Effect of Macitentan in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension and the Relationship Between Echocardiography and cMRI Variables: REPAIR Echocardiography Sub-study Results

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this sub-study was to evaluate the relationship between echocardiography (echo) and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) variables and to utilize echo to assess the effect of macitentan on right ventricle (RV) structure and function.

METHODS

REPAIR (NCT02310672) was a prospective, multicenter, single-arm, open-label, 52-week, phase 4 study in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) patients, which investigated the effect of macitentan 10 mg as monotherapy, or in combination with a phosphodiesterase 5 inhibitor, on RV structure, function, and hemodynamics using cMRI and right heart catheterization. In this sub-study, patients were also assessed by echo at screening and at weeks 26 and/or 52. Post hoc correlation analyses between echo and cMRI variables were performed using Pearson's correlation coefficient, Spearman's correlation coefficient, and Bland-Altman analyses.

RESULTS

The Echo sub-study included 45 patients. Improvements in echo-assessed RV stroke volume (RVSV), left ventricular SV (LVSV), LV end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), RV fractional area change (RVFAC), tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), and in 2D global longitudinal RV strain (2D GLRVS) were observed at weeks 26 and 52 compared to baseline. There was a strong correlation between echo (LVSV, 2D GLRVS, and LVEDV) and cMRI variables, with a moderate correlation for RVSV. Bland-Altman analyses showed a good agreement for LVSV measured by echo versus cMRI, whereas an overestimation in echo-assessed RVSV was observed compared to cMRI (bias of - 15 mL). Hemodynamic and functional variables, as well as safety, were comparable between the Echo sub-study and REPAIR.

CONCLUSIONS

A good relationship between relevant echo and cMRI parameters was shown. Improvements in RV structure and function with macitentan treatment was observed by echo, consistent with results observed by cMRI in the primary analysis of the REPAIR study. Echo is a valuable complementary method to cMRI, with the potential to non-invasively monitor treatment response at follow-up.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

REPAIR NCT02310672.

Comparison of cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, functional and haemodynamic variables in pulmonary arterial hypertension: insights from REPAIR

Background

Measures that can detect large treatment effects are important for monitoring therapeutic effectiveness. The 2022 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society guidelines highlight the importance of imaging in monitoring disease status and treatment response in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Are the standardised treatment effect sizes (STES) of cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) comparable with functional and haemodynamic variables?

Methods

REPAIR (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02310672) was a prospective, multicentre, single-arm, open-label, 52-week phase 4 study evaluating the effect of macitentan 10 mg, with or without a phosphodiesterase 5 inhibitor (PDE5i), on right ventricular (RV) remodelling, cardiac function and cardiopulmonary haemodynamics. Both cMRI and functional assessments were performed at screening and at weeks 26 and 52; haemodynamic measurements were conducted at screening and week 26. In this post hoc analysis, STES were estimated using the parametric Cohen's d and non-parametric Cliff's delta tests.

Results

At week 26, large STES (Cohen's d) were observed for 10 of the 20 cMRI variables assessed, including the prognostic measures of RV and left ventricular stroke volume and RV ejection fraction and the haemodynamic trial end-point, pulmonary vascular resistance; medium STES were observed for 6-min walk distance (6MWD). The STES were consistent in treatment-naïve patients and those escalating therapy and maintained at week 52. Similar results were obtained using the non-parametric Cliff's delta method.

Conclusions

The treatment effect of macitentan, alone or in combination with a PDE5i, was comparable for several cMRI and haemodynamic variables with prognostic value in PAH, and greater than that of 6MWD in patients with PAH, highlighting the emerging relevance of cMRI in PAH.

Comprehensive vasodilatation in women with acute heart failure: Novel insights from the GALACTIC randomized controlled trial

AIMS

Sex-specific differences in acute heart failure (AHF) are both relevant and underappreciated. Therefore, it is crucial to evaluate the risk/benefit ratio and the implementation of novel AHF therapies in women and men separately.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a pre-defined sex-specific analysis in AHF patients randomized to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilatation versus usual care in an international, multicentre, open-label, blinded endpoint trial. Inclusion criteria were AHF with increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure ≥100 mmHg, and plan for treatment in a general ward. Among 781 eligible patients, 288 (37%) were women. Women were older (median 83 vs. 76 years), had a lower body weight (median 64.5 vs. 77.6 kg) and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (median 48 vs. 54 ml/min/1.73 m2 ). The primary endpoint, a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, showed a significant interaction of treatment strategy and sex (p for interaction = 0.03; hazard ratio adjusted for female sex 1.62, 95% confidence interval 1.05-2.50; p = 0.03). The combined endpoint occurred in 53 women (38%) in the intervention group and in 35 (24%) in the usual care group. The implementation of rapid up-titration of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors was less successful in women versus men in the overall cohort and in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (median discharge % target dose in patients randomized to intervention: 50% in women vs. 75% in men).

CONCLUSION

Rapid up-titration of RAAS inhibitors was less successfully implemented in women possibly explaining their higher rate of all-cause mortality and rehospitalization for AHF.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, unique identifier NCT00512759.

Detrimental effects of intense vasodilation in women with acute heart failure: novel insights from a prospective randomized controlled trial

Background

Guidelines recommend evaluating the risk/benefit ratio of novel therapies individually in women and men, as the pathophysiology and the response to treatment may differ according to sex. Among patients with acute heart failure (AHF), a strategy of intensive vasodilation, compared with usual care, overall did provide comparable outcomes. However, sex-specific differences in heart failure pathophysiology and the effect of the strategy in women with AHF remained unclear.

Purpose

To characterize sex-specific differences in heart failure pathophysiology and to evaluate the effect of a strategy that emphasized early intensive and sustained vasodilation in women with AHF.

Methods

In a randomized, open-label blinded-end-point trial patients hospitalized for AHF were enrolled in 10 hospitals in Switzerland, Bulgaria, Germany, Brazil, and Spain. Inclusion criteria were AHF expressed by acute dyspnea and increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure ≥100 mmHg, and a plan for treatment in a general ward. Patients were randomized 1:1 to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation throughout the hospitalization or usual care. The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days. The subgroup analysis according to sex was predefined.

Results

Among 781 patients who completed the trial, 288 (36.9%) were women. Women were significantly older, had a higher systolic blood pressure at presentation and a more common history of diastolic dysfunction (all ps<0.05), whereas men had a significantly higher body surface area, a more common history of ischemic heart disease and a significant lower left ventricular ejection fraction (all ps<0.05). The primary end point, a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, occurred in 53 female patients (37.9%) in the intervention group (including 28 deaths [20.0%]) and in 35 female patients (23.6%) in the usual care group (including 22 deaths [14.9%]) (absolute difference for the primary end point, 14.3%; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.05–2.50]; P=0.03).

Conclusion

Among women with AHF, a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation, compared with usual care, had a detrimental effect on a composite outcome of all-cause mortality and AHF rehospitalization at 180 days.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): University Hospital Basel

Prognostic value of a disease-specific health-related quality score in acute heart failure

Background

Despite the striking therapeutic progress made in the treatment of heart failure (HF), rehospitalization rate and mortality remain a major and often unpredictable problem. Previous studies have shown the prognostic value of Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ), a score assessing disease-specific health-related quality of life in stable chronic HF patients. Recently, a large study including 4898 patients with acute HF (AHF) enrolled in China reported the incremental predictive ability of KCCQ for a composite outcome of death and rehospitalization. However, these findings were not yet confirmed. In order to address this unmet need, the aim of this study was to examine the prognostic value of KCCQ in another AHF cohort.

Purpose

To validate the prognostic value of the KCCQ in AHF.

Methods

Goal-directed AfterLoad Reduction in Acute Congestive Cardiac Decompensation Study (GALACTIC) was a prospective, multicenter (n=10), randomized, interventional controlled trial enrolling adult patients presenting with AHF. KCCQ was assessed shortly after admission. We focused on the prognostic value of the short version KCCQ-12, explored the association with the composite of all-cause mortality and AHF rehospitalization within 30- and 180-day follow-up and compared it to the original score. Patients were grouped into quartiles according their KCCQ: high-risk (0–<25), moderate- to high-risk (25–<50), low- to moderate-risk (50–<75) and low-risk group (75–100). Cumulative incidence of assessed endpoints was displayed in Kaplan-Meier curves. Covariate adjustments were made using Cox regression. Prognostic accuracy over N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was evaluated by time-dependent area under the curve.

Results

Among 781 patients, 419 (median age 78, 35% female, 32% new onset of HF) had a complete set of variables to calculate KCCQ. Follow-up was available in all patients up to 180 days. 29 (7%) and 122 (29%) patients died or were rehospitalized for AHF within 30- and 180-days, respectively. Median KCCQ-12 was 37.5 with 25% of patients attaining the high- and 8% the low-risk group. After adjustment, each 10-point decrease in the KCCQ was associated with a 10% increase in 180-day risk regardless of new onset or acute decompensated chronic HF, age, sex, comorbidities, systolic blood pressure, creatinine, NT-proBNP and sodium levels. The prognostic ability for a 30-day risk was not significant. Using the same adjustments, a 10-point decrease in the original KCCQ was significant for a 20% and a 11% increase in risk for the short- and long-term composite outcome. The prognostic accuracy of KCCQ was comparable to NT-proBNP.

Conclusions

Health status, measured by the KCCQ-12 among patients with AHF, is significantly associated with a long-term composite outcome of all-cause mortality and AHF rehospitalization. The original KCCQ overall score is an independent predictor for both, the 30- and 180-day composite outcome.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): European Union, the Swiss National Science Foundation

Clinical effect of obesity on N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide cut-off concentrations for the diagnosis of acute heart failure

AIMS

Obese patients have lower natriuretic peptide concentrations. We hypothesized that adjusting the concentration of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for obesity could further increase its clinical utility in the early diagnosis of acute heart failure (AHF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This hypothesis was tested in a prospective diagnostic study enrolling unselected patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnoea. Two independent cardiologists/internists centrally adjudicated the final diagnosis using all individual patient information including cardiac imaging. NT-proBNP plasma concentrations were applied: first, using currently recommended cut-offs; second, using cut-offs lowered by 33% with body mass index (BMI) of 30-34.9 kg/m² and by 50% with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m² . Among 2038 patients, 509 (25%) were obese, of which 271 (53%) had AHF. The diagnostic accuracy of NT-proBNP as quantified by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was lower in obese versus non-obese patients (0.890 vs. 0.938). For rapid AHF rule-out in obese patients, the currently recommended cut-off of 300 pg/ml achieved a sensitivity of 96.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 93.8-98.2%), ruling out 29% of patients and missing 9 AHF patients. For rapid AHF rule-in, the age-dependent cut-off concentrations (age <50 years: 450 pg/ml; age 50-75 years: 900 pg/ml; age >75 years: 1800 pg/ml) achieved a specificity of 84.9% (95% CI 79.8-88.9%). Proportionally lowering the currently recommended cut-offs by BMI increased sensitivity to 98.2% (95% CI 95.8-99.2%), missing 5 AHF patients; reduced the proportion of AHF patients remaining in the 'gray zone' (48% vs. 26%; p = 0.002), achieving a specificity of 76.5% (95% CI 70.7-81.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

Adjusting NT-proBNP concentrations for obesity seems to further increase its clinical utility in the early diagnosis of AHF.

Clinical features of pericarditis with and without myocardial involvement diagnosed in the emergency department and factors associated with need for hospitalization

OBJECTIVES

To analyze the clinical features of acute pericarditis diagnosed in the emergency department according to patient age and myocardial involvement (myopericarditis) and to determine factors associated with hospitalization.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective, descriptive, observational, single-center study of consecutive patients. We analyzed all cases of pericarditis diagnosed in the emergency department over a period of 10 years (2008-2017), reviewing clinical, electrocardiographic, and laboratory findings as well as ultrasound imaging for myocardial involvement. Characteristics were analyzed by age (under 50 years or 50 or older) and presence or not of myocardial involvement. Factors associated with hospitalization for both pericarditis and myopericarditis were identified by crude and adjusted odds ratios (ORs).

RESULTS

A total of 983 patients were diagnosed with pericarditis (34% women, mean age, 42 years). The younger patients more often reported sharp chest pain modified by breathing or posture changes. Older patients had more concurrent cardiovascular disease and described chest pain as pressure (oppressive); acute coronary syndrome was suspected more often in the older patients. The only independent predictor of myopericarditis was a finding of electrocardiographic abnormalities, recorded in 72 cases (7%) (OR, 4.26; 95% CI, 1.89-9.59). Sixty-two patients (6%) were admitted for pericarditis. Associated factors were renal insufficiency (OR, 4.83; 95% CI, 1.66-14.05), pain modified by breathing or posture changes (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.29-0.99), tachycardia (OR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.15- 4.55), and myopericarditis (OR, 8.73; 95% CI, 4.65-16.38). Admission of 24 patients (33%) for myocarditis was related to focused cardiac ultrasound findings (OR, 13.72; 95% CI, 1.80-104).

CONCLUSION

Age may affect the presentation of pericarditis. ST segment abnormalities on an electrocardiogram suggest myocardial involvement. Renal insufficiency, tachycardia, and myocardial involvement are the factors associated with a decision to admit patients with pericarditis. Ultrasound findings are associated with admission for myopericarditis.

Effect of a strategy of comprehensive vasodilation versus usual care on health-related quality of life among patients with acute heart failure

Aims

We aimed to assess the long‐term effect of a strategy of comprehensive vasodilation versus usual care on health‐related quality of life (HRQL) among patients with acute heart failure (AHF).

Methods and results

Health‐related quality of life was prospectively assessed by the generic 3‐levelled EQ‐5D and the disease‐specific Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) among adult AHF patients enrolled in an international, multicentre, randomised, open‐label blinded‐end‐point trial of a strategy that emphasized early intensive and sustained vasodilation using maximally tolerated doses of established oral and transdermal vasodilators according to systolic blood pressure. Changes in EQ‐5D and KCCQ from admission to 180 day follow‐up were individually compared between the intensive vasodilatation and the usual care group. Among 666 patients eligible for 180 day follow‐up, 284 (43%, median age 79 years, 35% women) and 198 (30%, median age 77 years, 35% women) had completed the EQ‐5D and KCCQ at baseline and follow‐up, respectively. There was a significant improvement in HRQL as quantified by both, EQ‐5D and KCCQ, from hospitalization to 180 day follow‐up, with no significant differences in the change of HRQL between both treatment strategies. For instance, 39 (26%) versus 33 (25%) patients had an improvement by at least one level in at least two categories in the EQ‐5D. Median increase in KCCQ overall summary score (KCCQ‐OSS) was 17.6 (IQR 2.0–42.6) in the intervention group versus 18.5 (IQR 3.9–39.3) in the usual care group (P < 0.001 vs. baseline, P = 0.945 between groups).

Conclusions

Among patients with AHF, long‐term HRQL quantified by EQ‐5D and KCCQ improved substantially, with overall no significant differences between a strategy of comprehensive vasodilation versus usual care.

Cardiac myosin-binding protein C in the diagnosis and risk stratification of acute heart failure

AIMS

Cardiac myosin-binding protein C (cMyC) seems to be even more sensitive in the quantification of cardiomyocyte injury vs. high-sensitivity cardiac troponin, and may therefore have diagnostic and prognostic utility.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In a prospective multicentre diagnostic study, cMyC, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) plasma concentrations were measured in blinded fashion in patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnoea. Two independent cardiologists centrally adjudicated the final diagnosis. Diagnostic accuracy for acute heart failure (AHF) was quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). All-cause mortality within 360 days was the prognostic endpoint. Among 1083 patients eligible for diagnostic analysis, 51% had AHF. cMyC concentrations at presentation were higher among AHF patients vs. patients with other final diagnoses [72 (interquartile range, IQR 39-156) vs. 22 ng/L (IQR 12-42), P < 0.001)]. cMyC's AUC was high [0.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78-0.83], higher than hs-cTnT's (0.79, 95% CI 0.76-0.82, P = 0.081) and lower than NT-proBNP's (0.91, 95% CI 0.89-0.93, P < 0.001). Among 794 AHF patients eligible for prognostic analysis, 28% died within 360 days; cMyC plasma concentrations above the median indicated increased risk of death (hazard ratio 2.19, 95% CI 1.66-2.89; P < 0.001). cMyC's prognostic accuracy was comparable with NT-proBNP's and hs-cTnT's. cMyC did not independently predict all-cause mortality when used in validated multivariable regression models. In novel multivariable regression models including medication, age, left ventricular ejection fraction, and discharge creatinine, cMyC remained an independent predictor of death and had no interactions with medical therapies at discharge.

CONCLUSION

Cardiac myosin-binding protein C may aid physicians in the rapid triage of patients with suspected AHF.

Development of an electrocardiogram-based risk calculator for a cardiac cause of syncope

OBJECTIVE

To develop an ECG-based tool for rapid risk assessment of a cardiac cause of syncope in patients ≥40 years.

METHODS

In a prospective international multicentre study, 2007 patients ≥40 years presenting with syncope were recruited in the emergency department (ED) of participating centres ranging from large university hospitals to smaller rural hospitals in eight countries from May 2010 to July 2017. 12-Lead ECG recordings were obtained at ED presentation following the syncopal event. The primary diagnostic outcome, a cardiac cause of syncope, was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists using all available clinical information including 12-month follow-up. ECG predictors for a cardiac cause of syncope were identified using penalised backward selection and a continuous-scale likelihood was calculated based on regression analysis coefficients. Findings were validated in an independent US multicentre cohort including 2269 patients.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, a cardiac cause of syncope was adjudicated in 267 patients (16%). Seven ECG criteria were identified as predictors for this outcome: heart rate and QTc-interval (continuous predictors), rhythm, atrioventricular block, ST-segment depression, bundle branch block and ventricular extrasystole/non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (categorical predictors). Diagnostic accuracy of these combined predictors for a cardiac cause of syncope was high (area under the curve 0.80, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.83). Overall, 138 patients (8%) were rapidly triaged towards rule-out and 181 patients (11%) towards rule-in of a cardiac cause of syncope. External validation showed similar performance.

CONCLUSION

In patients ≥40 years with a syncopal event, a combination of seven ECG criteria enabled rapid assessment of the likelihood that syncope was due to a cardiac cause.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT01548352 (BASEL IX), NCT01802398 (SRS study).

Incidence, characteristics and prognosis of different cardiac etiologies underlying cardiac syncope

Background

Cardiac syncope has been shown to carry the highest hazard for all-cause death compared to other causes of syncope including vasovagal and orthostatic syncope. However, little is known about the incidence, characteristics and prognosis of different cardiac etiologies underlying cardiac syncope.

Purpose

To evaluate the incidence, characteristics and prognosis of different cardiac etiologies underlying cardiac syncope.

Methods

We enrolled patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with syncope in a large prospective international multicentre study. The cause of syncope (cardiac vs non-cardiac) including the detailed cardiac aetiology (if cardiac) was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists based on detailed in-hospital as well as outpatient cardiac work-up during 360 days following presentation. Cardiac syncope was classified into four groups: bradyarrhythmia, tachyarrhythmia, structural disease and other (cardiopulmonary and great vessels), as recommended in the ESC Syncope Guidelines. All-cause death during 2-years follow-up was the primary outcome.

Results

Among 2025 patients presenting with syncope to the ED, cardiac syncope was the final adjudicated diagnoses in 318 (15.7%) patients. The incidence rate of all-cause death among cardiac syncope patients was 103 cases per 1000 person-years. Bradyarrhythmia was the most frequent primary cause of cardiac syncope (n=146, 45.9%) followed by tachyarrhythmia (n=75, 23.6%), structural disease (n=64, 20.1%) and other cardiac (n=26, 8.2%). Patients were 37% female with a median age of 77 years (IQR 67–83) showing no statistically significant difference between subgroups. Clinical characteristics differed significantly among the four subgroups. E.g. syncope occurred during exercise in 12 patients (8.2%) with bradyarrhythmia, 10 patients (13.3%) with tachyarrhythmia, 16 patients (25%) with structural disease, and 5 patients (19%) with other cardiac (p&lt;0.01). Likely of most importance, long-term mortality differed significantly among the four different cardiac subgroups. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) among patients with bradyarrhythmia, tachyarrhythmia, structural disease and other cardiac as compared to patients with vasovagal syncope, the HR were 1.3 (95% CI 0.7–2.5), 4.6 (95% CI 2.3–9.1), 3.1 (95% CI 1.5–6.4) and 5.9 (95% CI 2.3–15.2), respectively (Figure 1).

Conclusions

Bradyarrhythmia, tachyarrhythmia, and structural cardiac disease are the dominant causes of cardiac syncope. Interestingly, with the appropriate therapy initiated long-term mortality of bradyarrhythmia is comparable to that of vasovagal syncope, while long-term mortality of tachyarrhythmia and structural cardiac disease were substantially increased 3 to 5 fold.

Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier curve

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): The Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation, the Stiftung für kardiovaskuläre Forschung Basel, the University of Basel and the University Hospital Basel.

Prognostic value of health-related quality of life in patients with acute dyspnea

Background

Previous studies have shown the prognostic value of health-related quality of life (HRQL) in stable and ambulatory chronic heart failure patients. However, it is unknown whether HRQL can predict all-cause mortality in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) after acute onset of symptoms. In order to address this unmet need, the aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of HRQL in patients with acute dyspnea caused by acute heart failure (AHF) and other dyspnea aetiologies for 360-day mortality.

Purpose

To assess prognostic value of HRQL using the generic EQ-5D and visual analogue scale (EQ VAS) in patients with acute dyspnea.

Methods

Basics in Acute Shortness of Breath EvaLuation (BASEL V) is a prospective, multicenter, diagnostic study enrolling adult patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the ED. For this analysis, only patients with a complete set of variables necessary for calculation of EQ-5D (range 0–10; with higher score indicating worse HRQL) and EQ VAS (range 0–100; with 100 being the best imaginable health state) at baseline were included. The endpoint was the prognostic value of EQ-5D and EQ VAS at 360 days of follow-up regarding all-cause death. Prognostic accuracy was calculated using c-statistics. In a cox regression analysis EQ-5D was treated as both, a continuous and categorical variable. Adjustments were made for clinically relevant covariates (age, sex, orthopnoea, edema, level of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) at presentation, history of coronary artery disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diuretics, β-blockers and ACE-inhibitors at discharge).

Results

Among 2605 patients enrolled, 1141 (43,8%) had a complete set of variables allowing the calculation of EQ-5D and EQ VAS. Of these patients 594 (52.1%) had an adjudicated final diagnosis of AHF. 211 (18.5%) patients died within 360 days of follow-up. Median EQ-5D was 3 (interquartile range (IQR) 1.5–5) and median EQ VAS was 50 (IQR 40–70). The prognostic accuracy for 360-day mortality was 0.65 (95% confidence interval ((CI) 0.61–0.69) and 0.58 (95% CI 0.54–0.62) for EQ-5D and EQ VAS, respectively (p=0.002). After combining EQ-5D and EQ VAS in a logistic regression model c-statistics regarding all-cause mortality within 360 days did not improve. The prognostic accuracy of EQ-5D was comparable to that of NT-proBNP (c-statistics 0.69, p=0.385). In an adjusted cox regression analysis the hazard ratio for patients with EQ-5D &gt;4 was 2.2 (95% CI 1.7–2.9; p&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

In patients presenting with acute dyspnea HRQL is a strong prognostic instrument. Independently of the aetiology of the dyspnea the prognostic value of the generic EQ-5D for 360-day mortality is comparable to NT-proBNP. Patients with an EQ-5D &gt;4 are at significantly higher risk for mortality within 360 days.

Figure 1. Prognostic value of HRQL

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation

Direct comparison of BNP and NT-proBNP for mortality prediction in patients with acute dyspnea

Background

It is unclear whether BNP or NT-proBNP, their admission or discharge measurement or percentage change during hospitalization are preferable for mortality prediction in patients with acute dyspnea.

Purpose

To directly compare BNP and NT-proBNP regarding their potential in mortality prediction in patients with acute dyspnea and in patients with dyspnea due to AHF.

Methods

In a prospective multicenter diagnostic study the presence of AHF was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists among patients presenting with acute dyspnea. The levels of BNP and NT-proBNP were measured at presentation and discharge. Patients were stratified according to their natriuretic peptide response (responders vs. non-responders: natriuretic peptide decrease ≥25% vs. &lt;25% before discharge). Prognostic accuracy for 720-day mortality was quantified using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC). Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to identify significant predictors for 720-day mortality.

Results

Among 1156 patients presenting with acute dyspnea, 353 (30.5%) died within 720 days of follow-up. Prognostic accuracy for death at 720 days was significantly higher for discharge compared to admission measurements for BNP (AUC 0.750 vs. 0.711, p&lt;0.001) and NT-proBNP (AUC 0.769 vs. 0.720, p&lt;0.001). When directly comparing discharge measurements, NT-proBNP levels exhibited a significantly higher accuracy (p=0.013). 632 (54.6%) and 600 (51.9%) patients were BNP and NT-proBNP non-responders, respectively. Among BNP and NT-proBNP non-responders 202 (32%) and 207 (34.5%) patients died within 720 days of follow-up. After adjusting for common covariates NTproBNP response was the strongest predictor for 720-day mortality in a Cox regression model (Hazard ratio for NT-proBNP non-responders: 2.096 (95% CI 1.550–2.835), p&lt;0.001). Results were confirmed in a sensitivity analysis of 687 (59.4%) patients with adjudicated AHF.

Conclusion

Percentage change of NT-proBNP during hospitalization seems to be the strongest predictor for long-term mortality in patients with acute dyspnea in general and in those with dyspnea due to AHF in particular.

ROC curve for direct comparison

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Validation of the FAINT risk score in a large prospective international multicenter study

Background

Risk stratification of older patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) with syncope remains an unmet clinical need. The FAINT Score was derived in a large American cohort in an attempt to predict 30-day serious cardiac outcomes in patients &gt;60y.o. While a FAINT score of 0 showed high sensitivity to exclude death and serious outcomes at 30 days in the derivation cohort, it remains unvalidated.

Methods

We validated the FAINT score (History of heart failure, history of arrhythmia, initial ECG result abnormal, elevate NT-proBNP, elevated hs-troponin T) in a large prospective international multicenter study recruiting patients 40 years presenting to the ED with syncope within the last 12 hours in eight countries on three continents. Main outcome measure was 30-day serious cardiac events or mortality. We assessed the performance and calibration of the FAINT score for validation and compared it to the OESIL score (Age &gt;64y, cardiovascular disease history, syncope without prodromes, abnormal ECG).

Results

1885 patients were eligible for this validation analysis. 169 (8.9%) patients experienced 30-day serious adverse events.

A FAINT score of 0 was present for 378 patients (20% of the cohort) and allowed for a sensitivity of 0.97 to rule out adverse events and death at 30-days. A FAINT score of 0 or 1 was present for 626 patients (33% of the cohort) and allowed for a sensitivity of 0.92.

The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the FAINT score was 0.75 (95%, Confidence Interval (CI) 0.72–0.79), which was comparable to the performance of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) or high-sensitivity Troponin T (hs-cTnT) alone, which are two biomarkers used in the FAINT score. The score did not outperform the OESIL score.

A calibration curve showed that the score was extremely well calibrated for low-risk patients.

Conclusion

This is the first validation of the FAINT score in a large international syncope cohort. The safety of a FAINT score of 0 or 1 was good and comparable to the results obtained in the derivation cohort. While the score is suitable to highlight low-risk patients and calibrates well in an external cohort, its discrimination for higher risk patients is not better than biomarkers alone or an older, less complex risk score.

Figure 1. Area under the Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) for the FAINT score and for NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT as continuous markers as well as for the OESIL score. CI = Confidence Interval.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): University Hospital Basel, Switzerland

Effect of comprehensive vasodilation vs usual care on mortality and heart failure rehospitalization in women with acute heart failure

Background

Guidelines recommend evaluating the risk/benefit ratio of novel therapies individually in women and men, as the pathophysiology and the response to treatment may differ between women and men. Among patients with acute heart failure (AHF), a strategy of intensive vasodilation, compared with usual care, overall did provide comparable outcomes.

Purpose

To evaluate the effect of a strategy that emphasized early intensive and sustained vasodilation in women with AHF.

Methods

In a randomized, open-label blinded-end-point trial patients hospitalized for AHF were enrolled in 10 hospitals in Switzerland, Bulgaria, Germany, Brazil, and Spain. Inclusion criteria were AHF expressed by acute dyspnea and increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure ≥100mmHg, and a plan for treatment in a general ward. Patients were randomized 1:1 to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation throughout the hospitalization or usual care. The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days.

Results

Among 788 patients randomized, 781 completed the trial and were eligible for the primary end point analysis. Of these 288 (36.9%) were women. The primary end point, a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, occurred in 53 female patients (37.9%) in the intervention group (including 28 deaths [20.0%]) and in 34 female patients (23.0%) in the usual care group (including 22 deaths [14.9%]) (absolute difference for the primary end point, 14.9%; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.67 [95% CI: 1.08–2.59]; P=0.02). Clinically significant adverse events with early intensive and sustained vasodilation vs usual care included hypotension (8% vs 2%).

Conclusion

Among women with AHF, a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation, compared with usual care, had a detrimental effect on a composite outcome of all-cause mortality and AHF rehospitalization at 180 days.

Cox Proportional Hazard Curve

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Quantifying inflammation using interleukin-6 for improved phenotyping and risk stratification in acute heart failure

Background

Acute heart failure (AHF) is the most common cause of hospital admission and continues to have unacceptable high rates of mortality and morbidity. In contrast to acute myocardial infarction, the pathophysiology of AHF is incompletely understood and risk-prediction is poorly defined.

Aim

We aimed to quantify systemic inflammation to assess its possible role in the pathophysiology and risk stratification of patients with AHF.

Methods

Using a novel Interleukin-6 immunoassay with unprecedented sensitivity (limit of detection 0.01ng/l) we quantified systemic inflammation in unselected patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the emergency department in a multicenter study. Plasma concentrations of NT-proBNP (open label) and Interleukin-6 (blinded) were measured at presentation and at discharge. The final diagnosis of AHF and the AHF phenotype were adjudicated by two independent cardiologists. 1-year mortality was the prognostic endpoint.

Results

Among 2042 patients, 1026 (50.2%) had an adjudicated diagnosis of AHF. Interleukin-6 concentrations were significantly higher in AHF patients compared to patients with other causes of dyspnoea (11.2 [6.1–26.5] ng/l vs 9.0 [3.2–32.3] ng/l, p&lt;0.0005). Among patients with AHF Interleukin-6 concentrations were elevated (&gt;4.45ng/l) in 83.7% of them. Among the different AHF phenotypes, Interleukin-6 concentrations were highest in patients with cardiogenic shock (25.7 [14.0–164.2] ng/l) and lowest in patients with hypertensive HF (9.3 [4.8–21.6] ng/l, p=0.001). Inflammation as quantified by Interleukin-6 was a strong predictor of 1-year mortality both in AHF as well as in other causes of acute dyspnea (Figure). During in-hospital treatment Interleukin-6 concentrations significantly decreased in AHF patients. However, changes in the extend of systemic inflammation (delta Interleukin-6) were poorly correlated with changes in hemodynamic stress as quantified by NT-proBNP (delta NT-proBNP, Φc=0.11, p=0.004).

Conclusions

An unexpectedly high percentage of patients with AHF have subclinical systemic inflammation that can be quantified by Interleukin-6, which seems to contribute to the AHF phenotype and to the risk of death.

Kaplan Meier curves for mortality

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation, European Union, Stiftung für kardiovaskuläre Forschung Basel, University of Basel, University Hospital Basel

Mortality and pathophysiology of acute kidney injury according to time of occurrence in acute heart failure

Aims

Acute kidney injury (AKI) during acute heart failure (AHF) is common and associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The underlying pathophysiological mechanism appears to have prognostic relevance; however, the differentiation of true, structural AKI from hemodynamic pseudo‐AKI remains a clinical challenge.

Methods and results

The Basics in Acute Shortness of Breath Evaluation Study (NCT01831115) prospectively enrolled adult patients presenting with AHF to the emergency department. Mortality of patients was prospectively assessed. Haemoconcentration, transglomerular pressure gradient (n = 231) and tubular injury patterns (n = 253) were evaluated to investigate pathophysiological mechanisms underlying AKI timing (existing at presentation vs. developing during in‐hospital period). Of 1643 AHF patients, 755 patients (46%) experienced an episode of AKI; 310 patients (19%; 41% of AKI patients) presented with community‐acquired AKI (CA‐AKI), 445 patients (27%; 59% of AKI patients) developed in‐hospital AKI. CA‐AKI but not in‐hospital AKI was associated with higher mortality compared with no‐AKI (adjusted hazard ratio 1.32 [95%‐CI 1.01–1.74]; P = 0.04). Independent of AKI timing, haemoconcentration was associated with a lower two‐year mortality. Transglomerular pressure gradient at presentation was significantly lower in CA‐AKI compared to in‐hospital AKI and no‐AKI (P < 0.01). Urinary NGAL ratio concentrations were significantly higher in CA‐AKI compared to in‐hospital AKI (P < 0.01) or no‐AKI (P < 0.01).

Conclusions

CA‐AKI but not in‐hospital AKI is associated with increased long‐term mortality and marked by decreased transglomerular pressure gradient and tubular injury, probably reflecting prolonged tubular ischemia due to reno‐venous congestion. Adequate decongestion, as assessed by haemoconcentration, is associated with lower long‐term mortality independent of AKI timing.

Diagnostic and prognostic values of the QRS-T angle in patients with suspected acute decompensated heart failure

Aims

The aim of this study was to investigate the diagnostic and prognostic utility of the QRS‐T angle, an electrocardiogram (ECG) marker quantifying depolarization–repolarization heterogeneity, in patients with suspected acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF).

Methods and results

We prospectively enrolled unselected patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of ADHF. The QRS‐T angle was automatically derived from a standard 12‐lead ECG recorded at presentation. The primary diagnostic endpoint was a final adjudicated diagnosis of ADHF. The primary prognostic endpoint was all‐cause mortality during 2 years of follow‐up. Among the 1915 patients enrolled, those with higher QRS‐T angles were older, were more commonly male, and had a higher rate of co‐morbidities such as arterial hypertension, coronary artery disease, or chronic kidney disease. ADHF was the final adjudicated diagnosis in 1140 (60%) patients. The QRS‐T angle in patients with ADHF was significantly larger than in patients with non‐cardiac causes of dyspnoea {median 110° [inter‐quartile range (IQR) 46–156°] vs. median 33° [IQR 15–57°], P < 0.001}. The diagnostic accuracy of the QRS‐T angle as quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.75 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73–0.77, P < 0.001], which was inferior to N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide (AUC 0.93, 95% CI 0.92–0.94, P < 0.001), but similar to that of high‐sensitivity troponin T (AUC 0.78, 95% CI 0.76–0.80, P = 0.09). The AUC of the QRS‐T angle for discrimination between ADHF and non‐cardiac dyspnoea remained similarly high in subgroups of patients known to be diagnostically challenging, including patients older than 75 years [0.71 (95% CI 0.67–0.74)], renal failure [0.79 (95% CI 0.71–0.87)], and atrial fibrillation at presentation [0.68 (95% CI 0.60–0.76)]. Mortality rates according to QRS‐T angle tertiles were 4%, 6%, and 10% after 30 days (P < 0.001) and 24%, 31%, and 43% after 2 years (P < 0.001). After adjustment for clinical, laboratory, and ECG parameters, the QRS‐T angle remained an independent predictor for 2 year mortality with a 4% increase in mortality for every 20° increase in QRS‐T angle (P = 0.02).

Conclusions

The QRS‐T angle is a readily available and inexpensive marker that can assist in the discrimination between ADHF and non‐cardiac causes of acute dyspnoea and may aid in the risk stratification of these patients.

Effect of a Strategy of Comprehensive Vasodilation vs Usual Care on Mortality and Heart Failure Rehospitalization Among Patients With Acute Heart Failure: The GALACTIC Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Short-term infusions of single vasodilators, usually given in a fixed dose, have not improved outcomes in patients with acute heart failure (AHF).

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effect of a strategy that emphasized early intensive and sustained vasodilation using individualized up-titrated doses of established vasodilators in patients with AHF.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Randomized, open-label blinded-end-point trial enrolling 788 patients hospitalized for AHF with dyspnea, increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure of at least 100 mm Hg, and plan for treatment in a general ward in 10 tertiary and secondary hospitals in Switzerland, Bulgaria, Germany, Brazil, and Spain. Enrollment began in December 2007 and follow-up was completed in February 2019.

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were randomized 1:1 to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation throughout the hospitalization (n = 386) or usual care (n = 402). Early intensive and sustained vasodilation was a comprehensive pragmatic approach of maximal and sustained vasodilation combining individualized doses of sublingual and transdermal nitrates, low-dose oral hydralazine for 48 hours, and rapid up-titration of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, or sacubitril-valsartan.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days.

RESULTS

Among 788 patients randomized, 781 (99.1%; median age, 78 years; 36.9% women) completed the trial and were eligible for primary end point analysis. Follow-up at 180 days was completed for 779 patients (99.7%). The primary end point, a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, occurred in 117 patients (30.6%) in the intervention group (including 55 deaths [14.4%]) and in 111 patients (27.8%) in the usual care group (including 61 deaths [15.3%]) (absolute difference for the primary end point, 2.8% [95% CI, -3.7% to 9.3%]; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.83-1.39]; P = .59). The most common clinically significant adverse events with early intensive and sustained vasodilation vs usual care were hypokalemia (23% vs 25%), worsening renal function (21% vs 20%), headache (26% vs 10%), dizziness (15% vs 10%), and hypotension (8% vs 2%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among patients with AHF, a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation, compared with usual care, did not significantly improve a composite outcome of all-cause mortality and AHF rehospitalization at 180 days.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00512759.

Clinical Utility of Procalcitonin in the Diagnosis of Pneumonia

BACKGROUND

The clinical utility of procalcitonin in the diagnosis and management of pneumonia remains controversial.

METHODS

We assessed the clinical utility of procalcitonin in 2 prospective studies: first, a multicenter diagnostic study in patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnea to directly compare the diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin with that of interleukin 6 and C-reactive protein (CRP) in the diagnosis of pneumonia; second, a randomized management study of procalcitonin guidance in patients with acute heart failure and suspected pneumonia. Diagnostic accuracy for pneumonia as centrally adjudicated by 2 independent experts was quantified with the area under the ROC curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Among 690 patients in the diagnostic study, 178 (25.8%) had an adjudicated final diagnosis of pneumonia. Procalcitonin, interleukin 6, and CRP were significantly higher in patients with pneumonia than in those without. When compared to procalcitonin (AUC = 0.75; 95% CI, 0.71-0.78), interleukin 6 (AUC = 0.80; 95% CI, 0.77-0.83) and CRP (AUC = 0.82; 95% CI, 0.79-0.85) had significantly higher diagnostic accuracy (P = 0.010 and P < 0.001, respectively). The management study was stopped early owing to the unexpectedly low AUC of procalcitonin in the diagnostic study. Among 45 randomized patients, the number of days on antibiotic therapy and the length of hospital stay were similar (both P = 0.39) in patients randomized to the procalcitonin-guided group (n = 25) and usual-care group (n = 20).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients presenting with dyspnea, diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin for pneumonia is only moderate and lower than that of interleukin 6 and CRP. The clinical utility of procalcitonin was lower than expected.

SUMMARY

Pneumonia has diverse and often unspecific symptoms. As the role of biomarkers in the diagnosis of pneumonia remains controversial, it is often difficult to distinguish pneumonia from other illnesses causing shortness of breath. The current study prospectively enrolled unselected patients presenting with acute dyspnea and directly compared the diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin, interleukin 6, and CRP for the diagnosis of pneumonia. In this setting, diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin for pneumonia was lower as compared to interleukin 6 and CRP. The clinical utility of procalcitonin was lower than expected.

CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER

NCT01831115.

P3532Quantifying hemodynamic cardiac stress and cardiomyocyte injury in hypertensive and normotensive acute heart failure

Background

Better characterization of the different pathophysiological mechanisms involved in normotensive and hypertensive acute heart failure (AHF) might help to develop novel individualized treatment strategies.

Methods

The extent of hemodynamic cardiac stress and cardiomyocyte injury was quantified by measuring B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) as well as high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) in 1,152 unselected patients presenting with AHF to the emergency department (derivation cohort). Systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 90 - 140 mmHg at presentation was used to define normotensive AHF. Findings regarding hemodynamic cardiac stress and cardiomyocyte injury were validated in a second independent AHF cohort (validation cohort; n=324).

Results

In the derivation cohort 667 (58%) patients had hypertensive AHF. Hemodynamic cardiac stress, as quantified by BNP levels, was significantly higher in normotensive AHF as compared to hypertensive AHF (1,105 pg/mL versus 827 pg/mL, p<0.001). In addition, the extent of cardiomyocyte injury, as quantified by hs-cTnT, was significantly higher in normotensive AHF as compared to hypertensive AHF (41 ng/L versus 33 ng/L, p<0.001). These findings were confirmed in the validation cohort.

Table 1. Cardiac stress and myocardial necrosis as quantified by BNP and hs-cTnT plasma concentrations Overall Hypertensive AHF Normotensive AHF p-value BNP in pg/ml, median (IQR) 974 (536–1,712) 827 (448–1,419) 1,105 (611–1,956) <0.001 hs-cTnT in ng/L, median (IQR) 37 (22–67) 33 (19–59) 41 (24–71) <0.001 BNP = B-type natriuretic peptide; hs-cTnT = high-sensitivity cardiac Troponin T; IQR = inter-quartile range.

Figure 1

Conclusion

Biomarker profiling revealed that the extent of hemodynamic stress and cardiomyocyte injury is different in patients with normotensive and hypertensive AHF. This characterization could help to understand AHF phenotypes better, which in turn may lead to more specific management in future, thus improving the dismal prognosis in these patients.

Acknowledgement/Funding

European Union, Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation, Cardiovascular Research Foundation Basel, University of Basel

P1656Incremental value of interleukin-6 and C-reactive protein to the MEESSI acute heart failure risk score

Background

The MEESSI-acute heart failure (AHF) risk score has high accuracy in the prediction of 30-day mortality in patients presenting with AHF and may be considered the current gold standard for this indication.

Purpose

As the original MEESSI model does not include measurements of inflammatory biomarkers, the impact of interleukin-6 or C-reactive protein (CRP) on the model's goodness of fit is unknown.

Methods

In a prospective multicenter diagnostic study the presence of AHF was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists among patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the ED. The MEESSI-AHF risk score was calculated using a recalibrated model containing 12 independent risk factors. The incremental value of interleukin-6 and CRP was examined by the use of logistic regression analysis and enter method variable selection with an entry criterion of p<0.05. Goodness of fit tests were performed to measure the updated model's discrimination and calibration.

Results

In 1247 patients with adjudicated AHF, the MEESSI-AHF risk score was calculated. Of these, 1113 patients (89.3%) had available measurements of interleukin-6 and CRP. In the logistic regression analysis both biomarkers had a highly significant impact on the MEESSI model (p<0.001, respectively). Compared to the original MEESSI-Model (c-statistic, 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75–0.83)) the addition of interleukin-6 (c-statistic, 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77–0.85)) or CRP (c-statistic, 0.83 (95% CI, 0.79–0.86)) significantly improved the model's discrimination (p=0.022 and p=0.011, respectively). When assessing the cumulative mortality, the gradient in 30-day mortality over six predefined risk groups was increased by addition of interleukin-6 or CRP. 30-day mortality rates in the lowest and highest risk groups of the original model were 0.4% and 32.5% compared to 0% and 34.9% in the model updated with interleukin-6 and 0.6% and 37.6% in the model updated with CRP. All compared models showed good overall calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow p=0.302 (original model), p=0.136 (model updated by interleukin-6) and p=0.902 (model updated by CRP)).

Discrimination original_updated

Conclusion

There is significant incremental value of interleukin-6 and CRP to the MEESSI score as indicated by the improved goodness of fit compared to the original model.

Acknowledgement/Funding

European Union, the Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation, the Cardiovascular Research Foundation Basel,

Combining High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin I and Cardiac Troponin T in the Early Diagnosis of Acute Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Combining 2 signals of cardiomyocyte injury, cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and T (cTnT), might overcome some individual pathophysiological and analytical limitations and thereby increase diagnostic accuracy for acute myocardial infarction with a single blood draw. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of combinations of high-sensitivity (hs) cTnI and hs-cTnT for the early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction.

METHODS

The diagnostic performance of combining hs-cTnI (Architect, Abbott) and hs-cTnT (Elecsys, Roche) concentrations (sum, product, ratio, and a combination algorithm) obtained at the time of presentation was evaluated in a large multicenter diagnostic study of patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction. The optimal rule-out and rule-in thresholds were externally validated in a second large multicenter diagnostic study. The proportion of patients eligible for early rule-out was compared with the European Society of Cardiology 0/1 and 0/3 hour algorithms.

RESULTS

Combining hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT concentrations did not consistently increase overall diagnostic accuracy as compared with the individual isoforms. However, the combination improved the proportion of patients meeting criteria for very early rule-out. With the European Society of Cardiology 2015 guideline recommended algorithms and cut-offs, the proportion meeting rule-out criteria after the baseline blood sampling was limited (6% to 24%) and assay dependent. Application of optimized cut-off values using the sum (9 ng/L) and product (18 ng²/L²) of hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT concentrations led to an increase in the proportion ruled-out after a single blood draw to 34% to 41% in the original (sum: negative predictive value [NPV] 100% [95% confidence interval (CI), 99.5% to 100%]; product: NPV 100% [95% CI, 99.5% to 100%]) and in the validation cohort (sum: NPV 99.6% [95% CI, 99.0-99.9%]; product: NPV 99.4% [95% CI, 98.8-99.8%]). The use of a combination algorithm (hs-cTnI <4 ng/L and hs-cTnT <9 ng/L) showed comparable results for rule-out (40% to 43% ruled out; NPV original cohort 99.9% [95% CI, 99.2-100%]; NPV validation cohort 99.5% [95% CI, 98.9-99.8%]) and rule-in (positive predictive value [PPV] original cohort 74.4% [95% Cl, 69.6-78.8%]; PPV validation cohort 84.0% [95% Cl, 79.7-87.6%]).

CONCLUSIONS

New strategies combining hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT concentrations may significantly increase the number of patients eligible for very early and safe rule-out, but do not seem helpful for the rule-in of acute myocardial infarction.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL (APACE): https://www.clinicaltrial.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00470587. URL (ADAPT): www.anzctr.org.au . Unique identifier: ACTRN12611001069943.

Incidence and outcomes of unstable angina compared with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction

Objective

Assess the relative incidence and compare characteristics and outcome of unstable angina (UA) and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI).

Design

Two independent prospective multicentre diagnostic studies (Advantageous Predictors of Acute Coronary Syndromes Evaluation [APACE] and High-Sensitivity Troponin in the Evaluation of Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome [High-STEACS]) enrolling patients with acute chest discomfort presenting to the emergency department. Central adjudication of the final diagnosis was done by two independent cardiologists using all clinical information including serial measurements of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn). All-cause death and future non-fatal MI were assessed at 30 days and 1 year.

Results

8992 patients were enrolled at 11 centres. UA was adjudicated in 8.9%(95% CI 8.0 to 9.7) and 2.8% (95% CI 2.3 to 3.3) patients in APACE and High-STEACS, respectively, and NSTEMI in 15.1% (95% CI 14.0 to 16.2) and 13.4% (95% CI 12.4 to 14.3). Coronary artery disease was pre-existing in 73% and 76% of patients with UA. At 30 days, all-cause mortality in UA was substantially lower as compared with NSTEMI (0.5% vs 3.7%, p=0.002 in APACE, 0.7% vs 7.4%, p=0.004 in High-STEACS). Similarly, at 1 year in UA all-cause mortality was 3.3% (95% CI 1.2 to 5.3) vs 10.4% (95% CI 7.9 to 12.9) in APACE, and 5.1% (95% CI 0.7 to 9.5) vs 22.9% (95% CI 19.3 to 26.4) in High-STEACS, and similar to non-cardiac chest pain (NCCP). In contrast, future non-fatal MI in APACE was comparable in UA and NSTEMI (11.2%, 95% CI 7.8 to 14.6 and 7.9%, 95% CI 5.7 to 10.2), and higher than in NCCP (0.6%, 95% CI 0.2 to 1.0).

Conclusions

The relative incidence and mortality of UA is substantially lower than that of NSTEMI, while the rate of future non-fatal MI is similar.

Predicting Acute Myocardial Infarction with a Single Blood Draw

BACKGROUND

We desired to determine cardiac troponin (cTn) concentrations necessary to achieve a positive predictive value (PPV) of ≥75% for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) to justify immediate admission of patients to a monitored unit and, in general, early coronary angiography.

METHODS

In a prospective multicenter diagnostic study enrolling patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of AMI, final diagnoses were adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists based on clinical information including cardiac imaging. cTn concentrations were measured using 5 different sensitive and high-sensitivity cTn (hs-cTn) assays in a blinded fashion at presentation and serially thereafter. The diagnostic end point was PPV for rule-in of AMI of initial cTn concentrations alone and in combination with early changes.

RESULTS

Among 3828 patients, 616 (16%) had an AMI. At presentation, 7% to 14% of patients had cTnT/I concentrations associated with a PPV of ≥75%. Adding absolute or relative changes did not significantly further increase the PPV. PPVs increased from 46.5% (95% CI, 43.6–49.4) for hs-cTnT at presentation &gt;14 ng/L to 78.9% (95% CI, 74.7–82.5) for &gt;52 ng/L (P &lt; 0.001), whereas PPVs in higher hs-cTnT strata remained largely unchanged [e.g., 82.4% (95% CI, 77.5–86.7) for &gt;80 ng/L vs 83.9% (95% CI, 76.0–90.1) for &gt;200 ng/L (P = 0.72)]. The addition of early changes in hs-cTnT further increased the PPV up to 60 ng/L, but not for higher concentrations.

CONCLUSIONS

Serial sampling does not seem necessary for predicting AMI and concurrent decision-making in about 10% of patients, as it only marginally increases the PPV for AMI and not in a statistically or clinically significant way.

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier

NCT00470587.

Relative hypochromia and mortality in acute heart failure

BACKGROUND

Relative hypochromia of erythrocytes defined as a reduced mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC) is a surrogate of iron deficiency. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and prognostic impact of relative hypochromia in acute heart failure (AHF).

METHODS

We prospectively characterized 1574 patients presenting with an adjudicated diagnosis of AHF to the emergency department. Relative hypochromia was defined as a MCHC ≤330 g/l and determined at presentation. The presence of AHF was adjudicated by two independent cardiologists. All-cause mortality and AHF-rehospitalization were the primary prognostic end-points.

RESULTS

Overall, 455 (29%) AHF patients had relative hypochromia. Patients with relative hypochromia had higher hemodynamic cardiac stress as quantified by NT-proBNP concentrations (p < 0.001), more extensive cardiomyocyte injury as quantified by high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) concentrations (p < 0.001), and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; p < 0.001) as compared to AHF patients without hypochromia. Cumulative incidences for all-cause mortality and AHF-rehospitalization at 720-days were 50% and 55% in patients with relative hypochromia as compared to 33% and 39% in patients without hypochromia, respectively (both p < 0.0001). The association between relative hypochromia and increased mortality (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.4-2-0) persisted after adjusting for anemia (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3-1.8), and after adjusting for hemodynamic cardiac stress (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.21-1.76) and eGFR (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3-1.8, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Relative hypochromia is common and a strong and independent predictor of increased mortality in AHF. Given the direct link to diagnostic (endoscopy) and therapeutic interventions to treat functional iron deficiency, relative hypochromia deserves increased attention as an inexpensive and universally available biomarker.

External Validation of the MEESSI Acute Heart Failure Risk Score: A Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The MEESSI-AHF (Multiple Estimation of risk based on the Emergency department Spanish Score In patients with AHF) score was developed to predict 30-day mortality in patients presenting with acute heart failure (AHF) to emergency departments (EDs) in Spain. Whether it performs well in other countries is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To externally validate the MEESSI-AHF score in another country.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01831115).

SETTING

Multicenter recruitment of dyspneic patients presenting to the ED.

PARTICIPANTS

The external validation cohort included 1572 patients with AHF.

MEASUREMENTS

Calculation of the MEESSI-AHF score using an established model containing 12 independent risk factors.

RESULTS

Among 1572 patients with adjudicated AHF, 1247 had complete data that allowed calculation of the MEESSI-AHF score. Of these, 102 (8.2%) died within 30 days. The score predicted 30-day mortality with excellent discrimination (c-statistic, 0.80). Assessment of cumulative mortality showed a steep gradient in 30-day mortality over 6 predefined risk groups (0 patients in the lowest-risk group vs. 35 [28.5%] in the highest-risk group). Risk was overestimated in the high-risk groups, resulting in a Hosmer-Lemeshow P value of 0.022. However, after adjustment of the intercept, the model showed good concordance between predicted risks and observed outcomes (P = 0.23). Findings were confirmed in sensitivity analyses that used multiple imputation for missing values in the overall cohort of 1572 patients.

LIMITATIONS

External validation was done using a reduced model. Findings are specific to patients with AHF who present to the ED and are clinically stable enough to provide informed consent. Performance in patients with terminal kidney failure who are receiving long-term dialysis cannot be commented on.

CONCLUSION

External validation of the MEESSI-AHF risk score showed excellent discrimination. Recalibration may be needed when the score is introduced to new populations.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

The European Union, the Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation, the Cardiovascular Research Foundation Basel, the University of Basel, and University Hospital Basel.

Identical and Nonidentical Twins: Risk and Factors Involved in Development of Islet Autoimmunity and Type 1 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

There are variable reports of risk of concordance for progression to islet autoantibodies and type 1 diabetes in identical twins after one twin is diagnosed. We examined development of positive autoantibodies and type 1 diabetes and the effects of genetic factors and common environment on autoantibody positivity in identical twins, nonidentical twins, and full siblings.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Subjects from the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study (N = 48,026) were screened from 2004 to 2015 for islet autoantibodies (GAD antibody [GADA], insulinoma-associated antigen 2 [IA-2A], and autoantibodies against insulin [IAA]). Of these subjects, 17,226 (157 identical twins, 283 nonidentical twins, and 16,786 full siblings) were followed for autoantibody positivity or type 1 diabetes for a median of 2.1 years.

RESULTS

At screening, identical twins were more likely to have positive GADA, IA-2A, and IAA than nonidentical twins or full siblings (all P < 0.0001). Younger age, male sex, and genetic factors were significant factors for expression of IA-2A, IAA, one or more positive autoantibodies, and two or more positive autoantibodies (all P ≤ 0.03). Initially autoantibody-positive identical twins had a 69% risk of diabetes by 3 years compared with 1.5% for initially autoantibody-negative identical twins. In nonidentical twins, type 1 diabetes risk by 3 years was 72% for initially multiple autoantibody-positive, 13% for single autoantibody-positive, and 0% for initially autoantibody-negative nonidentical twins. Full siblings had a 3-year type 1 diabetes risk of 47% for multiple autoantibody-positive, 12% for single autoantibody-positive, and 0.5% for initially autoantibody-negative subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk of type 1 diabetes at 3 years is high for initially multiple and single autoantibody-positive identical twins and multiple autoantibody-positive nonidentical twins. Genetic predisposition, age, and male sex are significant risk factors for development of positive autoantibodies in twins.

Clinical Validation of a Novel High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin I Assay for Early Diagnosis of Acute Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Clinical performance of the novel high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur) assay is unknown. We aimed to clinically validate the Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur assay and develop 0/1-h and 0/2-h algorithms.

METHODS

We enrolled patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Final diagnoses were centrally adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists including all clinical information twice: first, using serial hs-cTnT (Roche-Elecsys, primary analysis); second, using hs-cTnI (Abbott-Architect, secondary analysis) measurements in addition to the clinically applied (hs)-cTn. Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur was measured at presentation, 1 h, and 2 h. The primary objective was a direct comparison of diagnostic accuracy, quantified by the area under the ROC curve (AUC), of Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur vs the 2 established hs-cTn assays (Roche-hs-cTnT-Elecsys, Abbott-hs-cTnI-Architect). Secondary objectives included the development of Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur-specific 0/1-h and 0/2-h algorithms.

RESULTS

AMI was the final diagnosis in 318 of 1755 (18%) patients (using Roche-hs-cTnT-Elecsys for adjudication). The AUC at presentation for Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur was 0.94 (95% CI, 0.92–0.96) and comparable with 0.95 (95% CI, 0.93–0.97) for Roche-hs-cTnT-Elecsys and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.90–0.96) for Abbott-hs-cTnI-Architect. Applying the derived Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur 0/1-h algorithm to the validation cohort, 46% of patients were ruled out (sensitivity, 99.1%; 95% CI, 95.3–100), and 18% of patients were ruled in (specificity, 94.1%; 95% CI, 91.8–95.9). The Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur 0/2-h algorithm ruled out 55% of patients (sensitivity, 100%; 95% CI, 94.1–100), and ruled in 18% of patients (specificity, 96.0%; 95% CI, 93.1–97.9). Findings were confirmed in the secondary analyses using serial measurements of Abbott-hs-cTnI-Architect for adjudication.

CONCLUSIONS

Diagnostic accuracy and clinical utility of the novel Siemens-hs-cTnI-Centaur assay are high and comparable with the established hs-cTn assays. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00470587

Automatically computed ECG algorithm for the quantification of myocardial scar and the prediction of mortality

BACKGROUND

Myocardial scar is associated with adverse cardiac outcomes. The Selvester QRS-score was developed to estimate myocardial scar from the 12-lead ECG, but its manual calculation is difficult. An automatically computed QRS-score would allow identification of patients with myocardial scar and an increased risk of mortality.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the diagnostic and prognostic value of the automatically computed QRS-score.

METHODS

The diagnostic value of the QRS-score computed automatically from a standard digital 12-lead was prospectively assessed in 2742 patients with suspected myocardial ischemia referred for myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). The prognostic value of the QRS-score was then prospectively tested in 1151 consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with suspected acute heart failure (AHF).

RESULTS

Overall, the QRS-score was significantly higher in patients with more extensive myocardial scar: the median QRS-score was 3 (IQR 2-5), 4 (IQR 2-6), and 7 (IQR 4-10) for patients with 0, 5-20 and > 20% myocardial scar as quantified by MPI (p < 0.001 for all pairwise comparisons). A QRS-score ≥ 9 (n = 284, 10%) predicted a large scar defined as > 20% of the LV with a specificity of 91% (95% CI 90-92%). Regarding clinical outcomes in patients presenting to the ED with symptoms suggestive of AHF, mortality after 1 year was 28% in patients with a QRS-score ≥ 3 as opposed to 20% in patients with a QRS-score < 3 (p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The QRS-score can be computed automatically from the 12-lead ECG for simple, non-invasive and inexpensive detection and quantification of myocardial scar and for the prediction of mortality. TRIAL-REGISTRATION: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Identifier, NCT01838148 and NCT01831115.

Effect of Acute Coronary Syndrome Probability on Diagnostic and Prognostic Performance of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin

BACKGROUND

There is concern that high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) may have low diagnostic accuracy in patients with low acute coronary syndrome (ACS) probability.

METHODS

We prospectively stratified patients presenting with acute chest discomfort to the emergency department (ED) into 3 groups according to their probability for ACS as assessed by the treating ED physician using a visual analog scale: ≤10%, 11% to 79%, and ≥80%, reviewing all information available at 90 min. hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI concentrations were determined in a blinded fashion. Two independent cardiologists adjudicated the final diagnosis.

RESULTS

Among 3828 patients eligible for analysis, 1189 patients had low (≤10%) probability for ACS. The incidence of non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) increased from 1.3% to 12.2% and 54.8% in patients with low, intermediate, and high ACS probability, respectively. The positive predictive value of hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI was low in patients with low ACS probability and increased with the incidence of NSTEMI, whereas the diagnostic accuracy of hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI for NSTEMI as quantified by the area under the curve (AUC) was very high and comparable among all 3 strata, e.g., AUC hs-cTnI, 0.96 (95% CI, 0.94–0.97); 0.87 (95% CI, 0.85–0.89); and 0.89 (95% CI, 0.87–0.92), respectively. Findings were validated using bootstrap analysis as an alternative methodology to define ACS probability. Similarly, higher hs-cTnT/I concentrations independently predicted all-cause mortality within 2 years (e.g., hs-cTnT hazard ratio, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.27–1.52), irrespective of ACS probability.

CONCLUSIONS

Diagnostic and prognostic accuracy and utility of hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI remain high in patients with acute chest discomfort and low ACS probability.

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00470587.

Prohormones in the Early Diagnosis of Cardiac Syncope

Background

The early detection of cardiac syncope is challenging. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic value of 4 novel prohormones, quantifying different neurohumoral pathways, possibly involved in the pathophysiological features of cardiac syncope: midregional–pro‐A‐type natriuretic peptide (MRproANP), C‐terminal proendothelin 1, copeptin, and midregional‐proadrenomedullin.

Methods and Results

We prospectively enrolled unselected patients presenting with syncope to the emergency department (ED) in a diagnostic multicenter study. ED probability of cardiac syncope was quantified by the treating ED physician using a visual analogue scale. Prohormones were measured in a blinded manner. Two independent cardiologists adjudicated the final diagnosis on the basis of all clinical information, including 1‐year follow‐up. Among 689 patients, cardiac syncope was the adjudicated final diagnosis in 125 (18%). Plasma concentrations of MRproANP, C‐terminal proendothelin 1, copeptin, and midregional‐proadrenomedullin were all significantly higher in patients with cardiac syncope compared with patients with other causes (P<0.001). The diagnostic accuracies for cardiac syncope, as quantified by the area under the curve, were 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76–0.84), 0.69 (95% CI, 0.64–0.74), 0.58 (95% CI, 0.52–0.63), and 0.68 (95% CI, 0.63–0.73), respectively. In conjunction with the ED probability (0.86; 95% CI, 0.82–0.90), MRproANP, but not the other prohormone, improved the area under the curve to 0.90 (95% CI, 0.87–0.93), which was significantly higher than for the ED probability alone (P=0.003). An algorithm to rule out cardiac syncope combining an MRproANP level of <77 pmol/L and an ED probability of <20% had a sensitivity and a negative predictive value of 99%.

Conclusions

The use of MRproANP significantly improves the early detection of cardiac syncope among unselected patients presenting to the ED with syncope.

Clinical Trial Registration

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01548352.