Childhood predictors of young-onset type 2 diabetes

Association of large for gestational age with cardiovascular metabolic risks: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to clarify the relationships among large for gestational age (LGA) and cardiometabolic risk factors.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library databases were searched to identify studies on LGA and outcomes of interest, including BMI, blood pressure, glucose metabolism, and lipid profiles. Data were independently extracted by two reviewers. A meta-analysis was performed using a random-effects model. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and funnel graph were used to assess the quality and publication bias, respectively.

RESULTS

Overall, 42 studies involving 841,325 individuals were included. Compared with individuals born appropriate for gestational age, individuals born LGA had higher odds of overweight and obesity (odds ratios [OR] = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.31-1.59), type 1 diabetes (OR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.15-1.43), hypertension (OR = 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01-1.51), and metabolic syndrome (OR = 1.43, 95%; CI: 1.05-1.96). No significant difference was found in hypertriglyceridemia and hypercholesterolemia. Stratified analyses showed that, compared with individuals born appropriate for gestational age, individuals born LGA had higher odds for overweight and obesity from toddler age to puberty age (toddler age: OR = 2.12, 95% CI: 1.22-3.70; preschool: OR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.55-2.12; school age: OR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.09-2.14; puberty: OR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.11-1.77).

CONCLUSIONS

LGA is associated with increased odds of obesity and metabolic syndrome later in life. Future studies should focus on elucidating the potential mechanisms and identifying risk factors.

Increased Adiposity and Low Height-for-Age in Early Childhood Are Associated With Later Metabolic Risks in American Indian Children and Adolescents

BACKGROUND

Growth abnormalities in childhood have been related to later cardiometabolic risks, but little is known about these associations in populations at high risk of type 2 diabetes.

OBJECTIVES

We examined the associations of patterns of growth, including weight and height at ages 1-59 months, with cardiometabolic risk factors at ages 5-16 years.

METHODS

We linked anthropometric data collected at ages 1-59 months to cardiometabolic data obtained from a longitudinal study in a southwestern American Indian population at high risk of diabetes. Analyses included 701 children with ≥1 follow-up examination at ages 5-16 years. We derived age- and sex-specific weight-for-height z-scores (WHZ) and height-for-age z-scores (HAZ) at ages 1-59 months. We selected the highest observed WHZ and the lowest observed HAZ at ages 1-59 months and analyzed associations of z-scores and categories of WHZ and HAZ with cardiometabolic outcomes at ages 5-16 years. We used linear mixed-effects models to account for repeated measures.

RESULTS

Overweight/obesity (WHZ >2) at ages 1-59 months was significantly associated with increased BMI, fasting and 2-hour postload plasma glucose, fasting and 2-hour insulin, triglycerides, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and decreased HDL cholesterol at ages 5-16 years relative to normal weight (WHZ ≤1). For example, at ages 5-9 years, 2-hour glucose was 10.4 mg/dL higher (95% CI: 5.6-15.3 mg/dL) and fasting insulin was 4.29 μU/mL higher (95% CI: 2.96-5.71 μU/mL) in those with overweight/obesity in early childhood. Associations were attenuated and no longer significant when adjusted for concurrent BMI. A low height-for-age (HAZ < -2) at ages 1-59 months was associated with 5.37 mg/dL lower HDL (95% CI: 2.57-8.17 mg/dL) and 27.5 μU/mL higher 2-hour insulin (95% CI: 3.41-57.6 μU/mL) at ages 10-16 years relative to an HAZ ≥0.

CONCLUSIONS

In this American Indian population, findings suggest a strong contribution of overweight/obesity in early childhood to cardiometabolic risks in later childhood and adolescence, mediated through persistent overweight/obesity into later ages. Findings also suggest potential adverse effects of low height-for-age, which require confirmation.

A Mini-Review of Pediatric Anthropometrics as Predictors of Future Insulin Resistance

The impact of rising rates of childhood obesity is far reaching. Metabolic syndrome in children is increasing, yet for most children the consequences of excess adiposity will manifest in adulthood. Excess early fat accrual is a risk factor for future insulin resistance. However, certain types of fat and patterns of fat distribution are more relevant than others to metabolic risk. Therefore, adiposity measures are important. The link between childhood obesity and future insulin resistance was initially established with body mass index (BMI), but BMI is an in imperfect measure of adiposity. It is worthwhile to evaluate other anthropometrics as they may more accurately capture metabolic risk. While measures such as waist to height ratio are established as superior screening measures in adulthood - the findings are not as robust in pediatrics. Emerging evidence suggests that alternative anthropometrics may be slightly superior to BMI in identifying those youth most at risk of developing insulin resistance, but the clinical significance of that superiority appears limited. Increasing study is needed in longitudinal and varied cohorts to identify which pediatric anthropometric best predicts adult insulin resistance. We review alternative anthropometrics as predictors of future insulin resistance and identify current gaps in knowledge and potential future directions of inquiry.

Associations of maternal early-pregnancy dietary glycemic index with childhood general, abdominal and ectopic fat accumulation

Background & aims

Maternal hyperglycemia during pregnancy is an important risk factor for childhood adiposity. Maternal dietary glycemic index during pregnancy directly influences maternal and fetal glucose concentrations. We examined the associations of maternal early-pregnancy dietary glycemic index with offspring general, abdominal and ectopic fat accumulation among normal weight and overweight or obese pregnant women and their offspring.

Methods

In a population-based cohort study among 2488 Dutch pregnant women and their children, we assessed maternal dietary glycemic index by food frequency questionnaire at median 13.4 (95% range 10.7; 21.1) weeks gestation. Dietary glycemic index was used continuously and categorized into low (≤55), normal (56–69) and high (≥70) glycemic index diet. We measured offspring BMI, total fat mass and android/gynoid fat mass ratio by DXA, and visceral fat mass and liver fat fraction by MRI at 10 years.

Results

No associations of maternal early-pregnancy dietary glycemic index with offspring adiposity were present among normal weight women and their children. Among overweight and obese women and their children, 1-Standard Deviation Score (SDS) increase in maternal early-pregnancy dietary glycemic index was associated with higher childhood BMI (0.10 SDS, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.01; 0.19), total fat mass index (0.13 SDS, 95% CI 0.05; 0.22), visceral fat mass index (0.19 SDS, 95% CI 0.07; 0.32) and tended to be associated with a higher android/gynoid fat mass ratio (0.09 SDS, 95% CI −0.01; 0.19) and higher risk of childhood overweight (Odds Ratio (OR) 1.20, 95% CI 0.97; 1.48). Overweight and obese women consuming an early-pregnancy low-glycemic index diet, as compared to an early-pregnancy normal-glycemic index diet, had children with lower BMI, total fat mass index, visceral fat mass index and android/gynoid fat mass ratio at 10 years (p-values<0.05). No women consumed a high-glycemic index diet. No associations were explained by maternal socio-economic, lifestyle and dietary characteristics, birth or childhood characteristics. No associations with liver fat fraction were present.

Conclusions

In overweight or obese women and their children, a higher maternal early-pregnancy dietary glycemic index is associated with childhood general, abdominal and visceral fat accumulation, but not with liver fat. Intervention studies among overweight and obese pregnant women may need to target the dietary glycemic index to prevent childhood adiposity.

An Early-Onset Subgroup of Type 2 Diabetes: A Multigenerational, Prospective Analysis in the Framingham Heart Study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the relation of type 2 diabetes occurring earlier (age <55 years) versus later in life to the risk of cardiovascular death and to diabetes in offspring.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

In the Framingham Heart Study, a community-based prospective cohort study, glycemic status was ascertained at serial examinations over six decades among 5,571 first- and second-generation participants with mortality data and 2,123 second-generation participants who initially did not have diabetes with data on parental diabetes status. We assessed cause of death in a case (cardiovascular death)-control (noncardiovascular death) design and incident diabetes in offspring in relation to parental early-onset diabetes.

RESULTS

Among the participants in two generations (N = 5,571), there were 1,822 cardiovascular deaths (including 961 coronary deaths). The odds of cardiovascular versus noncardiovascular death increased with decreasing age of diabetes onset (P < 0.001 trend). Compared with never developing diabetes, early-onset diabetes conferred a 1.81-fold odds (95% CI 1.10-2.97, P = 0.02) of cardiovascular death and 1.75-fold odds (0.96-3.21, P = 0.07) of coronary death, whereas later-onset diabetes was not associated with greater risk for either (P = 0.09 for cardiovascular death; P = 0.51 for coronary death). In second-generation participants, having a parent with early-onset diabetes increased diabetes risk by 3.24-fold (1.73-6.07), whereas having one or both parents with late-onset diabetes increased diabetes risk by 2.19-fold (1.50-3.19).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide evidence for a diabetes subgroup with an early onset, a stronger association with cardiovascular death, and higher transgenerational transmission.

Coexistence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus: a case report of "double" diabetes in a 17-year-old Nigerian girl

Double diabetes otherwise known as hybrid diabetes, a new variant, is a combination of both type 1 and type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents. It is a diabetes variant increasing in prevalence in developed countries because of epidemic obesity among children and adolescents but extremely rare in developing countries. Double diabetes is characterized by features of both type 1 (diabetes auto-antibodies) and type 2 (obesity and insulin resistance). This occurrence can either develop on a background of type 1 diabetes due to an abnormal increase in weight from physiological growth spurt in adolescents or from high insulin dosage developing on a background of type 2 diabetes. The variant has been linked to possible increased cardiovascular risks and worsened morbidity including poor glycaemic control. Here, we report a case of a 17-year-old girl who developed features of type 2 diabetes on a background of type 1 diagnosed 6 years after T1D diagnosis.

Childhood BMI and Fasting Glucose and Insulin Predict Adult Type 2 Diabetes: The International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort (i3C) Consortium

OBJECTIVE

To examine childhood BMI, fasting glucose, and insulin in relation to incident adult type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used data from the International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort (i3C) Consortium. Data included childhood (age 3-19 years) measurements obtained during the 1970s-1990s; a health questionnaire, including self-report of adult T2DM (occurrence age, medication use) obtained at mean age 40 years; and a medical diagnosis registry (Finland).

RESULTS

The sample included 6,738 participants. Of these, 436 (6.5%) reported onset of T2DM between ages 20 and 59 (mean 40.8) years, and 86% of them reported use of a confirmed antidiabetic medication. BMI and glucose (age and sex standardized) were associated with incident T2DM after adjustment for cohort, country, sex, race, age, and calendar year of measurement. Increasing levels of childhood BMI and glucose were related to an incrementally increased risk of T2DM beginning at age 30 years, beginning at cut points <95th percentile for BMI and <100 mg/dL for glucose. Insulin was positively associated with adult T2DM after adjustment for BMI and glucose and added to T2DM discrimination.

CONCLUSIONS

Childhood BMI and glucose are predictors of adult T2DM at levels previously considered to be within the normal range. These easy-to-apply measurements are appealing from a clinical perspective. Fasting insulin has the potential to be an additional predictor.

Perinatal exposure to maternal obesity: Lasting cardiometabolic impact on offspring

Evidence from epidemiological, clinical, and animal model studies clearly demonstrates that prenatal and lactational maternal obesity and high-fat diet consumption are associated with cardiometabolic morbidity in offspring. Fetal and offspring sex may be an important effect modifier. Adverse offspring cardiometabolic outcomes observed in the setting of maternal obesity include an increased risk for obesity, features of metabolic syndrome (hypertension, hyperglycemia and insulin resistance, hyperlipidemia, increased adiposity), and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. This review article synthesizes human and animal data linking maternal obesity and high-fat diet consumption in pregnancy and lactation to adverse cardiometabolic outcomes in offspring. We review key mechanisms underlying skeletal muscle, adipose tissue, pancreatic, liver, and central brain reward programming in obesity-exposed offspring, and how such malprogramming contributes to offspring cardiometabolic morbidity.

Family Income Gradients in Adolescent Obesity, Overweight and Adiposity Persist in Extremely Deprived and Extremely Affluent Neighbourhoods but Not in Middle-Class Neighbourhoods: Evidence from the UK Millennium Cohort Study

We investigated whether family income gradients in obesity, overweight, and adiposity persist at geographic-level deprivation quintiles using a nationally representative cohort of UK adolescents. Data from 11,714 eligible adolescents from the sixth sweep of the Millennium Cohort Study (14 years old) were analysed in this study. The International Obesity Task Force age- and sex-specific thresholds were used to define obesity and overweight. Self-reported family income was standardized using the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)'s equivalised income scale. Geographic-level deprivation was defined by the index of multiple deprivation 2004. Results showed that the prevalence of obesity and overweight was 8.0% and 27.2%, respectively. Mean percentage body fat was 16.9% (standard error, SE = 0.2%) in male and 27.3% (SE = 0.1%) in female adolescents. Risk of obesity, overweight, and adiposity increased with decreasing family income quintiles (p for trend <0.001). After stratifying by geographic-level deprivation quintiles, a U-shaped association emerged, whereby family income gradients in the risk of adolescent obesity and adiposity persisted in extremely affluent and extremely deprived neighbourhoods but attenuated to non-significance in middle-class neighbourhoods. These results focus on the findings from England. Recognition of the persistence of inequalities in the risk of obesity in the most deprived and affluent neighbourhoods may be necessary in planning public health resources and interventions.

Double or hybrid diabetes: A systematic review on disease prevalence, characteristics and risk factors

Diabetes mellitus is a worldwide epidemic affecting the health of millions of people. While type 1 diabetes (T1D) is caused by autoimmune destruction of the insulin-producing beta cells of the pancreas, type 2 diabetes (T2D) results from a combination of insulin resistance and beta cell insulin secretory defect. Clear definition and diagnosis of these two types of diabetes has been increasing more and more difficult, leading to the inclusion of a new category, namely double or hybrid diabetes (DD) that demonstrates symptoms of both T1D and T2D via the accelerator hypothesis. In this review, we discuss the worldwide prevalence of DD, its main physiological characteristics, including beta-cell autoimmunity, insulin resistance, and cardiovascular disease, the main risk factors of developing DD, mainly genetics, obesity and lifestyle choices, as well as potential treatments, such as insulin titration, metformin and behavioural modifications. Increasing awareness of DD among the general population and primary care practitioners is necessary for successfully treating this complex, hybrid disease in the future.

Variabilities in Childhood Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Incident Diabetes in Adulthood: The Bogalusa Heart Study

OBJECTIVE

Although emerging evidence indicates that increased variability in cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) among populations at midlife or later is a reliable predictor of adverse health outcomes, it is unknown whether intraindividual CVRF variability during childhood or adolescence is an independent predictor of later-life diabetes. We aimed to examine the association of CVRF variability during childhood with diabetes in later life.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 1,718 participants who participated in the Bogalusa Heart Study and had measures at least four times during childhood (aged 4-19 years). The mean follow-up period was 20.5 years. Intraindividual CVRF variabilities during childhood were calculated using SD, coefficient of variation, deviation from age-predicted values, and residual SD based upon four to eight serial measurements in childhood.

RESULTS

Increased variability in BMI or HDL cholesterol (HDL-C) during childhood, irrespective of the indices used, was significantly positively associated with later-life diabetes risk independent of their respective mean levels in childhood and other possible confounding factors. In combined analysis, the magnitude of the association with diabetes risk was similar for high childhood BMI variability and high childhood HDL-C variability. After adjustments for potential confounding variables, other CVRF variabilities including systolic/diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, triglycerides, and LDL cholesterol were not significantly associated with diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased BMI and HDL-C variabilities during childhood were significant risk factors for the development of diabetes independently of diverse risk factors, which may offer new insights into the childhood origin of adult-onset diabetes.

Cardiometabolic risk factor levels in Norwegian children compared to international reference values: The ASK study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate cardiometabolic risk factor levels in a group of Norwegian 10-year-old children compared to international values and examine the association between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and the reference-standardized clustered risk score.

METHODS

913 children (49% girls) were included from the Active Smarter Kids (ASK) study. Body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), total cholesterol (TC) to HDL-C ratio, triglyceride (TG), glucose, insulin, homeostatic model assessment (HOMA) score and CRF, were standardized according to international age-and sex-specific reference values.

RESULTS

The Norwegian children had significantly more favorable WC, DBP, glucose, HDL-C and CRF levels compared to the international reference values, but similar or less favorable levels of other cardiometabolic risk factors. CRF was the variable that differed the most from the international values (mean (95% CI) 1.20 (1.16 to 1.24) SD). The clustered risk score (excluding CRF) was higher in the Norwegian children, but decreased to below international levels when including CRF (mean (95% CI) - 0.08 (- 0.12 to -0.05) SD). CRF had a significant inverse association with the clustered risk score (excluding CRF) (β - 0.37 SD, 95% CI -0.43 to -0.31).

CONCLUSIONS

Norwegian children have substantially higher CRF levels than international standards, and including CRF in clustered risk scores reduces overall risk in Norwegian children below that of international levels. CRF is associated with improved cardiometabolic health in children.

Relationship between fasting plasma glucose and incidence of diabetes in children and adolescents

AIM

To investigate the appropriate fasting plasma glucose threshold by which to define prediabetes in children and adolescents, based on its ability to predict incident paediatric diabetes.

METHODS

In a nationwide survey of diabetes and renal disease conducted between 1992 and 2000 in all school-aged children in Taiwan, those with abnormal results in repeated urine tests received further physical examination and blood tests. Students who had blood tests for at least two time points were selected for the present study (N = 12 119). The incidence of paediatric diabetes, adjusted hazard ratio and predictive power of fasting plasma glucose were analysed.

RESULTS

The incidence of paediatric diabetes increased with increasing fasting plasma glucose levels. Groups with fasting plasma glucose >5.6 mmol/l had a higher adjusted hazard ratio. The adjusted hazard ratio of incident diabetes for participants with higher fasting plasma glucose rose continuously when using a higher threshold for fasting plasma glucose. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for fasting plasma glucose was 0.628 for predicting paediatric diabetes. The association between fasting plasma glucose and incident paediatric diabetes and the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve were similar in boys and girls and were higher in the age group 12-18 years. According to receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis, the optimal thresholds, sensitivity and specificity were 4.75 mmol/l, 65% and 51%, respectively, for those aged 6-11 years and 5.19 mmol/l, 60% and 73%, respectively, for those aged 12-18 years.

CONCLUSION

Fasting plasma glucose is associated with the incidence of paediatric diabetes. The results of the present study can be used as reference data to suggest a cut-off value to define paediatric prediabetes.

Engaging the ASEAN Diaspora: Type 2 Diabetes Prevalence, Pathophysiology, and Unique Risk Factors among Filipino Migrants in the United States

Type 2 diabetes prevalence is rising rapidly in Southeast Asia (SEA) where urbanization and adoption of ‘western’ behavioral lifestyles are attributed as predominant risk factors. The Southeast Asian diaspora to the United States has resulted in a sizable portion of migrant and US born SEAs, with approximately 4 million Filipino Americans, 2 million Vietnamese-Americans, Cambodians (330,000), and Thai (300,000) as the most populous. Their longer exposure to a western lifestyle and participation in clinical studies with other racial/ethnic groups, provide opportunities to evaluate etiologic factors which might inform trends and intervention opportunities among residents of Southeast Asia.

Epidemiologic studies in the US have identified higher T2D prevalence among Filipinos (16.1%) compared to groups perceived to be at highest risk for T2D, namely Latinos (14.0%), Black (13.7%), and Native Americans (13.4%), while SEAs (including Burmese, Cambodian, Indonesian, Laotian, Malaysian, and Thai, 10.5%) and Vietnamese (9.9%) had higher T2D risk compared to Whites (7.7%), despite their absence of general obesity. Asian-Americans, including SEAs, East and South Asians, collectively have higher rates of undiagnosed T2D compared to other racial/ethnic groups in the US. Almost half (44%) of Filipinos with newly diagnosed T2D have isolated post-challenge hyperglycemia and will remain undiagnosed if current screening practices remain limited to measures of glycosylated hemoglobin and fasting plasma glucose.

The University of California San Diego Filipino Health Study found excess visceral adipose tissue accumulation, low ratio of muscle to total abdominal mass area, low adiponectin concentration, multiparity (≥ 6 live births), and sleep insufficiency (<7 hours) to be unique T2D risk factors among Filipino-American women, even after adjusting for established T2D risk factors including hypertension and parental history of T2D. Social determinants such as low educational attainment (less than college completion), and sustained social disadvantage during childhood and adulthood were independently associated with T2D risk. Gestational diabetes is a known risk factor for future T2DM among women; Northern California data shows that following Asian Indians, gestational diabetes was highest among Filipina and SEA parturients, who had twice the GDM prevalence as Black, Hispanic, and White women. Identification of novel T2D risk factors among SEAs may guide early diagnosis, inform pathophysiology, and identify unique opportunities for T2D prevention and management.

Fish Intake in Pregnancy and Offspring Metabolic Parameters at Age 9⁻16-Does Gestational Diabetes Modify the Risk?

Oily fish, an important source of marine n-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LCPUFA), has shown to reduce cardiometabolic risk in adults. Whether maternal fish intake affects offspring metabolic health is less established, especially among high-risk pregnancies. We aimed to examine the association of fish intake in pregnancy with offspring metabolic health who were either exposed or unexposed to gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Our study included 1234 mother-offspring dyads (608 with a GDM index pregnancy and 626 control dyads) nested within the Danish National Birth Cohort, which is a prebirth cohort. Maternal seafood and marine n-3 LCPUFA consumption was quantified by a food frequency questionnaire (gestational week 25) and a sub-sample with interview data (weeks 12 and 30). The offspring were clinically examined at 9–16 years, including a Dual energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DXA) scan and a fasting blood sample. We calculated multivariable effect estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for anthropometric, adiposity, and metabolic parameters. The median (IQR) intake of total seafood was 23(24) g/day. We found largely no association for total seafood and marine n-3 LCPUFA with offspring metabolic parameters in either group. Using interview data, GDM-exposed women reporting no fish in week 12 and 30 (versus intake >2 times/week) had offspring with a higher Body Mass Index (BMI) (ratio of geometric means (RGM): 1.28, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.55), waist circumference (RGM: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.40), triglycerides (RGM: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.03, 3.03), and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance HOMA-IR (RGM: 2.16, 95% CI: 1.17, 3.97). We found no associations of n-3 LCPUFA and seafood intake with offspring metabolic outcomes. However, GDM-exposed women who consistently reported eating no fish had offspring with a poorer metabolic profile. Fish intake in pregnancy may mitigate some adverse effects of intrauterine hyperglycemia, however, these findings need replication in better powered studies.

Genetic variation of SORBS1 gene is associated with glucose homeostasis and age at onset of diabetes: A SAPPHIRe Cohort Study

The SORBS1 gene plays an important role in insulin signaling. We aimed to examine whether common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of SORBS1 are associated with prevalence and incidence of diabetes, age at onset of diabetes, and the related traits of glucose homeostasis. A total of 1135 siblings from 492 ethnic Chinese families were recruited at baseline, and 630 were followed up for 5.19 ± 0.96 years. Nine SNPs including rs7081076, rs2281939, rs3818540, rs2274490, rs61739184, rs726176, rs2296966, rs17849148, and rs3193970 were genotyped and examined. To deal with correlated data of subjects within the same families, the generalized estimating equations approach was applied throughout all association analyses. The GG genotype of rs2281939 was associated with a higher risk of diabetes at baseline, an earlier onset of diabetes, and higher steady-state plasma glucose levels in the modified insulin suppression test. The minor allele T of rs2296966 was associated with higher prevalence and incidence of diabetes, an earlier onset of diabetes, and higher 2-h glucose during oral glucose tolerance test. These two SNPs revealed independent associations with age of diabetes onset as well as risk of diabetes at baseline. These findings supported that SORBS1 gene participates in the pathogenesis of diabetes.

Effect of severe obesity in childhood and adolescence on risk of type 2 diabetes in youth and early adulthood in an American Indian population

OBJECTIVES

The risk of early-onset type 2 diabetes associated with the severity of obesity in youth is not well understood. This study aims to determine metabolic alterations and type 2 diabetes risk among American Indian children who are obese or severely obese.

METHODS

Incidence rates of diabetes before 20 years (youth-onset) and 45 years were computed in 2728 children who were from 5 to <10 years and 4317 adolescents who were from 10 to <18 years without diabetes examined between 1965 and 2007. Obesity was defined as age-sex-adjusted body mass index (BMI) ≥95th percentile, and its severity was quantified as the percentage of the 95th percentile (%BMI_p95 ).

RESULTS

In the younger cohort, 0.9% of those non-obese and 2.9% of those with 100% to <120%BMI_p95 had impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) compared to 8.6% of those with ≥140%BMI_p95 . In the older cohort, 2.9% of those non-obese and 9.8% of those with 100% to <120%BMI_p95 had IGT compared to 13.3% of those with ≥160%BMI_p95 . The incidence of youth-onset diabetes was 3.8 and 4.9/1000 person-years in the child and adolescent cohorts, respectively, and before the age of 45 was 12.3 and 16.8/1000 person-years, respectively. Incidence rates of youth-onset diabetes in those with the most severe obesity (≥140%BMI_p95 ) were 2.3 to 5.1 times as high as in those with the least severe obesity (100 to <120%BMI_p95 ), and for onset of diabetes before the age of 45 were 1.6 to 2.2 times as high.

CONCLUSIONS

Severe obesity in an American Indian population is a major driver of type 2 diabetes developing in adolescents and young adults.

Longitudinal follow up of dysglycemia in overweight and obese pediatric patients

OBJECTIVE

To examine factors related to progression of dysglycemia in overweight and obese youth in a large primary care setting.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

10- to 18-year-old youth with body mass index (BMI) > 85 percentile and first-time A1c 5.7%-7.9% (39-63 mmol/mol) were identified retrospectively through electronic medical records (EMR). Levels of dysglycemia were defined as low-range prediabetes (LRPD; A1c 5.7%-5.9% [39-41 mmol/mol]), high-range prediabetes (HRPD; A1c 6.0%-6.4% [42-46 mmol/mol]), or diabetes-range (A1c 6.5%-7.9% [48 mmol/mol]). Follow-up A1c and BMI were extracted from the EMR. Follow up was truncated at the time of initiation of diabetes medication.

RESULTS

Of 11 000 youth, 547 were identified with baseline dysglycemia (mean age 14.5 ± 2.2 years, 70% Hispanic, 23% non-Hispanic Black, 7% other). Of these, 206 had LRPD, 282 HRPD, and 59 diabetes. Follow-up A1c was available in 420 (77%), with median follow up of 12-22 months depending on A1c category. At follow-up testing, the percent with diabetes-range A1c was 4% in youth with baseline LRPD, 8% in youth with baseline HRPD, and 33% in youth with baseline diabetes-range A1c. There was a linear association between BMI increase and worsening A1c for LRPD (P < .001) and HRPD (P = .003).

CONCLUSIONS

Most adolescents with an initial prediabetes or diabetes-range A1c did not have a diabetes-range A1c on follow up. Moreover, prediabetes-range A1c values do not all convey equal risk for the development of diabetes, with lower rates of progression for youth with initial A1c <6%. In youth with prediabetes-range A1c, BMI stabilization was associated with improvement of glycemia.

Childhood Age and Associations Between Childhood Metabolic Syndrome and Adult Risk for Metabolic Syndrome, Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Carotid Intima Media Thickness: The International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort Consortium

Background

There is paucity of knowledge concerning the specific age in youth when the associations of metabolic syndrome (MetS) begin to be operative. Thus, we investigated the relation of age to the associations of childhood MetS with adult MetS, type 2 diabetes mellitus and high carotid intima‐media thickness.

Methods and Results

Five thousand eight‐hundred three participants were analyzed in 4 cohort studies (Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns, Bogalusa Heart Study, Princeton Lipid Research Study, Insulin Study). International cutoffs and previously used 75th percentile cutoffs were used for children to define MetS and its components. Mean follow‐up period was 22.3 years. Logistic regression was used to calculate risk ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Childhood MetS and overweight were associated with over 2.4‐fold risk for adult MetS from the age of 5 years onward. Risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus was increased from the age of 8 (risk ratio, 2.6–4.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.35–6.76 and 1.12–7.24, respectively) onward for the 2 childhood MetS criteria based on international cut‐off values and for childhood overweight. Risk for high carotid intima‐media thickness was significant at ages 11 to 18 years in relation to childhood MetS or overweight (risk ratio, 2.44–4.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.55–3.55 and 2.55–5.66, respectively). Continuous childhood MetS score was associated with adult MetS from the age of 5, with type 2 diabetes mellitus from the age of 14 and with high carotid intima‐media thickness from the age of 11 years onward.

Conclusions

Adult MetS was predicted by MetS in childhood beginning at age 5. However, adult type 2 diabetes mellitus and subclinical atherosclerosis were not predicted by childhood data until after age 8. Body mass index measurement alone at the same age points provided similar findings.

Cardiometabolic risk profile based on body mass index in American Indian children and adolescents

BACKGROUND

Childhood obesity is associated with increased cardiometabolic risk.

OBJECTIVE

To study the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and cardiometabolic risk factors in American Indian children and adolescents.

METHODS

Differences in metabolic variables by age and sex-specific BMI percentiles (2000 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Growth Charts) were examined in a cross-sectional analysis of 2977 individuals across three age categories. Children with an exam in two consecutive age categories were included in a longitudinal analysis. Spearman's correlations were used to test the association of BMI percentile with anthropometric and biochemical variables.

RESULTS

Body mass index percentile correlated with systolic (r = 0.24 to 0.38) and diastolic (r = 0.13 to 0.22) blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose (r = 0.20 to 0.33), 2-h plasma glucose (r = 0.30 to 0.46), total cholesterol (r = 0.12 to 0.23), serum triglycerides (r = 0.40 to 0.51) and HDL cholesterol (r = -0.36 to -0.43) in each age group (5-9, 10-13 and 14-17 years). Among participants examined in multiple age categories, BMI percentile increased over time. Change in BMI percentile from one age category to the next was associated with an increase in fasting glucose, 2-h glucose and triglycerides and a decrease in HDL cholesterol.

CONCLUSION

Higher BMI was associated with blood pressure elevation, hyperglycaemia and dyslipidaemia in American Indian children and adolescents.

Body Mass Index and Incident Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes in Children and Young Adults: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Context:

Little is known about the association between obesity and temporal trends in the incidence of diabetes in children and young adults.

Objective:

We examined the recent incidence of types 1 and 2 diabetes in relation to a high body mass index (BMI) in UK children and young adults.

Design:

Cohort and nested case-control.

Setting:

A total of 375 general practices that contribute to the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD).

Participants:

A total of 369,362 participants aged 2 to 15 years at BMI measurement in CPRD from 1994 to 2013.

Intervention:

None.

Main outcome measures:

Incident type 1 diabetes (T1D) and type 2 diabetes (T2D) diagnoses up to age 25 years.

Results:

A total of 654 incident cases of T2D and 1318 T1D cases were found. The incidence of T2D per 100,000 persons annually increased from 6.4 in 1994 to 1998 to 33.2 in 2009 to 2013; and that for T1D increased from 38.2 to 52.1 per 100,000 persons during the same period. The incidence of T2D increased in both overweight (85th to 95th percentile for age- and sex-specific BMI; P = 0.01) and obese (≥95th percentile; P < 0.01) individuals from 1994 to 2013. Obese individuals, who constituted 47.1% of T2D cases, had a markedly greater risk of incident T2D [odds ratio, 3.75; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.07 to 4.57], with an incidence rate ratio of 4.33 (95% CI, 3.68 to 5.08) compared with the normal BMI category. No positive linear association was found between obesity (greater BMI) and incident T1D cases.

Conclusions:

Increasing obesity has contributed to the increasing incidence of T2D but not T1D among UK children and young adults, with a fourfold greater risk of developing T2D in obese individuals.

Causal inference in obesity research

Obesity is a risk factor for a plethora of severe morbidities and premature death. Most supporting evidence comes from observational studies that are prone to chance, bias and confounding. Even data on the protective effects of weight loss from randomized controlled trials will be susceptible to confounding and bias if treatment assignment cannot be masked, which is usually the case with lifestyle and surgical interventions. Thus, whilst obesity is widely considered the major modifiable risk factor for many chronic diseases, its causes and consequences are often difficult to determine. Addressing this is important, as the prevention and treatment of any disease requires that interventions focus on causal risk factors. Disease prediction, although not dependent on knowing the causes, is nevertheless enhanced by such knowledge. Here, we provide an overview of some of the barriers to causal inference in obesity research and discuss analytical approaches, such as Mendelian randomization, that can help to overcome these obstacles. In a systematic review of the literature in this field, we found: (i) probable causal relationships between adiposity and bone health/disease, cancers (colorectal, lung and kidney cancers), cardiometabolic traits (blood pressure, fasting insulin, inflammatory markers and lipids), uric acid concentrations, coronary heart disease and venous thrombosis (in the presence of pulmonary embolism), (ii) possible causal relationships between adiposity and gray matter volume, depression and common mental disorders, oesophageal cancer, macroalbuminuria, end-stage renal disease, diabetic kidney disease, nuclear cataract and gall stone disease, and (iii) no evidence for causal relationships between adiposity and Alzheimer's disease, pancreatic cancer, venous thrombosis (in the absence of pulmonary embolism), liver function and periodontitis.

High predictability of impaired glucose tolerance by combining cardiometabolic screening parameters in obese children

BACKGROUND

There is debate on which overweight and obese children should be screened for the presence of impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) by oral glucose tolerance testing (OGTT). The objective of the study was to identify risk factors predictive of the presence of IGT.

METHODS

In a cohort of overweight children, who underwent OGTT, we determined the association of anthropometric and laboratory parameters with IGT and whether combining parameters improved the sensitivity of screening for IGT.

RESULTS

Out of 145 patients, IGT was present in 11, of whom two had impaired fasting glucose (IFG). Elevated blood pressure (p=0.025) and elevated liver enzymes (p=0.003) were associated with IGT, whereas IFG was not (p=0.067), screening patients with either one of these parameters predicted IGT with a high sensitivity of 1.00, and a number needed to screen of 5.7.

CONCLUSIONS

Screening all patients with either IFG, presence of elevated blood pressure and elevated liver enzymes, significantly increases predictability of IGT compared to using IFG alone.

Low Levels of High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Do Not Predict the Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes in an Iranian High-Risk Population: The Isfahan Diabetes Prevention Study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the ability of low-level fasting high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC) to predict the incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in an Iranian high-risk population.

METHODS

Seven-year follow-up data (n = 1,775) in non-diabetic first-degree relatives (FDR) of consecutive patients with T2D aged 30-70 years were analyzed. The primary outcome was the diagnosis of T2D based on repeated oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for the incidence of T2D across quartiles of HDLC, and plotted a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to assess discrimination.

RESULTS

The highest quartile compared with the lowest quartile of HDLC was associated with T2D in age- and gender-adjusted models (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.73-0.95). Further adjustment for fasting plasma glucose and cholesterol attenuated the association for T2D incidence (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.80-1.08). The area under the ROC curve for HDLC was 54.1% (95% CI: 50.2-58.0).

CONCLUSIONS

HDLC level was a weak predictor of T2D in an Iranian high-risk population, independent of age and gender.

Incidence and predictors of early adulthood pre-diabetes/type 2 diabetes, among Iranian adolescents: the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

PURPOSE

To evaluate the incidence and predictors of early adulthood pre-diabetes/type 2 diabetes (T2D) among Iranian adolescents during a median follow-up of 9.2 yr.

METHOD

A total of 2563 subjects aged 10-19 yr, without pre-diabetes/T2D at baseline, were entered in the study. Pre-diabetes was defined as those with fasting plasma glucose (FPG) 5.6 to <7 mmol/L. T2D was defined as anti-T2D drug consumption or FPG ≥7 mmol/L. Multivariate Cox-proportional analysis was applied to examine the association between different risk factors that showed attained statistical significance < 0.2 in univariate analysis, with incident pre-diabetes/T2D. Same method was repeated on 1803 subjects with complete parental data to find the relation between parental risk factors and pre-diabetes/T2D.

RESULT

The mean age of participants was 14.45 ± 2.78 yr, and 53.6% were female. During follow-up 208 cases of pre-diabetes/T2D occurred, resulting in an incidence rate of 9.61 per 1000 person-years. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for incident pre-diabetes/T2D showed significant risk for 1 standard deviation increase in FPG and body mass index with corresponding HR of 1.89 (1.6-2.23) and 1.435 (1.080-1.905), respectively. Among parental potential risk factors, the paternal history of T2D was independently associated with increased risk for pre-diabetes/T2D in the adolescence (HR = 1.63(1.02-2.60)).

CONCLUSION

About 1% of Iranian adolescents developed pre-diabetes/T2D each year. Among the non-modifiable risk factors paternal history of T2D and, among modifiable risk factors, the presence of general adiposity as well as the higher level of FPG should be considered among adolescents for development of pre-diabetes/T2D later in the young adulthood.

An educational video game for nutrition of young people: Theory and design

BACKGROUND

Playing Escape from DIAB (DIAB) and Nanoswarm (NANO), epic video game adventures, increased fruit and vegetable consumption among a multi-ethnic sample of 10-12 year old children during pilot testing. Key elements of both games were educational mini-games embedded in the overall game that promoted knowledge acquisition regarding diet, physical activity and energy balance. 95-100% of participants demonstrated mastery of these mini-games suggesting knowledge acquisition.

AIM

This article describes the process of designing and developing the educational mini-games. A secondary purpose was to explore the experience of children while playing the games.

METHOD

The educational games were based on Social Cognitive and Mastery Learning Theories. A multidisciplinary team of behavioral nutrition, PA, and video game experts designed, developed, and tested the mini-games.

RESULTS

Alpha testing revealed children generally liked the mini-games and found them to be reasonably challenging. Process evaluation data from pilot testing revealed almost all participants completed nearly all educational mini-games in a reasonable amount of time suggesting feasibility of this approach.

CONCLUSIONS

Future research should continue to explore the use of video games in educating children to achieve healthy behavior changes.

Prediction of Preadolescent Overweight and Poor Cardiometabolic Outcome in Children up to 6 Years of Age: Research Protocol

Background

Dynamic risk estimations may enable targeting primary prevention of overweight and overweight-related adverse cardiometabolic outcome in later life, potentially serving as a valuable addition to universal primary prevention. This approach seems particularly promising in young children, as body mass index (BMI) changes at a young age are highly predictive of these outcomes, and parental lifestyle interventions at a young age are associated with improved long-term outcome.

Objective

This paper describes the design of our study, which aims to develop digitized tools that can be implemented in the Dutch Child Health Care (CHC) system or by pediatricians for children up to 6 years of age. These tools will enable (1) dynamically predicting the development of overweight, hypertension or prehypertension, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) values, and high total cholesterol to HDL-C ratio by early adolescence and (2) identifying children who are likely to have poor cardiometabolic outcome by the age of 5-6 years and by the age of 10 years.

Methods

Data will be obtained from the Generation R (n=7893) and Prevention and Incidence of Asthma and Mite Allergy (PIAMA; n=3963) cohorts, two Dutch prenatally recruited cohorts. We will select candidate predictors that can be assessed during the first visit and/or during subsequent visits to the CHC center or pediatrician, including sex; parental age, education level, and BMI; smoking exposure; ethnicity; birth weight; gestational age; breastfeeding versus formula feeding; and growth data through the age of 6 years. We will design dynamic prediction models that can be updated with new information obtained during subsequent CHC visits, allowing each measurement to be added to the model. Performance of the model will be assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration. Finally, the model will be validated both internally and externally using the combined cohort data and then converted into a computer-assisted tool called ProCOR (Prediction Of Child CardiOmetabolic Risk).

Results

This is an ongoing research project financed by the Dutch government. The first results are expected in 2016.

Conclusions

This study may contribute to the national implementation of digitized tools for assessing the risk of overweight and related cardiometabolic outcome in young children, enabling targeted primary prevention, ultimately yielding relevant health gains and improved resource allocation.

The influence of early-life conditions on cardiovascular disease later in life among ethnic minority populations: a systematic review

Ethnic minority groups are disproportionately affected by cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The reasons for the high prevalence of CVD in ethnic minority groups are not fully understood. Recently, the importance of early-life developmental factors and their impact on CVDs in adulthood is increasingly being recognised, but little is known about this among ethnic minority groups. Therefore, the current paper aimed to fill this knowledge gap by reviewing the available literature to assess the influence of early-life conditions on CVDs and its risk factors in ethnic minority populations residing in Western countries. A systematic search was performed in PubMed and EMBASE between 1989 and 2014. In total, 1418 studies were identified of which 19 met the inclusion criteria. Six studies investigated the relationship between early-life anthropometrics and CVD risk factors of which all except one found significant associations between the assessed anthropometric measures and CVD risk factors. Seven studies evaluated the influence of childhood socio-economic status (SES) on CVD and risk factors of which five found significant associations between childhood SES measures and CVD risk factors. Five studies investigated the relationship between other early-life conditions including early-life nutrition, physical development, and childhood psychosocial conditions, and CVD risk factors. Four of these studies found significant associations between the assessed childhood conditions and CVD risk factors. This review reinforces the importance of early-life conditions on adult CVD in ethnic minority groups. Improvement of early-life conditions among ethnic minority groups may contribute to reducing CVD risk in these populations.

Metabolic Risk Factors and Type 2 Diabetes Incidence in American Indian Children

CONTEXT

Data are lacking on how metabolic risk factors during childhood affect the long-term risk of type 2 diabetes.

OBJECTIVES

Assess four metabolic risk factors as predictors of type 2 diabetes and determine whether the risk differs between younger and older children.

DESIGN

In a prospective cohort study conducted between 1965 and 2007, participants were followed for development of diabetes. Baseline measurements included body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, serum cholesterol, and 2-hour plasma glucose after an oral glucose tolerance test. Additional analyses divided subjects into two groups according to baseline age, 5–11 and 12–19 years.

SETTING

Gila River Indian Community in Arizona.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 5532 nondiabetic Pima Indian children 5–19 years old.

RESULTS

A total of 1281 children developed diabetes (median follow-up, 12.4 years). Diabetes incidence was higher in overweight children (BMI ≥ 85th percentile) than in nonoverweight children. Nonoverweight children had the lowest risk of diabetes (20-year cumulative incidence, 9.5%), whereas overweight children with impaired glucose tolerance (2-hour glucose ≥ 140 mg/dL) had the highest (79.0%). The relative risk for children with metabolic abnormalities compared with their healthy counterparts was higher in younger children than in older children early in follow-up. BMI and 2-hour glucose were related to incident diabetes in multivariable models (predicted 15-year cumulative incidence for the highest vs lowest quartile was 3.9 and 1.8 times as high for BMI and 2-hour glucose, respectively; P < .001), whereas blood pressure and cholesterol were not.

CONCLUSIONS

BMI and impaired glucose tolerance in children are strong predictors of type 2 diabetes. Other components of the “metabolic syndrome” are not.

Altered Plasma Levels of Glucagon, GLP-1 and Glicentin During OGTT in Adolescents With Obesity and Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

Proglucagon-derived hormones are important for glucose metabolism, but little is known about them in pediatric obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

OBJECTIVE

Fasting and postprandial levels of proglucagon-derived peptides glucagon, GLP-1, and glicentin in adolescents with obesity across the glucose tolerance spectrum were investigated.

DESIGN

This was a cross-sectional study with plasma hormone levels quantified at fasting and during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT).

SETTING

This study took place in a pediatric obesity clinic at Uppsala University Hospital, Sweden.

PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS

Adolescents with obesity, age 10-18 years, with normal glucose tolerance (NGT, n = 23), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT, n = 19), or T2DM (n = 4) and age-matched lean adolescents (n = 19) were included.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Outcome measures were fasting and OGTT plasma levels of insulin, glucagon, active GLP-1, and glicentin.

RESULTS

Adolescents with obesity and IGT had lower fasting GLP-1 and glicentin levels than those with NGT (0.25 vs 0.53 pM, P < .05; 18.2 vs 23.6 pM, P < .01) and adolescents with obesity and T2DM had higher fasting glucagon levels (18.1 vs 10.1 pM, P < .01) than those with NGT. During OGTT, glicentin/glucagon ratios were lower in adolescents with obesity and NGT than in lean adolescents (P < .01) and even lower in IGT (P < .05) and T2DM (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Obese adolescents with IGT have lowered fasting GLP-1 and glicentin levels. In T2DM, fasting glucagon levels are elevated, whereas GLP-1 and glicentin levels are maintained low. During OGTT, adolescents with obesity have more products of pancreatically than intestinally cleaved proglucagon (ie, more glucagon and less GLP-1) in the plasma. This shift becomes more pronounced when glucose tolerance deteriorates.

A clinically relevant method to screen for hepatic steatosis in overweight adolescents: a cross sectional study

Background

To develop a screening algorithm to detect hepatic steatosis in overweight and obese adolescents.

Methods

We performed a cross sectional study of 129 overweight adolescents 13–18 yrs. The primary outcome, hepatic steatosis was defined as an intracellular triglyceride content > 5.5 mg/g and quantified using ¹H-magenetic resonance spectroscopy. Primary predictor variables included, alanine and aspartate transaminases (ALT/AST) and features of the metabolic syndrome.

Results

Hepatic steatosis was present in 33 % of overweight and obese adolescents. Adolescents with hepatic steatosis were more likely to be boys (adjusted OR: 4.8; 95 % CI: 2.5–10.5), display a higher waist circumference (111 ± 12 vs 100 ± 13 cm, p < 0.001) and have metabolic syndrome (adjusted OR: 5.1; 95 % CI: 1.6–16.4). Serum ALT predicted hepatic steatosis in boys (AUC: 0.82; 95 % CI: 0.70–0.95; p < 0.001) but not girls (AUC = 0.63; 95 % CI: 0.46–0.75, p = 0.16). An ALT >20 U/L, combined with the presence of metabolic syndrome, male gender and an elevated waist circumference provided the best model (AUC 0.85) with high sensitivity (72 %) and specificity (82 %) and positive and negative predictive values of 61 % and 89 % respectively.

Conclusions

Serum transaminases provide modest predictive value for hepatic steatosis in youth. The ALT threshold for predicting hepatic steatosis is significantly lower than current clinical thresholds for predicting non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. The addition of ALT, presence of the metabolic syndrome and male gender significant improve the ability to predict hepatic steatosis.

An 8-Year Prospective Study of Depressive Symptoms and Change in Insulin From Adolescence to Young Adulthood

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether depressive symptoms predict change in fasting insulin among adolescents followed into young adulthood. We hypothesized that higher depressive symptoms would predict increased insulin and that puberty and race/ethnicity would moderate this relationship.

METHODS

Data came from the Princeton School District Study, a school-based longitudinal cohort of non-Hispanic black and white adolescents (2001-2011). Depressive symptoms, fasting insulin, and body mass index were measured at baseline (adolescence) and 8 years later (young adulthood) in 685 participants. Puberty was assessed using a validated protocol measuring sex steroids and physical changes. The primary outcome was change in fasting insulin. Analyses accounted for age, sex, race, parental education, baseline insulin, body mass index z score, puberty, and time to follow-up.

RESULTS

At baseline, depressive symptoms were correlated with insulin (ρ = 0.13, p = .001). High baseline insulin predicted insulin change (B = -11.50, standard error [SE] = 2.30, p < .001). Depressive symptoms also predicted insulin change, but only for pubertal adolescents (B = -0.23, SE = 0.11, p = .038). This relationship was moderated by race (p = .047); depressive symptoms predicted insulin change only among pubertal black adolescents (p = .030), not white (p = .49), and in the direction opposite that hypothesized (Bblacks = -0.51, SE = 0.23). Post hoc analyses revealed that pubertal black adolescents with high depressive symptoms had the highest baseline insulin, which stayed high across the follow-up period.

CONCLUSIONS

Among pubertal black adolescents, elevated depressive symptoms are associated with increased risk for sustained hyperinsulinemia from adolescence into adulthood. These youths may be particularly vulnerable for Type 2 diabetes.

National surveillance for type 1, type 2 diabetes and prediabetes among children and adolescents: a population-based study (SAUDI-DM)

Background

There is a paucity of data on the national prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes among youth. The Saudi Abnormal Glucose Metabolism and Diabetes Impact Study (SAUDI-DM) was used to assess the prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes as well as impaired fasting glucose (IFG) among children and adolescents.

Methods

Sociodemographic, anthropometric and clinical data were collected through a nationwide household randomly selected 23 523 children and adolescents aged ≤18 years. Known participants with diabetes were classified according to their diabetes type, while participants without diabetes were subjected to fasting plasma glucose assessment and patients with diabetes were identified using the American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria. All the studied participants were tested for lipid parameters. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess different risk factors.

Results

The overall prevalence of diabetes was 10.84%, of which 0.45% were known type 1 and type 2 patients with diabetes and 10.39% were either newly identified cases of diabetes (4.27%) or IFG (6.12%) with more than 90% of the participants with diabetes being unaware of their disease. The prevalence of known type 1 and type 2 diabetes as well as the newly identified cases was higher than what has been reported internationally. Age, male gender, obesity, urban residency, high family income and presence of dyslipidaemia were found to be significant risk factors for diabetes and IFG.

Conclusions

Diabetes and IFG are highly prevalent in this society with the majority of the patients being unaware of their disease, which warrants urgent adoption of early detection, treatment and prevention programmes.

Association between Obesity Indices and Insulin Resistance among Healthy Korean Adolescents: The JS High School Study

Objective

To investigate whether indices of obesity are associated with insulin resistance in Korean adolescents.

Methods

This study was conducted as a cross-sectional analysis of 817 healthy adolescents aged 15–16 years without diabetes. Percentiles group of weight-for-height, body mass index (BMI)-for-age, waist circumference (WC)-for-age, and skin fold thickness (SFT)-for-age were based on the 2007 Korean National Growth Charts. Percentiles of waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), and percent body fat were calculated for the study population. Insulin resistance was estimated by homeostatic model assessment (HOMA-IR). Logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratio for insulin resistance according to seven obesity indices. Generalized linear models were used to assess the associations between obesity indices and continuous HOMA-IR levels.

Results

Sex and age-adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for insulin resistance, defined as HOMA-IR>2.50, of the 75–94th and ≥95th percentiles of weight-for-height were 3.87 (2.38–6.30) and 11.37 (5.87–22.02), compared to the <50th percentile. Corresponding odds ratios were 3.27 (2.02–5.28) and 11.72 (6.05–22.73) for BMI-for-age, 4.72 (2.82–7.88) and 13.22 (6.42–27.23) for WC-for-age, 3.67 (2.27–5.94) and 13.58 (6.71–27.48) for WHR, 4.78 (2.99–7.67) and 12.84 (6.23–26.46) for WHtR, 2.62 (1.61–4.26) and 6.68 (3.46–12.90) for SFT-for-age, and 2.29 (1.33–4.26) and 10.06 (4.39–23.06) for body fat. These associations were more prominent when insulin resistance was defined as HOMA-IR>3.16 and were stronger in males than in females. Continuous measure of HOMA-IR was significantly associated with body weight, BMI, WC, WHR, WHtR, and SFT in both sexes (p<0.001), and with percent body fat in males only (p<0.001).

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that obesity indices are positively associated with insulin resistance in apparently healthy adolescents.

Topiramate for weight reduction in adolescents with severe obesity

BACKGROUND

Medications for use as an adjunct to lifestyle modification therapy (LSM) for severe adolescent obesity are limited. Topiramate results in weight reduction in adults with obesity, but has not been studied in adolescents.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the effect of topiramate plus LSM on body mass index (BMI) reduction in adolescents with severe obesity.

METHODS

Data for this retrospective chart review were collected from patients attending a pediatric weight management program who were treated with LSM plus topiramate for 3 months minimum. Mean BMI percent change from baseline was evaluated using t-tests.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight patients (mean age 15.2 ± 2.5 years, mean baseline BMI 46.2 ± 10.3 kg/m(2)) were identified for inclusion. The 6-month percent change in BMI was -4.9, 95% confidence interval (-7.1, -2.8), P < .001.

CONCLUSIONS

Topiramate with concurrent LSM was associated with clinically meaningful BMI reduction in adolescents with severe obesity. Randomized controlled clinical trials examining efficacy and safety of topiramate for severe obesity in adolescents are needed.

Salivary glucose concentration exhibits threshold kinetics in normal-weight, overweight, and obese children

BACKGROUND

Metabolic syndrome in childhood predicts the development of cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes (T2D) in adulthood. Testing for features of metabolic syndrome, such as fasting plasma glucose concentration, requires blood sampling which can be difficult in children. Here we evaluated salivary glucose concentration as a surrogate measurement for plasma glucose concentration in 11-year-old US children.

METHODS

Children from Portland, Maine, and Cambridge, Massachusetts, with a mean age of 10.6±0.2 years provided 6-hour fasting samples of both blood and whole saliva. Salivary glucose levels were measured with a high-sensitivity assay (sensitivity =0.002 mg/dL). Plasma glucose levels were determined by a commercial clinical laboratory. Blood pressure, salivary flow rate, height, and weight were also measured.

RESULTS

Of the 65 children enrolled, there were two underweight children (3.1%), 30 normal-weight children (46.2%), 12 overweight children (18.4%), and 21 obese children (32.3%). The mean overall glucose concentrations were 0.11±0.02 mg/dL in saliva and 86.3±0.8 mg/dL in plasma, and these did not differ significantly by body-weight groups. By regression analysis, the plasma concentration equaled 13.5 times the saliva concentration, with a threshold level of 84.8 mg/dL. Salivary glucose values less than threshold plasma concentration were essentially zero. Diagnostic analysis indicated a positive predictive value of 50%, a negative predictive value of 90%, and a sensitivity and specificity both of approximately 75%. The salivary glucose concentration did not vary with saliva flow rate.

CONCLUSION

Taking into account the threshold response characteristics of the salivary glucose concentration response, these results suggest that testing salivary glucose levels may be useful as a screening assay for high fasting plasma glucose levels. The low false positive value is important to assure a low fraction of missed diagnoses.

Effects of a Comprehensive, Intensive Lifestyle Intervention Combined with Metformin Extended Release in Obese Adolescents

Objective. To assess a comprehensive, intensive lifestyle intervention in combination with metformin extended release (MXR) or placebo on body mass index (BMI) and risk factors for type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease in obese adolescents. Study Design. Sixty-nineobese adolescents (mean BMI 32.5) received a comprehensive lifestyle intervention with structured dietary, physical activity, and behavioral components for 24 months. Subjects were randomized to 1 of 4 groups: MXR (33) 2,000 mg daily or placebo, with either moderate or vigorous intensity exercise for the first 3 months. Subsequently the exercise intervention was the same for all 4 groups. Results. Anthropometry measurements did not differ with initial exercise intensity at any time. At 3 months % body fat decreased in all 4 groups (P < 0.006). BMI and % body fat decreased in the MXR groups, but not the placebo groups, at 6 (-0.88, -3.16) and 12 months (-0.56, -2.34) (P < 0.05). Insulin resistance, fasting blood glucose, and leptin improved in all groups at 6 and 12 months. A high subject attrition rate (58%) occurred by 24 months. Conclusion. A comprehensive, intensive lifestyle intervention combined with MXR led to a decline in BMI and % body fat at 1 year independent of initial exercise intensity. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00934570 .

Asthma and insulin resistance in obese children and adolescents

BACKGROUND

Obese children and adolescents have an increased risk for asthma. A few studies have evaluated the association of insulin resistance and asthma in obese pediatric populations. We examined whether there was a relationship between high degrees of insulin resistance and the presence of asthma in obese children and adolescents.

METHODS

A total of 153 patients aged 4-15 years with at or above the 95th percentile BMI for age were prospectively recruited. Assessments included diagnosis of asthma, skin prick test reactivity to common environmental aeroallergens, and HOMA estimated insulin resistance, with the median (2.22) used as a cutoff value to categorize insulin resistance.

RESULTS

There were 56 (36.6%) asthmatic and 97 (63.4%) non-asthmatic patients. HOMA values were significantly associated with positive skin tests (p = 0.008) and allergic asthma diagnosis (p = 0.016). Baseline insulin value was significantly associated with the risk of presenting asthma with positive skin testing (odds ratio 1.084, p = 0.037). Differences in age, BMI, and waist circumference were found between the groups of HOMA-IR <2.22 and ≥2.22. Waist circumference (WC) was significantly associated with FVC (p = 0.0001) and FEV1 (p < 0.0003); the greater the WC, the lower FVC and FEV1 values.

CONCLUSIONS

Insulin resistance is a risk for allergic asthma in obese children and adolescents. Waist circumference was related to CVF and FEV1 impairment.

Addressing prediabetes in childhood obesity treatment programs: support from research and current practice

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and prediabetes have increased in prevalence among overweight and obese children, with significant implications for long-term health. There is little published evidence on the best approaches to care of prediabetes among overweight youth or the current practices used across pediatric weight management programs.

METHODS

This article reviews the literature and summarizes current practices for screening, diagnosis, and treatment of prediabetes at childhood obesity treatment centers. Findings regarding current practice were based on responses to an online survey from 28 pediatric weight management programs at 25 children's hospitals in 2012. Based on the literature reviewed, and empiric data, consensus support statements on prediabetes care and T2DM prevention were developed among representatives of these 25 children's hospitals' obesity clinics.

RESULTS

The evidence reviewed demonstrates that current T2DM and prediabetes diagnostic parameters are derived from adult-based studies with little understanding of clinical outcomes among youth. Very limited evidence exists on preventing progression of prediabetes. Some evidence suggests that a significant proportion of obese youth with prediabetes will revert to normoglycemia without pharmacological management. Evidence supports lifestyle modification for children with prediabetes, but further study of specific lifestyle changes and pharmacological treatments is needed.

CONCLUSION

Evidence to guide management of prediabetes in children is limited. Current practice patterns of pediatric weight management programs show areas of variability in practice, reflecting the limited evidence base. More research is needed to guide clinical care for overweight youth with prediabetes.

Peer mentoring for type 2 diabetes prevention in first nations children

OBJECTIVE

The goal of this study was to assess the efficacy of an after-school, peer-led, healthy living program on adiposity, self-efficacy, and knowledge of healthy living behaviors in children living in a remote isolated First Nation.

METHODS

A quasi-experimental trial with a parallel nonequivalent control arm was performed with 151 children in Garden Hill First Nation during the 2010-2011 and 2011-2012 school years. Fourth grade students were offered a 5-month, peer-led intervention facilitated by high school mentors between January and May of each school year; students in the control arm received standard curriculum. The main outcome measures were waist circumference (WC) and BMI z score. Secondary outcome measures included healthy living knowledge and self-efficacy.

RESULTS

Fifty-one children (mean ± SD age: 9.7 ± 0.4 years; BMI z score: 1.46 ± 0.84) received the intervention, and 100 children were in the control arm. At baseline, WC (79.8 vs 83.9 cm), BMI z score (1.46 vs 1.48), and rates of overweight/obesity (75% vs 72%) did not differ between arms. After the intervention, the change in WC (adjusted treatment effect: -2.5 cm [95% confidence interval (CI): -4.1 to -0.90]; P = .002) and BMI z score (adjusted treatment effect: -0.09 [95% CI: -0.16 to -0.03]; P = .007) were significantly lower in the intervention arm compared to the control arm. The intervention arm also experienced improvements in knowledge of healthy dietary choices (2.25% [95% CI: -0.01 to 6.25]; P = .02). Self-efficacy was associated with the change in WC after the intervention (β = -7.9, P = .03).

CONCLUSIONS

An after-school, peer-led, healthy living program attenuated weight gain and improved healthy living knowledge in children living in a remote isolated First Nation.

Infant body composition and adipokine concentrations in relation to maternal gestational weight gain

OBJECTIVE

To investigate associations of maternal gestational weight gain and body composition and their impact on offspring body composition and adipocytokine, glucose, and insulin concentrations at age 4 months.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This was a prospective study including 31 mother-infant pairs (N = 62). Maternal body composition was assessed using doubly labeled water. Infant body composition was assessed at 4 months using air displacement plethysmography, and venous blood was assayed for glucose, insulin, adiponectin, interleukin-6 (IL-6), and leptin concentrations.

RESULTS

Rate of gestational weight gain in midpregnancy was significantly associated with infant fat mass (r = 0.41, P = 0.03); rate of gestational weight in late pregnancy was significantly associated with infant fat-free mass (r = 0.37, P = 0.04). Infant birth weight was also strongly correlated with infant fat-free mass at 4 months (r = 0.63, P = 0.0002). Maternal BMI and maternal fat mass were strongly inversely associated with infant IL-6 concentrations (r = -0.60, P = 0.002 and r = -0.52, P = 0.01, respectively). Infant fat-free mass was inversely related to infant adiponectin concentrations (r = -0.48, P = 0.008) and positively correlated with infant blood glucose adjusted for insulin concentrations (r = 0.42, P = 0.04). No significant associations for leptin were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Timing of maternal weight gain differentially impacts body composition of the 4-month-old infant, which in turn appears to affect the infant's glucose and adipokine concentrations.

Dietary risk factors for the development of insulin resistance in adolescent girls: a 3-year prospective study

OBJECTIVE

Identifying risk factors for insulin resistance in adolescence could provide valuable information for early prevention. The study sought to identify risk factors for changes in insulin resistance and fasting blood glucose levels.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort of girls participating in the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Growth and Health Study.

SETTING USA SUBJECTS

Adolescent girls (n 774) assessed at the ages of 16-17 and 18-19 years. Over a 3-year period, measurements of fasting blood glucose and insulin and serum cotinine were taken, and dietary intake (3 d food diary), smoking status and physical activity levels were self-reported.

RESULTS

Improvements in homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) were associated with increases in the percentage of energy intake from polyunsaturated fats (β = -3·33, 95% CI -6·28, -0·39, P = 0·03) and grams of soluble fibre (β = -5·20, 95% CI -9·81, -0·59, P = 0·03) between the ages of 16-17 and 18-19 years; with similar findings for insulin. Transitioning into obesity was associated with an increase in insulin (β = 6·34, 95% CI 2·78, 9·91, P < 0·001) and HOMA-IR (β = 28·77, 95% CI 8·13, 49·40, P = 0·006). Serum cotinine concentrations at 16-17 years, indicating exposure to tobacco, were associated with large increases (β = 15·43, 95% CI 6·09, 24·77, P < 0·001) in fasting blood glucose concentrations.

CONCLUSIONS

Increases in the percentage of energy from polyunsaturated fat and fibre, and avoidance of excess weight gain and tobacco exposure, could substantially reduce the risk of insulin resistance in late adolescence.

Genetic and epigenetic catalysts in early-life programming of adult cardiometabolic disorders

Evidence has emerged across the past few decades that the lifetime risk of developing morbidities like type 2 diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular disease may be influenced by exposures that occur in utero and in childhood. Developmental abnormalities are known to occur at various stages in fetal growth. Epidemiological and mechanistic studies have sought to delineate developmental processes and plausible risk factors influencing pregnancy outcomes and later health. Whether these observations reflect causal processes or are confounded by genetic and social factors remains unclear, although animal (and some human) studies suggest that epigenetic programming events may be involved. Regardless of the causal basis to observations of early-life risk factors and later disease risk, the fact that such associations exist and that they are of a fairly large magnitude justifies further research around this topic. Furthermore, additional information is needed to substantiate public health guidelines on lifestyle behaviors during pregnancy to improve infant health outcomes. Indeed, lifestyle intervention clinical trials in pregnancy are now coming online, where materials and data are being collected that should facilitate understanding of the causal nature of intrauterine exposures related with gestational weight gain, such as elevated maternal blood glucose concentrations. In this review, we provide an overview of these concepts.

Early and late menarche are associated with oligomenorrhea and predict metabolic syndrome 26 years later

OBJECTIVE

We determined whether simple, clinical information on late and early menarche could help identify adult women with metabolic syndrome (MetS) and oligomenorrhea.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We carried out a 26-year prospective follow-up of 272 suburban schoolgirls from ages 5-22 to 30-46.

RESULTS

Early menarche (≤10 years, 5.2% of girls) and late menarche (≥16 years, 6.7% of girls) were both associated with oligomenorrhea (≥42 days) in adulthood, 29% and 11%, vs. 5% for normal menarche (11-15 years), p=.004. Early menarche was characterized by high childhood BMI (LS mean±SE: 21.2 ±1.0 kg/m2) and by high childhood and adult MetS (15%, 36%). Girls with late menarche had the lowest childhood BMI (18.1±1.0), no childhood MetS, and the highest adult MetS (47%). Increasing age at menarche was associated with uniformly decreasing childhood BMI and MetS, but with a U-shaped pattern of BMI (p = .05), MetS (p=.008), and oligomenorrhea (p=.02) in adulthood. Change to MetS from median ages 13 to 38 was associated with early-late menarche (OR=3.11, 95% CI 1.37-7.07, p=.007). MetS in adulthood was associated with childhood MetS (OR=8.03, 95% CI 2.57-25.08, p=.0003) and with early-late menarche (OR =3.43, 95% CI 1.44-8.15, p=.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Menarche age had a curvilinear ('U' shaped) relationship with MetS and oligomenorrhea in adulthood. Late menarche and early menarche are risk factors for adult oligomenorrhea, MetS, and cardiometabolic abnormalities. Girls with early (≤ age 10) and with late menarche (≥ 16) represent a group at high risk for adult cardiometabolic abnormalities and oligomenorrhea that is easily identifiable by physicians.

In-treatment HDL cholesterol levels and development of new diabetes mellitus in hypertensive patients: the LIFE Study

AIMS

Although hypertensive patients with low baseline HDL cholesterol levels have a higher incidence of diabetes mellitus, whether changing levels of HDL over time are more strongly related to the risk of new diabetes in hypertensive patients has not been examined.

METHODS

Incident diabetes mellitus was examined in relation to baseline and in-treatment HDL levels in 7485 hypertensive patients with no history of diabetes randomly assigned to losartan- or atenolol-based treatment.

RESULTS

During 4.7 ± 1.2 years follow-up, 520 patients (6.9%) developed new diabetes. In univariate Cox analyses, compared with the highest quartile of HDL levels (> 1.78 mmol/l), baseline and in-treatment HDL in the lowest quartile (< 1.21 mmol/l) identified patients with > 5-fold and > 9 fold higher risks of new diabetes, respectively; patients with baseline or in-treatment HDL in the 2nd and 3rd quartiles had intermediate risk of diabetes. In multivariable Cox analyses, adjusting for randomized treatment, age, sex, race, prior anti-hypertensive therapy, baseline uric acid, serum creatinine and glucose entered as standard covariates, and in-treatment non-HDL cholesterol, Cornell product left ventricular hypertrophy, diastolic and systolic pressure, BMI, hydrochlorothiazide and statin use as time-varying covariates, the lowest quartile of in-treatment HDL remained associated with a nearly 9-fold increased risk of new diabetes (hazard ratio 8.7, 95% CI 5.0-15.2), whereas the risk of new diabetes was significantly attenuated for baseline HDL < 1.21 mmol/l (hazard ratio 3.9, 95% CI 2.8-5.4).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower in-treatment HDL is more strongly associated with increased risk of new diabetes than baseline HDL level.

Severe obesity in children and adolescents: identification, associated health risks, and treatment approaches: a scientific statement from the American Heart Association

Severe obesity afflicts between 4% and 6% of all youth in the United States, and the prevalence is increasing. Despite the serious immediate and long-term cardiovascular, metabolic, and other health consequences of severe pediatric obesity, current treatments are limited in effectiveness and lack widespread availability. Lifestyle modification/behavior-based treatment interventions in youth with severe obesity have demonstrated modest improvement in body mass index status, but participants have generally remained severely obese and often regained weight after the conclusion of the treatment programs. The role of medical management is minimal, because only 1 medication is currently approved for the treatment of obesity in adolescents. Bariatric surgery has generally been effective in reducing body mass index and improving cardiovascular and metabolic risk factors; however, reports of long-term outcomes are few, many youth with severe obesity do not qualify for surgery, and access is limited by lack of insurance coverage. To begin to address these challenges, the purposes of this scientific statement are to (1) provide justification for and recommend a standardized definition of severe obesity in children and adolescents; (2) raise awareness of this serious and growing problem by summarizing the current literature in this area in terms of the epidemiology and trends, associated health risks (immediate and long-term), and challenges and shortcomings of currently available treatment options; and (3) highlight areas in need of future research. Innovative behavior-based treatment, minimally invasive procedures, and medications currently under development all need to be evaluated for their efficacy and safety in this group of patients with high medical and psychosocial risks.

Role of HDL cholesterol and estimates of HDL particle composition in future development of type 2 diabetes in the general population: the PREVEND study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

High-density lipoproteins (HDLs) may directly stimulate β-cell function and glucose metabolism. We determined the relationships of fasting high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), plasma apolipoprotein (apo) A-I and apoA-II, and HDL-C-to-apoA-I and HDL-C-to-apoA-II ratios, as estimates of HDL particle composition, with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

A prospective study was carried out in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort after exclusion of subjects with diabetes at baseline (n = 6820; age, 28-75 years). The association of HDL-related variables with incident type 2 diabetes was determined by multivariate logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 394 incident cases of type 2 diabetes mellitus were ascertained (5.8%). After adjustment for age, sex, family history of diabetes, body mass index, hypertension, alcohol, and smoking, odd ratios (ORs) for diabetes were 0.55 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47-0.64; P < .001), 0.81 (0.71-0.93; P = .002), 0.02 (0.01-0.06; P < .001), and 0.03 (0.01-0.060; P < .001) per 1-SD increase in HDL-C and apoA-I and in the HDL-C-to-apoA-I and the HDL-C-to-apoA-II ratios, respectively. In contrast, apoA-II was not related to incident diabetes (OR = 1.02; 95% CI, 0.90-1.16; P=0.71). The relationships of HDL-C and the ratios of HDL-C to apoA-I and HDL-C to apoA-II remained significant after further adjustment for baseline glucose and triglycerides (OR(HDL) = 0.74 [95% CI, 0.61-0.88], OR(HDL/APO A-I) = 0.14 [0.04-0.44], and OR(HDL/APOA-II) = 0.12 [0.04-0.36]; all P ≤ .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher HDL-C, as well as higher HDL-C-to-apoA-I and HDL-C-to-apoA-II ratios are strongly and independently related to a lower risk of future type 2 diabetes.