Does the association between Herpes Simplex 2 infection and depressive symptoms vary among different sexual minority statuses and sex groups? Findings from a nationally representative sample

BACKGROUND

Herpes Simplex Virus Type 2 (HSV-2) has been associated with depression, but the relationship has yet to be explored with respect to gender and sexual orientation in a nationally representative sample to help identify individuals at higher risk for depression.

METHODS

A dataset from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009-2014 was used in this study. Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to test effect modification on both the multiplicative and additive scale using a sample of 57,684 subjects.

RESULTS

Effect modification by sexual minority status was not significant on either the multiplicative scale (Ratio of ORs: 0.74, 95 % CI: 0.37-1.50, p = 0.395) or the additive scale (RERI: -0.22, 95%CI: -2.27-1.84, p = 0.833). Meanwhile, biological sex assigned at birth was a significant modifier only on the additive scale (RERI: 0.82, 95 % CI: 0.004-1.64, P = 0.049). Specifically, females (OR: 1.43, 95 % CI: 1.03-1.97, P = 0.032) had greater odds of having depressive symptoms compared with males (OR: 1.20, 95 % CI: 0.69-2.08, p = 0.509) after the HSV-2 infection.

LIMITATIONS

The analysis was based on a cross-sectional study; further investigation using longitudinal datasets might be beneficial.

CONCLUSIONS

Sexual minority status did not modify the association between HSV-2 infection and having depressive symptoms. However, biological sex assigned at birth was a modifier only on the additive but not the multiplicative scale. Health workers should be alert for depression symptoms in females with HSV-2 infection.

Potential causal links between long-term ambient particulate matter exposure and cardiovascular mortality: New evidence from a large community-based cohort in South China

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality is associated with long-term particulate matter (PM) exposure. However, evidence from large, highly-exposed population cohort and observational-data-based causal inference approaches remains limited.

AIMS

We examined the potential causal links between PM exposure and the CVD mortality in South China.

METHODS

580,757 participants were recruited during 2009-2015 and followed up through 2020. Satellite-based annual concentrations of PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and PM_coarse (i.e., PM₁₀ - PM_2.5) at 1 km² spatial resolution were estimated and assigned to each participant. Marginal structural Cox models with time-varying covariates, adjusted using inverse probability weighting, were developed to evaluate the association between prolonged PM exposure and CVD mortality.

RESULTS

For overall CVD mortality, the hazard ratios and 95% confidence interval for each 1 μg/m³ increase in the annual average concentration of PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and PM_coarse were 1.033 (1.028-1.037), 1.028 (1.024-1.032), and 1.022 (1.012-1.033), respectively. All three PMs were linked to a higher mortality risk for myocardial infarction and ischemic heart disease (IHD). The mortality risk of chronic IHD and hypertension was linked to PM_2.5 and PM₁₀. Significant association between PM_coarse and other heart disease mortality was also observed. The older, women, less-educated participants, or inactive participants exhibited particularly higher susceptibility. Participants who were generally exposed to PM₁₀ concentrations below 70 μg/m³ were more vulnerable to PM_2.5-, PM₁₀- and PM_coarse-CVD mortality risks.

CONCLUSION

This large cohort study provides evidence for the potential causal links between increased CVD mortality and ambient PM exposure, as well as socio-demographics linked to the highest vulnerability.

Heat-related cardiorespiratory mortality: Effect modification by air pollution across 482 cities from 24 countries

BACKGROUND

Evidence on the potential interactive effects of heat and ambient air pollution on cause-specific mortality is inconclusive and limited to selected locations.

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the effects of heat on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality and its modification by air pollution during summer months (six consecutive hottest months) in 482 locations across 24 countries.

METHODS

Location-specific daily death counts and exposure data (e.g., particulate matter with diameters ≤ 2.5 µm [PM2.5]) were obtained from 2000 to 2018. We used location-specific confounder-adjusted Quasi-Poisson regression with a tensor product between air temperature and the air pollutant. We extracted heat effects at low, medium, and high levels of pollutants, defined as the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentile of the location-specific pollutant concentrations. Country-specific and overall estimates were derived using a random-effects multilevel meta-analytical model.

RESULTS

Heat was associated with increased cardiorespiratory mortality. Moreover, the heat effects were modified by elevated levels of all air pollutants in most locations, with stronger effects for respiratory than cardiovascular mortality. For example, the percent increase in respiratory mortality per increase in the 2-day average summer temperature from the 75th to the 99th percentile was 7.7% (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 7.6-7.7), 11.3% (95%CI 11.2-11.3), and 14.3% (95% CI 14.1-14.5) at low, medium, and high levels of PM2.5, respectively. Similarly, cardiovascular mortality increased by 1.6 (95%CI 1.5-1.6), 5.1 (95%CI 5.1-5.2), and 8.7 (95%CI 8.7-8.8) at low, medium, and high levels of O3, respectively.

DISCUSSION

We observed considerable modification of the heat effects on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality by elevated levels of air pollutants. Therefore, mitigation measures following the new WHO Air Quality Guidelines are crucial to enhance better health and promote sustainable development.

Associations of residential green space with incident type 2 diabetes and the role of air pollution: A prospective analysis in UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Green space is a newly modifiable environmental factor which would bring health benefits, and identifying potential pathways is important to better promote public health. Nowadays, limited evidence is available on residential green space and risk of incident type 2 diabetes (T2D). To evaluate the longitudinal association between residential green space and incident T2D, and further illustrate the role of air pollution, we conducted a prospective analysis in UK Biobank.

METHODS

Incident cases of T2D were ascertained through medical linkage of hospital admissions. Residential green space indicated by percentage of green space at 300 m buffer was estimated using land use data. Annual average air pollution was modelled using Land Use Regression model. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to determine the association between the exposure and incident T2D. Effect modification of air pollution was assessed using log-likelihood tests. Casual mediation analysis including interaction of green space and air pollution was used to quantity pure natural indirect effect of air pollution.

RESULTS

Of 379,238 participants at baseline, 15564 incident T2D cases were identified with 12.4 years of follow-up. In main models, individuals who exposed to residential green space at 300 m buffer in high level (≥75 %) had 14.4 % (95 % CI: 8.0 %, 20.3 %) lower risk of incident T2D compared with those in low level (<25 %). This association was modified by NO₂, with green space indicating higher protective effect in low NO₂ level (P_interaction = 0.098). PM_2.5 had a high mediation effect of 37.0 % in the association.

CONCLUSION

Elevated residential green space level was associated with lower risk of incident T2D, and air pollution played an important role in this association. These findings would contribute to policy making and healthy city construction to take air pollution into consideration while planning green space, which would maximize public health benefits.

Effect modification by temperature on the association between O3 and emergency ambulance dispatches in Japan: A multi-city study

Numerous epidemiological studies have reported that ozone (O₃) and temperature are independently associated with health outcomes, but modification of the effects of O₃ on health outcomes by temperature, and vice versa, has not been fully described. This study aimed to investigate effect modification by temperature on the association between O₃ and emergency ambulance dispatches (EADs) in Japan. Data on daily air pollutants, ambient temperature, and EADs were obtained from eight Japanese cities from 2007 to 2015. A distributed lag non-linear model combined with Poisson regression was performed with temperature as a confounding factor and effect modifier to estimate the effects of O₃ on EADs at low (<25th percentile), moderate (25th-75th percentile), and high (>75th percentile) temperature for each city. The estimates obtained from each city were pooled by random-effects meta-analysis. When temperature was entered as a confounder, the estimated effects of O₃ on EADs for all acute, cardiovascular, and respiratory illnesses were largest at lag 0 (current-day lag). Therefore, this lag was used to further estimate the effects of O₃ on EADs in each temperature category. The estimated effects of O₃ on EADs for all acute, cardiovascular, and respiratory illnesses in all eight Japanese cities increased with increasing temperature. Specifically, a 10 ppb increase in O₃ was associated with 0.80 % (95 % CI: 0.25 to 1.35), 0.19 % (95 % CI: -0.85 to 1.25), and 1.14 % (95 % CI: -0.01 to 2.31) increases in the risk of EADs for all acute, cardiovascular, and respiratory illnesses, respectively, when city-specific daily temperature exceeded the 75th percentile. Our findings suggest that the association between O₃ and EADs for all acute, cardiovascular, and respiratory illnesses is the highest during high temperature. Finding of this study can be used to develop potential mitigation measures against O₃ exposure in high temperature environment to reduce its associated adverse health effects.

The effect modification of extreme temperatures on mental and behavior disorders by environmental factors and individual-level characteristics in Canada

OBJECTIVE

Ambient extreme temperatures have been associated with mental and behavior disorders (MBDs). However, few studies have assesed whether vulnerability factors such as ambient air pollution, pre-existing mental health conditions and residential environmental factors increase susceptibility. This study aims to evaluate the associations between short-term variations in outdoor ambient extreme temperatures and MBD-related emergency department (ED) visits and how these associations are modified by vulnerability factors.

METHODS

We conducted a case-crossover study of 9,958,759 MBD ED visits in Alberta and Ontario, Canada made between March 1st, 2004 and December 31st, 2020. Daily average temperature was assigned to individual cases with ED visits for MBD using gridded data at a 1 km × 1 km spatial resolution. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate associations between extreme temperatures (i.e., risk of ED visit at the 2.5th percentile temperature for cold and 97.5th percentile temperature for heat for each health region compared to the minimal temperature risk) and MBD ED visits. Age, sex, pre-existing mental health conditions, ambient air pollution (i.e. PM_2.5, NO₂ and O₃) and residential environmental factors (neighborhood deprivation, residential green space exposure and urbanization) were evaluated as potential effect modifiers.

RESULTS

Cumulative exposure to extreme heat over 0-5 days (odds ratio [OR] = 1.145; 95% CI: 1.121-1.171) was associated with ED visits for any MBD. However, cumulative exposure to extreme cold was associated with lower risk of ED visits for any MBD (OR = 0.981; 95% CI: 0.976-0.987). We also found heat to be associated with ED visits for specific MBDs such as substance use disorders, dementia, neurotic disorders, schizophrenia and personality behavior disorder. Individuals with pre-existing mental health conditions, those exposed to higher daily concentrations of NO₂ and O₃ and those residing in neighborhoods with greater material and social deprivation were at higher risk of heat-related MBD ED visits. Increasing tree canopy coverage appeared to mitigate risks of the effect of heat on MBD ED visits.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings provide evidence that the impacts of heat on MBD ED visits may vary across different vulnerability factors.

Green space, air pollution and gestational diabetes mellitus: A retrospective cohort study in central China

Emerging evidence suggests residential surrounding green space is beneficial for human health. The association between green space and GDM showed inconsistent results, and potential effect modification of green space with air pollution is still unclear. This study aims to evaluate the association between green space and GDM, and further explore potential interaction and medication effects. Participants were recruited from a retrospective cohort study between 2015 and 2020 in Henan, China. Residential green space based on normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and air pollution exposure were estimated using spatial-statistical models. Multivariate logistic regression was applied to evaluate the association between per 0.1 unit increase in NDVI with 4 buffer sizes (250 m, 500 m, 1000 m, 2000 m) and GDM. We examined potential interaction of green space and air pollutants on GDM. Mediating effects of air pollution associated with green space exposure on GDM were also investigated by causal mediation analyses. A total of 46,665 eligible pregnant women were identified. There were 4092 (8.8 %) women diagnosed with GDM according to the IADPSG criteria. We found that per 0.1-unit increment in NDVI250 m, NDVI500 m, NDVI1000 m and NDVI2000 m in second trimester were associated with the decreased risk of GDM, with adjusted OR of 0.921(95 %CI: 0.890-0.953), 0.922 (95 %CI: 0.891-0.953), 0.921 (95 %CI: 0.892-0.952) and 0.921 (95 %CI: 0.892-0.951), respectively. We identified significant interactions between second trimester PM2.5 and O3 exposure and NDVI for GDM (Pinteraction < 0.001). The causal mediation analysis showed that PM2.5 mediated approximately 2.5-5.5 % of the association between green space and GDM, while the estimated mediating effect of O3 was approximately 30.1-38.5 %. In conclusion, our study indicates that residential green space was associated with a reduced risk of GDM, particularly second trimester. Green space may benefit to GDM partly mediated by a reduction in PM2.5 and O3.

Association of household air pollution with glucose homeostasis markers in Chinese rural women: Effect modification of socioeconomic status

BACKGROUND

Socioeconomic status (SES) was a crucial influencing factor of household air pollution (HAP). However, few studies have explored the potential effect modification of SES on the associations of HAP with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and glucose homeostasis.

METHODS

A total of 20900 participants were obtained from the Henan Rural Cohort. HAP reflected by cooking fuel type and cooking duration was assessed via questionnaire. SES was evaluated by two dimensions: educational level and average monthly income. Associations of cooking fuel type, cooking duration with T2DM and glucose homeostasis indices (insulin, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and HOMA-β) were assessed by the generalized linear model. Analyses were also conducted in different SES groups to explore the potential effect modification.

RESULTS

Significant negative association of cooking fuel type and cooking duration with T2DM, FPG, and HOMA-β was not observed. However, cooking with solid fuel and long-duration cooking were associated with decreased insulin level in women, and the adjusted coefficients were - 0.35 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): - 0.53, - 0.17) and - 0.36 (95% CI: -0.50, -0.21), respectively. Results from stratified analyses showed that these associations were more prominent in women with low average monthly income, with corresponding coefficient of - 0.57 (95% CI: -0.77, -0.37) for cooking with solid fuel and - 0.34 (95% CI: -0.52, -0.16) for long-duration cooking. Among women with low average monthly income, the largest decreased insulin level was observed in those who cooked with solid fuel, long-duration and poor kitchen ventilation, while the negative association of cooking fuel type and cooking duration with insulin level was slightly alleviated in the good kitchen ventilation group.

CONCLUSIONS

Low average monthly income aggravated the negative association of HAP and insulin level among rural women, while improving kitchen ventilation may be a practical intervention.

TRAIL REGISTRATION

The Henan Rural Cohort Study has been registered at Chinese Clinical Trial Register (Registration number: ChiCTR-OOC-15006699). Date of registration: 06 July, 2015. http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=11375.

Association between temperature and natural mortality in Belgium: Effect modification by individual characteristics and residential environment

BACKGROUND

There is strong evidence of mortality being associated to extreme temperatures but the extent to which individual or residential factors modulate this temperature vulnerability is less clear.

METHODS

We conducted a multi-city study with a time-stratified case-crossover design and used conditional logistic regression to examine the association between extreme temperatures and overall natural and cause-specific mortality. City-specific estimates were pooled using a random-effect meta-analysis to describe the global association. Cold and heat effects were assessed by comparing the mortality risks corresponding to the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of the daily temperature, respectively, with the minimum mortality temperature. For cold, we cumulated the risk over lags of 0 to 28 days before death and 0 to 7 days for heat. We carried out stratified analyses and assessed effect modification by individual characteristics, preexisting chronic health conditions and residential environment (population density, built-up area and air pollutants: PM2.5, NO2, O3 and black carbon) to identify more vulnerable population subgroups.

RESULTS

Based on 307,859 deaths from natural causes, we found significant cold effect (OR = 1.42, 95%CI: 1.30-1.57) and heat effect (OR = 1.17, 95%CI: 1.12-1.21) for overall natural mortality and for respiratory causes in particular. There were significant effects modifications for some health conditions: people with asthma were at higher risk for cold, and people with psychoses for heat. In addition, people with long or frequent hospital admissions in the year preceding death were at lower risk. Despite large uncertainties, there was suggestion of effect modification by air pollutants: the effect of heat was higher on more polluted days of O3 and black carbon, and a higher cold effect was observed on more polluted days of PM2.5 and NO2 while for O3, the effect was lower.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings allow for targeted planning of public-health measures aiming to prevent the effects of extreme temperatures.

The influence of air pollution exposure on the short- and long-term health benefits associated with active mobility: A systematic review

Active mobility (AM), defined as walking and cycling for transportation, can improve health through increasing regular physical activity. However, these health improvements could be outweighed by harm from inhaling traffic-related air pollutants during AM participation. The interaction of AM and air pollutants on health is complex physiologically, manifesting as acute changes in health indicators that may lead to poor long-term health consequences. The aim of this study was to systematically review the current evidence of effect modification by air pollution (AP) on associations between AM and health indicators. Studies were included if they examined associations between AM and health indicators being modified by AP or, conversely, associations between AP and health indicators being modified by AM. Thirty-three studies met eligibility criteria. The main AP indicators studied were particulate matter, ultrafine particles, and nitrogen oxides. Most health indicators studied were grouped into cardiovascular and respiratory indicators. There is evidence of a reduction by AP, mainly ultrafine particles and PM_2.5, in the short-term health benefits of AM. Multiple studies suggest that long-term health benefits of AM are not negatively associated with levels of the single traffic-related pollutant NO₂. However, other studies reveal reduced long-term health benefits of AM in areas affected by high levels of pollutant mixtures. We recommend that future studies adopt consistent and rigorous study designs and include reporting of interaction testing, to advance understanding of the complex relationships between AM, AP, and health indicators.

Causal Inference with Case-Only Studies in Injury Epidemiology Research

Purpose of Review

We review the application and limitations of two implementations of the "case-only design" in injury epidemiology with example analyses of Fatality Analysis Reporting System data.

Recent Findings

The term "case-only design" covers a variety of epidemiologic designs; here, two implementations of the design are reviewed: (1) studies to uncover etiological heterogeneity and (2) studies to measure exposure effect modification. These two designs produce results that require different interpretations and rely upon different assumptions. The key assumption of case-only designs for exposure effect modification, the more commonly used of the two designs, does not commonly hold for injuries and so results from studies using this design cannot be interpreted. Case-only designs to identify etiological heterogeneity in injury risk are interpretable but only when the case-series is conceptualized as arising from an underlying cohort.

Summary

The results of studies using case-only designs are commonly misinterpreted in the injury literature.

Childhood maltreatment and depressive disorders in Chinese children and adolescents: A population-based case-control study

OBJECTIVE

The association between childhood maltreatment (CM) and clinically diagnosed depressive disorders (DD) in children and adolescents remains inconclusive, in large part due to a lack of high-quality epidemiological evidence. This study aimed to investigate the association between CM and DD in a large sample of Chinese children and adolescents.

METHODS

The study subjects were chosen from the Mental Health Survey for Children and Adolescents in Yunnan (MHSCAY), and a population-based and individually-matched case-control study design was adopted.

RESULTS

CM was in general associated with an odds ratio (OR) of 5.38 (95% CI: 3.33, 8.71) for DD in children and adolescents, and a prominent dose-response association was detected. For the five specific types of CM, emotional abuse was independently related to the highest odds of DD (OR=3.90, 95% CI: 2.75, 5.54), followed by physical neglect (OR=2.04, 95% CI: 1.45, 2.87) and physical abuse (OR=1.51, 95% CI: 1.06, 2.13), while insignificant associations were found between DDs and sexual abuse and emotional neglect. Subsequently performed stratified analyses identified noticeable effect modification by important demographic factors.

CONCLUSION

CM was significantly associated with increased risk of DD in Chinese children and adolescents. The major findings of the current study suggest that victims of CM, especially those who had been emotionally abused, were susceptible to early-onset DD. Targeted interventions should be considered.

Purpose in life and 8-year mortality by gender and race/ethnicity among older adults in the U.S

We examined the associations between a sense of purpose and all-cause mortality by gender and race/ethnicity groups. Data were from the Health and Retirement Study, a nationally representative cohort study of U.S. adults aged >50 (n = 13,159). Sense of purpose was self-reported at baseline (2006/2008), and risk of all-cause mortality was assessed over an 8-year follow-up period. We also formally tested for potential effect modification by gender and race/ethnicity. We observed the associations between higher purpose and lower all-cause mortality risk across all gender and race/ethnicity groups. There was modest evidence that the highest level of purpose (versus lowest quartile) was associated with even lower risk of all-cause mortality among women (risk ratio = 0.66, 95% confidence interval: 0.56, 0.77) compared to men (risk ratio = 0.80, 95% confidence interval: 0.69, 0.93; p-value for multiplicative effect modification =0.07). However, we observed no evidence of effect modification by race/ethnicity. Having a higher sense of purpose appears protective against all-cause mortality regardless of gender and race/ethnicity. Purpose, a potentially modifiable factor, might be a health asset across diverse populations.

[Effect of modification of antihypertensive medications on the association of nitrogen dioxide long-term exposure and chronic kidney disease]

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the potential effect of modification of antihypertensive medications on the association of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) long-term exposure and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

Data of the national representative sample of adult population from the China National Survey of Chronic Kidney Disease (2007-2010) were included in the analyses, and exposure data of NO₂ were collected and matched. Generalized mixed-effects models were used to analyze the associations between NO₂ and CKD, stratified by the presence of hypertension and taking antihypertensive medications. The stratified exposure-response curves of NO₂ and CKD were fitted using the natural spine smoothing function. The modifying effects of antihypertensive medications on the association and the exposure-response curve of NO₂ and CKD were analyzed.

RESULTS

Data of 45 136 participants were included, with an average age of (49.5±15.3) years. The annual average exposure concentration of NO₂ was (7.2±6.4) μg/m³. Altogether 6 517 (14.4%) participants were taking antihypertensive medications, and 4 833 (10.7%) participants were identified as having CKD. After adjustment for potential confounders, in the hypertension population not using antihypertensive medications, long-term exposure to NO₂ was associated with a significant increase risk of CKD (OR: 1.38, 95%CI: 1.24-1.54, P < 0.001); while in the hypertension population using antihypertensive medications, no significant association between long-term exposure to NO₂ and CKD (OR: 0.96, 95%CI: 0.86-1.07, P=0.431) was observed. The exposure-response curve of NO₂ and CKD suggested that there was a non-linear trend in the association between NO₂ and CKD. The antihypertension medications showed significant modifying effects both on the association and the exposure-response curve of NO₂ and CKD (interaction P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The association between long-term exposure to NO₂ and CKD was modified by antihypertensive medications. Taking antihypertensive medications may mitigate the effect of long-term exposure to NO₂ on CKD.

Effect modification of greenness on the association between heat and mortality: A multi-city multi-country study

BACKGROUND

Identifying how greenspace impacts the temperature-mortality relationship in urban environments is crucial, especially given climate change and rapid urbanization. However, the effect modification of greenspace on heat-related mortality has been typically focused on a localized area or single country. This study examined the heat-mortality relationship among different greenspace levels in a global setting.

METHODS

We collected daily ambient temperature and mortality data for 452 locations in 24 countries and used Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) as the greenspace measurement. We used distributed lag non-linear model to estimate the heat-mortality relationship in each city and the estimates were pooled adjusting for city-specific average temperature, city-specific temperature range, city-specific population density, and gross domestic product (GDP). The effect modification of greenspace was evaluated by comparing the heat-related mortality risk for different greenspace groups (low, medium, and high), which were divided into terciles among 452 locations.

FINDINGS

Cities with high greenspace value had the lowest heat-mortality relative risk of 1·19 (95% CI: 1·13, 1·25), while the heat-related relative risk was 1·46 (95% CI: 1·31, 1·62) for cities with low greenspace when comparing the 99^th temperature and the minimum mortality temperature. A 20% increase of greenspace is associated with a 9·02% (95% CI: 8·88, 9·16) decrease in the heat-related attributable fraction, and if this association is causal (which is not within the scope of this study to assess), such a reduction could save approximately 933 excess deaths per year in 24 countries.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings can inform communities on the potential health benefits of greenspaces in the urban environment and mitigation measures regarding the impacts of climate change.

FUNDING

This publication was developed under Assistance Agreement No. RD83587101 awarded by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to Yale University. It has not been formally reviewed by EPA. The views expressed in this document are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Agency. EPA does not endorse any products or commercial services mentioned in this publication. Research reported in this publication was also supported by the National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number R01MD012769. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health. Also, this work has been supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (2021R1A6A3A03038675), Medical Research Council-UK (MR/V034162/1 and MR/R013349/1), Natural Environment Research Council UK (Grant ID: NE/R009384/1), Academy of Finland (Grant ID: 310372), European Union's Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion (Grant ID: 820655 and 874990), Czech Science Foundation (22-24920S), Emory University's NIEHS-funded HERCULES Center (Grant ID: P30ES019776), and Grant CEX2018-000794-S funded by MCIN/AEI/ 10.13039/501100011033 The funders had no role in the design, data collection, analysis, interpretation of results, manuscript writing, or decision to publication.

Denture wearing status, cardiovascular health profiles, and mortality in edentulous patients: A prospective study with a 27-year follow-up

OBJECTIVES

Life's Simple 7 (LS7) metrics provide insight into improving cardiovascular health (CVH) and help reduce mortality risks. Edentulous older adults have a higher mortality risk than dentulous ones, probably due to worse oral function. It is reported that wearing dentures will decrease the mortality risk factor by improving oral function. This prospective study aimed to investigate if denture wearing could modify the association between CVH profile and mortality risk among edentulous elderly.

METHODS

From the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III), 1,735 edentulous older adults (mean age 69.4 years old) with CVH profiles and data on denture wearing status were selected for this study. CVH profiles according to LS7 metrics were classified into poor, intermediate, or ideal. Denture wearers were defined as those wearing complete dentures in both arches all the time or only when awake. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression was conducted to estimate the association of CVH profiles with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Stratified analyses and the testing of interaction terms were used to evaluate the difference between the association in edentulous patients with and without dentures.

RESULTS

A total of 1,420 (81.8%) older adults died during the 27-year follow-up, with 475 (27.6%) cases attributable to heart disease. After controlling for potential confounders, edentulous patients with an ideal CVH (LS7 = 10-14) had a lower mortality risk than those with poor CVH (LS7 = 0-4). Furthermore, we observed an effect modification by denture use (P_interaction = 0.046), with the role of ideal CVH in mitigating mortality among the denture wearers (Hazard Ratio = 0.440 [0.329-0.588]), while no significant association among those without dentures. Similar results were achieved for cardiovascular mortality, but there was no effect modification of denture use (P_interaction = 0.352).

CONCLUSION

In this study, a favorable cardiovascular health profile presents a protective effect on all-cause mortality only among edentulous patients wearing dentures instead of non-wearer.

CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE

Denture usage could improve oral function (e.g., chewing, smiling, speaking, etc.) and promote general health. Effect modification found in this study indicates having ideal CVH alone cannot substantially reduce mortality risk among edentulous patients. Therefore, health care professionals should keep an eye on the elderly not wearing dentures as they are probably more at risk for adverse health outcomes. It remains unclear if denture wearing has a causal relation with lower mortality risks, and further research is needed.

Associations of benzotriazoles and benzothiazoles with estrogens and androgens among pregnant women: A cohort study with repeated measurements

People are extensively exposed to benzotriazoles (BTRs) and benzothiazoles (BTHs) derivatives, which are environmental pollutants that may possess endocrine-disrupting potential; however, no epidemiological evidence is available on the associations of BTRs and BTHs with estrogens and androgens. This study aimed at investigating the associations of BTRs and BTHs with estrogens and androgens among pregnant women. Based on a prospective cohort study, we included 459 pregnant women who donated a complete serial of urine samples at each trimester and had repeated measurements of four BTRs, four BTHs, three estrogens (estrone, 17β-estradiol, and estrio), and two androgens (dehydroepiandrosterone and testosterone) in the urine samples. Associations of repeatedly measured BTRs and BTHs with maternal urinary estrogens and androgens were analyzed, and the cross-sectional associations were also analyzed. Tolyltriazole (TTR) (≥59.3%) and benzothiazole (BTH) (≥93.5%) had the highest detection rate among the BTRs and BTHs, respectively. Repeated measurement analysis and cross-sectional analysis consistently found the target BTRs and BTHs were positively associated with 17β-estradiol, estriol, and testosterone, while the trend of the associations with estrone and dehydroepiandrosterone was inconsistent. Among the positive associations with 17β-estradiol, estriol, and testosterone, the percent of change in estriol associated with TTR was the most prominent [28.5% (95% confidential interval: 24.2%, 32.9%) for each doubling in TTR]. The significant associations with estrone, estriol, testosterone, and dehydroepiandrosterone were stronger among pregnant women who gave birth to a boy than those who gave birth to a girl. These findings add epidemiological evidence on the endocrine-disrupting potential of BTRs and BTHs and highlight the importance of focusing on the health outcomes of BTRs and BTHs related to disturbed estrogens and androgens. Future studies are needed to validate these findings and explore the underlying mechanisms.

The type of previous abortion modifies the association between air pollution and the risk of preterm birth

BACKGROUND

Air pollution and previous abortion have been reported to be related to preterm birth (PTB). But rare study examined the effect of air pollution on PTB risk among mothers with previous abortion.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the effect of air pollution on PTB and the potential effect modification of previous abortion on such an association in rural part of Henan province (China).

METHOD

Based on National Free Preconception Health Examination Project (NFPHEP), information from the medical records of 57,337 mothers with previous abortion were obtained. An inverse distance-weighted model was used to estimate exposure levels of air pollutants. The effect of air pollution on the risk of PTB was estimated with a multiple logistic regression model. Stratified and interaction analyses were undertaken to explore the potential effect modification of previous abortion on this association.

RESULTS

The risk of PTB was positively associated with exposure to levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂; OR: 1.03; 95%CI: 1.02-1.04)], and sulfur dioxide (SO₂; 1.04; 1.02-1.07), and negatively associated with ozone (O₃) exposure (0.97; 0.97-0.98) during the entire pregnancy. Besides, we observed a positive effect of carbon monoxide (CO) exposure during the third trimester of pregnancy on PTB (1.14; 1.01-1.29). The type of previous abortion could modify the effect of air pollution on the PTB risk (P-_interaction < 0.05). Compared with mothers with previous induced abortion, mothers with previous spontaneous abortion carried a higher risk of PTB induced by NO₂, CO, and O₃.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of PTB was positively associated with levels of NO₂, SO₂ and CO, and negatively associated with the O₃ level. The types of previous abortion could modify the effect of air pollution on PTB. Mothers who had an abortion previously, especially spontaneous abortion, should avoid exposure to air pollution to improve their pregnancy outcome.

Association of prenatal exposure to ambient air pollution with adverse birth outcomes and effect modification by socioeconomic factors

BACKGROUND

Maternal exposure to air pollution has been associated with birth outcomes; however, few studies examined biologically critical exposure windows shorter than trimesters or potential effect modifiers.

OBJECTIVES

To examine associations of prenatal fine particulate matter (PM_2.5), by trimester and in biologically critical windows, with birth outcomes and assess potential effect modifiers.

METHODS

This study used two pregnancy cohorts (CANDLE and TIDES; N = 2099) in the ECHO PATHWAYS Consortium. PM_2.5 was estimated at the maternal residence using a fine-scale spatiotemporal model, averaged over pregnancy, trimesters, and critical windows (0-2 weeks, 10-12 weeks, and last month of pregnancy). Outcomes were preterm birth (PTB, <37 completed weeks of gestation), small-for-gestational-age (SGA), and continuous birthweight. We fit multivariable adjusted linear regression models for birthweight and Poisson regression models (relative risk, RR) for PTB and SGA. Effect modification by socioeconomic factors (maternal education, household income, neighborhood deprivation) and infant sex were examined using interaction terms.

RESULTS

Overall, 9% of births were PTB, 10.4% were SGA, and mean term birthweight was 3268 g (SD = 558.6). There was no association of PM_2.5 concentration with PTB or SGA. Lower birthweight was associated with higher PM_2.5 averaged over pregnancy (β -114.2, 95%CI -183.2, -45.3), during second (β -52.9, 95%CI -94.7, -11.2) and third (β -45.5, 95%CI -85.9, -5.0) trimesters, and the month prior to delivery (β -30.5, 95%CI -57.6, -3.3). Associations of PM_2.5 with likelihood of SGA and lower birthweight were stronger among male infants (p-interaction ≤0.05) and in those with lower household income (p-interaction = 0.09).

CONCLUSIONS

Findings from this multi city U.S. birth cohort study support previous reports of inverse associations of birthweight with higher PM_2.5 exposure during pregnancy. Findings also suggest possible modification of this association by infant sex and household income.

Individual socioeconomic status as a modifier of the association between high ambient temperature and hospital admissions: a time series study in Hong Kong, 2010-2019

Few studies have examined individual socioeconomic status (SES) as a potential modifier of ambient temperature-health associations, especially for temperature-related hospitalizations. We fit penalized distributed lag non-linear models within generalized additive models to study the short-term associations (0-3 days) between temperature and hospital admissions stratified by common causes, age, and individual SES, as determined by whether patients received public assistance (PA) to cover their medical fee at the time of hospitalizations, during the hot season (May 15 to October 15) in Hong Kong for the years 2010-2019. We calculated the ratio of relative risk (RRR) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) to statistically test the difference of the associations between PA groups. For 75 + patients, the PA group had significantly increased risks of hospitalizations at higher temperature for most causes, with relative risks (RR, 99th %ile vs. 25%ile) and 95% CIs of 1.138 (1.099, 1.179), 1.057 (1.008, 1.109), and 1.163 (1.094, 1.236) estimated for all non-cancer non-external, circulatory, and respiratory admissions, respectively. There were slight decreases of RRs with higher temperature for 75 + patients without PA. The strengths of temperature-hospitalization associations were strongly and significantly different between PA groups for all examined causes for 75 + patients, with the most considerable discrepancy found for ischemic heart disease (RRR = 1.266; 95% CI, 1.137, 1.410). Hospitalizations for patients aged 15-74 were less affected by heat, and the difference of the associations between groups was small. Individual SES is a significant modifier of high temperature-hospitalization associations in Hong Kong among the elderly. Public health interventions are needed to better protect this subpopulation from adverse health impacts of high temperature.

Red meat consumption and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: results from the UK Biobank study

PURPOSE

To investigate the prospective associations between red meat consumption and all-cause and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) mortality, and to assess the modification effects of lifestyle and genetic risk factors.

METHODS

180,642 individuals free of CVD or cancer were enrolled from 2006 to 2010 and followed up to 2018 in the UK Biobank. Information on demographics, lifestyles, and medical history was collected through a baseline touchscreen questionnaire. The information on diet was collected through a single touchscreen food-frequency questionnaire. A total of ten single-nucleotide polymorphisms were used to calculate the genetic risk score (GRS) of trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO), a gut microbiota metabolite from red meat. Adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to assess the association of red meat consumption with mortality.

RESULTS

We documented 3596 deaths [655 CVD deaths, 285 coronary heart disease (CHD) deaths, and 149 stroke deaths] during median 8.6 years of follow-up. Compared with the lowest red meat intake (< 1.5 times/week), the highest red meat intake (≥ 3.0 times/week) was associated with a 20%, 53%, and 101% elevated risk for CVD, CHD, and stroke mortality (P for trend = 0.04, 0.007, and 0.02, respectively), but not all-cause mortality. We found that the associations between red meat intake and mortality were not modified by dietary and lifestyle factors, as well as TMAO GRS. In addition, substitution analyses showed that a decrease in red meat consumption and an increase in the consumption of poultry or cereal was significantly associated with 9%-16% lower CVD or CHD mortality risk.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicated that red meat consumption was associated with higher risks of CVD, CHD, and stroke mortality, and the associations were not modified by lifestyle and genetic risk factors. Replacing red meat by poultry or cereal was related to lower risks of CVD and CHD mortality.

Road traffic density and recurrent asthma emergency department visits among Medicaid enrollees in New York State 2005-2015

BACKGROUND

Environmental exposures such as traffic may contribute to asthma morbidity including recurrent emergency department (ED) visits. However, these associations are often confounded by socioeconomic status and health care access.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to assess the association between traffic density and recurrence of asthma ED visits in the primarily low income Medicaid population in New York State (NYS) between 2005 and 2015.

METHODS

The primary outcome of interest was a recurrent asthma ED visit within 1-year of index visit. Traffic densities (weighted for truck traffic) were spatially linked based on home addresses. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify factors predicting recurrent asthma ED visits.

RESULTS

In a multivariate model, Medicaid recipients living within 300-m of a high traffic density area were at a statistically significant risk of a recurrent asthma ED visit compared to those in a low traffic density area (OR = 1.31; 95% CI:1.24,1.38). Additionally, we evaluated effect measure modification for risk of recurrent asthma visits associated with traffic exposure by socio-demographic factors. The highest risk was found for those exposed to high traffic and being male (OR = 1.87; 95% CI:1.46,2.39), receiving cash assistance (OR = 2.11; 95% CI:1.65,2.72), receiving supplemental security income (OR = 2.21; 95% CI:1.66,2.96) and being in the 18.44 age group (OR = 1.59;95% CI 1.48,1.70) was associated with the highest risk of recurrent asthma ED visit. Black non-Hispanics (OR = 2.35; 95% CI:1.70,3.24), Hispanics (OR = 2.13; 95% CI:1.49,3.04) and those with race listed as "Other" (OR = 1.89 95% CI:1.13,3.16) in high traffic areas had higher risk of recurrent asthma ED visits as compared to White non-Hispanics in low traffic areas.

CONCLUSION

We observed significant persistent disparities in asthma morbidity related to traffic exposure and race/ethnicity in a low-income population. Our findings suggest that even within a primarily low-income study population, socioeconomic differences persist. These differences in susceptibility in the extremely low-income group may not be apparent in health studies that use Medicaid enrollment as a proxy for low SES.

Maternal serum concentrations of one-carbon metabolism factors modify the association between biomarkers of arsenic methylation efficiency and birth weight

BACKGROUND

Inorganic arsenic (iAs) is a ubiquitous metalloid and drinking water contaminant. Prenatal exposure is associated with birth outcomes across multiple studies. During metabolism, iAs is sequentially methylated to mono- and di-methylated arsenical species (MMAs and DMAs) to facilitate whole body clearance. Inefficient methylation (e.g., higher urinary % MMAs) is associated with increased risk of certain iAs-associated diseases. One-carbon metabolism factors influence iAs methylation, modifying toxicity in adults, and warrant further study during the prenatal period. The objective of this study was to evaluate folate, vitamin B12, and homocysteine as modifiers of the relationship between biomarkers of iAs methylation efficiency and birth outcomes.

METHODS

Data from the Biomarkers of Exposure to ARsenic (BEAR) pregnancy cohort (2011-2012)  with maternal urine and cord serum arsenic biomarkers and maternal serum folate, vitamin B12, and homocysteine concentrations were utilized. One-carbon metabolism factors were dichotomized using clinical cutoffs and median splits. Multivariable linear regression models were fit to evaluate associations between each biomarker and birth outcome overall and within levels of one-carbon metabolism factors. Likelihood ratio tests of full and reduced models were used to test the significance of statistical interactions on the additive scale (α = 0.10).

RESULTS

Among urinary biomarkers, % U-MMAs was most strongly associated with birth weight (β = - 23.09, 95% CI: - 44.54, - 1.64). Larger, more negative mean differences in birth weight were observed among infants born to women who were B12 deficient (β = - 28.69, 95% CI: - 53.97, - 3.42) or experiencing hyperhomocysteinemia (β = - 63.29, 95% CI: - 154.77, 28.19). Generally, mean differences in birth weight were attenuated among infants born to mothers with higher serum concentrations of folate and vitamin B12 (or lower serum concentrations of homocysteine). Effect modification by vitamin B12 and homocysteine was significant on the additive scale for some associations. Results for gestational age were less compelling, with an approximate one-week mean difference associated with C-tAs (β = 0.87, 95% CI: 0, 1.74), but not meaningful otherwise.

CONCLUSIONS

Tissue distributions of iAs and its metabolites (e.g., % MMAs) may vary according to serum concentrations of folate, vitamin B12 and homocysteine during pregnancy. This represents a potential mechanism through which maternal diet may modify the harms of prenatal exposure to iAs.

Effect modification by maximum temperature of the association between PM2.5 and short-term cardiorespiratory mortality and emergency room visits in Lima, Peru, 2010-2016

BACKGROUND

The health effects of fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) may be worse at higher temperatures.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate temperature's effect on PM_2.5-mortality/morbidity associations in Lima, Peru.

METHODS

Time-series regressions relating PM_2.5 and temperature to mortality and emergency room (ER) visits during 2010-2016. Daily PM_2.5 levels (assigned to 40 Lima districts) and daily maximum temperature (Lima-wide) were estimated based on ground monitors, remote sensing, and modeling. We analyzed all-cause, cardiovascular (ICD codes I00-I99), and respiratory (ICD codes J00-J99) mortality, and cardiovascular and respiratory causes for ER visits.

RESULTS

The average PM_2.5 concentration was 20.9 µg/m³ (IQR 17.5-23.5). The mean daily maximum temperature was 23.8 °C (IQR 20.8-26.9). PM_2.5's effect on all-cause, respiratory, and circulatory disease mortality was significantly (p < 0.05) stronger at temperatures above the maximum temperature median. The rate ratios per increase of 10 µg/m³ of PM_2.5 for all cause, respiratory, and circulatory mortality respectively were 1.03 (1.00-1.06), 1.04 (0.98-1.10), and 1.04 (0.98-1.10) at temperatures below the median, vs. 1.08 (1.04-1.12), 1.11 (1.03-1.19), and 1.14 (1.05-1.25) when temperatures were above the median. Results were analogous for ER visits for respiratory but not circulatory disease.

SIGNIFICANCE

Results strengthen the evidence that air pollution may be more dangerous when temperatures are higher.

IMPACT

Our data contribute to a growing body of literature which indicates that the damaging effects of PM_2.5 may be worse at higher temperature, adding new evidence from Lima, Peru.

Ambient particulate air pollution, blood cell parameters, and effect modification by psychosocial stress: Findings from two studies in three major Chinese cities

The associations between particulate matter (PM) exposure, psychosocial stress and blood cell parameters are bringing novel insights to characterize the early damage of multiple diseases. Based on two studies conducted in three Chinses cities using cross-sectional (Beijing, 425 participants) and panel study (Tianjin and Shanghai, 92 participants with 361 repeated measurements) designs, this study explored the associations between short-term exposure to ambient PM and blood cell parameters, and the effect modification by psychosocial stress. Increasing PM_2.5 exposure was significantly associated with decreases in red blood cell (RBC) count and mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), and increases in mean corpuscular volume (MCV), platelets count (PLT) and platelet hematocrit (PCT) in both studies. For instance, a 10 μg/m³ increment in PM_2.5 concentration was associated with a 1.04% (95%CI: 0.16%, 1.92%) increase in PLT (4-d) and a 1.09% (95%CI: 0.31%, 1.87%) increase in PCT (4-d) in the cross-sectional study, and a 0.64% (95%CI: 0.06%, 1.22%) increase in PLT (1-d) and a 0.72% (95%CI: 0.33%, 1.11%) increase in PCT (1-d) in the panel study, respectively. In addition, stronger increases in MCV, PLT, and PCT associated with PM_2.5 exposure were found in higher psychosocial stress group compared to lower psychosocial stress group (p for interaction <0.10), indicating that blood cell parameters of individuals with higher psychosocial stress might be more susceptible to the early damages of PM_2.5 exposure.

Privacy-preserving estimation of an optimal individualized treatment rule: a case study in maximizing time to severe depression-related outcomes

Estimating individualized treatment rules-particularly in the context of right-censored outcomes-is challenging because the treatment effect heterogeneity of interest is often small, thus difficult to detect. While this motivates the use of very large datasets such as those from multiple health systems or centres, data privacy may be of concern with participating data centres reluctant to share individual-level data. In this case study on the treatment of depression, we demonstrate an application of distributed regression for privacy protection used in combination with dynamic weighted survival modelling (DWSurv) to estimate an optimal individualized treatment rule whilst obscuring individual-level data. In simulations, we demonstrate the flexibility of this approach to address local treatment practices that may affect confounding, and show that DWSurv retains its double robustness even when performed through a (weighted) distributed regression approach. The work is motivated by, and illustrated with, an analysis of treatment for unipolar depression using the United Kingdom's Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

Serum multiple organochlorine pesticides in relation to testosterone concentrations among Chinese men from an infertility clinic

BACKGROUND

Organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) are endocrine-disrupting chemicals and may alter male reproductive hormone concentrations.

OBJECTIVE

To explore the associations between multiple OCP exposures and serum testosterone concentrations among Chinese men.

METHODS

We investigated 421 men who provided serum samples from an infertility clinic in Wuhan, China. Each man completed a questionnaire concerning demographic characteristics and lifestyle habits. Serum concentrations of 18 OCPs and total testosterone were measured. Linear regression models were used to explore whether serum OCP levels were associated with altered testosterone concentrations, and potential effect modifications by age and body mass index (BMI) were also examined.

RESULTS

After adjusting for potential confounders, elevated dieldrin and p,p'-DDD levels had monotonically negative and positive exposure-response associations with testosterone concentrations, respectively (-30.98 ng/dL, 95% CI: -72.34, 10.37; P for trend = 0.12 and 41.31 ng/dL, 95% CI: -0.32, 82.93; P for trend = 0.06 for the highest vs. non-detectable exposure category, respectively). After stratification by age and BMI, dieldrin in relation to decreased testosterone concentrations was more pronounced among men aged <30 years old, and p,p'-DDD in relation to increased testosterone concentrations was stronger among men aged ≥30 years old and among men with a BMI <24 kg/m², though the differences were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

The study found evidence that serum dieldrin and p,p'-DDD concentrations might be associated with altered serum testosterone concentrations.

The role of state breastfeeding laws and programs on exclusive breastfeeding practice among mothers in the special supplemental nutrition program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC)

Background

It is unclear if state laws supporting breastfeeding are associated with exclusive breastfeeding (EBF) practice among low-income mothers participating in the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC). The main objectives of our study were to assess the relationship between such laws and EBF among WIC-participating mothers and to assess whether this association varied by employment status. We also assessed how mother’s exposure to WIC breastfeeding consultation was associated with EBF.

Methods

A cross-sectional study was conducted across seven WIC program locations (i.e., Georgia, Massachusetts, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Wyoming, Chickasaw Nation) between July–August 2020. Data were collected using convenient sampling from each program location and surveys were administered electronically or on paper to WIC-participating mothers. We restricted our analysis to data from 1161 WIC-participating mothers with infants aged zero to five months old. Multivariable mixed models were used to estimate the relationship between our exposures of interest (i.e., number of laws supporting breastfeeding, employment-related breastfeeding laws, WIC breastfeeding consultation) and EBF, while controlling for potential confounders and accounting for clustering by program location. Effect modification by employment status was assessed on the additive and multiplicative scales.

Results

Among WIC-participating mothers living in program locations with no employment-related breastfeeding laws, EBF was 26% less prevalent for employed mothers compared to unemployed mothers (adjusted prevalence ratios [aPR]: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.67,0.83). Among all mothers, a one-unit increase in laws supporting breastfeeding was not associated with EBF (aPR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.71,1.10). However, among employed mothers, living in areas with more employment-related laws was associated with a higher prevalence of EBF (aPR: 1.43, 95% CI: 0.83, 2.44). Infants whose mothers received a WIC breastfeeding consultation had 33% higher prevalence of being exclusively breastfed compared to infants whose mothers did not receive a WIC breastfeeding consultation (aPR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.05,1.70).

Conclusions

Infants whose WIC-participating mothers were employed, were less likely to be exclusively breastfed, but our effect modification analyses showed that laws supporting breastfeeding at the workplace may promote EBF among employed women. EBF was more prevalent among mothers who received a WIC breastfeeding consultation compared to those who did not receive such a consultation.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13006-022-00490-9.

Effect modification by contextual factors of urate-lowering therapy on serum urate in people with gout: A systematic review with meta-regression analysis

OBJECTIVE

To synthesize evidence of the effect of contextual factors (CFs) on efficacy of urate-lowering therapy (ULT) on serum urate (SU) as outcome in gout patients.

METHODS

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) from (updated) Cochrane reviews were the starting point. RCTs were included if they explored the role of any CF on efficacy of ULT on SU in gout patients. For CFs with sufficient data (i.e. ≥3 trials), a mixed-effects meta-regression analysis was performed with trial and comparison as random effects, whereas specific CFs were modelled as fixed factors.

RESULTS

Eight RCTs were included. Effect modification by CFs was explored for age, sex, race, renal function, cardiovascular comorbidity, tophi, thiazide-diuretic use, and previous ULT use. Crude data stratified by renal function were available for four trials (36 randomised comparisons), and suitable for meta-analysis. Pooled estimates revealed that gout patients with a normal, mildly-, or moderately impaired renal function were consistently more likely to achieve SU target with ULT compared to control. Among RCTs comparing ULT to placebo (30 comparisons), effects of ULT on achieving SU target were not statistically different for those with normal (OR:66.87;[11.39-392.75]) compared to mildly (OR:28.54;[5.11-159.46]) and moderately (OR:21.45;[3.20-143.64]) impaired renal function, but seemed lower in those with severely impaired (OR:9.13;[0.96-86.97]) renal function. Data were insufficient to draw conclusions on effect modification by other CFs.

CONCLUSION

Few RCTs report stratified analyses exploring the role of CFs. ULT seemed effective in reaching the SU target in all levels of renal function, though severely impaired renal function appeared to render a slight disadvantage.

Effect of apparent temperature on hospitalization from a spectrum of cardiovascular diseases in rural residents in Fujian, China

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading threat to global public health. Although associations between temperature and CVD hospitalization have been suggested for developed countries, limited evidence is available for developing countries or rural residents. Moreover, the effect of apparent temperature (AT) on the spectrum of cause-specific CVDs remains unknown. Based on 2,024,147 CVD hospitalizations for rural residents from eight regions in Fujian Province, China, during 2010-2016, a quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear model was fitted to estimate the AT effect on daily CVD hospitalization for each region, and then pooled in a meta-regression that included regional indicators related to rural residents. Stratified analyses were performed according to the cause of hospitalization, sex and age groups. Finally, we calculated the fraction of CVD hospitalizations attributable to AT, as a reflection of the burden associated with AT. The heat effect appeared at lag 0-1 days, with 19% (95% CI, 11-26%) increased risk of CVD hospitalization, which was worse for ischemic heart disease, heart failure, arrhythmias and ischemic stroke. The decreased AT was associated with increase of hemorrhagic stroke at lag 0-28 days. People aged 65 and above suffered more from the heat effect on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Regions with a lower gross value of agricultural production, rural residents' per capita net income, number of air conditioners and water heaters were more susceptible. A large number of hospitalizations were attributable to heat for most subcategories. High AT level increased CVD hospitalization, and the subcategories had different susceptibilities. The effects were modified by individual and regional characteristics. These findings have important implications for the development of targeted interventions and for hospital service planning.

Short-term association of NO2 with hospital visits for chronic kidney disease and effect modification by temperature in Hefei, China: A time series study

BACKGROUND

A large body of evidence has linked air pollution and temperature with chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence and hospitalizations. However, most studies have focused on the influence of heat stress on CKD prevalence, and the potential effect modification of temperature on the association between air pollution and CKD has not been well-investigated. In this study, we examined the associations of the whole temperature spectrum and air pollution with CKD-related hospital visits and explored whether temperature modifies the short-term association of air pollution with CKD-related hospital visits.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We collected 40 276 CKD-related hospital visits from the first Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University and Anhui Provincial Hospital in Hefei, China, during 2015-2019. A two-stage time-series design was conducted to investigate the associations of air pollution and daily mean temperature with CKD-related hospital visits. First, we estimated the associations between air pollution and CKD-related hospital visits as well as temperature and CKD-related hospital visits. Second, we analyzed the associations of air pollution with CKD hospital visits at different temperatures. We found that NO₂ exposure and low temperature were associated with an increased risk of CKD-related hospital visits. Low temperature enhanced the association between NO₂ exposure and CKD-related hospital visits, with an increase of 4.30% (95% CI: 2.47-5.92%) per 10 μg/m³ increment in NO₂ at low temperature. Effect modification of the association between NO₂ and the risk of CKD-related hospital visits was stronger at low temperature across the whole population.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that low temperature-related chronic kidney damage should be of immediate public health concern. Impact of NO₂ exposure on the risk of CKD-related hospital visits may increase under the low temperature, which suggests the need for NO₂ exposure mitigation strategies in the context of climate change and an enhanced understanding of the mechanisms underlying the temperature variance of air pollution effect to help reduce the magnitude of the CKD burden on the healthcare systems.

Modified effects of air pollutants on the relationship between temperature variability and hand, foot, and mouth disease in Zibo City, China

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) poses a great disease burden in China. However, there are few studies on the relationship between temperature variability (TV) and HFMD. Moreover, whether air pollutions have modified effects on this relationship is still unknown. Therefore, this study aims to explore the modified effects of air pollutants on TV-HFMD association in Zibo City, China. Daily data of HFMD cases, meteorological factors, and air pollutants from 2015 to 2019 were collected for Zibo City. TV was estimated by calculating standard deviation of minimum and maximum temperatures over the exposure days. We used generalized additive model to estimate the association between TV and HFMD. The modified effects of air pollutants were assessed by comparing the estimated TV-HFMD associations between different air stratums. We found that TV increased the risk of HFMD. The effect was strongest at TV03 (4 days of exposure), when the incidence of HFMD increased by 3.6% [95% CI: 1.3-5.9%] for every 1℃ increases in TV. Males, children aged 0-4 years, were more sensitive to TV. We found that sulfur dioxide (SO₂) enhanced TV's effects on all considered exposure days, while ozone (O₃) reduced TV's effects on some exposure days in whole concerned population. However, we did not detect significant effect modification by particulate matter less than 10 microns in aerodynamic diameter (PM₁₀). These findings are of significance in developing policies and public health practices to reduce the risks of HFMD by integrating changes in temperatures and air pollutants.

Evidence of susceptibility to autism risks associated with early life ambient air pollution: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Many studies have found associations between early life air pollution exposure and subsequent onset of autism spectrum disorder (ASD). However, characteristics that affect susceptibility remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review examined epidemiologic studies on the modifying roles of social, child, genetic and maternal characteristics in associations between prenatal and early postnatal air pollution exposure and ASD.

METHODS

A systematic literature search in PubMed and Embase was conducted. Studies that examined modifiers of the association between air pollution and ASD were included.

RESULTS

A total of 19 publications examined modifiers of the associations between early life air pollution exposures and ASD. In general, estimates of effects on risk of ASD in boys were larger than in girls (based on 11 studies). Results from studies of effects of family education (2 studies) and neighborhood deprivation (2 studies) on air pollution-ASD associations were inconsistent. Limited data (1 study) suggest pregnant women with insufficient folic acid intake might be more susceptible to ambient particulate matter less than 2.5 μm (PM_2.5) and 10 μm (PM₁₀) in aerodynamic diameter, and to nitrogen dioxide (NO₂). Children of mothers with gestational diabetes had increased risk of ozone-associated ASD (1 study). Two genetic studies reported that copy number variations may amplify the effect of ozone, and MET rs1858830 CC genotype may augment effects of PM and near-roadway pollutants on ASD.

CONCLUSIONS

Child's sex, maternal nutrition or diabetes, socioeconomic factors, and child risk genotypes were reported to modify the effect of early-life air pollutants on ASD risk in the epidemiologic literature. However, the sparsity of studies on comparable modifying hypotheses precludes conclusive findings. Further research is needed to identify susceptible populations and potential targets for preventive intervention.

Heatstroke-related ambulance dispatch risk before and during COVID-19 pandemic: Subgroup analysis by age, severity, and incident place

BACKGROUND

In summer 2020 under the COVID-19 pandemic, the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare has made public warnings that specific preventive measures such as maskwearing and stay-at-home orders, may increase heatstroke risk. In our previous work, we found a lower risk of heatstroke-related ambulance dispatches (HSAD) during the COVID-19 period, however, it is uncertain whether similar risk reductions can be observed in different vulnerable subgroups. This study aimed to determine the HSAD risk during the COVID-19 pandemic by age, severity, and incident place subgroups.

METHOD

A summer-specific (June-September), time-series analysis was performed, using daily HSAD and meteorological data from 47 Japanese prefectures from 2017 to 2020. A two-stage analysis was applied to determine the association between HSAD and COVID-19 pandemic, adjusting for maximum temperature, humidity, seasonality, and relevant temporal adjustments. A generalized linear model was utilized in the first stage to estimate the prefecture-specific effect estimates. Thereafter, a fixed effect meta-analysis in the second stage was implemented to pool the first stage estimates. Subsequently, subgroup analysis via an interaction by age, severity, and incident place was used to analyze the HSAD risk among subgroups.

RESULTS

A total of 274,031 HSAD cases was recorded across 47 Japanese prefectures. The average total number of HSAD in the pre-COVID-19 period was 69,721, meanwhile, the COVID-19 period was 64,869. Highest reductions in the risks was particularly observed in the young category (ratio of relative risk (RRR) = 0.54, 95% Confidential Interval (CI): 0.51, 0.57) compared to the elderly category. Whereas highest increment in the risks were observed in severe/death (RRR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.13, 1.37) compared to the mild category.

CONCLUSION

COVID-19 situation exhibited a non-uniform change in the HSAD risk for all subgroups, with the magnitude of the risks varying by age, severity, and incident place.

Association between air pollution and outpatient visits for allergic rhinitis: Effect modification by ambient temperature and relative humidity

Mounting evidence indicated the associations between air pollution and outpatient visits for allergic rhinitis (AR), while few studies assessed the effect modification of these associations by ambient temperature and relative humidity (RH). In this study, dataset of AR outpatients was obtained from Chinese People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force Characteristic Medical Center in Beijing during 2014 to 2019, and the average concentrations of air pollutants including particulate matter ≤2.5 μm in diameter (PM_2.5) and ≤10 μm (PM₁₀), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), and meteorological factors (temperature and RH) at the same period were collected from one nearby air monitoring station. We performed a time-series study with Poisson regression model to examine the effects of air pollutants on AR outpatients after adjustment for potential confounders. And the effects modification analysis was further conducted by stratifying temperature and RH by tertiles into three groups of low, middle and high. In total of 33,599 outpatient visits for AR were recorded during the study period. Results found that a 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5, PM₁₀, NO₂ and SO₂ was associated with significant increases in AR outpatients of 1.24% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69%, 1.78%), 0.79% (95% CI: 0.43%, 1.15%), 3.05% (95% CI: 1.72%, 4.40%) and 5.01% (95% CI: 1.18%, 8.96%), respectively. Stronger associations were observed in males than those in females, as well as in young adults (18-44 years) than those in other age groups. Air pollution effects on AR outpatients increased markedly at low temperature (<33.3th percentile) and high RH (>66.7th percentile). Findings in this study indicate that air pollution is associated with increased risk of AR outpatients, and the effects of air pollution on AR could be enhanced at low temperature and high RH.

Seasonal characteristics of temperature variability impacts on childhood asthma hospitalization in Hefei, China: Does PM2.5 modify the association?

OBJECTIVES

Evidence of childhood asthma hospitalizations associated with temperature variability (TV) and the attributable risk are limited in China. We aim to use a comprehensive index that reflected both intra- and inter-day TV to assess the TV-childhood asthma relationship and disease burden, further to identify seasonality vulnerable populations, and to explore the effect modification of PM_2.5.

METHODS

A quasi-distributed lagged nonlinear model (DLNM) combined with a linear threshold function was applied to estimate the association between TV and childhood asthma hospitalizations during 2013-2016 in Hefei, China. Subgroup analysis was conducted by age and sex. Disease burden is reflected by the attributable fraction and attributable number. Besides, modifications of PM_2.5 were tested by introducing the cross-basis of TV and binary PM_2.5 as an interaction term.

RESULTS

The risk estimates peaked at TV_0-3 and TV_0-4 in the cool and the warm season separately, with RR of 1.051 (95%CI: 1.021-1.081) and 1.072 (95%CI: 1.008-1.125), and the effects lasted longer in the cool season. The school-age children in the warm season and all subgroups except pre-school children in the cool season were vulnerable to TV. It is estimated that the disease burden related to TV account for 6.2% (95% CI: 2.7%-9.4%) and 4% (95% CI: 0.6%-7.1%) during the cool and warm seasons in TV_0-3. In addition, the risks of TV were higher under the high PM_2.5 level compared with the low PM_2.5 level in the cool season, although no significant differences between them.

CONCLUSIONS

TV exposure significantly increases the risk and disease burden of childhood asthma hospitalizations, especially in the cool season. More medical resources should be allocated to school-age children. Giving priority to pay attention to TV in the cool season in practice could obtain the greatest public health benefits and those days with high TV and high PM_2.5 need more attention.

The association of depression and all-cause mortality: Explanatory factors and the influence of gender

BACKGROUND

The association of depression with mortality and the significance of explanatory factors, in particularly gender, have remained an issue of debate. We therefore aimed to estimate the effect of depression on all-cause mortality, to examine potential explanatory factors and to assess effect modification by gender.

METHODS

We used Cox regression models to estimate the effect of depression on mortality based on data from the Gutenberg Health Study, which is a prospective cohort study of the adult population in the districts of Mainz and Mainz-Bingen, Germany. Baseline assessment was between 2007 and 2012. Effect modification by gender was measured on both additive and multiplicative scales.

RESULTS

Out of 14,653 participants, 7.7% were depressed according to Patient Health Questionnaire 9 (PHQ-9), and 1,059 (7.2%) died during a median follow-up of 10.7 years. Depression elevated the risk of mortality in men and women in age-adjusted models (HR: 1.41, 95%-CI: 1.03-1.92; resp. HR: 1.96, 95%-CI: 1.43-2.69). Adjustment for social status, physical health and lifestyle covariates attenuated the effect and in the fully-adjusted model the hazard ratio was 0.96 (95%-CI: 0.69-1.33) in men and 1.53 (95%-CI: 1.10-2.12) in women. For effect modification by gender, the measure on multiplicative interaction was 0.68 (95%-CI 0.44-1.07) and on additive interaction was RERI=-0.47 (95%-CI -1.24-0.30).

LIMITATIONS

The PHQ-9 is a single self-report measure of depression reflecting symptoms of the past two weeks, limiting a more detailed assessment of depression and course of symptoms, which likely affects the association with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Depression elevates mortality by multifactorial pathways, which should be taken into account in the biopsychosocially informed treatment of depression. Effect modification by gender was not statistically significant.

Combined effects of air pollution and extreme heat events among ESKD patients within the Northeastern United States

BACKGROUND

Increasing number of studies have linked air pollution exposure with renal function decline and disease. However, there is a lack of data on its impact among end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients and its potential modifying effect from extreme heat events (EHE).

METHODS

Fresenius Kidney Care records from 28 selected northeastern US counties were used to pool daily all-cause mortality (ACM) and all-cause hospital admissions (ACHA) counts. County-level daily ambient PM_2.5 and ozone (O₃) were estimated using a high-resolution spatiotemporal coupled climate-air quality model and matched to ESKD patients based on ZIP codes of treatment sites. We used time-stratified case-crossover analyses to characterize acute exposures using individual and cumulative lag exposures for up to 3 days (Lag 0-3) by using a distributed lag nonlinear model framework. We used a nested model comparison hypothesis test to evaluate for interaction effects between air pollutants and EHE and stratification analyses to estimate effect measures modified by EHE days.

RESULTS

From 2001 to 2016, the sample population consisted of 43,338 ESKD patients. We recorded 5217 deaths and 78,433 hospital admissions. A 10-unit increase in PM_2.5 concentration was associated with a 5% increase in ACM (rate ratio [RR_Lag0-3]: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.00-1.10) and same-day O₃ (RR_Lag0: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03) after adjusting for extreme heat exposures. Mortality models suggest evidence of interaction and effect measure modification, though not always simultaneously. ACM risk increased up to 8% when daily ozone concentrations exceeded National Ambient Air Quality Standards established by the United States, but the increases in risk were considerably higher during EHE days across lag periods.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest interdependent effects of EHE and air pollution among ESKD patients for all-cause mortality risks. National level assessments are needed to consider the ESKD population as a sensitive population and inform treatment protocols during extreme heat and degraded pollution episodes.

Effect modification of body mass index on the association between ovarian cysts and endometrial cancer

BACKGROUND

Ovarian cysts represent a common condition among women. Epidemiologic studies are inconsistent in determining if women with cysts are more likely to develop endometrial cancer (EC) regardless of overweight/obesity. We investigated the combined role of cysts and body mass index (BMI) on EC risk.

METHODS

We pooled data from three case-control studies conducted in Italy and Switzerland on 920 women with EC and 1700 controls. The prevalence of cysts was 5% among both cases and controls, with 63% of cases being overweight/obese. We estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using logistic regression models, adjusting for potential confounders. We conducted stratified analyses according to BMI, and estimated the interaction between cysts and BMI; we carried out additional analyses according to age at diagnosis of cysts.

RESULTS

Overall, history of cysts was not associated to EC (OR=1.27, 95% CI=0.82-1.97, P = 0.29). Normal weight women reporting cysts had an increased risk of EC (OR=2.49, 95% CI=1.31-4.74), while no such effect was found among overweight/obese women (OR=0.65, 95% CI=0.36-1.18; P for interaction=0.004). The association was limited to women below 65 years of age and was stronger in those who reported cysts at age 48 or older.

CONCLUSIONS

Cysts appeared to be a risk factor for EC in lean women but not in overweight/obese ones; these results are consistent with an effect of cysts and obesity on EC along common pathways.

Diabetes acts on mortality in hemodialysis patients predicted by asymmetric dimethylarginine and inflammation

BACKGROUND

The mortality rate of diabetic patients on dialysis is higher than that of non-diabetic patients. Asymmetric dimethylarginine and inflammation are strong predictors of death in hemodialysis. This study aimed to evaluate asymmetric dimethylarginine and C-reactive protein interaction in predicting mortality in hemodialysis according to the presence or absence of diabetes.

METHODS

Asymmetric dimethylarginine and C-reactive protein were measured in 202 patients in maintenance hemodialysis assembled from 2011 to 2012 and followed for four years. Effect modification of C-reactive protein on the relationship between asymmetric dimethylarginine and all-cause mortality was investigated dividing the population into four categories according to the median of asymmetric dimethylarginine and C-reactive protein.

RESULTS

Asymmetric dimethylarginine and C-reactive protein levels were similar between diabetics and non-diabetics. Asymmetric dimethylarginine - median IQR μM - (1.95 1.75-2.54 versus 1.03 0.81-1.55 P=0.000) differed in non-diabetics with or without evolution to death (HR 2379 CI 1.36-3.68 P=0.000) and was similar in diabetics without or with evolution to death. Among non-diabetics, the category with higher asymmetric dimethylarginine and C-reactive protein levels exhibited the highest mortality (69.0% P=0.000). No differences in mortality were seen in diabetics. A joint effect was found between asymmetric dimethylarginine and C-reactive protein, explaining all-cause mortality (HR 15.21 CI 3.50-66.12 P=0.000).

CONCLUSIONS

Asymmetric dimethylarginine is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in non-diabetic patients in hemodialysis. Other risk factors may overlap asymmetric dimethylarginine in people with diabetes. Inflammation dramatically increases the risk of death associated with high plasma asymmetric dimethylarginine in hemodialysis.

Perceived HIV Treatment Norms Modify the Association Between HIV-Related Stigma and Adherence to Antiretroviral Therapy Among Persons Living with HIV in Baltimore, Maryland

Adherence to antiretroviral therapy (ART) is associated with reduced HIV-related morbidity/mortality and ongoing transmission; however, the extent to which this association is modified by perceived HIV treatment norms is unknown. 270 PLWH completed a survey to assess demographics, risk behaviors, stigma, ART adherence, and perceived HIV treatment norms (Baltimore, 2014-2017). We used modified Poisson regression to examine effect modification by perceived HIV treatment norms. The association between HIV-related stigma and ART adherence was modified by perceived HIV treatment norms. Among individuals who perceived that friends/family were sub-optimally adherent, HIV-related stigma was negatively associated with ART adherence (Adjusted Risk Ratio [ARR] = 0.36; 95%CI 0.15-0.87). Among those who perceived optimal adherence among friends/family, the relationship between HIV-related stigma and ART adherence was not statistically significant (ARR = 1.07; 95%CI 0.65-1.76). Interventions to improve ART adherence among those who are sub-optimally adherent could focus on increasing perceptions of ART adherence among their friends/family.

Determinants of Surgical Approach and Survival Among Women with Endometrial Carcinoma

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To investigate determinants of surgical approach among women with endometrial carcinoma (EC) and associations between surgical approach and overall survival (OS).

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

SETTING

The National Cancer Database, 2010 to 2015.

PATIENTS

A total of 140 470 patients with histologically confirmed EC who underwent hysterectomy.

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were grouped according to surgical approach.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

A total of 140 470 patients with EC were included. Robotic-assisted laparoscopy (RAL) was the most common surgical approach (48.8%), followed by laparotomy (33.6%) and traditional laparoscopy (17.6%). Use of RAL increased over the study period, and the percentages of cases managed by laparotomy decreased. Older women, those with insurance, residing in ZIP codes with lower proportions of individuals who did not graduate from high school, and those treated at noncommunity cancer programs were less likely to undergo laparotomy than RAL, and non-white women, those diagnosed with high-grade histology, and those with advanced-stage EC were more likely to undergo laparotomy than RAL. Compared with RAL, all other surgical approaches were associated with worse OS (laparotomy: hazard ratio 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 1.18-1.25; traditional laparoscopy: hazard ratio 1.06; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.09). Significant effect modification of the surgical approach and OS relationship according to age, race, histology, stage, and adjuvant treatment was observed.

CONCLUSION

RAL increased in frequency over the study period and was associated with improved OS, supporting the continued use of RAL for EC management.

Body mass index and cognitive decline among community-living older adults: the modifying effect of physical activity

Objective

To examine the associations between BMI categories and subsequent 3-year cognitive decline among older adults, and to test whether physical activity modifies the associations.

Methods

Study sample included n = 1028 cognitively unimpaired older adults participating in the Étude sur la Santé des Aînés (ESA)-Services longitudinal study and followed 3 years later. Cognitive decline was defined as a decrease of > 3 points in MMSE scores between baseline and follow-up. BMI categories (normal weight (reference), underweight, overweight, obese) were derived from self-reported weight and height. Moderate to vigorous physical activity of ≥20 min (# of times per week) was self-reported. The presence of chronic disorders was ascertained from administrative and self-reported data. Logistic regression analyses were used to study the risk of cognitive decline associated with BMI categories stratified by weekly physical activity (≥140 min), the presence of metabolic, cardiovascular and anxio-depressive disorders.

Results

In the overall sample, there was no evidence that underweight, overweight, or obesity, as compared to normal weight, was associated with cognitive decline, after adjusting for sociodemographic, lifestyle factors, and comorbidities. Individuals with overweight reporting high physical activity had lower odds of cognitive decline (OR = 0.25, 95% CI = 0.07–0.89), whereas no association was observed in individuals with overweight reporting low physical activity (OR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.41–1.75). Among participants with metabolic and cardiovascular disorders, individuals with overweight reporting high physical activity had lower odds of cognitive decline (OR = 0.09, 95% CI = 0.01–0.59 and OR = 0.03, 95% CI = 0.01–0.92 respectively), whereas no association was observed in those with low physical activity.

Conclusion

Physical activity modifies the association between overweight and cognitive decline in older adults overall, as in those with metabolic and cardiovascular disorders. Results highlight the importance of promoting and encouraging regular physical activity in older adults with overweight as prevention against cognitive decline.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s11556-022-00284-2.

Effects of prenatal exposures to air sulfur dioxide/nitrogen dioxide on toddler neurodevelopment and effect modification by ambient temperature

Emerging evidence suggests that prenatal exposure to ambient SO2 or NO2 induces fetal brain-damage. However, effects of prenatal exposure to SO2 or NO2 on toddler neurodevelopment and the effect-modification by ambient temperature remain unclear. Therefore, a prospective birth-cohort study was conducted from 2010 to 2012 in Shanghai, and 225 mother-child pairs were followed-up from mid-to-late pregnancy until 24-36 months postpartum. During the whole pregnancy, daily SO2/NO2 and temperature levels were obtained for each woman. Gesell-Development-Schedule was used to assess toddler neurodevelopment in the domains of gross-motor, fine-motor, adaptive-behavior, language and social-behavior. Distributed-lag-nonlinear-models simultaneously accounting for exposure-response and lag-response associations were applied to assess the impacts of prenatal SO2/NO2 exposure on neurodevelopment. Each 10-μg/m3 increase in weekly average SO2 concentrations had adverse associations with gross-motor in gestational-weeks 1-6, with adaptive-behavior in weeks 26-30, and with language in weeks 30-36 (developmental-quotient changes: - 1.17% to - 0.12%, P-values < 0.05). Each 10-μg/m3 increase in weekly average NO2 concentrations had adverse associations with gross-motor in gestational-weeks 33-36, with fine-motor in weeks 26-36 and with social-behavior in weeks 31-36 (developmental-quotient changes: - 0.91% to - 0.20%, P-values < 0.05). The cumulative effects for the whole pregnancy showed that each 10-μg/m3 increase in SO2 induced significant deficits in gross-motor and adaptive-behavior (developmental-quotient changes: - 4.71% and - 4.06%, respectively, P < 0.05). We found prenatal cumulative SO2 exposure induced more deficits in low temperature in language and adaptive-behavior than in high/moderate temperature. Thus, prenatal ambient SO2/NO2 exposure in specific time-windows (1st and 3rd trimesters for SO2; 3rd trimester for NO2) could impair toddler neurodevelopment and low temperature may aggravate the SO2-induced neurotoxicity.

Hormone replacement therapy in relation to the risk of colorectal cancer in women by BMI: a multicentre study with propensity score matching

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological evidence about hormone replacement therapy and colorectal carcinogenesis by demographic and clinical traits remains unclear. We aimed to assess this postulated association in a large multicentre study and further explore the modification effect by BMI and others.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected records of women diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC) at the age of 50 years and older during 2014-2017 and their HRT dispensing prior to CRC diagnosis in three tertiary hospitals in China. CRC cases were matched with controls at a ratio of 1:3 using nearest neighbour propensity scores matching to better control for the remaining imbalance between groups, which generated a total of 824 cases with 2472 controls.

RESULTS

Our study confirmed the inversed association between colorectal cancer risk and hormone replacement therapy (OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.54-0.75), which was more prominent among women having multiple HRT dispenses (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.52-0.76). Furthermore, significant associations were consistently observed for the short-term (OR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.57-0.88), middle-term (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.41-0.66), and long-term HRT users (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.43-0.90). Estrogen-related regimen reduced CRC risk more than progestogen-only. We, for the first time, found that the modifying effect of BMI on HRT use and CRC risk was in different ways when BMI was categorized by a medium level of 27.

CONCLUSION

Our findings mainly suggest that there might be a different mechanism for the reversed association between HRT and colorectal tumorigenesis by BMI level, providing thoughts on clinical treatment of CRC.

Association of neighborhood greenness with severity of hand, foot, and mouth disease

Background

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is an epidemic infectious disease in China. Relationship of neighborhood greenness with human health has been widely studied, yet its association with severe HFMD has not yet been established.

Methods

Individual HFMD cases that occurred in Guangdong province in 2010 were recruited and were categorised into mild and severe cases. Residential greenness was assessed using global land cover data. We used a case-control design (i.e., severe versus mild cases) with logistic regression models to assess the association between neighborhood greenness and HFMD severity. Effect modification was also examined.

Results

A total of 131,606 cases were included, of whom 130,840 were mild cases and 766 were severe cases. In an unadjusted model, HFMD severity increased with higher proportion of neighborhood greenness (odds ratio, OR = 1.029, 95%CI: 1.009–1.050). The greenness-HFMD severity association remained (OR = 1.031, 95%CI: 1.006–1.057) after adjusting for population density, demographic variables and climate variables. Both population density (Z = 4.148, P < 0.001) and relative humidity (Z = -4.297, P < 0.001) modified the association between neighborhood greenness and HFMD severity. In the stratified analyses, a protective effect (OR = 0.769, 95%CI: 0.687–0.860) of greenness on HFMD severity were found in the subgroup of population density being lower than and equal to 5 ln(no.)/km². While in both the subgroups of population density being higher than 5, the greenness had hazard effects (subgroup of > 5 & ≤7: OR = 1.071, 95%CI: 1.024–1.120; subgroup of > 7: OR = 1.065, 95%CI: 1.034–1.097) on HFMD severity. As to relative humidity, statistically significant association between greenness and HFMD severity was only observed in the subgroup of being lower than and equal to 76% (OR = 1.059, 95%CI: 1.023–1.096).

Conclusions

Our study found that HFMD severity is associated with the neighborhood greenness in Guangdong, China. This study provides evidence on developing a prevention strategy of discouraging the high-risk groups from going to the crowded green spaces during the epidemic period.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-021-12444-7.

Loneliness and multiple health domains: associations among emerging adults

Emerging adults (18–25 years), particularly racially/ethnically diverse and sexual and gender minority populations, may experience loneliness following major life transitions. How loneliness relates to health and health disparities during this developmental period is not well understood. We examine associations of loneliness with physical (self-rated health), behavioral (alcohol/marijuana consequences; nicotine dependence), and health behavior outcomes (weekday and weekend sleep; trouble sleeping), and investigate moderating effects by sex, race/ethnicity, and sexual/gender minority (SGM) status. Adjusted models using cross-sectional data from 2,534 emerging adults, predominantly in California, examined associations between loneliness and each outcome and tested interactions of loneliness with sex, race/ethnicity, and SGM status. Higher loneliness was significantly associated with worse self-rated health, higher marijuana consequences, less weekday sleep, and greater odds of feeling bothered by trouble sleeping. None of the interactions were significant. Findings suggest that interventions to reduce loneliness may help promote healthy development among emerging adults across subgroups.

Sex Difference and Interaction of SIRT1 and FOXO3 Candidate Longevity Genes on Life Expectancy: A 10-year Prospective Longitudinal Cohort Study

SIRT1 and FOXO3 are both associated with longevity. Molecular biology research in many organisms (yeast, nematode worm Caenorhabditis elegans, and mice mammalian models) shows SIRT1 acts on the FOXO family of forkhead transcription factors to respond to oxidative stress better, shifting processes away from cell death towards stress resistance. Human population studies need epidemiologic evidence. We used an open cohort of 3,166 community-dwelling participants in China with follow-up from 2008 to 2018. The mean age at baseline was 84.6 years. In 16,375 person-years of follow-up, there were 1,968 mortality events. SIRT1 and FOXO3 exhibited mendelian randomization as there was no correlation with each other and with baseline study population characteristics. Some SIRT1 and FOXO3 SNPs showed protective effects for mortality risk. The FOXO3 protective effect was stronger in females, and the SIRT1 protective effect was stronger in male study participants. We did not see evidence of a synergistic effect of being carriers of both SIRT1 and FOXO3.

COVID-19 pandemic modifies temperature and heat-related illness ambulance transport association in Japan: a nationwide observational study

BACKGROUND

During the COVID-19 pandemic, several illnesses were reduced. In Japan, heat-related illnesses were reduced by 22% compared to pre-pandemic period. However, it is uncertain as to what has led to this reduction. Here, we model the association of maximum temperature and heat-related illnesses in the 47 Japanese prefectures. We specifically examined how the exposure and lag associations varied before and during the pandemic.

METHODS

We obtained the summer-specific, daily heat-related illness ambulance transport (HIAT), exposure variable (maximum temperature) and covariate data from relevant data sources. We utilized a stratified (pre-pandemic and pandemic), two-stage approach. In each stratified group, we estimated the 1) prefecture-level association using a quasi-Poisson regression coupled with a distributed lag non-linear model, which was 2) pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis. The difference between pooled pre-pandemic and pandemic associations was examined across the exposure and the lag dimensions.

RESULTS

A total of 321,655 HIAT cases was recorded in Japan from 2016 to 2020. We found an overall reduction of heat-related risks for HIAT during the pandemic, with a wide range of reduction (10.85 to 57.47%) in the HIAT risk, across exposure levels ranging from 21.69 °C to 36.31 °C. On the contrary, we found an increment in the delayed heat-related risks during the pandemic at Lag 2 (16.33%; 95% CI: 1.00, 33.98%).

CONCLUSION

This study provides evidence of the impact of COVID-19, particularly on the possible roles of physical interventions and behavioral changes, in modifying the temperature-health association. These findings would have implications on subsequent policies or heat-related warning strategies in light of ongoing or future pandemics.

Air pollution and cardiovascular disease hospitalization - Are associations modified by greenness, temperature and humidity?

BACKGROUND

Studies have observed associations between long-term air pollution and cardiovascular disease hospitalization. Little is known, however, about effect modification of these associations by greenness, temperature and humidity.

METHODS

We constructed an open cohort consisting of all fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries, aged ≥ 65, living in the contiguous US from 2000 through 2016 (~63 million individuals). We assigned annual average PM2.5, NO2 and ozone zip code concentrations. Cox-equivalent Poisson models were used to estimate associations with first cardiovascular disease (CVD), coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular disease (CBV) hospitalization.

RESULTS

PM2.5 and NO2 were both positively associated with CVD, CHD and CBV hospitalization, after adjustment for potential confounders. Associations were substantially stronger at the lower end of the exposure distributions. For CVD hospitalization, the hazard ratio (HR) of PM2.5 was 1.041 (1.038, 1.045) per IQR increase (4.0 µg/m3) in the full study population and 1.327 (1.305, 1.350) per IQR increase for a subgroup with annual exposures always below 10 µg/m3 PM2.5. Ozone was only positively associated with CVD, CHD and CBV hospitalization for the low-exposure subgroup (<40 ppb). Associations of PM2.5 were stronger in areas with higher greenness, lower ozone and Ox, lower summer and winter temperature and lower summer and winter specific humidity.

CONCLUSION

PM2.5 and NO2 were positively associated with CVD, CHD and CBV hospitalization. Associations were more pronounced at low exposure levels. Associations of PM2.5 were stronger with higher greenness, lower ozone and Ox, lower temperature and lower specific humidity.