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Murosko DC, Radack J, Barreto A, Passarella M, Formanowski B, McGann C, Nelin T, Paul K, Peña MM, Salazar EG, Burris HH, Handley SC, Montoya-Williams D, Lorch SA. County-level Structural Vulnerabilities in Maternal Health and Geographic Variation in Infant Mortality. J Pediatr 2024:114274. [PMID: 39216622 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2024.114274] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2024] [Revised: 07/15/2024] [Accepted: 08/26/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate whether community factors that differentially affect the health of pregnant people contribute to geographic differences in infant mortality across the United States. STUDY DESIGN This retrospective cohort study sought to characterize the association of a novel composite measure of county-level maternal structural vulnerabilities, the Maternal Vulnerability Index (MVI), with risk of infant death. We evaluated 11,456,232 singleton infants born at 22 0/7 through 44 6/7 weeks' gestation from 2012 to 2014. Using county-level MVI, which ranges from 0-100, multivariable mixed effects logistic regression models quantified associations per 20-point increment in MVI, with odds of death clustered at the county level and adjusted for state, maternal, and infant covariates. Secondary analyses stratified by the social, physical, and health exposures that comprise the overall MVI score. Outcome was also stratified by cause of death. RESULTS Odds of death were higher among infants from counties with the greatest maternal vulnerability (0.62% in highest quintile vs 0.32% in lowest quintile, [p<0.001]). Odds of death increased 6% per 20-point increment in MVI (aOR: 1.06, 95% CI 1.04, 1.07). The effect estimate was highest with theme of mental health and substance use (aOR 1.08; 95% CI 1.06, 1.09). Increasing vulnerability was associated with six of seven causes of death. CONCLUSIONS Community-level social, physical, and healthcare determinants indicative of maternal vulnerability may explain some of the geographic variation in infant death, regardless of cause of death. Interventions targeted to county-specific maternal vulnerabilities may reduce infant mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daria C Murosko
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
| | - Josh Radack
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Alejandra Barreto
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Molly Passarella
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Brielle Formanowski
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Carolyn McGann
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Timothy Nelin
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Kathryn Paul
- Department of Pediatrics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
| | - Michelle-Marie Peña
- Division of Neonatology, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta and Emory University School of Medicine. Atlanta, GA
| | - Elizabeth G Salazar
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Heather H Burris
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Sara C Handley
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Diana Montoya-Williams
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Scott A Lorch
- Division of Neonatology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Chen W, Hu H, Cao C, Liu D, Han Y. Link between remnant cholesterol and the reversion to normoglycemia in Chinese adults with prediabetes: a 5-year cohort study. Sci Rep 2024; 14:18098. [PMID: 39103476 PMCID: PMC11300864 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-69169-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2024] [Accepted: 08/01/2024] [Indexed: 08/07/2024] Open
Abstract
Despite the clear association between remnant cholesterol (RC)and diabetes risk, no study to date has examined the relationship between RC and reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemia. This retrospective cohort study included a total of 15,023 patients with prediabetes who underwent a physical examination between 2010 and 2016. The link between initial RC levels and the reversion from prediabetes to normoglycemia was analyzed using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model. Additionally, the study explored the possible relationship between RC and the probability of returning normoglycemia by applying Cox proportional hazards regression models with cubic spline functions. To address competing risks, a multivariate Cox regression analysis was undertaken, treating the onset of diabetes as a competing risk event for reversing prediabetes to normoglycemia. Additionally, the study incorporated extensive subgroup analyses alongside multiple sensitivity analyses, enhancing the reliability and robustness of the results. After adjusting for covariates, the findings indicated that RC was inversely associated with the likelihood of reverting to normoglycemia (per 5 mg/dL increase, HR = 0.918, 95% CI 0.909-0.927). The analysis also revealed a nonlinear relationship between RC and normoglycemia reversion, with an inflection point at 51.08 mg/dL. For RC values below this inflection point (RC < 50.08 mg/dL), the HR for the probability of returning to normoglycemia was 0.907 (95% CI 0.897-0.917 per 5 mg/dL). Additionally, the competing risks model demonstrated a negative relationship between RC and the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemia (SHR = 0.92, 95% CI 0.91-0.93). Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness and stability of these results. This study demonstrated a negative and non-linear association between RC and the probability of reversion to normoglycemia in Chinese adults with prediabetes. By actively intervening to reduce RC levels, at least to below 51.08 mg/dL, further reduction of RC may significantly increase the probability of returning to normoglycemia from prediabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Weifeng Chen
- Department of General Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Dehong Liu
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
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Costa JC, Darling AM, Shinde S, Tadesse AW, Sherfi H, Mwanyika-Sando M, Tinkasimile A, Sharma D, Baernighausen T, Fawzi WW. Estimated timing of the first menstrual period and dietary and nutritional correlates of menarche among urban school-going adolescents in four sub-Saharan African sites. MATERNAL & CHILD NUTRITION 2024:e13583. [PMID: 39094055 DOI: 10.1111/mcn.13583] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2022] [Revised: 10/12/2023] [Accepted: 10/20/2023] [Indexed: 08/04/2024]
Abstract
Characterizing the timing of menarche and the factors that are associated with it is important for understanding a population's reproductive health needs and long-term health trajectories. We estimated the age at the menstrual onset among adolescent girls and the association between dietary and nutritional factors and menarche in four sub-Saharan African urban sites. We used cross-sectional school-based data from 2307 female adolescents aged 10-14 years collected by the Africa Research, Implementation Science, and Education (ARISE) Network in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso; Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; Khartoum, Sudan; and Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Logit models were used to estimate the median age at menarche at each site. Associations between menarche and BMI-for-age, stunting, dietary quality and food insecurity across settings were assessed using Poisson regression models adjusted for country and school levels. The estimated median age at menarche was 13.1 years (95% confidence interval: 12.7, 13.5) in Ouagadougou; 12.9 (12.6, 13.2) in Addis Ababa; 13.3 (12.7, 13.6) in Khartoum; and 13.2 (12.3, 14.0) in Dar es Salaam. Between 18% and 49% of the girls in each setting had already menstruated. Based on the pooled multivariable models, underweight participants were 42% less likely (adjusted prevalence ratio [PR] 0.58 [0.44, 0.77]) to have experienced menarche in comparison to normal-weight individuals. The likelihood of experiencing menarche increased for overweight [PR 1.47 (1.30,1.66)] and obese [PR 1.57 (1.35,1.82)] in comparison to normal-weight girls. Those stunted were 47% less likely to have experienced menarche [PR 0.53 (0.41, 0.69)] than their nonstunted counterparts. A lower likelihood of menarche among those experiencing moderate/severe hunger when compared to those with no/little hunger was also observed (PR 0.78 [0.63,0.96]). No evidence of association with dietary quality was found. Further research is needed to strengthen the body of evidence and inform evidence-based initiatives in low- and middle-income settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Janaína Calu Costa
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Anne Marie Darling
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Sachin Shinde
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Amare W Tadesse
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Addis Continental Institute of Public Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Huda Sherfi
- School of Health Sciences, Ahfad University for Women, Omdurman, Sudan
| | | | | | | | - Till Baernighausen
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
- Africa Health Research Institute, Durban, South Africa
| | - Wafaie W Fawzi
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
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Simon TG, Singer DE, Zhang Y, Mastrorilli JM, Cervone A, DiCesare E, Lin KJ. Comparative Effectiveness and Safety of Apixaban, Rivaroxaban, and Warfarin in Patients With Cirrhosis and Atrial Fibrillation : A Nationwide Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med 2024; 177:1028-1038. [PMID: 38976880 DOI: 10.7326/m23-3067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/10/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Apixaban, rivaroxaban, and warfarin have shown benefit for preventing major ischemic events, albeit with increased bleeding risk, among patients in the general population with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, data are scarce in patients with cirrhosis and AF. OBJECTIVE To compare the effectiveness and safety of apixaban versus rivaroxaban and versus warfarin in patients with cirrhosis and AF. DESIGN Population-based cohort study. SETTING Two U.S. claims data sets (Medicare and Optum's de-identified Clinformatics Data Mart Database [2013 to 2022]). PARTICIPANTS 1:1 propensity score (PS)-matched patients with cirrhosis and nonvalvular AF initiating use of apixaban, rivaroxaban, or warfarin. MEASUREMENTS Primary outcomes included ischemic stroke or systemic embolism and major hemorrhage (intracranial hemorrhage or major gastrointestinal bleeding). Database-specific and pooled PS-matched rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years (PY) and Cox proportional hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were estimated, controlling for 104 preexposure covariates. RESULTS Rivaroxaban initiators had significantly higher rates of major hemorrhagic events than apixaban initiators (RD, 33.1 per 1000 PY [95% CI, 12.9 to 53.2 per 1000 PY]; HR, 1.47 [CI, 1.11 to 1.94]) but no significant differences in rates of ischemic events or death. Consistently higher rates of major hemorrhage were found with rivaroxaban across subgroup and sensitivity analyses. Warfarin initiators also had significantly higher rates of major hemorrhage than apixaban initiators (RD, 26.1 per 1000 PY [CI, 6.8 to 45.3 per 1000 PY]; HR, 1.38 [CI, 1.03 to 1.84]), particularly hemorrhagic stroke (RD, 9.7 per 1000 PY [CI, 2.2 to 17.2 per 1000 PY]; HR, 2.85 [CI, 1.24 to 6.59]). LIMITATION Nonrandomized treatment selection. CONCLUSION Among patients with cirrhosis and nonvalvular AF, initiators of rivaroxaban versus apixaban had significantly higher rates of major hemorrhage and similar rates of ischemic events and death. Initiation of warfarin versus apixaban also contributed to significantly higher rates of major hemorrhagic events, including hemorrhagic stroke. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE National Institutes of Health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tracey G Simon
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School; and Clinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit (CTEU), Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts (T.G.S.)
| | - Daniel E Singer
- Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts (D.E.S.)
| | - Yichi Zhang
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts (Y.Z., J.M.M., A.C., E.D.)
| | - Julianna M Mastrorilli
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts (Y.Z., J.M.M., A.C., E.D.)
| | - Alexander Cervone
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts (Y.Z., J.M.M., A.C., E.D.)
| | - Elyse DiCesare
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts (Y.Z., J.M.M., A.C., E.D.)
| | - Kueiyu Joshua Lin
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, and Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts (K.J.L.)
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5
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Guan M, Hu H, Qi D, Qin X, Wan Q. Inverse relationship between LDL-C/HDL-C ratio and atrial fibrillation in chronic kidney disease patients. Sci Rep 2024; 14:17721. [PMID: 39085307 PMCID: PMC11291658 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-67100-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2024] [Accepted: 07/08/2024] [Indexed: 08/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is more prevalent in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) compared to the general population. While a potential inverse correlation between lipid levels and AF has been proposed, it remains unclear if this relationship applies to CKD patients. This study examined the connection between the ratio of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C/HDL-C) and the likelihood of AF in CKD patients. Data was gathered from 21,091 consecutive CKD patients between 2006 and December 31, 2015. We examined the link between the LDL-C/HDL-C ratio and AF in CKD patients through binary logistic regression, as well as various sensitivity and subgroup analyses. The dataset that backs up these analyses is available at: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0230189 . Of the 21,091 CKD patients, 211 (1.00%) were diagnosed with AF. The cohort, predominantly male (79.93%), had a mean age of 60.89 ± 10.05 years. The mean LDL-C/HDL-C ratio was 1.39 ± 0.35. After adjusting for covariates, a significant inverse association was observed between the LDL-C/HDL-C ratio and the incidence of AF in CKD patients (OR = 0.422, 95% CI 0.273-0.652, P = 0.00010). The robustness of these findings was confirmed through sensitivity analysis. Subgroup analysis revealed a strong correlation between the LDL-C/HDL-C ratio and incident AF in patients without hypertension (HR = 0.26, 95% CI 0.15-0.45). Conversely, this association was absent in hypertensive patients (HR = 1.09, 95% CI 0.54-2.17). Our research shows an independent inverse correlation between the LDL-C/HDL-C ratio and the risk of AF in CKD patients. It is advised to refrain from excessively aggressive reduction of LDL levels in CKD patients, as this could elevate the risk of developing AF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mijie Guan
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Dongli Qi
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Xun Qin
- Department of Nephrology, Hechi People's Hospital, No. 455 Jincheng Middle Road, Jinchengjiang District, Hechi, 547000, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
| | - Qijun Wan
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
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Liang X, Xing Z, Lai K, Li X, Gui S, Li Y. Sex differences in the association between metabolic score for insulin resistance and the reversion to normoglycemia in adults with prediabetes: a cohort study. Diabetol Metab Syndr 2024; 16:183. [PMID: 39080757 PMCID: PMC11288094 DOI: 10.1186/s13098-024-01430-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2024] [Accepted: 07/24/2024] [Indexed: 08/03/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The metabolic score for insulin resistance (MetS-IR) has become a valid indicator to evaluate insulin resistance. Our investigation sought gender differences in the correlation between MetS-IR and the reversion from prediabetes to normoglycemic status. METHODS This retrospective research, carried out in 32 areas across 11 cities with several centers in China, encompassed 15,423 participants with prediabetes. We employed a Cox proportional hazards regression model to examine the link between MetS-IR and the reversion to normoglycemic status. We also applied cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting to detect non-linear relationships. Additionally, we embarked on a range of sensitivity analyses. RESULTS The study included 15,423 participants, with 10,009 males (64.90%) and 5,414 females (35.10%). The average follow-up time was 2.96 ± 0.93 years, and 6,623 individuals (42.94%) reversed normoglycemia. A non-linear correlation was discovered among MetS-IR and reversion to normoglycemic status in men, with a turning point at 55.48. For a one-unit rise in MetS-IR below this point, the chance of reversal to normoglycemic levels declined by 3% (HR = 0.97, 95% CI:0.96-0.97, P < 0.0001). In women, the association was linear, with every unit rise in MetS-IR leading to a 3% reduction in transitioning to normal glycemic levels. (HR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.97-0.98, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION A negative correlation was discovered between MetS-IR and reversion to normoglycemic status in adults with prediabetes. Specifically, a non-linear association was observed for males, while females exhibited a linear correlation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaomin Liang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Zemao Xing
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Kai Lai
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Xiaohong Li
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Shuiqing Gui
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.
| | - Ying Li
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.
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Liu J, Yi F, Duan K, Liu H. Triglyceride-glucose index is associated with the risk of impaired fasting glucose in Chinese elderly individuals. Sci Rep 2024; 14:16033. [PMID: 38992112 PMCID: PMC11239658 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-67081-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2024] [Accepted: 07/08/2024] [Indexed: 07/13/2024] Open
Abstract
The association between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) in elderly individuals remains uncertain. Our study aimed to explore the association between the TyG index and the risk of future IFG in this population. This retrospective cohort study included 17,746 elderly individuals over 60. In this population, Cox regression models proportional to hazards, along with smooth curve fitting and cubic spline functions, were employed to examine the association between the baseline TyG index and the risk of IFG. Subgroup analyses and sensitivity were also performed to ensure the robustness of the study findings. After adjusting for covariates, a positive association between the TyG index and the risk of IFG was found (HR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.27-1.60, P < 0.0001). The likelihood of IFG rose steadily as the TyG index quartiles (from Q1 to Q4) increased, with Q4 demonstrating a 62% elevated risk compared to Q1 (adjusted HR = 1.62, 95% CI 1.37-1.90). Additionally, we found the association between TyG index and risk of IFG was a linear. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses confirmed the stability of the results. Our study observed a linear association between the TyG index and the development of IFG in elderly Chinese individuals. Recognizing this association can help clinicians identify high-risk individuals and implement targeted interventions to reduce their risk of progressing to diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Liu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen New Frontier United Family Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, China
| | - Feng Yi
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Yueyang Central Hospital, Yueyang, 414000, Hunan, China
| | - Kai Duan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Yueyang Central Hospital, Yueyang, 414000, Hunan, China
| | - Haibo Liu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Yueyang Central Hospital, Yueyang, 414000, Hunan, China.
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8
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Taniguchi J, Aso S, Jo T, Matsui H, Fushimi K, Yasunaga H. Factors affecting in-hospital mortality in patients with miliary tuberculosis: A retrospective cohort study. Respir Investig 2024; 62:520-525. [PMID: 38636244 DOI: 10.1016/j.resinv.2024.04.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2023] [Revised: 03/28/2024] [Accepted: 04/08/2024] [Indexed: 04/20/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Miliary tuberculosis (TB) is a fatal disease; thus, prompt diagnosis and immediate intervention are indispensable. However, the risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with miliary TB remain unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the factors associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with miliary TB using a Japanese nationwide inpatient database. METHODS Patients diagnosed with miliary TB between July 2010 and March 2022 were enrolled from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the factors associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with miliary TB. RESULTS In total, 2817 patients with miliary TB and 637 (22.6%) in-hospital deaths were identified. Older age; male sex (odds ratio [OR], 1.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.64); low body weight (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.14-1.76); altered consciousness; a low Barthel index score; chronic respiratory failure (OR, 3.85; 95% CI, 1.61-9.19); hematologic malignancy (OR, 2.60; 95% CI, 1.26-5.35); conditions requiring oxygenation (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.37-2.10) or high-flow nasal cannula therapy (OR, 2.78; 95% CI, 1.01-7.62); or the administration of vasopressors (OR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.39-3.63) or antibiotics (OR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.14-1.74) were associated with higher in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS This study identified the factors affecting in-hospital mortality among patients with miliary TB. The findings of this study will aid clinicians in identifying patients who may benefit from aggressive therapeutic interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jumpei Taniguchi
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
| | - Shotaro Aso
- Department of Real World Evidence, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
| | - Taisuke Jo
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
| | - Hiroki Matsui
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
| | - Kiyohide Fushimi
- Department of Health Policy and Informatics, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8510, Japan
| | - Hideo Yasunaga
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
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Zhou P, Guo QQ, Wang FX, Zhou L, Hu HF, Deng Z. Nonlinear relationship between platelet count and 30-day in-hospital mortality in ICU acute respiratory failure patients: a multicenter retrospective cohort study. Eur J Med Res 2024; 29:312. [PMID: 38849948 PMCID: PMC11161993 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-024-01909-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2024] [Accepted: 05/29/2024] [Indexed: 06/09/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Limited evidence exists regarding the link between platelet count and 30-day in-hospital mortality in acute respiratory failure (ARF) patients. Thus, this study aims to investigate this association among ICU patients experiencing acute respiratory failure. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study across multiple centers, utilizing data from the US eICU-CRD v2.0 database covering 22,262 patients with ARF in the ICU from 2014 to 2015. Our aim was to investigate the correlation between platelet count and 30-day in-hospital mortality using binary logistic regression, subgroup analyses, and smooth curve fitting. RESULTS The 30-day in-hospital mortality rate was 19.73% (4393 out of 22,262), with a median platelet count of 213 × 109/L. After adjusting for covariates, our analysis revealed an inverse association between platelet count and 30-day in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.99, 95% CI 0.99, 0.99). Subgroup analyses supported the robustness of these findings. Furthermore, a nonlinear relationship was identified between platelet count and 30-day in-hospital mortality, with the inflection point at 120 × 109/L. Below the inflection point, the effect size (OR) was 0.89 (0.87, 0.91), indicating a significant association. However, beyond this point, the relationship was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION This study establishes a clear negative association between platelet count and 30-day in-hospital mortality among ICU patients with ARF. Furthermore, we have identified a nonlinear relationship with saturation effects, indicating that among ICU patients with acute respiratory failure, the lowest 30-day in-hospital mortality rate occurs when the baseline platelet count is approximately 120 × 109/L.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pan Zhou
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital/The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China
| | - Qin-Qin Guo
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital/The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China
| | - Fang-Xi Wang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital/The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China
| | - Li Zhou
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital/The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China
| | - Hao-Fei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital/The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China.
| | - Zhe Deng
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital/The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China.
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10
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Belkin EM, Koskela-Staples N, Turner E, Black LV, Fedele DA. The relationship between cumulative risk and health-related quality of life in youth with sickle cell disease: Moderating effects of secondary control engagement coping. Pediatr Blood Cancer 2024; 71:e30950. [PMID: 38488719 DOI: 10.1002/pbc.30950] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2023] [Revised: 01/23/2024] [Accepted: 02/13/2024] [Indexed: 04/24/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Youth with sickle cell disease (SCD) often experience low health-related quality of life (HRQOL). Engagement in resilience-promoting processes, such as secondary control engagement (SCE) coping, or adapting to stressors, may be linked to contextual risk factors (e.g., poverty status). This study aims to illuminate relationships between a cumulative risk index (CRI), SCE coping, and HRQOL in youth with SCD and test whether SCE coping moderates the relationship between CRI and HRQOL. PROCEDURE Participants in this cross-sectional study included 63 youth ages 8-18 with SCD. Participants completed measures to assess SCE coping use (Responses to Stress Questionnaire) and HRQOL (PedsQL SCD Module). Six variables from the electronic medical record were compiled in a CRI. Correlational and regression analyses examined relationships between primary variables and moderating effects of SCE coping, respectively. RESULTS Model results show that SCE coping and CRI explain variation in HRQOL (p = .001), and a significant interaction exists between SCE and CRI (β = -.29, p = .02), with a stronger inverse relationship between CRI and HRQOL for higher SCE values. This suggests that lower CRI is associated with greater HRQOL for those with higher SCE coping relative to lower SCE coping. CONCLUSIONS SCE coping may selectively benefit children with SCD experiencing lower cumulative risk, warranting encouragement of this strategy in clinical settings. Findings do not support SCE coping benefits for youth with higher risk, suggesting that the strategy may not be useful when risk-related stressors are especially pervasive; alternative protective factors should be identified for this risk group.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elise M Belkin
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Natalie Koskela-Staples
- Department of Clinical & Health Psychology, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Elise Turner
- Children's Hospital Colorado, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA
| | | | - David A Fedele
- Department of Clinical & Health Psychology, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA
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11
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Li G, Freundlich RE, Rice MJ, Dunworth BA, Sandberg WS, Higgins MS, Wanderer JP. The impact of a medically directed student registered nurse anesthesia staffing model on Postprocedural patient outcomes. J Clin Anesth 2024; 94:111413. [PMID: 38359686 PMCID: PMC11161690 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinane.2024.111413] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2023] [Revised: 01/26/2024] [Accepted: 02/09/2024] [Indexed: 02/17/2024]
Abstract
STUDY OBJECTIVE In 2018, the American Society of Anesthesiologists stated that student registered nurse anesthetists (SRNAs) "are not yet fully qualified anesthesia personnel." It remains unclear, however, whether postprocedural outcomes are affected by SRNAs providing anesthesia care under the medical direction of anesthesiologists, as compared with medically directed anesthesiology fellows or residents, or certified registered nurse anesthetists (CRNAs). We therefore aimed to examine whether medically directed SRNAs serving as in-room anesthesia providers impact surgical outcomes. DESIGN Retrospective, matched-cohort analysis. SETTING Adult patients (≥18 years old) undergoing inpatient surgery between 2000 and 2017 at a tertiary academic medical center. PATIENTS 15,365 patients exclusively cared for by medically directed SRNAs were matched to 15,365 cared for by medically directed CRNAs, anesthesiology residents, and/or fellows. INTERVENTIONS None. MEASUREMENTS The primary composite outcome was postoperative occurrence of in-hospital mortality and six categories of major morbidities (infectious, bleeding, serious cardiac, gastrointestinal, respiratory, and urinary complications). In-hospital mortality was analyzed as the secondary outcome. MAIN RESULTS In all, 30,730 cases were matched using propensity score matching to control for potential confounding. The primary outcome was identified in 2295 (7.5%) cases (7.5% with exclusive medically directed SRNAs vs 7.4% with medically directed CRNAs, residents and/or fellows; relative risk, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.94-1.11). Thus, our effort to determine noninferiority (10% difference in relative risk) with other providers was inconclusive (P = .07). However, the medically directed SRNA group (0.8% [118]) was found to be noninferior (P < .001) to the matched group (1.0% [156]) on in-hospital mortality (relative risk, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.59-0.96). CONCLUSIONS Among 30,730 patients undergoing inpatient surgery at a single hospital, findings were inconclusive regarding whether exclusive medically directed SRNAs as in-room providers were noninferior to other providers. The use of medically directed SRNAs under this staffing model should be subject to further review. Clinical Trial and Registry URL: Not applicable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gen Li
- Department of Anesthesiology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, United States
| | - Robert E Freundlich
- Department of Anesthesiology, Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, United States
| | - Mark J Rice
- Department of Anesthesiology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, United States
| | - Brent A Dunworth
- Department of Anesthesiology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, United States
| | - Warren S Sandberg
- Department of Anesthesiology, Department of Biomedical Informatics, Department of Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, United States
| | - Michael S Higgins
- Department of Anesthesiology, Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, United States
| | - Jonathan P Wanderer
- Department of Anesthesiology, Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, United States.
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12
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Chen F, Han Y, Hu H, Guo Y, Deng Z, Liu D. Nonlinear association of fibrinogen levels with functional prognosis in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a prospective cohort study. BMC Neurol 2024; 24:163. [PMID: 38769482 PMCID: PMC11103930 DOI: 10.1186/s12883-024-03674-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2024] [Accepted: 05/13/2024] [Indexed: 05/22/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Fibrinogen, essential in primary hemostasis, platelet aggregation, and leukocyte-endothelial interactions, is also associated with a heightened risk of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, its influence on AIS patient outcomes is unclear. This study examines the correlation between fibrinogen levels and the risk of unfavorable outcomes three months post-AIS. METHODS This is a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study conducted in Korea. The sample consisted of 1851 AIS patients who received treatment at a Korean hospital between January 2010 and December 2016. Statistical models were established to understand the relationship between fibrinogen levels(mg/dL) and unfavorable outcomes(mRs ≥ 3), including logistic regression models, Generalized Additive Models (GAM), and smooth curve fitting (penalized splines). The log-likelihood ratio test has been utilized to evaluate the best fit. To ensure the robustness of the results, sensitivity analyses were conducted by reanalyzing the relationship after excluding participants with TG > 200 mg/dl and BMI > 25 kg/m2. Subgroup analyses were also performed to assess whether influencing factors modify the association between fibrinogen levels and unfavorable outcomes. RESULTS After adjusting for multiple covariates including age, BMI, sex, LDL-c, TG, HGB, HDL-c, BUN, FPG, ALB, PLT, AF, hypertension, smoking, DM, mRs score at admission, the binary logistic regression model demonstrated revealed a significant positive association between fibrinogen levels and the risk of unfavorable outcomes in AIS patients (OR = 1.215, 95% CI: 1.032-1.429, p = 0.019). Sensitivity analyses supported these findings, with similar ORs observed in subsets of patients with TG < 200 mg/dL (OR = 1.221, 95% CI: 1.036-1.440) and BMI < 25 kg/m2 (OR = 1.259, 95% CI: 1.051-1.509). Additionally, the relationship between fibrinogen levels and outcomes was nonlinear, with a critical threshold of 2.74 g/L. Below the inflection point, the OR for unfavorable outcomes was 0.666 ((95% CI: 0.360, 1.233, p = 0.196), whereas above it, the OR increased to 1.374 (95% CI: 1.138, 1.659). CONCLUSIONS This study has provided evidence of a positive and nonlinear correlation between fibrinogen levels and 3-month poor functional outcomes in patients with AIS. When fibrinogen levels exceeded 2.74 g/L, a significant and positive association was observed with the risk of poor outcomes. This study provides a further reference for optimizing rehabilitation exercises and facilitating clinical counseling in patients with acute ischemic stroke.
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Affiliation(s)
- Feng Chen
- College of Medicine, Shantou University, Shantou, Guangdong Province, 515041, China
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Yuying Guo
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Zhe Deng
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China.
| | - Dehong Liu
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China.
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13
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Yu X, Zoh RS, Fluharty DA, Mestre LM, Valdez D, Tekwe CD, Vorland CJ, Jamshidi-Naeini Y, Chiou SH, Lartey ST, Allison DB. Misstatements, misperceptions, and mistakes in controlling for covariates in observational research. eLife 2024; 13:e82268. [PMID: 38752987 PMCID: PMC11098558 DOI: 10.7554/elife.82268] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/29/2022] [Accepted: 04/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/18/2024] Open
Abstract
We discuss 12 misperceptions, misstatements, or mistakes concerning the use of covariates in observational or nonrandomized research. Additionally, we offer advice to help investigators, editors, reviewers, and readers make more informed decisions about conducting and interpreting research where the influence of covariates may be at issue. We primarily address misperceptions in the context of statistical management of the covariates through various forms of modeling, although we also emphasize design and model or variable selection. Other approaches to addressing the effects of covariates, including matching, have logical extensions from what we discuss here but are not dwelled upon heavily. The misperceptions, misstatements, or mistakes we discuss include accurate representation of covariates, effects of measurement error, overreliance on covariate categorization, underestimation of power loss when controlling for covariates, misinterpretation of significance in statistical models, and misconceptions about confounding variables, selecting on a collider, and p value interpretations in covariate-inclusive analyses. This condensed overview serves to correct common errors and improve research quality in general and in nutrition research specifically.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaoxin Yu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
| | - Roger S Zoh
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
| | - David A Fluharty
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
| | - Luis M Mestre
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
| | - Danny Valdez
- Department of Applied Health Science, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
| | - Carmen D Tekwe
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
| | - Colby J Vorland
- Department of Applied Health Science, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
| | - Yasaman Jamshidi-Naeini
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
| | - Sy Han Chiou
- Department of Statistics and Data Science, Southern Methodist UniversityDallasUnited States
| | - Stella T Lartey
- University of Memphis, School of Public HealthMemphisUnited Kingdom
| | - David B Allison
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health-BloomingtonBloomingtonUnited States
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14
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Mostofsky E, Buring JE, Mukamal KJ. Beer taxes associate with lower alcohol and cigarette use; cigarette taxes associate with lower cigarette but higher alcohol use. THE AMERICAN JOURNAL OF DRUG AND ALCOHOL ABUSE 2024; 50:382-390. [PMID: 38700943 DOI: 10.1080/00952990.2024.2321872] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2022] [Revised: 02/01/2024] [Accepted: 02/19/2024] [Indexed: 05/05/2024]
Abstract
Background: There is a yet unmet opportunity to utilize data on taxes and individual behaviors to yield insight for analyzing studies involving alcohol and cigarette use.Objectives: To inform the direction and strength of their mutual associations by leveraging the fact that taxation can affect individual consumption, but individual consumption cannot affect taxation.Methods: We linked state-level data on cigarette and beer taxes in 2009-2020 with individual-level data on self-reported current cigarette and alcohol use from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, a telephone survey by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that is representative of the population of each state in the United States. We constructed linear and logistic models to examine associations between a $1 increase in cigarette taxes per pack and a $1 increase in beer taxes per gallon and self-reported cigarette use and alcohol consumption (assessed as any current intake, average drinks/day, heavy drinking, and binge drinking), adjusting for survey year and individual characteristics.Results: Among 2,968,839,352 respondents (49% male), a $1 increase in beer taxes was associated with .003 (95% confidence interval [CI] -.013, .008) fewer drinks/day and lower odds of any drinking (odds ratio [OR] = .81 95%CI .80, .83), heavy drinking (OR = .96 95%CI .93, .99), binge drinking (OR = .82 95%CI .80, .83), and smoking (OR = .98 95%CI .96, 1.00). In contrast, a $1 increase in cigarette taxes was associated with lower odds of smoking (OR = .94 95%CI .94, .95) but .007 (95%CI .005, .010) more drinks/day, and higher odds of any drinking (OR = 1.10 95%CI 1.10, 1.11), heavy drinking (OR = 1.02 95%CI 1.01, 1.02), and binge drinking (OR = .82 95%CI .80, .83).Conclusion: Higher beer taxes were associated with lower odds of drinking and smoking, but higher cigarette taxes were associated with lower odds of smoking and higher alcohol consumption. These results suggest that alcohol intake may be a determinant of cigarette use rather than cigarette use as a determinant of alcohol intake.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elizabeth Mostofsky
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Julie E Buring
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
- Division of Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Kenneth J Mukamal
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
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15
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Taniguchi J, Aso S, Taisuke J, Matsui H, Fushimi K, Yasunaga H. Endobronchial silicone spigot in prolonged air leaks: Nationwide study on outcomes and risk factors for treatment failure. Respir Investig 2024; 62:449-454. [PMID: 38522361 DOI: 10.1016/j.resinv.2024.03.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2023] [Revised: 02/22/2024] [Accepted: 03/07/2024] [Indexed: 03/26/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The endobronchial silicone spigot, also known as the endobronchial Watanabe spigot, is used in bronchoscopic interventions to manage prolonged pulmonary air leakage. However, the outcomes of this procedure have not been thoroughly investigated. METHODS Using a Japanese national inpatient database from April 2014 to March 2022, we assessed the clinical characteristics and outcomes of all eligible patients who received the endobronchial spigot. We also investigated risk factors associated with treatment failure. Treatment failure was defined as in-hospital death or the need for surgery after bronchial occlusion. RESULTS We analyzed data of 1095 patients who underwent bronchial occlusion using the endobronchial spigot. Among them, 252 patients (23.0%) died during hospitalization, and 403 patients (36.8%) experienced treatment failure. Factors associated with treatment failure included age between 85 and 94 years (odds ratio [OR] 1.83; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.04-3.21); male sex (OR 2.43; 95% CI, 1.44-4.11); low Barthel index score; comorbidities of interstitial pneumonia (OR 1.71; 95% CI, 1.18-2.48); antibiotics treatment (OR 1.45; 95% CI, 1.02-2.07); steroids treatment (OR 1.59; 95% CI, 1.07-2.36); and surgery prior to bronchial occlusion (OR 2.08; 95% CI, 1.29-3.35). In contrast, pleurodesis after bronchial occlusion (OR 0.49; 95% CI, 0.32-0.75), and admission to high-volume hospitals were inversely associated with treatment failure (OR 0.58; 95% CI, 0.37-0.90). CONCLUSIONS The endobronchial Watanabe spigot could be a nonsurgical treatment option for patients with prolonged pulmonary air leaks. Our findings will help identify patients who may benefit from such bronchial interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jumpei Taniguchi
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
| | - Shotaro Aso
- Department of Real World Evidence, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
| | - Jo Taisuke
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
| | - Hiroki Matsui
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
| | - Kiyohide Fushimi
- Department of Health Policy and Informatics, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, 1-5-45 Yushima, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8510, Japan
| | - Hideo Yasunaga
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1, Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan
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Liu Y, Hu H, Han Y, Li Z, Yang J, Zhang X, Chen L, Chen F, Li W, Huang G. Development and external validation of a novel score for predicting postoperative 30‑day mortality in tumor craniotomy patients: A cross‑sectional diagnostic study. Oncol Lett 2024; 27:205. [PMID: 38516688 PMCID: PMC10956384 DOI: 10.3892/ol.2024.14338] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2023] [Accepted: 02/15/2024] [Indexed: 03/23/2024] Open
Abstract
The identification of patients with craniotomy at high risk for postoperative 30-day mortality may contribute to achieving targeted delivery of interventions. The present study aimed to develop a personalized nomogram and scoring system for predicting the risk of postoperative 30-day mortality in such patients. In this retrospective cross-sectional study, 18,642 patients with craniotomy were stratified into a training cohort (n=7,800; year of surgery, 2012-2013) and an external validation cohort (n=10,842; year of surgery, 2014-2015). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) model was used to select the most important variables among the candidate variables. Furthermore, a stepwise logistic regression model was established to screen out the risk factors based on the predictors chosen by the LASSO model. The model and a nomogram were constructed. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and calibration plot analysis were used to assess the model's discrimination ability and accuracy. The associated risk factors were categorized according to clinical cutoff points to create a scoring model for postoperative 30-day mortality. The total score was divided into four risk categories: Extremely high, high, intermediate and low risk. The postoperative 30-day mortality rates were 2.43 and 2.58% in the training and validation cohort, respectively. A simple nomogram and scoring system were developed for predicting the risk of postoperative 30-day mortality according to the white blood cell count; hematocrit and blood urea nitrogen levels; age range; functional health status; and incidence of disseminated cancer cells. The ROC AUC of the nomogram was 0.795 (95% CI: 0.764 to 0.826) in the training cohort and it was 0.738 (95% CI: 0.7091 to 0.7674) in the validation cohort. The calibration demonstrated a perfect fit between the predicted 30-day mortality risk and the observed 30-day mortality risk. Low, intermediate, high and extremely high risk statuses for 30-day mortality were associated with total scores of (-1.5 to -1), (-0.5 to 0.5), (1 to 2) and (2.5 to 9), respectively. A personalized nomogram and scoring system for predicting postoperative 30-day mortality in adult patients who underwent craniotomy were developed and validated, and individuals at high risk of 30-day mortality were able to be identified.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yufei Liu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
| | - Yong Han
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
| | - Zongyang Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
| | - Jihu Yang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
| | - Xiejun Zhang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
| | - Lei Chen
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
| | - Fanfan Chen
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
| | - Weiping Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
| | - Guodong Huang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518035, P.R. China
- Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, P.R. China
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Wada K, Nagata C, Utada M, Sakata R, Kimura T, Tamakoshi A, Sugawara Y, Tsuji I, Sato R, Sawada N, Tsugane S, Oze I, Ito H, Kitamura T, Koyanagi YN, Lin Y, Matsuo K, Abe SK, Inoue M. Active and passive smoking and breast cancer in Japan: a pooled analysis of nine population-based cohort studies. Int J Epidemiol 2024; 53:dyae047. [PMID: 38604675 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyae047] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2023] [Accepted: 03/07/2024] [Indexed: 04/13/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Epidemiological studies have shown inconsistent results regarding the link between smoking and breast cancer risk, despite the biological plausibility of a positive association. METHODS Participants were 166 611 women from nine prospective cohort studies in Japan which launched in 1984-1994 and followed for 8-22 years. Information on smoking and secondhand smoke was obtained through self-administered baseline questionnaires. Breast cancer was defined as code C50 according to the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, 3rd Edition or the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision. After adjusting for several potential confounders, relative risks for breast cancer were calculated in the individual studies according to the current or previous status of active and passive smoking using Cox regression, followed by a summary estimate of hazard ratios using random-effects meta-analyses. RESULTS Of the 60 441 participants who reported being premenopausal and 106 170 who reported being postmenopausal at baseline, 897 and 1168 developed breast cancer during follow-up, respectively. Compared with never smokers, current smokers had a higher risk of developing breast cancer before the age of 50 years. In addition, ever smokers who started smoking at 30 years of age or younger, or who started smoking before first childbirth, had a higher risk of developing breast cancer before the age of 50 years. No association between adulthood or childhood exposure to secondhand smoke and breast cancer was observed. CONCLUSION Smoking may increase the risk of premenopausal breast cancer, and smoking earlier in life might be especially harmful. The impact of secondhand smoke needs further investigation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keiko Wada
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Gifu University Graduate School of Medicine, Gifu, Japan
| | - Chisato Nagata
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Gifu University Graduate School of Medicine, Gifu, Japan
| | - Mai Utada
- Department of Epidemiology, Radiation Effects Research Foundation, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Ritsu Sakata
- Department of Epidemiology, Radiation Effects Research Foundation, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Takashi Kimura
- Department of Public Health, Hokkaido University, Faculty of Medicine, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Akiko Tamakoshi
- Department of Public Health, Hokkaido University, Faculty of Medicine, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Yumi Sugawara
- Division of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health and Forensic Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Ichiro Tsuji
- Division of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health and Forensic Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Ren Sato
- Division of Cohort Research, National Cancer Center Institute for Cancer Control, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Norie Sawada
- Division of Cohort Research, National Cancer Center Institute for Cancer Control, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shoichiro Tsugane
- Division of Cohort Research, National Cancer Center Institute for Cancer Control, Tokyo, Japan
- International University of Health, and Welfare Graduate School of Public Health, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Isao Oze
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Aichi Cancer Center Research Institute, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Hidemi Ito
- Division of Cancer Information and Control, Aichi Cancer Center Research Institute, Nagoya, Japan
- Division of Descriptive Cancer Epidemiology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Tetsuhisa Kitamura
- Department of Environmental Medicine and Population Sciences, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Suita, Japan
| | - Yuriko N Koyanagi
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Aichi Cancer Center Research Institute, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Yingsong Lin
- Department of Public Health, Aichi Medical University School of Medicine, Aichi, Japan
| | - Keitaro Matsuo
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Aichi Cancer Center Research Institute, Nagoya, Japan
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Sarah K Abe
- Division of Prevention, National Cancer Center Institute for Cancer Control, Japan
| | - Manami Inoue
- Division of Prevention, National Cancer Center Institute for Cancer Control, Japan
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Akpanekpo EI, Kariminia A, Srasuebkul P, Trollor JN, Greenberg D, Kasinathan J, Schofield PW, Kenny DT, Simpson M, Gaskin C, Chowdhury NZ, Jones J, Ekanem AM, Butler T. Psychiatric admissions in young people after expiration of criminal justice supervision in Australia: a retrospective data linkage study. BMJ MENTAL HEALTH 2024; 27:e300958. [PMID: 38538031 PMCID: PMC11021745 DOI: 10.1136/bmjment-2023-300958] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2023] [Accepted: 03/13/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Mental health services are available for young people involved with the criminal justice system. However, they have unmet mental health needs after the expiration of criminal justice supervision. OBJECTIVE To determine the incidence rate and identify predictors of psychiatric hospitalisations within 24 months after the expiration of criminal justice supervision among young people involved with the New South Wales (NSW) criminal justice system. METHODS Retrospective data from 1556 individuals aged 14-22 years who participated in four surveys of justice-involved young people in NSW were harmonised and linked to four NSW data collections. We calculated the incidence rates of psychiatric hospitalisations within 24 months postsupervision and identified predictors of these hospitalisations using a competing risks regression analysis. RESULTS Within 24 months postsupervision, 11.4% had a psychiatric hospitalisation compared with 3.5% during supervision. 20.7% of those admitted had a known history of mental illness and engaged with community-based and outpatient mental health services postsupervision. Predictors of psychiatric hospitalisations were: female sex (adjusted subdistribution HR (asHR) 1.84, 95% CI 1.24 to 2.73); previous incarceration (highest asHR for ≥4 episodes 1.67, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.78); head injury (asHR 1.63, 95% CI 1.20 to 2.21); personality disorder (asHR 3.66, 95% CI 2.06 to 6.48) and alcohol and substance use disorder (asHR 1.89, 95% CI 1.29 to 2.77). CONCLUSION Justice-involved youth have higher rates of psychiatric admissions after criminal justice supervision. Engagement with mental health services postsupervision is important in addressing emerging or persisting mental health needs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emaediong Ibong Akpanekpo
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- School of Population Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Azar Kariminia
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Preeyaporn Srasuebkul
- National Centre of Excellence in Intellectual Disability Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Julian N Trollor
- National Centre of Excellence in Intellectual Disability Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - David Greenberg
- Justice Health and Forensic Mental Health Network, Matraville, New South Wales, Australia
| | - John Kasinathan
- Justice Health and Forensic Mental Health Network, Matraville, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Peter W Schofield
- The University of Newcastle Hunter Medical Research Institute, New Lambton, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Dianna T Kenny
- The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Melanie Simpson
- New South Wales Department of Communities and Justice, Parramatta, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Claire Gaskin
- South Eastern Sydney Local Health District, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Nabila Z Chowdhury
- School of Population Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Jocelyn Jones
- National Drug Research Institute, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia
| | | | - Tony Butler
- School of Population Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
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Xiao B, Cao C, Han Y, Yang F, Hu H, Luo J. A non-linear connection between the total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and stroke risk: a retrospective cohort study from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Eur J Med Res 2024; 29:175. [PMID: 38491452 PMCID: PMC10943863 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-024-01769-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2023] [Accepted: 03/04/2024] [Indexed: 03/18/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The connection between total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TC/HDL-C) ratio and stroke risk is controversial. This study aims to examine the connection between the TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke in middle-aged and older individuals who are part of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). METHODS This study conducted a retrospective cohort analysis, enrolling a total of 10,184 participants who met the designated criteria from CHARLS between 2011 and 2012. We then used the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to analyze the relationship between the TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke risk. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression model with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting, we were able to identify the non-linear relationship between the TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke occurrence. The sensitivity and subgroup analyses were also performed to investigate the connection between TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke. RESULTS This study revealed a statistically significant association between the TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke risk in subjects aged 45 years or older after adjusting for risk factors (HR: 1.05, 95%CI 1.00-1.10, P = 0.0410). Furthermore, a non-linear connection between the TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke risk was detected, with a TC/HDL-C ratio inflection point of 3.71. We identified a significant positive connection between the TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke risk, when the TC/HDL-C ratio was less than 3.71 (HR: 1.25, 95%CI 1.07-1.45, P = 0.0039). However, their connection was not significant when the TC/HDL-C ratio exceeded 3.71 (HR: 1.00, 95%CI 0.94-1.06, P = 0.9232). The sensitivity analysis and subgroup analyses revealed that our findings were well-robust. CONCLUSION Our study demonstrated a positive, non-linear connection between the TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke risk in middle-aged and older individuals. There was a significant positive connection between the TC/HDL-C ratio and stroke risk, when the TC/HDL-C ratio was less than 3.71. The current research can be used as a guideline to support clinician consultation and optimize stroke prevention measures for middle-aged and older adults.
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Affiliation(s)
- Binhui Xiao
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Yantian District People's Hospital, Southern University of Science and Technology Yantian Hospital, Shenzhen, 518081, Guangdong, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518035, Guangdong, China
| | - Fangju Yang
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No.3002, Sungang West Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518035, Guangdong, China.
| | - Jiao Luo
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
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20
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Cao C, Mo Z, Han Y, Luo J, Hu H, Yang D, He Y. Association between alanine aminotransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a retrospective cohort study in lean Chinese individuals. Sci Rep 2024; 14:6056. [PMID: 38480862 PMCID: PMC10937981 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-56555-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2023] [Accepted: 03/07/2024] [Indexed: 03/17/2024] Open
Abstract
There is limited research on the association between the alanine aminotransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (ALT/HDL-C) ratio and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The purpose of the current research was to look into the connection between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and the risk of NAFLD in lean Chinese individuals. Between January 2010 and December 2014, 11,975 non-obese people participated in this prospective cohort research. The relationship between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and the risk of developing NAFLD was assessed using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model, Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting, sensitivity analysis, and subgroup analyses. The ALT/HDL-C ratio's potential value as a NAFLD prognostic marker was to be evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. A total of 5419 (45.253%) women comprised the research's participant population, and the research participants' average age was 43.278 ± 14.941 years. The ALT/HDL-C ratio was 11.607 (7.973-17.422) at the median (interquartile ranges). 2087 (17.428%) patients had NAFLD diagnoses throughout a median follow-up of 24.967 months. The study's findings demonstrated a positive connection between the ALT/AHDL-C ratio and the incident NAFLD (HR = 1.037, 95% CI: 1.031-1.042) when adjusting for relevant factors. The ALT/HDL-C ratio and NAFLD risk had a nonlinear connection, with 12.963 as the ratio's inflection point. Effect sizes (HR) were 1.023 (95% CI: 1.017-1.029) and 1.204 (95% CI: 1.171-1.237), respectively, on the right and left sides of the inflection point. The sensitivity analysis also showed how reliable our findings were. According to subgroup analysis, those with BMI < 24 kg/m2 and DBP < 90 mmHg had a stronger correlation between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and NAFLD risk. The current study shows a positive and non-linear connection between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and NAFLD risk in lean Chinese individuals. When the ALT/HDL-C ratio is less than 12.963, it is significantly linked to NAFLD. Therefore, from a therapy standpoint, it is advised to keep the ALT/HDL-C ratio less than the inflection point.
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Affiliation(s)
- Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Zihe Mo
- Department of Physical Examination, DongGuan Tungwah Hospital, Dongguan, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Jiao Luo
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
| | - Dehua Yang
- Department of Pediatrics, Shenzhen Hengsheng Hospital, No. 20 Yintian Road, Xixiang Street, Baoan District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
| | - Yongcheng He
- Department of Nephrology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, No. 1 Maoyuan South Road, Nanchong, 637000, Sichuan, China.
- Department of Nephrology, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen Hengsheng Hospital, No. 20 Yintian Road, Xixiang Street, Baoan District, Shenzhen, 518000, China.
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Barreto A, Formanowski B, Peña MM, Salazar EG, Handley SC, Burris HH, Ortiz R, Lorch SA, Montoya-Williams D. Preterm Birth Risk and Maternal Nativity, Ethnicity, and Race. JAMA Netw Open 2024; 7:e243194. [PMID: 38512251 PMCID: PMC10958237 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.3194] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2023] [Accepted: 01/28/2024] [Indexed: 03/22/2024] Open
Abstract
Importance Immigrant birthing people have lower rates of preterm birth compared with their US-born counterparts. This advantage and associated racial and ethnic disparities across the gestational age spectrum have not been examined nationally. Objective To examine associations of maternal nativity, ethnicity, and race with preterm birth. Design, Setting, and Participants This cohort study used birth certificates from the National Vital Statistics System to analyze in-hospital liveborn singleton births in the US between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from January to June 2023. Exposure Mutually exclusive nativity, ethnicity, and race subgroups were constructed using nativity (defined as US-born or non-US-born), ethnicity (defined as Hispanic or non-Hispanic), and race (defined as American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, Black, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, White, or other [individuals who selected other race or more than 1 race]). Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome of interest was preterm birth. Modified Poisson and multinomial logistic regression models quantified relative risk (RR) of preterm birth overall (<37 weeks' gestation) and by gestational category (late preterm: 34-36 weeks' gestation; moderately preterm: 29-33 weeks' gestation; and extremely preterm: <29 weeks' gestation) for each maternal nativity, ethnicity, and race subgroup compared with the largest group, US-born non-Hispanic White (hereafter, White) birthing people. The RR of preterm birth overall and by category was also measured within each racial and ethnic group by nativity. Models were adjusted for maternal demographic and medical covariates, birth year, and birth state. Results A total of 34 468 901 singleton live births of birthing people were analyzed, with a mean (SD) age at delivery of 28 (6) years. All nativity, ethnicity, and race subgroups had an increased adjusted risk of preterm birth compared with US-born White birthing people except for non-US-born White (adjusted RR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.84-0.86) and Hispanic (adjusted RR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.97-0.98) birthing people. All racially and ethnically minoritized groups had increased adjusted risks of extremely preterm birth compared with US-born White birthing people. Non-US-born individuals had a decreased risk of preterm birth within each subgroup except non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander individuals, in which immigrants had significantly increased risk of overall (adjusted RR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.14), moderately (adjusted RR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.92-1.30), and late (adjusted RR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.22) preterm birth than their US-born counterparts. Conclusions and Relevance Results of this cohort study suggest heterogeneity of preterm birth across maternal nativity, ethnicity, and race and gestational age categories. Understanding these patterns could aid the design of targeted preterm birth interventions and policies, especially for birthing people typically underrepresented in research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alejandra Barreto
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles
- Division of Neonatology, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Brielle Formanowski
- Division of Neonatology, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Michelle-Marie Peña
- Division of Neonatology, Emory University School of Medicine and Children’s Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Elizabeth G. Salazar
- Division of Neonatology, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
- Leonard Davis Institute, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
| | - Sara C. Handley
- Division of Neonatology, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
- Leonard Davis Institute, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
| | - Heather H. Burris
- Division of Neonatology, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
- Leonard Davis Institute, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
| | - Robin Ortiz
- Leonard Davis Institute, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
- Department of Pediatrics, New York University Langone Health, New York
- Department of Population Health, New York University Langone Health, New York
- Institute for Excellence in Health Equity, New York University Langone Health, New York
| | - Scott A. Lorch
- Division of Neonatology, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
- Leonard Davis Institute, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
| | - Diana Montoya-Williams
- Division of Neonatology, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Department of Pediatrics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
- Leonard Davis Institute, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
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Cao C, Wang TB, Hu H, Han Y, Zhang X, Wang Y. Relationship between glycated hemoglobin levels and three-month outcomes in acute ischemic stroke patients with or without diabetes: a prospective Korean cohort study. BMC Neurol 2024; 24:85. [PMID: 38433248 PMCID: PMC10910674 DOI: 10.1186/s12883-024-03581-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/14/2023] [Accepted: 02/23/2024] [Indexed: 03/05/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE In patients experiencing acute ischemic stroke, there is ongoing debate surrounding the connection between chronic hyperglycemic status and their initial clinical outcomes. Our objective was to examine the connection between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and adverse clinical outcomes at both 3-months adverse clinical outcomes in individuals with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with and without diabetes. METHODS The present prospective cohort study involved 896 AIS patients without diabetes and 628 with diabetes treated at a South Korean hospital from January 2010 to December 2016. The target independent variable is HbA1c. The outcome variable is a modified Rankin scale score ≥ 3. A binary logistic regression model was applied to assess the connection between HbA1c levels and 3-month poor clinical outcomes in AIS patients with and without diabetes. Additionally, a generalized additive model and smoothed curve fitting were utilized to explore potential nonlinear associations between HbA1c levels and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with and without diabetes. RESULTS The binary logistic regression model could not identify any statistically significant connection between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients, both those with and without diabetes, after correcting for various factors. However, a nonlinear relationship emerged between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with diabetes. The inflection point for HbA1c was determined to be 6.1%. For HbA1c values ≤ 6.1%, an inverse association was observed between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in diabetic AIS patients, and each 1% increase in HbA1c in AIS patients with DM was associated with an 87% reduction in 3-month adverse clinical outcomes (OR = 0.13, 95% CI: 0.02-0.81). Conversely, when HbA1c exceeded 6.1%, a positive association between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes became apparent in diabetic AIS patients, and each 1% increase in HbA1c in AIS patients with DM was associated with a 23% increase in 3-month adverse clinical outcomes (OR = 1.23, 95%CI: 1.03-1.47). However, it's important to note that no significant linear or nonlinear relationships were observed between HbA1c levels and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients without diabetes. CONCLUSION Our findings suggest a nonlinear connection and threshold effect between HbA1c and 3-month adverse clinical outcomes in AIS patients with diabetes. AIS patients with diabetes had a lower risk of 3-month adverse clinical outcomes when their HbA1c control was close to 6.1%. Our findings may aid treatment decision-making and potentially guide interventions to optimize glycemic control in AIS patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
- Department of Rehabilitation, Futian District, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002, Sungang West Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Tony Bowei Wang
- Skidmore College, 815 North Broadway, Mailbox 8411, Saratoga Spring, NY, 12866-1632, USA
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Futian District, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002, Sungang West Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Nephrology, Futian District, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002, Sungang West Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Xiaohua Zhang
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Yulong Wang
- Department of Rehabilitation, Futian District, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002, Sungang West Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
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23
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Kim MS, Lee H, Lee SW, Kwon R, Rhee SY, Lee JA, Koyanagi A, Smith L, Fond G, Boyer L, Lee J, Rahmati M, Shin JY, Min C, Shin JI, Yon DK. Long-Term Autoimmune Inflammatory Rheumatic Outcomes of COVID-19 : A Binational Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med 2024; 177:291-302. [PMID: 38437702 DOI: 10.7326/m23-1831] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/06/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Some data suggest a higher incidence of diagnosis of autoimmune inflammatory rheumatic diseases (AIRDs) among patients with a history of COVID-19 compared with uninfected patients. However, these studies had methodological shortcomings. OBJECTIVE To investigate the effect of COVID-19 on long-term risk for incident AIRD over various follow-up periods. DESIGN Binational, longitudinal, propensity-matched cohort study. SETTING Nationwide claims-based databases in South Korea (K-COV-N cohort) and Japan (JMDC cohort). PARTICIPANTS 10 027 506 Korean and 12 218 680 Japanese patients aged 20 years or older, including those with COVID-19 between 1 January 2020 and 31 December 2021, matched to patients with influenza infection and to uninfected control patients. MEASUREMENTS The primary outcome was onset of AIRD (per appropriate codes from the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision) 1, 6, and 12 months after COVID-19 or influenza infection or the respective matched index date of uninfected control patients. RESULTS Between 2020 and 2021, among the 10 027 506 Korean participants (mean age, 48.4 years [SD, 13.4]; 50.1% men), 394 274 (3.9%) and 98 596 (0.98%) had a history of COVID-19 or influenza, respectively. After propensity score matching, beyond the first 30 days after infection, patients with COVID-19 were at increased risk for incident AIRD compared with uninfected patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.18 to 1.31]) and influenza-infected control patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.30 [CI, 1.02 to 1.59]). The risk for incident AIRD was higher with more severe acute COVID-19. Similar patterns were observed in the Japanese cohort. LIMITATIONS Referral bias due to the pandemic; residual confounding. CONCLUSION SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with increased risk for incident AIRD compared with matched patients without SARS-CoV-2 infection or with influenza infection. The risk for incident AIRD was higher with greater severity of acute COVID-19. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE National Research Foundation of Korea.
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Affiliation(s)
- Min Seo Kim
- Medical and Population Genetics and Cardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts (M.S.K.)
| | - Hayeon Lee
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Yongin, South Korea, and Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea (H.L.)
| | - Seung Won Lee
- Department of Precision Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Suwon, South Korea (S.W.L.)
| | - Rosie Kwon
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea (R.K., C.M.)
| | - Sang Youl Rhee
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea (S.Y.R.)
| | - Jin A Lee
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Yongin, South Korea (J.A.L., J.L.)
| | - Ai Koyanagi
- Research and Development Unit, Parc Sanitari Sant Joan de Deu, Barcelona, Spain (A.K.)
| | - Lee Smith
- Centre for Health, Performance and Wellbeing, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, United Kingdom (L.S.)
| | - Guillaume Fond
- Research Centre on Health Services and Quality of Life, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Aix Marseille University, Marseille, France (G.F., L.B.)
| | - Laurent Boyer
- Research Centre on Health Services and Quality of Life, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Marseille, Aix Marseille University, Marseille, France (G.F., L.B.)
| | - Jinseok Lee
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Yongin, South Korea (J.A.L., J.L.)
| | - Masoud Rahmati
- Department of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Faculty of Literature and Human Sciences, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran, and Department of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Faculty of Literature and Humanities, Vali-e-Asr University of Rafsanjan, Rafsanjan, Iran (M.R.)
| | - Ju-Young Shin
- School of Pharmacy, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, South Korea (J.-Y.S.)
| | - Chanyang Min
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea (R.K., C.M.)
| | - Jae Il Shin
- Department of Pediatrics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea (J.I.S.)
| | - Dong Keon Yon
- Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine; Department of Pediatrics, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine; and Department of Regulatory Science, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea (D.K.Y.)
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Goto A, Komiya K, Umeki K, Hiramatsu K, Kadota JI. Impact of Antibiotics Used for Acute Aspiration Bronchitis on the Prevention of Pneumonia. Geriatrics (Basel) 2024; 9:26. [PMID: 38525743 PMCID: PMC10961750 DOI: 10.3390/geriatrics9020026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2023] [Revised: 02/17/2024] [Accepted: 02/23/2024] [Indexed: 03/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUNDS It remains unclear if antibiotics should be used for the treatment of acute aspiration bronchitis to prevent the development of pneumonia. This study aimed to assess the associations between the use of antibiotics and the development of pneumonia among patients with acute aspiration bronchitis. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed consecutive patients with acute aspiration bronchitis aged ≥75 years. Acute aspiration bronchitis was defined as a condition with aspiration risk, high fever (body temperature, ≥37.5 °C), respiratory symptoms, and the absence of evidence of pneumonia. RESULTS There was no significant difference in the incidence of pneumonia between patients treated with and without antibiotics for acute aspiration bronchitis (6/44, 14% vs. 31/143, 22%; p = 0.242). Lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (adjusted odds ratio, 0.956; 95% confidence interval, 0.920-0.993) was significantly associated with the development of pneumonia. CONCLUSIONS Antibiotic administration should not be routinely recommended to prevent pneumonia following acute aspiration bronchitis, and patients with decreased renal function should be closely monitored. A randomized controlled trial is necessary to validate these results.
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Affiliation(s)
- Akihiko Goto
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Tenshindo Hetsugi Hospital, 5956 Nihongi, Nakahetsugi, Oita 879-7761, Japan
| | - Kosaku Komiya
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Tenshindo Hetsugi Hospital, 5956 Nihongi, Nakahetsugi, Oita 879-7761, Japan
- Department of Respiratory Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Oita University Faculty of Medicine, 1-1 Idaigaoka, Hasama-machi, Yufu 879-5593, Japan
| | - Kenji Umeki
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Tenshindo Hetsugi Hospital, 5956 Nihongi, Nakahetsugi, Oita 879-7761, Japan
| | - Kazufumi Hiramatsu
- Department of Medical Safety Management, Oita University Faculty of Medicine, 1-1 Idaigaoka, Hasama-machi, Yufu 879-5593, Japan
| | - Jun-ichi Kadota
- Department of Respiratory Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Oita University Faculty of Medicine, 1-1 Idaigaoka, Hasama-machi, Yufu 879-5593, Japan
- Nagasaki Harbor Medical Center, 6-39 Shinchi-machi, Nagasaki 850-8555, Japan
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Shao Y, Hu H, Li Q, Cao C, Liu D, Han Y. Link between triglyceride-glucose-body mass index and future stroke risk in middle-aged and elderly chinese: a nationwide prospective cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2024; 23:81. [PMID: 38402161 PMCID: PMC10893757 DOI: 10.1186/s12933-024-02165-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2023] [Accepted: 02/14/2024] [Indexed: 02/26/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Current literature is deficient in robust evidence delineating the correlation between the triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) and the incidence of stroke. Consequently, this investigation seeks to elucidate the potential link between TyG-BMI and stroke risk in a cohort of middle-aged and senior Chinese individuals. METHODS This study employs longitudinal data from four waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) conducted in 2011, 2013, 2015, and 2018, encompassing 8,698 participants. The CHARLS cohort was assembled using a multistage probability sampling technique. Participants underwent comprehensive evaluations through standardized questionnaires administered via face-to-face interviews. Our analytic strategy involved the application of Cox proportional hazards regression models to investigate the association between TyG-BMI and the risk of stroke. To discern potential non-linear relationships, we incorporated Cox proportional hazards regression with smooth curve fitting. Additionally, we executed a battery of sensitivity and subgroup analyses to validate the robustness of our findings. RESULTS Our study utilized a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model and found a significant correlation between the TyG-BMI and the risk of stroke. Specifically, a 10-unit increase in TyG-BMI corresponded to a 4.9% heightened risk of stroke (HR = 1.049, 95% CI 1.029-1.069). The analysis also uncovered a non-linear pattern in this relationship, pinpointed by an inflection point at a TyG-BMI value of 174.63. To the left of this inflection point-meaning at lower TyG-BMI values-a 10-unit hike in TyG-BMI was linked to a more substantial 14.4% rise in stroke risk (HR 1.144; 95% CI 1.044-1.253). Conversely, to the right of the inflection point-at higher TyG-BMI values-each 10-unit increment was associated with a smaller, 3.8% increase in the risk of stroke (HR 1.038; 95% CI 1.016-1.061). CONCLUSIONS In the middle-aged and elderly Chinese population, elevated TyG-BMI was significantly and positively associated with stroke risk. In addition, there was also a specific non-linear association between TyG-BMI and stroke (inflection point 174.63). Further reduction of TyG-BMI below 174.63 through lifestyle changes and dietary control can significantly reduce the risk of stroke.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuankai Shao
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital,The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518035, Guangdong, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518035, Guangdong, China
| | - Qiming Li
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital,The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518035, Guangdong, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Dehong Liu
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital,The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518035, Guangdong, China.
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital,The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518035, Guangdong, China.
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Tu L, Hu H, Zhou X, Zhang H, Liu X, Yang D, He Y. Association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and reversion to normoglycemia in people with impaired fasting glucose: a 5-year retrospective cohort study. Eur J Med Res 2024; 29:140. [PMID: 38388456 PMCID: PMC10882936 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-024-01669-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2023] [Accepted: 01/12/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The present body of evidence regarding the correlation between the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the reversal of impaired fasting glucose (IFG) to normoglycemia remains constrained. Consequently, the objective of our study is to examine the relationship between eGFR and the restoration of normoglycemia in individuals with IFG. METHODS This retrospective cohort study consecutively collected data from 24,541 non-selective participants with IFG at Rich Healthcare Group in China from January 2010 to 2016. We aimed to investigate the association between baseline eGFR and reversion to normoglycemia using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model. Through the utilization of a Cox proportional hazards regression model featuring cubical spline smoothing, we were able to ascertain the non-linear correlation between eGFR and the return to normoglycemia. Furthermore, various sensitivity and subgroup analyses were carried out, and a competing risk multivariate Cox regression was employed to examine the progression to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of normoglycemic events. RESULTS In our study, comprising 24,541 participants, the average age was 49.25 ± 13.77 years, with 66.28% being male. The baseline eGFR mean was 104.16 ± 15.78 ml/min per 1.73 m2. During a median follow-up period of 2.89 years, we observed a reversion rate to normoglycemia of 45.50%. Upon controlling for covariates, our findings indicated a positive correlation between eGFR and the probability of returning to normoglycemia (HR = 1.008, 95% CI 1.006-1.009). In addition, a non-linear association was observed between eGFR and the likelihood of transitioning from IFG to normoglycemia. The inflection point of eGFR was found to be 111.962 ml/min per 1.73 m2, with HRs of 1.003 (95% CI 1.001, 1.005) on the left side of the point and 1.019 (95% CI 1.015, 1.022) on the right side. Our robust results were supported by competing risks multivariate Cox's regression and sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS The findings of our investigation indicate a favorable and non-linear correlation between eGFR and the restoration of normoglycemia in Chinese individuals with IFG. Specifically, a reduction in renal function at an early stage in these patients may considerably diminish the likelihood of attaining normoglycemia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lirong Tu
- Department of Nephrology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, No.1 Maoyuan South Rd, Nanchong, 637000, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Xinglei Zhou
- Department of Nephrology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, 221006, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Heping Zhang
- Department of Nephrology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, No.1 Maoyuan South Rd, Nanchong, 637000, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Xiaohui Liu
- Department of Nephrology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, No.1 Maoyuan South Rd, Nanchong, 637000, Sichuan Province, China.
| | - Dehua Yang
- Department of Pediatrics, Shenzhen Hengsheng Hospital, No. 20 Yintian Road, Baoan District, Shenzhen, 518103, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Yongcheng He
- Department of Nephrology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, No.1 Maoyuan South Rd, Nanchong, 637000, Sichuan Province, China.
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Hengsheng Hospital, Shenzhen, 518103, Guangdong Province, China.
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Shao Y, Hu H, Cao C, Han Y, Wu C. Elevated triglyceride-glucose-body mass index associated with lower probability of future regression to normoglycemia in Chinese adults with prediabetes: a 5-year cohort study. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2024; 15:1278239. [PMID: 38414822 PMCID: PMC10898590 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2024.1278239] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2023] [Accepted: 01/16/2024] [Indexed: 02/29/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective Despite the clear association of TyG-BMI with prediabetes and the progression of diabetes, no study to date has examined the relationship between TyG-BMI and the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemia. Methods 25,279 participants with prediabetes who had physical examinations between 2010 and 2016 were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. The relationship between baseline TyG-BMI and regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes was examined using the Cox proportional hazards regression model in this study. Additionally, the nonlinear association between TyG-BMI and the likelihood of regression to normoglycemia was investigated using the Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function. Competing risk multivariate Cox regression analysis was conducted, with progression to diabetes as a competing risk for prediabetes reversal to normoglycemia. Furthermore, subgroup analyses and a series of sensitivity analyses were performed. Results After adjusting for covariates, the results showed that TyG-BMI was negatively associated with the probability of returning to normoglycemia (per 10 units, HR=0.970, 95% CI: 0.965, 0.976). They were also nonlinearly related, with an inflection point for TyG-BMI of 196.46. The effect size (HR) for TyG-BMI to the right of the inflection point (TyG-BMI ≥ 196.46) and the probability of return of normoglycemia was 0.962 (95% CI: 0.954, 0.970, per 10 units). In addition, the competing risks model found a negative correlation between TyG-BMI and return to normoglycemia (SHR=0.97, 95% CI: 0.96-0.98). Sensitivity analyses demonstrated the robustness of our results. Conclusion This study demonstrated a negative and nonlinear relationship between TyG-BMI and return to normoglycemia in Chinese adults with prediabetes. Through active intervention, the combined reduction of BMI and TG levels to bring TyG-BMI down to 196.46 could significantly increase the probability of returning to normoglycemia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yang Shao
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
- Liaoning Clinical Research Center for Laboratory Medicine, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan’ao People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Cen Wu
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
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Wen CP, Tsai MK, Lee JH, Chiou HY, Wen C, Chu TWD, Chen CH. Uncovering a dose-response relationship between positive fecal immunochemical test (FIT) and all-cause, cardiovascular and cancer-related mortality. Eur J Intern Med 2024; 120:69-79. [PMID: 37777425 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejim.2023.09.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2023] [Revised: 09/17/2023] [Accepted: 09/22/2023] [Indexed: 10/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. Its association with non-CRC mortality has been overlooked. Given the quantitative FIT values, its dose-response relationships with different causes of deaths and years of life shortened were assessed. METHODS This retrospective study included 546,214 adults aged ≥ 20 who attended a health surveillance program from 1994 to 2017 and were followed up until the end of 2020. FIT ≥ 20 μg Hb/g was defined as positive. The Cox model was used to assess adjusted hazard ratios (aHR). RESULTS Positive FIT was associated with increased all-cause mortality (aHR: 1.34, 95 % CI: 1.25-1.44) and all-cancer mortality (aHR: 1.71, 95 % CI: 1.55-1.89), with a reduction of life expectancy by 4 years. The association remained even with CRC excluded. With each 10 μg Hb/g increase in FIT above 20 μg Hb/g, life expectancy was reduced by one year, and mortality increased by 4 %. About 18.6 % of deaths with positive FIT were attributed to cardiovascular disease (CVD), followed by CRC (13.5 %) and upper gastrointestinal (GI) cancers (4.5 %). The all-cause mortality rate after excluding CRC for positive FIT was 3.56/1,000 person-year, comparable to the all-cause mortality rate of 3.69/1,000 person-year for hypertension. CONCLUSION Positive FIT was associated with increased mortality in a dose-response manner and shortened life expectancy by 4 years, an overlooked risk comparable to hypertension, even with CRC excluded. After a negative colonoscopy, subjects with positive FIT should undergo a workup on CVD risk factors and look for other upper GI cancers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chi Pang Wen
- Institute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli, Taiwan; China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
| | | | - June Han Lee
- Institute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli, Taiwan
| | - Hung Yi Chiou
- Institute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli, Taiwan
| | - Christopher Wen
- Long Beach VAMC Hospital, University of Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
| | | | - Chien Hua Chen
- College of Medicine, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan; Digestive Disease Center, Changhua Show-Chwan Memorial Hospital, Changhua, Taiwan; Department of Food Science and Technology, Hungkuang University, Taichung, Taiwan.
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29
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Zhou P, Liu RL, Wang FX, Hu HF, Deng Z. Blood urea nitrogen has a nonlinear association with 3-month outcomes with acute ischemic stroke: A second analysis based on a prospective cohort study. Clin Nutr ESPEN 2024; 59:140-148. [PMID: 38220367 DOI: 10.1016/j.clnesp.2023.12.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2023] [Revised: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 12/01/2023] [Indexed: 01/16/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Evidence regarding the relationship between blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and 3-month outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients is still scarce. Therefore, the present study was preformed to explore the link between the BUN and 3-month poor outcomes in patients with AIS. METHODS A retrospective study of 1866 participants with AIS enrolled from January 2010 to December 2016 at a hospital in South Korea. Binary logistic regression, smooth curve fitting, and a set of sensitivity analyses were used to analyze the association between BUN and 3-month poor outcomes. RESULTS After adjusting covariates, the results of the binary logistic regression model suggested that the relationship between the BUN and the risk of 3-month poor outcomes for AIS patients was not statistically significant. However, there was a special nonlinear relationship between them, and the inflection point of the BUN was 13 mg/dl. On the left side of the inflection point, every unit increase in the BUN reduces the risk of 3-month poor outcomes by 14.1 % (OR = 0.859, 95%CI: 0.780-0.945, p = 0.0019). On the right side of the inflection point, the relationship is not statistically significant. CONCLUSION There is a nonlinear relationship with saturation effect between BUN level and 3-month poor outcomes in AIS patients. Maintaining the BUN at around 13 mg/dl can reduce the risk of 3-month poor outcome in AIS patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pan Zhou
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital / the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China
| | - Ren-Li Liu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital / the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China
| | - Fang-Xi Wang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital / the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China
| | - Hao-Fei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital / the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China.
| | - Zhe Deng
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital / the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, 518035, China.
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Guan M, Wu L, Cheng Y, Qi D, Chen J, Song H, Hu H, Wan Q. Defining the threshold: triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio's non-linear impact on tubular atrophy in primary membranous nephropathy. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2024; 15:1322646. [PMID: 38327562 PMCID: PMC10847559 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2024.1322646] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 02/09/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Hyperlipidemia is common in primary membranous nephropathy (PMN) patients, and tubular atrophy (TA) is an unfavorable prognostic factor. However, the correlation between the triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio and TA is controversial. Therefore, our study aimed to investigate the association between the TG/HDL-C ratio and TA in PMN patients. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional study and collected data from 363 PMN patients at Shenzhen Second People's Hospital from January 2008 to April 2023. The primary objective was to evaluate the independent correlation between the TG/HDL-C ratio and TA using binary logistic regression model. We used a generalized additive model along with smooth curve fitting and multiple sensitivity analyses to explore the relationship between these variables. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted to delve deeper into the results. Results Of the 363 PMN patients, 75 had TA (20.66%). The study population had a mean age of 46.598 ± 14.462 years, with 217 (59.78%) being male. After adjusting for sex, age, BMI, hypertension, history of diabetes, smoking, alcohol consumption, UPRO, eGFR, HB, FPG, and ALB, we found that the TG/HDL-C ratio was an independent risk factor for TA in PMN patients (OR=1.29, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.61, P=0.0213). A non-linear correlation was observed between the TG/HDL-C ratio and TA, with an inflection point at 4.25. The odds ratios (OR) on the left and right sides of this inflection point were 1.56 (95% CI: 1.17, 2.07) and 0.25 (95% CI: 0.04, 1.54), respectively. Sensitivity analysis confirmed these results. Subgroup analysis showed a consistent association between the TG/HDL-C ratio and TA, implying that factors such as gender, BMI, age, UPRO, ALB, hypertension and severe nephrotic syndrome had negligible effects on the link between the TG/HDL-C ratio and TA. Conclusion Our study demonstrates a non-linear positive correlation between the TG/HDL-C ratio and the risk of TA in PMN patients, independent of other factors. Specifically, the association is more pronounced when the ratio falls below 4.25. Based on our findings, it would be advisable to decrease the TG/HDL-C ratio below the inflection point in PMN patients as part of treatment strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mijie Guan
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Liling Wu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Yuan Cheng
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Dongli Qi
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Jia Chen
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Haiying Song
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Qijun Wan
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
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Huchet N, Penel N, Bonvalot S, Thariat J, Ducimetière F, Giraud A, Toulmonde M, Le Cesne A, Blay JY, Bellera C. Handling missing covariates in observational studies: an illustration with the assessment of prognostic factors of survival outcomes in soft-tissue or visceral sarcomas in irradiated fields (SIF). Ther Adv Med Oncol 2024; 16:17588359231220999. [PMID: 38249328 PMCID: PMC10798078 DOI: 10.1177/17588359231220999] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2023] [Accepted: 11/29/2023] [Indexed: 01/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Missing covariates are common in observational research and can lead to bias and loss of statistical power. Limited data regarding prognostic factors of survival outcomes of sarcomas in irradiated fields (SIF) are available. Because of the long lag time between irradiation of first cancer and scarcity of SIF, missing data are a critical issue when analyzing long-term outcomes. We assessed prognostic factors of overall (OS), progression-free (PFS), and metastatic-progression-free (MPFS) survivals in SIF using three methods to account for missing covariates. Methods We relied on the NETSARC French Sarcoma Group database, Cox (OS/PFS), and competitive hazards (MPFS) survival models. Covariates investigated were age, sex, histological subtype, tumor size, depth and grade, metastasis, surgery, surgical resection, surgeon's expertise, imaging, and neo-adjuvant treatment. We first applied multiple imputation (MI): observed data were used to estimate the missing covariate. With the missing-data modality approach, a category missing was created for qualitative variables. With the complete-case (CC) approach, analysis was restricted to patients without missing covariates. Results CC subjects (N = 167; 33%) presented more often with soft-tissue sarcoma (versus visceral sarcoma) and grade I-II tumors as compared to the 504 eligible cases. With MI (N = 504), factors associated with the worst outcome included metastasis (p = 0.04) and R1/R2 resection (p < 0.001) for OS; higher grade/non-gradable tumors (p = 0.002) and R1/R2 resection (p < 0.001) for PFS; and metastasis (p = 0.01) for M-PFS. The 'missing-data modality' approach (N = 504) led to different associations, including significance reached due to variables with the modality 'missing'. The CC analysis led to different results and reduced precision. Conclusion The CC population was not representative of the eligible population, introducing bias, in addition to worst precision. The 'missing-data modality method' results in biased estimates in non-randomized studies, as outcomes may be related to variables with missing values. Appropriate statistical methods for missing covariates, for example, MI, should therefore be considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Noémie Huchet
- INSERM CIC1401, Clinical and Epidemiological Research Unit, Institut Bergonié, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Bordeaux, France
| | - Nicolas Penel
- Department of Medical Oncology, Centre Oscar Lambret, Lille, France
- Lille University, Lille, France
| | - Sylvie Bonvalot
- Surgery Department, Institut Curie, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Paris, France
| | - Juliette Thariat
- Centre François Baclesse, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Caen, France
- Laboratoire de physique Corpusculaire IN2P3/ENSICAEN/CNRS UMR 6534, Normandie Université, Caen France
| | - Françoise Ducimetière
- Department of Medical Oncology, Centre Léon Bérard, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Lyon, France
| | - Antoine Giraud
- INSERM CIC1401, Clinical and Epidemiological Research Unit, Institut Bergonié, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Bordeaux, France
| | - Maud Toulmonde
- Department of Medical Oncology, Institut Bergonié, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Bordeaux, France
| | - Axel Le Cesne
- Department of Medical Oncology, Gustave Roussy Cancer Campus, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Villejuif, France
| | - Jean-Yves Blay
- Department of Medical Oncology, Centre Léon Bérard, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Lyon, France
| | - Carine Bellera
- INSERM CIC1401, Clinical and Epidemiological Research Unit, Institut Bergonié, Comprehensive Cancer Center, 229 Cours de l'Argonne, Bordeaux 33076, France
- Univ. Bordeaux, INSERM, Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, Epicene team, UMR 1219, Bordeaux, France
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Wang L, Han Y, Cao C, Hu H, Li H. The non-linear link between non-high-density lipoprotein to high-density lipoprotein ratio and the risk of stroke in middle-aged and older adults in Chinese: a prospective cohort study from the China health and retirement longitudinal study. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2024; 14:1303336. [PMID: 38288470 PMCID: PMC10823364 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2023.1303336] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Accepted: 12/20/2023] [Indexed: 02/01/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective This study aims to assess the association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and stroke risk among middle-aged and older adults participating in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Methods This study conducted a prospective cohort analysis, enrolling a total of 10,183 participants who met the designated criteria from CHARLS between 2011 and 2012. We then used the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to explore the relationship between baseline non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and stroke risk. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function, we were able to identify the non-linear relationship between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and stroke occurrence. A series of sensitivity analyses were also carried out. Results The average age of the participants included in this study was 59.16 ± 9.35 years, and 4,735 individuals (46.68%) were male. Over a median follow-up period of 7.0 years, a total of 1,191 people (11.70%) experienced a stroke. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression model that was fully adjusted, we found no statistically significant correlation between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the risk of stroke (HR=1.022; 95% CI 0.964, 1.083). Nevertheless, we did observe a non-linear relationship and saturation effect between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and stroke. Employing a two-piece Cox proportional hazards regression model and a recursive algorithm, we determined an inflection point of 2.685 for the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio. In instances where the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio fell below 2.685, for every 1-unit decrease in the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio, the likelihood of stroke decreased by 21.4% (HR=1.214, 95% CI: 1.039-1.418). In contrast, when the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio exceeded 2.685, there was no statistically significant change in the risk of stroke for each unit decrease in the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio (HR: 0.967, 95% CI: 0.897-1.042). The consistency of these findings across multiple sensitivity analyses suggests their robustness. Conclusion This study unveils a non-linear relationship between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and stroke risk in middle-aged and older adults in China. Specifically, when the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio was below 2.685, a significant and clearly positive association with stroke risk was observed. Additionally, maintaining the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio below 2.685 could potentially lead to a substantial reduction in the risk of stroke.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lanbo Wang
- Department of Radiology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan’ao People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
| | - Han Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
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Nagra D, Bechman K, Russell MD, Yang Z, Adas M, Subesinghe S, Rutherford A, Alveyn E, Patel S, Wincup C, Mahto A, Baldwin C, Karafotias I, Cope A, Norton S, Galloway J. No Waning of Pneumococcal Vaccine Responses over Time in People with Inflammatory Arthritis: Findings from a Single Centre Cohort. Vaccines (Basel) 2024; 12:69. [PMID: 38250882 PMCID: PMC10818273 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines12010069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2023] [Revised: 01/03/2024] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 01/23/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Vaccination against pneumococcus reduces the risk of infective events, hospitalisation, and death in individual with inflammatory arthritis, particularly in those on immunomodulating therapy who are at risk of worse outcomes from pneumococcal disease. The objective of this study was to investigate the serological protection following vaccination against pneumococcal serovars over time. Methods: This was a single centre, retrospective cohort study of individuals with rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, or axial spondylarthritis who had previously received the PPSV23 polysaccharide pneumococcal vaccine (Pneumovax). Data were retrieved between January 2021 to August 2023. Dates of previous pneumococcal vaccination were identified using linked primary care records. Serum serotype levels were collected. The primary outcome was serological response defined as a titre ≥0.35 mcg/mL in at least five from a total of 12 evaluated pneumococcal serovars, examined using a Luminex platform. Multivariate logistic regression models adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity, co-morbidities, and the use of prednisolone, conventional synthetic and biological DMARDs were used to determine the odds of a sustained serological response according to time categorised into ≤5 years, 5-10 years, and ≥10 years since vaccination. Results: Serological response was measured in 296 individuals with inflammatory arthritis, with rheumatoid arthritis the most common diagnosis (74% of patients). The median time between pneumococcal vaccine administration and serological assessment was 6 years (interquartile range 2.4 to 9.9). A positive serological response to at least 5 serovars was present in 195/296 (66%) of patients. Time since vaccination did not significantly associate with serological protection compared with those vaccinated <5 years, the adjusted ORs of vaccine response was 1.15 (95% CI 0.64 to 2.07) in those 5-10 years and 1.26 (95% CI: 0.64 to 2.48) in those vaccinated over 10 years ago. No individual variable from the multivariate model reached statistical significance as an independent predictor of vaccine response, although steroid use at the time of vaccine had a consistent detrimental impact on serological immunity. Conclusions: We demonstrated that antibody titres following vaccination against pneumococcal serovars do not appear to wane over time. It appears more critical to focus on maximising the initial vaccine response, which is known to be diminished in this patient population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deepak Nagra
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Katie Bechman
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Mark D. Russell
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Zijing Yang
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Maryam Adas
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Sujith Subesinghe
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Andrew Rutherford
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Edward Alveyn
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Samir Patel
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Chris Wincup
- King’s College Hospital NHS Trust, London SE5 9RS, UK
| | - Arti Mahto
- King’s College Hospital NHS Trust, London SE5 9RS, UK
| | - Christopher Baldwin
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Ioasaf Karafotias
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Andrew Cope
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - Sam Norton
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
| | - James Galloway
- Centre for Rheumatic Disease, King’s College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK (S.S.); (J.G.)
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Mo Z, Hu H, Han Y, Cao C, Zheng X. Association between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and reversion to normoglycemia from prediabetes: an analysis based on data from a retrospective cohort study. Sci Rep 2024; 14:35. [PMID: 38168464 PMCID: PMC10762102 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-50539-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2023] [Accepted: 12/21/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024] Open
Abstract
The available evidence on the connection between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels and the reversion from prediabetes (Pre-DM) to normoglycemia is currently limited. The present research sought to examine the connection between HDL-C levels and the regression from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in a population of Chinese adults. This historical cohort study collected 15,420 Pre-DM patients in China who underwent health screening between 2010 and 2016. The present research used the Cox proportional hazards regression model to investigate the connection between HDL-C levels and reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. The Cox proportional hazards regression model with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting was employed to ascertain the nonlinear association between HDL-C and reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. Furthermore, a set of sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were employed. Following the adjustment of covariates, the findings revealed a positive connection between HDL-C levels and the likelihood of reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia (HR 1.898, 95% CI 1.758-2.048, P < 0.001). Furthermore, there was a non-linear relationship between HDL-C and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in both genders, and the inflection point of HDL-C was 1.540 mmol/L in males and 1.620 mmol/L in females. We found a strong positive correlation between HDL-C and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia on the left of the inflection point (Male: HR 2.783, 95% CI 2.373-3.263; Female: HR 2.217, 95% CI 1.802-2.727). Our sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings. Subgroup analyses indicated that patients with SBP < 140 mmHg and ever smoker exhibited a more pronounced correlation between HDL-C levels and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. In contrast, a less robust correlation was observed among patients with SBP ≥ 140 mmHg, current and never smokers. This study provides evidence of a positive and nonlinear association between HDL-C levels and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in Chinese patients. Implementing intensified intervention measures to control the HDL-C levels of patients with Pre-DM around the inflection point may substantially enhance the likelihood of regression to normoglycemia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zihe Mo
- Department of Physical Examination, DongGuan Tungwah Hospital, Dongguan, 523000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, No.3002, Sungang West Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Xiaodan Zheng
- Department of Neurology, Shenzhen Samii Medical Center, The Fourth People's Hospital of Shenzhen, No. 1 Jinniu West Road, Shijing Street, Pingshan District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
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Lasnick OHM, Hancock R, Hoeft F. Left-dominance for resting-state temporal low-gamma power in children with impaired word-decoding and without comorbid ADHD. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0292330. [PMID: 38157354 PMCID: PMC10756518 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0292330] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2023] [Accepted: 12/08/2023] [Indexed: 01/03/2024] Open
Abstract
One theory of the origins of reading disorders (i.e., dyslexia) is a language network which cannot effectively 'entrain' to speech, with cascading effects on the development of phonological skills. Low-gamma (low-γ, 30-45 Hz) neural activity, particularly in the left hemisphere, is thought to correspond to tracking at phonemic rates in speech. The main goals of the current study were to investigate temporal low-γ band-power during rest in a sample of children and adolescents with and without reading disorder (RD). Using a Bayesian statistical approach to analyze the power spectral density of EEG data, we examined whether (1) resting-state temporal low-γ power was attenuated in the left temporal region in RD; (2) low-γ power covaried with individual reading performance; (3) low-γ temporal lateralization was atypical in RD. Contrary to our expectations, results did not support the hypothesized effects of RD status and poor decoding ability on left hemisphere low-γ power or lateralization: post-hoc tests revealed that the lack of atypicality in the RD group was not due to the inclusion of those with comorbid attentional deficits. However, post-hoc tests also revealed a specific left-dominance for low-γ rhythms in children with reading deficits only, when participants with comorbid attentional deficits were excluded. We also observed an inverse relationship between decoding and left-lateralization in the controls, such that those with better decoding skills were less likely to show left-lateralization. We discuss these unexpected findings in the context of prior theoretical frameworks on temporal sampling. These results may reflect the importance of real-time language processing to evoke gamma rhythms in the phonemic range during childhood and adolescence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Oliver H. M. Lasnick
- Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Roeland Hancock
- Wu Tsai Institute, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America
| | - Fumiko Hoeft
- Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut, United States of America
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Hu Y, Han Y, Liu Y, Cui Y, Ni Z, Wei L, Cao C, Hu H, He Y. A nomogram model for predicting 5-year risk of prediabetes in Chinese adults. Sci Rep 2023; 13:22523. [PMID: 38110661 PMCID: PMC10728122 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-50122-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2023] [Accepted: 12/15/2023] [Indexed: 12/20/2023] Open
Abstract
Early identification is crucial to effectively intervene in individuals at high risk of developing pre-diabetes. This study aimed to create a personalized nomogram to determine the 5-year risk of pre-diabetes among Chinese adults. This retrospective cohort study included 184,188 participants without prediabetes at baseline. Training cohorts (92,177) and validation cohorts (92,011) were randomly assigned (92,011). We compared five prediction models on the training cohorts: full cox proportional hazards model, stepwise cox proportional hazards model, multivariable fractional polynomials (MFP), machine learning, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) models. At the same time, we validated the above five models on the validation set. And we chose the LASSO model as the final risk prediction model for prediabetes. We presented the model with a nomogram. The model's performance was evaluated in terms of its discriminative ability, clinical utility, and calibration using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis, and calibration analysis on the training cohorts. Simultaneously, we also evaluated the above nomogram on the validation set. The 5-year incidence of prediabetes was 10.70% and 10.69% in the training and validation cohort, respectively. We developed a simple nomogram that predicted the risk of prediabetes by using the parameters of age, body mass index (BMI), fasting plasma glucose (FBG), triglycerides (TG), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and serum creatinine (Scr). The nomogram's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.7341 (95% CI 0.7290-0.7392) for the training cohort and 0.7336 (95% CI 0.7285-0.7387) for the validation cohort, indicating good discriminative ability. The calibration curve showed a perfect fit between the predicted prediabetes risk and the observed prediabetes risk. An analysis of the decision curve presented the clinical application of the nomogram, with alternative threshold probability spectrums being presented as well. A personalized prediabetes prediction nomogram was developed and validated among Chinese adults, identifying high-risk individuals. Doctors and others can easily and efficiently use our prediabetes prediction model when assessing prediabetes risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanhua Hu
- College of Information Science and Engineering, Liuzhou Institute of Technology, Liuzhou, 545616, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Yufei Liu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
- Department of Neurosurgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Yanan Cui
- College of Information Science and Engineering, Liuzhou Institute of Technology, Liuzhou, 545616, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Zhiping Ni
- College of Information Science and Engineering, Liuzhou Institute of Technology, Liuzhou, 545616, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Ling Wei
- College of Information Science and Engineering, Liuzhou Institute of Technology, Liuzhou, 545616, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, No. 6, Renmin Road, Dapeng New District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Yongcheng He
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Hengsheng Hospital, No. 20 Yintian Road, Baoan District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
- Department of Nephrology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, 637000, Sichuan, China.
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Mo Z, Han Y, Cao C, Huang Q, Hu Y, Yu Z, Hu H. Association between non-high-density lipoprotein to high-density lipoprotein ratio and reversion to normoglycemia in people with impaired fasting glucose: a 5-year retrospective cohort study. Diabetol Metab Syndr 2023; 15:259. [PMID: 38105214 PMCID: PMC10726583 DOI: 10.1186/s13098-023-01237-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2023] [Accepted: 11/29/2023] [Indexed: 12/19/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The relationship between the non-high-density lipoprotein to high-density lipoprotein ratio (non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio) and changes in glycemic status as well as the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been well established. However, there is a lack of evidence concerning the association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the reversal of normoglycemia in individuals with impaired fasting glucose (IFG). Therefore, this study aimed to examine the connection between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the likelihood of reverting to normoglycemia among people with IFG. METHODS This retrospective cohort study examined data collected from 15,524 non-selective participants with IFG at the Rich Healthcare Group in China between January 2010 and 2016. The Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to investigate the connection between the baseline non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the probability of reverting to normoglycemia. We were able to discover the non-linear association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and reversion to normoglycemia using a Cox proportional hazards regression model with cubical spline smoothing. We also performed several sensitivity and subgroup analyses. A competing risk multivariate Cox regression was utilized as well to examine the development to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of normoglycemic events. RESULTS In our study, a total of 15,524 individuals participated, with a mean age of 50.9 ± 13.5 years, and 64.7% were male. The average baseline non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio was 2.9 ± 0.9. Over a median follow-up period of 2.9 years, we observed a reversion rate to normoglycemia of 41.8%. After adjusting for covariates, our findings revealed a negative association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the likelihood of reverting to normoglycemia (HR = 0.71, 95% CI 0.69-0.74). Notably, we identified a non-linear relationship between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the probability of transitioning from IFG to normoglycemia. We found an inflection point at a non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio of 3.1, with HRs of 0.63 (95% CI 0.69, 0.74) on the left side and 0.78 (95% CI 0.74, 0.83) on the right side of the point. Competing risks multivariate Cox's regression, sensitivity analysis, and subgroup analysis consistently supported our robust results. CONCLUSION Our study has revealed a negative and non-linear relationship between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and reversion to normoglycemia in Chinese people with IFG. Specifically, when the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio was below 3.1, a significant and negative association with reversion to normoglycemia was observed. Furthermore, keeping the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio below 3.1 significantly elevated the probability of returning to normoglycemia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zihe Mo
- Department of Physical Examination, Dongguan Tungwah Hospital, No. 1 Dongcheng Road, Dongcheng Street, Dongguan, 523000, Guangdong, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China
| | - Qingli Huang
- Department of Physical Examination, Dongguan Tungwah Hospital, No. 1 Dongcheng Road, Dongcheng Street, Dongguan, 523000, Guangdong, China
| | - Yanhua Hu
- College of Information Science and Engineering, Liuzhou Institute of Technology, No. 99, Xinliu Avenue, Yufeng District, Liuzhou, 545616, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China.
| | - Zhiqun Yu
- Department of Physical Examination, Dongguan Tungwah Hospital, No. 1 Dongcheng Road, Dongcheng Street, Dongguan, 523000, Guangdong, China.
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong, China.
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Madzorera I, Bliznashka L, Blakstad MM, Bellows AL, Canavan CR, Mosha D, Bromage S, Noor RA, Webb P, Ghosh S, Kinabo JL, Masanja H, Fawzi WW. Women's input and decision-making in agriculture are associated with diet quality in rural Tanzania. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1215462. [PMID: 38125846 PMCID: PMC10731380 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1215462] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2023] [Accepted: 10/30/2023] [Indexed: 12/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Women's empowerment is one critical pathway through which agriculture can impact women's nutrition; however, empirical evidence is still limited. We evaluated the associations of women's participation, input, and decision-making in key agricultural and household activities with women's diet quality. Methods We analyzed data from a cross-sectional study of 870 women engaged in homestead agriculture. We used food frequency questionnaires to assess women's diets and computed women's diet quality using the Prime Diet Quality Score (PDQS) (range 0-42), which captures healthy and unhealthy foods. We evaluated women's decision-making in 8 activities, food crop farming, cash crop farming, livestock raising, non-farm economic activities, wage/salary employment, fishing, major household expenditures, and minor household expenditures. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) linear models were used to evaluate associations between (a) women's participation, (b) decision-making, (c) adequate input, (d) adequate extent of independence in decision-making in agriculture, and (e) adequate input in use of agricultural income with their PDQS. Adequate input was defined as input into some, most or all decisions compared to input into few decisions or none. Adequate extent of independence was defined as input to a medium or high extent compared to input to a small extent or none. Findings Median PDQS was 19 (IQR: 16-21). Women's adequate input in decision-making on wage and salary employment (estimate: 4.19, 95% CI: 2.80, 5.57) and minor expenditures were associated with higher PDQS vs. inadequate input. Women with independence in decision-making on livestock production (estimate: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.05, 1.90) and minor household expenditures, and women with adequate decision-making in the use of income from wages/salaries (estimate: 3.16, 95% CI: 2.44, 3.87) had higher PDQS. Participation in agricultural activities was positively associated with PDQS. Conclusions Women's participation and input in decision-making in wage and salary employment, livestock production, and minor household expenditures were strongly associated with the consumption of better-quality diets. Women participating in multiple farm activities were also likely to have better diet quality. This study adds to the growing evidence on the pathways through which women's empowerment may influence women's nutrition in rural Tanzania.
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Affiliation(s)
- Isabel Madzorera
- Division of Community Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Lilia Bliznashka
- Nutrition, Diets, and Health Unit, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, United States
| | - Mia M. Blakstad
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Alexandra L. Bellows
- Department of International Health (Human Nutrition), Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Chelsey R. Canavan
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | | | - Sabri Bromage
- Institute of Nutrition, Mahidol University, Salaya, Thailand
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Ramadhani A. Noor
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Patrick Webb
- Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Shibani Ghosh
- Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Joyce Ludovick Kinabo
- Department of Food Science Technology, Nutrition and Consumer Sciences, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania
| | | | - Wafaie W. Fawzi
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
- Department of Nutrition, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
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Li T, Cao C, Xuan X, Liu W, Xiao X, Wei C. The association between creatinine to body weight ratio and the risk of progression to diabetes from pre-diabetes: a 5-year cohort study in Chinese adults. BMC Endocr Disord 2023; 23:266. [PMID: 38044422 PMCID: PMC10694873 DOI: 10.1186/s12902-023-01518-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2022] [Accepted: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 12/05/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Evidence on the association between the creatinine to body weight (Cre/BW) ratio and the risk of pre-diabetes to diabetes development remains limited. Our study aimed to examine the association between the Cre/BW ratio and incident diabetes in pre-diabetic patients. METHODS This retrospective cohort study included 24,506 pre-diabetic participants who underwent health checks from 2010 to 2016 in China. We used the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to explore the relationship between baseline Cre/BW ratio and diabetes risk in pre-diabetes patients. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function and smooth curve fitting (cubical spline smoothing), we were able to determine the non-linear relationship between them. We also carried out a number of subgroup and sensitivity analyses. RESULTS The age range of the participants included in this study was 20-99 years, with a majority of 16,232 individuals (66.24%) being men. The mean baseline Cre/BW ratio was 1.06 (SD 0.22) umol/L/kg. 2512 (10.25%) participants received a diabetes final diagnosis over a median follow-up period of 2.89 years. After adjusting for covariates, the Cre/BW ratio had a negative association with incident diabetes in participants with pre-diabetes, per umol/L/kg increase in Cre/BM ratio was accompanied by a 55.5% decrease in diabetes risk (HR = 0.445, 95%CI 0.361 to 0.548). The Cre/BW ratio and risk of diabetes had a non-linear connection, with 1.072 umol/L/kg serving as the ratio's inflection point. The HR were 0.294 (95%CI:0.208-0.414) and 0.712 (95%CI:0.492-1.029), respectively, on the left and right sides of the inflection point. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of these results. Subgroup analyses indicated that the Cre/BW ratio was strongly associated with the risk of diabetes among participants who were younger than 50 years, as well as among those with diastolic blood pressure (DBP) < 90 mmHg and triglyceride (TG) < 1.7 mmol/L. In contrast, among participants 50 years of age or older, those with DBP ≥ 90 mmHg, and those with TG ≥ 1.7 mmol/L, the relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of diabetes was attenuated. CONCLUSION This study demonstrates a negative, non-linear relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of diabetes among the Chinese population with pre-diabetes. From a therapeutic standpoint, it is clinically meaningful to maintain the Cre/BW ratio levels above the inflection point of 1.072 umol/L/kg.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tong Li
- Department of Nephrology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Xuan Xuan
- Department of Rheumatology, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
- Department of Rheumatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Wenjing Liu
- Department of Geriatrics, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
- Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China
| | - Xiaohua Xiao
- Department of Geriatrics, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China.
- Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China.
| | - Cuimei Wei
- Department of Geriatrics, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No.3002 Sungang Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China.
- Department of Geriatrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, 518000, China.
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Hao M, Huang X, Liu X, Fang X, Li H, Lv L, Zhou L, Guo T, Yan D. Novel model predicts diastolic cardiac dysfunction in type 2 diabetes. Ann Med 2023; 55:766-777. [PMID: 36908240 PMCID: PMC10798288 DOI: 10.1080/07853890.2023.2180154] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2022] [Accepted: 02/08/2023] [Indexed: 03/14/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Diabetes mellitus complicated with heart failure has high mortality and morbidity, but no reliable diagnoses and treatments are available. This study aimed to develop and verify a new model nomogram based on clinical parameters to predict diastolic cardiac dysfunction in patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS 3030 patients with T2DM underwent Doppler echocardiography at the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University between January 2014 and December 2021. The patients were divided into the training dataset (n = 1701) and the verification dataset (n = 1329). In this study, a predictive diastolic cardiac dysfunction nomogram is developed using multivariable logical regression analysis, which contains the candidates selected in a minor absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model. Discrimination in the prediction model was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). The calibration curve was applied to evaluate the calibration of the alignment nomogram, and the clinical decision curve was used to determine the clinical practicability of the alignment map. The verification dataset was used to evaluate the prediction model's performance. RESULTS A multivariable model that included age, body mass index (BMI), triglyceride (TG), creatine phosphokinase isoenzyme (CK-MB), serum sodium (Na), and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (UACR) was presented as the nomogram. We obtained the model for estimating diastolic cardiac dysfunction in patients with T2DM. The AUC-ROC of the training dataset in our model was 0.8307, with 95% CI of 0.8109-0.8505. Similar to the results obtained with the training dataset, the AUC-ROC of the verification dataset in our model was 0.8083, with 95% CI of 0.7843-0.8324, thus demonstrating robust. The function of the predictive model was as follows: Diastolic Dysfunction = -4.41303 + 0.14100*Age(year)+0.10491*BMI (kg/m2) +0.12902*TG (mmol/L) +0.03970*CK-MB (ng/mL) -0.03988*Na(mmol/L) +0.65395 * (UACR > 30 mg/g) + 1.10837 * (UACR > 300 mg/g). The calibration plot diagram of predicted probabilities against observed DCM rates indicated excellent concordance. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the novel nomogram was clinically useful. CONCLUSION Diastolic cardiac dysfunction in patients with T2DM can be predicted by clinical parameters. Our prediction model may represent an effective tool for large-scale epidemiological study of diastolic cardiac dysfunction in T2DM patients and provide a reliable method for early screening of T2DM patients with cardiac complications.KEY MESSAGESThis study used clinical parameters to predict diastolic cardiac dysfunction in patients with T2DM. This study established a nomogram for predicting diastolic cardiac dysfunction by multivariate logical regression analysis. Our predictive model can be used as an effective tool for large-scale epidemiological study of diastolic cardiac dysfunction in patients with T2DM and provides a reliable method for early screening of cardiac complications in patients with T2DM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mingyu Hao
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
- Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen, China
| | - Xiaohong Huang
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
- Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xueting Liu
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Xiaokang Fang
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Haiyan Li
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Lingbo Lv
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Liming Zhou
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Tiecheng Guo
- Chiwan Community Health Service Centre, Shenzhen, China
| | - Dewen Yan
- Department of Endocrinology, Shenzhen Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Shenzhen Second People’s Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Health Science Center of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
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Huang Z, Han Y, Hu H, Cao C, Liu D, Wang Z. Triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio is associated with regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes in adults: a 5-year cohort study in China. J Transl Med 2023; 21:868. [PMID: 38037094 PMCID: PMC10688482 DOI: 10.1186/s12967-023-04752-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2023] [Accepted: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 12/02/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The current body of evidence on the association between the ratio of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-c) and the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemia remains limited. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between TG/HDL-c and the reversion to normoglycemia in patients with prediabetes. METHODS This retrospective cohort study included 15,107 individuals with prediabetes from 32 Chinese districts and 11 cities who completed health checks from 2010 to 2016. The Cox proportional-hazards regression model examined baseline TG/HDL-c and reversion to normoglycemia from prediabetes. Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting determined the non-linear connection between TG/HDL-c and reversion to normoglycemia. We also ran sensitivity and subgroup analysis. By characterizing progression to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemic event, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model with competing risks was created. RESULTS Upon adjusting for covariates, the findings indicate a negative association between TG/HDL-c and the likelihood of returning to normoglycemia (HR = 0.869, 95%CI:0.842-0.897). Additionally, a non-linear relationship between TG/HDL-c and the probability of reversion to normoglycemia was observed, with an inflection point of 1.675. The HR on the left side of the inflection point was 0.748 (95%CI:0.699, 0.801). The robustness of our results was confirmed through competing risks multivariate Cox's regression and a series of sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION The present study reveals a negative and non-linear correlation between TG/HDL-c and the reversion to normoglycemia among Chinese individuals with prediabetes. The findings of this study are anticipated to serve as a valuable resource for clinicians in managing dyslipidemia in prediabetic patients. Interventions aimed at reducing the TG/HDL-c ratio through the reduction of TG or elevation of HDL-c levels may substantially enhance the likelihood of achieving normoglycemia in individuals with prediabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhiqiang Huang
- Department of Emergency, Futian District, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Yong Han
- Department of Emergency, Futian District, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Haofei Hu
- Department of Nephrology, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, China
| | - Changchun Cao
- Department of Rehabilitation, Shenzhen Dapeng New District Nan'ao People's Hospital, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Dehong Liu
- Department of Emergency, Futian District, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
| | - Zhibin Wang
- Department of Emergency, Futian District, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, No. 3002 Sungang Road, Shenzhen, 518000, Guangdong Province, China.
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Nguyen VG, Lewis KM, Gilbert R, Dearden L, De Stavola B. Impact of special educational needs provision on hospital utilisation, school attainment and absences for children in English primary schools stratified by gestational age at birth: A target trial emulation study protocol. NIHR OPEN RESEARCH 2023; 3:59. [PMID: 39139276 PMCID: PMC11320033 DOI: 10.3310/nihropenres.13471.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/09/2023] [Indexed: 08/15/2024]
Abstract
Introduction One third of children in English primary schools have additional learning support called special educational needs (SEN) provision, but children born preterm are more likely to have SEN than those born at term. We aim to assess the impact of SEN provision on health and education outcomes in children grouped by gestational age at birth. Methods We will analyse linked administrative data for England using the Education and Child Health Insights from Linked Data (ECHILD) database. A target trial emulation approach will be used to specify data extraction from ECHILD, comparisons of interest and our analysis plan. Our target population is all children enrolled in year one of state-funded primary school in England who were born in an NHS hospital in England between 2003 and 2008, grouped by gestational age at birth (extremely preterm (24-<28 weeks), very preterm (28-<32 weeks), moderately preterm (32-<34 weeks), late preterm (34-<37 weeks) and full term (37-<42 weeks). The intervention of interest will comprise categories of SEN provision (including none) during year one (age five/six). The outcomes of interest are rates of unplanned hospital utilisation, educational attainment, and absences by the end of primary school education (year six, age 11). We will triangulate results from complementary estimation methods including the naïve estimator, multivariable regression, g-formula, inverse probability weighting, inverse probability weighting with regression adjustment and instrumental variables, along with a variety for a variety of causal contrasts (average treatment effect, overall, and on the treated/not treated). Ethics and dissemination We have existing research ethics approval for analyses of the ECHILD database described in this protocol. We will disseminate our findings to diverse audiences (academics, relevant government departments, service users and providers) through seminars, peer-reviewed publications, short briefing reports and infographics for non-academics (published on the study website).
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Affiliation(s)
- Vincent G Nguyen
- Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, England, WC1N 1EH, UK
| | - Kate Marie Lewis
- Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, England, WC1N 1EH, UK
| | - Ruth Gilbert
- Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, England, WC1N 1EH, UK
| | - Lorraine Dearden
- Social Research Institute, University College London, London, England, WC1H 0AL, UK
| | - Bianca De Stavola
- Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, England, WC1N 1EH, UK
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Kodama S, Jo T, Yasunaga H, Ohbe H, Michihata N, Matsui H, Okada A, Shirota Y, Fushimi K, Toda T, Hamada M. Perioperative Use of Intravenous Levodopa as an Anti-Parkinsonian Drug: A Propensity Score Analysis. Mov Disord Clin Pract 2023; 10:1650-1658. [PMID: 38026512 PMCID: PMC10654832 DOI: 10.1002/mdc3.13894] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2023] [Revised: 08/21/2023] [Accepted: 09/17/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Perioperative discontinuation of oral anti-parkinsonian medication can negatively impact the prognosis of abdominal surgery in patients with Parkinson's disease. Although intravenous levodopa may be an alternative, its efficacy has not yet been investigated. Objectives To determine the efficacy of intravenous levodopa as an alternative to oral anti-Parkinsonian drugs during gastric or colorectal cancer surgery. Methods We identified patients with Parkinson's disease who underwent surgery for gastric or colorectal cancer between April 2010 and March 2020, using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a nationwide inpatient database in Japan. Patients were divided into two groups: those who received intravenous levodopa during the perioperative period and those who did not. We compared in-hospital mortalities, major complications, and postoperative length of stay between the groups after adjusting for background characteristics with overlap weights based on propensity scores. Results We identified 648 patients who received intravenous levodopa and 1207 who did not receive levodopa during the perioperative period. In the adjusted cohort, the mean postoperative length of stay was 24.7 and 29.0 days (percent difference, -7.7%; 95% confidence interval, -13.1 to -1.5); in-hospital death was 3.2% and 3.3% (adjusted odds ratio, 0.95; 95% CI: 0.54-1.67); and incidence of major complications were 21.4% and 19.3% (adjusted odds ratio, 0.89; 95% confidence interval, 0.70-1.13) in those with and without intravenous levodopa, respectively. Conclusions Intravenous levodopa was associated with a shorter postoperative length of stay, but not with mortality or morbidity. Intravenous levodopa may improve perioperative care in patients with Parkinson's disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Satoshi Kodama
- Department of Neurology, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Taisuke Jo
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Hideo Yasunaga
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public HealthThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Hiroyuki Ohbe
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public HealthThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Nobuaki Michihata
- Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Hiroki Matsui
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public HealthThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Akira Okada
- Department of Prevention of Diabetes and Lifestyle‐Related Diseases, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Yuichiro Shirota
- Department of Neurology, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Kiyohide Fushimi
- Department of Health Policy and InformaticsTokyo Medical and Dental University Graduate School of Medical and Dental SciencesTokyoJapan
| | - Tatsushi Toda
- Department of Neurology, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
| | - Masashi Hamada
- Department of Neurology, Graduate School of MedicineThe University of TokyoTokyoJapan
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Maher GM, Ward LJ, Hernandez L, Kublickas M, Duvekot JJ, McCarthy FP, Khashan AS, Kublickiene K. Association between socioeconomic status with pregnancy and neonatal outcomes: An international multicenter cohort. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand 2023; 102:1459-1468. [PMID: 37602747 PMCID: PMC10577636 DOI: 10.1111/aogs.14659] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2023] [Revised: 06/13/2023] [Accepted: 07/20/2023] [Indexed: 08/22/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Previous evidence examining the association between socioeconomic status and pregnancy complications are conflicted and often limited to using area-based measures of socioeconomic status. In this study, we aimed to examine the association between individual-level socioeconomic factors and a wide range of adverse pregnancy and neonatal outcomes using data from the IMPROvED birth cohort conducted in Sweden, the Netherlands and Republic of Ireland. MATERIAL AND METHODS The study cohort consisted of women who participated in the IMPROvED birth cohort between 2013 and 2017. Data on socioeconomic factors were self-reported and obtained at 15 weeks' gestation, and included level of education, employment status, relationship status, and income. Data on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes included gestational hypertension, pre-eclampsia, gestational diabetes mellitus, emergency cesarean section, preterm birth, post term delivery, small for gestational age and Apgar score at 1 min. These data were obtained within 72 h following delivery and confirmed using medical records. Multivariable logistic regression examined the association between each socioeconomic variable and each outcome separately adjusting for maternal age, maternal body mass index, maternal smoking, maternal alcohol consumption and cohort center. We also examined the effect of exposure to any ≥2 risk factors compared to none. RESULTS A total of 2879 participants were included. Adjusted results suggested that those with less than third level of education had an increased odds of gestational hypertension (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.23-2.46), while those on a middle level of income had a reduced odds of emergency cesarean section (OR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.42-0.84). No significant associations were observed between socioeconomic variables and neonatal outcomes. Exposure to any ≥2 socioeconomic risk factors was associated with an increased risk of preterm birth (OR: 1.75, 95% CI: 1.06-2.89). CONCLUSIONS We did not find strong evidence of associations between individual-level socioeconomic factors and pregnancy and neonatal outcomes in high-income settings overall, with only few significant associations observed among pregnancy outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gillian M. Maher
- INFANT Research Centre, University College CorkCorkIreland
- School of Public Health, University College CorkCorkIreland
| | - Liam J. Ward
- Division of Renal MedicineCLINTEC, Karolinska InstitutetStockholmSweden
- Department of Forensic Genetics and Forensic ToxicologyNational Board of Forensic MedicineLinköpingSweden
| | - Leah Hernandez
- Division of Renal MedicineCLINTEC, Karolinska InstitutetStockholmSweden
| | - Marius Kublickas
- Department of Fetal MedicineKarolinska University HospitalStockholmSweden
| | - Johannes J. Duvekot
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Obstetrics and Prenatal Medicine, Erasmus MCUniversity Medical Center RotterdamRotterdamThe Netherlands
| | - Fergus P. McCarthy
- INFANT Research Centre, University College CorkCorkIreland
- Department of Obstetrics and GynecologyUniversity College CorkCorkIreland
| | - Ali S. Khashan
- INFANT Research Centre, University College CorkCorkIreland
- School of Public Health, University College CorkCorkIreland
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McManus E, Meacock R, Parkinson B, Sutton M. Evaluating the Short-Term Costs and Benefits of a Nationwide Diabetes Prevention Programme in England: Retrospective Observational Study. APPLIED HEALTH ECONOMICS AND HEALTH POLICY 2023; 21:891-903. [PMID: 37787972 PMCID: PMC10628047 DOI: 10.1007/s40258-023-00830-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/03/2023] [Indexed: 10/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Prevention programmes typically incur short-term costs and uncertain long-term benefits. We use the National Health Service (NHS) England Diabetes Prevention Programme (NHS-DPP) to investigate whether behaviour change programmes may be cost-effective even within the short-term participation period. METHODS We analysed 384,611 referrals between June 2016 and March 2019. We estimated NHS costs using implementation costs and provider payments. We used linear regressions to relate utility changes to the number of sessions attended, based on responses to the five-level EQ-5D (EQ-5D-5L) at baseline and final session for 18,959 participants. We then calculated the corresponding quality-adjusted life year (QALY) change for all 384,611 referrals by combining the estimated regression coefficients with the observed level of attendance, with individuals that did not attend any programme sessions being assumed to experience zero benefit. In secondary analysis, we added weight change, recorded for 18,105 participants to the regression and applied predicted values to all referrals with missing weight change values estimated using multiple imputation with chained equations. We then estimated the cost-per-QALY generated. RESULTS Average cost per referral was £119 (standard deviation: £118; 2020 price year, UK £ Sterling). Each session attended was associated with a 0.0042 increase in utility (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.0025-0.0059). This generated 1,773 QALYs across all referrals (95% CI: 889-2,656). Cost-per-QALY was £24,929 (95% CI: £16,635-49,720) when implementation costs were excluded. Secondary analysis showed each session attended and kilogram of weight lost were associated with 0.0034 (95% CI: 0.0016-0.0051) and 0.0025 (95% CI: 0.0020-0.0031) increases in utility, respectively. These generated 1,542 QALYs, at a cost-per-QALY of £28,661 when implementation costs were excluded. CONCLUSION Participants experienced small utility gains from session attendance and weight loss during their programme participation. These benefits alone made this low-cost behaviour change programme potentially cost-effective in the short-term.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emma McManus
- Health Organisation, Policy and Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
| | - Rachel Meacock
- Health Organisation, Policy and Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Beth Parkinson
- Health Organisation, Policy and Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Matt Sutton
- Health Organisation, Policy and Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
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Qiu H, Dobriban E, Tchetgen Tchetgen E. Prediction sets adaptive to unknown covariate shift. J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol 2023; 85:1680-1705. [PMID: 38312527 PMCID: PMC10837005 DOI: 10.1093/jrsssb/qkad069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2022] [Revised: 06/17/2023] [Accepted: 06/20/2023] [Indexed: 02/06/2024]
Abstract
Predicting sets of outcomes-instead of unique outcomes-is a promising solution to uncertainty quantification in statistical learning. Despite a rich literature on constructing prediction sets with statistical guarantees, adapting to unknown covariate shift-a prevalent issue in practice-poses a serious unsolved challenge. In this article, we show that prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantee are uninformative and propose a novel flexible distribution-free method, PredSet-1Step, to efficiently construct prediction sets with an asymptotic coverage guarantee under unknown covariate shift. We formally show that our method is asymptotically probably approximately correct, having well-calibrated coverage error with high confidence for large samples. We illustrate that it achieves nominal coverage in a number of experiments and a data set concerning HIV risk prediction in a South African cohort study. Our theory hinges on a new bound for the convergence rate of the coverage of Wald confidence intervals based on general asymptotically linear estimators.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hongxiang Qiu
- Department of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA
| | - Edgar Dobriban
- Department of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA
| | - Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen
- Department of Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA
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Wong ASM, Morrice-West AV, Hitchens PL, Whitton RC. The association between Thoroughbred racehorse training practices and musculoskeletal injuries in Victoria, Australia. Front Vet Sci 2023; 10:1260554. [PMID: 37941814 PMCID: PMC10628463 DOI: 10.3389/fvets.2023.1260554] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2023] [Accepted: 08/29/2023] [Indexed: 11/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Catastrophic musculoskeletal injuries (CMI) in horses are associated with both too little and too much high-speed exercise. In order to advise trainers on training and management strategies that minimize the risk of musculoskeletal injury (MSI), a better understanding of how training practices affect MSI in racehorses is needed. Data from prospective studies relating training data and MSI are complicated by the gradual development of pathology and the effect of this on the ability of horses to train consistently prior to the identification of an injury. To circumvent this, 66 Australian Thoroughbred trainers were surveyed on their intended training practices, including rest, pre-training, and race-fit practices. Associations between intended training practices and catastrophic and non-catastrophic race day MSI outcomes in two-year-old and mature (≥three-year-old) horses were assessed using multivariable negative binomial regression models. The incidence of two-year-old race day MSI was lower for trainers who preferred shorter times (weeks) to trial, less time in fast work pre-trial (p = 0.003), shorter, more frequent rest periods (p < 0.01) and higher amounts of fast work at 15.5-16.7 m/s once race-fit (p = 0.001). The incidence of mature horse race day MSI was lower for trainers who preferred longer rest periods (p = 0.026) and a high-volume pre-trial training strategy comprising a high volume of slower speed gallop training and longer times to trial compared to fast and light training programs (p = 0.004) for their mature horses, in addition to higher amounts of fast work at 15.5-16.7 m/s for their race-fit two-year-olds (p = 0.012). Race day CMI incidence was lower for trainers who preferred lower volumes of fast gallop work for their race-fit mature horses (p < 0.05). These results suggest that two-year-old training practices could affect MSI risk later in a horse's career, and that age and stage in training (pre-trial, race-fit) are important considerations when developing training practices to minimize the risk of MSI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adelene S. M. Wong
- Equine Lameness and Imaging Centre, Melbourne Veterinary School, The University of Melbourne, Werribee, VIC, Australia
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Shen J, Hubbard RA, Linn KA. Estimation and evaluation of individualized treatment rules following multiple imputation. Stat Med 2023; 42:4236-4256. [PMID: 37496450 DOI: 10.1002/sim.9857] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2022] [Revised: 05/12/2023] [Accepted: 07/14/2023] [Indexed: 07/28/2023]
Abstract
An individualized treatment rule (ITR) is a function that inputs patient-level information and outputs a recommended treatment. An important focus of precision medicine is to develop optimal ITRs that maximize a population-level distributional summary. However, guidance for estimating and evaluating optimal ITRs in the presence of missing data is limited. Our work is motivated by the Social Incentives to Encourage Physical Activity and Understand Predictors (STEP UP) study. Participants were randomized to a control or one of three interventions designed to increase physical activity and were given wearable devices to record daily steps as a measure of physical activity. Many participants were missing at least one daily step count during the study period. In the primary analysis of the STEP UP trial, multiple imputation (MI) was used to address missingness in daily step counts. Despite ubiquitous use of MI in practice, it has been given relatively little attention in the context of personalized medicine. We fill this gap by describing two frameworks for estimation and evaluation of an optimal ITR following MI and assessing their performance using simulated data. One framework relies on splitting the data into independent training and testing sets for estimation and evaluation, respectively. The other framework estimates an optimal ITR using the full data and constructs anm $$ m $$ -out-of-n $$ n $$ bootstrap confidence interval to evaluate its performance. Finally, we provide an illustrative analysis to estimate and evaluate an optimal ITR from the STEP UP data with a focus on practical considerations such as choosing the number of imputations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jenny Shen
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Rebecca A Hubbard
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Kristin A Linn
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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Dolomisiewicz A, Ali H, Roul P, Yang Y, Cannon GW, Sauer B, Baker JF, Mikuls TR, Michaud K, England BR. Updating and Validating the Rheumatic Disease Comorbidity Index to Incorporate ICD-10-CM Diagnostic Codes. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) 2023; 75:2199-2206. [PMID: 36951260 PMCID: PMC10517070 DOI: 10.1002/acr.25116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2023] [Revised: 03/10/2023] [Accepted: 03/21/2023] [Indexed: 03/24/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To update and validate the Rheumatic Disease Comorbidity Index (RDCI) utilizing International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes. METHODS We defined ICD-9-CM (n = 1,068) and ICD-10-CM (n = 1,425) era cohorts (n = 862 in both) spanning the ICD-9-CM to ICD-10-CM transition in a multicenter, prospective rheumatoid arthritis registry. Information regarding comorbidities was collected from linked administrative data over 2-year assessment periods. An ICD-10-CM code list was generated from crosswalks and clinical expertise. ICD-9- and ICD-10-derived RDCI scores were compared using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). The predictive ability of the RDCI for functional status and death during follow-up was assessed using multivariable regression models and goodness-of-fit statistics (Akaike's information criterion [AIC] and quasi information criterion [QIC]) in both cohorts. RESULTS Mean ± SD RDCI scores were 2.93 ± 1.72 in the ICD-9-CM cohort and 2.92 ± 1.74 in the ICD-10-CM cohort. RDCI scores had substantial agreement in individuals who were in both cohorts (ICC 0.71 [95% confidence interval 0.68-0.74]). Prevalence of comorbidities was similar between cohorts with absolute differences <6%. Higher RDCI scores were associated with a greater risk of death and poorer functional status during follow-up in both cohorts. Similarly, in both cohorts, models including the RDCI score had the lowest QIC (functional status) and AIC (death) values, indicating better model performance. CONCLUSION The newly proposed ICD-10-CM codes for the RDCI-generated comparable RDCI scores to those derived from ICD-9-CM codes and are highly predictive of functional status and death. The proposed ICD-10-CM codes for the RDCI can be used in rheumatic disease outcomes research spanning the ICD-10-CM era.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony Dolomisiewicz
- Veterans Affairs Nebraska-Western Iowa Health Care System, Omaha, NE
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE
| | - Hanifah Ali
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE
| | - Punyasha Roul
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE
| | - Yangyuna Yang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE
| | | | - Brian Sauer
- Salt Lake City VA & University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
| | - Joshua F. Baker
- Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA & University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA
| | - Ted R. Mikuls
- Veterans Affairs Nebraska-Western Iowa Health Care System, Omaha, NE
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE
| | - Kaleb Michaud
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE
- FORWARD, The National Data Bank for Rheumatic Diseases, Wichita, KS
| | - Bryant R. England
- Veterans Affairs Nebraska-Western Iowa Health Care System, Omaha, NE
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology & Immunology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE
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Le JP, Shashikumar SP, Malhotra A, Nemati S, Wardi G. Making the Improbable Possible: Generalizing Models Designed for a Syndrome-Based, Heterogeneous Patient Landscape. Crit Care Clin 2023; 39:751-768. [PMID: 37704338 PMCID: PMC10758922 DOI: 10.1016/j.ccc.2023.02.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/15/2023]
Abstract
Syndromic conditions, such as sepsis, are commonly encountered in the intensive care unit. Although these conditions are easy for clinicians to grasp, these conditions may limit the performance of machine-learning algorithms. Individual hospital practice patterns may limit external generalizability. Data missingness is another barrier to optimal algorithm performance and various strategies exist to mitigate this. Recent advances in data science, such as transfer learning, conformal prediction, and continual learning, may improve generalizability of machine-learning algorithms in critically ill patients. Randomized trials with these approaches are indicated to demonstrate improvements in patient-centered outcomes at this point.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joshua Pei Le
- School of Medicine, University of Limerick, Castletroy, Co, Limerick V94 T9PX, Ireland
| | | | - Atul Malhotra
- Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Shamim Nemati
- Division of Biomedical Informatics, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Gabriel Wardi
- Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA; Department of Emergency Medicine, University of California San Diego, 200 W Arbor Drive, San Diego, CA 92103, USA.
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