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Nepogodiev D, Ismail L, Meara JG, Roslani AC, Harrison EM, Bhangu A. Strengthening health systems through surgery. Lancet 2024:S0140-6736(24)01031-6. [PMID: 38782001 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)01031-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2024] [Accepted: 05/16/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Dmitri Nepogodiev
- NIHR Global Health Research Unit on Global Surgery, Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Translational Medicine, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK.
| | - Lawani Ismail
- Department of Visceral Surgery, University of Abomey-Calavi Faculty of Health Sciences, Cotonou, Benin
| | - John G Meara
- Program in Global Surgery and Social Change and Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - April C Roslani
- Department of Surgery, University Malaya Medical Centre and Faculty of Medicine, University Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Aneel Bhangu
- NIHR Global Health Research Unit on Global Surgery, Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Translational Medicine, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK
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2
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Attia A, Webb J, Connor K, Johnston CJC, Williams M, Gordon-Walker T, Rowe IA, Harrison EM, Stutchfield BM. Effect of recipient age on prioritisation for liver transplantation in the UK: a population-based modelling study. Lancet Healthy Longev 2024; 5:e346-e355. [PMID: 38705152 DOI: 10.1016/s2666-7568(24)00044-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2023] [Revised: 03/05/2024] [Accepted: 03/05/2024] [Indexed: 05/07/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Following the introduction of an algorithm aiming to maximise life-years gained from liver transplantation in the UK (the transplant benefit score [TBS]), donor livers were redirected from younger to older patients, mortality rate equalised across the age range and short-term waiting list mortality reduced. Understanding age-related prioritisation has been challenging, especially for younger patients and clinicians allocating non-TBS-directed livers. We aimed to assess age-related prioritisation within the TBS algorithm by modelling liver transplantation prioritisation based on data from a UK transplant unit and comparing these data with other regions. METHODS In this population-based modelling study, serum parameters and age at liver transplantation assessment of patients attending the Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Edinburgh, UK, between December, 2002, and November, 2023, were combined with representative synthetic data to model TBS survival predictions, which were compared according to age group (25-49 years vs ≥60 years), chronic liver disease severity, and disease cause. Models for end-stage liver disease (UKELD [UK], MELD [Eurotransplant region], and MELD 3.0 [USA]) were used as validated comparators of liver disease severity. FINDINGS Of 2093 patients with chronic liver disease, 1808 (86%) had complete datasets and liver disease parameters consistent with eligibility for the liver transplant waiting list in the UK (UKELD ≥49). Disease severity as assessed by UKELD, MELD, and MELD 3.0 did not differ by age (median UKELD scores of 56 for patients aged ≥60 years vs 56 for patients aged 25-49 years; MELD scores of 16 vs 16; and MELD 3.0 scores of 18 vs 18). TBS increased with advancing age (R=0·45, p<0·0001). TBS predicted that transplantation in patients aged 60 years or older would provide a two-fold greater net benefit at 5 years than in patients aged 25-49 years (median TBS 1317 [IQR 1116-1436] in older patients vs 706 [411-1095] in younger patients; p<0·0001). Older patients were predicted to have shorter survival without transplantation than younger patients (263 days [IQR 144-473] in older patients vs 861 days [448-1164] in younger patients; p<0·0001) but similar survival after transplantation (1599 days [1563-1628] vs 1573 days [1525-1614]; p<0·0001). Older patients could reach a TBS for which a liver offer was likely below minimum criteria for transplantation (UKELD <49), whereas many younger patients were required to have high-urgent disease (UKELD >60). US and Eurotransplant programmes did not prioritise according to age. INTERPRETATION The UK liver allocation algorithm prioritises older patients for transplantation by predicting that advancing age increases the benefit from liver transplantation. Restricted follow-up and biases in waiting list data might limit the accuracy of these benefit predictions. Measures beyond overall waiting list mortality are required to fully capture the benefits of liver transplantation. FUNDING None.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony Attia
- School of Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Jamie Webb
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Katherine Connor
- Department of Clinical and Surgical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Chris J C Johnston
- Department of Clinical and Surgical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Michael Williams
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Tim Gordon-Walker
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ian A Rowe
- Leeds Institute for Medical Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Department of Clinical and Surgical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ben M Stutchfield
- Department of Clinical and Surgical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
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3
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Varghese C, Harrison EM, O'Grady G, Topol EJ. Artificial intelligence in surgery. Nat Med 2024; 30:1257-1268. [PMID: 38740998 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-024-02970-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2024] [Accepted: 04/03/2024] [Indexed: 05/16/2024]
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly emerging in healthcare, yet applications in surgery remain relatively nascent. Here we review the integration of AI in the field of surgery, centering our discussion on multifaceted improvements in surgical care in the preoperative, intraoperative and postoperative space. The emergence of foundation model architectures, wearable technologies and improving surgical data infrastructures is enabling rapid advances in AI interventions and utility. We discuss how maturing AI methods hold the potential to improve patient outcomes, facilitate surgical education and optimize surgical care. We review the current applications of deep learning approaches and outline a vision for future advances through multimodal foundation models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chris Varghese
- Department of Surgery, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Greg O'Grady
- Department of Surgery, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
- Auckland Bioengineering Institute, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Eric J Topol
- Scripps Research Translational Institute, La Jolla, CA, USA.
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4
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Turtle L, Elliot S, Drake TM, Thorpe M, Khoury EG, Greenhalf W, Hardwick HE, Leeming G, Law A, Oosthuyzen W, Pius R, Shaw CA, Baillie JK, Openshaw PJM, Docherty AB, Semple MG, Harrison EM, Palmieri C. Changes in hospital mortality in patients with cancer during the COVID-19 pandemic (ISARIC-CCP-UK): a prospective, multicentre cohort study. Lancet Oncol 2024; 25:636-648. [PMID: 38621404 DOI: 10.1016/s1470-2045(24)00107-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2023] [Revised: 02/19/2024] [Accepted: 02/19/2024] [Indexed: 04/17/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with cancer are at greater risk of dying from COVID-19 than many other patient groups. However, how this risk evolved during the pandemic remains unclear. We aimed to determine, on the basis of the UK national pandemic protocol, how factors influencing hospital mortality from COVID-19 could differentially affect patients undergoing cancer treatment. We also examined changes in hospital mortality and escalation of care in patients on cancer treatment during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK. METHODS We conducted a prospective cohort study of patients aged older than 19 years and admitted to 306 health-care facilities in the UK with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, who were enrolled in the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infections Consortium (ISARIC) WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol (CCP) across the UK from April 23, 2020, to Feb 28, 2022; this analysis included all patients in the complete dataset when the study closed. The primary outcome was 30-day in-hospital mortality, comparing patients on cancer treatment and those without cancer. The study was approved by the South Central-Oxford C Research Ethics Committee in England (Ref: 13/SC/0149) and the Scotland A Research Ethics Committee (Ref 20/SS/0028), and is registered on the ISRCTN Registry (ISRCTN66726260). FINDINGS 177 871 eligible adult patients either with no history of cancer (n=171 303) or on cancer treatment (n=6568) were enrolled; 93 205 (52·4%) were male, 84 418 (47·5%) were female, and in 248 (13·9%) sex or gender details were not specified or data were missing. Patients were followed up for a median of 13 (IQR 6-21) days. Of the 6568 patients receiving cancer treatment, 2080 (31·7%) died at 30 days, compared with 30 901 (18·0%) of 171 303 patients without cancer. Patients aged younger than 50 years on cancer treatment had the highest age-adjusted relative risk (hazard ratio [HR] 5·2 [95% CI 4·0-6·6], p<0·0001; vs 50-69 years 2·4 [2·2-2·6], p<0·0001; 70-79 years 1·8 [1·6-2·0], p<0·0001; and >80 years 1·5 [1·3-1·6], p<0·0001) but a lower absolute risk (51 [6·7%] of 763 patients <50 years died compared with 459 [30·2%] of 1522 patients aged >80 years). In-hospital mortality decreased for all patients during the pandemic but was higher for patients on cancer treatment than for those without cancer throughout the study period. INTERPRETATION People with cancer have a higher risk of mortality from COVID-19 than those without cancer. Patients younger than 50 years with cancer treatment have the highest relative risk of death. Continued action is needed to mitigate the poor outcomes in patients with cancer, such as through optimising vaccination, long-acting passive immunisation, and early access to therapeutics. These findings underscore the importance of the ISARIC-WHO pandemic preparedness initiative. FUNDING National Institute for Health Research and the Medical Research Council.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lance Turtle
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK; Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
| | - Sarah Elliot
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, UK
| | - Mathew Thorpe
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, UK
| | - Emma G Khoury
- Academic Cancer Sciences Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - William Greenhalf
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, Institute of Systems, Molecular and Integrative Biology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Hayley E Hardwick
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Gary Leeming
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Andy Law
- The Roslin Institute, Easter Bush campus, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Wilna Oosthuyzen
- The Roslin Institute, Easter Bush campus, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Riinu Pius
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, UK
| | - Catherine A Shaw
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, UK
| | - J Kenneth Baillie
- University of Edinburgh Centre for Inflammation Research, Queen's Medical Research Institute, Edinburgh, UK; Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, UK; Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK; Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, Liverpool, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, UK
| | - Carlo Palmieri
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, Institute of Systems, Molecular and Integrative Biology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK; The Clatterbridge Cancer Centre NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
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Gao J, Zhu Y, Wang W, Wang Z, Dong G, Tang W, Wang H, Wang Y, Harrison EM, Ma L. A comprehensive benchmark for COVID-19 predictive modeling using electronic health records in intensive care. Patterns (N Y) 2024; 5:100951. [PMID: 38645764 PMCID: PMC11026964 DOI: 10.1016/j.patter.2024.100951] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2023] [Revised: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 02/13/2024] [Indexed: 04/23/2024]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need for predictive deep-learning models in health care. However, practical prediction task design, fair comparison, and model selection for clinical applications remain a challenge. To address this, we introduce and evaluate two new prediction tasks-outcome-specific length-of-stay and early-mortality prediction for COVID-19 patients in intensive care-which better reflect clinical realities. We developed evaluation metrics, model adaptation designs, and open-source data preprocessing pipelines for these tasks while also evaluating 18 predictive models, including clinical scoring methods and traditional machine-learning, basic deep-learning, and advanced deep-learning models, tailored for electronic health record (EHR) data. Benchmarking results from two real-world COVID-19 EHR datasets are provided, and all results and trained models have been released on an online platform for use by clinicians and researchers. Our efforts contribute to the advancement of deep-learning and machine-learning research in pandemic predictive modeling.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junyi Gao
- Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, EH16 4UX Edinburgh, UK
- Health Data Research UK, NW1 2BE London, UK
| | | | | | | | - Guiying Dong
- Peking University People’s Hospital, Beijing 100044, China
| | - Wen Tang
- Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Hao Wang
- Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
| | - Yasha Wang
- Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, EH16 4UX Edinburgh, UK
| | - Liantao Ma
- Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
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6
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Sowerbutts AM, Burden S, Sremanakova J, French C, Knight SR, Harrison EM. Preoperative nutrition therapy in people undergoing gastrointestinal surgery. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2024; 4:CD008879. [PMID: 38588454 PMCID: PMC11001290 DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd008879.pub3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/10/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Poor preoperative nutritional status has been consistently linked to an increase in postoperative complications and worse surgical outcomes. We updated a review first published in 2012. OBJECTIVES To assess the effects of preoperative nutritional therapy compared to usual care in people undergoing gastrointestinal surgery. SEARCH METHODS We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, Embase, three other databases and two trial registries on 28 March 2023. We searched reference lists of included studies. SELECTION CRITERIA We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of people undergoing gastrointestinal surgery and receiving preoperative nutritional therapy, including parenteral nutrition, enteral nutrition or oral nutrition supplements, compared to usual care. We only included nutritional therapy that contained macronutrients (protein, carbohydrate and fat) and micronutrients, and excluded studies that evaluated single nutrients. We included studies regardless of the nutritional status of participants, that is, well-nourished participants, participants at risk of malnutrition, or mixed populations. We excluded studies in people undergoing pancreatic and liver surgery. Our primary outcomes were non-infectious complications, infectious complications and length of hospital stay. Our secondary outcomes were nutritional aspects, quality of life, change in macronutrient intake, biochemical parameters, 30-day perioperative mortality and adverse effects. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS We used standard Cochrane methodology. We assessed risk of bias using the RoB 1 tool and applied the GRADE criteria to assess the certainty of evidence. MAIN RESULTS We included 16 RCTs reporting 19 comparisons (2164 participants). Seven studies were new for this update. Participants' ages ranged from 21 to 79 years, and 62% were men. Three RCTs used parenteral nutrition, two used enteral nutrition, eight used immune-enhancing nutrition and six used standard oral nutrition supplements. All studies included mixed groups of well-nourished and malnourished participants; they used different methods to identify malnutrition and reported this in different ways. Not all the included studies were conducted within an Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) programme, which is now current clinical practice in most hospitals undertaking GI surgery. We were concerned about risk of bias in all the studies and 14 studies were at high risk of bias due to lack of blinding. We are uncertain if parenteral nutrition has any effect on the number of participants who had a non-infectious complication (risk ratio (RR) 0.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.36 to 1.02; 3 RCTs, 260 participants; very low-certainty evidence); infectious complication (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.53 to 1.80; 3 RCTs, 260 participants; very low-certainty evidence) or length of hospital stay (mean difference (MD) 5.49 days, 95% CI 0.02 to 10.96; 2 RCTs, 135 participants; very low-certainty evidence). None of the enteral nutrition studies reported non-infectious complications as an outcome. The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of enteral nutrition on the number of participants with infectious complications after surgery (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.38; 2 RCTs, 126 participants; very low-certainty evidence) or length of hospital stay (MD 5.10 days, 95% CI -1.03 to 11.23; 2 RCTs, 126 participants; very low-certainty evidence). Immune-enhancing nutrition compared to controls may result in little to no effect on the number of participants experiencing a non-infectious complication (RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.00; 8 RCTs, 1020 participants; low-certainty evidence), infectious complications (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.53 to 1.04; 7 RCTs, 925 participants; low-certainty evidence) or length of hospital stay (MD -1.22 days, 95% CI -2.80 to 0.35; 6 RCTs, 688 participants; low-certainty evidence). Standard oral nutrition supplements may result in little to no effect on number of participants with a non-infectious complication (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.20; 5 RCTs, 473 participants; low-certainty evidence) or the length of hospital stay (MD -0.65 days, 95% CI -2.33 to 1.03; 3 RCTs, 299 participants; low-certainty evidence). The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of oral nutrition supplements on the number of participants with an infectious complication (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.27; 5 RCTs, 473 participants; very low-certainty evidence). Sensitivity analysis based on malnourished and weight-losing participants found oral nutrition supplements may result in a slight reduction in infections (RR 0.58, 95% CI 0.40 to 0.85; 2 RCTs, 184 participants). Studies reported some secondary outcomes, but not consistently. Complications associated with central venous catheters occurred in RCTs involving parenteral nutrition. Adverse events in the enteral nutrition, immune-enhancing nutrition and standard oral nutrition supplements RCTs included nausea, vomiting, diarrhoea and abdominal pain. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS We were unable to determine if parenteral nutrition, enteral nutrition, immune-enhancing nutrition or standard oral nutrition supplements have any effect on the clinical outcomes due to very low-certainty evidence. There is some evidence that standard oral nutrition supplements may have no effect on complications. Sensitivity analysis showed standard oral nutrition supplements probably reduced infections in weight-losing or malnourished participants. Further high-quality multicentre research considering the ERAS programme is required and further research in low- and middle-income countries is needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anne Marie Sowerbutts
- School of Health Sciences, The University of Manchester, and Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - Sorrel Burden
- School of Health Sciences, The University of Manchester, and Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - Jana Sremanakova
- School of Health Sciences, The University of Manchester, and Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - Chloe French
- School of Health Sciences, The University of Manchester, and Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - Stephen R Knight
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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7
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Liew F, Efstathiou C, Fontanella S, Richardson M, Saunders R, Swieboda D, Sidhu JK, Ascough S, Moore SC, Mohamed N, Nunag J, King C, Leavy OC, Elneima O, McAuley HJC, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Greening NJ, Lone NI, Thorpe M, Thompson AAR, Rowland-Jones SL, Docherty AB, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Raman B, Poinasamy K, Marks M, Kon OM, Howard LS, Wootton DG, Quint JK, de Silva TI, Ho A, Chiu C, Harrison EM, Greenhalf W, Baillie JK, Semple MG, Turtle L, Evans RA, Wain LV, Brightling C, Thwaites RS, Openshaw PJM. Large-scale phenotyping of patients with long COVID post-hospitalization reveals mechanistic subtypes of disease. Nat Immunol 2024; 25:607-621. [PMID: 38589621 PMCID: PMC11003868 DOI: 10.1038/s41590-024-01778-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2024] [Indexed: 04/10/2024]
Abstract
One in ten severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections result in prolonged symptoms termed long coronavirus disease (COVID), yet disease phenotypes and mechanisms are poorly understood1. Here we profiled 368 plasma proteins in 657 participants ≥3 months following hospitalization. Of these, 426 had at least one long COVID symptom and 233 had fully recovered. Elevated markers of myeloid inflammation and complement activation were associated with long COVID. IL-1R2, MATN2 and COLEC12 were associated with cardiorespiratory symptoms, fatigue and anxiety/depression; MATN2, CSF3 and C1QA were elevated in gastrointestinal symptoms and C1QA was elevated in cognitive impairment. Additional markers of alterations in nerve tissue repair (SPON-1 and NFASC) were elevated in those with cognitive impairment and SCG3, suggestive of brain-gut axis disturbance, was elevated in gastrointestinal symptoms. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2-specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) was persistently elevated in some individuals with long COVID, but virus was not detected in sputum. Analysis of inflammatory markers in nasal fluids showed no association with symptoms. Our study aimed to understand inflammatory processes that underlie long COVID and was not designed for biomarker discovery. Our findings suggest that specific inflammatory pathways related to tissue damage are implicated in subtypes of long COVID, which might be targeted in future therapeutic trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Felicity Liew
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | | | - Sara Fontanella
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth Saunders
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Dawid Swieboda
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Jasmin K Sidhu
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Stephanie Ascough
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Shona C Moore
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Noura Mohamed
- The Imperial Clinical Respiratory Research Unit, Imperial College NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Jose Nunag
- Cardiovascular Research Team, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Clara King
- Cardiovascular Research Team, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Olivia C Leavy
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Hamish J C McAuley
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Victoria C Harris
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J Greening
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Nazir I Lone
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Matthew Thorpe
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - A A Roger Thompson
- Department of Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Sarah L Rowland-Jones
- Department of Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - James D Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Alexander Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity and Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Betty Raman
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
- Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | - Onn Min Kon
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Luke S Howard
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Daniel G Wootton
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Jennifer K Quint
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Thushan I de Silva
- Department of Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Antonia Ho
- MRC Centre for Virus Research, School of Infection and Immunity, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Christopher Chiu
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - William Greenhalf
- Institute of Systems, Molecular and Integrative Biology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - J Kenneth Baillie
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- The Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Pandemic Science Hub, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- The Pandemic Institute, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Lance Turtle
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- The Pandemic Institute, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Rachael A Evans
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Louise V Wain
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Christopher Brightling
- Institute for Lung Health, Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ryan S Thwaites
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
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Ademuyiwa AO, Bhangu A, Chakrabortee S, Glasbey J, Kamarajah SK, Ledda V, Li E, Morton D, Nepogodiev D, Picciochi M, Simoes JFF, Lapitan MC, Cheetham M, Forkman E, El-Boghdadly E, Ghosh D, Harrison EM, Hutchinson P, Lawani I, Aguilera ML, Martin J, Meara JG, Ntirenganya F, Medina ARDL, Tabiri S. Strategies to strengthen elective surgery systems during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: systematic review and framework development. Br J Surg 2024; 111:znad405. [PMID: 38300731 PMCID: PMC10833142 DOI: 10.1093/bjs/znad405] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2023] [Revised: 09/12/2023] [Accepted: 10/27/2023] [Indexed: 02/03/2024]
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Fusai GK, Raptis DA, Hilal MA, Bassi C, Besselink M, Conlon K, Davidson B, Del Chiaro M, Dervenis C, Frigerio I, Falconi M, Hackert T, Harrison EM, Shrikhande SV, Siriwardena A, Smith M, Wolfgang C, Borakati A, Balci D, Elhadi M, Salinas CH, Machairas N, Marchegiani G, Oba A, Oberkofler C, Passas I, Ravikumar R, Velázquez PS, de Santibañes M, Schnitzbauer AA, Soggiu F, Tamburrino D, Tinguely P, Wei A, Zachiotis M, Bentabak K, Kacimi SE, Nikfarjam M, Shcherba A, Sergeant G, Coelho G, Torres O, Belev N, Tang E, Diaz C, Wei K, Hendi M, Gouvas N, Christophides T, Nikov A, Fathallah D, Saad M, Tammik O, Huhta H, Sulpice L, Lupinacci R, Demetrashvili Z, Stavrou GA, Felekouras GE, Papaziogas V, Misra S, Talib H, Al-Sader MAJ, Satoi S, Obeidat K, Fakhradiyev I, Khalife M, Elhadi M, Dulskas A, Ghani S, Padilla AE, Melchor-Ruan J, Erdene S, Benkabbou A, Nashidengo P, Koea J, Adeyeye NA, Amro S, Alnammourah WM, The C, Pędziwiatr M, Polkowski W, Barbu ST, Galun D, Goh BKP, Trotovšek B, Omoshoro-Jones J, Ielpo B, Abdelmageed A, Sandström P, Cristaudi A, Gloor B, Kuemmerli C, Tishreen AH, Chaaban MK, Wu CH, Jen PCYF, Baraket O, Taylor M, Jamieson N, Iype S, Giorgakis E, Qadan M, Ganai S, Al-Naggar H, Chihaka O, El Behi A, Kouicem AT, Chibane A, Bouzid C, Bentabak K, Bouali I, Samai N, Aya B, Drid B, Tidjane A, Tabeti B, Boudjenan-Serradj N, Larbi MH, Ouahab I, Touabti S, Ilhem O, Bouaoud S, Meriem A, Ouyahia A, Kouicem AT, Abdoun M, Mounira R, Rais M, Riffi O, Kacimi SE, McCormack L, Capitanich P, Goransky J, de Santibanes M, Mazza O, Salazar IP, Ramallo DR, Pablo F, Gondolesi GE, Schelotto PB, Rodriguez J, Apostolou C, Merrett N, Fox A, Hassen S, Joglekar S, Gananadha S, Wake R, Hagen K, Sritharan M, Hall K, Muralidharan V, Brown K, Nikfarjam M, Croagh D, Sritharan M, Berry R, Fayed A, Hodgson R, Kuany T, Loveday B, Banting S, Rowcroft A, Fox A, Knowles B, Taylor L, Chong L, Banting S, Perini M, Nikfarjam M, Lin YJ, Alsoudani A, Burnett D, Shah K, Fuge M, Bull N, Chen S, Navadgi S, Ng ZQ, Johansson M, Azaman NSBB, Pearson A, Apostolou C, Mischinger H, Schemmer P, Kornprat P, Hauer A, Hauer A, Kirbes K, Klug R, Schrittwieser R, Klaus A, Entschev A, Reichhold D, Ugrekhelidze K, Fink M, Stoyanova R, Sabateen M, Mahfoodh Z, Shenawi HA, Yaghan R, Chowdhury M, Shcherba A, Kirkovsky L, Korotkov S, Van den Bossche B, Boterbergh K, Poortmans M, Smet B, Strypstein S, Feryn T, Wahib EM, oubella S, Roeyen G, Hartman V, Bracke B, Hendrikx B, Gryspeerdt F, Berrevoet F, Poortmans N, Apers T, Appeltans B, Appeltans B, Wicherts D, Sergeant G, Garcia FOB, dos Santos IB, Garcia R, Pinto R, Leite TLS, Anghinoni M, Nobre CCG, Coelho G, Machado IFS, Carvalho N, Morais L, Barros AV, Gomes G, Buarque IL, Osvaldt AB, Militz M, Boff M, Marcelino L, Guerra E, Torelly L, Waechter FL, Rodrigues P, Teixeira UF, Osvaldt A, Marcelino L, Militz M, De Mello E, Goncalves R, Balzan S, Ramos EJB, Moraes-Junior JMA, Torres OJM, da Silva DV, Coimbra F, Coimbra FJF, Marques N, Marques N, 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B, Salah S, Saleh A, Saker AAE, Swealem A, Sallam EI, Rozza H, Bassiony M, Elhassan M, Elmalah M, Belal M, El Gohary M, Hassanin MA, Elsayed N, Aboelfath S, El-Sayes I, Tayiawi M, Altatari A, Altatari AM, Saleh A, Qatora MS, Said M, Najjar A, Alahmed F, Zamri FMB, Ealreibi H, Alahmed H, Alyasin I, Abdelhalim K, Alfatah MA, Sharaan MA, El Moneam MA, Abdelalemm M, Mourad M, Sohaimee NB, Abosamak NE, Suhaimi NMFB, Shokralla S, Dean YE, Tanas Y, Waffa Z, Nafea A, Ramadan D, Abdelaal A, Mahmoud A, Nafea AM, Abuali ASAME, Korayem I, Fahmy M, Ibraheem M, Hamouda M, Helaly R, Khdour YF, Khdour Y, Farag M, Ibrahim A, Elareibi HE, Alboridy M, Mansour A, Ragab MG, Naguib M, Allam S, Elfarag HA, Elsakka A, Mannaa D, Elkeleny M, Suhaimi NAB, Uzir SSBM, Nasr S, El-Najjar A, Dohien M, Dohien M, Osman N, Gad N, Hassanin M, Fadel BA, Hamdan EHM, Monib F, Saad M, Abbas A, Abu-Elfatth AM, Elazeem HAA, Abdelhafez MHZ, Omar N, Hassan R, Mohamed A, Mahmoud SH, Abobakr AM, Mohamed EEE, Ahmed R, Hamza HM, Mohammed M, Marshod MA, Hussein AMM, Taha A, Ibrahim I, Nageh MA, Fouly MN, Hassan RA, Mohamed AKA, Elnabi MH, Salah M, Ali AYM, Sayed EGA, Sayad R, Saad MM, Abdelkarem M, Omar NG, Khalifa A, Faragalla H, Barakat A, Barakat ATM, Elshafey A, Eleisawy MF, Eleisawy M, Zahed MSM, Zahed M, Omer M, Allam M, Abuelnaga Y, Abdelzaher A, Alnimr A, Dabbous H, Sayed H, Elgarhy I, Elmeteini M, Bahaa M, Farag M, Eid M, Anas O, Ismail O, Nageeb O, Lasheen R, Tanyous S, Diab S, Badran Y, Fahim A, Alazab E, Elgarhy IM, Abdeljalil M, Hanna M, Gobran M, Gobran M, Abdelmawla MOMK, Nagy M, Nageeb OE, Ramadan S, Abdelmawgoud S, Zidan T, Abuelnaga Y, Tarkhan Y, Saad A, Awad AK, Elbadawy MA, Abdelmawla M, Mansy E, Moharam M, Elabd M, Eldabour A, Elwakil L, Hassanien MS, Elnashar A, Saleh HED, Michail M, Said A, El Garhy M, Ahmed MBE, Anas O, Ismail O, Abboud K, Nabil A, Elfiky M, Murad A, Azzam A, Azab MA, Awad S, Othman Z, Fahim AM, Abdelzaher AT, Zidan T, Abdelrhman R, Tolis EAN, Salem M, Ebrahim H, Abdelrazek HA, Abdelmoneim N, Salman D, Saa'd H, Ali D, Farouk A, Mandor AR, Monier A, Shehta A, Kassem A, Sanad A, Elsaadany R, Shaat MM, Elmorsi R, Awad S, Ghedan S, Menessy A, Elnabawy D, Abdou K, Abdelmaksoud M, Hassan M, Elweza O, Elboraei R, Abdallah A, Metwally IH, Elhamamsy M, Fareed AM, Zuhdy M, Elbalka SS, Alansary MN, Omar M, Elgharably AA, Hager E, El Gady A, Alsharif DS, Shaaban AM, Alsharif D, Samaan D, Samaan SSS, Oteem A, Shaaban AM, Alsharif DS, Samaan S, Zayed A, Allam A, El Gady A, Alsharif DS, Badr K, Elnoamany S, Samaan SS, Ellibady M, Ahmed EA, Elbassyiouny A, Boalot A, Badr H, Gamal M, Abuelazm M, Othman Z, Eldaly A, Eldaly AS, Essa M, Abdelrahman F, Sarhan A, Alsabbagh F, Allah MA, Bayomi A, Salama M, kivisild M, Tammik O, Podramagi T, Huhta H, Kauppila JH, Nortunen M, Jouffret L, Sommacale D, Brustia R, Cherif R, Lecolle K, El Amrani M, Beugniez C, Truant S, Piessen G, Degisors S, Dupré A, Perinel J, Adham M, Sgarbura O, Souche FR, Iannelli A, Gugenheim J, 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Emhemed M, Salem O, Abdulwahed E, Khalil W, Rhuma H, Alsori M, Mustafa T, Albarouni S, Albishti A, Elhadi M, Elkhuja T, Msherghi A, Hasan NSB, Hasan HB, Hasan NB, Gulbinas A, Barauskas G, Ignatavicius P, Riauka R, Vanagas T, Slepavicius A, Jurgaitis J, Dailidenas S, Eismontas V, Mikutaitis V, Šlepavičius A, Jurgaitis J, Mikutaitis V, Dulskas A, Kuliavas J, Aniukstyte L, Sileikis A, Gulla A, Šileikis A, Tumas J, Strupas K, Petrulionis M, Kvietkauskas M, Strupas K, Vito D, Rosso E, Tan JH, Zakaria AD, Mohamad IS, Meng LV, Huai TZ, Hayati F, Sellappan H, Maiyauen TK, Azman A, Chik I, Zuhdi Z, Yoong B, Soon KP, Kit KJ, Yoong BK, Koong JK, Koh PS, Ibrahim A, Abdullah NAN, Bong J, Ghani S, Zorrilla CF, Cruz MC, Valladares AM, Dominguez-Rosado I, Rosciano AEP, Sebastian GH, Melchor-Ruan J, Garcia-Herrera JS, Sandag E, Erdene S, Orgoi S, Korch M, Boutti AS, boumzebra Y, Boumzebra Y, Hourri F, Gouazar I, Belaid WA, Serji B, Tarik B, Tijani EH, Zentar A, Ghannam A, Bounaim A, Souadka A, Benkabbou A, El Ahmadi B, Amina H, Oumayma L, Amrani L, Majbar MA, Mohsine R, Elhassouni R, Echiguer S, Belkhadir Z, Nashidengo AP, Quayson F, Abebrese J, Nashidengo P, Adhikari KM, Lakhey PJ, Bhandari RS, Besselink MG, Bieze M, Augustinus S, Busch O, Pranger BK, Hoogwater FJH, Klaase JM, Meerdink M, Nijkamp MW, de Meijer VE, Koerkamp BG, van Eijck CHJ, Van Dam JL, Barbier L, Johnston P, Babor R, Chu MJJ, Oliver T, Wen D, Koea J, Koea J, Brown L, Srinivasa S, Bartlett A, Windsor J, Carr-Boyd P, Bindra V, Cross A, Connor S, Hore T, Gunawardene A, Welsh F, Mahadik M, Gordon A, Rossaak J, Adeyeye A, Enoch E, Kayode-Nissi V, Abiyere H, Alatise O, Okomayin A, Odion C, Tagar E, Sheshe AA, Muhammad AB, Garzali IU, Ajayi P, Kadri E, Jabri SA, Azri YA, Pal KMI, Siddiqui T, Waqar U, Waqar U, Chaudhry AA, Abbasy J, Khan MO, Shafqatullah S, Khokhar MI, Akbar A, Afzal A, Asghar M, Ullah S, Butt UI, Butt U, Bari H, Mohammad BN, Hameda M, Jayyab MA, Alzabadiah AHM, Adam I, Abuzaina K, Farid M, Emar MFM, Emar M, Zreqat Q, Titi R, Idkiedek SA, Amro S, Al-Qasrawi S, Almasri TA, Alnammourah WM, Kiswani G, Sinnokrot R, Harb ZA, Nafa'A H, Shtewi L, Salah AO, Joma ABA, Faraj S, Zitawi A, Dawood AJ, Saadeh I, Hmeedan A, Daraghmeh MAM, Janajreh ANA, Manassra F, Yassin LMA, Yassin R, Saleh AO, Faraj SM, Sulaiman AS, Khayyat Z, Joma ABA, Shawahni E, Salah A, khader A, Hammoudeh A, Abdulhaq A, Alawna R, Roman G, Targarona J, Grau RG, Molina R, Alegria CR, Coayla G, Enriquez JCM, Marcos JC, Hasiman AN, Teh C, Cerdeño R, David A, Sarmiento RI, Barroso RR, Alfonso C, Ang DD, Casupang A, Mamuric M, Jardinero JM, Motyka A, Flisińska M, Pierściński S, Mrowiec S, Rymarowicz J, Matyja M, Wikar T, Sierzega M, Pędziwiatr M, Richter P, Durczynski A, Kosztowny K, Ciesielski W, Wardeszkiewicz A, Szwedziak K, Wlazlak M, Grzasiak O, Szewczyk P, Hogendorf P, Wyroślak-Najs J, Rawicz-Pruszyński K, Sędłak K, Solecki M, Polkowski W, Słodkowski M, Wierzchowski M, Korcz W, Nazarewski L, Kornasiewicz O, Lopes M, Martins RM, Martins R, Vigia E, Silva DS, Davide J, Pereira A, Tenreiro N, Castro T, Eisa R, Diaconescu B, Ciubotaru C, Negoi I, Negoiţă V, Radulescu RB, Bacalbaşa N, Dima S, Dumitrascu T, Spanu A, Mardare M, Ginghina O, Catrina E, Brezean I, Misca M, Vilcu M, Aldoescu S, Petrea S, Bartos A, Liviu CC, Iancu I, Barbu ST, Bodea R, Mois E, Florin G, Hajjar NA, Matei S, Zaharie F, Scripcariu V, Musina AM, Roata CE, Dimofte GM, Velenciuc N, Lunca S, Ong WL, Ong WL, Duta C, Brebu D, Braicu V, Belyaev A, Popov A, Batova A, Katysheva A, Mizgirev D, Neledova L, Duberman B, Litvin A, Pobelenko A, Kuznetsov G, Khatkov I, Tyutyunnik P, Izrailov R, Bedzhanyan A, Petrenko K, Bredikhin M, Shatverian DG, Chardarov N, Bagmet N, Lyadov V, Mudryak D, Semenenko I, Tokarev M, Kriger A, Kaldarov A, Ivanov G, Kuchin D, Torgomyan G, Zagainov V, Davydkin V, Baranov AI, Drozdov E, Anatolievna LN, Abdullaev A, Gachabayov M, Ghunaim M, Alharthi M, Aljiffry M, Bogdanovic M, Zivanovic M, Bogdanovic A, Galun D, Dugalic V, Arbutina D, Milic L, Bezmarevic M, Antic A, Radenkovic D, Ignjatovic I, Zdujic P, Kmezic S, Karamarkovic A, Arbutina D, Juloski J, Radulovic R, Radulović R, Cuk V, Jeremic L, Radojkovic M, Stojanovic M, Golijanin D, Ignjatovic MK, Protic M, Chiow A, Seng LL, Thiruchelvam N, Poh BGK, Goh BKP, Quan DCW, Koh YX, TrotovŠek B, Petrič M, Djokić M, Tomazic A, Badovinac D, Loots E, Prodehl L, Khan MU, Marumo T, Devar JWS, Omoshoro-Jones J, Khan ZA, Jugmohan B, Valcarcel AQ, García BM, Mínguez J, Marcello M, Ramia J, Compañ A, Fernandes C, Morales M, Fernández JMV, Del Mar Rico-Morales M, Liñán MÁL, Figueras J, Soliva R, Butori E, Fondevila C, Ausania F, Martín B, Rodríguez M, Sánchez-Cabús S, Sánchez-Velázquez P, Arnau ABM, Domínguez RS, Ielpo B, Pinilla FB, Castro M, Valverde DP, Santos EPG, del Carmen Manzanares Campillo M, Ruiz P, Gutierrez EC, Falgueras L, Quer MTA, Shwely FA, Fragua RL, Gonzalez-Serna DB, Valmorisco MA, Beltran-Miranda P, Busquets J, Secanella L, Pelaez N, Plaza G, Duaigües MLG, álvarez PM, Escartín A, Loinaz C, Dziakova J, de la Serna S, Pérez-Aguirre E, Justo I, Saavedra J, Gomez JC, Boñar NL, Martín-Perez E, Di Martino M, de la Hoz Rogriguez Á, Marcacuzco A, Jiménez-Romero C, de la Rúa JFR, Hinojosa-Arco LC, Suárez-Muñoz MÁ, Martinez DF, Sanchez-Bueno F, Vazquez PG, de León AM, Saiz EC, García LS, Gonzalez-Pinto I, Rodríguez-Pino JC, Segura-Sampedro JJ, Morales R, Morales-Soriano R, Rotellar F, Zozaya G, Martí-Cruchaga P, López-Sánchez J, Muñoz-Bellvis L, Cuadrado A, ortega I, Fernández R, Gómez DD, Vera V, Padillo JP, Luque JB, Millan EI, Jorba R, García-Domingot MI, Redondo C, Cantos DM, Artigues E, Pozo CDD, Llorente CP, Martínez SN, Ibáñez CB, Ibáñez JM, Andujar RL, Dorcaratto D, Forner EM, Garces-Albir M, de Heredia JB, Montes-Manrique M, Rodriguez-Lopez M, Serrablo A, Milian D, Ruiz-Quijano P, Paterna-Lopez S, Dharmapala A, Dassanayake BK, Galketiya KB, Ibrahim AM, Hamid H, Alhaboob N, Abdelmageed A, Taha SSO, Vilhav C, Wennerblom JH, Bratlie SO, Bjornsson B, Lundgren L, Sandström P, Tingstedt B, Andersson R, Andersson B, Williamsson C, Sparrelid E, Holmberg M, Ghorbani P, Gkekas I, Kuemmerli C, Bolli M, Andreou A, Wenning AS, Gloor B, Peloso A, Toso C, Oldani G, Moeckli B, Wassmer CH, Cristaudi A, Pietro MH, Majno-Hurst PE, Roesel R, Abbassi F, Tarantino I, Steffen T, Ferrari C, Schmidt J, Meier O, Weber M, Gutknecht S, Jonas JP, Clavien PA, Al-Haj A, Aljaber A, Kayali AA, Kadoura L, Nashed E, Helaly H, Kayali H, Alhashemi M, Aloulou M, Alshaghel M, Mahli N, Al-Abed O, Azizeh O, Torab SS, Alkhaleel W, Aliwy MA, Alannaz O, Ghazal A, Masri R, Douba Z, Saad AS, Abdulmonem A, Shaban M, Alhouri AN, Alhouri A, Soliman A, Houri HNA, Houri HA, Omran S, Abbas A, Chaaban M, Kudmani MAA, Chaaban MK, Alhmaidi R, Yousef A, Youssef A, Nasri M, Alkhateb H, Almjersah A, Hassan N, Moussa A, Hamdan A, Hammed A, Alloush A, Hassan BH, Issa H, Dahhan HT, Souliman M, Hammed S, Tobba TM, Hamdan A, Ayoub S, Yu MC, Yang PC, Wu CH, Bouaziz H, Rahal K, Slim S, Karim A, Baraket O, Kchaou A, Houssem A, Said MA, Mabrouk MB, Hamida KB, Ghalleb M, Mahmoud AB, Maghrebi H, Kacem MJ, Tez M, Eminesariipek N, çetiindağ Ö, Tüzüner A, Karayalçin K, Emral AC, Dikmen K, Kerem M, Bayhan H, Türkoğlu MA, Iflazoğlu N, özet A, Aday U, öfkeli Ö, Gumusoglu A, Kabuli HA, Karabulut M, Peker K, Saglam S, Rahimi FSİ, Hanefa F, Isik A, Goksoy E, Dulundu E, Atici AE, Ozocak AB, Yegen C, Dural AC, Sahbaz NA, Ulgur HS, Aydin H, Ozkan OF, Duzgun O, çelik M, Pekmezci S, çoker A, Uguz A, Unalp OV, Sert I, Ertekin S, Ozbilgin M, Aydoğan S, Tekin E, Calik B, Yesilyurt D, Atici SD, Arıkan TB, Arıkan T, Gonullu E, Dikicier E, Capoglu R, Bayhan Z, Alfurais S, Colak E, Polat S, Çiftci AB, Milburn J, Jones C, Vass D, Taylor M, Dasari BVM, Kausar A, Sultana A, Subar D, Nunes Q, Skipworth J, Nwogwugwu O, van Laarhoven S, Kourdouli A, Awan AA, Bhatti I, Latif J, Hand F, Robertson F, Holroyd D, Holroyd D, Jamieson N, Lim W, Chang D, Frampton A, Lahiri R, Chakravartty S, Siddique H, Bashir M, Mcnally S, Young A, Smith A, Pine J, Garcea G, Haqq J, Malde D, Dunne D, Burridge I, Szatmary P, Hariharan D, Kocher H, Yip V, Khalil A, Nair AM, Liova I, O'Balogun A, Rothnie A, Chikkala B, Salinas CH, Frola C, Tsakiris C, Raptis D, Chasiotis D, Sharma D, Jessa F, Soggiu F, Fusai G, Kostakis I, Kathirvel M, Elnagar M, Dimitrokallis N, Iype S, Pericleous S, Mohamed A, Val ARD, Tinguely P, Likos-Corbett M, Afzal I, Bhogal R, Patel K, Siriwardena AK, de' Liguori Carino N, Sheen PA, Gareb F, Ammar K, Thakkar R, Pandanaboyana S, Leeds J, Gomez D, Gregory G, Ceresa C, Abbas H, Lazzereschi L, Reddy S, Gordon-Weeks A, Aroori S, Russell T, Roberts K, Chatzizacharias N, Sutcliffe R, Al-Sarireh B, Shingler G, Mortimer M, Skoryi D, Ilin I, Pisetska M, Cheverdiuk D, Kostyantyn K, Kopchak K, Kvasivka O, Valeriia S, Sumarokova V, Kryzhevskyi V, Sikachov S, Khomiak A, Malik A, Khomiak I, Bilyak A, Chooklin S, Chuklin S, Mikheiev I, Shylenko O, Klymenko A, Patel S, Cunningham S, Callery M, Kent T, Raut C, Wang J, Fairweather M, Sulciner M, Hirji S, Clancy T, Nebbia M, Qadan M, Musser A, Hogg M, Rodriquez J, Hamner J, Hennessy L, Dinerman A, Gupta A, Kimbrough C, Thompson R, Zeh HJ, Radi I, Polanco PM, Moris D, Lidsky ME, Lee D, Piper J, Gnerlich J, Tuvin D, Sticca R, Ganai S, Gusani N, Krinock D, Giorgakis E, Hardgrave H, Spencer-Cole RT, Klutts G, Hardgrave H, Nigh J, Nigh J, Andrade JCB, Mavros M, Osborn T, Ferrone C, O'Connor V, Boone B, Harris B, Schmidt C, Schrope B, Chabot J, Kluger M, Lasso ET, Nevler A, Yeo C, Ponzini F, Lavu H, Lamm R, Bowne W, Kyser N, Galanopoulos C, Abbasi A, Park J, Sham J, Dickerson L, Pillarisetty V, Sucandy I, Ross S, Winslow E, Hawksworth J, Radkani P, Fishbein T, Munoz AS, Lindberg J, Martins PN, Al-saban RAM, Al-Saban R, Al-Kubati W, Ghallab AAA, Alsanany GM, Almarashi H, Al-Samawi H, Al-Asadi MAMM, Alsayadi R, Hail S, Shream S, Bajjah HM, Al-Ameri S, Bajjah H, Al-Ameri SAAS, Al-Dowsh NA, AlDowsh NA, Al-Khawlani Q, Murshed YAA, Al-Shehari M, Jahaf AAD, Al-sharabi EAE, Aldumaini H, Alattas Z, Almassaudi A, Bajjah HMAH, Albakry R, Al-Naggar H, Shream SAA, Affary AA, Al-Markiz E, Al-Eryani F, Farhat H, Qadasi QA, Alwafy K, Abdualqader MYM, Ali RAAY, Albar A, Bleem HA, Galeb KSA, Ghushaim M, Sabbar M, Esmail M, Ali RAY, Salem RHM, Salem R, Saif W, Al-Faiq S, Alsharabi E, Hameed ATA, Almekhlafi T, Omairan A, Almarkiz E, Abduljawad H, Mansaleh O, Al-Melhani W, Abdualqader M, Al-Abdi R, Alwan HM, Mbanje C, Chihaka O. Pancreatic surgery outcomes: multicentre prospective snapshot study in 67 countries. Br J Surg 2024; 111:znad330. [PMID: 38743040 DOI: 10.1093/bjs/znad330] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2023] [Revised: 08/31/2023] [Accepted: 09/15/2023] [Indexed: 05/16/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Pancreatic surgery remains associated with high morbidity rates. Although postoperative mortality appears to have improved with specialization, the outcomes reported in the literature reflect the activity of highly specialized centres. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcomes following pancreatic surgery worldwide. METHODS This was an international, prospective, multicentre, cross-sectional snapshot study of consecutive patients undergoing pancreatic operations worldwide in a 3-month interval in 2021. The primary outcome was postoperative mortality within 90 days of surgery. Multivariable logistic regression was used to explore relationships with Human Development Index (HDI) and other parameters. RESULTS A total of 4223 patients from 67 countries were analysed. A complication of any severity was detected in 68.7 per cent of patients (2901 of 4223). Major complication rates (Clavien-Dindo grade at least IIIa) were 24, 18, and 27 per cent, and mortality rates were 10, 5, and 5 per cent in low-to-middle-, high-, and very high-HDI countries respectively. The 90-day postoperative mortality rate was 5.4 per cent (229 of 4223) overall, but was significantly higher in the low-to-middle-HDI group (adjusted OR 2.88, 95 per cent c.i. 1.80 to 4.48). The overall failure-to-rescue rate was 21 per cent; however, it was 41 per cent in low-to-middle- compared with 19 per cent in very high-HDI countries. CONCLUSION Excess mortality in low-to-middle-HDI countries could be attributable to failure to rescue of patients from severe complications. The authors call for a collaborative response from international and regional associations of pancreatic surgeons to address management related to death from postoperative complications to tackle the global disparities in the outcomes of pancreatic surgery (NCT04652271; ISRCTN95140761).
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Ranganathan P, Dare A, Harrison EM, Kingham TP, Mutebi M, Parham G, Sullivan R, Pramesh CS. Inequities in global cancer surgery: Challenges and solutions. J Surg Oncol 2024; 129:150-158. [PMID: 38073139 DOI: 10.1002/jso.27551] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2023] [Accepted: 11/15/2023] [Indexed: 12/17/2023]
Abstract
The disparity in access to and quality of surgical cancer care between high and low resource settings impacts immediate and long-term oncological outcomes. With cancer incidence and mortality set to increase rapidly in the next few decades, we examine the factors leading to inequities in global cancer surgery, and look at potential solutions to overcome these challenges.
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Affiliation(s)
- Priya Ranganathan
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Critical Care and Pain, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute, Mumbai, India
| | - Anna Dare
- Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - T Peter Kingham
- Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Miriam Mutebi
- Department of Surgery, Aga Khan University, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Groesbeck Parham
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Charles Drew University of Science and Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA
- Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Richard Sullivan
- School of Cancer Sciences, Centre for Cancer Society and Public Health, Institute of Cancer Policy, King's College London, London, UK
| | - C S Pramesh
- Department of Surgical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute, Mumbai, India
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Taquet M, Skorniewska Z, Zetterberg H, Geddes JR, Mummery CJ, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Elneima O, McAuley HJC, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Mansoori P, Greening NJ, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Lone NI, Quint J, Greenhalf W, Wain LV, Brightling CE, Evans RE, Harrison PJ, Koychev I. Post-acute COVID-19 neuropsychiatric symptoms are not associated with ongoing nervous system injury. Brain Commun 2023; 6:fcad357. [PMID: 38229877 PMCID: PMC10789589 DOI: 10.1093/braincomms/fcad357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2023] [Revised: 10/23/2023] [Accepted: 12/23/2023] [Indexed: 01/18/2024] Open
Abstract
A proportion of patients infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 experience a range of neuropsychiatric symptoms months after infection, including cognitive deficits, depression and anxiety. The mechanisms underpinning such symptoms remain elusive. Recent research has demonstrated that nervous system injury can occur during COVID-19. Whether ongoing neural injury in the months after COVID-19 accounts for the ongoing or emergent neuropsychiatric symptoms is unclear. Within a large prospective cohort study of adult survivors who were hospitalized for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection, we analysed plasma markers of nervous system injury and astrocytic activation, measured 6 months post-infection: neurofilament light, glial fibrillary acidic protein and total tau protein. We assessed whether these markers were associated with the severity of the acute COVID-19 illness and with post-acute neuropsychiatric symptoms (as measured by the Patient Health Questionnaire for depression, the General Anxiety Disorder assessment for anxiety, the Montreal Cognitive Assessment for objective cognitive deficit and the cognitive items of the Patient Symptom Questionnaire for subjective cognitive deficit) at 6 months and 1 year post-hospital discharge from COVID-19. No robust associations were found between markers of nervous system injury and severity of acute COVID-19 (except for an association of small effect size between duration of admission and neurofilament light) nor with post-acute neuropsychiatric symptoms. These results suggest that ongoing neuropsychiatric symptoms are not due to ongoing neural injury.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maxime Taquet
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7JX, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford OX3 7JX, UK
| | | | - Henrik Zetterberg
- Department of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, The Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Gothenburg, Mölndal 413 90, Sweden
- Clinical Neurochemistry Laboratory, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Mölndal 413 90, Sweden
- Department of Neurodegenerative Disease, UCL Institute of Neurology, London WC1N 3BG, UK
- UK Dementia Research Institute at UCL, London WC1N 3BG, UK
- Hong Kong Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Hong Kong, China
- Wisconsin Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53792, USA
| | - John R Geddes
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7JX, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford OX3 7JX, UK
| | - Catherine J Mummery
- Department of Neurodegenerative Disease, UCL Institute of Neurology, London WC1N 3BG, UK
| | - James D Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee DD1 9SY, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 9DS, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, UK
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester M13 9WL, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London WC1E 6JD, UK
- Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
| | | | - Betty Raman
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
| | - Olivia C Leavy
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 7RH, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Hamish J C McAuley
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Ruth M Saunders
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Victoria Claire Harris
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester LE5 4PW, UK
- Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 9HN, UK
- Therapy Department, University Hospitals of Leicester, NHS Trust, Leicester LE5 4PW, UK
| | | | - Neil J Greening
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH16 4SS, UK
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH16 4SS, UK
| | - Nazir I Lone
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH16 4SS, UK
- Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh EH16 4SA, UK
| | - Jennifer Quint
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London SW3 6LY, UK
| | - William Greenhalf
- University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK
- The CRUK Liverpool Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre, Liverpool L69 3GL, UK
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool L7 8YE, UK
| | - Louise V Wain
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 7RH, UK
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Christopher E Brightling
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
| | - Rachael E Evans
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE3 9QP, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Paul J Harrison
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7JX, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford OX3 7JX, UK
| | - Ivan Koychev
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7JX, UK
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Gonçalves BP, Jassat W, Baruch J, Hashmi M, Rojek A, Dasgupta A, Martin-Loeches I, Reyes LF, Piubelli C, Citarella BW, Kartsonaki C, Lefèvre B, López Revilla JW, Lunn M, Harrison EM, Kraemer MUG, Shrapnel S, Horby P, Bisoffi Z, Olliaro PL, Merson L. A multi-country analysis of COVID-19 hospitalizations by vaccination status. Med 2023; 4:797-812.e2. [PMID: 37738979 PMCID: PMC10935543 DOI: 10.1016/j.medj.2023.08.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2023] [Revised: 07/18/2023] [Accepted: 08/25/2023] [Indexed: 09/24/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Individuals vaccinated against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), when infected, can still develop disease that requires hospitalization. It remains unclear whether these patients differ from hospitalized unvaccinated patients with regard to presentation, coexisting comorbidities, and outcomes. METHODS Here, we use data from an international consortium to study this question and assess whether differences between these groups are context specific. Data from 83,163 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (34,843 vaccinated, 48,320 unvaccinated) from 38 countries were analyzed. FINDINGS While typical symptoms were more often reported in unvaccinated patients, comorbidities, including some associated with worse prognosis in previous studies, were more common in vaccinated patients. Considerable between-country variation in both in-hospital fatality risk and vaccinated-versus-unvaccinated difference in this outcome was observed. CONCLUSIONS These findings will inform allocation of healthcare resources in future surges as well as design of longer-term international studies to characterize changes in clinical profile of hospitalized COVID-19 patients related to vaccination history. FUNDING This work was made possible by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office and Wellcome (215091/Z/18/Z, 222410/Z/21/Z, 225288/Z/22/Z, and 220757/Z/20/Z); the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1209135); and the philanthropic support of the donors to the University of Oxford's COVID-19 Research Response Fund (0009109). Additional funders are listed in the "acknowledgments" section.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa; Right to Care, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Joaquín Baruch
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Madiha Hashmi
- Critical Care Asia and Ziauddin University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Amanda Rojek
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Abhishek Dasgupta
- Doctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ignacio Martin-Loeches
- Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Multidisciplinary Intensive Care Research Organization (MICRO), St James's Hospital, Leinster, Dublin, Ireland; Pulmonary Intensive Care Unit, Respiratory Institute, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, IDIBAPS (Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer), University of Barcelona, CIBERes, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Luis Felipe Reyes
- Unisabana Center for Translational Science, School of Medicine, Universidad de La Sabana, Chía, Colombia
| | - Chiara Piubelli
- Department of Infectious, Tropical Diseases and Microbiology, IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar di Valpolicella, Verona, Italy
| | | | - Christiana Kartsonaki
- MRC Population Health Research Unit, Clinical Trials Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Benjamin Lefèvre
- Université de Lorraine, CHRU-Nancy, Service des Maladies Infectieuses et Tropicales, Nancy, France; Université de Lorraine, APEMAC, Nancy, France
| | - José W López Revilla
- Instituto Nacional del Niño San Borja and Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Científica del Sur, Lima, Peru
| | - Miles Lunn
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Moritz U G Kraemer
- Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sally Shrapnel
- Centre for Health Services Research, Faculty of Medicine, The University of Queensland, Herston, Brisbane, Australia; School of Mathematics and Physics, Faculty of Science, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Brisbane, Australia
| | - Peter Horby
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Zeno Bisoffi
- Department of Infectious, Tropical Diseases and Microbiology, IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar di Valpolicella, Verona, Italy
| | - Piero L Olliaro
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Laura Merson
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Raman B, McCracken C, Cassar MP, Moss AJ, Finnigan L, Samat AHA, Ogbole G, Tunnicliffe EM, Alfaro-Almagro F, Menke R, Xie C, Gleeson F, Lukaschuk E, Lamlum H, McGlynn K, Popescu IA, Sanders ZB, Saunders LC, Piechnik SK, Ferreira VM, Nikolaidou C, Rahman NM, Ho LP, Harris VC, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Pfeffer P, Manisty C, Kon OM, Beggs M, O'Regan DP, Fuld J, Weir-McCall JR, Parekh D, Steeds R, Poinasamy K, Cuthbertson DJ, Kemp GJ, Semple MG, Horsley A, Miller CA, O'Brien C, Shah AM, Chiribiri A, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Elneima O, McAuley HJC, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Houchen-Wolloff L, Greening NJ, Bolton CE, Brown JS, Choudhury G, Diar Bakerly N, Easom N, Echevarria C, Marks M, Hurst JR, Jones MG, Wootton DG, Chalder T, Davies MJ, De Soyza A, Geddes JR, Greenhalf W, Howard LS, Jacob J, Man WDC, Openshaw PJM, Porter JC, Rowland MJ, Scott JT, Singh SJ, Thomas DC, Toshner M, Lewis KE, Heaney LG, Harrison EM, Kerr S, Docherty AB, Lone NI, Quint J, Sheikh A, Zheng B, Jenkins RG, Cox E, Francis S, Halling-Brown M, Chalmers JD, Greenwood JP, Plein S, Hughes PJC, Thompson AAR, Rowland-Jones SL, Wild JM, Kelly M, Treibel TA, Bandula S, Aul R, Miller K, Jezzard P, Smith S, Nichols TE, McCann GP, Evans RA, Wain LV, Brightling CE, Neubauer S, Baillie JK, Shaw A, Hairsine B, Kurasz C, Henson H, Armstrong L, Shenton L, Dobson H, Dell A, Lucey A, Price A, Storrie A, Pennington C, Price C, Mallison G, Willis G, Nassa H, Haworth J, Hoare M, Hawkings N, Fairbairn S, Young S, Walker S, Jarrold I, Sanderson A, David C, Chong-James K, Zongo O, James WY, Martineau A, King B, Armour C, McAulay D, Major E, McGinness J, McGarvey L, Magee N, Stone R, Drain S, Craig T, Bolger A, Haggar A, Lloyd A, Subbe C, Menzies D, Southern D, McIvor E, Roberts K, Manley R, Whitehead V, Saxon W, Bularga A, Mills NL, El-Taweel H, Dawson J, Robinson L, Saralaya D, Regan K, Storton K, Brear L, Amoils S, Bermperi A, Elmer A, Ribeiro C, Cruz I, Taylor J, Worsley J, Dempsey K, Watson L, Jose S, Marciniak S, Parkes M, McQueen A, Oliver C, Williams J, Paradowski K, Broad L, Knibbs L, Haynes M, Sabit R, Milligan L, Sampson C, Hancock A, Evenden C, Lynch C, Hancock K, Roche L, Rees M, Stroud N, Thomas-Woods T, Heller S, Robertson E, Young B, Wassall H, Babores M, Holland M, Keenan N, Shashaa S, Price C, Beranova E, Ramos H, Weston H, Deery J, Austin L, Solly R, Turney S, Cosier T, Hazelton T, Ralser M, Wilson A, Pearce L, Pugmire S, Stoker W, McCormick W, Dewar A, Arbane G, Kaltsakas G, Kerslake H, Rossdale J, Bisnauthsing K, Aguilar Jimenez LA, Martinez LM, Ostermann M, Magtoto MM, Hart N, Marino P, Betts S, Solano TS, Arias AM, Prabhu A, Reed A, Wrey Brown C, Griffin D, Bevan E, Martin J, Owen J, Alvarez Corral M, Williams N, Payne S, Storrar W, Layton A, Lawson C, Mills C, Featherstone J, Stephenson L, Burdett T, Ellis Y, Richards A, Wright C, Sykes DL, Brindle K, Drury K, Holdsworth L, Crooks MG, Atkin P, Flockton R, Thackray-Nocera S, Mohamed A, Taylor A, Perkins E, Ross G, McGuinness H, Tench H, Phipps J, Loosley R, Wolf-Roberts R, Coetzee S, Omar Z, Ross A, Card B, Carr C, King C, Wood C, Copeland D, Calvelo E, Chilvers ER, Russell E, Gordon H, Nunag JL, Schronce J, March K, Samuel K, Burden L, Evison L, McLeavey L, Orriss-Dib L, Tarusan L, Mariveles M, Roy M, Mohamed N, Simpson N, Yasmin N, Cullinan P, Daly P, Haq S, Moriera S, Fayzan T, Munawar U, Nwanguma U, Lingford-Hughes A, Altmann D, Johnston D, Mitchell J, Valabhji J, Price L, Molyneaux PL, Thwaites RS, Walsh S, Frankel A, Lightstone L, Wilkins M, Willicombe M, McAdoo S, Touyz R, Guerdette AM, Warwick K, Hewitt M, Reddy R, White S, McMahon A, Hoare A, Knighton A, Ramos A, Te A, Jolley CJ, Speranza F, Assefa-Kebede H, Peralta I, Breeze J, Shevket K, Powell N, Adeyemi O, Dulawan P, Adrego R, Byrne S, Patale S, Hayday A, Malim M, Pariante C, Sharpe C, Whitney J, Bramham K, Ismail K, Wessely S, Nicholson T, Ashworth A, Humphries A, Tan AL, Whittam B, Coupland C, Favager C, Peckham D, Wade E, Saalmink G, Clarke J, Glossop J, Murira J, Rangeley J, Woods J, Hall L, Dalton M, Window N, Beirne P, Hardy T, Coakley G, Turtle L, Berridge A, Cross A, Key AL, Rowe A, Allt AM, Mears C, Malein F, Madzamba G, Hardwick HE, Earley J, Hawkes J, Pratt J, Wyles J, Tripp KA, Hainey K, Allerton L, Lavelle-Langham L, Melling L, Wajero LO, Poll L, Noonan MJ, French N, Lewis-Burke N, Williams-Howard SA, Cooper S, Kaprowska S, Dobson SL, Marsh S, Highett V, Shaw V, Beadsworth M, Defres S, Watson E, Tiongson GF, Papineni P, Gurram S, Diwanji SN, Quaid S, Briggs A, Hastie C, Rogers N, Stensel D, Bishop L, McIvor K, Rivera-Ortega P, Al-Sheklly B, Avram C, Faluyi D, Blaikely J, Piper Hanley K, Radhakrishnan K, Buch M, Hanley NA, Odell N, Osbourne R, Stockdale S, Felton T, Gorsuch T, Hussell T, Kausar Z, Kabir T, McAllister-Williams H, Paddick S, Burn D, Ayoub A, Greenhalgh A, Sayer A, Young A, Price D, Burns G, MacGowan G, Fisher H, Tedd H, Simpson J, Jiwa K, Witham M, Hogarth P, West S, Wright S, McMahon MJ, Neill P, Dougherty A, Morrow A, Anderson D, Grieve D, Bayes H, Fallon K, Mangion K, Gilmour L, Basu N, Sykes R, Berry C, McInnes IB, Donaldson A, Sage EK, Barrett F, Welsh B, Bell M, Quigley J, Leitch K, Macliver L, Patel M, Hamil R, Deans A, Furniss J, Clohisey S, Elliott A, Solstice AR, Deas C, Tee C, Connell D, Sutherland D, George J, Mohammed S, Bunker J, Holmes K, Dipper A, Morley A, Arnold D, Adamali H, Welch H, Morrison L, Stadon L, Maskell N, Barratt S, Dunn S, Waterson S, Jayaraman B, Light T, Selby N, Hosseini A, Shaw K, Almeida P, Needham R, Thomas AK, Matthews L, Gupta A, Nikolaidis A, Dupont C, Bonnington J, Chrystal M, Greenhaff PL, Linford S, Prosper S, Jang W, Alamoudi A, Bloss A, Megson C, Nicoll D, Fraser E, Pacpaco E, Conneh F, Ogg G, McShane H, Koychev I, Chen J, Pimm J, Ainsworth M, Pavlides M, Sharpe M, Havinden-Williams M, Petousi N, Talbot N, Carter P, Kurupati P, Dong T, Peng Y, Burns A, Kanellakis N, Korszun A, Connolly B, Busby J, Peto T, Patel B, Nolan CM, Cristiano D, Walsh JA, Liyanage K, Gummadi M, Dormand N, Polgar O, George P, Barker RE, Patel S, Price L, Gibbons M, Matila D, Jarvis H, Lim L, Olaosebikan O, Ahmad S, Brill S, Mandal S, Laing C, Michael A, Reddy A, Johnson C, Baxendale H, Parfrey H, Mackie J, Newman J, Pack J, Parmar J, Paques K, Garner L, Harvey A, Summersgill C, Holgate D, Hardy E, Oxton J, Pendlebury J, McMorrow L, Mairs N, Majeed N, Dark P, Ugwuoke R, Knight S, Whittaker S, Strong-Sheldrake S, Matimba-Mupaya W, Chowienczyk P, Pattenadk D, Hurditch E, Chan F, Carborn H, Foot H, Bagshaw J, Hockridge J, Sidebottom J, Lee JH, Birchall K, Turner K, Haslam L, Holt L, Milner L, Begum M, Marshall M, Steele N, Tinker N, Ravencroft P, Butcher R, Misra S, Walker S, Coburn Z, Fairman A, Ford A, Holbourn A, Howell A, Lawrie A, Lye A, Mbuyisa A, Zawia A, Holroyd-Hind B, Thamu B, Clark C, Jarman C, Norman C, Roddis C, Foote D, Lee E, Ilyas F, Stephens G, Newell H, Turton H, Macharia I, Wilson I, Cole J, McNeill J, Meiring J, Rodger J, Watson J, Chapman K, Harrington K, Chetham L, Hesselden L, Nwafor L, Dixon M, Plowright M, Wade P, Gregory R, Lenagh R, Stimpson R, Megson S, Newman T, Cheng Y, Goodwin C, Heeley C, Sissons D, Sowter D, Gregory H, Wynter I, Hutchinson J, Kirk J, Bennett K, Slack K, Allsop L, Holloway L, Flynn M, Gill M, Greatorex M, Holmes M, Buckley P, Shelton S, Turner S, Sewell TA, Whitworth V, Lovegrove W, Tomlinson J, Warburton L, Painter S, Vickers C, Redwood D, Tilley J, Palmer S, Wainwright T, Breen G, Hotopf M, Dunleavy A, Teixeira J, Ali M, Mencias M, Msimanga N, Siddique S, Samakomva T, Tavoukjian V, Forton D, Ahmed R, Cook A, Thaivalappil F, Connor L, Rees T, McNarry M, Williams N, McCormick J, McIntosh J, Vere J, Coulding M, Kilroy S, Turner V, Butt AT, Savill H, Fraile E, Ugoji J, Landers G, Lota H, Portukhay S, Nasseri M, Daniels A, Hormis A, Ingham J, Zeidan L, Osborne L, Chablani M, Banerjee A, David A, Pakzad A, Rangelov B, Williams B, Denneny E, Willoughby J, Xu M, Mehta P, Batterham R, Bell R, Aslani S, Lilaonitkul W, Checkley A, Bang D, Basire D, Lomas D, Wall E, Plant H, Roy K, Heightman M, Lipman M, Merida Morillas M, Ahwireng N, Chambers RC, Jastrub R, Logan S, Hillman T, Botkai A, Casey A, Neal A, Newton-Cox A, Cooper B, Atkin C, McGee C, Welch C, Wilson D, Sapey E, Qureshi H, Hazeldine J, Lord JM, Nyaboko J, Short J, Stockley J, Dasgin J, Draxlbauer K, Isaacs K, Mcgee K, Yip KP, Ratcliffe L, Bates M, Ventura M, Ahmad Haider N, Gautam N, Baggott R, Holden S, Madathil S, Walder S, Yasmin S, Hiwot T, Jackson T, Soulsby T, Kamwa V, Peterkin Z, Suleiman Z, Chaudhuri N, Wheeler H, Djukanovic R, Samuel R, Sass T, Wallis T, Marshall B, Childs C, Marouzet E, Harvey M, Fletcher S, Dickens C, Beckett P, Nanda U, Daynes E, Charalambou A, Yousuf AJ, Lea A, Prickett A, Gooptu B, Hargadon B, Bourne C, Christie C, Edwardson C, Lee D, Baldry E, Stringer E, Woodhead F, Mills G, Arnold H, Aung H, Qureshi IN, Finch J, Skeemer J, Hadley K, Khunti K, Carr L, Ingram L, Aljaroof M, Bakali M, Bakau M, Baldwin M, Bourne M, Pareek M, Soares M, Tobin M, Armstrong N, Brunskill N, Goodman N, Cairns P, Haldar P, McCourt P, Dowling R, Russell R, Diver S, Edwards S, Glover S, Parker S, Siddiqui S, Ward TJC, Mcnally T, Thornton T, Yates T, Ibrahim W, Monteiro W, Thickett D, Wilkinson D, Broome M, McArdle P, Upthegrove R, Wraith D, Langenberg C, Summers C, Bullmore E, Heeney JL, Schwaeble W, Sudlow CL, Adeloye D, Newby DE, Rudan I, Shankar-Hari M, Thorpe M, Pius R, Walmsley S, McGovern A, Ballard C, Allan L, Dennis J, Cavanagh J, Petrie J, O'Donnell K, Spears M, Sattar N, MacDonald S, Guthrie E, Henderson M, Guillen Guio B, Zhao B, Lawson C, Overton C, Taylor C, Tong C, Mukaetova-Ladinska E, Turner E, Pearl JE, Sargant J, Wormleighton J, Bingham M, Sharma M, Steiner M, Samani N, Novotny P, Free R, Allen RJ, Finney S, Terry S, Brugha T, Plekhanova T, McArdle A, Vinson B, Spencer LG, Reynolds W, Ashworth M, Deakin B, Chinoy H, Abel K, Harvie M, Stanel S, Rostron A, Coleman C, Baguley D, Hufton E, Khan F, Hall I, Stewart I, Fabbri L, Wright L, Kitterick P, Morriss R, Johnson S, Bates A, Antoniades C, Clark D, Bhui K, Channon KM, Motohashi K, Sigfrid L, Husain M, Webster M, Fu X, Li X, Kingham L, Klenerman P, Miiler K, Carson G, Simons G, Huneke N, Calder PC, Baldwin D, Bain S, Lasserson D, Daines L, Bright E, Stern M, Crisp P, Dharmagunawardena R, Reddington A, Wight A, Bailey L, Ashish A, Robinson E, Cooper J, Broadley A, Turnbull A, Brookes C, Sarginson C, Ionita D, Redfearn H, Elliott K, Barman L, Griffiths L, Guy Z, Gill R, Nathu R, Harris E, Moss P, Finnigan J, Saunders K, Saunders P, Kon S, Kon SS, O'Brien L, Shah K, Shah P, Richardson E, Brown V, Brown M, Brown J, Brown J, Brown A, Brown A, Brown M, Choudhury N, Jones S, Jones H, Jones L, Jones I, Jones G, Jones H, Jones D, Davies F, Davies E, Davies K, Davies G, Davies GA, Howard K, Porter J, Rowland J, Rowland A, Scott K, Singh S, Singh C, Thomas S, Thomas C, Lewis V, Lewis J, Lewis D, Harrison P, Francis C, Francis R, Hughes RA, Hughes J, Hughes AD, Thompson T, Kelly S, Smith D, Smith N, Smith A, Smith J, Smith L, Smith S, Evans T, Evans RI, Evans D, Evans R, Evans H, Evans J. Multiorgan MRI findings after hospitalisation with COVID-19 in the UK (C-MORE): a prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study. Lancet Respir Med 2023; 11:1003-1019. [PMID: 37748493 PMCID: PMC7615263 DOI: 10.1016/s2213-2600(23)00262-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2023] [Revised: 06/16/2023] [Accepted: 06/30/2023] [Indexed: 09/27/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The multiorgan impact of moderate to severe coronavirus infections in the post-acute phase is still poorly understood. We aimed to evaluate the excess burden of multiorgan abnormalities after hospitalisation with COVID-19, evaluate their determinants, and explore associations with patient-related outcome measures. METHODS In a prospective, UK-wide, multicentre MRI follow-up study (C-MORE), adults (aged ≥18 years) discharged from hospital following COVID-19 who were included in Tier 2 of the Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID) and contemporary controls with no evidence of previous COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antibody negative) underwent multiorgan MRI (lungs, heart, brain, liver, and kidneys) with quantitative and qualitative assessment of images and clinical adjudication when relevant. Individuals with end-stage renal failure or contraindications to MRI were excluded. Participants also underwent detailed recording of symptoms, and physiological and biochemical tests. The primary outcome was the excess burden of multiorgan abnormalities (two or more organs) relative to controls, with further adjustments for potential confounders. The C-MORE study is ongoing and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04510025. FINDINGS Of 2710 participants in Tier 2 of PHOSP-COVID, 531 were recruited across 13 UK-wide C-MORE sites. After exclusions, 259 C-MORE patients (mean age 57 years [SD 12]; 158 [61%] male and 101 [39%] female) who were discharged from hospital with PCR-confirmed or clinically diagnosed COVID-19 between March 1, 2020, and Nov 1, 2021, and 52 non-COVID-19 controls from the community (mean age 49 years [SD 14]; 30 [58%] male and 22 [42%] female) were included in the analysis. Patients were assessed at a median of 5·0 months (IQR 4·2-6·3) after hospital discharge. Compared with non-COVID-19 controls, patients were older, living with more obesity, and had more comorbidities. Multiorgan abnormalities on MRI were more frequent in patients than in controls (157 [61%] of 259 vs 14 [27%] of 52; p<0·0001) and independently associated with COVID-19 status (odds ratio [OR] 2·9 [95% CI 1·5-5·8]; padjusted=0·0023) after adjusting for relevant confounders. Compared with controls, patients were more likely to have MRI evidence of lung abnormalities (p=0·0001; parenchymal abnormalities), brain abnormalities (p<0·0001; more white matter hyperintensities and regional brain volume reduction), and kidney abnormalities (p=0·014; lower medullary T1 and loss of corticomedullary differentiation), whereas cardiac and liver MRI abnormalities were similar between patients and controls. Patients with multiorgan abnormalities were older (difference in mean age 7 years [95% CI 4-10]; mean age of 59·8 years [SD 11·7] with multiorgan abnormalities vs mean age of 52·8 years [11·9] without multiorgan abnormalities; p<0·0001), more likely to have three or more comorbidities (OR 2·47 [1·32-4·82]; padjusted=0·0059), and more likely to have a more severe acute infection (acute CRP >5mg/L, OR 3·55 [1·23-11·88]; padjusted=0·025) than those without multiorgan abnormalities. Presence of lung MRI abnormalities was associated with a two-fold higher risk of chest tightness, and multiorgan MRI abnormalities were associated with severe and very severe persistent physical and mental health impairment (PHOSP-COVID symptom clusters) after hospitalisation. INTERPRETATION After hospitalisation for COVID-19, people are at risk of multiorgan abnormalities in the medium term. Our findings emphasise the need for proactive multidisciplinary care pathways, with the potential for imaging to guide surveillance frequency and therapeutic stratification. FUNDING UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research.
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McLean KA, Goel T, Lawday S, Riad A, Simoes J, Knight SR, Ghosh D, Glasbey JC, Bhangu A, Harrison EM. Prognostic models for surgical-site infection in gastrointestinal surgery: systematic review. Br J Surg 2023; 110:1441-1450. [PMID: 37433918 PMCID: PMC10564404 DOI: 10.1093/bjs/znad187] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2023] [Revised: 04/11/2023] [Accepted: 05/20/2023] [Indexed: 07/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Identification of patients at high risk of surgical-site infection may allow clinicians to target interventions and monitoring to minimize associated morbidity. The aim of this systematic review was to identify and evaluate prognostic tools for the prediction of surgical-site infection in gastrointestinal surgery. METHODS This systematic review sought to identify original studies describing the development and validation of prognostic models for 30-day SSI after gastrointestinal surgery (PROSPERO: CRD42022311019). MEDLINE, Embase, Global Health, and IEEE Xplore were searched from 1 January 2000 to 24 February 2022. Studies were excluded if prognostic models included postoperative parameters or were procedure specific. A narrative synthesis was performed, with sample-size sufficiency, discriminative ability (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve), and prognostic accuracy compared. RESULTS Of 2249 records reviewed, 23 eligible prognostic models were identified. A total of 13 (57 per cent) reported no internal validation and only 4 (17 per cent) had undergone external validation. Most identified operative contamination (57 per cent, 13 of 23) and duration (52 per cent, 12 of 23) as important predictors; however, there remained substantial heterogeneity in other predictors identified (range 2-28). All models demonstrated a high risk of bias due to the analytic approach, with overall low applicability to an undifferentiated gastrointestinal surgical population. Model discrimination was reported in most studies (83 per cent, 19 of 23); however, calibration (22 per cent, 5 of 23) and prognostic accuracy (17 per cent, 4 of 23) were infrequently assessed. Of externally validated models (of which there were four), none displayed 'good' discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve greater than or equal to 0.7). CONCLUSION The risk of surgical-site infection after gastrointestinal surgery is insufficiently described by existing risk-prediction tools, which are not suitable for routine use. Novel risk-stratification tools are required to target perioperative interventions and mitigate modifiable risk factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenneth A McLean
- Department of Clinical Surgery, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Tanvi Goel
- India Hub, NIHR Global Health Research Unit on Global Surgery, Ludhiana, India
| | - Samuel Lawday
- Bristol Centre for Surgical Research, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Aya Riad
- Department of Clinical Surgery, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Joana Simoes
- Institute of Translational Medicine, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Stephen R Knight
- Department of Clinical Surgery, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Dhruva Ghosh
- India Hub, NIHR Global Health Research Unit on Global Surgery, Ludhiana, India
| | - James C Glasbey
- Institute of Translational Medicine, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Aneel Bhangu
- Institute of Translational Medicine, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Department of Clinical Surgery, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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Riad AM, Barry A, Knight SR, Arbaugh CJ, Haque PD, Weiser TG, Harrison EM. Perioperative optimisation in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs): A systematic review and meta-analysis of enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS). J Glob Health 2023; 13:04114. [PMID: 37787105 PMCID: PMC10546475 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.13.04114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) protocols have largely been incorporated into practice in high-income settings due to proven improvement in perioperative outcomes. We aimed to review the implementation of ERAS protocols and other perioperative optimisation strategies in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) and their impact on length of hospital stay (LOS). Methods We searched MEDLINE, PubMed, Global Health (CABI), WHO Global Index Medicus, Index Medicus, and Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS) for studies incorporating ERAS or other prehabilitation approaches in LMICs. We conducted a pooled analysis of LOS using a random-effects model to evaluate the impact of such programs. This systematic review was pre-registered on PROSPERO. Results We screened 1205 studies and included 70 for a full-text review; six were eligible for inclusion and five for quantitative analysis, two of which were randomised controlled trials. ERAS was compared to routine practice in all included studies, while none implemented prehabilitation or other preoperative optimisation strategies. Pooled analysis of 290 patients showed reduced LOS in the ERAS group with a standardised mean difference of -2.18 (95% confidence interval (CI) = -4.13, -.0.05, P < 0.01). The prediction interval was wide (95% CI = -7.85, 3.48) with substantial heterogeneity (I2 = 94%). Conclusions Perioperative optimisation is feasible in LMICs and appears to reduce LOS, despite high levels of between-study heterogeneity. There is a need for high-quality data on perioperative practice in LMICs and supplementary qualitative analysis to further understand barriers to perioperative optimisation implementation. Registration PROSPERO: CRD42021279053.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aya M Riad
- Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Aisling Barry
- Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | | | - Carlie J Arbaugh
- Department of Surgery, Stanford Health Care and Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Parvez D Haque
- Department of General Surgery, Christian Medical College and Hospital, Punjab, India
| | - Thomas G Weiser
- Department of Surgery, Stanford Health Care and Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute Edinburgh, UK
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Taquet M, Skorniewska Z, Hampshire A, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Elneima O, McAuley HJC, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Greening NJ, Mansoori P, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Lone NI, Quint J, Sattar N, Brightling CE, Wain LV, Evans RE, Geddes JR, Harrison PJ. Acute blood biomarker profiles predict cognitive deficits 6 and 12 months after COVID-19 hospitalization. Nat Med 2023; 29:2498-2508. [PMID: 37653345 PMCID: PMC10579097 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02525-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2023] [Accepted: 07/31/2023] [Indexed: 09/02/2023]
Abstract
Post-COVID cognitive deficits, including 'brain fog', are clinically complex, with both objective and subjective components. They are common and debilitating, and can affect the ability to work, yet their biological underpinnings remain unknown. In this prospective cohort study of 1,837 adults hospitalized with COVID-19, we identified two distinct biomarker profiles measured during the acute admission, which predict cognitive outcomes 6 and 12 months after COVID-19. A first profile links elevated fibrinogen relative to C-reactive protein with both objective and subjective cognitive deficits. A second profile links elevated D-dimer relative to C-reactive protein with subjective cognitive deficits and occupational impact. This second profile was mediated by fatigue and shortness of breath. Neither profile was significantly mediated by depression or anxiety. Results were robust across secondary analyses. They were replicated, and their specificity to COVID-19 tested, in a large-scale electronic health records dataset. These findings provide insights into the heterogeneous biology of post-COVID cognitive deficits.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maxime Taquet
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK.
| | | | - Adam Hampshire
- Department of Brain Sciences, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - James D Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
- Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Betty Raman
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Olivia C Leavy
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Hamish J C McAuley
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M Saunders
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Victoria C Harris
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Therapy Department, University Hospitals of Leicester, NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J Greening
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nazir I Lone
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Naveed Sattar
- School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Christopher E Brightling
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Louise V Wain
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachael E Evans
- The institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - John R Geddes
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Paul J Harrison
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK.
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Sgrò A, Cambridge WA, McLean KA, Drake TM, Camilleri-Brennan J, Knight SR, Pius R, Wu DA, Wigmore SJ, Harrison EM. Is socioeconomic deprivation associated with worse quality of life, anxiety and depression in liver transplant recipients? A cross-sectional study in a national transplantation programme. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e070422. [PMID: 37558450 PMCID: PMC10414121 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-070422] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2022] [Accepted: 06/02/2023] [Indexed: 08/11/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To identify whether socioeconomic deprivation is associated with worse health-related quality of life (HR-QoL), anxiety and depression following liver transplantation. DESIGN Cross-sectional study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS Liver transplant recipients within a national transplantation programme. METHODS Participants completed the condition-specific 'Short Form of Liver Disease Quality of Life' Questionnaire, the Generalised Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7) Questionnaire and the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9). The aggregate HR-QoL Score (range 0-100) was derived, and multivariable linear regression was performed based on sociodemographic and clinical variables to estimate its independent association with Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) quintiles. The GAD-7 Questionnaire and PHQ-9 were used to screen respondents for anxiety and depression, and multivariable logistic regression was performed to estimate their independent association with SIMD quintiles. RESULTS Some 331 patients completed the questionnaires. Quintiles were equally distributed in the cohort, with no significant differences observed in underlying patient characteristics. Following multivariable adjustment, greater socioeconomic deprivation was associated with lower post-transplantation HR-QoL scores, with a difference of 9.7 points (95% CI: 4.6 to 14.9, p<0.001) between the most and least deprived quintiles. Recipients living in areas of least deprivation were less likely to suffer from anxiety (OR 0.05, 95% CI: 0.00 to 0.28, p=0.003) or depression (OR 0.13, 95% CI: 0.02 to 0.56, p=0.009). CONCLUSION Despite the highly selected nature of liver transplant recipients, those living in the most deprived areas have a significantly lower HR-QoL and are more likely to suffer from anxiety and depression.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alessandro Sgrò
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - William A Cambridge
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Kenneth A McLean
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Stephen R Knight
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Riinu Pius
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Diana A Wu
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Stephen J Wigmore
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
- Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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Jackson C, Stewart ID, Plekhanova T, Cunningham PS, Hazel AL, Al-Sheklly B, Aul R, Bolton CE, Chalder T, Chalmers JD, Chaudhuri N, Docherty AB, Donaldson G, Edwardson CL, Elneima O, Greening NJ, Hanley NA, Harris VC, Harrison EM, Ho LP, Houchen-Wolloff L, Howard LS, Jolley CJ, Jones MG, Leavy OC, Lewis KE, Lone NI, Marks M, McAuley HJC, McNarry MA, Patel BV, Piper-Hanley K, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Richardson M, Rivera-Ortega P, Rowland-Jones SL, Rowlands AV, Saunders RM, Scott JT, Sereno M, Shah AM, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Stanel SC, Thorpe M, Wootton DG, Yates T, Gisli Jenkins R, Singh SJ, Man WDC, Brightling CE, Wain LV, Porter JC, Thompson AAR, Horsley A, Molyneaux PL, Evans RA, Jones SE, Rutter MK, Blaikley JF. Effects of sleep disturbance on dyspnoea and impaired lung function following hospital admission due to COVID-19 in the UK: a prospective multicentre cohort study. Lancet Respir Med 2023; 11:673-684. [PMID: 37072018 PMCID: PMC10156429 DOI: 10.1016/s2213-2600(23)00124-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2022] [Revised: 03/09/2023] [Accepted: 03/10/2023] [Indexed: 04/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Sleep disturbance is common following hospital admission both for COVID-19 and other causes. The clinical associations of this for recovery after hospital admission are poorly understood despite sleep disturbance contributing to morbidity in other scenarios. We aimed to investigate the prevalence and nature of sleep disturbance after discharge following hospital admission for COVID-19 and to assess whether this was associated with dyspnoea. METHODS CircCOVID was a prospective multicentre cohort substudy designed to investigate the effects of circadian disruption and sleep disturbance on recovery after COVID-19 in a cohort of participants aged 18 years or older, admitted to hospital for COVID-19 in the UK, and discharged between March, 2020, and October, 2021. Participants were recruited from the Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID). Follow-up data were collected at two timepoints: an early time point 2-7 months after hospital discharge and a later time point 10-14 months after hospital discharge. Sleep quality was assessed subjectively using the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index questionnaire and a numerical rating scale. Sleep quality was also assessed with an accelerometer worn on the wrist (actigraphy) for 14 days. Participants were also clinically phenotyped, including assessment of symptoms (ie, anxiety [Generalised Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale questionnaire], muscle function [SARC-F questionnaire], dyspnoea [Dyspnoea-12 questionnaire] and measurement of lung function), at the early timepoint after discharge. Actigraphy results were also compared to a matched UK Biobank cohort (non-hospitalised individuals and recently hospitalised individuals). Multivariable linear regression was used to define associations of sleep disturbance with the primary outcome of breathlessness and the other clinical symptoms. PHOSP-COVID is registered on the ISRCTN Registry (ISRCTN10980107). FINDINGS 2320 of 2468 participants in the PHOSP-COVID study attended an early timepoint research visit a median of 5 months (IQR 4-6) following discharge from 83 hospitals in the UK. Data for sleep quality were assessed by subjective measures (the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index questionnaire and the numerical rating scale) for 638 participants at the early time point. Sleep quality was also assessed using device-based measures (actigraphy) a median of 7 months (IQR 5-8 months) after discharge from hospital for 729 participants. After discharge from hospital, the majority (396 [62%] of 638) of participants who had been admitted to hospital for COVID-19 reported poor sleep quality in response to the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index questionnaire. A comparable proportion (338 [53%] of 638) of participants felt their sleep quality had deteriorated following discharge after COVID-19 admission, as assessed by the numerical rating scale. Device-based measurements were compared to an age-matched, sex-matched, BMI-matched, and time from discharge-matched UK Biobank cohort who had recently been admitted to hospital. Compared to the recently hospitalised matched UK Biobank cohort, participants in our study slept on average 65 min (95% CI 59 to 71) longer, had a lower sleep regularity index (-19%; 95% CI -20 to -16), and a lower sleep efficiency (3·83 percentage points; 95% CI 3·40 to 4·26). Similar results were obtained when comparisons were made with the non-hospitalised UK Biobank cohort. Overall sleep quality (unadjusted effect estimate 3·94; 95% CI 2·78 to 5·10), deterioration in sleep quality following hospital admission (3·00; 1·82 to 4·28), and sleep regularity (4·38; 2·10 to 6·65) were associated with higher dyspnoea scores. Poor sleep quality, deterioration in sleep quality, and sleep regularity were also associated with impaired lung function, as assessed by forced vital capacity. Depending on the sleep metric, anxiety mediated 18-39% of the effect of sleep disturbance on dyspnoea, while muscle weakness mediated 27-41% of this effect. INTERPRETATION Sleep disturbance following hospital admission for COVID-19 is associated with dyspnoea, anxiety, and muscle weakness. Due to the association with multiple symptoms, targeting sleep disturbance might be beneficial in treating the post-COVID-19 condition. FUNDING UK Research and Innovation, National Institute for Health Research, and Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council.
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Affiliation(s)
- Callum Jackson
- Department of Mathematics, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Iain D Stewart
- Margaret Turner Warwick Centre for Fibrosing Lung Disease, National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Tatiana Plekhanova
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK; NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Peter S Cunningham
- Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Andrew L Hazel
- Department of Mathematics, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Bashar Al-Sheklly
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK
| | - Raminder Aul
- St Georges University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Charlotte E Bolton
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK; NIHR Nottingham BRC respiratory theme, Translational Medical Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
| | - Trudie Chalder
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, Kings College London, London, UK; Persistent Physical Symptoms Research and Treatment Unit, South London and Maudsley NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - James D Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | | | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Gavin Donaldson
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Charlotte L Edwardson
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK; NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J Greening
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil A Hanley
- Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK
| | - Victoria C Harris
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; Therapy Department, University Hospitals of Leicester, NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Luke S Howard
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK; Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Caroline J Jolley
- Faculty of Life Sciences & Medicine, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK; Kings College London, London, UK
| | - Mark G Jones
- Clinical and Experimental Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK; NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Olivia C Leavy
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Keir E Lewis
- Hywel Dda University Health Board, Wales, UK; University of Swansea, Wales, UK; Respiratory Innovation Wales, Wales, UK
| | - Nazir I Lone
- The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK; Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | - Hamish J C McAuley
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Melitta A McNarry
- Department of Sport and Exercise Sciences, Swansea University, Swansea, UK
| | - Brijesh V Patel
- Anaesthetics, Pain Medicine, and Intensive Care, Imperial College London, London, UK; Royal Brompton and Harefield Clinical Group, Guy's andSt Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Karen Piper-Hanley
- Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Betty Raman
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Pilar Rivera-Ortega
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK
| | - Sarah L Rowland-Jones
- Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK; Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK
| | - Alex V Rowlands
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK; NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M Saunders
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Janet T Scott
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ajay M Shah
- Faculty of Life Sciences & Medicine, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK; Kings College London, London, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Stefan C Stanel
- Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK
| | - Mathew Thorpe
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Daniel G Wootton
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Thomas Yates
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK; University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - R Gisli Jenkins
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Sally J Singh
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - William D-C Man
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK; Kings College London, London, UK; Royal Brompton and Harefield Clinical Group, Guy's andSt Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Christopher E Brightling
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Louise V Wain
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Joanna C Porter
- UCL Respiratory, Department of Medicine, University College London, Rayne Institute, London, UK; ILD Service, University College London Hospital, London, UK
| | - A A Roger Thompson
- Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK; Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Rachael A Evans
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Samuel E Jones
- Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland, FIMM, HiLIFE, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Martin K Rutter
- Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK
| | - John F Blaikley
- Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Oxford Road, Manchester, UK.
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Stutchfield BM, Attia A, Rowe IA, Harrison EM, Gordon-Walker T. UK liver transplantation allocation algorithm: transplant benefit score - Authors' reply. Lancet 2023; 402:371-372. [PMID: 37516542 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(23)01307-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2023] [Accepted: 06/21/2023] [Indexed: 07/31/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Ben M Stutchfield
- Department of Clinical and Surgical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH14 4SA, UK; Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
| | - Antony Attia
- School of Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH14 4SA, UK
| | - Ian A Rowe
- Leeds Institute for Medical Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Department of Clinical and Surgical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH14 4SA, UK; Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Tim Gordon-Walker
- Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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Docherty AB, Farrell J, Thorpe M, Egan C, Dunn S, Norman L, Shaw CA, Law A, Leeming G, Norris L, Brooks A, Prodan B, MacLeod R, Baxter R, Morris C, Rennie D, Oosthuyzen W, Semple MG, Baillie JK, Pius R, Seth S, Harrison EM, Lone NI. Patient emergency health-care use before hospital admission for COVID-19 and long-term outcomes in Scotland: a national cohort study. Lancet Digit Health 2023; 5:e446-e457. [PMID: 37391265 PMCID: PMC10306342 DOI: 10.1016/s2589-7500(23)00051-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/12/2022] [Revised: 02/21/2023] [Accepted: 02/23/2023] [Indexed: 07/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND It is unclear what effect the pattern of health-care use before admission to hospital with COVID-19 (index admission) has on the long-term outcomes for patients. We sought to describe mortality and emergency readmission to hospital after discharge following the index admission (index discharge), and to assess associations between these outcomes and patterns of health-care use before such admissions. METHODS We did a national, retrospective, complete cohort study by extracting data from several national databases and linking the databases for all adult patients admitted to hospital in Scotland with COVID-19. We used latent class trajectory modelling to identify distinct clusters of patients on the basis of their emergency admissions to hospital in the 2 years before the index admission. The primary outcomes were mortality and emergency readmission up to 1 year after index admission. We used multivariable regression models to explore associations between these outcomes and patient demographics, vaccination status, level of care received in hospital, and previous emergency hospital use. FINDINGS Between March 1, 2020, and Oct 25, 2021, 33 580 patients were admitted to hospital with COVID-19 in Scotland. Overall, the Kaplan-Meier estimate of mortality within 1 year of index admission was 29·6% (95% CI 29·1-30·2). The cumulative incidence of emergency hospital readmission within 30 days of index discharge was 14·4% (95% CI 14·0-14·8), with the number increasing to 35·6% (34·9-36·3) patients at 1 year. Among the 33 580 patients, we identified four distinct patterns of previous emergency hospital use: no admissions (n=18 772 [55·9%]); minimal admissions (n=12 057 [35·9%]); recently high admissions (n=1931 [5·8%]), and persistently high admissions (n=820 [2·4%]). Patients with recently or persistently high admissions were older, more multimorbid, and more likely to have hospital-acquired COVID-19 than patients with no or minimal admissions. People in the minimal, recently high, and persistently high admissions groups had an increased risk of mortality and hospital readmission compared with those in the no admissions group. Compared with the no admissions group, mortality was highest in the recently high admissions group (post-hospital mortality HR 2·70 [95% CI 2·35-2·81]; p<0·0001) and the risk of readmission was highest in the persistently high admissions group (3·23 [2·89-3·61]; p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION Long-term mortality and readmission rates for patients hospitalised with COVID-19 were high; within 1 year, one in three patients had died and a third had been readmitted as an emergency. Patterns of hospital use before index admission were strongly predictive of mortality and readmission risk, independent of age, pre-existing comorbidities, and COVID-19 vaccination status. This increasingly precise identification of individuals at high risk of poor outcomes from COVID-19 will enable targeted support. FUNDING Chief Scientist Office Scotland, UK National Institute for Health Research, and UK Research and Innovation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
| | - James Farrell
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Mathew Thorpe
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Conor Egan
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Sarah Dunn
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Lisa Norman
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Catherine A Shaw
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Andrew Law
- Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Gary Leeming
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Lucy Norris
- Bayes Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Andrew Brooks
- Bayes Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Bianca Prodan
- Bayes Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Robert Baxter
- Bayes Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | | | | | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | | | - Riinu Pius
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Sohan Seth
- School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nazir I Lone
- Centre for Population Health Sciences, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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Riad AM, Cambridge WA, Henshall D, McAdam H, Drake TM, Fairfield CJ, Knight SR, Sgrò A, Shaw C, Glasbey JC, Potter MA, Harrison EM, McLean KA. Educational impact and recommendations from implementation of student-led clinical trial recruitment: a mixed-methods study. Postgrad Med J 2023; 99:484-491. [PMID: 37294723 DOI: 10.1136/pmj-2022-142122] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2022] [Accepted: 09/25/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
Medical students have an essential role in medical research, yet often lack opportunities for involvement within randomised trials. This study aimed to understand the educational impact of clinical trial recruitment for medical students. Tracking wound infection with smartphone technology (TWIST) was a randomised controlled trial that included adult patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery across two university teaching hospitals. All recruiters underwent prerecruitment training based on 'Generating Student Recruiters for Randomised Trials' principles, and completed prerecruitment and postrecruitment surveys. Respondent agreement with statements were assessed using 5-point Likert scales (from 1 ('strongly disagree') to 5 ('strongly agree')). Quantitative data were analysed using paired t-tests to compare differences pre-involvement and post-involvement. Thematic content analysis was performed on free-text data to generate recommendations for future student research involvement. Of 492 patients recruited to TWIST between 26 July 2016 and 4 March 2020, 86.0% (n=423) were recruited by medical students. Following introduction of student co-investigators (n=31), the overall monthly recruitment rate tripled (4.8-15.7 patients). 96.8% of recruiters (n=30/31) completed both surveys, and all respondents reported significant improvement in clinical and academic competencies. Three higher-level thematic domains emerged from the qualitative analysis: (1) engagement, (2) preparation and (3) ongoing support. Student recruitment in clinical trials is feasible and accelerates recruitment to clinical trials. Students demonstrated novel clinical research competencies and increased their likelihood of future involvement. Adequate training, support and selection of suitable trials are essential for future student involvement in randomised trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aya M Riad
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - David Henshall
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Heather McAdam
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Cameron J Fairfield
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Stephen R Knight
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Alessandro Sgrò
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Catherine Shaw
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - James C Glasbey
- NIHR Global Health Research Unit on Global Surgery, University of Birmingham Institute of Translational Medicine, Birmingham, UK
| | - Mark A Potter
- Colorectal Unit, University of Edinburgh Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Kenneth A McLean
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
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22
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Zheng B, Vivaldi G, Daines L, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Elneima O, McAuley HJ, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Greening NJ, Pfeffer PE, Hurst JR, Brown JS, Shankar-Hari M, Echevarria C, De Soyza A, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Lone N, Quint JK, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Heaney LG, Wain LV, Evans RA, Brightling CE, Martineau A, Sheikh A. Determinants of recovery from post-COVID-19 dyspnoea: analysis of UK prospective cohorts of hospitalised COVID-19 patients and community-based controls. Lancet Reg Health Eur 2023; 29:100635. [PMID: 37261214 PMCID: PMC10145209 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.100635] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2023] [Revised: 03/17/2023] [Accepted: 03/27/2023] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
Background The risk factors for recovery from COVID-19 dyspnoea are poorly understood. We investigated determinants of recovery from dyspnoea in adults with COVID-19 and compared these to determinants of recovery from non-COVID-19 dyspnoea. Methods We used data from two prospective cohort studies: PHOSP-COVID (patients hospitalised between March 2020 and April 2021 with COVID-19) and COVIDENCE UK (community cohort studied over the same time period). PHOSP-COVID data were collected during hospitalisation and at 5-month and 1-year follow-up visits. COVIDENCE UK data were obtained through baseline and monthly online questionnaires. Dyspnoea was measured in both cohorts with the Medical Research Council Dyspnoea Scale. We used multivariable logistic regression to identify determinants associated with a reduction in dyspnoea between 5-month and 1-year follow-up. Findings We included 990 PHOSP-COVID and 3309 COVIDENCE UK participants. We observed higher odds of improvement between 5-month and 1-year follow-up among PHOSP-COVID participants who were younger (odds ratio 1.02 per year, 95% CI 1.01-1.03), male (1.54, 1.16-2.04), neither obese nor severely obese (1.82, 1.06-3.13 and 4.19, 2.14-8.19, respectively), had no pre-existing anxiety or depression (1.56, 1.09-2.22) or cardiovascular disease (1.33, 1.00-1.79), and shorter hospital admission (1.01 per day, 1.00-1.02). Similar associations were found in those recovering from non-COVID-19 dyspnoea, excluding age (and length of hospital admission). Interpretation Factors associated with dyspnoea recovery at 1-year post-discharge among patients hospitalised with COVID-19 were similar to those among community controls without COVID-19. Funding PHOSP-COVID is supported by a grant from the MRC-UK Research and Innovation and the Department of Health and Social Care through the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) rapid response panel to tackle COVID-19. The views expressed in the publication are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the National Health Service (NHS), the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care.COVIDENCE UK is supported by the UK Research and Innovation, the National Institute for Health Research, and Barts Charity. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the funders.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bang Zheng
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Giulia Vivaldi
- Blizard Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
- Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Luke Daines
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Olivia C. Leavy
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Hamish J.C. McAuley
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M. Saunders
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Victoria C. Harris
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Therapy Department, University Hospitals of Leicester, NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J. Greening
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Paul E. Pfeffer
- Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK
- Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - John R. Hurst
- UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Manu Shankar-Hari
- Centre for Inflammation Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Carlos Echevarria
- The Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK
- Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle, UK
| | - Anthony De Soyza
- The Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK
- Population Health Science Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle, UK
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Annemarie B. Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nazir Lone
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - James D. Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- Medical Research Council (MRC) Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
- Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Betty Raman
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Liam G. Heaney
- Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University, Belfast, UK
| | - Louise V. Wain
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachael A. Evans
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Christopher E. Brightling
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Adrian Martineau
- Blizard Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
- Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
- Asthma UK Centre for Applied Research, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Asthma UK Centre for Applied Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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23
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McLean KA, Sgrò A, Brown LR, Buijs LF, Daines L, Potter MA, Bouamrane MM, Harrison EM. Evaluation of remote digital postoperative wound monitoring in routine surgical practice. NPJ Digit Med 2023; 6:85. [PMID: 37147462 PMCID: PMC10161985 DOI: 10.1038/s41746-023-00824-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2023] [Accepted: 04/12/2023] [Indexed: 05/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Remote digital postoperative wound monitoring provides an opportunity to strengthen postoperative community care and minimise the burden of surgical-site infection (SSI). This study aimed to pilot a remote digital postoperative wound monitoring service and evaluate the readiness for implementation in routine clinical practice. This was a single-arm pilot implementational study of remote digital postoperative wound monitoring across two tertiary care hospitals in the UK (IDEAL stage 2b, clinicaltrials.gov: NCT05069103). Adults undergoing abdominal surgery were recruited and received a smartphone-delivered wound assessment tool for 30-days postoperatively. Patients received 30-day postoperative follow-up, including the Telehealth Usability Questionnaire (TUQ). A thematic mixed-methods approach was used, according to the WHO framework for monitoring and evaluating digital health interventions. 200 patients were enroled, of whom 115 (57.5%) underwent emergency surgical procedures. Overall, the 30-day SSI rate was 16.5% (n = 33/200), with 72.7% (n = 24) diagnosed post-discharge. Usage of the intervention was 83.0% (n = 166/200), with subsequently 74.1% (n = 123/166) TUQ completion. There were no issues reported with feasibility of the technology, with the reliability (3.87, 95% CI: 3.73-4.00) and quality of the interface rated highly (4.18, 95%: 4.06-4.30). Patient acceptance was similarly high with regards to ease of use (4.51, 95% CI: 4.41-4.62), satisfaction (4.27, 95% CI: 4.13-4.41), and usefulness (4.07, 95% CI: 3.92-4.23). Despite the desire for more frequent and personalised interactions, the majority viewed the intervention as providing meaningful benefit over routine postoperative care. Remote digital postoperative wound monitoring successfully demonstrated readiness for implementation with regards to the technology, usability, and healthcare process improvement.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenneth A McLean
- Department of Clinical Surgery, University of Edinburgh, 51 Little France Crescent, Edinburgh, EH16 4SA, UK
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, 9 Little France Rd, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX, UK
| | - Alessandro Sgrò
- Colorectal Unit, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK
| | - Leo R Brown
- Department of Clinical Surgery, University of Edinburgh, 51 Little France Crescent, Edinburgh, EH16 4SA, UK
| | - Louis F Buijs
- Colorectal Unit, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK
| | - Luke Daines
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, 9 Little France Rd, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX, UK
| | - Mark A Potter
- Colorectal Unit, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK
| | - Matt-Mouley Bouamrane
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, 9 Little France Rd, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Department of Clinical Surgery, University of Edinburgh, 51 Little France Crescent, Edinburgh, EH16 4SA, UK.
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, 9 Little France Rd, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX, UK.
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24
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Pauley E, Drake TM, Griffith DM, Sigfrid L, Lone NI, Harrison EM, Baillie JK, Scott JT, Walsh TS, Semple MG, Docherty AB. Recovery from Covid-19 critical illness: A secondary analysis of the ISARIC4C CCP-UK cohort study and the RECOVER trial. J Intensive Care Soc 2023; 24:162-169. [PMID: 37255989 PMCID: PMC10225805 DOI: 10.1177/17511437211052226] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Background We aimed to compare the prevalence and severity of fatigue in survivors of Covid-19 versus non-Covid-19 critical illness, and to explore potential associations between baseline characteristics and worse recovery. Methods We conducted a secondary analysis of two prospectively collected datasets. The population included was 92 patients who received invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) with Covid-19, and 240 patients who received IMV with non-Covid-19 illness before the pandemic. Follow-up data were collected post-hospital discharge using self-reported questionnaires. The main outcome measures were self-reported fatigue severity and the prevalence of severe fatigue (severity >7/10) 3 and 12-months post-hospital discharge. Results Covid-19 IMV-patients were significantly younger with less prior comorbidity, and more males, than pre-pandemic IMV-patients. At 3-months, the prevalence (38.9% [7/18] vs. 27.1% [51/188]) and severity (median 5.5/10 vs 5.0/10) of fatigue were similar between the Covid-19 and pre-pandemic populations, respectively. At 6-months, the prevalence (10.3% [3/29] vs. 32.5% [54/166]) and severity (median 2.0/10 vs. 5.7/10) of fatigue were less in the Covid-19 cohort. In the total sample of IMV-patients included (i.e. all Covid-19 and pre-pandemic patients), having Covid-19 was significantly associated with less severe fatigue (severity <7/10) after adjusting for age, sex and prior comorbidity (adjusted OR 0.35 (95%CI 0.15-0.76, p=0.01). Conclusion Fatigue may be less severe after Covid-19 than after other critical illness.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ellen Pauley
- , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh Medical School
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
| | - David M Griffith
- Anaesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
| | - Louise Sigfrid
- Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, , Oxford, UKUniversity of Oxford
| | - Nazir I Lone
- Anaesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
- Centre for Population Health Sciences, The Usher Institute, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
| | - J Kenneth Baillie
- Anaesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
- Roslin Institute, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
| | - Janet T Scott
- , Glasgow, UKMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research
| | - Timothy S Walsh
- Anaesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Unit in Emerging Infectious Diseases, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, , Liverpool, UKUniversity of Liverpool
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
- Anaesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, , Edinburgh, UKUniversity of Edinburgh
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25
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McLean KA, Knight SR, Diehl TM, Varghese C, Ng N, Potter MA, Zafar SN, Bouamrane MM, Harrison EM. Readiness for implementation of novel digital health interventions for postoperative monitoring: a systematic review and clinical innovation network analysis. Lancet Digit Health 2023; 5:e295-e315. [PMID: 37100544 DOI: 10.1016/s2589-7500(23)00026-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2022] [Revised: 02/01/2023] [Accepted: 02/03/2023] [Indexed: 04/28/2023]
Abstract
An increasing number of digital health interventions (DHIs) for remote postoperative monitoring have been developed and evaluated. This systematic review identifies DHIs for postoperative monitoring and evaluates their readiness for implementation into routine health care. Studies were defined according to idea, development, exploration, assessment, and long-term follow-up (IDEAL) stages of innovation. A novel clinical innovation network analysis used coauthorship and citations to examine collaboration and progression within the field. 126 DHIs were identified, with 101 (80%) being early stage innovations (IDEAL stage 1 and 2a). None of the DHIs identified had large-scale routine implementation. There is little evidence of collaboration, and there are clear omissions in the evaluation of feasibility, accessibility, and the health-care impact. Use of DHIs for postoperative monitoring remains at an early stage of innovation, with promising but generally low-quality supporting evidence. Comprehensive evaluation within high-quality, large-scale trials and real-world data are required to definitively establish readiness for routine implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenneth A McLean
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Stephen R Knight
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas M Diehl
- Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA
| | - Chris Varghese
- Department of Surgery, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | - Nathan Ng
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Mark A Potter
- Colorectal Unit, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Syed Nabeel Zafar
- Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA
| | - Matt-Mouley Bouamrane
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
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26
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Attia A, Rowe IA, Harrison EM, Gordon-Walker T, Stutchfield BM. Implausible algorithm output in UK liver transplantation allocation scheme: importance of transparency. Lancet 2023; 401:911-912. [PMID: 36870362 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(23)00114-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2022] [Revised: 12/21/2022] [Accepted: 01/05/2023] [Indexed: 03/05/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Antony Attia
- School of Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH14 4SA, UK
| | - Ian A Rowe
- Leeds Institute for Medical Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH14 4SA, UK; Department of Clinical and Surgical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH14 4SA, UK
| | - Tim Gordon-Walker
- Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ben M Stutchfield
- Department of Clinical and Surgical Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH14 4SA, UK; Edinburgh Transplant Centre, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
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27
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Stewart I, Jacob J, George PM, Molyneaux PL, Porter JC, Allen RJ, Aslani S, Baillie JK, Barratt SL, Beirne P, Bianchi SM, Blaikley JF, Chalmers JD, Chambers RC, Chadhuri N, Coleman C, Collier G, Denneny EK, Docherty A, Elneima O, Evans RA, Fabbri L, Gibbons MA, Gleeson FV, Gooptu B, Greening NJ, Guio BG, Hall IP, Hanley NA, Harris V, Harrison EM, Heightman M, Hillman TE, Horsley A, Houchen-Wolloff L, Jarrold I, Johnson SR, Jones MG, Khan F, Lawson R, Leavy O, Lone N, Marks M, McAuley H, Mehta P, Parekh D, Hanley KP, Platé M, Pearl J, Poinasamy K, Quint JK, Raman B, Richardson M, Rivera-Ortega P, Saunders L, Saunders R, Semple MG, Sereno M, Shikotra A, Simpson AJ, Singapuri A, Smith DJF, Spears M, Spencer LG, Stanel S, Thickett DR, Thompson AAR, Thorpe M, Walsh SLF, Walker S, Weatherley ND, Weeks ME, Wild JM, Wootton DG, Brightling CE, Ho LP, Wain LV, Jenkins GR. Residual Lung Abnormalities after COVID-19 Hospitalization: Interim Analysis of the UKILD Post-COVID-19 Study. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2023; 207:693-703. [PMID: 36457159 PMCID: PMC10037479 DOI: 10.1164/rccm.202203-0564oc] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 29.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2022] [Accepted: 12/01/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Rationale: Shared symptoms and genetic architecture between coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and lung fibrosis suggest severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection may lead to progressive lung damage. Objectives: The UK Interstitial Lung Disease Consortium (UKILD) post-COVID-19 study interim analysis was planned to estimate the prevalence of residual lung abnormalities in people hospitalized with COVID-19 on the basis of risk strata. Methods: The PHOSP-COVID-19 (Post-Hospitalization COVID-19) study was used to capture routine and research follow-up within 240 days from discharge. Thoracic computed tomography linked by PHOSP-COVID-19 identifiers was scored for the percentage of residual lung abnormalities (ground-glass opacities and reticulations). Risk factors in linked computed tomography were estimated with Bayesian binomial regression, and risk strata were generated. Numbers within strata were used to estimate posthospitalization prevalence using Bayesian binomial distributions. Sensitivity analysis was restricted to participants with protocol-driven research follow-up. Measurements and Main Results: The interim cohort comprised 3,700 people. Of 209 subjects with linked computed tomography (median, 119 d; interquartile range, 83-155), 166 people (79.4%) had more than 10% involvement of residual lung abnormalities. Risk factors included abnormal chest X-ray (risk ratio [RR], 1.21; 95% credible interval [CrI], 1.05-1.40), percent predicted DlCO less than 80% (RR, 1.25; 95% CrI, 1.00-1.56), and severe admission requiring ventilation support (RR, 1.27; 95% CrI, 1.07-1.55). In the remaining 3,491 people, moderate to very high risk of residual lung abnormalities was classified at 7.8%, and posthospitalization prevalence was estimated at 8.5% (95% CrI, 7.6-9.5), rising to 11.7% (95% CrI, 10.3-13.1) in the sensitivity analysis. Conclusions: Residual lung abnormalities were estimated in up to 11% of people discharged after COVID-19-related hospitalization. Health services should monitor at-risk individuals to elucidate long-term functional implications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iain Stewart
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Peter M. George
- Royal Brompton and Harefield Clinical Group, Guy’s and St. Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Philip L. Molyneaux
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Richard J. Allen
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | - Paul Beirne
- Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Leeds, United Kingdom
| | - Stephen M. Bianchi
- Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Omer Elneima
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - Rachael A. Evans
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - Laura Fabbri
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Fergus V. Gleeson
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Bibek Gooptu
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - Neil J. Greening
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - Beatriz Guillen Guio
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - Ian P. Hall
- University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom
| | | | - Victoria Harris
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | - Alex Horsley
- University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | - Mark G. Jones
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
| | - Fasihul Khan
- University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom
| | - Rod Lawson
- Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, United Kingdom
| | - Olivia Leavy
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | | | - Michael Marks
- University College London Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Hamish McAuley
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - Puja Mehta
- University College London Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Dhruv Parekh
- University of Birmingham, Brimingham, United Kingdom
| | - Karen Piper Hanley
- University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | - Manuela Platé
- University College London Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - John Pearl
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | | | - Jennifer K. Quint
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Betty Raman
- University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | - Ruth Saunders
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | | | - Marco Sereno
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | | | - Amisha Singapuri
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - David J. F. Smith
- Royal Brompton and Harefield Clinical Group, Guy’s and St. Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Mark Spears
- Perth Royal Infirmary, NHS Tayside, Perth, United Kingdom; and
| | - Lisa G. Spencer
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Stefan Stanel
- University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | - Simon L. F. Walsh
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Mark E. Weeks
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Jim M. Wild
- University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Ling-Pei Ho
- University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Louise V. Wain
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom
- Leicester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Leicester, United Kingdom
| | - Gisli R. Jenkins
- National Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
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28
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McAuley HJ, Evans RA, Bolton CE, Brightling CE, Chalmers JD, Docherty AB, Elneima O, Greenhaff PL, Gupta A, Harris VC, Harrison EM, Ho LP, Horsley A, Houchen-Wolloff L, Jolley CJ, Leavy OC, Lone NI, Man WDC, Marks M, Parekh D, Poinasamy K, Quint JK, Raman B, Richardson M, Saunders RM, Sereno M, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Singh SJ, Steiner M, Tan AL, Wain LV, Welch C, Whitney J, Witham MD, Lord J, Greening NJ. Prevalence of physical frailty, including risk factors, up to 1 year after hospitalisation for COVID-19 in the UK: a multicentre, longitudinal cohort study. EClinicalMedicine 2023; 57:101896. [PMID: 36936404 PMCID: PMC10005893 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.101896] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2022] [Revised: 02/08/2023] [Accepted: 02/15/2023] [Indexed: 03/16/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The scale of COVID-19 and its well documented long-term sequelae support a need to understand long-term outcomes including frailty. Methods This prospective cohort study recruited adults who had survived hospitalisation with clinically diagnosed COVID-19 across 35 sites in the UK (PHOSP-COVID). The burden of frailty was objectively measured using Fried's Frailty Phenotype (FFP). The primary outcome was the prevalence of each FFP group-robust (no FFP criteria), pre-frail (one or two FFP criteria) and frail (three or more FFP criteria)-at 5 months and 1 year after discharge from hospital. For inclusion in the primary analysis, participants required complete outcome data for three of the five FFP criteria. Longitudinal changes across frailty domains are reported at 5 months and 1 year post-hospitalisation, along with risk factors for frailty status. Patient-perceived recovery and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) were retrospectively rated for pre-COVID-19 and prospectively rated at the 5 month and 1 year visits. This study is registered with ISRCTN, number ISRCTN10980107. Findings Between March 5, 2020, and March 31, 2021, 2419 participants were enrolled with FFP data. Mean age was 57.9 (SD 12.6) years, 933 (38.6%) were female, and 429 (17.7%) had received invasive mechanical ventilation. 1785 had measures at both timepoints, of which 240 (13.4%), 1138 (63.8%) and 407 (22.8%) were frail, pre-frail and robust, respectively, at 5 months compared with 123 (6.9%), 1046 (58.6%) and 616 (34.5%) at 1 year. Factors associated with pre-frailty or frailty were invasive mechanical ventilation, older age, female sex, and greater social deprivation. Frail participants had a larger reduction in HRQoL compared with before their COVID-19 illness and were less likely to describe themselves as recovered. Interpretation Physical frailty and pre-frailty are common following hospitalisation with COVID-19. Improvement in frailty was seen between 5 and 12 months although two-thirds of the population remained pre-frail or frail. This suggests comprehensive assessment and interventions targeting pre-frailty and frailty beyond the initial illness are required. Funding UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hamish J.C. McAuley
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachael A. Evans
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Charlotte E. Bolton
- University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK
- NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham, UK
| | - Christopher E. Brightling
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - James D. Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Annemarie B. Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | - Ayushman Gupta
- University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
- NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham, UK
| | - Victoria C. Harris
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Therapy Department, University Hospitals of Leicester, NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Caroline J. Jolley
- Centre for Human & Applied Physiological Sciences, School of Basic & Medical Biosciences, Faculty of Life Sciences & Medicine, King's College London, London, UK
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Olivia C. Leavy
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Nazir I. Lone
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | - William D-C Man
- Royal Brompton and Harefield Clinical Group, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, UK
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Faculty of Life Sciences and Medicine, King's College London, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
- Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | - Dhruv Parekh
- University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- University Hospital Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK
| | | | - Jennifer K. Quint
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Betty Raman
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M. Saunders
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Sally J. Singh
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Michael Steiner
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Ai Lyn Tan
- Leeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- NIHR Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, Chapel Allerton Hospital, Leeds, UK
| | - Louise V. Wain
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | - Julie Whitney
- The School of Life Course & Population Sciences, King's College London, UK
| | - Miles D. Witham
- AGE Research Group, NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
- Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Janet Lord
- University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Neil J. Greening
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
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29
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Daynes E, Baldwin M, Greening NJ, Yates T, Bishop NC, Mills G, Roberts M, Hamrouni M, Plekhanova T, Vogiatzis I, Echevarria C, Nathu R, McAuley HJC, Latimer L, Glennie J, Chambers F, Penfold R, Hume E, Megaritis D, Alexiou C, Potthof S, Hogg MJ, Haighton C, Nichol B, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Elneima O, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Nolan CM, Bolton C, Houchen-Wolloff L, Harrison EM, Lone N, Quint J, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Ramen B, Wain LV, Brightling C, Man WDC, Evans R, Singh SJ. Correction: The effect of COVID rehabilitation for ongoing symptoms Post HOSPitalisation with COVID-19 (PHOSP-R): protocol for a randomised parallel group controlled trial on behalf of the PHOSP consortium. Trials 2023; 24:98. [PMID: 36750957 PMCID: PMC9904254 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-023-07132-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/09/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Enya Daynes
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK. .,Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
| | - Molly Baldwin
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J. Greening
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Thomas Yates
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre- Diabetes, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Diabetes Research Centre, College of Life Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Nicolette C. Bishop
- grid.6571.50000 0004 1936 8542National Centre for Sport and Exercise Medicine, School of Sport, Exercise and Health Sciences, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - George Mills
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK
| | - Matthew Roberts
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.6571.50000 0004 1936 8542National Centre for Sport and Exercise Medicine, School of Sport, Exercise and Health Sciences, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Malik Hamrouni
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.6571.50000 0004 1936 8542National Centre for Sport and Exercise Medicine, School of Sport, Exercise and Health Sciences, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Tatiana Plekhanova
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre- Diabetes, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Diabetes Research Centre, College of Life Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ioannis Vogiatzis
- grid.42629.3b0000000121965555Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Carlos Echevarria
- grid.420004.20000 0004 0444 2244The Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK
| | - Rashmita Nathu
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Hamish J. C. McAuley
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Lorna Latimer
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Jennifer Glennie
- grid.420004.20000 0004 0444 2244The Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK
| | - Francesca Chambers
- grid.420004.20000 0004 0444 2244The Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK
| | - Ruth Penfold
- grid.420004.20000 0004 0444 2244The Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK
| | - Emily Hume
- grid.42629.3b0000000121965555Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Dimitrios Megaritis
- grid.42629.3b0000000121965555Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Charikleia Alexiou
- grid.42629.3b0000000121965555Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Sebastian Potthof
- grid.42629.3b0000000121965555Department of Social Work, Education, and Community Wellbeing, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Mitchell James Hogg
- grid.42629.3b0000000121965555Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Catherine Haighton
- grid.42629.3b0000000121965555Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Bethany Nichol
- grid.42629.3b0000000121965555Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Olivia C. Leavy
- grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M. Saunders
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Victoria C. Harris
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK
| | - Claire M. Nolan
- grid.7728.a0000 0001 0724 6933College of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences, Brunel University, London, UK ,grid.420545.20000 0004 0489 3985Harefield Respiratory Research Group, Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Charlotte Bolton
- grid.4563.40000 0004 1936 8868School of Medicine, The University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Nazir Lone
- grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK ,grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Jennifer Quint
- grid.7445.20000 0001 2113 8111National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - James D. Chalmers
- grid.418716.d0000 0001 0709 1919Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- grid.5379.80000000121662407Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- grid.439749.40000 0004 0612 2754Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospitals, London, UK ,grid.83440.3b0000000121901201Division of Infection & Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | - Krisnah Poinasamy
- grid.512915.b0000 0000 8744 7921Asthma UK and British Lung Foundation, London, UK
| | - Betty Ramen
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Louise V. Wain
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Christopher Brightling
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - William D.-C. Man
- grid.420545.20000 0004 0489 3985Harefield Respiratory Research Group, Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK ,grid.416266.10000 0000 9009 9462University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK ,grid.420545.20000 0004 0489 3985Harefield Respiratory Research Group, Heart, Lung and Critical Care Clinical Group, Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Rachael Evans
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Sally J. Singh
- grid.511501.1NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, Leicester, UK ,grid.9918.90000 0004 1936 8411Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
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30
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Turtle L, Thorpe M, Drake TM, Swets M, Palmieri C, Russell CD, Ho A, Aston S, Wootton DG, Richter A, de Silva TI, Hardwick HE, Leeming G, Law A, Openshaw PJM, Harrison EM, Baillie JK, Semple MG, Docherty AB. Outcome of COVID-19 in hospitalised immunocompromised patients: An analysis of the WHO ISARIC CCP-UK prospective cohort study. PLoS Med 2023; 20:e1004086. [PMID: 36719907 PMCID: PMC9928075 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 18.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2022] [Revised: 02/14/2023] [Accepted: 01/11/2023] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Immunocompromised patients may be at higher risk of mortality if hospitalised with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) compared with immunocompetent patients. However, previous studies have been contradictory. We aimed to determine whether immunocompromised patients were at greater risk of in-hospital death and how this risk changed over the pandemic. METHODS AND FINDINGS We included patients > = 19 years with symptomatic community-acquired COVID-19 recruited to the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK prospective cohort study. We defined immunocompromise as immunosuppressant medication preadmission, cancer treatment, organ transplant, HIV, or congenital immunodeficiency. We used logistic regression to compare the risk of death in both groups, adjusting for age, sex, deprivation, ethnicity, vaccination, and comorbidities. We used Bayesian logistic regression to explore mortality over time. Between 17 January 2020 and 28 February 2022, we recruited 156,552 eligible patients, of whom 21,954 (14%) were immunocompromised. In total, 29% (n = 6,499) of immunocompromised and 21% (n = 28,608) of immunocompetent patients died in hospital. The odds of in-hospital mortality were elevated for immunocompromised patients (adjusted OR 1.44, 95% CI [1.39, 1.50], p < 0.001). Not all immunocompromising conditions had the same risk, for example, patients on active cancer treatment were less likely to have their care escalated to intensive care (adjusted OR 0.77, 95% CI [0.7, 0.85], p < 0.001) or ventilation (adjusted OR 0.65, 95% CI [0.56, 0.76], p < 0.001). However, cancer patients were more likely to die (adjusted OR 2.0, 95% CI [1.87, 2.15], p < 0.001). Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic deprivation, comorbidities, and vaccination status. As the pandemic progressed, in-hospital mortality reduced more slowly for immunocompromised patients than for immunocompetent patients. This was particularly evident with increasing age: the probability of the reduction in hospital mortality being less for immunocompromised patients aged 50 to 69 years was 88% for men and 83% for women, and for those >80 years was 99% for men and 98% for women. The study is limited by a lack of detailed drug data prior to admission, including steroid doses, meaning that we may have incorrectly categorised some immunocompromised patients as immunocompetent. CONCLUSIONS Immunocompromised patients remain at elevated risk of death from COVID-19. Targeted measures such as additional vaccine doses, monoclonal antibodies, and nonpharmaceutical preventive interventions should be continually encouraged for this patient group. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN 66726260.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lance Turtle
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Mathew Thorpe
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Thomas M. Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Maaike Swets
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden University, Leiden, the Netherlands
- The Roslin Institute, Easter Bush campus, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Carlo Palmieri
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, Institute of Systems, Molecular and Integrative Biology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Clark D. Russell
- University of Edinburgh Centre for Inflammation Research, Queen’s Medical Research Institute, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Antonia Ho
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
| | - Stephen Aston
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Daniel G. Wootton
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Alex Richter
- Institute of Cancer and Genomic Science, College of Medical and Dental Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
- University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Thushan I. de Silva
- Department of Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, Medical School, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom
| | - Hayley E. Hardwick
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Gary Leeming
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Andy Law
- The Roslin Institute, Easter Bush campus, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Peter J. M. Openshaw
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | | | - J. Kenneth Baillie
- The Roslin Institute, Easter Bush campus, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
- Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
- Baillie Gifford Pandemic Science Hub, Centre for Inflammation Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Malcolm G. Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children’s Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Annemarie B. Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
- Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
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31
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Swann OV, Pollock L, Holden KA, Munro APS, Bennett A, Williams TC, Turtle L, Fairfield CJ, Drake TM, Faust SN, Sinha IP, Roland D, Whittaker E, Ladhani SN, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Girvan M, Donohue C, Donegan C, Spencer RG, Hardwick HE, Openshaw PJM, Baillie JK, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Semple MG. Comparison of UK paediatric SARS-CoV-2 admissions across the first and second pandemic waves. Pediatr Res 2023; 93:207-216. [PMID: 35449394 PMCID: PMC9876790 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-022-02052-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2021] [Revised: 12/09/2021] [Accepted: 12/13/2021] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND We hypothesised that the clinical characteristics of hospitalised children and young people (CYP) with SARS-CoV-2 in the UK second wave (W2) would differ from the first wave (W1) due to the alpha variant (B.1.1.7), school reopening and relaxation of shielding. METHODS Prospective multicentre observational cohort study of patients <19 years hospitalised in the UK with SARS-CoV-2 between 17/01/20 and 31/01/21. Clinical characteristics were compared between W1 and W2 (W1 = 17/01/20-31/07/20,W2 = 01/08/20-31/01/21). RESULTS 2044 CYP < 19 years from 187 hospitals. 427/2044 (20.6%) with asymptomatic/incidental SARS-CoV-2 were excluded from main analysis. 16.0% (248/1548) of symptomatic CYP were admitted to critical care and 0.8% (12/1504) died. 5.6% (91/1617) of symptomatic CYP had Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C). After excluding CYP with MIS-C, patients in W2 had lower Paediatric Early Warning Scores (PEWS, composite vital sign score), lower antibiotic use and less respiratory and cardiovascular support than W1. The proportion of CYP admitted to critical care was unchanged. 58.0% (938/1617) of symptomatic CYP had no reported comorbidity. Patients without co-morbidities were younger (42.4%, 398/938, <1 year), had lower PEWS, shorter length of stay and less respiratory support. CONCLUSIONS We found no evidence of increased disease severity in W2 vs W1. A large proportion of hospitalised CYP had no comorbidity. IMPACT No evidence of increased severity of COVID-19 admissions amongst children and young people (CYP) in the second vs first wave in the UK, despite changes in variant, relaxation of shielding and return to face-to-face schooling. CYP with no comorbidities made up a significant proportion of those admitted. However, they had shorter length of stays and lower treatment requirements than CYP with comorbidities once those with MIS-C were excluded. At least 20% of CYP admitted in this cohort had asymptomatic/incidental SARS-CoV-2 infection. This paper was presented to SAGE to inform CYP vaccination policy in the UK.
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Affiliation(s)
- Olivia V Swann
- Department of Child Life and Health, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Royal Hospital for Children, Glasgow, UK
| | - Louisa Pollock
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Royal Hospital for Children, Glasgow, UK
- Child Health, School of Medicine, Dentistry & Nursing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Karl A Holden
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7BE, UK
- Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
| | - Alasdair P S Munro
- NIHR Southampton Clinical Research Facility and NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK
- Faculty of Medicine and Institute for Life Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Aisleen Bennett
- Institute of Infection and Immunity, St George's, University of London, London, UK
| | - Thomas C Williams
- Department of Child Life and Health, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Lance Turtle
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7BE, UK
- Tropical and Infectious Diseases Unit, Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Member of Liverpool Health Partners, Liverpool, UK
| | - Cameron J Fairfield
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Saul N Faust
- NIHR Southampton Clinical Research Facility and NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK
- Faculty of Medicine and Institute for Life Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Ian P Sinha
- Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
- Women's and Children's Health, Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Damian Roland
- Paediatric Emergency Medicine Leicester Academic (PEMLA) Group, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
- SAPPHIRE Group, Health Sciences, Leicester University, Leicester, UK
| | - Elizabeth Whittaker
- Section of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Imperial College Healthcare National Health System Trust, London, UK
| | - Shamez N Ladhani
- Immunisation and Countermeasures Division, Public Health England Colindale, London, UK
- Paediatric Infectious Disease, St. George's Hospital London, London, UK
| | - Jonathan S Nguyen-Van-Tam
- Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Nottingham School of Medicine, Nottingham, UK
| | - Michelle Girvan
- Liverpool Clinical Trials Centre, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Chloe Donohue
- Liverpool Clinical Trials Centre, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Cara Donegan
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7BE, UK
| | - Rebecca G Spencer
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7BE, UK
| | - Hayley E Hardwick
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7BE, UK
| | | | - J Kenneth Baillie
- Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7BE, UK.
- Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
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32
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Swann OV, Lone NI, Harrison EM, Tomlinson LA, Walker AJ, Seaborne MJ, Pollock L, Farrell J, Hall PS, Seth S, Williams TC, Preston J, Ainsworth JS, Semple FF, Baillie JK, Katikireddi SV, Akbari A, Lyons R, Simpson CR, Semple MG, Goldacre B, Brophy S, Sheikh A, Docherty AB. Studying the Long-term Impact of COVID-19 in Kids (SLICK). Healthcare use and costs in children and young people following community-acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection: protocol for an observational study using linked primary and secondary routinely collected healthcare data from England, Scotland and Wales. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e063271. [PMID: 36356998 PMCID: PMC9659708 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-063271] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2022] [Accepted: 10/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION SARS-CoV-2 infection rarely causes hospitalisation in children and young people (CYP), but mild or asymptomatic infections are common. Persistent symptoms following infection have been reported in CYP but subsequent healthcare use is unclear. We aim to describe healthcare use in CYP following community-acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection and identify those at risk of ongoing healthcare needs. METHODS AND ANALYSIS We will use anonymised individual-level, population-scale national data linking demographics, comorbidities, primary and secondary care use and mortality between 1 January 2019 and 1 May 2022. SARS-CoV-2 test data will be linked from 1 January 2020 to 1 May 2022. Analyses will use Trusted Research Environments: OpenSAFELY in England, Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank in Wales and Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 in Scotland (EAVE-II). CYP aged ≥4 and <18 years who underwent SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription PCR (RT-PCR) testing between 1 January 2020 and 1 May 2021 and those untested CYP will be examined.The primary outcome measure is cumulative healthcare cost over 12 months following SARS-CoV-2 testing, stratified into primary or secondary care, and physical or mental healthcare. We will estimate the burden of healthcare use attributable to SARS-CoV-2 infections in the 12 months after testing using a matched cohort study of RT-PCR positive, negative or untested CYP matched on testing date, with adjustment for confounders. We will identify factors associated with higher healthcare needs in the 12 months following SARS-CoV-2 infection using an unmatched cohort of RT-PCR positive CYP. Multivariable logistic regression and machine learning approaches will identify risk factors for high healthcare use and characterise patterns of healthcare use post infection. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION This study was approved by the South-Central Oxford C Health Research Authority Ethics Committee (13/SC/0149). Findings will be preprinted and published in peer-reviewed journals. Analysis code and code lists will be available through public GitHub repositories and OpenCodelists with meta-data via HDR-UK Innovation Gateway.
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Affiliation(s)
- Olivia V Swann
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Department of Child Life and Health, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nazir I Lone
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Laurie A Tomlinson
- Department of Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Alex J Walker
- The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Louisa Pollock
- Department of Child Health, School of Medicine, Dentistry and Nursing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - James Farrell
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Peter S Hall
- Institute of Cancer and Genetics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Sohan Seth
- School of Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas C Williams
- Department of Child Life and Health, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Jennifer Preston
- Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - J Samantha Ainsworth
- Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Freya F Semple
- School of Medicine Dentistry and Nursing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | | | | | - Ashley Akbari
- Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, UK
| | - Ronan Lyons
- Swansea University Medical School, Swansea University, Swansea, UK
| | - Colin R Simpson
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- School of Health, Faculty of Health, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Liverpool, UK
- Respiratory Paediatrics, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, Liverpool, UK
| | - Ben Goldacre
- The DataLab, Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sinead Brophy
- Health Data Research, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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Riad AM, Cambridge WA, Henshall D, McAdam H, Drake TM, Fairfield CJ, Knight SR, Sgrò A, Shaw C, Glasbey JC, Potter MA, Harrison EM, McLean KA. Educational impact and recommendations from implementation of student-led clinical trial recruitment: a mixed-methods study. Postgrad Med J 2022:7127885. [PMID: 37073614 DOI: 10.1136/postmj/pmj-2022-142122] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2022] [Accepted: 09/25/2022] [Indexed: 04/20/2023]
Abstract
Medical students have an essential role in medical research, yet often lack opportunities for involvement within randomised trials. This study aimed to understand the educational impact of clinical trial recruitment for medical students. Tracking wound infection with smartphone technology (TWIST) was a randomised controlled trial that included adult patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery across two university teaching hospitals. All recruiters underwent prerecruitment training based on 'Generating Student Recruiters for Randomised Trials' principles, and completed prerecruitment and postrecruitment surveys. Respondent agreement with statements were assessed using 5-point Likert scales (from 1 ('strongly disagree') to 5 ('strongly agree')). Quantitative data were analysed using paired t-tests to compare differences pre-involvement and post-involvement. Thematic content analysis was performed on free-text data to generate recommendations for future student research involvement. Of 492 patients recruited to TWIST between 26 July 2016 and 4 March 2020, 86.0% (n=423) were recruited by medical students. Following introduction of student co-investigators (n=31), the overall monthly recruitment rate tripled (4.8-15.7 patients). 96.8% of recruiters (n=30/31) completed both surveys, and all respondents reported significant improvement in clinical and academic competencies. Three higher-level thematic domains emerged from the qualitative analysis: (1) engagement, (2) preparation and (3) ongoing support. Student recruitment in clinical trials is feasible and accelerates recruitment to clinical trials. Students demonstrated novel clinical research competencies and increased their likelihood of future involvement. Adequate training, support and selection of suitable trials are essential for future student involvement in randomised trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aya M Riad
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - David Henshall
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Heather McAdam
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Cameron J Fairfield
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Stephen R Knight
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Alessandro Sgrò
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Catherine Shaw
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - James C Glasbey
- NIHR Global Health Research Unit on Global Surgery, University of Birmingham Institute of Translational Medicine, Birmingham, UK
| | - Mark A Potter
- Colorectal Unit, University of Edinburgh Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Kenneth A McLean
- Department of Clinical Surgery, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Center for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
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Gonçalves BP, Hall M, Jassat W, Balan V, Murthy S, Kartsonaki C, Semple MG, Rojek A, Baruch J, Reyes LF, Dasgupta A, Dunning J, Citarella BW, Pritchard M, Martín-Quiros A, Sili U, Baillie JK, Aryal D, Arabi Y, Rashan A, Angheben A, Caoili J, Carrier FM, Harrison EM, Gómez-Junyent J, Figueiredo-Mello C, Douglas JJ, Mat Nor MB, Chow YP, Wong XC, Bertagnolio S, Thwin SS, Streinu-Cercel A, Salazar L, Rishu A, Rangappa R, Ong DSY, Hashmi M, Carson G, Diaz J, Fowler R, Kraemer MUG, Wils EJ, Horby P, Merson L, Olliaro PL. An international observational study to assess the impact of the Omicron variant emergence on the clinical epidemiology of COVID-19 in hospitalised patients. eLife 2022; 11:e80556. [PMID: 36197074 PMCID: PMC9534549 DOI: 10.7554/elife.80556] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2022] [Accepted: 09/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Whilst timely clinical characterisation of infections caused by novel SARS-CoV-2 variants is necessary for evidence-based policy response, individual-level data on infecting variants are typically only available for a minority of patients and settings. Methods Here, we propose an innovative approach to study changes in COVID-19 hospital presentation and outcomes after the Omicron variant emergence using publicly available population-level data on variant relative frequency to infer SARS-CoV-2 variants likely responsible for clinical cases. We apply this method to data collected by a large international clinical consortium before and after the emergence of the Omicron variant in different countries. Results Our analysis, that includes more than 100,000 patients from 28 countries, suggests that in many settings patients hospitalised with Omicron variant infection less often presented with commonly reported symptoms compared to patients infected with pre-Omicron variants. Patients with COVID-19 admitted to hospital after Omicron variant emergence had lower mortality compared to patients admitted during the period when Omicron variant was responsible for only a minority of infections (odds ratio in a mixed-effects logistic regression adjusted for likely confounders, 0.67 [95% confidence interval 0.61-0.75]). Qualitatively similar findings were observed in sensitivity analyses with different assumptions on population-level Omicron variant relative frequencies, and in analyses using available individual-level data on infecting variant for a subset of the study population. Conclusions Although clinical studies with matching viral genomic information should remain a priority, our approach combining publicly available data on variant frequency and a multi-country clinical characterisation dataset with more than 100,000 records allowed analysis of data from a wide range of settings and novel insights on real-world heterogeneity of COVID-19 presentation and clinical outcome. Funding Bronner P. Gonçalves, Peter Horby, Gail Carson, Piero L. Olliaro, Valeria Balan, Barbara Wanjiru Citarella, and research costs were supported by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) and Wellcome [215091/Z/18/Z, 222410/Z/21/Z, 225288/Z/22/Z]; and Janice Caoili and Madiha Hashmi were supported by the UK FCDO and Wellcome [222048/Z/20/Z]. Peter Horby, Gail Carson, Piero L. Olliaro, Kalynn Kennon and Joaquin Baruch were supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation [OPP1209135]; Laura Merson was supported by University of Oxford's COVID-19 Research Response Fund - with thanks to its donors for their philanthropic support. Matthew Hall was supported by a Li Ka Shing Foundation award to Christophe Fraser. Moritz U.G. Kraemer was supported by the Branco Weiss Fellowship, Google.org, the Oxford Martin School, the Rockefeller Foundation, and the European Union Horizon 2020 project MOOD (#874850). The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Commission. Contributions from Srinivas Murthy, Asgar Rishu, Rob Fowler, James Joshua Douglas, François Martin Carrier were supported by CIHR Coronavirus Rapid Research Funding Opportunity OV2170359 and coordinated out of Sunnybrook Research Institute. Contributions from Evert-Jan Wils and David S.Y. Ong were supported by a grant from foundation Bevordering Onderzoek Franciscus; and Andrea Angheben by the Italian Ministry of Health "Fondi Ricerca corrente-L1P6" to IRCCS Ospedale Sacro Cuore-Don Calabria. The data contributions of J.Kenneth Baillie, Malcolm G. Semple, and Ewen M. Harrison were supported by grants from the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR; award CO-CIN-01), the Medical Research Council (MRC; grant MC_PC_19059), and by the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections at University of Liverpool in partnership with Public Health England (PHE) (award 200907), NIHR HPRU in Respiratory Infections at Imperial College London with PHE (award 200927), Liverpool Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre (grant C18616/A25153), NIHR Biomedical Research Centre at Imperial College London (award IS-BRC-1215-20013), and NIHR Clinical Research Network providing infrastructure support. All funders of the ISARIC Clinical Characterisation Group are listed in the appendix.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bronner P Gonçalves
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Matthew Hall
- Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Waasila Jassat
- National Institute for Communicable Diseases, South Africa; Right to CareJohannesburgSouth Africa
| | - Valeria Balan
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Srinivas Murthy
- Faculty of Medicine, University of British ColumbiaVancouverCanada
| | - Christiana Kartsonaki
- MRC Population Health Research Unit, Clinical Trials Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of LiverpoolLiverpoolUnited Kingdom
- Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, University of LiverpoolLiverpoolUnited Kingdom
| | - Amanda Rojek
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
- Royal Melbourne HospitalMelbourneAustralia
- Centre for Integrated Critical Care, University of MelbourneMelbourneAustralia
| | - Joaquín Baruch
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Luis Felipe Reyes
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
- Universidad de La SabanaChiaColombia
- Clinica Universidad de La SabanaChiaColombia
| | - Abhishek Dasgupta
- Department of Computer Science, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
- Department of Biology, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Jake Dunning
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | | | - Mark Pritchard
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | | | - Uluhan Sili
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, School of Medicine, Marmara UniversityIstanbulTurkey
| | - J Kenneth Baillie
- Roslin Institute, University of EdinburghEdinburghUnited Kingdom
- Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of EdinburghEdinburghUnited Kingdom
| | - Diptesh Aryal
- Critical Care and Anesthesia, Nepal Mediciti HospitalLalitpurNepal
| | - Yaseen Arabi
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center and King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health SciencesRiyadhSaudi Arabia
| | - Aasiyah Rashan
- Network for Improving Critical care Systems and TrainingColomboSri Lanka
| | - Andrea Angheben
- Department of Infectious, Tropical Diseases and Microbiology (DITM), IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar di ValpolicellaVeronaItaly
| | | | - François Martin Carrier
- Department of Anesthesiology, Centre hospitalier de l'Université de MontréalMontréalCanada
- Department of Medicine, Critical Care Division, Centre hospitalier de l'Université de MontréalMontréalCanada
- Carrefour de l'innovation et santé des populations, Centre de recherche du Centre hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal (CRCHUM)MontréalCanada
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Université de MontréalMontréalCanada
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and InformaticsEdinburghUnited Kingdom
| | - Joan Gómez-Junyent
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Hospital del Mar, Infectious Pathology and Antimicrobial Research Group (IPAR), Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB), CEXS-Universitat Pompeu FabraBarcelonaSpain
| | | | | | | | - Yock Ping Chow
- Clinical Research Centre, Sunway Medical Centre, Selangor Darul EhsanSelangorMalaysia
| | - Xin Ci Wong
- Digital Health Research and Innovation Unit, Institute for Clinical Research, National Institutes of Health (NIH)SelangorMalaysia
| | | | | | - Anca Streinu-Cercel
- Carol Davila University of Medicine and PharmacyBucharestRomania
- National Institute for Infectious Diseases "Prof. Dr. Matei Bals"BucharestRomania
| | | | - Asgar Rishu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences CentreTorontoCanada
| | | | - David SY Ong
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Infection Control, Franciscus Gasthuis & VlietlandRotterdamNetherlands
| | - Madiha Hashmi
- Critical Care Asia and Ziauddin UniversityKarachiPakistan
| | - Gail Carson
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Janet Diaz
- World Health OrganizationGenèveSwitzerland
| | - Rob Fowler
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences CentreTorontoCanada
| | - Moritz UG Kraemer
- Department of Biology, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
- Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Evert-Jan Wils
- Department of Intensive Care, Franciscus Gasthuis & VlietlandRotterdamNetherlands
| | - Peter Horby
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Laura Merson
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
- Infectious Diseases Data Observatory, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
| | - Piero L Olliaro
- ISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of OxfordOxfordUnited Kingdom
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Jones D, Knight SR, Sremanakova J, Lapitan MCM, Qureshi AU, Drake TM, Tabiri S, Ghosh D, Thomas M, Kingsley PA, Sundar S, Maimbo M, Yenli E, Shaw C, Valparaiso AP, Bhangu A, Magill L, Norrie J, Roberts TE, Theodoratou E, Weiser TG, Harrison EM, Burden ST. Malnutrition and nutritional screening in patients undergoing surgery in low and middle income countries: A systematic review. JCSM Clinical Reports 2022. [DOI: 10.1002/crt2.55] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Debra Jones
- School of Health Sciences University of Manchester Manchester UK
| | - Stephen R. Knight
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
| | - Jana Sremanakova
- School of Health Sciences University of Manchester Manchester UK
| | - Marie Carmela M. Lapitan
- Department of Surgery, Institute of Clinical Epidemiology, National Institutes of Health University of the Philippines Manila Philippines
| | - Ahmad U. Qureshi
- Department of General Surgery Services Institute of Medical Sciences Lahore Pakistan
| | - Thomas M. Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
| | - Stephen Tabiri
- Department of Surgery, School of Medicine University for Development Studies Tamale Ghana
| | - Dhruva Ghosh
- Department of Paediatric Surgery Christian Medical College Ludhiana India
| | - Maria Thomas
- Department of Paediatric Surgery Christian Medical College Ludhiana India
| | - Pamela A. Kingsley
- Department of Radiation Oncology Christian Medical College Ludhiana India
| | - Sudha Sundar
- Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences University of Birmingham Birmingham UK
| | - Mayaba Maimbo
- Department of General Surgery Kitwe Teaching Hospital Kitwe Zambia
| | - Edwin Yenli
- Department of Surgery, School of Medicine University for Development Studies Tamale Ghana
| | - Catherine Shaw
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
| | - Apple P. Valparaiso
- Department of Surgery, Institute of Clinical Epidemiology, National Institutes of Health University of the Philippines Manila Philippines
| | - Aneel Bhangu
- Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences University of Birmingham Birmingham UK
| | - Laura Magill
- Institute of Applied Health Research University of Birmingham Birmingham UK
| | - John Norrie
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
| | - Tracey E. Roberts
- Institute of Applied Health Research University of Birmingham Birmingham UK
| | - Evropi Theodoratou
- Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
- Cancer Research UK Edinburgh Centre, Institute of Genetics and Cancer University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
| | - Thomas G. Weiser
- Department of Surgery Stanford University Stanford CA USA
- Department of Clinical Surgery University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK
| | - Sorrel T. Burden
- School of Health Sciences University of Manchester Manchester UK
- Intestinal Failure Unit Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust Manchester UK
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36
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Farrell J, Docherty AB, Thorpe MG, Shaw CA, Harrison EM, Lone NI. Twelve-month risk of thromboembolic events in COVID-19 hospital survivors in Scotland. Anaesthesia 2022; 77:1445-1447. [PMID: 36000949 PMCID: PMC9538279 DOI: 10.1111/anae.15826] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- J Farrell
- University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | | | - C A Shaw
- University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - N I Lone
- University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
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37
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Evans RA, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Elneima O, McAuley HJC, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Aul R, Beirne P, Bolton CE, Brown JS, Choudhury G, Diar-Bakerly N, Easom N, Echevarria C, Fuld J, Hart N, Hurst J, Jones MG, Parekh D, Pfeffer P, Rahman NM, Rowland-Jones SL, Shah AM, Wootton DG, Chalder T, Davies MJ, De Soyza A, Geddes JR, Greenhalf W, Greening NJ, Heaney LG, Heller S, Howard LS, Jacob J, Jenkins RG, Lord JM, Man WDC, McCann GP, Neubauer S, Openshaw PJM, Porter JC, Rowland MJ, Scott JT, Semple MG, Singh SJ, Thomas DC, Toshner M, Lewis KE, Thwaites RS, Briggs A, Docherty AB, Kerr S, Lone NI, Quint J, Sheikh A, Thorpe M, Zheng B, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Harrison EM, Wain LV, Brightling CE, Abel K, Adamali H, Adeloye D, Adeyemi O, Adrego R, Aguilar Jimenez LA, Ahmad S, Ahmad Haider N, Ahmed R, Ahwireng N, Ainsworth M, Al-Sheklly B, Alamoudi A, Ali M, Aljaroof M, All AM, Allan L, Allen RJ, Allerton L, Allsop L, Almeida P, Altmann D, Alvarez Corral M, Amoils S, Anderson D, Antoniades C, Arbane G, Arias A, Armour C, Armstrong L, Armstrong N, Arnold D, Arnold H, Ashish A, Ashworth A, Ashworth M, Aslani S, Assefa-Kebede H, Atkin C, Atkin P, Aung H, Austin L, Avram C, Ayoub A, Babores M, Baggott R, Bagshaw J, Baguley D, Bailey L, Baillie JK, Bain S, Bakali M, Bakau M, Baldry E, Baldwin D, Ballard C, Banerjee A, Bang B, Barker RE, Barman L, Barratt S, Barrett F, Basire D, Basu N, Bates M, Bates A, Batterham R, Baxendale H, Bayes H, Beadsworth M, Beckett P, Beggs M, Begum M, Bell D, Bell R, Bennett K, Beranova E, Bermperi A, Berridge A, Berry C, Betts S, Bevan E, Bhui K, Bingham M, Birchall K, Bishop L, Bisnauthsing K, Blaikely J, Bloss A, Bolger A, Bonnington J, Botkai A, Bourne C, Bourne M, Bramham K, Brear L, Breen G, Breeze J, Bright E, Brill S, Brindle K, Broad L, Broadley A, Brookes C, Broome M, Brown A, Brown A, Brown J, Brown J, Brown M, Brown M, Brown V, Brugha T, Brunskill N, Buch M, Buckley P, Bularga A, Bullmore E, Burden L, Burdett T, Burn D, Burns G, Burns A, Busby J, Butcher R, Butt A, Byrne S, Cairns P, Calder PC, Calvelo E, Carborn H, Card B, Carr C, Carr L, Carson G, Carter P, Casey A, Cassar M, Cavanagh J, Chablani M, Chambers RC, Chan F, Channon KM, Chapman K, Charalambou A, Chaudhuri N, Checkley A, Chen J, Cheng Y, Chetham L, Childs C, Chilvers ER, Chinoy H, Chiribiri A, Chong-James K, Choudhury N, Chowienczyk P, Christie C, Chrystal M, Clark D, Clark C, Clarke J, Clohisey S, Coakley G, Coburn Z, Coetzee S, Cole J, Coleman C, Conneh F, Connell D, Connolly B, Connor L, Cook A, Cooper B, Cooper J, Cooper S, Copeland D, Cosier T, Coulding M, Coupland C, Cox E, Craig T, Crisp P, Cristiano D, Crooks MG, Cross A, Cruz I, Cullinan P, Cuthbertson D, Daines L, Dalton M, Daly P, Daniels A, Dark P, Dasgin J, David A, David C, Davies E, Davies F, Davies G, Davies GA, Davies K, Dawson J, Daynes E, Deakin B, Deans A, Deas C, Deery J, Defres S, Dell A, Dempsey K, Denneny E, Dennis J, Dewar A, Dharmagunawardena R, Dickens C, Dipper A, Diver S, Diwanji SN, Dixon M, Djukanovic R, Dobson H, Dobson SL, Donaldson A, Dong T, Dormand N, Dougherty A, Dowling R, Drain S, Draxlbauer K, Drury K, Dulawan P, Dunleavy A, Dunn S, Earley J, Edwards S, Edwardson C, El-Taweel H, Elliott A, Elliott K, Ellis Y, Elmer A, Evans D, Evans H, Evans J, Evans R, Evans RI, Evans T, Evenden C, Evison L, Fabbri L, Fairbairn S, Fairman A, Fallon K, Faluyi D, Favager C, Fayzan T, Featherstone J, Felton T, Finch J, Finney S, Finnigan J, Finnigan L, Fisher H, Fletcher S, Flockton R, Flynn M, Foot H, Foote D, Ford A, Forton D, Fraile E, Francis C, Francis R, Francis S, Frankel A, Fraser E, Free R, French N, Fu X, Furniss J, Garner L, Gautam N, George J, George P, Gibbons M, Gill M, Gilmour L, Gleeson F, Glossop J, Glover S, Goodman N, Goodwin C, Gooptu B, Gordon H, Gorsuch T, Greatorex M, Greenhaff PL, Greenhalgh A, Greenwood J, Gregory H, Gregory R, Grieve D, Griffin D, Griffiths L, Guerdette AM, Guillen Guio B, Gummadi M, Gupta A, Gurram S, Guthrie E, Guy Z, H Henson H, Hadley K, Haggar A, Hainey K, Hairsine B, Haldar P, Hall I, Hall L, Halling-Brown M, Hamil R, Hancock A, Hancock K, Hanley NA, Haq S, Hardwick HE, Hardy E, Hardy T, Hargadon B, Harrington K, Harris E, Harrison P, Harvey A, Harvey M, Harvie M, Haslam L, Havinden-Williams M, Hawkes J, Hawkings N, Haworth J, Hayday A, Haynes M, Hazeldine J, Hazelton T, Heeley C, Heeney JL, Heightman M, Henderson M, Hesselden L, Hewitt M, Highett V, Hillman T, Hiwot T, Hoare A, Hoare M, Hockridge J, Hogarth P, Holbourn A, Holden S, Holdsworth L, Holgate D, Holland M, Holloway L, Holmes K, Holmes M, Holroyd-Hind B, Holt L, Hormis A, Hosseini A, Hotopf M, Howard K, Howell A, Hufton E, Hughes AD, Hughes J, Hughes R, Humphries A, Huneke N, Hurditch E, Husain M, Hussell T, Hutchinson J, Ibrahim W, Ilyas F, Ingham J, Ingram L, Ionita D, Isaacs K, Ismail K, Jackson T, James WY, Jarman C, Jarrold I, Jarvis H, Jastrub R, Jayaraman B, Jezzard P, Jiwa K, Johnson C, Johnson S, Johnston D, Jolley CJ, Jones D, Jones G, Jones H, Jones H, Jones I, Jones L, Jones S, Jose S, Kabir T, Kaltsakas G, Kamwa V, Kanellakis N, Kaprowska S, Kausar Z, Keenan N, Kelly S, Kemp G, Kerslake H, Key AL, Khan F, Khunti K, Kilroy S, King B, King C, Kingham L, Kirk J, Kitterick P, Klenerman P, Knibbs L, Knight S, Knighton A, Kon O, Kon S, Kon SS, Koprowska S, Korszun A, Koychev I, Kurasz C, Kurupati P, Laing C, Lamlum H, Landers G, Langenberg C, Lasserson D, Lavelle-Langham L, Lawrie A, Lawson C, Lawson C, Layton A, Lea A, Lee D, Lee JH, Lee E, Leitch K, Lenagh R, Lewis D, Lewis J, Lewis V, Lewis-Burke N, Li X, Light T, Lightstone L, Lilaonitkul W, Lim L, Linford S, Lingford-Hughes A, Lipman M, Liyanage K, Lloyd A, Logan S, Lomas D, Loosley R, Lota H, Lovegrove W, Lucey A, Lukaschuk E, Lye A, Lynch C, MacDonald S, MacGowan G, Macharia I, Mackie J, Macliver L, Madathil S, Madzamba G, Magee N, Magtoto MM, Mairs N, Majeed N, Major E, Malein F, Malim M, Mallison G, Mandal S, Mangion K, Manisty C, Manley R, March K, Marciniak S, Marino P, Mariveles M, Marouzet E, Marsh S, Marshall B, Marshall M, Martin J, Martineau A, Martinez LM, Maskell N, Matila D, Matimba-Mupaya W, Matthews L, Mbuyisa A, McAdoo S, Weir McCall J, McAllister-Williams H, McArdle A, McArdle P, McAulay D, McCormick J, McCormick W, McCourt P, McGarvey L, McGee C, Mcgee K, McGinness J, McGlynn K, McGovern A, McGuinness H, McInnes IB, McIntosh J, McIvor E, McIvor K, McLeavey L, McMahon A, McMahon MJ, McMorrow L, Mcnally T, McNarry M, McNeill J, McQueen A, McShane H, Mears C, Megson C, Megson S, Mehta P, Meiring J, Melling L, Mencias M, Menzies D, Merida Morillas M, Michael A, Milligan L, Miller C, Mills C, Mills NL, Milner L, Misra S, Mitchell J, Mohamed A, Mohamed N, Mohammed S, Molyneaux PL, Monteiro W, Moriera S, Morley A, Morrison L, Morriss R, Morrow A, Moss AJ, Moss P, Motohashi K, Msimanga N, Mukaetova-Ladinska E, Munawar U, Murira J, Nanda U, Nassa H, Nasseri M, Neal A, Needham R, Neill P, Newell H, Newman T, Newton-Cox A, Nicholson T, Nicoll D, Nolan CM, Noonan MJ, Norman C, Novotny P, Nunag J, Nwafor L, Nwanguma U, Nyaboko J, O'Donnell K, O'Brien C, O'Brien L, O'Regan D, Odell N, Ogg G, Olaosebikan O, Oliver C, Omar Z, Orriss-Dib L, Osborne L, Osbourne R, Ostermann M, Overton C, Owen J, Oxton J, Pack J, Pacpaco E, Paddick S, Painter S, Pakzad A, Palmer S, Papineni P, Paques K, Paradowski K, Pareek M, Parfrey H, Pariante C, Parker S, Parkes M, Parmar J, Patale S, Patel B, Patel M, Patel S, Pattenadk D, Pavlides M, Payne S, Pearce L, Pearl JE, Peckham D, Pendlebury J, Peng Y, Pennington C, Peralta I, Perkins E, Peterkin Z, Peto T, Petousi N, Petrie J, Phipps J, Pimm J, Piper Hanley K, Pius R, Plant H, Plein S, Plekhanova T, Plowright M, Polgar O, Poll L, Porter J, Portukhay S, Powell N, Prabhu A, Pratt J, Price A, Price C, Price C, Price D, Price L, Price L, Prickett A, Propescu J, Pugmire S, Quaid S, Quigley J, Qureshi H, Qureshi IN, Radhakrishnan K, Ralser M, Ramos A, Ramos H, Rangeley J, Rangelov B, Ratcliffe L, Ravencroft P, Reddington A, Reddy R, Redfearn H, Redwood D, Reed A, Rees M, Rees T, Regan K, Reynolds W, Ribeiro C, Richards A, Richardson E, Rivera-Ortega P, Roberts K, Robertson E, Robinson E, Robinson L, Roche L, Roddis C, Rodger J, Ross A, Ross G, Rossdale J, Rostron A, Rowe A, Rowland A, Rowland J, Roy K, Roy M, Rudan I, Russell R, Russell E, Saalmink G, Sabit R, Sage EK, Samakomva T, Samani N, Sampson C, Samuel K, Samuel R, Sanderson A, Sapey E, Saralaya D, Sargant J, Sarginson C, Sass T, Sattar N, Saunders K, Saunders P, Saunders LC, Savill H, Saxon W, Sayer A, Schronce J, Schwaeble W, Scott K, Selby N, Sewell TA, Shah K, Shah P, Shankar-Hari M, Sharma M, Sharpe C, Sharpe M, Shashaa S, Shaw A, Shaw K, Shaw V, Shelton S, Shenton L, Shevket K, Short J, Siddique S, Siddiqui S, Sidebottom J, Sigfrid L, Simons G, Simpson J, Simpson N, Singh C, Singh S, Sissons D, Skeemer J, Slack K, Smith A, Smith D, Smith S, Smith J, Smith L, Soares M, Solano TS, Solly R, Solstice AR, Soulsby T, Southern D, Sowter D, Spears M, Spencer LG, Speranza F, Stadon L, Stanel S, Steele N, Steiner M, Stensel D, Stephens G, Stephenson L, Stern M, Stewart I, Stimpson R, Stockdale S, Stockley J, Stoker W, Stone R, Storrar W, Storrie A, Storton K, Stringer E, Strong-Sheldrake S, Stroud N, Subbe C, Sudlow CL, Suleiman Z, Summers C, Summersgill C, Sutherland D, Sykes DL, Sykes R, Talbot N, Tan AL, Tarusan L, Tavoukjian V, Taylor A, Taylor C, Taylor J, Te A, Tedd H, Tee CJ, Teixeira J, Tench H, Terry S, Thackray-Nocera S, Thaivalappil F, Thamu B, Thickett D, Thomas C, Thomas S, Thomas AK, Thomas-Woods T, Thompson T, Thompson AAR, Thornton T, Tilley J, Tinker N, Tiongson GF, Tobin M, Tomlinson J, Tong C, Touyz R, Tripp KA, Tunnicliffe E, Turnbull A, Turner E, Turner S, Turner V, Turner K, Turney S, Turtle L, Turton H, Ugoji J, Ugwuoke R, Upthegrove R, Valabhji J, Ventura M, Vere J, Vickers C, Vinson B, Wade E, Wade P, Wainwright T, Wajero LO, Walder S, Walker S, Walker S, Wall E, Wallis T, Walmsley S, Walsh JA, Walsh S, Warburton L, Ward TJC, Warwick K, Wassall H, Waterson S, Watson E, Watson L, Watson J, Welch C, Welch H, Welsh B, Wessely S, West S, Weston H, Wheeler H, White S, Whitehead V, Whitney J, Whittaker S, Whittam B, Whitworth V, Wight A, Wild J, Wilkins M, Wilkinson D, Williams N, Williams N, Williams J, Williams-Howard SA, Willicombe M, Willis G, Willoughby J, Wilson A, Wilson D, Wilson I, Window N, Witham M, Wolf-Roberts R, Wood C, Woodhead F, Woods J, Wormleighton J, Worsley J, Wraith D, Wrey Brown C, Wright C, Wright L, Wright S, Wyles J, Wynter I, Xu M, Yasmin N, Yasmin S, Yates T, Yip KP, Young B, Young S, Young A, Yousuf AJ, Zawia A, Zeidan L, Zhao B, Zongo O. Clinical characteristics with inflammation profiling of long COVID and association with 1-year recovery following hospitalisation in the UK: a prospective observational study. Lancet Respir Med 2022; 10:761-775. [PMID: 35472304 PMCID: PMC9034855 DOI: 10.1016/s2213-2600(22)00127-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 144] [Impact Index Per Article: 72.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2022] [Revised: 03/23/2022] [Accepted: 03/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND No effective pharmacological or non-pharmacological interventions exist for patients with long COVID. We aimed to describe recovery 1 year after hospital discharge for COVID-19, identify factors associated with patient-perceived recovery, and identify potential therapeutic targets by describing the underlying inflammatory profiles of the previously described recovery clusters at 5 months after hospital discharge. METHODS The Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID) is a prospective, longitudinal cohort study recruiting adults (aged ≥18 years) discharged from hospital with COVID-19 across the UK. Recovery was assessed using patient-reported outcome measures, physical performance, and organ function at 5 months and 1 year after hospital discharge, and stratified by both patient-perceived recovery and recovery cluster. Hierarchical logistic regression modelling was performed for patient-perceived recovery at 1 year. Cluster analysis was done using the clustering large applications k-medoids approach using clinical outcomes at 5 months. Inflammatory protein profiling was analysed from plasma at the 5-month visit. This study is registered on the ISRCTN Registry, ISRCTN10980107, and recruitment is ongoing. FINDINGS 2320 participants discharged from hospital between March 7, 2020, and April 18, 2021, were assessed at 5 months after discharge and 807 (32·7%) participants completed both the 5-month and 1-year visits. 279 (35·6%) of these 807 patients were women and 505 (64·4%) were men, with a mean age of 58·7 (SD 12·5) years, and 224 (27·8%) had received invasive mechanical ventilation (WHO class 7-9). The proportion of patients reporting full recovery was unchanged between 5 months (501 [25·5%] of 1965) and 1 year (232 [28·9%] of 804). Factors associated with being less likely to report full recovery at 1 year were female sex (odds ratio 0·68 [95% CI 0·46-0·99]), obesity (0·50 [0·34-0·74]) and invasive mechanical ventilation (0·42 [0·23-0·76]). Cluster analysis (n=1636) corroborated the previously reported four clusters: very severe, severe, moderate with cognitive impairment, and mild, relating to the severity of physical health, mental health, and cognitive impairment at 5 months. We found increased inflammatory mediators of tissue damage and repair in both the very severe and the moderate with cognitive impairment clusters compared with the mild cluster, including IL-6 concentration, which was increased in both comparisons (n=626 participants). We found a substantial deficit in median EQ-5D-5L utility index from before COVID-19 (retrospective assessment; 0·88 [IQR 0·74-1·00]), at 5 months (0·74 [0·64-0·88]) to 1 year (0·75 [0·62-0·88]), with minimal improvements across all outcome measures at 1 year after discharge in the whole cohort and within each of the four clusters. INTERPRETATION The sequelae of a hospital admission with COVID-19 were substantial 1 year after discharge across a range of health domains, with the minority in our cohort feeling fully recovered. Patient-perceived health-related quality of life was reduced at 1 year compared with before hospital admission. Systematic inflammation and obesity are potential treatable traits that warrant further investigation in clinical trials. FUNDING UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research.
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Plekhanova T, Rowlands AV, Evans RA, Edwardson CL, Bishop NC, Bolton CE, Chalmers JD, Davies MJ, Daynes E, Dempsey PC, Docherty AB, Elneima O, Greening NJ, Greenwood SA, Hall AP, Harris VC, Harrison EM, Henson J, Ho LP, Horsley A, Houchen-Wolloff L, Khunti K, Leavy OC, Lone NI, Marks M, Maylor B, McAuley HJC, Nolan CM, Poinasamy K, Quint JK, Raman B, Richardson M, Sargeant JA, Saunders RM, Sereno M, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Steiner M, Stensel DJ, Wain LV, Whitney J, Wootton DG, Brightling CE, Man WDC, Singh SJ, Yates T. Device-assessed sleep and physical activity in individuals recovering from a hospital admission for COVID-19: a multicentre study. Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act 2022; 19:94. [PMID: 35902858 PMCID: PMC9330990 DOI: 10.1186/s12966-022-01333-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2022] [Accepted: 07/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The number of individuals recovering from severe COVID-19 is increasing rapidly. However, little is known about physical behaviours that make up the 24-h cycle within these individuals. This study aimed to describe physical behaviours following hospital admission for COVID-19 at eight months post-discharge including associations with acute illness severity and ongoing symptoms. Methods One thousand seventy-seven patients with COVID-19 discharged from hospital between March and November 2020 were recruited. Using a 14-day wear protocol, wrist-worn accelerometers were sent to participants after a five-month follow-up assessment. Acute illness severity was assessed by the WHO clinical progression scale, and the severity of ongoing symptoms was assessed using four previously reported data-driven clinical recovery clusters. Two existing control populations of office workers and individuals with type 2 diabetes were comparators. Results Valid accelerometer data from 253 women and 462 men were included. Women engaged in a mean ± SD of 14.9 ± 14.7 min/day of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA), with 12.1 ± 1.7 h/day spent inactive and 7.2 ± 1.1 h/day asleep. The values for men were 21.0 ± 22.3 and 12.6 ± 1.7 h /day and 6.9 ± 1.1 h/day, respectively. Over 60% of women and men did not have any days containing a 30-min bout of MVPA. Variability in sleep timing was approximately 2 h in men and women. More severe acute illness was associated with lower total activity and MVPA in recovery. The very severe recovery cluster was associated with fewer days/week containing continuous bouts of MVPA, longer total sleep time, and higher variability in sleep timing. Patients post-hospitalisation with COVID-19 had lower levels of physical activity, greater sleep variability, and lower sleep efficiency than a similarly aged cohort of office workers or those with type 2 diabetes. Conclusions Those recovering from a hospital admission for COVID-19 have low levels of physical activity and disrupted patterns of sleep several months after discharge. Our comparative cohorts indicate that the long-term impact of COVID-19 on physical behaviours is significant. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12966-022-01333-w.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tatiana Plekhanova
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Alex V Rowlands
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachael A Evans
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.,University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Charlotte L Edwardson
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK. .,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
| | - Nicolette C Bishop
- School of Sport, Exercise and Health Sciences, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Charlotte E Bolton
- University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.,Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK
| | - James D Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Melanie J Davies
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Enya Daynes
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.,Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Paddy C Dempsey
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J Greening
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Sharlene A Greenwood
- Department of Physiotherapy and Renal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK.,Department of Renal Medicine, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Andrew P Hall
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK.,Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Victoria C Harris
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.,University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Joseph Henson
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.,Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.,Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Kamlesh Khunti
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Olivia C Leavy
- Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Nazir I Lone
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.,Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.,Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
| | - Ben Maylor
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Hamish J C McAuley
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Claire M Nolan
- Harefield Respiratory Research Group, Royal Brompton and Harefield Clinical Group, Guy's and St, Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.,College of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences, Department of Health Sciences, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, UK
| | | | | | - Betty Raman
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.,Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.,College of Life Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Jack A Sargeant
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M Saunders
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Michael Steiner
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.,Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - David J Stensel
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.,School of Sport, Exercise and Health Sciences, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK
| | - Louise V Wain
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.,Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Julie Whitney
- School of Life Course & Population Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.,Department of Clinical Gerontology, King's College Hospital, London, UK
| | - Dan G Wootton
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.,Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
| | - Christopher E Brightling
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - William D-C Man
- Royal Brompton and Harefield Clinical Group, Guys and St Thomas NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.,National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Sally J Singh
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, The Institute for Lung Health, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Tom Yates
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.,NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
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Knight SR, Qureshi AU, Drake TM, Lapitan MCM, Maimbo M, Yenli E, Tabiri S, Ghosh D, Kingsley PA, Sundar S, Shaw C, Valparaiso AP, Bhangu A, Brocklehurst P, Magill L, Morton DG, Norrie J, Roberts TE, Theodoratou E, Weiser TG, Burden S, Harrison EM. The impact of preoperative oral nutrition supplementation on outcomes in patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery for cancer in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sci Rep 2022; 12:12456. [PMID: 35864290 PMCID: PMC9304351 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-16460-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2022] [Accepted: 07/11/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Malnutrition is an independent predictor for postoperative complications in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We systematically reviewed evidence on the impact of preoperative oral nutrition supplementation (ONS) on patients undergoing gastrointestinal cancer surgery in LMICs. We searched EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scopus, WHO Global Index Medicus, SciELO, Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS) databases from inception to March 21, 2022 for randomised controlled trials evaluating preoperative ONS in gastrointestinal cancer within LMICs. We evaluated the impact of ONS on all postoperative outcomes using random-effects meta-analysis. Seven studies reported on 891 patients (446 ONS group, 445 control group) undergoing surgery for gastrointestinal cancer. Preoperative ONS reduced all cause postoperative surgical complications (risk ratio (RR) 0.53, 95% CI 0.46-0.60, P < 0.001, I2 = 0%, n = 891), infection (0.52, 0.40-0.67, P = 0.008, I2 = 0%, n = 570) and all-cause mortality (0.35, 0.26-0.47, P = 0.014, I2 = 0%, n = 588). Despite heterogeneous populations and baseline rates, absolute risk ratio (ARR) was reduced for all cause (pooled effect -0.14, -0.22 to -0.06, P = 0.006; number needed to treat (NNT) 7) and infectious complications (-0.13, -0.22 to -0.06, P < 0.001; NNT 8). Preoperative nutrition in patients undergoing gastrointestinal cancer surgery in LMICs demonstrated consistently strong and robust treatment effects across measured outcomes. However additional higher quality research, with particular focus within African populations, are urgently required.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stephen R. Knight
- grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, Nine Bioquarter, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX UK
| | - Ahmad U. Qureshi
- grid.415544.50000 0004 0411 1373Department of Surgery, Services Institute of Medical Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Thomas M. Drake
- grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, Nine Bioquarter, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX UK
| | - Marie Carmela M. Lapitan
- grid.443239.b0000 0000 9950 521XDepartment of Surgery, National Institutes of Health, University of the Philippines, Manila, Philippines
| | - Mayaba Maimbo
- Department of General Surgery, Kitwe Teaching Hospital, Kitwe, Zambia
| | - Edwin Yenli
- grid.442305.40000 0004 0441 5393Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, University for Development Studies, Tamale, Ghana
| | - Stephen Tabiri
- grid.442305.40000 0004 0441 5393Department of Surgery, School of Medicine, University for Development Studies, Tamale, Ghana ,grid.442305.40000 0004 0441 5393Dean of School of Medicine, University for Development Studies, Tamale, Ghana
| | - Dhruva Ghosh
- grid.414306.40000 0004 1777 6366Department of Paediatric Surgery, Christian Medical College, Ludhiana, India
| | - Pamela A. Kingsley
- grid.414306.40000 0004 1777 6366Department of Radiation Oncology Department, Christian Medical College, Ludhiana, India
| | - Sudha Sundar
- grid.6572.60000 0004 1936 7486Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Catherine Shaw
- grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, Nine Bioquarter, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX UK
| | - Apple P. Valparaiso
- grid.443239.b0000 0000 9950 521XDepartment of Surgery, National Institutes of Health, University of the Philippines, Manila, Philippines
| | - Aneel Bhangu
- grid.6572.60000 0004 1936 7486Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Peter Brocklehurst
- grid.6572.60000 0004 1936 7486Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Laura Magill
- grid.6572.60000 0004 1936 7486Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Dion G. Morton
- grid.6572.60000 0004 1936 7486Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - John Norrie
- grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Tracey E. Roberts
- grid.6572.60000 0004 1936 7486Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Evropi Theodoratou
- grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Centre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK ,grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Cancer Research UK Edinburgh Centre, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas G. Weiser
- grid.168010.e0000000419368956Department of Surgery, Stanford University, Stanford, USA ,grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Department of Clinical Surgery, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Sorrel Burden
- grid.5379.80000000121662407School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- grid.4305.20000 0004 1936 7988Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, Nine Bioquarter, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX UK
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Kouli O, Murray V, Bhatia S, Cambridge WA, Kawka M, Shafi S, Knight SR, Kamarajah SK, McLean KA, Glasbey JC, Khaw RA, Ahmed W, Akhbari M, Baker D, Borakati A, Mills E, Thavayogan R, Yasin I, Raubenheimer K, Ridley W, Sarrami M, Zhang G, Egoroff N, Pockney P, Richards T, Bhangu A, Creagh-Brown B, Edwards M, Harrison EM, Lee M, Nepogodiev D, Pinkney T, Pearse R, Smart N, Vohra R, Sohrabi C, Jamieson A, Nguyen M, Rahman A, English C, Tincknell L, Kakodkar P, Kwek I, Punjabi N, Burns J, Varghese S, Erotocritou M, McGuckin S, Vayalapra S, Dominguez E, Moneim J, Salehi M, Tan HL, Yoong A, Zhu L, Seale B, Nowinka Z, Patel N, Chrisp B, Harris J, Maleyko I, Muneeb F, Gough M, James CE, Skan O, Chowdhury A, Rebuffa N, Khan H, Down B, Fatimah Hussain Q, Adams M, Bailey A, Cullen G, Fu YXJ, McClement B, Taylor A, Aitken S, Bachelet B, Brousse de Gersigny J, Chang C, Khehra B, Lahoud N, Lee Solano M, Louca M, Rozenbroek P, Rozitis E, Agbinya N, Anderson E, Arwi G, Barry I, Batchelor C, Chong T, 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Loveday K, Malik H, McKenna O, Noor A, Onsiong C, Patel B, Radcliffe N, Shah P, Tye L, Verma K, Walford R, Yusufi U, Zachariah M, Casey A, Doré C, Fludder V, Fortescue L, Kalapu SS, Karel E, Khera G, Smith C, Appleton B, Ashaye A, Boggon E, Evans A, Faris Mahmood H, Hinchcliffe Z, Marei O, Silva I, Spooner C, Thomas G, Timlin M, Wellington J, Yao SL, Abdelrazek M, Abdelrazik Y, Bee F, Joseph A, Mounce A, Parry G, Vignarajah N, Biddles D, Creissen A, Kolhe S, K T, Lea A, Ledda V, O'Loughlin P, Scanlon J, Shetty N, Weller C, Abdalla M, Adeoye A, Bhatti M, Chadda KR, Chu J, Elhakim H, Foster-Davies H, Rabie M, Tailor B, Webb S, Abdelrahim ASA, Choo SY, Jiwa A, Mangam S, Murray S, Shandramohan A, Aghanenu O, Budd W, Hayre J, Khanom S, Liew ZY, McKinney R, Moody N, Muhammad-Kamal H, Odogwu J, Patel D, Roy C, Sattar Z, Shahrokhi N, Sinha I, Thomson E, Wonga L, Bain J, Khan J, Ricardo D, Bevis R, Cherry C, Darkwa S, Drew W, Griffiths E, Konda N, Madani D, Mak JKC, Meda B, Odunukwe U, Preest G, Raheel F, Rajaseharan A, Ramgopal A, Risbrooke C, Selvaratnam K, Sethunath G, Tabassum R, Taylor J, Thakker A, Wijesingha N, Wybrew R, Yasin T, Ahmed Osman A, Alfadhel S, Carberry E, Chen JY, Drake I, Glen P, Jayasuriya N, Kawar L, Myatt R, Sinan LOH, Siu SSY, Tjen V, Adeboyejo O, Bacon H, Barnes R, Birnie C, D'Cunha Kamath A, Hughes E, Middleton S, Owen R, Schofield E, Short C, Smith R, Wang H, Willett M, Zimmerman M, Balfour J, Chadwick T, Coombe-Jones M, Do Le HP, Faulkner G, Hobson K, Shehata Z, Beattie M, Chmielewski G, Chong C, Donnelly B, Drusch B, Ellis J, Farrelly C, Feyi-Waboso J, Hibell I, Hoade L, Ho C, Jones H, Kodiatt B, Lidder P, Ni Cheallaigh L, Norman R, Patabendi I, Penfold H, Playfair M, Pomeroy S, Ralph C, Rottenburg H, Sebastian J, Sheehan M, Stanley V, Welchman J, Ajdarpasic D, Antypas A, Azouaghe O, Basi S, Bettoli G, Bhattarai S, Bommireddy L, Bourne K, Budding J, Cookey-Bresi R, Cummins T, Davies G, Fabelurin C, Gwilliam R, Hanley J, Hird A, Kruczynska A, Langhorne B, Lund J, Lutchman I, McGuinness R, Neary M, Pampapathi S, Pang E, Podbicanin S, Rai N, Redhouse White G, Sujith J, Thomas P, Walker I, Winterton R, Anderson P, Barrington M, Bhadra K, Clark G, Fowler G, Gibson C, Hudson S, Kaminskaite V, Lawday S, Longshaw A, MacKrill E, McLachlan F, Murdeshwar A, Nieuwoudt R, Parker P, Randall R, Rawlins E, Reeves SA, Rye D, Sirkis T, Sykes B, Ventress N, Wosinska N, Akram B, Burton L, Coombs A, Long R, Magowan D, Ong C, Sethi M, Williams G, Chan C, Chan LH, Fernando D, Gaba F, Khor Z, Les JW, Mak R, Moin S, Ng Kee Kwong KC, Paterson-Brown S, Tew YY, Bardon A, Burrell K, Coldwell C, Costa I, Dexter E, Hardy A, Khojani M, Mazurek J, Raymond T, Reddy V, Reynolds J, Soma A, Agiotakis S, Alsusa H, Desai N, Peristerakis I, Adcock A, Ayub H, Bennett T, Bibi F, Brenac S, Chapman T, Clarke G, Clark F, Galvin C, Gwyn-Jones A, Henry-Blake C, Kerner S, Kiandee M, Lovett A, Pilecka A, Ravindran R, Siddique H, Sikand T, Treadwell K, Akmal K, Apata A, Barton O, Broad G, Darling H, Dhuga Y, Emms L, Habib S, Jain R, Jeater J, Kan CYP, Kathiravelupillai A, Khatkar H, Kirmani S, Kulasabanathan K, Lacey H, Lal K, Manafa C, Mansoor M, McDonald S, Mittal A, Mustoe S, Nottrodt L, Oliver P, Papapetrou I, Pattinson F, Raja M, Reyhani H, Shahmiri A, Small O, Soni U, Aguirrezabala Armbruster B, Bunni J, Hakim MA, Hawkins-Hooker L, Howell KA, Hullait R, Jaskowska A, Ottewell L, Thomas-Jones I, Vasudev A, Clements B, Fenton J, Gill M, Haider S, Lim AJM, Maguire H, McMullan J, Nicoletti J, Samuel S, Unais MA, White N, Yao PC, Yow L, Boyle C, Brady R, Cheekoty P, Cheong J, Chew SJHL, Chow R, Ganewatta Kankanamge D, Mamer L, Mohammed B, Ng Chieng Hin J, Renji Chungath R, Royston A, Sharrad E, Sinclair R, Tingle S, Treherne K, Wyatt F, Maniarasu VS, Moug S, Appanna T, Bucknall T, Hussain F, Owen A, Parry M, Parry R, Sagua N, Spofforth K, Yuen ECT, Bosley N, Hardie W, Moore T, Regas C, Abdel-Khaleq S, Ali N, Bashiti H, Buxton-Hopley R, Constantinides M, D'Afflitto M, Deshpande A, Duque Golding J, Frisira E, Germani Batacchi M, Gomaa A, Hay D, Hutchison R, Iakovou A, Iakovou D, Ismail E, Jefferson S, Jones L, Khouli Y, Knowles C, Mason J, McCaughan R, Moffatt J, Morawala A, Nadir H, Neyroud F, Nikookam Y, Parmar A, Pinto L, Ramamoorthy R, Richards E, Thomson S, Trainer C, Valetopoulou A, Vassiliou A, Wantman A, Wilde S, Dickinson M, Rockall T, Senn D, Wcislo K, Zalmay P, Adelekan K, Allen K, Bajaj M, Gatumbu P, Hang S, Hashmi Y, Kaur T, Kawesha A, Kisiel A, Woodmass M, Adelowo T, Ahari D, Alhwaishel K, Atherton R, Clayton B, Cockroft A, Curtis Lopez C, Hilton M, Ismail N, Kouadria M, Lee L, MacConnachie A, Monks F, Mungroo S, Nikoletopoulou C, Pearce L, Sara X, Shahid A, Suresh G, Wilcha R, Atiyah A, Davies E, Dermanis A, Gibbons H, Hyde A, Lawson A, Lee C, Leung-Tack M, Li Saw Hee J, Mostafa O, Nair D, Pattani N, Plumbley-Jones J, Pufal K, Ramesh P, Sanghera J, Saram S, Scadding S, See S, Stringer H, Torrance A, Vardon H, Wyn-Griffiths F, Brew A, Kaur G, Soni D, Tickle A, Akbar Z, Appleyard T, Figg K, Jayawardena P, Johnson A, Kamran Siddiqui Z, Lacy-Colson J, Oatham R, Rowlands B, Sludden E, Turnbull C, Allin D, Ansar Z, Azeez Z, Dale VH, Garg J, Horner A, Jones S, Knight S, McGregor C, McKenna J, McLelland T, Packham-Smith A, Rowsell K, Spector-Hill I, Adeniken E, Baker J, Bartlett M, Chikomba L, Connell B, Deekonda P, Dhar M, Elmansouri A, Gamage K, Goodhew R, Hanna P, Knight J, Luca A, Maasoumi N, Mahamoud F, Manji S, Marwaha PK, Mason F, Oluboyede A, Pigott L, Razaq AM, Richardson M, Saddaoui I, Wijeyendram P, Yau S, Atkins W, Liang K, Miles N, Praveen B, Ashai S, Braganza J, Common J, Cundy A, Davies R, Guthrie J, Handa I, Iqbal M, Ismail R, Jones C, Jones I, Lee KS, Levene A, Okocha M, Olivier J, Smith A, Subramaniam E, Tandle S, Wang A, Watson A, Wilson C, Chan XHF, Khoo E, Montgomery C, Norris M, Pugalenthi PP, Common T, Cook E, Mistry H, Shinmar HS, Agarwal G, Bandyopadhyay S, Brazier B, Carroll L, Goede A, Harbourne A, Lakhani A, Lami M, Larwood J, Martin J, Merchant J, Pattenden S, Pradhan A, Raafat N, Rothwell E, Shammoon Y, Sudarshan R, Vickers E, Wingfield L, Ashworth I, Azizi S, Bhate R, Chowdhury T, Christou A, Davies L, Dwaraknath M, Farah Y, Garner J, Gureviciute E, Hart E, Jain A, Javid S, Kankam HK, Kaur Toor P, Kaz R, Kermali M, Khan I, Mattson A, McManus A, Murphy M, Nair K, Ngemoh D, Norton E, Olabiran A, Parry L, Payne T, Pillai K, Price S, Punjabi K, Raghunathan A, Ramwell A, Raza M, Ritehnia J, Simpson G, Smith W, Sodeinde S, Studd L, Subramaniam M, Thomas J, Towey S, Tsang E, Tuteja D, Vasani J, Vio M, Badran A, Adams J, Anthony Wilkinson J, Asvandi S, Austin T, Bald A, Bix E, Carrick M, Chander B, Chowdhury S, Cooper Drake B, Crosbie S, D Portela S, Francis D, Gallagher C, Gillespie R, Gravett H, Gupta P, Ilyas C, James G, Johny J, Jones A, Kinder F, MacLeod C, Macrow C, Maqsood-Shah A, Mather J, McCann L, McMahon R, Mitham E, Mohamed M, Munton E, Nightingale K, O'Neill K, Onyemuchara I, Senior R, Shanahan A, Sherlock J, Spyridoulias A, Stavrou C, Stokes D, Tamang R, Taylor E, Trafford C, Uden C, Waddington C, Yassin D, Zaman M, Bangi S, Cheng T, Chew D, Hussain N, Imani-Masouleh S, Mahasivam G, McKnight G, Ng HL, Ota HC, Pasha T, Ravindran W, Shah K, Vishnu K S, Zaman S, Carr W, Cope S, Eagles EJ, Howarth-Maddison M, Li CY, Reed J, Ridge A, Stubbs T, Teasdaled D, Umar R, Worthington J, Dhebri A, Kalenderov R, Alattas A, Arain Z, Bhudia R, Chia D, Daniel S, Dar T, Garland H, Girish M, Hampson A, Kyriacou H, Lehovsky K, Mullins W, Omorphos N, Vasdev N, Venkatesh A, Waldock W, Bhandari A, Brown G, Choa G, Eichenauer CE, Ezennia K, Kidwai Z, Lloyd-Thomas A, Macaskill Stewart A, Massardi C, Sinclair E, Skajaa N, Smith M, Tan I, Afsheen N, Anuar A, Azam Z, Bhatia P, Davies-kelly N, Dickinson S, Elkawafi M, Ganapathy M, Gupta S, Khoury EG, Licudi D, Mehta V, Neequaye S, Nita G, Tay VL, Zhao S, Botsa E, Cuthbert H, Elliott J, Furlepa M, Lehmann J, Mangtani A, Narayan A, Nazarian S, Parmar C, Shah D, Shaw C, Zhao Z, Beck C, Caldwell S, Clements JM, French B, Kenny R, Kirk S, Lindsay J, McClung A, McLaughlin N, Watson S, Whiteside E, Alyacoubi S, Arumugam V, Beg R, Dawas K, Garg S, Lloyd ER, Mahfouz Y, Manobharath N, Moonesinghe R, Morka N, Patel K, Prashar J, Yip S, Adeeko ES, Ajekigbe F, Bhat A, Evans C, Farrugia A, Gurung C, Long T, Malik B, Manirajan S, Newport D, Rayer J, Ridha A, Ross E, Saran T, Sinker A, Waruingi D, Allen R, Al Sadek Y, Alves do Canto Brum H, Asharaf H, Ashman M, Balakumar V, Barrington J, Baskaran R, Berry A, Bhachoo H, Bilal A, Boaden L, Chia WL, Covell G, Crook D, Dadnam F, Davis L, De Berker H, Doyle C, Fox C, Gruffydd-Davies M, Hafouda Y, Hill A, Hubbard E, Hunter A, Inpadhas V, Jamshaid M, Jandu G, Jeyanthi M, Jones T, Kantor C, Kwak SY, Malik N, Matt R, McNulty P, Miles C, Mohomed A, Myat P, Niharika J, Nixon A, O'Reilly D, Parmar K, Pengelly S, Price L, Ramsden M, Turnor R, Wales E, Waring H, Wu M, Yang T, Ye TTS, Zander A, Zeicu C, Bellam S, Francombe J, Kawamoto N, Rahman MR, Sathyanarayana A, Tang HT, Cheung J, Hollingshead J, Page V, Sugarman J, Wong E, Chiong J, Fung E, Kan SY, Kiang J, Kok J, Krahelski O, Liew MY, Lyell B, Sharif Z, Speake D, Alim L, Amakye NY, Chandrasekaran J, Chandratreya N, Drake J, Owoso T, Thu YM, Abou El Ela Bourquin B, Alberts J, Chapman D, Rehnnuma N, Ainsworth K, Carpenter H, Emmanuel T, Fisher T, Gabrel M, Guan Z, Hollows S, Hotouras A, Ip Fung Chun N, Jaffer S, Kallikas G, Kennedy N, Lewinsohn B, Liu FY, Mohammed S, Rutherfurd A, Situ T, Stammer A, Taylor F, Thin N, Urgesi E, Zhang N, Ahmad MA, Bishop A, Bowes A, Dixit A, Glasson R, Hatta S, Hatt K, Larcombe S, Preece J, Riordan E, Fegredo D, Haq MZ, Li C, McCann G, Stewart D, Baraza W, Bhullar D, Burt G, Coyle J, Deans J, Devine A, Hird R, Ikotun O, Manchip G, Ross C, Storey L, Tan WWL, Tse C, Warner C, Whitehead M, Wu F, Court EL, Crisp E, Huttman M, Mayes F, Robertson H, Rosen H, Sandberg C, Smith H, Al Bakry M, Ashwell W, Bajaj S, Bandyopadhyay D, Browlee O, Burway S, Chand CP, Elsayeh K, Elsharkawi A, Evans E, Ferrin S, Fort-Schaale A, Iacob M, I K, Impelliziere Licastro G, Mankoo AS, Olaniyan T, Otun J, Pereira R, Reddy R, Saeed D, Simmonds O, Singhal G, Tron K, Wickstone C, Williams R, Bradshaw E, De Kock Jewell V, Houlden C, Knight C, Metezai H, Mirza-Davies A, Seymour Z, Spink D, Wischhusen S. Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. Lancet Digit Health 2022; 4:e520-e531. [PMID: 35750401 DOI: 10.1016/s2589-7500(22)00069-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2021] [Revised: 01/07/2022] [Accepted: 04/06/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications. METHODS We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC). FINDINGS In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]). INTERPRETATION In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required. FUNDING British Journal of Surgery Society.
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Pellino G, Harrison EM, Biondo S, Espín-Basany E. Observational studies in surgical research. Cir Esp 2022; 100:445-447. [PMID: 35483587 DOI: 10.1016/j.cireng.2021.11.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2021] [Accepted: 11/16/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Gianluca Pellino
- Unidad de Cirugía Colorrectal, Servicio de Cirugía General, Hospital Universitario Valle de Hebrón, Barcelona, Spain; Department of Advanced Medical and Surgical Sciences, Università degli Studi della Campania «Luigi Vanvitelli», Naples, Italy
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edimburgo, United Kingdom
| | - Sebastiano Biondo
- Servicio de Cirugía General, Hospital Universitario Bellvitge, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Eloy Espín-Basany
- Unidad de Cirugía Colorrectal, Servicio de Cirugía General, Hospital Universitario Valle de Hebrón, Barcelona, Spain.
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Stirnadel-Farrant HA, Mu G, Cooper-Blenkinsopp S, Schroyer RO, Thorneloe KS, Harrison EM, Andrews SMS. Predictive Value of Delayed Graft Function Definitions Following Donation After Circulatory Death Renal Transplantation in the United Kingdom. TRRM 2022. [DOI: 10.2147/trrm.s320221] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
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Knight SR, Gupta RK, Ho A, Pius R, Buchan I, Carson G, Drake TM, Dunning J, Fairfield CJ, Gamble C, Green CA, Halpin S, Hardwick HE, Holden KA, Horby PW, Jackson C, Mclean KA, Merson L, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Norman L, Olliaro PL, Pritchard MG, Russell CD, Shaw CA, Sheikh A, Solomon T, Sudlow C, Swann OV, Turtle LCW, Openshaw PJM, Baillie JK, Docherty A, Semple MG, Noursadeghi M, Harrison EM. Prospective validation of the 4C prognostic models for adults hospitalised with COVID-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol. Thorax 2022; 77:606-615. [PMID: 34810237 PMCID: PMC8610617 DOI: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2021-217629] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2021] [Accepted: 10/11/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE To prospectively validate two risk scores to predict mortality (4C Mortality) and in-hospital deterioration (4C Deterioration) among adults hospitalised with COVID-19. METHODS Prospective observational cohort study of adults (age ≥18 years) with confirmed or highly suspected COVID-19 recruited into the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infections Consortium (ISARIC) WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK (CCP-UK) study in 306 hospitals across England, Scotland and Wales. Patients were recruited between 27 August 2020 and 17 February 2021, with at least 4 weeks follow-up before final data extraction. The main outcome measures were discrimination and calibration of models for in-hospital deterioration (defined as any requirement of ventilatory support or critical care, or death) and mortality, incorporating predefined subgroups. RESULTS 76 588 participants were included, of whom 27 352 (37.4%) deteriorated and 12 581 (17.4%) died. Both the 4C Mortality (0.78 (0.77 to 0.78)) and 4C Deterioration scores (pooled C-statistic 0.76 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.77)) demonstrated consistent discrimination across all nine National Health Service regions, with similar performance metrics to the original validation cohorts. Calibration remained stable (4C Mortality: pooled slope 1.09, pooled calibration-in-the-large 0.12; 4C Deterioration: 1.00, -0.04), with no need for temporal recalibration during the second UK pandemic wave of hospital admissions. CONCLUSION Both 4C risk stratification models demonstrate consistent performance to predict clinical deterioration and mortality in a large prospective second wave validation cohort of UK patients. Despite recent advances in the treatment and management of adults hospitalised with COVID-19, both scores can continue to inform clinical decision making. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ISRCTN66726260.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stephen R Knight
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Rishi K Gupta
- University College London Institute for Global Health, London, UK
| | - Antonia Ho
- Medical Research Council University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK
| | - Riinu Pius
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Iain Buchan
- Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
- Department of Public Health and Policy, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Gail Carson
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, ISARIC Global Support Centre, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Jake Dunning
- Public Health England National Infection Service, Salisbury, UK
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Cameron J Fairfield
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Carrol Gamble
- Liverpool Clinical Trials Centre, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Christopher A Green
- Institute of Microbiology and Infection, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Sophie Halpin
- Liverpool Clinical Trials Centre, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Hayley E Hardwick
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Karl A Holden
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Peter W Horby
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, ISARIC Global Support Centre, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Clare Jackson
- Liverpool Clinical Trials Centre, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Kenneth A Mclean
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Laura Merson
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, ISARIC Global Support Centre, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Lisa Norman
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Piero L Olliaro
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mark G Pritchard
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Clark D Russell
- Queen's Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Catherine A Shaw
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Tom Solomon
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | | | - Olivia V Swann
- Department of Child Life and Health, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Lance C W Turtle
- Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, Liverpool, UK
- Liverpool University Hospitals Foundation Trust, Member of Liverpool Health Partners, Liverpool, UK
| | | | - J Kenneth Baillie
- Genetics and Genomics, Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Annemarie Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Mahdad Noursadeghi
- Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
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Fairfield CJ, Drake TM, Pius R, Bretherick AD, Campbell A, Clark DW, Fallowfield JA, Hayward C, Henderson NC, Iakovliev A, Joshi PK, Mills NL, Porteous DJ, Ramachandran P, Semple RK, Shaw CA, Sudlow CLW, Timmers PRHJ, Wilson JF, Wigmore SJ, Spiliopoulou A, Harrison EM. Genome-wide analysis identifies gallstone-susceptibility loci including genes regulating gastrointestinal motility. Hepatology 2022; 75:1081-1094. [PMID: 34651315 DOI: 10.1002/hep.32199] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2021] [Revised: 09/28/2021] [Accepted: 09/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/08/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified several risk loci for gallstone disease. As with most polygenic traits, it is likely that many genetic determinants are undiscovered. The aim of this study was to identify genetic variants that represent new targets for gallstone research and treatment. APPROACH AND RESULTS We performed a GWAS of 28,627 gallstone cases and 348,373 controls in the UK Biobank, replicated findings in a Scottish cohort (1089 cases, 5228 controls), and conducted a GWA meta-analysis (43,639 cases, 506,798 controls) with the FinnGen cohort. We assessed pathway enrichment using gene-based then gene-set analysis and tissue expression of identified genes in Genotype-Tissue Expression project data. We constructed a polygenic risk score (PRS) and evaluated phenotypic traits associated with the score. Seventy-five risk loci were identified (p < 5 × 10-8 ), of which 46 were new. Pathway enrichment revealed associations with lipid homeostasis, glucuronidation, phospholipid metabolism, and gastrointestinal motility. Anoctamin 1 (ANO1) and transmembrane Protein 147 (TMEM147), both in novel, replicated loci, are expressed in the gallbladder and gastrointestinal tract. Both regulate gastrointestinal motility. The gallstone risk allele rs7599-A leads to suppression of hepatic TMEM147 expression, suggesting that the protein protects against gallstone formation. The highest decile of the PRS demonstrated a 6-fold increased odds of gallstones compared with the lowest decile. The PRS was strongly associated with increased body mass index, serum liver enzymes, and C-reactive protein concentrations, and decreased lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations. CONCLUSIONS This GWAS demonstrates the polygenic nature of gallstone risk and identifies 46 novel susceptibility loci. We implicate genes influencing gastrointestinal motility in the pathogenesis of gallstones.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cameron J Fairfield
- Center for Medical InformaticsUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Center for Medical InformaticsUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Riinu Pius
- Center for Medical InformaticsUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Andrew D Bretherick
- MRC Human Genetics UnitInstitute of Genetics and CancerUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Archie Campbell
- Center for Medical InformaticsUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
- Center for Genomic and Experimental MedicineInstitute of Genetics and CancerUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
- Health Data Research UKUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - David W Clark
- Center for Global Health ResearchUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Jonathan A Fallowfield
- Centre for Inflammation ResearchQueen's Medical Research InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Caroline Hayward
- MRC Human Genetics UnitInstitute of Genetics and CancerUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Neil C Henderson
- Centre for Inflammation ResearchQueen's Medical Research InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Andrii Iakovliev
- Center for Population Health SciencesUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Peter K Joshi
- Center for Global Health ResearchUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Nicholas L Mills
- Center for Cardiovascular ScienceQueen's Medical Research InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - David J Porteous
- Center for Genomic and Experimental MedicineInstitute of Genetics and CancerUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Prakash Ramachandran
- Centre for Inflammation ResearchQueen's Medical Research InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Robert K Semple
- Center for Cardiovascular ScienceQueen's Medical Research InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Catherine A Shaw
- Center for Medical InformaticsUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Cathie L W Sudlow
- Center for Medical InformaticsUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Paul R H J Timmers
- MRC Human Genetics UnitInstitute of Genetics and CancerUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
- Center for Global Health ResearchUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - James F Wilson
- MRC Human Genetics UnitInstitute of Genetics and CancerUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
- Center for Global Health ResearchUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Stephen J Wigmore
- Department of Clinical SurgeryDivision of Health SciencesUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Athina Spiliopoulou
- Center for Population Health SciencesUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Center for Medical InformaticsUsher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghScotland
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Relph KA, Russell CD, Fairfield CJ, Turtle L, de Silva TI, Siggins MK, Drake TM, Thwaites RS, Abrams S, Moore SC, Hardwick HE, Oosthuyzen W, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Openshaw PJM, Baillie JK, Semple MG, Ho A. Procalcitonin Is Not a Reliable Biomarker of Bacterial Coinfection in People With Coronavirus Disease 2019 Undergoing Microbiological Investigation at the Time of Hospital Admission. Open Forum Infect Dis 2022; 9:ofac179. [PMID: 35531376 PMCID: PMC9070482 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac179] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2022] [Accepted: 04/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Admission procalcitonin measurements and microbiology results were available for 1040 hospitalized adults with coronavirus disease 2019 (from 48 902 included in the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium World Health Organization Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK study). Although procalcitonin was higher in bacterial coinfection, this was neither clinically significant (median [IQR], 0.33 [0.11-1.70] ng/mL vs 0.24 [0.10-0.90] ng/mL) nor diagnostically useful (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.56 [95% confidence interval, .51-.60]).
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Affiliation(s)
- Katharine A Relph
- University of Edinburgh Centre for Inflammation Research, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Clark D Russell
- University of Edinburgh Centre for Inflammation Research, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Cameron J Fairfield
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Lance Turtle
- National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Thushan I de Silva
- South Yorkshire Regional Department of Infection and Tropical Medicine, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals National Health Service Foundation Trust, Sheffield, United Kingdom
- Department of Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, Medical School, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom
| | - Matthew K Siggins
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Thomas M Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Ryan S Thwaites
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Simon Abrams
- Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Shona C Moore
- National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Hayley E Hardwick
- National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Wilna Oosthuyzen
- Division of Genetics and Genomics, Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Peter J M Openshaw
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - J Kenneth Baillie
- Division of Genetics and Genomics, Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
- Medical Research Council Human Genetics Unit, Institute for Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
- Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children’s Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - Antonia Ho
- Medical Research Council–University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom
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46
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Millar JE, Neyton L, Seth S, Dunning J, Merson L, Murthy S, Russell CD, Keating S, Swets M, Sudre CH, Spector TD, Ourselin S, Steves CJ, Wolf J, Docherty AB, Harrison EM, Openshaw PJM, Semple MG, Baillie JK. Distinct clinical symptom patterns in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in an analysis of 59,011 patients in the ISARIC-4C study. Sci Rep 2022; 12:6843. [PMID: 35478198 PMCID: PMC9043502 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-08032-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2021] [Accepted: 02/14/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
COVID-19 is clinically characterised by fever, cough, and dyspnoea. Symptoms affecting other organ systems have been reported. However, it is the clinical associations of different patterns of symptoms which influence diagnostic and therapeutic decision-making. In this study, we applied clustering techniques to a large prospective cohort of hospitalised patients with COVID-19 to identify clinically meaningful sub-phenotypes. We obtained structured clinical data on 59,011 patients in the UK (the ISARIC Coronavirus Clinical Characterisation Consortium, 4C) and used a principled, unsupervised clustering approach to partition the first 25,477 cases according to symptoms reported at recruitment. We validated our findings in a second group of 33,534 cases recruited to ISARIC-4C, and in 4,445 cases recruited to a separate study of community cases. Unsupervised clustering identified distinct sub-phenotypes. First, a core symptom set of fever, cough, and dyspnoea, which co-occurred with additional symptoms in three further patterns: fatigue and confusion, diarrhoea and vomiting, or productive cough. Presentations with a single reported symptom of dyspnoea or confusion were also identified, alongside a sub-phenotype of patients reporting few or no symptoms. Patients presenting with gastrointestinal symptoms were more commonly female, had a longer duration of symptoms before presentation, and had lower 30-day mortality. Patients presenting with confusion, with or without core symptoms, were older and had a higher unadjusted mortality. Symptom sub-phenotypes were highly consistent in replication analysis within the ISARIC-4C study. Similar patterns were externally verified in patients from a study of self-reported symptoms of mild disease. The large scale of the ISARIC-4C study enabled robust, granular discovery and replication. Clinical interpretation is necessary to determine which of these observations have practical utility. We propose that four sub-phenotypes are usefully distinct from the core symptom group: gastro-intestinal disease, productive cough, confusion, and pauci-symptomatic presentations. Importantly, each is associated with an in-hospital mortality which differs from that of patients with core symptoms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan E Millar
- Division of Functional Genetics and Development, Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Easter Bush Campus, Midlothian, Edinburgh, EH25 9RG, UK
| | - Lucile Neyton
- Division of Functional Genetics and Development, Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Easter Bush Campus, Midlothian, Edinburgh, EH25 9RG, UK
| | - Sohan Seth
- Institute for Adaptive and Neural Computation, School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Jake Dunning
- National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Laura Merson
- Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, ISARIC Global Support Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Infectious Diseases Data Observatory, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Srinivas Murthy
- BC Children's Hospital, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
| | - Clark D Russell
- Centre for Inflammation Research, The Queen's Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Sean Keating
- Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Maaike Swets
- Division of Functional Genetics and Development, Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Easter Bush Campus, Midlothian, Edinburgh, EH25 9RG, UK
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Carole H Sudre
- School of Biomedical and Imaging Sciences, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Timothy D Spector
- Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Sebastien Ourselin
- School of Biomedical and Imaging Sciences, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Claire J Steves
- Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, King's College London, London, UK
| | | | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
| | - J Kenneth Baillie
- Division of Functional Genetics and Development, Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Easter Bush Campus, Midlothian, Edinburgh, EH25 9RG, UK.
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47
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Swets MC, Russell CD, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Lone N, Girvan M, Hardwick HE, Visser LG, Openshaw PJM, Groeneveld GH, Semple MG, Baillie JK. SARS-CoV-2 co-infection with influenza viruses, respiratory syncytial virus, or adenoviruses. Lancet 2022; 399:1463-1464. [PMID: 35344735 PMCID: PMC8956294 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(22)00383-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 157] [Impact Index Per Article: 78.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2022] [Revised: 02/18/2022] [Accepted: 02/22/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Maaike C Swets
- Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH25 9RG, UK; Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden University, Leiden, Netherlands
| | - Clark D Russell
- Centre for Inflammation Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH25 9RG, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH25 9RG, UK
| | - Annemarie B Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH25 9RG, UK
| | - Nazir Lone
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH25 9RG, UK
| | - Michelle Girvan
- Liverpool Clinical Trials Centre, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Hayley E Hardwick
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Leonardus G Visser
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden University, Leiden, Netherlands
| | | | - Geert H Groeneveld
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden University, Leiden, Netherlands
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK; Department of Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, Liverpool, UK
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48
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Närhi F, Moonesinghe SR, Shenkin SD, Drake TM, Mulholland RH, Donegan C, Dunning J, Fairfield CJ, Girvan M, Hardwick HE, Ho A, Leeming G, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Pius R, Russell CD, Shaw CA, Spencer RG, Turtle L, Openshaw PJM, Baillie JK, Harrison EM, Semple MG, Docherty AB. Implementation of corticosteroids in treatment of COVID-19 in the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK: prospective, cohort study. Lancet Digit Health 2022; 4:e220-e234. [PMID: 35337642 PMCID: PMC8940185 DOI: 10.1016/s2589-7500(22)00018-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2021] [Revised: 12/16/2021] [Accepted: 01/13/2022] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Dexamethasone was the first intervention proven to reduce mortality in patients with COVID-19 being treated in hospital. We aimed to evaluate the adoption of corticosteroids in the treatment of COVID-19 in the UK after the RECOVERY trial publication on June 16, 2020, and to identify discrepancies in care. METHODS We did an audit of clinical implementation of corticosteroids in a prospective, observational, cohort study in 237 UK acute care hospitals between March 16, 2020, and April 14, 2021, restricted to patients aged 18 years or older with proven or high likelihood of COVID-19, who received supplementary oxygen. The primary outcome was administration of dexamethasone, prednisolone, hydrocortisone, or methylprednisolone. This study is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN66726260. FINDINGS Between June 17, 2020, and April 14, 2021, 47 795 (75·2%) of 63 525 of patients on supplementary oxygen received corticosteroids, higher among patients requiring critical care than in those who received ward care (11 185 [86·6%] of 12 909 vs 36 415 [72·4%] of 50 278). Patients 50 years or older were significantly less likely to receive corticosteroids than those younger than 50 years (adjusted odds ratio 0·79 [95% CI 0·70-0·89], p=0·0001, for 70-79 years; 0·52 [0·46-0·58], p<0·0001, for >80 years), independent of patient demographics and illness severity. 84 (54·2%) of 155 pregnant women received corticosteroids. Rates of corticosteroid administration increased from 27·5% in the week before June 16, 2020, to 75-80% in January, 2021. INTERPRETATION Implementation of corticosteroids into clinical practice in the UK for patients with COVID-19 has been successful, but not universal. Patients older than 70 years, independent of illness severity, chronic neurological disease, and dementia, were less likely to receive corticosteroids than those who were younger, as were pregnant women. This could reflect appropriate clinical decision making, but the possibility of inequitable access to life-saving care should be considered. FUNDING UK National Institute for Health Research and UK Medical Research Council.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fiina Närhi
- College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - S Ramani Moonesinghe
- Department for Targeted Intervention, Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK; Health Services Research Centre, National Institute for Academic Anaesthesia, Royal College of Anaesthetists, London, UK
| | | | - Thomas M Drake
- Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Cara Donegan
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Jake Dunning
- Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | | | - Michelle Girvan
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Hayley E Hardwick
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection and Global Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Antonia Ho
- MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Gary Leeming
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Jonathan S Nguyen-Van-Tam
- Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK; UK Department of Health and Social Care, Field Epidemiology Service, London, UK
| | - Riinu Pius
- Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Clark D Russell
- Usher Institute, Centre for Inflammation Research, Queen's Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Catherine A Shaw
- Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Lance Turtle
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection and Global Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | | | | | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Malcolm G Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection and Global Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
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49
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McLean KA, Knight SR, Diehl TM, Zafar SN, Bouamrane M, Harrison EM. Development stage of novel digital health interventions for postoperative monitoring: protocol of a systematic review. BMJ Surg Interv Health Technologies 2022; 4:e000104. [PMID: 35321073 PMCID: PMC8900039 DOI: 10.1136/bmjsit-2021-000104] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2021] [Accepted: 01/24/2022] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction The postoperative period represents a time where patients are at a high-risk of morbidity, which warrants effective surveillance. While digital health interventions (DHIs) for postoperative monitoring are promising, a coordinated, standardized and evidence-based approach regarding their implementation and evaluation is currently lacking. This study aimed to identify DHIs implemented and evaluated in postoperative care to highlight research gaps and assess the readiness for routine implementation. Methods A systematic review will be conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines to identify studies describing the implementation and evaluation of DHIs for postoperative monitoring published since 2000 (PROSPERO ID: CRD42021264289). This will encompass the Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Cochrane Library, Web of Science and ClinicalTrials.gov databases, and manual search of bibliographies for relevant studies and gray literature. Methodological reporting quality will be evaluated using the Idea, Development, Exploration, Assessment and Long-term Follow-up (IDEAL) reporting guideline relevant to the IDEAL stage of the study, and risk of bias will be assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) framework. Data will be extracted according to the WHO framework for monitoring and evaluating DHIs, and a narrative synthesis will be performed. Discussion This review will assess the readiness for implementation of DHIs for routine postoperative monitoring and will include studies describing best practice from service changes already being piloted out of necessity during the COVID-19 pandemic. This will identify interventions with sufficient evidence to progress to the next IDEAL stage, and promote standardized and comprehensive evaluation of future implementational studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kenneth A McLean
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Stephen R Knight
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Thomas M Diehl
- Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin-Madison School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA
| | - Syed Nabeel Zafar
- Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin-Madison School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, Wisconsin, USA
| | - Matt Bouamrane
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The University of Edinburgh Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, Edinburgh, UK
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50
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Lyons J, Nafilyan V, Akbari A, Davies G, Griffiths R, Harrison EM, Hippisley-Cox J, Hollinghurst J, Khunti K, North L, Sheikh A, Torabi F, Lyons RA. Validating the QCOVID risk prediction algorithm for risk of mortality from COVID-19 in the adult population in Wales, UK. Int J Popul Data Sci 2022; 5:1697. [PMID: 35310465 PMCID: PMC8900650 DOI: 10.23889/ijpds.v5i4.1697] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction COVID-19 risk prediction algorithms can be used to identify at-risk individuals from short-term serious adverse COVID-19 outcomes such as hospitalisation and death. It is important to validate these algorithms in different and diverse populations to help guide risk management decisions and target vaccination and treatment programs to the most vulnerable individuals in society. Objectives To validate externally the QCOVID risk prediction algorithm that predicts mortality outcomes from COVID-19 in the adult population of Wales, UK. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study using routinely collected individual-level data held in the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. The cohort included individuals aged between 19 and 100 years, living in Wales on 24th January 2020, registered with a SAIL-providing general practice, and followed-up to death or study end (28th July 2020). Demographic, primary and secondary healthcare, and dispensing data were used to derive all the predictor variables used to develop the published QCOVID algorithm. Mortality data were used to define time to confirmed or suspected COVID-19 death. Performance metrics, including R2 values (explained variation), Brier scores, and measures of discrimination and calibration were calculated for two periods (24th January-30th April 2020 and 1st May-28th July 2020) to assess algorithm performance. Results 1,956,760 individuals were included. 1,192 (0.06%) and 610 (0.03%) COVID-19 deaths occurred in the first and second time periods, respectively. The algorithms fitted the Welsh data and population well, explaining 68.8% (95% CI: 66.9-70.4) of the variation in time to death, Harrell's C statistic: 0.929 (95% CI: 0.921-0.937) and D statistic: 3.036 (95% CI: 2.913-3.159) for males in the first period. Similar results were found for females and in the second time period for both sexes. Conclusions The QCOVID algorithm developed in England can be used for public health risk management for the adult Welsh population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jane Lyons
- Population Data Science, Health Data Research UK, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Vahé Nafilyan
- Health Analysis and Life Events Division, Office for National Statistics, NP10 8XG
| | - Ashley Akbari
- Population Data Science, Health Data Research UK, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Gareth Davies
- Population Data Science, Health Data Research UK, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Rowena Griffiths
- Population Data Science, Health Data Research UK, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, EH16 4SA
| | - Julia Hippisley-Cox
- Nuffield Dept of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, OX2 6GG
| | - Joe Hollinghurst
- Population Data Science, Health Data Research UK, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Kamlesh Khunti
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester LE5 4PW
| | - Laura North
- Population Data Science, Health Data Research UK, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Usher Institute and Health Data Research UK BREATHE Hub, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AG
| | - Fatemeh Torabi
- Population Data Science, Health Data Research UK, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP
| | - Ronan A Lyons
- Population Data Science, Health Data Research UK, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, SA2 8PP
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