Akaike's information criterion in generalized estimating equations

Analysis of Country-Level Risk Factors of COVID-19 Mortality Across Countries of Asia: A Generalised Estimating Equation Approach

This research aimed to investigate the death counts from coronavirus disease (COVID-19) across Asian countries by selecting 42 countries with a nonzero death count. Several studies have assessed personal-level factors that affect mortality rates in patients with COVID-19. However, the influence of country-level factors is still debatable. The results of a generalised estimating equation confirmed that the expected death counts across the countries in the middle quartile group of gross domestic product, upper quartile group of population density and lower quartile group of hospital bed count were higher than those in the countries in other quartile groups. The results further confirmed the positive association of the percentage of the population aged ≥65 years and time (day) with the death count. Visualisations and descriptive statistics showed that the death count increased over time across the Asian countries, with maximum death count occurring in the third quarter of the year 2020. These findings support the recommendation that countries with lower number of hospital beds per 1,000 persons, higher percentage of the population aged 65 years and older and middle and lower economies should take more precautions to reduce the death count from COVID-19.

Radiomics of Spinal Metastases Originating From Primary Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer or Breast Cancer and Ability to Predict Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Mutation/Ki-67 Levels

OBJECTIVES

The aims of the study are to explore spinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics to differentiate spinal metastases from primary nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) or breast cancer (BC) and to further predict the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation and Ki-67 expression level.

METHODS

In total, 268 patients with spinal metastases from primary NSCLC (n = 148) and BC (n = 120) were enrolled between January 2016 and December 2021. All patients underwent spinal contrast-enhanced T1-weighted MRI before treatment. Two- and 3-dimensional radiomics features were extracted from the spinal MRI images of each patient. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were applied to identify the most important features related to the origin of the metastasis and the EGFR mutation and Ki-67 level. Radiomics signatures (RSs) were established using the selected features and evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

We identified 6, 5, and 4 features from spinal MRI to develop Ori-RS, EGFR-RS, and Ki-67-RS for predicting the metastatic origin, EGFR mutation, and Ki-67 level, respectively. The 3 RSs performed well in the training (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves: Ori-RS vs EGFR-RS vs Ki-67-RS, 0.890 vs 0.793 vs 0.798) and validation (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves: Ori-RS vs EGFR-RS vs Ki-67-RS, 0.881 vs 0.744 vs 0.738) cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated the value of spinal MRI-based radiomics for identifying the metastatic origin and evaluating the EGFR mutation status and Ki-67 level in patients with NSCLC and BC, respectively, which may have the potential to guide subsequent individual treatment planning.

Repeated testing does not confound cognitive performance in the Western Australian magpie (Cracticus tibicen dorsalis)

A robust understanding of cognitive variation at the individual level is essential to understand selection for and against cognitive traits. Studies of animal cognition often assume that within-individual performance is highly consistent. When repeated tests of individuals have been conducted, the effects of test order (the overall sequence in which different tests are conducted) and test number (the ordinal number indicating when a specific test falls within a sequence)-in particular the potential for individual performance to improve with repeated testing-have received limited attention. In our study, we investigated test order and test number effects on individual performance in three inhibitory control tests in Western Australian magpies (Cracticus tibicen dorsalis). We presented adult magpies with three novel inhibitory control tasks (detour-reaching apparatuses) in random order to test whether experience of cognitive testing and the order in which the apparatuses were presented were predictors of cognitive performance. We found that neither test number nor test order had an effect on cognitive performance of individual magpies when presenting different variants of inhibitory control tasks. This suggests that repeated testing of the same cognitive trait, using causally identical but visually distinct cognitive tasks, does not confound cognitive performance. We recommend that repeated testing effects of cognitive performance in other species be studied to broadly determine the validity of repeated testing in animal cognition studies.

ADHD symptoms and smoking outcomes in a randomized controlled trial of varenicline for adolescent and young adult tobacco cessation

BACKGROUND

Most adult daily smokers try their first cigarette during adolescence. Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) in adolescents is associated with increased risk for cigarette smoking. The impact of ADHD symptoms on smoking cessation among adolescents has been less well-studied. The present secondary data analysis from a clinical trial of varenicline examined ADHD symptoms as a moderator of smoking cessation in adolescents and young adults.

METHODS

The double-blind, placebo-controlled trial included treatment-seeking daily cigarette smokers ages 14 - 21 (N = 157) randomized to receive a 12-week course of varenicline or placebo, added to weekly smoking cessation counseling. At pre-treatment assessment, participants were administered a self-report measure of ADHD symptoms, the ADHD - Rating Scale (ADHD-RS). High (≥5) versus low (<5) and continuous ADHD-RS symptom counts in both hyperactive/impulsive (HI) and inattention (IA) domains were examined as predictors of smoking outcomes.

RESULTS

Participants with high IA symptoms at baseline were less likely to achieve 7-day point prevalence abstinence (PPA) at weekly visits (p = .001) during active treatment and end-of-treatment (p = .002) compared to those with low IA symptoms. In contrast, high HI symptoms did not predict differences in 7-day PPA or end-of-treatment abstinence versus low symptoms (p's ≥ .07). These findings were not modified by varenicline versus placebo treatment assignment.

CONCLUSIONS

ADHD IA symptoms were associated with poorer cessation outcomes among adolescent smokers. These findings warrant additional investigation into how ADHD symptoms may be accounted for in smoking cessation interventions for adolescents and young adults.

An examination of loss to follow-up and potential bias in outcome ascertainment in a study of direct-to-patient telemedicine abortion in the United States

OBJECTIVES

To examine associations between factors associated with loss to follow-up and effectiveness in the TelAbortion project, which provided medication abortion by direct-to-patient telemedicine and mail in the United States.

STUDY DESIGN

The study population for this descriptive analysis included abortions among participants enrolled in the TelAbortion study with data present in a web-based database tool from November 2018 to September 2021 who were mailed a medication package. The analysis included information on abortions across nine sites. In this analysis, we used generalized estimating equations to examine factors associated with loss to follow-up and effectiveness.

RESULTS

Of the 1831 abortions included in this analysis, 1553 (84.8%) were classified as having complete follow-up and 278 (15.2%) were classified as lost to follow-up. In a multivariable analysis, factors significantly associated with loss to follow-up included history of medical abortion, education, gestational age, study site, and whether the TelAbortion was performed pre- or post-COVID-19 onset (p < 0.05). The rate of treatment failure (i.e., abortions resulting in continuing pregnancy or uterine evacuation) reported in this study was 5.1%. The only covariate associated with both loss to follow-up and treatment failure was higher gestational age. However, using gestational age to impute missing abortion outcomes did not substantially change the estimated failure rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Abortions that were lost to follow-up differed substantially from those with complete follow-up, which could bias the effectiveness estimate. However, imputing outcomes based on available and appropriate pretreatment data did not substantially affect the estimate. This finding is encouraging, although it does not exclude the possibility of bias due to unmeasured factors.

IMPLICATIONS

Significant differences between abortion cases with complete follow-up and those lost to follow-up provide insights into abortion cases that may be at a higher risk for being lost. The low treatment failure rate indicates that the telemedicine provision of medication abortion is effective.

The Therapy Process Observational Coding System: Group cohesion scale in youth anxiety treatment: Psychometric properties

BACKGROUND

There are no well-established measures of group cohesion, defined as the collaborative bond between group members, in group cognitive behavioral therapy (GCBT) with youth. We therefore examined the Therapy Process Observational Coding System for Child Psychotherapy-Group Cohesion Scale (TPOCS-GC), which has previously only been used with adult samples, in a youth sample.

METHODS

Observers coded 32 sessions from 16 groups with 83 youth aged 8 to 15 years (90.7% European White). Youth had anxiety disorders and received manualized GCBT in community clinics. We examined psychometric properties of the TPOCS-GC and its' construct validity in terms of relations with pretreatment variables, alliance and fidelity during treatment, and post-treatment variables. Group cohesion was measured twice during treatment (early and late).

RESULTS

The TPOCS-GC was internally consistent (α = 0.72) and was reliably coded (M ICC = 0.61). Higher clinical severity at pretreatment predicted lower early group cohesion. Higher youth age, higher clinical severity at pretreatment, and higher youth-rated early alliance predicted lower late group cohesion. Higher therapist-rated early alliance predicted higher early group cohesion. Higher therapist-rated late alliance predicted higher late group cohesion. Higher late group cohesion predicted lower clinical severity and higher client treatment satisfaction at post-treatment. Early group cohesion did not predict any post-treatment variables.

CONCLUSIONS

A four-item version of the TPOCS-GC can be reliably used in youth GCBT. The TPOCS-GC is distinct from, but associated with, multiple clinical variables.

An ordinal radiomic model to predict the differentiation grade of invasive non-mucinous pulmonary adenocarcinoma based on low-dose computed tomography in lung cancer screening

OBJECTIVES

To construct a radiomic model of low-dose CT (LDCT) to predict the differentiation grade of invasive non-mucinous pulmonary adenocarcinoma (IPA) and compare its diagnostic performance with quantitative-semantic model and radiologists.

METHODS

A total of 682 pulmonary nodules were divided into the primary cohort (181 grade 1; 254 grade 2; 64 grade 3) and validation cohort (69 grade 1; 99 grade 2; 15 grade 3) according to scanners. The radiomic and quantitative-semantic models were built using ordinal logistic regression. The diagnostic performance of the models and radiologists was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve and accuracy.

RESULTS

The radiomic model demonstrated excellent diagnostic performance in the validation cohort (AUC, 0.900 (95%CI: 0.847-0.939) for Grade 1 vs. Grade 2/Grade 3; AUC, 0.929 (95%CI: 0.882-0.962) for Grade 1/Grade 2 vs. Grade 3; accuracy, 0.803 (95%CI: 0.737-0.857)). No significant difference in diagnostic performance was found between the radiomic model and radiological expert (AUC, 0.840 (95%CI: 0.779-0.890) for Grade 1 vs. Grade 2/Grade 3, p = 0.130; AUC, 0.852 (95%CI: 0.793-0.900) for Grade 1/Grade 2 vs. Grade 3, p = 0.170; accuracy, 0.743 (95%CI: 0.673-0.804), p = 0.079), but the radiomic model outperformed the quantitative-semantic model and inexperienced radiologists (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomic model of LDCT can be used to predict the differentiation grade of IPA in lung cancer screening, and its diagnostic performance is comparable to that of radiological expert.

KEY POINTS

• Early identifying the novel differentiation grade of invasive non-mucinous pulmonary adenocarcinoma may provide guidance for further surveillance, surgical strategy, or more adjuvant treatment. • The diagnostic performance of the radiomic model is comparable to that of a radiological expert and superior to that of the quantitative-semantic model and inexperienced radiologists. • The radiomic model of low-dose CT can be used to predict the differentiation grade of invasive non-mucinous pulmonary adenocarcinoma in lung cancer screening.

Pre-exposure Prophylaxis Persistence at a Diverse Sexual Health Clinic: Comparison of the pre-COVID-19 era to the COVID-19 era

The COVID-19 pandemic interrupted health care delivery and exacerbated disparities. Many sexual health clinics transitioned to telemedicine, including for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients at an urban sexual health clinic to assess the likelihood and predictors of PrEP persistence in the year following PrEP initiation. We compared patients starting PrEP in the four months preceding the first COVID surge to those starting PrEP one year prior. We found lower PrEP persistence in the COVID cohort compared to the pre-COVID cohort (50.8% vs. 68.9%, respectively). In both cohorts, most care was provided through in-person visits and telemedicine was rare. In the pre-COVID cohort, older patients and those identifying as non-Hispanic White were more likely to persist on PrEP. In the COVID cohort, these disparities in PrEP persistence were not observed. Flexible models of care may facilitate equitable care engagement and re-engagement.

The Impact of Providing Free HIV Self-testing on Sexual Risk Behaviors Among Men who have Sex with Men in Hunan, China: A Randomized Controlled Trial

HIV self-testing (HIVST) increases testing frequency among men who have sex with men (MSM). However, its impact on sexual risk behaviors is unclear. In a randomized controlled trial conducted in Hunan Province, China, HIV-negative MSM were randomized to receive one of two interventions for one year: (1) facility-based HIV testing, or (2) facility-based HIV testing augmented with free HIVST. From April to June 2018, 230 MSM were enrolled. They self-reported sexual behaviors every 3 months for 12 months. Among 216 MSM with follow-ups (intervention: 110; control: 106), adjusting for potential confounders in Generalized Estimating Equation models, there were no statistically significant differences in consistent condom use with male partners (regular/casual) or female partners, nor on number of male or female sexual partners. Provision of free HIVST kits does not increase risky sex and should be included in comprehensive HIV prevention packages, particularly for sexual minority men in China.

Predictors of consenting to participate in a clinical trial among urban cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Patient participation in clinical trials is influenced by demographic and other individual level characteristics. However, there is less research on the role of geography and neighborhood-level factors on clinical trial participation. This study identifies the demographic, clinical, geographic, and neighborhood predictors of consenting to a clinical trial among cancer patients at a large, urban, NCI-designated cancer center in the Mid-Atlantic region.

METHODS

We used demographic and clinical data from patients diagnosed with cancer between 2015 and 2017. We geocoded patient addresses and calculated driving distance to the cancer center. Additionally, we linked patient data to neighborhood-level educational attainment, social capital and cancer prevalence. Finally, we used generalized linear mixed-effects conditional logistic regression to identify individual and neighborhood-level predictors of consenting to a clinical trial.

RESULTS

Patients with higher odds of consenting to trials were: Non-Hispanic White, aged 50-69, diagnosed with breast, GI, head/neck, hematologic, or certain solid tumor cancers, those with cancers at regional stage, never/former tobacco users, and those with the highest neighborhood social capital index. Patients who lived further from the cancer center had higher odds of consenting to a trial. With every 1-km increase in residential distance, there was a 4% increase in the odds that patients would consent to a trial. Neither of the additional neighborhood-level variables predicted consenting to a clinical trial.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identifies important demographic, patient-level, and geographic factors associated with consenting to cancer clinical trials, and lays the groundwork for future research exploring the role of neighborhood-level factors in clinical trial participation.

Density-Dependent Effects of Simultaneous Root and Floral Herbivory on Plant Fitness and Defense

Plants are attacked by multiple herbivores, and depend on a precise regulation of responses to cope with a wide range of antagonists. Simultaneous herbivory can occur in different plant compartments, which may pose a serious threat to plant growth and reproduction. In particular, plants often face co-occurring root and floral herbivory, but few studies have focused on such interactions. Here, we investigated in the field the combined density-dependent effects of root-chewing cebrionid beetle larvae and flower-chewing pierid caterpillars on the fitness and defense of a semiarid Brassicaceae herb. We found that the fitness impact of both herbivore groups was independent and density-dependent. Increasing root herbivore density non-significantly reduced plant fitness, while the relationship between increasing floral herbivore density and the reduction they caused in both seed number and seedling emergence was non-linear. The plant defensive response was non-additive with regard to the different densities of root and floral herbivores; high floral herbivore density provoked compensatory investment in reproduction, and this tolerance response was combined with aboveground chemical defense induction when also root herbivore density was high. Plants may thus prioritize specific trait combinations in response to varying combined below- and aboveground herbivore densities to minimize negative impacts on fitness.

Longevity and the association with cattle health in Dutch dairy farms

Longevity of a herd is defined as the average age of all cattle over two years old at the moment of death (either natural, by euthanasia or by slaughter), and is increasing since 2018. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between longevity and cattle health indicators in Dutch dairy herds. Anonymized census data were available for 16,200 Dutch dairy herds (∼98 % of the dairy herds) between 2016 and 2020. All herds were categorized into one of six longevity groups: herds with a high longevity (>seven years old), increasing longevity (mean increase of one year and two months between 2017 and 2020), median longevity (∼five years and eight months, without major fluctuations in longevity), decreasing longevity (mean decrease eight months), low longevity (<four years and ten months) and a varying longevity of ∼five years and eight months, with fluctuation in longevity throughout the study period. Data were aggregated to herd and quarter of the year level. Cattle health parameters were analysed with multivariable population-averaged models with health indicators as dependent variables, and longevity and other management and herd level factors as explanatory variables. Belonging to the group of herds with a high longevity was associated with lower calf- and cow mortality, a higher percentage of cows with a high somatic cell count (HSCC), fewer inseminations per pregnancy for heifers and more inseminations for cows, a higher antibiotic use in adult dairy cows and a lower antibiotic use in calves compared to the average Dutch dairy herd. Further analysis showed that the higher percentage of cows with a HSCC could be explained by the higher share of older cows. Herds with a low longevity had a higher calf- and cow mortality, a lower percentage of cows with a HSCC, more inseminations for heifers and fewer for cows, lower antibiotic use in cows and higher antibiotic use in calves compared to the average Dutch dairy herd. To conclude, there were differences in cattle health between groups of herds with a different longevity.

Association of time-to-intravenous furosemide with mortality in acute heart failure: data from REPORT-HF

AIM

Acute heart failure can be a life-threatening medical condition. Delaying administration of intravenous furosemide (time-to-diuretics) has been postulated to increase mortality, but prior reports have been inconclusive. We aimed to evaluate the association between time-to-diuretics and mortality in the international REPORT-HF registry.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We assessed the association of time-to-diuretics within the first 24 h with in-hospital and 30-day post-discharge mortality in 15 078 patients from seven world regions in the REPORT-HF registry. We further tested for effect modification by baseline mortality risk (ADHERE risk score), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and region. The median time-to-diuretics was 67 (25th-75th percentiles 17-190) min. Women, patients with more signs and symptoms of heart failure, and patients from Eastern Europe or Southeast Asia had shorter time-to-diuretics. There was no significant association between time-to-diuretics and in-hospital mortality (p > 0.1). The 30-day mortality risk increased linearly with longer time-to-diuretics (administered between hospital arrival and 8 h post-hospital arrival) (p = 0.016). This increase was more significant in patients with a higher ADHERE risk score (p_interaction  = 0.008), and not modified by LVEF or geographic region (p_interaction  > 0.1 for both).

CONCLUSION

In REPORT-HF, longer time-to-diuretics was not associated with higher in-hospital mortality. However, we did found an association with increased 30-day mortality, particularly in high-risk patients, and irrespective of LVEF or geographic region.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT02595814.

Effects of antenatal corticosteroids on neonatal outcomes in twin and singleton pregnancies: a Korean national cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether effects of antenatal corticosteroids on neonatal outcomes in preterm infants with very low birth weight were different by plurality.

DESIGN

Nationwide prospective cohort study.

PATIENTS

Twins and singletons with very low birth weight (<1500 g) who were born between 23+0 and 33+6 weeks of gestation and registered in the Korean Neonatal Network from January 2014 to December 2019.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Morbidity and mortality before discharge from neonatal intensive care unit.

RESULTS

Among a total of 9531 preterm infants with very low birth weight, there were 2364 (24.8%) twins and 7167 (75.2%) singletons. While 83.9% of singletons were exposed to at least one dose of antenatal corticosteroids, so were 87.9% of twins.Interaction analysis demonstrated that there was no significant difference in the effect of antenatal corticosteroids on morbidities or mortality between twins and singletons in either gestational age group (23-28 weeks or 29-33 weeks).Antenatal corticosteroids significantly decreased the risk of surfactant use (adjusted relative risk (aRR): 0.972 (95% CI: 0.961 to 0.984)), high-grade intraventricular haemorrhage (aRR: 0.621 (95% CI: 0.487 to 0.794)), periventricular leucomalacia (aRR: 0.728 (95% CI: 0.556 to 0.954)) and mortality (aRR: 0.758 (95% CI: 0.679 to 0.846)) in the gestational age group of 23-28 weeks. In the gestational age group of 29-33 weeks, antenatal corticosteroids significantly decreased the risk of surfactant use (aRR: 0.914 (95% CI: 0.862 to 0.970)) and mortality (aRR: 0.409 (95% CI: 0.269 to 0.624)) but increased the risk of sepsis (aRR: 1.416 (95% CI: 1.018 to 1.969)).

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates that effect of antenatal corticosteroids on neonatal outcomes of preterm infants with very low birth weight does not differ significantly by plurality (twin or singleton pregnancy).

A multi-subgroup predictive model based on clinical parameters and laboratory biomarkers to predict in-hospital outcomes of plasma exchange-centered artificial liver treatment in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background

Postoperative risk stratification is challenging in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) who undergo artificial liver treatment. This study characterizes patients' clinical parameters and laboratory biomarkers with different in-hospital outcomes. The purpose was to establish a multi-subgroup combined predictive model and analyze its predictive capability.

Methods

We enrolled HBV-ACLF patients who received plasma exchange (PE)-centered artificial liver support system (ALSS) therapy from May 6, 2017, to April 6, 2022. There were 110 patients who died (the death group) and 110 propensity score-matched patients who achieved satisfactory outcomes (the survivor group). We compared baseline, before ALSS, after ALSS, and change ratios of laboratory biomarkers. Outcome prediction models were established by generalized estimating equations (GEE). The discrimination was assessed using receiver operating characteristic analyses. Calibration plots compared the mean predicted probability and the mean observed outcome.

Results

We built a multi-subgroup predictive model (at admission; before ALSS; after ALSS; change ratio) to predict in-hospital outcomes of HBV-ACLF patients who received PE-centered ALSS. There were 110 patients with 363 ALSS sessions who survived and 110 who did not, and 363 ALSS sessions were analyzed. The univariate GEE models revealed that several parameters were independent risk factors. Clinical parameters and laboratory biomarkers were entered into the multivariate GEE model. The discriminative power of the multivariate GEE models was excellent, and calibration showed better agreement between the predicted and observed probabilities than the univariate models.

Conclusions

The multi-subgroup combined predictive model generated accurate prognostic information for patients undergoing HBV-ACLF patients who received PE-centered ALSS.

The impact of farm practices and wild carriers on white spot disease in marine shrimp in Rayong Province, Thailand

Background and Aim

White spot disease (WSD) is a highly lethal and contagious viral disease in marine shrimp caused by the white spot syndrome virus (WSSV). White spot disease impacts the worldwide crustacean aquaculture sector, including Thailand. This study aimed to investigate the effect of farm management practices and wild carriers on WSD occurrence in grow-out marine shrimp farms in Rayong Province, Thailand.

Materials and Methods

A longitudinal study was conducted using a structured questionnaire from June 2018 to June 2020. A total of 186 questionnaires for 186 ponds were collected from 15 shrimp farms. Univariate and multivariable analyses using generalized estimating equations were used to determine the risk factors associated with WSD. In addition, possible carrier samples (wild shrimp and wild crabs) were collected inside and outside farms to test for the presence of WSSV.

Results

Direct discharge of treated wastewater into farm ponds was statistically significant in the final model (p < 0.01), with an odd ratio (OR) factor of 0.097 (95% confidence interval [CI] of OR = 0.007-0.242). Pooled sampling for WSSV in wild shrimp and crabs showed that 48 out of 936 (5.13%) samples tested positive for WSD using nested polymerase chain reaction. The samples from banana shrimp, jinga shrimp, banded snapping shrimp, dwarf prawn, whiteleg shrimp, green tidal crabs, and mangrove crabs tested positive.

Conclusion

Based on the findings of this study, we infer that the environment plays an important role in the spread of this disease. The results of this study will provide insights into the effective planning of disease control.

Female preferences for the spectral content of advertisement calls in Cope's gray treefrog (Hyla chrysoscelis)

Amphibians have inner ears with two sensory papillae tuned to different frequency ranges of airborne sounds. In frogs, male advertisement calls possess distinct spectral components that match the tuning of one or both sensory papillae. Female preferences for the spectral content of advertisement calls can depend on signal amplitude and can vary among closely related lineages. In this study of Cope's gray tree frog (Hyla chrysoscelis), we investigated the amplitude dependence of female preferences for the spectral content of male advertisement calls, which have a "bimodal" spectrum with separate low-frequency (1.25 kHz) and high-frequency (2.5 kHz) components. In two-alternative choice tests, females generally preferred synthetic calls with bimodal spectra over "unimodal" calls having only one of the two spectral components. They also preferred unimodal calls with a high-frequency component over one with the low-frequency component. With few exceptions, preferences were largely independent of amplitude across both a 30 dB range of overall signal amplitude and an 11 dB range in the relative amplitudes of the two spectral components. We discuss these results in the context of evolutionary lability in female preferences for the spectral content of advertisement calls in North American tree frogs in the genus Hyla.

Environmental Factors for Hearing Loss and Middle Ear Disease in Alaska Native Children and Adolescents: A Cross-Sectional Analysis from a Cluster Randomized Trial

OBJECTIVES

Infection-related childhood hearing loss is one of the few preventable chronic health conditions that can affect a child's lifelong trajectory. This study sought to quantify relationships between infection-mediated hearing loss and middle ear disease and environmental factors, such as exposure to wood smoke, cigarette smoke, household crowding, and lack of access to plumbed (running) water, in a northwest region of rural Alaska.

DESIGN

This study is a cross-sectional analysis to estimate environmental factors of infection-related hearing loss in children aged 3 to 21 years. School hearing screenings were performed as part of two cluster randomized trials in rural Alaska over two academic years (2017-2018 and 2018-2019). The first available screening for each child was used for this analysis. Sociodemographic questionnaires were completed by parents/guardians upon entry into the study. Multivariable regression was performed to estimate prevalence differences and prevalence ratios (PR). A priori knowledge about the prevalence of middle ear disease and the difficulty inherent in obtaining objective hearing loss data in younger children led to analysis of children by age (3 to 6 years versus 7 years and older) and a separate multiple imputation sensitivity analysis for pure-tone average (PTA)-based infection-related hearing loss measures.

RESULTS

A total of 1634 children participated. Hearing loss was present in 11.1% of children sampled based on otoacoustic emission as the primary indicator of hearing loss and was not associated with exposure to cigarette smoke (PR = 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.48 to 2.38), use of a wood-burning stove (PR = 0.85; 95% CI, 0.55 to 1.32), number of persons living in the household (PR = 1.06; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.16), or lack of access to running water (PR = 1.38; 95% CI, 0.80 to 2.39). Using PTA as a secondary indicator of hearing loss also showed no association with environmental factors. Middle ear disease was present in 17.4% of children. There was a higher prevalence of middle ear disease in homes without running water versus those with access to running water (PR = 1.53; 95% CI, 1.03 to 2.27). There was little evidence to support any cumulative effects of environmental factors. Heterogeneity of effect models by age found sample prevalence of hearing loss higher for children aged 3 to 6 years (12.2%; 95% CI, 9.3 to 15.7) compared to children 7 years and older (10.6%; 95% CI, 8.9 to 2.6), as well as for sample prevalence of middle ear disease (22.7%; 95% CI, 18.9 to 26.9 and 15.3%; 95% CI, 13.3 to 17.5, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Lack of access to running water in the home was associated with increased prevalence of middle ear disease in this rural, Alaska Native population, particularly among younger children (aged 3 to 6 years). There was little evidence in this study that cigarette smoke, wood-burning stoves, and greater numbers of persons in the household were associated with infection-mediated hearing loss or middle ear disease. Future research with larger sample sizes and more sensitive measures of environmental exposure is necessary to further evaluate these relationships. Children who live in homes without access to running water may benefit from earlier and more frequent hearing health visits.

Salivary cortisol levels and appraisals of daily hassles across dimensions of the tripartite model of anxiety and depression in emerging adults

The objective of this study was to investigate how cortisol levels and appraisals of daily hassles differ across tripartite dimensions of depression and anxiety in emerging adults. Data collected from a sample of undergraduate students at a large Midwestern university was used to investigate these aims. This included salivary cortisol data collected over four days, scores on a measure of the tripartite model of anxiety and depression, and scores on a measure of daily hassles administered everyday for two weeks. Generalized estimating equations and multilevel modeling techniques were used to analyze data. Elevated cortisol levels during the awakening period and the evening period, lower total levels across the day, steeper diurnal slopes, and elevated levels of negative affect and physiological hyperarousal predicted experiences of daily hassles. Tripartite dimensions were unrelated to cortisol indices. The present study demonstrates the utility of modeling multiple cortisol indices and provides evidence of differential associations between physiological and phenomenological indices of stress.

Type III Interferons, Viral Loads, Age, and Disease Severity in Young Children With Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection

BACKGROUND

The interplay among respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) loads, mucosal interferons (IFN), and disease severity in RSV-infected children is poorly understood.

METHODS

Children <2 years of age with mild (outpatients) or severe (inpatients) RSV infection and healthy controls were enrolled, and nasopharyngeal samples obtained for RSV loads and innate cytokines quantification. Patients were stratified by age (0-6 and >6-24 months) and multivariable analyses performed to identify predictors of disease severity.

RESULTS

In 2015-2019 we enrolled 219 RSV-infected children (78 outpatients; 141 inpatients) and 34 healthy controls. Type I, II, and III IFN concentrations were higher in children aged >6 versus 0-6 months and, like CXCL10, they were higher in outpatients than inpatients and correlated with RSV loads (P < .05). Higher IL6 concentrations increased the odds of hospitalization (odds ratio [OR], 2.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-5.36) only in children >6 months, while higher IFN-λ2/3 concentrations had the opposite effect irrespective of age (OR, 0.38; 95% CI, .15-.86). Likewise, higher CXCL10 concentrations decreased the odds of hospitalization (OR, 0.21; 95% CI, .08-.48), oxygen administration (OR, 0.42; 95% CI, .21-.80),PICU admission (OR, 0.39; 95% CI, .20-.73), and prolonged hospitalization (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, .32-.98) irrespective of age.

CONCLUSIONS

Children with milder RSV infection and those aged >6 months had higher concentrations of mucosal IFNs, suggesting that maturation of mucosal IFN responses are associated with protection against severe RSV disease.

Intra- and peri-tumoral radiomics for predicting the sentinel lymph node metastasis in breast cancer based on preoperative mammography and MRI

Purpose

This study aims to investigate values of intra- and peri-tumoral regions in the mammography and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) image for prediction of sentinel lymph node metastasis (SLNM) in invasive breast cancer (BC).

Methods

This study included 208 patients with invasive BC between Spe. 2017 and Apr. 2021. All patients underwent preoperative digital mammography (DM), digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT), dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) and diffusion-weighted MRI (DWI) scans. Radiomics features were extracted from manually outlined intratumoral regions, and automatically dilated peritumoral tumor regions in each modality. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to select key features from each region to develop radiomics signatures (RSs). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated to evaluate performance of the RSs.

Results

Intra- and peri-tumoral regions of BC can provide complementary information on the SLN status. In each modality, the Com-RSs derived from combined intra- and peri-tumoral regions always yielded higher AUCs than the Intra-RSs or Peri-RSs. A total of 10 and 11 features were identified as the most important predictors from mammography (DM plus DBT) and MRI (DCE-MRI plus DWI), respectively. The DCE-MRI plus DWI generated higher AUCs compared with DM plus DBT in the training (AUCs, DCE-MRI plus DWI vs. DM plus DBT, 0.897 vs. 0.846) and validation (AUCs, DCE-MRI plus DWI vs. DM plus DBT, 0.826 vs. 0.786) cohort.

Conclusions

Radiomics features from intra- and peri-tumoral regions can provide complementary information to identify the SLNM in both mammography and MRI. The DCE-MRI plus DWI generated lower specificity, but higher AUC, accuracy, sensitivity and negative predictive value compared with DM plus DBT.

A generalized interrupted time series model for assessing complex health care interventions

Assessing the impact of complex interventions on measurable health outcomes is a growing concern in health care and health policy. Interrupted time series (ITS) designs borrow from traditional case-crossover designs and function as quasi-experimental methodology able to retrospectively analyze the impact of an intervention. Statistical models used to analyze ITS designs primarily focus on continuous-valued outcomes. We propose the "Generalized Robust ITS" (GRITS) model appropriate for outcomes whose underlying distribution belongs to the exponential family of distributions, thereby expanding the available methodology to adequately model binary and count responses. GRITS formally implements a test for the existence of a change point in discrete ITS. The methodology proposed is able to test for the existence of and estimate the change point, borrow information across units in multi-unit settings, and test for differences in the mean function and correlation pre- and post-intervention. The methodology is illustrated by analyzing patient falls from a hospital that implemented and evaluated a new care delivery model in multiple units.

Comparison of the marine soundscape before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in dolphin habitat in Sarasota Bay, FL

During the COVID-19 pandemic, changes in vessel activity and associated noise have been reported globally. Sarasota Bay is home to a large and increasing number of recreational vessels as well as a long-term resident community of bottlenose dolphins, Tursiops truncatus. Data were analyzed from two hydrophones to compare the soundscape during the COVID-19 pandemic to previous years (March-May 2020 and 2018/2019). Hourly metrics were calculated: vessel passes, 95th percentile sound levels [125 Hz and 16 kHz third octave bands (TOBs), and two broader bands: 88-1122 Hz and 1781-17 959 Hz], and dolphin whistle detection to understand changes in vessel activity and the effect on wildlife. Vessel activity increased during COVID-19 restrictions by almost 80% at one site and remained the same at the other site. Of the four sound level measures, only the 125 Hz TOB and 88-1122 Hz band increased with vessel activity at both sites, suggesting that these may be appropriate measures of noise from rapid pass-bys of small vessels in very shallow (<10 m) habitats. Dolphin whistle detection decreased during COVID-19 restrictions at one site but remained the same at the site that experienced increased vessel activity. The results suggest that pandemic effects on wildlife should not be viewed as homogeneous globally.

Association of leukocyte telomere length with perceived physical fatigability

BACKGROUND

Leukocyte telomere length (LTL) is a potential genomic marker of biological aging, but its relation to fatigability, a prognostic indicator of phenotypic aging (e.g., functional decline) is unknown. We hypothesized shorter LTL would predict greater perceived physical fatigability, but that this association would be attenuated by adjusting for chronological age.

METHODS

Two generations of participants (N = 1997; 309 probands, 1688 offspring) were from the Long Life Family Study (age = 73.7 ± 10.4, range 60-108, 54.4 % women), a longitudinal cohort study of aging. LTL was assayed at baseline. Perceived physical fatigability was measured 8.0 ± 1.1 years later using the validated, self-administered 10-item Pittsburgh Fatigability Scale (PFS, 0-50, higher scores = greater fatigability). Generalized estimating equations were generated to model the association between LTL and PFS Physical scores.

RESULTS

Prevalence of greater physical fatigability (PFS scores≥15) was 41.9 %. Using generalized estimating equations, a one kilobase pair shorter LTL was associated with higher PFS Physical scores (β = 1.8, p < .0001), accounting for family structure, and adjusting for field center, follow-up time, sex, and follow-up body mass index, physical activity, and chronic health conditions. When age was included as a covariate, the association was fully attenuated (β = 0.1, p = .78).

CONCLUSION

LTL may provide an alternative method for estimating an individual's lifetime exposure to chronic stressors, but does not appear to provide additional information not captured by chronological age. Further research is needed to characterize the interaction between age, LTL, and perceived fatigability, and develop a method of identifying individuals at risk for deleterious aging.

Influence of foods and nutrients on COVID-19 recovery: A multivariate analysis of data from 170 countries using a generalized linear model

BACKGROUND & AIMS

COVID-19 is an emergency public health problem of global importance. This study aimed to investigate the effect of foods and nutrients as complementary approaches on the recovery from COVID-19 in 170 countries, especially considering the complexity of the disease and the current scarcity of active treatments.

METHODS

A retrospective study was performed using the Kaggle database, which links the consumption of various foods with recovery from COVID-19 in 170 countries, using multivariate analysis based on a generalized linear model.

RESULTS

The results showed that certain foods had a positive effect on recovery from COVID-19: eggs, fish and seafood, fruits, meat, milk, starchy roots, stimulants, vegetable products, nuts, vegetable oil and vegetables. In general, consumption of higher levels of proteins and lipids had a positive effect on COVID-19 recovery, whereas high consumption of alcoholic beverages had a negative effect. In developed countries, where hunger had been eradicated, the effect of food on recovery from COVID-19 had a greater magnitude than in countries with a higher global hunger index (GHI), where there was almost no identifiable effect.

CONCLUSION

Several foods had a positive effect on COVID-19 recovery in developed countries, especially food groups with a higher content of lipids, proteins, antioxidants and micronutrients (e.g., selenium and zinc). In countries with extreme poverty (high GHI), foods presented little effect on recovery from COVID-19.

Dengue Meteorological Determinants during Epidemic and Non-Epidemic Periods in Taiwan

The identification of the key factors influencing dengue occurrence is critical for a successful response to the outbreak. It was interesting to consider possible differences in meteorological factors affecting dengue incidence during epidemic and non-epidemic periods. In this study, the overall correlation between weekly dengue incidence rates and meteorological variables were conducted in southern Taiwan (Tainan and Kaohsiung cities) from 2007 to 2017. The lagged-time Poisson regression analysis based on generalized estimating equation (GEE) was also performed. This study found that the best-fitting Poisson models with the smallest QICu values to characterize the relationships between dengue fever cases and meteorological factors in Tainan (QICu = −8.49 × 10−3) and Kaohsiung (−3116.30) for epidemic periods, respectively. During dengue epidemics, the maximum temperature with 2-month lag (β = 0.8400, p < 0.001) and minimum temperature with 5-month lag (0.3832, p < 0.001). During non-epidemic periods, the minimum temperature with 3-month lag (0.1737, p < 0.001) and mean temperature with 2-month lag (2.6743, p < 0.001) had a positive effect on dengue incidence in Tainan and Kaohsiung, respectively.

Trends and Comparisons of Blood Pressure and Fasting Plasma Glucose in Patients with Hypertension, Diabetes, and Comorbidity: 4-Year Follow-Up Data

BACKGROUND

Patients with both diabetes and hypertension could face more health risks than those with either condition alone, and less attention has been paid to their management outcomes, so this study may be the first to specifically address this problem. We aimed to examine the management outcomes of blood pressure (BP) in hypertensive patients with/without diabetes and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in diabetic patients with/without hypertension.

METHODS

Follow-up data were obtained from the National Basic Public Health Service Project in Sanming (2017-2021). A total of 25,795 adults with hypertension only, 4111 adults with diabetes only, and 5729 comorbid adults (namely, hypertensive patients with diabetes) were included. Generalized estimating equations were applied.

RESULTS

Systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in patients with hypertension only both dropped significantly (Coef. = -0.00088, P < 0.001; Coef. = -0.00081, P < 0.001). DBP in comorbid patients decreased considerably (Coef. = -0.00033, P < 0.001). Pulse pressure in comorbid patients grew rapidly (Coef. = 0.00044, P < 0.001). BP control rate in patients with hypertension only increased significantly (OR = 1.00039, P < 0.001). FPG control rates in diabetic patients with/without hypertension grew markedly (OR = 1.00013, P < 0.001; OR = 1.00020, P < 0.001). Comorbid patients had lower baseline SBP and DBP but higher latest SBP than patients with hypertension only (Coef. = -1.18872, P < 0.001; Coef. = -1.16049, P < 0.001; Coef. = 1.0634, P < 0.001). Comorbid patients had lower baseline BP and FPG control rates than those with either condition alone, and differences were greater at the latest follow-up (OR = 0.28086, P < 0.001; OR = 0.91012, P = 0.049; OR = 0.04020, P < 0.001; OR = 0.69465, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

BP and FPG management outcomes have achieved progress. Comorbid patients have poorer performance than patients with either disease alone in BP levels especially the SBP level and control rates of SBP, DBP, and FPG. Future studies should be conducted using national data and include more confounding factors.

Importance of occupation for SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and COVID-19 vaccination among correctional workers in Quebec, Canada: A cross-sectional study

Background

Correctional workers are at increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. We examined the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2, determined the effects of carceral and occupational exposures on seropositivity, and explored predictors of COVID-19 vaccine uptake among correctional workers in Quebec, Canada.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional seroprevalence study in three provincial prisons. The primary and secondary outcomes were SARS-CoV-2 antibody seropositivity (Roche Elecsys^® serology test) and self-reported COVID-19 vaccination status ("fully vaccinated" defined as two doses or prior infection plus one dose), respectively. Poisson regression models with robust standard error were used to examine the effect of occupational variables with SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity and predictors of COVID-19 vaccine uptake. Estimates are presented as crude and adjusted prevalence ratios (aPR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).

Results

From 14 July to 15 November 2021, 105/600 (18%) correctional workers tested positive across three prisons (range 11-21%); 76% were fully vaccinated. Seropositivity was affected by prison occupation (aPR 1.59, 95% CI 1.11-2.27 for correctional officers vs. all other occupations) and low perceived concern of SARS-CoV-2 acquisition (aPR 1.62, 95% CI 1.11-2.38 for not/hardly worried vs. somewhat/extremely worried). Predictors of being fully vaccinated included race/ethnicity (aPR 0.86, 95% CI 0.76-0.99 for visible minority vs. White), presence of comorbidities (aPR 1.14, 95% CI 1.02-1.28 for > 2 vs. none), and prison occupation (aPR 0.82, 95% CI 0.73-0.92 for correctional officers vs. all other occupations).

Conclusions

Correctional officers were most likely to have acquired SARS-CoV-2, but least likely to be vaccinated, underscoring the importance of addressing both occupational risks and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy to mitigate future outbreaks.

Bootstrap-adjusted quasi-likelihood information criteria for mixed model selection

We propose two model selection criteria relying on the bootstrap approach, denoted by QAICb1 and QAICb2, in the framework of linear mixed models. Similar to the justification of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), the proposed QAICb1 and QAICb2 are proved as asymptotically unbiased estimators of the Kullback-Leibler discrepancy between a candidate model and the true model. However, they are defined on the quasi-likelihood function instead of the likelihood and are proven to be asymptotically equivalent. The proposed selection criteria are constructed by the quasi-likelihood of a candidate model and a bias estimation term in which the bootstrap method is adopted to improve the estimation for the bias caused by using the candidate model to estimate the true model. The simulations across a variety of mixed model settings are conducted to demonstrate that the proposed selection criteria outperform some other existing model selection criteria in selecting the true model. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) are utilized to calculate QAICb1 and QAICb2 in the simulations. The effectiveness of the proposed selection criteria is also demonstrated in an application of Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) data.

The association between chiropractic integration in an Ontario community health centre and continued prescription opioid use for chronic non-cancer spinal pain: a sequential explanatory mixed methods study

BACKGROUND

Emerging evidence suggests that access to chiropractic care may reduce the likelihood of initiating an opioid prescription for spinal pain; however, the impact of chiropractic care for patients already prescribed opioids is uncertain. We undertook a sequential explanatory mixed methods study to evaluate the association between initiating chiropractic care and continued opioid use among adult patients attending an Ontario community health centre (CHC) and receiving opioid therapy for chronic non-cancer spinal pain.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 210 patient records between January 1, 2014 and December 31, 2020. We used generalized estimating equations, adjusted for patient demographics, co-morbidities, visit frequency, and calendar year, to evaluate the association between receipt versus non-receipt of chiropractic services and continued opioid use (e.g., unique opioid fills, number of refills, and dosages) up to one year following the index chiropractic visit. We also completed follow-up interviews with 14 patients and nine general practitioners from the CHC and integrated these data with our quantitative findings.

RESULTS

Over 12-month follow-up, there were lower rates of opioid fills (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.52-0.83) and refills (IRR = 0.27; 95% CI, 0.17-0.42) among chiropractic recipients (n = 49) versus non-recipients (n = 161). Although patients who did and did not receive chiropractic care began the study with the same dose of opioids, recipients were less likely to be prescribed higher-dose opioids (i.e., ≥ 50 mg morphine equivalents daily) compared to non-recipients at three months (odds ratio [OR] = 0.14; 95% CI, 0.04-0.47), six months (OR = 0.14; 95% CI, 0.05-0.40), nine months (OR = 0.19; 95% CI, 0.07-0.57), and 12 months (OR = 0.22; 95% CI, 0.08-0.62). Interviews suggested that patient self-efficacy, limited effectiveness of opioids for chronic pain, stigma regarding use of opioids, and access to chiropractic treatment were important influencing factors.

CONCLUSION

We found that continued prescription opioid use among patients with chronic non-cancer spinal pain who received chiropractic care was lower than in patients who did not receive chiropractic care. Four themes emerged in our qualitative interviews to help provide a richer understanding of this association. Randomized controlled trials are needed to establish the effect of chiropractic care on opioid use for chronic spinal pain.

Clinical factors associated with abnormal general movements of preterm newborns during hospitalization in a neonatal intensive care unit

INTRODUCTION

There is no clarity about which clinical variables during hospitalization in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) are associated with abnormal General Movements (GMs).

OBJECTIVE

To describe the trajectory of GMs of preterm newborns and explore the association between clinical variables and the presence of abnormal GMs during the NICU stay.

METHODS

Fifty-eight preterm newborns (33 males), with a mean gestational age at birth of 31,93 week's postmenstrual age, were evaluated using the GMs assessment by Hadders-Algra method. Clinical variables recorded weekly throughout the hospitalization period. The weekly association between clinical variables and the presence of abnormal GMs was tested using the Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) model.

RESULTS

Preterm infants were recorded for up to sixteen weeks and more than half of the infants (56.9 %) had abnormal movements in at least one week during hospitalization. The absence of peri-intraventricular hemorrhage (PIVH) grades I-II and non-invasive ventilatory support and/or oxygen therapy on the day of the evaluation reduced, respectively, by 77.3 % (OR = 0.23; p > 0.0001) and 64.3 % (OR = 0.36; p > 0.0001) the chance of having an abnormal classification. In addition, each day of increased invasive mechanical ventilation increased the chance of having an abnormal classification by 1.11 times (OR = 0.025; p > 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

PIVH grades I-II, longer durations of mechanical ventilation and the presence of non-invasive ventilatory support and/or oxygen therapy are associated with abnormal movements during stay in the neonatal period. The data suggest that development outcome of infants having these conditions should be closely monitored.

Assessing the indoor air quality and their predictor variable in 21 home offices during the Covid-19 pandemic in Norway

In this study, concentrations of pollutants: formaldehyde, carbon dioxide (CO₂), and total volatile organic compounds (TVOC) and parameters: indoor room temperature and relative humidity (RH) were measured in 21 home offices for at least one week in winter in Trondheim, Norway. Eleven of these were measured again for the same duration in summer. Potentially explanatory variables of these parameters were collected, including building and renovation year, house type, building location, trickle vent status, occupancy, wood stove, floor material, pets, RH, and air temperature. The association between indoor air pollutants and their potential predictor variables was analyzed using generalized estimation equations to determine the significant parameters to control pollutants. Significantly seasonal differences in concentrations were observed for CO₂ and formaldehyde, while no significant seasonal difference was observed for TVOC. For TVOC and formaldehyde, trickle vent, RH, and air temperature were among the most important predictor variables. Although higher concentrations of CO₂ were measured in cases where the trickle vent was closed, the most important predictor variables for CO₂ were season, RH, and indoor air temperature. The formaldehyde concentrations were higher outside working hours but mostly below health thresholds recommendations; for CO₂, 11 of the measured cases had indoor concentrations exceeding 1000 ppm in 10% of the measured time. For TVOC, the concentrations were above the recommended values by WHO in 73% of the cases. RH was generally low in winter. The temperature was generally kept over the recommended level of 22-24 °C during working hours.

Visual acuity outcomes after cataract surgery in type 2 diabetes: the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) study

AIMS

To evaluate visual acuity (VA) outcomes of cataract surgery, and factors associated with good visual outcomes, among a population with diabetes.

METHODS

Participants with type 2 diabetes enrolled in The Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) study and ACCORD-eye substudy. 1136 eyes of 784 ACCORD participants receiving cataract surgery during follow-up (2001-2014) were included. Of these, 362 eyes had fundus photographs gradable for diabetic retinopathy. The main outcome measure was the achievement of postoperative VA of 20/40 or better.

RESULTS

In the sample of 1136 eyes, 762 eyes (67.1%) achieved good visual outcome of 20/40 or better. Factors predictive of good visual outcome were higher level of educational attainment (college vs some high school, OR 2.35 (95% CI 1.44 to 3.82)), bilateral cataract surgery (OR 1.55 (1.14 to 2.10)) and preoperative VA (20/20 or better vs worse than 20/200, OR 10.59 (4.07 to 27.54)). Factors not significantly associated (p>0.05) included age, sex, race, smoking, diabetes duration, blood pressure, lipid levels and haemoglobin A1C (HbA1C). In the subsample of 362 eyes, absence of diabetic retinopathy was associated with good visual outcome (OR 1.73 (1.02 to 2.94)).

CONCLUSION

Among individuals with diabetes, two-thirds of eyes achieved good visual outcome after cataract surgery. Notable factors associated with visual outcome included preoperative VA and diabetic retinopathy, but not HbA1C, underscoring that while certain ocular measures may help evaluate visual potential, systemic parameters may not be as valuable. Sociodemographic factors might also be important considerations. Although the current visual prognosis after cataract surgery is usually favourable, certain factors still limit the visual potential in those with diabetes.

Topical Antibiotic Prophylaxis and Intravitreal Injections: Impact on the Incidence of Acute Endophthalmitis-A Nationwide Study in France from 2009 to 2018

Background: The dramatic increase in intravitreal injections (IVTs) has been accompanied by a greater need for safer procedures. The ongoing debate about topical antibiotic prophylaxis after IVTs emphasizes the importance of large-scale studies. We aimed to study the role of topical antibiotic prophylaxis in reducing the risk of acute endophthalmitis after IVTs. Methods: Population-based cohort study, in France, from 2009 to 2018, including all French patients receiving IVTs of corticosteroids or anti-VEGF agents. Results: A total of 5,291,420 IVTs were performed on 605,434 patients. The rate of topical antibiotic prophylaxis after IVTs progressively decreased during the study period, with a sharp drop in 2014 (from 84.6% in 2009 to 27.4% in 2018). Acute endophthalmitis occurred in 1274 cases (incidence rate = 0.0241%). Although antibiotic prophylaxis did not alter the risk of endophthalmitis (p = 0.06), univariate analysis showed an increased risk after fluoroquinolone and aminoglycoside prophylaxis. This increased risk was not found in multivariate analysis. However, we observed an increased risk related to the use of fixed combinations of fluoroquinolones and aminoglycosides with corticosteroids (IRR = 1.89; 95% CI = 1.57–2.27%, antibiotics combined with corticosteroids). Conclusion: These results are consistent with the literature. Endophthalmitis rates after IVTs did not decrease with topical antibiotic prophylaxis. The use of a combination of antibiotics and corticosteroids doubles the risk of endophthalmitis and should be avoided. Avoiding antibiotic prophylaxis would reduce the costs and the potential risks of antibiotic resistance.

Serum lactate is associated with increased illness severity in immunocompromised pediatric hematology oncology patients presenting to the emergency department with fever

Introduction

Determining which febrile pediatric hematology/oncology (PHO) patients will decompensate from severe infection is a significant challenge. Serum lactate is a well-established marker of illness severity in general adult and pediatric populations, however its utility in PHO patients is unclear given that chemotherapy, organ dysfunction, and cancer itself can alter lactate metabolism. In this retrospective analysis, we studied the association of initial serum lactate in febrile immunosuppressed PHO patients with illness severity, defined by the incidence of clinical deterioration events (CDE) and invasive bacterial infection (IBI) within 48 hours.

Methods

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were reported using initial lactate within two hours of arrival as the sole predictor for CDE and IBI within 48 hours. Using a generalized estimating equations (GEE) approach, the association of lactate with CDE and IBI within 48 hours was tested in univariate and multivariable analyses including covariates based on Quasi-likelihood under Independence Model Criterion (QIC). Additionally, the association of lactate with secondary outcomes (i.e., hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (PICU) admission, PICU LOS, non-invasive infection) was assessed.

Results

Among 897 encounters, 48 encounters had ≥1 CDE (5%), and 96 had ≥1 IBI (11%) within 48 hours. Elevated lactate was associated with increased CDE in univariate (OR 1.77, 95%CI: 1.48-2.12, p<0.001) and multivariable (OR 1.82, 95%CI: 1.43-2.32, p<0.001) analyses, longer hospitalization (OR 1.15, 95%CI: 1.07-1.24, p<0.001), increased PICU admission (OR 1.68, 95%CI: 1.41-2.0, p<0.001), and longer PICU LOS (OR 1.21, 95%CI: 1.04-1.4, p=0.01). Elevated lactate was associated with increased IBI in univariate (OR 1.40, 95%CI: 1.16-1.69, p<0.001) and multivariable (OR 1.49, 95%CI: 1.23-1.79, p<0.001) analyses. Lactate level was not significantly associated with increased odds of non-invasive infection (p=0.09). The QIC of the model was superior with lactate included for both CDE (305 vs. 325) and IBI (563 vs. 579).

Conclusions

These data demonstrated an independent association of elevated initial lactate level and increased illness severity in febrile PHO patients, suggesting that serum lactate could be incorporated into future risk stratification strategies for this population.

Quantitative parameters of enhanced dual-energy computed tomography for differentiating lung cancers from benign lesions in solid pulmonary nodules

Objectives

This study aimed to investigate the ability of quantitative parameters of dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) and nodule size for differentiation between lung cancers and benign lesions in solid pulmonary nodules.

Materials and Methods

A total of 151 pathologically confirmed solid pulmonary nodules including 78 lung cancers and 73 benign lesions from 147 patients were consecutively and retrospectively enrolled who underwent dual-phase contrast-enhanced DECT. The following features were analyzed: diameter, volume, Lung CT Screening Reporting and Data System (Lung-RADS) categorization, and DECT-derived quantitative parameters including effective atomic number (Zeff), iodine concentration (IC), and normalized iodine concentration (NIC) in arterial and venous phases. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to build a combined model. The diagnostic performance was assessed by area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity.

Results

The independent factors for differentiating lung cancers from benign solid pulmonary nodules included diameter, Lung-RADS categorization of diameter, volume, Zeff in arterial phase (Zeff_A), IC in arterial phase (IC_A), NIC in arterial phase (NIC_A), Zeff in venous phase (Zeff_V), IC in venous phase (IC_V), and NIC in venous phase (NIC_V) (all P < 0.05). The IC_V, NIC_V, and combined model consisting of diameter and NIC_V showed good diagnostic performance with AUCs of 0.891, 0.888, and 0.893, which were superior to the diameter, Lung-RADS categorization of diameter, volume, Zeff_A, and Zeff_V (all P < 0.001). The sensitivities of IC_V, NIC_V, and combined model were higher than those of IC_A and NIC_A (all P < 0.001). The combined model did not increase the AUCs compared with IC_V (P = 0.869) or NIC_V (P = 0.633).

Conclusion

The DECT-derived IC_V and NIC_V may be useful in differentiating lung cancers from benign lesions in solid pulmonary nodules.

Factors associated with worsening sexual function during adjuvant endocrine therapy in a prospective clinic-based cohort of women with early-stage breast cancer

PURPOSE

Sexual function problems are common but under-reported among women receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy for breast cancer. Worsening scores on patient-reported outcomes (PROs) may identify those at risk for sexual function problems during treatment. We performed a secondary analysis of prospectively collected PROs in women receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy to identify factors associated with worsening sexual function.

METHODS

Women with stage 0-III breast cancer initiating adjuvant endocrine therapy participating in a prospective cohort completed PROs at baseline, 3, 6, 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months. Sexual function was evaluated by the MOS-SP measure. Other measures included PROMIS pain interference, fatigue, depression, anxiety, physical function, and sleep disturbance and the Endocrine Symptom Subscale of the FACT-ES. We evaluated associations between score worsening of at least the minimal important difference (MID) in PROMIS T-scores (4 points) and FACT-ES scores (5 points) with score worsening of at least the MID in MOS-SP scores (8 points) using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among 300 participants, 45.7% experienced ≥ 8-point worsening of MOS-SP score at any time point compared to baseline. Worsening endocrine symptoms (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.22-1.49, p < 0.001), worsening physical function (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.00-1.18, p = 0.06), and prior mastectomy (OR 1.45, 95% CI 0.94-2.23, p = 0.09) were associated with MOS-SP score worsening by at least the MID.

CONCLUSION

Worsening endocrine symptoms and physical function identified on PROs are associated with worsening sexual function during adjuvant endocrine therapy. Routine assessment of these domains with PROs may identify women at risk for sexual function problems.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT01937052; Date of Registration: 09/09/2013.

Risk factors of under-five mortality in Ethiopia using count data regression models, 2021

Background

Despite the global reduction in under-five mortality, still many children die before their fifth birthday in Ethiopia. The main aim of this study was to identify determinants of under-five mortality using count data regression models based on 2019 Ethiopia mini demography and health survey data.

Methods

The data source for this study was the 2019 Ethiopia mini demography and health survey data. Various count data regression models were applied to identify the determinants of under-five mortality.

Results

A total of 5,535 mothers with children aged 0–59 months were included in the study. Of the total, 1,277 (23.07%) women had lost at least one child by death before celebrating fifth birthday. Zero-Inflated Poisson model was found to be the best model, and it revealed that mother's age, marital status, mother's age at 1st birth, place of delivery, current contraceptive type used, type of cooking fuel, residence, region, religion, time to get drinking water, number of children at home, birth order, and birth type were significant factors that determine U5 mortality in Ethiopia.

Mothers aged 15–24 years (IRR = 1.24, p = 0.007) and above 24 years (IRR = 1.66, p = 0.000) at their 1st births, mothers from rural area (IRR = 1.27, p = 0.000), mothers traveled for 1–30 min (IRR = 1.62, p = 0.000) and >30 min (IRR = 1.82, p = 0.000) to get drinking water, mothers used charcoal (IRR = 1.86, p = 0.009) and wood (IRR = 1.64, p = 0.033), children with birth order of 2nd-3rd (IRR = 3.91, p = 0.000), 4th -5th (IRR = 13.14, p = 0.000), 5th and above (IRR = 38.17, p = 0.000), and multiple born children (IRR = 1.5, p = 0.000) had higher risk of under-five mortality while mothers aged 25–34 years (IRR = 0.73, p = 0.000), unmarried mothers (IRR = 0.68, p = 0.004), mothers delivered in public health sectors (IRR = 0.59, p = 0.000), mothers used Pill/IUD (IRR = 0.64, p = 0.018), mothers who had 3 to 5 (IRR = 0.51, p = 0.000) and more than 5 (IRR = 0.27, p = 0.000) children at home had lower risk of under-five mortality.

Conclusions

Mothers should be encouraged to deliver at health institutions. Mothers also should be given awareness to use Pill/IUD contraceptive type. Moreover, facilitating rural areas to get electricity and drinking water near to homes helps to reduce the burden of U5M and to be in line with sustainable development goal.

•

Our study was an attempt to identify the risk factors for under-five mortality in Ethiopia.

•

We used 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic and health Survey data.

•

Analyses were done using Statistical sofwares R, Stata, and SPSS.

•

Count Data Regression Models were employed to identify the risk factors of under-five mortality.

•

The best model that fits the data well was selected using selection criterion like AIC, BIC.

•

Zero-Inflated Poisson model was found to fit the data well.

•

The study found that mother's age, marital status of mother, age of mother's at first birth, place of delivery, place of residence, time to get drinking water, number of children at home, birth order, type of birth were statistically significant determinants for under-five mortality in Ethiopia.

Responses to natural gas development differ by season for two migratory ungulates

While migrating, animals make directionally persistent movements and may only respond to human-induced rapid environmental change (HIREC), such as climate and land-use change, once a threshold of HIREC is surpassed. In contrast, animals on other seasonal ranges (e.g., winter range) make more localized and tortuous movements while foraging and may have the flexibility to adjust the location of their range and the intensity of use within it to minimize interactions with HIREC. Because of these seasonal differences in movement, animals on seasonal ranges should avoid areas that contain any level of HIREC, however, during migration, animals should use areas that contain low levels of HIREC, avoiding it only once a threshold of HIREC has been surpassed. We tested this hypothesis using a decade of GPS collar data collected from migratory mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus; n = 56 migration, 143 winter) and pronghorn (Antilocapra americana; n = 70 migration, 89 winter) that winter on and migrate through a natural gas field in western Wyoming. Using surface disturbance caused by well pads and roads as an index of HIREC, we evaluated behavioral responses across three spatial scales during winter and migration seasons. During migration, both species tolerated low levels of disturbance. Once a disturbance threshold was surpassed, however, they avoided HIREC. For mule deer, thresholds were consistently ~3%, whereas thresholds for pronghorn ranged from 1% to 9.25% surface disturbance. In contrast to migration, both species generally avoided all levels of HIREC while on winter range. Our study suggests that animal responses to HIREC are mediated by season-specific movement patterns. Our results provide further evidence of ungulates avoiding human disturbance on winter range and reveal disturbance thresholds that trigger mule deer and pronghorn responses during migration: information that managers can use to maintain the ecological function of migration routes and winter ranges.

A Comparison of Patient- and Clinician-Reported Acute Toxic Effects During Radiation Therapy for Primary Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Evidence suggests that cancer treatment-related toxic effects are underreported by clinicians. We sought to compare patient- and clinician-reported acute toxic effects among patients undergoing radiation therapy for primary breast cancer and to determine factors associated with patient-clinician discordance.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patient responses from a weekly Patient-Reported Outcomes version of the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events based assessment were matched to clinician assessments of acute toxic effects during treatment. Weighted κ statistics were used to evaluate agreement between patient and clinician assessments. Linear regression, logistic regression, and generalized estimating equation models were used to identify covariates associated with discordance.

RESULTS

Overall, 842 patient-clinician assessment pairs from 376 unique patients were analyzed. Total symptom burden score was higher for patients than clinicians (4.7 vs 2.3, P < .01). Dermatitis, pruritis, pain, and edema items were classified as having minimal agreement (κ of 0.25, 0.23, 0.20, and 0.25, respectively). Fatigue (κ 0.17) and psychosocial (0.03) patient-clinician pairs were found to have no agreement. The linear regression demonstrated that assessments by patients who identified as Black or African American were associated with a 0.13-point decrease in discordance (95% confidence interval, -0.25 to -0.01), while time from the start of treatment was associated with increased discordance (95% confidence interval, 0.07-0.12).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients undergoing breast radiation therapy, discordance in patient and clinician symptom reporting is high and increases as treatment progresses. The mechanism of reduced discordance among Black or African American patients warrants further investigation. Prospective studies are needed to determine whether interventions for lower severity symptoms, which are commonly overlooked by clinicians, can reduce symptom burden and improve patient quality of life during radiation therapy.

Risky business: How an herbivore navigates spatiotemporal aspects of risk from competitors and predators

Understanding factors that influence animal behavior is central to ecology. Basic principles of animal ecology imply that individuals should seek to maximize survival and reproduction, which means carefully weighing risk against reward. Decisions become increasingly complex and constrained, however, when risk is spatiotemporally variable. We advance a growing body of work in predator-prey behavior by evaluating novel questions where a prey species is confronted with multiple predators and a potential competitor. We tested how fine-scale behavior of female mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) during the reproductive season shifted depending upon spatial and temporal variation in risk from predators and a potential competitor. We expected female deer to avoid areas of high risk when movement activity of predators and a competitor were high. We used GPS data collected from 76 adult female mule deer, 35 adult female elk, 33 adult coyotes, and six adult mountain lions. Counter to our expectations, female deer exhibited selection for multiple risk factors, however, selection for risk was dampened by the exposure to risk within home ranges of female deer, producing a functional response in habitat selection. Furthermore, temporal variation in movement activity of predators and elk across the diel cycle did not result in a shift in movement activity by female deer. Instead, the average level of risk within their home range was the predominant factor modulating the response to risk by female deer. Our results counter prevailing hypotheses of how large herbivores navigate risky landscapes and emphasize the importance of accounting for the local environment when identifying effects of risk on animal behavior. Moreover, our findings highlight additional behavioral mechanisms used by large herbivores to mitigate multiple sources of predation and potential competitive interactions.

Carbon Dioxide, Blood Pressure, and Perioperative Stroke: A Retrospective Case-Control Study

BACKGROUND

The relationship between intraoperative physiology and postoperative stroke is incompletely understood. Preliminary data suggest that either hypo- or hypercapnia coupled with reduced cerebrovascular inflow (e.g., due to hypotension) can lead to ischemia. This study tested the hypothesis that the combination of intraoperative hypotension and either hypo- or hypercarbia is associated with postoperative ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, case-control study via the Multicenter Perioperative Outcomes Group. Noncardiac, nonintracranial, and nonmajor vascular surgical cases (18 yr or older) were extracted from five major academic centers between January 2004 and December 2015. Ischemic stroke cases were identified via manual chart review and matched to controls (1:4). Time and reduction below key mean arterial blood pressure thresholds (less than 55 mmHg, less than 60 mmHg, less than 65 mmHg) and outside of specific end-tidal carbon dioxide thresholds (30 mmHg or less, 35 mmHg or less, 45 mmHg or greater) were calculated based on total area under the curve. The association between stroke and total area under the curve values was then tested while adjusting for relevant confounders.

RESULTS

In total, 1,244,881 cases were analyzed. Among the cases that screened positive for stroke (n = 1,702), 126 were confirmed and successfully matched with 500 corresponding controls. Total area under the curve was significantly associated with stroke for all thresholds tested, with the strongest combination observed with mean arterial pressure less than 55 mmHg (adjusted odds ratio per 10 mmHg-min, 1.17 [95% CI, 1.10 to 1.23], P < 0.0001) and end-tidal carbon dioxide 45 mmHg or greater (adjusted odds ratio per 10 mmHg-min, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.10 to 1.11], P < 0.0001). There was no interaction effect observed between blood pressure and carbon dioxide.

CONCLUSIONS

Intraoperative hypotension and carbon dioxide dysregulation may each independently increase postoperative stroke risk.

EDITOR’S PERSPECTIVE

Disruption of Sleep Continuity During the Perimenopause: Associations with Female Reproductive Hormone Profiles

CONTEXT

Nocturnal vasomotor symptoms (nVMS), depressive symptoms (DepSx), and female reproductive hormone changes contribute to perimenopause-associated disruption in sleep continuity. Hormonal changes underlie both nVMS and DepSx. However, their association with sleep continuity parameters resulting in perimenopause-associated sleep disruption remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine the association between female reproductive hormones and perimenopausal sleep discontinuity independent of nVMS and DepSx.

METHODS

Daily sleep and VMS diaries, and weekly serum assays of female reproductive hormones were obtained for 8 consecutive weeks in 45 perimenopausal women with mild DepSx but no primary sleep disorder. Generalized estimating equations were used to examine associations of estradiol, progesterone, and follicle stimulating hormone (FSH) with mean number of nightly awakenings, wakefulness after sleep onset (WASO) and sleep-onset latency (SOL) adjusting for nVMS and DepSx.

RESULTS

Sleep disruption was common (median 1.5 awakenings/night, WASO 24.3 and SOL 20.0 minutes). More awakenings were associated with estradiol levels in the postmenopausal range (β = 0.14; 95% CI, 0.04 to 0.24; P = 0.007), and higher FSH levels (β [1-unit increase] = 0.12; 95% CI, 0.02 to 0.22; P = 0.02), but not with progesterone (β [1-unit increase] = -0.02; 95% CI, -0.06 to 0.01; P = 0.20) in adjusted models. Female reproductive hormones were not associated with WASO or SOL.

CONCLUSION

Associations of more awakenings with lower estradiol and higher FSH levels provide support for a perimenopause-associated sleep discontinuity condition that is linked with female reproductive hormone changes, independent of nVMS and DepSx.