Clinical characteristics with inflammation profiling of long COVID and association with 1-year recovery following hospitalisation in the UK: a prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

No effective pharmacological or non-pharmacological interventions exist for patients with long COVID. We aimed to describe recovery 1 year after hospital discharge for COVID-19, identify factors associated with patient-perceived recovery, and identify potential therapeutic targets by describing the underlying inflammatory profiles of the previously described recovery clusters at 5 months after hospital discharge.

METHODS

The Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID) is a prospective, longitudinal cohort study recruiting adults (aged ≥18 years) discharged from hospital with COVID-19 across the UK. Recovery was assessed using patient-reported outcome measures, physical performance, and organ function at 5 months and 1 year after hospital discharge, and stratified by both patient-perceived recovery and recovery cluster. Hierarchical logistic regression modelling was performed for patient-perceived recovery at 1 year. Cluster analysis was done using the clustering large applications k-medoids approach using clinical outcomes at 5 months. Inflammatory protein profiling was analysed from plasma at the 5-month visit. This study is registered on the ISRCTN Registry, ISRCTN10980107, and recruitment is ongoing.

FINDINGS

2320 participants discharged from hospital between March 7, 2020, and April 18, 2021, were assessed at 5 months after discharge and 807 (32·7%) participants completed both the 5-month and 1-year visits. 279 (35·6%) of these 807 patients were women and 505 (64·4%) were men, with a mean age of 58·7 (SD 12·5) years, and 224 (27·8%) had received invasive mechanical ventilation (WHO class 7-9). The proportion of patients reporting full recovery was unchanged between 5 months (501 [25·5%] of 1965) and 1 year (232 [28·9%] of 804). Factors associated with being less likely to report full recovery at 1 year were female sex (odds ratio 0·68 [95% CI 0·46-0·99]), obesity (0·50 [0·34-0·74]) and invasive mechanical ventilation (0·42 [0·23-0·76]). Cluster analysis (n=1636) corroborated the previously reported four clusters: very severe, severe, moderate with cognitive impairment, and mild, relating to the severity of physical health, mental health, and cognitive impairment at 5 months. We found increased inflammatory mediators of tissue damage and repair in both the very severe and the moderate with cognitive impairment clusters compared with the mild cluster, including IL-6 concentration, which was increased in both comparisons (n=626 participants). We found a substantial deficit in median EQ-5D-5L utility index from before COVID-19 (retrospective assessment; 0·88 [IQR 0·74-1·00]), at 5 months (0·74 [0·64-0·88]) to 1 year (0·75 [0·62-0·88]), with minimal improvements across all outcome measures at 1 year after discharge in the whole cohort and within each of the four clusters.

INTERPRETATION

The sequelae of a hospital admission with COVID-19 were substantial 1 year after discharge across a range of health domains, with the minority in our cohort feeling fully recovered. Patient-perceived health-related quality of life was reduced at 1 year compared with before hospital admission. Systematic inflammation and obesity are potential treatable traits that warrant further investigation in clinical trials.

FUNDING

UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research.

An assessment of introducers used for airway management

Different introducers are available to assist with tracheal intubation. Subtle differences in the design of introducers can have a marked effect on safety and performance. The Difficult Airway Society's Airway Device Evaluation Project Team proposal states that devices should only be purchased for which there is at least a case-control study on patients assessing airway devices. However, resources are not currently available to carry out a case-control study on all introducers available on the market. This study comprised a laboratory and manikin-based investigation to identify introducers that could be suitable for clinical investigation. We included six different introducers in laboratory-based assessments (design characteristics) and manikin-based assessments involving the participation of 30 anaesthetists. Each anaesthetist attempted placement in the manikin's trachea with each of the six introducers in a random order. Outcomes included first-time insertion success rate; insertion success rate; number of attempts; time to placement; and distance placed. Each anaesthetist also completed a questionnaire. First-time insertion success rate depended significantly on the introducer used (p = 0.0016) and varied from 47% (Armstrong and P3) to 77% (Intersurgical and Frova). Median time to placement (including oesophageal placement) varied from 10 s (Eschmann and Frova) to 20 s (P3) (p = 0.0025). Median time to successful placement in the trachea varied from 9 s (Frova) to 22 s (Armstrong) (p = 0.037). We found that the Armstrong and P3 devices were not as acceptable as other introducers and, without significant improvements to their design and characteristics, the use of these devices in studies on patients is questionable. The study protocol is suitable for differentiating between different introducers and could be used as a basis for assessing other types of devices.

A demonstration of using formal consensus methods within guideline development; a case study

BACKGROUND

Recommendations within guidelines are developed by synthesising the best available evidence; when limited evidence is identified recommendations are generally based on informal consensus. However, there are potential biases in group decision making, and formal consensus methods may help reduce these.

METHODS

We conducted a case study using formal consensus, to develop one set of recommendations within the Neonatal Parenteral Nutrition guideline being produced for the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Statements were generated through identification of published guidelines on several topics relating to neonatal parenteral nutrition. Ten high quality guidelines were included, and 28 statements were generated; these statements were rated by the committee via two rounds of voting. The statements which resulted in agreement were then used to develop the recommendations.

RESULTS

The approach was systematic and provided transparency. Additionally, a number of lessons were learnt; including the value of selecting the appropriate topic, giving adequate time to the process, and ensuring methodologies are understood by the committee for their value and relevance.

CONCLUSION

Formal consensus is a valuable option for use within guideline development when specific criteria are met. The approach provides transparent methodology, ensuring clarity on how recommendations are developed.

0246 Improve Sleep in College Students Through Lifestyle Change Assignment

Introduction

Emerging adults experience a ‘new found freedom’ in college. Many are making decisions about their sleep-wake cycles leading to ineffective patterns. Poor sleep in college students is influenced by non-modifiable (class time, course assignments) and behavior based (sleep schedule, screen time, exercise and diet) factors. Change is difficult! However, GPA is a great student motivator. This project developed and tested the acceptability of a guided lifestyle change assignment for sleep.

Methods

Undergraduate students at a Southern USA R-1 University who were enrolled in a signature course (Sleep: Are We Getting Enough?) were eligible. Context: Twice weekly lectures presented scientific findings related to sleep science and applied findings to human experiences. Intervention: students completed a guided lifestyle change assignment for sleep. Students indentified a specific sleep related behavior to change (change goal) over a 1 month period (November), submitted an initial lifestyle change plan, three progress reports, and a final reflection.

Results

800 students participated over 6 years (Fall semesters 2014–2019). Students were primarily female (56%) and nine majors were represented. Goals were grouped into 4 lifestyle foci (Exercise, Screen time, Sleep Schedule, Diet). Progress reports identified barriers and facilitators and plans to address these. Final reflections evaluated overall performance and major takeaways. Qualitative perceptions and quantitative outcomes will be presented in detail. Additionally, discussions of unanticipated outcomes and guidance for incorporating this assignment into existing courses will be presented.

Conclusion

College students can make positive changes to improve their sleep. Guidance to identify and address facilitators and barriers to change is important to create and sustain change. Motivations to change are different for emerging adults vs. older populations. It may be that the most effective way to improve sleep quality in college students is to ‘attach a grade’ to the activity.

Support

 

Primary surgical management of anterior pelvic organ prolapse: a systematic review, network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND

Anterior compartment prolapse is the most common pelvic organ prolapse (POP) with a range of surgical treatment options available.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of surgical treatments for the repair of anterior POP.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of randomised controlled trials comparing surgical treatments for women with POP. Network meta-analysis was possible for anterior POP, same-site recurrence outcome. A Markov model was used to compare the cost-utility of surgical treatments for the primary repair of anterior POP from a UK National Health Service perspective.

MAIN RESULTS

We identified 27 eligible trials for the network meta-analysis involving eight surgical treatments tested on 3194 women. Synthetic mesh was the most effective in preventing recurrence at the same site. There was no evidence to suggest a difference between synthetic non-absorbable mesh, synthetic partially absorbable mesh, and biological mesh. The cost-utility analysis, which incorporated effectiveness, complications and cost data, found non-mesh repair to have the highest probability of being cost-effective. The conclusions were robust to model inputs including effectiveness, costs and utility values.

CONCLUSIONS

Anterior colporrhaphy augmented with mesh appeared to be cost-ineffective in women requiring primary repair of anterior POP. There is a need for further research on long-term effectiveness and the safety of mesh products to establish their relative cost-effectiveness with a greater certainty.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

New study finds mesh cost-ineffective in women with anterior pelvic organ prolapse.

P100 Removing the orbital bar in fronto-orbital advancement and reconstruction

Objectives

To describe our technique of using reverse frontal bone graft for FOAR for patients with metopic or coronal synostosis.

Design

Retrospective analysis of digital records for operation notes and radiological images.

Subjects

Since April 2014, 16 patients underwent FOAR without using orbital bar.

Methods

We plan a frontal bone graft using Marchac template and increase the angles on side by 1 cm. This graft is then reversed and supra orbital margins are drilled out. The orbital bar is then removed and drilled down to make bone dust which is then used to fill gaps on exposed dura. The reversed frontal graft is then placed in front and secured via absorbable sutures, plate and screws.

Results

All 16 patients who underwent this technique have shown excellent cosmetic results with no complications or non healing. Removing orbital bar does not cause any cosmetic defect since orbital rims are drilled out in reverse frontal bone graft. The removed orbital bar provides an excellent source of bone dust to cover gaps on exposed dura.

Conclusions

We present our technique of FOAR without using orbital bar, which is drilled down to bone dust to fill gaps. This has shown excellent cosmetic results so far with no complications. This addresses the issue of temporal thinning.

Abstract P4-04-06: Study of the mutational landscape of normal and pregnant breast to predict pregnancy-associated breast cancer risk

Background: Amongst the various risk factors for breast cancer (BC), the molecular basis which may explain the correlation between age at first full-term and breast cancer risks is still understudied. Epidemiology studies indicate that an early first full-term pregnancy (before 25 years of age) confers a significant level of protection towards the development of post-menopausal BC compared to the risk in nulliparous or late-parous women. On the other hand, any pregnancy relates to a higher risk in developing cancer during or within one year of pregnancy (pregnancy-associated breast cancer, PABC). Thus, the relation between age of pregnancy and breast cancer risk may be too difficult to explain using only epidemiology data.

Aims of the study: With our research study, we aim to study a cohort of 60 normal breast samples of nulliparous and age-matched early- and late-parous women collected from Komen Tissue Bank, University of Indiana, and to create for the first time a mathematical model of cell clone expansion in the normal breast growth. This will allow us to determine how the rates of both cancer drivers, passenger mutations and genetic variations are affected by pregnancy. We then aim to translate this in cancer tissues, and to determine how the rate of the same mutations in both pregnancy and non pregnancy-associated cancers (post-menopausal). At the same time, we intend to create a mouse model which will be used to further validate our model, where driver mutations will be induced in the mammary epithelium of pregnant mice of different ages. This will allow us to test our model of growth of a mutated clone in a pregnancy environment, and to determine what are the molecular changes in the pregnant mammary gland which can trigger a different BC risk in the early-parous cohort.

Results: To examine the mutational landscape in the normal parous and nulliparous women, we extracted DNA from laser-capture microdissected epithelium and the stroma, the latter of which will be used to eliminate germ line mutations. We are currently analysing the results from Whole Genome Sequencing at 30x 100pe on a MGISEQ2000 platform on a first set of samples (two nulliparous samples and two age-matched parous samples from both early and late pregnancy). Our procedure for processing and analysis of this data follows the Broad Institute's “GATK Best Practice Guidelines” for use of next generation sequencing (NGS) data. Based on the collected data, we plan to continue with targeted sequencing or whole genome sequencing on the remaining samples.

Conclusions: Our study will provide novel information on which areas of the genome are mostly mutated or altered in the normal breast, and will indicate how mutated cells, including mutations in driver genes for breast cancer, and genetic alterations change in the contest of pregnancy. With the mathematical model of clone growth/extinction, we intend to explain how different ages of pregnancy can significantly alter the clone composition in the normal breast and result in a different probability of developing breast cancer.

Citation Format: Cereser B, Tabassum N, Carter P, Del Bel Belluz L, Stebbing J. Study of the mutational landscape of normal and pregnant breast to predict pregnancy-associated breast cancer risk [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-04-06.

Revealing Color Forces with Transverse Polarized Electron Scattering

The Spin Asymmetries of the Nucleon Experiment measured two double spin asymmetries using a polarized proton target and polarized electron beam at two beam energies, 4.7 and 5.9 GeV. A large-acceptance open-configuration detector package identified scattered electrons at 40° and covered a wide range in Bjorken x (0.3<x<0.8). Proportional to an average color Lorentz force, the twist-3 matrix element, d[over ˜]_{2}^{p}, was extracted from the measured asymmetries at Q^{2} values ranging from 2.0 to 6.0  GeV^{2}. The data display the opposite sign compared to most quark models, including the lattice QCD result, and an unexpected scale dependence. Furthermore, when combined with the neutron data in the same Q^{2} range the results suggest a flavor independent average color Lorentz force.

Circulating tumour DNA is a potential biomarker for disease progression and response to targeted therapy in advanced thyroid cancer

BACKGROUND

Conventional biomarkers in thyroid cancer are not disease specific and fluctuate in advanced disease, making interpretation difficult. Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has been shown to be a useful biomarker in other solid tumours. This is a multimutational study of ctDNA over multiple timepoints, designed to test the hypothesis that ctDNA is a potential biomarker in patients with advanced thyroid cancer.

METHODS

Mutational analysis of archival tumour tissue was performed using NGS with a targeted gene panel. Custom TaqMan assays were designed for plasma ctDNA testing using digital droplet polymerase chain reaction. Concentrations of detected ctDNA were correlated with the conventional biomarker concentration and axial imaging status defined by the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours criteria.

RESULTS

Tumour tissue from 51 patients was obtained, with the following histologies: 32 differentiated (differentiated thyroid cancer [DTC]), 15 medullary (medullary thyroid cancer [MTC]), three poorly differentiated and one anaplastic. NGS analysis detected variants in 42 (82%) of cases. Plasma was assayed for these patients in 190 samples, and ctDNA was detected in 67% of patients. Earlier detection of disease progression was noted in three patients with MTC. In two cases (PTC and ATC), where conventional biomarkers were not detectable, ctDNA was detected before disease progression. Changes in ctDNA concentration occurred earlier than conventional markers in response to disease progression in multiple patients with DTC receiving targeted therapies.

CONCLUSION

The majority of patients with advanced thyroid cancer had detectable ctDNA. ctDNA measurement may offer superiority over conventional markers in several scenarios: earlier detection of progression in MTC; as an alternative biomarker when conventional markers are not available; more rapid assessment of the disease status in response to targeted therapies, thereby potentially allowing prompter discontinuation of futile therapies. These early results support the hypothesis that ctDNA may be a clinically useful biomarker in thyroid cancer.

A Type 1 Diabetes Genetic Risk Score Predicts Progression of Islet Autoimmunity and Development of Type 1 Diabetes in Individuals at Risk

OBJECTIVE

We tested the ability of a type 1 diabetes (T1D) genetic risk score (GRS) to predict progression of islet autoimmunity and T1D in at-risk individuals.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We studied the 1,244 TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study participants (T1D patients' relatives without diabetes and with one or more positive autoantibodies) who were genotyped with Illumina ImmunoChip (median [range] age at initial autoantibody determination 11.1 years [1.2-51.8], 48% male, 80.5% non-Hispanic white, median follow-up 5.4 years). Of 291 participants with a single positive autoantibody at screening, 157 converted to multiple autoantibody positivity and 55 developed diabetes. Of 953 participants with multiple positive autoantibodies at screening, 419 developed diabetes. We calculated the T1D GRS from 30 T1D-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms. We used multivariable Cox regression models, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, and area under the curve (AUC) measures to evaluate prognostic utility of T1D GRS, age, sex, Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 (DPT-1) Risk Score, positive autoantibody number or type, HLA DR3/DR4-DQ8 status, and race/ethnicity. We used recursive partitioning analyses to identify cut points in continuous variables.

RESULTS

Higher T1D GRS significantly increased the rate of progression to T1D adjusting for DPT-1 Risk Score, age, number of positive autoantibodies, sex, and ethnicity (hazard ratio [HR] 1.29 for a 0.05 increase, 95% CI 1.06-1.6; P = 0.011). Progression to T1D was best predicted by a combined model with GRS, number of positive autoantibodies, DPT-1 Risk Score, and age (7-year time-integrated AUC = 0.79, 5-year AUC = 0.73). Higher GRS was significantly associated with increased progression rate from single to multiple positive autoantibodies after adjusting for age, autoantibody type, ethnicity, and sex (HR 2.27 for GRS >0.295, 95% CI 1.47-3.51; P = 0.0002).

CONCLUSIONS

The T1D GRS independently predicts progression to T1D and improves prediction along T1D stages in autoantibody-positive relatives.

The impact of neighbourhood walkability on the effectiveness of a structured education programme to increase objectively measured walking

Background

Incorporating physical activity into daily activities is key for the effectiveness of lifestyle education interventions aimed at improving health outcomes; however, consideration of the environmental context in which individuals live is not always made. Walkability is a characteristic of the physical environment, and may be a potential facilitator to changing physical activity levels.

Methods

Using data collected during the Walking Away from Diabetes randomized controlled trial, we examined the association between the walkability of the home neighbourhood and physical activity of participants. We also determined whether home neighbourhood walkability of participants was associated with the intervention effect of the education programme.

Results

Data from 706 participants were available for analysis. Neighbourhood walkability was not significantly associated with any of the physical activity measures at baseline, or at 12, 24 or 36 months following the intervention (P > 0.05 for all). There was no association between walkability and change in purposeful steps/day from baseline to 36 months in the usual care or intervention arm; 25.77 (-99.04, 150.58) and 42.97 (-327.63, 413.45), respectively.

Conclusion

Neighbourhood walkability appeared to have no association with objectively measured physical activity in this population. Furthermore, the walkability of participant's neighbourhood did not influence the effectiveness of a lifestyle programme.

Grand rounds: ‘I'll knock elsewhere’ – the impact of past trauma in later life

“And when life has no more meaning in old age, the will to meaning is lost; when life no longer seems to be worth living, some people who have experienced disasters and are unable to cope, may throw their lives away.” (Wilson et al, 1988) There continues to be a great deal of interest among psychiatrists, psychologists and sociologists about post traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) related to war crimes and experiences. Twentieth century studies of Holocaust victims and Far East prisoners of war, Korean and Vietnam veterans and the recent experiences of people in Bosnia have honed the diagnosis and increased awareness of the gradations of these disorders. Almost every conceivable variable has been examined in attempts to explore the motivating and resulting behaviours. Initially most studies dealt with the immediate impact of the event, but more recently articles have focused on the longer-term effects on relatives and the next generations of the earlier events (Sigal, 1998). Time has allowed this. The passage of time has also established that post-traumatic stress symptoms can be reactivated as much as half a century after the original trauma (Krasucki et al, 1995). Reactivation of events from 40 or 50 years previously may occur via current stressors such as social isolation and upheaval. Equally perceived helplessness precipitated by the somatic process of ageing could reactivate previous feelings and a delayed onset or exacerbation of clinical PTSD may emerge during the process of ageing. Institutionalisation itself could re-awaken feelings associated with incarceration or victimisation (Aarts & Op den Velde, 1996; Sadavoy, 1997). Late-life PTSD is more often associated with sleep disturbance, nightmares, intrusive ideation and avoidance of reminders of the original events (Kuch & Cox, 1992).

The effects of supervised exercise training 12-24 months after bariatric surgery on physical function and body composition: a randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Bariatric surgery is effective for the treatment of stage II and III obesity and its related diseases, although increasing evidence is showing weight regain ~12-24 months postsurgery. Weight regain increases the risk of physical function decline, which negatively affects an individual's ability to undertake activities of daily living. The study assessed the effects of a 12-week supervised exercise intervention on physical function and body composition in patients between 12 and 24 months post bariatric surgery.

METHODS

Twenty-four inactive adult bariatric surgery patients whose body mass index remained ⩾30 kg m² 12 to 24 months post surgery were randomised to an exercise intervention (n=12) or control group (n=12). Supervised exercise consisted of three 60-min gym sessions per week of moderate intensity aerobic and resistance training for 12 weeks. Control participants received usual care. The incremental shuttle walk test (ISWT) was used to assess functional walking performance after the 12-week exercise intervention, and at 24 weeks follow-up. Measures of anthropometric, physical activity, cardiovascular and psychological outcomes were also examined. Using an intention-to-treat protocol, independent t-tests were used to compare outcome measures between groups.

RESULTS

Significant improvements in the exercise group were observed for the ISWT, body composition, physical function, cardiovascular and self-efficacy measures from baseline to 12 weeks. A large baseline to 12-week change was observed for the ISWT (exercise: 325.00±117.28 m; control: 355.00±80.62 m, P<0.001). The exercise group at 24 weeks recorded an overall mean improvement of 143.3±86.6 m and the control group recorded a reduction of -32.50±75.93 m. Findings show a 5.6 kg difference between groups in body mass change from baseline to 24 weeks favouring the exercise group.

CONCLUSIONS

A 12-week supervised exercise intervention led to significant improvements in body mass and functional walking ability post intervention, with further improvements at the 24-week follow-up.

Changes in physical activity behaviour and physical function after bariatric surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Although physical activity performed after bariatric surgery is associated with enhanced weight loss outcomes, there is limited information on patients' physical activity behaviour in this context. This systematic review and meta-analysis assessed pre-operative to post-operative changes in physical activity and physical function outcomes among obese adults undergoing bariatric surgery. A total of 50 studies met inclusion criteria with 26 papers reporting data for meta-analysis. Increases in both objectively recorded and self-reported physical activity at 12 months were demonstrated. Studies indicated that there was a shift towards a greater amount of active time, but of a lower intensity within the first 6 months of bariatric surgery, suggested by a reduction in moderate to vigorous physical activity but an increase in step count. A standardized mean difference (SMD) of 1.53 (95% CI: 1.02-2.04) based on nine studies indicated improved walking performance at 12 months. Similarly, analysis of five studies demonstrated increased musculoskeletal function at 3-6 months (SMD: 1.51; 95% CI: 0.60-2.42). No relationship was identified between changes in weight and walking performance post-surgery. More studies assessing physical activity, physical function and weight loss would help understand the role of physical activity in optimizing post-operative weight and functional outcomes.

Polarization Transfer in Wide-Angle Compton Scattering and Single-Pion Photoproduction from the Proton

Wide-angle exclusive Compton scattering and single-pion photoproduction from the proton have been investigated via measurement of the polarization transfer from a circularly polarized photon beam to the recoil proton. The wide-angle Compton scattering polarization transfer was analyzed at an incident photon energy of 3.7 GeV at a proton scattering angle of θ_{cm}^{p}=70°. The longitudinal transfer K_{LL}, measured to be 0.645±0.059±0.048, where the first error is statistical and the second is systematic, has the same sign as predicted for the reaction mechanism in which the photon interacts with a single quark carrying the spin of the proton. However, the observed value is ~3 times larger than predicted by the generalized-parton-distribution-based calculations, which indicates a significant unknown contribution to the scattering amplitude.

Unclassified bleeding disorders: outcome of haemostatic challenges following tranexamic acid and/or desmopressin

INTRODUCTION

In a minority of patients with a significant bleeding history no cause is found despite extensive testing and we diagnose such cases as unclassified bleeding disorders (UBD). UBDs may have diverse underlying causes and currently no standard management strategy exists in the event of a haemorrhage or to cover surgery.

AIM

To document the clinical characteristics and response to treatment of UBDs.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective chart review of all patients with UBDs who had an invasive procedure at our centre between 1998 and 2014.

RESULTS

The commonest symptoms were menorrhagia (89%) and bleeding at the time of surgery (88%) or dental extraction (85%). A total of 33 patients underwent 78 minor and major haemostatic challenges. Haemostatic cover was provided in 28 procedures with tranexamic acid alone, two with desmopressin and 45 with both agents in combination. A successful haemostatic outcome was observed in 70/78 (90%) cases. No patient required additional surgical intervention to achieve haemostasis, but one patient required a platelet transfusion to control postoperative bleeding.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to report on the investigation and treatment of UBD. Future studies are needed to further our understanding of the bleeding phenotype and identify any underlying causes.

A retrospective evaluation of the NHS Health Check Programme in a multi-ethnic population

BACKGROUND

The NHS Health Check Programme was introduced in 2009 to improve primary prevention of coronary heart disease, stroke, diabetes and chronic kidney disease; however, there has been debate regarding the impact. We present a retrospective evaluation of Leicester City Clinical Commissioning Group.

METHODS

Data are reported on diagnosis of type 2 diabetes, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, high risk of type 2 diabetes and high risk of cardiovascular disease. Data on management following the Health Check are also reported.

RESULTS

Over a 5-year period, 53 799 health checks were performed, 16 388 (30%) people were diagnosed with at least one condition when diagnosis of being at high risk of cardiovascular disease was defined as ≥20%. This figure increased to 43% when diagnosis of high cardiovascular risk ≥10% was included. Of the 3063 (5.7%) individuals diagnosed with type 2 diabetes, 54% were prescribed metformin and 26% were referred for structured education. Of the 5797 (10.8%) individuals diagnosed at high risk of cardiovascular disease (≥20%), 64% were prescribed statins.

CONCLUSIONS

A high proportion of new cases of people at risk of cardiovascular disease were identified by the NHS Health Check Programme. Data suggest that this has translated into appropriate preventative measures.

Exercise ASKARI SERPENT: enabling clinical data collection during exercises and operations to support future contingency planning and assurance of category-based reporting systems

INTRODUCTION

Exercise ASKARI SERPENT (Ex AS) is a British Army exercise that provides primary healthcare (PHC) to Kenyan civilians in support of local health authorities. It is conducted in partnership with the Kenya Defence Force Medical Services (KDFMS). Accurate epidemiological data is critical in planning the exercise and for any future short-notice contingency operations in similar environments. This paper reports epidemiological data for Ex AS using a novel data collection system.

METHODS

PHC on Ex AS was delivered by trained and validated combat medical technicians (CMTs) using a set of Read-coded protocols. The CMTs were also directly supported and supervised by medical officers and nurses.

RESULTS

A total of 3093 consultations were conducted over a 16-day period. Of these, 2707 (87.5%) consultations fell within the remit of the CMT protocols, with only 386 consultations (12.5%) being conducted exclusively by the medical officers or nurses.

DISCUSSION

A Read-coded matrix built on CMT protocols is a simple and useful tool, particularly in civilian populations, for collecting morbidity data with the vast majority of conditions accounted for in the protocols. It is anticipated that such a system can better inform training, manning, medical material and pharmaceutical procurement than current category-based morbidity surveillance systems such as EPINATO (NATO epidemiological data). There is clear advantage to directly linking data capture to treatment algorithms. Accuracy, both in terms of numbers and condition, is likely improved. Data is also captured contemporaneously rather than after indeterminate time. Read coding has the added benefit of being an established electronic standard. In addition, the system would support traditional reporting methods such as EPINATO by providing increased assurance.

Association between direct measurement of active serum calcium and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus: A prospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Previous prospective studies showing a positive association between serum calcium and incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have relied on total calcium or an indirect estimate of active, ionized calcium (iCa). We aimed to assess this relationship using a direct measurement of iCa.

METHODS AND RESULTS

iCa and cardiometabolic risk factors were measured in a population-based sample of 2350 men without a known history of T2DM at baseline. Associations between iCa levels and incident cases of T2DM (self-reported, ascertained with a glucose tolerance test, or determined by record linkage to national registers) were estimated using Cox regression analyses adjusted for potential confounders. At baseline, mean (standard deviation) age was 53 (5) years and mean iCa 1.18 (0.05) mmol/L. During a median follow-up of 23.1 years, 140 new cases of T2DM were recorded. In a multivariable analysis adjusted for age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, serum HDL-cholesterol, and family history of T2DM, there was no association comparing second (hazard ratio 0.84; 95% confidence interval 0.59-1.18), third (0.77; 0.52-1.14), or fourth (0.98; 0.69-1.39) vs first quartile of iCa (p for trend 0.538); further adjustment for C-reactive protein, physical activity level, and triglycerides did not change the estimates (p for trend 0.389).

CONCLUSION

In this study, we did not find evidence of an association between direct measurement of active calcium and risk of T2DM. Further studies are needed to confirm our findings and define the relationship between factors influencing indirect calcium estimation and incident T2DM.

Patient perceptions of a comprehensive cancer navigation service

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to determine the extent to which comprehensive navigation augments the provincial health system for meeting the needs of newly-diagnosed cancer patients (clients). We also assessed reactions of attending physicians to comprehensive navigation.

METHODS

Clients who completed navigation as an employee benefit or through membership in an insurance organization were polled to determine whether they needed help beyond that provided by the provincial health system and the extent to which that help was provided by navigation. Exit interviews were analyzed for perceptions of the clients about reactions by their attending physicians to navigation.

RESULTS

Of eligible clients, 72% responded. They reported needing help beyond that which the provincial system could provide in 64%-98% of specified areas. Navigation provided help in more than 90% of those cases. Almost all respondents (98%) appreciated having a designated oncology nurse navigator. Family doctors were perceived to be positive or neutral about navigation in 100% of exit interviews. Oncologists were positive or neutral in 92% (p < 0.001 for difference from family doctors).

CONCLUSIONS

In many areas, cancer patients need additional help beyond that which the provincial health system can provide. Comprehensive cancer navigation provides that help to a considerable extent. Clients perceived the reactions of attending physicians to comprehensive navigation to be generally supportive or neutral.

The effect of antiobesity drugs on waist circumference: a mixed treatment comparison

AIM

To use meta-analytic techniques to quantitatively evaluate the efficacy of orlistat and lorcaserin in the treatment of people who are overweight and obese.

METHODS

We identified publications from searches of electronic databases and extracted data from studies that compared orlistat or lorcaserin to lifestyle advice (standard care), placebo, sibutramine, rimonabant or metformin and collected information on waist circumference change or withdrawals due to adverse events (AEs). A mixed treatment comparison (MTC) meta-analysis was performed on the data extracted.

RESULTS

Orlistat was found to be significantly better than placebo and standard care in reducing waist circumference at 6 and 12 months; orlistat reduced waist circumference by -6.96 cm [95% credible interval (CrI): -8.93, -4.96 cm] compared to standard care at 6 months. The results suggested that lorcaserin reduced waist circumference by a greater amount than all other interventions at 12 months, for example, lorcaserin lead to a greater reduction of -2.45 cm (95% CrI: -4.99, 0.08 cm) in comparison to placebo, although these differences were not statistically significant. Although data were very limited, metformin reduced waist circumference by a greater amount (-2.11 cm, 95% CI: -1.00, -3.22 cm) than orlistat at 6 months. On average, 6.5% of patients on orlistat and 5.4% of those on lorcaserin discontinued their treatment due to AEs at 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Orlistat should be considered as an addition to lifestyle interventions in the treatment of obesity. Lorcaserin has recently been approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and these results suggest that it is similar in both efficacy and safety compared to orlistat.

Fruit and vegetable intake and the association with glucose parameters: a cross-sectional analysis of the Let's Prevent Diabetes Study

BACKGROUND

Dietary recommendations for the prevention of type 2 diabetes mellitus include the message to consume 400 g fruit and vegetables per day. Measurement of habitual diet is inherently difficult, yet errors due to self-report can be eliminated by the use of nutritional biomarkers. The aim of this study was to determine plasma vitamin C concentrations as a biomarker for fruit and vegetable intake in individuals identified at high risk of diabetes. Fruit and vegetables may confer benefit via their antioxidant capacity, thus we also measured urinary F₂-isoprostanes as a marker for oxidative stress.

SUBJECTS/METHODS

Participants recruited from a high-risk population as part of a diabetes prevention trial provided fasting blood samples and a spot urine sample for the quantification of plasma vitamin C and F₂-isoprostanes, respectively. We compared glycaemic parameters by the increments of the standard deviation of plasma vitamin C using multiple regression models.

RESULTS

Mean plasma vitamin C of participants was 39.3 μmol/l (s.d. 21.8). In the unadjusted model, 1 s.d. plasma vitamin C was significantly and inversely associated with HbA1c, fasting and 2 h blood glucose (P ≤ 0.0001). Relationships remained significant after adjustment for demographic variables and confounding factors. No significant association was observed between plasma vitamin C and urinary F₂-isoprostanes.

CONCLUSION

The data adds to the evidence that small lifestyle changes may influence glucose regulation. The role that fruit and vegetables independently have should be investigated further.

Serum placental-type alkaline-phosphatase levels in patients with epithelial ovarian-carcinoma

Serum placental alkaline phosphatase (PLAP)-type immunoreactivity was measured in 190 women with epithelial ovarian malignancy, 27 women with borderline ovarian cancer and 334 control subjects with non-neoplastic or benign gynaecological disease. Smoking, ABO blood group and menopausal status affect serum concentrations of PLAP and results were corrected for these. Circulating levels were elevated in patients with cancer and increased with stage. Levels were unaltered in borderline ovarian disease. Two-year stage corrected survival analysis demonstrated a significant worsening of prognosis in patients with serum PLAP-type levels greater than the 100th centile for controls.

Phase-I human clinical-trial of onconase(r) (p-30 protein) administered intravenously on a weekly schedule in cancer-patients with solid tumors

ONCONASE(R) (ONC), previously known as P-30 Protein, is a novel amphibian protein isolated from Rana pipiens eggs/early embryos (1) which demonstrates cytostatic and cytotoxic activity against several human tumor cell lines in vitro, as well as anti-tumor activity in vivo. Animal toxicology studies in rats and dogs revealed dose-dependent weight loss, some skeletal muscle and myocardial degenerative changes, a decrease in albumin and bilirubin levels in rats, and a dose-related elevation of serum transaminases and alkaline phosphatase in both species. A human weekly schedule Phase I study of intravenous bolus ONC was initiated, with dose levels ranging from 60 mug/m2 (anticipated human dose) to 960 mug/m2. Five patients were treated per dose level, without dose escalations within the same patients. Dose levels were doubled in new groups of patients with a variety of relapsing and resistant tumors. A correlation was noted between the dose level and the number of doses (cumulative effect), and the toxicities observed. The dose limiting toxicity was renal as manifested by proteinuria with edema, +/- azotemia and fatigue. Other side effects included flushing, myalgias, transient dizziness, and decreased appetite. Two patients, one at 480 mug/m2 and another at 960 mug/m2 levels, developed reversible hypotensive reactions preceded by flushing. The maximum tolerated dose (MTD) appears to be 960 mug/m2. Incidental findings included some objective responses in non-small cell lung, esophageal, and colorectal carcinomas. It has been concluded that ONCONASE was well tolerated by the majority of patients, demonstrated a consistent and reversible clinical toxicity patterns, did not induce most of the toxicities (such as, e.g., myelosuppression and alopecia) associated with most of the chemotherapeutic agents and, in view of its demonstrated objective clinical activity observed in patients harboring resistant solid tumors, the Phase II clinical trials have been initiated and are currently ongoing.

Cost and affordability of healthy food in rural South Australia

INTRODUCTION

As in many other countries, Australian consumers have recently had to accommodate increases in costs of basic food, and during the financial year 2007-2008 overall food prices rose by nearly 4%. Food costs are mediating factors in food choice, especially for low-income groups, where food security is often tenuous. There are reports that rural populations may have higher levels of food insecurity, although the evidence is often contradictory.

METHODS

To assess cost and affordability of food in rural areas this study used the Healthy Food Basket (HFB) methodology, which has been applied in a number of settings. The HFBs were costed at supermarkets and stores in different locations with different degrees of rurality.

RESULTS

Compared with metropolitan areas, healthy food is more expensive in rural areas; costs are even higher in more remote areas. The overall affordability of HFB in rural areas was not significantly different from metro areas. The main difference concerned low socio-economic status (SES) groups, where the proportion of household income spent on the HFB was three times that of higher SES groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The unaffordability of healthy food, or 'food stress' in low SES groups is a concern, especially when this group carries the greatest burden of diet-related disease. Findings suggest that there is a need to consider both rurality and SES when developing policy responses to decrease the cost and increase the affordability of healthy foods in rural and remote areas.

Measurement of the neutron radius of 208Pb through parity violation in electron scattering

We report the first measurement of the parity-violating asymmetry A(PV) in the elastic scattering of polarized electrons from 208Pb. A(PV) is sensitive to the radius of the neutron distribution (R(n)). The result A(PV)=0.656±0.060(stat)±0.014(syst) ppm corresponds to a difference between the radii of the neutron and proton distributions R(n)-R(p)=0.33(-0.18)(+0.16) fm and provides the first electroweak observation of the neutron skin which is expected in a heavy, neutron-rich nucleus.

Search for effects beyond the born approximation in polarization transfer observables in e(over→)p elastic scattering

Intensive theoretical and experimental efforts over the past decade have aimed at explaining the discrepancy between data for the proton electric to magnetic form factor ratio, G(E)/G(M), obtained separately from cross section and polarization transfer measurements. One possible explanation for this difference is a two-photon-exchange contribution. In an effort to search for effects beyond the one-photon-exchange or Born approximation, we report measurements of polarization transfer observables in the elastic H(e[over →],e(')p[over →]) reaction for three different beam energies at a Q(2)=2.5  GeV(2), spanning a wide range of the kinematic parameter ε. The ratio R, which equals μ(p)G(E)/G(M) in the Born approximation, is found to be independent of ε at the 1.5% level. The ε dependence of the longitudinal polarization transfer component P(ℓ) shows an enhancement of (2.3±0.6)% relative to the Born approximation at large ε.

Recoil polarization measurements of the proton electromagnetic form factor ratio to Q2 = 8.5 GeV2

Among the most fundamental observables of nucleon structure, electromagnetic form factors are a crucial benchmark for modern calculations describing the strong interaction dynamics of the nucleon's quark constituents; indeed, recent proton data have attracted intense theoretical interest. In this Letter, we report new measurements of the proton electromagnetic form factor ratio using the recoil polarization method, at momentum transfers Q2=5.2, 6.7, and 8.5  GeV2. By extending the range of Q2 for which G(E)(p) is accurately determined by more than 50%, these measurements will provide significant constraints on models of nucleon structure in the nonperturbative regime.

Effect of information leaflets and counselling on antidepressant adherence: open randomised controlled trial in a psychiatric hospital in Kuwait

Objective

To assess the acceptability and effectiveness of two educational initiatives on patterns of antidepressant medication use in depressed Kuwaiti patients.

Setting

Patients were interviewed on three occasions at the Psychological Medicine Hospital, Kuwait.

Method

Two-hundred and seventy-eight patients attending a hospital outpatient clinic in Kuwait and receiving a single antidepressant for mild or moderate depression were randomised into a control and two treatment groups. Medication was dispensed from the pharmacy as normal. However, members of the treatment groups additionally received a patient information leaflet (PIL) written in Arabic with or without counselling from a clinical pharmacist. Medication adherence was monitored 2 months and 5 months later by self-report and tablet counting. Patient knowledge of medication and the acceptability of the educational interventions were assessed after 2 months using questionnaires.

Key findings

Patients in each of the treatment groups had an improved knowledge of the rationale behind their therapy. Clinic attendance was more likely when patients had received a PIL (odds ratio (OR) 2.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3-3.2) or a PIL plus counselling (OR 3.2, CI 2.1–4.9). Good medication adherence at 2 and 5 months was more common in patients who were given a PIL (OR 3.0, CI 1.7-5.3) or a PIL plus counselling (OR 5.5, CI 3.2–9.6). Certain pre-existing patient attitudes to therapy and the occurrence of side-effects were not determinants of adherence.

Conclusions

Patient responses to each of these educational interventions were very positive. After 5 months, patients receiving a PIL were more likely to be adhering to their medication regimen, particularly when they had also received counselling from a clinical pharmacist.

Genotyping of Campylobacter coli isolated from humans and retail meats using multilocus sequence typing and pulsed-field gel electrophoresis

AIMS

To determine the antimicrobial resistant profiles and clonality of Campylobacter coli isolated from clinically ill humans and retail meats.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 98 C. coli isolates (20 from humans and 78 from retail meats) were phenotypically characterized. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was done using agar dilution method for ciprofloxacin, gentamicin, erythromycin and doxycycline. Seventy C. coli isolates including humans (n = 20) and retail meats (n = 50) were genotyped by multilocus sequence typing (MLST) and pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). Resistance to ciprofloxacin was found in 29% and 15% of isolates from retail meats and humans. We observed 61 PFGE profiles using two enzymes (SmaI, KpnI) with an Index of discrimination of 0.99, whereas MLST generated 37 sequence types. Two clonal complexes were identified with 58 (82%) C. coli isolates clustered in the ST-828 complex.

CONCLUSIONS

Resistance to ciprofloxacin and erythromycin was identified in C. coli obtained from retail meats and ill humans. PFGE typing of C. coli isolates was more discriminatory than MLST. Grouping of C. coli isolates (82%) by MLST in ST-828 clonal complex indicates a common ancestry.

SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY

A high frequency of resistance found to ciprofloxacin and erythromycin is concerning from food safety perspective. PFGE using single or double restriction enzymes was found to be more discriminatory than MLST for genotyping C. coli. Overall, the C. coli populations recovered from humans and retail meats were genotypically diverse.