Duration of abdominal obesity beginning in young adulthood and incident diabetes through middle age: the CARDIA study

What matters for weight loss in behavioral trials in the Latinx community: Learnings from three randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Nearly half of Latinx adults in the US are obese, making effective weight loss interventions crucial to prevent associated chronic conditions.

OBJECTIVE

To identify factors associated with increased session attendance and clinically significant weight loss among Latinx adults.

PARTICIPANTS

Latinx participants from the Vivamos Activos (n = 207), Vida Sana (n = 191), and HOMBRE (n = 424 Latinx men) randomized clinical trials.

DESIGN

Post-hoc analysis of randomized controlled trial data.

INTERVENTION

Culturally-adapted behavioral weight loss interventions based on the Diabetes Prevention Program among Latinx adults over 12 months.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Demographic, clinical, and psychosocial predictors of session attendance and 5% weight loss at 12-months.

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS PERFORMED

Bi-variable associations between baseline characteristics and outcomes were tested with chi-square and t-tests. Those with p-value< 0.15 were then included in stepwise logistic regressions.

RESULTS

Participants (N = 822) were middle age with diverse socioeconomic backgrounds. Older age in the Vivamos Activos and Vida Sana trials, and lower acculturation in the HOMBRE trial were significant predictors of increased session attendance. Factors associated with 5% weight loss varied by trials. These included younger age (OR 0.96 95% CI 0.92, 0.99) in Vivamos Activos, higher acculturation (OR 1.88 95% CI 1.05, 3.37) in Vida Sana, and higher education (OR 3.20 95% CI 1.3, 7.03) and greater body image dissatisfaction (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.04, 1.6), and lower acculturation (0.69 95% CI 0.5, 0.96) in HOMBRE.

CONCLUSIONS

Few and conflicting baseline characteristics were associated with session attendance and clinically significant weight loss, suggesting that alternative approaches to optimizing interventions are needed.

Obesity Duration and Cardiometabolic Disease

Cardiovascular disease risk is known to be influenced by both the severity of a risk factor and the duration of exposure (eg, LDL [low-density lipoprotein] cholesterol, tobacco smoke). However, this concept has been largely neglected within the obesity literature. While obesity severity has been closely linked with cardiometabolic diseases, the risk of developing these conditions among those with obesity may be augmented by greater obesity duration over the life span. Few longitudinal or contemporary studies have investigated the influence of both factors in combination-cumulative obesity exposure-instead generally focusing on obesity severity, often at a single time point, given ease of use and lack of established methods to encapsulate duration. Our review focuses on what is known about the influence of the duration of exposure to excess adiposity within the obesity-associated cardiometabolic disease risk equation by means of summarizing the hypothesized mechanisms for and evidence surrounding the relationships of obesity duration with diverse cardiovascular and metabolic disease. Through the synthesis of the currently available data, we aim to highlight the importance of a better understanding of the influence of obesity duration in cardiovascular and metabolic disease pathogenesis. We underscore the clinical importance of aggressive early attention to obesity identification and intervention to prevent the development of chronic diseases that arise from exposure to excess body weight.

Personalized versus generic digital weight loss interventions delivered on university campuses: a 6-month cost-benefit analysis

Cost-effectiveness analyses of weight loss programs for university students can inform administrator decision-making. This study quantifies and compares the costs and cost-effectiveness of implementing two digitally-delivered weight loss interventions designed for university populations. Healthy Body Healthy U (HBHU) was a randomized controlled trial comparing TAILORED (personalized) versus TARGETED (generic) weight loss interventions adapted specifically for young adults to a CONTROL intervention. Participants (N = 459; 23.3 ± 4.4 years; mean BMI 31.2 ± 4.4 kg/m2) were recruited from two universities. Implementation costs were examined from a payer (i.e., university) perspective, comparing both the average cost effectiveness ratio (ACER) and the incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the two interventions. Cost-effectiveness measures were calculated for changes in body weight, abdominal circumference, HDL cholesterol, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and HbA1c. The overall 6-month implementation costs were $105.66 per person for the TAILORED intervention and $91.44 per person for the TARGETED intervention. The ACER for weight change was $107.82 for the TAILORED and $179.29 for the TARGETED interventions. The ICER comparing TAILORED with TARGETED for change in body weight was $5.05, and was even lower ($2.28) when including only those with overweight and not obesity. The ICERs for change in abdominal circumference, HDL cholesterol, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and HbA1c were $3.49, $59.37, $1.57, $2.64, and $47.49, respectively. The TAILORED intervention was generally more cost-effective compared with the TARGETED intervention, particularly among those with overweight. Young adults with obesity may require more resource-intensive precision-based approaches.

Distinct depressive symptom trajectories are associated with incident diabetes among Chinese middle-aged and older adults: The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies have reported that depression and depressive symptom are associated with diabetes incident. However, the association between long-term depressive symptom patterns and risk of diabetes remains unknown. The aim of present study was to evaluate the association between depressive symptom trajectories and risk of diabetes.

METHODS

We used data of 8806 participants (≥45 years old) from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Trajectories of depressive symptom were identified by latent mixture modeling. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to examine the association of depressive symptom trajectories with diabetes.

RESULTS

Five depressive symptom trajectories were identified, characterizing by maintaining a low CES-D scores throughout the follow-up (low-stable; 3227 participants [36.65%]); maintaining a moderate CES-D scores throughout the follow-up (moderate-stable; 3402 participants [38.63%]); moderate starting CES-D scores then increasing scores (moderate-increasing; 681 participants [7.73%%]); high starting CES-D scores but then decreasing scores (high-decreasing; 1061 participants [12.05%]); and maintained high CES-D scores throughout the follow-up (high-stable; 435 participants [4.94%]). During 2015 to 2018 (Wave 3 to Wave 4), a total of 312 respondents experienced diabetes. Compared with participants in the low-stable depressive symptom trajectory, those following a high-decreasing (ORs = 2.04; 95%CIs 1.48-2.98) and high-stable depressive symptom trajectories (ORs = 3.26; 95%CIs 2.06-5.16) were at substantially higher risk of developing diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with high-decreasing and high-stable depressive symptom trajectories over time were associated with increased risk of incident diabetes. Long-term depressive symptom may be a strong predictor of having diabetes.

Longitudinal relationship between body fat percentage and risk of type 2 diabetes in Chinese adults: Evidence from the China Health and Nutrition Survey

Objective

Body fat percentage (BF%) might be an alternative index of obesity which is the major risk factor for developing type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aim to longitudinally evaluated the relationship between BF% and risk of T2D.

Methods

A sample of 5,595 adults aged 18-65 who participated in two waves of China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS 2015 and 2018) was analyzed. Two level mixed-effects modified Poisson regression with robust estimation of variance stratified by sex was used to evaluate the risk ratios (RRs) for T2D according to quintiles of BF%, and the curves of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were plotted to identify the optimal total and trunk BF% cut-off points for predicting an increased T2D risk.

Results

In males, compared with subjects in the first quintile of total BF%, those in the third (RR = 2.03, 95% CI 1.09-3.79), fourth (RR = 2.56, 95%CI 1.46-4.48), and fifth (RR = 2.16, 95%CI 1.22-3.82) quintile had higher risk of T2D after adjusting for all potential confounders (p-trend < 0.001). For females, the RR (95% CI) was 1.92 (1.14, 3.24) in the fifth quintile (p-trend = 0.014). Males and females with a trunk BF% >25.5 and 34.4% (≥ quintile 4), respectively, were at significantly increased risk of T2D (p-trend = 0.001). Besides, the optimal cut-off values of total and trunk BF% were 21.9 and 25.2% for males, and 36.7 and 30.3% for females, respectively.

Conclusions

The incident risk of T2D significantly increased over specific level of total and trunk BF% in both Chinese males and females, and the optimal BF% cut-off values were valuable for clinical application of BF% based on sex difference, which may be a cost-effective implementation for prevention and treatment of T2D in China.

Waist Circumference-Years Construct Analysis and the Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes: China Health and Nutrition Survey, 1997-2015

Background: Few studies have combined the degree and duration of abdominal obesity into a waist circumference-years construct for analysis. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of waist circumference-years on the incidence of type 2 diabetes. Methods: A total of 6616 adults from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) were enrolled in this study from 1997. The waist circumference-years construct was represented as the sum of the upper and lower area between the waist circumference baseline (men: ≥90 cm, women: ≥85 cm) and the waist circumference line. The correlations in the study were analyzed using logistic regression. Results: The incidence of type 2 diabetes increased with increasing waist circumference-years, with an adjusted risk increase of 38% (95% CI: 31−47%) for each additional 50 waist circumference-years, and this rate was similar across gender and age groups. The area under the curve of waist circumference-years (0.743) was greatest in the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis compared to baseline waist circumference (0.731) and the waist-height ratio (0.728) (p < 0.05). Conclusion: The waist circumference-years construct is closely associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes and may be a stronger predictor of type 2 diabetes risk than baseline waist circumference or the waist-height ratio.

Obesity Metabolic Phenotype, Changes in Time and Risk of Diabetes Mellitus in an Observational Prospective Study on General Population

Objectives: To evaluate the distribution and changes in different obesity metabolic phenotypes, as well as their impact on the incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in a northwest Chinese population sample.

Methods: Data comes from prospective cohort study (n = 1,393, mean follow up = 9.46 years). Participants were classified into four groups through a combination of the Chinese Diabetes Society (CDS) diagnostic criteria for metabolic syndrome with anthropometric measurements: metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), metabolically healthy overweight/obese (MHO), metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW), and metabolically unhealthy overweight/obese (MUO). Cox regression models with time-dependent covariates were used to evaluate changes in obesity metabolic phenotypes and risk of T2DM.

Results: Participants in MUO state had the highest risk of developing T2DM, the incidence density was 12.10/1,000 person-year. The MHO and MUO groups showed an increased risk of incident diabetes based on body mass index (BMI) (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.03–1.61; p = 0.026 and HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.02–1.40; p = 0.024 respectively.) Besides, the MHO group had an increased risk of incident diabetes based on waist circumference (WC) (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.10–1.80; p = 0.006).

Conclusion: Diabetes is more frequent in the MHO and MUO groups and co-occurrence of obesity and metabolic abnormalities (MA) contributes to the development of T2DM.

The Benefits of Resistance Training in Obese Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Physical activity is essential in acquiring healthy lifestyle behaviors in the early years of maturational development and preventing various diseases. Resistance training (RT) is fundamental for improving body composition and is increasingly recommended for obese adolescents. A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed to synthesize and analyze data on the effects of RT programs in this population, seeking to develop useful recommendations for health and sports professionals.

METHODS

A search was performed using four databases (Web of Science, Scopus, PubMed, and ScienceDirect). According to specific inclusion criteria, twenty-one studies were selected to evaluate the impact of RT on body mass index (BMI), body fat, waist circumference, muscle strength, insulin sensitivity, lean mass and cardiorespiratory fitness.

RESULTS

After the RT programs, the adolescents improved their muscle strength (SMD, 1.44; 95% CI: 0.76-2.12), cardiorespiratory fitness (SMD, 1.09; 95% CI: 0.15-2.04), BMI (SMD, 0.21; 95% CI: 0.07-0.35), waist circumference (SMD, 0.27; 95% CI: 0.06-0.47) and body fat (SMD, 0.20; 95% CI: 0.05-0.34). However, insulin sensitivity (SMD, 0.32; 95% CI: - 0.47 to 1.10) and lean mass (SMD, 0.12; 95% CI: - 0.06 to 0.31) did not reveal any changes. Different RT programs were used but it seems that 2-3 times/week ∼60 min/session of RT for 12 weeks should be recommended for positive changes.

CONCLUSIONS

RT seems to be effective when the objective is to improve muscle strength, cardiorespiratory fitness and can be an efficient strategy to reduce obesity in adolescents by reducing body fat, waist circumference and body mass index. PROSPERO Registration number: CRD42022333411.

Pelvic Floor Support and Symptoms 1 Year Postpartum in Relation to Excess Body Habitus Before, During and After First Vaginal Birth

IMPORTANCE

Obesity may be a modifiable risk factor for pelvic floor disorders.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study is to determine associations between weight, weight changes, and cumulative exposure to excess body mass index (BMI) from prepregnancy to 1 year postpartum on pelvic floor support and symptoms 1 year after first vaginal birth.

STUDY DESIGN

In 645 primiparous women who gave birth vaginally, we assessed anatomic pelvic floor support, pelvic floor symptoms and BMI at the third trimester, 5 - 10 weeks, and 1 year postpartum; we also assessed BMI prepregnancy and predelivery. Using multivariable models, we determined associations between pelvic floor outcomes 1 year postpartum and BMI quartiles at different timepoints, gestational weight gain, and postpartum weight retention. We evaluated associations between stress urinary incontinence (SUI) and moderate/severe urinary incontinence (UI) 1 year postpartum and cumulative excess BMI from prepregnancy to 1-year postpartum (BMI1year).

RESULTS

Body mass index was not associated with anatomic support, composite symptom burden, overactive bladder, anal incontinence, or constipation at any timepoint. Gestational weight gain and postpartum weight retention were not associated with any 1-year outcome. Body mass index at every timepoint was positively associated with SUI and moderate/severe UI; BMI1year was most predictive. Cumulative excess BMI was positively associated with SUI and moderate/severe UI but only slightly more predictive of these outcomes than BMI1year alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Body mass index over the pregnancy trajectory was not associated with outcomes other than UI. The small advantage of cumulative exposure to excess BMI over BMI1year in predicting SUI and moderate/severe UI suggests that BMI1year adequately captures risk of these 1-year outcomes.

Exercise dose on hepatic fat and cardiovascular health in adolescents with excess of adiposity

OBJECTIVE

The HEPAFIT study was aimed at examining the impact of a 6-month physical education intervention, considering various levels of exercise intensity, on hepatic fat and cardiometabolic health outcomes in adolescents with excess adiposity.

METHODS

Adolescents (n = 120), 11-17 years with excess adiposity by body fat >30%, were randomly assigned to one of the following 4 groups for 6 months: (1) standard physical education lessons, control (CTRL); (2) high-intensity physical education (HIPE); (3) low-to-moderate intensity physical education (LIPE) and (4) combined HIPE and LIPE (PLUS). The primary outcome was hepatic fat content measured by vibration-controlled transient elastography (controlled attenuation parameter [CAP]). Secondary outcomes were traditional cardiovascular health markers (body composition, serum lipids, aminotransferases and health-related physical fitness components).

RESULTS

Adjusted mixed effects linear models revealed a significant decrease in CAP levels in HIPE (-20.02 dB/m, p < 0.0001) (p = 0.001 vs. CTRL group) and PLUS (-16.25 dB/m, p = 0.005) groups. Body fat decreased in the HIPE (-2.88%, p < 0.001) (p = 0.001 vs. CTRL group) and LIPE (-1.26%, p = 0.022) groups. The physical fitness components were increased in the HIPE and PLUS group relative to the baseline (p < 0.05), and the HIPE group showed a reduction in the total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of a 6-month physical education exercise program, particularly high-intensity or combined high and low-intensity, improves hepatic fat storage and significantly reduces cardiometabolic markers in adolescents with excess of adiposity. Interventions involving supervised physical exercise may help to improve metabolism and fat deposition at the hepatic level, thus preventing the development of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in adolescents.

Dietary pattern of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus including date consumption

Aim

Assess the relationship between date palm fruit consumption and diabetic control among Saudi patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Subjects and methods

Saudi patients with type 2 diabetes (n = 404, aged 55.3 ± 9.7 years) were included in this study. Height, weight and blood pressure were initially measured. Blood glucose levels (fasting and random), glycated hemoglobin HbA1c, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, low-density lipoprotein and triglycerides were retrieved from the patient’s medical records. The amount and frequency of habitual consumption of date fruits were obtained from patients using a validated dietary questionnaire.

Results

The results revealed that high consumption of date fruits was statistically significantly correlated with lower HbA1c and fasting blood glucose (p < 0.01).

Conclusion

This cross-sectional study found an association between high date fruit consumption by patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and lower HbA1c and fasting blood glucose levels. Further studies are required to verify this interesting finding

Obesity Duration, Severity, and Distribution Trajectories and Cardiovascular Disease Risk in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Background Research examining the role of obesity in cardiovascular disease (CVD) often fails to adequately consider heterogeneity in obesity severity, distribution, and duration. Methods and Results We here use multivariate latent class mixed models in the biracial Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (N=14 514; mean age=54 years; 55% female) to associate obesity subclasses (derived from body mass index, waist circumference, self-reported weight at age 25, tricep skinfold, and calf circumference across up to four triennial visits) with total mortality, incident CVD, and CVD risk factors. We identified four obesity subclasses, summarized by their body mass index and waist circumference slope as decline (4.1%), stable/slow decline (67.8%), moderate increase (24.6%), and rapid increase (3.6%) subclasses. Compared with participants in the stable/slow decline subclass, the decline subclass was associated with elevated mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.45, 95% CI 1.31, 1.60, P<0.0001) and with heart failure (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.22, 1.63, P<0.0001), stroke (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.22, 1.92, P=0.0002), and coronary heart disease (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.14, 1.63, P=0.0008), adjusting for baseline body mass index and CVD risk factor profile. The moderate increase latent class was not associated with any significant differences in CVD risk as compared to the stable/slow decline latent class and was associated with a lower overall risk of mortality (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80, 0.90, P<0.0001), despite higher body mass index at baseline. The rapid increase latent class was associated with a higher risk of heart failure versus the stable/slow decline latent class (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.10, 1.62, P=0.004). Conclusions Consideration of heterogeneity and longitudinal changes in obesity measures is needed in clinical care for a more precision-oriented view of CVD risk.

Characteristics associated with early- vs. later-onset adult diabetes: The CARDIA study

AIMS

Differences in risk profiles for individuals with early- (<40 years old) vs. later-onset (≥40 years old) diabetes were examined.

METHODS

A nested case-comparison study design using 30-year longitudinal data from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study was used. Survey data (socio-demographics, family history, medical records, and lifestyle behaviors), obesity-related measures (body mass index, weight), blood pressure, and laboratory data (insulin, fasting glucose, 2-h glucose, and lipids) were used to examine progression patterns of diabetes development in those with early-onset vs. later-onset diabetes.

RESULTS

Of 605 participants, 120 were in early-onset group while 485 were in later-onset group. Early-onset group had a lower A Priori Diet Quality Score, but not statistically significant at baseline; however, the between-group difference became significant at the time that diabetes was first detected (p = 0.026). The physical activity intensity score consistently decreased from baseline to the development of diabetes in both the early- and later-onset groups. Early-onset group showed more dyslipidemia at baseline and at the time that diabetes was first detected, and rapid weight gain from baseline to the development of diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Emphases on lifestyle modification and risk-based diabetes screening in asymptomatic young adults are necessary for early detection and prevention.

The Coronary Artery Risk Development In Young Adults (CARDIA) Study: JACC Focus Seminar 8/8

The CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study began in 1985 to 1986 with enrollment of 5,115 Black or White men and women ages 18 to 30 years from 4 US communities. Over 35 years, CARDIA has contributed fundamentally to our understanding of the contemporary epidemiology and life course of cardiovascular health and disease, as well as pulmonary, renal, neurological, and other manifestations of aging. CARDIA has established associations between the neighborhood environment and the evolution of lifestyle behaviors with biological risk factors, subclinical disease, and early clinical events. CARDIA has also identified the nature and major determinants of Black-White differences in the development of cardiovascular risk. CARDIA will continue to be a unique resource for understanding determinants, mechanisms, and outcomes of cardiovascular health and disease across the life course, leveraging ongoing pan-omics work from genomics to metabolomics that will define mechanistic pathways involved in cardiometabolic aging.

Synergizing Mouse and Human Studies to Understand the Heterogeneity of Obesity

Obesity is routinely considered as a single disease state, which drives a "one-size-fits-all" approach to treatment. We recently convened the first annual University of North Carolina Interdisciplinary Nutrition Sciences Symposium to discuss the heterogeneity of obesity and the need for translational science to advance understanding of this heterogeneity. The symposium aimed to advance scientific rigor in translational studies from animal to human models with the goal of identifying underlying mechanisms and treatments. In this review, we discuss fundamental gaps in knowledge of the heterogeneity of obesity ranging from cellular to population perspectives. We also advocate approaches to overcoming limitations in the field. Examples include the use of contemporary mouse genetic reference population models such as the Collaborative Cross and Diversity Outbred mice that effectively model human genetic diversity and the use of translational models that integrate -omics and computational approaches from pre-clinical to clinical models of obesity. Finally, we suggest best scientific practices to ensure strong rigor that will allow investigators to delineate the sources of heterogeneity in the population with obesity. Collectively, we propose that it is critical to think of obesity as a heterogeneous disease with complex mechanisms and etiologies, requiring unique prevention and treatment strategies tailored to the individual.

BMI trajectory and subsequent risk of type 2 diabetes among middle-aged women

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Little is known about how weight trajectories among women during menopausal transition and beyond may be related to risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The aim of this study was to examine associations between body mass index (BMI) trajectories over 20 years, age of obesity onset, cumulative obese-years and incidence of T2DM among middle-aged women.

METHODS AND RESULTS

12,302 women enrolled in the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health (ALSWH) were surveyed in 1996 (Survey 1, age 45-50), 1998 and then every three years to 2016. Self-reported weight and height were collected for up to eight time points. Incident diabetes was assessed via validated self-report of physician-diagnosed diabetes. Growth mixture models were used to identify distinct BMI trajectories. A total of 1380 (11.2%) women newly developed T2DM over an average 16 years of follow-up. Seven distinct BMI trajectories were identified with differential risk of developing T2DM. Initial BMI was positively associated with T2DM risk. We also observed that risk of T2DM was positively associated with rapid weight increase, early age of obesity onset and greater obese-years.

CONCLUSION

Slowing down weight increases, delaying the onset of obesity, or reducing cumulative exposure to obesity may substantially lower the risk of developing T2DM.

Transition of Hypertriglyceridemic-Waist Phenotypes and the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus among Middle-Aged and Older Chinese: A National Cohort Study

The rapid economic growth and nutritional changes in China have brought an increased burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This study aimed to assess the effects of hypertriglyceridemic-waist (HTW) and its dynamic transitions on incident T2DM among middle-aged and older Chinese. Data were extracted from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Participants were classified into three HTW phenotypes, namely NTNW (normal triglyceride (TG) and waist circumference (WC)), NTEW/ETNW (normal TG and enlarged WC, or elevated TG and normal WC) and ETEW (elevated TG and enlarged WC). Multivariable Cox frailty models were used to assess the associations of HTW phenotypes and their transitions over time with the risk of T2DM. A total of 7397 subjects without T2DM were included, of which 849 developed T2DM during 2011-2018. Compared with individuals with NTNW, people in the NTEW/ETNW group and ETEW group were at a significantly higher risk of T2DM (HR_NTEW/ETNW = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.06-1.54 and HR_ETEW = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.26-2.06). For subjects with NTNW at baseline, the risk of developing T2DM increased by 38% and 83% if their metabolic status changed to NTEW/ETNW and ETEW, respectively. For subjects with NTEW/ETNW, the risk of T2DM decreased by 33% when their metabolic status changed to normal (NTNW); but the risk increased by 49% if the status became more serious (ETEW). NTEW/ETNW, ETEW and their transitions to adverse states were risk factors for T2DM.

Duration of obesity exposure between ages 10 and 40 years and its relationship with cardiometabolic disease risk factors: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Individuals with obesity do not represent a homogeneous group in terms of cardiometabolic risk. Using 3 nationally representative British birth cohorts, we investigated whether the duration of obesity was related to heterogeneity in cardiometabolic risk.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We used harmonised body mass index (BMI) and cardiometabolic disease risk factor data from 20,746 participants (49.1% male and 97.2% white British) enrolled in 3 British birth cohort studies: the 1946 National Survey of Health and Development (NSHD), the 1958 National Child Development Study (NCDS), and the 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS70). Within each cohort, individual life course BMI trajectories were created between 10 and 40 years of age, and from these, age of obesity onset, duration spent obese (range 0 to 30 years), and cumulative obesity severity were derived. Obesity duration was examined in relation to a number of cardiometabolic disease risk factors collected in mid-adulthood: systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c). A greater obesity duration was associated with worse values for all cardiometabolic disease risk factors. The strongest association with obesity duration was for HbA1c: HbA1c levels in those with obesity for <5 years were relatively higher by 5% (95% CI: 4, 6), compared with never obese, increasing to 20% (95% CI: 17, 23) higher in those with obesity for 20 to 30 years. When adjustment was made for obesity severity, the association with obesity duration was largely attenuated for SBP, DBP, and HDL-C. For HbA1c, however, the association with obesity duration persisted, independent of obesity severity. Due to pooling of 3 cohorts and thus the availability of only a limited number harmonised variables across cohorts, our models included adjustment for only a small number of potential confounding variables, meaning there is a possibility of residual confounding.

CONCLUSIONS

Given that the obesity epidemic is characterised by a much earlier onset of obesity and consequently a greater lifetime exposure, our findings suggest that health policy recommendations aimed at preventing early obesity onset, and therefore reducing lifetime exposure, may help reduce the risk of diabetes, independently of obesity severity. However, to test the robustness of our observed associations, triangulation of evidence from different epidemiological approaches (e.g., mendelian randomization and negative control studies) should be obtained.

Age of obesity onset, cumulative obesity exposure over early adulthood and risk of type 2 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Obesity is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes, yet little is known about how timing and cumulative exposure of obesity are related to disease risk. The aim of this study was to examine the associations between BMI trajectories, age of onset of obesity and obese-years (a product of degree and duration of obesity) over early adulthood and subsequent risk of type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Women aged 18-23 years at baseline (n = 11,192) enrolled in the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health (ALSWH) in 1996 were followed up about every 3 years via surveys for up to 19 years. Self-reported weights were collected up to seven times. Incident type 2 diabetes was self-reported. A growth mixture model was used to identify distinct BMI trajectories over the early adult life course. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the associations between trajectories and risk of diabetes.

RESULTS

One hundred and sixty-two (1.5%) women were newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes during a mean of 16 years of follow-up. Six distinct BMI trajectories were identified, varying by different initial BMI and different slopes of increase. Initial BMI was positively associated with risk of diabetes. We also observed that age at onset of obesity was negatively associated with risk of diabetes (HR 0.87 [95% CI 0.79, 0.96] per 1 year increment), and number of obese-years was positively associated with diabetes (p for trend <0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Our data revealed the importance of timing of obesity, and cumulative exposure to obesity in the development of type 2 diabetes in young women, suggesting that preventing or delaying the onset of obesity and reducing cumulative exposure to obesity may substantially lower the risk of developing diabetes.

Clinical Features and Microvascular Complications Risk Factors of Early-onset Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

The aim of this research was to study the clinical features and microvascular complications risk factors of early-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We analyzed the clinical data from 1421 T2DM inpatients at Wuhan Union Hospital. Subjects were divided into early-onset T2DM group (diagnostic age <40 years) and late-onset T2DM group (diagnostic age >40 years). All subjects underwent a standardized assessment of microvascular complications. Data were compared with independent-samples t test or Chi-square test. Multiple logistic regression was used to determine the risk factors of microvascular complications. Patients with early-onset T2DM were more inclined to have a lower systolic blood pressure (SBP), a longer duration of diabetes and higher levels of body mass index (BMI), uric acid (UA), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), total cholesterol (TC)- triglyceride (TG) and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) than those with late-onset T2DM (P<0.05). The prevalence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) was significantly higher and that of diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) was significantly lower in early-onset group than in late-onset group (P<0.05). For DN, UA was an independent risk factor in early-onset T2DM. SBP and TG were independent risk factors in late-onset T2DM. For DR, duration of diabetes and SBP were independent risk factors in early-onset T2DM. Duration of diabetes, SBP and HbA1c were independent risk factors in late-onset T2DM. This study demonstrated that the clinical characteristics of early-onset T2DM were metabolic disorders, including glucose metabolism, lipid metabolism and amino acid metabolism. Early-onset T2DM was more likely to be associated with DR. The potential pathogenesis of early and late-onset T2DM might be different. The management of metabolic risk factors especially HbA1c, SBP, TG and UA is advised to be performed in the early stage of diabetes.

Hypertriglyceridemic waist phenotype and abnormal glucose metabolism: a system review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study was to perform a meta-analysis to assess the relationship between hypertriglyceridemic-waist (HTW) phenotype and abnormal glucose metabolism.

METHODS

The data sources were PubMed and EMBASE up to June 2018. Studies providing the relationship between HTW phenotype and abnormal glucose metabolism were included.

RESULTS

In total, 48 eligible studies that evaluated 2,42,879 subjects were included in the meta-analysis. In the general population, the pooled odds ratios (ORs) for elevated blood glucose and diabetes related to HTW phenotype was 2.32 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.98-2.71) and 2.69 (95% CI: 2.40-3.01), respectively. In cohort studies, the pooled OR for diabetes related to HTW phenotype was 2.89 (95% CI: 1.97-4.25) in subjects without diabetes. The levels of homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) in the HTW population were increased with values of mean differences (MD) 1.12 (95% CI: 0.81-1.43. P < 0.00001, I² = 99%) in the general population and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.75-1.04, P < 0.00001, I² = 67%) in subjects without diabetes.

CONCLUSION

HTW phenotype was closely associated with increased risk of abnormal glucose metabolism. There was also a significant correlation between HTW phenotype and insulin resistance.

Identifying a Potential Screening Tool for Prediabetes: The Association of Hemoglobin A1c and a Test of Physical Fitness

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study is to correlate HbA1c values with data points in the Air Force Physical Fitness Test (AFPT) in our active duty population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study looks at 489 active duty U.S. Air Force members who performed the AFPT within 1 month of study participation at Nellis Air Force Base, Las Vegas, NV from July 2011 to August 2013. This cross-sectional study included a demographic survey, examination of AFPT results, and lab values, including Hemoglobin A1c and fasting lipid panel.

RESULTS

A statistically significant association was detected between the prevalence of prediabetes or diabetes (HbA1c≥5.7%) and fitness level (16.98% in Unsatisfactory, 12.12% in Satisfactory, and 6.72% in Excellent; p = 0.0352). Prediabetes and diabetes were more prevalent among subjects who had an exemption for the AFPT (25.67% vs 7.23%; p < 0.0001). Among known risk factors, the prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes was higher with subjects that had an abdominal circumference >35 inches (19.78% vs 7.56%; p = 0.0004), a body mass index of ≥30 (20.0% vs 8.35%, p = 0.0026), and among individuals with a first degree relative with diabetes (15.70% vs. 8.15%; p = 0.0164). The prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes was lower in subjects with HDL ≥40 than HDL <40 (22.22% vs 8.40%; p = 0.0073).

CONCLUSIONS

Exemptions taken on the AFPT, increased abdominal circumference, and elevated body mass index are strongly associated with prediabetes in this military population. HbA1c could be a screening tool for these at-risk personnel to identify diabetes in its early stages.

Weight Gain and Health Affliction Among Former National Football League Players

BACKGROUND

Professional American-style football players are among the largest athletes across contemporary sporting disciplines. Weight gain during football participation is common, but the health implications of this early-life weight gain remain incompletely understood. We sought to define weight trajectories of former professional American-style football athletes and to establish their relationship with 5 common health afflictions (cardiovascular disease, cardiometabolic disease, neurocognitive impairment, sleep apnea, and chronic pain).

METHODS

A health survey was distributed to former National Football League (NFL) players. Former players reported body weight at 4 time points (high school, college, professional, and time of survey response) as well as maximal retirement weight. Logistic regression was used to assess associations between weight gain during football participation and health affliction.

RESULTS

In this cohort of former NFL players (n = 3,506, age 53 ± 14 years), mean weight increase from high school to time of survey response was 40 ± 36 pounds, with the majority of weight gain occurring during periods of football participation (high-school-to-college and college-to-professional). The prevalence of health afflictions ranged from 9% (cardiovascular disease) to 28% (chronic pain). Weight gain during football participation was independently associated with risk of multiple later-life health afflictions in models adjusted for football exposure, lifestyle variables, and post-career weight gain.

CONCLUSIONS

Early-life weight gain among American-style football athletes is common and is associated with risk of adverse health profiles during later-life. These findings establish football-associated weight gain as a key predictor of post-career health and raise important questions about the central role of targeted weight gain in this population.

Abdominal obesity phenotypes and incident diabetes over 12 years of follow-up: The Tehran Lipid and glucose study

AIMS

To investigate future diabetes in different abdominal obesity phenotypes during 12 years of follow-up.

METHODS

For this population-based cohort, 7982 adults without diabetes including 3533 men and 4449 women, aged ≥20 years were selected from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. Abdominal obesity was defined according to the national cutoffs for waist circumference (WC). Metabolic health was defined as having ≤1 metabolic abnormality based on Joint Interim Statement (JIS) criteria other than WC. Participants were classified into 4 groups of abdominal obesity phenotypes: Metabolically healthy non-abdominal obese (MHNAO), metabolically healthy abdominal obese (MHAO), metabolically unhealthy non-abdominal Obese (MUNAO), and metabolically unhealthy abdominal obese (MUAO).

RESULTS

In total, 1018 cases of incident diabetes occurred. Compared to the MHNAO phenotype, based on multivariate Cox regression models, diabetes risk was increased in all unhealthy phenotypes except the MUNAO phenotype in men. Regarding the association of the MHAO phenotype with incident diabetes, borderline statistical significance in men [HR 1.5 (95% CI: 1.0-2.36), p-value: 0.07] and statistical significance in women [HR 1.68 (95% CI: 1.08-2.6)] were detected.

CONCLUSIONS

In addition to unhealthy phenotypes except the MUNAO phenotype in men, the MHAO phenotype is also associated with incident diabetes, highlighting the importance of preventive strategies in this subgroup of abdominally obese subjects.

Is incident type 2 diabetes associated with cumulative excess weight and abdominal adiposity? Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

AIMS

To examine the association of the risk of incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) with cumulative excess weight (CEW) and cumulative excess waist circumference (CEWC) scores.

METHODS

Adults participants without T2D (n = 4635) aged  ≥20 years were included in the study. The differences between the body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) values and their normal references were calculated until the incident T2D. The CEW and CEWC scores represent the accumulation of BMI and WC deviations from normal values over time, i.e. (kg/m² × years and cm × years, respectively). Time-dependent Cox models, adjusting for confounders were used to examine the association between CEW/CEWC and the risk of T2D. Further multivariate analyses were performed to examine the association of CEW and CEWC with incident diabetes in baseline BMI and WC strata.

RESULTS

There were 503 incident cases of T2D over a median follow-up 9.38 years. The multivariate sex adjusted hazard ratios (HR) per one standard deviation (SD) increase in CEW and CEWC were 1.23 (95% CI: 1.15-1.32) and 1.41 (1.25-1.59), respectively. After further adjustment for baseline BMI and WC, no significant association was observed for CEW (1.02: 0.84-1.23) and CEWC (1.09: 0.93-1.28) and incident T2D. A strong association was found between CEW and CEWC with incident diabetes among overweight (2.12: 1.20-3.74) and centrally obese individuals (1.29: 1.10-1.51), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Generally, CEW and CEWC were not associated with risk of T2D, independent of baseline values for BMI and WC, respectively. Moreover, CEW and CEWC highlighted an increased risk among overweight and centrally obese participants for T2D.

Prevalence and Trends in Lifetime Obesity in the U.S., 1988-2014

INTRODUCTION

Estimates of obesity prevalence based on current BMI are an important but incomplete indicator of the total effects of obesity on a population.

METHODS

In this study, data on current BMI and maximum BMI were used to estimate prevalence and trends in lifetime obesity status, defined using the categories never (maximum BMI ≤30 kg/m²), former (maximum BMI ≥30 kg/m² and current BMI ≤30 kg/m²), and current obesity (current BMI ≥30 kg/m²). Prevalence was estimated for the period 2013-2014 and trends for the period 1988-2014 using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Predictors of lifetime weight status and the association between lifetime weight categories and prevalent disease status were also investigated using multivariable regression.

RESULTS

A total of 50.8% of American males and 51.6% of American females were ever obese in 2013-2014. The prevalence of lifetime obesity exceeded the prevalence of current obesity by amounts that were greater for males and for older persons. The gap between the two prevalence values has risen over time. By 2013-2014, a total of 22.0% of individuals who were not currently obese had formerly been obese. For each of eight diseases considered, prevalence was higher among the formerly obese than among the never obese.

CONCLUSIONS

A larger fraction of the population is affected by obesity and its health consequences than is suggested in prior studies based on current BMI alone. Weight history should be incorporated into routine health surveillance of the obesity epidemic for a full accounting of the effects of obesity on the U.S.

The contribution of rising adiposity to the increasing prevalence of diabetes in the United States

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the contribution of increasing adiposity to the rising prevalence of diabetes in the United States over the period 1988-2014.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Data from NHANES III (1988-1994) and continuous waves (1999-2014) were pooled for the current study. Diabetes status was assessed using data on Hemoglobin A1c. We estimated a multivariable logistic regression model that predicted the odds of having diabetes as a function of age, sex, racial/ethnic group, educational attainment, and period of observation. At a second stage, we introduced measures of general and abdominal adiposity into the model. Changes in coefficients pertaining to period of observation between the first and second models were interpreted as indicating the extent to which adiposity can account for trends in the prevalence of diabetes. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to investigate how alternative definitions of adiposity and diabetes status would affect results.

RESULTS

The predicted prevalence of diabetes rose by 2.59%/yr between 1988 and 2014 after adjusting for changes in population composition. Increasing adiposity explained 72% of the rise in diabetes. Results were consistent for men and women.

CONCLUSIONS

Rising levels of adiposity explained the large majority of the rise in diabetes prevalence between 1988 and 2014.

Cumulative Lifetime Marijuana Use and Incident Cardiovascular Disease in Middle Age: The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the effects of marijuana in the development of incident cardiovascular and cerebrovascular outcomes.

METHODS

Participants were 5113 adults aged 18 to 30 years at baseline (1985-1986) from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study, who were followed for more than 25 years. We estimated cumulative lifetime exposure to marijuana using repeated assessments collected at examinations every 2 to 5 years. The primary outcome was incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) through 2013.

RESULTS

A total of 84% (n = 4286) reported a history of marijuana use. During a median 26.9 years (131 990 person-years), we identified 215 CVD events, including 62 strokes or transient ischemic attacks, 104 cases of coronary heart disease, and 50 CVD deaths. Compared with no marijuana use, cumulative lifetime and recent marijuana use showed no association with incident CVD, stroke or transient ischemic attacks, coronary heart disease, or CVD mortality. Marijuana use was not associated with CVD when stratified by age, gender, race, or family history of CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Neither cumulative lifetime nor recent use of marijuana is associated with the incidence of CVD in middle age.

Incidence and predictors of early adulthood pre-diabetes/type 2 diabetes, among Iranian adolescents: the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

PURPOSE

To evaluate the incidence and predictors of early adulthood pre-diabetes/type 2 diabetes (T2D) among Iranian adolescents during a median follow-up of 9.2 yr.

METHOD

A total of 2563 subjects aged 10-19 yr, without pre-diabetes/T2D at baseline, were entered in the study. Pre-diabetes was defined as those with fasting plasma glucose (FPG) 5.6 to <7 mmol/L. T2D was defined as anti-T2D drug consumption or FPG ≥7 mmol/L. Multivariate Cox-proportional analysis was applied to examine the association between different risk factors that showed attained statistical significance < 0.2 in univariate analysis, with incident pre-diabetes/T2D. Same method was repeated on 1803 subjects with complete parental data to find the relation between parental risk factors and pre-diabetes/T2D.

RESULT

The mean age of participants was 14.45 ± 2.78 yr, and 53.6% were female. During follow-up 208 cases of pre-diabetes/T2D occurred, resulting in an incidence rate of 9.61 per 1000 person-years. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for incident pre-diabetes/T2D showed significant risk for 1 standard deviation increase in FPG and body mass index with corresponding HR of 1.89 (1.6-2.23) and 1.435 (1.080-1.905), respectively. Among parental potential risk factors, the paternal history of T2D was independently associated with increased risk for pre-diabetes/T2D in the adolescence (HR = 1.63(1.02-2.60)).

CONCLUSION

About 1% of Iranian adolescents developed pre-diabetes/T2D each year. Among the non-modifiable risk factors paternal history of T2D and, among modifiable risk factors, the presence of general adiposity as well as the higher level of FPG should be considered among adolescents for development of pre-diabetes/T2D later in the young adulthood.

Overweight and Obesity in Young Adulthood and the Risk of Stroke: a Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

A systematic review assessing the association between overweight and obesity in young adulthood and stroke risk is lacking. Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the association between overweight and obesity in young adulthood and stroke risk.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed and Embase databases for related studies of human subjects in the English language. Two investigators independently selected original studies in a 2-step process. Fixed- and random-effects models were used to calculate pooled relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Subgroup analyses were also performed.

RESULTS

Eight studies met the inclusion criteria. The pooled adjusted RR of stroke was 1.36 (95% CI: 1.28-1.44) for overweight in young adulthood and 1.81 (95% CI: 1.45-2.25) for obesity in young adulthood. In subgroup analyses, overweight and obesity in young adulthood increased the risk of stroke in most groups, except for the group of stroke subtype. For ischemic stroke, the adjusted RR was 1.40 (95% CI: 1.24-1.58) for overweight in young adulthood and 1.78 (95% CI: 1.003-3.16) for obesity in young adulthood, whereas adjusted RR for hemorrhagic stroke was 1.25 (95% CI: .83-1.90) for overweight in young adulthood and 1.80 (95% CI: .97-3.35) for obesity in young adulthood.

CONCLUSIONS

Overweight and obesity in young adulthood are associated with an increased risk of stroke, probably, independent of other cardiovascular risk factors. The risk effect gradually increases with increasing body weight.

Disparities in Early Transitions to Obesity in Contemporary Multi-Ethnic U.S. Populations

BACKGROUND

Few studies have examined weight transitions in contemporary multi-ethnic populations spanning early childhood through adulthood despite the ability of such research to inform obesity prevention, control, and disparities reduction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We characterized the ages at which African American, Caucasian, and Mexican American populations transitioned to overweight and obesity using contemporary and nationally representative cross-sectional National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data (n = 21,220; aged 2-80 years). Age-, sex-, and race/ethnic-specific one-year net transition probabilities between body mass index-classified normal weight, overweight, and obesity were estimated using calibrated and validated Markov-type models that accommodated complex sampling. At age two, the obesity prevalence ranged from 7.3% in Caucasian males to 16.1% in Mexican American males. For all populations, estimated one-year overweight to obesity net transition probabilities peaked at age two and were highest for Mexican American males and African American females, for whom a net 12.3% (95% CI: 7.6%-17.0%) and 11.9% (95% CI: 8.5%-15.3%) of the overweight populations transitioned to obesity by age three, respectively. However, extrapolation to the 2010 U.S. population demonstrated that Mexican American males were the only population for whom net increases in obesity peaked during early childhood; age-specific net increases in obesity were approximately constant through the second decade of life for African Americans and Mexican American females and peaked at age 20 for Caucasians.

CONCLUSIONS

African American and Mexican American populations shoulder elevated rates of many obesity-associated chronic diseases and disparities in early transitions to obesity could further increase these inequalities if left unaddressed.

The association between high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and hypertension in women of the CARDIA study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of hypertension in midlife women, characterize the association between high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and hypertension in women, and describe differences in hypertension prevalence by menopausal stage.

METHODS

We included 1,625 women, aged 43 to 55 years, with measurements of hs-CRP and detailed reproductive histories in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study at follow-up year 25. Prevalent hypertension was defined as a systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg, or diastolic blood pressure of 90 mm Hg or greater, or use of antihypertensive medications. Logistic regression was used for analysis.

RESULTS

The prevalence of hypertension was 25.8%, 37.8%, and 39.0% in premenopausal, perimenopausal, and postmenopausal women, respectively. The median (25th and 75th percentiles) of hs-CRP was 3.08 (1.12, 7.98) μg/mL and 1.18 (0.48, 3.15) μg/mL in women with and without hypertension, respectively. After adjusting for confounders, metabolic factors and body mass index, a doubling (100% increment) in hs-CRP levels was significantly associated with hypertension in premenopausal (1.27 [1.01-1.59]), but not in perimenopausal (1.12 [0.99-1.27]) or postmenopausal (1.09 [0.95-1.26]) women.

CONCLUSIONS

Hypertension was common in midlife women. The association of hs-CRP and hypertension was consistent across menopausal stages. The association of hs-CRP with hypertension was independent of body mass index in premenopausal but not in perimenopausal or postmenopausal women.

Obesity and dissociable forms of impulsivity in young adults

OBJECTIVE

Obesity is one of the leading causes of preventable morbidity and mortality, and young people are increasingly affected. The aim of this study was to examine relationships between obesity and dissociable forms of impulsivity in young adults.

METHODS

A group of young adults (511) was recruited from city areas in the United States using media advertisements. These young adults were administered careful and extensive clinical and neurocognitive assessment in order to quantify different aspects of impulsivity (behavioral/phenomenological-, cognitive-, and personality-related measures). Associations between obesity and impulsivity were explored using multivariate analysis of variance and discriminant function analysis.

RESULTS

10.8% of the sample was obese, and 21.5% was overweight. Compared to controls, subjects with obesity showed significantly elevated rates of maladaptive gambling behaviors, monetary amounts lost to gambling, nicotine consumption, impulsive action (prolonged stop-signal reaction times in the Stop-Signal Test), and impulsive decision-making (reduced modulation of behavior as a function of risk in the Cambridge Gamble Test). Even accounting for potential confounding variables, obesity was significantly predicted by female gender, older age, more maladaptive gambling behaviors, and worse inhibitory control (stop-signal reaction times).

CONCLUSION

Obesity is associated with several dissociable forms of impulsivity in young people, especially gambling and impulse dyscontrol. Family doctors should screen for gambling problems in obese young adults. Successful treatment of nicotine dependence in young obese people is likely to require intensive weight management support. Neuropsychological deficits relating to impulsivity occur in obese people in early adulthood, and may represent vulnerability markers rather than being due to chronic untoward metabolic effects on brain function.

Longitudinal Associations Between Neighborhood Physical and Social Environments and Incident Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

IMPORTANCE

Neighborhood environments may influence the risk for developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but, to our knowledge, no longitudinal study has evaluated specific neighborhood exposures.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether long-term exposures to neighborhood physical and social environments, including the availability of healthy food and physical activity resources and levels of social cohesion and safety, are associated with incident T2DM during a 10-year period.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We used data from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, a population-based cohort study of adults aged 45 to 84 years at baseline (July 17, 2000, through August 29, 2002). A total of 5124 participants free of T2DM at baseline underwent 5 clinical follow-up examinations from July 17, 2000, through February 4, 2012. Time-varying measurements of neighborhood healthy food and physical activity resources and social environments were linked to individual participant addresses. Neighborhood environments were measured using geographic information system (GIS)- and survey-based methods and combined into a summary score. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of incident T2DM associated with cumulative exposure to neighborhood resources using Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for age, sex, income, educational level, race/ethnicity, alcohol use, and cigarette smoking. Data were analyzed from December 15, 2013, through September 22, 2014.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Incident T2DM defined as a fasting glucose level of at least 126 mg/dL or use of insulin or oral antihyperglycemics.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 8.9 years (37,394 person-years), 616 of 5124 participants (12.0%) developed T2DM (crude incidence rate, 16.47 [95% CI, 15.22-17.83] per 1000 person-years). In adjusted models, a lower risk for developing T2DM was associated with greater cumulative exposure to indicators of neighborhood healthy food (12%; HR per interquartile range [IQR] increase in summary score, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.79-0.98]) and physical activity resources (21%; HR per IQR increase in summary score, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.71-0.88]), with associations driven primarily by the survey exposure measures. Neighborhood social environment was not associated with incident T2DM (HR per IQR increase in summary score, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.88-1.07]).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Long-term exposure to residential environments with greater resources to support physical activity and, to a lesser extent, healthy diets was associated with a lower incidence of T2DM, although results varied by measurement method. Modifying neighborhood environments may represent a complementary, population-based approach to prevention of T2DM, although further intervention studies are needed.

Excess body mass index- and waist circumference-years and incident cardiovascular disease: the CARDIA study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the influence of the total cumulative exposure to excess overall and abdominal adiposity on the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

Prospective study of 4,061 white and black adults without CVD at baseline in 1985-1986 (age 18-30 years) from the multicenter, community-based CARDIA study. Time-varying excess body mass index (BMI)- and waist circumference (WC)-years were calculated as products of the degree and duration of excess overall (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m(2)) and abdominal adiposity [WC >94 cm (men) and >80 cm (women)], respectively, collected at up to eight examinations.

RESULTS

During a median of 24.8 years, there were 125 incident CVD, 62 coronary heart disease (CHD), and 33 heart failure (HF) events. Adjusted hazard ratios for CVD, CHD, and HF for each additional 50 excess BMI-years were 1.20 (1.08, 1.34), 1.25 (1.07, 1.46), and 1.45 (1.23, 1.72), respectively. For each 50 excess WC-years, these hazard ratios were 1.10 (1.04, 1.18), 1.13 (1.03, 1.24), and 1.22 (1.11, 1.34), respectively. Akaike information criterion values were lowest in models containing time-varying excess BMI- or WC-years compared to those including time-varying BMI or WC only.

CONCLUSIONS

Excess BMI- and WC-years are predictors of the risk of CVD and may provide a better indicator of the cumulative exposure to excess adiposity than BMI or WC only.

Poor quality of external validity reporting limits generalizability of overweight and/or obesity lifestyle prevention interventions in young adults: a systematic review

Young adulthood is a high-risk life stage for weight gain. Evidence is needed to translate behavioural approaches into community practice to prevent weight gain in young adults. This systematic review assessed the effectiveness and reporting of external validity components in prevention interventions. The search was limited to randomized controlled trial (RCT) lifestyle interventions for the prevention of weight gain in young adults (18-35 years). Mean body weight and/or body mass index (BMI) change were the primary outcomes. External validity, quality assessment and risk of bias tools were applied to all studies. Twenty-one RCTs were identified through 14 major electronic databases. Over half of the studies were effective in the short term for significantly reducing body weight and/or BMI; however, few showed long-term maintenance. All studies lacked full reporting on external validity components. Description of the intervention components and participant attrition rates were reported by most studies. However, few studies reported the representativeness of participants, effectiveness of recruitment methods, process evaluation detail or costs. It is unclear from the information reported how to implement the interventions into community practice. Integrated reporting of intervention effectiveness and enhanced reporting of external validity components are needed for the translation and potential upscale of prevention strategies.

Prevalence of microvascular diseases among tertiary care Chinese with early versus late onset of type 2 diabetes

AIMS

This study aimed to investigate the impact of early-onset diabetes on the risk of microvascular diseases in Chinese with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

A cross sectional survey of 29,442 patients with T2DM in 77 tertiary hospitals in China was conducted in 2011. Early-onset diabetes was defined as diagnosis of diabetes before 40years of age. Microvascular complications and risk factors were documented. Prevalence of microvascular disease was standardized to the Chinese population in 2010. Logistic regression analysis was performed to obtain odds ratios (OR) for early versus late onset of T2DM.

RESULTS

A total of 1,303 (4.4%) patients had nephropathy, 2,137 (7.3%) had retinopathy and 3,012 (10.2%) had either of them. Early-onset diabetes greatly increased the prevalence of microvascular diseases compared with late-onset diabetes (nephropathy: 5.1% vs. 1.5%; retinopathy: 7.1% vs. 2.7%; either: 9.7% vs. 3.6%), especially among patients from 45 to 59years of age. After adjusting for age and sex, patients with early-onset T2DM were at 1.69-fold (95% CI 1.46-1.95) higher risk of microvascular diseases than those with late-onset T2DM. However, this was not significant after adjusting for traditional risk factors and disease duration (p=0.162).

CONCLUSION

Chinese patients with early-onset T2DM are at a marked increased risk of microvascular diseases.

Duration of obesity and overweight and risk of type 2 diabetes among US women

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to examine the association between duration of adiposity and risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in US women.

METHODS

Nearly 61,821 participants were prospectively followed from the Nurses' Health Study (1984-2008) and 63,653 participants from Nurses' Health Study II (1991-2011). Participants were considered overweight (BMI 25-30 kg m(-2) ) or obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg m(-2) ) if their BMI was above the cutoffs for two successive assessments. The time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess associations between excess weight duration and T2D risk.

RESULTS

In pooled multivariable analyses of the two cohorts, each two extra years of being overweight was associated with 9% (RR = 1.09, 95% CI 1.08-1.09) increased risk of developing T2D. For each 2-year increment in obesity duration, the risk of T2D was increased by 14% (RR = 1.14, 95% CI 1.14-1.15). Adjustment for current BMI greatly attenuated the association for obesity duration (RR = 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03), although the attenuation was less for overweight duration (RR = 1.04, 95% CI 1.04-1.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Both overweight and obesity duration were associated with a significantly higher risk of T2D, and these associations were mainly explained by current BMI, especially for obesity duration.

Long-term obesity and cardiovascular, inflammatory, and metabolic risk in U.S. adults

BACKGROUND

People worldwide are becoming obese at earlier ages, increasing exposure to long-term obesity.

PURPOSE

To examine how BMI at age 25 years predicts later obesity and test the importance of long-term obesity beyond obesity severity for adult cardiovascular, inflammatory, and metabolic risk.

METHODS

Data from adults aged 35-64 years from the 1999-2010 U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were analyzed in 2013 to test how BMI at age 25 years predicts later adult BMI. Next, logistic regression models predicted the odds of elevated risk for blood pressure (BP); high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; total cholesterol; triglycerides; C-reactive protein (CRP); and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) by BMI at age 25 years and current BMI.

RESULTS

Men obese at age 25 years had a 23.1% estimated probability of Class III obesity after age 35 years, compared to a 1.1% probability for men of normal weight at this age. For women, these probabilities were 46.9% and 4.8%, respectively. Those obese in both periods had higher odds of elevated BP, CRP, and HbA1c compared to those of normal weight at age 25 years, with no effects for lipids. After adjustment for current BMI, these associations were either eliminated (for BP and CRP) or greatly reduced (HbA1c).

CONCLUSIONS

The biological risks of long-term obesity are primarily due to the risk of more severe obesity later in life among those obese early in life, rather than obesity duration. Current body weight rather than duration may be the best reflection of clinical cardiovascular and metabolic risk.

The dynamics of diabetes among birth cohorts in the U.S

OBJECTIVE Using a nationally representative sample of the civilian noninstitutionalized U.S. population, we estimated trends in diabetes prevalence across cohorts born 1910-1989 and provide the first estimates of age-specific diabetes incidence using nationally representative, measured data. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Data were from 40,130 nonpregnant individuals aged 20-79 years who participated in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III), 1988-1994, and the continuous 1999-2010 NHANES. We defined diabetes as HbA1c ≥6.5% (48 mmol/mol) or taking diabetes medication. We estimated age-specific diabetes prevalence for the 5-year age-groups 20-24 through 75-79 for cohorts born 1910-1919 through 1980-1989 and calendar periods 1988-1994, 1999-2002, 2003-2006, and 2007-2010. We modeled diabetes prevalence as a function of age, calendar year, and birth cohort, and used our cohort model to estimate age-specific diabetes incidence. RESULTS Age-adjusted diabetes prevalence rose by a factor of 4.9 between the birth cohorts of 1910-1919 and 1980-1989. Diabetes prevalence rose with age within each birth cohort. Models based on birth cohorts show a steeper age pattern of diabetes prevalence than those based on calendar years. Diabetes incidence peaks at 55-64 years of age. CONCLUSIONS Diabetes prevalence has risen across cohorts born through the 20th century. Changes across birth cohorts explain the majority of observed increases in prevalence over time. Incidence peaks between 55 and 64 years of age and then declines at older ages.