Successful prediction of left bundle branch block-induced cardiomyopathy and treatment effect by artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram

BACKGROUND

Left bundle branch block (LBBB) induced cardiomyopathy is an increasingly recognized disease entity.  However, no clinical testing has been shown to be able to predict such an occurrence.

CASE REPORT

A 70-year-old male with a prior history of LBBB with preserved ejection fraction (EF) and no other known cardiovascular conditions presented with presyncope, high-grade AV block, and heart failure with reduced EF (36%). His coronary angiogram was negative for any obstructive disease. No other known etiologies for cardiomyopathy were identified. Artificial intelligence-enabled ECGs performed 6 years prior to clinical presentation consistently predicted a high probability (up to 91%) of low EF. The patient successfully underwent left bundle branch area (LBBA) pacing with correction of the underlying LBBB. Subsequent AI ECGs showed a large drop in the probability of low EF immediately after LBBA pacing to 47% and then to 3% 2 months post procedure. His heart failure symptoms markedly improved and EF normalized to 54% at the same time.

CONCLUSIONS

Artificial intelligence-enabled ECGS may help identify patients who are at risk of developing LBBB-induced cardiomyopathy and predict the response to LBBA pacing.

500 The Four Year Clinical and Economic Impact of an Extended Screening Program for Developmental Dysplasia of the Hip in Cardiff and Vale University Health Board

Aim

Early detection of DDH is associated with the increased success of non-surgical treatment. Therefore, Cardiff and Vale Health Board (CAVUHB) implemented an extended screening program for Developmental dysplasia of the Hip (DDH) to improve neonatal public health within the population.

Method

A 4-year prospective case-control study of all patients born between 01/01/2016-31/12/2019 (n = 21843) who underwent ultrasonographic screening for DDH in CAVUHB. Ultrasounds were graded using Graf’s classification, with treatment outcomes determined by patient’s records and costings based on NHS tariffs.

Results

Screening of those with risk factors diagnosed 49% of treated DDH cases. Screening for risk factors cost CAVUHB £175,000 per annum, with a cost per favourable outcome of £12351. The mean cost of DDH treatment of a late presenting patient was £23,782, incurring a cost reduction of 48%. Cost-effectiveness and positive predictive value (PPV) of calcaneovalgus malformations, oligohydramnios, and plagiocephaly demonstrating PPV similar to that of primary risk factors. Calcaneovalgus malformations demonstrated significantly higher PPV than primary risk factors for DDH (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

CAVUHB cost-effectively reduced morbidity and surgical mortality within the neonatal population, as a result of its extended screening program for DDH. The novel findings of prevalence and predictive value of secondary risk factors as a marker of treatable DDH are significant, as currently they are not included in the national new-born and infant physical examination (NIPE) guidance. High predictive value with low population prevalence indicates that these are cost reducing and clinically valuable markers of disease that could provide value if within a national screening program.

192 An Audit of The Delivery of Paediatric Orthopaedic Services at The Bristol Royal Children’s Hospital in Response to The British Orthopaedic Association Standards for Trauma (BOAST) COVID-19 Guidance

Introduction

Guidance from the BOAST helped structure our paediatric orthopaedic service n response to COVID-19. We assessed our compliance with 'BOAST COVID-19 standards', whether it is possible to run a safe and effective paediatric orthopaedic service.

Method

We performed a prospective audit of clinic and theatre data (16th March to 30th April 2020), from the paediatric orthopaedic department at the BRCH against the 'BOAST COVID-19 standards'. We also performed a retrospective audit.

Results

Patients booked into acute fracture clinic (AFC) and fracture clinic follow-up (FFO) reduced by 40% and 48% respectively from 2019 to 2020. A virtual fracture clinic (VFC) was implemented with an increasing trend seen. The number of patient initiated follow-up appointments increased in AFC and FFO from 16% to 75% and 12% to 35% respectively. Radiography was reduced; only 17% and 39% of AFC and FFO patients respectively required radiographs. On-call referrals and trauma cases dropped by 50% with similar case mix year-on-year. All elective operating was cancelled in 2020.

Conclusions

By reducing clinic admissions and theatre throughput, it was possible to run an effective paediatric orthopaedic service in a busy tertiary referral centre. Our aim now is to determine the long-term efficacy, cost, and sustainability of our COVID-19 service.

Identical and Nonidentical Twins: Risk and Factors Involved in Development of Islet Autoimmunity and Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

There are variable reports of risk of concordance for progression to islet autoantibodies and type 1 diabetes in identical twins after one twin is diagnosed. We examined development of positive autoantibodies and type 1 diabetes and the effects of genetic factors and common environment on autoantibody positivity in identical twins, nonidentical twins, and full siblings.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Subjects from the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study (N = 48,026) were screened from 2004 to 2015 for islet autoantibodies (GAD antibody [GADA], insulinoma-associated antigen 2 [IA-2A], and autoantibodies against insulin [IAA]). Of these subjects, 17,226 (157 identical twins, 283 nonidentical twins, and 16,786 full siblings) were followed for autoantibody positivity or type 1 diabetes for a median of 2.1 years.

RESULTS

At screening, identical twins were more likely to have positive GADA, IA-2A, and IAA than nonidentical twins or full siblings (all P < 0.0001). Younger age, male sex, and genetic factors were significant factors for expression of IA-2A, IAA, one or more positive autoantibodies, and two or more positive autoantibodies (all P ≤ 0.03). Initially autoantibody-positive identical twins had a 69% risk of diabetes by 3 years compared with 1.5% for initially autoantibody-negative identical twins. In nonidentical twins, type 1 diabetes risk by 3 years was 72% for initially multiple autoantibody-positive, 13% for single autoantibody-positive, and 0% for initially autoantibody-negative nonidentical twins. Full siblings had a 3-year type 1 diabetes risk of 47% for multiple autoantibody-positive, 12% for single autoantibody-positive, and 0.5% for initially autoantibody-negative subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk of type 1 diabetes at 3 years is high for initially multiple and single autoantibody-positive identical twins and multiple autoantibody-positive nonidentical twins. Genetic predisposition, age, and male sex are significant risk factors for development of positive autoantibodies in twins.

Abstract OT3-06-07: A phase I/II dose escalation and expansion study to investigate the safety, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics and clinical activity of GSK525762 in combination with fulvestrant in subjects with ER+ breast cancer

Background:

Advanced or metastatic ER+BC (estrogen receptor positive breast cancer) is an incurable illness that will prove fatal for most afflicted women. Current standards of care include endocrine, targeted, and chemotherapy. Preclinical data suggest that altering the expression of the estrogen receptor (ER) as well as other ER-responsive genes may provide therapeutic benefit for women for whom endocrine therapy alone has proven inadequate. The bromodomain (BRD) and extra-terminal (BET) family of proteins (BRD2, BRD3, BRD4 and BRDT) bind to acetyl-histone residues and epigenetically control transcription of genes driving cell survival and proliferation. BET proteins have been implicated in carcinogenesis and treatment resistance in multiple tumors including ER+BC, and are a novel target for therapy in breast cancer. GSK525762 is a pan-BET inhibitor that has shown strong synergistic activity with fulvestrant in killing ER+BC cells in vitro and in xenograft models. The combination of BET agents with endocrine therapy may provide therapeutic benefit and restore sensitivity to ER targeting agents like fulvestrant.

Trial Design & Specific Aims:

This study is a Phase I/II dose-escalation, expansion (Phase I) and randomized control (Phase II) study with oral administration of GSK525762 in combination with fulvestrant in advanced or metastatic ER+BC subjects, whose disease has progressed on prior treatment with at least one line of endocrine therapy.

Phase I of the study is designed as parallel single arms to determine a recommended Phase 2 dose (RP2D) based on safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetic, and efficacy profiles in two distinct populations of ER+ breast cancer:

Subjects with disease that relapsed during treatment or within 12 months of adjuvant therapy with an AI, OR disease that progressed during treatment with an AI for advanced/metastatic disease.

OR

Subjects with disease that progressed during treatment with the combination of a CDK4/6 inhibitor plus letrozole for advanced or metastatic disease.

Phase II of the study is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled cohort, designed to evaluate the efficacy of the combination.

Key Eligibility Criteria: Patients must have received &lt;3 lines of systemic anti-cancer therapy (≤1 line of chemo), measurable disease, and PS 0-1.

Statistical Methods: A modified toxicity probability interval (mTPI) design will be used to monitor safety. A Bayesian adaptive design will be used to evaluate efficacy in Phase 1.

Present and Target Accrual: Target enrolment will be ˜300 subjects across ˜50 sites worldwide. To date, 2 subjects have been enrolled.

Contact Information: Elizabeth Cunningham, Elizabeth.A.Cunningham@GSK.com.

NCT02964507

Funding: GSK

Citation Format: Pluard T, Oh SY, Oliveira M, Cescon D, Tan-Chiu E, Wu Y, Carpenter C, Cunningham E, Ballas M, Dhar A, Sparano J. A phase I/II dose escalation and expansion study to investigate the safety, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics and clinical activity of GSK525762 in combination with fulvestrant in subjects with ER+ breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr OT3-06-07.

Relationships between pazopanib exposure and clinical safety and efficacy in patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Pazopanib, an oral angiogenesis inhibitor targeting vascular endothelial growth factor receptor (VEGFR)/platelet-derived growth factor receptor (PDGFR)/c-Kit, is approved in locally advanced/metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC).

METHODS

Data from trials in advanced solid tumours and advanced/metastatic RCC were used to explore the relationships between plasma pazopanib concentrations and biomarker changes, safety, and efficacy. Initially, the relationships between pharmacokinetic parameters and increased blood pressure were investigated, followed by analysis of steady-state trough concentration (Cτ) and sVEGFR2, safety, progression-free survival (PFS), response rate, and tumour shrinkage. Efficacy/safety end points were compared at Cτ decile boundaries.

RESULTS

Strong correlation between increased blood pressure and Cτ was observed (r(2)=0.91), whereas weak correlation was observed between Cτ and decline from baseline in sVEGFR2 (r(2)=0.27). Cτ threshold of >20.5 μg ml(-1) was associated with improved efficacy (PFS, P<0.004; tumour shrinkage, P<0.001), but there was no appreciable benefit in absolute PFS or tumour shrinkage from Cτ >20.5 μg ml(-1). However, the association of Cτ with certain adverse events, particularly hand-foot syndrome, was continuous over the entire Cτ range.

CONCLUSIONS

The threshold concentration for efficacy overlaps with concentrations at which toxicity occurs, although some toxicities increase over the entire Cτ range. Monitoring Cτ may optimise systemic exposure to improve clinical benefit and decrease the risk of certain adverse events.

Scedosporium prolificans osteomyelitis following penetrating injury: A case report

Scedosporium prolificans are opportunistic moulds that can cause mycetoma following penetrating injuries. This fungus is more virulent than other species and treatment options are limited. Here we describe the first known case in the UK of S. prolificans osteomyelitis, in a 4 year old following penetrating injury. Successful outcome with limb salvage and foot function is achieved after repeated surgical debridement, and combination chemotherapy with voriconazole/terbinafine.

Variation of the neurofilament medium KSP repeat sub-domain across mammalian species: implications for altering axonal structure

The evolution of larger mammals resulted in a corresponding increase in peripheral nerve length. To ensure optimal nervous system functionality and survival, nerve conduction velocities were likely to have increased to maintain the rate of signal propagation. Increases of conduction velocities may have required alterations in one of the two predominant properties that affect the speed of neuronal transmission: myelination or axonal diameter. A plausible mechanism to explain faster conduction velocities was a concomitant increase in axonal diameter with evolving axonal length. The carboxy terminal tail domain of the neurofilament medium subunit is a determinant of axonal diameter in large caliber myelinated axons. Sequence analysis of mammalian orthologs indicates that the neurofilament medium carboxy terminal tail contains a variable lysine-serine-proline (KSP) repeat sub-domain flanked by two highly conserved sub-domains. The number of KSP repeats within this region of neurofilament medium varies among species. Interestingly, the number of repeats does not change within a species, suggesting that selective pressure conserved the number of repeats within a species. Mapping KSP repeat numbers onto consensus phylogenetic trees reveals independent KSP expansion events across several mammalian clades. Linear regression analyses identified three subsets of mammals, one of which shows a positive correlation in the number of repeats with head-body length. For this subset of mammals, we hypothesize that variations in the number of KSP repeats within neurofilament medium carboxy terminal tail may have contributed to an increase in axonal caliber, increasing nerve conduction velocity as larger mammals evolved.

Safety assessment of a modified acetolactate synthase protein (GM-HRA) used as a selectable marker in genetically modified soybeans

Acetolactate synthase (ALS) enzymes have been isolated from numerous organisms including soybeans (Glycine max; GM-ALS) and catalyze the first common step in biosynthesis of branched chain amino acids. Expression of an ALS protein (GM-HRA) with two amino acid changes relative to native GM-ALS protein in genetically modified soybeans confers tolerance to herbicidal active ingredients and can be used as a selectable transformation marker. The safety assessment of the GM-HRA protein is discussed. Bioinformatics comparison of the amino acid sequence did not identify similarities to known allergenic or toxic proteins. In vitro studies demonstrated rapid degradation in simulated gastric fluid (<30s) and intestinal fluid (<1min). The enzymatic activity was completely inactivated at 50 degrees C for 15 min demonstrating heat lability. The protein expressed in planta is not glycosylated and genetically modified soybeans expressing the GM-HRA protein produced similar protein/allergen profiles as its non-transgenic parental isoline. No adverse effects were observed in mice following acute oral exposure at a dose of at least 436 mg/kg of body weight or in a 28-day repeated dose dietary toxicity study at doses up to 1247 mg/kg of body weight/day. The results demonstrate GM-HRA protein safety when used in agricultural biotechnology.

A phase I study of MK-2206, an oral potent allosteric Akt inhibitor (Akti), in patients (pts) with advanced solid tumor (ST)

3503

Background: Akt facilitates cell proliferation/survival and is a suspected driver of progression in ST. MK-2206, a highly selective non-ATP competitive allosteric Akti, has nM IC50 and broad preclinical antitumor activity. Methods: Safety and tolerability of MK-2206 administered QOD in 28-day cycles (cy) was assessed. Doses evaluated: 30, 60, 90 mg, and 75 mg. Main eligibility criteria: ≥18 yo, evaluable advanced ST, ECOG ≤1, HbA1c ≤8% or fasting glucose ≤110% upper limit of normal. PK and phosphorylated Akt (pAkt) in whole blood by meso-scale ELISA were measured. Sequential tumor biopsies were performed in a subset of pts. Results: Dose escalation occurred in 19 pts (8 female/11 male; median age 57 yo; ECOG 0/1: 5/14) and 37 cy of therapy with no DLTs at 30 and 60 mg. CTCAE G3/4 skin rash and CTCAE G3 mucositis were observed at 90 mg in 4/7 pts. After further accrual at 60 mg confirmed safety at this dose, 75 mg was explored; however, 2/3 pts experienced DLT of rash. Dose escalation is complete; the MTD of MK-2206 is 60 mg QOD. Common drug-related AEs included skin (47.1%), gastrointestinal (41.2%), and general disorders (29.4%). AUC0–48hr and Cmax were dose proportional up to 60 mg. Median Tmax is 6 hrs and mean t1/2 ranged from 63 to 76 hr. MK-2206 concentrations exceeding a preliminary, statistically determined PK target of approximately 50–65 nM for significant pAkti in blood were maintained over the entire dosing interval in all patients in the 60 mg cohort. Evidence of PD activity included decreases in whole blood pAkt at all dose levels, reversible CTCAE G1/2 hyperglycemia and CTCAE G1 insulin c-peptide elevations. RECIST stable disease following 2 cycles of therapy was observed in 1 pt at 30 mg and 5 pts at 60 mg. Observed clinical activity included: central tumor necrosis, decreased ascites and peripheral edema, reduction in index lesions, normalization of LFTs, and decreased CA-125. Conclusions: MK-2206 is generally well tolerated at doses up to 60 mg QOD with plasma concentrations that portend activity in preclinical models. PK/PD data suggest a substantial and maintained target inhibition at 60 mg.

[Table: see text]

Safety and immunogenicity of an oral, inactivated, whole-cell vaccine for Shigella sonnei: preclinical studies and a Phase I trial

Orally delivered, inactivated whole-cell vaccines are safe methods of inducing local and systemic immunity. To increase surface proteins associated with adherence and invasion, Shigella sonnei were grown in BHI broth containing deoxycholate. A whole-cell vaccine (SsWC) was then produced by formalin inactivation. In pre-clinical studies, the SsWC vaccine was immunogenic and protected against S. sonnei-induced keratoconjunctivitis in the guinea pig model. In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, Phase I study, 10 evaluable subjects received either three doses of SsWC on Days 0, 14, and 28 (N = 3); five doses of SsWC on Days 0, 2, 4, 6, and 28 (N = 4); or placebo (N = 3). Each dose contained 2.0 x 10(10) inactivated cells. Serum and fecal antibodies against SsWC, LPS, and IpaC were measured by ELISA. A > or = 4-fold increase in titer was considered significant. Both SsWC dosing regimens were well tolerated. No fever or severe gastrointestinal symptoms were noted by any of the vaccinated subjects. Antibody responses were similar in the two dosing groups. Serum IgG or IgA responses to SsWC were seen in six of seven vaccinees (86%), to LPS in four of seven (57%), and to IpaC in five of seven (61%). Fecal IgA responses to these three antigens developed in five of five, three of five, and three of five subjects, respectively. Among the seven vaccinees, geometric mean rises in serum IgA levels to all three immunogens were significant; IgG increases trended toward significance (paired one-tailed t-test). We conclude that SsWC was immunogenic and protective in animal studies and well tolerated and immunogenic in a Phase I trial.

Effect of the New York State cigarette fire safety standard on ignition propensity, smoke constituents, and the consumer market

OBJECTIVES

This study examines empirical evidence from the New York experience testing tobacco industry arguments made in opposition to fire safety standards for cigarettes.

DESIGN

Percentages of cigarettes exhibiting full length burns (FLBs), cigarette sales before and following the implementation of the New York standards, a sample of retail cigarette prices, brand availability, and selected smoke constituent yields were compared between cigarettes sold in New York and two other states. Cigarette paper analysis was conducted on cigarettes sold in New York.

RESULTS

New York cigarette brands averaged 10.0% FLBs as compared to 99.8% for California and Massachusetts brands. Reduced ignition propensity (RIP) appears to have been achieved by cigarette paper banding. Cigarette sales, prices, and brand availability do not appear to have been affected by the New York standards. Yields of the majority of smoke constituents tested did not differ substantially between RIP cigarettes sold in New York as compared to the same brands sold in Massachusetts. Average yields of tar, carbon monoxide, and two compounds were slightly higher, the yields of seven compounds were higher for one brand only, and nicotine was lower, among New York brands tested.

CONCLUSIONS

RIP cigarette brands have been designed to meet the New York fire safety standards. Their introduction has not affected cigarette sales or prices in New York. There is no evidence that the small increases in smoke constituent yields affect the already highly toxic nature of cigarette smoke. Data on smoking caused fires, deaths, and injuries dating from after the change in law are not yet available. Such data will be able to address the question of whether the demonstrated reduced ignition standards are associated with reduced fires and injuries. Based on the New York experience, prior industry objections to producing RIP cigarettes are unfounded. Other states and nations should adopt similar standards.

Improved Norway spruce somatic embryo development through the use of abscisic acid combined with activated carbon

The combination of abscisic acid (ABA) and activated carbon increased Norway spruce (Picea abies L., Karst.) cotyledonary somatic embryo yields, increased the number of genotypes forming cotyledonary embryos, caused embryos to form that exhibited improved maturation characteristics, and reduced embryo production costs. Somatic embryos increased in size, showed larger apical regions, became more zygotic-like in shape, and showed higher percentages of epicotyl development upon germination. Analyses of medium for free ABA in the presence of activated charcoal showed a rapid decrease within a few hours followed by a gradual decline over the next few days with little change from 2 to 6 weeks. Gelling agents strongly affected ABA adsorption, with agar decreasing the adsorption of ABA compared to gellan gum (Gelrite, Phytagel). Over 4,000 somatic seedlings from 20 clones were produced and established in a greenhouse using the methods discussed, and approximately 1,250 seedlings representing seven clones were established in a field setting.