National Immunization Campaigns With Oral Polio Vaccine May Reduce All-cause Mortality: An Analysis of 13 Years of Demographic Surveillance Data From an Urban African Area

Maternal skepticism regarding children's vaccination in Jordan: Investigating the knowledge, attitude, and adherence

Vaccination is critical to every responsible healthcare system, yielding several health and economic benefits. However, skepticism is a major challenge to vaccination adherence among parents globally. Mothers are primary decision-makers on children's vaccination; therefore, this study aims to assess maternal knowledge, attitudes, and adherence to children's routine vaccination in Jordan, identify the main sources of related information, and explore the awareness and hesitancy related to elective vaccination, which is not incorporated into the national vaccination program (e.g., varicella, flu, meningitis, and meningococcal vaccines). A descriptive, cross-sectional design was conducted to collect data from 533 Jordanian mothers between August and November 2023. Participant mothers completed an online self-administered questionnaire comprising demographics, knowledge, attitudes, and adherence to children's vaccination. The surveyed mothers in general exhibited high levels of knowledge, attitudes, and adherence concerning children's vaccination and a relatively moderate level of adherence concerning elective vaccines. The mothers' perspectives of reluctance towards elective vaccines were explored. The primary healthcare center and physicians were the most prevalent sources of mothers' vaccine-related information. Future efforts should implement tailored health education campaigns that address specific knowledge gaps, such as misconceptions about contraindications and side effects, promote awareness about elective vaccines, and engage healthcare providers to facilitate informed decision-making among Jordanian mothers and improve children's vaccination coverage.

Pharmacovigilance in Vaccines: Importance, Main Aspects, Perspectives, and Challenges-A Narrative Review

Pharmacovigilance plays a central role in safeguarding public health by continuously monitoring the safety of vaccines, being critical in a climate of vaccine hesitancy, where public trust is paramount. Pharmacovigilance strategies employed to gather information on adverse events following immunization (AEFIs) include pre-registration data, media reports, clinical trials, and societal reporting. Early detection of AEFIs during clinical trials is crucial for thorough safety analysis and preventing serious reactions once vaccines are deployed. This review highlights the importance of societal reporting, encompassing contributions from community members, healthcare workers, and pharmaceutical companies. Technological advancements such as quick response (QR) codes can facilitate prompt AEFI reporting. While vaccines are demonstrably safe, the possibility of adverse events necessitates continuous post-marketing surveillance. However, underreporting remains a challenge, underscoring the critical role of public engagement in pharmacovigilance. This narrative review comprehensively examines and synthesizes key aspects of virus vaccine pharmacovigilance, with special considerations for specific population groups. We explore applicable legislation, the spectrum of AEFIs associated with major vaccines, and the unique challenges and perspectives surrounding pharmacovigilance in this domain.

Specific and Nonspecific Effects of Influenza Vaccines

With the introduction of the influenza vaccine in the official immunization schedule of most countries, several data regarding the efficacy, tolerability, and safety of influenza immunization were collected worldwide. Interestingly, together with the confirmation that influenza vaccines are effective in reducing the incidence of influenza virus infection and the incidence and severity of influenza disease, epidemiological data have indicated that influenza immunization could be useful for controlling antimicrobial resistance (AMR) development. Knowledge of the reliability of these findings seems essential for precise quantification of the clinical relevance of influenza immunization. If definitively confirmed, these findings can have a relevant impact on influenza vaccine development and use. Moreover, they can be used to convince even the most recalcitrant health authorities of the need to extend influenza immunization to the entire population. In this narrative review, present knowledge regarding these particular aspects of influenza immunization is discussed. Literature analysis showed that the specific effects of influenza immunization are great enough per se to recommend systematic annual immunization of younger children, old people, and all individuals with severe chronic underlying diseases. Moreover, influenza immunization can significantly contribute to limiting the emergence of antimicrobial resistance. The problem of the possible nonspecific effects of influenza vaccines remains unsolved. The definition of their role as inducers of trained immunity seems essential not only to evaluate how much they play a role in the prevention of infectious diseases but also to evaluate whether they can be used to prevent and treat clinical conditions in which chronic inflammation and autoimmunity play a fundamental pathogenetic role.

Effects of Neonatal BCG-Japan Versus BCG-Russia Vaccination on Overall Mortality and Morbidity: Randomized Controlled Trial From Guinea-Bissau (BCGSTRAIN II)

Background

Vaccination with the Danish strain of bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) has been associated with pronounced reductions in all-cause neonatal mortality and morbidity. Developing a skin reaction postvaccination is associated with markedly reduced mortality risk. It is unknown whether the beneficial nonspecific effects are maintained across different BCG strains.

Methods

This was an open-label randomized controlled trial in Guinea-Bissau, comparing BCG-Japan (n = 8754) versus BCG-Russia (n = 8752) for all-cause hospital admission risk by 6 weeks of age (primary outcome) and 6 months of age. Additional secondary outcomes were in-hospital case-fatality risk (CFR), all-cause mortality, and BCG skin reaction prevalence. Participants were followed through telephone calls at 6 weeks and 6 months, with a subgroup also visited at home. We assessed admission and mortality risk in Cox models providing incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and mortality rate ratios. CFR and skin reactions were assessed by binomial regression providing risk ratios. Analyses were done overall and stratified by sex.

Results

BCG strain was not associated with admission risk, the BCG-Japan/BCG-Russia IRR being 0.92 (95% confidence interval [CI], .81-1.05) by 6 weeks and 0.92 (95% CI, .82-1.02) by 6 months. By 6 months of age, there were significantly fewer BCG-Japan infants with no skin reaction (1%) than for BCG-Russia (2%), the risk ratio being 0.36 (95% CI, .16-.81). BCG-Japan skin reactions were also larger.

Conclusions

Both vaccines induced a skin reaction in almost all participants. The BCG strains had comparable effects on morbidity and mortality, but BCG-Japan was associated with more and larger skin reactions that are indicators of lower mortality risk.

Clinical Trials Registration

NCT03400878.

Trained Innate Immunity in Animal Models of Cardiovascular Diseases

Acquisition of immunological memory is an important evolutionary strategy that evolved to protect the host from repetitive challenges from infectious agents. It was believed for a long time that memory formation exclusively occurs in the adaptive part of the immune system with the formation of highly specific memory T cells and B cells. In the past 10-15 years, it has become clear that innate immune cells, such as monocytes, natural killer cells, or neutrophil granulocytes, also have the ability to generate some kind of memory. After the exposure of innate immune cells to certain stimuli, these cells develop an enhanced secondary response with increased cytokine secretion even after an encounter with an unrelated stimulus. This phenomenon has been termed trained innate immunity (TI) and is associated with epigenetic modifications (histone methylation, acetylation) and metabolic alterations (elevated glycolysis, lactate production). TI has been observed in tissue-resident or circulating immune cells but also in bone marrow progenitors. Risk-factors for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) which are associated with low-grade inflammation, such as hyperglycemia, obesity, or high salt, can also induce TI with a profound impact on the development and progression of CVDs. In this review, we briefly describe basic mechanisms of TI and summarize animal studies which specifically focus on TI in the context of CVDs.

Can earlier BCG-Japan and OPV vaccination reduce early infant mortality? A cluster-randomised trial in Guinea-Bissau

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of providing BCG and oral polio vaccine (OPV) at an early home visit after delivery.

DESIGN

Cluster-randomised trial, randomising 92 geographically defined clusters 1:1 to intervention/control arms.

SETTING

Bandim Health Project Health and Demographic Surveillance System, Guinea-Bissau.

PARTICIPANTS

2226 newborns enrolled between July 2016 and August 2019.

INTERVENTIONS

In both arms, newborns received a home visit within 72 hours after birth. In intervention clusters (n=46), BCG and OPV were provided at the home visit.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Rates of non-accidental mortality were compared in Cox proportional hazards models from (last of) day 1 or enrolment, until (first of) day 60 or registration of non-trial vaccines.

RESULTS

A total of 35 deaths (intervention: 7, control: 28) were registered during the trial. Providing BCG and OPV reduced non-accidental early infant mortality by 59% (8-82%). The intervention also reduced non-accidental hospital admissions. The intervention had little impact on growth and BCG scarring and tended to increase the risk of consultations.

CONCLUSIONS

The trial was stopped early due to lower-than-expected enrolment and event rates when 33% of the planned number of newborns had been enrolled. Despite the small size of the trial, the results support that early BCG and OPV vaccinations are beneficial and reduce early child mortality and morbidity.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT02504203).

Do vaccines increase or decrease susceptibility to diseases other than those they protect against?

Contrary to the long-held belief that the effects of vaccines are specific for the disease they were created; compelling evidence has demonstrated that vaccines can exert positive or deleterious non-specific effects (NSEs). In this review, we compiled research reports from the last 40 years, which were found based on the PubMed search for the epidemiological and immunological studies on the non-specific effects (NSEs) of the most common human vaccines. Analysis of information showed that live vaccines induce positive NSEs, whereas non-live vaccines induce several negative NSEs, including increased female mortality associated with enhanced susceptibility to other infectious diseases, especially in developing countries. These negative NSEs are determined by the vaccination sequence, the antigen concentration in vaccines, the type of vaccine used (live vs. non-live), and also by repeated vaccination. We do not recommend stopping using non-live vaccines, as they have demonstrated to protect against their target disease, so the suggestion is that their detrimental NSEs can be minimized simply by changing the current vaccination sequence. High IgG4 antibody levels generated in response to repeated inoculation with mRNA COVID-19 vaccines could be associated with a higher mortality rate from unrelated diseases and infections by suppressing the immune system. Since most COVID-19 vaccinated countries are reporting high percentages of excess mortality not directly attributable to deaths from such disease, the NSEs of mRNA vaccines on overall mortality should be studied in depth.

Do Pentavalent (DTwP-Hib-HBV) vaccines have sex-differential nonspecific effects? An observational study

Vaccines may alter the ability to combat infections unrelated to the target disease, i.e. have "nonspecific effects." The non-live Diphtheria-Tetanus-Pertussis vaccine (DTP) has been associated with increased child mortality, especially for females. In 2008, the DTP-containing Pentavalent vaccine replaced DTP vaccine in Guinea-Bissau. We investigate female relative to male mortality after Penta vaccination. In Guinea-Bissau, Bandim Health Project (BHP) registered children's vaccination and vital status at biannual village visits and provided vaccines. Among children Penta-vaccinated by BHP, we compared mortality of males and females in Cox proportional hazards models. Children aged 6 weeks to 8 months entered the analysis at the date of vaccination and were followed for up to 6 months. Between September 2008 and December 2017, 33,989 children aged 6 weeks to 8 months were under surveillance. Of these 12,753 (females: 6,363; males: 6,390) received Penta by the BHP and entered the study contributing with 19,667 observations. The mortality rate following Penta vaccination was 25.2 per 1,000 person years for females and 26.6 for males, resulting in an adjusted Female/Male mortality rate ratio of (F/M aMRR) 1.01 (0.82-1.25). The association between sex and mortality differed by timeliness of vaccination, F/M aMRR: 0.62 (0.41-0.93) for children vaccinated below median age, and F/M aMRR: 1.38 (0.90-2.13) for children vaccinated above median age. We did not find higher overall mortality in females than males after Penta vaccination. Our findings suggest that mortality differences between males and females following Penta vaccination may depend on timeliness of Penta vaccination.

Live Mycobacterium paragordonae induces heterologous immunity of natural killer cells by eliciting type I interferons from dendritic cells via STING-dependent sensing of cyclic-di-GMP

Exploiting the heterologous effects of vaccines is a feasible strategy to combat different pathogens. These effects have been explained by enhanced immune responses of innate immune cells. Mycobacterium paragordonae is a rare nontuberculosis mycobacterium that has temperature-sensitive properties. Although natural killer (NK) cells exhibit heterologous immunity features, the cellular crosstalk between NK cells and dendritic cells (DCs) during live mycobacterial infection has remained elusive. We show that live but not dead M. paragordonae enhances heterologous immunity against unrelated pathogens in NK cells by IFN-β of DCs in both mouse models and primary human immune cells. C-di-GMP from live M. paragordonae acted as a viability-associated pathogen-associated molecular pattern (Vita-PAMP), leading to STING-dependent type I IFN production in DCs via the IRE1α/XBP1s pathway. Also, increased cytosolic 2'3'-cGAMP by cGAS can induce type I IFN response in DCs by live M. paragordonae infection. We found that DC-derived IFN-β plays a pivotal role in NK cell activation by live M. paragordonae infection, showing NK cell-mediated nonspecific protective effects against Candida albicans infection in a mouse model. Our findings indicate that the heterologous effect of live M. paragordonae vaccination is mediated by NK cells based on the crosstalk between DCs and NK cells.

Beneficial non-specific effects of live vaccines against COVID-19 and other unrelated infections

Live attenuated vaccines could have beneficial, non-specific effects of protecting against vaccine-unrelated infections, such as BCG protecting against respiratory infection. During the COVID-19 pandemic, testing of these effects against COVID-19 was of interest to the pandemic control programme. Non-specific effects occur due to the broad effects of specific live attenuated vaccines on the host immune system, relying on heterologous lymphocyte responses and induction of trained immunity. Knowledge of non-specific effects has been developed in randomised controlled trials and observational studies with children, but examining of whether the same principles apply to adults and older adults was of interest to researchers during the pandemic. In this Personal View, we aim to define a framework for the analysis of non-specific effects of live attenuated vaccines against vaccine-unrelated infections with pandemic potential using several important concepts. First, study endpoints should prioritise severity of infection and overall patient health rather than incidence of infection only (eg, although several trials found no protection of the BCG vaccine against COVID-19 infection, it is associated with lower overall mortality than placebo). Second, revaccination of an individual with the same live attenuated vaccine could be the most effective strategy against vaccine-unrelated infections. Third, coadministration of several live attenuated vaccines might enhance beneficial non-specific effects. Fourth, the sequence of vaccine administration matters; the live attenuated vaccine should be the last vaccine administered before exposure to the pandemic infection and non-live vaccines should not be administered afterwards. Fifth, live attenuated vaccines could modify the immune response to specific COVID-19 vaccines. Finally, non-specific effects of live attenuated vaccines should always be analysed with subgroup analysis by sex of individuals receiving the vaccines.

Sex-Differential and Non-specific Effects of Vaccines Over the Life Course

Biological sex and age have profound effects on immune responses throughout the lifespan and impact vaccine acceptance, responses, and outcomes. Mounting evidence from epidemiological, clinical, and animal model studies show that males and females respond differentially to vaccination throughout the lifespan. Within age groups, females tend to produce greater vaccine-induced immune responses than males, with sex differences apparent across all age groups, but are most pronounced among reproductive aged individuals. Females report more adverse effects following vaccination than males. Females, especially among children under 5 years of age, also experience more non-specific effects of vaccination. Despite these known sex- and age-specific differences in vaccine-induced immune responses and outcomes, sex and age are often ignored in vaccine research. Herein, we review the known sex differences in the immunogenicity, effectiveness, reactogenicity, and non-specific effects of vaccination over the lifespan. Ways in which these data can be leveraged to improve vaccine research are described.

Inclusive Education and Health Performance in Sub Saharan Africa

The study assesses the effect of inclusive education on health performance in 48 Sub Saharan African countries from 2000 to 2020. The study adopted the Driscoll/Kraay technique to address cross-sectional dependence and the GMM strategy to address potential endogeneity. The study employed three indicators of health performance which are the total life expectancy, the female life expectancy and the male life expectancy. Three gender parity index of educational enrolments are employed: primary education, secondary and the tertiary education as indicators of inclusive education. The findings of the study reveal that inclusive education enhances the health situation of individuals in Sub Saharan Africa. The findings further show that the health situation of both the male and the female are improved by inclusive education. The study recommends policymakers in this region to invest more in the education and the health sector so as to enhance the health performance of the citizens.

Oral polio revaccination is associated with changes in gut and upper respiratory microbiomes of infants

After the eradication of polio infection, the plan is to phase-out the live-attenuated oral polio vaccine (OPV). Considering the protective non-specific effects (NSE) of OPV on unrelated pathogens, the withdrawal may impact child health negatively. Within a cluster-randomized trial, we carried out 16S rRNA deep sequencing analysis of fecal and nasopharyngeal microbial content of Bissau–Guinean infants aged 4–8 months, before and after 2 months of OPV revaccination (revaccinated infants = 47) vs. no OPV revaccination (control infants = 47). The aim was to address changes in the gut and upper respiratory bacterial microbiotas due to revaccination. Alpha-diversity for both microbiotas increased similarly over time in OPV-revaccinated infants and controls, whereas greater changes over time in the bacterial composition of gut (padjusted < 0.001) and upper respiratory microbiotas (padjusted = 0.018) were observed in the former. Taxonomic analysis of gut bacterial microbiota revealed a decrease over time in the median proportion of Bifidobacterium longum for all infants (25–14.3%, p = 0.0006 in OPV-revaccinated infants and 25.3–11.6%, p = 0.01 in controls), compatible with the reported weaning. Also, it showed a restricted increase in the median proportion of Prevotella_9 genus in controls (1.4–7.1%, p = 0.02), whereas in OPV revaccinated infants an increase over time in Prevotellaceae family (7.2–17.4%, p = 0.005) together with a reduction in median proportion of potentially pathogenic/opportunistic genera such as Escherichia/Shigella (5.8–3.4%, p = 0.01) were observed. Taxonomic analysis of upper respiratory bacterial microbiota revealed an increase over time in median proportions of potentially pathogenic/opportunistic genera in controls, such as Streptococcus (2.9–11.8%, p = 0.001 and Hemophilus (11.3–20.5%, p = 0.03), not observed in OPV revaccinated infants. In conclusion, OPV revaccination was associated with a healthier microbiome composition 2 months after revaccination, based on a more abundant and diversified bacterial community of Prevotellaceae and fewer pathogenic/opportunistic organisms. Further information on species-level differentiation and functional analysis of microbiome content are warranted to elucidate the impact of OPV-associated changes in bacterial microbiota on child health.

One vaccine to counter many diseases? Modeling the economics of oral polio vaccine against child mortality and COVID-19

Introduction

Recent reviews summarize evidence that some vaccines have heterologous or non-specific effects (NSE), potentially offering protection against multiple pathogens. Numerous economic evaluations examine vaccines' pathogen-specific effects, but less than a handful focus on NSE. This paper addresses that gap by reporting economic evaluations of the NSE of oral polio vaccine (OPV) against under-five mortality and COVID-19.

Materials and methods

We studied two settings: (1) reducing child mortality in a high-mortality setting (Guinea-Bissau) and (2) preventing COVID-19 in India. In the former, the intervention involves three annual campaigns in which children receive OPV incremental to routine immunization. In the latter, a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model was developed to estimate the population benefits of two scenarios, in which OPV would be co-administered alongside COVID-19 vaccines. Incremental cost-effectiveness and benefit-cost ratios were modeled for ranges of intervention effectiveness estimates to supplement the headline numbers and account for heterogeneity and uncertainty.

Results

For child mortality, headline cost-effectiveness was $650 per child death averted. For COVID-19, assuming OPV had 20% effectiveness, incremental cost per death averted was $23,000-65,000 if it were administered simultaneously with a COVID-19 vaccine <200 days into a wave of the epidemic. If the COVID-19 vaccine availability were delayed, the cost per averted death would decrease to $2600-6100. Estimated benefit-to-cost ratios vary but are consistently high.

Discussion

Economic evaluation suggests the potential of OPV to efficiently reduce child mortality in high mortality environments. Likewise, within a broad range of assumed effect sizes, OPV (or another vaccine with NSE) could play an economically attractive role against COVID-19 in countries facing COVID-19 vaccine delays.

Funding

The contribution by DTJ was supported through grants from Trond Mohn Foundation (BFS2019MT02) and Norad (RAF-18/0009) through the Bergen Center for Ethics and Priority Setting.

Oral Polio Vaccine to Mitigate the Risk of Illness and Mortality During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic: A Cluster-Randomized Trial in Guinea-Bissau

Background

Oral polio vaccine (OPV) may improve resistance to non-polio-infections. We tested whether OPV reduced the risk of illness and mortality before coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines were available.

Methods

During the early COVID-19 pandemic, houses in urban Guinea-Bissau were randomized 1:1 to intervention or control. Residents aged 50+ years were invited to participate. Participants received bivalent OPV (single dose) or nothing. Rates of mortality, admissions, and consultation for infections (primary composite outcome) during 6 months of follow-up were compared in Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age and residential area. Secondary outcomes included mortality, admissions, consultations, and symptoms of infection.

Results

We followed 3726 participants (OPV, 1580; control, 2146) and registered 66 deaths, 97 admissions, and 298 consultations for infections. OPV did not reduce the risk of the composite outcome overall (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.97; 95% confidence interval [CI], .79–1.18). OPV reduced the risk in males (HR = 0.71; 95% CI, .51–.98) but not in females (HR = 1.18; 95% CI, .91–1.52) (P for same effect = .02). OPV also reduced the risk in Bacillus Calmette-Guérin scar-positive (HR = 0.70; 95% CI, .49–.99) but not in scar-negative participants (HR = 1.13; 95% CI, .89–1.45) (P = .03). OPV had no overall significant effect on mortality (HR = 0.96; 95% CI, .59–1.55), admissions (HR = 0.76; 95% CI, .49–1.17) or recorded consultations (HR = 0.99; 95% CI, .79–1.25), but the OPV group reported more episodes with symptoms of infection (6050 episodes; HR = 1.10 [95% CI, 1.03–1.17]).

Conclusions

In line with previous studies, OPV had beneficial nonspecific effects in males.

Stopping oral polio vaccine (OPV) after defeating poliomyelitis in low-and-middle-income countries: Harmful unintended consequences?

Background

The live vaccines bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) and measles vaccine have beneficial nonspecific effects (NSEs) reducing mortality, more than can be explained by prevention of tuberculosis or measles infection. Live oral polio vaccine (OPV) will be stopped after polio eradication; we therefore reviewed the potential NSEs of OPV.

Methods

OPV has been provided in 3 contexts: (1) coadministration of OPV and diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP) vaccine at 6, 10, and 14 weeks of age; (2) at birth (OPV0) with BCG; and (3) in OPV campaigns (C-OPVs) initiated to eradicate polio infection. We searched PubMed and Embase for studies of OPV with mortality as an outcome. We used meta-analysis to obtain the combined relative risk (RR) of mortality associated with different uses of OPV.

Results

First, in natural experiments when DTP was missing, OPV-only compared with DTP + OPV was associated with 3-fold lower mortality in community studies (RR, 0.33 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .14–.75]) and a hospital study (RR, 0.29 [95% CI, .11–.77]). Conversely, when OPV was missing, DTP-only was associated with 3-fold higher mortality than DTP + OPV (RR, 3.23 [95% CI, 1.27–8.21]). Second, in a randomized controlled trial, BCG + OPV0 vs BCG + no OPV0 was associated with 32% (95% CI, 0–55%) lower infant mortality. Beneficial NSEs were stronger with early use of OPV0. Third, in 5 population-based studies from Guinea-Bissau and Bangladesh, the mortality rate was 24% (95% CI, 17%–31%) lower after C-OPVs than before C-OPVs.

Conclusions

There have been few clinical polio cases reported in this century, and no confounding factors or bias would explain all these patterns. The only consistent interpretation is that OPV has beneficial NSEs, reducing nonpolio child mortality.

Effect of early two-dose measles vaccination on childhood mortality and modification by maternal measles antibody in Guinea-Bissau, West Africa: A single-centre open-label randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Early 2-dose measles vaccine (MV) at 4 and 9 months of age vs. the WHO strategy of MV at 9 months of age reduced all-cause child mortality in a previous trial. We aimed to test two hypotheses: 1) a 2-dose strategy reduces child mortality between 4 and 60 months of age by 30%; 2) receiving early MV at 4 months in the presence versus absence of maternal measles antibodies (MatAb) reduces child mortality by 35%.

METHODS

Single-centre open-label community-based randomised controlled trial in Guinea-Bissau, with 2:1 block-randomisation by sex to a 2-dose (4 + 9 months) vs. 1-dose (9 months) MV strategy. Healthy children were eligible 4 weeks after the 3rd diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-containing vaccine. Before randomisation a blood sample was collected to determine MatAb level. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) were derived from Cox regression in the per protocol population. We tested for interactions with national campaigns with oral polio vaccine (C-OPV). Trial registration: NCT01486355.

FINDINGS

Between August 2011-April 17th 2015, 6,636 children were enroled, 6,598[n_2-dose=4,397; n_1-dose=2,201] were included in the analysis of the primary outcome, The HR(2-dose/1-dose) between 4 and 60 months was 1.38 (95%CI: 0.92-2.06) [deaths: n_2-dose=90; n_1-dose=33]. Before the 9-month MV and the HR(1-dose/no dose) was 0.94 (0.45-1.96) [deaths: n_2-dose=21; n_1-dose=11]. The HR(2-dose/1-dose) was 0.81 (0.29-2.22) for children, who received no C-OPV [deaths/children: n_2-dose=10/2,801; n_1-dose=6/1,365], and 4.73 (1.44-15.6) for children, who received C-OPV before and after enrolment (p for interaction=0.027) [deaths/children: n_2-dose=27/1,602; n_1-dose=3/837]. In the 2-dose group receiving early MV at 4 months, mortality was 50% (20-68%) lower for those vaccinated in the presence of MatAb vs. the absence of MatAb [deaths/children: n_MatAb=51/3,132; n_noMatAb=31/1,028].

INTERPRETATION

The main result contrasts with previous findings but may, though based on a small number of events, be explained by frequent OPV campaigns that reduced the mortality rate, but apparently interacted negatively with early MV. The beneficial non-specific effects of MV in the presence of MatAb should be investigated further.

FUNDING

ERC, Danish National Research Foundation, the Danish Council for Development Research, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Novo Nordisk Foundation, European Union and the Lundbeck Foundation.

The Effect of a Second Dose of Measles Vaccine at 18 Months of Age on Nonaccidental Deaths and Hospital Admissions in Guinea-Bissau: Interim Analysis of a Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

The world is set on the eradication of measles. Continuation of the measles vaccine (MV) after eradication could still reduce morbidity because the MV has so-called beneficial nonspecific effects. We evaluated the effect of a "booster" dose of the MV on overall severe morbidity.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized controlled trial among children aged 17.5 to 48 months in Guinea-Bissau, where the MV is recommended only at 9 months of age. At the time of this interim analysis, 3164 children had been allocated 1:1 to a second dose of measles vaccine (MV2) at 18 months of age or to no vaccine. Severe morbidity (a composite outcome of nonaccidental deaths and hospital admissions) rate ratios (SMRRs) were calculated by Cox regression analysis censored for national oral polio vaccine (OPV) campaigns.

RESULTS

There were no measles cases during the trial period. There were 43 nonaccidental deaths or hospital admissions during follow-up. Severe morbidity was 2.6 per 100 person-years in the MV2 group and 3.6 per 100 person-years among controls; hence, the estimated effect of MV2 on severe morbidity was 28% (SMRR, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], .38-1.38). At 12 months of follow-up, the number needed to treat to prevent 1 severe morbidity event was 137 children. After OPV campaigns, the estimated effect of MV2 was reduced to 9% (SMRR, 0.91; 95% CI, .46-1.81).

CONCLUSIONS

MV2 may reduce nonmeasles severe morbidity by 28% (-38% to 62%), although this did not achieve statistical significance in this study. If significant in higher powered studies, this has major implications for child health, even after measles eradication.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT02943681.

Infectious Diseases-Related Hospitalizations During Oral Polio Vaccine(OPV) and non-OPV immunization periods: An Empirical Evaluation of all Hospital Discharges in California(1985-2010)

BACKGROUND

Live attenuated vaccines such as oral polio vaccine (OPV) can stimulate innate immunity and may have off-target protective effects on other pathogens. We aimed to address this hypothesis by examining changes in infectious diseases (ID)-related hospitalizations in all hospital discharges in California during OPV-(1985-1996) and non-OPV-immunization periods (2000-2010).

METHODS

We searched the OSHPD (Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development) database for all hospital discharges with any ID-related discharge diagnosis code during 1985-2010. We compared the proportion of ID-related hospitalizations (with at least one ID-related discharge diagnosis) among total hospitalizations during OPV immunization (1985-1996) vs non-OPV immunization (2000-2010) periods.

RESULTS

There were 19,281,039 ID-related hospitalizations (8,464,037 with an ID-related discharge-diagnosis as the principal discharge diagnosis for the hospitalization) among 98,117,475 hospitalizations in 1985-2010; 9,520,810 ID-hospitalizations/43,456,484 total hospitalizations in 2000-2010 vs 7,526,957/43,472,796 in 1985-1996. The RR for ID-related hospitalizations in 2000-2010 vs 1985-1996 was 1.27(95% CI: 1.26-1.27) for all diagnoses and 1.15(95% CI: 1.15-1.16) for principal diagnoses. Increases also existed in the proportion of lower respiratory and gastrointestinal infections.

DISCUSSION

The proportion of ID-related hospitalizations was lower in the OPV-immunization period compared to the period after OPV was discontinued. When focused only on hospitalizations with ID as the principal discharge diagnosis the signal remained significant but was smaller. These findings require replication in additional studies.

Heterologous vaccination interventions to reduce pandemic morbidity and mortality: Modeling the US winter 2020 COVID-19 wave

COVID-19 remains a stark health threat worldwide, in part because of minimal levels of targeted vaccination outside high-income countries and highly transmissible variants causing infection in vaccinated individuals. Decades of theoretical and experimental data suggest that nonspecific effects of non-COVID-19 vaccines may help bolster population immunological resilience to new pathogens. These routine vaccinations can stimulate heterologous cross-protective effects, which modulate nontargeted infections. For example, immunization with Bacillus Calmette-Guérin, inactivated influenza vaccine, oral polio vaccine, and other vaccines have been associated with some protection from SARS-CoV-2 infection and amelioration of COVID-19 disease. If heterologous vaccine interventions (HVIs) are to be seriously considered by policy makers as bridging or boosting interventions in pandemic settings to augment nonpharmaceutical interventions and specific vaccination efforts, evidence is needed to determine their optimal implementation. Using the COVID-19 International Modeling Consortium mathematical model, we show that logistically realistic HVIs with low (5 to 15%) effectiveness could have reduced COVID-19 cases, hospitalization, and mortality in the United States fall/winter 2020 wave. Similar to other mass drug administration campaigns (e.g., for malaria), HVI impact is highly dependent on both age targeting and intervention timing in relation to incidence, with maximal benefit accruing from implementation across the widest age cohort when the pandemic reproduction number is >1.0. Optimal HVI logistics therefore differ from optimal rollout parameters for specific COVID-19 immunizations. These results may be generalizable beyond COVID-19 and the US to indicate how even minimally effective heterologous immunization campaigns could reduce the burden of future viral pandemics.

Does maternal BCG prime for enhanced beneficial effects of neonatal BCG in the offspring?

OBJECTIVES

Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination lowers the risk of severe infection; we tested whether effects are modulated by maternal BCG in a large cohort of BCG-vaccinated newborns from Guinea-Bissau.

METHODS

Maternal BCG scar status were inspected at enrolment in a BCG trial conducted from 2014-17 in Bissau, Guinea-Bissau. We tested associations with background factors for potential confounding; maternal age affected effect estimates >5% and accordingly, all analyses were adjusted for maternal age. Hospitalization data was collected prospectively and assessed in Cox-models providing adjusted Incidence Rate Ratios (aIRRs). In-hospital risk of death (case-fatality) risk was assessed using binomial regression providing adjusted Risk Ratios (aRRs).

RESULTS

60% (6,309/10,598) of mothers had a scar. The maternal-scar/no-scar admission aIRR was 0.96 (0.81-1.14) from 0-6 weeks and 1.12 (0.97-1.28) for 6 weeks-3 years. The 6-week in-hospital case-fatality infection aRR was 0.59 (0.34-1.05); 0.40 (0.17-0.91) for males and 0.86 (0.38-1.94) for females. Protection was especially evident against sepsis, the overall 6-week aRR=0.49 (0.26-0.91); no effect was observed for non-infectious deaths or after 6 weeks of age. Effects were similar across BCG strains and multivariate models adjusted for socioeconomic status did not affect estimates.

CONCLUSION

Among BCG-vaccinated newborns, there was a trend for fewer in-hospital deaths from infection associated with maternal BCG priming, especially for males. Providing BCG to adults without a vaccination scar might enhance their offspring's capacity to handle severe infections.

Does Influenza Vaccination during Pregnancy Have Effects on Non-Influenza Infectious Morbidity? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomised Controlled Trials

The recommendation to provide inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV) to pregnant women is based on observed protection against influenza-related morbidity in mother and infant. Non-live vaccines may have non-specific effects (NSEs), increasing the risk of non-targeted infections in females. We reviewed the evidence from available randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of IIV to pregnant women, to assess whether IIV may have NSEs. Four RCTs, all conducted in low- and middle-income settings, were identified. We extracted information on all-cause and infectious mortality and adverse events in women and their infants. We conducted meta-analyses providing risk ratios (RR). The meta-analysis for maternal all-cause mortality provided a RR of 1.48 (95% CI = 0.52–4.16). The estimates for miscarriage/stillbirth and infant all-cause mortality up to 6 months of age were 1.06 (0.78–1.44) and 1.11 (0.87–1.41), respectively. IIV was associated with a higher risk of non-influenza infectious adverse events, with meta-estimates of 2.01 (1.15–3.50) in women and 1.36 (1.12–1.67) in infants up to 6 months of age. Thus, following a pattern seen for other non-live vaccines, IIV was associated with a higher risk of non-influenza infectious adverse events. To ensure that scarce resources are used well, and no harm is inflicted, further RCTs are warranted.

Oral Polio Vaccine Campaigns May Reduce the Risk of Death from Respiratory Infections

Oral polio vaccine (OPV) campaigns, but not other campaigns, have been associated with major reductions in child mortality. Studies have shown that OPV reduces the risk of respiratory infections. We analysed the causes of death at 0–2 years of age in Chakaria, a health and demographic surveillance Systems in Bangladesh, in the period 2012–2019 where 13 national campaigns with combinations of OPV (n = 4), vitamin A supplementation (n = 9), measles vaccine (MV) (n = 2), and albendazole (n = 2) were implemented. OPV-only campaigns reduced overall mortality by 30% (95% confidence interval: −10–56%). Deaths from respiratory infections were reduced by 62% (20–82%, p = 0.01) in the post-neonatal period (1–35 months), whereas there was as slight increase of 19% (−37–127%, p = 0.54) for deaths from other causes. There was no benefit of other types of campaigns. Hence, the hypothesis that OPV may have beneficial non-specific effects, protecting particularly against respiratory infections, was confirmed.

Oral Polio Vaccine to Protect Against COVID-19: Out of the Box Strategies?

The global coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has raised significant concerns of developing rapid, broad strategies to protect the vulnerable population and prevent morbidity and mortality. However, even with an aggressive approach, controlling the pandemic has been challenging, with concerns of emerging variants that likely escape vaccines, nonadherence of social distancing/preventive measures by the public, and challenges in rapid implementation of a global vaccination program that involves mass production, distribution, and execution. In this review, we revisit the utilization of attenuated vaccinations, such as the oral polio vaccine, which are safe, easy to administer, and likely provide cross-protection against respiratory pathogens. We discuss the rationale and data supporting its use and detail description of available vaccines that could be repurposed for curtailing the pandemic.

National immunisation campaigns with oral polio vaccine may reduce all-cause mortality: Analysis of 2004-2019 demographic surveillance data in rural Bangladesh

BACKGROUND

West African studies have suggested that national immunisation campaigns with oral polio vaccine (C-OPV) may non-specifically reduce all-cause child mortality rate by 15-25%. We investigated whether C-OPVs had similar non-specific effects in rural Bangladesh from 2004 to 2019.

METHODS

Chakaria, is a health and demographic surveillance system (HDSS) in Southern Bangladesh. From 2004-2011 the HDSS covered a random sample of households; from 2012 to 2019 it covered a random sample of villages. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we calculated hazard ratios (HR) comparing mortality for children under 3 years of age after C-OPV versus before C-OPV to assess the effect of receiving a C-OPV. We allowed for different baseline hazard function in the two periods (2004-2011, 2012-2019), with separate models for each period.

FINDINGS

There were 768 deaths (2.1%) amongst 36,176 children. The HR after C-OPV was 0.69 (95% confidence interval: 0.52-0.90). National campaigns providing vitamin A or measles vaccine did not have similar effects. Each additional dose of C-OPV was associated with a reduction in the mortality rate by 6% (-2 to 13%). The number needed to treat with C-OPV to save one life between 0 and 35 months of age was 88 (81-96).

INTERPRETATION

This is the fourth study to show that C-OPV has beneficial non-specific effects on child survival. All studies have shown a beneficial effect of C-OPV on child health. Stopping OPV as planned after polio eradication without any mitigation plan could have detrimental effects for overall child health in low-income countries.

FUNDING

The Chakaria HDSS was funded by international sponsors. No sponsor had any influence on the preparation of the article.

Old vaccines for new infections: Exploiting innate immunity to control COVID-19 and prevent future pandemics

The COVID-19 pandemic triggered an unparalleled pursuit of vaccines to induce specific adaptive immunity, based on virus-neutralizing antibodies and T cell responses. Although several vaccines have been developed just a year after SARS-CoV-2 emerged in late 2019, global deployment will take months or even years. Meanwhile, the virus continues to take a severe toll on human life and exact substantial economic costs. Innate immunity is fundamental to mammalian host defense capacity to combat infections. Innate immune responses, triggered by a family of pattern recognition receptors, induce interferons and other cytokines and activate both myeloid and lymphoid immune cells to provide protection against a wide range of pathogens. Epidemiological and biological evidence suggests that the live-attenuated vaccines (LAV) targeting tuberculosis, measles, and polio induce protective innate immunity by a newly described form of immunological memory termed "trained immunity." An LAV designed to induce adaptive immunity targeting a particular pathogen may also induce innate immunity that mitigates other infectious diseases, including COVID-19, as well as future pandemic threats. Deployment of existing LAVs early in pandemics could complement the development of specific vaccines, bridging the protection gap until specific vaccines arrive. The broad protection induced by LAVs would not be compromised by potential antigenic drift (immune escape) that can render viruses resistant to specific vaccines. LAVs might offer an essential tool to "bend the pandemic curve," averting the exhaustion of public health resources and preventing needless deaths and may also have therapeutic benefits if used for postexposure prophylaxis of disease.

The mortality effects of disregarding the strategy to save doses of measles vaccine: a cluster-randomised trial in Guinea-Bissau

INTRODUCTION

Measles vaccine (MV) may improve health beyond measles protection. To avoid wastage from multi-dose vials, children in Guinea-Bissau are only measles vaccinated when aged 9-11 months and when six or more children are present. We assessed health impacts of providing MV to all measles-unvaccinated children 9-35 months.

METHODS

We cluster-randomised 182 village clusters under demographic surveillance in rural Guinea-Bissau to an 'MV-for-all-policy' arm where we offered MV regardless of age and number of children present at our bi-annual village visits, or a 'Restrictive-MV-policy' arm where we followed national policy. Measles-unvaccinated children aged 9-35 months were eligible for enrolment and followed to 5 years of age. In intention-to-treat analyses, we compared mortality using Cox regression analyses with age as underlying timescale. The primary analysis was for children aged 12-35 months at eligibility assessment. Interactions with several background factors were explored.

RESULTS

Between 2011 and 2016, we followed 2778 children in the primary analysis. MV coverage by 3 years was 97% among children eligible for enrolment under the MV-for-all-policy, and 48% under the Restrictive-MV-policy. Mortality was 59% lower than anticipated and did not differ by trial arm (MV-for-all-policy: 45/1405: Restrictive-MV-policy: 44/1373; HR: 0.95 (95% CI 0.64 to 1.43)). The effect of MV-for-all changed over time: The HR was 0.53 (95% CI 0.27 to 1.07) during the first 1½ years of enrolment but 1.47 (95% CI 0.87 to 2.50) later (p=0.02, test of interaction). Explorative analyses indicated that the temporal change may be related to interactions with other childhood interventions.

CONCLUSION

The MV-for-all-policy increased MV coverage but had no overall effect on overall mortality.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT01306006.

Stopping live vaccines after disease eradication may increase mortality

Several live vaccines may have beneficial non-specific effects (NSEs) reducing mortality more than can be explained by the prevention of the target infection, a phenomenon which has been linked to innate immune training. Most randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of oral polio vaccine (OPV) and measles vaccine (MV) have shown a large reduction in mortality that must have been at least partly nonspecific because it was much larger than the reduction explained by prevention of the target disease. Hence, stopping a live vaccine after disease-eradication could have negative health effects if the potential beneficial NSEs are not considered. We reviewed one eradicated disease, smallpox, and two infections likely to be eradicated in coming decades, polio and measles. No study was made of unintended effects of stopping smallpox vaccination when it happened in 1980. We have subsequently documented in both Guinea-Bissau and Denmark that smallpox-vaccinated individuals continued to have a survival advantage long after smallpox had been eradicated. The few studies which have examined the effect of OPV on survival all suggest strong beneficial NSEs; in RCTs, OPV compared with inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) has been associated with non-specific reductions in morbidity. RCTs, natural experiments and observational studies have found strong beneficial NSEs for MV. Hence, the imminent eradication of polio and the planned stop of OPV in 2024 and the subsequent eradication of measles infection and the possible stop to live MV could have negative effects for child survival. Before live vaccines are phased out, potential unintended effects of stopping these vaccines should be thoroughly studied.