HbA1c 5·7-6·4% and impaired fasting plasma glucose for diagnosis of prediabetes and risk of progression to diabetes in Japan (TOPICS 3): a longitudinal cohort study

Characteristics and risk factors associated with developing prediabetes in Saudi Arabia

OBJECTIVE

Prediabetes is prevalent in Saudi Arabia and globally. It is associated with adverse health outcomes and complications. Consequently, this study aimed to determine the risk factors associated with developing prediabetes in Saudi Arabia.

METHODS

This is a case-control study conducted at the Family and Community Medicine Department at Prince Sultan Military Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The cases included individuals with prediabetes (prediabetes group), and the control group included individuals with normal HbA1c levels who were not diagnosed with prediabetes or diabetes. The data collected included sociodemographic data, clinical parameters, laboratory tests, and medical conditions.

RESULTS

The study included 46,201 patients (16,029 patients with prediabetes and 30,173 in the control group). The age of the patients (mean ± SD) with prediabetes was significantly higher than that of the control group (47.22 ± 14.04 versus 36.12 ± 11.83, p < 0.0001). A higher proportion of men was noted in the prediabetes group compared to the control group (36.32% versus 26.54%, p < 0.0001). The body mass index (mean ± SD) was higher in the prediabetes group compared to the control group (33.76 ± 6.75 versus 30.16 ± 7.26, p < 0.0001). The multiple logistic regression analysis showed six independent risk factors associated with prediabetes. These included age (aOR [95% CI] = 1.067 [1.065-1.069]) and gender, with women at a lower risk compared to men (aOR [95% CI] = 0.695 [0.664-0.728]). Other independent risk factors included polycystic ovarian syndrome (aOR [95% CI] = 58.102 (35.731-94.479]), obesity (aOR [95% CI] = 1.265 [1.075-1.487]), cardiac conditions (aOR [95% CI] = 4.870 [1.024-23.154]), and hypertension (aOR [95% CI] = 1.133 [1.031-1.245]).

CONCLUSIONS

The study showed that several risk factors are associated with the development of prediabetes in the Saudi population. Addressing these factors can help prevent prediabetes, and consequently, its burden and further progression to diabetes.

Prediabetes in a French overseas territory: Clinical Characteristics, Risk Factors, and Implications for type 2 diabetes prevention

Background

People with prediabetes are at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2D). This study evaluates clinical, sociodemographic characteristics, and Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) of individuals with prediabetes recruited in primary care by their general practitioner (GP) for PREDIABRUN study.

Methods

PREDIABRUN, a prospective cohort study in primary care on Reunion Island, aimed to identify risk factors for developing T2D in 500 adults with prediabetes (18-70 years) between July 2019 and December 2022. Sociodemographic, anthropometric, health, and lifestyle data were collected. Participants were categorized as having known prediabetes if their GP was aware of glucose abnormalities before the study, otherwise as newly diagnosed.

Results

A total of 469 subjects were included, with a median age of 55 years; 58.4 % were women. Employment was more common among men (53.3 %) than women (36.1 %). Precariousness affected 35.4 % overall, with higher rates in women (41.6 %) than men (26.7 %, p < 0.001). The major associated health issues were obesity (40.1 %), musculoskeletal disorders (50.5 %), hypertension (46.3 %) and cardiovascular diseases (11.5 %). The median FINDRISC score was 16 [IQR: 12-19], higher in women (17 [14-20]) than men (15 [11-17], p < 0.001). For more than half the population (55.0 %), prediabetes status was already known. However, lifestyle habits were similar for those with newly diagnosed prediabetes and those with prediabetes already known.

Conclusion

Screened population in primary care on Reunion Island is relatively young, with a high FINDRISC score and numerous medical conditions. Tailored intervention to improve dietary habits and increase physical activity could help prevent diabetes in this high-risk group.

Insights to the emerging potential of glucokinase activators as antidiabetic agent

The glucokinase enzyme (belongs to the hexokinase family) is present in liver cells and β-cells of the pancreas. Glucokinase acts as a catalyst in the conversion of glucose-6-phosphate from glucose which is rate-limiting step in glucose metabolism. Glucokinase becomes malfunctional or remains inactivated in diabetes. Glucokinase activators are compounds that bind at the allosteric site of the glucokinase enzyme and activate it. This article highlights the patent and recent research papers history with possible SAR from year 2014-2023. The data comprises the discussion of novel chemotypes (GKAs) that are being targeted for drug development and entered into clinical trials. GK activators have attracted massive interest since successful results have been reported from clinical trials data.

A longitudinal study on the impact of the TyG Index and TG/HDL-C ratio on the risk of type 2 diabetes in Chinese patients with prediabetes

OBJECTIVE

To elucidate the impact and predictive value of the Triglyceride Glucose Index (TyG) and the ratio of Triglycerides to High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) in identifying the risk of diabetes progression in Chinese individuals with prediabetes.

METHODS

This longitudinal study enrolled 15,012 prediabetic adults from the Rich Healthcare Group between 2010 and 2016. Diabetes was defined as self-reported diabetes or a fasting glucose level ≥ 7.0 mmol/L. The Cox proportional hazards models was utilized to assess the relationship between the two indices and the risk of developing diabetes. The predictive efficacy of the two markers was gauged by the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 2.87 years, 1,730 (11.5%) prediabetic participants developed diabetes. The adjusted hazard ratios for the top quartile of the TyG index and the TG/HDL-C ratio were 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.71-2.40) and 2.59 (95% CI: 2.20-3.05), respectively, compared to the lowest quartile. A significant trend of increasing diabetes risk with higher quartiles of both indices was observed. The AUC for the adjusted prediction model for prediabetes-to-diabetes transition was 0.726 for the TyG index and 0.710 for the TG/HDL-C ratio. The difference in AUCs was statistically significant (P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The baseline TyG index or TG/HDL-C ratio was significantly associated with an increased risk of diabetes in prediabetic individuals. The TyG index demonstrated superior predictive accuracy, underscoring its importance in preventing diabetes in prediabetic individuals.

Elevated triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol ratio as a risk factor for progression to prediabetes: a 5-year retrospective cohort study in Japan

Purpose

The triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio is considered an alternative marker for insulin resistance. This longitudinal retrospective study investigated the relationship between TG/HDL-C ratio and the risk of progression to prediabetes.

Methods

We investigated 24,604 Japanese participants (14,609 men and 9,995 women) who underwent annual medical health checkups in 2017 (baseline) and 2022. All participants had no diabetes and prediabetes at baseline. No lipid-lowering medications were taken during the follow-up period. Participants were divided into four groups according to the quartiles of TG/HDL-C ratio at baseline. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis was conducted to examine hazard ratios (HRs) of progression to prediabetes. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine the optimal cutoff value of TG/HDL-C ratio for prediction of prediabetes.

Results

Compared with the lowest TG/HDL-C ratio quartile (Q1) group, the adjusted HRs (95% confidence intervals (CI)) of progression to prediabetes in the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups, respectively, were 1.17 (0.92-1.47), 1.26 (1.01-1.56), and 1.77 (1.41-2.23) for men and 1.07 (0.60-1.11), 1.19 (1.08-1.29), and 1.58 (1.18-2.31) for women. For every 1 unit increase in TG/HDL-C ratio, the adjusted HRs (95% CI) for progression to prediabetes was 1.09 (1.04-1.13) in men and 1.10 (1.04-1.15) in women. The optimal TG/HDL-C ratio cutoffs were 1.71 and 0.97 in men and women, respectively, but the area under the curve was > 0.70 in both sexes.

Conclusion

High TG/HDL-C ratio is a risk factor for progression to prediabetes in Japanese men and women, but it had low discriminative ability in predicting prediabetes risk.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-023-01329-8.

Associations between air pollution, residential greenness, and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in three prospective cohorts of U.S. adults

BACKGROUND

While studies suggest impacts of individual environmental exposures on type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk, mechanisms remain poorly characterized. Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is a biomarker of glycemia and diagnostic criterion for prediabetes and T2D. We explored associations between multiple environmental exposures and HbA1c in non-diabetic adults.

METHODS

HbA1c was assessed once in 12,315 women and men in three U.S.-based prospective cohorts: the Nurses' Health Study (NHS), Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII), and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). Residential greenness within 270 m and 1,230 m (normalized difference vegetation index, NDVI) was obtained from Landsat. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) were estimated from nationwide spatiotemporal models. Three-month and one-year averages prior to blood draw were assigned to participants' addresses. We assessed associations between single exposure, multi-exposure, and component scores from Principal Components Analysis (PCA) and HbA1c. Fully-adjusted models built on basic models of age and year at blood draw, BMI, alcohol use, and neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES) to include diet quality, race, family history, smoking status, postmenopausal hormone use, population density, and season. We assessed interactions between environmental exposures, and effect modification by population density, nSES, and sex.

RESULTS

Based on HbA1c, 19% of participants had prediabetes. In single exposure fully-adjusted models, an IQR (0.14) higher 1-year 1,230 m NDVI was associated with a 0.27% (95% CI: 0.05%, 0.49%) lower HbA1c. In basic component score models, a SD increase in Component 1 (high loadings for 1-year NDVI) was associated with a 0.19% (95% CI: 0.04%, 0.34%) lower HbA1c. CI's crossed the null in multi-exposure and fully-adjusted component score models. There was little evidence of associations between air pollution and HbA1c, and no evidence of effect modification.

CONCLUSIONS

Among non-diabetic adults, environmental exposures were not consistently associated with HbA1c. More work is needed to elucidate biological pathways between the environment and prediabetes.

The association between creatinine to body weight ratio and the risk of progression to diabetes from pre-diabetes: a 5-year cohort study in Chinese adults

OBJECTIVE

Evidence on the association between the creatinine to body weight (Cre/BW) ratio and the risk of pre-diabetes to diabetes development remains limited. Our study aimed to examine the association between the Cre/BW ratio and incident diabetes in pre-diabetic patients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 24,506 pre-diabetic participants who underwent health checks from 2010 to 2016 in China. We used the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to explore the relationship between baseline Cre/BW ratio and diabetes risk in pre-diabetes patients. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function and smooth curve fitting (cubical spline smoothing), we were able to determine the non-linear relationship between them. We also carried out a number of subgroup and sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

The age range of the participants included in this study was 20-99 years, with a majority of 16,232 individuals (66.24%) being men. The mean baseline Cre/BW ratio was 1.06 (SD 0.22) umol/L/kg. 2512 (10.25%) participants received a diabetes final diagnosis over a median follow-up period of 2.89 years. After adjusting for covariates, the Cre/BW ratio had a negative association with incident diabetes in participants with pre-diabetes, per umol/L/kg increase in Cre/BM ratio was accompanied by a 55.5% decrease in diabetes risk (HR = 0.445, 95%CI 0.361 to 0.548). The Cre/BW ratio and risk of diabetes had a non-linear connection, with 1.072 umol/L/kg serving as the ratio's inflection point. The HR were 0.294 (95%CI:0.208-0.414) and 0.712 (95%CI:0.492-1.029), respectively, on the left and right sides of the inflection point. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of these results. Subgroup analyses indicated that the Cre/BW ratio was strongly associated with the risk of diabetes among participants who were younger than 50 years, as well as among those with diastolic blood pressure (DBP) < 90 mmHg and triglyceride (TG) < 1.7 mmol/L. In contrast, among participants 50 years of age or older, those with DBP ≥ 90 mmHg, and those with TG ≥ 1.7 mmol/L, the relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of diabetes was attenuated.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates a negative, non-linear relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of diabetes among the Chinese population with pre-diabetes. From a therapeutic standpoint, it is clinically meaningful to maintain the Cre/BW ratio levels above the inflection point of 1.072 umol/L/kg.

Early detection of type 2 diabetes risk: limitations of current diagnostic criteria

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is the leading cause of diabetes worldwide and is increasing rapidly, especially in youth. It accounts for most diabetes deaths in adults ≥20 years old in the Americas, with type 2 diabetes responsible for most of the disease burden. The incidence and burden of type 2 diabetes in adolescents and young adults have risen in recent decades globally. Countries with lower socioeconomic status had the highest incidence and burden, and females generally had higher mortality and disease burden than males at ages <30 years. Early diagnosis and management are crucial to delaying progression, but current diagnostic criteria based on glucose thresholds and glycated hemoglobin have limitations. Recent analyses show that prediabetes increases cancer risk. Better diagnostic criteria are urgently needed to identify high-risk individuals earlier. This article discusses the limitations of current criteria and explores alternative approaches and future research directions.

Waist circumference and glycaemia are strong predictors of progression to diabetes in individuals with prediabetes in sub-Saharan Africa: 4-year prospective cohort study in Malawi

Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to have the highest increase in the number of people with diabetes worldwide. However, the drivers of diabetes in this region have not been clearly elucidated. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence of diabetes and the predictors of progression in a population-based cohort with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) in Malawi. We used data from an extensive rural and urban non-communicable disease survey. One hundred seventy-five, of 389 individuals with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) at baseline, age 48 ±15 years and body mass index 27.5 ±5.9 kg/m2 were followed up for a median of 4.2 years (714 person-years). Incidence rates were calculated, and predictors of progression to diabetes were analysed using multivariable logistic regression models, with overall performance determined using receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curves. The median follow-up was 4.2 (IQR 3.4-4.7) years. Forty-five out of 175 (26%) progressed to diabetes. Incidence rates of diabetes were 62.9 per 1000 person-years 95% CI, 47.0-84.3. The predictors of progression were higher; age (odds ratio [OR] 1.48, P = 0.046), BMI (OR 1.98, P = 0.001), waist circumference (OR 2.50,P<0.001), waist-hip ratio (OR 1.40, P = 0.03), systolic blood pressure (OR 1.56, P = 0.01), fasting plasma glucose (OR 1.53, P = 0.01), cholesterol (OR 1.44, P = 0.05) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (OR 1.80, P = 0.002). A simple model combining fasting plasma glucose and waist circumference was predictive of progression to diabetes (ROC area under the curve = 0.79). The incidence of diabetes in people with IFG is high in Malawi and predictors of progression are like those seen in other populations. Our data also suggests that a simple chart with probabilities of progression to diabetes based on waist circumference and fasting plasma glucose could be used to identify those at risk of progression in clinical settings in sub-Saharan Africa.

Effects of γ-aminobutyric acid supplementation on glucose control in adults with prediabetes: A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA) is mainly known as an endogenously produced neurotransmitter. However, GABA intake from dietary sources like tomatoes and fermented foods can be considerable. Studies in rodent models have shown beneficial effects of oral GABA supplementation on glucose homeostasis and cardiovascular health. Still, it is currently unknown whether oral GABA supplementation produces cardiometabolic benefits in humans.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to investigate whether oral GABA supplementation can improve glucose homeostasis in individuals at risk of developing type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

In a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, parallel-arm trial, 52 individuals with prediabetes (classified by impaired glucose tolerance and/or impaired fasting glucose), aged 50 to 70 y with a body mass index ≥25 kg/m2 received either 500 mg GABA 3 times daily or a placebo for 95 days. The primary outcome was the effect of the intervention on glucose response after an OGTT. As exploratory secondary outcomes, markers of glycemic control (glycated hemoglobin, insulin, glucagon, mean amplitude of glycemic excursions, and standard deviation as measured with flash glucose monitoring), cardiovascular health (blood pressure, 24-h blood pressure, circulating triglycerides, cholesterol), and self-reported sleep quality were measured before and after the intervention.

RESULTS

Compared with placebo, GABA supplementation for 95 days did not change the postprandial glucose response (0.21 mmol/L; 95% confidence interval: -0.252, 0.674; P = 0.364). After correction for the false discovery rate, all other outcomes (including fasting plasma GABA concentration) showed no significant effects from GABA intervention at a group level.

CONCLUSIONS

GABA supplementation does not change the postprandial glucose response in individuals at risk of developing type 2 diabetes. However, based on findings in secondary outcome measures, further research is warranted in other study populations. Research could focus on the effects of GABA in individuals with advanced diabetes or other cardiometabolic disorders. This trial was registered at www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov as NCT04303468.

Combined Effects of ESRα DNA Methylation and Progesterone on Glucose Metabolic Disorders: The Henan Rural Cohort Study

To explore the independent and combined effects of ESRα methylation and progesterone on impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), a case-control study including 901 subjects was conducted. Generalized linear models were performed to assess the independent and combined effects of ESRα methylation and progesterone on IFG or T2DM. Methylation level of cytosine-phosphoguanine (CpG) 1 in the estrogen receptor α (ESRα) gene was positively related to IFG in both men (odds ratio (OR) (95% confidence interval (CI)): 1.77 (1.05, 3.00)) and postmenopausal women (OR (95% CI): 1.82 (1.09, 3.04)), whereas the association between CpG 1 and T2DM was not significant. Positive associations of progesterone with IFG and T2DM were observed in both men (OR (95% CI): 2.03 (1.18, 3.49) and 3.00 (1.63, 5.52)) and postmenopausal women (OR (95% CI): 2.13 (1.27, 3.56) and 3.30 (1.85, 5.90)). Participants with high CpG 1 methylation plus high progesterone had an increased risk of IFG and T2DM, both in men and postmenopausal women. ESRα methylation and progesterone were positively associated with IFG, and the positive association between progesterone and T2DM was also found. Importantly, we firstly found the combined effects of ESRα methylation and progesterone on IFG and T2DM.

Reduction in the Risk of Peripheral Neuropathy and Lower Decrease in Kidney Function with Metformin, Linagliptin or Their Fixed-Dose Combination Compared to Placebo in Prediabetes: A Randomized Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE

To compare the effect of glucose-lowering drugs on peripheral nerve and kidney function in prediabetes.

METHODS

Multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled trial in 658 adults with prediabetes treated for 1 year with metformin, linagliptin, their combination or placebo. Endpoints are small fiber peripheral neuropathy (SFPN) risk estimated by foot electrochemical skin conductance (FESC < 70 μSiemens) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

RESULTS

Compared to the placebo, the proportion of SFPN was reduced by 25.1% (95% CI:16.3-33.9) with metformin alone, by 17.3% (95% CI 7.4-27.2) with linagliptin alone, and by 19.5% (95% CI 10.1-29.0) with the combination linagliptin/metformin (p < 0.0001 for all comparisons). eGFR remained +3.3 mL/min (95% CI: 0.38-6.22) higher with the combination linagliptin/metformin than with the placebo (p = 0.03). Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) decreased more with metformin monotherapy -0.3 mmol/L (95%CI: -0.48; 0.12, p = 0.0009) and with the combination metformin/linagliptin -0.2 mmol/L (95% CI: -0.37; -0.03) than with the placebo (p = 0.0219). Body weight (BW) decreased by -2.0 kg (95% CI: -5.65; -1.65, p = 0.0006) with metformin monotherapy, and by -1.9 kg (95% CI: -3.02; -0.97) with the combination metformin/linagliptin as compared to the placebo (p = 0.0002).

CONCLUSIONS

in people with prediabetes, a 1 year treatment with metformin and linagliptin, combined or in monotherapy, was associated with a lower risk of SFPN, and with a lower decrease in eGFR, than treatment with placebo.

Lower-than-normal glycemic levels to achieve optimal reduction of diabetes risk among individuals with prediabetes: A prospective cohort study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

To determine whether lower than currently accepted glycemic levels could lead to optimal risk reduction of incident diabetes among individuals with prediabetes.

METHODS

We enrolled 9903 individuals with prediabetes and 16,902 individuals with normoglycemia from a prospective cohort participating health check-ups between 2006 and 2017. While classifying fasting glucose into <5.0, 5.0-5.5, and 5.6-6.9 mmol/L and postprandial glucose into <6.7, 6.7-7.7, and 7.8-11.0 mmol/L, we grouped fasting/postprandial glucose into five categories (<5.0/<6.7, <5.0/6.7-7.7, 5.0-5.5/<6.7, 5.0-5.5/6.7-7.7 mmol/L, 5.6-6.9/7.8-11.0 mmol/L). The primary outcome was incident diabetes.

RESULTS

In individuals with prediabetes, the presence of a baseline fasting glucose <5.0 mmol/L or a postprandial glucose <6.7 mmol/L led to a greater risk reduction of incident diabetes with hazard ratios of 0.34 (95% confidence interval, 0.27-0.42) and 0.47 (0.41-0.54), respectively, relative to a fasting glucose 5.6-6.9 mmol/L and a postprandial glucose 7.8-11.0 mmol/L. For individuals with prediabetes having fasting/postprandial glucose <5.0/<6.7 mmol/L, the incidence of 6.4 (4.7-8.8) per 1000 person-years corresponded to that of 5.8 (4.2-8.0) per 1000 person-years for individuals with normoglycemia having 5.0-5.5/6.7-7.7 mmol/L.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Given that lower-than-normal glycemic levels were plausible for optimal risk reduction of diabetes, stringent glycemic management could be beneficial for diabetes prevention among individuals with prediabetes.

Triglyceride glucose-body mass index and the risk of progression to diabetes from prediabetes: A 5-year cohort study in Chinese adults

Objective

Evidence regarding the relationship between the triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) and the risk of progression from prediabetes to diabetes remains limited. Our study aimed to investigate the relationship between them in patients with prediabetes.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, data were collected from 25,279 patients with prediabetes who received health checks between 2010 and 2016. We used a Cox proportional-hazards regression model to examine the relationship between TyG-BMI and diabetes risk. We used Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting to identify the nonlinear relationship between them. In addition, A series of sensitivity and subgroup analyses were also conducted.

Results

The mean age of the included participants was 49.29 ± 13.82 years old, and 1,6734 (66.2%) were male. The mean TyG-BMI was 219.47. The median follow-up time was 2.89 years, and 2,687 (10.63%) individuals had a final diagnosis of diabetes. After adjusting for covariates, TyG-BMI was positively linked with incident diabetes in patients with prediabetes (HR = 1.011, 95%CI 1.010-1.012). TyG-BMI had a non-linear connection with diabetes risk, and its inflection point was 231.66. Right and left effects sizes (HR) at the inflection point were 1.017 (95%CI:1.014-1.019) and 1.007 (95%CI:1.005-1.009), respectively. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of these results.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated a positive, non-linear relationship between the TyG-BMI and diabetes risk in Chinese patients with prediabetes. When the TyG-BMI was <231.66, there was a significant positive association between TyG-BMI and the risk of progression from prediabetes to diabetes. This study serves as a reference to promote clinical consultation and optimize diabetes prevention decisions for patients with prediabetes.

The National Clinical Care Commission Report to Congress: Leveraging Federal Policies and Programs to Prevent Diabetes in People With Prediabetes

Individuals with an elevated fasting glucose level, elevated glucose level after glucose challenge, or elevated hemoglobin A1c level below the diagnostic threshold for diabetes (collectively termed prediabetes) are at increased risk for type 2 diabetes. More than one-third of U.S. adults have prediabetes but fewer than one in five are aware of the diagnosis. Rigorous scientific research has demonstrated the efficacy of both intensive lifestyle interventions and metformin in delaying or preventing progression from prediabetes to type 2 diabetes. The National Clinical Care Commission (NCCC) was a federal advisory committee charged with evaluating and making recommendations to improve federal programs related to the prevention of diabetes and its complications. In this article, we describe the recommendations of an NCCC subcommittee that focused primarily on prevention of type 2 diabetes in people with prediabetes. These recommendations aim to improve current federal diabetes prevention activities by 1) increasing awareness of and diagnosis of prediabetes on a population basis; 2) increasing the availability of, referral to, and insurance coverage for the National Diabetes Prevention Program and the Medicare Diabetes Prevention Program; 3) facilitating Food and Drug Administration review and approval of metformin for diabetes prevention; and 4) supporting research to enhance the effectiveness of diabetes prevention. Cognizant of the burden of type 1 diabetes, the recommendations also highlight the importance of research to advance our understanding of the etiology of and opportunities for prevention of type 1 diabetes.

A nutritional supplement based on a synbiotic combination of Bacillus subtilis DSM 32315 and L-alanyl-L-glutamine improves glucose metabolism in healthy prediabetic subjects - A real-life post-marketing study

Introduction

Impaired glucose homeostasis is a significant risk factor for cardiometabolic diseases, whereas the efficacy of available standard therapies is limited, mainly because of poor adherence. This post-marketing study assessed the glucose-lowering potential of a synbiotic-based formulation.

Methods

One hundred ninety-two participants were enrolled in a digital nutrition program with continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) and received a study product comprising Bacillus subtilis DSM 32315 and L-alanyl-L-glutamine. Participants underwent a first sensor phase without supplementation, followed by a 14-day supplementation phase without sensor, and completed by a second sensor phase while continuing supplementation. Fasting glucose levels were determined before and after supplementation by CGM. In addition, the postprandial glycemic response to an oral glucose challenge, body weight, HbA1c concentrations, and BMI was analyzed. Subgroup analyses of subjects with elevated glucose and HbA1c levels vs. normoglycemic subjects were performed.

Results

Supplementation with the study product resulted in significant improvements in glucose parameters (delta values: fasting glucose -2,13% ± 8.86; iAUC0-120 -4.91% ± 78.87; HbA1c: -1.20% ± 4.72) accompanied by a significant weight reduction (-1.07 kg ± 2.30) in the study population. Subgroup analyses revealed that the improvements were mainly attributed to a prediabetic subgroup with elevated fasting glucose and HbA1c values before supplementation (delta values: fasting glucose -6.10% 4± 7.89; iAUC0-120 -6.28% ± 115.85; HbA1c -3.31% ± 4.36; weight: -1.47 kg ± 2.82).

Conclusion

This study indicates that the synbiotic composition is an effective and convenient approach to counteract hyperglycemia. Further placebo-controlled studies are warranted to test its efficacy in the treatment of cardiometabolic diseases.

MuSiC2: cell-type deconvolution for multi-condition bulk RNA-seq data

Cell-type composition of intact bulk tissues can vary across samples. Deciphering cell-type composition and its changes during disease progression is an important step toward understanding disease pathogenesis. To infer cell-type composition, existing cell-type deconvolution methods for bulk RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) data often require matched single-cell RNA-seq (scRNA-seq) data, generated from samples with similar clinical conditions, as reference. However, due to the difficulty of obtaining scRNA-seq data in diseased samples, only limited scRNA-seq data in matched disease conditions are available. Using scRNA-seq reference to deconvolve bulk RNA-seq data from samples with different disease conditions may lead to a biased estimation of cell-type proportions. To overcome this limitation, we propose an iterative estimation procedure, MuSiC2, which is an extension of MuSiC, to perform deconvolution analysis of bulk RNA-seq data generated from samples with multiple clinical conditions where at least one condition is different from that of the scRNA-seq reference. Extensive benchmark evaluations indicated that MuSiC2 improved the accuracy of cell-type proportion estimates of bulk RNA-seq samples under different conditions as compared with the traditional MuSiC deconvolution. MuSiC2 was applied to two bulk RNA-seq datasets for deconvolution analysis, including one from human pancreatic islets and the other from human retina. We show that MuSiC2 improves current deconvolution methods and provides more accurate cell-type proportion estimates when the bulk and single-cell reference differ in clinical conditions. We believe the condition-specific cell-type composition estimates from MuSiC2 will facilitate the downstream analysis and help identify cellular targets of human diseases.

Fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c levels predict the risk of type 2 diabetes and diabetic retinopathy in a Thai high-risk population with prediabetes

Introduction: The incidences of diabetes and diabetic retinopathy (DR) in Thai high-risk individuals with prediabetes have not been identified. This study compared diabetes and DR incidences among people at risk with different glycemic levels, using fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c).

Materials and methods: A historical cohort study estimating risk of type 2 diabetes and DR was conducted among outpatients, using FPG and HbA1c measurements at recruitment and monitored for ≥5 years. High-risk participants (defined as having metabolic syndrome or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease) were categorized by glycemic level into 4 groups: 1) impaired fasting glucose (IFG)-/HbA1c- (FPG &lt;110 mg/dl; HbA1c &lt; 6.0%); 2) IFG+/HbA1c- (FPG 110–125 mg/dl; HbA1c &lt; 6.0%); 3) IFG-/HbA1c+ (FPG &lt;110 mg/dl; HbA1c 6.0%–6.4%); and 4) IFG+/HbA1c+ (FPG 110–125 mg/dl; HbA1c 6.0%–6.4%). The incidences of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and DR were obtained and estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox regression models explored hazard ratios (HRs).

Results: We recruited 8,977 people at risk (metabolic syndrome, 89.9%; atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, 16.9%). The baseline cohort consisted of 1) IFG-/HbA1c- (n = 4,221; 47.0%); 2) IFG+/HbA1c- (n = 1,274; 14.2%); 3) IFG-/HbA1c+ (n = 2,151; 24.0%); and 4) IFG+/HbA1c+ (n = 1,331; 14.8%). Their 5-year T2DM incidences were 16.0%, 26.4%, 30.8%, and 48.5% (p &lt; 0.001). The median DR follow-up was 7.8 years (interquartile range, 7.0–8.4 years). The DR incidences were 0.50, 0.63, 1.44, and 2.68/1,000 person-years (p &lt; 0.001) for IFG-/HbA1c-, IFG+/HbA1c-, IFG-/HbA1c+, and IFG+/HbA1c+, respectively. Compared with IFG-/HbA1c-, the multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CI) for incident diabetes were 1.94 (1.34–2.80), 2.45 (1.83–3.29), and 4.56 (3.39–6.15) for IFG+/HbA1c-, IFG-/HbA1c+, and IFG+/HbA1c+, respectively. As for incident DR, the corresponding HRs were 0.67 (0.08–5.76), 4.74 (1.69–13.31), and 5.46 (1.82–16.39), respectively.

Conclusion: The 5-year incidence of T2DM in Thai high-risk participants with prediabetes was very high. The incidences of diabetes and DR significantly increased with higher degrees of dysglycemia. High-risk people with FPG 110–125 mg/dl and HbA1c 6.0%–6.4% were more likely to develop T2DM and DR. Such individuals should receive priority lifestyle and pharmacological management.

The Association Between the Triglyceride-to-High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Ratio and the Risk of Progression to Diabetes From Prediabetes: A 5-year Cohort Study in Chinese Adults

Objective

Evidence regarding the relationship between the triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-c) ratio and the risk of progression from prediabetes to diabetes remains limited. The purpose of our study was to investigate the relationship between the TG/HDL-C ratio and incident diabetes in prediabetic patients.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study covered 32 regions and 11 cities in China and consecutively and non-selectively collected data from 15,017 patients with prediabetes who had received a health check from 2010 to 2016. Data were obtained from the DATADRYAD database (www.datadryad.org). The Cox proportional-hazards regression model with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting (cubic spline smoothing) was used to explore the non-linear relationship between the baseline TG/HDL-c ratio and the risk of diabetes in patients with prediabetes. In addition, we performed a series of sensitivity and subgroup analyses.

Results

The mean age of the included individuals was 50.95 ± 13.48 years, and 9,745 (64.51%) were men. The median (interquartile range) TG/HDL-c ratio was 1.09 (0.69-1.72). During a median follow-up time of 3.05 years, 1,731 (11.46%) patients had a final diagnosis of diabetes. The analysis after adjusting for covariates showed that the TG/HDL-c ratio was positively related to incident diabetes in patients with prediabetes (HR = 1.111, 95% CI 1.061-1.164). Participants with the highest TG/HDL-c ratio (Q4) had higher diabetes incidence rates than those with the lowest TG/HDL-c ratio (Q1) (P < 0.001 for the trend). There was a non-linear relationship between the TG/HDL-c ratio and the risk of diabetes, and the inflection point of the TG/HDL-c ratio was 1.415. The effect sizes (HR) on the left and right sides of the inflection point were 1.336 (95% CI: 1.134-1.573) and 1.055 (95% CI: 0.988-1.126), respectively. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of these results.

Conclusion

This study demonstrates a positive, non-linear relationship between the TG/HDL-c ratio and the risk of diabetes in Chinese patients with prediabetes. Aggressive intervention from a treatment perspective is required to lower the TG/HDL-c ratio below the inflection point (1.415) by lowering TG or increasing HDL-c levels.

Physical Activity Evaluation Using Activity Trackers for Type 2 Diabetes Prevention in Patients with Prediabetes

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes is a reversible condition, but lifestyle-changing measures, such as increasing physical activity, should be taken. This article explores the use of Fitbit activity trackers to assess physical activity and its impact on prediabetic patient health.

METHODS

Intervention study. In total, 30 volunteers (9 males and 21 females), aged 32-65 years, with impaired glucose levels and without diabetes or moving disorders, received Fitbit Inspire activity trackers and physical activity recommendations. A routine blood check was taken during the first and second visits, and body composition was analyzed. Physical activity variability in time was assessed using a Poincare plot.

RESULTS

The count of steps per day and variability differed between patients and during the research period, but the change in total physical activity was not statistically significant. Significant positive correlations between changes in lipid values, body mass composition, and variability of steps count, distance, and minutes of very active physical activity were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

When assessing physical activity, data doctors should evaluate not just the totals or the medians of the steps count, but also physical activity variability in time. The study shows that most changes were better linked to the physical activity variability than the total count of physical activity.

Fasting plasma glucose level in the range of 90-99 mg/dL and the risk of the onset of type 2 diabetes: Population-based Panasonic cohort study 2

AIM/INTRODUCTION

As the association between a fasting glucose concentration of 90-99 mg/dL and the onset of type 2 diabetes is still controversial, we aimed to assess it in 37,148 Japanese individuals with a normal plasma glucose concentration.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This long-term retrospective cohort study included individuals having a medical checkup at Panasonic Corporation from 2008 to 2018. In total, 1,028 participants developed type 2 diabetes.

RESULTS

Cox regression analyses revealed that the risk for the onset of diabetes increased by 9.0% per 1 mg/dL increase in fasting plasma glucose concentration in subjects with the concentration ranging from 90 to 99 mg/dL. Compared with individuals with a fasting glucose concentration of ≤89 mg/dL, the adjusted hazard ratios for developing diabetes were 1.53 (95% CI; 1.22-1.91), 1.76 (95% CI; 1.41-2.18), 1.89 (95% CI; 1.52-2.35), 3.17 (95% CI; 2.61-3.84), and 3.41 (95% CI; 2.79-4.15) at fasting plasma glucose concentrations of 90-91, 92-93, 94-95, 96-97, and 98-99 mg/dL, respectively. In populations with obesity, the adjusted hazards ratios for developing diabetes were 1.56 (95% CI; 1.15-2.09), 1.82 (95% CI; 1.37-2.40), 2.05 (95% CI; 1.55-2.69), 3.53 (95% CI; 2.79-4.46), and 3.28 (95% CI; 2.53-4.22) at fasting plasma glucose concentrations of 90-91, 92-93, 94-95, 96-97, and 98-99 mg/dL, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that the risk of type 2 diabetes among subjects having a fasting plasma glucose concentration of 90-99 mg/dL, is progressively higher with an increasing level of fasting plasma glucose concentration in a Japanese people.

Lowering of Blood Glucose Levels with the Peptide Mixture Deglusterol in In Vitro and In Vivo Models

This study aimed to investigate the blood glucose-lowering effect of the peptide complex Deglusterol, which was isolated from corn extract, in insulin-resistance models. It was found to inhibit insulin receptor substrate (IRS) Ser302 phosphorylation, known as the insulin resistance mechanism, through the inhibition of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) signaling and the induction of AMP-activated protein kinase phosphorylation. Furthermore, the phosphorylation of IRS Tyr632, phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K), and AKT that is involved in the insulin action mechanism was decreased by TNF-α, whereas Deglusterol increased their phosphorylations, leading to an increase of glucose uptake rate by 190% through glucose transporter type 4 (GLUT4) compared with TNF-α-treated group in C2C12 cells. In addition to insulin signaling activation, Deglusterol treatment resulted in significantly greater mRNA expressions of IRS (190%) and GLUT4 (140%) as well as that of leptin (260%) and adiponectin (140%), which are indicators of insulin sensitivity. In animal models with type 2 diabetes, the blood glucose concentrations in the Deglusterol-administered group were significantly reduced by 50% compared with the control group. Deglusterol suppressed insulin resistance and restored insulin sensitivity, which contributed to lowering blood glucose concentrations in the insulin-resistant models, suggesting its potential as a blood glucose-lowering agent for people at high risk of type 2 diabetes or prediabetes.

Clinical correlates of plasma insulin levels over the life course and association with incident type 2 diabetes: the Framingham Heart Study

INTRODUCTION

Insulin is a glucose-lowering hormone that affects carbohydrate, lipid, and protein metabolism. Limited data exist on the correlates of insulin levels over the life course in healthy community-dwelling individuals.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Using multilevel modeling of multiple serial observations over 21 years, we assessed the longitudinal correlates of fasting insulin and the cross-sectional correlates of fasting and 2-hour (2h, post 75 g glucose challenge) plasma insulin concentrations in 2140 relatively healthy Framingham Heart Study participants without diabetes (61% women; mean age, 42 years). We used multivariable-adjusted Cox regression to relate glycemic markers (fasting and 2h-insulin, fasting glucose, 2h-glucose, and hemoglobin A_1C) to the risk of type 2 diabetes during follow-up.

RESULTS

Over the life course, fasting insulin concentrations were inversely associated with age, male sex, and physical activity, whereas waist circumference, the total/high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol ratio, and blood triglycerides were positively associated with insulin levels (p<0.005 for all). Male sex (inversely related) and the total/HDL cholesterol ratio (positively related) emerged as the most important cross-sectional correlates of 2h-insulin (p<0.005 for all). All markers were associated with higher risk of type 2 diabetes (352 cases, median follow-up 18 years, p<0.001 for all).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed common and distinct correlates of fasting and 2h-insulin levels. Our findings highlight a potential role of insulin in lipid and lipoprotein metabolism. Furthermore, fasting and 2h-insulin are critical markers of future diabetes risk. Further studies are needed to confirm our findings.

Diagnostic Performance of Sex-Specific Modified Metabolite Patterns in Urine for Screening of Prediabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Large-scale prediabetes screening is still a challenge since fasting blood glucose and HbA_1c as the long-standing, recommended analytes have only moderate diagnostic sensitivity, and the practicability of the oral glucose tolerance test for population-based strategies is limited. To tackle this issue and to identify reliable diagnostic patterns, we developed an innovative metabolomics-based strategy deviating from common concepts by employing urine instead of blood samples, searching for sex-specific biomarkers, and focusing on modified metabolites.

METHODS

Non-targeted, modification group-assisted metabolomics by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) was applied to second morning urine samples of 340 individuals from a prediabetes cohort. Normal (n = 208) and impaired glucose-tolerant (IGT; n = 132) individuals, matched for age and BMI, were randomly divided in discovery and validation cohorts. ReliefF, a feature selection algorithm, was used to extract sex-specific diagnostic patterns of modified metabolites for the detection of IGT. The diagnostic performance was compared with conventional screening parameters fasting plasma glucose (FPG), HbA_1c, and fasting insulin.

RESULTS

Female- and male-specific diagnostic patterns were identified in urine. Only three biomarkers were identical in both. The patterns showed better AUC and diagnostic sensitivity for prediabetes screening of IGT than FPG, HbA_1c, insulin, or a combination of FPG and HbA_1c. The AUC of the male-specific pattern in the validation cohort was 0.889 with a diagnostic sensitivity of 92.6% and increased to an AUC of 0.977 in combination with HbA_1c. In comparison, the AUCs of FPG, HbA_1c, and insulin alone reached 0.573, 0.668, and 0.571, respectively. Validation of the diagnostic pattern of female subjects showed an AUC of 0.722, which still exceeded the AUCs of FPG, HbA_1c, and insulin (0.595, 0.604, and 0.634, respectively). Modified metabolites in the urinary patterns include advanced glycation end products (pentosidine-glucuronide and glutamyl-lysine-sulfate) and microbiota-associated compounds (indoxyl sulfate and dihydroxyphenyl-gamma-valerolactone-glucuronide).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Our results demonstrate that the sex-specific search for diagnostic metabolite biomarkers can be superior to common metabolomics strategies. The diagnostic performance for IGT detection was significantly better than routinely applied blood parameters. Together with recently developed fully automatic LC-MS systems, this opens up future perspectives for the application of sex-specific diagnostic patterns for prediabetes screening in urine.

Effect of the interaction between physical activity and estimated macronutrient intake on HbA1c: population-based cross-sectional and longitudinal studies

INTRODUCTION

Healthy diet and physical activity (PA) are essential for preventing type 2 diabetes, particularly, a combination of diet and PA. However, reports on interaction between PA and diet, especially from large epidemiological studies, are limited. We investigated the effect of interaction between PA and macronutrient intake on hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels in the general population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study of 55 469 men and women without diabetes who participated in the baseline survey of the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study. A self-administered questionnaire ascertained PA and macronutrient intake (carbohydrate, fat, and protein). Multiple linear regression analyses were performed to adjust for confounding variables and examine the interactions. In addition, we conducted a longitudinal study during a 5-year period within a subcohort (n=6881) with accelerometer-assessed PA data.

RESULTS

Overall, PA had a weak inverse association (β=-0.00033, p=0.049) and carbohydrate intake had a strong positive association (β=0.00393, p<0.001) with HbA1c. We observed a tendency of interactions between PA and carbohydrate or fat intake, but not protein intake, on HbA1c levels after adjusting for age, sex, study area, total energy intake, alcohol consumption, smoking, and medication for hypertension or hypercholesterolemia (Pinteraction=0.054, 0.006, and 0.156, respectively). The inverse associations between PA and HbA1c level were more evident in participants with high-carbohydrate (or low-fat) intake than in participants with low-carbohydrate (or high-fat) intake. Although further adjustment for body mass index slightly attenuated the above interactions (Pinteraction=0.098 for carbohydrate and 0.068 for fat), the associations between PA and HbA1c level in stratified analyses remained unchanged. Similar associations and interactions were reproduced in the longitudinal study.

CONCLUSIONS

The present results suggest that the effect of PA on HbA1c levels is modified by intake of macronutrient composition.

Influence of the Triglyceride-Glucose Index on Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events in Prediabetic Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease and insulin resistance are closely related. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is frequently used as an indicator of insulin resistance. However, there is scant information on the TyG index in the prediabetic population, nor is the prognostic significance of the index known for prediabetes and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients.

METHODS

The clinical endpoint was a major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular event (MACCEs), including cardiac-related death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, ischemia-driven revascularization, and stroke. The TyG index was calculated as = ln [(triglyceride level, mg/dL) × (glucose level, mg/dL)÷2] under fasting conditions.

RESULTS

The study included 2,030 prediabetic patients with ACS. Patients were followed up for 2.5 years, during which the total incidence of MACCEs was 12%. After adjustment for covariates, the TyG index was found to be predictive of prediabetes with ACS (HR 4.942, 95%CI: 3.432-6.115, P<0.001). Using propensity score matching, 574 pairs were successfully matched, and the two groups were analyzed in terms of survival. This showed that there was a significantly greater incidence of MACCEs in patients with high TyG indices (HR 3.526, 95%CI: 2.618-4.749, P<0.001), mainly due to ischemia-driven revascularization and stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

The TyG index independently predicts future MACCEs and may be an important prognostic indicator for patients with prediabetes and ACS.

Clinical Significance of Lifetime Maximum Body Mass Index in Predicting the Development of T2DM: A Prospective Study in Beijing

BACKGROUND

Overweight and obesity are well-known risk factors for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The effect of the maximum body mass index (BMImax), which indicates the highest body weight before the diagnosis of T2DM, is not fully understood. This study aimed to explore the predictive value of BMImax in the progression of diabetes.

METHODS

This prospective study recruited 2018 subjects with normal glucose tolerance in Beijing, China. The subjects were followed up for eight years, and the association between BMImax and glucose outcomes was evaluated.

RESULTS

Ninety-seven of the 2,018 participants developed diabetes by the end of the study. Compared to individuals with normal glucose tolerance, those who developed diabetes were characterized by higher levels of fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2 h postload glucose (PBG), glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA_1c), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), a higher prevalence of a familial history of diabetes and a lower level of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c). Multivariate regression analysis of sex-stratified groups suggested that FPG, HbA_1c, SBP and familial history of diabetes were independent risk factors for diabetes, but that BMImax was a unique indicator for female patients.

CONCLUSIONS

BMImax might be an independent predictor of T2DM in females, but it does not seem to be associated with the risk of diabetes in males. BMImax could be regarded as an indicator in the prevention and management of diabetes.

The association between the reduction of body weight and new-onset type 2 diabetes remission in middle-aged Japanese men: Population-based Panasonic cohort study 8

AIM

This study aimed to investigate the association between change in body weight (BW) and type 2 diabetes remission in Japanese men with new-onset type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

This study enrolled 1,903 patients with new-onset type 2 diabetes between 2008 and 2013 from a medical health checkup program conducted by the Panasonic Corporation, Osaka, Japan. The baseline was defined as the year of new-onset diabetes. We assessed the type 2 diabetes remission five years after baseline and the association between the change in BW and type 2 diabetes remission using logistic regression analyses. To evaluate the predictive performance of the change in BW, we employed the receiver operating characteristic curves and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The BW loss was associated with type 2 diabetes remission in the participants with a BMI ≥25 kg/m² but not in the participants with a BMI <25 kg/m². The odds ratios were 1.96 (95% CI: 1.19-3.29) and 3.72 (95% CI: 2.14-6.59) in the participants with a loss of 5-9.9% and loss of ≥10% for five years, respectively, in the participants with a BMI ≥25 kg/m² (reference; stable group [0.9% gain to 0.9% loss]). The AUC and cut-off values for the rate of change in BW for type 2 diabetes remission were 0.59 and 5.0%.

DISCUSSION

Body weight loss of ≥5% effectively achieved diabetes remission in Japanese men with a BMI ≥25 kg/m² and new-onset type 2 diabetes.

Hemoglobin A1c in combination with fasting plasma glucose trumps fasting plasma glucose alone as predictive indicators for diabetes mellitus: an ambidirectional cohort study of Thai people with impaired fasting glucose

INTRODUCTION

This ambidirectional cohort study aimed to assess the performance of combining hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) to fasting plasma glucose (FPG) for estimation of progression rate to diabetes mellitus (DM) and to explore the risk factors of DM in patients with impaired fasting glucose (IFG).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Patients with IFG were eligible for this study. IFG was defined as FPG of 100-125 mg/dL. Progression rates to DM were estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Risk factors of DM were explored by Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

3011 patients were enrolled with median follow-up time of 8 years (range: 6 months-29 years). Progression rates to DM in patients with FPG 100-109 mg/dL and 110-125 mg/dL were 2.64 and 4.79 per 100 person-years. After adjusting covariables, compared with patients with FPG 100-109 mg/dL plus normal HbA1c (<5.7%), hazard ratios (95% CI) of patients with FPG 110-125 plus normal HbA1c, FBG 100-109 plus abnormal HbA1c (5.7%-6.49%), and FPG 110-125 plus abnormal HbA1c were 5.89 (2.37 to 14.63), 16.30 (8.59 to 30.92), and 33.84 (16.41 to 69.78), respectively. Body mass index ≥27.5 kg/m², serum triglyceride level ≥150 mg/dL, family history of DM, and low level of high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol were independently associated with risk of DM in patients with IFG.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with both IFG and abnormal HbA1c had higher risk of DM than patients with IFG alone. Therefore, performing HbA1c in combination with FPG helps to identify subgroups of people with IFG at highest risk of DM. These patients should have the highest priority in diabetes prevention programs, especially in countries with low and limited resources.

Machine Learning Refutes Loss of Smell as a Risk Indicator of Diabetes Mellitus

Because it is associated with central nervous changes, and olfactory dysfunction has been reported with increased prevalence among persons with diabetes, this study addressed the question of whether the risk of developing diabetes in the next 10 years is reflected in olfactory symptoms. In a cross-sectional study, in 164 individuals seeking medical consulting for possible diabetes, olfactory function was evaluated using a standardized clinical test assessing olfactory threshold, odor discrimination, and odor identification. Metabolomics parameters were assessed via blood concentrations. The individual diabetes risk was quantified according to the validated German version of the “FINDRISK” diabetes risk score. Machine learning algorithms trained with metabolomics patterns predicted low or high diabetes risk with a balanced accuracy of 63–75%. Similarly, olfactory subtest results predicted the olfactory dysfunction category with a balanced accuracy of 85–94%, occasionally reaching 100%. However, olfactory subtest results failed to improve the prediction of diabetes risk based on metabolomics data, and metabolomics data did not improve the prediction of the olfactory dysfunction category based on olfactory subtest results. Results of the present study suggest that olfactory function is not a useful predictor of diabetes.

Fatty liver index as a predictive marker for the development of diabetes: A retrospective cohort study using Japanese health check-up data

Background & aims

Fatty liver is associated with incident diabetes, and the fatty liver index (FLI) is a surrogate marker for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to determine whether or not FLI was associated with incident diabetes in relation to obesity and prediabetic levels in the general Japanese population.

Methods

This was a retrospective study using the Japanese health check-up database of one health insurance from FY2015 to FY2018. This study included 28,991 individuals with prediabetes. First, we stratified all participants into two groups: “high-risk,” comprising patients with HbA1c >6.0%, and “standard,” comprising the rest. Subsequently, we divided them into four groups according to FLI (<30 or not) and obesity (BMI <25 kg/m² or not). Subsequently, the incidence rate of diabetes was compared among the groups after 3 years of follow-up using multiple logistic regression models after adjusting for potential confounders.

Results

After 3 years of follow-up, 1,547 new cases of diabetes were found, and the cumulative incidence was 2.96% for the standard group and 26.1% for the high-risk group. In non-obese individuals, odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for FLI ≥30 versus FLI <30 were: 1.44 (1.09–1.92) for the standard group and 1.42 (0.99–2.03) for the high-risk group. In the high-risk group, obesity (BMI ≥25 kg/m²) but FLI <30 was not a risk factor for developing diabetes.

Conclusion

Although high FLI is generally considered to be a risk factor for developing diabetes, obesity might have been a confounding factor. However, the present study showed that high FLI is a risk factor for the development of diabetes, even in non-obese individuals. Our results include suggestion to develop a screening tool to effectively identify people at high risk of developing diabetes from the population (especially non-obese prediabetes) who are apparently at low health risk and are unlikely to be targeted for health guidance.

Russian Society for the Prevention of Noncommunicable Diseases (ROPNIZ). Alimentary-dependent risk factors for chronic non-communicable diseases and eating habits: dietary correction within the framework of preventive counseling. Methodological Guidelines

The methodological guidelines are developed as a practical document for medical specialists working in the field of preventive medicine, in order to expand and improve the provision of this type of medical service to the adult population. The methodological guidelines include an informational and informative part for medical specialists and a practical part for patients, presented in the format of memos, contain the main sections-healthy nutrition, correction of eating habits, issues of modifying the diet for the main alimentary-dependent risk factors for chronic non-communicable diseases, such as arterial hypertension, obesity, disorders of lipid, carbohydrate and purine metabolism, a decrease in bone mineral density. They are intended for medical specialists working in the field of prevention, for doctors and secondary medical personnel of offices and departments of medical prevention, public health and medical prevention centers, healthy lifestyle specialists, teachers of medical educational institutions, for specialists who develop and implement educational programs for patients, as well as for medical specialists of a therapeutic profile.

QSAR analysis of sodium glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors for anti-hyperglycaemic lead development

QSAR (Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship) modelling was performed on a dataset of 90 sodium-dependent glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors. The quantitative and explicative evaluations revealed some of the subtle and distinguished structural features that are responsible for the inhibitory potency of these compounds against SGLT2, such as less possible number of ring carbons at 8 Å from the lipophilic atoms in the molecule (fringClipo8A) and more possible value for the sum of the partial charges of the lipophilic atoms present within seven bonds from the donor atoms (lipo_don_7Bc). Multivariate GA-MLR (genetic algorithm-multi linear regression) and thorough validation methodology out-turned a statistically robust QSAR model with a very high predictability shown from various statistical parameters. A QSAR model with r² = 0.83, F = 51.54, Q²_LOO = 0.79, Q²_LMO = 0.79, CCC_cv = 0.88, Q²Fⁿ = 0.76-0.81, r²_ext = 0.77, CCC_ext = 0.85, and with RMSE_tr < RMSE_cv was proposed. This QSAR model will assist synthetic chemists in the development of the SGLT2 inhibitors as the antidiabetic leads.

Classifying and communicating risks in prediabetes according to fasting glucose and/or glycated hemoglobin: PREDAPS cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Information about prognostic outcomes can be of great help for people with prediabetes and for physicians in the face of scientific controversy about the cutoff point for defining prediabetes. We aimed to estimate different prognostic outcomes in people with prediabetes.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort of subjects with prediabetes according to American Diabetes Association guidelines.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The probabilities of diabetes onset versus non-onset, the odds against diabetes onset, and the probability of reverting to normoglycemia according to different prediabetes categories were calculated.

RESULTS

The odds against diabetes onset ranged from 29:1 in individuals with isolated FPG of 100-109 mg/dL to 1:1 in individuals with FPG 110-125 mg/dL plus HbA1c 6.0-6.4%. The probability of reversion to normoglycemia was 31.2% (95% CI 24.0-39.6) in those with isolated FPG 100-109 mg/dL and 6.2% (95% CI 1.4-10.0) in those with FPG 110-125 mg/dL plus HbA1c 6.0-6.4%. Of every 100 participants in the first group, 97 did not develop diabetes and 31 reverted to normoglycemia, while in the second group those figures were 52 and 6.

CONCLUSIONS

Using odds of probabilities and absolute numbers might be useful for people with prediabetes and physicians to share decisions on potential interventions.Key pointsCommunicating knowledge on the course of the disease to make clinical decisions is not always done appropriately.Prediabetes is an example where risk communication is important because the prognosis of subjects with prediabetes is very heterogeneous.Depending on fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c levels, the odds of probabilities against diabetes onset ranged from 29: 1 to 1: 1.Depending on fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c levels, the number of subjects in 100 who revert to normoglycemia ranged from 31 to 6.Using probabilities and number absolutes on the prognosis of prediabetes may be useful for people with prediabetes and physicians to share decisions on potential interventions.

Prevalence and Risk Factors of Prediabetes in Young Saudi Females in a University Setting

Background

Studies reporting prediabetes prevalence in young Saudis are almost a decade old. The present study determined prediabetes prevalence and its associated risk factors (body composition, lipid profile, blood pressure and physical activity) in young Saudi females.

Methods

Three hundred Saudi females (18–20 years old), studying in year 2 and 3 at Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, were categorized as normoglycemic or prediabetic based on fasting plasma glucose criteria of World Health Organization (WHO) and American Diabetes Association (ADA). Anthropometric measurements, lipid profile, atherogenic indices, and physical activity data were compared. Association between fasting blood glucose and study variables was found by Bivariate analysis (Spearman Correlation for non-parametric variables and Pearson correlation for parametric) followed by Binary Logistic Regression analysis.

Results

Prevalence of prediabetes by WHO and ADA criteria were 11.3% and 18.7% respectively. Systolic, diastolic and mean arterial pressures, waist circumference, waist-hip and waist-stature-ratios were significantly raised in prediabetics compared to normoglycemic (WHO criteria p-values; 0.03, 0.003, 0.005, 0.01, 0.01, 0.04 respectively; ADA criteria 0.04, 0.001, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.01 respectively). For each unit increase in systolic, diastolic and mean arterial pressures, and waist circumference, the odds of becoming prediabetic increased by a factor of 1.02, 1.05, 1.04 and 1.03 respectively by WHO criteria: and 1.01, 1.03, 1.02, and 1.02 respectively by ADA criteria

Conclusion

Substantial numbers of young females in our university are suffering from prediabetes. An increase in systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial pressures and waist circumference are significant risk factors for prediabetes in young females.

Role of Nutrition Counseling and Lifestyle Modification in Managing Prediabetes

OBJECTIVE

India is the second country after China having the highest population prevalence of diabetes. Several research studies investigating diabetes have been done, but not much work has been done on prediabetes. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of nutrition and lifestyle modification on prediabetic females.

METHODS

A total of 120 prediabetic females from Ludhiana city were divided into 2 matched groups: control group (n = 60) and experimental group (n = 60). Impact of nutrition intervention for dietary and lifestyle modification (for 3 months) was assessed on the anthropometric, dietary, biochemical parameters, and diabetes risk score of the experimental group and control group (no intervention).

RESULTS

All the selected 120 subjects completed the study (experimental group = 60; control group = 60). There was significant difference in the changes between the 2 groups throughout the study. The fasting blood glucose and glycated hemoglobin A1c levels of the experimental group subjects reduced significantly (P ≤ .01). However, no change was observed among the control group subjects. The lipid profile of the experimental group showed a significant improvement (P ≤ .01).

CONCLUSION

Nutrition counselling of the prediabetics regarding dietary and lifestyle modification is recommended so as to improve their metabolic control, thus preventing them from being diabetics.

Phenotyping the Prediabetic Population-A Closer Look at Intermediate Glucose Status and Cardiovascular Disease

Even though the new thresholds for defining prediabetes have been around for more than ten years, there is still controversy surrounding the precise characterization of this intermediate glucose metabolism status. The risk of developing diabetes and macro and microvascular disease linked to prediabetes is well known. Still, the prediabetic population is far from being homogenous, and phenotyping it into less heterogeneous groups might prove useful for long-term risk assessment, follow-up, and primary prevention. Unfortunately, the current definition of prediabetes is quite rigid and disregards the underlying pathophysiologic mechanisms and their potential metabolic progression towards overt disease. In addition, prediabetes is commonly associated with a cluster of risk factors that worsen the prognosis. These risk factors all revolve around a common denominator: inflammation. This review focuses on identifying the population that needs to be screened for prediabetes and the already declared prediabetic patients who are at a higher risk of cardiovascular disease and require closer monitoring.

Prediabetic Patient Outcomes 8 to 15 Years After Drug-Eluting Coronary Stenting

Guidelines suggest differential management of diabetics and nondiabetics with coronary artery disease (CAD) referred for revascularization, but pre-diabetics, who now comprise up to 20% to 30% of CAD patients, have been excluded from the diabetic group. To address this, we studied long-term cardiac outcomes in 1,323 consecutively drug-eluting stent (DES)-stented patients from prespecified local zip codes, dividing patients into normal-glycemic patients, prediabetics and diabetics, based upon conventional definitions. Patient age was 63±11 years, 65.5% male, mean baseline SYNTAX score of 10.2±6.8 and residual SYNTAX score=3.0±4.6. Only 2.9% of patients were lost to follow up at 10 years. Duration of follow up for alive patients was 124±33 mos. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) by Kaplan Meier (KM) was similar for normal glycemics and prediabetics (42.9±2.5% vs 38.6±3.1% at 10 years, p=0.35), whereas that for diabetics was worse (56.7±2.6% at 10 years, p<0.001 vs prediabetics). KM cardiac death rates at 10 years were 14.2±1.8%, 16.0±2.4% and 31.2±2.3% for normal glycemics, prediabetics, and diabetics, respectively (p=0.34 and p<0.001 [covariate adjusted p=0.018] for prediabetics versus normal glycemics and versus diabetics, respectively). We found that prediabetics have long-term post-DES outcomes far more similar to those of normal-glycemic patients than diabetics.

Influence of Serum Albumin on HbA1c and HbA1c-Defined Glycemic Status: A Retrospective Study

Background: Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is commonly used in the diagnosis and evaluation of glycemic control in diabetes, and it may be influenced by several non-glycemic and glycemic factors, including albumin. This retrospective study investigated the influence of albumin on HbA1c and HbA1c-defined glycemic status. Methods: The demographic, hematological, and biochemical data were collected for 11,922 patients undergoing routine physical examination. Univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses, stratified analyses and interaction analyses, and multiple logistic regression were conducted to identify the association between albumin and HbA1c in people with different glycemic status. Results: HbA1c levels were inversely associated with serum albumin level (P < 0.0001) in all participants. Risk factors leading to the association included age > 45 years, high fasting plasma glucose (≥7.0 mmol/L), and anemia. The negative association between HbA1c and albumin was curved (P < 0.0001) and had a threshold effect in the HbA1c-defined diabetic population; the association was significantly stronger when the albumin level fell below 41.4 g/L (β: -0.31, 95% CI: -0.45 to -0.17, P < 0.0001). A 2 g/L increase in albumin reduced the odds of HbA1c-defined dysglycemia, diabetes, and poor glycemia control by 12% to 36%, after adjustment for all possible confounders. Conclusions: HbA1c was inversely associated with albumin level in all participants, and the association was significantly stronger in people with diabetes (defined by HbA1c criteria). For diabetic patients with lower albumin level, there was an increased risk of an erroneous HbA1c-based identification and management of glycemic status.

Current trends in diabetes mellitus database research in Japan

With the widespread use of electronic medical records and administrative claims databases, analytic results from so-called real-world data have become increasingly important in healthcare decision-making. Diabetes mellitus is a heterogeneous condition that involves a broad spectrum of patients. Real-world database studies have been recognised as a powerful tool to understand the impact of current practices on clinical courses and outcomes, such as long-term glucose control, development of microvascular or macro-vascular diseases, and mortality. Diabetes is also a major global health issue and poses a significant social and economic burden worldwide. Therefore, it is critical to understand the epidemiology, clinical course, treatment reality, and long-term outcomes of diabetes to determine realistic solutions to a variety of disease-related issues that we are facing. In the present review, we summarise the healthcare system and large-scale databases currently available in Japan, introduce the results from recent database studies involving Japanese patients with diabetes, and discuss future opportunities and challenges for the use of databases in the management of diabetes.

Risk of Progression to Diabetes Among Older Adults With Prediabetes

IMPORTANCE

The term prediabetes is used to identify individuals at increased risk for diabetes. However, the natural history of prediabetes in older age is not well characterized.

OBJECTIVES

To compare different prediabetes definitions and characterize the risks of prediabetes and diabetes among older adults in a community-based setting.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In this prospective cohort analysis of 3412 older adults without diabetes from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (baseline, 2011-2013), participants were contacted semiannually through December 31, 2017, and attended a follow-up visit between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2017 (median [range] follow-up, 5.0 [0.1-6.5] years).

EXPOSURES

Prediabetes defined by a glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level of 5.7% to 6.4%, impaired fasting glucose (IFG) level (FG level of 100-125 mg/dL), either, or both.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Incident total diabetes (physician diagnosis, glucose-lowering medication use, HbA1c level ≥6.5%, or FG level ≥126 mg/dL).

RESULTS

A total of 3412 participants without diabetes (mean [SD] age, 75.6 [5.2] years; 2040 [60%] female; and 572 [17%] Black) attended visit 5 (2011-2013, baseline). Of the 3412 participants at baseline, a total of 2497 participants attended the follow-up visit or died. During the 6.5-year follow-up period, there were 156 incident total diabetes cases (118 diagnosed) and 434 deaths. A total of 1490 participants (44%) had HbA1c levels of 5.7% to 6.4%, 1996 (59%) had IFG, 2482 (73%) met the HbA1c or IFG criteria, and 1004 (29%) met both the HbA1c and IFG criteria. Among participants with HbA1c levels of 5.7% to 6.4% at baseline, 97 (9%) progressed to diabetes, 148 (13%) regressed to normoglycemia (HbA1c, <5.7%), and 207 (19%) died. Of those with IFG at baseline, 112 (8%) progressed to diabetes, 647 (44%) regressed to normoglycemia (FG, <100 mg/dL), and 236 (16%) died. Of those with baseline HbA1c levels less than 5.7%, 239 (17%) progressed to HbA1c levels of 5.7% to 6.4% and 41 (3%) developed diabetes. Of those with baseline FG levels less than 100 mg/dL, 80 (8%) progressed to IFG (FG, 100-125 mg/dL) and 26 (3%) developed diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this community-based cohort study of older adults, the prevalence of prediabetes was high; however, during the study period, regression to normoglycemia or death was more frequent than progression to diabetes. These findings suggest that prediabetes may not be a robust diagnostic entity in older age.

Low-Frequency Genetic Variant in the Hepatic Glucokinase Gene Is Associated With Type 2 Diabetes and Insulin Resistance in Chinese Population

Glucokinase (GCK) regulates insulin secretion and hepatic glucose metabolism, and its inactivating variants could cause diabetes. We aimed to evaluate the association of a low-frequency variant of GCK (rs13306393) with type 2 diabetes (T2D), prediabetes, or both (impaired glucose regulation [IGR]) in a Chinese population. An association study was first conducted in a random cluster sampling population (sample 1: 537 T2D, 768 prediabetes, and 1,912 control), and then another independent population (sample 2: 3,896 T2D, 2,301 prediabetes, and 868 control) was used to confirm the findings in sample 1. The A allele of rs13306393 was associated with T2D (odds ratio 3.08 [95% CI 1.77-5.36], P = 0.00007) in sample 1; rs13306393 was also associated with prediabetes (1.67 [1.05-2.65], P = 0.03) in sample 2. In a pooled analysis of the two samples, the A allele increased the risk of T2D (1.57 [1.15-2.15], P = 0.005), prediabetes (1.83 [1.33-2.54], P = 0.0003) or IGR (1.68 [1.26-2.25], P = 0.0004), insulin resistance estimated by HOMA (β = 0.043, P = 0.001), HbA_1c (β = 0.029, P = 0.029), and urinary albumin excretion (β = 0.033, P = 0.025), irrespective of age, sex, and BMI. Thus, the Chinese-specific low-frequency variant increased the risk of T2D through reducing insulin sensitivity rather than islet β-cell function, which should be considered in the clinical use of GCK activators in the future.

Use of glycated albumin for the identification of diabetes in subjects from northeast China

BACKGROUND

Metabolic memory is important for the diagnosis and treatment of diabetes in the early stage, and in maintaining blood glucose concentrations within the normal range. The clinical diagnosis of diabetes mellitus is currently made using fasting plasma glucose, 2 h-plasma glucose (2h-PG) during a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test, and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level. However, the fasting plasma glucose test requires fasting, which is a barrier to screening, and reproducibility of the 2h-PG level is poor. HbA1c is affected by a shortened red blood cell lifespan. In patients with anemia and hemoglobinopathies, the measured HbA1c levels may be inaccurate. Compared with HbA1c, glycated albumin (GA) is characterized by more rapid and greater changes, and can be used to diagnose new-onset diabetes especially if urgent early treatment is required, for example in gestational diabetes. In this study, we provided cutoff values for GA and evaluated its utility as a screening and diagnostic tool for diabetes in a large high-risk group study.

AIM

To evaluate the utility of GA in identifying subjects with diabetes in northeast China, and to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the proposed GA cutoff in the diagnosis of diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 1935 subjects, with suspected diabetes or in high-risk groups, from 2014 to 2015 in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University (Harbin, China). The use of GA to identify diabetes was investigated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The GA cutoffs were derived from different 2h-PG values with hemoglobin A1c cutoffs used as a calibration curve.

RESULTS

The GA cutoff for the diagnosis of diabetes mellitus was 15.15% from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. ROC analysis demonstrated that GA was an efficient marker for detecting diabetes, with an AUC of 90.3%.

CONCLUSION

Our study supports the use of GA as a biomarker for the diagnosis of diabetes.

Status and disparities of diabetes among urban and rural residents aged 40 years and older: insight from a population-based study in northeast China, 2017-2019

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the up-to-date epidemiology of diabetes in northeast China.

METHODS

The cross-sectional study was conducted between September 2017 and March 2019 using a multistage, stratified and cluster random sampling method. 18 796 participants (28.9% urban and 71.1% rural) aged ≥40 years were enrolled. Diabetes and pre-diabetes were diagnosed according to the history, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and glycosylated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels.

RESULTS

The prevalence of diabetes was 17.1%, higher in urban than in rural residents (20.2% vs 15.8%, p<0.001). Meanwhile, the prevalence of pre-diabetes was 44.3%, higher in rural than in urban areas (49.4% vs 31.8%, p<0.001). The overall FPG and HbA1c were 6.10±1.94 mmol/L and 5.59%±1.08%. The FPG level was higher in rural area than in urban areas (6.15±1.83 mmol/L vs 5.97±2.18 mmol/L, p<0.001). Among participants with diabetes, 47.5% were aware of their diabetes condition; 39.5% were taking antidiabetic medications and 36.8% of people had their diabetes controlled. The awareness and treatment rates in rural areas were lower than those in urban areas (47.3% vs 57.5%, 34.4% vs 49.5%, p<0.001). Patients with diabetic, especially those in rural areas, tended to have multiple risk factors including hypertension (71.7%), overweight or obesity (69.6%) and dyslipidaemia (52.8%).

CONCLUSION

A considerable burden of diabetes was observed in northeast China, with high percentage of untreated diabetes, high prevalence of pre-diabetes, high overall FPG level and multiple uncontrolled risk factors in patients with diabetics. Therefore, region-specific strategies on prevention and management of diabetes should be emphasised.

Prognostic Significance of HbA1c Level in Asian Patients with Prediabetes and Coronary Artery Disease

Background: Measuring glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is a simple way to assess patients with prediabetes ordiabetes mellitus. It has been shown that HbA1c level predicts prognosis in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD)and the incidence of diabetes mellitus. However, the prognostic significance of HbA1c level in Asian patients withprediabetes and CAD is not yet clear. Our study aimed to determine the relationship between HbA1c level and majoradverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with prediabetes and CAD.Methods: We enrolled 1367 patients with prediabetes and CAD in the final analysis, and grouped them according tothe HbA1c level. Primary end points included nonfatal myocardial infarction, hospitalization for unstable angina, andischemia-driven revascularization. Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis was used to determine the relationshipbetween HbA1c level and MACE after our accounting for confounding factors.Results: A total of 1367 patients (age 58.8 ± 10.3 years; 71.6% men) were included. During 43 months of follow-up,197 patients experienced at least one primary end point event. Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression analysisshowed in comparison of HbA1c levels that the hazard ratio for primary end points was 4.110, with a 95% confidence interval of 2.097–6.011 (P < 0.001).Conclusions: HbA1c level positively correlated with MACE, demonstrating it is a valuable indicator for independentlypredicting MACE in Asian patients with prediabetes and CAD.

Prevalence of prediabetes, and diabetes in Chandigarh and Panchkula region based on glycated haemoglobin and Indian diabetes risk score

There is a rapid increase in the prevalence of diabetes in India. We wanted to review the status of prediabetes and diabetes in the combined population of Chandigarh and Panchkula region based on both Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) and Glycated Haemoglobin (HbA1c). A total of 1215 subjects were recruited during the screening process, out of which 444 i subjects have been analysed for the current study on the basis of high risk for IDRS (≥60) and their known diabetes status. This study included 431 subjects having high risk for IDRS (≥60) and 13 known subjects with diabetes (IDRS < 60) which were further analysed for biochemical and anthropometric parameters. The prevalence of diabetes was found to be 12.67% and prediabetes 11.69% in the combined population of Chandigarh and Panchkula. There was an increased level of fasting blood glucose (183.12 ± 68.61), postprandial blood glucose (262.57 ± 96.92), triglyceride (193.84 ± 119.88), very low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) (34.87 ± 15.42) and High Density Lipoprotein(HDL) (4.61 ± 1.39) in the said diabetes population. Mean HDL was found to be decreased in subjects having diabetes. Glucose-induced lipid intolerance study revealed significant alteration in triglyceride, HDL and VLDL. The study has revealed that high prevalence of diabetes in the sampled population when compared with the national average of 8.8%.

Lifetime risk to progress from pre-diabetes to type 2 diabetes among women and men: comparison between American Diabetes Association and World Health Organization diagnostic criteria

INTRODUCTION

Pre-diabetes, a status conferring high risk of overt diabetes, is defined differently by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) and the WHO. We investigated the impact of applying definitions of pre-diabetes on lifetime risk of diabetes in women and men from the general population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used data from 8844 women without diabetes and men aged ≥45 years from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study in the Netherlands. In both gender groups, we calculated pre-diabetes prevalence according to ADA and WHO criteria and estimated the 10-year and lifetime risk to progress to overt diabetes with adjustment for competing risk of death.

RESULTS

Out of 8844 individuals, pre-diabetes was identified in 3492 individuals (prevalence 40%, 95% CI 38% to 41%) according to ADA and 1382 individuals (prevalence 16%, 95% CI 15% to 16%) according to WHO criteria. In both women and men and each age category, ADA prevalence estimates doubled WHO-defined pre-diabetes. For women and men aged 45 years having ADA-defined pre-diabetes, the 10-year risk of diabetes was 14.2% (95% CI 6.0% to 22.5%) and 9.2% (95% CI 3.4% to 15.0%) compared with 23.2% (95% CI 6.8% to 39.6%) and 24.6% (95% CI 8.4% to 40.8%) in women and men with WHO-defined pre-diabetes. At age 45 years, the remaining lifetime risk to progress to overt diabetes was 57.5% (95% CI 51.8% to 63.2%) vs 80.2% (95% CI 74.1% to 86.3%) in women and 46.1% (95% CI 40.8% to 51.4%) vs 68.4% (95% CI 58.3% to 78.5%) in men with pre-diabetes according to ADA and WHO definitions, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Prevalence of pre-diabetes differed considerably in both women and men when applying ADA and WHO pre-diabetes definitions. Women with pre-diabetes had higher lifetime risk to progress to diabetes. The lifetime risk of diabetes was lower in women and men with ADA-defined pre-diabetes as compared with WHO. Improvement of pre-diabetes definition considering appropriate sex-specific and age-specific glycemic thresholds may lead to better identification of individuals at high risk of diabetes.

Safety and Efficacy of Pitavastatin in Patients With Impaired Fasting Glucose and Hyperlipidemia: A Randomized, Open-labeled, Multicentered, Phase IV Study

PURPOSE

Although the role of high-intensity lipid-lowering therapy in cardiovascular protection has broadened, concerns still exist about new-onset diabetes mellitus (NODM), especially in vulnerable patients. This study aimed to compare the effect of high-dose (4 mg/d) and usual dose (2 mg/d) pitavastatin on glucose metabolism in patients with hyperlipidemia and impaired fasting glucose (IFG).

METHODS

In this 12-month study, glucose tolerance and lipid-lowering efficacy of high-dose pitavastatin (4 mg [study group]) was compared with that of usual dose pitavastatin (2 mg [control group]) in patients with hyperlipidemia and IFG. The primary end point was the change of glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA_1c) after 24 weeks of treatment. The secondary end points were as follows: (1) NODM within 1 year after treatment, (2) change of lipid parameters, (3) changes of adiponectin, and (4) change of blood glucose and insulin levels.

FINDINGS

Of the total 417 patients screened, 313 patients with hypercholesterolemia and IFG were randomly assigned into groups. The mean (SD) change in HbA_1c was 0.06% (0.20%) in the study group and 0.03% (0.22%) in the control group (P = 0.27). Within 1 year, 27 patients (12.3%) developed NODM, including 12 (10.6%) of 113 patients in the study group and 15 (14.2%) of 106 in the control group (P = 0.43). The study group had a significantly higher reduction of total cholesterol and LDL-C levels and a higher increase in apolipoprotein A1/apolipoprotein B ratio (0.68 [0.40] vs 0.51 [0.35], P < 0.01).

IMPLICATIONS

The high-dose pitavastatin therapy did not aggravate glucose metabolism compared with the usual dose therapy. Moreover, it had a better effect on cholesterol-lowering and apolipoprotein distribution in the patients with hyperlipidemia and IFG.