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Macias-Konstantopoulos WL, Collins KA, Diaz R, Duber HC, Edwards CD, Hsu AP, Ranney ML, Riviello RJ, Wettstein ZS, Sachs CJ. Race, Healthcare, and Health Disparities: A Critical Review and Recommendations for Advancing Health Equity. West J Emerg Med 2023; 24:906-918. [PMID: 37788031 PMCID: PMC10527840 DOI: 10.5811/westjem.58408] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2022] [Revised: 04/17/2023] [Accepted: 05/24/2023] [Indexed: 10/04/2023] Open
Abstract
An overwhelming body of evidence points to an inextricable link between race and health disparities in the United States. Although race is best understood as a social construct, its role in health outcomes has historically been attributed to increasingly debunked theories of underlying biological and genetic differences across races. Recently, growing calls for health equity and social justice have raised awareness of the impact of implicit bias and structural racism on social determinants of health, healthcare quality, and ultimately, health outcomes. This more nuanced recognition of the role of race in health disparities has, in turn, facilitated introspective racial disparities research, root cause analyses, and changes in practice within the medical community. Examining the complex interplay between race, social determinants of health, and health outcomes allows systems of health to create mechanisms for checks and balances that mitigate unfair and avoidable health inequalities. As one of the specialties most intertwined with social medicine, emergency medicine (EM) is ideally positioned to address racism in medicine, develop health equity metrics, monitor disparities in clinical performance data, identify research gaps, implement processes and policies to eliminate racial health inequities, and promote anti-racist ideals as advocates for structural change. In this critical review our aim was to (a) provide a synopsis of racial disparities across a broad scope of clinical pathology interests addressed in emergency departments-communicable diseases, non-communicable conditions, and injuries-and (b) through a race-conscious analysis, develop EM practice recommendations for advancing a culture of equity with the potential for measurable impact on healthcare quality and health outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wendy L Macias-Konstantopoulos
- Center for Social Justice and Health Equity, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
- Harvard Medical School, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
| | | | - Rosemarie Diaz
- University of California-Los Angeles, Department of Emergency Medicine, Los Angeles, California
| | - Herbert C Duber
- University of Washington School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Seattle, Washington
- Washington State Department of Health, Tumwater, Washington
| | - Courtney D Edwards
- Samford University, Moffett & Sanders School of Nursing, Birmingham, Alabama
| | - Antony P Hsu
- Trinity Health Ann Arbor Hospital, Department of Emergency Medicine, Ypsilanti, Michigan
| | - Megan L Ranney
- Yale University, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Ralph J Riviello
- University of Texas Health San Antonio, Department of Emergency Medicine, San Antonio, Texas
| | - Zachary S Wettstein
- University of Washington School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Seattle, Washington
| | - Carolyn J Sachs
- Ronald Reagan-UCLA Medical Center and David Geffen School of Medicine at University of California-Los Angeles, Department of Emergency Medicine, Los Angeles, California
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Hartzler AL, Xie SJ, Wedgeworth P, Spice C, Lybarger K, Wood BR, Duber HC, Hsieh G, Singh AP. Integrating patient voices into the extraction of social determinants of health from clinical notes: ethical considerations and recommendations. J Am Med Inform Assoc 2023; 30:1456-1462. [PMID: 36944091 PMCID: PMC10354781 DOI: 10.1093/jamia/ocad043] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2022] [Revised: 02/13/2023] [Accepted: 03/09/2023] [Indexed: 03/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Identifying patients' social needs is a first critical step to address social determinants of health (SDoH)-the conditions in which people live, learn, work, and play that affect health. Addressing SDoH can improve health outcomes, population health, and health equity. Emerging SDoH reporting requirements call for health systems to implement efficient ways to identify and act on patients' social needs. Automatic extraction of SDoH from clinical notes within the electronic health record through natural language processing offers a promising approach. However, such automated SDoH systems could have unintended consequences for patients, related to stigma, privacy, confidentiality, and mistrust. Using Floridi et al's "AI4People" framework, we describe ethical considerations for system design and implementation that call attention to patient autonomy, beneficence, nonmaleficence, justice, and explicability. Based on our engagement of clinical and community champions in health equity work at University of Washington Medicine, we offer recommendations for integrating patient voices and needs into automated SDoH systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrea L Hartzler
- Biomedical Informatics and Medical Education, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Serena Jinchen Xie
- Biomedical Informatics and Medical Education, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Patrick Wedgeworth
- Biomedical Informatics and Medical Education, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Carolin Spice
- Biomedical Informatics and Medical Education, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Kevin Lybarger
- Department of Information Sciences and Technology, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA
| | - Brian R Wood
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Department of Health, Washington State, Olympia, Washington, USA
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Gary Hsieh
- Human Centered Design and Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Angad P Singh
- Biomedical Informatics and Medical Education, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
- Department of Family Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
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Kraynov L, Quarles A, Kerrigan A, Mayes KD, Mahmoud-Werthmann S, Fockele CE, Duber HC, Doran KM, Lin MP, Cooper RJ, Wang NE. Proceedings from the 2021 SAEM Consensus Conference: Research Priorities for Interventions to Address Social Risks and Needs Identified in Emergency Department Patients. West J Emerg Med 2023; 24:295-301. [PMID: 36976612 PMCID: PMC10047718 DOI: 10.5811/westjem.2022.11.57293] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/03/2022] [Accepted: 11/21/2022] [Indexed: 03/29/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Emergency departments (ED) function as a health and social safety net, regularly taking care of patients with high social risk and need. Few studies have examined ED-based interventions for social risk and need. METHODS Focusing on ED-based interventions, we identified initial research gaps and priorities in the ED using a literature review, topic expert feedback, and consensus-building. Research gaps and priorities were further refined based on moderated, scripted discussions and survey feedback during the 2021 SAEM Consensus Conference. Using these methods, we derived six priorities based on three identified gaps in ED-based social risks and needs interventions: 1) assessment of ED-based interventions; 2) intervention implementation in the ED environment; and 3) intercommunication between patients, EDs, and medical and social systems. RESULTS Using these methods, we derived six priorities based on three identified gaps in ED-based social risks and needs interventions: 1) assessment of ED-based interventions, 2) intervention implementation in the ED environment, and 3) intercommunication between patients, EDs, and medical and social systems. Assessing intervention effectiveness through patient-centered outcome and risk reduction measures should be high priorities in the future. Also noted was the need to study methods of integrating interventions into the ED environment and to increase collaboration between EDs and their larger health systems, community partners, social services, and local government. CONCLUSION The identified research gaps and priorities offer guidance for future work to establish effective interventions and build relationships with community health and social systems to address social risks and needs, thereby improving the health of our patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liliya Kraynov
- Valleywise Health, Department of Emergency Medicine, Phoenix, Arizona
| | - Aaron Quarles
- Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Andrew Kerrigan
- University of Southern California, Keck School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Los Angeles, California
| | | | | | - Callan E Fockele
- University of Washington, Department of Emergency Medicine, Seattle, Washington
| | - Herbert C Duber
- University of Washington, Department of Emergency Medicine, Seattle, Washington
| | - Kelly M Doran
- NYU School of Medicine, Departments of Emergency Medicine and Population Health, New York, New York
| | - Michelle P Lin
- Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, Department of Emergency Medicine, New York, New York
| | - Richelle J Cooper
- David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, UCLA Department of Emergency Medicine, Los Angeles
| | - Nancy Ewen Wang
- Stanford University, Department of Emergency Medicine, Stanford, California
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Yore M, Fockele CE, Duber HC, Doran KM, Cooper RJ, Lin MP, Campbell S, Eswaran V, Chang B, Hong H, Gbenedio K, Stanford KA, Gavin N. 2021 SAEM Consensus Conference Proceedings: Research Priorities for Implementing Emergency Department Screening for Social Risks and Needs. West J Emerg Med 2023; 24:302-311. [PMID: 36976611 PMCID: PMC10047739 DOI: 10.5811/westjem.2022.10.57368] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2022] [Accepted: 10/06/2022] [Indexed: 03/29/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Despite literature on a variety of social risks and needs screening interventions in emergency department (ED) settings, there is no universally accepted or evidence-based process for conducting such interventions. Many factors hamper or promote implementation of social risks and needs screening in the ED, but the relative impact of these factors and how best to mitigate/leverage them is unknown. METHODS Drawing on an extensive literature review, expert assessment, and feedback from participants in the 2021 Society for Academic Emergency Medicine Consensus Conference through moderated discussions and follow-up surveys, we identified research gaps and rated research priorities for implementing screening for social risks and needs in the ED. We identified three main knowledge gaps: 1) screening implementation mechanics; 2) outreach and engagement with communities; and 3) addressing barriers and leveraging facilitators to screening. Within these gaps, we identified 12 high-priority research questions as well as research methods for future studies. RESULTS Consensus Conference participants broadly agreed that social risks and needs screening is generally acceptable to patients and clinicians and feasible in an ED setting. Our literature review and conference discussion identified several research gaps in the specific mechanics of screening implementation, including screening and referral team composition, workflow, and use of technology. Discussions also highlighted a need for more collaboration with stakeholders in screening design and implementation. Additionally, discussions identified the need for studies using adaptive designs or hybrid effectiveness-implementation models to test multiple strategies for implementation and sustainability. CONCLUSION Through a robust consensus process we developed an actionable research agenda for implementing social risks and needs screening in EDs. Future work in this area should use implementation science frameworks and research best practices to further develop and refine ED screening for social risks and needs and to address barriers as well as leverage facilitators to such screening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mackensie Yore
- VA Los Angeles and UCLA National Clinician Scholars Program, VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System HSR&D Center of Innovation, Los Angeles, California
| | | | - Herbert C Duber
- University of Washington, Department of Emergency Medicine, Seattle, Washington
| | - Kelly M Doran
- NYU Grossman School of Medicine, Departments of Emergency Medicine and Population Health, New York, New York
| | - Richelle J Cooper
- UCLA David Geffen School of Medicine, UCLA Department of Emergency Medicine, Los Angeles, California
| | - Michelle P Lin
- Stanford University, Department of Emergency Medicine, Stanford, California
| | | | - Vidya Eswaran
- Baylor College of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine and Section of Health Services Research, Department of Medicine, Houston, Texas
| | - Betty Chang
- Columbia University, Department of Emergency Medicine, New York, New York
| | - Haeyeon Hong
- Boston Medical Center, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Kessiena Gbenedio
- Columbia University, Department of Emergency Medicine, New York, New York
| | | | - Nicholas Gavin
- Mount Sinai Icahn School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, New York, New York
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Langevin R, Berry A, Zhang J, Fockele CE, Anderson L, Hsieh D, Hartzler A, Duber HC, Hsieh G. Implementation fidelity of chatbot screening for social needs: Acceptability, feasibility, appropriateness. Appl Clin Inform 2023; 14:374-391. [PMID: 36787882 DOI: 10.1055/a-2035-5342] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/16/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Patient and provider-facing screening tools for social determinants of health have been explored in a variety of contexts; however, effective screening and resource referral remains challenging, and less is known about how patients perceive chatbots as potential social needs screening tools. We investigated patient perceptions of a chatbot for social needs screening using three implementation outcome measures: acceptability, feasibility, and appropriateness. METHODS We implemented a chatbot for social needs screening at one large public hospital emergency department (ED) and used concurrent triangulation to assess perceptions of the chatbot use for screening. 350 ED visitors completed the social needs screening and rated the chatbot on implementation outcome measures, and 22 participants engaged in follow-up phone interviews. RESULTS The screened participants ranged in age from 18 to 90 years old and were diverse in race/ethnicity, education, and insurance status. Participants (n=350) rated the chatbot as an acceptable, feasible and appropriate way of screening. Through interviews (n=22), participants explained that the chatbot was a responsive, private, easy to use, efficient, and comfortable channel to report social needs in the ED, but wanted more information on data use and more support in accessing resources. CONCLUSIONS In this study, we deployed a chatbot for social needs screening in a real-world context and found patients perceived the chatbot to be an acceptable, feasible, and appropriate modality for social needs screening. Findings suggest that chatbots are a promising modality for social needs screening and can successfully engage a large, diverse patient population in the ED. This is significant, as it suggests that chatbots could facilitate a screening process that ultimately connects patients to care for social needs, improving health and well-being for members of vulnerable patient populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raina Langevin
- Human Centered Design & Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, United States
| | - Andrew Berry
- Department of Medical Social Sciences, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, United States
| | - Jinyang Zhang
- Paul G. Allen School of Computer Science & Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, United States
| | - Callan E Fockele
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, United States
| | - Layla Anderson
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, United States
| | - Dennis Hsieh
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, United States
| | - Andrea Hartzler
- Biomedical Informatics and Medical Education, University of Washington, Seattle, United States
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, United States
| | - Gary Hsieh
- Department of Human Centered Design & Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, United States
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Sabbatini AK, Hoeft TJ, Duber HC, Kern E, Sylling PW, Desrosiers A, McKee MB, Hernandez SE. Behavioral Health Integration in Community Health Centers and Emergency Department Use. Psychiatr Serv 2022; 73:1298-1301. [PMID: 35578806 DOI: 10.1176/appi.ps.202100626] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Medicaid enrollees with behavioral health disorders often experience fragmented care, leading to high rates of preventable use of emergency departments (EDs). As part of its Medicaid Transformation Program, the Washington Health Care Authority partnered with regional accountable communities of health to collect data on behavioral health integration in community health centers. Clinics who participated in the integrated care demonstration received technical and financial support to increase capacity for integration. This column describes results from an analysis that linked clinic surveys to Medicaid claims to explore characteristics of highly integrated clinics and assess whether clinic capacity for behavioral health integration is associated with ED visit frequency.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amber K Sabbatini
- Department of Emergency Medicine (Sabbatini, Duber) and Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences (Hoeft), University of Washington, Seattle;Department of Health Systems and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (Sabbatini, Hoeft, Kern, Hernandez); Assessment, Policy Development and Evaluation Unit, Public Health-Seattle & King County (Kern, Hernandez); King County Department of Community and Human Services, Seattle (Sylling); HealthierHere, Seattle (Desrosiers, McKee)
| | - Theresa J Hoeft
- Department of Emergency Medicine (Sabbatini, Duber) and Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences (Hoeft), University of Washington, Seattle;Department of Health Systems and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (Sabbatini, Hoeft, Kern, Hernandez); Assessment, Policy Development and Evaluation Unit, Public Health-Seattle & King County (Kern, Hernandez); King County Department of Community and Human Services, Seattle (Sylling); HealthierHere, Seattle (Desrosiers, McKee)
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Department of Emergency Medicine (Sabbatini, Duber) and Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences (Hoeft), University of Washington, Seattle;Department of Health Systems and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (Sabbatini, Hoeft, Kern, Hernandez); Assessment, Policy Development and Evaluation Unit, Public Health-Seattle & King County (Kern, Hernandez); King County Department of Community and Human Services, Seattle (Sylling); HealthierHere, Seattle (Desrosiers, McKee)
| | - Eli Kern
- Department of Emergency Medicine (Sabbatini, Duber) and Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences (Hoeft), University of Washington, Seattle;Department of Health Systems and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (Sabbatini, Hoeft, Kern, Hernandez); Assessment, Policy Development and Evaluation Unit, Public Health-Seattle & King County (Kern, Hernandez); King County Department of Community and Human Services, Seattle (Sylling); HealthierHere, Seattle (Desrosiers, McKee)
| | - Philip W Sylling
- Department of Emergency Medicine (Sabbatini, Duber) and Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences (Hoeft), University of Washington, Seattle;Department of Health Systems and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (Sabbatini, Hoeft, Kern, Hernandez); Assessment, Policy Development and Evaluation Unit, Public Health-Seattle & King County (Kern, Hernandez); King County Department of Community and Human Services, Seattle (Sylling); HealthierHere, Seattle (Desrosiers, McKee)
| | - Alexis Desrosiers
- Department of Emergency Medicine (Sabbatini, Duber) and Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences (Hoeft), University of Washington, Seattle;Department of Health Systems and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (Sabbatini, Hoeft, Kern, Hernandez); Assessment, Policy Development and Evaluation Unit, Public Health-Seattle & King County (Kern, Hernandez); King County Department of Community and Human Services, Seattle (Sylling); HealthierHere, Seattle (Desrosiers, McKee)
| | - Michael B McKee
- Department of Emergency Medicine (Sabbatini, Duber) and Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences (Hoeft), University of Washington, Seattle;Department of Health Systems and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (Sabbatini, Hoeft, Kern, Hernandez); Assessment, Policy Development and Evaluation Unit, Public Health-Seattle & King County (Kern, Hernandez); King County Department of Community and Human Services, Seattle (Sylling); HealthierHere, Seattle (Desrosiers, McKee)
| | - Susan E Hernandez
- Department of Emergency Medicine (Sabbatini, Duber) and Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences (Hoeft), University of Washington, Seattle;Department of Health Systems and Population Health, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle (Sabbatini, Hoeft, Kern, Hernandez); Assessment, Policy Development and Evaluation Unit, Public Health-Seattle & King County (Kern, Hernandez); King County Department of Community and Human Services, Seattle (Sylling); HealthierHere, Seattle (Desrosiers, McKee)
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Johnson EK, Wojtesta MA, Crosby SW, Duber HC, Jun E, Lescinsky H, Nguyen P, Sahu M, Thomson A, Tsakalos G, Weil MS, Haakenstad A, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL. Varied Health Spending Growth Across US States Was Associated With Incomes, Price Levels, And Medicaid Expansion, 2000-19. Health Aff (Millwood) 2022; 41:1088-1097. [PMID: 35914211 DOI: 10.1377/hlthaff.2021.01834] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
Little is known about health care spending variation across the US for recent years. To estimate health spending by state and payer, we combined data from the government's State Health Expenditure Accounts, which have estimates through 2014, with other primary data on spending. In 2019 state-specific per person spending ranged from $7,250 to $14,500. After adjustment for inflation, annualized per person spending growth for each state ranged from 1.0 percent in Washington, D.C., to 4.2 percent in South Dakota between 2013 and 2019. The factors that explained the most variation across states were incomes (25.3 percent) and consumer prices (21.7 percent). Medicaid expansion was associated with increases in total spending per person, although the median of spending in expansion states showed slower growth in out-of-pocket spending than the median in nonexpansion states. Contemporary estimates of state health spending are valuable for tracking divergent expenditure trajectories in the US and assessing the associated factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emily K Johnson
- Emily K. Johnson, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | | | - Sawyer W Crosby
- Sawyer W. Crosby, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Herbert C. Duber, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
| | | | - Haley Lescinsky
- Haley Lescinsky, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
| | - Phong Nguyen
- Phong Nguyen, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
| | - Maitreyi Sahu
- Maitreyi Sahu, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
| | - Azalea Thomson
- Azalea Thomson, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
| | - Golsum Tsakalos
- Golsum Tsakalos, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
| | - Maxwell S Weil
- Maxwell S. Weil, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
| | | | - Ali H Mokdad
- Ali H. Mokdad, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
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Kumar S, Duber HC, Kreuter W, Sabbatini AK. Disparities in cardiovascular outcomes among emergency department patients with mental illness. Am J Emerg Med 2022; 55:51-56. [PMID: 35279577 PMCID: PMC9018581 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajem.2022.02.037] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2022] [Revised: 02/13/2022] [Accepted: 02/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with mental illness have been shown to receive lower quality of care and experience worse cardiovascular (CV) outcomes compared to those without mental illness. This present study examined mental health-related disparities in CV outcomes after an Emergency Department (ED) visit for chest pain. METHODS This retrospective cohort included adult Medicaid beneficiaries in Washington state discharged from the ED with a primary diagnosis of unspecified chest pain in 2010-2017. Outcomes for patients with any mental illness (any mental health diagnosis or mental-health specific service use within 1 year of an index ED visit) and serious mental illness (at least two claims (on different dates of service) within 1 year of an index ED visit with a diagnosis of schizophrenia, other psychotic disorder, or major mood disorder) were compared to those of patients without mental illness. Our outcomes of interest were the incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) within 30 days and 6 months of discharge of their ED visit, defined as a composite of death, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), CV rehospitalization, or revascularization. Secondary outcomes included cardiovascular diagnostic testing (diagnostic angiography, stress testing, echocardiography, and coronary computed tomography (CT) angiography) rates within 30 days of ED discharge. Only treat-and-release visits were included for outcomes assessment. Hierarchical logistic random effects regression models assessed the association between mental illness and the outcomes of interest, controlling for age, gender, race, ethnicity, Elixhauser comorbidities, and health care use in the past year, as well as fixed year effects. RESULTS There were 98,812 treat-and-release ED visits in our dataset. At 30 days, enrollees with any mental illness had no differences in rates of MACE (AOR 0.96; 95% CI, 0.72-1.27) or any of the individual components. At 6 months, enrollees with any mental illness (AOR 1.86; 95% CI, 1.11-3.09) and serious mental illness (AOR 2.60; 95% CI 1.33-5.13) were significantly more likely to be hospitalized for a CV condition compared to those without mental illness. Individuals with any mental illness had higher rates of testing at 30 days (AOR 1.16; 95% CI 1.07-1.27). CONCLUSION Patients with mental illness have similar rates of MACE, but higher rates of certain CV outcomes, such as CV hospitalization and diagnostic testing, after an ED visit for chest pain.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shilpa Kumar
- University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, WA, United States of America.
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Section of Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - William Kreuter
- The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy and Economics (CHOICE) Institute, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Amber K Sabbatini
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Section of Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
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Comfort H, Lafta RK, Flaxman AD, Hagopian A, Duber HC. Association Between Subnational Vaccine Coverage, Migration, and Incident Cases of Measles, Mumps, and Rubella in Iraq, 2001–2016. Front Public Health 2022; 9:689458. [PMID: 35127606 PMCID: PMC8810510 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.689458] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2021] [Accepted: 12/28/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective This analysis examines governorate-level disease incidence as well as the relationship between incidence and the number of persons of concern for three vaccine-preventable diseases—measles, mumps, and rubella—between 2001 and 2016. Methods Using Iraqi Ministry of Health and United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) data, we performed descriptive analyses of disease incidence and conducted a pooled statistical analysis with a linear mixed effects regression model to examine the role of vaccine coverage and migration of persons of concern on subnational disease incidence. Results We found large variability in governorate-level incidence, particularly for measles (on the order of 100x). We identified decreases in incident measles cases per 100,000 persons for each additional percent vaccinated (0.82, 95% CI: [0.64, 1.00], p-value < 0.001) and for every additional 10,000 persons of concern when incorporating displacement into our model (0.26, 95% CI: [0.22, 0.30], p-value < 0.001). These relationships were insignificant for mumps and rubella. Conclusions National level summary statistics do not adequately capture the high geospatial disparity in disease incidence between 2001 and 2016. This variability is complicated by MMR vaccine coverage and the migration of “persons of concern” (refugees) during conflict. We found that even when vaccine coverage was constant, measles incidence was higher in locations with more displaced persons, suggesting conflict fueled the epidemic in ways that vaccine coverage could not control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haley Comfort
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- *Correspondence: Haley Comfort
| | - Riyadh K. Lafta
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, Al Mustansiriya University, Baghdad, Iraq
| | - Abraham D. Flaxman
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
| | - Amy Hagopian
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- Department of Health Systems and Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
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Scott KW, Scott JW, Sabbatini AK, Chen C, Liu A, Dieleman JL, Duber HC. Assessing Catastrophic Health Expenditures Among Uninsured People Who Seek Care in US Hospital-Based Emergency Departments. JAMA Health Forum 2021; 2:e214359. [PMID: 35977304 PMCID: PMC8796980 DOI: 10.1001/jamahealthforum.2021.4359] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2021] [Accepted: 10/31/2021] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Question What is the risk of a single treat-and-release emergency department (ED) visit contributing to a catastrophic health expenditure (CHE; health care costs exceeding 40% of post-subsistence income) among uninsured people? Findings In this cross-sectional study of 41.7 million ED visits from 2006 to 2017, nearly 1 in 5 (18%) uninsured treat-and-release ED patient encounters were at risk of CHE. This risk has grown over time and disproportionately burdens those with low incomes. Meaning Policies such as broadening financial risk protection for unscheduled care may help to mitigate CHE risk among uninsured people, who have few alternatives for care outside of the ED. Importance Uninsured people uniquely rely on the emergency department (ED) for care as they are less likely to have access to lower-cost alternatives. Prior work has demonstrated that most uninsured patients are at risk of catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) after being hospitalized for life-saving care. The risk of CHE for a single treat-and-release ED visit that does not result in a hospitalization among uninsured patient encounters is currently unknown. Objective To estimate the overall national risk of CHE among uninsured patients after a single treat-and-release ED visit from 2006 through 2017, and to characterize this risk across key traits. Design, Setting, and Population This cross-sectional study is based on a nationally representative sample of hospital-based ED visits between 2006 and 2017 in the United States (US) from the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS). It examined outpatient ED visits among uninsured patients. Main Outcomes and Measures Risk of CHE for ED care defined as an ED charge that exceeds 40% of one’s estimated annual post-subsistence income. Results From 2006 to 2017, there were 41.7 million NEDS encounters that met inclusion criteria for this analysis, equating to a nationally weighted estimate of 184.6 million uninsured treat-and-release ED encounters over this period. The median ED charge for a single treat-and-release encounter grew from $842 in 2006 to $2033 by 2017. Approximately 1 in 5 uninsured patients (18% [95% CI, 18.0%-18.0%]) were at risk of CHE for a single treat-and-release ED visit over the study period. This estimated CHE risk increased from 13.6% (95% CI, 13.6%-13.6%) in 2006 to 22.6% (95% CI, 22.6%-22.7%) in 2017. Those living in the lowest income quartile faced a disproportionate share of this risk, with nearly 1 in 3 (28.5% [95% CI, 28.5%-28.6%]) facing CHE risk in 2017. In 2017, an estimated 3.2 million patient encounters nationally were at risk of CHE after a single treat-and-release ED visit. Conclusions and Relevance This cross-sectional analysis from 2006 to 2017 of 184.6 million uninsured treat-and-release visits found that 1 in 5 uninsured patient encounters are at risk for CHE. This risk has grown over time. Future policies designed to improve access for unscheduled care must consider the unique role of the ED as the de facto safety net and ensure that uninsured patients are not at undue risk of financial harm for seeking care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kirstin Woody Scott
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle
| | - John W. Scott
- Department of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
| | | | - Carina Chen
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle
| | - Angela Liu
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Joseph L. Dieleman
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle
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11
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Scott KW, Liu A, Chen C, Kaldjian AS, Sabbatini AK, Duber HC, Dieleman JL. Healthcare spending in U.S. emergency departments by health condition, 2006-2016. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0258182. [PMID: 34705854 PMCID: PMC8550368 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258182] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2020] [Accepted: 09/21/2021] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Healthcare spending in the emergency department (ED) setting has received intense focus from policymakers in the United States (U.S.). Relatively few studies have systematically evaluated ED spending over time or disaggregated ED spending by policy-relevant groups, including health condition, age, sex, and payer to inform these discussions. This study's objective is to estimate ED spending trends in the U.S. from 2006 to 2016, by age, sex, payer, and across 154 health conditions and assess ED spending per visit over time. METHODS AND FINDINGS This observational study utilized the National Emergency Department Sample, a nationally representative sample of hospital-based ED visits in the U.S. to measure healthcare spending for ED care. All spending estimates were adjusted for inflation and presented in 2016 U.S. Dollars. Overall ED spending was $79.2 billion (CI, $79.2 billion-$79.2 billion) in 2006 and grew to $136.6 billion (CI, $136.6 billion-$136.6 billion) in 2016, representing a population-adjusted annualized rate of change of 4.4% (CI, 4.4%-4.5%) as compared to total healthcare spending (1.4% [CI, 1.4%-1.4%]) during that same ten-year period. The percentage of U.S. health spending attributable to the ED has increased from 3.9% (CI, 3.9%-3.9%) in 2006 to 5.0% (CI, 5.0%-5.0%) in 2016. Nearly equal parts of ED spending in 2016 was paid by private payers (49.3% [CI, 49.3%-49.3%]) and public payers (46.9% [CI, 46.9%-46.9%]), with the remainder attributable to out-of-pocket spending (3.9% [CI, 3.9%-3.9%]). In terms of key groups, the majority of ED spending was allocated among females (versus males) and treat-and-release patients (versus those hospitalized); those between age 20-44 accounted for a plurality of ED spending. Road injuries, falls, and urinary diseases witnessed the highest levels of ED spending, accounting for 14.1% (CI, 13.1%-15.1%) of total ED spending in 2016. ED spending per visit also increased over time from $660.0 (CI, $655.1-$665.2) in 2006 to $943.2 (CI, $934.3-$951.6) in 2016, or at an annualized rate of 3.4% (CI, 3.3%-3.4%). CONCLUSIONS Though ED spending accounts for a relatively small portion of total health system spending in the U.S., ED spending is sizable and growing. Understanding which diseases are driving this spending is helpful for informing value-based reforms that can impact overall health care costs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kirstin Woody Scott
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States of America
| | - Angela Liu
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Carina Chen
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Alexander S. Kaldjian
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Amber K. Sabbatini
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Joseph L. Dieleman
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
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12
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Flaxman AD, Henning DJ, Duber HC. The relative incidence of COVID-19 in healthcare workers versus non-healthcare workers: evidence from a web-based survey of Facebook users in the United States. Gates Open Res 2021; 4:174. [PMID: 34405132 PMCID: PMC8355954 DOI: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13202.2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Healthcare workers are at the forefront of the COVID-19 pandemic and it is essential to monitor the relative incidence rate of this group, as compared to workers in other occupations. This study aimed to produce estimates of the relative incidence ratio between healthcare workers and workers in non-healthcare occupations. Methods: Analysis of cross-sectional data from a daily, web-based survey of 1,822,662 Facebook users from September 8, 2020 to October 20, 2020. Participants were Facebook users in the United States aged 18 and above who were tested for COVID-19 because of an employer or school requirement in the past 14 days. The exposure variable was a self-reported history of working in healthcare in the past four weeks and the main outcome was a self-reported positive test for COVID-19. Results: On October 20, 2020, in the United States, there was a relative COVID-19 incidence ratio of 0.73 (95% UI 0.68 to 0.80) between healthcare workers and workers in non-healthcare occupations. Conclusions: In fall of 2020, in the United States, healthcare workers likely had a lower COVID-19 incidence rate than workers in non-healthcare occupations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abraham D Flaxman
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washigton, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA
| | - Daniel J Henning
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washigton, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washigton, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA.,Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washigton, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA
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13
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Waxman MJ, Moschella P, Duber HC, Martin DR, Benzoni T, Rothman RE, Schechter‐Perkins EM. Emergency department-based COVID-19 vaccination: Where do we stand? Acad Emerg Med 2021; 28:707-709. [PMID: 33825244 PMCID: PMC8250963 DOI: 10.1111/acem.14261] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2021] [Revised: 03/30/2021] [Accepted: 04/01/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Michael J. Waxman
- Department of Emergency Medicine Albany Medical College Albany New York USA
| | - Phillip Moschella
- Department of Emergency Medicine Prisma Health Upstate Affiliate Greenville South Carolina USA
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Department of Emergency Medicine University of Washington Seattle Washington USA
| | - Daniel R. Martin
- Department of Emergency Medicine Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center Columbus Ohio USA
| | - Thomas Benzoni
- Department of Family and Internal Medicine Des Moines University Medicine and Health Sciences Des Moines Iowa USA
| | - Richard E. Rothman
- Department of Emergency Medicine Johns Hopkins Medicine Baltimore Maryland USA
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14
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Fockele CE, Duber HC, Finegood B, Morse SC, Whiteside LK. Improving transitions of care for patients initiated on buprenorphine for opioid use disorder from the emergency departments in King County, Washington. J Am Coll Emerg Physicians Open 2021; 2:e12408. [PMID: 33778807 PMCID: PMC7987236 DOI: 10.1002/emp2.12408] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2020] [Revised: 02/11/2021] [Accepted: 02/24/2021] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
STUDY OBJECTIVE Opioid use disorder (OUD) is on the rise nationwide with increasing emergency department (ED) visits and deaths secondary to overdose. Although previous research has shown that patients who are started on buprenorphine in the ED have increased engagement in addiction treatment, access to on-demand medications for OUD is still limited, in part because of the need for linkages to outpatient care. The objective of this study is to describe emergency and outpatient providers' perception of local barriers to transitions of care for ED-initiated buprenorphine patients. METHODS Purposive sampling was used to recruit key stakeholders, identified as physicians, addiction specialists, and hospital administrators, from 10 EDs and 11 outpatient clinics in King County, Washington. Twenty-one interviews were recorded and transcribed and then coded using an integrated deductive and inductive content analysis approach by 2 team members to verify accuracy of the analysis. Interview guides and coding were informed by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR), which provides a structure of domains and constructs associated with effective implementation of evidence-based practice. RESULTS From the 21 interviews with emergency and outpatient providers, this study identified 4 barriers to transitions of care for ED-initiated buprenorphine patients: scope of practice, prescribing capacity, referral incoordination, and loss to follow-up. CONCLUSION Next steps for implementation of this intervention in a community setting include establishing a standard of care for treatment and referral for ED patients with OUD, increasing buprenorphine prescribing capacity, creating a central repository for streamlined referrals and follow-up, and supporting low-barrier scheduling and navigation services.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of WashingtonSeattleWashingtonUSA
| | - Brad Finegood
- Department of Public HealthPublic Health‐Seattle and King CountySeattleWashingtonUSA
| | - Sophie C. Morse
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of WashingtonSeattleWashingtonUSA
| | - Lauren K. Whiteside
- Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of WashingtonSeattleWashingtonUSA
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15
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Carnahan E, Gurley N, Asiimwe G, Chilundo B, Duber HC, Faye A, Kamya C, Mpanya G, Nagasha S, Phillips D, Salisbury N, Shearer J, Shelley K. Lessons Learned From Implementing Prospective, Multicountry Mixed-Methods Evaluations for Gavi and the Global Fund. Glob Health Sci Pract 2020; 8:771-782. [PMID: 33361241 PMCID: PMC7784079 DOI: 10.9745/ghsp-d-20-00126] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2020] [Accepted: 09/30/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
Lessons learned from implementing evaluations for Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance and the Global Fund for AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria can help inform the design and implementation of ongoing or future evaluations of complex interventions. We share 5 lessons distilled from over 7 years of experience implementing evaluations in 7 countries. Introduction: As global health programs have become increasingly complex, corresponding evaluations must be designed to assess the full complexity of these programs. Gavi and the Global Fund have commissioned 2 such evaluations to assess the full spectrum of their investments using a prospective mixed-methods approach. We aim to describe lessons learned from implementing these evaluations. Methods: This article presents a synthesis of lessons learned based on the Gavi and Global Fund prospective mixed-methods evaluations, with each evaluation considered a case study. The lessons are based on the evaluation team’s experience from over 7 years (2013–2020) implementing these evaluations. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Framework for Evaluation in Public Health was used to ground the identification of lessons learned. Results: We identified 5 lessons learned that build on existing evaluation best practices and include a mix of practical and conceptual considerations. The lessons cover the importance of (1) including an inception phase to engage stakeholders and inform a relevant, useful evaluation design; (2) aligning on the degree to which the evaluation is embedded in the program implementation; (3) monitoring programmatic, organizational, or contextual changes and adapting the evaluation accordingly; (4) hiring evaluators with mixed-methods expertise and using tools and approaches that facilitate mixing methods; and (5) contextualizing recommendations and clearly communicating their underlying strength of evidence. Conclusion: Global health initiatives, particularly those leveraging complex interventions, should consider embedding evaluations to understand how and why the programs are working. These initiatives can learn from the lessons presented here to inform the design and implementation of such evaluations.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.,Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Adama Faye
- Institut de Santé et Développement/University Cheikh Anta Diop, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Carol Kamya
- Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | | | - David Phillips
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
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16
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Flaxman AD, Henning DJ, Duber HC. The relative incidence of COVID-19 in healthcare workers versus non-healthcare workers: evidence from a web-based survey of Facebook users in the United States. Gates Open Res 2020; 4:174. [DOI: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13202.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/13/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Healthcare workers are at the forefront of the COVID-19 pandemic and it is essential to monitor the relative infection rate of this group, as compared to workers in other occupations. This study aimed to produce estimates of the relative incidence ratio between healthcare workers and workers in non-healthcare occupations. Methods: Analysis of cross-sectional data from a daily, web-based survey of 1,788,795 Facebook users from September 6, 2020 to October 18, 2020. Participants were Facebook users in the United States aged 18 and above who were tested for COVID-19 because of an employer or school requirement in the past 14 days. The exposure variable was a self-reported history of working in healthcare in the past four weeks and the main outcome was a self-reported positive test for COVID-19. Results: On October 18, 2020, in the United States, there was a relative COVID-19 incidence ratio of 0.7 (95% UI 0.6 to 0.8) between healthcare workers and workers in non-healthcare occupations. Conclusions: Currently in the United States, healthcare workers have a substantially and significantly lower COVID-19 incidence rate than workers in non-healthcare occupations.
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17
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Shelley KD, Kamya C, Mpanya G, Mulongo S, Nagasha SN, Beylerian E, Duber HC, Hernandez B, Osterman A, Phillips DE, Shearer JC. Partnership and Participation-A Social Network Analysis of the 2017 Global Fund Application Process in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda. Ann Glob Health 2020; 86:140. [PMID: 33200071 PMCID: PMC7646284 DOI: 10.5334/aogh.2961] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria was founded in 2002 as a public-private partnership between governments, the private sector, civil society, and populations affected by the three diseases. A key principle of the Global Fund is country ownership in accessing funding through "engagement of in-country stakeholders, including key and vulnerable populations, communities, and civil society." Research documenting whether diverse stakeholders are actually engaged and on how stakeholder engagement affects processes and outcomes of grant applications is limited. Objective To examine representation during the 2017 Global Fund application process in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Uganda and the benefits and drawbacks of partnership to the process. Methods We developed a mixed-methods social network survey to measure network structure and assess perceptions of how working together in partnership with other individuals/organizations affected perceived effectiveness, efficiency, and country ownership of the application process. Surveys were administered from December 2017-May 2018, initially to a set of central actors, followed by any individuals named during the surveys (up to 10) as collaborators. Network analyses were conducted using R. Findings Collaborators spanning many organizations and expertise areas contributed to the 2017 applications (DRC: 152 nodes, 237 ties; Uganda: 118 nodes, 241 ties). Participation from NGOs and civil society representatives was relatively strong, with most of their ties being to different organization types, Uganda (63%), and DRC (67%), highlighting their collaborative efforts across the network. Overall, the perceived benefits of partnership were high, including very strong ratings for effectiveness in both countries. Perceived drawbacks of partnership were minimal; however, less than half of respondents thought partnership helped reduce transaction costs or financial costs, suggesting an inclusive and participatory process may come with short-term efficiency tradeoffs. Conclusions Social network analysis can be useful for identifying who is included and excluded from the process, which can support efforts to ensure stronger, more meaningful engagement in future Global Fund application processes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Carol Kamya
- Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration (IDRC), Kampala, UG
| | | | | | | | | | - Herbert C. Duber
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, US
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington, Seattle, US
| | - Bernardo Hernandez
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington, Seattle, US
| | | | - David E. Phillips
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington, Seattle, US
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18
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Kim HN, Lan KF, Nkyekyer E, Neme S, Pierre-Louis M, Chew L, Duber HC. Assessment of Disparities in COVID-19 Testing and Infection Across Language Groups in Seattle, Washington. JAMA Netw Open 2020; 3:e2021213. [PMID: 32970156 PMCID: PMC7516622 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.21213] [Citation(s) in RCA: 70] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/16/2023] Open
Abstract
This cross-sectional study evaluates the proportion of patients tested for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the proportion of positive cases, using language as a surrogate for immigrant status.
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Affiliation(s)
- H. Nina Kim
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle
- Division of Allergy and Infectious Disease, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle
- Harborview Medical Center, Seattle, Washington
| | - Kristine F. Lan
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle
- Division of Allergy and Infectious Disease, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle
| | - Esi Nkyekyer
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle
- Harborview Medical Center, Seattle, Washington
| | - Santiago Neme
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle
- Division of Allergy and Infectious Disease, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle
| | | | - Lisa Chew
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle
- Harborview Medical Center, Seattle, Washington
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Harborview Medical Center, Seattle, Washington
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle
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19
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Bartlett ES, Flor LS, Medeiros DS, Colombara DV, Johanns CK, Camargo Vaz FA, Wilson S, Duber HC. Public knowledge of cardiovascular disease and response to acute cardiac events in three municipalities in Brazil. Open Heart 2020; 7:openhrt-2020-001322. [PMID: 32847995 PMCID: PMC7451281 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2020-001322] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2020] [Revised: 06/26/2020] [Accepted: 07/13/2020] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective To conduct a landscape assessment of public knowledge of cardiovascular disease risk factors and acute myocardial infarction symptoms, cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and automated external defibrillator (AED) awareness and training in three underserved communities in Brazil. Methods A cross-sectional, population-based survey of non-institutionalised adults age 30 or greater was conducted in three municipalities in Eastern Brazil. Data were analysed as survey-weighted percentages of the sampled populations. Results 3035 surveys were completed. Overall, one-third of respondents was unable to identify at least one cardiovascular disease risk factor and 25% unable to identify at least one myocardial infarction symptom. A minority of respondents had received training in CPR or were able to identify an AED. Low levels of education and low socioeconomic status were consistent predictors of lower knowledge levels of cardiovascular disease risk factors, acute coronary syndrome symptoms and CPR and AED use. Conclusions In three municipalities in Eastern Brazil, overall public knowledge of cardiovascular disease risk factors and symptoms, as well as knowledge of appropriate CPR and AED use was low. Our findings indicate the need for interventions to improve public knowledge and response to acute cardiovascular events in Brazil as a first step towards improving health outcomes in this population. Significant heterogeneity in knowledge seen across sites and socioeconomic strata indicates a need to appropriately target such interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emily S Bartlett
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Luisa S Flor
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | | | | | - Casey K Johanns
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | | | - Shelley Wilson
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA .,Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
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20
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Mitchell SH, Bulger EM, Duber HC, Greninger AL, Ong TD, Morris SC, Chew LD, Haffner TM, Sakata VL, Lynch JB. Western Washington State COVID-19 Experience: Keys to Flattening the Curve and Effective Health System Response. J Am Coll Surg 2020; 231:316-324.e1. [PMID: 32561446 PMCID: PMC7297171 DOI: 10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2020.06.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2020] [Revised: 06/06/2020] [Accepted: 06/08/2020] [Indexed: 01/14/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Washington State experienced the first major outbreak of COVID-19 in the US and despite a significant number of cases, has seen a relatively low death rate per million population compared with other states with major outbreaks, and has seen a substantial decrease in the projections for healthcare use, that is, "flattening the curve." This consensus report seeks to identify the key factors contributing to the effective health system disaster response in western WA. METHODS A multidisciplinary, expert panel including individuals and organizations who were integral to managing the public health and emergency healthcare system response were engaged in a consensus process to identify the key themes and lessons learned and develop recommendations for ongoing management of the COVID-19 pandemic. RESULTS Six key themes were identified, including early communication and coordination among stakeholders; regional coordination of the healthcare system response; rapid development and access to viral testing; proactive management of long-term care and skilled nursing facilities; proactive management of vulnerable populations; and effective physical distancing in the community. CONCLUSIONS Based on the lessons learned in each of the areas identified by the panel, 11 recommendations are provided to support the healthcare system disaster response in managing future outbreaks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Steven H Mitchell
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Eileen M Bulger
- Department of Surgery, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Alexander L Greninger
- Virology Division, Department of Laboratory Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Thuan D Ong
- Division of Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Stephen C Morris
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Lisa D Chew
- Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Tom M Haffner
- School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | | | - John B Lynch
- Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
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21
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Dieleman JL, Cao J, Chapin A, Chen C, Li Z, Liu A, Horst C, Kaldjian A, Matyasz T, Scott KW, Bui AL, Campbell M, Duber HC, Dunn AC, Flaxman AD, Fitzmaurice C, Naghavi M, Sadat N, Shieh P, Squires E, Yeung K, Murray CJL. US Health Care Spending by Payer and Health Condition, 1996-2016. JAMA 2020; 323:863-884. [PMID: 32125402 PMCID: PMC7054840 DOI: 10.1001/jama.2020.0734] [Citation(s) in RCA: 492] [Impact Index Per Article: 123.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE US health care spending has continued to increase and now accounts for 18% of the US economy, although little is known about how spending on each health condition varies by payer, and how these amounts have changed over time. OBJECTIVE To estimate US spending on health care according to 3 types of payers (public insurance [including Medicare, Medicaid, and other government programs], private insurance, or out-of-pocket payments) and by health condition, age group, sex, and type of care for 1996 through 2016. DESIGN AND SETTING Government budgets, insurance claims, facility records, household surveys, and official US records from 1996 through 2016 were collected to estimate spending for 154 health conditions. Spending growth rates (standardized by population size and age group) were calculated for each type of payer and health condition. EXPOSURES Ambulatory care, inpatient care, nursing care facility stay, emergency department care, dental care, and purchase of prescribed pharmaceuticals in a retail setting. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES National spending estimates stratified by health condition, age group, sex, type of care, and type of payer and modeled for each year from 1996 through 2016. RESULTS Total health care spending increased from an estimated $1.4 trillion in 1996 (13.3% of gross domestic product [GDP]; $5259 per person) to an estimated $3.1 trillion in 2016 (17.9% of GDP; $9655 per person); 85.2% of that spending was included in this study. In 2016, an estimated 48.0% (95% CI, 48.0%-48.0%) of health care spending was paid by private insurance, 42.6% (95% CI, 42.5%-42.6%) by public insurance, and 9.4% (95% CI, 9.4%-9.4%) by out-of-pocket payments. In 2016, among the 154 conditions, low back and neck pain had the highest amount of health care spending with an estimated $134.5 billion (95% CI, $122.4-$146.9 billion) in spending, of which 57.2% (95% CI, 52.2%-61.2%) was paid by private insurance, 33.7% (95% CI, 30.0%-38.4%) by public insurance, and 9.2% (95% CI, 8.3%-10.4%) by out-of-pocket payments. Other musculoskeletal disorders accounted for the second highest amount of health care spending (estimated at $129.8 billion [95% CI, $116.3-$149.7 billion]) and most had private insurance (56.4% [95% CI, 52.6%-59.3%]). Diabetes accounted for the third highest amount of the health care spending (estimated at $111.2 billion [95% CI, $105.7-$115.9 billion]) and most had public insurance (49.8% [95% CI, 44.4%-56.0%]). Other conditions estimated to have substantial health care spending in 2016 were ischemic heart disease ($89.3 billion [95% CI, $81.1-$95.5 billion]), falls ($87.4 billion [95% CI, $75.0-$100.1 billion]), urinary diseases ($86.0 billion [95% CI, $76.3-$95.9 billion]), skin and subcutaneous diseases ($85.0 billion [95% CI, $80.5-$90.2 billion]), osteoarthritis ($80.0 billion [95% CI, $72.2-$86.1 billion]), dementias ($79.2 billion [95% CI, $67.6-$90.8 billion]), and hypertension ($79.0 billion [95% CI, $72.6-$86.8 billion]). The conditions with the highest spending varied by type of payer, age, sex, type of care, and year. After adjusting for changes in inflation, population size, and age groups, public insurance spending was estimated to have increased at an annualized rate of 2.9% (95% CI, 2.9%-2.9%); private insurance, 2.6% (95% CI, 2.6%-2.6%); and out-of-pocket payments, 1.1% (95% CI, 1.0%-1.1%). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Estimates of US spending on health care showed substantial increases from 1996 through 2016, with the highest increases in population-adjusted spending by public insurance. Although spending on low back and neck pain, other musculoskeletal disorders, and diabetes accounted for the highest amounts of spending, the payers and the rates of change in annual spending growth rates varied considerably.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jackie Cao
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Abby Chapin
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Carina Chen
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Zhiyin Li
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Angela Liu
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Cody Horst
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | | | - Taylor Matyasz
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | | | - Anthony L. Bui
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Washington, Seattle Children’s Hospital, Seattle
| | | | - Herbert C. Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle
| | - Abe C. Dunn
- Bureau of Economic Analysis, Suitland, Maryland
| | | | - Christina Fitzmaurice
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
- Division of Hematology, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle
| | - Mohsen Naghavi
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | | | - Peter Shieh
- Bureau of Economic Analysis, Suitland, Maryland
| | | | - Kai Yeung
- Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle
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Duber HC, Hartford EA, Schaefer AM, Johanns CK, Colombara DV, Iriarte E, Palmisano EB, Rios-Zertuche D, Zuniga-Brenes P, Hernández-Prado B, Mokdad AH. Appropriate and timely antibiotic administration for neonatal sepsis in Mesoamérica. BMJ Glob Health 2018; 3:e000650. [PMID: 29862053 PMCID: PMC5969725 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2017-000650] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2017] [Revised: 03/23/2018] [Accepted: 03/24/2018] [Indexed: 01/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Neonatal sepsis is a leading cause of mortality among children under-5 in Latin America. The Salud Mesoamérica Initiative (SMI), a multicountry results-based aid programme, was designed to improve maternal, newborn and child health in impoverished communities in Mesoamérica. This study examines the delivery of timely and appropriate antibiotics for neonatal sepsis among facilities participating in the SMI project. A multifaceted health facility survey was implemented at SMI inception and approximately 18 months later as a follow-up. A random sample of medical records from neonates diagnosed with sepsis was reviewed, and data regarding antibiotic administration were extracted. In this paper, we present the percentage of patients who received timely (within 2 hours) and appropriate antibiotics. Multilevel logistic regression was used to assess for potential facility-level determinants of timely and appropriate antibiotic treatment. Among 821 neonates diagnosed with sepsis in 63 facilities, 61.8% received an appropriate antibiotic regimen, most commonly ampicillin plus an aminoglycoside. Within 2 hours of presentation, 32.3% received any antibiotic and only 26.6% received an appropriate regimen within that time. Antibiotic availability improved over the course of the SMI project, increasing from 27.5% at baseline to 64.0% at follow-up, and it was highly correlated with timely and appropriate antibiotic administration (adjusted OR=5.36, 95% CI 2.85 to 10.08). However, we also found a decline in the percentage of neonates documented to have received appropriate antibiotics (74.4% vs 51.1%). Our study demonstrated early success of the SMI project through improvements in the availability of appropriate antibiotic regimens for neonatal sepsis. At the same time, overall rates of timely and appropriate antibiotic administration remain low, and the next phase of the initiative will need to address other barriers to the provision of life-saving antibiotic treatment for neonatal sepsis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.,Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Emily A Hartford
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Washington, Seattle Children's Hospital, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Alexandra M Schaefer
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Casey K Johanns
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Danny V Colombara
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Emma Iriarte
- Salud Mesoamérica Initiative/Inter-American Development Bank, Panama City, Panama
| | - Erin B Palmisano
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Diego Rios-Zertuche
- Salud Mesoamérica Initiative/Inter-American Development Bank, Panama City, Panama
| | - Paola Zuniga-Brenes
- Salud Mesoamérica Initiative/Inter-American Development Bank, Panama City, Panama
| | | | - Ali H Mokdad
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
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Wollum A, Gabert R, McNellan CR, Daly JM, Reddy P, Bhatt P, Bryant M, Colombara DV, Naidoo P, Ngongo B, Nyembezi A, Petersen Z, Phillips B, Wilson S, Gakidou E, Duber HC. Identifying gaps in the continuum of care for cardiovascular disease and diabetes in two communities in South Africa: Baseline findings from the HealthRise project. PLoS One 2018; 13:e0192603. [PMID: 29538420 PMCID: PMC5851537 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0192603] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2017] [Accepted: 01/28/2018] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The HealthRise initiative seeks to implement and evaluate innovative community-based strategies for diabetes, hypertension and hypercholesterolemia along the entire continuum of care (CoC)-from awareness and diagnosis, through treatment and control. In this study, we present baseline findings from HealthRise South Africa, identifying gaps in the CoC, as well as key barriers to care for non-communicable diseases (NCDs). METHODS This mixed-methods needs assessment utilized national household data, health facility surveys, focus group discussions, and key informant interviews in Umgungundlovu and Pixley ka Seme districts. Risk factor and disease prevalence were estimated from the South Africa National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Health facility surveys were conducted at 86 facilities, focusing on essential intervention, medications and standard treatment guidelines. Quantitative results are presented descriptively, and qualitative data was analyzed using a framework approach. RESULTS 46.8% of the population in Umgungundlovu and 51.0% in Pixley ka Seme were hypertensive. Diabetes was present in 11.0% and 9.7% of the population in Umgungundlovu and Pixley ka Seme. Hypercholesterolemia was more common in Pixley ka Seme (17.3% vs. 11.1%). Women and those of Indian descent were more likely to have diabetes. More than half of the population was found to be overweight, and binge drinking, inactivity and smoking were all common. More than half of patients with hypertension were unaware of their disease status (51.6% in Pixley ka Seme and 51.3% in Umgungundlovu), while the largest gap in the diabetes CoC occurred between initiation of treatment and achieving disease control. Demand-side barriers included lack of transportation, concerns about confidentiality, perceived discrimination and long wait times. Supply-side barriers included limited availability of testing equipment, inadequate staffing, and pharmaceutical stock outs. CONCLUSION In this baseline assessment of two South African health districts we found high rates of undiagnosed hypercholesterolemia and hypertension, and poor control of hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, and diabetes. The HealthRise Initiative will need to address key supply- and demand-side barriers in an effort to improve important NCD outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexandra Wollum
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Rose Gabert
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Claire R. McNellan
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Jessica M. Daly
- Medtronic Foundation, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America
| | | | - Paurvi Bhatt
- Medtronic Foundation, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America
| | - Miranda Bryant
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Danny V. Colombara
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Pamela Naidoo
- Human Sciences Reseach Council, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Belinda Ngongo
- Medtronic Foundation, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America
- Public Health Institute, Global Health Fellows Program, Washington, DC, United States of America
| | - Anam Nyembezi
- Human Sciences Reseach Council, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Bryan Phillips
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Shelley Wilson
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
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Gabert R, Ng M, Sogarwal R, Bryant M, Deepu RV, McNellan CR, Mehra S, Phillips B, Reitsma M, Thomson B, Wilson S, Wollum A, Gakidou E, Duber HC. Identifying gaps in the continuum of care for hypertension and diabetes in two Indian communities. BMC Health Serv Res 2017; 17:846. [PMID: 29282052 PMCID: PMC5746011 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-017-2796-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2017] [Accepted: 12/13/2017] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) represent the largest, and fastest growing, burden of disease in India. This study aimed to quantify levels of diagnosis, treatment, and control among hypertensive and diabetic patients, and to describe demand- and supply-side barriers to hypertension and diabetes diagnosis and care in two Indian districts, Shimla and Udaipur. METHODS We conducted household and health facility surveys, as well as qualitative focus group discussions and interviews. The household survey randomly sampled individuals aged 15 and above in rural and urban areas in both districts. The survey included questions on NCD knowledge, history, and risk factors. Blood pressure, weight, height, and blood glucose measurements were obtained. The health facility survey was administered in 48 health care facilities, focusing on NCD diagnosis and treatment capacity, including staffing, equipment, and pharmaceuticals. Qualitative data was collected through semi-structured key informant interviews with health professionals and public health officials, as well as focus groups with patients and community members. RESULTS Among 7181 individuals, 32% either reported a history of hypertension or were found to have a systolic blood pressure ≥ 140 mmHg and/or diastolic ≥90 mmHg. Only 26% of those found to have elevated blood pressure reported a prior diagnosis, and just 42% of individuals with a prior diagnosis of hypertension were found to be normotensive. A history of diabetes or an elevated blood sugar (Random blood glucose (RBG) ≥200 mg/dl or fasting blood glucose (FBG) ≥126 mg/dl) was noted in 7% of the population. Among those with an elevated RBG/FBG, 59% had previously received a diagnosis of diabetes. Only 60% of diabetics on treatment were measured with a RBG <200 mg/dl. Lower-level health facilities were noted to have limited capacity to measure blood glucose as well as significant gaps in the availability of first-line pharmaceuticals for both hypertension and diabetes. CONCLUSIONS We found high rates of uncontrolled diabetes and undiagnosed and uncontrolled hypertension. Lower level health facilities were constrained by capacity to test, monitor and treat diabetes and hypertension. Interventions aimed at improving patient outcomes will need to focus on the expanding access to quality care in order to accommodate the growing demand for NCD services.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rose Gabert
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Marie Ng
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Ruchi Sogarwal
- MAMTA Health Institute for Mother and Child, New Delhi, India
| | - Miranda Bryant
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - R V Deepu
- MAMTA Health Institute for Mother and Child, New Delhi, India
| | - Claire R McNellan
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Sunil Mehra
- MAMTA Health Institute for Mother and Child, New Delhi, India
| | - Bryan Phillips
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Marissa Reitsma
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Blake Thomson
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Shelley Wilson
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Alexandra Wollum
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA.
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
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25
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Barata IA, Shandro JR, Montgomery M, Polansky R, Sachs CJ, Duber HC, Weaver LM, Heins A, Owen HS, Josephson EB, Macias-Konstantopoulos W. Effectiveness of SBIRT for Alcohol Use Disorders in the Emergency Department: A Systematic Review. West J Emerg Med 2017; 18:1143-1152. [PMID: 29085549 PMCID: PMC5654886 DOI: 10.5811/westjem.2017.7.34373] [Citation(s) in RCA: 98] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2017] [Revised: 06/21/2017] [Accepted: 07/25/2017] [Indexed: 01/23/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Alcohol use disorders (AUD) place a significant burden on individuals and society. The emergency department (ED) offers a unique opportunity to address AUD with brief screening tools and early intervention. We undertook a systematic review of the effectiveness of ED brief interventions for patients identified through screening who are at risk for AUD, and the effectiveness of these interventions at reducing alcohol intake and preventing alcohol-related injuries. METHODS We conducted systematic electronic database searches to include randomized controlled trials of AUD screening, brief intervention, referral, and treatment (SBIRT), from January 1966 to April 2016. Two authors graded and abstracted data from each included paper. RESULTS We found 35 articles that had direct relevance to the ED with enrolled patients ranging from 12 to 70 years of age. Multiple alcohol screening tools were used to identify patients at risk for AUD. Brief intervention (BI) and brief motivational intervention (BMI) strategies were compared to a control intervention or usual care. Thirteen studies enrolling a total of 5,261 participants reported significant differences between control and intervention groups in their main alcohol-outcome criteria of number of drink days and number of units per drink day. Sixteen studies showed a reduction of alcohol consumption in both the control and intervention groups; of those, seven studies did not identify a significant intervention effect for the main outcome criteria, but nine observed some significant differences between BI and control conditions for specific subgroups (i.e., adolescents and adolescents with prior history of drinking and driving; women 22 years old or younger; low or moderate drinkers); or secondary outcome criteria (e.g. reduction in driving while intoxicated). CONCLUSION Moderate-quality evidence of targeted use of BI/BMI in the ED showed a small reduction in alcohol use in low or moderate drinkers, a reduction in the negative consequences of use (such as injury), and a decline in ED repeat visits for adults and children 12 years of age and older. BI delivered in the ED appears to have a short-term effect in reducing at-risk drinking.
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Affiliation(s)
- Isabel A. Barata
- North Shore University Hospital, Department of Emergency Medicine, Manhasset, New York
- Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Hempstead, New York
| | - Jamie R. Shandro
- Harborview Medical Center, University of Washington Medical Center, Department of Emergency Medicine, Seattle, Washington
| | | | - Robin Polansky
- Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Department of Emergency Medicine, Los Angeles, California
| | - Carolyn J. Sachs
- UCLA David Geffen School of Medicine, Emergency Medicine Center, Los Angeles, California
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Harborview Medical Center, University of Washington Medical Center, Department of Emergency Medicine, Seattle, Washington
| | - Lindsay M. Weaver
- Indiana University School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana
| | - Alan Heins
- Cullman Regional Medical Center, Department of Emergency Medicine, Cullman, Alabama
| | - Heather S. Owen
- Parkland Memorial Hospital, Department of Emergency Medicine, Dallas, Texas
| | - Elaine B. Josephson
- Lincoln Medical and Mental Health Center, Department of Emergency Medicine, Bronx, New York
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Wollum A, Dansereau E, Fullman N, Achan J, Bannon KA, Burstein R, Conner RO, DeCenso B, Gasasira A, Haakenstad A, Hanlon M, Ikilezi G, Kisia C, Levine AJ, Masters SH, Njuguna P, Okiro EA, Odeny TA, Allen Roberts D, Gakidou E, Duber HC. The effect of facility-based antiretroviral therapy programs on outpatient services in Kenya and Uganda. BMC Health Serv Res 2017; 17:564. [PMID: 28814295 PMCID: PMC5559797 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-017-2512-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2016] [Accepted: 08/04/2017] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Considerable debate exists concerning the effects of antiretroviral therapy (ART) service scale-up on non-HIV services and overall health system performance in sub-Saharan Africa. In this study, we examined whether ART services affected trends in non-ART outpatient department (OPD) visits in Kenya and Uganda. Methods Using a nationally representative sample of health facilities in Kenya and Uganda, we estimated the effect of ART programs on OPD visits from 2007 to 2012. We modeled the annual percent change in non-ART OPD visits using hierarchical mixed-effects linear regressions, controlling for a range of facility characteristics. We used four different constructs of ART services to capture the different ways in which the presence, growth, overall, and relative size of ART programs may affect non-ART OPD services. Results Our final sample included 321 health facilities (140 in Kenya and 181 in Uganda). On average, OPD and ART visits increased steadily in Kenya and Uganda between 2007 and 2012. For facilities where ART services were not offered, the average annual increase in OPD visits was 4·2% in Kenya and 13·5% in Uganda. Among facilities that provided ART services, we found average annual OPD volume increases of 7·2% in Kenya and 5·6% in Uganda, with simultaneous annual increases of 13·7% and 12·5% in ART volumes. We did not find a statistically significant relationship between annual changes in OPD services and the presence, growth, overall, or relative size of ART services. However, in a subgroup analysis, we found that Ugandan hospitals that offered ART services had statistically significantly less growth in OPD visits than Ugandan hospitals that did not provide ART services. Conclusions Our findings suggest that ART services in Kenya and Uganda did not have a statistically significant deleterious effects on OPD services between 2007 and 2012, although subgroup analyses indicate variation by facility type. Our findings are encouraging, particularly given recent recommendations for universal access to ART, demonstrating that expanding ART services is not inherently linked to declines in other health services in sub-Saharan Africa.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexandra Wollum
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Emily Dansereau
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Nancy Fullman
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Jane Achan
- Medical Research Council Unit, Banjul, The, Gambia
| | - Kelsey A Bannon
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Roy Burstein
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Ruben O Conner
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Brendan DeCenso
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | | | | | - Michael Hanlon
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Gloria Ikilezi
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA.,Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Mulago Hospital Complex, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | - Aubrey J Levine
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Samuel H Masters
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | | | | | - Thomas A Odeny
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - D Allen Roberts
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave., Suite 600, Seattle, WA, 98121, USA.
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Duber HC, McNellan CR, Wollum A, Phillips B, Allen K, Brown JC, Bryant M, Guptam RB, Li Y, Majumdar P, Roth GA, Thomson B, Wilson S, Woldeab A, Zhou M, Ng M. Public knowledge of cardiovascular disease and response to acute cardiac events in three cities in China and India. Heart 2017; 104:67-72. [DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2017-311388] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/16/2017] [Revised: 06/01/2017] [Accepted: 06/02/2017] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
ObjectiveTo inform interventions targeted towards reducing mortality from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and sudden cardiac arrest in three megacities in China and India, a baseline assessment of public knowledge, attitudes and practices was performed.MethodsA household survey, supplemented by focus group and individual interviews, was used to assess public understanding of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, AMI symptoms, cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and automated external defibrillators (AEDs). Additionally, information was collected on emergency service utilisation and associated barriers to care.Results5456 household surveys were completed. Hypertension was most commonly recognised among CVD risk factors in Beijing and Shanghai (68% and 67%, respectively), while behavioural risk factors were most commonly identified in Bangalore (smoking 91%; excessive alcohol consumption 64%). Chest pain/discomfort was reported by at least 60% of respondents in all cities as a symptom of AMI, but 21% of individuals in Bangalore could not name a single symptom. In Beijing, Shanghai and Bangalore, 26%, 15% and 3% of respondents were trained in CPR, respectively. Less than one-quarter of participants in all cities recognised an AED. Finally, emergency service utilisation rates were low, and many individuals expressed concern about the quality of prehospital care.ConclusionsOverall, we found low to modest knowledge of CVD risk factors and AMI symptoms, infrequent CPR training and little understanding of AEDs. Interventions will need to focus on basic principles of CVD and its complications in order for patients to receive timely and appropriate care for acute cardiac events.
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Carlson S, Duber HC, Achan J, Ikilezi G, Mokdad AH, Stergachis A, Wollum A, Bukhman G, Roth GA. Capacity for diagnosis and treatment of heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa. Heart 2017; 103:1874-1879. [PMID: 28490619 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2016-310913] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2016] [Revised: 03/21/2017] [Accepted: 03/26/2017] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Heart failure is a major cause of disease burden in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). There is an urgent need for better strategies for heart failure management in this region. However, there is little information on the capacity to diagnose and treat heart failure in SSA. We aim to provide a better understanding of the capacity to diagnose and treat heart failure in Kenya and Uganda to inform policy planning and interventions. METHODS We analysed data from a nationally representative survey of health facilities in Kenya and Uganda (197 health facilities in Uganda and 143 in Kenya). We report on the availability of cardiac diagnostic technologies and select medications for heart failure (β-blockers, ACE inhibitors and furosemide). Facility-level data were analysed by country and platform type (hospital vs ambulatory facilities). RESULTS Functional and staffed radiography, ultrasound and ECG were available in less than half of hospitals in Kenya and Uganda combined. Of the hospitals surveyed, 49% of Kenyan and 77% of Ugandan hospitals reported availability of the heart failure medication package. ACE inhibitors were only available in 51% of Kenyan and 79% of Ugandan hospitals. Almost one-third of the hospitals in each country had a stock-out of at least one of the medication classes in the prior quarter. CONCLUSIONS Few facilities in Kenya and Uganda were prepared to diagnose and manage heart failure. Medication shortages and stock-outs were common. Our findings call for increased investment in cardiac care to reduce the growing burden of heart failure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Selma Carlson
- Division of Cardiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington, USA.,Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Jane Achan
- Medical Research Council Unit, The Gambia, Banjul, Gambia
| | - Gloria Ikilezi
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.,Medical Research Council Unit, The Gambia, Banjul, Gambia
| | - Ali H Mokdad
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Andy Stergachis
- Department of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.,Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Alexandra Wollum
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Gene Bukhman
- Program in Global NCDs and Social Change, Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.,Cardiovascular Division and Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Gregory A Roth
- Division of Cardiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.,Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington, USA
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29
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Levine AC, Barry MA, Agrawal P, Duber HC, Chang MP, Mackey JM, Hansoti B. Global Health and Emergency Care: Overcoming Clinical Research Barriers. Acad Emerg Med 2017; 24:484-493. [PMID: 27976457 DOI: 10.1111/acem.13142] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2016] [Revised: 11/10/2016] [Accepted: 11/23/2016] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES There are many barriers impeding the conduct of high-quality emergency care research, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Several of these barriers were originally outlined in 2013 as part of the Academic Emergency Medicine Global Health and Emergency Care Consensus Conference. This paper seeks to establish a broader consensus on the barriers to emergency care research globally and proposes a comprehensive array of new recommendations to overcome these barriers. METHODS An electronic survey was conducted of a purposive sample of global emergency medicine research experts from around the world to describe the major challenges and solutions to conducting emergency care research in low-resource settings and rank them by importance. The Global Emergency Medicine Think Tank Clinical Research Working Group at the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine 2016 Annual Meeting utilized a modified Delphi technique for consensus-based decision making to categorize and expand upon these barriers and develop a comprehensive array of proposed solutions. RESULTS The working group identified four broad categories of barriers to conducting emergency care research globally, including 1) the limited availability of research personnel, particularly those with prior research training; 2) logistic barriers and lack of standardization of data collection; 3) ethical barriers to conducting research in resource-limited settings, particularly when no local institutional review board is available; and 4) the relative dearth of funding for global emergency care research. Proposed solutions included building a diverse and interdisciplinary research team structured to promote mentorship of junior researchers, utilizing local research assistants or technologic tools such as telemedicine for language translation, making use of new tools such as mobile health (mHealth) to standardize and streamline data collection, identifying alternatives to local institutional review board approval and the use of community consent when appropriate, and increased advocacy for global emergency care research funding. CONCLUSIONS Significant barriers to the conduct of high-quality global emergency care research persist, and innovative strategies need to be adopted to promote and grow the field of global emergency care research. This paper provides a global consensus on the most important barriers identified, as well as recommendations for cost-effective strategies for overcoming these barriers with the overall goal of promoting high-quality research and improving emergency care worldwide.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adam C. Levine
- Department of Emergency Medicine; Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University; Providence RI
| | - Meagan A. Barry
- Department of Medicine; Section of Emergency Medicine; Baylor College of Medicine; Houston TX
| | - Pooja Agrawal
- Department of Emergency Medicine; Yale School of Medicine; New Haven CT
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Division of Emergency Medicine; University of Washington School of Medicine; Seattle WA
| | - Mary P. Chang
- Department of Emergency Medicine; University of Texas at Southwestern Medical School; Dallas TX
| | - Joy M. Mackey
- Department of Medicine; Section of Emergency Medicine; Baylor College of Medicine; Houston TX
| | - Bhakti Hansoti
- Department of Emergency Medicine; Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine; Baltimore MD
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DeCenso B, Duber HC, Flaxman AD, Murphy SM, Hanlon M. Improving Hospital Performance Rankings Using Discrete Patient Diagnoses for Risk Adjustment of Outcomes. Health Serv Res 2017; 53:974-990. [PMID: 28295278 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6773.12683] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/02/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To assess the changes in patient outcome prediction and hospital performance ranking when incorporating diagnoses as risk adjusters rather than comorbidity indices. DATA SOURCES Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Databases for New York State, 2005-2009. STUDY DESIGN Conducted tree-based classification for mortality and readmission by incorporating discrete patient diagnoses as predictors, comparing with traditional comorbidity indices such as those used for Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) outcome models. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS Diagnosis codes as predictors increased predictive accuracy 5.6 percent (95% CI: 4.5-6.9 percent) relative to CMS condition categories for heart failure 30-day mortality. Most other outcomes exhibited statistically significant accuracy gains and facility ranking shifts. Sensitivity analysis showed improvements even when predictors were limited to only the diagnoses included in CMS models. CONCLUSIONS Discretizing patient severity information beyond the levels of traditional comorbidity indices improves patient outcome predictions and substantially shifts facility rankings.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.,Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Abraham D Flaxman
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Shane M Murphy
- Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, TN
| | - Michael Hanlon
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
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31
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Bui AL, Dieleman JL, Hamavid H, Birger M, Chapin A, Duber HC, Horst C, Reynolds A, Squires E, Chung PJ, Murray CJL. Spending on Children's Personal Health Care in the United States, 1996-2013. JAMA Pediatr 2017; 171:181-189. [PMID: 28027344 PMCID: PMC5546095 DOI: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2016.4086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 99] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Health care spending on children in the United States continues to rise, yet little is known about how this spending varies by condition, age and sex group, and type of care, nor how these patterns have changed over time. OBJECTIVE To provide health care spending estimates for children and adolescents 19 years and younger in the United States from 1996 through 2013, disaggregated by condition, age and sex group, and type of care. EVIDENCE REVIEW Health care spending estimates were extracted from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation Disease Expenditure 2013 project database. This project, based on 183 sources of data and 2.9 billion patient records, disaggregated health care spending in the United States by condition, age and sex group, and type of care. Annual estimates were produced for each year from 1996 through 2013. Estimates were adjusted for the presence of comorbidities and are reported using inflation-adjusted 2015 US dollars. FINDINGS From 1996 to 2013, health care spending on children increased from $149.6 (uncertainty interval [UI], 144.1-155.5) billion to $233.5 (UI, 226.9-239.8) billion. In 2013, the largest health condition leading to health care spending for children was well-newborn care in the inpatient setting. Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder and well-dental care (including dental check-ups and orthodontia) were the second and third largest conditions, respectively. Spending per child was greatest for infants younger than 1 year, at $11 741 (UI, 10 799-12 765) in 2013. Across time, health care spending per child increased from $1915 (UI, 1845-1991) in 1996 to $2777 (UI, 2698-2851) in 2013. The greatest areas of growth in spending in absolute terms were ambulatory care among all types of care and inpatient well-newborn care, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and asthma among all conditions. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE These findings provide health policy makers and health care professionals with evidence to help guide future spending. Some conditions, such as attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder and inpatient well-newborn care, had larger health care spending growth rates than other conditions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony L. Bui
- David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, University of California, Los Angeles
| | | | - Hannah Hamavid
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Maxwell Birger
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Abigail Chapin
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington3Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle
| | - Cody Horst
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Alex Reynolds
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Ellen Squires
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, Washington
| | - Paul J. Chung
- Departments of Pediatrics and Health Policy and Management, University of California, Los Angeles5RAND Health, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California
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32
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Dandona R, Rewari BB, Kumar GA, Tanwar S, Kumar SGP, Vishnumolakala VS, Duber HC, Gakidou E, Dandona L. Survival outcomes for first-line antiretroviral therapy in India's ART program. BMC Infect Dis 2016; 16:555. [PMID: 27729025 PMCID: PMC5057444 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-016-1887-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2016] [Accepted: 10/01/2016] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Little is known about survival outcomes of HIV patients on first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) on a large-scale in India, or facility level factors that influence patient survival to guide further improvements in the ART program in India. We examined factors at the facility level in addition to patient factors that influence survival of adult HIV patients on ART in the publicly-funded ART program in a high- and a low-HIV prevalence state. Methods Retrospective chart review in public sector ART facilities in the combined states of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana (APT) before these were split in 2014 and in Rajasthan (RAJ), the high- and a low-HIV prevalence states, respectively. Records of adults initiating ART between 2007-12 and 2008-13 in APT and RAJ, respectively, were reviewed and facility-level information collected at all ART centres and a sample of link ART centres. Survival probability was estimated using Kaplan-Meier method, and determinants of mortality explored with facility and patient-level factors using Cox proportional hazard model. Results Based on data from 6581 patients, the survival probability of ART at 60 months was 76.3 % (95 % CI 73.0–79.2) in APT and 78.3 % (74.4–81.7) in RAJ. The facilities with cumulative ART patient load above the state average had lower mortality in APT (Hazard ratio [HR] 0.74, 0.57–0.95) but higher in RAJ (HR 1.37, 1.01–1.87). Facilities with higher proportion of lost to follow-up patients in APT had higher mortality (HR 1.47, 1.06–2.05), as did those with higher ART to pre-ART patient ratio in RAJ (HR 1.62, 1.14–2.29). In both states, there was higher hazard for mortality in patients with CD4 count 100 cells/mm3 or less at ART initiation, males, and in patients with TB co-infection. Conclusions These data from the majority of facilities in a high- and a low-HIV burden state of India over 5 years reveal reasonable and similar survival outcomes in the two states. The facilities with higher ART load in the longer established ART program in APT had better survival, but facilities with a higher ART load and a higher ratio of ART to pre-ART patients in the less experienced ART program in RAJ had poorer survival. These findings have important implications for India’s ART program planning as it expands further.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rakhi Dandona
- Public Health Foundation of India, New Delhi, India.
| | - Bharat B Rewari
- Department of AIDS Control, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi, India.,World Health Organization Country Office for India, New Delhi, India
| | - G Anil Kumar
- Public Health Foundation of India, New Delhi, India
| | - Sukarma Tanwar
- Public Health Foundation of India, New Delhi, India.,Department of AIDS Control, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi, India.,World Health Organization Country Office for India, New Delhi, India
| | | | | | - Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Lalit Dandona
- Public Health Foundation of India, New Delhi, India.,Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
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33
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Di Giorgio L, Moses MW, Fullman N, Wollum A, Conner RO, Achan J, Achoki T, Bannon KA, Burstein R, Dansereau E, DeCenso B, Delwiche K, Duber HC, Gakidou E, Gasasira A, Haakenstad A, Hanlon M, Ikilezi G, Kisia C, Levine AJ, Maboshe M, Masiye F, Masters SH, Mphuka C, Njuguna P, Odeny TA, Okiro EA, Roberts DA, Murray CJL, Flaxman AD. The potential to expand antiretroviral therapy by improving health facility efficiency: evidence from Kenya, Uganda, and Zambia. BMC Med 2016; 14:108. [PMID: 27439621 PMCID: PMC4952151 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-016-0653-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2016] [Accepted: 07/06/2016] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Since 2000, international funding for HIV has supported scaling up antiretroviral therapy (ART) in sub-Saharan Africa. However, such funding has stagnated for years, threatening the sustainability and reach of ART programs amid efforts to achieve universal treatment. Improving health system efficiencies, particularly at the facility level, is an increasingly critical avenue for extending limited resources for ART; nevertheless, the potential impact of increased facility efficiency on ART capacity remains largely unknown. Through the present study, we sought to quantify facility-level technical efficiency across countries, assess potential determinants of efficiency, and predict the potential for additional ART expansion. METHODS Using nationally-representative facility datasets from Kenya, Uganda and Zambia, and measures adjusting for structural quality, we estimated facility-level technical efficiency using an ensemble approach that combined restricted versions of Data Envelopment Analysis and Stochastic Distance Function. We then conducted a series of bivariate and multivariate regression analyses to evaluate possible determinants of higher or lower technical efficiency. Finally, we predicted the potential for ART expansion across efficiency improvement scenarios, estimating how many additional ART visits could be accommodated if facilities with low efficiency thresholds reached those levels of efficiency. RESULTS In each country, national averages of efficiency fell below 50 % and facility-level efficiency markedly varied. Among facilities providing ART, average efficiency scores spanned from 50 % (95 % uncertainty interval (UI), 48-62 %) in Uganda to 59 % (95 % UI, 53-67 %) in Zambia. Of the facility determinants analyzed, few were consistently associated with higher or lower technical efficiency scores, suggesting that other factors may be more strongly related to facility-level efficiency. Based on observed facility resources and an efficiency improvement scenario where all facilities providing ART reached 80 % efficiency, we predicted a 33 % potential increase in ART visits in Kenya, 62 % in Uganda, and 33 % in Zambia. Given observed resources in facilities offering ART, we estimated that 459,000 new ART patients could be seen if facilities in these countries reached 80 % efficiency, equating to a 40 % increase in new patients. CONCLUSIONS Health facilities in Kenya, Uganda, and Zambia could notably expand ART services if the efficiency with which they operate increased. Improving how facility resources are used, and not simply increasing their quantity, has the potential to substantially elevate the impact of global health investments and reduce treatment gaps for people living with HIV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laura Di Giorgio
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Mark W. Moses
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Nancy Fullman
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Alexandra Wollum
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Ruben O. Conner
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Jane Achan
- />Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Mulago Hospital Complex, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Tom Achoki
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Kelsey A. Bannon
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Roy Burstein
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Emily Dansereau
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Brendan DeCenso
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Kristen Delwiche
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | | | - Annie Haakenstad
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Michael Hanlon
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Gloria Ikilezi
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
- />Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Mulago Hospital Complex, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | - Aubrey J. Levine
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Mashekwa Maboshe
- />School of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Felix Masiye
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
- />School of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Samuel H. Masters
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Chrispin Mphuka
- />School of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | | | - Thomas A. Odeny
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | | | - D. Allen Roberts
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Christopher J. L. Murray
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
| | - Abraham D. Flaxman
- />Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, 2301 5th Ave, Suite 600, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
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Shandro J, Chisolm-Straker M, Duber HC, Findlay SL, Munoz J, Schmitz G, Stanzer M, Stoklosa H, Wiener DE, Wingkun N. Human Trafficking: A Guide to Identification and Approach for the Emergency Physician. Ann Emerg Med 2016; 68:501-508.e1. [PMID: 27130802 DOI: 10.1016/j.annemergmed.2016.03.049] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2016] [Revised: 03/25/2016] [Accepted: 03/29/2016] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
Human trafficking is a significant human rights problem that is often associated with psychological and physical violence. There is no demographic that is spared from human trafficking. Traffickers maintain control of victims through physical, sexual, and emotional violence and manipulation. Because victims of trafficking seek medical attention for the medical and psychological consequences of assault and neglected health conditions, emergency clinicians are in a unique position to recognize victims and intervene. Evaluation of possible trafficking victims is challenging because patients who have been exploited rarely self-identify. This article outlines the clinical approach to the identification and treatment of a potential victim of human trafficking in the emergency department. Emergency practitioners should maintain a high index of suspicion when evaluating patients who appear to be at risk for abuse and violence, and assess for specific indicators of trafficking. Potential victims should be evaluated with a multidisciplinary and patient-centered technique. Furthermore, emergency practitioners should be aware of national and local resources to guide the approach to helping identified victims. Having established protocols for victim identification, care, and referrals can greatly facilitate health care providers' assisting this population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jamie Shandro
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, WA; ACEP Public Health and Injury Prevention Committee.
| | - Makini Chisolm-Straker
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY; HEAL Trafficking
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, WA; ACEP Public Health and Injury Prevention Committee
| | - Shannon Lynn Findlay
- Department of Emergency Medicine Residency, University of Iowa School of Medicine, Iowa City, IA; ACEP Academic Affairs Committee
| | - Jessica Munoz
- Pali Momi Medical Center, Emergency Services, Aiea, HI
| | - Gillian Schmitz
- ACEP Academic Affairs Committee; Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, TX
| | - Melanie Stanzer
- Emergency Medicine Residency, John Peter Smith Health Network, Fort Worth, TX, and the EMSC
| | - Hanni Stoklosa
- HEAL Trafficking; Departments of Emergency Medicine and Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA
| | - Dan E Wiener
- ACEP Public Health and Injury Prevention Committee; Bronx Lebanon Hospital Center, Bronx, NY
| | - Neil Wingkun
- ACEP Public Health and Injury Prevention Committee; Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Texas-Houston, Houston, TX
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35
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Duber HC, Roberts DA, Ikilezi G, Fullman N, Gasasira A, Gakidou E, Haakenstad A, J Levine A, Achan J. Evaluating facility-based antiretroviral therapy programme effectiveness: a pilot study comparing viral load suppression and retention rates. Trop Med Int Health 2016; 21:750-8. [PMID: 26996396 DOI: 10.1111/tmi.12694] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Increased demand for antiretroviral therapy (ART) services combined with plateaued levels of development assistance for HIV/AIDS requires that national ART programmes monitor programme effectiveness. In this pilot study, we compared commonly utilised performance metrics of 12- and 24-month retention with rates of viral load (VL) suppression at 15 health facilities in Uganda. METHODS Retrospective chart review from which 12- and 24-month retention rates were estimated, and parallel HIV RNA VL testing on consecutive adult patients who presented to clinics and had been on ART for a minimum of six months. Rates of VL suppression were then calculated at each facility and compared to retention rates to assess the correlation between performance metrics. Multilevel logistic regression models predicting VL suppression and 12- and 24-month retention were constructed to estimate facility effects. RESULTS We collected VL samples from 2961 patients and found that 88% had a VL ≤1000 copies/ml. Facility rates of VL suppression varied between 77% and 96%. When controlling for patient mix, a significant variation in facility performance persisted. Retention rates at 12 and 24 months were 91% and 79%, respectively, with a comparable facility-level variation. However, neither 12-month (ρ = 0.16) nor 24-month (ρ = -0.19) retention rates were correlated with facility rates of VL suppression. CONCLUSIONS Retaining patients in care and suppressing VL are both critical outcomes. Given the lack of correlation noted in this study, the utilisation of VL monitoring may be necessary to truly assess the effectiveness of health facilities delivering ART services.
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Affiliation(s)
- Herbert C Duber
- Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.,Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - D Allen Roberts
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Gloria Ikilezi
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.,Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Nancy Fullman
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | | | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Annie Haakenstad
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Aubrey J Levine
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Jane Achan
- Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
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Murray CJL, Barber RM, Foreman KJ, Abbasoglu Ozgoren A, Abd-Allah F, Abera SF, Aboyans V, Abraham JP, Abubakar I, Abu-Raddad LJ, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Achoki T, Ackerman IN, Ademi Z, Adou AK, Adsuar JC, Afshin A, Agardh EE, Alam SS, Alasfoor D, Albittar MI, Alegretti MA, Alemu ZA, Alfonso-Cristancho R, Alhabib S, Ali R, Alla F, Allebeck P, Almazroa MA, Alsharif U, Alvarez E, Alvis-Guzman N, Amare AT, Ameh EA, Amini H, Ammar W, Anderson HR, Anderson BO, Antonio CAT, Anwari P, Arnlöv J, Arsic Arsenijevic VS, Artaman A, Asghar RJ, Assadi R, Atkins LS, Avila MA, Awuah B, Bachman VF, Badawi A, Bahit MC, Balakrishnan K, Banerjee A, Barker-Collo SL, Barquera S, Barregard L, Barrero LH, Basu A, Basu S, Basulaiman MO, Beardsley J, Bedi N, Beghi E, Bekele T, Bell ML, Benjet C, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Benzian H, Bernabé E, Bertozzi-Villa A, Beyene TJ, Bhala N, Bhalla A, Bhutta ZA, Bienhoff K, Bikbov B, Biryukov S, Blore JD, Blosser CD, Blyth FM, Bohensky MA, Bolliger IW, Bora Başara B, Bornstein NM, Bose D, Boufous S, Bourne RRA, Boyers LN, Brainin M, Brayne CE, Brazinova A, Breitborde NJK, Brenner H, Briggs AD, Brooks PM, Brown JC, Brugha TS, Buchbinder R, Buckle GC, Budke CM, Bulchis A, Bulloch AG, Campos-Nonato IR, Carabin H, Carapetis JR, Cárdenas R, Carpenter DO, Caso V, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Castro RE, Catalá-López F, Cavalleri F, Çavlin A, Chadha VK, Chang JC, Charlson FJ, Chen H, Chen W, Chiang PP, Chimed-Ochir O, Chowdhury R, Christensen H, Christophi CA, Cirillo M, Coates MM, Coffeng LE, Coggeshall MS, Colistro V, Colquhoun SM, Cooke GS, Cooper C, Cooper LT, Coppola LM, Cortinovis M, Criqui MH, Crump JA, Cuevas-Nasu L, Danawi H, Dandona L, Dandona R, Dansereau E, Dargan PI, Davey G, Davis A, Davitoiu DV, Dayama A, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Del Pozo-Cruz B, Dellavalle RP, Deribe K, Derrett S, Des Jarlais DC, Dessalegn M, Dharmaratne SD, Dherani MK, Diaz-Torné C, Dicker D, Ding EL, Dokova K, Dorsey ER, Driscoll TR, Duan L, Duber HC, Ebel BE, Edmond KM, Elshrek YM, Endres M, Ermakov SP, Erskine HE, Eshrati B, Esteghamati A, Estep K, Faraon EJA, Farzadfar F, Fay DF, Feigin VL, Felson DT, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes JG, Ferrari AJ, Fitzmaurice C, Flaxman AD, Fleming TD, Foigt N, Forouzanfar MH, Fowkes FGR, Paleo UF, Franklin RC, Fürst T, Gabbe B, Gaffikin L, Gankpé FG, Geleijnse JM, Gessner BD, Gething P, Gibney KB, Giroud M, Giussani G, Gomez Dantes H, Gona P, González-Medina D, Gosselin RA, Gotay CC, Goto A, Gouda HN, Graetz N, Gugnani HC, Gupta R, Gupta R, Gutiérrez RA, Haagsma J, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hagan H, Halasa YA, Hamadeh RR, Hamavid H, Hammami M, Hancock J, Hankey GJ, Hansen GM, Hao Y, Harb HL, Haro JM, Havmoeller R, Hay SI, Hay RJ, Heredia-Pi IB, Heuton KR, Heydarpour P, Higashi H, Hijar M, Hoek HW, Hoffman HJ, Hosgood HD, Hossain M, Hotez PJ, Hoy DG, Hsairi M, Hu G, Huang C, Huang JJ, Husseini A, Huynh C, Iannarone ML, Iburg KM, Innos K, Inoue M, Islami F, Jacobsen KH, Jarvis DL, Jassal SK, Jee SH, Jeemon P, Jensen PN, Jha V, Jiang G, Jiang Y, Jonas JB, Juel K, Kan H, Karch A, Karema CK, Karimkhani C, Karthikeyan G, Kassebaum NJ, Kaul A, Kawakami N, Kazanjan K, Kemp AH, Kengne AP, Keren A, Khader YS, Khalifa SEA, Khan EA, Khan G, Khang YH, Kieling C, Kim D, Kim S, Kim Y, Kinfu Y, Kinge JM, Kivipelto M, Knibbs LD, Knudsen AK, Kokubo Y, Kosen S, Krishnaswami S, Kuate Defo B, Kucuk Bicer B, Kuipers EJ, Kulkarni C, Kulkarni VS, Kumar GA, Kyu HH, Lai T, Lalloo R, Lallukka T, Lam H, Lan Q, Lansingh VC, Larsson A, Lawrynowicz AEB, Leasher JL, Leigh J, Leung R, Levitz CE, Li B, Li Y, Li Y, Lim SS, Lind M, Lipshultz SE, Liu S, Liu Y, Lloyd BK, Lofgren KT, Logroscino G, Looker KJ, Lortet-Tieulent J, Lotufo PA, Lozano R, Lucas RM, Lunevicius R, Lyons RA, Ma S, Macintyre MF, Mackay MT, Majdan M, Malekzadeh R, Marcenes W, Margolis DJ, Margono C, Marzan MB, Masci JR, Mashal MT, Matzopoulos R, Mayosi BM, Mazorodze TT, Mcgill NW, Mcgrath JJ, Mckee M, Mclain A, Meaney PA, Medina C, Mehndiratta MM, Mekonnen W, Melaku YA, Meltzer M, Memish ZA, Mensah GA, Meretoja A, Mhimbira FA, Micha R, Miller TR, Mills EJ, Mitchell PB, Mock CN, Mohamed Ibrahim N, Mohammad KA, Mokdad AH, Mola GLD, Monasta L, Montañez Hernandez JC, Montico M, Montine TJ, Mooney MD, Moore AR, Moradi-Lakeh M, Moran AE, Mori R, Moschandreas J, Moturi WN, Moyer ML, Mozaffarian D, Msemburi WT, Mueller UO, Mukaigawara M, Mullany EC, Murdoch ME, Murray J, Murthy KS, Naghavi M, Naheed A, Naidoo KS, Naldi L, Nand D, Nangia V, Narayan KMV, Nejjari C, Neupane SP, Newton CR, Ng M, Ngalesoni FN, Nguyen G, Nisar MI, Nolte S, Norheim OF, Norman RE, Norrving B, Nyakarahuka L, Oh IH, Ohkubo T, Ohno SL, Olusanya BO, Opio JN, Ortblad K, Ortiz A, Pain AW, Pandian JD, Panelo CIA, Papachristou C, Park EK, Park JH, Patten SB, Patton GC, Paul VK, Pavlin BI, Pearce N, Pereira DM, Perez-Padilla R, Perez-Ruiz F, Perico N, Pervaiz A, Pesudovs K, Peterson CB, Petzold M, Phillips MR, Phillips BK, Phillips DE, Piel FB, Plass D, Poenaru D, Polinder S, Pope D, Popova S, Poulton RG, Pourmalek F, Prabhakaran D, Prasad NM, Pullan RL, Qato DM, Quistberg DA, Rafay A, Rahimi K, Rahman SU, Raju M, Rana SM, Razavi H, Reddy KS, Refaat A, Remuzzi G, Resnikoff S, Ribeiro AL, Richardson L, Richardus JH, Roberts DA, Rojas-Rueda D, Ronfani L, Roth GA, Rothenbacher D, Rothstein DH, Rowley JT, Roy N, Ruhago GM, Saeedi MY, Saha S, Sahraian MA, Sampson UKA, Sanabria JR, Sandar L, Santos IS, Satpathy M, Sawhney M, Scarborough P, Schneider IJ, Schöttker B, Schumacher AE, Schwebel DC, Scott JG, Seedat S, Sepanlou SG, Serina PT, Servan-Mori EE, Shackelford KA, Shaheen A, Shahraz S, Shamah Levy T, Shangguan S, She J, Sheikhbahaei S, Shi P, Shibuya K, Shinohara Y, Shiri R, Shishani K, Shiue I, Shrime MG, Sigfusdottir ID, Silberberg DH, Simard EP, Sindi S, Singh A, Singh JA, Singh L, Skirbekk V, Slepak EL, Sliwa K, Soneji S, Søreide K, Soshnikov S, Sposato LA, Sreeramareddy CT, Stanaway JD, Stathopoulou V, Stein DJ, Stein MB, Steiner C, Steiner TJ, Stevens A, Stewart A, Stovner LJ, Stroumpoulis K, Sunguya BF, Swaminathan S, Swaroop M, Sykes BL, Tabb KM, Takahashi K, Tandon N, Tanne D, Tanner M, Tavakkoli M, Taylor HR, Te Ao BJ, Tediosi F, Temesgen AM, Templin T, Ten Have M, Tenkorang EY, Terkawi AS, Thomson B, Thorne-Lyman AL, Thrift AG, Thurston GD, Tillmann T, Tonelli M, Topouzis F, Toyoshima H, Traebert J, Tran BX, Trillini M, Truelsen T, Tsilimbaris M, Tuzcu EM, Uchendu US, Ukwaja KN, Undurraga EA, Uzun SB, Van Brakel WH, Van De Vijver S, van Gool CH, Van Os J, Vasankari TJ, Venketasubramanian N, Violante FS, Vlassov VV, Vollset SE, Wagner GR, Wagner J, Waller SG, Wan X, Wang H, Wang J, Wang L, Warouw TS, Weichenthal S, Weiderpass E, Weintraub RG, Wenzhi W, Werdecker A, Westerman R, Whiteford HA, Wilkinson JD, Williams TN, Wolfe CD, Wolock TM, Woolf AD, Wulf S, Wurtz B, Xu G, Yan LL, Yano Y, Ye P, Yentür GK, Yip P, Yonemoto N, Yoon SJ, Younis MZ, Yu C, Zaki ME, Zhao Y, Zheng Y, Zonies D, Zou X, Salomon JA, Lopez AD, Vos T. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990-2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition. Lancet 2015; 386:2145-91. [PMID: 26321261 PMCID: PMC4673910 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(15)61340-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1284] [Impact Index Per Article: 142.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013) aims to bring together all available epidemiological data using a coherent measurement framework, standardised estimation methods, and transparent data sources to enable comparisons of health loss over time and across causes, age-sex groups, and countries. The GBD can be used to generate summary measures such as disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and healthy life expectancy (HALE) that make possible comparative assessments of broad epidemiological patterns across countries and time. These summary measures can also be used to quantify the component of variation in epidemiology that is related to sociodemographic development. METHODS We used the published GBD 2013 data for age-specific mortality, years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) to calculate DALYs and HALE for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, and 2013 for 188 countries. We calculated HALE using the Sullivan method; 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) represent uncertainty in age-specific death rates and YLDs per person for each country, age, sex, and year. We estimated DALYs for 306 causes for each country as the sum of YLLs and YLDs; 95% UIs represent uncertainty in YLL and YLD rates. We quantified patterns of the epidemiological transition with a composite indicator of sociodemographic status, which we constructed from income per person, average years of schooling after age 15 years, and the total fertility rate and mean age of the population. We applied hierarchical regression to DALY rates by cause across countries to decompose variance related to the sociodemographic status variable, country, and time. FINDINGS Worldwide, from 1990 to 2013, life expectancy at birth rose by 6·2 years (95% UI 5·6-6·6), from 65·3 years (65·0-65·6) in 1990 to 71·5 years (71·0-71·9) in 2013, HALE at birth rose by 5·4 years (4·9-5·8), from 56·9 years (54·5-59·1) to 62·3 years (59·7-64·8), total DALYs fell by 3·6% (0·3-7·4), and age-standardised DALY rates per 100 000 people fell by 26·7% (24·6-29·1). For communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders, global DALY numbers, crude rates, and age-standardised rates have all declined between 1990 and 2013, whereas for non-communicable diseases, global DALYs have been increasing, DALY rates have remained nearly constant, and age-standardised DALY rates declined during the same period. From 2005 to 2013, the number of DALYs increased for most specific non-communicable diseases, including cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms, in addition to dengue, food-borne trematodes, and leishmaniasis; DALYs decreased for nearly all other causes. By 2013, the five leading causes of DALYs were ischaemic heart disease, lower respiratory infections, cerebrovascular disease, low back and neck pain, and road injuries. Sociodemographic status explained more than 50% of the variance between countries and over time for diarrhoea, lower respiratory infections, and other common infectious diseases; maternal disorders; neonatal disorders; nutritional deficiencies; other communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases; musculoskeletal disorders; and other non-communicable diseases. However, sociodemographic status explained less than 10% of the variance in DALY rates for cardiovascular diseases; chronic respiratory diseases; cirrhosis; diabetes, urogenital, blood, and endocrine diseases; unintentional injuries; and self-harm and interpersonal violence. Predictably, increased sociodemographic status was associated with a shift in burden from YLLs to YLDs, driven by declines in YLLs and increases in YLDs from musculoskeletal disorders, neurological disorders, and mental and substance use disorders. In most country-specific estimates, the increase in life expectancy was greater than that in HALE. Leading causes of DALYs are highly variable across countries. INTERPRETATION Global health is improving. Population growth and ageing have driven up numbers of DALYs, but crude rates have remained relatively constant, showing that progress in health does not mean fewer demands on health systems. The notion of an epidemiological transition--in which increasing sociodemographic status brings structured change in disease burden--is useful, but there is tremendous variation in burden of disease that is not associated with sociodemographic status. This further underscores the need for country-specific assessments of DALYs and HALE to appropriately inform health policy decisions and attendant actions. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Haims MC, Duber HC, Chang LP. Enhancing the effectiveness of the U.S. Army's participation in medical diplomacy: implications from a case study in Trinidad. Mil Med 2015; 179:659-65. [PMID: 24902134 DOI: 10.7205/milmed-d-13-00465] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Medical diplomacy is a complex, yet increasingly important strategy of the U.S. government. In this article, we present a unique program that was jointly developed by the U.S. Army Reserves 807 th Medical Deployment Support Command and the Trinidad Ministry of Health to address the large backlog of untreated cataracts in Trinidad and Tobago. This partnership evolved over time, but began with a commitment to help address a critical public health issue as determined by the host country, with investment in both local capacity and attention towards sustainability. The 807 th Medical Deployment Support Command utilized its connection to the military and civilian worlds, bringing in outside expertise and a long-term university partner allowing for sustainability without protracted U.S. government support. This program resulted in multiple positive outcomes, including building a strong partnership with a key U.S. interest; enhancing the legitimacy of the Trinidadian government through the development of a sustainable cataract program; and providing a platform for the United States to be seen by the Trinidadian public in a very positive light. This new model for medical diplomacy may have significant benefit for both the host country and U.S. government, and deserves further evaluation in other contexts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marla C Haims
- Rand Corporation, 4570 Fifth Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Rand Corporation, 4570 Fifth Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213
| | - Lie-Ping Chang
- United States Army Reserves, 807th Medical Command, 106 Soldier's Circle, Fort Douglas, UT 84113
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Dansereau E, Gakidou E, Ng M, Achan J, Burstein R, DeCenso B, Gasasira A, Ikilezi G, Kisia C, Masters SH, Njuguna P, Odeny TA, Okiro EA, Roberts DA, Duber HC. Trends and Determinants of Antiretroviral Therapy Patient Monitoring Practices in Kenya and Uganda. PLoS One 2015; 10:e0135653. [PMID: 26275151 PMCID: PMC4537267 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0135653] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2015] [Accepted: 07/23/2015] [Indexed: 01/31/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction Patients receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) require routine monitoring to track response to treatment and assess for treatment failure. This study aims to identify gaps in monitoring practices in Kenya and Uganda. Methods We conducted a systematic retrospective chart review of adults who initiated ART between 2007 and 2012. We assessed the availability of baseline measurements (CD4 count, weight, and WHO stage) and ongoing CD4 and weight monitoring according to national guidelines in place at the time. Mixed-effects logistic regression models were used to analyze facility and patient factors associated with meeting monitoring guidelines. Results From 2007 to 2012, at least 88% of patients per year in Uganda had a recorded weight at initiation, while in Kenya there was a notable increase from 69% to 90%. Patients with a documented baseline CD4 count increased from 69% to about 80% in both countries. In 2012, 83% and 86% of established patients received the recommended quarterly weight monitoring in Kenya and Uganda, respectively, while semiannual CD4 monitoring was less common (49% in Kenya and 38% in Uganda). Initiating at a more advanced WHO stage was associated with a lower odds of baseline CD4 testing. On-site CD4 analysis capacity was associated with increased odds of CD4 testing at baseline and in the future. Discussion Substantial gaps were noted in ongoing CD4 monitoring of patients on ART. Although guidelines have since changed, limited laboratory capacity is likely to remain a significant issue in monitoring patients on ART, with important implications for ensuring quality care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emily Dansereau
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Marie Ng
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Jane Achan
- Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Roy Burstein
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Brendan DeCenso
- RTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America
| | | | - Gloria Ikilezi
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | | | - Samuel H. Masters
- University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America
| | | | - Thomas A. Odeny
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Emelda A. Okiro
- Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - D. Allen Roberts
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America
- * E-mail:
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Duber HC, Dansereau E, Masters SH, Achan J, Burstein R, DeCenso B, Gasasira A, Ikilezi G, Kisia C, Masiye F, Njuguna P, Odeny T, Okiro E, Roberts DA, Gakidou E. Uptake of WHO recommendations for first-line antiretroviral therapy in Kenya, Uganda, and Zambia. PLoS One 2015; 10:e0120350. [PMID: 25807553 PMCID: PMC4373941 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0120350] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2014] [Accepted: 02/06/2015] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Antiretroviral therapy (ART) guidelines were significantly changed by the World Health Organization in 2010. It is largely unknown to what extent these guidelines were adopted into clinical practice. Methods This was a retrospective observational analysis of first-line ART regimens in a sample of health facilities providing ART in Kenya, Uganda, and Zambia between 2007-2008 and 2011-2012. Data were analyzed for changes in regimen over time and assessed for key patient- and facility-level determinants of tenofovir (TDF) utilization in Kenya and Uganda using a mixed effects model. Results Data were obtained from 29,507 patients from 146 facilities. The overall percentage of patients initiated on TDF-based therapy increased between 2007-2008 and 2011-2012 from 3% to 37% in Kenya, 2% to 34% in Uganda, and 64% to 87% in Zambia. A simultaneous decrease in stavudine (d4T) utilization was also noted, but its use was not eliminated, and there remained significant variation in facility prescribing patterns. For patients initiating ART in 2011-2012, we found increased odds of TDF use with more advanced disease at initiation in both Kenya (odds ratio [OR]: 2.78; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.73-4.48) and Uganda (OR: 2.15; 95% CI: 1.46-3.17). Having a CD4 test performed at initiation was also a significant predictor in Uganda (OR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.16-1.76). No facility-level determinants of TDF utilization were seen in Kenya, but private facilities (OR: 2.86; 95% CI: 1.45-5.66) and those employing a doctor (OR: 2.86; 95% CI: 1.48-5.51) were more likely to initiate patients on TDF in Uganda. Discussion d4T-based ART has largely been phased out over the study period. However, significant in-country and cross-country variation exists. Among the most recently initiated patients, those with more advanced disease at initiation were most likely to start TDF-based treatment. No facility-level determinants were consistent across countries to explain the observed facility-level variation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Herbert C. Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
- * E-mail:
| | - Emily Dansereau
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Samuel H. Masters
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Jane Achan
- Infectious Disease Research Collaboration, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Roy Burstein
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Brendan DeCenso
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Anne Gasasira
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Gloria Ikilezi
- Infectious Disease Research Collaboration, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | - Felix Masiye
- Department of Economics, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | | | - Thomas Odeny
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Emelda Okiro
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - D. Allen Roberts
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Emmanuela Gakidou
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
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Murray CJL, Ortblad KF, Guinovart C, Lim SS, Wolock TM, Roberts DA, Dansereau EA, Graetz N, Barber RM, Brown JC, Wang H, Duber HC, Naghavi M, Dicker D, Dandona L, Salomon JA, Heuton KR, Foreman K, Phillips DE, Fleming TD, Flaxman AD, Phillips BK, Johnson EK, Coggeshall MS, Abd-Allah F, Abera SF, Abraham JP, Abubakar I, Abu-Raddad LJ, Abu-Rmeileh NM, Achoki T, Adeyemo AO, Adou AK, Adsuar JC, Agardh EE, Akena D, Al Kahbouri MJ, Alasfoor D, Albittar MI, Alcalá-Cerra G, Alegretti MA, Alemu ZA, Alfonso-Cristancho R, Alhabib S, Ali R, Alla F, Allen PJ, Alsharif U, Alvarez E, Alvis-Guzman N, Amankwaa AA, Amare AT, Amini H, Ammar W, Anderson BO, Antonio CAT, Anwari P, Arnlöv J, Arsenijevic VSA, Artaman A, Asghar RJ, Assadi R, Atkins LS, Badawi A, Balakrishnan K, Banerjee A, Basu S, Beardsley J, Bekele T, Bell ML, Bernabe E, Beyene TJ, Bhala N, Bhalla A, Bhutta ZA, Abdulhak AB, Binagwaho A, Blore JD, Basara BB, Bose D, Brainin M, Breitborde N, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Catalá-López F, Chadha VK, Chang JC, Chiang PPC, Chuang TW, Colomar M, Cooper LT, Cooper C, Courville KJ, Cowie BC, Criqui MH, Dandona R, Dayama A, De Leo D, Degenhardt L, Del Pozo-Cruz B, Deribe K, Des Jarlais DC, Dessalegn M, Dharmaratne SD, Dilmen U, Ding EL, Driscoll TR, Durrani AM, Ellenbogen RG, Ermakov SP, Esteghamati A, Faraon EJA, Farzadfar F, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fijabi DO, Forouzanfar MH, Fra Paleo U, Gaffikin L, Gamkrelidze A, Gankpé FG, Geleijnse JM, Gessner BD, Gibney KB, Ginawi IAM, Glaser EL, Gona P, Goto A, Gouda HN, Gugnani HC, Gupta R, Gupta R, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hamadeh RR, Hammami M, Hankey GJ, Harb HL, Haro JM, Havmoeller R, Hay SI, Hedayati MT, Pi IBH, Hoek HW, Hornberger JC, Hosgood HD, Hotez PJ, Hoy DG, Huang JJ, Iburg KM, Idrisov BT, Innos K, Jacobsen KH, Jeemon P, Jensen PN, Jha V, Jiang G, Jonas JB, Juel K, Kan H, Kankindi I, Karam NE, Karch A, Karema CK, Kaul A, Kawakami N, Kazi DS, Kemp AH, Kengne AP, Keren A, Kereselidze M, Khader YS, Khalifa SEAH, Khan EA, Khang YH, Khonelidze I, Kinfu Y, Kinge JM, Knibbs L, Kokubo Y, Kosen S, Defo BK, Kulkarni VS, Kulkarni C, Kumar K, Kumar RB, Kumar GA, Kwan GF, Lai T, Balaji AL, Lam H, Lan Q, Lansingh VC, Larson HJ, Larsson A, Lee JT, Leigh J, Leinsalu M, Leung R, Li Y, Li Y, De Lima GMF, Lin HH, Lipshultz SE, Liu S, Liu Y, Lloyd BK, Lotufo PA, Machado VMP, Maclachlan JH, Magis-Rodriguez C, Majdan M, Mapoma CC, Marcenes W, Marzan MB, Masci JR, Mashal MT, Mason-Jones AJ, Mayosi BM, Mazorodze TT, Mckay AC, Meaney PA, Mehndiratta MM, Mejia-Rodriguez F, Melaku YA, Memish ZA, Mendoza W, Miller TR, Mills EJ, Mohammad KA, Mokdad AH, Mola GL, Monasta L, Montico M, Moore AR, Mori R, Moturi WN, Mukaigawara M, Murthy KS, Naheed A, Naidoo KS, Naldi L, Nangia V, Narayan KMV, Nash D, Nejjari C, Nelson RG, Neupane SP, Newton CR, Ng M, Nisar MI, Nolte S, Norheim OF, Nowaseb V, Nyakarahuka L, Oh IH, Ohkubo T, Olusanya BO, Omer SB, Opio JN, Orisakwe OE, Pandian JD, Papachristou C, Caicedo AJP, Patten SB, Paul VK, Pavlin BI, Pearce N, Pereira DM, Pervaiz A, Pesudovs K, Petzold M, Pourmalek F, Qato D, Quezada AD, Quistberg DA, Rafay A, Rahimi K, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Ur Rahman S, Raju M, Rana SM, Razavi H, Reilly RQ, Remuzzi G, Richardus JH, Ronfani L, Roy N, Sabin N, Saeedi MY, Sahraian MA, Samonte GMJ, Sawhney M, Schneider IJC, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Sepanlou SG, Servan-Mori EE, Sheikhbahaei S, Shibuya K, Shin HH, Shiue I, Shivakoti R, Sigfusdottir ID, Silberberg DH, Silva AP, Simard EP, Singh JA, Skirbekk V, Sliwa K, Soneji S, Soshnikov SS, Sreeramareddy CT, Stathopoulou VK, Stroumpoulis K, Swaminathan S, Sykes BL, Tabb KM, Talongwa RT, Tenkorang EY, Terkawi AS, Thomson AJ, Thorne-Lyman AL, Towbin JA, Traebert J, Tran BX, Dimbuene ZT, Tsilimbaris M, Uchendu US, Ukwaja KN, Uzun SB, Vallely AJ, Vasankari TJ, Venketasubramanian N, Violante FS, Vlassov VV, Vollset SE, Waller S, Wallin MT, Wang L, Wang X, Wang Y, Weichenthal S, Weiderpass E, Weintraub RG, Westerman R, White RA, Wilkinson JD, Williams TN, Woldeyohannes SM, Wong JQ, Xu G, Yang YC, Yano Y, Yentur GK, Yip P, Yonemoto N, Yoon SJ, Younis M, Yu C, Jin KY, El Sayed Zaki M, Zhao Y, Zheng Y, Zhou M, Zhu J, Zou XN, Lopez AD, Vos T. Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet 2014; 384:1005-70. [PMID: 25059949 PMCID: PMC4202387 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(14)60844-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 662] [Impact Index Per Article: 66.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Millennium Declaration in 2000 brought special global attention to HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria through the formulation of Millennium Development Goal (MDG) 6. The Global Burden of Disease 2013 study provides a consistent and comprehensive approach to disease estimation for between 1990 and 2013, and an opportunity to assess whether accelerated progress has occured since the Millennium Declaration. METHODS To estimate incidence and mortality for HIV, we used the UNAIDS Spectrum model appropriately modified based on a systematic review of available studies of mortality with and without antiretroviral therapy (ART). For concentrated epidemics, we calibrated Spectrum models to fit vital registration data corrected for misclassification of HIV deaths. In generalised epidemics, we minimised a loss function to select epidemic curves most consistent with prevalence data and demographic data for all-cause mortality. We analysed counterfactual scenarios for HIV to assess years of life saved through prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) and ART. For tuberculosis, we analysed vital registration and verbal autopsy data to estimate mortality using cause of death ensemble modelling. We analysed data for corrected case-notifications, expert opinions on the case-detection rate, prevalence surveys, and estimated cause-specific mortality using Bayesian meta-regression to generate consistent trends in all parameters. We analysed malaria mortality and incidence using an updated cause of death database, a systematic analysis of verbal autopsy validation studies for malaria, and recent studies (2010-13) of incidence, drug resistance, and coverage of insecticide-treated bednets. FINDINGS Globally in 2013, there were 1·8 million new HIV infections (95% uncertainty interval 1·7 million to 2·1 million), 29·2 million prevalent HIV cases (28·1 to 31·7), and 1·3 million HIV deaths (1·3 to 1·5). At the peak of the epidemic in 2005, HIV caused 1·7 million deaths (1·6 million to 1·9 million). Concentrated epidemics in Latin America and eastern Europe are substantially smaller than previously estimated. Through interventions including PMTCT and ART, 19·1 million life-years (16·6 million to 21·5 million) have been saved, 70·3% (65·4 to 76·1) in developing countries. From 2000 to 2011, the ratio of development assistance for health for HIV to years of life saved through intervention was US$4498 in developing countries. Including in HIV-positive individuals, all-form tuberculosis incidence was 7·5 million (7·4 million to 7·7 million), prevalence was 11·9 million (11·6 million to 12·2 million), and number of deaths was 1·4 million (1·3 million to 1·5 million) in 2013. In the same year and in only individuals who were HIV-negative, all-form tuberculosis incidence was 7·1 million (6·9 million to 7·3 million), prevalence was 11·2 million (10·8 million to 11·6 million), and number of deaths was 1·3 million (1·2 million to 1·4 million). Annualised rates of change (ARC) for incidence, prevalence, and death became negative after 2000. Tuberculosis in HIV-negative individuals disproportionately occurs in men and boys (versus women and girls); 64·0% of cases (63·6 to 64·3) and 64·7% of deaths (60·8 to 70·3). Globally, malaria cases and deaths grew rapidly from 1990 reaching a peak of 232 million cases (143 million to 387 million) in 2003 and 1·2 million deaths (1·1 million to 1·4 million) in 2004. Since 2004, child deaths from malaria in sub-Saharan Africa have decreased by 31·5% (15·7 to 44·1). Outside of Africa, malaria mortality has been steadily decreasing since 1990. INTERPRETATION Our estimates of the number of people living with HIV are 18·7% smaller than UNAIDS's estimates in 2012. The number of people living with malaria is larger than estimated by WHO. The number of people living with HIV, tuberculosis, or malaria have all decreased since 2000. At the global level, upward trends for malaria and HIV deaths have been reversed and declines in tuberculosis deaths have accelerated. 101 countries (74 of which are developing) still have increasing HIV incidence. Substantial progress since the Millennium Declaration is an encouraging sign of the effect of global action. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Stephen S Lim
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | | | - D Allen Roberts
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | | | - Nicholas Graetz
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Ryan M Barber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | | | - Haidong Wang
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Herbert C Duber
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Mohsen Naghavi
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Daniel Dicker
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Lalit Dandona
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA; Public Health Foundation of India, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Kyle R Heuton
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Jerry P Abraham
- University of Texas School of Medicine San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, USA
| | | | | | - Niveen Me Abu-Rmeileh
- Institute of Community and Public Health-Birzeti University, Ramallah, West Bank, Occupied Palestinian Territory
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Gabriel Alcalá-Cerra
- Grupo de Investigación en Ciencias de la Salud y Neurociencias (CISNEURO), Cartagena de Indias, Colombia
| | - Miguel Angel Alegretti
- Facultad de Medicina, Departamento de Medicina Preventiva y Social, Universidad de la República, Montevideo, Uruguay
| | | | | | | | | | - Francois Alla
- School of Public Health, University of Lorraine, Nancy, France
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Azmeraw T Amare
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands; College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia
| | - Hassan Amini
- Kurdistan Environmental Health Research Center, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Kurdistan, Iran
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Rana J Asghar
- South Asian Public Health Forum, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Reza Assadi
- Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Lydia S Atkins
- Ministry of Health, Wellness, Human Services and Gender Relations, Castries, St. Lucia
| | - Alaa Badawi
- Public Health Agency of Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Ashish Bhalla
- Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
| | | | | | | | - Jed D Blore
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Ferrán Catalá-López
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacovigilance, Spanish Medicines and Healthcare Products Agency (AEMPS), Ministry of Health, Madrid, Spain
| | | | | | | | - Ting-Wu Chuang
- Department of Parasitology, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan; Center for International Tropical Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | | | | | - Cyrus Cooper
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | | | - Benjamin C Cowie
- Victorian Infectious Diseases Reference Laboratory, North Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | - Anand Dayama
- Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Muluken Dessalegn
- Africa Medical and Research Foundation in Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | | | - Eric L Ding
- Harvard School of Public Health, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | | | | | | | - Sergey Petrovich Ermakov
- The Institute of Social and Economic Studies of Population at the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
| | - Alireza Esteghamati
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Farshad Farzadfar
- Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | | | | | | | - Lynne Gaffikin
- Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Philimon Gona
- University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester, MA, USA
| | - Atsushi Goto
- Department of Diabetes Research, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hebe N Gouda
- University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | | | | | - Rahul Gupta
- Kanawha Charleston Health Department, Charleston, WV, USA
| | - Nima Hafezi-Nejad
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Mouhanad Hammami
- Wayne County Department of Health and Human Services, Detroit, MI, USA
| | - Graeme J Hankey
- School of Medicine and Pharmacology, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia
| | | | - Josep Maria Haro
- Parc Sanitari Sant Joan de Déu, CIBERSAM, University of Barcelona, Sant Boi de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | | | | | | | - Hans W Hoek
- Parnassia Psychiatric Institute, The Hague, Netherlands
| | | | | | | | - Damian G Hoy
- School of Population Health, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; Public Health Division, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Noumea, New Caledonia
| | | | | | | | - Kaire Innos
- National Institute for Health Development, Tallinn, Estonia
| | | | | | | | - Vivekanand Jha
- Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
| | - Guohong Jiang
- Tianjin Centers for Diseases Control and Prevention, Tianjin, China
| | - Jost B Jonas
- Department of Ophthalmology, Medical Faculty Mannheim of the University of Heidelberg, Mannheim, Germany
| | - Knud Juel
- The National Institute of Public Health, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | | | | | - André Karch
- Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Braunschweig, Germany; German Center for Infection Research (DZIF), Hannover-Braunschweig site, Germany
| | | | - Anil Kaul
- Oklahoma State University, Tulsa, OK, USA
| | | | - Dhruv S Kazi
- University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | | | - Andre Pascal Kengne
- South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
| | - Andre Keren
- Cardiology, Hadassah Ein Kerem University Hospital, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Maia Kereselidze
- National Centre for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia
| | | | | | | | - Young-Ho Khang
- Institute of Health Policy and Management, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Irma Khonelidze
- National Centre for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia
| | | | | | - Luke Knibbs
- University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Yoshihiro Kokubo
- Department of Preventive Cardiology, Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiologic Informatics, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Osaka, Japan
| | - S Kosen
- Center for Community Empowerment, Health Policy & Humanities, NIHRD, Jakarta, Indonesia
| | | | | | - Chanda Kulkarni
- Rajrajeshwari Medical College & Hospital, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
| | - Kaushalendra Kumar
- International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
| | - Ravi B Kumar
- Indian Institute of Public Health, Public Health Foundation of India, Gurgaon, Haryana, India
| | - G Anil Kumar
- Public Health Foundation of India, New Delhi, India
| | | | - Taavi Lai
- Fourth View Consulting, Tallinn, Estonia
| | | | - Hilton Lam
- Institute of Health Policy and Development Studies, National Institutes of Health, Manila, Philippines
| | - Qing Lan
- National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | | | - Heidi J Larson
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Bloomsbury, UK
| | | | | | - James Leigh
- University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Mall Leinsalu
- National Institute for Health Development, Tallinn, Estonia
| | - Ricky Leung
- University at Albany, The State University of New York, Rensselaer, NY, USA
| | - Yichong Li
- Genentech, Inc, South San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Yongmei Li
- Genentech, Inc, South San Francisco, CA, USA
| | | | - Hsien-Ho Lin
- Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | | | - Shiwei Liu
- National Center for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yang Liu
- Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Belinda K Lloyd
- Eastern Health Clinical School, VIC, Australia; Turning Point, Eastern Health, Fitzroy, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | | | | | - Marek Majdan
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences and Social Work, Trnava University, Trnava, Slovakia
| | | | | | | | - Joseph R Masci
- Elmhurst Hospital Center, Mount Sinai Services, Elmhurst, NY, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Ted R Miller
- Pacific Institute for Research & Evaluation, Calverton MD, USA; Centre for Population Health Research, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
| | | | | | - Ali H Mokdad
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | | | - Lorenzo Monasta
- Institute for Maternal and Child Health-IRCCS "Burlo Garofolo," Trieste, Italy
| | - Marcella Montico
- Institute for Maternal and Child Health-IRCCS "Burlo Garofolo," Trieste, Italy
| | | | - Rintaro Mori
- National Center for Child Health and Development, Setagaya, Tokyo, Japan
| | | | | | | | - Aliya Naheed
- International Centre for Diarrhoeal Diseases Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Kovin S Naidoo
- University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
| | - Luigi Naldi
- Azienda Ospedaliera papa Giovanni XXIII, Bergamo, Italy
| | | | | | - Denis Nash
- School of Public Health, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA
| | | | - Robert G Nelson
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Phoenix, AZ, USA
| | - Sudan Prasad Neupane
- Norwegian Center for Addiction Research (SERAF), University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Charles R Newton
- Kenya Medical Research Institute Wellcome Trust Programme, Kilifi, Kenya
| | - Marie Ng
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
| | | | - Sandra Nolte
- Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - John Nelson Opio
- Lira District Local Government, Lira Municipal Council, Northern Uganda, Uganda
| | - Orish Ebere Orisakwe
- Toxicology Unit, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Port Harcourt, Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Neil Pearce
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Bloomsbury, UK
| | - David M Pereira
- 3B's Research Group-Biomaterials, Biodegradables and Biomimetics, University of Minho, Headquarters of the European Institute of Excellence on Tissue Engineering and Regenerative Medicine and ICVS/3B's-PT Government Associate Laboratory, Braga, Portugal
| | - Aslam Pervaiz
- Postgraduate Medical Institute, Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan
| | | | - Max Petzold
- Centre for Applied Biostatistics, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | | | - Dima Qato
- College of Pharmacy, University of Illinois, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Amado D Quezada
- National Institute of Public Health of Mexico, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico
| | | | | | | | - Vafa Rahimi-Movaghar
- Sina Trauma and Surgery Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | | | - Saleem M Rana
- Department of Public Health, University of the Punjab, Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan
| | - Homie Razavi
- Center for Disease Analysis, Louisville, CO, USA
| | | | - Giuseppe Remuzzi
- IRCCS Mario Negri Institute for Pharmacological Research, Centro Anna Maria Astori, Bergamo, Italy
| | | | - Luca Ronfani
- Institute for Maternal and Child Health-IRCCS "Burlo Garofolo," Trieste, Italy
| | | | | | | | | | - Genesis May J Samonte
- National HIV/AIDS & STI Surveillance and Strategic Information Unit, National Epidemiology Center, Department of Health, Manila, National Capital Region, Philippines
| | | | | | | | - Soraya Seedat
- Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
| | - Sadaf G Sepanlou
- Digestive Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Sara Sheikhbahaei
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | | | - Ivy Shiue
- Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Rupak Shivakoti
- Center for Clinical Global Health Education, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | | | | | - Andrea P Silva
- Instituto Nacional de Epidemiología Dr Juan H Jara, Mar del Plata, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Edgar P Simard
- Surveillance and Health Services Research Program American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | | | - Karen Sliwa
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Hatter Institute for Cardiovascular Research in Africa, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa
| | | | - Sergey S Soshnikov
- Federal Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia
| | | | | | - Konstantinos Stroumpoulis
- KEELPNO (Centre for Disease Control, Greece, dispatched to "Alexandra" General Hospital of Athens), Athens, Greece
| | - Soumya Swaminathan
- National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Bryan L Sykes
- Department of Criminology, Law and Society (and Sociology), University of California-Irvine, Chicago, IL, USA
| | | | | | | | - Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi
- Department of Anesthesiology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA; Department of Anesthesiology, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | | | | | - Jeffrey A Towbin
- Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH, USA
| | | | - Bach X Tran
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene
- Department of Population Sciences and Development, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo
| | | | | | - Kingsley N Ukwaja
- Department of Internal Medicine, Federal Teaching Hospital Abakaliki, Abakailiki, Ebonyi State, Nigeria
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Stein Emil Vollset
- Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway; University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
| | - Stephen Waller
- Uniformed Services University of Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Mitchell T Wallin
- VA Medical Center and Georgetown University Neurology Department, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Linhong Wang
- National Center for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - XiaoRong Wang
- Shandong University Affiliated Jinan Central Hospital, Jinan, China
| | - Yanping Wang
- National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, Chengdu, China
| | | | | | - Robert G Weintraub
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | - Richard A White
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Division of Infectious Disease Control and Department of Health Statistics, Division of Epidemiology, Oslo, Norway
| | | | | | | | - John Q Wong
- Ateneo School of Medicine and Public Health, Pasig City, Metro Manila, Philippines
| | - Gelin Xu
- Nanjing University School of Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Nanjing, China
| | - Yang C Yang
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Yuichiro Yano
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan
| | | | - Paul Yip
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
| | - Naohiro Yonemoto
- National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry, Kodira, Tokyo, Japan
| | | | | | - Chuanhua Yu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Global Health Institute, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Kim Yun Jin
- TCM MEDICAL TK SDN BHD, Nusajaya, Johor Bahru, Malaysia
| | | | - Yong Zhao
- Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Yingfeng Zheng
- Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Maigeng Zhou
- National Center for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Jun Zhu
- National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, Chengdu, China
| | - Xiao Nong Zou
- Cancer Institute/Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Alan D Lopez
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Theo Vos
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, WA, USA
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Becker TK, Jacquet GA, Marsh R, Schroeder ED, Foran M, Bartels S, Duber HC, Cockrell H, Levine AC. Global emergency medicine: a review of the literature from 2013. Acad Emerg Med 2014; 21:810-7. [PMID: 25040254 DOI: 10.1111/acem.12414] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/11/2014] [Accepted: 04/14/2014] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The Global Emergency Medicine Literature Review (GEMLR) conducts an annual search of peer-reviewed and grey literature relevant to global emergency medicine (EM) to identify, review, and disseminate the most important new research in this field to a worldwide audience of academics and clinical practitioners. METHODS This year 8,768 articles written in six languages were identified by our search. These articles were distributed among 22 reviewers for initial screening based on their relevance to the field of global EM. An additional two reviewers searched the grey literature. A total of 434 articles were deemed appropriate by at least one reviewer and approved by an editor for formal scoring of overall quality and importance. RESULTS Of the 434 articles that met our predetermined inclusion criteria, 65% were categorized as emergency care in resource-limited settings, 18% as EM development, and 17% as disaster and humanitarian response. A total of 24 articles received scores of 18 or higher and were selected for formal summary and critique. Interrater reliability for two reviewers using our scoring system was good, with an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.63 (95% confidence interval = 0.55 to 0.69). Infectious diseases, trauma, and the diagnosis and treatment of diseases common in resource-limited settings represented the majority of articles selected for final review. CONCLUSIONS In 2013, there were more emergency care in resource-limited settings articles, while the number of disaster and humanitarian response articles decreased, when compared to the 2012 review. However, the distribution of articles selected for full review did not change significantly. As in prior years, the majority of articles focused on infectious diseases, as well as trauma and injury prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Torben K. Becker
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; University of Michigan; Ann Arbor MI
| | - Gabrielle A. Jacquet
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Boston University School of Medicine; Boston MA
- The Boston University Center for Global Health and Development; Boston MA
| | - Regan Marsh
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Brigham and Women's Hospital; Boston MA
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Partners In Health; Boston MA
| | - Erika D. Schroeder
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Providence Regional Medical Center; Everett WA
| | - Mark Foran
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; New York University; New York NY
- The Harvard Humanitarian Initiative; Cambridge MA
| | - Susan Bartels
- The Harvard Humanitarian Initiative; Cambridge MA
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center; Boston MA
- The FXB Center for Health and Human Rights; Boston MA
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- The Division of Emergency Medicine; University of Washington; Seattle WA
| | - Hannah Cockrell
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Rhode Island Hospital; Providence RI
| | - Adam C. Levine
- The Harvard Humanitarian Initiative; Cambridge MA
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Rhode Island Hospital; Providence RI
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Moresky RT, Bisanzo M, Rubenstein BL, Hubbard SJ, Cohen H, Ouyang H, Duber HC, Marsh RH. A research agenda for acute care services delivery in low- and middle-income countries. Acad Emerg Med 2013; 20:1264-71. [PMID: 24283791 DOI: 10.1111/acem.12259] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2013] [Revised: 08/15/2013] [Accepted: 08/16/2013] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Delivery of acute care services at every level of the health system is essential to ensure appropriate evaluation and management of emergent illness and injury in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The health services breakout group at the 2013 Academic Emergency Medicine consensus conference developed recommendations for a research agenda along the following themes: infrastructure, implementation, and sustainable provision of acute care services. Based on these recommendations, a set of priorities was created to promote and guide future research on acute care services.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel T. Moresky
- The Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health; Department of Population and Family Health; sidHARTe Program; New York NY
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Columbia University College of Physicians & Surgeons; New York NY
| | - Mark Bisanzo
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; University of Massachusetts Memorial Medical Center; Boston MA
| | - Beth L. Rubenstein
- The Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health; Department of Population and Family Health; sidHARTe Program; New York NY
| | - Stephanie J. Hubbard
- The Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health; Department of Population and Family Health; sidHARTe Program; New York NY
| | - Hillary Cohen
- The Emergency Medicine Center; Maimonides Medical Center; Brooklyn NY
| | - Helen Ouyang
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Columbia University College of Physicians & Surgeons; New York NY
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- The Division of Emergency Medicine; University of Washington, and the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; Seattle WA
| | - Regan H. Marsh
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Brigham and Women's Hospital; Boston MA
- The Hôpital Universitaire de Mirebalais; Partners In Health; Mirebalais Haiti
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Vu A, Duber HC, Sasser SM, Hansoti B, Lynch C, Khan A, Johnson T, Modi P, Clattenburg EJ, Hargarten S. Emergency care research funding in the global health context: trends, priorities, and future directions. Acad Emerg Med 2013; 20:1259-63. [PMID: 24341581 DOI: 10.1111/acem.12267] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2013] [Revised: 08/13/2013] [Accepted: 08/13/2013] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Over the past few decades there has been a steady growth in funding for global health, yet generally little is known about funding for global health research. As part of the 2013 Academic Emergency Medicine consensus conference, a session was convened to discuss emergency care research funding in the global health context. Overall, the authors found a lack of evidence available to determine funding priorities or quantify current funding for acute care research in global health. This article summarizes the initial preparatory research and reports on the results of the consensus conference focused on identifying challenges and strategies to improve funding for global emergency care research. The consensus conference meeting led to the creation of near- and long-term goals to strengthen global emergency care research funding and the development of important research questions. The research questions represent a consensus view of important outstanding questions that will assist emergency care researchers to better understand the current funding landscape and bring evidence to the debate on funding priorities of global health and emergency care. The four key areas of focus for researchers are: 1) quantifying funding for global health and emergency care research, 2) understanding current research funding priorities, 3) identifying barriers to emergency care research funding, and 4) using existing data to quantify the need for emergency services and acute care research. This research agenda will enable emergency health care scientists to use evidence when advocating for more funding for emergency care research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexander Vu
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Johns Hopkins University; Baltimore MD
| | - Herbert C. Duber
- The Division of Emergency Medicine; Department of Medicine; University of Washington; Seattle WA
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; University of Washington; Seattle WA
| | - Scott M. Sasser
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Emory University; Atlanta GA
| | - Bhakti Hansoti
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Johns Hopkins University; Baltimore MD
| | - Catherine Lynch
- The Division of Emergency Medicine; Department of Surgery; Duke University; Durham NC
| | - Ayesha Khan
- The Division of Emergency Medicine; Department of Surgery; Stanford University; Stanford CA
| | - Tara Johnson
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Maricopa Integrated Health System; Phoenix AZ
| | - Payal Modi
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University; Providence RI
| | | | - Stephen Hargarten
- The Department of Emergency Medicine; Medical College of Wisconsin; Milwaukee WI
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Duber HC, Kelly SM. Febrile Illness in a Young Traveler: Dengue Fever and its Complications. J Emerg Med 2013; 45:526-9. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jemermed.2013.03.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2012] [Revised: 11/02/2012] [Accepted: 03/15/2013] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
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Jacquet GA, Foran M, Bartels S, Becker TK, Schroeder ED, Duber HC, Goldberg E, Cockrell H, Levine AC. Global Emergency Medicine: a review of the literature from 2012. Acad Emerg Med 2013; 20:835-43. [PMID: 24033627 DOI: 10.1111/acem.12173] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2013] [Accepted: 04/15/2013] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The Global Emergency Medicine Literature Review (GEMLR) conducts an annual search of peer-reviewed and grey literature relevant to global emergency medicine (EM) to identify, review, and disseminate the most important new research in this field to a worldwide audience of academics and clinical practitioners. METHODS This year, our search identified 4,818 articles written in six languages. These articles were distributed among 20 reviewers for initial screening based on their relevance to the field of global EM. Two additional reviewers searched and screened the grey literature. A total of 224 articles were deemed appropriate by at least one reviewer and were approved by their editor for formal scoring of overall quality and importance. RESULTS Of the 224 articles that met our predetermined inclusion criteria, 56% were categorized as Emergency Care in Resource-limited Settings, 18% as EM development, and 26% as Disaster and Humanitarian Response. A total of 28 articles received scores of 16 or higher and were selected for formal summary and critique. Inter-rater reliability for two reviewers using our scoring system was good, with an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.625 (95% confidence interval = 0.512 to 0.711). CONCLUSIONS In 2012 there were more disaster and humanitarian response articles than in previous years. As in prior years, the majority of articles addressed the acute management of infectious diseases or the care of vulnerable populations such as children and pregnant women.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Torben Kim Becker
- Department of Emergency Medicine; University of Michigan; Ann Arbor; MI
| | | | | | | | - Hannah Cockrell
- Watson Institute for International Studies; Brown University; Providence; RI
| | - Adam C. Levine
- Department of Emergency Medicine; Brown University Alpert Medical School; Providence; RI
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Olmsted SS, Moore M, Meili RC, Duber HC, Wasserman J, Sama P, Mundell B, Hilborne LH. Strengthening laboratory systems in resource-limited settings. Am J Clin Pathol 2010; 134:374-80. [PMID: 20716792 DOI: 10.1309/ajcpdqosb7qr5glr] [Citation(s) in RCA: 65] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Considerable resources have been invested in recent years to improve laboratory systems in resource-limited settings. We reviewed published reports, interviewed major donor organizations, and conducted case studies of laboratory systems in 3 countries to assess how countries and donors have worked together to improve laboratory services. While infrastructure and the provision of services have seen improvement, important opportunities remain for further advancement. Implementation of national laboratory plans is inconsistent, human resources are limited, and quality laboratory services rarely extend to lower tier laboratories (eg, health clinics, district hospitals). Coordination within, between, and among governments and donor organizations is also frequently problematic. Laboratory standardization and quality control are improving but remain challenging, making accreditation a difficult goal. Host country governments and their external funding partners should coordinate their efforts effectively around a host country's own national laboratory plan to advance sustainable capacity development throughout a country's laboratory system.
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Duber HC, Coates TJ, Szekeras G, Kaji AH, Lewis RJ. Is there an association between PEPFAR funding and improvement in national health indicators in Africa? A retrospective study. J Int AIDS Soc 2010; 13:21. [PMID: 20540795 PMCID: PMC2895577 DOI: 10.1186/1758-2652-13-21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2010] [Accepted: 06/12/2010] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) was reauthorized in June 2008 with a three-fold increase in funds, and a broader, more explicit mandate to improve health in the low- and middle-income countries that it funded. However, the ability of a disease-specific, or vertical, programme to have a spill-over effect and improve health outcomes has been questioned. In this study, we sought to examine associations between being designated as a PEPFAR focus country (and receiving increased PEPFAR funding) and non-HIV-specific health outcomes in the World Health Organization (WHO) Africa Region, the area most affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Methods A retrospective analysis of publicly available health outcomes data published by the World Health Organization was performed for all countries in the WHO Africa Region. Fractional changes in health indicators between 2000 and 2006 were calculated, and PEPFAR focus and non-focus countries were then compared. Results Overall, countries in the WHO Africa Region showed a small worsening in health outcomes status when all indicators were analyzed together and weighted equally. However, more health indicators improved than worsened over this six-year period. A comparison of PEPFAR focus and non-focus countries found no significant difference in the fractional change among 13 of 14 health indicators during the study period. Conclusions This study suggests that vertical programmes, even one that is the scale of PEPFAR, may have little or no impact on health outcomes not explicitly targeted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Herbert C Duber
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, California, USA.
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Wright SJ, Duber HC. Poachers and Forest Fragmentation Alter Seed Dispersal, Seed Survival, and Seedling Recruitment in the Palm Attalea butyraceae, with Implications for Tropical Tree Diversity1. Biotropica 2001. [DOI: 10.1111/j.1744-7429.2001.tb00217.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 146] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
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Wright SJ, Duber HC. Poachers and Forest Fragmentation Alter Seed Dispersal, Seed Survival, and Seedling Recruitment in the Palm Attalea butyraceae, with Implications for Tropical Tree Diversity1. Biotropica 2001. [DOI: 10.1646/0006-3606(2001)033[0583:paffas]2.0.co;2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
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