Three- and Seven-month Prostate-specific Antigen Levels as Prognostic Markers for Overall Survival in Metastatic Hormone-sensitive Prostate Cancer: Results from SWOG S1216, a Phase 3 Randomized Trial of Androgen Deprivation Plus Orteronel or Bicalutamide

BACKGROUND

A robust decrease in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) in response to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) has been evaluated as a prognostic factor in patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) since 2006, but the treatment of mHSPC has since evolved to include intensified therapy.

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the association of PSA levels at 3 (PSA-3mo) and 7 (PSA-7mo) mo with overall survival (OS) in patients with mHSPC treated with ADT combined with either bicalutamide or orteronel in the S1216 phase 3 clinical trial.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

PSA responses to treatment of patients in the S1216 trial were categorized as: complete response (CR) if PSA was ≤0.2 ng/ml, partial response if PSA was >0.2 and ≤4 ng/ml, and no response (NR) if PSA was >4 ng/ml.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

A Cox analysis (adjusted for treatment arm and three stratification factors: performance status, severity of disease, and early vs late induction) was used for OS association. While PSA-7mo association was a prespecified objective, PSA-3mo association was also evaluated.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

A total of 1251 and 1231 patients from the S1216 study were evaluable for PSA-3mo and PSA-7mo, respectively. A PSA-7mo CR was associated with improved OS compared with NR (HR: 0.20; p < 0.0001). A PSA-3mo CR showed a similar association to NR (HR: 0.34; p < 0.0001). The association of a PSA response with survival did not differ by treatment arm at either time point.

CONCLUSIONS

The PSA-3mo and PSA-7mo responses were strongly associated with OS; taken with other emerging prognostic biomarkers, these markers may allow for early identification of patients at the highest risk of death, aid with counseling in clinical practice, and permit design of future clinical trials targeting these patients.

PATIENT SUMMARY

A low prostate-specific antigen level at 3 or 7 mo after starting treatment for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer predicts longer survival regardless of the first treatment given with androgen deprivation therapy.

Prospective comparison of restriction spectrum imaging and non-invasive biomarkers to predict upgrading on active surveillance prostate biopsy

BACKGROUND

Protocol-based active surveillance (AS) biopsies have led to poor compliance. To move to risk-based protocols, more accurate imaging biomarkers are needed to predict upgrading on AS prostate biopsy. We compared restriction spectrum imaging (RSI-MRI) generated signal maps as a biomarker to other available non-invasive biomarkers to predict upgrading or reclassification on an AS biopsy.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled men on prostate cancer AS undergoing repeat biopsy from January 2016 to June 2019 to obtain an MRI and biomarkers to predict upgrading. Subjects underwent a prostate multiparametric MRI and a short duration, diffusion-weighted enhanced MRI called RSI to generate a restricted signal map along with evaluation of 30 biomarkers (14 clinico-epidemiologic features, 9 molecular biomarkers, and 7 radiologic-associated features). Our primary outcome was upgrading or reclassification on subsequent AS prostate biopsy. Statistical analysis included operating characteristic improvement using AUROC and AUPRC.

RESULTS

The individual biomarker with the highest area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) was RSI-MRI (AUC = 0.84; 95% CI: 0.71-0.96). The best non-imaging biomarker was prostate volume-corrected Prostate Health Index density (PHI, AUC = 0.68; 95% CI: 0.53-0.82). Non-imaging biomarkers had a negligible effect on predicting upgrading at the next biopsy but did improve predictions of overall time to progression in AS.

CONCLUSIONS

RSI-MRI, PIRADS, and PHI could improve the predictive ability to detect upgrading in AS. The strongest predictor of clinically significant prostate cancer on AS biopsy was RSI-MRI signal output.

Association of Molecular Subtypes with Pathologic Response, PFS, and OS in a Phase II Study of COXEN with Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer

PURPOSE

The Coexpression Extrapolation (COXEN) gene expression model with chemotherapy-specific scores [for methotrexate, vinblastine, adriamycin, cisplatin (ddMVAC) and gemcitabine/cisplatin (GC)] was developed to identify responders to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). We investigated RNA-based molecular subtypes as additional predictive biomarkers for NAC response, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in patients treated in S1314.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

A total of 237 patients were randomized between four cycles of ddMVAC (51%) and GC (49%). On the basis of Affymetrix transcriptomic data, we determined subtypes using three classifiers: TCGA (k = 5), Consensus (k = 6), and MD Anderson (MDA; k = 3) and assessed subtype association with path response to NAC and determined associations with COXEN. We also tested whether each classifier contributed additional predictive power when added to a model based on predefined stratification (strat) factors (PS 0 vs. 1; T2 vs. T3, T4a).

RESULTS

A total of 155 patients had gene expression results, received at least three of four cycles of NAC, and had pT-N response based on radical cystectomy. TCGA three-group classifier basal-squamous (BS)/neuronal, luminal (Lum), Lum infiltrated, and GC COXEN score yielded the largest AUCs for pT0 (0.59, P = 0.28; 0.60, P = 0.18, respectively). For downstaging (

CONCLUSIONS

The Consensus classifier, based in part on the TCGA and MDA classifiers, modestly improved prediction for pathologic downstaging but subtypes were not associated with PFS or OS.

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Key Words Collapse

MESH Headings

• Humans
• Cisplatin/therapeutic use
• Cystectomy/methods
• Deoxycytidine/therapeutic use
• Muscles/pathology
• Neoadjuvant Therapy/methods
• Neoplasm Invasiveness
• Progression-Free Survival
• Retrospective Studies
• Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/drug therapy
• Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/genetics
• Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/pathology

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Grants

• UG1 CA233320 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233324 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA180830 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233160 NCI NIH HHS
• U10 CA032102 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233196 NCI NIH HHS
• U10 CA180888 NCI NIH HHS
• U24 CA114748 NCI NIH HHS
• U10 CA180819 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233328 NCI NIH HHS

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Affiliation(s)

Seth P. Lerner Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX
David J. McConkey Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD
Catherine M. Tangen Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA
Joshua J Meeks Department of Urology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
Thomas W. Flaig University of Colorado, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO
X Hua Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA
Siamak Daneshmand Department of Urology, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA
Ajjai Shivaram Alva University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
M. Scott Lucia University of Colorado, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO
Dan Theodorescu Cedars-Sinai CANCER, Los Angeles, CA
Amir Goldkorn University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA
Matthew I. Milowsky University of North Carolina Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chapel Hill, NC
W. Choi Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD
Rick Bangs SWOG Cancer Research Network, Portland, OR
Daniel L. Gustafson Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
Melissa Plets Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA
Ian M. Thompson CHRISTUS Medical Center Hospital, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX

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Characterizing prostate cancer risk through multi-ancestry genome-wide discovery of 187 novel risk variants

The transferability and clinical value of genetic risk scores (GRSs) across populations remain limited due to an imbalance in genetic studies across ancestrally diverse populations. Here we conducted a multi-ancestry genome-wide association study of 156,319 prostate cancer cases and 788,443 controls of European, African, Asian and Hispanic men, reflecting a 57% increase in the number of non-European cases over previous prostate cancer genome-wide association studies. We identified 187 novel risk variants for prostate cancer, increasing the total number of risk variants to 451. An externally replicated multi-ancestry GRS was associated with risk that ranged from 1.8 (per standard deviation) in African ancestry men to 2.2 in European ancestry men. The GRS was associated with a greater risk of aggressive versus non-aggressive disease in men of African ancestry (P = 0.03). Our study presents novel prostate cancer susceptibility loci and a GRS with effective risk stratification across ancestry groups.

Prostate Safety Events During Testosterone Replacement Therapy in Men With Hypogonadism: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

The effect of testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) on the risk of prostate cancer and other adverse prostate events is unknown.

Objective

To compare the effect of TRT vs placebo on the incidences of high-grade prostate cancers (Gleason score ≥4 + 3), any prostate cancer, acute urinary retention, invasive prostate procedures, and pharmacologic treatment for lower urinary tract symptoms in men with hypogonadism.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This placebo-controlled, double-blind randomized clinical trial enrolled 5246 men (aged 45-80 years) from 316 US trial sites who had 2 testosterone concentrations less than 300 ng/dL, hypogonadal symptoms, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) or increased CVD risk. Men with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) concentrations greater than 3.0 ng/mL and International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS) greater than 19 were excluded. Enrollment took place between May 23, 2018, and February 1, 2022, and end-of-study visits were conducted between May 31, 2022, and January 19, 2023.

Intervention

Participants were randomized, with stratification for prior CVD, to topical 1.62% testosterone gel or placebo.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary prostate safety end point was the incidence of adjudicated high-grade prostate cancer. Secondary end points included incidence of any adjudicated prostate cancer, acute urinary retention, invasive prostate surgical procedure, prostate biopsy, and new pharmacologic treatment. Intervention effect was analyzed using a discrete-time proportional hazards model.

Results

A total of 5204 men (mean [SD] age, 63.3 [7.9] years) were analyzed. At baseline, the mean (SD) PSA concentration was 0.92 (0.67) ng/mL, and the mean (SD) IPSS was 7.1 (5.6). The mean (SD) treatment duration as 21.8 (14.2) months in the TRT group and 21.6 (14.0) months in the placebo group. During 14 304 person-years of follow-up, the incidence of high-grade prostate cancer (5 of 2596 [0.19%] in the TRT group vs 3 of 2602 [0.12%] in the placebo group; hazard ratio, 1.62; 95% CI, 0.39-6.77; P = .51) did not differ significantly between groups; the incidences of any prostate cancer, acute urinary retention, invasive surgical procedures, prostate biopsy, and new pharmacologic treatment also did not differ significantly. Change in IPSS did not differ between groups. The PSA concentrations increased more in testosterone-treated than placebo-treated men.

Conclusions and Relevance

In a population of middle-aged and older men with hypogonadism, carefully evaluated to exclude those at high risk of prostate cancer, the incidences of high-grade or any prostate cancer and other prostate events were low and did not differ significantly between testosterone- and placebo-treated men. The study's findings may facilitate a more informed appraisal of the potential risks of TRT.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03518034.

Phase 2 Trial of Atezolizumab in Bacillus Calmette-Guérin-unresponsive High-risk Non-muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer: SWOG S1605

BACKGROUND

Although radical cystectomy (RC) is the standard of care for patients with bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG)-unresponsive high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), many patients are ineligible for surgery or elect bladder preservation.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of atezolizumab in BCG-unresponsive high-risk NMIBC.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This was a single-arm phase 2 trial in patients with BCG-unresponsive high-risk NMIBC who were ineligible for or declined RC.

INTERVENTION

Intravenous atezolizumab every 3 wk for 1 yr.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The primary endpoint was the pathological complete response (CR) rate for patients with carcinoma in situ (CIS) determined via mandatory biopsy at 6 mo. Event-free survival (EFS) at 18 mo for patients with non-CIS tumors and treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) were key secondary endpoints.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Of 172 patients enrolled in the trial, 166 received at least one dose of atezolizumab (safety analysis) and 129 were eligible (efficacy analysis). Of the 74 patients with CIS, 20 (27%) experienced a CR at 6 mo. The median duration of response was 17 mo, and 56% (95% confidence interval [CI] 34-77%) of the responses were durable to at least 12 mo. The 18-mo actuarial EFS rate among 55 patients with Ta/T1 disease was 49% (90% CI 38-60%). Twelve of 129 eligible patients experienced progression to muscle-invasive or metastatic disease. Grade 3-5 TRAEs occurred in 26 patients (16%), including three treatment-related deaths. The study was limited by the small sample size and a high rate of patient ineligibility.

CONCLUSIONS

The efficacy of atezolizumab observed among patients with BCG-unresponsive NMIBC is similar to results from similar trials with other agents, but did not meet the prespecified efficacy threshold. Modest efficacy needs to be balanced with a significant rate of TRAEs and the risk of disease progression when considering systemic immunotherapy in early-stage bladder cancer.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We tested intravenous immunotherapy (atezolizumab) in patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer that recurred after BCG (bacillus Calmette-Guérin) treatment. Although we found similar outcomes to previous trials, the benefit of this therapy is modest and needs to be carefully balanced with the significant risk of side effects. This trial is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov as NCT02844816.

Effects of vortioxetine on hippocampal-related cognitive impairment induced in rats by androgen deprivation as a model of prostate cancer treatment

Advances in prostate cancer treatment have significantly improved survival, but quality of life for survivors remains an under-studied area of research. Androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is a foundational treatment for advanced prostate cancer and is used as an adjuvant for prolonged periods in many high-risk, localized tumors. More than half of patients treated with ADT experience debilitating cognitive impairments in domains such as spatial learning and working memory. In this study, we investigated the effects of androgen deprivation on hippocampal-mediated cognition in rats. Vortioxetine, a multimodal antidepressant, has been shown to improve cognition in depressed patients. Thus, we also tested the potential efficacy of vortioxetine in restoring impaired cognition after ADT. We further investigated mechanisms that might contribute to these effects, measuring changes in the circuitry and gene expression within the dorsal hippocampus. ADT via surgical castration induced impairments in visuospatial cognition on the novel object location test and attenuated afferent-evoked local field potentials recorded in the CA1 region of the dorsal hippocampus. Chronic dietary administration of vortioxetine effectively reversed these deficits. Castration significantly altered gene expression in the hippocampus, whereas vortioxetine had little effect. Pathway analysis revealed that androgen depletion altered pathways related to synaptic plasticity. These results suggest that the hippocampus may be vulnerable to ADT, contributing to cognitive impairment in prostate cancer patients. Further, vortioxetine may be a candidate to improve cognition in patients who experience cognitive decline after androgen deprivation therapy for prostate cancer and may do so by restoring molecular and circuit-level plasticity-related mechanisms compromised by ADT.

Cell-free DNA Methylation as a Predictive Biomarker of Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Patients with Muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer in SWOG S1314

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is the standard of care in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). However, treatment is intense, and the overall benefit is small, necessitating effective biomarkers to identify patients who will benefit most.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize cell-free DNA (cfDNA) methylation in patients receiving NAC in SWOG S1314, a prospective cooperative group trial, and to correlate the methylation signatures with pathologic response at radical cystectomy.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

SWOG S1314 is a prospective cooperative group trial for patients with MIBC (cT2-T4aN0M0, ≥5 mm of viable tumor), with a primary objective of evaluating the coexpression extrapolation (COXEN) gene expression signature as a predictor of NAC response, defined as achieving pT0N0 or ≤pT1N0 at radical cystectomy. For the current exploratory analysis, blood samples were collected prospectively from 72 patients in S1314 before and during NAC, and plasma cfDNA methylation was measured using the Infinium MethylationEPIC BeadChip array.

INTERVENTION

No additional interventions besides plasma collection.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Differential methylation between pathologic responders (≤pT1N0) and nonresponders was analyzed, and a classifier predictive of treatment response was generated using the Random Forest machine learning algorithm.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Using prechemotherapy plasma cfDNA, we developed a methylation-based response score (mR-score) predictive of pathologic response. Plasma samples collected after the first cycle of NAC yielded mR-scores with similar predictive ability. Furthermore, we used cfDNA methylation data to calculate the circulating bladder DNA fraction, which had a modest but independent predictive ability for treatment response. In a model combining mR-score and circulating bladder DNA fraction, we correctly predicted pathologic response in 79% of patients based on their plasma collected at baseline and after one cycle of chemotherapy. Limitations of this study included a limited sample size and relatively low circulating bladder DNA levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides the proof of concept that cfDNA methylation can be used to generate classifiers of NAC response in bladder cancer patients.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this exploratory analysis of S1314, we demonstrated that cell-free DNA methylation can be profiled to generate biomarker signatures associated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy response. With validation in additional cohorts, this minimally invasive approach may be used to predict chemotherapy response in locally advanced bladder cancer and perhaps also in metastatic disease.

Artificial Intelligence-Based PTEN Loss Assessment as an Early Predictor of Prostate Cancer Metastasis After Surgery: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

Phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN) loss is associated with adverse outcomes in prostate cancer and can be measured via immunohistochemistry. The purpose of the study was to establish the clinical application of an in-house developed artificial intelligence (AI) image analysis workflow for automated detection of PTEN loss on digital images for identifying patients at risk of early recurrence and metastasis. Postsurgical tissue microarray sections from the Canary Foundation (n = 1264) stained with anti-PTEN antibody were evaluated independently by pathologist conventional visual scoring (cPTEN) and an automated AI-based image analysis pipeline (AI-PTEN). The relationship of PTEN evaluation methods with cancer recurrence and metastasis was analyzed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard and decision curve models. Both cPTEN scoring by the pathologist and quantification of PTEN loss by AI (high-risk AI-qPTEN) were significantly associated with shorter metastasis-free survival (MFS) in univariable analysis (cPTEN hazard ratio [HR], 1.54; CI, 1.07-2.21; P = .019; AI-qPTEN HR, 2.55; CI, 1.83-3.56; P < .001). In multivariable analyses, AI-qPTEN showed a statistically significant association with shorter MFS (HR, 2.17; CI, 1.49-3.17; P < .001) and recurrence-free survival (HR, 1.36; CI, 1.06-1.75; P = .016) when adjusting for relevant postsurgical clinical nomogram (Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment [CAPRA] postsurgical score [CAPRA-S]), whereas cPTEN does not show a statistically significant association (HR, 1.33; CI, 0.89-2; P = .2 and HR, 1.26; CI, 0.99-1.62; P = .063, respectively) when adjusting for CAPRA-S risk stratification. More importantly, AI-qPTEN was associated with shorter MFS in patients with favorable pathological stage and negative surgical margins (HR, 2.72; CI, 1.46-5.06; P = .002). Workflow also demonstrated enhanced clinical utility in decision curve analysis, more accurately identifying men who might benefit from adjuvant therapy postsurgery. This study demonstrates the clinical value of an affordable and fully automated AI-powered PTEN assessment for evaluating the risk of developing metastasis or disease recurrence after radical prostatectomy. Adding the AI-qPTEN assessment workflow to clinical variables may affect postoperative surveillance or management options, particularly in low-risk patients.

Adjuvant everolimus after surgery for renal cell carcinoma (EVEREST): a double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomised, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Patients undergoing resection of renal cell carcinoma are at risk of disease relapse. We evaluated the effectiveness of the mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitor everolimus administered after surgery.

METHODS

In this randomised, double-blind, phase 3 trial, we enrolled adults with histologically confirmed renal cell carcinoma who had undergone a full surgical resection and were at intermediate-high or very high risk of recurrence at 398 academic and community institution centres in the USA. After nephrectomy, patients were randomly assigned (1:1) via a central web-based application using a dynamic balancing algorithm to receive 10 mg oral everolimus daily or placebo for 54 weeks. The primary endpoint was recurrence-free survival. Efficacy analyses included all eligible, randomly assigned patients; safety analysis included all patients who received treatment. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01120249 and is closed to new participants.

FINDINGS

Between April 1, 2011, and Sept 15, 2016, a total of 1545 patients were randomly assigned to receive everolimus (n=775) or placebo (n=770), of whom 755 assigned to everolimus and 744 assigned to placebo were eligible for inclusion in the efficacy analysis. With a median follow-up of 76 months (IQR 61-92), recurrence-free survival was longer with everolimus than with placebo (5-year recurrence-free survival 67% [95% CI 63-70] vs 63% [60-67]; stratified log-rank p=0·050; stratified hazard ratio [HR] 0·85, 95% CI 0·72-1·00; p=0·051) but did not meet the prespecified p value for statistical significance of 0·044. Recurrence-free survival was longer with everolimus than with placebo in the very-high-risk group (HR 0·79, 95% CI 0·65-0·97; p=0·022) but not in the intermediate-high-risk group (0·99, 0·73-1·35; p=0·96). Grade 3 or higher adverse events occurred in 343 (46%) of 740 patients who received everolimus and 79 (11%) of 723 who received placebo.

INTERPRETATION

Postoperative everolimus did not improve recurrence-free survival compared with placebo among patients with renal cell carcinoma at high risk of recurrence after nephrectomy. These results do not support the adjuvant use of everolimus for renal cell carcinoma after surgery.

FUNDING

US National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, National Clinical Trials Network, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, and The Hope Foundation.

Genetic Susceptibility to Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk for Pancreatic Cancer: Mendelian Randomization

BACKGROUND

There are conflicting data on whether nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with susceptibility to pancreatic cancer. Using Mendelian randomization (MR), we investigated the relationship between genetic predisposition to NAFLD and risk for pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) within the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium (PanScan; cases n = 5,090, controls n = 8,733) and the Pancreatic Cancer Case Control Consortium (PanC4; cases n = 4,163, controls n = 3,792) were analyzed. We used data on 68 genetic variants with four different MR methods [inverse variance weighting (IVW), MR-Egger, simple median, and penalized weighted median] separately to predict genetic heritability of NAFLD. We then assessed the relationship between each of the four MR methods and pancreatic cancer risk, using logistic regression to calculate ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI), adjusting for PC risk factors, including obesity and diabetes.

RESULTS

No association was found between genetically predicted NAFLD and pancreatic cancer risk in the PanScan or PanC4 samples [e.g., PanScan, IVW OR, 1.04; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.88-1.22; MR-Egger OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.65-1.21; PanC4, IVW OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.90-1.27; MR-Egger OR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.67-1.28]. None of the four MR methods indicated an association between genetically predicted NAFLD and pancreatic cancer risk in either sample.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic predisposition to NAFLD is not associated with pancreatic cancer risk.

IMPACT

Given the close relationship between NAFLD and metabolic conditions, it is plausible that any association between NAFLD and pancreatic cancer might reflect host metabolic perturbations (e.g., obesity, diabetes, or metabolic syndrome) and does not necessarily reflect a causal relationship between NAFLD and pancreatic cancer.

Long-term Outcomes from a Phase 2 Study of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer (SWOG S1314; NCT02177695)

BACKGROUND

The COXEN gene expression model was evaluated for prediction of response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC).

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a secondary analysis of the association of each COXEN score with event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) and by treatment arm.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This was a randomized phase 2 trial of neoadjuvant gemcitabine-cisplatin (GC) or dose-dense methotrexate-vinblastine-adriamycin-cisplatin (ddMVAC) in MIBC.

INTERVENTION

Patients were randomized to ddMVAC (every 14 d) or GC (every 21 d), both for four cycles.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

EFS events were defined as progression or death before scheduled surgery, a decision to not undergo surgery, recurrence, or death due to any cause after surgery. Cox regression was used to evaluate the COXEN score or treatment arm association with EFS and OS.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

A total of 167 evaluable patients were included in the COXEN analysis. The COXEN scores were not significantly prognostic for OS or EFS in the respective arms, but the GC COXEN score had a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.45 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.20-0.99; p = 0.047) when the arms were pooled. In the intent-to-treat analysis (n = 227), there was no significant difference between ddMVAC and GC for OS (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.54-1.40; p = 0.57) or EFS (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.59-1.26; p = 0.45). Among the 192 patients who underwent surgery, pathologic response (pT0 vs downstaging vs no response) was strongly correlated with superior postsurgical survival (5-yr OS 90%, 89% and 52%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The COXEN GC score has prognostic value for patients receiving cisplatin-based neoadjuvant treatment. The randomized, prospective design provides estimates of OS and EFS for GC and ddMVAC in this population. Pathologic response (

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this study, we evaluated a biomarker to predict the response to chemotherapy. The results did not meet the preset study parameters, but our study provides information on clinical outcomes with the use of chemotherapy before surgery for bladder cancer.

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Key Words

• Biomarkers
• Cystectomy
• Neoadjuvant chemotherapy
• Urinary bladder cancer

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MESH Headings

• Humans
• Cisplatin
• Cystectomy/methods
• Deoxycytidine/therapeutic use
• Muscles/pathology
• Neoadjuvant Therapy/methods
• Neoplasm Invasiveness
• Retrospective Studies
• Treatment Outcome
• Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/drug therapy
• Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/surgery
• Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/pathology

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Grants

• U10 CA180821 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233324 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA180830 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233160 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233373 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233196 NCI NIH HHS
• U10 CA180820 NCI NIH HHS
• U10 CA180888 NCI NIH HHS
• U10 CA180819 NCI NIH HHS
• UG1 CA233328 NCI NIH HHS

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Affiliation(s)

Thomas W Flaig School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA.
Catherine M Tangen Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA
Siamak Daneshmand Department of Urology, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Ajjai Shivaram Alva University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
M Scott Lucia School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA
David James McConkey Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
Dan Theodorescu Cedars-Sinai Cancer, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Amir Goldkorn Division of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, Keck School of Medicine and Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Matthew I Milowsky University of North Carolina Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
Rick Bangs Southwestern Oncology Group, San Antonio, TX, USA
Gary R MacVicar Illinois CancerCare PC, Peoria, IL, USA
Bruno R Bastos Cleveland Clinic Florida, Weston, FL, USA
Jared S Fowles Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
Daniel L Gustafson Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
Melissa Plets Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA
Ian M Thompson CHRISTUS Medical Center Hospital, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, USA
Seth P Lerner Scott Department of Urology, Dan L Duncan Cancer Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA

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Race and Treatment Outcomes in Patients With Metastatic Castration-Sensitive Prostate Cancer: A Secondary Analysis of the SWOG 1216 Phase 3 Trial

Importance

Black patients present with more aggressive disease and experience higher mortality than White patients with prostate cancer. Race and social determinants of health influence prostate cancer-specific mortality and overall survival (OS); however, in a previous trial, Black patients did not have inferior outcomes compared with White patients, possibly because of equitable access to care available in a clinical trial setting.

Objective

To compare differences in survival outcomes of patients with metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) by race in a phase 3 trial with a large proportion of Black patients.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This secondary analysis of patient-level data of a prospective phase 3 randomized clinical trial included patients with newly diagnosed mCSPC enrolled between March 1, 2013, and July 15, 2017. Analysis was conducted between December 2022 and February 2023.

Interventions

Patients receiving androgen deprivation therapy were randomized (1:1) to receive either orteronel 300 mg orally twice daily (experimental group) or bicalutamide 50 mg orally daily (control group).

Main Outcomes and Measures

OS, with progression-free survival (PFS) as a secondary end point.

Results

Among 1313 participants, 135 (10%) identified as Black and 1077 (82%) as White, with an equal racial distribution between groups. Black patients were younger (median [IQR] age, 65.8 [60-70] vs 68.4 [62.5-74.1] years; P = .001) and had a higher median (IQR) baseline prostate-specific antigen response rate than White patients (54.7 [19.8-222.0] vs 26.7 [9.2-96.0] ng/mL; P < .001). At a median follow-up of 4.9 years, Black and White patients had similar median PFS (2.3 years; 95% CI, 1.8-1.4 years vs 2.9 years; 95% CI, 2.5-3.3 years; P = .71) and OS (5.5 years; 95% CI, 4.8-NR vs 6.3 years; 95% CI, 5.7-NR; P = .65). The multivariable analysis confirmed similar PFS and OS after adjusting for known prognostic factors. No interaction between race and treatment was observed.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial studying androgen deprivation therapy with first- or second-generation androgen receptor pathway inhibitors, both Black and White patients demonstrated similar OS and PFS. Equitable access to care may reduce historical differences in outcomes between Black and White patients with advanced prostate cancer.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01809691.

Crisis of the Clinical Trials Staff Attrition After the COVID-19 Pandemic

A survey of clinical research professionals @SWOG indicate that 80% of clinical trial offices are understaffed. Addressing this is critical so progress for people with cancer continues. Read more about lessons learned in the #COVID19 pandemic and how it informs a path forward.

Cardiovascular Safety of Testosterone-Replacement Therapy

BACKGROUND

The cardiovascular safety of testosterone-replacement therapy in middle-aged and older men with hypogonadism has not been determined.

METHODS

In a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, noninferiority trial, we enrolled 5246 men 45 to 80 years of age who had preexisting or a high risk of cardiovascular disease and who reported symptoms of hypogonadism and had two fasting testosterone levels of less than 300 ng per deciliter. Patients were randomly assigned to receive daily transdermal 1.62% testosterone gel (dose adjusted to maintain testosterone levels between 350 and 750 ng per deciliter) or placebo gel. The primary cardiovascular safety end point was the first occurrence of any component of a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke, assessed in a time-to-event analysis. A secondary cardiovascular end point was the first occurrence of any component of the composite of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or coronary revascularization, assessed in a time-to-event analysis. Noninferiority required an upper limit of less than 1.5 for the 95% confidence interval of the hazard ratio among patients receiving at least one dose of testosterone or placebo.

RESULTS

The mean (±SD) duration of treatment was 21.7±14.1 months, and the mean follow-up was 33.0±12.1 months. A primary cardiovascular end-point event occurred in 182 patients (7.0%) in the testosterone group and in 190 patients (7.3%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.78 to 1.17; P<0.001 for noninferiority). Similar findings were observed in sensitivity analyses in which data on events were censored at various times after discontinuation of testosterone or placebo. The incidence of secondary end-point events or of each of the events of the composite primary cardiovascular end point appeared to be similar in the two groups. A higher incidence of atrial fibrillation, of acute kidney injury, and of pulmonary embolism was observed in the testosterone group.

CONCLUSIONS

In men with hypogonadism and preexisting or a high risk of cardiovascular disease, testosterone-replacement therapy was noninferior to placebo with respect to the incidence of major adverse cardiac events. (Funded by AbbVie and others; TRAVERSE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03518034.).

Early Detection of Prostate Cancer: AUA/SUO Guideline Part II: Considerations for a Prostate Biopsy

PURPOSE

The summary presented herein covers recommendations on the early detection of prostate cancer and provides a framework to facilitate clinical decision-making in the implementation of prostate cancer screening, biopsy, and follow-up. This is Part II of a two-part series focusing on initial and repeat biopsies, and biopsy technique. Please refer to Part I for discussion of initial prostate cancer screening recommendations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The systematic review utilized to inform this guideline was conducted by an independent methodological consultant. The systematic review was based on searches in Ovid MEDLINE and Embase and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (January 1, 2000-November 21, 2022). Searches were supplemented by reviewing reference lists of relevant articles.

RESULTS

The Early Detection of Prostate Cancer Panel developed evidence- and consensus-based guideline statements to provide guidance in prostate cancer screening, initial and repeat biopsies, and biopsy technique.

CONCLUSIONS

The evaluation of prostate cancer risk should be focused on the detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (Grade Group 2 or higher [GG2+]). The use of laboratory biomarkers, prostate MRI, and biopsy techniques described herein may improve detection and safety when a prostate biopsy is deemed necessary following prostate cancer screening.

Early Detection of Prostate Cancer: AUA/SUO Guideline Part I: Prostate Cancer Screening

PURPOSE

The summary presented herein covers recommendations on the early detection of prostate cancer and provides a framework to facilitate clinical decision-making in the implementation of prostate cancer screening, biopsy, and follow-up. This is Part I of a two-part series that focuses on prostate cancer screening. Please refer to Part II for discussion of initial and repeat biopsies as well as biopsy technique.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The systematic review utilized to inform this guideline was conducted by an independent methodological consultant. The systematic review was based on searches in Ovid MEDLINE and Embase and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (January 1, 2000-November 21, 2022). Searches were supplemented by reviewing reference lists of relevant articles.

RESULTS

The Early Detection of Prostate Cancer Panel developed evidence- and consensus-based guideline statements to provide guidance in prostate cancer screening, initial and repeat biopsy, and biopsy technique.

CONCLUSIONS

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-based prostate cancer screening in combination with shared decision-making (SDM) is recommended. Current data regarding risk from population-based cohorts provide a basis for longer screening intervals and tailored screening, and the use of available online risk calculators is encouraged.

Evidence of Novel Susceptibility Variants for Prostate Cancer and a Multiancestry Polygenic Risk Score Associated with Aggressive Disease in Men of African Ancestry

BACKGROUND

Genetic factors play an important role in prostate cancer (PCa) susceptibility.

OBJECTIVE

To discover common genetic variants contributing to the risk of PCa in men of African ancestry.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We conducted a meta-analysis of ten genome-wide association studies consisting of 19378 cases and 61620 controls of African ancestry.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Common genotyped and imputed variants were tested for their association with PCa risk. Novel susceptibility loci were identified and incorporated into a multiancestry polygenic risk score (PRS). The PRS was evaluated for associations with PCa risk and disease aggressiveness.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Nine novel susceptibility loci for PCa were identified, of which seven were only found or substantially more common in men of African ancestry, including an African-specific stop-gain variant in the prostate-specific gene anoctamin 7 (ANO7). A multiancestry PRS of 278 risk variants conferred strong associations with PCa risk in African ancestry studies (odds ratios [ORs] >3 and >5 for men in the top PRS decile and percentile, respectively). More importantly, compared with men in the 40-60% PRS category, men in the top PRS decile had a significantly higher risk of aggressive PCa (OR = 1.23, 95% confidence interval = 1.10-1.38, p = 4.4 × 10-4).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates the importance of large-scale genetic studies in men of African ancestry for a better understanding of PCa susceptibility in this high-risk population and suggests a potential clinical utility of PRS in differentiating between the risks of developing aggressive and nonaggressive disease in men of African ancestry.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this large genetic study in men of African ancestry, we discovered nine novel prostate cancer (PCa) risk variants. We also showed that a multiancestry polygenic risk score was effective in stratifying PCa risk, and was able to differentiate risk of aggressive and nonaggressive disease.

Utilizing metformin to prevent metabolic syndrome due to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT): a randomized phase II study of metformin in non-diabetic men initiating ADT for advanced prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) can lead to metabolic syndrome (MS) and is implicated in ADT-resistance. Metformin showed antineoplastic activity through mTOR inhibition secondary AMPK-activation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

To investigate whether metformin mitigated ADT-related MS, we conducted a randomized double-blind phase II trial of metformin 500 mg TID or placebo in non-diabetic patients with biochemically-relapsed or advanced PC due for ADT. Fasting serum glucose, insulin, PSA, metformin, weight and waist circumference (WC) were measured at baseline, week 12 and 28. The primary endpoint was a group of MS metrics. Secondary endpoints include PSA response, safety, serum metformin concentrations and analysis of downstream an mTOR target, phospho-S6-kinase.

RESULTS

36 men were randomized to either metformin or placebo. Mean age was 68.4. Mean weight, WC and insulin levels increased in both arms. At week 12 and 28, no statistical differences in weight, WC or insulin were observed in either arm. No significant difference in percentage of patients with PSA <0.2 at week 28 between metformin (45.5%) vs. placebo (46.7%). Analysis in the metformin-arm showed variable down-regulation of phospho-S6 kinase.

CONCLUSIONS

In our small study, metformin added to ADT did not show a reduced risk of ADT-related MS or differences in PSA response.

A phase III randomized trial of eribulin (E) with or without gemcitabine vs standard of care (SOC) for metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) refractory to or ineligible for PD/PDL1 antibody (Ab): SWOG S1937

TPS581

Background: UC is 2nd most common genitourinary cancer. Current SOC offers platinum-based (PB) first line chemotherapy (chemo) with ddMVAC or gemcitabine-cisplatin (GC) regimens. For cisplatin ineligible patients (pts), SOC includes gemcitabine-carboplatin (GCa), and in select pts pembrolizumab. Erdafitinib is approved for pts with FGFR alterations and Enfortumab vedotin (EV) is approved for previously treated pts. A phase I/II CTEP study of eribulin (E) for metastatic UC (mUC) established the activity of E in UC with objective response rate (ORR) of 37.5% and a median progression free survival (PFS) of 4.1 months (mo) and median overall survival (OS) of 9.5 mo (N=150). A phase II CTEP study of gemcitabine-eribulin (GE) in cisplatin ineligible mUC showed an ORR of 50%, median OS of 11.9 mo and median PFS of 5.3 mo (N=24). The most common Grade 3-4 toxicities included: neutropenia 63%, anemia and fatigue 29%. Pts with liver metastases benefited from therapy with 5 responders in 7 pts for GE vs 12 out 49 E. Methods: This is a phase III, randomized 3 arm study comparing E vs. GE vs. SOC (docetaxel, paclitaxel, or gemcitabine). E is given at 1.4mg/m2 on day (D) 1 and 8 of a 21 D cycle. In the GE arm, gemcitabine is added to E at 1000 mg/m2 dose to D1 and D8. SOC follows standard dosing of the agents. There is no limit to the number/sequence of prior regimens. A simplified summary of eligibility criteria is presented here. All pts must have: received frontline systemic treatment such as PB chemo or a non-platinum regimen; received PD1/PDL1 Ab or be deemed ineligible for PD1/PDL1 Ab; received EV. Assuming a median OS for the SOC arm of 7 mo the study seeks to find at least a 50% increase in median OS to 10.5 mo (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 0.667). One-sided 0.0125 type I error to account for testing of two primary hypotheses (Each arm vs. SOC). 87% power to detect a 3.5 mo improvement in OS. We require 140 eligible (155 total) pts in each arm for a total of 465. The study was activated in Feb 2021 and accrual is ongoing. Funding: National Institutes of Health/National Cancer Institute grants U10CA180888, U10CA180819. Clinical trial information: NCT04579224 .

Impact of Finasteride on survival in bladder cancer: A retrospective multi-institutional database analysis

INTRODUCTION

Androgen suppression therapy has been associated with a lower incidence of bladder cancer (BCa) or improved overall/cancer-specific survival. Results are ofent conflicting; therefore, we aim to assess the impact of use of finasteride on overall survival (OS) for BCa using multi-institutional database.

METHODS

The South Texas Veterans Healthcare System from 5 medical centers was queried for patients with BCa with or without use of finasteride after diagnosis of BCa. The primary outcome was the impact of finasteride use after diagnosis on the OS in BCa and in the high-risk Non-muscle invasive BCa (NMIBC) cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 1890 patients were included, amongst which 619 (32.8%) men were classified as finasteride users and 1271 (67.2%) men as controls. At a median (IQR) follow up of 53.8 (27.4, 90.9) months, death due to any cause was noted in 272 (43.9%) finasteride-treated, and 672 (49.3%) control groups (P = .028). The patients in the finasteride group had significantly better OS in overall cohort (112.1 months vs. 84.8 months, P < .001) as well as in the NMIBC cohort (129.3months vs. 103.2 months, P = .0046). The use of finasteride was independently associated with improved OS in both, overall cohort (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.63-0.86; P < .001) and in the NMIBC cohort (HR = 0.71, 95% CI 0.55-0.93; P = .011).

CONCLUSION

Finasteride use is associated with the improved overall survival in patients with BCa, specifically in patients with NMIBC. We, further, propose a randomized clinical trial to investigate the use of finasteride in BCa patients.

Orteronel for Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer: A Multicenter, Randomized, Open-Label Phase III Trial (SWOG-1216)

PURPOSE

Orteronel (TAK-700) is a nonsteroidal 17,20-lyase inhibitor suppressing androgen synthesis. We evaluated the clinical benefit of orteronel when added to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in patients with newly diagnosed metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer.

METHODS

In this open-label randomized phase III study, patients with metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer were randomly assigned 1:1 to ADT with orteronel (300 mg oral twice daily; experimental arm) or ADT with bicalutamide (50 mg oral once daily; control arm). The primary objective was the comparison of overall survival (OS), targeting a 33% improvement in median survival. A stratified log-rank test with a one-sided P ≤ .022 would indicate statistical significance. Secondary end points were progression-free survival (PFS), prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level at 7 months (≤ 0.2 v 0.2 to ≤ 4 v > 4 ng/mL), and adverse event profile.

RESULTS

Among 1,279 patients included in the analysis, 638 were randomly assigned to the ADT plus orteronel arm and 641 to the control arm. The median age was 68 years; 49% had extensive disease. After a median follow-up of 4.9 years, there was a significant improvement in PFS (median 47.6 v 23.0 months, hazard ratio 0.58; 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.67; P < .0001) and PSA response at 7 months (P < .0001), but not in OS (median 81.1 v 70.2 months, hazard ratio 0.86; 95% CI, 0.72 to 1.02; P = .040, one-sided). More grade 3/4 adverse events occurred in the experimental versus the control arms (43% v 14%). Postprotocol life-prolonging therapy was received by 77.4% of patients in the control arm and 61.3% of patients in the orteronel arm.

CONCLUSION

The study did not meet the primary end point of improved OS with orteronel. The lack of correlation of PFS and PSA response with OS raises concerns over assumption of their consistent surrogacy for OS in the context of extensive postprotocol therapy in this setting.

Differential Biopsy Patterns Influence Associations Between Multivitamin Use and Prostate Cancer Risk in the Selenium and Vitamin E Cancer Prevention Trial

BACKGROUND

Multivitamin use is a common health behavior but there is conflicting evidence from prospective studies about whether this behavior increases or decreases prostate cancer (PCa) risk.

METHODS

Associations of multivitamin (MVI) use and PCa risk were evaluated using data from the Selenium and Vitamin E Cancer Prevention Trial (SELECT). Cox proportional hazards models estimated associations of MVI use with risk of total, low- and high-grade PCa. Longitudinal data were used to evaluate screening and biopsy patterns. To account for differential biopsy patterns, the probability of PCa was estimated for men with a positive screening value but no biopsy. Incidence Density Ratios were used to approximate hazards ratios, and associations of MVI use with predicted PCa risk were compared to observed.

RESULTS

Analyses of data from observed biopsies suggest a respective 19% (95% CI 10-28%) and 21% (12-31%) higher risk of high-grade PCa for current and long-term MVI use, compared to no use. Current and long-term MVI use was associated with a shorter time to first on-study biopsy, indicating the potential for detection bias. After accounting for differential acceptance of biopsy, associations of MVI use with PCa were attenuated and not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

In SELECT, biopsy acceptance patterns differed by MVI use. Estimates of associations of MVI use with PCa risk based on observed biopsy data may be biased by differential acceptance of biopsy.

IMPACT

Differential biopsy ascertainment may impact associations of risk factors and PCa. Detailed screening and biopsy data can be used to analytically minimize such bias.

Analysis of separate training and validation radical prostatectomy cohorts identifies 0.25 mm diameter as an optimal definition for "large" cribriform prostatic adenocarcinoma

Cribriform growth pattern is well-established as an adverse pathologic feature in prostate cancer. The literature suggests "large" cribriform glands associate with aggressive behavior; however, published studies use varying definitions for "large". We aimed to identify an outcome-based quantitative cut-off for "large" vs "small" cribriform glands. We conducted an initial training phase using the tissue microarray based Canary retrospective radical prostatectomy cohort. Of 1287 patients analyzed, cribriform growth was observed in 307 (24%). Using Kaplan-Meier estimates of recurrence-free survival curves (RFS) that were stratified by cribriform gland size, we identified 0.25 mm as the optimal cutoff to identify more aggressive disease. In univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses, size >0.25 mm was a significant predictor of worse RFS compared to patients with cribriform glands ≤0.25 mm, independent of pre-operative PSA, grade, stage and margin status (p < 0.001). In addition, two different subset analyses of low-intermediate risk cases (cases with Gleason score ≤ 3 + 4 = 7; and cases with Gleason score = 3 + 4 = 7/4 + 3 = 7) likewise demonstrated patients with largest cribriform diameter >0.25 mm had a significantly lower RFS relative to patients with cribriform glands ≤0.25 mm (each subset p = 0.004). Furthermore, there was no significant difference in outcomes between patients with cribriform glands ≤ 0.25 mm and patients without cribriform glands. The >0.25 mm cut-off was validated as statistically significant in a separate 419 patient, completely embedded whole-section radical prostatectomy cohort by biochemical recurrence, metastasis-free survival, and disease specific death, even when cases with admixed Gleason pattern 5 carcinoma were excluded. In summary, our findings support reporting cribriform gland size and identify 0.25 mm as an optimal outcome-based quantitative measure for defining "large" cribriform glands. Moreover, cribriform glands >0.25 mm are associated with potential for metastatic disease independent of Gleason pattern 5 adenocarcinoma.

EVEREST: Everolimus for renal cancer ensuing surgical therapy—A phase III study (SWOG S0931, NCT01120249)

LBA4500

Background: Patients (pts) who undergo resection of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) with curative intent remain at risk for disease relapse. We conducted a phase III, double-blind, placebo (PB)-controlled, intergroup study to determine the effect of adjuvant treatment with the mTOR inhibitor everolimus (EVE) on recurrence-free survival (RFS). Methods: Pts with treatment-naïve, non-metastatic, fully-resected RCC at intermediate high- (pT1 G3-4 N0 to pT3a G1-2 N0) or very high-risk (pT3a G3-4 to pT4 G-any or N+) for recurrence were randomized 1:1 to EVE 10 mg PO daily x 54 weeks or PB within 12 weeks of radical or partial nephrectomy. Randomization was stratified by risk group, histology (clear vs. non-clear cell), and performance status (0 vs. 1). RFS was the primary end point; secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS) and adverse events (AEs). The study was designed to detect an 18% reduction in the risk of RFS with EVE compared to PB, corresponding to an improvement of median RFS from 6.75 (based on E2805 ASSURE) to 8.23 years. Final analysis, using a stratified logrank test, was to occur after 804 total events or by 3/2022, whichever occurred first. Results: Between 4/2011 and 9/2016, 1545 pts were randomized to EVE (n = 775) or PB (n = 770). Overall pt characteristics included: intermediate high-/very high-risk 45%/55%; clear cell/non-clear cell 83%/17%. The DSMC recommended study continuation after each of 4 pre-specified interim analyses. 556 DFS events among 1499 eligible pts occurred by the time of final study analysis on 2/23/2022. The median follow-up was 76 months. RFS was improved with EVE vs. PB (HR 0.85, 95% CI, 0.72 – 1.00; P1-sided= 0.0246), narrowly missing the pre-specified, one-sided significance level of 0.022 which accounted for interim analyses. Median RFS was not reached; the 6-year RFS estimate was 64% for EVE and 61% for PB. RFS improvement with EVE vs. PB was observed in the very high-risk group (HR 0.79, 95% 0.65-0.97; P1-sided= 0.011) but not in the intermediate high-risk group (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.73-1.35, P1-sided= 0.48) ( P for interaction = 0.22). With 290 deaths, OS was similar between arms (HR 0.90, 95% CI, 0.71 – 1.13; P1-sided= 0.178). Fewer pts completed all 54 weeks of study treatment in the EVE group (45% v 69%). In the EVE group, 37% withdrew due to AEs (vs 5% in PB). Grade 3-4 AEs occurred in 46% of pts treated with EVE and 11% with PB. The most common grade 3-4 AEs were mucositis (14% v 0%), hypertriglyceridemia (11% vs. 2%), and hyperglycemia (5% vs. 0%). Conclusions: Adjuvant EVE improved RFS in RCC pts after nephrectomy, but the nominal significance level was narrowly missed. The RFS improvement was seen despite a high rate of early treatment discontinuation. A 21% improvement in RFS with EVE was observed in pts with very high-risk disease, a group for whom adjuvant therapy may be most relevant. Clinical trial information: NCT01120249.

National impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on clinical trial staff attrition: Results of the SWOG Cancer Research Network Survey of Oncology Research Professionals

11049

Background: Severe shortages in clinical trial staffing across the United States and internationally has been anecdotally noted, but data are lacking. To better assess the scope and impact of staffing shortages, SWOG conducted a Cooperative Group-wide survey of Oncology Research Professionals (ORP). Methods: The survey was developed by SWOG leadership and was granted an IRB exemption by Lifespan IRB (Providence, RI). The survey was disseminated by email in January 2022 to Head Clinical Research Associates (CRAs, n = 100) using an inclusive distribution list that goes to the site-identified administrative leader of each SWOG Member and National Community Oncology Research Program institution. The data were collected and managed using REDCap electronic data capture tools hosted at Lifespan. Descriptive statistics were performed and qualitative analysis conducted to identify major themes. Results: The response rate was 87% and 41 of 87 respondents completed the full survey (47%). The majority of respondents were female (89.6%), not Hispanic (87.8%) and White (85.1%). The proportion that identified as Hispanic or Asian was 12.8 and 6.9%, respectively. One participant identified as Black and another as American Indian/Alaskan native. The most common work setting was within an academic medical center (47.9%) and 57.8% held a management or leadership role at their institutions. The majority (79%) used an Institutional IRB for trials not overseen as part of the National Clinical Trials Network. Over 80% of respondents reported their institution is experiencing a personnel shortage due to COVID-19. Proportion who reported this negatively impacted IRB processes was 50%, financial review was 42%, and legal review was 26.9%. On a scale of 0 (none) to 6 (significant), the impact was most significant on audit activities and accrual to trials (both rated 5), transfer of data to sponsors and sponsor visits (both rated 4.5); all other aspects rated a 4, including screening procedures, regulatory activities, and data collection. Ranked reasons for attrition were desire for better pay, seeking better opportunities, and seeking more flexible working conditions. General burn out was ranked as the fourth most common cause. Important themes included increasing trial complexity, morale, lack of support (due to staff shortages), lack of opportunities for promotion, unfilled positions, and the lack of experience of new hires. Conclusions: Over 80% of research programs affiliated with SWOG report staffing shortages due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the impact of these shortages touch every aspect of clinical research. Initiatives to recruit, train, and retain staff are urgently needed. As in other areas of medicine (e.g. hospital nursing), the potential for post-pandemic persistence of this issue requires an immediate national response.

Bone biomarkers and overall survival (OS) in men with advanced hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC): Results from SWOG S1216, a phase III trial of ADT +/- orteronel

5071

Background: Circulating bone biomarkers (BB) are strongly prognostic for OS in castration-resistant PC (CRPC). We prospectively evaluated BB in men with HSPC in S1216, a trial that established new OS benchmarks. We sought to identify patient (pt) subsets with differential OS outcomes as defined by BB. Methods: Markers of bone resorption [CTx;PYD] & formation [CICP;BAP] were assessed. Pts were randomly divided into training (1/3) & validation (2/3) sets. In the training set, recursive partitioning of OS was used to identify the ideal dichotomous cutpoint for each BB & for a combination of biomarker split points to define prognostic groups. In the validation set, Cox PH models were used to assess impact of BB on OS, adjusted for pt & tumor characteristics. Adjusted odds ratios for 3-year OS based on BB & baseline clinical factors were developed using logistic regression to estimate receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results: Of 1,279 men, 949 had baseline BB. Median age–68y; median PSA-28 ng/dL; Gleason>7: 60%; Zubrod PS 0/1-97%. Values of BB at the median & at cutpoints maximized for OS were identified. For 3 of the BB, the cutpoint was at the ̃85th %ile; for PYD it was at the median. Recursive partitioning algorithms applied to the training set identified 4 groups with differential OS based on a dichotomous split of CTx in combination with additional CICP splits within each group. Hazard ratios (HR) for OS based on elevated BBs are shown. ROC analysis showed that only BAP & PYD had significantly higher AUC(0.73;0.74) compared to AUC of baseline clinical factors(0.71) w/ p=0.02 and 0.03 respectively. There was no evidence of BB x treatment interaction (all p>=0.2). Conclusions: In men initiating ADT for HSPC, elevated BB are strongly prognostic for worse OS. BB levels alone & in combination with pt/tumor characteristics identify unique subsets of men with high probability of being alive at 3 years from ADT initiation. These results validate the clinical value of BB in the HSPC state, extending BB utility beyond CRPC. Clinical trial information: NCT01809691. [Table: see text]

Cell-free DNA methylation as a predictive biomarker of response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer in SWOG S1314

4506

Background: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is the standard of care in muscle-invasive bladder cancer patients. However, treatment is intense, the overall benefit is small, and there is no established marker to identify patients who benefit most. The aim of the study is to characterize cell-free DNA (cfDNA) methylation from patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy in SWOG S1314, a prospective cooperative group trial, and to correlate the methylation signatures with pathologic response. Methods: Blood samples were collected prospectively from 73 patients before and during standard neoadjuvant chemotherapy. At radical cystectomy, pathologic response was documented. Plasma cfDNA was profiled using Infinium MethylationEPIC BeadChip array. Differential methylation between pathologic responders (≤pT1N0M0) and non-responders was analyzed, and a Random Forest model was used to generate a classifier predictive of treatment response. Results: Using pre-chemotherapy plasma cfDNA, we developed a methylation-based response score (mR-score) predictive of pathologic response. The mR-score also could be calculated using plasma samples collected after the first cycle of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, resulting in a similar predictive ability. Furthermore, we used cfDNA methylation data to calculate the circulating bladder DNA fraction, which had a modest but independent predictive ability for treatment response. When we combined the mR-score and circulating bladder DNA fraction, we successfully predicted pathologic response outcomes in 79% of patients based on their plasma collected before chemotherapy and after 1 cycle of chemotherapy. Conclusions: Our study provides proof of concept that cfDNA methylation may be used to predict treatment response in bladder cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Clinical trial information: NCT02177695.

Association of DNA damage response (DDR) gene mutations (mts) and response to neoadjuvant cisplatin-based chemotherapy (chemo) in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) patients (pts) enrolled onto SWOG S1314

4522

Background: Neoadjuvant cisplatin-based chemo followed by radical cystectomy (RC) is a standard of care treatment for pts with MIBC. DDR gene mts, including within ERCC2, a DNA helicase implicated in cisplatin sensitivity in MIBC, have been associated with higher pathologic (path) downstaging ( < pT2) and complete response (pT0) at RC and improved overall survival (OS) in retrospective series. S1314 randomized pts to one of 2 chemo regimens (dose dense MVAC or Gem/Cis) followed by RC. We sought to correlate ERCC2 and other DDR gene mts with response and survival in MIBC pts enrolled onto this prospective trial. Methods: Tumor and matched germline DNA from evaluable pts enrolled onto S1314 underwent exon capture sequencing of 505 cancer-associated genes (MSK-IMPACT). Both deleterious (del) mts and any mts in 9 DDR genes (ERCC2, ERCC5, BRCA1, BRCA2, RECQL4, ATM, ATR, RAD51C, FANCC) were correlated with clinical outcomes. The prespecified analyses included the association of mts with < pT2 and pT0 by logistic regression analysis and with progression-free survival (PFS) and OS by Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: 179 patients (median 61 years, 85% male, 87% white, and 87% clinical stage T2) who received >2 cycles of chemo and were evaluable for path response were included in the analysis. The pT0 rate was 28% and < pT2 was 41%. Del mts in ERCC2 were detected in 26 (14%) pts followed by ATM (n = 12, 7%), ATR (n = 3) and BRCA2 (n = 2). ERCC2 mts were associated with statistically significantly higher path responses with a 54% pT0 rate and 62% downstaging rate. Patients with any del mts had higher path response rates (51% pT0, 56% < pT2) and better PFS (Table) with a median follow-up of 53 months. There was a non-significant trend towards improved OS. Conclusions: In pts managed with neoadjuvant chemo and RC on S1314, both ERCC2 mts and del DDR gene mts correlated with pathologic response. Any del DDR gene mt was associated with improved PFS. These results are in line with retrospective analyses displaying a correlation between DDR gene mts and neoadjuvant chemosensitivity in MIBC and support ongoing genomically-informed organ sparing trials.[Table: see text]

Germline mutations in penetrant cancer predisposition genes are rare in men with prostate cancer selecting active surveillance

BACKGROUND

Pathogenic germline mutations in several rare penetrant cancer predisposition genes are associated with an increased risk of aggressive prostate cancer (PC). Our objectives were to determine the prevalence of pathogenic germline mutations in men with low-risk PC on active surveillance, and assess whether pathogenic germline mutations associate with grade reclassification or adverse pathology, recurrence, or metastases, in men treated after initial surveillance.

METHODS

Men prospectively enrolled in the Canary Prostate Active Surveillance Study (PASS) were retrospectively sampled for the study. Germline DNA was sequenced utilizing a hereditary cancer gene panel. Mutations were classified according to the American College of Clinical Genetics and Genomics' guidelines. The association of pathogenic germline mutations with grade reclassification and adverse characteristics was evaluated by weighted Cox proportional hazards modeling and conditional logistic regression, respectively.

RESULTS

Overall, 29 of 437 (6.6%) study participants harbored a pathogenic germline mutation of which 19 occurred in a gene involved in DNA repair (4.3%). Eight participants (1.8%) had pathogenic germline mutations in three genes associated with aggressive PC: ATM, BRCA1, and BRCA2. The presence of pathogenic germline mutations in DNA repair genes did not associate with adverse characteristics (univariate analysis HR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.36-2.06, p = 0.7). The carrier rates of pathogenic germline mutations in ATM, BRCA1, and BRCA2did not differ in men with or without grade reclassification (1.9% vs. 1.8%).

CONCLUSION

The frequency of pathogenic germline mutations in penetrant cancer predisposition genes is extremely low in men with PC undergoing active surveillance and pathogenic germline mutations had no apparent association with grade reclassification or adverse characteristics.

Development and validation of a quantitative reactive stroma biomarker (qRS) for prostate cancer prognosis

To develop and validate a new tissue-based biomarker that improves prediction of outcomes in localized prostate cancer by quantifying the host response to tumor. We use digital image analysis and machine learning to develop a biomarker of the prostate stroma called quantitative reactive stroma (qRS). qRS is a measure of percentage tumor area with a distinct, reactive stromal architecture. Kaplan Meier analysis was used to determine survival in a large retrospective cohort of radical prostatectomy samples. qRS was validated in two additional, distinct cohorts that include international cases and tissue from both radical prostatectomy and biopsy specimens. In the developmental cohort (Baylor College of Medicine, n = 482), patients whose tumor had qRS > 34% had increased risk of prostate cancer-specific death (HR 2.94; p = 0.039). This result was replicated in two validation cohorts, where patients with qRS > 34% had increased risk of prostate cancer-specific death (MEDVAMC; n = 332; HR 2.64; p = 0.02) and also biochemical recurrence (Canary; n = 988; HR 1.51; p = 0.001). By multivariate analysis, these associations were shown to hold independent predictive value when compared to currently used clinicopathologic factors including Gleason score and PSA. qRS is a new, validated biomarker that predicts prostate cancer death and biochemical recurrence across three distinct cohorts. It measures host-response rather than tumor-based characteristics, and provides information not represented by standard prognostic measurements.

Prediction of future risk of any and higher-grade prostate cancer based on the PLCO and SELECT trials

Background

A model was built that characterized effects of individual factors on five-year prostate cancer (PCa) risk in the Prostate, Lung, Colon, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCO) and the Selenium and Vitamin E Cancer Prevention Trial (SELECT). This model was validated in a third San Antonio Biomarkers of Risk (SABOR) screening cohort.

Methods

A prediction model for 1- to 5-year risk of developing PCa and Gleason > 7 PCa (HG PCa) was built on PLCO and SELECT using the Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for patient baseline characteristics. Random forests and neural networks were compared to Cox proportional hazard survival models, using the trial datasets for model building and the SABOR cohort for model evaluation. The most accurate prediction model is included in an online calculator.

Results

The respective rates of PCa were 8.9%, 7.2%, and 11.1% in PLCO (n = 31,495), SELECT (n = 35,507), and SABOR (n = 1790) over median follow-up of 11.7, 8.1 and 9.0 years. The Cox model showed higher prostate-specific antigen (PSA), BMI and age, and African American race to be associated with PCa and HGPCa. Five-year risk predictions from the combined SELECT and PLCO model effectively discriminated risk in the SABOR cohort with C-index 0.76 (95% CI [0.72, 0.79]) for PCa, and 0.74 (95% CI [0.65,0.83]) for HGPCa.

Conclusions

A 1- to 5-year PCa risk prediction model developed from PLCO and SELECT was validated with SABOR and implemented online. This model can individualize and inform shared screening decisions.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12894-022-00986-w.

Effects of long-term testosterone treatment on cardiovascular outcomes in men with hypogonadism: Rationale and design of the TRAVERSE study

BACKGROUND

Testosterone exerts some effects on the cardiovascular system that could be considered beneficial; some other effects may potentially increase the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events. Neither the long-term efficacy nor safety of testosterone treatment has been studied in an adequately-powered randomized trial.

METHODS

The Testosterone Replacement therapy for Assessment of long-term Vascular Events and efficacy ResponSE in hypogonadal men (TRAVERSE) study is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel group, non-inferiority, multicenter study. Eligible participants are men, 45 to 80 years, with serum testosterone concentration <300 ng/dL and hypogonadal symptoms, who have evidence pre-existing CV disease or increased risk of CV disease. Approximately 6,000 subjects will be randomized to either 1.62% transdermal testosterone gel or a matching placebo gel daily for an anticipated duration of up to 5 years. The primary outcome is CV safety defined by the major adverse CV event composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or death due to CV causes. The trial will continue until at least 256 adjudicated major adverse CV event endpoints have occurred to assess whether the 95% (2-sided) upper confidence limit for a hazard ratio of 1.5 can be ruled out. Secondary endpoints include prostate safety defined as the incidence of adjudicated high grade prostate cancer and efficacy in domains of sexual function, bone fractures, depression, anemia, and diabetes.

RESULTS

As of July 1, 2021, 5,076 subjects had been randomized.

CONCLUSIONS

The TRAVERSE study will determine the CV safety and long-term efficacy of testosterone treatment in middle-aged and older men with hypogonadism with or at increased risk of CV disease.

Associations Between Polymorphisms in Genes Related to Oxidative Stress and DNA Repair, Interactions With Serum Antioxidants, and Prostate Cancer Risk: Results From the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial

Study of polymorphisms in genes related to the generation and removal of oxidative stress and repair of oxidative DNA damage will lead to new insights into the genetic basis of prostate cancer. In the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial (PCPT), a double-blind, randomized controlled trial testing finasteride versus placebo for prostate cancer prevention, we intend to investigate the role of oxidative stress/DNA repair mechanisms in prostate cancer etiology and whether these polymorphisms modify prostate cancer risk by interacting with antioxidant status in both placebo and finasteride arms. We evaluated associations of selected candidate polymorphisms in genes in these pathways, and interactions with pre-diagnostic serum antioxidants, and the risk of prostate cancer among 1,598 cases and 1,706 frequency-matched controls enrolled in the PCPT. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models. While there were no statistically significant associations observed in the placebo arm, several SNPs were associated with prostate cancer in the finasteride arm. Specifically, APEX1-rs1760944 was associated with increased risk of total prostate cancer (per minor allele: p-trend=0.04). OGG1-rs1052133 was positively (CG/GG vs. CC: OR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.01-1.73) and NOS3-rs1799983 was inversely (per minor allele: p-trend=0.04) associated with risk of low-grade prostate cancer. LIG3-rs1052536 and XRCC1-rs25489 were suggestively associated with reduced risk of high-grade prostate cancer (per minor allele: both p-trend=0.04). In the placebo arm, significant associations were observed among men with higher serum lycopene for APEX1-rs1760944 and NQO1-rs1800566, or higher serum β-cryptoxanthin for ERCC4-rs1800067. In the finasteride arm, stronger associations were observed among men with lower serum lycopene for NOS3-rs1799983, higher serum α-carotene, β-carotene, and β-cryptoxanthin for LIG3-rs1052536, or lower serum retinol for SOD2-rs1799725. These results suggest that germline variations in oxidative stress and DNA repair pathways may contribute to prostate carcinogenesis and that these associations may differ by intraprostatic sex steroid hormone status and be further modified by antioxidant status. Findings provide insights into the complex role of gene, gene-antioxidant and -finasteride interactions in prostate cancer etiology, and thus may lead to the development of preventative strategies.

Serum markers, obesity and prostate cancer risk: results from the prostate cancer prevention trial

Molecular mechanisms linking obesity to prostate cancer involve steroid hormone and insulin/insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1) pathways. We investigated the association of circulating serum markers (e.g. androgens and IGFs/IGFBPs) with BMI and in modifying the association of obesity with prostate cancer risk. Data and specimens for this nested case-control study are from the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial, a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of finasteride for prostate cancer prevention. Presence or absence of cancer was determined by prostate biopsy. Serum samples were assayed for sex steroid hormone concentrations and IGF1 axis analytes. Logistic regression estimated odds ratio and 95% CIs for risk of overall, low-grade (Gleason 2-6), and high-grade (Gleason 7-10) cancers. We found significant associations between BMI with serum steroids and IGFs/IGFBPs; the IGF1 axis was significantly associated with several serum steroids. Serum steroid levels did not affect the association of BMI with prostate cancer risk; however, IGFBP2 and IGFs modified the association of obesity with low- and high-grade disease. While serum steroids and IGFs/IGFBPs are associated with BMI, only the IGF1 axis contributed to obesity-related prostate cancer risk. Understanding the biological mechanisms linking obesity to prostate cancer risk as it relates to circulating serum markers will aid in developing effective prostate cancer prevention strategies and treatments.

Treatment in the absence of disease reclassification among men on active surveillance for prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Maintaining men on active surveillance for prostate cancer can be challenging. Although most men who eventually undergo treatment have experienced clinical progression, a smaller subset elects treatment in the absence of disease reclassification. This study sought to understand factors associated with treatment in a large, contemporary, prospective cohort.

METHODS

This study identified 1789 men in the Canary Prostate Cancer Active Surveillance Study cohort enrolled as of 2020 with a median follow-up of 5.6 years. Clinical and demographic data as well as information on patient-reported quality of life and urinary symptoms were used in multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models to identify factors associated with the time to treatment RESULTS: Within 4 years of their diagnosis, 33% of men (95% confidence interval [CI], 30%-35%) underwent treatment, and 10% (95% CI, 9%-12%) were treated in the absence of reclassification. The most significant factor associated with any treatment was an increasing Gleason grade group (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 14.5; 95% CI, 11.7-17.9). Urinary quality-of-life scores were associated with treatment without reclassification (aHR comparing "mostly dissatisfied/terrible" with "pleased/mixed," 2.65; 95% CI, 1.54-4.59). In a subset analysis (n = 692), married men, compared with single men, were more likely to undergo treatment in the absence of reclassification (aHR, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.04-6.66).

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial number of men with prostate cancer undergo treatment in the absence of clinical changes in their cancers, and quality-of-life changes and marital status may be important factors in these decisions.

LAY SUMMARY

This analysis of men on active surveillance for prostate cancer shows that approximately 1 in 10 men will decide to be treated within 4 years of their diagnosis even if their cancer is stable. These choices may be related in part to quality-or-life or spousal concerns.

A Rare Germline HOXB13 Variant Contributes to Risk of Prostate Cancer in Men of African Ancestry

A rare African ancestry-specific germline deletion variant in HOXB13 (X285K, rs77179853) was recently reported in Martinican men with early-onset prostate cancer. Given the role of HOXB13 germline variation in prostate cancer, we investigated the association between HOXB13 X285K and prostate cancer risk in a large sample of 22 361 African ancestry men, including 11 688 prostate cancer cases. The risk allele was present only in men of West African ancestry, with an allele frequency in men that ranged from 0.40% in Ghana and 0.31% in Nigeria to 0% in Uganda and South Africa, with a range of frequencies in men with admixed African ancestry from North America and Europe (0-0.26%). HOXB13 X285K was associated with 2.4-fold increased odds of prostate cancer (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.5-3.9, p = 2 × 10^-4), with greater risk observed for more aggressive and advanced disease (Gleason ≥8: odds ratio [OR] = 4.7, 95% CI = 2.3-9.5, p = 2 × 10^-5; stage T3/T4: OR = 4.5, 95% CI = 2.0-10.0, p = 2 × 10^-4; metastatic disease: OR = 5.1, 95% CI = 1.9-13.7, p = 0.001). We estimated that the allele arose in West Africa 1500-4600 yr ago. Further analysis is needed to understand how the HOXB13 X285K variant impacts the HOXB13 protein and function in the prostate. Understanding who carries this mutation may inform prostate cancer screening in men of West African ancestry. PATIENT SUMMARY: A rare African ancestry-specific germline deletion in HOXB13, found only in men of West African ancestry, was reported to be associated with an increased risk of overall and advanced prostate cancer. Understanding who carries this mutation may help inform screening for prostate cancer in men of West African ancestry.

Association of Serum Carotenoids and Retinoids with Intraprostatic Inflammation in Men without Prostate Cancer or Clinical Indication for Biopsy in the Placebo Arm of the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial

Non-supplemental carotenoids and retinol may potentiate antioxidant and anti-inflammatory mechanisms. Chronic intraprostatic inflammation is linked to prostate carcinogenesis. We investigated the association of circulating carotenoids and retinol with intraprostatic inflammation in benign tissue. We included 235 men from the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial placebo arm who had a negative end-of-study biopsy, most (92.8%) done without clinical indication. α-carotene, β-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, lycopene, and retinol were assessed by high-performance liquid chromatography using pooled year 1 and 4 serum. Presence and extent of intraprostatic inflammation in benign tissue was assessed in 3 (of 6-10) biopsy cores. Logistic (any core with inflammation vs none) and polytomous logistic (some or all cores with inflammation vs none) regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of intraprostatic inflammation by concentration tertile adjusting for age, race, prostate cancer family history, and serum cholesterol. None of the carotenoids or retinol was associated with intraprostatic inflammation, except β-cryptoxanthin, which appeared to be positively associated with any core with inflammation [vs none, T2: OR (95% CI) = 2.67 (1.19, 5.99); T3: 1.80 (0.84, 3.82), P-trend = 0.12]. These findings suggest that common circulating carotenoids and retinol are not useful dietary intervention targets for preventing prostate cancer via modulating intraprostatic inflammation.

Hepcidin-regulating iron metabolism genes and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: a pathway analysis of genome-wide association studies

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies have suggested positive associations for iron and red meat intake with risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Inherited pathogenic variants in genes involved in the hepcidin-regulating iron metabolism pathway are known to cause iron overload and hemochromatosis.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to determine whether common genetic variation in the hepcidin-regulating iron metabolism pathway is associated with PDAC.

METHODS

We conducted a pathway analysis of the hepcidin-regulating genes using single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) summary statistics generated from 4 genome-wide association studies in 2 large consortium studies using the summary data-based adaptive rank truncated product method. Our population consisted of 9253 PDAC cases and 12,525 controls of European descent. Our analysis included 11 hepcidin-regulating genes [bone morphogenetic protein 2 (BMP2), bone morphogenetic protein 6 (BMP6), ferritin heavy chain 1 (FTH1), ferritin light chain (FTL), hepcidin (HAMP), homeostatic iron regulator (HFE), hemojuvelin (HJV), nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (NRF2), ferroportin 1 (SLC40A1), transferrin receptor 1 (TFR1), and transferrin receptor 2 (TFR2)] and their surrounding genomic regions (±20 kb) for a total of 412 SNPs.

RESULTS

The hepcidin-regulating gene pathway was significantly associated with PDAC (P = 0.002), with the HJV, TFR2, TFR1, BMP6, and HAMP genes contributing the most to the association.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results support that genetic susceptibility related to the hepcidin-regulating gene pathway is associated with PDAC risk and suggest a potential role of iron metabolism in pancreatic carcinogenesis. Further studies are needed to evaluate effect modification by intake of iron-rich foods on this association.

Contacts with Macrophages Promote an Aggressive Nanomechanical Phenotype of Circulating Tumor Cells in Prostate Cancer

Aggressive tumors of epithelial origin shed cells that intravasate and become circulating tumor cells (CTC). The CTCs that are able to survive the stresses encountered in the bloodstream can then seed metastases. We demonstrated previously that CTCs isolated from the blood of prostate cancer patients display specific nanomechanical phenotypes characteristic of cell endurance and invasiveness and patient sensitivity to androgen deprivation therapy. Here we report that patient-isolated CTCs are nanomechanically distinct from cells randomly shed from the tumor, with high adhesion as the most distinguishing biophysical marker. CTCs uniquely coisolated with macrophage-like cells bearing the markers of tumor-associated macrophages (TAM). The presence of these immune cells was indicative of a survival-promoting phenotype of "mechanical fitness" in CTCs based on high softness and high adhesion as determined by atomic force microscopy. Correlations between enumeration of macrophages and mechanical fitness of CTCs were strong in patients before the start of hormonal therapy. Single-cell proteomic analysis and nanomechanical phenotyping of tumor cell-macrophage cocultures revealed that macrophages promoted epithelial-mesenchymal plasticity in prostate cancer cells, manifesting in their mechanical fitness. The resulting softness and adhesiveness of the mechanically fit CTCs confer resistance to shear stress and enable protective cell clustering. These findings suggest that selected tumor cells are coached by TAMs and accompanied by them to acquire intermediate epithelial/mesenchymal status, thereby facilitating survival during the critical early stage leading to metastasis. SIGNIFICANCE: The interaction between macrophages and circulating tumor cells increases the capacity of tumor cells to initiate metastasis and may constitute a new set of blood-based targets for pharmacologic intervention.

Smoking Modifies Pancreatic Cancer Risk Loci on 2q21.3

Germline variation and smoking are independently associated with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We conducted genome-wide smoking interaction analysis of PDAC using genotype data from four previous genome-wide association studies in individuals of European ancestry (7,937 cases and 11,774 controls). Examination of expression quantitative trait loci data from the Genotype-Tissue Expression Project followed by colocalization analysis was conducted to determine whether there was support for common SNP(s) underlying the observed associations. Statistical tests were two sided and P < 5 × 10-8 was considered statistically significant. Genome-wide significant evidence of qualitative interaction was identified on chr2q21.3 in intron 5 of the transmembrane protein 163 (TMEM163) and upstream of the cyclin T2 (CCNT2). The most significant SNP using the Empirical Bayes method, in this region that included 45 significantly associated SNPs, was rs1818613 [per allele OR in never smokers 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.82-0.93; former smokers 1.00, 95% CI, 0.91-1.07; current smokers 1.25, 95% CI 1.12-1.40, P interaction = 3.08 × 10-9). Examination of the Genotype-Tissue Expression Project data demonstrated an expression quantitative trait locus in this region for TMEM163 and CCNT2 in several tissue types. Colocalization analysis supported a shared SNP, rs842357, in high linkage disequilibrium with rs1818613 (r 2 = 0. 94) driving both the observed interaction and the expression quantitative trait loci signals. Future studies are needed to confirm and understand the differential biologic mechanisms by smoking status that contribute to our PDAC findings. SIGNIFICANCE: This large genome-wide interaction study identifies a susceptibility locus on 2q21.3 that significantly modified PDAC risk by smoking status, providing insight into smoking-associated PDAC, with implications for prevention.

A Randomized Phase II Study of Coexpression Extrapolation (COXEN) with Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Bladder Cancer (SWOG S1314; NCT02177695)

PURPOSE

Dose-dense methotrexate-vinblastine-adriamycin-cisplatin (ddMVAC) and gemcitabine-cisplatin (GC) are accepted neoadjuvant regimens for muscle-invasive bladder cancer. The aim of this study was to validate the score from a coexpression extrapolation (COXEN) algorithm-generated gene expression model (GEM) as a biomarker in patients undergoing radical cystectomy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Eligibility included cT2-T4a N0 M0, urothelial bladder cancer, ≥ 5 mm of viable tumor, cisplatin eligible, with plan for cystectomy; 237 patients were randomized between ddMVAC, given every 14 days for four cycles, and GC, given every 21 days for four cycles. The primary objective assessed prespecified dichotomous treatment-specific COXEN score as predictive of pT0 rate or ≤ pT1 (downstaging) at surgery.

RESULTS

Among 167 evaluable patients, the OR for pT0 with the GC GEM score in GC-treated patients was 2.63 [P = 0.10; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.82-8.36]; for the ddMVAC COXEN GEM score with ddMVAC treatment, the OR was 1.12 (P = 0.82, 95% CI, 0.42-2.95). The GC GEM score was applied to pooled arms (GC and ddMVAC) for downstaging with an OR of 2.33 (P = 0.02; 95% CI, 1.11-4.89). In an intention-to-treat analysis of eligible patients (n = 227), pT0 rates for ddMVAC and GC were 28% and 30% (P = 0.75); downstaging was 47% and 40% (P = 0.27), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment-specific COXEN scores were not significantly predictive for response to individual chemotherapy treatment. The COXEN GEM GC score was significantly associated with downstaging in the pooled arms. Additional biomarker development is planned.

A comparison of sunitinib with cabozantinib, crizotinib, and savolitinib for treatment of advanced papillary renal cell carcinoma: a randomised, open-label, phase 2 trial

BACKGROUND

MET (also known as hepatocyte growth factor receptor) signalling is a key driver of papillary renal cell carcinoma (PRCC). Given that no optimal therapy for metastatic PRCC exists, we aimed to compare an existing standard of care, sunitinib, with the MET kinase inhibitors cabozantinib, crizotinib, and savolitinib for treatment of patients with PRCC.

METHODS

We did a randomised, open-label, phase 2 trial done in 65 centres in the USA and Canada. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older with metastatic PRCC who had received up to one previous therapy (excluding vascular endothelial growth factor-directed and MET-directed agents). Patients were randomly assigned to receive sunitinib, cabozantinib, crizotinib, or savolitinib, with stratification by receipt of previous therapy and PRCC subtype. All drug doses were administered orally: sunitinib 50 mg, 4 weeks on and 2 weeks off (dose reductions to 37·5 mg and 25 mg allowed); cabozantinib 60 mg daily (reductions to 40 mg and 20 mg allowed); crizotinib 250 mg twice daily (reductions to 200 mg twice daily and 250 mg once daily allowed); and savolitinib 600 mg daily (reductions to 400 mg and 200 mg allowed). Progression-free survival (PFS) was the primary endpoint. Analyses were done in an intention-to-treat population, with patients who did not receive protocol therapy excluded from safety analyses. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02761057.

FINDINGS

Between April 5, 2016, and Dec 15, 2019, 152 patients were randomly assigned to one of four study groups. Five patients were identified as ineligible post-randomisation and were excluded from these analyses, resulting in 147 eligible patients. Assignment to the savolitinib (29 patients) and crizotinib (28 patients) groups was halted after a prespecified futility analysis; planned accrual was completed for both sunitinib (46 patients) and cabozantinib (44 patients) groups. PFS was longer in patients in the cabozantinib group (median 9·0 months, 95% CI 6-12) than in the sunitinib group (5·6 months, 3-7; hazard ratio for progression or death 0·60, 0·37-0·97, one-sided p=0·019). Response rate for cabozantinib was 23% versus 4% for sunitinib (two-sided p=0·010). Savolitinib and crizotinib did not improve PFS compared with sunitinib. Grade 3 or 4 adverse events occurred in 31 (69%) of 45 patients receiving sunitinib, 32 (74%) of 43 receiving cabozantinib, ten (37%) of 27 receiving crizotinib, and 11 (39%) of 28 receiving savolitinib; one grade 5 thromboembolic event was recorded in the cabozantinib group.

INTERPRETATION

Cabozantinib treatment resulted in significantly longer PFS compared with sunitinib in patients with metastatic PRCC.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health and National Cancer Institute.