Beyond Stages: Predicting Individual Time Dependent Risk for Type 1 Diabetes

BACKGROUND

Essentially all individuals with multiple autoantibodies will develop clinical type 1 diabetes. Multiple AABs and normal glucose tolerance define Stage 1 diabetes; abnormal glucose tolerance defines Stage 2. However, the rate of progression within these stages is heterogeneous, necessitating personalized risk calculators to improve clinical implementation.

METHODS

We developed 3 models using TrialNet's Pathway to Prevention data to accommodate the reality that not all risk variables are clinically available. The Small model included AAB status, fasting glucose, HbA1c and age, while the Medium and Large models added predictors of disease progression measured via oral glucose tolerance testing.

FINDINGS

All models markedly improved granularity regarding personalized risk missing from current categories of stages of T1D. Model derived risk calculations are consistent with the expected reduction of risk with increasing age and increase in risk with higher glucose and lower insulin secretion, illustrating the suitability of the models. Adding glucose and insulin secretion data altered model predicted probabilities within Stages. In those with high 2-hour glucose, a high C-peptide markedly decreased predicted risk; lower C-peptide obviated the age-dependent risk of 2-hour glucose alone, providing a more nuanced estimate of rate of disease progression within Stage 2.

CONCLUSIONS

While essentially all those with multiple AABs will develop type 1 diabetes, the rate of progression is heterogeneous and not explained by any individual single risk variable. The model-based probabilities developed here provide an adaptable personalized risk calculator to better inform decisions about how and when to monitor disease progression in clinical practice.

Evidence for C-peptide as a Validated Surrogate to Predict Clinical Benefits in Trials of Disease-Modifying Therapies for Type 1 Diabetes

Type 1 diabetes is a chronic autoimmune disease in which destruction of pancreatic beta cells causes life-threatening metabolic dysregulation. Numerous approaches are envisioned for new therapies, but limitations of current clinical outcome measures are significant disincentives to development efforts. C-peptide, a direct byproduct of proinsulin processing, is a quantitative biomarker of beta cell function that is not cleared by the liver and can be measured in the peripheral blood. Studies of quantitative measures of beta cell function have established a predictive relationship between stimulated C-peptide as a measure of beta cell function and clinical benefits. C-peptide levels at diagnosis are often high enough to afford glycemic control benefits associated with protection from end-organ complications of diabetes, and even lower levels offer protection from severe hypoglycemia in type 1 diabetes, as observed in large prospective cohort studies and interventional trials of islet transplantation. These observations support consideration of C-peptide not just as a biomarker of beta cell function, but also as a specific, sensitive, feasible, and clinically meaningful outcome defining beta cell preservation or restoration for clinical trials of disease-modifying therapies. Regulatory acceptance of C-peptide as a validated surrogate for demonstration of efficacy would greatly facilitate development of disease-modifying therapies for type 1 diabetes.

OGTT Metrics Surpass Continuous Glucose Monitoring Data for T1D Prediction in Multiple-Autoantibody-Positive Individuals

CONTEXT

The value of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) for monitoring autoantibody (AAB)-positive individuals in clinical trials for progression of type 1 diabetes (T1D) is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

Compare CGM with oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT)-based metrics in prediction of T1D.

METHODS

At academic centers, OGTT and CGM data from multiple-AAB relatives were evaluated for associations with T1D diagnosis. Participants were multiple-AAB-positive individuals in a TrialNet Pathway to Prevention (TN01) CGM ancillary study (n = 93). The intervention was CGM for 1 week at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of CGM and OGTT metrics for prediction of T1D were analyzed.

RESULTS

Five of 7 OGTT metrics and 29/48 CGM metrics but not HbA1c differed between those who subsequently did or did not develop T1D. ROC area under the curve (AUC) of individual CGM values ranged from 50% to 69% and increased when adjusted for age and AABs. However, the highest-ranking metrics were derived from OGTT: 4/7 with AUC ∼80%. Compared with adjusted multivariable models using CGM data, OGTT-derived variables, Index60 and DPTRS (Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 Risk Score), had higher discriminative ability (higher ROC AUC and positive predictive value with similar negative predictive value).

CONCLUSION

Every 6-month CGM measures in multiple-AAB-positive individuals are predictive of subsequent T1D, but less so than OGTT-derived variables. CGM may have feasibility advantages and be useful in some settings. However, our data suggest there is insufficient evidence to replace OGTT measures with CGM in the context of clinical trials.

Testing a new platform to screen disease-modifying therapy in type 1 diabetes

Studies of new therapies to preserve insulin secretion in early type 1 diabetes require several years to recruit eligible subjects and to see a treatment effect; thus, there is interest in alternative study designs to speed this process. Most people with longstanding type 1 diabetes no longer secrete insulin. However, studies from pancreata of those with longstanding T1D show that beta cells staining for insulin can persist for decades after diagnosis, and this is paralleled in work showing proinsulin secretion in individuals with longstanding disease; collectively this suggests that there is a reserve of alive but "sleeping" beta cells. Here, we designed a novel clinical trial platform to test whether a short course of therapy with an agent known to have effects in type 1 diabetes with residual endogenous insulin could transiently induce insulin secretion in those who no longer produce insulin. A therapy that transiently "wakes up" sleeping beta cells might be tested next in a fully powered trial in those with endogenous insulin secretion. In this three-arm non-randomized pilot study, we tested three therapies known to impact disease: two beta-cell supportive agents, liraglutide and verapamil, and an immunomodulatory agent, golimumab. The golimumab treated arm was not fully enrolled due to uncertainties about immunotherapy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Participants had mixed-meal tolerance test (MMTT)-stimulated C-peptide below the quantitation limit (<0.02 ng/mL) at enrollment and received 8 to 12 weeks of therapy. At the completion of therapy, none of the individuals achieved the primary outcome of MMTT-stimulated C-peptide ≥ 0.02 ng/mL. An exploratory outcome of the verapamil arm was MRI-assessed pancreas size, diffusion, and longitudinal relaxation time, which showed repeatability of these measures but no treatment effect. The liraglutide and golimumab arms were registered on clinicaltrials.gov under accession number NCT03632759 and the verapamil arm under accession number NCT05847413. Trail registration: Protocols are registered in ClinicalTrials.gov under accession numbers NCT03632759 and NCT05847413.

A standardized metric to enhance clinical trial design and outcome interpretation in type 1 diabetes

The use of a standardized outcome metric enhances clinical trial interpretation and cross-trial comparison. If a disease course is predictable, comparing modeled predictions with outcome data affords the precision and confidence needed to accelerate precision medicine. We demonstrate this approach in type 1 diabetes (T1D) trials aiming to preserve endogenous insulin secretion measured by C-peptide. C-peptide is predictable given an individual's age and baseline value; quantitative response (QR) adjusts for these variables and represents the difference between the observed and predicted outcome. Validated across 13 trials, the QR metric reduces each trial's variance and increases statistical power. As smaller studies are especially subject to random sampling variability, using QR as the outcome introduces alternative interpretations of previous clinical trial results. QR can provide model-based estimates that quantify whether individuals or groups did better or worse than expected. QR also provides a purer metric to associate with biomarker measurements. Using data from more than 1300 participants, we demonstrate the value of QR in advancing disease-modifying therapy in T1D. QR applies to any disease where outcome is predictable by pre-specified baseline covariates, rendering it useful for defining responders to therapy, comparing therapeutic efficacy, and understanding causal pathways in disease.

Islet-autoreactive CD4+ T cells are linked with response to alefacept in type 1 diabetes

Variation in the preservation of β cell function in clinical trials in type 1 diabetes (T1D) has emphasized the need to define biomarkers to predict treatment response. The T1DAL trial targeted T cells with alefacept (LFA-3-Ig) and demonstrated C-peptide preservation in approximately 30% of new-onset T1D individuals. We analyzed islet antigen-reactive (IAR) CD4+ T cells in PBMC samples collected prior to treatment from alefacept- and placebo-treated individuals using flow cytometry and single-cell RNA sequencing. IAR CD4+ T cells at baseline had heterogeneous phenotypes. Transcript profiles formed phenotypic clusters of cells along a trajectory based on increasing maturation and activation, and T cell receptor (TCR) chains showed clonal expansion. Notably, the frequency of IAR CD4+ T cells with a memory phenotype and a unique transcript profile (cluster 3) were inversely correlated with C-peptide preservation in alefacept-treated, but not placebo-treated, individuals. Cluster 3 cells had a proinflammatory phenotype characterized by expression of the transcription factor BHLHE40 and the cytokines GM-CSF and TNF-α, and shared TCR chains with effector memory-like clusters. Our results suggest IAR CD4+ T cells as a potential baseline biomarker of response to therapies targeting the CD2 pathway and warrant investigation for other T cell-related therapies.

Shifts in isoform usage underlie transcriptional differences in regulatory T cells in type 1 diabetes

Genome-wide association studies have identified numerous loci with allelic associations to Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) risk. Most disease-associated variants are enriched in regulatory sequences active in lymphoid cell types, suggesting that lymphocyte gene expression is altered in T1D. Here we assay gene expression between T1D cases and healthy controls in two autoimmunity-relevant lymphocyte cell types, memory CD4+/CD25+ regulatory T cells (Treg) and memory CD4+/CD25- T cells, using a splicing event-based approach to characterize tissue-specific transcriptomes. Limited differences in isoform usage between T1D cases and controls are observed in memory CD4+/CD25- T-cells. In Tregs, 402 genes demonstrate differences in isoform usage between cases and controls, particularly RNA recognition and splicing factor genes. Many of these genes are regulated by the variable inclusion of exons that can trigger nonsense mediated decay. Our results suggest that dysregulation of gene expression, through shifts in alternative splicing in Tregs, contributes to T1D pathophysiology.

Abatacept for Delay of Type 1 Diabetes Progression in Stage 1 Relatives at Risk: A Randomized, Double-Masked, Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies showed that inhibiting lymphocyte costimulation reduces declining β-cell function in individuals newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes. We tested whether abatacept would delay or prevent progression of type 1 diabetes from normal glucose tolerance (NGT) to abnormal glucose tolerance (AGT) or to diabetes and the effects of treatment on immune and metabolic responses.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We conducted a phase 2, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-masked trial of abatacept in antibody-positive participants with NGT who received monthly abatacept/placebo infusions for 12 months. The end point was AGT or diabetes, assessed by oral glucose tolerance tests.

RESULTS

A total of 101 participants received abatacept and 111 placebo. Of these, 81 (35 abatacept and 46 placebo) met the end point of AGT or type 1 diabetes diagnosis (hazard ratio 0.702; 95% CI 0.452, 1.09; P = 0.11) The C-peptide responses to oral glucose tolerance tests were higher in the abatacept arm (P < 0.03). Abatacept reduced the frequency of inducible T-cell costimulatory (ICOS)+ PD1+ T-follicular helper (Tfh) cells during treatment (P < 0.0001), increased naive CD4+ T cells, and also reduced the frequency of CD4+ regulatory T cells (Tregs) from the baseline (P = 0.0067). Twelve months after treatment, the frequency of ICOS+ Tfh, naive CD4+ T cells, and Tregs returned to baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Although abatacept treatment for 1 year did not significantly delay progression to glucose intolerance in at-risk individuals, it impacted immune cell subsets and preserved insulin secretion, suggesting that costimulation blockade may modify progression of type 1 diabetes.

CGM Metrics Identify Dysglycemic States in Participants From the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study

OBJECTIVE

Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) parameters may identify individuals at risk for progression to overt type 1 diabetes. We aimed to determine whether CGM metrics provide additional insights into progression to clinical stage 3 type 1 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

One hundred five relatives of individuals in type 1 diabetes probands (median age 16.8 years; 89% non-Hispanic White; 43.8% female) from the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study underwent 7-day CGM assessments and oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTTs) at 6-month intervals. The baseline data are reported here. Three groups were evaluated: individuals with 1) stage 2 type 1 diabetes (n = 42) with two or more diabetes-related autoantibodies and abnormal OGTT; 2) stage 1 type 1 diabetes (n = 53) with two or more diabetes-related autoantibodies and normal OGTT; and 3) negative test for all diabetes-related autoantibodies and normal OGTT (n = 10).

RESULTS

Multiple CGM metrics were associated with progression to stage 3 type 1 diabetes. Specifically, spending ≥5% time with glucose levels ≥140 mg/dL (P = 0.01), ≥8% time with glucose levels ≥140 mg/dL (P = 0.02), ≥5% time with glucose levels ≥160 mg/dL (P = 0.0001), and ≥8% time with glucose levels ≥160 mg/dL (P = 0.02) were all associated with progression to stage 3 disease. Stage 2 participants and those who progressed to stage 3 also exhibited higher mean daytime glucose values; spent more time with glucose values over 120, 140, and 160 mg/dL; and had greater variability.

CONCLUSIONS

CGM could aid in the identification of individuals, including those with a normal OGTT, who are likely to rapidly progress to stage 3 type 1 diabetes.

Risk Modeling to Reduce Monitoring of an Autoantibody-Positive Population to Prevent DKA at Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis

CONTEXT

The presence of islet autoimmunity identifies individuals likely to progress to clinical type 1 diabetes (T1D). In clinical research studies, autoantibody screening followed by regular metabolic monitoring every 6 months reduces incidence of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) at diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that DKA reduction can be achieved on a population basis with a reduced frequency of metabolic monitoring visits. We reasoned that prolonged time between the development of T1D and the time of clinical diagnosis ("undiagnosed time") would more commonly result in DKA and thus that limiting undiagnosed time would decrease DKA.

METHODS

An analysis was conducted of data from TrialNet's Pathway to Prevention (PTP), a cross-sectional longitudinal study that identifies and follows at-risk relatives of people with T1D. PTP is a population-based study enrolling across multiple countries. A total of 6193 autoantibody (AAB)-positive individuals participated in PTP from March 2004 to April 2019. We developed models of progression to clinical diagnosis for pediatric and adult populations with single or multiple AAB, and summarized results using estimated hazard rate. An optimal monitoring visit schedule was determined for each model to achieve a minimum average level of undiagnosed time for each population.

RESULTS

Halving the number of monitoring visits usually conducted in research studies is likely to substantially lower the population incidence of DKA at diagnosis of T1D.

CONCLUSION

Our study has clinical implications for the metabolic monitoring of at-risk individuals. Fewer monitoring visits would reduce the clinical burden, suggesting a path toward transitioning monitoring beyond the research setting.

Characterizing T cell responses to enzymatically modified beta cell neo-epitopes

Introduction

Previous studies verify the formation of enzymatically post-translationally modified (PTM) self-peptides and their preferred recognition by T cells in subjects with type 1 diabetes (T1D). However, questions remain about the relative prevalence of T cells that recognize PTM self-peptides derived from different antigens, their functional phenotypes, and whether their presence correlates with a specific disease endotype.

Methods

To address this question, we identified a cohort of subjects with T1D who had diverse levels of residual beta cell function. Using previously developed HLA class II tetramer reagents, we enumerated T cells that recognize PTM GAD epitopes in the context of DRB1*04:01 or PTM IA2 epitopes in the context of DQB1*03:02 (DQ8).

Results

Consistent with prior studies, we observed higher overall frequencies and a greater proportion of memory T cells in subjects with T1D than in HLA matched controls. There were significantly higher numbers of GAD specific T cells than IA2 specific T cells in subjects with T1D. T cells specific for both groups of epitopes could be expanded from the peripheral blood of subjects with established T1D and at-risk subjects. Expanded neo-epitope specific T cells primarily produced interferon gamma in both groups, but a greater proportion of T cells were interferon gamma positive in subjects with T1D, including some poly-functional cells that also produced IL-4. Based on direct surface phenotyping, neo-epitope specific T cells exhibited diverse combinations of chemokine receptors. However, the largest proportion had markers associated with a Th1-like phenotype. Notably, DQ8 restricted responses to PTM IA2 were over-represented in subjects with lower residual beta cell function. Neo-epitope specific T cells were present in at-risk subjects, and those with multiple autoantibodies have higher interferon gamma to IL-4 ratios than those with single autoantibodies, suggesting a shift in polarization during progression.

Discussion

These results reinforce the relevance of PTM neo-epitopes in human disease and suggest that distinct responses to neo-antigens promote a more rapid decline in beta cell function.

IL-6-targeted therapies to block the cytokine or its receptor drive distinct alterations in T cell function

Therapeutics that inhibit IL-6 at different points in its signaling pathway are in clinical use, yet whether the immunological effects of these interventions differ based on their molecular target is unknown. We performed short-term interventions in individuals with type 1 diabetes using anti-IL-6 (siltuximab) or anti-IL-6 receptor (IL-6R; tocilizumab) therapies and investigated the impact of this in vivo blockade on T cell fate and function. Immune outcomes were influenced by the target of the therapeutic intervention (IL-6 versus IL-6R) and by peak drug concentration. Tocilizumab reduced ICOS expression on T follicular helper cell populations and T cell receptor-driven (TCR-driven) STAT3 phosphorylation. Siltuximab reversed resistance to Treg-mediated suppression and increased TCR-driven phosphorylated STAT3 and production of IL-10, IL-21, and IL-27 by T effectors. Together, these findings indicate that the context of IL-6 blockade in vivo drives distinct T cell-intrinsic changes that may influence therapeutic outcomes.

IL-6-Driven pSTAT1 Response Is Linked to T Cell Features Implicated in Early Immune Dysregulation

Elevated levels and enhanced sensing of the pro-inflammatory cytokine interleukin-6 (IL-6) are key features of many autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. To better understand how IL-6 signaling may influence human T cell fate, we investigated the relationships between levels of components of the IL-6R complex, pSTAT responses, and transcriptomic and translational changes in CD4+ and CD8+ T cell subsets from healthy individuals after exposure to IL-6. Our findings highlight the striking heterogeneity in mbIL-6R and gp130 expression and IL-6-driven pSTAT1/3 responses across T cell subsets. Increased mbIL-6R expression correlated with enhanced signaling via pSTAT1 with less impact on pSTAT3, most strikingly in CD4+ naïve T cells. Additionally, IL-6 rapidly induced expression of transcription factors and surface receptors expressed by T follicular helper cells and altered expression of markers of apoptosis. Importantly, many of the features associated with the level of mbIL-6R expression on T cells were recapitulated both in the setting of tocilizumab therapy and when comparing donor CD4+ T cells harboring the genetic variant, IL6R Asp358Ala (rs2228145), known to alter mbIL-6R expression on T cells. Collectively, these findings should be taken into account as we consider the role of IL-6 in disease pathogenesis and translating IL-6 biology into effective therapies for T cell-mediated autoimmune disease.

Recruitment and Retention Strategies for the Diabetes RElated to Acute Pancreatitis and Its Mechanisms Study: From the Type 1 Diabetes in Acute Pancreatitis Consortium

ABSTRACT

Recruitment and retention of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) in clinical studies can be challenging. While some obstacles are similar to other clinical conditions, some are unique to AP. Identifying potential barriers early and developing targeted solutions can help optimize recruitment and retention in AP studies. Such pre-emptive and detailed planning can help prospective, longitudinal studies focus on exocrine and endocrine complications of AP in accurately measuring outcomes. This article highlights the challenges in recruitment and retention strategies in AP studies and reviews available resources to create opportunities to address them. We describe the multifaceted approach used by the Recruitment and Retention Committee of the Type 1 Diabetes in Acute Pancreatitis Consortium, which builds upon earlier experiences to develop a recruitment and retention plan for the DREAM (Diabetes RElated to Acute pancreatitis and its Mechanisms) study.

Assessing the Pathophysiology of Hyperglycemia in the Diabetes RElated to Acute Pancreatitis and Its Mechanisms Study: From the Type 1 Diabetes in Acute Pancreatitis Consortium

OBJECTIVES

The metabolic abnormalities that lead to diabetes mellitus (DM) after an episode of acute pancreatitis (AP) have not been extensively studied. This article describes the objectives, hypotheses, and methods of mechanistic studies of glucose metabolism that comprise secondary outcomes of the DREAM (Diabetes RElated to Acute pancreatitis and its Mechanisms) Study.

METHODS

Three months after an index episode of AP, participants without preexisting DM will undergo baseline testing with an oral glucose tolerance test. Participants will be followed longitudinally in three subcohorts with distinct metabolic tests. In the first and largest subcohort, oral glucose tolerance tests will be repeated 12 months after AP and annually to assess changes in β-cell function, insulin secretion, and insulin sensitivity. In the second, mixed meal tolerance tests will be performed at 3 and 12 months, then annually, and following incident DM to assess incretin and pancreatic polypeptide responses. In the third, frequently sampled intravenous glucose tolerance tests will be performed at 3 months and 12 months to assess the first-phase insulin response and more precisely measure β-cell function and insulin sensitivity.

CONCLUSIONS

The DREAM study will comprehensively assess the metabolic and endocrine changes that precede and lead to the development of DM after AP.

Rationale and Design for the Diabetes RElated to Acute Pancreatitis and Its Mechanisms Study: A Prospective Cohort Study From the Type 1 Diabetes in Acute Pancreatitis Consortium

ABSTRACT

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a disease characterized by an acute inflammatory phase followed by a convalescent phase. Diabetes mellitus (DM) was historically felt to be a transient phenomenon related to acute inflammation; however, it is increasingly recognized as an important late and chronic complication. There are several challenges that have prevented precisely determining the incidence rate of DM after AP and understanding the underlying mechanisms. The DREAM (Diabetes RElated to Acute Pancreatitis and its Mechanisms) Study is a prospective cohort study designed to address these and other knowledge gaps to provide the evidence needed to screen for, prevent, and treat DM after AP. In the following article, we summarize literature regarding the epidemiology of DM after AP and provide the rationale and an overview of the DREAM study.

Citrullination of glucokinase is linked to autoimmune diabetes

Inflammation, including reactive oxygen species and inflammatory cytokines in tissues amplify various post-translational modifications of self-proteins. A number of post-translational modifications have been identified as autoimmune biomarkers in the initiation and progression of Type 1 diabetes. Here we show the citrullination of pancreatic glucokinase as a result of inflammation, triggering autoimmunity and affecting glucokinase biological functions. Glucokinase is expressed in hepatocytes to regulate glycogen synthesis, and in pancreatic beta cells as a glucose sensor to initiate glycolysis and insulin signaling. We identify autoantibodies and autoreactive CD4+ T cells to glucokinase epitopes in the circulation of Type 1 diabetes patients and NOD mice. Finally, citrullination alters glucokinase biologic activity and suppresses glucose-stimulated insulin secretion. Our study define glucokinase as a Type 1 diabetes biomarker, providing new insights of how inflammation drives post-translational modifications to create both neoautoantigens and affect beta cell metabolism.

Characterising the age-dependent effects of risk factors on type 1 diabetes progression

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Age is known to be one of the most important stratifiers of disease progression in type 1 diabetes. However, what drives the difference in rate of progression between adults and children is poorly understood. Evidence suggests that many type 1 diabetes disease predictors do not have the same effect across the age spectrum. Without a comprehensive analysis describing the varying risk profiles of predictors over the age continuum, researchers and clinicians are susceptible to inappropriate assessment of risk when examining populations of differing ages. We aimed to systematically assess and characterise how the effect of key type 1 diabetes risk predictors changes with age.

METHODS

Using longitudinal data from single- and multiple-autoantibody-positive at-risk individuals recruited between the ages of 1 and 45 years in TrialNet's Pathway to Prevention Study, we assessed and visually characterised the age-varying effect of key demographic, immune and metabolic predictors of type 1 diabetes by employing a flexible spline model. Two progression outcomes were defined: participants with single autoantibodies (n=4893) were analysed for progression to multiple autoantibodies or type 1 diabetes, and participants with multiple autoantibodies were analysed (n=3856) for progression to type 1 diabetes.

RESULTS

Several predictors exhibited significant age-varying effects on disease progression. Amongst single-autoantibody participants, HLA-DR3 (p=0.007), GAD65 autoantibody positivity (p=0.008), elevated BMI (p=0.007) and HOMA-IR (p=0.002) showed a significant increase in effect on disease progression with increasing age. Insulin autoantibody positivity had a diminishing effect with older age in single-autoantibody-positive participants (p<0.001). Amongst multiple-autoantibody-positive participants, male sex (p=0.002) was associated with an increase in risk for progression, and HLA DR3/4 (p=0.05) showed a decreased effect on disease progression with older age. In both single- and multiple-autoantibody-positive individuals, significant changes in HR with age were seen for multiple measures of islet function. Risk estimation using prediction risk score Index60 was found to be better at a younger age for both single- and multiple-autoantibody-positive individuals (p=0.007 and p<0.001, respectively). No age-varying effect was seen for prediction risk score DPTRS (p=0.861 and p=0.178, respectively). Multivariable analyses suggested that incorporating the age-varying effect of the individual components of these validated risk scores has the potential to enhance the risk estimate.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Analysing the age-varying effect of disease predictors improves understanding and prediction of type 1 diabetes disease progression, and should be leveraged to refine prediction models and guide mechanistic studies.

Deep immune phenotyping reveals similarities between aging, Down syndrome, and autoimmunity

[Figure: see text].

Autoreactive T cell receptors with shared germline-like α chains in type 1 diabetes

Human islet antigen reactive CD4⁺ memory T cells (IAR T cells) play a key role in the pathogenesis of autoimmune type 1 diabetes (T1D). Using single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-Seq) to identify T cell receptors (TCRs) in IAR T cells, we have identified a class of TCRs that share TCRα chains between individuals (“public” chains). We isolated IAR T cells from blood of healthy, new-onset T1D and established T1D donors using multiplexed CD154 enrichment and identified paired TCRαβ sequences from 2767 individual cells. More than a quarter of cells shared TCR junctions between 2 or more cells (“expanded”), and 29/47 (~62%) of expanded TCRs tested showed specificity for islet antigen epitopes. Public TCRs sharing TCRα junctions were most prominent in new-onset T1D. Public TCR sequences were more germline like than expanded unique, or “private,” TCRs, and had shorter junction sequences, suggestive of fewer random nucleotide insertions. Public TCRα junctions were often paired with mismatched TCRβ junctions in TCRs; remarkably, a subset of these TCRs exhibited cross-reactivity toward distinct islet antigen peptides. Our findings demonstrate a prevalent population of IAR T cells with diverse specificities determined by TCRs with restricted TCRα junctions and germline-constrained antigen recognition properties. Since these “innate-like” TCRs differ from previously described immunodominant TCRβ chains in autoimmunity, they have implications for fundamental studies of disease mechanisms. Self-reactive restricted TCRα chains and their associated epitopes should be considered in fundamental and translational investigations of TCRs in T1D.

IL-6 receptor blockade does not slow β cell loss in new-onset type 1 diabetes

BackgroundIL-6 receptor (IL-6R) signaling drives development of T cell populations important to type 1 diabetes pathogenesis. We evaluated whether blockade of IL-6R with monoclonal antibody tocilizumab would slow loss of residual β cell function in newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes patients.MethodsWe conducted a multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial with tocilizumab in new-onset type 1 diabetes. Participants were screened within 100 days of diagnosis. Eligible participants were randomized 2:1 to receive 7 monthly doses of tocilizumab or placebo. The primary outcome was the change from screening in the mean AUC of C-peptide collected during the first 2 hours of a mixed meal tolerance test at week 52 in pediatric participants (ages 6-17 years).ResultsThere was no statistical difference in the primary outcome between tocilizumab and placebo. Immunophenotyping showed reductions in downstream signaling of the IL-6R in T cells but no changes in CD4 memory subsets, Th17 cells, Tregs, or CD4+ T effector cell resistance to Treg suppression. A DC subset decreased during therapy but regressed to baseline once therapy stopped. Tocilizumab was well tolerated.ConclusionTocilizumab reduced T cell IL-6R signaling but did not modulate CD4+ T cell phenotypes or slow loss of residual β cell function in newly diagnosed individuals with type 1 diabetes.Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT02293837.FundingNIH National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) and National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) UM1AI109565, UL1TR000004 from NIH/National Center for Research Resources (NCRR) Clinical and Translational Science Award (CTSA), NIH/NIDDK P30DK036836, NIH/NIDDK U01DK103266, NIH/NIDDK U01DK103266, 1UL1TR000064 from NIH/NCRR CTSA, NIH/National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (NCATS) UL1TR001878, UL1TR002537 from NIH/CTSA; National Health and Medical Research Council Practitioner Fellowship (APP1136735), NIH/NIDDK U01-DK085476, NIH/CTSA UL1-TR002494, Indiana Clinical and Translational Science Institute Award UL1TR002529, Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research UL1TR000445. NIH/NCATS UL1TR003142, NIH/CTSA program UL1-TR002494, Veteran Affairs Administration, and 1R01AI132774.

Advances in Type 1 Diabetes Prediction Using Islet Autoantibodies: Beyond a Simple Count

Islet autoantibodies are key markers for the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes. Since their discovery, they have also been recognized for their potential to identify at-risk individuals prior to symptoms. To date, risk prediction using autoantibodies has been based on autoantibody number; it has been robustly shown that nearly all multiple-autoantibody-positive individuals will progress to clinical disease. However, longitudinal studies have demonstrated that the rate of progression among multiple-autoantibody-positive individuals is highly heterogenous. Accurate prediction of the most rapidly progressing individuals is crucial for efficient and informative clinical trials and for identification of candidates most likely to benefit from disease modification. This is increasingly relevant with the recent success in delaying clinical disease in presymptomatic subjects using immunotherapy, and as the field moves toward population-based screening. There have been many studies investigating islet autoantibody characteristics for their predictive potential, beyond a simple categorical count. Predictive features that have emerged include molecular specifics, such as epitope targets and affinity; longitudinal patterns, such as changes in titer and autoantibody reversion; and sequence-dependent risk profiles specific to the autoantibody and the subject's age. These insights are the outworking of decades of prospective cohort studies and international assay standardization efforts and will contribute to the granularity needed for more sensitive and specific preclinical staging. The aim of this review is to identify the dynamic and nuanced manifestations of autoantibodies in type 1 diabetes, and to highlight how these autoantibody features have the potential to improve study design of trials aiming to predict and prevent disease.

Fine-mapping, trans-ancestral and genomic analyses identify causal variants, cells, genes and drug targets for type 1 diabetes

We report the largest and most diverse genetic study of type 1 diabetes (T1D) to date (61,427 participants), yielding 78 genome-wide-significant (P < 5 × 10-8) regions, including 36 that are new. We define credible sets of T1D-associated variants and show that they are enriched in immune-cell accessible chromatin, particularly CD4+ effector T cells. Using chromatin-accessibility profiling of CD4+ T cells from 115 individuals, we map chromatin-accessibility quantitative trait loci and identify five regions where T1D risk variants co-localize with chromatin-accessibility quantitative trait loci. We highlight rs72928038 in BACH2 as a candidate causal T1D variant leading to decreased enhancer accessibility and BACH2 expression in T cells. Finally, we prioritize potential drug targets by integrating genetic evidence, functional genomic maps and immune protein-protein interactions, identifying 12 genes implicated in T1D that have been targeted in clinical trials for autoimmune diseases. These findings provide an expanded genomic landscape for T1D.

A Key to T1D Prevention: Screening and Monitoring Relatives as Part of Clinical Care

The 2019 report of a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial demonstrating that immune therapy can delay the onset of clinical type 1 diabetes (T1D) in antibody-positive relatives by a median of 2 years stands out as a landmark in the decades-long effort to prevent T1D. With this important step achieved, it is now time to consider what is needed to bring disease-modifying therapy for prevention or delay of T1D to clinical use from this point. Long considered a chicken and egg problem (why screen for T1D risk when we have no therapy, and how can we develop therapies without more screening), we now have the opportunity to break this impasse. The purpose of this article is to place this clinical trial result in context, highlighting key foundational studies leading to this accomplishment, addressing the current gaps, and suggesting that a key next step for prevention of T1D is to screen and monitor relatives for T1D risk in the context of clinical care.

Uncovering Pathways to Personalized Therapies in Type 1 Diabetes

The goal of personalized medicine is to match the right drugs to the right patients at the right time. Personalized medicine has been most successful in cases where there is a clear genetic linkage between a disease and a therapy. This is not the case with type 1 diabetes (T1D), a genetically complex immune-mediated disease of β-cell destruction. Researchers over decades have traced the natural history of disease sufficiently to use autoantibodies as predictive biomarkers for disease risk and to conduct successful clinical trials of disease-modifying therapy. Recent studies, however, have highlighted heterogeneity associated with progression, with nonuniform rate of insulin loss and distinct features of the peri-diagnostic period. Likewise, there is heterogeneity in immune profiles and outcomes in response to therapy. Unexpectedly, from these studies demonstrating perplexing complexity in progression and response to therapy, new biomarker-based principles are emerging for how to achieve personalized therapies for T1D. These include therapy timed to periods of disease activity, use of patient stratification biomarkers to align therapeutic target with disease endotype, pharmacodynamic biomarkers to achieve personalized dosing and appropriate combination therapies, and efficacy biomarkers for "treat-to-target" strategies. These principles provide a template for application of personalized medicine to complex diseases.

Teplizumab improves and stabilizes beta cell function in antibody-positive high-risk individuals

We analyzed the effects of a single 14-day course of teplizumab treatment on metabolic function and immune cells among participants in a previously reported randomized controlled trial of nondiabetic relatives at high risk for type 1 diabetes (T1D). In an extended follow-up (923-day median) of a previous report of teplizumab treatment, we found that the median times to diagnosis were 59.6 and 27.1 months for teplizumab- and placebo-treated participants, respectively (HR = 0.457, P = 0.01). Fifty percent of teplizumab-treated but only 22% of the placebo-treated remained diabetes-free. Glucose tolerance, C-peptide area under the curve (AUC), and insulin secretory rates were calculated, and relationships to T cell subsets and function were analyzed. Teplizumab treatment improved beta cell function, reflected by average on-study C-peptide AUC (1.94 versus 1.72 pmol/ml; P = 0.006). Drug treatment reversed a decline in insulin secretion before enrollment, followed by stabilization of the declining C-peptide AUC seen with placebo treatment. Proinsulin:C-peptide ratios after drug treatment were similar between the treatment groups. The changes in C-peptide with teplizumab treatment were associated with increases in partially exhausted memory KLRG1+TIGIT+CD8+ T cells (r = 0.44, P = 0.014) that showed reduced secretion of IFNγ and TNFα. A single course of teplizumab had lasting effects on delay of T1D diagnosis and improved beta cell function in high-risk individuals. Changes in CD8+ T cell subsets indicated that partially exhausted effector cells were associated with clinical response. Thus, this trial showed improvement in metabolic responses and delay of diabetes with immune therapy.

Pancreatic islet reserve in type 1 diabetes

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is a chronic autoimmune disease characterized by pancreatic islet β cell loss and dysfunction resulting in insulin deficiency and hyperglycemia. During a presymptomatic phase of established β cell autoimmunity, β cell loss may first be evident through assessment of β cell secretory capacity, a measure of functional β cell mass. Reduction in pancreatic islet β cell reserve eventually manifests as impaired first-phase insulin response to glucose and abnormal glucose tolerance, which progresses until the functional capacity for β cell secretion can no longer meet the demand for insulin to control glycemia. A functional β cell mass of ∼25% of normal may be required to avoid symptomatic T1D but is already associated with dysregulated glucagon secretion. With symptomatic T1D, stimulated C-peptide levels >0.60 ng/mL (0.200 pmol/mL) indicate the presence of clinically meaningful residual β cell function for contributing to glycemic control, although even higher residual C-peptide appears necessary for evidencing glucose-dependent islet β and α cell function that may contribute to maintaining (near)normal glycemia. β cell replacement by islet transplantation can restore a physiologic reserve capacity for insulin secretion, confirming thresholds for functional β cell mass required for independence from insulin therapy.

Sensitive detection of multiple islet autoantibodies in type 1 diabetes using small sample volumes by agglutination-PCR

Islet autoantibodies are predominantly measured by radioassay to facilitate risk assessment and diagnosis of type 1 diabetes. However, the reliance on radioactive components, large sample volumes and limited throughput renders radioassay testing costly and challenging. We developed a multiplex analysis platform based on antibody detection by agglutination-PCR (ADAP) for the sample-sparing measurement of GAD, IA-2 and insulin autoantibodies/antibodies in 1 μL serum. The assay was developed and validated in 7 distinct cohorts (n = 858) with the majority of the cohorts blinded prior to analysis. Measurements from the ADAP assay were compared to radioassay to determine correlation, concordance, agreement, clinical sensitivity and specificity. The average overall agreement between ADAP and radioassay was above 91%. The average clinical sensitivity and specificity were 96% and 97%. In the IASP 2018 workshop, ADAP achieved the highest sensitivity of all assays tested at 95% specificity (AS95) rating for GAD and IA-2 autoantibodies and top-tier performance for insulin autoantibodies. Furthermore, ADAP correctly identified 95% high-risk individuals with two or more autoantibodies by radioassay amongst 39 relatives of T1D patients tested. In conclusion, the new ADAP assay can reliably detect the three cardinal islet autoantibodies/antibodies in 1μL serum with high sensitivity. This novel assay may improve pediatric testing compliance and facilitate easier community-wide screening for islet autoantibodies.

Acute Hyperinsulinemia Alters Bone Turnover in Women and Men With Type 1 Diabetes

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) increases fracture risk across the lifespan. The low bone turnover associated with T1D is thought to be related to glycemic control, but it is unclear whether peripheral hyperinsulinemia due to dependence on exogenous insulin has an independent effect on suppressing bone turnover. The purpose of this study was to test the bone turnover marker (BTM) response to acute hyperinsulinemia. Fifty‐eight adults aged 18 to 65 years with T1D over 2 years were enrolled at seven T1D Exchange Clinic Network sites. Participants had T1D diagnosis between age 6 months to 45 years. Participants were stratified based on their residual endogenous insulin secretion measured as peak C‐peptide response to a mixed meal tolerance test. BTMs (CTX, P1NP, sclerostin [SCL], osteonectin [ON], alkaline phosphatase [ALP], osteocalcin [OCN], osteoprotegerin [OPG], osteopontin [OPN], and IGF‐1) were assessed before and at the end of a 2‐hour hyperinsulinemic‐euglycemic clamp (HEC). Baseline ON (r = −0.30, p = .022) and OCN (r = −0.41, p = .002) were negatively correlated with age at T1D diagnosis, but baseline BTMs were not associated with HbA1c. During the HEC, P1NP decreased significantly (−14.5 ± 44.3%; p = .020) from baseline. OCN, ON, and IGF‐1 all significantly increased (16.0 ± 13.1%, 29.7 ± 31.7%, 34.1 ± 71.2%, respectively; all p < .001) during the clamp. The increase in SCL was not significant (7.3 ± 32.9%, p = .098), but the decrease in CTX (−12.4 ± 48.9, p = .058) neared significance. ALP and OPG were not changed from baseline (p = .23 and p = .77, respectively). Baseline ON and SCL were higher in men, but OPG was higher in women (all p ≤ .029). SCL was the only BTM that changed differently in women than men. There were no differences in baseline BTMs or change in BTMs between C‐peptide groups. Exogenous hyperinsulinemia acutely alters bone turnover, suggesting a need to determine whether strategies to promote healthy remodeling may protect bone quality in T1D. © 2020 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research © 2020 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

C-Peptide Levels in Subjects Followed Longitudinally Before and After Type 1 Diabetes Diagnosis in TrialNet

OBJECTIVE

Insulin secretion declines rapidly after diagnosis of type 1 diabetes, followed by a slower rate of change. Previous studies have demonstrated that the C-peptide decline begins before the clinical diagnosis. Changes in insulin secretion in the same individuals studied from preclinical stages through and after clinical diagnosis have not been previously reported.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Antibody-positive relatives undergo sequential oral glucose tolerance testing (OGTT) as part of TrialNet's Pathway to Prevention study and continue both OGTT and mixed-meal tolerance testing (MMTT) as part of the Long-term Investigational Follow-up in TrialNet study if they develop type 1 diabetes. We analyzed glucose and C-peptide data obtained from 80 TrialNet subjects who had OGTT before and after clinical diagnosis. Separately, we compared C-peptide response to OGTT and MMTT in 127 participants after diagnosis.

RESULTS

C-peptide did not change significantly until 6 months before the clinical diagnosis of type 1 diabetes and continued to decline postdiagnosis, and the rates of decline for the first 6 months postdiagnosis were similar to the 6 months prediagnosis. There were no significant differences in MMTT and OGTT C-peptide responses in paired tests postdiagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first analysis of C-peptide levels in longitudinally monitored patients with type 1 diabetes studied from before diagnosis and continuing to the postdiagnosis period. These data highlight the discordant timing between accelerated β-cell dysfunction and the current glucose thresholds for clinical diagnosis. To preserve β-cell function, disease-modifying therapy should start at or before the acute decline in C-peptide.

Innate immune stimulation of whole blood reveals IFN-1 hyper-responsiveness in type 1 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Self-antigen-specific T cell responses drive type 1 diabetes pathogenesis, but alterations in innate immune responses are also critical and not as well understood. Innate immunity in human type 1 diabetes has primarily been assessed via gene-expression analysis of unstimulated peripheral blood mononuclear cells, without the immune activation that could amplify disease-associated signals. Increased responsiveness in each of the two main innate immune pathways, driven by either type 1 IFN (IFN-1) or IL-1, have been detected in type 1 diabetes, but the dominant innate pathway is still unclear. This study aimed to determine the key innate pathway in type 1 diabetes and assess the whole blood immune stimulation assay as a tool to investigate this.

METHODS

The TruCulture whole blood ex vivo stimulation assay, paired with gene expression and cytokine measurements, was used to characterise changes in the stimulated innate immune response in type 1 diabetes. We applied specific cytokine-induced signatures to our data, pre-defined from the same assays measured in a separate cohort of healthy individuals. In addition, NOD mice were stimulated with CpG and monocyte gene expression was measured.

RESULTS

Monocytes from NOD mice showed lower baseline vs diabetes-resistant B6.g7 mice, but higher induced IFN-1-associated gene expression. In human participants, ex vivo whole blood stimulation revealed higher induced IFN-1 responses in type 1 diabetes, as compared with healthy control participants. In contrast, neither the IL-1-induced gene signature nor response to the adaptive immune stimulant Staphylococcal enterotoxin B were significantly altered in type 1 diabetes samples vs healthy control participants. Targeted gene-expression analysis showed that this enhanced IFN response was specific to IFN-1, as IFN-γ-driven responses were not significantly different.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Our study identifies increased responsiveness to IFN-1 as a feature of both the NOD mouse model of autoimmune diabetes and human established type 1 diabetes. A stimulated IFN-1 gene signature may be a potential biomarker for type 1 diabetes and used to evaluate the effects of therapies targeting this pathway.

DATA AVAILABILITY

Mouse gene expression data are found in the gene expression omnibus (GEO) repository, accession GSE146452 ( www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/query/acc.cgi?acc=GSE146452 ). Nanostring count data from the human experiments were deposited in the GEO repository, accession GSE146338 ( www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/query/acc.cgi?acc=GSE146338 ). Data files and R code for all analyses are available at https://github.com/rodriguesk/T1D_truculture_diabetologia . Graphical abstract.

Insulin is necessary but not sufficient: changing the therapeutic paradigm in type 1 diabetes

Despite the clear evidence that type 1 diabetes (T1D) begins well before hyperglycemia is evident, there are no clinically available disease-modifying therapies for early-stage disease. However, following the exciting results of the Teplizumab Prevention Study, the first study to demonstrate that overt T1D can be delayed with immunotherapy, there is renewed optimism that in the future, T1D will be treated before hyperglycemia develops. A different treatment paradigm is needed, as a majority of people with T1D do not meet the glycemic targets that are associated with a lower risk of T1D complications and therefore remain vulnerable to complications and shortened life expectancy. The following review will outline the history and current status of immunotherapy for T1D and highlight some challenges and ideas for the future. Although such efforts have been worldwide, we will focus particularly on the activities of Diabetes TrialNet, a National Institutes of Health consortium launched in 2004.

Hybrid Insulin Peptides Are Recognized by Human T Cells in the Context of DRB1*04:01

T cells isolated from the pancreatic infiltrates of nonobese diabetic mice have been shown to recognize epitopes formed by the covalent cross-linking of proinsulin and secretory granule peptides. Formation of such hybrid insulin peptides (HIPs) was confirmed through mass spectrometry, and responses to HIPs were observed among the islet-infiltrating T cells of pancreatic organ donors and in the peripheral blood of individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D). However, questions remain about the prevalence of HIP-specific T cells in humans, the sequences they recognize, and their role in disease. We identified six novel HIPs that are recognized in the context of DRB1*04:01, discovered by using a library of theoretical HIP sequences derived from insulin fragments covalently linked to one another or to fragments of secretory granule proteins or other islet-derived proteins. We demonstrate that T cells that recognize these HIPs are detectable in the peripheral blood of subjects with T1D and exhibit an effector memory phenotype. HIP-reactive T-cell clones produced Th1-associated cytokines and proliferated in response to human islet preparations. These results support the relevance of HIPs in human disease, further establishing a novel posttranslational modification that may contribute to the loss of peripheral tolerance in T1D.

High residual C-peptide likely contributes to glycemic control in type 1 diabetes

BACKGROUNDResidual C-peptide is detected in many people for years following the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes; however, the physiologic significance of low levels of detectable C-peptide is not known.METHODSWe studied 63 adults with type 1 diabetes classified by peak mixed-meal tolerance test (MMTT) C-peptide as negative (<0.007 pmol/mL; n = 15), low (0.017-0.200; n = 16), intermediate (>0.200-0.400; n = 15), or high (>0.400; n = 17). We compared the groups' glycemia from continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), β cell secretory responses from a glucose-potentiated arginine (GPA) test, insulin sensitivity from a hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic (EU) clamp, and glucose counterregulatory responses from a subsequent hypoglycemic (HYPO) clamp.RESULTSLow and intermediate MMTT C-peptide groups did not exhibit β cell secretory responses to hyperglycemia, whereas the high C-peptide group showed increases in both C-peptide and proinsulin (P ≤ 0.01). All groups with detectable MMTT C-peptide demonstrated acute C-peptide and proinsulin responses to arginine that were positively correlated with peak MMTT C-peptide (P < 0.0001 for both analytes). During the EU-HYPO clamp, C-peptide levels were proportionately suppressed in the low, intermediate, and high C-peptide compared with the negative group (P ≤ 0.0001), whereas glucagon increased from EU to HYPO only in the high C-peptide group compared with negative (P = 0.01). CGM demonstrated lower mean glucose and more time in range for the high C-peptide group.CONCLUSIONThese results indicate that in adults with type 1 diabetes, β cell responsiveness to hyperglycemia and α cell responsiveness to hypoglycemia are observed only at high levels of residual C-peptide that likely contribute to glycemic control.FUNDINGFunding for this work was provided by the Leona M. and Harry B. Helmsley Charitable Trust, the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Autoantibody Reversion: Changing Risk Categories in Multiple-Autoantibody-Positive Individuals

OBJECTIVE

Most individuals with two or more islet autoantibodies progress to clinical type 1 diabetes. However, in some individuals, autoantibodies are subsequently lost. Here, our objectives were to determine the frequency of autoantibody loss (reversion) in multiple-autoantibody-positive individuals and to determine the association between reversion and progression to clinical disease.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We analyzed multiple-autoantibody-positive individuals participating in TrialNet's Pathway to Prevention Study for reversion and determined the effect of reversion on progression to clinical disease using a Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Of 3,284 multiple-autoantibody-positive subjects, reversion occurred in 134 (4.1%) and was associated with reduced incidence of clinical disease. Reversion occurred more frequently with older age, lower autoantibody titers, and fewer positive autoantibodies.

CONCLUSIONS

Although reversion of multiple-autoantibody positivity is rare, when it occurs, the risk of progressing to clinical disease is reduced. This suggests unknown mechanisms promoting immune remission in some individuals.

Hyaluronan deposition in islets may precede and direct the location of islet immune-cell infiltrates

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Substantial deposition of the extracellular matrix component hyaluronan (HA) is characteristic of insulitis in overt type 1 diabetes. We investigated whether HA accumulation is detectable in islets early in disease pathogenesis and how this affects the development of insulitis and beta cell mass.

METHODS

Pancreas tissue from 15 non-diabetic organ donors who were positive for islet autoantibodies (aAbs) and from 14 similarly aged aAb^- control donors were examined for the amount of islet HA staining and the presence of insulitis. The kinetics of HA deposition in islets, along with the onset and progression of insulitis and changes in beta cell mass, were investigated in BioBreeding DRLyp/Lyp rats (a model of spontaneous autoimmune diabetes) from 40 days of age until diabetes onset.

RESULTS

Abundant islet HA deposits were observed in pancreas tissues from n = 3 single- and n = 4 double-aAb⁺ donors (aAb⁺HA^high). In these seven tissues, the HA-stained areas in islets measured 1000 ± 240 μm² (mean ± SEM) and were fourfold larger than those from aAb^- control tissues. The aAb⁺HA^high tissues also had a greater prevalence of islets that were highly rich in HA (21% of the islets in these tissues contained the largest HA-stained areas [>2000 μm²] vs less than 1% in tissues from aAb^- control donors). The amount of HA staining in islets was associated with the number of aAbs (i.e. single- or double-aAb positivity) but not with HLA genotype or changes in beta cell mass. Among the seven aAb⁺HA^high tissues, three from single- and one from double-aAb⁺ donors did not show any islet immune-cell infiltrates, indicating that HA accumulates in aAb⁺ donors independently of insulitis. The three aAb⁺HA^high tissues that exhibited insulitis had the largest HA-stained areas and, in these tissues, islet-infiltrating immune cells co-localised with the most prominent HA deposits (i.e. with HA-stained areas >2000 μm²). Accumulation of HA in islets was evident prior to insulitis in 7-8-week-old presymptomatic DRLyp/Lyp rats, in which the islet HA-stained area measured 2370 ± 170 μm² (mean ± SEM), which was threefold larger than in 6-week-old rats. This initial islet HA deposition was not concurrent with beta cell loss. Insulitis was first detected in 9-10-week-old rats, in which the HA-stained areas were 4980 ± 500 μm². At this age, the rats also exhibited a 44% reduction in beta cell mass. Further enlargement of the HA-positive areas (mean ± SEM: 7220 ± 880 μm²) was associated with invasive insulitis. HA deposits remained abundant in the islets of rats with destructive insulitis, which had lost 85% of their beta cells.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

This study indicates that HA deposition in islets occurs early in type 1 diabetes and prior to insulitis, and points to a potential role of HA in triggering islet immune-cell infiltration and the promotion of insulitis.

Genetic Discrimination Between LADA and Childhood-Onset Type 1 Diabetes Within the MHC

OBJECTIVE

The MHC region harbors the strongest loci for latent autoimmune diabetes in adults (LADA); however, the strength of association is likely attenuated compared with that for childhood-onset type 1 diabetes. In this study, we recapitulate independent effects in the MHC class I region in a population with type 1 diabetes and then determine whether such conditioning in LADA yields potential genetic discriminators between the two subtypes within this region.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Chromosome 6 was imputed using SNP2HLA, with conditional analysis performed in type 1 diabetes case subjects (n = 1,985) and control subjects (n = 2,219). The same approach was applied to a LADA cohort (n = 1,428) using population-based control subjects (n = 2,850) and in a separate replication cohort (656 type 1 diabetes case, 823 LADA case, and 3,218 control subjects).

RESULTS

The strongest associations in the MHC class II region (rs3957146, β [SE] = 1.44 [0.05]), as well as the independent effect of MHC class I genes, on type 1 diabetes risk, particularly HLA-B*39 (β [SE] = 1.36 [0.17]), were confirmed. The conditional analysis in LADA versus control subjects showed significant association in the MHC class II region (rs3957146, β [SE] = 1.14 [0.06]); however, we did not observe significant independent effects of MHC class I alleles in LADA.

CONCLUSIONS

In LADA, the independent effects of MHC class I observed in type 1 diabetes were not observed after conditioning on the leading MHC class II associations, suggesting that the MHC class I association may be a genetic discriminator between LADA and childhood-onset type 1 diabetes.

Autoreactive CD8+ T cell exhaustion distinguishes subjects with slow type 1 diabetes progression

Although most patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) retain some functional insulin-producing islet β cells at the time of diagnosis, the rate of further β cell loss varies across individuals. It is not clear what drives this differential progression rate. CD8+ T cells have been implicated in the autoimmune destruction of β cells. Here, we addressed whether the phenotype and function of autoreactive CD8+ T cells influence disease progression. We identified islet-specific CD8+ T cells using high-content, single-cell mass cytometry in combination with peptide-loaded MHC tetramer staining. We applied a new analytical method, DISCOV-R, to characterize these rare subsets. Autoreactive T cells were phenotypically heterogeneous, and their phenotype differed by rate of disease progression. Activated islet-specific CD8+ memory T cells were prevalent in subjects with T1D who experienced rapid loss of C-peptide; in contrast, slow disease progression was associated with an exhaustion-like profile, with expression of multiple inhibitory receptors, limited cytokine production, and reduced proliferative capacity. This relationship between properties of autoreactive CD8+ T cells and the rate of T1D disease progression after onset make these phenotypes attractive putative biomarkers of disease trajectory and treatment response and reveal potential targets for therapeutic intervention.

High Concentration of Medium-Sized HDL Particles and Enrichment in HDL Paraoxonase 1 Associate With Protection From Vascular Complications in People With Long-standing Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

A subset of people with long-standing type 1 diabetes (T1D) appears to be protected from microvascular and macrovascular complications. Previous studies have focused on improved abilities to respond to glucose and its downstream effects as protective mechanisms. It is unclear whether lipoproteins play a role in the vascular health of these people. We therefore determined whether HDL particle concentration, size, function, and/or protein composition associate with protection from vascular complications.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We studied two independent cross-sectional cohorts with T1D: the T1D Exchange Living Biobank (n = 47) and the Joslin Medalist Study (n = 100). Some of the subjects had vascular complications, whereas others never exhibited vascular complications, despite an average duration of diabetes in the cohorts of 45 years. We assessed HDL particle size and concentration by calibrated ion mobility analysis, the HDL proteome by targeted mass spectrometry, and HDL function ex vivo by quantifying cholesterol efflux capacity and inhibition of monocyte adhesion to endothelial cells.

RESULTS

In both cohorts, people without vascular complications exhibited significantly higher concentrations of medium-sized HDL particles (M-HDL) independently of total and HDL cholesterol levels. While no consistent differences in HDL functions were observed ex vivo, people without vascular complications had higher levels of HDL-associated paraoxonase 1 (PON1), an enzyme that inhibits atherosclerosis in animal models.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated concentrations of M-HDL particles and elevated levels of HDL-associated PON1 may contribute to long-term protection from the vascular complications of diabetes by pathways that are independent of total cholesterol and HDL cholesterol.

Introducing the Endotype Concept to Address the Challenge of Disease Heterogeneity in Type 1 Diabetes

The clinical diagnosis of new-onset type 1 diabetes has, for many years, been considered relatively straightforward. Recently, however, there is increasing awareness that within this single clinical phenotype exists considerable heterogeneity: disease onset spans the complete age range; genetic susceptibility is complex; rates of progression differ markedly, as does insulin secretory capacity; and complication rates, glycemic control, and therapeutic intervention efficacy vary widely. Mechanistic and immunopathological studies typically show considerable patchiness across subjects, undermining conclusions regarding disease pathways. Without better understanding, type 1 diabetes heterogeneity represents a major barrier both to deciphering pathogenesis and to the translational effort of designing, conducting, and interpreting clinical trials of disease-modifying agents. This realization comes during a period of unprecedented change in clinical medicine, with increasing emphasis on greater individualization and precision. For complex disorders such as type 1 diabetes, the option of maintaining the "single disease" approach appears untenable, as does the notion of individualizing each single patient's care, obliging us to conceptualize type 1 diabetes less in terms of phenotypes (observable characteristics) and more in terms of disease endotypes (underlying biological mechanisms). Here, we provide our view on an approach to dissect heterogeneity in type 1 diabetes. Using lessons from other diseases and the data gathered to date, we aim to delineate a roadmap through which the field can incorporate the endotype concept into laboratory and clinical practice. We predict that such an effort will accelerate the implementation of precision medicine and has the potential for impact on our approach to translational research, trial design, and clinical management.

Who Is Enrolling? The Path to Monitoring in Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet's Pathway to Prevention

OBJECTIVE

To better understand potential facilitators of individual engagement in type 1 diabetes natural history and prevention studies through analysis of enrollment data in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention (PTP) study.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used multivariable logistic regression models to examine continued engagement of eligible participants at two time points: 1) the return visit after screening to confirm an initial autoantibody-positive (Ab⁺) test result and 2) the initial oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) for enrollment into the monitoring protocol.

RESULTS

Of 5,387 subjects who screened positive for a single autoantibody (Ab), 4,204 (78%) returned for confirmatory Ab testing. Younger age was associated with increased odds of returning for Ab confirmation (age <12 years vs. >18 years: odds ratio [OR] 2.12, P < 0.0001). Racial and ethnic minorities were less likely to return for confirmation, particularly nonwhite non-Hispanic (OR 0.50, P < 0.0001) and Hispanic (OR 0.69, P = 0.0001) relative to non-Hispanic white subjects. Of 8,234 subjects, 5,442 (66%) were identified as eligible to be enrolled in PTP OGTT monitoring. Here, younger age and identification as multiple Ab⁺ were associated with increased odds of returning for OGTT monitoring (age <12 years vs. >18 years: OR 1.43, P < 0.0001; multiple Ab⁺: OR 1.36, P < 0.0001). Parents were less likely to enroll into monitoring than other relatives (OR 0.78, P = 0.004). Site-specific factors, including site volume and U.S. site versus international site, were also associated with differences in rates of return for Ab⁺ confirmation and enrollment into monitoring.

CONCLUSIONS

These data confirm clear differences between successfully enrolled populations and those lost to follow-up, which can serve to identify strategies to increase ongoing participation.

Abnormalities in proinsulin processing in islets from individuals with longstanding T1D

We recently described the persistence of detectable serum proinsulin in a large majority of individuals with longstanding type 1 diabetes (T1D), including individuals with undetectable serum C-peptide. Here, we sought to further explore the mechanistic etiologies of persistent proinsulin secretion in T1D at the level of the islet, using tissues obtained from human donors. Immunostaining for proinsulin and insulin was performed on human pancreatic sections from the Network for Pancreatic Organ Donors with Diabetes (nPOD) collection (n = 24). Differential proinsulin processing enzyme expression was analyzed using mass spectrometry analysis of human islets isolated from pancreatic sections with laser capture microdissection (n = 6). Proinsulin processing enzyme mRNA levels were assessed using quantitative real-time PCR in isolated human islets (n = 10) treated with or without inflammatory cytokines. Compared to nondiabetic controls, immunostaining among a subset (4/9) of insulin positive T1D donor islets revealed increased numbers of cells with proinsulin-enriched, insulin-poor staining. T1D donor islets also exhibited increased proinsulin fluorescence intensity relative to insulin fluorescence intensity. Laser capture microdissection followed by mass spectrometry revealed reductions in the proinsulin processing enzymes prohormone convertase 1/3 (PC1/3) and carboxypeptidase E (CPE) in T1D donors. Twenty-four hour treatment of human islets with inflammatory cytokines reduced mRNA expression of the processing enzymes PC1/3, PC2, and CPE. Taken together, these data provide new mechanistic insight into altered proinsulin processing in long-duration T1D and suggest that reduced β cell prohormone processing is associated with proinflammatory cytokine-induced reductions in proinsulin processing enzyme expression.

In-vivo assessment of T cell kinetics in individuals at risk for type 1 diabetes

We previously assessed the kinetics of T cell turnover in vivo by labeling cells with ² H-H₂ O over 42 days in individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and demonstrated an increased turnover of CD4 memory T cells. We have now tested T cell turnover in individuals at risk for T1D using a 3-4-day labeling protocol with ² H-glucose. We studied 30 relatives with T1D with and without autoantibodies, and 10 healthy controls. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) were flow-sorted into T cell subsets of interest; ² H-DNA enrichment was measured by mass spectrometry and in-vivo turnover was calculated as maximum fractional enrichment of deuterated adenosine (F_max ). Among CD4⁺ cells, F_max was highest in regulatory T cells (T_reg ), followed by effector and central memory T cells and lowest in naive cells. Similarly, CD8⁺ central and effector memory T cells had a higher turnover than CD8⁺ terminally differentiated effector memory T cells (TEMRA) and CD8⁺ -naive T cells. Relatives as a group showed significantly increased T_reg turnover by F_max compared to controls (1·733 ± 0·6784% versus 1·062 ± 0·3787%, P = 0·004), suggesting pre-existing immune dysfunction within families with T1D. However, there was no significant difference in F_max between groups according to autoantibody or glucose tolerance status. Repeat testing in 20 subjects 1 year later demonstrated relatively higher within-subject compared to between-subject variability for the measurement of F_max in various T cell subsets. The short labeling protocol with ² H-glucose should be applied in the context of a clinical trial in which the therapy is expected to have large effects on T cell turnover.

Systematic Assessment of Immune Marker Variation in Type 1 Diabetes: A Prospective Longitudinal Study

Immune analytes have been widely tested in efforts to understand the heterogeneity of disease progression, risk, and therapeutic responses in type 1 diabetes (T1D). The future clinical utility of such analytes as biomarkers depends on their technical and biological variability, as well as their correlation with clinical outcomes. To assess the variability of a panel of 91 immune analytes, we conducted a prospective study of adults with T1D (<3 years from diagnosis), at 9–10 visits over 1 year. Autoantibodies and frequencies of T-cell, natural killer cell, and myeloid subsets were evaluated; autoreactive T-cell frequencies and function were also measured. We calculated an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for each marker, which is a relative measure of between- and within-subject variability. Of the 91 analytes tested, we identified 35 with high between- and low within-subject variability, indicating their potential ability to be used to stratify subjects. We also provide extensive data regarding technical variability for 64 of the 91 analytes. To pilot the concept that ICC can be used to identify analytes that reflect biological outcomes, the association between each immune analyte and C-peptide was also evaluated using partial least squares modeling. CD8 effector memory T-cell (CD8 EM) frequency exhibited a high ICC and a positive correlation with C-peptide, which was also seen in an independent dataset of recent-onset T1D subjects. More work is needed to better understand the mechanisms underlying this relationship. Here we find that there are a limited number of technically reproducible immune analytes that also have a high ICC. We propose the use of ICC to define within- and between-subject variability and measurement of technical variability for future biomarker identification studies. Employing such a method is critical for selection of analytes to be tested in the context of future clinical trials aiming to understand heterogeneity in disease progression and response to therapy.

Autoantibodies Directed Toward a Novel IA-2 Variant Protein Enhance Prediction of Type 1 Diabetes

We identified autoantibodies (AAb) reacting with a variant IA-2 molecule (IA-2var) that has three amino acid substitutions (Cys27, Gly608, and Pro671) within the full-length molecule. We examined IA-2var AAb in first-degree relatives of type 1 diabetes (T1D) probands from the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study. The presence of IA-2var-specific AAb in relatives was associated with accelerated progression to T1D in those positive for AAb to GAD65 and/or insulin but negative in the standard test for IA-2 AAb. Furthermore, relatives with single islet AAb (by traditional assays) and carrying both IA-2var AAb and the high-risk HLA-DRB1*04-DQB1*03:02 haplotype progress rapidly to onset of T1D. Molecular modeling of IA-2var predicts that the genomic variation that alters the three amino acids induces changes in the three-dimensional structure of the molecule, which may lead to epitope unmasking in the IA-2 extracellular domain. Our observations suggest that the presence of AAb to IA-2var would identify high-risk subjects who would benefit from participation in prevention trials who have one islet antibody by traditional testing and otherwise would be misclassified as "low risk" relatives.

An Anti-CD3 Antibody, Teplizumab, in Relatives at Risk for Type 1 Diabetes

BACKGROUND

Type 1 diabetes is a chronic autoimmune disease that leads to destruction of insulin-producing beta cells and dependence on exogenous insulin for survival. Some interventions have delayed the loss of insulin production in patients with type 1 diabetes, but interventions that might affect clinical progression before diagnosis are needed.

METHODS

We conducted a phase 2, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial of teplizumab (an Fc receptor-nonbinding anti-CD3 monoclonal antibody) involving relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes who did not have diabetes but were at high risk for development of clinical disease. Patients were randomly assigned to a single 14-day course of teplizumab or placebo, and follow-up for progression to clinical type 1 diabetes was performed with the use of oral glucose-tolerance tests at 6-month intervals.

RESULTS

A total of 76 participants (55 [72%] of whom were ≤18 years of age) underwent randomization - 44 to the teplizumab group and 32 to the placebo group. The median time to the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes was 48.4 months in the teplizumab group and 24.4 months in the placebo group; the disease was diagnosed in 19 (43%) of the participants who received teplizumab and in 23 (72%) of those who received placebo. The hazard ratio for the diagnosis of type 1 diabetes (teplizumab vs. placebo) was 0.41 (95% confidence interval, 0.22 to 0.78; P = 0.006 by adjusted Cox proportional-hazards model). The annualized rates of diagnosis of diabetes were 14.9% per year in the teplizumab group and 35.9% per year in the placebo group. There were expected adverse events of rash and transient lymphopenia. KLRG1+TIGIT+CD8+ T cells were more common in the teplizumab group than in the placebo group. Among the participants who were HLA-DR3-negative, HLA-DR4-positive, or anti-zinc transporter 8 antibody-negative, fewer participants in the teplizumab group than in the placebo group had diabetes diagnosed.

CONCLUSIONS

Teplizumab delayed progression to clinical type 1 diabetes in high-risk participants. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01030861.).

Low-Dose Anti-Thymocyte Globulin Preserves C-Peptide, Reduces HbA1c, and Increases Regulatory to Conventional T-Cell Ratios in New-Onset Type 1 Diabetes: Two-Year Clinical Trial Data

A three-arm, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled phase 2b trial performed by the Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Study Group previously demonstrated that low-dose anti-thymocyte globulin (ATG) (2.5 mg/kg) preserved β-cell function and reduced HbA_1c for 1 year in new-onset type 1 diabetes. Subjects (N = 89) were randomized to 1) ATG and pegylated granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (GCSF), 2) ATG alone, or 3) placebo. Herein, we report 2-year area under the curve (AUC) C-peptide and HbA_1c, prespecified secondary end points, and potential immunologic correlates. The 2-year mean mixed-meal tolerance test-stimulated AUC C-peptide, analyzed by ANCOVA adjusting for baseline C-peptide, age, and sex (n = 82) with significance defined as one-sided P < 0.025, was significantly higher in subjects treated with ATG versus placebo (P = 0.00005) but not ATG/GCSF versus placebo (P = 0.032). HbA_1c was significantly reduced at 2 years in subjects treated with ATG (P = 0.011) and ATG/GCSF (P = 0.022) versus placebo. Flow cytometry analyses demonstrated reduced circulating CD4:CD8 ratio, increased regulatory T-cell:conventional CD4 T-cell ratios, and increased PD-1⁺CD4⁺ T cells following low-dose ATG and ATG/GCSF. Low-dose ATG partially preserved β-cell function and reduced HbA_1c 2 years after therapy in new-onset type 1 diabetes. Future studies should determine whether low-dose ATG might prevent or delay the onset of type 1 diabetes.