Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty

This study explores how researchers' analytical choices affect the reliability of scientific findings. Most discussions of reliability problems in science focus on systematic biases. We broaden the lens to emphasize the idiosyncrasy of conscious and unconscious decisions that researchers make during data analysis. We coordinated 161 researchers in 73 research teams and observed their research decisions as they used the same data to independently test the same prominent social science hypothesis: that greater immigration reduces support for social policies among the public. In this typical case of social science research, research teams reported both widely diverging numerical findings and substantive conclusions despite identical start conditions. Researchers' expertise, prior beliefs, and expectations barely predict the wide variation in research outcomes. More than 95% of the total variance in numerical results remains unexplained even after qualitative coding of all identifiable decisions in each team's workflow. This reveals a universe of uncertainty that remains hidden when considering a single study in isolation. The idiosyncratic nature of how researchers' results and conclusions varied is a previously underappreciated explanation for why many scientific hypotheses remain contested. These results call for greater epistemic humility and clarity in reporting scientific findings.

Clinical effects of benzyl benzoate in the prevention of house-dust-mite allergy. Results of a prospective, double-blind, multicenter study

The efficacy of the acaricide benzyl benzoate as an additive to a chemically and technically defined cleaning substance (Acarosan) was tested in a multicentric, prospective, randomized, controlled study on 118 outpatients with bronchial asthma due to house-dust-mite allergy. Subjective reports from patients and doctors revealed an improvement in clinical complaints in more than 50%, with only small differences between the verum and the placebo group. Objective parameters such as titrated skin tests, RAST, and bronchial challenge tests with histamine and Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus (D. pt.) did not reveal any significant changes either during the year of testing or between the two groups. A clinical improvement as observed in either group could not be assessed by objective parameters. Additional questions as to the merits of the possible prophylactic use of benzyl benzoate over more than 1 year remain unanswered.

Essential motifs of relaxase (TraI) and TraG proteins involved in conjugative transfer of plasmid RP4

Two essential transfer genes of the conjugative plasmid RP4 were altered by site-directed mutagenesis: traG of the primase operon and traI of the relaxase operon. To evaluate effects on the transfer phenotype of the point mutations, we have reconstituted the RP4 transfer system by fusion of the transfer regions Tra1 and Tra2 to the small multicopy replicon ColD. Deletions in traG or traI served to determine the Tra phenotype of mutant plasmids by trans complementation. Two motifs of TraG which are highly conserved among TraG-like proteins in several other conjugative DNA transfer systems were found to be essential for TraG function. One of the motifs resembles that of a nucleotide binding fold of type B. The relaxase (TraI) catalyzes the specific cleaving-joining reaction at the transfer origin needed to initiate and terminate conjugative DNA transfer (W. Pansegrau, W. Schröder, and E. Lanka, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 90:2925-2929, 1993). Phenotypes of mutations in three motifs that belong to the active center of the relaxase confirmed previously obtained biochemical evidence for the contributions of the motifs to the catalytic activity of TraI. Expression of the relaxase operon is greatly increased in the absence of an intact TraI protein. This finding suggests that the relaxosome which assembles only in the presence of the TraI in addition to its enzymatic activity plays a role in gene regulation.

The mating pair formation system of plasmid RP4 defined by RSF1010 mobilization and donor-specific phage propagation

Transfer functions of the conjugative plasmid RP4 (IncP alpha) are distributed among distinct regions of the genome, designated Tra1 and Tra2. By deletion analyses, we determined the limits of the Tra1 region, essential for intraspecific Escherichia coli matings. The Tra1 core region encompasses approximately 5.8 kb, including the genes traF, -G, -H, -I, -J, and -K as well as the origin of transfer. The traM gene product, however, is not absolutely required for conjugation but significantly increases transfer efficiency. To determine the transfer phenotype of genes encoded by the Tra2 core region, we generated a series of defined Tra2 mutants. This revealed that at least trbB, -C, -E, -G, and -L are essential for RP4 conjugation. To classify these transfer functions as components of the DNA transfer and replication (Dtr) or of the mating pair formation (Mpf) system, we analyzed the corresponding derivatives with respect to mobilization of IncQ plasmids and donor-specific phage propagation. We found that all of the Tra2 genes listed above and the traG and traF genes of Tra1 are required for RSF1010 mobilization. Expression of traF from Tra1 in conjunction with the Tra2 core was sufficient for phage propagation. This implies that the TraG protein is not directly involved in pilus formation and potentially connects the relaxosome with proteins enabling the membrane passage of the DNA. The proposed roles of the RP4 transfer gene products are discussed in the context of virulence functions encoded by the evolutionarily related Ti T-DNA transfer system of agrobacteria.

Pediatric endomyocardial biopsy performed solely with echocardiographic guidance

Endomyocardial biopsy has had limited utilization for the diagnosis of myocardial disease in the pediatric population. Through the use of echocardiography for guidance, we attempted 155 consecutive biopsies in 33 patients. A successful biopsy was performed 151 times, including 48 (31%) in infants less than 6 months of age. Biopsies were performed with a right internal jugular approach using 3F, 5F, and 7F bioptomes. A combination of apical four-chamber and parasternal short-axis views could visualize the passage of the bioptome into the ventricle and the action of the jaws. There was no case of ventricular perforation. After biopsy one transplant recipient was left with an increase in the amount of preexisting tricuspid regurgitation by color flow mapping echocardiography. These results demonstrate that echocardiographically guided endomyocardial biopsies may be safely performed over a wide range of patient sizes. The increased portability, lack of radiation exposure, and the simultaneous visualization of the bioptome and chamber wall combined with these results indicate that echocardiographically guided endomyocardial biopsies should be considered the technique of choice for the pediatric population.

Sequence similarities between the RP4 Tra2 and the Ti VirB region strongly support the conjugation model for T-DNA transfer

Transfer genes of the IncP plasmid RP4 are grouped in two separate regions, designated Tra1 and Tra2. Tra2 gene products are proposed to be mainly responsible for the formation of mating pairs in conjugating cells. To provide information relevant to understanding the function of Tra2 gene products, the nucleotide sequence of the entire RP4 Tra2 region is presented here. Twelve open reading frames were identified in the Tra2 core region, being essential for intraspecific Escherichia coli matings. Predicted sizes of 11 of the 12 Tra2 polypeptides could be verified by expression in E. coli. Based on hydropathy plot analysis, most of the Tra2 open reading frames encode proteins that may interact with membranes. Interestingly, six of the predicted Tra2 gene products exhibited significant sequence similarities to gene products encoded by the VirB operon of the Agrobacterium Ti plasmid. VirB proteins are thought to function in the formation of a transmembrane structure that mediates the passage of T-DNA molecules from bacteria into plant cells. Because of this analogy and the hydropathy of Tra2 gene products, we assume that the DNA transfer machineries acting in bacterial conjugation and T-DNA transfer are structurally and functionally similar. Therefore, the data presented here, support the hypothesis that Ti vir and IncP tra genes evolved from a common ancestor. This suggestion is favored by previous findings of sequence similarities between the IncP and Ti DNA transfer system.

KorB protein of promiscuous plasmid RP4 recognizes inverted sequence repetitions in regions essential for conjugative plasmid transfer

We have constructed a RP4 KorB overproducing strain and purified the protein to near homogeneity. KorB is a DNA binding protein recognizing defined palindromic 13-bp sequences (TTTAGCSGCTAAA). Inverted sequence repetitions of this type, designated OB, are present on RP4 12 times. OB-sequences are localized in replication and maintenance regions as well as in the regions Tra1 and Tra2 essential for conjugative transfer. All sites found in Tra regions by computer search act as targets for specific binding of KorB protein. KorB-DNA complexes were detected by DNA fragment retardation assay using polyacrylamide gels. The 13-bp symmetric arrangement of the consensus OB-sequence constitutes the core for binding KorB protein since any truncation of this sequence prevents complex assembly or leads to a considerable destabilization of the KorB-DNA complexes. A hydroxyl radical footprint analysis demonstrated complex formation of KorB with the OB-sequence directly and suggests the presence of an unusual DNA structure within the nucleoprotein complex.

Dissection of IncP conjugative plasmid transfer: definition of the transfer region Tra2 by mobilization of the Tra1 region in trans

We constructed a transfer system consisting of two compatible multicopy plasmids carrying the transfer regions Tra1 and Tra2 of the broad-host-range IncP plasmid RP4. In this system, the plasmid containing the Tra1 region with the origin of transfer (oriT) was transferred, whereas additional functions essential for the conjugative process were provided from the Tra2 plasmid in trans. The Tra2 region, as determined for matings between Escherichia coli cells, maps between coordinates 18.03 and 29.26 kb of the RP4 standard map. The section of Tra2 required for mobilization of the plasmid RSF1010 (IncQ) and the propagation of bacteriophages Pf3 and PRD1 appears to be the same as that needed for RP4 transfer. Tra2 regions of RP4 (IncP alpha) and R751 (IncP beta) are interchangeable, facilitating mobilization of the plasmid carrying the RP4 Tra1 region. The transfer frequencies of both systems are similar. Transcription of Tra2 proceeds clockwise relative to the standard map of RP4 and is probably initiated at a promoter region located upstream of trbB (kilB). From this promoter region the trfA operon and the Tra2 operon are likely to be transcribed divergently. A second potential promoter has been located immediately upstream of trbB (kilB). Plasmids encoding the functional Tra2 region can only be maintained stably in host cells in the presence of the RP4 regulation region carrying the korA-korB operon or part of it. This indicates the involvement of RP4 key regulatory functions that apparently are active not only in the control of replication but also in conjugation.

Conjugative transfer functions of broad-host-range plasmid RK2 are coregulated with vegetative replication

The kilB locus (which is unclonable in the absence of korB) of broad-host-range plasmid RK2 (60 kb) lies between the trfA operon (co-ordinates 16.4 to 18.2 kb), which encodes a protein essential for vegetative replication, and the Tra2 block of conjugative transfer genes (co-ordinates 20.0 to 27.0 kb). Promoter probe studies indicated that kilB is transcribed clockwise from a region containing closely spaced divergent promoters, one of which is the trfA promoter. The repression of both promoters by korB suggested that kilB may also play a role in stable maintenance of RK2. We have sequenced the region containing kilB and analysed it by deletion and insertion mutagenesis. Loss of the KilB+ phenotype does not result in decreased stability of mini RK2 plasmids. However insertion in ORFI (kilBI) of the region analysed results in a Tra- phenotype in plasmids which are otherwise competent for transfer, demonstrating that this locus is essential for transfer and is probably the first gene of the Tra2 region. From the kilBI DNA sequence KilBI is predicted to be 34995 Da, in line with M(r) = 36,000 observed by sodium dodecyl sulphate/polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis, and contains a type I ATP-binding motif. The purified product was used to raise antibody which allowed the level of KilBI produced from RK2 to be estimated at approximately 2000 molecules per bacterium. Protein sequence comparisons showed the highest homology score with VirB11, which is essential for the transfer of the Agrobacterium tumefaciens Ti plasmid DNA from bacteria to plant cells. The sequence similarity of both KilBI and VirB11 to a family of protein export functions suggested that KilBI may be involved in assembly of the surface-associated Tra functions. The data presented in this paper provide the first demonstration of coregulation of genes required for vegetative replication and conjugative transfer on a bacterial plasmid.

Nucleotide sequence and organization of genes flanking the transfer origin of promiscuous plasmid RP4

The nucleotide sequence of the relaxase operon and the leader operon which are part of the Tra1 region of the promiscuous plasmid RP4 was determined. These two polycistronic operons are transcribed divergently from an intergenic region of about 360 bp containing the transfer origin and six close-packed genes. A seventh gene completely overlaps another one in a different reading frame. Conjugative DNA transfer proceeds unidirectionally from oriT with the leader operon heading the DNA to be transferred. The traI gene of the relaxase operon includes within its 3' terminal region a promoter controlling the 7.2-kb polycistronic primase operon. Comparative sequence analysis of the closely related IncP plasmid R751 revealed a similarity of 74% at the nucleotide sequence level, indicating that RP4 and R751 have evolved from a common ancestor. The gene organization of relaxase- and leader operons is conserved among the two IncP plasmids. The transfer origins and the genes traJ and traK exhibit greater sequence divergence than the other genes of the corresponding operons. This is conceivable, because traJ and traK are specificity determinants, the products of which can only recognize homologous oriT sequences. Surprisingly, the organization of the IncP relaxase operons resembles that of the virD operon of Agrobacterium tumefaciens plasmid pTiA6 that mediates DNA transfer to plant cells by a process analogous to bacterial conjugation. Furthermore, the IncP TraG proteins and the product of the virD4 gene share extended amino acid sequence similarity, suggesting a functional relationship.

In vitro assembly of relaxosomes at the transfer origin of plasmid RP4

During initiation of conjugative transfer of DNA containing the transfer origin (oriT) of the promiscuous plasmid RP4, the proteins TraI, TraJ, and TraH interact and assemble a specialized nucleoprotein complex (the relaxosome) at oriT. The structure can be visualized on electron micrographs. Site- and strand-specific nicking at the transfer origin in vitro is dependent on the proteins TraI and TraJ and on Mg2+ ions. Substrate specificity is directed exclusively towards the cognate transfer origin: the RP4-specified TraJ protein cannot recognize the closely related oriT of plasmid R751. After nicking, TraI protein remains attached to the 5'-terminal 2'-deoxycytidyl residue at the nic site [Pansegrau, W., Ziegelin, G. & Lanka, E. (1990) J. Biol. Chem. 265, 10637-10644]. Nicking and relaxosome formation require supercoiled DNA. Thus, a complicated structure involving multiple plasmid-specified proteins and a defined region of DNA must be formed at the transfer origin to prepare the plasmid for generating the single strand to be transferred.