Causal Inference in Cancer Epidemiology: What Is the Role of Mendelian Randomization?

Proteome-Wide Multicenter Mendelian Randomization Analysis to Identify Novel Therapeutic Targets for Lung Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Lung cancer (LC) remains a leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide, underscoring the urgent need for novel therapeutic targets. The integration of Mendelian randomization (MR) with proteomic data presents a novel approach to identifying potential targets for LC treatment.

METHODS

This study utilized a proteome-wide MR analysis, leveraging publicly available data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and protein quantitative trait loci (pQTL) studies. We analyzed genetic association data for LC from the TRICL-ILCCO Consortium and proteomic data from the Decode cohort. The MR framework was employed to estimate the causal effects of specific proteins on LC risk, supplemented by external validation, co-localization analyses, and exploration of protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks.

RESULTS

Our analysis identified five proteins (TFPI, ICAM5, SFTPB, COL6A3, EPHB1) with significant associations to LC risk. External validation confirmed the potential therapeutic relevance of ICAM5 and SFTPB. Co-localization analyses and PPI network exploration provided further insights into the biological pathways involved and their potential mechanistic roles in LC pathogenesis.

CONCLUSION

The study highlights the power of integrating genomic and proteomic data through MR analysis to uncover novel therapeutic targets for lung cancer. The identified proteins, particularly ICAM5 and SFTPB, offer promising directions for future research and development of targeted therapies, demonstrating the potential to advance personalized medicine in lung cancer treatment.

The causal relationship between antihypertensive drugs and depression: a Mendelian randomization study of drug targets

Background

Depression ranks as a leading contributor to the global disease burden. The potential causal relationship between the use of antihypertensive medications and depression has garnered significant interest. Despite extensive investigation, the nature of this relationship remains a subject of ongoing debate. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate the influence of antihypertensive medications on depression by conducting a Mendelian randomization study focused on drug targets.

Method

We focused on the targets of five antihypertensive drug categories: ACE Inhibitors (ACEIs), Angiotensin II Receptor Antagonists (ARBs), Calcium Channel Blockers (CCBs), Beta-Blockers (BBs), and Thiazide Diuretics (TDs). We collected single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with these drug targets from genome-wide association study (GWAS) statistics, using them as proxies for the drugs. Subsequently, we conducted a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis targeting these drugs to explore their potential impact on depression.

Results

Our findings revealed that genetic proxies for Beta-Blockers (BBs) were associated with an elevated risk of depression (OR [95%CI] = 1.027 [1.013, 1.040], p < 0.001). Similarly, genetic proxies for Calcium Channel Blockers (CCBs) were linked to an increased risk of depression (OR [95%CI] = 1.030 [1.009, 1.051], p = 0.006). No significant associations were identified between the genetic markers of other antihypertensive medications and depression risk.

Conclusion

The study suggests that genetic proxies associated with Beta-Blockers (BBs) and Calcium Channel Blockers (CCBs) could potentially elevate the risk of depression among patients. These findings underscore the importance of considering genetic predispositions when prescribing these medications, offering a strategic approach to preventing depression in susceptible individuals.

Association between sugar-sweetened beverages and pure fruit juice with risk of six cardiovascular diseases: a Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

In observational and prospective cohort studies, intake of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) and pure fruit juice (PFJ) has been associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Still, the causality of the connection has not yet been determined. Our objective was to uncover the relationship between SSBs/PFJ and CVD.

METHODS

Genetically predicted causal associations between SSBs/PFJ (obtained in a published genome-wide association study) and six common CVDs (atrial fibrillation (AF), angina, heart failure (HF), acute myocardial infarction, hypertension, and coronary atherosclerosis) were assessed using MR analytic modeling. The primary analysis method utilized was the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method, complemented by additional methods such as the weighted median method, MR Egger regression, Cochran's Q test, MR pleiotropy residual, funnel plot, Bonferroni correction, and others for MR analysis. To ensure the robustness of the findings, F-values were calculated as a complementary test to set looser thresholds for exposing genetic instrumental variables (P < 1e-5).

RESULTS

The results of MR analysis suggested genetically causal associations between SSBs and AF (odds ratio (OR): 1.023; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.007-1.038; P = 0.0039) as well as between PFJ and angina (OR: 0.968; 95% CI, 0.943-0.993; P = 0.0138) there was genetic causality. However, MR analysis showed no causal association between SSBs/PFJ and other CVD risks.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that there may be a potential causal relationship between SSBs intake and AF and a causal negative association between PFJ intake and angina.

Potential causal association between serum vitamin D levels and intervertebral disc degeneration: A mendelian randomization study

OBJECTIVES

Intervertebral disc degeneration (IDD) is a prevalent musculoskeletal disorder with substantial implications for disability and healthcare expenditures. The role of serum vitamin D (25-Hydroxyvitamin D, 25(OH)D) levels in the pathogenesis of various musculoskeletal conditions has been explored in prior observational studies, suggesting a potential association. While previous observational studies have suggested an association between the two conditions, it might confound the effect of 25(OH)D on IDD. This Mendelian randomization (MR) study seeks to elucidate the causal relationship between 25(OH)D and IDD.

METHODS

We performed a MR analysis using summary-level data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of 25(OH)D (sample size = 441,291 European) and IDD (sample size = 336,439 (cases = 41,669, controls = 294,770) European). Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) significantly associated with 25(OH)D (p < 5 × 10-8) were selected as instrumental variables. The associations between genetically predicted 25(OH)D and IDD were estimated using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method, with sensitivity analyses employing the weighted median, MR-Egger, and MR-PRESSO approaches to assess the robustness of the findings.

RESULTS

In the primary IVW analysis, genetically predicted 25(OH)D was unrelated associated with IDD (odds ratio (OR) = 0.9671, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.8956-1.0444, p = 0.39). The results remained consistent across the sensitivity analyses, and no significant directional pleiotropy was detected (MR-Egger intercept: p = 0.64).

CONCLUSIONS

This study found no obvious evidence that 25(OH)D is causally associated with IDD risks. We call for larger sample size studies to further unravel the potential causal relationship and the exact mechanism.

Exploring the causal relationship between glutamine metabolism and leukemia risk: a Mendelian randomization and LC-MS/MS analysis

Objective

This investigation sought to delineate the causal nexus between plasma glutamine concentrations and leukemia susceptibility utilizing bidirectional Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis and to elucidate the metabolic ramifications of asparaginase therapy on glutamine dynamics in leukemia patients.

Methods

A bidirectional two-sample MR framework was implemented, leveraging genetic variants as instrumental variables from extensive genome-wide association studies (GWAS) tailored to populations of European descent. Glutamine quantification was executed through a rigorously validated Liquid Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry/Mass Spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) protocol. Comparative analyses of glutamine levels were conducted across leukemia patients versus healthy controls, pre- and post-asparaginase administration. Statistical evaluations employed inverse variance weighted (IVW) models, MR-Egger regression, and sensitivity tests addressing pleiotropy and heterogeneity.

Results

The MR findings underscored a significant inverse association between glutamine levels and leukemia risk (IVW p = 0.03558833), positing lower glutamine levels as a contributory factor to heightened leukemia susceptibility. Conversely, the analysis disclosed no substantive causal impact of leukemia on glutamine modulation (IVW p = 0.9694758). Notably, post-asparaginase treatment, a marked decrement in plasma glutamine concentrations was observed in patients (p = 0.0068), underlining the profound metabolic influence of the therapeutic regimen.

Conclusion

This study corroborates the hypothesized inverse relationship between plasma glutamine levels and leukemia risk, enhancing our understanding of glutamine's role in leukemia pathophysiology. The pronounced reduction in glutamine levels following asparaginase intervention highlights the critical need for meticulous metabolic monitoring to refine therapeutic efficacy and optimize patient management in clinical oncology. These insights pave the way for more tailored and efficacious treatment modalities in the realm of personalized medicine.

Genetic correlation and causal associations between psychiatric disorders and lung cancer risk

BACKGROUND

Patients with certain psychiatric disorders have increased lung cancer incidence. However, establishing a causal relationship through traditional epidemiological methods poses challenges.

METHODS

Available summary statistics of genome-wide association studies of cigarette smoking, lung cancer, and eight psychiatric disorders, including attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), autism, depression, major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, insomnia, neuroticism, and schizophrenia (range N: 46,350-1,331,010) were leveraged to estimate genetic correlations using Linkage Disequilibrium Score Regression and assess causal effect of each psychiatric disorder on lung cancer using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) models, comprising inverse-variance weighted (IVW), weighted median, MR-Egger, pleiotropy residual sum and outlier testing (MR-PRESSO), and a constrained maximum likelihood approach (cML-MR).

RESULTS

Significant positive correlations were observed between each psychiatric disorder and both smoking and lung cancer (all FDR < 0.05), except for the correlation between autism and lung cancer. Both univariable and the cML-MA MR analyses demonstrated that liability to schizophrenia, depression, ADHD, or insomnia was associated with an increased risk of overall lung cancer. Genetic liability to insomnia was linked specifically to squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), while genetic liability to ADHD was associated with an elevated risk of both SCC and small cell lung cancer (all P < 0.05). The later was further supported by multivariable MR analyses, which accounted for smoking.

LIMITATIONS

Participants were constrained to European ancestry populations. Causal estimates from binary psychiatric disorders may be biased.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest appropriate management of several psychiatric disorders, particularly ADHD, may potentially reduce the risk of developing lung cancer.

Causal effect analysis of estrogen receptor associated breast cancer and clear cell ovarian cancer

BACKGROUND

Evidence indicates that the risk of developing a secondary ovarian cancer (OC) is correlated with estrogen receptor (ER) status. However, the clinical significance of the relationship between ER-associated breast cancer (BC) and clear cell ovarian cancer (CCOC) remains elusive.

METHODS

Independent single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) strongly correlated with exposure were extracted, and those associated with confounders and outcomes were removed using the PhenoScanner database. SNP effects were extracted from the outcome datasets with minor allele frequency > 0.01 as the filtration criterion. Next, valid instrumental variables (IVs) were obtained by harmonizing exposure and outcome effects and further filtered based on F-statistics (> 10). Mendelian randomization (MR) assessment of valid IVs was carried out using inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR Egger (ME), weighted median (WM), and multiplicative random effects-inverse variance weighted (MRE-IVW) methods. For sensitivity analysis and visualization of MR findings, a heterogeneity test, a pleiotropy test, a leave-one-out test, scatter plots, forest plots, and funnel plots were employed.

RESULTS

MR analyses with all four methods revealed that CCOC was not causally associated with ER-negative BC (IVW results: odds ratio (OR) = 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.66-1.20, P = 0.431) or ER-positive BC (IVW results: OR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.88-1.12, P = 0.901). F-statistics were computed for each valid IV, all of which exceeded 10. The stability and reliability of the results were confirmed by sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicated that CCOC dids not have a causal association with ER-associated BC. The absence of a definitive causal link between ER-associated BC and CCOC suggested a minimal true causal influence of ER-associated BC exposure factors on CCOC. These results indicated that individuals afflicted by ER-associated BC could alleviate concerns regarding the developing of CCOC, thereby aiding in preserving their mental well-being stability and optimizing the efficacy of primary disease treatment.

The relationship between periodontal disease and gastric cancer: A bidirectional Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Previous observational studies have suggested a possible association between periodontal disease and gastric cancer (GC); however, a causal relationship has not yet been established. This study aimed to explore the causal relationship between the 2 through a 2-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) study.

METHODS

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary statistics were obtained from publicly available GWAS and relevant databases. Two-sample bidirectional MR analysis was conducted to investigate the causal relationship between periodontal disease and GC using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method selected as the primary analytical approach. Cochran Q test, MR-PRESSO, MR-pleiotropy, and leave-one-out analyses were performed to assess heterogeneity, pleiotropy, and sensitivity.

RESULTS

In European ancestry, IVW analysis revealed no causal relationship between periodontal disease and GC (OR = 1.873; 95% CI [4.788e-10, 7.323e + 09]; P = .956), or between loose teeth and GC (OR = 1.064; 95% CI [0.708, 1.598]; P = .765). In East Asian ancestry, there was no causal relationship between periodontitis and GC according to IVW (OR = 0.948; 95% CI [0.886, 1.015]; P = .126). Conversely, according to the results of the IVW analysis, there was no causal relationship between GC and periodontal disease, regardless of European or East Asian ancestry. Furthermore, there was no heterogeneity or pleiotropy in the causal relationships between these variables (all P > .05), suggesting a certain level of reliability in our results.

CONCLUSION

Within the limitations of this MR study, we found no mutual causal relationship between periodontal disease and GC. This finding can prevent overtreatment by clinical physicians and alleviate the psychological burden on patients.

Genetic correlation and causal associations between circulating C-reactive protein levels and lung cancer risk

PURPOSE

We aimed to characterize genetic correlations and causal associations between circulating C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and the risk of lung cancer (LC).

METHODS

Leveraging summary statistics from genome-wide association studies of circulating CRP levels among 575,531 individuals of European ancestry, and LC risk among 29,266 cases and 56,450 controls, we investigated genetic associations of circulating CRP levels with the risk of overall lung cancer and its histological subtypes, by using linkage disequilibrium score (LDSC) regression and Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses.

RESULTS

Significant positive genetic correlations between circulating CRP levels and the risk of LC and its histological subtypes were identified from LDSC regression, with correlation coefficients ranging from 0.12 to 0.26, and all false discovery adjusted p < 0.05. Univariable MR demonstrated a nominal association between CRP levels and an increased risk of lung squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) (inverse variance-weighted OR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.01-1.30). However, this association disappeared when multivariable MR included cigarettes per day and/or body mass index. By using our recently developed constrained maximum likelihood-based MR method, we identified significant associations of CRP levels with the risk of overall LC (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03-1.09), SCC (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.09), and small cell lung cancer (SCLC, OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.03-1.15). Moreover, most univariable and multivariable MR analyses also revealed consistent CRP-SCLC associations.

CONCLUSION

There may be a genetic and causal association between circulating CRP levels and the risk of SCLC, which is in line with previous population-based observational studies.

Causal relationship between lipid-lowering drugs and ovarian cancer, cervical cancer: a drug target mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

The causal impact of lipid-lowering drugs on ovarian cancer (OC) and cervical cancer (CC) has received considerable attention, but its causal relationship is still a subject of debate. Hence, the objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of lipid-lowering medications on the occurrence risk of OC and CC through Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis of drug targets.

METHODS

This investigation concentrated on the primary targets of lipid-lowering medications, specifically, 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A reductase (HMGCR) and proprotein convertase kexin 9 (PCSK9). Genetic variations associated with HMGCR and PCSK9 were derived from published genome-wide association study (GWAS) findings to serve as substitutes for HMGCR and PCSK9 inhibitors. Employing a MR approach, an analysis was conducted to scrutinize the impact of inhibitors targeting HMGCR and PCSK9 on the occurrence of OC and CC. Coronary heart disease (CHD) risk was utilized as a positive control, and the primary outcomes encompassed OC and CC.

RESULTS

The findings of the study suggest a notable elevation in the risk of OC among patients treated with HMGCR inhibitors (OR [95%CI] = 1.815 [1.316, 2.315], p = 0.019). In contrast, no significant correlation was observed between PCSK9 inhibitors and the occurrence of OC. Additionally, the analysis did not reveal any noteworthy connection between HMGCR inhibitors, PCSK9 inhibitors, and CC.

CONCLUSION

HMGCR inhibitors significantly elevate the risk of OC in patients, but their mechanism needs further investigation, and no influence of PCSK9 inhibitors on OC has been observed. There is no significant relationship between HMGCR inhibitors, PCSK9 inhibitors, and CC.

Mammographic density mediates the protective effect of early-life body size on breast cancer risk

The unexplained protective effect of childhood adiposity on breast cancer risk may be mediated via mammographic density (MD). Here, we investigate a complex relationship between adiposity in childhood and adulthood, puberty onset, MD phenotypes (dense area (DA), non-dense area (NDA), percent density (PD)), and their effects on breast cancer. We use Mendelian randomization (MR) and multivariable MR to estimate the total and direct effects of adiposity and age at menarche on MD phenotypes. Childhood adiposity has a decreasing effect on DA, while adulthood adiposity increases NDA. Later menarche increases DA/PD, but when accounting for childhood adiposity, this effect is attenuated. Next, we examine the effect of MD on breast cancer risk. DA/PD have a risk-increasing effect on breast cancer across all subtypes. The MD SNPs estimates are heterogeneous, and additional analyses suggest that different mechanisms may be linking MD and breast cancer. Finally, we evaluate the role of MD in the protective effect of childhood adiposity on breast cancer. Mediation MR analysis shows that 56% (95% CIs [32%-79%]) of this effect is mediated via DA. Our finding suggests that higher childhood adiposity decreases mammographic DA, subsequently reducing breast cancer risk. Understanding this mechanism is important for identifying potential intervention targets.

No causal association between the volume of strenuous exercise and coronary atherosclerosis: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Objective

Several observational studies have shown that high-volume and high-intensity exercise training increases the prevalence and severity of coronary atherosclerosis, but the causal effect still remains uncertain. This study aims to explore the causal relationship between the volume of strenuous exercise (SE) and coronary atherosclerosis (CA) using the Mendelian randomization (MR) method.

Method

The exposure factors were two basic parameters of the volume of strenuous exercise (duration and frequency of strenuous exercise), the outcome factor was coronary atherosclerosis, and the relevant genetic loci were extracted from the summary data of the genome-wide association study (GWAS) as the instrumental variables, and MR analyses were performed using the inverse variance weighting (IVW) method, the weighted median method, and the MR-egger method. Sensitivity analyses were performed using heterogeneity analysis, pleiotropy analysis, and the "leave-one-out" method. The original results were tested using other coronary atherosclerosis data sets.

Result

IVW results showed no causal association between duration of strenuous exercise (DOSE) [OR = 0.9937, 95% CI (0.9847, 1.0028), P = 0.1757] and frequency of strenuous exercise (FOSE) in the last 4 weeks [OR = 0.9930, 95% CI (0.9808, 1.0054), P = 0.2660] and coronary atherosclerosis. All of the above results were validated with other coronary atherosclerosis data sets.

Conclusion

The present study supports that the causal association of duration and frequency of SE with CA was not found, and provides valuable insights into the choice of scientific and correct volume of SE to cardiac rehabilitation (CR).

Causal link between gut microbiome and schizophrenia: a Mendelian randomization study

OBJECTIVE

Some observational studies have shown that gut microbiome is significantly changed in patients with schizophrenia. We aim to identify the genetic causal link between gut microbiome and schizophrenia.

METHODS

A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was used to evaluate the causal link between gut microbiome and schizophrenia with 28 gut microbiome-associated genetic instrumental variants chosen from recent MR reports and the largest schizophrenia genome-wide association studies (8-Apr-22 release).

RESULTS

Inverse variance weighted method showed that genetically increased Bacteroidales_S24-7 (per SD) resulted in increased risk of schizophrenia (OR = 1.110, 95% CI: [1.012-1.217], P  = 0.027). Similarly, genetically increased Prevotellaceae promoted schizophrenia risk (OR = 1.124, 95% CI: [1.030-1.228], P  = 0.009). However, genetically increased Lachnospiraceae reduced schizophrenia risk (OR = 0.878, 95% CI: [0.785-0.983], P  = 0.023). In addition, schizophrenia risk was also suppressed by genetically increased Lactobacillaceae (OR = 0.878, 95% CI: [0.776-0.994], P  = 0.040) and Verrucomicrobiaceae (OR = 0.860, 95% CI: [0.749-0.987], P  = 0.032). Finally, we did not find any significant results in the causal association of other 23 gut microbiome with schizophrenia.

CONCLUSION

Our analysis suggests that genetically increased Bacteroidales_S24-7 and Prevotellaceae promotes schizophrenia risk, whereas genetically increased Lachnospiraceae, Lactobacillaceae, and Verrucomicrobiaceae reduces schizophrenia risk. Thus, regulation of the disturbed intestinal microbiota may represent a new therapeutic strategy for patients with schizophrenia.

Causal relationship between irritability and asthma: a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization study

INTRODUCTION

Previous studies have suggested a relationship between bad mood and asthma. Therefore, in this study, a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) method was used to explore the correlation between irritability and asthma.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Relevant instrumental variables (IVs) were extracted from the aggregated data of the genome-wide association studies (GWAS) database. Inverse-variance weighting (IVW) and weighted median (WME) were used for the MR analysis to evaluate the causal relationship between irritability and asthma using odds ratios (ORs) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs), respectively. The "leave-one-out" method was used for sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

The results of IVW analysis using random-effects models suggested that irritability increased the risk of asthma (OR = 1.954, 95% CI = 1.188-3.214, p = 0.008). The results of WME were consistent with this observation (OR = 1.934, 95% CI = 1.100-3.400, p = 0.021). Additionally, gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) might account for approximately 40% of the relationship between irritability and asthma. The sensitivity analysis revealed the stability of the results.

CONCLUSION

The causal relationship between irritability and asthma was analyzed through MR analysis. Irritability increased the risk of asthma. GERD might play an important mediating role in this relationship.

Bilirubin and postpartum depression: an observational and Mendelian randomization study

Background

Postpartum depression (PPD) is one of the most common complications of delivery and is usually disregarded. Several risk factors of PPD have been identified, but its pathogenesis has not been completely understood. Serum bilirubin has been found to be a predictor of depression, whose relationship with PPD has not been investigated.

Methods

Observational research was performed followed by a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. From 2017 to 2020, the clinical data of pregnant women were retrospectively extracted. Logistic regression and random forest algorithm were employed to assess the risk factors of PPD, including the serum levels of total bilirubin and direct bilirubin. To further explore their potential causality, univariable and multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) were conducted. Sensitivity analyses for MR were performed to test the robustness of causal inference.

Results

A total of 1,810 patients were included in the PPD cohort, of which 631 (34.87%) were diagnosed with PPD. Compared with the control group, PPD patients had a significantly lower level of total bilirubin (9.2 μmol/L, IQR 7.7, 11.0 in PPD; 9.7 μmol/L, IQR 8.0, 12.0 in control, P < 0.001) and direct bilirubin (2.0 μmol/L, IQR 1.6, 2.6 in PPD; 2.2 μmol/L, IQR 1.7, 2.9 in control, P < 0.003). The prediction model identified eight independent predictive factors of PPD, in which elevated total bilirubin served as a protective factor (OR = 0.94, 95% CI 0.90-0.99, P = 0.024). In the MR analyses, genetically predicted total bilirubin was associated with decreased risk of PPD (IVW: OR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.76-0.97, P = 0.006), which remained consistent after adjusting educational attainment, income, and gestational diabetes mellitus. Conversely, there is a lack of solid evidence to support the causal relationship between PPD and bilirubin.

Conclusion

Our results suggested that decreased total bilirubin was associated with the incidence of PPD. Future studies are warranted to investigate its potential mechanisms and illuminate the pathogenesis of PPD.

Genetically proxied therapeutic inhibition of lipid-lowering drug targets and risk of rheumatoid arthritis disease: a Mendelian randomization study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the potential impact of consistent use of similar treatments over a long period; it is essential to investigate the potential correlation between genetic variations that influence the expression or function of pharmacological targets for reducing lipid levels and the risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis.

METHODS

We used variants in the following genes to conduct Mendelian randomization analyses: HMGCR (encoding the target for statins), PCSK9 (encoding the target for PCSK9 inhibitors, such as evolocumab and alirocumab), and NPC1L1 (encoding the target for ezetimibe). Data from lipid genetics consortia (173,082 sample size) were used to weight variations according to their correlations with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). In two large datasets (total n = 19,562 cases, 501,655 controls). We conducted a meta-analysis of Mendelian randomization estimates, weighted by LDL-C levels, on the regional differences in the risk of rheumatoid arthritis using data from two large databases.

RESULTS

We approached SMR and IVW-MR analyses to examine the relationship between target gene expression (including HMGCR, PCSK9, and NPC1L1) and LDL-C levels mediated by these genes with RA. The IVW-MR analysis revealed no significant association between genetically predicted LDL-C concentration and the risk of RA (OR = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.59-1.29; OR = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.67-1.23; OR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.49-1.36; all p > 0.05). Similarly, our findings from the SMR approach provided no evidence to suggest that gene expression of HMGCR, PCSK9, and NPC1L1 was associated with the risk of RA (OR = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.79-1.05, p = 0.207; OR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.85-1.09, p = 0.493).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results do not provide evidence to support the hypothesis that reducing LDL-C levels with statins, alirocumab, or ezetimibe effectively prevents the risk of developing RA. However, our study provides valuable insights into the assessment of lipid-lowering agents in RA, which can enhance our understanding of the condition and assist in clinical practice by aiding in the determination and monitoring of RA status to clinical response.

The non-causative role of abnormal serum uric acid in intervertebral disc degeneration: A Mendelian randomization study

Background

Intervertebral disc degeneration (IDD) is a common musculoskeletal disorder that contributes significantly to disability and healthcare costs. Serum urate concentration has been implicated in the development of various musculoskeletal conditions. While previous observational studies have suggested an association between the two conditions, it might confound the effect of serum urate concentrations on IDD. This Mendelian randomization (MR) study aimed to investigate the causal relationship between serum urate concentration and IDD.

Methods

We performed a two-sample MR analysis using summary-level data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of serum urate concentration (n = 13 585 994 European ancestry) and IDD (n = 16 380 337 European ancestry). Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) significantly associated with serum urate concentration (p < 5 × 10-8) were selected as instrumental variables. The associations between genetically predicted serum urate concentration and IDD were estimated using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method, with sensitivity analyses employing the weighted median, MR-Egger, and MR-PRESSO approaches to assess the robustness of the findings.

Results

In the primary IVW analysis, genetically predicted serum urate concentration was unrelated associated with IDD (odds ratio [OR] = 1.00, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00-1.00, p = 0.17)). The results remained consistent across the sensitivity analyses, and no significant directional pleiotropy was detected (MR-Egger intercept: p = 0.15).

Conclusions

This MR study provides evidence that there is no causal relationship between serum urate concentration and IDD. It suggests previous observational associations may be confounded. Serum urate levels are unlikely to be an important contributor to IDD.

Appraising the causal association between Crohn's disease and breast cancer: a Mendelian randomization study

Background

Previous research has indicated that there may be a link between Crohn's disease (CD) and breast cancer (BC), but the causality remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the causal association between CD and BC using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

Methods

The summary data for CD (5,956 cases/14,927 controls) was obtained from the International Inflammatory Bowel Disease Genetics Consortium (IIBDGC). And the summary data for BC (122,977 cases/105,974 controls) was extracted from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC). Based on the estrogen receptor status, the cases were classified into two subtypes: estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) BC and estrogen receptor-negative (ER-) BC. We used the inverse variance weighted method as the primary approach for two-sample MR. MR-PRESSO method was used to rule out outliers. Heterogeneity and pleiotropy tests were carried out to improve the accuracy of results. Additionally, multivariable MR was conducted by adjusting for possible confounders to ensure the stability of the results.

Results

The two-sample MR indicated that CD increased the risks of overall (OR: 1.020; 95% CI: 1.010-1.031; p=0.000106), ER+ (OR: 1.019; 95%CI: 1.006-1.034; p=0.006) and ER- BC (OR: 1.019; 95%CI: 1.000-1.037; p=0.046) after removal of outliers by MR-PRESSO. This result was reliable in the sensitivity analysis, including Cochran's Q and MR-Egger regression. In multivariate MR analyses, after adjusting for smoking and drinking separately or concurrently, the positive association between CD and the risks of overall and ER+ BC remained, but it disappeared in ER- BC. Furthermore, reverse MR analysis suggested that BC did not have a significant impact on CD risk.

Conclusion

Our findings provide evidence for a possible positive association between CD and the risk of BC. However, further studies are needed to fully understand the underlying mechanisms and establish a stronger causal relationship.

Understanding the Extent of Polypharmacy and its Association With Health Service Utilization Among Persons With Cancer and Multimorbidity: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study in Ontario, Canada

Background: Cancer often co-occurs with other chronic conditions, which may result in polypharmacy. Polypharmacy is associated with adverse outcomes, including increased health service utilization. Objectives: This study examines the overall prevalence of polypharmacy (5 or more medications) among adults with cancer and multimorbidity, as well as the association of both minor polypharmacy (5-9 medications) and hyper-polypharmacy (10 or more medications) on high use of emergency room visits and hospitalizations, while controlling for age, sex, and type and stage of cancer. Methods: This retrospective longitudinal study used linked health administrative databases and included persons 18 years and older diagnosed with cancer between April 2010 and March 2013 in Ontario, Canada. Data on the number of health service utilizations at or above the 90th percentile (high users), was collected up to March 2014 and multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the impact of polypharmacy. Results: The prevalence of polypharmacy was 46% prior to cancer diagnosis, and 57% one year after diagnosis. Polypharmacy prior to and after cancer diagnosis increased with the level of multimorbidity, increasing age, but did not differ by sex. It was also highest in persons with lung cancer (52.4%) and those diagnosed with stage 4 cancer (51.3%). Minor polypharmacy increased the odds of being a high user of emergency rooms (1.16; 99% CI: 1.09-1.24) and hospitalizations (1.03; 0.98-1.09) and the odds of high use was greater with hyper-polypharmacy (1.41; 1.33-1.51) and (1.23; 1.17-1.29) respectively. Conclusion: Polypharmacy is highly prevalent and is associated with high health service utilization among adults with cancer and multimorbidity.

Causal relationships between risk of venous thromboembolism and 18 cancers: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis

BACKGROUND

People with cancer experience high rates of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Risk of subsequent cancer is also increased in people experiencing their first VTE. The causal mechanisms underlying this association are not completely understood, and it is unknown whether VTE is itself a risk factor for cancer.

METHODS

We used data from large genome-wide association study meta-analyses to perform bidirectional Mendelian randomization analyses to estimate causal associations between genetic liability to VTE and risk of 18 different cancers.

RESULTS

We found no conclusive evidence that genetic liability to VTE was causally associated with an increased incidence of cancer, or vice versa. We observed an association between liability to VTE and pancreatic cancer risk [odds ratio for pancreatic cancer: 1.23 (95% confidence interval: 1.08-1.40) per log-odds increase in VTE risk, P = 0.002]. However, sensitivity analyses revealed this association was predominantly driven by a variant proxying non-O blood group, with inadequate evidence to suggest a causal relationship.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings do not support the hypothesis that genetic liability to VTE is a cause of cancer. Existing observational epidemiological associations between VTE and cancer are therefore more likely to be driven by pathophysiological changes which occur in the setting of active cancer and anti-cancer treatments. Further work is required to explore and synthesize evidence for these mechanisms.

Causal relationship between gut microbiota and polycystic ovary syndrome: a literature review and Mendelian randomization study

Introduction

Numerous studies have suggested an association between gut microbiota and polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCOS). However, the causal relationship between these two factors remains unclear.

Methods

A review of observational studies was conducted to compare changes in gut microbiota between PCOS patients and controls. The analysis focused on four levels of classification, namely, phylum, family, genus, and species/genus subgroups. To further investigate the causal relationship, Mendelian randomization (MR) was employed using genome-wide association study (GWAS) data on gut microbiota from the MiBioGen consortium, as well as GWAS data from a large meta-analysis of PCOS. Additionally, a reverse MR was performed, and the results were verified through sensitivity analyses.

Results

The present review included 18 observational studies that met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The abundance of 64 gut microbiota taxa significantly differed between PCOS patients and controls. Using the MR method, eight bacteria were identified as causally associated with PCOS. The protective effects of the genus Sellimonas on PCOS remained significant after applying Bonferroni correction. No significant heterogeneity or horizontal pleiotropy was found in the instrumental variables (IVs). Reverse MR analyses did not reveal a significant causal effect of PCOS on gut microbiota.

Conclusion

The differences in gut microbiota between PCOS patients and controls vary across observational studies. However, MR analyses identified specific gut microbiota taxa that are causally related to PCOS. Future studies should investigate the gut microbiota that showed significant results in the MR analyses, as well as the underlying mechanisms of this causal relationship and its potential clinical significance.

Association between circulating inflammatory markers and adult cancer risk: a Mendelian randomization analysis

BACKGROUND

Tumour-promoting inflammation is a "hallmark" of cancer and conventional epidemiological studies have reported links between various inflammatory markers and cancer risk. The causal nature of these relationships and, thus, the suitability of these markers as intervention targets for cancer prevention is unclear.

METHODS

We meta-analysed 6 genome-wide association studies of circulating inflammatory markers comprising 59,969 participants of European ancestry. We then used combined cis-Mendelian randomization and colocalisation analysis to evaluate the causal role of 66 circulating inflammatory markers in risk of 30 adult cancers in 338,294 cancer cases and up to 1,238,345 controls. Genetic instruments for inflammatory markers were constructed using genome-wide significant (P < 5.0 × 10-8) cis-acting SNPs (i.e., in or ±250 kb from the gene encoding the relevant protein) in weak linkage disequilibrium (LD, r2 < 0.10). Effect estimates were generated using inverse-variance weighted random-effects models and standard errors were inflated to account for weak LD between variants with reference to the 1000 Genomes Phase 3 CEU panel. A false discovery rate (FDR)-corrected P-value ("q-value") <0.05 was used as a threshold to define "strong evidence" to support associations and 0.05 ≤ q-value < 0.20 to define "suggestive evidence". A colocalisation posterior probability (PPH4) >70% was employed to indicate support for shared causal variants across inflammatory markers and cancer outcomes. Findings were replicated in the FinnGen study and then pooled using meta-analysis.

FINDINGS

We found strong evidence to support an association of genetically-proxied circulating pro-adrenomedullin concentrations with increased breast cancer risk (OR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.10-1.29, q-value = 0.033, PPH4 = 84.3%) and suggestive evidence to support associations of interleukin-23 receptor concentrations with increased pancreatic cancer risk (OR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.20-1.69, q-value = 0.055, PPH4 = 73.9%), prothrombin concentrations with decreased basal cell carcinoma risk (OR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.53-0.81, q-value = 0.067, PPH4 = 81.8%), and interleukin-1 receptor-like 1 concentrations with decreased triple-negative breast cancer risk (OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.88-0.97, q-value = 0.15, PPH4 = 85.6%). These findings were replicated in pooled analyses with the FinnGen study. Though suggestive evidence was found to support an association of macrophage migration inhibitory factor concentrations with increased bladder cancer risk (OR: 2.46, 95% CI: 1.48-4.10, q-value = 0.072, PPH4 = 76.1%), this finding was not replicated when pooled with the FinnGen study. For 22 of 30 cancer outcomes examined, there was little evidence (q-value ≥0.20) that any of the 66 circulating inflammatory markers examined were associated with cancer risk.

INTERPRETATION

Our comprehensive joint Mendelian randomization and colocalisation analysis of the role of circulating inflammatory markers in cancer risk identified potential roles for 4 circulating inflammatory markers in risk of 4 site-specific cancers. Contrary to reports from some prior conventional epidemiological studies, we found little evidence of association of circulating inflammatory markers with the majority of site-specific cancers evaluated.

FUNDING

Cancer Research UK (C68933/A28534, C18281/A29019, PPRCPJT∖100005), World Cancer Research Fund (IIG_FULL_2020_022), National Institute for Health Research (NIHR202411, BRC-1215-20011), Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00011/1, MC_UU_00011/3, MC_UU_00011/6, and MC_UU_00011/4), Academy of Finland Project 326291, European Union's Horizon 2020 grant agreement no. 848158 (EarlyCause), French National Cancer Institute (INCa SHSESP20, 2020-076), Versus Arthritis (21173, 21754, 21755), National Institutes of Health (U19 CA203654), National Cancer Institute (U19CA203654).

Causal relationship between prostate cancer and 12 types of cancers: multivariable and bidirectional Mendelian randomization analyses

BACKGROUND

Previous observational studies have shown an association between certain cancers and the subsequent risk of prostate cancer (PCa). However, the causal relationship between these cancers and PCa is still unclear. This study aimed to investigate the causal relationship between 12 common cancers and the risk of PCa.

METHODS

We employed genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to perform forward and reverse Mendelian randomization (MR) within two-sample frameworks. Furthermore, we conducted multivariable MR analyses to investigate the relationships between different types of cancer. In addition, multiple sensitivity analysis methods were employed to assess the robustness of our findings.

RESULTS

Our univariable MR analysis showed that genetically predicted hematological cancer was associated with a reduced risk of PCa (OR: 0.911, 95% CI 0.89-0.922, P = 0.03). Furthermore, MR analysis demonstrates that genetically predicted occurrence of thyroid gland and endocrine gland cancer also raised the risk of PCa (all P < 0.05). Multivariable analysis showed that thyroid gland cancer exhibited a higher incidence of PCa (OR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.08-1.16, P = 0.008). In the reverse MR analysis, we found no significant inverse causal associations between PCa and 12 types of cancers.

CONCLUSION

In summary, this study provided insights into the causal relationships between various types of cancer and PCa. Hematological cancer was suggested to associate with a lower risk of PCa, while thyroid gland cancer and endocrine gland cancer might increase the risk. These findings contribute to the understanding of genetic factors related to PCa and its potential associations with other cancers.

Association between type 1 diabetes and systemic lupus erythematosus: a Mendelian randomization study

OBJECTIVES

Observational studies have shown that there is a bidirectional relationship between type 1 diabetes (T1D) and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE); the causality of this association remains elusive and may be affected by confusion and reverse causality. There is also a lack of large-scale randomized controlled trials to verify. Therefore, this Mendelian randomization (MR) study aimed to investigate the causal association between T1D and SLE.

METHODS

We aggregated data using publicly available genome-wide association studies (GWAS), all from European populations. Select independent (R2 < 0.001) and closely related to exposure (P < 5 × 10-8) as instrumental variables (IVs). The inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method was used as the primary method. We also used MR-Egger, the weighted median method, MR-Robust, MR-Lasso, and other methods leveraged as supplements.

RESULTS

T1D had a positive causal association with SLE (IVW, odds ratio [OR] = 1.358, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.205 - 1.530; P < 0.001). The causal association was verified in an independent validation set (IVW, OR = 1.137, 95% CI, 1.033 - 1.251; P = 0.001). SLE had a positive causal association with T1D (IVW, OR = 1.108, 95% CI, 1.074 - 1.144; P < 0.001). The causal association was verified in an independent validation set (IVW, OR = 1.085, 95% CI, 1.046 - 1.127; P < 0.001). These results have also been verified by sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSION

The MR analysis results indicated a causal association between T1D and SLE. Therefore, further research is needed to clarify the potential biological mechanism between T1D and SLE. Key Points • Observational studies have shown that there is a bidirectional relationship between T1D and SLE. • We evaluated causal effects between T1D and SLE by Mendelian randomization analyses. • The MR analysis results indicated a causal association between T1D and SLE.

Identifying metabolic features of colorectal cancer liability using Mendelian randomization

Background

Recognizing the early signs of cancer risk is vital for informing prevention, early detection, and survival.

Methods

To investigate whether changes in circulating metabolites characterize the early stages of colorectal cancer (CRC) development, we examined the associations between a genetic risk score (GRS) associated with CRC liability (72 single-nucleotide polymorphisms) and 231 circulating metabolites measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (N = 6221). Linear regression models were applied to examine the associations between genetic liability to CRC and circulating metabolites measured in the same individuals at age 8 y, 16 y, 18 y, and 25 y.

Results

The GRS for CRC was associated with up to 28% of the circulating metabolites at FDR-P < 0.05 across all time points, particularly with higher fatty acids and very-low- and low-density lipoprotein subclass lipids. Two-sample reverse Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses investigating CRC liability (52,775 cases, 45,940 controls) and metabolites measured in a random subset of UK Biobank participants (N = 118,466, median age 58 y) revealed broadly consistent effect estimates with the GRS analysis. In conventional (forward) MR analyses, genetically predicted polyunsaturated fatty acid concentrations were most strongly associated with higher CRC risk.

Conclusions

These analyses suggest that higher genetic liability to CRC can cause early alterations in systemic metabolism and suggest that fatty acids may play an important role in CRC development.

Funding

This work was supported by the Elizabeth Blackwell Institute for Health Research, University of Bristol, the Wellcome Trust, the Medical Research Council, Diabetes UK, the University of Bristol NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, and Cancer Research UK. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. This work used the computational facilities of the Advanced Computing Research Centre, University of Bristol - http://www.bristol.ac.uk/acrc/.

Identifying metabolic features of colorectal cancer liability using Mendelian randomization

Background

Recognizing the early signs of cancer risk is vital for informing prevention, early detection, and survival.

Methods

To investigate whether changes in circulating metabolites characterise the early stages of colorectal cancer (CRC) development, we examined associations between a genetic risk score (GRS) associated with CRC liability (72 single nucleotide polymorphisms) and 231 circulating metabolites measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (N=6,221). Linear regression models were applied to examine associations between genetic liability to colorectal cancer and circulating metabolites measured in the same individuals at age 8, 16, 18 and 25 years.

Results

The GRS for CRC was associated with up to 28% of the circulating metabolites at FDR-P<0.05 across all time points, particularly with higher fatty acids and very-low- and low-density lipoprotein subclass lipids. Two-sample reverse Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses investigating CRC liability (52,775 cases, 45,940 controls) and metabolites measured in a random subset of UK Biobank participants (N=118,466, median age 58y) revealed broadly consistent effect estimates with the GRS analysis. In conventional (forward) MR analyses, genetically predicted polyunsaturated fatty acid concentrations were most strongly associated with higher CRC risk.

Conclusions

These analyses suggest that higher genetic liability to CRC can cause early alterations in systemic metabolism, and suggest that fatty acids may play an important role in CRC development.

Funding

This work was supported by the Elizabeth Blackwell Institute for Health Research, University of Bristol, the Wellcome Trust, the Medical Research Council, Diabetes UK, the University of Bristol NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, and Cancer Research UK. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. This work used the computational facilities of the Advanced Computing Research Centre, University of Bristol - http://www.bristol.ac.uk/acrc/.

Depression and risk of sarcopenia: a national cohort and Mendelian randomization study

Background

Depression and the increased risk of sarcopenia are prevalent among the elderly population. However, the causal associations between these factors remain unclear. To investigate the potential association between depression and the risk of sarcopenia in older adults, this study was performed.

Methods

In the baseline survey, a total of 14,258 individuals aged 40 and above from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2015) participated. We initially described the baseline prevalence of the disease. Then, logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression were conducted to assess the relationship between depression and sarcopenia. Subgroup analysis was performed to validate the robustness of the findings. Additionally, we conducted Mendelian randomization analysis using the inverse variance weighting estimator to assess the causal relationship between depression and sarcopenia. Furthermore, we adopted six methods, including MR-Egger, simple median, weighted median, maximum likelihood, robust adjusted profile score (RAPS), and MR Pleiotropy Residual Sum and Outlier (MR-PRESSO), for sensitivity analyses.

Results

Depression patients exhibited higher risks of sarcopenia in all five models adjusting for different covariates (P < 0.05). The RCS analysis demonstrated a linear relationship between depression and sarcopenia (P < 0.05). In the subgroup analysis, increased risk was observed among participants aged 60-70, married or cohabiting individuals, non-smokers, non-drinkers, those with less than 8 h of sleep, BMI below 24, and individuals with hypertension (all P < 0.05). Mendelian randomization results revealed that genetically proxied depression led to a reduction in appendicular skeletal muscle mass (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Our study provides observational and causal evidences that depression can lead to sarcopenia. This finding emphasizes the importance of timely identification and management of depression, as well as implementing targeted educational programs as part of comprehensive strategies to prevent sarcopenia.

Causal relationships between blood lipids and major psychiatric disorders: Univariable and multivariable mendelian randomization analysis

BACKGROUND

Whether the positive associations of blood lipids with psychiatric disorders are causal is uncertain. We conducted this two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to comprehensively investigate associations of blood lipids with psychiatric disorders.

METHODS

Univariable and multivariable models were established for MR analyses. Inverse variance-weighted (IVW) MR was employed as the main approach; weighted median and MR-Egger were used as sensitivity analysis methods. The possibility of violating MR assumptions was evaluated utilizing several sensitivity analyses, including heterogeneity statistics, horizontal pleiotropy statistics, single SNP analysis, leave-one-out analysis and MR-PRESSO analysis. As instrumental variables, we screened 362 independent single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) related to blood lipids from a recent genome-wide association study involving 76,627 individuals of European ancestry, with a genome-wide significance level of p < 5 × 10- 8. Summary-level information for the six psychiatric disorders was extracted from Psychiatric Genomics Consortium and Alzheimer Disease Genetics Consortium.

RESULTS

We observed eight significant associations in univariable MR analysis, four of which were corroborated by multivariable MR (MVMR) analysis modified for the other three lipid traits: high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) level with the risk of PTSD (OR = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.85-0.97, p = 0.002) and AD (OR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.71-0.88, p < 0.001) and triglycerides (TG) level with the risk of MDD (OR = 1.02, 95% CI = 1.003-1.03, p = 0.01) and panic disorder (OR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.74-0.92, p < 0.001). In addition, four associations were not significant in MVMR analysis after adjustment for three lipid traits: total cholesterol (TC) level with the risk of PTSD, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level with the risk of MDD and AD and TG level with the risk of AD.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show that blood lipids and psychiatric disorders may be related in a causal manner. This shows that abnormal blood lipid levels may act as reliable biomarker of psychiatric disorders and as suitable targets for their prevention and treatment.

Effects of iron homeostasis on epigenetic age acceleration: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Epigenetic clocks constructed from DNA methylation patterns have emerged as excellent predictors of aging and aging-related health outcomes. Iron, a crucial element, is meticulously regulated within organisms, a phenomenon referred as iron homeostasis. Previous researches have demonstrated the sophisticated connection between aging and iron homeostasis. However, their causal relationship remains relatively unexplored.

RESULTS

Through two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) utilizing the random effect inverse variance weighted (IVW) method, each standard deviation (SD) increase in serum iron was associated with increased GrimAge acceleration (GrimAA, BetaIVW = 0.27, P = 8.54E-03 in 2014 datasets; BetaIVW = 0.31, P = 1.25E-02 in 2021 datasets), HannumAge acceleration (HannumAA, BetaIVW = 0.32, P = 4.50E-03 in 2014 datasets; BetaIVW = 0.32, P = 8.03E-03 in 2021 datasets) and Intrinsic epigenetic age acceleration (IEAA, BetaIVW = 0.34, P = 5.33E-04 in 2014 datasets; BetaIVW = 0.49, P = 9.94E-04 in 2021 datasets). Similar results were also observed in transferrin saturation. While transferrin manifested a negative association with epigenetic age accelerations (EAAs) sensitivity analyses. Besides, lack of solid evidence to support a causal relationship from EAAs to iron-related biomarkers.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of present investigation unveiled the causality of iron overload on acceleration of epigenetic clocks. Researches are warranted to illuminate the underlying mechanisms and formulate strategies for potential interventions.

Causal relationship between dietary factors and breast cancer risk: A Mendelian randomization study

Background

Previous studies have discovered an association between dietary factors and breast cancer. However, few studies have used Mendelian randomization (MR) to assess the potential causal relationship between dietary factors and breast cancer.

Methods

The exposure datasets for fresh fruit intake, dried fruit intake, salad/raw vegetable intake, cooked vegetable intake, oily fish intake, non-oily fish intake, cheese intake, and bread intake were obtained from the UK Biobank. The outcome dataset was extracted from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC). We used the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method as the primary approach for the two-sample MR analysis. To ensure the accuracy of the results, we conducted heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy analyses. Additionally, multivariable MR analysis was conducted to ensure the stability of the results.

Results

Dried fruit intake was found to be a protective factor for overall breast cancer (outliers excluded: OR: 0.549; 95 % CI: 0.429-0.702; p = 1.75 × 10-6). Subtype analyses showed that dried fruit intake was inversely associated with both estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer (outliers excluded: OR: 0.669; 95 % CI: 0.512-0.875; p = 0.003) and ER-negative (ER-) breast cancer (OR: 0.559; 95 % CI: 0.379-0.827; p = 0.004), while fresh fruit intake was inversely associated with ER- breast cancer (excluded outliers: OR: 0.510; 95 % CI: 0.308-0.846; p = 0.009). No significant causal relationship was found between other dietary intakes and breast cancer. After adjusting for the effects of possible confounders, the causal relationships found by the two-sample MR analysis remained.

Conclusion

Our study provides evidence that dried fruit intake may reduce the risk of both ER+ and ER- breast cancer, and fresh fruit intake may reduce the risk of ER- breast cancer. Other factors included in this study were not linked to breast cancer.

The mediating role of mammographic density in the protective effect of early-life adiposity on breast cancer risk: a multivariable Mendelian randomization study

Observational studies suggest that mammographic density (MD) may have a role in the unexplained protective effect of childhood adiposity on breast cancer risk. Here, we investigated a complex and interlinked relationship between puberty onset, adiposity, MD, and their effects on breast cancer using Mendelian randomization (MR). We estimated the effects of childhood and adulthood adiposity, and age at menarche on MD phenotypes (dense area (DA), non-dense area (NDA), percent density (PD)) using MR and multivariable MR (MVMR), allowing us to disentangle their total and direct effects. Next, we examined the effect of MD on breast cancer risk, including risk of molecular subtypes, and accounting for genetic pleiotropy. Finally, we used MVMR to evaluate whether the protective effect of childhood adiposity on breast cancer was mediated by MD. Childhood adiposity had a strong inverse effect on mammographic DA, while adulthood adiposity increased NDA. Later menarche had an effect of increasing DA and PD, but when accounting for childhood adiposity, this effect attenuated to the null. DA and PD had a risk-increasing effect on breast cancer across all subtypes. The MD single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) estimates were extremely heterogeneous, and examination of the SNPs suggested different mechanisms may be linking MD and breast cancer. Finally, MR mediation analysis estimated that 56% (95% CIs [32% - 79%]) of the childhood adiposity effect on breast cancer risk was mediated via DA. In this work, we sought to disentangle the relationship between factors affecting MD and breast cancer. We showed that higher childhood adiposity decreases mammographic DA, which subsequently leads to reduced breast cancer risk. Understanding this mechanism is of great importance for identifying potential targets of intervention, since advocating weight gain in childhood would not be recommended.

Epidemiology and Risk Factors for Breast Cancer: 21st Century Advances, Gaps to Address through Interdisciplinary Science

Research methods to study risk factors and prevention of breast cancer have evolved rapidly. We focus on advances from epidemiologic studies reported over the past two decades addressing scientific discoveries, as well as their clinical and public health translation for breast cancer risk reduction. In addition to reviewing methodology advances such as widespread assessment of mammographic density and Mendelian randomization, we summarize the recent evidence with a focus on the timing of exposure and windows of susceptibility. We summarize the implications of the new evidence for application in risk stratification models and clinical translation to focus prevention-maximizing benefits and minimizing harm. We conclude our review identifying research gaps. These include: pathways for the inverse association of vegetable intake and estrogen receptor (ER)-ve tumors, prepubertal and adolescent diet and risk, early life adiposity reducing lifelong risk, and gaps from changes in habits (e.g., vaping, binge drinking), and environmental exposures.

Differential risk of 23 site-specific incident cancers and cancer-related mortality among patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease: a population-based cohort study with 9.7 million Korean subjects

INTRODUCTION

Although an association between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and cardiovascular disease or overall mortality has been reported, it is unclear whether there is an association between MAFLD and cancer incidence or mortality. We aimed to investigate the differential risk of all- and site-specific cancer incidence and mortality according to MAFLD subgroups categorized by additional etiologies of liver disease.

METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we stratified the participants into three groups: (1) single-etiology MAFLD (S-MAFLD) or MAFLD of pure metabolic origin; (2) mixed-etiology MAFLD (M-MAFLD) or MAFLD with additional etiological factor(s) (i.e., concomitant liver diseases and/or heavy alcohol consumption); and (3) non-MAFLD. Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis were defined using the fatty liver index and the BARD score, respectively. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to estimate the risk of cancer events.

RESULTS

Among the 9,718,182 participants, the prevalence of S-MAFLD and M-MAFLD was 29.2% and 6.7%, respectively. During the median 8.3 years of follow-up, 510,330 (5.3%) individuals were newly diagnosed with cancer, and 122,774 (1.3%) cancer-related deaths occurred among the entire cohort. Compared with the non-MAFLD group, the risk of all-cancer incidence and mortality was slightly higher among patients in the S-MAFLD group (incidence, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.04; mortality, aHR = 1.06; 95% CI: 1.04-1.08) and highest among patients with M-MAFLD group (incidence, aHR = 1.31; 95% CI: 1.29-1.32; mortality, aHR = 1.45; 95% CI: 1.42-1.48, respectively). The M-MAFLD with fibrosis group (BARD score ≥ 2) showed the highest relative risk of all-cancer incidence (aHR = 1.38, 95% CI = 1.36-1.39), followed by the M-MAFLD without fibrosis group (aHR = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.06-1.11). Similar trends were observed for cancer-related mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

MAFLD classification, by applying additional etiologies other than pure metabolic origin, can be used to identify a subgroup of patients with poor cancer-related outcomes.

Genetically proxied glucose-lowering drug target perturbation and risk of cancer: a Mendelian randomisation analysis

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Epidemiological studies have generated conflicting findings on the relationship between glucose-lowering medication use and cancer risk. Naturally occurring variation in genes encoding glucose-lowering drug targets can be used to investigate the effect of their pharmacological perturbation on cancer risk.

METHODS

We developed genetic instruments for three glucose-lowering drug targets (peroxisome proliferator activated receptor γ [PPARG]; sulfonylurea receptor 1 [ATP binding cassette subfamily C member 8 (ABCC8)]; glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor [GLP1R]) using summary genetic association data from a genome-wide association study of type 2 diabetes in 148,726 cases and 965,732 controls in the Million Veteran Program. Genetic instruments were constructed using cis-acting genome-wide significant (p<5×10-8) SNPs permitted to be in weak linkage disequilibrium (r2<0.20). Summary genetic association estimates for these SNPs were obtained from genome-wide association study (GWAS) consortia for the following cancers: breast (122,977 cases, 105,974 controls); colorectal (58,221 cases, 67,694 controls); prostate (79,148 cases, 61,106 controls); and overall (i.e. site-combined) cancer (27,483 cases, 372,016 controls). Inverse-variance weighted random-effects models adjusting for linkage disequilibrium were employed to estimate causal associations between genetically proxied drug target perturbation and cancer risk. Co-localisation analysis was employed to examine robustness of findings to violations of Mendelian randomisation (MR) assumptions. A Bonferroni correction was employed as a heuristic to define associations from MR analyses as 'strong' and 'weak' evidence.

RESULTS

In MR analysis, genetically proxied PPARG perturbation was weakly associated with higher risk of prostate cancer (for PPARG perturbation equivalent to a 1 unit decrease in inverse rank normal transformed HbA1c: OR 1.75 [95% CI 1.07, 2.85], p=0.02). In histological subtype-stratified analyses, genetically proxied PPARG perturbation was weakly associated with lower risk of oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer (OR 0.57 [95% CI 0.38, 0.85], p=6.45×10-3). In co-localisation analysis, however, there was little evidence of shared causal variants for type 2 diabetes liability and cancer endpoints in the PPARG locus, although these analyses were likely underpowered. There was little evidence to support associations between genetically proxied PPARG perturbation and colorectal or overall cancer risk or between genetically proxied ABCC8 or GLP1R perturbation with risk across cancer endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Our drug target MR analyses did not find consistent evidence to support an association of genetically proxied PPARG, ABCC8 or GLP1R perturbation with breast, colorectal, prostate or overall cancer risk. Further evaluation of these drug targets using alternative molecular epidemiological approaches may help to further corroborate the findings presented in this analysis.

DATA AVAILABILITY

Summary genetic association data for select cancer endpoints were obtained from the public domain: breast cancer ( https://bcac.ccge.medschl.cam.ac.uk/bcacdata/ ); and overall prostate cancer ( http://practical.icr.ac.uk/blog/ ). Summary genetic association data for colorectal cancer can be accessed by contacting GECCO (kafdem at fredhutch.org). Summary genetic association data on advanced prostate cancer can be accessed by contacting PRACTICAL (practical at icr.ac.uk). Summary genetic association data on type 2 diabetes from Vujkovic et al (Nat Genet, 2020) can be accessed through dbGAP under accession number phs001672.v3.p1 (pha004945.1 refers to the European-specific summary statistics). UK Biobank data can be accessed by registering with UK Biobank and completing the registration form in the Access Management System (AMS) ( https://www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/enable-your-research/apply-for-access ).

Atherosclerosis, Diabetes Mellitus, and Cancer: Common Epidemiology, Shared Mechanisms, and Future Management

The involvement of cardiovascular disease in cancer onset and development represents a contemporary interest in basic science. It has been recognized, from the most recent research, that metabolic syndrome-related conditions, ranging from atherosclerosis to diabetes, elicit many pathways regulating lipid metabolism and lipid signaling that are also linked to the same framework of multiple potential mechanisms for inducing cancer. Otherwise, dyslipidemia and endothelial cell dysfunction in atherosclerosis may present common or even interdependent changes, similar to oncogenic molecules elevated in many forms of cancer. However, whether endothelial cell dysfunction in atherosclerotic disease provides signals that promote the pre-clinical onset and proliferation of malignant cells is an issue that requires further understanding, even though more questions are presented with every answer. Here, we highlight the molecular mechanisms that point to a causal link between lipid metabolism and glucose homeostasis in metabolic syndrome-related atherosclerotic disease with the development of cancer. The knowledge of these breakthrough mechanisms may pave the way for the application of new therapeutic targets and for implementing interventions in clinical practice.

Genetically proxied impaired GIPR signaling and risk of 6 cancers

Preclinical and genetic studies suggest that impaired glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide receptor (GIPR) signaling worsens glycemic control. The relationship between GIPR signaling and the risk of cancers influenced by impaired glucose homeostasis is unclear. We examined the association of a variant in GIPR, rs1800437 (E354Q), shown to impair long-term GIPR signaling and lower circulating glucose-dependent insulinotropic peptide concentrations, with risk of 6 cancers influenced by impaired glucose homeostasis (breast, colorectal, endometrial, lung, pancreatic, and renal) in up to 235,698 cases and 333,932 controls. Each copy of E354Q was associated with a higher risk of overall and luminal A-like breast cancer and this association was consistent in replication and colocalization analyses. E354Q was also associated with higher postprandial glucose concentrations but diminished insulin secretion and lower testosterone concentrations. Our human genetics analysis suggests an adverse effect of the GIPR E354Q variant on breast cancer risk, supporting further evaluation of GIPR signaling in breast cancer prevention.

Association of TIM-3 with anterior uveitis and associated systemic immune diseases: a Mendelian randomization analysis

Background

We aimed to investigate the causal association between TIM-3, an immune checkpoint inhibitor, and anterior uveitis (AU), as well as associated systemic immune diseases.

Materials and methods

We performed two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to estimate the causal effects of TIM-3 on AU and three associated systemic diseases, namely ankylosing spondylitis (AS), Crohn's disease (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC). Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with AU, AS, CD, and UC were selected as the outcomes: AU GWAS with 2,752 patients with acute AU accompanied with AS (cases) and 3,836 AS patients (controls), AS GWAS with 968 cases and 336,191 controls, CD GWAS with 1,032 cases and 336,127 controls, and UC GWAS with 2,439 cases and 460,494 controls. The TIM-3 dataset was used as the exposure (n = 31,684). Four MR methods, namely, inverse-variance weighting (IVW), MR-Egger regression, weighted median, and weighted mode, were used in this study. Comprehensive sensitivity analyses were conducted to estimate the robustness of identified associations and the potential impact of horizontal pleiotropy.

Results

Our studies show that TIM-3 is significantly associated with CD using the IVW method (OR = 1.001, 95% CI = 1.0002-1.0018, P-value = 0.011). We also found that TIM-3 may be a protective factor for AU although these results lacked significance (OR = 0.889, 95% CI = 0.631-1.252, P-value = 0.5). No association was observed between the genetic predisposition to particular TIM-3 and susceptibility to AS or UC in this study. No potential heterogeneities or directional pleiotropies were observed in our analyses.

Conclusion

According to our study, a small correlation was observed between TIM-3 expression and CD susceptibility. Additional studies in different ethnic backgrounds will be necessary to further explore the potential roles and mechanisms of TIM-3 in CD.

Causal relationships between risk of venous thromboembolism and 18 cancers: a bidirectional Mendelian randomisation analysis

Background

People with cancer experience high rates of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Additionally, risk of subsequent cancer is increased in people experiencing their first VTE. The causal mechanisms underlying this association are not completely understood, and it is unknown whether VTE is itself a risk factor for cancer.

Methods

We used data from large genome-wide association study meta-analyses to perform bi-directional Mendelian randomisation analyses to estimate causal associations between genetically-proxied lifetime risk of VTE and risk of 18 different cancers.

Results

We found no conclusive evidence that genetically-proxied lifetime risk of VTE was causally associated with an increased incidence of cancer, or vice-versa. We observed an association between VTE and pancreatic cancer risk (odds ratio for pancreatic cancer 1.23 (95% confidence interval 1.08 - 1.40) per log-odds increase in risk of VTE, P = 0.002). However, sensitivity analyses revealed this association was predominantly driven by a variant proxying non-O blood group, with inadequate evidence from Mendelian randomisation to suggest a causal relationship.

Conclusions

These findings do not support the hypothesis that genetically-proxied lifetime risk of VTE is a cause of cancer. Existing observational epidemiological associations between VTE and cancer are therefore more likely to be driven by pathophysiological changes which occur in the setting of active cancer and anti-cancer treatments. Further work is required to explore and synthesise evidence for these mechanisms.

Association between circulating inflammatory markers and adult cancer risk: a Mendelian randomization analysis

Background

Tumour-promoting inflammation is a "hallmark" of cancer and conventional epidemiological studies have reported links between various inflammatory markers and cancer risk. The causal nature of these relationships and, thus, the suitability of these markers as intervention targets for cancer prevention is unclear.

Methods

We meta-analysed 6 genome-wide association studies of circulating inflammatory markers comprising 59,969 participants of European ancestry. We then used combined cis-Mendelian randomization and colocalisation analysis to evaluate the causal role of 66 circulating inflammatory markers in risk of 30 adult cancers in 338,162 cancer cases and up to 824,556 controls. Genetic instruments for inflammatory markers were constructed using genome-wide significant (P < 5.0 x 10-8) cis-acting SNPs (i.e. in or ±250 kb from the gene encoding the relevant protein) in weak linkage disequilibrium (LD, r2 < 0.10). Effect estimates were generated using inverse-variance weighted random-effects models and standard errors were inflated to account for weak LD between variants with reference to the 1000 Genomes Phase 3 CEU panel. A false discovery rate (FDR)-corrected P-value ("q-value") < 0.05 was used as a threshold to define "strong evidence" to support associations and 0.05 ≤ q-value < 0.20 to define "suggestive evidence". A colocalisation posterior probability (PPH4) > 70% was employed to indicate support for shared causal variants across inflammatory markers and cancer outcomes.

Results

We found strong evidence to support an association of genetically-proxied circulating pro-adrenomedullin concentrations with increased breast cancer risk (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.10-1.29, q-value=0.033, PPH4=84.3%) and suggestive evidence to support associations of interleukin-23 receptor concentrations with increased pancreatic cancer risk (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.20-1.69, q-value=0.055, PPH4=73.9%), prothrombin concentrations with decreased basal cell carcinoma risk (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.53-0.81, q-value=0.067, PPH4=81.8%), macrophage migration inhibitory factor concentrations with increased bladder cancer risk (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.05-1.23, q-value=0.072, PPH4=76.1%), and interleukin-1 receptor-like 1 concentrations with decreased triple-negative breast cancer risk (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88-0.97, q-value=0.15), PPH4=85.6%). For 22 of 30 cancer outcomes examined, there was little evidence (q-value ≥ 0.20) that any of the 66 circulating inflammatory markers examined were associated with cancer risk.

Conclusion

Our comprehensive joint Mendelian randomization and colocalisation analysis of the role of circulating inflammatory markers in cancer risk identified potential roles for 5 circulating inflammatory markers in risk of 5 site-specific cancers. Contrary to reports from some prior conventional epidemiological studies, we found little evidence of association of circulating inflammatory markers with the majority of site-specific cancers evaluated.

Irritability and risk of lung cancer: a Mendelian randomization and mediation analysis

BACKGROUND

There is no research to prove the association between irritability and lung cancer, our study performed a Mendelian randomization (MR) approach to elucidate the causal relationship of irritability with lung cancer risk.

METHODS

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) data of irritability, lung cancer and gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) were downloaded from a public database for two-sample MR analysis. Independent single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with irritability and GERD were selected as instrumental variables (IVs). Inverse variance weighting (IVW) and weighted median method were used to analyze causality.

RESULTS

There is an association between irritability and lung cancer risk (OR_IVW = 1.01, 95% CI = [1.00, 1.02], P = 0.018; OR_{weighted median} = 1.01, 95% CI = [1.00, 1.02], P = 0.046), and GERD might account for about 37.5% of the association between irritability and lung cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirmed the causal effect between irritability and lung cancer through MR analysis, and found that GERD played an essential mediating role in this relationship, which can partly indicate the role of the "inflammation-cancer transformation" process in lung cancer.

Mendelian Randomization Analysis Reveals No Causal Relationship Between Plasma α-Synuclein and Parkinson's Disease

So far, the studies exploring plasma α-synuclein as a biomarker of Parkinson's disease (PD) have provided contradictory results. Here, we first employed the Mendelian randomization (MR) approach to elucidate their potential causal relationship. Five genetic instrumental variables of plasma α-synuclein were acquired from two publicly available datasets. Three independent genome-wide association studies of PD were used as outcome cohorts (PD cohorts 1, 2, and 3). Two-sample MR analyses were conducted using inverse-variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger, weighted median, simple mode, and leave-one-out methods. Though the IVW approach demonstrated positive plasma α-synuclein effect on the PD risk in three outcome cohorts (OR = 1.134, 1.164, and 1.189, respectively), the P values were all larger than 0.05. The conclusions were robust under complementary sensitivity analyses. Our results did not support the causal relationship between plasma α-synuclein and PD.

Circulating insulin-like growth factors and risks of overall, aggressive and early-onset prostate cancer: a collaborative analysis of 20 prospective studies and Mendelian randomization analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies had limited power to assess the associations of circulating insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and IGF-binding proteins (IGFBPs) with clinically relevant prostate cancer as a primary endpoint, and the association of genetically predicted IGF-I with aggressive prostate cancer is not known. We aimed to investigate the associations of IGF-I, IGF-II, IGFBP-1, IGFBP-2 and IGFBP-3 concentrations with overall, aggressive and early-onset prostate cancer.

METHODS

Prospective analysis of biomarkers using the Endogenous Hormones, Nutritional Biomarkers and Prostate Cancer Collaborative Group dataset (up to 20 studies, 17 009 prostate cancer cases, including 2332 aggressive cases). Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for prostate cancer were estimated using conditional logistic regression. For IGF-I, two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was undertaken using instruments identified using UK Biobank (158 444 men) and outcome data from PRACTICAL (up to 85 554 cases, including 15 167 aggressive cases). Additionally, we used colocalization to rule out confounding by linkage disequilibrium.

RESULTS

In observational analyses, IGF-I was positively associated with risks of overall (OR per 1 SD = 1.09: 95% CI 1.07, 1.11), aggressive (1.09: 1.03, 1.16) and possibly early-onset disease (1.11: 1.00, 1.24); associations were similar in MR analyses (OR per 1 SD = 1.07: 1.00, 1.15; 1.10: 1.01, 1.20; and 1.13; 0.98, 1.30, respectively). Colocalization also indicated a shared signal for IGF-I and prostate cancer (PP4: 99%). Men with higher IGF-II (1.06: 1.02, 1.11) and IGFBP-3 (1.08: 1.04, 1.11) had higher risks of overall prostate cancer, whereas higher IGFBP-1 was associated with a lower risk (0.95: 0.91, 0.99); these associations were attenuated following adjustment for IGF-I.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings support the role of IGF-I in the development of prostate cancer, including for aggressive disease.

Modifiable factors for migraine prophylaxis: A mendelian randomization analysis

Objective: To examine the causal effect of potentially modifiable risk factors contributing to migraine pathogenesis. Methods: We performed Mendelian randomization analyses and acquired data from United Kingdom Biobank, FinnGen Biobank, and the MRC IEU OpenGWAS data infrastructure. An inverse-variance weighted (IVW) model was used to examine the relationship between 51 potentially modifiable risk factors and migraine in 3215 participants with migraine without aura (MwoA), 3541 participants with migraine with aura (MwA), and 176,107 controls. We adopted a Bonferroni-corrected threshold of p = 9.8 × 10-4 (.05 divided by 51 exposures) as a sign of significant effect, and a p < .05 was considered as the sign of a suggestive association. Results: More years of schooling significantly correlated with lower odds of MwoA pathogenesis (OR .57 [95%CI .44 to .75], p < .0001). More vitamin B12 intake (OR .49 [95%CI .24 to .99], p = .046) and lower level of stress [OR 8.17 (95%CI 1.5 to 44.36), p = .015] or anxiety disorder (OR 1.92 × 109 [95%CI 8.76 to 4.23*1017], p = .029) were suggestive to be correlated lower odds of MwoA pathogenesis. More coffee intake (OR .39 [95%CI .22 to .7], p = .001), lower level of eicosapentaenoic acid status (OR 2.54 [95%CI 1.03 to 6.26], p = .043), and more light physical activity (OR .09 [95%CI .01 to .94], p = .046) were suggestive to be associated with lower odds of MwA. Conclusion: The years of schooling, light physical activity, vitamin B12 intake, and coffee intake were the protective factors for migraine; stress, anxiety, and eicosapentaenoic acid status were harmful factors. Interventions could be developed based on modifying these factors for migraine prophylaxis.

Mendelian randomization analysis does not reveal a causal influence of mental diseases on osteoporosis

Introduction

Osteoporosis (OP) is primarily diagnosed through bone mineral density (BMD) measurements, and it often leads to fracture. Observational studies suggest that several mental diseases (MDs) may be linked to OP, but the causal direction of these associations remain unclear. This study aims to explore the potential causal association between five MDs (Schizophrenia, Depression, Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, and Epilepsy) and the risk of OP.

Methods

First, single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were filtered from summary-level genome-wide association studies using quality control measures. Subsequently, we employed two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to indirectly analyze the causal effect of MDs on the risk of OP through bone mineral density (in total body, femoral neck, lumbar spine, forearm, and heel) and fractures (in leg, arm, heel, spine, and osteoporotic fractures). Lastly, the causal effect of the MDs on the risk of OP was evaluated directly through OP. MR analysis was performed using several methods, including inverse variance weighting (IVW)-random effects, IVW-fixed effects, maximum likelihood, weighted median, MR-Egger regression, and penalized weighted median.

Results

The results did not show any evidence of a causal relationship between MDs and the risk of OP (with almost all P values > 0.05). The robustness of the above results was proved to be good.

Discussion

In conclusion, this study did not find evidence supporting the claim that MDs have a definitive impact on the risk of OP, which contradicts many existing observational reports. Further studies are needed to determine the potential mechanisms of the associations observed in observational studies.

Causal Relationships of General and Abdominal Adiposity on Osteoarthritis: A Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization Study

Background: Adiposity is closely related to osteoarthritis, but the causal effects of different types of adiposity on osteoarthritis are indistinct. This study conducted a Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis for the causal effects of general adiposity and abdominal adiposity on knee osteoarthritis (KOA) and hip osteoarthritis (HOA). Methods: The general adiposity was assessed by body mass index (BMI), while the abdominal adiposity was evaluated with waist circumference (WC), hip circumference (HC), and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). The data used in this two-sample MR analysis originated from genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Significant (p < 5 × 10−8) and independent (r2 < 0.01) single-nucleotide polymorphisms were selected as instrumental variables for the MR analysis. Subsequently, this study used the inverse variance weighted, weighted median, and other methods for the causal inference, and the results were presented as odds ratios (OR). Moreover, sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the stability and reliability of the results. Results: The MR results revealed positive causal effects of BMI on KOA (OR: 1.694; 95% CI: from 1.492 to 1.923; p = 3.96 × 10−16) and HOA (OR: 1.412; 95% CI: from 1.196 to 1.666; p = 4.58 × 10−5). Additionally, WC and HC both positively and causally related to KOA (WC: OR: 1.827; 95% CI: from 1.564 to 2.134; p = 2.68 × 10−14; HC: OR: 1.610; 95% CI: from 1.357 to 1.912; p = 5.03 × 10−8) and HOA (WC: OR: 1.491; 95% CI: from 1.254 to 1.772; p = 5.85 × 10−6; HC: OR: 1.439; 95% CI: from 1.205 to 1.719; p = 5.82 × 10−5). However, no causal relationship existed between WHR and obesity. These results were robust according to the sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: This study indicated that both general and abdominal obesity had positive causal effects on knee osteoarthritis and hip osteoarthritis.

Physical activity and risk of gallstone disease: A Mendelian randomization study

Objective: Given the association between physical activity and the reduced risk of gallstone disease as suggested in observational studies, a Mendelian randomization study was conducted to evaluate the causal nature of this association in genetic epidemiology. Study: Including self-reported and accelerometer-based physical activity traits, the independent genetic variants associated with physical activity were selected from the corresponding genome-wide association studies as instrumental variables. The summary-level data for gallstone disease were sourced from the UK Biobank (7,682 cases and 455,251 non-cases) and FinnGen consortium (23,089 cases and 231,644 non-cases). Then, two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis was conducted. Inverse-variance weight (IVW), weighted median, and Mendelian randomization-Egger regression were determined through Mendelian randomization analyses. To ensure the robustness of the results, sensitivity analyses were also carried out in the study. Results: The negative causality between the genetically predicted accelerometer-based "average acceleration" physical activity and the risk of gallstone disease was suggested in the UK Biobank study (p = 0.023, OR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.87-0.99), and accelerometer-based "overall activity" physical activity and the risk of gallstone disease in the UK Biobank study (p = 0.017, OR = 0.38, 95% CI: 0.17-0.84). With accelerometer-based "average acceleration" physical activity negatively correlated with gallstone disease in the FinnGen consortium data (p = 0.001, OR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.90-0.97). As for self-reported moderate-to-vigorous physical activity, however, there was no causality observed in both pieces of data. Conclusion: Our studies provide the evidence suggesting a casual association between physical activities and gallstone disease through analysis of genetic data. As indicated by the research results, there is a possibility that a higher level of physical activities could mitigate the risk of gallstone disease.

Linking Physical Activity to Breast Cancer Risk via the Insulin/Insulin-like Growth Factor Signaling System, Part 2: The Effect of Insulin/Insulin-like Growth Factor Signaling on Breast Cancer Risk

Perturbation of the insulin/insulin-like growth factor (IGF) signaling system is often cited as a mechanism driving breast cancer risk. A systematic review identified prospective cohort studies and Mendelian randomization studies that examined the effects of insulin/IGF signaling (IGF, their binding proteins (IGFBP), and markers of insulin resistance] on breast cancer risk. Meta-analyses generated effect estimates; risk of bias was assessed and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation system applied to evaluate the overall quality of the evidence. Four Mendelian randomization and 19 prospective cohort studies met our inclusion criteria. Meta-analysis of cohort studies confirmed that higher IGF-1 increased risk of breast cancer; this finding was supported by the Mendelian randomization studies. IGFBP-3 did not affect breast cancer. Meta analyses for connecting-peptide and fasting insulin showed small risk increases, but confidence intervals were wide and crossed the null. The quality of evidence obtained ranged from 'very low' to 'moderate'. There were insufficient studies to examine other markers of insulin/IGF signaling. These findings do not strongly support the biological plausibility of the second part of the physical activity-insulin/IGF signaling system-breast cancer pathway. Robust conclusions cannot be drawn due to the dearth of high quality studies. See related article by Swain et al., p. 2106.

Mendelian randomization as a tool to gain insights into the mosaic causes of autoimmune diseases

Autoimmune diseases (ADs) are a broad range of disorders which are characterized by long-term inflammation and tissue damage arising from an immune response against one's own tissues. It is now widely accepted that the causes of ADs include environmental factors, genetic susceptibility and immune dysregulation. However, the exact etiology of ADs has not been fully elucidated to date. Because observational studies are plagued by confounding factors and reverse causality, no firm conclusions can be drawn about the etiology of ADs. Over the years, Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis has come into focus, offering unique perspectives and insights into the etiology of ADs and promising the discovery of potential therapeutic interventions. In MR analysis, genetic variation (alleles are randomly dispensed during meiosis, usually irrespective of environmental or lifestyle factors) is used instead of modifiable exposure to explore the link between exposure factors and disease or other outcomes. Therefore, MR analysis can provide a valuable method for exploring the causal relationship between different risk factors and ADs when its inherent assumptions and limitations are fully considered. This review summarized the recent findings of MR in major ADs, including systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), rheumatoid arthritis (RA), multiple sclerosis (MS), and type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM), focused on the effects of different risk factors on ADs risks. In addition, we also discussed the opportunities and challenges of MR methods in ADs research.

Causal association between rheumatoid arthritis and celiac disease: A bidirectional two-sample mendelian randomization study

Objectives: Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) has been associated with Celiac Disease (CD) in previous observational epidemiological studies. However, evidence for this association is limited and inconsistent, and it remains uncertain whether the association is causal or due to confounding or reverse causality. This study aimed to assess the bidirectional causal relationship between RA and CD. Methods: In this two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study, instrumental variables (IVs) for RA were derived from a genome-wide association studies (GWAS) meta-analysis including 58,284 subjects. Summary statistics for CD originated from a GWAS meta-analysis with 15,283 subjects. The inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method was used as the primary analysis. Four complementary methods were applied, including the weighted-median, weighted mode, MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRESSO) test and MR-Egger regression, to strengthen the effect estimates. Results: Positive causal effects of genetically increased RA risk on CD were derived [IVW odds ratio (OR): 1.46, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19-1.79, p = 3.21E-04]. The results of reverse MR analysis demonstrated no significant causal effect of CD on RA (IVW OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.91-1.21, p = 0.499). According to the sensitivity analysis, horizontal pleiotropy was unlikely to distort the causal estimates. Conclusion: This study reveals a causality of RA on CD but not CD on RA among patients of European descent. This outcome suggests that the features and indicators of CD should regularly be assessed for RA patients.

Sex steroid hormones and risk of breast cancer: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer (BC) has the highest cancer incidence and mortality in women worldwide. Observational epidemiological studies suggest a positive association between testosterone, estradiol, dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS) and other sex steroid hormones with postmenopausal BC. We used a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis to investigate this association.

METHODS

Genetic instruments for nine sex steroid hormones and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) were obtained from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of UK Biobank (total testosterone (TT) N: 230,454, bioavailable testosterone (BT) N: 188,507 and SHBG N: 189,473), The United Kingdom Household Longitudinal Study (DHEAS N: 9722), the LIFE-Adult and LIFE-Heart cohorts (estradiol N: 2607, androstenedione N: 711, aldosterone N: 685, progesterone N: 1259 and 17-hydroxyprogesterone N: 711) and the CORtisol NETwork (CORNET) consortium (cortisol N: 25,314). Outcome GWAS summary statistics were obtained from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC) for overall BC risk (N: 122,977 cases and 105,974 controls) and subtype-specific analyses.

RESULTS

We found that a standard deviation (SD) increase in TT, BT and estradiol increased the risk of overall BC (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.09-1.21, OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07-1.33 and OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.06, respectively) and ER + BC (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.12-1.27, OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.11-1.40 and OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03-1.09, respectively). An SD increase in DHEAS also increased ER + BC risk (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.03-1.16). Subtype-specific analyses showed similar associations with ER+ expressing subtypes: luminal A-like BC, luminal B-like BC and luminal B/HER2-negative-like BC.

CONCLUSIONS

TT, BT, DHEAS and estradiol increase the risk of ER+ type BCs similar to observational studies. Understanding the role of sex steroid hormones in BC risk, particularly subtype-specific risks, highlights the potential importance of attempts to modify and/or monitor hormone levels in order to prevent BC.