Reciprocal organ interactions during heart failure: a position paper from the ESC Working Group on Myocardial Function

Heart failure-either with reduced or preserved ejection fraction (HFrEF/HFpEF)-is a clinical syndrome of multifactorial and gender-dependent aetiology, indicating the insufficiency of the heart to pump blood adequately to maintain blood flow to meet the body's needs. Typical symptoms commonly include shortness of breath, excessive fatigue with impaired exercise capacity, and peripheral oedema, thereby alluding to the fact that heart failure is a syndrome that affects multiple organ systems. Patients suffering from progressed heart failure have a very limited life expectancy, lower than that of numerous cancer types. In this position paper, we provide an overview regarding interactions between the heart and other organ systems, the clinical evidence, underlying mechanisms, potential available or yet-to-establish animal models to study such interactions and finally discuss potential new drug interventions to be developed in the future. Our working group suggests that more experimental research is required to understand the individual molecular mechanisms underlying heart failure and reinforces the urgency for tailored therapeutic interventions that target not only the heart but also other related affected organ systems to effectively treat heart failure as a clinical syndrome that affects and involves multiple organs.

Association of heart failure and its comorbidities with loss of life expectancy

OBJECTIVE

Estimating survival can aid care planning, but the use of absolute survival projections can be challenging for patients and clinicians to contextualise. We aimed to define how heart failure and its major comorbidities contribute to loss of actuarially predicted life expectancy.

METHODS

We conducted an observational cohort study of 1794 adults with stable chronic heart failure and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, recruited from cardiology outpatient departments of four UK hospitals. Data from an 11-year maximum (5-year median) follow-up period (999 deaths) were used to define how heart failure and its major comorbidities impact on survival, relative to an age-sex matched control UK population, using a relative survival framework.

RESULTS

After 10 years, mortality in the reference control population was 29%. In people with heart failure, this increased by an additional 37% (95% CI 34% to 40%), equating to an additional 2.2 years of lost life or a 2.4-fold (2.2-2.5) excess loss of life. This excess was greater in men than women (2.4 years (2.2-2.7) vs 1.6 years (1.2-2.0); p<0.001). In patients without major comorbidity, men still experienced excess loss of life, while women experienced less and were non-significantly different from the reference population (1 year (0.6-1.5) vs 0.4 years (-0.3 to 1); p<0.001). Accrual of comorbidity was associated with substantial increases in excess lost life, particularly for diabetes, chronic kidney and lung disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidity accounts for the majority of lost life expectancy in people with heart failure. Women, but not men, without comorbidity experience survival close to reference controls.

Relationship between extreme obesity and mortality in patients with reduced ejection fraction

AIMS

Although obesity is associated with increased mortality, epidemiologic studies in heart failure have reported lower mortality in obese patients compared with matched nonobese patients (the 'obesity paradox'). However, the relationship between survival and extreme (morbid) obesity (BMI ≥ 40) is poorly understood. We evaluate survival in low ejection fraction patients across a range of BMI categories, including extreme obesity.

METHODS

In a retrospective review, 12 181 consecutive patients receiving nuclear stress testing at a tertiary care center were stratified based on BMI and ejection fraction. Eight-year mortality data were collected using the social security death index.

RESULTS

Normal ejection fraction patients (internal control, ejection fraction ≥50%) exhibited the J-shaped association between mortality and BMI that is observed in the general population. Among patients with reduced ejection fraction (<50%), survival improved as obesity increased (P < 0.0001). Those with extreme obesity had the lowest mortality (n = 1134, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of reduced Ejection fraction patients, the obesity paradox was observed in all weight categories, with the highest survival of all observed in the extremely obese BMI category. This further supports hypotheses that an obesity-related physiologic phenomenon affects mortality in reduced ejection fraction patients.

Association of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors with long-term outcomes in patients with systolic heart failure and moderate-to-severe kidney function impairment

PURPOSE

Although guidelines recommend that patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) should be treated with renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors, the long-term efficacy of RAS inhibitors in HFrEF patients with moderate-to-severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear.

METHODS

The present study included consecutive patients hospitalized for acute heart failure across five Japanese teaching hospitals. The impact of RAS inhibitors on 2-year all-cause mortality was evaluated in patients with an ejection fraction ≤40% and CKD, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <45 mL/min/1.73 m², at discharge. Its severity was subclassified from 3B to 5 according to eGFR.

RESULTS

Overall, 553 patients (age, 76 ± 11 years; 68% male) were included. RAS inhibitors were prescribed more frequently in 227 patients with stage 3B (71.2%) than in 107 patients with stage 4 or 5 CKD (45.7%). All-cause mortality was recorded in 119 patients (23.4%) (55 [18.5%] patients with stage 3B; 64 [30.3%] patients with stage 4 or 5 CKD), within the median follow-up period of 609 (220-983) days. After many-to-one propensity score matching (87 pairs in stage 3; 60 pairs in stage 4 or 5 CKD), those with RAS inhibitors had reduced mortality rate in stage 3B (hazard ratio [HR], 0.39; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.19-0.83) but not in stage 4 or 5 CKD (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.57-2.03).

CONCLUSIONS

In HFrEF patients with CKD, RAS inhibitors are associated with reduction in mortality in stage 3B CKD, but the association is less clear in stage 4 or 5 CKD.

The Metabolic Syndrome, Cardiovascular Fitness and Survival in Patients With Advanced Systolic Heart Failure

The metabolic syndrome (MetS), which incorporates insulin resistance, visceral adiposity, and dyslipidemia, is an independent risk factor for incident heart failure (HF), but the impact on survival is uncertain. We sought to determine the relation between the metabolic syndrome and survival in ambulatory systolic HF patients and the impact of MetS on cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET). We identified adults with ejection fraction ≤40% who underwent CPETs between 2000 and 2011. Baseline MetS status was defined by 3 or more of: (1) Triglycerides ≥150 mg/dl; (2) High density lipoprotein <40 mg/dl males or <50 mg/dl females; (3) Diabetes mellitus; (4) Hypertension; (5) Body mass index ≥35 kg/m². Minimally-adjusted (for age, sex, transplantation and left ventricular assist device implantation) and fully-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were constructed for all-cause mortality. MetS prevalence was 37% (716 of 1,953) and median follow-up 5 years. Mortality was 36% for +MetS and 29% for -MetS (p = 0.006), with highest mortality in the subgroup with both MetS plus diabetes (39%). The minimally-adjusted hazard ratio for mortality with MetS was 1.27 (95% confidence interval, 1.08 to 1.49, p = 0.004). After adjustment, MetS was no longer independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio 1.01, 95% confidence interval 0.85 to 1.19, p = 0.921). Patients with MetS achieved poorer CPET performance compared and MetS was independently associated with a lower peak VO₂. MetS was associated with a higher hazard of mortality in the minimally-adjusted model, which was primarily driven by the unfavorable impact of diabetes on mortality, but this association was no longer significant after full adjustment. In conclusion, there was no independent association between MetS and survival in an ambulatory systolic HF population.

Outcomes of patients with systolic heart failure presenting with sepsis to the emergency department of a tertiary hospital: a retrospective chart review study from Lebanon

OBJECTIVES

Patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) may be at a higher risk of mortality from sepsis than patients without CHF due to insufficient cardiovascular reserves during systemic infections. The aim of this study is to compare sepsis-related mortality between CHF and no CHF in patients presenting to a tertiary medical centre.

DESIGN

A single-centre, retrospective, cohort study.

SETTING

Conducted in an academic emergency department (ED) between January 2010 and January 2015. Patients' charts were queried via the hospital's electronic system. Patients with a diagnosis of sepsis were included. Descriptive analysis was performed on the demographics, characteristics and outcomes of patients with sepsis of the study population.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 174 patients, of which 87 (50%) were patients with CHF.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES

The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital lengths of stay, and differences in interventions between the two groups.

RESULTS

Patients with CHF had a higher in-hospital mortality (57.5% vs 34.5%). Patients with sepsis and CHF had higher odds of death compared with the control population (OR 2.45; 95% CI 1.22 to 4.88). Secondary analyses showed that patients with CHF had lower instances of bacteraemia on presentation to the ED (31.8% vs 46.4%). They had less intravenous fluid requirements in first 24 hours (2.75±2.28 L vs 3.67±2.82 L, p =0.038), had a higher rate of intubation in the ED (24.2% vs 10.6%, p=0.025) and required more dobutamine in the first 24 hours (16.1% vs 1.1%, p<0.001). ED length of stay was found to be lower in patients with CHF (15.12±24.45 hours vs 18.17±26.13 hours, p=0.418) and they were more likely to be admitted to the ICU (59.8% vs 48.8%, p=0.149).

CONCLUSION

Patients with sepsis and CHF experienced an increased hospital mortality compared with patients without CHF.

Beta blockers and chronic heart failure patients: prognostic impact of a dose targeted beta blocker therapy vs. heart rate targeted strategy

BACKGROUND

Beta blockers improve survival in patients with chronic systolic heart failure (CHF). Whether physicians should aim for target dose, target heart rate (HR), or both is still under debate.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We identified 1,669 patients with systolic CHF due to ischemic heart disease or idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy from the University Hospital Heidelberg and the Clinic of Ludwigshafen, Germany. All patients were treated with an angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker and had a history of CHF known for at least 6 months. Target dose was defined as treatment with ≥ 95% of the respective published guideline-recommended dose. Target HR was defined as 51-69 bpm. All-cause mortality during the median follow-up of 42.8 months was analysed with respect to beta blocker dosing and resting HR. 201 (12%) patients met the dose target (group A), 285 (17.1%) met the HR target (group B), 627 (37.6%) met no target (group C), and 556 (33.3%) did not receive beta blockers (Group D). 5-year mortality was 23.7, 22.7, 37.6, and 55.6% for group A, B, C, and D, respectively (p <  0.001). Survival for group A patients with a HR ≥ 70 bpm was 28.8% but 14.8% if HR was 50-70 bpm (p = 0.054).

CONCLUSIONS

Achieving guidelines recommended beta blocker dose or to HR control has a similar positive impact on survival. When on target dose, supplemental HR control additionally improves survival.

Mortality prediction using CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc/R2CHADS2 scores in systolic heart failure patients with or without atrial fibrillation

The CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHADS2 scores are well-known predictors of stroke caused by atrial fibrillation (AF), but no studies have evaluated their use for stratifying all-cause mortality risk in patients discharged for systolic heart failure (SHF) with or without AF.This study analyzed data in the Taiwan Society of Cardiology-heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (TSOC-HFrEF) registry. These data were obtained by a prospective, multicenter, observational survey of patients treated at 21 medical centers in Taiwan after hospitalization for acute, pre-existing or new onset SHF from May, 2013 to October, 2014. During 1 year follow-up, 198 patients were lost follow-up, and final 1311 (86.8%) patients were included for further analysis. During the follow-up period, 250 (19%) patients died. Multivariate analysis revealed that body mass index, thyroid disorder, valvular surgery history, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and scores for CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHADS2 were significant independent predictors of mortality in the overall population of SHF patients (all P < .05) The c-indexes showed that CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHADS2 scores were significantly associated with mortality in SHF patients with or without AF (all P < 005). However, R2CHADS2 had significantly higher accuracy in predicting mortality in all SHF patients compared with CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc (DeLong test, P < .0001), especially in SHF without AF (DeLong test, P = .0003).Scores for CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHADS2 can be used to predict 1-year all-cause mortality in SHF patients with or without AF. For predicting all-cause mortality in SHF patients, R2CHADS2 is more accurate than CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc.

Geriatric nutritional risk index as a nutritional and survival risk assessment tool in stable outpatients with systolic heart failure

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Malnutrition is frequent in heart failure (HF). However, the best tool for evaluating malnutrition in geriatric patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the incremental prognostic value of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) in stable geriatric outpatients with HFrEF compared with a clinical/laboratory prognostic model.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 143 outpatients with HFrEF, aged >65 years, a LVEF <40%, and who were stable and on optimal therapy were studied. Follow-up lasted 3 years. The outcome was all-cause death. The GNRI was calculated as follows: [(1.489 × serum albumin (g/L)) + (41.7 × (current body weight/ideal weight)]. The 3-year death rate was 36.4% and 16 (11.2%) patients were at risk of malnutrition (GNRI ≤98). Deceased patients had a lower GNRI (113.6 ± 9.1 vs. 105.6 ± 9.2; p < 0.001) than did survivors. Greater values of the GNRI (hazard ratio = 0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.90-0.95; p < 0.001) and GNRI >98 (hazard ratio = 0.29, 95% CI 0.15-0.57; p < 0.001) were associated with better survival. These factors remained significant after adjustment of significant confounders. The GNRI was a better discriminator of death than weight and albumin. Adding the GNRI to the clinical/laboratory predictor survival model significantly increased the c-statistics from 0.93 to 0.95 (p < 0.001) and the chi-square likelihood ratio test from 106.15 to 119.9.

CONCLUSION

The risk of malnutrition, as assessed by the GNRI, in stable geriatric outpatients with HFrEF is a strong independent predictor of survival. The GNRI adds significant prognostic information to the clinical/laboratory model.

Referral for Specialist Follow-up and Its Association With Post-discharge Mortality Among Patients With Systolic Heart Failure (from the National Heart Failure Audit for England and Wales)

For patients admitted with worsening heart failure (HF), early follow-up after discharge is recommended. Whether outcomes can be improved when follow-up is done by cardiologists is uncertain. We aimed to determine the association between cardiology follow-up and risk of death for patients with HF discharged from hospital. Using data from the National Heart Failure Audit (England and Wales), we investigated the effect of referral to cardiology follow-up on 30-day and 1-year mortality in 68,772 patients with HF and a reduced left ventricular ejection fraction discharged from 185 hospitals from 2007 to 2013. The primary analyses used instrumental variable analysis complemented by hierarchical logistic and propensity-matched models. At the hospital level, rates of referral to cardiologists varied from 6% to 96%. The median odds ratio (OR) for referral to cardiologist was 2.3 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.1 to 2.5), suggesting that, on average, the odds of a patient being referred for cardiologist follow-up after discharge differed ∼2.3 times from one randomly selected hospital to another one. Based on the proportion of patients (per region) referred for cardiology follow-up, referral for cardiology follow-up was associated with lower 30-day (OR 0.70; 95% CI 0.55 to 0.89) and 1-year mortality (OR 0.81; 95% CI 0.68 to 0.95) compared with no plans for cardiology follow-up (i.e., standard follow-up done by family doctors). Results from hierarchical logistic models and propensity-matched models were consistent (30-day mortality OR 0.66; 95% CI 0.61 to 0.72 and 0.66; 95% CI 0.58 to 0.76 for hierarchical and propensity matched models, respectively). For patients with HF and a reduced left ventricular ejection fraction admitted to hospital with worsening symptoms, referral to cardiology services for follow-up after discharge is strongly associated with reduced mortality, both early and late.

The Obesity-Mortality Paradox in Patients With Heart Failure in Taiwan and a Collaborative Meta-Analysis for East Asian Patients

A global heart failure (HF) registry suggested that the inverse association between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality differed by race, particularly stronger in Japanese patients at 1-year follow-up. Whether this finding was consistent across all East Asian populations was unknown. In a multicenter prospective study in Taiwan, we enrolled 1,301 patients hospitalized for systolic HF from 2013 to 2014 and followed up the mortality after their discharge for a median of 1-year period. Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were used to assess the association of BMI with all-cause mortality. The results showed that BMI was inversely associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio and 95% CI per 5-kg/m(2) increase: 0.75 [0.62 to 0.91]) after adjusting for demographics, traditional risk factors, HF severity, and medications at discharge. Subsequently, we sought previous studies regarding the BMI association with mortality for East Asian patients with HF from Medline, and a random-effect meta-analysis was performed by the inverse variance method. The meta-analysis including 7 previous eligible studies (3 for the Chinese and 4 for the Japanese cohorts) and the present one showed similar results that BMI was inversely associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 0.65 [0.58 to 0.73], I(2) = 37%). In conclusion, our study in Taiwan and a collaborative meta-analysis confirmed a strong inverse BMI-mortality association consistently among East Asian patients with HF.

Variables Measured During Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing as Predictors of Mortality in Chronic Systolic Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Data from a cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) test are used to determine prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure (HF). However, few published studies have simultaneously compared the relative prognostic strength of multiple CPX variables.

OBJECTIVES

The study sought to describe the strength of the association among variables measured during a CPX test and all-cause mortality in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), including the influence of sex and patient effort, as measured by respiratory exchange ratio (RER).

METHODS

Among patients (n = 2,100, 29% women) enrolled in the HF-ACTION (HF-A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of exercise traiNing) trial, 10 CPX test variables measured at baseline (e.g., peak oxygen uptake [Vo2], exercise duration, percent predicted peak Vo2 [%ppVo2], ventilatory efficiency) were examined.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 32 months, there were 357 deaths. All CPX variables, except RER, were related to all-cause mortality (all p < 0.0001). Both %ppVo2 and exercise duration were equally able to predict (Wald chi-square: ∼141) and discriminate (c-index: 0.69) mortality. Peak Vo2 (ml·kg(-1)·min(-1)) was the strongest predictor of mortality among men (Wald chi-square: 129) and exercise duration among women (Wald chi-square: 41). Multivariable analyses showed that %ppVo2, exercise duration, and peak Vo2 (ml·kg(-1)·min(-1)) were similarly able to predict and discriminate mortality. In men, a 10% 1-year mortality rate corresponded to a peak Vo2 of 10.9 ml·kg(-1)·min(-1) versus 5.3 ml·kg(-1)·min(-1) in women.

CONCLUSIONS

Peak Vo2, exercise duration, and % ppVo2 carried the strongest ability to predict and discriminate the likelihood of death in patients with HFrEF. The prognosis associated with a given peak Vo2 differed by sex. (Exercise Training Program to Improve Clinical Outcomes in Individuals With Congestive Heart Failure; NCT00047437).

Renal function, serum sodium level, and outcomes in hospitalized systolic heart failure patients: An analysis of the COAST study

Both renal function and serum sodium level are well-known prognostic markers in heart failure (HF) patients. We investigated the prognostic value of the renal impairment (RI) stratified by the serum sodium level in systolic HF patients.The Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes in Relation with Serum Sodium Level in Asian Patients Hospitalized for Heart Failure (the COAST) Study enrolled hospitalized systolic HF patients (ejection fraction<45%) in South Korea, Taiwan, and China. Twelve-month mortality was stratified according to the renal function and serum sodium level.Of 1462 enrolled patients, 716 patients (49%) had RI (GFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m), and they had higher 12-month mortality than those without RI (22.8% vs. 10.9%, P<0.001). Furthermore, 676 patients (46%) had low sodium level defined as Na<median, that was, 139 mmol/L. The mortality rate was lowest in patients with normal renal function and high sodium level (7.4%), but highest in those with RI and low sodium level (26.1%) (P<0.001). Patients with both RI and low sodium level had a 3.8-times increased hazard for 12-month mortality (HR 3.80, 95% CI 2.06-7.05), whereas the low sodium level (HR, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.51-5.75) and RI (HR 3.08; 95% CI, 1.63-5.82) had similar hazard, suggesting that they might be equivalent risk factors.In hospitalized Asian HF-patients both RI and low sodium level are independent risk factors. Patients with both RI and low serum sodium level are at the highest risk and may require meticulous medical care.

Prognostic Importance of Impaired Systolic Function in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction and the Impact of Spironolactone

BACKGROUND

Impairment in left ventricular systolic function has been described in heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), but its prognostic relevance is not known. We determined whether left ventricular longitudinal strain (LS) is predictive of cardiovascular outcomes in HFpEF beyond clinical and conventional echocardiographic measures.

METHODS AND RESULTS

LS was assessed by 2-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography at baseline in 447 patients with HFpEF enrolled in the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure With an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial. At a median follow-up of 2.6 years (interquartile range, 1.5-3.9 years), 115 patients experienced the primary composite outcome of cardiovascular death, HF hospitalization, or aborted cardiac arrest. Impaired LS, defined as an absolute LS <15.8%, was present in 52% of patients and was predictive of the composite outcome (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.26-3.66; P=0.005), cardiovascular death alone (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.44-7.12; P=0.004), and HF hospitalization alone (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-4.28; P=0.016) after adjustment for clinical and conventional echocardiographic variables. LS was the strongest echocardiographic predictor of the composite outcome. Exploratory analysis in a subset of 131 patients with follow-up LS assessed after 12 to 18 months demonstrated a trend toward improvement in LS associated with spironolactone in patients enrolled in the Americas but not in Russia or Georgia.

CONCLUSIONS

Impaired left ventricular systolic function is a powerful predictor of HF hospitalization, cardiovascular death, or aborted cardiac arrest in HFpEF independent of clinical predictors. Impaired LS represents a novel imaging biomarker to identify patients with HFpEF at particularly high risk for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00094302.

Use of Loop Diuretics is Associated with Increased Mortality in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease, but without Systolic Heart Failure or Renal Impairment: An Observational Study Using Propensity Score Matching

Background

Loop diuretics are widely used in patients with heart and renal failure, as well as to treat hypertension and peripheral edema. However, there are no randomized, controlled trials (RCT) evaluating their long term safety, and several observational reports have indicated adverse effects. We sought to evaluate the impact of loop diuretics on long term survival in patients with suspected coronary artery disease, but without clinical heart failure, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction or impaired renal function.

Method and Findings

From 3101 patients undergoing coronary angiography for suspected stable angina pectoris, subjects taking loop diuretics (n=109) were matched with controls (n=198) in an attempted 1:2 ratio, using propensity scores based on 59 baseline variables. During median follow-up of 10.1 years, 37.6% in the loop diuretics group and 23.7% in the control group died (log-rank p-value 0.005). Treatment with loop diuretics was associated with a hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of 1.82 (1.20, 2.76), and the number needed to harm was 7.2 (4.1, 30.3). Inclusion of all 3101 patients using propensity score weighting and adjustment for numerous covariates provided similar estimates. The main limitation is the potential of confounding from unmeasured patient characteristics.

Conclusions

The use of loop diuretics in patients with suspected coronary artery disease, but without systolic heart failure or renal impairment, is associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality. Considering the lack of randomized controlled trials to evaluate long term safety of loop diuretics, our data suggest caution when prescribing these drugs to patients without a clear indication.

[Carriage of A Allele of Polymorphic Marker G(-238)A of TNF Gene Is Associated With Unfavorable Prognosis in Patients With Chronic Systolic Heart Failure]

AIM

to elucidate association between polymorphic markers of interleukin-6 (Il-6) and tumor necrosis factor (TNF) genes and unfavorable outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We determined levels of TNF and Il-6 and genotypes of polymorphic markers G(-238)A of TNF gene (rs361525) and G(--174)C of IL-6 gene (rs1800795) in 151 patients (mean age 64.5 years) hospitalized because of decompensation of systolic CHF (left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 40%) after stabilization of their state. Unfavorable outcomes were registered during follow-up for 2 years.

RESULTS

Mean levels of NT-proBNP, Il-6, and TNF were 2481.1 ± 199.86 fmol/ml, 21.8 7.46 rg/ml, and 10.07 ± 0.65 rg/ml, respectively. 138 (94.4%), 13 (8.6%) and 0 patients were carriers of genotypes GG, AG, and AA of polymorphic marker G(-238)A of TNF gene, respectively; 54 (35.8%), 69 (45.7%), and 28 (18.5%) patients carried genotypes GG, GC, and CC of polymorphic marker G(-174)C gene IL-6, respectively. There was no association between Il-6, TNF levels and carriage of either of genotypes as well as unfavorable clinical course of CHF. Mean survival time before repetitive episode of CHF decompensation (including lethal one) was significantly shorter among carriers of A allele compared with carriers of G allele of polymorphic marker G(-238)A of TNF gene (243 ± 97.7 and 947 ± 78 days, respectively, p = 0.018). Mean time before all cause death was also shorter in carriers of A compared with carriers of G allele (289 ± 122.9 and 1039 ± 73.3 days, respectively, p = 0.03). The studied polymorphism of IL-6 gene had no prognostic value.

CONCLUSION

We obtained data on association between carriage of A allele of polymorphic marker G(-238)A of TNF gene and unfavorable prognosis in patients with CHF and inpraired left ventricular systolic function.

Influence of renal impairment on myocardial function in outpatients with systolic heart failure: an echocardiographic and cardiac biomarker study

BACKGROUND

Renal dysfunction (RD) is associated with poor outcome in systolic heart failure (HF). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is not depressed to a greater extent in patients with RD compared to patients with normal renal function, but it is relatively unknown whether other measures of myocardial function are impaired by RD. The objective of the present study is to evaluate whether RD in systolic HF is associated with excessive impairment of myocardial function, evaluated by strain analysis and cardiac biomarkers.

METHODS

Patients with LVEF <0.45% were enrolled from an outpatient HF clinic. The patients underwent advanced echocardiography. Glomerular filtration rate was estimated by the CKD-EPI equation (eGFR) and patients grouped by eGFR: eGFR group-I, ≥ 90 ml/min/1.73 m(2); eGFR group-II, 60-89 ml/min/1.73 m(2); and eGFR group-III, ≤ 59 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Multivariate regression models were developed to evaluate the associations between eGFR groups, echocardiographic measures and cardiac biomarkers.

RESULTS

A total of 149 patients participated in the study. Median age was 69 years, 26% were female; LVEF was 33%. Patients with a low eGFR were older (P < 0.001), but there were no differences in frequency of atrial fibrillation, hypertension, diabetes and ischemic heart disease between eGFR groups (P > 0.05 for all). RD was associated with impaired global longitudinal strain (P = 0.018), increased E/e' (P = 0.032), larger left atria (P = 0.038) and increased levels of proANP (P < 0.001), NT-proBNP (P < 0.001) and troponin I (P = 0.019) after adjustment for traditional confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

Echocardiographic measures and biomarkers reflecting different aspects of myocardial function are impaired in systolic HF patients with RD and the increased mortality risk in these patients may partly be explained by a depressed cardiac function.

Biomarkers of myocardial stress and fibrosis as predictors of mode of death in patients with chronic heart failure

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine whether biomarkers of myocardial stress and fibrosis improve prediction of the mode of death in patients with chronic heart failure.

BACKGROUND

The 2 most common modes of death in patients with chronic heart failure are pump failure and sudden cardiac death. Prediction of the mode of death may facilitate treatment decisions. The relationship between amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), galectin-3, and ST2, biomarkers that reflect different pathogenic pathways in heart failure (myocardial stress and fibrosis), and mode of death is unknown.

METHODS

HF-ACTION (Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training) was a randomized controlled trial of exercise training versus usual care in patients with chronic heart failure due to left ventricular systolic dysfunction (left ventricular ejection fraction ≤35%). An independent clinical events committee prospectively adjudicated mode of death. NT-proBNP, galectin-3, and ST2 levels were assessed at baseline in 813 subjects. Associations between biomarkers and mode of death were assessed using cause-specific Cox proportional hazards modeling, and interaction testing was used to measure differential associations between biomarkers and pump failure versus sudden cardiac death. Discrimination and risk reclassification metrics were used to assess the added value of galectin-3 and ST2 in predicting mode of death risk beyond a clinical model that included NT-proBNP.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up period of 2.5 years, there were 155 deaths: 49 from pump failure, 42 from sudden cardiac death, and 64 from other causes. Elevations in all biomarkers were associated with increased risk for both pump failure and sudden cardiac death in both adjusted and unadjusted analyses. In each case, increases in the biomarker had a stronger association with pump failure than sudden cardiac death, but this relationship was attenuated after adjustment for clinical risk factors. Clinical variables along with NT-proBNP levels were stronger predictors of pump failure (C statistic: 0.87) than sudden cardiac death (C statistic: 0.73). Addition of ST2 and galectin-3 led to improved net risk classification of 11% for sudden cardiac death, but not pump failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical predictors along with NT-proBNP levels were strong predictors of pump failure risk, with insignificant incremental contributions of ST2 and galectin-3. Predictability of sudden cardiac death risk was less robust and enhanced by information provided by novel biomarkers.

The relationship of left ventricular mechanical dyssynchrony and cardiac sympathetic denervation to potential sudden cardiac death events in systolic heart failure

BACKGROUND

Patients with heart failure (HF) are at increased risk for left ventricular (LV) dyssynchrony which is associated with sudden cardiac death (SCD). This study examined the association of LV mechanical dyssynchrony and cardiac sympathetic denervation with potential SCD events in symptomatic patients with HF and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).

METHODS

Of the 917 HFrEF patients in ADMIRE-HF, 92 experienced adjudicated potential SCD events during a 17 months median follow-up. Propensity scores were used to assemble a matched cohort of 85 pairs of patients with and without potential SCD events. ADMIRE-HF subjects had rest gated SPECT Tc-99m and I-123 MIBG imaging. Perfusion images were processed using phase analysis software to derive phase standard deviation (SD), an index of mechanical dyssynchrony.

RESULTS

Of the 92 patients who experienced adjudicated potential SCD events 23 had SCD, 5 fatal myocardial infarction, 7 resuscitated cardiac arrest, 46 had appropriate ICD therapy, and 11 had sustained ventricular tachycardia. Patients who experienced potential SCD events had significantly wider phase SD than matched control patients (62.3 ± 2.4º vs 55.5 ± 2.3º, P = .03) and were more likely to have a phase SD ≥ 60º (53 % vs 35 %, P = .03). Fewer patients with potential SCD events (6 % vs 15 % of the controls, P = .08) had an MIBG heart/mediastinum uptake-ratio ≥1.6.

CONCLUSIONS

Among symptomatic HFrEF patients, LV mechanical dyssynchrony is independently associated with potential SCD events. Phase analysis may provide incremental prognostic information on top of current indicators of SCD risk in HFrEF.

Value of proBNP1-108 testing for the risk stratification of patients with systolic heart failure

The study objectives were to determine the circulating levels of proBNP1-108, the precursor of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and amino-terminal pro-BNP (NT-proBNP), in patients with systolic heart failure (HF) and to assess their prognosis value for cardiovascular (CV) death over a long-term follow-up. Seventy-three patients with systolic HF and 68 healthy volunteers were included. ProBNP1-108, BNP and NT-proBNP levels were measured with automated immunoassays and their predictive value for long-term survival was assessed through an 8 years follow-up. ProBNP1-108 levels were markedly increased in patients with systolic HF in comparison to healthy volunteers. In univariate proportional hazard model, survival was related to proBNP1-108, BNP, NT-proBNP, age, EF and glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Kaplan-Meier survival curves according to proBNP tertiles diverged significantly, and the highest proBNP levels were related to patients with the highest risk of CV death. In a multivariate analysis including age, EF, proBNP1-108, BNP, NT-proBNP, and eGFR levels, NT-proBNP was the strongest predictor of long term CV death. Our study therefore demonstrated that high levels of proBNP1-108, measured with an assay with enhanced analytical specificity, are related to the long-term risk of cardiovascular death in systolic heart failure.

Prognostic significance of cardiovascular biomarkers and renal dysfunction in outpatients with systolic heart failure: a long term follow-up study

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether the prognostic significance of cardiovascular (CV) biomarkers, is affected by renal dysfunction (RD) in systolic heart failure (HF).

BACKGROUND

It is unknown, whether the prognostic significance of CV biomarkers, such as N-terminal-pro-brain-natriuretic-peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitive troponin T (hsTNT), pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (proANP), copeptin and pro-adrenomedullin (proADM), is affected by renal function in HF.

METHODS

Clinical data and laboratory tests from 424 patients with systolic HF were collected prospectively. The patients were followed for 4.5 years (interquartile range: 2-7.7 years). CV biomarkers were analyzed on frozen plasma, and renal function was estimated by the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) formula. Cox proportional hazard models for mortality risk were constructed and tests for interaction between each CV biomarker and RD were performed.

RESULTS

Median age was 73 years (51-83), 29% were female, LVEF was 30% (13-45), 74% were NYHA classes I-II and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 68 ml/min/1.73 m(2) (18-157). A total of 252 patients died. All five biomarkers--log(NT-proBNP) (HR: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.57-2.87:, P<0.001), hsTNT (HR: 3.07, 95% CI: 1.90-4.96 P<0.001), proANP (HR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03, P<0.001), copeptin (HR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03, P=0.008) and proADM (HR: 2.37, 95% CI: 1.66-3.38, P<0.001)--were associated with mortality risk, but not affected by RD (P>0.05 for all interactions).

CONCLUSION

Established and new CV biomarkers are closely associated with renal function in HF. However, their prognostic significance is not affected by RD, and all CV biomarkers can be used for risk stratification independently of renal function.

Cardiac-resynchronization therapy in heart failure with a narrow QRS complex

BACKGROUND

Cardiac-resynchronization therapy (CRT) reduces morbidity and mortality in chronic systolic heart failure with a wide QRS complex. Mechanical dyssynchrony also occurs in patients with a narrow QRS complex, which suggests the potential usefulness of CRT in such patients.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized trial involving 115 centers to evaluate the effect of CRT in patients with New York Heart Association class III or IV heart failure, a left ventricular ejection fraction of 35% or less, a QRS duration of less than 130 msec, and echocardiographic evidence of left ventricular dyssynchrony. All patients underwent device implantation and were randomly assigned to have CRT capability turned on or off. The primary efficacy outcome was the composite of death from any cause or first hospitalization for worsening heart failure.

RESULTS

On March 13, 2013, the study was stopped for futility on the recommendation of the data and safety monitoring board. At study closure, the 809 patients who had undergone randomization had been followed for a mean of 19.4 months. The primary outcome occurred in 116 of 404 patients in the CRT group, as compared with 102 of 405 in the control group (28.7% vs. 25.2%; hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92 to 1.57; P=0.15). There were 45 deaths in the CRT group and 26 in the control group (11.1% vs. 6.4%; hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.93; P=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with systolic heart failure and a QRS duration of less than 130 msec, CRT does not reduce the rate of death or hospitalization for heart failure and may increase mortality. (Funded by Biotronik and GE Healthcare; EchoCRT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00683696.).

Distance covered during a six-minute walk test predicts long-term cardiovascular mortality and hospitalisation rates in men with systolic heart failure: an observational study

QUESTION

Does the distance covered during a 6-minute walk test predict risk of death or hospitalisation for cardiovascular reasons in men with stable heart failure over three years of follow-up?

DESIGN

Prospective observational study.

PARTICIPANTS

243 men with stable systolic heart failure, with a mean age of 60 yr (SD 11) and left ventricular ejection fraction of 29% (SD 8). According to the New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification, 15% of the participants were in Class I, 44% in Class II, 37% in Class III, and 4% in class IV.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The exercise capacity of participants was measured using the 6-minute walk test. The participants were followed up for at least three years in the case of survivors. The primary end-points of the survival analyses included cardiovascular death or urgent cardiovascular hospitalisation.

RESULTS

During the 3-year follow-up, 44% of the participants died, and 69% died or required hospitalisation for cardiovascular reasons. A multivariate analysis showed that the shorter the distance covered in the 6-minute walk test, the greater the 1-year and 3-year mortality risk. Participants with a 6-minute walk test ≤ 468 m had a mortality hazard ratio of 3.22 (95% CI 1.17 to 8.86) at one year and 2.18 (95% CI 1.18 to 4.03) at three years. Multivariate analysis also showed that higher risk mortality or hospitalisation for cardiovascular reasons was predicted by a 6-minute walk distance ≤ 468m, with a hazard ratio of 2.77 (95% CI 1.30 to 5.88) at one year and 1.71 (95% CI 1.08 to 2.72) at three years.

CONCLUSION

The 6-minute walk test distance constitutes an independent predictor of mortality and mortality or hospitalisation for cardiovascular reasons in men with stable systolic heart failure.

Dual angiotensin receptor and neprilysin inhibition as an alternative to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition in patients with chronic systolic heart failure: rationale for and design of the Prospective comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and morbidity in Heart Failure trial (PARADIGM-HF)

AIMS

Although the focus of therapeutic intervention has been on neurohormonal pathways thought to be harmful in heart failure (HF), such as the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS), potentially beneficial counter-regulatory systems are also active in HF. These promote vasodilatation and natriuresis, inhibit abnormal growth, suppress the RAAS and sympathetic nervous system, and augment parasympathetic activity. The best understood of these mediators are the natriuretic peptides which are metabolized by the enzyme neprilysin. LCZ696 belongs to a new class of drugs, the angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors (ARNIs), which both block the RAAS and augment natriuretic peptides.

METHODS

Patients with chronic HF, NYHA class II-IV symptoms, an elevated plasma BNP or NT-proBNP level, and an LVEF of ≤40% were enrolled in the Prospective comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortailty and morbidity in Heart Failure trial (PARADIGM-HF). Patients entered a single-blind enalapril run-in period (titrated to 10 mg b.i.d.), followed by an LCZ696 run-in period (100 mg titrated to 200 mg b.i.d.). A total of 8436 patients tolerating both periods were randomized 1:1 to either enalapril 10 mg b.i.d. or LCZ696 200 mg b.i.d. The primary outcome is the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization, although the trial is powered to detect a 15% relative risk reduction in cardiovascular death.

PERSPECTIVES

PARADIGM-HF will determine the place of the ARNI LCZ696 as an alternative to enalapril in patients with systolic HF. PARADIGM-HF may change our approach to neurohormonal modulation in HF.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01035255.

Association between bilirubin and mode of death in severe systolic heart failure

The bilirubin level has been associated with worse outcomes, but it has not been studied as a predictor for the mode of death in patients with systolic heart failure. The Prospective Randomized Amlodipine Evaluation Study (PRAISE) cohort (including New York Heart Association class IIIB-IV patients with left ventricular ejection fraction <30%, n = 1,135) was analyzed, divided by bilirubin level: ≤0.6 mg/dl, group 1; >0.6 to 1.2 mg/dl, group 2; and >1.2 mg/dl, group 3. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the association of bilirubin with the risk of sudden or pump failure death. Total bilirubin was entered as a base 2 log-transformed variable (log2 bilirubin), indicating doubling of the bilirubin level corresponding to each increase in variable value. The higher bilirubin groups had a lower ejection fraction (range 19% to 21%), sodium (range 138 to 139 mmol/L), and systolic blood pressure (range 111 to 120 mm Hg), a greater heart rate (range 79 to 81 beats/min), and greater diuretic dosages (range 86 to 110 furosemide-equivalent total daily dose in mg). The overall survival rates declined with increasing bilirubin (24.3, 31.3, and 44.3 deaths per 100 person-years, respectively, for groups 1, 2, and 3). Although a positive relation was seen between log2 bilirubin and both pump failure risk and sudden death risk, the relation in multivariate modeling was significant only for pump failure mortality (hazard ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval 1.19 to 1.82, p = 0.0004), not for sudden death mortality (hazard ratio 1.21, 95% confidence interval 0.98 to 1.49, p = 0.08). In conclusion, an increasing bilirubin level was significantly associated with the risk of pump failure death but not for sudden death in patients with severe systolic heart failure.

Long term health care consumption and cost expenditure in systolic heart failure

BACKGROUND

The prevalence, health care consumption, and mortality increase in elderly patients with heart failure. This study aimed to analyse long term cost expenditure and predictors of health care consumption in these patients.

METHODS

We included 208 patients aged 60 years or older and hospitalised with heart failure (NYHA class II-IV and left ventricular systolic dysfunction); 58% were men, mean age 76 years, and mean ejection fraction 0.34. Data on all hospital admissions, discharge diagnoses, lengths of stay, and outpatient visits were collected from the National Board of Health and Welfare. We obtained data of all health care consumption for each individual.

RESULTS

After 8-12 years of prospective follow up 72% were dead (median survival 4.6 years). Main drivers of health care expenditure were non-cardiac (40%) and cardiac (29%) hospitalizations, and visits to primary care centres (16%), and hospital outpatient clinics (15%). On average, health care expenditures were € 36,447 per patient during follow up. The average yearly cost per patient was about 5,700€, in contrast to the estimated consumption of primary and hospital care in the general population: € 1,956 in 65-74 year olds and € 2,701 in 75-84 year olds. Poor quality of life (Nottingham Health Profile) was the strongest independent predictor of total health care consumption and costs (p<0.001; by multivariate analyses).

CONCLUSION

Health care costs in chronic systolic heart failure are at least two-fold higher than in the general population. Quality of life is a strong independent predictor of health care consumption.

Treatment of anemia with darbepoetin alfa in systolic heart failure

BACKGROUND

Patients with systolic heart failure and anemia have worse symptoms, functional capacity, and outcomes than those without anemia. We evaluated the effects of darbepoetin alfa on clinical outcomes in patients with systolic heart failure and anemia.

METHODS

In this randomized, double-blind trial, we assigned 2278 patients with systolic heart failure and mild-to-moderate anemia (hemoglobin level, 9.0 to 12.0 g per deciliter) to receive either darbepoetin alfa (to achieve a hemoglobin target of 13 g per deciliter) or placebo. The primary outcome was a composite of death from any cause or hospitalization for worsening heart failure.

RESULTS

The primary outcome occurred in 576 of 1136 patients (50.7%) in the darbepoetin alfa group and 565 of 1142 patients (49.5%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio in the darbepoetin alfa group, 1.01; 95% confidence interval, 0.90 to 1.13; P=0.87). There was no significant between-group difference in any of the secondary outcomes. The neutral effect of darbepoetin alfa was consistent across all prespecified subgroups. Fatal or nonfatal stroke occurred in 42 patients (3.7%) in the darbepoetin alfa group and 31 patients (2.7%) in the placebo group (P=0.23). Thromboembolic adverse events were reported in 153 patients (13.5%) in the darbepoetin alfa group and 114 patients (10.0%) in the placebo group (P=0.01). Cancer-related adverse events were similar in the two study groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with darbepoetin alfa did not improve clinical outcomes in patients with systolic heart failure and mild-to-moderate anemia. Our findings do not support the use of darbepoetin alfa in these patients. (Funded by Amgen; RED-HF ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00358215.).

Impact of cardiorespiratory fitness on the obesity paradox in patients with heart failure

OBJECTIVE

To determine the impact of cardiorespiratory fitness (FIT) on survival in relation to the obesity paradox in patients with systolic heart failure (HF).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We studied 2066 patients with systolic HF (body mass index [BMI] ≥18.5 kg/m(2)) between April 1, 1993 and May 11, 2011 (with 1784 [86%] tested after January 31, 2000) from a multicenter cardiopulmonary exercise testing database who were followed for up to 5 years (mean ± SD, 25.0±17.5 months) to determine the impact of FIT (peak oxygen consumption <14 vs ≥14 mL O2 ∙ kg(-1) ∙ min(-1)) on the obesity paradox.

RESULTS

There were 212 deaths during follow-up (annual mortality, 4.5%). In patients with low FIT, annual mortality was 8.2% compared with 2.8% in those with high FIT (P<.001). After adjusting for age and sex, BMI was a significant predictor of survival in the low FIT subgroup when expressed as a continuous (P=.03) and dichotomous (<25.0 vs ≥25.0 kg/m(2)) (P=.01) variable. Continuous and dichotomous BMI expressions were not significant predictors of survival in the overall and high FIT groups after adjusting for age and sex. In patients with low FIT, progressively worse survival was noted with BMI of 30.0 or greater, 25.0 to 29.9, and 18.5 to 24.9 (log-rank, 11.7; P=.003), whereas there was no obesity paradox noted in those with high FIT (log-rank, 1.72; P=.42).

CONCLUSION

These results indicate that FIT modifies the relationship between BMI and survival. Thus, assessing the obesity paradox in systolic HF may be misleading unless FIT is considered.

Iron status in patients with chronic heart failure

AIMS

The changes in iron status occurring during the course of heart failure (HF) and the underlying pathomechanisms are largely unknown. Hepcidin, the major regulatory protein for iron metabolism, may play a causative role. We investigated iron status in a broad spectrum of patients with systolic HF in order to determine the changes in iron status in parallel with disease progression, and to associate iron status with long-term prognosis.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Serum concentrations of ferritin, transferrin saturation (Tsat), soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR), and hepcidin were assessed as the biomarkers of iron status in 321 patients with chronic systolic HF [age: 61 ± 11 years, men: 84%, left ventricular ejection fraction: 31 ± 9%, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class: 72/144/87/18] at a tertiary cardiology centre and 66 age- and gender-matched healthy subjects. Compared with healthy subjects, asymptomatic HF patients had similar haematological status, but increased iron stores (evidenced by higher serum ferritin without distinct inflammation, P < 0.01) with markedly elevated serum hepcidin (P < 0.001). With increasing HF severity, patients in advanced NYHA classes had iron deficiency (ID) (reduced serum ferritin, low Tsat, high sTfR), iron-restricted erythropoiesis (reduced haemoglobin, high red cell distribution width), and inflammation (high serum high-sensitivity-C-reactive protein and interleukin 6), which was accompanied by decreased circulating hepcidin (all P < 0.001). In multivariable Cox models, low hepcidin was independently associated with increased 3-year mortality among HF patients (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased level of circulating hepcidin characterizes an early stage of HF, and is not accompanied by either anaemia or inflammation. The progression of HF is associated with the decline in circulating hepcidin and the development of ID. Low hepcidin independently relates to unfavourable outcome.

Functional and hemodynamic cardiac determinants of exercise capacity in patients with systolic heart failure

Decreased exercise capacity is the main symptom in patients with heart failure (HF). We assessed the association among noninvasively determined maximal cardiac output at exercise, systolic and diastolic cardiac functions at rest, and peak oxygen uptake (pVo(2)) exercise capacity in patients with congestive HF. We studied 102 patients 62 ± 11 years of age with New York Heart Association class II to IV stable HF and left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction <45%. All patients underwent echocardiography and a treadmill cardiopulmonary exercise test for evaluation of pVo(2) corrected for fat-free mass. During the cardiopulmonary exercise test, cardiac output was estimated noninvasively and continuously using Nexfin HD. Fat-free mass-corrected pVo(2) was associated in an univariate linear regression analysis with peak exercise cardiac index (CI) (beta 0.511, p <0.001), LV end-diastolic pressure estimates (peak early diastolic filling velocity/early diastolic tissue velocity [E/e'], beta -0.363, p = 0.001), and right ventricular function (tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, beta 0.393, p <0.001). In multivariate analysis peak exercise CI (beta 0.380, p = 0.001), but not cardiac output or LV ejection fraction at rest, was an independent predictor of pVo(2). Other independent predictors of pVo(2) were E/e' (beta -0.276, p = 0.009) and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (beta 0.392, p <0.001), also when adjusted for age and gender. In conclusion, peak CI is an independent predictor of fat-free mass-corrected pVo(2) in patients with systolic HF. Of all echocardiographic parameters at rest, right ventricular function and E/e' were independently and significantly associated with pVo(2), whereas LV ejection fraction at rest was not.

Effect of ivabradine on recurrent hospitalization for worsening heart failure in patients with chronic systolic heart failure: the SHIFT Study

AIMS

We explored the effect of treatment with ivabradine, a pure heart rate-slowing agent, on recurrent hospitalizations for worsening heart failure (HF) in the SHIFT trial.

METHODS AND RESULTS

SHIFT was a double-blind clinical trial in which 6505 patients with moderate-to-severe HF and left ventricular systolic dysfunction, all of whom had been hospitalized for HF during the preceding year, were randomized to ivabradine or to placebo on a background of guideline-recommended HF therapy (including maximized β-blockade). In total, 1186 patients experienced at least one additional HF hospitalization during the study, 472 suffered at least two, and 218 suffered at least 3. Patients with additional HF hospitalizations had more severe disease than those without. Ivabradine was associated with fewer total HF hospitalizations [902 vs. 1211 events with placebo; incidence rate ratio, 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.65-0.87, P = 0.0002] during the 22.9-month median follow-up. Ivabradine-treated patients evidenced lower risk for a second or third additional HF hospitalization [hazard ratio (HR): 0.66, 95% CI, 0.55-0.79, P < 0.001 and HR: 0.71, 95% CI, 0.54-0.93, P = 0.012, respectively]. Similar observations were made for all-cause and cardiovascular hospitalizations.

CONCLUSION

Treatment with ivabradine, on a background of guidelines-based HF therapy, is associated with a substantial reduction in the likelihood of recurrent hospitalizations for worsening HF. This benefit can be expected to improve the quality of life and to substantially reduce health-care costs.

The inpatient experience and predictors of length of stay for patients hospitalized with systolic heart failure: comparison by commercial, Medicaid, and Medicare payer type

OBJECTIVE

Descriptions of the inpatient experience for patients hospitalized with systolic heart failure (HF) are limited and lack a cross-sectional representation of the US population. While length of stay (LOS) is a primary determinant of resource use and post-discharge events, few models exist for estimating LOS.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

MarketScan(®) administrative claims data from 1/1/2005-6/30/2008 were used to select hospitalized patients aged ≥18 years with discharge diagnoses for both HF (primary diagnosis) and systolic HF (any diagnostic position) without prior HF hospitalization or undergoing transplantation.

RESULTS

Among 17,597 patients with systolic HF; 4109 had commercial; 2118 had Medicaid; and 11,370 had Medicare payer type. Medicaid patients had longer mean LOS (7.1 days) than commercial (6.3 days) or Medicare (6.7 days). In-hospital mortality was highest for patients with Medicaid (2.4%), followed by Medicare (1.3%) and commercial (0.6%). Commercial patients were more likely to receive inpatient procedures. Renal failure, pressure ulcer, malnutrition, a non-circulatory index admission DRG, receipt of a coronary artery bypass procedure or cardiac catheterization, or need for mechanical ventilation during the index admission were associated with increased LOS; receipt of a pacemaker device at index was associated with shorter LOS.

LIMITATIONS

Selection of patients with systolic HF is limited by completeness and accuracy of medical coding, and results may not be generalizable to patients with diastolic HF or to international populations.

CONCLUSION

Inpatient care, LOS, and in-hospital survival differ by payer among patients hospitalized with systolic HF, although co-morbidity and inpatient procedures consistently influence LOS across payer types. These findings may refine risk stratification, allowing for targeted intensive inpatient management and/or aggressive transitional care to improve outcomes and increase the efficiency of care.

Usefulness of hemoglobin A(1c) to predict outcome after cardiac resynchronization therapy in patients with diabetes mellitus and heart failure

Patients with diabetes and heart failure (HF) have worse clinical outcomes compared to patients with HF without diabetes after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). Patients with HF and diabetes represent a growing population at high risk for cardiovascular events and are increasingly treated with CRT. Although patients with diabetes and HF appear to benefit from CRT, their clinical outcomes are worse than those of patients without diabetes after CRT. The aim of this study was to identify clinical predictors that explain the differential hazard in patients with diabetes. We studied 442 patients (169 with diabetes) with systolic HF referred to the Massachusetts General Hospital CRT clinic from 2003 to 2010 to identify predictors of outcomes after CRT in patients with HF and diabetes. Patients with diabetes were more likely to have ischemic causes of HF than those without diabetes, but there was no difference in the left ventricular ejection fraction or HF classification at implantation. Patients with diabetes had poorer event-free survival (death or HF hospitalization) compared to those without diabetes (log-rank p = 0.04). The presence of diabetes was the most important independent predictor of differential outcomes in the entire population (hazard ratio 1.65, 95% confidence interval 1.10 to 2.51). Patients with diabetes receiving insulin therapy had poorer survival, whereas those not receiving insulin therapy had similar survival to patients without diabetes. Patients with peri-implantation glycosylated hemoglobin >7% had worse outcomes, whereas patients with glycosylated hemoglobin ≤7% had improved survival (hazard ratio 0.36, 95% confidence interval 0.15 to 0.86) equivalent to that of patients without diabetes. In conclusion, although the presence of diabetes, independent of other variables, increases the hazard of worse outcomes after CRT, there is additional risk conferred by insulin use and suboptimal peri-implantation glycemic control.

Prediction of outcome by highly sensitive troponin T in outpatients with chronic systolic left ventricular heart failure

Our aim was to assess the prognostic impact of a high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) assay in an outpatient population with chronic systolic left ventricular heart failure (HF). Four hundred sixteen patients with chronic HF and left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 45% were enrolled in a prospective cohort study. In addition to hs-cTnT, plasma amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide was measured at baseline. Mean age was 71 years, 29% were women, 62% had coronary artery disease (CAD), mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 31%, and 57% had abnormal level of hs-cTnT. During 4.4 years of follow-up, 211 (51%) patients died. In multivariate Cox regression models, hs-cTnT was categorized as quartiles or dichotomized by the 99th percentile of a healthy population. Adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality for quartiles 2 to 4, with quartile 1 as reference, were 1.4 (95% confidence interval 0.9 to 2.4, p = 0.16) for quartile 2, 1.7 (0.9 to 2.5, p = 0.12) for quartile 3, and 2.6 (1.6 to 4.4, p <0.001) for quartile 4 and 1.7 (1.2 to 2.5, p = 0.003) for abnormal versus normal level of hs-cTnT. In patients without CAD, quartile 4 of hs-cTnT was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 6.8. In conclusion, hs-cTnT is increased in most outpatients with chronic systolic HF and carries prognostic information beyond clinical parameters and amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide. Increased hs-cTnT indicated a particularly deleterious prognosis in patients without CAD.

Prospective trial of a pediatric ventricular assist device

BACKGROUND

Options for mechanical circulatory support as a bridge to heart transplantation in children with severe heart failure are limited.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective, single-group trial of a ventricular assist device designed specifically for children as a bridge to heart transplantation. Patients 16 years of age or younger were divided into two cohorts according to body-surface area (cohort 1, <0.7 m(2); cohort 2, 0.7 to <1.5 m(2)), with 24 patients in each group. Survival in the two cohorts receiving mechanical support (with data censored at the time of transplantation or weaning from the device owing to recovery) was compared with survival in two propensity-score-matched historical control groups (one for each cohort) undergoing extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO).

RESULTS

For participants in cohort 1, the median survival time had not been reached at 174 days, whereas in the matched ECMO group, the median survival was 13 days (P<0.001 by the log-rank test). For participants in cohort 2 and the matched ECMO group, the median survival was 144 days and 10 days, respectively (P<0.001 by the log-rank test). Serious adverse events in cohort 1 and cohort 2 included major bleeding (in 42% and 50% of patients, respectively), infection (in 63% and 50%), and stroke (in 29% and 29%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our trial showed that survival rates were significantly higher with the ventricular assist device than with ECMO. Serious adverse events, including infection, stroke, and bleeding, occurred in a majority of study participants. (Funded by Berlin Heart and the Food and Drug Administration Office of Orphan Product Development; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00583661.).

Independent and incremental value of severely enlarged left atrium in risk stratification of very elderly patients with chronic systolic heart failure

The authors sought to assess the impact on survival of demographic, clinical, and echo-Doppler parameters in patients with chronic heart failure due to left ventricular systolic dysfunction divided according to age groups. This study included 734 patients (age 69±11 years) who were classified into tertiles of age: I (22-66 years), II (67-76 years), and III (77-94 years). Severely enlarged left atrial size was defined as ≥52 mm in men and ≥47 mm in women. Multivariable analysis identified male sex (P=.018) and severely enlarged left atrium (P=.024) as significant correlates of all-cause mortality in the very elderly cohort, while restrictive filling pattern (RFP) (P=.004) and New York Heart Association class III or IV (P=.005) among patients of the first tertile and RFP (P=.028) among patients in the second tertile were independently associated with mortality after 30±21 months of follow-up. At the interactive stepwise model in the very elderly population, a severely enlarged left atrium, added to the model after clinical parameters and ejection fraction, moved the chi-square value from 20.7 to 25.8 (P=.048). RFP emerged as the single best predictor of all-cause mortality in the younger and intermediate ranges, whereas severely enlarged left atrium was the best predictor in the very elderly.

Predicting outcome in patients with left ventricular systolic chronic heart failure using a nutritional risk index

Mortality in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) is high and associated with body mass. However, the best method of assessing nutritional status in patients with CHF is not clear. We sought to demonstrate the prognostic use of a nutritional risk index (NRI) in ambulatory patients with CHF. Consecutive patients attending their first quarterly review appointment in the HF clinic were recruited. All patients had systolic left ventricular (LV) dysfunction. An NRI was calculated as: (1.5 × serum albumin [grams per liter]) + (current body weight/ideal weight). Patients were followed up every 4 months. Of the 538 patients enrolled in the study 75% were men. The patients' age was 71 ± 10 years (mean ± SD) and total median follow-up in survivors was 68 months (interquartile range 54 to 74). New York Heart Association classes II and III accounted for 60% and 27%, respectively, with 80% having moderate LV impairment or worse. Based on the NRI 23% of patients were at risk of malnutrition. Severely malnourished patients were older. There was no relation between NRI and LV function. The NRI was a univariable predictor of mortality (chi-square 25, p <0.001) and was an independent predictor of outcome in multivariable analysis (chi-square 12, p <0.001). In conclusion, the NRI is useful as a prognostic marker in patients with CHF in an outpatient setting. NRI might be of use as a surrogate marker for nutritional status in trials of dietary supplementation in CHF.

Renin-angiotensin inhibition in systolic heart failure and chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

The role of renin-angiotensin inhibition in older patients with systolic heart failure with chronic kidney disease remains unclear.

METHODS

Of the 1665 patients (aged≥65 years) with systolic heart failure (ejection fraction<45%) and chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate<60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)), 1046 received angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers. Propensity scores for the receipt of these drugs, estimated for each of the 1665 patients, were used to assemble a matched cohort of 444 pairs of patients receiving and not receiving these drugs who were balanced on 56 baseline characteristics.

RESULTS

During more than 8 years of follow-up, all-cause mortality occurred in 75% and 79% of matched patients with chronic kidney disease receiving and not receiving angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 0.86; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.996; P=.045). There was no significant association with heart failure hospitalization (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.72-1.03; P=.094). Similar mortality reduction (HR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.70-1.00; P=.046) occurred in a subgroup of matched patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 45 mL/min/1.73 m(2). Among 171 pairs of propensity-matched patients without chronic kidney disease, the use of these drugs was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause mortality (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.55-0.94; P=.015) and heart failure hospitalization (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.52-0.95; P=.023).

CONCLUSION

Discharge prescription of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers was associated with a significant modest reduction in all-cause mortality in older patients with systolic heart failure with chronic kidney disease, including those with more advanced chronic kidney disease.

[Impact of red cell distribution width on outcome of 16 681 patients with chronic systolic heart failure]

OBJECTIVE

To determinate the prognostic value of red cell distribution width (RDW) and the relationships between RDW and clinical characteristics in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).

METHODS

A total of 16 681 in-hospital patients with chronic systolic HF and LVEF < 50% from 12 hospitals in Hubei province, China were enrolled. All patients were followed up with telephone call. Patients were divided into RDW ≤ 13.2% (n = 3981), 13.3% - 14.1% (n = 3996), 14.2% - 14.8% (n = 4319) and ≥ 14.9% (n = 4385) groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to determine whether RDW is an independent risk factor of all-cause mortality in overall patients, patients with various etiologies. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to determine the risk of all-cause mortality among various RDW groups.

RESULTS

(1) Compared with RDW ≤ 13.2% group, adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of all-cause mortality for RDW 13.3% - 14.1%, 14.2% - 14.8% and ≥ 14.9% were 0.892 (95%CI 0.818 - 0.973, P = 0.01), 0.859 (95%CI 0.793 - 0.931, P < 0.01) and 1.034 (95%CI 0.961 - 1.111, P = 0.373) respectively. (2) Compared with MCV normal group, the adjusted HRs of MCV elevation and MCV decline groups were 1.351 (95%CI 1.063 - 1.718, P < 0.01) and 1.316 (95%CI 1.034 - 1.675, P < 0.01), respectively. (3) Compared to patients with rheumatic heart diseases, the adjusted HR for all-cause mortality in patients with coronary heart disease, dilated cardiomyopathy and hypertensive heart disease with RDW > 16% were 1.437 (95%CI 1.141 - 1.810, P < 0.01), 1.651 (95%CI 1.276 - 2.138, P < 0.01) and 1.276 (95%CI 1.004 - 1.621, P < 0.01), respectively. (4) The RDW is independently correlated with BMI (r = -0.345, P < 0.01), diastolic blood pressure (r = -0.321, P < 0.01), albumin (r = -0.411, P < 0.01), blood urine nitrogen (r = 0.476, P < 0.01), right ventricular end-diastolic diameter (r = 0.383, P < 0.01), LVEF (r = -0.463, P < 0.01) and heart rate (r = 0.379, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a J shape relationship between all-cause mortality and RDW. The elevation or decline of MCV with increased RDW is linked with increased all-cause mortality in CHF patients.

Prognostic significance of anemia in patients with chronic systolic heart failure secondary to Chagas' cardiomyopathy

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic significance of anemia on outcome of patients with chronic systolic heart failure secondary to Chagas' cardiomyopathy, as no previous study has previously addressed this question. One-hundred-eight-six patients followed for chronic systolic heart failure secondary to Chagas' cardiomyopathy at our Institution from January 2000 to December 2008 were studied. Forty-nine (26%) patients were found to have anemia; 37 (20%) were men and 12 (6%) were women. Mean hemoglobin level was 14.1±1.2g/L in patients with no anemia and 11.5±1.2g/L in patients with anemia. On a Cox proportional hazards multivariate analysis, anemia was a predictor of all-cause mortality neither in the univariate nor in the multivariate analysis. Mean serum sodium (Hazard ratio=0.92; Beta-coefficient=-0.09; 95% confidence interval 0.89-0.96; p value<0.005), and Beta-Blocker therapy (Hazard ratio=0.40; 95% confidence interval 0.26-0.61; p value<0.005) were retained as independent predictors of mortality for patients with Chagas' cardiomyopathy with chronic heart failure. Probability of survival for patients with anemia, however, was significantly lower in patients with anemia in comparison to patients with no anemia, mainly in patients with advanced heart failure. Anemia is not an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with Chagas' cardiomyopathy with chronic systolic heart failure. Probability of survival is poorer in patients with anemia than in those without.

[The prognostic value of etiology in patients with chronic systolic heart failure]

OBJECTIVE

To determinate the prognostic value of etiology in patients with chronic systolic heart failure (CSHF).

METHODS

Data of in-hospital patients with CSHF were investigated between 2000 and 2010 from 12 hospitals in Hubei province. All patients were followed up through telephone calls. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were then used to explore the differences in the all-cause mortality, heart failure (HF) mortality and sudden cardiac death (SCD) among patients caused by different etiologies. Kaplan-Meier curve were then constructed and Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to select demographic and clinical variables in predicting the all-cause mortality, HF mortality and SCD in CSHF patients. Multivariate logistic models and ROC curve were developed with or without the confirmed etiology to assess the incremental additive information related to different etiologies.

RESULTS

(1) Over the median 3 (2 - 4) years follow-up program, 6453 (38.69%) patients died, including 5505 (33.00%) due to HF prognosis and 717 (4.30%) died of SCD. All-cause mortality rates accounted for 34.50%, 54.30%, 41.48% and 15.76%, with HF mortality rates as 30.11%, 44.95%, 36.25% and 13.10%. SCDs accounted 8.46%, 8.45%, 9.84% and 1.05% in patients with CHD, DCM, HHD and RHD, respectively. (2) Compared with RHD patients, the adjusted HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.554 (1.240 to 1.947; P < 0.001), 1.405 (1.119 to 1.764; P = 0.003) and 1.315 (1.147 to 1.467; P = 0.005) while the adjusted HRs and 95%CIs for HF mortality were 1.458 (1.213 - 1.751; P < 0.001), 1.763 (1.448 - 2.147; P < 0.001) and 1.281 (1.067 - 1.537; P = 0.008), in patients with CHD, DCM and HHD, respectively. There were no significant differences in CHD (HR 3.345; 95%CI, 1.291 to 8.666; P = 0.013) or HHD (HR 2.062; 95%CI, 0.794 to 5.352; P = 0.137), while only DCM (HR 4.764; 95%CI, 1.799 to 12.618; P = 0.002) remained significant in SCD despite of the multivariate adjustment. (3) Etiology increased the sensitivity and specificity of predicting models for all-cause mortality (AUC 0.839, 95%CI, 0.832 to 0.845 vs. 0.776, 95%CI, 0.768 to 0.784) and HF mortality (AUC 0.814, 95%CI, 0.806 to 0.822 vs. 0.796, 95%CI, 0.788 to 0.804) but not with SCD (AUC 0.777, 95%CI, 0.749 to 0.809 vs. 0.747, 95%CI, 0.727 to 0.766).

CONCLUSION

CSHF due to CHD, DCM and HHD carried a worse prognosis than that of RHD. Different etiologies provided significant incremental prognostic information beyond readily available clinical variables for all-cause mortality and HF mortality.

[Major epidemiological changes and clinical variables in patients undergoing a program of heart rehabilitation after cardiac surgery - MEPHISTOPHELES]

BACKGROUND

Recent observational studies show an increase of more complex and critically ill patients referred to Italian cardiac rehabilitation (CR) departments; the exact mechanisms underlying this phenomenon, however, have not been clearly identified. The aim of our study was to evaluate the epidemiological and clinical changes that occurred over the last decade in patients hospitalized in CR departments with high admittance rates.

METHODS

We have retrospectively evaluated all patients admitted between 2002 and 2009 to our division of CR (n = 3340, 1155 female, mean age 66.4 ± 11 years) after recent cardiac surgery. The study population was divided into two homogeneous groups: the four-year period 2002-2005, group A (n = 1614, 540 female, mean age 66.1 ± 10 years) and the four-year period 2006-2009, group B (n = 1726, 615 female, mean age 67.4 ± 11 years). Data were compared using specific indicators of clinical complexity.

RESULTS

Patients aged >75 years were more in group B compared to A (26.3 vs 19.8%, p<0.0001), as well as patients with recent complex surgical interventions, such as combined coronary artery bypass grafting and heart valve surgery (16.4 vs 10.2%, p<0.0001). An increased incidence of cardiovascular death (1.4 vs 0.6%, p=0.02), acute coronary syndrome (1.5 vs 0.7%, p=0.02) and persistent atrial fibrillation/flutter (13.5 vs 7.1%, p<0.0001) was observed in group B, as well as an increased prevalence of systolic heart failure (18.3 vs 9.0%, p<0.0001). Similarly, the incidence of acute respiratory failure episodes (1.0 vs 0.4%, p=0.05), the prevalence of patients admitted with a tracheostomy tube (2.6 vs 0.2%, p<0.0001) and the incidence of acute renal failure (1.1 vs 0.5%, p=0.05) were significantly increased in group B. Postoperative infections and surgical wound complications were 4-fold higher in group B (13.9 vs 3.1%, p<0.0001, and 12.8 vs 2.3%, p<0.0001, respectively). Compared to group A, patients of group B showed a significantly lower physical performance, as expressed by the Rivermead motility index (3.8 ± 1.1 vs 5.2 ± 0.8, p<0.001); moreover, the number of subjects able to perform an incremental training program was significantly lower in group B than group A (14.8 vs 60.6%, p<0.0001). Mean hospital stay was longer in group B than group A (25.4 ± 13 vs 22.1 ± 9 days, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study, by collecting data from a CR division in northern Italy with high admittance rates, demonstrates a dramatic increase in clinical complexity over the last few years. This points to the need for new expertise and major resources to be allocated to CR departments.

Usefulness of plasma galectin-3 levels in systolic heart failure to predict renal insufficiency and survival

Galectin-3 plays an important role in fibroblast activation and fibrosis in animal models. Increased galectin-3 levels are associated with poor long-term survival in heart failure (HF). We examined the relation between plasma galectin-3 levels and myocardial indexes of systolic HF. We measured plasma galectin-3 in 133 subjects with chronic HF and 45 with advanced decompensated HF using echocardiographic and hemodynamic evaluations. In the chronic HF cohort, median plasma galectin-3 level was 13.9 ng/ml (interquartile range 12.1 to 16.9). Higher galectin-3 was associated with more advanced age (r = 0.22, p = 0.010), poor renal function (estimated glomerular filtration rate, r = -0.24, p = 0.007; cystatin C, r = 0.38, p <0.0001) and predicted all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.86, 95% confidence interval 1.36 to 2.54, p <0.001). In multivariate analysis, galectin-3 remained an independent predictor of all-cause mortality after adjusting for age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, and mitral early diastolic myocardial relaxation velocity at septal mitral annulus (hazard ratio 1.94, 95% confidence interval 1.30 to 2.91, p = 0.001). However, galectin-3 did not predict the combined end point of all-cause mortality, cardiac transplantation, or HF hospitalization (p >0.05). Furthermore, there were no relations between galectin-3 and LV end-diastolic volume index (r = -0.05, p = 0.61), LV ejection fraction (r = 0.10, p = 0.25), or LV diastolic function (mitral early diastolic myocardial relaxation velocity at septal mitral annulus, r = 0.06, p = 0.52; left atrial volume index, r = 0.08, p = 0.41). In the advanced decompensated HF cohort, we did not observe any relation between galectin-3 and echocardiographic or hemodynamic indexes. In conclusion, high plasma galectin-3 levels were associated with renal insufficiency and poorer survival in patients with chronic systolic HF. However, we did not observe a relation between galectin-3 and echocardiographic or hemodynamic indexes.

Comparison of characteristics and outcomes of asymptomatic versus symptomatic left ventricular dysfunction in subjects 65 years old or older (from the Cardiovascular Health Study)

Although asymptomatic left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction (ALVSD) is common, its phenotype and prognosis for incident heart failure (HF) and mortality are insufficiently understood. Echocardiography was done in 5,649 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (age 73.0 ± 5.6 years, 57.6% women). The clinical characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors of the participants with ALVSD were compared to those with normal LV function (ejection fraction ≥55%) and with symptomatic LV systolic dysfunction (SLVSD; ejection fraction <55% and a history of HF). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the risk of incident HF and mortality in those with ALVSD. Also, comparisons were made among the LV ejection fraction subgroups using previously validated cutoff values (<45% and 45% to 55%), adjusting for the demographic and cardiovascular disease risk factors. Those with ALVSD (7.3%) were more likely to have cardiovascular risk factors than those in the reference group (without LV dysfunction or symptomatic HF) but less likely than those with SLVSD. The HF rate was 24 occurrences per 1,000 person-years in the reference group and 57 occurrences per 1,000 person-years in those with ALVSD. The HF rate was 45 occurrences per 1,000 person-years for those with ALVSD and mildly impaired LV dysfunction and 93 occurrences per 1,000 person-years for those with ALVSD and moderate to severe LV dysfunction. The mortality rate was 51 deaths per 1,000 person-years in the reference group, 90 deaths per 1,000 person-years in the ALVSD group, and 156 deaths per 1,000 person-years in the SLVSD group. Adjusting for covariates, compared to the reference group, ALVSD was associated with an increased risk of incident HF (hazard ratio 1.60, 95% confidence interval 1.35 to 1.91), cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio 2.13, 95% confidence interval 1.81 to 2.51), and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.46, 95% confidence interval 1.29 to 1.64). In conclusion, subjects with ALVSD are characterized by a greater prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and co-morbidities than those with normal LV function and without HF. However, the prevalence is lower than in those with SLVSD. Patients with ALVSD are at an increased risk of HF and mortality, particularly those with greater severity of LV impairment.

Warfarin use and outcomes in patients with advanced chronic systolic heart failure without atrial fibrillation, prior thromboembolic events, or prosthetic valves

Warfarin is often used in patients with systolic heart failure (HF) to prevent adverse outcomes. However, its long-term effect remains controversial. The objective of this study was to determine the association of warfarin use and outcomes in patients with advanced chronic systolic HF without atrial fibrillation (AF), previous thromboembolic events, or prosthetic valves. Of the 2,708 BEST patients, 1,642 were free of AF without a history of thromboembolic events and without prosthetic valves at baseline. Of these, 471 patients (29%) were receiving warfarin. Propensity scores for warfarin use were estimated for each patient and were used to assemble a matched cohort of 354 pairs of patients with and without warfarin use who were balanced on 62 baseline characteristics. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were used to estimate the association between warfarin use and outcomes during 4.5 years of follow-up. Matched participants had a mean age ± SD of 57 ± 13 years with 24% women and 24% African-Americans. All-cause mortality occurred in 30% of matched patients in the 2 groups receiving and not receiving warfarin (hazard ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.62 to 1.19, p = 0.361). Warfarin use was not associated with cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio 0.97, 95% confidence interval 0.68 to 1.38, p = 0.855), or HF hospitalization (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval 0.82 to 1.44, p = 0.568). In conclusion, in patients with chronic advanced systolic HF without AF or other recommended indications for anticoagulation, prevalence of warfarin use was high. However, despite a therapeutic international normalized ratio in those receiving warfarin, its use had no significant intrinsic association with mortality and hospitalization.

Heart failure--concepts and significance. Birth of a prognostic model

Heart failure (HF) is a syndrome characterized by high prevalence in society, frequent hospitalization, reduced quality of life and high mortality (overall, 50% of patients are dead at an interval of 4 years, annual mortality varying from 5% to 75%). Outcomes in heart failure are highly variable, prognosis of individual patients differs considerably and trial data, though valuable, does not often give an adequate direction. Taking into account the high prevalence of heart failure in society and its complexity physicians need a model to predict the risk of death, to estimate the survival of heart failure patients. A key element of interest in this area is the survival function, usually noted by S and defined as S(t) = exp(-H0(t)e(a)Tx) = e(-H)0(t)e(a)Tx.

Prognostic role of highly sensitive cardiac troponin I in patients with systolic heart failure

BACKGROUND

Cardiac troponin T (cTnT) and cardiac troponin I (cTnI) are useful biomarkers in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). However, the clinical use has limitations due to the low sensitivity of a conventional commercial assay system. Recently, a high sensitive-cTnI (hs-cTnI) commercial assay has become available.

METHODS

To compare the prognostic value of cTnT and hs-cTnI, we measured hemodynamic parameters and serum levels of cTnT, hs-cTnI and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)in 258 consecutive CHF patients and then followed these patients for a mean period of 2.6 years. In both assays of cTnT and hs-cTnI, the lowest concentration at which the coeffi cient of variation was < or =10% were 0.03 ng/mL, respectively. Therefore, in the present study, an elevated cTnT or cTnI test was defined as a level of > or =0.03 ng/mL.

RESULTS

During long-term follow up, there were 20 cardiac deaths. In 258 CHF patients, serum cTnT were elevated (> or =0.03 ng/mL) in 32 patients (12%) and serum hs-cTnI was elevated (> or =0.03 ng/mL) in 112 patients (43%). On stepwise multivariate analyses, high plasma NT-proBNP (> or =627 pg/mL, P = .0063) and hs-cTnI (> or =0.03 ng/mL) (P = .016) were independent significant prognostic predictors but cTnT (> or =0.03 ng/mL) was not. The hazard ratio for mortality of patients with high plasma NT-proBNP (> or =627 pg/mL) and hs-cTnI (> or =0.03 ng/mL) was 5.74 (95% CI, 2.33-14.28, P < .0001) compared to that of those with low NT-proBNP (<627 pg/mL) or hs-cTnI (<0.03 ng/mL).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings indicate that a high plasma concentration of hs-cTnI is an independent and useful prognostic predictor in patients with CHF.