Epidemiologic features of hand-foot-mouth disease and herpangina caused by enterovirus 71 in Taiwan, 1998-2005

Quantitation of Enterovirus A71 Empty and Full Particles by Sedimentation Velocity Analytical Ultracentrifugation

The enterovirus A71 (EV71) inactivated vaccine is an effective intervention to control the spread of the virus and prevent EV71-associated hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD). It is widely administered to infants and children in China. The empty particles (EPs) and full particles (FPs) generated during production have different antigenic and immunogenic properties. However, the antigen detection methods currently used were established without considering the differences in antigenicity between EPs and FPs. There is also a lack of other effective analytical methods for detecting the different particle forms, which hinders the consistency between batches of products. In this study, we analyzed the application of sedimentation velocity analytical ultracentrifugation (SV-AUC) in characterizing the EPs and FPs of EV71. Our results showed that the proportions of the two forms could be quantified simultaneously by SV-AUC. We also determined the repeatability and accuracy of this method and found that both parameters were satisfactory. We assessed SV-AUC for bulk vaccine quality control, and our findings indicated that SV-AUC can be used effectively to analyze the percentage of EPs and FPs and monitor the consistency of the process to ensure the quality of the vaccine.

Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Taiwan

Enterovirus infection and enterovirus infection with severe complications (EVSC) are critical issues in several aspects. However, there is no suitable predictive tool for these infections. A climate factor complex (CFC) containing several climate factors could provide more effective predictions. The ping-year factor (PYF) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are possible CFCs. This study aimed to determine the relationship between these two CFCs and the incidence of enterovirus infection. Children aged 15 years and younger with enterovirus infection and/or EVSC were enrolled between 2007 and 2022. Each year was categorized into a ping-year or non-ping-year according to the PYF. Poisson regression was used to evaluate the associations between the PYF, ENSO, and the incidence of enterovirus infection. Compared to the ping-year group, the incidence rate of enterovirus infection, the incidence rate of EVSC, and the ratio of EVSC in the non-ping-year group were 1.24, 3.38, and 2.73 times higher, respectively (p < 0.001). For every one-unit increase in La Niña, the incidence rate of enterovirus infection decreased to 0.96 times (p < 0.001). Our study indicated that CFCs could be potential predictors for enterovirus infection, and the PYF was more suitable than ENSO. Further research is needed to improve the predictive model.

Antiviral Mechanisms of Saucerneol from Saururus chinensis against Enterovirus A71, Coxsackievirus A16, and Coxsackievirus B3: Role of Mitochondrial ROS and the STING/TKB-1/IRF3 Pathway

Enterovirus A71 (EV71), coxsackievirus A16 (CVA16), and coxsackievirus B3 (CVB3) are pathogenic members of the Picornaviridae family that cause a range of diseases, including severe central nervous system complications, myocarditis, and pancreatitis. Despite the considerable public health impact of these viruses, no approved antiviral treatments are currently available. In the present study, we confirmed the potential of saucerneol, a compound derived from Saururus chinensis, as an antiviral agent against EV71, CVA16, and CVB3. In the in vivo model, saucerneol effectively suppressed CVB3 replication in the pancreas and alleviated virus-induced pancreatitis. The antiviral activity of saucerneol is associated with increased mitochondrial ROS (mROS) production. In vitro inhibition of mROS generation diminishes the antiviral efficacy of saucerneol. Moreover, saucerneol treatment enhanced the phosphorylation of STING, TBK-1, and IRF3 in EV71- and CVA16-infected cells, indicating that its antiviral effects were mediated through the STING/TBK-1/IRF3 antiviral pathway, which was activated by increased mROS production. Saucerneol is a promising natural antiviral agent against EV71, CVA16, and CVB3 and has potential against virus-induced pancreatitis and myocarditis. Further studies are required to assess its safety and efficacy, which is essential for the development of effective antiviral strategies against these viruses.

Analysis of a SARIMA-XGBoost model for hand, foot, and mouth disease in Xinjiang, China

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a common childhood infectious disease. The incidence of HFMD has a pronounced seasonal tendency and is closely related to meteorological factors such as temperature, rainfall, and wind speed. In this paper, we propose a combined SARIMA-XGBoost model to improve the prediction accuracy of HFMD in 15 regions of Xinjiang, China. The SARIMA model is used for seasonal trends, and the XGBoost algorithm is applied for the nonlinear effects of meteorological factors. The geographical and temporal weighted regression model is designed to analyze the influence of meteorological factors from temporal and spatial perspectives. The analysis results show that the HFMD exhibits seasonal characteristics, peaking from May to August each year, and the HFMD incidence has significant spatial heterogeneity. The meteorological factors affecting the spread of HFMD vary among regions. Temperature and daylight significantly impact the transmission of the disease in most areas. Based on the verification experiment of forecasting, the proposed SARIMA-XGBoost model is superior to other models in accuracy, especially in regions with a high incidence of HFMD.

Potential relevance of salivary legumain for the clinical diagnostic of hand, foot, and mouth disease

The fight against hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) remains an arduous challenge without existing point-of-care (POC) diagnostic platforms for accurate diagnosis and prompt case quarantine. Hence, the purpose of this salivary biomarker discovery study is to set the fundamentals for the realization of POC diagnostics for HFMD. Whole salivary proteome profiling was performed on the saliva obtained from children with HFMD and healthy children, using a reductive dimethylation chemical labeling method coupled with high-resolution mass spectrometry-based quantitative proteomics technology. We identified 19 upregulated (fold change = 1.5-5.8) and 51 downregulated proteins (fold change = 0.1-0.6) in the saliva samples of HFMD patients in comparison to that of healthy volunteers. Four upregulated protein candidates were selected for dot blot-based validation assay, based on novelty as biomarkers and exclusions in oral diseases and cancers. Salivary legumain was validated in the Singapore (n = 43 healthy, 28 HFMD cases) and Taiwan (n = 60 healthy, 47 HFMD cases) cohorts with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.7583 and 0.8028, respectively. This study demonstrates the feasibility of a broad-spectrum HFMD POC diagnostic test based on legumain, a virus-specific host systemic signature, in saliva.

CUR-N399, a PI4KB inhibitor, for the treatment of Enterovirus A71 infection

Over the years, the hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) has sparked epidemics across many countries which mainly affected young children. While symptoms are usually mild, severe complications may arise, and some even lead to death. Such concerns, coupled with the lack of approved vaccines and antivirals to date, create an urgency in the identification of safe therapeutics against HFMD. The disease is mainly transmitted by enteroviruses like enterovirus A71 (EV-A71). Essential for enterovirus replication is the host protein, PI4KB. In this study, we investigate the antiviral efficacy of a novel PI4KB inhibitor, CUR-N399. We found that CUR-N399 displayed broad-spectrum antiviral activity against picornaviruses in cell culture models. Using a suckling mouse model of lethal EV-A71 infection, CUR-N399 was found to be well-tolerated, promote survival and reduce viral titre in mice organs. Together, these support the discovery of CUR-N399 as an antiviral against EV-A71 and potentially other closely related viruses.

Research progress on pathogenic and therapeutic mechanisms of Enterovirus A71

In recent years, enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) infection has become a major global public health problem, especially for infants and young children. The results of epidemiological research show that EV-A71 infection can cause acute hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) and complications of the nervous system in severe cases, including aseptic pediatric meningoencephalitis, acute flaccid paralysis, and even death. Many studies have demonstrated that EV-A71 infection may trigger a variety of intercellular and intracellular signaling pathways, which are interconnected to form a network that leads to the innate immune response, immune escape, inflammation, and apoptosis in the host. This article aims to provide an overview of the possible mechanisms underlying infection, signaling pathway activation, the immune response, immune evasion, apoptosis, and the inflammatory response caused by EV-A71 infection and an overview of potential therapeutic strategies against EV-A71 infection to better understand the pathogenesis of EV-A71 and to aid in the development of antiviral drugs and vaccines.

Reporter Coxsackievirus A5 Expressing iLOV Fluorescent Protein or Luciferase Used for Rapid Neutralizing Assay in Cells and Living Imaging in Mice

Coxsackievirus A5 (CV-A5) is a re-emerging enterovirus that causes hand, foot, and mouth disease in children under five years of age. CV-A5-M14-611 is a mouse-adapted strain that can infect orally and lead to the death of 14-day-old mice. Here, recombinants based on CV-A5-M14-611 were constructed carrying three reporter genes in different lengths. Smaller fluorescent marker proteins, light, oxygen, voltage sensing (iLOV), and nano luciferase (Nluc) were proven to be able to express efficiently in vitro. However, the recombinant with the largest insertion of the red fluorescence protein gene (DsRed) was not rescued. The construction strategy of reporter viruses was to insert the foreign genes between the C-terminus of VP1 and the N-terminus of 2A genes and to add a 2A protease cleavage domain at both ends of the insertions. The iLOV-tagged or Nluc-tagged recombinants, CV-A5-iLOV or CV-A5-Nluc, exhibited a high capacity for viral replication, genetic stability in cells and pathogenicity in mice. They were used to establish a rapid, inexpensive and convenient neutralizing antibody assay and greatly facilitated virus neutralizing antibody titration. Living imaging was performed on mice with CV-A5-Nluc, which exhibited specific bioluminescence in virus-disseminated organs, while fluorescence induced by CV-A5-iLOV was weakly detected. The reporter-gene-tagged CV-A5 can be used to study the infection and mechanisms of CV-A5 pathogenicity in a mouse model. They can also be used to establish rapid and sensitive assays for detecting neutralizing antibodies.

Effect of proteins isolated from Brazilian snakes on enterovirus A71 replication cycle: An approach against hand, foot and mouth disease

Enterovirus A71 (EVA71) belongs to the Picornaviridae family and is the main etiological agent of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD). There is no approved antiviral against EVA71, and therefore the search for novel anti-EVA71 therapeutics is essential. In this context, the antiviral activity of proteins isolated from snake venoms has been reported against a range of viruses. Here, the proteins CM10 and CM14 isolated from Bothrops moojeni, and Crotamin and PLA2CB isolated from Crotalus durissus terrificus were investigated for their antiviral activity against EVA71 infection. CM14 and Crotamin possessed a selective index (SI) of 170.8 and 120.4, respectively, while CM10 and PLA2CB had an SI of 67.4 and 12.5, respectively. CM14 inhibited all steps of viral replication (protective effect: 76 %; virucidal: 99 %; and post-entry: 99 %). Similarly, Crotamin inhibited up to 99 % of three steps. In contrast, CM10 and PLA2CB impaired one or two steps of EVA71 replication, respectively. Further dose-response assays using increasing titres of EVA71 were performed and CM14 and Crotamin retained functionality with high concentrations of EVA71 (up to 1000 TCID50). These data demonstrate that proteins isolated from snake venom are potent inhibitors of EVA71 and could be used as scaffolds for future development of novel antivirals.

Computational and experimental studies of salvianolic acid A targets 3C protease to inhibit enterovirus 71 infection

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a common childhood infectious disease caused by enterovirus (EV) infection. EV71 is one of the major pathogens causing hand, foot, and mouth disease and is more likely to cause exacerbation and death than other enteroviruses. Although a monovalent vaccine for EV71 has been developed, there are no clinically available anti-EV71 specific drugs. Here, we performed virtual screening and biological experiments based on the traditional Chinese medicine monomer library. We identified a traditional Chinese medicine monomer, Salvianolic acid A (SA), a polyphenolic compound isolated from Salvia miltiorrhiza. Salvianolic acid A inhibits EV71 virus infection in a concentration-dependent manner, and its antiviral activity is higher than that of other reported natural polyphenols and has a high biosafety. Furthermore, molecular dynamics simulations showed that salvianolic acid A can anchor to E71, a member of the enzyme catalytic triad, and cause H40 to move away from the catalytic center. Meanwhile, molecular mechanics generalized born surface area (MMGBSA) and steered molecular dynamics (SMD) results showed that the P1 group of SA was most easily unbound to the S1 pocket of 3C^pro, which provided theoretical support to further improve the affinity of salvianolic acid A with 3C^pro. These findings suggest that salvianolic acid A is a novel EV71 3C^pro inhibitor with excellent antiviral activity and is a promising candidate for clinical studies.

Clinical profile and molecular typing of viral etiological agents associated with Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease (HFMD): A study from Udhampur, Northern India

PURPOSE

Hand, Foot and Mouth disease (HFMD) is a contagious pediatric viral disease caused due to enteroviruses (EV) of the family Picornaviridae. Cases of HFMD were reported from a tertiary care health centre, Udhampur, (Jammu and Kashmir), Northern India. The present study highlights the clinical and molecular virological aspects of HFMD cases.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Cases reported during August 2016-September 2017, and clinically diagnosed as HFMD of all age groups were included. Clinical, Biochemical and molecular virology aspects were compared. Clinical samples (n ​= ​50) such as vesicle swab, buccal and throat swabs were collected for enterovirus detection. EV-RNA was detected by 5'NCR based RT-PCR and genotyping by VP1 gene amplification and cycle sequencing.

RESULTS

Of the cases of HFMD enrolled (n ​= ​50), highest (84%) were of children aged <5 years, presented either or both anathemas and exanthemas with prodromal symptoms (fever, irritability). Clinical presentations involved mainly oral ulcers on lips and tongue (48%). Oral erosions were either single or multiple in numbers. Exanthemas were seen on hand and palm, widely spread up to buttocks, legs, arms and trunk. Of these, six patients were found anemic. Complete blood count (CBC) indicated lymphocytosis and C-reactive protein (n ​= ​10) in children aged <5 years. EV-RNA was detected in 78% (39/50) of the clinical samples. VP1 gene based typing indicated the presence of CV-A16, CVA6 and EV-A71 types.

CONCLUSIONS

The study highlights association of EVs in HFMD cases in the reported region. CV-A16, CV-A6 and EV-A71 types were reported for the first time from Udhampur (J&K), Northern India. No differences were observed in the clinical profile of EV strains detected. Circulation of the strains warrant and alarm outbreaks. More focused studies on HFMD and monitoring of viral strains is mandatory.

Recent advances in enterovirus A71 pathogenesis: a focus on fatal human enterovirus A71 infection

Enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) is one of the major pathogens responsible for hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD). Many HFMD outbreaks have been reported throughout the world in the past decades. Compared with other viruses, EV-A71 infection is more frequently associated with severe neurological complications and even death in children. EV-A71 can also infect adults and cause severe complications and death, although such cases are very uncommon. Although fatal cases of EV-A71 infection have been reported, the underlying mechanisms of EV-A71 infection, especially the mode of viral spread into the central nervous system (CNS) and mechanisms of pulmonary edema, which is considered to be the direct cause of death, have not yet been fully clarified, and more studies are needed. Here, we first summarize the pathological findings in various systems of patients with fatal EV-A71 infections, focussing in detail on gross changes, histopathological examination, tissue distribution of viral antigens and nucleic acids, systemic inflammatory cell infiltration, and tissue distribution of viral receptors and their co-localization with viral antigens. We then present our conclusions about viral dissemination, neuropathogenesis, and the mechanism of pulmonary edema in EV-A71 infection, based on pathological findings.

Berberine prevents lethal EV71 neurological infection in newborn mice

Enterovirus 71 (EV71) is the major pathogen causing fatal neurological complications of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in young children. Currently no effective antiviral therapy is available. In the present study, we found that natural compound Berberine (BBR) displayed potent inhibitory effects on EV71 replication in various neural cells (IC₅₀ of 2.79–4.03 μM). In a newborn mouse model of lethal EV71 infection, Berberine at 2–5 mg/kg markedly reduced mortality and clinical scores. Consistently, the replication of EV71 and pathological changes were attenuated in various infected organs including brain and lung with BBR treatment. Interestingly, EV71 infection in the brain mainly localized in the peripheral zone of brainstem and largely in astrocytes. Primary culture of astrocytes from newborn mouse brain confirmed the efficient EV71 replication that was mostly inhibited by BBR treatment at 5 μM. Further investigations revealed remarkably elevated cellular reactive oxygen species (ROS) levels that coincided with EV71 replication in primary cultured astrocytes and various cell lines. BBR largely abolished the virus-elevated ROS production and greatly diminished EV71 replication by up-regulating NFE2 like bZIP transcription factor 2 (Nrf2) via the kelch like ECH associated protein 1 (Keap)-Nrf2 axis. The nuclear localization of Nrf2 and expression of downstream antioxidant enzymes heme oxygenase 1 (HO-1) and NAD(P)H quinone dehydrogenase 1 (NQO1) were increased significantly by BBR treatment. Collectively, our findings revealed that BBR prevents lethal EV71 neurological infection via inhibiting virus replication through regulating Keap-Nrf2 axis and ROS generation in astrocytes of brainstem, thus providing a potential antiviral treatment for severe EV71 infection associated with neurological complications.

Genetic and Cross Neutralization Analyses of Coxsackievirus A16 Circulating in Taiwan from 1998 to 2021 Suggest Dominant Genotype B1 can Serve as Vaccine Candidate

Coxsackievirus A16 (CVA16) is well known for causing hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) and outbreaks were frequently reported in Taiwan in the past twenty years. The epidemiology and genetic variations of CVA16 in Taiwan from 1998 to 2021 were analyzed in this study. CVA16 infections usually occurred in early summer and early winter, and showed increased incidence in 1998, 2000-2003, 2005, 2007-2008, and 2010 in Taiwan. Little or no CVA16 was detected from 2017 to 2021. CVA16 infection was prevalent in patients between 1 to 3 years old. A total of 69 isolates were sequenced. Phylogenetic analysis based on the VP1 region showed that CVA16 subgenotype B1 was dominantly isolated in Taiwan from 1998 to 2019, and B2 was identified only from isolates collected in 1999 and 2000. There was a high frequency of synonymous mutations in the amino acid sequences of the VP1 region among CVA16 isolates, with the exception of position 145 which showed positive selection. The recombination analysis of the whole genome of CVA16 isolates indicated that the 5'-untranslated region and the non-structural protein region of CVA16 subgenotype B1 were recombined with Coxsackievirus A4 (CVA4) and enterovirus A71 (EVA71) genotype A, respectively. The recombination pattern of subgenotype B2 was similar to B1, however, the 3D region was similar to EVA71 genotype B. Cross-neutralization among CVA16 showed that mouse antisera from various subgenotypes viruses can cross-neutralize different genotype with high neutralizing antibody titers. These results suggest that the dominant CVA16 genotype B1 can serve as a vaccine candidate for CVA16.

Association of PM2.5 and its components with lengths of hospital stay for hand foot and mouth disease in children

Hand foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a widespread public health concern but the studies on air pollution and the lengths of hospital stay (LOS) of HFMD are scarce nevertheless. Clinic demographic features among 5135 hospitalized HFMD cases in Nanjing, China, had been characterized from 2012 to 2017. Then, we had analyzed the association between PM2.5 short-term exposure as well as its components (OM, BC, SO42-, NH4+, NIT, SOIL, and SS) and the LOS of HFMD. Among these cases that were involved in our study, 98.62% were aged 0-6 years old, and 3772 (73.46%) were hospitalized within 1 week or less. The LOS of HFMD patients was different in various age ranges, illness onset years, and illness onset seasons (P < 0.01). For per IQR increase in PM2.5 concentrations, LOS of HFMD increased by 0.52 (0.33, 0.71), 0.50 (95% CI, 0.31-0.69) and 0.46 (95% CI, 0.28-0.65) day in adjusted models at lag 3 days, lag 7 days, and lag 14 days, respectively. In addition, per IQR increase of BC, SO42-, NH4+, NIT, and SOIL was also significantly associated with the LOS of HFMD. Our findings corroborated that short-term PM2.5 exposure was associated with the increased LOS of HFMD, and its components (BC, SO42-, NH4+, NIT, and SOIL) of PM2.5 might play a key role in prolonged LOS of HFMD.

The impact of enterovirus A71 vaccination program on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangdong, China:a longitudinal surveillance study

Enterovirus A71 (EV71) vaccination program was introduced in 2016 in China. Based on a longitudinal surveillance dataset from 2012 to 2019 in Guangdong, China, we estimated the impact of the EV71 vaccination program on hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) incidence, by using a counterfactual prediction made from synthetic control approach integrated with a Bayesian time-series model. We observed a relative reduction of 41.4% for EV71-associated HFMD cases during the post-vaccination period of 2017-2019, corresponding to 26,226 cases averted. The reduction of EV71-associated HFMD cases raised with the elevation of EV71 vaccine coverage by year. We found an indirect effect for the children aged 6-14 years who were less likely to be vaccinated. Whereas, the EV71 vaccine may not protect against non-EV71-associated HFMD. This study provides a template for ongoing public health surveillance of EV71 vaccine effectiveness with a counterfactual study design. Our results show strong evidence of the EV71 vaccination program working on reducing EV71-associated HFMD in real-world settings. The finding will benefit policy-making of EV71 vaccination and the prevention of HFMD.

Global emergence of Enterovirus 71: a systematic review

Background

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a viral infection caused by a virus from the enterovirus genus of picornavirus family that majorly affects children. Though most cases of HFMD do not cause major problems, the outbreaks of Enterovirus 71 (EV71) can produce a high risk of neurological sequelae, including meningoencephalitis, lung difficulties, and mortality. In Asia, HFMD caused by EV71 has emerged as an acutely infectious disease of highly pathogenic potential, which demands the attention of the international medical community.

Main body of the abstract

Some online databases including NCBI, PubMed, Google Scholar, ProQuest, Scopus, and EBSCO were also accessed using keywords relating to the topic for data mining. The paid articles were accessed through the Centre Library facility of Siksha O Anusandhan University. This work describes the structure, outbreak, molecular epidemiology of Enterovirus 71 along with different EV71 vaccines. Many vaccines have been developed such as inactivated whole-virus live attenuated, subviral particles, and DNA vaccines to cure the patients. In Asia–Pacific nations, inactivated EV71 vaccination still confronts considerable obstacles in terms of vaccine standardization, registration, price, and harmonization of pathogen surveillance and measurements.

Short conclusion

HFMD has emerged as a severe health hazard in Asia–Pacific countries in recent decades. In Mainland China and other countries with high HFMD prevalence, the inactivated EV71 vaccination will be a vital tool in safeguarding children's health. When creating inactivated EV71 vaccines, Mainland China ensured maintaining high standards of vaccine quality. The Phase III clinical studies were used to confirm the safety and effectiveness of vaccinations.

Graphical Abstract

Assessing the impact of ambient temperature on the risk of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangdong, China: New insight from the disease severity and burden

Background

The association between the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) and ambient temperature has been well documented. Although the severity of symptoms is an important indicator of disease burden and varies significantly across cases, it usually was ignored in previous studies, potentially leading to biased estimates of the health impact of temperature.

Methods

We estimated the disability-adjusted life year (DALY) by considering the severity of symptoms for each HFMD case reported during 2010–2012 in Guangdong and used distributed lag-nonlinear models to estimate the association between the daily average temperature and daily DALY of HFMD cases at the city-level. We investigated the potential effect modifiers on the pathway between temperature and DALY and pooled city-specific estimates to a provincial association using a meta-regression. The overall impact of temperature was further evaluated by estimates of DALYs that could be attributed to HFMD.

Results

The overall cumulative effect of daily mean temperature on the DALY of HFMD showed an inverse-U shape, with the maximum effect estimated to be β = 0.0331 (95%CI: 0.0199–0.0463) DALY at 23.8°C. Overall, a total of 6.432 (95%CI: 3.942–8.885) DALYs (attributable fraction = 2.721%, 95%CI: 1.660–3.759%) could be attributed to temperature exposure. All the demographic subgroups had a similar trend as the main analysis, while the magnitude of the peak of the temperature impact tended to be higher among the males, those aged ≥3yrs or from the Pear-River Delta region. Additionally, the impact of temperature on DALY elevated significantly with the increasing population density, per capita GDP, and per capita green space in parks.

Conclusions

Temperature exposure was associated with increased burden of HFMD nonlinearly, with certain groups such as boys and those from areas with greater population density being more vulnerable.

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a contagious viral infection common in young children. Although the association between ambient temperature and the risk of HFMD has been well documented, existing studies were solely based on the reported number of cases, failing to differentiate cases of different severity. This study improves the estimation of disease burden by additionally accounting for the severity of symptoms. Our major findings included that (1) we identified an inverse-U shaped association between the ambient temperature and the daily DALY (i.e. an established indicator for disease burden) associated with HFMD, with 2.7% DALY could be attributed to the temperature exposure; (2) the peak impact of temperature on DALY was estimated to be β = 0.0331 (95%CI: 0.0199–0.0463) DALY and identified at 23.8°C; (3) the trends were generally consistent across different demographic and geographic subgroups, with the peak effect identified to be greater among the males, those aged ≥3yrs or from the Pear-River Delta region; (4) the impact of temperature on DALY elevated more apparently in areas with a greater population density, per capita GDP, or per capita green space in parks.

Molecular Epidemiology of Enterovirus A71 in Surveillance of Acute Flaccid Paralysis Cases in Senegal, 2013-2020

Enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) is a non-polio enterovirus that currently represents a major public health concern worldwide. In Africa, only sporadic cases have been reported. Acute flaccid paralysis and environmental surveillance programs have been widely used as strategies for documenting the circulation of polio and non-polio enteroviruses. To date, little is known about the molecular epidemiology of enterovirus A71 in Africa where resources and diagnostic capacities are limited. To fill this gap in Senegal, a total of 521 non-polio enterovirus isolates collected from both acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) and environmental surveillance (ES) programs between 2013 and 2020 were screened for enterovirus A71 using real-time RT-PCR. Positive isolates were sequenced, and genomic data were analyzed using phylogeny. An overall rate of 1.72% (9/521) of the analyzed isolates tested positive for enterovirus A71. All positive isolates originated from the acute flaccid paralysis cases, and 44.4% (4/9) of them were isolated in 2016. The nine newly characterized sequences obtained in our study included eight complete polyprotein sequences and one partial sequence of the VP1 gene, all belonging to the C genogroup. Seven out of the eight complete polyprotein sequences belonged to the C2 subgenotype, while one of them grouped with previous sequences from the C1 subgenotype. The partial VP1 sequence belonged to the C1 subgenotype. Our data provide not only new insights into the recent molecular epidemiology of enterovirus A71 in Senegal but also point to the crucial need to set up specific surveillance programs targeting non-polio enteroviruses at country or regional levels in Africa for rapid identification emerging or re-emerging enteroviruses and better characterization of public health concerns causing acute flaccid paralysis in children such as enterovirus A71. To estimate the real distribution of EV-A71 in Africa, more sero-epidemiological studies should be promoted, particularly in countries where the virus has already been reported.

Molecular Epidemiology of Herpangina Children in Tongzhou District, Beijing, China, During 2019-2020

Background

The changing pattern of pathogen spectrum causing herpangina in the time of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic was unknown. The purpose of this study was to investigate the changes on the molecular epidemiology of herpangina children during 2019-2020 in Tongzhou district, Beijing, China.

Method

From January 2019 to December 2020, children diagnosed with herpangina were recruited by the staff from Tongzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in Beijing. Viral RNA extraction from pharyngeal swabs was used for enterovirus (EV) detection and the complete VP1 gene was sequenced. The phylogenetic analysis was performed based on all VP1 sequences for EV genotypes.

Result

A total of 1,331 herpangina children were identified during 2019-2020 with 1,121 in 2019 and 210 in 2020, respectively. The predominant epidemic peak of herpangina children was in summer and autumn of 2019, but not observed in 2020. Compared to the number of herpangina children reported in 2019, it decreased sharply in 2020. Among 129 samples tested in 2019, 61 (47.3%) children were detected with EV, while 22.5% (20/89) were positive in 2020. The positive rate for EV increased since June 2019, peaked at August 2019, and decreased continuously until February 2020. No cases were observed from February to July in 2020, and the positive rate of EV rebounded to previous level since August 2020. Four genotypes, including coxsackievirus A6 (CV-A6, 9.3%), CV-A4 (7.8%), CV-A10 (2.3%) and CV-A16 (10.1%), were identified in 2019, and only three genotypes, including CV-A6 (9.0%), CV-A10 (6.7%) and CV-A16 (1.1%), were identified in 2020. The phylogenetic analysis showed that all CV-A6 strains from Tongzhou located in Group C, and the predominant strains mainly located in C2-C4 subgroups during 2016-2018 and changed into C1 subgroup during 2018-2020. CV-A16 strains mainly located in Group B, which consisting of strains widely distributed around the world.

Conclusions

The predominant genotypes gradually shifted from CV-A16, CV-A4 and CV-A6 in 2019 to CV-A6 in 2020 under COVID-19 pandemic. Genotype-based surveillance will provide robust evidence and facilitate the development of public health measures.

Prototypes virus of hand, foot and mouth disease infections and severe cases in Gansu, China: a spatial and temporal analysis

Background

Little research has been conducted on the spatio-temporal relationship between the severe cases and the enteroviruses infections of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD). This study aimed to investigate epidemic features and spatial clusters of HFMD incidence rates and assess the relationship between Enterovirus 71 (EV71) and Coxsackievirus A16 (CoxA16) and severe cases of HMFD in Gansu province, China.

Methods

Weekly county-specific data on HFMD between 1st January and 31st December 2018 were collected from the China Infectious Disease Information System (CIDIS), including enterovirus type (EV71 and CoxA16), severe and non-severe cases in Gansu province, China. Temporal risk [frequency index (α), duration index (β) and intensity index (γ)] and spatial cluster analysis were used to assess epidemic features and identify high-risk areas for HFMD. Time-series cross-correlation function and regression model were used to explore the relationship between the ratios of two types of viruses (i.e. EV71/Cox16) (EC) and severe cases index (i.e. severe cases/non-severe cases) (SI) of HFMD.

Results

Some counties in Dingxi City, Gansu were identified as a hot spot for the temporal risk indices. Time-series cross-correlation analysis showed that SI was significantly associated with EC (r = 0.417, P < 0.05) over a 4-week time lag. The regression analysis showed that SI was positively associated with EC (β = 0.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.02–0.06).

Conclusion

The spatial patterns of HFMD incidence were associated with enteroviruses in Gansu. The research suggested that the EC could be considered a potential early warning sign for predicting severe cases of HFMD in Gansu province.

Ecological Barrier Deterioration Driven by Human Activities Poses Fatal Threats to Public Health due to Emerging Infectious Diseases

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and concerns about several other pandemics in the 21st century have attracted extensive global attention. These emerging infectious diseases threaten global public health and raise urgent studies on unraveling the underlying mechanisms of their transmission from animals to humans. Although numerous works have intensively discussed the cross-species and endemic barriers to the occurrence and spread of emerging infectious diseases, both types of barriers play synergistic roles in wildlife habitats. Thus far, there is still a lack of a complete understanding of viral diffusion, migration, and transmission in ecosystems from a macro perspective. In this review, we conceptualize the ecological barrier that represents the combined effects of cross-species and endemic barriers for either the natural or intermediate hosts of viruses. We comprehensively discuss the key influential factors affecting the ecological barrier against viral transmission from virus hosts in their natural habitats into human society, including transmission routes, contact probability, contact frequency, and viral characteristics. Considering the significant impacts of human activities and global industrialization on the strength of the ecological barrier, ecological barrier deterioration driven by human activities is critically analyzed for potential mechanisms. Global climate change can trigger and expand the range of emerging infectious diseases, and human disturbances promote higher contact frequency and greater transmission possibility. In addition, globalization drives more transmission routes and produces new high-risk regions in city areas. This review aims to provide a new concept for and comprehensive evidence of the ecological barrier blocking the transmission and spread of emerging infectious diseases. It also offers new insights into potential strategies to protect the ecological barrier and reduce the wide-ranging risks of emerging infectious diseases to public health.

Enteroviral Infections in the First Three Months of Life

Enteroviruses (EVs) are an important source of infection in the paediatric age, with most cases concerning the neonatal age and early infancy. Molecular epidemiology is crucial to understand the circulation of main serotypes in a specific area and period due to their extreme epidemiological variability. The diagnosis of EVs infection currently relies on the detection of EVs RNA in biological samples (usually cerebrospinal fluid and plasma, but also throat swabs and feces) through a polymerase chain reaction assay. Although EVs infections usually have a benign course, they sometimes become life threatening, especially when symptoms develop in the first few days of life. Mortality is primarily associated with myocarditis, acute hepatitis, and multi-organ failure. Neurodevelopmental sequelae have been reported following severe infections with central nervous system involvement. Unfortunately, at present, the treatment of EVs infections is mainly supportive. The use of specific antiviral agents in severe neonatal infections has been reported in single cases or studies including few neonates. Therefore, further studies are needed to confirm the efficacy of these drugs in clinical practice.

Association between Meteorological Parameters and Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease in Mainland China: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background:

This study reports a systematic review of association between meteorological parameters and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in mainland China.

Methods:

Using predefined study eligibility criteria, three electronic databases (PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase) were searched for relevant articles. Using a combination of search terms, including “Hand foot and mouth disease,” “HFMD,” “Meteorological,” “Climate,” and “China,” After removal of duplicates, our initial search generated 2435 studies published from 1990 to December 31, 2019. From this cohort 51 full-text articles were reviewed for eligibility assessment. The meta-analysis was devised in accordance with the published guidelines of the Cochrane Collaboration and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis (PRISMA). Effect sizes, heterogeneity estimates and publication bias were computed using R software and Review Manager Software.

Results:

The meta-analysis of 18 eligible studies showed that the meteorological parameters played an important role in the prevalence of HFMD. Lower air pressure may be the main risk factor for the incidence of HFMD in Chinese mainland, and three meteorological parameters (mean temperature, rainfall and relative humidity) have a significant association with the incidence of HFMD in subtropical regions.

Conclusion:

Lower air pressure might be the main risk factor for the incidence of HFMD in Chinese mainland. The influence of meteorological parameters on the prevalence of HFMD is mainly through changing virus viability in aerosols, which may be different in different climate regions. In an environment with low air pressure, wearing a mask that filters the aerosol outdoors may help prevent HFMD infection.

Effect of climate factors on the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Malaysia: A generalized additive mixed model

Climate change is one of the critical determinants affecting life cycles and transmission of most infectious agents, including malaria, cholera, dengue fever, hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD), and the recent Corona-virus pandemic. HFMD has been associated with a growing number of outbreaks resulting in fatal complications since the late 1990s. The outbreaks may result from a combination of rapid population growth, climate change, socioeconomic changes, and other lifestyle changes. However, the modeling of climate variability and HFMD remains unclear, particularly in statistical theory development. The statistical relationship between HFMD and climate factors has been widely studied using generalized linear and additive modeling. When dealing with time-series data with clustered variables such as HFMD with clustered states, the independence principle of both modeling approaches may be violated. Thus, a Generalized Additive Mixed Model (GAMM) is used to investigate the relationship between HFMD and climate factors in Malaysia. The model is improved by using a first-order autoregressive term and treating all Malaysian states as a random effect. This method is preferred as it allows states to be modeled as random effects and accounts for time series data autocorrelation. The findings indicate that climate variables such as rainfall and wind speed affect HFMD cases in Malaysia. The risk of HFMD increased in the subsequent two weeks with rainfall below 60 mm and decreased with rainfall exceeding 60 mm. Besides, a two-week lag in wind speeds between 2 and 5 m/s reduced HFMD's chances. The results also show that HFMD cases rose in Malaysia during the inter-monsoon and southwest monsoon seasons but fell during the northeast monsoon. The study's outcomes can be used by public health officials and the general public to raise awareness, and thus, implement effective preventive measures.

Neonatal Murine Model of Coxsackievirus A2 Infection for the Evaluation of Antiviral Therapeutics and Vaccination

Coxsackievirus (CV) A2 has emerged as an important etiological agent in the pathogen spectrum of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD). The symptoms of CVA2 infections are generally mild, but worsen rapidly in some people, posing a serious threat to children’s health. However, compared with enterovirus 71 detected frequently in fatal cases, limited attention has been paid to CVA2 infections because of its benign clinical course. In the present study, we identified three CVA2 strains from HFMD infections and used the cell-adapted CVA2 strain HN202009 to inoculate 5-day-old BALB/c mice intramuscularly. These mice developed remarkably neurological symptoms such as ataxia, hind-limb paralysis, and death. Histopathological determination showed neuronophagia, pulmonary hemorrhage, myofiberlysis and viral myocarditis. Viral replication was detected in multiple organs and tissues, and CVA2 exhibited strong tropism to muscle tissue. The severity of illness was associated with abnormally high levels of inflammatory cytokines, including interleukin (IL)-6, IL-10, tumor necrosis factor α, and monocyte chemotactic protein 1, although the blockade of these proinflammatory cytokines had no obvious protection. We also tested whether an experimental formaldehyde-inactivated CVA2 vaccine could induce protective immune response in adult mice. The CVA2 antisera from the vaccinated mice were effective against CVA2 infection. Moreover, the inactivated CVA2 vaccine could successfully generate immune protection in neonatal mice. Our results indicated that the neonatal mouse model could be a useful tool to study CVA2 infection and to develop CVA2 vaccines.

MicroRNAs miR-18a and miR-452 regulate the replication of enterovirus 71 by targeting the gene encoding VP3

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are crucial in the process of host-pathogen interaction. In this study, we established a screening system for miRNAs of target genes to detect the effect of miRNAs on Enterovirus 71 (EV71) replication in rhabdomyosarcoma (RD) cells. A 3'-untranslated region (UTR) dual-luciferase assay was performed to confirm putative miRNA targets in EV71 genome. Firstly, 13 fragments of EV71 genome were inserted into the vector pMIR, and luciferase activities were analyzed to identify the putative miRNAs of target genes. The expression of the reporter protein was significantly downregulated in cells transfected with the vector containing gene VP3. Then we screened for miRNAs that might target to VP3 through online analysis software. In addition, Western blot, real-time PCR, virus titration, and morphological changes were considered to examine the effects of miRNAs on virus replication. The results suggested that miR-18a and miR-452 repress the reproduction of EV71 virus by binding to VP3. Moreover, EV71 infection also affected the expression of endogenous miR-18a and miR-452. In addition, no significant cytotoxic effects were observed. The results from this study suggest that the intracellular miRNAs may play vital roles in the host-virus interaction.

Epidemiological Characteristics of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Outbreaks in Qingdao, 2009-2018

Background:

In China, hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) outbreaks have become an important issue recent years. We analyzed the epidemiological characteristics of HFMD outbreaks in Qingdao during 2009–2018, and provided evidences for prevention and control of the disease.

Methods:

Data were analyzed by descriptive analysis and correlation analysis, and throat swabs were detected for enterovirus RNA using RT-PCR.

Results:

Overall, 116 HFMD outbreaks were reported in Qingdao during 2009–2018, with the epidemic of the outbreaks exhibiting a decreasing tendency. The characteristics of outbreaks presented two patterns, including two-peak pattern and rural area to urban-rural fringe area to urban areas pattern. Male patients were predominant in these outbreaks. The location of the outbreaks changed from nursery to community. Non-EV71/CA16 enteroviruses were gradually becoming predominant enteroviruses serotypes. The durations of outbreaks were positively correlated with response times and the number of cases.

Conclusion:

The epidemiological characteristics analysis of HFMD outbreaks could provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control the disease. Reporting and handling promptly are the keys to control epidemic outbreaks of HFMD.

A Different Epidemiology of Enterovirus A and Enterovirus B Co-circulating in Korea, 2012-2019

BACKGROUND

Enteroviruses (EVs) occur frequently worldwide and are known to be associated with a broad spectrum of clinical manifestations from mild syndromes to neurological disease. To understand the epidemiology of EV in Korea, we characterized EV-infected cases during 2012-2019 based on national surveillance.

METHODS

We collected specimens from patients with suspected EV infections and analyzed the data using real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction and VP1 gene sequencing.

RESULTS

Among the 18 261 specimens collected, EVs were detected in 6258 (34.3%) cases. Although the most common EV types changed annually, EV-A71, echovirus 30, coxsackievirus B5, coxsackievirus A6, and coxsackievirus A10 were commonly identified. Among the human EVs, the case numbers associated with the 2 major epidemic species (EV-A and EV-B) peaked in the summer. While EV-A species affected 1-year-old children and were associated with herpangina and hand, foot, and mouth disease, EV-B species were mostly associated with neurologic manifestations. The highest incidence of EV-B species was observed in infants aged <12 months. Feces and respiratory specimens were the most predictive of EV infection. Specimens collected within 5 days of symptom onset allowed for timely virus detection.

CONCLUSIONS

EV-A and EV-B species co-circulating in Korea presented different epidemiologic trends in clinical presentation, affected subjects, and seasonality trends. This study could provide information for the characterization of EVs circulating in Korea to aid the development of EV antivirals and vaccines, as well as public health measures to control enteroviral diseases.

Immunogenicity and Safety of Inactivated Enterovirus 71 Vaccine in Children Aged 36-71 Months: A Double-Blind, Randomized, Controlled, Non-inferiority Phase III Trial

BACKGROUND

The Sinovac enterovirus 71 (EV71) vaccine has been given to children aged 6-35 months with good safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy. Further exploration is needed for the application of Sinovac EV71 vaccine in older children.

METHODS

A phase III, double-blind, single-center, randomized, controlled, non-inferiority, and bridging-designed trial enrolled 300 participants aged 6-35 months and 600 participants aged 36-71 months. Non-inferiority and superiority analyses were made to determine the immunogenicity of Sinovac EV71 vaccine in older children (Older-S group), comparing with that of control EV71 vaccine in the same age group (Older-C group), or comparing with that of Sinovac EV71 vaccine in younger children (Younger-S group).

RESULTS

The seroconversion rate of anti-EV71 in Older-S group (95.5%) was superior to that of Older-C group (86.0%), and non-inferior to that of Younger-S group (98.5%). For baseline seronegative participants, the geometric mean titer of Older-S group (370.0) was non-inferior to that of Older-C group (296.2) and superior to that of Younger-S group (176.5). Incidence of adverse reactions in Older-S group (47.0%) was similar to that of Older-C group (44.8%), or Younger-S group (49.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed good safety and immunogenicity of Sinovac EV71 vaccine in children aged 36-71 months.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT03909074.

URL

https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03909074?term=NCT03909074&draw=2&rank=1.

The fluid management and hemodynamic characteristics of PiCCO employed on young children with severe hand, foot, and mouth disease-a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is an acute infectious disease caused by human enterovirus 71 (EV71), coxsackievirus, or echovirus, which is particularly common in preschool children. Severe HFMD is prone to cause pulmonary edema before progressing to respiratory and circulatory failure; thus hemodynamic monitoring and fluid management are important to the treatment process.

METHODS

We did a review of young patients who had been successfully treated in our department for severe HFMD, which had been caused by EV71. A total of 20 patients met the inclusion criteria. Eight cases were monitored by the pulse indicator continuous cardiac output (PiCCO) technique, and fluid management was administered according to its parameters. With regard to the treatment with PiCCO monitoring, patients were divided into two groups: the PiCCO group (8 patients) and the control group (12 patients). The groups were then compared comprehensively to evaluate whether PiCCO monitoring could improve patients' clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

After analysis, the findings informed that although PiCCO failed to shorten the length of ICU stay, reduce the days of vasoactive drug usage, or lower the number of cases which required mechanical ventilation, PiCCO did reduce the incidence of fluid overload (p = 0.085) and shorten the days of mechanical ventilation (p = 0.028). After effective treatment, PiCCO monitoring indicated that the cardiac index (CI) increased gradually(p < 0.0001), in contrast to their pulse (P, p < 0.0001), the extra vascular lung water index (EVLWI, p < 0.0001), the global end diastolic volume index (GEDVI, p = 0.0043), and the systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI, p < 0.0001), all of which decreased gradually.

CONCLUSION

Our study discovered that PiCCO hemodynamic monitoring in young children with severe HFMD has some potential benefits, such as reducing fluid overload and the duration of mechanical ventilation. However, whether it can ameliorate the severity of the disease, reduce mortality, or prevent multiple organ dysfunction remain to be further investigated.

Efficacy of Coxsackievirus A5 Vaccine Candidates in an Actively Immunized Mouse Model

Coxsackievirus A5 (CV-A5) has recently emerged as a main hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) pathogen. Following a large-scale vaccination campaign against enterovirus 71 (EV-71) in China, the number of HFMD-associated cases with EV-71 was reduced, especially severe and fatal cases. However, the total number of HFMD cases remains high, as HFMD is also caused by other enterovirus serotypes. A multivalent HFMD vaccine containing 4 or 6 antigens of enterovirus serotypes is urgently needed. A formaldehyde-inactivated CV-A5 vaccine derived from Vero cells was used to inoculate newborn Kunming mice on days 3 and 10. The mice were challenged on day 14 with a mouse-adapted CV-A5 strain at a dose that was lethal for 14-day-old suckling mice. Within 14 days postchallenge, groups of mice immunized with three formulations, empty particles (EPs), full particles (FPs), and a mixture of the EP and FP vaccine candidates, all survived, while 100% of the mock-immunized mice died. Neutralizing antibodies (NtAbs) were detected in the sera of immunized mice, and the NtAb levels were correlated with the survival rate of the challenged mice. The virus loads in organs were reduced, and pathological changes and viral protein expression were weak or not observed in the immunized mice compared with those in alum-inoculated control mice. Another interesting finding was the identification of CV-A5 dense particles (DPs), facilitating morphogenesis study. These results demonstrated that the Vero cell-adapted CV-A5 strain is a promising vaccine candidate and could be used as a multivalent HFMD vaccine component in the future.IMPORTANCE The vaccine candidate strain CV-A5 was produced with a high infectivity titer and a high viral particle yield. Three particle forms, empty particles (EPs), full particles (FPs), and dense particles (DPs), were obtained and characterized after purification. The immunogenicities of EP, FP, and the EP and FP mixture were evaluated in mice. Mouse-adapted CV-A5 was generated as a challenge strain to infect 14-day-old mice. An active immunization challenge mouse model was established to evaluate the efficacy of the inactivated vaccine candidate. This animal model mimics vaccination, similar to immune responses of the vaccinated. The animal model also tests protective efficacy in response to the vaccine against the disease. This work is important for the preparation of multivalent vaccines against HFMD caused by different emerging strains.

Human Intestinal Organoids Recapitulate Enteric Infections of Enterovirus and Coronavirus

Enteroviruses, such as EV-A71 and CVA16, mainly infect the human gastrointestinal tract. Human coronaviruses, including SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2, have been variably associated with gastrointestinal symptoms. We aimed to optimize the human intestinal organoids and hypothesize that these optimized intestinal organoids can recapitulate enteric infections of enterovirus and coronavirus. We demonstrate that the optimized human intestinal organoids enable better simulation of the native human intestinal epithelium, and that they are significantly more susceptible to EV-A71 than CVA16. Higher replication of EV-A71 than CVA16 in the intestinal organoids triggers a more vigorous cellular response. However, SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 exhibit distinct dynamics of virus-host interaction; more robust propagation of SARS-CoV triggers minimal cellular response, whereas, SARS-CoV-2 exhibits lower replication capacity but elicits a moderate cellular response. Taken together, the disparate profile of the virus-host interaction of enteroviruses and coronaviruses in human intestinal organoids may unravel the cellular basis of the distinct pathogenicity of these viral pathogens.

•

An optimized differentiation protocol improves maturation of intestinal organoids

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SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV infection triggers less robust response than enteroviruses

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Coronaviruses show lower sensitivity to type III IFNs than enteroviruses

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Intestinal organoids recapitulate disparate pathogenicity of CoVs and enteroviruses

Trend analysis and forecast of daily reported incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in Hubei, China by Prophet model

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is common among children below 5 years. HFMD has a high incidence in Hubei Province, China. In this study, the Prophet model was used to forecast the incidence of HFMD in comparison with the autoregressive-integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, and HFMD incidence was decomposed into trends, yearly, weekly seasonality and holiday effect. The Prophet model fitted better than the ARIMA model in daily reported incidence of HFMD. The HFMD incidence forecast by the Prophet model showed that two peaks occurred in 2019, with the higher peak in May and the lower peak in December. Periodically changing patterns of HFMD incidence were observed after decomposing the time-series into its major components. In specific, multi-year variability of HFMD incidence was found, and the slow-down increasing point of HFMD incidence was identified. Relatively high HFMD incidences appeared in May and on Mondays. The effect of Spring Festival on HFMD incidence was much stronger than that of other holidays. This study showed the potential of the Prophet model to detect seasonality in HFMD incidence. Our next goal is to incorporate climate variables into the Prophet model to produce an accurate forecast of HFMD incidence.

Gaining insight into irrational off-label use of vidarabine through analysis of a spontaneous reporting system in China

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE

Although superseded by other antiviral agents in many Western countries, vidarabine is still widely used in some countries, including China; hence, the extent and appropriateness of vidarabine prescriptions in children require better characterization. This study examined the rationale, extent, and health risks associated with irrational off-label vidarabine use in China.

METHODS

Data used in the study were extracted from a multi-provincial joint adverse drug reactions monitoring platform from 2002 to 2018. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse the characteristics of individual case safety reports (ICSRs) related to vidarabine use.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Among 2772 individual ICSRs related to vidarabine, 2223 (80.19%) cases occurred in patients aged 0-9. In all patients, the median age and interquartile range were 2 (0-6). Although most adverse events were mild, five deaths were recorded, all in children below 7 years of age. Paediatric use is the most prominent off-label use of vidarabine. Additionally, several other irrational off-label uses were identified, including 218 (7.86%) cases of overdosing and numerous applications beyond the approved indications, dosages, routes of administration, and solvents.

WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION

Data indicate that vidarabine was mainly prescribed for suspected common viral infections in paediatric patients, demonstrating serious inappropriate off-label uses. The problem was further complicated by the lack of sufficient information regarding safety, efficacy, and dosing regimens in children, as well as by several additional risk factors such as inappropriate solvents, routes of administration, and overdose. In the case of children, the physicians' lack of understanding of antiviral activities and compassionate prescriptions were mainly responsible for drug overuse. The health risks associated with the paediatric use of vidarabine in China require greater attention and further investigation.

Heparan sulfate attachment receptor is a major selection factor for attenuated enterovirus 71 mutants during cell culture adaptation

Enterovirus 71 (EV71) is a causative agent of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD). However, this infection is sometimes associated with severe neurological complications. Identification of neurovirulence determinants is important to understand the pathogenesis of EV71. One of the problems in evaluating EV71 virulence is that its genome sequence changes rapidly during replication in cultured cells. The factors that induce rapid mutations in the EV71 genome in cultured cells are unclear. Here, we illustrate the population dynamics during adaptation to RD-A cells using EV71 strains isolated from HFMD patients. We identified a reproducible amino acid substitution from glutamic acid (E) to glycine (G) or glutamine (Q) in residue 145 of the VP1 protein (VP1-145) after adaptation to RD-A cells, which was associated with attenuation in human scavenger receptor B2 transgenic (hSCARB2 tg) mice. Because previous reports demonstrated that VP1-145G and Q mutants efficiently infect cultured cells by binding to heparan sulfate (HS), we hypothesized that HS expressed on the cell surface is a major factor for this selection. Supporting this hypothesis, selection of the VP1-145 mutant was prevented by depletion of HS and overexpression of hSCARB2 in RD-A cells. In addition, this mutation promotes the acquisition of secondary amino acid substitutions at various positions of the EV71 capsid to increase its fitness in cultured cells. These results indicate that attachment receptors, especially HS, are important factors for selection of VP1-145 mutants and subsequent capsid mutations. Moreover, we offer an efficient method for isolation and propagation of EV71 virulent strains with minimal selection pressure for attenuation.

Viruses must overcome various setbacks in a variety of tissues and cells during transmission from the initial replication site to the final target site. To achieve this, RNA viruses employ a strategy to adapt to different environments by creating a diverse viral population using low-fidelity RNA-dependent RNA polymerases. On the other hand, when the viruses are propagated in clonal cell cultures, in vitro adaptation occurs. The viruses may acquire new properties or lose some properties they had in vivo. In vitro adaptation is often associated with attenuation. Therefore, the selection pressures imposed on viruses replicating in vitro and in vivo are quite different. It is unclear how this environmental difference affects viral populations. Clinical isolates of EV71 replicate in cultured cells poorly. However, after a few passages, the viruses adapt to this condition and replicate efficiently. In this study, we demonstrate that attachment receptor usage is a major selection pressure for in vitro adaptation of EV71 by analyzing the population dynamics of cell culture-adapted viruses. This mechanism appears to be a major mode of attenuation.

The spatial heterogeneity of the associations between relative humidity and pediatric hand, foot and mouth disease: Evidence from a nation-wide multicity study from mainland China

BACKGROUND

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) remains a serious health threat to young children in East and Southeast Asia. The humidity is crucial for the survival of enterovirus, but the evidence of the humidity-HFMD association is inconsistent. In this study we investigated the spatial heterogeneity of humidity-HFMD associations and related effect modifiers.

METHODS

We retrieved the daily surveillance data of childhood HFMD counts and meteorological variables from 143 cities in mainland China between 2009 and 2014 and then adopted a three-stage time series analysis. We first fitted a common distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) for each of the 143 cities separately to obtain the city-specific estimates of humidity-HFMD association. Then, we pooled the city-specific estimates through multivariate meta-regression with city-level characteristics as potential effect modifiers to study the reasons for heterogeneity. Finally, we applied a region-specific analysis to verify our findings and to better visualize our results.

RESULTS

We found that the overall pooled humidity-HFMD relationship was shown as an approximately U-shaped curve with substantial spatial heterogeneity (I2 = 77.8%). Taking the reference relative humidity as 70%, the minimum relative risk (RR) was obtained at 45% with a value of 0.83 (0.79, 0.87), while the maximum RR was found to be at both 20% and over 85% separately with a value of 1.10 (1.05, 1.15). The spatial heterogeneity can be well explained by the climatic, social characteristics and terrains among cities. The modification effects can be roughly classified into two types, including change in the overall slope and the shape of the curve.

CONCLUSIONS

Due to substantial spatial heterogeneity, caution should be taken when interpreting the weather-HFMD association in a single-site study and to avoid generalizing its findings to another site. Our study also implied the existence of interactions among meteorological factors given that climatic factors can modify the weather-HFMD association.

Short-term dynamic changes in neutralizing antibodies against enterovirus 71 after vaccination

BACKGROUND

Short-term dynamic changes in neutralizing antibodies against EV71 and EV71-IgM after inactivated EV71 vaccine injection are unknown.

METHODS

This study was designed as a randomized, open-label study and was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03278132). In total, 120 healthy infants aged 6-35 months were randomized 1:1:1 to provide a second blood sample on day 10, day 20, or day 30 after the first vaccine dose, respectively.

RESULTS

According to the per-protocol set, a rapid immune response against EV71 was observed 10 days after the first EV71 vaccine dose, with antibody titers ≥1:8 in 89.19% of participants (95% CI: 74.58-96.97%) on day 10, in 80.65% (95% CI: 62.53-92.55%) on day 20, in 66.67% (95% CI: 49.03-81.44%) on day 30, and in 100% (95% CI: 96.52%-.) on day 60. Based on an ELISA, the percentages of participants positive for EV71-IgM on day 0 and day 60 were 1.71% (2 out of 117) and 82.86% (87 out of 105), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The EV71 vaccine could be used for contingency vaccination to further control EV71-associated disease outbreaks. Caution should be taken in using the EV71-IgM test for rapid EV71 infection diagnosis after EV71 vaccine administration.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03278132.

Long-Term Outcomes of Pediatric Enterovirus Infection in Taiwan: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Introduction: The major burden of diseases in childhood has shifted from infectious diseases to chronic health conditions in recent decades. Although the rates of infectious diseases have decreased, the incidence of chronic diseases stemming from infectious agents continues to grow. Enterovirus is a major infectious disease of childhood and has been linked to numerous chronic diseases. We analyzed population-based data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) to investigate the correlations between enterovirus infection and major chronic health conditions in children. Method: Children diagnosed with enterovirus (EV) infection during 1999-2003 were identified from the Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2000 (LHID 2000), a subdataset of Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). A total of 14,168 patients were selected after excluding patients with existing chronic diseases and missing data. Another 14,168 children matched by age and sex were selected as the control group. Five primary outcomes, including attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), epilepsy, asthma, allergic rhinitis, and atopic dermatitis, were recorded. Results: The risks of ADHD, asthma, allergic rhinitis, and epilepsy were significantly increased in the EV group compared with the control group. The risk of atopic dermatitis was significantly increased in the crude model. However, there were no significant differences in the adjusted model. The risks of ADHD, asthma, allergic rhinitis, and epilepsy were also significantly increased in patients with severe EV infection compared with patients with non-severe EV infection. Conclusion: Chronic diseases, such as ADHD, epilepsy, asthma, allergic rhinitis, and atopic dermatitis were shown to be associated with enterovirus infection during childhood. EV infection during early childhood might have long-term public health implications and thus prevention strategies should be implemented.

A method for hand-foot-mouth disease prediction using GeoDetector and LSTM model in Guangxi, China

Hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) is a common infectious disease in children and is particularly severe in Guangxi, China. Meteorological conditions are known to play a pivotal role in the HFMD. Previous studies have reported numerous models to predict the incidence of HFMD. In this study, we proposed a new method for the HFMD prediction using GeoDetector and a Long Short-Term Memory neural network (LSTM). The daily meteorological factors and HFMD records in Guangxi during 2014–2015 were adopted. First, potential risk factors for the occurrence of HFMD were identified based on the GeoDetector. Then, region-specific prediction models were developed in 14 administrative regions of Guangxi, China using an optimized three-layer LSTM model. Prediction results (the R-square ranges from 0.39 to 0.71) showed that the model proposed in this study had a good performance in HFMD predictions. This model could provide support for the prevention and control of HFMD. Moreover, this model could also be extended to the time series prediction of other infectious diseases.

The effect of temperature on childhood hand, foot and mouth disease in Guangdong Province, China, 2010-2013: a multicity study

Background

Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a serious infectious disease, which has become a public health problem. Previous studies have shown that temperature may influence the incidence of HFMD, but most only focus on single city and the results are highly heterogeneous. Therefore, a multicity study was conducted to explore the association between temperature and HFMD in different cities and search for modifiers that influence the heterogeneity.

Methods

We collected daily cases of childhood HFMD (aged 0–5 years) and meteorological factors of 21 cities in Guangdong Province in the period of 2010–2013. Distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) with quasi-Poisson was adopted to quantify the effects of temperature on HFMD in 21 cities. Then the effects of each city were pooled by multivariate meta-analysis to obtain the heterogeneity among 21 cities. Potential city-level factors were included in meta-regression to explore effect modifiers.

Results

A total of 1,048,574 childhood cases were included in this study. There was a great correlation between daily childhood HFMD cases and temperature in each city, which was non-linear and lagged. High heterogeneity was showed in the associations between temperature and HFMD in 21 cities. The pooled temperature-HFMD association was peaking at the 79th percentile of temperature with relative risk (RR) of 2.474(95% CI: 2.065–2.965) as compared to the median temperature. Latitude was the main modifier for reducing the heterogeneity to 69.28% revealed by meta-analysis.

Conclusions

There was a strong non-linear and lagged correlation between temperature and HFMD. Latitude was strongly associated with the relationship between temperature and HFMD. Meanwhile, it had an effect on modifying the relationship. These findings can conducive to local governments developing corresponding preventive measures.

Spatial-temporal variation and risk factor analysis of hand, foot, and mouth disease in children under 5 years old in Guangxi, China

BACKGROUND

Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) incidence is a critical challenge to disease control and prevention in parts of China, particularly Guangxi. However, the association between socioeconomic factors and meteorological factors on HFMD is still unclear.

METHODS

This study applied global and local Moran's I to examine the spatial pattern of HFMD and series analysis to explore the temporal pattern. The effects of meteorological factors and socioeconomic factors on HFMD incidence in Guangxi, China were analyzed using GeoDetector Model.

RESULTS

This study collected 45,522 cases from 87 counties in Guangxi during 2015, among which 43,711 cases were children aged 0-4 years. Temporally, there were two HFMD risk peaks in 2015. One peak was in September with 7890 cases. The other appeared in May with 4687 cases of HFMD. A high-risk cluster was located in the valley areas. The tertiary industry, precipitation and second industry had more influence than other risk factors on HFMD incidence with explanatory powers of 0.24, 0.23 and 0.21, respectively. The interactive effect of any two risk factors would enhance the risk of HFMD.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that precipitation and tertiary industry factors might have stronger effects on the HFMD incidence in Guangxi, China, compared with other factors. High-risk of HFMD was identified in the valley areas characterized by high temperature and humidity. Local government should pay more attention and strengthen public health services level in this area.

The History of Enterovirus A71 Outbreaks and Molecular Epidemiology in the Asia-Pacific Region

Enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) is one of the common causative pathogens for hand foot and mouth disease (HFMD) affecting young children. HFMD outbreak can result in a substantial pediatric hospitalization and burden the healthcare services, especially in less-developed countries. Since the initial epidemic of predominantly EV-A71 in California in 1969, the high prevalence of HFMD in the Asia-pacific region and elsewhere around the world represents a significant morbidity in this age group. With the advent of rapid and accurate diagnostic tools, there has been a dramatic increase in the number of laboratory-confirmed EV-A71 infection over the past two decades. The population, cultural, and socioeconomic diversity among countries in the Asia-Pacific region all influence the transmission and morbidity associated with HFMD. This review summarizes the current state of epidemiology of EV-A71 in Asia-Pacific countries based on the most recent epidemiological data and available information on the prevalence and disease burden. This knowledge is important in guiding the prevention, control and future research on vaccine development of this highly contagious disease of significant socioeconomic implications in public health.

Enterovirus 71 seroepidemiology in Taiwan in 2017 and comparison of those rates in 1997, 1999 and 2007

Background

During recent 20 years, enterovirus 71 (EV71) has emerged as a major concern among children, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. To understand current EV71 serostatus, to find risk factors associated with EV71 infection and to establish future EV71 vaccine policy, we performed a seroepidemiology study in Taiwan in 2017.

Methods

After informed consent was obtained, we enrolled preschool children, 6–15-year-old students, 16–50-year-old people. They received a questionnaire and a blood sample was collected to measure the EV71 neutralization antibody.

Results

Altogether, 920 subjects were enrolled with a male-to-female ratio of 1.03. The EV71 seropositive rate was 10% (8/82) in infants, 4% (6/153) in 1-year-old children, 8% (7/83) in 2-year-old children, 8% (13/156) in 3–5-year-old children, 31% (38/122) in 6–11-year-old primary school students, 45% (54/121) in 12–15-year-old high school students and 75% (152/203) in 16-50-year-old people. Risk factors associated with EV71 seropositivity in preschool children were female gender, having siblings, more siblings, and contact with herpangina or hand-foot-and-mouth disease. The risk factor with EV71 seropositivity in 16–50-year-old people was having children in their families in addition to older age (p<0.001). Compared with the rates in 1997, 1999 and 2007, the rates in children were significantly lower in 2017.

Conclusion

EV71 seropositive rates were very low, at 4% to 10%, in preschool children and not high, at 31%, in primary school students. Preschool children are highly susceptible and need EV71 vaccine most.

Short-Term Effects of Meteorological Factors and Air Pollutants on Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease among Children in Shenzhen, China, 2009-2017

BACKGROUND

A few studies have explored the association between meteorological factors and hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) with inconsistent results. Besides, studies about the effects of air pollutants on HFMD are very limited.

METHODS

Daily HFMD cases among children aged 0-14 years in Shenzhen were collected from 2009 to 2017. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) model was fitted to simultaneously assess the nonlinear and lagged effects of meteorological factors and air pollutants on HFMD incidence, and to further examine the differences of the effect across different subgroups stratified by gender, age and childcare patterns.

RESULTS

The cumulative relative risk (cRR) (median as reference) of HFMD rose with the increase of daily temperature and leveled off at about 30 °C (cRR: 1.40, 95%CI: 1.29, 1.51). There was a facilitating effect on HFMD when relative humidity was 46.0% to 88.8% (cRR at 95th percentile: 1.18, 95%CI: 1.11, 1.27). Short daily sunshine duration (5th vs. 50th) promoted HFMD (cRR: 1.07, 95%CI: 1.02, 1.11). The positive correlation between rainfall and HFMD reversed when it exceeded 78.3 mm (cRR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.22, 1.63). Ozone suppressed HFMD when it exceeded 104 µg /m3 (cRR at 99th percentile: 0.85, 95%CI: 0.76, 0.94). NO₂ promoted HFMD among infants and the cRR peaked at lag 9 day (cRR: 1.47, 95%CI: 1.02, 2.13) (99th vs. 50th). Besides, children aged below one year, males and scattered children were more vulnerable to high temperature, high relative humidity, and short sunshine duration.

CONCLUSIONS

Temperature, relative humidity, sunshine duration, rainfall, ozone and NO₂ were significantly associated with HFMD, and such effects varied with gender age and childcare patterns. These findings highlight the need for more prevention effort to the vulnerable populations and may be helpful for developing an early environment-based warning system for HFMD.

Enterovirus A71 neurologic complications and long-term sequelae

During recent 20 years, enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) has emerged as a major concern among pediatric infectious diseases, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. The clinical manifestations of EV-A71 include uncomplicated hand, foot, and mouth disease, herpanina or febrile illness and central nervous system (CNS) involvement such as aseptic meningitis, myoclonic jerk, polio-like syndrome, encephalitis, encephalomyelitis and cardiopulmonary failure due to severe rhombencephalitis. In follow-up studies of patients with EV-A 71 CNS infection, some still have hypoventilation and need tracheostomy with ventilator support, some have dysphagia and need nasogastric tube or gastrostomy feeding, some have limb weakness/astrophy, cerebellar dysfunction, neurodevelopmental delay, lower cognition, or attention deficiency hyperactivity disorder. Long term sequelae may be related to greater severity of CNS involvement or neuron damage, hypoxia and younger age of onset.