Coronary artery calcium and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with lymphoma undergoing autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation

BACKGROUND

Patients undergoing autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) have a >2-fold risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD; heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke), compared to the general population. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is predictive of CVD in nononcology patients but is not as well studied in patients who underwent HCT and survivors of HCT.The objective of this study was to examine the association between CAC and CVD risk and outcomes after HCT in patients with lymphoma.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of 243 consecutive patients who underwent a first autologous HCT for lymphoma between 2009 and 2014. CAC (Agatston score) was determined from chest computed tomography obtained <60 days from HCT. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to calculate hazard ratio (HR) estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for covariates (age, conventional risk factors [e.g., hypertension and dyslipidemia], and cancer treatment).

RESULTS

The median age at HCT was 55.7 years (range, 18.5-75.1 years), 59% were male, and 60% were non-Hispanic White. The prevalence of CAC was 37%. The 5-year CVD incidence for the cohort was 12%, and there was an incremental increase in the incidence according to CAC score: 0 (6%), 1-100 (20%), and >100 (32%) (p = .001). CAC was significantly associated with CVD risk (HR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.2-7.5) and worse 5-year survival (77% vs. 50%; p < .001; HR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1-3.4), compared to those without CAC.

CONCLUSIONS

CAC is independently associated with CVD and survival after HCT. This highlights the importance of integrating readily available imaging information in risk stratification and decision-making in patients undergoing HCT, which sets the stage for strategies to optimize outcomes after HCT.

Decoding 2.3 million ECGs: interpretable deep learning for advancing cardiovascular diagnosis and mortality risk stratification

Aims

Electrocardiogram (ECG) is widely considered the primary test for evaluating cardiovascular diseases. However, the use of artificial intelligence (AI) to advance these medical practices and learn new clinical insights from ECGs remains largely unexplored. We hypothesize that AI models with a specific design can provide fine-grained interpretation of ECGs to advance cardiovascular diagnosis, stratify mortality risks, and identify new clinically useful information.

Methods and results

Utilizing a data set of 2 322 513 ECGs collected from 1 558 772 patients with 7 years follow-up, we developed a deep-learning model with state-of-the-art granularity for the interpretable diagnosis of cardiac abnormalities, gender identification, and hypertension screening solely from ECGs, which are then used to stratify the risk of mortality. The model achieved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) scores of 0.998 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.995-0.999), 0.964 (95% CI, 0.963-0.965), and 0.839 (95% CI, 0.837-0.841) for the three diagnostic tasks separately. Using ECG-predicted results, we find high risks of mortality for subjects with sinus tachycardia (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.24, 1.96-2.57), and atrial fibrillation (adjusted HR of 2.22, 1.99-2.48). We further use salient morphologies produced by the deep-learning model to identify key ECG leads that achieved similar performance for the three diagnoses, and we find that the V1 ECG lead is important for hypertension screening and mortality risk stratification of hypertensive cohorts, with an AUC of 0.816 (0.814-0.818) and a univariate HR of 1.70 (1.61-1.79) for the two tasks separately.

Conclusion

Using ECGs alone, our developed model showed cardiologist-level accuracy in interpretable cardiac diagnosis and the advancement in mortality risk stratification. In addition, it demonstrated the potential to facilitate clinical knowledge discovery for gender and hypertension detection which are not readily available.

Impact of coronary artery calcium on mortality and cardiovascular events in metabolic syndrome and diabetes among younger adults

AIMS

Whether coronary artery calcium (CAC) testing in younger individuals with metabolic syndrome (MetS) and diabetes mellitus (DM) helps predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) and death independent of traditional risk factors (RFs) remains less clear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We pooled data obtained from 5174 individuals aged 38-55 years from the CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults; n = 3047, year 20) and MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis; n = 2127, Visit 1) studies who completed computed tomography of CAC. The mean age (SD) of participants (44.7% men) was 47.3 (4.2) years. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), and all-cause death. There were 1085 participants (21.0%) with prevalent CAC at baseline. A total of 461 (8.9%) had DM, 1025 (19.8%) had MetS without DM, and 3688 (71.3%) had neither condition. Over a median follow-up of 14.2 years, 256 (5.0%) participants died, and 304 (5.9%) CVD and 188 (3.6%) CHD events occurred. The CAC score was independently associated with incident CVD in those with DM (HR: 95% CI; 1.22: 1.08-1.38), MetS (1.18: 1.08-1.31), and neither condition (1.36: 1.26-1.46). The corresponding HRs for CAC ≥ 100 were 2.70 (1.25-5.83), 3.29 (1.87-5.79), and 6.30 (4.02-9.86), respectively. Similar associations for CHD and death were found. The impact of CAC ≥ 100 on CVD and CHD was lower in the presence of DM (P interaction < 0.05). The association of CAC with all outcomes in individuals with DM remained significant after adjusting with haemoglobin A1c levels.

CONCLUSION

Coronary artery calcium score is independently associated with cardiovascular events and death over nearly 15 years after screening at ages 38-55 years, with a less pronounced impact on CVD and CHD events in the presence of DM.

Identifying Coronary Artery Calcification Using Chest X-ray Radiographs and Machine Learning: The Role of the Radiomics Score

PURPOSE

To evaluate the ability of radiomics score (RS)-based machine learning to identify moderate to severe coronary artery calcium (CAC) on chest x-ray radiographs (CXR).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included 559 patients who underwent a CAC scan with CXR obtained within 6 months and divided them into training (n = 391) and validation (n = 168) cohorts. We extracted radiomic features from annotated cardiac contours in the CXR images and developed an RS through feature selection with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression in the training cohort. We evaluated the incremental value of the RS in predicting CAC scores when combined with basic clinical factor in the validation cohort. To predict a CAC score ≥100, we built an RS-based machine learning model using random forest; the input variables were age, sex, body mass index, and RS.

RESULTS

The RS was the most prominent factor for the CAC score ≥100 predictions (odds ratio = 2.33; 95% confidence interval: 1.62-3.44; P < 0.001) compared with basic clinical factor. The machine learning model was tested in the validation cohort and showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.808 (95% confidence interval: 0.75-0.87) for a CAC score ≥100 predictions.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of an RS-based machine learning model may have the potential as an imaging marker to screen patients with moderate to severe CAC scores before diagnostic imaging tests, and it may improve the pretest probability of detecting coronary artery disease in clinical practice.

Social disadvantage, coronary artery calcium, and their interplay in the prediction of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Social determinants of health (SDOH) are key for the identification of populations at increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, whether at the individual level SDOH improve current ASCVD risk prediction paradigms beyond traditional risk factors and the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, is unknown. We evaluated the interplay between CAC and SDOH in ASCVD risk prediction.

METHODS

MESA is a prospective study of US adults free of clinical ASCVD at baseline. We used an SDOH index inclusive of 14 determinants from 5 domains. The index ranged 0-1 and was divided into quartiles, with higher ones representing worse SDOH. Cox regression was used to evaluate the adjusted associations between CAC, SDOH, their interplay, and ASCVD events. The C-statistic was computed to assess improvement in risk discrimination for prediction of ASCVD events.

RESULTS

We included 6479 MESA participants (50% with CAC = 0, 24% CAC>100). ASCVD incidence increased with increasing CAC scores across SDOH quartiles. The lowest incidence was noted in those with CAC = 0 and favourable SDOH (2/1000 person-years) and highest in those with CAC>100 and most unfavourable SDOH (20.6/1000 person-years). While CAC was strongly associated with ASCVD across SDOH quartiles, SDOH was weakly associated with ASCVD across CAC strata. CAC improved the discriminatory ability of all prediction models beyond traditional risk factors, the improvement in C-statistic ranging +0.02 - +0.05. Improvements with SDOH were smaller, and were none on top of CAC.

CONCLUSIONS

CAC improves ASCVD risk stratification across the spectrum of social vulnerability, while SDOH fail to improve risk prediction beyond traditional RFs and CAC.

Predictors of long-term absence of coronary artery calcium in individuals with high blood pressure: results from the MESA study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Individuals with high blood pressure (BP) have varying risks of cardiovascular events due to other coexisting factors. We aimed to identify the predictors of long-term absence of coronary artery calcium (CAC) in individuals with high BP, which is an indicator of healthy arterial aging and can guide preventive strategies.

METHODS

We analyzed data from participants with high BP (≥120/80 mm Hg) in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who had baseline CAC = 0 and underwent a second CAC scanning after 10 years. We used multivariable logistic regression to evaluate the association between various risk factors for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and long-term CAC = 0. We also calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to predict the phenotype of healthy arterial aging in this population.

RESULTS

We included 830 participants (37.6% male, mean ± SD age of 59.4 ± 8.7 years). During follow-up, 46.5% of participants (n = 386) had CAC = 0, and they were younger and had fewer metabolic syndrome components. Adding ASCVD risk factors to the demographic model (age, sex, and ethnicity) moderately increased the predictive value for long-term CAC = 0 (AUC: demographic model + ASCVD risk factors vs. demographic model alone, 0.653 vs. 0.597, p < .001; category net reclassification improvement = 0.104, p = .044; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.040, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

In individuals with high BP and initial CAC = 0, over 40% maintained CAC = 0 during a 10-year follow-up, which was associated with fewer ASCVD risk factors. These findings may have implications for preventive strategies in individuals with high BP.Clinical Trial registration number: The MESA was registered at clinical trials. gov as NCT00005487.KEY MESSAGESNearly half (46.5%) of individuals with high blood pressure (BP) maintained a long-term absence of coronary artery calcium (CAC) during a 10-year follow-up, and this was associated with a 66.6% lower risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events compared to those who developed incident CAC.Individuals with high BP, who are usually assumed to have an increased risk of ASCVD, exhibit significant heterogeneity in their ASCVD risk; those who maintain CAC = 0 have a lower ASCVD risk.Adding overall ASCVD risk factors to demographic information resulted in a moderate improvement in predicting long-term CAC = 0.

Coronary artery calcium score is a prognostic factor for mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular diseases are frequent in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and impact on survival. We investigated the association of coronary artery calcium (CAC) score at IPF diagnosis and during mid-term follow-up, with adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with IPF were retrospectively analyzed. Demographic data, smoking history, comorbidities and pulmonary function tests (PFTs) were recorded. All patients had at least two chest high resolution computed tomography (HRCT) performed 2 years apart. The total CAC score and visual fibrotic score were calculated, and all clinically significant cardiovascular events and deaths were reported.

RESULTS

The population consisted of 79 patients (57 males, mean age: 74.4±7.6 years); 67% of patients had a history of smoking, 48% of hypertension, 37% of dyslipidemia and 22.8% of diabetes. The visual score was 21.28±7.99% at T0 and 26.54±9.34% at T1, respectively (T1-T0 5.26±6.13%, P<0.001). CAC score at T0 and at T1 was 537.93±839.94 and 759.98±1027.6, respectively (T1-T0 224.66±406.87, P<0.001). Mean follow-up time was 2.47±1.1 years. On multivariate analysis, male sex (HR=3.58, 95% CI: 1.14-11.2) and CAC score at T0 (HR=1.04, 95% CI: 1.01-1.07) correlated with mortality and cardiovascular events. CAC score at T0≥405 showed 82% sensitivity and 100% specificity for predicting mortality and adverse cardiovascular events.

CONCLUSIONS

IPF patients with a CAC score at diagnosis ≥405 have a poor prognosis over a mid-term follow-up. A higher CAC score is associated with mortality and cardiovascular events.

Interpreting the Coronary Artery Calcium Score - Critical Information for the Practicing Physician

Coronary artery calcium scanning is a routine test for assessing the severity of atherosclerosis in asymptomatic individuals. This inexpensive, noninvasive test quantifies the calcium deposition in the 4 principal coronary arteries. Correct interpretation is important to the physician (for recommending therapy) and to the patient (for determining his or her lifetime risk of a cardiovascular event). A score of 0 indicates that a cardiovascular event is extremely unlikely in the next 5 years. In contrast, a score greater than 0 portends a coronary event. The higher the score, the greater the risk. Both the arterial location of the calcium and the number of coronary arteries involved alter the interpretation of the calcium score. At any given age, females have significantly lower scores than males. One-third of individuals with scores greater than 1000 will have a cardiovascular event within 3 years. For all elevated calcium scores, aggressive treatment is warranted, including significant lifestyle changes and medications to reduce low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Understanding the importance of the coronary artery calcium score will result in improved therapy and patient compliance.

Using Coronary Artery Calcium Score as Diagnostic Tool in Symptomatic Chronic Coronary Syndrome Patients in a Real-Life Setting

Background

The coronary artery calcium (CAC) score can be used to increase (CAC score > 0) or decrease (CAC score = 0) the likelihood of coronary artery disease (CAD). We compared the CAC score with the pre-test probability (PTP) for CAD (low, intermediate, and high). Furthermore, we compared the CAC score with exercise electrocardiography (ECG) and compared both tests with coronary angiography.

Methods and Results

We retrospectively identified patients with angina and/or dyspnea for whom CAC score was used to increase or decrease the likelihood of CAD. Of 882 patients, majority had low (45%) or intermediate (44%) PTP. Patients with higher PTP had significantly higher CAC scores (Cramer's V = 0.29, p < 0.0001). Most patients (57%) had a CAC score of zero, especially those with low (73%) and intermediate (49%) PTP. However, 20% of patients with high PTP had CAC score of zero. Higher CAC scores were observed in patients with abnormal exercise ECG, but association was weak and not significant (Cramer's V = 0.13, p = 0.08). Moreover, more than 40% of patients with an abnormal exercise ECG had CAC score of zero. Higher CAC scores were associated with more severe abnormalities on coronary angiography (Cramer's V = 0.43, p < 0.0001), whereas there was no association between results of exercise ECG and coronary angiography (Cramer's V = 0.11, p = 0.91).

Conclusion

CAC score can be used in addition to PTP to increase or decrease the likelihood of CAD, and it might be more useful than exercise ECG in the diagnostic work-up of chest pain.

Life's Essential 8: Optimizing Health in Older Adults

The population worldwide is getting older as a result of advances in public health, medicine, and technology. Older individuals are living longer with a higher prevalence of subclinical and clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD). In 2010, the American Heart Association introduced a list of key prevention targets, known as "Life's Simple 7" to increase CVD-free survival, longevity, and quality of life. In 2022, sleep health was added to expand the recommendations to "Life's Essential 8" (eat better, be more active, stop smoking, get adequate sleep, manage weight, manage cholesterol, manage blood pressure, and manage diabetes). These prevention targets are intended to apply regardless of chronologic age. During this same time, the understanding of aging biology and goals of care for older adults further enhanced the relevance of prevention across the range of functions. From a biological perspective, aging is a complex cellular process characterized by genomic instability, telomere attrition, loss of proteostasis, inflammation, deregulated nutrient-sensing, mitochondrial dysfunction, cellular senescence, stem cell exhaustion, and altered intercellular communication. These aging hallmarks are triggered by and enhanced by traditional CVD risk factors leading to geriatric syndromes (eg, frailty, sarcopenia, functional limitation, and cognitive impairment) which complicate efforts toward prevention. Therefore, we review Life's Essential 8 through the lens of aging biology, geroscience, and geriatric precepts to guide clinicians taking care of older adults.

Defining Demographic-specific Coronary Artery Calcium Percentiles in the Population Aged ≥75: The ARIC Study and MESA

BACKGROUND

Current clinical guidelines recommend a coronary artery calcium (CAC) score of 100 Agatston Units or demographic-specific 75th percentile as high-risk thresholds for guiding atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease preventive therapy. Meanwhile, low CAC can help derisk individuals who may safely defer statin therapy. However, limited data from the early 2000s, including just 208 older Black individuals, inform CAC percentiles for adults aged 75 to 85 years, and none have been established in adults aged ≥85 years. This study aims to characterize the distribution of CAC and establish demographic-specific CAC percentiles in the population aged ≥75 years.

METHODS

We assessed 2886 participants aged ≥75 years without clinical coronary heart disease from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) visit 7 (2018-2019; n=2217) and the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) visit 5 (2010-2011; n=669). Prevalence of any CAC >0 and sex- and race-specific CAC percentiles across age were estimated nonparametrically with locally weighted regression models and pooled residual ranking.

RESULTS

The median age was 80 (interquartile interval, 77-83) years, and 60% were female. The prevalence of zero CAC was lowest in White males (4%), followed by Black males (13%), White females (14%), and highest in Black females (18%). Regardless of sex and race, most participants had CAC>100 (62.5%). CAC scores increased with age, with CAC identified in ≈95% of participants aged ≥90 years across sex-race subgroups. The 75th percentile corresponded to higher CAC scores for Black older adults (n=741), especially females, than currently used thresholds.

CONCLUSIONS

In community-dwelling adults aged ≥75 years free of clinical coronary heart disease, the prevalence of zero CAC was 11%, and CAC >100 as a threshold for high ASCVD risk would categorize most of this older population as high risk. Demographic-specific CAC percentiles from this study are a valuable tool for interpreting CAC in the population aged ≥75 years.

The use of coronary artery calcium scoring in young adults

Although overall atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) incidence has been declining in the United States, there is evidence that the incidence of ASCVD events in young adults is increasing. The early initiation of preventive therapies could result in a greater number of life-years saved, and therefore determining the appropriate way to identify high-risk young adults is becoming increasingly important. The coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, an established marker of coronary artery atherosclerosis, can improve discrimination for ASCVD risk beyond established risk prediction tools. Based on abundant evidence, the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) guidelines currently recommend an approach of using CAC scores as a tool for risk assessment and decision-making regarding drug therapy for primary prevention in middle-aged individuals. However, CAC scoring is not recommended for universal screening in young adults, where its yield and utility for altering clinical decisions are limited. Recent studies have demonstrated the nonnegligible prevalence of CAC and its strong association with ASCVD in young adults, suggesting its potential to reclassify risk and improve selection of young adults most likely to benefit from early preventive therapies. Although convincing clinical trials have not been performed in this population yet, CAC scores should be used selectively in young adults whose ASCVD risk may be sufficiently high to warrant a CAC score assessment. This review summarizes the evidence available regarding CAC scoring in young adults, and discusses an appropriate future role of CAC scores in preventing ASCVD in this population.

Imaging Early Life Cardiovascular Phenotype

The growing epidemics of obesity, hypertension, and diabetes, in addition to worsening environmental factors such as air pollution, water scarcity, and climate change, have fueled the continuously increasing prevalence of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). This has caused a markedly increasing burden of CVDs that includes mortality and morbidity worldwide. Identification of subclinical CVD before overt symptoms can lead to earlier deployment of preventative pharmacological and nonpharmacologic strategies. In this regard, noninvasive imaging techniques play a significant role in identifying early CVD phenotypes. An armamentarium of imaging techniques including vascular ultrasound, echocardiography, magnetic resonance imaging, computed tomography, noninvasive computed tomography angiography, positron emission tomography, and nuclear imaging, with intrinsic strengths and limitations can be utilized to delineate incipient CVD for both clinical and research purposes. In this article, we review the various imaging modalities used for the evaluation, characterization, and quantification of early subclinical cardiovascular diseases.

LDL-cholesterol control in the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases: An expert opinion for clinicians and health professionals

AIMS

Although adequate clinical management of patients with hypercholesterolemia without a history of known cardiovascular disease is essential for prevention, these subjects are often disregarded. Furthermore, the scientific literature on primary cardiovascular prevention is not as rich as that on secondary prevention; finally, physicians often lack adequate tools for the effective management of subjects in primary prevention and have to face some unsolved relevant issues. This document aims to discuss and review the evidence available on this topic and provide practical guidance.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Available algorithms and risk charts represent the main tool for the assessment of cardiovascular risk in patients in primary prevention. The accuracy of such an estimate can be substantially improved considering the potential contribution of some additional risk factors (C-reactive protein, lipoprotein(a), family history of cardiovascular disease) and conditions (environmental pollution, sleep quality, socioeconomic status, educational level) whose impact on the cardiovascular risk has been better understood in recent years. The availability of non-invasive procedures to evaluate subclinical atherosclerosis may help to identify subjects needing an earlier intervention. Unveiling the presence of these conditions will improve cardiovascular risk estimation, granting a more appropriate intervention.

CONCLUSIONS

The accurate assessment of cardiovascular risk in subjects in primary prevention with the use of algorithms and risk charts together with the evaluation of additional factors will allow physicians to approach each patient with personalized strategies, which should translate into an increased adherence to therapy and, as a consequence, a reduced cardiovascular risk.

Major Global Coronary Artery Calcium Guidelines

This review summarizes the framework behind global guidelines of coronary artery calcium (CAC) in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk assessment, for applications in both the clinical setting and preventive therapy. By comparing similarities and differences in recommendations, this review identifies most notable common features for the application of CAC presented by different cardiovascular societies across the world. Guidelines included from North America are as follows: 1) the 2019 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease; and 2) the 2021 Canadian Cardiovascular Society Guidelines for the Management of Dyslipidemia for Prevention of Adult Cardiovascular Disease. The authors also included European guidelines: 1) the 2019 European Society for Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society Guidelines for the Management of Dyslipidemias; and 2) the 2016 National Institute for Health and Care Excellence Clinical Guidelines. In this comparison, the authors also discuss: 1) the Cardiac Society of Australia and New Zealand Guidelines on CAC; 2) the Chinese Society of Cardiology Guidelines; and 3) the Japanese Atherosclerosis Society Guidelines for Prevention of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Diseases. Last, they include statements made by specialty societies including the National Lipid Association, Society of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography, and U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Utilizing an in-depth review of clinical evidence, these guidelines emphasize the importance of CAC in the primary and secondary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. International guidelines all empower a dynamic clinician-patient relationship and advocate for individualized discussions regarding disease management and pharmacotherapy treatment. Some differences in precise coronary artery calcium score intervals, risk cut points, treatment thresholds, and stratifiers of specific patient subgroups do exist. However, international guidelines employ more similarities than differences from both a clinical and functional perspective. Understanding the parallels among international coronary artery calcium guidelines is essential for clinicians to correctly adjudicate personalized statin and aspirin therapy and further medical management.

The influence of age and sex on the prognostic importance of traditional cardiovascular risk factors, selected circulating biomarkers and other markers of subclinical cardiovascular damage

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

There is an increasing need for improved risk stratification to better individualize cardiovascular preventive measures. Although age and sex are strong and easily obtained cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs), their influence on the prognostic importance of other CVRF, circulating biomarkers and other markers of subclinical cardiovascular damage has not previously been systematically and critically appraised. Therefore, we have revisited the European MORGAM and the Danish MONI10 cohorts.

RECENT FINDINGS

Theoretically, the relative risk of many CVRF is expected to be lower in older healthy individuals due to a combination of selection bias by disease, higher absolute risk primarily due to older age, and the fact that the CVRF and markers may primarily influence or reflect early parts of the cardiovascular disease process. This influence of age may vary between sexes, as the cardiovascular disease process is delayed and possibly different in women compared with men.

SUMMARY

Adjusted for the remaining Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) CVRF, higher SBP, serum cholesterol, soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor, left ventricular mass index and atherosclerotic plaques were more closely associated with outcomes in individuals younger than 52 years with some sex-specific differences, whereas higher N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and urine albumin/creatine ratio were more closely associated with outcomes in subjects aged 61 or 71 years.

Age-stratified effects of coronary artery calcification on cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality in Korean adults

AIMS

The role of coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in predicting cardiovascular disease (CVD) and non-CVD mortality in young adults is unclear. We investigated the association of CACS with CVD and non-CVD mortality in young and older individuals.

METHODS AND RESULTS

CVD-free Koreans (n = 160 821; mean age, 41.4 years; 73.2% young individuals aged <45 years) who underwent cardiac tomography estimation of CACS (69.7% one-time measurement), were followed-up for a median of 5.6 years. The vital status and cause of death were ascertained from the national death records. Sub-distribution hazard ratios (SHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for cause-specific mortality were estimated using the Fine and Gray proportional hazards models. Overall, a higher CACS was strongly associated with an increased risk of CVD mortality. Among young individuals, multivariable-adjusted SHR (95% CIs) for CVD mortality comparing a CACS of 1-100, 101-300, and >300 to 0 CACS were 5.67 (2.33-13.78), 22.34 (5.72-87.19), and 74.1 (18.98-239.3), respectively, and among older individuals, corresponding SHR were 1.51 (0.60-3.84), 8.57 (3.05-24.06), and 6.41 (1.98-20.74). The addition of CACS to Framingham risk score significantly but modestly improved risk prediction for CVD mortality in young individuals. Conversely, CACS was significantly associated with non-CVD mortality only in older individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

Strong associations of CACS with CVD mortality, but not non-CVD mortality, were observed in young individuals, beginning in the low CACS category. Our findings reaffirm the need for early intervention for young adults even with low CACS to reduce CVD mortality.

Association between coronary artery calcium and all-cause mortality: A large single-center retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies have revealed that coronary artery calcium is related to cardiovascular diseases and mortality. However, most studies have been conducted in Western countries and have excluded patients with pre-existing heart disease. We investigated the association between coronary artery calcium (CAC) and all-cause mortality in an Asian cohort and in subgroups stratified by age, sex, smoking, obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, blood pressure, and biochemical parameters.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 4529 health examinees who underwent multidetector computed tomography in a tertiary medical center in Taiwan between 2011 and 2016. The mean follow-up was 3.5 years. Cox regression was used to estimate the relative hazards of death. Stratified analyses were performed.

RESULTS

The all-cause mortality rates were 2.94, 4.88, 17.6, and 33.1 per 1000 person-years for CAC scores of 0, 1-100, 101-400, and >400, respectively. The multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for all-cause mortality were 0.95 (0.53, 1.72), 1.87 (0.89, 3.90), and 3.05 (1.46, 6.39) for CAC scores of 1-100, 101-400, and >400, respectively, relative to a CAC score of 0. Compared with CAC ≤ 400, the HRs (95% CIs) for CAC > 400 were 6.46 (2.44, 17.15) and 1.94 (1.00, 3.76) in younger and older adults, respectively, indicating that age was a moderating variable (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

High CAC scores were associated with increased all-cause mortality. Although older adult patients had higher risks of death, the relative risk of death for patients with CAC > 400 was more prominent in people younger than 65 years.

Usefulness of Coronary Artery Calcium Score to Rule Out Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease Before Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation

Pretranscatheter aortic valve implantation (pre-TAVI) coronary evaluation using computed tomography coronary angiography (CTA) remains suboptimal. We aimed to evaluate whether coronary artery calcium score (CAC) may rule out obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) pre-TAVI. TAVI candidates (n = 230; mean age 80 ± 8 years), 49% men, underwent preprocedural CTA and invasive coronary angiography. Obstructive CAD was defined as luminal diameter stenosis of ≥50% of left main or 3 major vessels ≥70%. Vessels with coronary stents or bypass were excluded. CAC score was calculated using the Agatston method. Receiver operating characteristic was applied to establish the CAC threshold for obstructive CAD. Multivariable analysis with adjustment for clinical covariates was applied. Net reclassification for nonobstructive disease using CAC score was calculated among nondiagnostic CT scans. Median CAC score was 1,176 (interquartile range 613 to 1,967). Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed high negative predictive value (NPV) for obstructive CAD as follows: left main CAC score 252, NPV 99%; left anterior descending CAC score 250, NPV 97%; left circumflex CAC score 297, NPV 92%; and right coronary artery CAC score 250, NPV 91%. Multivariate analysis showed the highest tertile of CAC score (≥1,670) to be an independent predictor of obstructive CAD (odds ratio 10.7, 95% confidence interval 4.6 to 25, p <0.001). Among nondiagnostic CTA, net reclassification showed reclassification of 76%, 13%, 45%, and 34% of left main, left anterior descending, left circumflex, and right coronary artery for nonobstructive CAD, respectively. In conclusion, CAC score cutoffs can be used to predict nonobstructive CAD. Implementing CAC score on pre-TAVI imaging can reduce a significant proportion of invasive coronary angiography.

Health screening of middle-aged women: what factors impact longevity?

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to measure the impact of different risk factors in middle-aged women on longevity evaluated after three decades of an initial health screening.

METHODS

Women who received an annual check-up between 1990 and 1993 were recruited. Anamnesis and physical examination were recorded. Blood samples for the measurement of glycemia and lipids were taken. Data are reported as of December 2021.

RESULTS

A total of 1,158 women aged 40 to 60 were studied. At 30.9 years of follow-up, the Kaplan-Meier overall survival was 75.6% (95% confidence interval, 72.6-78.3). The main causes of the 260 deaths observed were the following: cancer ( n = 88; 33.8%), cardiovascular disease ( n = 55; 21.2%), and infectious disease ( n = 41; 15.8%). The following hazard ratios were found with the flexible parametric survival model: personal history of fracture (hazard ratio, 2.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.29-5.02; P = 0.007), type 2 diabetes mellitus (2.14; 1.18-3.88; P = 0.012), personal history of heart disease (1.85; 1.09-3.13; P = 0.022), chronic arterial hypertension (1.65; 1.25-2.17; P < 0.001), postmenopausal status (1.60; 1.13-2.26; P = 0.008), unskilled jobs (1.56; 1.17-2.07; P = 0.002), cigarette smoking (1.51; 1.17-1.94; P = 0.002), age (1.06; 1.03-1.09; P < 0.001), body mass index (1.04; 1.01-1.07; P = 0.004), multiparous (0.72; 0.56-0.93; P = 0.012), and active sexual intercourse (0.68; 0.52-0.87; P = 0.003). Lipid disorders did not reach statistical significance as a risk factor.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort, it was observed that most of the classic risk factors for mortality were present. However, a history of fracture appears in middle-aged women as a strong predictor of mortality, surpassing diabetes and arterial hypertension. Multiparity, on the other hand, was a protective factor.

Relationship Between 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose Uptake on Positron Emission Tomography and Aortic Calcification

Introduction: Although ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) has been widely utilized to assess the extent of inflammation, the association between the extent and severity of atherosclerosis and ¹⁸F-FDG uptake on PET remains unexamined. The current study aimed to investigate whether aortic calcium (AC) scores were associated with increased aortic uptake of ¹⁸F-FDG on PET. Methods: A total of 167 consecutive patients with suspected lung cancer but unproven malignancy who underwent non-contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) and ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT were enrolled. The average standardized uptake values in the ascending aorta were used to calculate the target-to-background ratio (Mean TBR). The total (thoracic and abdominal) AC scores were measured on non-contrast-enhanced chest and abdominal CT using the Agatston method, and were categorized into three groups (0, 1-399, and ≥400). The relationship between total AC scores and ¹⁸F-FDG uptake in the ascending aorta was assessed using multivariate linear regression analysis. Results: In total, 68.26% were male, and a mean age was 67.10±14.70 years. Mean TBR values increased progressively with total AC score 0, 1-399, and ≥400 (1.01±0.07, 1.08±0.09, and 1.11±0.11, respectively; p<0.00001). Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that increased total AC scores of 1-399 (β=0.06, 95% CI: 0.01-0.11, p=0.02) and ≥400 (β=0.11, 95% CI: 0.06-0.16, p<0.001) were significantly associated with higher Mean TBR. Conclusions: The current study demonstrated that total AC scores were associated with Mean TBR. Patients with a greater extent and severity of aortic calcifications may possess increased atherosclerotic inflammatory activity as measured by ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT.

Impact of lipid-lowering therapies on cardiovascular outcomes according to coronary artery calcium score. A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) score improves the accuracy of risk stratification for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events compared with traditional cardiovascular risk factors. We evaluated the interaction of coronary atherosclerotic burden as determined by the CAC score with the prognostic benefit of lipid-lowering therapies in the primary prevention setting.

METHODS

We reviewed the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases for studies including individuals without a previous ASCVD event who underwent CAC score assessment and for whom lipid-lowering therapy status stratified by CAC values was available. The primary outcome was ASCVD. The pooled effect of lipid-lowering therapy on outcomes stratified by CAC groups (0, 1-100,> 100) was evaluated using a random effects model.

RESULTS

Five studies (1 randomized, 2 prospective cohort, 2 retrospective) were included encompassing 35 640 individuals (female 38.1%) with a median age of 62.2 [range, 49.6-68.9] years, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level of 128 (114-146) mg/dL, and follow-up of 4.3 (2.3-11.1) years. ASCVD occurrence increased steadily across growing CAC strata, both in patients with and without lipid-lowering therapy. Comparing patients with (34.9%) and without (65.1%) treatment exposure, lipid-lowering therapy was associated with reduced occurrence of ASCVD in patients with CAC> 100 (OR, 0.70; 95%CI, 0.53-0.92), but not in patients with CAC 1-100 or CAC 0. Results were consistent when only adjusted data were pooled.

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals without a previous ASCVD, a CAC score> 100 identifies individuals most likely to benefit from lipid-lowering therapy, while undetectable CAC suggests no treatment benefit.

Distribution of Coronary Artery Calcium by Age, Sex, and Race Among Patients 30-45 Years Old

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a measure of atherosclerotic burden and is well-validated for risk stratification in middle- to older-aged adults. Few studies have investigated CAC in younger adults, and there is no calculator for determining age-, sex-, and race-based percentiles among individuals aged <45 years.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine the probability of CAC >0 and develop age-sex-race percentiles for U.S. adults aged 30-45 years.

METHODS

We harmonized 3 datasets-CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults), the CAC Consortium, and the Walter Reed Cohort-to study CAC in 19,725 asymptomatic Black and White individuals aged 30-45 years without known atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. After weighting each cohort equally, the probability of CAC >0 and age-sex-race percentiles of CAC distributions were estimated using nonparametric techniques.

RESULTS

The prevalence of CAC >0 was 26% among White males, 16% among Black males, 10% among White females, and 7% among Black females. CAC >0 automatically placed all females at >90th percentile. CAC >0 placed White males at the 90th percentile at age 34 years compared with Black males at age 37 years. An interactive webpage allows one to enter an age, sex, race, and CAC score to obtain the corresponding estimated percentile.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large cohort of U.S. adults aged 30-45 years without symptomatic atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, the probability of CAC >0 varied by age, sex, and race. Estimated percentiles may help interpretation of CAC scores among young adults relative to their age-sex-race matched peers and can henceforth be included in CAC score reporting.

Utility of Noncancerous Chest CT Features for Predicting Overall Survival and Noncancer Death in Patients With Stage I Lung Cancer Treated With Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy

Background: Noncancerous imaging markers can be readily derived from pretreatment diagnostic and radiotherapy planning chest CT examinations. Objective: To explore the ability of noncancerous features on chest CT to predict overall survival (OS) and noncancer-related death in patients with stage I lung cancer treated with stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). Methods: This retrospective study included 282 patients (168 female, 114 male; median age, 75 years) with stage I lung cancer treated with SBRT between January 2009 and June 2017. Pretreatment chest CT was used to quantify coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, pulmonary artery (PA)-to-aorta ratio, emphysema, and body composition in terms of the cross-sectional area and attenuation of skeletal muscle and subcutaneous adipose tissue at the T5, T8, and T10 vertebral levels. Associations of clinical and imaging features with OS were quantified using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards (PH) model. Penalized multivariable Cox PH models to predict OS were constructed using clinical features only and using both clinical and imaging features. Models' discriminatory ability was assessed by constructing time-varying ROC curves and computing AUC at prespecified times. Results: After a median OS of 60.8 months (95% CI 55.8-68.9), 148 (52.5%) patients died, including 83 (56.1%) with noncancer deaths. Higher CAC score (11-399: hazard ratio [HR] 1.83 [95% CI 1.15-2.91], P=.01; ≥400: HR 1.63 [95% CI 1.01-2.63], P=.04), higher PA-to-aorta ratio (HR 1.33 [95% CI 1.16-1.52], P<.001, per 0.1-unit increase), and lower thoracic skeletal muscle index (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.79-0.98], P=.02, per 10 cm²/m² increase) were independently associated with shorter OS. Discriminatory ability for 5-year OS was greater for the model including clinical and imaging features than for the model including clinical features only (AUC, 0.75 [95% CI 0.68-0.83] versus 0.61 [95% CI 0.53-0.70], p < .01). The model's most important clinical or imaging feature based on mean standardized regression coefficients was the PA-to-aorta ratio. Conclusions: In patients undergoing SBRT for stage I lung cancer, higher CAC score, higher PA-to-aorta ratio, and lower thoracic skeletal muscle index independently predicted worse OS. Clinical Impact: Noncancerous imaging features on chest CT performed before SBRT improve survival prediction compared with clinical features alone.

Coronary Artery Calcium for Risk Assessment in Young Adults

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To review the prognostic significance and clinical utility of coronary artery calcium (CAC) for risk assessment for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in younger adults.

RECENT FINDINGS

Data from over 3000 young adults (mean age of 40.3 ± 3.6 followed for 12.5 years) in the CARDIA registry found that in an asymptomatic, community representative sample, there was a low prevalence of CAC (~ 10%) but those with CAC had an exponential increase in CAC over time and significantly higher rates of ASCVD events. Alternatively, data from the CAC consortium analyzed 22,346 asymptomatic individuals undergoing CAC for clinical indications (mean age 43.5 ± 4.5 years, followed for 13 ± 4 years) and found a much higher prevalence of CAC at 34% with rates of coronary heart disease mortality that varied significantly according to CAC. In younger adults, CAC provides clear prognostic value and can be considered in select individuals with uncertainties about their ASCVD risk or the benefit of preventive therapies.

Is a novel diagnostic pathway for cardiology outpatient clinics in Singapore lower cost than existing practice: a cost modelling study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the potential for change to costs from a decision to adopt a novel diagnostic pathway for referrals to cardiology outpatients with symptoms of chest pain.

DESIGN

Costs modelling study using existing observational data, with a cost year of 2018.

SETTING

Specialist Heart Centre in Singapore.

PARTICIPANTS

All new referrals (n=10 622) to the outpatient clinics for investigation between January 2017 and December 2017.

INTERVENTIONS

Two competing testing regimes are compared in a decision tree model. Current practice includes classification of patients by their risk and the use of treadmill tests, calcium scores, functional testing and CT angiogram. New practice offers a fundamental difference in use of diagnostics for patients, with some offered angiogram directly and for low-risk patients a calcium score is used to refine risk stratification.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The expected cost difference between testing alternatives.

RESULTS

The expected cost saving from 'New Practice' as compared with 'Current Practice' is $S764 per patient. There is a 50% probability the savings per patient range between $S764 and $S824 and a 90% probability they are between $S616 and $S912. The expected savings to Singapore national health services are $S26.8 million annually, with a range of $S16.2 to $S41.1 million.

CONCLUSIONS

We find some evidence that using a coronary calcium score, which can be performed with a fraction of the time and cost of a CT coronary angiogram, saves costs to health services.

Rationale and pathways forward in the implementation of coronary artery calcium-based enrichment of randomized trials

The Food and Drug Administration recommends prognostic enrichment of randomized controlled trials (RCTs), aimed at restricting the study population to participants most likely to have events and therefore derive benefit from a given intervention. The coronary artery calcium (CAC) score is powerful discriminator of cardiovascular risk, and in this review we discuss how CAC may be used to augment widely used prognostic enrichment paradigms of RCTs of add-on therapies in primary prevention. We describe recent studies in this space, with special attention to the ability of CAC to further stratify risk among guideline-recommended candidates for add-on risk-reduction therapies. Given the potential benefits in terms of sample size, cost reduction, and overall RCT feasibility of a CAC-based enrichment strategy, we discuss approaches that may help maximize its advantages while minimizing logistical barriers and other challenges. Specifically, use of already existing CAC data to avoid the need to re-scan participants with previously documented high CAC scores, use of increasingly available, large clinical CAC databases to facilitate the identification of potential RCT participants, and implementation of machine learning approaches to measure CAC in existing computed tomography images performed for other purposes, will most likely boost the implementation of a CAC-based enrichment paradigm in future RCTs.

Association of Abdominal Aorta Calcium and Coronary Artery Calcium with Incident Cardiovascular and Coronary Heart Disease Events in Black and White Middle-Aged People: The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study

Background Assessing coronary artery calcium (CAC) is among AHA/ACC prevention guidelines for people at least 40 years old at intermediate risk for coronary heart disease (CHD). To study enhanced risk stratification, we investigated the predictive value of abdominal aorta calcium (AAC) relative to CAC for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CHD events in Black and White early middle-aged participants, initially free of overt CVD. Methods and Results In the CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study, a multi-center, community-based, longitudinal cohort study of CVD risk, the CAC and AAC scores were assessed in 3011 participants in 2010-2011 with follow-up until 2019 for incident CVD and CHD events. Distributions and predictions, overall and by race, were computed. During the 8-year follow-up, 106 incident CVD events (55 were CHD) occurred. AAC scores tended to be much higher than CAC scores. AAC scores were higher in Black women than in White women. CAC predicted CVD with HR 1.77 (1.52-2.06) and similarly for AAC, while only CAC predicted CHD. After adjustment for risk factors and calcium in the other arterial bed, the association of CAC with CVD was independent of risk factors and AAC, while the association of AAC with CVD was greatly attenuated. However, AAC predicted incident CVD when CAC was 0. Prediction did not vary by race. Conclusions AAC predicted CVD nearly as strongly as CAC and could be especially useful as a diagnostic tool when it is an incidental finding or when no CAC is found.

Impact of coronary artery calcium testing on patient management

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring can identify individuals who may benefit from aggressive prevention therapies. However, there is a paucity of contemporary data on the impact of CAC testing on patient management.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of adults who underwent CAC testing at Brigham and Women's Hospital between 2015 and 2019. Information on baseline medications, follow-up medications, lifestyle modification, and downstream cardiovascular testing within one-year post-CAC were obtained from electronic health records.

RESULTS

Of the 839 patients with available baseline and follow-up data, 376 (45%) had a CAC ​= ​0, 289 (34%) had CAC ​= ​1-99, and 174 (21%) had CAC≥100. The mean age at time of CAC testing was 59 ​± ​9.7 years. Patients with higher CAC scores were more likely to be male, have diabetes and hypertension, and have higher low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. A non-zero CAC score was associated with initiation of aspirin (41% increase, p ​< ​0.001), anti-hypertensives (9% increase, p ​= ​0.031), and lipid-lowering therapies (114% increase, p ​< ​0.001), whereas CAC ​= ​0 was not. Among individuals with CAC≥100, 75% were started on new or more intense lipid-lowering therapy. Higher calcium scores correlated with increased physician recommendations for diet (p ​= ​0.008) and exercise (p ​= ​0.004). The proportion of cardiovascular downstream testing following CAC was 9.1%, and the majority of patients who underwent additional testing post-CAC had CAC scores ≥100.

CONCLUSION

Approximately half of individuals referred for CAC testing had evidence of calcified coronary plaque, and of those who had significant calcifications (CAC≥100), nearly 90% were prescribed lipid-lowering therapies post-CAC. Rates of downstream non-invasive testing were low and such testing was mostly performed in patients who had at least moderate CAC.

Long-Term Prognostic Implications and Role of Further Testing in Adults Aged ≤55 Years With a Coronary Calcium Score of Zero (from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis)

The long-term prognostic significance of a coronary artery calcium (CAC) score of 0 is poorly defined in younger adults. We evaluated this among participants aged 45 to 55 years from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and assessed whether additional biomarkers can identify subgroups at increased absolute risk. We included 1,407 participants (61% women) without diabetes or severe hypercholesterolemia, with estimated 10-year risk <20% and CAC = 0. We evaluated all and hard cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, overall and among subjects with each of the following: high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels ≥2 mg/L, homocysteine ≥10 µmol/L, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T ≥95th percentile, lipoprotein (a) >50 mg/dl, triglycerides ≥175 mg/dl, apolipoprotein B ≥130 mg/dl, albuminuria, thoracic aortic calcium, aortic valve calcium (AVC), mitral annular calcium, ankle-brachial index <0.9, any carotid plaque, and maximum internal carotid artery intima-media thickness (ICA-IMT) ≥1.5 mm. Median follow-up was 16 years, and overall CVD event rates were low (4% at 15 years). For most exposures evaluated, rates of all CVD events were <6 per 1,000 person-years, except for ICA-IMT ≥1.5 mm (6.43) and AVC (13.8). The number needed to screen to detect ICA-IMT ≥1.5 mm was 8, and 84 for AVC. Among participants with borderline/intermediate risk or premature family history, hard CVD event rates were <7 per 1,000 for most exposures, except for ICA-IMT ≥1.5 mm (8.25), albuminuria (8.30), and AVC (13.47). Nonsmokers and those with ICA-IMT <1.5 mm had very low rates. In conclusion, our results demonstrate a favorable long-term prognosis of CAC = 0 among adults aged ≤55 years, particularly among nonsmokers. ICA-IMT testing could be considered for further risk assessment in adults ≤55 years with CAC = 0 and uncertain management.

CAC for Risk Stratification Among Individuals With Hypertriglyceridemia Free of Clinical Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease

OBJECTIVES

In this study, we sought to evaluate whether the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score can enhance current paradigms for risk stratification among individuals with hypertriglyceridemia in primary prevention. The eligibility criteria for icosapent ethyl (IPE) were used as case example.

BACKGROUND

Recent trials of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk-reduction therapies for individuals with hypertriglyceridemia without clinical ASCVD restricted enrollment to participants with diabetes or various other risk factors. These criteria were mirrored in the Food and Drug Administration product label for IPE.

METHODS

We pooled 2,345 participants with triglycerides 150 to <500 mg/dL (or >178-<500 mg/dL if not on a statin) and without clinical ASCVD from MESA, CARDIA, the Dallas Heart Study, and the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study. We evaluated the incidence of ASCVD events overall, by IPE eligibility (as defined in the product label), and further stratified by CAC scores (0, >0-100, >100). The number needed to treat for 5 years (NNT₅) to prevent 1 event was estimated among IPE-eligible participants, assuming a 21.8% relative risk reduction with IPE. In exploratory analyses, the NNT₅ was also estimated among noneligible participants.

RESULTS

There was marked heterogeneity in CAC burden overall (45% CAC 0; 24% CAC >100) and across IPE eligibility strata. Overall, 17% of participants were eligible for IPE and 11.9% had ASCVD events within 5 years. Among participants eligible for IPE, 38% had CAC >100, and their event rates were markedly higher (15.9% vs 7.2%) and the NNT₅ 2.2-fold lower (29 vs 64) than those of the 25% eligible participants with CAC 0. Among the 83% participants not eligible for IPE, 20% had CAC >100, and their 5-year incidence of ASCVD (13.9%) was higher than the overall incidence among IPE-eligible participants.

CONCLUSIONS

CAC can improve current risk stratification and therapy allocation paradigms among individuals with hypertriglyceridemia without clinical ASCVD. Future trials of risk-reduction therapies in hypertriglyceridemia could use CAC >100 to enroll a high-risk study sample, with implications for a larger target population.

Cardiovascular Characteristics and Outcomes of Young Patients with COVID-19

Although 18–45-year-old (y-o) patients represent a significant proportion of patients hospitalized for COVID-19, data concerning the young population remain scarce. The Critical COVID France (CCF) study was an observational study including consecutive patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in 24 centers between 26 February and 20 April 2020. The primary composite outcome included transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU) or in-hospital death. Secondary outcomes were cardiovascular (CV) complications. Among 2868 patients, 321 (11.2%) patients were in the 18–45-y-o range. In comparison with older patients, young patients were more likely to have class 2 obesity and less likely to have hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia. The primary outcome occurred less frequently in 18–45-y-o patients in comparison with patients > 45 years old (y/o) (16.8% vs. 30.7%, p < 0.001). The 18–45-y-o patients presented with pericarditis (2.2% vs. 0.5%, p = 0.003) and myocarditis (2.5% vs. 0.6%, p = 0.002) more frequently than patients >45 y/o. Acute heart failure occurred less frequently in 18–45-y-o patients (0.9% vs. 7.2%, p < 0.001), while thrombotic complications were similar in young and older patients. Whereas both transfer to the ICU and in-hospital death occurred less frequently in young patients, COVID-19 seemed to have a particular CV impact in this population.

Clinical utility of polygenic risk scores for coronary artery disease

Over the past decade, substantial progress has been made in the discovery of alleles contributing to the risk of coronary artery disease. In addition to providing causal insights into disease, these endeavours have yielded and enabled the refinement of polygenic risk scores. These scores can be used to predict incident coronary artery disease in multiple cohorts and indicate the clinical response to some preventive therapies in post hoc analyses of clinical trials. These observations and the widespread ability to calculate polygenic risk scores from direct-to-consumer and health-care-associated biobanks have raised many questions about responsible clinical adoption. In this Review, we describe technical and downstream considerations for the derivation and validation of polygenic risk scores and current evidence for their efficacy and safety. We discuss the implementation of these scores in clinical medicine for uses including risk prediction and screening algorithms for coronary artery disease, prioritization of patient subgroups that are likely to derive benefit from treatment, and efficient prospective clinical trial designs.

Predictors of Coronary Artery Calcium and Long-Term Risks of Death, Myocardial Infarction, and Stroke in Young Adults

Background Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is well-validated for cardiovascular disease risk stratification in middle to older-aged adults; however, the 2019 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines state that more data are needed regarding the performance of CAC in low-risk younger adults. Methods and Results We measured CAC in 13 397 patients aged 30 to 49 years without known cardiovascular disease or malignancy between 1997 and 2009. Outcomes of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; MI, stroke, or cardiovascular death), and all-cause mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models, controlling for baseline risk factors (including atrial fibrillation for stroke and MACE) and the competing risk of death or noncardiac death as appropriate. The cohort (74% men, mean age 44 years, and 76% with ≤1 cardiovascular disease risk factor) had a 20.6% prevalence of any CAC. CAC was independently predicted by age, male sex, White race, and cardiovascular disease risk factors. Over a mean of 11 years of follow-up, the relative adjusted subhazard ratio of CAC >0 was 2.9 for MI and 1.6 for MACE. CAC >100 was associated with significantly increased hazards of MI (adjusted subhazard ratio, 5.2), MACE (adjusted subhazard ratio, 3.1), stroke (adjusted subhazard ratio, 1.7), and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 2.1). CAC significantly improved the prognostic accuracy of risk factors for MACE, MI, and all-cause mortality by the likelihood ratio test (P<0.05). Conclusions CAC was prevalent in a large sample of low-risk young adults. Those with any CAC had significantly higher long-term hazards of MACE and MI, while severe CAC increased hazards for all outcomes including death. CAC may have utility for clinical decision-making among select young adults.

The Miami Heart Study (MiHeart) at Baptist Health South Florida, A prospective study of subclinical cardiovascular disease and emerging cardiovascular risk factors in asymptomatic young and middle-aged adults: The Miami Heart Study: Rationale and Design

Objective

The Miami Heart Study (MiHeart) at Baptist Health South Florida is an ongoing, community-based, prospective cohort study aimed at characterizing the prevalence, characteristics, and prognostic value of diverse markers of early subclinical coronary atherosclerosis and of various potential demographic, psychosocial, and metabolic risk factors. We present the study objectives, detailed research methods, and preliminary baseline results of MiHeart.

Methods

MiHeart enrolled 2,459 middle-aged male and female participants from the general population of the Greater Miami Area. Enrollment occurred between May 2015 and September 2018 and was restricted to participants aged 40–65 years free of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD). The baseline examination included assessment of demographics, lifestyles, medical history, and a detailed evaluation of psychosocial characteristics; a comprehensive physical exam; measurement of multiple blood biomarkers including measures of inflammation, advanced lipid testing, and genomics; assessment of subclinical coronary atherosclerotic plaque and vascular function using coronary computed tomography angiography, the coronary artery calcium score, carotid intima-media thickness, pulse wave velocity, and peripheral arterial tonometry; and other tests including 12-lead electrocardiography and assessment of pulmonary function. Blood samples were biobanked to facilitate future ancillary research.

Results

MiHeart enrolled 1,261 men (51.3%) and 1,198 women (48.7%). Mean age was 53 years, 85.6% participants were White and 47.4% were of Hispanic/Latino ethnicity. The study included 7% individuals with diabetes, 33% with hypertension, and 15% used statin therapy at baseline. Overweight or obese participants comprised 72% of the population and 3% were smokers. Median 10-year estimated atherosclerotic CVD risk using the Pooled Cohort Equations was 4%.

Conclusion

MiHeart will provide important, novel insights into the pathophysiology of early subclinical atherosclerosis and further our understanding of its role in the genesis of clinical CVD. The study findings will have important implications, further refining current cardiovascular prevention paradigms and risk assessment and management approaches moving forward.

Coronary Artery Calcium Score Predicts Long-Term Cardiovascular Outcomes in Asymptomatic Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

Aims: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is no longer regarded as a coronary risk equivalent, and heterogeneity of cardiovascular risk exists, suggesting that further risk stratification should be mandatory. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and clinical predictors of coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, and evaluate the CAC score as a predictor of cardiovascular outcome in a large asymptomatic T2DM cohort.

Methods: A total of 2,162 T2DM patients were recruited from a Diabetes Shared Care Network and the CAC score was measured. Cardiovascular outcomes were obtained for 1,928 patients after a follow-up of 8.4 years. Multiple regression analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression were applied to identify clinical predictors of CAC and calculate the incidence and hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events by CAC category.

Results: Of the recruited patients, 96.8% had one or more risk factors. The distribution of CAC scores was as follows: CAC=0 in 24.2% of the patients, 0 ＜CAC ≤ 100 in 41.5%, 100 ＜CAC ≤ 400 in 20.3%, CAC ＞400 in 14.7%. The multivariable predictor of increased CAC included age (years) (odds ratio, 1.07; 95% confidence interval, 1.06–1.08), male sex (1.82; 1.54–2.17), duration (years) of T2DM (1.07; 1.05–1.09), and multiple risk factors (1.94; 1.28–2.95). Increasing severity of CAC was associated with higher all-cause or cardiac mortality and higher incident cardiovascular events. The HRs for cardiac death or major cardiac events in CAC ＞400 vs CAC=0 were 8.67 and 10.52, respectively ( p ＜0.001)

Conclusion: CAC scoring provides better prognostication of cardiovascular outcome than traditional risk factors in asymptomatic T2DM patients, and may allow identifying a high-risk subset for enhancing primary prevention.

The Role of Coronary Artery Calcium Testing for Value-Based Clinical Trials in Primary Prevention

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Review the role of coronary artery calcium (CAC) testing in designing future clinical trials in primary prevention.

RECENT FINDINGS

While there are numerous new agents that have been found to lower cardiovascular event rates in clinical trials, these studies have required a large sample size, in part due to low event rates as well as improved baseline treatments. More precise risk assessment could allow for better identification of individuals who stand to derive the most benefit from various therapies. Coronary CAC testing offers a simple method for identifying high-risk primary prevention cohorts, and thus may allow for improved efficiency of clinical trials, enhanced efficacy of various therapies, and ultimately more favorable cost-effectiveness estimates. The use of CAC testing as part of the inclusion criteria used in clinical trials may result in identifying high-risk individuals who were previously not included in such studies while achieving favorable absolute risk reductions. The advantages afforded by using CAC to enrich clinical trials offer a potential road map for future clinical trials in primary prevention.

Coronary artery disease surveillance among childhood, adolescent and young adult cancer survivors: A systematic review and recommendations from the International Late Effects of Childhood Cancer Guideline Harmonization Group

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a concerning late outcome for cancer survivors. However, uniform surveillance guidelines are lacking.

AIM

To harmonise international recommendations for CAD surveillance for survivors of childhood, adolescent and young adult (CAYA) cancers.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was performed and evidence graded using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation criteria. Eligibility included English language studies, a minimum of 20 off-therapy cancer survivors assessed for CAD, and 75% diagnosed prior to age 35 years. All study designs were included, and a multidisciplinary guideline panel formulated and graded recommendations.

RESULTS

32 of 522 identified articles met eligibility criteria. The prevalence of CAD ranged from 0 to 72% and was significantly increased compared to control populations. The risk of CAD was increased among survivors who received radiotherapy exposing the heart, especially at doses ≥15 Gy (moderate-quality evidence). The guideline panel agreed that healthcare providers and CAYA cancer survivors treated with radiotherapy exposing the heart should be counselled about the increased risk for premature CAD. While the evidence is insufficient to support primary screening, monitoring and early management of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors are recommended. Initiation and frequency of surveillance should be based on the intensity of treatment exposures, family history, and presence of co-morbidities but at least by age 40 years and at a minimum of every 5 years. All were strong recommendations.

CONCLUSION

These systematically assessed and harmonised recommendations for CAD surveillance will inform care and guide research concerning this critical outcome for CAYA cancer survivors.

Coronary artery calcium in patients with schizophrenia

BACKGROUND

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a major cause of increased mortality rates in patients with schizophrenia. Moreover, coronary artery calcium (CAC) score is associated with CHD. We hypothesized that patients with schizophrenia have more CAC than the general population and aimed to investigate the CAC score in patients with schizophrenia compared to norms based on the general population. Additionally, this study investigated if age, sex, diabetes, dyslipidemia and smoking were associated with the CAC score.

METHODS

In a cross-sectional study, 163 patients with schizophrenia underwent cardiac computed tomography, and the CAC score was measured and compared to norms by classifying the CAC scores in relation to the age- and gender matched norm 50th, 75th and 90th percentiles. Logistic and linear regression were carried out to investigate explanatory variables for the presence and extent of CAC, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 127 (77.9%) patients had a CAC score below or equal to the matched 50th, 20 (12.3%) above the 75th and nine (5.5%) above the 90th percentile. Male sex (P < 0.05), age (P < 0.001) and smoking (P < 0.05) were associated with the presence of CAC while age (P < 0.001) and diabetes (P < 0.01) were associated with the extent of CAC.

CONCLUSIONS

The amount of CAC in patients with schizophrenia follows norm percentiles, and variables associated with the CAC score are similar in patients with schizophrenia and the general population. These findings indicate that the CAC score may not be sufficient to detect the risk of CHD in patients with schizophrenia. Future studies should explore other measures of subclinical CHD, including measures of peripheral atherosclerosis or cardiac autonomic neuropathy to improve early detection and intervention.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02885792 , September 1, 2016.

Examining the Potential for Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) Scoring for Individuals at Low Cardiovascular Risk

Atherosclerosis is the commonest cause of death in Australia. Cardiovascular (CV) risk calculators have an important role in preventative cardiology, although they are are strongly age-dependent and designed to identify individuals at high risk of an imminent event. The imprecision around "intermediate" or "low" risk generates therapeutic uncertainty, and a significant proportion of patients presenting with myocardial infarction come from these groups, often with no warning. This highlights a conundrum: "Low" risk does not mean "no" risk. A fresh approach may be required to address the clinical conundrum around CV preventative approaches in non-high-risk individuals. While probabilistic calculators do not measure atherosclerosis, calculation of Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) scores by low-dose computed tomography (CT) can provide a snapshot of atherosclerotic burden. In intermediate-risk individuals, CAC is well-established as an aid to CV risk prediction. Although CAC scoring in low-risk asymptomatic people may be considered controversial, CAC has emerged as the single best predictor of CV events in asymptomatic individuals, independent of traditional risk factor calculators. Therefore, apart from the contribution of age and sex, the somewhat arbitrary distinction between "intermediate" and "low" CV risk using probabilistic calculators may need to be reconsidered. A zero CAC score has a very low future event rate and non-zero CAC scores are associated with a progressive, graded increase in risk as the CAC score rises. In this review, we examine the evidence for CAC screening in low-risk individuals, and propose more widespread use of CAC using simple new model intended to enhance established CV risk prediction equations.

Role of coronary artery calcium score in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease

First developed in 1990, the Agatston coronary artery calcium (CAC) score is an international guideline-endorsed decision aid for further risk assessment and personalized management in the primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. This review discusses key international studies that have informed this 30 year journey, from an initial coronary plaque screening paradigm to its current role informing personalized shared decision making. Special attention is paid to the prognostic value of a CAC score of zero (the so called "power of zero"), which, in a context of low estimated risk thresholds for the consideration of preventive therapy with statins in current guidelines, may be used to de-risk individuals and thereby inform the safe delay or avoidance of certain preventive therapies. We also evaluate current recommendations for CAC scoring in clinical practice guidelines around the world, and past and prevailing barriers for its use in routine patient care. Finally, we discuss emerging approaches in this field, with a focus on the potential role of CAC informing not only the personalized allocation of statins and aspirin in the general population, but also of other risk-reduction therapies in special populations, such as individuals with diabetes and people with severe hypercholesterolemia.

Quantification of epi- and pericardial adipose tissue deposits between males and females during cardiac CT may potentially help categorize coronary artery disease risk with thoracic circumference

INTRODUCTION

This study aims to investigate the association between epi- and pericardial adipose tissue deposits around the heart against patient body habitus when using cardiac computed tomography (CT).

METHODS

Ninety-two consecutive patients with suspected coronary artery disease underwent coronary CT angiography with quantitative cardiac and adipose tissue volume measurements. Body mass index (BMI), body surface area (BSA), thoracic circumference, anteroposterior diameter, cardiac and adipose tissue volumes were compared between genders by employing Pearson's correlation and results were considered statistically significant if p ≤ 0.05.

RESULTS

Statistically significant differences between genders were observed with males having a greater height (males 1.72 ± 0.11), BMI (30.76 ± 7.87 kg/m²), BSA (2.06 ± 0.21 m²), thoracic circumference (1022.12 ± 97.90 mm²), and pericardial adipose tissue volume (46.72 ± 36.62 mm³) (p < 0.05). For men, for Group 1 (BMI ≤ 27) each of the measured volumes showed moderate correlation between pericardial adipose tissue and AP chest-diameter (r = 0.429, p <0.05), whereas in Group 2 (27 < BMI ≤ 31.1), coronary artery volume had a strong association with the AP chest-diameter (r = 0.453, p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

BMI and thoracic circumference are closely related to variable epi- and pericardial adipose tissue volumes in both males and females during cardiac CT.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Quantification of epi- and pericardial adipose tissue deposits between males and females during cardiac CT may help further categorise coronary artery disease risk when including BMI and thoracic circumference for males and females.

Cardiovascular and All-Cause Mortality Risk by Coronary Artery Calcium Scores and Percentiles Among Older Adult Males and Females

BACKGROUND

Coronary calcium is a marker of coronary atherosclerosis and established predictor of cardiovascular risk in general populations; however, there are limited studies examining its prognostic value among older adults (≥75 years) and even less regarding its utility in older males compared with females. Accordingly, we sought to examine the prognostic significance of both absolute and percentile coronary calcium scores among older adults.

METHODS

The multicenter Coronary Artery Calcium Consortium consists of 66,636 asymptomatic patients without cardiovascular disease. Participants ages ≥75 were included in this study and stratified by sex. Multivariable Cox regression models were constructed to assess cardiovascular and all-cause mortality risk by Agatston coronary calcium scores and percentiles.

RESULTS

Among 2,474 asymptomatic patients (mean age 79 years, 10.4-year follow-up), prevalence of coronary artery calcium was 92%. For both sexes, but in females more so than males, higher coronary calcium score and percentiles were associated with increased cardiovascular and all-cause mortality risk. Those at the lowest coronary calcium categories (0-9 and <25 percentile) had significantly lower risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality relative to the rest of the population. Multivariable analyses of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery calcium variables revealed that age and coronary calcium were the strongest independent predictors for adverse outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Both coronary artery calcium scores and percentiles are strongly predictive of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality among older adults, with greater risk-stratification among females than males. Both low coronary artery calcium scores 0-9 and <25th percentile define relatively low risk older adults.

Coronary Artery Calcium Scoring: New Insights into Clinical Interpretation-Lessons from the CAC Consortium

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a highly specific marker for coronary atherosclerosis. The CAC Consortium, a multicenter, retrospective, real-world cohort study, was established to investigate the association between CAC and long-term, cause-specific mortality. This review summarizes findings from CAC Consortium studies published between 2016 and 2020, aiming to demystify CAC as a clinical decision-guiding tool and push the limits of who might benefit from CAC in clinical practice. CAC has been shown to effectively stratify cardiovascular risk across ethnicities irrespective of age, sex, and risk factor burden. In comparison to other widely used risk scores, CAC appears to be most consistent in its ability to add to cardiovascular disease (CVD) event prediction. Beyond risk stratification, CAC has been shown to identify high-risk patient subgroups. While currently recommended only for patients at borderline or intermediate risk by the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (10-year atherosclerotic CVD event risk, 5% to < 20%), CAC scoring may also provide value in select young patients aged 30-49 years and in low-risk patients with a family history. While new studies emphasize that patients with a CAC greater than or equal to 1000 be considered a distinct patient group, a CAC of 0 has additionally emerged to be a reliable negative risk factor, identifying patients at low risk of both CVD and non-CVD mortality. © RSNA, 2020.