Effectiveness and durability of mRNA-1273 BA.4/BA.5 bivalent vaccine (mRNA-1273.222) against SARS-CoV-2 BA.4/BA.5 and XBB sublineages

Emerging SARS-CoV-2 sublineages continue to cause serious COVID-19 disease, but most individuals have not received any COVID-19 vaccine for >1 year. Assessment of long-term effectiveness of bivalent COVID-19 vaccines against circulating sublineages is important to inform the potential need for vaccination with updated vaccines. In this test-negative study at Kaiser Permanente Southern California, sequencing-confirmed BA.4/BA.5- or XBB-related SARS-CoV-2-positive cases (September 1, 2022 to June 30, 2023), were matched 1:3 to SARS-CoV-2-negative controls. We assessed mRNA-1273 bivalent relative (rVE) and absolute vaccine effectiveness (VE) compared to ≥2 or 0 doses of original monovalent vaccine, respectively. The rVE analysis included 20,966 cases and 62,898 controls. rVE (95%CI) against BA.4/BA.5 at 14-60 days and 121-180 days was 52.7% (46.9-57.8%) and 35.5% (-2.8-59.5%) for infection, and 59.3% (49.7-67.0%) and 33.2% (-28.2-68.0%) for Emergency Department/Urgent Care (ED/UC) encounters. For BA.4/BA.5-related hospitalizations, rVE was 71.3% (44.9-85.1%) and 52.0% (-1.2-77.3%) at 14-60 days and 61-120 days, respectively. rVE against XBB at 14-60 days and 121-180 days was 48.8% (33.4-60.7%) and -3.9% (-18.1-11.3%) for infection, 70.7% (52.4-82.0%) and 15.7% (-6.0-33.2%) for ED/UC encounters, and 87.9% (43.8-97.4%) and 57.1% (17.0-77.8%) for hospitalization. VE and subgroup analyses (age, immunocompromised status, previous SARS-CoV-2 infection) results were similar to rVE analyses. rVE of mRNA-1273 bivalent vaccine against BA.4/BA.5 and XBB infections, ED/UC encounters, and hospitalizations waned over time. Periodic revaccination with vaccines targeting emerging variants may be important in reducing COVID-19 morbidity and mortality.

Effectiveness of the live zoster vaccine during the 10 years following vaccination: real world cohort study using electronic health records

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effectiveness of live zoster vaccine during more than 10 years after vaccination; and to describe methods for ascertaining vaccine effectiveness in the context of waning.

DESIGN

Real world cohort study using electronic health records.

SETTING

Kaiser Permanente Northern California, an integrated healthcare delivery system in the US, 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2018.

POPULATION

More than 1.5 million people aged 50 years and older followed for almost 9.4 million person years.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Vaccine effectiveness in preventing herpes zoster, postherpetic neuralgia, herpes zoster ophthalmicus, and admission to hospital for herpes zoster was assessed. Change in vaccine effectiveness by time since vaccination was examined using Cox regression with a calendar timeline. Time varying indicators were specified for each interval of time since vaccination (30 days to less than one year, one to less than two years, etc) and adjusted for covariates.

RESULTS

Of 1 505 647 people, 507 444 (34%) were vaccinated with live zoster vaccine. Among 75 135 incident herpes zoster cases, 4982 (7%) developed postherpetic neuralgia, 4439 (6%) had herpes zoster ophthalmicus, and 556 (0.7%) were admitted to hospital for herpes zoster. For each outcome, vaccine effectiveness was highest in the first year after vaccination and decreased substantially over time. Against herpes zoster, vaccine effectiveness waned from 67% (95% confidence interval 65% to 69%) in the first year to 15% (5% to 24%) after 10 years. Against postherpetic neuralgia, vaccine effectiveness waned from 83% (78% to 87%) to 41% (17% to 59%) after 10 years. Against herpes zoster ophthalmicus, vaccine effectiveness waned from 71% (63% to 76%) to 29% (18% to 39%) during five to less than eight years. Against admission to hospital for herpes zoster, vaccine effectiveness waned from 90% (67% to 97%) to 53% (25% to 70%) during five to less than eight years. Across all follow-up time, overall vaccine effectiveness was 46% (45% to 47%) against herpes zoster, 62% (59% to 65%) against postherpetic neuralgia, 45% (40% to 49%) against herpes zoster ophthalmicus, and 66% (55% to 74%) against admission to hospital for herpes zoster.

CONCLUSIONS

Live zoster vaccine was effective initially. Vaccine effectiveness waned substantially yet some protection remained 10 years after vaccination. After 10 years, protection was low against herpes zoster but higher against postherpetic neuralgia.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT01600079; EU PAS register number EUPAS17502.

mRNA-1273 bivalent (original and Omicron) COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 outcomes in the United States

The bivalent (original and Omicron BA.4/BA.5) mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccine was authorized to offer broader protection against COVID-19. We conducted a matched cohort study to evaluate the effectiveness of the bivalent vaccine in preventing hospitalization for COVID-19 (primary outcome) and medically attended SARS-CoV-2 infection and hospital death (secondary outcomes). Compared to individuals who did not receive bivalent mRNA vaccination but received ≥2 doses of any monovalent mRNA vaccine, the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) against hospitalization for COVID-19 was 70.3% (95% confidence interval, 64.0%-75.4%). rVE was consistent across subgroups and not modified by time since last monovalent dose or number of monovalent doses received. Protection was durable ≥3 months after the bivalent booster. rVE against SARS-CoV-2 infection requiring emergency department/urgent care and against COVID-19 hospital death was 55.0% (50.8%-58.8%) and 82.7% (63.7%-91.7%), respectively. The mRNA-1273 bivalent booster provides additional protection against hospitalization for COVID-19, medically attended SARS-CoV-2 infection, and COVID-19 hospital death.

Measuring dengue illness intensity: Development and content validity of the dengue virus daily diary (DENV-DD)

BACKGROUND

Dengue is the most prevalent arboviral infection causing an estimated 50-60 million cases of febrile illness globally per year, exacting considerable disease burden. Few instruments exist to assess the patient illness experience, with most based on healthcare provider assessment, lacking standardization in timepoints and symptom assessment. This study aimed to evaluate the content validity of the novel 'Dengue Virus Daily Diary (DENV-DD)', designed to measure symptom intensity and disease burden within outpatient infant to adult populations.

METHODS

The Dengue Illness Index Report Card was used as a foundation to create the DENV-DD, consisting of patient- and observer-reported outcome (PRO/ObsRO) instruments. In two South American dengue-endemic communities, qualitative combined concept elicitation and cognitive debriefing interviews were conducted among individuals and caregivers of children with symptomatic laboratory-confirmed dengue. Interviews were conducted across two rounds allowing DENV-DD modifications. A small-scale quantitative assessment of the DENV-DD was also conducted with data from an independent Dengue Human Infection Model (DHIM) to generate early evidence of feasibility of DENV-DD completion, instrument performance and insight into the sign/symptom trajectory over the course of illness.

RESULTS

Forty-eight participants were interviewed (20 adults, 20 older children/adolescents with their caregivers, 8 caregivers of younger children). A wide spectrum of signs/symptoms lasting 3-15 days were reported with fever, headache, body ache/pain, loss of appetite, and body weakness each reported by > 70% participants. DENV-DD instructions, items and response scales were understood, and items were considered relevant across ages. DHIM data supported feasibility of DENV-DD completion.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings demonstrate content validity of the DENV-DD (PRO/ObsRO instruments) in dengue-endemic populations. Psychometric and cultural validity studies are ongoing to support use of the DENV-DD in clinical studies.

Sex disparities in the incidence of 21 cancer types: Quantification of the contribution of risk factors

BACKGROUND

Cancer incidence is higher in men than in women at most shared anatomic sites for currently unknown reasons. The authors quantified the extent to which behaviors (smoking and alcohol use), anthropometrics (body mass index and height), lifestyles (physical activity, diet, medications), and medical history collectively explain the male predominance of risk at 21 shared cancer sites.

METHODS

Prospective cohort analyses (n = 171,274 male and n = 122,826 female participants; age range, 50-71 years) in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study (1995-2011). Cancer-specific Cox regression models were used to estimate male-to-female hazard ratios (HRs). The degree to which risk factors explained the observed male-female risk disparity was quantified using the Peters-Belson method.

RESULTS

There were 26,693 incident cancers (17,951 in men and 8742 in women). Incidence was significantly lower in men than in women only for thyroid and gallbladder cancers. At most other anatomic sites, the risks were higher in men than in women (adjusted HR range, 1.3-10.8), with the strongest increases for bladder cancer (HR, 3.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.93-3.79), gastric cardia cancer (HR, 3.49; 95% CI, 2.26-5.37), larynx cancer (HR, 3.53; 95% CI, 2.46-5.06), and esophageal adenocarcinoma (HR, 10.80; 95% CI, 7.33-15.90). Risk factors explained a statistically significant (nonzero) proportion of the observed male excess for esophageal adenocarcinoma and cancers of liver, other biliary tract, bladder, skin, colon, rectum, and lung. However, only a modest proportion of the male excess was explained by risk factors (ranging from 50% for lung cancer to 11% for esophageal adenocarcinoma).

CONCLUSIONS

Men have a higher risk of cancer than women at most shared anatomic sites. Such male predominance is largely unexplained by risk factors, underscoring a role for sex-related biologic factors.

Safety of 4-valent human papillomavirus vaccine in males: a large observational post-marketing study

The 4-valent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine (4vHPV vaccine), Gardasil®, is indicated for the prevention of several HPV-related diseases. The objective was to assess the safety of 4vHPV vaccine administered to males as part of routine care. The study used a US health insurance claims database, and included males, age 9 to 26 years, who initiated 4vHPV between October 2009 and December 2016. General safety outcomes were identified using ICD diagnosis codes associated with emergency room visits and hospitalizations in the claims database in risk periods (Days 1–60 and Days 1–14 following vaccine administration) and self-comparison periods (Days 91–150 and 91–104 for the Days 1–60 and Days 1–14 analysis, respectively). Incidence rates (IRs) and relative rates (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated comparing the risk and self-comparison periods. In this study, 114,035 males initiated 4vHPV vaccine and received 202,737 doses. Using the 60-day time window, 5 outcomes had significantly elevated RRs after accounting for multiple comparisons: ear conditions (RR 1.28, 95% CI 1.03–1.59); otitis media and related conditions (RR 1.65, 95% CI 1.09–2.54); cellulitis and abscess of arm (RR 2.17, 95% CI 1.06–4.72); intracranial injury (RR 1.23, 95% CI 1.01–1.50); and concussion (RR 1.29, 95% CI 1.05–1.59). A higher rate of allergic reactions was noted on the day of 4vHPV vaccine receipt compared to other vaccines (21.07 events per 10,000 doses, 95% CI 18.89–23.44 versus 11.44 per 10,000 doses, 95% CI 9.84–13.22). A higher incidence rate of VTE was observed following vaccination but this association was not significant (RR 2.17, 95% CI 0.35–22.74). The 4vHPV vaccine was associated with same-day allergic reactions as well as ear infections, intracranial injury, cellulitis, and concussion within 2 months after vaccination. While allergic reaction and cellulitis are consistent with the known safety profile of 4vHPV vaccine, the association of the other outcomes were determined by an independent Safety Review Committee to be most likely a result of activities common in adolescent males that coincide with the timing of vaccination and not directly related to vaccination itself.

Implications and Contributions: The study results support the general safety of routine immunization with 4vHPV vaccine among males to prevent HPV-related diseases and cancers.

Health Care Resource Utilization and Economic Burden Associated With Congenital Cytomegalovirus Infection: A Longitudinal Analysis of Data From Clinical Practice at a Large Health Care Provider in Israel

PURPOSE

Congenital cytomegalovirus infection (cCMVi) is the leading cause of nonhereditary sensorineural hearing loss and can cause other long-term neurodevelopmental disabilities; however, data on the economic burden of cCMVi during early childhood are scarce. The primary objective of the study was to describe longitudinal patterns of health care resource utilization (HCRU) and direct medical costs among infants with cCMVi compared to infants unexposed to cCMVi.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed using data on infants born between 2013 and 2017, as captured in the database of Maccabi Healthcare Services, a 2.5 million-member health care organization in Israel. cCMVi cases were identified by physician diagnosis and/or dispensed valganciclovir within 90 days after birth. Infants born to mothers CMV-seronegative throughout pregnancy were selected for comparison (unexposed controls). Infants were retrospectively followed up through December 31, 2018, or 4 years of age (Y4). HCRU included physician visits, hospital admissions, audiology tests/procedures, imaging, and valganciclovir treatment. Direct medical costs, in US dollars per person per year (USD PPPY) were calculated from the health-system perspective. To compare costs of cCMVi cases and controls, direct medical costs were estimated using a generalized linear model with a log link function and γ distribution after adjustment for patient characteristics.

FINDINGS

A total of 351 cCMVi cases and 11,733 control infants with continuous follow-up during their first year of life (Y1) were included in the study. In Y1, cases were more likely to have a hospital admission (8.5% cases vs 4.5% control; P < 0.001) and higher numbers of pediatrician visits (median, 18 vs 15), audiology visits and tests, and cranial ultrasounds (all, P < 0.05). Longitudinally, incremental costs associated with cases were highest in Y1 (1686.7 USD PPPY; cost ratio = 2.6; P < 0.001) and remained elevated through Y4.

IMPLICATIONS

cCMVi was associated with substantial increases in HCRU and economic burden during early childhood, and particularly during the first year of life.

Vaccine initiation and 3-dose series completion of 4vHPV vaccine among US insured males 2012-2016

OBJECTIVE

The quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccine (4vHPV, GARDASIL®⁾, was approved in the US in 2009 for use in males aged 9 to 26 for the prevention of HPV-related genital warts, and in 2010 for the prevention of certain HPV-related anogenital diseases. A regimen was approved in 2016 for those who initiate the vaccine series between the ages of 9 to 14 years. We describe patterns of 4vHPV administration among US males before this modification.

METHODS

The study used a US health insurance claims database, and included males, age 9 to 26 years, who initiated 4vHPV between 2012 and 2016. Time from first dose to subsequent doses was estimated. Logistic regression identified factors associated with regimen completion.

RESULTS

Among 100,786 males who initiated 4vHPV (corresponding to ∼ 13% of male birth cohorts), 50,573 (50.2%) and 25,763 (25.6%) received a second and third dose, respectively. Annual administration was common, with 47% of males receiving 3 doses over 3 years (1 dose per year) as compared to 12% receiving the 3-dose series in the recommended 6-month timeframe. Receipt of 4vHPV was 2.2 (range 1.5 to 2.9) times as likely to occur in summer months compared to other times of the year. Individuals aged 18 to 21 years and those living in Western states or rural regions were less likely to complete the 3-dose regimen.

CONCLUSIONS

The real-world patterns of 4vHPV vaccination observed, particularly the low uptake and regimen completion, suggest that better strategies are needed for males to improve 4vHPV vaccine use in males.

Epidemiology of cytomegalovirus infection in pregnancy in Israel: Real-world data from a large healthcare organization

Congenital cytomegalovirus infection (cCMVi) is the leading cause of nonhereditary sensorineural hearing loss among newborns. Women newly acquiring cytomegalovirus infection (CMVi) during pregnancy have the highest risk of vertical transmission. This study aimed to describe the epidemiology of CMVi in pregnancy in a large healthcare database. A retrospective cohort study was performed using the Maccabi Healthcare Services database (Israel). Women aged 18-44 years old on July 1, 2013 with no record of pregnancy in the prior 6 months were followed through December 31, 2017 for first pregnancy occurrence. Pregnancy outcomes (live birth, spontaneous/therapeutic abortions, stillbirth, and uncertain outcomes) were captured. CMV test results were obtained to assess serostatus at the start of pregnancy (SoP) and primary CMV infection (CMVi) during pregnancy. Associations of demographic and reproductive factors with pCMVi were investigated (multivariable logistic regression). The study included 84 699 pregnant women (median age = 31 years; interquartile range = 28-35). Live birth, fetal loss, and uncertain pregnancy outcomes accounted for 76.8%, 18.2%, and 5.0%, respectively. The seroprevalence of CMV at the start of pregnancy in this cohort was 63.4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 63.1-63.7). Among seronegative women with available test results (n = 10 657), CMVi incidence was 14.5 per 1000 (95% CI = 12.2-16.7). In multivariate logistic regression models adjusting for maternal age, CMVi was significantly associated with having one or more prior live births (odds ratio [OR]: 3.8 [95% CI: 2.6-5.4]) and having a child less than 6 years of age (OR: 4.3 [95%CI: 3.0-6.1]). One in three pregnant women in Israel is at risk for primary CMVi. This study demonstrates that real-world electronic healthcare data can be leveraged to support clinical management and development of interventions for congenital CMV by identifying women at high risk for CMVi during pregnancy.

CMV viral load kinetics as surrogate endpoints after allogeneic transplantation

BACKGROUNDViral load (VL) surrogate endpoints transformed development of HIV and hepatitis C therapeutics. Surrogate endpoints for CMV-related morbidity and mortality could advance development of antiviral treatments. Although observational data support using CMV VL as a trial endpoint, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) demonstrating direct associations between virological markers and clinical endpoints are lacking.METHODSWe performed CMV DNA PCR on frozen serum samples from the only placebo-controlled RCT of ganciclovir for early treatment of CMV after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We used established criteria to assess VL kinetics as surrogates for CMV disease or death by weeks 8, 24, and 48 after randomization and quantified antiviral effects captured by each marker. We used ensemble-based machine learning to assess the predictive ability of VL kinetics and performed this analysis on a ganciclovir prophylaxis RCT for validation.RESULTSVL suppression with ganciclovir reduced cumulative incidence of CMV disease and death for 20 years after HCT. Mean VL, peak VL, and change in VL during the first 5 weeks of treatment fulfilled the Prentice definition for surrogacy, capturing more than 95% of ganciclovir's effect, and yielded highly sensitive and specific predictions by week 48. In the prophylaxis trial, the viral shedding rate satisfied the Prentice definition for CMV disease by week 24.CONCLUSIONSOur results support using CMV VL kinetics as surrogates for CMV disease, provide a framework for developing CMV preventative and therapeutic agents, and support reductions in VL as the mechanism through which antivirals reduce CMV disease.FUNDINGMerck Sharp & Dohme Corp., a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc.

Abstract 787: Estimating the influence of sex on cancer risk: An analysis in a large US prospective cohort study

Historically in the United States, cancer incidence has been significantly higher in men than women. This disparity is often attributed to gender-related behavioral risk factors, such as smoking and drinking. The degree to which differences in age-adjusted cancer rates are due to sex (e.g., chromosomes, hormones) is unknown. We estimated the effect of sex on cancer risk by comparing cancer incidence at 21 shared sites between men and women while adjusting for known gender-related risk factors. We analyzed data from 122,826 women and 171,274 men enrolled in the NIH AARP Diet and Health Study (1995-2011), contributing 3.5 million person-years of follow-up. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate male-to-female (M:F) adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for each of the cancers, controlling for relevant baseline cancer-specific demographic (age, race, marital status, education), lifestyle (self-reported health status, family history of cancer, diet, body mass index, physical activity), and behavioral factors (tobacco, alcohol use). We used the Peters-Belson method to partition the observed differences between the sexes in cancer incidence into the proportion of the difference explained by the modifiable environmental and behavioral exposures (explained disparity) and the remaining proportion that cannot be explained by these exposures (unexplained disparity). After adjustment for cancer-specific risk factors, risks remained significantly higher in men for nearly all sites. The highest M:F aHR was for esophageal adenocarcinoma (aHR: 10.59, 95% CI: 7.19, 15.61) followed by gastric cardia (aHR: 4.55, 95% CI: 3.28, 6.31) and larynx (aHR: 3.73, 95% CI: 2.84, 4.89) cancers. In contrast, men had a lower adjusted incidence of thyroid (aHR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.48, 0.68) and gallbladder (aHR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.37, 0.82) cancers compared with women. Using the Peters-Belson method we found that, if men had the same exposure distribution as the women (under a counterfactual), the male predominance would remain for 12 cancers (bladder, skin, lung, colon, kidney, rectum, esophageal adenocarcinoma, larynx, gastric cardia, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, pancreas, and oropharynx). For 4 cancers (liver, gastric non-cardia, oral cavity, and anus), if men had the exposure distribution of women, they would have experienced a higher cancer incidence than what was observed. This elevated risk in men compared with women, after adjustment for risk factors, indicates potential innate sex differences across nearly all shared cancer sites.

Funding: Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics

Citation Format: Sarah S. Jackson, Morgan A. Marks, Hormuzd Katki, Barry I. Graubard, Michael D. Cook, Anil Chaturvedi. Estimating the influence of sex on cancer risk: An analysis in a large US prospective cohort study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 787.

The Role of Congenital Cytomegalovirus Infection in Adverse Birth Outcomes: A Review of the Potential Mechanisms

Human cytomegalovirus (CMV) is a major cause of nonhereditary adverse birth outcomes, including hearing and visual loss, neurologic deficits, and intrauterine growth retardation (IUGR), and may contribute to outcomes such as stillbirth and preterm delivery. However, the mechanisms by which CMV could cause adverse birth outcomes are not fully understood. This study reviewed proposed mechanisms underlying the role of CMV in stillbirth, preterm birth, and IUGR. Targeted literature searches were performed in PubMed and Embase to identify relevant articles. Several potential mechanisms were identified from in vitro studies in which laboratory-adapted and low-passage strains of CMV and various human placental models were used. Potential mechanisms identified included impairment of trophoblast progenitor stem cell differentiation and function, impairment of extravillous trophoblast invasiveness, dysregulation of Wnt signaling pathways in cytotrophoblasts, tumor necrosis factor-α mediated apoptosis of trophoblasts, CMV-induced cytokine changes in the placenta, inhibition of indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase activity, and downregulation of trophoblast class I major histocompatibility complex molecules. Inherent challenges for the field remain in the identification of suitable in vivo animal models. Nonetheless, we believe that our review provides useful insights into the mechanisms by which CMV impairs placental development and function and how these changes could result in adverse birth outcomes.

Long-term effectiveness of zoster vaccine live for postherpetic neuralgia prevention

BACKGROUND

Postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) occurs in 5-30% of individuals with herpes zoster (HZ) and is characterized by long-lasting pain. Zoster vaccine live (ZVL) is licensed for people 50 years and older to prevent HZ and PHN. This study evaluated vaccine effectiveness (VE) of ZVL against PHN.

METHODS

We conducted an open cohort study within Kaiser Permanente Northern California with continuous accrual of people as they became age-eligible for ZVL. We defined PHN using a PHN diagnosis between 90 and 365 days after an incident episode of HZ. We estimated VE against PHN using Cox regression with a calendar timeline stratified by year of birth and adjusted for sex, race, influenza vaccination, outpatient visit frequency, comorbidities, and immune compromise status.

RESULTS

From 2007 to 2016, 1·5 million people entered the study population and 33% received ZVL. During 7·6 million person-years of follow-up, there were 62,205 HZ cases, 4150 (6·7%) of which went on to develop PHN. Overall VE for PHN was 64·8% (95% CI 61·3, 68). VE was 82·8% (95% CI 77·6, 86·7) during the first year after vaccination, 58·3% (95% CI 50.1, 65.2) during the third year, and then waned more gradually to 48·7% (95% CI 30·2, 62·3) during the eighth year. VE in persons vaccinated when aged 80 years or older was similar to VE in younger vaccinees. VE in persons vaccinated when immune compromised was similar to VE in immune competent.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, ZVL was 65% effective against PHN. It was effective in all age groups and provided moderate protection through 8 years.

2480. Real-World Effectiveness of the Live Zoster Vaccine in Preventing Herpes Zoster: A Systematic Review

Background

Several studies of the real-world effectiveness of Zostavax™, a live zoster vaccine (ZVL), have been published since its licensure in 2006. The objective of this review was to summarize available evidence on vaccine effectiveness (VE) of ZVL against herpes zoster (HZ) and post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) in the general population.

Methods

An extensive literature search was performed in Embase and Medline for the period January 2007 to January 2018 to identify peer-reviewed, original, English study manuscripts reporting the results of observational studies of ZVL VE. In all studies, HZ cases were identified from HZ diagnosis codes, with only two studies also requiring HZ-specific antiviral use. For PHN, different case definitions were used across studies, usually without validation from medical chart review.

Results

Seven original effectiveness studies were identified (5 from the United States and 1 each from the UK and Canada) that assessed HZ effectiveness in the general population. Five of these studies also assessed PHN effectiveness. Vaccine effectiveness to prevent HZ was similar across studies in the early years following vaccination, but tended to diverge in the later years (overall VE against HZ ranged from 33% to 62%, clustering around ~50% across studies providing this information). Overall VE against PHN ranged from 55% to 88%, clustering around ~65%.

Conclusion

Real-world observational studies assessing the effectiveness of ZVL in preventing HZ and PHN in the general population reported generally similar results. Differences in VE estimates across studies were likely driven by differences in study design and methods, including sample size and age of study population, HZ and PHN case definition, duration of follow-up, and methods of covariate selection, definition and adjustment. We are currently conducting a meta-analysis to identify and quantify the potential heterogeneity across studies and calculate summary VE estimates.

Disclosures

P. Saddier, Merck and Co. Inc.: Employee and Shareholder, Salary. M. A. Marks, Merck and Co. Inc.: Employee and Shareholder, Salary. S. Calhoun, Merck and Co. Inc.: Employee, Salary. K. Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc.: Employee, Salary. Y. Moride, Merck: Research Contractor, Consulting fee.

2481. Impact of Sex and Race/Ethnicity on the Effectiveness of Live Zoster Vaccine

Background

Zostavax™, a live zoster vaccine licensed as 1 dose, is indicated in the United States for the prevention of herpes zoster (HZ) in people 50 years or older. Real-world vaccine effectiveness (VE) and duration of protection are being evaluated in an ongoing study. Compared with randomized clinical trials, this large observational study includes a more diverse population and offers a unique opportunity to assess VE across sex and race/ethnic groups.

Methods

Kaiser Permanente Northern California members enter the ongoing cohort study when age-eligible for zoster vaccine, starting in 2007. Incident HZ is defined as a new HZ diagnosis accompanied by an antiviral prescription or a positive varicella-zoster virus test, with no HZ diagnosis in the preceding 12 months. VE by sex and race/ethnicity was estimated using Cox regression models controlling for age and adjusting for healthcare use, comorbidities and immunocompromise status.

Results

During 2007–2014, 1,355,720 individuals entered the study, including 724,283 (53.4%) females. Among the unvaccinated, the incidence rate of HZ was 7.5 and 10.2 cases per 1,000 person-years (PY) among males and females, respectively. VE was 51.6% [95% CI: 49.2, 53.9] in males and 47.7% [45.8, 49.6] in females. The study included 818,361 (60.4%) Whites, 208,248 (15.4%) Asian/Pacific Islanders, 171,949 (12.7%) Hispanics, 98,914 (7.3%) African Americans, and 58,248 (4.3%) with Other/Unknown race/ethnic group. HZ incidence among the unvaccinated was highest among Hispanics (10.1 per 1,000 PY) and lowest among African Americans (6.7 per 1,000 PY). VE was somewhat higher among Hispanics (57.0% [52.7, 61.0]) compared with Whites (48.1% [46.3, 49.9], Asian/Pacific Islanders (49.7% [46.0, 53.3]), and African Americans (50.5% [42.3, 57.6]).

Conclusion

Overall, VE against HZ was generally similar across sex and race/ethnic groups, except for a somewhat higher VE among Hispanics. This small difference in VE may be due to differences in time since vaccination, since VE tends to wane over time (e.g., average follow-up was 2.2 years for vaccinated Hispanics vs. 2.8 for Whites, resulting in Hispanics having relatively more follow-up closer to vaccination when VE is higher). Longer study follow-up may help to interpret these findings.

Disclosures

M. A. Marks, Merck and Co. Inc.: Employee and Shareholder, Salary. P. Saddier, Merck and Co. Inc.: Employee and Shareholder, Salary. N. P. Klein, Sanofi Pasteur: Investigator, Research grant. Merck: Investigator, Research grant. GSK: Investigator, Research grant. Pfizer: Investigator, Research support. Protein Science: Investigator, Research grant. MedImmune: Investigator, Research grant. Dynavax: Research Contractor, Grant recipient.

Development of standard clinical endpoints for use in dengue interventional trials: introduction and methodology

Background

As increasing numbers of dengue vaccines and therapeutics are in clinical development, standardized consensus clinical endpoint definitions are urgently needed to assess the efficacy of different interventions with respect to disease severity. We aimed to convene dengue experts representing various sectors and dengue endemic areas to review the literature and propose clinical endpoint definitions for moderate and severe disease based on the framework provided by the WHO 2009 classification.

Methods

The endpoints were first proposed and discussed in a structured expert consultation. After that, the Delphi method was carried out to assess the usefulness, validity and feasibility of the standardized clinical disease endpoints for interventional dengue research.

Results

Most respondents (> 80%) agreed there is a need for both standardized clinical endpoints and operationalization of severe endpoints. Most respondents (67%) felt there is utility for moderate severity endpoints, but cited challenges in their development. Hospitalization as a moderate endpoint of disease severity or measure of public health impact was deemed to be useful by only 47% of respondents, but 89% felt it could bring about supplemental information if carefully contextualized according to data collection setting. Over half of the respondents favored alignment of the standard endpoints with the WHO guidelines (58%), but cautioned that the endpoints could have ramifications for public health practice. In terms of data granularity of the endpoints, there was a slight preference for a categorical vs numeric system (e.g. 1–10) (47% vs 34%), and 74% of respondents suggested validating the endpoints using large prospective data sets.

Conclusion

The structured consensus-building process was successful taking into account the history of the debate around potential endpoints for severe dengue. There is clear support for the development of standardized endpoints for interventional clinical research and the need for subsequent validation with prospective data sets. Challenges include the complexity of developing moderate disease research endpoints for dengue.

Biomarkers and mortality in severe Chagas cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Chagas cardiomyopathy is a chronic sequela of infection by the parasite, Trypanosoma cruzi. Advanced cardiomyopathy is associated with a high mortality rate, and clinical characteristics have been used to predict mortality risk. Though multiple biomarkers have been associated with Chagas cardiomyopathy, it is unknown how these are related to survival.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to identify biomarkers associated with mortality in individuals with severe Chagas cardiomyopathy in an urban Bolivian hospital.

METHODS

The population included individuals with and without T. cruzi infection recruited in an urban hospital in Santa Cruz, Bolivia. Baseline characteristics, electrocardiogram findings, medications, and serum cardiac biomarker levels (B-type natriuretic peptide [BNP], N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP], creatine kinase-myocardial band [CK-MB], troponin I, matrix metalloproteinase [MMP]-2, MMP-9, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases [TIMP] 1 and 2, transforming growth factor [TGF] beta 1 and 2) were ascertained. Echocardiograms were performed on those with cardiac symptoms or electrocardiogram abnormalities at baseline. Participants were contacted approximately 1 year after initial evaluation; deaths were reported by family members. Receiver-operating characteristic curves (ROC) were used to optimize cutoff values for each marker. For markers with area under the curve (AUC) >0.55, Cox proportional hazards models were performed to determine the hazards ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the association of each marker with mortality.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 14.1 months (interquartile range 12.5, 16.7). Of 254 individuals with complete cardiac data, 220 (87%) had follow-up data. Of 50 patients with severe Chagas cardiomyopathy at baseline, 20 (40%) had died. Higher baseline levels of BNP (HR: 3.1, 95% CI: 1.2 to 8.4), NT-proBNP (HR: 4.4, 95% CI: 1.8 to 11.0), CK-MB (HR: 3.3, 95% CI: 1.3 to 8.0), and MMP-2 (HR: 4.2, 95% CI: 1.5 to 11.8) were significantly associated with subsequent mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Severe Chagas cardiomyopathy is associated with high short-term mortality. BNP, NT-proBNP, CK-MB, and MMP-2 have added predictive value for mortality, even in the presence of decreased ejection fraction and other clinical signs of congestive heart failure.

Cytomegalovirus viral load and mortality after haemopoietic stem cell transplantation in the era of pre-emptive therapy: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although cytomegalovirus viral load is commonly used to guide pre-emptive therapy in the post-transplantation setting, few data are available correlating viraemia with clinical endpoints. We therefore investigated the association between cytomegalovirus viral load and mortality in the first year after haemopoietic stem cell transplantation.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we included patients from the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, WA, USA, who received an allogeneic haemopoietic stem cell transplantation between Jan 1, 2007, and Feb 28, 2013, were cytomegalovirus seropositive or had a seropositive donor, and underwent weekly plasma cytomegalovirus monitoring by PCR through to day 100 post-transplantation. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association of cytomegalovirus viral load at different thresholds with overall mortality by 1 year post-transplantation, adjusting for the use of pre-emptive therapy and other factors such as neutropenia, and graft-versus-host disease.

FINDINGS

Of the 1037 patients initially selected for inclusion in this cohort, 87 (8%) patients were excluded because of missing cytomegalovirus testing and 24 (2%) were excluded because of their participation in cytomegalovirus prophylaxis trials. In the remaining 926 patients included in this study, the cumulative overall mortality was 30·0% (95% CI 26·9-33·0) 1 year after haemopoietic stem cell transplantation. 95 patients developed cytomegalovirus disease; death was directly attributable to cytomegalovirus disease in three (1%) of 263 patients who died in the first year after transplantation. A cytomegalovirus viral load of 250 IU/mL or greater was associated with increased risk of early (day 0-60 post-transplantation) death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 19·8, 95% CI 9·6-41·1). The risk was attenuated after day 60 (adjusted HR 1·8, 95% CI 1·3-2·3). Similar associations were noted for higher cytomegalovirus viral load thresholds.

INTERPRETATION

Cytomegalovirus viraemia is associated with an increased risk of overall mortality in the first year after haemopoietic stem cell transplantation, independent of the use of pre-emptive therapy, and with evidence of a positive dose-response relationship. These data indicate the suitability of viral load as a surrogate clinical endpoint for clinical trials for cytomegalovirus vaccines, biologics, and drugs.

FUNDING

Merck and Co, National Institutes of Health.

Correlation of plasma nitrite/nitrate levels and inducible nitric oxide gene expression among women with cervical abnormalities and cancer

Cervical cancer is caused by infection with high risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV). Inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), a soluble factor involved in chronic inflammation, may modulate cervical cancer risk among HPV infected women. The aim of the study was to measure and correlate plasma nitrite/nitrate levels with tissue specific expression of iNOS mRNA among women with different grades of cervical lesions and cervical cancer. Tissue biopsy and plasma specimens were collected from 120 women with cervical neoplasia or cancer (ASCUS, LSIL, HSIL and invasive cancer) and 35 women without cervical abnormalities. Inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) mRNA from biopsy and plasma nitrite/nitrate levels of the same study subjects were measured. Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) analysis was performed on the promoter region and Ser608Leu (rs2297518) in exon 16 of the iNOS gene. Differences in iNOS gene expression and plasma nitrite/nitrate levels were compared across disease stage using linear and logistic regression analysis. Compared to normal controls, women diagnosed with HSIL or invasive cancer had a significantly higher concentration of plasma nitrite/nitrate and a higher median fold-change in iNOS mRNA gene expression. Genotyping of the promoter region showed three different variations: A pentanucleotide repeat (CCTTT) n, -1026T > G (rs2779249) and a novel variant -1153T > A. These variants were associated with increased levels of plasma nitrite/nitrate across all disease stages. The higher expression of iNOS mRNA and plasma nitrite/nitrate among women with pre-cancerous lesions suggests a role for nitric oxide in the natural history of cervical cancer.

Prevalence and correlates of oral human papillomavirus infection among healthy males and females in Lima, Peru

PURPOSE

The incidence of human papillomavirus (HPV) associated head and neck cancers (HNCs) have been increasing in Peru. However, the burden of oral HPV infection in Peru has not been assessed. The objective of this cross-sectional study was to estimate the prevalence and correlates of oral HPV infection in a population-based sample from males and females from Lima, Peru.

METHODS

Between January 2010 and June 2011, a population-based sample of 1099 individuals between the ages of 10 and 85 from a low-income neighbourhood in Lima, Peru was identified through random household sampling. Information on demographic, sexual behaviours, reproductive factors and oral hygiene were collected using interviewer-administered questionnaires. Oral rinse specimens were collected from each participant, and these specimens were genotyped using the Roche Linear Array assay. ORs were used to assess differences in the prevalence of any oral HPV and any high-risk oral HPV infection by demographic factors, sexual practices and oral hygiene among individuals 15+ years of age.

RESULTS

The prevalence of any HPV and any high-risk HPV (HR-HPV) was 6.8% and 2.0%, respectively. The three most common types were HPV 55 (3.4%), HPV 6 (1.5%) and HPV 16 (1.1%). Male sex (aOR, 2.21; 95% CI 1.22 to 4.03) was associated with any HPV infection after adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of oral HPV in this study was similar to estimates observed in the USA. Higher prevalence of oral infections in males was consistent with a male predominance of HPV-associated HNCs and may signal a sex-specific aetiology in the natural history of infection.

Prevalence and Transmission of Trypanosoma cruzi in People of Rural Communities of the High Jungle of Northern Peru

Background

Vector-borne transmission of Trypanosoma cruzi is seen exclusively in the Americas where an estimated 8 million people are infected with the parasite. Significant research in southern Peru has been conducted to understand T. cruzi infection and vector control, however, much less is known about the burden of infection and epidemiology in northern Peru.

Methodology

A cross-sectional study was conducted to estimate the seroprevalence of T. cruzi infection in humans (n=611) and domestic animals [dogs (n=106) and guinea pigs (n=206)] in communities of Cutervo Province, Peru. Sampling and diagnostic strategies differed according to species. An entomological household study (n=208) was conducted to identify the triatomine burden and species composition, as well as the prevalence of T. cruzi in vectors. Electrocardiograms (EKG) were performed on a subset of participants (n=90 T. cruzi infected participants and 170 age and sex-matched controls). The seroprevalence of T. cruzi among humans, dogs, and guinea pigs was 14.9% (95% CI: 12.2 – 18.0%), 19.8% (95% CI: 12.7- 28.7%) and 3.3% (95% CI: 1.4 – 6.9%) respectively. In one community, the prevalence of T. cruzi infection was 17.2% (95% CI: 9.6 - 24.7%) among participants < 15 years, suggesting recent transmission. Increasing age, positive triatomines in a participant's house, and ownership of a T. cruzi positive guinea pig were independent correlates of T. cruzi infection. Only one species of triatomine was found, Panstrongylus lignarius, formerly P. herreri. Approximately forty percent (39.9%, 95% CI: 33.2 - 46.9%) of surveyed households were infested with this vector and 14.9% (95% CI: 10.4 - 20.5%) had at least one triatomine positive for T. cruzi. The cardiac abnormality of right bundle branch block was rare, but only identified in seropositive individuals.

Conclusions

Our research documents a substantial prevalence of T. cruzi infection in Cutervo and highlights a need for greater attention and vector control efforts in northern Peru.

Chagas disease causes significant morbidity and mortality throughout Central and South America. The epidemiology and control of this disease is subject to unique regional particularities, including the behavior and ecology of the local insect vector species. Significant resources have been allocated towards research and control efforts in southern Peru, yet very little is known about the prevalence and epidemiology of Trypanosoma cruzi in northern Peru. Our study highlights significant T. cruzi infection in northern Peru and is one of the first to document substantial transmission by the insect Panstrongylus lignarius. Our results illustrate major gaps in knowledge and the need for public health interventions targeted at Chagas disease in the region of Cutervo Province of northern Peru.

Prevalence and correlates of HPV among women attending family-planning clinics in Thailand

Background

Cervical cancer is the most common cancer among women of reproductive age in Thailand. However, information on the prevalence and correlates of anogenital HPV infection in Thailand is sparse.

Methods

HPV genotype information, reproductive factors, sexual behavior, other STI and clinical information, and cervical cytology and histology were assessed at enrollment among one thousand two hundred and fifty-six (n = 1,256) HIV negative women aged 20–37 from Thailand enrolled in a prospective study of the natural history of HPV. The type-specific prevalence of HPV was estimated using cervical swab specimens from healthy women and women with a diagnosis of CIN 2/3 at baseline. Prevalence ratios (95% CI) were estimated using Poisson regression to quantify the association of demographic, behavioral, and clinical correlates with prevalent HPV infection.

Results

Overall, 307 (24.6%) and 175 (14.0%) of women were positive for any HPV type and any HR-HPV type, respectively; the most common types were 72, 52, 62, and 16. Among women diagnosed with CIN 2/3 at enrollment (n = 11), the most prevalent HPV types were 52 and 16. In multivariate analysis, HPV prevalence at enrollment was higher among women with: long-term combined oral contraceptive use, a higher number of lifetime sexual partners, a prior Chlamydia infection, and a current diagnosis of Bacterial Vaginosis.

Conclusion

The study findings provide important information that can be used in the evaluation of primary and secondary interventions designed to reduce the burden of cervical cancer in Thailand.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12879-015-0886-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Circulating serum markers and QRS scar score in Chagas cardiomyopathy

Approximately 8 million people have Trypanosoma cruzi infection, and nearly 30% will manifest Chagas cardiomyopathy (CC). Identification of reliable early indicators of CC risk would enable prioritization of treatment to those with the highest probability of future disease. Serum markers and electrocardiogram (EKG) changes were measured in 68 T. cruzi-infected individuals in various stages of cardiac disease and 17 individuals without T. cruzi infection or cardiac disease. T. cruzi-infected individuals were assigned to stage A (normal EKG/chest x-ray [CXR]), B (abnormal EKG/normal CXR), or C (abnormal EKG/cardiac structural changes). Ten serum markers were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA)/Luminex, and QRS scores were calculated. Higher concentrations of transforming growth factor-β1 (TGFβ1), and TGFβ2 were associated with stage B compared with stage A. Matrix Metalloproteinase 2 (MMP2), Tissue Inhibitors of MMP 1, QRS score, and Brain Natriuretic Protein rose progressively with increasing CC severity. Elevated levels of several markers of cardiac damage and inflammation are seen in early CC and warrant additional evaluation in longitudinal studies.

Biomarkers in Trypanosoma cruzi-infected and uninfected individuals with varying severity of cardiomyopathy in Santa Cruz, Bolivia

Background

Twenty to thirty percent of persons with Trypanosoma cruzi infection eventually develop cardiomyopathy. If an early indicator were to be identified and validated in longitudinal studies, this could enable treatment to be prioritized for those at highest risk. We evaluated cardiac and extracellular matrix remodeling markers across cardiac stages in T. cruzi infected (Tc+) and uninfected (Tc−) individuals.

Methods

Participants were recruited in a public hospital in Santa Cruz, Bolivia and assigned cardiac severity stages by electrocardiogram and echocardiogram. BNP, NTproBNP, CKMB, troponin I, MMP-2, MMP-9, TIMP-1, TIMP-2, TGFb1, and TGFb2 were measured in specimens from 265 individuals using multiplex bead systems. Biomarker levels were compared between Tc+ and Tc− groups, and across cardiac stages. Receivers operating characteristic (ROC) curves were created; for markers with area under curve>0.60, logistic regression was performed.

Results

Analyses stratified by cardiac stage showed no significant differences in biomarker levels by Tc infection status. Among Tc+ individuals, those with cardiac insufficiency had higher levels of BNP, NTproBNP, troponin I, MMP-2, TIMP-1, and TIMP-2 than those with normal ejection fraction and left ventricular diameter. No individual marker distinguished between the two earliest Tc+ stages, but in ROC-based analyses, MMP-2/MMP-9 ratio was significantly higher in those with than those without ECG abnormalities.

Conclusions

BNP, NTproBNP, troponin I, MMP-2, TIMP-1, and TIMP-2 levels rose with increasing severity stage but did not distinguish between Chagas cardiomyopathy and other cardiomyopathies. Among Tc+ individuals without cardiac insufficiency, only the MMP-2/MMP-9 ratio differed between those with and without ECG changes.

In Chagas disease, a parasitic disease found primarily in Central and South America, individuals are chronically infected with the parasite Trypanosoma cruzi. A few decades after initial infection, 20–30% of infected individuals will develop cardiac disease. If we were able to predict which individuals would progress to cardiac disease, treatment in these low resource areas could be targeted to those at highest risk. The ideal transition point to identify those at risk would be as individuals progress from a normal electrocardiogram to an abnormal electrocardiogram, the first step in the progression of cardiac disease. Previous studies have suggested a group of serum biomarkers able to differentiate between these stages of disease. However, our larger and more comprehensive study finds that none of the ten cardiac and remodeling biomarkers we tested are able to distinguish between healthy individuals and those with the earliest evidence of cardiac disease. We did find cardiac biomarkers to be elevated in those with severe cardiac disease as expected in both T. cruzi infected and uninfected individuals.

Venous thromboembolism and cancer risk among elderly adults in the United States

BACKGROUND

Few studies have evaluated cancer risk following venous thromboembolism (VTE). Both VTE and cancer disproportionately affect older adults.

METHODS

Using linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare data, we evaluated 1.2 million cancer cases and 200,000 controls (66-99 years old, 1992-2005). VTEs occurring before selection were identified using Medicare claims. Logistic regression was used to estimate ORs.

RESULTS

VTE was present in 2.5% of cases and 2.2% of controls. VTE was associated with risk of cancers of the lung [OR = 1.18; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.12-1.23], stomach (OR = 1.19; 95% CI, 1.09-1.30), small intestine (OR = 1.42; 95% CI, 1.17-1.71), colon (OR = 1.25; 95% CI, 1.18-1.31), gallbladder (OR = 1.39; 95% CI, 1.16-1.67), pancreas (OR = 1.53; 95% CI, 1.43-1.64), soft tissue (OR = 1.43; 95% CI, 1.21-1.68), ovary (OR = 1.35; 95% CI, 1.22-1.50), and kidney/renal pelvis (OR = 1.34; 95% CI, 1.23-1.46), and melanoma (OR = 1.17; 95% CI, 1.08-1.27), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (OR = 1.27; 95% CI, 1.20- 1.35), myeloma (OR = 1.48; 95% CI, 1.35-1.63), and acute myeloid leukemia (OR = 1.35; 95% CI, 1.19-1.54). Strongest risks were observed within 1 year of VTE diagnosis, but risks were elevated more than 6 years after VTE for colon cancer (OR = 1.24; 95% CI, 1.12-1.37), pancreatic cancer (OR = 1.33; 95% CI, 1.15-1.54), and myeloma (OR = 1.35; 95% CI, 1.10-1.66). Few differences in risk were observed by VTE subtype. Cancers of the lung, stomach, and pancreas were more likely to have distant metastases within one year after VTE.

CONCLUSION

Among elderly adults, cancer risk is elevated following VTE diagnosis.

IMPACT

Short-term associations with cancer are likely driven by enhanced screening following VTE and reverse causation. While obesity, other comorbidities, and smoking cannot be excluded as explanations, longer-term elevations for select cancers suggest that some VTEs may be caused by cancer precursors.

Occurrence and correlates of symptom persistence following acute dengue fever in Peru

Dengue virus (DENV) infection causes an acute febrile illness generally considered to result in either complete recovery or death. Some reviews describe persistent symptoms after the febrile phase, although empirical data supporting this phenomenon is scarce. We evaluated symptom persistence in acute febrile DENV-infected and DENV-negative (controls) individuals from Peru. Self-reported solicited symptoms were evaluated at an acute and a follow-up visit, occurring 10-60 days after symptom onset. Rate of persistence of at least one symptom was 7.7% and 10.5% for DENV infected and control subjects, respectively (P < 0.01). The DENV-infected individuals had lower rates of persistent respiratory symptoms, gastrointestinal symptoms, headache, and fatigue, but higher rates of persistent rash compared with controls. Older age and female gender were positively associated with symptom persistence. As dengue cases continue to increase annually, even a relatively low frequency of persistent symptoms may represent a considerable worldwide morbidity burden.

Association of marijuana smoking with oropharyngeal and oral tongue cancers: pooled analysis from the INHANCE consortium

BACKGROUND

The incidence of oropharyngeal and oral tongue cancers has increased over the last 20 years which parallels increased use of marijuana among individuals born after 1950.

METHODS

A pooled analysis was conducted comprising individual-level data from nine case-control studies from the United States and Latin America in the INHANCE consortium. Self-reported information on marijuana smoking, demographic, and behavioral factors was obtained from 1,921 oropharyngeal cases, 356 oral tongue cases, and 7,639 controls.

RESULTS

Compared with never marijuana smokers, ever marijuana smokers had an elevated risk of oropharyngeal [adjusted OR (aOR), 1.24; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-1.47] and a reduced risk of oral tongue cancer (aOR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.29, 0.75). The risk of oropharyngeal cancer remained elevated among never tobacco and alcohol users. The risk of oral tongue cancer was reduced among never users of tobacco and alcohol. Sensitivity analysis adjusting for potential confounding by HPV exposure attenuated the association of marijuana use with oropharyngeal cancer (aOR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.71-1.25), but had no effect on the oral tongue cancer association.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that the association of marijuana use with head and neck carcinoma may differ by tumor site.

IMPACT

The associations of marijuana use with oropharyngeal and oral tongue cancer are consistent with both possible pro- and anticarcinogenic effects of cannabinoids. Additional work is needed to rule out various sources of bias, including residual confounding by HPV infection and misclassification of marijuana exposure.

Trends in head and neck cancers in Peru between 1987 and 2008: Experience from a large public cancer hospital in Lima

BACKGROUND

Few studies have evaluated the trends in head and neck cancer in developing countries. The purpose of this study was to estimate trends in incidence of human papillomavirus-related (HPV-R) and HPV-unrelated (HPV-U) head and neck cancer in Lima, Peru, from 1987 to 2008.

METHODS

Registry data from a single public cancer hospital were used to estimate age and sex-specific incidence rates. Annualized percent change was estimated using Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The rate of total head and neck cancers, HPV-U, and HPV-R was 11.9, 10.9, and 0.8, respectively, per 100,000 person-years. Significant increases in HPV-U head and neck cancer were observed in men aged 30 to 44 (2.5%/year) and women 15 to 29 (4.2%/year), 30 to 44 (3.4%/year), and 60 to 74 (2.0%/year). Significant increases in HPV-R head and neck cancer were observed only among men aged 45 to 59 (9.6%/year).

CONCLUSION

Although increased exposure to tobacco, occupational carcinogens, and changing sexual behaviors could be influencing these trends, additional analyses to assess generalizability of these findings to other regions of Peru are needed.

A cohort effect of the sexual revolution may be masking an increase in human papillomavirus detection at menopause in the United States

BACKGROUND

Cohort effects, new sex partnerships, and human papillomavirus (HPV) reactivation have been posited as explanations for the bimodal age-specific HPV prevalence observed in some populations; no studies have systematically evaluated the reasons for the lack of a second peak in the United States.

METHODS

A cohort of 843 women aged 35-60 years were enrolled into a 2-year, semiannual follow-up study. Age-specific HPV prevalence was estimated in strata defined by a lower risk of prior infection (<5 self-reported lifetime sex partners) and a higher risk of prior infection (≥ 5 lifetime sex partners). The interaction between age and lifetime sex partners was tested using likelihood ratio statistics. Population attributable risk (PAR) was estimated using Levin's formula.

RESULTS

The age-specific prevalence of 14 high-risk HPV genotypes (HR-HPV) declined with age among women with <5 lifetime sex partners but not among women with ≥ 5 lifetime sex partners (P = .01 for interaction). The PAR for HR-HPV due to ≥ 5 lifetime sex partners was higher among older women (87.2%), compared with younger women (28.0%). In contrast, the PAR associated with a new sex partner was 28% among women aged 35-49 years and 7.7% among women aged 50-60 years.

CONCLUSIONS

A lower cumulative probability of HPV infection among women with a sexual debut before the sexual revolution may be masking an age-related increase in HPV reactivation in the United States.

Comparison of normalization methods for measuring immune markers in cervical secretion specimens

Ophthalmic sponges are used to collect undiluted cervical secretions for assessment of markers of genital tract immunity. Heterogeneity in absorbed and extracted sample volumes requires normalization in order to make valid inter-individual comparisons. We evaluated the performance of adjustment by weight and total protein on normalizing inter-individual variability of immune marker measurement due to differences in volume collection. Normalization to total protein resulted in a minimal loss of usable specimens and a significant reduction in the correlation of immune marker concentration to specimen weight compared to weight adjustment. Total protein normalization appeared to be more effective than weight adjustment in reducing the dependence of cervical immune marker concentrations on differences in specimen volume.

Correlation of serotype-specific dengue virus infection with clinical manifestations

Background

Disease caused by the dengue virus (DENV) is a significant cause of morbidity throughout the world. Although prior research has focused on the association of specific DENV serotypes (DENV-1, DENV-2, DENV-3, and DENV-4) with the development of severe outcomes such as dengue hemorrhagic fever and dengue shock syndrome, relatively little work has correlated other clinical manifestations with a particular DENV serotype. The goal of this study was to estimate and compare the prevalence of non-hemorrhagic clinical manifestations of DENV infection by serotype.

Methodology and Principal Findings

Between the years 2005–2010, individuals with febrile disease from Peru, Bolivia, Ecuador, and Paraguay were enrolled in an outpatient passive surveillance study. Detailed information regarding clinical signs and symptoms, as well as demographic information, was collected. DENV infection was confirmed in patient sera with polyclonal antibodies in a culture-based immunofluorescence assay, and the infecting serotype was determined by serotype-specific monoclonal antibodies. Differences in the prevalence of individual and organ-system manifestations were compared across DENV serotypes. One thousand seven hundred and sixteen individuals were identified as being infected with DENV-1 (39.8%), DENV-2 (4.3%), DENV-3 (41.5%), or DENV-4 (14.4%). When all four DENV serotypes were compared with each other, individuals infected with DENV-3 had a higher prevalence of musculoskeletal and gastrointestinal manifestations, and individuals infected with DENV-4 had a higher prevalence of respiratory and cutaneous manifestations.

Conclusions/Significance

Specific clinical manifestations, as well as groups of clinical manifestations, are often overrepresented by an individual DENV serotype.

Dengue virus (DENV) causes disease in millions of people annually and disproportionately affects those in the developing world. DENVs may be divided into four serotypes (DENV-1, DENV-2, DENV-3, and DENV-4) and a geographical region may be affected by one or more DENV serotypes simultaneously. Infection with DENV may cause life-threatening disease such as dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) or dengue shock syndrome (DSS), but more often causes less severe manifestations affecting a wide range of organs. Although many previous reports have explored the role of the different DENV serotypes in the development of severe manifestations, little attention has focused on the relative role of each DENV serotype in the development of cutaneous, respiratory, gastrointestinal, musculoskeletal, and neurological manifestations. We recruited a large group of participants from four countries in South America to compare the prevalence of more than 30 manifestations among the four different DENV serotypes. We found that certain DENV serotypes were often associated with a higher prevalence of a certain manifestation (e.g., DENV-3 and diarrhea) or manifestation group (e.g., DENV-4 and cutaneous manifestations).

Differences in the concentration and correlation of cervical immune markers among HPV positive and negative perimenopausal women

INTRODUCTION

Women≥45years of age with persistent HPV infections have distinct peripheral circulating immune profiles. Few studies have comprehensively evaluated the cervical immunologic microenvironment in HPV-positive and HPV-negative perimenopausal women.

METHODS

We collected cervical secretion specimens from 34 high risk HPV (HR-HPV) positive and 44 HR-HPV negative women enrolled in an ongoing prospective cohort assessing the natural history of HPV across the menopausal transition. We used these specimens to quantify concentrations of 27 different immune markers using multiplexed bead-based immunoassays.

RESULTS

HR-HPV positive women had significantly higher median concentrations of IL-5 (0.11 ng/mgtotal protein vs. 0.08 ng/mgtotal protein), IL-9 (2.7 ng/mgtotal protein vs. 2.1 ng/mgtotal protein), IL-13 (2.1 ng/mgtotal protein vs. 0.9 ng/mgtotal protein), IL-17 (2.9 ng/mgtotal protein vs. 1.1 ng/mgtotal protein), EOTAXIN (4.1 ng/mgtotal protein vs. 1.1 ng/mgtotal protein), GM-CSF (4.3 ng/mgtotal protein vs. 3.3 ng/mgtotal protein), and MIP-1α (3.5 ng/mgtotal protein vs. 1.9 ng/mgtotal protein) compared to HR-HPV negative women. A shift in the correlation of T-cell and pro-inflammatory cytokines (IFN-γ, IL-5, IL-9, IL-10, IL-12, IL-13, IL-15, and TNF-α) from IL-2 to EOTAXIN was observed between HR-HPV negative and positive women.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher local concentrations of anti-inflammatory and allergy associated markers, with a shift in T-cell associated cytokine correlation from IL-2 to EOTAXIN, are associated with HPV infection among older women.

Sex differences in the incidence and case fatality rates from hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in China, 2004-2008

BACKGROUND

Differences between male and female individuals in response to infectious diseases are an overlooked global health problem.

METHODS

The relationship between sex and disease outcome was examined in populations of patients with hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in mainland China, where most cases of hantavirus exposure occur. HFRS in China is diagnosed on the basis of symptoms and is confirmed with serological testing. The geographical distribution, incidence, and case fatality rates (CFRs) of HFRS in China were estimated and compared by patient sex and age. In a subset of patients with HFRS, clinical manifestations of HFRS were assessed using latent class analysis and compared by sex.

RESULTS

There were 80,671 HFRS cases reported during the period 2004-2008, with a majority of HFRS cases (39.2%) occurring among individuals 20-39 years of age. The incidence of HFRS was higher among male patients than among female patients for all individuals >10 years of age. There were 945 deaths (CFR, 1.17%) due to HFRS in China during the period 2004-2008. CFRs were higher among women than among men between the ages of 20-39 and ≥ 50 years of age. There were no sex differences in the geographical distribution of HFRS cases or deaths. Although the prevalence of each clinical marker did not differ by sex, 2 profiles of clinical markers were identified that were related to both severity of disease and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

These data illustrate a paradox in which the incidence of disease is greater for males, but the severity of disease outcome is worse for females. Several behavioral, societal, and biological factors are hypothesized to be involved.

Polymer-based enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay using human papillomavirus type 16 (HPV16) virus-like particles detects HPV16 clade-specific serologic responses

Human papillomavirus type 16 (HPV16) virus-like particles (VLP) were used as antigen in a polymer enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) to measure antibodies to HPV capsid proteins. Serum samples from 575 college women, previously tested for the presence of cervicovaginal HPV DNA, were analyzed. The prevalences of anti-HPV16 VLP antibodies at baseline were 14.1% for immunoglobulin G (IgG) and 6.4% for IgA. The seroprevalences of IgG in women with cervicovaginal HPV16, HPV16-related types, and other HPV types were 55, 33, and 19%, respectively (P < 0.001), compared to the prevalence in women without an HPV infection (10%). HPV VLP IgA seropositivity was associated with high HPV16 VLP IgG optical density values. The seropositivity of IgG antibodies was independently associated with infection with HPV16 or HPV16-related types, increased number of lifetime male partners for vaginal sex, having sex with men >/= 5 years older, history of abnormal PAP smear, older age, and living separately from parents. Use of HPV16 VLP polymer ELISA detects clade-specific responses and suggests an HPV16 VLP vaccine may have broader protection that initially anticipated.

Performance implications of leader briefings and team-interaction training for team adaptation to novel environments

The authors examined how leader briefings and team-interaction training influence team members' knowledge structures concerning processes related to effective performance in both routine and novel environments. Two-hundred thirty-seven undergraduates from a large mid-Atlantic university formed 79 three-member tank platoon teams and participated in a low-fidelity tank simulation. Team-interaction training, leader briefings, and novelty of performance environment were manipulated. Findings indicated that both leader briefings and team-interaction training affected the development of mental models, which in turn positively influenced team communication processes and team performance. Mental models and communication processes predicted performance more strongly in novel than in routine environments. Implications for the role of team-interaction training, leader briefings, and mental models as mechanisms for team adaptation are discussed.

Itraconazole for the treatment of cryptococcosis in cats

Itraconazole was used in 35 cats with cryptococcosis. Treatment response was determined by comparing clinical signs before, during, and after treatment. It could not be evaluated in 7 cats because they died during treatment from causes unrelated to cryptococcosis. Of the remaining 28 cats, treatment response was classified as success in 16 cats (57%), as improvement in 8 cats (29%), and as a failure in 4 (14%). The failures were due to death or euthanasia from drug toxicity (1 cat), progressive fungal disease (2 cats), and relapse 1 year after treatment (1 cat). The cats that improved did not undergo a 1-year posttreatment evaluation because they were lost to follow-up (3 cats), died or were euthanatized for other reasons (4 cats), or had a noncompliant owner (1 cat). For the 16 cats in which treatment was successful, the median itraconazole dose was 13.8 mg/kg body weight daily (range, 10.9 to 26.7 mg/kg/d), and the median duration of treatment was 8.5 months (range, 4 to 16 months). Five of these cats had previously been treated unsuccessfully with ketoconazole.

Rapid tissue expansion for the development of rotational skin flaps in the distal portion of the hindlimb of dogs: an experimental study

In phase I, tissue expanders were implanted subcutaneously over the lateral crural region of four dogs. The expanders were inflated daily to maintain a constant intraluminal pressure for 7 days. All animals tolerated the pressurized expanders well. Some animal patient discomfort was associated with repeated injections into the subcutaneous filling port. One dog developed a limited area of tissue loss and exposure of the expander. Tissue response to the expanders included epidermal hyperplasia, dermal collagen compression with early fibroplasia, and subcutaneous granulation tissue formation adjacent to the expander pocket. In phase II, a second group of four dogs underwent rapid skin expansion over 7 days. The pressure applied to the expanding skin was determined daily and adjusted to approximate the value reported for capillary pressure in the dog. Tissue discoloration occurred in two dogs, suggestive of impaired circulation. Skin flaps were developed from expanded skin and rotated over the talocrural region. Wound dehiscence occurred along the distal flap margin in three phase II dogs. These wounds healed by second intention. Branches of the caudal saphenous artery were identified, using angiography, as the primary blood supply to the skin flaps.

Serologic survey for antibodies to Borrelia burgdorferi in white-tailed deer in Georgia

A serologic survey for antibodies to Borrelia burgdorferi utilizing an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was conducted on white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) serum samples collected in Georgia (USA) from 1979 to 1990. Serologic results from four regions (Barrier Islands, Coastal Plain, Piedmont, and Mountain) and three age classes (0.5, 1.5, and > or = 2.5 yr) were compared. Antibody prevalence, as determined by positive results at a 1:64 dilution or higher, was 36% in the Barrier Islands, 14% in the Coastal Plain, 8% in the Piedmont, and 4% in the Mountain regions. Statewide antibody prevalence was 19%. Antibody titers generally were low, and if a more conservative cutoff titer of 1:128 were used, the statewide prevalence estimate would have been reduced to 5%. Antibody prevalence as determined at this higher cutoff value, however, still remained highest in the Barrier Islands and lowest in the Mountains. Prevalence estimates were lower in the 0.5-yr age class than in the 1.5-yr or > or = 2.5-yr age class (P < 0.05). A more in-depth retrospective study of the Barrier Islands region from 1971 to 1985 revealed a 50% overall antibody prevalence; positive results were found in every year represented except 1990. Based on these results, we propose that B. burgdorferi has been present in Georgia since at least 1971.

Comparison of latex agglutination, indirect immunofluorescent antibody, and enzyme immunoassay methods for serodiagnosis of Rocky Mountain spotted fever in dogs

Indirect immunofluorescent antibody (IFA), latex agglutination (LA), and enzyme immunoassay (EIA) methods were compared for evaluation of the serum antibody responses of dogs experimentally and naturally exposed to spotted fever-group rickettsiae. Selected sera (obtained on days 1, 42, 53, 124, 145, 236, 255, 264, and 292) were examined from three 8-month-old female Beagles inoculated with Rickettsia rickettsii on days 34 and 250 of the study. A second group of dogs comprised three 8-month-old female Beagles inoculated with R montana on days 34 and 102. Subsequently, these dogs were inoculated with R rickettsii on day 250. Serum samples were obtained from the second group of dogs on days 1, 96, 103, 132, 180, 215, 292, and 494. A third group consisted of 21 naturally exposed dogs, from which sequentially obtained serum samples were available, and which had clinical signs compatible with Rocky Mountain spotted fever. Clinical signs of disease in dogs of the third group resolved after treatment with tetracycline (22 mg/kg of body weight, PO, q 8 h) was instituted. At least 2 sequentially obtained serum samples from each dog were tested. In general, the first sample was obtained just prior to treatment and the convalescent serum samples were obtained at weekly or greater intervals thereafter. For correlation and reactivity data, an IFA test for IgG/IgM (using heavy and light chains-specific conjugate) was used as the reference standard for comparison of results with those of the other tests.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Clinical evaluation of a cryptococcal antigen latex agglutination test for diagnosis of cryptococcosis in cats

A commercial cryptococcal antigen latex agglutination test was used to evaluate sera from 20 cats with cryptococcosis and 184 cats without cryptococcosis. Cryptococcal antigen was detected in the sera from 19 of 20 cats with cryptococcosis. Antigen was not detected in sera from any of the cats without cryptococcosis. The test had sensitivity of 95% and specificity of 100%.

Increased lung uptake on technetium-99m-sulfur colloid liver-spleen scans in patients with hepatic venoocclusive disease following bone marrow transplantation

Three patients who developed signs and symptoms of liver dysfunction following autologous bone marrow transplantation showed varying degrees of increased lung uptake on technetium-99m-sulfur colloid (99mTc-SC) liver-spleen-scans and were subsequently demonstrated to have hepatic venoocclusive disease (VOD) at autopsy. Although increased lung uptake of labeled colloid has been noted in solid organ and bone marrow transplant patients, an association between this phenomenon and VOD has not been previously reported.

Bone scanning in Waldenstrom's macroglobulinemia

We present a case report of a remarkably positive bone scan in a patient known to be suffering from Waldenstrom's macroglobulinemia. Although bone involvement in this disease was originally thought not to be present, reports of bone involvement are becoming more frequent. Documenting the presence and extent of bone involvement is important because local palliative radiotherapy and/or orthopedic measures, similar to those recommended for patients suffering from multiple myeloma, may be required to prevent pathologic fractures and patient discomfort.

Measurements of dose from secondary radiation outside a treatment field

Radiation dose to organs outside the radiotherapy treatment field can be significant and therefore is of clinical interest. We have made measurements of dose at distances up to 70 cm from the central axes of 5 X 5, 15 X 15 and 25 X 25 cm radiation fields of 300 kVp, 4 MV and 8 MV X rays, and 60Co gamma rays, at the surface and at depths in water of 5 and 10 cm. Contributions to the total secondary radiation dose from water scatter, machine (collimator) scatter and leakage radiation have been separated. We have found that the component of dose from water scatter can be described by a simple exponential function of distance from the central axis of the radiation field for all energies and field sizes. Machine scatter contributes 20 to 40% of the total secondary dose depending on machine, field size and distance from the field. Leakage radiation contributes very little dose, but becomes the dominant component at distances beyond 60 cm from the central axis. Estimates of the risk of second tumors in long term survivors indicate a small incremental increase above the natural incidence rate based on information from the 1980 BEIR Committee report.