health strategy for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Body mass index and weight gain after middle adulthood are associated with risk of papillary thyroid cancer: A case-control study

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether weight change after middle adulthood influences the risk of thyroid cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate associations between the risk of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and body mass index (BMI) and weight change after middle adulthood (age 35).

METHODS

A matched case-control study based on three hospitals included 516 pairs of cases newly diagnosed with PTC and controls. Current height and weight after defecation in the morning were measured by trained nurses. During measurement, all subjects were requested to wear lightweight clothing and no shoes. Weight at age 35 was self-reported. BMI and weight change were modeled as continuous and categorical variables. Conditional and unconditional logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) for the association between BMI and weight change after middle adulthood and PTC.

RESULTS

After adjustment for covariates, measured BMI at the time of current diagnosis was positively associated with PTC (OR 1.16, 95%CI 1.10-1.21). According to WHO BMI guidelines for Asia-Pacific populations, the OR (95%CI) for PTC risk in obesity was 2.99 (1.92-4.67) compared to normal weight (p-trend <0.001). Moreover, PTC was positively associated with BMI at age 35; the OR (95%CI) for PTC risk per unit increase in BMI was 1.06 (1.02-1.11). Compared to stable weight (changed <0.5 kg/year), weight gain ≥1.0 kg/year after middle adulthood was positively associated with PTC (OR 2.57, 95%CI 1.39-4.76, p-trend <0.001). Compared to maintaining non-overweight status, the PTC risk was significantly increased in those individuals who gained weight and became overweight after middle adulthood (OR 3.82, 95%CI 2.50-5.85).

CONCLUSION

This study showed that high BMI and obesity were positively associated with increased risk of PTC, and weight gain after middle adulthood also could elevate the PTC risk.

Characteristics of Early-Onset vs Late-Onset Colorectal Cancer: A Review

Importance

The incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (younger than 50 years) is rising globally, the reasons for which are unclear. It appears to represent a unique disease process with different clinical, pathological, and molecular characteristics compared with late-onset colorectal cancer. Data on oncological outcomes are limited, and sensitivity to conventional neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy regimens appear to be unknown. The purpose of this review is to summarize the available literature on early-onset colorectal cancer.

Observations

Within the next decade, it is estimated that 1 in 10 colon cancers and 1 in 4 rectal cancers will be diagnosed in adults younger than 50 years. Potential risk factors include a Westernized diet, obesity, antibiotic usage, and alterations in the gut microbiome. Although genetic predisposition plays a role, most cases are sporadic. The full spectrum of germline and somatic sequence variations implicated remains unknown. Younger patients typically present with descending colonic or rectal cancer, advanced disease stage, and unfavorable histopathological features. Despite being more likely to receive neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy, patients with early-onset disease demonstrate comparable oncological outcomes with their older counterparts.

Conclusions and Relevance

The clinicopathological features, underlying molecular profiles, and drivers of early-onset colorectal cancer differ from those of late-onset disease. Standardized, age-specific preventive, screening, diagnostic, and therapeutic strategies are required to optimize outcomes.

Implications of the growing incidence of global colorectal cancer

The expanding worldwide burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) is a significant public health issue. Understanding the shift in the geo-demographic, socioeconomic, environmental, and biogenetic distribution of CRC is paramount. The Human Development Index (HDI) measuring life expectancy, education, and gross national income is a composite index comparing health outcomes between countries. This has been shown to be a useful comparison tool in measuring the health dimension among high, middle, and low-income countries. CRC has a wide global distribution in incidence and mortality with majority of cases occurring in countries with a high or very high HDI. However, in developing countries and in those undergoing rapid socioeconomic growth, there has also been a marked rise in CRC rates as well. This pattern is noted globally and seems to correlate with increase in a country's specific HDI. Additionally, another unique pattern of CRC incidence has emerged with more cancers being diagnosed in adults younger than 50 years old. Further investigation is needed to determine CRC risks reduction and implementation of primary prevention and early detection strategies within different country specific healthcare systems. Globally, improvement in healthcare equality, access to medical care and screening for CRC particularly in resource-limited (low HDI) countries is essential.

Weight change in middle adulthood and risk of cancer in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) cohort

Obesity is a risk factor for several major cancers. Associations of weight change in middle adulthood with cancer risk, however, are less clear. We examined the association of change in weight and body mass index (BMI) category during middle adulthood with 42 cancers, using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition cohort. Of 241 323 participants (31% men), 20% lost and 32% gained weight (>0.4 to 5.0 kg/year) during 6.9 years (average). During 8.0 years of follow-up after the second weight assessment, 20 960 incident cancers were ascertained. Independent of baseline BMI, weight gain (per one kg/year increment) was positively associated with cancer of the corpus uteri (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.14; 95% confidence interval: 1.05-1.23). Compared to stable weight (±0.4 kg/year), weight gain (>0.4 to 5.0 kg/year) was positively associated with cancers of the gallbladder and bile ducts (HR = 1.41; 1.01-1.96), postmenopausal breast (HR = 1.08; 1.00-1.16) and thyroid (HR = 1.40; 1.04-1.90). Compared to maintaining normal weight, maintaining overweight or obese BMI (World Health Organisation categories) was positively associated with most obesity-related cancers. Compared to maintaining the baseline BMI category, weight gain to a higher BMI category was positively associated with cancers of the postmenopausal breast (HR = 1.19; 1.06-1.33), ovary (HR = 1.40; 1.04-1.91), corpus uteri (HR = 1.42; 1.06-1.91), kidney (HR = 1.80; 1.20-2.68) and pancreas in men (HR = 1.81; 1.11-2.95). Losing weight to a lower BMI category, however, was inversely associated with cancers of the corpus uteri (HR = 0.40; 0.23-0.69) and colon (HR = 0.69; 0.52-0.92). Our findings support avoiding weight gain and encouraging weight loss in middle adulthood.

Do traditional BMI categories capture future obesity? A comparison with trajectories of BMI and incidence of cancer

In 2016, 13 specific obesity related cancers were identified by IARC. Here, using baseline WHO BMI categories, latent profile analysis (LPA) and latent class trajectory modelling (LCTM) we evaluated the usefulness of one-off measures when predicting cancer risk vs life-course changes. Our results in LPA broadly concurred with the three basic WHO BMI categories, with similar stepwise increase in cancer risk observed. In LCTM, we identified 5 specific trajectories in men and women. Compared to the leanest class, a stepwise increase in risk for obesity related cancer was observed for all classes. When latent class membership was compared to baseline BMI, we found that the trajectories were composed of a range of BMI (baseline) categories. All methods reveal a link between obesity and the 13 cancers identified by IARC. However, the additional information included by LCTM indicates that lifetime BMI may highlight additional group of people that are at risk.

Excessive Body Fat at a Young Age Increases the Risk of Colorectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Overweight and obesity was considered as a risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), and CRC development may be due to exposure during one's youth. Metabolic syndrome and insulin resistance seem to play an important role in the underlying mechanisms. Even though several studies indicated the association between BMI at young age and CRC risks, an identified founding is still lacked. Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis and a dose-response analysis to quantify the association between BMI at young age and CRC risks with relative accuracy. We searched the PubMed, Embase, Medline and Cochrane Library databases for articles published before Sep. 15, 2019. Fifteen articles with 2 520 091 participants were included. Risk for CRC was estimated using relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Compared with individuals with normal weight, overweight and obese young adults had a significantly higher risk of CRC (relative risks (RR):18%, 95% CI:1.08, 1.28； RR:32%, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.56, respectively). However, this correlation may not exist for obese women (RR: 1.22, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.51); Overweight may not a risk factor for rectal cancer (RC) (RR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.97, 1.29). In the dose-response analysis, we observed a linear relationship between BMI at a young age and CRC risk, with each 1 kg/m² increment associated with a 2% increased risk. Higher BMI at a young age was positively associated with CRC risk, which indicates that weight control since a young age was needed.

Cumulative exposure to premenopausal obesity and risk of postmenopausal cancer: A population-based study in Icelandic women

Obesity, often assessed at one point in time, is an established risk factor of several types of cancer, however, associations with cumulative exposure to obesity across the life course are not well understood. We investigated the relationship between combined measures of duration and intensity of premenopausal overweight and obesity and the incidence of postmenopausal breast, endometrial, and colorectal cancers in Icelandic women. Body mass index (BMI) trajectories between ages 20 and 50 of 88,809 women from the Cancer Detection Clinic Cohort were predicted using growth curve models. Indicators of overweight and obesity duration and intensity were computed and their association with risk of postmenopausal breast, endometrial, and colorectal cancers was examined using multivariate Cox models for subjects followed-up beyond the age of 50 (n = 67,488). During a mean follow-up of 17 years, incident events of 3,016 postmenopausal breast, 410 endometrial and 987 colorectal cancers were ascertained. Each 0.1 kg/m2 per year increase in BMI between ages 20 and 50 was positively associated with risks of postmenopausal breast, endometrium and colorectal cancers with hazard ratios equal to 1.09 (95% Confidence Interval (CI):1.04-1.13), 1.31 (95% CI: 1.18-1.44) and 1.10 (95% CI: 1.00-1.21), respectively. Compared to women who were never obese, cumulative BMI × years of obesity were linearly positively associated with risk of endometrial cancer, whereas the association with breast cancer was initially positive, but leveled off with increasing cumulative BMI × years. Cumulative exposure to obesity may provide additional insights into the etiology of cancer and should be considered in future studies that assess obesity-cancer relationships.

Early-onset colorectal cancer: initial clues and current views

Over the past several decades, the incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC; in patients <50 years old) has increased at an alarming rate. Although robust and scientifically rigorous epidemiological studies have sifted out environmental elements linked to EOCRC, our knowledge of the causes and mechanisms of this disease is far from complete. Here, we highlight potential risk factors and putative mechanisms that drive EOCRC and suggest likely areas for fruitful research. In addition, we identify inconsistencies in the evidence implicating a strong effect of increased adiposity and suggest that certain behaviours (such as diet and stress) might place nonobese and otherwise healthy people at risk of this disease. Key risk factors are reviewed, including the global westernization of diets (usually involving a high intake of red and processed meats, high-fructose corn syrup and unhealthy cooking methods), stress, antibiotics, synthetic food dyes, monosodium glutamate, titanium dioxide, and physical inactivity and/or sedentary behaviour. The gut microbiota is probably at the crossroads of these risk factors and EOCRC. The time course of the disease and the fact that relevant exposures probably occur in childhood raise important methodological issues that are also discussed.

Two Time Point Analysis of the Change in Risk and Aging Factors for Major Cancers: A 10-Year Longitudinal Study in China

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the change in risk and aging factors with a two time point analysis for major cancers to assess supportive strategies.

METHODS

The 2004 and 2015 mortality statistics in China were accessed. The standardized mortality rates of the two periods were used to calculate the ratio of change (RC) value to assess the risk of death associated with time (social development with time) for cancers. The role of age in mortality with time was evaluated by the interaction between time and age using a Poisson regression.

RESULTS

In ascending order of RC, the factors were uterus; other malignant neoplasms; esophagus; stomach; skin; liver; leukemia; "lip, oral cavity, and pharynx"; bladder; "colon and rectum"; breast; prostate; lung; ovary; pancreas; "lymphoid, hematopoietic, and related tissue"; and cervix cancers. According to their location on the scatter diagram, the 17 neoplasms could be divided into three groups, comprising undeveloped cancers (including four cancers), developed cancers (including three cancers), and cancers insensitive to social development. Unexpectedly, about 60% (as assessed by type of cancer) and two-thirds (as assessed by constituent ratio of death from all cancers) of cancers did not change with time.

CONCLUSIONS

Most cancers may be insensitive to social development. Internal factors, including aging, may be a key factor for the occurrence of cancer.

Obesity is an initiator of colon adenomas but not a promoter of colorectal cancer in the Black Women's Health Study

PURPOSE

Evidence for the association of anthropometrics with colorectal neoplasms is limited for African Americans.

METHODS

We examined anthropometric measures with both colorectal adenoma and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in the ongoing Black Women's Health Study. In a nested case-control analysis, 954 cases of colorectal adenoma were compared with 3,816 polyp-free controls, matched on age and follow-up time. For the CRC analyses, 413 incident CRC cases were identified over a 16-year follow-up (802,783 person-years). Adenoma cases and CRC were verified by medical record review. We used multivariable conditional logistic regression analyses (for adenoma) and Cox proportional hazards analyses (for CRC) that included anthropometric exposures and selected confounders.

RESULTS

Overall body mass index (BMI) and other anthropometric factors were not associated with colorectal adenoma or cancer risk in Black women. However, increased risk of adenoma (but not CRC) was observed among especially related to adenomas in the proximal colon. Among women ≥ 50 years of age, risk of proximal adenoma increased 14% (95% CI 1.00, 1.31), 35% (95% CI 1.12, 1.63), and 25% (0.93, 1.68) with each standard deviation increase in BMI, waist circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio, respectively. None of the anthropometric factors were associated with young onset CRC or adenoma risk.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that obesity might be an initiator for colon adenomas but not a promoter for colorectal cancer among Black women.

Weight Gain Over 6 Years in Young Adults: The Study of Novel Approaches to Weight Gain Prevention Randomized Trial

OBJECTIVE

The study objective was to determine whether two self-regulation interventions that reduced 3-year weight gain in young adults remain effective at 6 years.

METHODS

A randomized trial was conducted in two academic settings in 599 young adults, aged 18 to 35 years, with normal weight or overweight; 504 (84%) reconsented for a 6-year extension (Study of Novel Approaches to Weight Gain Prevention-Extended [SNAP-E]) with ongoing intervention and assessments. Weight gain over 6 years was compared for all assigned to Control, Large Changes (LC; lose 5-10 pounds initially), and Small Changes (SC; make small daily changes in intake and activity).

RESULTS

Weight change from baseline to 6 years did not differ significantly among the three groups (Control = 3.9 kg, SC = 4.1 kg, and LC = 2.8 kg). However, there was a significant age-by-treatment interaction (P = 0.002). Among those < 25 years old, weight gain from baseline to 6 years averaged 7.3 kg in the Control group and was reduced by almost 50% in LC and SC. LC also significantly reduced mean weight gain (area under the curve) over 6 years compared with Control or SC.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the interventions did not reduce weight gain at 6 years for the full cohort, they were effective in those < 25 years old. Future efforts should focus on young adults aged 18 to 24.9 and test more intensive interventions with more diverse participants.

[Gender-specific differences of the early postoperative and oncosurgical long-term outcome in rectal cancer-data obtained in a prospective multicenter observational study]

BACKGROUND

Gender-specific aspects have been increasingly considered in clinical medicine, also in oncological surgery.

AIM

To analyze gender-specific differences of early postoperative and oncological outcomes after rectal cancer resection based on data obtained in a prospective multicenter observational study.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

As part of the multicenter prospective observational study "Quality assurance in primary rectal cancer", data on tumor site, exogenic and endogenic risk factors, neoadjuvant treatment, surgical procedures, tumor stage, intraoperative and postoperative complications of patients with the histological diagnosis of rectal cancer were registered. Data from the years 2005-2006 and 2010-2011 were investigated with respect to gender-specific differences of postoperative morbidity, hospital mortality, local recurrency rate, disease-free and overall survival by univariable and multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

Overall, data from 10,657 patients were evaluated: 60.9% of the patients were male, who were significantly younger (p < 0.001). Men had a significantly higher rate of alcohol (p < 0.001) and nicotine abuse (p < 0.001) as well as a trend to a higher body mass index (BMI) compared with women. Although, there was no significant difference in the distribution of various tumor stages comparing men and women, neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy was used significantly more often in male patients (p < 0.001). In addition, male patients underwent an abdominoperineal rectum exstirpation more often, whereas creation of an enterostoma and Hartmann's procedure were more frequently used in women (p < 0.001 each). Multivariate analysis revealed that male patients developed a higher overall morbidity (odds ratio, OR: 1.5; p < 0.001) during both study periods and from 2010-2011 a higher hospital mortality (OR: 1.8; p < 0.001). After a median follow-up period of 36 months, gender did not have a significant impact on overall survival, disease-free survival or on the local tumor recurrency. The 5‑year overall survival was 60.5%, disease-free survival 63.8% and local recurrency rate was 5%.

CONCLUSION

Independent of other variables, gender differences were found with respect to early postoperative outcome but not to oncological long-term results after surgery of rectal cancer.

Interleukin-17A polymorphisms predict the response and development of tolerance to FOLFOX chemotherapy in colorectal cancer treatment

Polymorphic variants in IL-17A gene were differentially associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) susceptibility but their link with response and toxicity to CRC treatment have not yet been evaluated. We investigated association between seven IL-17A variants with the response and toxicity to CRC treatment in 294 patients with CRC. IL-17A genotyping was done by real-time PCR. MAF of rs3748067 was significantly higher in CRC cases resistant to FOLFOX treatment (R+) than non resistant (R-). Significantly higher rs3804513 MAF was noted in R+ versus R- colon cancer (CC). Higher rs2275913 and rs10484879, and reduced rs3804513 MAF were seen in rectal cancer (RC) tolerant to FOLFOX (T+) compared to (T-) patients. Strong association of rs3819025, rs3804513, and rs7747909 was found with tolerance to RC treatment. rs3748067 was associated with FOLFOX tolerance in CC but not RC. Significant higher frequency of AGGCAGG and GAGCAGG haplotypes was seen among R + CC, thus assigning non-favorable nature to these haplotypes. Higher and lower frequencies of GAGTAAG and AGGCTGA haplotypes, respectively, were observed in T + RC, thereby assigning FOLFOX-tolerant and non-tolerant nature to these haplotypes. The obtained results suggest that IL-17A variants and haplotypes may be a target for future management of CRC treatment.

Early-life obesity and adulthood colorectal cancer risk: a meta-analysis

Objective

This meta-analysis examines the relationship between early-life obesity and risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in adulthood.

Methods

A systematic search of Google Scholar, PubMed, and reference data was conducted. Fifteen relevant studies were identified and meta-analyzed, for men and women separately. A random-effects model was used to compare the multivariable-adjusted relative risks (RR) of overall and subsite-specific CRC to the highest versus lowest categories of body mass index (BMI) in early life. Meta-regression was performed on factors that may have contributed to between-study heterogeneity.

Results

High early-life BMI was associated with a 39% increased risk of CRC in adult men (RR = 1.39, 95%CI = 1.20 – 1.62, P < 0.0001) and a 19% increased risk of CRC in adult women (RR = 1.19, 95%CI = 1.06 – 1.35, P = 0.004). No statistically significant heterogeneity was identified in meta-regression according to tumor subsite (RR = 1.06, 95%CI = 0.97 – 1.17, RR = 1.08, 95%CI = 0.99 – 1.18 for male and female proximal colon cancer; RR = 1.51, 95%CI = 1.22 – 1.87, RR = 1.08, 95%CI = 0.98 – 1.19 for male and female distal colon cancer; and RR = 1.39, 95%CI = 1.1 – 1.77, RR = 1.51, 95%CI = 0.94 – 2.03 for male and female rectal cancer) or other factors, including age of BMI assessment, self-reported or measured BMI, and adjustment for smoking.

Conclusions

The results suggest that high early-life BMI is associated with increased risk of CRC in adulthood. Further studies should investigate adult CRC risk in early-life obese individuals from non-Western countries and the underlying mechanisms by which early-life adiposity may influence CRC pathogenesis.

Overweight in midlife and risk of cancer in late life: A nationwide Swedish twin study

Our study examined whether midlife overweight (body mass index [BMI] ≥25) is associated with late-life cancer risk and explored the role of genetic and early-life environmental factors in this association. The study included 14,766 individuals from the Swedish Twin Registry, whose midlife (30-50 years) height and weight were recorded. Information on cancer diagnoses in late life (>65 years) was derived from the National Patient Registry and Cancer Registry. Generalized estimating equation (GEE) models were used to analyze unmatched case-control data (controlled for the clustering of twins within a pair). A co-twin matched case-control analysis used conditional logistic regression to compare cancer-discordant twins. Of all participants, 3968 (26.9%) were overweight and 4253 (28.8%) had cancer. In multi-adjusted GEE models using normal-weight (BMI 18.5-24.9) participants as the reference group, overweight was related to higher risk of colon cancer (OR 1.36, 95% CI: 1.00-1.84, p = 0.049), liver cancer (OR 2.00, 95% CI: 1.11-3.62), cervix uteri cancer (OR 2.86, 95% CI: 1.19-6.91) and corpus uteri cancer (OR 1.78, 95% CI: 1.14-2.78) but lower risk of nonmelanoma skin cancer (OR 0.77, 95% CI: 0.66-0.90). In conditional logistic regression analysis, these associations were attenuated becoming nonsignificance. The difference in ORs from the unmatched and matched analyses was not significant. In conclusion, midlife overweight is associated with increased risk of late-life colon, liver and uterine cancer but reduced risk of late-life nonmelanoma skin cancer. Further investigations are warranted to explore the role of genetic and early-life environmental factors in these associations.

Height and body fatness and colorectal cancer risk: an update of the WCRF-AICR systematic review of published prospective studies

PURPOSE

There is no published dose-response meta-analysis on the association between height and colorectal cancer risk (CRC) by sex and anatomical sub-site. We conducted a meta-analysis of prospective studies on the association between height and CRC risk with subgroup analysis and updated evidence on the association between body fatness and CRC risk.

METHODS

PubMed and several other databases were searched up to November 2016. A random effects model was used to calculate dose-response summary relative risks (RR's).

RESULTS

47 studies were included in the meta-analyses including 50,936 cases among 7,393,510 participants. The findings support the existing evidence regarding a positive association of height, general and abdominal body fatness and CRC risk. The summary RR were 1.04 [95% (CI)1.02-1.05, I² = 91%] per 5 cm increase in height, 1.02 [95% (CI)1.01-1.02, I² = 0%] per 5 kg increase in weight, 1.06 [95% (CI)1.04-1.07, I² = 83%] per 5 kg/m2 increase in BMI, 1.02 [95% (CI)1.02-1.03, I² = 4%] per 10 cm increase in waist circumference, 1.03 [95% (CI)1.01-1.05, I² = 16%] per 0.1 unit increase in waist to hip ratio. The significant association for height and CRC risk was similar in men and women. The significant association for BMI and CRC risk was stronger in men than in women.

CONCLUSION

The positive association between height and risk of CRC suggests that life factors during childhood and early adulthood might play a role in CRC aetiology. Higher general and abdominal body fatness during adulthood are risk factors of CRC and these associations are stronger in men than in women.

Framework to construct and interpret latent class trajectory modelling

OBJECTIVES

Latent class trajectory modelling (LCTM) is a relatively new methodology in epidemiology to describe life-course exposures, which simplifies heterogeneous populations into homogeneous patterns or classes. However, for a given dataset, it is possible to derive scores of different models based on number of classes, model structure and trajectory property. Here, we rationalise a systematic framework to derive a 'core' favoured model.

METHODS

We developed an eight-step framework: step 1: a scoping model; step 2: refining the number of classes; step 3: refining model structure (from fixed-effects through to a flexible random-effect specification); step 4: model adequacy assessment; step 5: graphical presentations; step 6: use of additional discrimination tools ('degree of separation'; Elsensohn's envelope of residual plots); step 7: clinical characterisation and plausibility; and step 8: sensitivity analysis. We illustrated these steps using data from the NIH-AARP cohort of repeated determinations of body mass index (BMI) at baseline (mean age: 62.5 years), and BMI derived by weight recall at ages 18, 35 and 50 years.

RESULTS

From 288 993 participants, we derived a five-class model for each gender (men: 177 455; women: 111 538). From seven model structures, the favoured model was a proportional random quadratic structure (model F). Favourable properties were also noted for the unrestricted random quadratic structure (model G). However, class proportions varied considerably by model structure-concordance between models F and G were moderate (Cohen κ: men, 0.57; women, 0.65) but poor with other models. Model adequacy assessments, evaluations using discrimination tools, clinical plausibility and sensitivity analyses supported our model selection.

CONCLUSION

We propose a framework to construct and select a 'core' LCTM, which will facilitate generalisability of results in future studies.

Midlife weight gain is a risk factor for obesity-related cancer

Background

Overweight and diabetes are known cancer risk factors. This study examines independent and combined effects of weight gain and metabolic dysfunction during middle-adult years on obesity-related cancer risk.

Methods

Subjects (n = 3850) aged 45–69 years at exams 3–5 in the Framingham Offspring Study were classified according to current and prior (~14 years earlier) weight status, interim weight change and prevalent metabolic dysfunction. Cancer risk among subjects who were overweight at baseline and remained overweight, as well as those who became overweight during follow-up, was compared with risk among normal-weight individuals.

Results

Gaining ≥0.45 kg (≥1.0 pound)/year (vs. maintaining stable weight) over ~14 years increased cancer risk by 38% (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.09, 1.76); combined with metabolic dysfunction, weight gain increased cancer risk by 77% (95% CI, 1.21, 2.59). Compared with non-overweight adults, men and women who became overweight during midlife had 2.18-fold and 1.60-fold increased cancer risks; those who were overweight from baseline had non-statistically significant 28 and 33% increased cancer risks, respectively, despite having a midlife body mass index that was 3.4 kg/m² higher than those who gained weight later.

Conclusion

Midlife weight gain was a strong cancer risk factor. This excess risk was somewhat stronger among those with concurrent metabolic dysfunction.

Association of interleukin-17A polymorphisms with the risk of colorectal cancer: A case-control study

BACKGROUND

Interleukin (IL)-17A is proinflammatory cytokine produced by Th17 cells, which play key, but sometimes inconsistent role in autoimmunity and cancer. Polymorphic variants in IL-17A gene were differentially associated with susceptibility to cancer, including colorectal cancer (CRC).

AIM

We investigated the association between six IL-17A gene variants (rs3819024, rs2275913, rs3819025, rs10484879, rs7747909, and rs3748067) with CRC susceptibility in Tunisians.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Retrospective case-control study. Study subjects comprised 293 patients with CRC, and 268 age-, gender-, and BMI-matched healthy controls. IL-17A genotyping was done by real-time PCR, with defined clusters.

RESULTS

Of the seven tested IL-17A tag-SNPs, minor allele frequency (MAF) of rs10484879 was significantly higher in CRC patients than control subjects. Heterozygous rs10484879 [OR (95% CI) = 2.63 (1.64-4.21)] was associated with higher risk, while carriage of heterozygous rs3748067 genotype was associated with reduced risk of CRC [OR (95% CI) = 0.56 (0.37-0.84)], respectively. Carriage of rs10484879 minor allele correlated with positive family history of CRC and other cancers (P = 0.002), CRC staging (P = 0.044), CRC treatment (P = 0.038), and with chemo body reaction (P = 0.001). Of the 7 IL-17A variants, 4 were in linkage disequilibrium, hence allowing for construction of 4-locus haplotypes. Varied linkage disequilibrium (LD) was noted between the even tested IL-17A variants, and further analysis was limited to only 4-locus (rs3819024-rs2275913- rs10484879-rs7747909). Haploview analysis identified the 4-locus IL-17A haplotypes AGTG (P < 0.011), and GATG (P = 0.036) to be positively associated with CRC, after controlling key covariates.

CONCLUSION

IL-17A rs10484879 SNP, and IL-17A haplotypes AGGTG and GAGTG constitute independent factors of CRC susceptibility. We propose that IL-17A may be a target for future CRC immunotherapy.

Lifestyle factors and risk for colorectal polyps and cancer at index colonoscopy in a FIT-positive screening population

Background

Many countries have adopted the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) as the primary colorectal cancer (CRC) screening tool; however, its accuracy is limited. Epidemiological studies have shown that obesity and type 2 diabetes increase risk for the disease.

Objective

The objective of this article is to evaluate the association of colorectal polyps and cancer with comorbidities and lifestyle factors in a population that is part of a FIT-based CRC screening program.

Methods

Between 2005 and 2013, we analyzed 3894 FIT + patients who underwent total colonoscopy. The impact of lifestyle factors on polyps and cancer was assessed using individuals with a negative colonoscopy as the control group. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

We collected data from 3894 FIT + patients. Obesity (OR 1.29; 95% CI 1.05-1.60) and smoking (OR 1.45; 95% CI 1.24-1.71) were significantly associated with high-risk adenomas. Smoking and heavy alcohol drinking were both independently associated with high risk of CRC (OR 1.50; 95% CI 1.10-2.04 and OR 2.29; 95% CI 1.15-4.58) and colon cancer alone (OR 1.43; 95% CI 1.01-2.02 and OR 3.09; 95% CI 1.53-6.23). Positivity to first round of FIT was associated with high-risk adenomas (OR 1.47; CI 95% 1.26-1.71) and CRC (OR 1.74; 95% CI 1.29-2.36). No associations were found for diabetes.

Conclusion

In our FIT + population, lifestyle factors are significantly associated with the risk of carrying high-risk adenomas and CRC. In the future, studies could be aimed at finding better screening strategies through the development of clinical algorithms based on lifestyle changes/comorbidities.

Interaction between polymorphisms in aspirin metabolic pathways, regular aspirin use and colorectal cancer risk: A case-control study in unselected white European populations

Regular aspirin use is associated with reduced risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). Variation in aspirin's chemoprevention efficacy has been attributed to the presence of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). We conducted a meta-analysis using two large population-based case-control datasets, the UK-Leeds Colorectal Cancer Study Group and the NIH-Colon Cancer Family Registry, having a combined total of 3325 cases and 2262 controls. The aim was to assess 42 candidate SNPs in 15 genes whose association with colorectal cancer risk was putatively modified by aspirin use, in the literature. Log odds ratios (ORs) and standard errors were estimated for each dataset separately using logistic regression adjusting for age, sex and study site, and dataset-specific results were combined using random effects meta-analysis. Meta-analysis showed association between SNPs rs6983267, rs11694911 and rs2302615 with CRC risk reduction (All P<0.05). Association for SNP rs6983267 in the CCAT2 gene only was noteworthy after multiple test correction (P = 0.001). Site-specific analysis showed association between SNPs rs1799853 and rs2302615 with reduced colon cancer risk only (P = 0.01 and P = 0.004, respectively), however neither reached significance threshold following multiple test correction. Meta-analysis of SNPs rs2070959 and rs1105879 in UGT1A6 gene showed interaction between aspirin use and CRC risk (Pinteraction = 0.01 and 0.02, respectively); stratification by aspirin use showed an association for decreased CRC risk for aspirin users having a wild-type genotype (rs2070959 OR = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.68-0.86; rs1105879 OR = 0.77 95% CI = 0.69-0.86) compared to variant allele cariers. The direction of the interaction however is in contrast to that published in studies on colorectal adenomas. Both SNPs showed potential site-specific interaction with aspirin use and colon cancer risk only (Pinteraction = 0.006 and 0.008, respectively), with the direction of association similar to that observed for CRC. Additionally, they showed interaction between any non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (including aspirin) use and CRC risk (Pinteraction = 0.01 for both). All gene x environment (GxE) interactions however were not significant after multiple test correction. Candidate gene investigation indicated no evidence of GxE interaction between genetic variants in genes involved in aspirin pathways, regular aspirin use and colorectal cancer risk.

Two variants on T2DM susceptible gene HHEX are associated with CRC risk in a Chinese population

Increasing amounts of evidence has demonstrated that T2DM (Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus) patients have increased susceptibility to CRC (colorectal cancer). As HHEX is a recognized susceptibility gene in T2DM, this work was focused on two SNPs in HHEX, rs1111875 and rs7923837, to study their association with CRC. T2DM patients without CRC (T2DM-only, n=300), T2DM with CRC (T2DM/CRC, n=135), cancer-free controls (Control, n=570), and CRC without T2DM (CRC-only, n=642) cases were enrolled. DNA samples were extracted from the peripheral blood leukocytes of the patients and sequenced by direct sequencing. The χ² test was used to compare categorical data. We found that in T2DM patients, rs1111875 but not the rs7923837 in HHEX gene was associated with the occurrence of CRC (p= 0.006). for rs1111875, TC/CC patients had an increased risk of CRC (p=0.019, OR=1.592, 95%CI=1.046-2.423). Moreover, our results also indicated that the two variants of HEEX gene could be risk factors for CRC in general population, independent on T2DM (p< 0.001 for rs1111875, p=0.001 for rs7923837). For rs1111875, increased risk of CRC was observed in TC or TC/CC than CC individuals (p<0.001, OR= 1.780, 95%CI= 1.385-2.287; p<0.001, OR= 1.695, 95%CI= 1.335-2.152). For rs7923837, increased CRC risk was observed in AG, GG, and AG/GG than AA individuals (p< 0.001, OR= 1.520, 95%CI= 1.200-1.924; p=0.036, OR= 1.739, 95%CI= 0.989-3.058; p< 0.001, OR= 1.540, 95%CI= 1.225-1.936). This finding highlights the potentially functional alteration with HHEX rs1111875 and rs7923837 polymorphisms may increase CRC susceptibility. Risk effects and the functional impact of these polymorphisms need further validation.

Changes in Adult BMI and Waist Circumference Are Associated with Increased Risk of Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia

BACKGROUND

Waist circumference (WC) is a stronger predictor of colon cancer (CRC) risk than body mass index (BMI). However, how well change in either WC or BMI predicts risk of advanced colorectal neoplasia (AN) is unclear.

AIMS

To determine the relationship between change in BMI and WC from early adulthood to later age and the risk of AN and which change measure is a stronger predictor.

METHODS

In 4500 adults, ages 50-80, with no previous neoplasia and undergoing screening colonoscopy, BMI and WC at age 21 and at time of screening were reported. Changes in BMI and WC were defined using universal risk cutoffs. Known CRC risk factors were controlled in the logistic models.

RESULTS

Overall, model statistics showed WC change (omnibus test χ ² = 10.15, 2 DF, p value = 0.006) was a statistically stronger predictor of AN than BMI change (omnibus test χ ² = 5.66, 5 DF, p value = 0.34). Independent of BMI change, participants who increased WC (OR 1.44; 95% CI 1.05-1.96) or maintained a high-risk WC (OR 2.50; 95% CI 1.38-4.53) at age 21 and at screening had an increased risk of AN compared to those with a low-risk WC. Study participants who were obese at age 21 and at screening had an increased risk of AN (OR 1.87; 95% CI 1.08-3.23) compared to those who maintained a healthy BMI. Maintaining an overweight BMI or increasing BMI was not associated with AN.

CONCLUSIONS

Maintaining an unhealthy BMI and WC throughout adult life may increase risk of AN. WC change may be a better predictor of AN than BMI change.

Body fatness at an early age and risk of colorectal cancer

While there is convincing evidence that excess body fatness in adulthood is positively associated with colorectal cancer risk, the association between body fatness at an early age (≤30 years) and the risk of colorectal cancer has been equivocal. The present meta-analysis was performed to clarify this association. PubMed and Web of Science databases were searched for relevant studies that investigated this association. The risk estimates from each study were transformed into a continuous variable for each 5 kg/m² increase in body mass index (BMI). A random effects model was used to calculate the summary relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 15 observational studies (13 cohort studies and two case-control studies) were included in this meta-analysis. Each 5 kg/m² increase in BMI was significantly associated with a 13% (RR 1.13, 95% CI 1.08, 1.19), 17% (RR 1.17, 95% CI 1.09, 1.25) and 8% (RR 1.08, 95% CI 1.04, 1.11) higher risk of colorectal cancer overall, in men, and in women, respectively. Substantial heterogeneity was observed across studies. Based on the anatomic subsite, each 5 kg/m² increase in BMI was significantly associated with a 14% (RR 1.14, 95% CI 1.07, 1.22) higher risk of colon cancer, whereas no association (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.95, 1.13) was observed with rectal cancer. In summary, body fatness at an early age may affect colon cancer risk later in life. Prevention of overweight and obesity in young individuals should be emphasized to prevent early-onset colon cancer attributed to excess body fatness.

Improvements in Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Young Adults in a Randomized Trial of Approaches to Weight Gain Prevention

OBJECTIVE

Weight gain occurs commonly in young adults and increases the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Following on a previous report that two self-regulation interventions reduced weight gain relative to control, this study examines whether these interventions also benefit CVD risk factors.

METHODS

The Study of Novel Approaches to Weight Gain Prevention was a randomized trial in two academic settings (N = 599; 18-35 years; BMI 21-30 kg/m² ) comparing two interventions (Self-Regulation with Small Changes; Self-Regulation with Large Changes) and a control group. Small Changes taught participants to make daily small changes in calorie intake (approximately 100 calories) and activity. Large Changes taught participants to initially lose 5 to 10 pounds to buffer anticipated weight gains. CVD risk factors were assessed at baseline and at 2 years in 471 participants.

RESULTS

Although Large Changes was associated with more beneficial changes in glucose, insulin, and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance than Control, these differences were not significant after adjusting for multiple comparisons or 2-year weight change. Comparison of participants grouped by percent weight change from baseline to 2 years showed significant differences for several CVD risk factors, with no interaction with treatment condition.

CONCLUSIONS

Magnitude of weight change, rather than specific weight gain prevention interventions, was related to changes in CVD risk factors in young adults.

Cancer-related risk factors and incidence of major cancers by race, gender and region; analysis of the NIH-AARP diet and health study

Background

Racial disparities in the incidence of major cancers may be attributed to differences in the prevalence of established, modifiable risk factors such as obesity, smoking, physical activity and diet.

Methods

Data from a prospective cohort of 566,398 adults aged 50–71 years, 19,677 African-American and 450,623 Whites, was analyzed. Baseline data on cancer-related risk factors such as smoking, alcohol, physical activity and dietary patterns were used to create an individual adherence score. Differences in adherence by race, gender and geographic region were assessed using descriptive statistics, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the association between adherence and cancer incidence.

Results

Only 1.5% of study participants were adherent to all five cancer-related risk factor guidelines, with marked race-, gender- and regional differences in adherence overall. Compared with participants who were fully adherent to all five cancer risk factor criteria, those adherent to one or less had a 76% increased risk of any cancer incidence (HR: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.70 – 1.82), 38% increased risk of breast cancer (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.25 – 1.52), and doubled the risk of colorectal cancer (HR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.84 – 2.29). However, risk of prostate cancer was lower among participants adherent to one or less compared with those who were fully adherent (HR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.75 – 0.85). The proportion of cancer incident cases attributable to low adherence was higher among African-Americans compared with Whites for all cancers (21% vs. 19%), and highest for colorectal cancer (25%) regardless of race.

Conclusion

Racial differences in the proportion of cancer incidence attributable to low adherence suggests unique opportunities for targeted cancer prevention strategies that may help eliminate racial disparities in cancer burden among older US adults.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12885-017-3557-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Assessment of the role of ageing and non-ageing factors in death from non-communicable diseases based on a cumulative frequency model

To quantify the effects of ageing and non-ageing factors, a characterization of the effects of ageing, genetic, and exogenous variables on 12 major non-communicable diseases was evaluated using a model assessing cumulative frequency of death and survival by age group from dead and surviving populations based on mortality statistics. Indices (0–1) of the roles of ageing (ARD), genetics (GRD) and exogenous (ERD) variables in deaths due to disease were established, and the sum of ARD, GRD and ERD was 1 (value of each indices was <1). Results showed that ageing plays an important role in death from chronic disease; exogenous factors may contribute more to the pattern of chronic disease than genetic factors (ARD, GRC and ERD were 0.818, 0.058 and 0.124 respectively for all non-communicable diseases). In descending order, ERD for non-communicable diseases were breast cancer, leukaemia, cancer of the cervix uteri and uterus, liver cancer, nephritis and nephropathy, stomach cancer, lung cancer, diabetes, cerebrovascular disease, coronary heart disease, COPD, and Alzheimer’s disease, while a smaller ERD indicated a tendency of natural death. An understanding of the aforementioned complex relationships of specific non-communicable diseases will be beneficial in designing primary prevention measures for non-communicable diseases in China.

Childhood body mass index and height in relation to site-specific risks of colorectal cancers in adult life

As colorectal cancers have a long latency period, their origins may lie early in life. Therefore childhood body mass index (BMI; kg/m²) and height may be associated with adult colorectal cancer. Using a cohort design, 257,623 children from The Copenhagen School Health Records Register born from 1930 to 1972 with measured heights and weights at ages 7 to 13 years were followed for adult colon and rectal adenocarcinomas by linkage to the Danish Cancer Registry. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by Cox proportional hazard regressions. During follow-up, 2676 colon and 1681 rectal adenocarcinomas were diagnosed. No sex differences were observed in the associations between child BMI or height and adult colon or rectal cancers. Childhood BMI and height were positively associated with colon cancer; at age 13 years the HRs were 1.09 (95% CI 1.04-1.14) and 1.14 (95% CI 1.09-1.19) per z-score, respectively. Children who were persistently taller or heavier than average, had increased risk of colon cancer. Similarly, growing taller or gaining more weight than average was positively associated with colon cancer. No associations were observed between BMI or height and rectal cancer. Childhood BMI and height, along with above average change during childhood are significantly and positively associated with adult colon cancers, but not with rectal cancer, suggesting different etiologies.

Adiposity across the adult life course and incidence of primary liver cancer: The NIH-AARP cohort

Obesity relatively late in adulthood has been consistently associated with increased risk of primary liver cancer. However, little is known about the role of early adult adiposity and evolution of adiposity across adulthood in hepatocarcinogenesis. We examined adult body mass index (BMI; kg/m2 ) in relation to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) in a large prospective cohort. Weight at ages 18, 35, 50 and at study baseline was retrospectively reported by 303,620 participants. BMI trajectories were identified using latent class trajectory modeling. Incidence of HCC and ICC was determined through 2011. Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 372 HCC cases and 104 ICC cases occurred during follow-up. Being obese (BMI ≥ 30) at ages 18, 35, 50 and at baseline (mean age 62.3 years, range 50.3-71.5 years) was associated with an 86-119% elevated risk of HCC. BMI trajectories that resulted in obesity were associated with ∼80% higher HCC incidence. BMI at age 18, per 5 kg/m2 , was associated with a 34% higher risk of ICC, but the association attenuated for BMI at older ages. In conclusion, our findings suggest that maintaining a healthy BMI throughout the lifetime may reduce liver cancer risk. Future studies with longitudinally collected weight information are warranted to further elucidate the role of life-course adiposity in liver cancer development.

Comparison of general obesity and measures of body fat distribution in older adults in relation to cancer risk: meta-analysis of individual participant data of seven prospective cohorts in Europe

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the associations of anthropometric indicators of general obesity (body mass index, BMI), an established risk factor of various cancer, and body fat distribution (waist circumference, WC; hip circumference, HC; and waist-to-hip ratio, WHR), which may better reflect metabolic complications of obesity, with total obesity-related and site-specific (colorectal and postmenopausal breast) cancer incidence.

METHODS

This is a meta-analysis of seven prospective cohort studies participating in the CHANCES consortium including 18 668 men and 24 751 women with a mean age of 62 and 63 years, respectively. Harmonised individual participant data from all seven cohorts were analysed separately and alternatively for each anthropometric indicator using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up period of 12 years, 1656 first-incident obesity-related cancers (defined as postmenopausal female breast, colorectum, lower oesophagus, cardia stomach, liver, gallbladder, pancreas, endometrium, ovary, and kidney) had occurred in men and women. In the meta-analysis of all studies, associations between indicators of adiposity, per s.d. increment, and risk for all obesity-related cancers combined yielded the following summary hazard ratios: 1.11 (95% CI 1.02-1.21) for BMI, 1.13 (95% CI 1.04-1.23) for WC, 1.09 (95% CI 0.98-1.21) for HC, and 1.15 (95% CI 1.00-1.32) for WHR. Increases in risk for colorectal cancer were 16%, 21%, 15%, and 20%, respectively per s.d. of BMI, WC, HC, and WHR. Effect modification by hormone therapy (HT) use was observed for postmenopausal breast cancer (Pinteraction<0.001), where never HT users showed an ∼20% increased risk per s.d. of BMI, WC, and HC compared to ever users.

CONCLUSIONS

BMI, WC, HC, and WHR show comparable positive associations with obesity-related cancers combined and with colorectal cancer in older adults. For postmenopausal breast cancer we report evidence for effect modification by HT use.

Bariatric Surgery Prior to Index Screening Colonoscopy Is Associated With a Decreased Rate of Colorectal Adenomas in Obese Individuals

Objectives:

Obesity is an important risk factor for the development of colorectal cancer (CRC). Although the impact of bariatric surgery on CRC is conflicting, its impact on precursor lesions is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine whether bariatric surgery before index screening colonoscopy is associated with decreased development of colorectal adenomas.

Methods:

We performed a retrospective cohort study of bariatric surgery patients who had undergone index, screening colonoscopy at an academic center from 2001 to 2014. Patients who had bariatric surgery at least 1 year before index colonoscopy were compared with those who had surgery after colonoscopy, using multivariable logistic regression to control for presurgical body mass index, sex, gender, race, type of surgery, aspirin use, metformin use, smoking, and age at colonoscopy.

Results:

One hundred and twenty-five obese individuals who had bariatric surgery before colonoscopy were compared with 223 individuals who had colonoscopy after surgery. Adenomatous polyps were found in 16.8% of individuals who had surgery first vs. 35.5% who had colonoscopy before bariatric surgery (unadjusted odds ratio (OR) 0.37, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.21–0.64, P=0.0003). After multivariable adjustment, bariatric surgery before index screening colonoscopy was associated with a decreased risk of adenomas at index colonoscopy (adjusted OR 0.37, 95% CI: 0.19–0.69, P=0.002).

Conclusions:

Bariatric surgery is associated with a decreased risk of colorectal adenomas in obese individuals without a family history of CRC.

Analysis of Body Mass Index and Mortality in Patients With Colorectal Cancer Using Causal Diagrams

IMPORTANCE

Physicians and investigators have sought to determine the relationship between body mass index (BMI [calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared]) and colorectal cancer (CRC) outcomes, but methodologic limitations including sampling selection bias, reverse causality, and collider bias have prevented the ability to draw definitive conclusions.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of BMI at the time of, and following, colorectal cancer (CRC) diagnosis with mortality in a complete population using causal diagrams.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective observational study with prospectively collected data included a cohort of 3408 men and women, ages 18 to 80 years, from the Kaiser Permanente Northern California population, who were diagnosed with stage I to III CRC between 2006 and 2011 and who also had surgery.

EXPOSURES

Body mass index at diagnosis and 15 months following diagnosis.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality and CRC-specific mortality compared with normal-weight patients, adjusted for sociodemographics, disease severity, treatment, and prediagnosis BMI.

RESULTS

This study investigated a cohort of 3408 men and women ages 18 to 80 years diagnosed with stage I to III CRC between 2006 and 2011 who also had surgery. At-diagnosis BMI was associated with all-cause mortality in a nonlinear fashion, with patients who were underweight (BMI <18.5; HR, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.63-4.31) and patients who were class II or III obese (BMI ≥35; HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.89-1.98) exhibiting elevated mortality risks, compared with patients who were low-normal weight (BMI 18.5 to <23). In contrast, patients who were high-normal weight (BMI 23 to <25; HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.56-1.06), low-overweight (BMI 25 to <28; HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.55-1.04), and high-overweight (BMI 28 to <30; HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.35-0.77) had lower mortality risks, and patients who were class I obese (BMI 30 to <35) showed no difference in risk. Spline analysis confirmed a U-shaped relationship in participants with lowest mortality at a BMI of 28. Associations with CRC-specific mortality were similar. Associations of postdiagnosis BMI and mortality were also similar, but patients who were class I obese had significantly lower all-cause and cancer-specific mortality risks.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, body mass index at the time of diagnosis and following diagnosis of CRC was associated with mortality risk. Though evidence shows that exercise in patients with cancer should be encouraged, findings suggest that recommendations for weight loss in the immediate postdiagnosis period among patients with CRC who are overweight may be unwarranted.

Visceral adiposity and cancer survival: a review of imaging studies

Although obesity is a well-known risk factor for cancer, the association between obesity and cancer survival remains controversial. This is partially due to the inability of conventional obesity measures to directly assess adiposity or adipose tissue distribution. As a metabolic organ, visceral adipose tissue (VAT) secrets a variety of cytokines and cytokine-like factors, potentially affecting cancer survival. The objective of this review was to investigate the influence of imaging-assessed VAT on cancer survival. A total of 22 studies assessing the impact of visceral adiposity on survival were included. Negative associations between VAT and survival were more frequently observed among patients with colorectal (four of six studies) and pancreatic (three of five studies) cancers, compared to higher VAT predicting longer survival in most studies of renal cell carcinoma patients (four of five studies). Methodological limitations, including unstandardised VAT measurement methods, lack of other body composition measurement (i.e. muscle mass), small sample size and heterogeneous cohort characteristics, may explain controversial findings related to the impact of VAT on cancer survival.

Diet-induced weight loss leads to a switch in gene regulatory network control in the rectal mucosa

BACKGROUND

Weight loss may decrease risk of colorectal cancer in obese individuals, yet its effect in the colorectum is not well understood. We used integrative network modeling, Passing Attributes between Networks for Data Assimilation, to estimate transcriptional regulatory network models from mRNA expression levels from rectal mucosa biopsies measured pre- and post-weight loss in 10 obese, pre-menopausal women.

RESULTS

We identified significantly greater regulatory targeting of glucose transport pathways in the post-weight loss regulatory network, including "regulation of glucose transport" (FDR=0.02), "hexose transport" (FDR=0.06), "glucose transport" (FDR=0.06) and "monosaccharide transport" (FDR=0.08). These findings were not evident by gene expression analysis alone. Network analysis also suggested a regulatory switch from NFΚB1 to MAX control of MYC post-weight loss.

CONCLUSIONS

These network-based results expand upon standard gene expression analysis by providing evidence for a potential mechanistic alteration caused by weight loss.

The Obesity Paradox in Cancer: a Review

There is a common perception that excess adiposity, commonly approximated by body mass index (BMI), is associated with reduced cancer survival. A number of studies have emerged challenging this by demonstrating that overweight and early obese states are associated with improved survival. This finding is termed the "obesity paradox" and is well recognized in the cardio-metabolic literature but less so in oncology. Here, we summarize the epidemiological findings related to the obesity paradox in cancer. Our review highlights that many observations of the obesity paradox in cancer reflect methodological mechanisms including the crudeness of BMI as an obesity measure, confounding, detection bias, reverse causality, and a specific form of the selection bias, known as collider bias. It is imperative for the oncologist to interpret the observation of the obesity paradox against the above methodological framework and avoid the misinterpretation that being obese might be "good" or "protective" for cancer patients.